Speaker 1: This is Tom Keane introducing you to the Bloomberg Daybreak Podcast,
Speaker 1: a roundup of the top stories from Wall Street to
Speaker 1: Washington and today. For our Bloomberg Surveillance audience, we bring
Speaker 1: you a sample of the show. Click the link in
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Speaker 2: Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Amy Morris. Here
Speaker 2: are the stories we're following today. We're going to begin
Speaker 2: with the deal in the Middle East. Israel and Hamas
Speaker 2: have come to an agreement that we'll see dozens of
Speaker 2: hostages freed from Gaza in return for a four day
Speaker 2: pause in the fighting and the release of Palestinian prisoners.
Speaker 2: Bloomberg Simon Marx begins our team coverage in Tel Aviv.
Speaker 3: In the fine print of the deal, there is an
Speaker 3: opportunity for additional days of so called pause. Israel have
Speaker 3: said that for every ten additional hostages they would be
Speaker 3: willing to add an additional day of pause in the war.
Speaker 3: But at the same time, Benjamin Natanyahu, the Prime Minister,
Speaker 3: has been very clear to say this does not mean
Speaker 3: the end of the conflict, and that their original goals
Speaker 3: to eradicate Hamas and deradicalize Gaza, etc. Is still very
Speaker 3: much the state today.
Speaker 4: Bloomberg Sigmon Mark says the pause is expected to begin
Speaker 4: tomorrow morning.
Speaker 2: This temporary ceasefire was pushed for by the US and
Speaker 2: its allies. We get more from Bloomberg political contributor Genie
Speaker 2: she and Zano.
Speaker 5: It is a big, big move forward for many people
Speaker 5: because it's really the first diplomatic breakthrough we've seen since
Speaker 5: the war began after the October seventh attack. But it
Speaker 5: comes with so much trepidation and so many questions. This
Speaker 5: is not a cease fire, it's a pause. It comes
Speaker 5: also as a result of enormous pressure both inside Israel
Speaker 5: and internationally that the Israeli government has been feeling, particularly
Speaker 5: from the relatives of these two hundred and thirty six hostages.
Speaker 2: Bloomberg contributor Genie she and Zano says three Americans will
Speaker 2: be among the hostages leaving Gaza amy.
Speaker 4: Another major story we're following this morning is the return
Speaker 4: of sam Aldman to open Ai, just days after he
Speaker 4: was fired then hired by Microsoft. Sam Aldman is back
Speaker 4: as CEO, and the board at open Ai is in
Speaker 4: for an overhaul. We get more from Bloomberg Intelligence analyst
Speaker 4: Matthew Bloxham.
Speaker 6: I kind of think that the board were backed into
Speaker 6: a corner, and you know, I think they risk just
Speaker 6: seeing the company unravel. So I don't think they had
Speaker 6: really any choice. I think from Nahir, the big questions
Speaker 6: are going to be, Okay, what's the detail, what you
Speaker 6: know beyond a new board that looks more supportive of
Speaker 6: Sam Altman, are they going to be more profound changes
Speaker 6: to the structure of the company. What does this mean
Speaker 6: for the possible IPO, How they're going to kind of
Speaker 6: commercialize things like chat GPT more effectively, to kind of
Speaker 6: take advantage of the opportunity.
Speaker 4: That Matt block and with Bloomberg Intelligence says the initial
Speaker 4: board will be led by Brett Taylor, a former co
Speaker 4: CEO of Salesforce. Other directors include Quorra CEO, Adam DiAngelo,
Speaker 4: and Larry Summers, the former Treasury secretary and a paid
Speaker 4: contributor to Bloomberg.
Speaker 2: And sources say Microsoft is also likely to get representation
Speaker 2: on the new board, certainly as an observer, possibly with
Speaker 2: one or more board seats. In a post on x,
Speaker 2: Microsoft CEO Satynadella praised the changes at OpenAI, calling them
Speaker 2: quote a first essential step on a path to a
Speaker 2: more stable, well informed, and effective governance.
Speaker 4: On a very busy morning, Amy, we're also following market
Speaker 4: reaction to one of the most highly anticipated earnings reports.
Speaker 4: Shares of Nvidia are down nearly one percent in early training.
Speaker 4: That's despite an earning's blowout that went past analyst estimates.
Speaker 4: We get more on that from Bloomberg technology reporter at
Speaker 4: Ludlow in San Francisco.
Speaker 2: We go to the.
Speaker 7: Outlook for the fiscal fourth courser sales would be twenty
Speaker 7: billion dollars plus or minus two percent. And while that's
Speaker 7: a really strong outlook, there was so commentary from Nvidia
Speaker 7: that they expect sales or shipments of GPUs to China
Speaker 7: to drop in the current period or the fiscal fourth quarter,
Speaker 7: as a direct result of the expanded US technology export curves.
Speaker 7: What we're talking about is in Vidia's inability to ship
Speaker 7: the cutting edge GPUs to the Chinese market, but they
Speaker 7: were very clear that will be offset by demand from
Speaker 7: other markets around the world.
Speaker 4: Bloomberg's Ed Ludlow says another reason behind in Vidia's drop
Speaker 4: was its run up this year, and video was already
Speaker 4: hied by more than two hundred and forty percent.
Speaker 2: And a big name in the cryptocurrency space is taking
Speaker 2: a legal fall. Binance, the world's largest crypto exchange, has
Speaker 2: pleaded guilty to anti money laundering and sanctions violations. Attorney
Speaker 2: General Merrick Garland says Binance failed to stop suspicious transactions
Speaker 2: with terror groups including Hamas, and violated several laws, including
Speaker 2: the Bank Secrecy Act.
Speaker 8: These laws ensure that our financial institutions are not available
Speaker 8: to designated terrorist organizations, drug traffickers, and sanctioned nation states
Speaker 8: that threaten public safety and our national security.
Speaker 2: Attorney General Garland says Finance will pay four point three
Speaker 2: billion dollars under the deal, and its CEOCZZL will step
Speaker 2: down and pay a fifty million dollar fine. Sal could
Speaker 2: face up to ten years in prison, but is expected
Speaker 2: to serve no more than eighteen months.
Speaker 4: And on the economic front, amy investors will have to
Speaker 4: navigate a number of reports this morning. Almost all of
Speaker 4: Thursday and Friday's numbers have been compressed into today, so
Speaker 4: let's get a preview now from Bloomberg's Michael McKay.
Speaker 9: The marquee release is initial jobless claims Wall Street wants
Speaker 9: to know if last week's surprise jumped to two hundred
Speaker 9: and thirty one thousand was a one off or assigned.
Speaker 9: The labor market is starting to cool significantly October durable
Speaker 9: goods orders. Meanwhile, we'll offer the first clues to business
Speaker 9: spending plans in the fourth quarter. A drop in Boeing
Speaker 9: jet sales may depress the overall headline number, while capital
Speaker 9: goods orders oxy for business spending in GDP are forecast
Speaker 9: to eke out only a marginal gain. Finally, the University
Speaker 9: of Michigan's final reading of consumer sentiment for November may
Speaker 9: influence some investors' views of holiday season consumer spending. Michael McKee,
Speaker 9: Bloomberg Radio.
Speaker 2: All right, thank you, Nathan. Time now for a look
Speaker 2: at some of the other stories making news around the world,
Speaker 2: and for that were joined by Bloomberg's of John Tucker,
Speaker 2: Good morning John, and.
Speaker 10: Good morning Amy. The Pentagon confirming it conducted an airstrike
Speaker 10: against Iranian backed militants operating out of Iraq. Let's get
Speaker 10: more of the story this morning from Bloomberg's Ed Baxter.
Speaker 11: The Pentagon says it was in response to several short
Speaker 11: range missile attacks. Pentagon spokeswoman Sabrina.
Speaker 12: Sang Immediately following the attack, a US military AC one
Speaker 12: thirty aircraft in the area conducted a self defense strike
Speaker 12: against an Iranian backed militia vehicle and a number of
Speaker 12: Iranian backed militia personnel involved in this attack. This self
Speaker 12: defense strike resulted in some hostile fatalities.
Speaker 11: Seeingh says some US service members were injured in the attack.
Speaker 11: She also says the US conducted three additional strikes in
Speaker 11: Syria at Baxter Bloomberg Radio.
Speaker 10: Florida Governor Ron de Santis secure the endorsement of influential
Speaker 10: Iowa conservative Bob vnder Platz. Vander Platz backing is the
Speaker 10: second major endorsement for DeSantis in Iowa this month, following
Speaker 10: Governor Kim Reynolds. Both vender Plants and Renolds are influential
Speaker 10: among evangelical voters, a sizeable blanc of the state. DeSantis
Speaker 10: is making a make or break prush shit in that state,
Speaker 10: banking on a strong showing they can give him momentum
Speaker 10: to stay in the race. Pull showed Desanti's trailing Donald
Speaker 10: Trump by over forty five points for those early holiday
Speaker 10: travelers leaving before dawn to avoid the rush may work
Speaker 10: in some parts of the nation, but not in other parts.
Speaker 10: Bloomberg meteorologist Rod Carolyn.
Speaker 13: Most of the country looking good for travel on this Wednesday,
Speaker 13: ahead of the big Thanksgiving Day holiday. We have problems though,
Speaker 13: in the eastern United States with rain from North Florida,
Speaker 13: along the coastal Carolinas, and into parts of New England,
Speaker 13: especially northern New England, where we'll be dealing with some
Speaker 13: snow today. The Pacific Northwest will also deal with precipitation rain,
Speaker 13: likely at the lower elevations, with snow in the mountains.
Speaker 10: Today is one of the busiest travel days of the year.
Speaker 10: A Florida judge who's ruled Tesla's trial over a twenty
Speaker 10: nineteen fatal crash blamed on autopilot will include a claim
Speaker 10: against the company for punitive damages. The judge at Palm
Speaker 10: Beach County cited evidence that shows CEO Elon Moskin staff
Speaker 10: engineers knew its driver assistance system was defective. Global News
Speaker 10: twenty four hours a day and whenever you want it
Speaker 10: with Bloomberg News. Now, I'm John Tucker, and this is
Speaker 10: Bloomberg Amy.
Speaker 2: All right, thank you, John. Time enough for our Bloomberg
Speaker 2: Sports Update. For that we bring in John stash Hour.
Speaker 14: Aiming only two weeks to go in the college football
Speaker 14: regular season, and the College Football Playoff Committee out with
Speaker 14: its latest poll last night. Georgia remains number one, with
Speaker 14: Ohio State second Michigan third. Those two teams play each
Speaker 14: other Saturday in ann Arbor. A change at the four
Speaker 14: spot Washington moving ahead of Florida State, the Committee denying
Speaker 14: that it's due to Florida State having just lost its
Speaker 14: quarterback Jordan Travis to a season ending injury. Oregon is
Speaker 14: currently sixth, will play Oregon State on Friday. Texas is seventh,
Speaker 14: The Longhorns played Texas Tech on Friday, and Alabama is eighth,
Speaker 14: and the Crimston Tide play the Iron Bowl Game against
Speaker 14: Auburn on Saturday. College basketball, a lot of the top
Speaker 14: teams of the nation have gone to Maui. Number one
Speaker 14: Kansas lost to fourth rank Marquette seventy three p fifty nine.
Speaker 14: Second ranked Purdue a seventy one sixty seven victory over
Speaker 14: seventh ranked Tennessee in the NBA A game between Indiana
Speaker 14: and Atlanta, and both teams scored over one hundred and
Speaker 14: fifty points. That's only the seventh time that's ever happened
Speaker 14: in NBA history. The Pacers be the Hawks one fifty
Speaker 14: seven to one fifty two. Both teams shot sixty percent
Speaker 14: from the field. San Diego Padres have named Mike Schilt
Speaker 14: their new manager. He managed the Cardinals for four years,
Speaker 14: got them into the playoffs three times. He replaces Bob Melvin,
Speaker 14: who left the Padres to go to the Giants. Willie Hernandez,
Speaker 14: who won the Cy Young Award and the MVP in
Speaker 14: nineteen eighty four pitching for the Tigers, has passed away
Speaker 14: at sixty nine. Johns Dasheur Bloomberg Sports.
Speaker 15: From coast to coast, from New York to San Francisco,
Speaker 15: Boston to Washington, DC, nationwide on Syrias, exam the Bloomberg
Speaker 15: Business app in Bloomberg dot Com. This is Bloomberg Daybreak.
Speaker 15: Good morning, I'm Nathan Haker.
Speaker 4: The relentless war in Gaza since Thomas's October seventh attack
Speaker 4: on Israel looks like it's taking a pause. Both sides
Speaker 4: have reached a deal that we'll see Hamas release dozens
Speaker 4: of hostages in exchange for Palestinian prisoners and for more
Speaker 4: on this agreement. We are joined by Bloomberg News Senior
Speaker 4: editor Bill Ferries. Bill, thanks for being with us. Let's
Speaker 4: start off first with the terms of this deal. What
Speaker 4: exactly have Israel and Hamas agreed to after these days
Speaker 4: of talks.
Speaker 16: Well, what we know from both sides and from the Qataris,
Speaker 16: who have been really kind of leading the mediation efforts
Speaker 16: here is that within the next less than twenty four
Speaker 16: hours now at this point, what we call a humanitarian
Speaker 16: pause and the conflict will go into effect. Hamas has
Speaker 16: agreed to free initially fifty hostages. We expect these to
Speaker 16: be women and children who were taken when they stormed
Speaker 16: into Israel on October seventh. In return, Israel we'll begin
Speaker 16: looking at releasing perhaps dozens of Palestinian prisoners, also likely
Speaker 16: to be women and children. But the interesting thing about
Speaker 16: this is it's a four day pause, but there's a
Speaker 16: potential for an extension here if Hamas agrees to release
Speaker 16: more hostages. So for every additional ten hostages the Hamas releases,
Speaker 16: that extends the pause by a day. Remember, Israel estimates
Speaker 16: about two hundred and forty people were taken hostage during
Speaker 16: those October seventh attacks, So this has the potential to
Speaker 16: extend the deal quite a bit. In return, as I said,
Speaker 16: Hamas gets some prisoner releases from Israeli prisons. They also
Speaker 16: get an end to over flights and bombing air strikes
Speaker 16: of Gaza in that time, and really the chance to
Speaker 16: get a lot more aid flowing in in terms of
Speaker 16: medical supplies and fuel for nonprofit groups that do humanitarian work.
Speaker 16: So all sides I think had an interest at this
Speaker 16: point in getting reaching a deal. There were a lot
Speaker 16: of hiccups in the process, but it looks like it
Speaker 16: should be going into effect within the coming day.
Speaker 4: Let's talk about some of those hiccups, because, as you know, Bill,
Speaker 4: Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netan yahoo had said as these
Speaker 4: talks were underway that he wouldn't agree to any pause
Speaker 4: at all unless all the hostages were freed. So what
Speaker 4: did it take to get at least this kind of
Speaker 4: a deal done, the possibility that we could see more pauses,
Speaker 4: and this potential for a trickle of hostages to be
Speaker 4: released over time.
Speaker 16: Well, you're right, it wasn't clear at all that a
Speaker 16: deal would ever happen. Katar got involved soon after those
Speaker 16: October seventh attacks and started trying to find a way
Speaker 16: to focus really on hostages and getting them back the US.
Speaker 16: The Biden administration was deeply involved in these talks as well,
Speaker 16: and you're right they did. There was this push to
Speaker 16: have all hostages released at once that didn't seem to
Speaker 16: be getting much traction, and Hamas came back with an
Speaker 16: offer of fifty fifty hostages in one trench and then
Speaker 16: put potentially more in the coming days. What we know
Speaker 16: is that the leader of Katar continued to stay very
Speaker 16: engaged in this and we UH, what we what we
Speaker 16: ended up seeing was was really in agreement to kind
Speaker 16: of kind of bridge that divide with the fifty UH.
Speaker 16: President Biden had had a conversation with President Prime Minister
Speaker 16: net Yahoo at one point and they really felt like
Speaker 16: this was probably the best deal they could get for now.
Speaker 16: The US was really encouraged by the early release of
Speaker 16: a couple Americans who were taken in the October seventh
Speaker 16: grade and UH, and they basically built on that. So
Speaker 16: they went from an initial request of fifty to to
Speaker 16: what could be dozens more than that. We kind of
Speaker 16: have to see where it goes. But the priority was
Speaker 16: always on initially on women and children and the elderly civilians,
Speaker 16: and then looking more at uh at soldiers from both sides.
Speaker 16: And I think that's where talks on further releases will
Speaker 16: get more complicated.
Speaker 4: And even as we see this deal i'll get implemented,
Speaker 4: as you say, possibly as soon as after tomorrow. Prime
Speaker 4: Minister Natan Yahoo is saying that this won't mean that
Speaker 4: the war itself is coming to an end. What should
Speaker 4: we expect when it comes to the fighting and the
Speaker 4: progress that Israel wants to make against Thomas once this
Speaker 4: potentially initial pause takes effect.
Speaker 16: Yeah, I mean, I think it's important to note that
Speaker 16: all sides are calling this a pause. I think I've
Speaker 16: seen the word true, so temporary truth, things like that.
Speaker 16: No one is calling this an end to the conflict.
Speaker 16: Before they voted to accept this agreement, they've said that
Speaker 16: the war will continue. They can they want to go
Speaker 16: after eliminating Hamas and returning all the hostages, and they said,
Speaker 16: you know, when this truce ends, they will they will
Speaker 16: go back in the fighting will zoom. So it's an
Speaker 16: important significant step here, but it's not the end of
Speaker 16: the conflict as we know in Okay.
Speaker 4: Bill Ferries, Bloomberg News senior editor joining us this morning
Speaker 4: after we learned that a deal has been instruck now
Speaker 4: between Israel and Hamas to pause the fighting in exchange
Speaker 4: for hostage releases at least some of the hostages initially
Speaker 4: being released from Gaza. Now we want to turn to
Speaker 4: the latest deal at open Ai. This saga that began
Speaker 4: last Friday may be over after intense pressure from investors.
Speaker 4: Sam Altman is returning as the CEO of the chat
Speaker 4: GPT parent company, and the board at OpenAI looks like
Speaker 4: it is about to go through a serious overhaul. Let's
Speaker 4: bring in Alex Web for more on this story. Covers
Speaker 4: tech for us for Bloomberg News and has been following
Speaker 4: this since the sudden ouster last Friday and now the
Speaker 4: sudden return. Help us make sense of this, Alex, I.
Speaker 17: Mean, it's a big victory for Microsoft. Essentially, the thing
Speaker 17: that appears to have happened, and this is what's on
Speaker 17: the reporting suggests last week is that one of the
Speaker 17: reasons Sam Wilton was ousted was concerned that he was
Speaker 17: prioritizing the commercial impulses of the company over what actually
Speaker 17: is mandate, namely to improve and this genuinely is the
Speaker 17: wording it is to work for the benefit of all humanity.
Speaker 17: Now Microsoft is almost certainly going to be getting greater oversight,
Speaker 17: greater sway at a board level over what happens at OpenAI.
Speaker 17: The company is therefore going to be run ever so
Speaker 17: slightly more in the interest of Microsoft, not necessarily in
Speaker 17: the interest of all humanity. The three members have been
Speaker 17: appointed to the board Adam DiAngelo, the Sea of Quorra,
Speaker 17: who was already on there. The new ones are going
Speaker 17: to be Larry Summers, of course, former Treasury Section under
Speaker 17: Bill Clinton, and Brett Taylor, the former co CEO of Salesforce.
Speaker 17: They are going to be as many as nine additional
Speaker 17: board members. The expectation is that perhaps two of those
Speaker 17: could be representatives of Microsoft, and Altman himself could well
Speaker 17: rejoin the board.
Speaker 4: And we should note in the interest of transparency that
Speaker 4: Larry Summers, along with joining the board at open Ai
Speaker 4: as a paid contributor to Bloomberg, with these additions, at
Speaker 4: least initial additions to the board, Alex, it sounds like
Speaker 4: that could be the bigger deal here than just simply
Speaker 4: the return of Sam Altman as the CEO.
Speaker 17: Yeah, the thing we'd heard on Monday from sat in Nodella,
Speaker 17: the Microsoft CEO, in an into a Bloomberg television he
Speaker 17: had said he wanted improvements to governance at open AI.
Speaker 17: It seems as though the board composition was the sticking
Speaker 17: point and why it took a good few days to
Speaker 17: reach a resolution, given that we had heard as early
Speaker 17: as Sunday that there were moved from both sides to
Speaker 17: bring Sam Altman back into the fold. When Nadella says
Speaker 17: he wants improvements to governance, everybody more or less understood
Speaker 17: that to mean he wanted Microsoft to have better inside.
Speaker 17: Because this completely blindsided Microsoft is firing of Sam Mortman
Speaker 17: and subsequent departure of Greg Brockman, the president of the company.
Speaker 17: Microsoft had no for forewarning of that. They learned it
Speaker 17: pretty much at the same time the rest of the
Speaker 17: world did. The understanding is it was maybe a few
Speaker 17: minutes before they put the rest release out or the
Speaker 17: post on their website app. So you know, surprises for
Speaker 17: big businesses are not considered good and that's clearly something
Speaker 17: that Microsoft wanted to fix.
Speaker 4: To your point earlier about this signaling the idea that
Speaker 4: this could take the open AI in the direction of
Speaker 4: where Microsoft wants to go. As opposed to the betterment
Speaker 4: of humanity. Talk a little bit more about what this
Speaker 4: could mean for open AI and the competition, this massive
Speaker 4: competition that we're seeing between Microsoft and so many of
Speaker 4: the other players in the artificial intelligence space. What could
Speaker 4: this mean down the line.
Speaker 17: So there are basically four big players, certainly in the
Speaker 17: Western hemisphere in this in you know, advanced artificial intelligence research.
Speaker 17: There's deep Mind, which is now Google deep Mind. It
Speaker 17: is part of Google. There is Microsoft sort of Meta
Speaker 17: AI research O clearly part of Meta. There is open ai,
Speaker 17: which is very closely aligned with Microsoft. And there is
Speaker 17: also an Anthropic which was founded by a bunch of
Speaker 17: departees from open Ai a few years ago. Google, Microsoft,
Speaker 17: and Amazon are the ones really competing in the cloud.
Speaker 17: And at the moment, the real way to make money
Speaker 17: from AI is in the cloud. It is from not
Speaker 17: necessarily selling the AI services to companies to use. It's
Speaker 17: the processing power needed to run those AI services, and
Speaker 17: that's where the margin really is. Google, Microsoft fams and
Speaker 17: can compete very fiercely in that space. Microsoft has this
Speaker 17: huge benefit from the relationship with open ai, but it
Speaker 17: does not technically own open ai. And then the way
Speaker 17: that Google owns DeepMind, so that's really the lay of
Speaker 17: the land when it comes to the battlefield. This will
Speaker 17: help Microsoft potentially by hewing them more closely still to
Speaker 17: their long term business goals.
Speaker 4: Let's talk about the other AI story that everyone was
Speaker 4: waiting for even before last Friday. Of course, that's the
Speaker 4: earnings from Nvidia. Another is a solid quarter, but the
Speaker 4: shares are dropping ever so slightly that this morning. What's
Speaker 4: the disconnect?
Speaker 17: I mean, look, the expectations first Company are absolutely sky high,
Speaker 17: and there was heading into the numbers some expectation that
Speaker 17: essentially a beat is a meat, right, People were expecting
Speaker 17: them to beat expectations, and if they didn't completely blow
Speaker 17: expectations out of the water, then there might be a
Speaker 17: little bit of profit taking. That certainly looks like what
Speaker 17: is happening now that the shares have been on such
Speaker 17: a tear in recent month, there's an opportunity for you know,
Speaker 17: some investors to maybe just cash in a little bit
Speaker 17: on that. It doesn't appear to be anything particularly catastrophic.
Speaker 17: There's still a lot of growth left in this company.
Speaker 17: The only question mark hetting forward is what is the
Speaker 17: exposure to China? They want more exposure, but it looks
Speaker 17: as though the government is cracking down on some of that.
Speaker 17: How big an impact will that have?
Speaker 18: This is Bloomberg Daybreak Today, your morning brief on the
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