1
00:00:00,800 --> 00:00:04,760
Speaker 1: Welcome to Sharper Square, presented by Hard Rought bet We

2
00:00:04,800 --> 00:00:08,440
Speaker 1: are part of the Volume podcast network. This is the

3
00:00:08,480 --> 00:00:12,200
Speaker 1: betting show that makes the squares sharper and makes the

4
00:00:12,200 --> 00:00:15,080
Speaker 1: wise guys pay attention. I am Chad Milman. I am

5
00:00:15,160 --> 00:00:18,560
Speaker 1: joined as always by my co host, my companion, Mike Compadre,

6
00:00:18,680 --> 00:00:23,680
Speaker 1: my BFF professional better Simon Hunter l Simon.

7
00:00:23,880 --> 00:00:24,880
Speaker 2: Chad, how goes it?

8
00:00:25,600 --> 00:00:28,760
Speaker 1: Brother? We're gonna give more details about the contest in

9
00:00:28,800 --> 00:00:31,560
Speaker 1: a minute. People have been signing up, which is great.

10
00:00:31,840 --> 00:00:33,080
Speaker 1: I don't know if you know this, but you and

11
00:00:33,120 --> 00:00:36,200
Speaker 1: I signed up and people will be able to compete

12
00:00:36,200 --> 00:00:38,960
Speaker 1: against Dust in the contest, for which I will give

13
00:00:39,000 --> 00:00:41,879
Speaker 1: more details on how to sign up in a minute.

14
00:00:42,080 --> 00:00:44,760
Speaker 1: Our team name, Simon, Are you ready to hear what

15
00:00:44,800 --> 00:00:51,800
Speaker 1: our team name is? Chad and Simon bff's Chad and

16
00:00:51,840 --> 00:00:55,400
Speaker 1: Simon BFFs. That's how you're going to find us in

17
00:00:55,520 --> 00:01:02,080
Speaker 1: the contest. LF Simon, I think I forgot to say it, didn't.

18
00:01:01,800 --> 00:01:03,040
Speaker 2: I know you said it, but I like it. You

19
00:01:03,160 --> 00:01:03,760
Speaker 2: just fired up.

20
00:01:03,960 --> 00:01:07,840
Speaker 1: I forgot. I didn't remember listen.

21
00:01:08,480 --> 00:01:11,119
Speaker 3: Walking around his house yelling E Simon.

22
00:01:11,319 --> 00:01:15,960
Speaker 1: I do well. I yell like in a accents all

23
00:01:16,040 --> 00:01:19,560
Speaker 1: the time. And like over the holidays, we had like

24
00:01:20,319 --> 00:01:26,399
Speaker 1: two hours where there wasn't simmering tension between various step

25
00:01:26,440 --> 00:01:30,360
Speaker 1: moms and mother in laws. And that was when like me,

26
00:01:30,640 --> 00:01:34,840
Speaker 1: my wife, are two boys, my dad, his wife, and

27
00:01:34,880 --> 00:01:39,440
Speaker 1: my mother in law we gathered around the fireplace and

28
00:01:39,760 --> 00:01:42,680
Speaker 1: which I had built the fire and it was glorious

29
00:01:42,959 --> 00:01:46,280
Speaker 1: and we were playing different games and one of the

30
00:01:46,319 --> 00:01:49,040
Speaker 1: games required you to say certain words or guess what

31
00:01:49,120 --> 00:01:52,000
Speaker 1: an accent is. And at one point, like there was

32
00:01:52,040 --> 00:01:55,720
Speaker 1: an English accent and a Scottish accent and it was

33
00:01:55,720 --> 00:01:58,640
Speaker 1: my moment to shine because I have been doing bad

34
00:01:58,720 --> 00:02:02,560
Speaker 1: English and Scottish accents around my house, I think since

35
00:02:02,560 --> 00:02:04,640
Speaker 1: the day my kids were born. And it was so

36
00:02:04,760 --> 00:02:06,960
Speaker 1: exciting because they got it immediately. It was the only

37
00:02:07,000 --> 00:02:08,919
Speaker 1: time I could really contribute to the game.

38
00:02:08,919 --> 00:02:12,680
Speaker 3: It's I always joke my biggest negative when I go

39
00:02:12,800 --> 00:02:15,280
Speaker 3: to England is I can't stop doing people's accents back

40
00:02:15,320 --> 00:02:16,960
Speaker 3: to him. And it's like kind of like were're doing.

41
00:02:17,040 --> 00:02:18,440
Speaker 3: It's like I'm not even trying to be disrespectful. I

42
00:02:18,680 --> 00:02:21,000
Speaker 3: have like a parrot syndrome, but here's something I just

43
00:02:21,000 --> 00:02:23,480
Speaker 3: repeat it back. And the big one is my uncle

44
00:02:23,520 --> 00:02:26,400
Speaker 3: has a dog named Nelly, and anytime Nelly does anything

45
00:02:26,440 --> 00:02:30,120
Speaker 3: goes no Nelle, and I swear for about no nell

46
00:02:30,639 --> 00:02:32,919
Speaker 3: two weeks all I say to anything, anyone asked me anything?

47
00:02:32,919 --> 00:02:34,640
Speaker 2: Oh no, Nella, no No.

48
00:02:36,200 --> 00:02:38,320
Speaker 1: I love it. I love it all right. It's a

49
00:02:38,360 --> 00:02:40,400
Speaker 1: week fourteen episode. We're going to narrow down the options

50
00:02:40,440 --> 00:02:41,920
Speaker 1: to get to our final five. It's going to be

51
00:02:41,919 --> 00:02:45,120
Speaker 1: harder than we think. In our pregame and our pre

52
00:02:45,240 --> 00:02:48,120
Speaker 1: show convo, it felt like we were split on some games.

53
00:02:48,960 --> 00:02:53,680
Speaker 1: Subscribe watch on YouTube, a Sharper Square, Apple Pods, Spotify,

54
00:02:54,120 --> 00:02:56,760
Speaker 1: listen Simon. We're going to get into the Steelers in

55
00:02:56,760 --> 00:02:58,800
Speaker 1: the Ravens game. But the big news this week, like

56
00:02:59,160 --> 00:03:04,040
Speaker 1: there is just crazy, crazy drama that we have not

57
00:03:04,240 --> 00:03:07,800
Speaker 1: seen in the Steelers' locker room or with the Steelers

58
00:03:07,880 --> 00:03:12,160
Speaker 1: generally since Mike Tomlin has been coached, Like they signed

59
00:03:12,200 --> 00:03:15,560
Speaker 1: Adam Thielen, so clearly all their downfield passing issues are

60
00:03:15,840 --> 00:03:21,320
Speaker 1: just gonna go away. I kid, but the bigger news.

61
00:03:21,400 --> 00:03:24,400
Speaker 1: Ben Roethlisberger on his podcast set, I love Mike Tomlin,

62
00:03:24,800 --> 00:03:27,160
Speaker 1: but and everyone knows anything you say before but is

63
00:03:27,200 --> 00:03:30,440
Speaker 1: a lie. I love Mike Tomlin, but maybe he should

64
00:03:30,480 --> 00:03:36,280
Speaker 1: go coach Penn State Come on, case Simon, I don't

65
00:03:36,320 --> 00:03:40,760
Speaker 1: get this. A Mike Tomlin's not building that roster. He's

66
00:03:40,800 --> 00:03:44,360
Speaker 1: not the one who signed TJ. Watt to a massive

67
00:03:44,680 --> 00:03:47,880
Speaker 1: forty million dollar guaranteed deal for next year. He's not

68
00:03:47,960 --> 00:03:51,320
Speaker 1: the one who signed Jalen Ramsey and traded away makea Fitzpatrick.

69
00:03:51,480 --> 00:03:53,720
Speaker 1: He's not the one who gave Cam Hayward a new

70
00:03:53,760 --> 00:03:56,360
Speaker 1: deal after he sat out during training gap. He's not

71
00:03:56,440 --> 00:03:59,000
Speaker 1: the one who signed Aaron Rodgers like. He's not the

72
00:03:59,000 --> 00:04:01,320
Speaker 1: one who traded for DK Metcalf. I know he's involved

73
00:04:01,320 --> 00:04:04,720
Speaker 1: in all these conversations, but there's a lot of blame

74
00:04:04,840 --> 00:04:07,960
Speaker 1: to go around. This roster is not good enough, and

75
00:04:08,000 --> 00:04:11,560
Speaker 1: we're going to get into that. But dude, Mike Tomlin's

76
00:04:11,560 --> 00:04:15,400
Speaker 1: been a brilliant coach for twenty years. I can name

77
00:04:15,920 --> 00:04:18,040
Speaker 1: ten teams right now that would kill to have Mike

78
00:04:18,080 --> 00:04:21,760
Speaker 1: Tomlin be their head coach. Am I wrong? Am I wrong?

79
00:04:21,839 --> 00:04:21,960
Speaker 4: That?

80
00:04:22,040 --> 00:04:24,400
Speaker 1: Like Mike Tomlin is not really the problem here?

81
00:04:25,600 --> 00:04:28,480
Speaker 3: No, and Big Ben is part of the problem of

82
00:04:28,839 --> 00:04:31,599
Speaker 3: all these ex athletes having podcasts, And I get it,

83
00:04:31,600 --> 00:04:33,240
Speaker 3: everyone WANs to share their opinions and stuff like that,

84
00:04:33,279 --> 00:04:37,240
Speaker 3: but that just sounds like a bitter old man, Ben Roethlisberger,

85
00:04:37,279 --> 00:04:39,799
Speaker 3: that's just I don't know why he's holding grudges against Tomlin,

86
00:04:40,000 --> 00:04:43,280
Speaker 3: But to think a man like that, a caliber of coaching,

87
00:04:43,440 --> 00:04:46,640
Speaker 3: who's taken a joke of a team these last couple

88
00:04:46,640 --> 00:04:48,640
Speaker 3: of years to the playoffs every year, and you know,

89
00:04:48,880 --> 00:04:50,560
Speaker 3: think that man might go to Penn State, like you

90
00:04:50,600 --> 00:04:53,720
Speaker 3: just said, if you're if you're the Raiders, like all

91
00:04:53,720 --> 00:04:57,599
Speaker 3: these different organizations I've just for twenty years, you would

92
00:04:57,680 --> 00:05:00,720
Speaker 3: die to bring in a Mike Tomlin type this get

93
00:05:00,720 --> 00:05:04,400
Speaker 3: the organization right, So very very bizarre are Roethlisberger is saying.

94
00:05:04,440 --> 00:05:06,800
Speaker 3: I think it's another thing of an athlete maybe having

95
00:05:06,839 --> 00:05:09,320
Speaker 3: stuff we don't know about behind closed doors, that he's

96
00:05:09,360 --> 00:05:13,000
Speaker 3: holding grudges against tom because rationally doesn't make any sense,

97
00:05:13,120 --> 00:05:15,800
Speaker 3: Like no sense, Yeah, it makes zero sense. So I

98
00:05:15,800 --> 00:05:17,720
Speaker 3: think Tomlin laughed at it basically when they asked him

99
00:05:17,720 --> 00:05:19,640
Speaker 3: about it, just being like I gotta hear I gotta

100
00:05:19,640 --> 00:05:21,680
Speaker 3: talk about this stupid shit again, because it feels like

101
00:05:21,680 --> 00:05:23,479
Speaker 3: every year they're asking if you'd ever go to college,

102
00:05:23,480 --> 00:05:25,719
Speaker 3: and it's like, dude, the disrespect of that man to

103
00:05:25,720 --> 00:05:27,360
Speaker 3: ask him that question is ridiculous.

104
00:05:27,720 --> 00:05:32,680
Speaker 1: Raiders, Titans, Giants, I mean, the list goes.

105
00:05:32,480 --> 00:05:37,000
Speaker 3: On Eagles fanily. I love Sirianna. I would I would

106
00:05:37,000 --> 00:05:40,560
Speaker 3: take time, honestly, I mean, I do respect Serianni. But

107
00:05:40,640 --> 00:05:42,960
Speaker 3: what are we doing here? Tomlin's a Hall of Famer.

108
00:05:43,480 --> 00:05:45,200
Speaker 1: All right, let's get into this thing. Every week we

109
00:05:45,240 --> 00:05:49,160
Speaker 1: give it our peaks. Every week, Simon's fellow professional betters

110
00:05:49,320 --> 00:05:51,880
Speaker 1: call to yell at him about those picks. It's time

111
00:05:51,920 --> 00:06:00,280
Speaker 1: to summarize those opinions. It's time for chef calls. Who

112
00:06:00,760 --> 00:06:07,760
Speaker 1: all right, rain range, telephone range. Somebody said, maybe wanted.

113
00:06:07,520 --> 00:06:11,080
Speaker 3: To do man, Yeah, I'll start where I got killed,

114
00:06:11,080 --> 00:06:12,000
Speaker 3: which I knew was coming.

115
00:06:12,120 --> 00:06:12,440
Speaker 2: I was on.

116
00:06:12,600 --> 00:06:14,680
Speaker 3: I'm on a lot of chalk. I would say, shocking,

117
00:06:14,680 --> 00:06:18,360
Speaker 3: and no one pros they really like Cincinnati. But like

118
00:06:18,440 --> 00:06:20,919
Speaker 3: I said, I did believe they liked him at the six,

119
00:06:21,080 --> 00:06:22,520
Speaker 3: and I haven't heard too much love for them at

120
00:06:22,520 --> 00:06:24,240
Speaker 3: the five and a half, which is where that number is.

121
00:06:24,320 --> 00:06:26,760
Speaker 3: But tons of calls about Cincinnati and how that's going

122
00:06:26,839 --> 00:06:29,200
Speaker 3: to be the right side. Tons of love for Pittsburgh,

123
00:06:29,320 --> 00:06:32,680
Speaker 3: tons of love for you know, not shockingly, this Atlanta

124
00:06:32,720 --> 00:06:35,920
Speaker 3: team that is in a unique spot a game. I

125
00:06:35,920 --> 00:06:38,599
Speaker 3: didn't really you know, talk too much about him. You

126
00:06:38,640 --> 00:06:40,800
Speaker 3: know a ton of love for Dallas, which we talked

127
00:06:40,800 --> 00:06:43,600
Speaker 3: a little bit about. But the biggest one I got wrong, obviously,

128
00:06:44,200 --> 00:06:46,720
Speaker 3: is this Minnesota game. I got a ton of calls

129
00:06:46,800 --> 00:06:48,279
Speaker 3: about pros who love Minnesota.

130
00:06:48,560 --> 00:06:49,960
Speaker 2: They don't think Daniels is playing.

131
00:06:50,120 --> 00:06:53,480
Speaker 3: They love this matchup defensively for Minnesota against Mariota coming

132
00:06:53,480 --> 00:06:56,200
Speaker 3: on the road, if it is gonna be him, And yeah,

133
00:06:56,200 --> 00:06:58,320
Speaker 3: that's that's a game I just simply got wrong.

134
00:06:58,360 --> 00:07:00,640
Speaker 2: I'm still on Washington.

135
00:07:00,680 --> 00:07:02,560
Speaker 3: I still like them as a dog, especially the fact

136
00:07:02,560 --> 00:07:03,480
Speaker 3: that it's up to two and a half in a

137
00:07:03,520 --> 00:07:05,640
Speaker 3: lot of books right now. But I was shocked to

138
00:07:05,640 --> 00:07:08,039
Speaker 3: hear so many pros are coming in on this Minnesota

139
00:07:08,080 --> 00:07:10,360
Speaker 3: side and they just love JJ. I don't get it.

140
00:07:10,440 --> 00:07:12,400
Speaker 3: I will never get it. They love the coming of

141
00:07:12,440 --> 00:07:15,000
Speaker 3: the year. They kind of haven't budget on it, and

142
00:07:15,680 --> 00:07:17,720
Speaker 3: you've seen it this week, the way that numbers move.

143
00:07:17,800 --> 00:07:19,200
Speaker 2: So those are the games that kind of gotten wrong.

144
00:07:19,240 --> 00:07:19,960
Speaker 2: The ones they loved.

145
00:07:19,960 --> 00:07:23,040
Speaker 3: Our picks on love the Saints plus eight and a half,

146
00:07:23,360 --> 00:07:26,320
Speaker 3: Love this Jets team that we've talked about, loved our

147
00:07:26,360 --> 00:07:31,160
Speaker 3: love for this Cleveland team, you know, Chicago. I talked

148
00:07:31,160 --> 00:07:32,760
Speaker 3: to a couple of really smart groups that are on it,

149
00:07:32,960 --> 00:07:35,520
Speaker 3: I still think that's a Green Bay line. When it's

150
00:07:35,600 --> 00:07:37,240
Speaker 3: under seven, I still think it's a Green Bay line.

151
00:07:37,240 --> 00:07:39,080
Speaker 3: So I'll be a fun one to discuss. We want

152
00:07:39,080 --> 00:07:42,200
Speaker 3: to get into it. Tons of love for Atlanta already

153
00:07:42,200 --> 00:07:44,600
Speaker 3: talked a little bit about that one. Arizona. You know,

154
00:07:45,040 --> 00:07:46,880
Speaker 3: not a shaker with such a big number. I knew

155
00:07:46,920 --> 00:07:49,800
Speaker 3: the Pros would be on that one. And that Chiefs

156
00:07:49,840 --> 00:07:51,680
Speaker 3: game is kind of a flip flop. I've heard groups

157
00:07:51,720 --> 00:07:53,600
Speaker 3: on both sides of it, so there's not really one

158
00:07:53,640 --> 00:07:55,120
Speaker 3: side that they love, right if you can get the

159
00:07:55,160 --> 00:07:57,720
Speaker 3: three and the Chiefs, I know some really smart groups

160
00:07:57,760 --> 00:07:59,080
Speaker 3: have coming on and the same with a three and

161
00:07:59,120 --> 00:08:02,160
Speaker 3: a half. They're tons of professional groups that took early

162
00:08:02,200 --> 00:08:03,400
Speaker 3: positions on that Houston side.

163
00:08:03,440 --> 00:08:06,560
Speaker 2: And the last one pain pains for me to hear.

164
00:08:06,920 --> 00:08:10,280
Speaker 3: The Pros absolutely love this Chargers team against the Eagles.

165
00:08:10,320 --> 00:08:12,720
Speaker 3: They love the matchup for them, and what we've talked about,

166
00:08:12,720 --> 00:08:14,920
Speaker 3: there's all the dysfunction, all the noise around this Eagles team.

167
00:08:15,200 --> 00:08:17,240
Speaker 3: I think they view it as another spot to keep riding,

168
00:08:17,960 --> 00:08:19,760
Speaker 3: you know the fate of this Eagles team. But like

169
00:08:19,800 --> 00:08:21,400
Speaker 3: I said, I think if it's two and a half,

170
00:08:21,440 --> 00:08:23,600
Speaker 3: that's an Eagles line. So that's gonna be a fun

171
00:08:23,600 --> 00:08:25,160
Speaker 3: where I'm I gotta. I have a couple of games

172
00:08:25,160 --> 00:08:27,280
Speaker 3: are going against the pros. For the most part, it's

173
00:08:27,320 --> 00:08:29,200
Speaker 3: all the chalk, Like I'm just on chalk this weekend,

174
00:08:29,280 --> 00:08:31,240
Speaker 3: like every week the pro Just love the dogs.

175
00:08:32,240 --> 00:08:35,600
Speaker 1: Simon, You'll always be my pro. Thanks buddy, you know

176
00:08:35,679 --> 00:08:41,000
Speaker 1: why Chad and Simon b f f's which reminds me.

177
00:08:42,160 --> 00:08:46,560
Speaker 1: The Free Sharp or Square Pro Football Pick Them Contest

178
00:08:46,760 --> 00:08:51,520
Speaker 1: is officially live and ready for your picks at Sharp

179
00:08:51,760 --> 00:08:56,800
Speaker 1: or Square dot the volume dot com. Go sign up.

180
00:08:56,960 --> 00:09:00,760
Speaker 1: I already did. I got me and my buddy Simon

181
00:09:00,920 --> 00:09:04,400
Speaker 1: in there. We'll bring back producer Matt Mitchell to share

182
00:09:04,920 --> 00:09:08,719
Speaker 1: all the details. But one small note, there's no tiebreaker

183
00:09:09,280 --> 00:09:12,520
Speaker 1: just for this week. Tiebreaker questions we'll start next week.

184
00:09:12,720 --> 00:09:14,800
Speaker 1: If you can't find it, We've ben get some questions

185
00:09:14,840 --> 00:09:18,680
Speaker 1: about that. That is why no tiebreaker this week. It

186
00:09:18,760 --> 00:09:25,760
Speaker 1: is a bony five degrees in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, Middlewaukee, perfect contest.

187
00:09:25,880 --> 00:09:30,679
Speaker 1: Whether here's producer Matt Mitchell with all the info. All right,

188
00:09:30,720 --> 00:09:34,880
Speaker 1: Matt Mitchell, people can go sign up. Can you please

189
00:09:34,880 --> 00:09:36,800
Speaker 1: tell everybody how they can do that?

190
00:09:37,360 --> 00:09:37,600
Speaker 2: Yes?

191
00:09:37,920 --> 00:09:41,439
Speaker 4: Very excited that the contest is officially live. You can

192
00:09:41,559 --> 00:09:47,760
Speaker 4: just go to Sharp or Square dotthvolume dot com to

193
00:09:47,840 --> 00:09:50,959
Speaker 4: sign up for this totally free contest and you can

194
00:09:51,000 --> 00:09:54,040
Speaker 4: make your Week fourteen picks right away. It'll be the

195
00:09:54,080 --> 00:09:57,720
Speaker 4: same website and your same log in throughout the entire contest.

196
00:09:58,120 --> 00:10:00,520
Speaker 1: How long will this totally free contest run?

197
00:10:00,720 --> 00:10:03,240
Speaker 4: Okay, so it starts this week, which is Week fourteen,

198
00:10:03,480 --> 00:10:06,440
Speaker 4: and it'll run this time through Super Bowl Sunday, So

199
00:10:06,520 --> 00:10:10,800
Speaker 4: that's nine total contest weeks. But you've got to hurry

200
00:10:10,920 --> 00:10:15,000
Speaker 4: up and sign up because registration for this free contest

201
00:10:15,080 --> 00:10:20,800
Speaker 4: closes at one pm Eastern kickoff this Sunday, December seventh.

202
00:10:21,240 --> 00:10:23,600
Speaker 1: Matt tell everyone how the contest works.

203
00:10:24,160 --> 00:10:28,400
Speaker 4: It couldn't be easier. You just select five games against

204
00:10:28,400 --> 00:10:32,719
Speaker 4: the spread each week along with one tiebreaker question and

205
00:10:32,760 --> 00:10:37,360
Speaker 4: again tiebreakers start next week. No tiebreaker this week, and

206
00:10:37,440 --> 00:10:39,280
Speaker 4: once we hit the middle of the playoffs and the

207
00:10:39,320 --> 00:10:42,640
Speaker 4: slates get smaller, we may include some totals and a

208
00:10:42,679 --> 00:10:44,880
Speaker 4: player proper two just to beef it up. But for

209
00:10:44,960 --> 00:10:48,240
Speaker 4: right now, it's just five games against the spread and

210
00:10:48,320 --> 00:10:52,200
Speaker 4: during the regular season, deadline to submit your picks will

211
00:10:52,240 --> 00:10:55,880
Speaker 4: be one pm Eastern on Sundays, and you can always

212
00:10:55,960 --> 00:10:59,719
Speaker 4: see where you stand with everybody else using the leaderboard

213
00:10:59,760 --> 00:11:05,000
Speaker 4: fund which is also at Sharporsquare dot the Volume dot Com.

214
00:11:05,440 --> 00:11:10,880
Speaker 1: The most important question, Matt, as we have been getting

215
00:11:10,920 --> 00:11:16,160
Speaker 1: comments on this all year long. Will these lines that

216
00:11:16,200 --> 00:11:21,280
Speaker 1: we are all playing together against each other in good fun,

217
00:11:22,160 --> 00:11:23,240
Speaker 1: will these lines move?

218
00:11:23,720 --> 00:11:27,240
Speaker 4: Yes, The lines in this contest the Sharper Square Pro

219
00:11:27,280 --> 00:11:30,839
Speaker 4: Football Pickup Contest are dynamic as they've been the last

220
00:11:30,840 --> 00:11:34,000
Speaker 4: two seasons, so they'll move with the market throughout the week.

221
00:11:34,200 --> 00:11:37,880
Speaker 4: But be advised, these are still contest lines, so they'll

222
00:11:37,920 --> 00:11:42,360
Speaker 4: always end in half points to avoid ties. All pecks

223
00:11:42,440 --> 00:11:46,319
Speaker 4: must win or lose. So yes, the contest lines will.

224
00:11:46,200 --> 00:11:52,240
Speaker 1: Move dynamic lines. How or what actually are people going

225
00:11:52,320 --> 00:11:53,840
Speaker 1: to win? What is the grand prize?

226
00:11:53,960 --> 00:11:57,280
Speaker 4: Okay, so grand prize? The contest winner and a guest

227
00:11:57,440 --> 00:12:01,840
Speaker 4: will be flown to warm Full South Florida, where they

228
00:12:01,880 --> 00:12:05,960
Speaker 4: will enjoy a complimentary two nights day at the Beautiful

229
00:12:06,440 --> 00:12:10,600
Speaker 4: Seminal Hard Rock Hotel and Casino, along with tickets to

230
00:12:10,720 --> 00:12:14,720
Speaker 4: the Memphis Grizzlies versus Miami Heat game on February twenty first.

231
00:12:15,160 --> 00:12:20,440
Speaker 1: Very important, Can people change their picks during the week?

232
00:12:21,200 --> 00:12:24,400
Speaker 4: Yes, if you want to make any changes to your picks,

233
00:12:24,440 --> 00:12:26,880
Speaker 4: you just need to cancel your entry and make all

234
00:12:26,920 --> 00:12:30,360
Speaker 4: five picks again. At the bottom of your finished entry,

235
00:12:30,520 --> 00:12:33,040
Speaker 4: there's a little button that says cancel and play again.

236
00:12:33,440 --> 00:12:35,920
Speaker 4: You click that, it cancels your entry. You make your

237
00:12:35,920 --> 00:12:38,400
Speaker 4: picks again at the current contest lines.

238
00:12:38,640 --> 00:12:39,439
Speaker 2: Easypsy.

239
00:12:40,120 --> 00:12:41,200
Speaker 1: Is there a tiebreaker?

240
00:12:41,720 --> 00:12:44,760
Speaker 4: Yes, so this contest is only nine weeks long, so

241
00:12:44,840 --> 00:12:47,640
Speaker 4: the tiebreaker is going to be really important as it

242
00:12:47,679 --> 00:12:50,480
Speaker 4: has traditionally been. It will be total passing yards in

243
00:12:50,520 --> 00:12:54,360
Speaker 4: a selected game, typically Monday Night Football. In the event

244
00:12:54,440 --> 00:12:56,680
Speaker 4: of a tie at the end of this contest, the

245
00:12:56,760 --> 00:13:00,319
Speaker 4: winner will be decided by the lowest tiebreaker differential. So

246
00:13:00,559 --> 00:13:03,400
Speaker 4: when you submit your pecks, do not forget to put

247
00:13:03,440 --> 00:13:05,160
Speaker 4: in your typebreaker.

248
00:13:04,720 --> 00:13:10,920
Speaker 1: Answer, Matt, will all of the games be included as

249
00:13:11,000 --> 00:13:14,200
Speaker 1: available contest picks.

250
00:13:13,800 --> 00:13:16,680
Speaker 4: So we do not include Thursday Night Football in the contest.

251
00:13:16,720 --> 00:13:19,760
Speaker 4: We never have, probably because those games are an abomination,

252
00:13:20,280 --> 00:13:23,840
Speaker 4: But generally speaking, all other games will be available to

253
00:13:23,920 --> 00:13:25,160
Speaker 4: choose who.

254
00:13:25,000 --> 00:13:26,440
Speaker 1: Can play in this contest, Matt.

255
00:13:26,679 --> 00:13:29,800
Speaker 4: Okay, you just need to be twenty one years or

256
00:13:29,840 --> 00:13:34,480
Speaker 4: older as of today and located in the United States,

257
00:13:34,559 --> 00:13:38,560
Speaker 4: So sorry Canadians and Brits and all our international listeners.

258
00:13:39,080 --> 00:13:42,360
Speaker 4: The only US states that are excluded are Rhode Island

259
00:13:42,400 --> 00:13:46,400
Speaker 4: and Washington State. Tell me why they have tricky rules

260
00:13:46,480 --> 00:13:48,880
Speaker 4: about free to play games. So like, if you live

261
00:13:48,880 --> 00:13:53,120
Speaker 4: in Newport or Seattle or whatever, call your congressman. I

262
00:13:53,160 --> 00:13:55,080
Speaker 4: don't ask me. I have no idea, but I wish

263
00:13:55,080 --> 00:13:56,200
Speaker 4: you the best of luck anyway.

264
00:13:56,520 --> 00:13:58,920
Speaker 1: All right, well listen. Thank you Matt for the FAQs,

265
00:13:58,960 --> 00:14:02,040
Speaker 1: Thank you for other work getting the contest ready to roll.

266
00:14:02,040 --> 00:14:04,600
Speaker 1: Thank you to our sponsors at hard Rock Bet for

267
00:14:04,679 --> 00:14:09,040
Speaker 1: working through the entire challenging regulatory process with us so

268
00:14:09,080 --> 00:14:12,480
Speaker 1: we could bring this to you. Guys, better late than never.

269
00:14:12,800 --> 00:14:16,840
Speaker 1: Go sign up for the contest. It is open and

270
00:14:16,960 --> 00:14:19,800
Speaker 1: ready to roll right now. All the picks that we're

271
00:14:19,840 --> 00:14:22,920
Speaker 1: talking about on Sunday will be based on these contest lines,

272
00:14:22,960 --> 00:14:25,200
Speaker 1: so there'll be no questions about where you get in

273
00:14:25,280 --> 00:14:27,720
Speaker 1: that line, where are you betting stale lines, Like every

274
00:14:27,760 --> 00:14:29,680
Speaker 1: line we're betting is going to be the same lines

275
00:14:29,880 --> 00:14:31,120
Speaker 1: that everybody else is seeing.

276
00:14:31,520 --> 00:14:34,440
Speaker 3: And the ninety five that listen on the podcast. If

277
00:14:34,480 --> 00:14:36,600
Speaker 3: you know most of our fans listening to via podcast,

278
00:14:37,120 --> 00:14:39,480
Speaker 3: we put it on socials too. If you're confused by anything,

279
00:14:39,520 --> 00:14:41,200
Speaker 3: hop on there. Matt Mitchell is happy to help you

280
00:14:41,280 --> 00:14:43,240
Speaker 3: as well if you just want to DM them or

281
00:14:43,240 --> 00:14:46,400
Speaker 3: AD them or anything like that. You know, we know

282
00:14:46,440 --> 00:14:48,320
Speaker 3: it's very late in the season and it's a quick

283
00:14:48,360 --> 00:14:50,600
Speaker 3: turnaround here, but I really appreciate all the people that

284
00:14:50,680 --> 00:14:52,840
Speaker 3: signed up so early, and like we keep saying, it's

285
00:14:53,080 --> 00:14:54,920
Speaker 3: the type of thing where the more of you that

286
00:14:55,000 --> 00:14:56,360
Speaker 3: sign up, the cooler stuff.

287
00:14:56,160 --> 00:14:57,480
Speaker 2: We wile to be able to do in the future.

288
00:14:57,560 --> 00:15:00,000
Speaker 3: So we love the support we're getting from all the

289
00:15:00,080 --> 00:15:02,240
Speaker 3: fans and come prove you're better than me and Chad.

290
00:15:02,320 --> 00:15:03,120
Speaker 2: Let's see it. People.

291
00:15:03,840 --> 00:15:10,160
Speaker 1: I love when you when you when you give appreciation

292
00:15:10,240 --> 00:15:13,320
Speaker 1: to the fans, I think it's fantastic. Shows your true spirit.

293
00:15:13,560 --> 00:15:16,120
Speaker 1: It shows that you really really are a good person

294
00:15:16,520 --> 00:15:16,960
Speaker 1: deep down.

295
00:15:17,160 --> 00:15:18,000
Speaker 2: I used to hate them.

296
00:15:18,040 --> 00:15:19,720
Speaker 3: I'll be the first time I used to hate the fans.

297
00:15:19,840 --> 00:15:21,400
Speaker 3: But then we did a bunch of live shows and

298
00:15:21,440 --> 00:15:24,560
Speaker 3: you quickly realize you're only hearing ten percent of the

299
00:15:24,600 --> 00:15:27,440
Speaker 3: assholes online. The ninety percent of these people are awesome,

300
00:15:27,720 --> 00:15:29,920
Speaker 3: cool people that just want to you know, learn get

301
00:15:29,920 --> 00:15:30,280
Speaker 3: better at.

302
00:15:30,200 --> 00:15:31,480
Speaker 2: Betting football and love football.

303
00:15:31,560 --> 00:15:34,200
Speaker 3: So I've grown to really appreciate our fan base and

304
00:15:34,200 --> 00:15:35,000
Speaker 3: how cool so many of them.

305
00:15:35,000 --> 00:15:37,880
Speaker 1: Are I love that about you? All right? Listen, you

306
00:15:37,920 --> 00:15:42,840
Speaker 1: can find our producer Matt Mitchell tylt go to at

307
00:15:43,240 --> 00:15:47,840
Speaker 1: sharp or square underscore. The little underscore at the end

308
00:15:47,880 --> 00:15:51,280
Speaker 1: of it is key at Sharper square underscore. Let's get

309
00:15:51,320 --> 00:15:54,360
Speaker 1: into it, Simon, you mentioned Dallas. We let's talk about

310
00:15:54,440 --> 00:15:56,680
Speaker 1: Dallas and Detroit for a second. Detroit is a three

311
00:15:56,720 --> 00:15:59,200
Speaker 1: point favorite. We're not going to spend too much time

312
00:15:59,240 --> 00:16:01,040
Speaker 1: on it. We can't put it in contest because Thursday

313
00:16:01,040 --> 00:16:04,680
Speaker 1: games aren't eligible. But it's a really interesting game. I

314
00:16:05,000 --> 00:16:06,600
Speaker 1: don't think I'm gonna bet it like I think I'm

315
00:16:06,640 --> 00:16:09,600
Speaker 1: just gonna sit it out. I think it's it's I

316
00:16:09,600 --> 00:16:13,040
Speaker 1: think it's lined perfectly right, like it feels so public

317
00:16:13,120 --> 00:16:16,160
Speaker 1: to bet the Cowboys. I'm not getting the hook. It's

318
00:16:16,200 --> 00:16:18,520
Speaker 1: not going to two and a half. The Lions I

319
00:16:18,560 --> 00:16:22,320
Speaker 1: think have real issues either reverse biases coming into play

320
00:16:22,320 --> 00:16:28,200
Speaker 1: for me maybe, but I don't like the number totally fair.

321
00:16:28,200 --> 00:16:30,080
Speaker 3: I'm gonna touch the stove. I'm gonna bet the Lions.

322
00:16:30,120 --> 00:16:32,440
Speaker 3: I can't help it. I just I just nailed it.

323
00:16:32,480 --> 00:16:36,400
Speaker 3: I'm clearly stuck in the past, but I am just

324
00:16:36,480 --> 00:16:39,160
Speaker 3: so scared off about how much public love this Cowboys team,

325
00:16:39,160 --> 00:16:41,560
Speaker 3: and like you just said, the number has not budged

326
00:16:41,600 --> 00:16:44,240
Speaker 3: off the three despite we've had a day and a

327
00:16:44,280 --> 00:16:46,720
Speaker 3: half now of not just professional money, public money as

328
00:16:46,720 --> 00:16:48,520
Speaker 3: well hammering this Cowboys side.

329
00:16:48,560 --> 00:16:51,000
Speaker 2: So I'll bet with the books, I'll take the Lions.

330
00:16:51,040 --> 00:16:53,560
Speaker 3: But yeah, very very low confidence in this bet. I

331
00:16:53,640 --> 00:16:55,520
Speaker 3: just this Lion's team just seems totally lost.

332
00:16:55,880 --> 00:16:59,280
Speaker 1: Yeah, Washington plus one and a half at Minnesota at

333
00:16:59,280 --> 00:17:01,880
Speaker 1: hard Wrack Bet. Washington plus one and a half was

334
00:17:01,920 --> 00:17:05,600
Speaker 1: the Simon says Better the Week presented by hard Rock Bet.

335
00:17:06,200 --> 00:17:10,240
Speaker 1: I think we made that when you thought Jaden Daniels

336
00:17:10,320 --> 00:17:12,960
Speaker 1: might be playing. It's looking more and more like Marcus

337
00:17:13,000 --> 00:17:15,400
Speaker 1: Mariota is going to be the quarterback. And this line

338
00:17:15,400 --> 00:17:17,240
Speaker 1: has now moved to two. You said there's two and

339
00:17:17,320 --> 00:17:22,960
Speaker 1: a half's out there. I think in this bet, I'm

340
00:17:23,000 --> 00:17:26,080
Speaker 1: with you. I don't see what the love is for

341
00:17:26,160 --> 00:17:30,600
Speaker 1: the Vikings if JJ McCarthy is your quarterback, because he

342
00:17:30,680 --> 00:17:34,239
Speaker 1: is just so ineffective. He has not been able to

343
00:17:34,320 --> 00:17:37,959
Speaker 1: move the ball in any capacity. So are you just

344
00:17:38,000 --> 00:17:39,879
Speaker 1: thinking that it's going to be a three nothing game?

345
00:17:40,400 --> 00:17:42,560
Speaker 1: Like if you're betting on the Vikings, Like, what are

346
00:17:42,600 --> 00:17:45,359
Speaker 1: you looking at here? To make you feel good about

347
00:17:45,400 --> 00:17:48,720
Speaker 1: betting on this Vikings team. I know it sounds stupid.

348
00:17:49,800 --> 00:17:54,680
Speaker 1: Marcus Mariota is now sort of has enough past attempts

349
00:17:54,680 --> 00:18:00,000
Speaker 1: to be eligible for all the rankings. He's a medium

350
00:18:00,080 --> 00:18:05,119
Speaker 1: ore serviceable, mid level quarterback who has been in the

351
00:18:05,160 --> 00:18:09,719
Speaker 1: pantheon of backup quarterbacks recently and certainly this year one

352
00:18:09,800 --> 00:18:15,000
Speaker 1: of the better ones. And so I'm with you. I

353
00:18:15,480 --> 00:18:19,560
Speaker 1: favor Washington here. Everyone is banking on the fact that

354
00:18:19,600 --> 00:18:22,040
Speaker 1: Brian Flores is going to be able to confuse Marcus

355
00:18:22,040 --> 00:18:24,640
Speaker 1: Mariota to a degree. He's going to turn this game over.

356
00:18:25,160 --> 00:18:28,520
Speaker 1: That's got to be what it is, right, Yeah, Yeah.

357
00:18:28,320 --> 00:18:31,000
Speaker 3: And I've had just a lot of guys who are

358
00:18:31,040 --> 00:18:33,800
Speaker 3: really heavy on this Minnesota tie just said, you need

359
00:18:33,840 --> 00:18:36,840
Speaker 3: to kind of go back and really dive into how

360
00:18:36,880 --> 00:18:39,720
Speaker 3: bad this team has been for the Commanders, right with

361
00:18:39,880 --> 00:18:42,280
Speaker 3: everything that's going on behind the scenes, And that's fair.

362
00:18:42,320 --> 00:18:43,720
Speaker 3: Like their last couple of games, even though it was

363
00:18:43,760 --> 00:18:47,119
Speaker 3: a jugging out of a schedule, they went to Kansas City,

364
00:18:47,200 --> 00:18:49,440
Speaker 3: they got blown out seven to twenty eight. Then they

365
00:18:49,880 --> 00:18:53,120
Speaker 3: played a Seahawks team at home, got blown out thirty

366
00:18:53,160 --> 00:18:56,400
Speaker 3: eight fourteen, then played Detroit at home, lost forty four

367
00:18:56,400 --> 00:18:58,720
Speaker 3: to twenty two, so that's fair, right, And then they've

368
00:18:58,760 --> 00:19:00,720
Speaker 3: kind of played well these last two weeks where you

369
00:19:00,760 --> 00:19:03,200
Speaker 3: know Miami, I think that was in Madrid they.

370
00:19:03,119 --> 00:19:04,280
Speaker 2: Lost sixteen to thirteen.

371
00:19:04,640 --> 00:19:06,000
Speaker 3: They felt like they could have won to cover that

372
00:19:06,040 --> 00:19:08,040
Speaker 3: game a million different ways, right, I remember the kicker

373
00:19:08,080 --> 00:19:08,720
Speaker 3: out of miss kick.

374
00:19:08,760 --> 00:19:09,840
Speaker 2: It was just a total training wreck.

375
00:19:09,880 --> 00:19:12,040
Speaker 3: And then that Denver game another game where it felt

376
00:19:12,040 --> 00:19:13,080
Speaker 3: like they could have covered.

377
00:19:12,800 --> 00:19:15,040
Speaker 2: And won it outright in a bunch of different ways.

378
00:19:15,480 --> 00:19:16,360
Speaker 2: It lose by one.

379
00:19:16,480 --> 00:19:18,080
Speaker 3: They obviously got the cover, but that was the first

380
00:19:18,080 --> 00:19:20,359
Speaker 3: time they had covered in about four or five weeks.

381
00:19:20,880 --> 00:19:23,600
Speaker 3: So I get what they're saying, right that this this

382
00:19:23,760 --> 00:19:26,920
Speaker 3: Washington team is just bad right defensively and you really

383
00:19:26,960 --> 00:19:29,320
Speaker 3: dive into it as bad as JJ is. You would

384
00:19:29,320 --> 00:19:31,400
Speaker 3: think wide receivers, but it'll take advantage of a really

385
00:19:31,400 --> 00:19:33,960
Speaker 3: bad secondary. Like Chad just said that, you're banking a

386
00:19:34,000 --> 00:19:37,520
Speaker 3: lot on JJ McCarthy and make these completions, and you know,

387
00:19:37,640 --> 00:19:39,760
Speaker 3: Justin Jefferson hasn't been blowing up in the media, but

388
00:19:39,800 --> 00:19:41,520
Speaker 3: you can see him on the field, his bilinge, everything

389
00:19:41,560 --> 00:19:43,439
Speaker 3: he's doing. He's just so over it, sick of this

390
00:19:43,480 --> 00:19:46,880
Speaker 3: whole experience. So I really am just playing the number here.

391
00:19:47,040 --> 00:19:48,919
Speaker 3: Like Chad just said, there's two and a half's out there,

392
00:19:48,960 --> 00:19:51,440
Speaker 3: a couple of very public books. I'm gonna have to

393
00:19:51,480 --> 00:19:53,240
Speaker 3: take the number. Even if it is Mariota. I still

394
00:19:53,240 --> 00:19:55,080
Speaker 3: feel like this game should be closer to a pick

395
00:19:55,440 --> 00:19:57,159
Speaker 3: than it is at minus two and a half for

396
00:19:57,280 --> 00:19:58,320
Speaker 3: this Minnesota side.

397
00:19:58,400 --> 00:19:59,920
Speaker 2: So not shocking.

398
00:20:00,080 --> 00:20:02,080
Speaker 3: The pros love this Minnesota team so much. I'm just

399
00:20:02,080 --> 00:20:04,080
Speaker 3: shocked the numbers move so much. Where we don't even

400
00:20:04,119 --> 00:20:06,959
Speaker 3: know who the quarterback is going to be. Where Daniels

401
00:20:07,000 --> 00:20:09,440
Speaker 3: is practicing is just limited, and that's why the number

402
00:20:09,440 --> 00:20:12,080
Speaker 3: has moved in my opinion, because like Chad said, you know.

403
00:20:12,040 --> 00:20:13,119
Speaker 2: I talk a little bit on Tuesday.

404
00:20:13,119 --> 00:20:15,080
Speaker 3: People I've talked to behind the scenes in Washington. They

405
00:20:15,080 --> 00:20:17,000
Speaker 3: don't want him to play right. They just wanted the

406
00:20:17,040 --> 00:20:19,480
Speaker 3: kid to take a full time heal come back next

407
00:20:19,520 --> 00:20:21,600
Speaker 3: year when it matters. But he's such a competitor. He's

408
00:20:21,640 --> 00:20:24,439
Speaker 3: pushing the play because he wants to right. He's not

409
00:20:24,440 --> 00:20:26,040
Speaker 3: a guy that, when he's healthy, wants to set out.

410
00:20:26,119 --> 00:20:28,639
Speaker 3: So I'm really interesting how it plays out because it's

411
00:20:28,680 --> 00:20:32,200
Speaker 3: right now, it's organization versus a quarterback, and we'll see

412
00:20:32,240 --> 00:20:35,080
Speaker 3: what side the head coach picks. But I think this

413
00:20:35,200 --> 00:20:37,240
Speaker 3: head coach, Like we've talked about these different coaches. You

414
00:20:37,280 --> 00:20:39,080
Speaker 3: see the way they coach at the end of these

415
00:20:39,080 --> 00:20:40,840
Speaker 3: games where they want to be next year. It feels

416
00:20:40,840 --> 00:20:43,760
Speaker 3: like dan Quinn he's happy to follow the organization's lead

417
00:20:43,800 --> 00:20:47,320
Speaker 3: here and maybe said his quarterback, so be patient here,

418
00:20:47,320 --> 00:20:49,560
Speaker 3: like I gave it, as Simon says, obviously I was wrong.

419
00:20:49,840 --> 00:20:52,159
Speaker 3: The number could keep moving up. If it is the

420
00:20:52,160 --> 00:20:53,840
Speaker 3: two and a half at your book, you can get

421
00:20:53,880 --> 00:20:55,200
Speaker 3: it right now. I would grab, but at one and

422
00:20:55,200 --> 00:20:57,120
Speaker 3: a half, I'd be patient, see if you can get

423
00:20:57,119 --> 00:20:58,000
Speaker 3: a better number.

424
00:20:57,800 --> 00:21:02,280
Speaker 1: Two Jade and Daniels said, I don't rehab to sit,

425
00:21:03,320 --> 00:21:05,280
Speaker 1: so we know he wants to get on the field.

426
00:21:05,359 --> 00:21:08,080
Speaker 1: So it's going to be an interesting sort of tug

427
00:21:08,119 --> 00:21:10,920
Speaker 1: and pull there. If he doesn't play this week, you know,

428
00:21:11,000 --> 00:21:12,520
Speaker 1: are they going to let him come back and play

429
00:21:12,560 --> 00:21:16,000
Speaker 1: week fifteen, Week sixteen, week seventeen? Like as the season

430
00:21:16,400 --> 00:21:18,719
Speaker 1: gets closer to the end, what's really the point if

431
00:21:18,720 --> 00:21:20,320
Speaker 1: this team is completely out of the playoffs.

432
00:21:20,320 --> 00:21:23,280
Speaker 3: So they played the Eagles twice, so it's like, does

433
00:21:23,320 --> 00:21:25,240
Speaker 3: he want to come back and play spoiler against a

434
00:21:25,240 --> 00:21:27,040
Speaker 3: divisional po I could see it.

435
00:21:27,119 --> 00:21:28,960
Speaker 2: Maybe if he was a ten year vet. It's his

436
00:21:29,000 --> 00:21:29,520
Speaker 2: second year.

437
00:21:29,560 --> 00:21:31,280
Speaker 3: Does he really have that much against the Eagles that

438
00:21:31,320 --> 00:21:33,000
Speaker 3: he's like, No, I need to come back for these

439
00:21:33,080 --> 00:21:34,000
Speaker 3: last two weeks to play.

440
00:21:34,040 --> 00:21:35,359
Speaker 2: I just don't see it. So I'm with you.

441
00:21:35,400 --> 00:21:38,199
Speaker 3: It's a really fun situation where the competitor in him

442
00:21:38,200 --> 00:21:40,359
Speaker 3: wants to play, but the organization's smart.

443
00:21:40,359 --> 00:21:43,240
Speaker 2: They're trying to protect the long term. They're thinking they've.

444
00:21:43,080 --> 00:21:48,080
Speaker 1: Been through this with RG three Indianapolis at Jacksonville. Jacksonville

445
00:21:48,840 --> 00:21:51,600
Speaker 1: it's a one and a half point underdog at home.

446
00:21:52,040 --> 00:21:54,800
Speaker 1: I'm going to tell you this one lit up our

447
00:21:54,880 --> 00:21:58,480
Speaker 1: comments in YouTube on Tuesday after the show, I went

448
00:21:58,520 --> 00:22:01,879
Speaker 1: in and answered some questionquestions about it. People felt that

449
00:22:01,960 --> 00:22:05,879
Speaker 1: I had a bias against the Jags, and I do

450
00:22:05,960 --> 00:22:07,000
Speaker 1: have a bias against the Jacks.

451
00:22:08,480 --> 00:22:08,919
Speaker 2: We both do.

452
00:22:09,720 --> 00:22:11,800
Speaker 1: I don't think Trevor Lawrence is a very good quarterback,

453
00:22:12,280 --> 00:22:16,560
Speaker 1: like that that's a bias because it's true because he

454
00:22:16,600 --> 00:22:19,080
Speaker 1: hasn't performed at the level at which he has paid,

455
00:22:19,320 --> 00:22:22,040
Speaker 1: at which he was drafted, at which the expectations are

456
00:22:22,200 --> 00:22:26,840
Speaker 1: for him. Like that's just a fact. So the reason

457
00:22:26,920 --> 00:22:30,800
Speaker 1: this team has been playing well and his contention is

458
00:22:30,840 --> 00:22:33,760
Speaker 1: because of Liam Cohne, who, by the way, maybe he

459
00:22:33,800 --> 00:22:37,160
Speaker 1: should be Coach of the Year for dragging this team

460
00:22:37,240 --> 00:22:40,040
Speaker 1: to eight and four in the middle of December, right,

461
00:22:40,240 --> 00:22:42,640
Speaker 1: But the truth is I do have a bias against

462
00:22:42,960 --> 00:22:47,360
Speaker 1: Trevor Lawrence. And yet in the show on Tuesday, when

463
00:22:47,400 --> 00:22:50,440
Speaker 1: I said I feel like I want to bet the Colts,

464
00:22:51,000 --> 00:22:53,760
Speaker 1: I still listed all the reasons in which I'm afraid

465
00:22:53,800 --> 00:22:56,080
Speaker 1: of betting the Colts, And by the end of the show,

466
00:22:56,560 --> 00:22:58,800
Speaker 1: by the end of that segment, you had completely turned

467
00:22:58,840 --> 00:23:01,360
Speaker 1: me around. And this line did get to plus two

468
00:23:01,400 --> 00:23:04,199
Speaker 1: for a second, and now it's been back down to

469
00:23:04,280 --> 00:23:07,560
Speaker 1: one and a half. This is like, clearly the line

470
00:23:07,560 --> 00:23:11,800
Speaker 1: of demarcation for the wise guys is too. I feel

471
00:23:11,840 --> 00:23:15,080
Speaker 1: like you and I have probably come around are going

472
00:23:15,160 --> 00:23:19,320
Speaker 1: to be betting the Jags because I'm I'm I'm worried

473
00:23:19,320 --> 00:23:22,360
Speaker 1: about Daniel Jones. That's to me the issue.

474
00:23:23,320 --> 00:23:24,320
Speaker 2: Worry about Daniel Jones.

475
00:23:24,320 --> 00:23:27,679
Speaker 3: And like we talked about the secondary of this Colts team,

476
00:23:27,880 --> 00:23:30,440
Speaker 3: there are some major questions about them when you can

477
00:23:30,480 --> 00:23:32,800
Speaker 3: exploit them, like the Jags should be able to This

478
00:23:32,800 --> 00:23:35,880
Speaker 3: feels like a great matchup for them, so really fun

479
00:23:35,920 --> 00:23:38,120
Speaker 3: game to dive more into this past couple of days

480
00:23:38,160 --> 00:23:40,359
Speaker 3: and just hearing the pulse of what the pros were

481
00:23:40,359 --> 00:23:42,440
Speaker 3: gonna do with the one. I kind of knew they'd

482
00:23:42,480 --> 00:23:44,400
Speaker 3: be on the Jaguars, but I was just interested because

483
00:23:44,440 --> 00:23:46,600
Speaker 3: this number, like Chad said, there's a couple of twos

484
00:23:46,600 --> 00:23:48,720
Speaker 3: that have touched. So it's like, Okay, is there professional

485
00:23:48,760 --> 00:23:50,680
Speaker 3: money coming in on the Colts or is there something

486
00:23:50,680 --> 00:23:52,919
Speaker 3: I'm missing here? And you know, I've heard maybe one

487
00:23:53,000 --> 00:23:54,639
Speaker 3: or two groups have come in to the Colts, but

488
00:23:54,680 --> 00:23:56,680
Speaker 3: just the majority of guys I've talked to kind of

489
00:23:56,720 --> 00:23:58,240
Speaker 3: the same in tality of us here. This is a

490
00:23:58,359 --> 00:24:01,760
Speaker 3: Jags line, a Jag spot, and this Colts team. It

491
00:24:01,760 --> 00:24:03,440
Speaker 3: feels like we've talked about a couple of these games.

492
00:24:03,480 --> 00:24:05,600
Speaker 3: We feel like we're holding biases from earlier in the

493
00:24:05,680 --> 00:24:09,239
Speaker 3: year in this type of game where we know the

494
00:24:09,240 --> 00:24:12,080
Speaker 3: Colts when they're going right, they are the better team right,

495
00:24:12,200 --> 00:24:15,359
Speaker 3: there's no doubt about it. When everything's clicking offensively. I

496
00:24:15,400 --> 00:24:17,440
Speaker 3: think we both agree we would have trust Daniel Jones

497
00:24:17,520 --> 00:24:20,240
Speaker 3: much more than we trust Trevor Lawrence and many aspects,

498
00:24:20,280 --> 00:24:23,720
Speaker 3: especially this season where you know Daniel Jones, if you

499
00:24:23,800 --> 00:24:26,439
Speaker 3: go back and look, he was so great against the

500
00:24:26,480 --> 00:24:29,440
Speaker 3: Blitz when he was fully healthy and mobile. Again, he

501
00:24:29,480 --> 00:24:31,359
Speaker 3: wasn't even ruin the ball that much. Just his pocket

502
00:24:31,359 --> 00:24:33,760
Speaker 3: presence was incredible. Ever in the year, you've seen these

503
00:24:33,800 --> 00:24:36,800
Speaker 3: last three four weeks. Whatever the injury is, maybe he's

504
00:24:36,840 --> 00:24:39,399
Speaker 3: pushing off it's so painful. Whatever it is, it's in

505
00:24:39,440 --> 00:24:42,119
Speaker 3: his own head. He's just been taking sacks usually when

506
00:24:42,119 --> 00:24:44,200
Speaker 3: he's been reading the hot route and making the first

507
00:24:44,200 --> 00:24:47,000
Speaker 3: read and having you know, good throws and tough pockets.

508
00:24:47,040 --> 00:24:50,720
Speaker 3: He's not been that same way. And defensively, we've seen

509
00:24:50,760 --> 00:24:54,600
Speaker 3: this Jaguars team. Yes, they do have weaknesses obviously and

510
00:24:54,680 --> 00:24:57,520
Speaker 3: their linebackers in their secondary, but that D line, which

511
00:24:57,560 --> 00:25:00,399
Speaker 3: they've drafted so well these last couple of years. Strength,

512
00:25:00,440 --> 00:25:03,040
Speaker 3: they have guys that can pressure quarterbacks here, so you know,

513
00:25:03,119 --> 00:25:05,920
Speaker 3: matchup wise, I really like this Jaguars team, and we

514
00:25:06,040 --> 00:25:07,960
Speaker 3: talked a little bit about it. This this number should

515
00:25:07,960 --> 00:25:10,800
Speaker 3: be closer to a pick bro general public, Like my

516
00:25:11,000 --> 00:25:12,880
Speaker 3: model has it a minus three for the Jaguars, which

517
00:25:12,880 --> 00:25:15,440
Speaker 3: I still think is insane. I can't believe it loves

518
00:25:15,480 --> 00:25:18,920
Speaker 3: the Jaguars that much. So really unique spot here back

519
00:25:18,920 --> 00:25:22,679
Speaker 3: in the Jaguars team that you know they're kind of

520
00:25:22,720 --> 00:25:24,800
Speaker 3: left for dead by the public even though they've been

521
00:25:24,800 --> 00:25:25,919
Speaker 3: winning and covering these.

522
00:25:25,800 --> 00:25:26,639
Speaker 2: Last couple of weeks.

523
00:25:26,640 --> 00:25:29,520
Speaker 3: So I think people are just like us, where it's

524
00:25:29,520 --> 00:25:31,240
Speaker 3: hard enough to have your biases of Trevor Lawrence. He

525
00:25:31,320 --> 00:25:34,199
Speaker 3: just does such egregious stuff every week. It's hard not

526
00:25:34,200 --> 00:25:35,520
Speaker 3: to have the Linger in the back of your mind.

527
00:25:35,520 --> 00:25:38,960
Speaker 3: But trust the models people here, trust the professionals, back

528
00:25:39,000 --> 00:25:41,600
Speaker 3: back this Jaguars team. And yeah, I'm glad I wasn't

529
00:25:41,600 --> 00:25:43,159
Speaker 3: all on once a gat on the Cults on Tuesday,

530
00:25:43,160 --> 00:25:45,399
Speaker 3: because Sunday night me and Chat both said, yeah, we

531
00:25:45,480 --> 00:25:48,000
Speaker 3: thought that was a good cold number, and yeah, I

532
00:25:48,080 --> 00:25:50,280
Speaker 3: quickly realized the error of my ways. And yeah, this

533
00:25:50,359 --> 00:25:52,520
Speaker 3: Jaguars number, I could just see it dipping. Like you said,

534
00:25:52,560 --> 00:25:54,520
Speaker 3: it's got up to two a couple of books. The

535
00:25:54,520 --> 00:25:56,320
Speaker 3: more pros I talk to, this seems like more money's gonna

536
00:25:56,320 --> 00:25:57,200
Speaker 3: come to the Jaguars side.

537
00:25:57,200 --> 00:25:59,160
Speaker 2: And this could easily flip come game time.

538
00:25:59,280 --> 00:26:01,440
Speaker 3: So definitely grab the Jags as you can right now.

539
00:26:01,720 --> 00:26:04,760
Speaker 1: Daniel Jones said the leg really isn't an issue unless

540
00:26:04,760 --> 00:26:09,200
Speaker 1: he has to move laterally, which is like fifty percent

541
00:26:09,240 --> 00:26:13,440
Speaker 1: of the moves right, Like you got to move right

542
00:26:13,480 --> 00:26:17,879
Speaker 1: to left and forwards and backwards. So that is a

543
00:26:17,920 --> 00:26:20,560
Speaker 1: little bit of a scary prospect to be betting on

544
00:26:20,640 --> 00:26:23,879
Speaker 1: a guy who's struggling to move when he's going to

545
00:26:24,000 --> 00:26:27,560
Speaker 1: get some pressure. And also the Colts, like their defensive

546
00:26:27,560 --> 00:26:30,760
Speaker 1: line has some injuries and that's impactful against a running game.

547
00:26:30,840 --> 00:26:33,560
Speaker 1: And you know, I think both coaches are really good.

548
00:26:33,600 --> 00:26:36,520
Speaker 1: I think there's no real advantage there. I think Liam

549
00:26:36,560 --> 00:26:40,760
Speaker 1: Cohn is doing a remarkable job with subpar talent at

550
00:26:40,800 --> 00:26:42,480
Speaker 1: the quarterback position.

551
00:26:42,600 --> 00:26:42,800
Speaker 2: Yeah.

552
00:26:42,880 --> 00:26:45,840
Speaker 3: He also had the most Duke conversation ever where he

553
00:26:45,880 --> 00:26:48,480
Speaker 3: set his buddies who went to college with have invented

554
00:26:48,520 --> 00:26:52,080
Speaker 3: this like fake prosthetic party puts on his pads that

555
00:26:52,119 --> 00:26:55,280
Speaker 3: protects the injured area. And it made me think of

556
00:26:55,760 --> 00:26:58,400
Speaker 3: I have an aunt that lives down in Durham, North Carolina,

557
00:26:58,440 --> 00:27:02,440
Speaker 3: and I was probably probably twenty two. I just really

558
00:27:02,520 --> 00:27:04,639
Speaker 3: dove into becoming a professional better. I'm flying down there,

559
00:27:04,640 --> 00:27:06,440
Speaker 3: go a visitor, and I'm sitting next to a kid,

560
00:27:06,440 --> 00:27:09,320
Speaker 3: Sam ages me twenty two to twenty three, flying back

561
00:27:09,440 --> 00:27:12,480
Speaker 3: to college where he goes to Duke and he does

562
00:27:12,600 --> 00:27:15,280
Speaker 3: heart research. I go, that's pretty cool. Like, again, we're

563
00:27:15,280 --> 00:27:17,160
Speaker 3: on totally different pathrore, Like I'm a professional better.

564
00:27:17,480 --> 00:27:18,320
Speaker 2: I goes, what do you guys do?

565
00:27:18,359 --> 00:27:20,159
Speaker 3: He goes, he pulled out just box and goes, well,

566
00:27:20,200 --> 00:27:22,800
Speaker 3: I build an artificial heart and it got to prove

567
00:27:22,840 --> 00:27:25,040
Speaker 3: to be put into process. This is like in whatever,

568
00:27:25,119 --> 00:27:27,520
Speaker 3: say like twenty twelve, twenty eleven, and I always think

569
00:27:27,560 --> 00:27:30,480
Speaker 3: back to this guy is building these fake hearts and

570
00:27:30,600 --> 00:27:32,560
Speaker 3: artificial hearts at twenty two twenty three and I was

571
00:27:32,560 --> 00:27:35,199
Speaker 3: over here like talking about being a professional better totally

572
00:27:35,240 --> 00:27:36,520
Speaker 3: broughbab me back down and humbled me.

573
00:27:36,560 --> 00:27:37,919
Speaker 2: At that time I really needed it.

574
00:27:37,960 --> 00:27:40,440
Speaker 3: So I always think back at the different paths of life,

575
00:27:40,480 --> 00:27:43,480
Speaker 3: and you know, you never know, like this kid, he's

576
00:27:43,640 --> 00:27:46,040
Speaker 3: someone that built artificial hearts and extra professional better when

577
00:27:46,000 --> 00:27:48,280
Speaker 3: we were both just young kids talking about TV shows

578
00:27:48,280 --> 00:27:49,040
Speaker 3: and movies, all.

579
00:27:49,080 --> 00:27:51,000
Speaker 1: Right, that said, we're going to be on the Jacks

580
00:27:51,000 --> 00:27:52,720
Speaker 1: because I don't think anyone's thinking about a way to

581
00:27:52,760 --> 00:27:56,600
Speaker 1: fix Daniel jones broken fibula between now and then Miami.

582
00:27:57,000 --> 00:27:59,800
Speaker 1: At the New York Jets. The line at hard Rock

583
00:27:59,880 --> 00:28:03,359
Speaker 1: is two and a half. Everywhere else it's three. So

584
00:28:03,359 --> 00:28:06,000
Speaker 1: I would recommend getting the three. I made this Chad's

585
00:28:06,080 --> 00:28:08,280
Speaker 1: choice when it was the Jets two and a half

586
00:28:08,280 --> 00:28:11,080
Speaker 1: On Tuesday, and that seemed to be the only twenty

587
00:28:11,080 --> 00:28:13,560
Speaker 1: four hour window where this wasn't three because it was

588
00:28:13,600 --> 00:28:16,480
Speaker 1: at three Sunday in the Monday. It's been three since

589
00:28:16,520 --> 00:28:19,720
Speaker 1: Wednesday morning. I betted at three. I bet it again

590
00:28:19,760 --> 00:28:25,160
Speaker 1: at three. So the Dolphins are getting all the bets

591
00:28:25,200 --> 00:28:27,760
Speaker 1: on this one. They're the public side for sure. You

592
00:28:27,800 --> 00:28:30,520
Speaker 1: mentioned you shurep call. The Jets are the wise guy side.

593
00:28:30,560 --> 00:28:32,920
Speaker 1: What I don't get is why hasn't it come back

594
00:28:33,000 --> 00:28:35,320
Speaker 1: down to two and a half when I know the

595
00:28:35,320 --> 00:28:38,600
Speaker 1: professional money is coming in on the Jets in this game.

596
00:28:40,440 --> 00:28:43,120
Speaker 3: Yeah, honestly, I think this has to deal with what

597
00:28:43,120 --> 00:28:45,400
Speaker 3: we talked a little bit about, where it's this game

598
00:28:45,440 --> 00:28:47,880
Speaker 3: had a lot of dictating on the weather, and you

599
00:28:47,920 --> 00:28:48,680
Speaker 3: saw earlier in the week.

600
00:28:48,560 --> 00:28:50,240
Speaker 2: They're supposed to be a Hug Show storm coming through

601
00:28:50,240 --> 00:28:50,800
Speaker 2: for this game.

602
00:28:51,120 --> 00:28:52,720
Speaker 3: Now, the Saand's gonna blow out and it's going to

603
00:28:52,760 --> 00:28:54,680
Speaker 3: be sunny, So it basically would be thirty one thirty

604
00:28:54,680 --> 00:28:56,840
Speaker 3: two degrees for kickoff and sunny is what they're predicting

605
00:28:56,920 --> 00:28:59,840
Speaker 3: right now, Which if you're in Miami and Tua, that

606
00:29:00,080 --> 00:29:01,520
Speaker 3: as good as it's going to get. Right if you're

607
00:29:01,560 --> 00:29:04,440
Speaker 3: coming to the Northeast in December. You knew it's gonna

608
00:29:04,440 --> 00:29:05,960
Speaker 3: be cold. But if you're not getting any type of

609
00:29:06,040 --> 00:29:08,600
Speaker 3: horrible wind in met life, you're not getting rain or

610
00:29:08,640 --> 00:29:11,680
Speaker 3: any bad elements like that. Who should be all right?

611
00:29:11,800 --> 00:29:14,000
Speaker 3: Right with the times we've seen him struggle. You know

612
00:29:14,440 --> 00:29:16,520
Speaker 3: that was when he was in Buffalo or Kansas City

613
00:29:16,520 --> 00:29:19,040
Speaker 3: and it was like windshill of three degrees outside and

614
00:29:19,080 --> 00:29:21,600
Speaker 3: it was just my numbing. It might not be that

615
00:29:21,680 --> 00:29:24,760
Speaker 3: bad for him in this spot, but we've seen times come.

616
00:29:24,840 --> 00:29:27,480
Speaker 3: This Jets team, they keep being underrated.

617
00:29:27,080 --> 00:29:29,040
Speaker 2: By the public. Tyrod Taylor, We've talked about it.

618
00:29:29,120 --> 00:29:31,800
Speaker 3: You know, his last eight starts, he's seven to zero

619
00:29:31,800 --> 00:29:32,800
Speaker 3: to one against the spread.

620
00:29:32,840 --> 00:29:36,040
Speaker 1: So it's super Bowl champion, pro bowler.

621
00:29:36,480 --> 00:29:38,600
Speaker 2: Nothing nothing new for him though. It's just being underrated

622
00:29:38,640 --> 00:29:39,240
Speaker 2: by the public.

623
00:29:39,960 --> 00:29:41,440
Speaker 3: Just seems like that's gonna be what's gonna be for

624
00:29:41,480 --> 00:29:44,200
Speaker 3: Tyrod Taylor, right, They will keep underrating him. So my

625
00:29:44,280 --> 00:29:47,720
Speaker 3: only issue with Ay Chad is we both love this

626
00:29:47,760 --> 00:29:48,400
Speaker 3: one so much.

627
00:29:48,440 --> 00:29:50,160
Speaker 2: This tends to be the games that exactly burn.

628
00:29:50,080 --> 00:29:53,280
Speaker 1: Us right now. I know, I agree, I totally.

629
00:29:53,440 --> 00:29:55,400
Speaker 2: We're nothing going to revisit Sunday for our contest.

630
00:29:55,440 --> 00:29:57,480
Speaker 3: I have like a feeling like I'm getting in a

631
00:29:57,560 --> 00:30:00,840
Speaker 3: little bit my gut alarm bells here that we've already

632
00:30:00,880 --> 00:30:03,560
Speaker 3: hit on black seventh straight times the Roulette wheel, and

633
00:30:03,600 --> 00:30:06,640
Speaker 3: we're we're hitting on black once again. So I don't

634
00:30:06,680 --> 00:30:08,120
Speaker 3: know what to do here where it's like, I think

635
00:30:08,120 --> 00:30:10,440
Speaker 3: it's the right read, but we are taking a little

636
00:30:10,440 --> 00:30:12,200
Speaker 3: bit of a risk here that the market might have

637
00:30:12,320 --> 00:30:15,760
Speaker 3: caught up to Taylor at this point, because to me,

638
00:30:15,880 --> 00:30:18,120
Speaker 3: this number feels right like my model has it right

639
00:30:18,160 --> 00:30:19,880
Speaker 3: at this So my model has.

640
00:30:19,800 --> 00:30:23,080
Speaker 2: It too, you know. I think we're getting a good

641
00:30:23,120 --> 00:30:24,160
Speaker 2: number on the Jets at two and a.

642
00:30:24,160 --> 00:30:26,920
Speaker 3: Half, especially at three. But I get why there's just

643
00:30:27,000 --> 00:30:29,720
Speaker 3: not a ton of love from most professional talk to

644
00:30:29,720 --> 00:30:32,160
Speaker 3: where they're playing their Jets. But it's not like they're like, no,

645
00:30:32,240 --> 00:30:33,920
Speaker 3: you have to bet this. This is exactly why you

646
00:30:33,960 --> 00:30:35,640
Speaker 3: want to back this Jets team. I feel like they

647
00:30:35,640 --> 00:30:37,480
Speaker 3: have the same mentality as I do. It's like, man,

648
00:30:37,920 --> 00:30:39,479
Speaker 3: we got away with one last week. We really got

649
00:30:39,520 --> 00:30:41,760
Speaker 3: to go back to this well hammer this one. But

650
00:30:42,320 --> 00:30:44,479
Speaker 3: we just we love both of us love this matchup.

651
00:30:44,480 --> 00:30:47,880
Speaker 3: It's just this Miami's defense is so bad, Taylor's gonna

652
00:30:47,880 --> 00:30:49,120
Speaker 3: be able to move the ball against him. Can they

653
00:30:49,160 --> 00:30:51,959
Speaker 3: get stops against TUA after you know, last week too

654
00:30:52,000 --> 00:30:55,000
Speaker 3: had a terrible game historically, and you dive into his trends,

655
00:30:55,320 --> 00:30:57,720
Speaker 3: he tends to bounce back after really bad games every

656
00:30:57,720 --> 00:31:00,720
Speaker 3: time him and McDaid, it's just that combo. You know,

657
00:31:00,800 --> 00:31:02,760
Speaker 3: any game he goes without throwing a touch on the

658
00:31:02,800 --> 00:31:05,280
Speaker 3: following game, he averages two point three touchdowns per game.

659
00:31:05,360 --> 00:31:07,760
Speaker 3: So it's just again lazy stat, but just shows he

660
00:31:07,840 --> 00:31:09,960
Speaker 3: tends to bounce back after struggling the game before.

661
00:31:10,040 --> 00:31:11,600
Speaker 2: So just to be something weary of.

662
00:31:11,720 --> 00:31:13,520
Speaker 3: But this is another game that if we wake up

663
00:31:13,560 --> 00:31:16,560
Speaker 3: Sunday chat and it is twenty five degrees limit or

664
00:31:16,640 --> 00:31:19,640
Speaker 3: rain kind of kind of windy out, I will have

665
00:31:19,680 --> 00:31:21,080
Speaker 3: to put this one. If there's any type of winner

666
00:31:21,120 --> 00:31:23,920
Speaker 3: elements in this game. But it's a perfect sunny day.

667
00:31:24,280 --> 00:31:26,120
Speaker 3: Maybe I'll talk this out of and lie to myself

668
00:31:26,160 --> 00:31:28,520
Speaker 3: being like, nah, don't, don't, don't go too hardier on

669
00:31:28,520 --> 00:31:30,880
Speaker 3: this Jets team. But I love the plus three and

670
00:31:30,920 --> 00:31:32,680
Speaker 3: you do as well, so it's me hard to avoid it.

671
00:31:32,960 --> 00:31:36,560
Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree with you. I feel like, and it's

672
00:31:36,560 --> 00:31:41,480
Speaker 1: totally anecdotal, like when we tend to love a game,

673
00:31:41,720 --> 00:31:44,960
Speaker 1: lock in a game early in the week, I feel

674
00:31:44,960 --> 00:31:49,560
Speaker 1: like we don't even hesitate to put it into our

675
00:31:49,600 --> 00:31:52,280
Speaker 1: final five, and it always ends up being a game

676
00:31:52,320 --> 00:31:54,160
Speaker 1: that we're out of it in the first quarter.

677
00:31:54,240 --> 00:31:55,840
Speaker 3: Yeah, we've had the blinders on a couple of times

678
00:31:55,840 --> 00:31:56,000
Speaker 3: like that.

679
00:31:56,560 --> 00:31:59,280
Speaker 1: It's true. Well, let's see if we have the blinders

680
00:31:59,280 --> 00:32:01,120
Speaker 1: on for the Cleveland rounds at minus three and a

681
00:32:01,200 --> 00:32:04,640
Speaker 1: half hosting the Tennessee Titans. Huge swings back and forth

682
00:32:04,760 --> 00:32:06,920
Speaker 1: on this one in a small range like four and

683
00:32:06,960 --> 00:32:08,520
Speaker 1: a half to four to three and a half to

684
00:32:08,560 --> 00:32:10,360
Speaker 1: three and a half to four to four and a half,

685
00:32:11,040 --> 00:32:14,880
Speaker 1: back and forth, back and forth. Look, I dismissed all

686
00:32:15,000 --> 00:32:20,600
Speaker 1: the noise about cam Ward's improvements a couple of weeks

687
00:32:20,600 --> 00:32:23,880
Speaker 1: ago in the show, but if you do look at

688
00:32:23,880 --> 00:32:28,680
Speaker 1: his numbers, passer rating, lack of interceptions, completion percentage, they

689
00:32:28,720 --> 00:32:31,920
Speaker 1: are all much much better since Brian Callahan was fired

690
00:32:32,240 --> 00:32:36,120
Speaker 1: in week six. And this has been outside of last week,

691
00:32:36,120 --> 00:32:37,040
Speaker 1: a more competitive team.

692
00:32:37,120 --> 00:32:37,280
Speaker 2: Right.

693
00:32:37,320 --> 00:32:40,440
Speaker 1: They twice beat down the back door to cover a

694
00:32:40,440 --> 00:32:43,000
Speaker 1: big number against the Chargers, to cover a big number

695
00:32:43,000 --> 00:32:48,680
Speaker 1: against Seattle. But they haven't played Miles Garrett in Cleveland yet,

696
00:32:49,320 --> 00:32:52,760
Speaker 1: And so when I'm looking at this game, I'm looking

697
00:32:52,800 --> 00:32:55,920
Speaker 1: at not sure door Sanders as more than a field

698
00:32:55,920 --> 00:32:59,760
Speaker 1: goal favorite. I'm looking at cam Ward having to compete

699
00:32:59,840 --> 00:33:01,320
Speaker 1: against Miles Garrett.

700
00:33:02,640 --> 00:33:05,840
Speaker 3: Yeah, and just been talking to why different pros love

701
00:33:05,880 --> 00:33:07,160
Speaker 3: this Tennessee team so much?

702
00:33:07,240 --> 00:33:09,400
Speaker 2: Right, They've come in very heavy on like this.

703
00:33:09,400 --> 00:33:11,200
Speaker 3: This number did open a lot of books at five

704
00:33:11,240 --> 00:33:12,760
Speaker 3: and a half four and a half, and like Chad said,

705
00:33:13,160 --> 00:33:14,760
Speaker 3: a lot of books quickly move at three and a half.

706
00:33:14,840 --> 00:33:17,040
Speaker 3: So that's some serious money pushing it a whole point.

707
00:33:17,120 --> 00:33:20,200
Speaker 3: And I couldn't understand why. So I wanted to figure

708
00:33:20,240 --> 00:33:22,080
Speaker 3: out what people are seeing that I'm missing, And it

709
00:33:22,120 --> 00:33:23,560
Speaker 3: is a little bit of the cam Wred love right

710
00:33:23,600 --> 00:33:26,080
Speaker 3: that you just talked about. But it's also they can't

711
00:33:26,080 --> 00:33:28,840
Speaker 3: believe that Shador Seniors would be this big of a favorite,

712
00:33:28,920 --> 00:33:31,680
Speaker 3: which I think is a totally fair criticism of him

713
00:33:31,720 --> 00:33:33,920
Speaker 3: and that team. But like I talked on Tuesday, I

714
00:33:33,960 --> 00:33:36,440
Speaker 3: don't think this is Shdor Sanders' line. I truly think

715
00:33:36,480 --> 00:33:38,680
Speaker 3: this is a defensive line. This is a line that

716
00:33:39,120 --> 00:33:42,040
Speaker 3: when the bookmaker's posted it's what I'm looking at my model,

717
00:33:42,040 --> 00:33:44,800
Speaker 3: which is like, okay, say the offense is a total

718
00:33:44,880 --> 00:33:48,080
Speaker 3: zero in your opinion, at least the Browns have a

719
00:33:48,080 --> 00:33:50,760
Speaker 3: good run game, Like we've seen it through multiple weeks here.

720
00:33:50,680 --> 00:33:53,160
Speaker 2: That they can run the ball pretty consistently.

721
00:33:53,240 --> 00:33:55,880
Speaker 3: It's just the usuer for us, which I think most

722
00:33:55,880 --> 00:33:57,440
Speaker 3: guys have bet in this Browns team, is if it's

723
00:33:57,520 --> 00:34:01,080
Speaker 3: thirty and seven, thirty and eight, you definitely have more

724
00:34:01,120 --> 00:34:03,880
Speaker 3: confidence in Ward, I guess completing that than you do

725
00:34:03,880 --> 00:34:06,200
Speaker 3: a Saantors, Right. But like I've talked about, I think

726
00:34:06,200 --> 00:34:09,040
Speaker 3: it's just an overreacting road reaction to this past week

727
00:34:09,080 --> 00:34:11,560
Speaker 3: where you go and look at that Raiders game. He

728
00:34:11,680 --> 00:34:14,240
Speaker 3: was moving pretty well in the pocket, finding open lanes

729
00:34:14,239 --> 00:34:16,640
Speaker 3: and I think he only had eleven completions, but still

730
00:34:17,239 --> 00:34:19,040
Speaker 3: they were big time completions, right, and that's what you're

731
00:34:19,080 --> 00:34:21,320
Speaker 3: looking for for Sainders and a young quarterback were cam Ward.

732
00:34:21,800 --> 00:34:22,520
Speaker 2: We've talked about it.

733
00:34:22,520 --> 00:34:25,120
Speaker 3: He's so erratic that, yeah, the numbers have been better,

734
00:34:25,680 --> 00:34:27,880
Speaker 3: but we talked about a lot of those numbers is

735
00:34:28,080 --> 00:34:30,920
Speaker 3: a late game, you know, passing yards and touchdowns like

736
00:34:30,960 --> 00:34:34,320
Speaker 3: those are fourth quarter stats. Yeah, most defense are playing prevent.

737
00:34:35,200 --> 00:34:37,720
Speaker 3: Could we get burned by the Browns prevent defense? Sure,

738
00:34:37,840 --> 00:34:40,239
Speaker 3: but we've seen it this year. This Browns team doesn't

739
00:34:40,280 --> 00:34:42,359
Speaker 3: usually go into that mode like they always plays if

740
00:34:42,360 --> 00:34:45,320
Speaker 3: they're very desperate, so it just feels good to reaction,

741
00:34:45,400 --> 00:34:47,319
Speaker 3: like the pros have really bet this one, and you

742
00:34:47,360 --> 00:34:48,480
Speaker 3: look at the money splits.

743
00:34:48,800 --> 00:34:50,520
Speaker 2: You know, the tickets of most books.

744
00:34:50,200 --> 00:34:52,280
Speaker 3: Are pretty heavy on the Brown side, but the money

745
00:34:53,040 --> 00:34:55,719
Speaker 3: is very, very much skew to this Tennessee side. So

746
00:34:56,520 --> 00:34:59,880
Speaker 3: I really do like this Browns game. It's another game,

747
00:35:00,080 --> 00:35:03,240
Speaker 3: just like the Jets when we're I know it's probably

748
00:35:03,360 --> 00:35:05,840
Speaker 3: an overreaction of my part to it, but I just

749
00:35:05,840 --> 00:35:06,960
Speaker 3: think the lines move too much.

750
00:35:06,960 --> 00:35:08,520
Speaker 2: Like I don't think the Jet should be plus three.

751
00:35:08,520 --> 00:35:10,479
Speaker 3: I don't think the Browns here it should be minus

752
00:35:10,480 --> 00:35:11,600
Speaker 3: three and a half. It just feels like a too

753
00:35:11,680 --> 00:35:15,200
Speaker 3: much overaction by a lot of these professionals. So maybe

754
00:35:15,239 --> 00:35:16,759
Speaker 3: you'll help us talk because out have to come a

755
00:35:16,800 --> 00:35:18,640
Speaker 3: Sunday chat. But as you say, right now, the Browns,

756
00:35:18,680 --> 00:35:20,399
Speaker 3: they are quickly becoming all of my bigger bets. I've

757
00:35:20,440 --> 00:35:22,600
Speaker 3: taken a pretty large position on the minus three and

758
00:35:22,600 --> 00:35:24,640
Speaker 3: a half. I just I think it's a unique spot

759
00:35:24,640 --> 00:35:27,120
Speaker 3: with this Browns defense. Jim Schwartz at home against a

760
00:35:27,200 --> 00:35:30,600
Speaker 3: rookie on the road in the elements. I gotta take

761
00:35:30,600 --> 00:35:31,239
Speaker 3: the Browns here.

762
00:35:32,360 --> 00:35:35,400
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm having a hard time walking away from it to.

763
00:35:35,200 --> 00:35:37,359
Speaker 3: Total thirty three and a half. I shouldn't mention that too.

764
00:35:37,560 --> 00:35:40,160
Speaker 3: So that's another reason pros like the like the dog.

765
00:35:40,160 --> 00:35:43,640
Speaker 3: Here's just a total that low with that few points,

766
00:35:44,000 --> 00:35:46,280
Speaker 3: most pros will just blindly take the dog in that position.

767
00:35:46,600 --> 00:35:49,399
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's a really it's a really low number. I'm

768
00:35:49,400 --> 00:35:53,480
Speaker 1: having a hard time walking away from the Browns. And

769
00:35:53,520 --> 00:35:56,680
Speaker 1: it's entirely because we've had a lot of success betting

770
00:35:56,680 --> 00:36:01,160
Speaker 1: the Browns as the better defense at home against much

771
00:36:01,239 --> 00:36:05,319
Speaker 1: much better teams and better quarterbacks and than what we're

772
00:36:05,320 --> 00:36:08,839
Speaker 1: getting in the Titans and so and with by the way,

773
00:36:09,440 --> 00:36:14,520
Speaker 1: worse quarterbacks than Shoud or Sanders. Yeah right, So I mean.

774
00:36:14,480 --> 00:36:16,920
Speaker 3: Whether it's matter here, Like looking at it early again,

775
00:36:16,960 --> 00:36:19,600
Speaker 3: it's it's three four days out, but it's supposed to

776
00:36:19,640 --> 00:36:23,360
Speaker 3: be flurries of snow, really strong wind, and probably in

777
00:36:23,400 --> 00:36:26,120
Speaker 3: the mid thirties. So this could be another game where

778
00:36:26,120 --> 00:36:27,520
Speaker 3: the elements play a factor into.

779
00:36:27,320 --> 00:36:30,439
Speaker 1: It, all, right, Seattle at Atlanta. Atlanta's a seven point

780
00:36:30,480 --> 00:36:32,239
Speaker 1: dog right now. We talked a little bit about it

781
00:36:32,239 --> 00:36:35,759
Speaker 1: on Tuesday. You and I are split on this game.

782
00:36:36,120 --> 00:36:39,680
Speaker 1: You're riding this I like the Falcons here and I

783
00:36:39,719 --> 00:36:43,080
Speaker 1: know it sounds gross to say it, but they keep

784
00:36:43,120 --> 00:36:47,359
Speaker 1: losing close games. Sam Darnold has not been as good

785
00:36:47,360 --> 00:36:50,000
Speaker 1: as he was when he started the season the past

786
00:36:50,200 --> 00:36:54,840
Speaker 1: few games. Kirk Cousin's serviceable. I'm not saying he's great

787
00:36:55,120 --> 00:36:57,720
Speaker 1: to me. The one reason that I'm not like going

788
00:36:57,760 --> 00:36:59,520
Speaker 1: all in on the Falcons yet is because I want

789
00:36:59,520 --> 00:37:03,520
Speaker 1: to know Rake London's status. He is so important to

790
00:37:03,600 --> 00:37:04,600
Speaker 1: this team, but.

791
00:37:04,760 --> 00:37:08,640
Speaker 3: Like very unlikely hasn't practiced all week, so you know,

792
00:37:09,480 --> 00:37:11,160
Speaker 3: and they're four and eight, like, are they really going

793
00:37:11,200 --> 00:37:14,680
Speaker 3: to rush back there? They're number one player on their team.

794
00:37:14,560 --> 00:37:20,200
Speaker 1: And absent that absent that this is peak Seattle and

795
00:37:20,680 --> 00:37:25,279
Speaker 1: the lowest of the low valleys for Atlanta. So I

796
00:37:25,280 --> 00:37:26,960
Speaker 1: get why the wise guys are on it. I get

797
00:37:26,960 --> 00:37:29,640
Speaker 1: why it's moved from seven and a half to seven.

798
00:37:30,800 --> 00:37:33,399
Speaker 1: I'm surprised that you and I are split on this one.

799
00:37:35,120 --> 00:37:36,760
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's just again.

800
00:37:36,840 --> 00:37:40,160
Speaker 3: Atlanta is a type of team where I'm not saying

801
00:37:40,160 --> 00:37:41,839
Speaker 3: all the teams they've played in the past are bad,

802
00:37:42,719 --> 00:37:45,920
Speaker 3: but they have not played a team, in my opinion,

803
00:37:45,960 --> 00:37:48,279
Speaker 3: on this Seattle level where you know.

804
00:37:48,280 --> 00:37:49,240
Speaker 2: They went to New England.

805
00:37:49,280 --> 00:37:50,719
Speaker 3: I don't know if you remember that game they lost

806
00:37:50,719 --> 00:37:52,479
Speaker 3: by one point, it was twenty four to twenty three.

807
00:37:53,440 --> 00:37:55,799
Speaker 3: That's a totally different team at this point, right, that's

808
00:37:55,840 --> 00:37:59,120
Speaker 3: with Drake London, that's with Pennix, that quarterback. Like this

809
00:37:59,200 --> 00:38:01,799
Speaker 3: is I don't think people are reacted enough to how

810
00:38:01,840 --> 00:38:04,400
Speaker 3: bad this Falcons team now is with the kirkut, the helmet,

811
00:38:04,440 --> 00:38:07,400
Speaker 3: without Drake Lon and it's just you know, their last

812
00:38:07,600 --> 00:38:10,719
Speaker 3: three games, you know, not going to take too much

813
00:38:10,719 --> 00:38:12,920
Speaker 3: away from it, but it's been against Carolina and Orleans

814
00:38:12,920 --> 00:38:16,239
Speaker 3: and the Jets. They won one game of that whole unit, right,

815
00:38:16,320 --> 00:38:17,680
Speaker 3: that was when they went to Orange and they blew

816
00:38:17,760 --> 00:38:19,719
Speaker 3: up the Saints team. But you even talked about how

817
00:38:19,760 --> 00:38:22,000
Speaker 3: that game was much closer than people realize. Right, that

818
00:38:22,160 --> 00:38:25,040
Speaker 3: was a game where Saints could gather their own way

819
00:38:25,040 --> 00:38:26,719
Speaker 3: and eventually Kirk took it away from them.

820
00:38:26,800 --> 00:38:28,040
Speaker 2: Right, they won twenty four to ten.

821
00:38:28,160 --> 00:38:30,880
Speaker 3: So it's just a faconts team that they beat up

822
00:38:30,880 --> 00:38:33,800
Speaker 3: on bad They beat and played bad teams here with Kirk,

823
00:38:34,160 --> 00:38:37,719
Speaker 3: this is a legit juggernaut like the Seahawks, the more

824
00:38:37,800 --> 00:38:39,480
Speaker 3: numbers I dive into them, Like you said, if Sam

825
00:38:39,480 --> 00:38:42,720
Speaker 3: Donald could figure it out, their path to the Super

826
00:38:42,719 --> 00:38:45,440
Speaker 3: Bowl is literally there. Like they have the guys, they

827
00:38:45,440 --> 00:38:47,960
Speaker 3: have the pieces. It's all going to come to Sam Donald.

828
00:38:48,000 --> 00:38:50,480
Speaker 3: So for me, this is a get right game for

829
00:38:50,600 --> 00:38:54,360
Speaker 3: Sam Donald. He should light up this defense. And I

830
00:38:54,360 --> 00:38:55,880
Speaker 3: think what you're talking about is true. The only thing

831
00:38:55,920 --> 00:38:57,800
Speaker 3: we're wary of here is just such a huge number

832
00:38:58,080 --> 00:38:59,560
Speaker 3: to be back in Sam Darnald on the road.

833
00:38:59,600 --> 00:39:03,200
Speaker 2: But talked if you just don't get too hard.

834
00:39:03,040 --> 00:39:06,360
Speaker 3: About yourself on Sam Darnold, this head coach with Geno Smith,

835
00:39:06,920 --> 00:39:08,880
Speaker 3: has gone on the road in won games and covered

836
00:39:08,880 --> 00:39:11,960
Speaker 3: games and going back to last year, so it kind

837
00:39:11,960 --> 00:39:13,560
Speaker 3: of seems like we need to start thinking so much

838
00:39:13,560 --> 00:39:16,040
Speaker 3: about what the quarterback is that start really realizing this

839
00:39:16,080 --> 00:39:18,120
Speaker 3: is a head coach team like a lot of these

840
00:39:18,120 --> 00:39:20,680
Speaker 3: other teams. We talked about like, you know, this head

841
00:39:20,680 --> 00:39:23,440
Speaker 3: coach might be one of the best in football. And

842
00:39:23,480 --> 00:39:26,239
Speaker 3: you know McDonald here his record on the road as

843
00:39:26,360 --> 00:39:29,560
Speaker 3: just a young coach. He's nine to four against the spread.

844
00:39:29,680 --> 00:39:32,480
Speaker 3: So you know, this year we've seen it as two

845
00:39:32,520 --> 00:39:35,520
Speaker 3: non covers have been you know, Sally both games I

846
00:39:35,640 --> 00:39:38,560
Speaker 3: backed or no. He did cover against the Rams, but

847
00:39:38,600 --> 00:39:41,080
Speaker 3: he didn't cover against Tennessee. But we talked that felt

848
00:39:41,080 --> 00:39:43,560
Speaker 3: like a very flukey back door covered by the Tennessee team.

849
00:39:43,640 --> 00:39:46,600
Speaker 3: So I'm gonna hold hold my line here back to

850
00:39:46,600 --> 00:39:48,720
Speaker 3: the Seahawks team on the road. I just the numbers

851
00:39:48,719 --> 00:39:51,719
Speaker 3: moved too much of minus seven. I gotta take the Seahawks.

852
00:39:51,760 --> 00:39:53,400
Speaker 3: If you if you're like Chad and.

853
00:39:53,400 --> 00:39:55,719
Speaker 2: You want to back to the Falcons, I hope you

854
00:39:55,719 --> 00:39:57,200
Speaker 2: could have got to seven and a half. But it's seven.

855
00:39:57,239 --> 00:39:58,640
Speaker 2: I just I can't advise you to bet. I think

856
00:39:58,640 --> 00:39:59,920
Speaker 2: you're betting into a bad number.

857
00:40:00,760 --> 00:40:02,920
Speaker 1: Well, suffice to say it won't be in our contest.

858
00:40:05,120 --> 00:40:08,840
Speaker 1: All right. We mentioned Mike Tomlin, We mentioned the Steelers.

859
00:40:08,880 --> 00:40:12,040
Speaker 1: Pittsburgh is visiting the Baltimore Ravens minus five and a

860
00:40:12,080 --> 00:40:17,000
Speaker 1: half point favorites against their division rivals. This is going

861
00:40:17,040 --> 00:40:22,680
Speaker 1: to be our brass Balls Better the Week presented by

862
00:40:22,800 --> 00:40:24,360
Speaker 1: hard Rock Bet.

863
00:40:24,560 --> 00:40:29,200
Speaker 4: You know what it takes, brass balls.

864
00:40:30,000 --> 00:40:35,040
Speaker 1: We've made the very hard decision to back the Baltimore

865
00:40:35,160 --> 00:40:38,600
Speaker 1: Ravens at minus five and a half. We don't want

866
00:40:38,600 --> 00:40:40,719
Speaker 1: to pile on to Mike Tomlin, who we love and

867
00:40:40,760 --> 00:40:43,359
Speaker 1: we think he's an amazing coach. It's the rare time

868
00:40:43,400 --> 00:40:48,600
Speaker 1: we are not backing the Rah Rah Mike Tomlin spot

869
00:40:49,120 --> 00:40:53,440
Speaker 1: All betting is a risk. We recognize Lamar Jackson is

870
00:40:53,480 --> 00:40:56,319
Speaker 1: not as healthy as he has been. This offense has

871
00:40:56,400 --> 00:40:59,239
Speaker 1: not been as consistent as we would like it to be.

872
00:41:00,239 --> 00:41:02,840
Speaker 1: To me, this is really a bet against Aaron Rodgers,

873
00:41:03,200 --> 00:41:05,160
Speaker 1: the inability of this offense to move the ball down

874
00:41:05,200 --> 00:41:10,239
Speaker 1: the field, and a bet against even more. They're very

875
00:41:10,360 --> 00:41:17,120
Speaker 1: quickly aging in front of our eyes defense, and a hope,

876
00:41:17,480 --> 00:41:22,279
Speaker 1: a hope, a bet that the Ravens offense can take

877
00:41:22,600 --> 00:41:27,080
Speaker 1: a smidgeon of advantage against a defense that, as the

878
00:41:27,120 --> 00:41:30,080
Speaker 1: games go on, continues to get worse and worse in

879
00:41:30,160 --> 00:41:32,560
Speaker 1: third downs and continues to get worse and worse in

880
00:41:32,640 --> 00:41:35,520
Speaker 1: explosive plays. And that's when we can see Derrick Henry

881
00:41:35,760 --> 00:41:38,759
Speaker 1: break open some game, some big gains and put these

882
00:41:38,760 --> 00:41:41,120
Speaker 1: games away. It's what happened last year in the playoffs.

883
00:41:41,320 --> 00:41:43,280
Speaker 1: We've seen it happen a couple times with this team

884
00:41:43,600 --> 00:41:47,040
Speaker 1: when they just completely collapse and the offense can't function.

885
00:41:47,160 --> 00:41:51,239
Speaker 1: So Ravens minus five and a half.

886
00:41:53,080 --> 00:41:54,520
Speaker 2: Yeah, we love this Ravens team.

887
00:41:54,560 --> 00:41:57,880
Speaker 3: And this's a line that I almost positive will be

888
00:41:58,160 --> 00:42:00,560
Speaker 3: in our contest because this is such a unique matchup

889
00:42:00,560 --> 00:42:05,439
Speaker 3: where you know, it's it's not it's not that calm

890
00:42:05,520 --> 00:42:08,839
Speaker 3: that the public is totally giving up on Lamar. But

891
00:42:08,840 --> 00:42:10,520
Speaker 3: it feels like that's what we reached here with this

892
00:42:10,600 --> 00:42:13,480
Speaker 3: line chat for this probably should be really does just

893
00:42:13,520 --> 00:42:16,440
Speaker 3: look at that just matchup, and most people's models are

894
00:42:16,440 --> 00:42:18,680
Speaker 3: gonna have this at seven. So all right, it's a

895
00:42:18,719 --> 00:42:20,520
Speaker 3: point and a half off. All right, Great, we're getting

896
00:42:20,520 --> 00:42:22,239
Speaker 3: this Ravens at a point a half off. But it's

897
00:42:22,239 --> 00:42:24,880
Speaker 3: also a unique spot where the Ravens have now not

898
00:42:24,960 --> 00:42:28,360
Speaker 3: covered in three straight weeks. Right, So not only is

899
00:42:28,360 --> 00:42:30,000
Speaker 3: the public gonna be off of them, I think they're

900
00:42:30,040 --> 00:42:32,640
Speaker 3: gonna be on Pittsburgh just because I'm not telling one

901
00:42:32,640 --> 00:42:33,560
Speaker 3: of those those trends.

902
00:42:33,600 --> 00:42:35,439
Speaker 2: Everyone's gonna be giving out those trends all week.

903
00:42:35,520 --> 00:42:37,920
Speaker 3: Right. That is a known trend thing where if you

904
00:42:38,040 --> 00:42:41,120
Speaker 3: just blindly back the dogs in this matchup, whether it

905
00:42:41,120 --> 00:42:43,480
Speaker 3: be the Ravens or Pittsburgh, over the last twenty years,

906
00:42:43,920 --> 00:42:47,040
Speaker 3: you've come out green, and especially with the numbers above three.

907
00:42:47,080 --> 00:42:49,560
Speaker 3: I give out that stat Tomlin when he's underdog in

908
00:42:49,600 --> 00:42:53,120
Speaker 3: this matchup above three, or even hardball either side when

909
00:42:53,120 --> 00:42:57,160
Speaker 3: the numbers above three, the underdog team is twenty three

910
00:42:57,160 --> 00:43:00,000
Speaker 3: and five against the spread in that spot. So historically

911
00:43:00,000 --> 00:43:02,200
Speaker 3: you've just blindly backed the big dog in the spot,

912
00:43:02,360 --> 00:43:04,879
Speaker 3: and it's worked out for you. When you go back

913
00:43:04,920 --> 00:43:08,240
Speaker 3: through all those years, even when the Ravens had down years,

914
00:43:08,840 --> 00:43:10,880
Speaker 3: it really always was defensive. Like you look at all

915
00:43:10,920 --> 00:43:13,440
Speaker 3: the scores of all those games, it was these insane

916
00:43:13,520 --> 00:43:15,320
Speaker 3: ruling defensive battles.

917
00:43:14,880 --> 00:43:19,960
Speaker 1: Sixteen, fourteen, twenty seventeen. Like, it was games where the

918
00:43:20,000 --> 00:43:25,600
Speaker 1: Steelers defense made big, big plays and caused huge turnovers

919
00:43:25,920 --> 00:43:28,759
Speaker 1: that turned the game. That's what you were always banking on.

920
00:43:29,480 --> 00:43:31,839
Speaker 3: The last three times they played in the Pittsburgh won

921
00:43:32,000 --> 00:43:34,200
Speaker 3: the game. So the last two the Ravens have won,

922
00:43:34,239 --> 00:43:36,360
Speaker 3: they I think they've blown them out, But I just

923
00:43:36,400 --> 00:43:38,520
Speaker 3: thought it was interested. The last three times that Pittsburgh won,

924
00:43:38,920 --> 00:43:41,640
Speaker 3: they won eighteen to sixteen. Does that not sound like

925
00:43:41,640 --> 00:43:44,600
Speaker 3: a defensive game? They won seventeen to ten. Does that

926
00:43:44,600 --> 00:43:46,719
Speaker 3: not it'sund a defensive game. And then they won again

927
00:43:46,840 --> 00:43:50,759
Speaker 3: seventeen to ten. So we talked to Lamar earliest career,

928
00:43:50,800 --> 00:43:53,319
Speaker 3: he was zero to five against spread and straight up

929
00:43:53,320 --> 00:43:56,360
Speaker 3: against its Pittsburgh team. How was when Pittsburgh had this

930
00:43:56,440 --> 00:44:01,080
Speaker 3: dominant defense. Now these last years, right, these last two years,

931
00:44:01,120 --> 00:44:03,680
Speaker 3: the cracks have been forming. This year, it's just totally

932
00:44:03,680 --> 00:44:05,719
Speaker 3: the damn has broken the flood. Gat are totally open.

933
00:44:05,760 --> 00:44:08,000
Speaker 3: We talked about it, like I went back and look

934
00:44:08,120 --> 00:44:09,480
Speaker 3: just to make sure I wasn't speaking out of turn

935
00:44:09,560 --> 00:44:09,919
Speaker 3: on TJ.

936
00:44:10,000 --> 00:44:10,360
Speaker 2: Watt.

937
00:44:10,800 --> 00:44:13,080
Speaker 3: All the numbers back it up. He's been atrocious, getting

938
00:44:13,080 --> 00:44:16,520
Speaker 3: no pressures at all. And you know, if we look

939
00:44:16,520 --> 00:44:19,960
Speaker 3: at this matchup just on paper, we get Lamar is

940
00:44:20,040 --> 00:44:22,399
Speaker 3: banged up. That is something we're got to deal with here.

941
00:44:23,000 --> 00:44:25,719
Speaker 3: This should be a Derek Henry bounce back. Everything they've

942
00:44:25,760 --> 00:44:28,360
Speaker 3: talked about. The coaches in turn said they made a

943
00:44:28,440 --> 00:44:31,160
Speaker 3: huge mistake now running him more against Cincinnati, right, they

944
00:44:31,640 --> 00:44:33,760
Speaker 3: went too much into Lamar, put too much on Lamar's

945
00:44:33,800 --> 00:44:35,160
Speaker 3: play and he just did not live up to it

946
00:44:35,160 --> 00:44:36,560
Speaker 3: against since he last week, where.

947
00:44:36,680 --> 00:44:38,000
Speaker 2: I think this week the lean into it.

948
00:44:38,040 --> 00:44:42,200
Speaker 3: And you know, once again you talk about this matchup defensively,

949
00:44:42,280 --> 00:44:44,439
Speaker 3: this Ravens team, I kind of love it. Where they've

950
00:44:44,480 --> 00:44:46,239
Speaker 3: had KYLEA. Hamilton moving all over the field. This is

951
00:44:46,320 --> 00:44:47,959
Speaker 3: really type of game he's really going to take over.

952
00:44:48,239 --> 00:44:50,440
Speaker 3: You gets to Rodgers that if you already know you

953
00:44:50,480 --> 00:44:52,280
Speaker 3: can't throw the ball twenty plus yards down.

954
00:44:52,160 --> 00:44:54,160
Speaker 2: The field, you're just going to stack the box. You're

955
00:44:54,200 --> 00:44:55,400
Speaker 2: going to try to make him.

956
00:44:55,440 --> 00:44:57,359
Speaker 3: Force the ball downfield, because that's where you've seen him

957
00:44:57,360 --> 00:45:00,120
Speaker 3: turn the ball over. So I love this match, this

958
00:45:00,200 --> 00:45:03,640
Speaker 3: Ravens team, and shocked to see the public is coming

959
00:45:03,640 --> 00:45:06,560
Speaker 3: in on this Pittsburgh team. The tickets, the money, it's

960
00:45:06,600 --> 00:45:08,960
Speaker 3: all coming on Pittsburgh. Yeah, even five and a half,

961
00:45:09,000 --> 00:45:09,720
Speaker 3: it's a good number.

962
00:45:09,960 --> 00:45:12,840
Speaker 1: I'm floored by the way Aaron Rodgers twenty yards downfield?

963
00:45:13,320 --> 00:45:16,640
Speaker 1: How about six yards downfield? Don't forget the stat I

964
00:45:16,680 --> 00:45:18,920
Speaker 1: gave the other day from Ben Solac in his column

965
00:45:18,920 --> 00:45:22,480
Speaker 1: in ESPN dot com. Sixty six percent of his passing

966
00:45:22,560 --> 00:45:26,279
Speaker 1: yards are coming with yards after the catch, Like this

967
00:45:26,360 --> 00:45:31,719
Speaker 1: is historically bad and so it's gonna be a haul

968
00:45:32,160 --> 00:45:35,160
Speaker 1: for him to get the ball downfield. Everyone's seeing it.

969
00:45:35,200 --> 00:45:40,200
Speaker 1: Everyone's seeing the same thing, all right, Baltimore Ravens brass

970
00:45:40,200 --> 00:45:43,719
Speaker 1: Ball's better the Week presented by hard Rock Bett Cincinnati

971
00:45:43,719 --> 00:45:46,240
Speaker 1: at Buffalo. Buffalo is a five and a half point favorite.

972
00:45:46,280 --> 00:45:48,880
Speaker 1: You love the Bills here. The number move five and

973
00:45:48,920 --> 00:45:50,839
Speaker 1: a half to six, down to six, down from six

974
00:45:50,880 --> 00:45:54,040
Speaker 1: to five and a half. The public is all over

975
00:45:54,360 --> 00:45:57,960
Speaker 1: the Bengals in this game. You mentioned in sharp calls

976
00:45:58,000 --> 00:46:00,000
Speaker 1: the wise guys like the Bengals in this game.

977
00:46:00,960 --> 00:46:02,880
Speaker 2: I have six. I just want people to realize that

978
00:46:02,880 --> 00:46:03,960
Speaker 2: they took him heavy.

979
00:46:03,800 --> 00:46:08,120
Speaker 1: At the six, right at the six. It's like, I

980
00:46:08,160 --> 00:46:11,000
Speaker 1: can't rep my head around this game yet. I don't

981
00:46:11,000 --> 00:46:12,640
Speaker 1: want to invest in the Bills. I don't have any

982
00:46:12,640 --> 00:46:14,800
Speaker 1: faith in their defense, and I don't want to invest

983
00:46:14,840 --> 00:46:16,880
Speaker 1: in the Bengals. I don't have any faith in their defense.

984
00:46:17,320 --> 00:46:20,720
Speaker 1: I think it's like it's a perfect straight against weakness,

985
00:46:20,760 --> 00:46:24,520
Speaker 1: strength against weakness game. I don't see an edge for anybody.

986
00:46:24,760 --> 00:46:26,240
Speaker 1: It could go either direction.

987
00:46:28,880 --> 00:46:30,560
Speaker 3: No, it's totally fair. And now I give up those

988
00:46:30,560 --> 00:46:33,680
Speaker 3: stats Joe Burrow. I mean, you take away the Hamlin

989
00:46:33,760 --> 00:46:35,359
Speaker 3: game that got basically canceled out.

990
00:46:35,400 --> 00:46:37,040
Speaker 2: But he's two and zero straight up and against the

991
00:46:37,040 --> 00:46:38,120
Speaker 2: spread against this Bills team.

992
00:46:38,200 --> 00:46:40,520
Speaker 3: So you know, clearly early in his career he's matched

993
00:46:40,560 --> 00:46:42,560
Speaker 3: up well against his Bills team played well against him.

994
00:46:42,560 --> 00:46:45,160
Speaker 3: And you know, I get why there is love for

995
00:46:45,200 --> 00:46:48,000
Speaker 3: this Bangles team. Where Jack gave the stats right the

996
00:46:48,040 --> 00:46:51,360
Speaker 3: secondary of this Bills team, they're bad against downfield passes.

997
00:46:51,400 --> 00:46:54,080
Speaker 3: That's exactly the offense Cincinnati wan's to run. They want

998
00:46:54,080 --> 00:46:56,440
Speaker 3: to push the ball downfield. But I just when I

999
00:46:56,440 --> 00:46:58,040
Speaker 3: really break this one down, it just feels like This

1000
00:46:58,120 --> 00:47:00,680
Speaker 3: gonna be a ball control type of game, especially in

1001
00:47:00,680 --> 00:47:02,600
Speaker 3: the elements. Like we've already talked about the lake effects

1002
00:47:02,640 --> 00:47:04,640
Speaker 3: that could be happening in Cleveland, could be the same

1003
00:47:04,680 --> 00:47:07,040
Speaker 3: here in Buffalo, right, could be a really weird weather game,

1004
00:47:07,040 --> 00:47:11,719
Speaker 3: which that favors this Bill's team. They don't have offensive

1005
00:47:11,760 --> 00:47:13,440
Speaker 3: line that wants to be in Preasprotec. They have an

1006
00:47:13,480 --> 00:47:15,239
Speaker 3: offensive line once they run the ball. We saw that

1007
00:47:15,320 --> 00:47:18,239
Speaker 3: last week with Pittsburgh that you know they want to

1008
00:47:18,280 --> 00:47:20,880
Speaker 3: just be the heavy, big guys pushing these guys downfield.

1009
00:47:20,920 --> 00:47:23,320
Speaker 3: And we've seen it with Cincinnati. They don't really have

1010
00:47:23,360 --> 00:47:26,359
Speaker 3: a pass rush, let on a de tackle that can.

1011
00:47:26,280 --> 00:47:26,919
Speaker 2: Stop the run.

1012
00:47:27,040 --> 00:47:29,440
Speaker 3: So it feels like the Bills being able to pick

1013
00:47:29,440 --> 00:47:31,600
Speaker 3: their poison here offensive had to beat them, and you know,

1014
00:47:31,600 --> 00:47:33,520
Speaker 3: as much grievance we're going to give this Bills defense

1015
00:47:33,560 --> 00:47:34,360
Speaker 3: how bad they've.

1016
00:47:34,160 --> 00:47:36,680
Speaker 2: Been, there are some ways that can attack you.

1017
00:47:36,719 --> 00:47:38,880
Speaker 3: Now. I did see Bosa pop up the injury report

1018
00:47:38,960 --> 00:47:41,319
Speaker 3: not practicing this week, which I know you'd be like, Oh,

1019
00:47:41,360 --> 00:47:42,759
Speaker 3: it's not that big of a deal. He's actually been

1020
00:47:42,800 --> 00:47:45,279
Speaker 3: really good for them this year. Yeah, so that's been

1021
00:47:45,320 --> 00:47:47,640
Speaker 3: a great sign up by them. You definitely need him

1022
00:47:47,680 --> 00:47:49,120
Speaker 3: back in this type of matchup where you need to

1023
00:47:49,200 --> 00:47:52,440
Speaker 3: keep Burrow off his spot, and you know, people when

1024
00:47:52,440 --> 00:47:54,520
Speaker 3: to glaze over at Burrow is not playing healthy. He

1025
00:47:54,640 --> 00:47:56,560
Speaker 3: is playing hurt. He's talked about it. He's basically got

1026
00:47:56,760 --> 00:47:59,680
Speaker 3: a special insert on his foot that every time he's

1027
00:47:59,680 --> 00:48:01,719
Speaker 3: pushed off that toe, he's feeling it.

1028
00:48:01,719 --> 00:48:03,439
Speaker 2: He says it's it's pain shooting up his leg.

1029
00:48:03,520 --> 00:48:05,279
Speaker 3: But he says he becomes n I'm doing when he's

1030
00:48:05,280 --> 00:48:06,880
Speaker 3: playing the game because he's got other things going on

1031
00:48:06,920 --> 00:48:07,399
Speaker 3: in his mind.

1032
00:48:07,440 --> 00:48:09,800
Speaker 2: So you know you're.

1033
00:48:09,200 --> 00:48:12,160
Speaker 3: Putt You're taking a wounded Joe Burrow as a as

1034
00:48:12,200 --> 00:48:14,560
Speaker 3: a dog on the road in a spot that Chad

1035
00:48:14,600 --> 00:48:16,319
Speaker 3: just said that the public is all over it. So

1036
00:48:16,880 --> 00:48:19,720
Speaker 3: maybe I won't force it into World War five coming Sunday.

1037
00:48:19,760 --> 00:48:22,440
Speaker 3: But I do really love this Bills team in this number.

1038
00:48:22,480 --> 00:48:25,440
Speaker 3: But I'm just a little hesitant because the STATA gave

1039
00:48:25,480 --> 00:48:27,480
Speaker 3: out Joe Burrow is a dog three points are greater

1040
00:48:27,840 --> 00:48:29,160
Speaker 3: eighteen to three against the spread.

1041
00:48:29,160 --> 00:48:31,080
Speaker 2: He just he's a covering machine.

1042
00:48:31,120 --> 00:48:32,799
Speaker 3: So I just I'm trying to have to put all

1043
00:48:32,840 --> 00:48:34,719
Speaker 3: in here on the Bills team where I.

1044
00:48:35,040 --> 00:48:36,560
Speaker 2: Kind of like chat I'm a little weary of that.

1045
00:48:36,840 --> 00:48:38,640
Speaker 3: Just something I don't trust about this Bills team, but

1046
00:48:39,160 --> 00:48:40,520
Speaker 3: just just feels like this is the exact time you

1047
00:48:40,520 --> 00:48:42,239
Speaker 3: want it back this Spills team in this spot because

1048
00:48:42,280 --> 00:48:44,239
Speaker 3: I just tend to roll bad defenses.

1049
00:48:44,719 --> 00:48:46,480
Speaker 1: Let's just see what the weather is on Sunday.

1050
00:48:46,719 --> 00:48:47,200
Speaker 2: It's fair.

1051
00:48:49,920 --> 00:48:55,080
Speaker 1: Let's talk about the Chicago Bears visiting the Green Bay

1052
00:48:55,640 --> 00:48:58,920
Speaker 1: Packers because this game was at six and a half

1053
00:48:59,480 --> 00:49:03,320
Speaker 1: and I bring it back up because it was moving

1054
00:49:03,640 --> 00:49:07,440
Speaker 1: in the Packers direction. The public is backing the Packers

1055
00:49:07,520 --> 00:49:11,200
Speaker 1: right now, a slight money edge towards the Packers, but

1056
00:49:11,320 --> 00:49:14,600
Speaker 1: an indication that it's pretty split fifty to fifty between

1057
00:49:15,239 --> 00:49:18,080
Speaker 1: the Bears and the Packers. When it comes to the

1058
00:49:18,120 --> 00:49:24,360
Speaker 1: professional betting community, like it's another one. I'm being a

1059
00:49:24,400 --> 00:49:27,440
Speaker 1: little bit wishy washy here. I don't even know if

1060
00:49:27,480 --> 00:49:29,800
Speaker 1: I'll bet it. I just want to watch the Bears.

1061
00:49:30,239 --> 00:49:34,480
Speaker 1: I'm not I'm not kidding, Simon. I'm pretty sure I

1062
00:49:34,480 --> 00:49:36,080
Speaker 1: had a dream about the Bears last night.

1063
00:49:37,200 --> 00:49:39,520
Speaker 2: You gotta bet the Bears money lining, brother.

1064
00:49:39,880 --> 00:49:41,239
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'll bet the Bear's money line.

1065
00:49:41,400 --> 00:49:44,080
Speaker 3: Yeah you got if you're a Bear's fain. It feels

1066
00:49:44,120 --> 00:49:47,880
Speaker 3: like this the ultimate slave slay the demon. This is uh,

1067
00:49:48,760 --> 00:49:50,640
Speaker 3: like I talked this is the team that's been in

1068
00:49:50,680 --> 00:49:53,960
Speaker 3: your guys way for so many years, and you know,

1069
00:49:54,000 --> 00:49:58,040
Speaker 3: this is the best Bear season since the Mitch Trubisky

1070
00:49:58,080 --> 00:50:00,680
Speaker 3: double doink. So it's like, I don't know, if I

1071
00:50:00,719 --> 00:50:03,040
Speaker 3: was a Barris fan, I would be all in on it.

1072
00:50:03,040 --> 00:50:04,040
Speaker 2: You're getting a good number.

1073
00:50:04,040 --> 00:50:06,200
Speaker 3: But we've talked about this is just like sin and

1074
00:50:06,239 --> 00:50:10,080
Speaker 3: I this is a huge, shockingly public dog because the

1075
00:50:10,120 --> 00:50:13,400
Speaker 3: money might be a little even the tickets, it's.

1076
00:50:13,280 --> 00:50:15,600
Speaker 1: All over the Bears, the Bears.

1077
00:50:15,680 --> 00:50:18,719
Speaker 3: So that's that's very alarming where it's like, oh my god,

1078
00:50:18,760 --> 00:50:20,680
Speaker 3: this is a ton of money coming on or just

1079
00:50:20,719 --> 00:50:22,960
Speaker 3: a ton of public coming in on this Bears side.

1080
00:50:22,960 --> 00:50:25,879
Speaker 2: But I want to be on Green Bay.

1081
00:50:25,920 --> 00:50:29,080
Speaker 3: But I honestly see why this money is coming to

1082
00:50:29,120 --> 00:50:30,800
Speaker 3: this Bears team, Like it feels like it is warranted

1083
00:50:30,880 --> 00:50:33,359
Speaker 3: because we've seen this Packers team.

1084
00:50:34,360 --> 00:50:39,000
Speaker 2: It's not like they're that great against inconsistent, very inconsistent.

1085
00:50:38,280 --> 00:50:40,399
Speaker 3: As well, but like as big favorites too this year,

1086
00:50:40,960 --> 00:50:43,080
Speaker 3: you know, it's not like they were recovering machine. We've

1087
00:50:43,080 --> 00:50:45,799
Speaker 3: seen them struggle as a big favorite show. I believe

1088
00:50:45,840 --> 00:50:48,160
Speaker 3: they started the year zero to six as a six

1089
00:50:48,200 --> 00:50:50,759
Speaker 3: and six and a half or seven point favorite to

1090
00:50:50,760 --> 00:50:54,479
Speaker 3: start the season, So you know, there is some things

1091
00:50:54,480 --> 00:50:56,680
Speaker 3: to take away from this where you know, this Bears team,

1092
00:50:57,920 --> 00:51:01,960
Speaker 3: they've basically been on this divisional run here. So as

1093
00:51:02,000 --> 00:51:05,160
Speaker 3: bad as they looked right like they've had some letdown games,

1094
00:51:05,920 --> 00:51:08,799
Speaker 3: they did dominate that Minnesota team, which, okay, we won't

1095
00:51:08,800 --> 00:51:12,480
Speaker 3: take much away from that JJ McCarthy that you know,

1096
00:51:12,800 --> 00:51:14,840
Speaker 3: I don't know if they dominated Detroit, but they did play,

1097
00:51:15,120 --> 00:51:17,520
Speaker 3: like we talked about, playing with big balls. Lafleur going

1098
00:51:17,560 --> 00:51:20,200
Speaker 3: for on those fourth downs that was insane. That was

1099
00:51:20,239 --> 00:51:22,600
Speaker 3: like next level, like he was just playing simply to win.

1100
00:51:23,040 --> 00:51:25,840
Speaker 3: He did not care about trying to play for field

1101
00:51:25,840 --> 00:51:27,440
Speaker 3: goals in that game. So I think it's gonna be

1102
00:51:27,440 --> 00:51:30,160
Speaker 3: same here, Chad. You're gonna see Laflour and kill mode

1103
00:51:30,160 --> 00:51:32,840
Speaker 3: against you guys, and he's had the Bear's number.

1104
00:51:32,960 --> 00:51:34,960
Speaker 2: So I love this game so much.

1105
00:51:35,000 --> 00:51:37,600
Speaker 3: Like Chad said, he's gonna probably take the Bears money

1106
00:51:37,600 --> 00:51:39,399
Speaker 3: line or either set this one out on the other

1107
00:51:39,440 --> 00:51:41,640
Speaker 3: side where it's like I'm gonna be Oliver Green Bay.

1108
00:51:41,960 --> 00:51:43,160
Speaker 2: But just not very confident.

1109
00:51:43,200 --> 00:51:45,880
Speaker 3: I thought i'd be more confident come Thursday and be like,

1110
00:51:45,880 --> 00:51:47,359
Speaker 3: oh yeah, all the pros are with me on this

1111
00:51:47,480 --> 00:51:48,040
Speaker 3: packer's side.

1112
00:51:48,080 --> 00:51:48,960
Speaker 2: This is to the right side.

1113
00:51:49,560 --> 00:51:52,400
Speaker 3: I see, I see what people are seeing with the spars,

1114
00:51:52,440 --> 00:51:53,560
Speaker 3: and I see what the public is scene.

1115
00:51:53,560 --> 00:51:54,840
Speaker 2: Where as good as the.

1116
00:51:54,840 --> 00:51:58,040
Speaker 3: Screen Bays team is divisional game, you have to throw

1117
00:51:58,080 --> 00:52:00,319
Speaker 3: a lot of that out and you know, or as

1118
00:52:00,320 --> 00:52:03,040
Speaker 3: great as he's been down the stretch here, I don't know,

1119
00:52:03,280 --> 00:52:04,799
Speaker 3: Like this is the type of matchup that I could

1120
00:52:04,840 --> 00:52:07,879
Speaker 3: see Ben Johnson really challenging him, which he's not had.

1121
00:52:08,360 --> 00:52:10,239
Speaker 3: You know, he's not been challenged by Bears coaches in

1122
00:52:10,280 --> 00:52:12,680
Speaker 3: the past. Right we look back on this the Bears

1123
00:52:12,680 --> 00:52:14,360
Speaker 3: coach reason they did they not had a guy like

1124
00:52:14,360 --> 00:52:16,239
Speaker 3: we can we can say like Ben Johnson here.

1125
00:52:16,320 --> 00:52:17,440
Speaker 2: So I love it.

1126
00:52:17,480 --> 00:52:19,480
Speaker 3: This is the exact type of scenario where it's like,

1127
00:52:19,560 --> 00:52:21,680
Speaker 3: is this the turning of a page or is this

1128
00:52:21,719 --> 00:52:24,120
Speaker 3: the same old Bears Chad? So, I love it for

1129
00:52:24,160 --> 00:52:26,000
Speaker 3: all the hooplah off the field stuff we'll be able

1130
00:52:26,000 --> 00:52:28,360
Speaker 3: to talk about after the fact, but look, we'll do it.

1131
00:52:28,440 --> 00:52:28,600
Speaker 2: Chad.

1132
00:52:28,760 --> 00:52:30,960
Speaker 3: I'm on Green Bay, but I get while you're taking

1133
00:52:31,000 --> 00:52:32,440
Speaker 3: a position on the Bear's money line.

1134
00:52:32,640 --> 00:52:37,040
Speaker 1: Uh, the schedule was littered with these kind of turn

1135
00:52:37,160 --> 00:52:43,440
Speaker 1: the page moments and and where are the lions, the

1136
00:52:43,520 --> 00:52:47,279
Speaker 1: lions of old or the new? Are the chiefs? The

1137
00:52:47,400 --> 00:52:51,200
Speaker 1: chiefs of old or the chiefs of new? Are the Bears?

1138
00:52:51,239 --> 00:52:54,160
Speaker 1: The Bears of old or the bears of new? We're

1139
00:52:54,280 --> 00:52:57,280
Speaker 1: constantly having asked these questions. That's what makes betting so interesting,

1140
00:52:57,400 --> 00:53:00,960
Speaker 1: is like you have to take a stand and you

1141
00:53:01,320 --> 00:53:03,960
Speaker 1: have to put your money on the line with an

1142
00:53:04,040 --> 00:53:07,040
Speaker 1: opinion about where you think something is going to go,

1143
00:53:07,520 --> 00:53:10,919
Speaker 1: not where it's been. That's what makes it so fascinating.

1144
00:53:11,440 --> 00:53:13,600
Speaker 1: All I know is I woke up to p in

1145
00:53:13,640 --> 00:53:17,040
Speaker 1: the middle of the night, and I'm fairly certain when

1146
00:53:17,080 --> 00:53:19,799
Speaker 1: I woke up, I was dreaming about the Bears, and

1147
00:53:19,840 --> 00:53:22,240
Speaker 1: I think it was the Bears' screen game. I swear

1148
00:53:22,320 --> 00:53:24,560
Speaker 1: to God that's what I was dreaming about.

1149
00:53:25,760 --> 00:53:27,880
Speaker 3: Bears fans a bet they're over under. They've already hit

1150
00:53:27,920 --> 00:53:29,480
Speaker 3: their win total for the season eight and a.

1151
00:53:29,480 --> 00:53:33,040
Speaker 1: Half, one game that we have made a choice on together.

1152
00:53:33,160 --> 00:53:35,400
Speaker 1: We are on the same side, the Los Angeles Rams

1153
00:53:35,400 --> 00:53:38,359
Speaker 1: minus seven and a half versus the Arizona Cardinals. We

1154
00:53:38,400 --> 00:53:42,120
Speaker 1: know we're going against the wise guys here. We're basically

1155
00:53:42,160 --> 00:53:45,680
Speaker 1: back in. We're going against the big home dog that

1156
00:53:45,800 --> 00:53:49,400
Speaker 1: has lost seven games by four points. Or less because

1157
00:53:50,600 --> 00:53:56,680
Speaker 1: they've also lost multiple games in the division by three touchdowns,

1158
00:53:57,480 --> 00:54:00,640
Speaker 1: and the Rams are coming off their first game of

1159
00:54:00,680 --> 00:54:02,359
Speaker 1: the year where they were on the road as ten

1160
00:54:02,400 --> 00:54:05,920
Speaker 1: and a half point favorites and lost outright. I'm okay

1161
00:54:05,960 --> 00:54:08,320
Speaker 1: back in the Rams here, I'm okay back in Sean

1162
00:54:08,400 --> 00:54:11,120
Speaker 1: McVay here. I like this defense to get pressure against

1163
00:54:11,200 --> 00:54:15,279
Speaker 1: Jacobe Brissett. I'm perfectly fine with our position. Are you

1164
00:54:15,360 --> 00:54:16,920
Speaker 1: still perfectly fine with our position?

1165
00:54:17,800 --> 00:54:18,120
Speaker 2: I am.

1166
00:54:18,239 --> 00:54:19,839
Speaker 3: It feels you a nice spot to back this Rams

1167
00:54:19,840 --> 00:54:22,279
Speaker 3: team after embarrassing loss on the road where everything felt

1168
00:54:22,280 --> 00:54:26,520
Speaker 3: like it was going against them, and this Arizona team,

1169
00:54:26,920 --> 00:54:28,759
Speaker 3: you know, we we we kind of fell in love

1170
00:54:28,800 --> 00:54:30,680
Speaker 3: with Jakobe. Were set and it's turn on fault because

1171
00:54:30,719 --> 00:54:32,880
Speaker 3: of that Dallas game where they were just so impressive,

1172
00:54:32,880 --> 00:54:35,719
Speaker 3: they played so well. But we've seen it since then.

1173
00:54:35,800 --> 00:54:39,279
Speaker 3: When they do play they're juggernaut of a division. They

1174
00:54:39,320 --> 00:54:43,399
Speaker 3: get actually absolutely smoked. And you know, Seattle, I believe

1175
00:54:43,400 --> 00:54:44,919
Speaker 3: they'd be forty four twenty two.

1176
00:54:45,360 --> 00:54:46,920
Speaker 2: Then they played the forty nine ers who beat them.

1177
00:54:46,920 --> 00:54:48,279
Speaker 3: I believe forty one to twenty two, and I gave

1178
00:54:48,280 --> 00:54:50,680
Speaker 3: you that crazy status the first time a team had

1179
00:54:50,680 --> 00:54:52,920
Speaker 3: given up forty points and back to back week's divisional

1180
00:54:53,000 --> 00:54:56,120
Speaker 3: foes in like thirty years. So we know historically this

1181
00:54:56,160 --> 00:55:00,520
Speaker 3: is a horrible, horrible Cardinals defense, and every game they've

1182
00:55:00,520 --> 00:55:03,440
Speaker 3: come back, and it's been because either team lets him in,

1183
00:55:03,480 --> 00:55:05,640
Speaker 3: they don't really shut him out, or you know, Jacoby

1184
00:55:05,680 --> 00:55:08,919
Speaker 3: Brissett just has these incredible moments and like that Bucks game,

1185
00:55:09,320 --> 00:55:11,239
Speaker 3: the Bucks should have been up double digits, right that

1186
00:55:11,280 --> 00:55:11,719
Speaker 3: guy went.

1187
00:55:11,680 --> 00:55:12,960
Speaker 1: Touchdown, That guy went touchdown.

1188
00:55:13,000 --> 00:55:15,359
Speaker 2: Yeah, let them linger. And we've talked about Versett.

1189
00:55:15,400 --> 00:55:16,799
Speaker 3: If you let him linger, he's gonna come back in

1190
00:55:16,840 --> 00:55:18,279
Speaker 3: that back door and get that cover.

1191
00:55:18,480 --> 00:55:20,359
Speaker 2: So that would be the only fear for me here.

1192
00:55:20,400 --> 00:55:22,120
Speaker 3: But this feels like the absolute type of game where

1193
00:55:22,680 --> 00:55:24,880
Speaker 3: you know, we see the Rams after a bad loss

1194
00:55:24,920 --> 00:55:27,799
Speaker 3: with McVeigh put up forty forty two points like these

1195
00:55:27,840 --> 00:55:30,760
Speaker 3: other divisional teams did against this really bad Cardinals defense.

1196
00:55:30,800 --> 00:55:32,880
Speaker 2: And I gave you those stats.

1197
00:55:33,160 --> 00:55:35,840
Speaker 3: He's absolutely owned Arizona McVay as the head coach, he

1198
00:55:36,000 --> 00:55:38,600
Speaker 3: just has their number and matchup scheme wise, he does

1199
00:55:38,600 --> 00:55:40,759
Speaker 3: really well against them. So not gonna let the big

1200
00:55:40,840 --> 00:55:42,880
Speaker 3: number scarras off Chad minus seven and a half, I'm

1201
00:55:42,880 --> 00:55:44,320
Speaker 3: gonna take down this Rams team.

1202
00:55:44,360 --> 00:55:46,680
Speaker 1: All right, so we're building a roster here for Sunday.

1203
00:55:47,080 --> 00:55:49,440
Speaker 1: Last game I want to talk about is Houston and

1204
00:55:49,560 --> 00:55:52,360
Speaker 1: Kansas City. Kansas City is still at minus three, minus

1205
00:55:52,400 --> 00:55:55,880
Speaker 1: one twenty at hard Rock Bat mostly three and a

1206
00:55:55,960 --> 00:56:00,400
Speaker 1: half's elsewhere. As I just said, the chief gone the

1207
00:56:00,440 --> 00:56:02,319
Speaker 1: way of the Lions. Is it time to get off

1208
00:56:02,360 --> 00:56:05,680
Speaker 1: them this year? Is there still magic in the number three?

1209
00:56:06,160 --> 00:56:09,200
Speaker 1: Can they break the trend of losing all these close games?

1210
00:56:09,239 --> 00:56:11,759
Speaker 1: Will there be regression back to the mean in a

1211
00:56:11,800 --> 00:56:16,040
Speaker 1: positive way for the Kansas City Chiefs. This game has massive,

1212
00:56:16,280 --> 00:56:21,440
Speaker 1: massive playoff implications for both teams. It is the tipping

1213
00:56:21,480 --> 00:56:27,320
Speaker 1: point folk froum moment for these teams in the season.

1214
00:56:27,760 --> 00:56:33,719
Speaker 1: The Texans defense is awesome, but I'm always going to

1215
00:56:33,760 --> 00:56:37,719
Speaker 1: be loath to bet against Patrick Mahomes at home as

1216
00:56:37,760 --> 00:56:43,440
Speaker 1: a short favorite in a must have scenario. That is

1217
00:56:43,480 --> 00:56:46,960
Speaker 1: one that that is a bridge too far. I can't

1218
00:56:46,960 --> 00:56:49,480
Speaker 1: walk away. I can't be the one who's betting against

1219
00:56:50,320 --> 00:56:52,319
Speaker 1: someone who might go down as the greatest quarterback ever

1220
00:56:52,360 --> 00:56:53,279
Speaker 1: and is still in his prime.

1221
00:56:54,640 --> 00:56:56,600
Speaker 3: Yeah, if you don't join the public and the professionals

1222
00:56:56,640 --> 00:56:58,640
Speaker 3: there on the Texas like Chat talked about it, it's

1223
00:56:58,640 --> 00:57:01,040
Speaker 3: really about the number right, the chief Team isn't good

1224
00:57:01,160 --> 00:57:03,759
Speaker 3: enough to be favorite minus three and a half, which

1225
00:57:03,800 --> 00:57:04,960
Speaker 3: is what I think a lot of pros and the

1226
00:57:04,960 --> 00:57:07,880
Speaker 3: public are taking that position on which I totally get.

1227
00:57:08,160 --> 00:57:10,440
Speaker 3: We're talking minus three here at hard Rock, which hopefully

1228
00:57:10,480 --> 00:57:12,560
Speaker 3: in our contest, God bless hard Rock, they'll give us

1229
00:57:12,560 --> 00:57:15,439
Speaker 3: two and a half because that will be an automatic

1230
00:57:15,520 --> 00:57:17,640
Speaker 3: play in my opinion on this chief team, because that,

1231
00:57:17,680 --> 00:57:19,760
Speaker 3: to me, will be too much a reaction. And this

1232
00:57:19,840 --> 00:57:22,320
Speaker 3: is me signing the guy who's been fading this Chiefs

1233
00:57:22,320 --> 00:57:24,320
Speaker 3: team NonStop since that Bills game.

1234
00:57:24,360 --> 00:57:25,360
Speaker 2: I think you know it.

1235
00:57:25,400 --> 00:57:28,000
Speaker 3: Took a position against them with Denver they are a

1236
00:57:28,000 --> 00:57:30,760
Speaker 3: minus four favorite, they lost outright. Took up a position

1237
00:57:30,800 --> 00:57:32,920
Speaker 3: against them against the Colts, think they are minus four

1238
00:57:32,920 --> 00:57:33,320
Speaker 3: and a half.

1239
00:57:33,360 --> 00:57:35,560
Speaker 2: They closed favorite, they won by three.

1240
00:57:36,040 --> 00:57:38,680
Speaker 3: Took a position against them with the Dallas Cowboys minus

1241
00:57:38,720 --> 00:57:41,320
Speaker 3: half plus three and a half on Dallas.

1242
00:57:41,400 --> 00:57:42,800
Speaker 2: They lost outright to Dallas.

1243
00:57:42,840 --> 00:57:45,200
Speaker 3: So we've seen these last three games, it all comes

1244
00:57:45,200 --> 00:57:47,800
Speaker 3: down to the last position. Like Chad said, it's eventually

1245
00:57:47,840 --> 00:57:50,080
Speaker 3: got go the other way, right this Chiefs mathematically, they

1246
00:57:50,120 --> 00:57:53,200
Speaker 3: can't keep losing these one score games, right, And we've

1247
00:57:53,200 --> 00:57:55,960
Speaker 3: seen Mahomes tend to succel that this year, it just

1248
00:57:55,960 --> 00:57:58,280
Speaker 3: not has been that way right. When they get these

1249
00:57:58,280 --> 00:57:59,920
Speaker 3: close games, it's either he's not had the ball in

1250
00:58:00,080 --> 00:58:02,080
Speaker 3: his hands and the other team's just eating the clock up,

1251
00:58:02,280 --> 00:58:04,480
Speaker 3: or he goes in there and it's just not been

1252
00:58:04,560 --> 00:58:06,640
Speaker 3: Mahomes like right, he's made the mistakes and not brought

1253
00:58:06,640 --> 00:58:09,760
Speaker 3: his team back from death. So I love how desperate

1254
00:58:09,800 --> 00:58:12,120
Speaker 3: this Chiefs team's gonna be. But on the flip side,

1255
00:58:12,160 --> 00:58:14,720
Speaker 3: I get people's position. Texans are just as desperate. They

1256
00:58:14,720 --> 00:58:16,840
Speaker 3: know they're playing for their division, their own playoff lives.

1257
00:58:16,920 --> 00:58:19,160
Speaker 3: So I get why people are taking their position on

1258
00:58:19,480 --> 00:58:21,680
Speaker 3: this Texans team. But I've wanted to be on the

1259
00:58:21,760 --> 00:58:23,880
Speaker 3: Chiefs team all week. I wanted to be patient and

1260
00:58:23,920 --> 00:58:25,480
Speaker 3: let the number get to a position where I fle

1261
00:58:25,520 --> 00:58:27,880
Speaker 3: carble bet in it. It's hit that spot, I'm gonna

1262
00:58:27,880 --> 00:58:30,680
Speaker 3: take the minus three and pray the Pros keep coming

1263
00:58:30,720 --> 00:58:32,040
Speaker 3: on Texas and I get a two and a half,

1264
00:58:32,080 --> 00:58:34,200
Speaker 3: but got no issue taking the minster. I just feel

1265
00:58:34,200 --> 00:58:36,400
Speaker 3: like this is finally a Chiefs line. This is the

1266
00:58:36,480 --> 00:58:39,400
Speaker 3: deck spot you want to back Mahomes and this Chiefs team.

1267
00:58:39,440 --> 00:58:42,400
Speaker 1: So glad to hear you say that. I so believe

1268
00:58:42,440 --> 00:58:45,400
Speaker 1: in the Chiefs in this spot, I could be blinded

1269
00:58:45,400 --> 00:58:45,720
Speaker 1: by it.

1270
00:58:46,720 --> 00:58:49,240
Speaker 2: We are, We're definitely we're This is a past performance.

1271
00:58:49,280 --> 00:58:51,480
Speaker 3: Bet, I'm happy to have met that where it's like

1272
00:58:51,520 --> 00:58:55,520
Speaker 3: I just I'm willing to see Mahomes die here. But

1273
00:58:55,560 --> 00:58:57,400
Speaker 3: this is the exact type of game we talked Mahomes.

1274
00:58:57,640 --> 00:59:00,240
Speaker 3: They're gonna have to stab them the hard thirty times

1275
00:59:00,240 --> 00:59:02,200
Speaker 3: to cut his head off before he's dead. He's just

1276
00:59:02,760 --> 00:59:04,560
Speaker 3: not gonna go quietly into the night. This man is

1277
00:59:04,560 --> 00:59:06,600
Speaker 3: gonna fight to the last second. And now you're giving

1278
00:59:06,600 --> 00:59:09,040
Speaker 3: me a minus three on that at home, I gotta

1279
00:59:09,080 --> 00:59:10,720
Speaker 3: take I have to take that number.

1280
00:59:16,520 --> 00:59:18,960
Speaker 1: We could talk about the Eagles at the Chargers for

1281
00:59:19,000 --> 00:59:20,920
Speaker 1: a second, just because you mentioned it in sharp calls.

1282
00:59:21,200 --> 00:59:22,720
Speaker 1: I don't think it's a game we're gonna put in

1283
00:59:22,760 --> 00:59:25,600
Speaker 1: the contest. We're not gonna I can't imagine we're getting

1284
00:59:25,680 --> 00:59:29,000
Speaker 1: a two and a half. But if you have strong

1285
00:59:29,040 --> 00:59:30,640
Speaker 1: opinion I'm agnostic.

1286
00:59:30,440 --> 00:59:32,760
Speaker 3: With the pros, then like the pros, they're all they're

1287
00:59:32,800 --> 00:59:35,760
Speaker 3: all in this Chargers team, and they're just even the

1288
00:59:35,760 --> 00:59:38,479
Speaker 3: publics with the Chargers, and it's just everyone's the same boat.

1289
00:59:38,480 --> 00:59:41,200
Speaker 3: I think it's just so negative, so bad for this

1290
00:59:41,280 --> 00:59:44,240
Speaker 3: Eagles team. Where if I told you you can get

1291
00:59:44,280 --> 00:59:47,040
Speaker 3: this Eagles team, who's pretty healthy minus two and a

1292
00:59:47,040 --> 00:59:50,439
Speaker 3: half against a one handed Herbert that's out his left

1293
00:59:50,480 --> 00:59:53,280
Speaker 3: and right tackle, you'd be running to the window with me.

1294
00:59:53,320 --> 00:59:55,640
Speaker 3: So that's my I can't believe it. Like when I

1295
00:59:55,680 --> 00:59:58,520
Speaker 3: was talking to pros, I'm like, shit, what am I missing?

1296
00:59:58,560 --> 01:00:02,040
Speaker 3: Like you guys love this Charger team, I can't believe it.

1297
01:00:02,120 --> 01:00:04,439
Speaker 3: Like I cannot believe this is not the exact time

1298
01:00:04,560 --> 01:00:07,040
Speaker 3: you hammer this ego side in this number. It just

1299
01:00:07,560 --> 01:00:10,200
Speaker 3: the hate has gone too far. I just cannot get over.

1300
01:00:10,200 --> 01:00:13,240
Speaker 3: It's like, all right, Herbert against bad teams, we don't

1301
01:00:13,240 --> 01:00:15,560
Speaker 3: mind backing them. Him against the Raiders. Yeah, that's exactly.

1302
01:00:15,560 --> 01:00:19,560
Speaker 3: When you back Herbert him against a great playoff defense

1303
01:00:19,680 --> 01:00:21,680
Speaker 3: and team, you fade him.

1304
01:00:21,760 --> 01:00:23,920
Speaker 2: You do not back Herbert here in this spot.

1305
01:00:24,040 --> 01:00:27,400
Speaker 3: So I might be blind to it, have my biases here,

1306
01:00:27,440 --> 01:00:29,880
Speaker 3: but I got this number amount of mis three and

1307
01:00:29,920 --> 01:00:31,280
Speaker 3: a half for this Eagles team.

1308
01:00:31,120 --> 01:00:33,600
Speaker 2: So you know you're getting a full point of value.

1309
01:00:33,840 --> 01:00:35,840
Speaker 3: And the fact that publican and professionals are all coming

1310
01:00:35,840 --> 01:00:37,880
Speaker 3: to the Chargers, it feels like this is a nice

1311
01:00:37,880 --> 01:00:39,920
Speaker 3: spot to be with the up sportsbook here back in

1312
01:00:40,000 --> 01:00:43,000
Speaker 3: this Eagles team at Mice two and so maybe I'm

1313
01:00:43,000 --> 01:00:44,960
Speaker 3: missing something here, but I can't believe it.

1314
01:00:44,960 --> 01:00:47,360
Speaker 2: It's to me the hate's gone too far.

1315
01:00:47,480 --> 01:00:50,440
Speaker 3: Like Herbert, You're you're a tough son of a bitch here,

1316
01:00:50,480 --> 01:00:54,360
Speaker 3: but you're not going against, you know, a bad defensive line.

1317
01:00:54,400 --> 01:00:55,920
Speaker 3: This is a defensive line that can get after a

1318
01:00:56,000 --> 01:00:58,680
Speaker 3: quarterback and put major pressure on them. So this just

1319
01:00:58,720 --> 01:01:00,360
Speaker 3: feels like a nice matchup of the SEAGU team.

1320
01:01:00,400 --> 01:01:01,800
Speaker 2: And yeah, this is a.

1321
01:01:03,280 --> 01:01:06,200
Speaker 3: Very unique spot for me where I thought I would

1322
01:01:06,200 --> 01:01:08,480
Speaker 3: be all on the Segos team. But I'm very hesitantly

1323
01:01:08,480 --> 01:01:10,840
Speaker 3: betting it because I'm just worried there's something I'm missing

1324
01:01:10,880 --> 01:01:12,920
Speaker 3: here with the SEAGUS team. It just feels way too

1325
01:01:12,960 --> 01:01:14,760
Speaker 3: easy to getting Eagles Mice two and a half aguns.

1326
01:01:14,960 --> 01:01:17,840
Speaker 3: Like I said, a one handed Herbert without his left

1327
01:01:17,880 --> 01:01:18,640
Speaker 3: and right tackle.

1328
01:01:18,800 --> 01:01:21,120
Speaker 2: Like it's just what am I missing here? I'm missing

1329
01:01:21,160 --> 01:01:21,760
Speaker 2: something clearly.

1330
01:01:22,200 --> 01:01:26,320
Speaker 1: All right, let's do a quick word from our sponsor's

1331
01:01:26,360 --> 01:01:29,360
Speaker 1: hard Rock Bet. Today's show is brought to you by

1332
01:01:29,440 --> 01:01:34,520
Speaker 1: our presenting sponsor, hard Rock Bet, and They've got big news.

1333
01:01:34,560 --> 01:01:38,920
Speaker 1: Hard Rock Bet is now live in Michigan. Sign up

1334
01:01:38,920 --> 01:01:41,640
Speaker 1: today and place your first five dollars sports bet. If

1335
01:01:41,680 --> 01:01:44,320
Speaker 1: it wins, you get one hundred and fifty dollars in

1336
01:01:44,480 --> 01:01:47,720
Speaker 1: bonus bets on top of your winnings, and if you're

1337
01:01:47,720 --> 01:01:50,800
Speaker 1: more into casino games, new customers can get up to

1338
01:01:51,400 --> 01:01:55,320
Speaker 1: one thousand dollars back in casino bonus. If you're not

1339
01:01:55,600 --> 01:01:59,880
Speaker 1: up money after your first twenty four hours playing slo,

1340
01:02:00,600 --> 01:02:03,960
Speaker 1: win money or get a casino bonus back. Plus you

1341
01:02:04,120 --> 01:02:08,360
Speaker 1: also get two hundred bonus spins with winnings paid in cash.

1342
01:02:08,840 --> 01:02:12,360
Speaker 1: Not sure what to place your first bet on, head

1343
01:02:12,440 --> 01:02:15,960
Speaker 1: over to the hard Rock Bet stats Hub and it'll

1344
01:02:15,960 --> 01:02:18,720
Speaker 1: help you out. It's loaded with trend streaks and stats

1345
01:02:18,720 --> 01:02:21,479
Speaker 1: to help guide your picks. Numbers don't lie, and neither

1346
01:02:21,560 --> 01:02:24,160
Speaker 1: does the data in there. Check out the stats hub now,

1347
01:02:24,240 --> 01:02:28,960
Speaker 1: get the edge and bet with confidence. Hard rockt offers

1348
01:02:28,960 --> 01:02:33,760
Speaker 1: new promos daily plus big legendary reward drops every Thursday

1349
01:02:33,800 --> 01:02:36,640
Speaker 1: like Gifts under the Trees, So whenever you're listening, just

1350
01:02:36,760 --> 01:02:40,080
Speaker 1: open the app and check out what you've got waiting

1351
01:02:40,120 --> 01:02:42,560
Speaker 1: for you. Download the hard Rock Bet app and make

1352
01:02:42,600 --> 01:02:49,040
Speaker 1: your first deposit. Sports Welcome offer is payable in bonus bets,

1353
01:02:49,160 --> 01:02:53,919
Speaker 1: not a cash offer. Casino offer issued as non withdrawable

1354
01:02:54,000 --> 01:02:59,280
Speaker 1: site credits. Ten plus dollar deposit required for two hundred

1355
01:02:59,400 --> 01:03:03,320
Speaker 1: bonus bins for Huff and More Puff only up to

1356
01:03:03,440 --> 01:03:06,840
Speaker 1: one thousand dollars back in casino bonus if player has

1357
01:03:06,880 --> 01:03:09,640
Speaker 1: a net loss on slots after the first twenty four hours.

1358
01:03:10,120 --> 01:03:14,400
Speaker 1: Casino bonus credit has a one times wager requirement offered

1359
01:03:14,400 --> 01:03:17,800
Speaker 1: by Seminal hard Rock DIGITALLLC. Must be twenty one and

1360
01:03:17,800 --> 01:03:21,120
Speaker 1: over and physically present in Michigan to play. Terms and

1361
01:03:21,160 --> 01:03:25,400
Speaker 1: conditions apply. Concerned about gambling, call one eight hundred gambler.

1362
01:03:26,760 --> 01:03:29,720
Speaker 1: All right, Simon, let's talk about the biggest bets.

1363
01:03:30,320 --> 01:03:32,439
Speaker 2: Pull up close pants and be a man.

1364
01:03:33,560 --> 01:03:35,320
Speaker 3: Yeah, shocking a week.

1365
01:03:35,360 --> 01:03:37,280
Speaker 2: I'm a little not a little gunshot, but I kind

1366
01:03:37,280 --> 01:03:37,920
Speaker 2: of am. Honestly.

1367
01:03:38,280 --> 01:03:40,120
Speaker 3: I usually had a lot more bet this week in

1368
01:03:40,120 --> 01:03:42,360
Speaker 3: this position. But again, we didn't really talk about much.

1369
01:03:42,360 --> 01:03:44,400
Speaker 3: I think in a pretty large position on the Saints

1370
01:03:45,440 --> 01:03:47,000
Speaker 3: like that matchup. Maybe we'll talk a little bit more

1371
01:03:47,000 --> 01:03:50,360
Speaker 3: Sunday for dogs, that's probably my one of my bigger

1372
01:03:50,400 --> 01:03:54,200
Speaker 3: spots right now is them in Washington and the Jaguars,

1373
01:03:54,200 --> 01:03:58,919
Speaker 3: And for favorites. You know, I can't quit it, Cleveland, Baltimore.

1374
01:03:59,400 --> 01:04:02,120
Speaker 3: I just I really love both those favorites and the

1375
01:04:02,200 --> 01:04:04,160
Speaker 3: Chiefs and minus three. I really love that one. So

1376
01:04:04,600 --> 01:04:06,920
Speaker 3: nothing huge yet. Maybe comes Sunday I'll have some really

1377
01:04:06,960 --> 01:04:10,280
Speaker 3: big bets. But right now and not just dipping my

1378
01:04:10,320 --> 01:04:12,280
Speaker 3: toes and my whole foots in the water. I put

1379
01:04:12,280 --> 01:04:13,720
Speaker 3: some good money into it, but I'm not I haven't

1380
01:04:13,760 --> 01:04:15,880
Speaker 3: dived in yet. I'm just a little hesitan. I want

1381
01:04:15,880 --> 01:04:17,320
Speaker 3: to see what the weather report is, what the injured

1382
01:04:17,320 --> 01:04:18,160
Speaker 3: report has come today?

1383
01:04:18,560 --> 01:04:27,120
Speaker 1: All right? Underdog money line, Parley, my dog blocks.

1384
01:04:26,960 --> 01:04:29,800
Speaker 3: Your dog, Your dog blocks mot dog.

1385
01:04:30,320 --> 01:04:32,160
Speaker 1: Who do we want to do this week? I would

1386
01:04:32,200 --> 01:04:35,480
Speaker 1: say Jaguars, Yeah, Jets.

1387
01:04:36,080 --> 01:04:38,240
Speaker 2: Jets, and then let's do uh. For the third one,

1388
01:04:38,280 --> 01:04:39,480
Speaker 2: let's do Washington.

1389
01:04:39,840 --> 01:04:43,440
Speaker 1: All right? And then I think for the favorites, we

1390
01:04:43,480 --> 01:04:46,240
Speaker 1: want to do the Rams. I made a list the

1391
01:04:46,320 --> 01:04:47,560
Speaker 1: other day. We want to do.

1392
01:04:48,440 --> 01:04:51,920
Speaker 3: We'll take take them out of five and a half. Though, okay,

1393
01:04:52,040 --> 01:04:57,240
Speaker 3: I'll do the money line. Do the five and a half, Seattle, Seattle,

1394
01:04:57,280 --> 01:04:58,600
Speaker 3: I do the same thing, take it a five and

1395
01:04:58,640 --> 01:05:01,960
Speaker 3: a half. I wouldn't do money line, and for money lines,

1396
01:05:02,000 --> 01:05:02,920
Speaker 3: I would do Chiefs.

1397
01:05:03,040 --> 01:05:05,360
Speaker 2: I think we both agree on that one, right, Yeap.

1398
01:05:07,040 --> 01:05:08,200
Speaker 1: Baltimore O would.

1399
01:05:08,000 --> 01:05:09,440
Speaker 2: Say, how do we not get Ravens in there. We

1400
01:05:09,520 --> 01:05:10,280
Speaker 2: love that one.

1401
01:05:10,400 --> 01:05:13,880
Speaker 1: Yeah, Buffalo for the last one.

1402
01:05:13,960 --> 01:05:19,240
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'll do Buffalo. Yeah, I feels I mean, I'm

1403
01:05:19,280 --> 01:05:20,280
Speaker 3: with you. I don't want to do Green Bay.

1404
01:05:20,360 --> 01:05:24,280
Speaker 1: Let's do Buffalo, Kansas City, Buffalo, Denver.

1405
01:05:24,320 --> 01:05:26,440
Speaker 3: If you don't love Buffalo, because that is risky, right,

1406
01:05:26,440 --> 01:05:29,640
Speaker 3: we take We're going against a good quarterback, all right.

1407
01:05:29,880 --> 01:05:32,360
Speaker 3: I gave you the stats Denver bone Knicks as a

1408
01:05:32,360 --> 01:05:35,320
Speaker 3: favorite fifteen and oh straight up. So if you want

1409
01:05:35,320 --> 01:05:37,640
Speaker 3: to get bone Nicks in there, you can easily get

1410
01:05:37,640 --> 01:05:39,120
Speaker 3: that down to two and a half, one and a half.

1411
01:05:39,160 --> 01:05:40,360
Speaker 2: You don't have to take the money line.

1412
01:05:41,400 --> 01:05:46,480
Speaker 1: Kansas City, Denver, Baltimore, Seattle and the Rams take them

1413
01:05:46,520 --> 01:05:48,320
Speaker 1: down to minus five and a half. That is our

1414
01:05:48,840 --> 01:05:56,800
Speaker 1: favorites money line parlay. Simon, it's time for Sharp versus Square.

1415
01:05:58,560 --> 01:06:02,480
Speaker 1: We missed it last week with the condensed show schedule.

1416
01:06:03,120 --> 01:06:07,080
Speaker 1: Give me your should we do? I don't want to

1417
01:06:07,080 --> 01:06:08,880
Speaker 1: do Atlanta Versy. I don't know who's gonna be playing

1418
01:06:08,880 --> 01:06:10,000
Speaker 1: in that game yet, go ahead.

1419
01:06:11,600 --> 01:06:14,000
Speaker 3: I mean, if for my square side, I was thinking

1420
01:06:14,840 --> 01:06:17,640
Speaker 3: the Chiefs minus three. But I'll stick to my m

1421
01:06:17,640 --> 01:06:20,600
Speaker 3: O in this in this part where I always go sharp.

1422
01:06:20,760 --> 01:06:22,600
Speaker 3: So give me give me the Saints plus eight and

1423
01:06:22,640 --> 01:06:23,000
Speaker 3: a half.

1424
01:06:23,520 --> 01:06:34,920
Speaker 1: Interesting, very interesting, Okay, I would say, oh boy, Uh,

1425
01:06:35,320 --> 01:06:39,000
Speaker 1: Chat's choice was the Jets brass Balls. I think was

1426
01:06:39,080 --> 01:06:45,120
Speaker 1: the Ravens. Simon says was the Commanders. We haven't done

1427
01:06:45,160 --> 01:06:52,640
Speaker 1: rock in a hard place yet. Uh, all right, give

1428
01:06:52,680 --> 01:06:53,440
Speaker 1: me the Jacks.

1429
01:06:54,160 --> 01:06:57,720
Speaker 2: Wow. It was full circle. Yeah, my god.

1430
01:06:57,840 --> 01:07:01,080
Speaker 1: I know, well, honestly down to them in the Browns,

1431
01:07:01,080 --> 01:07:03,480
Speaker 1: and I feel like the Browns on Sunday, we want

1432
01:07:03,520 --> 01:07:06,560
Speaker 1: to use them as rock and a harp place. That's

1433
01:07:06,560 --> 01:07:09,640
Speaker 1: what I'm thinking. Okay, I think I think it's gonna

1434
01:07:09,640 --> 01:07:10,960
Speaker 1: be a I think it's just gonna be a hard

1435
01:07:10,960 --> 01:07:14,920
Speaker 1: conversation on Sunday about the Browns. All right, this has

1436
01:07:14,920 --> 01:07:17,760
Speaker 1: been Sharper Square. We're part of the Volume podcast network.

1437
01:07:17,800 --> 01:07:22,200
Speaker 1: We will be back on Sunday on Sharper Square YouTube.

1438
01:07:22,520 --> 01:07:24,480
Speaker 1: We're going to eat drop on an intimate conversation that

1439
01:07:24,600 --> 01:07:27,520
Speaker 1: Simon and I have well, panic will make utterly human

1440
01:07:27,560 --> 01:07:29,640
Speaker 1: decisions regret the rest of the day. We'll be back

1441
01:07:29,640 --> 01:07:33,480
Speaker 1: on Sharper Square YouTube Sunday night, seven point thirty ish.

1442
01:07:33,720 --> 01:07:37,240
Speaker 1: Watch or listen at YouTube Sharper Square. Like this video,

1443
01:07:37,240 --> 01:07:40,760
Speaker 1: subscribe to the channel also download us from Apple Pods, Spotify,

1444
01:07:40,800 --> 01:07:43,880
Speaker 1: wherever you get your pods. Rate review, subscribe, leupus five stars,

1445
01:07:43,920 --> 01:07:48,160
Speaker 1: say whatever you want. Feedback is a gift until next time.

1446
01:07:48,560 --> 01:07:52,320
Speaker 1: I love you. This isn't going You're not at all.

1447
01:07:53,720 --> 01:07:56,240
Speaker 1: This is ANDNFL, which stands for not prolonged.

1448
01:07:56,240 --> 01:07:58,760
Speaker 2: When you make them golls, I'll be selling groceries.