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Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 2: I'm just about that action also.

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Speaker 3: All right, here we go, we're throwing in, so I'm

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Speaker 3: sitting up to cash touchdowns.

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Speaker 4: We see most gamble is when they go to gamble,

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Speaker 4: they go to win. That's incredible.

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Speaker 1: Big bank, small bank.

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Speaker 4: I like to make money. All right, this is the

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Speaker 4: ultimate kabay you want to pull? Man, We are underway.

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Speaker 2: What is up?

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Speaker 1: Everybody?

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Speaker 5: Welcome to the Action Network Podcast. I am your host,

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Speaker 5: Chris Raybond. This is our NFL Week three Touchdown show.

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Speaker 5: I am joined by one of the most accurate rankers

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Speaker 5: in the game, Sean Kerner, and touchdown specialist Jill Glint.

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Speaker 4: How you doing, guys, I'm good, Like I feel like

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Speaker 4: we had a really good Week two podcast. Last week

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Speaker 4: we had some good hits. You know, we're walking into

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Speaker 4: Thursday night football. We've got another good slate, I think

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Speaker 4: with some picks. Like we were just talking about some

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Speaker 4: big twenty to one hits, you know, I mean you

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Speaker 4: you're coming off of Ryan miller thirty to one hit,

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Speaker 4: which was amazing. So yeah, I feel I'm feeling the

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Speaker 4: vibes right now on the touchdown for how about you? Sean?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, And I see in that line that Raybaun actually

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Speaker 3: has the Bucks game, so we'll see if he goes

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Speaker 3: with Ryan Miller again, it could be the new Jalen Naylor.

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Speaker 3: So yeah, looking forward to see, like, you know what

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Speaker 3: wacky touchdown bets we got planned up this week?

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Speaker 1: Oh man, Yeah, that was that was a fun one.

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Speaker 5: This game here on Thursday night will be a fun one,

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Speaker 5: so let's get right into it.

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Speaker 1: It's the Miami Dolphins of the.

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Speaker 5: Buffalo Bills, historically a bounce back spot for the you know,

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Speaker 5: for the dog in this kind of spot, but we'll

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Speaker 5: see how that goes. Also, Minder, if you want to

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Speaker 5: tail some of these bets, just look for the quick

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Speaker 5: slip link in the podcast and video description Action network

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Speaker 5: dot Com slash bet.

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Speaker 1: Now you can load and well.

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Speaker 5: Bets foot with your bets of your choice here for

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Speaker 5: these touchdowns.

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Speaker 1: Jill high total in this one, we're going well.

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Speaker 4: I gave out two touchdown props on Action Island earlier

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Speaker 4: today and both of them have kind of moved. But

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Speaker 4: I still like Devon a Chan in this spot. I

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Speaker 4: know it's chalky, but I'm not really sure we could

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Speaker 4: trust anybody else right now on this Dolphins' offense. Like

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Speaker 4: Tyreek Hill. I don't know what he's complaining about this week,

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Speaker 4: you know. Jalen Wattle, I don't know if he'll finish

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Speaker 4: a game, you know. So I mean, at least with

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Speaker 4: a Chan, you're getting a guy, a running back specifically

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Speaker 4: that leads the team in targets per route run. Has

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Speaker 4: scored two receiving touchdowns six last year. I mean, he's

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Speaker 4: got a touchdown in eighteen of thirty career regular season games,

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Speaker 4: in all four games versus the Bills. So I think

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Speaker 4: Devon A Chan is a good first leg for this parlay.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, he's the Dolphins only leg. I mean, I guess

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Speaker 5: my league. Washington came through with that part. Return almost

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Speaker 5: ruined in my bet last week on New England, but

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Speaker 5: thank god for Antonio Gibson. But in this one, I

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Speaker 5: got an couple of long shots here, at least unknown

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Speaker 5: kind of guys who are gonna get some action.

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Speaker 1: Number one for the Dolphins.

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Speaker 5: I like Tanner Connor noticed that he overtook Julian Hill

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Speaker 5: when they had a more kind of I guess you

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Speaker 5: could call it like a real route distribution last week

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Speaker 5: because they didn't bench everyone in the third quarter. So

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Speaker 5: Connor overtook Hill was the primary receiving tight end, doubled

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Speaker 5: him up in routes run.

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Speaker 1: But also he took.

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Speaker 5: All the snaps in the red zone and all the

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Speaker 5: routes there. So that is a good spot for Connor

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Speaker 5: because I still think the way to attack this Bill's

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Speaker 5: defense is going to be with those linebackers.

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Speaker 1: They have a ton of linebackers.

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Speaker 5: It's really the weak link there, and you know they're

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Speaker 5: gonna have to pay attention to h Hn and these

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Speaker 5: receivers anyway, so you could see some openings for Connor

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Speaker 5: if they they can get down close. And then for

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Speaker 5: the Bills got to take a little dark throw on

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Speaker 5: Jackson Halls at.

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Speaker 1: Fifteen to one.

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Speaker 5: We didn't see Quinn Morris kind of working in like

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Speaker 5: this as the number three tight end, So Haws doesn't

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Speaker 5: really had a ton of work in scoring position except

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Speaker 5: that crazy over the shoulder catch he had when they

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Speaker 5: were coming back against the Ravens.

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Speaker 1: And this is a large spread.

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Speaker 5: So when you see these large spreads, sometimes things can

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Speaker 5: get out of hand and you do see the backups

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Speaker 5: and so there are a couple of different ways I

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Speaker 5: think for Hawes to get in the game and get

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Speaker 5: some action down near the goal line. So like him

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Speaker 5: as what we saw Trubisky last week, I think, so

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Speaker 5: give me some Jackson, Hawes and Tanner Connor this week.

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Speaker 3: John, I'm going to go with Ray Davis at plus

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Speaker 3: four to twenty. I'm already on his over twenty one

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Speaker 3: and a half rushing yards here, but with the Bills being,

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Speaker 3: you know, twelve point favorites, they're more likely to be

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Speaker 3: playing with an eight plus point lead, and his rush

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Speaker 3: attempt share goes way up when they are up to scores.

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Speaker 3: Has just a twenty four percent rush attempt share when

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Speaker 3: it's a one score game, but it jumps up to

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Speaker 3: thirty eight percent when they lead by eight plus. So

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Speaker 3: I like him, you know, to get some extra touches

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Speaker 3: late in the game, So I like plus four twenty.

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Speaker 3: But another thing that you could do is they have

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Speaker 3: some fourth quarter anytime touchdown. Markets just taken there at

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Speaker 3: twelve to one, That's that's probably the quarter he would

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Speaker 3: score anyway, So I like taking him to.

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Speaker 1: Score in the fourth quarter at twelve to one.

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Speaker 5: I'm actually disappointed he didn't take my guy Ty Johnson

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Speaker 5: after Remondri Stevenson just went crazy on the Dolphins in

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Speaker 5: the past game.

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Speaker 1: I thought you would be on that too. I already

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Speaker 1: believe him. Yeah, I was late.

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Speaker 3: I'm always if the Bills are going to be in

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Speaker 3: a close game or maybe like a rare trailing game script,

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Speaker 3: that's the Ty Johnson angle. Whenever they're huge favorites like this,

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Speaker 3: that's the Ray Davis angle. But yeah, I mean Ty

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Speaker 3: can still catch, you know, a long pass downfield or

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Speaker 3: in the end zone. Two, So I think all three

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Speaker 3: running backs of the Bills are kind of in play.

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Speaker 5: Oh yeah, from one hundred put up eight five catches

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Speaker 5: for eighty eight yards last week on Miami. So that

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Speaker 5: is a tie jowns stat line if you ever heard

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Speaker 5: of it. But Ray, yeah, she got a goal line

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Speaker 5: carry at some point in this one.

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Speaker 1: De parlay.

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Speaker 3: It's for this r with yours. It better be five

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Speaker 3: hundred to one at least.

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Speaker 1: I mean, well, y'all figure it out. I'm going to

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Speaker 1: go in.

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Speaker 3: You get part ownership of the sports book itself. Yeah,

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Speaker 3: I'm seeing like plus five four seven two one. So okay,

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Speaker 3: all right, oh my god.

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Speaker 5: Okay, Well, I mean, hey, if Ryan Miller can hit

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Speaker 5: a first touch down, anything as possible, So I say, yeah,

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Speaker 5: this is this is dissis hitting.

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Speaker 4: This is watch It'll be a chan It'll be the

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Speaker 4: one that sells us on this one.

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Speaker 1: That Jackson hawes.

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Speaker 5: But you can also just round robbin it with all

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Speaker 5: these guys and even added to tie Johnson in from

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Speaker 5: like you can do all the depth cart.

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Speaker 1: Weird things too you want.

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Speaker 5: But yeah, uh maybe it's maybe this game will maybe

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Speaker 5: it would just be like five Josh Allen touchdowns. Hopefully

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Speaker 5: not all right, I mean actually I don't yeah, like

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Speaker 5: score your touchdowns, Josh. All right, Sunday Slate, This this

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Speaker 5: game is getting really interesting. It's the Packers at the

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Speaker 5: Cleveland Browns. I guy Stucky really likes the Browns in

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Speaker 5: this spot. Thinks their defense has been playing a week

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Speaker 5: and it's kind of flying under the radar because they

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Speaker 5: gave up forty to the Ravens.

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Speaker 1: And I kind of agree their defense playing really well

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Speaker 1: against the run.

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Speaker 5: And uh, I didn't know how much offense there, so

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Speaker 5: Joe curious as to how you're going to attack this one.

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Speaker 5: And I should mention as we record this sounds like

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Speaker 5: Tucker Craft injured himself in practice or got injured in practice,

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Speaker 5: so he's not a short thing. Kind of sounds like

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Speaker 5: he's going to miss up this point. We don't know

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Speaker 5: for sure, but I just thought I point that out.

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Speaker 4: I'm glad you did, because the touchdown ods immediately shifted

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Speaker 4: once that news came out, because the guy that I

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Speaker 4: was on before the news was Dontavian Wicks at plus

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Speaker 4: three twenty five. With that news, it's a round plus

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Speaker 4: two fifty to plus two seventy five. I mean, he

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Speaker 4: might actually have a little bit more of an increased

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Speaker 4: role now if Tucker is out. He was playing a

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Speaker 4: little bit more in the slot in Week two. But

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Speaker 4: part of the reason why I still think we could

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Speaker 4: have a little bit of value on don Wick here

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Speaker 4: is because he just leads the team in target share

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Speaker 4: against man coverage and the Cleveland Browns through two games,

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Speaker 4: which is more of what we've seen under Jim Schwartz.

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Speaker 4: They just play a ton of man coverage. And now

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Speaker 4: Jayden Reed is also out as well. Matt Golden, we

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Speaker 4: talked about him in pre game, like, yeah, they're trying

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Speaker 4: to get stuff working for him, but he just it's

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Speaker 4: unproven for me at this point. So I think Dontavian

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Speaker 4: Wicks is probably the one who will see the biggest

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Speaker 4: boost if Tucker Craft is out. So that's why I

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Speaker 4: like as well. And then on the Brown side, I

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Speaker 4: think the pendulum has swung way too on David Nijoku.

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Speaker 4: I think the Harold van in Love is a little

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Speaker 4: out of control. I'm not saying he isn't good, but

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Speaker 4: just let's let's just pump the brakes here because I

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Speaker 4: think the other thing too is the Browns. I mean,

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Speaker 4: we saw this through two weeks. They haven't really been

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Speaker 4: able to protect Joe Flacco very well, and I think

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Speaker 4: this is gonna be a really tough matchup for them

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Speaker 4: from the deep on the offensive side because just the

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Speaker 4: Packers top five and pressure Ray right now. So I

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Speaker 4: think you're just gonna see a lot more screen passes,

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Speaker 4: maybe a couple of scene passes up the middle, but

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Speaker 4: they're gonna be short and quick. And I think if

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Speaker 4: that's gonna be the case, then David Nijoku, I think

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Speaker 4: is who we want because it just has that pedigree

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Speaker 4: as far as being the end zone target. He's led

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Speaker 4: the Browns and end zone targets in each of the

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Speaker 4: last two seasons. We saw him have those career moments

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Speaker 4: with Joe Flacco and the Packers they're playing Cover two

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Speaker 4: and zone at a top five rate, and Nijoku has

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Speaker 4: seen his targets per run go up against both zone

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Speaker 4: and Cover two, and of course just tight ends. They've

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Speaker 4: had a little bit of success against his Packers defense,

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Speaker 4: like Samu la Porta. He didn't score, but he led

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Speaker 4: the lions and receiving yards in week one, and Zach

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Speaker 4: Ertz he did end up scoring in week two. So

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Speaker 4: I think Dontavium Wicks a plus two to fifty and

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Speaker 4: David Nijoku. I'm seeing right now plus three to ninety

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Speaker 4: for Najoku. So that's who I like on the Brown side.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, the market seems like you said, super down, and

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Speaker 5: that's usually the time to buy you. And I got

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Speaker 5: a guy like that in the division that'll talk about

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Speaker 5: a little bit later on the show. But all right,

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Speaker 5: Najoku and Wick's old favorite of the Fantasy flexpod Kerner

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Speaker 5: knows all about that. But I got the Jags hosted

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Speaker 5: the Texans here and this is Sean. I think you

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Speaker 5: referred to this as the Bad Vibe Bowl. I think

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Speaker 5: that still might be anything to do with Chicago. But yeah,

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Speaker 5: William Cone is not happy with Diami Brown. Trevor Lawrence

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Speaker 5: and the like after that showing his defense, I'm sure

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Speaker 5: I'm going with Travis Hunter to start off at plus

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Speaker 5: two to fifty.

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Speaker 1: Now.

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Speaker 5: Hunter saw a little bit of a down taking routes

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Speaker 5: run down to seventy percent last week after being about

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Speaker 5: eighty two percent the week before.

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Speaker 1: However, a lot.

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Speaker 5: Of injuries happened in mid game they needed to use

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Speaker 5: him on defense. He's still got a lot of usage

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Speaker 5: in the red zone. And boy do the Jags need

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Speaker 5: help in the red zone, because I mean, Trevor and

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Speaker 5: Diami couldn't get on the same page. But the other

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Speaker 5: thing I've noticed about the Jags and why like Hunter here,

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Speaker 5: is they're running him out to slat a little bit more.

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Speaker 5: That is gonna help him against those use in corners.

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Speaker 5: But also the Jackson's done almost everybody in the end zone.

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Speaker 5: They got tooting in. Etn's been there Hunter long, like

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Speaker 5: everyone's getting in. So it's down to like even Tomas

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Speaker 5: been there, just like Strange and and and my guy Hunter,

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Speaker 5: And I think they I think they're gonna try as

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Speaker 5: hard as they can to get this guy in the

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Speaker 5: end zone. And for the Texans, going right back to

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Speaker 5: Woody Marx here, Pierce was a scratch bass game. I

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Speaker 5: think that's the right way to go. Marx had some

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Speaker 5: explosive plays. So even if he doesn't get goal line

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Speaker 5: work right off the bat, you know, if he kind

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Speaker 5: of works into the rotation a little bit more, I

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Speaker 5: still think he's.

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Speaker 1: Capable of those explosive plays.

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Speaker 5: A lot tooting last week against the Cincinnati Bengals, so

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Speaker 5: give me wood.

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Speaker 1: He marks at plus five fifty one. All right, speaking

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Speaker 1: of the Bengals.

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Speaker 5: Bengals at the Minnesota Vikings, this should be some concentrated

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Speaker 5: touchdown goodness here, Sean Kerne, who you.

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Speaker 3: Got, Yeah, I'm gonna go with Jordan Mason to score

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Speaker 3: two plus touchdowns at plus three ninety over at DraftKings.

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Speaker 3: But you know, Aaron Jones hands fering injury was severe

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Speaker 3: enough he's now on the IR so Mason's gonna be

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Speaker 3: the guy for at least four games. But Mason was

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Speaker 3: already sort of operating as a lead back when Jones

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Speaker 3: was healthy these first couple of games. But now Jones gone,

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Speaker 3: they really have nobody to push Mason. You know, they

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Speaker 3: have Xavier Scott is the backup. He's kind of a

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Speaker 3: maker running back. Huh, can't Makers.

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Speaker 1: They can't quit him. They got him again. I'm worried. Yeah, no,

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Speaker 1: i'mbly gonna play no worried about him.

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Speaker 3: I think I think if anything, Scott Will will spell

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Speaker 3: Mason at times on like passing situations, give him a breather.

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Speaker 3: But either I think Jordan Mason has one of the

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Speaker 3: highest floors this week just in terms of volume. And

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Speaker 3: you know, any goal line carry is going to go

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Speaker 3: to Mason. I'm sure of that. So that's why I

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Speaker 3: like him here. And you know, hopefully Carson Wentz can't

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Speaker 3: get the passing game back on track and just get

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Speaker 3: them you know, cross midfield more often, kind of set

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Speaker 3: up Mason a little bit better than JJ McCarthy was.

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Speaker 3: So I like Mason to score at least two times

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Speaker 3: here at plus three ninety.

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Speaker 2: And then on the.

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Speaker 3: Other side, I'm going to do the same thing. I'm

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Speaker 3: going to take Jamar Chase to score at least two

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Speaker 3: touchdowns At twelve to one. I thought that was crazy

290
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Speaker 3: that he's twelve to one, but you know, obviously it's

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Speaker 3: it's a massive blow to the Bengals with Joe Burrow,

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Speaker 3: you know, suffering potentially a season ending toe injury. But

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Speaker 3: like we were saying ravon this this offense under Jake

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Speaker 3: Browning back in twenty twenty three, he was able to

295
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Speaker 3: you know, keep but you know, very aggressive passing attack.

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Speaker 3: You know he's going to be throwing more high percentage

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Speaker 3: looks getting out quickly. But that sets up well for

298
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Speaker 3: Jamar Chase. I think he just wants to get the

299
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Speaker 3: ball in his hands. So I think Chase's projection doesn't

300
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Speaker 3: change too much right now. So I like the idea

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Speaker 3: of kind of buying low on Chase and the Bengals

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Speaker 3: passing attack right now for him to score two times

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Speaker 3: at twelve to one.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, I've already heard They're just gonna spam Higgins and

305
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Speaker 5: Chase and then probably use more of the two tight

306
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Speaker 5: end looks like around that and also may get Chase

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Speaker 5: brown and more involved with a screen game again like

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Speaker 5: he was back in twenty twenty three. So that's another

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Speaker 5: guy I like as well in that spot, but totally

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Speaker 5: agree on.

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Speaker 1: I think Mason may play every snap.

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Speaker 5: I think he has a high not even just the floor,

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Speaker 5: like maybe the one of the highest ceilings that he's

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Speaker 5: ever had in high Steelings. On the sleet, he was

315
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Speaker 5: like a top five running back in praise of the

316
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Speaker 5: McCaffrey for that stretch. So yeah, man, I think it's

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Speaker 5: time for Mason here.

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Speaker 4: Jill yep.

319
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Speaker 5: Falcons looking good with the pass rush, Carolina looking good

320
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Speaker 5: with the old school one Hunter Renfro two touchdown game,

321
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Speaker 5: but that's about everything else looked pretty horrible.

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Speaker 1: What are you doing?

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Speaker 4: I think that Panther's scoring output is a little false.

324
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Speaker 4: I feel like the Cardinals should have won that game

325
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Speaker 4: by twenty points. They completely took their foot off the gas.

326
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Speaker 4: I'm not gonna necessarily put a ton of stock in

327
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Speaker 4: what we saw in Carolina's offense. But and just because

328
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Speaker 4: I'm not confident in Panthers' touchdown scores on I mean,

329
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Speaker 4: we can't find a ton of value. But initially I

330
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Speaker 4: was looking at like Jatavian Sanders and thinking like, okay,

331
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Speaker 4: maybe it might be Tommy Tremble's turn. Honestly, like, once

332
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Speaker 4: I just started digging through it, I was like, why

333
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Speaker 4: don't we just go back to Hunter Renfro again. He's

334
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Speaker 4: plus four hundred. He played over eighty snaps in week two,

335
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Speaker 4: eighty percent of snaps rather than Week two, And one

336
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Speaker 4: of the things that I've noticed, especially in Week two

337
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Speaker 4: was in this offense, he's kind of taken over that

338
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Speaker 4: safety blanket kind of roll that Adam Thielen was providing

339
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Speaker 4: last year. And last year with that player in that role,

340
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Speaker 4: just crushed zone defense and that was somebody that they

341
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Speaker 4: targeted routinely. And the Falcons they're playing a lot of

342
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Speaker 4: cover too, a lot of Cover three rather a lot

343
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Speaker 4: of zone. I think that could more play into Renfro's hands,

344
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Speaker 4: especially at four to one. The fact that you're getting

345
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Speaker 4: a wide receiver two essentially at four to one, I

346
00:16:19,360 --> 00:16:21,640
Speaker 4: think is pretty good value. On the Falcon side, though,

347
00:16:21,680 --> 00:16:24,440
Speaker 4: I went super chalky. I think you just got to

348
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Speaker 4: take Drake London because the touchdowns are coming. I just

349
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Speaker 4: I'm surprised that we haven't gotten there yet. But he's

350
00:16:29,960 --> 00:16:33,040
Speaker 4: two pretty tough matchups. But again, three end zone targets

351
00:16:33,040 --> 00:16:36,120
Speaker 4: through two games Carolina. Just like the Falcons play a

352
00:16:36,120 --> 00:16:38,840
Speaker 4: ton of zone, emphasis on Cover three. Well, London he

353
00:16:38,920 --> 00:16:41,320
Speaker 4: leads the team in yards per round run targets route

354
00:16:41,360 --> 00:16:44,320
Speaker 4: run rather against both of those types of coverages. I mean,

355
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Speaker 4: he crushed them last year sixteen catches and three touchdowns.

356
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Speaker 4: So yeah, there will be no Kyle Pitts from me

357
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Speaker 4: this week on the Falcon side. So yeah, we're just

358
00:16:52,920 --> 00:16:56,040
Speaker 4: doing Drake London and Hunter Renfro plus one sixty and

359
00:16:56,080 --> 00:16:56,920
Speaker 4: plus four hundred.

360
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Speaker 5: So you said Renfro is like the safety blanket like

361
00:17:01,400 --> 00:17:04,760
Speaker 5: Depen was. It's like you're safety blanket me out of cotton.

362
00:17:06,720 --> 00:17:10,160
Speaker 4: Cotton now, Yeah, it's like this is blanket. I guess

363
00:17:10,480 --> 00:17:18,800
Speaker 4: he just car I am surprised. I thought this would

364
00:17:18,800 --> 00:17:20,440
Speaker 4: be an interesting spot for you to go.

365
00:17:20,960 --> 00:17:22,800
Speaker 5: I'm kind of looking for this on the Panther's like

366
00:17:22,840 --> 00:17:26,240
Speaker 5: a no no touchdown for the Panthers because I kind

367
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Speaker 5: of want to buy all of that Falcons defense now

368
00:17:28,200 --> 00:17:30,320
Speaker 5: in a spot where no one really believes in them

369
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Speaker 5: because A J.

370
00:17:31,080 --> 00:17:33,480
Speaker 1: Terrell's out. Yeah, so I'm gonna be looking for that

371
00:17:33,520 --> 00:17:33,800
Speaker 1: one too.

372
00:17:33,840 --> 00:17:36,400
Speaker 5: I think if if Renfro doesn't come down with one,

373
00:17:36,480 --> 00:17:38,280
Speaker 5: that might be the way it ends up going.

374
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Speaker 4: I think it's telling too with Ajterrello, who was probably

375
00:17:41,200 --> 00:17:43,800
Speaker 4: gonna match up with Tech McMillan. Tech McMillan's odds didn't

376
00:17:43,880 --> 00:17:46,359
Speaker 4: change at all. So the fact that you're still getting

377
00:17:46,400 --> 00:17:48,960
Speaker 4: ten around plus one eighty, I think there's still Yeah,

378
00:17:49,000 --> 00:17:50,280
Speaker 4: like you said, there could be just a lot of

379
00:17:50,320 --> 00:17:52,000
Speaker 4: value on the Panthers just getting shut out.

380
00:17:52,680 --> 00:17:55,480
Speaker 5: Yeah, Bright Jong is like one of eighteen from in

381
00:17:55,520 --> 00:17:57,760
Speaker 5: the mid range. It's just not just hasn't been great

382
00:17:58,119 --> 00:18:00,880
Speaker 5: uh there for him, But uh we move on.

383
00:18:02,080 --> 00:18:03,240
Speaker 1: Pittsburgh got New England.

384
00:18:03,320 --> 00:18:05,040
Speaker 5: This game is just all types of tempting from a

385
00:18:05,119 --> 00:18:08,080
Speaker 5: betting front because you just kind of want to fade

386
00:18:08,440 --> 00:18:10,879
Speaker 5: the Steelers is a road favorites looking kind of shaky,

387
00:18:10,920 --> 00:18:13,960
Speaker 5: but then it's also New England always liable to be

388
00:18:14,000 --> 00:18:17,240
Speaker 5: shaky as well. But I'm gonna go with Calvin Austin

389
00:18:17,520 --> 00:18:20,760
Speaker 5: Junior for the Steelers at plus three ten at BETMGM,

390
00:18:21,200 --> 00:18:24,720
Speaker 5: and I have him pretty high in my touchdown projections

391
00:18:24,760 --> 00:18:27,960
Speaker 5: because number one, I think this total is a little

392
00:18:27,960 --> 00:18:30,719
Speaker 5: bit low here, and then number two, he's been getting

393
00:18:31,320 --> 00:18:34,119
Speaker 5: the most routes in the red zone for the team

394
00:18:34,359 --> 00:18:37,240
Speaker 5: and just a ninety percent route right over right there

395
00:18:37,280 --> 00:18:40,840
Speaker 5: with DK Metcalf, he's kind of solidified himself as that,

396
00:18:40,960 --> 00:18:44,000
Speaker 5: you know, number two receiver and that could be big

397
00:18:44,119 --> 00:18:46,320
Speaker 5: in a matchup like this. If if we get a

398
00:18:46,320 --> 00:18:49,280
Speaker 5: return of Christian Zalas, we'll see about that, but either way,

399
00:18:49,320 --> 00:18:51,800
Speaker 5: I think Austin. You know, we've seen the New England

400
00:18:51,840 --> 00:18:53,720
Speaker 5: Patriots give up touchdowns to Jay with Wattell.

401
00:18:54,200 --> 00:18:56,199
Speaker 1: We've seen them give up touchdowns to Trey Tucker.

402
00:18:57,000 --> 00:18:59,480
Speaker 5: Those fast guys that can run by people in the

403
00:18:59,520 --> 00:19:02,640
Speaker 5: secondary can still get him some trouble even though that's

404
00:19:02,680 --> 00:19:06,919
Speaker 5: a talented secondary. So and the communication Mike of Fitzpatrick committed,

405
00:19:06,960 --> 00:19:10,600
Speaker 5: it's been a you know, never knows though for them.

406
00:19:11,000 --> 00:19:13,040
Speaker 5: So I want to go to Austin Hooper, and the

407
00:19:13,119 --> 00:19:16,640
Speaker 5: reason is he's just kind of forgotten about, and I think, uh,

408
00:19:16,680 --> 00:19:20,520
Speaker 5: you know, everyone's gonna kind of be looking at Baute

409
00:19:20,800 --> 00:19:22,840
Speaker 5: and you know, his gigs ever going to get in

410
00:19:22,920 --> 00:19:26,399
Speaker 5: a mix and matc Holland scored and Douglas had like

411
00:19:26,440 --> 00:19:29,919
Speaker 5: one yard again, so who knows with him? But I

412
00:19:30,000 --> 00:19:33,840
Speaker 5: just think that there's still some kind of miscommunications to

413
00:19:33,880 --> 00:19:37,359
Speaker 5: be had for this Pittsburgh secondary. And Austin Hooper is

414
00:19:37,359 --> 00:19:39,119
Speaker 5: a guy that's kind of flown under the radar with

415
00:19:39,160 --> 00:19:42,160
Speaker 5: the Hunter Henry taking on a bigger role, but Hooper's

416
00:19:42,160 --> 00:19:45,880
Speaker 5: still seeing his snaps in the red zone, not not

417
00:19:46,040 --> 00:19:48,760
Speaker 5: like all of them because obviously Henry still there, but

418
00:19:48,920 --> 00:19:51,320
Speaker 5: that is where he's seeing an uptick. And so I

419
00:19:51,359 --> 00:19:52,760
Speaker 5: want to kind of get ahead of that because I

420
00:19:52,760 --> 00:19:55,640
Speaker 5: think he could end up working in to this new

421
00:19:55,640 --> 00:19:58,560
Speaker 5: England offense as well, once you know kind of some

422
00:19:58,680 --> 00:20:01,200
Speaker 5: of the luster weares all of the of the wide

423
00:20:01,240 --> 00:20:03,920
Speaker 5: receivers because they're getting all these like one catch, one catch,

424
00:20:03,920 --> 00:20:08,040
Speaker 5: one touchdown type of performances. So maybe if but I

425
00:20:08,080 --> 00:20:10,920
Speaker 5: would say this, if Efton Chisholm, the third is active

426
00:20:11,280 --> 00:20:14,240
Speaker 5: over Douglas, who has just been not not very well

427
00:20:14,240 --> 00:20:18,520
Speaker 5: from a statistical standboy in the last couple, definitely sprinkles

428
00:20:18,600 --> 00:20:20,320
Speaker 5: him in there as well. That'll be a play for

429
00:20:20,359 --> 00:20:24,320
Speaker 5: me if if that happens, because yeah, Douglas has been struggling.

430
00:20:23,920 --> 00:20:24,240
Speaker 2: A little bit.

431
00:20:24,320 --> 00:20:32,280
Speaker 1: So that's my angle there. Turner Rams at Eagles, I know,

432
00:20:32,160 --> 00:20:35,200
Speaker 1: you know, yeah, I know, you know, you know where

433
00:20:35,160 --> 00:20:35,480
Speaker 1: I'm going.

434
00:20:36,520 --> 00:20:39,080
Speaker 3: Anytime I get a glimmer of hope that Blake Koram

435
00:20:39,160 --> 00:20:40,680
Speaker 3: might actually touch the ball that.

436
00:20:40,640 --> 00:20:41,840
Speaker 2: Week, I'm gonna take it.

437
00:20:42,160 --> 00:20:44,520
Speaker 3: So I'm going with Blake Korum at plus five hundred

438
00:20:44,560 --> 00:20:45,160
Speaker 3: at FanDuel.

439
00:20:45,640 --> 00:20:46,280
Speaker 2: Last week he.

440
00:20:46,280 --> 00:20:51,080
Speaker 3: Played a career high eighteen snaps. I'm not getting too

441
00:20:51,119 --> 00:20:55,199
Speaker 3: excited about it. McVeigh has already said Kirn's still the

442
00:20:55,280 --> 00:20:57,520
Speaker 3: lead back. I wouldn't be shocked if this week, you know,

443
00:20:57,600 --> 00:20:59,960
Speaker 3: Korum ends up playing one snap or something like that,

444
00:21:00,320 --> 00:21:03,840
Speaker 3: so got to be careful trying to invest in any

445
00:21:04,040 --> 00:21:07,320
Speaker 3: rams running back situation. But the one thing I did

446
00:21:07,840 --> 00:21:10,720
Speaker 3: notice or liked about Korn's usage was they let him

447
00:21:10,760 --> 00:21:13,119
Speaker 3: get the goal in carry last week. It was a

448
00:21:13,160 --> 00:21:15,879
Speaker 3: one yard touchdown plunge where he got hit behind the

449
00:21:15,880 --> 00:21:18,159
Speaker 3: line of scrimmage and then also had to kind of

450
00:21:18,200 --> 00:21:21,040
Speaker 3: go through one or two more defenders to get into

451
00:21:21,080 --> 00:21:23,240
Speaker 3: the end zone. So it was a big boy touchdown.

452
00:21:24,400 --> 00:21:27,080
Speaker 3: So it's it's not a question they might let him

453
00:21:27,119 --> 00:21:29,840
Speaker 3: see the next goal line attempt or another goal line

454
00:21:29,840 --> 00:21:31,959
Speaker 3: attempt in this game. So that's kind of why I

455
00:21:32,000 --> 00:21:35,720
Speaker 3: like him in this market. But I'm always prepared to be,

456
00:21:35,880 --> 00:21:38,040
Speaker 3: you know, let down by McVeigh. But I still think

457
00:21:38,040 --> 00:21:40,520
Speaker 3: it's an all situation where getting him at five to

458
00:21:40,560 --> 00:21:43,320
Speaker 3: one makes a ton of sense. And then on the

459
00:21:43,320 --> 00:21:45,640
Speaker 3: other side, I'm going to go Johan Dotson at ten

460
00:21:45,680 --> 00:21:49,080
Speaker 3: to one for the Eagles, still operating as you know,

461
00:21:49,119 --> 00:21:52,359
Speaker 3: the clear number three wide receiver. But last year, you know,

462
00:21:52,400 --> 00:21:55,639
Speaker 3: he was traded in season, so you know, he was

463
00:21:55,640 --> 00:21:58,600
Speaker 3: basically the cardio king for the first handful of games

464
00:21:58,640 --> 00:22:01,879
Speaker 3: until you know, Jay Hurts maybe knew he was running

465
00:22:01,920 --> 00:22:04,959
Speaker 3: routes and then we saw him. You know, he had

466
00:22:04,960 --> 00:22:07,160
Speaker 3: a touchdown in the opening round of the playoffs, had

467
00:22:07,160 --> 00:22:10,280
Speaker 3: a good Super Bowl, had two catches for forty two yards.

468
00:22:10,359 --> 00:22:13,120
Speaker 3: Week one he was great, three catches fifty nine yards.

469
00:22:13,280 --> 00:22:15,119
Speaker 3: So he's been kind of trending up. And I mean

470
00:22:15,160 --> 00:22:17,200
Speaker 3: he was a first round pick what three years ago,

471
00:22:17,680 --> 00:22:20,280
Speaker 3: so he has talent, and you know, with aj Brown

472
00:22:20,760 --> 00:22:25,800
Speaker 3: not looking quite right, Dallas Goddards banged up, Dotson could benefit.

473
00:22:25,840 --> 00:22:27,480
Speaker 3: So I think he's worth a fire here at ten

474
00:22:27,520 --> 00:22:27,800
Speaker 3: to one.

475
00:22:29,359 --> 00:22:30,640
Speaker 5: I think I know what you're going to say here,

476
00:22:30,680 --> 00:22:32,680
Speaker 5: but I do want to ask you this real quick

477
00:22:33,200 --> 00:22:37,120
Speaker 5: because I'm thinking about it. Where are you on Jalen

478
00:22:37,240 --> 00:22:42,800
Speaker 5: Hurts over one and a half passing touchdowns at twus

479
00:22:42,920 --> 00:22:47,400
Speaker 5: one point seventy five, because that if he throws touchdowns

480
00:22:47,400 --> 00:22:48,880
Speaker 5: at all, he'll probably throw two.

481
00:22:49,440 --> 00:22:51,200
Speaker 1: So I feel like this is kind of a time

482
00:22:51,240 --> 00:22:51,520
Speaker 1: to buy you.

483
00:22:51,560 --> 00:22:52,879
Speaker 5: But I'm curious as to where you are on that

484
00:22:52,920 --> 00:22:56,240
Speaker 5: because you know, it's obviously the market is super super

485
00:22:56,280 --> 00:22:56,719
Speaker 5: down on him.

486
00:22:56,720 --> 00:22:58,800
Speaker 1: But this RAMS team doesn't scare me from that.

487
00:22:58,880 --> 00:23:01,320
Speaker 2: Ag Oh really, I think they.

488
00:23:01,560 --> 00:23:04,320
Speaker 3: I mean I have him, I have him right around there.

489
00:23:04,400 --> 00:23:08,399
Speaker 3: I have him like plus one seventy six for over

490
00:23:09,640 --> 00:23:13,040
Speaker 3: one and a half passing touchdowns. I mean, he's gonna

491
00:23:13,080 --> 00:23:14,399
Speaker 3: run it in if they get to the one, and

492
00:23:14,440 --> 00:23:17,080
Speaker 3: then you always have to worry about Barkley taking one

493
00:23:17,119 --> 00:23:19,480
Speaker 3: of the house. But I know that you were kind

494
00:23:19,480 --> 00:23:21,680
Speaker 3: of high on the passing attack going into the season.

495
00:23:21,720 --> 00:23:24,640
Speaker 3: They're gonna have to throw more. So if this game

496
00:23:24,680 --> 00:23:27,200
Speaker 3: is close, yeah, we could see him throw more in

497
00:23:27,280 --> 00:23:29,959
Speaker 3: the red zone. Why where are you projecting on that,

498
00:23:30,000 --> 00:23:31,359
Speaker 3: You're showing value plus one something.

499
00:23:31,560 --> 00:23:33,320
Speaker 5: It's more so just kind of like one of those

500
00:23:33,440 --> 00:23:34,919
Speaker 5: It's not a ton of value, but it's more like

501
00:23:34,920 --> 00:23:38,040
Speaker 5: a bounce back spot with a market down and it's nothing. Really,

502
00:23:38,080 --> 00:23:41,440
Speaker 5: He's not really been doing anything like that bad And

503
00:23:41,960 --> 00:23:43,040
Speaker 5: I think ag Brown is fine.

504
00:23:43,080 --> 00:23:44,320
Speaker 1: This is just a low vuyume offense.

505
00:23:44,359 --> 00:23:47,639
Speaker 5: But with this one's hurt and the minute everyone starts

506
00:23:47,680 --> 00:23:50,919
Speaker 5: really doubting, Jaalen hurts, you know he does so and

507
00:23:51,040 --> 00:23:52,200
Speaker 5: I looked at I looked it up.

508
00:23:52,240 --> 00:23:53,480
Speaker 1: He's never gone three.

509
00:23:53,840 --> 00:23:56,080
Speaker 5: It looks like he's never gone three straight regular season

510
00:23:56,119 --> 00:23:59,760
Speaker 5: games of you know, in the same season without throwing

511
00:23:59,760 --> 00:24:03,119
Speaker 5: a score. So yeah, I think I might be on

512
00:24:03,160 --> 00:24:06,280
Speaker 5: that one because I remember last year and everyone was like,

513
00:24:06,320 --> 00:24:09,720
Speaker 5: oh my god, Brown's reading books and and then he

514
00:24:09,840 --> 00:24:12,120
Speaker 5: just carved up jal and Carbon Steelers.

515
00:24:12,119 --> 00:24:17,440
Speaker 3: So you know this one to Johann Bison right, had

516
00:24:17,440 --> 00:24:17,960
Speaker 3: a great camp.

517
00:24:17,960 --> 00:24:19,120
Speaker 1: He's playing a lot better this year.

518
00:24:19,200 --> 00:24:23,080
Speaker 5: So yes, he's notably in the mix this year, unlike

519
00:24:23,760 --> 00:24:28,960
Speaker 5: Grant cal Katara just invisible. But uh, speaking at cal Katara,

520
00:24:29,520 --> 00:24:32,919
Speaker 5: I think you have like a Calcatara adjacent type of

521
00:24:32,920 --> 00:24:34,920
Speaker 5: play in the Raiders Commander's game.

522
00:24:35,000 --> 00:24:38,679
Speaker 4: Joe, Yeah, I'm looking at the Raiders Commanders because I

523
00:24:38,720 --> 00:24:42,280
Speaker 4: wanted to just make sure that Jade Daniels is out

524
00:24:42,480 --> 00:24:46,159
Speaker 4: this week because looking right now, looking at the sports books,

525
00:24:46,160 --> 00:24:48,639
Speaker 4: all the different sportsbooks, I only see one book up

526
00:24:48,640 --> 00:24:50,800
Speaker 4: and it's not even it's not it doesn't even feel

527
00:24:50,840 --> 00:24:52,480
Speaker 4: like a real odds So I'm not even gonna I'm

528
00:24:52,520 --> 00:24:55,600
Speaker 4: not even gonna entertain it. But so if that's the case,

529
00:24:55,640 --> 00:24:58,960
Speaker 4: then Marcus Mariota is starting, And if Marcus Mariota is starting,

530
00:24:58,960 --> 00:25:02,119
Speaker 4: I think that means downfield passes are likely going to

531
00:25:02,119 --> 00:25:04,399
Speaker 4: be at a minimum. Just looking back at some of

532
00:25:04,400 --> 00:25:07,400
Speaker 4: his starts, he hadn't had a completion of over thirty

533
00:25:07,480 --> 00:25:10,159
Speaker 4: yards than those two starts last year with the commanders.

534
00:25:10,640 --> 00:25:12,720
Speaker 4: So if I'm looking at anybody, I'm looking at people

535
00:25:12,720 --> 00:25:14,879
Speaker 4: with shorter a dot, you know, take advantage of that

536
00:25:14,960 --> 00:25:18,120
Speaker 4: sown defense. So zach Ertz I think still applies here,

537
00:25:18,160 --> 00:25:20,359
Speaker 4: especially because his odds continue to climb. It was around

538
00:25:20,359 --> 00:25:23,240
Speaker 4: plus two seventy five, it's now up to plus three twenty,

539
00:25:23,240 --> 00:25:27,119
Speaker 4: which is I think just great value here because Raiders

540
00:25:27,240 --> 00:25:29,520
Speaker 4: right now through two weeks highest rate of zone in

541
00:25:29,560 --> 00:25:32,680
Speaker 4: the entire NFL Cover three rate of fifty percent. Well,

542
00:25:32,800 --> 00:25:35,040
Speaker 4: Ertz has done well versus Cover three and he's also

543
00:25:35,080 --> 00:25:36,720
Speaker 4: the only commander of this year to have a touchdown

544
00:25:36,800 --> 00:25:39,480
Speaker 4: versus zone. So and then when I went back to

545
00:25:39,480 --> 00:25:41,440
Speaker 4: look at Marcus Mariota starts because he had a week

546
00:25:41,480 --> 00:25:43,560
Speaker 4: eighteen start and then another one where he filled in

547
00:25:43,600 --> 00:25:47,280
Speaker 4: for him against Carolina scored him both of those games.

548
00:25:47,280 --> 00:25:51,119
Speaker 4: So I think zach Ertz between him and Deebo. Deebo

549
00:25:51,240 --> 00:25:54,119
Speaker 4: right now around plus one seventy I think plus one

550
00:25:54,160 --> 00:25:56,000
Speaker 4: seventy five. Not to say that I don't like Debo,

551
00:25:56,080 --> 00:25:58,919
Speaker 4: but I just I think Ertz offers more value in

552
00:25:58,960 --> 00:26:03,080
Speaker 4: this position. On the Raiders side, though, if the Commanders

553
00:26:03,080 --> 00:26:04,719
Speaker 4: are going to keep playing a ton of man coverage

554
00:26:04,720 --> 00:26:06,600
Speaker 4: in single high safety. I'm just going to keep playing

555
00:26:06,640 --> 00:26:10,520
Speaker 4: Tray Tucker, like you know, in those positions because we

556
00:26:10,560 --> 00:26:12,720
Speaker 4: saw how kind of how brock Bowers looked last week.

557
00:26:12,800 --> 00:26:15,919
Speaker 4: Still looks to be a little recovering. You know, he

558
00:26:16,040 --> 00:26:18,040
Speaker 4: might still he'll still get volume, but just I don't

559
00:26:18,080 --> 00:26:20,760
Speaker 4: know how effective he'll be at beating man coverage. And

560
00:26:20,800 --> 00:26:23,640
Speaker 4: then Kobe Myers just isn't the value just isn't there.

561
00:26:23,640 --> 00:26:25,639
Speaker 4: I think it's like plus one point eighty right now.

562
00:26:25,880 --> 00:26:28,200
Speaker 4: So with Tucker, you're at least knowing you're getting a

563
00:26:28,200 --> 00:26:30,399
Speaker 4: wide receivers going to play ninety percent of snaps. He

564
00:26:30,480 --> 00:26:32,399
Speaker 4: might get some red zone carries as well. He's got

565
00:26:32,440 --> 00:26:35,520
Speaker 4: an end zone target in both games. Typically doesn't really

566
00:26:35,520 --> 00:26:37,200
Speaker 4: get a ton of volume, but a really high a

567
00:26:37,359 --> 00:26:40,920
Speaker 4: dot when he plays against man coverage and single high safety.

568
00:26:41,000 --> 00:26:43,440
Speaker 4: So I think anything at plus three fifty or better

569
00:26:43,440 --> 00:26:45,960
Speaker 4: for Trey Tucker is great value on the Raiders side.

570
00:26:46,080 --> 00:26:47,720
Speaker 4: That being said, if you wanted to talk me into

571
00:26:47,800 --> 00:26:50,480
Speaker 4: Dante Thornton, I wouldn't be mad at it. But zach

572
00:26:50,600 --> 00:26:52,400
Speaker 4: Ertz and Trey Tucker, those are the two guys I'm

573
00:26:52,400 --> 00:26:52,760
Speaker 4: looking at.

574
00:26:54,080 --> 00:26:58,320
Speaker 5: Yeah, Thornton's looming, but you know, I think Tucker, he's clear.

575
00:26:58,400 --> 00:27:00,600
Speaker 5: We've been the guy, our guy Nick Giffer as well,

576
00:27:00,640 --> 00:27:02,639
Speaker 5: and he's look good out there. I think that's the

577
00:27:02,720 --> 00:27:05,240
Speaker 5: kind of guy they need in that spot. Just add

578
00:27:05,280 --> 00:27:08,919
Speaker 5: some juice to that outside because that's what was really lacking.

579
00:27:08,960 --> 00:27:12,680
Speaker 5: And well, Cardio King threat every week is Thornton.

580
00:27:13,040 --> 00:27:15,320
Speaker 4: Well, well in Tucker. The thing is week one, like

581
00:27:15,440 --> 00:27:17,480
Speaker 4: I think he was like eight to one against the Patriots,

582
00:27:17,480 --> 00:27:19,560
Speaker 4: maybe even seven to one. And when I was talking

583
00:27:19,560 --> 00:27:21,040
Speaker 4: with Dick about this is like, it doesn't matter what

584
00:27:21,080 --> 00:27:22,800
Speaker 4: the coverage is. The piece at eight to one, I'll

585
00:27:22,800 --> 00:27:24,720
Speaker 4: take it every time. But when you're gonna be playing

586
00:27:24,720 --> 00:27:26,639
Speaker 4: against this type of coverage, that's kind of when you

587
00:27:26,680 --> 00:27:28,320
Speaker 4: want to play him, not necessarily against a team that

588
00:27:28,400 --> 00:27:29,800
Speaker 4: plays majority of his own.

589
00:27:29,800 --> 00:27:33,240
Speaker 5: Get at Bucks and this is kind of devolving a

590
00:27:33,240 --> 00:27:35,320
Speaker 5: little bit. Guys are hurt on the Bucks, but I

591
00:27:35,320 --> 00:27:39,520
Speaker 5: guess it doesn't matter to Baker Mayfield. So I was

592
00:27:39,760 --> 00:27:42,760
Speaker 5: just thinking a change in mind to Mayfield anytime touchdown

593
00:27:42,800 --> 00:27:43,960
Speaker 5: on the ground, because I think it'll be kind of

594
00:27:44,000 --> 00:27:45,160
Speaker 5: running around a little bit here.

595
00:27:45,760 --> 00:27:46,880
Speaker 1: They Jets have been playing.

596
00:27:46,680 --> 00:27:49,320
Speaker 5: Some man defense as well, but I'm gonna go Bucky

597
00:27:49,320 --> 00:27:52,080
Speaker 5: Irving because I actually have him projected higher than plus

598
00:27:52,160 --> 00:27:54,600
Speaker 5: one twenty. And you know, it's rare that you get

599
00:27:54,600 --> 00:27:58,040
Speaker 5: a true like edge and value on your projections in

600
00:27:58,040 --> 00:28:00,840
Speaker 5: the touchdown market because they're usually played a little bit

601
00:28:00,880 --> 00:28:02,320
Speaker 5: more than a regular props.

602
00:28:02,359 --> 00:28:03,800
Speaker 1: So gotta go Bucky here.

603
00:28:03,800 --> 00:28:06,920
Speaker 5: And then on the other side, I guess nobody believes

604
00:28:06,960 --> 00:28:11,080
Speaker 5: in in Tyrod Taylor after you know, like justin Field's

605
00:28:11,160 --> 00:28:12,919
Speaker 5: face planned and it was it was ugly out there.

606
00:28:12,960 --> 00:28:14,920
Speaker 5: But I gotta go Garrett Wilson at plus two fifteen.

607
00:28:15,119 --> 00:28:17,439
Speaker 5: I still think this is too low for him. If

608
00:28:17,480 --> 00:28:20,840
Speaker 5: you look at the Bucks, their defense has been good

609
00:28:21,280 --> 00:28:24,359
Speaker 5: and the one thing they've been giving up is touchdowns

610
00:28:24,400 --> 00:28:27,280
Speaker 5: to and you know, big game to number one receivers.

611
00:28:27,280 --> 00:28:30,800
Speaker 5: We saw Nico last week and then you know London

612
00:28:30,800 --> 00:28:33,600
Speaker 5: as well as Way. Wait, yeah, look, London was well

613
00:28:33,640 --> 00:28:35,239
Speaker 5: on his way but then got knocked out at the end.

614
00:28:35,240 --> 00:28:37,960
Speaker 5: But have fifteen targets, could have got a couple of touchdowns.

615
00:28:37,960 --> 00:28:41,959
Speaker 5: I think one got overturned as well. So Garret Wilson

616
00:28:42,000 --> 00:28:45,560
Speaker 5: made the mistake of fading him against the Steelers in

617
00:28:45,640 --> 00:28:47,840
Speaker 5: Week one and he showed out. So now you know

618
00:28:47,880 --> 00:28:50,240
Speaker 5: a week with a week two prepare for Tyrod Taylor.

619
00:28:50,920 --> 00:28:53,400
Speaker 5: I'm gonna buy well here, but the Bucks mite banged

620
00:28:53,440 --> 00:28:56,160
Speaker 5: up on defense as well, so I don't know which

621
00:28:56,160 --> 00:28:58,360
Speaker 5: way this one's gonna go. It's a luck ranking game

622
00:28:58,400 --> 00:29:00,400
Speaker 5: in favor of the Jets, so maybe that helps me

623
00:29:00,440 --> 00:29:03,760
Speaker 5: out here. But two of my favorite players, Bucky Irvin

624
00:29:04,200 --> 00:29:08,720
Speaker 5: Garrett Wilson two fifteen for Wilson, plus one twenty for

625
00:29:08,800 --> 00:29:14,520
Speaker 5: Irving on ban Duel Kerner. You're up Colts at Titans.

626
00:29:14,560 --> 00:29:17,080
Speaker 5: I am very interested in this game, man, I'm exciting

627
00:29:17,080 --> 00:29:17,800
Speaker 5: about this one.

628
00:29:18,360 --> 00:29:21,560
Speaker 2: Yeah, me too. Hopefully you're on the Titans right, Oh

629
00:29:21,680 --> 00:29:24,440
Speaker 2: of course. Yeah. It's up to four and a half.

630
00:29:24,520 --> 00:29:28,200
Speaker 3: Now, yeah, well I want to here it goes? Yeah,

631
00:29:28,200 --> 00:29:31,000
Speaker 3: well yeah, what are we getting the six? I hope,

632
00:29:31,040 --> 00:29:34,200
Speaker 3: I hope So I doubt it, but doubt it. But yeah, yeah,

633
00:29:34,280 --> 00:29:37,320
Speaker 3: I went through there. But I don't want to fade

634
00:29:37,320 --> 00:29:37,720
Speaker 3: this guy.

635
00:29:37,920 --> 00:29:38,680
Speaker 2: Tyler Warren.

636
00:29:38,760 --> 00:29:40,880
Speaker 3: I'm going back to the well at plus two twenty

637
00:29:40,920 --> 00:29:45,480
Speaker 3: here at FanDuel just had another solid four catch seventy

638
00:29:45,600 --> 00:29:48,880
Speaker 3: nine yard game, but he's still yet to find the

639
00:29:49,000 --> 00:29:52,360
Speaker 3: end zone. It's gonna come eventually. He had that end

640
00:29:52,440 --> 00:29:55,959
Speaker 3: zone target in Week one. They can use him creative

641
00:29:55,960 --> 00:29:59,400
Speaker 3: ways again, he you know, has two rush attempts. Now,

642
00:29:59,440 --> 00:30:01,880
Speaker 3: I believe not that they really need him to do

643
00:30:01,920 --> 00:30:05,360
Speaker 3: that with Jonathan Taylor there and Daniel Jones himself scoring

644
00:30:05,400 --> 00:30:08,240
Speaker 3: three touchdowns. But I think Daniel Jones isn't going to

645
00:30:08,320 --> 00:30:11,200
Speaker 3: keep scoring, you know, one to two rushing scores every week.

646
00:30:11,280 --> 00:30:12,480
Speaker 3: Some of those are going to start to going to

647
00:30:12,680 --> 00:30:15,640
Speaker 3: Jonathan Taylor, some of those will go to the pass catcher.

648
00:30:15,720 --> 00:30:17,360
Speaker 3: So I think, you know, we're going to see some

649
00:30:17,400 --> 00:30:21,040
Speaker 3: positive aggressions just in terms of passing touchdowns in this offense.

650
00:30:21,480 --> 00:30:24,600
Speaker 3: And Warren somebody I still want to invest in early

651
00:30:24,640 --> 00:30:27,200
Speaker 3: and often. So I like him at plus two twenty here.

652
00:30:27,800 --> 00:30:30,000
Speaker 3: And on the Titan side, I got to go tor

653
00:30:30,080 --> 00:30:35,480
Speaker 3: Mary DK at plus five fifty at DK. You know,

654
00:30:35,560 --> 00:30:38,320
Speaker 3: the Titans were saying heading into week two they want

655
00:30:38,360 --> 00:30:41,800
Speaker 3: to get Dka more involved, and they straight they stayed

656
00:30:41,800 --> 00:30:44,080
Speaker 3: true to their word. You know, his routes run rate

657
00:30:44,280 --> 00:30:47,440
Speaker 3: jumped up to forty one percent at the expense of

658
00:30:47,560 --> 00:30:50,520
Speaker 3: Tyler Lockett, of course, who looks you know, he looked

659
00:30:50,680 --> 00:30:51,280
Speaker 3: washed last year.

660
00:30:51,280 --> 00:30:52,560
Speaker 2: He still looks washed this year.

661
00:30:53,040 --> 00:30:55,400
Speaker 3: So I think DK's is going to continue to eat

662
00:30:55,480 --> 00:30:58,840
Speaker 3: into his usage, and he's commanded a high target rate.

663
00:30:58,880 --> 00:31:01,360
Speaker 3: He's seen a target on twenty seven percent of his

664
00:31:01,440 --> 00:31:04,920
Speaker 3: route so far. Three of those were downfield and they

665
00:31:04,920 --> 00:31:07,440
Speaker 3: were just all just awful throws from cam Ward. I

666
00:31:07,480 --> 00:31:10,120
Speaker 3: think they'll connect on one eventually. One of them was

667
00:31:10,160 --> 00:31:12,640
Speaker 3: in the end zone, just cam Woord. Just give him

668
00:31:12,720 --> 00:31:15,600
Speaker 3: zero chance on all three of those. But he's at least,

669
00:31:15,720 --> 00:31:18,920
Speaker 3: you know, getting targeted downfield, and he had a return

670
00:31:18,960 --> 00:31:22,080
Speaker 3: touchdown pow return touchdown get called back, so he's the

671
00:31:22,120 --> 00:31:24,680
Speaker 3: return man as well, just another path for him to score.

672
00:31:25,160 --> 00:31:27,040
Speaker 3: So I think getting him at five point fifty here

673
00:31:27,120 --> 00:31:30,000
Speaker 3: is offering quite a bit of value.

674
00:31:31,240 --> 00:31:34,360
Speaker 5: Yeah, Yeah, he's him, Iu Menor and Gunner Helm I

675
00:31:34,400 --> 00:31:37,480
Speaker 5: think are gonna be turning up going forward in that

676
00:31:37,760 --> 00:31:40,000
Speaker 5: Titan offense, along with cam Ward himself. That's why I

677
00:31:40,000 --> 00:31:42,400
Speaker 5: want to buy little Yeah, all the Titans in this spot.

678
00:31:42,720 --> 00:31:46,040
Speaker 5: I've seen it time and time again. All right, Jill

679
00:31:47,320 --> 00:31:51,360
Speaker 5: Saints at Seahawks. The total seven and a half, I

680
00:31:51,400 --> 00:31:52,880
Speaker 5: mean the total forty one and a half, the Seahawks

681
00:31:52,880 --> 00:31:54,280
Speaker 5: favored by seven and a half.

682
00:31:54,680 --> 00:31:55,560
Speaker 1: Who you got here.

683
00:31:56,320 --> 00:31:58,520
Speaker 4: On the same side, I'm going to Juwan Johnson again.

684
00:31:58,560 --> 00:32:01,280
Speaker 4: It's always every week for me, Am. I taking Jawan Johnson.

685
00:32:01,280 --> 00:32:03,280
Speaker 4: Am I taking Rashichi head like. It's always kind of

686
00:32:03,360 --> 00:32:06,520
Speaker 4: between those two, and they both ended up actually scoring

687
00:32:06,600 --> 00:32:08,720
Speaker 4: last week, which was cool. But Juwan was the one

688
00:32:08,840 --> 00:32:11,480
Speaker 4: I think, who is the person I want to target

689
00:32:11,480 --> 00:32:13,760
Speaker 4: in this game. One of the few tight ends for me,

690
00:32:14,680 --> 00:32:16,959
Speaker 4: He's played over ninety percent of snaps in both games,

691
00:32:18,160 --> 00:32:20,360
Speaker 4: led the team in a pardon me, he leads the

692
00:32:20,360 --> 00:32:23,600
Speaker 4: team in red zone targets. And then also just the

693
00:32:23,600 --> 00:32:25,760
Speaker 4: way that the Seahawks defense of what they've been able

694
00:32:25,800 --> 00:32:28,959
Speaker 4: to stop so far, the passing touchdowns that they've all

695
00:32:28,960 --> 00:32:30,800
Speaker 4: given up have all been inside the ten yard line.

696
00:32:30,880 --> 00:32:33,840
Speaker 4: Week one George Kittle, another one of Jake Tongus, then

697
00:32:33,880 --> 00:32:36,120
Speaker 4: in third one again inside the ten yard line a

698
00:32:36,200 --> 00:32:39,200
Speaker 4: DK Metcalf. So I want kind of guys who have

699
00:32:39,320 --> 00:32:41,200
Speaker 4: that shorter a dot and who could be those big

700
00:32:41,240 --> 00:32:45,160
Speaker 4: targets in the end zone. And also they play a

701
00:32:45,160 --> 00:32:47,880
Speaker 4: lot of Cover four and Cover six on the Seahawks side,

702
00:32:47,960 --> 00:32:50,280
Speaker 4: so I think that would usually lend itself to a

703
00:32:50,280 --> 00:32:52,440
Speaker 4: deep threat like Rashichi heed but they've just been so

704
00:32:52,480 --> 00:32:54,080
Speaker 4: good at defending the deep ball. I just have no

705
00:32:54,160 --> 00:32:56,680
Speaker 4: faith in spence of Rattler being able to make those

706
00:32:56,720 --> 00:32:59,000
Speaker 4: kind of completions downfield, like when we saw like with

707
00:32:59,120 --> 00:33:01,920
Speaker 4: Derek Carr. So I think any type you can get

708
00:33:02,000 --> 00:33:04,440
Speaker 4: Juwan Johnson over three to one, given how much of

709
00:33:04,440 --> 00:33:06,520
Speaker 4: a fixture he is in this offense, That's the side

710
00:33:06,520 --> 00:33:08,760
Speaker 4: that I would lean on for the Saints. On the

711
00:33:08,760 --> 00:33:11,760
Speaker 4: Seahawks side, I mean, he's not the offensive player of

712
00:33:11,760 --> 00:33:13,760
Speaker 4: the year anymore, but I still think Cooper Cup has

713
00:33:13,840 --> 00:33:15,600
Speaker 4: value at over two to one. Right now. I see

714
00:33:15,680 --> 00:33:17,520
Speaker 4: him at plus two twenty and he kind of looked

715
00:33:17,520 --> 00:33:19,160
Speaker 4: like he was on the same page with Sam Donald

716
00:33:19,200 --> 00:33:21,640
Speaker 4: and we two finally, And one of the things that

717
00:33:21,680 --> 00:33:24,040
Speaker 4: I like because when you look at the touchdown ods

718
00:33:24,040 --> 00:33:26,320
Speaker 4: for the Seahawks, he basically it is Kenneth Walker at

719
00:33:26,360 --> 00:33:29,280
Speaker 4: minus odds or JSN at plus one ten plus one

720
00:33:29,360 --> 00:33:33,200
Speaker 4: fifteen and JSN even though he has had some end

721
00:33:33,240 --> 00:33:35,440
Speaker 4: zone targets that started to pick up near the latter

722
00:33:35,480 --> 00:33:37,680
Speaker 4: part of last year, they just don't really target him

723
00:33:37,680 --> 00:33:40,280
Speaker 4: that much once they get inside the twenty. So I

724
00:33:40,320 --> 00:33:44,000
Speaker 4: think the value is more on Cooper Cup pretty effective

725
00:33:44,080 --> 00:33:46,160
Speaker 4: versus zone defense in his career. You know that the

726
00:33:46,720 --> 00:33:48,520
Speaker 4: Saints are the Saints have Actually that was the one

727
00:33:48,520 --> 00:33:51,160
Speaker 4: thing that changed too with once Dennis Allen left, they've

728
00:33:51,160 --> 00:33:53,840
Speaker 4: actually pivoted more to like a zone defense as opposed

729
00:33:53,880 --> 00:33:55,640
Speaker 4: to the man defense that they were playing mostly when

730
00:33:55,680 --> 00:33:58,880
Speaker 4: Dennis Allen was the coach. So I think around plus

731
00:33:58,880 --> 00:34:01,160
Speaker 4: two hundred is brown right around that price. So anything

732
00:34:01,200 --> 00:34:02,720
Speaker 4: over plus two hundred, I feel like we're getting a

733
00:34:02,720 --> 00:34:05,719
Speaker 4: bit of the value on Cooper Cup. And also with

734
00:34:05,800 --> 00:34:07,880
Speaker 4: Juwan Johnson, Yeah.

735
00:34:07,880 --> 00:34:08,359
Speaker 1: Great calling.

736
00:34:08,400 --> 00:34:10,640
Speaker 5: I love Johnson. He's playing pretty much all the snaps

737
00:34:10,680 --> 00:34:14,480
Speaker 5: now at tight end. And you're making fun of me

738
00:34:14,520 --> 00:34:17,200
Speaker 5: because I I shout out Kenny Ganewell last week and

739
00:34:17,200 --> 00:34:19,200
Speaker 5: then I was ended up being on his under on

740
00:34:19,880 --> 00:34:20,600
Speaker 5: later in the week.

741
00:34:20,640 --> 00:34:22,120
Speaker 1: But I did mention for Seahawks.

742
00:34:22,160 --> 00:34:24,920
Speaker 5: I liked Horton and he did get in the end

743
00:34:25,040 --> 00:34:26,719
Speaker 5: though I think that'll continue.

744
00:34:27,280 --> 00:34:29,440
Speaker 1: He's a really good play. I know Sean Mikeson as well.

745
00:34:29,760 --> 00:34:32,240
Speaker 5: The NFL season is officially underway, and to get the

746
00:34:32,280 --> 00:34:35,759
Speaker 5: most out of the award winning Action app, you'll want

747
00:34:35,800 --> 00:34:38,000
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748
00:34:38,440 --> 00:34:38,760
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749
00:34:38,960 --> 00:34:42,040
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750
00:34:42,040 --> 00:34:46,319
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751
00:34:46,480 --> 00:34:50,080
Speaker 5: Network team, and you can access our pro projections powered

752
00:34:50,120 --> 00:34:55,520
Speaker 5: by Kerner and our predictive analytics team and celebrate football's return.

753
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754
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756
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757
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758
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759
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760
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761
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Speaker 5: Action Pro. All right, we're up to the Broncos at

762
00:35:28,719 --> 00:35:33,359
Speaker 5: the Chargers and the Broncos you just have to go

763
00:35:33,400 --> 00:35:35,600
Speaker 5: off the border a little bit sometimes with them because

764
00:35:35,640 --> 00:35:37,200
Speaker 5: Sean Payton is just a sicko.

765
00:35:37,280 --> 00:35:38,319
Speaker 1: I've talked about this one.

766
00:35:38,320 --> 00:35:41,440
Speaker 5: Didn't want to draft Evan Ingram and we've seen it,

767
00:35:41,480 --> 00:35:44,600
Speaker 5: you know, Troy Franklin, big game, Mims got back in

768
00:35:44,640 --> 00:35:46,759
Speaker 5: the end zone. It's just been kind of a mix

769
00:35:46,800 --> 00:35:49,480
Speaker 5: of everybody here. So I'm gonna go and get ahead

770
00:35:49,480 --> 00:35:52,560
Speaker 5: of Pat Bryant, the rookie here. Plus seventeen hundred saw

771
00:35:52,560 --> 00:35:56,440
Speaker 5: an uptick and snatched the expense of treit Schurfield last

772
00:35:56,440 --> 00:36:00,279
Speaker 5: week and Bryant saw some red zone routes, which is

773
00:36:00,320 --> 00:36:03,520
Speaker 5: always good because the Broncos have a lot going on

774
00:36:03,600 --> 00:36:06,000
Speaker 5: if they get in scoring position between Nix and Harvey

775
00:36:06,000 --> 00:36:09,000
Speaker 5: and Dobbins and Mims and Sutton and everybody else. So

776
00:36:10,120 --> 00:36:13,800
Speaker 5: Bryant coming in there as this rookie kind of unknown,

777
00:36:13,880 --> 00:36:16,399
Speaker 5: untested a little bit, I could see them and they

778
00:36:16,520 --> 00:36:19,320
Speaker 5: love him, so I could see them sneaking him in there.

779
00:36:19,680 --> 00:36:23,440
Speaker 1: And then for the Chargers, I think.

780
00:36:23,280 --> 00:36:26,680
Speaker 5: I want to buy low here on a Hampton because

781
00:36:26,719 --> 00:36:29,360
Speaker 5: it's you know, it's just everyone's kind of talking about

782
00:36:30,480 --> 00:36:33,840
Speaker 5: with him, and it hasn't looked great, just like genty

783
00:36:34,000 --> 00:36:36,200
Speaker 5: over there and in Vegas and a lot of these

784
00:36:36,239 --> 00:36:40,640
Speaker 5: other backs. So I think against this Denver defense that

785
00:36:40,719 --> 00:36:46,160
Speaker 5: just got completely blitz Craig by Jonathan Taylor, this has

786
00:36:46,160 --> 00:36:49,040
Speaker 5: to be a good game for oh wait in this spot.

787
00:36:49,120 --> 00:36:50,640
Speaker 1: So I'm going to roll with him.

788
00:36:50,560 --> 00:36:53,920
Speaker 4: At Hampton's around even odds right now. I think the score, yeah.

789
00:36:54,040 --> 00:36:56,800
Speaker 5: Yeah, because I got the charge, I got this total

790
00:36:56,880 --> 00:36:59,319
Speaker 5: going up here. I have it at like forty six

791
00:36:59,360 --> 00:37:01,120
Speaker 5: and a half has been kind of coming up on.

792
00:37:01,120 --> 00:37:03,360
Speaker 5: It's indoors, one of the few indoor games, and the

793
00:37:03,400 --> 00:37:06,040
Speaker 5: Broncos have been I think they're gonna end up being

794
00:37:06,040 --> 00:37:08,760
Speaker 5: like an over team just because, yeah, their defense is talented,

795
00:37:08,800 --> 00:37:11,600
Speaker 5: but they just played recklessly on offense.

796
00:37:11,640 --> 00:37:12,959
Speaker 1: And Herbert does the same.

797
00:37:13,040 --> 00:37:15,320
Speaker 5: And everyone's kind of looking at these wide receivers and

798
00:37:15,360 --> 00:37:18,440
Speaker 5: I thought about Harris, but uh, yeah, he's a he's

799
00:37:18,440 --> 00:37:20,320
Speaker 5: the top running back. He's been getting most of the snaps,

800
00:37:20,400 --> 00:37:22,239
Speaker 5: all of them, and go on, I think, uh I

801
00:37:22,239 --> 00:37:24,560
Speaker 5: think he gets in this week. Uh so yeah, o

802
00:37:24,880 --> 00:37:28,000
Speaker 5: h a little bit of a contrarian, just under radar play.

803
00:37:28,400 --> 00:37:30,560
Speaker 4: I thought you were gonna go with Quentin Johnston or something.

804
00:37:30,880 --> 00:37:33,200
Speaker 5: Yeah, he's a he's a value always, so I probably

805
00:37:33,239 --> 00:37:35,440
Speaker 5: should but uh, I like to buy. I like to

806
00:37:35,440 --> 00:37:37,600
Speaker 5: get the guys you know, who are going like they're

807
00:37:37,719 --> 00:37:40,000
Speaker 5: people are just down on them. Everyone's so high on

808
00:37:40,000 --> 00:37:40,799
Speaker 5: on QJ that.

809
00:37:41,040 --> 00:37:44,319
Speaker 4: Yeah, and everybody's talking about Nase Harris. You know, all

810
00:37:44,440 --> 00:37:46,279
Speaker 4: his snap rates went up, but yeah, I mean he

811
00:37:46,719 --> 00:37:48,880
Speaker 4: still runs like he has concrete in his shoes.

812
00:37:48,960 --> 00:37:52,279
Speaker 5: So no, yes, there was uh they're giving staff to

813
00:37:52,320 --> 00:37:54,759
Speaker 5: gain wow, and they and then he drafted this uh

814
00:37:54,960 --> 00:37:57,399
Speaker 5: Johnson guy, and they're you know, that's not looking great

815
00:37:57,440 --> 00:37:58,080
Speaker 5: for them right now.

816
00:37:58,360 --> 00:38:02,399
Speaker 4: You might get out of you, right, Yeah, so but.

817
00:38:02,440 --> 00:38:02,960
Speaker 2: We move on.

818
00:38:03,440 --> 00:38:08,359
Speaker 5: Gall was at Chicago Kerner. This one is interesting. I've

819
00:38:08,400 --> 00:38:10,680
Speaker 5: heard both sides of the argument here, Like some people

820
00:38:10,880 --> 00:38:13,360
Speaker 5: like it as a high scoring game. Some people, I

821
00:38:13,360 --> 00:38:16,200
Speaker 5: got Nick wisit as an under So where are you

822
00:38:16,280 --> 00:38:16,680
Speaker 5: on this game?

823
00:38:16,800 --> 00:38:17,319
Speaker 1: Who are you going?

824
00:38:18,239 --> 00:38:21,960
Speaker 3: Yeah, the cowboy side is tricky. You know, Lamb and

825
00:38:22,080 --> 00:38:25,520
Speaker 3: Pickens are already super pricey. So I went with Jalen

826
00:38:25,560 --> 00:38:29,920
Speaker 3: Tolbert here at plus plus four fifty at DraftKings. You know,

827
00:38:29,960 --> 00:38:33,120
Speaker 3: he's been sharing wide receiver three duties with Cavante Turpin

828
00:38:33,960 --> 00:38:36,279
Speaker 3: and Turpin he was forced out of last week's game

829
00:38:36,280 --> 00:38:39,319
Speaker 3: with the neck injury, and you know, Tolbert stepped up

830
00:38:39,320 --> 00:38:43,520
Speaker 3: as the clear number three wide receiver. Turpin was questionable,

831
00:38:43,640 --> 00:38:45,760
Speaker 3: but it looks like he returned to a full practice,

832
00:38:45,800 --> 00:38:48,520
Speaker 3: so I'm assuming he's playing. I was gonna say I

833
00:38:48,560 --> 00:38:52,160
Speaker 3: was I was showing some slight value on this, assuming

834
00:38:52,200 --> 00:38:55,200
Speaker 3: Turpin's in. I'm I was already projecting Turpin at one

835
00:38:55,239 --> 00:38:57,680
Speaker 3: hundred percent with showing showing some slight value, So I

836
00:38:57,680 --> 00:38:59,880
Speaker 3: thought this is kind of sharp to get earlier in

837
00:38:59,880 --> 00:39:03,680
Speaker 3: the week, just in case Turpin did get you know,

838
00:39:04,120 --> 00:39:07,080
Speaker 3: ruled out, but you know, Turpin might be limited. We

839
00:39:07,120 --> 00:39:09,640
Speaker 3: don't know, So I think Tolbert is still offering some

840
00:39:09,680 --> 00:39:12,360
Speaker 3: slight value here. And you know, he had seven touchdowns

841
00:39:12,440 --> 00:39:15,440
Speaker 3: last year. You know, he does tend to thrive more

842
00:39:15,440 --> 00:39:17,759
Speaker 3: in the red zone area, So I thought he was

843
00:39:17,800 --> 00:39:21,680
Speaker 3: the best sort of dart throw for them. But I

844
00:39:21,680 --> 00:39:23,719
Speaker 3: gotta go with my guy on the other side, Roma

845
00:39:23,760 --> 00:39:27,040
Speaker 3: Dunes at plus one fifty five. I'm so pissed because

846
00:39:27,080 --> 00:39:29,920
Speaker 3: it was plus one ninety five yesterday. That was like

847
00:39:30,000 --> 00:39:33,040
Speaker 3: my favorite play by far, But I still like it

848
00:39:33,120 --> 00:39:36,680
Speaker 3: at plus one fifty five. And I keep trying to

849
00:39:36,840 --> 00:39:39,920
Speaker 3: say it, but he's elite wide receiver prospect that just

850
00:39:39,960 --> 00:39:43,640
Speaker 3: had a brutal rookie season. He was partly to blame

851
00:39:43,680 --> 00:39:46,320
Speaker 3: for that, but it was also Catle Williams the coaching.

852
00:39:46,400 --> 00:39:49,440
Speaker 3: But he saw a ton of targets downfield in the

853
00:39:49,560 --> 00:39:53,120
Speaker 3: end zone, just everything you want to see for a receiver,

854
00:39:53,239 --> 00:39:55,600
Speaker 3: and so far in two games, I mean he is

855
00:39:55,680 --> 00:39:59,920
Speaker 3: the centerpiece of this Ben Johnson offense. You know, Caleb

856
00:40:00,200 --> 00:40:02,920
Speaker 3: looking for him all over the field. So I think

857
00:40:02,920 --> 00:40:06,399
Speaker 3: getting him at plus one fifty five is still too high.

858
00:40:06,520 --> 00:40:08,680
Speaker 3: I have it around, you know, plus one twenty five,

859
00:40:08,760 --> 00:40:11,080
Speaker 3: So I'll take a dunesday at plus one fifty five.

860
00:40:11,719 --> 00:40:13,239
Speaker 4: I don't think we're going to see over plus two

861
00:40:13,320 --> 00:40:15,480
Speaker 4: hundred odds again for a dude's say, because week one

862
00:40:15,520 --> 00:40:17,840
Speaker 4: he was around plus two fifty against the Vikings, and

863
00:40:17,880 --> 00:40:19,800
Speaker 4: then it dropped a plus two twenty in week two,

864
00:40:20,160 --> 00:40:23,160
Speaker 4: and now each touchdown as it goes like now plus

865
00:40:23,160 --> 00:40:25,400
Speaker 4: one fifty, we're still showing value on that right now

866
00:40:25,440 --> 00:40:26,920
Speaker 4: in the action pro projections.

867
00:40:27,760 --> 00:40:30,080
Speaker 3: Well those are my those are my very biased ones.

868
00:40:30,440 --> 00:40:33,120
Speaker 3: But yeah, I agree, we're never see We're never saying

869
00:40:33,120 --> 00:40:36,960
Speaker 3: plus two to fifty anytime soon for him. Maybe a

870
00:40:36,960 --> 00:40:40,280
Speaker 3: tougher matchup, but it's maybe age into starting or something.

871
00:40:41,040 --> 00:40:44,359
Speaker 3: Oh no, I Rayvon might Raybon might actually Raybon might

872
00:40:44,400 --> 00:40:46,560
Speaker 3: actually bump his touched up projection up.

873
00:40:46,600 --> 00:40:50,440
Speaker 2: Who knows, man, I.

874
00:40:50,400 --> 00:40:52,359
Speaker 1: Was actually looking at some menangai.

875
00:40:52,719 --> 00:40:54,960
Speaker 5: I think I know swifts going to last week, but

876
00:40:55,000 --> 00:40:57,960
Speaker 5: I think if the Bears could get blown out again

877
00:40:58,000 --> 00:41:00,600
Speaker 5: in this spot, who knows. I mean, it's I just

878
00:41:00,600 --> 00:41:03,000
Speaker 5: don't know how to predict them and so kind of

879
00:41:03,000 --> 00:41:05,040
Speaker 5: got ahead of get ahead of the curve there. But yeah,

880
00:41:05,120 --> 00:41:06,680
Speaker 5: Doomsday has been boring and I like the fact that

881
00:41:06,680 --> 00:41:09,319
Speaker 5: they went to that two receiver set and gave him

882
00:41:09,320 --> 00:41:10,160
Speaker 5: a one yard touchdown.

883
00:41:10,239 --> 00:41:10,399
Speaker 1: Yeah.

884
00:41:10,400 --> 00:41:12,160
Speaker 5: I think it was Week one against the Viking, So

885
00:41:12,200 --> 00:41:16,600
Speaker 5: that's that's always good news to receivers don't always get Yeah.

886
00:41:16,000 --> 00:41:19,200
Speaker 3: And they're they're they're apparently going to try to give

887
00:41:19,280 --> 00:41:23,399
Speaker 3: Luthor Burden more snaps this week. I'm guessing who knows

888
00:41:23,400 --> 00:41:26,120
Speaker 3: what's going on, but I'm guessing that's going to be expensive,

889
00:41:26,160 --> 00:41:28,920
Speaker 3: like DJ Moore, just because they're similar type of players.

890
00:41:28,920 --> 00:41:31,640
Speaker 3: But I think Doomsday is pretty much the focal point

891
00:41:31,640 --> 00:41:33,080
Speaker 3: of this passing attack right now.

892
00:41:34,160 --> 00:41:36,480
Speaker 1: So you not not not on Lamine's a.

893
00:41:36,480 --> 00:41:39,520
Speaker 5: Kias just straight up DJ Moore or bench of DJ

894
00:41:39,600 --> 00:41:41,200
Speaker 5: Moore bench No.

895
00:41:41,040 --> 00:41:43,600
Speaker 3: No, no, no, not benching him, but you know they're trying,

896
00:41:43,640 --> 00:41:45,680
Speaker 3: they're trying to figure out how to use DJ Moore,

897
00:41:45,680 --> 00:41:48,240
Speaker 3: putting him in the backfield one week, you know, giving

898
00:41:48,640 --> 00:41:51,279
Speaker 3: hospital balls on the sideline like he's just having a

899
00:41:51,360 --> 00:41:55,280
Speaker 3: rough go. And you know, Luthor Burden's a very similar

900
00:41:55,320 --> 00:41:58,200
Speaker 3: type of players. So if he's getting more playing time, yeah,

901
00:41:58,280 --> 00:42:01,480
Speaker 3: better be at the expensive Zakias. But you know, his

902
00:42:01,480 --> 00:42:03,839
Speaker 3: his route tree's going to overlap with DJ Moore quite

903
00:42:03,880 --> 00:42:04,080
Speaker 3: a bit.

904
00:42:05,440 --> 00:42:07,440
Speaker 5: I love how like Roma Dnsday's in the midst of

905
00:42:07,440 --> 00:42:09,240
Speaker 5: a breakout, and yet the Bears are on the brink

906
00:42:09,280 --> 00:42:13,040
Speaker 5: of like a disaster with like, uh you know, bad

907
00:42:13,120 --> 00:42:15,440
Speaker 5: vibe for more Kabb Williams just not being able to

908
00:42:15,560 --> 00:42:20,000
Speaker 5: hit anybody but a doomsday love him doing nothing, doing nothing.

909
00:42:20,719 --> 00:42:22,960
Speaker 5: The on line was supposed to be good, doing nothing.

910
00:42:23,360 --> 00:42:27,239
Speaker 5: The defense doing nothing, all right, Joe, do something. We

911
00:42:27,320 --> 00:42:30,879
Speaker 5: got the Cards at the Niners.

912
00:42:31,160 --> 00:42:34,000
Speaker 4: Yeah, I think. I think if I keep getting assigned

913
00:42:34,080 --> 00:42:35,879
Speaker 4: the Cardinals every week, because this is the third week

914
00:42:35,920 --> 00:42:38,000
Speaker 4: now I've been assigned the Cardinals game, I'm just gonna

915
00:42:38,040 --> 00:42:40,400
Speaker 4: keep betting Kyler Murray until he scores a touchdown. So

916
00:42:40,480 --> 00:42:42,080
Speaker 4: that's what I'm doing. I'm gonna ride this for up

917
00:42:42,120 --> 00:42:44,000
Speaker 4: every time, especially if it's at three to one or better.

918
00:42:44,880 --> 00:42:48,040
Speaker 4: I think what I'm encouraged by is through two games,

919
00:42:49,040 --> 00:42:51,520
Speaker 4: not really kneel downs, right, Like seven carries in each game,

920
00:42:52,000 --> 00:42:54,279
Speaker 4: six were designed runs. He had two carries in the

921
00:42:54,280 --> 00:42:56,480
Speaker 4: bred zone. He almost actually broke one against the Panthers,

922
00:42:56,520 --> 00:42:59,960
Speaker 4: just barely got caught by the foot against the defender.

923
00:43:00,080 --> 00:43:02,200
Speaker 4: And you know, for what it's worth, just looking at

924
00:43:02,280 --> 00:43:05,520
Speaker 4: last year, Kyler, he was having a rough go, getting

925
00:43:05,520 --> 00:43:07,239
Speaker 4: a touchdown going and they ended up scoring his first

926
00:43:07,280 --> 00:43:10,000
Speaker 4: touchdown last year against the Niners defense. I don't know

927
00:43:10,000 --> 00:43:12,200
Speaker 4: if you recall, it was like this big fifty yard run,

928
00:43:12,520 --> 00:43:15,719
Speaker 4: the Sea's just parted for him, right. So I think

929
00:43:15,760 --> 00:43:18,439
Speaker 4: Kyler Murray right now at plus three twenty, especially given

930
00:43:18,480 --> 00:43:21,200
Speaker 4: our conversation prior to this, that Trey Benson I think

931
00:43:21,280 --> 00:43:23,040
Speaker 4: might end up seeing a little bit more run now

932
00:43:23,080 --> 00:43:26,759
Speaker 4: if James Connor is starting to regress. So Kyler I

933
00:43:26,800 --> 00:43:28,879
Speaker 4: think right now at plus three hundred or better. I'm

934
00:43:28,880 --> 00:43:31,719
Speaker 4: gonna bet this every week, regardless of matchup on the

935
00:43:31,840 --> 00:43:34,400
Speaker 4: Niners side. Though this one was difficult because I was

936
00:43:34,440 --> 00:43:36,840
Speaker 4: looking at Jawan Jennings and it just didn't love the

937
00:43:36,880 --> 00:43:38,680
Speaker 4: odds around plus one eighty and I was like, you

938
00:43:38,680 --> 00:43:40,520
Speaker 4: know what, I'm just gonna take Ricky Pearson instead of

939
00:43:40,560 --> 00:43:44,360
Speaker 4: plus two forty because they don't have identical stats. Obviously,

940
00:43:44,400 --> 00:43:48,040
Speaker 4: because Juwan Jennings has already caught the touchdown, but Piersall

941
00:43:48,120 --> 00:43:50,239
Speaker 4: is getting looks like two end zone targets so far.

942
00:43:50,320 --> 00:43:52,640
Speaker 4: He leads the team in receiving yards, leads a team

943
00:43:52,640 --> 00:43:55,400
Speaker 4: in a dot And why I like this matchup against

944
00:43:55,400 --> 00:43:57,160
Speaker 4: the Cardinals is they play a ton of zone and

945
00:43:57,200 --> 00:44:00,359
Speaker 4: a lot of cover four and piersall targets for red

946
00:44:00,440 --> 00:44:02,759
Speaker 4: run and yards for ut run versus zone compared to

947
00:44:02,840 --> 00:44:06,440
Speaker 4: Juwan Jennings is actually higher, you know, so, and he's

948
00:44:06,480 --> 00:44:08,680
Speaker 4: around plus one eighty whereas we're getting Pierce all around

949
00:44:08,680 --> 00:44:11,839
Speaker 4: plus two forty. Again, I also think that he could

950
00:44:11,880 --> 00:44:14,719
Speaker 4: maybe catch one over the top because Cardinals spoti five

951
00:44:14,760 --> 00:44:17,160
Speaker 4: and defensive dvoa versus the deep ball so far through

952
00:44:17,160 --> 00:44:20,440
Speaker 4: two games. And frankly, I'm not as down on the

953
00:44:20,520 --> 00:44:22,960
Speaker 4: forty nine ers passing offense maybe as some other like

954
00:44:23,080 --> 00:44:25,359
Speaker 4: I like what mac Jones is bringing to the table.

955
00:44:25,360 --> 00:44:26,719
Speaker 4: I don't think it's that much of a drop off

956
00:44:26,719 --> 00:44:30,319
Speaker 4: from brock Purty. Yeah, no it's not.

957
00:44:30,880 --> 00:44:33,280
Speaker 5: I think that the Niners are just a sneaky, sneaky

958
00:44:33,600 --> 00:44:36,919
Speaker 5: team in general. Their defense playing well, yeah, they're gonna

959
00:44:36,960 --> 00:44:40,200
Speaker 5: be here, I think over the long haul, so love it.

960
00:44:40,239 --> 00:44:41,839
Speaker 1: And yeah, Kyler has been wanting to run.

961
00:44:41,960 --> 00:44:44,400
Speaker 5: I don't I don't know what's going on, and I

962
00:44:44,880 --> 00:44:46,959
Speaker 5: just think that he's kind of like Kaman Williams White

963
00:44:46,960 --> 00:44:48,920
Speaker 5: sometimes where I don't think he knows what's going on

964
00:44:49,000 --> 00:44:52,160
Speaker 5: all the time. But yeah, he's he should be able

965
00:44:52,239 --> 00:44:53,880
Speaker 5: to do some damage in this spot because they know

966
00:44:54,120 --> 00:44:55,759
Speaker 5: they don't throw it his age. They have like so

967
00:44:56,280 --> 00:44:58,960
Speaker 5: such limited Options's like you gotta go to the tight ends.

968
00:44:58,960 --> 00:45:02,080
Speaker 5: And that's that Harrison's over there foundering.

969
00:45:02,160 --> 00:45:04,239
Speaker 4: So well, he might throw it to Trey McBride, but

970
00:45:04,280 --> 00:45:06,040
Speaker 4: he ain't gonna complete it. Like that's the thing. He's

971
00:45:06,080 --> 00:45:08,440
Speaker 4: got a ton of end zone targets, but they don't connect.

972
00:45:08,560 --> 00:45:11,040
Speaker 4: And then you know, Michael Wilson, we looked at him

973
00:45:11,040 --> 00:45:12,840
Speaker 4: in week one, but then by week two that was

974
00:45:12,840 --> 00:45:15,439
Speaker 4: odds have dropped, you know, wasn't as valuable as well.

975
00:45:15,480 --> 00:45:17,399
Speaker 4: And then of course Marvin Harrison Junior, if they ever

976
00:45:17,400 --> 00:45:19,680
Speaker 4: get on the same page, maybe we could start looking

977
00:45:19,680 --> 00:45:21,600
Speaker 4: at that. But right now I think you still have

978
00:45:21,640 --> 00:45:23,840
Speaker 4: to look at Kyler on that Cardinals offense.

979
00:45:24,560 --> 00:45:27,880
Speaker 5: All right, So romadon day is going to be of

980
00:45:27,960 --> 00:45:31,279
Speaker 5: course your pick, Sean Joe, who you go with for

981
00:45:31,320 --> 00:45:31,759
Speaker 5: you any time?

982
00:45:32,480 --> 00:45:35,279
Speaker 4: Well, I went off the board because I like, I

983
00:45:35,400 --> 00:45:36,880
Speaker 4: like some of these propts, but it was like, all right,

984
00:45:36,920 --> 00:45:38,279
Speaker 4: if I had a choice, if I had to choose

985
00:45:38,320 --> 00:45:39,960
Speaker 4: just the ones I gave up today, it was probably

986
00:45:40,000 --> 00:45:42,160
Speaker 4: gonna be Drake London. But because I write my anytime

987
00:45:42,239 --> 00:45:45,120
Speaker 4: touchdown preview and we publish it every weekend before the

988
00:45:45,160 --> 00:45:48,520
Speaker 4: game start. Right now, my favorite touchdown prop is Davonte

989
00:45:48,640 --> 00:45:52,680
Speaker 4: Adams against that Eagles defense. I think he is going

990
00:45:52,719 --> 00:45:56,239
Speaker 4: to have a massive game in this matchup as well,

991
00:45:56,239 --> 00:45:59,719
Speaker 4: because they traded for him to have kind of more

992
00:45:59,760 --> 00:46:02,080
Speaker 4: of a solid X receiver on this team because that

993
00:46:02,160 --> 00:46:03,520
Speaker 4: was I feel like one of the things that was

994
00:46:03,520 --> 00:46:07,080
Speaker 4: missing from them, and he caught a touchdown last week

995
00:46:07,160 --> 00:46:10,000
Speaker 4: versus the Titans. They are force feeding him end zone

996
00:46:10,040 --> 00:46:13,239
Speaker 4: targets right now. Five end zone targets. That's right now.

997
00:46:13,239 --> 00:46:15,160
Speaker 4: It's him and a mon Ross Saint Brown and right now,

998
00:46:15,320 --> 00:46:17,160
Speaker 4: I dare you to try to find a mon Ross

999
00:46:17,160 --> 00:46:19,319
Speaker 4: Saint Brown at over plus one twenty right now. So

1000
00:46:20,040 --> 00:46:22,160
Speaker 4: and then, of course the Eels, I find that their defense,

1001
00:46:22,160 --> 00:46:24,359
Speaker 4: at least just through the first two weeks, they've kind

1002
00:46:24,360 --> 00:46:26,759
Speaker 4: of shifted away from more of a man approach like

1003
00:46:26,760 --> 00:46:28,600
Speaker 4: when they had Darius Slay and they're kind of playing

1004
00:46:28,640 --> 00:46:31,279
Speaker 4: more zone. And DeVante Adams, I mean, if I'm just

1005
00:46:31,360 --> 00:46:34,200
Speaker 4: using the Jets metrics, he crushed zone last year. They

1006
00:46:34,200 --> 00:46:36,239
Speaker 4: haven't really seen a lot of zone looks through two weeks.

1007
00:46:36,280 --> 00:46:39,200
Speaker 4: But again, DeVante Adams, which is too much touchdown pedigree.

1008
00:46:39,239 --> 00:46:40,920
Speaker 4: I'm going to take him every time, especially if he's

1009
00:46:40,960 --> 00:46:41,920
Speaker 4: over plus one fifty.

1010
00:46:43,760 --> 00:46:47,600
Speaker 5: Yeah, he's thankfully he doesn't look doesn't look washed, So

1011
00:46:47,719 --> 00:46:49,080
Speaker 5: this could be a good year for the Ram.

1012
00:46:49,480 --> 00:46:51,439
Speaker 2: One more Robinson part two.

1013
00:46:53,160 --> 00:46:55,600
Speaker 5: I don't know what traps Hunter for mine at twenty

1014
00:46:55,640 --> 00:46:58,480
Speaker 5: four to one, Dune j plus one, Christy five Adams

1015
00:46:58,520 --> 00:47:02,239
Speaker 5: plus one eighty and then Travis Hunter at plus two

1016
00:47:02,520 --> 00:47:06,319
Speaker 5: fifty Sunday Night Football. I'll write up on this one.

1017
00:47:07,280 --> 00:47:09,359
Speaker 5: I mean, in a way, it's begging you to take

1018
00:47:09,400 --> 00:47:10,680
Speaker 5: the Giants.

1019
00:47:10,400 --> 00:47:13,440
Speaker 1: On the spread. Vote. We know how this goes.

1020
00:47:13,560 --> 00:47:16,440
Speaker 5: I mean, you trust them, So Jill, start us off

1021
00:47:16,719 --> 00:47:19,359
Speaker 5: who you like for anytime touchdown in this one?

1022
00:47:19,480 --> 00:47:23,040
Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm just gonna go with Taylor Swift fiance Travis

1023
00:47:23,080 --> 00:47:25,080
Speaker 4: Kelcey all right now, he's around plus one forty. I

1024
00:47:25,120 --> 00:47:28,640
Speaker 4: think the market is extremely down on him as a

1025
00:47:28,680 --> 00:47:30,960
Speaker 4: result of what we saw in week two, and frankly,

1026
00:47:31,000 --> 00:47:32,560
Speaker 4: I think he's just going to have a bounce back game.

1027
00:47:32,719 --> 00:47:34,040
Speaker 4: I don't really feel like we have to say much

1028
00:47:34,080 --> 00:47:37,320
Speaker 4: more about Travis Kelcey at this point current.

1029
00:47:38,960 --> 00:47:41,359
Speaker 3: I'm going to go with Cam Scataboo at plus one

1030
00:47:41,360 --> 00:47:45,480
Speaker 3: point eighty over at DraftKings. But he actually he took

1031
00:47:45,480 --> 00:47:48,239
Speaker 3: over his lead back in the second half last week,

1032
00:47:48,280 --> 00:47:50,160
Speaker 3: so I'm assuming he's going to draw the start here

1033
00:47:50,200 --> 00:47:52,239
Speaker 3: in week three. And we kind of thought he'd get

1034
00:47:52,239 --> 00:47:54,920
Speaker 3: it off to a slow start, just giving he missed

1035
00:47:54,920 --> 00:47:57,120
Speaker 3: so much a camp and he's a rookie, but I

1036
00:47:57,239 --> 00:48:00,919
Speaker 3: was surprised how fast he kind of elited Prague Terror

1037
00:48:01,000 --> 00:48:04,239
Speaker 3: and Tracy Junior. So this is the market really to

1038
00:48:04,239 --> 00:48:06,040
Speaker 3: invest in him, because he's the goal line back no

1039
00:48:06,080 --> 00:48:07,680
Speaker 3: matter what, and he had that.

1040
00:48:07,680 --> 00:48:09,560
Speaker 2: One yard touchdown last week.

1041
00:48:10,120 --> 00:48:13,000
Speaker 3: So I think getting him at plus one eighty before

1042
00:48:13,040 --> 00:48:16,520
Speaker 3: the market adjust, this is the time to buy in

1043
00:48:16,600 --> 00:48:19,400
Speaker 3: because I'm projected, you know, closer to plus one forty.

1044
00:48:21,160 --> 00:48:23,399
Speaker 5: Yeah he was, I mean that second half he took

1045
00:48:23,480 --> 00:48:26,319
Speaker 5: over like in the first half.

1046
00:48:26,360 --> 00:48:26,799
Speaker 1: It was weird.

1047
00:48:26,840 --> 00:48:29,279
Speaker 5: I mean, I think Singletary got snaps early in the

1048
00:48:29,280 --> 00:48:31,879
Speaker 5: game and then Scataboo was like ended up being third

1049
00:48:31,880 --> 00:48:34,360
Speaker 5: for a second, but then yeah, he jumped everybody probably

1050
00:48:34,360 --> 00:48:36,279
Speaker 5: should continue. I think Tracy's on the injury reports. I

1051
00:48:36,320 --> 00:48:38,399
Speaker 5: don't even know what's going on with him, but I'm

1052
00:48:38,440 --> 00:48:41,160
Speaker 5: surprised as well. But at least they got in so

1053
00:48:41,239 --> 00:48:43,239
Speaker 5: that and they got some points on the board, so

1054
00:48:43,280 --> 00:48:46,319
Speaker 5: I love it. I'm gonna go with I was gonna

1055
00:48:46,320 --> 00:48:48,879
Speaker 5: go Kareem Hunt, but I already went with him on

1056
00:48:49,320 --> 00:48:51,839
Speaker 5: the action pod. I do think he's gonna get more

1057
00:48:51,840 --> 00:48:54,080
Speaker 5: of the short yard work than of Checko. But I'm

1058
00:48:54,080 --> 00:48:56,720
Speaker 5: gonna go with Patrick Mahomes at plus three sixty because

1059
00:48:57,320 --> 00:49:02,600
Speaker 5: Mahomes himself has said, day my scrambling and they're still

1060
00:49:02,600 --> 00:49:06,279
Speaker 5: oh and too, so they still need it. And I

1061
00:49:06,400 --> 00:49:09,560
Speaker 5: just look at this Chiefs team and yeah, I like Hunt,

1062
00:49:09,560 --> 00:49:12,600
Speaker 5: but I do see a scenario where oh and two

1063
00:49:13,200 --> 00:49:15,960
Speaker 5: they you just throw the ball down in there, and

1064
00:49:16,080 --> 00:49:18,120
Speaker 5: when you throw the ball, what happens? No one gets open,

1065
00:49:18,719 --> 00:49:22,520
Speaker 5: or Travis Colz's flashing across and you know he'll score one.

1066
00:49:22,840 --> 00:49:25,759
Speaker 5: But then Mahome's gonna flash back to that drop and

1067
00:49:25,800 --> 00:49:27,600
Speaker 5: when they need a second one late in the game

1068
00:49:27,640 --> 00:49:31,120
Speaker 5: to pull off like a seventeen to twelve win, and

1069
00:49:31,200 --> 00:49:32,920
Speaker 5: he's just gonna kind of run it himself and hit

1070
00:49:32,920 --> 00:49:36,319
Speaker 5: the pylon and do a weird celebration. So we've seen

1071
00:49:36,360 --> 00:49:37,960
Speaker 5: it two weeks in a row, and that's how you

1072
00:49:38,000 --> 00:49:40,120
Speaker 5: know Patrick Mahomes is running more when you start seeing

1073
00:49:40,160 --> 00:49:43,160
Speaker 5: him week two he's already got you know, a couple

1074
00:49:43,200 --> 00:49:46,920
Speaker 5: of big rushing games and two rushing scorers on the

1075
00:49:46,920 --> 00:49:51,160
Speaker 5: board that's usually reserved for, you know, for the postseason

1076
00:49:51,239 --> 00:49:52,400
Speaker 5: kind of kind of time.

1077
00:49:52,640 --> 00:49:55,000
Speaker 4: Yeah, he didn't score a touchdown last year, and he's

1078
00:49:55,000 --> 00:49:58,880
Speaker 4: already in playoff Mahomes mode because he has no choice

1079
00:49:58,920 --> 00:50:00,600
Speaker 4: because there's just no receiving options.

1080
00:50:02,040 --> 00:50:04,320
Speaker 5: Yeah, and uh, you know we've seen this, this giant

1081
00:50:04,320 --> 00:50:07,400
Speaker 5: team just get eaten up by eating up by the run. Uh,

1082
00:50:07,760 --> 00:50:11,239
Speaker 5: just all over the place. So yeah, I like this one.

1083
00:50:11,840 --> 00:50:16,280
Speaker 5: So Kelsey, my homes gattaboo what was gattaboo?

1084
00:50:16,280 --> 00:50:17,000
Speaker 1: Sewan you said?

1085
00:50:17,200 --> 00:50:18,960
Speaker 2: Plus? Okay?

1086
00:50:20,520 --> 00:50:24,359
Speaker 4: And chelseay Jill plus all right?

1087
00:50:24,960 --> 00:50:28,239
Speaker 1: And I like my homes one even more. I didn't

1088
00:50:28,239 --> 00:50:28,600
Speaker 1: even run.

1089
00:50:29,080 --> 00:50:31,200
Speaker 5: Yeah, he's like, compared to those guys, I feel like

1090
00:50:31,200 --> 00:50:34,520
Speaker 5: he should be a lot cheaper too, all right.

1091
00:50:35,400 --> 00:50:36,440
Speaker 2: See that's.

1092
00:50:41,800 --> 00:50:59,000
Speaker 5: Of course, Yeah, that would pay out with my Homes

1093
00:50:59,000 --> 00:51:04,920
Speaker 5: plus sixty, Scott A. P. Pusway and Travis Kelcey plus

1094
00:51:04,960 --> 00:51:15,319
Speaker 5: one forty about three to one.

1095
00:51:12,480 --> 00:51:13,840
Speaker 1: All right, gotta pat about three to one.

1096
00:51:13,880 --> 00:51:16,080
Speaker 5: You got Kelsey plus and forty, Mahomes plus or sixty

1097
00:51:16,120 --> 00:51:19,160
Speaker 5: and Cam Scatterboo plus one eighty all.

1098
00:51:19,120 --> 00:51:21,560
Speaker 1: Right, what's closing out strong? Final game? Should be fun?

1099
00:51:21,880 --> 00:51:23,280
Speaker 1: Lions at the Ravens.

1100
00:51:23,360 --> 00:51:26,400
Speaker 5: Yell who you're going with for what could be the

1101
00:51:26,480 --> 00:51:28,680
Speaker 5: highest scoring game on He does have the highest total

1102
00:51:28,719 --> 00:51:30,360
Speaker 5: up fifty two and a half.

1103
00:51:30,880 --> 00:51:32,880
Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean, I'm just gonna go back to my

1104
00:51:32,920 --> 00:51:36,000
Speaker 4: favorite of Jamo Jamison Williams. I mean, he's around plus

1105
00:51:36,080 --> 00:51:39,640
Speaker 4: two forty. I just think that there's gonna be a

1106
00:51:40,400 --> 00:51:42,200
Speaker 4: I'm not high on the Lions in this game. I

1107
00:51:42,239 --> 00:51:44,520
Speaker 4: think they're actually probably gonna it's gonna be a rude

1108
00:51:44,520 --> 00:51:46,239
Speaker 4: awakening for them. I think this is a game where

1109
00:51:46,280 --> 00:51:48,600
Speaker 4: I think the Ravens might just beat It might just

1110
00:51:48,640 --> 00:51:50,239
Speaker 4: be a beatdown, like similar to what we saw a

1111
00:51:50,239 --> 00:51:51,840
Speaker 4: couple of years ago. Like I don't know if you

1112
00:51:51,920 --> 00:51:54,200
Speaker 4: remember that game against Baltimore where they just went on

1113
00:51:54,239 --> 00:51:56,920
Speaker 4: the road and just got completely stomped. It was like

1114
00:51:56,960 --> 00:51:59,359
Speaker 4: a one PM game, so it wasn't having all those

1115
00:51:59,400 --> 00:52:02,200
Speaker 4: eyes on a trimetime spot. But I just think Jameo

1116
00:52:02,400 --> 00:52:06,279
Speaker 4: right now, he's beating He's just beating secondaries. He's just

1117
00:52:06,480 --> 00:52:08,839
Speaker 4: constantly being able to do that. I think they'll try

1118
00:52:08,920 --> 00:52:10,799
Speaker 4: to be able to negate that, but I just think

1119
00:52:10,840 --> 00:52:12,920
Speaker 4: that he's too talented, So at plus two forty, that's

1120
00:52:12,920 --> 00:52:13,600
Speaker 4: what I'm gonna take.

1121
00:52:15,560 --> 00:52:17,759
Speaker 5: Yeah, Jamo, he's I mean, in a spot like this,

1122
00:52:17,760 --> 00:52:20,600
Speaker 5: this is where he could explode because the Lions aren't

1123
00:52:20,640 --> 00:52:23,160
Speaker 5: usually in a spot where they have to score as

1124
00:52:23,239 --> 00:52:25,719
Speaker 5: much as the other team, who is what applied for

1125
00:52:26,040 --> 00:52:27,480
Speaker 5: thirty plus.

1126
00:52:28,000 --> 00:52:31,680
Speaker 1: So I'm gonna go with I mentioned this earlier.

1127
00:52:31,719 --> 00:52:35,160
Speaker 5: When the market is down on somebody, that's generally the

1128
00:52:35,239 --> 00:52:37,120
Speaker 5: time you want to buy in. So I'm gonna go

1129
00:52:37,120 --> 00:52:39,719
Speaker 5: with Mark Andrews here at plus one sixty to score

1130
00:52:39,800 --> 00:52:43,919
Speaker 5: any time touchdown. And yeah, it was another one catch game,

1131
00:52:44,400 --> 00:52:47,359
Speaker 5: ugly for Andrews, but I'm not gonna get off him

1132
00:52:47,480 --> 00:52:49,640
Speaker 5: just yet because I did notice he was still getting

1133
00:52:49,680 --> 00:52:52,040
Speaker 5: his red zone routes and he was actually the first

1134
00:52:52,080 --> 00:52:55,719
Speaker 5: read on two targets in the red zone. So not

1135
00:52:55,920 --> 00:52:58,239
Speaker 5: really going away from him just yet. It's just that

1136
00:52:58,680 --> 00:53:01,880
Speaker 5: the Ravens are so good sometimes Lamar is so good

1137
00:53:02,360 --> 00:53:04,200
Speaker 5: that this is gonna be one of those weird teams.

1138
00:53:04,200 --> 00:53:07,759
Speaker 5: They're trying to get everybody involved early, so you know,

1139
00:53:07,840 --> 00:53:09,359
Speaker 5: Andrew's kind of been the odd man out, but I'm

1140
00:53:09,360 --> 00:53:12,200
Speaker 5: pretty sure they knew they were gonna need him baiting

1141
00:53:12,280 --> 00:53:15,080
Speaker 5: guys like that for this Detroit game. So I wouldn't

1142
00:53:15,080 --> 00:53:17,840
Speaker 5: be surprised to see both those guys that started a

1143
00:53:17,880 --> 00:53:20,279
Speaker 5: little slow start to pick it up here, along with

1144
00:53:20,960 --> 00:53:23,520
Speaker 5: my guy Charlie Kohler, who's been been quiet too.

1145
00:53:23,960 --> 00:53:27,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, you didn't give him out.

1146
00:53:26,640 --> 00:53:27,239
Speaker 2: No, not yet.

1147
00:53:28,160 --> 00:53:30,880
Speaker 3: I can right now though, Isaac to Slaw, you know

1148
00:53:30,920 --> 00:53:33,239
Speaker 3: where I'm going with this. Isaac to Slaw at six

1149
00:53:33,320 --> 00:53:38,320
Speaker 3: to one at FanDuel. I've been high on him ever since,

1150
00:53:38,360 --> 00:53:44,240
Speaker 3: you know, preseason, despite the lines having just so many weapons.

1151
00:53:44,239 --> 00:53:46,480
Speaker 3: I mean, he's like the fourth or fifth weapon right now.

1152
00:53:47,200 --> 00:53:50,239
Speaker 3: But I think he's too good to keep wrapped up.

1153
00:53:50,239 --> 00:53:52,560
Speaker 3: And we kind of saw that in week two. Week one,

1154
00:53:52,600 --> 00:53:55,640
Speaker 3: he only played three snaps. He popped up on the

1155
00:53:55,640 --> 00:53:57,600
Speaker 3: Andrew report he was sick or something, so I think

1156
00:53:57,640 --> 00:54:00,160
Speaker 3: that led to that. And then you know, they up

1157
00:54:00,239 --> 00:54:04,400
Speaker 3: to his usage last week at the expense of Cliff Raymond,

1158
00:54:04,440 --> 00:54:06,239
Speaker 3: where you know, his routes on ray jumped up to

1159
00:54:06,320 --> 00:54:09,600
Speaker 3: forty percent and he made just another ridiculous catch. So

1160
00:54:09,640 --> 00:54:12,680
Speaker 3: he has two targets on the air so far, two catches,

1161
00:54:13,440 --> 00:54:17,200
Speaker 3: both of them had a less than forty percent expected

1162
00:54:17,280 --> 00:54:17,759
Speaker 3: catch rate.

1163
00:54:18,200 --> 00:54:20,120
Speaker 2: But because he's so good, he caught them.

1164
00:54:20,480 --> 00:54:23,080
Speaker 3: So I'm trying to get as many Tesla's shares as

1165
00:54:23,120 --> 00:54:25,520
Speaker 3: I can. I'm basically elon right now, just trying to

1166
00:54:25,520 --> 00:54:30,400
Speaker 3: load up on the Tislaw shares. So, like Raybon, you

1167
00:54:30,480 --> 00:54:33,000
Speaker 3: just said, like this this could be a pass heavy,

1168
00:54:33,040 --> 00:54:35,759
Speaker 3: trailing game stripped for the Lions, so they might need

1169
00:54:35,760 --> 00:54:39,080
Speaker 3: to tap into him, you know, potentially catching the Ravens

1170
00:54:39,080 --> 00:54:41,120
Speaker 3: off guard, like this is the perfect spot to get

1171
00:54:41,200 --> 00:54:42,560
Speaker 3: him at six to one.

1172
00:54:42,600 --> 00:54:45,160
Speaker 4: Here, I was gonna say, Raybon, I was gonna say,

1173
00:54:45,360 --> 00:54:47,560
Speaker 4: could we have with Isaac Tislaw? Could this be the

1174
00:54:47,719 --> 00:54:51,839
Speaker 4: Rahim Ali Special the last touchdown or like something like that.

1175
00:54:52,440 --> 00:54:55,920
Speaker 4: And right now, so yeah, forty to one. Right now,

1176
00:54:55,920 --> 00:54:58,399
Speaker 4: I'm seeing actually a fifty to one for last touchdown score,

1177
00:54:58,400 --> 00:54:59,719
Speaker 4: and that would have been the case in Week one

1178
00:54:59,760 --> 00:55:02,600
Speaker 4: when he played against the Packers.

1179
00:55:02,840 --> 00:55:05,880
Speaker 5: I'm I think you gotta go with some Praig Reynolds too, because,

1180
00:55:05,880 --> 00:55:07,200
Speaker 5: like get you never known these spots.

1181
00:55:07,200 --> 00:55:07,920
Speaker 1: You could go either way.

1182
00:55:07,920 --> 00:55:09,920
Speaker 5: But yeah, I think one of these two teams they

1183
00:55:10,200 --> 00:55:12,000
Speaker 5: do employ those third running backs who could get in

1184
00:55:12,000 --> 00:55:12,640
Speaker 5: the end zone.

1185
00:55:13,080 --> 00:55:15,120
Speaker 1: But fuck that, let's just hope.

1186
00:55:14,840 --> 00:55:19,640
Speaker 5: That Tesla, Andrews and Jamo here because that will give

1187
00:55:19,680 --> 00:55:25,919
Speaker 5: you a nice little juicy plus sixty to sixty one

1188
00:55:26,120 --> 00:55:28,480
Speaker 5: to one nearly So yeah, I think we just want

1189
00:55:28,560 --> 00:55:29,680
Speaker 5: that one to hit, you know.

1190
00:55:29,800 --> 00:55:33,359
Speaker 1: Yeah, that works for me, all right, that is gonna

1191
00:55:33,360 --> 00:55:33,560
Speaker 1: do it.

1192
00:55:33,600 --> 00:55:37,880
Speaker 5: As I mentioned these anytime touchdown Parways too the Parway

1193
00:55:37,920 --> 00:55:41,760
Speaker 5: Express account in the Action App. Go follow Parway Express

1194
00:55:41,800 --> 00:55:43,719
Speaker 5: if you have not yet and have some fun with

1195
00:55:43,800 --> 00:55:46,080
Speaker 5: us on some of these longer shots. And while you're

1196
00:55:46,120 --> 00:55:49,880
Speaker 5: looking at Parlay Express on the Action App, sign up

1197
00:55:49,880 --> 00:55:52,280
Speaker 5: for Action Pros, the only way for to get real

1198
00:55:52,520 --> 00:55:55,760
Speaker 5: time pick alerts from all of our experts with immediate

1199
00:55:55,840 --> 00:55:59,280
Speaker 5: notifications when we post our picks. You can get twenty

1200
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1201
00:56:03,239 --> 00:56:05,759
Speaker 5: Pod two zero when you sign up for a year

1202
00:56:06,280 --> 00:56:10,560
Speaker 5: of Action Pro. That'll do it for the Week three

1203
00:56:10,840 --> 00:56:15,040
Speaker 5: TV show. Big thanks to Sean Kerner Jill Gallant for

1204
00:56:15,280 --> 00:56:18,319
Speaker 5: joining me. If you want to tail again, just check

1205
00:56:18,320 --> 00:56:21,080
Speaker 5: out the quick slips. If you're on Twitter X, make

1206
00:56:21,120 --> 00:56:24,480
Speaker 5: sure you check out Playbook. That's the one thing I

1207
00:56:24,520 --> 00:56:26,640
Speaker 5: wanted to mention too before we get it out of here.

1208
00:56:26,840 --> 00:56:29,120
Speaker 5: You can just tag playbook and it's an AI chat

1209
00:56:29,160 --> 00:56:31,160
Speaker 5: about that will build you a bet slip at your

1210
00:56:31,160 --> 00:56:32,959
Speaker 5: book of choice. If you can just screenshot a bet

1211
00:56:33,040 --> 00:56:36,479
Speaker 5: that you see Jill make or Sean make, and it'll

1212
00:56:36,480 --> 00:56:36,759
Speaker 5: get it.

1213
00:56:36,760 --> 00:56:37,680
Speaker 1: It'll get it done for you.

1214
00:56:37,760 --> 00:56:40,560
Speaker 5: So be sure to subscribe to the pod, be sure

1215
00:56:40,760 --> 00:56:43,680
Speaker 5: to check out that playbook and follow that on x, Twitter,

1216
00:56:43,719 --> 00:56:46,600
Speaker 5: whatever you call it. Sean is there at the Underscarage Maker,

1217
00:56:46,840 --> 00:56:50,279
Speaker 5: Jill is there at g doll five thousand, and I'm

1218
00:56:50,280 --> 00:56:53,040
Speaker 5: at Chris Raybond Betho Sam handles at the Action app.

1219
00:56:53,120 --> 00:56:56,319
Speaker 5: So be shure to downloaded if you haven't already, till

1220
00:56:56,440 --> 00:56:57,000
Speaker 5: next time.

1221
00:56:57,680 --> 00:56:59,200
Speaker 1: Let's get this money.

1222
00:57:03,360 --> 00:57:12,759
Speaker 5: Students, students, students to the students

1223
00:57:12,880 --> 00:57:14,960
Speaker 4: To the same stud students,