1 00:00:01,920 --> 00:00:04,320 Speaker 1: What's going on everybody? Scott Bagman here for Betting Pros 2 00:00:04,320 --> 00:00:06,880 Speaker 1: to give you my favorite picks and props for Week 3 00:00:06,960 --> 00:00:10,600 Speaker 1: seven of the college football season. Remember love me or 4 00:00:10,640 --> 00:00:13,880 Speaker 1: hate me, you can follow my picks at on the 5 00:00:13,880 --> 00:00:17,240 Speaker 1: Betting Pros app or at Bettingpros dot com slash Bogman 6 00:00:18,360 --> 00:00:20,759 Speaker 1: last week five and four on the picks, three and 7 00:00:20,840 --> 00:00:23,919 Speaker 1: three on the props, two four to two on the 8 00:00:24,000 --> 00:00:27,240 Speaker 1: touchdown calls. So a nice over five hundred week there. 9 00:00:27,280 --> 00:00:30,920 Speaker 1: We will absolutely take it. Let's go into it. Let's 10 00:00:30,920 --> 00:00:34,600 Speaker 1: start tonight Friday night, UNLV at Utah State. I'm going 11 00:00:34,680 --> 00:00:37,239 Speaker 1: to take the over sixty six and a half in 12 00:00:37,320 --> 00:00:40,240 Speaker 1: this game, and this one has crawled up from sixty 13 00:00:40,320 --> 00:00:44,000 Speaker 1: three where I actually took it. But I really like 14 00:00:44,080 --> 00:00:47,120 Speaker 1: the scoring in this game. I mean UNLV is going 15 00:00:47,120 --> 00:00:48,920 Speaker 1: to put up a lot of points on Utah State. 16 00:00:49,000 --> 00:00:51,080 Speaker 1: Utah State is bad defense, but Utah State has been 17 00:00:51,159 --> 00:00:54,520 Speaker 1: scoring ever since they've gone to new quarterback transfer quarterback 18 00:00:54,560 --> 00:00:59,000 Speaker 1: from Iowa, Spencer Petris. His line over the last two 19 00:00:59,080 --> 00:01:02,640 Speaker 1: starts for him fifty three for eighty six, five touchdowns, 20 00:01:02,720 --> 00:01:06,840 Speaker 1: one pick, with six hundred and sixty five yards. UNLV 21 00:01:06,880 --> 00:01:09,199 Speaker 1: has allowed three hundred yard passers and back to back games. 22 00:01:09,560 --> 00:01:12,280 Speaker 1: Utah State doesn't quit. They put up five hundred and 23 00:01:12,319 --> 00:01:15,720 Speaker 1: seven yards against Boise State last week and thirty points, 24 00:01:15,800 --> 00:01:18,039 Speaker 1: so there's not a lot of quit in this team. 25 00:01:18,040 --> 00:01:20,040 Speaker 1: Although they are bad, and when I say they're bat 26 00:01:20,080 --> 00:01:22,479 Speaker 1: on defense, they are bad. One hundred and thirty first 27 00:01:22,520 --> 00:01:25,039 Speaker 1: in scoring, one hundred and twenty third in rush yards allowed, 28 00:01:25,040 --> 00:01:27,559 Speaker 1: one hundred and twentieth in passing yards allowed. So Utah 29 00:01:27,640 --> 00:01:29,760 Speaker 1: State is bad. Un LV will put up a bunch 30 00:01:29,800 --> 00:01:32,880 Speaker 1: of points, but I think this one goes to the over. 31 00:01:33,000 --> 00:01:34,920 Speaker 1: And I'm going fast here because I have a lot 32 00:01:34,920 --> 00:01:37,600 Speaker 1: of picks for you guys. I have ten game picks 33 00:01:37,640 --> 00:01:42,039 Speaker 1: and eleven props here today, So let's go to Penn State. 34 00:01:42,080 --> 00:01:44,559 Speaker 1: I'm gonna lay the points on the road at USC. 35 00:01:44,720 --> 00:01:47,080 Speaker 1: And I know there's been a lot of talk about 36 00:01:47,480 --> 00:01:51,440 Speaker 1: time zone travel and all of this stuff. I you know, 37 00:01:52,000 --> 00:01:56,080 Speaker 1: trends like that. I understand them. But I think Penn 38 00:01:56,160 --> 00:01:58,600 Speaker 1: State is just a much better team here, and USC 39 00:01:58,800 --> 00:02:01,320 Speaker 1: is better defensively than we thought they were going to be. 40 00:02:01,800 --> 00:02:05,240 Speaker 1: But I wouldn't say they're good right eighty seventh in 41 00:02:05,920 --> 00:02:09,520 Speaker 1: rush yards allowed, their thirteenth in pass yards allowed, but 42 00:02:09,560 --> 00:02:13,160 Speaker 1: they faced Michigan, Wisconsin and a couple other bad teams 43 00:02:13,160 --> 00:02:16,160 Speaker 1: in here. USC doesn't get enough pressure on the quarterback either, 44 00:02:16,520 --> 00:02:19,959 Speaker 1: only five sacks this season. Penn State's gonna get their 45 00:02:20,000 --> 00:02:23,320 Speaker 1: best running back, Nicholas Singleton back as well, and I 46 00:02:23,360 --> 00:02:25,640 Speaker 1: really think there's a big mismatch between the Penn State 47 00:02:25,680 --> 00:02:31,320 Speaker 1: defensive line and the USC offensive line. Penn State thirteen 48 00:02:31,440 --> 00:02:34,800 Speaker 1: sacks in five games. USC passes a lot of the times. 49 00:02:34,840 --> 00:02:38,160 Speaker 1: We saw Penn State get to Luke Altmeyer seven times, 50 00:02:38,200 --> 00:02:40,880 Speaker 1: so USC passing at a sixty three point two percent 51 00:02:40,919 --> 00:02:44,160 Speaker 1: clip just doesn't feel good for their offensive line. So 52 00:02:44,160 --> 00:02:46,240 Speaker 1: I'm gonna take Penn State and lay the points in 53 00:02:46,280 --> 00:02:49,000 Speaker 1: that one. I'm going to stay in the state of 54 00:02:49,000 --> 00:02:51,480 Speaker 1: Pennsylvania here. I guess that one was in California, but 55 00:02:51,560 --> 00:02:54,240 Speaker 1: Cal is going the other side two Pit, But I'm 56 00:02:54,240 --> 00:02:57,239 Speaker 1: gonna lay the points for the the Pitt Panthers here. 57 00:02:57,280 --> 00:03:01,120 Speaker 1: It's three. I'm going to take them here. And I 58 00:03:01,120 --> 00:03:04,080 Speaker 1: don't hate the over in this game either, but I 59 00:03:04,120 --> 00:03:07,160 Speaker 1: just think Pitt has too much offense in this game. 60 00:03:07,800 --> 00:03:10,720 Speaker 1: Pitt thirteenth in the nation with ninety five plays over 61 00:03:10,760 --> 00:03:13,160 Speaker 1: ten yards. CAL is ninety fifth in the nation with 62 00:03:13,200 --> 00:03:16,600 Speaker 1: seventy three ten plus yards plays allowed. I just think 63 00:03:16,680 --> 00:03:19,560 Speaker 1: that's not a good mix here. So I think Cal 64 00:03:19,880 --> 00:03:23,520 Speaker 1: can stay in this game. Pitt's defense is bad, so 65 00:03:23,600 --> 00:03:25,760 Speaker 1: I think Cal absolutely can stay in this game. But 66 00:03:25,800 --> 00:03:27,920 Speaker 1: I'm gonna take Pitt and lay the points at home. 67 00:03:27,960 --> 00:03:30,800 Speaker 1: Big travel for Cal as well. Not a weird start time. 68 00:03:30,840 --> 00:03:34,880 Speaker 1: But Cal is coming off that letdown. They should have 69 00:03:34,880 --> 00:03:38,040 Speaker 1: won that game against Miami. Emotional letdown on the road. 70 00:03:38,080 --> 00:03:41,200 Speaker 1: It's just a tough spot to be my Longhorns are 71 00:03:41,200 --> 00:03:43,880 Speaker 1: playing Oklahoma this week in the Red River rivalry game. Here, 72 00:03:44,320 --> 00:03:48,200 Speaker 1: I don't ever bet on my own team because it's 73 00:03:48,320 --> 00:03:50,400 Speaker 1: just the worst luck for me and it's like losing twice. 74 00:03:50,440 --> 00:03:52,800 Speaker 1: So I'm not gonna do that here. What I am 75 00:03:52,800 --> 00:03:54,520 Speaker 1: gonna do is take the under twenty five and a 76 00:03:54,560 --> 00:03:57,320 Speaker 1: half in the first half. That is gonna be my 77 00:03:57,440 --> 00:03:59,680 Speaker 1: bet in this game. It's minus one twelve, and the 78 00:03:59,720 --> 00:04:04,160 Speaker 1: reason being Oklahoma has done a good job of bottling 79 00:04:04,240 --> 00:04:06,320 Speaker 1: up Texas in the first half of this game and 80 00:04:06,680 --> 00:04:09,240 Speaker 1: quinn Ewers is coming off missing a couple weeks with 81 00:04:09,360 --> 00:04:12,680 Speaker 1: injury and a bye week. I think both offenses start slow, 82 00:04:13,080 --> 00:04:15,320 Speaker 1: I said on the show, and Winnsday Show with Seth 83 00:04:15,360 --> 00:04:19,880 Speaker 1: and Trel. I think that I think Texas has never 84 00:04:19,920 --> 00:04:23,239 Speaker 1: been put in a better spot to beat Oklahoma, doesn't matter. 85 00:04:23,400 --> 00:04:25,479 Speaker 1: They were in a really good spot last year to 86 00:04:25,480 --> 00:04:29,039 Speaker 1: beat Oklahoma and they lost straight up. So I'm not 87 00:04:29,080 --> 00:04:31,839 Speaker 1: gonna mess with this game. All the cliches you want, 88 00:04:31,880 --> 00:04:34,640 Speaker 1: throw the records out the window, blah blah, all of that. 89 00:04:35,120 --> 00:04:37,240 Speaker 1: But I will take the first half under twenty five 90 00:04:37,279 --> 00:04:39,599 Speaker 1: and a half in that game because I think we 91 00:04:39,640 --> 00:04:41,960 Speaker 1: get a little bit of rust from Texas offense and 92 00:04:42,080 --> 00:04:45,080 Speaker 1: Oklahoma just does not have offense at all this year. 93 00:04:45,160 --> 00:04:47,760 Speaker 1: So we will see. But I'm gonna take the under 94 00:04:47,760 --> 00:04:52,040 Speaker 1: twenty five and a half there this one sec matchup. 95 00:04:53,520 --> 00:04:55,560 Speaker 1: This is a little dicey, but I'm gonna take Misissippi 96 00:04:55,560 --> 00:04:58,680 Speaker 1: State because it's plus thirty three and a half. Do 97 00:04:58,720 --> 00:05:01,120 Speaker 1: I think Georgia can win by that much? Of course, 98 00:05:01,560 --> 00:05:04,919 Speaker 1: Georgia is the much better team in this game. There's 99 00:05:04,960 --> 00:05:08,240 Speaker 1: no doubt that they can. But I watched I'm a 100 00:05:08,279 --> 00:05:11,680 Speaker 1: Texas fan. I watched what Mississippi State did versus Texas. Right, 101 00:05:11,720 --> 00:05:14,440 Speaker 1: they lost Blake Shapin, they went with the new QB 102 00:05:14,600 --> 00:05:19,120 Speaker 1: and they slowed everything down with Michael Van Buren. Jeff 103 00:05:19,200 --> 00:05:21,320 Speaker 1: Lebby said that this is going to be a week 104 00:05:21,360 --> 00:05:24,359 Speaker 1: to week strategy in slowing down the pace, trying to 105 00:05:24,360 --> 00:05:26,559 Speaker 1: control the clock, and it had them in the game 106 00:05:26,800 --> 00:05:30,279 Speaker 1: in the first half against Texas, so you know, Texas 107 00:05:30,320 --> 00:05:33,159 Speaker 1: was down the starting quarterback, they were rusty. All of that. 108 00:05:34,040 --> 00:05:37,680 Speaker 1: I think in this game, I think Mississippi State's gonna 109 00:05:37,680 --> 00:05:40,640 Speaker 1: slow it down. They've had two weeks to prepare. It's 110 00:05:40,680 --> 00:05:42,800 Speaker 1: just a lot of points. Mississippi State did allow five 111 00:05:42,920 --> 00:05:45,360 Speaker 1: hundred and twenty two points, their sack six times. They 112 00:05:45,400 --> 00:05:50,760 Speaker 1: lost to fumble in their last game, and they still 113 00:05:50,920 --> 00:05:54,920 Speaker 1: covered in that game against Texas, So I think they're 114 00:05:54,960 --> 00:05:57,159 Speaker 1: gonna be okay here, got an extra week to prep 115 00:05:58,279 --> 00:05:59,840 Speaker 1: They're not gonna be good. This is not gonna be 116 00:05:59,880 --> 00:06:03,719 Speaker 1: a Van de situation against the top team at all. Uh. 117 00:06:03,760 --> 00:06:06,880 Speaker 1: They're probably gonna lose by three touchdowns at minimum, But 118 00:06:07,200 --> 00:06:08,880 Speaker 1: I think they can stay within thirty three and a 119 00:06:08,920 --> 00:06:13,080 Speaker 1: half because they slow this game down. Florida at Tennessee. Here, 120 00:06:13,960 --> 00:06:15,839 Speaker 1: I'm gonna lay the points and take Tennessee. And I 121 00:06:15,880 --> 00:06:19,720 Speaker 1: know traditionally this is another game where it's a rivalry game. 122 00:06:19,720 --> 00:06:22,200 Speaker 1: You throw out the cliches, you throw the records out 123 00:06:22,279 --> 00:06:26,440 Speaker 1: the window and all of that stuff. I'm doing that. 124 00:06:26,760 --> 00:06:29,800 Speaker 1: I don't care about the previous records. What I care 125 00:06:29,880 --> 00:06:34,279 Speaker 1: about is the wins that Florida had were against teams 126 00:06:34,320 --> 00:06:39,080 Speaker 1: that have no pass rush, and you know they were 127 00:06:39,160 --> 00:06:42,520 Speaker 1: killed by A and M at home last couple weeks. 128 00:06:43,600 --> 00:06:48,840 Speaker 1: The top four pass block grade for Florida seems misleading 129 00:06:49,279 --> 00:06:51,880 Speaker 1: in my opinion, because they faced Miami, they were sacked 130 00:06:51,920 --> 00:06:54,480 Speaker 1: three times. They were sacked twice against Texas A and 131 00:06:54,640 --> 00:06:57,000 Speaker 1: M only, but they had twenty five thirty and twenty 132 00:06:57,040 --> 00:07:00,719 Speaker 1: two oh nine. They didn't take a sack Againstssissippi State, 133 00:07:00,720 --> 00:07:02,960 Speaker 1: who has the worst pass rush grade in the country, 134 00:07:03,279 --> 00:07:05,960 Speaker 1: didn't take a sack against UCF only has three sacks 135 00:07:05,960 --> 00:07:09,680 Speaker 1: this season. Tennessee has had issues offensively, while Florida ranks 136 00:07:09,760 --> 00:07:12,560 Speaker 1: higher in roster strength. In Arkansas, Arcie has been performing 137 00:07:12,600 --> 00:07:15,600 Speaker 1: at a top twenty five rate, and Florida has performed 138 00:07:15,680 --> 00:07:19,480 Speaker 1: at ninety ninth in the country on the defensive side. 139 00:07:19,760 --> 00:07:22,280 Speaker 1: So for me, I think Tennessee's gonna be able to 140 00:07:22,320 --> 00:07:25,160 Speaker 1: move the ball, maybe not cleanly, maybe not efficiently, But 141 00:07:25,240 --> 00:07:27,120 Speaker 1: I don't know that Florida and Graham Mertz aren't going 142 00:07:27,120 --> 00:07:30,040 Speaker 1: to be able to do anything because Tennessee has a 143 00:07:30,240 --> 00:07:35,440 Speaker 1: four real, scary, dangerous pass rush and they in their 144 00:07:35,520 --> 00:07:37,760 Speaker 1: last two games that they won, they didn't face a 145 00:07:37,800 --> 00:07:39,880 Speaker 1: good pass rush, and I don't think that they deserve 146 00:07:39,960 --> 00:07:41,640 Speaker 1: this pass pluck and grade that they have been given. 147 00:07:41,720 --> 00:07:44,080 Speaker 1: So for me, I'm gonna take Tennessee. I'm gonna lay 148 00:07:44,120 --> 00:07:47,720 Speaker 1: the fourteen and see if we can get a dub there. 149 00:07:48,360 --> 00:07:51,040 Speaker 1: One of my favorite games the week ole Miss at LSU. 150 00:07:51,760 --> 00:07:54,320 Speaker 1: I'm gonna lay the points for ole Miss three and 151 00:07:54,360 --> 00:07:56,280 Speaker 1: a half. They have not won a death Valley in 152 00:07:56,320 --> 00:07:59,440 Speaker 1: a long long time. I understand that it's been seven years. 153 00:07:59,720 --> 00:08:01,960 Speaker 1: My favorite bet is the sixty two and a half, 154 00:08:02,240 --> 00:08:07,040 Speaker 1: but in this game, I'll start with the under here. 155 00:08:07,360 --> 00:08:10,280 Speaker 1: Trey Harris is probably gonna miss this game. The standout 156 00:08:10,280 --> 00:08:12,960 Speaker 1: wide receivers leading the league the nation, excuse me, in 157 00:08:13,520 --> 00:08:16,760 Speaker 1: receiving yards. LSU secondary is tough, So I still think 158 00:08:16,800 --> 00:08:18,440 Speaker 1: ole Miss is going to be able to score. But 159 00:08:18,520 --> 00:08:21,360 Speaker 1: ole Miss defense is why I'm taking them in this 160 00:08:21,400 --> 00:08:23,720 Speaker 1: game and laying the points. They still haven't had a 161 00:08:23,760 --> 00:08:25,880 Speaker 1: bad game, even in that loss to Kentucky. They have 162 00:08:25,920 --> 00:08:29,600 Speaker 1: the number one overall grade on PFF. They lead the 163 00:08:29,600 --> 00:08:32,600 Speaker 1: country in sacks. LSU is only allowed two sacks this year, 164 00:08:32,640 --> 00:08:36,400 Speaker 1: but they faced one FCS team then USC who only 165 00:08:36,400 --> 00:08:39,240 Speaker 1: has five sacks on the year, UCLA US six in 166 00:08:39,280 --> 00:08:43,200 Speaker 1: South Alabama who has six. So you know, even with 167 00:08:43,400 --> 00:08:47,000 Speaker 1: Ole Miss not having one of their best pats rushers, 168 00:08:47,080 --> 00:08:50,200 Speaker 1: they still got to Lenora Sellers six times last week. 169 00:08:50,320 --> 00:08:55,080 Speaker 1: So I know, the environment, Night, Death Valley, all that stuff, 170 00:08:55,320 --> 00:08:57,760 Speaker 1: it makes sense for LSU A lot of people. I'm 171 00:08:57,760 --> 00:09:01,600 Speaker 1: definitely against public opinion here. People are taking LSU. A 172 00:09:01,600 --> 00:09:03,960 Speaker 1: lot of smart money coming in on LSU. I get it. 173 00:09:04,720 --> 00:09:06,760 Speaker 1: I just don't think they match up with all Miss 174 00:09:06,840 --> 00:09:10,120 Speaker 1: this year, and I think Jackson Dart has enough experience. 175 00:09:10,400 --> 00:09:14,080 Speaker 1: I think that LSU secondary is bad enough that even 176 00:09:14,120 --> 00:09:15,920 Speaker 1: without Trey Harris, All Miss is gonna be able to 177 00:09:15,920 --> 00:09:18,400 Speaker 1: put up some points. So I'm going to take the 178 00:09:18,440 --> 00:09:21,160 Speaker 1: revs and take the under in that game and play 179 00:09:21,240 --> 00:09:24,680 Speaker 1: both sides here. Let's go to West Virginia, Iowa State 180 00:09:24,720 --> 00:09:27,040 Speaker 1: at West Virginia. The total here is fifty two and 181 00:09:27,080 --> 00:09:29,559 Speaker 1: a half. I'm going to go with the over on 182 00:09:29,600 --> 00:09:34,240 Speaker 1: this one. And this is because you know, I just 183 00:09:34,280 --> 00:09:36,440 Speaker 1: think West Virginia is going to be able to score, 184 00:09:36,760 --> 00:09:39,720 Speaker 1: and I think they can't stop anybody. That is basically 185 00:09:39,760 --> 00:09:42,120 Speaker 1: what it's going to roll down here too. Two losses 186 00:09:42,160 --> 00:09:46,240 Speaker 1: of WVU has had their beaten defensively by good offenses 187 00:09:46,280 --> 00:09:48,920 Speaker 1: Penn State and Pitt. Iowa State is good passing the ball, 188 00:09:48,920 --> 00:09:51,160 Speaker 1: but I wouldn't put them on that level with Penn 189 00:09:51,160 --> 00:09:53,920 Speaker 1: State or Pitt. But Iowa State can run the ball, 190 00:09:54,840 --> 00:09:56,640 Speaker 1: but beck To is going to be able to pass here. 191 00:09:56,800 --> 00:10:00,880 Speaker 1: WVU has only allowed only has eleven saxsified games eightieth 192 00:10:00,880 --> 00:10:03,720 Speaker 1: and pass rush grade. They're terrible in coverage ninety ninth 193 00:10:03,760 --> 00:10:06,000 Speaker 1: and pass yards allowed and one hundred and twenty six 194 00:10:06,040 --> 00:10:07,839 Speaker 1: in coverage grade. So Iowa State's gonna be able to 195 00:10:07,880 --> 00:10:10,320 Speaker 1: run or pass whatever they want to do. And WVU 196 00:10:10,400 --> 00:10:14,199 Speaker 1: has just been so good on offense tenth national offensive 197 00:10:14,200 --> 00:10:17,240 Speaker 1: grade fourteenth and rushing yards per game thirty three points 198 00:10:17,240 --> 00:10:20,080 Speaker 1: per game. Iowa State is sixty seventh in rush yards 199 00:10:20,080 --> 00:10:23,000 Speaker 1: allowed in grade ninety first against the run. This season, 200 00:10:23,400 --> 00:10:27,199 Speaker 1: WVU has a lot but still his top twenty five 201 00:10:27,640 --> 00:10:30,439 Speaker 1: runs the ball. Excuse me, but it's still top twenty 202 00:10:30,440 --> 00:10:33,680 Speaker 1: five in pace of play here as well. So weird 203 00:10:33,760 --> 00:10:36,240 Speaker 1: environment again for Iowa State to go on the road 204 00:10:36,320 --> 00:10:39,120 Speaker 1: as the number eleven team to West Virginia got to 205 00:10:39,160 --> 00:10:41,640 Speaker 1: land in Pittsburgh. You gotta travel by bus. The crowd 206 00:10:41,720 --> 00:10:43,920 Speaker 1: is rocus and rowdy. It's gonna be a lot of 207 00:10:43,920 --> 00:10:45,880 Speaker 1: fun this game. But I think we see it go 208 00:10:45,960 --> 00:10:48,200 Speaker 1: back and forth with a ton of scoring because I 209 00:10:48,200 --> 00:10:51,679 Speaker 1: think WVU can score on almost anybody. Probably not, you know, 210 00:10:51,800 --> 00:10:53,839 Speaker 1: like the national contenders like Penn State. I don't think 211 00:10:53,880 --> 00:10:57,040 Speaker 1: Iowa State's there. So for me, I like the over 212 00:10:57,240 --> 00:11:00,120 Speaker 1: in this game. Last game to talk about before we 213 00:11:00,160 --> 00:11:04,120 Speaker 1: get to some props. Let's go with Colorado for my 214 00:11:04,200 --> 00:11:06,679 Speaker 1: picks here. I will take the plus three and a 215 00:11:06,720 --> 00:11:10,000 Speaker 1: half Colorado's at home against Kansas State. But I also 216 00:11:10,040 --> 00:11:12,720 Speaker 1: have money on the money line, So if you want 217 00:11:12,720 --> 00:11:15,520 Speaker 1: to play this on the money line, straight up, I understand. 218 00:11:15,600 --> 00:11:18,920 Speaker 1: And the reason I'm doing this, I'm taking Colorado here 219 00:11:18,960 --> 00:11:22,760 Speaker 1: against k State number one. We've seen Caset be hideous 220 00:11:22,880 --> 00:11:25,800 Speaker 1: on the road this year, almost lost to Tulane, got 221 00:11:26,160 --> 00:11:31,000 Speaker 1: murdered by BYU. Excuse me, So this is a road 222 00:11:31,080 --> 00:11:34,480 Speaker 1: game at elevation in Colorado, and really what it is 223 00:11:34,480 --> 00:11:36,600 Speaker 1: is case State has not been getting to the passer 224 00:11:37,120 --> 00:11:39,360 Speaker 1: one hundred and twenty seventh in pass rush grade. Case 225 00:11:39,400 --> 00:11:41,800 Speaker 1: State does have twelve sacks, which is a lot, but 226 00:11:42,840 --> 00:11:46,200 Speaker 1: nine were between FCS Tennessee Martin they had four, and 227 00:11:46,240 --> 00:11:50,800 Speaker 1: they had five against Tulane against P four teams, one 228 00:11:50,840 --> 00:11:55,840 Speaker 1: against Arizona, two against BYU, zero against Okay State. I 229 00:11:55,920 --> 00:11:58,520 Speaker 1: don't think they're going to be able to pressure Shador Sanders. 230 00:11:58,520 --> 00:12:02,640 Speaker 1: And that's exactly how Colorado won last week against UCF. 231 00:12:02,880 --> 00:12:08,199 Speaker 1: UCF only has three sacks on the year, and Shadeor 232 00:12:08,360 --> 00:12:10,440 Speaker 1: just sat back and pick them apart and put up 233 00:12:10,480 --> 00:12:12,200 Speaker 1: forty eight points. I think he's going to be able 234 00:12:12,200 --> 00:12:15,480 Speaker 1: to do that against Kansas State at home. In case 235 00:12:15,480 --> 00:12:18,200 Speaker 1: State plays back on the road. You know, Avery Johnson 236 00:12:18,240 --> 00:12:21,040 Speaker 1: can definitely put up some points here, but I don't 237 00:12:21,040 --> 00:12:23,000 Speaker 1: think it's going to be enough. I think Colorado wins 238 00:12:23,000 --> 00:12:26,400 Speaker 1: that game going away. All Right. Before we get to 239 00:12:26,800 --> 00:12:30,160 Speaker 1: the props here, I want to tell you guys about 240 00:12:30,240 --> 00:12:32,880 Speaker 1: the Discord. Look, if you're looking to up your game 241 00:12:32,880 --> 00:12:35,920 Speaker 1: in sports betting, join our exclusive sports betting Discord community 242 00:12:36,040 --> 00:12:38,480 Speaker 1: at bettingpros dot com slash Chat. Not only can you 243 00:12:38,480 --> 00:12:41,560 Speaker 1: connect with expert handicappers who provide free picks for NBA, 244 00:12:41,679 --> 00:12:45,000 Speaker 1: NFL MLB College Sports Player Props, live betting, and more. 245 00:12:45,240 --> 00:12:48,120 Speaker 1: But now you can also participate in our weekly community picks. 246 00:12:48,200 --> 00:12:51,720 Speaker 1: Cast your vote, see how your picks stack up against 247 00:12:51,720 --> 00:12:55,360 Speaker 1: the experts, and track your success over at the Betting 248 00:12:55,400 --> 00:13:00,280 Speaker 1: Pros Discord. All right, let's go to the Props've got 249 00:13:00,280 --> 00:13:03,960 Speaker 1: two touchdown calls for you, guys. We're gonna go Antonio Williams, 250 00:13:03,960 --> 00:13:06,680 Speaker 1: the Clemson wide receiver at Wake Forest. This is minus 251 00:13:06,679 --> 00:13:09,040 Speaker 1: one fifteen wake for it's one hundred and twenty seventh 252 00:13:09,040 --> 00:13:11,600 Speaker 1: then passing yards allowed tied for one hundred and first 253 00:13:12,080 --> 00:13:16,120 Speaker 1: with passing touchdowns allowed, and Antonio Williams already has four 254 00:13:16,160 --> 00:13:19,760 Speaker 1: touchdowns this season. Clemson a big favorite here. I think 255 00:13:19,760 --> 00:13:21,800 Speaker 1: they go in to Wake Forest and route them, and 256 00:13:21,840 --> 00:13:24,200 Speaker 1: I think Antonio Williams comes away with a score. And 257 00:13:24,240 --> 00:13:26,640 Speaker 1: we're gonna stick in the over of that West Virginia 258 00:13:26,640 --> 00:13:29,280 Speaker 1: and Iowa State game. And we're gonna take Jalen Jackson, 259 00:13:29,320 --> 00:13:31,679 Speaker 1: the running back to score touchdown here too. This is 260 00:13:31,720 --> 00:13:35,240 Speaker 1: plus one fifteen. He had his breakout game last week. 261 00:13:35,280 --> 00:13:36,920 Speaker 1: He had over one hundred yards. He also ran for 262 00:13:36,960 --> 00:13:39,520 Speaker 1: two touchdowns. I think they're comfortable giving him the ball 263 00:13:39,559 --> 00:13:41,079 Speaker 1: a little bit more they run kind of a three 264 00:13:41,120 --> 00:13:44,440 Speaker 1: headed monster at Iowa State in the backfield, but he 265 00:13:44,520 --> 00:13:47,720 Speaker 1: scored twice last week. He's moving into that leading back 266 00:13:47,800 --> 00:13:50,640 Speaker 1: role for Iowa State if there is one. Let's go 267 00:13:50,720 --> 00:13:54,840 Speaker 1: to some passing yards props here, Fernando Mendoza, the Cal 268 00:13:54,960 --> 00:13:59,080 Speaker 1: quarterback at Pitt. You know again, you know I think 269 00:13:59,120 --> 00:14:02,000 Speaker 1: Pitt wins that game. Doesn't mean I don't think Cal 270 00:14:02,120 --> 00:14:04,040 Speaker 1: is gonna put up some offense in this game. Kay. 271 00:14:04,160 --> 00:14:10,320 Speaker 1: Not Fernando Mendoza here, great combo the underdog. You know, 272 00:14:10,800 --> 00:14:13,559 Speaker 1: prize picks line is two fifty five and a half 273 00:14:13,600 --> 00:14:15,719 Speaker 1: on the passing yards. You can get this all the 274 00:14:15,720 --> 00:14:17,840 Speaker 1: way up to three twenty five at plus six hundred 275 00:14:17,880 --> 00:14:21,480 Speaker 1: on DK. But his best two weeks were his last 276 00:14:21,480 --> 00:14:25,080 Speaker 1: two weeks against FSU three hundred and three yards against 277 00:14:25,080 --> 00:14:28,320 Speaker 1: Miami two hundred and eighty five yards. Pitt ninety fifth 278 00:14:28,320 --> 00:14:31,360 Speaker 1: in pass yards allowed, sixty third coverage grade. Also, I 279 00:14:31,360 --> 00:14:33,000 Speaker 1: think Pitt is going to be winning this game, so 280 00:14:33,080 --> 00:14:35,600 Speaker 1: Cal may have to be playing catch up late in 281 00:14:35,640 --> 00:14:38,360 Speaker 1: this game as well. So give me the over on 282 00:14:38,680 --> 00:14:44,040 Speaker 1: Fernando Mendoza at two fifty five and a half. Let's 283 00:14:44,120 --> 00:14:48,560 Speaker 1: move to Max Brosmer Minnesota quarterback at UCLA. The underdog 284 00:14:48,600 --> 00:14:51,200 Speaker 1: price picks line is one ninety and a half here, 285 00:14:51,680 --> 00:14:53,240 Speaker 1: and you can bet this one all the way up 286 00:14:53,280 --> 00:14:55,360 Speaker 1: to two point fifty on DK at plus eight hundred 287 00:14:55,400 --> 00:14:59,960 Speaker 1: and two twenty five is three plus three fifty and two 288 00:15:00,000 --> 00:15:03,480 Speaker 1: two hundred is plus one seventy. He's hit this one 289 00:15:03,760 --> 00:15:08,240 Speaker 1: ninety I believe four of sixteen or I'm sorry, one 290 00:15:08,280 --> 00:15:11,080 Speaker 1: seventy eight plus is what you can get on DraftKings. 291 00:15:11,160 --> 00:15:13,240 Speaker 1: He's hit that in four of six games. Two hundred 292 00:15:13,320 --> 00:15:16,800 Speaker 1: is three of six games. UCLA miserable against the pass, 293 00:15:16,840 --> 00:15:18,760 Speaker 1: one hundred and twenty fifth in pass yards, one hundred 294 00:15:18,760 --> 00:15:21,680 Speaker 1: and third in coverage grade. Weird done the lights West 295 00:15:21,760 --> 00:15:25,400 Speaker 1: Coast game, but I, like I said, maybe that means 296 00:15:25,440 --> 00:15:27,640 Speaker 1: Minnesota is going to be playing from behind here. It 297 00:15:27,720 --> 00:15:30,520 Speaker 1: could mean that and maybe Max Prosper needs to throw. 298 00:15:30,680 --> 00:15:32,720 Speaker 1: We're gonna combine this with the receiving total a little 299 00:15:32,760 --> 00:15:35,840 Speaker 1: bit later here. Let's go to the rushing yard props. 300 00:15:35,840 --> 00:15:39,480 Speaker 1: I got three of those for you all. First one Hodgmen, 301 00:15:39,560 --> 00:15:42,360 Speaker 1: Lake Williams. We hit. We didn't get this last week. 302 00:15:43,080 --> 00:15:44,640 Speaker 1: The numbers eighty one and a half. But I talked 303 00:15:44,680 --> 00:15:46,960 Speaker 1: about Utah State, and I'm gonna be hard headed and 304 00:15:47,000 --> 00:15:49,280 Speaker 1: I'm gonna go right back to this total. It's two starts, 305 00:15:49,600 --> 00:15:51,920 Speaker 1: twenty four carries, one hundred and sev one hundred and 306 00:15:51,920 --> 00:15:56,160 Speaker 1: seventy two yards, and two touchdowns. And he also stepped 307 00:15:56,200 --> 00:15:58,560 Speaker 1: in in the Utah Tech game in that blowout and 308 00:15:58,600 --> 00:16:01,080 Speaker 1: had ten rushes for eighty eight yard. I just think 309 00:16:01,200 --> 00:16:06,280 Speaker 1: Utah State is really bad, really really really bad on defense, 310 00:16:06,320 --> 00:16:09,440 Speaker 1: probably the worst defense in the country. Hodgeminlink Williams is 311 00:16:09,440 --> 00:16:12,640 Speaker 1: your number one weapon on this team, so I think 312 00:16:12,680 --> 00:16:14,680 Speaker 1: he's just gonna see a decent amount of carriers. I 313 00:16:14,680 --> 00:16:17,040 Speaker 1: think he can go over one hundred, which is at 314 00:16:17,080 --> 00:16:19,840 Speaker 1: plus one ninety five on DK. If you wanted to 315 00:16:19,960 --> 00:16:21,560 Speaker 1: bet this all the way up to one twenty, it 316 00:16:21,600 --> 00:16:24,320 Speaker 1: goes to four to twenty five. His underdog prize pick 317 00:16:24,440 --> 00:16:25,880 Speaker 1: numbers eighty one and a half, so that's going to 318 00:16:25,920 --> 00:16:27,960 Speaker 1: be the number we take. That is minus one fifteen. 319 00:16:28,200 --> 00:16:30,000 Speaker 1: If you want to bump that up to ninety, you're 320 00:16:30,040 --> 00:16:32,360 Speaker 1: getting plus at one thirty. So I think those are 321 00:16:32,400 --> 00:16:35,400 Speaker 1: all decent numbers. I think he goes over one hundred yards, 322 00:16:35,480 --> 00:16:38,600 Speaker 1: so we will see how that ends up. Let's go 323 00:16:38,680 --> 00:16:42,200 Speaker 1: to Cayden Figan, the Illinois running back against Purdue. Seventy 324 00:16:42,200 --> 00:16:44,800 Speaker 1: five and a half is the underdog prize picks number. 325 00:16:45,440 --> 00:16:47,760 Speaker 1: You can get a seventy six plus at minus one 326 00:16:47,920 --> 00:16:50,080 Speaker 1: fifteen all the way up to one twenty plus at 327 00:16:50,080 --> 00:16:53,760 Speaker 1: plus five hundred perdue one hundred and thirty first out 328 00:16:53,800 --> 00:16:55,680 Speaker 1: of one hundred and thirty four teams this season. Rushing 329 00:16:55,720 --> 00:16:58,080 Speaker 1: yards allowed the greade one hundred and seventeenth against the 330 00:16:58,120 --> 00:17:00,240 Speaker 1: run as well. Illinois is twenty one one and a 331 00:17:00,280 --> 00:17:02,200 Speaker 1: half favorites, so they should be running the ball a 332 00:17:02,240 --> 00:17:05,760 Speaker 1: ton in this game to burn the clock. So I 333 00:17:05,800 --> 00:17:08,720 Speaker 1: really like Cayden Figan to hit this rushing prop here 334 00:17:08,760 --> 00:17:12,120 Speaker 1: as well. Let's go John Mattier, the Washington State quarterback. 335 00:17:12,200 --> 00:17:15,320 Speaker 1: I'm taking two quarterback rushing props and one running back 336 00:17:15,520 --> 00:17:19,600 Speaker 1: rushing prop here, but the underdog number is sixty one 337 00:17:19,600 --> 00:17:22,520 Speaker 1: and a half Washington State on the road at Fresno 338 00:17:22,600 --> 00:17:25,320 Speaker 1: State this week. Sixty two plus is not getting you 339 00:17:25,480 --> 00:17:29,639 Speaker 1: very good juice. On DK it's minus one fifty, but 340 00:17:29,680 --> 00:17:31,160 Speaker 1: you can bet this all the way up to one 341 00:17:31,160 --> 00:17:34,520 Speaker 1: to ten and get plus six to fifty. Mattier rushing 342 00:17:34,640 --> 00:17:38,760 Speaker 1: attempts in his last four games everyone twenty one, sixteen 343 00:17:38,880 --> 00:17:43,480 Speaker 1: eighteen twenty for the season, seventy seven rush attempts, four 344 00:17:43,520 --> 00:17:46,520 Speaker 1: hundred and fifty three yards and five touchdowns. That's thirty 345 00:17:46,640 --> 00:17:51,000 Speaker 1: sixth in the country in rushing yards. Of any position 346 00:17:51,080 --> 00:17:56,160 Speaker 1: of quarterbacks, he's third. He's behind only Army quarterback Daily 347 00:17:56,280 --> 00:17:59,520 Speaker 1: and Navy quarterback Corvats, So outside of those triple option 348 00:17:59,720 --> 00:18:03,399 Speaker 1: teamsmes he is the number one rushing quarterback in the league. 349 00:18:03,480 --> 00:18:06,760 Speaker 1: In Fresno State, they let Hodgeman Leake Williams run for 350 00:18:06,760 --> 00:18:10,159 Speaker 1: one to nineteen. They let Devin Dampierre run for sixty seven. 351 00:18:10,560 --> 00:18:12,200 Speaker 1: This total is sixty one and a half. I think 352 00:18:12,200 --> 00:18:15,800 Speaker 1: he goes well over that one. John Mattier's magic with 353 00:18:15,880 --> 00:18:20,280 Speaker 1: his legs for sure this season. All right, receiving props 354 00:18:20,320 --> 00:18:22,960 Speaker 1: To end out the show here today, let's go with 355 00:18:23,160 --> 00:18:26,119 Speaker 1: Eric Singleton, the Georgia Tech wide receiver at North Carolina. 356 00:18:26,320 --> 00:18:28,920 Speaker 1: North Carolina has had a lot of defensive issues recently. 357 00:18:29,040 --> 00:18:31,760 Speaker 1: The total here is fifty seven and a half, which 358 00:18:31,760 --> 00:18:34,760 Speaker 1: is kind of strange because you seventy two plus is 359 00:18:34,800 --> 00:18:38,160 Speaker 1: what you can get on DK here, which is kind 360 00:18:38,160 --> 00:18:40,639 Speaker 1: of surprising. But UNC has been awful against the pass 361 00:18:41,080 --> 00:18:43,720 Speaker 1: last three games. Three hundred and eighty one yards versus 362 00:18:43,800 --> 00:18:45,679 Speaker 1: Pit two hundred nine versus Duke, but Duke does not 363 00:18:45,720 --> 00:18:47,800 Speaker 1: pass the ball a lot in three hundred and eighty 364 00:18:47,840 --> 00:18:52,320 Speaker 1: eight yards against jam U Singleton at least seven targets 365 00:18:52,400 --> 00:18:55,760 Speaker 1: since week one. His yard sol's forty three, eighty six, 366 00:18:55,800 --> 00:18:58,959 Speaker 1: one two eighty eight, forty two since that Ireland opener 367 00:18:59,000 --> 00:19:01,800 Speaker 1: against FSU in You know, if you wanted to go 368 00:19:01,800 --> 00:19:03,920 Speaker 1: to one hundred, you're getting plus two sixty here. I 369 00:19:03,960 --> 00:19:06,760 Speaker 1: don't know if that's the number. I like. Eighty yards 370 00:19:06,760 --> 00:19:09,639 Speaker 1: at plus one twenty is a pretty good number, but 371 00:19:09,720 --> 00:19:12,119 Speaker 1: like I said, the prize picks number, if you're just 372 00:19:12,160 --> 00:19:15,120 Speaker 1: looking there underdog numbers fifty seven and a half. Let's 373 00:19:15,160 --> 00:19:19,040 Speaker 1: go to Jacory Brooks, the wide receiver for Louisville at Virginia. 374 00:19:19,200 --> 00:19:22,160 Speaker 1: The total here on underdog prize picks is seventy seven 375 00:19:22,200 --> 00:19:25,240 Speaker 1: and a half, and eighty plus will pay you minus 376 00:19:25,240 --> 00:19:28,399 Speaker 1: one oh five on DK four of five games he 377 00:19:28,440 --> 00:19:31,919 Speaker 1: has hit that UVA is bat against the pass one 378 00:19:31,960 --> 00:19:34,640 Speaker 1: hundred and fifteenth pass yards allowed, fifteth in coverage. They 379 00:19:34,680 --> 00:19:38,960 Speaker 1: don't rush the passer particularly well either. Eighty first. Louisville 380 00:19:39,040 --> 00:19:40,960 Speaker 1: is a favorite here I think they win this game. 381 00:19:40,960 --> 00:19:43,040 Speaker 1: I think Chcoy Brooks is a big part of it. 382 00:19:43,680 --> 00:19:46,919 Speaker 1: Antoine Wells, the old Miss wide receiver at LSU. His 383 00:19:47,080 --> 00:19:50,280 Speaker 1: Prize Picks number is sixty four and a half. Sixty 384 00:19:50,320 --> 00:19:53,000 Speaker 1: seven plus will get you minus one fifteen all the 385 00:19:53,040 --> 00:19:54,320 Speaker 1: way up to if you want to go up to 386 00:19:54,359 --> 00:19:57,040 Speaker 1: one hundred, it's plus three. Twenty one to twenty plus 387 00:19:57,119 --> 00:20:00,919 Speaker 1: is six fifty here. Trey Harris, the leading receiver in 388 00:20:01,000 --> 00:20:05,040 Speaker 1: the country, might miss this game, and we saw Antoine 389 00:20:05,080 --> 00:20:07,560 Speaker 1: Wells get a huge uptick in targets last week after 390 00:20:07,600 --> 00:20:10,200 Speaker 1: Harris went out ten last week. Could see way more 391 00:20:10,240 --> 00:20:12,679 Speaker 1: in this game with Harris out, especially if this is 392 00:20:12,680 --> 00:20:15,160 Speaker 1: a back and forth game and it's not all Miss 393 00:20:15,240 --> 00:20:17,960 Speaker 1: winning like I think I think Antwine Wells. This is 394 00:20:17,960 --> 00:20:19,560 Speaker 1: one of my favorite ones of the week, sixty four 395 00:20:19,560 --> 00:20:21,720 Speaker 1: and a half, especially if Trey Harris is down. If 396 00:20:21,720 --> 00:20:23,119 Speaker 1: you want to wait and see if he's down, I 397 00:20:23,160 --> 00:20:27,199 Speaker 1: completely understand that, but I think he sails past this 398 00:20:27,320 --> 00:20:29,960 Speaker 1: number and the last one I'm gonna pair with Max Brosberg. 399 00:20:30,000 --> 00:20:33,440 Speaker 1: Daniel Jackson, the Minnesota wide receiver at UCLA. His number 400 00:20:33,520 --> 00:20:36,520 Speaker 1: is fifty two and a half. Fifty three plus will 401 00:20:36,520 --> 00:20:38,520 Speaker 1: pay you minus one twenty five. He's hit that in 402 00:20:38,560 --> 00:20:41,440 Speaker 1: four six games. I talked about how awful the UCLA 403 00:20:41,560 --> 00:20:44,240 Speaker 1: defense is. I don't think I need to pile on here. 404 00:20:44,760 --> 00:20:49,000 Speaker 1: They're just very, very bad. So I think Daniel Jackson again, 405 00:20:49,160 --> 00:20:51,520 Speaker 1: you know, maybe this is a weird travel game for 406 00:20:51,680 --> 00:20:55,840 Speaker 1: Minnesota going across time zones and all that stuff, and 407 00:20:55,880 --> 00:20:57,840 Speaker 1: they have to play from, but that leads us to 408 00:20:57,960 --> 00:21:00,680 Speaker 1: more passes. So I think either way, Dane Jackson can 409 00:21:00,720 --> 00:21:02,440 Speaker 1: sale over fifty two and a half. I don't think 410 00:21:02,480 --> 00:21:05,280 Speaker 1: that number is going to be an issue at all. 411 00:21:05,920 --> 00:21:08,359 Speaker 1: That is it for me. Like I said, I believe 412 00:21:08,560 --> 00:21:11,600 Speaker 1: ten straight picks and then eleven props as well, so 413 00:21:12,040 --> 00:21:14,719 Speaker 1: lots to pick from. I hope you guys enjoyed it 414 00:21:14,760 --> 00:21:16,479 Speaker 1: and good luck this week and I will see you 415 00:21:16,480 --> 00:21:18,960 Speaker 1: next week. Take it easy, everybody. Thanks for listening to 416 00:21:19,040 --> 00:21:21,719 Speaker 1: the Betting Pros podcast. If you love the show, the 417 00:21:21,760 --> 00:21:24,280 Speaker 1: best freeway to support us is by leaving a positive 418 00:21:24,320 --> 00:21:27,840 Speaker 1: review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. Follow us on x 419 00:21:27,880 --> 00:21:31,520 Speaker 1: and TikTok at Betting Pros and Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. 420 00:21:31,920 --> 00:21:34,840 Speaker 1: Also subscribe to our YouTube channel at YouTube dot com 421 00:21:34,880 --> 00:21:43,800 Speaker 1: slash Betting pros,