WEBVTT -  SHARP NFL WEEK 14 BETS: Bengals-Bills, Texans-Chiefs, Steelers-Ravens, Bears-Packers, Rams-Cardinals and more

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to Sharper Square, presented by Hard Rought bet We

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<v Speaker 1>are part of the Volume podcast network. This is the

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<v Speaker 1>betting show that makes the squares sharper and makes the

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<v Speaker 1>wise guys pay attention. I am Chad Milman. I am

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<v Speaker 1>joined as always by my co host, my companion, Mike Compadre,

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<v Speaker 1>my BFF professional better Simon Hunter l Simon.

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<v Speaker 2>Chad, how goes it?

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<v Speaker 1>Brother? We're gonna give more details about the contest in

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<v Speaker 1>a minute. People have been signing up, which is great.

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<v Speaker 1>I don't know if you know this, but you and

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<v Speaker 1>I signed up and people will be able to compete

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<v Speaker 1>against Dust in the contest, for which I will give

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<v Speaker 1>more details on how to sign up in a minute.

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<v Speaker 1>Our team name, Simon, Are you ready to hear what

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<v Speaker 1>our team name is? Chad and Simon bff's Chad and

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<v Speaker 1>Simon BFFs. That's how you're going to find us in

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<v Speaker 1>the contest. LF Simon, I think I forgot to say it, didn't.

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<v Speaker 2>I know you said it, but I like it. You

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<v Speaker 2>just fired up.

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<v Speaker 1>I forgot. I didn't remember listen.

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<v Speaker 3>Walking around his house yelling E Simon.

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<v Speaker 1>I do well. I yell like in a accents all

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<v Speaker 1>the time. And like over the holidays, we had like

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<v Speaker 1>two hours where there wasn't simmering tension between various step

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<v Speaker 1>moms and mother in laws. And that was when like me,

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<v Speaker 1>my wife, are two boys, my dad, his wife, and

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<v Speaker 1>my mother in law we gathered around the fireplace and

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<v Speaker 1>which I had built the fire and it was glorious

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<v Speaker 1>and we were playing different games and one of the

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<v Speaker 1>games required you to say certain words or guess what

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<v Speaker 1>an accent is. And at one point, like there was

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<v Speaker 1>an English accent and a Scottish accent and it was

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<v Speaker 1>my moment to shine because I have been doing bad

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<v Speaker 1>English and Scottish accents around my house, I think since

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<v Speaker 1>the day my kids were born. And it was so

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<v Speaker 1>exciting because they got it immediately. It was the only

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<v Speaker 1>time I could really contribute to the game.

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<v Speaker 3>It's I always joke my biggest negative when I go

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<v Speaker 3>to England is I can't stop doing people's accents back

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<v Speaker 3>to him. And it's like kind of like were're doing.

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<v Speaker 3>It's like I'm not even trying to be disrespectful. I

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<v Speaker 3>have like a parrot syndrome, but here's something I just

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<v Speaker 3>repeat it back. And the big one is my uncle

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<v Speaker 3>has a dog named Nelly, and anytime Nelly does anything

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<v Speaker 3>goes no Nelle, and I swear for about no nell

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<v Speaker 3>two weeks all I say to anything, anyone asked me anything?

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<v Speaker 2>Oh no, Nella, no No.

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<v Speaker 1>I love it. I love it all right. It's a

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<v Speaker 1>week fourteen episode. We're going to narrow down the options

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<v Speaker 1>to get to our final five. It's going to be

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<v Speaker 1>harder than we think. In our pregame and our pre

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<v Speaker 1>show convo, it felt like we were split on some games.

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<v Speaker 1>Subscribe watch on YouTube, a Sharper Square, Apple Pods, Spotify,

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<v Speaker 1>listen Simon. We're going to get into the Steelers in

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<v Speaker 1>the Ravens game. But the big news this week, like

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<v Speaker 1>there is just crazy, crazy drama that we have not

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<v Speaker 1>seen in the Steelers' locker room or with the Steelers

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<v Speaker 1>generally since Mike Tomlin has been coached, Like they signed

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<v Speaker 1>Adam Thielen, so clearly all their downfield passing issues are

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<v Speaker 1>just gonna go away. I kid, but the bigger news.

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<v Speaker 1>Ben Roethlisberger on his podcast set, I love Mike Tomlin,

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<v Speaker 1>but and everyone knows anything you say before but is

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<v Speaker 1>a lie. I love Mike Tomlin, but maybe he should

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<v Speaker 1>go coach Penn State Come on, case Simon, I don't

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<v Speaker 1>get this. A Mike Tomlin's not building that roster. He's

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<v Speaker 1>not the one who signed TJ. Watt to a massive

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<v Speaker 1>forty million dollar guaranteed deal for next year. He's not

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<v Speaker 1>the one who signed Jalen Ramsey and traded away makea Fitzpatrick.

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<v Speaker 1>He's not the one who gave Cam Hayward a new

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<v Speaker 1>deal after he sat out during training gap. He's not

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<v Speaker 1>the one who signed Aaron Rodgers like. He's not the

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<v Speaker 1>one who traded for DK Metcalf. I know he's involved

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<v Speaker 1>in all these conversations, but there's a lot of blame

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<v Speaker 1>to go around. This roster is not good enough, and

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<v Speaker 1>we're going to get into that. But dude, Mike Tomlin's

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<v Speaker 1>been a brilliant coach for twenty years. I can name

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<v Speaker 1>ten teams right now that would kill to have Mike

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<v Speaker 1>Tomlin be their head coach. Am I wrong? Am I wrong?

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<v Speaker 4>That?

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<v Speaker 1>Like Mike Tomlin is not really the problem here?

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<v Speaker 3>No, and Big Ben is part of the problem of

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<v Speaker 3>all these ex athletes having podcasts, And I get it,

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<v Speaker 3>everyone WANs to share their opinions and stuff like that,

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<v Speaker 3>but that just sounds like a bitter old man, Ben Roethlisberger,

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<v Speaker 3>that's just I don't know why he's holding grudges against Tomlin,

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<v Speaker 3>But to think a man like that, a caliber of coaching,

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<v Speaker 3>who's taken a joke of a team these last couple

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<v Speaker 3>of years to the playoffs every year, and you know,

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<v Speaker 3>think that man might go to Penn State, like you

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<v Speaker 3>just said, if you're if you're the Raiders, like all

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<v Speaker 3>these different organizations I've just for twenty years, you would

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<v Speaker 3>die to bring in a Mike Tomlin type this get

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<v Speaker 3>the organization right, So very very bizarre are Roethlisberger is saying.

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<v Speaker 3>I think it's another thing of an athlete maybe having

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<v Speaker 3>stuff we don't know about behind closed doors, that he's

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<v Speaker 3>holding grudges against tom because rationally doesn't make any sense,

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<v Speaker 3>Like no sense, Yeah, it makes zero sense. So I

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<v Speaker 3>think Tomlin laughed at it basically when they asked him

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<v Speaker 3>about it, just being like I gotta hear I gotta

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<v Speaker 3>talk about this stupid shit again, because it feels like

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<v Speaker 3>every year they're asking if you'd ever go to college,

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<v Speaker 3>and it's like, dude, the disrespect of that man to

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<v Speaker 3>ask him that question is ridiculous.

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<v Speaker 1>Raiders, Titans, Giants, I mean, the list goes.

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<v Speaker 3>On Eagles fanily. I love Sirianna. I would I would

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<v Speaker 3>take time, honestly, I mean, I do respect Serianni. But

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<v Speaker 3>what are we doing here? Tomlin's a Hall of Famer.

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<v Speaker 1>All right, let's get into this thing. Every week we

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<v Speaker 1>give it our peaks. Every week, Simon's fellow professional betters

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<v Speaker 1>call to yell at him about those picks. It's time

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<v Speaker 1>to summarize those opinions. It's time for chef calls. Who

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<v Speaker 1>all right, rain range, telephone range. Somebody said, maybe wanted.

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<v Speaker 3>To do man, Yeah, I'll start where I got killed,

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<v Speaker 3>which I knew was coming.

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<v Speaker 2>I was on.

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<v Speaker 3>I'm on a lot of chalk. I would say, shocking,

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<v Speaker 3>and no one pros they really like Cincinnati. But like

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<v Speaker 3>I said, I did believe they liked him at the six,

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<v Speaker 3>and I haven't heard too much love for them at

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<v Speaker 3>the five and a half, which is where that number is.

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<v Speaker 3>But tons of calls about Cincinnati and how that's going

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<v Speaker 3>to be the right side. Tons of love for Pittsburgh,

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<v Speaker 3>tons of love for you know, not shockingly, this Atlanta

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<v Speaker 3>team that is in a unique spot a game. I

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<v Speaker 3>didn't really you know, talk too much about him. You

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<v Speaker 3>know a ton of love for Dallas, which we talked

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<v Speaker 3>a little bit about. But the biggest one I got wrong, obviously,

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<v Speaker 3>is this Minnesota game. I got a ton of calls

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<v Speaker 3>about pros who love Minnesota.

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<v Speaker 2>They don't think Daniels is playing.

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<v Speaker 3>They love this matchup defensively for Minnesota against Mariota coming

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<v Speaker 3>on the road, if it is gonna be him, And yeah,

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<v Speaker 3>that's that's a game I just simply got wrong.

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<v Speaker 2>I'm still on Washington.

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<v Speaker 3>I still like them as a dog, especially the fact

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<v Speaker 3>that it's up to two and a half in a

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<v Speaker 3>lot of books right now. But I was shocked to

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<v Speaker 3>hear so many pros are coming in on this Minnesota

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<v Speaker 3>side and they just love JJ. I don't get it.

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<v Speaker 3>I will never get it. They love the coming of

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<v Speaker 3>the year. They kind of haven't budget on it, and

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<v Speaker 3>you've seen it this week, the way that numbers move.

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<v Speaker 2>So those are the games that kind of gotten wrong.

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<v Speaker 2>The ones they loved.

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<v Speaker 3>Our picks on love the Saints plus eight and a half,

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<v Speaker 3>Love this Jets team that we've talked about, loved our

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<v Speaker 3>love for this Cleveland team, you know, Chicago. I talked

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<v Speaker 3>to a couple of really smart groups that are on it,

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<v Speaker 3>I still think that's a Green Bay line. When it's

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<v Speaker 3>under seven, I still think it's a Green Bay line.

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<v Speaker 3>So I'll be a fun one to discuss. We want

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<v Speaker 3>to get into it. Tons of love for Atlanta already

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<v Speaker 3>talked a little bit about that one. Arizona. You know,

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<v Speaker 3>not a shaker with such a big number. I knew

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<v Speaker 3>the Pros would be on that one. And that Chiefs

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<v Speaker 3>game is kind of a flip flop. I've heard groups

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<v Speaker 3>on both sides of it, so there's not really one

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<v Speaker 3>side that they love, right if you can get the

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<v Speaker 3>three and the Chiefs, I know some really smart groups

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<v Speaker 3>have coming on and the same with a three and

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<v Speaker 3>a half. They're tons of professional groups that took early

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<v Speaker 3>positions on that Houston side.

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<v Speaker 2>And the last one pain pains for me to hear.

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<v Speaker 3>The Pros absolutely love this Chargers team against the Eagles.

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<v Speaker 3>They love the matchup for them, and what we've talked about,

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<v Speaker 3>there's all the dysfunction, all the noise around this Eagles team.

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<v Speaker 3>I think they view it as another spot to keep riding,

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<v Speaker 3>you know the fate of this Eagles team. But like

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<v Speaker 3>I said, I think if it's two and a half,

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<v Speaker 3>that's an Eagles line. So that's gonna be a fun

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<v Speaker 3>where I'm I gotta. I have a couple of games

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<v Speaker 3>are going against the pros. For the most part, it's

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<v Speaker 3>all the chalk, Like I'm just on chalk this weekend,

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<v Speaker 3>like every week the pro Just love the dogs.

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<v Speaker 1>Simon, You'll always be my pro. Thanks buddy, you know

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<v Speaker 1>why Chad and Simon b f f's which reminds me.

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<v Speaker 1>The Free Sharp or Square Pro Football Pick Them Contest

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<v Speaker 1>is officially live and ready for your picks at Sharp

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<v Speaker 1>or Square dot the volume dot com. Go sign up.

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<v Speaker 1>I already did. I got me and my buddy Simon

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<v Speaker 1>in there. We'll bring back producer Matt Mitchell to share

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<v Speaker 1>all the details. But one small note, there's no tiebreaker

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<v Speaker 1>just for this week. Tiebreaker questions we'll start next week.

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<v Speaker 1>If you can't find it, We've ben get some questions

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<v Speaker 1>about that. That is why no tiebreaker this week. It

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<v Speaker 1>is a bony five degrees in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, Middlewaukee, perfect contest.

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<v Speaker 1>Whether here's producer Matt Mitchell with all the info. All right,

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<v Speaker 1>Matt Mitchell, people can go sign up. Can you please

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<v Speaker 1>tell everybody how they can do that?

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<v Speaker 2>Yes?

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<v Speaker 4>Very excited that the contest is officially live. You can

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<v Speaker 4>just go to Sharp or Square dotthvolume dot com to

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<v Speaker 4>sign up for this totally free contest and you can

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<v Speaker 4>make your Week fourteen picks right away. It'll be the

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<v Speaker 4>same website and your same log in throughout the entire contest.

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<v Speaker 1>How long will this totally free contest run?

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<v Speaker 4>Okay, so it starts this week, which is Week fourteen,

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<v Speaker 4>and it'll run this time through Super Bowl Sunday, So

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<v Speaker 4>that's nine total contest weeks. But you've got to hurry

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<v Speaker 4>up and sign up because registration for this free contest

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<v Speaker 4>closes at one pm Eastern kickoff this Sunday, December seventh.

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<v Speaker 1>Matt tell everyone how the contest works.

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<v Speaker 4>It couldn't be easier. You just select five games against

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<v Speaker 4>the spread each week along with one tiebreaker question and

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<v Speaker 4>again tiebreakers start next week. No tiebreaker this week, and

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<v Speaker 4>once we hit the middle of the playoffs and the

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<v Speaker 4>slates get smaller, we may include some totals and a

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<v Speaker 4>player proper two just to beef it up. But for

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<v Speaker 4>right now, it's just five games against the spread and

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<v Speaker 4>during the regular season, deadline to submit your picks will

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<v Speaker 4>be one pm Eastern on Sundays, and you can always

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<v Speaker 4>see where you stand with everybody else using the leaderboard

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<v Speaker 4>fund which is also at Sharporsquare dot the Volume dot Com.

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<v Speaker 1>The most important question, Matt, as we have been getting

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<v Speaker 1>comments on this all year long. Will these lines that

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<v Speaker 1>we are all playing together against each other in good fun,

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<v Speaker 1>will these lines move?

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<v Speaker 4>Yes, The lines in this contest the Sharper Square Pro

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<v Speaker 4>Football Pickup Contest are dynamic as they've been the last

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<v Speaker 4>two seasons, so they'll move with the market throughout the week.

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<v Speaker 4>But be advised, these are still contest lines, so they'll

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<v Speaker 4>always end in half points to avoid ties. All pecks

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<v Speaker 4>must win or lose. So yes, the contest lines will.

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<v Speaker 1>Move dynamic lines. How or what actually are people going

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<v Speaker 1>to win? What is the grand prize?

0:11:53.960 --> 0:11:57.280
<v Speaker 4>Okay, so grand prize? The contest winner and a guest

0:11:57.440 --> 0:12:01.840
<v Speaker 4>will be flown to warm Full South Florida, where they

0:12:01.880 --> 0:12:05.960
<v Speaker 4>will enjoy a complimentary two nights day at the Beautiful

0:12:06.440 --> 0:12:10.600
<v Speaker 4>Seminal Hard Rock Hotel and Casino, along with tickets to

0:12:10.720 --> 0:12:14.720
<v Speaker 4>the Memphis Grizzlies versus Miami Heat game on February twenty first.

0:12:15.160 --> 0:12:20.440
<v Speaker 1>Very important, Can people change their picks during the week?

0:12:21.200 --> 0:12:24.400
<v Speaker 4>Yes, if you want to make any changes to your picks,

0:12:24.440 --> 0:12:26.880
<v Speaker 4>you just need to cancel your entry and make all

0:12:26.920 --> 0:12:30.360
<v Speaker 4>five picks again. At the bottom of your finished entry,

0:12:30.520 --> 0:12:33.040
<v Speaker 4>there's a little button that says cancel and play again.

0:12:33.440 --> 0:12:35.920
<v Speaker 4>You click that, it cancels your entry. You make your

0:12:35.920 --> 0:12:38.400
<v Speaker 4>picks again at the current contest lines.

0:12:38.640 --> 0:12:39.439
<v Speaker 2>Easypsy.

0:12:40.120 --> 0:12:41.200
<v Speaker 1>Is there a tiebreaker?

0:12:41.720 --> 0:12:44.760
<v Speaker 4>Yes, so this contest is only nine weeks long, so

0:12:44.840 --> 0:12:47.640
<v Speaker 4>the tiebreaker is going to be really important as it

0:12:47.679 --> 0:12:50.480
<v Speaker 4>has traditionally been. It will be total passing yards in

0:12:50.520 --> 0:12:54.360
<v Speaker 4>a selected game, typically Monday Night Football. In the event

0:12:54.440 --> 0:12:56.680
<v Speaker 4>of a tie at the end of this contest, the

0:12:56.760 --> 0:13:00.319
<v Speaker 4>winner will be decided by the lowest tiebreaker differential. So

0:13:00.559 --> 0:13:03.400
<v Speaker 4>when you submit your pecks, do not forget to put

0:13:03.440 --> 0:13:05.160
<v Speaker 4>in your typebreaker.

0:13:04.720 --> 0:13:10.920
<v Speaker 1>Answer, Matt, will all of the games be included as

0:13:11.000 --> 0:13:14.200
<v Speaker 1>available contest picks.

0:13:13.800 --> 0:13:16.680
<v Speaker 4>So we do not include Thursday Night Football in the contest.

0:13:16.720 --> 0:13:19.760
<v Speaker 4>We never have, probably because those games are an abomination,

0:13:20.280 --> 0:13:23.840
<v Speaker 4>But generally speaking, all other games will be available to

0:13:23.920 --> 0:13:25.160
<v Speaker 4>choose who.

0:13:25.000 --> 0:13:26.440
<v Speaker 1>Can play in this contest, Matt.

0:13:26.679 --> 0:13:29.800
<v Speaker 4>Okay, you just need to be twenty one years or

0:13:29.840 --> 0:13:34.480
<v Speaker 4>older as of today and located in the United States,

0:13:34.559 --> 0:13:38.560
<v Speaker 4>So sorry Canadians and Brits and all our international listeners.

0:13:39.080 --> 0:13:42.360
<v Speaker 4>The only US states that are excluded are Rhode Island

0:13:42.400 --> 0:13:46.400
<v Speaker 4>and Washington State. Tell me why they have tricky rules

0:13:46.480 --> 0:13:48.880
<v Speaker 4>about free to play games. So like, if you live

0:13:48.880 --> 0:13:53.120
<v Speaker 4>in Newport or Seattle or whatever, call your congressman. I

0:13:53.160 --> 0:13:55.080
<v Speaker 4>don't ask me. I have no idea, but I wish

0:13:55.080 --> 0:13:56.200
<v Speaker 4>you the best of luck anyway.

0:13:56.520 --> 0:13:58.920
<v Speaker 1>All right, well listen. Thank you Matt for the FAQs,

0:13:58.960 --> 0:14:02.040
<v Speaker 1>Thank you for other work getting the contest ready to roll.

0:14:02.040 --> 0:14:04.600
<v Speaker 1>Thank you to our sponsors at hard Rock Bet for

0:14:04.679 --> 0:14:09.040
<v Speaker 1>working through the entire challenging regulatory process with us so

0:14:09.080 --> 0:14:12.480
<v Speaker 1>we could bring this to you. Guys, better late than never.

0:14:12.800 --> 0:14:16.840
<v Speaker 1>Go sign up for the contest. It is open and

0:14:16.960 --> 0:14:19.800
<v Speaker 1>ready to roll right now. All the picks that we're

0:14:19.840 --> 0:14:22.920
<v Speaker 1>talking about on Sunday will be based on these contest lines,

0:14:22.960 --> 0:14:25.200
<v Speaker 1>so there'll be no questions about where you get in

0:14:25.280 --> 0:14:27.720
<v Speaker 1>that line, where are you betting stale lines, Like every

0:14:27.760 --> 0:14:29.680
<v Speaker 1>line we're betting is going to be the same lines

0:14:29.880 --> 0:14:31.120
<v Speaker 1>that everybody else is seeing.

0:14:31.520 --> 0:14:34.440
<v Speaker 3>And the ninety five that listen on the podcast. If

0:14:34.480 --> 0:14:36.600
<v Speaker 3>you know most of our fans listening to via podcast,

0:14:37.120 --> 0:14:39.480
<v Speaker 3>we put it on socials too. If you're confused by anything,

0:14:39.520 --> 0:14:41.200
<v Speaker 3>hop on there. Matt Mitchell is happy to help you

0:14:41.280 --> 0:14:43.240
<v Speaker 3>as well if you just want to DM them or

0:14:43.240 --> 0:14:46.400
<v Speaker 3>AD them or anything like that. You know, we know

0:14:46.440 --> 0:14:48.320
<v Speaker 3>it's very late in the season and it's a quick

0:14:48.360 --> 0:14:50.600
<v Speaker 3>turnaround here, but I really appreciate all the people that

0:14:50.680 --> 0:14:52.840
<v Speaker 3>signed up so early, and like we keep saying, it's

0:14:53.080 --> 0:14:54.920
<v Speaker 3>the type of thing where the more of you that

0:14:55.000 --> 0:14:56.360
<v Speaker 3>sign up, the cooler stuff.

0:14:56.160 --> 0:14:57.480
<v Speaker 2>We wile to be able to do in the future.

0:14:57.560 --> 0:15:00.000
<v Speaker 3>So we love the support we're getting from all the

0:15:00.080 --> 0:15:02.240
<v Speaker 3>fans and come prove you're better than me and Chad.

0:15:02.320 --> 0:15:03.120
<v Speaker 2>Let's see it. People.

0:15:03.840 --> 0:15:10.160
<v Speaker 1>I love when you when you when you give appreciation

0:15:10.240 --> 0:15:13.320
<v Speaker 1>to the fans, I think it's fantastic. Shows your true spirit.

0:15:13.560 --> 0:15:16.120
<v Speaker 1>It shows that you really really are a good person

0:15:16.520 --> 0:15:16.960
<v Speaker 1>deep down.

0:15:17.160 --> 0:15:18.000
<v Speaker 2>I used to hate them.

0:15:18.040 --> 0:15:19.720
<v Speaker 3>I'll be the first time I used to hate the fans.

0:15:19.840 --> 0:15:21.400
<v Speaker 3>But then we did a bunch of live shows and

0:15:21.440 --> 0:15:24.560
<v Speaker 3>you quickly realize you're only hearing ten percent of the

0:15:24.600 --> 0:15:27.440
<v Speaker 3>assholes online. The ninety percent of these people are awesome,

0:15:27.720 --> 0:15:29.920
<v Speaker 3>cool people that just want to you know, learn get

0:15:29.920 --> 0:15:30.280
<v Speaker 3>better at.

0:15:30.200 --> 0:15:31.480
<v Speaker 2>Betting football and love football.

0:15:31.560 --> 0:15:34.200
<v Speaker 3>So I've grown to really appreciate our fan base and

0:15:34.200 --> 0:15:35.000
<v Speaker 3>how cool so many of them.

0:15:35.000 --> 0:15:37.880
<v Speaker 1>Are I love that about you? All right? Listen, you

0:15:37.920 --> 0:15:42.840
<v Speaker 1>can find our producer Matt Mitchell tylt go to at

0:15:43.240 --> 0:15:47.840
<v Speaker 1>sharp or square underscore. The little underscore at the end

0:15:47.880 --> 0:15:51.280
<v Speaker 1>of it is key at Sharper square underscore. Let's get

0:15:51.320 --> 0:15:54.360
<v Speaker 1>into it, Simon, you mentioned Dallas. We let's talk about

0:15:54.440 --> 0:15:56.680
<v Speaker 1>Dallas and Detroit for a second. Detroit is a three

0:15:56.720 --> 0:15:59.200
<v Speaker 1>point favorite. We're not going to spend too much time

0:15:59.240 --> 0:16:01.040
<v Speaker 1>on it. We can't put it in contest because Thursday

0:16:01.040 --> 0:16:04.680
<v Speaker 1>games aren't eligible. But it's a really interesting game. I

0:16:05.000 --> 0:16:06.600
<v Speaker 1>don't think I'm gonna bet it like I think I'm

0:16:06.640 --> 0:16:09.600
<v Speaker 1>just gonna sit it out. I think it's it's I

0:16:09.600 --> 0:16:13.040
<v Speaker 1>think it's lined perfectly right, like it feels so public

0:16:13.120 --> 0:16:16.160
<v Speaker 1>to bet the Cowboys. I'm not getting the hook. It's

0:16:16.200 --> 0:16:18.520
<v Speaker 1>not going to two and a half. The Lions I

0:16:18.560 --> 0:16:22.320
<v Speaker 1>think have real issues either reverse biases coming into play

0:16:22.320 --> 0:16:28.200
<v Speaker 1>for me maybe, but I don't like the number totally fair.

0:16:28.200 --> 0:16:30.080
<v Speaker 3>I'm gonna touch the stove. I'm gonna bet the Lions.

0:16:30.120 --> 0:16:32.440
<v Speaker 3>I can't help it. I just I just nailed it.

0:16:32.480 --> 0:16:36.400
<v Speaker 3>I'm clearly stuck in the past, but I am just

0:16:36.480 --> 0:16:39.160
<v Speaker 3>so scared off about how much public love this Cowboys team,

0:16:39.160 --> 0:16:41.560
<v Speaker 3>and like you just said, the number has not budged

0:16:41.600 --> 0:16:44.240
<v Speaker 3>off the three despite we've had a day and a

0:16:44.280 --> 0:16:46.720
<v Speaker 3>half now of not just professional money, public money as

0:16:46.720 --> 0:16:48.520
<v Speaker 3>well hammering this Cowboys side.

0:16:48.560 --> 0:16:51.000
<v Speaker 2>So I'll bet with the books, I'll take the Lions.

0:16:51.040 --> 0:16:53.560
<v Speaker 3>But yeah, very very low confidence in this bet. I

0:16:53.640 --> 0:16:55.520
<v Speaker 3>just this Lion's team just seems totally lost.

0:16:55.880 --> 0:16:59.280
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, Washington plus one and a half at Minnesota at

0:16:59.280 --> 0:17:01.880
<v Speaker 1>hard Wrack Bet. Washington plus one and a half was

0:17:01.920 --> 0:17:05.600
<v Speaker 1>the Simon says Better the Week presented by hard Rock Bet.

0:17:06.200 --> 0:17:10.240
<v Speaker 1>I think we made that when you thought Jaden Daniels

0:17:10.320 --> 0:17:12.960
<v Speaker 1>might be playing. It's looking more and more like Marcus

0:17:13.000 --> 0:17:15.400
<v Speaker 1>Mariota is going to be the quarterback. And this line

0:17:15.400 --> 0:17:17.240
<v Speaker 1>has now moved to two. You said there's two and

0:17:17.320 --> 0:17:22.960
<v Speaker 1>a half's out there. I think in this bet, I'm

0:17:23.000 --> 0:17:26.080
<v Speaker 1>with you. I don't see what the love is for

0:17:26.160 --> 0:17:30.600
<v Speaker 1>the Vikings if JJ McCarthy is your quarterback, because he

0:17:30.680 --> 0:17:34.239
<v Speaker 1>is just so ineffective. He has not been able to

0:17:34.320 --> 0:17:37.959
<v Speaker 1>move the ball in any capacity. So are you just

0:17:38.000 --> 0:17:39.879
<v Speaker 1>thinking that it's going to be a three nothing game?

0:17:40.400 --> 0:17:42.560
<v Speaker 1>Like if you're betting on the Vikings, Like, what are

0:17:42.600 --> 0:17:45.359
<v Speaker 1>you looking at here? To make you feel good about

0:17:45.400 --> 0:17:48.720
<v Speaker 1>betting on this Vikings team. I know it sounds stupid.

0:17:49.800 --> 0:17:54.680
<v Speaker 1>Marcus Mariota is now sort of has enough past attempts

0:17:54.680 --> 0:18:00.000
<v Speaker 1>to be eligible for all the rankings. He's a medium

0:18:00.080 --> 0:18:05.119
<v Speaker 1>ore serviceable, mid level quarterback who has been in the

0:18:05.160 --> 0:18:09.719
<v Speaker 1>pantheon of backup quarterbacks recently and certainly this year one

0:18:09.800 --> 0:18:15.000
<v Speaker 1>of the better ones. And so I'm with you. I

0:18:15.480 --> 0:18:19.560
<v Speaker 1>favor Washington here. Everyone is banking on the fact that

0:18:19.600 --> 0:18:22.040
<v Speaker 1>Brian Flores is going to be able to confuse Marcus

0:18:22.040 --> 0:18:24.640
<v Speaker 1>Mariota to a degree. He's going to turn this game over.

0:18:25.160 --> 0:18:28.520
<v Speaker 1>That's got to be what it is, right, Yeah, Yeah.

0:18:28.320 --> 0:18:31.000
<v Speaker 3>And I've had just a lot of guys who are

0:18:31.040 --> 0:18:33.800
<v Speaker 3>really heavy on this Minnesota tie just said, you need

0:18:33.840 --> 0:18:36.840
<v Speaker 3>to kind of go back and really dive into how

0:18:36.880 --> 0:18:39.720
<v Speaker 3>bad this team has been for the Commanders, right with

0:18:39.880 --> 0:18:42.280
<v Speaker 3>everything that's going on behind the scenes, And that's fair.

0:18:42.320 --> 0:18:43.720
<v Speaker 3>Like their last couple of games, even though it was

0:18:43.760 --> 0:18:47.119
<v Speaker 3>a jugging out of a schedule, they went to Kansas City,

0:18:47.200 --> 0:18:49.440
<v Speaker 3>they got blown out seven to twenty eight. Then they

0:18:49.880 --> 0:18:53.120
<v Speaker 3>played a Seahawks team at home, got blown out thirty

0:18:53.160 --> 0:18:56.400
<v Speaker 3>eight fourteen, then played Detroit at home, lost forty four

0:18:56.400 --> 0:18:58.720
<v Speaker 3>to twenty two, so that's fair, right, And then they've

0:18:58.760 --> 0:19:00.720
<v Speaker 3>kind of played well these last two weeks where you

0:19:00.760 --> 0:19:03.200
<v Speaker 3>know Miami, I think that was in Madrid they.

0:19:03.119 --> 0:19:04.280
<v Speaker 2>Lost sixteen to thirteen.

0:19:04.640 --> 0:19:06.000
<v Speaker 3>They felt like they could have won to cover that

0:19:06.040 --> 0:19:08.040
<v Speaker 3>game a million different ways, right, I remember the kicker

0:19:08.080 --> 0:19:08.720
<v Speaker 3>out of miss kick.

0:19:08.760 --> 0:19:09.840
<v Speaker 2>It was just a total training wreck.

0:19:09.880 --> 0:19:12.040
<v Speaker 3>And then that Denver game another game where it felt

0:19:12.040 --> 0:19:13.080
<v Speaker 3>like they could have covered.

0:19:12.800 --> 0:19:15.040
<v Speaker 2>And won it outright in a bunch of different ways.

0:19:15.480 --> 0:19:16.360
<v Speaker 2>It lose by one.

0:19:16.480 --> 0:19:18.080
<v Speaker 3>They obviously got the cover, but that was the first

0:19:18.080 --> 0:19:20.359
<v Speaker 3>time they had covered in about four or five weeks.

0:19:20.880 --> 0:19:23.600
<v Speaker 3>So I get what they're saying, right that this this

0:19:23.760 --> 0:19:26.920
<v Speaker 3>Washington team is just bad right defensively and you really

0:19:26.960 --> 0:19:29.320
<v Speaker 3>dive into it as bad as JJ is. You would

0:19:29.320 --> 0:19:31.400
<v Speaker 3>think wide receivers, but it'll take advantage of a really

0:19:31.400 --> 0:19:33.960
<v Speaker 3>bad secondary. Like Chad just said that, you're banking a

0:19:34.000 --> 0:19:37.520
<v Speaker 3>lot on JJ McCarthy and make these completions, and you know,

0:19:37.640 --> 0:19:39.760
<v Speaker 3>Justin Jefferson hasn't been blowing up in the media, but

0:19:39.800 --> 0:19:41.520
<v Speaker 3>you can see him on the field, his bilinge, everything

0:19:41.560 --> 0:19:43.439
<v Speaker 3>he's doing. He's just so over it, sick of this

0:19:43.480 --> 0:19:46.880
<v Speaker 3>whole experience. So I really am just playing the number here.

0:19:47.040 --> 0:19:48.919
<v Speaker 3>Like Chad just said, there's two and a half's out there,

0:19:48.960 --> 0:19:51.440
<v Speaker 3>a couple of very public books. I'm gonna have to

0:19:51.480 --> 0:19:53.240
<v Speaker 3>take the number. Even if it is Mariota. I still

0:19:53.240 --> 0:19:55.080
<v Speaker 3>feel like this game should be closer to a pick

0:19:55.440 --> 0:19:57.159
<v Speaker 3>than it is at minus two and a half for

0:19:57.280 --> 0:19:58.320
<v Speaker 3>this Minnesota side.

0:19:58.400 --> 0:19:59.920
<v Speaker 2>So not shocking.

0:20:00.080 --> 0:20:02.080
<v Speaker 3>The pros love this Minnesota team so much. I'm just

0:20:02.080 --> 0:20:04.080
<v Speaker 3>shocked the numbers move so much. Where we don't even

0:20:04.119 --> 0:20:06.959
<v Speaker 3>know who the quarterback is going to be. Where Daniels

0:20:07.000 --> 0:20:09.440
<v Speaker 3>is practicing is just limited, and that's why the number

0:20:09.440 --> 0:20:12.080
<v Speaker 3>has moved in my opinion, because like Chad said, you know.

0:20:12.040 --> 0:20:13.119
<v Speaker 2>I talk a little bit on Tuesday.

0:20:13.119 --> 0:20:15.080
<v Speaker 3>People I've talked to behind the scenes in Washington. They

0:20:15.080 --> 0:20:17.000
<v Speaker 3>don't want him to play right. They just wanted the

0:20:17.040 --> 0:20:19.480
<v Speaker 3>kid to take a full time heal come back next

0:20:19.520 --> 0:20:21.600
<v Speaker 3>year when it matters. But he's such a competitor. He's

0:20:21.640 --> 0:20:24.439
<v Speaker 3>pushing the play because he wants to right. He's not

0:20:24.440 --> 0:20:26.040
<v Speaker 3>a guy that, when he's healthy, wants to set out.

0:20:26.119 --> 0:20:28.639
<v Speaker 3>So I'm really interesting how it plays out because it's

0:20:28.680 --> 0:20:32.200
<v Speaker 3>right now, it's organization versus a quarterback, and we'll see

0:20:32.240 --> 0:20:35.080
<v Speaker 3>what side the head coach picks. But I think this

0:20:35.200 --> 0:20:37.240
<v Speaker 3>head coach, Like we've talked about these different coaches. You

0:20:37.280 --> 0:20:39.080
<v Speaker 3>see the way they coach at the end of these

0:20:39.080 --> 0:20:40.840
<v Speaker 3>games where they want to be next year. It feels

0:20:40.840 --> 0:20:43.760
<v Speaker 3>like dan Quinn he's happy to follow the organization's lead

0:20:43.800 --> 0:20:47.320
<v Speaker 3>here and maybe said his quarterback, so be patient here,

0:20:47.320 --> 0:20:49.560
<v Speaker 3>like I gave it, as Simon says, obviously I was wrong.

0:20:49.840 --> 0:20:52.159
<v Speaker 3>The number could keep moving up. If it is the

0:20:52.160 --> 0:20:53.840
<v Speaker 3>two and a half at your book, you can get

0:20:53.880 --> 0:20:55.200
<v Speaker 3>it right now. I would grab, but at one and

0:20:55.200 --> 0:20:57.120
<v Speaker 3>a half, I'd be patient, see if you can get

0:20:57.119 --> 0:20:58.000
<v Speaker 3>a better number.

0:20:57.800 --> 0:21:02.280
<v Speaker 1>Two Jade and Daniels said, I don't rehab to sit,

0:21:03.320 --> 0:21:05.280
<v Speaker 1>so we know he wants to get on the field.

0:21:05.359 --> 0:21:08.080
<v Speaker 1>So it's going to be an interesting sort of tug

0:21:08.119 --> 0:21:10.920
<v Speaker 1>and pull there. If he doesn't play this week, you know,

0:21:11.000 --> 0:21:12.520
<v Speaker 1>are they going to let him come back and play

0:21:12.560 --> 0:21:16.000
<v Speaker 1>week fifteen, Week sixteen, week seventeen? Like as the season

0:21:16.400 --> 0:21:18.719
<v Speaker 1>gets closer to the end, what's really the point if

0:21:18.720 --> 0:21:20.320
<v Speaker 1>this team is completely out of the playoffs.

0:21:20.320 --> 0:21:23.280
<v Speaker 3>So they played the Eagles twice, so it's like, does

0:21:23.320 --> 0:21:25.240
<v Speaker 3>he want to come back and play spoiler against a

0:21:25.240 --> 0:21:27.040
<v Speaker 3>divisional po I could see it.

0:21:27.119 --> 0:21:28.960
<v Speaker 2>Maybe if he was a ten year vet. It's his

0:21:29.000 --> 0:21:29.520
<v Speaker 2>second year.

0:21:29.560 --> 0:21:31.280
<v Speaker 3>Does he really have that much against the Eagles that

0:21:31.320 --> 0:21:33.000
<v Speaker 3>he's like, No, I need to come back for these

0:21:33.080 --> 0:21:34.000
<v Speaker 3>last two weeks to play.

0:21:34.040 --> 0:21:35.359
<v Speaker 2>I just don't see it. So I'm with you.

0:21:35.400 --> 0:21:38.199
<v Speaker 3>It's a really fun situation where the competitor in him

0:21:38.200 --> 0:21:40.359
<v Speaker 3>wants to play, but the organization's smart.

0:21:40.359 --> 0:21:43.240
<v Speaker 2>They're trying to protect the long term. They're thinking they've.

0:21:43.080 --> 0:21:48.080
<v Speaker 1>Been through this with RG three Indianapolis at Jacksonville. Jacksonville

0:21:48.840 --> 0:21:51.600
<v Speaker 1>it's a one and a half point underdog at home.

0:21:52.040 --> 0:21:54.800
<v Speaker 1>I'm going to tell you this one lit up our

0:21:54.880 --> 0:21:58.480
<v Speaker 1>comments in YouTube on Tuesday after the show, I went

0:21:58.520 --> 0:22:01.879
<v Speaker 1>in and answered some questionquestions about it. People felt that

0:22:01.960 --> 0:22:05.879
<v Speaker 1>I had a bias against the Jags, and I do

0:22:05.960 --> 0:22:07.000
<v Speaker 1>have a bias against the Jacks.

0:22:08.480 --> 0:22:08.919
<v Speaker 2>We both do.

0:22:09.720 --> 0:22:11.800
<v Speaker 1>I don't think Trevor Lawrence is a very good quarterback,

0:22:12.280 --> 0:22:16.560
<v Speaker 1>like that that's a bias because it's true because he

0:22:16.600 --> 0:22:19.080
<v Speaker 1>hasn't performed at the level at which he has paid,

0:22:19.320 --> 0:22:22.040
<v Speaker 1>at which he was drafted, at which the expectations are

0:22:22.200 --> 0:22:26.840
<v Speaker 1>for him. Like that's just a fact. So the reason

0:22:26.920 --> 0:22:30.800
<v Speaker 1>this team has been playing well and his contention is

0:22:30.840 --> 0:22:33.760
<v Speaker 1>because of Liam Cohne, who, by the way, maybe he

0:22:33.800 --> 0:22:37.160
<v Speaker 1>should be Coach of the Year for dragging this team

0:22:37.240 --> 0:22:40.040
<v Speaker 1>to eight and four in the middle of December, right,

0:22:40.240 --> 0:22:42.640
<v Speaker 1>But the truth is I do have a bias against

0:22:42.960 --> 0:22:47.360
<v Speaker 1>Trevor Lawrence. And yet in the show on Tuesday, when

0:22:47.400 --> 0:22:50.440
<v Speaker 1>I said I feel like I want to bet the Colts,

0:22:51.000 --> 0:22:53.760
<v Speaker 1>I still listed all the reasons in which I'm afraid

0:22:53.800 --> 0:22:56.080
<v Speaker 1>of betting the Colts, And by the end of the show,

0:22:56.560 --> 0:22:58.800
<v Speaker 1>by the end of that segment, you had completely turned

0:22:58.840 --> 0:23:01.360
<v Speaker 1>me around. And this line did get to plus two

0:23:01.400 --> 0:23:04.199
<v Speaker 1>for a second, and now it's been back down to

0:23:04.280 --> 0:23:07.560
<v Speaker 1>one and a half. This is like, clearly the line

0:23:07.560 --> 0:23:11.800
<v Speaker 1>of demarcation for the wise guys is too. I feel

0:23:11.840 --> 0:23:15.080
<v Speaker 1>like you and I have probably come around are going

0:23:15.160 --> 0:23:19.320
<v Speaker 1>to be betting the Jags because I'm I'm I'm worried

0:23:19.320 --> 0:23:22.360
<v Speaker 1>about Daniel Jones. That's to me the issue.

0:23:23.320 --> 0:23:24.320
<v Speaker 2>Worry about Daniel Jones.

0:23:24.320 --> 0:23:27.679
<v Speaker 3>And like we talked about the secondary of this Colts team,

0:23:27.880 --> 0:23:30.440
<v Speaker 3>there are some major questions about them when you can

0:23:30.480 --> 0:23:32.800
<v Speaker 3>exploit them, like the Jags should be able to This

0:23:32.800 --> 0:23:35.880
<v Speaker 3>feels like a great matchup for them, so really fun

0:23:35.920 --> 0:23:38.120
<v Speaker 3>game to dive more into this past couple of days

0:23:38.160 --> 0:23:40.359
<v Speaker 3>and just hearing the pulse of what the pros were

0:23:40.359 --> 0:23:42.440
<v Speaker 3>gonna do with the one. I kind of knew they'd

0:23:42.480 --> 0:23:44.400
<v Speaker 3>be on the Jaguars, but I was just interested because

0:23:44.440 --> 0:23:46.600
<v Speaker 3>this number, like Chad said, there's a couple of twos

0:23:46.600 --> 0:23:48.720
<v Speaker 3>that have touched. So it's like, Okay, is there professional

0:23:48.760 --> 0:23:50.680
<v Speaker 3>money coming in on the Colts or is there something

0:23:50.680 --> 0:23:52.919
<v Speaker 3>I'm missing here? And you know, I've heard maybe one

0:23:53.000 --> 0:23:54.639
<v Speaker 3>or two groups have come in to the Colts, but

0:23:54.680 --> 0:23:56.680
<v Speaker 3>just the majority of guys I've talked to kind of

0:23:56.720 --> 0:23:58.240
<v Speaker 3>the same in tality of us here. This is a

0:23:58.359 --> 0:24:01.760
<v Speaker 3>Jags line, a Jag spot, and this Colts team. It

0:24:01.760 --> 0:24:03.440
<v Speaker 3>feels like we've talked about a couple of these games.

0:24:03.480 --> 0:24:05.600
<v Speaker 3>We feel like we're holding biases from earlier in the

0:24:05.680 --> 0:24:09.239
<v Speaker 3>year in this type of game where we know the

0:24:09.240 --> 0:24:12.080
<v Speaker 3>Colts when they're going right, they are the better team right,

0:24:12.200 --> 0:24:15.359
<v Speaker 3>there's no doubt about it. When everything's clicking offensively. I

0:24:15.400 --> 0:24:17.440
<v Speaker 3>think we both agree we would have trust Daniel Jones

0:24:17.520 --> 0:24:20.240
<v Speaker 3>much more than we trust Trevor Lawrence and many aspects,

0:24:20.280 --> 0:24:23.720
<v Speaker 3>especially this season where you know Daniel Jones, if you

0:24:23.800 --> 0:24:26.439
<v Speaker 3>go back and look, he was so great against the

0:24:26.480 --> 0:24:29.440
<v Speaker 3>Blitz when he was fully healthy and mobile. Again, he

0:24:29.480 --> 0:24:31.359
<v Speaker 3>wasn't even ruin the ball that much. Just his pocket

0:24:31.359 --> 0:24:33.760
<v Speaker 3>presence was incredible. Ever in the year, you've seen these

0:24:33.800 --> 0:24:36.800
<v Speaker 3>last three four weeks. Whatever the injury is, maybe he's

0:24:36.840 --> 0:24:39.399
<v Speaker 3>pushing off it's so painful. Whatever it is, it's in

0:24:39.440 --> 0:24:42.119
<v Speaker 3>his own head. He's just been taking sacks usually when

0:24:42.119 --> 0:24:44.200
<v Speaker 3>he's been reading the hot route and making the first

0:24:44.200 --> 0:24:47.000
<v Speaker 3>read and having you know, good throws and tough pockets.

0:24:47.040 --> 0:24:50.720
<v Speaker 3>He's not been that same way. And defensively, we've seen

0:24:50.760 --> 0:24:54.600
<v Speaker 3>this Jaguars team. Yes, they do have weaknesses obviously and

0:24:54.680 --> 0:24:57.520
<v Speaker 3>their linebackers in their secondary, but that D line, which

0:24:57.560 --> 0:25:00.399
<v Speaker 3>they've drafted so well these last couple of years. Strength,

0:25:00.440 --> 0:25:03.040
<v Speaker 3>they have guys that can pressure quarterbacks here, so you know,

0:25:03.119 --> 0:25:05.920
<v Speaker 3>matchup wise, I really like this Jaguars team, and we

0:25:06.040 --> 0:25:07.960
<v Speaker 3>talked a little bit about it. This this number should

0:25:07.960 --> 0:25:10.800
<v Speaker 3>be closer to a pick bro general public, Like my

0:25:11.000 --> 0:25:12.880
<v Speaker 3>model has it a minus three for the Jaguars, which

0:25:12.880 --> 0:25:15.440
<v Speaker 3>I still think is insane. I can't believe it loves

0:25:15.480 --> 0:25:18.920
<v Speaker 3>the Jaguars that much. So really unique spot here back

0:25:18.920 --> 0:25:22.679
<v Speaker 3>in the Jaguars team that you know they're kind of

0:25:22.720 --> 0:25:24.800
<v Speaker 3>left for dead by the public even though they've been

0:25:24.800 --> 0:25:25.919
<v Speaker 3>winning and covering these.

0:25:25.800 --> 0:25:26.639
<v Speaker 2>Last couple of weeks.

0:25:26.640 --> 0:25:29.520
<v Speaker 3>So I think people are just like us, where it's

0:25:29.520 --> 0:25:31.240
<v Speaker 3>hard enough to have your biases of Trevor Lawrence. He

0:25:31.320 --> 0:25:34.199
<v Speaker 3>just does such egregious stuff every week. It's hard not

0:25:34.200 --> 0:25:35.520
<v Speaker 3>to have the Linger in the back of your mind.

0:25:35.520 --> 0:25:38.960
<v Speaker 3>But trust the models people here, trust the professionals, back

0:25:39.000 --> 0:25:41.600
<v Speaker 3>back this Jaguars team. And yeah, I'm glad I wasn't

0:25:41.600 --> 0:25:43.159
<v Speaker 3>all on once a gat on the Cults on Tuesday,

0:25:43.160 --> 0:25:45.399
<v Speaker 3>because Sunday night me and Chat both said, yeah, we

0:25:45.480 --> 0:25:48.000
<v Speaker 3>thought that was a good cold number, and yeah, I

0:25:48.080 --> 0:25:50.280
<v Speaker 3>quickly realized the error of my ways. And yeah, this

0:25:50.359 --> 0:25:52.520
<v Speaker 3>Jaguars number, I could just see it dipping. Like you said,

0:25:52.560 --> 0:25:54.520
<v Speaker 3>it's got up to two a couple of books. The

0:25:54.520 --> 0:25:56.320
<v Speaker 3>more pros I talk to, this seems like more money's gonna

0:25:56.320 --> 0:25:57.200
<v Speaker 3>come to the Jaguars side.

0:25:57.200 --> 0:25:59.160
<v Speaker 2>And this could easily flip come game time.

0:25:59.280 --> 0:26:01.440
<v Speaker 3>So definitely grab the Jags as you can right now.

0:26:01.720 --> 0:26:04.760
<v Speaker 1>Daniel Jones said the leg really isn't an issue unless

0:26:04.760 --> 0:26:09.200
<v Speaker 1>he has to move laterally, which is like fifty percent

0:26:09.240 --> 0:26:13.440
<v Speaker 1>of the moves right, Like you got to move right

0:26:13.480 --> 0:26:17.879
<v Speaker 1>to left and forwards and backwards. So that is a

0:26:17.920 --> 0:26:20.560
<v Speaker 1>little bit of a scary prospect to be betting on

0:26:20.640 --> 0:26:23.879
<v Speaker 1>a guy who's struggling to move when he's going to

0:26:24.000 --> 0:26:27.560
<v Speaker 1>get some pressure. And also the Colts, like their defensive

0:26:27.560 --> 0:26:30.760
<v Speaker 1>line has some injuries and that's impactful against a running game.

0:26:30.840 --> 0:26:33.560
<v Speaker 1>And you know, I think both coaches are really good.

0:26:33.600 --> 0:26:36.520
<v Speaker 1>I think there's no real advantage there. I think Liam

0:26:36.560 --> 0:26:40.760
<v Speaker 1>Cohn is doing a remarkable job with subpar talent at

0:26:40.800 --> 0:26:42.480
<v Speaker 1>the quarterback position.

0:26:42.600 --> 0:26:42.800
<v Speaker 2>Yeah.

0:26:42.880 --> 0:26:45.840
<v Speaker 3>He also had the most Duke conversation ever where he

0:26:45.880 --> 0:26:48.480
<v Speaker 3>set his buddies who went to college with have invented

0:26:48.520 --> 0:26:52.080
<v Speaker 3>this like fake prosthetic party puts on his pads that

0:26:52.119 --> 0:26:55.280
<v Speaker 3>protects the injured area. And it made me think of

0:26:55.760 --> 0:26:58.400
<v Speaker 3>I have an aunt that lives down in Durham, North Carolina,

0:26:58.440 --> 0:27:02.440
<v Speaker 3>and I was probably probably twenty two. I just really

0:27:02.520 --> 0:27:04.639
<v Speaker 3>dove into becoming a professional better. I'm flying down there,

0:27:04.640 --> 0:27:06.440
<v Speaker 3>go a visitor, and I'm sitting next to a kid,

0:27:06.440 --> 0:27:09.320
<v Speaker 3>Sam ages me twenty two to twenty three, flying back

0:27:09.440 --> 0:27:12.480
<v Speaker 3>to college where he goes to Duke and he does

0:27:12.600 --> 0:27:15.280
<v Speaker 3>heart research. I go, that's pretty cool. Like, again, we're

0:27:15.280 --> 0:27:17.160
<v Speaker 3>on totally different pathrore, Like I'm a professional better.

0:27:17.480 --> 0:27:18.320
<v Speaker 2>I goes, what do you guys do?

0:27:18.359 --> 0:27:20.159
<v Speaker 3>He goes, he pulled out just box and goes, well,

0:27:20.200 --> 0:27:22.800
<v Speaker 3>I build an artificial heart and it got to prove

0:27:22.840 --> 0:27:25.040
<v Speaker 3>to be put into process. This is like in whatever,

0:27:25.119 --> 0:27:27.520
<v Speaker 3>say like twenty twelve, twenty eleven, and I always think

0:27:27.560 --> 0:27:30.480
<v Speaker 3>back to this guy is building these fake hearts and

0:27:30.600 --> 0:27:32.560
<v Speaker 3>artificial hearts at twenty two twenty three and I was

0:27:32.560 --> 0:27:35.199
<v Speaker 3>over here like talking about being a professional better totally

0:27:35.240 --> 0:27:36.520
<v Speaker 3>broughbab me back down and humbled me.

0:27:36.560 --> 0:27:37.919
<v Speaker 2>At that time I really needed it.

0:27:37.960 --> 0:27:40.440
<v Speaker 3>So I always think back at the different paths of life,

0:27:40.480 --> 0:27:43.480
<v Speaker 3>and you know, you never know, like this kid, he's

0:27:43.640 --> 0:27:46.040
<v Speaker 3>someone that built artificial hearts and extra professional better when

0:27:46.000 --> 0:27:48.280
<v Speaker 3>we were both just young kids talking about TV shows

0:27:48.280 --> 0:27:49.040
<v Speaker 3>and movies, all.

0:27:49.080 --> 0:27:51.000
<v Speaker 1>Right, that said, we're going to be on the Jacks

0:27:51.000 --> 0:27:52.720
<v Speaker 1>because I don't think anyone's thinking about a way to

0:27:52.760 --> 0:27:56.600
<v Speaker 1>fix Daniel jones broken fibula between now and then Miami.

0:27:57.000 --> 0:27:59.800
<v Speaker 1>At the New York Jets. The line at hard Rock

0:27:59.880 --> 0:28:03.359
<v Speaker 1>is two and a half. Everywhere else it's three. So

0:28:03.359 --> 0:28:06.000
<v Speaker 1>I would recommend getting the three. I made this Chad's

0:28:06.080 --> 0:28:08.280
<v Speaker 1>choice when it was the Jets two and a half

0:28:08.280 --> 0:28:11.080
<v Speaker 1>On Tuesday, and that seemed to be the only twenty

0:28:11.080 --> 0:28:13.560
<v Speaker 1>four hour window where this wasn't three because it was

0:28:13.600 --> 0:28:16.480
<v Speaker 1>at three Sunday in the Monday. It's been three since

0:28:16.520 --> 0:28:19.720
<v Speaker 1>Wednesday morning. I betted at three. I bet it again

0:28:19.760 --> 0:28:25.160
<v Speaker 1>at three. So the Dolphins are getting all the bets

0:28:25.200 --> 0:28:27.760
<v Speaker 1>on this one. They're the public side for sure. You

0:28:27.800 --> 0:28:30.520
<v Speaker 1>mentioned you shurep call. The Jets are the wise guy side.

0:28:30.560 --> 0:28:32.920
<v Speaker 1>What I don't get is why hasn't it come back

0:28:33.000 --> 0:28:35.320
<v Speaker 1>down to two and a half when I know the

0:28:35.320 --> 0:28:38.600
<v Speaker 1>professional money is coming in on the Jets in this game.

0:28:40.440 --> 0:28:43.120
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, honestly, I think this has to deal with what

0:28:43.120 --> 0:28:45.400
<v Speaker 3>we talked a little bit about, where it's this game

0:28:45.440 --> 0:28:47.880
<v Speaker 3>had a lot of dictating on the weather, and you

0:28:47.920 --> 0:28:48.680
<v Speaker 3>saw earlier in the week.

0:28:48.560 --> 0:28:50.240
<v Speaker 2>They're supposed to be a Hug Show storm coming through

0:28:50.240 --> 0:28:50.800
<v Speaker 2>for this game.

0:28:51.120 --> 0:28:52.720
<v Speaker 3>Now, the Saand's gonna blow out and it's going to

0:28:52.760 --> 0:28:54.680
<v Speaker 3>be sunny, So it basically would be thirty one thirty

0:28:54.680 --> 0:28:56.840
<v Speaker 3>two degrees for kickoff and sunny is what they're predicting

0:28:56.920 --> 0:28:59.840
<v Speaker 3>right now, Which if you're in Miami and Tua, that

0:29:00.080 --> 0:29:01.520
<v Speaker 3>as good as it's going to get. Right if you're

0:29:01.560 --> 0:29:04.440
<v Speaker 3>coming to the Northeast in December. You knew it's gonna

0:29:04.440 --> 0:29:05.960
<v Speaker 3>be cold. But if you're not getting any type of

0:29:06.040 --> 0:29:08.600
<v Speaker 3>horrible wind in met life, you're not getting rain or

0:29:08.640 --> 0:29:11.680
<v Speaker 3>any bad elements like that. Who should be all right?

0:29:11.800 --> 0:29:14.000
<v Speaker 3>Right with the times we've seen him struggle. You know

0:29:14.440 --> 0:29:16.520
<v Speaker 3>that was when he was in Buffalo or Kansas City

0:29:16.520 --> 0:29:19.040
<v Speaker 3>and it was like windshill of three degrees outside and

0:29:19.080 --> 0:29:21.600
<v Speaker 3>it was just my numbing. It might not be that

0:29:21.680 --> 0:29:24.760
<v Speaker 3>bad for him in this spot, but we've seen times come.

0:29:24.840 --> 0:29:27.480
<v Speaker 3>This Jets team, they keep being underrated.

0:29:27.080 --> 0:29:29.040
<v Speaker 2>By the public. Tyrod Taylor, We've talked about it.

0:29:29.120 --> 0:29:31.800
<v Speaker 3>You know, his last eight starts, he's seven to zero

0:29:31.800 --> 0:29:32.800
<v Speaker 3>to one against the spread.

0:29:32.840 --> 0:29:36.040
<v Speaker 1>So it's super Bowl champion, pro bowler.

0:29:36.480 --> 0:29:38.600
<v Speaker 2>Nothing nothing new for him though. It's just being underrated

0:29:38.640 --> 0:29:39.240
<v Speaker 2>by the public.

0:29:39.960 --> 0:29:41.440
<v Speaker 3>Just seems like that's gonna be what's gonna be for

0:29:41.480 --> 0:29:44.200
<v Speaker 3>Tyrod Taylor, right, They will keep underrating him. So my

0:29:44.280 --> 0:29:47.720
<v Speaker 3>only issue with Ay Chad is we both love this

0:29:47.760 --> 0:29:48.400
<v Speaker 3>one so much.

0:29:48.440 --> 0:29:50.160
<v Speaker 2>This tends to be the games that exactly burn.

0:29:50.080 --> 0:29:53.280
<v Speaker 1>Us right now. I know, I agree, I totally.

0:29:53.440 --> 0:29:55.400
<v Speaker 2>We're nothing going to revisit Sunday for our contest.

0:29:55.440 --> 0:29:57.480
<v Speaker 3>I have like a feeling like I'm getting in a

0:29:57.560 --> 0:30:00.840
<v Speaker 3>little bit my gut alarm bells here that we've already

0:30:00.880 --> 0:30:03.560
<v Speaker 3>hit on black seventh straight times the Roulette wheel, and

0:30:03.600 --> 0:30:06.640
<v Speaker 3>we're we're hitting on black once again. So I don't

0:30:06.680 --> 0:30:08.120
<v Speaker 3>know what to do here where it's like, I think

0:30:08.120 --> 0:30:10.440
<v Speaker 3>it's the right read, but we are taking a little

0:30:10.440 --> 0:30:12.200
<v Speaker 3>bit of a risk here that the market might have

0:30:12.320 --> 0:30:15.760
<v Speaker 3>caught up to Taylor at this point, because to me,

0:30:15.880 --> 0:30:18.120
<v Speaker 3>this number feels right like my model has it right

0:30:18.160 --> 0:30:19.880
<v Speaker 3>at this So my model has.

0:30:19.800 --> 0:30:23.080
<v Speaker 2>It too, you know. I think we're getting a good

0:30:23.120 --> 0:30:24.160
<v Speaker 2>number on the Jets at two and a.

0:30:24.160 --> 0:30:26.920
<v Speaker 3>Half, especially at three. But I get why there's just

0:30:27.000 --> 0:30:29.720
<v Speaker 3>not a ton of love from most professional talk to

0:30:29.720 --> 0:30:32.160
<v Speaker 3>where they're playing their Jets. But it's not like they're like, no,

0:30:32.240 --> 0:30:33.920
<v Speaker 3>you have to bet this. This is exactly why you

0:30:33.960 --> 0:30:35.640
<v Speaker 3>want to back this Jets team. I feel like they

0:30:35.640 --> 0:30:37.480
<v Speaker 3>have the same mentality as I do. It's like, man,

0:30:37.920 --> 0:30:39.479
<v Speaker 3>we got away with one last week. We really got

0:30:39.520 --> 0:30:41.760
<v Speaker 3>to go back to this well hammer this one. But

0:30:42.320 --> 0:30:44.479
<v Speaker 3>we just we love both of us love this matchup.

0:30:44.480 --> 0:30:47.880
<v Speaker 3>It's just this Miami's defense is so bad, Taylor's gonna

0:30:47.880 --> 0:30:49.120
<v Speaker 3>be able to move the ball against him. Can they

0:30:49.160 --> 0:30:51.959
<v Speaker 3>get stops against TUA after you know, last week too

0:30:52.000 --> 0:30:55.000
<v Speaker 3>had a terrible game historically, and you dive into his trends,

0:30:55.320 --> 0:30:57.720
<v Speaker 3>he tends to bounce back after really bad games every

0:30:57.720 --> 0:31:00.720
<v Speaker 3>time him and McDaid, it's just that combo. You know,

0:31:00.800 --> 0:31:02.760
<v Speaker 3>any game he goes without throwing a touch on the

0:31:02.800 --> 0:31:05.280
<v Speaker 3>following game, he averages two point three touchdowns per game.

0:31:05.360 --> 0:31:07.760
<v Speaker 3>So it's just again lazy stat, but just shows he

0:31:07.840 --> 0:31:09.960
<v Speaker 3>tends to bounce back after struggling the game before.

0:31:10.040 --> 0:31:11.600
<v Speaker 2>So just to be something weary of.

0:31:11.720 --> 0:31:13.520
<v Speaker 3>But this is another game that if we wake up

0:31:13.560 --> 0:31:16.560
<v Speaker 3>Sunday chat and it is twenty five degrees limit or

0:31:16.640 --> 0:31:19.640
<v Speaker 3>rain kind of kind of windy out, I will have

0:31:19.680 --> 0:31:21.080
<v Speaker 3>to put this one. If there's any type of winner

0:31:21.120 --> 0:31:23.920
<v Speaker 3>elements in this game. But it's a perfect sunny day.

0:31:24.280 --> 0:31:26.120
<v Speaker 3>Maybe I'll talk this out of and lie to myself

0:31:26.160 --> 0:31:28.520
<v Speaker 3>being like, nah, don't, don't, don't go too hardier on

0:31:28.520 --> 0:31:30.880
<v Speaker 3>this Jets team. But I love the plus three and

0:31:30.920 --> 0:31:32.680
<v Speaker 3>you do as well, so it's me hard to avoid it.

0:31:32.960 --> 0:31:36.560
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, I agree with you. I feel like, and it's

0:31:36.560 --> 0:31:41.480
<v Speaker 1>totally anecdotal, like when we tend to love a game,

0:31:41.720 --> 0:31:44.960
<v Speaker 1>lock in a game early in the week, I feel

0:31:44.960 --> 0:31:49.560
<v Speaker 1>like we don't even hesitate to put it into our

0:31:49.600 --> 0:31:52.280
<v Speaker 1>final five, and it always ends up being a game

0:31:52.320 --> 0:31:54.160
<v Speaker 1>that we're out of it in the first quarter.

0:31:54.240 --> 0:31:55.840
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, we've had the blinders on a couple of times

0:31:55.840 --> 0:31:56.000
<v Speaker 3>like that.

0:31:56.560 --> 0:31:59.280
<v Speaker 1>It's true. Well, let's see if we have the blinders

0:31:59.280 --> 0:32:01.120
<v Speaker 1>on for the Cleveland rounds at minus three and a

0:32:01.200 --> 0:32:04.640
<v Speaker 1>half hosting the Tennessee Titans. Huge swings back and forth

0:32:04.760 --> 0:32:06.920
<v Speaker 1>on this one in a small range like four and

0:32:06.960 --> 0:32:08.520
<v Speaker 1>a half to four to three and a half to

0:32:08.560 --> 0:32:10.360
<v Speaker 1>three and a half to four to four and a half,

0:32:11.040 --> 0:32:14.880
<v Speaker 1>back and forth, back and forth. Look, I dismissed all

0:32:15.000 --> 0:32:20.600
<v Speaker 1>the noise about cam Ward's improvements a couple of weeks

0:32:20.600 --> 0:32:23.880
<v Speaker 1>ago in the show, but if you do look at

0:32:23.880 --> 0:32:28.680
<v Speaker 1>his numbers, passer rating, lack of interceptions, completion percentage, they

0:32:28.720 --> 0:32:31.920
<v Speaker 1>are all much much better since Brian Callahan was fired

0:32:32.240 --> 0:32:36.120
<v Speaker 1>in week six. And this has been outside of last week,

0:32:36.120 --> 0:32:37.040
<v Speaker 1>a more competitive team.

0:32:37.120 --> 0:32:37.280
<v Speaker 2>Right.

0:32:37.320 --> 0:32:40.440
<v Speaker 1>They twice beat down the back door to cover a

0:32:40.440 --> 0:32:43.000
<v Speaker 1>big number against the Chargers, to cover a big number

0:32:43.000 --> 0:32:48.680
<v Speaker 1>against Seattle. But they haven't played Miles Garrett in Cleveland yet,

0:32:49.320 --> 0:32:52.760
<v Speaker 1>And so when I'm looking at this game, I'm looking

0:32:52.800 --> 0:32:55.920
<v Speaker 1>at not sure door Sanders as more than a field

0:32:55.920 --> 0:32:59.760
<v Speaker 1>goal favorite. I'm looking at cam Ward having to compete

0:32:59.840 --> 0:33:01.320
<v Speaker 1>against Miles Garrett.

0:33:02.640 --> 0:33:05.840
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, and just been talking to why different pros love

0:33:05.880 --> 0:33:07.160
<v Speaker 3>this Tennessee team so much?

0:33:07.240 --> 0:33:09.400
<v Speaker 2>Right, They've come in very heavy on like this.

0:33:09.400 --> 0:33:11.200
<v Speaker 3>This number did open a lot of books at five

0:33:11.240 --> 0:33:12.760
<v Speaker 3>and a half four and a half, and like Chad said,

0:33:13.160 --> 0:33:14.760
<v Speaker 3>a lot of books quickly move at three and a half.

0:33:14.840 --> 0:33:17.040
<v Speaker 3>So that's some serious money pushing it a whole point.

0:33:17.120 --> 0:33:20.200
<v Speaker 3>And I couldn't understand why. So I wanted to figure

0:33:20.240 --> 0:33:22.080
<v Speaker 3>out what people are seeing that I'm missing, And it

0:33:22.120 --> 0:33:23.560
<v Speaker 3>is a little bit of the cam Wred love right

0:33:23.600 --> 0:33:26.080
<v Speaker 3>that you just talked about. But it's also they can't

0:33:26.080 --> 0:33:28.840
<v Speaker 3>believe that Shador Seniors would be this big of a favorite,

0:33:28.920 --> 0:33:31.680
<v Speaker 3>which I think is a totally fair criticism of him

0:33:31.720 --> 0:33:33.920
<v Speaker 3>and that team. But like I talked on Tuesday, I

0:33:33.960 --> 0:33:36.440
<v Speaker 3>don't think this is Shdor Sanders' line. I truly think

0:33:36.480 --> 0:33:38.680
<v Speaker 3>this is a defensive line. This is a line that

0:33:39.120 --> 0:33:42.040
<v Speaker 3>when the bookmaker's posted it's what I'm looking at my model,

0:33:42.040 --> 0:33:44.800
<v Speaker 3>which is like, okay, say the offense is a total

0:33:44.880 --> 0:33:48.080
<v Speaker 3>zero in your opinion, at least the Browns have a

0:33:48.080 --> 0:33:50.760
<v Speaker 3>good run game, Like we've seen it through multiple weeks here.

0:33:50.680 --> 0:33:53.160
<v Speaker 2>That they can run the ball pretty consistently.

0:33:53.240 --> 0:33:55.880
<v Speaker 3>It's just the usuer for us, which I think most

0:33:55.880 --> 0:33:57.440
<v Speaker 3>guys have bet in this Browns team, is if it's

0:33:57.520 --> 0:34:01.080
<v Speaker 3>thirty and seven, thirty and eight, you definitely have more

0:34:01.120 --> 0:34:03.880
<v Speaker 3>confidence in Ward, I guess completing that than you do

0:34:03.880 --> 0:34:06.200
<v Speaker 3>a Saantors, Right. But like I've talked about, I think

0:34:06.200 --> 0:34:09.040
<v Speaker 3>it's just an overreacting road reaction to this past week

0:34:09.080 --> 0:34:11.560
<v Speaker 3>where you go and look at that Raiders game. He

0:34:11.680 --> 0:34:14.240
<v Speaker 3>was moving pretty well in the pocket, finding open lanes

0:34:14.239 --> 0:34:16.640
<v Speaker 3>and I think he only had eleven completions, but still

0:34:17.239 --> 0:34:19.040
<v Speaker 3>they were big time completions, right, and that's what you're

0:34:19.080 --> 0:34:21.320
<v Speaker 3>looking for for Sainders and a young quarterback were cam Ward.

0:34:21.800 --> 0:34:22.520
<v Speaker 2>We've talked about it.

0:34:22.520 --> 0:34:25.120
<v Speaker 3>He's so erratic that, yeah, the numbers have been better,

0:34:25.680 --> 0:34:27.880
<v Speaker 3>but we talked about a lot of those numbers is

0:34:28.080 --> 0:34:30.920
<v Speaker 3>a late game, you know, passing yards and touchdowns like

0:34:30.960 --> 0:34:34.320
<v Speaker 3>those are fourth quarter stats. Yeah, most defense are playing prevent.

0:34:35.200 --> 0:34:37.720
<v Speaker 3>Could we get burned by the Browns prevent defense? Sure,

0:34:37.840 --> 0:34:40.239
<v Speaker 3>but we've seen it this year. This Browns team doesn't

0:34:40.280 --> 0:34:42.359
<v Speaker 3>usually go into that mode like they always plays if

0:34:42.360 --> 0:34:45.320
<v Speaker 3>they're very desperate, so it just feels good to reaction,

0:34:45.400 --> 0:34:47.319
<v Speaker 3>like the pros have really bet this one, and you

0:34:47.360 --> 0:34:48.480
<v Speaker 3>look at the money splits.

0:34:48.800 --> 0:34:50.520
<v Speaker 2>You know, the tickets of most books.

0:34:50.200 --> 0:34:52.280
<v Speaker 3>Are pretty heavy on the Brown side, but the money

0:34:53.040 --> 0:34:55.719
<v Speaker 3>is very, very much skew to this Tennessee side. So

0:34:56.520 --> 0:34:59.880
<v Speaker 3>I really do like this Browns game. It's another game,

0:35:00.080 --> 0:35:03.240
<v Speaker 3>just like the Jets when we're I know it's probably

0:35:03.360 --> 0:35:05.840
<v Speaker 3>an overreaction of my part to it, but I just

0:35:05.840 --> 0:35:06.960
<v Speaker 3>think the lines move too much.

0:35:06.960 --> 0:35:08.520
<v Speaker 2>Like I don't think the Jet should be plus three.

0:35:08.520 --> 0:35:10.479
<v Speaker 3>I don't think the Browns here it should be minus

0:35:10.480 --> 0:35:11.600
<v Speaker 3>three and a half. It just feels like a too

0:35:11.680 --> 0:35:15.200
<v Speaker 3>much overaction by a lot of these professionals. So maybe

0:35:15.239 --> 0:35:16.759
<v Speaker 3>you'll help us talk because out have to come a

0:35:16.800 --> 0:35:18.640
<v Speaker 3>Sunday chat. But as you say, right now, the Browns,

0:35:18.680 --> 0:35:20.399
<v Speaker 3>they are quickly becoming all of my bigger bets. I've

0:35:20.440 --> 0:35:22.600
<v Speaker 3>taken a pretty large position on the minus three and

0:35:22.600 --> 0:35:24.640
<v Speaker 3>a half. I just I think it's a unique spot

0:35:24.640 --> 0:35:27.120
<v Speaker 3>with this Browns defense. Jim Schwartz at home against a

0:35:27.200 --> 0:35:30.600
<v Speaker 3>rookie on the road in the elements. I gotta take

0:35:30.600 --> 0:35:31.239
<v Speaker 3>the Browns here.

0:35:32.360 --> 0:35:35.400
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, I'm having a hard time walking away from it to.

0:35:35.200 --> 0:35:37.359
<v Speaker 3>Total thirty three and a half. I shouldn't mention that too.

0:35:37.560 --> 0:35:40.160
<v Speaker 3>So that's another reason pros like the like the dog.

0:35:40.160 --> 0:35:43.640
<v Speaker 3>Here's just a total that low with that few points,

0:35:44.000 --> 0:35:46.280
<v Speaker 3>most pros will just blindly take the dog in that position.

0:35:46.600 --> 0:35:49.399
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, it's a really it's a really low number. I'm

0:35:49.400 --> 0:35:53.480
<v Speaker 1>having a hard time walking away from the Browns. And

0:35:53.520 --> 0:35:56.680
<v Speaker 1>it's entirely because we've had a lot of success betting

0:35:56.680 --> 0:36:01.160
<v Speaker 1>the Browns as the better defense at home against much

0:36:01.239 --> 0:36:05.319
<v Speaker 1>much better teams and better quarterbacks and than what we're

0:36:05.320 --> 0:36:08.839
<v Speaker 1>getting in the Titans and so and with by the way,

0:36:09.440 --> 0:36:14.520
<v Speaker 1>worse quarterbacks than Shoud or Sanders. Yeah right, So I mean.

0:36:14.480 --> 0:36:16.920
<v Speaker 3>Whether it's matter here, Like looking at it early again,

0:36:16.960 --> 0:36:19.600
<v Speaker 3>it's it's three four days out, but it's supposed to

0:36:19.640 --> 0:36:23.360
<v Speaker 3>be flurries of snow, really strong wind, and probably in

0:36:23.400 --> 0:36:26.120
<v Speaker 3>the mid thirties. So this could be another game where

0:36:26.120 --> 0:36:27.520
<v Speaker 3>the elements play a factor into.

0:36:27.320 --> 0:36:30.439
<v Speaker 1>It, all, right, Seattle at Atlanta. Atlanta's a seven point

0:36:30.480 --> 0:36:32.239
<v Speaker 1>dog right now. We talked a little bit about it

0:36:32.239 --> 0:36:35.759
<v Speaker 1>on Tuesday. You and I are split on this game.

0:36:36.120 --> 0:36:39.680
<v Speaker 1>You're riding this I like the Falcons here and I

0:36:39.719 --> 0:36:43.080
<v Speaker 1>know it sounds gross to say it, but they keep

0:36:43.120 --> 0:36:47.359
<v Speaker 1>losing close games. Sam Darnold has not been as good

0:36:47.360 --> 0:36:50.000
<v Speaker 1>as he was when he started the season the past

0:36:50.200 --> 0:36:54.840
<v Speaker 1>few games. Kirk Cousin's serviceable. I'm not saying he's great

0:36:55.120 --> 0:36:57.720
<v Speaker 1>to me. The one reason that I'm not like going

0:36:57.760 --> 0:36:59.520
<v Speaker 1>all in on the Falcons yet is because I want

0:36:59.520 --> 0:37:03.520
<v Speaker 1>to know Rake London's status. He is so important to

0:37:03.600 --> 0:37:04.600
<v Speaker 1>this team, but.

0:37:04.760 --> 0:37:08.640
<v Speaker 3>Like very unlikely hasn't practiced all week, so you know,

0:37:09.480 --> 0:37:11.160
<v Speaker 3>and they're four and eight, like, are they really going

0:37:11.200 --> 0:37:14.680
<v Speaker 3>to rush back there? They're number one player on their team.

0:37:14.560 --> 0:37:20.200
<v Speaker 1>And absent that absent that this is peak Seattle and

0:37:20.680 --> 0:37:25.279
<v Speaker 1>the lowest of the low valleys for Atlanta. So I

0:37:25.280 --> 0:37:26.960
<v Speaker 1>get why the wise guys are on it. I get

0:37:26.960 --> 0:37:29.640
<v Speaker 1>why it's moved from seven and a half to seven.

0:37:30.800 --> 0:37:33.399
<v Speaker 1>I'm surprised that you and I are split on this one.

0:37:35.120 --> 0:37:36.760
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, it's just again.

0:37:36.840 --> 0:37:40.160
<v Speaker 3>Atlanta is a type of team where I'm not saying

0:37:40.160 --> 0:37:41.839
<v Speaker 3>all the teams they've played in the past are bad,

0:37:42.719 --> 0:37:45.920
<v Speaker 3>but they have not played a team, in my opinion,

0:37:45.960 --> 0:37:48.279
<v Speaker 3>on this Seattle level where you know.

0:37:48.280 --> 0:37:49.240
<v Speaker 2>They went to New England.

0:37:49.280 --> 0:37:50.719
<v Speaker 3>I don't know if you remember that game they lost

0:37:50.719 --> 0:37:52.479
<v Speaker 3>by one point, it was twenty four to twenty three.

0:37:53.440 --> 0:37:55.799
<v Speaker 3>That's a totally different team at this point, right, that's

0:37:55.840 --> 0:37:59.120
<v Speaker 3>with Drake London, that's with Pennix, that quarterback. Like this

0:37:59.200 --> 0:38:01.799
<v Speaker 3>is I don't think people are reacted enough to how

0:38:01.840 --> 0:38:04.400
<v Speaker 3>bad this Falcons team now is with the kirkut, the helmet,

0:38:04.440 --> 0:38:07.400
<v Speaker 3>without Drake Lon and it's just you know, their last

0:38:07.600 --> 0:38:10.719
<v Speaker 3>three games, you know, not going to take too much

0:38:10.719 --> 0:38:12.920
<v Speaker 3>away from it, but it's been against Carolina and Orleans

0:38:12.920 --> 0:38:16.239
<v Speaker 3>and the Jets. They won one game of that whole unit, right,

0:38:16.320 --> 0:38:17.680
<v Speaker 3>that was when they went to Orange and they blew

0:38:17.760 --> 0:38:19.719
<v Speaker 3>up the Saints team. But you even talked about how

0:38:19.760 --> 0:38:22.000
<v Speaker 3>that game was much closer than people realize. Right, that

0:38:22.160 --> 0:38:25.040
<v Speaker 3>was a game where Saints could gather their own way

0:38:25.040 --> 0:38:26.719
<v Speaker 3>and eventually Kirk took it away from them.

0:38:26.800 --> 0:38:28.040
<v Speaker 2>Right, they won twenty four to ten.

0:38:28.160 --> 0:38:30.880
<v Speaker 3>So it's just a faconts team that they beat up

0:38:30.880 --> 0:38:33.800
<v Speaker 3>on bad They beat and played bad teams here with Kirk,

0:38:34.160 --> 0:38:37.719
<v Speaker 3>this is a legit juggernaut like the Seahawks, the more

0:38:37.800 --> 0:38:39.480
<v Speaker 3>numbers I dive into them, Like you said, if Sam

0:38:39.480 --> 0:38:42.720
<v Speaker 3>Donald could figure it out, their path to the Super

0:38:42.719 --> 0:38:45.440
<v Speaker 3>Bowl is literally there. Like they have the guys, they

0:38:45.440 --> 0:38:47.960
<v Speaker 3>have the pieces. It's all going to come to Sam Donald.

0:38:48.000 --> 0:38:50.480
<v Speaker 3>So for me, this is a get right game for

0:38:50.600 --> 0:38:54.360
<v Speaker 3>Sam Donald. He should light up this defense. And I

0:38:54.360 --> 0:38:55.880
<v Speaker 3>think what you're talking about is true. The only thing

0:38:55.920 --> 0:38:57.800
<v Speaker 3>we're wary of here is just such a huge number

0:38:58.080 --> 0:38:59.560
<v Speaker 3>to be back in Sam Darnald on the road.

0:38:59.600 --> 0:39:03.200
<v Speaker 2>But talked if you just don't get too hard.

0:39:03.040 --> 0:39:06.360
<v Speaker 3>About yourself on Sam Darnold, this head coach with Geno Smith,

0:39:06.920 --> 0:39:08.880
<v Speaker 3>has gone on the road in won games and covered

0:39:08.880 --> 0:39:11.960
<v Speaker 3>games and going back to last year, so it kind

0:39:11.960 --> 0:39:13.560
<v Speaker 3>of seems like we need to start thinking so much

0:39:13.560 --> 0:39:16.040
<v Speaker 3>about what the quarterback is that start really realizing this

0:39:16.080 --> 0:39:18.120
<v Speaker 3>is a head coach team like a lot of these

0:39:18.120 --> 0:39:20.680
<v Speaker 3>other teams. We talked about like, you know, this head

0:39:20.680 --> 0:39:23.440
<v Speaker 3>coach might be one of the best in football. And

0:39:23.480 --> 0:39:26.239
<v Speaker 3>you know McDonald here his record on the road as

0:39:26.360 --> 0:39:29.560
<v Speaker 3>just a young coach. He's nine to four against the spread.

0:39:29.680 --> 0:39:32.480
<v Speaker 3>So you know, this year we've seen it as two

0:39:32.520 --> 0:39:35.520
<v Speaker 3>non covers have been you know, Sally both games I

0:39:35.640 --> 0:39:38.560
<v Speaker 3>backed or no. He did cover against the Rams, but

0:39:38.600 --> 0:39:41.080
<v Speaker 3>he didn't cover against Tennessee. But we talked that felt

0:39:41.080 --> 0:39:43.560
<v Speaker 3>like a very flukey back door covered by the Tennessee team.

0:39:43.640 --> 0:39:46.600
<v Speaker 3>So I'm gonna hold hold my line here back to

0:39:46.600 --> 0:39:48.720
<v Speaker 3>the Seahawks team on the road. I just the numbers

0:39:48.719 --> 0:39:51.719
<v Speaker 3>moved too much of minus seven. I gotta take the Seahawks.

0:39:51.760 --> 0:39:53.400
<v Speaker 3>If you if you're like Chad and.

0:39:53.400 --> 0:39:55.719
<v Speaker 2>You want to back to the Falcons, I hope you

0:39:55.719 --> 0:39:57.200
<v Speaker 2>could have got to seven and a half. But it's seven.

0:39:57.239 --> 0:39:58.640
<v Speaker 2>I just I can't advise you to bet. I think

0:39:58.640 --> 0:39:59.920
<v Speaker 2>you're betting into a bad number.

0:40:00.760 --> 0:40:02.920
<v Speaker 1>Well, suffice to say it won't be in our contest.

0:40:05.120 --> 0:40:08.840
<v Speaker 1>All right. We mentioned Mike Tomlin, We mentioned the Steelers.

0:40:08.880 --> 0:40:12.040
<v Speaker 1>Pittsburgh is visiting the Baltimore Ravens minus five and a

0:40:12.080 --> 0:40:17.000
<v Speaker 1>half point favorites against their division rivals. This is going

0:40:17.040 --> 0:40:22.680
<v Speaker 1>to be our brass Balls Better the Week presented by

0:40:22.800 --> 0:40:24.360
<v Speaker 1>hard Rock Bet.

0:40:24.560 --> 0:40:29.200
<v Speaker 4>You know what it takes, brass balls.

0:40:30.000 --> 0:40:35.040
<v Speaker 1>We've made the very hard decision to back the Baltimore

0:40:35.160 --> 0:40:38.600
<v Speaker 1>Ravens at minus five and a half. We don't want

0:40:38.600 --> 0:40:40.719
<v Speaker 1>to pile on to Mike Tomlin, who we love and

0:40:40.760 --> 0:40:43.359
<v Speaker 1>we think he's an amazing coach. It's the rare time

0:40:43.400 --> 0:40:48.600
<v Speaker 1>we are not backing the Rah Rah Mike Tomlin spot

0:40:49.120 --> 0:40:53.440
<v Speaker 1>All betting is a risk. We recognize Lamar Jackson is

0:40:53.480 --> 0:40:56.319
<v Speaker 1>not as healthy as he has been. This offense has

0:40:56.400 --> 0:40:59.239
<v Speaker 1>not been as consistent as we would like it to be.

0:41:00.239 --> 0:41:02.840
<v Speaker 1>To me, this is really a bet against Aaron Rodgers,

0:41:03.200 --> 0:41:05.160
<v Speaker 1>the inability of this offense to move the ball down

0:41:05.200 --> 0:41:10.239
<v Speaker 1>the field, and a bet against even more. They're very

0:41:10.360 --> 0:41:17.120
<v Speaker 1>quickly aging in front of our eyes defense, and a hope,

0:41:17.480 --> 0:41:22.279
<v Speaker 1>a hope, a bet that the Ravens offense can take

0:41:22.600 --> 0:41:27.080
<v Speaker 1>a smidgeon of advantage against a defense that, as the

0:41:27.120 --> 0:41:30.080
<v Speaker 1>games go on, continues to get worse and worse in

0:41:30.160 --> 0:41:32.560
<v Speaker 1>third downs and continues to get worse and worse in

0:41:32.640 --> 0:41:35.520
<v Speaker 1>explosive plays. And that's when we can see Derrick Henry

0:41:35.760 --> 0:41:38.759
<v Speaker 1>break open some game, some big gains and put these

0:41:38.760 --> 0:41:41.120
<v Speaker 1>games away. It's what happened last year in the playoffs.

0:41:41.320 --> 0:41:43.280
<v Speaker 1>We've seen it happen a couple times with this team

0:41:43.600 --> 0:41:47.040
<v Speaker 1>when they just completely collapse and the offense can't function.

0:41:47.160 --> 0:41:51.239
<v Speaker 1>So Ravens minus five and a half.

0:41:53.080 --> 0:41:54.520
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, we love this Ravens team.

0:41:54.560 --> 0:41:57.880
<v Speaker 3>And this's a line that I almost positive will be

0:41:58.160 --> 0:42:00.560
<v Speaker 3>in our contest because this is such a unique matchup

0:42:00.560 --> 0:42:05.439
<v Speaker 3>where you know, it's it's not it's not that calm

0:42:05.520 --> 0:42:08.839
<v Speaker 3>that the public is totally giving up on Lamar. But

0:42:08.840 --> 0:42:10.520
<v Speaker 3>it feels like that's what we reached here with this

0:42:10.600 --> 0:42:13.480
<v Speaker 3>line chat for this probably should be really does just

0:42:13.520 --> 0:42:16.440
<v Speaker 3>look at that just matchup, and most people's models are

0:42:16.440 --> 0:42:18.680
<v Speaker 3>gonna have this at seven. So all right, it's a

0:42:18.719 --> 0:42:20.520
<v Speaker 3>point and a half off. All right, Great, we're getting

0:42:20.520 --> 0:42:22.239
<v Speaker 3>this Ravens at a point a half off. But it's

0:42:22.239 --> 0:42:24.880
<v Speaker 3>also a unique spot where the Ravens have now not

0:42:24.960 --> 0:42:28.360
<v Speaker 3>covered in three straight weeks. Right, So not only is

0:42:28.360 --> 0:42:30.000
<v Speaker 3>the public gonna be off of them, I think they're

0:42:30.040 --> 0:42:32.640
<v Speaker 3>gonna be on Pittsburgh just because I'm not telling one

0:42:32.640 --> 0:42:33.560
<v Speaker 3>of those those trends.

0:42:33.600 --> 0:42:35.439
<v Speaker 2>Everyone's gonna be giving out those trends all week.

0:42:35.520 --> 0:42:37.920
<v Speaker 3>Right. That is a known trend thing where if you

0:42:38.040 --> 0:42:41.120
<v Speaker 3>just blindly back the dogs in this matchup, whether it

0:42:41.120 --> 0:42:43.480
<v Speaker 3>be the Ravens or Pittsburgh, over the last twenty years,

0:42:43.920 --> 0:42:47.040
<v Speaker 3>you've come out green, and especially with the numbers above three.

0:42:47.080 --> 0:42:49.560
<v Speaker 3>I give out that stat Tomlin when he's underdog in

0:42:49.600 --> 0:42:53.120
<v Speaker 3>this matchup above three, or even hardball either side when

0:42:53.120 --> 0:42:57.160
<v Speaker 3>the numbers above three, the underdog team is twenty three

0:42:57.160 --> 0:43:00.000
<v Speaker 3>and five against the spread in that spot. So historically

0:43:00.000 --> 0:43:02.200
<v Speaker 3>you've just blindly backed the big dog in the spot,

0:43:02.360 --> 0:43:04.879
<v Speaker 3>and it's worked out for you. When you go back

0:43:04.920 --> 0:43:08.240
<v Speaker 3>through all those years, even when the Ravens had down years,

0:43:08.840 --> 0:43:10.880
<v Speaker 3>it really always was defensive. Like you look at all

0:43:10.920 --> 0:43:13.440
<v Speaker 3>the scores of all those games, it was these insane

0:43:13.520 --> 0:43:15.320
<v Speaker 3>ruling defensive battles.

0:43:14.880 --> 0:43:19.960
<v Speaker 1>Sixteen, fourteen, twenty seventeen. Like, it was games where the

0:43:20.000 --> 0:43:25.600
<v Speaker 1>Steelers defense made big, big plays and caused huge turnovers

0:43:25.920 --> 0:43:28.759
<v Speaker 1>that turned the game. That's what you were always banking on.

0:43:29.480 --> 0:43:31.839
<v Speaker 3>The last three times they played in the Pittsburgh won

0:43:32.000 --> 0:43:34.200
<v Speaker 3>the game. So the last two the Ravens have won,

0:43:34.239 --> 0:43:36.360
<v Speaker 3>they I think they've blown them out, But I just

0:43:36.400 --> 0:43:38.520
<v Speaker 3>thought it was interested. The last three times that Pittsburgh won,

0:43:38.920 --> 0:43:41.640
<v Speaker 3>they won eighteen to sixteen. Does that not sound like

0:43:41.640 --> 0:43:44.600
<v Speaker 3>a defensive game? They won seventeen to ten. Does that

0:43:44.600 --> 0:43:46.719
<v Speaker 3>not it'sund a defensive game. And then they won again

0:43:46.840 --> 0:43:50.759
<v Speaker 3>seventeen to ten. So we talked to Lamar earliest career,

0:43:50.800 --> 0:43:53.319
<v Speaker 3>he was zero to five against spread and straight up

0:43:53.320 --> 0:43:56.360
<v Speaker 3>against its Pittsburgh team. How was when Pittsburgh had this

0:43:56.440 --> 0:44:01.080
<v Speaker 3>dominant defense. Now these last years, right, these last two years,

0:44:01.120 --> 0:44:03.680
<v Speaker 3>the cracks have been forming. This year, it's just totally

0:44:03.680 --> 0:44:05.719
<v Speaker 3>the damn has broken the flood. Gat are totally open.

0:44:05.760 --> 0:44:08.000
<v Speaker 3>We talked about it, like I went back and look

0:44:08.120 --> 0:44:09.480
<v Speaker 3>just to make sure I wasn't speaking out of turn

0:44:09.560 --> 0:44:09.919
<v Speaker 3>on TJ.

0:44:10.000 --> 0:44:10.360
<v Speaker 2>Watt.

0:44:10.800 --> 0:44:13.080
<v Speaker 3>All the numbers back it up. He's been atrocious, getting

0:44:13.080 --> 0:44:16.520
<v Speaker 3>no pressures at all. And you know, if we look

0:44:16.520 --> 0:44:19.960
<v Speaker 3>at this matchup just on paper, we get Lamar is

0:44:20.040 --> 0:44:22.399
<v Speaker 3>banged up. That is something we're got to deal with here.

0:44:23.000 --> 0:44:25.719
<v Speaker 3>This should be a Derek Henry bounce back. Everything they've

0:44:25.760 --> 0:44:28.360
<v Speaker 3>talked about. The coaches in turn said they made a

0:44:28.440 --> 0:44:31.160
<v Speaker 3>huge mistake now running him more against Cincinnati, right, they

0:44:31.640 --> 0:44:33.760
<v Speaker 3>went too much into Lamar, put too much on Lamar's

0:44:33.800 --> 0:44:35.160
<v Speaker 3>play and he just did not live up to it

0:44:35.160 --> 0:44:36.560
<v Speaker 3>against since he last week, where.

0:44:36.680 --> 0:44:38.000
<v Speaker 2>I think this week the lean into it.

0:44:38.040 --> 0:44:42.200
<v Speaker 3>And you know, once again you talk about this matchup defensively,

0:44:42.280 --> 0:44:44.439
<v Speaker 3>this Ravens team, I kind of love it. Where they've

0:44:44.480 --> 0:44:46.239
<v Speaker 3>had KYLEA. Hamilton moving all over the field. This is

0:44:46.320 --> 0:44:47.959
<v Speaker 3>really type of game he's really going to take over.

0:44:48.239 --> 0:44:50.440
<v Speaker 3>You gets to Rodgers that if you already know you

0:44:50.480 --> 0:44:52.280
<v Speaker 3>can't throw the ball twenty plus yards down.

0:44:52.160 --> 0:44:54.160
<v Speaker 2>The field, you're just going to stack the box. You're

0:44:54.200 --> 0:44:55.400
<v Speaker 2>going to try to make him.

0:44:55.440 --> 0:44:57.359
<v Speaker 3>Force the ball downfield, because that's where you've seen him

0:44:57.360 --> 0:45:00.120
<v Speaker 3>turn the ball over. So I love this match, this

0:45:00.200 --> 0:45:03.640
<v Speaker 3>Ravens team, and shocked to see the public is coming

0:45:03.640 --> 0:45:06.560
<v Speaker 3>in on this Pittsburgh team. The tickets, the money, it's

0:45:06.600 --> 0:45:08.960
<v Speaker 3>all coming on Pittsburgh. Yeah, even five and a half,

0:45:09.000 --> 0:45:09.720
<v Speaker 3>it's a good number.

0:45:09.960 --> 0:45:12.840
<v Speaker 1>I'm floored by the way Aaron Rodgers twenty yards downfield?

0:45:13.320 --> 0:45:16.640
<v Speaker 1>How about six yards downfield? Don't forget the stat I

0:45:16.680 --> 0:45:18.920
<v Speaker 1>gave the other day from Ben Solac in his column

0:45:18.920 --> 0:45:22.480
<v Speaker 1>in ESPN dot com. Sixty six percent of his passing

0:45:22.560 --> 0:45:26.279
<v Speaker 1>yards are coming with yards after the catch, Like this

0:45:26.360 --> 0:45:31.719
<v Speaker 1>is historically bad and so it's gonna be a haul

0:45:32.160 --> 0:45:35.160
<v Speaker 1>for him to get the ball downfield. Everyone's seeing it.

0:45:35.200 --> 0:45:40.200
<v Speaker 1>Everyone's seeing the same thing, all right, Baltimore Ravens brass

0:45:40.200 --> 0:45:43.719
<v Speaker 1>Ball's better the Week presented by hard Rock Bett Cincinnati

0:45:43.719 --> 0:45:46.240
<v Speaker 1>at Buffalo. Buffalo is a five and a half point favorite.

0:45:46.280 --> 0:45:48.880
<v Speaker 1>You love the Bills here. The number move five and

0:45:48.920 --> 0:45:50.839
<v Speaker 1>a half to six, down to six, down from six

0:45:50.880 --> 0:45:54.040
<v Speaker 1>to five and a half. The public is all over

0:45:54.360 --> 0:45:57.960
<v Speaker 1>the Bengals in this game. You mentioned in sharp calls

0:45:58.000 --> 0:46:00.000
<v Speaker 1>the wise guys like the Bengals in this game.

0:46:00.960 --> 0:46:02.880
<v Speaker 2>I have six. I just want people to realize that

0:46:02.880 --> 0:46:03.960
<v Speaker 2>they took him heavy.

0:46:03.800 --> 0:46:08.120
<v Speaker 1>At the six, right at the six. It's like, I

0:46:08.160 --> 0:46:11.000
<v Speaker 1>can't rep my head around this game yet. I don't

0:46:11.000 --> 0:46:12.640
<v Speaker 1>want to invest in the Bills. I don't have any

0:46:12.640 --> 0:46:14.800
<v Speaker 1>faith in their defense, and I don't want to invest

0:46:14.840 --> 0:46:16.880
<v Speaker 1>in the Bengals. I don't have any faith in their defense.

0:46:17.320 --> 0:46:20.720
<v Speaker 1>I think it's like it's a perfect straight against weakness,

0:46:20.760 --> 0:46:24.520
<v Speaker 1>strength against weakness game. I don't see an edge for anybody.

0:46:24.760 --> 0:46:26.240
<v Speaker 1>It could go either direction.

0:46:28.880 --> 0:46:30.560
<v Speaker 3>No, it's totally fair. And now I give up those

0:46:30.560 --> 0:46:33.680
<v Speaker 3>stats Joe Burrow. I mean, you take away the Hamlin

0:46:33.760 --> 0:46:35.359
<v Speaker 3>game that got basically canceled out.

0:46:35.400 --> 0:46:37.040
<v Speaker 2>But he's two and zero straight up and against the

0:46:37.040 --> 0:46:38.120
<v Speaker 2>spread against this Bills team.

0:46:38.200 --> 0:46:40.520
<v Speaker 3>So you know, clearly early in his career he's matched

0:46:40.560 --> 0:46:42.560
<v Speaker 3>up well against his Bills team played well against him.

0:46:42.560 --> 0:46:45.160
<v Speaker 3>And you know, I get why there is love for

0:46:45.200 --> 0:46:48.000
<v Speaker 3>this Bangles team. Where Jack gave the stats right the

0:46:48.040 --> 0:46:51.360
<v Speaker 3>secondary of this Bills team, they're bad against downfield passes.

0:46:51.400 --> 0:46:54.080
<v Speaker 3>That's exactly the offense Cincinnati wan's to run. They want

0:46:54.080 --> 0:46:56.440
<v Speaker 3>to push the ball downfield. But I just when I

0:46:56.440 --> 0:46:58.040
<v Speaker 3>really break this one down, it just feels like This

0:46:58.120 --> 0:47:00.680
<v Speaker 3>gonna be a ball control type of game, especially in

0:47:00.680 --> 0:47:02.600
<v Speaker 3>the elements. Like we've already talked about the lake effects

0:47:02.640 --> 0:47:04.640
<v Speaker 3>that could be happening in Cleveland, could be the same

0:47:04.680 --> 0:47:07.040
<v Speaker 3>here in Buffalo, right, could be a really weird weather game,

0:47:07.040 --> 0:47:11.719
<v Speaker 3>which that favors this Bill's team. They don't have offensive

0:47:11.760 --> 0:47:13.440
<v Speaker 3>line that wants to be in Preasprotec. They have an

0:47:13.480 --> 0:47:15.239
<v Speaker 3>offensive line once they run the ball. We saw that

0:47:15.320 --> 0:47:18.239
<v Speaker 3>last week with Pittsburgh that you know they want to

0:47:18.280 --> 0:47:20.880
<v Speaker 3>just be the heavy, big guys pushing these guys downfield.

0:47:20.920 --> 0:47:23.320
<v Speaker 3>And we've seen it with Cincinnati. They don't really have

0:47:23.360 --> 0:47:26.359
<v Speaker 3>a pass rush, let on a de tackle that can.

0:47:26.280 --> 0:47:26.919
<v Speaker 2>Stop the run.

0:47:27.040 --> 0:47:29.440
<v Speaker 3>So it feels like the Bills being able to pick

0:47:29.440 --> 0:47:31.600
<v Speaker 3>their poison here offensive had to beat them, and you know,

0:47:31.600 --> 0:47:33.520
<v Speaker 3>as much grievance we're going to give this Bills defense

0:47:33.560 --> 0:47:34.360
<v Speaker 3>how bad they've.

0:47:34.160 --> 0:47:36.680
<v Speaker 2>Been, there are some ways that can attack you.

0:47:36.719 --> 0:47:38.880
<v Speaker 3>Now. I did see Bosa pop up the injury report

0:47:38.960 --> 0:47:41.319
<v Speaker 3>not practicing this week, which I know you'd be like, Oh,

0:47:41.360 --> 0:47:42.759
<v Speaker 3>it's not that big of a deal. He's actually been

0:47:42.800 --> 0:47:45.279
<v Speaker 3>really good for them this year. Yeah, so that's been

0:47:45.320 --> 0:47:47.640
<v Speaker 3>a great sign up by them. You definitely need him

0:47:47.680 --> 0:47:49.120
<v Speaker 3>back in this type of matchup where you need to

0:47:49.200 --> 0:47:52.440
<v Speaker 3>keep Burrow off his spot, and you know, people when

0:47:52.440 --> 0:47:54.520
<v Speaker 3>to glaze over at Burrow is not playing healthy. He

0:47:54.640 --> 0:47:56.560
<v Speaker 3>is playing hurt. He's talked about it. He's basically got

0:47:56.760 --> 0:47:59.680
<v Speaker 3>a special insert on his foot that every time he's

0:47:59.680 --> 0:48:01.719
<v Speaker 3>pushed off that toe, he's feeling it.

0:48:01.719 --> 0:48:03.439
<v Speaker 2>He says it's it's pain shooting up his leg.

0:48:03.520 --> 0:48:05.279
<v Speaker 3>But he says he becomes n I'm doing when he's

0:48:05.280 --> 0:48:06.880
<v Speaker 3>playing the game because he's got other things going on

0:48:06.920 --> 0:48:07.399
<v Speaker 3>in his mind.

0:48:07.440 --> 0:48:09.800
<v Speaker 2>So you know you're.

0:48:09.200 --> 0:48:12.160
<v Speaker 3>Putt You're taking a wounded Joe Burrow as a as

0:48:12.200 --> 0:48:14.560
<v Speaker 3>a dog on the road in a spot that Chad

0:48:14.600 --> 0:48:16.319
<v Speaker 3>just said that the public is all over it. So

0:48:16.880 --> 0:48:19.720
<v Speaker 3>maybe I won't force it into World War five coming Sunday.

0:48:19.760 --> 0:48:22.440
<v Speaker 3>But I do really love this Bills team in this number.

0:48:22.480 --> 0:48:25.440
<v Speaker 3>But I'm just a little hesitant because the STATA gave

0:48:25.480 --> 0:48:27.480
<v Speaker 3>out Joe Burrow is a dog three points are greater

0:48:27.840 --> 0:48:29.160
<v Speaker 3>eighteen to three against the spread.

0:48:29.160 --> 0:48:31.080
<v Speaker 2>He just he's a covering machine.

0:48:31.120 --> 0:48:32.799
<v Speaker 3>So I just I'm trying to have to put all

0:48:32.840 --> 0:48:34.719
<v Speaker 3>in here on the Bills team where I.

0:48:35.040 --> 0:48:36.560
<v Speaker 2>Kind of like chat I'm a little weary of that.

0:48:36.840 --> 0:48:38.640
<v Speaker 3>Just something I don't trust about this Bills team, but

0:48:39.160 --> 0:48:40.520
<v Speaker 3>just just feels like this is the exact time you

0:48:40.520 --> 0:48:42.239
<v Speaker 3>want it back this Spills team in this spot because

0:48:42.280 --> 0:48:44.239
<v Speaker 3>I just tend to roll bad defenses.

0:48:44.719 --> 0:48:46.480
<v Speaker 1>Let's just see what the weather is on Sunday.

0:48:46.719 --> 0:48:47.200
<v Speaker 2>It's fair.

0:48:49.920 --> 0:48:55.080
<v Speaker 1>Let's talk about the Chicago Bears visiting the Green Bay

0:48:55.640 --> 0:48:58.920
<v Speaker 1>Packers because this game was at six and a half

0:48:59.480 --> 0:49:03.320
<v Speaker 1>and I bring it back up because it was moving

0:49:03.640 --> 0:49:07.440
<v Speaker 1>in the Packers direction. The public is backing the Packers

0:49:07.520 --> 0:49:11.200
<v Speaker 1>right now, a slight money edge towards the Packers, but

0:49:11.320 --> 0:49:14.600
<v Speaker 1>an indication that it's pretty split fifty to fifty between

0:49:15.239 --> 0:49:18.080
<v Speaker 1>the Bears and the Packers. When it comes to the

0:49:18.120 --> 0:49:24.360
<v Speaker 1>professional betting community, like it's another one. I'm being a

0:49:24.400 --> 0:49:27.440
<v Speaker 1>little bit wishy washy here. I don't even know if

0:49:27.480 --> 0:49:29.800
<v Speaker 1>I'll bet it. I just want to watch the Bears.

0:49:30.239 --> 0:49:34.480
<v Speaker 1>I'm not I'm not kidding, Simon. I'm pretty sure I

0:49:34.480 --> 0:49:36.080
<v Speaker 1>had a dream about the Bears last night.

0:49:37.200 --> 0:49:39.520
<v Speaker 2>You gotta bet the Bears money lining, brother.

0:49:39.880 --> 0:49:41.239
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, I'll bet the Bear's money line.

0:49:41.400 --> 0:49:44.080
<v Speaker 3>Yeah you got if you're a Bear's fain. It feels

0:49:44.120 --> 0:49:47.880
<v Speaker 3>like this the ultimate slave slay the demon. This is uh,

0:49:48.760 --> 0:49:50.640
<v Speaker 3>like I talked this is the team that's been in

0:49:50.680 --> 0:49:53.960
<v Speaker 3>your guys way for so many years, and you know,

0:49:54.000 --> 0:49:58.040
<v Speaker 3>this is the best Bear season since the Mitch Trubisky

0:49:58.080 --> 0:50:00.680
<v Speaker 3>double doink. So it's like, I don't know, if I

0:50:00.719 --> 0:50:03.040
<v Speaker 3>was a Barris fan, I would be all in on it.

0:50:03.040 --> 0:50:04.040
<v Speaker 2>You're getting a good number.

0:50:04.040 --> 0:50:06.200
<v Speaker 3>But we've talked about this is just like sin and

0:50:06.239 --> 0:50:10.080
<v Speaker 3>I this is a huge, shockingly public dog because the

0:50:10.120 --> 0:50:13.400
<v Speaker 3>money might be a little even the tickets, it's.

0:50:13.280 --> 0:50:15.600
<v Speaker 1>All over the Bears, the Bears.

0:50:15.680 --> 0:50:18.719
<v Speaker 3>So that's that's very alarming where it's like, oh my god,

0:50:18.760 --> 0:50:20.680
<v Speaker 3>this is a ton of money coming on or just

0:50:20.719 --> 0:50:22.960
<v Speaker 3>a ton of public coming in on this Bears side.

0:50:22.960 --> 0:50:25.879
<v Speaker 2>But I want to be on Green Bay.

0:50:25.920 --> 0:50:29.080
<v Speaker 3>But I honestly see why this money is coming to

0:50:29.120 --> 0:50:30.800
<v Speaker 3>this Bears team, Like it feels like it is warranted

0:50:30.880 --> 0:50:33.359
<v Speaker 3>because we've seen this Packers team.

0:50:34.360 --> 0:50:39.000
<v Speaker 2>It's not like they're that great against inconsistent, very inconsistent.

0:50:38.280 --> 0:50:40.399
<v Speaker 3>As well, but like as big favorites too this year,

0:50:40.960 --> 0:50:43.080
<v Speaker 3>you know, it's not like they were recovering machine. We've

0:50:43.080 --> 0:50:45.799
<v Speaker 3>seen them struggle as a big favorite show. I believe

0:50:45.840 --> 0:50:48.160
<v Speaker 3>they started the year zero to six as a six

0:50:48.200 --> 0:50:50.759
<v Speaker 3>and six and a half or seven point favorite to

0:50:50.760 --> 0:50:54.479
<v Speaker 3>start the season, So you know, there is some things

0:50:54.480 --> 0:50:56.680
<v Speaker 3>to take away from this where you know, this Bears team,

0:50:57.920 --> 0:51:01.960
<v Speaker 3>they've basically been on this divisional run here. So as

0:51:02.000 --> 0:51:05.160
<v Speaker 3>bad as they looked right like they've had some letdown games,

0:51:05.920 --> 0:51:08.799
<v Speaker 3>they did dominate that Minnesota team, which, okay, we won't

0:51:08.800 --> 0:51:12.480
<v Speaker 3>take much away from that JJ McCarthy that you know,

0:51:12.800 --> 0:51:14.840
<v Speaker 3>I don't know if they dominated Detroit, but they did play,

0:51:15.120 --> 0:51:17.520
<v Speaker 3>like we talked about, playing with big balls. Lafleur going

0:51:17.560 --> 0:51:20.200
<v Speaker 3>for on those fourth downs that was insane. That was

0:51:20.239 --> 0:51:22.600
<v Speaker 3>like next level, like he was just playing simply to win.

0:51:23.040 --> 0:51:25.840
<v Speaker 3>He did not care about trying to play for field

0:51:25.840 --> 0:51:27.440
<v Speaker 3>goals in that game. So I think it's gonna be

0:51:27.440 --> 0:51:30.160
<v Speaker 3>same here, Chad. You're gonna see Laflour and kill mode

0:51:30.160 --> 0:51:32.840
<v Speaker 3>against you guys, and he's had the Bear's number.

0:51:32.960 --> 0:51:34.960
<v Speaker 2>So I love this game so much.

0:51:35.000 --> 0:51:37.600
<v Speaker 3>Like Chad said, he's gonna probably take the Bears money

0:51:37.600 --> 0:51:39.399
<v Speaker 3>line or either set this one out on the other

0:51:39.440 --> 0:51:41.640
<v Speaker 3>side where it's like I'm gonna be Oliver Green Bay.

0:51:41.960 --> 0:51:43.160
<v Speaker 2>But just not very confident.

0:51:43.200 --> 0:51:45.880
<v Speaker 3>I thought i'd be more confident come Thursday and be like,

0:51:45.880 --> 0:51:47.359
<v Speaker 3>oh yeah, all the pros are with me on this

0:51:47.480 --> 0:51:48.040
<v Speaker 3>packer's side.

0:51:48.080 --> 0:51:48.960
<v Speaker 2>This is to the right side.

0:51:49.560 --> 0:51:52.400
<v Speaker 3>I see, I see what people are seeing with the spars,

0:51:52.440 --> 0:51:53.560
<v Speaker 3>and I see what the public is scene.

0:51:53.560 --> 0:51:54.840
<v Speaker 2>Where as good as the.

0:51:54.840 --> 0:51:58.040
<v Speaker 3>Screen Bays team is divisional game, you have to throw

0:51:58.080 --> 0:52:00.319
<v Speaker 3>a lot of that out and you know, or as

0:52:00.320 --> 0:52:03.040
<v Speaker 3>great as he's been down the stretch here, I don't know,

0:52:03.280 --> 0:52:04.799
<v Speaker 3>Like this is the type of matchup that I could

0:52:04.840 --> 0:52:07.879
<v Speaker 3>see Ben Johnson really challenging him, which he's not had.

0:52:08.360 --> 0:52:10.239
<v Speaker 3>You know, he's not been challenged by Bears coaches in

0:52:10.280 --> 0:52:12.680
<v Speaker 3>the past. Right we look back on this the Bears

0:52:12.680 --> 0:52:14.360
<v Speaker 3>coach reason they did they not had a guy like

0:52:14.360 --> 0:52:16.239
<v Speaker 3>we can we can say like Ben Johnson here.

0:52:16.320 --> 0:52:17.440
<v Speaker 2>So I love it.

0:52:17.480 --> 0:52:19.480
<v Speaker 3>This is the exact type of scenario where it's like,

0:52:19.560 --> 0:52:21.680
<v Speaker 3>is this the turning of a page or is this

0:52:21.719 --> 0:52:24.120
<v Speaker 3>the same old Bears Chad? So, I love it for

0:52:24.160 --> 0:52:26.000
<v Speaker 3>all the hooplah off the field stuff we'll be able

0:52:26.000 --> 0:52:28.360
<v Speaker 3>to talk about after the fact, but look, we'll do it.

0:52:28.440 --> 0:52:28.600
<v Speaker 2>Chad.

0:52:28.760 --> 0:52:30.960
<v Speaker 3>I'm on Green Bay, but I get while you're taking

0:52:31.000 --> 0:52:32.440
<v Speaker 3>a position on the Bear's money line.

0:52:32.640 --> 0:52:37.040
<v Speaker 1>Uh, the schedule was littered with these kind of turn

0:52:37.160 --> 0:52:43.440
<v Speaker 1>the page moments and and where are the lions, the

0:52:43.520 --> 0:52:47.279
<v Speaker 1>lions of old or the new? Are the chiefs? The

0:52:47.400 --> 0:52:51.200
<v Speaker 1>chiefs of old or the chiefs of new? Are the Bears?

0:52:51.239 --> 0:52:54.160
<v Speaker 1>The Bears of old or the bears of new? We're

0:52:54.280 --> 0:52:57.280
<v Speaker 1>constantly having asked these questions. That's what makes betting so interesting,

0:52:57.400 --> 0:53:00.960
<v Speaker 1>is like you have to take a stand and you

0:53:01.320 --> 0:53:03.960
<v Speaker 1>have to put your money on the line with an

0:53:04.040 --> 0:53:07.040
<v Speaker 1>opinion about where you think something is going to go,

0:53:07.520 --> 0:53:10.919
<v Speaker 1>not where it's been. That's what makes it so fascinating.

0:53:11.440 --> 0:53:13.600
<v Speaker 1>All I know is I woke up to p in

0:53:13.640 --> 0:53:17.040
<v Speaker 1>the middle of the night, and I'm fairly certain when

0:53:17.080 --> 0:53:19.799
<v Speaker 1>I woke up, I was dreaming about the Bears, and

0:53:19.840 --> 0:53:22.240
<v Speaker 1>I think it was the Bears' screen game. I swear

0:53:22.320 --> 0:53:24.560
<v Speaker 1>to God that's what I was dreaming about.

0:53:25.760 --> 0:53:27.880
<v Speaker 3>Bears fans a bet they're over under. They've already hit

0:53:27.920 --> 0:53:29.480
<v Speaker 3>their win total for the season eight and a.

0:53:29.480 --> 0:53:33.040
<v Speaker 1>Half, one game that we have made a choice on together.

0:53:33.160 --> 0:53:35.400
<v Speaker 1>We are on the same side, the Los Angeles Rams

0:53:35.400 --> 0:53:38.359
<v Speaker 1>minus seven and a half versus the Arizona Cardinals. We

0:53:38.400 --> 0:53:42.120
<v Speaker 1>know we're going against the wise guys here. We're basically

0:53:42.160 --> 0:53:45.680
<v Speaker 1>back in. We're going against the big home dog that

0:53:45.800 --> 0:53:49.400
<v Speaker 1>has lost seven games by four points. Or less because

0:53:50.600 --> 0:53:56.680
<v Speaker 1>they've also lost multiple games in the division by three touchdowns,

0:53:57.480 --> 0:54:00.640
<v Speaker 1>and the Rams are coming off their first game of

0:54:00.680 --> 0:54:02.359
<v Speaker 1>the year where they were on the road as ten

0:54:02.400 --> 0:54:05.920
<v Speaker 1>and a half point favorites and lost outright. I'm okay

0:54:05.960 --> 0:54:08.320
<v Speaker 1>back in the Rams here, I'm okay back in Sean

0:54:08.400 --> 0:54:11.120
<v Speaker 1>McVay here. I like this defense to get pressure against

0:54:11.200 --> 0:54:15.279
<v Speaker 1>Jacobe Brissett. I'm perfectly fine with our position. Are you

0:54:15.360 --> 0:54:16.920
<v Speaker 1>still perfectly fine with our position?

0:54:17.800 --> 0:54:18.120
<v Speaker 2>I am.

0:54:18.239 --> 0:54:19.839
<v Speaker 3>It feels you a nice spot to back this Rams

0:54:19.840 --> 0:54:22.279
<v Speaker 3>team after embarrassing loss on the road where everything felt

0:54:22.280 --> 0:54:26.520
<v Speaker 3>like it was going against them, and this Arizona team,

0:54:26.920 --> 0:54:28.759
<v Speaker 3>you know, we we we kind of fell in love

0:54:28.800 --> 0:54:30.680
<v Speaker 3>with Jakobe. Were set and it's turn on fault because

0:54:30.719 --> 0:54:32.880
<v Speaker 3>of that Dallas game where they were just so impressive,

0:54:32.880 --> 0:54:35.719
<v Speaker 3>they played so well. But we've seen it since then.

0:54:35.800 --> 0:54:39.279
<v Speaker 3>When they do play they're juggernaut of a division. They

0:54:39.320 --> 0:54:43.399
<v Speaker 3>get actually absolutely smoked. And you know, Seattle, I believe

0:54:43.400 --> 0:54:44.919
<v Speaker 3>they'd be forty four twenty two.

0:54:45.360 --> 0:54:46.920
<v Speaker 2>Then they played the forty nine ers who beat them.

0:54:46.920 --> 0:54:48.279
<v Speaker 3>I believe forty one to twenty two, and I gave

0:54:48.280 --> 0:54:50.680
<v Speaker 3>you that crazy status the first time a team had

0:54:50.680 --> 0:54:52.920
<v Speaker 3>given up forty points and back to back week's divisional

0:54:53.000 --> 0:54:56.120
<v Speaker 3>foes in like thirty years. So we know historically this

0:54:56.160 --> 0:55:00.520
<v Speaker 3>is a horrible, horrible Cardinals defense, and every game they've

0:55:00.520 --> 0:55:03.440
<v Speaker 3>come back, and it's been because either team lets him in,

0:55:03.480 --> 0:55:05.640
<v Speaker 3>they don't really shut him out, or you know, Jacoby

0:55:05.680 --> 0:55:08.919
<v Speaker 3>Brissett just has these incredible moments and like that Bucks game,

0:55:09.320 --> 0:55:11.239
<v Speaker 3>the Bucks should have been up double digits, right that

0:55:11.280 --> 0:55:11.719
<v Speaker 3>guy went.

0:55:11.680 --> 0:55:12.960
<v Speaker 1>Touchdown, That guy went touchdown.

0:55:13.000 --> 0:55:15.359
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, let them linger. And we've talked about Versett.

0:55:15.400 --> 0:55:16.799
<v Speaker 3>If you let him linger, he's gonna come back in

0:55:16.840 --> 0:55:18.279
<v Speaker 3>that back door and get that cover.

0:55:18.480 --> 0:55:20.359
<v Speaker 2>So that would be the only fear for me here.

0:55:20.400 --> 0:55:22.120
<v Speaker 3>But this feels like the absolute type of game where

0:55:22.680 --> 0:55:24.880
<v Speaker 3>you know, we see the Rams after a bad loss

0:55:24.920 --> 0:55:27.799
<v Speaker 3>with McVeigh put up forty forty two points like these

0:55:27.840 --> 0:55:30.760
<v Speaker 3>other divisional teams did against this really bad Cardinals defense.

0:55:30.800 --> 0:55:32.880
<v Speaker 2>And I gave you those stats.

0:55:33.160 --> 0:55:35.840
<v Speaker 3>He's absolutely owned Arizona McVay as the head coach, he

0:55:36.000 --> 0:55:38.600
<v Speaker 3>just has their number and matchup scheme wise, he does

0:55:38.600 --> 0:55:40.759
<v Speaker 3>really well against them. So not gonna let the big

0:55:40.840 --> 0:55:42.880
<v Speaker 3>number scarras off Chad minus seven and a half, I'm

0:55:42.880 --> 0:55:44.320
<v Speaker 3>gonna take down this Rams team.

0:55:44.360 --> 0:55:46.680
<v Speaker 1>All right, so we're building a roster here for Sunday.

0:55:47.080 --> 0:55:49.440
<v Speaker 1>Last game I want to talk about is Houston and

0:55:49.560 --> 0:55:52.360
<v Speaker 1>Kansas City. Kansas City is still at minus three, minus

0:55:52.400 --> 0:55:55.880
<v Speaker 1>one twenty at hard Rock Bat mostly three and a

0:55:55.960 --> 0:56:00.400
<v Speaker 1>half's elsewhere. As I just said, the chief gone the

0:56:00.440 --> 0:56:02.319
<v Speaker 1>way of the Lions. Is it time to get off

0:56:02.360 --> 0:56:05.680
<v Speaker 1>them this year? Is there still magic in the number three?

0:56:06.160 --> 0:56:09.200
<v Speaker 1>Can they break the trend of losing all these close games?

0:56:09.239 --> 0:56:11.759
<v Speaker 1>Will there be regression back to the mean in a

0:56:11.800 --> 0:56:16.040
<v Speaker 1>positive way for the Kansas City Chiefs. This game has massive,

0:56:16.280 --> 0:56:21.440
<v Speaker 1>massive playoff implications for both teams. It is the tipping

0:56:21.480 --> 0:56:27.320
<v Speaker 1>point folk froum moment for these teams in the season.

0:56:27.760 --> 0:56:33.719
<v Speaker 1>The Texans defense is awesome, but I'm always going to

0:56:33.760 --> 0:56:37.719
<v Speaker 1>be loath to bet against Patrick Mahomes at home as

0:56:37.760 --> 0:56:43.440
<v Speaker 1>a short favorite in a must have scenario. That is

0:56:43.480 --> 0:56:46.960
<v Speaker 1>one that that is a bridge too far. I can't

0:56:46.960 --> 0:56:49.480
<v Speaker 1>walk away. I can't be the one who's betting against

0:56:50.320 --> 0:56:52.319
<v Speaker 1>someone who might go down as the greatest quarterback ever

0:56:52.360 --> 0:56:53.279
<v Speaker 1>and is still in his prime.

0:56:54.640 --> 0:56:56.600
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, if you don't join the public and the professionals

0:56:56.640 --> 0:56:58.640
<v Speaker 3>there on the Texas like Chat talked about it, it's

0:56:58.640 --> 0:57:01.040
<v Speaker 3>really about the number right, the chief Team isn't good

0:57:01.160 --> 0:57:03.759
<v Speaker 3>enough to be favorite minus three and a half, which

0:57:03.800 --> 0:57:04.960
<v Speaker 3>is what I think a lot of pros and the

0:57:04.960 --> 0:57:07.880
<v Speaker 3>public are taking that position on which I totally get.

0:57:08.160 --> 0:57:10.440
<v Speaker 3>We're talking minus three here at hard Rock, which hopefully

0:57:10.480 --> 0:57:12.560
<v Speaker 3>in our contest, God bless hard Rock, they'll give us

0:57:12.560 --> 0:57:15.439
<v Speaker 3>two and a half because that will be an automatic

0:57:15.520 --> 0:57:17.640
<v Speaker 3>play in my opinion on this chief team, because that,

0:57:17.680 --> 0:57:19.760
<v Speaker 3>to me, will be too much a reaction. And this

0:57:19.840 --> 0:57:22.320
<v Speaker 3>is me signing the guy who's been fading this Chiefs

0:57:22.320 --> 0:57:24.320
<v Speaker 3>team NonStop since that Bills game.

0:57:24.360 --> 0:57:25.360
<v Speaker 2>I think you know it.

0:57:25.400 --> 0:57:28.000
<v Speaker 3>Took a position against them with Denver they are a

0:57:28.000 --> 0:57:30.760
<v Speaker 3>minus four favorite, they lost outright. Took up a position

0:57:30.800 --> 0:57:32.920
<v Speaker 3>against them against the Colts, think they are minus four

0:57:32.920 --> 0:57:33.320
<v Speaker 3>and a half.

0:57:33.360 --> 0:57:35.560
<v Speaker 2>They closed favorite, they won by three.

0:57:36.040 --> 0:57:38.680
<v Speaker 3>Took a position against them with the Dallas Cowboys minus

0:57:38.720 --> 0:57:41.320
<v Speaker 3>half plus three and a half on Dallas.

0:57:41.400 --> 0:57:42.800
<v Speaker 2>They lost outright to Dallas.

0:57:42.840 --> 0:57:45.200
<v Speaker 3>So we've seen these last three games, it all comes

0:57:45.200 --> 0:57:47.800
<v Speaker 3>down to the last position. Like Chad said, it's eventually

0:57:47.840 --> 0:57:50.080
<v Speaker 3>got go the other way, right this Chiefs mathematically, they

0:57:50.120 --> 0:57:53.200
<v Speaker 3>can't keep losing these one score games, right, And we've

0:57:53.200 --> 0:57:55.960
<v Speaker 3>seen Mahomes tend to succel that this year, it just

0:57:55.960 --> 0:57:58.280
<v Speaker 3>not has been that way right. When they get these

0:57:58.280 --> 0:57:59.920
<v Speaker 3>close games, it's either he's not had the ball in

0:58:00.080 --> 0:58:02.080
<v Speaker 3>his hands and the other team's just eating the clock up,

0:58:02.280 --> 0:58:04.480
<v Speaker 3>or he goes in there and it's just not been

0:58:04.560 --> 0:58:06.640
<v Speaker 3>Mahomes like right, he's made the mistakes and not brought

0:58:06.640 --> 0:58:09.760
<v Speaker 3>his team back from death. So I love how desperate

0:58:09.800 --> 0:58:12.120
<v Speaker 3>this Chiefs team's gonna be. But on the flip side,

0:58:12.160 --> 0:58:14.720
<v Speaker 3>I get people's position. Texans are just as desperate. They

0:58:14.720 --> 0:58:16.840
<v Speaker 3>know they're playing for their division, their own playoff lives.

0:58:16.920 --> 0:58:19.160
<v Speaker 3>So I get why people are taking their position on

0:58:19.480 --> 0:58:21.680
<v Speaker 3>this Texans team. But I've wanted to be on the

0:58:21.760 --> 0:58:23.880
<v Speaker 3>Chiefs team all week. I wanted to be patient and

0:58:23.920 --> 0:58:25.480
<v Speaker 3>let the number get to a position where I fle

0:58:25.520 --> 0:58:27.880
<v Speaker 3>carble bet in it. It's hit that spot, I'm gonna

0:58:27.880 --> 0:58:30.680
<v Speaker 3>take the minus three and pray the Pros keep coming

0:58:30.720 --> 0:58:32.040
<v Speaker 3>on Texas and I get a two and a half,

0:58:32.080 --> 0:58:34.200
<v Speaker 3>but got no issue taking the minster. I just feel

0:58:34.200 --> 0:58:36.400
<v Speaker 3>like this is finally a Chiefs line. This is the

0:58:36.480 --> 0:58:39.400
<v Speaker 3>deck spot you want to back Mahomes and this Chiefs team.

0:58:39.440 --> 0:58:42.400
<v Speaker 1>So glad to hear you say that. I so believe

0:58:42.440 --> 0:58:45.400
<v Speaker 1>in the Chiefs in this spot, I could be blinded

0:58:45.400 --> 0:58:45.720
<v Speaker 1>by it.

0:58:46.720 --> 0:58:49.240
<v Speaker 2>We are, We're definitely we're This is a past performance.

0:58:49.280 --> 0:58:51.480
<v Speaker 3>Bet, I'm happy to have met that where it's like

0:58:51.520 --> 0:58:55.520
<v Speaker 3>I just I'm willing to see Mahomes die here. But

0:58:55.560 --> 0:58:57.400
<v Speaker 3>this is the exact type of game we talked Mahomes.

0:58:57.640 --> 0:59:00.240
<v Speaker 3>They're gonna have to stab them the hard thirty times

0:59:00.240 --> 0:59:02.200
<v Speaker 3>to cut his head off before he's dead. He's just

0:59:02.760 --> 0:59:04.560
<v Speaker 3>not gonna go quietly into the night. This man is

0:59:04.560 --> 0:59:06.600
<v Speaker 3>gonna fight to the last second. And now you're giving

0:59:06.600 --> 0:59:09.040
<v Speaker 3>me a minus three on that at home, I gotta

0:59:09.080 --> 0:59:10.720
<v Speaker 3>take I have to take that number.

0:59:16.520 --> 0:59:18.960
<v Speaker 1>We could talk about the Eagles at the Chargers for

0:59:19.000 --> 0:59:20.920
<v Speaker 1>a second, just because you mentioned it in sharp calls.

0:59:21.200 --> 0:59:22.720
<v Speaker 1>I don't think it's a game we're gonna put in

0:59:22.760 --> 0:59:25.600
<v Speaker 1>the contest. We're not gonna I can't imagine we're getting

0:59:25.680 --> 0:59:29.000
<v Speaker 1>a two and a half. But if you have strong

0:59:29.040 --> 0:59:30.640
<v Speaker 1>opinion I'm agnostic.

0:59:30.440 --> 0:59:32.760
<v Speaker 3>With the pros, then like the pros, they're all they're

0:59:32.800 --> 0:59:35.760
<v Speaker 3>all in this Chargers team, and they're just even the

0:59:35.760 --> 0:59:38.479
<v Speaker 3>publics with the Chargers, and it's just everyone's the same boat.

0:59:38.480 --> 0:59:41.200
<v Speaker 3>I think it's just so negative, so bad for this

0:59:41.280 --> 0:59:44.240
<v Speaker 3>Eagles team. Where if I told you you can get

0:59:44.280 --> 0:59:47.040
<v Speaker 3>this Eagles team, who's pretty healthy minus two and a

0:59:47.040 --> 0:59:50.439
<v Speaker 3>half against a one handed Herbert that's out his left

0:59:50.480 --> 0:59:53.280
<v Speaker 3>and right tackle, you'd be running to the window with me.

0:59:53.320 --> 0:59:55.640
<v Speaker 3>So that's my I can't believe it. Like when I

0:59:55.680 --> 0:59:58.520
<v Speaker 3>was talking to pros, I'm like, shit, what am I missing?

0:59:58.560 --> 1:00:02.040
<v Speaker 3>Like you guys love this Charger team, I can't believe it.

1:00:02.120 --> 1:00:04.439
<v Speaker 3>Like I cannot believe this is not the exact time

1:00:04.560 --> 1:00:07.040
<v Speaker 3>you hammer this ego side in this number. It just

1:00:07.560 --> 1:00:10.200
<v Speaker 3>the hate has gone too far. I just cannot get over.

1:00:10.200 --> 1:00:13.240
<v Speaker 3>It's like, all right, Herbert against bad teams, we don't

1:00:13.240 --> 1:00:15.560
<v Speaker 3>mind backing them. Him against the Raiders. Yeah, that's exactly.

1:00:15.560 --> 1:00:19.560
<v Speaker 3>When you back Herbert him against a great playoff defense

1:00:19.680 --> 1:00:21.680
<v Speaker 3>and team, you fade him.

1:00:21.760 --> 1:00:23.920
<v Speaker 2>You do not back Herbert here in this spot.

1:00:24.040 --> 1:00:27.400
<v Speaker 3>So I might be blind to it, have my biases here,

1:00:27.440 --> 1:00:29.880
<v Speaker 3>but I got this number amount of mis three and

1:00:29.920 --> 1:00:31.280
<v Speaker 3>a half for this Eagles team.

1:00:31.120 --> 1:00:33.600
<v Speaker 2>So you know you're getting a full point of value.

1:00:33.840 --> 1:00:35.840
<v Speaker 3>And the fact that publican and professionals are all coming

1:00:35.840 --> 1:00:37.880
<v Speaker 3>to the Chargers, it feels like this is a nice

1:00:37.880 --> 1:00:39.920
<v Speaker 3>spot to be with the up sportsbook here back in

1:00:40.000 --> 1:00:43.000
<v Speaker 3>this Eagles team at Mice two and so maybe I'm

1:00:43.000 --> 1:00:44.960
<v Speaker 3>missing something here, but I can't believe it.

1:00:44.960 --> 1:00:47.360
<v Speaker 2>It's to me the hate's gone too far.

1:00:47.480 --> 1:00:50.440
<v Speaker 3>Like Herbert, You're you're a tough son of a bitch here,

1:00:50.480 --> 1:00:54.360
<v Speaker 3>but you're not going against, you know, a bad defensive line.

1:00:54.400 --> 1:00:55.920
<v Speaker 3>This is a defensive line that can get after a

1:00:56.000 --> 1:00:58.680
<v Speaker 3>quarterback and put major pressure on them. So this just

1:00:58.720 --> 1:01:00.360
<v Speaker 3>feels like a nice matchup of the SEAGU team.

1:01:00.400 --> 1:01:01.800
<v Speaker 2>And yeah, this is a.

1:01:03.280 --> 1:01:06.200
<v Speaker 3>Very unique spot for me where I thought I would

1:01:06.200 --> 1:01:08.480
<v Speaker 3>be all on the Segos team. But I'm very hesitantly

1:01:08.480 --> 1:01:10.840
<v Speaker 3>betting it because I'm just worried there's something I'm missing

1:01:10.880 --> 1:01:12.920
<v Speaker 3>here with the SEAGUS team. It just feels way too

1:01:12.960 --> 1:01:14.760
<v Speaker 3>easy to getting Eagles Mice two and a half aguns.

1:01:14.960 --> 1:01:17.840
<v Speaker 3>Like I said, a one handed Herbert without his left

1:01:17.880 --> 1:01:18.640
<v Speaker 3>and right tackle.

1:01:18.800 --> 1:01:21.120
<v Speaker 2>Like it's just what am I missing here? I'm missing

1:01:21.160 --> 1:01:21.760
<v Speaker 2>something clearly.

1:01:22.200 --> 1:01:26.320
<v Speaker 1>All right, let's do a quick word from our sponsor's

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<v Speaker 1>All right, Simon, let's talk about the biggest bets.

1:03:30.320 --> 1:03:32.439
<v Speaker 2>Pull up close pants and be a man.

1:03:33.560 --> 1:03:35.320
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, shocking a week.

1:03:35.360 --> 1:03:37.280
<v Speaker 2>I'm a little not a little gunshot, but I kind

1:03:37.280 --> 1:03:37.920
<v Speaker 2>of am. Honestly.

1:03:38.280 --> 1:03:40.120
<v Speaker 3>I usually had a lot more bet this week in

1:03:40.120 --> 1:03:42.360
<v Speaker 3>this position. But again, we didn't really talk about much.

1:03:42.360 --> 1:03:44.400
<v Speaker 3>I think in a pretty large position on the Saints

1:03:45.440 --> 1:03:47.000
<v Speaker 3>like that matchup. Maybe we'll talk a little bit more

1:03:47.000 --> 1:03:50.360
<v Speaker 3>Sunday for dogs, that's probably my one of my bigger

1:03:50.400 --> 1:03:54.200
<v Speaker 3>spots right now is them in Washington and the Jaguars,

1:03:54.200 --> 1:03:58.919
<v Speaker 3>And for favorites. You know, I can't quit it, Cleveland, Baltimore.

1:03:59.400 --> 1:04:02.120
<v Speaker 3>I just I really love both those favorites and the

1:04:02.200 --> 1:04:04.160
<v Speaker 3>Chiefs and minus three. I really love that one. So

1:04:04.600 --> 1:04:06.920
<v Speaker 3>nothing huge yet. Maybe comes Sunday I'll have some really

1:04:06.960 --> 1:04:10.280
<v Speaker 3>big bets. But right now and not just dipping my

1:04:10.320 --> 1:04:12.280
<v Speaker 3>toes and my whole foots in the water. I put

1:04:12.280 --> 1:04:13.720
<v Speaker 3>some good money into it, but I'm not I haven't

1:04:13.760 --> 1:04:15.880
<v Speaker 3>dived in yet. I'm just a little hesitan. I want

1:04:15.880 --> 1:04:17.320
<v Speaker 3>to see what the weather report is, what the injured

1:04:17.320 --> 1:04:18.160
<v Speaker 3>report has come today?

1:04:18.560 --> 1:04:27.120
<v Speaker 1>All right? Underdog money line, Parley, my dog blocks.

1:04:26.960 --> 1:04:29.800
<v Speaker 3>Your dog, Your dog blocks mot dog.

1:04:30.320 --> 1:04:32.160
<v Speaker 1>Who do we want to do this week? I would

1:04:32.200 --> 1:04:35.480
<v Speaker 1>say Jaguars, Yeah, Jets.

1:04:36.080 --> 1:04:38.240
<v Speaker 2>Jets, and then let's do uh. For the third one,

1:04:38.280 --> 1:04:39.480
<v Speaker 2>let's do Washington.

1:04:39.840 --> 1:04:43.440
<v Speaker 1>All right? And then I think for the favorites, we

1:04:43.480 --> 1:04:46.240
<v Speaker 1>want to do the Rams. I made a list the

1:04:46.320 --> 1:04:47.560
<v Speaker 1>other day. We want to do.

1:04:48.440 --> 1:04:51.920
<v Speaker 3>We'll take take them out of five and a half. Though, okay,

1:04:52.040 --> 1:04:57.240
<v Speaker 3>I'll do the money line. Do the five and a half, Seattle, Seattle,

1:04:57.280 --> 1:04:58.600
<v Speaker 3>I do the same thing, take it a five and

1:04:58.640 --> 1:05:01.960
<v Speaker 3>a half. I wouldn't do money line, and for money lines,

1:05:02.000 --> 1:05:02.920
<v Speaker 3>I would do Chiefs.

1:05:03.040 --> 1:05:05.360
<v Speaker 2>I think we both agree on that one, right, Yeap.

1:05:07.040 --> 1:05:08.200
<v Speaker 1>Baltimore O would.

1:05:08.000 --> 1:05:09.440
<v Speaker 2>Say, how do we not get Ravens in there. We

1:05:09.520 --> 1:05:10.280
<v Speaker 2>love that one.

1:05:10.400 --> 1:05:13.880
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, Buffalo for the last one.

1:05:13.960 --> 1:05:19.240
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, I'll do Buffalo. Yeah, I feels I mean, I'm

1:05:19.280 --> 1:05:20.280
<v Speaker 3>with you. I don't want to do Green Bay.

1:05:20.360 --> 1:05:24.280
<v Speaker 1>Let's do Buffalo, Kansas City, Buffalo, Denver.

1:05:24.320 --> 1:05:26.440
<v Speaker 3>If you don't love Buffalo, because that is risky, right,

1:05:26.440 --> 1:05:29.640
<v Speaker 3>we take We're going against a good quarterback, all right.

1:05:29.880 --> 1:05:32.360
<v Speaker 3>I gave you the stats Denver bone Knicks as a

1:05:32.360 --> 1:05:35.320
<v Speaker 3>favorite fifteen and oh straight up. So if you want

1:05:35.320 --> 1:05:37.640
<v Speaker 3>to get bone Nicks in there, you can easily get

1:05:37.640 --> 1:05:39.120
<v Speaker 3>that down to two and a half, one and a half.

1:05:39.160 --> 1:05:40.360
<v Speaker 2>You don't have to take the money line.

1:05:41.400 --> 1:05:46.480
<v Speaker 1>Kansas City, Denver, Baltimore, Seattle and the Rams take them

1:05:46.520 --> 1:05:48.320
<v Speaker 1>down to minus five and a half. That is our

1:05:48.840 --> 1:05:56.800
<v Speaker 1>favorites money line parlay. Simon, it's time for Sharp versus Square.

1:05:58.560 --> 1:06:02.480
<v Speaker 1>We missed it last week with the condensed show schedule.

1:06:03.120 --> 1:06:07.080
<v Speaker 1>Give me your should we do? I don't want to

1:06:07.080 --> 1:06:08.880
<v Speaker 1>do Atlanta Versy. I don't know who's gonna be playing

1:06:08.880 --> 1:06:10.000
<v Speaker 1>in that game yet, go ahead.

1:06:11.600 --> 1:06:14.000
<v Speaker 3>I mean, if for my square side, I was thinking

1:06:14.840 --> 1:06:17.640
<v Speaker 3>the Chiefs minus three. But I'll stick to my m

1:06:17.640 --> 1:06:20.600
<v Speaker 3>O in this in this part where I always go sharp.

1:06:20.760 --> 1:06:22.600
<v Speaker 3>So give me give me the Saints plus eight and

1:06:22.640 --> 1:06:23.000
<v Speaker 3>a half.

1:06:23.520 --> 1:06:34.920
<v Speaker 1>Interesting, very interesting, Okay, I would say, oh boy, Uh,

1:06:35.320 --> 1:06:39.000
<v Speaker 1>Chat's choice was the Jets brass Balls. I think was

1:06:39.080 --> 1:06:45.120
<v Speaker 1>the Ravens. Simon says was the Commanders. We haven't done

1:06:45.160 --> 1:06:52.640
<v Speaker 1>rock in a hard place yet. Uh, all right, give

1:06:52.680 --> 1:06:53.440
<v Speaker 1>me the Jacks.

1:06:54.160 --> 1:06:57.720
<v Speaker 2>Wow. It was full circle. Yeah, my god.

1:06:57.840 --> 1:07:01.080
<v Speaker 1>I know, well, honestly down to them in the Browns,

1:07:01.080 --> 1:07:03.480
<v Speaker 1>and I feel like the Browns on Sunday, we want

1:07:03.520 --> 1:07:06.560
<v Speaker 1>to use them as rock and a harp place. That's

1:07:06.560 --> 1:07:09.640
<v Speaker 1>what I'm thinking. Okay, I think I think it's gonna

1:07:09.640 --> 1:07:10.960
<v Speaker 1>be a I think it's just gonna be a hard

1:07:10.960 --> 1:07:14.920
<v Speaker 1>conversation on Sunday about the Browns. All right, this has

1:07:14.920 --> 1:07:17.760
<v Speaker 1>been Sharper Square. We're part of the Volume podcast network.

1:07:17.800 --> 1:07:22.200
<v Speaker 1>We will be back on Sunday on Sharper Square YouTube.

1:07:22.520 --> 1:07:24.480
<v Speaker 1>We're going to eat drop on an intimate conversation that

1:07:24.600 --> 1:07:27.520
<v Speaker 1>Simon and I have well, panic will make utterly human

1:07:27.560 --> 1:07:29.640
<v Speaker 1>decisions regret the rest of the day. We'll be back

1:07:29.640 --> 1:07:33.480
<v Speaker 1>on Sharper Square YouTube Sunday night, seven point thirty ish.

1:07:33.720 --> 1:07:37.240
<v Speaker 1>Watch or listen at YouTube Sharper Square. Like this video,

1:07:37.240 --> 1:07:40.760
<v Speaker 1>subscribe to the channel also download us from Apple Pods, Spotify,

1:07:40.800 --> 1:07:43.880
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1:07:43.920 --> 1:07:48.160
<v Speaker 1>say whatever you want. Feedback is a gift until next time.

1:07:48.560 --> 1:07:52.320
<v Speaker 1>I love you. This isn't going You're not at all.

1:07:53.720 --> 1:07:56.240
<v Speaker 1>This is ANDNFL, which stands for not prolonged.

1:07:56.240 --> 1:07:58.760
<v Speaker 2>When you make them golls, I'll be selling groceries.