1 00:00:01,000 --> 00:00:03,320 Speaker 1: Welcome in, everybody to betting pros. It's time to place 2 00:00:03,360 --> 00:00:05,360 Speaker 1: your bets. It is me Joey P. Joe P's a 3 00:00:05,480 --> 00:00:09,840 Speaker 1: Pia and this is BP NFL. It's Turkey Day everybody. 4 00:00:09,920 --> 00:00:13,800 Speaker 1: That's right. Happy Thanksgiving to everybody out there, everyone who's 5 00:00:13,840 --> 00:00:15,440 Speaker 1: been with us all season long, and if you just 6 00:00:15,440 --> 00:00:17,640 Speaker 1: found the channel, we appreciate you hanging out with us. 7 00:00:18,440 --> 00:00:20,599 Speaker 1: I would dare to say, with my co host here, 8 00:00:20,640 --> 00:00:23,079 Speaker 1: Scott Bogman, this is the best Thanksgiving slate of games 9 00:00:23,079 --> 00:00:26,799 Speaker 1: I've ever seen in my young life. That's right, very young, 10 00:00:27,040 --> 00:00:29,440 Speaker 1: and I am excited about it. I'm excited to bet 11 00:00:29,480 --> 00:00:31,040 Speaker 1: on it, and of course Scott Bagman, are going to 12 00:00:31,080 --> 00:00:32,880 Speaker 1: go through our favorite picks for each and every game, 13 00:00:32,920 --> 00:00:35,680 Speaker 1: and of course the Turkey Day Parlay, which is a tradition. 14 00:00:35,720 --> 00:00:37,600 Speaker 1: We've hit it, I believe two years in a row. 15 00:00:38,000 --> 00:00:39,920 Speaker 1: I think we missed it one, but two years in 16 00:00:39,960 --> 00:00:42,559 Speaker 1: a row we are hitting the Turkey Day Parlay and 17 00:00:42,600 --> 00:00:44,239 Speaker 1: I want to make it three for three. So I 18 00:00:44,280 --> 00:00:47,120 Speaker 1: am ready for that. Scott Bogman, are you ready for 19 00:00:47,200 --> 00:00:49,720 Speaker 1: some football and some eating on Thanksgiving? 20 00:00:50,360 --> 00:00:52,640 Speaker 2: I mean, the two things I'm always ready for show 21 00:00:52,720 --> 00:00:56,000 Speaker 2: are football and food. So yes, of course I'm ready. 22 00:00:56,040 --> 00:00:59,320 Speaker 2: It's the best holiday there is. You get the pig 23 00:00:59,440 --> 00:01:02,560 Speaker 2: out and watch football all day. What is better than that? 24 00:01:02,920 --> 00:01:06,000 Speaker 2: I mean spending all your money the next day, No, 25 00:01:06,400 --> 00:01:11,000 Speaker 2: too much. I like eating and watching football. So yes, 26 00:01:11,080 --> 00:01:12,760 Speaker 2: I'm very excited, and I think you're right. You know 27 00:01:12,800 --> 00:01:15,160 Speaker 2: you said this yesterday. I didn't really think about it, 28 00:01:15,560 --> 00:01:18,360 Speaker 2: but looking at this and even the Black Friday Game, yeah, 29 00:01:18,360 --> 00:01:22,160 Speaker 2: well it is a great slatey Thursday Friday games, and 30 00:01:22,200 --> 00:01:24,360 Speaker 2: you have a lot of good rivalry games in college 31 00:01:24,440 --> 00:01:25,360 Speaker 2: on Friday as well. 32 00:01:25,360 --> 00:01:27,600 Speaker 1: There's a lot over that Black Friday game a couple 33 00:01:27,640 --> 00:01:29,319 Speaker 1: of years ago. It was like the Jets and Dolphins, 34 00:01:29,360 --> 00:01:31,800 Speaker 1: Remember that that weird blowout game, Like that was such 35 00:01:31,800 --> 00:01:34,080 Speaker 1: a turd of a game, right, Like, this is a 36 00:01:34,120 --> 00:01:36,160 Speaker 1: really and we have a Black Friday special coming in 37 00:01:36,360 --> 00:01:38,920 Speaker 1: shortly too, so this is Thanksgiving. Black Friday Show will 38 00:01:38,959 --> 00:01:40,760 Speaker 1: be out as well. So let's get after Thanksgiving here 39 00:01:40,800 --> 00:01:43,160 Speaker 1: before we do again, we want to show our gratitude 40 00:01:43,200 --> 00:01:45,679 Speaker 1: to our base. Here we are giving away Kien Williams 41 00:01:45,760 --> 00:01:47,760 Speaker 1: helmet for free, courtesy of our friends at Pristine Auction 42 00:01:47,840 --> 00:01:48,920 Speaker 1: dot com. All you have to do is head to 43 00:01:48,960 --> 00:01:51,680 Speaker 1: betting pros dot Com slash contest. Complete the format, either 44 00:01:51,720 --> 00:01:53,480 Speaker 1: download the Betting Pros app leever review of the Betting 45 00:01:53,480 --> 00:01:56,360 Speaker 1: Pros podcast, or subscribe to our social media channels at 46 00:01:56,360 --> 00:01:59,040 Speaker 1: Betting Pros on x on, TikTok and Betting Pros NFL 47 00:01:59,040 --> 00:02:01,400 Speaker 1: and the IG. The more actions you complete, the more 48 00:02:01,520 --> 00:02:03,400 Speaker 1: entries you'll receive, and we'll be announcing the winner right 49 00:02:03,480 --> 00:02:05,960 Speaker 1: here on this very channel. So flip those notifications, ring 50 00:02:06,000 --> 00:02:08,280 Speaker 1: that bell, Tolake goes ding, so you never miss a 51 00:02:08,320 --> 00:02:11,000 Speaker 1: new episode and you can claim you are prize. All right, 52 00:02:11,200 --> 00:02:13,640 Speaker 1: let's start green Bay Detroit right now. You can get 53 00:02:13,680 --> 00:02:15,639 Speaker 1: plus two and a half right now on green Bay 54 00:02:15,680 --> 00:02:17,440 Speaker 1: at even money, minus two and a half for Detroit 55 00:02:17,480 --> 00:02:20,760 Speaker 1: at home. Tough Indivision game. These two teams jockeying for 56 00:02:20,760 --> 00:02:22,679 Speaker 1: a position in a very competitive and now all of 57 00:02:22,720 --> 00:02:25,520 Speaker 1: a sudden, the NFC North. Except for the vikings, of course, 58 00:02:25,560 --> 00:02:27,480 Speaker 1: they're not very competitive at all. Forty eight and a 59 00:02:27,520 --> 00:02:29,680 Speaker 1: half for the over, forty nine a half for the under, 60 00:02:29,960 --> 00:02:31,720 Speaker 1: plus one thirty on the money line for green Bay, 61 00:02:31,800 --> 00:02:34,600 Speaker 1: minus one thirty five for Detroit. I'm gonna make this 62 00:02:34,639 --> 00:02:37,560 Speaker 1: real simple once again. It's the team total for me 63 00:02:37,840 --> 00:02:40,400 Speaker 1: at home for Detroit, just like it is every single 64 00:02:40,400 --> 00:02:42,960 Speaker 1: week that they are at home. Hit This last week 65 00:02:43,000 --> 00:02:44,640 Speaker 1: it was a much higher number. This week, it's just 66 00:02:44,680 --> 00:02:48,080 Speaker 1: twenty six and a half. So yes, please, we're going there. 67 00:02:48,200 --> 00:02:49,959 Speaker 1: So give me the over for the twenty six and 68 00:02:50,000 --> 00:02:51,720 Speaker 1: a half there for the team total for Detroit. Again, 69 00:02:51,760 --> 00:02:53,800 Speaker 1: I don't want to mess around with Jordan Love and 70 00:02:53,840 --> 00:02:56,280 Speaker 1: how he feels and what may or may not happen 71 00:02:56,320 --> 00:02:57,880 Speaker 1: in this Indivision game. The one thing I know is 72 00:02:57,880 --> 00:03:00,240 Speaker 1: going to happen. Detroit will find a way to up 73 00:03:00,240 --> 00:03:02,000 Speaker 1: some points in this game. They always do at home. 74 00:03:02,200 --> 00:03:04,200 Speaker 1: It's the course field of the NFL, as Andrew Rickson 75 00:03:04,280 --> 00:03:06,600 Speaker 1: likes to call it. And I'm gonna stick with your 76 00:03:06,639 --> 00:03:08,200 Speaker 1: miror Gibbs. But instead of going with the rushing or 77 00:03:08,240 --> 00:03:10,240 Speaker 1: the receiving, I'm just gonna go with the total yards 78 00:03:10,280 --> 00:03:12,440 Speaker 1: over one hundred and one and a half at minus 79 00:03:12,480 --> 00:03:16,280 Speaker 1: one fourteen, a huge output from the last week against 80 00:03:16,280 --> 00:03:19,160 Speaker 1: the Giants. Now, look Green Bay a better defensive team 81 00:03:19,240 --> 00:03:22,160 Speaker 1: for sure, but I still think we can cross that 82 00:03:22,320 --> 00:03:25,680 Speaker 1: century mark between the rushing and the receiving. So when 83 00:03:25,720 --> 00:03:29,280 Speaker 1: you look at Packers and you look at Detroit, what 84 00:03:29,320 --> 00:03:31,120 Speaker 1: do you see on your slate that you want a 85 00:03:31,160 --> 00:03:31,720 Speaker 1: bet box. 86 00:03:32,960 --> 00:03:35,760 Speaker 2: I like Detroit at home, right, it's less than a field. Well, 87 00:03:35,760 --> 00:03:37,680 Speaker 2: it's Mius two and a half. And by the way, 88 00:03:37,720 --> 00:03:40,280 Speaker 2: in a close game, who special teams are you trusting 89 00:03:40,560 --> 00:03:43,000 Speaker 2: between Detroit and green Bay? It ain't green Bay's I 90 00:03:43,000 --> 00:03:46,120 Speaker 2: can tell you that much, right, And the Packers have 91 00:03:46,200 --> 00:03:48,480 Speaker 2: just been so wishy washy. They're on the road here, 92 00:03:48,520 --> 00:03:52,240 Speaker 2: it's Thanksgiving at short rest. I really like Detroit at home, 93 00:03:52,440 --> 00:03:55,360 Speaker 2: so I think that's my favorite bet in this game. 94 00:03:55,760 --> 00:03:57,440 Speaker 2: I also kind of like the under. I just don't 95 00:03:57,480 --> 00:03:59,920 Speaker 2: really like the way that the Packers offense has been performing. 96 00:04:00,960 --> 00:04:03,840 Speaker 2: Jacob's also, you know, banged up if he does play 97 00:04:04,080 --> 00:04:05,840 Speaker 2: in this game, which we kind of expect him to, 98 00:04:05,960 --> 00:04:09,480 Speaker 2: but still not sure. So I just think I like 99 00:04:09,560 --> 00:04:12,200 Speaker 2: them to score less points. Their defense has played well, 100 00:04:12,200 --> 00:04:14,560 Speaker 2: but they are very jeck going high. They look terrible 101 00:04:14,560 --> 00:04:16,680 Speaker 2: against the Giants. They should have lost that game the 102 00:04:17,000 --> 00:04:20,280 Speaker 2: great against Philly the week before. So I just I 103 00:04:20,320 --> 00:04:22,040 Speaker 2: think Detroit's at home. They need this game. I think 104 00:04:22,040 --> 00:04:23,839 Speaker 2: they get this game. So I like Detroit, but I 105 00:04:23,839 --> 00:04:24,839 Speaker 2: also have a prop here. 106 00:04:25,200 --> 00:04:26,159 Speaker 1: I'm gonna go Okay. 107 00:04:26,240 --> 00:04:30,000 Speaker 2: Christian Watson's longest reception over twenty three and a half yards. 108 00:04:30,000 --> 00:04:32,000 Speaker 2: He's hit this in three of the five games since 109 00:04:32,040 --> 00:04:34,200 Speaker 2: he's been back, and the Lions have given up the 110 00:04:34,320 --> 00:04:38,480 Speaker 2: fifth most twenty yard completions this season at thirty seven, 111 00:04:38,640 --> 00:04:42,120 Speaker 2: So lots of big plays that this Lion's defense is 112 00:04:42,120 --> 00:04:45,360 Speaker 2: giving up. Christian Watson is a big play guy for 113 00:04:45,480 --> 00:04:48,120 Speaker 2: the Packers, so I like that, Combo, I. 114 00:04:48,080 --> 00:04:50,120 Speaker 1: Like that as well. I'm also curious too, if Jacobs 115 00:04:50,160 --> 00:04:52,800 Speaker 1: does play, what Emmanuel Wilson totals end up being two, 116 00:04:53,279 --> 00:04:54,960 Speaker 1: Like that might be a sneaky little thing too, because 117 00:04:54,960 --> 00:04:56,840 Speaker 1: just because Jacobs is back doesn't mean that Wilson's not 118 00:04:56,880 --> 00:05:00,159 Speaker 1: gonna find some carries there. I even could look for 119 00:05:00,279 --> 00:05:02,800 Speaker 1: anytime touchdown for Emanuel Wilson too, just you know, from 120 00:05:02,880 --> 00:05:03,880 Speaker 1: contact him. 121 00:05:03,600 --> 00:05:07,680 Speaker 2: I was asking, I'm curious for your on the fantasy side, 122 00:05:07,960 --> 00:05:10,320 Speaker 2: would you start Jamo or do you start Christian Watson 123 00:05:10,360 --> 00:05:12,839 Speaker 2: in this game? Because Packer's actually number one in big 124 00:05:12,880 --> 00:05:16,360 Speaker 2: plays allowed at twenty one in there first in the NFL, 125 00:05:16,800 --> 00:05:19,880 Speaker 2: and we've got these guys at twenty seven or twenty oh. 126 00:05:19,960 --> 00:05:21,679 Speaker 1: Jamo would be have a big week last week against 127 00:05:21,720 --> 00:05:23,240 Speaker 1: the Giants, but it was not really meant to be 128 00:05:23,240 --> 00:05:26,560 Speaker 1: it was al Jamiir Gibbs, so I might say overdue. 129 00:05:26,760 --> 00:05:29,440 Speaker 1: I think I would lean towards the healthier quarterback there 130 00:05:29,480 --> 00:05:32,040 Speaker 1: because I know loves a little banged up. So it's close. 131 00:05:32,240 --> 00:05:34,520 Speaker 1: It's close. I mean honestly, I like both of them. 132 00:05:34,720 --> 00:05:36,920 Speaker 1: I'd want to start both of them. And you know, 133 00:05:37,120 --> 00:05:39,480 Speaker 1: watch my players play on Thanksgiving, so I love some 134 00:05:39,640 --> 00:05:42,440 Speaker 1: playing like this is the stuff, like you're playing for 135 00:05:42,520 --> 00:05:44,640 Speaker 1: a playoff spot. You got to really dissect and all 136 00:05:44,640 --> 00:05:47,360 Speaker 1: that stuff. Otherwise, let's play the balls, let's have some fun. 137 00:05:47,440 --> 00:05:48,920 Speaker 1: Let's see what we got here. But I think both 138 00:05:48,920 --> 00:05:50,920 Speaker 1: have touchoun equity in this game, so that's what I'm 139 00:05:50,960 --> 00:05:53,039 Speaker 1: looking for now. Remember today's show is brought to you 140 00:05:53,080 --> 00:05:55,039 Speaker 1: by hard Rock Bet as always, and there are three 141 00:05:55,040 --> 00:05:58,160 Speaker 1: things to be thankful for this week family, food and football. 142 00:05:58,160 --> 00:06:01,160 Speaker 1: And hard Rock Bet can easily help you sneak in 143 00:06:01,200 --> 00:06:03,400 Speaker 1: bets while your crazy uncle goes on his annual rant 144 00:06:03,440 --> 00:06:05,880 Speaker 1: about the good old days of I remember when there 145 00:06:05,960 --> 00:06:08,600 Speaker 1: was just two games on. Now you got to hoatch 146 00:06:08,600 --> 00:06:10,680 Speaker 1: you football all day. What a terrible way to a 147 00:06:10,720 --> 00:06:13,839 Speaker 1: shout up, uncle, nobody likes you. 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Concerned about 170 00:07:05,040 --> 00:07:07,560 Speaker 1: gambling in Florida called one eight eight eight admit it. 171 00:07:07,600 --> 00:07:09,280 Speaker 1: In Indiana, if you are something you know has a 172 00:07:09,320 --> 00:07:11,640 Speaker 1: gambling problem and wants help, call one eight hundred and 173 00:07:11,720 --> 00:07:15,440 Speaker 1: nine with it gambling problem called one hundred gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, 174 00:07:15,440 --> 00:07:18,400 Speaker 1: in New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia. All right, next game 175 00:07:18,440 --> 00:07:22,200 Speaker 1: on the slate, huge one, big implications for both these teams. 176 00:07:22,320 --> 00:07:25,000 Speaker 1: They're starting to trend in the right direction. But feels 177 00:07:25,000 --> 00:07:26,920 Speaker 1: like the Highlander that can be only one right now 178 00:07:26,920 --> 00:07:30,240 Speaker 1: because the Kansas City Chiefs minus three favorites on the 179 00:07:30,360 --> 00:07:33,280 Speaker 1: road Dallas plus three and a half minus one fifteen 180 00:07:33,400 --> 00:07:35,280 Speaker 1: over fifty one and a half at minus one ten 181 00:07:35,440 --> 00:07:37,559 Speaker 1: under fifty two and a half is what you're finding 182 00:07:37,560 --> 00:07:40,440 Speaker 1: on betting pros consensus line in the Dallas Cowboys money line, 183 00:07:40,440 --> 00:07:43,240 Speaker 1: which is intriguing at plus one sixty two. Look, Pickens 184 00:07:43,280 --> 00:07:44,800 Speaker 1: has played out of his mind, But I think I'm 185 00:07:44,920 --> 00:07:47,200 Speaker 1: just gonna keep this very simple. So one thing I 186 00:07:47,240 --> 00:07:49,280 Speaker 1: know about the Kansas City Chiefs in the last couple 187 00:07:49,320 --> 00:07:52,160 Speaker 1: of years, Bogs, they play close games. They don't really 188 00:07:52,160 --> 00:07:54,320 Speaker 1: blow people out anymore. This is not their bag. And 189 00:07:54,360 --> 00:07:57,400 Speaker 1: this offense of the Dallas Cowboys has shown you and 190 00:07:57,480 --> 00:07:59,840 Speaker 1: reminded you even last week, that they can get back 191 00:07:59,880 --> 00:08:02,360 Speaker 1: in any game. No deficit is too small the Dallas 192 00:08:02,440 --> 00:08:06,800 Speaker 1: Cowboys offense right, So short week be damned. I like 193 00:08:06,840 --> 00:08:08,960 Speaker 1: the Dallas Cowboys plus three and a half here now. 194 00:08:09,000 --> 00:08:10,560 Speaker 1: I just think they're going to find a way to 195 00:08:10,640 --> 00:08:12,360 Speaker 1: keep this one tight, which is gonna be good theater 196 00:08:12,480 --> 00:08:14,720 Speaker 1: for all of us. So that's my favorite bet from 197 00:08:14,720 --> 00:08:16,840 Speaker 1: this game on the line, and my favorite prop from 198 00:08:16,840 --> 00:08:19,760 Speaker 1: this game is Patrick Mahomes over to sixty seven and 199 00:08:19,800 --> 00:08:23,360 Speaker 1: a half passing yards. I'm still not convinced that you 200 00:08:23,400 --> 00:08:25,560 Speaker 1: know everything is all fixed with an all hunky door 201 00:08:25,680 --> 00:08:28,680 Speaker 1: here with the Dallas Cowboys defensively, And to tell you 202 00:08:28,680 --> 00:08:30,760 Speaker 1: the truth, I would have set this number higher. I 203 00:08:30,760 --> 00:08:32,640 Speaker 1: would have this number in the two seventies at least. 204 00:08:32,720 --> 00:08:34,960 Speaker 1: So I think you can even approach three hundred in 205 00:08:35,000 --> 00:08:37,960 Speaker 1: our out of bounds on Fantasy Pros contest this week, 206 00:08:38,000 --> 00:08:39,920 Speaker 1: I have Mahomes with my three hundred dard passer, So 207 00:08:40,280 --> 00:08:42,680 Speaker 1: I think you can get it done this week. Running 208 00:08:42,679 --> 00:08:44,760 Speaker 1: game has been not so great this year for the 209 00:08:44,840 --> 00:08:47,280 Speaker 1: Kansaing Chiefs either, So that mean it's a lot of mahomes. 210 00:08:47,280 --> 00:08:49,959 Speaker 1: So give me mahomes over Dallas to cover with the 211 00:08:50,000 --> 00:08:51,560 Speaker 1: three and a half Bogs. Where are you taking? 212 00:08:52,000 --> 00:08:54,440 Speaker 2: Have you seen the money on this game yet? Like 213 00:08:54,640 --> 00:08:58,720 Speaker 2: Green Bay and Detroit's pre split, right, Yeah, favors green 214 00:08:58,760 --> 00:09:01,719 Speaker 2: Bay a little bit. It's heavy on It's heavy on 215 00:09:01,720 --> 00:09:03,840 Speaker 2: one side. Which one do you think it is? 216 00:09:05,320 --> 00:09:09,600 Speaker 1: I imagine Kansas City? Right, it's the Cowboys. It is the Cowboys. Well, 217 00:09:09,600 --> 00:09:10,360 Speaker 1: now I like my best. 218 00:09:12,960 --> 00:09:15,599 Speaker 2: It's over eighty five percent on the Cowboys. But I 219 00:09:15,679 --> 00:09:18,680 Speaker 2: think I honestly think that's right. Personally, I like the 220 00:09:18,760 --> 00:09:21,760 Speaker 2: over right because I think the Cowboys have one of 221 00:09:21,800 --> 00:09:24,960 Speaker 2: the best offenses in the league right now, we're talking 222 00:09:24,960 --> 00:09:26,319 Speaker 2: about this on out of bounds might be one of 223 00:09:26,360 --> 00:09:27,240 Speaker 2: the best units in the NFL. 224 00:09:27,280 --> 00:09:29,880 Speaker 1: Ever, drink thirty points at home this year? 225 00:09:30,080 --> 00:09:36,040 Speaker 2: Incredible, right, And you know the Chiefs have been tough. 226 00:09:36,400 --> 00:09:38,360 Speaker 2: They're going to be able to score points this This 227 00:09:38,440 --> 00:09:41,120 Speaker 2: defense has been fixed as much as it can be 228 00:09:41,200 --> 00:09:43,680 Speaker 2: for the Cowboys. It's still not perfect, right, even with 229 00:09:43,760 --> 00:09:46,240 Speaker 2: the good run defense that they showed last week. The 230 00:09:46,280 --> 00:09:49,400 Speaker 2: secondary is still a bit of a mess. So I 231 00:09:49,480 --> 00:09:51,320 Speaker 2: like points over fifty one and a half in this 232 00:09:51,360 --> 00:09:54,560 Speaker 2: game is my play. I also like the props were 233 00:09:54,600 --> 00:09:56,400 Speaker 2: real tough in this game because she Rice is a 234 00:09:56,440 --> 00:09:58,400 Speaker 2: little banged up. But Checko might be back as well. 235 00:09:58,520 --> 00:10:02,040 Speaker 2: So the numbers on the Kansas City side we're not great, 236 00:10:02,120 --> 00:10:04,920 Speaker 2: but I mean filter everything to Travis kelcey for me. 237 00:10:04,960 --> 00:10:08,160 Speaker 2: Then give me a Travis Kelcey anytime touchdown right now. 238 00:10:08,160 --> 00:10:10,440 Speaker 2: It's plus you're getting plus money on that plus one twenty. 239 00:10:10,600 --> 00:10:13,600 Speaker 2: I'm taking that on Thanksgiving. So yep, give me Travis 240 00:10:13,679 --> 00:10:15,520 Speaker 2: Kelcey anytime touchdown in this game. 241 00:10:15,640 --> 00:10:18,200 Speaker 1: All right, One more game remains. It's in the evening 242 00:10:18,360 --> 00:10:21,240 Speaker 1: is the triumphant return fingers crossed of Joe Burrow. Now, 243 00:10:21,280 --> 00:10:23,640 Speaker 1: Lamar Jackson's dealing with a toe issue too, which we 244 00:10:23,720 --> 00:10:25,120 Speaker 1: just kind of found out some news. So on top 245 00:10:25,120 --> 00:10:27,880 Speaker 1: of the hamstring, it's a toe issue that explains why 246 00:10:28,360 --> 00:10:31,600 Speaker 1: maybe some lackluster performances we've gotten he doesn't practice that 247 00:10:31,679 --> 00:10:35,680 Speaker 1: first day. Have you ever seen the movie without a Paddle? No, 248 00:10:35,920 --> 00:10:37,640 Speaker 1: I know the movie you're talking about. I know them 249 00:10:37,679 --> 00:10:39,760 Speaker 1: what you're talking about. It's a fun dumb movie. I 250 00:10:39,800 --> 00:10:42,000 Speaker 1: love it. Those those are two words to describe me. 251 00:10:42,160 --> 00:10:42,640 Speaker 1: Fun and dumb. 252 00:10:42,760 --> 00:10:46,320 Speaker 2: But there's a point where they fall through this hole 253 00:10:46,760 --> 00:10:49,600 Speaker 2: and I think Matthew Lillard hits the ground, he gets up, 254 00:10:49,720 --> 00:10:53,400 Speaker 2: he goes, oh, my throat neck chest, that's that's Lamar Jackson. 255 00:10:53,920 --> 00:10:55,120 Speaker 2: That's Lamar Jackson. 256 00:10:55,160 --> 00:10:57,040 Speaker 1: And you know what, once you said, Matthew Lillard, I 257 00:10:57,120 --> 00:10:59,079 Speaker 1: was like, yes, I have seen that. Now that I'm 258 00:10:59,080 --> 00:11:02,400 Speaker 1: thinking about it, it's a long time ago. 259 00:11:02,520 --> 00:11:06,200 Speaker 2: Doabaris in the woods usually, Yeah, that's quite it. Burt 260 00:11:06,200 --> 00:11:08,600 Speaker 2: Reynolds is in that movie Man that Oh my god, 261 00:11:09,520 --> 00:11:10,360 Speaker 2: he shows up in it. 262 00:11:10,400 --> 00:11:12,559 Speaker 1: But yeah, thatstuff at the end of his career. 263 00:11:13,120 --> 00:11:16,200 Speaker 2: That's Lamar Jackson. Though, Now my throat neck chest. You know, 264 00:11:16,240 --> 00:11:19,400 Speaker 2: it's like he gets on the injury report. It's head, shoulders, 265 00:11:19,480 --> 00:11:20,400 Speaker 2: knees and toes. 266 00:11:20,160 --> 00:11:21,960 Speaker 1: Here for him. But it hasn't been great, Like he 267 00:11:22,040 --> 00:11:23,880 Speaker 1: hasn't been off the you know, the charts. 268 00:11:23,960 --> 00:11:25,640 Speaker 2: He's clearly not one hundred percent now. 269 00:11:25,800 --> 00:11:28,199 Speaker 1: I mean he was QB three or four every single 270 00:11:28,200 --> 00:11:30,280 Speaker 1: game to start the year, and he's been like QB seventeen, 271 00:11:30,360 --> 00:11:32,840 Speaker 1: QB twenty six, QB like it's been all over the map. 272 00:11:32,880 --> 00:11:35,840 Speaker 1: It's not been great. So that makes this game really 273 00:11:35,840 --> 00:11:38,959 Speaker 1: interesting because what happens typically when these two teams get 274 00:11:39,000 --> 00:11:42,800 Speaker 1: together is overs, massive overs over time. It's forty one 275 00:11:43,040 --> 00:11:46,439 Speaker 1: forty it's it's been that kind of style game typically 276 00:11:46,520 --> 00:11:48,920 Speaker 1: for the last couple of years with these two quarterbacks 277 00:11:48,920 --> 00:11:51,080 Speaker 1: both out there, but neither quarterbacks is one hundred percent, 278 00:11:51,160 --> 00:11:53,600 Speaker 1: which makes this one tricky. So we're not gonna get 279 00:11:53,600 --> 00:11:56,040 Speaker 1: to Higgins in this game. We will get Jamar Chase back. 280 00:11:56,360 --> 00:11:58,760 Speaker 1: Cincinnati plus seven and a half is what you're getting 281 00:11:58,760 --> 00:12:01,360 Speaker 1: on VP fifteen and a half for the over. You're 282 00:12:01,400 --> 00:12:04,079 Speaker 1: getting Baltimore minus six and a half. You're getting fifty 283 00:12:04,080 --> 00:12:06,000 Speaker 1: two and a half for the under, plus two ninety 284 00:12:06,000 --> 00:12:08,560 Speaker 1: five for the Bengals upset. Look, the Bengals have a 285 00:12:08,600 --> 00:12:10,320 Speaker 1: one percent chance to make the playoffs. They have to 286 00:12:10,320 --> 00:12:13,280 Speaker 1: win every single game. So this is it, right, I mean, 287 00:12:13,880 --> 00:12:16,280 Speaker 1: right now? I mean, but that's the Joe Burrow equivalent 288 00:12:16,320 --> 00:12:19,000 Speaker 1: of saying you know, so you're saying there's a chance, right, 289 00:12:19,080 --> 00:12:22,400 Speaker 1: that's Joe Burrow, So he always thinks that's why he's playing. 290 00:12:22,440 --> 00:12:25,080 Speaker 1: So I'm taking the over on this one. I'm gonna 291 00:12:25,120 --> 00:12:27,280 Speaker 1: go back to the old days, because I think right 292 00:12:27,320 --> 00:12:32,720 Speaker 1: now it would be smart to say, hey, this guy's 293 00:12:32,800 --> 00:12:35,280 Speaker 1: making his first game back in a while, Lamar Jackson, 294 00:12:35,360 --> 00:12:38,680 Speaker 1: not one hundred percent. I think that's all good process. 295 00:12:38,720 --> 00:12:40,560 Speaker 1: And there's one thing that we've learned from all these games. 296 00:12:40,559 --> 00:12:42,560 Speaker 1: There's always one game that goes cock eyed. We're the 297 00:12:42,559 --> 00:12:46,160 Speaker 1: good process on Thanksgiving goes out the window, all right, 298 00:12:46,240 --> 00:12:48,640 Speaker 1: just like the cranberry sauce that nobody wants to eat. Okay, 299 00:12:49,200 --> 00:12:52,280 Speaker 1: this happens every So I'm this is my my strange 300 00:12:52,400 --> 00:12:55,280 Speaker 1: quote unquote every Thanksgiving. I try to find the strange. 301 00:12:55,480 --> 00:12:57,240 Speaker 1: And you can take whatever that is for whoever you 302 00:12:57,280 --> 00:12:59,080 Speaker 1: want to take it. But I'm telling you right now, 303 00:13:00,160 --> 00:13:01,800 Speaker 1: I'm gonna go ahead and I'm gonna take the over 304 00:13:01,840 --> 00:13:03,520 Speaker 1: on the fifty and a half year fifty one and 305 00:13:03,559 --> 00:13:05,400 Speaker 1: a half. You can get a different spots there right now. 306 00:13:05,880 --> 00:13:07,880 Speaker 1: And I think we're in a good spot with this. 307 00:13:08,120 --> 00:13:11,960 Speaker 1: And I think there will be some desperation here and 308 00:13:12,000 --> 00:13:14,680 Speaker 1: I think old rivalries will ignite a little bit. And 309 00:13:14,720 --> 00:13:16,200 Speaker 1: I know it's a short week and I get all 310 00:13:16,240 --> 00:13:18,240 Speaker 1: that stuff. I don't think Lamar had to do all 311 00:13:18,240 --> 00:13:20,640 Speaker 1: that much to beat the Jets last week. So I'm 312 00:13:20,679 --> 00:13:22,160 Speaker 1: gonna go and take the over. What do you like 313 00:13:22,160 --> 00:13:24,920 Speaker 1: in this game box? There's a lot to like here. 314 00:13:24,960 --> 00:13:27,520 Speaker 2: I think the over is definitely in play, Joe, Like 315 00:13:27,559 --> 00:13:30,840 Speaker 2: you said, I love that call, especially with Burrow back right. 316 00:13:31,880 --> 00:13:34,439 Speaker 2: I like Cincinnati, though, I just think Baltimore has been 317 00:13:34,440 --> 00:13:38,200 Speaker 2: playing close games. I think you said it best. It's 318 00:13:38,520 --> 00:13:40,800 Speaker 2: we're pretty sure that he's not one hundred percent Lamar 319 00:13:40,840 --> 00:13:43,160 Speaker 2: Jackson right, and this has been a trend. He didn't 320 00:13:43,200 --> 00:13:45,839 Speaker 2: practice again to start the week. Then he comes in, 321 00:13:45,880 --> 00:13:49,400 Speaker 2: but this is a short week. Less reps is not 322 00:13:49,559 --> 00:13:52,560 Speaker 2: good even for a guy that is, you know, a 323 00:13:52,600 --> 00:13:55,960 Speaker 2: seasoned veteran MVP like Lamar Jackson. You want those reps 324 00:13:55,960 --> 00:13:59,440 Speaker 2: in practice, specifically on short rest. So I like the 325 00:13:59,440 --> 00:14:02,120 Speaker 2: Bengals play to seven and a half. I like your overcall, 326 00:14:02,240 --> 00:14:04,680 Speaker 2: and it's actually dipped right. I think it was fifty 327 00:14:04,679 --> 00:14:06,880 Speaker 2: one and a half yesterday. It's fifty and a half 328 00:14:06,920 --> 00:14:09,199 Speaker 2: as we're recording this, so I like that as well. 329 00:14:09,440 --> 00:14:13,000 Speaker 2: But there's also some there's also some props. I like 330 00:14:13,040 --> 00:14:16,199 Speaker 2: here Derek Henry over seventeen and a half rushing attempts. 331 00:14:16,240 --> 00:14:18,160 Speaker 2: The juice isn't the best on it. It's minus one 332 00:14:18,280 --> 00:14:20,560 Speaker 2: thirty I'd rather take it at like eighteen and a half. 333 00:14:20,600 --> 00:14:22,520 Speaker 2: If it jumps up with worst juice, I think that's 334 00:14:22,560 --> 00:14:25,920 Speaker 2: probably better. But Henry has passed his six straight games 335 00:14:25,920 --> 00:14:28,480 Speaker 2: in a row because Lamar has been GIMPI and he 336 00:14:28,560 --> 00:14:31,520 Speaker 2: still is. And opponents are averaging thirty and a half 337 00:14:31,600 --> 00:14:35,560 Speaker 2: rush attempts again Cincinnati. They are thirtieth in the NFL. Right, 338 00:14:36,040 --> 00:14:41,760 Speaker 2: just baby soft Sharman defense up front for this Spangles 339 00:14:41,760 --> 00:14:44,240 Speaker 2: team this year. So I think Derek Henry gets the 340 00:14:44,320 --> 00:14:47,080 Speaker 2: rock a bunch of times, and with Jamar Chase back 341 00:14:47,160 --> 00:14:50,840 Speaker 2: T Higgins down, they're projected to be losing in this game. 342 00:14:51,000 --> 00:14:54,400 Speaker 2: Specifically late Jamar Chase over seven and a half receptions 343 00:14:54,440 --> 00:14:57,760 Speaker 2: I think is an easy play. They're projected to lose 344 00:14:57,880 --> 00:15:02,680 Speaker 2: Burrow his quarterback is back. I think this is just 345 00:15:02,760 --> 00:15:05,720 Speaker 2: going to be a lot of filtering towards Jamar Chase 346 00:15:05,720 --> 00:15:07,600 Speaker 2: in this game. Plus, I mean, he put out his 347 00:15:07,680 --> 00:15:11,240 Speaker 2: weepy apology nonsense that no one really believes. But I 348 00:15:11,280 --> 00:15:14,120 Speaker 2: think this, dude, just when you do something that's stupid 349 00:15:14,520 --> 00:15:17,640 Speaker 2: and your team is on the brink of playoff elimination, 350 00:15:18,040 --> 00:15:20,040 Speaker 2: you have to go ball out. And I think you 351 00:15:20,080 --> 00:15:22,080 Speaker 2: know that's what he is going to do. I think 352 00:15:22,080 --> 00:15:25,160 Speaker 2: he's gonna put on performance here on national television on Thanksgiving. 353 00:15:25,360 --> 00:15:27,160 Speaker 2: I think we're gonna see Jamar Chase try to redeem 354 00:15:27,240 --> 00:15:27,800 Speaker 2: himself here. 355 00:15:28,280 --> 00:15:31,040 Speaker 1: Well, Jamar Chase this past week spit me out of 356 00:15:31,040 --> 00:15:34,400 Speaker 1: my guillotine league. So thanks very morn. Appreciate that got 357 00:15:34,400 --> 00:15:37,760 Speaker 1: real close here towards the end. But you know, just know, 358 00:15:37,880 --> 00:15:40,640 Speaker 1: Jamar Chase lost by a couple of points. What are 359 00:15:40,640 --> 00:15:41,080 Speaker 1: you gonna do? 360 00:15:41,160 --> 00:15:43,680 Speaker 2: Thanks, Jamar, I gotta make cuts in a guillotine league. 361 00:15:43,680 --> 00:15:44,520 Speaker 2: You just reminded me. 362 00:15:44,440 --> 00:15:47,600 Speaker 1: Thinking, Ah, there you go. All right, everybody, it's your 363 00:15:47,680 --> 00:15:50,360 Speaker 1: favorite tradition here around betting pros. It's time for the 364 00:15:50,400 --> 00:15:53,040 Speaker 1: Turkey Day parlay. That's right. I pick my favorite bet 365 00:15:53,080 --> 00:15:54,960 Speaker 1: from each game and I put him together. And Bogs 366 00:15:54,960 --> 00:15:57,400 Speaker 1: has done it today too, So we're all gonna get 367 00:15:57,440 --> 00:15:59,800 Speaker 1: and feast on the Turkey Day parlay, which means I 368 00:15:59,800 --> 00:16:02,000 Speaker 1: got I put my Turkey hat on. Oh here, look 369 00:16:02,000 --> 00:16:04,200 Speaker 1: at that, because there we go. We got the Turkey 370 00:16:04,200 --> 00:16:07,120 Speaker 1: hat and we're gonna do the Turkey Day parlay. There 371 00:16:07,160 --> 00:16:09,440 Speaker 1: it is. Look at it's got the feathers over your eyes. Well, 372 00:16:09,480 --> 00:16:11,560 Speaker 1: I mean might cover my face. People might think that 373 00:16:11,640 --> 00:16:12,600 Speaker 1: might be a better solution. 374 00:16:13,240 --> 00:16:15,440 Speaker 2: Is that how you rob your banks? In this thing, 375 00:16:15,680 --> 00:16:17,120 Speaker 2: I can pull it all the way down over your face. 376 00:16:17,160 --> 00:16:20,040 Speaker 1: Give me all the money you got. Yeah, exactly, that's 377 00:16:20,040 --> 00:16:23,240 Speaker 1: what we got. All right, let's go for me. I'm 378 00:16:23,240 --> 00:16:25,160 Speaker 1: gonna start with my over twenty six and a half 379 00:16:25,160 --> 00:16:27,200 Speaker 1: for the Detroit Lions total points. Told you I love 380 00:16:27,240 --> 00:16:31,600 Speaker 1: this one. Always Detroit team total always Cowboys plus three 381 00:16:32,120 --> 00:16:34,200 Speaker 1: you can get here, and I'm gonna take the over 382 00:16:34,280 --> 00:16:36,440 Speaker 1: on fifty one and a half here for the total 383 00:16:36,480 --> 00:16:38,640 Speaker 1: in this game between Cincinnati Baltimore. You put those three 384 00:16:38,640 --> 00:16:43,680 Speaker 1: things together and you get six twenty four six to one. Baby, 385 00:16:43,960 --> 00:16:47,440 Speaker 1: let's go. That is my official Turkey Day parlay for 386 00:16:47,560 --> 00:16:50,080 Speaker 1: twenty twenty five Thanksgiving Bogs, What do you have? 387 00:16:50,840 --> 00:16:53,840 Speaker 2: I'm gonna go Dallas plus three. I'm gonna take the 388 00:16:53,920 --> 00:16:57,360 Speaker 2: Kelsey anytime touchdown and I'm gonna pair my Derrick Henry 389 00:16:57,400 --> 00:17:00,000 Speaker 2: over seventeen and a half rush attempts. That is plus 390 00:17:00,120 --> 00:17:03,560 Speaker 2: six h six on hard rock bet go get it. 391 00:17:03,720 --> 00:17:06,880 Speaker 2: We got some six times your money here. 392 00:17:07,080 --> 00:17:09,560 Speaker 1: Love it and remember everybody, we've got all the betting 393 00:17:09,600 --> 00:17:12,399 Speaker 1: pros tools available for you so you can go ahead 394 00:17:12,400 --> 00:17:15,320 Speaker 1: and make really good selections. We've got the same game 395 00:17:15,320 --> 00:17:18,199 Speaker 1: parlay tool, we got the prop bet sheet sheet, so uh, 396 00:17:18,560 --> 00:17:21,200 Speaker 1: hard rock bet all has all those specials they're doing. 397 00:17:21,240 --> 00:17:22,960 Speaker 1: So a lot of ways for you to make some 398 00:17:23,000 --> 00:17:25,600 Speaker 1: money this holiday week, and of course the last way 399 00:17:25,600 --> 00:17:27,520 Speaker 1: we'd like to make money is with touchdown calls. So 400 00:17:27,840 --> 00:17:30,000 Speaker 1: my favorite touchdown call of the day, you know, Jamar 401 00:17:30,040 --> 00:17:31,520 Speaker 1: Chase would be a good one, but again, the money 402 00:17:31,560 --> 00:17:33,920 Speaker 1: isn't great on that in terms of return, I'm gonna 403 00:17:33,920 --> 00:17:36,960 Speaker 1: go with Allman Ross Saint Brown plus two ten. That's 404 00:17:37,000 --> 00:17:39,360 Speaker 1: where I'm going, two to one, keeping it simple, stupid, 405 00:17:39,720 --> 00:17:42,400 Speaker 1: That's what I'm doing. Scott Bogman, who's your favorite touchdown 406 00:17:42,440 --> 00:17:45,000 Speaker 1: call for Turkey Day? Yeah? I think you know. 407 00:17:45,119 --> 00:17:47,960 Speaker 2: Look, we know Lamar's gimpy and he's probably not gonna 408 00:17:48,000 --> 00:17:50,399 Speaker 2: run a lot, but plus two thirty for him to 409 00:17:50,440 --> 00:17:53,280 Speaker 2: score this is a simple naked bootleg gets him in 410 00:17:53,280 --> 00:17:55,359 Speaker 2: the end zone. So plus two thirty if you're giving 411 00:17:55,400 --> 00:17:57,520 Speaker 2: me that for Lamar, I'm gonna take it. So plus 412 00:17:57,520 --> 00:18:00,720 Speaker 2: two thirty. Obviously Kelsey is my favorite because in my parlan, 413 00:18:01,040 --> 00:18:03,560 Speaker 2: but the juice is way better on Lamar, So I'll 414 00:18:03,560 --> 00:18:04,640 Speaker 2: say Lamar for this part. 415 00:18:04,760 --> 00:18:07,320 Speaker 1: You know. It's like when you're playing football, you know, 416 00:18:07,640 --> 00:18:11,040 Speaker 1: in the yard with your uncles and your cousins, and 417 00:18:11,040 --> 00:18:12,919 Speaker 1: it's like, oh, I'm old, I can't move, and all 418 00:18:12,920 --> 00:18:14,600 Speaker 1: of a sudden, your uncle, you know, runs one in 419 00:18:14,640 --> 00:18:16,879 Speaker 1: there and you're like, I thought you couldn't move, you jerk. 420 00:18:17,200 --> 00:18:19,760 Speaker 1: That's what happened. That's exactly what Lamar's gonna do. It's 421 00:18:19,760 --> 00:18:21,239 Speaker 1: the old Oaki doope. I can tell you right now, 422 00:18:21,240 --> 00:18:24,200 Speaker 1: that's right, It's gonna happen. There you go. These two 423 00:18:24,240 --> 00:18:27,240 Speaker 1: dopes are done. Want everybody to enjoy their Thanksgiving holiday 424 00:18:27,280 --> 00:18:29,439 Speaker 1: and again, subscribe to the Betting Pros channel here on 425 00:18:29,480 --> 00:18:31,800 Speaker 1: YouTube and wherever you get your podcasts. That'll do it 426 00:18:31,800 --> 00:18:33,359 Speaker 1: for us. But the story of the game goes on 427 00:18:33,440 --> 00:18:36,639 Speaker 1: for Scott Bogman. I'm Joey P. We'll see you next time. Kids. 428 00:18:36,880 --> 00:18:39,520 Speaker 3: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. 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