WEBVTT - Talkin’ Politics: Threatening a war crime is still a war crime

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to Talking Politics. I'm your host, Si Cup. What

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<v Speaker 1>a wild week it's been. I mean I don't remember

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<v Speaker 1>a week that hasn't been wild, but this one's been

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<v Speaker 1>particularly wild.

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<v Speaker 2>Let's go through it.

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<v Speaker 1>We started off on Easter Sunday with President Trump posting

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<v Speaker 1>the following profane message on.

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<v Speaker 2>His truth social for all the world to see.

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<v Speaker 1>Tuesday will be power plant Day and bridge Day, all

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<v Speaker 1>wrapped up in one.

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<v Speaker 2>In Iran.

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<v Speaker 1>There will be nothing like it. Open the fucking straight,

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<v Speaker 1>you crazy bastards, or you'll be living in hell.

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<v Speaker 2>Just watch Praise be to Allah.

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<v Speaker 1>That's a real That's a real thing that the President

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<v Speaker 1>of the United States posted on his social media. Now,

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<v Speaker 1>there's so much in that post that's alarming, obviously, but

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<v Speaker 1>promising to commit war crimes, you know, isn't something that

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<v Speaker 1>presidents usually just come out and say before they do them. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>if that wasn't bad enough, on Monday, he threatened to

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<v Speaker 1>run again, sounding very much like a cross between a

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<v Speaker 1>Sith lord and Andrew dice Clay. He wrote, a whole

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<v Speaker 1>civilization will die tonight, never to be brought back again.

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<v Speaker 2>I don't want that to happen, but it probably will.

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<v Speaker 1>However, now that we have complete and total regime change

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<v Speaker 1>where different, smarter and less radicalized minds prevail, maybe something

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<v Speaker 1>revolutionarily wonderful can happen.

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<v Speaker 2>Who knows what the fuck?

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<v Speaker 1>He gave it Ron an eight pm deadline on Tuesday

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<v Speaker 1>night to open the straight or else, and then about

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<v Speaker 1>two hours before that deadline, Trump announces he's reached a

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<v Speaker 1>quote double sided ceasefire with Iran, which I guess is

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<v Speaker 1>his way of saying both parties will adhere to it, which, yep,

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<v Speaker 1>that's understood. That's what a ceasefire is, two parties agreeing

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<v Speaker 1>to stop shooting for a time being. But like whenever

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<v Speaker 1>he talks about war, it's always it always sounds like

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<v Speaker 1>he just discovered a new war or a new word

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<v Speaker 1>or a new concept, Like someone just told him there's

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<v Speaker 1>this thing called a ceasefire and we can ask for one,

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<v Speaker 1>and he's like, oh, do both.

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<v Speaker 2>Sides agree to it? So it's like double sided cool.

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<v Speaker 1>Yes, a double sided seasfire anyway, With plans to wipe

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<v Speaker 1>out an entire civilization on hold for now, Trump said

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<v Speaker 1>he's agreed to suspend the bombing in attacks on Iran

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<v Speaker 1>for a period of two weeks.

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<v Speaker 2>He wrote the.

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<v Speaker 1>Reason for doing so is that we have already met

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<v Speaker 1>and exceeded all military objectives and are very far along

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<v Speaker 1>with a definitive agreement concerning long term peace with Iran

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<v Speaker 1>and peace in the Middle East. This isn't relevant, but

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<v Speaker 1>I'd like you to know that Trump capitalized the first

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<v Speaker 1>letter of the words agreement and long term for no

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<v Speaker 1>apparent reason.

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<v Speaker 2>I just find that amusing.

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<v Speaker 1>So with peace and victory declared, I guess we can

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<v Speaker 1>all breathe a huge sigh of relief and move on

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<v Speaker 1>with our lives, knowing that this excursion was a huge success.

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<v Speaker 1>The world's a safer place. America got what it wanted.

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<v Speaker 1>Right well, I hate to be the bearer of bad news,

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<v Speaker 1>but not exactly. The so called double sided ceasefire that

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<v Speaker 1>Trump bought into so just a bluff by Iran.

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<v Speaker 2>He bought into it.

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<v Speaker 1>It lasted mere hours, Iran's Levon oil refinery was hit,

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<v Speaker 1>and a word on whether that was Israel or US,

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<v Speaker 1>of course, just silence. Iran has continued to strike Gulf

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<v Speaker 1>Arab states including Kuwait, Bahrain, Uae, Israel is intensified strikes

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<v Speaker 1>and Lebanon, with Israel and JD Vans both saying Lebanon

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<v Speaker 1>and Hezbala weren't.

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<v Speaker 2>Included in the ceasefire.

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<v Speaker 1>Our supposed Pakistani mediator disagrees with that.

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<v Speaker 2>It's such a mess and we don't even know who

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<v Speaker 2>to believe.

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<v Speaker 1>Traffic in the Strait remained negligible, with reports that Iran

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<v Speaker 1>briefly opened the Strait of Hormuz as directed by President Trump,

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<v Speaker 1>and then closed it in response to Israeli strikes. Oil

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<v Speaker 1>and gas prices have come down, but still remain significantly

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<v Speaker 1>higher than they were before the war. We've retrieved none,

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<v Speaker 1>none of the one thousand pounds of enriched uranium that

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<v Speaker 1>was supposedly obliterated by US in our strikes last year.

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<v Speaker 1>It's still under twenty feet of rubble waiting, I guess

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<v Speaker 1>for Iranians to dig it up and then start, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>enriching it again.

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<v Speaker 2>There's been no regime change.

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<v Speaker 1>The same guys are running it today that we're running

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<v Speaker 1>it a month ago. So, in other words, other than

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<v Speaker 1>degrading Iran's military somewhat, we've accomplished nothing, well, nothing good anyway.

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<v Speaker 1>Here's what we have accomplished. Global energy prices are up,

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<v Speaker 1>our allies are rattled.

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<v Speaker 2>The Gulf States are.

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<v Speaker 1>Being bombed, Iran sees no point in taking Trump seriously

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<v Speaker 1>or doing what he says, because they don't respect him

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<v Speaker 1>at all. And the president of the United States has

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<v Speaker 1>already committed a war crime just by threatening to commit

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<v Speaker 1>a war crime.

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<v Speaker 2>So I'm sure you're asking the same question that I am.

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<v Speaker 1>What are Republicans doing in response to Trump's illegal and

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<v Speaker 1>ill advised war. What are they doing about his messing

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<v Speaker 1>with the markets, his threats to leave NATO, his threats

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<v Speaker 1>to commit war crimes, his failure to get anything meaningful

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<v Speaker 1>out of a war that's already seen US casualties. What

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<v Speaker 1>are they doing about his decision to ignore the issues

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<v Speaker 1>that matter most to voters, like lowering inflation and the

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<v Speaker 1>cost of goods. What are you doing about his obvious

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<v Speaker 1>signs of cognitive failure. I'm so glad you asked nothing. Nothing,

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<v Speaker 1>not a thing. They're not doing one thing about it.

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<v Speaker 2>Nothing.

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<v Speaker 1>Of the fifty three Republicans currently in the Senate and

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<v Speaker 1>the two hundred and nineteen Republicans currently in the House,

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<v Speaker 1>guess how many have come out to condemn Trump's threat

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<v Speaker 1>to end to civilization? Four four, that's it, four Republicans

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<v Speaker 1>in all of Congress.

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<v Speaker 2>Both houses had.

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<v Speaker 1>The courage to say what should be obvious and easy,

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<v Speaker 1>which is that the president of the United States shouldn't

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<v Speaker 1>be threatening to end to civilization.

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<v Speaker 2>There are more obvious and easy.

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<v Speaker 1>Things to say, like the President of the United States

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<v Speaker 1>doesn't know how to get us out of a war

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<v Speaker 1>that he started. And President of the United States is

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<v Speaker 1>an incompetent fool, and the President of the United States

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<v Speaker 1>went to war to distract us from this terrible economy,

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<v Speaker 1>and the Epstein files. You could also say all of

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<v Speaker 1>those things very easily because they're obvious.

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<v Speaker 2>But no, they're totally silent.

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<v Speaker 1>Goose stepping along as Trump self destructs and tries to

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<v Speaker 1>take America down with him. What profiles encourage from this crowd, Right,

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<v Speaker 1>the guy is a lame duck, Like, how hard would

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<v Speaker 1>it be to say, it's time to take our country back,

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<v Speaker 1>it's time to do our jobs again, it's time to

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<v Speaker 1>reign in this obviously compromised president who's threatening nuclear war.

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<v Speaker 2>Shouldn't be hard and yet nothing silence, cowardice.

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<v Speaker 1>No Democrats for their part, well, they're weighing their options

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<v Speaker 1>and being in the minority, none.

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<v Speaker 2>Are particularly good or feasible.

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<v Speaker 1>Talking about impeachment hearings, and that would be a purely

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<v Speaker 1>political exercise, and.

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<v Speaker 2>Trust me, one that Maga is dying for.

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<v Speaker 1>They'd love to be back on defense, where they and

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<v Speaker 1>Trump can play poor put upon victims again. They would

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<v Speaker 1>love the distraction and time suck that impeachment would create.

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<v Speaker 1>They'd love the news media to focus on something other

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<v Speaker 1>than Trump's abject failures. They are hoping for impeachment Democrats

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<v Speaker 1>should be wary of that. What about the twenty fifth

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<v Speaker 1>Amendment that allows for the involuntary removal of a president

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<v Speaker 1>during his term sort of And we're going to get

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<v Speaker 1>into the details of that with my next guest after

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<v Speaker 1>the break. But twenty fifth Amendment is tough too, because

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<v Speaker 1>the process requires the vice president and a majority of

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<v Speaker 1>the cabinet to declare the president unfit, and then Congress

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<v Speaker 1>needs to confirm the removal with two thirds of a

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<v Speaker 1>vote if the president disputes it. Now, considering jd. Vance

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<v Speaker 1>has abandoned everything he once stood for and I mean everything,

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<v Speaker 1>just to lick Trump's boots, I doubt we're going to

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<v Speaker 1>get jd Vance to turn on the president. And considering

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<v Speaker 1>Trump's acting ag Todd Blanche said that he'd thank the

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<v Speaker 1>President and tell him I love you, sir. If he

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<v Speaker 1>were fired. I don't think you're going to get this

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<v Speaker 1>cabinet to turn on him either. So what can the

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<v Speaker 1>legislative branch do?

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<v Speaker 3>Well.

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<v Speaker 1>It isn't as sexy as impeachment or the twenty fifth Amendment,

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<v Speaker 1>but it's something if Republicans suddenly to wake up to

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<v Speaker 1>their sworn oaths and duties as lawmakers. First, they should

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<v Speaker 1>vote down Trump's ask for two hundred billion dollars in

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<v Speaker 1>supplemental appropriations to fund continued war operations. They should put

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<v Speaker 1>conditions on future funding, like no boots on the ground

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<v Speaker 1>or nuclear threats, whatever they deem necessary. They should invoke

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<v Speaker 1>the War Powers Resolution and for so withdrawal of troops

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<v Speaker 1>if we get to that point, and they can and

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<v Speaker 1>should pass new laws restricting the first use of nuclear

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<v Speaker 1>weapons without a congressional mandate. They could also hold people

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<v Speaker 1>like Marco Rubio and Pete Hegseth accountable with public hearings

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<v Speaker 1>to find out once and for all, and on the record,

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<v Speaker 1>what our mission is in Iran, what was our reason

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<v Speaker 1>for going in? Like get on the record, because we've

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<v Speaker 1>hat Telsea Gabbert d and I on the record saying

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<v Speaker 1>there was no intel of an.

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<v Speaker 2>Imminent threat from Iran. That's on the she's under oath.

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<v Speaker 1>Now, either you believe her, which means you have to

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<v Speaker 1>believe that Trump's justification for this war was a lie,

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<v Speaker 1>or you believe she is lying and therefore hiding intel

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<v Speaker 1>from us. Neither is a good scenario. Again, these things

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<v Speaker 1>aren't sexy, but this is what we've got, and I

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<v Speaker 1>think this is where we are. The good news is

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<v Speaker 1>if there is any that it's a Trump and his

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<v Speaker 1>war are so unpopular they're dragging Republicans down with them,

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<v Speaker 1>which will make mid terms quite the reckoning. And that's

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<v Speaker 1>where you come in. You just got to vote.

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<v Speaker 2>You just got to vote, like this might be. I

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<v Speaker 2>know we say this, I know I say this.

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<v Speaker 1>I have been guilty of saying these are the most

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<v Speaker 1>important mid terms of your lifetime.

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<v Speaker 2>I think I've said that before. But like we're on

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<v Speaker 2>the brink of nuclear war.

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<v Speaker 1>You guys like these are the most important midterms of

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<v Speaker 1>your lifetime.

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<v Speaker 2>I don't know how the stakes could be any higher.

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<v Speaker 1>As President's out of control, we Republicans in Congress are

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<v Speaker 1>not being the check on him that they are supposed

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<v Speaker 1>to be. We need everyone to go out and vote.

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<v Speaker 1>Midterms are going to be bad, and if Republicans were smart,

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<v Speaker 1>they'd start speaking up right about now about.

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<v Speaker 2>It saving themselves, saving their their.

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<v Speaker 1>Majority or what's left of it come midterms. Okay, when

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<v Speaker 1>we come back, we'll go a little deeper on the

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<v Speaker 1>twenty fifth Amendment with the author of a new book

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<v Speaker 1>on the subject, Don't Go Anywhere.

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<v Speaker 2>Welcome back.

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<v Speaker 1>Joining me now is Rebecca Lubau. She's CEO and founder

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<v Speaker 1>of Luba's Strategies. She's worked in government and in the

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<v Speaker 1>nonprofit sector. She's author of the new book Keeping a

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<v Speaker 1>Finger on the Button, Presidential Continuity and the Nuclear Age.

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<v Speaker 2>Welcome doctor Lubau.

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<v Speaker 4>Thank you great to be here with you.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, I mean this book is so timely as we're

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<v Speaker 1>engaging with a nuclear threshold state like Leke Iran, as

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<v Speaker 1>our president is threatening to wipe out a civilization off

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<v Speaker 1>the planet, which many took to mean nuclear strikes, but

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<v Speaker 1>also as we're hearing more and more about the twenty

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<v Speaker 1>fifth Amendment being invoked, and you deal with the twenty

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<v Speaker 1>fifth Amendment quite a bit in your book, So I want.

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<v Speaker 2>To start there. Take us back a little bit.

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<v Speaker 1>What led to the ratification of the twenty fifth Amendment

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<v Speaker 1>in the first place.

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<v Speaker 3>Great, so it was about one hundred and seventy nine

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<v Speaker 3>years since the Constitution before the ratification of the twenty

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<v Speaker 3>fifth Amendment, and basically Article two, Section one provides for

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<v Speaker 3>the vice president taking over for the president should the

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<v Speaker 3>president die in office, but that left.

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<v Speaker 4>The vice presidency vacant.

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<v Speaker 3>There were no provisions for if a president was left

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<v Speaker 3>enabled and could not assume the powers and duties at

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<v Speaker 3>the office. There was no line of succession past the

0:13:16.240 --> 0:13:20.200
<v Speaker 3>vice president. So all of these were debated from time

0:13:20.240 --> 0:13:25.080
<v Speaker 3>to time throughout history until the ratification. In fact, there

0:13:25.080 --> 0:13:30.440
<v Speaker 3>were eight unplanned presidential successions and sixteen unplanned you know,

0:13:30.520 --> 0:13:37.280
<v Speaker 3>vice presidential vacancies. And then there was activity in earnest

0:13:37.440 --> 0:13:41.520
<v Speaker 3>really around the time of the dropping of the bomb.

0:13:43.520 --> 0:13:47.640
<v Speaker 3>So there was originally that was like seventeen ninety two

0:13:47.800 --> 0:13:51.400
<v Speaker 3>provided for some legislative succession after the vice president, so

0:13:51.480 --> 0:13:54.560
<v Speaker 3>this Speaker and the Senate President pro tempop would step

0:13:54.600 --> 0:13:58.680
<v Speaker 3>into that role. Then eighteen eighty six there was some activity.

0:13:58.679 --> 0:14:01.520
<v Speaker 3>It changed the order of success became just a cabinet

0:14:01.559 --> 0:14:04.160
<v Speaker 3>line of succession, so they skipped over the speaker and

0:14:04.200 --> 0:14:07.520
<v Speaker 3>the Senate President pro tem and then and then you

0:14:07.559 --> 0:14:09.640
<v Speaker 3>really see you know, nineteen forty five is the dropping

0:14:09.640 --> 0:14:12.800
<v Speaker 3>in the bomb. Nineteen forty seven, you see with Truman

0:14:12.880 --> 0:14:16.920
<v Speaker 3>the Presidential Succession Act, and Truman had a great relationship

0:14:16.960 --> 0:14:20.040
<v Speaker 3>with House Speaker Rayburn, so in part for that reason

0:14:20.960 --> 0:14:26.760
<v Speaker 3>and in part because he felt that executive succession was undemocratic,

0:14:27.480 --> 0:14:31.200
<v Speaker 3>because these cabinet officials were not elected by the charity

0:14:31.200 --> 0:14:35.520
<v Speaker 3>of the populous. So he put in place, you know,

0:14:35.880 --> 0:14:38.280
<v Speaker 3>the Presidential Succession Act of nineteen forty seven put in

0:14:38.280 --> 0:14:42.240
<v Speaker 3>place this executive line of succession. And then you see

0:14:42.400 --> 0:14:48.680
<v Speaker 3>Eisenhower and Nixon had a letter agreement. Kennedy and Johnson

0:14:48.760 --> 0:14:52.840
<v Speaker 3>also did the same, and then Kennedy was assassinated.

0:14:52.920 --> 0:14:55.920
<v Speaker 4>So in this the wake of the Kennedy.

0:14:55.560 --> 0:15:00.760
<v Speaker 3>Assassination and this period of great anxiety around nuclear their warfare,

0:15:01.240 --> 0:15:05.040
<v Speaker 3>that's when you see this activity really pick up. And

0:15:06.320 --> 0:15:10.440
<v Speaker 3>so February tenth, nineteen forty seven, after much debate, and

0:15:10.480 --> 0:15:13.200
<v Speaker 3>then of course three quarters of states have to ratify

0:15:13.840 --> 0:15:18.600
<v Speaker 3>you see, finally and amendments that addresses these issues, although

0:15:18.600 --> 0:15:21.720
<v Speaker 3>it left us with some holes and gaps, some purposeful

0:15:22.920 --> 0:15:26.680
<v Speaker 3>that my book keeping a finger on the button towards

0:15:26.720 --> 0:15:29.880
<v Speaker 3>the and I suggest some ways in which we can

0:15:30.120 --> 0:15:31.240
<v Speaker 3>build some of these gaps.

0:15:31.480 --> 0:15:33.160
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, and I want to ask you about the gaps,

0:15:33.200 --> 0:15:37.800
<v Speaker 1>but before I do, you also say that multiple administrations

0:15:38.960 --> 0:15:43.680
<v Speaker 1>amplified that anxiety of the nation. Was that was that

0:15:43.760 --> 0:15:46.960
<v Speaker 1>intentional or was that just how they maneuvered through the time.

0:15:48.440 --> 0:15:52.840
<v Speaker 4>Yeah. So, and it's a lot about the rhetoric of

0:15:53.120 --> 0:15:54.000
<v Speaker 4>the president.

0:15:54.480 --> 0:15:56.760
<v Speaker 3>You see this in particular, you know, during the colds

0:15:56.760 --> 0:15:59.960
<v Speaker 3>War and you know other things.

0:16:00.120 --> 0:16:01.320
<v Speaker 4>Is that that take place?

0:16:01.360 --> 0:16:04.160
<v Speaker 3>In fact, I listened to your podcast on Artemis too

0:16:04.560 --> 0:16:10.480
<v Speaker 3>and really great and nineteen fifty seven's Buttnick for example.

0:16:11.480 --> 0:16:15.080
<v Speaker 3>Finally there was this this method to deliver bombs. So

0:16:15.200 --> 0:16:19.320
<v Speaker 3>not only did the Soviets develop the bomb quite quicker

0:16:19.360 --> 0:16:23.320
<v Speaker 3>than American scientists thought they would, but now this this

0:16:24.000 --> 0:16:27.040
<v Speaker 3>what was science fiction became reality. Right, there was this

0:16:27.200 --> 0:16:33.120
<v Speaker 3>ability to deliver these nuclear missiles. So you see, you know,

0:16:33.120 --> 0:16:40.920
<v Speaker 3>the rhetoric change, and and you also see politicians preparing

0:16:41.080 --> 0:16:44.640
<v Speaker 3>for both continuity the president and and then you know

0:16:44.680 --> 0:16:50.600
<v Speaker 3>the civil preparedness, continuity of government and continuity of you know, society.

0:16:50.880 --> 0:16:52.960
<v Speaker 4>And then that's also echoed in culture.

0:16:54.440 --> 0:16:58.320
<v Speaker 2>Right, So do you think like without.

0:16:59.120 --> 0:17:03.840
<v Speaker 1>The advent of nuclear energy, would we not get the

0:17:03.880 --> 0:17:04.760
<v Speaker 1>twenty fifth Amendment?

0:17:06.640 --> 0:17:09.960
<v Speaker 3>You know, that's that's an interesting because it does seem

0:17:10.119 --> 0:17:15.000
<v Speaker 3>like Kennedy's assassination and this you know, now that we're

0:17:15.040 --> 0:17:17.919
<v Speaker 3>in this modern era of globalization, the speed, time and

0:17:17.960 --> 0:17:21.959
<v Speaker 3>pace of communications has increased. So I think it was

0:17:22.040 --> 0:17:25.800
<v Speaker 3>the proximate and prime cause. But a really important reason

0:17:26.520 --> 0:17:31.440
<v Speaker 3>was this nuclear anxiety. And so I've examined unline archives.

0:17:31.480 --> 0:17:33.920
<v Speaker 3>I was fortunate to talk with the author of the amendment,

0:17:34.000 --> 0:17:37.960
<v Speaker 3>US Senator birch By before he passed, and he said,

0:17:38.320 --> 0:17:42.800
<v Speaker 3>I said, you know, Senator, was nuclear anxiety on like

0:17:42.840 --> 0:17:44.560
<v Speaker 3>in the back of your mind, you know, early on

0:17:44.640 --> 0:17:47.960
<v Speaker 3>in my research process. And he said it was impossible

0:17:48.040 --> 0:17:50.920
<v Speaker 3>for it not to be on the forefront rather back

0:17:50.960 --> 0:17:55.280
<v Speaker 3>of his mind, And so I would dug into the archives.

0:17:55.400 --> 0:17:59.040
<v Speaker 4>I was fortunate to have access the US Senate Historians.

0:17:58.720 --> 0:18:03.119
<v Speaker 3>Archives, and you can see throughout congressional debate in both

0:18:03.119 --> 0:18:06.800
<v Speaker 3>houses and in the States, how this fear of a

0:18:07.080 --> 0:18:10.080
<v Speaker 3>nuclear armageddon pushed the process forward.

0:18:10.800 --> 0:18:11.560
<v Speaker 2>So interesting.

0:18:11.640 --> 0:18:14.199
<v Speaker 1>So you mentioned there are gaps in this amendment just

0:18:14.240 --> 0:18:15.119
<v Speaker 1>relevant for today.

0:18:15.200 --> 0:18:16.720
<v Speaker 2>Talk about what some of those gaps are.

0:18:17.840 --> 0:18:22.000
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, So the first one is I think perhaps most

0:18:22.040 --> 0:18:27.639
<v Speaker 3>relevant is inability. What constitutes inability, and that hasn't been decided.

0:18:27.680 --> 0:18:30.919
<v Speaker 3>So usually when like the I think we're up to

0:18:30.960 --> 0:18:34.960
<v Speaker 3>eighty five the congressional members who are calling for the

0:18:34.960 --> 0:18:39.800
<v Speaker 3>twenty fifth Amendment right now, but when they're calling for

0:18:39.840 --> 0:18:42.760
<v Speaker 3>the twenty fifth Amendment, they're usually calling for Section four

0:18:42.800 --> 0:18:46.640
<v Speaker 3>of the amendment. And so really the twenty fifth Amendment

0:18:46.840 --> 0:18:52.159
<v Speaker 3>allows for the president to decide that he's enabled and

0:18:52.200 --> 0:18:56.120
<v Speaker 3>then take back the responsibilities, the powers and duties when

0:18:56.320 --> 0:18:58.240
<v Speaker 3>he decides he's able.

0:18:58.480 --> 0:19:01.600
<v Speaker 4>The section four says, well, if he's in a.

0:19:01.560 --> 0:19:04.880
<v Speaker 3>Position of inability and he can't make that call, then

0:19:04.880 --> 0:19:07.919
<v Speaker 3>the vice president and a majority of cabinet or a

0:19:08.000 --> 0:19:12.400
<v Speaker 3>body that Congress so provides designates by law will.

0:19:12.200 --> 0:19:13.080
<v Speaker 4>Make that decision.

0:19:13.240 --> 0:19:16.720
<v Speaker 3>So the Congress has not designated a body, which I

0:19:16.760 --> 0:19:20.840
<v Speaker 3>think they should do, and that body should be composed

0:19:20.960 --> 0:19:28.800
<v Speaker 3>of experts that are nonpartisan, impartial and there yeah, and

0:19:28.800 --> 0:19:33.000
<v Speaker 3>that don't owe their positions of power to the president

0:19:33.160 --> 0:19:36.080
<v Speaker 3>like the vice president and the cabinet do, right, right,

0:19:36.760 --> 0:19:40.000
<v Speaker 3>So that's the first issue is what constitutes inability.

0:19:40.840 --> 0:19:44.280
<v Speaker 1>So that part inability that has never gone up to

0:19:44.640 --> 0:19:49.400
<v Speaker 1>a court level that adjudicated or delineated codified exactly what

0:19:49.400 --> 0:19:49.800
<v Speaker 1>that means.

0:19:49.800 --> 0:19:50.720
<v Speaker 2>That hasn't done that yet.

0:19:51.359 --> 0:19:55.080
<v Speaker 3>No, And there's been a number of you know, commissions

0:19:55.080 --> 0:19:57.560
<v Speaker 3>and studies and fat former President Carter was on a

0:19:57.560 --> 0:20:02.640
<v Speaker 3>commission to determine and you know what would comprise this body?

0:20:02.720 --> 0:20:05.639
<v Speaker 3>You know what type of medical experts? Who gets to decide?

0:20:05.680 --> 0:20:09.760
<v Speaker 3>Does the president shoose, does Congress get to choose members?

0:20:10.000 --> 0:20:14.840
<v Speaker 3>Does it include maybe psychiatrists? And for example, to you know,

0:20:14.960 --> 0:20:19.320
<v Speaker 3>determine to make this determination and then you know, this

0:20:19.480 --> 0:20:22.639
<v Speaker 3>body would be more likely than the president and the

0:20:22.680 --> 0:20:26.800
<v Speaker 3>majority of the cabinet to suggest invoking Section four.

0:20:27.080 --> 0:20:29.080
<v Speaker 4>And I think it would probably still be up to

0:20:29.280 --> 0:20:30.080
<v Speaker 4>the vice.

0:20:29.800 --> 0:20:33.360
<v Speaker 3>President because all of the mechanisms of the twenty fifth

0:20:33.359 --> 0:20:35.960
<v Speaker 3>Amendment revolve around the vice president.

0:20:36.960 --> 0:20:40.280
<v Speaker 1>Right, So for all the folks, and we talked about

0:20:40.280 --> 0:20:41.840
<v Speaker 1>this a little bit before the break, for all the

0:20:41.880 --> 0:20:46.800
<v Speaker 1>folks talking about invoking the twenty fifth Amendment, just in

0:20:46.800 --> 0:20:50.680
<v Speaker 1>today's political landscape, with what we know about JD Vance

0:20:50.720 --> 0:20:53.680
<v Speaker 1>for example, for what we know about this cabinet. We've

0:20:53.720 --> 0:20:56.600
<v Speaker 1>all seen a cabinet meeting where they go around obsequiously,

0:20:57.119 --> 0:21:02.119
<v Speaker 1>you know, praising the president. Does it impossible that the

0:21:02.240 --> 0:21:06.359
<v Speaker 1>vice president and a majority of the cabinet would vote

0:21:06.359 --> 0:21:06.879
<v Speaker 1>to invoke this.

0:21:08.720 --> 0:21:13.080
<v Speaker 3>In short, no, And I did study this in periods

0:21:13.080 --> 0:21:18.159
<v Speaker 3>of high nuclear tensions during the Cold War. And for example,

0:21:18.160 --> 0:21:21.080
<v Speaker 3>if you look at Reagan and the assassination attempts in

0:21:21.240 --> 0:21:24.560
<v Speaker 3>March in nineteen eighty one, you know, his lung was

0:21:24.600 --> 0:21:28.320
<v Speaker 3>punctured and he you know, he made a show and

0:21:28.359 --> 0:21:31.919
<v Speaker 3>he sort of stumbled into the hospital and then you know,

0:21:32.000 --> 0:21:33.400
<v Speaker 3>he was joking and things like that.

0:21:33.720 --> 0:21:36.320
<v Speaker 4>But that was exactly.

0:21:35.800 --> 0:21:38.680
<v Speaker 3>When if he was going to be knocked out with anesthesia.

0:21:38.760 --> 0:21:41.480
<v Speaker 3>That's exactly a situation in which the framers of the

0:21:41.520 --> 0:21:45.000
<v Speaker 3>twenty fifth Amendment thought that it should be invoked, whether

0:21:45.160 --> 0:21:50.480
<v Speaker 3>my president and the cabinet, if he was already enables

0:21:50.680 --> 0:21:53.680
<v Speaker 3>or if he knew that he was going into surgery and.

0:21:54.280 --> 0:21:55.679
<v Speaker 4>You know, should invoke it.

0:21:55.840 --> 0:22:01.520
<v Speaker 3>So it shows these these patterns where you know that

0:22:02.480 --> 0:22:06.159
<v Speaker 3>it's not going to be invoked because the individuals around

0:22:06.160 --> 0:22:09.320
<v Speaker 3>the president are concerned about their power, and the president

0:22:09.400 --> 0:22:12.040
<v Speaker 3>himself is concerned about his imagery. Because the thought with

0:22:12.119 --> 0:22:15.879
<v Speaker 3>Reagan was he might recover from this punctured lung, but

0:22:16.000 --> 0:22:19.600
<v Speaker 3>he wouldn't recover from the imagery of appearing week and

0:22:19.720 --> 0:22:24.000
<v Speaker 3>an Aga and yeah, so that is so it's very

0:22:24.080 --> 0:22:29.399
<v Speaker 3>unlikely that Section four would be invoked successfully.

0:22:29.520 --> 0:22:33.240
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, and then I can't believe I'm asking this question,

0:22:33.359 --> 0:22:37.160
<v Speaker 1>but it is relevant what what happens to the nuclear

0:22:37.320 --> 0:22:42.520
<v Speaker 1>codes during this period of transition, if that were ever

0:22:42.600 --> 0:22:43.040
<v Speaker 1>to happen.

0:22:44.600 --> 0:22:49.560
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, So that's interesting because, as you know, the president

0:22:49.720 --> 0:22:54.280
<v Speaker 3>has someone who follows him with this nuclear football, and

0:22:54.640 --> 0:22:57.560
<v Speaker 3>the nucletar football itself is really interesting because in some

0:22:57.640 --> 0:23:02.360
<v Speaker 3>ways is the only physical manifestation of the nation's head

0:23:02.359 --> 0:23:05.359
<v Speaker 3>of stage right, because King Charles, for example, as the

0:23:05.480 --> 0:23:07.800
<v Speaker 3>orb and the scepter and the crown and all the

0:23:07.840 --> 0:23:09.800
<v Speaker 3>president as head of statelely has is this.

0:23:09.960 --> 0:23:11.480
<v Speaker 4>Nuclear football and the codes.

0:23:11.560 --> 0:23:16.760
<v Speaker 3>And during the Reagan assassination attempt right after that, you know,

0:23:16.800 --> 0:23:20.240
<v Speaker 3>the codes were in a soup pocket, you know, kept

0:23:20.280 --> 0:23:20.640
<v Speaker 3>by the.

0:23:20.560 --> 0:23:21.600
<v Speaker 4>FBI as evidence.

0:23:21.640 --> 0:23:24.399
<v Speaker 3>They weren't even with you know, the president at the time,

0:23:25.280 --> 0:23:30.440
<v Speaker 3>and so it was it's just really, you know, importance

0:23:30.640 --> 0:23:35.040
<v Speaker 3>is such an important, you know, like topic though we

0:23:35.160 --> 0:23:39.360
<v Speaker 3>haven't really considered. And after January, during January sixth, during

0:23:39.400 --> 0:23:43.320
<v Speaker 3>the insurrection of the Capitol, when the mob was sort

0:23:43.320 --> 0:23:46.320
<v Speaker 3>of looking for Vice President Pence, they got within about

0:23:46.320 --> 0:23:49.000
<v Speaker 3>one hundred feet of him and his nuclear football, and

0:23:49.040 --> 0:23:50.800
<v Speaker 3>he just escaped down a different card.

0:23:51.800 --> 0:23:55.359
<v Speaker 4>So and you know, had they gotten hold of them,

0:23:55.359 --> 0:23:57.040
<v Speaker 4>they probably couldn't have done much with it.

0:23:57.080 --> 0:23:59.720
<v Speaker 3>But you know there's really you know, terrorist groups and

0:23:59.760 --> 0:24:01.919
<v Speaker 3>things would have paid for that information to try to

0:24:01.920 --> 0:24:03.040
<v Speaker 3>figure out how it worked.

0:24:03.119 --> 0:24:08.680
<v Speaker 4>So really really scary. But and and of course.

0:24:08.800 --> 0:24:11.080
<v Speaker 3>One of the other things I suggest in the book

0:24:11.160 --> 0:24:13.359
<v Speaker 3>is that we really need to take a look at

0:24:13.359 --> 0:24:15.560
<v Speaker 3>the president and the fact that he is the sole

0:24:15.640 --> 0:24:17.480
<v Speaker 3>authority over nuclear weapons.

0:24:19.440 --> 0:24:25.120
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, especially this president, right, this president has in many

0:24:25.119 --> 0:24:30.720
<v Speaker 1>ways become sort of the test case for so much

0:24:30.760 --> 0:24:33.679
<v Speaker 1>of what's in the Constitution and why it's in the

0:24:33.720 --> 0:24:37.720
<v Speaker 1>constitution for a president like this who wants to test

0:24:37.760 --> 0:24:39.119
<v Speaker 1>it constantly and really doesn't have.

0:24:39.119 --> 0:24:40.320
<v Speaker 2>A ton of affection.

0:24:41.600 --> 0:24:47.480
<v Speaker 1>For its legitimacy, and it's and it's supremacy. So it's

0:24:47.520 --> 0:24:49.960
<v Speaker 1>really interesting. And I can't think of more like high

0:24:50.040 --> 0:24:54.600
<v Speaker 1>stakes than nuclear war at this time.

0:24:55.600 --> 0:24:58.720
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, that's right, And and so that's why I mean,

0:24:58.840 --> 0:25:02.680
<v Speaker 3>I think people are thinking the fact that he threatens

0:25:02.720 --> 0:25:08.439
<v Speaker 3>the end of civilization, which implies potentially the use of

0:25:08.480 --> 0:25:12.480
<v Speaker 3>a nuclear weapon, and the fact that the chances of

0:25:12.560 --> 0:25:15.000
<v Speaker 3>him using a nuclear weapon are not zero.

0:25:15.280 --> 0:25:17.600
<v Speaker 4>That on zero should.

0:25:17.320 --> 0:25:20.680
<v Speaker 3>Make I think everyone around the globe concerned and hopefully

0:25:20.840 --> 0:25:26.119
<v Speaker 3>make policymakers focus on this issue and act.

0:25:26.800 --> 0:25:27.560
<v Speaker 4>But the thing with the.

0:25:27.520 --> 0:25:31.440
<v Speaker 3>Twenty fifth Amendment and these eighty five members of Congress

0:25:31.480 --> 0:25:33.720
<v Speaker 3>that are so far that are calling for it, is

0:25:33.720 --> 0:25:36.800
<v Speaker 3>that the twenty fifth Amendment was never designed to remove

0:25:37.240 --> 0:25:40.760
<v Speaker 3>a president permanently. So it was designed to address these

0:25:40.800 --> 0:25:44.000
<v Speaker 3>issues of inability, but it wasn't designed to be used

0:25:44.080 --> 0:25:50.120
<v Speaker 3>for political disagreements, policy disagreements, or even you know what

0:25:50.440 --> 0:25:54.160
<v Speaker 3>might be unfitness or even like some people say, well

0:25:54.440 --> 0:25:58.800
<v Speaker 3>his presidential temperament, right, he's rash, and so it wasn't

0:25:58.840 --> 0:26:01.520
<v Speaker 3>designed to be used in any of these cases.

0:26:02.680 --> 0:26:04.080
<v Speaker 1>So that kind of makes it sound like a pipe

0:26:04.160 --> 0:26:07.240
<v Speaker 1>dream for those of those people who are wishing that

0:26:07.280 --> 0:26:07.800
<v Speaker 1>would happen.

0:26:08.920 --> 0:26:12.359
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, I mean I think, well two thoughts on that.

0:26:12.400 --> 0:26:17.360
<v Speaker 3>I think impeachment is actually more plausible, and it requires

0:26:18.040 --> 0:26:22.080
<v Speaker 3>seventy more votes in the House the twenty fifth Amendment

0:26:22.160 --> 0:26:23.000
<v Speaker 3>than impeachment.

0:26:23.359 --> 0:26:25.879
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, and so the lower threshold exactly.

0:26:26.119 --> 0:26:31.639
<v Speaker 3>And my other thought is something I suggest it's actually

0:26:31.640 --> 0:26:34.760
<v Speaker 3>a constitutional law scholar Brian Calls, who originally suggested it,

0:26:34.800 --> 0:26:39.200
<v Speaker 3>but that perhaps taking a flexible view of the twenty

0:26:39.240 --> 0:26:44.320
<v Speaker 3>fifth Amendment and the Constitution in cases of irreparable catastrophe.

0:26:44.680 --> 0:26:48.240
<v Speaker 3>So something like this where the president has this finger

0:26:48.240 --> 0:26:50.239
<v Speaker 3>on the nuclear button and is about to press it,

0:26:50.800 --> 0:26:54.760
<v Speaker 3>that perhaps at that point the twenty fifth Amendment could

0:26:54.800 --> 0:26:59.680
<v Speaker 3>be invoked, even though perhaps he's not enabled, just so

0:26:59.760 --> 0:27:03.240
<v Speaker 3>that his head, he'd like cooler heads would prevail. He

0:27:03.240 --> 0:27:06.960
<v Speaker 3>would be temporarily removed, you know, his hot head could

0:27:07.000 --> 0:27:11.639
<v Speaker 3>cool off, and then you know, at then perhaps you know,

0:27:11.680 --> 0:27:14.199
<v Speaker 3>he could regain the presidency, because again it was not

0:27:14.400 --> 0:27:16.800
<v Speaker 3>the twenty at the moment wasn't designed for permanent removal.

0:27:17.560 --> 0:27:21.560
<v Speaker 2>Whereas oh, yeah, it's so interesting.

0:27:22.720 --> 0:27:25.040
<v Speaker 1>The book is keeping a finger on the button, presidential

0:27:25.080 --> 0:27:28.080
<v Speaker 1>continuity and the nuclear age. Doctor Rebecca Lubou, thanks so

0:27:28.160 --> 0:27:31.240
<v Speaker 1>much for joining us. This was really interesting. And before

0:27:31.240 --> 0:27:32.960
<v Speaker 1>I before I let you go, we like to end

0:27:32.960 --> 0:27:35.720
<v Speaker 1>with an exit poll of three questions of varying degrees

0:27:35.720 --> 0:27:39.600
<v Speaker 1>of seriousness. So my first question to you is what's

0:27:39.600 --> 0:27:42.720
<v Speaker 1>your favorite movie about presidential power?

0:27:43.920 --> 0:27:48.680
<v Speaker 3>That's interesting and I do address you know, this anxiety

0:27:48.960 --> 0:27:54.679
<v Speaker 3>in culture culture, yeah, around nuclear weapons, and so I

0:27:54.720 --> 0:28:00.560
<v Speaker 3>do trace some that by film books. Yeah, movies song TV,

0:28:01.880 --> 0:28:06.159
<v Speaker 3>and I would think that relevant to the topic that

0:28:06.480 --> 0:28:11.480
<v Speaker 3>the nineteen sixty four is Stanley Kubrick movie Doctor Strangelove

0:28:11.520 --> 0:28:13.520
<v Speaker 3>or How I Stopped Worrying and Learned to Love the

0:28:13.560 --> 0:28:18.399
<v Speaker 3>Bomb is the quintessential movie on their topic, right, So

0:28:18.440 --> 0:28:22.520
<v Speaker 3>that's the one where it insane. US General orders a strike,

0:28:22.880 --> 0:28:26.800
<v Speaker 3>orders a strike on Moscow, and so the US President,

0:28:26.960 --> 0:28:31.280
<v Speaker 3>in order to avoid additional retaliation by the Soviets, offers

0:28:31.320 --> 0:28:34.440
<v Speaker 3>to strike New York with a nuclear missile.

0:28:35.040 --> 0:28:37.400
<v Speaker 4>Not that it's on the National.

0:28:37.000 --> 0:28:40.240
<v Speaker 3>Registry, you know, the Film Registry and the Library of Congress,

0:28:40.280 --> 0:28:44.120
<v Speaker 3>I think speaks to its enduring cultural significance.

0:28:44.320 --> 0:28:47.040
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, that's a good one. I you know, as a kid,

0:28:47.040 --> 0:28:50.920
<v Speaker 2>I was really captivated by war games. Yeah, that's a

0:28:50.920 --> 0:28:51.280
<v Speaker 2>good one.

0:28:51.360 --> 0:28:53.760
<v Speaker 1>And then later in life, Some of All Fears is

0:28:53.800 --> 0:28:58.040
<v Speaker 1>a really really good movie about how bad things could

0:28:58.040 --> 0:29:03.160
<v Speaker 1>go because of miscommunication and bad actors and the messiness

0:29:03.480 --> 0:29:04.400
<v Speaker 1>of those moments.

0:29:04.680 --> 0:29:07.240
<v Speaker 2>So there's some some a bunch of really good ones. Second,

0:29:07.360 --> 0:29:08.840
<v Speaker 2>who's a policy person.

0:29:08.600 --> 0:29:11.400
<v Speaker 1>That you really like on this topic for our listeners

0:29:11.440 --> 0:29:12.920
<v Speaker 1>to go and find besides yourself?

0:29:13.880 --> 0:29:19.320
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, I think maybe Ted lu right, he has the

0:29:19.360 --> 0:29:22.960
<v Speaker 3>twenty seventeen restricting first use of NIKO the Weapons Act

0:29:23.240 --> 0:29:26.840
<v Speaker 3>that was reintroduced you know, in every Congress from least

0:29:26.840 --> 0:29:28.920
<v Speaker 3>from one hundred and sixteenth to the one hundred and nineteenth.

0:29:29.680 --> 0:29:36.520
<v Speaker 3>Jamie Congressman right, and Jamie Raskin too, he's more than one.

0:29:36.800 --> 0:29:39.520
<v Speaker 3>The second time with Speaker Nancy Pelosi at the time,

0:29:39.760 --> 0:29:44.719
<v Speaker 3>introduced one on inability and creating a medical body.

0:29:45.240 --> 0:29:46.720
<v Speaker 4>So I would like to see that.

0:29:46.600 --> 0:29:49.440
<v Speaker 2>They're on the forefront of this. Yeah, okay.

0:29:50.240 --> 0:29:54.320
<v Speaker 1>And finally, how do we ensure that our democracy continues?

0:29:56.200 --> 0:29:56.640
<v Speaker 4>Wow?

0:29:56.840 --> 0:29:59.240
<v Speaker 3>Well, I think we've been talking about how to ensure

0:29:59.280 --> 0:30:00.840
<v Speaker 3>that human kind and continue.

0:30:00.960 --> 0:30:03.280
<v Speaker 4>So I think that that's first and foremost.

0:30:04.560 --> 0:30:09.800
<v Speaker 3>Yes, But also our democracy, I believe is also imperiled.

0:30:10.000 --> 0:30:12.720
<v Speaker 4>And I think you know, it's if.

0:30:12.520 --> 0:30:15.160
<v Speaker 3>The people lead, eventually the leaders will follow.

0:30:15.280 --> 0:30:16.840
<v Speaker 4>You've you've heard that saying, so.

0:30:17.640 --> 0:30:20.920
<v Speaker 3>You know, continue to you know, reach out to your

0:30:21.280 --> 0:30:25.720
<v Speaker 3>legislators and and your vote is your voice, so keep

0:30:25.880 --> 0:30:26.520
<v Speaker 3>keep voting.

0:30:26.960 --> 0:30:28.080
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, we're in it.

0:30:28.200 --> 0:30:31.000
<v Speaker 1>We're in an election year, guys, you're going to get

0:30:31.000 --> 0:30:32.680
<v Speaker 1>your chance just a few months.

0:30:32.880 --> 0:30:34.880
<v Speaker 2>Get out there. Okay.

0:30:34.960 --> 0:30:38.240
<v Speaker 1>Thank you so much to uh doctor Rebecca Lubou and

0:30:38.320 --> 0:30:39.120
<v Speaker 1>thank you for joining.

0:30:39.160 --> 0:30:40.000
<v Speaker 2>We'll see you next time.

0:30:43.760 --> 0:30:46.160
<v Speaker 1>Off the Cup is a production of iHeart Podcasts as

0:30:46.200 --> 0:30:47.640
<v Speaker 1>part of the Reason Choice Network.

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<v Speaker 2>If you want more, check out the other.

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<v Speaker 1>Reason Choice podcasts, Politics with Jamel Hill, and Native Land Pod.

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<v Speaker 1>For Off the Cup, I'm your host, SI Cup editing

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<v Speaker 1>and sound designed by Derek Clements.

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<v Speaker 2>Our executive producer are me A se cop Lauren Hanson,

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