1
00:00:00,840 --> 00:00:04,960
Speaker 1: Good luck with the most beautiful game. Ju Us prow read.

2
00:00:05,200 --> 00:00:13,920
Speaker 2: Enough there were running again, so smooth, so sweet.

3
00:00:13,880 --> 00:00:17,480
Speaker 3: Slid sixteen just glorious execution.

4
00:00:18,239 --> 00:00:21,160
Speaker 2: Guys, all I'm looking for is sixty percent effort, four

5
00:00:21,280 --> 00:00:22,520
Speaker 2: thousand percent of the time.

6
00:00:23,120 --> 00:00:25,440
Speaker 3: How shot with that shop with mind?

7
00:00:25,480 --> 00:00:29,440
Speaker 2: Good buddy, and that's why you see your beautiful tiers.

8
00:00:29,720 --> 00:00:31,360
Speaker 1: Look at his movements, the most.

9
00:00:31,200 --> 00:00:32,280
Speaker 3: Dangerous amount of the planet.

10
00:00:32,320 --> 00:00:36,200
Speaker 2: Nobody picks them.

11
00:00:35,680 --> 00:00:38,760
Speaker 1: Shut up, I'm trying.

12
00:00:41,920 --> 00:00:47,040
Speaker 2: The one. It's left too, the wide eyed, drilled fibus

13
00:00:47,680 --> 00:00:50,080
Speaker 2: how old earth pick that happens?

14
00:00:52,440 --> 00:00:55,080
Speaker 1: Hello everyone, and welcome back to Wondergo, the soccer betting

15
00:00:55,120 --> 00:00:57,720
Speaker 1: podcast from the Action Network. My name is Michael Leebuff,

16
00:00:57,800 --> 00:01:02,440
Speaker 1: and joining me for tonight's episode is Anthony Dubundo. BJ

17
00:01:02,600 --> 00:01:07,560
Speaker 1: Cunningham is on assignment AFCN. He's too busy with AFCON,

18
00:01:07,720 --> 00:01:10,320
Speaker 1: so where it's just me and Anthony tonight and the

19
00:01:10,360 --> 00:01:13,919
Speaker 1: two of us will go through the upcoming ten match

20
00:01:14,280 --> 00:01:17,440
Speaker 1: Premier League KRT run around Europe, give out our favorite

21
00:01:17,480 --> 00:01:21,480
Speaker 1: underdogs and then our favorite bets for the Premier League

22
00:01:21,480 --> 00:01:24,119
Speaker 1: in this upcoming weekend. But before we get into all

23
00:01:24,120 --> 00:01:26,920
Speaker 1: of that, a reminder that Wonder Goal is presented by

24
00:01:27,000 --> 00:01:29,200
Speaker 1: our friends at Bet three six five and Bet three

25
00:01:29,200 --> 00:01:31,759
Speaker 1: six five doesn't do ordinary. That's why you get more

26
00:01:31,760 --> 00:01:34,399
Speaker 1: boost with them than anybody else. Every day they power

27
00:01:34,440 --> 00:01:36,000
Speaker 1: up the odds on hundreds of bets to give you

28
00:01:36,040 --> 00:01:38,160
Speaker 1: a chance to win more Bet three six y five

29
00:01:38,280 --> 00:01:42,280
Speaker 1: boost specific markets, your winnings and even parlays. Oh and

30
00:01:42,319 --> 00:01:44,520
Speaker 1: they don't stop there. Keep an eye out for their

31
00:01:44,560 --> 00:01:47,720
Speaker 1: biggest and best odds with the incredible super boosts. Check

32
00:01:47,720 --> 00:01:50,720
Speaker 1: out the boots and see why it's never ordinary. At

33
00:01:50,720 --> 00:01:53,480
Speaker 1: Bet three sixty five, you must be twenty one or older.

34
00:01:54,000 --> 00:01:59,400
Speaker 1: You must be present in Colorado, Indiana, Iowa, Louisiana, New Jersey, Ohio, Virginia,

35
00:02:00,160 --> 00:02:03,080
Speaker 1: or eighteen and older in Kentucky. If you have a

36
00:02:03,080 --> 00:02:05,360
Speaker 1: gambling problem or know someone who wants help, please call

37
00:02:05,440 --> 00:02:08,120
Speaker 1: one eight hundred gambler or one eight hundred bets off

38
00:02:08,120 --> 00:02:12,840
Speaker 1: in Iowa. Terms, conditions and restrictions apply. All right, Anthony,

39
00:02:13,160 --> 00:02:15,760
Speaker 1: Just you and I So we'll get through this this

40
00:02:15,800 --> 00:02:19,760
Speaker 1: Premier League slate. Once again, PJ is on assignment. He

41
00:02:19,800 --> 00:02:21,839
Speaker 1: did give us his favorite underdog and his best bets,

42
00:02:21,880 --> 00:02:24,600
Speaker 1: so we'll we'll let you know when the time comes

43
00:02:24,600 --> 00:02:26,720
Speaker 1: what those are and what the Parlay is going to

44
00:02:26,760 --> 00:02:29,240
Speaker 1: pay out. I want to start with Everdon and Spurs.

45
00:02:29,320 --> 00:02:32,880
Speaker 1: I know Arsenal and Liverpool are the is the headliner,

46
00:02:32,919 --> 00:02:36,799
Speaker 1: but let's start with the Darby Between you and I.

47
00:02:37,600 --> 00:02:41,360
Speaker 1: You're Everdon, my Spurs evidence plus one eighty at home,

48
00:02:41,520 --> 00:02:43,959
Speaker 1: Spurs traveling plus one forty five. The draw is plus

49
00:02:44,040 --> 00:02:47,920
Speaker 1: two to fifty. I'm I'm done with Everdon forever. I

50
00:02:47,960 --> 00:02:50,720
Speaker 1: think I'm just genuinely can't do it anymore. It was

51
00:02:50,720 --> 00:02:52,480
Speaker 1: so I think from the third minute of the match

52
00:02:52,480 --> 00:02:55,200
Speaker 1: against Follham, I knew it was going to benil. I

53
00:02:55,200 --> 00:02:56,880
Speaker 1: shouldn't say no no, I just knew Everydon were we

54
00:02:56,960 --> 00:02:58,920
Speaker 1: could to score. It just felt like one of those

55
00:02:59,280 --> 00:03:00,480
Speaker 1: and I think that we're going to see that a

56
00:03:00,480 --> 00:03:03,000
Speaker 1: lot from them, just because of what we talked about

57
00:03:03,480 --> 00:03:06,760
Speaker 1: in our last episode. They are spent. They are spent.

58
00:03:07,360 --> 00:03:09,320
Speaker 1: Those guys dugged so deep they played I thought a

59
00:03:09,360 --> 00:03:11,880
Speaker 1: pretty good match. You're going to find the back of

60
00:03:11,919 --> 00:03:13,640
Speaker 1: the net and the nil nail. I think they're creating

61
00:03:13,760 --> 00:03:16,240
Speaker 1: over five expected goals against Fulham this season and they're

62
00:03:16,240 --> 00:03:19,399
Speaker 1: two matches zero goals. But I just I think we're

63
00:03:19,400 --> 00:03:20,880
Speaker 1: going to see a lot of those kind of matches,

64
00:03:20,919 --> 00:03:23,040
Speaker 1: and this is not the type of matchup you want

65
00:03:23,040 --> 00:03:26,920
Speaker 1: to go into with a squad that is absolutely decimated

66
00:03:27,960 --> 00:03:29,120
Speaker 1: because of it being thin.

67
00:03:29,480 --> 00:03:32,840
Speaker 2: Yeah, there's money to be made betting against Spurs with leads,

68
00:03:32,880 --> 00:03:35,080
Speaker 2: and we've talked about this a little bit if you

69
00:03:35,200 --> 00:03:38,040
Speaker 2: just watch them, even when they bring in defenders, like

70
00:03:38,320 --> 00:03:41,360
Speaker 2: the commentator today and the Brentford match equipped about how

71
00:03:42,120 --> 00:03:47,240
Speaker 2: they brought on their new center back Radu Dragussen, and

72
00:03:47,280 --> 00:03:49,600
Speaker 2: the commentator made a joke about how and is finally

73
00:03:49,640 --> 00:03:52,960
Speaker 2: you know, being more pragmatic and bringing on a defender

74
00:03:53,000 --> 00:03:55,160
Speaker 2: and then then like the next ten minutes, we're just

75
00:03:55,320 --> 00:03:58,600
Speaker 2: like chaos and high wire, like they're just not able

76
00:03:58,600 --> 00:04:01,640
Speaker 2: to hold leads. And Brentford easily could have made that

77
00:04:02,600 --> 00:04:04,960
Speaker 2: tie today. And so if you see Tottenham get ahead,

78
00:04:05,560 --> 00:04:07,760
Speaker 2: I think it's worth going against them live in the

79
00:04:07,760 --> 00:04:09,640
Speaker 2: market because I think the way they play just is

80
00:04:09,680 --> 00:04:12,720
Speaker 2: conducive to more goals happening, which when you're playing with

81
00:04:12,760 --> 00:04:14,960
Speaker 2: a lead, you generally want to shut it down. And

82
00:04:15,360 --> 00:04:17,160
Speaker 2: you know there's gonna be value going against Spurs as

83
00:04:17,200 --> 00:04:18,599
Speaker 2: a result of that. And I think you kind of

84
00:04:18,600 --> 00:04:20,640
Speaker 2: saw that in the last meeting. Remember this was not

85
00:04:20,880 --> 00:04:23,000
Speaker 2: that long ago that these all these matchups happened, so

86
00:04:23,040 --> 00:04:24,839
Speaker 2: we kind of have like a recent point of reference.

87
00:04:24,880 --> 00:04:28,039
Speaker 2: It was right before Christmas and Spurs and Everton play

88
00:04:28,080 --> 00:04:30,839
Speaker 2: that relatively even half. Pickford had a bit of a

89
00:04:31,320 --> 00:04:33,520
Speaker 2: howler and Spurs were up to nil and then you

90
00:04:33,839 --> 00:04:35,800
Speaker 2: looked up and it was Everton's score, but there was

91
00:04:35,800 --> 00:04:38,720
Speaker 2: a foul. Everton scored and they hit the post, and

92
00:04:38,720 --> 00:04:40,960
Speaker 2: then in stoppage time they had multiple chances to tie

93
00:04:40,960 --> 00:04:44,040
Speaker 2: it up, like Everton were consistently able to get chances

94
00:04:44,080 --> 00:04:47,240
Speaker 2: on the break with just very basic stuff, long ball

95
00:04:47,240 --> 00:04:50,920
Speaker 2: to Calvert, Lewin, runner off the back, in behind, in behind,

96
00:04:50,960 --> 00:04:53,840
Speaker 2: in behind, odd man rushes and granted that was a

97
00:04:53,880 --> 00:04:55,720
Speaker 2: makeshift Spurs back line. They did not have her Mari

98
00:04:55,839 --> 00:05:00,520
Speaker 2: and Van deven we saw them today concede one point seven. Actually, Brentford,

99
00:05:01,120 --> 00:05:03,000
Speaker 2: the biggest chance they can see comes off of a

100
00:05:03,040 --> 00:05:05,919
Speaker 2: bad back pass. Okay, that happens, but it wasn't like

101
00:05:05,960 --> 00:05:08,479
Speaker 2: Brentford couldn't consistently get into the penalty area that they

102
00:05:08,480 --> 00:05:10,440
Speaker 2: didn't consistently look dangerous on the break. They had an

103
00:05:10,440 --> 00:05:15,039
Speaker 2: off side goal barely ruled off. So I think it's

104
00:05:15,040 --> 00:05:17,960
Speaker 2: hard because are we underrating Abdelaide de Correy's absence, Like

105
00:05:18,040 --> 00:05:19,080
Speaker 2: is he really that value about it?

106
00:05:19,080 --> 00:05:21,640
Speaker 1: No? I mean Everdon Everdon fans are not that when

107
00:05:21,680 --> 00:05:23,599
Speaker 1: he when he's been out, people have been like this,

108
00:05:23,600 --> 00:05:26,760
Speaker 1: this team is completely different without him since Dutch took over.

109
00:05:28,279 --> 00:05:29,159
Speaker 1: So I don't think.

110
00:05:29,400 --> 00:05:31,400
Speaker 2: Nana and de Correy you're losing a lot of.

111
00:05:31,360 --> 00:05:35,040
Speaker 1: But you lose yeah, I mean Nogana or if he

112
00:05:35,120 --> 00:05:38,560
Speaker 1: even if he comes back, I guess since uh Senegal's out,

113
00:05:38,600 --> 00:05:40,440
Speaker 1: But what are you getting out of him after that?

114
00:05:40,480 --> 00:05:43,400
Speaker 2: Like it's they all had to go back to Senegal

115
00:05:44,360 --> 00:05:46,000
Speaker 2: to meet with the like to go back to the

116
00:05:46,040 --> 00:05:47,880
Speaker 2: home base before they could go back to their teams,

117
00:05:47,920 --> 00:05:51,120
Speaker 2: all the Senegalese players, so that could delay his return.

118
00:05:51,480 --> 00:05:52,960
Speaker 2: So I don't know what his status would be, but

119
00:05:53,000 --> 00:05:56,840
Speaker 2: you mentioned it like there's a bunch of players that

120
00:05:57,080 --> 00:05:59,440
Speaker 2: made this a very good midfield ball winning team and

121
00:05:59,480 --> 00:06:04,000
Speaker 2: made them like very like effective pressing team when needed

122
00:06:04,560 --> 00:06:06,640
Speaker 2: and direct possession team and they just don't really have

123
00:06:06,680 --> 00:06:08,520
Speaker 2: those guys, Like they're just not getting that from Garner

124
00:06:09,160 --> 00:06:12,159
Speaker 2: in the midfield right now, Like it certainly feels worse.

125
00:06:12,160 --> 00:06:14,359
Speaker 2: They had to play Harrison centrally against Fulham and like

126
00:06:14,400 --> 00:06:17,000
Speaker 2: you said they didn't play bad. I mean they had.

127
00:06:17,040 --> 00:06:19,039
Speaker 2: They finished right around where I thought they would relative.

128
00:06:19,080 --> 00:06:21,120
Speaker 2: It was like a pretty even match, probably should have

129
00:06:21,160 --> 00:06:24,000
Speaker 2: been one one ended. Neil nol like there was a controversy.

130
00:06:24,080 --> 00:06:26,919
Speaker 2: You were just you know, talking about off air, the handball,

131
00:06:26,960 --> 00:06:31,159
Speaker 2: the hand of God from Anthony Robinson crossbar for Fulham,

132
00:06:31,200 --> 00:06:33,480
Speaker 2: like there were chances at both ends. But I think

133
00:06:33,480 --> 00:06:34,839
Speaker 2: if you want to play this, it's got to be

134
00:06:34,880 --> 00:06:38,160
Speaker 2: like an Everton team total live or look to get

135
00:06:38,160 --> 00:06:40,719
Speaker 2: them play back into the game if they fall behind,

136
00:06:40,960 --> 00:06:42,839
Speaker 2: because I don't really think Spurs can hold a lead

137
00:06:42,880 --> 00:06:46,400
Speaker 2: and Toddenham today we can kind of We'll save the

138
00:06:46,400 --> 00:06:50,680
Speaker 2: the antics. It was an epic match for shitthouseer with

139
00:06:50,680 --> 00:06:54,279
Speaker 2: with Mopey doing the darts celebration after he scores and

140
00:06:54,320 --> 00:06:58,800
Speaker 2: then Madison trolling him back, and Mapey just posted on

141
00:06:58,839 --> 00:07:01,600
Speaker 2: Instagram about how he's ever been relegated. I'm like Madison,

142
00:07:01,800 --> 00:07:05,000
Speaker 2: So just an epic match for everything that we love

143
00:07:05,279 --> 00:07:10,920
Speaker 2: between Neil Malpey, darts, James Madison, Ivean Tony got on

144
00:07:10,960 --> 00:07:13,080
Speaker 2: the board, didn't quite get home for the two plus,

145
00:07:13,120 --> 00:07:16,680
Speaker 2: but he got home for any time. Betters Brentford plus

146
00:07:16,720 --> 00:07:18,160
Speaker 2: one was a push, Like for a minute, we look

147
00:07:18,200 --> 00:07:20,120
Speaker 2: like we're gonna win Brentford money Line Live, like that

148
00:07:20,240 --> 00:07:22,880
Speaker 2: was just an amazing match, even though I lost money

149
00:07:22,960 --> 00:07:27,720
Speaker 2: net net on it. But as far as this matchup goes, like,

150
00:07:27,880 --> 00:07:30,200
Speaker 2: I don't really disagree with the market, I show a

151
00:07:30,240 --> 00:07:31,960
Speaker 2: little bit of value on Everton, but again, like the

152
00:07:32,000 --> 00:07:34,640
Speaker 2: midfield situation is not great and the depth is not

153
00:07:34,680 --> 00:07:39,080
Speaker 2: good either, so I'm more hesitant to fade them, and

154
00:07:39,120 --> 00:07:40,560
Speaker 2: I think if I did fade them, I would just

155
00:07:40,640 --> 00:07:43,400
Speaker 2: kind of target the attack and say that, like this

156
00:07:43,520 --> 00:07:48,320
Speaker 2: Tottenham setup is just so poorly set up to defend

157
00:07:48,320 --> 00:07:51,040
Speaker 2: what Everyton wants to do and that could be a problem.

158
00:07:51,120 --> 00:07:55,040
Speaker 1: It's this sounds kind of dumb maybe in my head

159
00:07:55,040 --> 00:07:56,760
Speaker 1: to say, but I'm gonna say it anyways. It's a

160
00:07:56,800 --> 00:07:59,320
Speaker 1: type of situation where if we were coming back from

161
00:07:59,600 --> 00:08:01,520
Speaker 1: you know, evert In having a full week off and

162
00:08:01,600 --> 00:08:04,280
Speaker 1: even with this squad, I'd feel a lot more comfortable

163
00:08:04,880 --> 00:08:09,240
Speaker 1: than it being a short turnaround after FA Cup midweek

164
00:08:09,280 --> 00:08:12,560
Speaker 1: match a now the Premier like third match in sevent days.

165
00:08:12,600 --> 00:08:15,160
Speaker 1: So yeah, I just don't know how much they've left

166
00:08:15,160 --> 00:08:15,600
Speaker 1: in the tank.

167
00:08:15,640 --> 00:08:18,880
Speaker 2: And Timo Werner, by the way three assists for him

168
00:08:18,920 --> 00:08:22,880
Speaker 2: in his early Tanham career two matches, three assists, and

169
00:08:22,960 --> 00:08:26,800
Speaker 2: he also I thought when they brought on Johnson and

170
00:08:26,800 --> 00:08:31,000
Speaker 2: this was a big thing Oliver Skip. The Tottenham on

171
00:08:31,040 --> 00:08:33,240
Speaker 2: off splits over the last three years four years with

172
00:08:33,280 --> 00:08:38,079
Speaker 2: Oliver Skip on or off are pretty amazingly drastic. And

173
00:08:38,200 --> 00:08:40,400
Speaker 2: I think he came off at half and all of

174
00:08:40,440 --> 00:08:43,079
Speaker 2: a sudden, Tottenham just like opened the floodgates on Brentford

175
00:08:43,080 --> 00:08:44,920
Speaker 2: today and I don't think that's coincidence.

176
00:08:44,920 --> 00:08:46,120
Speaker 3: I think Johnson coming on for.

177
00:08:46,120 --> 00:08:49,400
Speaker 2: Skip, you know, to kind of keep keeping tabs on

178
00:08:49,440 --> 00:08:52,640
Speaker 2: what the team news is here, because this total does

179
00:08:52,679 --> 00:08:54,760
Speaker 2: seem low to me too. I know over two and

180
00:08:54,800 --> 00:08:57,280
Speaker 2: a half there's a minus one fifty. You know you're

181
00:08:57,320 --> 00:08:59,520
Speaker 2: laying juice there, but like, how is this not three?

182
00:09:00,520 --> 00:09:02,000
Speaker 3: With the bottom has been played.

183
00:09:02,080 --> 00:09:04,720
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's good, fully three, and it's like there's three,

184
00:09:04,800 --> 00:09:06,600
Speaker 2: but like plus one ten you could like a little

185
00:09:06,600 --> 00:09:08,640
Speaker 2: bit more juice, But two and a half minus one

186
00:09:08,679 --> 00:09:12,120
Speaker 2: fifty feels awfully short. I have this over three like

187
00:09:12,160 --> 00:09:16,040
Speaker 2: three point one point one, So yeah, I kind of

188
00:09:16,040 --> 00:09:17,240
Speaker 2: would bet the over two, but.

189
00:09:19,000 --> 00:09:21,080
Speaker 3: Just kind of uncertain right now.

190
00:09:22,440 --> 00:09:25,360
Speaker 2: Okay, by the way, real quick note since somebody has

191
00:09:25,440 --> 00:09:26,960
Speaker 2: brought up in our discord and we talked about this

192
00:09:26,960 --> 00:09:29,680
Speaker 2: today and uh, Everton, if you bet the money line

193
00:09:29,679 --> 00:09:34,600
Speaker 2: every match this season, Michael, we're guess the ROI percentage.

194
00:09:35,000 --> 00:09:36,240
Speaker 3: It could be positive, more negative.

195
00:09:37,080 --> 00:09:39,480
Speaker 1: I would say, it's like bang bang even almost.

196
00:09:40,080 --> 00:09:42,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, so you'd actually have the six best numbers in

197
00:09:42,040 --> 00:09:45,360
Speaker 2: the prem four percent ROI betting Everton money line every

198
00:09:45,400 --> 00:09:47,920
Speaker 2: match the season at the close. So it has not

199
00:09:48,000 --> 00:09:50,120
Speaker 2: been you know, I know we bet them a lot

200
00:09:50,160 --> 00:09:52,720
Speaker 2: on the show to varying degrees of success, as we

201
00:09:52,800 --> 00:09:56,000
Speaker 2: like to say, but they have not been that. Even

202
00:09:56,000 --> 00:09:57,680
Speaker 2: though it feels like they haven't won a match in forever,

203
00:09:57,679 --> 00:10:00,839
Speaker 2: and they haven't. They have not been so to speak,

204
00:10:00,880 --> 00:10:02,320
Speaker 2: Bath And it's like they've had a ton of big

205
00:10:02,400 --> 00:10:04,400
Speaker 2: upsets where it's like they're getting carried by one or

206
00:10:04,400 --> 00:10:05,200
Speaker 2: two big games.

207
00:10:05,400 --> 00:10:10,320
Speaker 1: Right, all right, let's talk about that headliner at the

208
00:10:10,360 --> 00:10:14,079
Speaker 1: top of the table. Liverpool and Arsenal both coming off

209
00:10:14,120 --> 00:10:17,360
Speaker 1: of wins to Liverpool to stay at the top of

210
00:10:17,400 --> 00:10:20,240
Speaker 1: the table, Arsenal to keep pace City one as well.

211
00:10:21,800 --> 00:10:25,920
Speaker 1: Villa lost, so we're now looking at City and Arsenal

212
00:10:26,600 --> 00:10:31,280
Speaker 1: trailing by five points. City's got a game in hand

213
00:10:31,280 --> 00:10:34,160
Speaker 1: on on the two of them and Liverpool at the

214
00:10:34,160 --> 00:10:37,000
Speaker 1: top on fifty one points. These two teams also, as

215
00:10:37,000 --> 00:10:39,640
Speaker 1: you said, like we're flipping the calendar, they didn't play

216
00:10:40,440 --> 00:10:44,640
Speaker 1: all that long ago. Fortress and field was breached and

217
00:10:44,760 --> 00:10:48,240
Speaker 1: Arsenal comes out with a draw, first team to ever

218
00:10:48,240 --> 00:10:50,400
Speaker 1: get a point on the road at anfield. According to

219
00:10:50,440 --> 00:10:55,200
Speaker 1: Anthony de Bundo, correct this. I wouldn't be surprised if

220
00:10:55,240 --> 00:11:01,600
Speaker 1: we see a similar outcome here with more of a

221
00:11:01,640 --> 00:11:06,400
Speaker 1: stodgy match than I think people associate with Liverpool. Yeah,

222
00:11:06,840 --> 00:11:10,720
Speaker 1: Arsenal's defense should be the the unit that does the

223
00:11:10,760 --> 00:11:13,080
Speaker 1: talking I think here in this match and kind of

224
00:11:13,120 --> 00:11:15,400
Speaker 1: controls how this thing goes. I don't hate the draw.

225
00:11:15,480 --> 00:11:19,480
Speaker 1: I think plus two sixty on the draw in big

226
00:11:19,480 --> 00:11:22,320
Speaker 1: games that usually the draw gets a little inflated because

227
00:11:22,360 --> 00:11:24,800
Speaker 1: nobody wants to bet it. They either want to bet,

228
00:11:25,320 --> 00:11:28,160
Speaker 1: you know, Arsenal or Liverpool to win. Puts a little

229
00:11:28,200 --> 00:11:30,040
Speaker 1: bit of value there. So I'm going to be on

230
00:11:30,120 --> 00:11:33,200
Speaker 1: the draw. I think on this maybe the biggest match

231
00:11:33,280 --> 00:11:33,960
Speaker 1: of the season to date.

232
00:11:34,360 --> 00:11:37,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm going to take the under three. There's a

233
00:11:37,080 --> 00:11:39,360
Speaker 2: minus one twenty five. I don't mind under two and

234
00:11:39,440 --> 00:11:41,480
Speaker 2: a half. If you can get plus one fifteen or better.

235
00:11:41,880 --> 00:11:42,880
Speaker 2: I think those are good two.

236
00:11:43,640 --> 00:11:44,200
Speaker 3: I agree.

237
00:11:44,320 --> 00:11:46,160
Speaker 2: I think you know, when we go back, we have

238
00:11:46,200 --> 00:11:47,720
Speaker 2: to pull up the tape. I really wish bj were

239
00:11:47,760 --> 00:11:50,320
Speaker 2: here because I want a victory lap that Arsenal was

240
00:11:50,360 --> 00:11:51,440
Speaker 2: not able to keep.

241
00:11:51,320 --> 00:11:54,040
Speaker 3: Control of the match at anfield at all and.

242
00:11:53,880 --> 00:11:58,360
Speaker 2: They really struggled with Liverpool's pressure. The traditionally elite build

243
00:11:58,400 --> 00:12:02,120
Speaker 2: up team that Arsenal is yearly struggled to maintain control

244
00:12:02,160 --> 00:12:03,360
Speaker 2: of the game. And I think that's just kind of

245
00:12:03,400 --> 00:12:05,160
Speaker 2: what Liverpool does the teams when you go to anfield.

246
00:12:05,200 --> 00:12:07,960
Speaker 2: That's why I don't like betting it, you know, teams

247
00:12:08,040 --> 00:12:10,520
Speaker 2: at anfield. And I paid for it today with Chelsea

248
00:12:10,640 --> 00:12:14,520
Speaker 2: who got destroyed and absolute annihilated. Liverpool forced twelve high

249
00:12:14,559 --> 00:12:18,640
Speaker 2: turnovers today. Chelsea had not been a bad build.

250
00:12:18,480 --> 00:12:20,200
Speaker 3: Up team in the past.

251
00:12:20,600 --> 00:12:23,319
Speaker 2: They completely crumbled today and we talked about how Chelsea

252
00:12:23,400 --> 00:12:26,000
Speaker 2: had like kind of played up pretty well, not today.

253
00:12:26,760 --> 00:12:29,679
Speaker 2: So when you look at this they also played in

254
00:12:29,720 --> 00:12:33,200
Speaker 2: the FA Cup. Now it was a rotated team, but

255
00:12:33,280 --> 00:12:35,720
Speaker 2: there was less than two expected goals in both matchups

256
00:12:35,800 --> 00:12:38,440
Speaker 2: this season between the two teams. And if you go

257
00:12:38,520 --> 00:12:40,520
Speaker 2: back and remember like what happened In the first meeting,

258
00:12:40,880 --> 00:12:43,600
Speaker 2: I mentioned how you know, Liverpool were able to force

259
00:12:43,679 --> 00:12:48,360
Speaker 2: some mistakes and create some attacking opportunities, and Arsenal early

260
00:12:48,400 --> 00:12:50,680
Speaker 2: on in the game really put pressure on Liverpool's back line.

261
00:12:50,840 --> 00:12:54,199
Speaker 2: The four center backs were excellent in that game and

262
00:12:54,200 --> 00:12:56,880
Speaker 2: shutting everything down, and all four of them are fit here,

263
00:12:56,920 --> 00:13:00,280
Speaker 2: and I think that's the huge thing, right, Like Liverpool's defense.

264
00:13:00,280 --> 00:13:02,120
Speaker 2: When Kant is out of van Dyke is out, there's

265
00:13:02,120 --> 00:13:06,440
Speaker 2: a clear drop off to the backups and it looks

266
00:13:06,480 --> 00:13:08,720
Speaker 2: like mccallister's fine. He picked up a knock today, but

267
00:13:08,720 --> 00:13:10,680
Speaker 2: it looks like he's me fine. They have their most

268
00:13:10,679 --> 00:13:14,559
Speaker 2: athletic midfield available to go after Arsenal in terms of

269
00:13:14,600 --> 00:13:17,120
Speaker 2: you know, maintaining and not getting overrun in the midfield.

270
00:13:17,360 --> 00:13:19,960
Speaker 2: And I think Arsenal's defense, like you said, is the

271
00:13:20,040 --> 00:13:22,040
Speaker 2: key to kind of controlling this match, and they'll be

272
00:13:22,080 --> 00:13:25,720
Speaker 2: able to better do it at home compared to what

273
00:13:25,760 --> 00:13:27,920
Speaker 2: they did on the road. For example, this year, Arsenal

274
00:13:27,920 --> 00:13:30,600
Speaker 2: played eleven home league matches, They've conceded eight x G.

275
00:13:31,559 --> 00:13:35,720
Speaker 2: It's really crazy level stuff and so I think gunners

276
00:13:35,720 --> 00:13:39,720
Speaker 2: control tempo here. I liked Arsenal, I liked Liverpool this morning,

277
00:13:39,800 --> 00:13:42,120
Speaker 2: it was like plus a half was like minus one

278
00:13:42,200 --> 00:13:44,080
Speaker 2: twenty five, and I was like, that's there's not that

279
00:13:44,160 --> 00:13:46,800
Speaker 2: much of a gap here. And then Liverpool went and

280
00:13:47,000 --> 00:13:48,600
Speaker 2: beat the snot out of Chelsea and they took a

281
00:13:48,600 --> 00:13:51,559
Speaker 2: market bump, and now it's pretty close to a pick'm

282
00:13:51,800 --> 00:13:54,160
Speaker 2: Arsenal are just under a quarter goal favorite, and now

283
00:13:54,200 --> 00:13:56,079
Speaker 2: I think it's kind of right. So no bet for

284
00:13:56,160 --> 00:13:59,200
Speaker 2: me on the side, but I certainly like the under here,

285
00:13:59,240 --> 00:14:02,440
Speaker 2: and I think this is going to be a cag affair.

286
00:14:02,600 --> 00:14:04,720
Speaker 2: I could see one one. I don't think either team

287
00:14:04,760 --> 00:14:06,520
Speaker 2: wants to lose it. Liverpools in a position where a

288
00:14:06,559 --> 00:14:07,520
Speaker 2: point is a great result.

289
00:14:07,920 --> 00:14:10,800
Speaker 1: Yep. Yeah, so that's part of what I'm thinking here.

290
00:14:11,440 --> 00:14:14,960
Speaker 2: And then I still don't think, you know, will Trent

291
00:14:15,040 --> 00:14:17,840
Speaker 2: even play, you know, the full ninety because they have

292
00:14:17,880 --> 00:14:18,480
Speaker 2: Connor Bradley.

293
00:14:18,480 --> 00:14:21,920
Speaker 1: Now who's they don't try? They've got what we're recording

294
00:14:21,960 --> 00:14:24,920
Speaker 1: this on January thirty, first, nine pm. They got a

295
00:14:24,960 --> 00:14:27,640
Speaker 1: couple hours to sell Trent sell high on them. Yeah,

296
00:14:27,720 --> 00:14:30,360
Speaker 1: they got his replacement in toe Uh, we want.

297
00:14:30,200 --> 00:14:31,040
Speaker 3: An assist to day for him.

298
00:14:31,040 --> 00:14:33,480
Speaker 2: But yeah, I mean Trump being out massive for the

299
00:14:33,560 --> 00:14:36,360
Speaker 2: under just at both ends of the pitch and sala.

300
00:14:37,000 --> 00:14:37,160
Speaker 1: You know.

301
00:14:37,720 --> 00:14:40,960
Speaker 2: So even though Nunyas has been their best player this season,

302
00:14:41,760 --> 00:14:45,480
Speaker 2: yeah by far, like solid still matters a lot.

303
00:14:45,600 --> 00:14:47,320
Speaker 3: He's one of the five or six most productive players

304
00:14:47,320 --> 00:14:49,200
Speaker 3: in the league. So Nunyas.

305
00:14:49,240 --> 00:14:50,880
Speaker 2: By the way, here's here's some fun stats that I

306
00:14:51,000 --> 00:14:53,640
Speaker 2: read today at OPTA. He had to wear work nine

307
00:14:53,720 --> 00:14:56,120
Speaker 2: times now this year. No other player has done it

308
00:14:56,160 --> 00:15:00,080
Speaker 2: more than three times. That's the most times hitting it

309
00:15:00,080 --> 00:15:02,800
Speaker 2: would work in a game since they have the records

310
00:15:02,840 --> 00:15:05,440
Speaker 2: back in two thousand and three. Four times today the

311
00:15:05,480 --> 00:15:09,600
Speaker 2: would work, including on the pen, Darwin. Despite you know,

312
00:15:09,680 --> 00:15:11,680
Speaker 2: all of these so called finishing issues, and they are

313
00:15:11,840 --> 00:15:15,560
Speaker 2: finishing issues. He has eleven assists in all competitions.

314
00:15:15,200 --> 00:15:16,000
Speaker 3: For Liverpool this year.

315
00:15:16,000 --> 00:15:18,360
Speaker 2: He's been one of the best creative players in the

316
00:15:18,440 --> 00:15:21,840
Speaker 2: world and his attacking production output is best in the

317
00:15:21,880 --> 00:15:24,480
Speaker 2: prem this year if you combine you know, goals and

318
00:15:24,880 --> 00:15:26,280
Speaker 2: shot creation and assists for others.

319
00:15:26,760 --> 00:15:30,880
Speaker 3: So worth the money, Darwin. But still I like the

320
00:15:30,960 --> 00:15:31,360
Speaker 3: under here.

321
00:15:32,240 --> 00:15:36,240
Speaker 1: Yeah. One thing about Arsenal two is that they're five

322
00:15:36,280 --> 00:15:38,040
Speaker 1: to one and three wind draw at loss since the

323
00:15:38,080 --> 00:15:42,480
Speaker 1: beginning of December. You look under the hood and according

324
00:15:42,480 --> 00:15:46,800
Speaker 1: to understats expected points, they should be top of the

325
00:15:46,840 --> 00:15:50,000
Speaker 1: table in that span. Yeah, so it's it's not like

326
00:15:50,040 --> 00:15:55,080
Speaker 1: it's it's going the results are poor for Arsenal, but

327
00:15:55,120 --> 00:15:57,360
Speaker 1: it's it's it looks the process still looks good.

328
00:15:57,400 --> 00:15:58,800
Speaker 2: So yeah, I mean, if this, if this gets to

329
00:15:58,880 --> 00:16:00,960
Speaker 2: a true sounds it's crazy. If this gets to a

330
00:16:00,960 --> 00:16:03,240
Speaker 2: true pick, I'm betting Arsenal. Yeah, I don't think it will,

331
00:16:03,720 --> 00:16:06,680
Speaker 2: but like you know, sounds crazy given what I've said

332
00:16:06,680 --> 00:16:08,520
Speaker 2: about both of these teams on this podcast this year.

333
00:16:08,920 --> 00:16:11,000
Speaker 2: But a pick them, like a minus one ten at home,

334
00:16:11,000 --> 00:16:12,960
Speaker 2: I would lay it with ours. I really don't think

335
00:16:13,000 --> 00:16:15,360
Speaker 2: that they've been materially worse in the last I know

336
00:16:15,400 --> 00:16:17,560
Speaker 2: they lost some games just because of how they play

337
00:16:17,680 --> 00:16:20,520
Speaker 2: and some variants got them, but they haven't been materially worse.

338
00:16:20,600 --> 00:16:23,520
Speaker 2: They just kind of like ran bad and Liverpool hasn't

339
00:16:23,560 --> 00:16:26,400
Speaker 2: necessarily like turned on the Jets. Darwin had a big

340
00:16:26,480 --> 00:16:29,160
Speaker 2: game or two, but they're still short. They're two of

341
00:16:29,200 --> 00:16:31,880
Speaker 2: their three best attackers, Like the three best attackers are Darwin,

342
00:16:32,040 --> 00:16:33,960
Speaker 2: Sala Trent, two of them don't play.

343
00:16:34,360 --> 00:16:35,440
Speaker 3: It's an interesting conversation.

344
00:16:36,320 --> 00:16:40,040
Speaker 1: All right. Let's so that's Everton and Tottenham are the

345
00:16:40,080 --> 00:16:43,560
Speaker 1: first match Saturday, morning. Arsenal and Liverpool are coming your

346
00:16:43,600 --> 00:16:47,840
Speaker 1: way on Sunday at eleven thirty am Eastern time. Let's

347
00:16:47,920 --> 00:16:50,800
Speaker 1: flip back to Saturday. I should note that we are

348
00:16:50,840 --> 00:16:52,880
Speaker 1: recording this on Wednesday night like we always do, which

349
00:16:52,960 --> 00:16:55,840
Speaker 1: means that we haven't seen West ham Bourne Myth yet

350
00:16:55,880 --> 00:16:59,320
Speaker 1: and we haven't seen Wolves at Man United either. But

351
00:16:59,400 --> 00:17:03,440
Speaker 1: let's talk right and Roy Hodgson's suddenly hot Crystal Palace

352
00:17:03,520 --> 00:17:06,280
Speaker 1: one went on the spin for the Eagles. Brighton's minus

353
00:17:06,320 --> 00:17:09,680
Speaker 1: won sixty three Palace plus four fifty. The draw pays

354
00:17:09,720 --> 00:17:12,359
Speaker 1: out three to one here. This, of course, is the

355
00:17:12,680 --> 00:17:17,040
Speaker 1: famous Derby the Pooh in the locker room derby. You

356
00:17:17,080 --> 00:17:19,960
Speaker 1: go ahead and look that one up. These two clubs,

357
00:17:20,040 --> 00:17:22,600
Speaker 1: these two fan bases don't like one another. It's an

358
00:17:22,640 --> 00:17:25,840
Speaker 1: interesting rivalry. I thought we were going to get a

359
00:17:26,040 --> 00:17:29,560
Speaker 1: better situation to bet Brent Brighton here, but we didn't

360
00:17:29,600 --> 00:17:33,119
Speaker 1: get it with the way that they're going. I do

361
00:17:33,280 --> 00:17:36,639
Speaker 1: have some concerns about whether or not this team is

362
00:17:38,400 --> 00:17:43,120
Speaker 1: like I feel like with Brighton over the past three seasons,

363
00:17:43,480 --> 00:17:46,920
Speaker 1: so much of their success has been just the team

364
00:17:47,119 --> 00:17:50,600
Speaker 1: all pulling the rope in the same direction, and with

365
00:17:50,720 --> 00:17:53,840
Speaker 1: the murmurs about deserve be like kind of just piling

366
00:17:53,960 --> 00:17:57,359
Speaker 1: up over the course of the last few months. You

367
00:17:57,480 --> 00:18:00,760
Speaker 1: just wonder if maybe things are going a little up

368
00:18:00,800 --> 00:18:03,479
Speaker 1: the rail a bit. But I've got no play here.

369
00:18:04,119 --> 00:18:08,080
Speaker 1: I would be much closer to betting Crystal Palace because

370
00:18:08,080 --> 00:18:10,639
Speaker 1: I just think that they against this Brighton team that

371
00:18:10,720 --> 00:18:14,879
Speaker 1: looks not great at the moment, Palace could turn this

372
00:18:14,960 --> 00:18:17,040
Speaker 1: thing into a rock fight and play to their number.

373
00:18:17,119 --> 00:18:19,760
Speaker 1: But yeah, you know what, I actually think I'm going

374
00:18:19,840 --> 00:18:21,479
Speaker 1: to bet Palace here. I'm like thinking about it more

375
00:18:21,480 --> 00:18:23,960
Speaker 1: and more. Yeah, this is like kind of the spot

376
00:18:24,000 --> 00:18:26,960
Speaker 1: you'd want to do it. And I don't know, with

377
00:18:27,080 --> 00:18:29,119
Speaker 1: the way that the they came back, I don't know.

378
00:18:29,359 --> 00:18:31,280
Speaker 1: I've got no problem with it, is what I'm trying

379
00:18:31,320 --> 00:18:31,560
Speaker 1: to say.

380
00:18:31,840 --> 00:18:33,320
Speaker 2: I mean, you know, Brighton plays some of the most

381
00:18:33,400 --> 00:18:36,720
Speaker 2: high variants style in the league. So if you like Palace,

382
00:18:36,760 --> 00:18:38,639
Speaker 2: probably should chase a price, right, like a plus a

383
00:18:38,640 --> 00:18:40,800
Speaker 2: half plus money line or you know whatever.

384
00:18:42,520 --> 00:18:42,720
Speaker 1: You know.

385
00:18:43,080 --> 00:18:45,360
Speaker 3: I didn't we did the pod Sunday for the preview

386
00:18:45,440 --> 00:18:46,000
Speaker 3: for the midweek.

387
00:18:46,200 --> 00:18:48,120
Speaker 2: I was not under the impression Michael Lisa was going

388
00:18:48,160 --> 00:18:51,440
Speaker 2: to play yeah, and then he did, and I was

389
00:18:51,480 --> 00:18:53,200
Speaker 2: looking at the number and I was like man, like

390
00:18:53,240 --> 00:18:54,800
Speaker 2: I know, I said on the show, like I kind

391
00:18:54,840 --> 00:18:56,520
Speaker 2: of like to draw, but like Palace is like minus

392
00:18:56,560 --> 00:18:58,840
Speaker 2: one forty five with Alisa and s I n like,

393
00:18:59,000 --> 00:18:59,920
Speaker 2: that's kind of short.

394
00:19:00,359 --> 00:19:00,960
Speaker 3: I didn't bet it.

395
00:19:01,000 --> 00:19:02,600
Speaker 2: And then they were down one nail inside a minute

396
00:19:02,600 --> 00:19:06,080
Speaker 2: and I was like, great job, like you avoided the

397
00:19:06,119 --> 00:19:08,600
Speaker 2: trap Sheffield was always and then of course, you know,

398
00:19:08,680 --> 00:19:10,520
Speaker 2: Palace comes back to win two assists for a lease.

399
00:19:11,359 --> 00:19:13,840
Speaker 2: I mean, him and Essay are just really really good

400
00:19:14,000 --> 00:19:15,720
Speaker 2: and as they picked up a knock again of course,

401
00:19:15,800 --> 00:19:18,120
Speaker 2: because they can't ever play more than like two hours

402
00:19:18,160 --> 00:19:19,080
Speaker 2: together without getting hurt.

403
00:19:19,119 --> 00:19:22,960
Speaker 3: But like I know, you love Roy. I would love

404
00:19:23,040 --> 00:19:24,440
Speaker 3: to see Potter come into this team.

405
00:19:25,119 --> 00:19:26,800
Speaker 2: I would love to see a different manager because they

406
00:19:26,840 --> 00:19:29,919
Speaker 2: have so many good players when they have the ball

407
00:19:29,960 --> 00:19:34,440
Speaker 2: at their feet. Richard's Anderson Gay he very good ball

408
00:19:34,480 --> 00:19:37,680
Speaker 2: playing center backs and midfielders as Ay and Elisa. We

409
00:19:37,960 --> 00:19:40,600
Speaker 2: watched them time and time again, like this is a

410
00:19:40,680 --> 00:19:43,800
Speaker 2: really good core and they just don't really put up

411
00:19:43,800 --> 00:19:47,639
Speaker 2: impressive numbers because they play a style that's like so blah,

412
00:19:48,000 --> 00:19:50,359
Speaker 2: it's so uninspiring, and they're not that good defending without

413
00:19:50,359 --> 00:19:52,919
Speaker 2: the ball, so they almost on a ball winners. They

414
00:19:52,960 --> 00:19:55,800
Speaker 2: have a lot of ball players, so I wish Potter

415
00:19:55,840 --> 00:19:57,720
Speaker 2: would come in, but Roy gets the win. So I'm

416
00:19:57,800 --> 00:19:59,800
Speaker 2: kind of rooting for Brighton because I want to see

417
00:20:00,200 --> 00:20:01,640
Speaker 2: coming to this team and then bet the shit out

418
00:20:01,640 --> 00:20:04,440
Speaker 2: of them because I think they'd be super live. But

419
00:20:05,160 --> 00:20:08,480
Speaker 2: the biggest thing that happened to Brighton at Lowton is

420
00:20:08,680 --> 00:20:10,359
Speaker 2: Brighton's one of the best build up teams in the world.

421
00:20:10,880 --> 00:20:12,639
Speaker 2: We've talked about this over and over again. You know,

422
00:20:12,760 --> 00:20:15,520
Speaker 2: it's really hard to break it up. And when Palace

423
00:20:15,520 --> 00:20:18,960
Speaker 2: played Brighton in December, Palace went after him a little

424
00:20:19,000 --> 00:20:22,320
Speaker 2: bit and the forced a mistake from I don't remember

425
00:20:22,320 --> 00:20:23,880
Speaker 2: which goalie was in the net, but the goalie made

426
00:20:23,880 --> 00:20:26,800
Speaker 2: a mistake. They turned him over high scored one nil.

427
00:20:27,400 --> 00:20:29,520
Speaker 2: But then what happened was Pallace kind of started to

428
00:20:29,560 --> 00:20:32,560
Speaker 2: wear out and kind of ran out of gas and

429
00:20:32,600 --> 00:20:35,120
Speaker 2: they had to sit deeper and deeper. And as that happened,

430
00:20:35,760 --> 00:20:39,440
Speaker 2: Brighton was the only team playing at that point, like

431
00:20:39,680 --> 00:20:41,639
Speaker 2: Palace were defending for their lives. Barely held on to

432
00:20:41,760 --> 00:20:45,200
Speaker 2: one one draw, fifth straight one one draw at Shelhurst

433
00:20:45,240 --> 00:20:47,879
Speaker 2: in that rivalry. Now they go to Brighton and the

434
00:20:47,960 --> 00:20:50,400
Speaker 2: totals lower than it was for the first game because

435
00:20:50,400 --> 00:20:52,680
Speaker 2: I bet the under in the first game and I

436
00:20:52,840 --> 00:20:55,840
Speaker 2: was like, yeah, like Palace can you know defend? And

437
00:20:55,920 --> 00:20:58,159
Speaker 2: at home they're going to be a much tougher outfit

438
00:20:58,760 --> 00:21:02,120
Speaker 2: now on the road, like Brighton team total should be higher.

439
00:21:02,200 --> 00:21:05,159
Speaker 2: Brighton's everything, like the total should be higher with this

440
00:21:05,240 --> 00:21:07,400
Speaker 2: game being at Brighton. So I kind of licked the over,

441
00:21:07,960 --> 00:21:09,680
Speaker 2: but I want to wait and make sure essays playing

442
00:21:09,760 --> 00:21:13,320
Speaker 2: and see what Brighton's doing with some of these AFCON players,

443
00:21:13,640 --> 00:21:16,879
Speaker 2: and I guess Japan advanced so they won't get my

444
00:21:16,960 --> 00:21:20,840
Speaker 2: Tombo back, but they this total just seems low to me.

445
00:21:20,920 --> 00:21:23,159
Speaker 2: Over two and a half minus one thirty, I have

446
00:21:23,240 --> 00:21:25,640
Speaker 2: this closure to three. I think that it's a little

447
00:21:25,640 --> 00:21:27,920
Speaker 2: bit low. And so if as A and A lease

448
00:21:27,960 --> 00:21:29,840
Speaker 2: they both go, you're gonna see me fire on the

449
00:21:29,880 --> 00:21:30,840
Speaker 2: over all.

450
00:21:30,880 --> 00:21:35,680
Speaker 1: Right, let's talk Burnley and Fulham quickly here. Burnley didn't

451
00:21:35,680 --> 00:21:38,240
Speaker 1: get the draw against Man City like we asked out

452
00:21:38,280 --> 00:21:38,520
Speaker 1: of them.

453
00:21:39,040 --> 00:21:42,200
Speaker 2: Good effort, though somebody texted me like the final XG

454
00:21:42,400 --> 00:21:44,440
Speaker 2: was pretty close, like we could have had it. And

455
00:21:44,480 --> 00:21:45,800
Speaker 2: then I was like, did you watch the match and

456
00:21:45,840 --> 00:21:48,119
Speaker 2: they said no, and I said, well, yeah, Burnley had

457
00:21:48,160 --> 00:21:50,720
Speaker 2: a point nine to five XG chance in stoppage time.

458
00:21:50,800 --> 00:21:52,960
Speaker 3: Yeah, to get to one point four. It was not

459
00:21:53,080 --> 00:21:55,040
Speaker 3: a competitive not whatsoever.

460
00:21:55,520 --> 00:22:01,080
Speaker 1: But they are a home underdog against Fulham, which always

461
00:22:01,160 --> 00:22:02,920
Speaker 1: is a little tempting. But it's only they're only plus

462
00:22:02,960 --> 00:22:05,560
Speaker 1: two hundred and the draw here is plus two thirty.

463
00:22:05,920 --> 00:22:10,360
Speaker 1: I mean it is massive opportunity for Burnley. You don't

464
00:22:10,359 --> 00:22:11,679
Speaker 1: want to this is I mean it's not a relegation

465
00:22:11,760 --> 00:22:16,440
Speaker 1: six pointer because because Fulham is safe in thirteenth place

466
00:22:16,560 --> 00:22:19,240
Speaker 1: right now, but this is a game that Burnley would

467
00:22:19,280 --> 00:22:23,960
Speaker 1: have circled as a huge opportunity to pad what to

468
00:22:24,280 --> 00:22:26,920
Speaker 1: put three points in their pocket. You've been riding with

469
00:22:27,000 --> 00:22:31,760
Speaker 1: the Fulham unders. It worked quite well against Everton because

470
00:22:31,880 --> 00:22:34,400
Speaker 1: neither team found the back of the net. Like I said,

471
00:22:34,440 --> 00:22:36,080
Speaker 1: Everden was down on their feed. You got a little

472
00:22:36,119 --> 00:22:39,159
Speaker 1: bit of luck with with some good goalkeeping and from

473
00:22:39,200 --> 00:22:43,640
Speaker 1: both Anthony Robinson and joined at Pickford. But I guess

474
00:22:43,680 --> 00:22:45,359
Speaker 1: you're going with the if it ain't broke, don't fix

475
00:22:45,440 --> 00:22:48,160
Speaker 1: it situation here and going back to this under Yeah.

476
00:22:48,240 --> 00:22:50,720
Speaker 2: So here's the here's the thing. There's a stat thing

477
00:22:51,080 --> 00:22:54,399
Speaker 2: at OPTA. They have Premier League stats individual players. You

478
00:22:54,440 --> 00:22:58,399
Speaker 2: can rate every player by their attacking contribution coefficient. And

479
00:22:58,640 --> 00:23:00,720
Speaker 2: I talked about this earlierhen we tre about like Darwin

480
00:23:00,800 --> 00:23:03,879
Speaker 2: is number one in the league most solid Doku, Jay Zus,

481
00:23:03,960 --> 00:23:07,399
Speaker 2: Leon Bailey, as a Garnacho holland Jota Madison.

482
00:23:07,440 --> 00:23:08,400
Speaker 3: You want to be at the top of the list.

483
00:23:08,800 --> 00:23:12,800
Speaker 2: Antoine Semeno makes it in there, Cole Palmer, Son, Watkins, Oda, Guard,

484
00:23:12,840 --> 00:23:13,560
Speaker 2: Fernandez whatever.

485
00:23:14,920 --> 00:23:16,240
Speaker 3: Neither of these teams.

486
00:23:17,200 --> 00:23:19,359
Speaker 2: There's only one player for either of these teams that

487
00:23:19,440 --> 00:23:21,560
Speaker 2: makes it into the top thirty five in the entire

488
00:23:21,640 --> 00:23:23,680
Speaker 2: league on the list. One player, and his name is

489
00:23:23,720 --> 00:23:26,480
Speaker 2: Alex Awolbe. He's still on international duty. He will not

490
00:23:26,560 --> 00:23:30,320
Speaker 2: be playing for Fulham. So this this matchup, we already

491
00:23:30,359 --> 00:23:33,080
Speaker 2: saw it. It was a two nil win for Burnley.

492
00:23:33,080 --> 00:23:35,600
Speaker 2: Burnley scored a screamer from outside the box. Fulham took

493
00:23:35,640 --> 00:23:38,119
Speaker 2: seventeen shots with less than one XG in total. It

494
00:23:38,200 --> 00:23:40,440
Speaker 2: couldn't break down the block. They want to make the

495
00:23:40,480 --> 00:23:42,320
Speaker 2: matches for netic but Burnley wants to slow it down

496
00:23:42,359 --> 00:23:45,000
Speaker 2: and have these long possessions. And these are two bottom

497
00:23:45,040 --> 00:23:48,040
Speaker 2: five attacks by XG by expected threat. I bet the

498
00:23:48,160 --> 00:23:49,760
Speaker 2: under two and a half in the first meeting. It

499
00:23:49,920 --> 00:23:52,840
Speaker 2: cashed pretty easily. Even though it was too nil and

500
00:23:53,000 --> 00:23:54,760
Speaker 2: I'm happy to bet it again at minus one ten.

501
00:23:54,800 --> 00:23:58,080
Speaker 2: I think it's too high and I think you haven't

502
00:23:58,080 --> 00:23:59,520
Speaker 2: seen all of the totals get totally.

503
00:23:59,320 --> 00:24:00,000
Speaker 3: Inflated this year.

504
00:24:00,600 --> 00:24:02,360
Speaker 2: I thought you'd see like we'd be able to bet

505
00:24:02,400 --> 00:24:05,400
Speaker 2: more unders than we have been, But this is one

506
00:24:05,440 --> 00:24:07,159
Speaker 2: where it's like in a different year, this would be

507
00:24:07,160 --> 00:24:09,840
Speaker 2: two and a quarter. Given the injuries and given who's

508
00:24:10,040 --> 00:24:11,879
Speaker 2: given the absences and what.

509
00:24:11,920 --> 00:24:12,399
Speaker 3: We're dealing with.

510
00:24:12,480 --> 00:24:14,680
Speaker 2: The best attacking player by the metric in this game

511
00:24:16,000 --> 00:24:20,880
Speaker 2: is Willian He's number one, and Burnley and then Andreas

512
00:24:20,920 --> 00:24:24,200
Speaker 2: Pereira and then Raoul and you go further down the list.

513
00:24:24,240 --> 00:24:27,119
Speaker 2: I still haven't gotten to a Burnley player, so it

514
00:24:27,359 --> 00:24:29,840
Speaker 2: takes a long time before you make your way down

515
00:24:29,880 --> 00:24:33,159
Speaker 2: to m Dooney for their their best attacking contribution players.

516
00:24:33,200 --> 00:24:35,040
Speaker 2: So there's just not good enough attacks to warrant two

517
00:24:35,040 --> 00:24:37,560
Speaker 2: and a half. I know Fulham's defense is not very

518
00:24:37,600 --> 00:24:39,720
Speaker 2: good either, but two and a half too high.

519
00:24:39,840 --> 00:24:42,560
Speaker 1: So under if I if I had to make a

520
00:24:42,640 --> 00:24:45,600
Speaker 1: bet here, it would be on Burnley, but just not

521
00:24:45,680 --> 00:24:47,120
Speaker 1: gonna do it. Not not good enough.

522
00:24:47,359 --> 00:24:50,840
Speaker 2: Five has been trending up a little bit and they've played. Yeah,

523
00:24:51,119 --> 00:24:54,000
Speaker 2: it's now four straight unders if you bet Fulham unders.

524
00:24:54,280 --> 00:24:57,760
Speaker 1: So yeah him and as a who's he got five

525
00:24:57,880 --> 00:25:00,639
Speaker 1: on the season. Yeah, I think he scored like call

526
00:25:00,720 --> 00:25:03,320
Speaker 1: from two years ago for me is I was two

527
00:25:03,400 --> 00:25:05,800
Speaker 1: years too early? What's that? I said? I was two

528
00:25:05,840 --> 00:25:07,840
Speaker 1: years too early on the golden boot call on him and.

529
00:25:07,960 --> 00:25:12,080
Speaker 3: S wellfore you got that? Uh yeah, the head injury.

530
00:25:13,040 --> 00:25:17,399
Speaker 1: Uh huh uh a Newcastle and Luton up next. Uh

531
00:25:18,160 --> 00:25:21,440
Speaker 1: look out. Newcastle's back ladies and gentlemen went over to

532
00:25:21,560 --> 00:25:25,399
Speaker 1: essen Villa three to one and now they are hosting

533
00:25:25,480 --> 00:25:27,800
Speaker 1: Luton Town, so you'd expect them to put three more

534
00:25:27,800 --> 00:25:32,920
Speaker 1: points in their account and then we have the conversation. Okay,

535
00:25:33,040 --> 00:25:36,600
Speaker 1: our Newcastle back, but they got to do it first

536
00:25:36,760 --> 00:25:38,840
Speaker 1: and their minus two fifty to do so Luton six

537
00:25:38,880 --> 00:25:41,600
Speaker 1: to one, the draw is plus three fifty. I don't

538
00:25:41,600 --> 00:25:47,200
Speaker 1: think there's much from a betting perspective here. BJ has

539
00:25:47,240 --> 00:25:49,720
Speaker 1: a best bet in this match that we'll get to later.

540
00:25:51,520 --> 00:25:55,760
Speaker 1: But you had a louton Town aside you wanted to

541
00:25:55,800 --> 00:25:56,359
Speaker 1: get into here.

542
00:25:57,640 --> 00:25:59,560
Speaker 3: Yeah, nothing on this match for me, you know.

543
00:25:59,640 --> 00:26:01,959
Speaker 2: Blut and Newcastle got two set piece goals and then

544
00:26:02,000 --> 00:26:04,840
Speaker 2: an own goal and they played better for sure. I

545
00:26:04,880 --> 00:26:08,480
Speaker 2: thought it said more about Villa than Newcastle, to be honest. Yeah,

546
00:26:08,600 --> 00:26:11,040
Speaker 2: so we were discussing this in discord today.

547
00:26:11,920 --> 00:26:12,800
Speaker 3: I want you to guess.

548
00:26:14,520 --> 00:26:17,560
Speaker 2: I guess the three most profitable teams against the spread

549
00:26:17,640 --> 00:26:20,000
Speaker 2: this year in the entire league Asian handicap line.

550
00:26:21,520 --> 00:26:22,720
Speaker 1: Say it again? Do do.

551
00:26:24,480 --> 00:26:28,040
Speaker 2: The top three ats in the league this year Asian

552
00:26:28,080 --> 00:26:28,720
Speaker 2: handicap line?

553
00:26:31,040 --> 00:26:33,880
Speaker 1: Uh, well, I'm gonna guess Luton Town is one of them. Yes,

554
00:26:33,920 --> 00:26:37,800
Speaker 1: they're not going to guess Liverpool No? No, oh they

555
00:26:37,880 --> 00:26:44,080
Speaker 1: got yeah, they've got what half doesn't draws Luton Villa? Ever?

556
00:26:44,200 --> 00:26:45,080
Speaker 3: Did you're close?

557
00:26:45,480 --> 00:26:49,040
Speaker 2: Luton Spurs Villa Born with four wolves five?

558
00:26:49,800 --> 00:26:50,000
Speaker 1: Wow?

559
00:26:51,119 --> 00:26:52,960
Speaker 2: If you go buy money line, Luton is not up there.

560
00:26:53,119 --> 00:26:56,840
Speaker 2: But Luton have been consistently competitive. And it's funny, believe

561
00:26:56,880 --> 00:26:59,240
Speaker 2: it or not. The top three teams, what do they

562
00:26:59,280 --> 00:27:01,560
Speaker 2: all have in common? E league goalkeeper play?

563
00:27:01,640 --> 00:27:02,000
Speaker 3: This season?

564
00:27:02,080 --> 00:27:06,760
Speaker 2: Kaminski and Vicario and Martinez have all saved way over

565
00:27:06,800 --> 00:27:10,280
Speaker 2: their XG in terms of post shot numbers. It's not

566
00:27:10,400 --> 00:27:13,400
Speaker 2: that shocking. And okay, let's do the bottom three now,

567
00:27:13,680 --> 00:27:16,040
Speaker 2: this is really interesting. I think you'll know at least

568
00:27:16,080 --> 00:27:16,479
Speaker 2: one of them.

569
00:27:17,240 --> 00:27:22,879
Speaker 1: The bottom three would against the spread. Okay, Sheffield United, No,

570
00:27:23,520 --> 00:27:26,800
Speaker 1: they're right around Okay, unite Manchester United.

571
00:27:27,480 --> 00:27:29,880
Speaker 2: Manchester United second worst if you go buy money lines,

572
00:27:29,920 --> 00:27:31,840
Speaker 2: then Sheffield is the worst. Obviously they only have two

573
00:27:31,840 --> 00:27:33,360
Speaker 2: wins and they were against bad team.

574
00:27:34,920 --> 00:27:35,600
Speaker 1: Chelsey.

575
00:27:36,320 --> 00:27:41,359
Speaker 2: Nope, Chelsea's five hundred wow. One one is at the

576
00:27:41,400 --> 00:27:43,520
Speaker 2: top and one is at the bottom. Yes, City City

577
00:27:43,680 --> 00:27:44,840
Speaker 2: it's third worst yep.

578
00:27:44,920 --> 00:27:51,800
Speaker 1: And then rivoting stuff here lead podcasting Yeah, Burnley Yeah.

579
00:27:51,880 --> 00:27:53,920
Speaker 2: The bottom three against the spread had been Burnley. Not

580
00:27:54,040 --> 00:27:56,760
Speaker 2: surprising given that they were like kind of liked a

581
00:27:56,760 --> 00:27:58,439
Speaker 2: little bit by the market coming into the year. Man

582
00:27:58,560 --> 00:28:03,040
Speaker 2: United number two worst certainly probably our best call we'll

583
00:28:03,080 --> 00:28:05,640
Speaker 2: make all year. And then three was man City who

584
00:28:05,760 --> 00:28:07,240
Speaker 2: you know, I think we said, like there could be

585
00:28:07,320 --> 00:28:09,200
Speaker 2: some regression even though we think they're gonna win the league.

586
00:28:09,200 --> 00:28:10,320
Speaker 3: And I still think that's the case.

587
00:28:10,359 --> 00:28:12,240
Speaker 2: I still think they probably end up winning this league,

588
00:28:12,640 --> 00:28:15,080
Speaker 2: even though they're certainly not as good as they were

589
00:28:15,160 --> 00:28:15,479
Speaker 2: last year.

590
00:28:16,119 --> 00:28:16,439
Speaker 3: All right.

591
00:28:16,520 --> 00:28:18,560
Speaker 2: And then the highest variance team has been naughtyham Forest.

592
00:28:18,720 --> 00:28:20,280
Speaker 2: They are good on the money line if you bet

593
00:28:20,320 --> 00:28:22,040
Speaker 2: them every week. They are bad week to week on

594
00:28:22,119 --> 00:28:24,720
Speaker 2: the spread because they have been they pulled some big

595
00:28:24,840 --> 00:28:26,400
Speaker 2: upsets they have not been consistently good.

596
00:28:26,920 --> 00:28:28,400
Speaker 3: That's all. I have nothing on this match.

597
00:28:30,280 --> 00:28:32,199
Speaker 1: That's fine. We'll get to Forest in a little bit,

598
00:28:32,520 --> 00:28:36,920
Speaker 1: but first it's talk Sheffield United and Villa. Sheffield United

599
00:28:37,200 --> 00:28:39,880
Speaker 1: it's only plus four twenty five at home, Villa minus

600
00:28:39,920 --> 00:28:42,840
Speaker 1: one sixty seven and the Jaws plus three twenty. I'm

601
00:28:42,880 --> 00:28:46,160
Speaker 1: not gonna lay it, but I was kind of stumbled

602
00:28:46,240 --> 00:28:48,600
Speaker 1: by this one. Yeah me too. What am I missing here?

603
00:28:48,720 --> 00:28:51,320
Speaker 1: That is everybody out for Aston Villa? Did the team

604
00:28:51,360 --> 00:28:51,920
Speaker 1: get arrested?

605
00:28:52,160 --> 00:28:54,160
Speaker 2: So we just talked about last week. Why is Villa

606
00:28:54,200 --> 00:28:57,640
Speaker 2: only minus one ten and Newcastle's.

607
00:28:56,640 --> 00:28:59,120
Speaker 1: Yeah, it makes no sense. I wouldn't argue with anybody.

608
00:28:58,760 --> 00:29:02,960
Speaker 2: Who pretty high on this team because these two teams

609
00:29:03,040 --> 00:29:05,840
Speaker 2: played at Villa right before Christmas. It was a Friday

610
00:29:05,880 --> 00:29:09,200
Speaker 2: night and Villa closed almost a two goal favorite. Now

611
00:29:09,240 --> 00:29:12,040
Speaker 2: they're not even laying a goal. You flip home field,

612
00:29:12,040 --> 00:29:13,040
Speaker 2: it's not gonna get you that far.

613
00:29:13,320 --> 00:29:13,520
Speaker 1: Yeah.

614
00:29:13,560 --> 00:29:16,840
Speaker 2: So between December and January, when they were like no

615
00:29:16,920 --> 00:29:19,560
Speaker 2: prem matches for us to fade Villa, the market has

616
00:29:19,600 --> 00:29:21,640
Speaker 2: severely downgraded this team, and look, I agree with it,

617
00:29:22,200 --> 00:29:23,720
Speaker 2: but now I don't really think there's any value in

618
00:29:23,760 --> 00:29:25,320
Speaker 2: going against Villa with this number, it would be s

619
00:29:25,320 --> 00:29:27,520
Speaker 2: Sheffield or nothing either way for me, because I do

620
00:29:27,680 --> 00:29:30,800
Speaker 2: think that Sheffield's improved. But even though they scored twice

621
00:29:30,800 --> 00:29:34,280
Speaker 2: against Pallace, they've been playing some crazy games. Yeah, their

622
00:29:34,320 --> 00:29:37,760
Speaker 2: defense is still very vulnerable, and they showed nothing in

623
00:29:37,760 --> 00:29:40,240
Speaker 2: attack until the eighty fifth minute against Villa the first meeting.

624
00:29:40,360 --> 00:29:42,360
Speaker 2: So I kind of think the line's just right, like

625
00:29:42,400 --> 00:29:44,880
Speaker 2: I wouldn't lay it, but I'm not taking it either.

626
00:29:45,000 --> 00:29:48,760
Speaker 1: So Born with his odds on hosting Forest the cherries

627
00:29:48,760 --> 00:29:52,000
Speaker 1: minus one thirty four, the Tricky Trees traveling at plus

628
00:29:52,080 --> 00:29:54,960
Speaker 1: three thirty three, and a draw here is plus two eighty.

629
00:29:55,080 --> 00:29:57,920
Speaker 1: I like Forest again here. I actually wasn't all that

630
00:29:58,040 --> 00:30:01,640
Speaker 1: discouraged with the Arsenal performance from them at all. I

631
00:30:01,720 --> 00:30:04,600
Speaker 1: think that there are like they didn't create much, but

632
00:30:04,960 --> 00:30:07,520
Speaker 1: they were going up against Arsenal, they hung with it.

633
00:30:07,960 --> 00:30:10,440
Speaker 1: And if you look the past few, you know a

634
00:30:10,480 --> 00:30:13,520
Speaker 1: few matches they've they've caught a couple big wins, big

635
00:30:13,560 --> 00:30:16,520
Speaker 1: scalps and and we are recording this before Bournemouth plays

636
00:30:16,640 --> 00:30:20,120
Speaker 1: west Ham on Thursday, so who knows where this line

637
00:30:20,200 --> 00:30:22,640
Speaker 1: kind of ping pongs too, but it does feel like

638
00:30:23,280 --> 00:30:26,320
Speaker 1: maybe a shade too much respect for a born with

639
00:30:26,440 --> 00:30:29,360
Speaker 1: team that we we really liked, but they've now dropped

640
00:30:29,360 --> 00:30:32,080
Speaker 1: to in a row to good competition and you can

641
00:30:32,480 --> 00:30:34,200
Speaker 1: you can pummel them on their day, like if if

642
00:30:34,240 --> 00:30:36,960
Speaker 1: you catch them out, like they are susceptible to h

643
00:30:37,400 --> 00:30:41,400
Speaker 1: playing some some wild, wild back and forth kind of soccer.

644
00:30:41,480 --> 00:30:43,640
Speaker 1: So yeah, actually I like Force on the money line.

645
00:30:44,040 --> 00:30:45,240
Speaker 3: Excited about Geo Reina.

646
00:30:45,320 --> 00:30:48,440
Speaker 1: What do we think? Yeah, I feel like that's going

647
00:30:48,520 --> 00:30:51,160
Speaker 1: to be the type of situation where we kind of

648
00:30:51,280 --> 00:30:53,200
Speaker 1: just forget that it ever happened when it's over.

649
00:30:54,240 --> 00:30:55,720
Speaker 3: I don't know, I kind of go multiple ways.

650
00:30:56,080 --> 00:30:58,280
Speaker 2: Forrests have built this interesting team, right because they have

651
00:30:58,320 --> 00:31:02,200
Speaker 2: so many players and it's like, okay, whoever they start?

652
00:31:02,360 --> 00:31:03,840
Speaker 2: When you have five subs and they have like a

653
00:31:03,920 --> 00:31:06,720
Speaker 2: decent bench, which they do, It's like, why am I

654
00:31:06,760 --> 00:31:08,800
Speaker 2: not just live betting this team? Every time they bring

655
00:31:08,840 --> 00:31:11,080
Speaker 2: on Taiwo in the second half, it seems like they

656
00:31:11,200 --> 00:31:14,280
Speaker 2: just like are about to score, and you get way

657
00:31:14,360 --> 00:31:16,800
Speaker 2: better odds trying to live bet them, you know, team

658
00:31:16,880 --> 00:31:19,280
Speaker 2: totals when he comes in. I think I think Raina

659
00:31:19,400 --> 00:31:22,320
Speaker 2: like they need people who can progress the ball from

660
00:31:22,320 --> 00:31:23,520
Speaker 2: the midfield to the penalty area.

661
00:31:23,520 --> 00:31:24,240
Speaker 3: And then create for others.

662
00:31:24,280 --> 00:31:26,960
Speaker 2: And that's like Gio Raina's best skill, that's what he's

663
00:31:27,000 --> 00:31:29,560
Speaker 2: good at, and he kind of fits the Gibbs.

664
00:31:29,240 --> 00:31:30,239
Speaker 3: White roll a little bit.

665
00:31:30,280 --> 00:31:32,840
Speaker 2: He can do a little bit of what Alanga does

666
00:31:32,920 --> 00:31:35,320
Speaker 2: in ball progression without you know, maybe the shots aren't

667
00:31:35,320 --> 00:31:36,960
Speaker 2: going to be there for him. But Raina, like I

668
00:31:37,280 --> 00:31:40,880
Speaker 2: he came on against Bocam this weekend kind of his

669
00:31:41,000 --> 00:31:44,760
Speaker 2: farewell performance and was the best player on the pitch

670
00:31:44,800 --> 00:31:47,240
Speaker 2: at the time for Dorman, and he didn't ever shoot.

671
00:31:47,440 --> 00:31:49,280
Speaker 2: He had multip opportunities to shoot, and he kept looking

672
00:31:49,280 --> 00:31:50,360
Speaker 2: for the past, looking for the past.

673
00:31:50,560 --> 00:31:51,480
Speaker 1: But like I'm.

674
00:31:51,360 --> 00:31:54,680
Speaker 3: Intrigued by Gibbs White, Reina Taiwoe.

675
00:31:54,760 --> 00:31:56,640
Speaker 2: Maybe that's the second half lineup because they're not going

676
00:31:56,680 --> 00:31:58,840
Speaker 2: to start Raina and Taiwo because they're worried about injuries

677
00:31:58,880 --> 00:32:01,000
Speaker 2: for both of them. Like maybe we just need to

678
00:32:01,000 --> 00:32:02,600
Speaker 2: get Chris Wood off and then they're going to be better.

679
00:32:02,640 --> 00:32:04,800
Speaker 2: I don't know, but I'm intrigued by Forrest.

680
00:32:05,240 --> 00:32:06,920
Speaker 1: Chris Wood has what they eight goals this season.

681
00:32:07,160 --> 00:32:09,520
Speaker 2: He has been okay, yeah, he's been fine all set

682
00:32:09,560 --> 00:32:12,320
Speaker 2: pieces pretty much, and then that one game against Newcastle,

683
00:32:12,680 --> 00:32:16,680
Speaker 2: but yeah, what's that zero point three five actually for

684
00:32:16,760 --> 00:32:20,080
Speaker 2: ninety like not bad, but not as much as they're

685
00:32:20,080 --> 00:32:21,959
Speaker 2: getting off, Like like the benchmin it's have been much

686
00:32:22,000 --> 00:32:24,720
Speaker 2: more effective in transition. Would just I don't really know

687
00:32:24,760 --> 00:32:27,920
Speaker 2: that he fits the team that well. But anyway, yeah,

688
00:32:28,080 --> 00:32:30,720
Speaker 2: I think you know, you still talk about their their

689
00:32:30,800 --> 00:32:34,480
Speaker 2: defensive injuries right now and we're just at the top

690
00:32:34,520 --> 00:32:35,480
Speaker 2: of the market on Bournemouth.

691
00:32:35,680 --> 00:32:38,680
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, and their defensive numbers are just really good.

692
00:32:38,720 --> 00:32:41,320
Speaker 1: It's almost like the conversation in a much more watered

693
00:32:41,360 --> 00:32:43,800
Speaker 1: down version of the conversation we had about Arsenal, which

694
00:32:43,840 --> 00:32:47,920
Speaker 1: is like maybe the numbers don't say that they're gonna regress,

695
00:32:47,960 --> 00:32:50,840
Speaker 1: but it's just can you can they sustain this level

696
00:32:50,920 --> 00:32:54,360
Speaker 1: of depends up? But yeah, I know that goals we're

697
00:32:54,360 --> 00:32:55,800
Speaker 1: going in against it, but you look under the hood

698
00:32:55,840 --> 00:32:58,360
Speaker 1: and it's I think they're what second and expected goals

699
00:32:58,360 --> 00:33:03,400
Speaker 1: allowed since the beginning of November with behind Arsenal, behind

700
00:33:03,440 --> 00:33:07,920
Speaker 1: only Arsenal. It's in the last ten games. City yeah, yeah,

701
00:33:07,920 --> 00:33:09,120
Speaker 1: they're like right there, it's crazy.

702
00:33:09,280 --> 00:33:12,640
Speaker 2: It's uh yeah, you just don't expect it to happen, right,

703
00:33:12,720 --> 00:33:16,080
Speaker 2: and so thus it's like, well, you know, we've seen

704
00:33:16,120 --> 00:33:19,680
Speaker 2: the best of Bournemouth this year, and there a couple

705
00:33:19,680 --> 00:33:21,360
Speaker 2: of teams and that's there's a reason they're minus one

706
00:33:21,440 --> 00:33:25,000
Speaker 2: forty here. It doesn't mean I want about the other

707
00:33:25,040 --> 00:33:26,600
Speaker 2: side though. I just kind of think this market's right

708
00:33:26,640 --> 00:33:28,720
Speaker 2: and then can't be afraid to pass.

709
00:33:28,840 --> 00:33:29,880
Speaker 3: I do like a lot on this board.

710
00:33:30,000 --> 00:33:33,160
Speaker 2: So yeah, I like force for his team total live

711
00:33:33,240 --> 00:33:35,120
Speaker 2: at halftime if we haven't scored yet.

712
00:33:35,120 --> 00:33:38,560
Speaker 1: When under a couple of conditions. Another actually you.

713
00:33:38,600 --> 00:33:40,640
Speaker 3: May see an app that come across I. You know

714
00:33:41,360 --> 00:33:42,000
Speaker 3: it's intriguing.

715
00:33:42,240 --> 00:33:44,680
Speaker 1: Another I like the underdog of this next one we're

716
00:33:44,680 --> 00:33:46,280
Speaker 1: gonna talk about. Which is gonna sound funny if you

717
00:33:46,360 --> 00:33:49,000
Speaker 1: listen to our show that we recorded on Sunday night

718
00:33:49,600 --> 00:33:52,560
Speaker 1: when we were all talking up Chelsea against Liverpool. But

719
00:33:52,680 --> 00:33:55,240
Speaker 1: Chelsea's now laying minus one sixty three. They're hosting a

720
00:33:55,360 --> 00:33:58,960
Speaker 1: dangerous Wolves team with a draw sitting at plus three hundred,

721
00:33:59,160 --> 00:34:01,440
Speaker 1: and it's it's so simple, like we just can keep

722
00:34:01,640 --> 00:34:05,360
Speaker 1: having the same conversation about Chelsea when they're taking on Liverpool,

723
00:34:05,360 --> 00:34:08,080
Speaker 1: when they're taking on Arsenal, when they're taking on you know, Spurs,

724
00:34:08,120 --> 00:34:12,640
Speaker 1: and they're an underdog, or on the road at United

725
00:34:12,800 --> 00:34:15,640
Speaker 1: or wherever, like they're going to be a dangerous underdog

726
00:34:16,160 --> 00:34:18,680
Speaker 1: in a situation where they have to punch up. Impossible

727
00:34:18,719 --> 00:34:20,320
Speaker 1: to trust them as a favorite. And I think that

728
00:34:20,400 --> 00:34:24,359
Speaker 1: Wolves is very live, especially at this price. We've we've

729
00:34:24,360 --> 00:34:27,719
Speaker 1: seen it from them all season. We severely underestimated this

730
00:34:27,800 --> 00:34:31,160
Speaker 1: team coming into the year. They are you know, on paper,

731
00:34:31,200 --> 00:34:33,360
Speaker 1: you look at their their record, you're like, it's just

732
00:34:33,440 --> 00:34:35,279
Speaker 1: a middle table team. But then you just read off

733
00:34:35,320 --> 00:34:38,120
Speaker 1: some of the results and it gets really kind of

734
00:34:38,160 --> 00:34:40,239
Speaker 1: impressive quick. Even with some of the losses, like the

735
00:34:40,360 --> 00:34:44,560
Speaker 1: match Week one against United where they deserve to win.

736
00:34:44,960 --> 00:34:47,160
Speaker 1: They held Villa at the height of their powers to

737
00:34:47,280 --> 00:34:50,920
Speaker 1: a one to one draw. They held Newcastle kind of

738
00:34:51,040 --> 00:34:51,920
Speaker 1: the height of their powers.

739
00:34:51,960 --> 00:34:54,560
Speaker 3: They beat City for those matches, really could have won

740
00:34:54,560 --> 00:34:55,080
Speaker 3: all three of them.

741
00:34:55,160 --> 00:35:00,440
Speaker 1: Yeah, they beat Spurs like they were in it against Arsenally,

742
00:35:00,520 --> 00:35:03,560
Speaker 1: beat Chelsea already this season. This is a this is

743
00:35:03,600 --> 00:35:06,879
Speaker 1: a just a solid outfit in at this kind of price.

744
00:35:06,920 --> 00:35:10,600
Speaker 1: Plus four fifty, I'm more than happy to take on Chelsea.

745
00:35:11,280 --> 00:35:13,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, it was like four minutes into the match today

746
00:35:13,840 --> 00:35:16,880
Speaker 2: and it was before the penalty had gone and you

747
00:35:16,920 --> 00:35:18,520
Speaker 2: know should have been a penalty to Chelsea, but like,

748
00:35:18,680 --> 00:35:20,960
Speaker 2: who cares it was not the right side. It was

749
00:35:21,040 --> 00:35:22,640
Speaker 2: like three or four minutes in when I realized we

750
00:35:22,719 --> 00:35:24,600
Speaker 2: were in big trouble, and I was just like, oh,

751
00:35:24,880 --> 00:35:26,840
Speaker 2: that's right. The team went to anfield without a striker,

752
00:35:27,440 --> 00:35:29,560
Speaker 2: and like, I know, I said that, like they were

753
00:35:29,600 --> 00:35:31,719
Speaker 2: getting good production from some of the guys and I

754
00:35:31,800 --> 00:35:34,160
Speaker 2: thought that, like they could play on the break, but

755
00:35:34,480 --> 00:35:36,520
Speaker 2: they were just completely unable to play out. They were

756
00:35:36,560 --> 00:35:39,560
Speaker 2: completely stocked. They had no out ball and anytime they

757
00:35:39,600 --> 00:35:40,879
Speaker 2: tried to play it to one of the little guys

758
00:35:41,040 --> 00:35:43,960
Speaker 2: or even ma Dueke, they got nothing. And I've seen

759
00:35:44,080 --> 00:35:46,600
Speaker 2: enough of ma Dueke right now. Mudrick has given them

760
00:35:46,640 --> 00:35:49,120
Speaker 2: nothing off the bench, betides big missus.

761
00:35:50,760 --> 00:35:52,399
Speaker 3: Can we can we get Chris and Kuku to start?

762
00:35:53,760 --> 00:35:54,759
Speaker 3: Can we get Jackson back?

763
00:35:54,800 --> 00:35:58,880
Speaker 2: I mean poach Tino man an amazing run he had

764
00:35:58,880 --> 00:36:03,120
Speaker 2: its spurs. Ever since then, it's been pretty dicey. And look,

765
00:36:03,160 --> 00:36:05,279
Speaker 2: I love Maricio for the rest of eternity for that

766
00:36:05,360 --> 00:36:07,399
Speaker 2: run at Tottenham, But like, at what point do we say,

767
00:36:07,440 --> 00:36:09,440
Speaker 2: wait a second, Like what's going on here? I know

768
00:36:09,520 --> 00:36:10,840
Speaker 2: we've wish watched on Chelsea a lot, but.

769
00:36:10,920 --> 00:36:14,160
Speaker 1: Like, yeah, well it's because they look that lost.

770
00:36:13,920 --> 00:36:14,920
Speaker 3: In possession today.

771
00:36:15,440 --> 00:36:17,640
Speaker 2: Given the talent they have given that they're playing, you know,

772
00:36:17,800 --> 00:36:21,520
Speaker 2: Connor Gallagher and Moys' Cacedo and Enzo Fernandez is crazy,

773
00:36:22,600 --> 00:36:24,600
Speaker 2: like they have the better midfield on paper than Liverpool

774
00:36:24,600 --> 00:36:26,479
Speaker 2: and then they get completely blown away.

775
00:36:26,880 --> 00:36:29,440
Speaker 1: It's it's turned into and it's a cliche to say it,

776
00:36:29,480 --> 00:36:31,919
Speaker 1: it's like it's turned into this weird almost all star

777
00:36:32,719 --> 00:36:36,719
Speaker 1: team that they just picked the They picked the best

778
00:36:36,760 --> 00:36:40,360
Speaker 1: players and weren't too concerned about fit and then you

779
00:36:40,440 --> 00:36:42,839
Speaker 1: got to make it work. And it doesn't like there's

780
00:36:42,960 --> 00:36:45,320
Speaker 1: there's no cohesion in the ranks. It feels like and

781
00:36:46,840 --> 00:36:49,240
Speaker 1: it makes them makes them really vulnerable as a favorite.

782
00:36:49,560 --> 00:36:51,000
Speaker 1: It's it's not all that different.

783
00:36:51,040 --> 00:36:53,600
Speaker 2: I think United his best team on the field though,

784
00:36:53,600 --> 00:36:56,080
Speaker 2: Like I want to see Palmer, Jackson and Cunku and

785
00:36:56,239 --> 00:36:57,480
Speaker 2: whoever the hell you want to play on the left,

786
00:36:57,560 --> 00:36:58,480
Speaker 2: you know, Stirling or whatever.

787
00:36:58,719 --> 00:36:59,719
Speaker 3: I want to see all four of.

788
00:36:59,719 --> 00:37:03,560
Speaker 2: Them, because it is like Jackson was getting points sixty

789
00:37:03,560 --> 00:37:05,680
Speaker 2: six xg you for ninety. We know Chris and Kunku's good.

790
00:37:05,680 --> 00:37:08,080
Speaker 2: He scored today too. We know how talented he is

791
00:37:08,160 --> 00:37:10,280
Speaker 2: and we know how we know the numbers that Palmer

792
00:37:10,360 --> 00:37:13,359
Speaker 2: was putting up. Like I want to see this team

793
00:37:13,400 --> 00:37:14,960
Speaker 2: at their best, but how often are we seen that?

794
00:37:15,000 --> 00:37:16,160
Speaker 2: And we're not going to see it. I don't think

795
00:37:16,200 --> 00:37:19,160
Speaker 2: this weekend. Jackson had to go back with Senegal. They

796
00:37:19,239 --> 00:37:21,400
Speaker 2: hoped to play him in this match and then they couldn't.

797
00:37:22,160 --> 00:37:24,279
Speaker 2: I thought he was going to be back in time

798
00:37:25,080 --> 00:37:29,600
Speaker 2: and he wasn't. And now it's like, okay, we need

799
00:37:29,680 --> 00:37:33,239
Speaker 2: him for Sunday for sure. So I have nothing here

800
00:37:33,320 --> 00:37:37,319
Speaker 2: right now. I'll be tempted by Wolves if they can't

801
00:37:37,400 --> 00:37:39,640
Speaker 2: get Jackson and Kunku in the team, they just shouldn't

802
00:37:39,640 --> 00:37:40,480
Speaker 2: be laying one without them.

803
00:37:41,239 --> 00:37:44,520
Speaker 1: United and west Ham, like Wolves, are also playing on Thursday,

804
00:37:44,640 --> 00:37:49,840
Speaker 1: so if something happens in that match that impacts this weekend,

805
00:37:50,080 --> 00:37:52,240
Speaker 1: we won't be able to cover it on this podcast,

806
00:37:52,320 --> 00:37:55,879
Speaker 1: but you can always find our bets in the app

807
00:37:55,960 --> 00:38:00,680
Speaker 1: on Twitter. Anthony's always gappy about soccer every corner of

808
00:38:00,719 --> 00:38:06,920
Speaker 1: the internet. True United is minus one thirty four here,

809
00:38:07,200 --> 00:38:09,600
Speaker 1: west Ham plus three twenty and the draw is plus

810
00:38:09,640 --> 00:38:15,000
Speaker 1: three hundred. It's I always have like when when you're

811
00:38:15,120 --> 00:38:17,360
Speaker 1: when I'm doing research for the show or for writing

812
00:38:17,480 --> 00:38:22,160
Speaker 1: articles wherever, either at action New York Post or wherever

813
00:38:22,200 --> 00:38:27,800
Speaker 1: I'm doing my work, I always need to remind myself

814
00:38:27,840 --> 00:38:30,440
Speaker 1: that west Ham is in the top six right now.

815
00:38:31,120 --> 00:38:31,440
Speaker 3: Crazy.

816
00:38:31,760 --> 00:38:37,360
Speaker 1: It's incredible, honestly. So, I mean it tells you that

817
00:38:37,440 --> 00:38:39,359
Speaker 1: maybe they are a little bit better than we give

818
00:38:39,400 --> 00:38:41,919
Speaker 1: them credit for it. They've only lost six matches out

819
00:38:41,920 --> 00:38:43,680
Speaker 1: of twenty one. It feels like I feel like we've

820
00:38:43,719 --> 00:38:47,080
Speaker 1: watched them lose fourteen times this season because there's no

821
00:38:47,120 --> 00:38:48,720
Speaker 1: way I'm ling look at the box score.

822
00:38:49,040 --> 00:38:50,480
Speaker 2: I block out the goals when I look at the

823
00:38:50,520 --> 00:38:53,319
Speaker 2: box score and I just pull up XG and then

824
00:38:53,480 --> 00:38:57,640
Speaker 2: I say loss or win. Not actually, but it feels

825
00:38:57,719 --> 00:38:59,560
Speaker 2: like that because they have been outplayed a lot and

826
00:38:59,600 --> 00:39:02,520
Speaker 2: still Yeah, Chelsea match comes to mind early in the year.

827
00:39:02,560 --> 00:39:04,400
Speaker 3: They won that three to one. They got dominated.

828
00:39:05,440 --> 00:39:08,960
Speaker 2: They played Arsenal, they got pretty lucky there Spurs. That

829
00:39:09,040 --> 00:39:10,759
Speaker 2: was a hilarious one. Like they pulled a lot of

830
00:39:10,800 --> 00:39:13,160
Speaker 2: big wins. They're the most profitable team in the league

831
00:39:13,160 --> 00:39:14,000
Speaker 2: on the money line this year.

832
00:39:14,440 --> 00:39:16,640
Speaker 1: It's and that nuts because we the way we talked

833
00:39:16,640 --> 00:39:20,640
Speaker 1: about them, probably around Thanksgiving, let's say you would have

834
00:39:20,920 --> 00:39:22,600
Speaker 1: we would have probably pegged them be like, this team

835
00:39:22,680 --> 00:39:24,000
Speaker 1: is going to be the least profitable team on the

836
00:39:24,040 --> 00:39:27,400
Speaker 1: money line among outside of maybe like the out the

837
00:39:27,480 --> 00:39:31,279
Speaker 1: extreme outliers in the competition because we were like this,

838
00:39:31,520 --> 00:39:35,200
Speaker 1: everything looks so rotten under the hood, but they're getting results.

839
00:39:35,440 --> 00:39:37,399
Speaker 3: Can't even though I like the under here.

840
00:39:39,560 --> 00:39:41,520
Speaker 1: And honestly, and I'm saying all this, but I would

841
00:39:41,840 --> 00:39:45,040
Speaker 1: much rather play them in this situation than a United

842
00:39:45,080 --> 00:39:47,000
Speaker 1: team that, like Chelsea, I'm not going to trust as

843
00:39:47,040 --> 00:39:50,400
Speaker 1: far as I can punt, especially when they're laying when

844
00:39:50,440 --> 00:39:52,520
Speaker 1: you had a LA something against a team that's six

845
00:39:52,600 --> 00:39:52,960
Speaker 1: in the weak.

846
00:39:53,160 --> 00:39:55,120
Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't really trust either team here. I think

847
00:39:55,120 --> 00:39:56,920
Speaker 2: they're both overvalued, but I think the under is to

848
00:39:56,960 --> 00:39:58,480
Speaker 2: play here at three and they just think it's a

849
00:39:58,520 --> 00:40:02,160
Speaker 2: little high. You know, Cudis should be back, so you're

850
00:40:02,200 --> 00:40:05,040
Speaker 2: you're close to the full strength west Ham group that's

851
00:40:05,080 --> 00:40:08,720
Speaker 2: been so good in transition to the cutis Bowen packets

852
00:40:08,760 --> 00:40:11,760
Speaker 2: a trio. You know, you still have the set pieces

853
00:40:11,800 --> 00:40:13,400
Speaker 2: and that's their biggest edge here. If you wanted to

854
00:40:13,440 --> 00:40:16,239
Speaker 2: bet west Ham. The case for west Ham is is

855
00:40:16,360 --> 00:40:18,759
Speaker 2: the best set piece team in the league facing off

856
00:40:18,800 --> 00:40:22,279
Speaker 2: against a team that is just awful at both ends

857
00:40:22,280 --> 00:40:23,840
Speaker 2: of the pitch on set pieces, and that's going to

858
00:40:23,920 --> 00:40:27,560
Speaker 2: cost them. I've faded United in the Wolves match, so

859
00:40:27,640 --> 00:40:29,400
Speaker 2: I haven't actually fired anything yet here. I'm going to

860
00:40:29,440 --> 00:40:31,080
Speaker 2: wait and see how because I'm curious to see what

861
00:40:31,160 --> 00:40:33,719
Speaker 2: Casimiro and Lessandra look like, which I expect them to

862
00:40:33,719 --> 00:40:37,200
Speaker 2: play Thursday. But I'm all more likely than not going

863
00:40:37,280 --> 00:40:39,719
Speaker 2: to be firing the under three here. I just think

864
00:40:39,800 --> 00:40:42,279
Speaker 2: that you go back to the first meeting, it was

865
00:40:42,280 --> 00:40:44,600
Speaker 2: a lot of United stale possession. They couldn't do anything

866
00:40:44,640 --> 00:40:47,280
Speaker 2: against West Ham's defense. I kind of think they replicate

867
00:40:47,360 --> 00:40:50,680
Speaker 2: that it was a classic match where ten Hawks said

868
00:40:50,719 --> 00:40:52,880
Speaker 2: we were the better team even though they had sixty

869
00:40:52,920 --> 00:40:55,799
Speaker 2: percent of the ball, created point seven xg and did

870
00:40:55,880 --> 00:40:57,480
Speaker 2: nothing most of the match and then got beat on

871
00:40:57,520 --> 00:40:58,879
Speaker 2: the counter and on the break a couple of times.

872
00:40:59,440 --> 00:41:01,480
Speaker 2: And I kind of think that's gonna set up Similarly,

873
00:41:01,560 --> 00:41:02,759
Speaker 2: this is like a one to one kind of game,

874
00:41:02,840 --> 00:41:04,600
Speaker 2: and there's way more likely to be two than four,

875
00:41:05,520 --> 00:41:07,200
Speaker 2: so almost even money on three.

876
00:41:07,280 --> 00:41:08,080
Speaker 3: I like the under.

877
00:41:10,120 --> 00:41:12,440
Speaker 1: All right. And the Premier League section wraps up with

878
00:41:12,480 --> 00:41:16,719
Speaker 1: Brentford at plus seven hundred against City Citizens are mice

879
00:41:16,760 --> 00:41:18,839
Speaker 1: two twenty five and the draws plus three thirty three.

880
00:41:19,280 --> 00:41:20,960
Speaker 3: Uh, Brentford team.

881
00:41:20,800 --> 00:41:22,960
Speaker 1: Totals, you just can keep doing it. I don't know

882
00:41:22,960 --> 00:41:23,759
Speaker 1: if it's I just think the.

883
00:41:23,760 --> 00:41:25,880
Speaker 2: Attack is I mean, the market's not upgrade in the attack,

884
00:41:25,920 --> 00:41:28,600
Speaker 2: it's so much better now. Tony is so good and

885
00:41:28,640 --> 00:41:30,880
Speaker 2: the time, the goals, just the way he moves, the

886
00:41:30,960 --> 00:41:34,320
Speaker 2: way he plays others, in the way he creates a

887
00:41:34,640 --> 00:41:34,880
Speaker 2: he's a.

888
00:41:34,920 --> 00:41:36,799
Speaker 1: He's an absolute beast to deal with. Like he Yeah,

889
00:41:36,920 --> 00:41:40,239
Speaker 1: he's He's one of maybe five strikers in the league

890
00:41:40,280 --> 00:41:42,480
Speaker 1: that I feel like can win, just win a game

891
00:41:42,520 --> 00:41:44,440
Speaker 1: on his own like he. I mean he did against

892
00:41:44,440 --> 00:41:45,520
Speaker 1: City last year.

893
00:41:45,840 --> 00:41:48,880
Speaker 2: Yeah, just by just like yeah, again, being more powerful

894
00:41:48,920 --> 00:41:51,719
Speaker 2: than the guys defense Minus one twenty just too low.

895
00:41:51,800 --> 00:41:54,839
Speaker 2: I'm sorry, Renford first half team total Brentford game team

896
00:41:54,920 --> 00:41:57,600
Speaker 2: totally want to sprinkle Tony to score again.

897
00:41:57,760 --> 00:41:58,880
Speaker 3: Just keep rolling, the rolling, the.

898
00:41:58,880 --> 00:42:01,000
Speaker 2: Profits over Tony. Just we're probably gonna bet it again.

899
00:42:01,000 --> 00:42:01,960
Speaker 2: I haven't looked at the number.

900
00:42:01,840 --> 00:42:04,840
Speaker 1: Yet, but it should be a decent number because they

901
00:42:05,000 --> 00:42:06,680
Speaker 1: you know that it should go up.

902
00:42:06,800 --> 00:42:08,479
Speaker 3: Let's see if it's up yet. You think it's up.

903
00:42:09,960 --> 00:42:10,080
Speaker 1: Right?

904
00:42:10,719 --> 00:42:12,239
Speaker 3: Maybe not because they just played today and it's not

905
00:42:12,360 --> 00:42:14,640
Speaker 3: till Monday, but I think it will be.

906
00:42:15,400 --> 00:42:17,440
Speaker 1: Yeah. Yeah, I'm saying the price should go up. It's

907
00:42:17,520 --> 00:42:20,840
Speaker 1: what I'm saying because of the just look at the

908
00:42:21,120 --> 00:42:25,719
Speaker 1: I mean they're supposed to correlate, but he is to

909
00:42:25,840 --> 00:42:31,040
Speaker 1: score any time I have in Tony is plus two

910
00:42:31,400 --> 00:42:32,600
Speaker 1: two seventy five.

911
00:42:33,000 --> 00:42:36,080
Speaker 2: Yeah all right, well, I mean I've got some profits

912
00:42:36,120 --> 00:42:38,640
Speaker 2: to roll over, So let's roll a baby Tony to

913
00:42:38,719 --> 00:42:40,880
Speaker 2: score plus two seventy five. We're gonna take some Brentford

914
00:42:41,320 --> 00:42:44,040
Speaker 2: first half team total and full game. You can just

915
00:42:44,120 --> 00:42:47,360
Speaker 2: do beatt has or team total. I just think that

916
00:42:47,680 --> 00:42:50,520
Speaker 2: the you know, the City attack will have Holland back.

917
00:42:50,520 --> 00:42:53,080
Speaker 2: I'd imagine he played off the bench today. They're gonna

918
00:42:53,080 --> 00:42:55,160
Speaker 2: get a lot of shots and on like past years

919
00:42:55,200 --> 00:42:57,040
Speaker 2: where I could say, look, Brentford's a good defense.

920
00:42:57,120 --> 00:42:58,759
Speaker 3: They can force you to take bad shots. They have

921
00:42:58,800 --> 00:43:00,960
Speaker 3: a good goalie. Not that's really true anymore.

922
00:43:01,000 --> 00:43:02,759
Speaker 2: They just don't have a good goalie. They don't shot

923
00:43:02,800 --> 00:43:06,160
Speaker 2: stop well. I think Doku's a big matchup problem for

924
00:43:06,200 --> 00:43:09,879
Speaker 2: them on the left. So I think City will score,

925
00:43:09,960 --> 00:43:12,879
Speaker 2: but I think Brentford gets one or two. So give

926
00:43:12,960 --> 00:43:15,600
Speaker 2: me the Bees to score and all those bets I.

927
00:43:15,680 --> 00:43:19,000
Speaker 1: Just mentioned, Yeah, I don't hate that at all. It's

928
00:43:19,040 --> 00:43:20,560
Speaker 1: gonna take every bit of me not to bet him

929
00:43:21,680 --> 00:43:24,399
Speaker 1: on the money line here. So we'll see let's move

930
00:43:24,440 --> 00:43:29,280
Speaker 1: on to the Bundesliga and then syria A La Liga Legal.

931
00:43:29,480 --> 00:43:34,319
Speaker 1: It's everything's back. We got to start with your your

932
00:43:34,400 --> 00:43:39,520
Speaker 1: super Bowl, which is glad Bach and Bayern Munich.

933
00:43:39,560 --> 00:43:40,880
Speaker 3: The best rivalry in sports.

934
00:43:41,120 --> 00:43:45,960
Speaker 1: It's it's funny, any sense. Yeah, you come on the

935
00:43:46,000 --> 00:43:48,719
Speaker 1: show two or three times a year, depending on how

936
00:43:48,760 --> 00:43:51,040
Speaker 1: many times they end up facing and cups and all

937
00:43:51,120 --> 00:43:53,839
Speaker 1: that stuff, and you just you give the same kind

938
00:43:53,880 --> 00:43:57,160
Speaker 1: of spiel every time, which is the cliche that you

939
00:43:57,239 --> 00:44:00,080
Speaker 1: can just absolutely punt the data out the window in

940
00:44:00,120 --> 00:44:03,960
Speaker 1: these two teams clash, just just take everything, kick it

941
00:44:04,000 --> 00:44:07,600
Speaker 1: out the window and just accept that it's just gonna

942
00:44:07,600 --> 00:44:09,719
Speaker 1: go off the rails and whatever you think is like

943
00:44:09,760 --> 00:44:11,880
Speaker 1: the least likely outcome is going to end up how

944
00:44:11,920 --> 00:44:13,080
Speaker 1: this this game plays out.

945
00:44:13,280 --> 00:44:15,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, exil noil, I mean, I mean, look, we have

946
00:44:16,480 --> 00:44:22,200
Speaker 2: done this show since uh what it was twenty twenty two,

947
00:44:22,400 --> 00:44:25,000
Speaker 2: right we started this And look, there was a time

948
00:44:25,560 --> 00:44:28,440
Speaker 2: when Gladbach played a style that legitimately gay Byron problems.

949
00:44:28,560 --> 00:44:31,000
Speaker 2: It was like, we are going to win the ball

950
00:44:31,000 --> 00:44:33,440
Speaker 2: in midfield, We're gonna have three runners in behind immediately,

951
00:44:33,480 --> 00:44:35,560
Speaker 2: We're going to play those balls and back when Byron

952
00:44:35,600 --> 00:44:39,319
Speaker 2: didn't play transition defense. Glodbach had better attackers than they

953
00:44:39,360 --> 00:44:42,040
Speaker 2: do now and could just destroy them on the break.

954
00:44:42,120 --> 00:44:47,000
Speaker 2: NOI house tam you know, even play a like Hoffman.

955
00:44:47,840 --> 00:44:50,880
Speaker 2: All these guys have kind of you know, in terms

956
00:44:50,880 --> 00:44:53,920
Speaker 2: at inter Now Hoffman's at Lebracus and like they're.

957
00:44:53,880 --> 00:44:54,440
Speaker 3: They've moved on.

958
00:44:54,760 --> 00:44:57,200
Speaker 2: But I'm just gonna run through the history, right, So

959
00:44:57,320 --> 00:45:00,879
Speaker 2: since COVID they played a thriller. In twenty twenty one,

960
00:45:01,200 --> 00:45:03,400
Speaker 2: Byron was up two nil, blew it lost three to

961
00:45:03,440 --> 00:45:08,160
Speaker 2: two of the famed Florian Neuhause game. Byron got their revenge.

962
00:45:08,160 --> 00:45:11,040
Speaker 2: They won six nil at home in May of twenty

963
00:45:11,080 --> 00:45:13,640
Speaker 2: twenty one. Goldbach was already on the beach by then

964
00:45:13,680 --> 00:45:17,680
Speaker 2: their manager was leaving. Since then Glodbock two nil. They

965
00:45:17,719 --> 00:45:19,719
Speaker 2: played one to one in the famous Joe Scalley game

966
00:45:19,760 --> 00:45:23,040
Speaker 2: to open the season. The following year five nil in

967
00:45:23,080 --> 00:45:25,480
Speaker 2: the Pocal when Byron played a full team for Gladbock,

968
00:45:25,520 --> 00:45:28,759
Speaker 2: winning five nil. Then they played glod Bock won two

969
00:45:28,800 --> 00:45:31,600
Speaker 2: to one at Byron. The following year they played to

970
00:45:31,640 --> 00:45:34,480
Speaker 2: a one to one draw. Last year, when Sommer broke

971
00:45:34,520 --> 00:45:36,880
Speaker 2: the Bundesliga record for saves, He's moved on as well,

972
00:45:36,920 --> 00:45:38,759
Speaker 2: but they got this new kid, Nicolas who's been really

973
00:45:38,800 --> 00:45:42,200
Speaker 2: good in goal. And then Byron in the most probably

974
00:45:42,239 --> 00:45:45,359
Speaker 2: the most absurd of all the wins was Byron gave

975
00:45:45,440 --> 00:45:47,680
Speaker 2: a red card away in the eleventh minute and gold

976
00:45:47,719 --> 00:45:48,960
Speaker 2: Pak went on to win three to two.

977
00:45:49,040 --> 00:45:50,040
Speaker 3: And then they played this year.

978
00:45:50,480 --> 00:45:52,520
Speaker 2: Byron scored in stoppage time to win two to one,

979
00:45:53,640 --> 00:45:56,200
Speaker 2: but uh, Gladbach covered the plus two. It was never

980
00:45:56,239 --> 00:45:59,960
Speaker 2: in doubt. So look, it was probably the least confident

981
00:46:00,040 --> 00:46:02,400
Speaker 2: I've ever been heading into this match. But you know what,

982
00:46:02,600 --> 00:46:06,799
Speaker 2: it's tradition, it's what we do here. So plus two

983
00:46:06,840 --> 00:46:09,959
Speaker 2: and a half at Byron, We're gonna sprinkle a little

984
00:46:09,960 --> 00:46:11,880
Speaker 2: money line, even though the numbers two short at seventeen

985
00:46:11,880 --> 00:46:14,480
Speaker 2: to one, I may run, though, so I'm gonna wait

986
00:46:14,480 --> 00:46:15,640
Speaker 2: on the money line and see if it doesn't get

987
00:46:15,640 --> 00:46:17,799
Speaker 2: to twenty. But yeah, two and a half minus one

988
00:46:17,840 --> 00:46:20,000
Speaker 2: twenty good enough for me. I would play this anyway,

989
00:46:20,160 --> 00:46:22,800
Speaker 2: but I don't feel as good about it anymore. And sadly,

990
00:46:23,200 --> 00:46:26,719
Speaker 2: god Bok got pretty well beaten by Leverkusen on the

991
00:46:26,840 --> 00:46:28,440
Speaker 2: XG tables, but did hold them out for a no

992
00:46:28,560 --> 00:46:32,000
Speaker 2: no draw, so maybe a little boost for them coming

993
00:46:32,040 --> 00:46:34,880
Speaker 2: off that big result at Leverkusen. But uh yeah, so

994
00:46:34,960 --> 00:46:38,840
Speaker 2: it's gold back again. We ride last thirty four meetings

995
00:46:39,360 --> 00:46:42,520
Speaker 2: fifteen for Byron, thirteen for god Bach, six draws. Think

996
00:46:42,520 --> 00:46:44,600
Speaker 2: about that in the context of these two teams. So

997
00:46:45,560 --> 00:46:49,000
Speaker 2: god Bock Baby one more time at least. I'm just

998
00:46:49,040 --> 00:46:51,400
Speaker 2: always sing about this. I got it four in a

999
00:46:51,480 --> 00:46:52,520
Speaker 2: row before I stop.

1000
00:46:52,719 --> 00:46:54,560
Speaker 1: Which is you know, I just think you just always

1001
00:46:54,600 --> 00:46:57,239
Speaker 1: do it. It's not like you'ard it happens three times

1002
00:46:57,280 --> 00:47:01,120
Speaker 1: a year at most. Basically, so they're thirteen to one

1003
00:47:01,120 --> 00:47:03,640
Speaker 1: on the money line. I when I pulled up the

1004
00:47:03,719 --> 00:47:08,160
Speaker 1: rundown for today's episode and I was calculating the underdog

1005
00:47:08,400 --> 00:47:12,160
Speaker 1: parlay odds, I was shocked that I didn't see glad

1006
00:47:12,239 --> 00:47:14,120
Speaker 1: Boch on the list.

1007
00:47:14,239 --> 00:47:16,960
Speaker 2: So well, you just point first half money line on

1008
00:47:17,120 --> 00:47:22,000
Speaker 2: glod Boch, you would have won won the last five meetings.

1009
00:47:23,120 --> 00:47:24,760
Speaker 3: Byron has come back in a few of them.

1010
00:47:24,800 --> 00:47:26,960
Speaker 2: But the last five, the first half money line has said.

1011
00:47:26,960 --> 00:47:29,120
Speaker 2: Even in the Byron win last year, you know, in

1012
00:47:29,160 --> 00:47:31,520
Speaker 2: the fall and in the one one draw when Sommer

1013
00:47:31,560 --> 00:47:33,799
Speaker 2: broke the record, it was like Byron had out shot

1014
00:47:33,840 --> 00:47:36,120
Speaker 2: them ten zero to rom got one breakaway, scored right

1015
00:47:36,160 --> 00:47:38,840
Speaker 2: before halftime one zero, and then Byron scored late, so

1016
00:47:39,360 --> 00:47:41,759
Speaker 2: uh yeah, first half. You know, Gladbach a pretty good

1017
00:47:41,760 --> 00:47:44,480
Speaker 2: on set pieces. Still, that's a big, big advantage for them.

1018
00:47:44,520 --> 00:47:46,160
Speaker 2: But other than that, you know, it's hard to make

1019
00:47:46,320 --> 00:47:47,839
Speaker 2: the soccer case for them to win this game.

1020
00:47:48,360 --> 00:47:52,400
Speaker 1: Just the vibes, Syria, Ah, what do you got? So?

1021
00:47:52,480 --> 00:47:55,479
Speaker 2: I like Adelanta at home against Lazzio plus one oh five,

1022
00:47:56,440 --> 00:47:59,200
Speaker 2: better on both sides and at home better attack right

1023
00:47:59,239 --> 00:48:00,879
Speaker 2: now to cut the lar He's really taken a step

1024
00:48:00,920 --> 00:48:04,600
Speaker 2: forward this season for them. It'scamaka has kind of just

1025
00:48:04,640 --> 00:48:06,200
Speaker 2: like found his level. He was never good enough for

1026
00:48:06,200 --> 00:48:08,480
Speaker 2: the prem but he's good enough for Siria and he's

1027
00:48:08,520 --> 00:48:10,319
Speaker 2: been impressive for them. I think they're the better team

1028
00:48:10,320 --> 00:48:12,320
Speaker 2: at home. So plus one oh five on them. Roma

1029
00:48:12,480 --> 00:48:15,800
Speaker 2: new manager. You know, we've talked about Roma all the

1030
00:48:15,840 --> 00:48:17,839
Speaker 2: time and how elite their defense is. I wonder if

1031
00:48:17,880 --> 00:48:20,480
Speaker 2: it's just like Marinho's style, never sending people forward.

1032
00:48:21,120 --> 00:48:22,200
Speaker 3: I think this total was too low.

1033
00:48:22,320 --> 00:48:26,239
Speaker 2: Calgularies attack is undervalued. Roma's you know, play style being

1034
00:48:26,320 --> 00:48:27,960
Speaker 2: more open now with the new manager. Over two and

1035
00:48:27,960 --> 00:48:30,360
Speaker 2: a half of minus one fifteen is short, you know, Syria.

1036
00:48:30,480 --> 00:48:32,760
Speaker 2: Overs are tough these days, but I think that's short.

1037
00:48:33,400 --> 00:48:35,560
Speaker 2: And then in La Liga, like Ryo Vakano at home

1038
00:48:35,600 --> 00:48:38,640
Speaker 2: against Sevilla plus one twenty five on Monday, talked about

1039
00:48:38,680 --> 00:48:41,200
Speaker 2: Ryo as a bye team. Bet them against at Letti.

1040
00:48:41,239 --> 00:48:44,600
Speaker 2: They've lost in stoppage time of course today, but impressive

1041
00:48:44,680 --> 00:48:47,000
Speaker 2: underline performance. Basically played to a draw at the Wanda,

1042
00:48:47,360 --> 00:48:49,719
Speaker 2: So impressive from them, and I think they're trending up.

1043
00:48:49,719 --> 00:48:52,600
Speaker 2: They're clearly better team than Sevilla. They've underperformed their extream

1044
00:48:52,600 --> 00:48:55,920
Speaker 2: more than a team. They're playing at a top five

1045
00:48:56,000 --> 00:48:58,360
Speaker 2: or six level again, even though they've lost some players,

1046
00:48:58,440 --> 00:49:00,640
Speaker 2: lost their manager, they just have a got the results.

1047
00:49:00,680 --> 00:49:03,320
Speaker 2: So I like Bakono at plus one twenty five in

1048
00:49:03,600 --> 00:49:07,359
Speaker 2: La Liga. Nothing for me in France and BJ's not here,

1049
00:49:08,440 --> 00:49:11,319
Speaker 2: but I guess we can do brief Afcon. He likes

1050
00:49:11,400 --> 00:49:17,000
Speaker 2: Japan against in their quarterfinal matchup, they've advanced. He likes

1051
00:49:17,000 --> 00:49:19,080
Speaker 2: them plus one oh five. He put that in our

1052
00:49:19,080 --> 00:49:22,680
Speaker 2: soccer discord, so definitely tune in there. They're playing Iran

1053
00:49:22,840 --> 00:49:25,120
Speaker 2: who will not have mediterranemy and they just played one

1054
00:49:25,160 --> 00:49:28,399
Speaker 2: hundred and twenty minutes today, so that's the quarterfinal for them,

1055
00:49:29,200 --> 00:49:33,000
Speaker 2: and he you know, Nigeria and Molly, the two tickets

1056
00:49:33,000 --> 00:49:34,960
Speaker 2: he gave out at the beginning of the tournament, Nigeria

1057
00:49:34,960 --> 00:49:38,080
Speaker 2: eleven to one, Molly twenty five to one. Both have

1058
00:49:38,160 --> 00:49:39,680
Speaker 2: made the quarters and they're now two of the three

1059
00:49:39,719 --> 00:49:42,040
Speaker 2: betting favorites to make it to the to win the

1060
00:49:42,080 --> 00:49:46,000
Speaker 2: whole thing, So we're riding those tickets. Nigeria plays Angola Friday.

1061
00:49:46,080 --> 00:49:49,480
Speaker 2: Molly plays Ivory Coast, the hosts who fired their manager

1062
00:49:49,520 --> 00:49:52,560
Speaker 2: and then advanced past Senegal, who were the tournament favorites

1063
00:49:53,320 --> 00:49:55,399
Speaker 2: because they got a late pen and then wanted an

1064
00:49:55,400 --> 00:49:59,719
Speaker 2: extra time. So the Beauty of afcan All eight of

1065
00:49:59,800 --> 00:50:02,640
Speaker 2: the teams that made the quarterfinals in this Afcon zero

1066
00:50:02,840 --> 00:50:05,960
Speaker 2: of them made the quarterfinals in the last Afcon. You've

1067
00:50:06,000 --> 00:50:08,399
Speaker 2: got countries that most people who listen to this show

1068
00:50:08,440 --> 00:50:10,799
Speaker 2: have probably never heard of playing in the quarterfinals, whether

1069
00:50:10,800 --> 00:50:14,799
Speaker 2: it's Angola or KP Verde or a Guinea. So it's

1070
00:50:14,840 --> 00:50:19,080
Speaker 2: been a fun, fun tournament some daytime. Action continues Friday,

1071
00:50:19,920 --> 00:50:22,279
Speaker 2: so it should be good. Also, r and Cleinsman is

1072
00:50:22,320 --> 00:50:24,720
Speaker 2: batching with South Korea and the Asian cop There continue

1073
00:50:24,719 --> 00:50:27,759
Speaker 2: to be a fade. They're getting through with the skin

1074
00:50:27,840 --> 00:50:28,320
Speaker 2: of their teeth.

1075
00:50:28,680 --> 00:50:34,440
Speaker 1: So okay, underdog parlay time. BJ likes our friends of

1076
00:50:34,520 --> 00:50:37,960
Speaker 1: the podcast or friend of the podcast, Diego Simeoni and

1077
00:50:38,080 --> 00:50:42,680
Speaker 1: Atletico Madrid to pull one over in the derby against

1078
00:50:42,719 --> 00:50:46,839
Speaker 1: Real Madrid. They are plus three eighty on the money line.

1079
00:50:47,719 --> 00:50:51,440
Speaker 1: You are going to go to af Con. We're going

1080
00:50:51,480 --> 00:50:54,560
Speaker 1: to take a little little detour here. I can't believe

1081
00:50:54,560 --> 00:50:57,279
Speaker 1: it's not glod Bach. But when I saw who the

1082
00:50:57,320 --> 00:50:59,920
Speaker 1: bet came in on, I half forgave you.

1083
00:51:00,640 --> 00:51:02,160
Speaker 2: Yeah, well, you know, gold Block. I just don't have

1084
00:51:02,160 --> 00:51:03,520
Speaker 2: a lot of faith. I don't trust the number and

1085
00:51:04,239 --> 00:51:06,240
Speaker 2: it probably you know, I will have a sprinkle on Glodboch.

1086
00:51:06,280 --> 00:51:08,200
Speaker 2: But for the parlay to have a realistic chance of

1087
00:51:08,520 --> 00:51:11,360
Speaker 2: maybe winning, let's go with Malli plus two fifty on

1088
00:51:11,480 --> 00:51:14,719
Speaker 2: the road technically at Ivory Coast. This is the quarterfinal

1089
00:51:15,080 --> 00:51:19,040
Speaker 2: of the afcan look. Malli has a ton of undervalued

1090
00:51:19,080 --> 00:51:21,520
Speaker 2: players who are kind of just like in the lower

1091
00:51:21,880 --> 00:51:24,520
Speaker 2: League one teams and kind of you know, none not

1092
00:51:24,600 --> 00:51:25,960
Speaker 2: a ton of names they're going to like jump off

1093
00:51:26,000 --> 00:51:27,480
Speaker 2: the page you and be like wow, you know that's

1094
00:51:27,520 --> 00:51:29,959
Speaker 2: a you know, really impressive, you know, top end player,

1095
00:51:30,000 --> 00:51:32,120
Speaker 2: but they're underline numbers have been really solid this tournament.

1096
00:51:32,120 --> 00:51:35,439
Speaker 2: They've been stellar defensively, They've outplayed their opponents in every

1097
00:51:35,480 --> 00:51:39,040
Speaker 2: match this tournament, and I think they're undervalued. Look Ivory Coast,

1098
00:51:39,239 --> 00:51:41,360
Speaker 2: you know, don't let one win trick you. This is

1099
00:51:41,400 --> 00:51:44,800
Speaker 2: still a team that really looked poor during out throughout

1100
00:51:44,800 --> 00:51:47,360
Speaker 2: the group stage. There was turmoil and they were on

1101
00:51:47,440 --> 00:51:49,560
Speaker 2: their way out of the tournament and getting out played

1102
00:51:50,080 --> 00:51:53,439
Speaker 2: until you know, they get a late pen at home

1103
00:51:53,600 --> 00:51:56,440
Speaker 2: and they get through against Senegal. But like they lost

1104
00:51:56,760 --> 00:51:59,200
Speaker 2: to Nigeria, they lost to Equatorial Guinea in a match

1105
00:51:59,239 --> 00:52:01,080
Speaker 2: that they were you know, even with a bad team.

1106
00:52:01,840 --> 00:52:06,160
Speaker 2: So I think they're clearly overvalued. And and I'm rolling

1107
00:52:06,200 --> 00:52:08,960
Speaker 2: with Molly on the road money line.

1108
00:52:09,080 --> 00:52:12,400
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go with Wolverhampton to pull the upset against

1109
00:52:12,719 --> 00:52:17,719
Speaker 1: Chelsea at plus four to fifty Wolves on the road here.

1110
00:52:18,120 --> 00:52:21,840
Speaker 1: And we've talked about how Chelsea can basically lose to

1111
00:52:21,920 --> 00:52:24,879
Speaker 1: any team in the Premier League, and they can also

1112
00:52:24,920 --> 00:52:26,360
Speaker 1: beat any team in the Premier League, so that that

1113
00:52:26,400 --> 00:52:28,000
Speaker 1: makes them a little vulnerable. Here here are a couple

1114
00:52:28,040 --> 00:52:30,200
Speaker 1: of teams, a couple of results that give me some

1115
00:52:30,280 --> 00:52:33,279
Speaker 1: confidence that Chelsea can drop this one. They've already lost

1116
00:52:33,320 --> 00:52:36,239
Speaker 1: the Wolves. They've lost to Everton west Ham, who we

1117
00:52:36,320 --> 00:52:38,319
Speaker 1: don't think too highly loved. They lost the Forest at

1118
00:52:38,360 --> 00:52:41,520
Speaker 1: the draw with Born Myth. It's it's they've had plenty

1119
00:52:41,560 --> 00:52:44,560
Speaker 1: of bananaskins that they've slipped on all season. So I

1120
00:52:44,719 --> 00:52:49,040
Speaker 1: like Wolves at better than plus four hundred plus four

1121
00:52:49,080 --> 00:52:51,840
Speaker 1: to fifty to get it done Molly at Lettico Madrid

1122
00:52:52,040 --> 00:52:54,960
Speaker 1: and Wolves that pays out ninety one to one. If

1123
00:52:55,000 --> 00:52:58,000
Speaker 1: you want to throw in cloud Bach, you'd get two

1124
00:52:58,080 --> 00:53:01,319
Speaker 1: hundred and ninety three to one. All right, best bets

1125
00:53:01,400 --> 00:53:04,320
Speaker 1: in the Premier League now. Bj has given us his

1126
00:53:04,880 --> 00:53:07,880
Speaker 1: h his favorite play, which is Newcastle and Newton to

1127
00:53:07,960 --> 00:53:11,760
Speaker 1: go over three at minus one oh five. My favorite

1128
00:53:11,800 --> 00:53:14,600
Speaker 1: bet is a play on nodding of force in a

1129
00:53:14,760 --> 00:53:17,799
Speaker 1: cell high spot against Bourne Myth bournmous minus one thirty

1130
00:53:17,800 --> 00:53:21,799
Speaker 1: four at home. I think that the the Bournemouth kind

1131
00:53:21,840 --> 00:53:24,839
Speaker 1: of hype that you were kind of leading the charge

1132
00:53:24,880 --> 00:53:27,880
Speaker 1: on and even when they were in the dumps was

1133
00:53:28,640 --> 00:53:30,680
Speaker 1: is well earned and well deserved. And this team is

1134
00:53:31,360 --> 00:53:34,160
Speaker 1: much better than most people thought they would be. But

1135
00:53:34,320 --> 00:53:36,759
Speaker 1: at some point these defensive numbers ship come down a bit,

1136
00:53:36,840 --> 00:53:39,160
Speaker 1: and I think Forrest is trending up in the right

1137
00:53:39,239 --> 00:53:42,360
Speaker 1: direction under Nuno for now, and there are there is

1138
00:53:42,400 --> 00:53:44,600
Speaker 1: some talent in their ranks. So I just don't think

1139
00:53:44,640 --> 00:53:46,680
Speaker 1: the gap between these two teams is as wide as

1140
00:53:46,719 --> 00:53:49,839
Speaker 1: these odds say. And I think Forest for the time

1141
00:53:49,880 --> 00:53:52,640
Speaker 1: being is a play on team and Bournemouth is a

1142
00:53:52,800 --> 00:53:56,480
Speaker 1: little too expensive in the market. Anthony, you can take

1143
00:53:56,520 --> 00:53:57,319
Speaker 1: us home with your favorite bet.

1144
00:53:57,400 --> 00:53:58,919
Speaker 2: Ye, I'm gonna go to the big game. Liverpool Arsenal

1145
00:53:59,040 --> 00:54:01,480
Speaker 2: under three minus one twe twenty five. I really think that,

1146
00:54:01,680 --> 00:54:03,480
Speaker 2: you know, as much as Arsenal failed to control the

1147
00:54:03,520 --> 00:54:05,400
Speaker 2: game and really slow it down to their pace in

1148
00:54:05,440 --> 00:54:07,520
Speaker 2: the first meeting at Liverpool, I think they'll be able

1149
00:54:07,520 --> 00:54:09,040
Speaker 2: to do a better job of that on home soil.

1150
00:54:09,640 --> 00:54:11,439
Speaker 2: I think they'll play this game at their own pace

1151
00:54:11,440 --> 00:54:13,600
Speaker 2: and it'll be a very kind of low event, grinded

1152
00:54:13,640 --> 00:54:15,920
Speaker 2: out kind of game. With all four center backs healthy,

1153
00:54:16,440 --> 00:54:18,760
Speaker 2: these are two of the four best defenses in the league,

1154
00:54:18,800 --> 00:54:22,040
Speaker 2: maybe three even. I think Liverpool's defense has kind of

1155
00:54:22,560 --> 00:54:24,840
Speaker 2: got weird numbers this year because they played so many minutes,

1156
00:54:24,880 --> 00:54:28,320
Speaker 2: with varying game states and various injuries and whatnot. But

1157
00:54:28,400 --> 00:54:30,160
Speaker 2: they're going to have Knat and Van Dykin there, and

1158
00:54:30,200 --> 00:54:33,880
Speaker 2: I think without solid and potentially without Alexander Arnold, like

1159
00:54:34,120 --> 00:54:36,160
Speaker 2: it's just our WIZI right now, and he's been amazing.

1160
00:54:36,680 --> 00:54:39,600
Speaker 2: But this is the best defense in Europe in Arsenal,

1161
00:54:39,640 --> 00:54:41,080
Speaker 2: and I think it's going to be a little bent match,

1162
00:54:41,160 --> 00:54:43,640
Speaker 2: so I think it's like a one to one game,

1163
00:54:43,719 --> 00:54:45,520
Speaker 2: like under three minus one twenty five.

1164
00:54:45,960 --> 00:54:49,160
Speaker 1: All right, perfect, That does it for us this week

1165
00:54:49,360 --> 00:54:52,600
Speaker 1: on One Orgo. We'll be back next week to go

1166
00:54:52,760 --> 00:54:55,759
Speaker 1: over more Premier League and European action. Be sure to

1167
00:54:55,800 --> 00:54:58,839
Speaker 1: follow Anthony bj myself in the Action app. Sure to rate,

1168
00:54:58,880 --> 00:55:02,520
Speaker 1: review and subscribe on wherever you listen to these podcasts.

1169
00:55:02,640 --> 00:55:04,960
Speaker 1: Thank you to our producer Noah. Thank you to our

1170
00:55:05,000 --> 00:55:08,240
Speaker 1: sponsors bet three six five. Best of luck to everybody

1171
00:55:08,320 --> 00:55:09,719
Speaker 1: with all your bets, especially if you're going to be

1172
00:55:09,800 --> 00:55:13,640
Speaker 1: riding with Anthony and myself on Gladbach against Bayern Munich.

1173
00:55:21,800 --> 00:55:26,279
Speaker 2: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

1174
00:55:26,320 --> 00:55:29,120
Speaker 2: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is

1175
00:55:29,120 --> 00:55:32,200
Speaker 2: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred Gambler