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Speaker 1: What's up, guys?

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Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Sunday morning episode of

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Speaker 2: the Daily Juice podcast. My name is Matt Parolti. You

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Speaker 2: guys can follow me across all of my socials. And

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Speaker 2: yesterday was not a good day. It was such a

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Speaker 2: bad day that the slide got deleted somehow, so I

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Speaker 2: can't even put the slide up to show you the bets.

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Speaker 1: We got wrong. It was. It was bad.

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Speaker 2: It was a bad day, and we're just gonna ignore it.

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Speaker 2: We're gonna move past it. We got one bet right,

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Speaker 2: that's it was Utah. Everything else is horrible. Why didn't

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Speaker 2: I listen to myself and take Oregon? Oregon plus three

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Speaker 2: and a half was the play I took Penn State.

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Speaker 2: I made a very large mistake. It's a good lesson, right,

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Speaker 2: listen to yourself. How to cam conversation with somebody. They

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Speaker 2: pointed out the hook the three and a half and said,

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Speaker 2: you know, look at that. The books are hanging that

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Speaker 2: because Penn State's live and they were live.

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Speaker 1: Look, they lost the game in overtime.

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Speaker 2: But why did they lose the game Because James Franklin

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Speaker 2: coach is scared and does things like punting in a

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Speaker 2: three to three football game when his offense had nothing

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Speaker 2: going from the plus side of the field and not

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Speaker 2: being aggressive, and then finally having to be aggressive in

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Speaker 2: the fourth quarter and all of a sudden, you can

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Speaker 2: pass on that defense by throwing deep, which why weren't

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Speaker 2: you doing that all game? And then Drew Aller threw

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Speaker 2: the pick that he throw he always throws. I mean,

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Speaker 2: that's what Drew Aller does. He did it in the playoffs.

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Speaker 2: He can't beat I mean, Drew Aller and James Franklin

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Speaker 2: are the perfect marriage for quarterback and head coach. They

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Speaker 2: both can't get it done. Sorry, Penn State, but that's it.

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Speaker 2: We've seen this story before. You might get into the postseason,

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Speaker 2: but that's it. Not good, not good at all. So

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Speaker 2: am I frustrated? Yeah, so we move on. We turn

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Speaker 2: the page onto Sunday. Live stream today at twelve noon

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Speaker 2: Eastern nine am Pacific time on the Betting Pros YouTube channel.

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Speaker 1: You can join myself and Andrew Erickson.

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Speaker 2: I believe it's ericson this week, stepping in to break

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Speaker 2: down everything happening in the NFL. I'll give you a

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Speaker 2: couple of plays, a long teaser. I'll give you some

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Speaker 2: player props that I like. We'll go over the entire

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Speaker 2: card get picks four ericson although it may be Pat

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Speaker 2: fitz Morris, maybe it's Pat. I think it's Pat fitz Morris. Tomorrow, Yes,

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Speaker 2: I think it's Pat fits Morse. So anyways, apologies, I

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Speaker 2: forget the schedule. It's late, but well it picks plays

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Speaker 2: and a whole breakdown coming up at noon Eastern time

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Speaker 2: on the Betting Pros YouTube channel. Join us on our

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Speaker 2: YouTube channel four Week four of the NFFEL. This podcast

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Speaker 2: is being brought to you by our friends at hard

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Speaker 2: Rock Bet. Now you guys should know this by now,

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Speaker 2: can go and place your bets. Crazy stats they'd like

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Speaker 2: to point out for you guys entering Sunday. Josh Shacobs

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Speaker 2: ten straight games with a touchdown against the NFC, The

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Speaker 2: Chiefs ten straight home wins against the AFC. Keenan Allen

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Speaker 2: fifty eight plus receiving yards as a favorite in seven

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Speaker 2: consecutive games, the Colts nine game losing streak as underdogs

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Speaker 2: versus the NFC.

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Speaker 1: I like that trend.

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Speaker 2: Jamiir Gibbs has a touchdown in seven straight games when

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Speaker 2: the Lions are favored. The Jags have lost eight in

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Speaker 2: a row on the road against the NFC West. You

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Speaker 2: can make that nine in a row. Rashad White scoring

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Speaker 2: a touchdown in six consecutive games as an underdog. I

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Speaker 2: don't know if that hits against the Eagles, and so

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Speaker 1: Eight admit it.

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Speaker 2: New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, and ver Virginia. Okay, right out

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Speaker 2: of the gate, I'm telling you right now, if you're

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Speaker 2: watching this Vikings minus two and a half, why well,

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Speaker 2: here's why. There's some interesting numbers and stats going into

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Speaker 2: this game. And it's an international game, Okay. Favorites in

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Speaker 2: international games have done very very well. In fact, thirty

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Speaker 2: six thirteen in one straight up, so against the number

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Speaker 2: thirty two and eighteen. So yeah, I like the Vikings.

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Speaker 2: Why well, look at Aaron Rodgers and the Steelers. I

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Speaker 2: watched them play last week against the Patriots, and they

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Speaker 2: should have lost. The five turnovers were yes, caused by

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Speaker 2: the Steelers, but it was a lot of the Patriots

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Speaker 2: making very bad mistakes for fumbles. In one interception, I

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Speaker 2: don't think Carson Wentz is going to do that. It

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Speaker 2: was a seven point win twenty one to fourteen with

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Speaker 2: five turnovers that should have been a route like it

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Speaker 2: should have been a route. I'm not buying the line

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Speaker 2: that Aaron Rodgers knows the vikings and that's why the

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Speaker 2: Steelers are going to win. And I would more like

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Speaker 2: to say that I think Carson Wentz under Kevin O'Connell

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Speaker 2: is going to have a really good game against the

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Speaker 2: defense that the Patriots had a hard time exploiting, but

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Speaker 2: they were opportunities to do so again to fumbles at

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Speaker 2: the goal line. For the Patriots, they scored fourteen points,

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Speaker 2: but they should have scored more. When it comes to this,

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Speaker 2: the public is all over the vikings, and generally speaking,

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Speaker 2: when in the international Games, it's been sort of just

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Speaker 2: whatever you think is going to happen happens.

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Speaker 1: We don't see many wonky things.

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Speaker 2: There was always like a narrative that don't bet the

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Speaker 2: overseas games because who knows, well, yeah, we kind of know.

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Speaker 2: It's been pretty easy to bet the international games just

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Speaker 2: by laying points. Small favorites have come in and catched consistently.

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Speaker 2: I like the defense for the Vikings. I like Carson

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Speaker 2: Wentz to not make mistakes. I like this offense to

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Speaker 2: be able to move the ball on the Steelers. I

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Speaker 2: think they can run on the Steelers, which is going

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Speaker 2: to be huge. The Steelers run defense has not been good.

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Speaker 2: The Steelers running game themselves has been totally non existence.

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Speaker 2: The Pittsburgh Steelers are averaging a little over two point

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Speaker 2: eight yards per carry that it is second worst in

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Speaker 2: the NFL. Can't run the football. Vikings have a stout defense.

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Speaker 2: Brian Flores, I think is going to have a lot

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Speaker 2: of problems, a lot of things to create problems for

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Speaker 2: this Pittsburgh Steelers offense. I'll lay the two and a

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Speaker 2: half points Vikings minus two and a half for one

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Speaker 2: point one units bet number two.

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Speaker 1: Let's go to the Lions.

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Speaker 2: And and so we're going to put that up Vikings

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Speaker 2: minus two and a half Lions in the Browns. Well,

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Speaker 2: the Lions are playing on a short week after picking

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Speaker 2: on the Ravens on Monday Night Football, and this stat

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Speaker 2: from the Action Network is interesting. Teams on a short

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Speaker 2: week facing a team not on short rest who opened

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Speaker 2: as a double digit favorite, which the Lions did, are

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Speaker 2: two and seven ats. Two and seven ets. Yes, dating

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Speaker 2: back to twenty twenty, that's not great. So will the

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Speaker 2: Browns be able to hang around here in this game? Yes,

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Speaker 2: I think that they will. But I think they score.

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Speaker 2: I think Dan Campbell scores. I think the Lions scored.

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Speaker 2: I think Jared Goff, who's back at home in the Dome,

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Speaker 2: has been completely dominant when he has been playing at home.

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Speaker 2: He's forty two eighteen and one against the number playing indoors. Okay,

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Speaker 2: that's that's tremendous. I just think the Browns are going

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Speaker 2: to stop the run and then the passing attack gets

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Speaker 2: going here for the Lions, and I think big numbers

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Speaker 2: Jared Goff throws for a lot, I.

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Speaker 1: Think that they pick up.

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Speaker 2: You know, I'm surprised at this number being forty four

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Speaker 2: and a half. It's a really low total. I this

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Speaker 2: is the Lions like it. It's very hard for me

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Speaker 2: to believe the Lions aren't going to score twenty eight points.

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Speaker 2: And then how many points are we going to get

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Speaker 2: out of the Browns.

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Speaker 1: I think the Browns are going to score.

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Speaker 2: Browns have lost six straight games against the Number on

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Speaker 2: the road, and they've lost nine straight road games outright,

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Speaker 2: are they du Yeah, they haven't won consecutive road games

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Speaker 2: since December of twenty twenty.

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Speaker 1: The Browns don't play well on the road. The Browns

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Speaker 1: are coming.

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Speaker 2: Off of a win in which they've knocked out two

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Speaker 2: of my survivor entries and the Packers. So maybe you're

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Speaker 2: getting to sell on them high here and by laying

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Speaker 2: the points with the Lions. But I'm just not interested

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Speaker 2: in going near the spread here. It's too large for

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Speaker 2: a division game. So let's talk about the total over

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Speaker 2: forty four and a half at minus one ten. Bet

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Speaker 2: number two for US or number three for US here

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Speaker 2: in just one second. But have you guys gone in

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Speaker 2: pretty cool things.

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Speaker 2: Pros Premium for free. All right, let's go to the

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Speaker 2: Rams against the Colts. I am not a believer in

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Speaker 2: the Colts. Okay, I'm just not. You can tell me

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Speaker 2: I'm crazy, and you can say that this Colts team

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Speaker 2: is tremendous. But the Rams had a nineteen point lead against.

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Speaker 1: The Egos and blew it. You don't think they're going

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Speaker 1: to be ticked off.

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Speaker 2: They're going to be furious, I mean absolutely furious. So

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Speaker 2: you know this is it's a historic loss. How about this.

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Speaker 2: Teams that led by nineteen points or more, who were

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Speaker 2: plus three and a half dogs are higher, were one

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Speaker 2: to eighty five and five against the number over the

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Speaker 2: last twenty years.

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Speaker 1: And they lost.

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Speaker 2: The Rams did and they didn't cover, which is ridiculous.

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Speaker 2: I think the Rams defense is the difference here. I

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Speaker 2: think Daniel Jones comes back down to earth. I think

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Speaker 2: it's Sean McVay. I think it's Matthew Stafford. I think

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Speaker 2: they're playing at home when they're favored at home. They're

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Speaker 2: thirty two to nine straight up. That's tremendous. Okay, the

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Speaker 2: Colts are undefeated.

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Speaker 1: They're a dog. There's a reason why they're a dog.

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Speaker 2: Daniel Jones has faced Sean mcvage twice in his career,

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Speaker 2: and when he's with the Giants, they scored a grand

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Speaker 2: total of twenty points in both of those games. Daniel

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Speaker 2: Jones is good indoors, Okay, he is, you know, Dome

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Speaker 2: technically in LA. But I just think this is when

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Speaker 2: Shane Steich in company, this is when, you know, traveling

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Speaker 2: across the country, everyone expects the Colts to win this game.

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Speaker 2: I'm taking I'm taking the Rams. If I could get three,

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Speaker 2: I would lay it. But three and a half even money,

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Speaker 2: I'm okay with it. I just think this is going

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Speaker 2: to be you know, the Rams have been pretty good

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Speaker 2: in these spots under Sean McVay. It's Sean McVay, it's

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Speaker 2: Matthew Stafford, it's the Rams at home, it's the Rams defense.

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Speaker 2: And I think the the surprise is gone for Daniel Jones.

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Speaker 2: He's been the number one quarterback in the NFL on

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Speaker 2: paper so far. I don't believe that continues here today.

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Speaker 2: I'll lay the three and a half begrudgingly. I'd rather

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Speaker 2: lay three, okay, But I'm not buying points because of

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Speaker 2: what happened yesterday. I'm not interested in laying more juice

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Speaker 2: than I have to. So rams minus three and a

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Speaker 2: half at even money, hopefully just a four point win

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Speaker 2: for us here.

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Speaker 1: With that and the teaser of the day, there will

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Speaker 1: be another one. I'll give you a Wong.

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Speaker 2: Teaser coming up here because there's a lot of opportunities

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Speaker 2: for Wong teasers that we should have one for you

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Speaker 2: that fits the formula during the live stream today.

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Speaker 1: But the Patriots against.

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Speaker 2: The Carolina Panthers five and a half okay or six? Look,

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Speaker 2: the Patriots are at home. The Panthers are awful on

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Speaker 2: the road, and.

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Speaker 1: Maybe they cover. Okay, maybe they cover, But.

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Speaker 2: The Patriots are a team at home where I think

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Speaker 2: this is where Mike Vrabel and company gets after. It's

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Speaker 2: a get right spot with the Patriots and the Titans.

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Speaker 2: Mike Vrabel is twenty eight and eleven straight up with

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Speaker 2: teams under five hundred. Okay, Patriots pass defense is going

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Speaker 2: to get Christian Zalez back, which is big. I don't

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Speaker 2: like what Bryce Young has done I mean Bryce Young

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Speaker 2: not good seven total games in the NFL as a starter.

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Speaker 2: He's a guy you know when he's facing struggling pass defenses.

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Speaker 2: He's oh in seven straight up. This is a get

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Speaker 2: right spot for teams defensively. Bryce Young not Good has

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Speaker 2: started fifteen games total in his career on the road.

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Speaker 2: He's one in fourteen straight up in those road games,

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Speaker 2: five and ten against the number. Yes, they did cover

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Speaker 2: against Carolina in Week two, but against non divisional opponents

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Speaker 2: in his career, Bryce Young is oh to nine straight up.

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Speaker 2: Patriots teased down to half a point plus a half

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Speaker 2: a point. Just win the game, Okay, pull it down,

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Speaker 2: win the game. For the Patriots to worry about the number,

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Speaker 2: just tease it. And combine that with Justin Herbert and

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Speaker 2: the Chargers against a rookie quarterback in Jackson Dart and

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Speaker 2: the Giants. All right, Look, Herbert has been great in

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Speaker 2: the first half on the road. Twenty eight and fourteen

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Speaker 2: against the number in the first half.

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Speaker 1: That's tremendous.

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Speaker 2: Over the last twenty years, only Lamar Jackson has the

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Speaker 2: better first half ATS record than Justin Herbert. So I'll

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Speaker 2: be on the first half with the Chargers here but

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Speaker 2: for the game, I'm pulling it down and teasing it

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Speaker 2: because Justin Herbert is facing a defense that I think

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Speaker 2: he'll be able to put up points against. But more importantly,

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Speaker 2: Jackson Dart is going up against Jim Harbaugh and a

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Speaker 2: Jim Harbaugh coach defense. Like the guy in September is

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Speaker 2: fourteen six and two against the number as a head

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Speaker 2: coach in the NFL, and he's gonna feast on this.

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Speaker 2: Like's gonna feast on this. The last time the Giants

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Speaker 2: beat the Chargers was in nineteen ninety eight. That's the

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Speaker 2: last time the Giants beat the Chargers. It's been a

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Speaker 2: long time. Brian dabble, this is his excuse. Go ahead

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Speaker 2: and start the rookie.

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Speaker 1: Get it out of the way. Look, I think they

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Speaker 1: cover the six and a half.

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Speaker 2: I don't think the Chargers are need this, but I

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Speaker 2: just think it's an opportunity to just to pull it

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Speaker 2: down here.

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Speaker 1: They're playing Jackson Dart the rest of the year.

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Speaker 2: Fading rookies making their first start has been a very

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Speaker 2: profitable thing in the NFL. Home or road Chargers come

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Speaker 2: in with a defense and an offense, and Herbert doesn't

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Speaker 2: mind playing on the Eastern time zone. He's twenty and

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Speaker 2: ten against the number in the Eastern time Zone or

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Speaker 2: the Central time Zone. Jared Goff and Joe Burrow are

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Speaker 2: the only two quarterbacks who have a better record against

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Speaker 2: the spread in the Eastern time zone than Justin Herbert

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Speaker 2: thirteen and five in all games played in the Eastern

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Speaker 2: time zone.

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Speaker 1: This game is in the Eastern time zone.

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Speaker 2: Tease it down Chargers minus half a point teased with

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Speaker 2: the Patriots for them catching half a point for a

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Speaker 2: two leg six point teaser for US Patriots Chargers. So

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Speaker 2: plays for Sunday, more of these will come. I'll give

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Speaker 2: you some other options to play. It won't count for

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Speaker 2: the Dely Juice record, but I'll give you some of

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Speaker 2: the things you can bet that I have bet for

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Speaker 2: Sunday if you're interested. On the live stream at noon

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Speaker 2: Eastern time, nine am Pacific. Vikings laying two and a

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Speaker 2: half in Ireland. Early in the morning, Brown's Lions over

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Speaker 2: forty four and a half, Rams laying three and a

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Speaker 2: half at home against the Colts, Patriots and the Chargers.

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Speaker 2: Six point teaser Patriots against the Panthers and the Chargers

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Speaker 2: up against the New York Giants let's hope for a

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Speaker 2: bounce back Sunday after a really rough Saturday.

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Speaker 1: We'll need to probably sweep.

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Speaker 2: We probably need to go four and oh, and I

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Speaker 2: think we still might have a losing week even if

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Speaker 2: we sweep.

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Speaker 1: I think we still might have a losing week. But

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Speaker 1: we'll do the math on Monday.

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Speaker 2: The benefit though, is we get to count all of

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Speaker 2: our baseball futures for this week, so we get to

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Speaker 2: put that into the record, so that will help four

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Speaker 2: and one on our baseball futures that will cash coming

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Speaker 2: up here on Sunday today, the final day of the

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Speaker 2: regular season.

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Speaker 1: We'll count it all up on Monday.

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Speaker 2: Before we get into the two Monday night football games

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Speaker 2: coming up tomorrow. Minus Matt parolt To following me across

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Speaker 2: all of my socials at sports dooc Matt every morning

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Speaker 2: where every guys get your podcasts.

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Speaker 1: It is the Daily Juice.