WEBVTT - Trump Vows 200% Tariff on EU Wine, Escalating Trade Tensions 

0:00:02.759 --> 0:00:10.560
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. You're listening to the

0:00:10.560 --> 0:00:14.560
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Intelligence Podcast. Catch us live weekdays at ten am

0:00:14.600 --> 0:00:17.840
<v Speaker 1>Eastern on Apple, Cocklay and Android Auto with the Bloomberg

0:00:17.880 --> 0:00:21.040
<v Speaker 1>Business App. Listen on demand wherever you get your podcasts,

0:00:21.320 --> 0:00:23.480
<v Speaker 1>or watch us live on YouTube.

0:00:24.000 --> 0:00:25.680
<v Speaker 2>The news of the day that sort of wow the

0:00:25.720 --> 0:00:28.200
<v Speaker 2>market here is Trump is now vowing a two hundred

0:00:28.240 --> 0:00:31.880
<v Speaker 2>percent tariff on EU wine, escalating trade tensions.

0:00:31.880 --> 0:00:32.720
<v Speaker 3>Full disclosure.

0:00:33.200 --> 0:00:35.760
<v Speaker 2>I really like champagne, so I just want to, like,

0:00:35.760 --> 0:00:37.920
<v Speaker 2>I have I have a horse in this race.

0:00:38.000 --> 0:00:40.839
<v Speaker 4>Is it a champagne versus prosecco bias or you can

0:00:40.880 --> 0:00:41.440
<v Speaker 4>go either way.

0:00:41.800 --> 0:00:43.080
<v Speaker 3>I totally go either way.

0:00:43.159 --> 0:00:43.440
<v Speaker 5>Okay.

0:00:43.520 --> 0:00:45.800
<v Speaker 2>I usually go prosecco first because it's a little cheaper.

0:00:45.960 --> 0:00:47.800
<v Speaker 3>Okay, but I do love my champagne.

0:00:47.800 --> 0:00:49.600
<v Speaker 2>It's really champagne rose that's really high in.

0:00:49.720 --> 0:00:54.120
<v Speaker 5>Does any of this surprise you, pame taste? Yes, exactly

0:00:54.360 --> 0:00:55.200
<v Speaker 5>by discount?

0:00:55.440 --> 0:00:56.960
<v Speaker 3>I would good question.

0:00:57.320 --> 0:00:59.360
<v Speaker 2>I used to when I drank more, That's for sure.

0:00:59.440 --> 0:00:59.760
<v Speaker 3>All right.

0:01:00.040 --> 0:01:03.480
<v Speaker 2>Joining us now as Albertina Ursoli, a European Transport and

0:01:03.640 --> 0:01:07.720
<v Speaker 2>Industrials reporter, walk us through the reaction on the ground

0:01:07.760 --> 0:01:09.240
<v Speaker 2>when all of this unfolded this morning.

0:01:12.400 --> 0:01:16.680
<v Speaker 6>Look, it's been an intense ten days. It's about champagne,

0:01:16.680 --> 0:01:23.080
<v Speaker 6>it's about wine, it's about retaliatory retaliation measure us EU.

0:01:23.240 --> 0:01:26.840
<v Speaker 6>I covered the automotive industry, I've covered the drinks, champagne,

0:01:26.959 --> 0:01:30.040
<v Speaker 6>wine industry, Cognac. You forgot Cognac while you were talking

0:01:30.160 --> 0:01:35.399
<v Speaker 6>earlier on You know, it's a vicious circle here. Tariffs

0:01:35.440 --> 0:01:38.479
<v Speaker 6>announced retaliatory measures. I mean, we're still waiting to get

0:01:38.480 --> 0:01:42.119
<v Speaker 6>a clear sense from France because France here is clearly targeted.

0:01:43.040 --> 0:01:47.680
<v Speaker 6>And as soon as the president US president posted on

0:01:47.760 --> 0:01:51.880
<v Speaker 6>social media about the two hundred percent tariff on EU

0:01:51.920 --> 0:01:55.200
<v Speaker 6>wines and champagne, you know, you immediately saw a knee

0:01:55.280 --> 0:01:58.840
<v Speaker 6>jerk reaction in the market. Elvemash the owner of brands

0:01:58.880 --> 0:02:02.840
<v Speaker 6>such as Vito and You're, but also the group also

0:02:02.920 --> 0:02:08.840
<v Speaker 6>has a wine and spirits business. The shares declined the

0:02:08.880 --> 0:02:13.119
<v Speaker 6>same thing for cognac maker Remi Quantroux Compari. I'm sure

0:02:13.160 --> 0:02:17.000
<v Speaker 6>you're wellware with the name Campari, Dowd Campari, the company,

0:02:18.360 --> 0:02:22.399
<v Speaker 6>spirits maker Pernurrica. You know, these are big names. I mean,

0:02:22.800 --> 0:02:26.600
<v Speaker 6>it's interesting because the spirits industry has been the focus

0:02:26.600 --> 0:02:30.520
<v Speaker 6>of trade tensions before, they're never spared. What is a

0:02:30.560 --> 0:02:34.400
<v Speaker 6>bit newer here is uh, the attack I would say

0:02:34.520 --> 0:02:40.040
<v Speaker 6>on the auto's industry. The healthcare industry is wondering what's

0:02:40.080 --> 0:02:43.840
<v Speaker 6>going to happen to them, you know, it's it's quite intense.

0:02:43.880 --> 0:02:47.919
<v Speaker 6>And retailers as well, of course, also wondering what the

0:02:48.280 --> 0:02:54.160
<v Speaker 6>implications will be. So it's unlike previous trade tensions I

0:02:54.200 --> 0:02:57.920
<v Speaker 6>would say linked to tariffs, you know, the previous term

0:02:58.400 --> 0:03:01.120
<v Speaker 6>of Trump. I think that the scope here is much

0:03:01.120 --> 0:03:05.720
<v Speaker 6>bigger and really having widespread implications on various businesses and

0:03:05.760 --> 0:03:06.800
<v Speaker 6>of course on markets.

0:03:06.960 --> 0:03:07.720
<v Speaker 7>Well, I don't know about you.

0:03:07.720 --> 0:03:09.000
<v Speaker 4>I'm going to when I get home today, I'm going

0:03:09.000 --> 0:03:10.800
<v Speaker 4>to go over to the wine cellar and stock up

0:03:10.800 --> 0:03:12.560
<v Speaker 4>on my barberusco before they slap.

0:03:12.639 --> 0:03:15.960
<v Speaker 3>Oh right, that's your jam, that's my Jamnews drink.

0:03:16.280 --> 0:03:19.600
<v Speaker 5>There's an American alternative to cod rone, the French wine.

0:03:19.760 --> 0:03:21.320
<v Speaker 8>It's called goats do Rome.

0:03:24.000 --> 0:03:26.680
<v Speaker 4>That's actually awesome, Abertina, And I know you're based in

0:03:26.680 --> 0:03:29.000
<v Speaker 4>our Paris bureau. I'd love to get your sense of

0:03:29.080 --> 0:03:31.560
<v Speaker 4>kind of help people on the street are thinking about this.

0:03:31.680 --> 0:03:36.720
<v Speaker 4>For example, in Canada, people are up in arms about this.

0:03:36.800 --> 0:03:39.560
<v Speaker 4>You see it all across social media. This has gotten personal.

0:03:40.360 --> 0:03:43.200
<v Speaker 4>How are the folks in Europe thinking about this brewing

0:03:43.280 --> 0:03:43.960
<v Speaker 4>trade war here?

0:03:46.400 --> 0:03:50.400
<v Speaker 6>Look, I would say that in terms of the drinks,

0:03:50.480 --> 0:03:52.760
<v Speaker 6>it's a bit early days to know what's happening on

0:03:52.800 --> 0:03:54.960
<v Speaker 6>the street. But I can tell you that we've been

0:03:55.000 --> 0:04:00.240
<v Speaker 6>tracking the automobile industry very closely, and it's not only

0:04:00.280 --> 0:04:03.400
<v Speaker 6>linked to tariffs, but I'm sure that you've seen the

0:04:03.440 --> 0:04:06.160
<v Speaker 6>same in the US. In California in particular, there's a

0:04:06.200 --> 0:04:11.360
<v Speaker 6>lot of angst towards Tesla cars. Tesla you know, sales

0:04:11.400 --> 0:04:14.600
<v Speaker 6>and registrations have gone down in Europe in Paris and

0:04:14.680 --> 0:04:18.880
<v Speaker 6>France as well, and there's been attacks on Tesla car

0:04:19.000 --> 0:04:23.680
<v Speaker 6>is actually you know, put on fire or or destroyed

0:04:23.680 --> 0:04:28.320
<v Speaker 6>Tesla cars. So there are implications, you know. I don't

0:04:28.360 --> 0:04:33.880
<v Speaker 6>know if we will see larger impacts against US products.

0:04:33.960 --> 0:04:36.320
<v Speaker 6>I think it's a bit early for that. But I

0:04:36.320 --> 0:04:38.760
<v Speaker 6>can tell you that there's a lot of soul searching

0:04:38.839 --> 0:04:43.600
<v Speaker 6>going on at c suite level with CEOs who are

0:04:43.640 --> 0:04:47.960
<v Speaker 6>trying to plan around what, you know, how they can

0:04:48.320 --> 0:04:52.479
<v Speaker 6>go about exactly doing some planning for these tarrists. How

0:04:52.560 --> 0:04:56.120
<v Speaker 6>long will these tarifs last and will they really be

0:04:56.160 --> 0:04:58.680
<v Speaker 6>applied or not, because I think that the main sense,

0:04:58.760 --> 0:05:01.560
<v Speaker 6>but maybe among the public as well, was that during

0:05:01.600 --> 0:05:03.719
<v Speaker 6>Trump won there was a lot of talk but not

0:05:03.760 --> 0:05:05.480
<v Speaker 6>a lot of a lot of action. And I think

0:05:05.520 --> 0:05:09.200
<v Speaker 6>that even before Trump took off, as you know, there

0:05:09.240 --> 0:05:12.120
<v Speaker 6>was a sense that it was just a negotiating strategy

0:05:12.240 --> 0:05:15.000
<v Speaker 6>to you know, call for tariffs and threaten tariffs and

0:05:15.360 --> 0:05:18.440
<v Speaker 6>then not apply them. I mean, you know, two nights

0:05:18.440 --> 0:05:22.000
<v Speaker 6>ago we saw here in Europe the metal and aluminum

0:05:22.480 --> 0:05:26.279
<v Speaker 6>tariffs taking effect. So it's not only talk this time around.

0:05:26.320 --> 0:05:29.280
<v Speaker 6>And I think this still needs to sink in. And

0:05:29.360 --> 0:05:32.080
<v Speaker 6>of course then there is the observation of how our

0:05:32.120 --> 0:05:35.640
<v Speaker 6>markets reacting and this will this hold back Trump a

0:05:35.640 --> 0:05:38.120
<v Speaker 6>bit and his administration. But I think that there's more

0:05:38.200 --> 0:05:40.000
<v Speaker 6>question marks than answers today.

0:05:40.080 --> 0:05:42.200
<v Speaker 4>All right, Abertena, thank you so much. We really appreciate

0:05:42.240 --> 0:05:46.679
<v Speaker 4>aberteena Torsoli, European transport and industrials reporter for Bloomberg News,

0:05:47.320 --> 0:05:49.560
<v Speaker 4>reporting in from our Paris studio.

0:05:49.640 --> 0:05:54.680
<v Speaker 1>Time you're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence Podcast. Catch us

0:05:54.720 --> 0:05:57.760
<v Speaker 1>live weekdays at ten a m Eastern on Applecarplay and

0:05:57.760 --> 0:06:01.479
<v Speaker 1>Android Otto with the Bloomberg Business Listen on demand wherever

0:06:01.520 --> 0:06:04.640
<v Speaker 1>you get your podcasts or watch us live on YouTube.

0:06:05.760 --> 0:06:07.440
<v Speaker 2>Speaking of course, of my guests that I had at

0:06:07.440 --> 0:06:10.680
<v Speaker 2>it's Sarah Week. It's a global SMP Global Energy conference

0:06:10.680 --> 0:06:12.320
<v Speaker 2>in Houston, Texas, and I talk to a lot of

0:06:12.360 --> 0:06:14.760
<v Speaker 2>the power players. Now, if you're a data center, that's

0:06:14.760 --> 0:06:17.000
<v Speaker 2>who you're talking to. Are those power players?

0:06:17.080 --> 0:06:17.240
<v Speaker 4>Right?

0:06:17.520 --> 0:06:19.599
<v Speaker 2>There's a narrative on a couple different fronts. One is

0:06:19.600 --> 0:06:23.080
<v Speaker 2>that you have the hyperscalers that are very worried about

0:06:23.080 --> 0:06:26.040
<v Speaker 2>being too long power, that they spend too much money

0:06:26.040 --> 0:06:28.080
<v Speaker 2>buying power that they eventually don't need.

0:06:28.400 --> 0:06:29.400
<v Speaker 3>So there is a narrative that.

0:06:29.400 --> 0:06:31.559
<v Speaker 2>They're actually a little skittish on going out and getting

0:06:31.560 --> 0:06:32.080
<v Speaker 2>these deals.

0:06:32.240 --> 0:06:33.880
<v Speaker 3>The other narrative is that no they're not.

0:06:34.120 --> 0:06:36.720
<v Speaker 2>They're just getting them from certain companies that have already

0:06:36.760 --> 0:06:40.080
<v Speaker 2>executed on these kind of power arrangements, but nonetheless like

0:06:40.120 --> 0:06:42.080
<v Speaker 2>show me the money, like where are the deals, where

0:06:42.120 --> 0:06:43.960
<v Speaker 2>the checks being signed? How do they work out? Like

0:06:44.000 --> 0:06:47.640
<v Speaker 2>a Microsoft and Constellation Energy. So to this exact point,

0:06:47.720 --> 0:06:51.239
<v Speaker 2>I was able to speak with Energy Energy CEO Larry Coben.

0:06:51.279 --> 0:06:54.920
<v Speaker 2>He's been in this industry for decades and decades and decades.

0:06:54.960 --> 0:06:57.279
<v Speaker 2>It's one of the stocks along with Constellation and Vistra

0:06:57.400 --> 0:06:59.920
<v Speaker 2>that moves like an AI stock because they're the ones

0:07:00.520 --> 0:07:03.560
<v Speaker 2>that power the environment. And I asked him first if

0:07:03.600 --> 0:07:06.200
<v Speaker 2>the rising power growth demand that we've seen is actually

0:07:06.240 --> 0:07:08.200
<v Speaker 2>been driven by this power.

0:07:07.960 --> 0:07:10.720
<v Speaker 3>Demand and AI no, I think it's a lot of things.

0:07:10.760 --> 0:07:15.000
<v Speaker 9>It's also on shoring of manufacturing. For example, here in Texas,

0:07:15.000 --> 0:07:17.920
<v Speaker 9>there's a one gig Samsung plant that's going to be

0:07:18.000 --> 0:07:20.800
<v Speaker 9>opened in a couple of years. It's the Internet of things,

0:07:20.840 --> 0:07:24.480
<v Speaker 9>it's smart homes, people are just it's electric cars. People

0:07:24.560 --> 0:07:28.360
<v Speaker 9>are just using more electricity in ways that they never

0:07:28.440 --> 0:07:31.280
<v Speaker 9>did before. And as a result of that, that's part

0:07:31.320 --> 0:07:33.960
<v Speaker 9>of the demand cycle. Obviously, data centers are a big

0:07:33.960 --> 0:07:36.400
<v Speaker 9>part of it, but data centers aside, all of the

0:07:36.400 --> 0:07:40.080
<v Speaker 9>people who build data centers also are involved with cloud

0:07:40.520 --> 0:07:42.960
<v Speaker 9>and a whole slew of other services search that we

0:07:43.040 --> 0:07:45.840
<v Speaker 9>don't think about because we've had them for so long,

0:07:46.040 --> 0:07:48.720
<v Speaker 9>but growth for those is increasing every.

0:07:48.520 --> 0:07:49.160
<v Speaker 5>Bit as much.

0:07:49.840 --> 0:07:52.360
<v Speaker 2>And you guys are one of the largest independent power

0:07:52.360 --> 0:07:54.920
<v Speaker 2>producers in the United States, right, so you can really

0:07:54.920 --> 0:07:58.520
<v Speaker 2>take advantage of this. Where is the biggest demand for

0:07:58.600 --> 0:08:00.640
<v Speaker 2>what kind of power? Give me some insights into the

0:08:00.720 --> 0:08:02.120
<v Speaker 2>conversations you're having right now.

0:08:02.160 --> 0:08:02.400
<v Speaker 5>Sure.

0:08:02.520 --> 0:08:05.520
<v Speaker 9>I think, you know, competitive markets, the two biggest ones

0:08:05.560 --> 0:08:10.840
<v Speaker 9>would be Texas and PJAM in the northeast. Texas is

0:08:10.880 --> 0:08:13.000
<v Speaker 9>a primary focus for us that we do have a

0:08:13.040 --> 0:08:16.800
<v Speaker 9>strong PJAM presence. One of the things we like about

0:08:16.800 --> 0:08:20.920
<v Speaker 9>Texas is it has a friendlier permitting environment and it

0:08:21.000 --> 0:08:23.680
<v Speaker 9>has one public Utilities Commission.

0:08:23.200 --> 0:08:23.960
<v Speaker 5>And one governor.

0:08:24.480 --> 0:08:27.760
<v Speaker 9>Urkatt has thirteen states in it plus the District of Columbia.

0:08:27.840 --> 0:08:32.160
<v Speaker 9>So that's fourteen commissions, fourteen governor like people, and furk

0:08:32.240 --> 0:08:35.760
<v Speaker 9>which doesn't have any jurisdiction here. So but I think

0:08:35.800 --> 0:08:38.400
<v Speaker 9>you're going to see data centers in all of these places,

0:08:38.440 --> 0:08:41.240
<v Speaker 9>and every and in other places where economic growth is

0:08:41.280 --> 0:08:43.360
<v Speaker 9>going on. It's not going to be limited, but I

0:08:43.360 --> 0:08:44.920
<v Speaker 9>think Texas is going to be first.

0:08:45.360 --> 0:08:47.320
<v Speaker 2>Do you think that the hyperscale or hype about how

0:08:47.400 --> 0:08:49.640
<v Speaker 2>much they're going to spend on power demand is real

0:08:50.400 --> 0:08:50.920
<v Speaker 2>fall short?

0:08:51.360 --> 0:08:54.360
<v Speaker 5>I think yes. I mean it won't fall It will

0:08:54.360 --> 0:08:56.240
<v Speaker 5>not fall short. It may even go up.

0:08:56.360 --> 0:08:56.640
<v Speaker 3>Okay.

0:08:56.800 --> 0:08:58.360
<v Speaker 9>And the reason I think that is, you know, it's

0:08:58.360 --> 0:09:01.640
<v Speaker 9>interesting after Deep Seek, every was super concerned about that,

0:09:02.000 --> 0:09:04.360
<v Speaker 9>and then three of the hyperscalers came out and essentially

0:09:04.440 --> 0:09:08.439
<v Speaker 9>doubled their capital commitments. Now if they actually, after looking

0:09:08.440 --> 0:09:10.800
<v Speaker 9>at deepseek, decide it's going to be twice as much,

0:09:11.400 --> 0:09:13.280
<v Speaker 9>then that gives me a great deal of comfort.

0:09:13.440 --> 0:09:15.080
<v Speaker 5>The power demand is going to be there.

0:09:15.520 --> 0:09:18.240
<v Speaker 9>And you know, I know everybody's talking about Gevins paradox

0:09:18.240 --> 0:09:20.360
<v Speaker 9>because everyone has now googled it for the first time.

0:09:20.400 --> 0:09:22.719
<v Speaker 9>I'm actually old enough to remember what it was originally.

0:09:23.320 --> 0:09:26.160
<v Speaker 9>But you know, I think people will start using this

0:09:26.200 --> 0:09:28.160
<v Speaker 9>more and more. I already see it. In our business,

0:09:28.520 --> 0:09:33.320
<v Speaker 9>we were using enormous amounts of AI and customer service

0:09:33.320 --> 0:09:35.079
<v Speaker 9>and we're only just scratching the surface.

0:09:35.440 --> 0:09:38.280
<v Speaker 2>Speaking of you're going to be developing five point four

0:09:38.320 --> 0:09:41.640
<v Speaker 2>gigawatts by twenty thirty two, right, how much of that

0:09:41.760 --> 0:09:43.640
<v Speaker 2>is going to be fully contracted and how much of

0:09:43.640 --> 0:09:45.120
<v Speaker 2>that will be more merchant spot price.

0:09:45.559 --> 0:09:46.320
<v Speaker 5>You know, we have.

0:09:47.760 --> 0:09:50.959
<v Speaker 9>One point five gigs that is shovel ready that will

0:09:51.080 --> 0:09:53.199
<v Speaker 9>probably go Most of that will go directly into the

0:09:53.280 --> 0:09:56.800
<v Speaker 9>Texas market. Okay, anything we build beyond that, I would

0:09:56.840 --> 0:10:00.520
<v Speaker 9>anticipate would be fully contracted for related either to a

0:10:00.600 --> 0:10:02.120
<v Speaker 9>data center or another kind.

0:10:02.000 --> 0:10:03.760
<v Speaker 5>Of large user along the way.

0:10:04.880 --> 0:10:07.600
<v Speaker 9>We are not in the business of taking merchant risks

0:10:07.640 --> 0:10:11.440
<v Speaker 9>some of the other folks are. We actually like to

0:10:11.480 --> 0:10:14.520
<v Speaker 9>protect our downside and give ourselves a lot of optionality

0:10:14.559 --> 0:10:16.880
<v Speaker 9>to the upside so that we don't have to care

0:10:16.920 --> 0:10:19.720
<v Speaker 9>whether the growth is two percent or ten percent. Both

0:10:19.760 --> 0:10:21.600
<v Speaker 9>of those are ginormous for us.

0:10:21.800 --> 0:10:23.719
<v Speaker 2>So what kind of pricing are we talking about for

0:10:23.840 --> 0:10:25.040
<v Speaker 2>a gas fire plant, for.

0:10:25.120 --> 0:10:27.640
<v Speaker 3>Renewable for other power? Like, what does it look like

0:10:27.720 --> 0:10:28.040
<v Speaker 3>right now?

0:10:28.080 --> 0:10:30.839
<v Speaker 9>I mean gas fired plants. We think there can be

0:10:30.880 --> 0:10:34.040
<v Speaker 9>done for fifteen hundred to two thousand a kW installed.

0:10:34.520 --> 0:10:36.560
<v Speaker 9>The ones that are shovel ready beuse we started on

0:10:36.640 --> 0:10:38.520
<v Speaker 9>them five years ago, will be much less.

0:10:39.000 --> 0:10:40.240
<v Speaker 5>But if you're not in the.

0:10:40.200 --> 0:10:42.560
<v Speaker 9>Business actively doing it, you're going to have a hard

0:10:42.600 --> 0:10:46.360
<v Speaker 9>time hitting the top end of the range. Renewable pricing

0:10:46.440 --> 0:10:50.120
<v Speaker 9>hasn't changed dramatically. It's just that the load curve is

0:10:50.200 --> 0:10:53.440
<v Speaker 9>changing as people need. There's more twenty four to seven

0:10:53.559 --> 0:10:56.720
<v Speaker 9>power use coming in. And you know, sun doesn't shine

0:10:56.760 --> 0:10:58.360
<v Speaker 9>at night, wind doesn't always blow.

0:10:58.720 --> 0:11:00.560
<v Speaker 5>But renewable aren't dead.

0:11:01.000 --> 0:11:05.600
<v Speaker 9>They're going to be sure, yes, actually I am sure, okay,

0:11:06.320 --> 0:11:10.040
<v Speaker 9>because there's still a place for them when they're working

0:11:10.360 --> 0:11:13.760
<v Speaker 9>in conjunction with gas plants, I mean part of our portfolio.

0:11:13.920 --> 0:11:17.200
<v Speaker 9>Now we actually shut off our fossil fuel plants during

0:11:17.200 --> 0:11:18.679
<v Speaker 9>the day when there's a lot of salta in win

0:11:18.760 --> 0:11:21.360
<v Speaker 9>in Texas. We buy from the grid their power and

0:11:21.400 --> 0:11:24.800
<v Speaker 9>sell it to our customers, generating it ourselves. Those options

0:11:24.800 --> 0:11:27.840
<v Speaker 9>are still going to be available, at least in competitive markets.

0:11:27.880 --> 0:11:31.080
<v Speaker 2>Well, speaking of your renewable unit is thirty percent of

0:11:31.080 --> 0:11:33.319
<v Speaker 2>your annual earnings right and it's twenty percent of the

0:11:33.360 --> 0:11:35.280
<v Speaker 2>renewable market share here in the US.

0:11:35.520 --> 0:11:37.280
<v Speaker 3>How much do you think that can grow for you?

0:11:38.040 --> 0:11:42.920
<v Speaker 9>I are renewable. You know, we generally actually contract for

0:11:43.000 --> 0:11:46.280
<v Speaker 9>renewables rather than own them. It's a strange thing because

0:11:46.280 --> 0:11:49.520
<v Speaker 9>we own two coal plants. Everyone else gets cheaper renewable

0:11:49.600 --> 0:11:52.120
<v Speaker 9>capital than we do, even though we're a big company

0:11:52.160 --> 0:11:54.640
<v Speaker 9>and quite good at this, and as a result, what

0:11:54.679 --> 0:11:58.080
<v Speaker 9>we generally do is contract for that power from other developers.

0:11:58.400 --> 0:12:01.280
<v Speaker 9>Right now, we've got two gigs and we're probably going

0:12:01.320 --> 0:12:04.320
<v Speaker 9>to have a solicitation for more going forward. So I

0:12:04.360 --> 0:12:07.040
<v Speaker 9>still see it as an integral part of our strategy,

0:12:07.280 --> 0:12:09.160
<v Speaker 9>and a lot of them also will be driven by

0:12:09.160 --> 0:12:11.640
<v Speaker 9>what the customers want. So the end of the day,

0:12:11.720 --> 0:12:15.199
<v Speaker 9>we are in the customer service business, not the electricity business.

0:12:15.600 --> 0:12:18.320
<v Speaker 9>So it's our job to sell you the kind of

0:12:18.360 --> 0:12:22.480
<v Speaker 9>electrons that you want in terms of you know, time, place.

0:12:22.400 --> 0:12:25.040
<v Speaker 5>And fuel and fuel generation. So if you.

0:12:25.040 --> 0:12:29.040
<v Speaker 9>Want green electrons, decarbonized electrons, we will have them and

0:12:29.080 --> 0:12:30.000
<v Speaker 9>we will sell them to you.

0:12:30.760 --> 0:12:31.120
<v Speaker 3>Thank you.

0:12:32.520 --> 0:12:36.960
<v Speaker 2>In terms of in terms of the actual agreements, how

0:12:37.040 --> 0:12:39.640
<v Speaker 2>many agreements are you talking about? That's like, hey, we're

0:12:39.640 --> 0:12:42.839
<v Speaker 2>going to sign like yeah, yeah, well we like your electricity,

0:12:42.840 --> 0:12:44.920
<v Speaker 2>will sign in versus like firm demand.

0:12:45.040 --> 0:12:45.880
<v Speaker 3>Here's your paycheck.

0:12:47.200 --> 0:12:48.680
<v Speaker 5>You know we do this every day.

0:12:49.040 --> 0:12:52.160
<v Speaker 9>We actually supply power already to every one of the hyperscalers.

0:12:52.559 --> 0:12:56.280
<v Speaker 9>We have the second largest commercial CNI electricity book in

0:12:56.320 --> 0:12:58.880
<v Speaker 9>the country and the largest natural gas one. So we

0:12:58.960 --> 0:13:00.679
<v Speaker 9>sign those kinds of arrange when some of them are

0:13:00.720 --> 0:13:03.200
<v Speaker 9>short terms, some of them are long term. I think

0:13:03.240 --> 0:13:06.320
<v Speaker 9>the new data center ones will all be at least

0:13:06.400 --> 0:13:09.360
<v Speaker 9>ten and probably closer to twenty years. ABA is we

0:13:09.400 --> 0:13:11.800
<v Speaker 9>won't want to dedicate our site to something that's less

0:13:11.800 --> 0:13:14.160
<v Speaker 9>than that. B. We won't want to build a dedicated

0:13:14.200 --> 0:13:16.520
<v Speaker 9>power plant for less than that. And see, if you're

0:13:16.559 --> 0:13:18.679
<v Speaker 9>going to pay all that money for those chips and

0:13:18.720 --> 0:13:21.200
<v Speaker 9>to build a data center, which actually costs more than

0:13:21.240 --> 0:13:25.000
<v Speaker 9>a power plant, you're going to want that kind of stability.

0:13:24.360 --> 0:13:25.960
<v Speaker 5>For an extended period of time.

0:13:26.440 --> 0:13:28.079
<v Speaker 9>So I think a lot of those are going to

0:13:28.120 --> 0:13:32.200
<v Speaker 9>be fixed price deals off market with power scale. They

0:13:32.200 --> 0:13:34.520
<v Speaker 9>will still be in front of the meter because people

0:13:34.520 --> 0:13:37.040
<v Speaker 9>will want to be connected to the grid, but they

0:13:37.040 --> 0:13:39.240
<v Speaker 9>will definitely be long term fixed contracts.

0:13:39.280 --> 0:13:40.959
<v Speaker 3>How soon are you're signing more of those.

0:13:43.400 --> 0:13:47.040
<v Speaker 9>Stay tuned pair question? You know, my next earning is

0:13:47.120 --> 0:13:49.680
<v Speaker 9>call is may. It will not be then, okay, but

0:13:50.200 --> 0:13:52.520
<v Speaker 9>you know we're working on these as fast as we

0:13:52.640 --> 0:13:56.320
<v Speaker 9>possibly can. They're complicated. People, you know, think electricity is

0:13:56.400 --> 0:14:00.600
<v Speaker 9>just like flicking a switch. It's super complicated. But we

0:14:00.640 --> 0:14:05.319
<v Speaker 9>are making substantial progress towards some very interesting transactions. Talking

0:14:05.360 --> 0:14:08.200
<v Speaker 9>both to hyper scalers and to developers were I let.

0:14:08.080 --> 0:14:11.120
<v Speaker 3>You go though. What makes it complicated? Is it the pricing?

0:14:11.360 --> 0:14:13.600
<v Speaker 3>Is it? How to structure the deal?

0:14:13.760 --> 0:14:15.920
<v Speaker 2>Like? Is your power going to the grid and then

0:14:16.040 --> 0:14:17.480
<v Speaker 2>selling back to the hyper scale?

0:14:17.480 --> 0:14:17.560
<v Speaker 9>Like?

0:14:17.640 --> 0:14:18.640
<v Speaker 3>What makes it so hard?

0:14:18.760 --> 0:14:22.640
<v Speaker 9>You need interconnection agreement, you need a construction agreement, you

0:14:22.680 --> 0:14:25.640
<v Speaker 9>need a turbine agreement. Now you know, we have all

0:14:25.680 --> 0:14:27.960
<v Speaker 9>of these in place generically, but they all need to

0:14:28.000 --> 0:14:31.320
<v Speaker 9>be site specific. You need to decide how big a

0:14:31.440 --> 0:14:34.080
<v Speaker 9>data center you want to put on the site. How

0:14:34.120 --> 0:14:36.240
<v Speaker 9>fast are you going to grow that data center? So

0:14:36.560 --> 0:14:38.280
<v Speaker 9>are you going to start at two hundred megs and

0:14:38.320 --> 0:14:39.800
<v Speaker 9>go up two hundred a year? Do you want to

0:14:39.840 --> 0:14:43.000
<v Speaker 9>start at a gig? So what makes it complicated is

0:14:43.040 --> 0:14:46.320
<v Speaker 9>putting all of those pieces together, and what people forget

0:14:46.400 --> 0:14:49.000
<v Speaker 9>is actually for this type of data center is new,

0:14:49.840 --> 0:14:52.840
<v Speaker 9>unlike existing data centers where people have done lots of them.

0:14:53.040 --> 0:14:55.800
<v Speaker 9>There aren't a lot of AI data centers out there yet.

0:14:56.200 --> 0:15:00.000
<v Speaker 9>But it's complicated, but so is general power plant developed

0:15:00.120 --> 0:15:02.760
<v Speaker 9>and all the permitting and those things. So it's nothing

0:15:02.800 --> 0:15:04.960
<v Speaker 9>that we're worried about. It's something we actually think we're

0:15:05.000 --> 0:15:06.120
<v Speaker 9>pretty good at.

0:15:06.280 --> 0:15:08.920
<v Speaker 2>Buth Sailors are willing to put down that money.

0:15:09.560 --> 0:15:12.280
<v Speaker 3>You're showing up knocking on your door. They're there, They're there, Okay,

0:15:12.320 --> 0:15:12.800
<v Speaker 3>they're there.

0:15:12.960 --> 0:15:15.680
<v Speaker 9>We're there, and you know, because of the agreements we

0:15:15.680 --> 0:15:18.640
<v Speaker 9>announced last week, the turbines and the contractors are there.

0:15:19.600 --> 0:15:24.600
<v Speaker 2>That was Larry Coben Energy ce Energy Energy uh CEO.

0:15:25.360 --> 0:15:27.480
<v Speaker 2>A big part of that though, too, is these guys

0:15:27.520 --> 0:15:29.400
<v Speaker 2>are going to go through a big CAPEC cycle because

0:15:29.440 --> 0:15:32.240
<v Speaker 2>of this. Right, So those how those agreements are structured,

0:15:32.240 --> 0:15:35.680
<v Speaker 2>which I was trying to understand is very complicated but

0:15:35.720 --> 0:15:38.640
<v Speaker 2>also necessary, so they have the visibility to then spend

0:15:38.640 --> 0:15:39.640
<v Speaker 2>that CAPEX.

0:15:39.360 --> 0:15:42.000
<v Speaker 3>So curious still owed to have what there's a really

0:15:42.000 --> 0:15:42.480
<v Speaker 3>going to look like.

0:15:42.680 --> 0:15:45.000
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, but I mean, just listening to me seems bullish

0:15:45.040 --> 0:15:47.680
<v Speaker 4>and uh bullish on the state of Texas. Oh yeah, yeah,

0:15:47.720 --> 0:15:50.040
<v Speaker 4>I just I learned something new that John Tucker and

0:15:50.080 --> 0:15:51.960
<v Speaker 4>I we know that they have their own grid in Texas.

0:15:52.040 --> 0:15:53.200
<v Speaker 4>They're not on part of any.

0:15:53.040 --> 0:15:55.200
<v Speaker 2>Of the They read the grid, We read the grid.

0:15:55.280 --> 0:15:58.880
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, but that exempts him from a lot of furk oversight.

0:15:59.080 --> 0:16:02.680
<v Speaker 4>Federal Energy, your regulatory commission. That's good for doing business.

0:16:02.720 --> 0:16:04.200
<v Speaker 3>Oh yeah, why didn't they all go there?

0:16:04.280 --> 0:16:06.680
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, energy Energy, I'm looking at it.

0:16:06.720 --> 0:16:07.600
<v Speaker 8>Here's good stock.

0:16:07.880 --> 0:16:08.920
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, it's done pretty well.

0:16:10.520 --> 0:16:14.240
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence Podcast. Catch us live

0:16:14.320 --> 0:16:17.400
<v Speaker 1>weekdays at ten am Eastern on Apple, Coarclay, and Android

0:16:17.400 --> 0:16:20.720
<v Speaker 1>Auto with the Bloomberg Business app. Listen on demand wherever

0:16:20.760 --> 0:16:23.880
<v Speaker 1>you get your podcasts, or watch us live on YouTube.

0:16:24.880 --> 0:16:27.280
<v Speaker 2>Wrapping up all my interviews at Sarah Week again. That

0:16:27.400 --> 0:16:31.320
<v Speaker 2>is SMP Globals Energy Conference. It's once a year. It's

0:16:31.360 --> 0:16:35.040
<v Speaker 2>in Houston, Texas. All the energy industry players and CEOs come,

0:16:35.160 --> 0:16:37.480
<v Speaker 2>they talk, they schmooz, they meet a shareholders, maybe they

0:16:37.480 --> 0:16:40.840
<v Speaker 2>make deals, they talk behind closed doors. And obviously in

0:16:40.880 --> 0:16:43.200
<v Speaker 2>the middle of all of this, we're getting tariff headlines

0:16:43.400 --> 0:16:45.560
<v Speaker 2>right and left. So I was able to sit down

0:16:45.600 --> 0:16:49.000
<v Speaker 2>and speak with Greg Abel. He is CEO of Enbridge Energy.

0:16:49.600 --> 0:16:53.400
<v Speaker 2>It's a Canadian midstream oil and gas company. I say Canadian,

0:16:53.480 --> 0:16:56.200
<v Speaker 2>but it's maybe North America. They have pipelines that range

0:16:56.200 --> 0:16:59.640
<v Speaker 2>from oil, natural gas, energy transport all across the US

0:17:00.080 --> 0:17:03.280
<v Speaker 2>and Canada. So he's a really good read on all

0:17:03.480 --> 0:17:04.080
<v Speaker 2>of this.

0:17:04.720 --> 0:17:05.760
<v Speaker 3>I asked him straight up.

0:17:05.800 --> 0:17:08.000
<v Speaker 2>I was like, how hard is your life right now?

0:17:08.920 --> 0:17:12.080
<v Speaker 7>Well, forty three states, eight provinces, five countries, it's just

0:17:12.119 --> 0:17:13.600
<v Speaker 7>another day, another day.

0:17:14.000 --> 0:17:16.239
<v Speaker 8>You've got to focus on fundamentals. What do we know.

0:17:17.119 --> 0:17:19.840
<v Speaker 7>Energy's going to flow, has to flow. It's the lifeblood

0:17:19.840 --> 0:17:24.159
<v Speaker 7>of everybody's economy. Consumers want cheap prices. That means provide

0:17:24.200 --> 0:17:28.480
<v Speaker 7>as much supply as economically possible and try to stay

0:17:28.480 --> 0:17:31.439
<v Speaker 7>out of the way of policy and politicians in the

0:17:31.480 --> 0:17:33.600
<v Speaker 7>short term and focus on the long term.

0:17:33.600 --> 0:17:35.640
<v Speaker 8>And so we're continuing to do that. We've got twenty.

0:17:35.440 --> 0:17:38.480
<v Speaker 7>Seven billion dollars projects that we're going to execute through

0:17:38.520 --> 0:17:39.399
<v Speaker 7>twenty twenty.

0:17:39.160 --> 0:17:43.680
<v Speaker 2>Seven, and any of that question marked on hold, put

0:17:43.720 --> 0:17:46.960
<v Speaker 2>on the sidelines on pause because of the turmoil in

0:17:47.040 --> 0:17:49.640
<v Speaker 2>the market and because of the headlines on tariffs.

0:17:49.800 --> 0:17:52.680
<v Speaker 7>No, and here's why, Well, they're already signed up contracts.

0:17:52.680 --> 0:17:55.720
<v Speaker 7>People need that energy. It takes multiple years to build

0:17:55.720 --> 0:17:59.280
<v Speaker 7>that infrastructure. Most of the product that we need for

0:17:59.320 --> 0:18:02.960
<v Speaker 7>those is are already in and i'll say steal for example,

0:18:03.320 --> 0:18:06.760
<v Speaker 7>largely domestically produced in the United States. We're in Canada

0:18:06.840 --> 0:18:09.919
<v Speaker 7>for projects there. So you do need think three or

0:18:09.960 --> 0:18:12.800
<v Speaker 7>four steps ahead. But when you've been around better part

0:18:12.880 --> 0:18:15.360
<v Speaker 7>of a century in your long term energy infrastructure.

0:18:15.640 --> 0:18:17.480
<v Speaker 8>I'm paid to do that every day, and so are

0:18:17.520 --> 0:18:17.960
<v Speaker 8>our people.

0:18:18.119 --> 0:18:20.719
<v Speaker 2>But does that building and all that cappacks get more

0:18:20.760 --> 0:18:22.920
<v Speaker 2>expensive if the material gets more expensive?

0:18:23.080 --> 0:18:25.200
<v Speaker 7>It could, It could, so we have to be again,

0:18:25.240 --> 0:18:27.240
<v Speaker 7>you try to lock that in as soon as possible.

0:18:27.600 --> 0:18:30.600
<v Speaker 8>One of the benefits of running a large pipeline.

0:18:30.119 --> 0:18:34.880
<v Speaker 7>System largely regulated economic regulation beyond just you can pass

0:18:34.920 --> 0:18:38.280
<v Speaker 7>through some costs if they're reasonably so. Again, big buyer,

0:18:38.480 --> 0:18:41.480
<v Speaker 7>as you said, largest pipeline operator in North America.

0:18:41.760 --> 0:18:43.720
<v Speaker 8>We buy a lot of stuff, and I think we've.

0:18:43.560 --> 0:18:46.439
<v Speaker 7>Got a certain amount of power to be able to

0:18:46.640 --> 0:18:50.199
<v Speaker 7>get the best deals possible, and then from a competitive perspective,

0:18:50.480 --> 0:18:52.480
<v Speaker 7>if some prices have to be passed through, fine, but

0:18:52.520 --> 0:18:53.840
<v Speaker 7>generally speaking we lock those ino.

0:18:54.240 --> 0:18:56.240
<v Speaker 3>Have you seen any change in oil flows as.

0:18:56.160 --> 0:19:00.520
<v Speaker 7>Of yet, No, quite the contrary. So January February flows

0:19:00.560 --> 0:19:02.400
<v Speaker 7>out of Canada have been.

0:19:02.520 --> 0:19:03.639
<v Speaker 8>Close to record highs.

0:19:04.280 --> 0:19:06.720
<v Speaker 7>We'll see if that continues, but I think people may

0:19:06.720 --> 0:19:10.800
<v Speaker 7>be getting ahead of those exports under the Gulf Coast,

0:19:10.800 --> 0:19:13.320
<v Speaker 7>where the largest exporter of oil out of the United States.

0:19:13.680 --> 0:19:17.679
<v Speaker 7>That continues to be very robust as allies and customers

0:19:17.720 --> 0:19:20.639
<v Speaker 7>overseas want to continue to get there. And it was

0:19:20.640 --> 0:19:24.480
<v Speaker 7>a pretty coold winter, so natural gas was used predominantly

0:19:25.320 --> 0:19:28.280
<v Speaker 7>to keep people warm and electricity going and industry flying.

0:19:28.359 --> 0:19:31.160
<v Speaker 8>So starts of the year has been pretty good.

0:19:31.720 --> 0:19:35.280
<v Speaker 2>If we do see continued tariffs on Canadian oil, do

0:19:35.320 --> 0:19:39.080
<v Speaker 2>you think the price then discounts and then producers responding

0:19:39.160 --> 0:19:40.320
<v Speaker 2>kind So our.

0:19:40.200 --> 0:19:41.760
<v Speaker 8>Pipeline is exactly built for that.

0:19:41.880 --> 0:19:44.640
<v Speaker 7>So it's been a long time been a discount in Canada, right,

0:19:44.880 --> 0:19:46.960
<v Speaker 7>Lots of production trying to get down to lots of

0:19:47.000 --> 0:19:49.359
<v Speaker 7>demand here in the United States. So the more we

0:19:49.400 --> 0:19:52.520
<v Speaker 7>can build pipelines, the less they're are discounts, but we'll

0:19:52.520 --> 0:19:54.960
<v Speaker 7>have to see how the shakes out. It's early days.

0:19:54.960 --> 0:19:57.320
<v Speaker 7>I keep saying everybody needs to take a breath. Everybody

0:19:57.400 --> 0:20:00.120
<v Speaker 7>needs to be focused on the long term and recall

0:20:00.160 --> 0:20:04.080
<v Speaker 7>that our people, our economy, the two countries need each

0:20:04.080 --> 0:20:05.080
<v Speaker 7>other and they need Amergy.

0:20:05.200 --> 0:20:07.840
<v Speaker 2>No, we're media, we want answers now. But what it

0:20:07.880 --> 0:20:10.240
<v Speaker 2>does seem to highlight though, is Canada's need for other

0:20:10.280 --> 0:20:14.159
<v Speaker 2>export partners and I'm wondering what the stomach is to

0:20:14.280 --> 0:20:16.720
<v Speaker 2>build up pipelines to Western Canada.

0:20:16.800 --> 0:20:19.800
<v Speaker 7>I'm consciously hopeful, and didn't say optimistic, but hopeful for

0:20:19.800 --> 0:20:21.720
<v Speaker 7>several reasons. One, it's going to be a change in

0:20:21.760 --> 0:20:24.080
<v Speaker 7>government in Canada, and one way or the other is

0:20:24.080 --> 0:20:26.040
<v Speaker 7>going to be a new prime minister here in the

0:20:26.080 --> 0:20:27.680
<v Speaker 7>next little while.

0:20:27.720 --> 0:20:28.840
<v Speaker 8>Maybe two we'll have to see.

0:20:28.840 --> 0:20:33.520
<v Speaker 7>I'm not the politician here, and I think Canadians are

0:20:33.680 --> 0:20:36.560
<v Speaker 7>united that you know, it's a challenge to be so

0:20:36.720 --> 0:20:39.040
<v Speaker 7>tied to a single economy, even if it is the

0:20:39.040 --> 0:20:42.240
<v Speaker 7>best economy in the world, And therefore there's opportunities to

0:20:42.320 --> 0:20:44.200
<v Speaker 7>move off. At least the West coast and maybe the

0:20:44.240 --> 0:20:48.040
<v Speaker 7>East coast. Canada did have an opportunity ten years ago

0:20:48.400 --> 0:20:52.160
<v Speaker 7>to be the leader in llenship and tripped over itself

0:20:52.280 --> 0:20:54.000
<v Speaker 7>not to be able to get there. I think many

0:20:54.040 --> 0:20:57.840
<v Speaker 7>Canadians probably regret that. I hope policymakers reget that. But

0:20:57.960 --> 0:20:59.560
<v Speaker 7>you know, we make a mistake once wille you don't

0:20:59.600 --> 0:21:02.280
<v Speaker 7>make it, and that will create an opportunity and still

0:21:02.720 --> 0:21:05.720
<v Speaker 7>will be the largest provider of oil and natural guess United.

0:21:05.560 --> 0:21:09.359
<v Speaker 2>States tooken Things floated like maybe the government could tax

0:21:09.440 --> 0:21:12.320
<v Speaker 2>exports and that would then pay for a pipeline, particularly

0:21:12.359 --> 0:21:15.439
<v Speaker 2>maybe from east to west that the government could just

0:21:15.440 --> 0:21:17.560
<v Speaker 2>help pay for these kind of pipelines. Is that, as

0:21:17.560 --> 0:21:19.840
<v Speaker 2>I said, all from where you are, Yeah, I.

0:21:19.800 --> 0:21:22.280
<v Speaker 8>Don't think that's That's not a logical way to go, right.

0:21:22.359 --> 0:21:24.920
<v Speaker 7>I mean, the government had to step into a pipeline

0:21:24.920 --> 0:21:26.880
<v Speaker 7>and one that does go to the West coast ended

0:21:26.920 --> 0:21:29.320
<v Speaker 7>up being a multiple of what it would have cost

0:21:29.359 --> 0:21:31.760
<v Speaker 7>in the private sector one and then two, you would

0:21:31.800 --> 0:21:34.159
<v Speaker 7>really be asking for a real burden to be placed

0:21:34.200 --> 0:21:38.399
<v Speaker 7>on Western Canada as the largest producer of almost the

0:21:38.440 --> 0:21:41.280
<v Speaker 7>sole producer of oil out of Canada. I don't think

0:21:41.320 --> 0:21:45.160
<v Speaker 7>a Canadian politician that's thinking about national unity would want

0:21:45.160 --> 0:21:48.560
<v Speaker 7>to impose one tariff on one part of the country

0:21:49.800 --> 0:21:51.200
<v Speaker 7>this to benefit another productice.

0:21:51.440 --> 0:21:53.399
<v Speaker 2>So what would incite the private sector to want to

0:21:53.400 --> 0:21:54.200
<v Speaker 2>do something like that.

0:21:54.359 --> 0:21:57.000
<v Speaker 7>Well, new permitting rules, just like here in the United States.

0:21:57.000 --> 0:22:00.439
<v Speaker 7>In Canada, which is worse? Well, they're both challe I

0:22:00.480 --> 0:22:04.200
<v Speaker 7>don't know which is worse. I think momentum is towards

0:22:04.240 --> 0:22:07.480
<v Speaker 7>regulatory simplicity here in the United States, and I hope

0:22:07.520 --> 0:22:09.119
<v Speaker 7>we get the same in Canada. And I have to

0:22:09.119 --> 0:22:11.520
<v Speaker 7>make decisions every day. Am I investing in Cana in

0:22:11.560 --> 0:22:14.600
<v Speaker 7>the United States? So permitting is a big issue. Speed

0:22:14.760 --> 0:22:20.360
<v Speaker 7>of permitting is a big issue, support for proper taxation regimes,

0:22:20.400 --> 0:22:22.800
<v Speaker 7>et cetera. Those are all decisions I have to make.

0:22:22.880 --> 0:22:26.240
<v Speaker 7>Both capital markets are excellent, but I would say the

0:22:26.280 --> 0:22:30.560
<v Speaker 7>permitting and regulatory regime is quite problematic in Canada.

0:22:31.000 --> 0:22:34.840
<v Speaker 2>The other sort of non related tear of demand driver

0:22:35.280 --> 0:22:37.520
<v Speaker 2>potentially is AI and data centers.

0:22:37.600 --> 0:22:39.359
<v Speaker 3>Right, how do you play in.

0:22:39.240 --> 0:22:40.600
<v Speaker 8>That multiple ways?

0:22:40.600 --> 0:22:44.480
<v Speaker 7>So we again, being such a large producer or large

0:22:44.520 --> 0:22:47.640
<v Speaker 7>shipper of natural gas, probably the best way in which

0:22:47.680 --> 0:22:51.080
<v Speaker 7>those data centers will be fueled is natural gas fire generation.

0:22:51.520 --> 0:22:54.159
<v Speaker 7>So we are building pipelines now for great companies like

0:22:54.240 --> 0:22:58.640
<v Speaker 7>Duke Tva, et cetera. Here in the United States, and

0:22:58.680 --> 0:23:01.320
<v Speaker 7>those will be for new go out plus power plants.

0:23:01.560 --> 0:23:03.920
<v Speaker 7>Some of those electrons are quite certain will go to

0:23:04.640 --> 0:23:05.399
<v Speaker 7>meet this demand.

0:23:05.400 --> 0:23:07.280
<v Speaker 8>On the air front, we serve.

0:23:07.240 --> 0:23:09.800
<v Speaker 7>Ninety percent of the gas fire generations, saying a province

0:23:09.880 --> 0:23:13.600
<v Speaker 7>like them Ontario, they're trying to track more and more AI.

0:23:13.760 --> 0:23:16.520
<v Speaker 8>So we will build the infrastructure.

0:23:16.080 --> 0:23:19.800
<v Speaker 7>The storage, the transportation, et cetera to fuel those plants,

0:23:19.840 --> 0:23:22.560
<v Speaker 7>which will then allow the data centers to be connected.

0:23:23.160 --> 0:23:28.240
<v Speaker 7>Something like you know, the vast majority of data centers

0:23:29.000 --> 0:23:32.520
<v Speaker 7>are being within fifty miles of our pipeline. That's a

0:23:32.640 --> 0:23:35.480
<v Speaker 7>pretty attractive right across North America for us to be

0:23:35.520 --> 0:23:36.159
<v Speaker 7>able to utilize.

0:23:36.160 --> 0:23:37.160
<v Speaker 8>So I'm excited about that.

0:23:37.200 --> 0:23:39.560
<v Speaker 7>I mean a lot to see how it all shakes out. Yeah,

0:23:39.560 --> 0:23:42.080
<v Speaker 7>but you know, steady growth, and we also have a

0:23:42.119 --> 0:23:45.000
<v Speaker 7>renewable power business, and some of those data centers want

0:23:45.000 --> 0:23:47.480
<v Speaker 7>to use renewable power. So we've signed up new customers

0:23:47.560 --> 0:23:51.680
<v Speaker 7>like Amazon and Meta and Toyota and Pepsi.

0:23:52.560 --> 0:23:54.720
<v Speaker 8>So you'll see a lot of those players that are

0:23:54.720 --> 0:23:56.320
<v Speaker 8>looking for power. We're going to need all of that.

0:23:57.200 --> 0:24:00.440
<v Speaker 2>What was elected to have those conversations with like Toyota

0:24:00.480 --> 0:24:03.240
<v Speaker 2>and Amazon, Like what did it contract a long power

0:24:03.280 --> 0:24:05.159
<v Speaker 2>purchase agreement and what was that like to come to

0:24:05.200 --> 0:24:05.639
<v Speaker 2>a price?

0:24:06.320 --> 0:24:09.120
<v Speaker 7>So the price is largely set by natural gas, even

0:24:09.160 --> 0:24:11.880
<v Speaker 7>if you're buying renewables. Right, So the price is out there,

0:24:11.920 --> 0:24:13.240
<v Speaker 7>and then you're trying to create a little bit of

0:24:13.280 --> 0:24:14.280
<v Speaker 7>an escalator.

0:24:14.640 --> 0:24:15.440
<v Speaker 8>They see the.

0:24:15.440 --> 0:24:19.879
<v Speaker 7>Need for Stable six nine's reliability power, but they also

0:24:19.920 --> 0:24:22.200
<v Speaker 7>want to meet some of their sustainability.

0:24:21.440 --> 0:24:23.120
<v Speaker 3>Goals right now in a different environment.

0:24:23.119 --> 0:24:25.560
<v Speaker 7>Absolutely that means they will get a mix of gas

0:24:25.880 --> 0:24:28.160
<v Speaker 7>and they will get a mix of renewables as well.

0:24:28.240 --> 0:24:30.200
<v Speaker 8>Right, So we need it all.

0:24:30.280 --> 0:24:32.760
<v Speaker 7>I think that's probably the message that comes out North

0:24:32.760 --> 0:24:37.800
<v Speaker 7>America to be fortress America, North America to be energy superiority.

0:24:37.960 --> 0:24:39.439
<v Speaker 8>We're going to need it all. We're gonna need all

0:24:39.480 --> 0:24:40.480
<v Speaker 8>the We're gonna need all the gas.

0:24:40.520 --> 0:24:44.400
<v Speaker 7>We need cooperation in any permitting reform, and that first

0:24:44.400 --> 0:24:47.879
<v Speaker 7>and foremost is going to sue the consumer. Consumers are voters,

0:24:47.960 --> 0:24:50.000
<v Speaker 7>and I think that wins before I let you go.

0:24:50.160 --> 0:24:52.920
<v Speaker 2>There's obviously a lot of concern about recession. It fears

0:24:53.200 --> 0:24:55.960
<v Speaker 2>among terror fears, et cetera. Are you not seeing any

0:24:56.040 --> 0:24:57.320
<v Speaker 2>slowdown in demand?

0:24:57.880 --> 0:25:02.400
<v Speaker 7>So I am starting to see some impacts VSV housing.

0:25:02.920 --> 0:25:05.280
<v Speaker 7>You know, what's going to happen with interest rates, with sessions,

0:25:05.280 --> 0:25:08.120
<v Speaker 7>et cetera. If you're not quite certain about being able

0:25:08.119 --> 0:25:10.800
<v Speaker 7>to afford a house or your job, et cetera, then

0:25:11.200 --> 0:25:13.440
<v Speaker 7>you know, as many houses as we might need, they're

0:25:13.440 --> 0:25:14.480
<v Speaker 7>maybe not getting built.

0:25:14.680 --> 0:25:15.919
<v Speaker 8>But that's about it today.

0:25:16.040 --> 0:25:18.560
<v Speaker 7>I mean, I think we have to realize there's been

0:25:18.600 --> 0:25:20.560
<v Speaker 7>a lot of talk of tariffs yet, but we've yet

0:25:20.600 --> 0:25:23.560
<v Speaker 7>seen a month or two of tariffs. I think when

0:25:23.560 --> 0:25:26.200
<v Speaker 7>that kicks in, you may see some impacts, which is.

0:25:26.119 --> 0:25:27.240
<v Speaker 8>The benefit of our model.

0:25:27.280 --> 0:25:31.400
<v Speaker 7>Our model largely irregulated, steady as she goes dividend pair

0:25:31.560 --> 0:25:34.480
<v Speaker 7>we've increased the dividend for thirty years in a row

0:25:34.720 --> 0:25:38.320
<v Speaker 7>and then financial guidance for nineteen years in a row. Recessions,

0:25:38.440 --> 0:25:41.640
<v Speaker 7>no recessions one type of government or another. So yeah,

0:25:41.680 --> 0:25:44.400
<v Speaker 7>we often see the stuff first, but fortunately the structures

0:25:44.440 --> 0:25:45.280
<v Speaker 7>we have still a low.

0:25:45.280 --> 0:25:45.840
<v Speaker 8>Is to perform.

0:25:47.000 --> 0:25:50.679
<v Speaker 2>That was greg able. He is entered Enbridge CEO, joining

0:25:50.720 --> 0:25:53.199
<v Speaker 2>me from Sarah Week. So clearly all the CEOs are

0:25:53.240 --> 0:25:56.119
<v Speaker 2>going to say how they're well insulated, they have the

0:25:56.200 --> 0:25:59.200
<v Speaker 2>right structure for any kind of economic downturn, YadA, YadA.

0:25:59.240 --> 0:26:01.800
<v Speaker 2>But the point is is that if you move stuff

0:26:01.920 --> 0:26:05.800
<v Speaker 2>between Canada and the US, and that relationship is fractured,

0:26:06.160 --> 0:26:09.280
<v Speaker 2>and even if it's not permanent, it feels like the

0:26:10.280 --> 0:26:12.680
<v Speaker 2>move towards hey, guys, we need to find different export

0:26:12.720 --> 0:26:14.440
<v Speaker 2>market wouldn't be insane at this point.

0:26:14.560 --> 0:26:17.719
<v Speaker 4>No, it wouldn't, you know, he said, just it's amazing

0:26:17.760 --> 0:26:20.800
<v Speaker 4>how you know how they're where they're located. Forty eight states,

0:26:20.840 --> 0:26:24.679
<v Speaker 4>ten provinces, five countries, So I mean they are exposed

0:26:25.119 --> 0:26:26.800
<v Speaker 4>in a big way, especially them with their stock. It's

0:26:26.840 --> 0:26:28.320
<v Speaker 4>kind of flat year to date, but it's up twenty

0:26:28.320 --> 0:26:30.480
<v Speaker 4>five percent on a trailing twelve month basis, as are

0:26:31.000 --> 0:26:35.000
<v Speaker 4>a lot of those midstream stocks all performing pretty well.

0:26:35.119 --> 0:26:35.359
<v Speaker 3>Yep.

0:26:35.480 --> 0:26:37.199
<v Speaker 2>Because you need it, you got to move it. And

0:26:37.200 --> 0:26:38.720
<v Speaker 2>at the end of the day, like you can have

0:26:38.800 --> 0:26:40.960
<v Speaker 2>all the power that you want, all the commodities you want,

0:26:41.040 --> 0:26:43.440
<v Speaker 2>you can't move. It doesn't matter. And that's where these

0:26:43.480 --> 0:26:45.240
<v Speaker 2>guys come into play.

0:26:45.359 --> 0:26:50.080
<v Speaker 1>This is the Bloomberg Intelligence Podcast, available on Apple, Spotify,

0:26:50.280 --> 0:26:53.720
<v Speaker 1>and anywhere else you get your podcasts. Listen live each

0:26:53.760 --> 0:26:57.480
<v Speaker 1>weekday ten am to noon Eastern on Bloomberg dot com,

0:26:57.640 --> 0:27:01.120
<v Speaker 1>the iHeartRadio app tune In, and the Blue Bloomberg Business app.

0:27:01.600 --> 0:27:04.480
<v Speaker 1>You can also watch us live every weekday on YouTube

0:27:04.920 --> 0:27:07.160
<v Speaker 1>and always on the Bloomberg Terminal