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Speaker 1: Happy Monday, everybody. Welcome in to another edition of the

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Speaker 1: Daily Juice podcast. My name is Matt Paroult. You can

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Speaker 1: follow me on Twitter at sports Talk Matt. This podcast

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Speaker 1: being brought to you by bet MGM and it can

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Speaker 1: always be found on Bettingpros dot com. All right, another

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Speaker 1: good Sunday, and we wind up five and one on

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Speaker 1: our Daily Juice picks. That's up three point five unit,

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Speaker 1: so that's a really nice Sunday. Our prop bets from

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Speaker 1: the live stream we did, we've seen over one thousand

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Speaker 1: views already on that going in climbing, so really cool stuff.

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Speaker 1: Thanks for everyone who tuned in who was a part

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Speaker 1: of that live stream every Sunday morning at eleven a

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Speaker 1: m Eastern on the Betting Pros YouTube channel. We do

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Speaker 1: player props, so I went two and four on those

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Speaker 1: player props, so not like last week we went four

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Speaker 1: and two, so we'd give it back a little bit there.

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Speaker 1: But these are quarter units for me, so I go

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Speaker 1: full units on the picks on the Daily Juice, so

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Speaker 1: quarter units. So overall it's a seven and five day,

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Speaker 1: and we wound up two point seven to seven units

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Speaker 1: up for the day in totality, and well, I did

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Speaker 1: some accounting, and some of you care about this stuff,

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Speaker 1: some of you don't. But I did some accounting, okay,

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Speaker 1: So here is where we are as we're about to

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Speaker 1: start the month of October. So we started this on

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Speaker 1: July eighth, okay, July eighth to August eighth to September

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Speaker 1: the eighth, Okay, So we're going into we're about to

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Speaker 1: wrap up our first three months, our first quarter, if

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Speaker 1: you will. For the Daily Juice, we are hitting at

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Speaker 1: fifty one point six percent of the time. Now that's

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Speaker 1: not great, right. We want to be at fifty three percent,

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Speaker 1: and we also want to be making money overall. We

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Speaker 1: are right now heading into Monday night football, into the

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Speaker 1: super Bowl of the regular season Ravens Chiefs, we've got

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Speaker 1: a one. We're down one point five units overall. Over

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Speaker 1: it's basically one point five units, So not great, right,

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Speaker 1: But we've had some bad runs, some bad numbers, and well,

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Speaker 1: it's football season, right, so this is the time we

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Speaker 1: get after it. So I've went and looked at my

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Speaker 1: numbers here for the NFL and look, knock on wood. Okay,

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Speaker 1: but through three Sundays so far, and we could give

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Speaker 1: this back normally, I do start hot. I'll admit that

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Speaker 1: I start hot in the NFL and then the algorithms

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Speaker 1: kick up and we start to give it back. But

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Speaker 1: I'm twenty eight and fourteen up eleven point eight units

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Speaker 1: so far by my math for our picks in the NFL.

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Speaker 1: If you take out the prop bet losses, which you

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Speaker 1: can't do that, but I have six losses. Six of

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Speaker 1: those fourteen are prop bet losses, which is only quarter

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Speaker 1: unit losses. So you know we're not bad there. Okay,

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Speaker 1: some of those wins, obviously are of the twenty eight

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Speaker 1: wins are there, but the losses are where we lose money.

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Speaker 1: So only eight full unit losses so far for us

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Speaker 1: in the NFL. So that's really exciting. That's a really

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Speaker 1: good start to the NFL season. And very happy with that. Okay,

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Speaker 1: happy with that. College has been sort of up and down.

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Speaker 1: I think we're up a little bit in college. I

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Speaker 1: didn't run the numbers yet for college, but we had

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Speaker 1: an okay. Now, we had a bad Saturday, we went

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Speaker 1: one in three in college football on Saturday, but we

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Speaker 1: had an okay start to the season. So I think

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Speaker 1: for somewhere, I think I'm like four and three or

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Speaker 1: five and three or five and four somewhere in there

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Speaker 1: for college football so far, but twenty and fourteen, I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna take that, man. So I'm gonna hopefully keep that

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Speaker 1: rolling here as we get into it. All Right, So

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Speaker 1: I have got four plays again on Monday Night football.

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Speaker 1: Last Monday Night we went four and oh. I've got

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Speaker 1: two plays on the game for sides, and I got

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Speaker 1: two prop bets. But all four are going to be

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Speaker 1: full unit plays for you guys here on a Monday

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Speaker 1: we if you were with me on Twitter at Sports Talk, Matt,

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Speaker 1: I mean, we got some nice breaks and some nice picks,

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Speaker 1: and really I was really happy with the way that

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Speaker 1: the entire Sunday went. The Patriots was the easiest play

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Speaker 1: of the of the day. It was my number one play.

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Speaker 1: We're now three and oh betting Pros on their Instagram.

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Speaker 1: They asked me to pick my favorite bet of the

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Speaker 1: week for the NFL, and we're now three and oh

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Speaker 1: for my favorite bet of the week here in the NFL.

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Speaker 1: So that's exciting. Patriots cover that five and a half

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Speaker 1: point line easily. The Patriots and Brown's teaser that covered easily.

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Speaker 1: We are once again three and oh for our teasers.

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Speaker 1: But as my book friends keep on reminding me, if

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Speaker 1: we parlayed those, you would have made more money because

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Speaker 1: you're laying one forty juice, so you're bet one hundred

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Speaker 1: to win seventy one dollars. It's not really, you know,

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Speaker 1: a great return, but I'm taking it because well, I

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Speaker 1: want the insurance and I haven't needed it on all

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Speaker 1: three of the teaser bets we've gone with, I haven't

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Speaker 1: needed to tease it. So do with that what you will.

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Speaker 1: Maybe you just parlay it when I tease it for security,

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Speaker 1: You guys, just parlay it and you may well cash

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Speaker 1: for some more money. But we're three and oh on

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Speaker 1: those Browns, Patriots. We got the Lions right, they win

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Speaker 1: outright five point five. We had plus pine point five

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Speaker 1: on the Cardinals, they won that game outright. The Steelers

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Speaker 1: came back and covered that three and a half point

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Speaker 1: line for us. The Bills and the Rams blew over

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Speaker 1: that forty six and a half, so only one total

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Speaker 1: we played. We got that correct, and the damn Falcons man,

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Speaker 1: the damn Falcons were between us and a six and

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Speaker 1: oh day. The Falcons once again blew a fourth quarter

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Speaker 1: lead of fifteen points. Dan Quinn. We taped this on

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Speaker 1: Sunday night Monday morning. If dan Quinn has a job,

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Speaker 1: I'm going to be floored. Dan Quinn should not have

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Speaker 1: a job in the NFL, but I don't. If Adam

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Speaker 1: Gase has a job in the NFL, I guess dan

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Speaker 1: Quinn can have a job in the NFL. Being a

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Speaker 1: head football coach unbelievable. There are some really bad teams

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Speaker 1: in the NFL. Man, there are some really really bad teams.

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Speaker 1: And a couple of you guys reached out over DM

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Speaker 1: and you were listening or watching on the live stream

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Speaker 1: when I told the story of how I was talked

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Speaker 1: off the Titans because the Titans minus two and a half.

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Speaker 1: I liked that play. I thought that good. I thought

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Speaker 1: they'd win, and they did, but they didn't cover. They

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Speaker 1: won by one. And I had a couple of my

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Speaker 1: sportsbook friends tap me on the shoulder and say no, no, no, no, no,

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Speaker 1: Matt because they heard me talking about my radio show.

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Speaker 1: They were like, no, no, no, get far away from

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Speaker 1: that game. Don't bet that game, don't play it. The

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Speaker 1: wise guys are all over the dog in that game.

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Speaker 1: They're all over the vikings. Be very careful betting laying

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Speaker 1: one and a half, laying two two and a half,

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Speaker 1: don't go near it, and so it talked me off

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Speaker 1: of it, and so that was good. So I wound

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Speaker 1: up getting away from that. But I went two and

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Speaker 1: three in the circa. That's not good. So we're now

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Speaker 1: seven and eight in the circa. We gotta hopefully get

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Speaker 1: the bad first month out of the way and then

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Speaker 1: get rolling because that's not a good start to the circa.

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Speaker 1: And then Dan Harris and I both have the Chiefs.

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Speaker 1: Tonight we're two and two with the Chiefs going at

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Speaker 1: plus three and a half. Tonight's more in that game

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Speaker 1: here coming up for the Daily Juice, But before we

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Speaker 1: get to the picks and the plays tonight, hopefully keep

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Speaker 1: our hot streak going. In the NFL. Let me remind

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Speaker 1: you about what bet MGM's got going tonight for this

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Speaker 1: game between the KMCI Chiefs and the Baltimore Ravens. If

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Speaker 1: you've bet one dollar on either team, after you go

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Speaker 1: and download the bet mgm app and you load it

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Speaker 1: using the promo code Juice one hundred. Okay, Juice one hundred,

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Speaker 1: use that code. You bet a dollar on either team.

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Speaker 1: Doesn't matter which team case Baltimore, one dollar. You will

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Speaker 1: win two dollars for every single point that is scored.

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Speaker 1: The total in this game is fifty four and a

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Speaker 1: half fifty five in climbing right, so you can go

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Speaker 1: ahead and I mean one hundred and ten one hundred

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Speaker 1: and twenty. You win two hundred and forty dollars paid

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Speaker 1: out in free bets from betmgm. It's available in states

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Speaker 1: like Colorado, Indiana, New Jersey, in West Virginia. For details

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Speaker 1: and information, you are going to go and log onto

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Speaker 1: bet mgm dot com and you're gonna go and you're

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Speaker 1: gonna find all the information that you would want. For

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Speaker 1: terms and conditions, you must be twenty one or older

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Speaker 1: physically located in Colorado, Indiana, New Jersey, or was Virginia.

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Speaker 1: You're gonna please gamble responsible with this. If you do

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Speaker 1: have a gambling problem, please call one eight hundred five

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Speaker 1: to two to two forty seven hundred in Colorado and Nevada,

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Speaker 1: one hundred gambler in New Jersey and West Virginia, or

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Speaker 1: one hundred and nine with it in Indiana. All right,

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Speaker 1: let's get to the picks here, and this may be

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Speaker 1: a little bit of a quicker podcast than what we

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Speaker 1: do normally. But it's only one game Monday night, football,

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Speaker 1: not playing baseball because baseball is off to the playoffs begin.

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Speaker 1: We'll talk more about the playoffs tomorrow. Basketball. Obviously the

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Speaker 1: Miami Heat. We lost that bet with the Celtics that

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Speaker 1: minus one thirty does not cash for us. But Tampa

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Speaker 1: hopefully wins tonight right Monday night, right to win the

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Speaker 1: Cup at minus one fifty to make up for the

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Speaker 1: Celtics loss. So that will kind of be a wash there,

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Speaker 1: a little bit losing on the juice, but to get

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Speaker 1: victories for Tampa. They're up three games to two, so

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Speaker 1: hopefully that happens. We're just gonna ride that bet out

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Speaker 1: to see what happens with that. So so nothing going tonight

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Speaker 1: on the NHL besides Tampa to beat Dallas to win

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Speaker 1: the Stanley Cup at minus one fifty. But here's where

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Speaker 1: we are tonight, all right. So I have already taken

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Speaker 1: the Chiefs at plus three and a half. Okay, the

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Speaker 1: hook matters to me. It's down to three at most books.

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Speaker 1: I got it at three and a half. The hook matters,

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Speaker 1: and it's why I'm taking the Chiefs. I think this

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Speaker 1: is a field goal game. I think this is a

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Speaker 1: back and forth battle. But let me just kind of

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Speaker 1: pull let me talk about the narrative here for this

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Speaker 1: game and how I think the game is going to go.

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Speaker 1: I think in the fourth quarter, in the second half,

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Speaker 1: the Chiefs come back, but I think the Ravens get

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Speaker 1: off to a really fast start, and so I got

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Speaker 1: the Ravens in the first half at minus two and

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Speaker 1: a half. Now, I've been asking a bunch of my

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Speaker 1: sportsbook friends a little bit about wait a minute, if

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Speaker 1: the line's three, why isn't that first half line one

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Speaker 1: and a half? And the answer I'm getting it's not

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Speaker 1: entirely clear to me, but it's becoming, I guess, more

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Speaker 1: and more common that if you have a three in

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Speaker 1: a one and a half that the syndicates are the quote.

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Speaker 1: Bad guys would come in and just hammer it. If

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Speaker 1: they like, you know, the Chiefs minus three and a

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Speaker 1: half and the Chiefs are catching one and a half

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Speaker 1: or two in the first half, they would bet both.

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Speaker 1: And so the book is afraid of being exposed on

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Speaker 1: both sides with max wagers. So they're i guess, having

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Speaker 1: very similar lines for the first half and the game,

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Speaker 1: which is really weird, and I guess it's it's the

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Speaker 1: books playing defense. That's what I was told that this

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Speaker 1: is the Books playing defense. So I got it at

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Speaker 1: three and a half for the game, plus three and

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Speaker 1: a half Kansas City for the game. But I'm taking

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Speaker 1: the Ravens at minus two and a half for the

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Speaker 1: first half, so I think the Chiefs are going to

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Speaker 1: be a second half team. I think the Chiefs are

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Speaker 1: going to be throwing the ball a lot. And let's

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Speaker 1: be frank here, the Chiefs just come back on everyone.

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Speaker 1: They're on the road, I know, so I think the

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Speaker 1: home crowd there was one, but the home field for

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Speaker 1: the Ravens gets them off to a good start. I

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Speaker 1: think are up at halftime. I'm gonna lay the minus

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Speaker 1: two and a half Ravens minus two and a half

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Speaker 1: first half bet. Then we're going second half into the

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Speaker 1: game and the Chiefs at plus three and a half.

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Speaker 1: It also gives us a little bit of insurance because

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Speaker 1: they're both minus one ten, and it give us a

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Speaker 1: little bit of insurance in case one side blows out

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Speaker 1: the other right, which I don't think this is gonna happen,

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Speaker 1: but if it does go down that way, we have

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Speaker 1: some insurance if the Ravens are up monsters, they're up

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Speaker 1: twenty one to nothing at halftime or something, and the

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Speaker 1: Chiefs can't come back. Well, there's a little bit of

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Speaker 1: insurance there by taking either side. The hope is Ravens

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Speaker 1: lead by three after the first half and then the

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Speaker 1: Chiefs come back, or the Chiefs win the game, or

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Speaker 1: the Chiefs lose by three overall. Right, So like that's

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Speaker 1: the hope here from a side perspective. So two plays

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Speaker 1: on sides. First half Ravens minus two and a half,

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Speaker 1: and then we're taking the game plus three and a half.

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Speaker 1: I got the plus three and a half a little

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Speaker 1: while ago. Okay, so that's I got that Friday. So

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Speaker 1: that's kind of a bummer that it's down to three.

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Speaker 1: But maybe you can buy off the three if you want.

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Speaker 1: You want to buy the half a point and don't

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Speaker 1: hate that get above that key number of three. You know,

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Speaker 1: if your book lets you parlay, maybe you parlay the

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Speaker 1: total and you know, fifty three and a half, you

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Speaker 1: pull that down six points and then you take this

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Speaker 1: plus three and put it to nine. If your book

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Speaker 1: lets you tease a size aside and the total in

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Speaker 1: the same game my books in Vegas don't let me

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Speaker 1: do that, but maybe yours does. And maybe that's the

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Speaker 1: way you want to play this game. You'll probably pay

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Speaker 1: minus one forty juice as well, and you know, you

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Speaker 1: just hope that it's not a double digit win here

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Speaker 1: for the Ravens. But that's one way of playing it.

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Speaker 1: But I can't do that, so I'm not going to

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Speaker 1: do that. So I'm doing two plays on the sides.

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Speaker 1: Chiefs plus three and a half for the game, Ravens

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Speaker 1: minus two and a half for the first half, got

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Speaker 1: two props. I want to talk about. Mark Ingram scored

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Speaker 1: three touchdowns in the in the meeting last year in

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Speaker 1: the red zone. I think the Ravens are gonna really

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Speaker 1: look to run, run, run here, and I think they're

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Speaker 1: gonna go but with old Stanby, I like Dobbins a lot.

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Speaker 1: I think he's a tremendous talent. I think he's gonna

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Speaker 1: be a guy that you can look for. But when

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Speaker 1: it comes to like on the two yard line type

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Speaker 1: of goal line stands, this is where I think the

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Speaker 1: team the Ravens will look to mark Ingram. Mark Ingram

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Speaker 1: was plus one twenty to score a touchdown at any

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Speaker 1: time during this game. Given the fact that I think

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Speaker 1: points are going to be scored red zone offenses, I'm

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Speaker 1: going mark Ingram at plus one twenty to score a

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Speaker 1: touchdown here in this game. Full one unit prop, second prop.

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Speaker 1: Tarik Hill has been targeted seventeen times in two games,

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Speaker 1: but he only has ten catches, so he's being targeted

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Speaker 1: a lot. Teams are shading, but the Chiefs are going

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Speaker 1: to him quite a bit. They're testing out going over

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Speaker 1: the top. He's the number one option, He's a major

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Speaker 1: focal point, and Sammy Watkins might be out of this

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Speaker 1: game Tarik Hill. Right now, his reception total is five

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Speaker 1: and a half. We are going over five and a

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Speaker 1: half receptions at minus one twelve for Taerrik Hill in

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Speaker 1: this game coming up tonight. I think he's going to

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Speaker 1: be targeted a ton stream games and quick slants and

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Speaker 1: over the top. I think he's going to be a

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Speaker 1: guy that the Chiefs are going to try to get

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Speaker 1: the ball to him in as many ways as possible.

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Speaker 1: We're going over five and a half receptions for ta

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Speaker 1: Riek Hill at minus one twelve. All right, So to

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Speaker 1: recap the four plays we've got going on right here

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Speaker 1: for the Monday edition of the Daily Juice. First half

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Speaker 1: Ravens minus two and a half, game Chiefs plus three

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Speaker 1: and a half, Ingram to score a touchdown at plus

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Speaker 1: one twenty and Tarik Hill over five and a half

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Speaker 1: receptions at minus one twelve. Good luck, keep the interactions going.

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Speaker 1: My name is Matt Perrault. You can follow me on

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Speaker 1: Twitter at sports Talk Matts. We're back on Tuesday. We

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Speaker 1: got baseball playoff starting. I will have some plays on

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Speaker 1: a couple of series if you want to be because

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Speaker 1: I want to watch these series. So we'll play some

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Speaker 1: bets for the overall baseball playoffs coming up tomorrow on

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Speaker 1: the Tuesday morning edition of the Daily Juice podcast, presented

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Speaker 1: by bettmgm off of Bettinggros dot com