Speaker 1: Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly, a production of I Heart Radio.
Speaker 1: Time now for Fantasy Football Weekly from I Heart Radio,
Speaker 1: your weekly source for the nation's best fantasy speculation and
Speaker 1: advice Leagues dot Com. Here's your host, Paul Welcome to
Speaker 1: the love fest for Damian Pierce, also known as Fantasy
Speaker 1: Football Weekly. I am Paul Charge and my co host
Speaker 1: today or Scott Fish and Matt Harrison. Hello, guys, Damian
Speaker 1: Pierce wasn't available to come in and co host today. Sorry,
Speaker 1: And it's a good thing because we'd be spooning right
Speaker 1: now if he did. That would be that's the level
Speaker 1: of regard. That's a weird thing to do. But you
Speaker 1: never spoon with me. No, I like Damian Pierce more
Speaker 1: than I like it. I have photo evidence that negates that.
Speaker 1: It's uh. It's been a great start for this preseason.
Speaker 1: But we're gonna talk about all of the camps, all
Speaker 1: thirty two camps. What are the big stories from each
Speaker 1: of the teams. Will also talk about some of the
Speaker 1: key things you need to know from what happens inside
Speaker 1: the five yard line. We'll answer three tough questions. We'll
Speaker 1: talk about the vacated targets from around the league and
Speaker 1: identify our blacklist players that we will not draft. Not
Speaker 1: I was gonna say never draft, but there's a point
Speaker 1: at which I would be grudgingly chacked my guys. But
Speaker 1: it's like four rounds after they're gonna go. Yeah, it's
Speaker 1: it's always ADP centric. It's based on that and no
Speaker 1: small part. Let's let's start our tour around the training
Speaker 1: camps with the Panthers. Yeah, not much here. Baker Mayfield
Speaker 1: won the job. There's a little bit of talk of Higgins,
Speaker 1: who has good chemistry from with Baker in camp and
Speaker 1: also because he was with Cleveland with Baker Mayfield, that
Speaker 1: he might be a guy that gets in a in
Speaker 1: some decent rotation snaps. Only in your probably twenty four
Speaker 1: round leagues are you're gonna worry about that though? Um
Speaker 1: At Let's go to the Raiders. Kenyan Drake was cut
Speaker 1: this week. Josh Jacobs now controls the backfield with Brandon Bolden,
Speaker 1: Ameer Abdula, and Zamir White. I'll do for some sort
Speaker 1: of role. I want nobody except for Jacobs, just because
Speaker 1: I think he has more of the goal line role.
Speaker 1: But also Darren Waller hurt again with an undisclosed injury.
Speaker 1: Josh McDaniels is noncommittal on Waller's availability for Week one.
Speaker 1: A couple of weeks ago identified Darren Wallers outside of
Speaker 1: the safe tight ends that we talked, I think there's
Speaker 1: three safe tight ends. That's it. The Packers starters did
Speaker 1: not play on Thursday night, but I'll just mention this.
Speaker 1: Jordan's love continues to look very inconsistent. I don't think
Speaker 1: they've got really any kind of viable answer there. Romeo
Speaker 1: Adobbs played briefly on Thursday, didn't do much. I'll note
Speaker 1: that all the presumed starters did not play, and that
Speaker 1: means you're presumed starting wide receivers are Alan Lazard, Sammy Watkins,
Speaker 1: and Randall Cobbs. And Watkins and cob are going undrafted
Speaker 1: in many leagues, and these are starting wide receivers and
Speaker 1: an Aaron Rodgers led offense. Let's go to the Washington Commanders.
Speaker 1: Uh Ron Rivera says Gibson will be the primary kick returner,
Speaker 1: but the reporters still also expect Gibson to lead the
Speaker 1: backfield and touches. He's really really slipping. I'm probably not
Speaker 1: drafting to unless he gets down into the eight to
Speaker 1: ten rounds. It should be noted though he did do
Speaker 1: some kick return work in practice and stuff last year too,
Speaker 1: we just didn't know about it. Let's go to the
Speaker 1: Buffalo Bills man Zack Boss and James Cook both looked
Speaker 1: pretty good in the second preseason games. So we've got
Speaker 1: a singletary Moss Cook triple headed backfield yuck, and O J.
Speaker 1: Howard as a cut candidate. Yeah, that wouldn't surprise me.
Speaker 1: Not a triple backfield, no bueno fantasy. Let's go to
Speaker 1: the Texans. Wherever you've got Damian Pierce ranked, it's too
Speaker 1: low in the preseason. You're looking for rookies who display
Speaker 1: traits that will translate into the regular season against full
Speaker 1: time defensive starters, and Pierce looks special. The burst, the footwork, decisiveness,
Speaker 1: goal line carries. We believe in catch, although he has
Speaker 1: have been used that way so far. Lovey Smith during
Speaker 1: the game on Thursday night, said quote, we are a
Speaker 1: running team. Yeah, it's game on, baby pet Hamilton's there.
Speaker 1: Damian Pierce, Uh, if you want him, you're gonna have
Speaker 1: to go fourth round, third round to get Damian Pierce,
Speaker 1: who I believe at this point is moved to roughly
Speaker 1: number one among rookie running backs. All right, let's go
Speaker 1: to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Yeah, so for the Buccaneers,
Speaker 1: Brady's back with the team. That that whole drama thing
Speaker 1: is over. But the bigger news is their old line
Speaker 1: is sitting on three offensive line injuries. Two of them
Speaker 1: gonna miss most of the season. Third probably be back
Speaker 1: by week one, but we're not sure yet. But that's
Speaker 1: that's some huge hits to that line. I remember they
Speaker 1: lost two players in the offseason, want to retirement one
Speaker 1: to free agency. All right, let's go to the Cleveland Browns.
Speaker 1: Matt Jacoby Brissette officially your starter for the first eleven weeks.
Speaker 1: By the way, Josh Rosen is the other quarterback on
Speaker 1: roster right now, and he looked awful in that last
Speaker 1: preseason game for the Colts. Your kicker. We don't do
Speaker 1: a lot of kicker talking on the show. Rod Regal
Speaker 1: Blanketship contender Jake Verity to win the kicking job. Um,
Speaker 1: we know that he's not a deep field goal threat,
Speaker 1: but he kicks indoors and he's on a good offense.
Speaker 1: Presumably good offense. He's got the best name among all
Speaker 1: the kickers and regal Blanketship. Yeah, that's great song called
Speaker 1: blanket Ship by a band called Dive d I I V. Also,
Speaker 1: he also plays with legos and goes into train camp
Speaker 1: on like those wheelie shoes and stuff. He also wears
Speaker 1: his glasses. He's like one of the only players who
Speaker 1: wears glasses on the field with your kicker. Why not?
Speaker 1: I believe we're up with the Lions. Scott not much here.
Speaker 1: Jamison Williams sent to the reserve list. Not really a
Speaker 1: surprise though, because he wasn't expected back to late October
Speaker 1: at the earliest. Anyway, jets Zack Wilson's status won't be
Speaker 1: updated until likely after Labor Day. Denzel Mims has requested
Speaker 1: a trade. Breece Hall hasn't quite flashed and enough to
Speaker 1: steal the backfield from Michael Carter and Tevin Coleman. If
Speaker 1: you're drafting Hall, don't plan on starting him for the
Speaker 1: first few weeks at least that it might be like
Speaker 1: a Jonathan Taylor Marlon Max situation, or at Adrian Peace
Speaker 1: and Chester Taylor situation. The talent should have went out eventually,
Speaker 1: but I mean, he's Roger Craig's cousin. I mean, he's
Speaker 1: got some talent there in the bloodlines. For the Chiefs
Speaker 1: on Thursday night, Juju Smith Schuster still getting over injury,
Speaker 1: he didn't play. Uh Skymore got the start with the
Speaker 1: first team offense. They targeted one one down deep throw,
Speaker 1: but otherwise mostly just return work. Ronald Jones got first
Speaker 1: team reps, which was interesting. He ran hard, but almost
Speaker 1: entirely between the tackles, and it's what he has been
Speaker 1: a cut candidate all camp my theory as they are
Speaker 1: trying to trying to put him out there for a
Speaker 1: seventh compick, good luck, Yeah, exactly. Um. For those who
Speaker 1: invested in Isaiah Pacheco, he was the third back in
Speaker 1: the game, but did get some first team work. It's
Speaker 1: increasingly unclear what Pachenko's playing time might be, and I
Speaker 1: still I think there's some real risk and drafting him.
Speaker 1: We'll see though. Uh. Seahawks Scott uh sounds like Pete
Speaker 1: Carroll and the Seahawks are gonna play super flex this
Speaker 1: year for the team, They're good, They're gonna they're gonna
Speaker 1: have both Drew Lock and Judo Smith's quarterbacks. Really, the
Speaker 1: truth is there's there's still no Carter back decision made.
Speaker 1: It's still up in the air and no timetable for
Speaker 1: ken Walker to return from his hurtnea surgery. They had
Speaker 1: previously hoped week one. Now it's sounding like not. Let's
Speaker 1: go to the Broncos. Matt not a ton going on
Speaker 1: in Denver, but tackle Tom Compton was placed on the pup,
Speaker 1: meaning he'll miss the first month of the season for
Speaker 1: the rams Um. We don't do a lot of backup
Speaker 1: tight end talk, but let me mention Kendall Blanton got
Speaker 1: released in a surprise. Remember at the end of last year,
Speaker 1: he got a bunch of reps when Tyler he was
Speaker 1: on and he looked pretty good and then they caught him.
Speaker 1: And this puts Higbie into a position for a pretty
Speaker 1: sizeable snap count because the guys behind him are just
Speaker 1: zero threat Bryson Hopkins and Roger Carter. You know if
Speaker 1: you are if you sleft tight end deeply enough, Tyler
Speaker 1: Higbee back on the radar, Let's go to the Eagles.
Speaker 1: Scott Slime Sanders still dealing with that hammy issue has
Speaker 1: been for weeks now and now Week one is starting
Speaker 1: to be in doubt. That's that's not a good sign.
Speaker 1: Slime Sanders. That's his nickname, Miles Sanders. I didn't know
Speaker 1: that it might be. I don't know that's his nickname
Speaker 1: for a while though, I had never heard that, And honestly,
Speaker 1: I'm pretty impressed on myself right now for having figured
Speaker 1: out on the fly. Yeah, that's pretty good. Scott plays
Speaker 1: with them in a league, by the way, probably, but
Speaker 1: I play that bet everyone pay with During this show,
Speaker 1: Miami Dolphins Matt Jalen Waddle has an undisclosed injury and
Speaker 1: has done little more than stretching with the team over
Speaker 1: the last week. We've still got plenty of time, but
Speaker 1: it's worth watching for the Vikings tight end Irv Smith
Speaker 1: returning to practice, adding some hope that he's gonna be
Speaker 1: ready for Week one because it's a thumb injury, though
Speaker 1: he's not catching passes, just doing individual drills. Vikings are
Speaker 1: prove their backup quarterback situation, acquiring Nick Mullins this week,
Speaker 1: which adds some safety to the whole offense and the
Speaker 1: Minnesota receivers specifically. And continue to watch the backup runners.
Speaker 1: We've said this for most of the past three shows.
Speaker 1: Can A want Ty Chandler as they could eat into
Speaker 1: Alexander Madison's role as the primary backup to Dalvin Cook
Speaker 1: Dallas Cowboys. Scott, Yeah, big one here. They lost Tyron
Speaker 1: Smith on their old line who used to be a
Speaker 1: beast and still has been good for the last few years. Um,
Speaker 1: it's just a big blow for that old line. Uh.
Speaker 1: The other news is Gallup is going to avoid the pups,
Speaker 1: so they're hoping he'll be ready sometime in the first
Speaker 1: four weeks. Clearly with that news, and Jerry Jones said
Speaker 1: the team is still gonna run through Zeke, but Paulard
Speaker 1: is going to be involved. And Dak Brescott mentioned Poulard
Speaker 1: as a pass catcher, so maybe maybe Paula will be
Speaker 1: pretty flexworthy for you. He was last year. New England
Speaker 1: Patriots Matt Damien Harris left practice with this week, also
Speaker 1: with an undisclosed injury. He won't play in the preseason finale.
Speaker 1: Things are shrouded in mystery in New England always with
Speaker 1: their running backs. But in my mind right now, I
Speaker 1: draft Romande Ramandre Stevenson above Damien Harris right now for
Speaker 1: the last two or three weeks, that is where I
Speaker 1: think it flipped. Like last week, they're pretty close on
Speaker 1: ADP depending on where you are. Some some to have
Speaker 1: Harris higher still, but yeah, for the Saints, Jameis Winston
Speaker 1: declared himself ready to start Week one. He's recovering both
Speaker 1: from an a c L injury from last year and
Speaker 1: a foot injury from this preseason. Michael Thomas has got
Speaker 1: a hamstring injury. He's missed several days of practice, but
Speaker 1: presumed ready for the opener. How about the Giants Scott
Speaker 1: so Colin Johnson, who is set to take some starter
Speaker 1: snaps towards Achilles uh Darius Tony has both knee and
Speaker 1: hamstring injuries. He's dealing with. Ricky Seels Jones goes to
Speaker 1: injured reserve Sterling Shepard was activated, but he's coming back
Speaker 1: from an achilles and and I'm not sure Kenny Golladay
Speaker 1: even exists anymore. So it is se Quon Barkley and
Speaker 1: Daniel Bellinger season in New Has there been a fall
Speaker 1: from grace any faster than Kenny Golladays? Mean two years ago,
Speaker 1: he it looked like he was one of the ten
Speaker 1: best receivers in the league. I don't know Michael Thomas
Speaker 1: has something to say about that. You know, it's a
Speaker 1: good point. We'll see how this year goes. But at
Speaker 1: least Mike Daniel Belinger is a nice tight end sneaky sleeper. Honestly,
Speaker 1: that's true. At least Thomas and they both have had
Speaker 1: injury issues, but Thomas has been unable to play. Let's
Speaker 1: go to the Titans next man. It's just kind of
Speaker 1: the wide receiver room kind of shaking out. Robert Woods
Speaker 1: looks like the pure top wide receiver by a long shot. There,
Speaker 1: trail On Burke's finally back on the field though. That's good.
Speaker 1: Nick Westbrook Keen is listed as the starting slot wide receiver.
Speaker 1: But the sneaky wanted to keep an eye on is
Speaker 1: Kyle Phillips, who's flashed all the way throughout camp and
Speaker 1: he's returning punts really well. Mitch Robiski was named the
Speaker 1: starter for the Steelers, although that designation may not last
Speaker 1: all that long. Can you pick? It look very good
Speaker 1: in the previous uh preseason game, and the Steelers are
Speaker 1: at Cincinnati in week one. It's easy to imagine at
Speaker 1: Cincinnati Steelers get drubbed in week one and that might
Speaker 1: be and that maybe that might be the So right now,
Speaker 1: name the starter and then it could be what it's yep,
Speaker 1: there we go. Uh, your handcuffed? Naji Harris, by the way,
Speaker 1: may not be Benny Snell. Keep an eye on Jalen
Speaker 1: Warring about a lot of a lot of extra work.
Speaker 1: Let's go to the Falcons. Scott Kyle Pitts was inducted
Speaker 1: into the Pro Football Hall of Fames week after a
Speaker 1: fifty two yard catch as a wide receiver. In fact,
Speaker 1: it was so good that the Falcons cut fellow wide
Speaker 1: receivers Torontowe Allison and autumn Tate Bengals Joe Burrow increasing
Speaker 1: practice activity after getting his appendix removed a few weeks ago,
Speaker 1: that's good news. Jeff Wilson gives the appearance of being
Speaker 1: the backup behind Elijah Mitchell. Got all the first team
Speaker 1: run on Thursday. Trey Lance played, showed some scrambling ability
Speaker 1: and improvisational skills, but really wasn't asked to do a lot.
Speaker 1: And I learned and I not I did not realize this.
Speaker 1: Jimmy Garoppolo not allowed to practice with the team. He's
Speaker 1: doing his own practices on a separate field, presumably because
Speaker 1: they don't want him to learn secrets about the team
Speaker 1: and then they'll get traded and wanted they don't want
Speaker 1: him injured. They don't want anything to happen. So yeah,
Speaker 1: very that's very bizarre. The one year there's no major
Speaker 1: preseason injuries too. Yeah, well, now Jim Patrick would like
Speaker 1: to have but yes, almost not. I'll just go to
Speaker 1: the Cardinals. Uh. You know, Benjiman seems to have separated
Speaker 1: himself and is likely to be the backup to James Conner.
Speaker 1: That role had had some fantasy value with Chase Edmunds
Speaker 1: last year. People thought it'd be Darrell Williams, but now
Speaker 1: he appears to be a cut candidate. Wow, all right,
Speaker 1: let's let's hit the Jaguars man. Trevor Lawrence targeted christ
Speaker 1: In Kirk eight times in preseason game number two. That's
Speaker 1: an insane amount of targets to receive in a little
Speaker 1: less than half of play. He could be in line
Speaker 1: for a lot this year. Also, James Robinson targeting Week
Speaker 1: one for his return to play, so that backfield is
Speaker 1: getting murky, and it is getting a little bit murky.
Speaker 1: I don't think Robinson is gonna be a factor, but
Speaker 1: we'll find out that Ravens Gus Edwards went on the
Speaker 1: pup list and will miss at least the first month
Speaker 1: of the season. Mike Davis is your very possible Week
Speaker 1: one starting running back. Going undrafted in virtually all fantasy leagues,
Speaker 1: Mike Davis could be your starter there. JK. Dobbins is
Speaker 1: trending towards availability, but probably not a workhorse role in
Speaker 1: week one. And then last thing that I need to
Speaker 1: mention because we've put this guy on your radar three
Speaker 1: weeks ago. Isaiah likely continuing to blow minds. Backup tight end,
Speaker 1: fourth round rookie, maybe not even really a tight end
Speaker 1: when you look at him, he's he's a hundred like
Speaker 1: higher thirty five. I changed what I said. There's not
Speaker 1: three safe tight ends. There's Mark Andrews, there's Pits, There's
Speaker 1: Travis Kelsey and Isaiah likely Isaiah likely. They're gonna Ligne.
Speaker 1: There's no competition on what there's no white outs on
Speaker 1: this team outside of Bateman. They're gonna, like Isaiah likely
Speaker 1: likely their number two wide receiver. I'm not I'm not
Speaker 1: saying that's out of the question. By the end of
Speaker 1: the year, Isaiah likely could be the deep facto number
Speaker 1: two receiver, like Kyle Pitts is a receiver in Atlanta, alright, Sure,
Speaker 1: Final two teams, Chicago Bears, Scott You just in case
Speaker 1: people heard about Khalil Herbert Gain injured last week going
Speaker 1: off on a cart. He was back at practice the
Speaker 1: next day. It was a total non issue. Just in
Speaker 1: case you heard about that, all right. And lastly the
Speaker 1: Los Angeles Chargers. Lots of minor camp injuries for the
Speaker 1: second tier Chargers. Donald Parham has a hamstring, Favorite Palmer
Speaker 1: concussion protocol, Isaiah Spiller ankle injury. Oh, there's a lot
Speaker 1: of interesting guys that are riding the find. It looks
Speaker 1: like those starters in l A are going to be
Speaker 1: ready to go. Though. I love Josh Palmer had the huge,
Speaker 1: the huge, had the huge game preseason game last week.
Speaker 1: I'm still very much on board. It's just a concussion.
Speaker 1: They're they're not big deals. Put some dirt on that concussion.
Speaker 1: That's right. When we come back, what's happening inside the
Speaker 1: five will tell you about the easiest touchdowns your fantasy
Speaker 1: team can get. When we return to Fantasy Football Weekly,
Speaker 1: It's Fantasy Football Weekly. Paul Charchie and Guillotine Leagues dot Com.
Speaker 1: Scott Fish and Matt Harrison with you as well. Next
Speaker 1: two segments devoted to one of my favorite preseason topics,
Speaker 1: what happens inside the five yard line? Last year there
Speaker 1: were almost six hundred touchdowns from inside the five yard line.
Speaker 1: This is the part where you always make us guessing.
Speaker 1: And I was gonna I was gonna be prepared this
Speaker 1: year and very close. There's These are the easy touchdowns
Speaker 1: that can propel your fantasy team when you need somebody
Speaker 1: to score from distance, Like let's look, get Miles Sanders,
Speaker 1: who has to score from distance or just not score
Speaker 1: at all. Well, and then sometimes they just don't score
Speaker 1: it all, as opposed to Boston Scott, who you know,
Speaker 1: picks up these easy touchdowns and they end up scoring giants,
Speaker 1: so end up scoring the same fantasy points. By the way,
Speaker 1: I demand that every time Scott's on the show and
Speaker 1: Boston Scott is mentioned, you do a Boston accent. Demand
Speaker 1: this say chowder. No, I can't even say it with
Speaker 1: an accent. By the way. You know, so we're from
Speaker 1: where I'm from, you know, up on the Minnesota Iron
Speaker 1: Rage on the border of Canada, where you got Canadian
Speaker 1: plus Minnesota. We don't have I don't have any access
Speaker 1: up there. They do. We're gonna go through every team,
Speaker 1: tell you the one thing you need to know about
Speaker 1: that team's predilections inside the five yard line. And we
Speaker 1: begin with the Panthers. Scott, Yeah, yeah, based on last year.
Speaker 1: I don't think I can go based on last year,
Speaker 1: because the Panthers ran it with Newton and uh Sam
Speaker 1: Donald early in the season. If you remember, he was
Speaker 1: running the ball near the goal line constantly. They ran
Speaker 1: ten times and scored seven times inside the five. Very good.
Speaker 1: Baker's run ten times in his career inside the five,
Speaker 1: that's not really a thing he does. In fact, he's
Speaker 1: got several kneel downs inside the five. That role is
Speaker 1: going to McCaffrey, who back in his full nineteen year
Speaker 1: he had twenty of the two attempt inside the five.
Speaker 1: It's gonna be all McCaffrey. It'll almost certainly be McCaffrey there,
Speaker 1: perhaps even as a receiver inside the five. The Panthers
Speaker 1: only through it last year nine times inside the five
Speaker 1: years how many times? Nine times? Let me mention this,
Speaker 1: We talked about it every year. When you do this segment,
Speaker 1: you're looking at an ideal conversion rate on on touchdown
Speaker 1: scored on plays that start inside the five is about
Speaker 1: fifty the great You know, the really good effective players
Speaker 1: are at about a fifty percent conversion rate. If you're
Speaker 1: running back with ten carries from inside the five, you'd
Speaker 1: like to see about five touchnowns. So I just want
Speaker 1: to put that out there. Since you brought it up, Matt,
Speaker 1: let's go to the raider. Last year, Josh Jacobs took
Speaker 1: thirteen carries inside the five and scored seven times, So
Speaker 1: just above that fifty percent mark. That was pretty good.
Speaker 1: Josh McDaniels is the new UH coach in Las Vegas.
Speaker 1: His Patriots offense featured one of the heaviest run attacks
Speaker 1: in the league from inside the five last year, so
Speaker 1: I think Josh Acops might be in a good spot
Speaker 1: to convert a lot of touchdowns this year. People aren't
Speaker 1: talking about him very much. I aren't talking about him,
Speaker 1: but this is the kind of data we love from
Speaker 1: inside the five. The Packers former receiver Davante Adams, he
Speaker 1: leaves behind the most receptions, most targets, and most touchdowns
Speaker 1: since So ask yourself this, what are the will the
Speaker 1: Packers do without Davante Adams? Will they just ask somebody
Speaker 1: else to fill that role, could be um or do
Speaker 1: they start running the ball more. This is never, This
Speaker 1: is not. For years, it's been a team that runs
Speaker 1: much inside the five. They've thrown a lot more. Maybe
Speaker 1: there will be some extra opportunity for Aaron Jones and
Speaker 1: a J. Dillon. Let's go to the Washington commanders. What's
Speaker 1: happening inside the five? So Washington passed the ball ten
Speaker 1: times inside the five last year to wide receivers and
Speaker 1: tight ends. One completion brutal, So hopefully they run it more.
Speaker 1: They read it twenty three times last year with just
Speaker 1: Gibson alone. He had of their rush attempts in side
Speaker 1: the five, he only converted a third of him though,
Speaker 1: that feels like it's below Um, I'm gonna go check over. Yeah. So,
Speaker 1: so are you saying Brian Robinson right now? Without saying
Speaker 1: Brian Robinson. I like the fact they ran it twenty
Speaker 1: three times inside the five last year, and if Brian
Speaker 1: Robinson has that role and a better conversion rate, And
Speaker 1: I'm just saying you're not really you're not saying I
Speaker 1: don't believe Yes, yes, depending down on this, Yes, and
Speaker 1: Brian Robinson, Yes, that should be good. Matt. What's happening
Speaker 1: with the Buffalo Bills? Inside the five, it's kind of
Speaker 1: a mess. Uh. Devin Singletary and Josh Allen tied for
Speaker 1: the most rushing attempts for the infrared zone for the
Speaker 1: bills of seven apiece. Singletary converted four touchdowns. Allen had three,
Speaker 1: by the way, so that's not bad. Zack Moss but
Speaker 1: also had five carries for three scores. So this is
Speaker 1: a true committee approach in the five that makes Buffalo
Speaker 1: even worse on the running back spectrum for me. You
Speaker 1: know who not in a committee for carries inside the
Speaker 1: five for Buffalo Josh Allen. Well I mentioned him too,
Speaker 1: and he's like right in the third of all of them.
Speaker 1: So it's like, well, that's great for Josh Allen because
Speaker 1: you're starting for other reasons too. For the Texans, Houston
Speaker 1: ranked last in passes and passing touchdowns and Rex burkehead
Speaker 1: led the entire team in touchdowns from inside the five
Speaker 1: with two. Massive Pierce is going to do that in
Speaker 1: Week one exactly yet. Have you noticed We've managed to
Speaker 1: work in Damian Pierce's name now four times in two
Speaker 1: segments and I don't even played the league with him
Speaker 1: or anything. That's the amazing part. Scott Tell me about
Speaker 1: the Bucks inside the five yard line. So I just
Speaker 1: mentioned how Washington passed it ten times with only one
Speaker 1: completion the Bucks. Tom Brady on his own had eighteen
Speaker 1: passing touchdowns inside the five yards. Yeah, that feels like
Speaker 1: they all went to Mike Evans. I will say, Mike
Speaker 1: Kevin six grong uh twice break three times. Howard caught
Speaker 1: his loan target for everybody. Everybody was got. You know, um,
Speaker 1: there's there's believed crazily not a lot of running going on.
Speaker 1: So you want the past the fasting options in the
Speaker 1: Bucks because that they get the inside the five options.
Speaker 1: They're all going for a discount now because everybody's weirded
Speaker 1: out about the Bucks. Right Cleveland, what's happening inside the five?
Speaker 1: Man Nick Chubb missed three games last year, but still
Speaker 1: recorded of the team's rushing attempts from inside the five.
Speaker 1: Kareem Hunt didn't get a lot of carries, but notably
Speaker 1: de Ernest Johnson went to for two like that inside
Speaker 1: the five on rushing attempts and touchdowns. Also, Amari Cooper,
Speaker 1: by the way, he scored three times on three targets
Speaker 1: inside the five last year for the Cowboys. So Cooper
Speaker 1: is one of my favorite sleep wildly efficient inside the five?
Speaker 1: Are the Cleveland Browns this year as a whole team. Yeah.
Speaker 1: And also if you think that you know when everything
Speaker 1: shakes out in the teams, these teams all make their
Speaker 1: cuts in the coming week. If you think that Kareem
Speaker 1: Hunt is not going to be on the Browns, you
Speaker 1: should be drafting backup running backs either Dearness Johnson or Ford.
Speaker 1: You know, I think it'd be Johnson first, But those guys,
Speaker 1: there's some great these your last pick of your draft
Speaker 1: scenarios where you could have the new Kareem Hunt. Sure,
Speaker 1: let's go to the Colts. Jonathan Taylor's thirty rushes thirty
Speaker 1: from inside the five was twelve more than anybody else.
Speaker 1: In Taylor's two seasons. The Colts have run the ball
Speaker 1: seventy times from inside the five yard line, number one
Speaker 1: in the league. That's why he's going first five touchdowns
Speaker 1: because if not, I don't want him on my Exactly
Speaker 1: he's out. Let's go to the Detroit Lions. What's happening
Speaker 1: inside the five? Scott uh Detroit Lions, Jamal Williams and
Speaker 1: DeAndre Swift actually almost completely split the inside the five touches.
Speaker 1: I don't think you're drafting Swift for his touchdowns as
Speaker 1: much as you are his receptions and total yards. But
Speaker 1: I did fund interesting point. Tight ends are generally pretty
Speaker 1: touchdown dependent for the most part, especially the lower you
Speaker 1: go in the rankings. T J. Hawkinson did not have
Speaker 1: a single target inside the five last year. That's so dumb. Yeah,
Speaker 1: he's a big guy, he's six. It feels it feels
Speaker 1: like they need to correct that. They really do. I'm
Speaker 1: I'm hoping that they do. Let's go to the Let's
Speaker 1: go to the Jets. What are they doing inside the five?
Speaker 1: They're not doing anything because they didn't make it there.
Speaker 1: Last year. In thirteen games, Zach Wilson only threw the
Speaker 1: ball eight times from inside the five. He did throw
Speaker 1: a touchdown on four of those eight. Uh. He only
Speaker 1: ran six times from inside the five and scored three touchdowns.
Speaker 1: But they only had twenty seven rushing attempts as a
Speaker 1: team from inside the five. That's less than Jonathan Taylor
Speaker 1: had himself. Yes, that is correct for the Chiefs, and
Speaker 1: I think people when you think of Tyreek Hell, I
Speaker 1: think sixty yard lasers coming off the arm of Patrick
Speaker 1: Mahomes and him sprinting into the end zone. But it
Speaker 1: turns out he leaves behind the team high eleven targets
Speaker 1: from inside the five. Since there's no wide receiver currently
Speaker 1: on the Chief's roster that has more than three targets
Speaker 1: in their life from inside the five, there is a void.
Speaker 1: I want you to take that nugget right there and
Speaker 1: hold that nugget for when we get to the Dolphins.
Speaker 1: All right, good, we'll we'll, we'll nugget ties of that Seahawks.
Speaker 1: What's happening inside the five? Scott, Yeah, Matt was just
Speaker 1: talking about a lack of the Jets making inside the five.
Speaker 1: The Seahawks had nine pass attempts nine times and only
Speaker 1: thirteen Russians pimps inside the five. That they were scoring
Speaker 1: more from distance, that's you know they were. Tyler Lockett
Speaker 1: was there was that, and actually so was for a shot.
Speaker 1: Penny ripped off a bunch of long runs at the
Speaker 1: exactly exactly so not a lot of inside the five
Speaker 1: stuff and pretty pretty split up between all the players too. Matt,
Speaker 1: let's go with the Broncos inside the five. Scott kind
Speaker 1: of stole my thunder talking about the Seahawks because Russell Wilson.
Speaker 1: He only threw the balls six times from inside the
Speaker 1: five last year. The other three went to Geno Smith.
Speaker 1: That's a shockingly low number. But head coach Nathaniel Hackett
Speaker 1: comes from the Packers Street and Aaron Rodgers through the
Speaker 1: ball twenty seven times last year from inside the five.
Speaker 1: That was the fourth most in the NFL. We got
Speaker 1: to see a shift for Russell Wilson inside the five.
Speaker 1: UM I would think Courtland Sutton would be You're the
Speaker 1: big beneficiary, biggest beneficiary from extra short passes or a
Speaker 1: pick play near the end zone to Jerry Judy, just
Speaker 1: like you know in the Super Bowl that likes those.
Speaker 1: That still hurts for a lot of people. Let's go
Speaker 1: to the Rams inside the five. The Rams had the
Speaker 1: league's lowest run ratio thirty five per cent, and if
Speaker 1: my math is correct, that means they passed six Cooper
Speaker 1: cup lad all receivers in targets and touchdowns from inside
Speaker 1: the five yard line last year. Very effective at that.
Speaker 1: I don't think that's going to change because it worked
Speaker 1: last year. But keep this as another reason to potentially
Speaker 1: avoid cam Akers. Darrell Henderson not only and we'll talk
Speaker 1: more about this light now that they're hurt right now,
Speaker 1: which is another factor. We don't even know what they got,
Speaker 1: but another reason to show some caution on those guys, Eagles.
Speaker 1: What's happening inside the five? Scott? The Eagles only passed
Speaker 1: the ball fifteen times inside the five. Half of them
Speaker 1: were to Earth's well, not exactly half, because fifteen doesn't
Speaker 1: do that. Seven. It was only there through six weeks, yes,
Speaker 1: seven to earths. In those six weeks. Uh, they ran
Speaker 1: the ball, however, forty three times. They run a lot
Speaker 1: when they're getting close. And who was doing that running? Yeah,
Speaker 1: don't get too excited because about a third of that
Speaker 1: was Jalen Hurts, which is exciting. That's exciting for Jalen Hurts.
Speaker 1: Um Miles Sanders only saw six of those forty three.
Speaker 1: I moved Jalen Hurts to quarterback too, was trying to
Speaker 1: get him to say Boston Scott and took him right
Speaker 1: before you and league, thank you, note that, appreciate that.
Speaker 1: Thank you. Uh Dolphins, Matt, what's happening inside the five
Speaker 1: yard line? Remember that nugget about Tyreek Hill. We're bringing
Speaker 1: it right, yes to His completion percentage from inside the
Speaker 1: five was eighty two percent. He was nine of eleven
Speaker 1: for eight touchdowns from the infrared zone last year. That's
Speaker 1: the highest completion percentage in the league among quarterbacks through
Speaker 1: at least ten passes from inside the five. The to
Speaker 1: a Tyreek connection inside the five might be scfinitely warming
Speaker 1: up to it. Absolutely last team from inside the five
Speaker 1: that will do in this segment. We'll do more next segment.
Speaker 1: Vikings had the worst rushing conversion rate of any team
Speaker 1: just of all runs resulted in touchdowns last year. We
Speaker 1: think if Dalvin Cook as being a maestro near the stripe,
Speaker 1: he struggled a lot. Vikings offensive line looks better this year,
Speaker 1: so maybe he'll get better. But Kevin O'Connell has mentioned
Speaker 1: earlier from the rams where they ran the ball that
Speaker 1: they had the lowest run percentage. There's some sneaky downside
Speaker 1: with Dalvin near the strip that fantasy owners need to
Speaker 1: be aware of. When we come back, we will continue
Speaker 1: with deep dive data on team trends from inside the
Speaker 1: five yard line. It's Fantasy Football Weekly. Welcome back to
Speaker 1: the show. Fantasy Football Weekly. Paul Charchi and Scott Fish
Speaker 1: and Matt Harrison with you plenty going on at Guillotine
Speaker 1: Leagues dot com. As you probably already know, the way
Speaker 1: the Guillotine League works, start with eighteen teams because there's
Speaker 1: eighteen weeks in the season. Instead of any head to head,
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Speaker 1: entire roster goes the waiver wire, where it's total pandemonium
Speaker 1: for all the rest of us. As we bid on
Speaker 1: an entire roster of players, all you have to do
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Speaker 1: Are there any like Guillotine Leagues live events coming up?
Speaker 1: Maybe this week? Chart Why thank you for asking. For
Speaker 1: those in the greater Minneapolis St. Paul area, we will
Speaker 1: be doing live guillotine drafts at Big Bore Barbecue and
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Speaker 1: right there. Um yeah, we'll follow my Twitter account for
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Speaker 1: is that no waits Tuesday Tuesday Big Bore. You can
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Speaker 1: unpaid endorsement except for Monday. Don't go there closed. It's
Speaker 1: a good point. I've done that by accident. We're talking
Speaker 1: about what happens inside the five yard line, and we've
Speaker 1: already gone through roughly how off of the NFL teams
Speaker 1: giving you inside as to what happens near the stripe.
Speaker 1: Let's go with the Dallas Cowboys, Scott. Really it was
Speaker 1: a pretty even run pass split for the Cowboys. But
Speaker 1: of note, Zekiel Elliott had eighteen opportunities inside the five.
Speaker 1: Nobody else on the team, not a single player had
Speaker 1: more than three outside of him, and he scored. It's
Speaker 1: very safe. On those eighteen plays, he scored nine times,
Speaker 1: nine times times. That's that's that we're looking for. Mary
Speaker 1: Cooper went, that's still going to be his role, still
Speaker 1: gonna be his role. Patriots are always fascinating inside the five.
Speaker 1: Traditionally a way run, heavier team, even when Tom Brady
Speaker 1: was there than people ever thought. Yeah, Damien Harris had
Speaker 1: the third most rushing attempts in the NFL last year
Speaker 1: from inside the five with fourteen, also had the third
Speaker 1: most rushing scores from that area. He scored nine times,
Speaker 1: you don't say nine times nine time on that conversion rate,
Speaker 1: that's very good, fantastic. The Saints ranked twenty in rushes
Speaker 1: and thirty first in rushing conversion percentage into touchdowns. Alvin
Speaker 1: Kamara converted just two of eleven Russia attempts, and this
Speaker 1: offensive line got worse in the off season with the
Speaker 1: loss of Tarrant Armstead, who was awesome. So while we're
Speaker 1: still I think generally pretty high on Alvin Kamara, particularly
Speaker 1: PPR leagues, and he had been good inside the five
Speaker 1: the year before, you know, just be aware that this
Speaker 1: is uh, this is a factor that one game against
Speaker 1: the Vikings might have all of his numbers might have
Speaker 1: two years ago that might have been the case. Let's
Speaker 1: go to the Giants. What's happening inside the five? Scott
Speaker 1: Like the Seahawks, the Giants only had twenty four plays
Speaker 1: inside the five and not a single player had more
Speaker 1: than one receiving touchdown inside the five. Not a single
Speaker 1: player had more than one rushing touchdown inside the five.
Speaker 1: Year It's actually been the same story pretty much for
Speaker 1: the last two years. So we have to go back
Speaker 1: to Barkley's rookie season, where he had eighteen attempts and
Speaker 1: dominated that area. You hope that it returns to that
Speaker 1: now that he's healthy. Let's hope. So Tennessee Titans, they're interesting.
Speaker 1: They are interesting, right, Ryan Tannehill. Let's the league? Yeah,
Speaker 1: in quarterback rushing touchdowns from inside the five with seven.
Speaker 1: He scored seven touchdowns on seven rushing attempts. That's one conversion.
Speaker 1: I hope he does it again. I love that little
Speaker 1: jump ball flip thing he does every touchdown he runs it.
Speaker 1: How about this? He scored on four or five rushing
Speaker 1: attempts from inside the five and two of two from
Speaker 1: nineteen So the last three years he scored touchdowns thirteen
Speaker 1: times on fourteen carries from inside the five. Three percent
Speaker 1: conversion for Ryan. I imagine a lot of people are going, well,
Speaker 1: he did it last year because Derrick Henry was out,
Speaker 1: but he sprinkled him in his whole career. That's why
Speaker 1: he get a lot of them early. He doesn't well,
Speaker 1: Derrick Henry is in there because they're all focused on
Speaker 1: Derrick Henry, and he can just prance in undetected. He
Speaker 1: can fall forward for every yards is what I hear
Speaker 1: you Titans. That was the Titans. Sorry, sorry, sorry, sorry,
Speaker 1: here we go, Steve. Remember the Titans Naji Harris only
Speaker 1: converted four of eleven attempts and the Steelers were second
Speaker 1: to last in run ratio. He told you the Rams
Speaker 1: were last. Steelers were second to last. This is a
Speaker 1: terrible offensive line and it remains terrible. This is Pro
Speaker 1: football focus is bottom ranked offensive line. Nazi Harris has
Speaker 1: to work for every touchdown, even the easy ones from
Speaker 1: inside the five yard line. I think that's safe to
Speaker 1: say a measure of caution. Atlanta Falcons. What's happening inside
Speaker 1: the five? Scott? Yeah, this this one was pretty evenly
Speaker 1: split between Patterson and Mike Davis, Matt Ryan through at
Speaker 1: nineteen times that we got we got Mariota there. Now
Speaker 1: it's going to be a completely different situation with a
Speaker 1: mobile quarterback who we've already seen run one in in
Speaker 1: in the preseason. Here. Um, I don't love really anything
Speaker 1: inside the for the Falcons, to be honest, Tyler Algier,
Speaker 1: he's built for it. And I played a league with him.
Speaker 1: Of course you do. I played. No, you took until
Speaker 1: the What are we about the I'm just gonna play
Speaker 1: this every time, Scott Seper Bowl Baby, We're in the
Speaker 1: sleeper Bowl. You need a better Robbie. We need a
Speaker 1: better cow like a ding bell. Yeah, that's on that
Speaker 1: next week. My minions work on it. I wish I
Speaker 1: had minions. Cincinnati Bengals, Matt what's happening inside the five years?
Speaker 1: Joe Mixon took seventy of the Bengals carries inside the
Speaker 1: five last year. That was the third highest percentage for
Speaker 1: a team for any runner in the league. So he
Speaker 1: just gets the lion share of all another Tiger share.
Speaker 1: I guess I love Joe Mixon more than way more
Speaker 1: than most people do. And I'll mention this every other
Speaker 1: running back who got carries and they're only like two
Speaker 1: all year where games mix and missed. If he's on
Speaker 1: the field, he gets the carrots. Bet Next, this is
Speaker 1: a shocking stat from inside the five. George Kittles played
Speaker 1: sixties seven career games, not just inside the five. They
Speaker 1: let him play it on the whole field. Um sixties
Speaker 1: seven games. Think about all the drives that he's been
Speaker 1: on the field for they've targeted him. They targeted him
Speaker 1: just ten times in his entire career from inside the five,
Speaker 1: and just once last year for George Kittle maybe he's
Speaker 1: too good of a blocker. They they like to have
Speaker 1: him block in that spot, but he has been throughout
Speaker 1: Kyle Shanahan's entire time with George Kittle, which is Kittle's
Speaker 1: whole career. They don't throw to him, And to me,
Speaker 1: interesting that caps his value because Titans get so many
Speaker 1: of the short touchdowns typically. I think that's a very
Speaker 1: I think that's a factor to keep in mind. Scott.
Speaker 1: Let's go to the Arizona Cardinals inside the five, nine
Speaker 1: runs passes pretty evenly split. But James Conner got eighteen
Speaker 1: of those run over those twenty nine run intaps and
Speaker 1: scored on ten of them. I think that's still his
Speaker 1: role this year and that that is over the charge.
Speaker 1: So you know, alright, I did the man, thank you
Speaker 1: that that does work out calculation Jaguars inside the five
Speaker 1: man Marvin Jones Jr. Oh targeted inside the five the
Speaker 1: second most in the NFL, only behind Cooper Cup eight
Speaker 1: targets in the five, but he only caught three balls
Speaker 1: for two scores. She needs to play Xavier Rhodes more
Speaker 1: because he'd score more. Ravens. Many people believe Lamar Jackson
Speaker 1: steals touchdown runs up close, but he's only run ten
Speaker 1: times over the last two years from inside the five
Speaker 1: yard line, whereas their running backs ran forty times. So
Speaker 1: that would not believe, that would not be the case.
Speaker 1: We don't we want a part of the forty And
Speaker 1: by the way, it's gonna be J. K. Dobbins in time.
Speaker 1: Just a matter of when a couple of teams left
Speaker 1: Chicago Bears inside the five man, that's Scott, Sorry Scott. Uh.
Speaker 1: They only passed the ball nine times. I keep trying
Speaker 1: to find these working the segment around this. But Montgomery alone,
Speaker 1: David Montgomery alone had thirteen carries, scoring on six of them,
Speaker 1: which is under But that's that's decent. If you're getting
Speaker 1: that kind of volume, it's fine in Chicago. That's a
Speaker 1: that's that's amazing. Last team inside the five, the Los
Speaker 1: Angeles Chargers, no player threw more passes from inside the
Speaker 1: five than justin air Bear with thirty two. Wow this
Speaker 1: conversion percentage that was shockingly low around thirty. Yeah. He
Speaker 1: was also number five in the NFL among quarterbacks for
Speaker 1: rushing attempts inside the five with six. By the way,
Speaker 1: Mike Williams and Keenan Allen each finished in the top
Speaker 1: five for targets inside the five amongst wide receivers last year,
Speaker 1: so they got there a lot. They didn't convert all
Speaker 1: the time, but they got there a lot and there
Speaker 1: were a lot of targets. So I want to ask
Speaker 1: you about some low end quarterbacks and tell me if
Speaker 1: you see some upside in these players, beginning with Mac
Speaker 1: Jones in New England. Do you believe there is upside
Speaker 1: beyond what we saw last year from Mac Jones. I
Speaker 1: just want to give a one weird answer. I mean
Speaker 1: it's his second his second year in the league, so
Speaker 1: you gotta expect, you know, and you've seen the pictures,
Speaker 1: Like the guy's been a workout warrior. He's in like ridiculous.
Speaker 1: He like came in baby face and like baby fat
Speaker 1: and stuff. Now he's got some deep, real muscle on
Speaker 1: him and stuff. Uh. I can see improvement over last year,
Speaker 1: but I still haven't pushed him up over like QB
Speaker 1: fifteen or anything. He's still in that back end of
Speaker 1: your QB two's in super flex and he's like a
Speaker 1: take a chance on me player. In the season, I
Speaker 1: can see him being better than last year. I just
Speaker 1: they run the ball so much there especially down near
Speaker 1: the strike. Well, a team that won't. How about Marcus Mariota,
Speaker 1: Oh yeah right, How is there some sneaky upside to
Speaker 1: Marcus Mariota? I think both Mariota and later in the season,
Speaker 1: once the Falcons are completely out of it, Ridder because
Speaker 1: they are going to get I'm sure they're going to
Speaker 1: get him in eventually to to see what he's got.
Speaker 1: But yeah, just because of the rushing upside alone, we
Speaker 1: we see what that rushing does to to these quarterbacks.
Speaker 1: We've almost hit the point where if your quarterback doesn't
Speaker 1: run the ball, you almost have to be Aaron Rodgers
Speaker 1: and Tom Brady to crack the top five s eight.
Speaker 1: Here's the guy that the low end quarterback that I
Speaker 1: that I kind of like. It's Daniel Jones. He gets
Speaker 1: gets an absolutely new offensive system. And by the way,
Speaker 1: it's a system that melds the Buffalo Bills in Brian
Speaker 1: Table and the Kansas City Chiefs in Mike Kafka. Let's
Speaker 1: put two offenses together. Here's my only problem. Who's catching
Speaker 1: the ball? Like? That's probably yeah, maybe Cadarius Tony if
Speaker 1: he can stay healthy. I think they like one Dale
Speaker 1: Robinson quite a bit. I mean, they still got the
Speaker 1: old sterling shepherd mare. Maybe that's it. Maybe they just
Speaker 1: cobble it together. And his stats are two yards and
Speaker 1: two touchdowns. But you're never going to trust any of them.
Speaker 1: Let me give you another low one quarterback that I'm
Speaker 1: intrigued by. Do you believe there's some upside to Jared Goff? Absolutely,
Speaker 1: We've talked about it a little bit on the show before.
Speaker 1: He's got the best offensive line he's ever had. He's
Speaker 1: probably got as good of weapons, maybe not as good
Speaker 1: a weapons. I mean he had Cooper Cup and sorry
Speaker 1: DeAndre Swift and amand Wrestling Brow. I'll put up there
Speaker 1: with everybody. Yeah, I know you love it. T J. Hawkinson,
Speaker 1: Jamison Williams when he gets back, d J. CHARKI like
Speaker 1: a lot so worthplace schedule. Yeah, there there's there's upside
Speaker 1: for Jared Goff. I think there's some sneak. The downside
Speaker 1: for Jared goffs he loses his job if he cannot
Speaker 1: perform arm in this. I don't know. I've watched his
Speaker 1: backups on Hard Knocks. I don't think he loses his job.
Speaker 1: That is probably true. Hard Knocks compelling, best season of
Speaker 1: Card Knocks in alright, last quarterback with some potentially sneaky
Speaker 1: upside Jamis Winston. Oh yeah, I mean that that's he
Speaker 1: has more upside than any of the players we've listed
Speaker 1: to this point, between Landry and Michael Thomas. If he
Speaker 1: returns to form and Crystal streaking down the sidelines, Yeah,
Speaker 1: he's easily if we get chucked the ball up yolo
Speaker 1: ball Jamis Winston tons offside their tons. We didn't. We
Speaker 1: didn't get yolo style Winston last year, which which maybe
Speaker 1: Sean Payton kept him under wraps. But he's still He's
Speaker 1: still throw fourteen touchdowns in seven games, but that's clumped right.
Speaker 1: He had like five in Week one, like zero zero
Speaker 1: one one and then four and then zero one. Maybe
Speaker 1: that evens out this year. Crystal Lovey is going to
Speaker 1: bring steep speed to that position that they didn't have before,
Speaker 1: and maybe that blends well with Jamis Winston's yolo passing
Speaker 1: stylings it's got referred to. Hopefully that'll be the case.
Speaker 1: You can find some you can find some sneaky upside
Speaker 1: very late in your draft at quarterback position. When we
Speaker 1: come back our number two Fantasy Football Weekly, we will
Speaker 1: be able to go through three tough questions. You can
Speaker 1: try to go three and oh, as I Pepper my
Speaker 1: co host with questions. Also, you can download my cheat
Speaker 1: sheet for free at Guillotine leagues dot com. Our number
Speaker 1: two available. Coming up next Fantasy Football Weekly. Welcome back
Speaker 1: our number two Fantasy Football Weekly. Paul Charge and Matt
Speaker 1: Harrison and Scott Fish with you. Matt's Shock Fantasy. Yes,
Speaker 1: what's happening? Uh, Lots of new cheat sheets and updates
Speaker 1: every week. Vulture is the good promo code for fifteen
Speaker 1: dollars off a season long membership over at Shock Fantasy.
Speaker 1: This a game we call three tough Questions. I will pepper,
Speaker 1: my co host, with three questions. You can play along,
Speaker 1: try to go three and oh. Tough question number one,
Speaker 1: which wide receiver will lead the league in receptions? Matt, alright,
Speaker 1: So to me, I think you need two elements for
Speaker 1: this to happen. A quarterback who throws the ball a
Speaker 1: ton like thirty five times a game or more, and
Speaker 1: there are only eight quarterbacks who did that last year.
Speaker 1: And a wide receiver corps that has one wide receiver
Speaker 1: that's vastly more talented than the rest. In my mind,
Speaker 1: there's two situations that fit this bill number one Jars,
Speaker 1: this is my wrong answer. Okay, wrong answer. Christian Kirk Wow, Okay,
Speaker 1: he's not my answer. But Lawrence threw the ball over
Speaker 1: six hundred times last year, and I think Kirk will
Speaker 1: average at least ten targets per game, nearly half of
Speaker 1: those attempts by Lawrence. We're on target to right. I
Speaker 1: think he's going to surprise the heck out of people
Speaker 1: this year. I I really like Christian and Kirk a lot.
Speaker 1: But the correct answer is Ceedee. Lamb of the Cowboys
Speaker 1: dack through the ball five ninety six times last year.
Speaker 1: I bet Fish is going to tell you about all
Speaker 1: the vacated targets in Dallas next segments, so I won't
Speaker 1: step on his touchdown call. But Lamb is looking at
Speaker 1: only an injured Michael Gallup and a rookie Jalen Tolbert
Speaker 1: his competition for wide receiver targets. He's about to go crazy, Scott,
Speaker 1: which wide receiver will lead the league in receptions? Yeah?
Speaker 1: I uh, I thought about Lamb. I thought about Justin
Speaker 1: Jefferson because but what to turn me away from Justin
Speaker 1: Jefferson is just there's a lot of other weapons that
Speaker 1: which passes there, I'm gonna get super lazy here, and
Speaker 1: I'm going right back to Cooper Cup. I'm going right
Speaker 1: back to Cooper Cup because I don't think a lot
Speaker 1: changes in that offense. If anything, that's probably the right answer.
Speaker 1: If if cam Akers returns back to form, sure he's
Speaker 1: gonna take some work, but also the offense is gonna
Speaker 1: move better. So I'm sticking with Cooper Cup. He had
Speaker 1: like twenty nine more targets than anyone else last year.
Speaker 1: Let's pretend you are Dak Prescott in a typical game
Speaker 1: from anywhere in this schedule. You drop back to pass.
Speaker 1: You look across the middle. Here's Michael Gallup dragging one
Speaker 1: leg behind him. You look to the right, there's rookie
Speaker 1: Jalen Toilbert running the wrong route and he just stepped
Speaker 1: out of bounds. You look to the side, and I think,
Speaker 1: when can I get you checked down to Dalton Schultz
Speaker 1: and told right there. You look left and there's Seedee Lamb,
Speaker 1: one of the best receivers in the league, open by
Speaker 1: three yards. Why three yards, you might ask, And how
Speaker 1: do I know that he's opened by three yards? Because
Speaker 1: according to next Gen stats, Ceedee Lamb's average separation per
Speaker 1: attempt was three yards. It's an easy decision on where
Speaker 1: to send that ball. And that's that. In addition to
Speaker 1: everything Matt said, is why Ceedee Lamb is going to
Speaker 1: lead the league in recepts. Tough question number two. The
Speaker 1: player who can score fifteen touchdowns that nobody is talking
Speaker 1: about is who? And by the way, before we go
Speaker 1: any further, I need to mention, are you doing this
Speaker 1: because the answers dam Piers Harris, don't tell me. Welcome
Speaker 1: to Damien Tierce Weekly. When we asked a variation of
Speaker 1: this question last preseason, somebody told you Damian Harris was
Speaker 1: the right answering, and we'll continue with that alright. The
Speaker 1: player can score fifteen touch ones that nobody is talking
Speaker 1: about is who. Scott Man, He's in the conversation here too.
Speaker 1: Damian Harris scored fifteen last year. They run a ton
Speaker 1: inside the five um the other options. James Conner is
Speaker 1: going to have the same role in Arizona. The offense
Speaker 1: should be a little better. Cooper Cup had sixteen last year.
Speaker 1: He's he's got the possibility. You might knowing you, you
Speaker 1: might even think it's Adam Thealan who had ten touchdowns
Speaker 1: in eleven games. The offense is, you know, a full
Speaker 1: healthy year plus a better offense, more past heavy offense.
Speaker 1: I could see you going tricky and going that route.
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go with someone that is actually talked about
Speaker 1: a little bit um in the US, but but not
Speaker 1: a lot, not a lot for fifteen touchdowns. It's the
Speaker 1: other back for New England. Aside Damien Harrison Damien Harris,
Speaker 1: it's Romandre Stevenson. I can tell you I was in
Speaker 1: a charity draft the other night with Darren Waller at
Speaker 1: Gary Barnage and John Carlos standon. When Jack Carlos Stanton
Speaker 1: took uh took Romandre Stevenson. I mentioned how they had
Speaker 1: twenty eight runs a fifteen plus yards. They led the league.
Speaker 1: They've been tops in the league over the last seven
Speaker 1: years in runs inside the five yard line. He's gonna
Speaker 1: have a larger role, especially in the past game, and
Speaker 1: he's a bigger, bodied bully back. Then Damian Harris is
Speaker 1: he had five last year. I think he can. I
Speaker 1: think he can take it up to fifteen this year.
Speaker 1: I think it's possible. Answer. Yeah, the guy John Carlos
Speaker 1: set drafted it did that draft the player who can
Speaker 1: score fifteen touchdowns that nobody is talking about Matt So.
Speaker 1: I was in my home league auction last night with
Speaker 1: George Clooney, Ryan Reynolds. Listeners actually like this. I don't
Speaker 1: feel comfortable doing it, but I think it's funny. Scott's
Speaker 1: serious though I'm not. I'm serious about those players. But obviously,
Speaker 1: but but Ryan Reynolds, George Clooney, Brad pitt none of
Speaker 1: them were talking about James Conner. Um. He has virtually
Speaker 1: no competition for touches in that backfield. The Cardinals running
Speaker 1: back group tally twenty one touchdowns last year, and eighteen
Speaker 1: of them went to Connor. Plus Chase Edmonds is gone,
Speaker 1: so it makes Connor even more of a focal point.
Speaker 1: He's the only show in town in that running game.
Speaker 1: And James Conner is the correct answer. I did text Brian.
Speaker 1: He said, it's Kyle Pitts though it's kind of that's
Speaker 1: fifteen touchdowns and be talking about it. The correct answer
Speaker 1: is Adam feeling you didn't cover half the league in
Speaker 1: your answer. I covered four people. I was like, not
Speaker 1: get credit for that, because this is going to be
Speaker 1: as well off. I already counted him as a wide
Speaker 1: receiver over the past two seasons. Regular listeners know this
Speaker 1: because I've thrown this stat out over the over well,
Speaker 1: even going back through the off season shows a Fantasy
Speaker 1: Football Weekly over the past two seasons, Adam Feeland is
Speaker 1: the highest touchdown percentage and passes thrown from inside the
Speaker 1: ten yard line and the five yard line, and only
Speaker 1: Davante Adams has as a receiver has more total touchdowns
Speaker 1: on plays that start from inside the ten last year,
Speaker 1: and you alluded to this very saliently, Scott he Adam
Speaker 1: Theeland was healthy for eleven games, ten touchdowns till eleven games.
Speaker 1: Nobody seems to remember that had he continued on that pace,
Speaker 1: he would have been the highest scoring wide. You've got
Speaker 1: fifteen touchdowns, tied with Cooper Cup regression my tail last year.
Speaker 1: As I mentioned, now's a point nine touchdowns per game clip.
Speaker 1: And this team, as we described earlier in this show,
Speaker 1: should be throwing the ball more under Kevin O'Connell than
Speaker 1: they were, and up close inside the five yard line,
Speaker 1: they should be throwing the ball more under Kevern O'Connell
Speaker 1: than they did with Mike Zimmer. I think this is uh.
Speaker 1: I think Adam feeling. We're gonna get the hopefully we
Speaker 1: get the full healthy season. He's the player that could
Speaker 1: hit fifteen touchdowns that nobody's talking about. Tough question number three,
Speaker 1: Which version of cor Darryl Patterson? Are we going to
Speaker 1: get the pre Thanksgiving League winner we saw last year
Speaker 1: or the post Thanksgiving turkey that we that ended fantasy
Speaker 1: seasons Across the board? We begin with Matt It's weird,
Speaker 1: but when Cordaryl Patterson has fewer touches, he scores more touchdowns.
Speaker 1: He scored eleven total touch downs last year, seven of
Speaker 1: which came in games where he carried the ball nine
Speaker 1: times or less nine times nine times. That's not very
Speaker 1: many carries for him, so you'd think that the Falcon
Speaker 1: staff noticed this and he did wear down as the
Speaker 1: season rolled on. That's why they brought in Damian Williams,
Speaker 1: and that's why they brought in rookie Tyler l Gear
Speaker 1: to be a part of the running game. So I
Speaker 1: think they're going to use him more as a weapon
Speaker 1: this year instead of our strict running back keeping him
Speaker 1: in the six to eight carry range five to six
Speaker 1: reception range. That should make him more effective as a player.
Speaker 1: So I'll be optimistic and say it's the pre Thanksgiving
Speaker 1: cord Errol, but in true reality it's probably somewhere right
Speaker 1: in the middle. So your answer, I'm wishy washy. I'm
Speaker 1: gonna go. I'm gonna go with the optimistic winning previous
Speaker 1: But I but I don't fully believe in my answer.
Speaker 1: You don't. I only got two choices, Well, goad this.
Speaker 1: Do you think it'd be easier with only two choices? Well,
Speaker 1: I think the third choice would be the middle one.
Speaker 1: It's it's like if there's a grade between an A
Speaker 1: and a bat, which there's not a B plus which
Speaker 1: version of Cordale Patterson are we gonna get Scott the
Speaker 1: pre Thanksgiving league winner or the post Thanksgiving turkey who
Speaker 1: ended fantasy seasons. Yeah, I think it's gonna be a
Speaker 1: lot closer to the to the post Thanksgiving He was
Speaker 1: just too efficient to just too fantasy high scoring in
Speaker 1: the first half UM, and they went away from it.
Speaker 1: They went away from it because either it wasn't working
Speaker 1: or they just couldn't do it anymore. They brought in
Speaker 1: players to take up the running back snaps. They brought
Speaker 1: in a new wide receiver. UM. They brought in running
Speaker 1: quarterbacks that can do other things. I don't think he
Speaker 1: has the same role. I do think that they'll try
Speaker 1: to use him efficient efficiently and have some corderyal chicanery
Speaker 1: going on, you know, like some trick plays and stuff,
Speaker 1: and get him involved in some ways. But I cannot
Speaker 1: see him. I think that first half of that season
Speaker 1: might be his best fantasy stretch his career. Will ask Scott,
Speaker 1: can you like be real about the stop since you're
Speaker 1: in a league with Tyler Algier and he's like your
Speaker 1: best friend. Because like you do you text, you're not realistic,
Speaker 1: so you're on a yes, you're gonna get pre or
Speaker 1: you down the turkey side of this, I'm not trusting
Speaker 1: thirty one year old part time Cordarrel Patterson. The audio
Speaker 1: response is for the correct you just wanted to hit
Speaker 1: the turkey. I love hitting the turkey, but it's Cordarrell
Speaker 1: Patterson odd Thanksgiving. That's right, you only get him Thanksgiving Day.
Speaker 1: Uh pre Thanksgiving, you forget how good he was. Pre Thanksgiving,
Speaker 1: Cordarrell Patterson was averaging one total yards and point nine
Speaker 1: touchdowns per game that was scored Darryl Patterson. That was unbelievable,
Speaker 1: but The workload proved to be too much for Patterson,
Speaker 1: and it all tailed off hard. Even though the workload
Speaker 1: didn't change that much for him after Thanksgiving, the output
Speaker 1: change dramatically. He averaged after Thanksgiving fifty fewer yards per game,
Speaker 1: a full yard per carry fewer, and he only scored
Speaker 1: two times the entire rest of the season. Cordarrell fell
Speaker 1: off the clip. They know that they have to limit
Speaker 1: his usage and therefore, on modest what's probably gonna be
Speaker 1: eight to ten touches a game, That is it. Corderyl
Speaker 1: Patterson had touches. You can only do so much when
Speaker 1: you're getting the ball seven times a game, eight times
Speaker 1: a game. It's hard to it's hard to be impactful
Speaker 1: as a running back. We'll see maybe they don't play
Speaker 1: him as a running back, Maybe they don't play anybody
Speaker 1: in the right position. In Atlanta. When we come back,
Speaker 1: it's the blacklist. Players we will not draft, well maybe
Speaker 1: not never, but not anywhere near where they're getting drafted.
Speaker 1: Will identify quarterbacks, running back, so wide receiver, tight ends
Speaker 1: we will not draft. The blacklist. Coming up next on
Speaker 1: Fantasy Football Weekly, Welcome back Fantasy Football Weekly, Paul Charchy
Speaker 1: and Scott Fish, Matt Harrison with you. This is a
Speaker 1: segment we do every preseason called the Blacklist. These our
Speaker 1: blacklist players that we will not draft. Now, when I
Speaker 1: say we I'm gonna give up, I'm gonna give my players,
Speaker 1: you're gonna give yours. That's unique to you. Other people,
Speaker 1: you know, we may not agree with each other. This
Speaker 1: is your own personal blacklist of players you will not draft.
Speaker 1: We begin to the quarterback position, Matt, who is your blacklist?
Speaker 1: Quarterback Kyler Murray. Um, here's my issue with Kyler. For
Speaker 1: the last three years, he's been one of the hottest
Speaker 1: quarterbacks in the game first September and October. Then he
Speaker 1: gets some undisclosed injury and falls apart over the final
Speaker 1: month of the season. Or maybe he's playing call of
Speaker 1: duty on a double experience points weekend. Who knows, uh?
Speaker 1: In your fantasy playoffs is when you need studs though,
Speaker 1: and here's an illumination of this. In Kyler's first eight
Speaker 1: weeks of each of his three pro seasons, his average
Speaker 1: stat line is two seventy six passing yards, one point
Speaker 1: eight touchdowns, forty two rushing yards, and point six rushing
Speaker 1: touchdowns per game. That's a really good quarterback. Then in
Speaker 1: his final five games of each of his three pro season,
Speaker 1: that drops to two thirty seven passing yards, one point
Speaker 1: two touchdown passes, thirty four rushing yards, and he's only
Speaker 1: scored twice in December or January in his career, zero
Speaker 1: point one three rushing touchdowns per game. Last time we
Speaker 1: saw Kyler Murray was that disastrous playoff game. It's been
Speaker 1: a little bit hard to shake that. So for whatever reason,
Speaker 1: he can't hold up to a full season. Maybe it's
Speaker 1: his body style or how he plays, he just can't
Speaker 1: hold up to a full season, and I'm not taking
Speaker 1: him in the fifth or sixth round. Yeah. Actually, I
Speaker 1: mean that really tracks with you know, a couple of
Speaker 1: years ago, he had the shoulder injury about mid season.
Speaker 1: Last year, had an injury about mid season, miss a
Speaker 1: couple of games. So that kind of does hold up
Speaker 1: that he gets injured, you know, somewhere from I mean,
Speaker 1: you can draft him and enjoy him for September and October,
Speaker 1: but trade him in week four or five ankle last
Speaker 1: year or four or five pretty early when you were
Speaker 1: talking about going downhill in December, trade him for trade
Speaker 1: him for Justin air Bear in week four or five.
Speaker 1: That's more fun. Your blacklist quarterback, Scott, I'm going to
Speaker 1: rust Wilson, and this is the guy I think I
Speaker 1: might have even said on the segment last year because
Speaker 1: the second half of the season for several years now
Speaker 1: he has almost just completely disappeared. And it happened again
Speaker 1: last year. Last year, from the week four through the
Speaker 1: end of the season, he topped two fifty yards once
Speaker 1: and totes not that much. Not that NFL. He had
Speaker 1: five sub two hundred days. He had a few goose
Speaker 1: egg days for touchdowns. He just doesn't seem to doesn't
Speaker 1: seem to have good end of seasons. Now, you notice
Speaker 1: he changed teams. He changed teams. Here's where I'm going.
Speaker 1: He changed teams. I actually really like Sutting this year,
Speaker 1: kind of like Judy is a little over priced for me.
Speaker 1: I'd rather have Sutton Um. But my biggest problem is
Speaker 1: he's going to QB seven or QB eight off the
Speaker 1: board when I can get Cousins or car or Trey
Speaker 1: Lance or something a fault even even right now, where
Speaker 1: Wilson is going to full two and a half rounds later,
Speaker 1: you can get Brady or Dac. It's his price tag.
Speaker 1: You know, for that possible risk and his price tag.
Speaker 1: The quarterback that's on my blacklist is Chicago quarterback Justin Fields.
Speaker 1: To this point through the preseason, he doesn't look any
Speaker 1: different than the inaccurate, scattered player that we saw last year.
Speaker 1: Maybe these new offense, the new offense and the new
Speaker 1: coaches will pay off at some point, but how long
Speaker 1: does that take? And how long do I gotta wait?
Speaker 1: And then this offensive line? Oh my gosh, it's bad.
Speaker 1: It's so bad. You know, they're they're they've got four
Speaker 1: new starters. They're trying to find a new home for
Speaker 1: last year's second round picked Tevin Jenkins, and they can't
Speaker 1: figure out a spot he can play. They ranked thirty
Speaker 1: one by Pro Football Focus and offensive line for this year,
Speaker 1: and that's incredibly generous. It is to think the actual
Speaker 1: subway Turnstiles might do better as an offensive line than
Speaker 1: what they currently cemented into it. Like, yeah, it's weird
Speaker 1: to watch a football game and watch a quarterback and
Speaker 1: be like I feel bad for you, Like I really
Speaker 1: feel bad. You're going to be counting on Justin Fields
Speaker 1: to basically fran Tarkent in his way. That's it. It's
Speaker 1: just gonna be at least they have one of the
Speaker 1: most star studded deepest receiver corpse, thank God, exactly, I'm
Speaker 1: not I I can't. I understand the rushing potential that
Speaker 1: any quarterback who can run like Justin Fields is going
Speaker 1: to give you big rushing output days, but just the
Speaker 1: rest of its so is functionally. I'm worried he's gonna
Speaker 1: have some bad, bad games. Justin Fields my blacklist quarterback.
Speaker 1: Let's go to the running back position, Matt who is
Speaker 1: your blacklist runner? I have Travis e t N here,
Speaker 1: he's coming back from a Liz Frank injury. James Robinson
Speaker 1: obviously coming back from Achilles. You have to take e
Speaker 1: t N in the early third round. Twenty nine point eight.
Speaker 1: Is his a DP right now? Yeahs head coach has
Speaker 1: never had a bell cow though. Either that's the problem.
Speaker 1: The Eagles went a long time with Doug Peterson operating
Speaker 1: with two to three backs in the backfield. We have
Speaker 1: no track record to believe that it's going to be
Speaker 1: his backfield alone or at least and then charges favorite
Speaker 1: player in the whole league besides Damian Pierce, of course,
Speaker 1: is Snooper Loop Connor. Uh. He's in play for goal
Speaker 1: line touches. I think this is messy all year, and
Speaker 1: I don't draft messy at the top of the third round.
Speaker 1: Your your blacklist, quarterback, Scott, it was you this time?
Speaker 1: Uh my running back Miles recollection of turning my mic off.
Speaker 1: By the way, I don't know how that happened. That
Speaker 1: was me ran over to the other side on the
Speaker 1: on the judge back here the camera, Miles Sanders. Actually,
Speaker 1: I could have gone with David Montgomery for those same
Speaker 1: offensive line issues that not at his a DP. Miles,
Speaker 1: We're not done his bears as a group, We're definitely not.
Speaker 1: Forget the fact that he isn't even fully healthy and
Speaker 1: he's been splitting work this preseason, and forget the fact
Speaker 1: that he even tells you not to draft him in
Speaker 1: that's not a good sign. Actually, don't forget either of
Speaker 1: those things. Lean on both of those things. He also
Speaker 1: barely gets the rushing attempts inside the five we noted.
Speaker 1: Out of forty three Russia to him, he got six.
Speaker 1: He doesn't even get that work. His pass catching, he
Speaker 1: caught fifty balls his first year. He hasn't tough thirty cents.
Speaker 1: The thirty isn't even a high high bar for us
Speaker 1: started running back in the NFL. That's really low. I
Speaker 1: can't trust him with anything again. That's Miles Sanders, your
Speaker 1: Blacklist player, sixth round, sixth round ADP for a guy
Speaker 1: that I'll give you a fourth round ADP I'm not touching.
Speaker 1: And that's the Rams running back Cam Akers. And I've
Speaker 1: said it several times in the show. I'm gonna keep
Speaker 1: keep mentioning it. No NFL running back has ever returned
Speaker 1: to productivity after suffering Achilles injury. I hope Cam Akers
Speaker 1: is the first one. I hope he makes history and
Speaker 1: becomes that guy. But I'm not risking my fourth round
Speaker 1: pick on history happening. The more likely scenario here is
Speaker 1: that Acres is less effective than he used to be
Speaker 1: from this injury, and he's sharing time with Darrell Henderson
Speaker 1: effectively all year, and has mentioned earlier in the show,
Speaker 1: Sean McVeigh had last year's second lowest run rate inside
Speaker 1: the five. You can't even necessarily be assured of getting many,
Speaker 1: if any of the inside the five easy touchdowns from
Speaker 1: Cam Acres, my blacklist runner. Let's go to the wide
Speaker 1: receiver position. Matt, who have you black listed? I remember
Speaker 1: going back to a state fair show and like and
Speaker 1: Charch said, has anybody ever regretted drafting Michael Thomas? Oh? Yeah, yeah,
Speaker 1: I'm not drafting him anymore. It's never an easy feeling
Speaker 1: taking a guy who hasn't played in two years. The
Speaker 1: last time he caught a touchdown pass, it was from
Speaker 1: Drew Brees. It was that playoff game where the slime
Speaker 1: was coming into the end zone, the first Nickel Sanders
Speaker 1: we're talking about, Yeah, exactly, Okay, missed a huge chunk
Speaker 1: of injuries, took all one off with an ankle injuries,
Speaker 1: already dinged up in camp with a hamstring injury, and
Speaker 1: he's going at the end of the fifth round. Right now.
Speaker 1: Let's say he does play. Who says he vibes with
Speaker 1: Jamison Winston at all? Why would Chris olav or Jarvis
Speaker 1: Landry not be Winston's preferred target. The ceiling can't be
Speaker 1: as high as twenty season. It probably can't be half
Speaker 1: of that record breaking year. And the floor is that
Speaker 1: you get absolutely nothing of Michael Thomas this year that
Speaker 1: you could nothing. I don't think it's just I don't
Speaker 1: think it's quite as low as you do. But hopefully
Speaker 1: hopefully well. We want him, we want him to be healthy.
Speaker 1: We want Michael Thomas to do well. Your blacklist wide receiver, Yeah, yeah,
Speaker 1: mine's one. Mine's actually we we've been listening off guys
Speaker 1: that are going more in the early rounds and we
Speaker 1: hate their ad EPs. Mine I'm going with is going
Speaker 1: in the eleventh round, and it's I just don't really
Speaker 1: feel he's draftable at all. It's Christian Watson for the Packers.
Speaker 1: We've mentioned earlier in the show that the starters right
Speaker 1: now are Eleanor's Art, Sammy Watkins, and Randall Cobb, and
Speaker 1: all the talk in camp is Romeo Dubbs and Christian Watson.
Speaker 1: Watson has been hurt on the tape. I thought he
Speaker 1: was a beast in college, but like he seemed like
Speaker 1: a very hit and miss prospect he could easily bust.
Speaker 1: I don't even, I don't even I thought that there
Speaker 1: was a chance he could be the Packers wide receiver one.
Speaker 1: I'm not sure how much he gets on the field now,
Speaker 1: with the reports that they're gonna run a lot of
Speaker 1: twenty one with Aaron Jones and Dylan on the field
Speaker 1: and less wide receivers on the field. I don't know
Speaker 1: where he even get snaps. I don't know why he's
Speaker 1: being drafted. To be honest with Watkins, timetable is next
Speaker 1: year in all probability Watson, excuse me, yes, I just
Speaker 1: don't see it for this year. I don't. I don't
Speaker 1: think he's draftable even Moore. My blacklist wide receiver is
Speaker 1: Chicago wide receiver Darnell Mooney. If I if I didn't
Speaker 1: like justin Fields and his passing moments ago, you can
Speaker 1: imagine I can't back his receiver. Even Darnell Mooney coming
Speaker 1: off a good season. You know, I think he's a
Speaker 1: good players. As a special player, he's a good player,
Speaker 1: But I don't think he's got too much to overcome here,
Speaker 1: including drawing top coverage by opposing defenses on every down.
Speaker 1: Allen Robinson was there before to at least even out
Speaker 1: some of that. Now with him gone, defenses just have
Speaker 1: to take away Darnell Mooney. There's nobody left to pass
Speaker 1: two in this offense, and the old line is not
Speaker 1: going to give fields time for Mooney to get open
Speaker 1: or deep. I don't hate Darnell Mooney, but at his
Speaker 1: average draft position, I can get Adam Feeling, who as
Speaker 1: we already described as fifteen touched out upside. That's our guy,
Speaker 1: so we are not touching. I'm not uh touching Darnell Mooney.
Speaker 1: You definitely don't hate him. You were one of the
Speaker 1: early ones I was. I've got him on a variety
Speaker 1: of teams, Dynasty teams from last year. Okay, let's go
Speaker 1: back to uh the tight end position. Blacklist tight ends, man,
Speaker 1: let's go back to Chicago, because I'm not drafting Cole
Speaker 1: comment at all this year. I'm mostly piggybacking on charges
Speaker 1: take on Fields and Mooney here, but this just could
Speaker 1: be a legendarily bad offense. Fields might not survive bying
Speaker 1: this offensive line. And if he doesn't, do you feel
Speaker 1: confident in Trevor Simeon or Nathan Peterman getting Cole Commit
Speaker 1: the ball? And speaking of offensive, this line is so
Speaker 1: bad that you might have to think that Commit might
Speaker 1: be forced to stay in and block more than anyone wants.
Speaker 1: It's getting tough to take any Bears this year. I'm
Speaker 1: dropping Commet down further down my cheat sheet. Alright, your
Speaker 1: blacklist tight end Scott actually kind of committing. There's reasons
Speaker 1: to like him because he's one of the only options,
Speaker 1: but that team is so bad that it doesn't matter.
Speaker 1: There's gonna be twenty to thirty past attempts. It's got
Speaker 1: to go somewhere right to the ground that could be
Speaker 1: could be uh tight end. I'm going with t J Hockenson.
Speaker 1: I mentioned it before. He he didn't have a single
Speaker 1: target in the red zone last year. But this is
Speaker 1: a pure a DP play. Um he is going. He
Speaker 1: is going like as the sixth or so tight end
Speaker 1: off the board. He's going in the same exact range
Speaker 1: as Dalton Schultz, who we talked about last week. We
Speaker 1: think he's got a hundred plus targets. M zach Ertz
Speaker 1: even going around after him way safer. And then then
Speaker 1: there's some late round tight end stabs you can take. Um,
Speaker 1: he's just gonna fight with Swift and Almron even when
Speaker 1: like he those were those guys were out or not
Speaker 1: productive last year. Hawkinson wasn't a very reliable tight end
Speaker 1: even even win Swift exactly so with them healthy and
Speaker 1: d J Charkinell, I just I just can't do it
Speaker 1: all right. My blacklist tight end is Dawson Knox. A
Speaker 1: touchdown dependent eight end is extremely dangerous. Look at Robert
Speaker 1: Tonyan is exhibit A from last year. At this time
Speaker 1: last year, he was coming up from eleven touchdown season.
Speaker 1: We're like, well, okay, he'll regress a bit, but I'm
Speaker 1: still gonna get like, you know what, eight touchdowns on
Speaker 1: a Tony and you got one. Granted he went, he
Speaker 1: had an a c L mid season and then hand
Speaker 1: from the average play on one hand and one leg,
Speaker 1: the average non touchdown game from Dawson Knox two and
Speaker 1: a half catches for twenty nine yards. That's five PPR
Speaker 1: points and that is how you get chopped in a
Speaker 1: guillotine league. Right there, Dawson Knox my blacklist tight end.
Speaker 1: When we come back, final segment, we'll talk through vacated
Speaker 1: targets and identify our favorite sleepers for this week. Final
Speaker 1: segment Fantasy Football Weekly. Coming up next final segment, Fantasy
Speaker 1: Football Weekly. Paul Charchy and Scott Fish Matt Harrison with
Speaker 1: you so much to do a Guillotine leagues dot com.
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Speaker 1: All right, gentlemen, let's dive into our final segment. We
Speaker 1: always do our sleepers. Let's let's start there with our
Speaker 1: Sleepers of the week. We do one of them every week.
Speaker 1: Let's begin with Let's go to Matt first, d j
Speaker 1: chark Wicky Wicky. Uh he's lost big chunks of the
Speaker 1: last two seasons with injury and by being in Jacksonville. Uh.
Speaker 1: Not that relocating from the Detroit of Florida to the
Speaker 1: Detroit of the United States is much better the actual dijazz,
Speaker 1: But here we go. Um. Detroit's got a top five
Speaker 1: offensive line this year. The lines of good weapons all
Speaker 1: around with Chark, Swift, amanros St Brown, T J. Hockenson, etcetera.
Speaker 1: When Jamison Williams returns, that makes that offense even stronger.
Speaker 1: Chark will never ever see a double team this season
Speaker 1: at all. His last healthy season with Gardner Minshew as
Speaker 1: his quarterback, he put up over a thousand yard and
Speaker 1: eight scores. And in fact, in his career he scored
Speaker 1: a touchdown on ten percent of his career catches. So
Speaker 1: if he has I don't know, ninety catches this year,
Speaker 1: he's going to score nine times. You could have picked
Speaker 1: a number. But but let's say scores he gets sixty
Speaker 1: catches this year. I think that's reasonable. Do you have
Speaker 1: six touchdowns? They have six touchdowns and that's a that's
Speaker 1: a player that you can play in some weeks. Absolutely,
Speaker 1: all right, d J. Chark first sleeper Scott. Yeah, I
Speaker 1: like going bottom of the barrel, last pick of your
Speaker 1: drafted It did last week enough for you? No, No,
Speaker 1: he's not, he's not. In previous years, I did stuff
Speaker 1: more in the mid teens that you know, they had
Speaker 1: good a better hit rate. But I like, I like
Speaker 1: these bottom of the barrel ones. I'm going with Kyle Phillips,
Speaker 1: Tennessee's slot receiver who has looked unstoppable in camp. He's
Speaker 1: breaking everybody's ankles literally, all the DBS, Slider the bones style,
Speaker 1: shattering the bones in preseason games, broken ankles for the
Speaker 1: dvs on coaches. Watch the tape they break. I just
Speaker 1: broke my left ankle, hawking about Actually you would sprain
Speaker 1: that is totally true. Yes, but he's got that slot
Speaker 1: roll uh slot rolled down. It's his job. He's the
Speaker 1: starter and uh. They the Tennessee Titans passed to the
Speaker 1: slot at one of the highest rates in the NFL
Speaker 1: last year. Obviously, last year they had a J. Brown
Speaker 1: playing this um. But he's there, slot guy. And if
Speaker 1: you don't, if he doesn't pan out, you can drop him.
Speaker 1: You don't care. It's your last pick. It's your absolute
Speaker 1: last pick of the draft. Kyle Phillips Kyle Phillips ankle
Speaker 1: breaker for the Tennessee type, chattering and you need to
Speaker 1: keep him away from you. I really very dangerous, great brain,
Speaker 1: terrible ankles. You know, I think great. It might get
Speaker 1: a little strong. I mean I was gonna be nice.
Speaker 1: I do wear a great Scott shirt from Time's Back
Speaker 1: to the future one Houston quarterback Davis Mills. You guys
Speaker 1: know how I feel about him. Um, and part of
Speaker 1: it goes back to the draft. I liked him in
Speaker 1: the draft passing californ I don't get at some point,
Speaker 1: you just your eye test goes this guy belongs in
Speaker 1: the NFL. If you watch Davis Mills, and I don't
Speaker 1: blame if you didn't watch much of the Texans last season. Uh,
Speaker 1: Davis Mills repeatedly passed the eye test as an NFL
Speaker 1: caliber quarterback. There's no doubt Houston knows it. They didn't
Speaker 1: make any move at quarterback. They're going forward with Davis
Speaker 1: Mills as as as I believe they should. His stats
Speaker 1: weren't like mind blowing, but I bet they were way
Speaker 1: better than you thought they were. Last year. From Week
Speaker 1: five forward, Davis Mills average game two hundred forty five yards,
Speaker 1: which is pretty good. One and a half passing touchdowns
Speaker 1: per game, also pretty good if you were to just
Speaker 1: expand that to the full season, because obviously didn't start
Speaker 1: the year they at Tirod Taylor. There. That puts Davis
Speaker 1: Mills last year as a rookie on a four thousand
Speaker 1: yard passing season in twenty three touchdowns that would have
Speaker 1: made him quarterback seventeen last year. Davis Mills going off
Speaker 1: the board right now is quarterback twenty nine. He was seventeen.
Speaker 1: Is a rookie he started. I'm kind of utterly shocked
Speaker 1: the charge that you are so on the Davis Mills
Speaker 1: train when your least favorite offensive coordinator, maybe of all time,
Speaker 1: Poop Hamilton's that's his offensive coordinator. I'm I want to
Speaker 1: believe he ruined Andrew Lucky? How can he How can
Speaker 1: he make Davis Mills successful? If he ruined Andrew Luck?
Speaker 1: Are we Texans fans in this? I was on Niko
Speaker 1: CON's all. I wouldn't shut up about him last year.
Speaker 1: Brian had him as his sleeper. And now like nicknamed
Speaker 1: him or something. You're you're you're you know, we're all
Speaker 1: in on Damian Pierce. But you were really early on
Speaker 1: Damian pre draft. Yes, you were in on Davis Mills
Speaker 1: last year. I wanted the Vikings the draft him last year.
Speaker 1: Like are and we always think Brandon Cooks is under it?
Speaker 1: Are we Texans fans we think we are? We are?
Speaker 1: I'm not I'm buying low. I'm buying on the dip.
Speaker 1: Everybody's like, I don't, I don't. I don't think that.
Speaker 1: I don't think there's a dip there. I think I
Speaker 1: think they world is coming with you, guys. Jordan is
Speaker 1: also every single player. What about Chris Cotton? Just drafted Texans?
Speaker 1: Chris for the three times a year he hits charge
Speaker 1: will tell you what will Texan stack? All the way.
Speaker 1: There's a lot of reasons to believe Davis Mills will
Speaker 1: be better in his sophomore year. Better coaching staff, right,
Speaker 1: that's gonna be one of them, including Abe Hamilton's Yeah,
Speaker 1: let's hope that's the case. Good lord, But he did
Speaker 1: for Justin Air Bear. You do something for justin Air Bear?
Speaker 1: Did he really? I think if he was good. If
Speaker 1: Davis Mills was good on pace for a four thousand
Speaker 1: yards season with twenty three touchdowns as a rookie, let's
Speaker 1: just put him at a slight increase about thirty yards
Speaker 1: a game and about point three touchdowns better per game
Speaker 1: this year. Now he's sitting at hundred yards twenty eight touchdowns,
Speaker 1: and he's quarterback twelve. If he's going to average out
Speaker 1: to quarterback twelve and you're in a twelve team league,
Speaker 1: half of his games. He belongs as a starter in
Speaker 1: the as a starter, and he's going off the board
Speaker 1: his quarterback twenty nine Davis Mills another, think about it,
Speaker 1: pick two hundred thirty three of your draft. You know,
Speaker 1: I take it all back. Pep Hamilton's did have a
Speaker 1: career win loss record of three and two in the
Speaker 1: XFL as the head coach of the DC. Don't you
Speaker 1: forget it? Yeah, I take it all back. What was
Speaker 1: the d C? The DC defenders almost as bad as Commanders,
Speaker 1: honestly couldn't that terrible team. But we don't have to
Speaker 1: get sidetracked on that. Scott is Texans much better, like
Speaker 1: if it Minnesota, Minnesotans like that is pretty weird. But
Speaker 1: that's a legacy name, right, so I'll give it. I'll
Speaker 1: grant them. Hughston was trying to Huston was trying to
Speaker 1: get the grandpa's who remember the original Texans and didn't
Speaker 1: then become Cowboys fans in the seventies and eighties when
Speaker 1: the Cowboys rolled up all of those Super Bowls and nineties.
Speaker 1: So I think that was it was a very slim group. Honestly,
Speaker 1: that's what you do when you when that demo of
Speaker 1: like the seventy nine year old guys, we gotta get them. Yes, Okay,
Speaker 1: let's talk about vacated targets, Scott. How about let's just
Speaker 1: go right back to the Texans. Tex we're gonna talk
Speaker 1: if we're gonna talk about vacated targets and touches, this
Speaker 1: is in targets exactly. But they got rid of two
Speaker 1: hundred got rid of They just threw about the door
Speaker 1: two hundred and forty carries and sixty two running back targets. Wow,
Speaker 1: that's over three hundred by my math. And I'm struggling
Speaker 1: to figure out who can pick up the majority of
Speaker 1: that work? Who who would it be? Who could pick
Speaker 1: up the majority of three hundred potential running back? That
Speaker 1: could Beams. I'll mention this. They haven't shown it yet
Speaker 1: in the preseason. Dude can catch and that's the part
Speaker 1: of his upside that everybody's he's a good runner. I
Speaker 1: will say, you watched the film, he he catches decently downfield, etcetera.
Speaker 1: He didn't have a lot of catches, but he can catch. Yes,
Speaker 1: didn't have a lot of rushes in Florida at Florida either,
Speaker 1: which is mind boggling things. I think they probably misused
Speaker 1: him there, but that's just me. So the team that
Speaker 1: lost the most targets last year the Tennessee Titans. Obviously,
Speaker 1: with the trade of A. J. Brown and other people leaving,
Speaker 1: they brought in Trailing Burks is going to take up
Speaker 1: a decent amount of that. They brought in Kyle Phillips,
Speaker 1: who's gonna take He's got, He's gonna take up a
Speaker 1: lot of that. But honestly, I feel like that target
Speaker 1: number is a little high. This is one of the
Speaker 1: reasons that I don't love vacated targets at times. But
Speaker 1: that three it was so high because Derrick Henry went
Speaker 1: out and they were they were passing in the second
Speaker 1: especially a lot of passes to guys like Hillyard and
Speaker 1: stuff that just won't happen this year. But even if
Speaker 1: you tamp that down, Trailing Burke's and Kyle Phillips and
Speaker 1: Robert Woods should be splitting a pretty decent chunk of targets.
Speaker 1: I love that you used the word tamp Thank you. Yes,
Speaker 1: you never hear people use that. I love it because
Speaker 1: because nobody smokes a pipe anymore. One was the last
Speaker 1: time you saw anybody smoke a pipe, and traditionally the tamp.
Speaker 1: The only tamping I know of is with pipe smokers
Speaker 1: tamping down their tobacco. I stilling about regular pipes. One
Speaker 1: at the Sherlock Holmes style. I still say champion at
Speaker 1: the bit too, instead of chomping, champion, thank yourectly. It's
Speaker 1: one of my pet peeps. It's champing, thank you, chomping,
Speaker 1: thank you you champ at the bit exact charge. I
Speaker 1: think you should take up pipe smoking as a hobby.
Speaker 1: Really you want to give me cancer? Well, I think
Speaker 1: Matt honestly, with getting orange pipe with the glasses, an
Speaker 1: copy a corn cob pipe called church in corn cop pipe.
Speaker 1: I like three or four years ago I saw a
Speaker 1: guy driving with a pipe in his mouth. But that's
Speaker 1: the last time. I can't. I don't, I can't. I
Speaker 1: don't know. Twenty years I've seen one guy with a
Speaker 1: pipe never Uh. Some other notable ones. The packers lost
Speaker 1: two four targets, mostly Davante Adams, but also you know
Speaker 1: st Brown and Mbs and everybody. A lot of players left.
Speaker 1: Um the clear winner of that is Alan Lazard. He
Speaker 1: him in his six five frame. UH should be able
Speaker 1: to you know, take take up a lot of that
Speaker 1: and believe it or not, Lizard actually started to hit
Speaker 1: last season. He had a five game stretch where he
Speaker 1: had five touchdowns and nearly three yards near the end
Speaker 1: of the season. There it kind of started to take
Speaker 1: off for him. Then Alan Lazard scored a touchdown on
Speaker 1: tent of his receptions last year. It's pretty good. That's
Speaker 1: really good. I get this feeling we're gonna be having
Speaker 1: a show around like week three, We're like, who do
Speaker 1: you really regret you didn't draft? And we're all gonna
Speaker 1: be like, we have I passed on alimis Art four times?
Speaker 1: That didn't I have Wait, I'm over No, I have
Speaker 1: way too much of it. That's because A. J. Dillon
Speaker 1: who was in your league told you all about him.
Speaker 1: He did not. I should have asked, Why didn't I ask?
Speaker 1: He did? Drest he did? Draft? Uh Ellen Lazard any
Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers so a little biased. They lost thirty six
Speaker 1: percent of their inside the tent targets as well, with
Speaker 1: the big bodies of LAZARDE Dubbs. That's that's kind of nice.
Speaker 1: Over to the Chiefs. The Chiefs lost the most targets. Yeah,
Speaker 1: the most targets. Yeah, I was combining targets and touches
Speaker 1: for a second, but yeah, they lost the most targets.
Speaker 1: Two sixty five wide receiver targets alone, UM a lot
Speaker 1: of that. I honestly think it's going to be replaced
Speaker 1: with Jujuice Mith Schuster. Not obviously two sixty five, but
Speaker 1: he has been the talk at camp. He's been going
Speaker 1: deep and we're just a couple of years removed from
Speaker 1: two years in a row where he's in the hundred
Speaker 1: fifty target range. He can be a volume guy. He
Speaker 1: can be a volume guy. He didn't score a lot
Speaker 1: of touchdowns in that because he was more of a
Speaker 1: slot guy and they had other weapons. They don't have
Speaker 1: a lot of other weapons. If we end the season
Speaker 1: and Juju Smith Schuster is a hundred fifty plus target guy,
Speaker 1: I wouldn't be shocked. I wouldn't be shocked if he
Speaker 1: jumps right back into that top twelve wide receiver range.
Speaker 1: I'm imagining it's like Week three and we're doing Fantasy
Speaker 1: football weekly and we're saying to ourselves, I passed on
Speaker 1: Schuster four times, how did you receive this? Tyreek Hill left?
Speaker 1: We got Juju Smith Schuster who we've looked at for
Speaker 1: the last couple of years. But forget that his first
Speaker 1: two years in the league he was absolutely ridiculous and
Speaker 1: absolutely high volume. And now he's the number one guy
Speaker 1: for Patrick Holmes. Yeah, unless more turns out to be
Speaker 1: this is turning into a could be wrong guy for
Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers and Patrick Mahomes. What are you say? Is right? Yeah,
Speaker 1: they're they're also boring ones like the rad has lost
Speaker 1: a hundred and eighty nine wide receiver targets and he's
Speaker 1: gonna get That's what I put He's gonna get one
Speaker 1: of those targets that were replaced on that one. Um.
Speaker 1: Another one I find interesting is the Chiefs lost fifty
Speaker 1: seven running back targets and a hundred and fifty seven
Speaker 1: running back carries. That is a lot of works. Isn't
Speaker 1: getting all that? Oh No, he's no, your kids serious,
Speaker 1: He's not going to add two hundred and fourteen touches
Speaker 1: to his UM. But here's the thing, Jet McKinnon, I
Speaker 1: don't know that he holds up. He's thirty one years old,
Speaker 1: He's not. He looked great in small doses in the playoffs.
Speaker 1: I don't think he holds up. We got a seventh
Speaker 1: round rookie in Isaiah Pacheco, who I actually really really like.
Speaker 1: We got Ronald Jones, who seems to be a cut candidate,
Speaker 1: despite you know, the loose usage in the last preseason game.
Speaker 1: I think in the seventh eighth round where c H
Speaker 1: is going, we might be undervaluing what kind of volume
Speaker 1: he might actually get because he is the clear cut
Speaker 1: number one running back there. He's going at a discount
Speaker 1: you'll never buy. You know. Clyde Edwards A Layer was
Speaker 1: a his rookie year when he got drafted in the
Speaker 1: first round. Ever, he's very excited. Totally misread this. You
Speaker 1: know this my eating crow. We misread was the pass
Speaker 1: catching going away. Yeah, that's where he did in college, right,
Speaker 1: And I thought he was sitting on like fifty receptions,
Speaker 1: sixty receptions, seventy receptions. We thought he was gonna be
Speaker 1: Austin Neckler. Did none of that panned out? First rounder
Speaker 1: three years ago. Then Clyde Edwards A Layer dropped to
Speaker 1: what like the fourth round last year. Now, if you
Speaker 1: want to me and get him seventh round, say, feels
Speaker 1: like the price is finally right on Clyde Edwards A Layer,
Speaker 1: all Right, any other VACA, vacated targets, vacated carries you
Speaker 1: want to discuss, guy, I think the most obvious ones
Speaker 1: are ones like the Falcons who are are right near
Speaker 1: the top of the league in targets they lost and
Speaker 1: carries they lost. It's pretty clear what's happening there. It's
Speaker 1: gonna be Drake Lennon taking over the Ridley role. It's
Speaker 1: gonna be Pits expanding at the running back role. Patterson,
Speaker 1: we've already talked, we don't think it's going to be him.
Speaker 1: So right now, where Damian Williams is going and Tyler
Speaker 1: are going in in in drafts, there's two hundred plus
Speaker 1: touches to the running back position that are just gone
Speaker 1: from last year, and we've already said Cordarrell Patterson probably
Speaker 1: isn't taking it. No, we know, we know Damian Williams
Speaker 1: is kind of just a guy. Yeah, That's why I
Speaker 1: like Tyler l Jeer just, you know, because maybe it
Speaker 1: turns out he's really good. Once again, he drafted himself.
Speaker 1: He believes in himself. He's close to the situation personally. Now,
Speaker 1: when did he draft himself? I think it was at
Speaker 1: a fair value. I think it was like twelve rounder,
Speaker 1: and so he didn't take himself in the first round,
Speaker 1: just stuff like because I'm me. No, No, he checked
Speaker 1: out a DP, he knew about where he did. He
Speaker 1: give himself a reason he might have given himself around,
Speaker 1: gave himself a reach out. Scott Fish on Fantasy Football
Speaker 1: Weekly clip that. Yeah, thank you for listening, everybody. If
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