Speaker 1: Welcome in What's Driving Nick Right? Episode four oh three,
Speaker 1: our red hot gambling show. All year long, we have
Speaker 1: said the Gambling Show would turn things around, right when
Speaker 1: the Chiefs did. Turns out, the Gambling Show turned things
Speaker 1: around and the Chiefs have not. But such is life.
Speaker 1: And here's the deal. This episode of what Nick Wright
Speaker 1: is brought to you by boost Mobile. Reminder to everybody
Speaker 1: like rate subscribe review it helps us out a lot.
Speaker 1: And reminder also, all lines are from hard rock bet
Speaker 1: all right. Last week demonse just three and two, but
Speaker 1: such a sturdy three and two that could have so
Speaker 1: easily been four and one. I feel great about it.
Speaker 1: So if we show you the picks. Last week, we
Speaker 1: had Jacksonville getting two against Indy. They won by three scores.
Speaker 1: We had Pittsburgh getting six against Baltimore, they won the
Speaker 1: game outright. We had Seattle laying seven out of Atlanta,
Speaker 1: they won by one hundred. Now we had one of
Speaker 1: the worst picks of the year, Washington getting two at
Speaker 1: Minnesota and they got shut out, and really the whole
Speaker 1: thing was a total embarrassment, but still just a loss.
Speaker 1: And then Philly minus three at the Chargers. I'm still
Speaker 1: a little bitter about it, A little bitter about it.
Speaker 2: I was about to say that they never really looked
Speaker 2: good to cover that game. I get they had the
Speaker 2: lead and stuff, but it was just like.
Speaker 1: No, you're you're right, but it looked like I was
Speaker 1: gonna steal one at the end.
Speaker 2: Yeah, when they have.
Speaker 1: Person ten from the seventeen in overtime score a touchdown
Speaker 1: to cover. But that's three and two, which puts us
Speaker 1: on the year thirty five thirty three and two, which
Speaker 1: is fifty one point four percent winning, but not yet profitable.
Speaker 1: But this week I do some quick math real here,
Speaker 1: I'll call out the calculator for this one to see
Speaker 1: if we go four and one this week, demonse, and
Speaker 1: we're thirty nine and thirty four and two and the
Speaker 1: two pushes don't matter, that would put us into profitability.
Speaker 1: Four and one would put us into profitability for the year.
Speaker 1: We are very proud of the fact that four of
Speaker 1: the five years we've publicly done picks, we not only
Speaker 1: were winners, we were profitable, including the big We want
Speaker 1: to keep that going. We have a big week in
Speaker 1: front of us with some massive point spreads, a lot
Speaker 1: of huge favorites this weekend, so we'll get to that
Speaker 1: in just a moment. First, I had to remind you
Speaker 1: today's show is brought to you by our presenting sponsor,
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Speaker 1: New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, or Virginia. There are no byes,
Speaker 1: so there are sixteen games this weekend. We are obviously
Speaker 1: not going to be discussing Bucks Falcons which is tonight,
Speaker 1: but you guys will be hearing this tomorrow. I'm just
Speaker 1: going on the record. I think the Bucks are going
Speaker 1: to win and cover, but that is of course not
Speaker 1: one of our picks. I'm just letting you guys know
Speaker 1: that is what I think is going to happen in
Speaker 1: a game that by the time you hear or see
Speaker 1: this has already taken place, you can see if I'm
Speaker 1: right or wrong. All right, demanse, what are we staying
Speaker 1: away from?
Speaker 2: Uh? First off, we're staying away from Chargers at Kansas City.
Speaker 2: With Kansas City being five and a half point favorites.
Speaker 2: Are we staying away from this one?
Speaker 1: I mean, I'm obviously not betting against the Chiefs, but
Speaker 1: five and a half is an outrageous one, like the
Speaker 1: Chiefs have not earned the right and it's four and
Speaker 1: a half in some point, it's five and a half
Speaker 1: here that the Chiefs have not earned the right to
Speaker 1: be five and a half point favorites against a nine
Speaker 1: and four Charger. I mean, this is Vegas. Vegas is
Speaker 1: having a harder time coming to the realization of where
Speaker 1: the Chiefs are right now than I am. So I
Speaker 1: ain't the sharp side of this is the Chargers, but
Speaker 1: I would never so I'm just staying away.
Speaker 2: Next next to go Washington at the Giants. Giants two
Speaker 2: and a half point favorites.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, just an ugly game with a rookie
Speaker 1: quarterback against a backup quarterback. Washington showed real fight against
Speaker 1: the Broncos, and then none whatsoever last week when I
Speaker 1: thought they would pardon me against Minnesota. The Giants, though
Speaker 1: also a weird season, keeps getting weirder. They just fired
Speaker 1: one of their assistant coaches because of a dispute overseating
Speaker 1: on the team plane, which means, yeah, the reporting is
Speaker 1: like he was pissed about where like I. It just
Speaker 1: this is two bad teams, two teams looking for next
Speaker 1: season to one team that's fired their coach, another team
Speaker 1: that feels terrible about where they're at. In Washington, We're
Speaker 1: staying away next.
Speaker 2: Cleveland at Chicago. Chicago seven and a half way favorites.
Speaker 1: I looked long and hard at Chicago, uh, because I
Speaker 1: do not think Shadoor is going to have back to
Speaker 1: back excellent games. And that's not a knock on Shador.
Speaker 1: I'm not the I just think, even if the the
Speaker 1: he is on the right trajectory, which he pretty clearly is,
Speaker 1: and even if that game last week was awesome, which
Speaker 1: it pretty clearly was. Asking any rookie quarterback to string
Speaker 1: together consecutive good games, particularly this one coming against a
Speaker 1: desperate Chicago team, is really dangerous. With that said, Chicago's
Speaker 1: offense has not been quite consistent enough for me to
Speaker 1: feel comfortable laying seven and a half against Cleveland. As
Speaker 1: good as the running game's been, Caleb's been hit and
Speaker 1: miss and Chicago's defense has lived and died by forcing turnovers.
Speaker 1: So maybe Shador can you know, there's some backdoor cover potential.
Speaker 1: Like last week, they're down fourteen with three minutes left,
Speaker 1: Sharudor led two awesome late drives. But so I'm just
Speaker 1: I'm just staying away. I'm just staying away. Also, we're
Speaker 1: gonna talk about it more on the show today. Bruce's
Speaker 1: take yesterday that he just fully believes Shador is going
Speaker 1: to outplay Caleb, I thought was one of the wildest
Speaker 1: sports takes of the week, and Brew didn't even think
Speaker 1: it was like a controversial opinion. I am again, I'm
Speaker 1: happy Shador had that game, and we talked about it
Speaker 1: a lot on Tuesday. I don't think all of a sudden,
Speaker 1: it's like, Okay, well, Sharro Xanders established quality NFL quarterback,
Speaker 1: Like he is still at a point where him playing well,
Speaker 1: should be surprising the way it is for any rookie quarterback,
Speaker 1: much less a fifth round rookie making his fourth or
Speaker 1: fifth career start. All right, do you do you want
Speaker 1: to say something there? Yeah?
Speaker 2: No, I mean, he did just have a he just
Speaker 2: had a good game. And if they do have something there,
Speaker 2: then maybe he does have another good game. And it's
Speaker 2: not wise to take Chicago minus seven and a half.
Speaker 1: Yeah, okay, yeah, fair enough? All right.
Speaker 2: Next, next, you got Arizona at Houston. Houston's nine and
Speaker 2: a half pint favorites.
Speaker 1: I had Arizona plus nine and a half in the
Speaker 1: picks initially, and I took him out. And the reason
Speaker 1: I had him in was because Houston's offense is just
Speaker 1: so oh unreliable. I'll say that laying ten points with
Speaker 1: them feels ambitious. Yeah, but Arizona, when Arizona has Arizona
Speaker 1: at the beginning of the year, when they lost these heartbreakers.
Speaker 1: So Arizona lost to the Niners by one, to the
Speaker 1: Seahawks by three, to the Titans in that outrageous game,
Speaker 1: by one, the call by four, the Packers by four.
Speaker 1: They they were losing heartbreakers. Since then, they lost to
Speaker 1: the Seahawks by twenty two, to the Niners by nineteen,
Speaker 1: to the Rams by twenty eight. What's that number? Twenty eight? Now?
Speaker 1: They also did have close games against the Jags and Bucks,
Speaker 1: but they were losses. I worry the Cardinals have just
Speaker 1: packed it in. So I liked the Cardinals plus nine
Speaker 1: and a half, but the fact that they all of
Speaker 1: a sudden are getting blown out and Houston Stevens is
Speaker 1: playing that well and CJ I thought was good in
Speaker 1: the first half against the Chiefs, I'm gonna stay away
Speaker 1: from it.
Speaker 2: Next next to got Jets aid Jags. Jags are thirteen
Speaker 2: point favorites.
Speaker 1: Excuse me, sorry, guys, took a lot of self control
Speaker 1: to not bet the Jags. I mean, right, but it's
Speaker 1: such a big number and could be a little inclement weather,
Speaker 1: a little rain, not not. It's Jacksonville, so not a
Speaker 1: lot of cold. That worries me a bit. The Jets
Speaker 1: quarterback situation is such a mess that I really thought
Speaker 1: about laying the thirteen with Jacksonville. But that is thirteen
Speaker 1: Fields is Fields is hurt. No, Fields is hurt, and
Speaker 1: benched Tyrod got hurt. Brady Cook. No, it's not the
Speaker 1: worst in the league. We'll get to the worst in
Speaker 1: the league shortly. Thirteen is just too many points to
Speaker 1: lay with Jacksonville. I'm staying away.
Speaker 2: Next green Bay at Denver, Denver's two and a half
Speaker 2: way dogs.
Speaker 1: This is a great game and one we haven't talked about.
Speaker 1: This is one of the best games of the weekend.
Speaker 1: Huge for both teams. Green Bay trying to stay alive
Speaker 1: for the one seed, Denver trying to keep control of
Speaker 1: the one seed. A little insulting to the Broncos where
Speaker 1: they're getting nearly a field goal at home. But I
Speaker 1: also think this is a green Bay win by a
Speaker 1: field goal game. But Denver, I've lost, you know. Betting
Speaker 1: on the Chiefs and betting against the Broncos is what's
Speaker 1: cost me more than anything so far this year. I'm
Speaker 1: staying away from it because I was leaning green Bay.
Speaker 1: I think the sharp side would be Denver getting points
Speaker 1: at home on a ten game winning streak.
Speaker 2: Next Lions at Rams. Rams are six point favorites.
Speaker 1: If I was gonna bet this game, demande. I bet
Speaker 1: the Rams because I'm very confident in the Rams are
Speaker 1: going to win. But Detroit and Dan Campbell have had
Speaker 1: a lot of success against the Rams, and though they've
Speaker 1: been come down to the wire games, so that's a
Speaker 1: mark in favor of taking Detroit plus the six. But
Speaker 1: I think this is probably a Rams twenty eight to
Speaker 1: twenty four win. But it's a stay away because I
Speaker 1: like the Rams. I don't want to lay the points.
Speaker 1: I don't love betting underdogs if I don't think they
Speaker 1: can win outright unless they're getting more than a touchdown.
Speaker 1: So I'm staying away.
Speaker 2: Next here, Carolina at New Orleans New Orleans two and
Speaker 2: a half point dogs.
Speaker 1: New Orleans was good last week against the Bucks. Carolina
Speaker 1: has not been a great road team, so I thought
Speaker 1: long and hard about New Orleans plus the two and
Speaker 1: a half and then and I probably shouldn't do this
Speaker 1: because I'm really I am trying to just pick the
Speaker 1: best bets. But if I have six bets, I like
Speaker 1: tie sometimes goes to game I want or don't want
Speaker 1: to watch, and I don't really want to have a
Speaker 1: vested interest in Carolina New Orleans. Too many other good
Speaker 1: games this weekend, but the side I'm leaning is New
Speaker 1: Orleans plus two and a half.
Speaker 2: Next, all right, Minnesota at Dallas Dallas six point favorites, So.
Speaker 1: I like Dallas here. I got burned though last week
Speaker 1: by thinking Minnesota was dead, and so I'm just staying away.
Speaker 1: But I think this is another one. There were four
Speaker 1: games this week, Demonse that I really considered as my
Speaker 1: final game. Arizona plus nine and a half, New Orleans
Speaker 1: plus two and a half, Dallas minus six. I thought
Speaker 1: long and hard about. I think Dallas wins. Oh in
Speaker 1: the Rams minus six, but it was two of them.
Speaker 1: Like man, I think they win. I don't know if
Speaker 1: they win by margin. I'm staying away from it, but
Speaker 1: I would be shocked if Minnesota wins this game.
Speaker 2: Next Yeah, Miami at Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh's three and a half
Speaker 2: point favorites.
Speaker 1: I understand they just beat the Jets and they're on
Speaker 1: a nice little winning streak. Tough to rely on tuh
Speaker 1: in the cold. Also, don't love laying more than a
Speaker 1: field goal. Ever with Pittsburgh a true definitional stay away. Reminder, everybody,
Speaker 1: all our lines are from hard rock bets, so that
Speaker 1: gets us through. All of our game are all of
Speaker 1: our stayaways. Let's go to our five actual picks.
Speaker 2: All right? First off, in the Drake and Josh Bull,
Speaker 2: we got Buffalo minus one. At New England.
Speaker 1: Yeah, so I understand that this is a is that
Speaker 1: a Drake and Josh.
Speaker 2: It's a Drake and Josh Bull to shoot the Treos
Speaker 2: episode Drake side there.
Speaker 1: Wow, great great knowledge the it's gread, reason to watch
Speaker 1: on YouTube. Listen. I understand rabel Off a Bye has
Speaker 1: been really, really good. I don't really look at this
Speaker 1: as betting a divisional road favorite because this is a
Speaker 1: pick them think minus one's to pick them, essentially, and
Speaker 1: this line's been bouncing back and forth from minus one
Speaker 1: plus one depending on the day and depending on the book.
Speaker 1: I just think Buffalo is better. Right, let me rephrase it.
Speaker 1: I don't know that I think Buffalo is better, but
Speaker 1: I think Buffalo. I think it's close enough that the
Speaker 1: fact that Buffalo desperately needs this game to stay or
Speaker 1: else they're eliminated from the division that Buffalo I think
Speaker 1: understands the opportunity in front of them with the Ravens
Speaker 1: and Chiefs and Bengals in such disarray, and I think
Speaker 1: that Buffalo is going to be able to run the
Speaker 1: ball on New England, and where Buffalo's biggest weakness is
Speaker 1: running run defense New England. The only thing New England
Speaker 1: doesn't do really well on either side of the ball
Speaker 1: is run the ball. So I will take the Bills
Speaker 1: to win the game. Bills minus one in New England.
Speaker 2: Next Seattle minus thirteen and a half versus Indy.
Speaker 1: The Colts might be playing Philip Rivers in twenty twenty
Speaker 1: five as their starting quarterback against this Mike McDonald ferocious defense.
Speaker 1: All lay the two touchdowns and deal with it.
Speaker 2: Have we learned nothing from Joe Flacco? Have we learned nothing?
Speaker 1: Flacco was an active player. Bro that Philip Demonse Philip Rivers,
Speaker 1: who was the last time.
Speaker 2: Flacco had played, though since then, like when the Browns
Speaker 2: called him up, it was like three years ago or
Speaker 2: something like that, Like I can't remember if I go playing.
Speaker 1: Reasons, I don't let me hold on, let me look Flacco. No,
Speaker 1: Flacco never demands, he would never stopped being on rosters.
Speaker 1: So Flacco hadn't been a full time starter since like
Speaker 1: twenty nineteen. But in twenty twenty he started four games
Speaker 1: for the Jets. In twenty twenty one, he started one
Speaker 1: game for the Jets. In twenty twenty two, he started
Speaker 1: four games for the Jets, and then in twenty twenty three.
Speaker 1: He started five games for the Browns. So here you
Speaker 1: understand what I mean. Like, yeah, even if he hadn't
Speaker 1: been on a roster that year, he had played the
Speaker 1: previous year. Philip Rivers last game Demons and last day
Speaker 1: on an NFL roster was three weeks before Tom Brady
Speaker 1: won the Super Bowl with the Bucks. Think about that.
Speaker 1: Philip Rivers last game played was three weeks before the
Speaker 1: Chiefs Bucks Super Bowl. Like that is, so I just
Speaker 1: lay the two touchdowns. Also, nobody loves being an a regional.
Speaker 1: No one's going to watch it window as a big
Speaker 1: favorite like Sam Darnold. Donald is eleven to zero as
Speaker 1: a seven plus point favorite. Now that's straight up obviously,
Speaker 1: But nine and two against the spread. I've been riding Seattle.
Speaker 1: I'll keep riding them next.
Speaker 2: Oh, you got Vegas plus eleven and a half at Philly.
Speaker 1: So here's the deal on that. Vegas is terrible. Everybody
Speaker 1: knows it. Everybody knew it before the year except for me.
Speaker 1: Hand up that that was as bad as it gets.
Speaker 1: I can't trust Phillies offense right now to win by
Speaker 1: two scores, and Vegas showed us this past week they
Speaker 1: will fight for a backdoor cover up to an including
Speaker 1: kicking a field goal with one second left down ten,
Speaker 1: and I'm getting eleven and a half. And I teams
Speaker 1: that played an overtime game the previous week against a
Speaker 1: team that didn't are twenty four and forty nine against
Speaker 1: the spread in the last seventy or so. You then
Speaker 1: add to it it was an overtime Monday night game
Speaker 1: for Philadelphia. I'll take my eleven and a half points
Speaker 1: with the Raiders next.
Speaker 2: Now San Francisco minus twelve and a half for his Tennessee. Yeah,
Speaker 2: this is probably one of the crazier betting weeks I've
Speaker 2: seen from you.
Speaker 1: Yeah favorites, Yeah, it's like college football. But here's the deal.
Speaker 1: The Titans got their win of the you know, of
Speaker 1: the month last week, and Big Bob Sala against rookie
Speaker 1: cam Ward. I'll lay the twelve and a half. I
Speaker 1: think that the Niners need. Can the Niners get to
Speaker 1: If they can get to twenty four, I feel like
Speaker 1: I'm guarantee heed to cover. I do not think that
Speaker 1: Titans can get to thirteen points against this Niners defense.
Speaker 1: And the flip side who it is if Kevin Stefanski
Speaker 1: and Shador Sanders can rack up four hundred yards of
Speaker 1: offense essentially against this Titans defense. What is Kyle Shanahan
Speaker 1: and that and Christian McCaffrey and Purty and Kittle and
Speaker 1: that Niners team gonna do off a by no less
Speaker 1: all lay the twelve and a half with San Francisco
Speaker 1: and then finally one small.
Speaker 2: Spread Cincinnati plus two and a half versus Baltimore.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I.
Speaker 2: It's fair.
Speaker 1: I think Lamar's over it in Baltimore not being a raven,
Speaker 1: but this regime. And I think Joe Burrow, while he's
Speaker 1: talking about being sad, does understand. Yes, that's true, that
Speaker 1: is true. But Joe Burrow also understands I think he
Speaker 1: cost him that game against the Bills. He was great
Speaker 1: and then those back to back picks just killed them.
Speaker 1: And so I think you're gonna get a and since
Speaker 1: the offense that is able to move the ball, I
Speaker 1: don't love that. I assume t Higgins is gonna miss
Speaker 1: the game. But Baltimore right now is just not to
Speaker 1: be trusted. And the other thing is this, I'm getting
Speaker 1: two and a half points at home in a divisional
Speaker 1: game with Burrow playing, I'll take it. So my five
Speaker 1: picks this week are Buffalo laying one at New England,
Speaker 1: Seattle laying thirteen and a half against Indy at home,
Speaker 1: the Raiders getting ten and a half at Philadelphia, the
Speaker 1: Niners laying twelve and a half at home against Tennessee,
Speaker 1: and Cincinnati getting two and a half against Baltimore. Before
Speaker 1: we get to Demons's red hot teasers, you ever notice
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Speaker 1: they remain active on the boost Unlimited plan. All right, Demons,
Speaker 1: you went big game hunting last week. Instead of a
Speaker 1: three teamer, you went with a four teamer. How to do?
Speaker 2: Uh? So? Yeah, Jacks covered, Jacks plus ten that covered
Speaker 2: very well, Seattle plus one cover, Pittsburgh plus fourteen covered crazy,
Speaker 2: and then Cleveland plus four by the skin of my teeth.
Speaker 2: You told me your.
Speaker 1: Teeth with the that's why you get those points. Oh yeah,
Speaker 1: I did tell you to take that one out. What
Speaker 1: did I tell you?
Speaker 2: Told me to put the Bucks in there as a
Speaker 2: pick them?
Speaker 1: Oh, I would have gusted you. That did not work out,
Speaker 1: I would have cost you your teaser.
Speaker 2: Unbelievable. I'm really glad I'm still my ground there. This
Speaker 2: week Week fifteen, three team eight point teaser at plus
Speaker 2: one hundred gonna tease. Since Cincinnati up to plus ten
Speaker 2: and a half and my thought process earlier, the super
Speaker 2: Bowl take that I had was if the Ravens managed
Speaker 2: to blow this for me and the Cincinnati doesn't cover
Speaker 2: ten and a half, we're Super Bowl A bound. I
Speaker 2: know there's a lot of other dominoes that need to fall,
Speaker 2: but us beating the Bengals by more than ten points
Speaker 2: divisional game, I'd feel pretty good about what we're going forward.
Speaker 1: Okay, love that.
Speaker 2: So since Cincinnati up to plus ten and a half
Speaker 2: and then the Chargers up to plus thirteen, and a
Speaker 2: half and then Chicago basically to a pick them at
Speaker 2: plus point five or plus a half. Yeah, that's my
Speaker 2: week fifteen. O what is it shown?
Speaker 1: No, here's the thing. I just don't love. I don't
Speaker 1: feel like you're getting enough value with the Chargers and
Speaker 1: that you're not getting it through fourteen. That's all like
Speaker 1: THEE but I like the but I'm just gonna keep doing.
Speaker 1: If it ain't broke, don't fix it. B minus. Every
Speaker 1: time I give you a B minus.
Speaker 2: You win, I'll take it. I'll take you. H.
Speaker 1: Do I have a touchdown Genie this week? You guys
Speaker 1: want to know?
Speaker 2: Yep?
Speaker 1: Kelsey?
Speaker 2: Oh what the all one?
Speaker 1: It's down on himself. He's sad. Mahomes wants to you know,
Speaker 1: he doesn't have potentially that many home games left. Kelsey, Yeah,
Speaker 1: plus two twenty five? All right, what about the offer
Speaker 1: to Mons?
Speaker 2: So our offer didn't hit For our four four hundredth
Speaker 2: episodes special Shador Sanders ended up being the best candidate
Speaker 2: for the quarterback, throwing over four hundred. So this week
Speaker 2: we have a cross sport parlay. We're gonna do a
Speaker 2: tie up Chiefs money line plush SGA to win the Cup.
Speaker 2: MVP for plus one fourteen love it.
Speaker 1: I'm taking that offer. Cheeves money line Shay to win
Speaker 1: the NBA Cup MVP. Oh my goodness. You know I
Speaker 1: feel like that's free money, except for the Chiefs might
Speaker 1: break my heart again. Like rate, subscribe, review, Appreciate you
Speaker 1: guys listening. Good luck to Demons's teasers. We're looking for
Speaker 1: a four and one week to get the profitability for
Speaker 1: the year. Thank you to Blue Dock, thank you to Volume,
Speaker 1: thank you to hard Rock, bet Boost and Zen. Talk
Speaker 1: to you guys soon. What's right