WEBVTT - NFL Week 15 Predictions: Chargers-Chiefs, Bills-Patriots, Packers-Broncos, Lions-Rams | Nick Wright 0:00:01.920 --> 0:00:05.200 Welcome in What's Driving Nick Right? Episode four oh three, 0:00:05.480 --> 0:00:10.200 our red hot gambling show. All year long, we have 0:00:10.360 --> 0:00:14.480 said the Gambling Show would turn things around, right when 0:00:14.480 --> 0:00:17.240 the Chiefs did. Turns out, the Gambling Show turned things 0:00:17.239 --> 0:00:20.720 around and the Chiefs have not. But such is life. 0:00:21.000 --> 0:00:24.279 And here's the deal. This episode of what Nick Wright 0:00:24.360 --> 0:00:27.280 is brought to you by boost Mobile. Reminder to everybody 0:00:27.400 --> 0:00:29.800 like rate subscribe review it helps us out a lot. 0:00:29.840 --> 0:00:34.520 And reminder also, all lines are from hard rock bet 0:00:34.560 --> 0:00:39.519 all right. Last week demonse just three and two, but 0:00:39.800 --> 0:00:42.800 such a sturdy three and two that could have so 0:00:42.920 --> 0:00:46.120 easily been four and one. I feel great about it. 0:00:46.159 --> 0:00:48.559 So if we show you the picks. Last week, we 0:00:48.600 --> 0:00:52.559 had Jacksonville getting two against Indy. They won by three scores. 0:00:52.800 --> 0:00:56.760 We had Pittsburgh getting six against Baltimore, they won the 0:00:56.800 --> 0:01:00.360 game outright. We had Seattle laying seven out of Atlanta, 0:01:00.640 --> 0:01:03.800 they won by one hundred. Now we had one of 0:01:03.800 --> 0:01:06.200 the worst picks of the year, Washington getting two at 0:01:06.200 --> 0:01:09.319 Minnesota and they got shut out, and really the whole 0:01:09.319 --> 0:01:12.360 thing was a total embarrassment, but still just a loss. 0:01:12.680 --> 0:01:17.040 And then Philly minus three at the Chargers. I'm still 0:01:17.080 --> 0:01:20.640 a little bitter about it, A little bitter about it. 0:01:20.720 --> 0:01:23.959 I was about to say that they never really looked 0:01:24.000 --> 0:01:25.800 good to cover that game. I get they had the 0:01:25.840 --> 0:01:27.399 lead and stuff, but it was just like. 0:01:27.760 --> 0:01:30.440 No, you're you're right, but it looked like I was 0:01:30.480 --> 0:01:31.800 gonna steal one at the end. 0:01:32.080 --> 0:01:33.039 Yeah, when they have. 0:01:33.120 --> 0:01:36.760 Person ten from the seventeen in overtime score a touchdown 0:01:36.800 --> 0:01:39.400 to cover. But that's three and two, which puts us 0:01:39.480 --> 0:01:44.800 on the year thirty five thirty three and two, which 0:01:44.880 --> 0:01:52.600 is fifty one point four percent winning, but not yet profitable. 0:01:53.400 --> 0:01:57.200 But this week I do some quick math real here, 0:01:57.560 --> 0:02:00.840 I'll call out the calculator for this one to see 0:02:00.960 --> 0:02:05.120 if we go four and one this week, demonse, and 0:02:05.160 --> 0:02:10.200 we're thirty nine and thirty four and two and the 0:02:10.240 --> 0:02:14.680 two pushes don't matter, that would put us into profitability. 0:02:15.360 --> 0:02:19.919 Four and one would put us into profitability for the year. 0:02:20.520 --> 0:02:22.640 We are very proud of the fact that four of 0:02:22.680 --> 0:02:26.000 the five years we've publicly done picks, we not only 0:02:26.040 --> 0:02:29.959 were winners, we were profitable, including the big We want 0:02:30.000 --> 0:02:33.240 to keep that going. We have a big week in 0:02:33.280 --> 0:02:37.200 front of us with some massive point spreads, a lot 0:02:37.200 --> 0:02:40.160 of huge favorites this weekend, so we'll get to that 0:02:40.240 --> 0:02:42.520 in just a moment. First, I had to remind you 0:02:42.560 --> 0:02:44.880 today's show is brought to you by our presenting sponsor, 0:02:45.000 --> 0:02:49.000 hard Rock Bet. The holidays are here, and the sports 0:02:49.040 --> 0:02:53.119 schedule is packed tighter than Santa's gift bag. Pro Football 0:02:53.160 --> 0:02:56.720 Bowl games, NBA college hoops, hockey, whole sports lay is loaded, 0:02:56.720 --> 0:02:59.640 and on hard rock Bet, there's always something to unwrap 0:02:59.760 --> 0:03:02.560 and bet on. New customers can sign up and bet 0:03:02.600 --> 0:03:04.919 five dollars on any game if it wins, you'll find 0:03:04.919 --> 0:03:07.560 one hundred and fifty dollars in bonus bets on top 0:03:07.600 --> 0:03:11.600 of your winnings stuffed in your stocking. 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If you are someone you know as a 0:04:23.080 --> 0:04:25.800 gambling problem wants help, call one eight hundred and nine 0:04:25.839 --> 0:04:30.600 with it. Gambling problem Call one eight hundred gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, 0:04:30.600 --> 0:04:34.520 New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, or Virginia. There are no byes, 0:04:35.360 --> 0:04:39.880 so there are sixteen games this weekend. We are obviously 0:04:39.920 --> 0:04:44.000 not going to be discussing Bucks Falcons which is tonight, 0:04:44.160 --> 0:04:46.719 but you guys will be hearing this tomorrow. I'm just 0:04:46.760 --> 0:04:49.200 going on the record. I think the Bucks are going 0:04:49.240 --> 0:04:51.680 to win and cover, but that is of course not 0:04:51.760 --> 0:04:53.880 one of our picks. I'm just letting you guys know 0:04:54.200 --> 0:04:56.440 that is what I think is going to happen in 0:04:56.480 --> 0:04:58.360 a game that by the time you hear or see 0:04:58.360 --> 0:05:00.840 this has already taken place, you can see if I'm 0:05:00.880 --> 0:05:03.080 right or wrong. All right, demanse, what are we staying 0:05:03.120 --> 0:05:03.840 away from? 0:05:04.040 --> 0:05:07.000 Uh? First off, we're staying away from Chargers at Kansas City. 0:05:07.040 --> 0:05:09.160 With Kansas City being five and a half point favorites. 0:05:09.600 --> 0:05:10.880 Are we staying away from this one? 0:05:13.520 --> 0:05:20.719 I mean, I'm obviously not betting against the Chiefs, but 0:05:20.880 --> 0:05:24.760 five and a half is an outrageous one, like the 0:05:24.880 --> 0:05:27.760 Chiefs have not earned the right and it's four and 0:05:27.800 --> 0:05:29.240 a half in some point, it's five and a half 0:05:29.279 --> 0:05:34.080 here that the Chiefs have not earned the right to 0:05:34.240 --> 0:05:37.760 be five and a half point favorites against a nine 0:05:37.800 --> 0:05:42.919 and four Charger. I mean, this is Vegas. Vegas is 0:05:42.920 --> 0:05:47.080 having a harder time coming to the realization of where 0:05:47.080 --> 0:05:49.920 the Chiefs are right now than I am. So I 0:05:49.960 --> 0:05:52.440 ain't the sharp side of this is the Chargers, but 0:05:52.600 --> 0:05:55.200 I would never so I'm just staying away. 0:05:55.360 --> 0:05:58.640 Next next to go Washington at the Giants. Giants two 0:05:58.680 --> 0:05:59.719 and a half point favorites. 0:06:02.080 --> 0:06:08.120 Yeah, I mean, just an ugly game with a rookie 0:06:08.200 --> 0:06:13.680 quarterback against a backup quarterback. Washington showed real fight against 0:06:13.920 --> 0:06:18.000 the Broncos, and then none whatsoever last week when I 0:06:18.040 --> 0:06:22.240 thought they would pardon me against Minnesota. The Giants, though 0:06:22.279 --> 0:06:26.560 also a weird season, keeps getting weirder. They just fired 0:06:27.520 --> 0:06:31.640 one of their assistant coaches because of a dispute overseating 0:06:31.680 --> 0:06:38.880 on the team plane, which means, yeah, the reporting is 0:06:38.920 --> 0:06:41.640 like he was pissed about where like I. It just 0:06:42.080 --> 0:06:45.719 this is two bad teams, two teams looking for next 0:06:45.760 --> 0:06:48.840 season to one team that's fired their coach, another team 0:06:48.880 --> 0:06:51.880 that feels terrible about where they're at. In Washington, We're 0:06:51.920 --> 0:06:53.680 staying away next. 0:06:53.720 --> 0:06:57.640 Cleveland at Chicago. Chicago seven and a half way favorites. 0:06:58.920 --> 0:07:03.680 I looked long and hard at Chicago, uh, because I 0:07:03.880 --> 0:07:09.840 do not think Shadoor is going to have back to 0:07:09.920 --> 0:07:13.040 back excellent games. And that's not a knock on Shador. 0:07:13.400 --> 0:07:18.440 I'm not the I just think, even if the the 0:07:20.440 --> 0:07:24.080 he is on the right trajectory, which he pretty clearly is, 0:07:24.400 --> 0:07:27.360 and even if that game last week was awesome, which 0:07:27.400 --> 0:07:31.720 it pretty clearly was. Asking any rookie quarterback to string 0:07:31.840 --> 0:07:36.960 together consecutive good games, particularly this one coming against a 0:07:37.160 --> 0:07:44.240 desperate Chicago team, is really dangerous. With that said, Chicago's 0:07:44.360 --> 0:07:49.000 offense has not been quite consistent enough for me to 0:07:49.000 --> 0:07:53.080 feel comfortable laying seven and a half against Cleveland. As 0:07:53.080 --> 0:07:55.480 good as the running game's been, Caleb's been hit and 0:07:55.600 --> 0:08:01.440 miss and Chicago's defense has lived and died by forcing turnovers. 0:08:01.680 --> 0:08:05.880 So maybe Shador can you know, there's some backdoor cover potential. 0:08:05.960 --> 0:08:08.480 Like last week, they're down fourteen with three minutes left, 0:08:08.560 --> 0:08:13.120 Sharudor led two awesome late drives. But so I'm just 0:08:13.160 --> 0:08:16.360 I'm just staying away. I'm just staying away. Also, we're 0:08:16.360 --> 0:08:18.840 gonna talk about it more on the show today. Bruce's 0:08:19.000 --> 0:08:22.920 take yesterday that he just fully believes Shador is going 0:08:22.960 --> 0:08:26.440 to outplay Caleb, I thought was one of the wildest 0:08:26.440 --> 0:08:30.360 sports takes of the week, and Brew didn't even think 0:08:30.360 --> 0:08:33.600 it was like a controversial opinion. I am again, I'm 0:08:33.679 --> 0:08:36.400 happy Shador had that game, and we talked about it 0:08:36.440 --> 0:08:39.880 a lot on Tuesday. I don't think all of a sudden, 0:08:39.920 --> 0:08:45.520 it's like, Okay, well, Sharro Xanders established quality NFL quarterback, 0:08:45.600 --> 0:08:48.880 Like he is still at a point where him playing well, 0:08:48.960 --> 0:08:52.679 should be surprising the way it is for any rookie quarterback, 0:08:53.120 --> 0:08:55.760 much less a fifth round rookie making his fourth or 0:08:55.800 --> 0:08:59.600 fifth career start. All right, do you do you want 0:08:59.600 --> 0:09:01.000 to say something there? Yeah? 0:09:01.080 --> 0:09:02.680 No, I mean, he did just have a he just 0:09:02.720 --> 0:09:04.840 had a good game. And if they do have something there, 0:09:04.880 --> 0:09:07.320 then maybe he does have another good game. And it's 0:09:07.400 --> 0:09:09.800 not wise to take Chicago minus seven and a half. 0:09:10.840 --> 0:09:13.000 Yeah, okay, yeah, fair enough? All right. 0:09:13.040 --> 0:09:16.120 Next, next, you got Arizona at Houston. Houston's nine and 0:09:16.120 --> 0:09:17.040 a half pint favorites. 0:09:18.679 --> 0:09:21.680 I had Arizona plus nine and a half in the 0:09:21.720 --> 0:09:24.640 picks initially, and I took him out. And the reason 0:09:24.679 --> 0:09:27.440 I had him in was because Houston's offense is just 0:09:27.720 --> 0:09:36.560 so oh unreliable. I'll say that laying ten points with 0:09:36.720 --> 0:09:44.120 them feels ambitious. Yeah, but Arizona, when Arizona has Arizona 0:09:44.120 --> 0:09:50.040 at the beginning of the year, when they lost these heartbreakers. 0:09:50.480 --> 0:09:53.200 So Arizona lost to the Niners by one, to the 0:09:53.240 --> 0:09:56.760 Seahawks by three, to the Titans in that outrageous game, 0:09:57.360 --> 0:10:01.800 by one, the call by four, the Packers by four. 0:10:02.679 --> 0:10:09.000 They they were losing heartbreakers. Since then, they lost to 0:10:09.040 --> 0:10:13.079 the Seahawks by twenty two, to the Niners by nineteen, 0:10:13.640 --> 0:10:18.600 to the Rams by twenty eight. What's that number? Twenty eight? Now? 0:10:18.640 --> 0:10:21.320 They also did have close games against the Jags and Bucks, 0:10:21.320 --> 0:10:24.400 but they were losses. I worry the Cardinals have just 0:10:24.480 --> 0:10:28.400 packed it in. So I liked the Cardinals plus nine 0:10:28.440 --> 0:10:30.839 and a half, but the fact that they all of 0:10:30.880 --> 0:10:33.360 a sudden are getting blown out and Houston Stevens is 0:10:33.360 --> 0:10:36.040 playing that well and CJ I thought was good in 0:10:36.120 --> 0:10:38.600 the first half against the Chiefs, I'm gonna stay away 0:10:38.600 --> 0:10:38.960 from it. 0:10:39.280 --> 0:10:43.120 Next next to got Jets aid Jags. Jags are thirteen 0:10:43.240 --> 0:10:44.079 point favorites. 0:10:47.640 --> 0:10:52.720 Excuse me, sorry, guys, took a lot of self control 0:10:52.840 --> 0:10:59.960 to not bet the Jags. I mean, right, but it's 0:11:00.160 --> 0:11:05.000 such a big number and could be a little inclement weather, 0:11:06.320 --> 0:11:08.920 a little rain, not not. It's Jacksonville, so not a 0:11:08.960 --> 0:11:11.760 lot of cold. That worries me a bit. The Jets 0:11:11.800 --> 0:11:15.400 quarterback situation is such a mess that I really thought 0:11:15.440 --> 0:11:21.000 about laying the thirteen with Jacksonville. But that is thirteen 0:11:23.760 --> 0:11:27.560 Fields is Fields is hurt. No, Fields is hurt, and 0:11:27.640 --> 0:11:31.920 benched Tyrod got hurt. Brady Cook. No, it's not the 0:11:31.960 --> 0:11:33.760 worst in the league. We'll get to the worst in 0:11:33.800 --> 0:11:36.559 the league shortly. Thirteen is just too many points to 0:11:36.640 --> 0:11:38.240 lay with Jacksonville. I'm staying away. 0:11:38.320 --> 0:11:41.080 Next green Bay at Denver, Denver's two and a half 0:11:41.120 --> 0:11:41.760 way dogs. 0:11:42.600 --> 0:11:45.600 This is a great game and one we haven't talked about. 0:11:45.840 --> 0:11:47.640 This is one of the best games of the weekend. 0:11:48.120 --> 0:11:51.640 Huge for both teams. Green Bay trying to stay alive 0:11:51.720 --> 0:11:54.440 for the one seed, Denver trying to keep control of 0:11:54.480 --> 0:11:58.839 the one seed. A little insulting to the Broncos where 0:11:59.360 --> 0:12:02.679 they're getting nearly a field goal at home. But I 0:12:02.760 --> 0:12:06.680 also think this is a green Bay win by a 0:12:06.720 --> 0:12:11.760 field goal game. But Denver, I've lost, you know. Betting 0:12:11.800 --> 0:12:15.040 on the Chiefs and betting against the Broncos is what's 0:12:15.080 --> 0:12:17.959 cost me more than anything so far this year. I'm 0:12:18.000 --> 0:12:21.040 staying away from it because I was leaning green Bay. 0:12:21.120 --> 0:12:23.760 I think the sharp side would be Denver getting points 0:12:23.800 --> 0:12:25.800 at home on a ten game winning streak. 0:12:25.840 --> 0:12:29.760 Next Lions at Rams. Rams are six point favorites. 0:12:30.720 --> 0:12:32.880 If I was gonna bet this game, demande. I bet 0:12:32.920 --> 0:12:35.080 the Rams because I'm very confident in the Rams are 0:12:35.120 --> 0:12:40.960 going to win. But Detroit and Dan Campbell have had 0:12:41.000 --> 0:12:44.360 a lot of success against the Rams, and though they've 0:12:44.360 --> 0:12:47.720 been come down to the wire games, so that's a 0:12:47.800 --> 0:12:52.000 mark in favor of taking Detroit plus the six. But 0:12:52.559 --> 0:12:57.160 I think this is probably a Rams twenty eight to 0:12:57.280 --> 0:13:00.600 twenty four win. But it's a stay away because I 0:13:00.679 --> 0:13:02.720 like the Rams. I don't want to lay the points. 0:13:03.000 --> 0:13:05.480 I don't love betting underdogs if I don't think they 0:13:05.480 --> 0:13:08.079 can win outright unless they're getting more than a touchdown. 0:13:08.360 --> 0:13:09.319 So I'm staying away. 0:13:09.360 --> 0:13:12.679 Next here, Carolina at New Orleans New Orleans two and 0:13:12.679 --> 0:13:13.520 a half point dogs. 0:13:15.400 --> 0:13:19.479 New Orleans was good last week against the Bucks. Carolina 0:13:19.559 --> 0:13:25.360 has not been a great road team, so I thought 0:13:25.520 --> 0:13:28.160 long and hard about New Orleans plus the two and 0:13:28.240 --> 0:13:33.680 a half and then and I probably shouldn't do this 0:13:34.280 --> 0:13:37.320 because I'm really I am trying to just pick the 0:13:37.360 --> 0:13:41.560 best bets. But if I have six bets, I like 0:13:42.520 --> 0:13:46.679 tie sometimes goes to game I want or don't want 0:13:46.720 --> 0:13:49.400 to watch, and I don't really want to have a 0:13:49.480 --> 0:13:52.480 vested interest in Carolina New Orleans. Too many other good 0:13:52.480 --> 0:13:56.640 games this weekend, but the side I'm leaning is New 0:13:56.720 --> 0:13:58.040 Orleans plus two and a half. 0:13:58.240 --> 0:14:05.920 Next, all right, Minnesota at Dallas Dallas six point favorites, So. 0:14:08.760 --> 0:14:13.960 I like Dallas here. I got burned though last week 0:14:14.320 --> 0:14:21.320 by thinking Minnesota was dead, and so I'm just staying away. 0:14:21.960 --> 0:14:25.960 But I think this is another one. There were four 0:14:26.000 --> 0:14:30.960 games this week, Demonse that I really considered as my 0:14:31.200 --> 0:14:36.240 final game. Arizona plus nine and a half, New Orleans 0:14:36.280 --> 0:14:41.480 plus two and a half, Dallas minus six. I thought 0:14:41.520 --> 0:14:44.200 long and hard about. I think Dallas wins. Oh in 0:14:44.240 --> 0:14:46.720 the Rams minus six, but it was two of them. 0:14:46.920 --> 0:14:48.600 Like man, I think they win. I don't know if 0:14:48.600 --> 0:14:50.800 they win by margin. I'm staying away from it, but 0:14:50.880 --> 0:14:54.040 I would be shocked if Minnesota wins this game. 0:14:54.240 --> 0:14:57.880 Next Yeah, Miami at Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh's three and a half 0:14:57.880 --> 0:14:58.560 point favorites. 0:15:00.560 --> 0:15:02.760 I understand they just beat the Jets and they're on 0:15:02.800 --> 0:15:05.960 a nice little winning streak. Tough to rely on tuh 0:15:06.200 --> 0:15:09.640 in the cold. Also, don't love laying more than a 0:15:09.640 --> 0:15:15.120 field goal. Ever with Pittsburgh a true definitional stay away. Reminder, everybody, 0:15:15.200 --> 0:15:17.560 all our lines are from hard rock bets, so that 0:15:17.640 --> 0:15:21.240 gets us through. All of our game are all of 0:15:21.240 --> 0:15:24.760 our stayaways. Let's go to our five actual picks. 0:15:24.840 --> 0:15:26.840 All right? First off, in the Drake and Josh Bull, 0:15:27.360 --> 0:15:30.160 we got Buffalo minus one. At New England. 0:15:31.080 --> 0:15:34.680 Yeah, so I understand that this is a is that 0:15:34.720 --> 0:15:35.640 a Drake and Josh. 0:15:35.680 --> 0:15:37.600 It's a Drake and Josh Bull to shoot the Treos 0:15:37.600 --> 0:15:39.920 episode Drake side there. 0:15:40.840 --> 0:15:47.240 Wow, great great knowledge the it's gread, reason to watch 0:15:47.240 --> 0:15:51.520 on YouTube. Listen. I understand rabel Off a Bye has 0:15:51.560 --> 0:15:54.240 been really, really good. I don't really look at this 0:15:54.280 --> 0:15:58.920 as betting a divisional road favorite because this is a 0:15:58.960 --> 0:16:03.360 pick them think minus one's to pick them, essentially, and 0:16:03.400 --> 0:16:06.040 this line's been bouncing back and forth from minus one 0:16:06.120 --> 0:16:09.160 plus one depending on the day and depending on the book. 0:16:10.720 --> 0:16:13.800 I just think Buffalo is better. Right, let me rephrase it. 0:16:14.000 --> 0:16:16.480 I don't know that I think Buffalo is better, but 0:16:16.560 --> 0:16:19.680 I think Buffalo. I think it's close enough that the 0:16:19.720 --> 0:16:23.800 fact that Buffalo desperately needs this game to stay or 0:16:23.840 --> 0:16:27.160 else they're eliminated from the division that Buffalo I think 0:16:27.640 --> 0:16:30.720 understands the opportunity in front of them with the Ravens 0:16:30.800 --> 0:16:34.200 and Chiefs and Bengals in such disarray, and I think 0:16:34.240 --> 0:16:37.440 that Buffalo is going to be able to run the 0:16:37.480 --> 0:16:41.320 ball on New England, and where Buffalo's biggest weakness is 0:16:41.400 --> 0:16:46.480 running run defense New England. The only thing New England 0:16:46.960 --> 0:16:49.760 doesn't do really well on either side of the ball 0:16:49.840 --> 0:16:52.480 is run the ball. So I will take the Bills 0:16:52.880 --> 0:16:56.080 to win the game. Bills minus one in New England. 0:16:56.320 --> 0:17:00.760 Next Seattle minus thirteen and a half versus Indy. 0:17:02.920 --> 0:17:06.080 The Colts might be playing Philip Rivers in twenty twenty 0:17:06.080 --> 0:17:11.840 five as their starting quarterback against this Mike McDonald ferocious defense. 0:17:12.920 --> 0:17:15.719 All lay the two touchdowns and deal with it. 0:17:16.520 --> 0:17:20.359 Have we learned nothing from Joe Flacco? Have we learned nothing? 0:17:21.160 --> 0:17:28.120 Flacco was an active player. Bro that Philip Demonse Philip Rivers, 0:17:28.160 --> 0:17:29.080 who was the last time. 0:17:28.960 --> 0:17:31.719 Flacco had played, though since then, like when the Browns 0:17:31.720 --> 0:17:34.119 called him up, it was like three years ago or 0:17:34.119 --> 0:17:36.520 something like that, Like I can't remember if I go playing. 0:17:36.280 --> 0:17:41.840 Reasons, I don't let me hold on, let me look Flacco. No, 0:17:42.080 --> 0:17:47.399 Flacco never demands, he would never stopped being on rosters. 0:17:47.880 --> 0:17:51.760 So Flacco hadn't been a full time starter since like 0:17:51.880 --> 0:17:56.080 twenty nineteen. But in twenty twenty he started four games 0:17:56.080 --> 0:17:59.040 for the Jets. In twenty twenty one, he started one 0:17:59.080 --> 0:18:02.760 game for the Jets. In twenty twenty two, he started 0:18:02.800 --> 0:18:05.840 four games for the Jets, and then in twenty twenty three. 0:18:05.880 --> 0:18:09.440 He started five games for the Browns. So here you 0:18:09.560 --> 0:18:12.359 understand what I mean. Like, yeah, even if he hadn't 0:18:12.359 --> 0:18:14.359 been on a roster that year, he had played the 0:18:14.359 --> 0:18:19.920 previous year. Philip Rivers last game Demons and last day 0:18:19.920 --> 0:18:27.920 on an NFL roster was three weeks before Tom Brady 0:18:28.080 --> 0:18:31.920 won the Super Bowl with the Bucks. Think about that. 0:18:32.960 --> 0:18:37.040 Philip Rivers last game played was three weeks before the 0:18:37.200 --> 0:18:43.520 Chiefs Bucks Super Bowl. Like that is, so I just 0:18:43.800 --> 0:18:50.040 lay the two touchdowns. Also, nobody loves being an a regional. 0:18:50.200 --> 0:18:52.760 No one's going to watch it window as a big 0:18:52.800 --> 0:18:56.600 favorite like Sam Darnold. Donald is eleven to zero as 0:18:56.640 --> 0:18:59.520 a seven plus point favorite. Now that's straight up obviously, 0:18:59.760 --> 0:19:03.400 But nine and two against the spread. I've been riding Seattle. 0:19:03.480 --> 0:19:04.800 I'll keep riding them next. 0:19:05.119 --> 0:19:07.919 Oh, you got Vegas plus eleven and a half at Philly. 0:19:09.400 --> 0:19:13.760 So here's the deal on that. Vegas is terrible. Everybody 0:19:13.800 --> 0:19:16.240 knows it. Everybody knew it before the year except for me. 0:19:16.800 --> 0:19:22.440 Hand up that that was as bad as it gets. 0:19:23.720 --> 0:19:26.560 I can't trust Phillies offense right now to win by 0:19:26.600 --> 0:19:32.920 two scores, and Vegas showed us this past week they 0:19:33.000 --> 0:19:36.720 will fight for a backdoor cover up to an including 0:19:36.840 --> 0:19:40.000 kicking a field goal with one second left down ten, 0:19:40.560 --> 0:19:50.760 and I'm getting eleven and a half. And I teams 0:19:51.400 --> 0:19:55.440 that played an overtime game the previous week against a 0:19:55.520 --> 0:20:00.679 team that didn't are twenty four and forty nine against 0:20:00.760 --> 0:20:04.640 the spread in the last seventy or so. You then 0:20:04.680 --> 0:20:09.560 add to it it was an overtime Monday night game 0:20:09.960 --> 0:20:14.120 for Philadelphia. I'll take my eleven and a half points 0:20:14.560 --> 0:20:15.640 with the Raiders next. 0:20:15.720 --> 0:20:20.560 Now San Francisco minus twelve and a half for his Tennessee. Yeah, 0:20:20.560 --> 0:20:23.560 this is probably one of the crazier betting weeks I've 0:20:23.600 --> 0:20:24.199 seen from you. 0:20:24.600 --> 0:20:31.120 Yeah favorites, Yeah, it's like college football. But here's the deal. 0:20:31.960 --> 0:20:35.760 The Titans got their win of the you know, of 0:20:35.800 --> 0:20:43.840 the month last week, and Big Bob Sala against rookie 0:20:43.960 --> 0:20:48.040 cam Ward. I'll lay the twelve and a half. I 0:20:48.200 --> 0:20:53.399 think that the Niners need. Can the Niners get to 0:20:55.240 --> 0:20:59.119 If they can get to twenty four, I feel like 0:20:59.160 --> 0:21:02.359 I'm guarantee heed to cover. I do not think that 0:21:02.480 --> 0:21:05.760 Titans can get to thirteen points against this Niners defense. 0:21:06.440 --> 0:21:13.600 And the flip side who it is if Kevin Stefanski 0:21:13.720 --> 0:21:18.719 and Shador Sanders can rack up four hundred yards of 0:21:18.720 --> 0:21:23.719 offense essentially against this Titans defense. What is Kyle Shanahan 0:21:24.160 --> 0:21:27.119 and that and Christian McCaffrey and Purty and Kittle and 0:21:27.200 --> 0:21:30.320 that Niners team gonna do off a by no less 0:21:31.040 --> 0:21:34.680 all lay the twelve and a half with San Francisco 0:21:35.080 --> 0:21:36.920 and then finally one small. 0:21:36.600 --> 0:21:40.720 Spread Cincinnati plus two and a half versus Baltimore. 0:21:42.720 --> 0:21:43.400 Yeah, I. 0:21:45.640 --> 0:21:46.240 It's fair. 0:21:46.400 --> 0:21:49.800 I think Lamar's over it in Baltimore not being a raven, 0:21:50.160 --> 0:21:54.480 but this regime. And I think Joe Burrow, while he's 0:21:54.480 --> 0:22:00.440 talking about being sad, does understand. Yes, that's true, that 0:22:00.560 --> 0:22:04.560 is true. But Joe Burrow also understands I think he 0:22:04.680 --> 0:22:07.560 cost him that game against the Bills. He was great 0:22:08.160 --> 0:22:11.400 and then those back to back picks just killed them. 0:22:11.800 --> 0:22:15.879 And so I think you're gonna get a and since 0:22:15.920 --> 0:22:18.320 the offense that is able to move the ball, I 0:22:18.440 --> 0:22:21.440 don't love that. I assume t Higgins is gonna miss 0:22:21.440 --> 0:22:24.719 the game. But Baltimore right now is just not to 0:22:24.760 --> 0:22:28.840 be trusted. And the other thing is this, I'm getting 0:22:28.920 --> 0:22:33.080 two and a half points at home in a divisional 0:22:33.160 --> 0:22:37.040 game with Burrow playing, I'll take it. So my five 0:22:37.200 --> 0:22:41.680 picks this week are Buffalo laying one at New England, 0:22:42.040 --> 0:22:45.399 Seattle laying thirteen and a half against Indy at home, 0:22:45.920 --> 0:22:49.520 the Raiders getting ten and a half at Philadelphia, the 0:22:49.640 --> 0:22:52.680 Niners laying twelve and a half at home against Tennessee, 0:22:53.080 --> 0:22:57.040 and Cincinnati getting two and a half against Baltimore. Before 0:22:57.119 --> 0:23:00.879 we get to Demons's red hot teasers, you ever notice 0:23:00.880 --> 0:23:03.679 how everything keeps going up? Rents going up, streaming service 0:23:03.760 --> 0:23:06.919 is going up. Your favorite burrito spot suddenly thinks sulza 0:23:07.000 --> 0:23:10.159 should cost extra. But with boost Mobile, you and your 0:23:10.200 --> 0:23:12.760 phone bill don't have to play though? Will this go 0:23:12.920 --> 0:23:15.840 up soon? Game? Why? Because boost Mobile is and a 0:23:15.880 --> 0:23:18.280 limited talk, text, and data plan at a price that 0:23:18.400 --> 0:23:21.200 will never go up. In fact, it's the same price 0:23:21.280 --> 0:23:24.920 you'll pay for life. So switch now for unlimited wireless 0:23:24.960 --> 0:23:27.200 at a price that will never go up. Only at 0:23:27.240 --> 0:23:31.040 boost Mobile. After thirty gigs, customers may experience lower speeds. 0:23:31.200 --> 0:23:33.560 Customers will pay twenty dollars per month as long as 0:23:33.560 --> 0:23:37.880 they remain active on the boost Unlimited plan. All right, Demons, 0:23:38.560 --> 0:23:41.520 you went big game hunting last week. Instead of a 0:23:41.560 --> 0:23:44.719 three teamer, you went with a four teamer. How to do? 0:23:45.520 --> 0:23:49.480 Uh? So? Yeah, Jacks covered, Jacks plus ten that covered 0:23:49.680 --> 0:23:55.160 very well, Seattle plus one cover, Pittsburgh plus fourteen covered crazy, 0:23:55.480 --> 0:23:58.240 and then Cleveland plus four by the skin of my teeth. 0:23:58.280 --> 0:23:59.320 You told me your. 0:23:59.240 --> 0:24:02.280 Teeth with the that's why you get those points. Oh yeah, 0:24:02.320 --> 0:24:04.119 I did tell you to take that one out. What 0:24:04.119 --> 0:24:04.800 did I tell you? 0:24:04.600 --> 0:24:06.480 Told me to put the Bucks in there as a 0:24:06.480 --> 0:24:06.800 pick them? 0:24:06.920 --> 0:24:09.560 Oh, I would have gusted you. That did not work out, 0:24:10.520 --> 0:24:12.280 I would have cost you your teaser. 0:24:12.800 --> 0:24:16.040 Unbelievable. I'm really glad I'm still my ground there. This 0:24:16.160 --> 0:24:19.800 week Week fifteen, three team eight point teaser at plus 0:24:19.840 --> 0:24:23.080 one hundred gonna tease. Since Cincinnati up to plus ten 0:24:23.119 --> 0:24:25.560 and a half and my thought process earlier, the super 0:24:25.560 --> 0:24:28.359 Bowl take that I had was if the Ravens managed 0:24:28.400 --> 0:24:31.080 to blow this for me and the Cincinnati doesn't cover 0:24:31.160 --> 0:24:32.960 ten and a half, we're Super Bowl A bound. I 0:24:33.000 --> 0:24:34.840 know there's a lot of other dominoes that need to fall, 0:24:35.119 --> 0:24:37.479 but us beating the Bengals by more than ten points 0:24:37.640 --> 0:24:41.280 divisional game, I'd feel pretty good about what we're going forward. 0:24:42.119 --> 0:24:43.080 Okay, love that. 0:24:43.320 --> 0:24:45.680 So since Cincinnati up to plus ten and a half 0:24:45.720 --> 0:24:47.800 and then the Chargers up to plus thirteen, and a 0:24:47.800 --> 0:24:50.880 half and then Chicago basically to a pick them at 0:24:50.920 --> 0:24:56.720 plus point five or plus a half. Yeah, that's my 0:24:56.800 --> 0:25:01.200