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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast, PODYA, all right.

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Speaker 2: Here we go, fifteen Tunny twenty five, thirty thirty five,

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Speaker 2: Horny Cody five fifty and the kick as Block the

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Speaker 2: College Football World Stunner, Oh my goodness, please.

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Speaker 3: Stumbled and football the lateral turn a canter on the inside.

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Speaker 1: Don't you believe I'm not.

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Speaker 4: Gonna table off the field the night?

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Speaker 2: By God, it's not the size of the dog in

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Speaker 2: the fight. It's the size of the fight in the dog.

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Speaker 4: What's up the genernation? Welcome to the Big Bets on

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Speaker 4: Campus Podcast. This is the ACC Betting Preview Part two.

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Speaker 4: I'm stucky in joining me as always my fellow BBOC

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Speaker 4: co host Colin Wilson. We will cover the remaining nine

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Speaker 4: teams in the ACC, NC State, North Carolina, Pit, Boston College, Virginia, Syracuse, California,

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Speaker 4: Weak Forest, and Stanford, and we will also hit on

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Speaker 4: Notre Dame, which will conclude our preview of all one

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Speaker 4: hundred and thirty six college football teams. Make sure you

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Speaker 4: check out the previous pods. By the way. Week zero,

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Speaker 4: we will have a group of five preview. We will

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Speaker 4: have our preview, and then we will have a recap

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Speaker 4: episode with myself, Duck, Colin Breeze will recap all of

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Speaker 4: our favorite bets from all of the conferences based on

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Speaker 4: where the markets are at the time, and week one

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Speaker 4: we'll be here. We'll have two previews Week one. Live

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Speaker 4: shows will eventually be back after that, but we'll preview

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Speaker 4: like the Thursday and Friday games on one episode and

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Speaker 4: then the rest of the weekend, so we have We're

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Speaker 4: almost there people, We'll be here before you know it.

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Speaker 4: Windy City Watch Party Week zero, August twenty third, Joes

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Speaker 4: on Wheat Street in Chicago. I'll be there, Colin will

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Speaker 4: be there, Breze Duck producer Mat Mitchell. Doors open eleven

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Speaker 4: am for the kickoff in Dublin. Will be there all day, drinks,

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Speaker 4: sweating games, you know, off the RSVP. Just show up,

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Speaker 4: bring whoever you want, drinks on me. Looking forward to

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Speaker 4: meeting somebody all there. Kerner and Raybuni also be there

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Speaker 4: doing like a live NFL Fantasy draft type thing which

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Speaker 4: will be fun in the afternoon. All right, let's get

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Speaker 4: into it. We disagreed on everything in part one, literally

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Speaker 4: every team. Let's see if we agree or disagree on

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Speaker 4: part two. Let's start with notre Dame. Oh doniboy the

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Speaker 4: pipes pipe so from Landwood, the fighting Irish, who had

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Speaker 4: a hell of a year under Marcus Freeman, is doing

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Speaker 4: a really good job building this team, depth recruiting, This

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Speaker 4: isn't This program is in as good as shape as

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Speaker 4: it's been in maybe over thirty years. I kind of

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Speaker 4: remember for you painting on Freeman a little bit. I've

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Speaker 4: always loved Freeman. I know you've come around on him.

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Speaker 4: He's done a tremendous job, made it to the National

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Speaker 4: Championship Game last year. There are some questions with this

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Speaker 4: year's team. The secondary. You know, obviously you lose Watson

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Speaker 4: Morrison of the second should still be very very good. Linebacker,

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Speaker 4: you lose Kaiser, but the linebackers still should be very

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Speaker 4: very good. You also had DeVante Smith from Alabama to

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Speaker 4: play the nickel spot. The defensive line, you got some

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Speaker 4: a lot of talent at the defensive end position. You

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Speaker 4: do lose Cross and Mills, so I'm a little bit

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Speaker 4: worried about the defensive tackle. They're still gonna be good,

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Speaker 4: but could see a drop off there. Offensively is where

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Speaker 4: I'm worried the most about Notre Dame. Now, I think

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Speaker 4: they upgraded their weapons, right, like you bring in fields

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Speaker 4: and paulling for Collins and Mitchell, So I think they're

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Speaker 4: better at wide receiver, but tight end position worried about

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Speaker 4: they just had another injury as well, Like I'm not

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Speaker 4: sure Eli Raridan is the guy. Evans has gone off

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Speaker 4: to the NFL. Offensive line bring a lot back, but

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Speaker 4: jackasall got hurt, so that's worth noting.

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Speaker 2: I mean that it's just another day at the land

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Speaker 2: of Notre Dame and offensive lineman.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, they were able to overcome that last year, so

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Speaker 4: I feel like even want to talk about that much

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Speaker 4: because they were going to Texa and m But similar

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Speaker 4: to last year, there's season's gonna come down to the

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Speaker 4: beginning of the year. The running backs are loaded, led

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Speaker 4: by Love who might be the best in the country,

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Speaker 4: but you also have Price and Williams. They are elite, elite.

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Speaker 4: The question that I have is that quarterback because I'm

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Speaker 4: not hearing good things about CJ. Carr right now, Like

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Speaker 4: Kenny Minche is like neck and neck. According to some

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Speaker 4: Minche was like he's supposed to go to pitt and

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Speaker 4: then Notre Dame was just like, oh, we'll get you.

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Speaker 4: Because they didn't get more and now he might start

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Speaker 4: So like is Lloyd Carr. I lost a lot a

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Speaker 4: lot of money bet and Lloyd Carr now it's his grandson.

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Speaker 4: So I'm not hearing great things about CJ. Carr. Say

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Speaker 4: what you want about Leonard. He led them the national championship.

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Speaker 4: There could be a big drop off at quarterback. We'll see,

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Speaker 4: and you've got to be good right away, especially for

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Speaker 4: this wind total win total sitting at ten and a

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Speaker 4: half to the under minus one fifty ish, because your

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Speaker 4: schedule gets very easy late. It's at Miami and Texas

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Speaker 4: A and m Are your first two games. That's gonna

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Speaker 4: make or break your win total. Because then after that

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Speaker 4: it's Purdue at Arkansas, which maybe is tricky being at

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Speaker 4: Boys at home, NC State home USC won't be easy

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Speaker 4: at home, and then you get to buy. Then it's

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Speaker 4: at BC Navy at home, at pitt Syracuse at Stanford,

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Speaker 4: like you should take care of business. So very high

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Speaker 4: floor for this Notre Dame team, obviously one of the

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Speaker 4: best teams in the country, but there's questions, just like

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Speaker 4: a lot of the top teams with their quarterback. I

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Speaker 4: mean I have them powered at six going into the

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Speaker 4: year and I'm concerned about quarterback. Defense should be excellent.

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Speaker 4: Although Al Golden's gone, so new defensive coordinator Chris ash

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Speaker 4: spent the last four in the NFL.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, you're going a lot more coverage looks than what

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Speaker 2: you had before with with Al Golden.

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Speaker 4: But we'll see. It's all about TJ.

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Speaker 2: Carr.

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Speaker 4: That's they're gonna reach. I'm talking like to reach their potential. Yeah,

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Speaker 4: maybe it's bitchy like in order to win a national championship,

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Speaker 4: that's a Notre Dame standard right now where this program

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Speaker 4: is can carby that guy right away. Maybe it's next year,

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Speaker 4: but a lot of the pieces are in place. If

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Speaker 4: the quarterbacks there, your two hardest games are your first

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Speaker 4: two games. So what are you seeing with the fighting irish?

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Speaker 2: I mean, I would think that the is the line

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Speaker 2: being hit for Miami because CJ. Carr came out, had

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Speaker 2: three interceptions in his first practice and he hasn't really

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Speaker 2: followed that up really well either. But Kenny Minschhee, what's

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Speaker 2: the knock on this kid? He's just as highly touted.

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Speaker 2: I mean, he can play quarterback, you know, Jamiah Love.

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Speaker 2: The offensive line brings more experience of what they had

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Speaker 2: a year ago. At this time, so I'm really not

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Speaker 2: worried about that. But they're dominating the line of scrimmage

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Speaker 2: everybody they play slot Jaden Greathhouse. He has developed over

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Speaker 2: the last two years into an extremely explosive wide receiver

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Speaker 2: two point one yards per route run. That is a

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Speaker 2: major weapon for whoever does get to play quarterback out

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Speaker 2: of the slot. Best team nationally in defending the explosive pass.

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Speaker 2: I love notre Dame. I make them ten point five

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Speaker 2: to five. I would go over ten and a half

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Speaker 2: at plus money and look for maybe a potentially down

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Speaker 2: spot to get them out of. But I don't think

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Speaker 2: it's Texas A and M off of a bye. You know,

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Speaker 2: where's the gotcha game after that? On the rest of

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Speaker 2: the schedule.

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Speaker 4: Pitt even always loses one. That's the one he always

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Speaker 4: this is one he's not supposed to Marshall Northern Illinois.

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Speaker 4: You know, maybe it's a pit, maybe it's at BC,

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Speaker 4: maybe it's USC at home like USC.

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Speaker 2: So yeah, yeah, that's true.

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Speaker 4: So they start two and now Miami, Texas A and

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Speaker 4: M they're going to go over. Yeah, pig up one

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Speaker 4: and one. It's going to be a close race.

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Speaker 2: At ten and two Notre Dame team and every single

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Speaker 2: season is making the playoff, period. And even if they expanded,

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Speaker 2: I mean they maybe they could be nine to three,

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Speaker 2: but because of who they are and because of what

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Speaker 2: they are, ten and two makes the playoffs. So I

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Speaker 2: don't see them finishing with nine wins. On the schedule,

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Speaker 2: it's minus one sixty to make the playoff. That's essentially

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Speaker 2: over nine and a half minus one sixty. That's a

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Speaker 2: good bet. So I don't know where's your cutoff point

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Speaker 2: on them in the playoff?

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I theyk go ten to two. They're probably making it.

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Speaker 2: There's where they're not.

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Speaker 4: But it is Notre Dame. It's a TV show. Say

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Speaker 4: they would probably make it. I protect them ten point two,

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Speaker 4: but I am very worried about the quarterback. But definitely

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Speaker 4: an interesting case that Notre Dame will be in the

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Speaker 4: mix all the way until the end.

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Speaker 2: You want to take Miami week one, we'll see.

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Speaker 4: I still want to get more intel on Miami as well.

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Speaker 4: By the way, if you do see me play Miami,

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Speaker 4: it will come through on the award winning Action Network app.

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Speaker 4: And if you want to see every college wall pick

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Speaker 4: track for me, Colin and Duck this season you need

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Speaker 4: the Action Network AAP. We've got some huge improvements and

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Speaker 4: updates coming in the week's head very excited to share

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Speaker 4: them with you when they go live. But to get

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Speaker 4: the most out of the app, you'll need to also

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Speaker 4: be an Action Pro subscriber. With action Pro, you get

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Speaker 4: real time pick alerts from our entire Action of Work

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Speaker 4: team of experts, plus Action Pro projections powered by Sean

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Speaker 4: Kerner and our predictive analytics team. And that's just the

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Speaker 4: tip of the iceberg. BBOC listeners can save twenty dollars

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Speaker 4: bboc twenty for twenty dollars off the annual price of

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Speaker 4: Action Pro. Let's start with NC State.

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Speaker 3: The NC State will pack.

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Speaker 4: Oh, this is the program I think is falling behind

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Speaker 4: in the new world, just from ANIL perspective and the

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Speaker 4: way that they wanted to develop teams in the past.

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Speaker 4: They're gonna look a lot different. There's a new offensive coordinator,

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Speaker 4: Kurt Roper. I think they're probably gonna go more, more tempo.

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Speaker 4: He hasn't called on offense in eight years. The defense,

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Speaker 4: who was a really good defensive coordinator took the Marshall job.

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Speaker 4: Their defense also got gutted. Their defensive backs could be

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Speaker 4: really bad. I'm really concerned there defensive line. You lose

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Speaker 4: Van who did a lot for them, So there's a

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Speaker 4: lot of questions on this defense. Offensively, CJ. Bailey does

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Speaker 4: come back at quarterback. I like some of their weapons

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Speaker 4: that they have, you know, Smothers at running back, Rogers.

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Speaker 4: They need some other freshmen to step up at wide receiver.

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Speaker 4: But tight end Jolly, he's a stud or Jolie. I

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Speaker 4: love him. The former U con Tranceferd a huge year

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Speaker 4: last year. The problem is the offensive line. This is very,

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Speaker 4: very very shaky. You lose three to the NFL. You

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Speaker 4: know Ze Correll, your center, all acc your guard McKay

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Speaker 4: Belton who was drafted in the second round. So your

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Speaker 4: center might be can you guess where he's from?

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Speaker 2: Perdue?

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Speaker 4: Perdue, So it's gonna be a freshman starting on that

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Speaker 4: offense line. That offensive line really worries me, and it

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Speaker 4: really could all fall apart. So it might be a

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Speaker 4: long year for Nazis State. If you want to take

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Speaker 4: a long shot on the best you'll find out there,

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Speaker 4: fifty to one win total over six and a half,

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Speaker 4: best price out there plus one twenty five you want.

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Speaker 2: To go over.

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Speaker 4: They do avoid Clemson, SMU, and Louisville their ACC road games,

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Speaker 4: Duke Wake Forest, Pitt and Miami, but they only play

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Speaker 4: one of the projected bottom six in league play. It's

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Speaker 4: the one thing that I like about the schedule is

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Speaker 4: I am very, very worried about the secondary because their

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Speaker 4: whole secondary transferred out or went to the NFL, and

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Speaker 4: they transfer out the power for if you look at

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Speaker 4: their schedule, who really scares you from a passing perspective.

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Speaker 4: It's not the worst schedule for a potentially bad pass defense.

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Speaker 4: That's something that positive that I will say. But not

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Speaker 4: really a fan of this NC State team this year.

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Speaker 4: They scream it screams like a six and six team.

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Speaker 4: To me, I do project them like six four ish,

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Speaker 4: So I'm not going under, but I'm not particularly high

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Speaker 4: on this team. I think some overs early might be

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Speaker 4: valuable that I'm so mad I didn't hit THATCU. I

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Speaker 4: talked about this like a couple of weeks ago. The

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Speaker 4: ECUNC stayed over Week one and it's done nothing but

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Speaker 4: take money. I think it's going to be an absolute

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Speaker 4: shootout because I think he's to used. Defense takes a

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Speaker 4: big step back. There's probably be a lot of tempo

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Speaker 4: in this game. What are you seeing with the wolf back?

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Speaker 2: Well, I focus mostly on CJ. Bailey because I love

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Speaker 2: him coming down the stretch when he stay was able

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Speaker 2: to do it.

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Speaker 4: Remember freshman last year too.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, But then you know, you get into some of

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Speaker 2: his analytics, like he nearly had twice as many fumbles

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Speaker 2: as he had rushing tds. And then when you look

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Speaker 2: at his throwing fourteen big time throws to eighteen turnover

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Speaker 2: worth he plays now casey CONCEPTSI one is gone, So

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Speaker 2: your highest targets is just jolly probably the best tight

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Speaker 2: end in the ACC. But you know, he's got excellent

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Speaker 2: numbers and he's got and he's got even better numbers

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Speaker 2: as a blocker. But at the same time, like I

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Speaker 2: don't like his numbers in the passing game. He was

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Speaker 2: a freshman, so I give him a little bit of

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Speaker 2: a little bit of a pass there. But the number

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Speaker 2: of fumbles, like it's the reason why like for years

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Speaker 2: with Cam Moored, it's like, sure, you're gonna get twenty

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Speaker 2: rushing tds. You're gonna get twenty fumbles too, so CJ.

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Speaker 2: Bailey needs to clean that up. There are over one

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Speaker 2: hundred career starts on the offensive line, not that they

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Speaker 2: know each other. I don't think he can get much

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Speaker 2: worse than last year one hundred and twenty ninth than

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Speaker 2: Havoc allowed. That's just a huge red flag when you

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Speaker 2: want to back an offense, especially with a quarterback that

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Speaker 2: had more mistakes than big time throws. Defensively, it's interesting

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Speaker 2: DJ Eliot's going to come in and take over for

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Speaker 2: Tony Gibson. It looks like we're leaving the three three

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Speaker 2: five and going to the three four. Havoc is still everything.

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Speaker 2: Dj Eliot's saying they were seventeenth in Havoc last year,

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Speaker 2: top thirty and defending the rush. Can they keep up

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Speaker 2: with that? I actually make their number at seven, which

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Speaker 2: means I should be hitting the over. But when I

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Speaker 2: look at this, like, you know, no team faces inc

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Speaker 2: State off of a bye or back to back travel.

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Speaker 2: It's a pretty clean schedule, and then you travel a

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Speaker 2: Notre Dame and you host three of four in November.

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Speaker 2: But it's the toughest part of the slay Georgia Tech,

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Speaker 2: FSU North Carolina. Like, I can't go over on this team.

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Speaker 2: I know the mathematics say to do it. I lean

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Speaker 2: to the over, but new coordinators, new secondary, bad quarterback analytics.

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Speaker 2: I'm not going over on NC State because I agree

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Speaker 2: with your first thing that you very said. I think

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Speaker 2: NC State's on the down and I'm not going to

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Speaker 2: get over on that.

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Speaker 4: All right, let's be going to North Carolina, stay in state.

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Speaker 3: The UNC tar Heels.

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Speaker 4: Obviously a team in the news a lot in the

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Speaker 4: off season because they brought in none other than Bill

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Speaker 4: Belichick hook Fellas. I am sick of this. Okay, I

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Speaker 4: can't stand much more of this. It's a joke. It's

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Speaker 4: a joke. They also brought in his son, Steve from Washington,

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Speaker 4: makes the trip across country to become the defensive coordinator.

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Speaker 4: Freddy Kitchens stays on staff takes over as offensive coordinator.

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Speaker 4: As you'd expect, this team lost a ton. Geo Lopez

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Speaker 4: will take over at quarterback the South Alabama transfer. Can

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Speaker 4: he make the leap? Can he stay healthy at this level?

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Speaker 4: They lose seven of their top eight receivers. They lose Hampton,

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Speaker 4: who was everything to the offense ran for fifteen hundred

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Speaker 4: plus last year. I mean the offensive line has some

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Speaker 4: guys back. I like a couple of their ads, So

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Speaker 4: the offensive line has some potential. Kobe Payser has to

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Speaker 4: be he has to be at alpha, he has to

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Speaker 4: be that guy a wide receiver for them. But they

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Speaker 4: lost a lot defensively. Yeah, I mean, as you'd expect.

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Speaker 4: Their top eight defensive linemen are gone. Their two stud

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Speaker 4: linebackers are gone, one to the NFL, one de Penn State.

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Speaker 4: And in the defensive backfield, guess what, they lost a

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Speaker 4: lot as well. But the defense wasn't great last year.

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Speaker 4: To be fair, they bring in some Washington guys like Dixon,

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Speaker 4: who I like. Gibson. I also like another ECU transfer.

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Speaker 4: That ECU defense. I think it's gonna be really bad

307
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Speaker 4: by the way House I think, I mean, I like House.

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Speaker 4: They're they're linebackers. So there's Simpson comes from Boise at linebacker.

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Speaker 4: There's some there's some pieces to work with here. Also

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Speaker 4: along the defensive front. We'll see if what Belichick can do.

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Speaker 4: Obviously a high variants team like all these new pieces. Belichick,

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Speaker 4: how is this gonna work? Does he know how to

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Speaker 4: run a college team. Does he know how to manage

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Speaker 4: these kids to out the season. So we'll see. We'll

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Speaker 4: see if they're special teams. Takes a step back. They

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Speaker 4: were a top twenty unit last year. Here's the kicker.

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Speaker 4: Do you want to bet on North Carolina? You can

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Speaker 4: bet on the greatest NFL coach of all time, which

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Speaker 4: they I couldn't argue with. They're fifty to one. By

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Speaker 4: the way, best number you'll find out there. Win total

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Speaker 4: is like over seven and a half plus one forty

322
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Speaker 4: or over seven minus one forty best you'll find out there.

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Speaker 4: So the wind total is sitting somewhere between seven and

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Speaker 4: seven and a half. The schedule, they hit the scheduling lottery.

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Speaker 4: They avoid Miami, SMU, Louisville, Georgia Tech, Florida State Pit

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Speaker 4: There acc road games are QS, Wake, NC State, and Cal.

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Speaker 4: They only faced one of the top seven or eight

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Speaker 4: depending on where you have Duke, and that's Clemson and

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Speaker 4: they're coming off of a bye. We'll see what Belichick

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Speaker 4: can do with two weeks to repair for clen like

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Speaker 4: this schedule, it start off with TCU, won't be easy,

332
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Speaker 4: but then you know Charlotte and Richmond UCF on the

333
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Speaker 4: road is going to be down. So this schedule just

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Speaker 4: everything broke right for them from a scheduling perspective, Can

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Speaker 4: Bill make it work? I project seven and a half,

336
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Speaker 4: so I do show a little bit of value in

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Speaker 4: the error, but I just have no idea what to expect. Like,

338
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Speaker 4: I'm not going to sit here and be like this

339
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Speaker 4: is how it's going to go. I still want to

340
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Speaker 4: see how camp goes. They're one of two teams in

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Speaker 4: the league in the ACC that have a new quarterback,

342
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Speaker 4: head coach, offensive coordinator, and defensive coordinator. The other is

343
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Speaker 4: wake Forest. What are you seeing with the Heels just having.

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Speaker 2: A hard time finding one coach on this schedule that's

345
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Speaker 2: going to be able to outsmart not just Bill but

346
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Speaker 2: Steve right. I mean, at least Steve has a year

347
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Speaker 2: of experience as a defensive coordinator and we know, yeah,

348
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Speaker 2: well yeah, that's interesting. You know, I think we should

349
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Speaker 2: expect them, no matter what product they put in the

350
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Speaker 2: secondary and the linebacker, to have a good pass defense

351
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Speaker 2: because of what Steve Belichick has been able to produce.

352
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Speaker 2: My question more is around Freddy Kitchen's what he's going

353
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Speaker 2: to do with Go Lopez, because you know we've kind

354
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Speaker 2: of mismeshed a new offensive line together. I think this

355
00:18:11,840 --> 00:18:13,399
Speaker 2: offense can make something happen. I just don't know what

356
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Speaker 2: Freddy Kitchen is going to call really confused, kind of

357
00:18:16,240 --> 00:18:18,679
Speaker 2: a mystery, what this offense is going to be. I

358
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Speaker 2: don't have a bet on this. I can't do an

359
00:18:20,080 --> 00:18:23,040
Speaker 2: under or and over because there's too much mystery and

360
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Speaker 2: you just can't plug NFL guys in. And by the way,

361
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Speaker 2: there has been some success of NFL guys moving into

362
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Speaker 2: college and putting down pro style schemes, and college teams

363
00:18:31,200 --> 00:18:32,959
Speaker 2: don't how to do it because college has been so

364
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Speaker 2: flooded with the spread. I would lean to the under,

365
00:18:36,080 --> 00:18:38,479
Speaker 2: but the schedule's too soft. I believe the defense can

366
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Speaker 2: be picked up, and I love Geo Lopez, but I'm

367
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Speaker 2: not going to take an over at this number.

368
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Speaker 4: Yeah, huge range of outcomes from okay, like if you

369
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Speaker 4: wanted to sit there and you mention yourself the bet

370
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Speaker 4: at all it under, or you wanted to take a

371
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Speaker 4: flyer in fifty to one for some couch change because

372
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Speaker 4: of the schedule in Belichick and all the roster and certainty,

373
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Speaker 4: I couldn't argue with you either, but probably staying away

374
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Speaker 4: from me, and that's going to.

375
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Speaker 1: Pit the Pittsburgh Panthers. Watch out for Pat and ourgoozy.

376
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Speaker 4: Pitt had an up and down season, started seven and

377
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Speaker 4: oh finished ZHO to six.

378
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Speaker 2: A lot of flukey box scores. Remember when they got

379
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Speaker 2: to seven.

380
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Speaker 4: I mean that they should have lost a couple of games.

381
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Speaker 4: That Cincinnati game comes to mind. The schedule got tougher

382
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Speaker 4: and then to be fair, they do have a lot

383
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Speaker 4: of injuries. Yeah, quarterback and the offensive line. The defense

384
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Speaker 4: also wasn't as dominant as it has been in certain years.

385
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Speaker 4: They do have hosting back at quarterback. I'm not in

386
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Speaker 4: love with them. He did have ankle surgery in the offseason.

387
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Speaker 4: Desmond Reid. I love it running back. Can he stay

388
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Speaker 4: healthy the whole year? Young depth behind him. They do

389
00:19:43,040 --> 00:19:45,920
Speaker 4: lose their top receiver to the NFL and a tight

390
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Speaker 4: end of the NFL. I don't love their weapons. I

391
00:19:49,280 --> 00:19:51,439
Speaker 4: don't love the guys they brought in. I mean they didn't.

392
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Speaker 4: This is not a heavy portal team. So another team

393
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Speaker 4: that might be just from a program that might be

394
00:19:56,920 --> 00:20:00,280
Speaker 4: falling behind in the new college football landscape. Left side

395
00:20:00,280 --> 00:20:02,919
Speaker 4: of the offensive line going transfer heavy. Worry about that

396
00:20:03,040 --> 00:20:08,040
Speaker 4: as well, the defense. It's pit, so you can always

397
00:20:08,080 --> 00:20:10,160
Speaker 4: expect them to have a pretty good defensive line. They

398
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Speaker 4: lost a couple, but they have some guys there that

399
00:20:12,600 --> 00:20:15,200
Speaker 4: they brought in that are decent. The linebacker room is stacked.

400
00:20:15,960 --> 00:20:20,480
Speaker 4: The secondary is a bit of a concern for me.

401
00:20:21,840 --> 00:20:24,160
Speaker 4: You lose a good cornerback in safety, you have one

402
00:20:24,160 --> 00:20:26,320
Speaker 4: good and one coming back, and you lost one good

403
00:20:26,400 --> 00:20:29,840
Speaker 4: one another, so you need two guys to step up

404
00:20:29,840 --> 00:20:32,399
Speaker 4: in the secondary. And the secondary is so important for

405
00:20:32,400 --> 00:20:34,439
Speaker 4: what Pitt wants to do because they leave a lot

406
00:20:34,480 --> 00:20:36,639
Speaker 4: of guys on islands, play a lot of quarters as well.

407
00:20:37,400 --> 00:20:39,720
Speaker 4: So we'll see if they can figure out the secondary.

408
00:20:39,760 --> 00:20:43,760
Speaker 4: But the defense does have potential. Special teams was elite

409
00:20:43,840 --> 00:20:45,600
Speaker 4: last year. They do lose their stud kicker, we'll see

410
00:20:45,600 --> 00:20:48,760
Speaker 4: if they can be as good. Explosive passing, it was

411
00:20:48,800 --> 00:20:51,000
Speaker 4: an issue on both sides of the ball. They got

412
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Speaker 4: to shore that up. They got to get more explosive,

413
00:20:52,800 --> 00:20:55,240
Speaker 4: and they got to limit some of the explosives on defense.

414
00:20:55,440 --> 00:20:57,159
Speaker 4: That's kind of the nature of the pit defense. If

415
00:20:57,160 --> 00:20:59,639
Speaker 4: they're not firing on all cylinders, then their secondary isn't

416
00:21:00,160 --> 00:21:03,159
Speaker 4: very strong. They're going to give up explosives just based

417
00:21:03,160 --> 00:21:06,960
Speaker 4: on their scheme. From a scheduling perspective, they do avoid Clemson,

418
00:21:07,280 --> 00:21:11,800
Speaker 4: they avoid SMU, they get It's a it's an odd

419
00:21:11,800 --> 00:21:15,440
Speaker 4: schedule because they get Notre Dame Miami in Louisville, but

420
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Speaker 4: they're all at home, Florida State and Georgia Tech on

421
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Speaker 4: the road. The rest of the schedule is pretty manageable.

422
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Speaker 4: We'll see how good West Virginia is. That's not an

423
00:21:23,720 --> 00:21:26,120
Speaker 4: easy game on the road, but a lot of they're

424
00:21:26,160 --> 00:21:29,360
Speaker 4: tougher games are at home, and then like you're going

425
00:21:29,359 --> 00:21:33,959
Speaker 4: to QS, you're going to Stanford. We'll see if they

426
00:21:33,960 --> 00:21:37,720
Speaker 4: can take care of business in those games. Like this

427
00:21:37,800 --> 00:21:41,359
Speaker 4: schedule there they could be like last year, they start

428
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Speaker 4: off hot, faded. I don't like a lot of their

429
00:21:44,200 --> 00:21:46,920
Speaker 4: depth at certain positions because they're the close is brutal.

430
00:21:47,640 --> 00:21:50,760
Speaker 4: Notre Dame at Georgia Tech, Miami at home, but maybe

431
00:21:50,760 --> 00:21:53,600
Speaker 4: that Miami with the weather that helps you a bit.

432
00:21:54,080 --> 00:21:56,440
Speaker 4: If you're looking to take a long shot on pitt Best,

433
00:21:56,440 --> 00:21:58,080
Speaker 4: you'll find out they're forty five to one to win

434
00:21:58,119 --> 00:22:01,720
Speaker 4: the ACC over six and a half plus is the

435
00:22:01,760 --> 00:22:05,320
Speaker 4: best number you'll find out there. I project six point

436
00:22:05,320 --> 00:22:10,280
Speaker 4: twenty five. Don't love this team but it's the acc

437
00:22:10,440 --> 00:22:12,560
Speaker 4: there's some wins out there to be had. What are

438
00:22:12,560 --> 00:22:13,560
Speaker 4: you seeing with the Panthers?

439
00:22:13,640 --> 00:22:14,680
Speaker 2: Disagree? I love him?

440
00:22:14,880 --> 00:22:18,359
Speaker 4: Uh wow, Look you're a Holdstein guy.

441
00:22:18,760 --> 00:22:22,240
Speaker 2: No, I'm a defensive Nardoozy guy. Also, tons of injuries

442
00:22:22,240 --> 00:22:24,320
Speaker 2: after a seven oh start, I understand there was a

443
00:22:24,359 --> 00:22:26,760
Speaker 2: lot of fraud box score they covered just one game

444
00:22:26,800 --> 00:22:28,879
Speaker 2: after that. I think it caught up with them enough

445
00:22:29,080 --> 00:22:31,639
Speaker 2: to where they they burned off that good luck at

446
00:22:31,640 --> 00:22:33,560
Speaker 2: the end of last year. So there's not really a

447
00:22:33,640 --> 00:22:37,160
Speaker 2: whole lot from the offense. I do like offensive coordinator

448
00:22:37,240 --> 00:22:39,760
Speaker 2: Cae Bell, who came in, you know, from Western Carolina,

449
00:22:39,800 --> 00:22:43,639
Speaker 2: because they finished fifth in tempo, which is what oh

450
00:22:43,720 --> 00:22:45,960
Speaker 2: yeah up Temple offen Yah yeah, Temple all the time.

451
00:22:46,000 --> 00:22:48,280
Speaker 2: So but really the defense. Nine of the top thirteen

452
00:22:48,320 --> 00:22:50,439
Speaker 2: tacklers are back. Edge Jimmy Scott led the team with

453
00:22:50,440 --> 00:22:53,120
Speaker 2: forty pressures. Linebacker Rashie Bios led the team with five

454
00:22:53,160 --> 00:22:57,680
Speaker 2: PBUs Insane coverage numbers from a linebacker perspective for Bios

455
00:22:57,920 --> 00:23:01,680
Speaker 2: one hundred percent. Expecting Nardoozy defense to replicate the rank

456
00:23:01,760 --> 00:23:04,480
Speaker 2: of fourteenth and havoc. That's just what Nardoozi does. They

457
00:23:04,480 --> 00:23:08,160
Speaker 2: were third in line yards I completely expect these numbers

458
00:23:08,160 --> 00:23:10,399
Speaker 2: in these analytics, they could be better from a quality

459
00:23:10,440 --> 00:23:13,480
Speaker 2: drives and finishing drives perspective. Both around sixtieth about mid

460
00:23:14,160 --> 00:23:17,280
Speaker 2: FBS special teams were in the top twenty. Again, there's

461
00:23:17,320 --> 00:23:19,040
Speaker 2: a lot about this team that I like. And then

462
00:23:19,080 --> 00:23:21,720
Speaker 2: with the schedule, they're gonna start two to zero and

463
00:23:21,800 --> 00:23:24,760
Speaker 2: then they're going to take their defense, their top twenty

464
00:23:24,800 --> 00:23:27,159
Speaker 2: run defense, and they're gonna go face West Virginia and

465
00:23:27,200 --> 00:23:29,000
Speaker 2: what does rich Rod want to do? I think they

466
00:23:29,080 --> 00:23:32,159
Speaker 2: win the brawl. I think Pitt wins the brawl. A

467
00:23:32,280 --> 00:23:34,960
Speaker 2: nice bye week comes in before hosting Louisville as a dog.

468
00:23:35,200 --> 00:23:36,800
Speaker 2: I'm not saying they're gonna be Louisville, but it's a

469
00:23:36,800 --> 00:23:39,320
Speaker 2: bad spot on back to back travel from Florida State

470
00:23:39,320 --> 00:23:41,040
Speaker 2: to Syracuse. Orange are going to be off a bye

471
00:23:41,040 --> 00:23:43,040
Speaker 2: week there. But then they get a great scheduling break

472
00:23:43,320 --> 00:23:45,320
Speaker 2: when they have a bye week before hosting Notre Dame.

473
00:23:45,359 --> 00:23:46,720
Speaker 2: Not that they can win the game, it's just good

474
00:23:46,680 --> 00:23:48,320
Speaker 2: that they have the time off. So I think the

475
00:23:48,359 --> 00:23:50,960
Speaker 2: AEC scheduling CODs for sending Miami up there is the

476
00:23:51,040 --> 00:23:54,200
Speaker 2: last game of the year. That's a gift. I like

477
00:23:54,240 --> 00:23:56,360
Speaker 2: the over I make it seven point one. I think

478
00:23:56,400 --> 00:23:58,159
Speaker 2: the defense is going to be just as potent. I

479
00:23:58,160 --> 00:24:00,119
Speaker 2: think Holstein could get a little bit more protect and

480
00:24:00,200 --> 00:24:02,840
Speaker 2: I think those turnover where he plays twenty them is

481
00:24:02,880 --> 00:24:04,919
Speaker 2: a lot. There's a lot of mistakes. But if the

482
00:24:04,920 --> 00:24:07,240
Speaker 2: offensive line protects him a little bit more, we have

483
00:24:07,240 --> 00:24:09,760
Speaker 2: a little bit better luck. From the injury standpoint here,

484
00:24:10,280 --> 00:24:12,119
Speaker 2: I think we can get over this number. And again

485
00:24:12,200 --> 00:24:15,280
Speaker 2: I've said it before. This schedule it breaks well in

486
00:24:15,320 --> 00:24:17,400
Speaker 2: places that they needed it to break. I'm gonna stick

487
00:24:17,400 --> 00:24:19,560
Speaker 2: with pit here. I'm gonna go over plus one fifteen

488
00:24:19,560 --> 00:24:20,399
Speaker 2: over six and a half.

489
00:24:20,920 --> 00:24:23,639
Speaker 4: Yeah, again, we disagree. No, thank you on Pitt, but

490
00:24:23,760 --> 00:24:24,840
Speaker 4: I was wrong on them last year.

491
00:24:25,480 --> 00:24:29,640
Speaker 1: Let's move on to Boston College, the Boston College Eagles.

492
00:24:30,240 --> 00:24:31,879
Speaker 4: Do you know how easy this is for me? Do

493
00:24:31,920 --> 00:24:33,680
Speaker 4: you have any fucking idea how easy this? This is

494
00:24:33,720 --> 00:24:36,119
Speaker 4: a fucking joke. You want to take a shot on

495
00:24:36,160 --> 00:24:37,639
Speaker 4: them one hundred and fifty to one, so the best

496
00:24:37,680 --> 00:24:40,080
Speaker 4: you'll find out there over five and a half plus

497
00:24:40,119 --> 00:24:43,080
Speaker 4: one ten so to get to a bowl plus money,

498
00:24:43,240 --> 00:24:44,680
Speaker 4: basically what you're betting on if you want to bet

499
00:24:44,720 --> 00:24:49,800
Speaker 4: their win total quarterback battle here, we'll see if it's

500
00:24:50,320 --> 00:24:52,840
Speaker 4: Grayson James, who took over for Costianus last year, or

501
00:24:53,080 --> 00:24:55,520
Speaker 4: Dylan Lonergan, the Bama transfer. I think Lonergan gives him

502
00:24:55,520 --> 00:24:57,520
Speaker 4: a higher ceiling, so I be curious to see who

503
00:24:57,560 --> 00:25:00,320
Speaker 4: wins that job. Both are a better fit for what

504
00:25:00,359 --> 00:25:05,080
Speaker 4: O'Brien wants to do running back room. They're fine wide receiver,

505
00:25:05,200 --> 00:25:08,960
Speaker 4: got some experience coming back. What I'm worried about is

506
00:25:09,000 --> 00:25:11,680
Speaker 4: the offensive line. This is not a heavy portal team.

507
00:25:11,680 --> 00:25:15,080
Speaker 4: They only they might only start one one player from

508
00:25:15,080 --> 00:25:17,760
Speaker 4: the portal, but this is a transition here for BC.

509
00:25:17,880 --> 00:25:20,199
Speaker 4: In my opinion, it all comes down to BC like

510
00:25:20,240 --> 00:25:21,919
Speaker 4: they want to develop. I have respect that Brian as

511
00:25:21,960 --> 00:25:24,879
Speaker 4: a coach, they want to develop in the trenches. They

512
00:25:24,960 --> 00:25:27,720
Speaker 4: usually have sent a lot of offensive linemen to the NFL. Well,

513
00:25:27,760 --> 00:25:31,520
Speaker 4: they sent three from last year's team, and I'm not

514
00:25:31,560 --> 00:25:33,760
Speaker 4: sure that they're going to be anywhere close to the

515
00:25:33,840 --> 00:25:35,199
Speaker 4: level they were at last year. It's the team that

516
00:25:35,200 --> 00:25:38,720
Speaker 4: wants to run the ball, set a play action, so

517
00:25:38,920 --> 00:25:41,080
Speaker 4: the offensive line to take I think takes a big

518
00:25:41,119 --> 00:25:43,960
Speaker 4: step back, and the same with the defensive line. You

519
00:25:44,040 --> 00:25:47,520
Speaker 4: send two to the NFL, including one of the best

520
00:25:47,560 --> 00:25:51,240
Speaker 4: players in the ACC and as a rouquet from their

521
00:25:51,240 --> 00:25:53,479
Speaker 4: defensive end who did so much for them, and Horsely

522
00:25:53,520 --> 00:25:56,280
Speaker 4: their nose tackle is also gone. And you're just not

523
00:25:56,400 --> 00:26:01,560
Speaker 4: replacing NFL caliber lineman with high level guys like it's

524
00:26:01,680 --> 00:26:03,800
Speaker 4: it's some depth guys that on the offensive line that

525
00:26:03,800 --> 00:26:05,520
Speaker 4: struggled a couple of years ago when they started, or

526
00:26:05,560 --> 00:26:09,480
Speaker 4: some lower level guys. So I think I like the secondary.

527
00:26:10,800 --> 00:26:12,840
Speaker 4: I like Crouch at linebacker. The secondary, they had a

528
00:26:12,840 --> 00:26:14,520
Speaker 4: ton of injuries. I show a ton of guys stepped up.

529
00:26:14,560 --> 00:26:17,720
Speaker 4: They have a lot of pieces to work within the secondary.

530
00:26:17,800 --> 00:26:20,640
Speaker 4: But I think this story of BC this year big

531
00:26:20,880 --> 00:26:22,879
Speaker 4: step back in the trenches, and when that happens, they

532
00:26:22,960 --> 00:26:26,120
Speaker 4: usually finish five and seven. I think that's where they're headed.

533
00:26:26,119 --> 00:26:29,040
Speaker 4: There's just you know, it's not a team that's infusing

534
00:26:29,080 --> 00:26:32,399
Speaker 4: itself with a ton of talent every offseason, and I

535
00:26:32,480 --> 00:26:35,520
Speaker 4: think this is a transition year. We'll see I kind

536
00:26:35,520 --> 00:26:36,679
Speaker 4: of like some of the pieces in the back end.

537
00:26:36,680 --> 00:26:38,960
Speaker 4: Like I mentioned, they're gonna play Nickel on like ninety

538
00:26:39,000 --> 00:26:43,400
Speaker 4: percent of snaps. From a scheduling perspective, they host Clemson,

539
00:26:43,480 --> 00:26:46,680
Speaker 4: notreed Aime in SMU. I think that's bad. Those are

540
00:26:46,840 --> 00:26:48,520
Speaker 4: games I think you'd rather have on the road because

541
00:26:48,520 --> 00:26:52,400
Speaker 4: you're probably not going to win them anyway. They don't

542
00:26:52,400 --> 00:26:56,200
Speaker 4: have a buy for like, I don't know, seven or

543
00:26:56,200 --> 00:27:00,000
Speaker 4: eight straight weeks. So they start with Fordham at Michigan State,

544
00:27:00,160 --> 00:27:03,399
Speaker 4: at Stanford, then cal at Home. You got to start

545
00:27:03,400 --> 00:27:06,200
Speaker 4: like I think three and one, minimum two and two,

546
00:27:07,520 --> 00:27:09,840
Speaker 4: but I think to go to a bowl because their

547
00:27:09,920 --> 00:27:13,760
Speaker 4: last eight games are vicious, vicious.

548
00:27:13,400 --> 00:27:17,439
Speaker 2: And a lot of teams off buys, and that they're at.

549
00:27:17,320 --> 00:27:20,960
Speaker 4: Pitt then Clemson Yukon, who comes off a bye before

550
00:27:21,040 --> 00:27:25,639
Speaker 4: you go to Louisville, Notre Dame, SMU Georgia Tech, and

551
00:27:25,680 --> 00:27:31,840
Speaker 4: then finish at Syracuse. That is brutal as brutal as

552
00:27:31,920 --> 00:27:34,720
Speaker 4: you can get for a final eight game stretch. So

553
00:27:35,359 --> 00:27:37,040
Speaker 4: you got to try to start three in one ear

554
00:27:37,119 --> 00:27:39,240
Speaker 4: to give yourself a chance, a good shot at a bowl.

555
00:27:39,280 --> 00:27:41,359
Speaker 4: In my opinion, I think this just comes out of

556
00:27:41,359 --> 00:27:44,080
Speaker 4: the trenches too much of a step back. I project

557
00:27:44,080 --> 00:27:46,960
Speaker 4: a little under five and a half, so I'm not

558
00:27:47,040 --> 00:27:49,160
Speaker 4: too far away from market, but it certainly would lean

559
00:27:49,240 --> 00:27:51,600
Speaker 4: under what are you seeing with the Eagles.

560
00:27:51,720 --> 00:27:53,960
Speaker 2: I'm at five point six, so it's a complete pass.

561
00:27:54,040 --> 00:27:55,280
Speaker 2: I think if I could get a game of the

562
00:27:55,280 --> 00:27:58,480
Speaker 2: airline on CAL visiting Boston College, I would definitely back

563
00:27:58,520 --> 00:28:00,840
Speaker 2: the Eagles on that one. Will be on back to

564
00:28:00,880 --> 00:28:03,040
Speaker 2: back travel, Boston College will be off of a bye

565
00:28:03,040 --> 00:28:06,159
Speaker 2: that has some serious miles there, and I wonder what

566
00:28:06,200 --> 00:28:08,960
Speaker 2: time they'll schedule that game, So that is definitely a

567
00:28:08,960 --> 00:28:11,480
Speaker 2: place where I would be looking to back Boston College.

568
00:28:11,520 --> 00:28:13,560
Speaker 2: But the remainder of the schedule, I mean Yukon's off

569
00:28:13,560 --> 00:28:15,639
Speaker 2: of by Notre Dames, off of by Georgia Tech is

570
00:28:15,680 --> 00:28:19,000
Speaker 2: off of bye. Does Boston College not have do they

571
00:28:19,000 --> 00:28:20,440
Speaker 2: have three or four wins? And do they treat that

572
00:28:20,480 --> 00:28:23,280
Speaker 2: Syracuse game as their bowl? I agree with you, it's

573
00:28:23,320 --> 00:28:26,639
Speaker 2: a complete transition year. I'm making five point six right

574
00:28:26,680 --> 00:28:28,760
Speaker 2: on the number, so I'm going to pass, But look

575
00:28:28,760 --> 00:28:30,800
Speaker 2: at that September twenty seventh number. I do want Boston

576
00:28:30,800 --> 00:28:31,560
Speaker 2: College against Cal.

577
00:28:32,320 --> 00:28:35,400
Speaker 4: I will be bet at BC against smud Ben Don Again,

578
00:28:36,119 --> 00:28:38,480
Speaker 4: quick heads up to anybody playing fantasy football this season,

579
00:28:38,800 --> 00:28:41,720
Speaker 4: The ultimate twenty twenty five draft kid is here courtesy

580
00:28:41,720 --> 00:28:44,600
Speaker 4: of our Fantasy Labs team. That means our guys Sean

581
00:28:44,640 --> 00:28:47,880
Speaker 4: Kerner and Chris Raybond have their rankings, tiers and cheat

582
00:28:47,880 --> 00:28:51,320
Speaker 4: sheets ready for you. But first to get them. You'll

583
00:28:51,360 --> 00:28:54,360
Speaker 4: need a Fantasy Lab subscription, and right now new subscribers

584
00:28:54,400 --> 00:28:57,000
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585
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586
00:29:00,680 --> 00:29:04,520
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587
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588
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589
00:29:12,920 --> 00:29:16,040
Speaker 4: All right, let's move on to Syracuse.

590
00:29:16,880 --> 00:29:19,080
Speaker 3: The Syracuse Orange.

591
00:29:18,960 --> 00:29:21,680
Speaker 4: Had a dream season last year, won ten games. I

592
00:29:21,800 --> 00:29:23,800
Speaker 4: was dead wrong on them last year, but they're probably

593
00:29:23,840 --> 00:29:27,200
Speaker 4: gonna take a massive step back. Their win total is

594
00:29:27,320 --> 00:29:29,800
Speaker 4: down to you can go under five and half minus

595
00:29:29,800 --> 00:29:32,280
Speaker 4: one eighty five or like under five minus one twenty

596
00:29:33,240 --> 00:29:35,000
Speaker 4: one hundred to one is the best number you find

597
00:29:35,000 --> 00:29:39,360
Speaker 4: out to win the ACC. This team got gludded. They

598
00:29:39,400 --> 00:29:41,800
Speaker 4: lost seven of their top ten tackles, but more importantly,

599
00:29:41,920 --> 00:29:48,320
Speaker 4: their offense just was destroyed. I mean, you lose everyone important. McCord,

600
00:29:48,360 --> 00:29:50,959
Speaker 4: your quarterback to the NFL Leaquinn Allen, your running back

601
00:29:51,120 --> 00:29:52,800
Speaker 4: was also so good out of the back of the

602
00:29:52,800 --> 00:29:56,720
Speaker 4: catching the ball, your top three receivers for starting offensive linemen.

603
00:29:57,120 --> 00:29:58,640
Speaker 4: I don't like a lot of the guys they brought

604
00:29:58,640 --> 00:30:01,760
Speaker 4: in along the offensive line. We'll see how the quarterback.

605
00:30:01,760 --> 00:30:04,720
Speaker 4: There is a quarterback battle here. Collins kind of the

606
00:30:04,760 --> 00:30:07,440
Speaker 4: more talented guy with more upside, but not his experienced

607
00:30:07,800 --> 00:30:09,760
Speaker 4: and Jelly's kind of like the veteran.

608
00:30:10,680 --> 00:30:17,240
Speaker 3: Peanup peanut butter and cherry. Peanut, peanut butter and cherry.

609
00:30:17,880 --> 00:30:21,320
Speaker 4: This offense might take a bigger step back than any

610
00:30:21,360 --> 00:30:23,920
Speaker 4: other team in the country. We know they're going to

611
00:30:24,120 --> 00:30:25,880
Speaker 4: I mean, they're one of the most past heavy teams

612
00:30:25,920 --> 00:30:27,800
Speaker 4: in the country that will at least they were last year,

613
00:30:28,480 --> 00:30:29,719
Speaker 4: so we know they're going to try to throw it.

614
00:30:30,000 --> 00:30:32,360
Speaker 4: And they just lost so much from a quarterback, running back,

615
00:30:32,920 --> 00:30:38,120
Speaker 4: wide receiver, offensive line perspective. This offense major step back defensively.

616
00:30:38,640 --> 00:30:43,280
Speaker 4: There's questions as well. I am super low on this

617
00:30:43,400 --> 00:30:49,560
Speaker 4: Syracuse team. Cherry on top is this schedule is brutal.

618
00:30:51,080 --> 00:30:53,479
Speaker 4: It is an impossible road schedule, the hardest away from

619
00:30:53,520 --> 00:30:55,320
Speaker 4: home schedule in the country. You start with Tennessee and

620
00:30:55,320 --> 00:30:59,200
Speaker 4: Atlanta at Clemson, at SMU, at Georgia Tech, at Miami

621
00:30:59,280 --> 00:31:04,120
Speaker 4: at Notre Dame. Like they're going on six there, so

622
00:31:04,520 --> 00:31:06,240
Speaker 4: in order to go over in order to get to six,

623
00:31:06,320 --> 00:31:10,240
Speaker 4: can they sweep at home Verus ukon Colgate, Duke, UNC,

624
00:31:10,720 --> 00:31:15,520
Speaker 4: Pitt BC. I say no, and I think that there's

625
00:31:15,560 --> 00:31:18,480
Speaker 4: a better chance than having three or four wins and

626
00:31:18,680 --> 00:31:21,240
Speaker 4: six or seven. I will be on the under. I

627
00:31:21,280 --> 00:31:22,200
Speaker 4: project them at four.

628
00:31:22,760 --> 00:31:24,600
Speaker 2: Yeah, that's exactly where I got them.

629
00:31:24,720 --> 00:31:26,920
Speaker 4: Uh so I will be going under. Even though this

630
00:31:27,040 --> 00:31:32,080
Speaker 4: is moved. There's look out for the demetri sample Samuel,

631
00:31:32,200 --> 00:31:37,520
Speaker 4: there's stud true Frost. He's like their version of Travis Hunter.

632
00:31:37,840 --> 00:31:40,600
Speaker 4: He's probably gonna start at corner and he's probably gonna

633
00:31:40,600 --> 00:31:44,960
Speaker 4: play some receiver, really exciting player. We'll see what he

634
00:31:45,000 --> 00:31:48,680
Speaker 4: can do. But this schedule is it's just absolutely brutal.

635
00:31:48,720 --> 00:31:52,240
Speaker 4: And they lost so much. I mean on the defensive

636
00:31:52,240 --> 00:31:55,400
Speaker 4: side too. You lose all four all ac AC guys,

637
00:31:55,720 --> 00:31:58,280
Speaker 4: all four all a CC guys. You lost Diggs, your

638
00:31:58,280 --> 00:32:00,560
Speaker 4: best pass rusher, to the NFL. You lost both of

639
00:32:00,560 --> 00:32:04,640
Speaker 4: your linebackers Wax under the NFL. You lost Clark and Lewis,

640
00:32:04,640 --> 00:32:07,600
Speaker 4: your defensive backs to the NFL. And then in the

641
00:32:07,640 --> 00:32:11,240
Speaker 4: spring you lose Watson and Edwards who were probably we're

642
00:32:11,280 --> 00:32:13,440
Speaker 4: going to start, and then you lost Bellamy and Gold

643
00:32:13,640 --> 00:32:17,440
Speaker 4: to UCF. They were probably going to start. So I mean,

644
00:32:17,600 --> 00:32:19,840
Speaker 4: this schedule is just brutal. They faced seven of the

645
00:32:19,840 --> 00:32:25,040
Speaker 4: top nine away from home schedule is the leak to

646
00:32:25,160 --> 00:32:30,480
Speaker 4: illustrate how tough it is. If you look, if you

647
00:32:30,560 --> 00:32:33,480
Speaker 4: take the seeds, so the projected seeds, so I got

648
00:32:33,840 --> 00:32:38,200
Speaker 4: I might projected one through seventeen. If you take all

649
00:32:38,240 --> 00:32:41,520
Speaker 4: the road games in the ACC. So say you faced

650
00:32:42,160 --> 00:32:44,920
Speaker 4: the number one projected at number ten, that would be eleven.

651
00:32:45,160 --> 00:32:47,200
Speaker 4: If you add up all the road games of the Seeds,

652
00:32:48,600 --> 00:32:57,640
Speaker 4: Syracuse is at ten. The next lowest is twenty four. Like,

653
00:32:57,840 --> 00:33:01,520
Speaker 4: it is absolutely brutal. They lost the scheduled lottery. If

654
00:33:01,560 --> 00:33:04,239
Speaker 4: I'm a fan, I'm happy with that though. Yeah, but

655
00:33:04,280 --> 00:33:06,160
Speaker 4: you went fran Brown the Keith momentum. You probably want

656
00:33:06,160 --> 00:33:07,360
Speaker 4: to try to get to a bowl. But this is

657
00:33:07,520 --> 00:33:09,480
Speaker 4: going to be a rebuilding year. It's gonna be a

658
00:33:09,520 --> 00:33:12,120
Speaker 4: long season for Quse. What say you?

659
00:33:12,720 --> 00:33:14,520
Speaker 2: Uh? I agree with everything you said, and I'm on

660
00:33:14,520 --> 00:33:18,320
Speaker 2: the under two. Yeah, yeah, I agree. I make the

661
00:33:18,360 --> 00:33:20,560
Speaker 2: win total at four. Let me tell you what bothers me,

662
00:33:20,600 --> 00:33:22,440
Speaker 2: Because you did a pretty good job covering everything else,

663
00:33:22,440 --> 00:33:25,040
Speaker 2: So let me tell you what bothers me. Fran Brown

664
00:33:25,120 --> 00:33:26,960
Speaker 2: comes in from Georgia, is a defensive he was a

665
00:33:26,960 --> 00:33:30,560
Speaker 2: defensive back coach at Georgia UH and that was a

666
00:33:30,880 --> 00:33:35,360
Speaker 2: very highly respected hire. Turkeys finished one hundred and thirtyth

667
00:33:35,360 --> 00:33:38,200
Speaker 2: and creating a contested catch. Last year they finished one

668
00:33:38,280 --> 00:33:41,000
Speaker 2: hundred and eleven the PFF coverage grading. They finished one

669
00:33:41,040 --> 00:33:43,480
Speaker 2: hundred and twelfth in defensive passing success rate and one

670
00:33:43,560 --> 00:33:46,640
Speaker 2: hundred and twentyeth and giving up pass explosives. I'm not

671
00:33:46,720 --> 00:33:50,000
Speaker 2: impressed with. Like, the job that fran Brown was supposed

672
00:33:50,040 --> 00:33:52,760
Speaker 2: to do was clean up this defense. So I'm going

673
00:33:52,840 --> 00:33:55,200
Speaker 2: under I don't believe in this coaching staff whatsoever.

674
00:33:56,360 --> 00:33:58,160
Speaker 4: They just want to limit explosives is really what they're

675
00:33:58,160 --> 00:33:59,840
Speaker 4: trying to do. And then they want to just try

676
00:33:59,840 --> 00:34:03,240
Speaker 4: to create a negative play. But you lose digs, you

677
00:34:03,280 --> 00:34:05,120
Speaker 4: lose your linebackers. It was two cool it was two

678
00:34:05,120 --> 00:34:06,760
Speaker 4: defensive backs of the NFL, and you lose a bunch

679
00:34:06,800 --> 00:34:07,400
Speaker 4: of the spring Lake.

680
00:34:08,080 --> 00:34:09,600
Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't believe in this coaching staff.

681
00:34:09,640 --> 00:34:12,640
Speaker 4: Under all right, let's move on to Virginia.

682
00:34:13,239 --> 00:34:15,000
Speaker 3: The Virginia Cavaliers.

683
00:34:15,400 --> 00:34:16,840
Speaker 4: I want to take a shot and get one hundred

684
00:34:16,880 --> 00:34:18,560
Speaker 4: to one to win the ACC over six and a

685
00:34:18,560 --> 00:34:24,240
Speaker 4: half plus one thirty. This is Tony Elliott desperation mode.

686
00:34:24,480 --> 00:34:28,200
Speaker 4: He's eleven and twenty five. They brought in a ton

687
00:34:28,239 --> 00:34:31,920
Speaker 4: of guys in the portal. They lost one at their

688
00:34:31,960 --> 00:34:36,080
Speaker 4: projected tackle in the spring who got hurt. But they

689
00:34:36,080 --> 00:34:37,520
Speaker 4: got to fix their offense on. They did have a

690
00:34:37,560 --> 00:34:40,160
Speaker 4: ton of injuries last year. They allowed nine plus sacks

691
00:34:40,200 --> 00:34:43,400
Speaker 4: twice in acc play last year. It was a disaster,

692
00:34:44,160 --> 00:34:46,759
Speaker 4: but they had a top twenty five portal class. Why

693
00:34:46,960 --> 00:34:50,359
Speaker 4: they found they had money. They got the largest one

694
00:34:50,440 --> 00:34:53,680
Speaker 4: time cash donation in program history. I don't know who

695
00:34:53,800 --> 00:34:56,040
Speaker 4: was it, Ohannia whoever, the guy who started redd at

696
00:34:56,080 --> 00:34:59,560
Speaker 4: Serena's husband, he gave them a big donation recently. I

697
00:34:59,560 --> 00:35:01,600
Speaker 4: think a lot of I went to women's programs. But

698
00:35:01,640 --> 00:35:04,840
Speaker 4: they got a big cash infusion and so they have

699
00:35:04,880 --> 00:35:06,520
Speaker 4: money now. They went and spent. They brought in a

700
00:35:06,560 --> 00:35:09,200
Speaker 4: ton of guys in the portal. That includes a new

701
00:35:09,239 --> 00:35:13,200
Speaker 4: quarterback and Chandler Morris. But this isn't his usual air

702
00:35:13,280 --> 00:35:16,799
Speaker 4: raid offenses. He really fit this. I don't know. I

703
00:35:16,800 --> 00:35:18,480
Speaker 4: don't love a lot of the guys they brought in,

704
00:35:19,960 --> 00:35:22,319
Speaker 4: and it's that they have. They have a lot of

705
00:35:22,480 --> 00:35:29,160
Speaker 4: the experience. Good portal class. Think there's some variants here.

706
00:35:30,480 --> 00:35:33,839
Speaker 4: The schedule also gets much easier than last year. They

707
00:35:33,840 --> 00:35:37,680
Speaker 4: avoid Clemson, Miami, SMU, they get to face Wake, Stanford,

708
00:35:37,719 --> 00:35:41,600
Speaker 4: and Cal. So there's some things to like about Virginia.

709
00:35:42,600 --> 00:35:47,040
Speaker 4: I project them at six point two, which is pretty

710
00:35:47,120 --> 00:35:49,080
Speaker 4: much where the market is when you account for juice.

711
00:35:50,760 --> 00:35:53,000
Speaker 4: I think the swing game for their win total. They

712
00:35:53,040 --> 00:35:55,480
Speaker 4: game at Cal. And then also like late in the year,

713
00:35:55,600 --> 00:36:00,000
Speaker 4: where is VATEC? What is Wake like? What is Cal?

714
00:36:00,680 --> 00:36:03,040
Speaker 4: What is UNC doing like? These are teams that could

715
00:36:03,080 --> 00:36:06,000
Speaker 4: be really good or they could quit. So there's a

716
00:36:06,000 --> 00:36:08,440
Speaker 4: lot of variants with this team from a roster perspective,

717
00:36:08,440 --> 00:36:11,759
Speaker 4: a scheduling perspective. Does the coach even make it through

718
00:36:11,800 --> 00:36:15,520
Speaker 4: the year. There's just a lot of moving pieces. What

719
00:36:15,560 --> 00:36:17,280
Speaker 4: are you seeing with the Cavaliers.

720
00:36:17,800 --> 00:36:19,960
Speaker 2: I want to like them. They had one of the

721
00:36:20,040 --> 00:36:25,160
Speaker 2: highest numbers and transfer activity and returning production are tarp

722
00:36:25,360 --> 00:36:27,560
Speaker 2: ratings that we had, so it gave him a pr bump.

723
00:36:27,600 --> 00:36:28,160
Speaker 2: I want to like it.

724
00:36:28,320 --> 00:36:29,720
Speaker 4: The easiest acc schedule.

725
00:36:29,920 --> 00:36:33,120
Speaker 2: Yeah, and Chandler Morris five year career, forty big time throws,

726
00:36:33,160 --> 00:36:36,359
Speaker 2: thirty nine turnover worthy plays. It's not the worst, it's

727
00:36:36,360 --> 00:36:38,960
Speaker 2: not the best, but it's an upgrade at Virginia the

728
00:36:39,000 --> 00:36:40,680
Speaker 2: receivers are coming in from the portal. I mean none

729
00:36:40,680 --> 00:36:42,720
Speaker 2: of them have flashy numbers. And running back is Xavier

730
00:36:42,719 --> 00:36:45,440
Speaker 2: Brown four point three yards after first contact, so he

731
00:36:45,480 --> 00:36:48,200
Speaker 2: can create some noise on the ground. For the top

732
00:36:48,239 --> 00:36:51,320
Speaker 2: five tacklers return the defensive line portal pieces or from Alabama,

733
00:36:51,360 --> 00:36:53,839
Speaker 2: Ohio State, you'd expect you to have better than what

734
00:36:53,920 --> 00:36:58,360
Speaker 2: you've had replacement player at Virginia. Virginia continues to finish.

735
00:36:58,480 --> 00:37:01,600
Speaker 2: Here's my problem, same problem I have with Tony Ellie,

736
00:37:01,600 --> 00:37:04,040
Speaker 2: because literally I want to go over on this win total.

737
00:37:05,239 --> 00:37:08,040
Speaker 2: I actually mathematically make them like seven point two, which

738
00:37:08,080 --> 00:37:09,520
Speaker 2: says I should be going over to six and a

739
00:37:09,520 --> 00:37:11,319
Speaker 2: half is a plus money. But here's the problem. Every

740
00:37:11,320 --> 00:37:13,400
Speaker 2: time I get into my account and I decide, I

741
00:37:13,400 --> 00:37:15,399
Speaker 2: look at my money and I decide that I want

742
00:37:15,400 --> 00:37:18,479
Speaker 2: to bet, I can't do it on Tony Elliott. Because

743
00:37:18,560 --> 00:37:21,520
Speaker 2: Virginia continues to finish outside the top one hundred and tackling.

744
00:37:21,600 --> 00:37:24,000
Speaker 2: They are outside the top one hundred and middle eight.

745
00:37:24,000 --> 00:37:26,560
Speaker 2: They're outside the top one hundred. Offensive momentum killer. If

746
00:37:26,600 --> 00:37:28,240
Speaker 2: you don't know what that is, that means they're constantly

747
00:37:28,280 --> 00:37:31,560
Speaker 2: getting pennies, they're penalties, they're constantly missing field goals, they're

748
00:37:31,560 --> 00:37:34,280
Speaker 2: constantly fumbling the poll, they're constantly doing things to shoot

749
00:37:34,280 --> 00:37:37,800
Speaker 2: themselves in the foot, which includes what just horrible rankings

750
00:37:37,880 --> 00:37:40,200
Speaker 2: year after year and third down conversions one hundred and

751
00:37:40,239 --> 00:37:43,839
Speaker 2: seventeenth last year. Like they can't get anything right. And

752
00:37:43,880 --> 00:37:46,000
Speaker 2: this was Sie hoping.

753
00:37:45,800 --> 00:37:47,800
Speaker 4: That some of these transfers help them get pressure.

754
00:37:47,840 --> 00:37:51,319
Speaker 2: But they're sloppy, they are not well coached. They never

755
00:37:51,400 --> 00:37:54,320
Speaker 2: tackle inside the top one hundred. They never do anything

756
00:37:54,320 --> 00:37:57,000
Speaker 2: on the offensive side that gives them enough offensive momentum

757
00:37:57,000 --> 00:37:58,759
Speaker 2: to have a quality drive one hundred and twenty first

758
00:37:58,760 --> 00:38:01,000
Speaker 2: in quality drives. That's what you were brought in here for.

759
00:38:01,520 --> 00:38:03,400
Speaker 2: So I can't part with my money on Virgin, and

760
00:38:03,480 --> 00:38:06,040
Speaker 2: I want to. I hate it when the math and

761
00:38:06,080 --> 00:38:09,120
Speaker 2: the returning production and all these things go in the

762
00:38:09,120 --> 00:38:12,240
Speaker 2: spreadsheet and it shits out this with this projected total.

763
00:38:12,280 --> 00:38:14,560
Speaker 2: But I can't do it because this team continues to

764
00:38:14,719 --> 00:38:20,239
Speaker 2: underachieve in analytics that are extremely important, like tackling, like penalties,

765
00:38:20,560 --> 00:38:22,799
Speaker 2: like quit fucking it up, and they keep doing it.

766
00:38:22,840 --> 00:38:26,920
Speaker 2: So I'm I'm completely not paying attention. If you just

767
00:38:26,920 --> 00:38:29,040
Speaker 2: want to look at the math, you're supposed to take

768
00:38:29,080 --> 00:38:32,040
Speaker 2: the over I can't do it. Not with Virginia. I

769
00:38:32,080 --> 00:38:32,480
Speaker 2: can't do it.

770
00:38:32,520 --> 00:38:37,359
Speaker 4: Tony Elli, Yeah, Elliott, I'm not a believer. And by

771
00:38:37,400 --> 00:38:39,799
Speaker 4: the way, guess what one of the starting receivers. Guess

772
00:38:39,800 --> 00:38:44,080
Speaker 4: where they're from, Purdue, Purdue. All right, let's move on

773
00:38:45,080 --> 00:38:51,920
Speaker 4: to the dregs, cal Wake and Stanford. Let's start with

774
00:38:52,160 --> 00:38:53,320
Speaker 4: wake Forest.

775
00:38:53,880 --> 00:38:56,359
Speaker 3: The wake Forest Demon Deacons.

776
00:38:57,040 --> 00:39:00,680
Speaker 4: Jake Dickard comes in. They had a a pretty good

777
00:39:00,719 --> 00:39:05,520
Speaker 4: transfer class. It's gonna be it's gonna look different here

778
00:39:05,560 --> 00:39:08,600
Speaker 4: because you're used to the slow mesh wake Forest offense.

779
00:39:08,640 --> 00:39:10,279
Speaker 4: It's no longer gonna be that. It's gonna be your

780
00:39:10,280 --> 00:39:14,720
Speaker 4: power spread option. I believe it's gonna be Robbie Ashford

781
00:39:14,719 --> 00:39:16,400
Speaker 4: that wins the job. But he's in a battle with

782
00:39:16,440 --> 00:39:20,240
Speaker 4: the Sean Perty the Charlotte transfer. It's a very transfer

783
00:39:20,280 --> 00:39:24,799
Speaker 4: heavy offense. I you know, I look at the they

784
00:39:24,840 --> 00:39:29,359
Speaker 4: lost their top four wide outs. I'm worried about their

785
00:39:29,400 --> 00:39:32,359
Speaker 4: weapons on the outside and also if like Ashford can

786
00:39:32,400 --> 00:39:34,799
Speaker 4: even get them the ball. The good news is the

787
00:39:34,840 --> 00:39:36,839
Speaker 4: star of the show is back in Daman Claiborne. He's

788
00:39:36,880 --> 00:39:40,360
Speaker 4: a beast. He's gonna get a ton of touches. The

789
00:39:40,400 --> 00:39:44,440
Speaker 4: offensive line loses all five starters four to power four teams.

790
00:39:44,719 --> 00:39:46,960
Speaker 4: They bring in a couple of wazoo guys Dicker brings

791
00:39:47,000 --> 00:39:50,960
Speaker 4: with him, like three maybe could start. We'll see how

792
00:39:51,000 --> 00:39:54,919
Speaker 4: that works out. Like Ashford is gonna be running a lot.

793
00:39:56,560 --> 00:40:00,160
Speaker 4: This is you're it's gonna be more outside zone. It's

794
00:40:00,200 --> 00:40:03,680
Speaker 4: gonna look different. Might see some more twelve personnel based

795
00:40:03,719 --> 00:40:09,160
Speaker 4: on who they have defensively, new defensive coordinator as well.

796
00:40:11,640 --> 00:40:17,200
Speaker 4: They could be okay at linebacker, worried about corner could

797
00:40:17,200 --> 00:40:21,640
Speaker 4: have two FCS starting cornerbacks, which does worry me. But Ashford,

798
00:40:21,640 --> 00:40:23,319
Speaker 4: I guess, is a good fit for Like there, it's

799
00:40:23,320 --> 00:40:25,719
Speaker 4: gonna be a lot of RPO quarterback run, outside zone,

800
00:40:25,800 --> 00:40:28,080
Speaker 4: zone read and you've got a really good running back.

801
00:40:28,080 --> 00:40:32,120
Speaker 4: But can they does the offensive line come together and

802
00:40:33,120 --> 00:40:37,239
Speaker 4: can they throw it all? Is what I'm really concerned with,

803
00:40:37,360 --> 00:40:43,799
Speaker 4: and also cornerback major concern. So we'll see. From a

804
00:40:43,800 --> 00:40:48,439
Speaker 4: scheduling perspective, acc road games Florida State, Duke, Virginia Tech,

805
00:40:48,520 --> 00:40:53,480
Speaker 4: Virginia not bad. They avoid Clemson, Miami, and Louisville. So

806
00:40:54,000 --> 00:40:56,480
Speaker 4: it's a manageable schedule and you've got a runway to

807
00:40:56,520 --> 00:41:00,720
Speaker 4: get off to a decent start. Kennessall Western Carolina NC

808
00:41:00,760 --> 00:41:04,279
Speaker 4: stayed at home before by that NC State game is

809
00:41:04,360 --> 00:41:07,080
Speaker 4: huge because they can start three and zero, there's a

810
00:41:07,080 --> 00:41:11,600
Speaker 4: good chance that they can find themselves going over the

811
00:41:11,600 --> 00:41:13,239
Speaker 4: win total of four and a half over four and

812
00:41:13,239 --> 00:41:15,399
Speaker 4: a half plus one fourteen, So the best you'll find

813
00:41:15,400 --> 00:41:18,560
Speaker 4: out there five hundred to one to win the ACC.

814
00:41:20,480 --> 00:41:24,480
Speaker 4: I wanted to go under. I just don't like I

815
00:41:24,520 --> 00:41:28,279
Speaker 4: just don't think this is really gonna work. But I

816
00:41:28,360 --> 00:41:31,840
Speaker 4: project four and a half, So it's a pass for me.

817
00:41:32,920 --> 00:41:34,280
Speaker 4: What's say you on the Demon decks?

818
00:41:34,520 --> 00:41:37,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm not a big fan of Jake dickerd because

819
00:41:38,560 --> 00:41:41,440
Speaker 2: you are supposed to be a defensive minded coach, and

820
00:41:41,480 --> 00:41:44,560
Speaker 2: the defensive analytics at Wazoo continued to turn down every

821
00:41:44,560 --> 00:41:47,719
Speaker 2: single year. And I can sit here and say, oh,

822
00:41:47,719 --> 00:41:50,200
Speaker 2: we're pulling in a bunch of Washington State players on

823
00:41:50,280 --> 00:41:52,880
Speaker 2: the offensive side, but remember that has been our buckles offense.

824
00:41:53,560 --> 00:41:55,759
Speaker 2: So we could talk about top twenty five quality drives

825
00:41:55,760 --> 00:41:57,960
Speaker 2: and finishing drives that belongs to OU, that's not going

826
00:41:58,000 --> 00:42:02,520
Speaker 2: to belong to Wake. What Wazoo produced last year when

827
00:42:02,520 --> 00:42:05,239
Speaker 2: you look at him defensively, Wazoo finished bottom ten and

828
00:42:05,239 --> 00:42:10,120
Speaker 2: almost everything including tackling finishing drives. I mean, there are

829
00:42:10,200 --> 00:42:12,880
Speaker 2: things that I don't like about the defense that I

830
00:42:12,880 --> 00:42:15,600
Speaker 2: think are going to be on this wake Forest side

831
00:42:15,600 --> 00:42:18,680
Speaker 2: of the ball. They have some players here and some experience,

832
00:42:18,760 --> 00:42:21,879
Speaker 2: but again, Jake Dickard has not been able to produce

833
00:42:21,920 --> 00:42:23,520
Speaker 2: on the defensive side of the ball. I don't expect

834
00:42:23,560 --> 00:42:24,239
Speaker 2: him to do it here.

835
00:42:24,560 --> 00:42:26,120
Speaker 4: And it's a lot of lower level guys like you

836
00:42:26,160 --> 00:42:30,160
Speaker 4: look you might start. It's like Colorado State, Idaho, Western Kentucky.

837
00:42:30,360 --> 00:42:33,560
Speaker 4: You kon on the defensive line, and then I already

838
00:42:33,560 --> 00:42:35,560
Speaker 4: mentioned maybe fcs starting corners.

839
00:42:35,920 --> 00:42:38,400
Speaker 2: I do like Robzell. He was the O seed at

840
00:42:38,440 --> 00:42:43,560
Speaker 2: South Alabama. Yeah, I mean they South Alabama. I know

841
00:42:43,719 --> 00:42:45,799
Speaker 2: Fluff and g O and all guys that they had.

842
00:42:45,880 --> 00:42:48,680
Speaker 2: They were fourth in the country and creating explosive sixth

843
00:42:48,680 --> 00:42:51,680
Speaker 2: in line yards, eleventh and finishing drives. That that's not

844
00:42:51,719 --> 00:42:54,600
Speaker 2: just players, that's coaches. I make it five point one.

845
00:42:54,680 --> 00:42:56,520
Speaker 2: I can't go over because I'm not a fan of Dickert.

846
00:42:56,560 --> 00:42:58,759
Speaker 2: I'm not a fan of the defense. It's a pass

847
00:42:58,800 --> 00:43:01,239
Speaker 2: for me. But I would play the over if I

848
00:43:01,320 --> 00:43:03,479
Speaker 2: was in I've been in win Total Snake drafts before.

849
00:43:03,520 --> 00:43:04,960
Speaker 2: I would definitely draft Wake Force in.

850
00:43:04,960 --> 00:43:08,680
Speaker 4: The over I'm close to market on Wake not a

851
00:43:08,719 --> 00:43:11,960
Speaker 4: team that I love. Let's move on to one of

852
00:43:12,000 --> 00:43:14,840
Speaker 4: the other dregs in Stanford.

853
00:43:15,000 --> 00:43:16,640
Speaker 3: The Stanford Cardinal.

854
00:43:17,440 --> 00:43:20,879
Speaker 4: Look, this Stanford team is going to be bad. They're

855
00:43:20,880 --> 00:43:25,080
Speaker 4: now dogs at Hawaii, depending on if Saint Kent State

856
00:43:25,160 --> 00:43:29,399
Speaker 4: closes as a favorite at home against Merrimack in Week one,

857
00:43:29,440 --> 00:43:33,120
Speaker 4: which isn't a guarantee. I think that the team that

858
00:43:33,280 --> 00:43:37,120
Speaker 4: has the best chance of being an underdog in every

859
00:43:37,200 --> 00:43:42,399
Speaker 4: game is Stanford. So I have them right now an

860
00:43:42,480 --> 00:43:48,120
Speaker 4: underdog in every game. I haven't projected underdog in every game.

861
00:43:48,840 --> 00:43:51,720
Speaker 4: They could be underdogs in every game. Taylor got fired

862
00:43:51,760 --> 00:43:54,279
Speaker 4: in March. Frank Wright comes on as the interim. They

863
00:43:54,360 --> 00:43:57,960
Speaker 4: lost more key guys in the spring. They've gone three

864
00:43:58,040 --> 00:44:04,919
Speaker 4: to nine for what four straight years. It's it's it's bad.

865
00:44:04,960 --> 00:44:09,200
Speaker 4: I mean that you're you're likely to have Elijah Brown

866
00:44:09,360 --> 00:44:14,120
Speaker 4: starting at quarterback, you're retro freshman. You just lost so

867
00:44:14,280 --> 00:44:17,080
Speaker 4: much across the board. There's not much to like about

868
00:44:17,080 --> 00:44:22,280
Speaker 4: this team. They travel like I don't twenty six thousand miles.

869
00:44:22,360 --> 00:44:27,160
Speaker 4: So many HEAP contributors lost. Is it's still a brutal schedule.

870
00:44:27,640 --> 00:44:30,520
Speaker 4: One of the ten hardest in the country. Road games

871
00:44:30,560 --> 00:44:36,560
Speaker 4: Miami UNC SMU in Virginia, it's the second toughest in

872
00:44:36,640 --> 00:44:39,840
Speaker 4: the ACC. There's like three or four winnable game, but

873
00:44:40,120 --> 00:44:44,640
Speaker 4: I'm not sure they get many. This looks like another

874
00:44:45,120 --> 00:44:48,640
Speaker 4: three win season for Stafford. Wouldn't be surprised if it's

875
00:44:48,640 --> 00:44:51,000
Speaker 4: worse over three and a half plus one forty five,

876
00:44:51,360 --> 00:44:54,560
Speaker 4: we can go over three even money. I project two

877
00:44:54,640 --> 00:44:58,840
Speaker 4: point six three. This is you got a new offensive

878
00:44:58,880 --> 00:45:02,319
Speaker 4: coordinator coming in. What do you like about this team?

879
00:45:02,320 --> 00:45:03,319
Speaker 4: I can't say much.

880
00:45:03,640 --> 00:45:05,680
Speaker 2: I have them directly on three with a conference win

881
00:45:05,719 --> 00:45:08,520
Speaker 2: total one point seven to seven, So I don't like

882
00:45:08,560 --> 00:45:11,680
Speaker 2: the schedule. I mean, Ben Goldbertson, the transfer in from

883
00:45:11,719 --> 00:45:14,440
Speaker 2: Oregon State, is the most experienced quarterback on here, and

884
00:45:14,440 --> 00:45:15,680
Speaker 2: I don't know where he's going to fall on the

885
00:45:15,719 --> 00:45:17,160
Speaker 2: depth chart because there's so much youth.

886
00:45:17,680 --> 00:45:20,120
Speaker 4: Yeah, they might go just like the more experienced guy too.

887
00:45:20,520 --> 00:45:23,279
Speaker 2: And from what I've been told, Frank Reich is not

888
00:45:23,360 --> 00:45:26,320
Speaker 2: here long term, Like this is yeah, this isn't Andrew,

889
00:45:26,320 --> 00:45:26,640
Speaker 2: this isn't.

890
00:45:26,719 --> 00:45:29,040
Speaker 4: This is a whole of them search during the season, and.

891
00:45:29,360 --> 00:45:31,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, they're going to do their due diligence and just

892
00:45:31,120 --> 00:45:33,200
Speaker 2: kind of Wash the season. I guess focus on recruiting

893
00:45:33,280 --> 00:45:37,160
Speaker 2: or whatever, but I would look for an alternate total

894
00:45:37,280 --> 00:45:40,280
Speaker 2: of under three because I don't know. You can't. I can't.

895
00:45:40,280 --> 00:45:42,520
Speaker 2: If I can't even name four, I can't even name three.

896
00:45:42,840 --> 00:45:45,640
Speaker 2: Staring at the schedule, you can't find four games on

897
00:45:45,680 --> 00:45:46,200
Speaker 2: this schedule.

898
00:45:46,760 --> 00:45:48,160
Speaker 4: Now, it's good, would have to be the result of

899
00:45:48,200 --> 00:45:52,080
Speaker 4: other other I'm not a fan of Hawaii. I think

900
00:45:52,120 --> 00:45:54,400
Speaker 4: they're going to lose to Why but I like Hawaii

901
00:45:54,440 --> 00:46:01,680
Speaker 4: more than you. It's it's bleak that's finish up with Cal.

902
00:46:01,239 --> 00:46:03,600
Speaker 3: The golden Bears of cal.

903
00:46:03,800 --> 00:46:05,000
Speaker 2: Cal speaking of the week.

904
00:46:05,560 --> 00:46:07,440
Speaker 4: Yeah, under five and a half minus one forty five,

905
00:46:07,440 --> 00:46:09,279
Speaker 4: where you can go under five plus one thirty at

906
00:46:09,360 --> 00:46:12,440
Speaker 4: circa one hundred and fifty to one to win the conference,

907
00:46:13,200 --> 00:46:16,880
Speaker 4: similar to Stanford, Like, it's just the vibes are bad.

908
00:46:17,200 --> 00:46:22,719
Speaker 4: There's like a boycott for the Loosers era running it.

909
00:46:23,000 --> 00:46:25,719
Speaker 4: I don't know much longer Willcox is going to be there.

910
00:46:26,000 --> 00:46:29,440
Speaker 4: They lost a ton on their offense in the portal.

911
00:46:29,480 --> 00:46:32,080
Speaker 4: You lose Mendoza, you lose your top two running backs,

912
00:46:32,160 --> 00:46:34,520
Speaker 4: all the running backs post spring. Your tight end went

913
00:46:34,560 --> 00:46:37,360
Speaker 4: to Texas, who was really good. Your top five receivers

914
00:46:37,520 --> 00:46:41,200
Speaker 4: went in the portal, all of them. Your quarterback, your

915
00:46:41,239 --> 00:46:43,200
Speaker 4: top two running backs, your top receivers. You're tight and

916
00:46:43,200 --> 00:46:45,680
Speaker 4: they all went to Power four programs. The d also

917
00:46:45,840 --> 00:46:52,040
Speaker 4: was elite last year, Wilcox specialty. The secondary was so good,

918
00:46:52,120 --> 00:46:54,880
Speaker 4: one of the most underrated in the country. Well, you

919
00:46:54,920 --> 00:46:58,200
Speaker 4: lose three to the NFL. They had three NFL guys

920
00:46:58,200 --> 00:47:00,839
Speaker 4: in that secondary. You also lose career up front, which

921
00:47:00,880 --> 00:47:04,320
Speaker 4: at your rundy, you lose your sack leader and Carlton,

922
00:47:04,320 --> 00:47:06,920
Speaker 4: and then you lose Bhu Cannon, your the other linebacker

923
00:47:06,960 --> 00:47:10,680
Speaker 4: to the NFL in the spring game. So I don't know.

924
00:47:10,719 --> 00:47:14,000
Speaker 4: It's gonna be Devin Brown at quarterback. There's your true freshman.

925
00:47:14,040 --> 00:47:16,959
Speaker 4: I think is the better option four star, but he's

926
00:47:17,160 --> 00:47:21,839
Speaker 4: super raw. In the spring game, the offense scored zero.

927
00:47:21,960 --> 00:47:24,480
Speaker 4: The first team offense scored zero points on seven drives.

928
00:47:24,480 --> 00:47:28,839
Speaker 4: Brown had three picks. But this be was so good

929
00:47:28,920 --> 00:47:31,239
Speaker 4: last year, and with the talent they lost and who

930
00:47:31,239 --> 00:47:36,600
Speaker 4: they were replacing them with, I'm not sure we don't

931
00:47:36,640 --> 00:47:38,680
Speaker 4: see a big drop off. And then what does this

932
00:47:38,760 --> 00:47:41,959
Speaker 4: offense have, especially after what they got hit with post

933
00:47:42,000 --> 00:47:50,480
Speaker 4: spring this I like the linebacker room. Willcox should get

934
00:47:50,520 --> 00:47:52,760
Speaker 4: the best out of this tea, but they lost a lot.

935
00:47:53,200 --> 00:47:55,880
Speaker 4: He is one in eighteen versus winning teams, usually covers

936
00:47:56,000 --> 00:47:59,200
Speaker 4: against with a big number. He's really good as a

937
00:47:59,200 --> 00:48:01,600
Speaker 4: big underdog. Just pack them as a spread. Doesn't usually

938
00:48:01,600 --> 00:48:04,120
Speaker 4: get the win, but his teams, his defense is usually

939
00:48:04,200 --> 00:48:07,040
Speaker 4: keep them innute. They do also play five teams off fives.

940
00:48:08,880 --> 00:48:12,640
Speaker 4: Their road games in the ACC, BC Vatechville, and Stanford

941
00:48:13,239 --> 00:48:19,720
Speaker 4: not terrible like they have. They have nine winnable games

942
00:48:19,719 --> 00:48:22,719
Speaker 4: on the schedule like hear me out at Oregon State,

943
00:48:22,800 --> 00:48:27,920
Speaker 4: winnable Texas Southern at home, Minnesota at San Diego State

944
00:48:28,200 --> 00:48:34,319
Speaker 4: at BC Duke, UNC, UVA at Stanford. Now, are they

945
00:48:34,360 --> 00:48:38,320
Speaker 4: gonna win them all? No, but the schedule is pretty

946
00:48:38,320 --> 00:48:40,759
Speaker 4: favorable if only they have this schedule last year with

947
00:48:40,840 --> 00:48:44,120
Speaker 4: last year's team. Yep, But I mean you lose your

948
00:48:44,440 --> 00:48:47,200
Speaker 4: your stud quarterback, your top ten rushers, eleven of your

949
00:48:47,200 --> 00:48:51,719
Speaker 4: top twelve receivers. Then you lose three defensive backs of

950
00:48:51,760 --> 00:48:54,520
Speaker 4: the NFL, your top stack guy linebacker of the.

951
00:48:54,600 --> 00:48:56,840
Speaker 2: NFL, six of the top seven tacklers.

952
00:48:57,080 --> 00:49:00,960
Speaker 4: Yeah, your best run defender in the interior. Like I

953
00:49:01,000 --> 00:49:02,680
Speaker 4: don't like, I don't like their new oc.

954
00:49:05,440 --> 00:49:07,600
Speaker 2: SO I don't know.

955
00:49:07,640 --> 00:49:09,400
Speaker 4: I mean this has been beat up to the under

956
00:49:09,440 --> 00:49:12,120
Speaker 4: I project four point nine. A lot of that's based

957
00:49:12,120 --> 00:49:14,920
Speaker 4: on the schedule, but this could all, this could all

958
00:49:14,920 --> 00:49:16,799
Speaker 4: implode too, and some of those wins that you want

959
00:49:16,800 --> 00:49:20,560
Speaker 4: to get for the win total Virginia at home at

960
00:49:20,560 --> 00:49:24,120
Speaker 4: Stanford late and things could go up in flames by then.

961
00:49:25,920 --> 00:49:28,640
Speaker 4: So what do you see. You're in a Grandson cow.

962
00:49:28,680 --> 00:49:29,520
Speaker 4: It's gonna be a long air.

963
00:49:29,600 --> 00:49:32,760
Speaker 2: Interesting Brian Harson taking this job after the off field

964
00:49:32,800 --> 00:49:36,440
Speaker 2: dumpster fire that he went through with the personal stuff

965
00:49:36,440 --> 00:49:39,759
Speaker 2: that he had at Auburn to jump into this situation

966
00:49:40,640 --> 00:49:44,359
Speaker 2: where you know, basically everybody that has money with cal

967
00:49:44,400 --> 00:49:46,520
Speaker 2: wants Ron Rivera to be the head coach here. And

968
00:49:46,560 --> 00:49:48,200
Speaker 2: will Cox Is said, I don't know who will Cox

969
00:49:48,239 --> 00:49:50,120
Speaker 2: agent is, but you should have been on the horn

970
00:49:50,280 --> 00:49:53,440
Speaker 2: this past year, you know, crazy enough I make this

971
00:49:53,480 --> 00:49:56,520
Speaker 2: actually five point eight. I can't fight. I think it's schedule.

972
00:49:58,719 --> 00:50:00,239
Speaker 2: I think it's I think it's because of skeed Le

973
00:50:00,280 --> 00:50:03,279
Speaker 2: sixty first strength of schedule here, you know, and some

974
00:50:03,360 --> 00:50:06,240
Speaker 2: of the defensive numbers are there, but they lost everybody,

975
00:50:06,800 --> 00:50:08,640
Speaker 2: and it's hard to put your finger down and say

976
00:50:08,680 --> 00:50:10,640
Speaker 2: this is why I'm betting this team. From an offensive

977
00:50:10,719 --> 00:50:14,640
Speaker 2: or defensive perspective, the numbers defensively continue to get worse

978
00:50:14,680 --> 00:50:17,120
Speaker 2: for Cal, and will Cox is a defensive coordinator, So

979
00:50:17,480 --> 00:50:20,359
Speaker 2: I you know, I don't know if there's a coach,

980
00:50:20,360 --> 00:50:22,719
Speaker 2: it's more on a hot seat than what's going on here.

981
00:50:24,160 --> 00:50:26,360
Speaker 2: And when you look at their experience on offense, what

982
00:50:26,400 --> 00:50:29,400
Speaker 2: they lost, especially from the receiving perspective, like who's your

983
00:50:29,400 --> 00:50:33,959
Speaker 2: biggest like Tron Griselle twenty seven catches four in one yards.

984
00:50:33,960 --> 00:50:35,520
Speaker 2: That's it. That's the only thing they brought back from

985
00:50:35,600 --> 00:50:40,839
Speaker 2: receiving perspective. Rushing gone everybody one, two, three, four, five,

986
00:50:40,920 --> 00:50:44,520
Speaker 2: teams playing off by yeah, I do. I do like

987
00:50:44,520 --> 00:50:46,799
Speaker 2: to pay attention to who comes to Cal on back

988
00:50:46,800 --> 00:50:48,960
Speaker 2: to back travel. That is Duke in Virginia. So I

989
00:50:48,960 --> 00:50:50,960
Speaker 2: mean those are places where if we can just get

990
00:50:50,960 --> 00:50:53,120
Speaker 2: a little schedule to be nine pm on the CW

991
00:50:53,280 --> 00:50:54,960
Speaker 2: or something like that, get a little late action and

992
00:50:55,000 --> 00:50:57,799
Speaker 2: berserkly going, you can snag the wins. But yet that

993
00:50:57,840 --> 00:51:00,520
Speaker 2: you can't predict that right now. So for me, if

994
00:51:00,520 --> 00:51:03,399
Speaker 2: I had to play, I'd play an over because I'm

995
00:51:03,400 --> 00:51:06,560
Speaker 2: at five point eight. But I'm not rushing to the

996
00:51:06,560 --> 00:51:08,120
Speaker 2: window for this.

997
00:51:08,600 --> 00:51:10,400
Speaker 4: They wouldn't. It wouldn't surprise me. They only ended up

998
00:51:10,400 --> 00:51:12,960
Speaker 4: winning two or three games. But it's very viotal situation

999
00:51:13,440 --> 00:51:18,520
Speaker 4: that finishes up the ACC favorite win totals, futures picks

1000
00:51:18,520 --> 00:51:24,040
Speaker 4: to win. I'll start kind of like Clemson under. My

1001
00:51:24,120 --> 00:51:27,480
Speaker 4: biggest edge is VA Tech over. I will be betting

1002
00:51:27,520 --> 00:51:31,000
Speaker 4: Syracuse under Georgia Tech long shot maybe, but Louisville it's

1003
00:51:31,000 --> 00:51:33,839
Speaker 4: gonna be my horse. Louisville is my pick to win.

1004
00:51:33,800 --> 00:51:39,000
Speaker 2: The Okay, well, I'm not gonna disagree on the Louisville love.

1005
00:51:39,000 --> 00:51:40,960
Speaker 2: I'm over eight and a half minus one thirty. I mean,

1006
00:51:40,960 --> 00:51:44,680
Speaker 2: I'm definitely betting that Clemson plus one oh five to

1007
00:51:44,719 --> 00:51:46,520
Speaker 2: win the ACC. They won't be an underdog.

1008
00:51:47,080 --> 00:51:49,320
Speaker 4: Oh and Clemson no win no to win the ACC.

1009
00:51:49,640 --> 00:51:51,279
Speaker 2: All right, we can go. You put it on the board.

1010
00:51:51,280 --> 00:51:54,359
Speaker 2: If you want, no Jews, no out there.

1011
00:51:54,360 --> 00:51:56,879
Speaker 4: It's minus. You can find Clemson minus one ten to win.

1012
00:51:57,000 --> 00:51:59,520
Speaker 2: So okay, okay, we can put it on the board.

1013
00:51:59,840 --> 00:52:02,520
Speaker 2: I hate it. I'm gonna end up playing Georgia Tech

1014
00:52:02,600 --> 00:52:04,799
Speaker 2: under seven and a half plus one twenty five and

1015
00:52:04,840 --> 00:52:06,719
Speaker 2: then with Duke I'm going over six and a half

1016
00:52:06,760 --> 00:52:08,400
Speaker 2: minus one sixty. If you can find us seven. I

1017
00:52:08,440 --> 00:52:11,440
Speaker 2: go out there too. I projected seven point seven Miami.

1018
00:52:11,480 --> 00:52:13,520
Speaker 2: I'm going under nine and a half minus one forty

1019
00:52:13,520 --> 00:52:15,920
Speaker 2: eight or an alternate line if you can do it.

1020
00:52:16,120 --> 00:52:18,680
Speaker 2: Pitt I love them, stuck hates them over six and

1021
00:52:18,719 --> 00:52:22,560
Speaker 2: a half plus one fifteen. And then finally, I'm not

1022
00:52:22,600 --> 00:52:25,040
Speaker 2: sure if I'm gonna put it in, but Florida State

1023
00:52:25,160 --> 00:52:26,960
Speaker 2: under six and a half plus one twenty five. I

1024
00:52:27,000 --> 00:52:30,200
Speaker 2: don't think this Gus Malazon thing is gonna work out

1025
00:52:30,200 --> 00:52:32,680
Speaker 2: as well. They're not developing players, they're not retaining players.

1026
00:52:32,719 --> 00:52:34,840
Speaker 2: No one gets any better when they get to Florida State.

1027
00:52:35,160 --> 00:52:37,040
Speaker 4: Hues thunder two. That's the only thing we agree on.

1028
00:52:37,120 --> 00:52:39,919
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, definitely. And then oh, Virginia Tech, I'm gonna

1029
00:52:40,239 --> 00:52:42,720
Speaker 2: I think I'm gonna bypass win totals and just play them.

1030
00:52:43,040 --> 00:52:44,440
Speaker 2: I think there's some seven half, so I think there's

1031
00:52:44,440 --> 00:52:46,640
Speaker 2: an eight out there. I'm gonna bet them eight in

1032
00:52:46,719 --> 00:52:49,480
Speaker 2: Week one against South Carolina, and then I'm probably gonna

1033
00:52:49,480 --> 00:52:51,240
Speaker 2: throw a little money line in there. You can definitely

1034
00:52:51,239 --> 00:52:53,440
Speaker 2: count them in the round robin under money Week one

1035
00:52:53,520 --> 00:52:56,160
Speaker 2: under money line dogs, and that will kind of serve

1036
00:52:56,200 --> 00:53:00,239
Speaker 2: as my investment on a belief of Virginia Tech is

1037
00:53:00,239 --> 00:53:01,360
Speaker 2: going to make some noises here.

1038
00:53:02,040 --> 00:53:04,200
Speaker 4: Thanks you subscribing subscribe to scrape Tail Friends on me.

1039
00:53:04,400 --> 00:53:06,520
Speaker 4: That'll do it for us. Thanks to Colum for joining me.

1040
00:53:07,120 --> 00:53:10,239
Speaker 4: Thanks to Duck and Breeze, our producers for all of

1041
00:53:10,280 --> 00:53:12,960
Speaker 4: their help getting out previews for all one hundred and

1042
00:53:12,960 --> 00:53:15,920
Speaker 4: thirty sixteens. We hope you enjoyed all the countless hours

1043
00:53:15,960 --> 00:53:19,160
Speaker 4: of content. We're just getting started. It's your nine baby,

1044
00:53:20,080 --> 00:53:22,880
Speaker 4: Let's have a season. Catch you all later. Cheers.

1045
00:53:23,000 --> 00:53:23,680
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1046
00:53:33,280 --> 00:53:36,719
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1047
00:53:37,120 --> 00:53:40,000
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1048
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1049
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