1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:01,920 Speaker 1: The other big mover to the upside is in the 2 00:00:01,960 --> 00:00:04,720 Speaker 1: earnings context, and that is so FI actually on track 3 00:00:04,720 --> 00:00:07,560 Speaker 1: for its biggest jump since late July, first week of August. 4 00:00:08,000 --> 00:00:12,920 Speaker 1: Why profitability for the first time on a net income basis? 5 00:00:12,960 --> 00:00:15,240 Speaker 1: This is the milestone that the street was looking for. 6 00:00:15,400 --> 00:00:17,360 Speaker 1: There's a lot going on on the technology side of 7 00:00:17,400 --> 00:00:19,720 Speaker 1: Sofar's business and a lot going on on the lending 8 00:00:19,760 --> 00:00:22,160 Speaker 1: side and finance side of its business as well. 9 00:00:22,239 --> 00:00:23,160 Speaker 2: Who do we speak to? 10 00:00:23,440 --> 00:00:27,040 Speaker 1: The CEO, Anthony Notto joins us now and Antie. We've 11 00:00:27,040 --> 00:00:30,640 Speaker 1: been through this process psychologically that first profit with a 12 00:00:30,720 --> 00:00:34,760 Speaker 1: number of companies before. What were the main contributing factors 13 00:00:34,760 --> 00:00:37,560 Speaker 1: to you guys hitting profitability on a net income basis? 14 00:00:37,800 --> 00:00:40,560 Speaker 1: And how confident can the street be that you continue 15 00:00:40,880 --> 00:00:44,320 Speaker 1: on this arc of increasing profitability and. 16 00:00:44,479 --> 00:00:45,440 Speaker 2: Thank you for having me on. 17 00:00:45,920 --> 00:00:48,880 Speaker 3: The main contributors to the profitability is that we finally 18 00:00:48,920 --> 00:00:52,319 Speaker 3: reached the scale in our non lending businesses that they 19 00:00:52,320 --> 00:00:55,360 Speaker 3: are now profitable, and so we have three profitable segments. 20 00:00:55,800 --> 00:00:59,160 Speaker 3: When I joined the company six years ago, we're primarily 21 00:00:59,240 --> 00:00:59,720 Speaker 3: a lender. 22 00:01:00,320 --> 00:01:02,000 Speaker 2: That's a very profitable business for us. 23 00:01:02,440 --> 00:01:05,679 Speaker 3: We've entered the technology platform services business where we enable 24 00:01:05,720 --> 00:01:08,880 Speaker 3: one hundred and forty million accounts throughout the United States 25 00:01:08,880 --> 00:01:11,679 Speaker 3: and lat Am to do payment processing, as well as 26 00:01:11,680 --> 00:01:14,840 Speaker 3: core banking technologies and a number of other financial services 27 00:01:14,880 --> 00:01:15,679 Speaker 3: technologies that. 28 00:01:15,640 --> 00:01:18,280 Speaker 2: We use at SOFI, but we also sell to others. 29 00:01:18,600 --> 00:01:21,240 Speaker 3: And then our third segment is our financial services segment, 30 00:01:21,280 --> 00:01:24,120 Speaker 3: which consists of products like Sofi Money, which is a 31 00:01:24,200 --> 00:01:28,000 Speaker 3: checking SAMES account, Sofi Invests, so Fi credit card, Sofi 32 00:01:28,040 --> 00:01:32,720 Speaker 3: Protectors's insurance. Those businesses required a significant amount investment over 33 00:01:32,720 --> 00:01:35,640 Speaker 3: the last six years, but we've now reached the point 34 00:01:35,640 --> 00:01:37,920 Speaker 3: where they're forty percent of our revenue in the fourth 35 00:01:38,000 --> 00:01:41,440 Speaker 3: quarter compared to lending at sixty percent, and they're profitable, 36 00:01:41,480 --> 00:01:44,160 Speaker 3: and so that inflection point hit this quarter, and as 37 00:01:44,200 --> 00:01:47,160 Speaker 3: we go into twenty twenty four, we believe the businesses 38 00:01:47,160 --> 00:01:50,200 Speaker 3: will be fifty percent lending, fifty percent tech platform and 39 00:01:50,280 --> 00:01:52,640 Speaker 3: financial services, and with all three being. 40 00:01:52,480 --> 00:01:54,520 Speaker 2: Profitable, the profitability is sustainable. 41 00:01:55,400 --> 00:01:57,720 Speaker 1: I'm trying to understand that guidance. So you're basically saying 42 00:01:57,760 --> 00:02:01,600 Speaker 1: fifty percent compound annual growth from the financial services business 43 00:02:01,640 --> 00:02:04,600 Speaker 1: over kind of this pretty wide window twenty twenty three 44 00:02:04,640 --> 00:02:08,040 Speaker 1: through twenty twenty six. What gives you the confidence that 45 00:02:08,120 --> 00:02:11,679 Speaker 1: you can see that far into the future in terms 46 00:02:11,720 --> 00:02:13,480 Speaker 1: of how your company will grow that segment. 47 00:02:14,320 --> 00:02:17,160 Speaker 3: Sure, just to clarify for viewers, I was suggesting that 48 00:02:17,200 --> 00:02:19,600 Speaker 3: we'll have fifty percent of our revenue from lending in 49 00:02:19,639 --> 00:02:22,480 Speaker 3: twenty twenty four and fifty percent of our revenue from 50 00:02:22,520 --> 00:02:26,280 Speaker 3: the two other divisions combined, the technology platform segment and 51 00:02:26,320 --> 00:02:28,760 Speaker 3: the financial services segment. In terms of our longer term 52 00:02:28,800 --> 00:02:32,519 Speaker 3: revenue growth outlook, we are forecasting seventy five percent growth 53 00:02:32,600 --> 00:02:36,079 Speaker 3: in the fincial services segment in twenty twenty four and 54 00:02:36,400 --> 00:02:39,399 Speaker 3: twenty percent growth in the tech platform. From the twenty 55 00:02:39,560 --> 00:02:43,359 Speaker 3: twenty three through twenty twenty six time period, technology platform 56 00:02:43,360 --> 00:02:47,079 Speaker 3: will come down to fifty percent and sorry, technology platform 57 00:02:47,120 --> 00:02:49,560 Speaker 3: will be mid twenties and the fincial services segment will 58 00:02:49,560 --> 00:02:50,600 Speaker 3: come down to fifty percent. 59 00:02:50,919 --> 00:02:52,320 Speaker 2: And the reason we could see that is. 60 00:02:52,280 --> 00:02:55,520 Speaker 3: Because we understand our customer acquisition cost, how much we 61 00:02:55,560 --> 00:02:58,400 Speaker 3: spend on marketing, and that drives the adoption of the 62 00:02:58,440 --> 00:03:00,839 Speaker 3: products and then they monetize it rate that we've seen 63 00:03:00,880 --> 00:03:03,000 Speaker 3: over the last couple of years, and so they're pretty 64 00:03:03,120 --> 00:03:05,440 Speaker 3: strong leaning indicators of what the future brings from a 65 00:03:05,520 --> 00:03:06,400 Speaker 3: growth perspective. 66 00:03:06,880 --> 00:03:08,959 Speaker 4: One thing, of course, on your call that you made 67 00:03:08,960 --> 00:03:11,840 Speaker 4: clear to analysis. Look, let's face it, no economist has 68 00:03:11,840 --> 00:03:14,240 Speaker 4: got this economy right in the last couple of years. 69 00:03:14,440 --> 00:03:16,680 Speaker 4: How do you feel about the macro economy, Anthony. 70 00:03:17,240 --> 00:03:20,400 Speaker 2: Yeah, we're very conservative about the macro outlook. 71 00:03:20,520 --> 00:03:23,400 Speaker 3: Specifically, I don't believe it will be the case that 72 00:03:23,440 --> 00:03:25,280 Speaker 3: we could have six rate cuts, which is what. 73 00:03:25,200 --> 00:03:28,040 Speaker 2: The forward curve shows, and a strong economy. 74 00:03:28,320 --> 00:03:30,200 Speaker 3: I think if we actually get the six rate cuts, 75 00:03:30,240 --> 00:03:33,760 Speaker 3: it's because we're likely with unemployment above five percent and 76 00:03:33,880 --> 00:03:37,000 Speaker 3: likely with contracting GDP. I think it's more likely that 77 00:03:37,040 --> 00:03:40,240 Speaker 3: we'll have fewer cuts and maybe a stable economy. But 78 00:03:40,360 --> 00:03:44,520 Speaker 3: coming into October, many market pundits we're talking about higher 79 00:03:44,560 --> 00:03:47,600 Speaker 3: for longer. Ninety days later, they're talking about six rate cuts. 80 00:03:47,840 --> 00:03:50,320 Speaker 3: It's such a bifurcation of views. It's really hard to 81 00:03:50,360 --> 00:03:53,160 Speaker 3: know what the real outlook is. And so we're taking 82 00:03:53,200 --> 00:03:55,680 Speaker 3: a very conservative view. And we can do that given 83 00:03:55,720 --> 00:03:58,880 Speaker 3: the diversification that we have on the lighting business and with. 84 00:03:58,840 --> 00:03:59,640 Speaker 2: The other businesses. 85 00:03:59,680 --> 00:04:02,920 Speaker 3: So we're going into next year with tighter credit and 86 00:04:02,960 --> 00:04:08,120 Speaker 3: also lower expectations. In fact, we're really just forecasting maintaining 87 00:04:08,120 --> 00:04:10,640 Speaker 3: our revenue and lending, not growing it. 88 00:04:11,080 --> 00:04:13,520 Speaker 2: And the other business is driving the growth that I mentioned. 89 00:04:14,040 --> 00:04:16,800 Speaker 4: And with that sort of growth, you still have that 90 00:04:16,880 --> 00:04:19,720 Speaker 4: goal of a thirty percent return on equity. You still 91 00:04:19,760 --> 00:04:21,240 Speaker 4: have that goal of being in the top ten in 92 00:04:21,320 --> 00:04:24,200 Speaker 4: terms of financial institutions here in the United States. What 93 00:04:24,400 --> 00:04:26,800 Speaker 4: gets you there in terms of your underlying investments that 94 00:04:26,839 --> 00:04:29,039 Speaker 4: you now need to make company sure. 95 00:04:29,279 --> 00:04:31,440 Speaker 3: In twenty twenty three, we were able to grow our 96 00:04:31,480 --> 00:04:34,479 Speaker 3: revenue thirty five percent. We just hit our long term 97 00:04:34,480 --> 00:04:37,080 Speaker 3: EBIDAD margin of thirty percent, which is what's required to 98 00:04:37,080 --> 00:04:39,800 Speaker 3: get to the return on equity of thirty percent. Now 99 00:04:39,800 --> 00:04:42,200 Speaker 3: we just have to scale the EBADAD dollars against our 100 00:04:42,200 --> 00:04:45,240 Speaker 3: book value. We grew tangible book value by more than 101 00:04:45,279 --> 00:04:48,120 Speaker 3: three hundred and forty million dollars this year, and we're 102 00:04:48,120 --> 00:04:50,120 Speaker 3: looking to grow it even faster next year at three 103 00:04:50,200 --> 00:04:52,320 Speaker 3: hundred million to five hundred million, and so. 104 00:04:52,360 --> 00:04:53,960 Speaker 2: The profitability of the business is there. 105 00:04:54,000 --> 00:04:56,880 Speaker 3: Now, it's about just scaling the revenue, which will scale 106 00:04:56,880 --> 00:04:59,640 Speaker 3: the returns on equity to that thirty percent level that 107 00:04:59,680 --> 00:05:02,880 Speaker 3: you mention. We've been in these businesses now for four 108 00:05:02,920 --> 00:05:05,560 Speaker 3: to six years, and we have pretty good leading indicators 109 00:05:05,800 --> 00:05:07,640 Speaker 3: of what it takes to drive their growth, and that's 110 00:05:07,680 --> 00:05:09,799 Speaker 3: what's giving us the confidence in our forward outlook. 111 00:05:11,200 --> 00:05:14,720 Speaker 1: Anthony, our colleague Paige Smith on the Fintech team is 112 00:05:14,760 --> 00:05:17,960 Speaker 1: talking about your technology business. Our colleagues are Bloomberg Intelligence 113 00:05:18,200 --> 00:05:20,800 Speaker 1: are talking about your technology business. This is the Bloomberg 114 00:05:20,839 --> 00:05:24,240 Speaker 1: Technology Show. What are we talking about when we say 115 00:05:24,240 --> 00:05:26,440 Speaker 1: that so Far is a tech company? What is the 116 00:05:26,480 --> 00:05:27,599 Speaker 1: strength that you have there? 117 00:05:28,640 --> 00:05:30,880 Speaker 2: Sure, obviously we have to build our own technology. 118 00:05:30,960 --> 00:05:34,599 Speaker 3: We're a financial services company with no physical locations and 119 00:05:34,680 --> 00:05:36,800 Speaker 3: so the only way our products are delivered is through 120 00:05:36,800 --> 00:05:41,000 Speaker 3: the mobile app or desktop services. So by definition we 121 00:05:41,080 --> 00:05:44,120 Speaker 3: have to have technology to do that. In addition, we 122 00:05:44,200 --> 00:05:47,800 Speaker 3: have to have processing capabilities and operating systems we use 123 00:05:47,880 --> 00:05:50,599 Speaker 3: for processing. A company that we bought, Galileo, back in 124 00:05:50,600 --> 00:05:51,600 Speaker 3: twenty twenty. 125 00:05:51,960 --> 00:05:54,440 Speaker 2: Galileo is powering about one hundred and forty million. 126 00:05:54,200 --> 00:05:56,960 Speaker 3: Accounts in the United States to do payment processing and 127 00:05:57,040 --> 00:06:01,560 Speaker 3: debit in ahrals. But also it's developed a whole suite 128 00:06:02,040 --> 00:06:05,280 Speaker 3: of APIs that allows a developer to tap into those 129 00:06:05,320 --> 00:06:08,880 Speaker 3: APIs and build account opening or a direct deposit or 130 00:06:08,920 --> 00:06:12,640 Speaker 3: two day early paycheck or payment risk platform. In addition 131 00:06:12,680 --> 00:06:15,479 Speaker 3: to that, we have a technology platform that's a core 132 00:06:15,520 --> 00:06:20,040 Speaker 3: banking technology called Technicist. It's really the operating system for products. 133 00:06:20,080 --> 00:06:22,960 Speaker 3: It's a multi product platform. We use it for so 134 00:06:23,080 --> 00:06:25,840 Speaker 3: far by now pay later. Those are the two main 135 00:06:25,880 --> 00:06:28,679 Speaker 3: products that we sell to third parties, and as I mentioned, 136 00:06:28,960 --> 00:06:30,960 Speaker 3: servicing about one hundred and forty million accounts in the 137 00:06:31,040 --> 00:06:32,279 Speaker 3: United States and lat Am. 138 00:06:32,160 --> 00:06:35,240 Speaker 1: Today, Anthony, I think we've got to talk about the 139 00:06:35,520 --> 00:06:38,279 Speaker 1: share reaction. Right your gains are holding at around twenty 140 00:06:38,279 --> 00:06:42,440 Speaker 1: three percent. You know, I talked about that psychological, psychological 141 00:06:42,920 --> 00:06:47,000 Speaker 1: milestone of net income profit. But so you finally feel 142 00:06:47,000 --> 00:06:49,040 Speaker 1: like you're getting some credit because you've been talking about 143 00:06:49,040 --> 00:06:51,280 Speaker 1: this plan for a little while, I have a sense 144 00:06:51,279 --> 00:06:53,560 Speaker 1: of deja vus. We're talking about the same things now 145 00:06:53,600 --> 00:06:56,000 Speaker 1: as the two previous times you've been on the show. 146 00:06:57,480 --> 00:07:00,359 Speaker 3: Sure, I think that the inflection point in this quarter 147 00:07:00,480 --> 00:07:03,240 Speaker 3: is one hitting our long term margins of you adout 148 00:07:03,279 --> 00:07:05,800 Speaker 3: thirty percent, so that gives people a longer term view 149 00:07:05,839 --> 00:07:06,080 Speaker 3: on what. 150 00:07:06,080 --> 00:07:07,159 Speaker 2: Our profitability could be. 151 00:07:07,960 --> 00:07:10,920 Speaker 3: Second is forty percent of our revenue came from the 152 00:07:11,000 --> 00:07:14,640 Speaker 3: technology platform business as well as the financial services business, 153 00:07:15,120 --> 00:07:18,080 Speaker 3: which means sixty percent came from lending. And so as 154 00:07:18,120 --> 00:07:20,360 Speaker 3: we go into twenty twenty four, we're calling for that 155 00:07:20,440 --> 00:07:22,720 Speaker 3: split to be fifty to fifty. As I mentioned, that's 156 00:07:22,720 --> 00:07:24,680 Speaker 3: also an inflection point. People have been waiting for that 157 00:07:24,760 --> 00:07:26,760 Speaker 3: for a while. And so while there's a lot of 158 00:07:27,320 --> 00:07:30,840 Speaker 3: talk and debate about the loans and fair market value 159 00:07:30,880 --> 00:07:34,760 Speaker 3: accounting versus cost accounting, the reality is that our business 160 00:07:34,840 --> 00:07:37,360 Speaker 3: is much more than that, and we're starting to get 161 00:07:37,400 --> 00:07:40,600 Speaker 3: the perspective from investors about that broader diversification. 162 00:07:41,080 --> 00:07:42,280 Speaker 2: And it's not by accident. 163 00:07:42,400 --> 00:07:44,840 Speaker 3: We embarked on a strategy to be a one stop 164 00:07:44,840 --> 00:07:47,840 Speaker 3: shop six years ago for all your financial services needs. 165 00:07:48,120 --> 00:07:50,640 Speaker 3: Our mission is to help people achieve financial independence, which 166 00:07:50,680 --> 00:07:52,160 Speaker 3: means we have to help them get their money right, 167 00:07:52,200 --> 00:07:53,840 Speaker 3: and we can't just do that in one product. We 168 00:07:53,880 --> 00:07:58,000 Speaker 3: have to across borrowing, saving, spending, investing, and protecting. And 169 00:07:58,040 --> 00:08:00,960 Speaker 3: what you're seeing in our results is that playing out 170 00:08:01,000 --> 00:08:04,400 Speaker 3: in diversified revenue and high profitability six years later. 171 00:08:04,960 --> 00:08:09,800 Speaker 4: Interestingly not in crypto anymore, but interestingly what I'm taken 172 00:08:09,840 --> 00:08:11,400 Speaker 4: with on a day like today where we see the 173 00:08:11,400 --> 00:08:15,000 Speaker 4: Amazon I robot merger, have do you put on ice 174 00:08:15,360 --> 00:08:18,560 Speaker 4: with your background as someone who helped lead the overall 175 00:08:18,600 --> 00:08:20,800 Speaker 4: investment banking offering over at GOLM and Saxony kN to 176 00:08:20,880 --> 00:08:23,960 Speaker 4: TMT when you're thinking of your own acquisition strategy. Can 177 00:08:24,040 --> 00:08:25,720 Speaker 4: deals get done at the moment in the world of 178 00:08:25,720 --> 00:08:26,760 Speaker 4: Tear Company. 179 00:08:27,440 --> 00:08:29,480 Speaker 2: I think they can get done. We're not focused on 180 00:08:29,520 --> 00:08:30,520 Speaker 2: doing deals that so far. 181 00:08:30,560 --> 00:08:33,600 Speaker 3: We're focused on our strategy and executing organic growth. We 182 00:08:33,640 --> 00:08:36,360 Speaker 3: feel like we've reached the point now where it's ours 183 00:08:36,440 --> 00:08:38,920 Speaker 3: for the taking, and the opportunity for us to be 184 00:08:38,960 --> 00:08:42,000 Speaker 3: the winner. That takes most is completely up to our execution. 185 00:08:42,640 --> 00:08:45,439 Speaker 3: But more broadly, I do believe there's still m and 186 00:08:45,480 --> 00:08:48,960 Speaker 3: A that will happen across both technology and financial services. 187 00:08:49,200 --> 00:08:51,240 Speaker 3: I think financial service is probably a little bit more 188 00:08:51,320 --> 00:08:54,480 Speaker 3: challenged because of the reglatory backdrop than technology is per se. 189 00:08:54,920 --> 00:08:57,280 Speaker 3: But deals are getting done. They're just harder to get done, 190 00:08:57,280 --> 00:09:00,400 Speaker 3: and they're going to courts. But in court people are winning. 191 00:09:00,720 --> 00:09:02,440 Speaker 3: I think what you've seen in some of the breakups 192 00:09:02,559 --> 00:09:06,680 Speaker 3: is really about business performance, not about regulation, and businesses 193 00:09:06,760 --> 00:09:10,600 Speaker 3: under performing relative to expectations and therefore our buyers being 194 00:09:10,600 --> 00:09:11,840 Speaker 3: able to get out of those deals. 195 00:09:12,040 --> 00:09:14,959 Speaker 4: Nothing like some bar's remorse, But for now, we really 196 00:09:15,000 --> 00:09:17,240 Speaker 4: appreciate the time that you spent talking us through your 197 00:09:17,280 --> 00:09:20,160 Speaker 4: own numbers and your focus. Anthony Notto so Fi CEO, 198 00:09:20,520 --> 00:09:21,120 Speaker 4: thank you