1 00:00:01,000 --> 00:00:03,160 Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to Betting Pros. It's time to place 2 00:00:03,200 --> 00:00:05,800 Speaker 1: your bets. It's meet Joey P. Joe Pisapia and this 3 00:00:06,200 --> 00:00:09,120 Speaker 1: is VP NFL with me today of course my two 4 00:00:09,160 --> 00:00:12,039 Speaker 1: best friends, the Welsh and the Undertaker. Andrew Erickson coming 5 00:00:12,080 --> 00:00:14,840 Speaker 1: off a pretty good week both in the positive after 6 00:00:14,920 --> 00:00:17,599 Speaker 1: last week's prop show, and we're gonna dig for ten 7 00:00:17,680 --> 00:00:20,440 Speaker 1: more props and some touchdowns. We're gonna have a lot 8 00:00:20,440 --> 00:00:22,360 Speaker 1: of fun today, so stick around. Make sure you subscribe 9 00:00:22,360 --> 00:00:24,599 Speaker 1: to the Betting Pros YouTube channel right now. Drop your 10 00:00:24,600 --> 00:00:26,320 Speaker 1: comments below. We love to hear from you and your 11 00:00:26,320 --> 00:00:28,560 Speaker 1: favorite props of the week. And of course don't forget 12 00:00:28,600 --> 00:00:30,360 Speaker 1: to ring that bell till it cohost ding so you 13 00:00:30,400 --> 00:00:33,080 Speaker 1: never miss a piece of content on the channel. Andrew 14 00:00:33,120 --> 00:00:36,920 Speaker 1: Erickson Thursday Night Football in the Books SG. Joey P. 15 00:00:37,159 --> 00:00:41,400 Speaker 1: Missed the parlay by seven yards. That's it, seven yards. 16 00:00:41,400 --> 00:00:44,000 Speaker 1: I was so close, got the artz touchdown, got the 17 00:00:44,040 --> 00:00:46,960 Speaker 1: money line. Packers, Oh well, I flew too close to 18 00:00:47,000 --> 00:00:49,519 Speaker 1: the sun. What are you gonna do? But the Packers 19 00:00:49,560 --> 00:00:53,280 Speaker 1: defense looking pretty stout last night. That's two in a 20 00:00:53,400 --> 00:00:54,720 Speaker 1: row for the pack How do you feel about them? 21 00:00:54,720 --> 00:00:56,520 Speaker 1: In that NFC North right now. 22 00:00:56,800 --> 00:00:59,200 Speaker 2: I fear really good about the Greeny Packers. I do 23 00:00:59,240 --> 00:01:02,160 Speaker 2: feel bad though, because I have some Jordan Love MVP tickets, 24 00:01:02,200 --> 00:01:04,039 Speaker 2: But now I feel like the defense is too good 25 00:01:04,160 --> 00:01:05,920 Speaker 2: and that's going to hurt him, even though they could 26 00:01:05,920 --> 00:01:08,039 Speaker 2: be the number one seed in the NFC, which we 27 00:01:08,120 --> 00:01:10,080 Speaker 2: usually connect to who can win MVP. And I don't 28 00:01:10,080 --> 00:01:12,320 Speaker 2: think that Love has been playing bad, especially with all 29 00:01:12,319 --> 00:01:14,800 Speaker 2: of his receivers going down, him simply still not missing 30 00:01:14,800 --> 00:01:16,600 Speaker 2: a beat, you know, still being able to produce almost 31 00:01:16,640 --> 00:01:19,560 Speaker 2: three passing yards two more passing touchdowns. Again, Tucker Craft 32 00:01:19,600 --> 00:01:22,000 Speaker 2: an absolute monsters, so Jordan Love to continue to get 33 00:01:22,000 --> 00:01:25,400 Speaker 2: it done. That defense looks absolutely elite, and I think 34 00:01:25,400 --> 00:01:27,040 Speaker 2: we're going to find more about how good that defense 35 00:01:27,120 --> 00:01:30,039 Speaker 2: is when the Lions play offense this week. And maybe 36 00:01:30,080 --> 00:01:32,080 Speaker 2: the Lion's office isn't as bad as we all thought 37 00:01:32,080 --> 00:01:34,039 Speaker 2: after Week one, and maybe it really is just about 38 00:01:34,080 --> 00:01:35,600 Speaker 2: how good this Packer's defense is. 39 00:01:36,400 --> 00:01:39,480 Speaker 1: Yeah, I think that's definitely part of it, but it's 40 00:01:39,520 --> 00:01:41,760 Speaker 1: also the line are gonna bounce back this week. We 41 00:01:41,800 --> 00:01:45,039 Speaker 1: all think that, well, you know, you have two children, 42 00:01:45,040 --> 00:01:47,360 Speaker 1: and I have a couple of children. At some point, 43 00:01:47,400 --> 00:01:49,960 Speaker 1: I'm sure your kids read or watched The Diary of 44 00:01:49,960 --> 00:01:53,040 Speaker 1: a Wimpy Kid movies, right, one of those things. Remember 45 00:01:53,080 --> 00:01:56,320 Speaker 1: the cheese touch. Nothing was just gross that the cheese touch. 46 00:01:56,960 --> 00:01:58,840 Speaker 1: So the forty nine ers suffered from the cheese touch? 47 00:01:58,920 --> 00:02:00,440 Speaker 1: Right now? Is that what's going on? I'm just trying 48 00:02:00,440 --> 00:02:01,240 Speaker 1: to figure out what's happening. 49 00:02:01,280 --> 00:02:03,160 Speaker 3: I don't know if you saw my viral tweet, but no, 50 00:02:03,280 --> 00:02:05,640 Speaker 3: we know exactly what it is. It's not from the 51 00:02:05,720 --> 00:02:08,760 Speaker 3: cheese touch. It's from the Scarlet Witch. And the Scarlet 52 00:02:08,760 --> 00:02:11,360 Speaker 3: Witch powers have been transferred over to Christian McCaffrey as 53 00:02:11,400 --> 00:02:14,680 Speaker 3: he sucks the life force from every single forty nine 54 00:02:14,760 --> 00:02:18,400 Speaker 3: er to power his season moving forward, and the repercussions 55 00:02:18,400 --> 00:02:20,560 Speaker 3: of that is now. Mac Jones is the quarterback, but 56 00:02:20,639 --> 00:02:24,560 Speaker 3: Christian McCaffrey healthy and powerful, at least for this week. 57 00:02:24,639 --> 00:02:25,240 Speaker 3: It's not great. 58 00:02:25,680 --> 00:02:27,880 Speaker 1: All right, Well, let's take a look at last week 59 00:02:27,919 --> 00:02:30,200 Speaker 1: real quick to see where the boys were. Two guys, 60 00:02:31,240 --> 00:02:33,840 Speaker 1: we're three and two. There you go. Welsh got a 61 00:02:33,880 --> 00:02:37,160 Speaker 1: touchdown call, I got a touchdown call. And Andrew Erickson 62 00:02:37,520 --> 00:02:39,720 Speaker 1: did not get a touchdown call. So be better, Andrew. 63 00:02:39,880 --> 00:02:41,639 Speaker 1: That's it. That's all I got for you. But we're 64 00:02:41,720 --> 00:02:43,280 Speaker 1: just we're just having fun here on the program. That's 65 00:02:43,280 --> 00:02:45,600 Speaker 1: what we're doing. So Welsh, let's start with you, and let's 66 00:02:45,600 --> 00:02:47,919 Speaker 1: start with picking apart the secondary of the Miami Dolphins, 67 00:02:48,280 --> 00:02:51,840 Speaker 1: which is awful. Talk about cheese, touch my god, disgusting, 68 00:02:51,880 --> 00:02:54,079 Speaker 1: horrible or wimpy kid, I don't know what you want 69 00:02:54,080 --> 00:02:56,440 Speaker 1: to call it, man, but it is brutal. Right Now, 70 00:02:56,520 --> 00:02:58,920 Speaker 1: they made Daniel Jones like Peyton Manning last week, and 71 00:02:58,960 --> 00:03:01,600 Speaker 1: now Drake May has an opportun to hear to kind 72 00:03:01,639 --> 00:03:03,679 Speaker 1: of put another nail in that coffin. How do you 73 00:03:03,680 --> 00:03:05,080 Speaker 1: want to attack this secondary? 74 00:03:05,160 --> 00:03:05,240 Speaker 2: Well? 75 00:03:05,280 --> 00:03:07,320 Speaker 3: Last week I actually went with the Patriots wide receiver 76 00:03:07,400 --> 00:03:09,800 Speaker 3: Stefon Diggs. Looked a little disy, by the way, want 77 00:03:09,840 --> 00:03:11,120 Speaker 3: to point out I was not feeling good about it 78 00:03:11,120 --> 00:03:14,560 Speaker 3: because Stephan Diggs is his snap percentage was lower than 79 00:03:14,600 --> 00:03:16,480 Speaker 3: I thought. He wasn't out there the whole time. But 80 00:03:16,560 --> 00:03:20,480 Speaker 3: there was one constant the entire game, Kishan Boody. He 81 00:03:20,560 --> 00:03:23,160 Speaker 3: looked incredible in that game, and we are going to 82 00:03:23,240 --> 00:03:25,360 Speaker 3: go back to the well with him, and we're actually 83 00:03:25,360 --> 00:03:28,520 Speaker 3: going to get a plus money play around plus one 84 00:03:28,639 --> 00:03:32,880 Speaker 3: ten plus one fifteen on Quison Booty receptions three point 85 00:03:32,919 --> 00:03:37,120 Speaker 3: five over last week eight targets six catches, which we love, 86 00:03:37,960 --> 00:03:41,360 Speaker 3: twenty three percent first read percentage, and this is one 87 00:03:41,360 --> 00:03:43,040 Speaker 3: of the big reasons why I want to attack this. 88 00:03:43,120 --> 00:03:45,120 Speaker 3: You could attack the receiving yards, which are kind of low, 89 00:03:45,160 --> 00:03:48,240 Speaker 3: but I love the receptions. He had the highest among 90 00:03:48,400 --> 00:03:51,880 Speaker 3: any Patriots wide receiver of the first read percentage, but 91 00:03:51,920 --> 00:03:56,320 Speaker 3: he had seven designed first throws like first target throws 92 00:03:56,480 --> 00:03:59,760 Speaker 3: towards him that was tied for seventh most among all 93 00:03:59,800 --> 00:04:02,560 Speaker 3: why receivers in NFL this week. So they were looking 94 00:04:02,560 --> 00:04:04,880 Speaker 3: at him, they threw the ball. Seven of those eight 95 00:04:04,960 --> 00:04:08,480 Speaker 3: targets were first read. Bam, get him the ball. He 96 00:04:08,520 --> 00:04:11,880 Speaker 3: had an eighty seven point five percent percentage of balls 97 00:04:11,880 --> 00:04:14,360 Speaker 3: that were catchable, So the throws that they were getting 98 00:04:14,400 --> 00:04:17,560 Speaker 3: to him, they were easily got. It wasn't like contested stuff. 99 00:04:17,800 --> 00:04:20,400 Speaker 3: And if you watch it just seemed like ten and in, 100 00:04:20,720 --> 00:04:22,560 Speaker 3: ten and in, and they just kept throwing him the ball. 101 00:04:23,200 --> 00:04:25,360 Speaker 3: Projections for him this week are sitting around three across 102 00:04:25,360 --> 00:04:27,120 Speaker 3: the board no matter where you look at. But I 103 00:04:27,240 --> 00:04:29,760 Speaker 3: just like you mentioned, I love the matchup Dolphins Corners. 104 00:04:30,120 --> 00:04:34,400 Speaker 3: Rough PFF gave Booty a matchup of great which is 105 00:04:34,440 --> 00:04:37,440 Speaker 3: like in the higher tier, and the Dolphins corners ranking 106 00:04:37,600 --> 00:04:40,560 Speaker 3: seventy two, seventy seven, and eighty out of ninety five 107 00:04:40,640 --> 00:04:43,920 Speaker 3: corners after week one, so the matchup is great. Booty 108 00:04:44,000 --> 00:04:46,640 Speaker 3: was used as like the number one wide receiver, it's 109 00:04:46,720 --> 00:04:50,280 Speaker 3: first read and out. I love the smash on this 110 00:04:50,400 --> 00:04:52,840 Speaker 3: and I'm going with the receptions because it is big 111 00:04:52,880 --> 00:04:55,120 Speaker 3: plus money. I think he's gonna kill it this week. 112 00:04:55,160 --> 00:04:58,039 Speaker 3: So another Patriots wide receiver. I did not think I 113 00:04:58,120 --> 00:04:59,680 Speaker 3: was going to go into the prop market to start 114 00:04:59,680 --> 00:05:01,400 Speaker 3: the year, but that's where we're at. 115 00:05:02,120 --> 00:05:04,480 Speaker 1: I'm glad you're there. That's all I'm saying. Glad you're there. Hey, 116 00:05:04,520 --> 00:05:07,599 Speaker 1: look at Boute had a lot of positive buzz coming 117 00:05:07,600 --> 00:05:09,920 Speaker 1: out of camp too. A lot of coaches were saying 118 00:05:09,920 --> 00:05:11,640 Speaker 1: good things. Rick May was saying good things about him, 119 00:05:11,640 --> 00:05:13,160 Speaker 1: so it's not too much of a spot. 120 00:05:13,160 --> 00:05:15,440 Speaker 2: Even also staring over what he did at the end 121 00:05:15,480 --> 00:05:16,000 Speaker 2: of last year. 122 00:05:16,000 --> 00:05:17,480 Speaker 1: I mean his that's fair. Yeah, that's right. At the 123 00:05:17,520 --> 00:05:17,880 Speaker 1: end of the year. 124 00:05:18,000 --> 00:05:20,080 Speaker 2: Three of his last four games he's gone over ninety 125 00:05:20,080 --> 00:05:22,320 Speaker 2: five yards, which, yeah, you take a step and you're 126 00:05:22,320 --> 00:05:25,440 Speaker 2: like really like, yeah, he's been falling out. 127 00:05:25,880 --> 00:05:28,000 Speaker 1: He has been all right. The Giants have not been 128 00:05:28,000 --> 00:05:30,440 Speaker 1: balling out at least certainly not in recalling. So let's 129 00:05:30,440 --> 00:05:33,680 Speaker 1: talk about the Giants here. Let's talk about Tyrone Tracy. Undertaker. 130 00:05:34,080 --> 00:05:38,000 Speaker 1: It seems like, you know, this script would portend that 131 00:05:38,120 --> 00:05:40,360 Speaker 1: the Cowboys, you know, kind of opening things up a 132 00:05:40,400 --> 00:05:43,080 Speaker 1: little bit tough loss for them against the Philadelphi Eagles 133 00:05:43,120 --> 00:05:44,560 Speaker 1: to start the year. We're now they get the Giants 134 00:05:44,600 --> 00:05:47,720 Speaker 1: here at home, home field advantage, and it seems like 135 00:05:47,760 --> 00:05:50,040 Speaker 1: the game script might not be in the Giants favorite potentially, 136 00:05:50,080 --> 00:05:52,200 Speaker 1: especially if the offensive line places where it did last week. 137 00:05:52,279 --> 00:05:55,479 Speaker 1: So Tyrone Tracy, the number for his yardage total is 138 00:05:55,520 --> 00:05:57,720 Speaker 1: fifty three and a half. Undertaker. 139 00:05:58,279 --> 00:06:00,480 Speaker 2: Yes, I'm taking the under on this one because the 140 00:06:00,520 --> 00:06:03,680 Speaker 2: same Cowboys defense held two thousand yard rusher Saquon Barkley 141 00:06:03,680 --> 00:06:07,200 Speaker 2: to sixty rushing yards in Week one. That's against one 142 00:06:07,200 --> 00:06:10,080 Speaker 2: of the best offensive lines in the NFL with Philadelphia Eagles. 143 00:06:10,240 --> 00:06:12,840 Speaker 2: Now you have the New York Giants coming in on 144 00:06:12,880 --> 00:06:15,720 Speaker 2: the road against this exact same defensive line that looked 145 00:06:15,839 --> 00:06:18,800 Speaker 2: vastly improved compared to last year and even last year 146 00:06:18,839 --> 00:06:22,279 Speaker 2: when the Giants played Dallas Cowboys. Tyrone Tracy finished under 147 00:06:22,600 --> 00:06:25,560 Speaker 2: this number with just nine carries for thirty two yards. 148 00:06:25,560 --> 00:06:28,480 Speaker 2: So I don't know if Tyrone Tracy has such a 149 00:06:28,600 --> 00:06:31,560 Speaker 2: volume lock that he's going to see fifteen carries, so 150 00:06:31,600 --> 00:06:33,880 Speaker 2: he can obviously get over this yardage amount. He's only 151 00:06:33,920 --> 00:06:37,320 Speaker 2: gone over this number twice in his last eight games played, 152 00:06:37,680 --> 00:06:39,919 Speaker 2: and we know that he's just one fumble away from 153 00:06:40,400 --> 00:06:43,000 Speaker 2: here's the bench, Tyrone, We're gonna get someone else involved. 154 00:06:43,040 --> 00:06:45,360 Speaker 2: So I was looking at this number and my jaw 155 00:06:45,440 --> 00:06:47,960 Speaker 2: dropped of how high it is just based on what 156 00:06:48,000 --> 00:06:50,440 Speaker 2: we saw last week, from how good the Cowboys defense 157 00:06:50,440 --> 00:06:53,440 Speaker 2: did at limiting Saquon Barkley from running all over them. 158 00:06:53,640 --> 00:06:55,080 Speaker 2: We know that the Giants are probably going to be 159 00:06:55,120 --> 00:06:57,320 Speaker 2: trailing in this game, so and they sure they could 160 00:06:57,400 --> 00:06:59,800 Speaker 2: run the football. So this one for me was easy. 161 00:07:00,200 --> 00:07:02,160 Speaker 2: Take the under and Tyrone Tracy, I don't think he's 162 00:07:02,160 --> 00:07:03,960 Speaker 2: gonna get even like thirty rushing yards. 163 00:07:04,400 --> 00:07:05,720 Speaker 3: I think this might be the best one of the 164 00:07:05,760 --> 00:07:07,400 Speaker 3: week two. Ericson, I was looking like a lot of 165 00:07:07,440 --> 00:07:09,960 Speaker 3: the rushing yard totals if you're trying to play any unders, 166 00:07:10,200 --> 00:07:12,240 Speaker 3: they were a lot of like really tight ones, big 167 00:07:12,280 --> 00:07:14,960 Speaker 3: adjustments off of week one. This is a smash. This 168 00:07:15,080 --> 00:07:17,000 Speaker 3: is such a great one. I'm gonna lock this one 169 00:07:17,000 --> 00:07:18,600 Speaker 3: in because of what you said. I mean, I think 170 00:07:18,640 --> 00:07:21,000 Speaker 3: this is gonna be pass heavy for the Cowboys. They're 171 00:07:21,040 --> 00:07:23,320 Speaker 3: gonna get up and it's gonna take the runaway. This 172 00:07:23,360 --> 00:07:25,040 Speaker 3: Tracy one is super, super sneaky. 173 00:07:25,760 --> 00:07:28,480 Speaker 1: Yeah, three for three. Everybody's in on this one. All right, 174 00:07:28,560 --> 00:07:33,120 Speaker 1: let's get to the nick wrong go on. Yeah, let's 175 00:07:33,160 --> 00:07:35,720 Speaker 1: go to the Jacksonville Jaguars getting off to a good 176 00:07:35,720 --> 00:07:38,800 Speaker 1: start to the season, and Tank Bigsby was expendable, he 177 00:07:38,840 --> 00:07:41,040 Speaker 1: got traded. So how do we want to approach Travis 178 00:07:41,040 --> 00:07:44,000 Speaker 1: eighteen in this game against the Cincinnati Bengals defense that 179 00:07:44,520 --> 00:07:46,480 Speaker 1: certainly has its share of holes in it as well? 180 00:07:46,520 --> 00:07:48,800 Speaker 3: Well, it definitely does, and there's I think there's multiple 181 00:07:48,840 --> 00:07:50,360 Speaker 3: ways we can do it because I think we're all 182 00:07:50,440 --> 00:07:52,960 Speaker 3: kind of lockstep now that Travis Etn is the guy 183 00:07:53,720 --> 00:07:56,080 Speaker 3: rushing looks good, but also on the receiving side, and 184 00:07:56,080 --> 00:07:58,800 Speaker 3: that's what I want to tackle here today. Travis et 185 00:07:58,920 --> 00:08:02,000 Speaker 3: and receptions two point five over, So we're going for 186 00:08:02,040 --> 00:08:04,800 Speaker 3: three receptions. And as a matter of fact, last week win, 187 00:08:04,840 --> 00:08:08,240 Speaker 3: Tank Bigsby was still there. Three targets, three catches for 188 00:08:08,360 --> 00:08:11,840 Speaker 3: Etn four of his last six games in the season. 189 00:08:11,920 --> 00:08:14,680 Speaker 3: Last year, Etn had three or more receptions as well 190 00:08:15,160 --> 00:08:18,480 Speaker 3: toon not used in the receiving game last week Allen 191 00:08:18,520 --> 00:08:21,880 Speaker 3: he got one target, so you know, technically Etn was 192 00:08:21,920 --> 00:08:25,400 Speaker 3: seventy five percent of the receiving side out of the backfield. 193 00:08:25,520 --> 00:08:27,200 Speaker 3: But here's the thing that I really like. Going up 194 00:08:27,200 --> 00:08:30,720 Speaker 3: against his Bengals defense, Dylan Samson against the Bengals caught 195 00:08:30,760 --> 00:08:34,400 Speaker 3: eight balls. He was eight for eight on the receiving side. 196 00:08:34,440 --> 00:08:36,280 Speaker 3: If the Jacks are playing from behind, this is going 197 00:08:36,320 --> 00:08:38,280 Speaker 3: to open up more opportunities for et And in the 198 00:08:38,320 --> 00:08:41,040 Speaker 3: passing game. Had around a sixty nine percent snap share 199 00:08:41,120 --> 00:08:43,800 Speaker 3: last week, which could push over seventy now that Bigsby 200 00:08:44,080 --> 00:08:46,960 Speaker 3: is out. They got a bunch of young guys. Projections 201 00:08:46,960 --> 00:08:49,480 Speaker 3: across multiple sites if you want to play the round 202 00:08:49,559 --> 00:08:52,120 Speaker 3: up game like it at three two point seven on PFF. 203 00:08:52,120 --> 00:08:54,480 Speaker 3: I believe two point eight on Fantasy Pro, so it's 204 00:08:54,600 --> 00:08:57,160 Speaker 3: right around there. But I really really like this one. 205 00:08:57,200 --> 00:09:01,160 Speaker 3: Bengals defense clearly struggled with a receiver out of the backfield. 206 00:09:01,400 --> 00:09:03,960 Speaker 3: If the Jags are playing from behind, because the Bengals 207 00:09:03,960 --> 00:09:06,720 Speaker 3: are getting Higgins and Chase going early, Etan should get 208 00:09:06,760 --> 00:09:09,200 Speaker 3: some passes out of the backfield. So three receptions for 209 00:09:09,240 --> 00:09:10,760 Speaker 3: eten over for me. 210 00:09:11,640 --> 00:09:14,599 Speaker 1: Okay, let's talk about another backfield here, this one a 211 00:09:14,640 --> 00:09:17,360 Speaker 1: little bit muddier. I believe the Seattle Seahawks they're going 212 00:09:17,440 --> 00:09:20,959 Speaker 1: to travel to Pittsburgh, so that should be, I guess, 213 00:09:20,960 --> 00:09:23,680 Speaker 1: a good time the DK Metcalf revenge game. Is that 214 00:09:23,720 --> 00:09:26,200 Speaker 1: what we're getting? Aaron Rodgers first started at home as 215 00:09:26,200 --> 00:09:29,079 Speaker 1: a Pittsburgh Steeler, but ken Walker last week very disappointing. 216 00:09:29,080 --> 00:09:31,960 Speaker 1: Give them the foot issue. So the receptions prople for 217 00:09:32,040 --> 00:09:34,520 Speaker 1: him is at one and a half. Ericson how do 218 00:09:34,520 --> 00:09:35,200 Speaker 1: you want to approach this? 219 00:09:36,160 --> 00:09:38,120 Speaker 2: Well, I got to just say I'm very glad that 220 00:09:38,120 --> 00:09:39,920 Speaker 2: I'm not on the fantas Pros live stream this week 221 00:09:39,960 --> 00:09:41,640 Speaker 2: where I'm gonna have to fend off ken Walker ver 222 00:09:41,760 --> 00:09:42,920 Speaker 2: zach sharbon A questions. 223 00:09:42,960 --> 00:09:46,359 Speaker 1: So good Lucke. I spent an hour of it yesterday. 224 00:09:46,600 --> 00:09:47,520 Speaker 1: Good luck to you guys. 225 00:09:48,080 --> 00:09:49,560 Speaker 2: I hope it works out for you, because I have 226 00:09:49,600 --> 00:09:51,000 Speaker 2: no idea how this is going to shake out in 227 00:09:51,040 --> 00:09:52,800 Speaker 2: terms of who's going to score the most Fantasy points. 228 00:09:52,840 --> 00:09:54,920 Speaker 2: But I feel confident that ken Walker is going to 229 00:09:54,920 --> 00:09:57,640 Speaker 2: at least catch two passes because he's been over one 230 00:09:57,679 --> 00:10:01,360 Speaker 2: and a half receptions twelve straight games. Every single game 231 00:10:01,440 --> 00:10:03,760 Speaker 2: last year, he was over one and half catches Week one, 232 00:10:03,960 --> 00:10:05,800 Speaker 2: as bad as the usage was overall for him in 233 00:10:05,880 --> 00:10:07,839 Speaker 2: terms of snaps and just total touches. Even though he 234 00:10:07,880 --> 00:10:10,640 Speaker 2: did be the backfield touches, still had three targets, caught 235 00:10:10,640 --> 00:10:13,360 Speaker 2: all three of them for four yards. So Sam Darnold 236 00:10:13,520 --> 00:10:15,760 Speaker 2: not a mobile quarterback by any means. So when TJ. 237 00:10:15,840 --> 00:10:17,960 Speaker 2: Watt is chasing him down, he's looking for dump offs. 238 00:10:18,200 --> 00:10:20,400 Speaker 2: That's gonna be ken Walker's job. So don't know how 239 00:10:20,400 --> 00:10:22,320 Speaker 2: many points is going to score for Fantasy football, but 240 00:10:22,600 --> 00:10:24,120 Speaker 2: he's going to be evolved in the passing game. So 241 00:10:24,200 --> 00:10:26,000 Speaker 2: ken Walker, this is a gimme for me. Over one 242 00:10:26,000 --> 00:10:26,760 Speaker 2: and half receptions. 243 00:10:26,760 --> 00:10:28,720 Speaker 3: I was staring at this one too, just to point out, 244 00:10:28,760 --> 00:10:31,720 Speaker 3: like I think I am leaning a little charboney over Walker, 245 00:10:31,800 --> 00:10:34,320 Speaker 3: especially in my ranks for fantasy this week. But Walker 246 00:10:34,400 --> 00:10:36,560 Speaker 3: used in the passing game. I gave a good hard 247 00:10:36,559 --> 00:10:38,880 Speaker 3: stare at this one because it's a low number. Maybe 248 00:10:38,920 --> 00:10:41,200 Speaker 3: even if you're a I love to do like reception, 249 00:10:41,280 --> 00:10:43,680 Speaker 3: little prop parlays if you want to put one together. 250 00:10:43,760 --> 00:10:45,679 Speaker 3: Don't hate putting this in if it gets too juice. 251 00:10:45,679 --> 00:10:46,600 Speaker 3: But this is a good pick. 252 00:10:47,120 --> 00:10:49,120 Speaker 1: I've dropped Walker in my rankings a lot. I'm just 253 00:10:49,160 --> 00:10:51,560 Speaker 1: not sure he's healthy. So that's that's where I'm Matt. 254 00:10:51,600 --> 00:10:55,120 Speaker 1: I'd probably play Scharboney over him, but I'd like to 255 00:10:55,160 --> 00:10:57,520 Speaker 1: see the other Is there a third window or what's 256 00:10:57,559 --> 00:10:59,360 Speaker 1: under the box that I can play? I like to 257 00:10:59,400 --> 00:11:00,480 Speaker 1: play that game instead. 258 00:11:00,559 --> 00:11:03,040 Speaker 2: I thought that guy could be Bill, but that was 259 00:11:03,080 --> 00:11:03,880 Speaker 2: not the right answer. 260 00:11:04,559 --> 00:11:07,000 Speaker 1: Well again, it's funny because yesterday I had a little 261 00:11:07,040 --> 00:11:08,320 Speaker 1: roster crunch in the league and I was like, man, 262 00:11:08,360 --> 00:11:10,360 Speaker 1: I can have to drop Chris Rodriguez because he's gonna 263 00:11:10,360 --> 00:11:12,480 Speaker 1: be an active again. And I was like, immediately after 264 00:11:12,520 --> 00:11:15,160 Speaker 1: I saw the Eckler thing, I was like, oh, well, 265 00:11:15,200 --> 00:11:17,000 Speaker 1: I guess he's gonna be active next week. So there 266 00:11:17,040 --> 00:11:19,480 Speaker 1: you go. Get some goal line work. Good times. All right, 267 00:11:19,760 --> 00:11:22,000 Speaker 1: let's continue on with the bets here. 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Terms and conditions apply. Concerned about 287 00:12:12,520 --> 00:12:15,040 Speaker 1: gambling in Florida called one eight eight eight Admit it. 288 00:12:15,080 --> 00:12:16,760 Speaker 1: In Indiana if you are something you know has a 289 00:12:16,800 --> 00:12:19,160 Speaker 1: gambling problem and wants help, call one eight hundred and 290 00:12:19,200 --> 00:12:22,920 Speaker 1: nine with it. Gambling problem called one hundred gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois. 291 00:12:22,920 --> 00:12:26,920 Speaker 1: In New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia. Let's get after the 292 00:12:27,040 --> 00:12:30,440 Speaker 1: third prop on the board for the Welsh, and let's 293 00:12:30,440 --> 00:12:32,880 Speaker 1: go to those Indianapolis Colts. 294 00:12:32,440 --> 00:12:35,480 Speaker 3: And we are going to continue our overstreak. It's my 295 00:12:35,520 --> 00:12:36,640 Speaker 3: Twitter handle, is it the Welsh? 296 00:12:36,679 --> 00:12:37,559 Speaker 1: It's is it the over? 297 00:12:37,720 --> 00:12:40,240 Speaker 3: And it is yes this week and we are going 298 00:12:40,320 --> 00:12:44,080 Speaker 3: to go with Tyler Warren. Tyler Warren's receiving yard prop 299 00:12:44,280 --> 00:12:46,599 Speaker 3: hovering in different spots between The lowest I've seen is 300 00:12:46,640 --> 00:12:48,559 Speaker 3: forty one point five. You can check out I'm betting 301 00:12:48,600 --> 00:12:52,360 Speaker 3: pros between forty one and forty two point five. Obviously, 302 00:12:52,360 --> 00:12:54,840 Speaker 3: everybody's in on Tyler Warren after last week, but when 303 00:12:54,880 --> 00:12:58,080 Speaker 3: you look deeper, Yes, nine targets, great, seven catches for 304 00:12:58,160 --> 00:13:01,720 Speaker 3: seventy six yards. Love it across the But he received 305 00:13:01,760 --> 00:13:04,400 Speaker 3: a thirty percent first read share, which was tied for 306 00:13:04,480 --> 00:13:06,960 Speaker 3: the second highest of tight ends this week and the 307 00:13:07,160 --> 00:13:10,800 Speaker 3: number one highest overall target share among tight ends. 308 00:13:10,880 --> 00:13:11,480 Speaker 1: Ridiculous. 309 00:13:11,600 --> 00:13:14,319 Speaker 3: He also ranked top five in yards per target at 310 00:13:14,320 --> 00:13:17,840 Speaker 3: the position and top five in air yard share. He 311 00:13:18,120 --> 00:13:20,320 Speaker 3: is just clearly the weapon that they were talking to 312 00:13:20,400 --> 00:13:23,000 Speaker 3: us about. And then you also throw in that certan 313 00:13:23,080 --> 00:13:25,640 Speaker 3: out there is gonna lock somebody down, whether it is Pittman. 314 00:13:25,960 --> 00:13:29,000 Speaker 3: Whether they move it around Pierce, it's not gonna be Warren. 315 00:13:29,280 --> 00:13:31,480 Speaker 3: And if this is gonna be a tough defensive matchup, 316 00:13:31,679 --> 00:13:34,080 Speaker 3: you're gonna look for a lot of probably checkdowns and 317 00:13:34,120 --> 00:13:37,160 Speaker 3: shorter things, which kind of leads to Josh Downs or 318 00:13:37,240 --> 00:13:40,360 Speaker 3: Tyler Warren. They love Tyler Warren. He was used big 319 00:13:40,400 --> 00:13:43,160 Speaker 3: time last week. I expect for them to be down 320 00:13:43,440 --> 00:13:45,880 Speaker 3: and I think this is a lay up here. Anything 321 00:13:45,960 --> 00:13:48,520 Speaker 3: under fifty for Tyler Warren looks really, really good. He 322 00:13:48,520 --> 00:13:50,959 Speaker 3: probably could also look at the receptions. But the receptions 323 00:13:51,200 --> 00:13:53,520 Speaker 3: you've got to play at five right now. No one's 324 00:13:53,559 --> 00:13:55,319 Speaker 3: giving you four. So do you want to play five 325 00:13:55,360 --> 00:13:59,319 Speaker 3: receptions or do you want to play around forty something 326 00:13:59,440 --> 00:14:02,559 Speaker 3: yards for a guy that ranked in the top five 327 00:14:02,720 --> 00:14:05,679 Speaker 3: of yards per target and air yard share at tight end. 328 00:14:05,720 --> 00:14:07,840 Speaker 3: I'm gonna take Tyler Warren receiving yards and I'm gonna 329 00:14:07,840 --> 00:14:08,080 Speaker 3: take the. 330 00:14:08,080 --> 00:14:10,840 Speaker 1: Over Andrew Ericson. You've got some feelings about the Colts 331 00:14:10,840 --> 00:14:12,360 Speaker 1: as well, let's talk about yours. 332 00:14:12,800 --> 00:14:15,200 Speaker 2: Yeah, So I'm gonna go towards Josh Downs going over 333 00:14:15,280 --> 00:14:17,960 Speaker 2: three and a half reception. So again last week, one 334 00:14:18,000 --> 00:14:19,600 Speaker 2: of the props I hit was the under on Calvin 335 00:14:19,640 --> 00:14:21,520 Speaker 2: Ridley because I was trying to take advantage. Okay, who's 336 00:14:21,520 --> 00:14:23,440 Speaker 2: Patrick Shirtang going to match up against and can I 337 00:14:23,440 --> 00:14:25,840 Speaker 2: bet against that player? So originally I opened up looking 338 00:14:25,880 --> 00:14:27,760 Speaker 2: at Okay, she's got to slam the under on Michael 339 00:14:27,800 --> 00:14:30,240 Speaker 2: Pittman Jr. Lock and load move on with my day. 340 00:14:30,520 --> 00:14:33,520 Speaker 2: But when I looked at what Patrick Shtan has done 341 00:14:33,520 --> 00:14:36,000 Speaker 2: sometimes when he's faced some of these elite tight ends. 342 00:14:36,040 --> 00:14:38,560 Speaker 2: So last year in the second matchup against the Raiders, 343 00:14:38,600 --> 00:14:41,720 Speaker 2: he actually was on brock Bowers and brock Powers fell 344 00:14:41,840 --> 00:14:44,160 Speaker 2: short of his receptions prop in that specific matchup. So 345 00:14:44,200 --> 00:14:46,440 Speaker 2: I like the angle that Welsh is taking here where 346 00:14:46,760 --> 00:14:49,360 Speaker 2: you're avoiding the receptions because that's where you run too 347 00:14:49,360 --> 00:14:53,520 Speaker 2: issues with a top tier defender. But Warren is explosive 348 00:14:53,520 --> 00:14:55,200 Speaker 2: after the cash, so he could get here on one 349 00:14:55,200 --> 00:14:57,240 Speaker 2: big play even if he falls short of the reception. 350 00:14:57,320 --> 00:14:59,160 Speaker 2: So I agree with Wels that the best angle with 351 00:14:59,200 --> 00:15:01,760 Speaker 2: Warren is on the yard maage. But the most confidence 352 00:15:01,840 --> 00:15:03,480 Speaker 2: is Sir Chain's not going to go on the slot 353 00:15:03,560 --> 00:15:05,120 Speaker 2: like he does not go there. He's not going to 354 00:15:05,160 --> 00:15:07,920 Speaker 2: travel Josh Downs, So I like Downs Again. After a 355 00:15:08,040 --> 00:15:10,240 Speaker 2: quiet week one, he still had two catches in the 356 00:15:10,280 --> 00:15:12,120 Speaker 2: first half. The Colts then have to do a lot 357 00:15:12,120 --> 00:15:13,360 Speaker 2: in the second half because they were blowing out the 358 00:15:13,400 --> 00:15:15,360 Speaker 2: Miami Dolphins. So I think that he eats here, and 359 00:15:15,360 --> 00:15:16,800 Speaker 2: I think that people a kind of forgetting about him. 360 00:15:16,800 --> 00:15:18,960 Speaker 2: He was an exciting player, like really productive last year, 361 00:15:19,200 --> 00:15:21,280 Speaker 2: targeted at a very high rate, and I think he's 362 00:15:21,280 --> 00:15:22,680 Speaker 2: gonna see more volume in week two. 363 00:15:23,320 --> 00:15:25,840 Speaker 1: I gotta tell you, you have more faith, both of you, 364 00:15:25,960 --> 00:15:28,320 Speaker 1: in Daniel Jones against the Broncos than I do. I 365 00:15:28,360 --> 00:15:30,600 Speaker 1: am out in the Colts. I think last week was 366 00:15:30,680 --> 00:15:33,200 Speaker 1: more of a byproduct of the Miami Dolphins. But maybe 367 00:15:33,200 --> 00:15:34,920 Speaker 1: I'm wrong and the guys are right. We shall see 368 00:15:34,920 --> 00:15:36,280 Speaker 1: how it all plays out in front of us. 369 00:15:36,360 --> 00:15:39,240 Speaker 3: I should say even better though, if the Broncos are, 370 00:15:39,480 --> 00:15:41,120 Speaker 3: you know, putting it to the Colts, the Colts are 371 00:15:41,120 --> 00:15:42,880 Speaker 3: going to be playing from behind in the whole second half, 372 00:15:42,920 --> 00:15:44,000 Speaker 3: and they're going to be passing. 373 00:15:43,720 --> 00:15:46,200 Speaker 1: Them three and a half of number one downs. Yes, 374 00:15:46,720 --> 00:15:49,200 Speaker 1: is what you want. If Daniel Jones isn't throwing picks, 375 00:15:49,200 --> 00:15:51,360 Speaker 1: and if Daniel Jones is playing well and Daniel Jones 376 00:15:51,440 --> 00:15:53,840 Speaker 1: is completing passes to his own team or standing up 377 00:15:53,880 --> 00:15:55,760 Speaker 1: right in the pocket or whatever, I just think the 378 00:15:55,760 --> 00:15:58,480 Speaker 1: Broncos are going to take out their frustrations of Week 379 00:15:58,520 --> 00:16:00,480 Speaker 1: one out on the Colts because it was not a 380 00:16:00,480 --> 00:16:02,920 Speaker 1: good look for the Broncos. They know. I talked about 381 00:16:02,920 --> 00:16:04,960 Speaker 1: this yesterday in the show. I think Week one was 382 00:16:04,960 --> 00:16:06,920 Speaker 1: a trap game for them. They fell right into it. 383 00:16:07,080 --> 00:16:09,120 Speaker 1: They did not prepare for the Tannsey Titans. Tennse Titans 384 00:16:09,160 --> 00:16:10,760 Speaker 1: were ready to play football in the Broncos thought it 385 00:16:10,760 --> 00:16:12,480 Speaker 1: was just gonna be a cake walking It wasn't, you. 386 00:16:12,480 --> 00:16:15,520 Speaker 2: Know, touchdown props. 387 00:16:17,480 --> 00:16:19,800 Speaker 1: I understand the overs, but like I don't know, we'll see. 388 00:16:19,880 --> 00:16:23,000 Speaker 1: Like I said, I'm just i gotta see it again 389 00:16:23,120 --> 00:16:25,760 Speaker 1: against a real team because the Dolphins are not that Dolphins. 390 00:16:25,960 --> 00:16:27,920 Speaker 1: They're not all right. If you need more help with 391 00:16:27,920 --> 00:16:30,360 Speaker 1: your props, to use the prop bet cheat sheet, don't 392 00:16:30,360 --> 00:16:32,520 Speaker 1: be a tool. Use the tools. Download the Betting Pros 393 00:16:32,520 --> 00:16:35,040 Speaker 1: app right now, or you could also go to bettingpros 394 00:16:35,080 --> 00:16:37,200 Speaker 1: dot com slash props and take a look at the 395 00:16:37,200 --> 00:16:39,640 Speaker 1: prop bet cheat sheet. You get your best props out 396 00:16:39,640 --> 00:16:43,760 Speaker 1: there based upon the sports book, the number, and the 397 00:16:43,800 --> 00:16:46,840 Speaker 1: fantasy projection, so you can make the best bets on 398 00:16:46,880 --> 00:16:50,280 Speaker 1: the overs or the unders on all the props. Passing rushing, receiving, 399 00:16:50,680 --> 00:16:53,440 Speaker 1: every category, every game, every prop. It's all out there 400 00:16:53,440 --> 00:16:55,760 Speaker 1: with the best line you can find over bettingpros dot 401 00:16:55,760 --> 00:16:58,320 Speaker 1: Com slash props again, just download the Betting Pros app 402 00:16:58,480 --> 00:17:02,200 Speaker 1: bets smarter, not harder, and let's get to another prop here. Well, 403 00:17:02,240 --> 00:17:04,480 Speaker 1: so let's go back to you for number four and 404 00:17:04,640 --> 00:17:07,080 Speaker 1: Deepro is very much in on George Pickens and it 405 00:17:07,080 --> 00:17:08,720 Speaker 1: looks like you are as well. 406 00:17:09,200 --> 00:17:11,560 Speaker 3: Yes I am, and I'm going to highly suggest the 407 00:17:11,600 --> 00:17:14,040 Speaker 3: Betting Pros as well to be locked into the prop 408 00:17:14,119 --> 00:17:16,639 Speaker 3: cheat sheet and the analyzer because this prop is on 409 00:17:16,680 --> 00:17:19,119 Speaker 3: the move. I'm I'm gonna be transparent. I have this 410 00:17:19,200 --> 00:17:20,680 Speaker 3: at a lower number than you were going to get 411 00:17:20,680 --> 00:17:23,040 Speaker 3: it because I got it in a couple days ago 412 00:17:23,160 --> 00:17:25,919 Speaker 3: at fifty two point five. This is already moving, but 413 00:17:26,280 --> 00:17:29,240 Speaker 3: the Betting Pros prop cheat sheet has also shown me 414 00:17:29,240 --> 00:17:31,000 Speaker 3: that you can get it at fifty four point five. 415 00:17:31,000 --> 00:17:34,119 Speaker 3: This is George Pickens receiving yards over, so make sure 416 00:17:34,160 --> 00:17:36,240 Speaker 3: you're locked in there to find the best line. Last week, 417 00:17:36,880 --> 00:17:40,719 Speaker 3: bad game sixty two air yards. Still love that ninety 418 00:17:40,760 --> 00:17:43,240 Speaker 3: one percent snapshare, one of the highest of any wide 419 00:17:43,240 --> 00:17:45,040 Speaker 3: receiver out there, so he is going to stay out 420 00:17:45,040 --> 00:17:49,240 Speaker 3: there all game long. Good matchup according to PFF. Two 421 00:17:49,440 --> 00:17:53,879 Speaker 3: of the three corners on PFF rated sixties out of 422 00:17:54,000 --> 00:17:57,000 Speaker 3: ninety five at cornerback. So why is that important? Because 423 00:17:57,080 --> 00:18:00,560 Speaker 3: your positive corner locking up on Ceedee Lamb all day long. 424 00:18:00,720 --> 00:18:03,159 Speaker 3: So you've got two very subpar corners that are going 425 00:18:03,200 --> 00:18:05,840 Speaker 3: to be at George Pickens the Giants. They're built for 426 00:18:05,960 --> 00:18:07,639 Speaker 3: run stopping, and that is going to lead to the 427 00:18:07,640 --> 00:18:11,320 Speaker 3: Cowboys airing the ball out against a big questionable secondary. 428 00:18:11,880 --> 00:18:16,520 Speaker 3: Projections on Fantasy Pros have Pickens at sixty two right now. 429 00:18:16,720 --> 00:18:19,840 Speaker 3: This number is in the mid fifties. George Pickens. Week, 430 00:18:20,119 --> 00:18:22,280 Speaker 3: we're going with the over. I have it a little 431 00:18:22,320 --> 00:18:24,040 Speaker 3: bit lower than you're gonna get it. I like it 432 00:18:24,160 --> 00:18:25,919 Speaker 3: under sixty. I like it as low as you can 433 00:18:25,960 --> 00:18:28,280 Speaker 3: possibly get. But we're gonna go with Pickens over receiving 434 00:18:28,320 --> 00:18:29,800 Speaker 3: yards against the Giants this week. 435 00:18:30,200 --> 00:18:32,200 Speaker 1: All right? So another Pickens over get it while the 436 00:18:32,240 --> 00:18:35,280 Speaker 1: getting's good. Next one here ericson. This is another one 437 00:18:35,280 --> 00:18:37,280 Speaker 1: we talked about in the Live strit yesterday on Fantasy Pros. 438 00:18:37,560 --> 00:18:40,200 Speaker 1: Deebro In on Pickens, but very much out on keyon 439 00:18:40,240 --> 00:18:41,960 Speaker 1: Coleman based on the corner matchup and it looks like 440 00:18:42,000 --> 00:18:42,720 Speaker 1: you are as well. 441 00:18:43,200 --> 00:18:45,320 Speaker 2: Yeah, I think Keon Coleman's gonna get the It's gonna 442 00:18:45,359 --> 00:18:48,000 Speaker 2: get sauced this week in week two. So that's my 443 00:18:48,080 --> 00:18:51,000 Speaker 2: concern for Keon Coleman, and Coleman to me is not. Yes, 444 00:18:51,160 --> 00:18:53,840 Speaker 2: obviously Week one was a monster game from him, but 445 00:18:54,240 --> 00:18:56,919 Speaker 2: he really thrives I think when it's more of a contested, 446 00:18:56,960 --> 00:18:59,480 Speaker 2: back and forth contest. Now I'm expecting, obviously the Jets 447 00:18:59,520 --> 00:19:01,840 Speaker 2: offense to put up some points against Buffalo, but I 448 00:19:01,840 --> 00:19:04,000 Speaker 2: think Buffalo can control this game a little bit more 449 00:19:04,000 --> 00:19:06,520 Speaker 2: than they did against Baltimore. Keep in mind that last 450 00:19:06,520 --> 00:19:08,840 Speaker 2: week with Kean Coleman, he had one catch in the 451 00:19:08,840 --> 00:19:10,960 Speaker 2: first half, so all of his production was in the 452 00:19:10,960 --> 00:19:13,520 Speaker 2: second half when he was moss and dudes contested catches 453 00:19:13,600 --> 00:19:16,320 Speaker 2: all over the place. But that was against a You know, 454 00:19:16,440 --> 00:19:18,880 Speaker 2: some of the Ravens corners aren't nearly as good as 455 00:19:19,040 --> 00:19:22,560 Speaker 2: Sauce Gardner, and last week Sauce Gardner was shadow coveraging 456 00:19:22,640 --> 00:19:25,040 Speaker 2: DK Metcalf Like that's something that we haven't necessarily always 457 00:19:25,040 --> 00:19:27,879 Speaker 2: seen from Gardner in his career. But in this Aaron 458 00:19:27,920 --> 00:19:30,800 Speaker 2: Glenn defense that loves to play man coverage, they said, Nope, 459 00:19:30,840 --> 00:19:32,840 Speaker 2: you're going on DK, that's what you're doing, and he 460 00:19:32,960 --> 00:19:35,880 Speaker 2: was really effective in that matchup. So against Kim Coleman, 461 00:19:36,160 --> 00:19:39,080 Speaker 2: not the I would say the best separator and route 462 00:19:39,119 --> 00:19:40,960 Speaker 2: runner in terms of wide receiver skill. 463 00:19:41,000 --> 00:19:41,399 Speaker 1: He gets. 464 00:19:41,640 --> 00:19:44,000 Speaker 2: He can make contested catches, but I don't know if 465 00:19:44,000 --> 00:19:45,600 Speaker 2: he's gonna be able to come down with four contested 466 00:19:45,640 --> 00:19:48,359 Speaker 2: catches against tight coverage. So because the Bills loved to 467 00:19:48,359 --> 00:19:50,320 Speaker 2: spread the wealth between all their different receivers, I think 468 00:19:50,359 --> 00:19:51,879 Speaker 2: Josh Allen, it's gonna be easy for him to be like, 469 00:19:51,920 --> 00:19:54,080 Speaker 2: all right, I don't really need to test Coleman in 470 00:19:54,080 --> 00:19:56,840 Speaker 2: this particular matchup. Both games against the Debts last year, 471 00:19:56,960 --> 00:20:00,080 Speaker 2: Keon Coleman was under three and a half catches, So 472 00:20:00,080 --> 00:20:01,040 Speaker 2: I'm gonna take the under here. 473 00:20:01,200 --> 00:20:02,639 Speaker 3: I also want to point out this is one of 474 00:20:02,640 --> 00:20:05,360 Speaker 3: those that we talked about earlier when we're always doing 475 00:20:05,400 --> 00:20:08,960 Speaker 3: our constant battle of receptions versus yards. Keon Coleman is 476 00:20:09,000 --> 00:20:12,080 Speaker 3: a huge field stretcher. He could destroy the receiving yard 477 00:20:12,080 --> 00:20:15,040 Speaker 3: prop in one catch, but getting the multitude of them 478 00:20:15,080 --> 00:20:16,840 Speaker 3: so well, No, I mean I think we were playing 479 00:20:16,840 --> 00:20:18,919 Speaker 3: across the board this this one. No, this is not 480 00:20:18,960 --> 00:20:21,119 Speaker 3: always yards because he could kill it in one. So 481 00:20:21,119 --> 00:20:23,720 Speaker 3: when we're taking the under, I think this is this one. 482 00:20:23,800 --> 00:20:27,239 Speaker 1: Yes, yeah, But when you're taking overs, you're looking at 483 00:20:27,480 --> 00:20:29,880 Speaker 1: always For me, it's always yards, unless it's an absurd 484 00:20:30,000 --> 00:20:33,000 Speaker 1: situation where you know that, like for this week right 485 00:20:33,040 --> 00:20:36,040 Speaker 1: where the whatever the Kelsey number is, I'm going over 486 00:20:36,080 --> 00:20:39,600 Speaker 1: it right because he's last man standing. Basically, you know 487 00:20:39,600 --> 00:20:41,119 Speaker 1: they're going to have to throw them in the football 488 00:20:41,119 --> 00:20:43,000 Speaker 1: and force the football team. That's it. And it's the 489 00:20:43,040 --> 00:20:44,960 Speaker 1: one spot too where I think the Eagles are still 490 00:20:44,960 --> 00:20:47,120 Speaker 1: a little on the weaker side, so you know that's 491 00:20:47,160 --> 00:20:48,600 Speaker 1: that's what you want to do. That's how you want 492 00:20:48,640 --> 00:20:51,600 Speaker 1: to attack them. So that makes sense. But again you 493 00:20:51,680 --> 00:20:54,080 Speaker 1: just get yourself more opportunity when you go for the yards. 494 00:20:54,080 --> 00:20:57,320 Speaker 1: But you're one hundred percent correct Welsh in this circumstance today, 495 00:20:58,000 --> 00:21:01,199 Speaker 1: Keon Coleman, you looking for the cat number, especially for 496 00:21:01,200 --> 00:21:03,199 Speaker 1: a guy like me under Yeah, Oh I like this. 497 00:21:03,240 --> 00:21:07,080 Speaker 1: He's boomer Bus for sure. Let's go to Welsh's final 498 00:21:07,200 --> 00:21:10,360 Speaker 1: prop bet here before we start turning the page to touchdowns. 499 00:21:10,880 --> 00:21:13,240 Speaker 1: It was a slow week for the rookie running backs, 500 00:21:13,280 --> 00:21:15,560 Speaker 1: as it usually is usually Septembers, like just slow for 501 00:21:15,640 --> 00:21:18,080 Speaker 1: rookie running backs. But what does week two hold in 502 00:21:18,160 --> 00:21:21,320 Speaker 1: store for RJ. Harvey Welsh I'm gonna get gross. 503 00:21:21,400 --> 00:21:23,639 Speaker 3: This is gonna be my last one here that I 504 00:21:23,680 --> 00:21:25,800 Speaker 3: think might get gross, but it might be one of 505 00:21:25,800 --> 00:21:26,400 Speaker 3: my favorites. 506 00:21:26,560 --> 00:21:26,760 Speaker 1: R J. 507 00:21:26,960 --> 00:21:29,840 Speaker 3: Harvey did not get the snaps that we wanted, nor 508 00:21:29,880 --> 00:21:31,520 Speaker 3: did he get the carries, but he had some of 509 00:21:31,520 --> 00:21:34,439 Speaker 3: the productions. So this week this number has dipped a 510 00:21:34,440 --> 00:21:34,880 Speaker 3: little bit. 511 00:21:35,520 --> 00:21:35,760 Speaker 1: RJ. 512 00:21:35,920 --> 00:21:39,240 Speaker 3: Harvey rushing yards twenty eight point five over. It is 513 00:21:39,280 --> 00:21:41,200 Speaker 3: such a low total, we've got to attack it. So 514 00:21:41,280 --> 00:21:44,920 Speaker 3: last week six carries seventy yards. Obviously every average around 515 00:21:45,040 --> 00:21:47,760 Speaker 3: eleven yards per carry, but about seventy percent was done 516 00:21:47,800 --> 00:21:50,760 Speaker 3: on one play. Positives though is he had only like 517 00:21:50,760 --> 00:21:53,160 Speaker 3: a thirty three percent stuff rate, so he's getting past 518 00:21:53,200 --> 00:21:56,040 Speaker 3: the line of scrimmage. And in those six carries already 519 00:21:56,040 --> 00:21:59,679 Speaker 3: had forced two misstackles. And there's video out there of 520 00:21:59,880 --> 00:22:02,480 Speaker 3: just one of that really great run where he was 521 00:22:02,520 --> 00:22:04,520 Speaker 3: just like cutting through the guards in and out. Just 522 00:22:04,560 --> 00:22:07,280 Speaker 3: incredible vision. So going to the Colts, Colts were twenty 523 00:22:07,320 --> 00:22:10,680 Speaker 3: fourth in yards allowed after contact to running backs in 524 00:22:11,040 --> 00:22:13,920 Speaker 3: week one. Love that bottom half of the league defensive 525 00:22:13,920 --> 00:22:17,320 Speaker 3: front against running backs, and they ranked twenty seven out 526 00:22:17,359 --> 00:22:20,240 Speaker 3: of thirty two in miss tackles, so they were missing 527 00:22:20,320 --> 00:22:22,960 Speaker 3: those tackles. Harvey may be able to get this in 528 00:22:23,119 --> 00:22:25,720 Speaker 3: just one carry. Again, I don't want to bank that 529 00:22:25,800 --> 00:22:27,399 Speaker 3: he's going to go out and get, you know, and 530 00:22:27,440 --> 00:22:31,399 Speaker 3: break some big thirty. But you've got a bad defensive 531 00:22:31,440 --> 00:22:34,199 Speaker 3: front that is giving up yards after contact, that is 532 00:22:34,359 --> 00:22:37,320 Speaker 3: missing tackles in general for a player that was forcing 533 00:22:37,359 --> 00:22:40,600 Speaker 3: that and has big breakaway speed. So the usage was low. 534 00:22:40,880 --> 00:22:44,040 Speaker 3: I think he's super explosive. They've talked about giving him 535 00:22:44,040 --> 00:22:45,879 Speaker 3: a little bit more run. They want to get him 536 00:22:45,920 --> 00:22:49,119 Speaker 3: the ball more. I'm I'm really not super crazy worried 537 00:22:49,119 --> 00:22:51,960 Speaker 3: about the snap percentage here because also if this game 538 00:22:52,000 --> 00:22:54,119 Speaker 3: does get out of hand, we should see Harvey in 539 00:22:54,119 --> 00:22:55,840 Speaker 3: the second half. Even more so, I think this is 540 00:22:55,840 --> 00:22:58,880 Speaker 3: a low total that this explosive running back can hit. 541 00:22:58,920 --> 00:23:00,760 Speaker 3: So I'm going with a low one twenty eight point 542 00:23:00,760 --> 00:23:02,000 Speaker 3: five over rushing yards for R. J. 543 00:23:02,119 --> 00:23:04,600 Speaker 1: Harvey this week. I was waiting with baited breath for 544 00:23:04,640 --> 00:23:06,440 Speaker 1: the answer because when you put in the show sheet 545 00:23:06,440 --> 00:23:08,119 Speaker 1: you didn't have an old under. I thought it was 546 00:23:08,119 --> 00:23:08,440 Speaker 1: a team. 547 00:23:08,520 --> 00:23:11,080 Speaker 3: Oh yeah, that's so funny, No, go look at it. 548 00:23:11,119 --> 00:23:13,240 Speaker 1: I was like, I was like, oh, is her sure? 549 00:23:13,480 --> 00:23:16,399 Speaker 1: I didn't sure, does he like it? And then he 550 00:23:16,440 --> 00:23:18,720 Speaker 1: opened it up saying right to Rickson, He's like, you know, 551 00:23:18,880 --> 00:23:20,640 Speaker 1: this is a little dangerous, and I'm like, Oh, what's 552 00:23:20,640 --> 00:23:22,960 Speaker 1: he gonna do? What's he gonna give you guys? The mystery? 553 00:23:23,200 --> 00:23:26,119 Speaker 2: So when I saw it in there, I thought it 554 00:23:26,200 --> 00:23:28,000 Speaker 2: was an under I thought you were going with like 555 00:23:28,080 --> 00:23:30,359 Speaker 2: I thought you were going with the undertake with r 556 00:23:30,440 --> 00:23:33,159 Speaker 2: J Harvey. And that's actually what I bet when we 557 00:23:33,200 --> 00:23:36,000 Speaker 2: were looking at the show, she actually under yes, because 558 00:23:36,000 --> 00:23:37,760 Speaker 2: that's what I thought you were making the argument for it, 559 00:23:37,840 --> 00:23:39,280 Speaker 2: because I didn't see in the show. She was like, Oh, 560 00:23:39,320 --> 00:23:41,240 Speaker 2: like r J Harvey, you got that one explosive run, 561 00:23:41,240 --> 00:23:43,440 Speaker 2: but he got no touches basically last week. So I 562 00:23:43,520 --> 00:23:45,800 Speaker 2: like this sharp play from Welsh going on the under route, 563 00:23:45,800 --> 00:23:48,920 Speaker 2: and then you just came on the show not sharp word. 564 00:23:49,640 --> 00:23:51,520 Speaker 1: Well, don't worry, I updated it. 565 00:23:51,480 --> 00:23:53,920 Speaker 2: But I would say, though, I think that volume should 566 00:23:53,920 --> 00:23:55,359 Speaker 2: be a legitimate concern with r J. 567 00:23:55,480 --> 00:23:55,800 Speaker 3: Harvey. 568 00:23:55,800 --> 00:23:57,080 Speaker 2: And again, Sean Payton. 569 00:23:56,880 --> 00:23:58,600 Speaker 1: For September, you were for September. 570 00:23:58,960 --> 00:24:01,199 Speaker 2: Remember well, she the one that was smart last year 571 00:24:01,200 --> 00:24:02,639 Speaker 2: about aldrick estimate. Remember when he was giving me be 572 00:24:02,640 --> 00:24:04,560 Speaker 2: a bunch of more carries, Sean Payton said us, And 573 00:24:04,560 --> 00:24:06,240 Speaker 2: then you were the one that was right about fading 574 00:24:06,280 --> 00:24:08,000 Speaker 2: him about taking the under on his rushing rds the 575 00:24:08,000 --> 00:24:10,439 Speaker 2: next week. Well, why would you just bet his longest 576 00:24:10,480 --> 00:24:13,639 Speaker 2: rush to go over, like so you don't have to sweat? Okay, 577 00:24:13,640 --> 00:24:15,960 Speaker 2: does he get enough carries? But I just read because 578 00:24:16,080 --> 00:24:17,880 Speaker 2: a lot of stuff you've listened off with about efficiency 579 00:24:17,960 --> 00:24:19,720 Speaker 2: and how he can rip off like a bigger, more 580 00:24:19,760 --> 00:24:22,479 Speaker 2: efficient run, maybe that would be the more appropriate. Well, 581 00:24:22,480 --> 00:24:24,240 Speaker 2: maybe there's a reason why you didn't put over under 582 00:24:24,240 --> 00:24:26,760 Speaker 2: in this sheet because the real prop should have been 583 00:24:27,040 --> 00:24:29,639 Speaker 2: the longest rushing attempt to go over. Whatever it was 584 00:24:29,680 --> 00:24:30,960 Speaker 2: for R. J. Harby, I don't hate that. 585 00:24:31,040 --> 00:24:33,199 Speaker 3: But here's one thing I would point out, Like, if 586 00:24:33,240 --> 00:24:35,879 Speaker 3: you're just playing, you know the yards per carry marker, 587 00:24:35,880 --> 00:24:38,159 Speaker 3: and he's even averaging only three if he gets the 588 00:24:38,160 --> 00:24:41,919 Speaker 3: same usage last week, you're still like you're single digit 589 00:24:42,000 --> 00:24:44,359 Speaker 3: a practically single digit under what you need to go. 590 00:24:44,440 --> 00:24:45,920 Speaker 3: So does he get any more run? 591 00:24:45,960 --> 00:24:46,160 Speaker 1: Here? 592 00:24:46,200 --> 00:24:48,200 Speaker 3: Can you build that in? He was explosive last week? 593 00:24:48,240 --> 00:24:50,200 Speaker 3: You get a few more carries? Is this game out 594 00:24:50,240 --> 00:24:52,760 Speaker 3: of hand at all? For the Colts? He gets more carries. 595 00:24:53,200 --> 00:24:56,840 Speaker 3: If I'm getting ten carries and averaging three yards per 596 00:24:56,920 --> 00:24:58,719 Speaker 3: I'm getting this. And this is not accounting for an 597 00:24:58,720 --> 00:25:01,919 Speaker 3: atrocious bad line, and this is not accounting for a 598 00:25:01,920 --> 00:25:04,520 Speaker 3: little uptick and his actual explosiveness. 599 00:25:04,640 --> 00:25:05,119 Speaker 1: I like it. 600 00:25:05,119 --> 00:25:07,000 Speaker 3: I actually think a sharp play might be the over 601 00:25:07,280 --> 00:25:10,960 Speaker 3: on the longest run, but I think under thirty yards 602 00:25:11,000 --> 00:25:12,639 Speaker 3: this is a stupid number for a guy that in 603 00:25:12,680 --> 00:25:15,080 Speaker 3: fantasy I don't really want to start, But I do 604 00:25:15,119 --> 00:25:17,040 Speaker 3: think the Broncos are gonna take this game, and I 605 00:25:17,080 --> 00:25:19,040 Speaker 3: think this is gonna I mean, this might pull in 606 00:25:19,040 --> 00:25:20,359 Speaker 3: the first half, but I think this is going to 607 00:25:20,400 --> 00:25:21,120 Speaker 3: pull in the second half. 608 00:25:21,119 --> 00:25:21,600 Speaker 2: But I like it. 609 00:25:21,680 --> 00:25:23,680 Speaker 3: This is the battle of us we are playing. We're 610 00:25:23,680 --> 00:25:25,640 Speaker 3: on opposite sides of both of this. So let's track 611 00:25:25,680 --> 00:25:27,080 Speaker 3: this next week and I might start doing this a 612 00:25:27,080 --> 00:25:29,480 Speaker 3: little bit more. I'll have a mystery, so you guys can. 613 00:25:29,400 --> 00:25:32,920 Speaker 1: To Welsh's mystery. Bet everybody that I was trying to 614 00:25:32,960 --> 00:25:34,800 Speaker 1: find the longest one for him. I don't see it 615 00:25:34,880 --> 00:25:35,600 Speaker 1: up there yet. 616 00:25:35,680 --> 00:25:37,919 Speaker 3: They'll probably post that on the weekend. It'll probably be 617 00:25:38,080 --> 00:25:38,880 Speaker 3: like eight point. 618 00:25:38,960 --> 00:25:41,480 Speaker 1: There were some slacky ones and some specials like did 619 00:25:41,600 --> 00:25:43,320 Speaker 1: r J Harvey to have a run of over twenty 620 00:25:43,640 --> 00:25:46,439 Speaker 1: over five yards in each quarter, which is like a 621 00:25:46,560 --> 00:25:49,600 Speaker 1: five plus five hundred return like things like that. 622 00:25:49,680 --> 00:25:51,280 Speaker 2: I wonder what the pat would because sometimes we do 623 00:25:51,320 --> 00:25:52,960 Speaker 2: this some of these boomer Bus receivers, kind of like 624 00:25:53,040 --> 00:25:55,040 Speaker 2: ke On Coleman, where you bet the under on the 625 00:25:55,080 --> 00:25:57,680 Speaker 2: reception but the over on the yards. Like, what would 626 00:25:57,680 --> 00:25:59,720 Speaker 2: it be to bet the over on Harvey's total yards 627 00:26:00,160 --> 00:26:01,480 Speaker 2: the under on his total carries? 628 00:26:02,359 --> 00:26:04,000 Speaker 3: Well, what are his total carries out? I don't think 629 00:26:04,040 --> 00:26:06,680 Speaker 3: they've posted that. I would imagine they're probably six point five, 630 00:26:06,760 --> 00:26:07,480 Speaker 3: seven point five. 631 00:26:07,800 --> 00:26:08,560 Speaker 2: Have some fun with r J. 632 00:26:08,680 --> 00:26:10,840 Speaker 1: Harvey. Seven and a half is the number. 633 00:26:10,920 --> 00:26:13,600 Speaker 3: Seven point five, So you want to I mean, I'm 634 00:26:13,600 --> 00:26:15,359 Speaker 3: probably gonna take the over on that as well. 635 00:26:15,640 --> 00:26:17,440 Speaker 1: Well, I can tell you if you take the under 636 00:26:17,560 --> 00:26:21,080 Speaker 1: on the attempts and the over on the yards, which 637 00:26:21,080 --> 00:26:22,639 Speaker 1: has gone up by the way to twenty nine and 638 00:26:22,680 --> 00:26:25,400 Speaker 1: a half, put those two things together, you can't parlay them. 639 00:26:25,440 --> 00:26:27,880 Speaker 1: But boo, it's available. 640 00:26:28,280 --> 00:26:30,800 Speaker 3: Blame, blame, give it to us. 641 00:26:30,960 --> 00:26:33,760 Speaker 1: Come on, be better, rock All right, let's go. Let's 642 00:26:33,800 --> 00:26:36,360 Speaker 1: go for Ericson's last one year. It was a slow 643 00:26:36,440 --> 00:26:38,959 Speaker 1: start for Eagles wide receivers in Week one as well, 644 00:26:39,440 --> 00:26:43,080 Speaker 1: which one comes out of the gates smoking in Week two. 645 00:26:43,920 --> 00:26:46,000 Speaker 2: It's gonna be Demonta Smith. That's who I think is 646 00:26:46,040 --> 00:26:48,720 Speaker 2: going to just absolutely cook in Week two over fifty 647 00:26:48,760 --> 00:26:50,520 Speaker 2: seven and a half receiving yards. The numbers going up 648 00:26:50,640 --> 00:26:52,679 Speaker 2: because there's an injury to Dallas Godard doesn't look like 649 00:26:52,680 --> 00:26:54,600 Speaker 2: he's gonna play. But that's the reason why I'm so 650 00:26:54,640 --> 00:26:57,560 Speaker 2: confident that it's going to be Demonta Smith, because whenever 651 00:26:57,760 --> 00:27:00,800 Speaker 2: Smith or aj Brown misses time to Smith, he goes 652 00:27:00,800 --> 00:27:03,639 Speaker 2: from robin to batman, essentially, like he becomes the stud 653 00:27:03,880 --> 00:27:05,639 Speaker 2: offensive player that we know he can be with the 654 00:27:05,640 --> 00:27:08,280 Speaker 2: amount of volume that he gets. So you look at 655 00:27:08,320 --> 00:27:10,440 Speaker 2: last year, basically he was a top twelve Fantasy wide 656 00:27:10,440 --> 00:27:12,879 Speaker 2: receiver in terms of all of his yardage, his touchdowns 657 00:27:13,160 --> 00:27:15,119 Speaker 2: when one of those guys missed time last year. And 658 00:27:15,520 --> 00:27:17,960 Speaker 2: when you look at what he's done against the Chiefs, 659 00:27:18,160 --> 00:27:21,360 Speaker 2: like this specific defense with Spagnola calling the shots. He's 660 00:27:21,359 --> 00:27:23,960 Speaker 2: played four career games against the Chiefs, including obviously the 661 00:27:23,960 --> 00:27:27,040 Speaker 2: Super Bowls in a couple regular season matchups, no less 662 00:27:27,040 --> 00:27:29,520 Speaker 2: than sixty nine receiving yards in any of those games, 663 00:27:29,680 --> 00:27:32,320 Speaker 2: and he's three games with at least ninety nine receiving yards. 664 00:27:32,440 --> 00:27:35,159 Speaker 2: So I think DeVante Smith. I love him ladders, I 665 00:27:35,160 --> 00:27:37,960 Speaker 2: love him touchdown like all over the place beyond DeVonta Smith. 666 00:27:38,000 --> 00:27:40,359 Speaker 2: This week, Starmon Fantasy start bet on him to do 667 00:27:40,400 --> 00:27:41,920 Speaker 2: well because it's he's gonna have a big game. 668 00:27:42,200 --> 00:27:43,639 Speaker 1: Well, I hope so, because I got a share of 669 00:27:43,680 --> 00:27:45,280 Speaker 1: him in a very important league and he was a 670 00:27:45,280 --> 00:27:47,359 Speaker 1: disappointment to me and others, and I just lost by 671 00:27:47,359 --> 00:27:50,359 Speaker 1: a couple of points. So he was still better than 672 00:27:50,400 --> 00:27:50,560 Speaker 1: a J. 673 00:27:50,680 --> 00:27:51,600 Speaker 2: Brown in week one. 674 00:27:52,400 --> 00:27:55,520 Speaker 1: Well the bar was low, James Cameron, the bar was low, 675 00:27:55,560 --> 00:27:58,520 Speaker 1: all right. Touchdown Score Report is available for you bettingpros 676 00:27:58,560 --> 00:28:01,159 Speaker 1: dot com slash Touchdowns. You're looking for an edge there, 677 00:28:01,520 --> 00:28:03,720 Speaker 1: well we've got it for you over at Betting Pros. 678 00:28:03,800 --> 00:28:07,199 Speaker 1: Anytime touchdown bets are easier with us, So the report 679 00:28:07,520 --> 00:28:10,640 Speaker 1: compares anytime touchdown stats to the prop bets and projections 680 00:28:10,640 --> 00:28:12,959 Speaker 1: to help identify the very best any time tds you're 681 00:28:13,000 --> 00:28:17,159 Speaker 1: gonna find. And speaking of tds again, Welsh and I 682 00:28:17,240 --> 00:28:20,280 Speaker 1: hit payder each of us once, each of us lost, 683 00:28:20,359 --> 00:28:22,120 Speaker 1: and Andrew Erikson is still looking to find the end zone. 684 00:28:22,119 --> 00:28:23,840 Speaker 1: So Ericson, I'll let you go first this week. Let's 685 00:28:23,840 --> 00:28:26,560 Speaker 1: get you in the end zone. First and foremost, let's 686 00:28:26,600 --> 00:28:28,800 Speaker 1: force feed you some carries at the goal line. 687 00:28:29,040 --> 00:28:31,439 Speaker 3: Please say RJ Harvey off, Just say RJ Harvey. 688 00:28:34,200 --> 00:28:37,280 Speaker 2: So this ties into some of my parlays, my three 689 00:28:37,359 --> 00:28:39,960 Speaker 2: leg parlay the Lions and Tigers and Bills. Oh my 690 00:28:40,360 --> 00:28:42,320 Speaker 2: parlay that I have role in this week. So buying 691 00:28:42,320 --> 00:28:44,920 Speaker 2: the bounce back on the Bengals offense, in the Lions offense, 692 00:28:44,960 --> 00:28:46,600 Speaker 2: so connecting you with some of their players that I 693 00:28:46,640 --> 00:28:50,160 Speaker 2: think see a lot of high red zone usage. Sam Laporta. 694 00:28:50,520 --> 00:28:52,400 Speaker 2: Last year when he faced the Bears at home, he 695 00:28:52,440 --> 00:28:55,240 Speaker 2: scored two touchdowns. Last week, he was the leading receiver 696 00:28:55,360 --> 00:28:58,600 Speaker 2: for the Detroit Lions nine target, six catches seventy nine yards, 697 00:28:58,720 --> 00:29:00,560 Speaker 2: ran a round on eighty eight percent drop backs. He 698 00:29:00,600 --> 00:29:03,120 Speaker 2: also had two red zone targets. But obviously, like we know, 699 00:29:03,200 --> 00:29:05,440 Speaker 2: they did not score or he did not score. So 700 00:29:05,480 --> 00:29:07,800 Speaker 2: I think that positive touchdown regression is coming. I was 701 00:29:07,800 --> 00:29:10,840 Speaker 2: on the Romeo Dobbs anytime touchdown last night for Thursday Night. 702 00:29:11,040 --> 00:29:13,600 Speaker 2: Why because they saw two red zone targets in week one. 703 00:29:13,640 --> 00:29:15,920 Speaker 2: So I'm following the process here chasing the red zone 704 00:29:15,920 --> 00:29:17,840 Speaker 2: targets with Laporta in a matchup where the lines are 705 00:29:17,840 --> 00:29:20,200 Speaker 2: going to score points. And then my second one is 706 00:29:20,200 --> 00:29:23,000 Speaker 2: with T Higgins. He was also a red zone monster 707 00:29:23,160 --> 00:29:25,400 Speaker 2: last season. He scored a ton of touchdowns attached to 708 00:29:25,440 --> 00:29:27,080 Speaker 2: Joe Burrow and the trend that I found with him 709 00:29:27,120 --> 00:29:28,960 Speaker 2: and why I like the Bengals offense to bounce back. 710 00:29:29,680 --> 00:29:32,040 Speaker 2: The Bengals are three to ozher towards the over in 711 00:29:32,120 --> 00:29:34,840 Speaker 2: games after they faced the Cleveland Browns, which are games 712 00:29:34,840 --> 00:29:38,360 Speaker 2: that seemingly underwhelm every single year over the past two seasons. 713 00:29:38,640 --> 00:29:41,840 Speaker 2: In the two games that T Higgins has played post Browns, 714 00:29:42,120 --> 00:29:45,720 Speaker 2: he has scored a total of five receiving touchdowns. So 715 00:29:45,920 --> 00:29:48,240 Speaker 2: I think that when the Bengals go burr this week, 716 00:29:48,440 --> 00:29:50,080 Speaker 2: Tie Higgins is going to find the end zone. 717 00:29:50,480 --> 00:29:53,959 Speaker 1: All right, welch, the goal line is yours. Who are 718 00:29:53,960 --> 00:29:54,400 Speaker 1: you taking? 719 00:29:54,480 --> 00:29:56,480 Speaker 3: Well, we're going to play that goal line here. The 720 00:29:56,520 --> 00:29:59,720 Speaker 3: Carolina Panthers, not a super super great team, could be 721 00:29:59,720 --> 00:30:01,720 Speaker 3: playing a little bit from behind, but I think when 722 00:30:01,720 --> 00:30:04,040 Speaker 3: they get into short yardage, it's gonna be Cuba time. 723 00:30:04,120 --> 00:30:08,240 Speaker 3: Cuba was not in any big rotation with Rico Dowdell. 724 00:30:08,440 --> 00:30:10,840 Speaker 3: He got a heavy load of usage, and I think 725 00:30:10,880 --> 00:30:13,480 Speaker 3: this is a really good spot it's essentially plus it's 726 00:30:13,560 --> 00:30:16,240 Speaker 3: even money. It's like plus one hundred. So I like 727 00:30:16,320 --> 00:30:19,560 Speaker 3: Cuba in this matchup and my little bit deeper play. 728 00:30:19,560 --> 00:30:21,880 Speaker 3: I'm gonna target to my receiving yards and we're gonna 729 00:30:21,920 --> 00:30:24,360 Speaker 3: go back to Tyler Warren. And Tyler Warren is close 730 00:30:24,400 --> 00:30:26,440 Speaker 3: to two and a half to one plus two thirty five. 731 00:30:26,680 --> 00:30:28,640 Speaker 3: I think when you get into short yardage, clearly you're 732 00:30:28,640 --> 00:30:31,000 Speaker 3: gonna want to look at Jonathan Taylor. That defensive line 733 00:30:31,040 --> 00:30:33,240 Speaker 3: is gonna lock down. You're gonna have Sir Tamp probably 734 00:30:33,280 --> 00:30:35,719 Speaker 3: plan the outside with a big guy for fades like 735 00:30:35,800 --> 00:30:38,680 Speaker 3: Michael Pittman or Pierce, and that leaves open Tyler Warren 736 00:30:38,720 --> 00:30:40,680 Speaker 3: down the middle. I think that's gonna be a big 737 00:30:40,720 --> 00:30:42,719 Speaker 3: target play here. I think he's gonna score a touchdown 738 00:30:42,760 --> 00:30:44,560 Speaker 3: and it's two and a half to one. I like this, 739 00:30:44,640 --> 00:30:47,320 Speaker 3: maybe even more than my Cuba Hubard one. So two 740 00:30:47,320 --> 00:30:48,960 Speaker 3: and a half and a plus one hundred. As we 741 00:30:49,000 --> 00:30:52,280 Speaker 3: are continuing to try to get big positive returns on 742 00:30:52,320 --> 00:30:54,880 Speaker 3: our touchdown calls this year, and hopefully he can keep 743 00:30:54,920 --> 00:30:56,760 Speaker 3: pace a little bit. Got to get ahead of Ericson 744 00:30:56,840 --> 00:30:59,560 Speaker 3: and you, Joey for my touchdowns, what do you got This. 745 00:30:59,480 --> 00:31:02,160 Speaker 1: One's easy for me. I'm just finding the Carolina Panthers 746 00:31:02,360 --> 00:31:04,600 Speaker 1: and just looking around. Who are they playing this week? Oh? Good, 747 00:31:04,680 --> 00:31:08,520 Speaker 1: the Cardinals. Okay, James Connor. Look, it's minus one sixty 748 00:31:08,680 --> 00:31:10,840 Speaker 1: anytime touchdown. That's no fun. So what are we gonna do. 749 00:31:10,880 --> 00:31:12,600 Speaker 1: We're gonna cut the game in half, It's like we 750 00:31:12,640 --> 00:31:14,760 Speaker 1: always do, and we're gonna turn that minus to a 751 00:31:14,800 --> 00:31:18,120 Speaker 1: plus one sixty. That's what we're gonna do. And that's 752 00:31:18,160 --> 00:31:20,320 Speaker 1: an easy one for me. So again, it's just the 753 00:31:20,360 --> 00:31:23,040 Speaker 1: Carolina Panthers can't stop anybody two hundred yards rushing. I 754 00:31:23,040 --> 00:31:24,920 Speaker 1: know it was a lot on a big play, but 755 00:31:25,000 --> 00:31:26,960 Speaker 1: it was three thousand yards. Last year they gave out 756 00:31:26,960 --> 00:31:30,480 Speaker 1: three thousand on the ground. That's a lot, boys and girls, 757 00:31:29,480 --> 00:31:32,880 Speaker 1: it's on your real number. Because I remember I mentioned 758 00:31:32,880 --> 00:31:34,400 Speaker 1: I was like, ah, they gave up two hundreds. Well 759 00:31:34,440 --> 00:31:36,600 Speaker 1: it was on one big play. I'm like, okay, what. 760 00:31:36,560 --> 00:31:40,080 Speaker 2: About the three thousand last year one of their defensive 761 00:31:40,080 --> 00:31:41,480 Speaker 2: tackles is also out just one or. 762 00:31:41,480 --> 00:31:43,840 Speaker 1: Two other big plays to get to three thousand, and 763 00:31:43,880 --> 00:31:46,320 Speaker 1: then the other one is I also watched Lamar Jackson 764 00:31:46,400 --> 00:31:49,640 Speaker 1: run a muck on the Buffalo Bills defense and it's 765 00:31:49,680 --> 00:31:51,760 Speaker 1: got some injuries they're doing with two on defense side 766 00:31:51,760 --> 00:31:54,000 Speaker 1: of the football. So for me, Justin Fields this week 767 00:31:54,040 --> 00:31:56,560 Speaker 1: has an opportunity again plus one forty to take the 768 00:31:56,560 --> 00:32:00,640 Speaker 1: ball into the end zone himself. There. Look, Field's played 769 00:32:00,720 --> 00:32:03,520 Speaker 1: very well, I think Buffalo. I'm not saying they're got 770 00:32:03,560 --> 00:32:05,120 Speaker 1: a let down, but it would not surprise me if 771 00:32:05,160 --> 00:32:07,280 Speaker 1: the Jets covered. It's not my favorite bet of the week, 772 00:32:07,320 --> 00:32:09,440 Speaker 1: but it would not shock me if this got a 773 00:32:09,440 --> 00:32:11,720 Speaker 1: little lackluster or the Bills just kind of, you know, 774 00:32:11,800 --> 00:32:14,920 Speaker 1: after that big emotional Sunday night victory turnaround and ended 775 00:32:15,000 --> 00:32:17,440 Speaker 1: up going eh, okay, you know, let's you know, we 776 00:32:17,520 --> 00:32:19,000 Speaker 1: ended up bo It's the Jets, same old Jets. But 777 00:32:19,000 --> 00:32:20,200 Speaker 1: I don't think it is the same old Jets. I 778 00:32:20,240 --> 00:32:23,000 Speaker 1: think this Jet team is a little bit more spunk 779 00:32:23,120 --> 00:32:25,760 Speaker 1: and a lot more leadership, and I think Fields looks 780 00:32:25,840 --> 00:32:27,600 Speaker 1: very comfortable in the offense they're running right now in 781 00:32:27,600 --> 00:32:30,640 Speaker 1: Tanner Engstrom's bright young football mind. The new oc there 782 00:32:30,840 --> 00:32:33,040 Speaker 1: coming over from Detroit with Aaron Glenn. So give me 783 00:32:33,160 --> 00:32:36,240 Speaker 1: Justin Fields plus one forty, give me James Connor plus 784 00:32:36,240 --> 00:32:39,960 Speaker 1: one sixty for the first half touchdown, and that's how 785 00:32:39,960 --> 00:32:42,000 Speaker 1: we're going. So if you want to tail us, make 786 00:32:42,040 --> 00:32:44,480 Speaker 1: sure you download the Betting Pros app and of course 787 00:32:44,560 --> 00:32:47,080 Speaker 1: use the search feature to find Andrew Erickson, to find 788 00:32:47,120 --> 00:32:49,680 Speaker 1: Joe Pizapia and find the Welsh. That's all one word, 789 00:32:49,920 --> 00:32:51,880 Speaker 1: and of course subscribe to the Betting Pros YouTube channel. 790 00:32:51,880 --> 00:32:53,560 Speaker 1: That'll do for us, but the story of the game 791 00:32:53,600 --> 00:32:56,880 Speaker 1: goes on for the Welsh and Andrew Erickson. I'm Joey p. 792 00:32:57,480 --> 00:32:59,160 Speaker 1: We'll see you next time. Kids. 793 00:33:00,000 --> 00:33:02,400 Speaker 4: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you 794 00:33:02,480 --> 00:33:04,840 Speaker 4: love the show, the best freeway to support us is 795 00:33:04,840 --> 00:33:08,240 Speaker 4: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. 796 00:33:08,560 --> 00:33:11,160 Speaker 4: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and 797 00:33:11,280 --> 00:33:14,920 Speaker 4: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube 798 00:33:15,000 --> 00:33:17,480 Speaker 4: channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros