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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Tuesday

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Speaker 1: morning edition of the Deal Juice Podcast with me Matt

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Speaker 1: Perelz my twitter handle at Sports Talk Matt Betting Pros

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Speaker 1: at Betting Pros. The bet NBM offer above me on

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Speaker 1: the YouTube video as always ten buck bet one hundred

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Speaker 1: and fifty bucks juice one fifty at sign up with

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Speaker 1: bet MGM. All right, So a two in one day,

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Speaker 1: two and zero in baseball, oh to one in hockey.

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Speaker 1: That might be my last hockey bet of the season.

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Speaker 1: I might be done with the NHL because man, oh

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Speaker 1: for my last five bets in hockey, and we had

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Speaker 1: over two and a half. That first goal that was it.

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Speaker 1: Once that came off the board, we were kind of

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Speaker 1: doa It was the right call, that was off sides,

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Speaker 1: but man, that first goal, I was like, yep, gonna

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Speaker 1: be one of those games for US. Colorado gets two goals,

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Speaker 1: not three. They posts they were all over Vassileski, but

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Speaker 1: he played really, really well. Blowout win for the Lightning.

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Speaker 1: It was Tampa and the over. I said Tampa and

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Speaker 1: the under, so I would have gone one in one

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Speaker 1: if I had bet Tampa and the under. So I

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Speaker 1: don't really feel like, yeah, I lost, and it would

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Speaker 1: have been better to go well, no, it would have

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Speaker 1: been a three and one day, I guess, instead of

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Speaker 1: a two in one day. So I mean a loss

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Speaker 1: to a loss. Look, I didn't think Tampa would score

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Speaker 1: that many goals, but I thought Tampa was going to

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Speaker 1: have to score and play it over a game for

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Speaker 1: them to win. It was gonna have to be an

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Speaker 1: over game. And it went way over flew over. So

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Speaker 1: baseball came in at the last Angels game, my goodness,

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Speaker 1: under eight and a half. That was a sweat and

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Speaker 1: a half. Both the last nine outs were complete, like

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Speaker 1: nail biting. It's why I'm taping this pretty late here

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Speaker 1: because I wanted to see if it's going to be

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Speaker 1: a winning day or not. So we do get a

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Speaker 1: winning day first in a while, so that's nice. It's small,

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Speaker 1: but I'll take anything I can get on this from

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Speaker 1: a winning day perspective. So we get the over easily

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Speaker 1: with the twelve runs from the Pirates twelve one win

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Speaker 1: over the Cubs, so that over comes in, and then

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Speaker 1: the under comes in for the Angels in the Royals

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Speaker 1: eight and a half, so get there too in one day.

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Speaker 1: I like it. Okay, So just real quick here, I

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Speaker 1: know a bunch of you guys who probably don't follow

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Speaker 1: on social media, you might know what's going on. I

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Speaker 1: can't tell you everything that what's going on with me.

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Speaker 1: I think the easiest thing either is ask somebody on

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Speaker 1: the Discord channel or go to my Twitter account and

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Speaker 1: you'll see everything that's going on. Okay, but the one

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Speaker 1: thing you've got to realize is that I'm leaving on

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Speaker 1: incredibly good terms with betting pros, and yes, I am leaving.

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Speaker 1: My last podcast will be on June will be the

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Speaker 1: morning of June thirtieth. That will be the last time

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Speaker 1: I will be hosting The Daily Juice. I could not

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Speaker 1: be more proud of what we have done. And well,

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Speaker 1: if you know me, you know how I am. I

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Speaker 1: don't stop, Okay, I'm a workaholic. Okay, So this podcast

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Speaker 1: with me as a host, it will continue with a

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Speaker 1: different host. It still will be here, So still listen.

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Speaker 1: It's in your inbox, be able to listen to it,

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Speaker 1: Discord Channel, everything else. It'll be a different podcast obviously

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Speaker 1: because it's being hosted by somebody else, so that will

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Speaker 1: make it different. But you know it's not going to

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Speaker 1: be the daily juice is not going to go away.

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Speaker 1: It's still going to be a part of your routine

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Speaker 1: every you know, if it's part of your morning, it's

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Speaker 1: still be part of your morning. So you know, it

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Speaker 1: just will be different. But I and we'll have time

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Speaker 1: to reminisce and go through some of the highlights and

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Speaker 1: what the last two years has been like. And you know,

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Speaker 1: I was talking with Dan Harris a bit yesterday about

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Speaker 1: just you know, how crazy these last two years have been,

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Speaker 1: and how so many of you guys found this podcast

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Speaker 1: during the pandemic as we were all locked out and

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Speaker 1: we're all locked in, we couldn't do anything. We started

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Speaker 1: this in July of twenty twenty and now here we

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Speaker 1: are in July or soon to be July of twenty

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Speaker 1: twenty two. It feels like so much more has happened

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Speaker 1: than just two years. But every morning, every day, But

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Speaker 1: I think it's four days I missed. I missed a

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Speaker 1: couple with COVID when I had my second bet with COVID,

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Speaker 1: missed a couple of days once in the hospital, So

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Speaker 1: I think I think four or five days. But for

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Speaker 1: every other day, for three sixty five times two, we've

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Speaker 1: been here doing this podcast, not always with the video.

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Speaker 1: The video. We added video about six months in. First

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Speaker 1: it was just audio, and then we added the video,

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Speaker 1: and then we added the Discord Saturday Morning Chat, and

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Speaker 1: we added the Sunday Morning stream and did a lot

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Speaker 1: of really fun stuff. And you know, I want to

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Speaker 1: go out with a bang. I want to go out solid.

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Speaker 1: I want to hit a couple of these parlays at

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Speaker 1: the end and the way out, hit a Friday parlay

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Speaker 1: on the way out. We have only one more Friday left,

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Speaker 1: that's this Friday, because next Thursday will be the end

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Speaker 1: of the Daily Juice as me as the host. So

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Speaker 1: I want to hit the Friday parlay and then you know,

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Speaker 1: move on and go on. But you can always get

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Speaker 1: at me at Sports Talk. Matt is my Twitter handle

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Speaker 1: dms are open. You know, I'm still in the media.

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Speaker 1: I'm still doing the stuff I'm gonna be doing, just

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Speaker 1: won't be doing it on this podcast. All right, So

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Speaker 1: it's Tuesday. Normally I give you guys just totals. But

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Speaker 1: there's one game I'm gonna bet with a side actually

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Speaker 1: a run line and a total, and then I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: come in with another total. I've been liking unders a

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Speaker 1: lot in baseball because the ball, I think is back

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Speaker 1: to being normal, and I think these unders, think these

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Speaker 1: numbers are getting juiced up a little bit high because

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Speaker 1: of it, and so I think we're seeing inflated numbers.

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Speaker 1: About the eight and a half last night, for instance,

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Speaker 1: what the Angels was inflated six to two. They left

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Speaker 1: Cyindergarten the game for two long give him a two

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Speaker 1: run bomb, and then Maria came in for the Angels

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Speaker 1: throwing fastballs to a fastball hitting team. I couldn't figure

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Speaker 1: it out, Like, stop throwing them fastballs, dude, Like, my goodness.

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Speaker 1: He almost blew at them himself. But we hung on

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Speaker 1: with a hook and we were lucky to get there

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Speaker 1: on the under eight and a half. But Dodgers and

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Speaker 1: the Reds okay, So if you guys haven't been paying

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Speaker 1: attention to what's going on with the Dodgers, I mean,

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Speaker 1: Tony Goslin is just ridiculous. He's eight and ohero with

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Speaker 1: a one point four to two eer. His whip is

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Speaker 1: point eight two. I mean, it's just this guy is stupid,

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Speaker 1: stupid good right now. So this is what he's done

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Speaker 1: over the last five starts. Six third no earned runs,

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Speaker 1: six innings, one earned run, six innings, no earned runs,

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Speaker 1: six innings, two earned runs, six innings, one earned run.

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Speaker 1: Total for this game is nine and a half. I mean,

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Speaker 1: I keep on like going back and forth on this,

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Speaker 1: going like am I really seeing this number correctly? Like

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Speaker 1: it's nine and a half? Like what, like, how is

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Speaker 1: this possible? This numbers nine and a half. I think

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Speaker 1: it's way too high. I know the Dodgers are going

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Speaker 1: up against a pitcher that has been hit pretty hard,

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Speaker 1: okay in Tyler Malay Malay, right, and he's two and

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Speaker 1: five of the four point four to sixty ra Yeah,

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Speaker 1: his last start was good, nine innings, complete game, three hits,

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Speaker 1: earned run, zero earned runs. It was tremendous. One earned

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Speaker 1: run three. I mean, I don't know. I don't understand this.

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Speaker 1: Under is the bet? Okay, we're going under nine and

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Speaker 1: a half for this. It doesn't make any sense to me.

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Speaker 1: Mine's one ten Dodgers Reds under nine and and half.

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Speaker 1: I'm sure there's something I'll ask Dave Sheapan on the

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Speaker 1: other show about this and say, like, help me explain this.

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Speaker 1: I don't understand this. The Dodgers right now in Major

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Speaker 1: League Baseball are the third best team to the under

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Speaker 1: in all of baseball thirty four, twenty six and five

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Speaker 1: to the under. Yeah, Cincinnati is pretty good to the

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Speaker 1: over thirty five, thirty and one to the over. But

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Speaker 1: they're not like extremely high fifty four percent. It's not

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Speaker 1: you know, Philadelphia is the best at fifty nine percent

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Speaker 1: under nine and a half minus won ten here for

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Speaker 1: a half a unit, and I'm gonna double dip on this.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna go on the run line. I think the

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Speaker 1: Dodgers win the game. I think they go run line.

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Speaker 1: It's minus one and a half and minus won twenty.

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Speaker 1: I think I'm comfortable laying it. I think the Dodgers win.

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Speaker 1: I think the Dodgers win by more than one run.

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Speaker 1: And just given the way the Dodgers have been playing,

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Speaker 1: these are the games they've got to win, and they've

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Speaker 1: won these games. I mean, they have played against the

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Speaker 1: Reds four times. They've won four times on the run line.

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Speaker 1: Not a nine to three, three to one, five to two,

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Speaker 1: nine to one. Again, I just don't understand the books

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Speaker 1: putting this at minus one twenty. I think we're lucky.

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Speaker 1: I think we're lucky to take it. It's a road team.

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Speaker 1: The Reds are twelve and twenty at home, Dodgers are

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Speaker 1: twenty and thirteen. I know they're banged up. They don't

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Speaker 1: have their full complement of guys. I get it, you know,

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Speaker 1: they get injuries to Mookie Bets and other key players.

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Speaker 1: But I mean, I don't know. This seems like a

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Speaker 1: gift half a unit. Dodgers run line minus one twenty

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Speaker 1: under nine and a half minus one ten each play

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Speaker 1: for a half a unit and then one other bet

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Speaker 1: I want to give you guys here, and it is

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Speaker 1: a total. And people are making jokes about my Boston love.

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Speaker 1: But yeah, I'm going to bet a lot of Boston

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Speaker 1: stuff on the way out. The Red Sox are twenty

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Speaker 1: seven and twelve. Since May, the tenth Red Sox have

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Speaker 1: found their way into a Wildcoud conversation. But they're taking

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Speaker 1: on the Tigers again. And I think the number is

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Speaker 1: again inflated Red Sox. I mean, I think nine. You

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Speaker 1: can look around and see you can find a nine and

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Speaker 1: a half, the nine and a half. I found nine

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Speaker 1: and a half last night. If you can find a

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Speaker 1: nine and a half, grab it. I think it's too high.

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Speaker 1: I think if you look around at what the Red

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Speaker 1: Sox have done. I know it's a rich Hill game.

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Speaker 1: So what you're gonna say is, Matt, it's rich Hill.

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Speaker 1: You know what rich Hill? You know, he's not a

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Speaker 1: great pitcher, he's a lefty, he throws soft at Fenway Park.

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Speaker 1: All those things are true. But the one thing I

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Speaker 1: would point out when it comes to rich Hill is

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Speaker 1: it rich Hill actually hasn't been all that bad. He's

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Speaker 1: actually been pretty good as a pitcher for the Red

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Speaker 1: Sox over the last couple of starts, and the team

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Speaker 1: doesn't give him a ton of run support either, which

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Speaker 1: I think is also somewhat of an interesting thing to

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Speaker 1: look at and be like, all right, so you know

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Speaker 1: where are you at? But you know pretty much painted

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Speaker 1: nine across the board. We're gonna play nine to the under.

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Speaker 1: And it's even money. It's even money at DraftKings, it's

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Speaker 1: even money at Better MGM. I'm gonna go under nine.

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Speaker 1: And here's why. The kid that's pitching for Detroit bo Breski.

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Speaker 1: I think it's how you saying, Briski. Yup, he's one

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Speaker 1: in five three point seven to nine ERA. But get

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Speaker 1: what this kid's done is last two starts at home.

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Speaker 1: Mind you but the last two starts against Toronto and Texas.

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Speaker 1: The Toronto game is stunning, five and two thirds, seven hits,

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Speaker 1: no earned runs against Toronto, It's pretty good against Texas

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Speaker 1: at home, a three to one loss, but seven innings,

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Speaker 1: three hits, no earned runs. This dude has thrown last

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Speaker 1: two starts twelve and two thirds, no earn runs allowed.

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Speaker 1: Against the Yankees, he lost three to nothing, six innings,

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Speaker 1: three hits, two earned runs. Kids pitching really well right now.

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Speaker 1: Red Sox against the Tigers. Tigers don't score, I mean

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Speaker 1: their offense is a knemick. Three to one win for

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Speaker 1: the Tigers, five to three win for the Red Sox,

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Speaker 1: nine to seven win for the Red Sox. In a

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Speaker 1: five to two win for the Red Sox. All these

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Speaker 1: games are going under. I mean nine is the total.

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Speaker 1: I'm playing even money on the nine nine and a

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Speaker 1: half is minus one twenty. That was the number I

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Speaker 1: saw earlier tonight, but I don't think that's available anywhere

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Speaker 1: in the country. I think that's an offshore number, but

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Speaker 1: maybe it goes back up to nine and a half.

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Speaker 1: But if you get nine and a half, bet under

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Speaker 1: lay the juice nine even money under nine, I think

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Speaker 1: it's safe, we might get a push out of it.

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Speaker 1: But Red Sox Tigers under nine even money is a

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Speaker 1: good bet. I made it half a unit play here

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Speaker 1: with the Tigers and the Red Sox to see if

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Speaker 1: rich Hill don't be bad rich Hill. There have been

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Speaker 1: bad examples of rich Hill where you have six earned

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Speaker 1: runs and a ten to nothing lost to the Orioles

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Speaker 1: at home back in the thirtieth of May. So we've

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Speaker 1: seen bad rich Hill. But last three starts for rich

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Speaker 1: Hill three earned runs, two earned runs, one earned run. Okay,

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Speaker 1: total six earned runs his last three starts has pitched

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Speaker 1: fifteen sixteen innings, last sixteen innings, giving up six earned runs.

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Speaker 1: Let's get that version of rich Hill going again here

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Speaker 1: against an anemic team and the Tigers, who do not

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Speaker 1: score a lot of runs. Under nine even money for

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Speaker 1: a half a unit. Okay, so we're going Dodgers run

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Speaker 1: line against the Reds at minus one twenty The under

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Speaker 1: nine and a half at minus won ten for Dodgers

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Speaker 1: in the Reds. So a full unit committed to that game,

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Speaker 1: and then under Red Sox and the Tigers. Two other

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Speaker 1: things I would look to Lions aren't out yet, Yankees

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Speaker 1: raise under today, look for that. It's Cortes he's going

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Speaker 1: for the Yankees. Look for that under if it's seven

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Speaker 1: and a half, eight under, and then Padres in the

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Speaker 1: Diamondbacks also, I would look to the under. Four to

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Speaker 1: one win tonight for the Padres. The Diamondbacks have been

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Speaker 1: really another one of these teams who simply are not

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Speaker 1: scoring a lot of runs and they've been under. Let's

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Speaker 1: see Arizona is now thirty eight twenty nine and two

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Speaker 1: to the under this season, so Arizona also another team

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Speaker 1: to look at for the under. San Diego also thirty seven,

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Speaker 1: thirty and two to the under. So Padres, Diamondbacks under,

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Speaker 1: Yankees Rays under. But those numbers aren't out yet, so

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Speaker 1: you want some extra action, look for those numbers if

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Speaker 1: they're not too high, Like, don't play under six and

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Speaker 1: a half or seven. Last night it was six and

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Speaker 1: a half. Cole almost threw a no hitter and you

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Speaker 1: had a what a four to two win for the

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Speaker 1: Yankees to scored two runs in the ninth inning. That

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Speaker 1: game almost went over six and a half. It just

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Speaker 1: barely stayed under. So I wouldn't play under. If it's

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Speaker 1: seven and a half or higher, I'd play under Padres Diamondbacks.

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Speaker 1: I would look around eight to play the under in

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Speaker 1: that game. But if you want some extraction there you

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Speaker 1: go with some extra plays. All right, three plays for

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Speaker 1: us here, half the unit going on each minus. Matt

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Speaker 1: Parrelt followed me on Twitter at Sports Talk Matt. Each

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Speaker 1: every morning it's the Ljuice Podcast. I was being brought

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Speaker 1: to you by bet MGM