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Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. You're listening to the

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Speaker 1: Bloomberg Intelligence Podcast. Catch us live weekdays at ten am

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Speaker 1: Business App. Listen on demand wherever you get your podcasts,

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Speaker 2: The news of the day that sort of wow the

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Speaker 2: market here is Trump is now vowing a two hundred

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Speaker 2: percent tariff on EU wine, escalating trade tensions.

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Speaker 3: Full disclosure.

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Speaker 2: I really like champagne, so I just want to, like,

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Speaker 2: I have I have a horse in this race.

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Speaker 4: Is it a champagne versus prosecco bias or you can

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Speaker 4: go either way.

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Speaker 3: I totally go either way.

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Speaker 5: Okay.

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Speaker 2: I usually go prosecco first because it's a little cheaper.

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Speaker 3: Okay, but I do love my champagne.

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Speaker 2: It's really champagne rose that's really high in.

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Speaker 5: Does any of this surprise you, pame taste? Yes, exactly

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Speaker 5: by discount?

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Speaker 3: I would good question.

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Speaker 2: I used to when I drank more, That's for sure.

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Speaker 3: All right.

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Speaker 2: Joining us now as Albertina Ursoli, a European Transport and

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Speaker 2: Industrials reporter, walk us through the reaction on the ground

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Speaker 2: when all of this unfolded this morning.

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Speaker 6: Look, it's been an intense ten days. It's about champagne,

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Speaker 6: it's about wine, it's about retaliatory retaliation measure us EU.

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Speaker 6: I covered the automotive industry, I've covered the drinks, champagne,

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Speaker 6: wine industry, Cognac. You forgot Cognac while you were talking

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Speaker 6: earlier on You know, it's a vicious circle here. Tariffs

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Speaker 6: announced retaliatory measures. I mean, we're still waiting to get

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Speaker 6: a clear sense from France because France here is clearly targeted.

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Speaker 6: And as soon as the president US president posted on

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Speaker 6: social media about the two hundred percent tariff on EU

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Speaker 6: wines and champagne, you know, you immediately saw a knee

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Speaker 6: jerk reaction in the market. Elvemash the owner of brands

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Speaker 6: such as Vito and You're, but also the group also

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Speaker 6: has a wine and spirits business. The shares declined the

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Speaker 6: same thing for cognac maker Remi Quantroux Compari. I'm sure

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Speaker 6: you're wellware with the name Campari, Dowd Campari, the company,

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Speaker 6: spirits maker Pernurrica. You know, these are big names. I mean,

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Speaker 6: it's interesting because the spirits industry has been the focus

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Speaker 6: of trade tensions before, they're never spared. What is a

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Speaker 6: bit newer here is uh, the attack I would say

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Speaker 6: on the auto's industry. The healthcare industry is wondering what's

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Speaker 6: going to happen to them, you know, it's it's quite intense.

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Speaker 6: And retailers as well, of course, also wondering what the

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Speaker 6: implications will be. So it's unlike previous trade tensions I

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Speaker 6: would say linked to tariffs, you know, the previous term

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Speaker 6: of Trump. I think that the scope here is much

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Speaker 6: bigger and really having widespread implications on various businesses and

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Speaker 6: of course on markets.

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Speaker 7: Well, I don't know about you.

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Speaker 4: I'm going to when I get home today, I'm going

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Speaker 4: to go over to the wine cellar and stock up

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Speaker 4: on my barberusco before they slap.

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Speaker 3: Oh right, that's your jam, that's my Jamnews drink.

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Speaker 5: There's an American alternative to cod rone, the French wine.

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Speaker 8: It's called goats do Rome.

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Speaker 4: That's actually awesome, Abertina, And I know you're based in

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Speaker 4: our Paris bureau. I'd love to get your sense of

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Speaker 4: kind of help people on the street are thinking about this.

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Speaker 4: For example, in Canada, people are up in arms about this.

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Speaker 4: You see it all across social media. This has gotten personal.

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Speaker 4: How are the folks in Europe thinking about this brewing

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Speaker 4: trade war here?

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Speaker 6: Look, I would say that in terms of the drinks,

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Speaker 6: it's a bit early days to know what's happening on

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Speaker 6: the street. But I can tell you that we've been

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Speaker 6: tracking the automobile industry very closely, and it's not only

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Speaker 6: linked to tariffs, but I'm sure that you've seen the

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Speaker 6: same in the US. In California in particular, there's a

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Speaker 6: lot of angst towards Tesla cars. Tesla you know, sales

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Speaker 6: and registrations have gone down in Europe in Paris and

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Speaker 6: France as well, and there's been attacks on Tesla car

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Speaker 6: is actually you know, put on fire or or destroyed

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Speaker 6: Tesla cars. So there are implications, you know. I don't

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Speaker 6: know if we will see larger impacts against US products.

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Speaker 6: I think it's a bit early for that. But I

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Speaker 6: can tell you that there's a lot of soul searching

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Speaker 6: going on at c suite level with CEOs who are

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Speaker 6: trying to plan around what, you know, how they can

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Speaker 6: go about exactly doing some planning for these tarrists. How

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Speaker 6: long will these tarifs last and will they really be

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Speaker 6: applied or not, because I think that the main sense,

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Speaker 6: but maybe among the public as well, was that during

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Speaker 6: Trump won there was a lot of talk but not

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Speaker 6: a lot of a lot of action. And I think

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Speaker 6: that even before Trump took off, as you know, there

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Speaker 6: was a sense that it was just a negotiating strategy

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Speaker 6: to you know, call for tariffs and threaten tariffs and

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Speaker 6: then not apply them. I mean, you know, two nights

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Speaker 6: ago we saw here in Europe the metal and aluminum

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Speaker 6: tariffs taking effect. So it's not only talk this time around.

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Speaker 6: And I think this still needs to sink in. And

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Speaker 6: of course then there is the observation of how our

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Speaker 6: markets reacting and this will this hold back Trump a

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Speaker 6: bit and his administration. But I think that there's more

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Speaker 6: question marks than answers today.

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Speaker 4: All right, Abertena, thank you so much. We really appreciate

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Speaker 4: aberteena Torsoli, European transport and industrials reporter for Bloomberg News,

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Speaker 4: reporting in from our Paris studio.

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Speaker 1: Time you're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence Podcast. Catch us

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Speaker 1: live weekdays at ten a m Eastern on Applecarplay and

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Speaker 1: you get your podcasts or watch us live on YouTube.

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Speaker 2: Speaking of course, of my guests that I had at

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Speaker 2: it's Sarah Week. It's a global SMP Global Energy conference

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Speaker 2: in Houston, Texas, and I talk to a lot of

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Speaker 2: the power players. Now, if you're a data center, that's

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Speaker 2: who you're talking to. Are those power players?

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Speaker 4: Right?

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Speaker 2: There's a narrative on a couple different fronts. One is

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Speaker 2: that you have the hyperscalers that are very worried about

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Speaker 2: being too long power, that they spend too much money

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Speaker 2: buying power that they eventually don't need.

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Speaker 3: So there is a narrative that.

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Speaker 2: They're actually a little skittish on going out and getting

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Speaker 2: these deals.

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Speaker 3: The other narrative is that no they're not.

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Speaker 2: They're just getting them from certain companies that have already

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Speaker 2: executed on these kind of power arrangements, but nonetheless like

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Speaker 2: show me the money, like where are the deals, where

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Speaker 2: the checks being signed? How do they work out? Like

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Speaker 2: a Microsoft and Constellation Energy. So to this exact point,

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Speaker 2: I was able to speak with Energy Energy CEO Larry Coben.

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Speaker 2: He's been in this industry for decades and decades and decades.

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Speaker 2: It's one of the stocks along with Constellation and Vistra

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Speaker 2: that moves like an AI stock because they're the ones

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Speaker 2: that power the environment. And I asked him first if

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Speaker 2: the rising power growth demand that we've seen is actually

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Speaker 2: been driven by this power.

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Speaker 3: Demand and AI no, I think it's a lot of things.

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Speaker 9: It's also on shoring of manufacturing. For example, here in Texas,

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Speaker 9: there's a one gig Samsung plant that's going to be

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Speaker 9: opened in a couple of years. It's the Internet of things,

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Speaker 9: it's smart homes, people are just it's electric cars. People

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Speaker 9: are just using more electricity in ways that they never

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Speaker 9: did before. And as a result of that, that's part

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Speaker 9: of the demand cycle. Obviously, data centers are a big

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Speaker 9: part of it, but data centers aside, all of the

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Speaker 9: people who build data centers also are involved with cloud

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Speaker 9: and a whole slew of other services search that we

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Speaker 9: don't think about because we've had them for so long,

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Speaker 9: but growth for those is increasing every.

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Speaker 5: Bit as much.

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Speaker 2: And you guys are one of the largest independent power

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Speaker 2: producers in the United States, right, so you can really

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Speaker 2: take advantage of this. Where is the biggest demand for

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Speaker 2: what kind of power? Give me some insights into the

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Speaker 2: conversations you're having right now.

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Speaker 5: Sure.

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Speaker 9: I think, you know, competitive markets, the two biggest ones

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Speaker 9: would be Texas and PJAM in the northeast. Texas is

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Speaker 9: a primary focus for us that we do have a

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Speaker 9: strong PJAM presence. One of the things we like about

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Speaker 9: Texas is it has a friendlier permitting environment and it

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Speaker 9: has one public Utilities Commission.

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Speaker 5: And one governor.

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Speaker 9: Urkatt has thirteen states in it plus the District of Columbia.

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Speaker 9: So that's fourteen commissions, fourteen governor like people, and furk

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Speaker 9: which doesn't have any jurisdiction here. So but I think

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Speaker 9: you're going to see data centers in all of these places,

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Speaker 9: and every and in other places where economic growth is

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Speaker 9: going on. It's not going to be limited, but I

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Speaker 9: think Texas is going to be first.

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Speaker 2: Do you think that the hyperscale or hype about how

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Speaker 2: much they're going to spend on power demand is real

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Speaker 2: fall short?

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Speaker 5: I think yes. I mean it won't fall It will

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Speaker 5: not fall short. It may even go up.

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Speaker 3: Okay.

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Speaker 9: And the reason I think that is, you know, it's

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Speaker 9: interesting after Deep Seek, every was super concerned about that,

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Speaker 9: and then three of the hyperscalers came out and essentially

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Speaker 9: doubled their capital commitments. Now if they actually, after looking

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Speaker 9: at deepseek, decide it's going to be twice as much,

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Speaker 9: then that gives me a great deal of comfort.

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Speaker 5: The power demand is going to be there.

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Speaker 9: And you know, I know everybody's talking about Gevins paradox

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Speaker 9: because everyone has now googled it for the first time.

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Speaker 9: I'm actually old enough to remember what it was originally.

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Speaker 9: But you know, I think people will start using this

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Speaker 9: more and more. I already see it. In our business,

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Speaker 9: we were using enormous amounts of AI and customer service

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Speaker 9: and we're only just scratching the surface.

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Speaker 2: Speaking of you're going to be developing five point four

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Speaker 2: gigawatts by twenty thirty two, right, how much of that

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Speaker 2: is going to be fully contracted and how much of

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Speaker 2: that will be more merchant spot price.

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Speaker 5: You know, we have.

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Speaker 9: One point five gigs that is shovel ready that will

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Speaker 9: probably go Most of that will go directly into the

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Speaker 9: Texas market. Okay, anything we build beyond that, I would

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Speaker 9: anticipate would be fully contracted for related either to a

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Speaker 9: data center or another kind.

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Speaker 5: Of large user along the way.

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Speaker 9: We are not in the business of taking merchant risks

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Speaker 9: some of the other folks are. We actually like to

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Speaker 9: protect our downside and give ourselves a lot of optionality

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Speaker 9: to the upside so that we don't have to care

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Speaker 9: whether the growth is two percent or ten percent. Both

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Speaker 9: of those are ginormous for us.

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Speaker 2: So what kind of pricing are we talking about for

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Speaker 2: a gas fire plant, for.

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Speaker 3: Renewable for other power? Like, what does it look like

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Speaker 3: right now?

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Speaker 9: I mean gas fired plants. We think there can be

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Speaker 9: done for fifteen hundred to two thousand a kW installed.

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Speaker 9: The ones that are shovel ready beuse we started on

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Speaker 9: them five years ago, will be much less.

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Speaker 5: But if you're not in the.

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Speaker 9: Business actively doing it, you're going to have a hard

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Speaker 9: time hitting the top end of the range. Renewable pricing

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Speaker 9: hasn't changed dramatically. It's just that the load curve is

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Speaker 9: changing as people need. There's more twenty four to seven

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Speaker 9: power use coming in. And you know, sun doesn't shine

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Speaker 9: at night, wind doesn't always blow.

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Speaker 5: But renewable aren't dead.

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Speaker 9: They're going to be sure, yes, actually I am sure, okay,

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Speaker 9: because there's still a place for them when they're working

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Speaker 9: in conjunction with gas plants, I mean part of our portfolio.

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Speaker 9: Now we actually shut off our fossil fuel plants during

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Speaker 9: the day when there's a lot of salta in win

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Speaker 9: in Texas. We buy from the grid their power and

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Speaker 9: sell it to our customers, generating it ourselves. Those options

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Speaker 9: are still going to be available, at least in competitive markets.

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Speaker 2: Well, speaking of your renewable unit is thirty percent of

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Speaker 2: your annual earnings right and it's twenty percent of the

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Speaker 2: renewable market share here in the US.

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Speaker 3: How much do you think that can grow for you?

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Speaker 9: I are renewable. You know, we generally actually contract for

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Speaker 9: renewables rather than own them. It's a strange thing because

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Speaker 9: we own two coal plants. Everyone else gets cheaper renewable

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Speaker 9: capital than we do, even though we're a big company

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Speaker 9: and quite good at this, and as a result, what

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Speaker 9: we generally do is contract for that power from other developers.

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Speaker 9: Right now, we've got two gigs and we're probably going

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Speaker 9: to have a solicitation for more going forward. So I

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Speaker 9: still see it as an integral part of our strategy,

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Speaker 9: and a lot of them also will be driven by

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Speaker 9: what the customers want. So the end of the day,

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Speaker 9: we are in the customer service business, not the electricity business.

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Speaker 9: So it's our job to sell you the kind of

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Speaker 9: electrons that you want in terms of you know, time, place.

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Speaker 5: And fuel and fuel generation. So if you.

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Speaker 9: Want green electrons, decarbonized electrons, we will have them and

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Speaker 9: we will sell them to you.

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Speaker 3: Thank you.

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Speaker 2: In terms of in terms of the actual agreements, how

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Speaker 2: many agreements are you talking about? That's like, hey, we're

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Speaker 2: going to sign like yeah, yeah, well we like your electricity,

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Speaker 2: will sign in versus like firm demand.

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Speaker 3: Here's your paycheck.

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Speaker 5: You know we do this every day.

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Speaker 9: We actually supply power already to every one of the hyperscalers.

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Speaker 9: We have the second largest commercial CNI electricity book in

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Speaker 9: the country and the largest natural gas one. So we

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Speaker 9: sign those kinds of arrange when some of them are

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Speaker 9: short terms, some of them are long term. I think

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Speaker 9: the new data center ones will all be at least

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Speaker 9: ten and probably closer to twenty years. ABA is we

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Speaker 9: won't want to dedicate our site to something that's less

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Speaker 9: than that. B. We won't want to build a dedicated

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Speaker 9: power plant for less than that. And see, if you're

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Speaker 9: going to pay all that money for those chips and

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Speaker 9: to build a data center, which actually costs more than

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Speaker 9: a power plant, you're going to want that kind of stability.

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Speaker 5: For an extended period of time.

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Speaker 9: So I think a lot of those are going to

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Speaker 9: be fixed price deals off market with power scale. They

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Speaker 9: will still be in front of the meter because people

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Speaker 9: will want to be connected to the grid, but they

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Speaker 9: will definitely be long term fixed contracts.

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Speaker 3: How soon are you're signing more of those.

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Speaker 9: Stay tuned pair question? You know, my next earning is

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Speaker 9: call is may. It will not be then, okay, but

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Speaker 9: you know we're working on these as fast as we

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Speaker 9: possibly can. They're complicated. People, you know, think electricity is

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Speaker 9: just like flicking a switch. It's super complicated. But we

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Speaker 9: are making substantial progress towards some very interesting transactions. Talking

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Speaker 9: both to hyper scalers and to developers were I let.

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Speaker 3: You go though. What makes it complicated? Is it the pricing?

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Speaker 3: Is it? How to structure the deal?

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Speaker 2: Like? Is your power going to the grid and then

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Speaker 2: selling back to the hyper scale?

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Speaker 9: Like?

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Speaker 3: What makes it so hard?

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Speaker 9: You need interconnection agreement, you need a construction agreement, you

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Speaker 9: need a turbine agreement. Now you know, we have all

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Speaker 9: of these in place generically, but they all need to

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Speaker 9: be site specific. You need to decide how big a

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Speaker 9: data center you want to put on the site. How

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Speaker 9: fast are you going to grow that data center? So

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Speaker 9: are you going to start at two hundred megs and

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Speaker 9: go up two hundred a year? Do you want to

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Speaker 9: start at a gig? So what makes it complicated is

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Speaker 9: putting all of those pieces together, and what people forget

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Speaker 9: is actually for this type of data center is new,

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Speaker 9: unlike existing data centers where people have done lots of them.

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Speaker 9: There aren't a lot of AI data centers out there yet.

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Speaker 9: But it's complicated, but so is general power plant developed

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Speaker 9: and all the permitting and those things. So it's nothing

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Speaker 9: that we're worried about. It's something we actually think we're

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Speaker 9: pretty good at.

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Speaker 2: Buth Sailors are willing to put down that money.

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Speaker 3: You're showing up knocking on your door. They're there, They're there, Okay,

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Speaker 3: they're there.

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Speaker 9: We're there, and you know, because of the agreements we

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Speaker 9: announced last week, the turbines and the contractors are there.

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Speaker 2: That was Larry Coben Energy ce Energy Energy uh CEO.

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Speaker 2: A big part of that though, too, is these guys

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Speaker 2: are going to go through a big CAPEC cycle because

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Speaker 2: of this. Right, So those how those agreements are structured,

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Speaker 2: which I was trying to understand is very complicated but

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Speaker 2: also necessary, so they have the visibility to then spend

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Speaker 2: that CAPEX.

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Speaker 3: So curious still owed to have what there's a really

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Speaker 3: going to look like.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, but I mean, just listening to me seems bullish

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Speaker 4: and uh bullish on the state of Texas. Oh yeah, yeah,

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Speaker 4: I just I learned something new that John Tucker and

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Speaker 4: I we know that they have their own grid in Texas.

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Speaker 4: They're not on part of any.

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Speaker 2: Of the They read the grid, We read the grid.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, but that exempts him from a lot of furk oversight.

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Speaker 4: Federal Energy, your regulatory commission. That's good for doing business.

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Speaker 3: Oh yeah, why didn't they all go there?

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Speaker 4: Yeah, energy Energy, I'm looking at it.

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Speaker 8: Here's good stock.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, it's done pretty well.

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Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence Podcast. Catch us live

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Speaker 1: weekdays at ten am Eastern on Apple, Coarclay, and Android

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Speaker 1: Auto with the Bloomberg Business app. Listen on demand wherever

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Speaker 1: you get your podcasts, or watch us live on YouTube.

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Speaker 2: Wrapping up all my interviews at Sarah Week again. That

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Speaker 2: is SMP Globals Energy Conference. It's once a year. It's

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Speaker 2: in Houston, Texas. All the energy industry players and CEOs come,

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Speaker 2: they talk, they schmooz, they meet a shareholders, maybe they

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Speaker 2: make deals, they talk behind closed doors. And obviously in

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Speaker 2: the middle of all of this, we're getting tariff headlines

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Speaker 2: right and left. So I was able to sit down

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Speaker 2: and speak with Greg Abel. He is CEO of Enbridge Energy.

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Speaker 2: It's a Canadian midstream oil and gas company. I say Canadian,

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Speaker 2: but it's maybe North America. They have pipelines that range

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Speaker 2: from oil, natural gas, energy transport all across the US

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Speaker 2: and Canada. So he's a really good read on all

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Speaker 2: of this.

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Speaker 3: I asked him straight up.

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Speaker 2: I was like, how hard is your life right now?

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Speaker 7: Well, forty three states, eight provinces, five countries, it's just

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Speaker 7: another day, another day.

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Speaker 8: You've got to focus on fundamentals. What do we know.

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Speaker 7: Energy's going to flow, has to flow. It's the lifeblood

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Speaker 7: of everybody's economy. Consumers want cheap prices. That means provide

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Speaker 7: as much supply as economically possible and try to stay

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Speaker 7: out of the way of policy and politicians in the

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Speaker 7: short term and focus on the long term.

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Speaker 8: And so we're continuing to do that. We've got twenty.

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Speaker 7: Seven billion dollars projects that we're going to execute through

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Speaker 7: twenty twenty.

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Speaker 2: Seven, and any of that question marked on hold, put

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Speaker 2: on the sidelines on pause because of the turmoil in

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Speaker 2: the market and because of the headlines on tariffs.

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Speaker 7: No, and here's why, Well, they're already signed up contracts.

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Speaker 7: People need that energy. It takes multiple years to build

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Speaker 7: that infrastructure. Most of the product that we need for

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Speaker 7: those is are already in and i'll say steal for example,

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Speaker 7: largely domestically produced in the United States. We're in Canada

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Speaker 7: for projects there. So you do need think three or

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Speaker 7: four steps ahead. But when you've been around better part

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Speaker 7: of a century in your long term energy infrastructure.

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Speaker 8: I'm paid to do that every day, and so are

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Speaker 8: our people.

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Speaker 2: But does that building and all that cappacks get more

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Speaker 2: expensive if the material gets more expensive?

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Speaker 7: It could, It could, so we have to be again,

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Speaker 7: you try to lock that in as soon as possible.

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Speaker 8: One of the benefits of running a large pipeline.

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Speaker 7: System largely regulated economic regulation beyond just you can pass

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Speaker 7: through some costs if they're reasonably so. Again, big buyer,

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Speaker 7: as you said, largest pipeline operator in North America.

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Speaker 8: We buy a lot of stuff, and I think we've.

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Speaker 7: Got a certain amount of power to be able to

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Speaker 7: get the best deals possible, and then from a competitive perspective,

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Speaker 7: if some prices have to be passed through, fine, but

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Speaker 7: generally speaking we lock those ino.

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Speaker 3: Have you seen any change in oil flows as.

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Speaker 7: Of yet, No, quite the contrary. So January February flows

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Speaker 7: out of Canada have been.

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Speaker 8: Close to record highs.

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Speaker 7: We'll see if that continues, but I think people may

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Speaker 7: be getting ahead of those exports under the Gulf Coast,

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Speaker 7: where the largest exporter of oil out of the United States.

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Speaker 7: That continues to be very robust as allies and customers

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Speaker 7: overseas want to continue to get there. And it was

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Speaker 7: a pretty coold winter, so natural gas was used predominantly

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Speaker 7: to keep people warm and electricity going and industry flying.

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Speaker 8: So starts of the year has been pretty good.

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Speaker 2: If we do see continued tariffs on Canadian oil, do

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Speaker 2: you think the price then discounts and then producers responding

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Speaker 2: kind So our.

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Speaker 8: Pipeline is exactly built for that.

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Speaker 7: So it's been a long time been a discount in Canada, right,

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Speaker 7: Lots of production trying to get down to lots of

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Speaker 7: demand here in the United States. So the more we

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Speaker 7: can build pipelines, the less they're are discounts, but we'll

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Speaker 7: have to see how the shakes out. It's early days.

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Speaker 7: I keep saying everybody needs to take a breath. Everybody

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Speaker 7: needs to be focused on the long term and recall

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Speaker 7: that our people, our economy, the two countries need each

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Speaker 7: other and they need Amergy.

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Speaker 2: No, we're media, we want answers now. But what it

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Speaker 2: does seem to highlight though, is Canada's need for other

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Speaker 2: export partners and I'm wondering what the stomach is to

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Speaker 2: build up pipelines to Western Canada.

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Speaker 7: I'm consciously hopeful, and didn't say optimistic, but hopeful for

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Speaker 7: several reasons. One, it's going to be a change in

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Speaker 7: government in Canada, and one way or the other is

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Speaker 7: going to be a new prime minister here in the

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Speaker 7: next little while.

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Speaker 8: Maybe two we'll have to see.

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Speaker 7: I'm not the politician here, and I think Canadians are

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Speaker 7: united that you know, it's a challenge to be so

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Speaker 7: tied to a single economy, even if it is the

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Speaker 7: best economy in the world, And therefore there's opportunities to

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Speaker 7: move off. At least the West coast and maybe the

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Speaker 7: East coast. Canada did have an opportunity ten years ago

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Speaker 7: to be the leader in llenship and tripped over itself

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Speaker 7: not to be able to get there. I think many

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Speaker 7: Canadians probably regret that. I hope policymakers reget that. But

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Speaker 7: you know, we make a mistake once wille you don't

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Speaker 7: make it, and that will create an opportunity and still

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Speaker 7: will be the largest provider of oil and natural guess United.

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Speaker 2: States tooken Things floated like maybe the government could tax

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Speaker 2: exports and that would then pay for a pipeline, particularly

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Speaker 2: maybe from east to west that the government could just

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Speaker 2: help pay for these kind of pipelines. Is that, as

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Speaker 2: I said, all from where you are, Yeah, I.

441
00:21:19,800 --> 00:21:22,280
Speaker 8: Don't think that's That's not a logical way to go, right.

442
00:21:22,359 --> 00:21:24,920
Speaker 7: I mean, the government had to step into a pipeline

443
00:21:24,920 --> 00:21:26,880
Speaker 7: and one that does go to the West coast ended

444
00:21:26,920 --> 00:21:29,320
Speaker 7: up being a multiple of what it would have cost

445
00:21:29,359 --> 00:21:31,760
Speaker 7: in the private sector one and then two, you would

446
00:21:31,800 --> 00:21:34,159
Speaker 7: really be asking for a real burden to be placed

447
00:21:34,200 --> 00:21:38,399
Speaker 7: on Western Canada as the largest producer of almost the

448
00:21:38,440 --> 00:21:41,280
Speaker 7: sole producer of oil out of Canada. I don't think

449
00:21:41,320 --> 00:21:45,160
Speaker 7: a Canadian politician that's thinking about national unity would want

450
00:21:45,160 --> 00:21:48,560
Speaker 7: to impose one tariff on one part of the country

451
00:21:49,800 --> 00:21:51,200
Speaker 7: this to benefit another productice.

452
00:21:51,440 --> 00:21:53,399
Speaker 2: So what would incite the private sector to want to

453
00:21:53,400 --> 00:21:54,200
Speaker 2: do something like that.

454
00:21:54,359 --> 00:21:57,000
Speaker 7: Well, new permitting rules, just like here in the United States.

455
00:21:57,000 --> 00:22:00,439
Speaker 7: In Canada, which is worse? Well, they're both challe I

456
00:22:00,480 --> 00:22:04,200
Speaker 7: don't know which is worse. I think momentum is towards

457
00:22:04,240 --> 00:22:07,480
Speaker 7: regulatory simplicity here in the United States, and I hope

458
00:22:07,520 --> 00:22:09,119
Speaker 7: we get the same in Canada. And I have to

459
00:22:09,119 --> 00:22:11,520
Speaker 7: make decisions every day. Am I investing in Cana in

460
00:22:11,560 --> 00:22:14,600
Speaker 7: the United States? So permitting is a big issue. Speed

461
00:22:14,760 --> 00:22:20,360
Speaker 7: of permitting is a big issue, support for proper taxation regimes,

462
00:22:20,400 --> 00:22:22,800
Speaker 7: et cetera. Those are all decisions I have to make.

463
00:22:22,880 --> 00:22:26,240
Speaker 7: Both capital markets are excellent, but I would say the

464
00:22:26,280 --> 00:22:30,560
Speaker 7: permitting and regulatory regime is quite problematic in Canada.

465
00:22:31,000 --> 00:22:34,840
Speaker 2: The other sort of non related tear of demand driver

466
00:22:35,280 --> 00:22:37,520
Speaker 2: potentially is AI and data centers.

467
00:22:37,600 --> 00:22:39,359
Speaker 3: Right, how do you play in.

468
00:22:39,240 --> 00:22:40,600
Speaker 8: That multiple ways?

469
00:22:40,600 --> 00:22:44,480
Speaker 7: So we again, being such a large producer or large

470
00:22:44,520 --> 00:22:47,640
Speaker 7: shipper of natural gas, probably the best way in which

471
00:22:47,680 --> 00:22:51,080
Speaker 7: those data centers will be fueled is natural gas fire generation.

472
00:22:51,520 --> 00:22:54,159
Speaker 7: So we are building pipelines now for great companies like

473
00:22:54,240 --> 00:22:58,640
Speaker 7: Duke Tva, et cetera. Here in the United States, and

474
00:22:58,680 --> 00:23:01,320
Speaker 7: those will be for new go out plus power plants.

475
00:23:01,560 --> 00:23:03,920
Speaker 7: Some of those electrons are quite certain will go to

476
00:23:04,640 --> 00:23:05,399
Speaker 7: meet this demand.

477
00:23:05,400 --> 00:23:07,280
Speaker 8: On the air front, we serve.

478
00:23:07,240 --> 00:23:09,800
Speaker 7: Ninety percent of the gas fire generations, saying a province

479
00:23:09,880 --> 00:23:13,600
Speaker 7: like them Ontario, they're trying to track more and more AI.

480
00:23:13,760 --> 00:23:16,520
Speaker 8: So we will build the infrastructure.

481
00:23:16,080 --> 00:23:19,800
Speaker 7: The storage, the transportation, et cetera to fuel those plants,

482
00:23:19,840 --> 00:23:22,560
Speaker 7: which will then allow the data centers to be connected.

483
00:23:23,160 --> 00:23:28,240
Speaker 7: Something like you know, the vast majority of data centers

484
00:23:29,000 --> 00:23:32,520
Speaker 7: are being within fifty miles of our pipeline. That's a

485
00:23:32,640 --> 00:23:35,480
Speaker 7: pretty attractive right across North America for us to be

486
00:23:35,520 --> 00:23:36,159
Speaker 7: able to utilize.

487
00:23:36,160 --> 00:23:37,160
Speaker 8: So I'm excited about that.

488
00:23:37,200 --> 00:23:39,560
Speaker 7: I mean a lot to see how it all shakes out. Yeah,

489
00:23:39,560 --> 00:23:42,080
Speaker 7: but you know, steady growth, and we also have a

490
00:23:42,119 --> 00:23:45,000
Speaker 7: renewable power business, and some of those data centers want

491
00:23:45,000 --> 00:23:47,480
Speaker 7: to use renewable power. So we've signed up new customers

492
00:23:47,560 --> 00:23:51,680
Speaker 7: like Amazon and Meta and Toyota and Pepsi.

493
00:23:52,560 --> 00:23:54,720
Speaker 8: So you'll see a lot of those players that are

494
00:23:54,720 --> 00:23:56,320
Speaker 8: looking for power. We're going to need all of that.

495
00:23:57,200 --> 00:24:00,440
Speaker 2: What was elected to have those conversations with like Toyota

496
00:24:00,480 --> 00:24:03,240
Speaker 2: and Amazon, Like what did it contract a long power

497
00:24:03,280 --> 00:24:05,159
Speaker 2: purchase agreement and what was that like to come to

498
00:24:05,200 --> 00:24:05,639
Speaker 2: a price?

499
00:24:06,320 --> 00:24:09,120
Speaker 7: So the price is largely set by natural gas, even

500
00:24:09,160 --> 00:24:11,880
Speaker 7: if you're buying renewables. Right, So the price is out there,

501
00:24:11,920 --> 00:24:13,240
Speaker 7: and then you're trying to create a little bit of

502
00:24:13,280 --> 00:24:14,280
Speaker 7: an escalator.

503
00:24:14,640 --> 00:24:15,440
Speaker 8: They see the.

504
00:24:15,440 --> 00:24:19,879
Speaker 7: Need for Stable six nine's reliability power, but they also

505
00:24:19,920 --> 00:24:22,200
Speaker 7: want to meet some of their sustainability.

506
00:24:21,440 --> 00:24:23,120
Speaker 3: Goals right now in a different environment.

507
00:24:23,119 --> 00:24:25,560
Speaker 7: Absolutely that means they will get a mix of gas

508
00:24:25,880 --> 00:24:28,160
Speaker 7: and they will get a mix of renewables as well.

509
00:24:28,240 --> 00:24:30,200
Speaker 8: Right, So we need it all.

510
00:24:30,280 --> 00:24:32,760
Speaker 7: I think that's probably the message that comes out North

511
00:24:32,760 --> 00:24:37,800
Speaker 7: America to be fortress America, North America to be energy superiority.

512
00:24:37,960 --> 00:24:39,439
Speaker 8: We're going to need it all. We're gonna need all

513
00:24:39,480 --> 00:24:40,480
Speaker 8: the We're gonna need all the gas.

514
00:24:40,520 --> 00:24:44,400
Speaker 7: We need cooperation in any permitting reform, and that first

515
00:24:44,400 --> 00:24:47,879
Speaker 7: and foremost is going to sue the consumer. Consumers are voters,

516
00:24:47,960 --> 00:24:50,000
Speaker 7: and I think that wins before I let you go.

517
00:24:50,160 --> 00:24:52,920
Speaker 2: There's obviously a lot of concern about recession. It fears

518
00:24:53,200 --> 00:24:55,960
Speaker 2: among terror fears, et cetera. Are you not seeing any

519
00:24:56,040 --> 00:24:57,320
Speaker 2: slowdown in demand?

520
00:24:57,880 --> 00:25:02,400
Speaker 7: So I am starting to see some impacts VSV housing.

521
00:25:02,920 --> 00:25:05,280
Speaker 7: You know, what's going to happen with interest rates, with sessions,

522
00:25:05,280 --> 00:25:08,120
Speaker 7: et cetera. If you're not quite certain about being able

523
00:25:08,119 --> 00:25:10,800
Speaker 7: to afford a house or your job, et cetera, then

524
00:25:11,200 --> 00:25:13,440
Speaker 7: you know, as many houses as we might need, they're

525
00:25:13,440 --> 00:25:14,480
Speaker 7: maybe not getting built.

526
00:25:14,680 --> 00:25:15,919
Speaker 8: But that's about it today.

527
00:25:16,040 --> 00:25:18,560
Speaker 7: I mean, I think we have to realize there's been

528
00:25:18,600 --> 00:25:20,560
Speaker 7: a lot of talk of tariffs yet, but we've yet

529
00:25:20,600 --> 00:25:23,560
Speaker 7: seen a month or two of tariffs. I think when

530
00:25:23,560 --> 00:25:26,200
Speaker 7: that kicks in, you may see some impacts, which is.

531
00:25:26,119 --> 00:25:27,240
Speaker 8: The benefit of our model.

532
00:25:27,280 --> 00:25:31,400
Speaker 7: Our model largely irregulated, steady as she goes dividend pair

533
00:25:31,560 --> 00:25:34,480
Speaker 7: we've increased the dividend for thirty years in a row

534
00:25:34,720 --> 00:25:38,320
Speaker 7: and then financial guidance for nineteen years in a row. Recessions,

535
00:25:38,440 --> 00:25:41,640
Speaker 7: no recessions one type of government or another. So yeah,

536
00:25:41,680 --> 00:25:44,400
Speaker 7: we often see the stuff first, but fortunately the structures

537
00:25:44,440 --> 00:25:45,280
Speaker 7: we have still a low.

538
00:25:45,280 --> 00:25:45,840
Speaker 8: Is to perform.

539
00:25:47,000 --> 00:25:50,679
Speaker 2: That was greg able. He is entered Enbridge CEO, joining

540
00:25:50,720 --> 00:25:53,199
Speaker 2: me from Sarah Week. So clearly all the CEOs are

541
00:25:53,240 --> 00:25:56,119
Speaker 2: going to say how they're well insulated, they have the

542
00:25:56,200 --> 00:25:59,200
Speaker 2: right structure for any kind of economic downturn, YadA, YadA.

543
00:25:59,240 --> 00:26:01,800
Speaker 2: But the point is is that if you move stuff

544
00:26:01,920 --> 00:26:05,800
Speaker 2: between Canada and the US, and that relationship is fractured,

545
00:26:06,160 --> 00:26:09,280
Speaker 2: and even if it's not permanent, it feels like the

546
00:26:10,280 --> 00:26:12,680
Speaker 2: move towards hey, guys, we need to find different export

547
00:26:12,720 --> 00:26:14,440
Speaker 2: market wouldn't be insane at this point.

548
00:26:14,560 --> 00:26:17,719
Speaker 4: No, it wouldn't, you know, he said, just it's amazing

549
00:26:17,760 --> 00:26:20,800
Speaker 4: how you know how they're where they're located. Forty eight states,

550
00:26:20,840 --> 00:26:24,679
Speaker 4: ten provinces, five countries, So I mean they are exposed

551
00:26:25,119 --> 00:26:26,800
Speaker 4: in a big way, especially them with their stock. It's

552
00:26:26,840 --> 00:26:28,320
Speaker 4: kind of flat year to date, but it's up twenty

553
00:26:28,320 --> 00:26:30,480
Speaker 4: five percent on a trailing twelve month basis, as are

554
00:26:31,000 --> 00:26:35,000
Speaker 4: a lot of those midstream stocks all performing pretty well.

555
00:26:35,119 --> 00:26:35,359
Speaker 3: Yep.

556
00:26:35,480 --> 00:26:37,199
Speaker 2: Because you need it, you got to move it. And

557
00:26:37,200 --> 00:26:38,720
Speaker 2: at the end of the day, like you can have

558
00:26:38,800 --> 00:26:40,960
Speaker 2: all the power that you want, all the commodities you want,

559
00:26:41,040 --> 00:26:43,440
Speaker 2: you can't move. It doesn't matter. And that's where these

560
00:26:43,480 --> 00:26:45,240
Speaker 2: guys come into play.

561
00:26:45,359 --> 00:26:50,080
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562
00:26:50,280 --> 00:26:53,720
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563
00:26:53,760 --> 00:26:57,480
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564
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565
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566
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