WEBVTT - NFL Pro Quarterly Report 0:00:00.250 --> 0:00:04.240 Welcome to the NFL pros Q1 quarterly report. Thank you 0:00:04.250 --> 0:00:07.380 for listening on the iHeartRadio app, Apple podcasts, or wherever 0:00:07.420 --> 0:00:09.800 you guys get your podcasts. Be sure to follow and 0:00:09.840 --> 0:00:10.780 subscribe to the show. 0:00:11.660 --> 0:00:14.660 Welcome to the opening bell of NFL pro here on 0:00:14.940 --> 0:00:18.180 NFL media. I'm Trevor Sycamore. That's Brett Coleman. 0:00:27.540 --> 0:00:30.020 That's a stock exchange intro for me. But the reason 0:00:30.060 --> 0:00:31.940 why we're doing the stock exchange intro is because it's 0:00:31.960 --> 0:00:35.120 time for the quarterly report around the NFL, baby. We're 0:00:35.159 --> 0:00:38.019 doing a little stock watch, a little stock update on 0:00:38.060 --> 0:00:41.420 how these teams and players have done so far this season. 0:00:41.460 --> 0:00:43.300 We're mainly going to be looking at teams that either 0:00:43.700 --> 0:00:44.240 beat or. 0:00:44.260 --> 0:00:46.949 Didn't beat expectations that we had for them early in 0:00:46.979 --> 0:00:49.570 the season. We're going to take a look at some takes, Brett, 0:00:49.950 --> 0:00:53.590 that we had in the preseason episode that we already 0:00:53.630 --> 0:00:54.770 have to revisit for good. 0:00:56.440 --> 0:00:57.920 Not so good reasons. 0:00:57.980 --> 0:01:00.770 We're kind of going to identify some really good assets 0:01:00.910 --> 0:01:03.570 and liabilities around the NFL. We're going to have a 0:01:03.590 --> 0:01:06.430 lot of fun here, just really wrapping up what we've 0:01:06.450 --> 0:01:07.650 seen through four weeks of the season. 0:01:07.670 --> 0:01:09.309 Brett, how you doing, my friend? I got a lot 0:01:09.330 --> 0:01:11.560 of stuff wrong this summer. I don't know about you, 0:01:11.590 --> 0:01:13.839 but it feels like the first four weeks of this season, 0:01:14.600 --> 0:01:17.320 I have been more wrong than ever. I'm not afraid 0:01:17.340 --> 0:01:21.100 to admit that, but this has been a wacky first month. 0:01:21.880 --> 0:01:24.680 The people love when we're wrong, of course. I hope 0:01:24.720 --> 0:01:27.200 that they come to this show and our expertise for 0:01:27.240 --> 0:01:29.780 when we're right, but they love for us to remind 0:01:29.840 --> 0:01:32.280 ourselves of when we were wrong. And, you know, I 0:01:32.340 --> 0:01:35.060 think that I had some good takes going into the preseason. 0:01:35.760 --> 0:01:38.920 But there's two specifically. 0:01:38.180 --> 0:01:41.280 That I do have to address here on the show, which, Brett, 0:01:41.300 --> 0:01:43.440 I think is a great way to intro our first segment, 0:01:43.459 --> 0:01:46.460 which is the earnings report here four weeks into the 0:01:46.459 --> 0:01:49.750 2026 NFL season. Let's take a look at some teams 0:01:49.770 --> 0:01:53.770 that either beat expectations or fell short of the expectations 0:01:54.090 --> 0:01:56.570 that we had for them. Let's start with the teams 0:01:57.050 --> 0:01:59.430 that have beaten expectations. Let's start on a good note. 0:01:59.450 --> 0:02:00.910 We've got four teams that we want to take a 0:02:00.930 --> 0:02:02.350 look at, and the first one that I want to 0:02:02.370 --> 0:02:04.840 look at is the Minnesota Vikings. Now, with all these 0:02:04.880 --> 0:02:08.079 teams we'll discuss here, we'll talk about and identify why 0:02:08.139 --> 0:02:10.280 they have beaten expectations, and then we'll give you a 0:02:10.280 --> 0:02:11.779 little bit of a buy or sell. Hey, are we 0:02:11.919 --> 0:02:16.100 buying them beating or falling short of expectations, or are 0:02:16.160 --> 0:02:16.580 we selling? 0:02:16.600 --> 0:02:18.210 Do we think that it's going to go a different direction? 0:02:19.490 --> 0:02:23.489 And he's sacked by Dallas Turner. 0:02:24.430 --> 0:02:27.340 The Minnesota Vikings are sitting here at 4-0. And this 0:02:27.410 --> 0:02:31.680 is my first admission of fault. I said that Kyler 0:02:31.700 --> 0:02:33.620 Murray was in for a career year. I said that 0:02:33.680 --> 0:02:35.359 if he was fully healthy, we were going to see 0:02:35.380 --> 0:02:38.380 some fireworks here for Kyler Murray. And the Vikings are 0:02:38.400 --> 0:02:43.800 4-0 on the season. But Kyler is not the main 0:02:43.860 --> 0:02:46.200 catalyst as to why that is the case. 0:02:46.440 --> 0:02:48.040 Brett, I just want to ask you. 0:02:48.960 --> 0:02:54.100 You're buying or selling the Vikings beating expectations and being 0:02:54.120 --> 0:02:54.360 4-0 here. 0:02:55.440 --> 0:02:57.410 I think this is the weirdest one we'll talk about 0:02:57.810 --> 0:03:00.670 in this section because in a way they've met expectations. 0:03:01.669 --> 0:03:04.810 Because we knew going into the season, hey, this was 0:03:04.850 --> 0:03:07.350 a nine-win football team last year with bad quarterback play. 0:03:07.410 --> 0:03:09.299 What happens if they get good quarterback play? And we 0:03:09.340 --> 0:03:11.519 thought Kyler Murray was going to give them good quarterback play. 0:03:12.160 --> 0:03:15.260 And they're undefeated, even without Kyler playing for all these games. 0:03:16.370 --> 0:03:19.190 And yet it doesn't feel that way. So they met 0:03:19.270 --> 0:03:21.570 expectations in terms of the win loss column. They have 0:03:21.610 --> 0:03:26.510 not met expectations in terms of just how they look 0:03:26.810 --> 0:03:29.410 like using our eyeballs and the eye test. 0:03:29.430 --> 0:03:32.410 Like this is not a good offense using the next 0:03:32.430 --> 0:03:33.090 gen eyeballs. 0:03:34.610 --> 0:03:36.370 I mean, sometimes that's really all it takes. Like you 0:03:36.410 --> 0:03:38.690 don't you don't necessarily need a lot of data to 0:03:38.730 --> 0:03:42.020 look at a Vikings game and be like, they can't score. Like, 0:03:42.080 --> 0:03:45.380 Will Reichardt might be MVP front-runner at this point. Customary 0:03:45.400 --> 0:03:50.580 5-for-5 on field goals, 31 straight. Will Reichardt! This is 0:03:50.660 --> 0:03:52.780 a team that can't stretch the field. They didn't have 0:03:52.820 --> 0:03:55.620 a single deep pass attempt last week without Justin Jefferson 0:03:55.660 --> 0:03:58.940 because when he's gone, they just don't have any ability 0:03:58.960 --> 0:04:01.100 to be explosive in the passing game. They're not good 0:04:01.160 --> 0:04:04.000 after the catch either. Fourth fewest yards after catch this year. 0:04:04.380 --> 0:04:07.420 They're down half their offensive line at this point. Donovan 0:04:07.440 --> 0:04:10.160 Jackson's going to miss the year. Darryl Saw's in concussion protocol. 0:04:10.880 --> 0:04:14.740 You know, the running backs aren't necessarily dynamic either. The 0:04:14.880 --> 0:04:19.420 only reason they have, I guess, met expectations is because 0:04:19.460 --> 0:04:22.440 their defense is incredible. But the offense can't do anything. 0:04:23.480 --> 0:04:27.020 So for me, it's an obvious sell because this is 0:04:27.060 --> 0:04:29.470 a very one-dimensional team that is hanging on by a 0:04:29.550 --> 0:04:32.350 thread and Maybe it's a hold, I guess you could say, 0:04:32.370 --> 0:04:34.550 because there's a possibility Kyler gets better, but are you 0:04:34.610 --> 0:04:38.460 really confident in that at this point? It's possible, but 0:04:39.060 --> 0:04:42.340 I look at the rot at the core of this offense, 0:04:42.400 --> 0:04:46.010 and I don't feel confident in that. So for now, sell. 0:04:46.270 --> 0:04:49.270 Maybe I'll buy back in later, but I... I don't 0:04:49.290 --> 0:04:51.910 feel good about it, especially compared to Chicago in their 0:04:51.930 --> 0:04:52.369 own division. 0:04:52.610 --> 0:04:53.190 Yeah, I'm with you. 0:04:53.410 --> 0:04:56.219 I'm selling the current version of what the Vikings are, meaning, hey, 0:04:56.330 --> 0:04:59.339 they're 4-0 in this current state. Do I think that 0:04:59.380 --> 0:05:01.320 that sustains? No. I mean, when you look at the 0:05:01.339 --> 0:05:06.560 quarterback situation in Kyler Murray, yeah, 45.3% win probability added. 0:05:06.600 --> 0:05:09.299 That's one of the lowest marks in the league. 13% 0:05:09.300 --> 0:05:10.790 0.4 sack. 0:05:10.610 --> 0:05:11.390 Percentage for him. 0:05:11.410 --> 0:05:12.750 It's also one of the lower marks in the league. 0:05:12.770 --> 0:05:14.570 I just don't think he sees what he's trusting. Now, 0:05:14.830 --> 0:05:16.919 I love what the defense is doing, but Brett, let's 0:05:16.960 --> 0:05:21.040 be honest. I mean, their 32.8% success rate allowed, that's 0:05:21.060 --> 0:05:24.240 the most in the league by 5%. And then when 0:05:24.260 --> 0:05:27.860 you look at their negative 55.7 total EPA allowed, that's 0:05:28.140 --> 0:05:30.730 the best by almost seven. So I want to give 0:05:30.770 --> 0:05:33.530 them their praise for how good they've been playing, but 0:05:33.610 --> 0:05:35.130 you can't sustain that for an entire season. 0:05:35.150 --> 0:05:41.060 So I'm also selling it. Let's go to the 49ers next. 0:05:41.420 --> 0:05:46.360 You buying or selling where the 49ers are beating expectations. 0:05:46.400 --> 0:05:48.400 I think they were the forgotten team in the quote 0:05:48.420 --> 0:05:50.219 unquote best division in football. 0:05:50.680 --> 0:05:53.960 I'm buying. I mean, I don't feel great about it 0:05:53.980 --> 0:05:56.609 just because I'm expecting the injuries to happen for this team. 0:05:56.790 --> 0:05:59.409 They've honestly already kind of happened for this team. They've 0:05:59.470 --> 0:06:03.250 never really gotten healthier as a season has gone on. 0:06:03.660 --> 0:06:06.239 But I'm still buying because what I see on the field, 0:06:06.580 --> 0:06:10.900 specifically out of Purdy and Shanahan, is just impossible to ignore. 0:06:11.380 --> 0:06:13.620 He is playing at an MVP level. I guess it's 0:06:13.640 --> 0:06:15.880 either him or Will Reichardt at this point. That was 0:06:15.960 --> 0:06:19.330 all Brock Purdy. Even with all of the receiver injuries 0:06:19.650 --> 0:06:21.830 and his top tight end is coming off an Achilles 0:06:21.850 --> 0:06:24.890 injury and somehow already hitting 20 miles per hour. I mean, 0:06:25.089 --> 0:06:26.830 God forbid a white guy has a little bit of motion. 0:06:27.870 --> 0:06:31.770 I am buying them for now. I understand everything. This team, 0:06:32.110 --> 0:06:34.520 they tend to not get healthier as the year goes on, 0:06:34.529 --> 0:06:37.070 and they've already taken on some injuries. But Purdy and 0:06:37.150 --> 0:06:40.130 Shanahan have been so dominant this year that it's impossible 0:06:40.190 --> 0:06:43.599 to ignore. And I think if they get over the 0:06:43.650 --> 0:06:47.220 Mike McDonald hump, really the sky is the limit for 0:06:47.260 --> 0:06:48.760 this team because I think Seattle is kind of the 0:06:48.800 --> 0:06:51.260 main thing that's standing in their way. If you go 0:06:51.300 --> 0:06:56.440 back to the division round last year, Purdy ran 833 0:06:56.440 --> 0:06:59.080 yards during that game just because of how much he 0:06:59.120 --> 0:07:04.610 had to scramble. and get away from pressure. JSN ran 0:07:04.610 --> 0:07:09.540 728 yards in that game. CMC ran 712 yards in 0:07:09.580 --> 0:07:13.110 that game. You have a quarterback outdoing the two most 0:07:13.250 --> 0:07:16.840 prominent skill position players on the field by over a 0:07:16.900 --> 0:07:19.080 hundred yards. That is how much pressure. 0:07:19.100 --> 0:07:21.140 Are you sure the tracking chip wasn't, you know, like 0:07:21.460 --> 0:07:23.640 Purdy was on the sideline on the bike, you know, 0:07:23.660 --> 0:07:25.600 and they were just like counting that as the yards 0:07:25.660 --> 0:07:26.060 on the field. 0:07:26.100 --> 0:07:26.540 Are you sure? 0:07:26.600 --> 0:07:27.870 Cause that's a crazy number. 0:07:28.460 --> 0:07:31.490 Again, just using our eyeballs, watching that game, you could 0:07:31.510 --> 0:07:33.350 have told me it was more. That's how much he 0:07:33.390 --> 0:07:35.430 was running. I don't know if he actually had more 0:07:35.470 --> 0:07:39.550 than five clean pockets that entire game. It was, it 0:07:39.590 --> 0:07:42.690 was awful. And even though the Niners are banged up 0:07:42.730 --> 0:07:44.870 right now, it's still nowhere near how banged up they 0:07:44.910 --> 0:07:46.830 were at the end of last season. So they do 0:07:46.870 --> 0:07:49.550 have a better shot of winning this game. Hell, we've 0:07:49.590 --> 0:07:53.630 seen a healthier 49ers team beat the Mike McDonald Seattle 0:07:53.650 --> 0:07:55.730 Seahawks before. They did it early last season. 0:07:56.250 --> 0:07:58.270 Look, if we go back to the preseason again, I 0:07:59.250 --> 0:08:02.960 said that this team would be missing the playoffs. A 0:08:03.010 --> 0:08:05.740 lot of uncertainty there. with that roster overall, and then 0:08:05.780 --> 0:08:07.520 you mount the injuries that they were kind of going 0:08:07.540 --> 0:08:09.700 through as well. I thought this team in this division 0:08:09.740 --> 0:08:12.280 were going to miss the playoffs, and yet here I am. 0:08:12.520 --> 0:08:13.570 They're 4-0. 0:08:14.080 --> 0:08:18.060 I have to buy how they are 4-0 because a 0:08:18.300 --> 0:08:20.100 lot of what I talked about, some of the run 0:08:20.140 --> 0:08:22.610 defense inefficiencies, some of the young guys having to get 0:08:22.630 --> 0:08:24.890 in there and play, the injuries that they are going through, 0:08:25.050 --> 0:08:26.530 all of that is still true with the Niners. 0:08:27.110 --> 0:08:29.640 And yet Brock Purdy is playing like an MVP. 0:08:29.800 --> 0:08:32.680 So as long as Brock Purdy plays like this, very clearly, 0:08:32.820 --> 0:08:35.300 even when they go against better opponents, I think you're 0:08:35.320 --> 0:08:37.240 going to be all right. So I'm buying the 49ers 0:08:37.340 --> 0:08:39.500 and where they are right now, because how do you 0:08:39.540 --> 0:08:41.980 doubt a quarterback who's playing as good as Brock Purdy? 0:08:47.760 --> 0:08:51.140 What about the Cleveland Browns here? Certainly above what a 0:08:51.179 --> 0:08:53.370 lot of people had as their expectations a quarter of 0:08:53.380 --> 0:08:55.680 the way through the season. You're buying or selling the 0:08:55.760 --> 0:08:57.870 Browns at the top of the division. 0:09:00.350 --> 0:09:03.670 I might regret this, but I'm buying it. All right, baby, 0:09:03.730 --> 0:09:07.500 let's go. It's really about the defense. It really is. 0:09:07.600 --> 0:09:10.340 Not that the offense has been horrible, but the defense, 0:09:10.380 --> 0:09:14.940 I think, is playing above expectations in a post-Miles Garrett world, right? 0:09:15.420 --> 0:09:18.089 They are 50% man coverage rate, which is the highest 0:09:18.120 --> 0:09:21.160 in the NFL. Even by Brown standards, that's high. This 0:09:21.179 --> 0:09:22.260 is a team that likes to play a lot of 0:09:22.300 --> 0:09:24.800 man coverage. They're just doing it more than ever right now. 0:09:25.040 --> 0:09:28.780 Their pressure rate on defense is 40.4%. That is sixth best. 0:09:29.450 --> 0:09:32.020 Even without Myles Garrett, Jared Versus played really well for them. 0:09:32.070 --> 0:09:34.550 Mason Graham played really well for them before he got injured, 0:09:34.590 --> 0:09:36.710 but he'll be back in a couple weeks. Their yak 0:09:36.809 --> 0:09:39.650 per reception on offense, that's really what's kept them afloat 0:09:39.750 --> 0:09:42.750 on the other side of the ball. 6.6 yards after 0:09:42.809 --> 0:09:46.230 catch per reception. That is sixth best in the NFL. 0:09:46.929 --> 0:09:50.189 If you take a top 10 defense in terms of 0:09:50.270 --> 0:09:53.880 points allowed, Since week two, the Jacksonville game, they got 0:09:53.920 --> 0:09:56.810 absolutely shelled. But since week two, they've been a top 0:09:56.809 --> 0:10:01.530 10 defense, plus a mostly official. offense that's really good 0:10:01.550 --> 0:10:04.300 at getting yards after the catch. This is a relatively 0:10:04.420 --> 0:10:06.480 complete team, and they played a lot of good football. 0:10:07.340 --> 0:10:07.839 I'm going to. 0:10:08.750 --> 0:10:11.030 I'll be the hater and I'm going to sell sort 0:10:11.050 --> 0:10:12.740 of where the Browns are right now. I don't want 0:10:12.750 --> 0:10:15.300 to take anything away from a team that hasn't had 0:10:15.340 --> 0:10:17.420 success in a long time. But Brett, the fact of 0:10:17.440 --> 0:10:20.620 the matter is their offense has a 39.9% rookie snap share, 0:10:20.640 --> 0:10:21.400 which is the highest ever. 0:10:24.700 --> 0:10:25.439 In the NFL. 0:10:25.720 --> 0:10:28.080 I think these young guys are playing well to start, 0:10:28.220 --> 0:10:30.740 which is great to see, but I think once defenses 0:10:30.780 --> 0:10:32.710 now have some tape on a lot of these players, 0:10:32.970 --> 0:10:34.420 they're going to figure out how to neutralize them a 0:10:34.450 --> 0:10:36.970 little bit more. It might not be an instant fix 0:10:37.010 --> 0:10:39.870 for them to, okay, they changed what they're doing against me. 0:10:40.050 --> 0:10:41.890 Now I'm going to change the sort of what's next, 0:10:41.929 --> 0:10:43.990 this evolution. Normally it takes a little bit more time 0:10:44.010 --> 0:10:44.270 than that. 0:10:44.670 --> 0:10:47.840 Inside the 40, the 30, the crowd loving it. 0:10:48.490 --> 0:10:49.770 I think the rest of the division is going to 0:10:49.809 --> 0:10:52.450 continue to play really well as well, especially if the 0:10:52.490 --> 0:10:54.590 rest of the division can't stay healthy. You know, Lamar's 0:10:54.610 --> 0:10:56.729 health is sort of an issue short term. But I'm 0:10:56.750 --> 0:10:58.970 going to sell the Browns, although it is nice, obviously, 0:10:58.990 --> 0:11:01.320 to see them beat expectations to start the year. The 0:11:01.360 --> 0:11:02.839 last one that we're talking about, the team that beat 0:11:02.900 --> 0:11:08.579 expectations at 3-1 here, almost 4-0, is the Las Vegas Raiders. 0:11:08.660 --> 0:11:11.640 We buying or selling the Raiders and how they've beaten 0:11:11.700 --> 0:11:12.610 expectations this year? 0:11:13.040 --> 0:11:16.470 I'm buying it. It's a complete team. If you're looking 0:11:16.510 --> 0:11:20.170 at offensive EPA per play, they are 11th best in 0:11:20.210 --> 0:11:24.120 the NFL so far this year. Defensive EPA per play allowed, 0:11:24.270 --> 0:11:27.120 they are 6th best in the NFL this year. Even 0:11:27.200 --> 0:11:32.240 special teams, their average starting field position, 36.5 yard line. 0:11:32.300 --> 0:11:35.260 That is awesome. They're getting it from all three phases 0:11:35.340 --> 0:11:37.459 so far this year. Were it not for the fumble 0:11:37.500 --> 0:11:39.460 on the kickoff return against Kansas City, I bet their 0:11:39.480 --> 0:11:42.360 special teams EPA per play would be up there as well. But, 0:11:42.420 --> 0:11:44.260 you know, one play can swing a lot of things. 0:11:45.250 --> 0:11:47.670 I like this team. The fact that they fought back 0:11:47.730 --> 0:11:50.890 the way they did after that two touchdown flurry in 0:11:50.890 --> 0:11:52.949 19 seconds versus the Chiefs, that to me showed a 0:11:52.970 --> 0:11:55.390 lot of heart. I do not see them as a 0:11:55.450 --> 0:11:58.990 fraudulent 3-0. I see them as a formidable 3-1. Yeah, 0:11:59.290 --> 0:11:59.990 I'm with you. 0:12:00.090 --> 0:12:02.739 I would have repeated exactly what you said as reasons 0:12:02.780 --> 0:12:03.640 to believe in this team. 0:12:03.679 --> 0:12:05.339 And we've talked about it over the last couple of weeks. 0:12:05.760 --> 0:12:08.099 It feels real. It doesn't feel like fool's gold. It 0:12:08.120 --> 0:12:10.120 feels like they've got the right coaches in there. The 0:12:10.160 --> 0:12:11.920 players are playing the way that they need to, not 0:12:11.940 --> 0:12:14.819 just in a way that's fluky, in a way that's consistent, 0:12:14.860 --> 0:12:16.699 to be honest with you. And I think that starts 0:12:16.720 --> 0:12:19.590 with Kirk Cousins. How Kirk Cousins is playing at the 0:12:19.630 --> 0:12:22.969 quarterback position is also why I'm buying this for the 0:12:23.010 --> 0:12:26.990 Las Vegas Raiders. His 48.0 success rate this season is 0:12:27.030 --> 0:12:30.550 the highest that he has had since 2020. He's turning 0:12:30.570 --> 0:12:35.980 the clock back, baby. 0.16 EPA per dropback. That's his 0:12:36.080 --> 0:12:40.000 most in a season since 2016. And Brett, a lot 0:12:40.020 --> 0:12:42.120 of that confidence that Kirk Cousins is playing with. Remember 0:12:42.160 --> 0:12:45.030 I said that it was his highest success rate since 2020. Well, 0:12:45.050 --> 0:12:47.250 guess who one of his coaches, his quarterback coach and 0:12:47.270 --> 0:12:49.810 then offensive coordinator was with the Minnesota Vikings was during 0:12:49.830 --> 0:12:50.250 that season. 0:12:50.650 --> 0:12:53.790 Oh, it was Clint Kubiak. So clearly... There's a. 0:12:53.770 --> 0:12:55.370 Lot of great chemistry there, and I think that that's 0:12:55.390 --> 0:12:57.819 going to keep rolling. Now let's talk about teams that 0:12:57.880 --> 0:13:02.140 have not met expectations here in our quarterly report. And 0:13:02.179 --> 0:13:04.960 we start with the Los Angeles Rams. Now the win 0:13:05.040 --> 0:13:07.100 over the Eagles puts them at 2-2, so it's not 0:13:07.280 --> 0:13:09.570 all doom and gloom. The sky is not falling the 0:13:09.590 --> 0:13:11.830 way that it was the previous two weeks with the Rams. 0:13:12.090 --> 0:13:14.189 But are you buying the Rams for where they are 0:13:14.230 --> 0:13:16.709 right now, given that they did not hit expectations a 0:13:16.730 --> 0:13:17.730 quarter of the way through the season? 0:13:17.870 --> 0:13:18.910 Or are you selling this team? 0:13:18.929 --> 0:13:22.340 What do you think? Yeah, I'm buying it. I understand 0:13:22.380 --> 0:13:26.939 there were hiccups. The Australia thing, even Sean McVay said 0:13:26.960 --> 0:13:29.679 that he did not handle it well. They got Miles 0:13:29.710 --> 0:13:32.790 Garrett coming back eventually. Aaron Donald still getting back into 0:13:32.809 --> 0:13:36.010 the swing of things. Stafford, I don't believe, is just 0:13:36.050 --> 0:13:38.390 going to keep throwing the worst pick you've ever seen 0:13:38.790 --> 0:13:42.470 week after week. That's just not Matthew Stafford. So they'll 0:13:42.510 --> 0:13:46.670 be fine. Their talent is kind of overwhelming where eventually, 0:13:46.790 --> 0:13:50.170 once it all starts moving in the same direction... You know, 0:13:50.390 --> 0:13:53.479 it's like a battleship. It turns slowly, but it's hard 0:13:53.520 --> 0:13:54.860 to stop once it gets going. 0:13:55.140 --> 0:13:57.220 It is still a battleship. And I agree with you. 0:13:57.280 --> 0:13:59.980 I'm going to buy this team as well, especially now 0:14:00.020 --> 0:14:02.010 that they are sitting here at 2-2. If they can 0:14:02.030 --> 0:14:03.949 get a win over the Buffalo Bills, I think that 0:14:03.990 --> 0:14:07.410 really changes things going into a very favorable. 0:14:06.910 --> 0:14:09.490 Part of their schedule over the five weeks that follow. 0:14:09.590 --> 0:14:12.340 Devontae brings it in over the shoulder. 0:14:13.059 --> 0:14:15.140 I think the main reason why I'm buying is because, 0:14:15.160 --> 0:14:17.559 you know, with Puka Nakua back out there, you saw 0:14:17.620 --> 0:14:19.560 what he was able to do, even as a contested 0:14:19.580 --> 0:14:22.020 catch guy, where I've complained that there's just no easy 0:14:22.060 --> 0:14:24.360 throws in this offense. When you have a player like that, 0:14:24.380 --> 0:14:27.180 and when you have Devontae Adams as well, sometimes that's 0:14:27.220 --> 0:14:28.920 all the difference that you need when you have a 0:14:28.940 --> 0:14:31.360 quarterback like Matthew Stafford. He was playing a little bit better. 0:14:31.620 --> 0:14:33.710 And I think the way that the Rams came back 0:14:33.750 --> 0:14:37.180 against the Eagles... That was reminiscent of what it was 0:14:37.220 --> 0:14:39.320 the previous season. So I wonder if that really is, 0:14:39.600 --> 0:14:42.000 you know, the belief for the guys in the locker room, like, okay, 0:14:42.060 --> 0:14:44.000 it started slow, time to lock in. 0:14:44.280 --> 0:14:45.740 We got to remember who we are here. 0:14:46.020 --> 0:14:47.900 And all of a sudden, for the first time, really 0:14:47.960 --> 0:14:49.720 all day, the Rams offense has life. 0:14:50.800 --> 0:14:54.060 The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are sitting here at 0-4. You're 0:14:54.160 --> 0:14:57.520 buying or selling this team that some people had as 0:14:57.560 --> 0:15:01.540 the division favorites for the NFC South, myself included. 0:15:02.010 --> 0:15:03.830 So I'm selling them, but let's be honest, the people 0:15:03.890 --> 0:15:05.700 do not care about my opinion on this. They care 0:15:05.720 --> 0:15:08.940 about yours. What you doing, Trev? 0:15:09.360 --> 0:15:11.240 Well, I'm also selling, brother. 0:15:12.240 --> 0:15:15.630 Man, I just don't really love anything that I'm seeing 0:15:15.670 --> 0:15:17.610 out of Tampa right now. It feels like their star 0:15:17.670 --> 0:15:20.620 players aren't playing up to their potential. the role players 0:15:20.700 --> 0:15:22.240 aren't playing as well as they need to in a 0:15:22.300 --> 0:15:24.600 complimentary way, and some of the young guys and new 0:15:24.660 --> 0:15:26.500 players on the team aren't gelling the way that they 0:15:26.560 --> 0:15:28.660 need to. You throw in the fact that their starting 0:15:28.700 --> 0:15:31.440 quarterback in Baker Mayfield is down, but even beyond that, Brett, 0:15:31.460 --> 0:15:33.580 I think the big reason why I'm selling right now 0:15:33.640 --> 0:15:35.900 is not only because of some new pieces on defense 0:15:35.920 --> 0:15:38.010 that I think are just going to naturally have it 0:15:38.070 --> 0:15:41.310 be up and down throughout the entire season, specifically up front, 0:15:41.490 --> 0:15:44.240 but also on offense. it just doesn't feel like there's 0:15:44.280 --> 0:15:47.440 a real threat. I like Emeka Buka. I like Chris Godwin. 0:15:47.500 --> 0:15:50.060 I like Bucky Irving. I like these players, but it 0:15:50.160 --> 0:15:54.620 just doesn't feel like defenses fear them. And they certainly 0:15:54.660 --> 0:15:57.140 don't fear the way that the Bucks are playing right 0:15:57.160 --> 0:16:01.350 now because their 8.4% explosive rate on offense, that's second 0:16:01.400 --> 0:16:02.450 lowest in the NFL. 0:16:02.680 --> 0:16:05.350 Baker is smacked by Joshua Metellus. 0:16:05.830 --> 0:16:08.090 The game plan that Zach Robinson has had over the 0:16:08.130 --> 0:16:11.590 last four weeks has been so conservative. It's basically been hey, 0:16:11.630 --> 0:16:13.510 we want to get the ball in our playmakers' hands 0:16:13.590 --> 0:16:16.170 and let them go make plays. Sure, really nice in theory, 0:16:16.390 --> 0:16:18.910 but Tampa doesn't really have those yards after catch type 0:16:18.950 --> 0:16:22.530 of players. So Bucky's not forcing the missed tackles at 0:16:22.550 --> 0:16:25.330 the rate that he was his rookie season. And the receivers, 0:16:25.370 --> 0:16:27.960 they're just not really, it's not really their game. They're 0:16:27.980 --> 0:16:30.480 more of win down the field, be contested catch players, 0:16:30.540 --> 0:16:32.940 find the soft spots, be good route runners. So I'm 0:16:32.980 --> 0:16:35.870 selling this team because even though they've been beat up, 0:16:36.640 --> 0:16:39.000 I don't know if Mayfield coming back whenever he comes 0:16:39.060 --> 0:16:42.830 back is the cavalry riding back in. Because even Mayfield 0:16:42.870 --> 0:16:44.650 going back to last year and the beginning of this year, 0:16:44.890 --> 0:16:48.410 very inconsistent for this team. So 0-4 I think is 0:16:49.350 --> 0:16:52.420 obviously worst case scenario for them. But clearly this team 0:16:52.460 --> 0:16:54.400 is just not what we thought that they were going 0:16:54.440 --> 0:16:57.060 to be with the whole makings of it. The roster, 0:16:57.120 --> 0:17:00.450 the coaching staff, the execution, everything. So I'm selling this team. 0:17:01.290 --> 0:17:02.940 And they can't get away with the bad start they 0:17:02.980 --> 0:17:06.780 normally would because Carolina looks good and Atlanta looks good. 0:17:06.960 --> 0:17:09.620 And the Saints, I don't really know what the Saints 0:17:09.680 --> 0:17:10.640 are right now. I'm not going to lie. 0:17:10.740 --> 0:17:13.480 You can't say it like that because if you were 0:17:13.530 --> 0:17:16.170 talking about the Falcons after the first two weeks, you'd 0:17:16.210 --> 0:17:18.129 say that they were like the worst team in the NFL. 0:17:18.350 --> 0:17:20.649 And if you were talking about the Saints after the 0:17:20.690 --> 0:17:22.649 first two weeks, you'd be like, oh, this team's easily 0:17:22.690 --> 0:17:23.410 winning the division. 0:17:23.650 --> 0:17:25.260 And now two weeks later, that's the story of the 0:17:25.320 --> 0:17:25.900 NFC South. 0:17:25.960 --> 0:17:27.780 Just wait a couple of weeks and you could totally 0:17:27.800 --> 0:17:29.500 be talking about a different team at the top of 0:17:29.520 --> 0:17:32.830 the division. Four weeks from now, the Bucs are going 0:17:32.850 --> 0:17:35.530 to be 4-4 and somehow at the top of the 0:17:35.590 --> 0:17:37.470 NFC South and it's going to look completely different. 0:17:37.570 --> 0:17:41.050 Everybody say yeah! 0:17:41.790 --> 0:17:44.130 I got to flip the script on you now, my friend, 0:17:44.150 --> 0:17:47.879 because we had to talk about the Buccaneers being short 0:17:47.950 --> 0:17:51.389 of expectations. The Houston Texans are next at that same 0-4. 0:17:51.380 --> 0:17:55.760 So are you buying or selling where the Texans are 0:17:55.840 --> 0:17:57.200 sitting here in 0-4 on this season? 0:17:58.400 --> 0:18:02.869 The worst part is is how they're bad. It's everything 0:18:02.930 --> 0:18:05.889 that we wished for this offseason. We wanted C.J. Stroud 0:18:05.930 --> 0:18:08.570 to look like a top-ten quarterback. We wanted this passing 0:18:08.590 --> 0:18:10.910 game to be explosive. We wanted him to look like 0:18:10.950 --> 0:18:14.190 he did, honestly, as a rookie, threading those needles and 0:18:14.450 --> 0:18:16.760 hitting tight window throws, not just to Nico Collins, but 0:18:16.780 --> 0:18:20.280 to everybody. And he's done that, even with an offensive 0:18:20.320 --> 0:18:23.780 line that, while not as bad as the worst Texans 0:18:23.840 --> 0:18:26.180 offensive line that he's had, I wouldn't say they've been 0:18:26.640 --> 0:18:30.070 amazing so far this year. and he just looks like 0:18:30.470 --> 0:18:34.930 that guy at quarterback. It is everything that Houston fans wanted. 0:18:35.430 --> 0:18:38.820 But for some reason, that monkey paw curled, and we 0:18:38.859 --> 0:18:41.340 got one of the worst defenses that we've had in 0:18:41.380 --> 0:18:44.560 recent history in Houston as well. If you're looking at 0:18:44.600 --> 0:18:46.980 explosive play rate allowed, if you're looking at tight window 0:18:47.000 --> 0:18:51.540 throw allowed, this secondary has gotten absolutely shelled. I never 0:18:51.580 --> 0:18:55.180 would have imagined CeeDee Lamb even could get 17 catches 0:18:55.380 --> 0:18:56.980