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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast Podcast pot all.

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Speaker 2: Right, here we go.

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Speaker 3: Fifteen twenty twenty five, thirty thirty five forty Cody five fifty.

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Speaker 4: And the kick Ass Block the College Football World stunner.

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Speaker 4: Oh my goodness, he stumbled and bumble the lateral turn

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Speaker 4: a canter on the inside. Do you believe I'm not

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Speaker 4: gonna table off the veil the night? By god, it's

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Speaker 4: not the size of the dog in the fight. It's

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Speaker 4: the size of the fight in the dog.

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Speaker 5: What's up the general nation? Welcome to the Big Bets

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Speaker 5: on Campus Podcast. This is the ACC Betting Preview Park one.

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Speaker 5: I'm stuck in joining me as always my fellow BBC

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Speaker 5: co host Colin will say. Today we will cover Yukon

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Speaker 5: independ school and eight ACC schools Clemson, Miami, Louisville, SMU,

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Speaker 5: Georgia Tech, Virginia Tech, Florida State, and do all the

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Speaker 5: favorites in the conference. And then Part two will cover

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Speaker 5: Notre Dame. We didn't forget about your Notre Dame fans

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Speaker 5: and the remaining nine teams in the ACC, including some

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Speaker 5: of the dregs. If you haven't listened already, everything's out already.

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Speaker 5: All of the group of five. We recorded the Big

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Speaker 5: twelve last night, so that should be out SEC and

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Speaker 5: Big ten out as well. Make sure you check all

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Speaker 5: those out. Colin. I haven't recording this on I don't

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Speaker 5: even know what day it is. I've been looking at

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Speaker 5: ACC stuff all night. So let's get right into it.

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Speaker 5: By the way, Windy City Watch Party Week zero, be there,

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Speaker 5: Joe's on Weed Street in Chicago. Colin and I will

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Speaker 5: be there produce to mat Mitchell, Breeze, Duck Kerner, and

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Speaker 5: Raybound will be doing a fun little fantasy draft, but

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Speaker 5: mainly we're going to be there to sweat games, drink,

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Speaker 5: hang out, meet some of y'all. Eleven am Central Kansas State,

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Speaker 5: Iowa State, and then we'll be there for all the games,

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Speaker 5: so make sure you check it out. Joe's on weavi

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Speaker 5: end event there March Madis was super cool, so looking

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Speaker 5: forward to seeing somebody there that are in the Chicago area.

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Speaker 5: On the twenty third for Week zero, all right, let's

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Speaker 5: knock out Yukon first before we get into the top

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Speaker 5: of the board in the ACC.

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Speaker 1: The Yukon Huskies.

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Speaker 5: Yukon the best year they've had in twenty years last year,

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Speaker 5: and I believe They're looking for their first back to

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Speaker 5: back winning seasons in fifteen years as a successful season

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Speaker 5: for Jim Moorem. They do lose a lot, specifically along

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Speaker 5: the offensive line and on defense. Their defense was just

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Speaker 5: ravaged by graduations and some portal exits. Offensively, the biggest

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Speaker 5: concern is the offensive line. Lose two tackles to the

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Speaker 5: NFL and a guard to the CFL. Pistol outside zone

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Speaker 5: one of the most heaviest outside zone. One of the

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Speaker 5: heaviest outside zone offenses in the country. Got good backs,

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Speaker 5: Bellot wide receiver. Are you gonna do this Ferano Evers

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Speaker 5: dance again? I mean, Henano is the seventh year. He's

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Speaker 5: the better quarterback. Evers is like the more highly talented kid,

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Speaker 5: but he just makes bad decisions.

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Speaker 2: I don't know.

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Speaker 5: Apparently it's another competition. We'll see if they go back

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Speaker 5: and forth. But you come one eight games in the

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Speaker 5: regular season, nine overall beat it, laying duck UNC team

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Speaker 5: in a bowl. Win total sitting at seven and a half.

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Speaker 5: It hasn't moved in a while. It's pretty steady. I'm

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Speaker 5: worried about this defense. They lose a ton. I thought

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Speaker 5: Matt Brock did a tremendous job in his first year's

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Speaker 5: defensive coordinator. They do a lot of really good stuff

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Speaker 5: with their defensive line stunts. They change up coverages a ton.

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Speaker 5: They're very unpredictable. Maybe there's some regression coming to I

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Speaker 5: mean they even though I like what they do. I

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Speaker 5: mean they're third down D. The red zone D was outstanding.

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Speaker 5: Maybe they take a step back, but they lose a

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Speaker 5: ton of talent from the defense. So I've questioned about

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Speaker 5: the defense. The offensive line probably takes a big step back.

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Speaker 5: This schedule one of the fifteen easiest in the country

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Speaker 5: Central Connecticut Ball State, FIU and UAB. But there's some

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Speaker 5: tricky games, like at Delaware that'll be Delaware's first FBS

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Speaker 5: matchup as an FBS team. At Buffalo. We both like

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Speaker 5: Buffalo this year. At BC at Rice air Force is

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Speaker 5: going to be improved this year. They do play two

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Speaker 5: option teams. I downgraded U Kansum. I'm leaning under pretty

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Speaker 5: hard here. I mean I project closer to seven, so

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Speaker 5: under seven and a half would be my look. But

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Speaker 5: More is doing a great job here, and with limited resources,

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Speaker 5: I mean, you're not going to get a lot of

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Speaker 5: talent in the recruiting class is never going to be

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Speaker 5: that high. So what are you seeing with the Huskies.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm exactly on seven point four, So this is

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Speaker 2: going to be a no play for me. I would

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Speaker 2: lean to the under, but this is also a head

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Speaker 2: coach that has somehow shown up in a place where

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Speaker 2: football was dead and somehow revived a program stuck in

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Speaker 2: a three three five and finished up fourth and third

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Speaker 2: down defense last year. I mean, that's really impressive from

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Speaker 2: this program. I think that they are a protege of

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Speaker 2: what their head coaches. The schedule for me is really interesting.

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Speaker 2: I don't know who's going to be playing quarterback, but Fanyano.

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Speaker 2: You know, I loved his numbers twenty to four TD

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Speaker 2: to I and T, but he almost doubled, having big

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Speaker 2: time throws over turnover worthy plays, took over his starter

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Speaker 2: at the end of the year, and I think I

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Speaker 2: think they could even have an upset over Boston College.

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Speaker 2: And I just I love that Yukon plays up to

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Speaker 2: what their coach wants, and so I'm not fading them,

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Speaker 2: but I do make it seven point four.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, I did. Tackles are a major problem which might

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Speaker 5: wreck everything, so I think I'm probably gonna be on

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Speaker 5: the under here with Yukon. All right, all right, let's

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Speaker 5: move on to the ACC.

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Speaker 1: The ACC more than just Clemson.

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Speaker 5: Clemson the defending champs. Thank you. I had you last

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Speaker 5: year to make the pluff and win the ACC, and

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Speaker 5: I got lucky. I guess I should be thanking Syracuse

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Speaker 5: for upsetting Miami, which allowed Clemson to sneak into the

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Speaker 5: AEC Championship game, where they defeated SMU.

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Speaker 3: I don't want to ever be a part of anything

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Speaker 3: and your culture is it winning?

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Speaker 2: Ain't enough?

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Speaker 3: Win?

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Speaker 5: Is a Winson Number one in returning production bring back

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Speaker 5: a ton debo even kind of flirted with the portal

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Speaker 5: a bit. Brought in more guys than I mean, it's

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Speaker 5: not a ton, but they brought in I mean, there's

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Speaker 5: still like a bottom twenty portal class. But you know

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Speaker 5: a guy like will help from where do you think

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Speaker 5: will Help's from Perdue? From Perdue? I think he was

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Speaker 5: one of their better players. But this constant team they

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Speaker 5: bring back a ton, I mean one of the positions

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Speaker 5: to watch his left guard, but the receivers are all

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Speaker 5: back running back as well. She lost MafA Randall might

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Speaker 5: be the guy there, the converted wide receiver re played

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Speaker 5: in the postseason as the running back, but running back

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Speaker 5: left guard. Otherwise everyone's back. This is a stacked team

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Speaker 5: club Nick thirty six touchdowns, six interceptions. Last year he

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Speaker 5: played his best ball down the stretch, so Clemson is

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Speaker 5: hoping that he carries that over into this year. Defensively,

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Speaker 5: elite defensive line, one of the best in the country,

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Speaker 5: led by Woods and Parker. People forget about Kate part

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Speaker 5: two and now you app held linebacker strong nickelback. Worry

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Speaker 5: about a little bit. There's some questions I have in

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Speaker 5: the back end is what see how that comes together.

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Speaker 5: But they bring in Tom Allen to fix the run

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Speaker 5: day because the rundy was a problem last year. They

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Speaker 5: had just bad gap integrity. They would lose the edge

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Speaker 5: a lot. So that's Allen's specialty. You know, they allowed

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Speaker 5: four point seven yards per carry last year. Fallon fixes that.

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Speaker 5: Then it's just how doles the secondary come together. This

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Speaker 5: is obviously one of the best teams in the ACC

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Speaker 5: andn go under ten. If you want to go under ten,

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Speaker 5: eat the money at CERCA or under ten and a

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Speaker 5: half minus one forty. So their win total is sitting

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Speaker 5: right around ten point one. You know, I'm not as

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Speaker 5: high as everyone else on Clemson.

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Speaker 3: This year, I started as the lowest paid coach in

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Speaker 3: this freaking business because I've worked my ass off and

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Speaker 3: I ain't gonna let some smart ass create this stuff.

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Speaker 3: So if you got a problem with it, I don't care.

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Speaker 3: Clipson with thirty five years your whole freaking life, and

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Speaker 3: we've won two in seven years and we earned it.

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Speaker 5: I mean, look that nine regular season wins last year.

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Speaker 5: Eight of the twelve teams they played this year or

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Speaker 5: projected that winning records, they only played four last year,

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Speaker 5: and they could have been zero to four in those games.

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Speaker 2: Win is a win, club, Nick.

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Speaker 5: He was great down the stretch, but against the SEC,

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Speaker 5: the upper tier teams that Clemson played, he wasn't at

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Speaker 5: his best. He's owned three of varus the SEC the

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Speaker 5: average under two touchdowns per game, lost at home to

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Speaker 5: Louisville as well. They were dominated in that game, and

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Speaker 5: then you know, against all the other teams, his numbers

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Speaker 5: were gaudy. So can you take that next step against

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Speaker 5: quality competition. What you could point to is late in

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Speaker 5: the year, like Texas, who had a really good secondary,

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Speaker 5: he did play extremely well schedule wise for this very

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Speaker 5: experienced Clemson team. They do draw four of the top six.

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Speaker 5: They've avoid Miami and on the road in the ACC,

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Speaker 5: they have Georgia Tech, UNC, Boston College, and Louisville. It's

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Speaker 5: not a daunting schedule, but its top round, top thirty

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Speaker 5: from a difficulty perspective. They do start with LSU. That

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Speaker 5: game will go a long way in determining their win

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Speaker 5: total in my opinion. And you know if they host

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Speaker 5: SMU at Louisville at South Carolina to close the year,

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Speaker 5: so they're book ended by SEC teams around an ACC schedule.

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Speaker 5: We're both low on South ConA. That games on the road,

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Speaker 5: so definitely won't be easy. We'll see what the game

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Speaker 5: Cocks look like by that point in the season. What

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Speaker 5: are you seeing with Clemson this year? I personally I

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Speaker 5: projected abound nine point eight, so I'm not sure i'd

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Speaker 5: get there, but small into the under.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, revenge game against South Carolina after losing last year

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Speaker 2: before they hit the playoff or the a SEC championship

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Speaker 2: and then went to the playoff. I love Clemson this year.

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Speaker 2: I think it was one of the very first bets

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Speaker 2: I put in the app. I think when you look

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Speaker 2: at Caid Club Nicks numbers. It's been an impressive transition

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Speaker 2: to an elite quarterback, something that we worried about two

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Speaker 2: years ago. I'm happy to be sitting on a stack

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Speaker 2: of like Bowman Chrome's autographed kid Club Nicks serialized because

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Speaker 2: I think that he's going to break out here. Twenty

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Speaker 2: eight to thirteen big Time throws a turnover worthy plays,

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Speaker 2: lowered his turnover worthy play right down to two point

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Speaker 2: three percent. Is that is getting two elite levels. You're

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Speaker 2: getting Antonio Willie was back in the slot. You're getting

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Speaker 2: Bryant westco out at Whiteout. We're you know, we're looking

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Speaker 2: at two guys that can do absolutely everything in the

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Speaker 2: passing game at a national level, not just the acc level.

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Speaker 2: The weakness could be the running back with film offa

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Speaker 2: moving on. But they like freshman. Geteon Davidson so far

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Speaker 2: in camp and he's, you know, the four star. He

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Speaker 2: was the feature back. That's what they're expecting. I'm a

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Speaker 2: little nervous about him being true freshman. See if he

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Speaker 2: can handle the load. I don't think he's as big

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Speaker 2: of a back as I would want to handle the

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Speaker 2: entire load. So we'll see how he turns out. But

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Speaker 2: you know how Clemson's offense is going to work. They

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Speaker 2: you know, Garret Riley can hit stuff over the middle,

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Speaker 2: he can hit swinging, you know, orbit guys and orbits.

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Speaker 2: They can use every player on the field, and I

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Speaker 2: expect more of Club Nit grasping Riley's playbook and it

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Speaker 2: becoming more elite from an offensive perspective. When you look

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Speaker 2: at the defense, there's not much more to add than

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Speaker 2: what you said, other than I think Tom Allen is

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Speaker 2: an upgrade. The fact that Dabo has had I hate

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Speaker 2: to use this pun but some sort of come to

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Speaker 2: Jesus thing about the transfer portal and hiring outside of

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Speaker 2: the program. I think he became too good of friends

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Speaker 2: with his assistants and firing them was tough. And now

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Speaker 2: you go out and you basically get a hit man

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Speaker 2: as your defensive coordinator, a guy that's proven at other levels,

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Speaker 2: even at Penn State. This is a national level defense.

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Speaker 2: And they finished eighth in HAVOC and I expect them

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Speaker 2: to be even better on those numbers.

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Speaker 3: Fund's in the winning. Fun is in the winning. It's

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Speaker 3: hard to win. If you can't have fun winning, why

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Speaker 3: you do it?

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Speaker 2: I got them double digit favorites over every one in

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Speaker 2: the ACC except in November fourteenth trip to Louisville. So

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Speaker 2: the one bet on there that I think that you

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Speaker 2: have to make on Clemson is there still sitting plus

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Speaker 2: one oh five for the ACC. Like I hit this

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Speaker 2: plus one fifty back in like march As, they should

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Speaker 2: not be plus one fifty. They're gonna be favored over everybody.

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Speaker 2: The Louisville game, they could even lose. Do you see

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Speaker 2: Clemson falling into third in the ACC standings? I mean,

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Speaker 2: there's no Miami on the schedule.

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Speaker 5: They could certainly lose at Louisville. They were curb stomp

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Speaker 5: last year at home by Louisville. They could now the

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Speaker 5: trickiest games are in the beginning of the season. At

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Speaker 5: Georgia Tech is not an easy game. We'll see what

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Speaker 5: their new defensive coordinator can do. Texas safety coach comes

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Speaker 5: over take over as DC. Obviously some familiarity with club

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Speaker 5: Nick after what happened last year. And then we don't

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Speaker 5: know what UNC is gonna be. But UNC coming off

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Speaker 5: of bye Belichick, what has he got? We'll talk North Carolina.

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Speaker 5: But those aren't easy games, and so you know there's

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Speaker 5: there's in an SMU at home. I'm pretty low in

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Speaker 5: SMU at BC. Can they trip up there?

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Speaker 2: I don't know if they win. The Red Bandana game.

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Speaker 5: Is SMU game? Okay, No, I can't. I can't get

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Speaker 5: there plus plus one o five.

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Speaker 2: I might.

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Speaker 5: I might actually play there are on favorite, they're minus

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Speaker 5: one ten at some places. I might play. No, Clemson

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Speaker 5: not to win it.

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Speaker 2: When do not win the ACC?

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Speaker 3: Yep, there's always a small percentage in anything that just completely.

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Speaker 2: Out of touch with reality. I'm willing to hear who

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Speaker 2: you things are gonna win. I mean, they're not gonna

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Speaker 2: be an underdog. They're not gonna be with the ten

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Speaker 2: points if anybody's at Louisville. Even if they lose that game,

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Speaker 2: they can still make it. And they're not gonna be

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Speaker 2: an underdog to anybody in that game. So I can't

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Speaker 2: wait to hear this.

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Speaker 5: We'll get there, all right. Let's move on to SMU,

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Speaker 5: the team Clemson beat in the AC Championship game.

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Speaker 1: The SMU Mustangs pony up.

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Speaker 5: S coming off a College Football Playoff appearance. Jennings back

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Speaker 5: at quarterback is backup Tyler Van Dyke. I believe the

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Speaker 5: X well traveled X Miami product. They lose a lot

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Speaker 5: from some key positions, particularly running back. They're gonna really

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Speaker 5: miss Rashaan Smith at running back. They lost a couple

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Speaker 5: of backups as well. I'm gonna need a red shair

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Speaker 5: freshman McFall to step up. Lose some talented wide receiver.

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Speaker 5: The big good news is Maryland r J. Maryland is

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Speaker 5: back at tight end. He's a player, he was hurt

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Speaker 5: last year. He's one of the better ones when healthy

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Speaker 5: in the country. What I'm really worried about the offensive line.

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Speaker 5: You lose you know, Osbourne to the NFL is a

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Speaker 5: five year starter. You lose your center. You bring in

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Speaker 5: a couple of transfers. There's still there's still a lot

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Speaker 5: of starts here. But it's a question for me. But

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Speaker 5: the bigger question is the defense. The defense got absolutely ravaged.

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Speaker 5: There's only two returning starters. The defensive line loses four

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Speaker 5: to the NFL. That defensive line last year was dominant.

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Speaker 5: Now you're bringing in some guys guess what, two from

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Speaker 5: Purdue on the defensive line. But it's a big step

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Speaker 5: back in my opinion. Linebacker, you lose Wilson Walker, you

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Speaker 5: lose your nickelback Sanders downgrade to me. In the secondary

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Speaker 5: your safeties are solid, but you I mean, you lost McGill,

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Speaker 5: You lost Crossley, one of your corners to the NFL.

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Speaker 5: The secondary also takes a step back. So this defense

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Speaker 5: in general, I think is taking a step back. Last year, look,

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Speaker 5: it was a tale of two seasons. After they made

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Speaker 5: the quarterback change, Jennings really came in and the offense

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Speaker 5: went to another level. They their schedule was very easy though.

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Speaker 5: Last year, I mean only beat five teams with a

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Speaker 5: winning record hundred to an eleven and one regular season

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Speaker 5: This year, the schedule again, it's pretty easy. They face

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Speaker 5: all of the bottom five, so I mean, you're depending

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Speaker 5: on where you have them. But they faced Wake and

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Speaker 5: Cal on the road, BC on the road, you have

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Speaker 5: Stanford at home, Syracuse at home. You know you also

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Speaker 5: have East Texas A and M Missouri State. What a

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Speaker 5: weird spot on the road at that new member Missouri State.

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Speaker 2: B MO beg and his beast. Oh step by you.

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Speaker 5: Baylor at home. That's a good non conference game. And

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Speaker 5: then they're at TCU as well, So non conference mixed

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Speaker 5: bag this year, though they do play Clemson in Miami,

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Speaker 5: which they did not do last year. In the regular season,

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Speaker 5: they host Miami, they go to Clemson. I want to

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Speaker 5: fade this team. I'm at like eight point three eight

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Speaker 5: just because I think the defense takes a major, major

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Speaker 5: step back. I'm not quite there from a numbers perspective.

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Speaker 5: I was hoping to get a nine go under nine here.

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Speaker 5: The d also stayed so healthy last year, so there

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Speaker 5: could be some regression, so I'm not too high on SMU.

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Speaker 5: I do not think they get back to the a

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Speaker 5: CC Championship game. I do not think they get back

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Speaker 5: to the coach twelve ploff lean under. What are you

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Speaker 5: seeing with the Mustangs?

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Speaker 2: Well, when you have a strength of schedule of seventy fourth,

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Speaker 2: like you're hitting the schedule lottery two years in a row.

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Speaker 2: I don't know what the schedule is gonna look like

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Speaker 2: the next couple of years, but at some point you're

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Speaker 2: gonna have to start playing the beef of this conference.

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Speaker 2: But it's not happening this year. You know, nearly all

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Speaker 2: Kevin Jennings turnover worthy plays, nearly all of them last

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Speaker 2: year came against Duke, Clemson and Penn State. When he

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Speaker 2: faced the toughest secondaries on the schedule. He got eight alive,

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Speaker 2: and now he's losing you know, a couple of wide

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Speaker 2: receiver options that he didn't have before. But tight end RJ.

337
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Speaker 2: Maryland is still there. There was an injury last year,

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Speaker 2: such a big piece of that offense. They'll get him back.

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Speaker 2: Two point seven yards per route run for a tight

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Speaker 2: end is pretty insane. One hundred and seventeen offensive line

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Speaker 2: starts and two portal starters from P four schools, mainly Arkansas.

342
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Speaker 2: I OU so I'm not really worried about the offensive

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Speaker 2: line and the running back room is just trying to

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Speaker 2: figure out the depth chart here. But Derek McFall was

345
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Speaker 2: named to the DOAK Walker watch list. Now he doesn't

346
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Speaker 2: really have a lot of good numbers and from experience,

347
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Speaker 2: but he's already been named a DOAK Walker watch list,

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Speaker 2: So we'll see how that turns out. And you're right

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Speaker 2: about the defens. There's a lot of questions here, but

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Speaker 2: what there's not a question about is the safeties. Isaiah

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Speaker 2: Noa Kobia and Amad Moses. They might be the best

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Speaker 2: combo at safety in the nation. But I go back

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Speaker 2: to it strength the schedule seventy fourth, right, it is

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Speaker 2: a little bit tougher than last year. They have a

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Speaker 2: chance to get it to that second slot. Again, I've

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Speaker 2: been trying to make a determination who I think is

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Speaker 2: the number two team in the ACC, and I think

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Speaker 2: it's between Louisville and SMU. And when you look at

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Speaker 2: that Louisville SMU game, it is absolute dogshit spot for Louisville,

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Speaker 2: who you know, is coming off their biggest game of

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Speaker 2: the year on the week before and will be playing

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Speaker 2: Kentucky the following week and SMU will be coming off

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Speaker 2: of a bye. It is a major advantage for SMU

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Speaker 2: in this scheduling that they got from the ACC as

365
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Speaker 2: a major advantage on paper for the Ponies. The number

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Speaker 2: for me to make the ACC Championship gets actually about

367
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Speaker 2: plus two ninety. It's out there in the market at

368
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Speaker 2: three forty, so I think there's some meat on the

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Speaker 2: bone on them to make it. I would ride with

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Speaker 2: an a SEC Championship game plus three forty, and then

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Speaker 2: I would not pay attention to it till middle of November.

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Speaker 5: So far we are not be further from the same

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Speaker 5: page on the ACC. No, I want no part of

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Speaker 5: that SMU or Clemson to win the ACC or SMU

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Speaker 5: to make it to the AC Championship game. Let's move

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Speaker 5: on to the aforementioned Miami Hurricanes.

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Speaker 1: The Miami Hurricanes, coming off.

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Speaker 5: Of a ten win season ten to two in the

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Speaker 5: regular season, lost the bowl game where Ward sat out

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Speaker 5: in the second half. The story of Miami this year,

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Speaker 5: I mean the story of last year is they really

382
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Speaker 5: should have been in the College Touble Playoff. For that offense, Yep,

383
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Speaker 5: a number one draft pick at quarterback, Dammi Martinez at

384
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Speaker 5: running back, an elite offensive line. They have their top

385
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Speaker 5: five pass catchers, one went to Bama, four in the NFL.

386
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Speaker 5: They had all the pieces. The offense was electric, but

387
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Speaker 5: Mario let them down and primarily the defense. The defense

388
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Speaker 5: was a disaster. So they went out and they got

389
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Speaker 5: a new defensive coordinator, Corey Heatherman. I think his scheme

390
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Speaker 5: better fits this personnel, and there is a lot of change.

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Speaker 5: They have good defensive ends for sure. That's probably the

392
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Speaker 5: strength of this defense. They in tore from Rutgers to

393
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Speaker 5: plug in a departing spot there, the NFL departure in Malnoa.

394
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Speaker 5: The defensive backfield is going to make or break this team.

395
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Speaker 5: The offense was so good last year. Ward's gone, all

396
00:20:13,560 --> 00:20:15,320
Speaker 5: the receivers are gone. The offensive line is still going

397
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Speaker 5: to be elite. They lost the left tackle to the NFL,

398
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Speaker 5: but he was hurt last year. Bell got some starts.

399
00:20:19,800 --> 00:20:21,560
Speaker 5: They lost the center, but they bring in brockome Iron

400
00:20:21,600 --> 00:20:23,359
Speaker 5: from TCU. The offensive line is going to be elite.

401
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Speaker 5: It's Mario, he knows offensive lines. Can Fletcher be that

402
00:20:27,160 --> 00:20:30,560
Speaker 5: guy at running back? Is Carson Beck healthy? That's another question.

403
00:20:30,760 --> 00:20:34,600
Speaker 5: But with Carson Beck with the downgrade in receivers, they

404
00:20:34,600 --> 00:20:36,240
Speaker 5: brought in some guys in the portal, but it's definitely

405
00:20:36,280 --> 00:20:39,080
Speaker 5: not as talented of a group. They want to be

406
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Speaker 5: a more run heavy offense, So can Fletcher be that guy?

407
00:20:42,920 --> 00:20:44,840
Speaker 5: If you want to be a more run heavy offense,

408
00:20:45,800 --> 00:20:49,040
Speaker 5: that has to pair with a good defense. So the

409
00:20:49,119 --> 00:20:52,399
Speaker 5: question is going to come down to how improved is

410
00:20:52,440 --> 00:20:54,959
Speaker 5: this Miami defense? Can't be worse on the back end

411
00:20:55,000 --> 00:20:58,080
Speaker 5: of last year, it basically went out. They got a

412
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Speaker 5: bunch of guys in the portal. The only one really

413
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Speaker 5: coming back is Frederic their corner, who is the only

414
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Speaker 5: one who really played well, the only one who flash

415
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Speaker 5: as a freshman. He'll get one of the spots, and

416
00:21:08,000 --> 00:21:10,720
Speaker 5: then they just they bring in a number of guys

417
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Speaker 5: that's gonna make or break this team because they're gonna

418
00:21:15,160 --> 00:21:17,040
Speaker 5: fall off on offense. It's not gonna be as good.

419
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Speaker 5: It's just a fact. Can the defense and the running

420
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Speaker 5: game make up for that fact? And then at the

421
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Speaker 5: end of the day, can we trust Mario not to

422
00:21:26,560 --> 00:21:31,560
Speaker 5: drop a game that they're supposed to win. I have

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Speaker 5: a hard time doing that. From a scheduling perspective. They

424
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Speaker 5: don't leave the state of Florida until November, so you

425
00:21:36,560 --> 00:21:39,440
Speaker 5: got a humid edge. Although for the what seven teams

426
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Speaker 5: you play are from the state of Florida. You start

427
00:21:42,440 --> 00:21:46,080
Speaker 5: off with Notre Dame. Massive game for Miami's playoff hopes,

428
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Speaker 5: it's win total which and.

429
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Speaker 2: It's getting steamed to the huras sits.

430
00:21:51,400 --> 00:21:54,920
Speaker 5: Yeah, we'll talk Notre Dame in part two. Miami best

431
00:21:54,960 --> 00:21:58,480
Speaker 5: you can find out there to win the conference plus

432
00:21:58,520 --> 00:22:01,040
Speaker 5: four fifty the win total if you want to go

433
00:22:01,080 --> 00:22:03,160
Speaker 5: over nine and a half at plus money or over

434
00:22:03,280 --> 00:22:06,040
Speaker 5: nine basically at even money. So the wind total is

435
00:22:06,080 --> 00:22:09,280
Speaker 5: like sitting right at nine. They have Florida and Notre

436
00:22:09,359 --> 00:22:11,159
Speaker 5: Dame of the non con, but both of them are

437
00:22:11,200 --> 00:22:13,520
Speaker 5: at home. They have eight home games in total. They're

438
00:22:13,560 --> 00:22:18,000
Speaker 5: acc road games or Va Tech Pit SMU in Florida State. Well,

439
00:22:18,000 --> 00:22:20,320
Speaker 5: It's going to go a long way in determining this

440
00:22:20,359 --> 00:22:23,679
Speaker 5: Miami schedule is like, what are Va Tech in Florida

441
00:22:23,760 --> 00:22:25,960
Speaker 5: State and his pit still healthy at the end of

442
00:22:26,000 --> 00:22:29,840
Speaker 5: the year, Because I already can see Miami needing to

443
00:22:29,880 --> 00:22:32,560
Speaker 5: win one of those last two that Raw Tech at Pit,

444
00:22:33,160 --> 00:22:35,359
Speaker 5: that cold road trip at the end of the year. Yep,

445
00:22:35,480 --> 00:22:39,560
Speaker 5: to them dropping one of those games. I project eight

446
00:22:39,600 --> 00:22:42,600
Speaker 5: point seven. I know you're much lower on. Again, we

447
00:22:42,600 --> 00:22:44,560
Speaker 5: don't agree on anything in the AC. You're much lower on.

448
00:22:44,920 --> 00:22:46,960
Speaker 5: Miami dropped them like four points, I think. I only

449
00:22:47,000 --> 00:22:49,280
Speaker 5: I think I dropped them one point from last year,

450
00:22:50,000 --> 00:22:52,240
Speaker 5: so I'm pretty close to market. Don't trust them enough

451
00:22:52,520 --> 00:22:55,200
Speaker 5: to back them from a future perspective, so it's a

452
00:22:55,200 --> 00:22:56,720
Speaker 5: pass for me. What are you seeing with the Canes?

453
00:22:56,800 --> 00:22:59,040
Speaker 2: I don't trust them at all. I know Corey Heatherman's

454
00:22:59,080 --> 00:23:01,879
Speaker 2: coming in, but this was a defense that was ninety

455
00:23:01,880 --> 00:23:04,919
Speaker 2: second and tackle grading and ninety first and defensive finishing drives.

456
00:23:04,920 --> 00:23:07,440
Speaker 2: It just seems to be a common theme defensively near

457
00:23:07,520 --> 00:23:10,439
Speaker 2: dead last and allowing rush explosives. I mean, if we

458
00:23:10,480 --> 00:23:12,760
Speaker 2: can fix that overnight, good luck. I mean. And the

459
00:23:12,800 --> 00:23:14,800
Speaker 2: other thing that is the crystal ball team and This

460
00:23:14,880 --> 00:23:17,000
Speaker 2: is just consistent everyhere, one hundred and twentyeth in penalties.

461
00:23:17,200 --> 00:23:19,040
Speaker 2: It's just the way it goes with these guys, and

462
00:23:19,640 --> 00:23:21,840
Speaker 2: it makes it hard for me to ever. This hype

463
00:23:21,960 --> 00:23:25,720
Speaker 2: hits every single year, all these AP voters throwing Miami

464
00:23:25,840 --> 00:23:27,760
Speaker 2: up in the top ten, and then the betting market

465
00:23:27,840 --> 00:23:30,560
Speaker 2: starts to get shaded, like why in the world would

466
00:23:30,560 --> 00:23:32,840
Speaker 2: you be hitting Miami right now against Notre Dame. I

467
00:23:32,880 --> 00:23:35,560
Speaker 2: don't understand that. I mean, like you're dropping from cam

468
00:23:35,640 --> 00:23:38,000
Speaker 2: Ward and it just depends on are you taking Carson

469
00:23:38,040 --> 00:23:40,240
Speaker 2: Beck at his best? Are you taking Carson Beck at

470
00:23:40,240 --> 00:23:42,320
Speaker 2: what he was last year? I think you have to

471
00:23:42,400 --> 00:23:44,520
Speaker 2: kind of assess like is this kid just a head case,

472
00:23:44,600 --> 00:23:48,000
Speaker 2: like following what he follow his girlfriend? Now? Yeah? And

473
00:23:48,080 --> 00:23:49,040
Speaker 2: is he healthy? Right?

474
00:23:50,200 --> 00:23:51,600
Speaker 5: Can he lead the team? Is there gonna be locker

475
00:23:51,680 --> 00:23:54,280
Speaker 5: in issues like him in Miami exactly?

476
00:23:54,440 --> 00:23:56,359
Speaker 2: So you know, that's all a big question to me.

477
00:23:56,600 --> 00:23:58,479
Speaker 2: I mean, look at the end of last season, losses

478
00:23:58,480 --> 00:24:01,199
Speaker 2: of Georgia Tech, Syracuse, Iowa stayed in the Bowl all

479
00:24:01,240 --> 00:24:03,240
Speaker 2: by a combined ten points. That's how I got to

480
00:24:03,280 --> 00:24:05,400
Speaker 2: where I am. And Carson Beck transfersent is worst year

481
00:24:05,400 --> 00:24:07,960
Speaker 2: at Georgia A turnable worthy play rate that bumped from

482
00:24:07,960 --> 00:24:10,159
Speaker 2: two point three percent up to three point eight percent.

483
00:24:10,560 --> 00:24:13,119
Speaker 2: He had a monster spike in turnab a worthy play rate.

484
00:24:13,240 --> 00:24:15,480
Speaker 2: When he had pressure it went up to nine point

485
00:24:15,600 --> 00:24:19,000
Speaker 2: four percent. That is acid nine. Miami did finish top

486
00:24:19,040 --> 00:24:21,200
Speaker 2: twenty five and pass blocking. It is a crystal ball group,

487
00:24:21,240 --> 00:24:25,120
Speaker 2: so I expect Beck to be protected. Miami just crumbled

488
00:24:25,240 --> 00:24:27,600
Speaker 2: when teams got him into scoring position. I don't know

489
00:24:27,600 --> 00:24:29,399
Speaker 2: if that's a culture thing. I don't know if that's

490
00:24:29,440 --> 00:24:32,879
Speaker 2: a coaching thing. It's just consistent and there's too many penalties,

491
00:24:33,200 --> 00:24:35,840
Speaker 2: and Mario has cost Anybody that's bet on the over

492
00:24:35,880 --> 00:24:38,320
Speaker 2: in the wind total year after year is shaking in

493
00:24:38,359 --> 00:24:39,960
Speaker 2: their boots because what Mario is going to do with

494
00:24:39,960 --> 00:24:42,119
Speaker 2: the clock at the end of the game. I'm well lower,

495
00:24:42,280 --> 00:24:44,000
Speaker 2: of course, I'm under nine and a half minus one

496
00:24:44,119 --> 00:24:46,560
Speaker 2: forty eight. I take an alt. I barely got them

497
00:24:46,560 --> 00:24:47,800
Speaker 2: making it to eight wins.

498
00:24:48,880 --> 00:24:50,600
Speaker 5: Let's move on to Louisville.

499
00:24:50,960 --> 00:24:52,720
Speaker 1: The Louisville Cardinals.

500
00:24:53,280 --> 00:24:56,720
Speaker 5: Louisville best you can find to win the conference plus

501
00:24:56,720 --> 00:25:00,920
Speaker 5: eight fifties out there at ESPN bet win total best

502
00:25:00,960 --> 00:25:02,440
Speaker 5: you can find over eight and a half minus one

503
00:25:02,560 --> 00:25:07,720
Speaker 5: thirty DK I like this Louisville team this year. They

504
00:25:07,720 --> 00:25:10,440
Speaker 5: bring in they lose Shocked to the NFL, but they

505
00:25:10,440 --> 00:25:13,120
Speaker 5: bring a Miller Moss. I think he's a good fit

506
00:25:13,119 --> 00:25:15,480
Speaker 5: for this offense. I trust brom With quarterbacks. They have

507
00:25:15,520 --> 00:25:17,679
Speaker 5: one of the best running back duos in the country

508
00:25:17,680 --> 00:25:20,560
Speaker 5: with Brown and Watson. They lose Brooks at receiver, but

509
00:25:21,000 --> 00:25:24,359
Speaker 5: Lacey's back if the red shirting Bells also back. They

510
00:25:24,359 --> 00:25:26,760
Speaker 5: had some transfers. This team went transfer heavy again. That's

511
00:25:26,760 --> 00:25:28,080
Speaker 5: like what they're doing. They've done it the last couple

512
00:25:28,080 --> 00:25:31,320
Speaker 5: of years with success. But there's obviously a lot of

513
00:25:31,400 --> 00:25:34,320
Speaker 5: variants in that. The offensive line is a concern. They

514
00:25:34,320 --> 00:25:39,480
Speaker 5: lose everyone but their center. Niger's back there. He's good.

515
00:25:40,400 --> 00:25:42,960
Speaker 5: They're the only guy they really will miss his Mills,

516
00:25:43,000 --> 00:25:44,800
Speaker 5: who transferred to Virginia and then got hurt and he's

517
00:25:44,800 --> 00:25:46,320
Speaker 5: out for the year. It's a big loss for them,

518
00:25:46,359 --> 00:25:49,840
Speaker 5: but they could be starting two transfer tackles in camp

519
00:25:49,880 --> 00:25:53,000
Speaker 5: right now. They're moving offensive lineman all around the center position,

520
00:25:53,119 --> 00:25:55,600
Speaker 5: trying to figure out that group. So we'll see how

521
00:25:55,640 --> 00:25:58,879
Speaker 5: the offensive line comes together. That's definitely a concern of mine.

522
00:25:59,440 --> 00:26:03,920
Speaker 5: They might have of right tackle starting from Purdue Perdue,

523
00:26:05,400 --> 00:26:10,120
Speaker 5: so defensively, lose a lot on the defensive line. Jelotti

524
00:26:10,240 --> 00:26:14,439
Speaker 5: is the big loss there. I like some of the

525
00:26:14,440 --> 00:26:16,640
Speaker 5: guys they brought in, though, like even Lowry from ODEU.

526
00:26:16,760 --> 00:26:19,959
Speaker 5: I like Lubin from Coastal I think is super underrated.

527
00:26:20,000 --> 00:26:23,439
Speaker 5: Bailey from Rutgers, I like when he's fully healthy. So

528
00:26:23,680 --> 00:26:25,480
Speaker 5: I like some of the guys they brought in. Replacing

529
00:26:25,560 --> 00:26:28,399
Speaker 5: Jelati is not gonna be an easy task. Linebacker group

530
00:26:28,800 --> 00:26:33,000
Speaker 5: very very solid. Secondary loss a lot. You lose your

531
00:26:33,000 --> 00:26:37,439
Speaker 5: four starters, including your cornerback Riley and both your cornerbacks

532
00:26:37,520 --> 00:26:40,120
Speaker 5: Riley and Thornton, who both are on NFL rosters. That's

533
00:26:40,119 --> 00:26:43,639
Speaker 5: the big question on defense for me. I like some

534
00:26:43,720 --> 00:26:45,840
Speaker 5: of the guys they brought in. I like this kid Johnson,

535
00:26:45,880 --> 00:26:49,320
Speaker 5: the corner from Southern, but it's southern. How does he translate?

536
00:26:49,800 --> 00:26:52,360
Speaker 5: I really like the kid Evans, the safety from FIU.

537
00:26:52,680 --> 00:26:55,680
Speaker 5: But again, this is a step up, so they're relying

538
00:26:55,720 --> 00:26:59,639
Speaker 5: on some some lower level guys to step up here,

539
00:27:00,359 --> 00:27:04,200
Speaker 5: some talent that went to the NFL. So biggest concern

540
00:27:04,240 --> 00:27:06,280
Speaker 5: for me the offensive line. But I trust bron to

541
00:27:06,280 --> 00:27:09,840
Speaker 5: figure out this offense and I think Moss with this

542
00:27:09,960 --> 00:27:12,520
Speaker 5: running game, they'll figure it out. It's all about the

543
00:27:12,560 --> 00:27:15,159
Speaker 5: secondary coming together with these transfers on the back end.

544
00:27:16,040 --> 00:27:18,239
Speaker 5: So I really liked this Louisville team last year. They

545
00:27:18,280 --> 00:27:20,200
Speaker 5: went eight and four in the regular season, finished nine

546
00:27:20,200 --> 00:27:23,880
Speaker 5: and four overall. They had an improbable loss to Stanford.

547
00:27:24,119 --> 00:27:26,480
Speaker 5: They easily could have beat Miami. They easily could have

548
00:27:26,520 --> 00:27:29,199
Speaker 5: beat Notre Dame and SMU. They were right there. They

549
00:27:29,200 --> 00:27:31,400
Speaker 5: were even with SMU. They led in the fourth versus Miami,

550
00:27:31,800 --> 00:27:33,480
Speaker 5: they out gained Notre Dame by like one hundred and

551
00:27:33,560 --> 00:27:37,679
Speaker 5: twenty yards. This team is you play that ACC season

552
00:27:37,680 --> 00:27:41,919
Speaker 5: over again a bunch. Louisville's in the ACC Championship a

553
00:27:41,920 --> 00:27:47,359
Speaker 5: fair amount, so definitely lost some key pieces. We'll see

554
00:27:47,440 --> 00:27:49,920
Speaker 5: how they put together the offensive line and the secondary.

555
00:27:49,960 --> 00:27:53,800
Speaker 5: But I like this Louisville team. I project like eight nine,

556
00:27:54,240 --> 00:27:57,000
Speaker 5: so I'm not too far off market. But at plus

557
00:27:57,080 --> 00:27:59,800
Speaker 5: eight fifty, I think this might end up being the

558
00:27:59,840 --> 00:28:03,480
Speaker 5: same and best team in the ACC. I will be

559
00:28:03,560 --> 00:28:07,440
Speaker 5: dabbling on Louisville, much to the chagran of my Lexington

560
00:28:07,480 --> 00:28:09,920
Speaker 5: folk around here, but there's a good chance they start

561
00:28:09,920 --> 00:28:13,080
Speaker 5: five to zero before going to Miami. I'm trusting in

562
00:28:13,160 --> 00:28:15,800
Speaker 5: brom What are you seeing with Louisville.

563
00:28:16,560 --> 00:28:18,960
Speaker 2: It's quite interesting because I think they are the second

564
00:28:18,960 --> 00:28:21,280
Speaker 2: best team in the conference, but I don't slot them

565
00:28:21,280 --> 00:28:23,240
Speaker 2: as finishing as the second best team in the conference

566
00:28:23,280 --> 00:28:26,760
Speaker 2: because I hate that November twenty second spot more than anything.

567
00:28:26,840 --> 00:28:29,600
Speaker 2: So I mean, over two hundred starts on the offensive line,

568
00:28:29,600 --> 00:28:32,200
Speaker 2: that's number one in the nation. I have no concerns

569
00:28:32,440 --> 00:28:35,120
Speaker 2: with this offense. Listen Miller Moss coming from you see,

570
00:28:35,119 --> 00:28:37,399
Speaker 2: I think is a perfect fit. He just blew that

571
00:28:37,520 --> 00:28:39,680
Speaker 2: LSU defense apart in that opener last year with five

572
00:28:39,720 --> 00:28:42,000
Speaker 2: big time throws. I think he can return to that.

573
00:28:42,720 --> 00:28:44,280
Speaker 2: I think I think brom is going to be a

574
00:28:44,280 --> 00:28:46,480
Speaker 2: better quarterback coach room than what he had out at USC.

575
00:28:46,960 --> 00:28:49,760
Speaker 2: Running back coach, I'm sorry. Running back Duke Watson. Four

576
00:28:49,760 --> 00:28:53,080
Speaker 2: point eight yards after first contact. That's that's an insane number.

577
00:28:53,480 --> 00:28:56,240
Speaker 2: That is an insane amount of highlight yards he created.

578
00:28:56,600 --> 00:29:00,000
Speaker 2: He forced thirty missed tackles in sixty nine rushing attempt.

579
00:29:00,560 --> 00:29:03,680
Speaker 2: That's nearly fifty percent of every carry. I mean, that

580
00:29:03,960 --> 00:29:07,440
Speaker 2: is electric. Colin Lacey coming back also, you know, very

581
00:29:07,520 --> 00:29:09,760
Speaker 2: large for this team. I have no questions on the offense.

582
00:29:09,800 --> 00:29:11,640
Speaker 2: The edge of the secondary had to be backfilled from

583
00:29:11,680 --> 00:29:14,440
Speaker 2: the portal, So I think that would tend to have

584
00:29:14,520 --> 00:29:18,320
Speaker 2: me ask can they repeat forty third defensively in havoc

585
00:29:18,800 --> 00:29:22,240
Speaker 2: thirteenth in pass rush? Can you replicate those numbers having

586
00:29:22,240 --> 00:29:24,880
Speaker 2: to dip into the portal or leading tackler linebacker stan

587
00:29:24,960 --> 00:29:28,960
Speaker 2: Kuwan Clark returns Rene Conga had twenty four pressures from

588
00:29:28,960 --> 00:29:31,240
Speaker 2: the interior. That is a lot of pressures from coming

589
00:29:31,240 --> 00:29:34,320
Speaker 2: from a defensive interior player. So there are certain spots

590
00:29:34,320 --> 00:29:38,160
Speaker 2: in the defense where they're returning elite players on an

591
00:29:38,160 --> 00:29:41,040
Speaker 2: acc level, But then there's some questions that have to

592
00:29:41,040 --> 00:29:43,160
Speaker 2: fill out from the portal. They get a bye week

593
00:29:43,200 --> 00:29:45,360
Speaker 2: before they travel to Miami. They have a terrible spot

594
00:29:45,400 --> 00:29:47,760
Speaker 2: at SMU. Like we've said, the game of Sandwich between

595
00:29:47,760 --> 00:29:50,840
Speaker 2: Clemson and the rival Kentucky and SMU they play, you know,

596
00:29:50,840 --> 00:29:52,800
Speaker 2: will be off of a bye week. That's why I

597
00:29:52,840 --> 00:29:55,560
Speaker 2: can't slot them second. But still stuck. I'll be honest

598
00:29:55,600 --> 00:29:59,040
Speaker 2: with you. I make Louisville ten point two, and so

599
00:29:59,160 --> 00:30:01,200
Speaker 2: I look at this schedule and if they beat a

600
00:30:01,280 --> 00:30:03,000
Speaker 2: couple of the brand names, I don't think Miami is

601
00:30:03,000 --> 00:30:05,120
Speaker 2: a tough game, but it's a brand name game. But

602
00:30:05,160 --> 00:30:08,479
Speaker 2: if their two losses are Clemson and SMU, and they

603
00:30:08,520 --> 00:30:11,760
Speaker 2: finished ten to two. Guess what, they're going to the playoff?

604
00:30:12,200 --> 00:30:12,680
Speaker 5: Maybe.

605
00:30:12,920 --> 00:30:14,560
Speaker 2: I think they can go to the playoff. I think

606
00:30:14,560 --> 00:30:17,280
Speaker 2: they can absolutely miss the ACC championship game and go

607
00:30:17,320 --> 00:30:17,800
Speaker 2: to the playoff.

608
00:30:17,800 --> 00:30:21,080
Speaker 5: That's how crazy other conferences I mean. But if that happens,

609
00:30:21,200 --> 00:30:24,200
Speaker 5: their only good win will be at Miami, and if

610
00:30:24,200 --> 00:30:26,400
Speaker 5: Miami's way down like then they the rest of their

611
00:30:26,400 --> 00:30:28,000
Speaker 5: schedule is very bad.

612
00:30:28,240 --> 00:30:30,200
Speaker 2: I didn't hear the committee bring up who did you

613
00:30:30,200 --> 00:30:31,320
Speaker 2: play once last year?

614
00:30:31,560 --> 00:30:34,840
Speaker 5: Yeah, but SMU win eleven and one. That's a little different.

615
00:30:35,120 --> 00:30:36,960
Speaker 5: So you're looking at the playoff number.

616
00:30:37,120 --> 00:30:39,000
Speaker 2: I could be enticed on it, but it's definitely the

617
00:30:39,000 --> 00:30:41,080
Speaker 2: bet here is over eight and a half minus one thirty.

618
00:30:41,160 --> 00:30:43,160
Speaker 2: That's the bet. That's the wager. It's going in the app.

619
00:30:43,200 --> 00:30:44,760
Speaker 2: That's the money that I have down already.

620
00:30:45,600 --> 00:30:47,520
Speaker 5: I'll be on a longer shot. And by the way,

621
00:30:47,800 --> 00:30:52,040
Speaker 5: they're beating Clemson again. All right, let's move on to

622
00:30:52,440 --> 00:30:53,360
Speaker 5: Georgia Tech.

623
00:30:54,280 --> 00:30:56,880
Speaker 1: The rambling wreck from Georgia Tech.

624
00:30:57,440 --> 00:31:01,520
Speaker 5: Georgia Tech recruiting very well. He's doing a tremendous job.

625
00:31:02,280 --> 00:31:05,640
Speaker 5: They're probably gonna pull off an upset or two. Look

626
00:31:05,680 --> 00:31:06,520
Speaker 5: out Clemson.

627
00:31:06,960 --> 00:31:09,480
Speaker 3: I mean, I know what losing feels like. I got

628
00:31:09,480 --> 00:31:12,280
Speaker 3: a very clear picture of that. It's much better to win.

629
00:31:12,800 --> 00:31:15,360
Speaker 5: Week three at home. That's just what he does. He's

630
00:31:15,400 --> 00:31:16,480
Speaker 5: gonna pull off upsets.

631
00:31:16,720 --> 00:31:18,480
Speaker 2: Do you have Clemson at six and six this year?

632
00:31:18,760 --> 00:31:21,040
Speaker 2: Like I'm just trying to nine three.

633
00:31:21,080 --> 00:31:24,560
Speaker 5: Okay, Faulkner held on to Faukner defensive coordinator. It's massive.

634
00:31:24,800 --> 00:31:27,000
Speaker 5: I think he's one of the three best in the

635
00:31:27,040 --> 00:31:29,320
Speaker 5: sport and they were going to a new defensive coordinator, Blake

636
00:31:29,320 --> 00:31:32,400
Speaker 5: getting from Texas. He's got to fix this defense mainly

637
00:31:32,520 --> 00:31:35,160
Speaker 5: the past defense. Probably gonna see some more zone. They

638
00:31:35,280 --> 00:31:38,000
Speaker 5: got some returning experience in that secondary, but they just

639
00:31:38,040 --> 00:31:40,560
Speaker 5: have to be better. The Rundy was great last year,

640
00:31:41,480 --> 00:31:43,480
Speaker 5: but they lose seven of their top eight defensive lineman.

641
00:31:43,480 --> 00:31:45,680
Speaker 5: You got Vanderberg back, who's good, but the rest they're

642
00:31:45,680 --> 00:31:49,120
Speaker 5: gonna need some transfers to hit. So we'll see how

643
00:31:49,120 --> 00:31:54,160
Speaker 5: the defense comes together. A little worried in that department. Offensively,

644
00:31:54,360 --> 00:31:56,440
Speaker 5: you got Hayes King back. You have a pretty good

645
00:31:56,440 --> 00:31:58,600
Speaker 5: backup that they like, which is good insurance because King

646
00:31:58,680 --> 00:32:01,320
Speaker 5: Mike get banged up. He's his body a lot. Haynes

647
00:32:01,400 --> 00:32:05,400
Speaker 5: is back at running back. You lose Singleton, which is huge.

648
00:32:05,920 --> 00:32:07,680
Speaker 5: He went to Auburn. He did so much for them.

649
00:32:07,720 --> 00:32:11,320
Speaker 5: You're hoping that Rivers, the FIU transfer, can really step

650
00:32:11,400 --> 00:32:14,600
Speaker 5: up and help out Rutherford, who's back. I am a

651
00:32:14,640 --> 00:32:17,800
Speaker 5: little concerned about the front line, just because they lose

652
00:32:17,800 --> 00:32:19,520
Speaker 5: a bunch of tight ends that did so much for them,

653
00:32:19,560 --> 00:32:22,800
Speaker 5: including Halls who went to the NFL. But they lose

654
00:32:22,920 --> 00:32:26,920
Speaker 5: their two best offensive linemen as well, and they lose another.

655
00:32:26,920 --> 00:32:29,479
Speaker 5: They lose boat tackles in the safety. Their guards are solid,

656
00:32:29,520 --> 00:32:34,680
Speaker 5: but the rest has to come together. I trust Key

657
00:32:35,080 --> 00:32:37,320
Speaker 5: to figure out the offensive line. That's his specialty, but

658
00:32:38,320 --> 00:32:41,800
Speaker 5: it's certainly a question. So there's some questions on this team.

659
00:32:41,840 --> 00:32:45,160
Speaker 5: But they're gonna be feisty. It's all about getting and

660
00:32:45,200 --> 00:32:48,600
Speaker 5: fixing this defense in the back end like they're because

661
00:32:48,640 --> 00:32:51,920
Speaker 5: here's the thing and Georgia Tech. They just if they

662
00:32:51,920 --> 00:32:53,560
Speaker 5: figure out the offensive line, they're gonna have that ball

663
00:32:53,600 --> 00:32:56,720
Speaker 5: control offense. They're gonna annoy teams. They're gonna be in

664
00:32:56,760 --> 00:32:59,880
Speaker 5: games against teams they shouldn't be. It isn't easier than

665
00:33:00,080 --> 00:33:04,400
Speaker 5: usual schedule. It's not easy, but it's like forty second

666
00:33:04,800 --> 00:33:06,760
Speaker 5: even though they have Georgia and the neutral to close

667
00:33:06,800 --> 00:33:11,720
Speaker 5: the year. They start at Colorado, they host Clemson. But

668
00:33:11,800 --> 00:33:15,960
Speaker 5: their schedule overall is easier than it usually is for

669
00:33:15,960 --> 00:33:18,320
Speaker 5: Georgia Tech, usually as one of the toughest in the country.

670
00:33:18,360 --> 00:33:21,000
Speaker 5: They only play one of the top seven teams and

671
00:33:21,040 --> 00:33:24,360
Speaker 5: it's against Clemson that home early in year. They avoid Miami,

672
00:33:24,400 --> 00:33:26,920
Speaker 5: they avoid Louisville, they avoid SMU, they avoid Florida State,

673
00:33:26,960 --> 00:33:31,640
Speaker 5: they avoid UNC. Their road games in Conference Duke, NC

674
00:33:31,840 --> 00:33:35,440
Speaker 5: State Wake and BC doesn't get any easier than that,

675
00:33:36,160 --> 00:33:38,400
Speaker 5: I mean, unless you have like Stanford and call in there.

676
00:33:39,000 --> 00:33:42,200
Speaker 5: So there's some things to like about the schedule. I

677
00:33:42,280 --> 00:33:45,280
Speaker 5: can they've I've considered Georgia Tech's a long shot the

678
00:33:45,320 --> 00:33:48,120
Speaker 5: best you can find out there's fourteen to one best

679
00:33:48,320 --> 00:33:50,440
Speaker 5: over win total over seven and a half minus one

680
00:33:50,640 --> 00:33:52,320
Speaker 5: fifties the best you could find out there. What are

681
00:33:52,360 --> 00:33:53,520
Speaker 5: you seeing with the rambling wreck.

682
00:33:54,640 --> 00:33:56,680
Speaker 2: I want to love these guys. I mean, anyone that

683
00:33:56,760 --> 00:33:59,160
Speaker 2: takes Georgia to eight over times and gives them a

684
00:33:59,160 --> 00:34:00,440
Speaker 2: hell of a game, you want to do that. But

685
00:34:00,520 --> 00:34:02,640
Speaker 2: I mean they're losing a lot. They're having a scheme

686
00:34:02,720 --> 00:34:04,760
Speaker 2: change on the on the defensive side, and I think

687
00:34:04,760 --> 00:34:09,120
Speaker 2: there's just some things that you can't ignore. You know

688
00:34:09,200 --> 00:34:12,440
Speaker 2: the fact that Aaron Philo was pretty good in relief

689
00:34:12,480 --> 00:34:14,560
Speaker 2: of Haines. King says that there can be an injury

690
00:34:14,600 --> 00:34:16,600
Speaker 2: there and everything will be fine. Jamal Haynes returns, but

691
00:34:16,680 --> 00:34:19,399
Speaker 2: they have two new offensive tackles, so there's a little

692
00:34:19,400 --> 00:34:21,759
Speaker 2: bit of a question there. And Malachai Karney who's coming in.

693
00:34:22,320 --> 00:34:24,960
Speaker 2: He graded three hundred and twenty sixth of all tackles

694
00:34:24,960 --> 00:34:27,839
Speaker 2: in PFF. That's it's not a good grade. So can

695
00:34:27,880 --> 00:34:31,320
Speaker 2: Haynes King stay healthy? Can Jamal Haynes get some blocking

696
00:34:31,440 --> 00:34:33,480
Speaker 2: off the edge? I don't know because I'm a little

697
00:34:33,480 --> 00:34:35,600
Speaker 2: nervous about what they're bringing in on the offensive line.

698
00:34:36,200 --> 00:34:38,759
Speaker 5: It all starts with Georgia Tech on the offensive line. Yeah,

699
00:34:39,000 --> 00:34:40,400
Speaker 5: everything starts.

700
00:34:40,120 --> 00:34:42,719
Speaker 2: Yeah, and so you know, and they were tenth and

701
00:34:42,760 --> 00:34:44,960
Speaker 2: pass blocking last year. Is that is that gonna hold up?

702
00:34:45,680 --> 00:34:48,080
Speaker 2: We'll see. I mean, I believe in Buster Faulkner. We're

703
00:34:48,080 --> 00:34:50,640
Speaker 2: looking at top thirty five numbers in quality and finishing drives.

704
00:34:50,719 --> 00:34:54,160
Speaker 2: That's Buster Faulkner. But if you don't have tackles to

705
00:34:54,200 --> 00:34:56,960
Speaker 2: protect and to run block, then it's going to change

706
00:34:57,000 --> 00:35:00,319
Speaker 2: the dynamic scheme. Change coming in with Blake Gideon. They're

707
00:35:00,360 --> 00:35:01,719
Speaker 2: going to go to a four two five, four of

708
00:35:01,800 --> 00:35:04,680
Speaker 2: the top five tacklers return. You're looking at a lot

709
00:35:04,680 --> 00:35:07,040
Speaker 2: of transfers from Penn State, Miami, and USC to beef

710
00:35:07,120 --> 00:35:10,000
Speaker 2: up and kind of refortify the defensive line to stop

711
00:35:10,040 --> 00:35:13,359
Speaker 2: the run. That's you know, they that's what they want

712
00:35:13,400 --> 00:35:14,799
Speaker 2: to do. But at the same time, when I look

713
00:35:14,800 --> 00:35:16,239
Speaker 2: at their numbers, they were one hundred and twenty third

714
00:35:16,280 --> 00:35:17,880
Speaker 2: and tackling that's got to get cleaned up. They were

715
00:35:17,880 --> 00:35:20,080
Speaker 2: one hundred and twenty six and producing a pass rush

716
00:35:20,600 --> 00:35:22,680
Speaker 2: that's got to get flipped. They were they were, you know,

717
00:35:22,719 --> 00:35:26,320
Speaker 2: one hundredth and allowing pass explosives. That's got to change.

718
00:35:26,800 --> 00:35:29,200
Speaker 2: So's a lot of things on this defensive shore up.

719
00:35:29,200 --> 00:35:31,560
Speaker 2: So with a new scheme change, it's good that you

720
00:35:31,560 --> 00:35:33,840
Speaker 2: have experience coming back, But how well do they grasp

721
00:35:33,880 --> 00:35:35,600
Speaker 2: that when they go to play Colorado. That would be

722
00:35:35,640 --> 00:35:41,359
Speaker 2: my hesitation against Colorado. So, yeah, especially Colorado's defense going

723
00:35:41,400 --> 00:35:43,520
Speaker 2: up against new tackles that don't grade out very well.

724
00:35:44,560 --> 00:35:47,399
Speaker 2: All that, yeah, all that being said, like you know,

725
00:35:47,560 --> 00:35:50,520
Speaker 2: they're going to play at home just once in a

726
00:35:50,560 --> 00:35:55,160
Speaker 2: five week span during the acc in the middle. What

727
00:35:55,200 --> 00:35:58,000
Speaker 2: span is that? Yeah, towards what October eighteenth, the like

728
00:35:58,120 --> 00:36:02,239
Speaker 2: November twenty second, ish they play once at home. I

729
00:36:02,239 --> 00:36:03,759
Speaker 2: think ten wins is are ceiling. I don't think they

730
00:36:03,800 --> 00:36:06,480
Speaker 2: can pull it off against Clemson and Georgia or potential

731
00:36:06,480 --> 00:36:11,040
Speaker 2: short road dogs, you know, Duke n C State. This

732
00:36:11,040 --> 00:36:13,440
Speaker 2: this Colorado game could be an upset up in elevation.

733
00:36:15,080 --> 00:36:18,000
Speaker 2: I thanked them five point eight, and I like Georgia Tech.

734
00:36:18,560 --> 00:36:21,040
Speaker 5: But you're I'm at seven to seven.

735
00:36:21,320 --> 00:36:23,799
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm under under plus one, under seven and a half

736
00:36:23,800 --> 00:36:26,400
Speaker 2: plus one twenty five. I don't like the scheme changes.

737
00:36:26,440 --> 00:36:29,320
Speaker 2: I don't like the new offensive tackles. I think I

738
00:36:29,320 --> 00:36:31,480
Speaker 2: think they lost too much from a wide receiver perspective.

739
00:36:32,040 --> 00:36:33,200
Speaker 2: There's a lot of questions here.

740
00:36:33,520 --> 00:36:35,880
Speaker 5: You're crazy, all right, we don't agree again in the

741
00:36:35,880 --> 00:36:40,360
Speaker 5: ACC No, all right, let's move on to Florida State.

742
00:36:41,080 --> 00:36:44,400
Speaker 5: Disastrous year. Last year two and ten the.

743
00:36:44,280 --> 00:36:46,560
Speaker 1: Florida State seminoles.

744
00:36:47,480 --> 00:36:57,399
Speaker 5: Same, everything went to ship. What could have went wrong

745
00:36:57,480 --> 00:37:01,239
Speaker 5: went wrong. There was injuries, poor play, poor coach. Just

746
00:37:01,320 --> 00:37:04,680
Speaker 5: everything was bad. One of the bright spots was in

747
00:37:04,800 --> 00:37:08,719
Speaker 5: the secondary, and they had a couple corners leave for

748
00:37:08,760 --> 00:37:11,400
Speaker 5: the NFL. So you have to replace them. They do

749
00:37:11,440 --> 00:37:14,400
Speaker 5: bring in Wilson from Houston, who I like. But this team,

750
00:37:15,000 --> 00:37:18,560
Speaker 5: they're going transfer heavy again and they have a really

751
00:37:18,600 --> 00:37:21,319
Speaker 5: good transfer top twenty five recruit class in the top

752
00:37:21,320 --> 00:37:25,759
Speaker 5: ten portal class again. But they're gonna need a lot

753
00:37:25,800 --> 00:37:27,920
Speaker 5: of these guys in the portal that they brought in

754
00:37:27,960 --> 00:37:30,839
Speaker 5: to hit. A lot of change here from Norvale, new

755
00:37:30,840 --> 00:37:34,800
Speaker 5: offensive coordinator Gus Malsan, new quarterback Thomas Pastianos comes in

756
00:37:34,840 --> 00:37:36,359
Speaker 5: from BC. I think it's a good fit. They were

757
00:37:36,360 --> 00:37:40,320
Speaker 5: together before. Can he stay healthy? Can he throw the ball?

758
00:37:40,320 --> 00:37:43,840
Speaker 5: That's a major question consistently. I mean it's going to

759
00:37:43,840 --> 00:37:46,680
Speaker 5: be a run heavy offense. You have a lot of

760
00:37:46,760 --> 00:37:53,440
Speaker 5: backs that have talent here. Look out for the freshman Chroma.

761
00:37:53,440 --> 00:37:56,480
Speaker 5: Can he be like the Belcal really talented kid. We'll

762
00:37:56,480 --> 00:37:59,880
Speaker 5: see the weapons on the outside, like they bring into

763
00:38:00,120 --> 00:38:05,719
Speaker 5: Robinson and Squirrel. Right they're okay, Maybe there's one of

764
00:38:05,719 --> 00:38:07,799
Speaker 5: the freshmen can step up at wide receiver as well.

765
00:38:07,840 --> 00:38:09,760
Speaker 5: I think the kid Bogs he could be an option.

766
00:38:10,560 --> 00:38:14,400
Speaker 5: And then the offensive line, it's rebuilt. No returning starters.

767
00:38:15,880 --> 00:38:17,880
Speaker 5: You do get Leonard back from injury at right guard,

768
00:38:17,960 --> 00:38:22,520
Speaker 5: but the rest are transfers. It's like Petabone, Medley, Pettis, Hanson.

769
00:38:22,960 --> 00:38:25,040
Speaker 5: I like a lot of them. Hanson not a fan

770
00:38:25,120 --> 00:38:27,360
Speaker 5: of the Vandy transfer. Like I said in the SEC

771
00:38:28,480 --> 00:38:30,480
Speaker 5: that Vandy upgraded at left tackle when they got rid

772
00:38:30,520 --> 00:38:34,040
Speaker 5: of Hanson and brought into another transfer. But it's probably

773
00:38:34,040 --> 00:38:35,279
Speaker 5: it has to be better than last year. There's one

774
00:38:35,360 --> 00:38:37,359
Speaker 5: hundred and twenty nine career starts here and they are very,

775
00:38:37,440 --> 00:38:40,200
Speaker 5: very big. But this is like what's going to make

776
00:38:40,280 --> 00:38:43,319
Speaker 5: or break the offense. Costiana's to stay healthy and they

777
00:38:43,320 --> 00:38:45,280
Speaker 5: want to be a run eavy team. Can this offensive

778
00:38:45,280 --> 00:38:48,239
Speaker 5: line come together? Offense in general can't be worse than

779
00:38:48,320 --> 00:38:51,160
Speaker 5: last year. So and I think Costiana is a big fan.

780
00:38:51,160 --> 00:38:53,239
Speaker 5: I mean Florida State. I upgraded them. They're probably the

781
00:38:53,320 --> 00:38:54,799
Speaker 5: team up I gotta check. But I think the team

782
00:38:54,840 --> 00:38:58,640
Speaker 5: I upgraded most from last year upgrade to two touchdowns,

783
00:38:59,000 --> 00:39:01,799
Speaker 5: but last year I down to them goes to three touchdowns.

784
00:39:02,200 --> 00:39:06,520
Speaker 5: So obviously a very high variance team on the defensive side.

785
00:39:06,719 --> 00:39:09,960
Speaker 5: Tony White comes in three three five new schemes on

786
00:39:10,040 --> 00:39:12,480
Speaker 5: both sides. The team's going to look very different schematically

787
00:39:13,200 --> 00:39:16,520
Speaker 5: transfer heavy, just at a lot of different positions. We'll

788
00:39:16,560 --> 00:39:17,920
Speaker 5: see if some of the young kids can step up.

789
00:39:17,920 --> 00:39:19,720
Speaker 5: What are you saying with fard of State, Well.

790
00:39:19,560 --> 00:39:22,040
Speaker 2: Gus Maleson comes in and try to stabilize his offense.

791
00:39:22,120 --> 00:39:25,160
Speaker 2: Run a base. He is the inventor of the wildcat

792
00:39:25,200 --> 00:39:28,439
Speaker 2: per Darren mcfaddenfield Jones, which is now the RPO. We'll

793
00:39:28,480 --> 00:39:29,840
Speaker 2: see if he's going to be able to pull that

794
00:39:29,880 --> 00:39:34,200
Speaker 2: off as OC. You know, Tommy caslonas pretty modest in

795
00:39:34,239 --> 00:39:36,880
Speaker 2: his rushing attempts for BC one hundred and four designed yards.

796
00:39:36,880 --> 00:39:38,880
Speaker 2: He had one hundred and eighty three yards on scrambles.

797
00:39:38,880 --> 00:39:41,400
Speaker 5: But that's the O'Brien offense.

798
00:39:41,920 --> 00:39:43,520
Speaker 2: Do we know if he can run, if he can

799
00:39:43,600 --> 00:39:46,520
Speaker 2: run Gus's offense, I'm not sure that's a fit. Just

800
00:39:46,560 --> 00:39:49,400
Speaker 2: six yards total on zone read plays. I went in

801
00:39:49,400 --> 00:39:51,239
Speaker 2: and looked like, I mean, I don't know if they

802
00:39:51,239 --> 00:39:55,360
Speaker 2: were sneaks or if they were actually designed quarterback bootlegs

803
00:39:55,440 --> 00:39:58,160
Speaker 2: or runs or whatever. But is this males On offense

804
00:39:58,640 --> 00:39:59,440
Speaker 2: work for him?

805
00:40:00,200 --> 00:40:01,400
Speaker 5: So I think he's a pretty good fit. But if

806
00:40:01,400 --> 00:40:03,040
Speaker 5: he's got to stay healthy and the offensive line has.

807
00:40:03,000 --> 00:40:04,960
Speaker 2: Got to be good, roid Oo Williams is going to

808
00:40:05,000 --> 00:40:06,560
Speaker 2: be the running back here.

809
00:40:06,800 --> 00:40:06,920
Speaker 4: Uh.

810
00:40:07,400 --> 00:40:10,040
Speaker 2: He really does not flash when it comes to miss tackles.

811
00:40:10,560 --> 00:40:13,520
Speaker 2: Tony White's coming in. He's got to improve Almost every

812
00:40:13,560 --> 00:40:16,839
Speaker 2: single ranking is outside the top one hundred. Contested catch rate,

813
00:40:17,120 --> 00:40:20,360
Speaker 2: passing down success rate. Tony White has the pedigree or

814
00:40:20,360 --> 00:40:22,480
Speaker 2: at least has proved it at our at our previous stop,

815
00:40:22,560 --> 00:40:23,279
Speaker 2: that he can do that.

816
00:40:23,680 --> 00:40:26,840
Speaker 5: Linebacker transfers are decent. You know, you bring in Thompson,

817
00:40:26,840 --> 00:40:30,200
Speaker 5: who's familiar with this. Thompson m Williams come from Nebraska

818
00:40:30,280 --> 00:40:32,759
Speaker 5: with Tony White. Defensive tackle still a bit of a

819
00:40:32,840 --> 00:40:35,680
Speaker 5: question for me. Zone heavy, zone heavy, three three five.

820
00:40:36,120 --> 00:40:37,840
Speaker 2: And look your schedule. Miami is going to get a

821
00:40:37,840 --> 00:40:40,120
Speaker 2: bieway before they come to Tallahassee, and Virginia Tech's gonna

822
00:40:40,120 --> 00:40:43,480
Speaker 2: get a bieway before they come to Tallahassee. And FC's

823
00:40:43,480 --> 00:40:46,040
Speaker 2: got to travel on November eighth to Clemson. You got

824
00:40:46,040 --> 00:40:48,200
Speaker 2: to go to the Swamp in the rivalry game at

825
00:40:48,200 --> 00:40:48,839
Speaker 2: the end of the year.

826
00:40:49,239 --> 00:40:53,640
Speaker 5: So you know how mentally like, because look, they start

827
00:40:53,640 --> 00:40:56,120
Speaker 5: with Alabama, probably lose that game. Oh it's week one,

828
00:40:56,239 --> 00:40:58,680
Speaker 5: Like if there's something, if they were gonna beat Alabama,

829
00:40:58,719 --> 00:41:00,480
Speaker 5: that's when you want to get them. But let's just

830
00:41:00,480 --> 00:41:03,879
Speaker 5: say they lose that game. If things go right, gott

831
00:41:04,000 --> 00:41:06,120
Speaker 5: is this offense going white, has this defense figured out,

832
00:41:06,880 --> 00:41:09,920
Speaker 5: they have a nice run with if Stack wins, So

833
00:41:09,960 --> 00:41:11,799
Speaker 5: there's a chance that things are going well. There's seven

834
00:41:11,800 --> 00:41:15,640
Speaker 5: and one headed to Clemson. Now, if you lose that

835
00:41:15,719 --> 00:41:17,759
Speaker 5: at Virginia game, that's like the key I think to

836
00:41:17,840 --> 00:41:21,360
Speaker 5: the season that at Virginia than Miami at home, because

837
00:41:21,400 --> 00:41:24,640
Speaker 5: the final four are brutal at Clemson, BOTEC, at NC

838
00:41:24,800 --> 00:41:27,080
Speaker 5: State at Florida. So if you already have three or

839
00:41:27,120 --> 00:41:28,600
Speaker 5: four losses with the team, quit again.

840
00:41:29,280 --> 00:41:32,080
Speaker 2: So I think the play for me because I barely

841
00:41:32,080 --> 00:41:34,439
Speaker 2: get the win total to six, I'm going under six

842
00:41:34,480 --> 00:41:37,200
Speaker 2: and a half plus one twenty five, and then I'm

843
00:41:37,320 --> 00:41:40,439
Speaker 2: probably going to bet Florida State as an underdog at

844
00:41:40,440 --> 00:41:43,560
Speaker 2: home against Miami, and then I've got two plus money plays,

845
00:41:43,600 --> 00:41:45,279
Speaker 2: and I think it all comes down. I think they

846
00:41:45,280 --> 00:41:47,600
Speaker 2: if they win that game, your win total might be cooked.

847
00:41:48,080 --> 00:41:51,279
Speaker 2: If they don't, then you know you're probably gonna cast

848
00:41:51,320 --> 00:41:53,120
Speaker 2: your win total. But you can get both at plus money.

849
00:41:53,520 --> 00:41:54,880
Speaker 2: I think that's the way you play it. Under six

850
00:41:54,880 --> 00:41:56,919
Speaker 2: and a half plus one twenty five. For me, I'm

851
00:41:56,960 --> 00:41:59,640
Speaker 2: probably going to be combining that with a Florida Say

852
00:41:59,640 --> 00:42:01,440
Speaker 2: money line and play on October fourth, and maybe you

853
00:42:01,480 --> 00:42:02,000
Speaker 2: cash both.

854
00:42:02,400 --> 00:42:06,120
Speaker 5: I'm at seven point one one, so I actually have

855
00:42:06,160 --> 00:42:07,759
Speaker 5: a small lean to the over. But this could all

856
00:42:07,760 --> 00:42:08,360
Speaker 5: fall apart.

857
00:42:08,640 --> 00:42:10,919
Speaker 2: They can do last four games easy. Have you seen

858
00:42:10,920 --> 00:42:13,640
Speaker 2: Florida State get better as seasons go on? Questions for

859
00:42:13,680 --> 00:42:15,239
Speaker 2: me when I want to take a win total over

860
00:42:15,280 --> 00:42:15,759
Speaker 2: on a team?

861
00:42:16,400 --> 00:42:21,919
Speaker 5: Big, big year for novel can have another disaster? All right,

862
00:42:22,040 --> 00:42:25,320
Speaker 5: Let's move on to Virginia.

863
00:42:24,920 --> 00:42:28,560
Speaker 1: Tech, the Virginia Tech Hokies.

864
00:42:28,640 --> 00:42:31,920
Speaker 5: Another viotle situation. From a coaching perspective of Brent Pry

865
00:42:32,040 --> 00:42:33,840
Speaker 5: Is he gonna make it through the year? Is he

866
00:42:33,920 --> 00:42:36,680
Speaker 5: going to be here next year? He's got to do

867
00:42:36,760 --> 00:42:39,120
Speaker 5: something good here. There are a lot of hype last year,

868
00:42:39,120 --> 00:42:40,400
Speaker 5: a lot of teams. People thought they were gonna win

869
00:42:40,400 --> 00:42:43,799
Speaker 5: ten games. Well, they finished six and seven. They did

870
00:42:43,800 --> 00:42:46,080
Speaker 5: go zero to five in one possession games. They were

871
00:42:46,360 --> 00:42:51,160
Speaker 5: tied or ahead at the two minute warning in four

872
00:42:51,200 --> 00:42:57,480
Speaker 5: of their losses. And maybe that's a trend because prize

873
00:42:57,560 --> 00:42:59,480
Speaker 5: one to twelve in one possession games.

874
00:42:59,680 --> 00:42:59,919
Speaker 2: Yep?

875
00:43:00,360 --> 00:43:01,640
Speaker 5: Is that an indictment on coaching?

876
00:43:01,719 --> 00:43:04,320
Speaker 2: That is Chuck Martin Miami, Ohio, is you're getting there?

877
00:43:04,680 --> 00:43:07,799
Speaker 5: I like what they did in the offseason, and a

878
00:43:07,800 --> 00:43:12,000
Speaker 5: lot of people don't. I'm in the minority there. I like,

879
00:43:12,760 --> 00:43:15,920
Speaker 5: I love. I should say their defensive coordinator higher seekis

880
00:43:16,160 --> 00:43:22,360
Speaker 5: he was with two really really respected defensive rooms in

881
00:43:22,360 --> 00:43:25,359
Speaker 5: the NFL. He's gonna bring This is why I really

882
00:43:25,400 --> 00:43:29,720
Speaker 5: like them. Week one, some really exotic three high safety looks.

883
00:43:30,840 --> 00:43:32,319
Speaker 5: They lost a ton. I mean, let's just put it

884
00:43:32,320 --> 00:43:36,040
Speaker 5: out there. This team got absolutely gutted. But like they

885
00:43:36,120 --> 00:43:38,480
Speaker 5: were bad all across the board. Drones is back. You

886
00:43:38,520 --> 00:43:40,560
Speaker 5: hope that he's healthy. He was dealing with injuries last year.

887
00:43:40,560 --> 00:43:43,000
Speaker 5: They bringing Philip Montgomery, the offensive coordinator is usually good

888
00:43:43,000 --> 00:43:46,520
Speaker 5: with quarterbacks. You lose Tooting and Lane, your top receiver

889
00:43:46,600 --> 00:43:51,360
Speaker 5: and wide receiver of the NFL. The offensive line, everyone

890
00:43:51,600 --> 00:43:54,600
Speaker 5: is gone. But you bring in a new offensive line coach.

891
00:43:55,239 --> 00:43:58,200
Speaker 5: Some guys from West Virginia come with him. He was

892
00:43:58,239 --> 00:44:01,400
Speaker 5: the West Virginia offensive line coach. Like fifty seven of

893
00:44:01,440 --> 00:44:03,160
Speaker 5: the sixty starts, by the way from last year gone

894
00:44:03,160 --> 00:44:05,799
Speaker 5: on the offensive line. But I think that there's some

895
00:44:05,840 --> 00:44:08,239
Speaker 5: pieces here. I think that there's the skill positions you're

896
00:44:08,239 --> 00:44:11,360
Speaker 5: gonna have stored at running back who I like. So

897
00:44:11,040 --> 00:44:14,000
Speaker 5: there's there's some pieces to work with if the offensive

898
00:44:14,040 --> 00:44:18,040
Speaker 5: line can come together. Defensively, you do lose a lot

899
00:44:18,080 --> 00:44:21,239
Speaker 5: as well, but the defense was really disappointing linebackers and

900
00:44:21,280 --> 00:44:24,359
Speaker 5: safeties in particular. But you know, you lost your two

901
00:44:24,360 --> 00:44:29,160
Speaker 5: best defensive linemen into the NFL. You lost some defensive

902
00:44:29,200 --> 00:44:32,279
Speaker 5: backs to the NFL and power for But I like

903
00:44:32,320 --> 00:44:33,640
Speaker 5: some of the guys they brought in. I like this

904
00:44:33,719 --> 00:44:36,920
Speaker 5: kid Reddish, this young kid. But I really like the

905
00:44:36,920 --> 00:44:39,400
Speaker 5: corner brown they brought in. I really like Flowers, the

906
00:44:39,440 --> 00:44:41,880
Speaker 5: safety from Rice. I really like Ellis from New Mexico.

907
00:44:41,880 --> 00:44:43,560
Speaker 5: Now these are lower level guys, but these are guys

908
00:44:43,560 --> 00:44:45,640
Speaker 5: like that I really liked, and they added so I

909
00:44:45,640 --> 00:44:47,880
Speaker 5: think they did a really good job in the portal.

910
00:44:48,160 --> 00:44:50,320
Speaker 5: You do have your top two tackles back at linebacker

911
00:44:50,320 --> 00:44:52,800
Speaker 5: at least. I like what they did in the portal.

912
00:44:53,000 --> 00:44:55,840
Speaker 5: I like their coaching hires. This is kind of like

913
00:44:55,880 --> 00:44:59,759
Speaker 5: the post hype by of Virginia Tech. I haven't heard

914
00:44:59,760 --> 00:45:04,080
Speaker 5: any wouldn't really say anything positive about them, but I am.

915
00:45:04,120 --> 00:45:07,919
Speaker 5: I project them around seven. You can get over six

916
00:45:07,960 --> 00:45:10,360
Speaker 5: and a half plus one thirty or over six minus

917
00:45:10,360 --> 00:45:13,719
Speaker 5: one forty probably my favorite over in the AECs from

918
00:45:13,719 --> 00:45:16,040
Speaker 5: a wind total just value perspective. Now, it could all

919
00:45:16,040 --> 00:45:19,000
Speaker 5: go South. There's a lot of variance here. Sixty to

920
00:45:19,080 --> 00:45:23,160
Speaker 5: one best number you'll find to win the ACC. They

921
00:45:23,160 --> 00:45:26,080
Speaker 5: only have four true road games they had six last year.

922
00:45:26,200 --> 00:45:30,279
Speaker 5: Start off the season with South Carolina in Atlanta. I

923
00:45:30,280 --> 00:45:33,440
Speaker 5: think they pull off the upset. So yeah, I like

924
00:45:33,520 --> 00:45:35,960
Speaker 5: the the over. What are you seeing with the Hokies?

925
00:45:36,000 --> 00:45:37,279
Speaker 5: Are you? Are you low on them? I assume so

926
00:45:37,440 --> 00:45:39,000
Speaker 5: we're different on everything in the ACC.

927
00:45:39,360 --> 00:45:41,799
Speaker 2: No, I'm actually six point seven. I just haven't made

928
00:45:41,800 --> 00:45:43,600
Speaker 2: a play on the over six and a half plus money.

929
00:45:43,640 --> 00:45:45,839
Speaker 2: That's the way that I would roll. You could do that,

930
00:45:45,960 --> 00:45:47,319
Speaker 2: or you can take a money line a week one,

931
00:45:47,320 --> 00:45:50,160
Speaker 2: which I'm getting warmer and warmer two after our SEC podcast.

932
00:45:50,320 --> 00:45:53,520
Speaker 2: If you haven't listened to her take on South Carolina.

933
00:45:54,000 --> 00:45:56,239
Speaker 2: I do like bringing in Philip Montgomery as your OC

934
00:45:56,600 --> 00:45:58,279
Speaker 2: kids to come in and be the quarterback coach for Kyra.

935
00:45:58,880 --> 00:46:00,320
Speaker 5: I didn't like throw a Sea last. I didn't like

936
00:46:00,360 --> 00:46:00,879
Speaker 5: his play calling.

937
00:46:00,960 --> 00:46:03,680
Speaker 2: So I think, well, their numbers sucked. I mean one

938
00:46:03,760 --> 00:46:06,040
Speaker 2: hundred and twenty first and HAVOC allowed. Philip Montgomery's got

939
00:46:06,080 --> 00:46:08,000
Speaker 2: to come in and settle Kyroen Jones down. He can

940
00:46:08,080 --> 00:46:11,200
Speaker 2: do that. He had extreme success as the quarterback coach

941
00:46:11,239 --> 00:46:14,480
Speaker 2: at Houston in the two thousands with Robert griffor the

942
00:46:14,520 --> 00:46:17,240
Speaker 2: third you know, Tulsa head coach for seven eight years,

943
00:46:17,400 --> 00:46:19,399
Speaker 2: Phil Montgomery has a proven track record here. I think

944
00:46:19,440 --> 00:46:22,439
Speaker 2: that is going to be vital for Drones to take

945
00:46:22,480 --> 00:46:25,200
Speaker 2: a step which he I don't know, he just fails

946
00:46:25,200 --> 00:46:28,120
Speaker 2: to do each year. From a defensive perspective, you're right

947
00:46:28,120 --> 00:46:31,440
Speaker 2: about bringing in an NFL DC. It's still going to

948
00:46:31,440 --> 00:46:35,040
Speaker 2: be their head coaches. They're still going to be defense,

949
00:46:35,560 --> 00:46:38,439
Speaker 2: but it's going to have a flavor now of more

950
00:46:38,480 --> 00:46:41,759
Speaker 2: pro style, probably blitzes in schemes. So I think it

951
00:46:41,800 --> 00:46:44,120
Speaker 2: will help. But there is inexperience at the corner position

952
00:46:44,880 --> 00:46:47,160
Speaker 2: and the portal field. Two safeties on the depth chart,

953
00:46:47,280 --> 00:46:50,720
Speaker 2: so it's like I want to hop on this South Carolina.

954
00:46:50,719 --> 00:46:53,800
Speaker 2: I mean there's a new offensive line for South Carolina also,

955
00:46:53,920 --> 00:46:56,120
Speaker 2: so you would think Virginia Tech could do some damage there.

956
00:46:56,360 --> 00:46:59,239
Speaker 2: From a scheduling perspective for ACC road games or NC

957
00:46:59,360 --> 00:47:04,520
Speaker 2: State attach Florida State and Virginia. So it's not a

958
00:47:04,640 --> 00:47:07,120
Speaker 2: large load. The schedule is fifty fifth in the nation.

959
00:47:07,160 --> 00:47:10,200
Speaker 2: It's manageable. I lean a little bit over. It's plus

960
00:47:10,239 --> 00:47:11,640
Speaker 2: money and I make it six point seven, so I

961
00:47:11,680 --> 00:47:13,280
Speaker 2: would go over six and a half. I just haven't

962
00:47:13,280 --> 00:47:15,279
Speaker 2: fired and I might just take a money line again

963
00:47:15,320 --> 00:47:15,960
Speaker 2: South Carolina.

964
00:47:16,200 --> 00:47:18,799
Speaker 5: I'm on the Hokies bandwagon. This year's this is the

965
00:47:18,840 --> 00:47:22,399
Speaker 5: post hype by all right, let's finish up this episode with.

966
00:47:22,800 --> 00:47:25,319
Speaker 1: Duke the Duke Blue Devils.

967
00:47:25,760 --> 00:47:30,400
Speaker 5: Duke tremendous season last year in the first under Manny Diaz.

968
00:47:31,239 --> 00:47:34,640
Speaker 5: It was a bit lucky. I mean, let's just call

969
00:47:34,680 --> 00:47:36,640
Speaker 5: it what it was. It was a great year for Diaz.

970
00:47:36,680 --> 00:47:42,040
Speaker 5: But this is the team last year that won seven

971
00:47:42,080 --> 00:47:45,359
Speaker 5: of the eight coin flips, that had the one coin

972
00:47:45,400 --> 00:47:48,480
Speaker 5: flip loss was against SMU when they won the turnover

973
00:47:48,520 --> 00:47:52,959
Speaker 5: battle six nothing and lost. But like you look, last

974
00:47:53,040 --> 00:47:58,080
Speaker 5: year they beat their eight FBS wins. Those teams went

975
00:47:58,480 --> 00:48:01,840
Speaker 5: thirty nine and fifty seven if you compare schedule to schedule,

976
00:48:01,880 --> 00:48:04,560
Speaker 5: So take the eight teams like that are comparable. This year,

977
00:48:04,760 --> 00:48:06,920
Speaker 5: they're projected to go fifty three and forty three. The

978
00:48:07,040 --> 00:48:10,520
Speaker 5: schedule is going to get harder. They only beat one

979
00:48:10,520 --> 00:48:12,719
Speaker 5: team that finished with a winning record last year, that

980
00:48:12,880 --> 00:48:16,280
Speaker 5: was Yukon. This year they're expected to play seven teams

981
00:48:16,440 --> 00:48:18,879
Speaker 5: with a winning record. That doesn't even include games at

982
00:48:18,920 --> 00:48:22,840
Speaker 5: Cal and at QUS who aren't projected to go six plus.

983
00:48:24,000 --> 00:48:26,160
Speaker 5: But last year they even caught all the teams at

984
00:48:26,200 --> 00:48:28,960
Speaker 5: the right time, like with quarterbacks, Like they played VA

985
00:48:29,120 --> 00:48:33,640
Speaker 5: Tech when Watson was starting and they were basically checked

986
00:48:33,640 --> 00:48:36,920
Speaker 5: out and injured. They played Northwestern with the wrong and

987
00:48:36,960 --> 00:48:39,800
Speaker 5: you know that Northwestern game, that two overtime luck box.

988
00:48:40,600 --> 00:48:43,040
Speaker 5: You know Yukon, they trailed in the fourth against Northwestern,

989
00:48:43,040 --> 00:48:45,959
Speaker 5: They trailed in the fourth UNC they trailed twenty nothing

990
00:48:45,960 --> 00:48:48,920
Speaker 5: when twenty one to twenty Florida State how bad they

991
00:48:48,960 --> 00:48:51,919
Speaker 5: were four to zero turnovers, They were out game three

992
00:48:51,960 --> 00:48:54,919
Speaker 5: hundred to one eighty, like they should have lost that game?

993
00:48:55,040 --> 00:48:57,600
Speaker 5: Wake how bad? How bad was Wake last year where

994
00:48:57,600 --> 00:49:00,120
Speaker 5: they trailed seventeen to three, they won on a walk off.

995
00:49:00,120 --> 00:49:04,400
Speaker 5: Hail Mary game flipped on a kickoff for turn fumble.

996
00:49:05,160 --> 00:49:08,359
Speaker 5: An NC State game was even statistically. Our Tech game

997
00:49:08,400 --> 00:49:10,200
Speaker 5: was even statistically, And all these teams were like had

998
00:49:10,239 --> 00:49:14,480
Speaker 5: their disaster years. So they definitely benefited from the schedule.

999
00:49:14,600 --> 00:49:17,399
Speaker 5: It will get harder this year. They won last year

1000
00:49:17,440 --> 00:49:19,759
Speaker 5: despite their quarterback play, Murphy was not good. They bring

1001
00:49:19,800 --> 00:49:23,640
Speaker 5: in Mensa from Tulaney's more mobile as well. The offensive line.

1002
00:49:23,680 --> 00:49:25,560
Speaker 5: You gotta remember in the spring it was a mess.

1003
00:49:26,000 --> 00:49:30,840
Speaker 5: There's a lot to like about this team. The defense

1004
00:49:31,480 --> 00:49:34,520
Speaker 5: last year led the acc and tackles for loss sacks

1005
00:49:34,520 --> 00:49:40,319
Speaker 5: shouldn't surprise anyone under Manny Diaz. The secondary has two

1006
00:49:40,680 --> 00:49:45,719
Speaker 5: outstanding players, Chaandler Rivers future pro lockdown corner, and then

1007
00:49:45,800 --> 00:49:49,040
Speaker 5: more their safety, future pro. I would say, one of

1008
00:49:49,040 --> 00:49:51,480
Speaker 5: the five best safeties in college. The thing is he

1009
00:49:51,480 --> 00:49:53,719
Speaker 5: got hurt on the final play, got hurt in the

1010
00:49:53,719 --> 00:49:56,239
Speaker 5: bowl game. They don't think he's going to be available.

1011
00:49:57,040 --> 00:49:58,600
Speaker 5: I don't know when he's going to come back for

1012
00:49:58,680 --> 00:49:59,960
Speaker 5: the first part of the year, is all that's said.

1013
00:50:00,840 --> 00:50:02,960
Speaker 5: So their other corner they lost to the NFL. If

1014
00:50:03,000 --> 00:50:05,040
Speaker 5: they don't have more back there, their secular is probably

1015
00:50:05,040 --> 00:50:06,800
Speaker 5: gonna take a step back. They're gonna need Weaver to

1016
00:50:06,800 --> 00:50:08,719
Speaker 5: step up, who I do like from Sam Houston State,

1017
00:50:09,480 --> 00:50:11,279
Speaker 5: and then Robinson's got to step up at that other

1018
00:50:11,360 --> 00:50:15,640
Speaker 5: corner spot. But you trust man IDAs and this defense.

1019
00:50:16,360 --> 00:50:19,239
Speaker 5: So there's a lot of things pointing in the down

1020
00:50:19,280 --> 00:50:22,120
Speaker 5: direction for Duke, like six and one to one possion games,

1021
00:50:22,120 --> 00:50:25,320
Speaker 5: the schedule broke their way, plus eight and turnovers. Looking

1022
00:50:25,360 --> 00:50:27,960
Speaker 5: at the schedule, there's it's a tricky non con because

1023
00:50:27,960 --> 00:50:31,160
Speaker 5: you're going to Yukon, you're going to two lane, you

1024
00:50:31,239 --> 00:50:34,200
Speaker 5: host Illinois, So like there's three potential losses of your

1025
00:50:34,239 --> 00:50:40,280
Speaker 5: four non con games ACC road games Clemson, Houston, UNC,

1026
00:50:40,360 --> 00:50:43,319
Speaker 5: and cal So mixed bag there. I don't know. I

1027
00:50:43,360 --> 00:50:45,800
Speaker 5: want to go onder really bad on Duke. If thirty

1028
00:50:45,800 --> 00:50:47,400
Speaker 5: five to one is the best number you'll find to

1029
00:50:47,440 --> 00:50:50,360
Speaker 5: win the ACC over six and a half minus one sixty,

1030
00:50:50,960 --> 00:50:52,640
Speaker 5: you could find over six and a half, like minus

1031
00:50:52,680 --> 00:50:54,920
Speaker 5: two hundred, it's starting to get expensive. The thing is

1032
00:50:54,960 --> 00:50:59,880
Speaker 5: I project them around like seven one, so I can

1033
00:51:00,280 --> 00:51:01,719
Speaker 5: I was getting all ready to sell them. I was

1034
00:51:01,719 --> 00:51:03,640
Speaker 5: hoping I would go like under seven and a half.

1035
00:51:04,040 --> 00:51:05,480
Speaker 5: Maybe you don't get there. I think they're starting to

1036
00:51:05,480 --> 00:51:08,160
Speaker 5: take some money here. Maybe maybe So I'm wanting to

1037
00:51:08,200 --> 00:51:11,080
Speaker 5: sell this team. My numbers say I can't really interesting

1038
00:51:11,080 --> 00:51:12,439
Speaker 5: case study love Duke.

1039
00:51:12,880 --> 00:51:14,600
Speaker 2: Seven point seven is the total that I make it.

1040
00:51:14,800 --> 00:51:17,720
Speaker 2: Darien Mensa coming in from Tulane shows me that Duke

1041
00:51:18,000 --> 00:51:20,000
Speaker 2: has money and they're willing to spend it. When you

1042
00:51:20,000 --> 00:51:22,080
Speaker 2: add Malik Murphy already in pocket, you're like, no, we're

1043
00:51:22,080 --> 00:51:23,080
Speaker 2: going to upgrade.

1044
00:51:22,800 --> 00:51:24,600
Speaker 5: And they got the backing. Now this is a program

1045
00:51:25,080 --> 00:51:28,759
Speaker 5: program on the Rise, sober Green Class two, burning their best,

1046
00:51:28,800 --> 00:51:29,839
Speaker 5: their highest sign or ever.

1047
00:51:30,120 --> 00:51:32,320
Speaker 2: You know, there was a version of this podcast before

1048
00:51:32,360 --> 00:51:35,799
Speaker 2: the pandemic where we took second order win totals, net turnovers,

1049
00:51:36,680 --> 00:51:39,000
Speaker 2: just market indicators pointing up and down what we did

1050
00:51:39,000 --> 00:51:41,200
Speaker 2: in our preseason work. But now it's like, are you

1051
00:51:41,280 --> 00:51:45,760
Speaker 2: spending money? Do you have a collective? Can you write?

1052
00:51:46,080 --> 00:51:48,080
Speaker 2: I'm not sure which one's more important these days, but

1053
00:51:48,080 --> 00:51:50,040
Speaker 2: it's something that you have to take into consideration. So

1054
00:51:50,120 --> 00:51:53,400
Speaker 2: Darien Mensa comes in more big time throws and turnover

1055
00:51:53,440 --> 00:51:55,239
Speaker 2: worthy plays. A twenty two to six TD to I

1056
00:51:55,600 --> 00:51:58,680
Speaker 2: for Tulane eleven point three a dot. He can throw

1057
00:51:58,680 --> 00:52:00,640
Speaker 2: it deep, he can run. Nearly two hundred and fifty

1058
00:52:00,719 --> 00:52:03,279
Speaker 2: yards of his rushing came on scrambles. A kid can

1059
00:52:03,320 --> 00:52:06,080
Speaker 2: move four offensive lineman return. That's a good thing. But

1060
00:52:06,080 --> 00:52:08,200
Speaker 2: they were one hundred and thirty second line yards. They

1061
00:52:08,239 --> 00:52:10,399
Speaker 2: really weren't making a lot of lanes for the running game.

1062
00:52:10,840 --> 00:52:12,839
Speaker 2: That's got to improve. They were one hundred and thirty

1063
00:52:12,840 --> 00:52:15,120
Speaker 2: first and rushing success rate. That's got to improve.

1064
00:52:15,400 --> 00:52:17,239
Speaker 5: Not run block at all. That's what Mensa can help.

1065
00:52:17,280 --> 00:52:19,160
Speaker 5: Being a little bit more mobile with the quarterback.

1066
00:52:18,880 --> 00:52:22,759
Speaker 2: Position, true, because Malik Murphy is not that guy wide

1067
00:52:22,800 --> 00:52:25,520
Speaker 2: receiver andrel Anthony comes in from OU. Everybody to OU

1068
00:52:25,600 --> 00:52:27,200
Speaker 2: was hurt last year. So we really have to look

1069
00:52:27,239 --> 00:52:29,120
Speaker 2: at his twenty twenty three numbers where he went two

1070
00:52:29,120 --> 00:52:31,359
Speaker 2: point eight yards per route run for the Sooners. That

1071
00:52:32,160 --> 00:52:35,120
Speaker 2: is an insane number and that gives minsa a quick

1072
00:52:35,200 --> 00:52:38,480
Speaker 2: hitter boomer on the offensive side of the ball. Defense

1073
00:52:38,640 --> 00:52:41,000
Speaker 2: really no worries. I don't expect any drop off from

1074
00:52:41,000 --> 00:52:43,360
Speaker 2: a team that finished seventh, and coverage finished third and

1075
00:52:43,440 --> 00:52:45,640
Speaker 2: defensive havoc on the season. It really played a big

1076
00:52:45,640 --> 00:52:48,120
Speaker 2: part in those close games. The player to call out

1077
00:52:48,280 --> 00:52:51,520
Speaker 2: his corner Chandler Rivers not only six PBUs and three

1078
00:52:51,600 --> 00:52:53,920
Speaker 2: nine tis, but he had six and a half tackles

1079
00:52:53,920 --> 00:52:56,360
Speaker 2: for loss. How in the world does a corner have

1080
00:52:56,400 --> 00:52:57,960
Speaker 2: six and a half tackles for loss? I mean, we're

1081
00:52:58,000 --> 00:53:00,360
Speaker 2: just sticking people on in the flat. That's when they

1082
00:53:00,400 --> 00:53:03,239
Speaker 2: get the ball. I mean, that's that's an impressive number

1083
00:53:03,239 --> 00:53:05,520
Speaker 2: for a corner unless he's like safety blitzing that. But

1084
00:53:05,640 --> 00:53:08,400
Speaker 2: I'm sorry if he's corner blitzing that much. And like

1085
00:53:08,440 --> 00:53:10,080
Speaker 2: I said, Duke finished third and havoc and that's a

1086
00:53:10,080 --> 00:53:11,759
Speaker 2: big part of it there. This is a very well

1087
00:53:11,800 --> 00:53:15,840
Speaker 2: schemed and a very well executed defense. Mensa travels to

1088
00:53:15,880 --> 00:53:18,279
Speaker 2: Two Lane on September thirteenth. I originally looked at that

1089
00:53:18,320 --> 00:53:20,800
Speaker 2: in the schedule, like it's in between Illinois and NC State,

1090
00:53:20,920 --> 00:53:22,360
Speaker 2: and I thought, well, why would Duke want to go

1091
00:53:22,400 --> 00:53:24,560
Speaker 2: to New Orleans. Well, now you got their quarterback, so

1092
00:53:24,560 --> 00:53:26,359
Speaker 2: it probably means a lot to their quarterback, which means

1093
00:53:26,360 --> 00:53:29,200
Speaker 2: it probably means a lot to the offense. Back to

1094
00:53:29,239 --> 00:53:31,520
Speaker 2: back travel and a dome in Syracuse and then out

1095
00:53:31,560 --> 00:53:33,759
Speaker 2: to Berserkly, So there is some air miles that they're

1096
00:53:33,760 --> 00:53:35,399
Speaker 2: going to be putting on here, especially going out. I'd

1097
00:53:35,400 --> 00:53:37,880
Speaker 2: watch the game time out there out west, see how

1098
00:53:37,920 --> 00:53:39,759
Speaker 2: late that's going to be. I know Auburn went out

1099
00:53:39,760 --> 00:53:41,400
Speaker 2: there and it was kind of funky last year, and

1100
00:53:42,080 --> 00:53:44,239
Speaker 2: so I would pay attention to Duke on that. Just

1101
00:53:44,280 --> 00:53:48,799
Speaker 2: two games in October, that is an interesting schedule where

1102
00:53:48,800 --> 00:53:51,640
Speaker 2: they have back to back buys on the November eighteenth

1103
00:53:51,680 --> 00:53:54,359
Speaker 2: and November first. They're coming off bye weeks and they

1104
00:53:54,360 --> 00:53:56,080
Speaker 2: get them for Georgia Tech and Clemson. So to me,

1105
00:53:56,200 --> 00:54:00,720
Speaker 2: that is a positive. All these smart kids, the Duke

1106
00:54:01,480 --> 00:54:04,759
Speaker 2: off the entire month of October for their midterms, and

1107
00:54:04,840 --> 00:54:07,680
Speaker 2: they only play two games in the month of October.

1108
00:54:08,320 --> 00:54:10,719
Speaker 2: They should be fresh for the final stretch. So I

1109
00:54:10,800 --> 00:54:12,560
Speaker 2: like the over I'm at seven point seven. I'm over

1110
00:54:12,600 --> 00:54:15,000
Speaker 2: six and a half minus one sixty. I'd rather do

1111
00:54:15,040 --> 00:54:16,520
Speaker 2: an all wine at seven to make it a little

1112
00:54:16,560 --> 00:54:18,200
Speaker 2: bit cheaper. So I'm going to look around. But I'm

1113
00:54:18,200 --> 00:54:21,000
Speaker 2: definitely in the boat of over on Duke.

1114
00:54:21,640 --> 00:54:23,200
Speaker 5: Yeah, I agree with your program on the Rise. They

1115
00:54:23,239 --> 00:54:25,680
Speaker 5: got the first ever top one hundred guys best high

1116
00:54:25,680 --> 00:54:29,080
Speaker 5: school recruit class ever. But again, I couldn't be I

1117
00:54:29,200 --> 00:54:32,160
Speaker 5: want to sell this team. No thanks on the over all. Right,

1118
00:54:32,160 --> 00:54:35,360
Speaker 5: that'll wrap up Part one. I love when we're we disagree.

1119
00:54:35,400 --> 00:54:41,680
Speaker 5: I think we disagreed on every team.

1120
00:54:39,640 --> 00:54:42,320
Speaker 2: The whole board. The whole board is just the ACC.

1121
00:54:42,719 --> 00:54:45,439
Speaker 5: Right, Yeah, we might have to cross on some of these,

1122
00:54:45,520 --> 00:54:48,239
Speaker 5: So all right, that'll do it for part one. We've back.

1123
00:54:48,239 --> 00:54:51,200
Speaker 5: In Part two, we'll finish with the final nine teams

1124
00:54:51,239 --> 00:54:53,919
Speaker 5: in the ACC and Notre Dame. But thanks to Colin

1125
00:54:53,960 --> 00:54:56,040
Speaker 5: for joining me. Thanks to our producer Mametchell in the

1126
00:54:56,040 --> 00:54:57,920
Speaker 5: back end. Most rely thanks all of you. Make sure

1127
00:54:57,920 --> 00:55:00,880
Speaker 5: you subscribe on suscribe. Tell friend Ton Aimy you know

1128
00:55:00,920 --> 00:55:02,719
Speaker 5: the deal LEA five star of you really helps us

1129
00:55:02,719 --> 00:55:04,799
Speaker 5: out this time of the year. We'll see you for

1130
00:55:05,239 --> 00:55:06,480
Speaker 5: part two. Cheers.

1131
00:55:06,680 --> 00:55:07,320
Speaker 2: Peace Out.

1132
00:55:15,960 --> 00:55:20,520
Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

1133
00:55:20,520 --> 00:55:23,320
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1134
00:55:23,360 --> 00:55:26,480
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