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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast PODCA.

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Speaker 2: All right, here we go.

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Speaker 3: Right in the corner ben seconds of eighty, so it

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Speaker 3: just goes throw out the basket under the basket.

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Speaker 2: That's the true for the wind god Racle.

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Speaker 1: I just water big that one from a parking lot.

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Speaker 1: What's up the gener nation. Welcome to the Big Bets

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Speaker 1: on Campus Podcast. This is the College Basketball NCAA Tournament

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Speaker 1: Sweet sixteen betting preview.

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Speaker 4: I'm stuck in.

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Speaker 1: Joining me today are my fellow BBOC cost Greg and Christian.

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Speaker 4: We're covering the Thursday games today.

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Speaker 1: We will have an episode out in a few hours

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Speaker 1: covering the Friday games with myself, Duck and Calabresee. But

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Speaker 1: I'm excited to dive into these games on Thursday, gentlemen,

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Speaker 1: Before we get into these games, starting with Texas Purdue,

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Speaker 1: which is gonna tip off at for Eastern, which is

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Speaker 1: kind of weird.

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Speaker 4: Local in San Jose.

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Speaker 1: Uh t key, takeaways from the weekend, anything that was

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Speaker 1: that jumped out to you, uh while you rack your brains,

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Speaker 1: I'll remind people that markets things change and markets adjust.

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Speaker 1: There's a lot of people who just you know, obviously,

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Speaker 1: the whole conversation of like nil and there's the more

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Speaker 1: blowouts of the mid majors blah blah blah. That's been

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Speaker 1: covered at nauseum. But a lot of people I see

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Speaker 1: out there were like blindly betting. The last year has

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Speaker 1: been blindly betting underdog's money line, which hasn't gone well.

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Speaker 1: And again it's a new error, and there's you can't

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Speaker 1: just say, Okay, well this has worked in the past,

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Speaker 1: this is gonna work now. It's gonna be harder for

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Speaker 1: upsets to come by. And then a lot of people

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Speaker 1: love first half unders in the tournament, which didn't do

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Speaker 1: well either. Markets number one adjust to that. Right, there's

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Speaker 1: there's a there's actual real reasoning why games would start

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Speaker 1: slow in the tournament. You know, unfamiliar balls, in over

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Speaker 1: inflated balls, maybe you know, a neutral court venue.

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Speaker 4: Teams come out a little tight.

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Speaker 1: But markets adjust and scoring is just up in general

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Speaker 1: across the sport, and part of that is I think

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Speaker 1: lack of continuity on defense. But they didn't do well either.

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Speaker 1: And then there was just a number of like what

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Speaker 1: you could see in them in some of these mid

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Speaker 1: major schools, they're you know, they're going up against rim

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Speaker 1: powers there and they just need in order to I

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Speaker 1: think pull off upsets, you're just gonna have to get

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Speaker 1: hot from three. And there's a lot of like smaller

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Speaker 1: guards that really struggled stepping up in class.

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Speaker 4: But I think overall it was there were some lulls.

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Speaker 1: I mean that there were some lalls in like exciting games,

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Speaker 1: but we got a few. I thought the Nebraska the

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Speaker 1: Nebraska Vanderbilt game was amazing, and I will go down

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Speaker 1: just I will always feel like that Vandy team got jobbed.

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Speaker 1: They were way better than a five seed compared to

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Speaker 1: every metric, and then having to play a road game

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Speaker 1: was just unfortunate for that team that I think could

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Speaker 1: have made a lot of noise. Felt terrible for Tyler

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Speaker 1: Tanner and who knows that the balls weren't were inflated.

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Speaker 1: Maybe we get an all time shot and that drops Christian.

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Speaker 4: How about you anything? Key takeaways from the first weekend.

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Speaker 5: Hey Man, Stucky, it's nice to have an ally in

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Speaker 5: these Vandy streets. I have. I'm not really a fan,

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Speaker 5: Like it's hard to explain when you're so deep, you

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Speaker 5: guys understand, I mean maybe not Greg because you have

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Speaker 5: Michigan going for you, but like Wake sucks. I stopped

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Speaker 5: watching Wake in January. Okay, I'm not like a fan.

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Speaker 5: I don't think I'm not like a fan of the

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Speaker 5: like I was a Yukon fang and I was a

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Speaker 5: Providence fan. I became a fan of Vandy like I

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Speaker 5: became emostly invested in their games because I loved watching

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Speaker 5: them play and they were just awesome. And yes, everything

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Speaker 5: sucky said about they got osed it just sucks, but

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Speaker 5: it's okay.

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Speaker 6: I just I couldn't believe myself. I was not.

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Speaker 5: I was the most emotionally invested, not montor financially, oh

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Speaker 5: maybe a little bit financially invested, but mostly emotionally invested in.

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Speaker 6: That game, which was just quite the experience.

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Speaker 5: But I really just wish there was four seconds on

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Speaker 5: the shot clock when Nicol passed it to Chandler bing

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Speaker 5: cutting through if he came down on two feet. And

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Speaker 5: I know it's a freshman, I know it's just such

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Speaker 5: a tiny part of the game, but I wish you

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Speaker 5: just came down with two feet there and either kicked

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Speaker 5: that out to Tanner in the corner went up with

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Speaker 5: it versus like trying to make a super difficult acrobatic play.

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Speaker 6: But yeah, tournament was awesome.

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Speaker 5: And also when we talk about the Cinderella as being

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Speaker 5: like two Power five teams, like Iowa is a real

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Speaker 5: ass Cinderella because all of those dudes are not high

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Speaker 5: major players or weren't a high major players, So they're

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Speaker 5: Cinderella to me.

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Speaker 1: Yeah there, they're basically like kind of similar to Drake

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Speaker 1: last year. So uh yeah, that was That was one

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Speaker 1: of my favorite moments, Iowa beating Florida. And then you know,

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Speaker 1: the Kansas Saint John's game was very good as well.

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Speaker 1: After Kansas made a late charge. Thankful for me to

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Speaker 1: cover there. I kept that in Kansas Live and it

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Speaker 1: looked bleaked there for a while. And I have to

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Speaker 1: say the I have to mention Kentucky that was embarrassing.

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Speaker 1: They remember when they quit. I think they quit. They

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Speaker 1: just checked out, And I would say players said as

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Speaker 1: much after the game. They just couldn't handle the pressure

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Speaker 1: that I mean, a bizarre game plan and you have

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Speaker 1: Pope coming out saying like, well, we designed our offense

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Speaker 1: for a left handed point guard. And but that was

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Speaker 1: sad and jot to Kentucky basketball for another year of

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Speaker 1: just no joy for the bars in the city here.

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Speaker 1: They had five early tips and go back to the

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Speaker 1: SEC tournament five early tips and out on the first weekend.

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Speaker 6: Again, Wait, that was real quick. On Kentucky.

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Speaker 5: I'm typically someone who always is looking to back teams

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Speaker 5: going against teams with injured players, because I just feel

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Speaker 5: like there's an edge there. Sometimes the market doesn't fully

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Speaker 5: correct for how big of an impact player. That was

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Speaker 5: one of my favorite of the opposites of like Kentucky

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Speaker 5: has shown who they are all season like that. I

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Speaker 5: trust the system, but I would say I don't care

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Speaker 5: if you know Josh j ever, since that was an

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Speaker 5: awesome bit to hit a great number for I was too.

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Speaker 4: I was against you there, so you were you were right?

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Speaker 4: How about Greg? How about you?

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Speaker 2: I fell for it with Kentucky.

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Speaker 3: I was on at pregame and I was feeling great

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Speaker 3: with an eighteen to six.

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Speaker 2: Lead early in that game. But uh yeah, less and learned.

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Speaker 2: And then if the more you listen to Mark Pope.

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Speaker 3: Press conferences, the less you want to invest in that

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Speaker 3: going forward.

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Speaker 2: That's been true since the moment he took that job.

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Speaker 3: So yeah, look, I don't know, call it elitist if

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Speaker 3: you want, call it the big ten blood within me boys,

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Speaker 3: But I'm perfectly content watching this tournament play out the

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Speaker 3: way it did this year. I don't really care if

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Speaker 3: Cinderella is dead. I think it's more annoying that people

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Speaker 3: want to claim Cinderella isn't dead than just acknowledge what's

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Speaker 3: happening here. The sport has changed, and you guys are right.

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Speaker 3: Iowa conserve the Cinderella role. I think to an extent,

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Speaker 3: A Nebraska program that has never won a tournament game

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Speaker 3: and is now in a Sweet sixteen that starts Sam

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Speaker 3: Hoiberg like that feels Cinderella e to me. I get

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Speaker 3: that it's not as pure as you know, high Point

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Speaker 3: making a run to the Elite eight, but I can

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Speaker 3: promise you by Thursday night, I'm going to be enjoying

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Speaker 3: watching these very high level matchups more than I would

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Speaker 3: watching a fourteen point favorite one seed against high Point.

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Speaker 3: It's just kind of how my brain is wired. I

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Speaker 3: think as fans of the sport, I don't know that

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Speaker 3: we'll ever collectively get there, but you look at some

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Speaker 3: of these games this weekend. Man, it's gonna be awesome.

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Speaker 3: Awesome high level hoops.

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Speaker 4: Great coaching matchups too.

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Speaker 2: Yeah.

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Speaker 3: The one thing I would say, I mean with Florida out,

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Speaker 3: it kills the all one seed final four. Again, I

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Speaker 3: think the sport would do well from you know, one

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Speaker 3: other middle of the pack group of this group of

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Speaker 3: sixteen making it like I don't really know that we

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Speaker 3: want to see Michigan, Arizona, Duke Houston as.

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Speaker 2: The final four. That would just feel almost I don't know,

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Speaker 2: it would.

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Speaker 3: Get too chockey for me at that point, even though

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Speaker 3: it would be great games.

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Speaker 2: But like, maybe Illinois could serve that role.

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Speaker 3: Maybe somebody comes out of the region that Florida just

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Speaker 3: fell in that surprises us and we at least get

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Speaker 3: to carry one Cinderella to Indy next week.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean ideal, my I don't think Cinderell's dead

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Speaker 1: in that you can't get a you We're never gonna

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Speaker 1: see mid majors in the sweet sixteen again. I mean

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Speaker 1: I never want like a bed, you know. I remember

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Speaker 1: that final four with like Fau and San Diego State,

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Speaker 1: and like, no one wants that. But I do think

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Speaker 1: it's better for the sport when you just have one,

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Speaker 1: Like I just want one mid major to make the

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Speaker 1: Sweet sixteen and it doesn't have to happen every year.

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Speaker 1: And I think it still happened at times, because I

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Speaker 1: do think that's part of the lore of the tournament,

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Speaker 1: just in that the stories that you would get about,

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Speaker 1: you know, a team that doesn't have the funding with

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Speaker 1: a smaller gym, and then some of the players that

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Speaker 1: don't get as much coverage. Right, I think about all

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Speaker 1: the you know, the past ten years, some of the

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Speaker 1: best stories just were like Saint Peter's you know lawyer,

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Speaker 1: you go back to George Mason. So I don't think

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Speaker 1: we're it's completely dead in that we're going to get

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Speaker 1: you know, we're never gonna have mid majors in the

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Speaker 1: sweet sixteen again. But I think the good thing is

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Speaker 1: we have amazing matchups. So let's dive into those. Let's

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Speaker 1: go chronologically. We'll start with Texas and Purdue, which tips

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Speaker 1: seven to ten Eastern four to ten Local in San Jose.

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Speaker 1: Perdue is a Depending on where you look, we'll call

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Speaker 1: it a consensus seven point favorite total one forty eight

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Speaker 1: and a half.

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Speaker 2: Texas.

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Speaker 1: I guess they can't with their funding. It can't really

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Speaker 1: be a Cinderell, but they've It seems like there's always

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Speaker 1: one every year comes out of the first four gets hot,

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Speaker 1: makes a run. My first initial thoughts when this matchup popped.

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Speaker 1: You know, and this game is going to be played

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Speaker 1: terribly fast from a tempo perspective. But my first thought

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Speaker 1: is who's getting stops in this game? I mean Texas

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Speaker 1: there with their drop defense against Braden Smith and Purdue

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Speaker 1: good luck and then Produce defense has holes. And you

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Speaker 1: know this Texas offense, it's it's gonna be a lot

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Speaker 1: of io. There's gonna be some pick and roll and

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Speaker 1: Purdue can struggle in both. Texas wants to create mismatches

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Speaker 1: and they can do that against Purdue, but Purdue won't

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Speaker 1: give up anything in transition. It's hard to work in

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Speaker 1: the post against them. Foul trouble that might be a

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Speaker 1: storyline again, we mentioned that last week against on the

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Speaker 1: Live show against Gonzaga. Which of these bigs, which of

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Speaker 1: these key bigs can avoid foul trouble down low? That

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Speaker 1: might end up determining how this game plays out. These

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Speaker 1: are two very good two way rebounding teams. Texas fouls

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Speaker 1: a ton, but Purdue doesn't draw them. And Texas lives

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Speaker 1: at the foul liane but Purdue doesn't foul. So like,

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Speaker 1: how does the whistle work out? How does the ful

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Speaker 1: troble workout. That could be a storyline here. Purdue has

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Speaker 1: been red hot from three. I mean in the tournament

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Speaker 1: so far, they're fifty eight percent from three. Lawyer was hot,

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Speaker 1: and their opponents are only shooting twenty five percent, so

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Speaker 1: maybe there's some regression.

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Speaker 4: They're Texas.

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Speaker 1: Their opponents also are only shooting twenty five percent, but

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Speaker 1: they've been right around where they've been all year, around

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Speaker 1: thirty three thirty four percent. It has to be mentioned

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Speaker 1: that Purdue on a neutral court this year has been

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Speaker 1: utterly dominant. We saw them run through the Big Ten.

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Speaker 1: We saw them cover their first two games in this tournament.

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Speaker 1: Earlier this season, they destroyed who was at Texas Tech

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Speaker 1: on a neutral court when they were fully healthy. So

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Speaker 1: when I first look at this game, it's like these

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Speaker 1: are two very good offenses, two shaky defenses. I do

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Speaker 1: think Purdue's offense is better and the defense has a

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Speaker 1: little bit more juice. So I think Purdue probably wins

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Speaker 1: this game, but it's gonna be I think both offenses

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Speaker 1: are going to find a ton of success.

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Speaker 4: Greg.

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Speaker 1: I know you're always well in tuned with the Big Ten.

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Speaker 1: What are you seeing here with Texas? Perdue yeah.

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Speaker 2: I like the Boilers in a variety of ways.

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Speaker 3: I think my favorite play here is getting a little

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Speaker 3: cute and playing Purdue to lead at half and then

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Speaker 3: win the full game. It's minus one thirty five. I

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Speaker 3: don't hate it at minus six and a half full game.

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Speaker 3: I don't hate it at minus seven. I just I

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Speaker 3: don't know.

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Speaker 2: For me, we don't want to play a foul game late.

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Speaker 2: You never know.

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Speaker 3: I'm not predicting a Purdue blowout here, but I am

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Speaker 3: predicting a game where they're very comfortable and they control

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Speaker 3: this start to finish in terms of a team that's

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Speaker 3: clicking at the right time, that really flipped the switch.

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Speaker 3: Intensity and even the way Painter managed his rotations when

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Speaker 3: we got to the Big Ten tournament, He's gone all

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Speaker 3: in in a much different way than he was managing

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Speaker 3: the final month of the regular season. It's like, once

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Speaker 3: this team lost to Michigan and they knew they were

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Speaker 3: out of the Big Ten race, he was resting guys.

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Speaker 3: He was making sure he got guys healthy down the stretch.

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Speaker 3: He's gone completely away from Daniel Jacobson, who's been a disaster.

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Speaker 2: Love's playing thirty two minutes now. CJ.

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Speaker 3: Cox injury concern is maybe the one variable to look

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Speaker 3: at from Purdue, but you mentioned it's stuck. The way

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Speaker 3: Texas covers ball screens, the way they just they never

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Speaker 3: force turnovers, I think you're going to see Perdue extremely

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Speaker 3: comfortable in this game. Braiden Smith has not played well

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Speaker 3: in this tournament, and you mentioned it too. Purdue's offense

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Speaker 3: is still on another planet because all of their role

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Speaker 3: guys are making shots. Fletcher Lawyer can't miss in this tournament.

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Speaker 3: He's shooting fifty four percent from three in his last

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Speaker 3: twelve games after that slump in early February. Like, I

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Speaker 3: just think, this is who these guys are. And you

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Speaker 3: look at Texas, how do they get to this point?

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Speaker 3: Three games in a week is impressive, but nobody can

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Speaker 3: make a shot against him. Gonzaga shot twenty five percent

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Speaker 3: from three, by you shot eighteen percent from three. We

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Speaker 3: know Purdue's gonna make some shots in this game, and

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Speaker 3: I think they're going to generate a lot of open

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Speaker 3: ones with Braiden Smith running the show.

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Speaker 2: In terms of that.

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Speaker 3: Cute first half full gameplay in nine NCAA tournament wins

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Speaker 3: in the Smith Lawyer era, they've led it half in

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Speaker 3: eight of them. It was just this Miami game where

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Speaker 3: they didn't. So to me, this is a team that

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Speaker 3: when they can control a game, when they can be

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Speaker 3: in the driver's seat, they're just much better.

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Speaker 2: I expect that to happen from the tip here.

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Speaker 3: I don't think Texas can get to Braden Smith at

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Speaker 3: all the way some of these other teams did. The

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Speaker 3: way Miami did was Shelton Henderson guarding him. They're not

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Speaker 3: going to force turnovers in this game. Remember last year

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Speaker 3: when Braden had the I think he had seven turnovers

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Speaker 3: against McNeice.

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Speaker 2: In the second round, came back against Houston.

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Speaker 3: Everyone was freaking out and he spit out like a

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Speaker 3: fifteen assist to three turnover game and just gave Purdue

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Speaker 3: a chance against a much better Houston team. I think

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Speaker 3: we see him at his best against a team then.

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Speaker 3: Mind you, guys, Texas special run cool. They're the tenth

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Speaker 3: best team if they were in the Big Ten right now.

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Speaker 3: That's the caliber of opponent that Purdue is getting in

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Speaker 3: the Sweet sixteen.

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Speaker 2: It's the worst team that's left in this tournament. They're

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Speaker 2: very fortunate with a draw like that.

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Speaker 3: And lastly, I don't know how they handled Team kr

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Speaker 3: I'm looking at the Texas front court. I just don't

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Speaker 3: think they have a guy that matches up there. You're

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Speaker 3: gonna use Voca Titus on Cloff If Trey Koffman Ren

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Speaker 3: continues to score at the rate he has been in

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Speaker 3: the final month. Remember he punked the Michigan Bigs in

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Speaker 3: that Big Ten Tournament championship game.

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Speaker 2: I love this matchup. I think perdue rolls.

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Speaker 3: I don't hate the full game number, but let me

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Speaker 3: get cute first half full game minus one thirty five.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I will ask you, I mean just to put

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Speaker 1: some numbers to it. I mean, you're playing one of

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Speaker 1: the most prolific pick and roll offenses in the country,

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Speaker 1: Texas with their drop defense, you can obviously run pick

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Speaker 1: and roll at will versus pick and roll ball handlers

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Speaker 1: ninety ninth percentile frequency allowed, seventh percentile efficiency and versus

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Speaker 1: the roll man ninety first percentile frequencies twenty fourth percentile efficiency.

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Speaker 1: So obviously they've really struggled there. They could use Smith

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Speaker 1: getting finding his just being in rhythm with his mid

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Speaker 1: range jumper, becase you're gonna get a lot of those

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Speaker 1: looks against Texas. The last question I'll offer for you

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Speaker 1: is is there any news on talks today?

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Speaker 3: Yesterday he said post game, like in the locker room

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Speaker 3: that he's fine and he's playing. I haven't heard an

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Speaker 3: update since, so I assume he'll be in the starting lineup.

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Speaker 1: Metric like just if you go buy metrics and some

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Speaker 1: of the dance metrics, it is based on their performances

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Speaker 1: this year. It is a pretty big offensive drop off

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Speaker 1: between him and Harris, so uh, but yeah, that's definitely

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Speaker 1: worth monitoring. Christian, what are you seeing here between Purdue

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Speaker 1: and Texas?

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Speaker 6: Quickly on CJ. Cox, I think he's awesome.

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Speaker 5: I was getting frustrated like sometimes late in the season

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Speaker 5: when Harris and Meyer would be out there because I'm like, CJ.

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Speaker 6: Cox is so much better.

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Speaker 5: Real quick side, Ran, It is so annoying when people

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Speaker 5: keep posting these things on Twitter of Oh, Matt Painter

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Speaker 5: shares an update regarding CJ.

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Speaker 2: Cox his health.

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Speaker 5: Click the link paywall, and the update is, uh, he

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Speaker 5: should be good or like, you know, we're monitoring the situations.

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Speaker 5: So those people all suck. Just wanted to throw that

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Speaker 5: out there, but I'm sorry. Everyone's got to just feed

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Speaker 5: their fans anyways. Purdue Texas, I think Purdue is going

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Speaker 5: to work them for a lot of reasons. One, they're

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Speaker 5: playing great basketball now and everything that Greg said. But

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Speaker 5: also I just want to do a little trip down

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Speaker 5: memory lane. Every team that's knocked Purdue out of the

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Speaker 5: tournament in the last how many years, like locked them up,

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Speaker 5: like held them under seventy points, like played really good defense.

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Speaker 5: And yes, there were some mid majors in there. North

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Speaker 5: Texas fairly Diggings in Saint Peter's, but like Houston, Texas, Tech,

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Speaker 5: Yukon or they in Virginia or the other four teams,

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Speaker 5: those were all like top five defenses in the sport.

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Speaker 5: So Texas is not a good defensive team. Okay, you

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Speaker 5: don't have versatility. You have to play a certain I

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Speaker 5: mean kind of like Purdue. You don't have a lot

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Speaker 5: of optionality how you're going to defend. You know, you

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Speaker 5: have some athletic guys who in theory should be good

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Speaker 5: perimeter defenders, and Weaver and Mark and Swaying, and they're fine,

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Speaker 5: but they hack, and they've shown all season that they're

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Speaker 5: not a great defensive team. And they played Gonzaga last

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Speaker 5: round and did they turn them over and be disruptive? No,

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Speaker 5: they did Gonzaga does barely has a point guard.

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Speaker 1: You know here, I mean, b why you didn't have

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Speaker 1: Saunders different team and Gonzaga didn't have half different teams,

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Speaker 1: So like they got they caught a break in that aspect.

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Speaker 6: They definitely caught a break.

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Speaker 5: And look, I mean they're a good offensive team that

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Speaker 5: they've got to dudes who hitcht Mark Swain at the

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Speaker 5: end of shot clocks, like credit to him, Like they've

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Speaker 5: been awesome.

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Speaker 6: Jordan Pope's a really good shot making guard.

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Speaker 5: Vocatitis has been a bully consistently, even against some really

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Speaker 5: good front courts. Like he got to the free throw

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Speaker 5: line ten times against Duke in that opener. You did

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Speaker 5: have like five turnovers, but you know, he gave hell

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Speaker 5: to all the SEC teams just getting to the free

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Speaker 5: throw line. You didn't make his shots much. But but

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Speaker 5: he'sn't playing awesome, like he's a really good player. Can

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Speaker 5: he bully Cluff?

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Speaker 6: I don't think so.

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Speaker 5: And I feel like Cluff does a pretty good job

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Speaker 5: of staying out of foul trouble. And if you can't

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Speaker 5: be getting those easy points with them, it's just a

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Speaker 5: lot of ice. So it's a lot of late shot

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Speaker 5: clock stuff, and I don't see how they keep up

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Speaker 5: with this Purdue offenses in rhythm and isn't going to

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Speaker 5: be disrupted by Texas. I think it's a clear Purdue

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Speaker 5: side For me, I was pretty surprised to see this

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Speaker 5: coming at six and a half.

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Speaker 3: Well, last thing I want to add, too, stuck. You

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Speaker 3: mentioned it, but we kind of quickly skated by it.

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Speaker 3: The neutral court dominance for Purdue this year. I won

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Speaker 3: one hundred percent believe their substance to that. I mean,

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Speaker 3: I sometimes you look at numbers like that and you

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Speaker 3: say it's a small sample size whatever.

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Speaker 2: With this core, it's not.

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Speaker 3: They have played so many big tournament, championship style settings.

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Speaker 3: They genuinely are comfortable in these spots, in these moments

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Speaker 3: in a way most teams just are not. And also

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Speaker 3: you look at the issues they had at home this year.

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Speaker 3: I mean I've covered this team really closely. I host

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Speaker 3: the show with Braden Smith. There have been some weird

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Speaker 3: dynamics with the Purdue fan base and these guys, and

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Speaker 3: that really did hang over them at home this year.

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Speaker 3: Getting away from that has been a breath of fresh

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Speaker 3: air for this team. It is not a coincidence. I

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Speaker 3: just wanted to add that note where I really do

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Speaker 3: believe there's real substance to how much better this team

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Speaker 3: is in these neutral games.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, they're nine and o on neutral courts this year.

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Speaker 1: And I mentioned the Texas Tech win. I mean, they

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Speaker 1: destroyed Auburn. That was like a semi home game. Wasn't

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Speaker 1: at home, it was in Indianapolis.

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Speaker 4: They beat Auburn by thirty.

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Speaker 1: But they're nine and o and per Torvik there, they're

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Speaker 1: the number one neutral court team if you look at

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Speaker 1: overall metrics head of Arizona, who's also nine and oh

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Speaker 1: on neutral courts this year. So yeah, they've been completely dominant.

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Speaker 1: I mean, and Painter's been to look I will I

427
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Speaker 1: will say that as a dog, Sean Miller has been

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Speaker 1: very good in the term of a Painter has been

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Speaker 1: very good against the number as well. I do kind

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Speaker 1: of lean over my only hesitation because I do think

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Speaker 1: both offenses can find success. Like I just don't see

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Speaker 1: how Texas is gonna get many stops. My only hesitation

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Speaker 1: is I don't think this game will we play. It'll

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Speaker 1: be played pretty slow. You know that with Purdue, they're

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Speaker 1: gonna play methodical and if Purdue has a lead, and

436
00:21:04,920 --> 00:21:08,320
Speaker 1: you have an over, it's a nightmare because then it's

437
00:21:08,359 --> 00:21:10,720
Speaker 1: just gonna be Smith dribbling up the ball and they're

438
00:21:10,720 --> 00:21:13,760
Speaker 1: going to go even slower on offense, and they just

439
00:21:13,960 --> 00:21:17,440
Speaker 1: bleed the game out. So like, if Purdue's up by

440
00:21:17,480 --> 00:21:20,879
Speaker 1: like eight to ten over the final eight minutes and

441
00:21:20,960 --> 00:21:23,399
Speaker 1: you have the over, you're gonna want to pull your

442
00:21:23,440 --> 00:21:27,000
Speaker 1: hair out. So maybe a first half overlook, But I

443
00:21:27,000 --> 00:21:30,760
Speaker 1: think Purdue does advance just they have too many advantages

444
00:21:30,800 --> 00:21:32,520
Speaker 1: on offense against the suspect defense.

445
00:21:32,960 --> 00:21:35,320
Speaker 4: All right, let's move on to some more big ten.

446
00:21:35,400 --> 00:21:39,600
Speaker 1: Greg, glad that you got this this episode, very big

447
00:21:39,640 --> 00:21:43,480
Speaker 1: ten heavy, which is the entire Sweet sixteen. This we're

448
00:21:43,480 --> 00:21:46,639
Speaker 1: gonna go to Iowa, Nebraska. This will tip off at

449
00:21:46,640 --> 00:21:49,640
Speaker 1: seven thirty Eastern and the Toyota Center in Houston, Texas,

450
00:21:49,680 --> 00:21:52,000
Speaker 1: which is I believe never hosted a tournament game. There's

451
00:21:52,000 --> 00:21:53,440
Speaker 1: been tournament games in Houston, but I don't think there's

452
00:21:53,440 --> 00:21:55,280
Speaker 1: ever been one at the Toyota Center where the Rockets play.

453
00:21:56,720 --> 00:21:59,679
Speaker 1: So maybe I don't have data on college games here.

454
00:21:59,720 --> 00:22:03,040
Speaker 1: Maybe there's site lines as a bigger NBA arena, and

455
00:22:03,040 --> 00:22:04,800
Speaker 1: there's gonna be a lot of three point variants in

456
00:22:04,840 --> 00:22:08,000
Speaker 1: this game. It's a Nebraska game. Just right off the bat,

457
00:22:08,040 --> 00:22:09,760
Speaker 1: you gotta shoot threes against them. They're gonna shoot a

458
00:22:09,800 --> 00:22:11,959
Speaker 1: ton of threes. I think over fifty percent of their

459
00:22:11,960 --> 00:22:14,680
Speaker 1: shots against Iowa in both meetings this year were from three,

460
00:22:14,760 --> 00:22:18,240
Speaker 1: as you might expect. But this is a rematch, obviously

461
00:22:18,320 --> 00:22:21,200
Speaker 1: from the regular season where these two teams split, each

462
00:22:21,280 --> 00:22:23,919
Speaker 1: winning on the others excuse me, each winning on their

463
00:22:23,960 --> 00:22:27,760
Speaker 1: own home court. Iowa won a complete grinder in the

464
00:22:27,800 --> 00:22:31,200
Speaker 1: fifties at home, and then Nebraska one. Again there's a

465
00:22:31,240 --> 00:22:33,359
Speaker 1: little higher scoring that went to overtime. Iowa made a

466
00:22:33,400 --> 00:22:36,440
Speaker 1: dramatic comeback late, and then Nebraska went on a big

467
00:22:36,520 --> 00:22:40,240
Speaker 1: run in ot Iowa obviously coming off that big win

468
00:22:40,840 --> 00:22:43,680
Speaker 1: over Florida in a game where they shockingly had more

469
00:22:43,760 --> 00:22:50,400
Speaker 1: offensive rebounds than the Gators, and Nebraska held on against

470
00:22:50,600 --> 00:22:53,520
Speaker 1: Vandy and one of the best games of the entire tournament.

471
00:22:54,400 --> 00:23:00,359
Speaker 1: I will say historically these teams coming off of double

472
00:23:00,400 --> 00:23:04,919
Speaker 1: digit underdog upsets have not fared well in the tournament.

473
00:23:05,000 --> 00:23:07,480
Speaker 1: I believe in the Sweet sixteen, after pulling off an

474
00:23:07,520 --> 00:23:09,240
Speaker 1: upset as a double digit dog, I think one in

475
00:23:09,359 --> 00:23:12,080
Speaker 1: seven against the spread or one and six against the spread.

476
00:23:12,119 --> 00:23:15,159
Speaker 1: O and seven over the past twenty years, so this

477
00:23:15,320 --> 00:23:17,760
Speaker 1: is there's gonna be a ton of familiarity between these

478
00:23:17,760 --> 00:23:22,720
Speaker 1: two teams. Curious to see what some of the adjustments are. Greg,

479
00:23:22,760 --> 00:23:26,080
Speaker 1: I'll go to you first here for your Big Ten brethren.

480
00:23:26,200 --> 00:23:30,960
Speaker 1: And amazingly, this is the first Sweet sixteen game between

481
00:23:31,000 --> 00:23:34,359
Speaker 1: Big Ten teams since the tourney expanded in eighty five,

482
00:23:34,880 --> 00:23:37,359
Speaker 1: and it's the first time two Big Ten teams and

483
00:23:37,400 --> 00:23:39,720
Speaker 1: we might see this a bunch. Two Big Ten teams

484
00:23:39,760 --> 00:23:41,680
Speaker 1: have played each other in the Sweet sixteen or later

485
00:23:42,000 --> 00:23:46,320
Speaker 1: since two thousand, when Michigan State and Wisconsin played each

486
00:23:46,320 --> 00:23:48,320
Speaker 1: other in the Final four. I find that stunning, though

487
00:23:48,320 --> 00:23:50,240
Speaker 1: there're no Big Ten teams have played each other in

488
00:23:50,280 --> 00:23:53,160
Speaker 1: the second weekend or later over the past twenty five years.

489
00:23:53,160 --> 00:23:53,920
Speaker 4: What are you saying here?

490
00:23:54,240 --> 00:23:57,600
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's a crazy stat Also maybe an indictment on

491
00:23:57,680 --> 00:23:59,600
Speaker 3: why this team has never made deep runs in the

492
00:23:59,600 --> 00:24:02,560
Speaker 3: tournament or this conference has rarely made deep roads in

493
00:24:02,600 --> 00:24:08,320
Speaker 3: this tournament. I'm squirming at this one, guys. I'm very frustrated.

494
00:24:08,400 --> 00:24:10,680
Speaker 3: As much as I love that two of my Big

495
00:24:10,720 --> 00:24:13,760
Speaker 3: Ten teams are here and they're great stories, I really

496
00:24:13,840 --> 00:24:16,640
Speaker 3: wanted to see Nebraska, Florida I would have been all

497
00:24:16,640 --> 00:24:17,800
Speaker 3: over the corn Huskers.

498
00:24:18,119 --> 00:24:20,040
Speaker 2: That's not the matchup. Here we go.

499
00:24:20,800 --> 00:24:23,080
Speaker 3: Now, I can't act like they're not fortunate. I was

500
00:24:23,119 --> 00:24:26,280
Speaker 3: a much worse team than Florida. But look, I can't

501
00:24:26,320 --> 00:24:29,200
Speaker 3: deny how good Ben McCollum is in these settings.

502
00:24:29,320 --> 00:24:30,040
Speaker 2: And one thing I.

503
00:24:29,960 --> 00:24:33,040
Speaker 3: Firmly believe is a watcher of this sport and a handicapper.

504
00:24:33,400 --> 00:24:36,879
Speaker 3: It's a totally different role. It's a totally different task

505
00:24:37,320 --> 00:24:39,639
Speaker 3: to prepare your team for regular season games than it

506
00:24:39,720 --> 00:24:42,560
Speaker 3: is to have four days of prep for a tournament game,

507
00:24:42,880 --> 00:24:45,439
Speaker 3: especially against a team you've already seen twice. And I

508
00:24:45,480 --> 00:24:48,000
Speaker 3: was telling you, guys before we click record. To me,

509
00:24:48,160 --> 00:24:52,880
Speaker 3: the biggest superpower that this Nebraska team has is how

510
00:24:52,920 --> 00:24:55,680
Speaker 3: hard it is to prepare for what it is to play.

511
00:24:55,480 --> 00:24:58,119
Speaker 2: Against their defense. It's something you don't see. It is

512
00:24:58,160 --> 00:24:59,600
Speaker 2: such a unique scheme.

513
00:24:59,520 --> 00:25:02,399
Speaker 3: The way they forced three point volume, and they scramble

514
00:25:02,720 --> 00:25:04,800
Speaker 3: to take away the shooters they want to take away

515
00:25:05,119 --> 00:25:07,200
Speaker 3: and really just live with the shooters they.

516
00:25:07,000 --> 00:25:07,760
Speaker 2: Want to live with.

517
00:25:08,240 --> 00:25:10,600
Speaker 3: It's hard to prepare for even when you watch it

518
00:25:10,600 --> 00:25:13,400
Speaker 3: on film, until you play against it. And I think

519
00:25:13,440 --> 00:25:15,200
Speaker 3: I was a good example of that when they played

520
00:25:15,240 --> 00:25:17,040
Speaker 3: in the first meeting, that was a fifty seven to

521
00:25:17,080 --> 00:25:19,520
Speaker 3: fifty two ball game. When they played in the second meeting,

522
00:25:19,560 --> 00:25:22,440
Speaker 3: Nebraska won the game in overtime, but Iowa was way

523
00:25:22,480 --> 00:25:26,480
Speaker 3: better prepared offensively for that game and attacked it better

524
00:25:26,520 --> 00:25:28,000
Speaker 3: and got open shots and hit them.

525
00:25:28,440 --> 00:25:31,920
Speaker 2: So this is game three. Ben McCollum knows what this

526
00:25:32,000 --> 00:25:32,480
Speaker 2: is going to be.

527
00:25:33,080 --> 00:25:36,000
Speaker 3: He's got four more days to put more tweaks into

528
00:25:36,040 --> 00:25:38,520
Speaker 3: his approach. I just I don't know how you deny

529
00:25:38,600 --> 00:25:42,359
Speaker 3: how good he has been in postseason settings. He's very legitimate,

530
00:25:42,920 --> 00:25:46,240
Speaker 3: and I firmly believe Nebraska is the better team. I mean,

531
00:25:46,240 --> 00:25:48,679
Speaker 3: I made a lot of money fading Iowa in the

532
00:25:48,720 --> 00:25:51,960
Speaker 3: regular season in the stretch run. That was not a

533
00:25:51,960 --> 00:25:54,280
Speaker 3: good team against the spread in Big Ten play. But

534
00:25:54,359 --> 00:25:57,000
Speaker 3: I think this is a totally different assignment at this point,

535
00:25:57,000 --> 00:26:00,560
Speaker 3: and McCollum has proven his worth to me, So it's

536
00:26:00,560 --> 00:26:02,399
Speaker 3: probably a stay away from me in this game. Like

537
00:26:02,440 --> 00:26:04,760
Speaker 3: you said, it's a three point variants sort of flip

538
00:26:04,840 --> 00:26:07,119
Speaker 3: the coin, which team makes shots. The one thing I

539
00:26:07,160 --> 00:26:10,439
Speaker 3: would say I'm looking at is player props, and Cooper

540
00:26:10,520 --> 00:26:14,640
Speaker 3: Koch has some points value to me. He's plus money

541
00:26:14,720 --> 00:26:18,200
Speaker 3: to score ten points in this game. He's had ten

542
00:26:18,280 --> 00:26:21,800
Speaker 3: and eighteen in two games against Nebraska this year. He's

543
00:26:21,800 --> 00:26:24,080
Speaker 3: made four more threes and four of their last seven.

544
00:26:24,160 --> 00:26:26,520
Speaker 3: To me, that's that's the guy who's going to be

545
00:26:26,560 --> 00:26:27,439
Speaker 3: left open from.

546
00:26:27,280 --> 00:26:28,760
Speaker 2: This Nebraska defensive scheme.

547
00:26:28,800 --> 00:26:30,880
Speaker 3: He had ten and thirteen shot attempts in the first

548
00:26:30,920 --> 00:26:32,720
Speaker 3: two meetings, and if he shoots it the way he

549
00:26:32,760 --> 00:26:34,720
Speaker 3: has for the last month, I think there's a chance

550
00:26:34,760 --> 00:26:37,200
Speaker 3: he could. You could really ladder him up to five

551
00:26:37,240 --> 00:26:39,399
Speaker 3: to one. I think that was eighteen plus points in

552
00:26:39,440 --> 00:26:39,879
Speaker 3: this game.

553
00:26:40,240 --> 00:26:41,160
Speaker 2: So I'll be on that.

554
00:26:41,280 --> 00:26:43,320
Speaker 3: I'm probably gonna look for a couple other guys there,

555
00:26:43,400 --> 00:26:45,879
Speaker 3: but hopefully you guys can help me figure out how

556
00:26:45,880 --> 00:26:47,040
Speaker 3: to bet the sides in this game.

557
00:26:47,280 --> 00:26:48,679
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, I will say if you look at

558
00:26:48,680 --> 00:26:50,080
Speaker 1: these two games and these two teams, not only did

559
00:26:50,080 --> 00:26:51,920
Speaker 1: they play each other, they played each other twice over

560
00:26:51,920 --> 00:26:54,800
Speaker 1: the past month, it's like the familiarity is like so extreme.

561
00:26:55,480 --> 00:26:58,439
Speaker 1: And if you look at the both games, which are

562
00:26:58,480 --> 00:27:01,520
Speaker 1: super tight. In the second meeting, they were both thirty

563
00:27:01,560 --> 00:27:04,320
Speaker 1: seven percent from three and the game was a little

564
00:27:04,560 --> 00:27:08,119
Speaker 1: higher scoring. And in the first meeting they were you know,

565
00:27:08,200 --> 00:27:11,040
Speaker 1: Nebraska's shot twenty one percent and Iowa shot twenty six

566
00:27:11,080 --> 00:27:13,919
Speaker 1: percent and the game was lower scoring. So that's gonna

567
00:27:14,480 --> 00:27:16,480
Speaker 1: they're gonna. That's gonna go a long way and determining

568
00:27:16,520 --> 00:27:19,520
Speaker 1: like where and if one one team is hot and

569
00:27:19,560 --> 00:27:22,600
Speaker 1: the other's cold, that that will determine this game, because

570
00:27:22,760 --> 00:27:24,920
Speaker 1: I think for Iowa it's very You can't run your

571
00:27:24,920 --> 00:27:27,920
Speaker 1: normal pick and roll stuff against Nebraska and their defensive structure.

572
00:27:28,640 --> 00:27:30,399
Speaker 1: You're like, both of these teams are gonna have to

573
00:27:30,400 --> 00:27:33,320
Speaker 1: find some success cutting, and for Iowa like and you're

574
00:27:33,320 --> 00:27:37,840
Speaker 1: gonna have starts just follow around Sanford the entire game.

575
00:27:38,560 --> 00:27:41,680
Speaker 1: He put on a defensive clinic in their game of

576
00:27:41,760 --> 00:27:44,800
Speaker 1: Carver Hawk i Arena. But I agree for Iowa, the

577
00:27:44,880 --> 00:27:50,439
Speaker 1: key is you need Coach and you need Vulgaris to

578
00:27:50,520 --> 00:27:54,159
Speaker 1: make their open shots, which you're gonna get against Nebraska,

579
00:27:54,240 --> 00:27:58,520
Speaker 1: and they were massive against the Gators.

580
00:27:58,600 --> 00:27:59,200
Speaker 4: What they went.

581
00:28:00,560 --> 00:28:03,040
Speaker 1: Coach went four to six from three, Vulgaris went two

582
00:28:03,119 --> 00:28:05,800
Speaker 1: of four, So you're getting six of ten from three.

583
00:28:05,800 --> 00:28:08,840
Speaker 1: If you get that again, I think they win this game. Christian,

584
00:28:08,840 --> 00:28:11,280
Speaker 1: what are you saying here? I know even checking out

585
00:28:11,320 --> 00:28:15,080
Speaker 1: both of the matchups from earlier this year.

586
00:28:16,000 --> 00:28:21,920
Speaker 5: Yeah, quickly on starts guarding Sandford, how does the student

587
00:28:22,000 --> 00:28:26,080
Speaker 5: not get tired. He's chasing around a shooter getting leveled

588
00:28:26,080 --> 00:28:28,320
Speaker 5: by screens. There was actually one really bad uh they

589
00:28:28,359 --> 00:28:29,880
Speaker 5: called rank Master, a legal screen that.

590
00:28:29,800 --> 00:28:31,640
Speaker 6: Bennet search is for. It was huge in the game,

591
00:28:31,800 --> 00:28:32,320
Speaker 6: big call.

592
00:28:32,840 --> 00:28:34,800
Speaker 5: But I was just watching it, like, how does he

593
00:28:34,880 --> 00:28:37,080
Speaker 5: not get tired? He had a couple of really good blocks,

594
00:28:38,760 --> 00:28:39,920
Speaker 5: but yeah, it's it's crazy.

595
00:28:39,960 --> 00:28:43,040
Speaker 4: He never fouls out and he will play all forty minutes.

596
00:28:43,680 --> 00:28:47,480
Speaker 5: Zero fouls against Florida in forty minutes. Watching I was

597
00:28:47,520 --> 00:28:49,960
Speaker 5: so intensely like rewatching these nebrask games.

598
00:28:49,960 --> 00:28:50,920
Speaker 6: It's so tiny things.

599
00:28:50,760 --> 00:28:52,600
Speaker 5: With McCollum, Like there was a player with Starts got

600
00:28:52,600 --> 00:28:54,480
Speaker 5: out in transition and laid the ball and got fouled

601
00:28:54,520 --> 00:28:57,760
Speaker 5: hard and went down. I think he maybe after he finished,

602
00:28:57,760 --> 00:28:59,160
Speaker 5: like he got maybe hit in the face something. And

603
00:28:59,160 --> 00:29:01,600
Speaker 5: the way McCollum sprints out in front of the ref

604
00:29:01,720 --> 00:29:03,440
Speaker 5: jumps up and down his face going like this because

605
00:29:03,480 --> 00:29:05,280
Speaker 5: he knows he can't there's like six minutes off the game.

606
00:29:05,320 --> 00:29:07,240
Speaker 5: He's like, Starts, can't miss a second. We need to

607
00:29:07,280 --> 00:29:08,680
Speaker 5: time out because he's down on the ground. He might

608
00:29:08,720 --> 00:29:11,560
Speaker 5: need a second, Like they're just mind meld. Is just

609
00:29:11,600 --> 00:29:15,200
Speaker 5: so unreal and it's so so uncomfortable to go against.

610
00:29:15,280 --> 00:29:18,800
Speaker 5: When I rewatch the games, there are some Nebraska can

611
00:29:18,920 --> 00:29:21,520
Speaker 5: can generate. Has an easy button that iouad doesn't have.

612
00:29:21,600 --> 00:29:24,280
Speaker 5: And it's like, you know, rank massed open trail three's

613
00:29:24,320 --> 00:29:26,320
Speaker 5: rank massed in the post, rank mask just going at

614
00:29:26,360 --> 00:29:28,200
Speaker 5: whoever his man is, Like he's good enough to get

615
00:29:28,320 --> 00:29:29,800
Speaker 5: down low and give you a little hook shot like

616
00:29:29,840 --> 00:29:33,880
Speaker 5: Sanford's gonna get free a few times. Frager can make

617
00:29:33,880 --> 00:29:36,000
Speaker 5: plays with the bounds like Nebraska's going to get some.

618
00:29:36,840 --> 00:29:39,560
Speaker 5: There's a world where eate. Nebraska just has better shot

619
00:29:39,640 --> 00:29:43,080
Speaker 5: quality here in terms of possessions. I would struggle to

620
00:29:43,080 --> 00:29:46,200
Speaker 5: take care of the ball against him both times. Nebraska

621
00:29:46,280 --> 00:29:48,520
Speaker 5: is just unreal at it and in as good of

622
00:29:48,560 --> 00:29:50,320
Speaker 5: a decision maker as Stirts is. And we saw this

623
00:29:50,320 --> 00:29:53,960
Speaker 5: against vander But like, you need everybody on the same

624
00:29:54,000 --> 00:29:58,280
Speaker 5: page and in sync to beat Nebraska because it sometimes

625
00:29:58,280 --> 00:30:02,160
Speaker 5: takes three or four passes. Pass, pass, drive the clothes

626
00:30:02,200 --> 00:30:06,080
Speaker 5: out pass, and Iowa and Vanderbilt are fantastic at that

627
00:30:06,120 --> 00:30:08,800
Speaker 5: because you have five guys who can dribble, pass, shoot well.

628
00:30:08,840 --> 00:30:10,640
Speaker 5: I mean, you know you got some guys like Combs

629
00:30:10,920 --> 00:30:12,840
Speaker 5: and Manya's not gonna shoot it, of course, but like

630
00:30:12,920 --> 00:30:14,800
Speaker 5: Combs doesn't really want to shoot at Banks, doesn't really

631
00:30:14,800 --> 00:30:17,080
Speaker 5: want to shoot at Cotch. I agree totally that coach

632
00:30:17,120 --> 00:30:19,240
Speaker 5: ful Garrison, and I'll throw in Isaiah Howard and even

633
00:30:19,280 --> 00:30:21,560
Speaker 5: Tate Sage, who I like. Those are guys you got

634
00:30:21,560 --> 00:30:23,640
Speaker 5: to catch and be ready to shoot when when you

635
00:30:23,640 --> 00:30:26,160
Speaker 5: have that opportunity. But I'm just so obsessed with IA

636
00:30:26,200 --> 00:30:28,720
Speaker 5: was offensive principles and now in sync they are. It's

637
00:30:28,880 --> 00:30:31,640
Speaker 5: it's when starts. Look Sturtz has a ball screen. You know,

638
00:30:31,680 --> 00:30:34,240
Speaker 5: you got Hoiberg jumping up to make sure Shirts doesn't

639
00:30:34,240 --> 00:30:36,320
Speaker 5: do that little cute little pop pass to the role man,

640
00:30:36,520 --> 00:30:39,040
Speaker 5: and you've got masked with his hands low like like

641
00:30:39,120 --> 00:30:41,880
Speaker 5: Nebraska is so like when they decide you're not getting

642
00:30:41,880 --> 00:30:44,320
Speaker 5: the ball to this short roller, Like there's just so

643
00:30:44,440 --> 00:30:46,960
Speaker 5: much chess to it. Of we're twisting the screen to

644
00:30:47,040 --> 00:30:49,520
Speaker 5: force the switch. We're making you not hit the short roller.

645
00:30:50,880 --> 00:30:53,080
Speaker 5: We're making you do three passes to beat us. There's

646
00:30:53,160 --> 00:30:55,800
Speaker 5: so many things at play. But I really think I

647
00:30:55,880 --> 00:30:58,479
Speaker 5: wa on the glass, like I would just outrebounded like

648
00:30:58,840 --> 00:31:01,600
Speaker 5: obviously Florida but Clem since a really good defensive rebounding team,

649
00:31:01,600 --> 00:31:05,280
Speaker 5: and Banks and maniow are monsters. Man Like they're they're undersized,

650
00:31:05,280 --> 00:31:07,840
Speaker 5: but they're those guys are monsters. And I think that

651
00:31:07,880 --> 00:31:08,680
Speaker 5: evens rushing.

652
00:31:09,160 --> 00:31:11,640
Speaker 1: The fact that they got what fifteen offensive rebounds against

653
00:31:11,640 --> 00:31:13,600
Speaker 1: Clemson is an elite defensive rebounding team.

654
00:31:13,720 --> 00:31:14,440
Speaker 4: That's crazy.

655
00:31:14,440 --> 00:31:16,120
Speaker 6: They're like twenty in the country. They were second I

656
00:31:16,120 --> 00:31:16,800
Speaker 6: think in the ACC.

657
00:31:17,360 --> 00:31:20,080
Speaker 5: So I'm really struggling with this matchup because I see

658
00:31:20,280 --> 00:31:23,680
Speaker 5: how Nebraska. You know they're going to force turnovers. Iowa

659
00:31:23,800 --> 00:31:26,560
Speaker 5: has to just be pretty damn brilliant offensively to beat them.

660
00:31:26,600 --> 00:31:27,600
Speaker 6: I just think they can do it.

661
00:31:28,000 --> 00:31:32,720
Speaker 5: And then Nebraska like they're gonna get some good looks,

662
00:31:32,720 --> 00:31:35,720
Speaker 5: but it's still a slog like it's just hard for them.

663
00:31:35,840 --> 00:31:37,840
Speaker 6: So this this thing has been in my mild.

664
00:31:37,880 --> 00:31:39,880
Speaker 5: I haven't watched the game in Nebraska yet, so maybe

665
00:31:39,880 --> 00:31:41,880
Speaker 5: that'll change my mind a bit. Right now, I'm like,

666
00:31:42,880 --> 00:31:45,120
Speaker 5: my mind is telling me a little bit Nebraska, but

667
00:31:45,160 --> 00:31:46,160
Speaker 5: my heart is telling me Iowa.

668
00:31:46,280 --> 00:31:47,920
Speaker 6: And I think I'm gonna listen to my heart.

669
00:31:47,960 --> 00:31:50,080
Speaker 1: Man, I for what it's right, I always been my

670
00:31:50,120 --> 00:31:53,400
Speaker 1: most profitable team this year. I've loved them both turning

671
00:31:53,480 --> 00:31:56,240
Speaker 1: games so far. I will go to war with the

672
00:31:56,280 --> 00:32:00,600
Speaker 1: Bens in a neutral turn setting, so I will I

673
00:32:00,600 --> 00:32:02,320
Speaker 1: don't love this as much because I was hoping we

674
00:32:02,400 --> 00:32:04,760
Speaker 1: get like three or something like this is and this

675
00:32:04,800 --> 00:32:06,400
Speaker 1: is gonna come down to a lot of three point varners.

676
00:32:06,400 --> 00:32:07,960
Speaker 4: I also think the under is good.

677
00:32:08,160 --> 00:32:10,400
Speaker 1: Now both teams could be hot from three, but again,

678
00:32:10,480 --> 00:32:12,440
Speaker 1: this is like who knows what the ball. It's a

679
00:32:12,440 --> 00:32:16,840
Speaker 1: new neutral court setting, which like being played in like

680
00:32:16,840 --> 00:32:20,240
Speaker 1: an NBA arena, So the chances of both being hot

681
00:32:20,280 --> 00:32:23,480
Speaker 1: from three are probably pretty low. And then I think

682
00:32:23,480 --> 00:32:25,160
Speaker 1: both teams are so familiar with each other and it's

683
00:32:25,160 --> 00:32:27,360
Speaker 1: going to be so slow. I mean, Nebraska makes you work.

684
00:32:27,600 --> 00:32:29,400
Speaker 1: I was one of the slowest teams in the country.

685
00:32:29,760 --> 00:32:32,600
Speaker 1: This will be It'll be nothing in transition at all.

686
00:32:33,960 --> 00:32:35,720
Speaker 1: So I think this will be just like this game.

687
00:32:35,760 --> 00:32:37,360
Speaker 1: I think will go like the one in Iowa that

688
00:32:37,440 --> 00:32:41,000
Speaker 1: was fifty seven to fifty two, and I think this

689
00:32:41,040 --> 00:32:42,480
Speaker 1: will be in the fifties and just come down to

690
00:32:42,520 --> 00:32:43,600
Speaker 1: like late game execution.

691
00:32:44,080 --> 00:32:46,720
Speaker 2: So, uh, do you view where the number is right now?

692
00:32:46,720 --> 00:32:49,360
Speaker 3: Do you view that as a ben tax like it's

693
00:32:49,400 --> 00:32:51,720
Speaker 3: it's deserved if so, But I was surprised it wasn't

694
00:32:51,720 --> 00:32:52,200
Speaker 3: three two.

695
00:32:52,600 --> 00:32:54,720
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean it opened three and got that down,

696
00:32:54,880 --> 00:32:58,440
Speaker 1: So there was some respected early money that came in.

697
00:32:58,440 --> 00:33:00,320
Speaker 1: I could see Nebraska taking a little bit of from

698
00:33:00,400 --> 00:33:03,680
Speaker 1: numbers guys later in the week. But yeah, there's there's

699
00:33:03,720 --> 00:33:08,840
Speaker 1: definitely some ben and then uh tax here.

700
00:33:09,000 --> 00:33:10,440
Speaker 5: Well, what about just the fact that they played the

701
00:33:10,480 --> 00:33:12,360
Speaker 5: two close games already, So it's like.

702
00:33:13,120 --> 00:33:15,200
Speaker 1: Yeah, and I mean beating you get a big bump

703
00:33:15,200 --> 00:33:17,600
Speaker 1: for beating Florida and they did it, legit. They Here's

704
00:33:17,600 --> 00:33:20,960
Speaker 1: the thing. The other thing that they have a they

705
00:33:21,000 --> 00:33:24,360
Speaker 1: beat Clemson and Florida. We're out shop from three in

706
00:33:24,480 --> 00:33:27,560
Speaker 1: both They've been running at like a negative seven percent

707
00:33:27,600 --> 00:33:29,480
Speaker 1: three point dealt over the past month and a half.

708
00:33:30,600 --> 00:33:33,240
Speaker 1: And Starts went oh of nine from three against Florida

709
00:33:34,000 --> 00:33:37,840
Speaker 1: and he was what four seventeen against Clemson and they

710
00:33:37,880 --> 00:33:40,800
Speaker 1: won both those games. Starts in Iola had twenty what

711
00:33:40,840 --> 00:33:43,000
Speaker 1: are you have twenty five? He was the difference against them, Pressos.

712
00:33:43,000 --> 00:33:46,440
Speaker 1: So if maybe you're a little overdue here for you know,

713
00:33:46,560 --> 00:33:49,080
Speaker 1: Starts to hit four or five threes, which might be

714
00:33:49,120 --> 00:33:51,560
Speaker 1: the difference. I can't wait for that one now.

715
00:33:51,600 --> 00:33:53,600
Speaker 5: Well, one last thing on this The one thing I

716
00:33:53,680 --> 00:33:56,120
Speaker 5: don't like, well, when I if we kind of feel

717
00:33:56,160 --> 00:33:57,400
Speaker 5: like it's going to be close, it's going to go

718
00:33:57,440 --> 00:34:00,000
Speaker 5: down to the end. Then it's like, okay, I lean toward.

719
00:34:00,080 --> 00:34:02,040
Speaker 5: It's the head coach in the point guard, I trust more.

720
00:34:02,520 --> 00:34:04,560
Speaker 5: But I will say when Iowa was playing at home

721
00:34:04,600 --> 00:34:08,120
Speaker 5: in that game, like they're offensively, they were, you know,

722
00:34:08,320 --> 00:34:10,319
Speaker 5: moving the defense and like making some good reads like

723
00:34:10,320 --> 00:34:13,280
Speaker 5: throughout the game, but down the stretch it was all Unsters.

724
00:34:13,400 --> 00:34:15,480
Speaker 5: It was all like just four low, just like Sturts,

725
00:34:15,560 --> 00:34:17,600
Speaker 5: go beat your man and then like make a play,

726
00:34:17,640 --> 00:34:20,400
Speaker 5: and it's just you're asking so much of him and like,

727
00:34:20,480 --> 00:34:22,920
Speaker 5: as good as he is, that's always my concern with

728
00:34:23,000 --> 00:34:25,360
Speaker 5: a team like that is like he just has to

729
00:34:25,400 --> 00:34:26,080
Speaker 5: be brilliant.

730
00:34:26,080 --> 00:34:28,319
Speaker 6: There's just so low margin for air.

731
00:34:29,040 --> 00:34:30,400
Speaker 4: Yeah, exactly, they made some more.

732
00:34:30,560 --> 00:34:32,000
Speaker 1: That was the case in the first game, but the

733
00:34:32,000 --> 00:34:34,239
Speaker 1: second game he only had eleven and they went to

734
00:34:34,320 --> 00:34:37,000
Speaker 1: overtime and Lincoln in like a smash spot for Nebraska

735
00:34:37,000 --> 00:34:40,440
Speaker 1: in the regular season home finale with revenge, and it

736
00:34:40,480 --> 00:34:42,920
Speaker 1: was Comb's he was setting up guys. It was Combs

737
00:34:43,160 --> 00:34:46,560
Speaker 1: and Kotch at eighteen each, and you know, Starts was

738
00:34:46,600 --> 00:34:48,319
Speaker 1: kind of taken out of that game. Offensively, he only

739
00:34:48,320 --> 00:34:52,080
Speaker 1: had ten total shots. So and I mean it's hard

740
00:34:52,080 --> 00:34:55,279
Speaker 1: to that. That's what the Nebraska offense does to you. Yeah,

741
00:34:55,280 --> 00:34:57,000
Speaker 1: it was a lot of the the offense was a

742
00:34:57,040 --> 00:35:00,800
Speaker 1: lot more all inclusive in that second meeting. So I

743
00:35:00,840 --> 00:35:02,400
Speaker 1: think you might change your mind a little bit watching

744
00:35:02,440 --> 00:35:04,520
Speaker 1: the second one. But it should be it should be

745
00:35:04,520 --> 00:35:06,440
Speaker 1: a good close one, like and there's gonna be three

746
00:35:06,440 --> 00:35:07,759
Speaker 1: point parents. It's a Nebraska game.

747
00:35:08,040 --> 00:35:10,359
Speaker 3: The more we talk through it, the more I'm talking

748
00:35:10,440 --> 00:35:12,400
Speaker 3: myself in that I'm gonna play Nebraska.

749
00:35:12,960 --> 00:35:16,439
Speaker 2: Like the fact, I just think they're the better team.

750
00:35:16,520 --> 00:35:18,480
Speaker 3: I think they have like seven different ways they can

751
00:35:18,520 --> 00:35:22,640
Speaker 3: beat you as long as Iowa doesn't make six threes,

752
00:35:22,719 --> 00:35:24,920
Speaker 3: like we also we have a full season of Iowa.

753
00:35:26,160 --> 00:35:29,160
Speaker 3: It like they didn't beat anybody all year and then

754
00:35:29,160 --> 00:35:31,640
Speaker 3: they got the Nebraska in and Florida wins huge. But

755
00:35:31,680 --> 00:35:33,960
Speaker 3: it feels like a market overreaction to me if this

756
00:35:34,120 --> 00:35:37,520
Speaker 3: is basically a pick them or a one point number

757
00:35:37,800 --> 00:35:40,520
Speaker 3: when Nebraska's been the better team and beat some great

758
00:35:40,600 --> 00:35:42,360
Speaker 3: teams on the road in big.

759
00:35:42,160 --> 00:35:43,040
Speaker 2: Spots this year.

760
00:35:43,600 --> 00:35:46,560
Speaker 3: But it's a fascinating game, Like I totally see both sides.

761
00:35:46,600 --> 00:35:50,360
Speaker 3: I think you're right stuck the unders probably the sits scary.

762
00:35:50,480 --> 00:35:51,719
Speaker 4: One thirty three and a half.

763
00:35:51,760 --> 00:35:55,399
Speaker 1: It sucks the better Sweet sixteen game and for under

764
00:35:55,440 --> 00:35:57,160
Speaker 1: one thirty three and a half, but I think that's

765
00:35:57,160 --> 00:35:57,719
Speaker 1: the right by.

766
00:35:58,120 --> 00:36:00,880
Speaker 5: Actually, sorry, I'm sorry, I'm sorry. Last they did a

767
00:36:00,880 --> 00:36:03,440
Speaker 5: really good job on Frager. Frager didn't play well any

768
00:36:03,440 --> 00:36:05,239
Speaker 5: of those games. He kept like traveling and stuff. And

769
00:36:05,280 --> 00:36:06,759
Speaker 5: I think he is like their X factor, Like when

770
00:36:06,760 --> 00:36:08,640
Speaker 5: Nebraska looks good, it's like he's coming off the bench.

771
00:36:08,680 --> 00:36:10,279
Speaker 6: And I mean he was also in the tournament so far.

772
00:36:10,360 --> 00:36:11,600
Speaker 6: So just one final thing.

773
00:36:11,640 --> 00:36:12,320
Speaker 2: Sorry, I'm done.

774
00:36:12,360 --> 00:36:13,400
Speaker 6: This is a crazy matchup.

775
00:36:13,400 --> 00:36:13,520
Speaker 1: Man.

776
00:36:13,560 --> 00:36:15,400
Speaker 5: You could talk about this for Greg and Carter are

777
00:36:15,400 --> 00:36:17,440
Speaker 5: gonna put up a three hour video on sleeper.

778
00:36:17,520 --> 00:36:21,160
Speaker 3: Dude, imagine being price Sanford, Like you you started at

779
00:36:21,280 --> 00:36:23,120
Speaker 3: Iowa and now you're in Nebraska for.

780
00:36:23,080 --> 00:36:26,400
Speaker 2: An Elite eight bid. Crazy. Yeah. Now the other thing.

781
00:36:26,440 --> 00:36:29,320
Speaker 1: The other thing is I was getting shipped on Twitter

782
00:36:29,320 --> 00:36:31,040
Speaker 1: for this because I was like, Nebraska, it's not going

783
00:36:31,120 --> 00:36:33,040
Speaker 1: to be a home game for Nebraska, and all the

784
00:36:33,080 --> 00:36:36,080
Speaker 1: Nebraskans are like, you underestimate us. I'm like, dude, it's

785
00:36:36,320 --> 00:36:40,160
Speaker 1: number one, it's in Houston and Houston's playing there number two.

786
00:36:40,200 --> 00:36:42,960
Speaker 1: You don't think Illinois and Iowa fans aren't going to

787
00:36:43,040 --> 00:36:44,960
Speaker 1: travel at all, Like, there's no way, this is just

788
00:36:44,960 --> 00:36:46,040
Speaker 1: a Nebraska home game.

789
00:36:46,080 --> 00:36:46,360
Speaker 6: Again.

790
00:36:47,080 --> 00:36:50,080
Speaker 3: The one thing Illinois fans will be rooting for Nebraska,

791
00:36:50,560 --> 00:36:52,160
Speaker 3: I will say that they hate Iowa.

792
00:36:52,400 --> 00:36:54,759
Speaker 2: So if they get any boosts from that crowd, there'll be.

793
00:36:54,760 --> 00:36:57,000
Speaker 4: A crew fair. But it won't be anything like we

794
00:36:57,080 --> 00:36:57,439
Speaker 4: just saw.

795
00:36:57,719 --> 00:36:58,600
Speaker 2: No, not at all.

796
00:36:59,120 --> 00:37:02,759
Speaker 1: All Right, it to the late games. Much more to cover.

797
00:37:03,000 --> 00:37:06,120
Speaker 1: But first the word for myself about Robinhood. What if

798
00:37:06,160 --> 00:37:10,239
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799
00:37:10,280 --> 00:37:14,960
Speaker 1: sports IQ to work in real time with Robinhood Prediction Markets.

800
00:37:15,480 --> 00:37:18,759
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801
00:37:18,800 --> 00:37:22,200
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802
00:37:22,360 --> 00:37:25,520
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803
00:37:25,560 --> 00:37:29,719
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804
00:37:29,760 --> 00:37:33,480
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805
00:37:33,560 --> 00:37:36,080
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806
00:37:36,120 --> 00:37:38,960
Speaker 1: had a dynamic way to apply that knowledge. Now I

807
00:37:39,000 --> 00:37:42,640
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808
00:37:43,160 --> 00:37:46,480
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809
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810
00:37:52,160 --> 00:37:56,520
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811
00:37:56,560 --> 00:38:00,840
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812
00:38:00,920 --> 00:38:04,400
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813
00:38:04,480 --> 00:38:08,520
Speaker 1: Futures Commission merchant and swap firm. Let's head to the

814
00:38:08,760 --> 00:38:13,279
Speaker 1: late slate. Well, let's go back to what's the first

815
00:38:13,320 --> 00:38:15,160
Speaker 1: game here, the Shark. Let's go back to the We'll

816
00:38:15,200 --> 00:38:17,040
Speaker 1: go back to the Shark tank in San Jose. It's

817
00:38:17,040 --> 00:38:19,560
Speaker 1: with the Sharks play. There's been some turnament games here

818
00:38:19,560 --> 00:38:22,400
Speaker 1: for what it's worth. I think Region West Regional semis

819
00:38:22,440 --> 00:38:25,480
Speaker 1: in like three and o seven first and second round

820
00:38:25,480 --> 00:38:28,600
Speaker 1: games twenty thirteen, sixteen seventeen, somewhere around there. There's been

821
00:38:28,600 --> 00:38:33,400
Speaker 1: turning games here before h Arkansas taking on Arizona. Arkansas

822
00:38:33,480 --> 00:38:36,879
Speaker 1: opened round a nine and a half point dog has

823
00:38:36,960 --> 00:38:38,960
Speaker 1: come down a bit. There's some seven and a half,

824
00:38:39,000 --> 00:38:42,560
Speaker 1: some eight's out there in the market. Total pretty high

825
00:38:42,920 --> 00:38:46,600
Speaker 1: as you might expect, at one sixty seven and a half.

826
00:38:46,920 --> 00:38:48,520
Speaker 1: Not the highest total on the board, though, we'll talk

827
00:38:48,520 --> 00:38:50,920
Speaker 1: about that in the second episode. That's Alabama Michigan at

828
00:38:50,920 --> 00:38:54,439
Speaker 1: one seventy five. Coming into this game, I knew one

829
00:38:54,480 --> 00:38:56,080
Speaker 1: of one or two of you were going to make

830
00:38:56,080 --> 00:38:58,040
Speaker 1: a case for Arkansas, I don't I don't know what

831
00:38:58,120 --> 00:38:58,759
Speaker 1: Christian likes here.

832
00:38:58,800 --> 00:39:03,200
Speaker 4: I think Greg likes Arkansas. I like Arizona here.

833
00:39:03,440 --> 00:39:05,960
Speaker 1: I think I think it nine and a half. I

834
00:39:05,960 --> 00:39:09,399
Speaker 1: didn't really love it. But now this number comes down.

835
00:39:09,400 --> 00:39:12,520
Speaker 1: I think Arkansas will be a pretty popular dog. So

836
00:39:12,560 --> 00:39:15,959
Speaker 1: this might come down a bit more. But here's the thing.

837
00:39:17,120 --> 00:39:19,000
Speaker 1: When I look at this, and I got a lot

838
00:39:19,000 --> 00:39:21,640
Speaker 1: of respect for cal as a dog, but and usually

839
00:39:21,719 --> 00:39:23,160
Speaker 1: just as a ton of talent, it's hard to blow

840
00:39:23,200 --> 00:39:25,800
Speaker 1: them out. But if I had to boil this down,

841
00:39:26,320 --> 00:39:28,160
Speaker 1: this comes down number one. I think Arkansas is gonna

842
00:39:28,160 --> 00:39:31,480
Speaker 1: ge annihilated on the glass. Number two, so I think

843
00:39:31,480 --> 00:39:33,840
Speaker 1: they're gonna get more shot Arizona's gonna get more shots up.

844
00:39:34,320 --> 00:39:37,320
Speaker 1: These are two rimmer line offenses, Arkansas's two hundred and

845
00:39:37,360 --> 00:39:39,520
Speaker 1: seventy fifth in the country and two point defense Arizona

846
00:39:39,640 --> 00:39:42,520
Speaker 1: second Arkansas's eighty. I mean, you look at the rim

847
00:39:42,560 --> 00:39:46,560
Speaker 1: defense for Arkansas, they are so like. First of all

848
00:39:46,560 --> 00:39:50,680
Speaker 1: their rim offense they're ninety eighth percentile efficiency, eightieth percentile frequency. Well,

849
00:39:50,680 --> 00:39:53,440
Speaker 1: Arizona doesn't let you get near the rim fifth percentile frequency,

850
00:39:53,600 --> 00:39:57,000
Speaker 1: ninety ninth percentile efficiency, and then on the other side

851
00:39:57,000 --> 00:40:01,239
Speaker 1: of the ball, you have the Arkansas D fifteenth percentile

852
00:40:01,320 --> 00:40:05,120
Speaker 1: RIM defense, so you're talking fifteenth versus ninety ninth on

853
00:40:05,239 --> 00:40:07,560
Speaker 1: eightieth percentile frequency, So you can get to the room

854
00:40:07,600 --> 00:40:11,000
Speaker 1: and you can score on Arkansas, and Arizona's offense is

855
00:40:11,040 --> 00:40:14,560
Speaker 1: a ninetieth percentile rim offense frequency and efficiency, So I

856
00:40:14,680 --> 00:40:15,480
Speaker 1: just think they're gonna.

857
00:40:15,280 --> 00:40:16,759
Speaker 4: Crush one the glass. They're gonna score it well at

858
00:40:16,760 --> 00:40:17,240
Speaker 4: the rim.

859
00:40:17,640 --> 00:40:20,520
Speaker 1: They eliminate transitions, so Arkansas's not gonna be able to

860
00:40:20,520 --> 00:40:23,680
Speaker 1: get it out in transition here. Arkansas's also been running

861
00:40:23,680 --> 00:40:26,040
Speaker 1: at a plus ten percent net three point delta over

862
00:40:26,080 --> 00:40:30,239
Speaker 1: the past eleven games since mid February. I don't know

863
00:40:30,280 --> 00:40:33,080
Speaker 1: if they can necessarily keep that up. I think there

864
00:40:33,080 --> 00:40:35,000
Speaker 1: could be some foul trouble year for Arkansas for a

865
00:40:35,040 --> 00:40:37,279
Speaker 1: team that doesn't have much depth. They'll probably get Pringle back,

866
00:40:37,320 --> 00:40:40,279
Speaker 1: which could help some. But you know, you can even

867
00:40:40,280 --> 00:40:42,840
Speaker 1: look at the common opponents that these teams played. Arkansas

868
00:40:42,840 --> 00:40:45,400
Speaker 1: one in five, Arizona five and one. And if you

869
00:40:45,440 --> 00:40:49,120
Speaker 1: just look at Arkansas versus the top fifteen go by Torvik,

870
00:40:49,120 --> 00:40:52,720
Speaker 1: they're one in five, they're twenty fifth overall. The eighty

871
00:40:52,719 --> 00:40:56,320
Speaker 1: fifth ranked defense, Arizona seven and one against the top fifteen.

872
00:40:56,440 --> 00:40:59,840
Speaker 1: They're number one overall. They've been dominant on neutral courts.

873
00:41:00,360 --> 00:41:03,040
Speaker 1: I think they have a coaching and schematic advantage, and

874
00:41:03,080 --> 00:41:05,520
Speaker 1: they're just going to crush Arkansas at the rim, like

875
00:41:05,520 --> 00:41:09,040
Speaker 1: obliterate them on the glass in the rim. A coof

876
00:41:09,120 --> 00:41:13,560
Speaker 1: scares me. But he also can't defend a lick kart Chankov.

877
00:41:13,600 --> 00:41:15,279
Speaker 1: Do they throw him at him and frustrate him just

878
00:41:15,320 --> 00:41:15,839
Speaker 1: a little bit.

879
00:41:16,520 --> 00:41:20,200
Speaker 4: I think Arizona has too much inside. I like the Wildcats. Greg.

880
00:41:20,320 --> 00:41:24,839
Speaker 1: I know you like mister Acuff and Arkansas. You want

881
00:41:24,840 --> 00:41:25,480
Speaker 1: to make your case.

882
00:41:26,040 --> 00:41:27,640
Speaker 2: I want to make the case the best I can.

883
00:41:27,680 --> 00:41:31,359
Speaker 3: And I also suspected that I'd be the only one

884
00:41:31,400 --> 00:41:32,240
Speaker 3: making this case.

885
00:41:32,280 --> 00:41:33,200
Speaker 2: We kind of know each.

886
00:41:33,080 --> 00:41:36,560
Speaker 3: Other well at this point, Stuck, I think it starts

887
00:41:36,600 --> 00:41:38,919
Speaker 3: with the cal side of this. For me, when John

888
00:41:39,000 --> 00:41:42,640
Speaker 3: Caliperry took the Kentucky job, I was fourteen years old.

889
00:41:42,880 --> 00:41:45,600
Speaker 2: I had just experienced my first kiss.

890
00:41:46,360 --> 00:41:50,239
Speaker 3: He hasn't failed to cover as an underdog since in

891
00:41:50,320 --> 00:41:51,640
Speaker 3: postseason play.

892
00:41:52,160 --> 00:41:53,160
Speaker 2: That's a real number.

893
00:41:53,200 --> 00:41:55,560
Speaker 3: I had our stats and research department and actually look

894
00:41:55,600 --> 00:41:55,920
Speaker 3: it up.

895
00:41:56,040 --> 00:41:59,280
Speaker 2: He's eleven zero to one. Against the spread as an underdog.

896
00:41:58,920 --> 00:42:01,400
Speaker 4: The post greg first stats.

897
00:42:00,880 --> 00:42:04,520
Speaker 2: In postseason play. Yes, Douck like the guy, it's been

898
00:42:04,640 --> 00:42:08,000
Speaker 2: what is that eighteen years? Like he? How do you

899
00:42:08,080 --> 00:42:10,600
Speaker 2: not just that? You have to give that your attention.

900
00:42:11,280 --> 00:42:14,719
Speaker 3: And I think he's had, you know, I don't want

901
00:42:14,719 --> 00:42:17,200
Speaker 3: to say worse teams because Arkansas is not a perfect team,

902
00:42:17,280 --> 00:42:19,640
Speaker 3: but he's certainly had teams led by a player worse

903
00:42:19,719 --> 00:42:20,320
Speaker 3: than Darius A.

904
00:42:20,480 --> 00:42:23,520
Speaker 2: Cuff that have been great in these spots.

905
00:42:23,800 --> 00:42:26,800
Speaker 3: And for me, I think you look at the matchup,

906
00:42:26,840 --> 00:42:29,000
Speaker 3: you cut up the numbers, there's not gonna be much

907
00:42:29,040 --> 00:42:31,640
Speaker 3: that points you two advantages for Arkansas on this game.

908
00:42:31,719 --> 00:42:34,360
Speaker 2: Outside of that, and how good Acuff can be.

909
00:42:34,800 --> 00:42:36,680
Speaker 3: This has to be a belief bet that Acuff's going

910
00:42:36,719 --> 00:42:39,600
Speaker 3: to go toe to toe with Arkansas or with Arizona

911
00:42:39,640 --> 00:42:42,359
Speaker 3: beating them up inside, and Acuff can do that.

912
00:42:42,560 --> 00:42:43,879
Speaker 2: I do believe he can do that.

913
00:42:44,400 --> 00:42:46,840
Speaker 3: The one thing I would say that does matter to

914
00:42:46,920 --> 00:42:49,719
Speaker 3: me here This might be me talking myself into it

915
00:42:49,760 --> 00:42:52,640
Speaker 3: because I want to, But since Nick Pringle went down,

916
00:42:53,160 --> 00:42:55,759
Speaker 3: I think that's helped the Arkansas front court. I don't

917
00:42:55,760 --> 00:42:59,480
Speaker 3: think Pringle is really a playable big whatsoever. And for

918
00:42:59,480 --> 00:43:03,400
Speaker 3: whatever I mean, we know Col's had personnel issues playing

919
00:43:03,440 --> 00:43:06,400
Speaker 3: worset players over better players before, but you look at

920
00:43:06,440 --> 00:43:10,040
Speaker 3: what Malik Ewan has done since. He's just played a

921
00:43:10,120 --> 00:43:13,240
Speaker 3: much more prominent role. He's been great in this tournament

922
00:43:13,440 --> 00:43:17,160
Speaker 3: sixteen and twelve and then fourteen and twelve. But he's

923
00:43:17,200 --> 00:43:19,080
Speaker 3: been great against some of the better front courts in

924
00:43:19,120 --> 00:43:21,600
Speaker 3: the country too. He had eleven and eight against Florida.

925
00:43:22,719 --> 00:43:25,239
Speaker 3: I think the first game against Florida even he was

926
00:43:25,320 --> 00:43:28,000
Speaker 3: really really good in you go back to games against

927
00:43:28,120 --> 00:43:30,960
Speaker 3: Duke and Michigan State where he played less than Pringle

928
00:43:31,840 --> 00:43:33,279
Speaker 3: and they got beat up inside.

929
00:43:33,320 --> 00:43:34,759
Speaker 2: Like I don't really understand why.

930
00:43:34,800 --> 00:43:37,040
Speaker 3: He had twenty and nine against Houston way back in

931
00:43:37,080 --> 00:43:37,920
Speaker 3: the early season.

932
00:43:38,040 --> 00:43:41,120
Speaker 2: So you're gonna need you in the hang Arizona's front

933
00:43:41,120 --> 00:43:43,160
Speaker 2: courter is their front court. They're gonna get what they want.

934
00:43:43,560 --> 00:43:46,280
Speaker 2: You need shots made from Thomas and Acuff.

935
00:43:45,800 --> 00:43:48,040
Speaker 3: To your point, stuck, they've been operating at a crazy

936
00:43:48,640 --> 00:43:52,000
Speaker 3: three point golf for over a month. But also, like,

937
00:43:52,040 --> 00:43:54,279
Speaker 3: guess what this team can shoot. They're one of the

938
00:43:54,280 --> 00:43:56,279
Speaker 3: better shooting teams in the country. If anything, I wish

939
00:43:56,360 --> 00:43:59,480
Speaker 3: Arkansas took more threes. And I think when you look

940
00:43:59,520 --> 00:44:02,719
Speaker 3: at the way this game is gonna be played. They

941
00:44:02,760 --> 00:44:05,640
Speaker 3: should shoot a lot more threes than Arizona, Like if

942
00:44:05,640 --> 00:44:09,080
Speaker 3: they try to pound them inside and Acuff's just go

943
00:44:09,160 --> 00:44:11,560
Speaker 3: into the rim, Like, I don't think that's gonna go well.

944
00:44:11,600 --> 00:44:14,000
Speaker 3: I think Acuff's smart enough to navigate that. Know, this

945
00:44:14,040 --> 00:44:17,120
Speaker 3: needs to be a three point volume game. Arizona never

946
00:44:17,120 --> 00:44:19,560
Speaker 3: shoots as many threes as they should either. If you

947
00:44:19,560 --> 00:44:21,440
Speaker 3: can win the three point volume game, get a good

948
00:44:21,440 --> 00:44:23,480
Speaker 3: A Cuff game At seven and a half, it's a

949
00:44:23,560 --> 00:44:27,360
Speaker 3: number I have to play. And for full transparency, I

950
00:44:27,440 --> 00:44:31,680
Speaker 3: picked Arkansas to win this game in my bracket pre tournament.

951
00:44:32,080 --> 00:44:35,120
Speaker 3: I'm gonna sprinkle the money line, but I understand the

952
00:44:35,160 --> 00:44:37,320
Speaker 3: matchup has a lot of reasons to believe in Arizona.

953
00:44:38,080 --> 00:44:39,440
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean I just look back at that. I mean,

954
00:44:39,520 --> 00:44:41,440
Speaker 1: look in Arkansas. They've been good lately, but I mean

955
00:44:41,480 --> 00:44:45,120
Speaker 1: you look back. I mean both these the draws keep

956
00:44:45,160 --> 00:44:46,759
Speaker 1: breaking for them. I mean they got Oklahoma and Ole

957
00:44:46,840 --> 00:44:50,920
Speaker 1: Miss and then Hawaiian High Point. I look back at

958
00:44:50,920 --> 00:44:53,120
Speaker 1: like that game against Florida, and I just think Arizona

959
00:44:53,160 --> 00:44:57,000
Speaker 1: is like Florida on steroids, and it was a disaster.

960
00:44:57,080 --> 00:44:59,000
Speaker 1: You can go back to the Duke the Houston games

961
00:45:00,400 --> 00:45:03,520
Speaker 1: on neutral courts. I just think don't think they will

962
00:45:03,520 --> 00:45:06,359
Speaker 1: be able to overcompensate their their rim defense. I think

963
00:45:06,360 --> 00:45:07,960
Speaker 1: they need pringle here that they can't. You can't just

964
00:45:07,960 --> 00:45:10,120
Speaker 1: play six guys against Arizona. They're gonna get too much

965
00:45:10,120 --> 00:45:12,799
Speaker 1: foul trouble. They're gonna they just need to they just

966
00:45:12,840 --> 00:45:18,279
Speaker 1: need more bodies. But yeah, I mean, they look a

967
00:45:18,400 --> 00:45:20,440
Speaker 1: cup and they're gonna have to make some threes. But

968
00:45:20,520 --> 00:45:23,759
Speaker 1: the other thing is that Arkansas's best attribute is their

969
00:45:23,800 --> 00:45:26,920
Speaker 1: perimeter on defense. Is their perimeter defense, and like their

970
00:45:26,920 --> 00:45:30,960
Speaker 1: three point defense, and like that's Arizona's Like okay, cool.

971
00:45:31,400 --> 00:45:31,960
Speaker 4: Uh.

972
00:45:32,200 --> 00:45:35,120
Speaker 1: That's another thing that I don't necessarily love about this matchup.

973
00:45:35,280 --> 00:45:38,120
Speaker 1: I just look at this Arizona. I'm I'm I think

974
00:45:38,160 --> 00:45:40,200
Speaker 1: the more I look at this, I think Arizona's gonna

975
00:45:40,200 --> 00:45:43,240
Speaker 1: win it all. But they just have too many answers

976
00:45:43,239 --> 00:45:49,279
Speaker 1: and too much depth to everything that just every situation

977
00:45:49,400 --> 00:45:52,000
Speaker 1: this year, and they've proven it over and over again. Christian,

978
00:45:52,000 --> 00:45:53,000
Speaker 1: you want to break the tie?

979
00:45:54,120 --> 00:45:58,160
Speaker 5: Yeah, easy, Arizona. For me, they're my title pick. I

980
00:45:58,239 --> 00:46:01,640
Speaker 5: was never worried about this matchup. I thought Wisconsin would

981
00:46:01,640 --> 00:46:04,200
Speaker 5: have had a better chance to be perfectly honest, the

982
00:46:04,320 --> 00:46:07,839
Speaker 5: four best defenses they played in the regular season, as

983
00:46:07,840 --> 00:46:11,879
Speaker 5: Sticky pointed out, they lost all four of those games. Look,

984
00:46:12,040 --> 00:46:15,000
Speaker 5: Arizona so much optionality of throwing Bradley at a Cuff

985
00:46:15,200 --> 00:46:16,120
Speaker 5: you could throw Burry.

986
00:46:16,239 --> 00:46:17,640
Speaker 6: I think Burry's is gonna have to guard him.

987
00:46:17,680 --> 00:46:20,200
Speaker 5: Karshankoff and in Acuff is playing out his freaking mind

988
00:46:20,280 --> 00:46:23,440
Speaker 5: right now, Like like I want to like yeah, like

989
00:46:23,480 --> 00:46:27,239
Speaker 5: of all of the great pro coff that he's like yeah, yeah, yeah,

990
00:46:27,239 --> 00:46:30,800
Speaker 5: I'm talking about offensive The only reason if people wanted

991
00:46:30,800 --> 00:46:33,319
Speaker 5: to equally weigh offensive defense, he wouldn't be like in

992
00:46:33,400 --> 00:46:36,600
Speaker 5: these top five pick conversations. But like, offensively, he's playing

993
00:46:36,640 --> 00:46:39,680
Speaker 5: out of his absolute mind. But like, man, if if

994
00:46:39,680 --> 00:46:41,640
Speaker 5: I could pick any team to slow him down that

995
00:46:41,680 --> 00:46:43,120
Speaker 5: he hasn't already played me, I would have picked a

996
00:46:43,160 --> 00:46:46,560
Speaker 5: Duke or Michigan State, But like to deal with a big, physical,

997
00:46:47,040 --> 00:46:50,799
Speaker 5: older guy like a Bradley or Karschhenkoff with Moe Krevas

998
00:46:51,200 --> 00:46:54,080
Speaker 5: behind you, that is so tough to deal with. And

999
00:46:54,120 --> 00:46:56,279
Speaker 5: I and they have the talent to punch up, and

1000
00:46:56,280 --> 00:46:57,799
Speaker 5: like they they played well in those games. I think

1001
00:46:57,800 --> 00:47:00,680
Speaker 5: I was on them to cover against me, Michigan State

1002
00:47:00,800 --> 00:47:05,000
Speaker 5: and Duke and they and they did. And I also

1003
00:47:05,160 --> 00:47:08,479
Speaker 5: like taking Arkansas as a dog or just Cal teams

1004
00:47:08,480 --> 00:47:11,040
Speaker 5: as a dog. But like we've seen it, just I

1005
00:47:11,040 --> 00:47:15,000
Speaker 5: don't know in the tournament, when's the last time Cal's.

1006
00:47:14,680 --> 00:47:15,319
Speaker 6: Made in the lead eight.

1007
00:47:15,360 --> 00:47:19,080
Speaker 5: It's been since he had freaking Karl Anthony Talons and

1008
00:47:19,080 --> 00:47:21,359
Speaker 5: Devin Booker on his team. Like he's had so many

1009
00:47:21,400 --> 00:47:24,239
Speaker 5: good players and so many good teams. This Arizona team,

1010
00:47:24,480 --> 00:47:28,520
Speaker 5: Tommy Lloyd, we can't use that in this game. I know,

1011
00:47:28,680 --> 00:47:30,680
Speaker 5: I know, but this has to be the year. They're

1012
00:47:30,840 --> 00:47:34,120
Speaker 5: so loaded. They're so loaded. Just like I don't need

1013
00:47:34,160 --> 00:47:35,799
Speaker 5: to just do the I mean, I don't want to

1014
00:47:35,840 --> 00:47:37,319
Speaker 5: just do the thing with Arizona where I just talk

1015
00:47:37,360 --> 00:47:39,399
Speaker 5: about their personnel, like I'm trying to think matchup wise, but.

1016
00:47:39,400 --> 00:47:45,280
Speaker 6: Like, look, Arkansas can't guard. They can't guard, they can't guard.

1017
00:47:45,400 --> 00:47:48,680
Speaker 5: And who have they played lately in this magical run?

1018
00:47:49,440 --> 00:47:55,480
Speaker 5: High Point, Hawaii, Vanderbilt or Billy Richmond and Trevor Brazil

1019
00:47:55,560 --> 00:48:00,319
Speaker 5: didn't miss Ole miss in overtime, Oklahoma by three, you know,

1020
00:48:00,520 --> 00:48:03,080
Speaker 5: at Maszoo in overtime, and then texat home. They don't

1021
00:48:03,080 --> 00:48:05,479
Speaker 5: play anyone that can guard, and you're playing the best

1022
00:48:05,520 --> 00:48:08,000
Speaker 5: team in the country who is the lead on both ends,

1023
00:48:08,120 --> 00:48:12,040
Speaker 5: with towering bigs who can do more to acuff you

1024
00:48:12,120 --> 00:48:13,959
Speaker 5: might be down Pringles fowls, which you'll need.

1025
00:48:14,160 --> 00:48:15,560
Speaker 6: You need Pringles House. I totally great.

1026
00:48:15,560 --> 00:48:17,560
Speaker 5: Greg Ewan's better, but you need his fowls out there.

1027
00:48:19,040 --> 00:48:23,080
Speaker 5: I think it's all Arizona. I think it's all Arizona.

1028
00:48:23,239 --> 00:48:25,319
Speaker 5: It's the tournament and they got and they got this

1029
00:48:25,640 --> 00:48:26,560
Speaker 5: insane guard.

1030
00:48:26,960 --> 00:48:28,400
Speaker 6: But I think it's all Arizona.

1031
00:48:28,760 --> 00:48:31,400
Speaker 3: All right, I'm gonna make one last desperation pitch that

1032
00:48:31,440 --> 00:48:32,520
Speaker 3: I fully expect you to bump.

1033
00:48:32,600 --> 00:48:34,160
Speaker 4: You are right by the way you are on Tommy Looyd.

1034
00:48:34,200 --> 00:48:35,759
Speaker 4: What is he wing three in this SWEK sixteen? Best

1035
00:48:35,760 --> 00:48:36,480
Speaker 4: four years?

1036
00:48:37,000 --> 00:48:39,960
Speaker 2: And I agree, Arizona is this good? This is the year?

1037
00:48:40,239 --> 00:48:44,080
Speaker 3: But you lose me when it's like cal in tournaments

1038
00:48:44,160 --> 00:48:45,120
Speaker 3: versus Tommy Lloyd.

1039
00:48:45,120 --> 00:48:47,640
Speaker 5: I'm just no, it's not callen ternas. It's more like

1040
00:48:48,000 --> 00:48:52,719
Speaker 5: when he's had these incredibly talented rosters, like sure, he

1041
00:48:52,840 --> 00:48:55,120
Speaker 5: still hasn't done that much with them. And Tommy Lloyd,

1042
00:48:55,120 --> 00:48:57,640
Speaker 5: I understand he's just can hitting the wall in the

1043
00:48:57,680 --> 00:49:01,439
Speaker 5: sweet sixteen, But like I guess my counterpoint of why

1044
00:49:01,480 --> 00:49:05,080
Speaker 5: that's happening, I don't know.

1045
00:49:05,160 --> 00:49:06,200
Speaker 6: I don't know if I have one I do.

1046
00:49:06,239 --> 00:49:08,319
Speaker 5: I guess this is by far their best defensive team

1047
00:49:08,840 --> 00:49:10,560
Speaker 5: and their best rebounding team, so they can win the

1048
00:49:10,520 --> 00:49:12,640
Speaker 5: possession bat like that, and you have really good guard play,

1049
00:49:12,800 --> 00:49:16,120
Speaker 5: and I just trust the guard play more like Bury's

1050
00:49:16,200 --> 00:49:19,799
Speaker 5: is awesome. Bradley just every time they need something from him,

1051
00:49:19,800 --> 00:49:26,160
Speaker 5: he delivers to have the rim dominance, the strength the

1052
00:49:26,200 --> 00:49:29,920
Speaker 5: transition attack, but also guards that you can trust in

1053
00:49:30,400 --> 00:49:35,279
Speaker 5: shot makers like Utah State forced Town may turnovers for

1054
00:49:35,440 --> 00:49:38,160
Speaker 5: u tou State only turned the ball over four times. Right,

1055
00:49:38,800 --> 00:49:41,520
Speaker 5: they held Arizona to thirty nine percent shooting inside the arc.

1056
00:49:42,000 --> 00:49:44,040
Speaker 5: Arizona shot sub seventy percent from the free.

1057
00:49:43,880 --> 00:49:46,560
Speaker 6: Throw line and then one by twelve. And I know

1058
00:49:46,560 --> 00:49:49,080
Speaker 6: it's just Utah State, but it's like I think.

1059
00:49:49,200 --> 00:49:51,200
Speaker 5: Arizona and Michigan are on a I mean, maybe Purdue

1060
00:49:51,239 --> 00:49:52,960
Speaker 5: makes something interesting, but I think Arizona Michigan on a

1061
00:49:52,960 --> 00:49:55,279
Speaker 5: crash course for the ultimate battle on the final four.

1062
00:49:55,760 --> 00:49:57,799
Speaker 2: So I wholeheartedly agree with you guys on how good

1063
00:49:57,800 --> 00:49:58,719
Speaker 2: Arizona is.

1064
00:49:59,360 --> 00:50:02,000
Speaker 3: If they were in this draw, like if I had

1065
00:50:02,040 --> 00:50:04,279
Speaker 3: Duker Michigan's draw, they'd be my title pick. They're not

1066
00:50:04,680 --> 00:50:06,960
Speaker 3: because I picked Arkansas to win this game. Here's the

1067
00:50:07,040 --> 00:50:09,560
Speaker 3: last pitch I got. If you're trying to wrap your

1068
00:50:09,600 --> 00:50:13,480
Speaker 3: brain around me, just wish speaking this into existence. Acuff's

1069
00:50:13,480 --> 00:50:17,200
Speaker 3: gotta have like forty a legacy game. The fact that

1070
00:50:17,280 --> 00:50:21,319
Speaker 3: Acuff is such a terrible defender could actually work in

1071
00:50:21,480 --> 00:50:24,560
Speaker 3: Arkansas's favor in this game, which you guys are right,

1072
00:50:24,680 --> 00:50:27,439
Speaker 3: If you get you and fouled out of the game,

1073
00:50:27,520 --> 00:50:27,959
Speaker 3: it's over.

1074
00:50:28,680 --> 00:50:32,000
Speaker 2: But is Bradley gonna like go out.

1075
00:50:31,880 --> 00:50:34,520
Speaker 3: Into this game trying to outplay a Cuff take sixteen

1076
00:50:34,560 --> 00:50:37,399
Speaker 3: shots against a guy that everybody like. I think there's

1077
00:50:37,480 --> 00:50:40,160
Speaker 3: a chance that happens. And Bradley has not been great

1078
00:50:40,160 --> 00:50:42,880
Speaker 3: in this tournament. He was just six for sixteen. The

1079
00:50:42,880 --> 00:50:45,919
Speaker 3: more shot attempts that him and Burry's take in this game,

1080
00:50:46,239 --> 00:50:49,120
Speaker 3: the more you turn this into a shot making I

1081
00:50:49,120 --> 00:50:53,200
Speaker 3: don't know variation performance that I think Darius Acuff can steal.

1082
00:50:54,719 --> 00:50:56,600
Speaker 3: But I hear all of your points. I know I'm

1083
00:50:56,600 --> 00:50:58,600
Speaker 3: on an island. Give me the seven and a half

1084
00:50:58,640 --> 00:50:59,719
Speaker 3: and hope that cal can.

1085
00:50:59,680 --> 00:51:03,160
Speaker 5: Keep Tommy Land has also lost these tournament games, except

1086
00:51:03,200 --> 00:51:05,480
Speaker 5: for last year against a historically good duke team. When

1087
00:51:05,520 --> 00:51:07,239
Speaker 5: have they lost when they've gotten bogged down in the

1088
00:51:07,280 --> 00:51:12,240
Speaker 5: half court against Princeton, against Clemson in the mud in Houston,

1089
00:51:12,360 --> 00:51:15,120
Speaker 5: and that was the other one. And like Arkansas, if

1090
00:51:15,120 --> 00:51:17,440
Speaker 5: it's going to be super high scoring, like maybe that

1091
00:51:17,440 --> 00:51:19,640
Speaker 5: gives them the chance. Maybe you're right, like maybe that's

1092
00:51:19,680 --> 00:51:22,080
Speaker 5: when it starts. Maybe if it's just uptempo craziness.

1093
00:51:22,080 --> 00:51:23,799
Speaker 6: But yeah, there's just.

1094
00:51:23,840 --> 00:51:26,160
Speaker 1: Too much here for i mean, Decroskago for like forty five,

1095
00:51:26,360 --> 00:51:28,600
Speaker 1: there's too much to overcome. Like Arctol's best when they're

1096
00:51:28,640 --> 00:51:31,400
Speaker 1: running and in transition. Arizona is a ninety ninth percentile

1097
00:51:31,440 --> 00:51:35,480
Speaker 1: transition defense. Yeah, Arctall's a bad post D, a bad

1098
00:51:35,480 --> 00:51:38,800
Speaker 1: pick and roll D, a bad rim dy like arkansass

1099
00:51:38,920 --> 00:51:42,800
Speaker 1: used to like dunking and just lobbing on these SEC

1100
00:51:42,840 --> 00:51:46,160
Speaker 1: teams with awful front courts and who they you know,

1101
00:51:46,719 --> 00:51:49,200
Speaker 1: overmatched in majors that they played so far. That's gonna

1102
00:51:49,200 --> 00:51:53,520
Speaker 1: be Arizona in this game against Arkansas. So it should

1103
00:51:53,560 --> 00:51:55,560
Speaker 1: be a good one. It's always nice to have differing opinions.

1104
00:51:55,560 --> 00:51:59,160
Speaker 1: But let's move on. Ten oh five Eastern Tip in Houston,

1105
00:51:59,640 --> 00:52:04,759
Speaker 1: semi home game for Houston hosting Illinois Houston three and

1106
00:52:04,840 --> 00:52:08,080
Speaker 1: a half point favored. Here for what it's worth, I

1107
00:52:08,200 --> 00:52:11,719
Speaker 1: used I use one point for home field advantage, home

1108
00:52:11,760 --> 00:52:16,120
Speaker 1: field home court advantage for Houston. Could argue it should

1109
00:52:16,120 --> 00:52:18,120
Speaker 1: be higher. Could we argue it could be lower, But

1110
00:52:18,160 --> 00:52:20,640
Speaker 1: I personally use one point. I have these teams pretty

1111
00:52:20,680 --> 00:52:24,719
Speaker 1: equal from a power ratings perspective. You give me over

1112
00:52:25,280 --> 00:52:28,640
Speaker 1: over a possession, I'm taking Illinois. I think this will

1113
00:52:28,680 --> 00:52:31,000
Speaker 1: go right down to the wire. I mean, you look,

1114
00:52:31,040 --> 00:52:33,280
Speaker 1: Illinois is an elite offensive rebounding team, a better offensive

1115
00:52:33,280 --> 00:52:35,239
Speaker 1: rebounding team than Houston, which is their strength's but that's

1116
00:52:35,239 --> 00:52:39,440
Speaker 1: important against Houston and they're over aggressive defense. You need

1117
00:52:39,480 --> 00:52:40,840
Speaker 1: to be able to get on the offensive glass. You

1118
00:52:40,920 --> 00:52:44,040
Speaker 1: also need many guys that can hit threes, which they

1119
00:52:44,040 --> 00:52:46,680
Speaker 1: can do. Illinois is also great on the defensive glass.

1120
00:52:46,840 --> 00:52:49,240
Speaker 1: That's and they don't turn it over. That is massive

1121
00:52:49,239 --> 00:52:51,279
Speaker 1: against Houston. You look at the Houston's numbers this year

1122
00:52:51,800 --> 00:52:54,080
Speaker 1: when they force a bunch of turnovers, whereas when they don't,

1123
00:52:54,360 --> 00:52:58,760
Speaker 1: it's a completely different team. Now, Illinois never forces turnovers,

1124
00:52:58,800 --> 00:53:01,080
Speaker 1: but Houston doesn't turn it over, so like they're kind

1125
00:53:01,080 --> 00:53:06,200
Speaker 1: of neutralizing that strength that Houston usually has. I just

1126
00:53:06,200 --> 00:53:08,239
Speaker 1: think there's gonna be a ton of bad Houston mid

1127
00:53:08,320 --> 00:53:10,279
Speaker 1: range shots that they're gonna be able to get up

1128
00:53:10,520 --> 00:53:12,720
Speaker 1: and Houston won't be able to dominate the glass here.

1129
00:53:13,600 --> 00:53:16,239
Speaker 1: So like look, Houston also never allows anything in transition. Well,

1130
00:53:16,239 --> 00:53:19,240
Speaker 1: Illinois is not really looking to run. And then Illinois

1131
00:53:19,320 --> 00:53:21,759
Speaker 1: transition he's been really shaky, but Houston's not looking to

1132
00:53:21,840 --> 00:53:25,080
Speaker 1: run in this Illinois offense is just an elite man

1133
00:53:25,080 --> 00:53:26,799
Speaker 1: to man offense. You know, that's what you're gonna get.

1134
00:53:26,840 --> 00:53:29,080
Speaker 1: I think you can like throw zone at Illinois sometimes

1135
00:53:29,120 --> 00:53:31,920
Speaker 1: and just get them to fire bad shots. But it's

1136
00:53:31,960 --> 00:53:35,560
Speaker 1: Calvin Sampson. They're gonna be playing man defenses entire game,

1137
00:53:36,120 --> 00:53:38,200
Speaker 1: and you're gonna get a lot of open catch and

1138
00:53:38,200 --> 00:53:40,520
Speaker 1: shoot threes here, and I think Illinois.

1139
00:53:40,040 --> 00:53:40,560
Speaker 4: Can make them.

1140
00:53:40,719 --> 00:53:42,680
Speaker 1: And by the way, Houston can be zoned their zone.

1141
00:53:43,160 --> 00:53:45,239
Speaker 1: Their offense to get their zone. Offense is not great

1142
00:53:45,239 --> 00:53:47,120
Speaker 1: at times in Illinois will throw in a zone here

1143
00:53:47,120 --> 00:53:50,080
Speaker 1: and there. Three and a half's too many points. I

1144
00:53:50,120 --> 00:53:52,880
Speaker 1: can't wait for this game. I'm taking Illinois, Greg. This

1145
00:53:52,920 --> 00:53:55,319
Speaker 1: is a big ten game that we are aligned on.

1146
00:53:55,480 --> 00:53:57,520
Speaker 3: We are I am happy to hear that we are

1147
00:53:57,560 --> 00:53:59,840
Speaker 3: aligned here because I feel like you have been in

1148
00:54:00,000 --> 00:54:02,799
Speaker 3: Illinois believer in the last couple of years, and my

1149
00:54:02,960 --> 00:54:06,359
Speaker 3: gut when I saw the money moving toward Houston was to.

1150
00:54:06,360 --> 00:54:07,200
Speaker 2: Jump on Illinois.

1151
00:54:07,239 --> 00:54:10,040
Speaker 3: The moment I saw three and a half, I think

1152
00:54:10,080 --> 00:54:11,959
Speaker 3: this is moving the wrong way. I thought it would

1153
00:54:12,000 --> 00:54:15,160
Speaker 3: be around one one way or the other. I think

1154
00:54:15,280 --> 00:54:18,560
Speaker 3: the fear here is just the physicality, the toughness stuff

1155
00:54:18,600 --> 00:54:23,040
Speaker 3: that Houston program brings is too much for Illinois. However,

1156
00:54:23,080 --> 00:54:25,319
Speaker 3: outside of that Michigan game this year, I don't really

1157
00:54:25,320 --> 00:54:28,399
Speaker 3: think we saw any of that startle this Illinois team

1158
00:54:28,440 --> 00:54:31,759
Speaker 3: that is the number one in average height team in

1159
00:54:32,120 --> 00:54:36,640
Speaker 3: America this year. And I think in general, outside of

1160
00:54:36,719 --> 00:54:40,759
Speaker 3: Kelvin Sampson like in game figuring this out better than

1161
00:54:40,760 --> 00:54:45,160
Speaker 3: Brad Underwood, I don't really see an area of this

1162
00:54:45,280 --> 00:54:48,000
Speaker 3: game that I think Houston has a major advantage. You

1163
00:54:48,080 --> 00:54:50,640
Speaker 3: talked about a lot of the ways this maps well

1164
00:54:50,680 --> 00:54:52,360
Speaker 3: with what Illinois wants to do. It's going to be

1165
00:54:52,400 --> 00:54:54,560
Speaker 3: a slow game, sort of feels like an undergame at

1166
00:54:54,560 --> 00:54:57,480
Speaker 3: first glance to me, but that works conducive to.

1167
00:54:57,440 --> 00:54:59,320
Speaker 2: An Illinois win to me. Outright.

1168
00:54:59,520 --> 00:55:02,600
Speaker 3: In terms of possession battle, Houston may not shoot a

1169
00:55:02,640 --> 00:55:06,320
Speaker 3: free throw in this game, like if Illinois can generate

1170
00:55:06,400 --> 00:55:08,919
Speaker 3: some second chances and is gonna have the three point

1171
00:55:08,960 --> 00:55:11,320
Speaker 3: volume advantage as long as they make some shots.

1172
00:55:11,680 --> 00:55:13,239
Speaker 2: I love this matchup for them.

1173
00:55:13,800 --> 00:55:15,960
Speaker 3: The only other thing I would add, and this is personal,

1174
00:55:16,360 --> 00:55:19,440
Speaker 3: my view of Houston this year. Man, their non conference

1175
00:55:19,440 --> 00:55:22,240
Speaker 3: schedule wasn't talked about enough. They played two tournament teams.

1176
00:55:22,760 --> 00:55:26,279
Speaker 3: They played Tennessee in Arkansas. They lost the Tennessee game. Like,

1177
00:55:26,440 --> 00:55:29,040
Speaker 3: they didn't play a top ten opponent until they played

1178
00:55:29,080 --> 00:55:30,920
Speaker 3: Iowa State on February sixteenth.

1179
00:55:31,160 --> 00:55:31,960
Speaker 2: That's crazy.

1180
00:55:33,080 --> 00:55:35,560
Speaker 3: Like they're three and eight against the spread against top

1181
00:55:35,680 --> 00:55:40,000
Speaker 3: thirty opponents this year, and analytically they're close to a

1182
00:55:40,040 --> 00:55:43,120
Speaker 3: normal Houston team. But we've heard Calvin Samson knowledge that

1183
00:55:43,160 --> 00:55:45,960
Speaker 3: this team is younger, they're not as physical, Snack kind.

1184
00:55:45,840 --> 00:55:48,239
Speaker 2: Of shies away from big matchups.

1185
00:55:48,600 --> 00:55:51,400
Speaker 3: I don't know, there's something that doesn't pass the smell

1186
00:55:51,440 --> 00:55:53,400
Speaker 3: test for me with Houston. I think this number is

1187
00:55:53,400 --> 00:55:58,240
Speaker 3: indicative of the respect the market has for Calvin Sampson's program.

1188
00:55:58,320 --> 00:56:00,720
Speaker 3: But to me, this is his weakest team in a while.

1189
00:56:01,120 --> 00:56:03,239
Speaker 3: And I think this is Brad Underwood's best team ever.

1190
00:56:03,520 --> 00:56:05,440
Speaker 3: So I'll be on the aligne as Also, like the

1191
00:56:05,520 --> 00:56:05,920
Speaker 3: under here.

1192
00:56:06,239 --> 00:56:09,279
Speaker 1: Yeah, their defense is not obviously it's not close to

1193
00:56:09,320 --> 00:56:11,520
Speaker 1: as elite as it's been. It's still very, very good,

1194
00:56:11,560 --> 00:56:14,880
Speaker 1: but there's a clear drop off from where they've been

1195
00:56:14,920 --> 00:56:17,279
Speaker 1: over the last couple of years. They miss you know,

1196
00:56:17,840 --> 00:56:22,200
Speaker 1: Roberts and Francis and some of the other bigs that

1197
00:56:22,200 --> 00:56:26,120
Speaker 1: they've had. I mean, look, Tuggler's an amazing defender, but

1198
00:56:26,160 --> 00:56:29,000
Speaker 1: they're just not as strong in the interior. And their

1199
00:56:29,040 --> 00:56:30,880
Speaker 1: offense is a little better and they have a higher

1200
00:56:30,920 --> 00:56:35,319
Speaker 1: ceiling with Flemings, but it's not as amazing as I

1201
00:56:35,320 --> 00:56:37,560
Speaker 1: think it needs to be to overcome that drop in defense.

1202
00:56:37,600 --> 00:56:39,960
Speaker 1: So I think this Houston's very vulnerable. They take such

1203
00:56:40,000 --> 00:56:42,520
Speaker 1: bad shots, and I think the difference in this game

1204
00:56:43,160 --> 00:56:46,560
Speaker 1: is gonna be Illinois is gonna get their their fair

1205
00:56:46,560 --> 00:56:48,560
Speaker 1: share of offensive rebounds, and then they're gonna be able

1206
00:56:48,560 --> 00:56:50,439
Speaker 1: to kick it out, swing the ball, and they're gonna

1207
00:56:50,440 --> 00:56:53,239
Speaker 1: get open looks from three, and I trust them to

1208
00:56:53,280 --> 00:56:56,399
Speaker 1: make them more than Houston. So I think that's that's

1209
00:56:56,440 --> 00:56:58,880
Speaker 1: the difference. You Illinois can compete on the glass. I

1210
00:56:58,920 --> 00:57:00,560
Speaker 1: think they match up pretty well. I think that this

1211
00:57:00,600 --> 00:57:02,560
Speaker 1: game should go right down with the wire. We haven't

1212
00:57:02,560 --> 00:57:04,279
Speaker 1: had a consensus yet Christ and you're gonna make this

1213
00:57:04,560 --> 00:57:05,160
Speaker 1: three for three.

1214
00:57:06,080 --> 00:57:07,759
Speaker 5: It's a no play for me because I'm such a

1215
00:57:07,800 --> 00:57:10,840
Speaker 5: Houston guy. But that should kind of say everything you

1216
00:57:10,880 --> 00:57:15,400
Speaker 5: need to know on paper. Illinois's ability to crash offensive

1217
00:57:15,400 --> 00:57:21,240
Speaker 5: glass and to just space him out and just play

1218
00:57:21,280 --> 00:57:24,439
Speaker 5: the game of Flemings will have to hit a lot

1219
00:57:24,440 --> 00:57:26,480
Speaker 5: of midias overdrop and stuff.

1220
00:57:27,760 --> 00:57:29,400
Speaker 6: It's a great match of Illinois. It's a really tough

1221
00:57:29,440 --> 00:57:30,560
Speaker 6: matchup for Houston.

1222
00:57:31,080 --> 00:57:34,040
Speaker 5: But Okay, I think about something like this Woggler's sixty six.

1223
00:57:34,080 --> 00:57:36,480
Speaker 5: He can see over traps, He's been a great processor.

1224
00:57:36,880 --> 00:57:40,160
Speaker 5: He's been calm all year, But like, is he calm

1225
00:57:40,200 --> 00:57:44,680
Speaker 5: against Houston? Does does manual sharp and Uzan being up

1226
00:57:44,720 --> 00:57:46,600
Speaker 5: in his face trapping him against is he going to

1227
00:57:46,640 --> 00:57:47,240
Speaker 5: take care of the ball?

1228
00:57:47,280 --> 00:57:47,440
Speaker 3: Then?

1229
00:57:48,840 --> 00:57:49,320
Speaker 6: I don't know?

1230
00:57:49,400 --> 00:57:52,520
Speaker 5: And then there's also this weird there, like maybe I'm

1231
00:57:52,520 --> 00:57:54,800
Speaker 5: overthinking this. There's something weird to me about the Strookovich

1232
00:57:54,800 --> 00:57:58,280
Speaker 5: stuff because he's either like it doesn't make any sense

1233
00:57:58,320 --> 00:58:00,760
Speaker 5: to have him on the floor because of his spacing

1234
00:58:00,760 --> 00:58:03,400
Speaker 5: and being a ball stopper, or it's like let's ride

1235
00:58:03,440 --> 00:58:06,800
Speaker 5: Sarakovich like he's our go to guy, And I think

1236
00:58:06,800 --> 00:58:08,720
Speaker 5: that's kind of a weird a little bit of a

1237
00:58:08,720 --> 00:58:10,120
Speaker 5: weird dynamic, Like I think this is a game where

1238
00:58:10,120 --> 00:58:12,440
Speaker 5: you probably don't use Dakovich. The only use of Stokovich

1239
00:58:12,520 --> 00:58:14,080
Speaker 5: in this game is if you use them like Arizona

1240
00:58:14,120 --> 00:58:16,240
Speaker 5: do with Karschenkov, where it's like, we don't want to

1241
00:58:16,240 --> 00:58:17,439
Speaker 5: deal with you trapping this ball screen.

1242
00:58:17,440 --> 00:58:19,120
Speaker 6: We're gonna le Karshankov get in the paint and make

1243
00:58:19,160 --> 00:58:19,560
Speaker 6: a play.

1244
00:58:19,960 --> 00:58:23,360
Speaker 5: And like, if if you're Houston, that's the way they're playing,

1245
00:58:23,400 --> 00:58:25,280
Speaker 5: that's a win, right, you would love for them to

1246
00:58:25,280 --> 00:58:27,760
Speaker 5: play that way. So I don't know, I I and

1247
00:58:27,800 --> 00:58:30,240
Speaker 5: if they're not, so maybe we bet Hystorokovich hundreds. But

1248
00:58:31,360 --> 00:58:34,960
Speaker 5: I just think think about when Perdue. I will never

1249
00:58:34,960 --> 00:58:37,240
Speaker 5: stop thinking about the Woggler Perdue game because it was

1250
00:58:37,320 --> 00:58:40,080
Speaker 5: just like this masterpiece. It was just like what could

1251
00:58:40,120 --> 00:58:42,760
Speaker 5: you possibly do, you know, from an exid no standpoint,

1252
00:58:42,760 --> 00:58:46,120
Speaker 5: like a guy like painter. And when Perdue finally put

1253
00:58:46,120 --> 00:58:49,600
Speaker 5: two on the ball right late game, what did Illinois do?

1254
00:58:50,560 --> 00:58:53,200
Speaker 5: Wogger made the right play a Visa hit shots, Mirkovic

1255
00:58:53,240 --> 00:58:55,520
Speaker 5: hit shots, and Purdue's close outs like didn't get there

1256
00:58:55,560 --> 00:58:55,760
Speaker 5: in time.

1257
00:58:55,800 --> 00:58:56,920
Speaker 6: They weren't disruptive enough.

1258
00:58:57,360 --> 00:59:00,360
Speaker 5: Houston playing that Way is a different beast though, in

1259
00:59:00,400 --> 00:59:02,240
Speaker 5: terms of how quickly you get to those close outs,

1260
00:59:02,240 --> 00:59:05,240
Speaker 5: how disruptive your hands are on those passes, pocket passes, whatever,

1261
00:59:06,720 --> 00:59:10,520
Speaker 5: And that's Houston. One has to be disruptive to win

1262
00:59:10,560 --> 00:59:10,959
Speaker 5: this game.

1263
00:59:12,520 --> 00:59:13,200
Speaker 6: They've lost that.

1264
00:59:13,360 --> 00:59:15,320
Speaker 5: You know, they only had three turnover only for three

1265
00:59:15,360 --> 00:59:15,840
Speaker 5: ton overs.

1266
00:59:15,720 --> 00:59:16,480
Speaker 6: The win at Io State.

1267
00:59:16,920 --> 00:59:18,959
Speaker 5: It's all on Wagger's ability to take care of the ball,

1268
00:59:19,200 --> 00:59:22,240
Speaker 5: I think, and I think he can totally do it

1269
00:59:22,280 --> 00:59:26,120
Speaker 5: because of his size in outcomyas and and everything. But

1270
00:59:26,440 --> 00:59:28,720
Speaker 5: I don't know if he's seen a defense that brings

1271
00:59:28,720 --> 00:59:32,080
Speaker 5: this much heat to him, like he's had Yaxle shadowing

1272
00:59:32,080 --> 00:59:33,760
Speaker 5: and like he's definitely had different challenges.

1273
00:59:33,760 --> 00:59:36,640
Speaker 6: But I think it's really sorry, let me just say this.

1274
00:59:36,720 --> 00:59:38,320
Speaker 6: I'm not betting this. I'm not touching it.

1275
00:59:38,360 --> 00:59:42,160
Speaker 5: I have Houston futures, but if Illinois wins, I won't

1276
00:59:42,200 --> 00:59:43,200
Speaker 5: be surprised at all.

1277
00:59:43,240 --> 00:59:44,800
Speaker 6: I'm just not going to rush to bet.

1278
00:59:44,680 --> 00:59:47,120
Speaker 5: It because even if Greg's right that this is the

1279
00:59:47,120 --> 00:59:49,720
Speaker 5: worst Houston team in a while, like they're still pretty

1280
00:59:49,880 --> 00:59:50,680
Speaker 5: pretty damned tough.

1281
00:59:51,520 --> 00:59:53,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, I have Illinois futures, and I'm betting Illinois. Uh

1282
00:59:55,640 --> 00:59:58,320
Speaker 1: three and a half. I could get the two, like

1283
00:59:58,520 --> 01:00:01,760
Speaker 1: you could like with home court, you know, being in Houston,

1284
01:00:01,840 --> 01:00:05,680
Speaker 1: but I I have to take over three. Well, I

1285
01:00:05,680 --> 01:00:07,120
Speaker 1: think you'll be able to handle the pressure. I mean

1286
01:00:07,160 --> 01:00:08,920
Speaker 1: that is the key I think Houston is when they

1287
01:00:08,960 --> 01:00:12,360
Speaker 1: force I think maybe like fourteen or more turnovers in

1288
01:00:12,360 --> 01:00:14,200
Speaker 1: the game this year they're undefeated. When they don't, they're

1289
01:00:14,400 --> 01:00:19,439
Speaker 1: I think they're eleven and five or something. And yeah,

1290
01:00:19,440 --> 01:00:22,360
Speaker 1: I think he can handle the pressure and just they're not.

1291
01:00:23,320 --> 01:00:24,720
Speaker 1: Illinois can complete on the glass?

1292
01:00:24,760 --> 01:00:28,720
Speaker 4: Here? Can the can the this is chich how do

1293
01:00:28,760 --> 01:00:30,280
Speaker 4: you say the plural of uh?

1294
01:00:30,600 --> 01:00:32,160
Speaker 6: This is uh?

1295
01:00:33,240 --> 01:00:36,160
Speaker 4: Can the uh take me to the Balkans? Please?

1296
01:00:36,160 --> 01:00:38,760
Speaker 1: That was an amazing call by the rath. Can they

1297
01:00:38,760 --> 01:00:40,520
Speaker 1: make some threes? I feel like they haven't made a

1298
01:00:40,520 --> 01:00:43,920
Speaker 1: shot in a month, but that would be big to

1299
01:00:43,960 --> 01:00:46,160
Speaker 1: have here. Uh No, I think he's gonna be able

1300
01:00:46,160 --> 01:00:49,320
Speaker 1: to handle the pressure. But it is certainly I mean Flemings,

1301
01:00:49,440 --> 01:00:51,440
Speaker 1: the Flemings Woggler battle is amazing.

1302
01:00:51,680 --> 01:00:54,320
Speaker 4: I wonder, Yeah, this isn't I allnoys team? Who was Illinois?

1303
01:00:54,360 --> 01:00:56,840
Speaker 1: When's the last time I mean Illinois lost to Michigan

1304
01:00:57,480 --> 01:01:00,400
Speaker 1: and before then, I mean, when's the less time they

1305
01:01:00,480 --> 01:01:02,360
Speaker 1: lost the game that wasn't at the buzzer or in

1306
01:01:02,440 --> 01:01:05,400
Speaker 1: overtime like they're they're, they're gonna, They're gonna be in

1307
01:01:05,440 --> 01:01:06,240
Speaker 1: this game to the end.

1308
01:01:06,520 --> 01:01:09,160
Speaker 2: That's literally the Yukon game at MSG. Crazy.

1309
01:01:10,360 --> 01:01:12,920
Speaker 3: Yeah, Christian, to your woggler question, the one thing I

1310
01:01:12,920 --> 01:01:16,360
Speaker 3: would say, they have so many plus passers and it's

1311
01:01:16,360 --> 01:01:18,280
Speaker 3: gonna be a half court game if they just get

1312
01:01:18,320 --> 01:01:20,040
Speaker 3: it into half court situations.

1313
01:01:20,400 --> 01:01:20,919
Speaker 2: I think we.

1314
01:01:20,840 --> 01:01:25,280
Speaker 3: Could see Tyler Underwood pivot to some Kylon Boswell David

1315
01:01:25,320 --> 01:01:29,320
Speaker 3: Mirkovich initiated said actions.

1316
01:01:28,920 --> 01:01:30,200
Speaker 2: Push Keaton off ball.

1317
01:01:30,520 --> 01:01:32,280
Speaker 3: When they do send two to the ball, it's Keaton

1318
01:01:32,280 --> 01:01:34,240
Speaker 3: who ends up the shot making recipient of it.

1319
01:01:34,440 --> 01:01:35,440
Speaker 2: I'll be keeping an eye on that.

1320
01:01:35,520 --> 01:01:39,120
Speaker 3: Tyler Underwood's been magnificent as offensive coordinator this year, but

1321
01:01:39,400 --> 01:01:41,160
Speaker 3: obviously Houston is a different challenge.

1322
01:01:41,560 --> 01:01:44,800
Speaker 5: And I also think with the three point Like I

1323
01:01:44,840 --> 01:01:46,680
Speaker 5: know this is obvious because they're the third best offensive

1324
01:01:46,720 --> 01:01:48,480
Speaker 5: rebud team in the country, but like, even if they

1325
01:01:48,480 --> 01:01:50,280
Speaker 5: don't shoot the three, well, well, they're gonna grab a

1326
01:01:50,280 --> 01:01:52,760
Speaker 5: lot of those misses. They're gonna grab a lot of

1327
01:01:52,800 --> 01:01:54,680
Speaker 5: those long rebounds off the threes, which.

1328
01:01:54,520 --> 01:01:56,280
Speaker 6: I think is can't be understated.

1329
01:01:56,360 --> 01:01:58,240
Speaker 5: Houston's going to have to be very efficient offensively and

1330
01:01:58,280 --> 01:02:00,760
Speaker 5: disruptive when you start to talk about all the things

1331
01:02:00,760 --> 01:02:02,640
Speaker 5: that if needs to happen, like when we were doing

1332
01:02:02,640 --> 01:02:04,320
Speaker 5: that with Iowa Nebraska. When you do that for this like,

1333
01:02:04,360 --> 01:02:06,200
Speaker 5: it's advantage Illinois for sure.

1334
01:02:06,360 --> 01:02:06,720
Speaker 6: It is.

1335
01:02:07,360 --> 01:02:07,640
Speaker 4: Yeah.

1336
01:02:07,720 --> 01:02:09,800
Speaker 1: I mean you're gonna get the shots that they want

1337
01:02:09,880 --> 01:02:13,120
Speaker 1: because they want to shoot mid range jumpers. But can

1338
01:02:13,160 --> 01:02:15,880
Speaker 1: they get enough rebounds and can they make them efficiently enough?

1339
01:02:16,280 --> 01:02:16,760
Speaker 4: We'll see?

1340
01:02:17,040 --> 01:02:20,280
Speaker 1: Uh, all right, before you get out here, let's if

1341
01:02:20,320 --> 01:02:21,800
Speaker 1: you had to take one bet, or you can just

1342
01:02:21,840 --> 01:02:26,480
Speaker 1: sum up the bets you like. I'll say I like Arizona,

1343
01:02:26,560 --> 01:02:29,760
Speaker 1: especially as this number keeps coming down, I like, but

1344
01:02:29,880 --> 01:02:31,920
Speaker 1: my favorite bet is Illinois catching three and a half.

1345
01:02:32,440 --> 01:02:35,120
Speaker 1: I will I like the Iowa Nebraska under. I could

1346
01:02:35,160 --> 01:02:38,720
Speaker 1: maybe think about the Texas Purdue first half over and

1347
01:02:38,840 --> 01:02:41,640
Speaker 1: for the vibes, I will probably be on Iowa.

1348
01:02:42,280 --> 01:02:46,160
Speaker 2: Greg I like Perdue and Illinois. Those are my two strongest.

1349
01:02:46,640 --> 01:02:49,320
Speaker 5: Christian I think I'm gonna lay with Prudue in Arizona

1350
01:02:49,400 --> 01:02:53,120
Speaker 5: like the cock prop Stragovia thunder and then what was

1351
01:02:53,160 --> 01:02:54,560
Speaker 5: the other game? Like, Oh yeah, I think for vibes,

1352
01:02:54,560 --> 01:02:56,480
Speaker 5: I'm going to do Iowa too, I might take a

1353
01:02:56,480 --> 01:02:59,280
Speaker 5: big standing survivor on Iowa, but it's it's so risky.

1354
01:02:59,360 --> 01:03:04,120
Speaker 1: But I might just my survivor, my Splash survivors and

1355
01:03:04,160 --> 01:03:06,240
Speaker 1: some other survivors that I'm with. I'm thinking I'm going

1356
01:03:06,800 --> 01:03:09,240
Speaker 1: I've used let's see on my biggest ones.

1357
01:03:09,880 --> 01:03:10,560
Speaker 4: I've used.

1358
01:03:10,920 --> 01:03:12,800
Speaker 1: This one's in a pretty good shape. I used Texas

1359
01:03:12,800 --> 01:03:15,520
Speaker 1: and Purdue in Illinois, and I haven't used any of

1360
01:03:15,600 --> 01:03:18,920
Speaker 1: the teams on Friday, So I don't want to use

1361
01:03:18,920 --> 01:03:21,560
Speaker 1: Arizona because I want to use them probably later. So

1362
01:03:21,560 --> 01:03:23,640
Speaker 1: I was either going to use Houston, but I don't.

1363
01:03:23,800 --> 01:03:25,680
Speaker 1: I think I'm gonna I have to just put the

1364
01:03:25,680 --> 01:03:27,280
Speaker 1: strategy go Iowa Nebraska.

1365
01:03:27,560 --> 01:03:28,680
Speaker 4: I think I'm gonna go with Iowa.

1366
01:03:28,960 --> 01:03:31,040
Speaker 5: Oh, Greg, do you have any lean on a potential

1367
01:03:31,080 --> 01:03:34,560
Speaker 5: Illinois matchup versus Iowa or Nebraska? How confident you'd be

1368
01:03:34,600 --> 01:03:35,479
Speaker 5: in them to beat them?

1369
01:03:36,040 --> 01:03:39,880
Speaker 3: I think if you're Illinois, you would rather see Nebraska

1370
01:03:40,200 --> 01:03:44,440
Speaker 3: just beca re Yeah, I do. I think again, third

1371
01:03:44,480 --> 01:03:47,160
Speaker 3: time playing that defense familiarity, I thought they were so

1372
01:03:47,360 --> 01:03:51,000
Speaker 3: prepared for the second game in Lincoln when they got them,

1373
01:03:51,360 --> 01:03:54,280
Speaker 3: and they just get giving up open threes to that

1374
01:03:54,320 --> 01:03:55,600
Speaker 3: team and then you can beat them up on the

1375
01:03:55,600 --> 01:03:58,240
Speaker 3: boards is like exactly what they want.

1376
01:03:58,800 --> 01:04:00,840
Speaker 2: But at the same time, I think i'd love them

1377
01:04:00,880 --> 01:04:01,800
Speaker 2: against Iowa.

1378
01:04:01,800 --> 01:04:04,520
Speaker 4: Like, yeah, I think they get through if they win.

1379
01:04:05,040 --> 01:04:07,880
Speaker 3: Yeah, if you think Illinois can hang with Houston. There's

1380
01:04:07,920 --> 01:04:10,160
Speaker 3: some futures value on Illinois still to this day.

1381
01:04:10,840 --> 01:04:14,160
Speaker 1: Yeah, all right, good stuff. I'll be back later today

1382
01:04:14,840 --> 01:04:17,960
Speaker 1: with the Friday preview with Duck and Calbaryes. We have

1383
01:04:18,080 --> 01:04:19,760
Speaker 1: some live shows this weekend. Make sure you check those out.

1384
01:04:19,760 --> 01:04:22,960
Speaker 1: Will tweet them out on Twitter. Thanks to Greg and

1385
01:04:23,120 --> 01:04:25,360
Speaker 1: Christipher joining me. Thanks to our producers in my back end.

1386
01:04:25,400 --> 01:04:27,080
Speaker 1: Most funly, thanks a Lovy for tuning in. Make sure

1387
01:04:27,080 --> 01:04:29,000
Speaker 1: you scrap on, Subscribe, subscribe, tail friend to one mmy

1388
01:04:29,040 --> 01:04:30,360
Speaker 1: know the drill. The five star review if you have

1389
01:04:30,360 --> 01:04:33,200
Speaker 1: a second really helps us sell. Enjoy all the games,

1390
01:04:33,520 --> 01:04:35,680
Speaker 1: can't wait for the action. The luck on all of

1391
01:04:35,680 --> 01:04:36,680
Speaker 1: your wagers will catch all later.

1392
01:04:36,840 --> 01:04:38,640
Speaker 4: Chicks.

1393
01:04:54,400 --> 01:04:58,920
Speaker 5: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

1394
01:04:58,960 --> 01:05:01,640
Speaker 5: someone you care about it has a gambling problem, help

1395
01:05:01,680 --> 01:05:04,360
Speaker 5: is available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred

1396
01:05:04,440 --> 01:05:04,880
Speaker 5: Gambler