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Speaker 1: The Action Network podcast, named vest vetting Podcast or radio

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Speaker 1: show by the Fantasy Sports and Gaming Association and the

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Speaker 1: number one show for the invested sports fan.

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Speaker 2: All right, here we go.

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Speaker 3: We're growing in job spectator.

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Speaker 2: I'm sitting it to cash touch.

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Speaker 4: We'll see most gamblers when they go to gamble, they

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Speaker 4: go to win.

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Speaker 2: God, that's incredible.

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Speaker 3: Big bank, small bank. I like to make money. All right,

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Speaker 3: this is the ultimate combine you want to pull, and

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Speaker 3: we are underway.

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Speaker 2: Hello, everyone, Welcome back to another NFL Fantasy Flex episode

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Speaker 2: of the award winning Action Network podcast, presented by Bett MGM,

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Speaker 2: the official odds provider of the show. I'm Matthew Friedman

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Speaker 2: and the editor in chief of Fantasy Labs, and here

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Speaker 2: with me are Sean Corner and Chris Raybond. Sewan is

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Speaker 2: the Action Network director of Predictive Analytics. Chris is a

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Speaker 2: senior or an analyst of the Action Networking there two

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Speaker 2: of the very best fantasy football rankers in the world,

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Speaker 2: and joining us is another top fantasy football ranker. I

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Speaker 2: am talking about, Jeff Radcliffe of Fade the Noise and

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Speaker 2: the serious XM Fantasy Channel. Jeff, how's it going.

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Speaker 3: While you broke out the fade the noise.

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Speaker 5: A lot of people ask me what does FTN mean,

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Speaker 5: and that's actually what it comes from, basically, do everything

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Speaker 5: opposite of what Brad Evans does. We're fading the noise

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Speaker 5: with all of that. But yeah, fantastic man, good to

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Speaker 5: be here. I'm just crazy it's week eleven already. I

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Speaker 5: don't know where the season went, but that still means

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Speaker 5: we're like only halfway there in terms of sports betting

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Speaker 5: in dfs, even though season long Fantasy football is minded down.

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Speaker 2: Where did the season go? But it feels like it's

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Speaker 2: been grind to this point and just but so thrilled

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Speaker 2: that we are yet to have any games actually canceled

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Speaker 2: and so hopefully we can finish the rest of the

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Speaker 2: season strong with a full slate of games. In this episode,

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Speaker 2: highlighting the players at the top of our week eleven

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Speaker 2: rankings and the Fantasy tool at the Action Network, we

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Speaker 2: are discussing the guys we are high and low on

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Speaker 2: and looking at how they do in our Fantasy Lavist models,

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Speaker 2: and we are speculating on some player props. Before we

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Speaker 2: get into the show, I want to remind everyone about

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Speaker 2: the Action Network podcast Tournament of Champions presented by bet MGM.

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Speaker 2: It is a free tournament on Yahoo for our listeners.

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Speaker 2: You can join by clicking the link in the show description.

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Speaker 2: Each week, the top ten finishers get over one thousand

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Speaker 2: dollars in Action Network prizes. In the top five advance

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Speaker 2: to the Wildcard Weekend Grand Finale, where the winner will

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Speaker 2: get a grand prize Las Vegas trip for two valued

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Speaker 2: at five thousand dollars courtesy of bet MGM. Again, listeners

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Speaker 2: can join for free every week. Click on the link

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Speaker 2: in the episode description to join. Jeff, let's talk about

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Speaker 2: the quarterbacks at the top of our rankings. And I

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Speaker 2: should say, as we are recording this, we are in

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Speaker 2: the process. At least I believe Chris Raybond is in

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Speaker 2: the process of finishing up his rankings. So there will

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Speaker 2: definitely be changes when people go to the Action networks

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Speaker 2: to look at the rankings. But right now, the guys

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Speaker 2: that we have at the top of our rankings at

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Speaker 2: the quarterback position, we have Kyler, Murray, Russell Wilson, Patrick Mahomes.

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Speaker 2: You can maybe make a case for some other people

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Speaker 2: to go in there, but where are you on your

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Speaker 2: top three right now? Keeping in mind of course that

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Speaker 2: things can change, as the week progresses.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, absolutely, I think.

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Speaker 5: You know, obviously, when you have Kyler Murray facing Seattle,

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Speaker 5: it's very appealing, especially after he has one of the

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Speaker 5: best plays that we're going to see for a long

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Speaker 5: time after last week. But we also have to remember

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Speaker 5: he really wasn't doing much through the air throughout the

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Speaker 5: course of that game. It was really on the ground

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Speaker 5: where he's been just absolutely phenomenal. So I think there's

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Speaker 5: obviously a case for him. But I actually have Mahomes

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Speaker 5: as my number one right now. I mean, it's really

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Speaker 5: splitting hairs when you're at the top. I actually had

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Speaker 5: somebody on Twitter ask me today, he said, who would

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Speaker 5: you rather for the rest of the season, Kyler Murray

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Speaker 5: or Russell Wilson, And I go both.

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Speaker 3: I mean, what do we do here? You're in a

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Speaker 3: good situation regardless of where you go.

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Speaker 5: I do think that people may be a little discouraged

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Speaker 5: because we have recency bias in season long fantasy football

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Speaker 5: with last week's performance from Russell Wilson. But all week

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Speaker 5: I was pointing out it was a really interesting litmus

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Speaker 5: test of that Rams defense, which has been phenomenal. Darius Williams,

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Speaker 5: everybody needs to know this name. This kid is absolutely

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Speaker 5: playing out of his mind. And you know yet another

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Speaker 5: he could be in the Raven secondary. He was buried

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Speaker 5: in that Raven secondary. Now here he is getting an

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Speaker 5: opportunity with the Rams and Shining. So I mean, I

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Speaker 5: have Russ as the bottom of that of those three,

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Speaker 5: but I do like the matchup for him because as

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Speaker 5: we know, you can certainly throw on Arizona.

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Speaker 2: All right. Well, outside of the top three, is there

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Speaker 2: a guy or two that you think you are going

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Speaker 2: to be relatively high on this week in comparison to

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Speaker 2: the consensus.

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Speaker 3: I think that guy might end up being Ben Roethlisberger.

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Speaker 5: For me, last week we saw a very rare feat

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Speaker 5: in a lot of scoring formats, you know PPR scoring formats.

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Speaker 5: We have three Steelers receivers with twenty plus PPR points.

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Speaker 5: That's outrageous right there, and I don't see that changing

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Speaker 5: anytime soon. Ben's gonna spread the ball around.

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Speaker 3: You have.

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Speaker 5: You know, when it's not Deontay Johnson, it's Chase Claypool.

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Speaker 5: When it's not Chase Claypool, it's Jujus ms Schuster. And

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Speaker 5: even when it's not those guys, maybe it's Eric Gibron.

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Speaker 5: So many weapons at his disposal, and I don't see

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Speaker 5: that that shifting, you know, especially with the play of

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Speaker 5: James Connor, which I don't know what the heck's happening there.

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Speaker 5: I've watched the last two games. He does not look

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Speaker 5: like the same player. I've been telling people, you know,

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Speaker 5: all day here on a Tuesday, dude, to pick up

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Speaker 5: Benny Snell and just stash him just in case, because

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Speaker 5: we really don't know, you know, what's gonna happen. Then

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Speaker 5: on top of it, you face a Jacksonville secondary that

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Speaker 5: is young and inexperienced. Sidney Jones is really the most

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Speaker 5: experienced trade Herndon. I mean, these are these are still

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Speaker 5: inexperienced guys. Herndon gets beat deep basically every single week.

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Speaker 3: CJ.

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Speaker 5: Henderson's getting picked on in what is a veteran quarterback

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Speaker 5: like Ben Roethlisberger do pick on a rookie corner.

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Speaker 3: So I think it's another big week for Ben.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I like that a lot. Ray Bond, I'm going

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Speaker 2: to give you the first bite of the apple here.

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Speaker 2: Maybe you can snipe Sean and highlight the guy he

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Speaker 2: is high on, who is a quarterback you are relatively

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Speaker 2: high on this.

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Speaker 6: Week, So I like a couple justin Herbert going against

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Speaker 6: the New York Jets. You know, Herbert every week, weekend,

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Speaker 6: week out, He's shown that he has, you know, not

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Speaker 6: only his throwing chops despite being a rookie, but you know,

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Speaker 6: the rushing chops to kind of stick with these top quarterbacks.

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Speaker 6: And you're gonna need that, whether it's DFS season long

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Speaker 6: every week because you have these guys like Kyler and

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Speaker 6: Josh Allen and Deshaun Watson running the football in addition

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Speaker 6: to throwing it.

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Speaker 4: Same goes for Cam Newton.

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Speaker 6: He's not really throwing the football that effectively because of

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Speaker 6: the supporting cast. But I think in this matchup against Houston,

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Speaker 6: one of the worst defenses in the league, he can

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Speaker 6: have a pretty good game on the ground and it's

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Speaker 6: one of the easier throwing matchups for him as well.

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Speaker 6: And then going down on list Joe Burrow at five

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Speaker 6: point five K. This team has been extremely pass heavy

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Speaker 6: and they finally get a pretty decent match. You know,

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Speaker 6: last week against Pittsburgh was tough, but in this spot,

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Speaker 6: I think Joe Burrow can have a huge game and

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Speaker 6: kind of put up numbers similar to guys that are

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Speaker 6: at the top tier of pricing.

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Speaker 2: Sean, who do you like here?

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Speaker 7: So I'm pretty high on Jamis Winston this week. I

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Speaker 7: think he's a GPP play. You can't trust him in

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Speaker 7: cash because we're really we're not sure how much Taysom

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Speaker 7: Hill is going to factor in, but certainly in season

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Speaker 7: longs he's worth a stash because it sounds like Drew

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Speaker 7: Brees could be out for quite some time. You know,

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Speaker 7: this offense is going to look a lot different with

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Speaker 7: Jamis Winston slinging it around, so I'm excited to see

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Speaker 7: how that pans out. And the other guy is Deshaun Watson.

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Speaker 7: He's a bit cheaper this week. He's sixty five hundred.

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Speaker 7: I think, you know, people might you know, overweight last

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Speaker 7: week's windy game. I think it's wise to just roll

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Speaker 7: that out. But he was on fire the previous four games. Coincidentally,

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Speaker 7: after Bill brang gout fire where he was averaging three

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Speaker 7: hundred and twenty passing yards, three touchdowns, and thirty five

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Speaker 7: rushing yards. I think he'll bounce back to that level

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Speaker 7: and be a top four qv this week. You know,

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Speaker 7: the against the Patriots isn't ideal, but again, I think

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Speaker 7: people might be overlooking him this week after his poor

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Speaker 7: performance in the winds at Cleveland.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, so Watson is standing out in some of our

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Speaker 2: fantasy Lavist models and he has the highest projected plus

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Speaker 2: minus that we have on the slate this week. So

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Speaker 2: certainly someone to keep in mind. And Sean, you got me.

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Speaker 2: Winston was the guy that I was going to talk about.

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Speaker 2: I'm very bullish on him this week with the weapons

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Speaker 2: he has and then that matchup he has going against

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Speaker 2: the Atlanta Falcons, who allowed the most fantasy points in

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Speaker 2: the league to opposing quarterbacks. Light my money on fire

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Speaker 2: this week with Jamis Winston. This is this is the

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Speaker 2: path that I'm going to go down. Jeff, who is

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Speaker 2: someone who are relatively low on I think.

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Speaker 5: We have to be careful with Jameis Winston for the

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Speaker 5: season long crowd though Jamis does you know, even watching

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Speaker 5: that game, it's like, dude, Alba Kamara is right here, man,

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Speaker 5: He's right here, right, Just look, you don't have to

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Speaker 5: look downfield all day long every day with Jamis wins

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Speaker 5: That drives me nuts with him.

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Speaker 3: And that's actually not good for Michael Tom either.

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Speaker 5: High at quarterback with low eight dot receivers not really

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Speaker 5: a good match. But in DFS, obviously, and I do

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Speaker 5: think the sean the answer is, we're going to see

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Speaker 5: more Taysom Hill than we want to see. That's how

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Speaker 5: much Taysom Hill. We're going to see.

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Speaker 3: ESPN folks tight end Taysom Hill. Let's go, baby, let's go.

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Speaker 5: I have Lamar Jackson on my list, and if he

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Speaker 5: didn't put up at least two touchdowns against the Patriots,

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Speaker 5: he wasn't going to put up two touchdowns at any

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Speaker 5: point this season. And of course, just as we drew

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Speaker 5: it up, it was to Willie Snead on both touchdowns.

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Speaker 3: Thanks Lamar.

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Speaker 5: But you know this, I just feel like every week

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Speaker 5: people look at him with that massive ceiling and they think,

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Speaker 5: all right, well, this is gonna be the week, this

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Speaker 5: is gonna be the week, this is gonna be the week.

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Speaker 5: In season one, you kind of made your own bed

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Speaker 5: with that and you kind of have to just keep

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Speaker 5: rolling with him. But in DFS, absolute fade For me.

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Speaker 5: Occasionally I'll be like, now I'll build a lineup or two,

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Speaker 5: but I'm not going.

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Speaker 2: To do it this week, Raybond, who are you low on?

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Speaker 6: Aaron Rodgers is going against the Indianapolis Colts. You know,

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Speaker 6: we know Aaron Rodgers is going to take advantage of

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Speaker 6: easy matchups. He's been doing that his whole career and

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Speaker 6: as of late, really the only thing that stopped him

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Speaker 6: has been you know, tougher matchups, a defense that can

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Speaker 6: get pressure, you know, cover well, because green Bay really

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Speaker 6: DeVante Adams and there there is a big drop off,

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Speaker 6: even though Valdez Scantling has come on some over these

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Speaker 6: past couple of games. So Aaron Rodgers sitting there near

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Speaker 6: the top of pricing going against the Indianapolis Colts. There's

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Speaker 6: a team that's allowed the second fewest fantasy points to

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Speaker 6: opposing quarterbacks. They held you know, Ryan Tannehill has had

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Speaker 6: thrown for multiple touchdowns and all but two of his

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Speaker 6: starts as a Titan, they held him to just one

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Speaker 6: touchdown in one hundred and forty seven yards. You know,

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Speaker 6: Lamar Jackson is Jeff kind of talked about the week before,

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Speaker 6: just one hundred and seventy yards, no touchdowns through the air. Really,

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Speaker 6: it's been tough for quarterbacks to get going against this team.

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Speaker 6: So Aaron Rodgers little too pricey for.

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Speaker 2: Me this week in DFS on who Are You Fading?

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Speaker 7: Yeah, I'm right there with raybon On Rogers way too

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Speaker 7: expensive on Draftkingsy's seven k the second highest price QB

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Speaker 7: Season one. You still have to start him. I consider

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Speaker 7: him a low end RB one, but lower expectations this

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Speaker 7: week considerably the other guy I'm fading. It's pretty easy

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Speaker 7: to fad him at this price. But Kirk Cousins at

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Speaker 7: sixty two hundred. Yes, the matchup is great against the Cowboys,

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Speaker 7: but I mean the Vikings are going to be perfectly content,

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Speaker 7: giving Dalvin Cook thirty plus carries here and maybe Alexander

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Speaker 7: Madison fifteen plus. They have no qualms about running the

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Speaker 7: shit out of the ball. So I think, you know,

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Speaker 7: Kirk Cousins floor end ceiling or lowered this week, He's

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Speaker 7: just way too expensive, even though I do like this matchup.

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Speaker 2: All right, A guy I'm paiding here is Tom Brady.

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Speaker 2: The Rams have allowed the second fewest Fantasy points to quarterbacks.

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Speaker 2: As Jeff mentioned, Darius Williams is playing extraordinarily well opposite

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Speaker 2: Jalen Ramsey, who I think is playing at you know,

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Speaker 2: an all pro level that we saw into the seventeen

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Speaker 2: and then of course they have Aaron Donald on that

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Speaker 2: defensive line to wreck havoc so I think the Rams

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Speaker 2: defense will be able to challenge that Buccaneers offense enough

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Speaker 2: to bump Brady down and make him more of a

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Speaker 2: low end QB one, high end QB two instead of

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Speaker 2: the guy who you know was throwing just touchdown upon

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Speaker 2: touchdown last week. Sean, it is time to kick it

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Speaker 2: to you for our quarterback player prop. By the way,

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Speaker 2: I should tell everyone you should check out the Fantasy

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Speaker 2: Labs player prop tool, where the props with the bat

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Speaker 2: quality of ten have a sixty percent win rate over

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Speaker 2: the past two years, and when player props are posted,

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Speaker 2: you can bet them at bet MGM. Sean, give us

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Speaker 2: the player prop.

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Speaker 7: We'll go with Jamis Winston total passing yards this week

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Speaker 7: against the Falcons. I have the lines set at two

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Speaker 7: fifty eight and a half. And but before you guys

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Speaker 7: tell me you're over under, Jeff, I do agree that

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Speaker 7: season long, he's a bit risky because he has a

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Speaker 7: lower floor. But my number one role of jamss Whinston

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Speaker 7: is do not watch the game. Just go do something

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Speaker 7: else and after the game check his stats and it

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Speaker 7: usually turns out fine.

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Speaker 3: I got to take you up on that because it

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Speaker 3: drives you nuts.

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Speaker 5: Rather it really does dodging that giant ball bag drill

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Speaker 5: thing that he does, than watch him actually play Sean.

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Speaker 2: What was the line again?

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Speaker 7: Two fifty eight and a half.

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Speaker 2: I will take the over because I am a donkey,

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Speaker 2: and I'm just imagining one way or another, whether it's

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Speaker 2: through design or whether it's through the team getting down

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Speaker 2: and Winston having to air it out. I'm just imagining

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Speaker 2: that he goes over here. I have this closer to

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Speaker 2: two hundred and eighty.

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Speaker 6: I have him, I have him way under I'm going

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Speaker 6: because I'm looking at the splits of him and Tasom

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Speaker 6: in kind of winding up at quarterback, and Winston was

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Speaker 6: about seventy five percent, Hill twenty five percent, and there's

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Speaker 6: just so much uncertainty here in New Orleans. In addition

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Speaker 6: to the fact that you know, we we kind of

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Speaker 6: blamed it on Drew Brees, but the fact that in

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Speaker 6: New Orleans runs a whole different kind of scheme than

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Speaker 6: Tampa Bay did, and it's a lot more short passing.

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Speaker 6: You know, I think Breeze's a dot coming into last

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Speaker 6: week was like under six yards, and obviously that's something

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Speaker 6: to somewhat to do with the arm. But after seeing

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Speaker 6: Winston play. I don't think they're gonna want him to

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Speaker 6: necessarily air it out. And then on top of that,

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Speaker 6: you could have Hill mixing in for x percentage of

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Speaker 6: the quarterback snaps with Winston going out to wide receivers.

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Speaker 4: So I have this still in the low two hundreds.

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Speaker 6: I may, I may rise it up, but I do

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Speaker 6: have about a seventy five to twenty five split right

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Speaker 6: now with Winston and Tasom.

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Speaker 3: Yeah.

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Speaker 5: I think that's fair. I actually think it's very fair.

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Speaker 5: I'll take a slight under. I'm maybe not as under

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Speaker 5: his Raybon, but I think that's really the key here.

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Speaker 5: When you look at at the offense, who's the deep

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Speaker 5: ball target? Is it Trey Kwon Smith? Is dray Won

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Speaker 5: Smith's gonna be okay for this game? I don't know

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Speaker 5: who they throw to the ball to downfield, and Jamis

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Speaker 5: simply just does not have the ability to look in

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Speaker 5: the short and intermediate. And I don't know if that changes.

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Speaker 5: You know, I know a lot of people say, well, hey,

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Speaker 5: Teddy was fine, Well Teddy is a low eight quarterback,

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Speaker 5: and yes he was fine. He was actually a perfect

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Speaker 5: replacement for Drew Brees last year. I don't think Jamis is,

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Speaker 5: and it wouldn't. I wouldn't put it past that, you know,

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Speaker 5: Sean Payton and that that coaching staff to put Taysom

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Speaker 5: in more than twenty five percent.

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Speaker 3: So yeah, I think I'll take the under as well.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, if Taysom Hill actually sees significant playing time, then

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Speaker 2: I'm drying dead on this. I'm banking on the idea

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Speaker 2: that they actually look and say like, Okay, one of

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Speaker 2: these guys is a quarterback and one of them is

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Speaker 2: more like our rotational gadget player. When we look at

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Speaker 2: what happened with Teddy Bridgewater last year, he was actually

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Speaker 2: the guy who was back there taking snaps and we

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Speaker 2: didn't really see Taysom Hill. So I'm thinking that maybe

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Speaker 2: because this injury happened in the middle of the game,

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Speaker 2: they went with this approach of kind of platooning the guys.

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Speaker 2: Whereas if they know going into the game that Winston

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Speaker 2: is the starter, he will actually play something pretty close

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Speaker 2: to a starter number of snaps. But as as we say,

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Speaker 2: it's just it's all a projection at the point, we

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Speaker 2: really have no way of knowing.

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Speaker 7: Yeah, it's a y range of outcomes. But it's funny

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Speaker 7: because anytime I think, oh, they should use Taysom Hill

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Speaker 7: more this game. They use him less, so he's the thing,

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Speaker 7: but it's always harder to peg. But yeah, I'm closer

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Speaker 7: to free man. I think, you know, Winston should play,

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Speaker 7: you know, ninety percent of the staf center center of

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Speaker 7: this game. I'm I'm thinking, all.

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Speaker 2: Right, let's talk about the running backs. At the top

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Speaker 2: of our rankings. We have Dalvin Cook, Alvin Kamara, and

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Speaker 2: Aaron Jones, and I would say that you could probably

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Speaker 2: make an argument for a few guys who could be

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Speaker 2: in the top three. Jeff, how do you see the

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Speaker 2: top three at the position right now?

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Speaker 5: I think he could also make the argument for Derrick

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Speaker 5: Henry in there. You know, I might slide him in

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Speaker 5: into the top three instead of Jones. And it's not

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Speaker 5: a knock on Jones. It's just that matchup stuff. There's

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Speaker 5: no doubt about it. Especially Darius Leonard on the field.

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Speaker 5: This guy is an absolute difference maker. And we saw

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Speaker 5: that was that really was the difference when he was

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Speaker 5: out a good defense, not a great defense. When he's

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Speaker 5: in there are great defense, whereas Henry also facing a

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Speaker 5: great defense, but a defense that has.

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Speaker 3: Been prone to give up some some big games. In

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Speaker 3: the run game.

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Speaker 5: So I think obviously Cook, you know, no matter what

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Speaker 5: you know, even in the Week ten contest he had

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Speaker 5: thirty calories. I mean, you didn't get the fantasy outcome

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Speaker 5: maybe you are hoping for, but he can't post video

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Speaker 5: game numbers every single week. And Kamara, even though Jamis

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Speaker 5: may not look to him as much in the checkdowns,

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Speaker 5: he's still, you know, outrageously good.

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Speaker 3: So I think Henry's the guy who maybe slides into

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Speaker 3: that top three.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, As as a Cowboys fan, even if I could

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Speaker 2: go see the Cowboys in Minnesota this this weekend, I

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Speaker 2: wouldn't do it just because I'm not going to want

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Speaker 2: to go into like an enemy stadium and then watch

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Speaker 2: their running back run all over the Dallas defense. So

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Speaker 2: I'm just anticipating that that is going to be a

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Speaker 2: bloodbath and something that will be very painful to witness. Jeff,

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Speaker 2: outside of the guys he already mentioned, who are some

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Speaker 2: guys you are relatively high on at the position?

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Speaker 5: Well, I think the first name that we have to

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Speaker 5: talk about as savonakh Med, you know, came out of

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Speaker 5: nowhere seemingly, and this is the second time with this

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Speaker 5: coaching staff, So maybe we shouldn't be surprised that a

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Speaker 5: running back has come up the depth chart out of nowhere,

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Speaker 5: seemingly and then became the guy you know heading into

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Speaker 5: the season, Fantasy football players have this irrational love.

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Speaker 3: Of Jordan Howard.

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Speaker 5: Maybe that ends now. Maybe that was the last time

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Speaker 5: we'll see Jordan Howard. I don't know what this dude

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Speaker 5: had to do over the last four seasons for us

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Speaker 5: to finally wake up to the fact that he was

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Speaker 5: just a guy. Actually went through my Twitter and looked

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Speaker 5: at all my Jordan Howard mentions over the last three years.

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Speaker 5: If you ever want something entertaining, do that. But you know,

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Speaker 5: we saw Miles Gaskin take the ball and run with it.

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Speaker 5: We saw the team willing to give him a three

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Speaker 5: down workload, and then you had a whole bunch of Jags,

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Speaker 5: Jordan Howard, Patrick Laird. You have a Perry who's a

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Speaker 5: converted college option quarterback, and then Matt Brada even as well,

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Speaker 5: who could be back this week. But I'm not convinced

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Speaker 5: Matt Brada is anything more than a change of pace guy.

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Speaker 5: The team gave Achmed twenty two touches this past week.

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Speaker 5: I think he gets another full workload in a game

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Speaker 5: where they should absolutely mop the floor with Denver. Denver

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Speaker 5: could have Brett Rippon under center.

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Speaker 3: With the way.

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Speaker 5: Miami's defense is playing, with the way that Achmed is playing,

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Speaker 5: he's really interesting. The other name on my list is

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Speaker 5: DeAndre Swift, and really it comes down to not just Okay, hey,

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Speaker 5: it's gonna happen next week. It already happened. He took

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Speaker 5: over in that backfield, it happened last week. Forty three

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Speaker 5: snaps for him, carry On Johnson nine snaps, Adrian Peterson

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Speaker 5: just seven.

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Speaker 3: You know, so now we have we have clarity here.

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Speaker 3: And how about Matt Patricia back up against the wall.

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Speaker 5: They were literally going to fire him if he lost

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Speaker 5: one more game, and he didn't, and now they're they're

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Speaker 5: starting to win.

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Speaker 4: Now.

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Speaker 3: They're not a great team, but they're playing better and

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Speaker 3: Swift is a big part of it.

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Speaker 5: So I think that he obviously as a player, not

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Speaker 5: just based on last week, but a player that we

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Speaker 5: obviously need to continue to be moving up in our

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Speaker 5: ranks and targeting in DFS.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, it's it's really been nice to see Swift come

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Speaker 2: on because entering the league, especially going through the combine

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Speaker 2: process and then going through the draft you could see

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Speaker 2: how athletic he was, and before he was drafted, he

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Speaker 2: was my number one player in dynasty rookie drafts. After

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Speaker 2: landing in Detroit, he fell down the board, but man,

435
00:20:31,520 --> 00:20:34,480
Speaker 2: he's he's really taken advantage of the opportunities that he's

436
00:20:34,520 --> 00:20:36,800
Speaker 2: gotten and he looks like he could be a future star,

437
00:20:36,960 --> 00:20:39,680
Speaker 2: which would be, you know, fantastic to see there. For

438
00:20:39,800 --> 00:20:43,639
Speaker 2: the Detroit Lions fans, Sean, who are you high on

439
00:20:43,800 --> 00:20:44,800
Speaker 2: at the running back position?

440
00:20:45,280 --> 00:20:47,760
Speaker 7: Well, I feel terrible because I know for a fact

441
00:20:47,840 --> 00:20:50,760
Speaker 7: I'm stealing ravebounds guys here, But if anything, that just

442
00:20:50,840 --> 00:20:52,920
Speaker 7: makes me feel better that I'm high on these guys.

443
00:20:53,000 --> 00:20:57,000
Speaker 7: But Michael p Ryan, you know, he's priced like they

444
00:20:57,080 --> 00:20:59,680
Speaker 7: didn't see the news last week where you know they're

445
00:20:59,760 --> 00:21:01,840
Speaker 7: they're anticipating him to be the feature back the rest

446
00:21:01,880 --> 00:21:05,119
Speaker 7: of the season because they're in talent evaluation mode. So

447
00:21:05,240 --> 00:21:07,440
Speaker 7: I love him at this price. You know, the lead

448
00:21:07,520 --> 00:21:11,320
Speaker 7: back for the Jets has a pretty limited ceiling, but

449
00:21:11,440 --> 00:21:13,000
Speaker 7: I think, you know, he should come close to that.

450
00:21:13,560 --> 00:21:16,240
Speaker 7: And then Duke Johnson, you know, Duke was just a

451
00:21:16,480 --> 00:21:19,359
Speaker 7: chalk bust last week to say the least, But you know,

452
00:21:20,080 --> 00:21:22,600
Speaker 7: he saw every single carry. I don't even know who

453
00:21:22,680 --> 00:21:25,439
Speaker 7: their backup is. We still don't know. And he ran

454
00:21:25,480 --> 00:21:29,480
Speaker 7: around on seventy four percent of dropbacks yet didn't haul

455
00:21:29,560 --> 00:21:31,760
Speaker 7: in a catch. So I think that changes this week.

456
00:21:31,880 --> 00:21:35,119
Speaker 7: People will probably off of them after last week. But

457
00:21:35,200 --> 00:21:37,160
Speaker 7: he's still too cheap at fifty four hundred, so I'm

458
00:21:37,200 --> 00:21:38,760
Speaker 7: doubling down on Duke Johnson this week.

459
00:21:39,560 --> 00:21:42,000
Speaker 2: All right, Well, this is great because Raybond has put

460
00:21:42,119 --> 00:21:45,800
Speaker 2: three names in the outline. Sean, you hit two of them,

461
00:21:46,200 --> 00:21:48,280
Speaker 2: and I'm going to hit the third one, Raymond. Sorry,

462
00:21:48,280 --> 00:21:49,919
Speaker 2: I'm just going to jump ahead of you in line here.

463
00:21:50,600 --> 00:21:53,119
Speaker 2: The guy I am pretty high on is Antonio Gibson,

464
00:21:53,680 --> 00:21:55,840
Speaker 2: and I'm looking at him as a mid range RB

465
00:21:55,960 --> 00:21:59,399
Speaker 2: one this week, which might really sound aggressive, and it is,

466
00:21:59,480 --> 00:22:01,680
Speaker 2: but if you take away the season opener, we're looking

467
00:22:01,720 --> 00:22:03,800
Speaker 2: at a guy in his past eight games who has

468
00:22:04,000 --> 00:22:07,560
Speaker 2: seven touchdowns and almost six hundred yards. He's getting goal

469
00:22:07,600 --> 00:22:10,240
Speaker 2: line opportunities, he has three and a half targets per game,

470
00:22:10,520 --> 00:22:13,480
Speaker 2: and he's going against a Bengals defense that is number

471
00:22:13,560 --> 00:22:18,000
Speaker 2: twenty five in PFF run defense grade. So I think

472
00:22:18,280 --> 00:22:20,280
Speaker 2: a lot of things are lining up for him. And

473
00:22:20,400 --> 00:22:24,680
Speaker 2: even though Jad McKissick is a very annoying thorn in

474
00:22:24,760 --> 00:22:28,719
Speaker 2: the side, getting way more snaps, way more targets than

475
00:22:28,760 --> 00:22:31,600
Speaker 2: I think he probably should be getting. I still see

476
00:22:32,320 --> 00:22:35,000
Speaker 2: a pretty high floor and a path to some upside

477
00:22:35,160 --> 00:22:37,800
Speaker 2: for Antonio Gibson this week, given the matchup and the

478
00:22:37,960 --> 00:22:40,240
Speaker 2: usage that he has, and then also just his all

479
00:22:40,280 --> 00:22:44,000
Speaker 2: around natural talent. Raymond, why don't you tell us the

480
00:22:44,080 --> 00:22:46,000
Speaker 2: three guys you are high on this week?

481
00:22:46,800 --> 00:22:50,800
Speaker 6: I mean, you guys just hit on him Gibson, Duke Johnson,

482
00:22:50,840 --> 00:22:53,040
Speaker 6: and Michael p Ryan. And I think with p Ryan,

483
00:22:53,200 --> 00:22:55,119
Speaker 6: the key is with Sean said, it's we got this

484
00:22:55,320 --> 00:22:58,200
Speaker 6: news that they're going to evaluate p Ryan for better

485
00:22:58,280 --> 00:23:01,160
Speaker 6: or worse, which means we should see him. We should

486
00:23:01,160 --> 00:23:03,119
Speaker 6: see them stick with him even if he doesn't have

487
00:23:03,359 --> 00:23:06,920
Speaker 6: the quote unquote hot hand in this matchup. He's their

488
00:23:06,960 --> 00:23:10,000
Speaker 6: best pass catching back regardless. So you know, even if

489
00:23:10,040 --> 00:23:13,320
Speaker 6: the game script gets away from the Jets against the Chargers,

490
00:23:13,320 --> 00:23:15,000
Speaker 6: who are I think at eight and a half point favorite,

491
00:23:15,400 --> 00:23:19,159
Speaker 6: we should still see decent production out of p Ryan. Remember,

492
00:23:19,320 --> 00:23:22,479
Speaker 6: we saw another kind of unheralded guy in Ahmed produce

493
00:23:22,960 --> 00:23:25,240
Speaker 6: last week to get the Chargers. So I like p

494
00:23:25,440 --> 00:23:27,600
Speaker 6: Ryan Duke agree. I think you just have to kind

495
00:23:27,600 --> 00:23:28,960
Speaker 6: of throw out last week with the Texas.

496
00:23:29,040 --> 00:23:30,440
Speaker 4: That was an odd game.

497
00:23:31,119 --> 00:23:34,480
Speaker 6: But you look at that backfield in Houston, whether it's

498
00:23:34,520 --> 00:23:38,280
Speaker 6: been Cronell or Bill O'Brien, it's been one guy really

499
00:23:38,359 --> 00:23:40,800
Speaker 6: in that backfield, and the number two back, who in

500
00:23:40,880 --> 00:23:41,800
Speaker 6: this case would be TJ.

501
00:23:41,960 --> 00:23:42,440
Speaker 4: Prosie.

502
00:23:42,480 --> 00:23:46,240
Speaker 6: I guess they haven't gotten usage. Duke Johnson handled every

503
00:23:46,280 --> 00:23:51,159
Speaker 6: single carry last week. So like Duke and then Gibson, Yeah, Freeman,

504
00:23:51,520 --> 00:23:54,800
Speaker 6: exactly what you said, you know, in this matchup. Really

505
00:23:54,920 --> 00:23:56,600
Speaker 6: the only thing that's been throwing down Gibson is the

506
00:23:56,640 --> 00:24:00,040
Speaker 6: fact that when Washington gets behind, which happens quite often.

507
00:24:00,359 --> 00:24:02,320
Speaker 4: They go to Jad McKissick.

508
00:24:02,359 --> 00:24:04,159
Speaker 6: I think Jad McKissick I want to say he had

509
00:24:04,200 --> 00:24:07,280
Speaker 6: eleven targets by halftime, Like the team had twenty one

510
00:24:07,320 --> 00:24:10,040
Speaker 6: targets at halftime last week against the Lions, of all people,

511
00:24:10,359 --> 00:24:12,399
Speaker 6: and McKissick had eleven of them. So if you just

512
00:24:12,480 --> 00:24:16,400
Speaker 6: have a situation where you have a relatively normal game script,

513
00:24:16,440 --> 00:24:19,320
Speaker 6: which could happen this week in what's projected to be

514
00:24:19,359 --> 00:24:22,440
Speaker 6: a tight game, then you have Gibson running a few

515
00:24:22,480 --> 00:24:25,160
Speaker 6: more routes because that's really been the struggle. He hasn't

516
00:24:25,160 --> 00:24:27,479
Speaker 6: gotten over thirty percent of the routes per drop back,

517
00:24:27,960 --> 00:24:30,800
Speaker 6: you know that or that far over it very consistently.

518
00:24:31,280 --> 00:24:33,720
Speaker 6: But he does look like that number one back you know,

519
00:24:33,760 --> 00:24:35,840
Speaker 6: when they're in close to the goal line. So the

520
00:24:35,960 --> 00:24:38,800
Speaker 6: less passing situations they could be in, the better it

521
00:24:38,920 --> 00:24:39,720
Speaker 6: is going to be Forgibson.

522
00:24:40,200 --> 00:24:43,959
Speaker 2: All right, Jeff, we have had Sean and Chris here

523
00:24:44,320 --> 00:24:46,280
Speaker 2: talk about how they like Duke Johnson. I believe that

524
00:24:46,320 --> 00:24:49,280
Speaker 2: you are relatively down on Duke Johnson this week the

525
00:24:49,440 --> 00:24:51,800
Speaker 2: drama on the show, and talk to us about why

526
00:24:52,000 --> 00:24:52,840
Speaker 2: you are down on him.

527
00:24:53,160 --> 00:24:55,240
Speaker 5: Yeah, I guess we're watching different things. By the way,

528
00:24:55,359 --> 00:24:57,760
Speaker 5: Jad McKissick twenty nine targets over the last two weeks.

529
00:24:57,800 --> 00:25:00,320
Speaker 5: He now has sixty one on the season. Only Kamara

530
00:25:00,440 --> 00:25:04,359
Speaker 5: has more. That's crazy, that is unbelievable. Last week I

531
00:25:04,400 --> 00:25:06,000
Speaker 5: was like, oh, he couldn't see there's no way he

532
00:25:06,040 --> 00:25:08,360
Speaker 5: sees fifteen. Again, why, I was right, he saw fourteen.

533
00:25:08,520 --> 00:25:09,399
Speaker 3: So there you go.

534
00:25:09,560 --> 00:25:11,760
Speaker 5: But yeah, Duke Johnson, man, I called him a poor

535
00:25:11,880 --> 00:25:15,000
Speaker 5: man's Giovanni bernard Gio. If you're watching or listening, I'm

536
00:25:15,040 --> 00:25:18,280
Speaker 5: sorry bro that maybe I offended you. I don't see

537
00:25:18,320 --> 00:25:19,959
Speaker 5: what everybody else is seeing it. In fact, I think

538
00:25:19,960 --> 00:25:22,080
Speaker 5: I'm seeing what all the coaching staffs have seen with

539
00:25:22,240 --> 00:25:24,359
Speaker 5: Duke Johnson over the course of his career. Since the

540
00:25:24,480 --> 00:25:27,119
Speaker 5: you nobody has believed in him as a as an

541
00:25:27,119 --> 00:25:30,720
Speaker 5: early down runner. And I mean last week was why

542
00:25:31,000 --> 00:25:34,880
Speaker 5: he couldn't do anything. He couldn't generate anything after contact.

543
00:25:35,000 --> 00:25:37,679
Speaker 5: He seemingly couldn't find the whole. I don't know if

544
00:25:37,720 --> 00:25:38,320
Speaker 5: I buy into it.

545
00:25:38,440 --> 00:25:38,879
Speaker 2: You know you can.

546
00:25:38,960 --> 00:25:40,600
Speaker 5: You can have volume, yeah, sure, he can give you

547
00:25:40,640 --> 00:25:42,879
Speaker 5: an Adrian Peterson line. He can have twenty carries for

548
00:25:42,960 --> 00:25:46,480
Speaker 5: forty yards. The volume's not worth it. Even in this

549
00:25:46,680 --> 00:25:49,440
Speaker 5: matchup with the Patriots. The Patriots running back or the

550
00:25:49,560 --> 00:25:53,560
Speaker 5: linebackers are so slow. He should, in theory, be a

551
00:25:53,680 --> 00:25:56,119
Speaker 5: good play. I'm just not willing to go that far

552
00:25:56,280 --> 00:25:58,800
Speaker 5: with him, so I put him on my list. I

553
00:25:59,119 --> 00:26:00,120
Speaker 5: also have Ronald.

554
00:26:00,119 --> 00:26:03,800
Speaker 3: Jones because we've been there before. We follow up the big.

555
00:26:03,760 --> 00:26:06,520
Speaker 5: Ronald Jones game with a Leonard Fournette or as I'm

556
00:26:06,560 --> 00:26:11,200
Speaker 5: calling him, Leonard four get game. Either way, I just

557
00:26:11,400 --> 00:26:12,919
Speaker 5: I don't know if we're going to see it against

558
00:26:12,960 --> 00:26:14,680
Speaker 5: the Rams. That's really what it comes down to. The

559
00:26:14,800 --> 00:26:17,320
Speaker 5: Rams are earlier in the season, they gave up that

560
00:26:17,440 --> 00:26:20,479
Speaker 5: decent game to Zeke, the bigger game to Miles Sanders,

561
00:26:20,560 --> 00:26:23,440
Speaker 5: but since then they've held pretty much most of the backfields,

562
00:26:23,440 --> 00:26:26,040
Speaker 5: with the exception of maybe San Francisco in check. So

563
00:26:26,119 --> 00:26:27,920
Speaker 5: I just don't know if we're going to see a

564
00:26:28,080 --> 00:26:32,320
Speaker 5: repeat performance. And sometimes people will overlook matchups since try

565
00:26:32,359 --> 00:26:35,160
Speaker 5: to chase last week's results. So I wouldn't recommend doing

566
00:26:35,200 --> 00:26:39,000
Speaker 5: that with Ron Jones, Sean, who are you low on?

567
00:26:41,359 --> 00:26:43,879
Speaker 7: I am low on Derrick Henry this week he's my

568
00:26:44,080 --> 00:26:46,640
Speaker 7: RB five. Obviously you're playing him season longe, but DFS

569
00:26:46,720 --> 00:26:50,320
Speaker 7: he's eight K and you know the O line has

570
00:26:50,320 --> 00:26:54,119
Speaker 7: been struggling ever since the Taylor Lawan injury. You know,

571
00:26:54,880 --> 00:26:57,480
Speaker 7: Henry has a brutal two games stretch coming up where

572
00:26:57,520 --> 00:27:00,600
Speaker 7: he's at Baltimore, who are first in DVA verse the run,

573
00:27:00,680 --> 00:27:04,760
Speaker 7: and then at Indy who are second and run in DVA.

574
00:27:04,960 --> 00:27:06,919
Speaker 7: So you know the Titans are seven point dogs here.

575
00:27:07,000 --> 00:27:10,480
Speaker 7: This isn't an ideal game script for Henry. Plus Jeremy

576
00:27:10,680 --> 00:27:13,440
Speaker 7: McNichols and Deontay Foreman had been eating into his workload,

577
00:27:13,520 --> 00:27:15,840
Speaker 7: which has been frustrating to say the least. So I

578
00:27:15,920 --> 00:27:18,879
Speaker 7: think you know, just lower expectations the next two games,

579
00:27:18,920 --> 00:27:20,960
Speaker 7: and then after that the schedule opens up and we

580
00:27:21,040 --> 00:27:24,639
Speaker 7: can expect another monster December from Henry, So you know,

581
00:27:24,720 --> 00:27:26,320
Speaker 7: it's kind of have to weather the storm right now.

582
00:27:27,000 --> 00:27:29,560
Speaker 7: And the other guy is Jonathan Taylor, who you know

583
00:27:29,720 --> 00:27:32,480
Speaker 7: I sounded Alarman a couple of weeks ago. But this

584
00:27:32,680 --> 00:27:35,280
Speaker 7: makes three straight games now where Jordan Wilkins his out

585
00:27:35,359 --> 00:27:38,600
Speaker 7: carried Taylor and nikem Hines out carried them both. This

586
00:27:38,760 --> 00:27:42,919
Speaker 7: week his passing usage hit rock bottom at twenty percent,

587
00:27:43,080 --> 00:27:46,640
Speaker 7: so you know, there just isn't any encouraging signs. He's

588
00:27:46,720 --> 00:27:48,320
Speaker 7: a must sit right now. I have him as RB

589
00:27:48,440 --> 00:27:51,880
Speaker 7: thirty one until we see any sort of signs of life.

590
00:27:51,920 --> 00:27:53,160
Speaker 7: We have to keep it on our bench.

591
00:27:53,359 --> 00:27:57,800
Speaker 2: In season one, Yeah, each week Jonathan Taylor presents new

592
00:27:57,920 --> 00:28:01,159
Speaker 2: bi LO opportunities. Actually, this guy is going to be

593
00:28:01,400 --> 00:28:04,119
Speaker 2: dead and we're still going to be talking about this

594
00:28:04,320 --> 00:28:06,960
Speaker 2: is the week to buy low on Jonathan Taylor. So

595
00:28:07,160 --> 00:28:09,800
Speaker 2: it's it's painful for everyone who is invested in him

596
00:28:09,840 --> 00:28:12,560
Speaker 2: to say the least Raybond, who are you low on?

597
00:28:13,160 --> 00:28:18,280
Speaker 6: So it was gonna be between Derreck, Henry, James Robinson

598
00:28:18,440 --> 00:28:21,280
Speaker 6: and Aaron Jones for me, you know, all three going

599
00:28:21,359 --> 00:28:24,760
Speaker 6: against pretty tough matchups on paper, but I'm gonna go

600
00:28:24,840 --> 00:28:29,080
Speaker 6: Aaron Jones here. The reason is late in that Baltimore

601
00:28:29,800 --> 00:28:33,480
Speaker 6: New England game the other night, we saw Brandon Williams

602
00:28:33,840 --> 00:28:36,520
Speaker 6: go down for Baltimore. He's a key run defender for them,

603
00:28:36,960 --> 00:28:39,120
Speaker 6: so it could be a little bit easier I think

604
00:28:39,200 --> 00:28:42,200
Speaker 6: for Henry, and then with Robinson, I mean, Chris Thompson

605
00:28:42,240 --> 00:28:45,800
Speaker 6: has gone down and Robinson's literally gotten every backfield carry

606
00:28:47,040 --> 00:28:49,840
Speaker 6: and run almost every route when Thompson's not around. So

607
00:28:50,560 --> 00:28:53,719
Speaker 6: those those two guys may still get there based on volume.

608
00:28:54,200 --> 00:28:56,480
Speaker 6: But Aaron Jones, we still have been seeing, you know,

609
00:28:56,560 --> 00:28:59,120
Speaker 6: even with Tyler Irvin going out of the game last week,

610
00:28:59,480 --> 00:29:01,920
Speaker 6: Jamal will Williams still kind of being that that one B.

611
00:29:02,320 --> 00:29:05,680
Speaker 6: And you're in a tough matchup against the Indianapolis Colts here,

612
00:29:05,960 --> 00:29:09,239
Speaker 6: who you know, have played just very good defense all year.

613
00:29:09,240 --> 00:29:11,160
Speaker 6: Because I don't I don't think their offense is actually

614
00:29:11,200 --> 00:29:13,480
Speaker 6: that great. They may be better with Pittman, you know,

615
00:29:13,720 --> 00:29:16,200
Speaker 6: being healthy, but you know, Derrick Henry kind of an

616
00:29:16,240 --> 00:29:19,920
Speaker 6: empty nineteen for one h three last week, and that

617
00:29:20,120 --> 00:29:24,280
Speaker 6: was the first guy that even surpassed sixty three, sorry,

618
00:29:24,320 --> 00:29:28,320
Speaker 6: seventy two yards against Indianapolis. So if Jones, you know,

619
00:29:28,440 --> 00:29:30,760
Speaker 6: isn't in on the right snaps and maybe Williams in

620
00:29:30,920 --> 00:29:33,480
Speaker 6: or you know, it could be it could be a

621
00:29:33,520 --> 00:29:35,640
Speaker 6: situation where he doesn't get the touchdown or he doesn't

622
00:29:35,680 --> 00:29:38,000
Speaker 6: get you know, enough catches. So I just think he's

623
00:29:38,000 --> 00:29:41,200
Speaker 6: a little too expensive up at seventy two in this matchup.

624
00:29:41,200 --> 00:29:42,520
Speaker 4: I would like to see him in the sixties. So

625
00:29:42,560 --> 00:29:43,640
Speaker 4: he's my rby sixth this.

626
00:29:43,680 --> 00:29:48,280
Speaker 2: Week, Rayvon, I was a gentleman this time. I let

627
00:29:48,320 --> 00:29:50,040
Speaker 2: you go first because I was also going to take

628
00:29:50,080 --> 00:29:54,640
Speaker 2: Aaron Jones, and everything you said I think is exactly right.

629
00:29:55,000 --> 00:29:58,040
Speaker 2: Road underdog. He shares the workload with Jamal Williams, and

630
00:29:58,120 --> 00:30:00,960
Speaker 2: the Colts have allowed the third He was fantasy points

631
00:30:01,040 --> 00:30:03,560
Speaker 2: to running backs. I think all the way around a

632
00:30:03,720 --> 00:30:06,040
Speaker 2: suboptimal situation. I mean, obviously, if you have him in

633
00:30:06,120 --> 00:30:08,720
Speaker 2: season long, you're starting him. He's still in RB one,

634
00:30:09,160 --> 00:30:11,240
Speaker 2: but I think he's on the lower end of the

635
00:30:11,400 --> 00:30:14,080
Speaker 2: RB one scale this week relative to where we normally

636
00:30:14,200 --> 00:30:17,680
Speaker 2: see him. Sean give us the running back prop.

637
00:30:18,200 --> 00:30:21,200
Speaker 7: Well, I was gonna force us to talk about JD mcizick,

638
00:30:21,240 --> 00:30:23,000
Speaker 7: but it sounds like we're going to have some passionate

639
00:30:23,120 --> 00:30:26,360
Speaker 7: mcauswick takes out there. So we're gonna go with j. D. McKissick.

640
00:30:26,440 --> 00:30:31,080
Speaker 7: Total receptions this week. You know, Jeff mentioned his insane

641
00:30:31,240 --> 00:30:33,560
Speaker 7: I think it's twenty nine targets past two games, and

642
00:30:33,640 --> 00:30:35,680
Speaker 7: it's actually pretty crazy. I think how many points he

643
00:30:35,760 --> 00:30:37,920
Speaker 7: actually left on the field. He had Alex Smith overthrow

644
00:30:38,000 --> 00:30:40,080
Speaker 7: them on one that would have been a touchdown, he

645
00:30:40,200 --> 00:30:43,520
Speaker 7: dropped another near the end zone. So just crazy potential.

646
00:30:43,560 --> 00:30:45,080
Speaker 7: And also it makes you wonder if you were to

647
00:30:45,120 --> 00:30:48,520
Speaker 7: miss time, Antonio Gibson would be a just a smash

648
00:30:48,680 --> 00:30:51,640
Speaker 7: RB one. Just any kind of passing U shouge in

649
00:30:51,760 --> 00:30:54,560
Speaker 7: this offense with Alex Smith is just fantasy gold.

650
00:30:54,640 --> 00:30:56,080
Speaker 3: So I mean, it's almost.

651
00:30:55,880 --> 00:30:58,000
Speaker 7: Impossible to cap this right now, but I have his

652
00:30:58,160 --> 00:30:59,760
Speaker 7: projected receptions at five and a.

653
00:30:59,760 --> 00:31:03,960
Speaker 6: Half under Oh okay, I have it at four and

654
00:31:04,040 --> 00:31:07,600
Speaker 6: then so this is the way I project these is.

655
00:31:07,680 --> 00:31:09,880
Speaker 6: I you know, I start with the quarterbacks completions and

656
00:31:09,960 --> 00:31:12,680
Speaker 6: then I have the routes projected, and mackissicks for the

657
00:31:12,760 --> 00:31:15,280
Speaker 6: year is run about fifty eight percent of the routes

658
00:31:15,320 --> 00:31:17,760
Speaker 6: to Gibson's thirty four and Barber's six percent per drop

659
00:31:17,880 --> 00:31:22,000
Speaker 6: back last two games. Mckissick's been seventy six percent and

660
00:31:22,040 --> 00:31:25,040
Speaker 6: sixty nine percent. But remember Washington got behind by what

661
00:31:25,160 --> 00:31:27,240
Speaker 6: was it, three scores to the Giants, and then Washington

662
00:31:27,320 --> 00:31:29,800
Speaker 6: got behind by three scores to the Lions and a

663
00:31:29,880 --> 00:31:32,719
Speaker 6: normal game script, which again where we have to kind

664
00:31:32,760 --> 00:31:35,320
Speaker 6: of project you expect it to be more in line

665
00:31:35,360 --> 00:31:38,720
Speaker 6: with his season number, which is about just under sixty percent.

666
00:31:38,800 --> 00:31:41,680
Speaker 6: So I haven't projected to run sixty percent of the routes,

667
00:31:42,240 --> 00:31:45,200
Speaker 6: which is double that of Gibson, and he's projecting out

668
00:31:45,200 --> 00:31:46,200
Speaker 6: to about four catches for.

669
00:31:46,280 --> 00:31:49,840
Speaker 2: Me, I will take. I mean, I have a strong

670
00:31:50,000 --> 00:31:52,080
Speaker 2: under here, Sean. You have it at five point five.

671
00:31:52,200 --> 00:31:55,040
Speaker 2: I have it literally projected at five point four, So

672
00:31:55,800 --> 00:31:57,600
Speaker 2: clearly I have to go under here.

673
00:31:58,000 --> 00:31:59,400
Speaker 5: Yeah, I think I'm going to do the same thing,

674
00:31:59,800 --> 00:32:03,360
Speaker 5: don't I don't know if they get behind to Cincinnati.

675
00:32:03,560 --> 00:32:07,560
Speaker 5: I mean, of course you say that and then it happens,

676
00:32:07,600 --> 00:32:10,360
Speaker 5: so I just don't necessarily see it happening here. I

677
00:32:10,640 --> 00:32:15,120
Speaker 5: still buy into Washington's defense. I mean, Chase Young has

678
00:32:15,600 --> 00:32:17,560
Speaker 5: kind of come back to the pack a little bit

679
00:32:17,600 --> 00:32:19,400
Speaker 5: after a really good start to the season, but the

680
00:32:19,480 --> 00:32:22,440
Speaker 5: secondary is a little bit better than advertised. So I

681
00:32:22,720 --> 00:32:24,760
Speaker 5: think that, you know, if we do see a game

682
00:32:24,840 --> 00:32:28,480
Speaker 5: where they're at least close, you know, sort of neutral

683
00:32:28,520 --> 00:32:30,440
Speaker 5: set up early, or if they get out to a lead,

684
00:32:30,840 --> 00:32:32,800
Speaker 5: that's going to take that out out of the mix

685
00:32:32,880 --> 00:32:35,520
Speaker 5: here for Alex Smith. And that's a big line. Anytime

686
00:32:35,560 --> 00:32:37,760
Speaker 5: you see a running back at five and a half receptions,

687
00:32:38,320 --> 00:32:40,880
Speaker 5: usually for me, it's an easy under. I'll make the play.

688
00:32:40,800 --> 00:32:43,800
Speaker 7: Under no matter what here though, Yeah, to be fair,

689
00:32:43,960 --> 00:32:46,560
Speaker 7: my production is five point two, but I can't offer

690
00:32:46,640 --> 00:32:48,160
Speaker 7: five point two as an overrunner.

691
00:32:48,200 --> 00:32:48,880
Speaker 3: That's why I moved it.

692
00:32:48,920 --> 00:32:51,000
Speaker 7: Up to five and a half. But even if you

693
00:32:51,080 --> 00:32:53,200
Speaker 7: look at to week look at week five, when Alex

694
00:32:53,240 --> 00:32:56,360
Speaker 7: Smith came in relief, I think half of his targets

695
00:32:56,400 --> 00:32:58,880
Speaker 7: were to JD McKissick. I think it's really an Alex

696
00:32:58,920 --> 00:33:01,720
Speaker 7: Smith thing. So I'm probably overweighting that a bit. But yeah,

697
00:33:01,760 --> 00:33:05,000
Speaker 7: I would say five and a half is I would

698
00:33:05,000 --> 00:33:06,800
Speaker 7: take your guys action on the under here. I think

699
00:33:06,840 --> 00:33:08,320
Speaker 7: he will go over.

700
00:33:08,800 --> 00:33:10,880
Speaker 2: That's what scares me, Like this feels like an Alvin

701
00:33:10,960 --> 00:33:13,640
Speaker 2: Kamara line where you look at five and a half

702
00:33:13,680 --> 00:33:15,400
Speaker 2: and you're like, oh, that's a really high number. But

703
00:33:15,520 --> 00:33:18,000
Speaker 2: there's no way you feel you can safely bet the

704
00:33:18,160 --> 00:33:21,640
Speaker 2: under because he's Alvin Kamara and at this point McKissick

705
00:33:22,080 --> 00:33:25,000
Speaker 2: like he's getting Alvin Kamara pass game treatment, which just

706
00:33:25,160 --> 00:33:28,800
Speaker 2: seems so unreal to say, but it feels like that's

707
00:33:28,880 --> 00:33:29,400
Speaker 2: where we are.

708
00:33:30,120 --> 00:33:30,400
Speaker 7: Sean.

709
00:33:30,440 --> 00:33:32,040
Speaker 6: I was gonna ask you, do you think the books

710
00:33:32,040 --> 00:33:34,240
Speaker 6: will also open this line at five and a half.

711
00:33:34,760 --> 00:33:38,080
Speaker 7: I would say five and a half with the under

712
00:33:38,160 --> 00:33:41,920
Speaker 7: being like minus one fifty, Okay, cool, next yeah, yeah,

713
00:33:42,160 --> 00:33:44,680
Speaker 7: or four and a half with the over being minus

714
00:33:44,720 --> 00:33:47,920
Speaker 7: one fifty, but I think five receptions would be you

715
00:33:48,000 --> 00:33:50,200
Speaker 7: know the projection here, and I mean just look at

716
00:33:50,240 --> 00:33:53,920
Speaker 7: how many he's hauled in. I mean twenty eight targets,

717
00:33:53,960 --> 00:33:55,600
Speaker 7: but he's only caught half of them, which is really

718
00:33:55,640 --> 00:33:58,640
Speaker 7: low for running back. So this is just a tricky projection.

719
00:33:58,720 --> 00:34:00,280
Speaker 7: That's why I wanted to flip this oud up there.

720
00:34:02,040 --> 00:34:04,400
Speaker 8: Hope you're enjoying this great action network podcast. I want

721
00:34:04,400 --> 00:34:06,520
Speaker 8: to make sure you know about the Locked On podcast

722
00:34:06,600 --> 00:34:09,919
Speaker 8: network Locked On as a daily podcast on your favorite team.

723
00:34:10,080 --> 00:34:11,799
Speaker 3: Welcome to you, Lockdown forty nine ers.

724
00:34:11,840 --> 00:34:13,520
Speaker 5: You are locked on of the Dallas Marriage Well caome

725
00:34:13,520 --> 00:34:14,800
Speaker 5: everybody for the Lockdown Lakers.

726
00:34:14,880 --> 00:34:15,960
Speaker 4: Podcast, Let's Go.

727
00:34:16,400 --> 00:34:19,279
Speaker 8: Locked On podcasts are hosted by the local experts who

728
00:34:19,360 --> 00:34:21,520
Speaker 8: know your team better than anyone and give you the

729
00:34:21,640 --> 00:34:24,400
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730
00:34:24,600 --> 00:34:28,880
Speaker 8: locked on your favorite team. Subscribe to your locked on podcast.

731
00:34:33,280 --> 00:34:36,080
Speaker 2: Let's talk about the wide receivers. The three guys at

732
00:34:36,080 --> 00:34:39,640
Speaker 2: the top of our rankings right now, Davante Adams, DeAndre

733
00:34:39,760 --> 00:34:45,120
Speaker 2: Hopkins and Tyreek Hill. Jeff, who do you think UH

734
00:34:45,680 --> 00:34:47,359
Speaker 2: should be in the top three for this week?

735
00:34:48,280 --> 00:34:51,200
Speaker 5: I think it's perfect, as is the way that Adams

736
00:34:51,280 --> 00:34:53,560
Speaker 5: has been playing just out of his mind. Should add

737
00:34:53,560 --> 00:34:56,640
Speaker 5: a second touchdown last week with that offensive holding called

738
00:34:56,719 --> 00:35:00,880
Speaker 5: unnecessary offensive holding. He's been phenomenal and all, you know,

739
00:35:00,960 --> 00:35:03,279
Speaker 5: we're seeing a little bit of a career renaissance in

740
00:35:03,360 --> 00:35:04,120
Speaker 5: Xavier Roads.

741
00:35:04,880 --> 00:35:07,440
Speaker 3: I don't it doesn't matter. It's DeVante Adams.

742
00:35:07,520 --> 00:35:11,440
Speaker 5: He's just completely on another level from you know, basically

743
00:35:11,480 --> 00:35:15,520
Speaker 5: every other receiver. Now that being said, DeAndre Hopkins makes

744
00:35:15,560 --> 00:35:18,000
Speaker 5: a play that I don't know how many receivers could

745
00:35:18,000 --> 00:35:21,359
Speaker 5: make that play triple covered. I mean if the ball

746
00:35:21,560 --> 00:35:24,640
Speaker 5: wasn't perfectly placed as well, So you know, obviously you

747
00:35:24,760 --> 00:35:27,040
Speaker 5: got to give credit where credits due on the Hail Murray,

748
00:35:27,239 --> 00:35:31,560
Speaker 5: but Tyreek as well against that that Vegas secondary, it's

749
00:35:31,960 --> 00:35:34,160
Speaker 5: I mean you're talking there. They're allowing to combine seventy

750
00:35:34,160 --> 00:35:36,440
Speaker 5: percent catch rates, so it's basically throw it and it's

751
00:35:36,480 --> 00:35:38,640
Speaker 5: gonna be caught. So I think that's all fair. I

752
00:35:38,680 --> 00:35:41,840
Speaker 5: wouldn't move Julio up. DK is going to be interesting

753
00:35:41,880 --> 00:35:43,720
Speaker 5: because we've got to keep an eye on Tyler Lockett

754
00:35:43,800 --> 00:35:46,560
Speaker 5: whether or not he's you know, he's gonna miss any

755
00:35:46,600 --> 00:35:51,279
Speaker 5: time with that injury. But DK against Arizona, the way

756
00:35:51,400 --> 00:35:54,040
Speaker 5: they defended him last time was they had Peterson on him,

757
00:35:54,080 --> 00:35:56,560
Speaker 5: but cloud coverage as well, so it wasn't just like, oh,

758
00:35:56,640 --> 00:36:00,480
Speaker 5: pat Patrick Peterson's a lockdown, No, they basically were, We're

759
00:36:00,680 --> 00:36:04,160
Speaker 5: defending him tough, which obviously opened things up for Lockett

760
00:36:04,160 --> 00:36:04,600
Speaker 5: in that game.

761
00:36:04,680 --> 00:36:06,160
Speaker 3: But you know, I'm not going to move him up.

762
00:36:06,160 --> 00:36:07,239
Speaker 3: I think it is perfect as.

763
00:36:07,160 --> 00:36:11,319
Speaker 2: It is, all right. So after those top three, who

764
00:36:11,400 --> 00:36:13,520
Speaker 2: are some guys that you are high on for this week?

765
00:36:14,000 --> 00:36:19,880
Speaker 5: It's an interesting week, relatively shocky in a lot of areas,

766
00:36:19,920 --> 00:36:22,440
Speaker 5: But I think Chase Claypool, you know, going off of

767
00:36:22,520 --> 00:36:25,719
Speaker 5: what I said about Ben Roethlisberger earlier, I'm looking at

768
00:36:25,760 --> 00:36:29,120
Speaker 5: the Steelers receiver who is going is most likely to

769
00:36:29,160 --> 00:36:31,680
Speaker 5: be targeted downfield. And when you look at the A

770
00:36:31,880 --> 00:36:35,279
Speaker 5: dot for both Deontay Johnson and Juju Smith Schuster, they're

771
00:36:35,320 --> 00:36:38,959
Speaker 5: both under ten yards. Claypool is closer to thirteen yards.

772
00:36:39,000 --> 00:36:41,640
Speaker 5: It's not like he's being targeted like Mike Williams numbers,

773
00:36:42,080 --> 00:36:44,920
Speaker 5: but still more likely receiver to be targeted downfield, the

774
00:36:44,960 --> 00:36:47,200
Speaker 5: more likely receiver for big playoff sides. So I do

775
00:36:47,440 --> 00:36:49,600
Speaker 5: like him, and I think that a lot of people

776
00:36:49,640 --> 00:36:53,839
Speaker 5: are going to be down on Robbie Anderson after last week.

777
00:36:54,600 --> 00:36:57,239
Speaker 5: But I don't know if I would go that far

778
00:36:57,440 --> 00:37:01,880
Speaker 5: with my fellow Temple University gradual. I don't know if

779
00:37:01,920 --> 00:37:04,120
Speaker 5: he actually graduated, if he left early. I'd have to

780
00:37:04,200 --> 00:37:08,000
Speaker 5: research that one. But regardless, it's all about Desmond Trufont.

781
00:37:08,080 --> 00:37:12,080
Speaker 5: This dude is toast. He is absolutely getting destroyed on

782
00:37:12,239 --> 00:37:14,759
Speaker 5: the field, and you know he's given up like a

783
00:37:14,800 --> 00:37:18,400
Speaker 5: seventy five percent catch eight this season. I don't care

784
00:37:18,440 --> 00:37:20,399
Speaker 5: if he shadows him or not. They have been using

785
00:37:20,440 --> 00:37:22,520
Speaker 5: truefont to shadow a little bit since he came back.

786
00:37:22,840 --> 00:37:25,600
Speaker 5: If he shadows Cool, if he doesn't shadow Cool, I

787
00:37:25,680 --> 00:37:29,280
Speaker 5: think Ando bounces back here in this matchup against Detroit.

788
00:37:30,040 --> 00:37:32,840
Speaker 2: Yeah, if you look at the the PFF grades for

789
00:37:33,320 --> 00:37:36,720
Speaker 2: Desmond Trufont, it's just all red all across his page.

790
00:37:36,800 --> 00:37:39,520
Speaker 2: It's I mean, it looks like a crime scene. The

791
00:37:39,880 --> 00:37:42,279
Speaker 2: one thing, Jeff, and not that I want to push

792
00:37:42,440 --> 00:37:44,360
Speaker 2: back on this a little bit, but I kind of

793
00:37:44,400 --> 00:37:47,640
Speaker 2: want to question it. I have Anderson as someone I'm

794
00:37:47,680 --> 00:37:51,279
Speaker 2: a little bit hesitant about and it, so I'm looking

795
00:37:51,320 --> 00:37:53,680
Speaker 2: at Trufont, who has been bad, but I don't know

796
00:37:53,760 --> 00:37:57,640
Speaker 2: if Trufont is actually much worse than the other cornerbacks

797
00:37:57,719 --> 00:38:00,400
Speaker 2: out there for the Lions. And then the big thing

798
00:38:00,520 --> 00:38:03,440
Speaker 2: is that with Teddy Bridgewater injured, we kind of have

799
00:38:03,560 --> 00:38:05,880
Speaker 2: to see what happens with that injury. But I'm a

800
00:38:05,960 --> 00:38:08,640
Speaker 2: little bit concerned that the drop off from Teddy Bridgewater

801
00:38:08,719 --> 00:38:12,040
Speaker 2: to PJ Walker might be more than we would expect.

802
00:38:12,120 --> 00:38:12,279
Speaker 7: Now.

803
00:38:12,760 --> 00:38:15,759
Speaker 2: On the one hand, PJ Walker was great in five

804
00:38:15,880 --> 00:38:19,760
Speaker 2: Games of xfl Action, and he does have the hashtag

805
00:38:19,880 --> 00:38:22,480
Speaker 2: Shower narrative going with him, and that he was the

806
00:38:22,560 --> 00:38:26,960
Speaker 2: Temple quarterback throwing to Robbie Anderson when Anderson broke out,

807
00:38:27,760 --> 00:38:30,919
Speaker 2: So they do have this long standing connection and maybe

808
00:38:30,960 --> 00:38:34,680
Speaker 2: that is something that Anderson can leverage to his benefit.

809
00:38:34,800 --> 00:38:36,560
Speaker 2: But I'm just a little bit worried that the drop

810
00:38:36,960 --> 00:38:41,160
Speaker 2: from Bridgewater to PJ Walker is something that will impact

811
00:38:41,320 --> 00:38:44,560
Speaker 2: Anderson and make him more of a high end wide

812
00:38:44,600 --> 00:38:47,160
Speaker 2: receiver two instead of a low end wide receiver one.

813
00:38:47,600 --> 00:38:48,719
Speaker 3: Yeah, I feel you there.

814
00:38:48,800 --> 00:38:51,640
Speaker 5: You know, we did see PJ Walker Philip Walker or

815
00:38:51,680 --> 00:38:53,400
Speaker 5: whatever you want to call him earlier in the season,

816
00:38:53,680 --> 00:38:56,799
Speaker 5: and the first play he was in boom end zone

817
00:38:56,840 --> 00:38:59,920
Speaker 5: shot to Robbie Anderson, So there is something to that.

818
00:39:00,920 --> 00:39:02,719
Speaker 5: I'm intrigued here, and I'm glad you brought up the

819
00:39:02,840 --> 00:39:05,759
Speaker 5: XFL shout out to everybody who played dfs XFL and

820
00:39:06,080 --> 00:39:09,040
Speaker 5: even the five of you who played season long XFL.

821
00:39:09,360 --> 00:39:12,319
Speaker 5: But he was so good, so mobile, and I think

822
00:39:12,360 --> 00:39:14,880
Speaker 5: a little bit of a better passer than people realize.

823
00:39:14,920 --> 00:39:16,320
Speaker 5: You know, you really didn't have much time with the

824
00:39:16,400 --> 00:39:18,600
Speaker 5: Colts on the field, so we didn't get to see

825
00:39:18,719 --> 00:39:20,839
Speaker 5: much of him. I don't know if it's that big

826
00:39:20,920 --> 00:39:22,040
Speaker 5: of a drop. It's a drop off.

827
00:39:22,160 --> 00:39:22,960
Speaker 3: Teddy is doing a.

828
00:39:23,120 --> 00:39:25,960
Speaker 5: Very efficient job in that offense, but maybe PJ gives

829
00:39:26,000 --> 00:39:28,360
Speaker 5: him a little bit more upside as well. So I

830
00:39:28,520 --> 00:39:31,000
Speaker 5: agree with your take. Season long still front end wide

831
00:39:31,040 --> 00:39:33,840
Speaker 5: receiver two, but I think that in season long, especially,

832
00:39:33,880 --> 00:39:36,160
Speaker 5: people look back to last week they say, oh DJ

833
00:39:36,360 --> 00:39:39,560
Speaker 5: Moore is back. See we're right all along, Robbie Anderson

834
00:39:39,640 --> 00:39:41,160
Speaker 5: is going to fade, And I don't think that's the case.

835
00:39:41,440 --> 00:39:44,359
Speaker 5: Anderson is almost consistently, with the exception of last week

836
00:39:44,400 --> 00:39:47,520
Speaker 5: against a very good Bucks defense, been the top target

837
00:39:47,640 --> 00:39:49,840
Speaker 5: week in and week out, and I don't see that changing.

838
00:39:50,400 --> 00:39:53,200
Speaker 2: All right, Ravon, who are you relatively high on this week?

839
00:39:53,840 --> 00:39:57,000
Speaker 4: So I actually do like DJ Moore in this matchup.

840
00:39:57,080 --> 00:39:58,919
Speaker 6: I think that you know, both of what you guys

841
00:39:58,960 --> 00:40:02,920
Speaker 6: said about rob is valid, but DJ Moore either way,

842
00:40:03,120 --> 00:40:08,480
Speaker 6: is the cheaper option here. And you know, Detroit, like Friedman,

843
00:40:08,520 --> 00:40:11,160
Speaker 6: you said, their cornerbacks are bad across the board. And

844
00:40:11,280 --> 00:40:14,520
Speaker 6: the thing about Carolina is we've seen they're gonna get yards.

845
00:40:14,760 --> 00:40:17,400
Speaker 6: I mean they they have a they have a pretty

846
00:40:17,440 --> 00:40:19,480
Speaker 6: bad defense, or a defense that's gonna give up you know,

847
00:40:19,600 --> 00:40:21,359
Speaker 6: points at least done it going down the other way.

848
00:40:21,640 --> 00:40:22,960
Speaker 4: So somebody's got to get yards.

849
00:40:23,120 --> 00:40:25,200
Speaker 6: We'll see about Christian McCaffrey, but if he's out, I

850
00:40:25,200 --> 00:40:27,920
Speaker 6: think that's even more exacerbated the tight end. Ian Thomas

851
00:40:28,280 --> 00:40:31,040
Speaker 6: hasn't really done anything this year, so you're really you

852
00:40:31,120 --> 00:40:34,120
Speaker 6: really have a concentrated kind of passing game here. So

853
00:40:34,280 --> 00:40:36,759
Speaker 6: if it's not Robbie, it's DJ, and it's probably gonna

854
00:40:36,800 --> 00:40:39,680
Speaker 6: be both, to be honest. But another duo, you know,

855
00:40:39,760 --> 00:40:44,000
Speaker 6: speaking of duos, who I really like is these Minnesota

856
00:40:44,040 --> 00:40:47,880
Speaker 6: receivers going against Dallas. This is another situation where you know,

857
00:40:47,920 --> 00:40:50,600
Speaker 6: the Minnesota passing game doesn't really you know, light us up,

858
00:40:50,680 --> 00:40:51,960
Speaker 6: you know, white your eyes up, You're like, oh, I

859
00:40:52,000 --> 00:40:52,879
Speaker 6: got to play these guys.

860
00:40:52,920 --> 00:40:55,480
Speaker 4: But you look at THEO and and he's actually his cheapest.

861
00:40:55,520 --> 00:40:58,160
Speaker 6: He's been on a main slate all season at sixty

862
00:40:58,200 --> 00:41:00,200
Speaker 6: three hundred with the pricing coming out before for the

863
00:41:00,239 --> 00:41:01,000
Speaker 6: Monday night game.

864
00:41:01,600 --> 00:41:03,640
Speaker 4: And then Justin Jefferson is at six k.

865
00:41:03,760 --> 00:41:05,960
Speaker 6: And both of these guys are in a matchup where

866
00:41:06,040 --> 00:41:09,360
Speaker 6: Dallas has been, you know, just getting toasted by wide receivers.

867
00:41:09,360 --> 00:41:11,560
Speaker 6: They're giving up the third most schedule adjusted yards to

868
00:41:11,680 --> 00:41:15,680
Speaker 6: number one receivers eighty seven point three, and then their

869
00:41:15,760 --> 00:41:19,160
Speaker 6: number thirty two in DVOA.

870
00:41:19,000 --> 00:41:22,280
Speaker 4: Against number two receivers. So with you know, er Smith's

871
00:41:22,400 --> 00:41:23,160
Speaker 4: kind of banged up.

872
00:41:23,239 --> 00:41:26,080
Speaker 6: You know, Cousins is looking coming into that game over

873
00:41:26,200 --> 00:41:29,680
Speaker 6: fifty percent of the targets to Dewan and Jefferson, and

874
00:41:29,800 --> 00:41:33,280
Speaker 6: I think that'll continue here in this in this matchup,

875
00:41:33,320 --> 00:41:35,600
Speaker 6: even if you know it's not like a high volume

876
00:41:35,640 --> 00:41:38,319
Speaker 6: passing game. And then one more is Jacoby Myers going

877
00:41:38,360 --> 00:41:41,200
Speaker 6: against Houston. If last week didn't kind of convince us

878
00:41:41,239 --> 00:41:43,440
Speaker 6: that Jacoby Myers is going to be the guy for

879
00:41:43,640 --> 00:41:46,680
Speaker 6: New England catching the football. I mean, you're against going

880
00:41:46,680 --> 00:41:49,960
Speaker 6: against a tough Baltimore cornerback group. You know, you just

881
00:41:50,080 --> 00:41:53,799
Speaker 6: traded for a guy in Isaiah Ford. He doesn't really play.

882
00:41:54,360 --> 00:41:57,360
Speaker 6: Bird and Harry play and they don't get targeted. Myers

883
00:41:57,440 --> 00:42:00,160
Speaker 6: not only gets you know, another five catches for for

884
00:42:00,640 --> 00:42:03,720
Speaker 6: fifty nine and sixty yards, but he also throws a touchdown.

885
00:42:03,920 --> 00:42:06,440
Speaker 6: He's going to kind of be I think a centerpiece

886
00:42:06,719 --> 00:42:07,960
Speaker 6: or the centerpiece of.

887
00:42:08,040 --> 00:42:09,520
Speaker 4: This pass passing offense.

888
00:42:09,880 --> 00:42:13,239
Speaker 6: You have the tight ends really not doing anything as

889
00:42:13,320 --> 00:42:15,960
Speaker 6: far as catching the ball or even running many routes.

890
00:42:16,120 --> 00:42:18,160
Speaker 6: And you're also playing James White a little bit less,

891
00:42:18,160 --> 00:42:20,600
Speaker 6: which helps the receivers because White is such a high

892
00:42:20,640 --> 00:42:23,480
Speaker 6: target per route run guy that the less he plays,

893
00:42:23,800 --> 00:42:26,520
Speaker 6: the better it is for a guy like Myers, you know,

894
00:42:26,640 --> 00:42:29,600
Speaker 6: and for Cam to look downfield, and there's clearly a

895
00:42:29,719 --> 00:42:32,360
Speaker 6: rapport there, so like Myers to keep it going this

896
00:42:32,440 --> 00:42:33,760
Speaker 6: week against Houston.

897
00:42:34,320 --> 00:42:37,239
Speaker 2: Yeah, Myers might have a matchup in shadow coverage with

898
00:42:37,320 --> 00:42:39,680
Speaker 2: Bradley Roby, maybe not, just kind of depending on how

899
00:42:39,719 --> 00:42:41,800
Speaker 2: the Texans wing to use him. But even if he

900
00:42:41,840 --> 00:42:43,600
Speaker 2: does go against him, I really don't know how much

901
00:42:43,680 --> 00:42:47,480
Speaker 2: that matters. So I mean volume kind of dictates everything,

902
00:42:47,560 --> 00:42:50,320
Speaker 2: and even you know, if he's going against Roby, he

903
00:42:50,360 --> 00:42:52,480
Speaker 2: should still be getting his target. So yeah, Myers is

904
00:42:52,640 --> 00:42:55,560
Speaker 2: very interesting this week. Sean, who are you high on?

905
00:42:56,120 --> 00:42:59,040
Speaker 7: So I'm sticking with kJ Hammler as a sneaky GP

906
00:42:59,160 --> 00:43:02,359
Speaker 7: play again this week at thirty six hundred. Now, last year,

907
00:43:02,800 --> 00:43:05,480
Speaker 7: like I'd flag a guy's you know, potential breakout and

908
00:43:05,560 --> 00:43:07,640
Speaker 7: it would be the next game where he would go off.

909
00:43:07,719 --> 00:43:10,319
Speaker 7: So that's why I'm doubling down on Hammler this week.

910
00:43:10,400 --> 00:43:12,879
Speaker 7: You know, he saw ten plus targets again last week.

911
00:43:13,320 --> 00:43:15,480
Speaker 7: Didn't have a great line, but that the potential's there.

912
00:43:15,560 --> 00:43:18,680
Speaker 7: He's running over ninety percent of routes run per dropback

913
00:43:18,719 --> 00:43:21,839
Speaker 7: now actually ninety percent out of the slot, which is good.

914
00:43:22,000 --> 00:43:24,359
Speaker 7: Going into this matchup against Miami. He should be able

915
00:43:24,400 --> 00:43:27,239
Speaker 7: to avoid Xavian Howard and Byron Jones. I think it

916
00:43:27,320 --> 00:43:29,080
Speaker 7: sets up well for him. Well, we'll have to see

917
00:43:29,160 --> 00:43:32,520
Speaker 7: Drew Locke's health later in the week. I could, you know,

918
00:43:32,640 --> 00:43:34,239
Speaker 7: be a little bit more down on Hammler going to this,

919
00:43:34,360 --> 00:43:36,240
Speaker 7: but I think he's he's one of the most talented

920
00:43:36,320 --> 00:43:38,920
Speaker 7: rookies and you know, do for a breakout at this

921
00:43:39,120 --> 00:43:42,360
Speaker 7: price anyway, at thirty six hundred on DK And the

922
00:43:42,440 --> 00:43:44,840
Speaker 7: other guy is Josh Reynolds. He plays Monday night, so

923
00:43:44,960 --> 00:43:48,440
Speaker 7: this is season long, but you know, he's legit the

924
00:43:48,520 --> 00:43:50,839
Speaker 7: number three receiver in this offense. I would say ever

925
00:43:50,920 --> 00:43:54,360
Speaker 7: since Week three he's been, you know, averaging over eighty

926
00:43:54,600 --> 00:43:57,360
Speaker 7: to ninety percent of routes run per drop back. And

927
00:43:57,400 --> 00:43:59,319
Speaker 7: now that Cooper Cup's a little bit banged up, they've

928
00:43:59,320 --> 00:44:00,640
Speaker 7: been leaning on him a little bit more.

929
00:44:00,719 --> 00:44:00,759
Speaker 6: So.

930
00:44:00,880 --> 00:44:03,240
Speaker 7: This is three straight games now with eight plus targets.

931
00:44:03,560 --> 00:44:05,520
Speaker 7: He's just a little bit under the radar, but you know,

932
00:44:05,680 --> 00:44:07,440
Speaker 7: in season long leagues, I think he's a low one

933
00:44:07,440 --> 00:44:10,960
Speaker 7: wide receiver, three potential flex play. This matchup at Tampa

934
00:44:11,000 --> 00:44:12,759
Speaker 7: Bay is an ideal, but he's just the guy to

935
00:44:12,840 --> 00:44:14,440
Speaker 7: keep on your radar and make sure that he's not

936
00:44:14,480 --> 00:44:16,000
Speaker 7: available in any of your leagues.

937
00:44:16,400 --> 00:44:18,600
Speaker 2: I mean Reynolds at this point is almost something of

938
00:44:18,719 --> 00:44:22,200
Speaker 2: like a co number two wide receiver with Robert Woods.

939
00:44:22,239 --> 00:44:24,120
Speaker 2: As weird as that sounds to say, but just in

940
00:44:24,239 --> 00:44:27,240
Speaker 2: terms of the way that they're being targeted, it's pretty

941
00:44:27,280 --> 00:44:30,080
Speaker 2: similar at this point. A guy I'm relatively high on

942
00:44:30,239 --> 00:44:33,280
Speaker 2: in this Raymond. It kind of dovetails with you talking

943
00:44:33,360 --> 00:44:36,600
Speaker 2: about Adam Thielen and Justin Jefferson. If we are assuming

944
00:44:36,719 --> 00:44:39,919
Speaker 2: that those guys go off, and you could easily see

945
00:44:39,960 --> 00:44:42,680
Speaker 2: how that happens, I could see the Cowboys needing to

946
00:44:42,719 --> 00:44:45,000
Speaker 2: pass the ball, and that makes me think that Amari

947
00:44:45,120 --> 00:44:47,840
Speaker 2: Cooper could be someone I am interested in. And I

948
00:44:47,960 --> 00:44:53,440
Speaker 2: understand the wave of warranted pessimism regarding the Cowboys offense,

949
00:44:53,520 --> 00:44:56,680
Speaker 2: but Andy Dalton is slated to return, the Cowboys are

950
00:44:56,760 --> 00:44:58,840
Speaker 2: coming off of the by they should be healthier, and

951
00:44:58,920 --> 00:45:01,439
Speaker 2: the Vikings they're on rest because they played on Monday

952
00:45:01,480 --> 00:45:04,600
Speaker 2: Night football, and they are still starting three backups at

953
00:45:04,719 --> 00:45:07,560
Speaker 2: cornerback and they've allowed the fourth most fantasy points to

954
00:45:07,600 --> 00:45:09,960
Speaker 2: wide receivers. So I mean, I don't want to be

955
00:45:10,400 --> 00:45:14,279
Speaker 2: like super invested in Amari Cooper, but if you have him,

956
00:45:14,719 --> 00:45:17,440
Speaker 2: I still think that you start him in this spot.

957
00:45:17,880 --> 00:45:20,120
Speaker 2: Jeff who are you relatively low on?

958
00:45:21,000 --> 00:45:24,760
Speaker 5: I'm trying to figure out how one throws a bike

959
00:45:24,880 --> 00:45:28,600
Speaker 5: at somebody. I don't know how Antonio Brown managed to

960
00:45:28,719 --> 00:45:31,600
Speaker 5: do that. It doesn't really compute in my head. I

961
00:45:31,640 --> 00:45:33,319
Speaker 5: don't know if it's If it's like a kid's bike,

962
00:45:33,360 --> 00:45:36,320
Speaker 5: then it makes sense, but like a full ten speed

963
00:45:36,520 --> 00:45:38,760
Speaker 5: or whatever, that's that's quite an effort.

964
00:45:39,320 --> 00:45:40,279
Speaker 3: But he's a.

965
00:45:41,960 --> 00:45:44,040
Speaker 2: He trains for stuff like this.

966
00:45:44,239 --> 00:45:45,040
Speaker 3: That's true.

967
00:45:45,120 --> 00:45:48,240
Speaker 5: Yeah, I guess I didn't factor that into my model,

968
00:45:48,360 --> 00:45:52,279
Speaker 5: but I think that he's just he's a downgrade this

969
00:45:52,400 --> 00:45:53,359
Speaker 5: week across the board.

970
00:45:53,440 --> 00:45:54,239
Speaker 3: It's a downgrade.

971
00:45:54,880 --> 00:45:57,839
Speaker 5: We saw two weeks ago that if a team has

972
00:45:58,000 --> 00:46:01,560
Speaker 5: the Bucks number that they are going to struggle, right

973
00:46:01,719 --> 00:46:04,520
Speaker 5: and and you know, the Saints certainly have their number.

974
00:46:05,360 --> 00:46:08,319
Speaker 3: Do the Rams or Rams seemingly have everybody's number right now?

975
00:46:08,840 --> 00:46:10,680
Speaker 5: The one thing that is working in their favor is

976
00:46:10,719 --> 00:46:13,680
Speaker 5: that game was after Tom Brady's bedtime at eight thirty,

977
00:46:13,800 --> 00:46:16,000
Speaker 5: So maybe that changes things a little bit here.

978
00:46:16,719 --> 00:46:19,360
Speaker 3: But I just I look at those guys.

979
00:46:19,560 --> 00:46:22,480
Speaker 5: Not only are they sort of cannibalizing off of each other,

980
00:46:23,560 --> 00:46:25,759
Speaker 5: but the matchup is really tough. I don't and and

981
00:46:25,880 --> 00:46:27,640
Speaker 5: the Rams are in a great position where you know

982
00:46:27,840 --> 00:46:30,280
Speaker 5: historically last year it's like, oh, well we need Ramsey

983
00:46:30,320 --> 00:46:30,680
Speaker 5: to shadow.

984
00:46:30,760 --> 00:46:31,160
Speaker 3: No, they don't.

985
00:46:31,160 --> 00:46:33,000
Speaker 5: They don't need them to shadow. They they're good all

986
00:46:33,040 --> 00:46:35,800
Speaker 5: across the board. So it's going to be a tough matchup.

987
00:46:36,320 --> 00:46:38,480
Speaker 5: So I'm downgrading all three of them in season long,

988
00:46:38,520 --> 00:46:40,520
Speaker 5: you're probably in a position where you have to use them,

989
00:46:40,600 --> 00:46:43,880
Speaker 5: but not looking at any builds with those guys in DFS.

990
00:46:44,360 --> 00:46:46,920
Speaker 2: All right, Raybond, who are you relatively low on?

991
00:46:47,640 --> 00:46:48,239
Speaker 4: AJ Brown?

992
00:46:48,719 --> 00:46:51,440
Speaker 6: AJ Brown you know has been for much of the

993
00:46:51,560 --> 00:46:56,640
Speaker 6: year just phenomenal, but you know, going against this Ravens defense,

994
00:46:56,680 --> 00:46:58,880
Speaker 6: I think this will be a little bit of a

995
00:46:58,960 --> 00:47:01,799
Speaker 6: tougher matchup for him. They do have those top those

996
00:47:01,840 --> 00:47:04,560
Speaker 6: three corners, and they did get a little weekend, I

997
00:47:04,600 --> 00:47:07,120
Speaker 6: think in their run defense with Williams, So I could

998
00:47:07,160 --> 00:47:09,600
Speaker 6: see a kind of weaning on the run and we

999
00:47:09,760 --> 00:47:12,359
Speaker 6: kind of saw what a down game for Tannehill really

1000
00:47:12,400 --> 00:47:15,000
Speaker 6: looks like last week, and you know, I think we

1001
00:47:15,040 --> 00:47:19,040
Speaker 6: could see this somewhat of a similar version again. So

1002
00:47:19,239 --> 00:47:23,360
Speaker 6: I have Brown down to a wide receiver eighteen this

1003
00:47:23,520 --> 00:47:26,880
Speaker 6: week and also the last two weeks for whatever reason,

1004
00:47:27,000 --> 00:47:30,960
Speaker 6: he hasn't been in on quite as many dropbacks as

1005
00:47:31,000 --> 00:47:33,120
Speaker 6: you'd expect for a number one receiver. Now, part part

1006
00:47:33,120 --> 00:47:35,000
Speaker 6: of that is due to Tennessee runs a lot of

1007
00:47:35,040 --> 00:47:37,960
Speaker 6: one wide sets where they'll play, you know, three tight

1008
00:47:38,120 --> 00:47:40,719
Speaker 6: ends and Corey Davis sometimes will be on the field

1009
00:47:40,760 --> 00:47:42,440
Speaker 6: instead of Brown or one of the other guys. And

1010
00:47:42,760 --> 00:47:45,799
Speaker 6: so it's been eighty percent and eighty seven eighty seven

1011
00:47:45,840 --> 00:47:48,080
Speaker 6: percent excuse me, of routes run per drop back the

1012
00:47:48,200 --> 00:47:50,680
Speaker 6: last two weeks, and for the season it's also.

1013
00:47:50,560 --> 00:47:51,480
Speaker 4: Eighty seven percent.

1014
00:47:51,920 --> 00:47:54,440
Speaker 6: So most number one wide receivers are getting you know,

1015
00:47:54,600 --> 00:47:57,640
Speaker 6: ninety five percent. Plus they'll maybe miss a player too,

1016
00:47:57,680 --> 00:47:59,640
Speaker 6: if they hit a deep ball or whatever, they might

1017
00:47:59,680 --> 00:48:02,879
Speaker 6: come out. But Brown's been a little lower, So I'm

1018
00:48:02,920 --> 00:48:04,160
Speaker 6: down at him this week, and I think he's a

1019
00:48:04,160 --> 00:48:06,600
Speaker 6: little overpriced there at seventy two hundred.

1020
00:48:07,200 --> 00:48:09,960
Speaker 2: Sean, I believe that you are also low on A. J.

1021
00:48:10,080 --> 00:48:10,680
Speaker 2: Brown this week.

1022
00:48:11,160 --> 00:48:12,719
Speaker 7: Yeah, I'm low on A J. Brown as well, and

1023
00:48:12,960 --> 00:48:15,520
Speaker 7: I would say he's way overpriced at seventy two hundred

1024
00:48:15,640 --> 00:48:17,800
Speaker 7: on DK. I have him all the way down to

1025
00:48:17,840 --> 00:48:20,960
Speaker 7: a wide receiver twenty four. You know, I think he's

1026
00:48:21,000 --> 00:48:23,800
Speaker 7: just touchdown de Pennant this week. And you know, the

1027
00:48:23,840 --> 00:48:25,520
Speaker 7: Titans have the fifth lowest team total.

1028
00:48:25,640 --> 00:48:26,920
Speaker 3: So what does that tell you?

1029
00:48:27,560 --> 00:48:30,560
Speaker 7: Just you know, play him in season long, but just

1030
00:48:30,600 --> 00:48:34,040
Speaker 7: lower your expectations considerably. And then I'm also low on

1031
00:48:34,200 --> 00:48:37,399
Speaker 7: Michael Thomas. You know, he's seventy three hundred on DK.

1032
00:48:38,920 --> 00:48:41,239
Speaker 7: I think Jeff mentioned this earlier. When it comes to

1033
00:48:41,320 --> 00:48:43,560
Speaker 7: Lamar Jackson, you know, people keep waiting for him to

1034
00:48:44,040 --> 00:48:46,239
Speaker 7: bounce back to his twenty nineteen version. I think we

1035
00:48:46,400 --> 00:48:48,840
Speaker 7: just have to accept his twenty twenty version as is.

1036
00:48:49,239 --> 00:48:50,760
Speaker 7: I think people are gonna have to come to grips

1037
00:48:50,800 --> 00:48:53,680
Speaker 7: with Michael Thomas as well. He's he's an elite wide

1038
00:48:53,680 --> 00:48:56,560
Speaker 7: receiver too, That's the way I described him, but you know,

1039
00:48:56,640 --> 00:48:59,040
Speaker 7: they're spreading it around a lot more. It looked like

1040
00:48:59,120 --> 00:49:01,200
Speaker 7: he and Jamis were not on the same page. And

1041
00:49:01,320 --> 00:49:03,880
Speaker 7: a guy like Michael Thomas does depend on high volume.

1042
00:49:03,960 --> 00:49:06,040
Speaker 7: He's not a huge yards per catch guy, not a

1043
00:49:06,160 --> 00:49:09,239
Speaker 7: huge touchdown guy, so all these elements, you know, I

1044
00:49:09,400 --> 00:49:11,920
Speaker 7: just see him as just a solid wide receiver too.

1045
00:49:12,040 --> 00:49:15,279
Speaker 7: So going forward, I think, especially in DFS at seventy

1046
00:49:15,360 --> 00:49:18,120
Speaker 7: three hundred, he just doesn't warrant that price. It's going

1047
00:49:18,200 --> 00:49:20,640
Speaker 7: to take him to drop in the low six k

1048
00:49:21,280 --> 00:49:23,600
Speaker 7: range before I'm on him in DFS.

1049
00:49:24,000 --> 00:49:27,720
Speaker 2: Right looking at AJ Brown and I mentioned Robbie Anderson earlier.

1050
00:49:27,960 --> 00:49:31,040
Speaker 2: AJ Brown, I'm with you, guys relatively low on him,

1051
00:49:31,080 --> 00:49:33,719
Speaker 2: and it will be intriguing to see exactly how the

1052
00:49:33,840 --> 00:49:37,800
Speaker 2: Ravens match up with him. Jimmy Smith, who normally plays

1053
00:49:37,840 --> 00:49:40,279
Speaker 2: on the perimeter, was out last week, and so they

1054
00:49:40,400 --> 00:49:43,480
Speaker 2: moved Marlin Humphrey, who normally plays corner in the slot,

1055
00:49:43,600 --> 00:49:46,440
Speaker 2: they moved him to the perimeter. And so if Smith

1056
00:49:46,560 --> 00:49:49,200
Speaker 2: is out once again this week, I think we will

1057
00:49:49,280 --> 00:49:52,319
Speaker 2: have Humphrey going against AJ Brown. And Humphrey I think

1058
00:49:52,440 --> 00:49:54,520
Speaker 2: is I mean, he was an All Pro defunder last year.

1059
00:49:54,520 --> 00:49:56,600
Speaker 2: I think he's one of the best corners in the league.

1060
00:49:57,160 --> 00:50:00,640
Speaker 2: That will be a fantastic matchup to watch to see

1061
00:50:00,680 --> 00:50:03,279
Speaker 2: those two guys going against each other. But I think

1062
00:50:03,400 --> 00:50:05,880
Speaker 2: it will be tough on AJ Brown going against a

1063
00:50:06,080 --> 00:50:10,080
Speaker 2: defender of that caliber. Sean give us the wide receiver promp.

1064
00:50:10,480 --> 00:50:12,680
Speaker 3: So this is a bit of a unique one this week.

1065
00:50:12,760 --> 00:50:16,520
Speaker 7: But out of Juju Smith, Schuster, Deontay Johnson, and Chase Claypool,

1066
00:50:16,600 --> 00:50:19,319
Speaker 7: which one scores the least amount of DK points this week.

1067
00:50:19,640 --> 00:50:21,400
Speaker 7: All three have hit two weeks in a row now,

1068
00:50:21,480 --> 00:50:25,080
Speaker 7: but I'm thinking at Jacksonville, as you know, eleven point favorites.

1069
00:50:25,120 --> 00:50:27,880
Speaker 7: I think one of these guys busts this week, and

1070
00:50:28,239 --> 00:50:30,719
Speaker 7: I can't say which one, So need your guys help

1071
00:50:31,239 --> 00:50:33,080
Speaker 7: which guy you think will be the bust this week.

1072
00:50:33,760 --> 00:50:36,880
Speaker 5: I mean, I'm gonna go with Juju really just because

1073
00:50:36,880 --> 00:50:39,399
Speaker 5: of the A Dot argument that I had earlier. He's

1074
00:50:39,440 --> 00:50:42,440
Speaker 5: the lowest a Dodd of the three. The slot is

1075
00:50:42,960 --> 00:50:45,640
Speaker 5: not a bad matchup, but I just don't see him

1076
00:50:45,680 --> 00:50:49,080
Speaker 5: burning him downfield. I think the more likely, you know,

1077
00:50:49,120 --> 00:50:50,680
Speaker 5: if you get that early in the game, would be

1078
00:50:50,760 --> 00:50:52,160
Speaker 5: Deontay or Chase Claypool.

1079
00:50:52,280 --> 00:50:55,600
Speaker 3: So I'll go with Juju. That's a great one though,

1080
00:50:55,920 --> 00:50:57,200
Speaker 3: especially after last week.

1081
00:50:57,880 --> 00:51:00,399
Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm going Juju as well. I haven't really close.

1082
00:51:00,400 --> 00:51:03,839
Speaker 6: I have him fourteen sixteen eighteen, so you know, it's

1083
00:51:03,920 --> 00:51:06,680
Speaker 6: not it's this could probably change if I tweak any

1084
00:51:06,760 --> 00:51:07,239
Speaker 6: little thing.

1085
00:51:07,360 --> 00:51:09,920
Speaker 4: But yeah, I agree with Jeff. I think the adad

1086
00:51:10,000 --> 00:51:10,560
Speaker 4: is the lowest.

1087
00:51:10,640 --> 00:51:15,360
Speaker 6: He does run the most routes, but it really hasn't

1088
00:51:15,400 --> 00:51:18,160
Speaker 6: necessarily been translating into a huge yard.

1089
00:51:18,160 --> 00:51:19,200
Speaker 4: It's because of that A Dot.

1090
00:51:19,280 --> 00:51:21,799
Speaker 6: Claypool seems like, you know, he can run sixty percent

1091
00:51:21,840 --> 00:51:24,160
Speaker 6: of the routes or ninety percent of the route he's

1092
00:51:24,239 --> 00:51:26,080
Speaker 6: kind of when he's in the game, he's a target.

1093
00:51:26,360 --> 00:51:28,080
Speaker 6: And then Deontay as long as he doesn't have one

1094
00:51:28,080 --> 00:51:29,680
Speaker 6: of those games where he gets banged up in the

1095
00:51:29,840 --> 00:51:32,640
Speaker 6: first quarter and gets like zero yards on three targets.

1096
00:51:32,680 --> 00:51:34,800
Speaker 6: Like if he's a fact, If Deyonce is a factor,

1097
00:51:35,320 --> 00:51:38,120
Speaker 6: I think it just kind of negatively impacts Juju and

1098
00:51:38,200 --> 00:51:41,839
Speaker 6: Claypool is kind of the constant. So assuming Johnson's gonna

1099
00:51:41,840 --> 00:51:44,279
Speaker 6: be in there, which looks like he is, then yeah,

1100
00:51:44,400 --> 00:51:45,680
Speaker 6: going with Juju this.

1101
00:51:46,160 --> 00:51:49,600
Speaker 2: This is a great prop. Sean kudos, sir. I I'm

1102
00:51:49,680 --> 00:51:53,240
Speaker 2: going with a Chase Claypole, but it is really close

1103
00:51:53,600 --> 00:51:56,480
Speaker 2: with Deontay Johnson. I have Juju as the guy I

1104
00:51:56,640 --> 00:51:59,759
Speaker 2: like the most in part because of the usage he's

1105
00:51:59,760 --> 00:52:03,600
Speaker 2: got in the past month, and with that usage, I

1106
00:52:03,640 --> 00:52:05,520
Speaker 2: think he has a pretty decent chance of getting a

1107
00:52:05,600 --> 00:52:08,279
Speaker 2: high number of receptions, which I think will give him

1108
00:52:08,280 --> 00:52:10,319
Speaker 2: a higher floor. And then I think one of these

1109
00:52:10,400 --> 00:52:13,880
Speaker 2: other guys might have a little more variance, and Claypool,

1110
00:52:13,920 --> 00:52:16,400
Speaker 2: I think will be the receiver who is just a

1111
00:52:16,480 --> 00:52:19,839
Speaker 2: little more high variance in this situation. So I will

1112
00:52:20,080 --> 00:52:23,840
Speaker 2: say that Claypole is the guy, not necessarily that he busts,

1113
00:52:23,920 --> 00:52:27,680
Speaker 2: but that he's the the lagger of the three great

1114
00:52:27,760 --> 00:52:32,000
Speaker 2: prop good, good, imaginative, outside of the box thinking there.

1115
00:52:32,160 --> 00:52:34,200
Speaker 7: How tilting is it going to be? When James Washington

1116
00:52:34,280 --> 00:52:35,480
Speaker 7: scores the first touchdown?

1117
00:52:35,640 --> 00:52:38,360
Speaker 4: I mean Ray Ray McLeod.

1118
00:52:38,680 --> 00:52:44,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, when James Washington throws to Ray Ray McCleod.

1119
00:52:47,320 --> 00:52:50,000
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Speaker 2: Promo offer not available in Nevada. And now back to

1138
00:53:41,320 --> 00:53:46,080
Speaker 2: the show. All right, let's talk about the tight ends.

1139
00:53:46,239 --> 00:53:49,439
Speaker 2: The three guys at the top of our rankings. Travis Kelce,

1140
00:53:50,440 --> 00:53:53,560
Speaker 2: we have Waller, we have Andrews. I don't think there's

1141
00:53:53,600 --> 00:53:56,440
Speaker 2: a big surprise there, but you could probably make an

1142
00:53:56,600 --> 00:53:59,919
Speaker 2: argument for whoever slots in at the number three spot,

1143
00:54:01,000 --> 00:54:05,000
Speaker 2: given that there's a power vacuum there. Jeff, who do

1144
00:54:05,160 --> 00:54:06,759
Speaker 2: you think should be in the top three?

1145
00:54:07,680 --> 00:54:08,399
Speaker 3: I think it's right.

1146
00:54:08,600 --> 00:54:13,080
Speaker 5: I mean, there's obviously no argument with Kelsey. Waller should

1147
00:54:13,120 --> 00:54:15,000
Speaker 5: have had a much bigger day last week, so really

1148
00:54:15,080 --> 00:54:17,840
Speaker 5: no argument with him. It really comes down to do

1149
00:54:17,920 --> 00:54:21,360
Speaker 5: you buy into Hockinson being really banged up? You know,

1150
00:54:22,160 --> 00:54:25,040
Speaker 5: is the toe injury serious enough here to move him down?

1151
00:54:25,040 --> 00:54:27,080
Speaker 5: Because he's been very good this season. It was really

1152
00:54:27,160 --> 00:54:29,560
Speaker 5: kind of for fantasy purposes his first down week of

1153
00:54:29,640 --> 00:54:29,960
Speaker 5: the year.

1154
00:54:31,080 --> 00:54:32,680
Speaker 3: But I think it's right.

1155
00:54:32,960 --> 00:54:36,480
Speaker 5: I think Andrews, especially with no Nick Boyle, will benefit there.

1156
00:54:36,520 --> 00:54:38,520
Speaker 5: And he'll continue to see heavy volume. That's really what

1157
00:54:38,600 --> 00:54:40,520
Speaker 5: we're looking for, is volume.

1158
00:54:41,200 --> 00:54:43,200
Speaker 2: All right, who else are you high on this week?

1159
00:54:43,880 --> 00:54:44,040
Speaker 4: Well?

1160
00:54:44,080 --> 00:54:46,759
Speaker 5: Actually I threw out this name and it's part of

1161
00:54:46,880 --> 00:54:51,080
Speaker 5: my personal crusade to change Fantasy tight end because in

1162
00:54:51,200 --> 00:54:53,760
Speaker 5: week nine on my Serious XM show, I had somebody

1163
00:54:53,840 --> 00:54:57,080
Speaker 5: call in and say, Hunter Henry, he just isn't.

1164
00:54:56,880 --> 00:54:59,000
Speaker 3: Getting it done. Man, I don't know what should I

1165
00:54:59,080 --> 00:55:00,880
Speaker 3: do about this guy? Should I cut him?

1166
00:55:01,440 --> 00:55:04,000
Speaker 5: And so Hunter Henry in that game had seven targets,

1167
00:55:04,040 --> 00:55:07,560
Speaker 5: four catches for thirty three yards. Hunter Henry this past

1168
00:55:07,640 --> 00:55:12,120
Speaker 5: week had six targets, four catches, so one fewer target,

1169
00:55:12,440 --> 00:55:16,640
Speaker 5: four catches for thirty yards, three fewer yards, and he

1170
00:55:16,719 --> 00:55:17,600
Speaker 5: scored a touchdown.

1171
00:55:17,680 --> 00:55:18,840
Speaker 4: He went from the.

1172
00:55:18,920 --> 00:55:22,080
Speaker 5: Number twenty tight end the week before to the number

1173
00:55:22,200 --> 00:55:26,960
Speaker 5: three because of a stupid, stinking touchdown. Tight End scoring

1174
00:55:27,280 --> 00:55:31,080
Speaker 5: is broken, It is antiquated. It does not work in

1175
00:55:31,239 --> 00:55:34,600
Speaker 5: modern football at all. We have to do something about it.

1176
00:55:34,640 --> 00:55:37,320
Speaker 5: And the answer, I'm sorry is not tight end premium,

1177
00:55:37,480 --> 00:55:41,040
Speaker 5: because that only further exacerbates the problem. We shouldn't have

1178
00:55:41,600 --> 00:55:44,600
Speaker 5: a you know, one hundred percent jump if you go

1179
00:55:44,760 --> 00:55:46,840
Speaker 5: three for thirty two and no touchdown to three for

1180
00:55:46,960 --> 00:55:49,800
Speaker 5: thirty two. In a touchdown, you double up your fantasy points.

1181
00:55:50,120 --> 00:55:52,000
Speaker 5: I mean, that's crazy to me. I think we should

1182
00:55:52,040 --> 00:55:54,600
Speaker 5: reduce the value of touchdowns for tight ends. That would

1183
00:55:54,640 --> 00:55:57,120
Speaker 5: eliminate the problem. Maybe go to tight end premium to

1184
00:55:57,200 --> 00:55:59,719
Speaker 5: bump that up the scoring up a little bit. But

1185
00:55:59,840 --> 00:56:02,440
Speaker 5: it it's silly to me. It's absolutely silly. So drives

1186
00:56:02,480 --> 00:56:03,960
Speaker 5: me nuts. And I'll tell you, guys, the reason why

1187
00:56:04,000 --> 00:56:05,520
Speaker 5: I'm on this crusade is because I got into this

1188
00:56:05,600 --> 00:56:07,800
Speaker 5: because I love football, not because I love betting, not

1189
00:56:07,920 --> 00:56:10,560
Speaker 5: because I love DFS. Heck, I didn't even know about

1190
00:56:10,600 --> 00:56:12,920
Speaker 5: DFS when I started doing this in the industry. Not

1191
00:56:13,000 --> 00:56:15,040
Speaker 5: because I love fantasy. I want to share my love

1192
00:56:15,120 --> 00:56:17,200
Speaker 5: of football with people, and this is one way to

1193
00:56:17,280 --> 00:56:20,120
Speaker 5: do so. And when people say that a player sucks

1194
00:56:20,280 --> 00:56:22,839
Speaker 5: because he didn't score a Touchdow Hunter Henry doesn't suck.

1195
00:56:23,200 --> 00:56:25,440
Speaker 5: Hunter Henry is a darn good tight end and he's

1196
00:56:25,480 --> 00:56:28,239
Speaker 5: been playing good football even when he doesn't score touchdowns.

1197
00:56:28,560 --> 00:56:31,080
Speaker 5: But that being said, I'll get off the soapbox and

1198
00:56:31,120 --> 00:56:33,759
Speaker 5: I actually do like him against the Jets this week.

1199
00:56:34,120 --> 00:56:38,000
Speaker 5: You know we heard I was Raybond earlier saying justin Herbert,

1200
00:56:38,120 --> 00:56:40,719
Speaker 5: I agree with that call out. And we've seen the

1201
00:56:40,800 --> 00:56:44,000
Speaker 5: Jets be relatively friendly to opposing tight ends this season.

1202
00:56:44,560 --> 00:56:46,760
Speaker 5: They did give up that game to Jordan Reid. Earlier

1203
00:56:46,800 --> 00:56:48,880
Speaker 5: in the year, they gave up obviously a huge game

1204
00:56:48,920 --> 00:56:52,160
Speaker 5: to Travis Kelski. Okay, whatever, But then the Get SICKI game.

1205
00:56:52,200 --> 00:56:55,080
Speaker 5: And by the way, when you have a tight end

1206
00:56:55,120 --> 00:56:58,000
Speaker 5: in a game and you see tight end score and

1207
00:56:58,120 --> 00:56:59,920
Speaker 5: it's not your tight end, that is called a get

1208
00:57:00,120 --> 00:57:05,280
Speaker 5: sicky For that game where both Adam Shaheen and Durham

1209
00:57:05,360 --> 00:57:08,480
Speaker 5: Smite scored and Gsick he didn't. But still I like

1210
00:57:08,560 --> 00:57:10,160
Speaker 5: the match up here for Hunter Henry. I think he's

1211
00:57:10,160 --> 00:57:10,759
Speaker 5: gonna be just fine.

1212
00:57:11,080 --> 00:57:13,560
Speaker 2: Jeff, I'm definitely with you there on Hunter Henry. I

1213
00:57:13,960 --> 00:57:16,440
Speaker 2: actually have him the number three on the board. I

1214
00:57:16,560 --> 00:57:19,760
Speaker 2: have him ahead of Mark Andrews. He's getting the usage,

1215
00:57:20,280 --> 00:57:22,040
Speaker 2: he's in a good offense, and he does have a

1216
00:57:22,320 --> 00:57:25,760
Speaker 2: nice matchup this week. So totally with you there, Sean.

1217
00:57:26,000 --> 00:57:26,760
Speaker 2: Who are you high on?

1218
00:57:27,040 --> 00:57:29,400
Speaker 7: So let me just first say that in season long

1219
00:57:29,440 --> 00:57:31,600
Speaker 7: leagues where Taysom Hill is eligible at tight end, he's

1220
00:57:31,640 --> 00:57:34,920
Speaker 7: actually my tight end four. So get him in your lineups.

1221
00:57:35,440 --> 00:57:37,040
Speaker 7: You're lucky if you're in a format like that and

1222
00:57:37,200 --> 00:57:40,880
Speaker 7: have him. But for DFS, I'm high on Dallas Goddard

1223
00:57:40,960 --> 00:57:45,160
Speaker 7: this week. He's thirty eight hundred, which is absolutely ridiculous.

1224
00:57:45,520 --> 00:57:48,240
Speaker 7: You know, he ran around on eighty percent dropbacks last week,

1225
00:57:48,320 --> 00:57:51,640
Speaker 7: so he's he's back to the usage we're expecting from

1226
00:57:51,720 --> 00:57:54,920
Speaker 7: him now. He was underwhelming with his four catch thirty

1227
00:57:54,960 --> 00:57:56,880
Speaker 7: three yard game with no touchdowns, and sort of to

1228
00:57:56,960 --> 00:57:59,160
Speaker 7: Jeff's point, that was good enough for you know, low

1229
00:57:59,280 --> 00:58:01,320
Speaker 7: end tight end one production last week it was such

1230
00:58:01,680 --> 00:58:05,840
Speaker 7: a dumpster fire and Rich Rodgers actually you know, outproduced

1231
00:58:05,920 --> 00:58:08,000
Speaker 7: him with four catches for six yards, I believe, but

1232
00:58:08,120 --> 00:58:11,240
Speaker 7: he only ran around on twenty percent of the routes

1233
00:58:11,320 --> 00:58:13,080
Speaker 7: per drop back, so you know, I think that was

1234
00:58:13,080 --> 00:58:15,280
Speaker 7: a bit fluky. I think we should see Dallas Godder

1235
00:58:15,720 --> 00:58:18,000
Speaker 7: break out here. You know, as long as zach Ertz

1236
00:58:18,120 --> 00:58:20,360
Speaker 7: is out, I still consider got her, you know, potential

1237
00:58:20,440 --> 00:58:22,080
Speaker 7: top five tight end. So I'm back on him this

1238
00:58:22,160 --> 00:58:24,760
Speaker 7: week at a super cheap price of thirty eight hundred.

1239
00:58:25,480 --> 00:58:26,480
Speaker 2: Raymond, Who do you like.

1240
00:58:27,320 --> 00:58:28,240
Speaker 4: Mark Andrews this week?

1241
00:58:28,280 --> 00:58:28,440
Speaker 7: For me?

1242
00:58:28,600 --> 00:58:31,080
Speaker 6: I mean, you know, we knew Mark Andrews is gonna

1243
00:58:31,080 --> 00:58:33,960
Speaker 6: be a little bit volatile this year just because Baltimore

1244
00:58:34,000 --> 00:58:36,520
Speaker 6: does not throw the ball very often. But now you

1245
00:58:36,640 --> 00:58:40,840
Speaker 6: have Andrews. He's the number one highest priced tight end

1246
00:58:41,320 --> 00:58:44,640
Speaker 6: on the slate, but he's still below five K at

1247
00:58:44,680 --> 00:58:49,560
Speaker 6: forty nine hundred. You're going against a Titans defense that

1248
00:58:49,720 --> 00:58:51,920
Speaker 6: ranks twenty ninth in DVOA.

1249
00:58:52,080 --> 00:58:54,280
Speaker 4: To on targets to opposing tight ends.

1250
00:58:54,400 --> 00:58:58,320
Speaker 6: And as you know, Jeff mentioned, you have Nick Boyle lost,

1251
00:58:58,520 --> 00:59:01,000
Speaker 6: you know, going down in that at New England game,

1252
00:59:01,080 --> 00:59:03,960
Speaker 6: so he's going to be out. And we saw Andrews

1253
00:59:03,960 --> 00:59:06,760
Speaker 6: spike to eighty three percent routes run per drop back.

1254
00:59:07,280 --> 00:59:09,880
Speaker 6: Two weeks ago he was at seventy eight percent, So uh,

1255
00:59:09,960 --> 00:59:12,240
Speaker 6: those are two of his higher marks for the season.

1256
00:59:12,440 --> 00:59:15,920
Speaker 6: And uh, I think with Boyle out, you're probably going

1257
00:59:16,000 --> 00:59:19,120
Speaker 6: to have Recard the full back play some more tight end.

1258
00:59:19,840 --> 00:59:21,840
Speaker 4: But it's just going to cause Andrews, I think, to

1259
00:59:21,920 --> 00:59:23,000
Speaker 4: be a little bit more of that.

1260
00:59:23,040 --> 00:59:26,880
Speaker 6: Pass catching specialist because Boil still was you know, catching

1261
00:59:26,960 --> 00:59:28,160
Speaker 6: you know, a couple of balls per game.

1262
00:59:28,280 --> 00:59:29,680
Speaker 4: So I like Andrews.

1263
00:59:29,720 --> 00:59:32,040
Speaker 6: I think he could continue to see a few more

1264
00:59:32,160 --> 00:59:35,200
Speaker 6: routes with his injury, and there's just it's a wasteland

1265
00:59:35,240 --> 00:59:37,800
Speaker 6: every week. So I'm just kind of betting on talent here,

1266
00:59:37,920 --> 00:59:40,680
Speaker 6: and we have talent and matchup and price.

1267
00:59:40,760 --> 00:59:43,520
Speaker 2: So like Andrews, Jeff, who are you low on?

1268
00:59:44,240 --> 00:59:46,720
Speaker 5: I mean, at the position's so flat after you get

1269
00:59:46,760 --> 00:59:49,520
Speaker 5: beyond the first two that you could almost say, anybody here,

1270
00:59:50,040 --> 00:59:52,000
Speaker 5: you're just praying for touchdowns. I mean, because you know

1271
00:59:52,080 --> 00:59:54,120
Speaker 5: you're going to get two or three catches for thirty

1272
00:59:54,200 --> 00:59:57,120
Speaker 5: or forty yards for most of these guys. But when

1273
00:59:57,200 --> 00:59:59,360
Speaker 5: I look at at some of the the you know,

1274
00:59:59,480 --> 01:00:01,440
Speaker 5: the shift in the landscape here, we keep going back

1275
01:00:01,440 --> 01:00:03,880
Speaker 5: to Jameis Winston. I think we do have to point

1276
01:00:03,880 --> 01:00:07,920
Speaker 5: out Jared Cook. Ask anybody about oj Howard last year,

1277
01:00:08,200 --> 01:00:11,600
Speaker 5: and you know I Jamis just is not going to

1278
01:00:11,680 --> 01:00:14,080
Speaker 5: look the tight ends way very often because he doesn't

1279
01:00:14,120 --> 01:00:16,560
Speaker 5: look in the short and intermediate. Plus the fact that

1280
01:00:16,920 --> 01:00:19,480
Speaker 5: my guy Adam Trautman's playing some good football as well

1281
01:00:19,520 --> 01:00:21,680
Speaker 5: and sort of eating into that target share there for

1282
01:00:22,200 --> 01:00:23,960
Speaker 5: Jared Cook. So I know a lot of people in

1283
01:00:24,040 --> 01:00:26,160
Speaker 5: season long are looking at that like fringe tight end

1284
01:00:26,240 --> 01:00:28,200
Speaker 5: one range is Cook viable?

1285
01:00:28,480 --> 01:00:28,520
Speaker 6: No?

1286
01:00:28,720 --> 01:00:31,360
Speaker 3: And then just not enough juice there for DFS purposes.

1287
01:00:31,800 --> 01:00:33,600
Speaker 2: Yeah, Jeff, you don't need to make too strong of

1288
01:00:33,640 --> 01:00:36,760
Speaker 2: an argument to me not to be interested in Jared Cook.

1289
01:00:37,280 --> 01:00:40,160
Speaker 2: I mean, yeah, you're right, the volume is not there,

1290
01:00:40,280 --> 01:00:42,600
Speaker 2: and especially now that he doesn't have that alchemy with

1291
01:00:42,720 --> 01:00:46,080
Speaker 2: Drew Brees, there are many reasons to be off of him. Sean,

1292
01:00:46,280 --> 01:00:47,120
Speaker 2: who are you loing?

1293
01:00:48,080 --> 01:00:48,800
Speaker 3: Mike is sicky?

1294
01:00:49,120 --> 01:00:52,120
Speaker 7: I'm done coming up with reasons why he's gonna break

1295
01:00:52,160 --> 01:00:54,240
Speaker 7: out of his slump here. Last week, I thought, you know,

1296
01:00:54,400 --> 01:00:57,120
Speaker 7: Pres Williams and Isaiah Ford are out, you know, maybe

1297
01:00:57,160 --> 01:00:59,840
Speaker 7: he'll line up in the slot more Nope, his rights

1298
01:01:00,280 --> 01:01:03,800
Speaker 7: routes run per dropback dipped to sixty two percent. Durham

1299
01:01:03,880 --> 01:01:07,640
Speaker 7: Smythe and Adams Shaheen were pretty heavily involved, more than

1300
01:01:07,680 --> 01:01:11,320
Speaker 7: I would like. So I'm down on Gasiki this week

1301
01:01:11,440 --> 01:01:13,400
Speaker 7: and going forward. I just don't think it's going to

1302
01:01:13,440 --> 01:01:14,200
Speaker 7: happen from this year?

1303
01:01:15,080 --> 01:01:16,520
Speaker 2: Raybond, who are you low on?

1304
01:01:17,160 --> 01:01:18,040
Speaker 4: Pretty much everybody?

1305
01:01:18,560 --> 01:01:18,720
Speaker 7: You know?

1306
01:01:19,040 --> 01:01:21,240
Speaker 6: Like literally, like I'm looking up and down this list,

1307
01:01:21,280 --> 01:01:23,680
Speaker 6: and there's no one that stands out as like, okay,

1308
01:01:23,760 --> 01:01:26,320
Speaker 6: I should be more low on him than any everybody else.

1309
01:01:26,440 --> 01:01:29,320
Speaker 4: But I do agree with with Kasiki and Cook because

1310
01:01:29,320 --> 01:01:29,840
Speaker 4: those guys.

1311
01:01:29,720 --> 01:01:32,720
Speaker 6: Are both over four k in terms of pricing, and

1312
01:01:32,840 --> 01:01:35,280
Speaker 6: I don't really think they belong in that range, and

1313
01:01:35,560 --> 01:01:37,600
Speaker 6: but I think you could make a case for almost

1314
01:01:37,640 --> 01:01:39,920
Speaker 6: all of these tight ends. I mean, you know, even Goddard.

1315
01:01:39,960 --> 01:01:41,800
Speaker 6: We don't know if Ertz is coming back. He just

1316
01:01:41,880 --> 01:01:44,680
Speaker 6: got activated. You know, Tanyan's been a little banged up

1317
01:01:44,760 --> 01:01:48,360
Speaker 6: going into tough matchups. So there's really nobody that I

1318
01:01:48,480 --> 01:01:53,600
Speaker 6: feel confident about outside of that, outside of really Kelsey

1319
01:01:53,720 --> 01:01:56,120
Speaker 6: and Waller and then on this main swate. That's why

1320
01:01:56,400 --> 01:01:58,800
Speaker 6: I like Andrew so much, because you know, even a

1321
01:01:58,880 --> 01:02:01,160
Speaker 6: guy like Johnny Smith, it's like he's kind of the

1322
01:02:01,200 --> 01:02:01,720
Speaker 6: same tease.

1323
01:02:01,760 --> 01:02:03,360
Speaker 4: It's like he runs ab out of routes one week

1324
01:02:03,680 --> 01:02:04,480
Speaker 4: and then the next week.

1325
01:02:04,360 --> 01:02:06,280
Speaker 6: He's right back to like, you know, part of that

1326
01:02:06,400 --> 01:02:09,080
Speaker 6: three headed tight end monster, regardless of who's hurt. So

1327
01:02:10,200 --> 01:02:12,760
Speaker 6: I think you could even I'll say john as well,

1328
01:02:12,800 --> 01:02:15,600
Speaker 6: because he's up at forty seven hundred to behind Andrews,

1329
01:02:15,640 --> 01:02:19,200
Speaker 6: and I think that Andrews just a better matchup.

1330
01:02:19,000 --> 01:02:21,919
Speaker 2: This week, Raybaud, I hear you there. A guy I'm

1331
01:02:22,040 --> 01:02:24,560
Speaker 2: relatively low on is Hawkinson, and it's more just a

1332
01:02:24,960 --> 01:02:29,400
Speaker 2: defensive gesture and that he obviously has a lot of potential,

1333
01:02:29,600 --> 01:02:31,960
Speaker 2: and you can make an argument for him in the

1334
01:02:32,280 --> 01:02:35,240
Speaker 2: top three if he's fully healthy, especially with Kenny Galladay out,

1335
01:02:35,360 --> 01:02:40,680
Speaker 2: but I am worried about the toe injury. And so

1336
01:02:41,360 --> 01:02:44,640
Speaker 2: you know, we saw him with reduced target sharares last week,

1337
01:02:44,760 --> 01:02:47,280
Speaker 2: and you know, I'm thinking, if he's just getting fewer

1338
01:02:47,320 --> 01:02:49,600
Speaker 2: targets he's injured, not going to be as efficient a

1339
01:02:49,720 --> 01:02:52,720
Speaker 2: guy I would rather just not have any part of

1340
01:02:52,880 --> 01:02:55,200
Speaker 2: especially for DFS. I think in season long, if you

1341
01:02:55,280 --> 01:02:59,160
Speaker 2: have him, you probably have to play him. You might

1342
01:02:59,280 --> 01:03:02,080
Speaker 2: not have another good option at tight end to go with,

1343
01:03:02,240 --> 01:03:04,880
Speaker 2: but in DFS, certainly someone i'd be looking to stay

1344
01:03:04,920 --> 01:03:07,400
Speaker 2: away from. Sean give us the prop.

1345
01:03:07,920 --> 01:03:10,880
Speaker 7: We're going with Mark Andrews receiving yards. You guys have

1346
01:03:10,920 --> 01:03:13,160
Speaker 7: already touched on it, but you know every week he

1347
01:03:13,280 --> 01:03:17,200
Speaker 7: has that massive touchdown upside, really high ceiling guy. Bet

1348
01:03:17,280 --> 01:03:20,560
Speaker 7: now that he's the only tight end there, you know

1349
01:03:21,160 --> 01:03:24,000
Speaker 7: his floor is raised and that comes from his receiving arts.

1350
01:03:24,040 --> 01:03:26,760
Speaker 7: So curious to hear where you guys have him right now.

1351
01:03:26,840 --> 01:03:29,800
Speaker 7: I have him at forty eight and a half receiving yards.

1352
01:03:30,880 --> 01:03:32,840
Speaker 3: I was really hoping you would be up over fifty

1353
01:03:34,000 --> 01:03:35,520
Speaker 3: forty eight is are a really good number?

1354
01:03:35,560 --> 01:03:35,720
Speaker 9: Man.

1355
01:03:36,360 --> 01:03:39,160
Speaker 5: I'm going to take the slight under on it. Just

1356
01:03:39,400 --> 01:03:43,640
Speaker 5: based on the consistency factor with him, which hasn't really

1357
01:03:43,680 --> 01:03:45,919
Speaker 5: been there. I mean, he's top this line what four

1358
01:03:46,000 --> 01:03:49,000
Speaker 5: times this season, I'm saying, but last week, of course,

1359
01:03:49,120 --> 01:03:49,840
Speaker 5: was one of those times.

1360
01:03:49,880 --> 01:03:51,640
Speaker 3: But I still think it's slightly under.

1361
01:03:51,880 --> 01:03:53,920
Speaker 5: You know, usually with Andrews in my head, I typically

1362
01:03:54,000 --> 01:03:55,880
Speaker 5: have and I haven't run my projections this week, but

1363
01:03:56,280 --> 01:03:58,160
Speaker 5: typically have about forty four in my head.

1364
01:03:58,440 --> 01:03:59,800
Speaker 3: So I'll take the slight on.

1365
01:04:00,600 --> 01:04:01,520
Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm with Jeff.

1366
01:04:01,680 --> 01:04:03,960
Speaker 6: I have him at forty five yards, so I'm pretty

1367
01:04:04,000 --> 01:04:06,960
Speaker 6: much right in line, and the median is probably right

1368
01:04:07,040 --> 01:04:08,720
Speaker 6: around right around that forty four.

1369
01:04:08,640 --> 01:04:09,320
Speaker 4: Number either way.

1370
01:04:09,400 --> 01:04:12,000
Speaker 6: But I think I'll have a great I think I'll

1371
01:04:12,040 --> 01:04:13,960
Speaker 6: have a good week relative to other tight ends. But

1372
01:04:14,040 --> 01:04:17,280
Speaker 6: that just kind of is illustrative of what the tight

1373
01:04:17,320 --> 01:04:19,960
Speaker 6: end landscape is. I Mean we're here talking about, Hey,

1374
01:04:20,360 --> 01:04:22,520
Speaker 6: you know, like Andrews as a tight end number three,

1375
01:04:23,160 --> 01:04:25,360
Speaker 6: like him as the top play in DFS, and yet

1376
01:04:25,640 --> 01:04:28,600
Speaker 6: taking the under on this very reasonable prop So, yeah,

1377
01:04:28,760 --> 01:04:30,400
Speaker 6: I got him at forty five, I'm going under.

1378
01:04:31,360 --> 01:04:34,640
Speaker 2: Yeah, and it's Raybond for me. It's almost an opposite dynamic.

1379
01:04:34,680 --> 01:04:36,160
Speaker 2: I don't have him in the top three, but I'll

1380
01:04:36,200 --> 01:04:39,080
Speaker 2: be the fish who takes the over here. I think

1381
01:04:39,080 --> 01:04:41,800
Speaker 2: it's a good line, and I would be inclined to

1382
01:04:41,840 --> 01:04:43,360
Speaker 2: take the under here. But I do think that with

1383
01:04:43,520 --> 01:04:46,800
Speaker 2: Nick Boyle being out at this point, it's just Mark

1384
01:04:46,880 --> 01:04:50,080
Speaker 2: Andrews out there one hundred percent of the time, and

1385
01:04:50,160 --> 01:04:53,160
Speaker 2: so that could potentially result in maybe an extra target

1386
01:04:53,280 --> 01:04:55,280
Speaker 2: coming his way which could bump him to the over.

1387
01:04:55,400 --> 01:04:58,160
Speaker 2: But I do think in general the under here would

1388
01:04:58,200 --> 01:05:01,400
Speaker 2: be the sharper side. All right, Jeff, it was awesome

1389
01:05:01,680 --> 01:05:04,400
Speaker 2: having you on the show. I am curious what content

1390
01:05:04,520 --> 01:05:06,600
Speaker 2: should people be checking out at Fade the Noise?

1391
01:05:07,120 --> 01:05:10,240
Speaker 5: Yeah, absolutely so Ftnfantasy dot Com for all the season

1392
01:05:10,320 --> 01:05:14,600
Speaker 5: long content. I mean, you know, the signature breakdown, every

1393
01:05:14,640 --> 01:05:16,480
Speaker 5: game piece that I do. It's called the report. But

1394
01:05:16,560 --> 01:05:18,840
Speaker 5: I don't do fifty thousand words. I only do about

1395
01:05:18,960 --> 01:05:21,040
Speaker 5: three thousand, five hundred to four thousand words, so you

1396
01:05:21,080 --> 01:05:23,600
Speaker 5: can knock it out right really quickly. All the wide

1397
01:05:23,600 --> 01:05:26,080
Speaker 5: receiver cornerback stuff I do is over at FTN Daily

1398
01:05:26,120 --> 01:05:28,760
Speaker 5: dot com, and all the betting content that we have

1399
01:05:28,880 --> 01:05:30,440
Speaker 5: is over at FTN bets dot com.

1400
01:05:30,600 --> 01:05:32,720
Speaker 3: Of course, I have my own podcast, The.

1401
01:05:32,880 --> 01:05:36,200
Speaker 5: Rant with Jeff Radcliffe, and I have the very originally

1402
01:05:36,320 --> 01:05:39,320
Speaker 5: named radio show, The Jeff Radcliffe Show on Sirius XM

1403
01:05:39,440 --> 01:05:42,840
Speaker 5: Monday to Friday, ten to noon Eastern. Also on CBS

1404
01:05:42,920 --> 01:05:47,000
Speaker 5: Sports Network on Sunday mornings from eight to noon Eastern

1405
01:05:47,080 --> 01:05:48,480
Speaker 5: on that other pregame show.

1406
01:05:48,560 --> 01:05:51,200
Speaker 2: All Right. Be sure to follow Jeff on Twitter at

1407
01:05:51,400 --> 01:05:53,560
Speaker 2: Jeff Radcliffe, and you can follow Sean, Chris and me

1408
01:05:53,720 --> 01:05:57,160
Speaker 2: in the Action Network app at the Underscore Oddsmaker Chris Raybond,

1409
01:05:57,200 --> 01:05:59,360
Speaker 2: and Matt at the Oracle. Use the app to get

1410
01:05:59,400 --> 01:06:01,720
Speaker 2: real time on and track your bets for free. And

1411
01:06:01,760 --> 01:06:03,720
Speaker 2: please subscribe to and rate and review the show and

1412
01:06:03,800 --> 01:06:07,920
Speaker 2: listen and download on Spotify. See you again next episode.

1413
01:06:23,800 --> 01:06:24,880
Speaker 9: We're finished talking