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Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 2: I'm just about that action also.

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Speaker 1: All right, here we go the throwing into spect. We're

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Speaker 1: saying it's a cash star. We see most gamblers when

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Speaker 1: they go to gamble, they go to wind. That's incredible.

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Speaker 1: Big bank, small banks. I like to make money. All right,

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Speaker 1: it's just the ultimate kabaki. You want to pa.

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Speaker 2: And we are underway.

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Speaker 1: What is up everybody? This is the Action Network Podcast

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Speaker 1: presented by FanDuel. Today we've got our NFL player projections

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Speaker 1: for week number four. I am your host, Chris Raybon,

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Speaker 1: joined as always by one of the top rankers in

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Speaker 1: the game, mister Ayuasca Sean hn Turner. What's going on?

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Speaker 2: What stuff? Yeah, I think that aahuasca is helping with

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Speaker 2: my Jaguars wide receiver predictions. So you know, Christian Kirk

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Speaker 2: went off for me week two. Last week Zay Joe's

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Speaker 2: Baby so round with Blaus for love. Yeah, but yeah,

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Speaker 2: I was. I was eight and two and player of props,

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Speaker 2: feeling really good going into senate football, and then I

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Speaker 2: had two brutal beats on senate football, and then Monday

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Speaker 2: Night Football I had Richie James go over by a

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Speaker 2: half yard on ridiculous throw and catch by Daniel Jones.

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Speaker 2: That was kind of my how my whole point was

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Speaker 2: Richie James catch rate will probably go down from ninety percent.

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Speaker 2: Maybe it'll start next week though. But one other thing

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Speaker 2: I've noticed is like all the props I've lost this

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Speaker 2: year have just smashed the following week, so the process

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Speaker 2: has been sound. But yeah, no complaints. I feel really

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Speaker 2: good right now heading into week four. I know what

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Speaker 2: week it is, so congrats to me on that. But

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Speaker 2: how was your week for last week?

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Speaker 1: It started really good. I think I went off like

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Speaker 1: five or six and one in the early slate and

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Speaker 1: then watch every single thing that I bet in the

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Speaker 1: and then I won the night game because I got

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Speaker 1: a good number. I got the remember all those riders

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Speaker 1: at plus two and a half, so you know, unfortunately

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Speaker 1: not everyone got them there, but uh, yeah, it was

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Speaker 1: slightly winning week for me. Like I think I was

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Speaker 1: up like half a unit or something like that. So

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Speaker 1: can't complaining thirty and ten on the season. Uh, but yeah,

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Speaker 1: you carried us In terms of the show last week,

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Speaker 1: the Zay Jones call is really really strong. He went

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Speaker 1: off and that's that's an interesting one for this week too, actually,

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Speaker 1: because yeah, they are playing the Eagles, who have some

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Speaker 1: good quarters. But let's we're gonna talk on this episode

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Speaker 1: about our top five each SCO position. We'll discuss the

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Speaker 1: players were high and low on Well, let's get to

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Speaker 1: consensus with throw all the player prop at the end

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Speaker 1: for each position. So let's just jump right into it

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Speaker 1: with QB. Who were your top five for week number four?

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Speaker 2: So Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts as always, and Lamar Jackson.

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Speaker 2: I mean you could consider the three of them, you know,

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Speaker 2: the elite tier one right now today, Joe Burrow number four,

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Speaker 2: I was all excited about that. That looks like he's a

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Speaker 2: consensus top five yeah this week. And then I have

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Speaker 2: Patrick Mahomes at number five, but it's really close between

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Speaker 2: him and Herbert still, you know, have to monitor the

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Speaker 2: Herbert injury. Keenan Allen, so right now Patrick Maholmes number five.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I have Alan Lamar number two. So a lot

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Speaker 1: of people thought that last week's Dolphins Bill's game was

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Speaker 1: gonna be like the shootout. I actually took the under

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Speaker 1: in that game, but I think great call. I think

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Speaker 1: this week we're gonna get it though, We're gonna get

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Speaker 1: Oh yeah, this week, We're gonna get them from fireworks.

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Speaker 1: You know, Ken Dorrisey's not gonna be smashing. I've had

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Speaker 1: two weeks in a row.

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Speaker 2: Can we get a Gay Davis game this week too?

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Speaker 2: I hope.

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Speaker 1: So he dropped an ugly one in that. I mean,

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Speaker 1: there's a lot of ugliness in that one. But yeah,

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Speaker 1: Jalon Hurts number three for me, and then Mahomes four,

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Speaker 1: Borrow five. So not knocking Mahomes too much for last week.

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Speaker 1: I think they'll probably come out and be more aggressive

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Speaker 1: after he essentially like chewed out the offensive coordinator Eric

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Speaker 1: the enemy on the sideline and the way to the

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Speaker 1: halftime locker. And remember Kelsey dropped a touchdown, So like,

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Speaker 1: I'm not really knocking the Homes for he should have

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Speaker 1: had one more touchdown pass last week. So I still

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Speaker 1: got my Homes number four and then and then Joe

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Speaker 1: Burrow number five Thursday Night Football. I don't I don't

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Speaker 1: feel like I ever want to put a quarterback in

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Speaker 1: the top like three or four Thursday Night Football. So

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Speaker 1: I we've Borrow at five. But who are you high on?

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Speaker 2: So? I'm high on Gino Smith at Detroit this week.

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Speaker 2: I've been He's my QB fifteen. That says QB twenty

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Speaker 2: right now. Last week I was plus seven on him. Yeah,

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Speaker 2: for some reason. I don't know why honestly, but he's

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Speaker 2: not a QB one option. Like, let's not get crazy here,

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Speaker 2: but he has become, you know, a solid QB two

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Speaker 2: and two QB super flex formats. You know, he's QB

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Speaker 2: nineteen on the year through three starts. Last season he

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Speaker 2: was QB fifteen and three starts. And you know it

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Speaker 2: has a lot to do with he has dk Metcalf

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Speaker 2: and Tyler Lockett at his disposal. So this week against

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Speaker 2: the Lions, this could be a shootout. I mean, similar

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Speaker 2: game script as last week. They lost twenty three twenty seven.

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Speaker 2: That's exactly what the implied team totals are right now.

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Speaker 2: You know, Seattle's plus four plus five this week with

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Speaker 2: the you know the over unders fifty. I believe that's

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Speaker 2: the second highest or third highest total in the week.

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Speaker 2: So could be a shootout. So I like Guno Smith

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Speaker 2: this week. He doesn't like he has some rushing upside.

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Speaker 2: He hasn't showed it yet, but he has that potentially

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Speaker 2: if he ever wants to use it. So I do

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Speaker 2: like his upside in that range this week. And now

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Speaker 2: on the other side, I have Jared Goff as my

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Speaker 2: QB ten right now versus QB fourteen. I mean you

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Speaker 2: and I both called that heading in.

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Speaker 1: The season like this is criminal.

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Speaker 2: Hell yeah, So I mean this week again, the Lions

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Speaker 2: have the second highest team total, so he has a

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Speaker 2: very high floor this week, very high touch on upside. Potentially,

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Speaker 2: I'm assuming they're going to be without DeAndre Swift, so

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Speaker 2: you know, they could throw a little bit more this week.

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Speaker 2: Either way, He's a low end QB one option for

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Speaker 2: me this week.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, And uh, since this is the projections episode, we

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Speaker 1: could talk about this real quick because I think you

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Speaker 1: said something interesting about the Seahawks and and gin know

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Speaker 1: how you were like plus seven on them last week.

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Speaker 1: I was pretty high on them as well, and pretty

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Speaker 1: high on them again.

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Speaker 2: Uh is it?

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Speaker 1: Do you think it has something to do with the

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Speaker 1: way that you're projecting the plays for Seattle because the

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Speaker 1: first two weeks of the season, I think they averaged

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Speaker 1: something like forty eight plays per game, and then you

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Speaker 1: know that's not normal, like you would expect that to regress.

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Speaker 1: So was it just like are you you're are you

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Speaker 1: like looking at just you know, like kind of pace

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Speaker 1: and projecting the plays more in the sixties, right, not

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Speaker 1: based on like you're not giving the Seattle Seahawks like

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Speaker 1: fifty plays a game. Well, I mean last year didn't

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Speaker 1: they average, Like but I mean you're still going to

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Speaker 1: play out of some regression into that.

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Speaker 2: Yeah. Yeah, Like heading into last week, they I'm right now,

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Speaker 2: they're at fifty five plays per game. Heading into the

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Speaker 2: last week, they were like what forty yeah something. Yeah,

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Speaker 2: So I kind of liked Rashad Penny specifically just based

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Speaker 2: on the game script, like his rushing prop but you know,

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Speaker 2: they're they're never going to be above average in terms

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Speaker 2: of plays per game. But that was I think you

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Speaker 2: made that point last week, which is a good one.

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Speaker 2: So yeah, so I'm not projecting him in the top

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Speaker 2: half of the league, but I'm certainly regressing them, and

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Speaker 2: we kind of saw that happen last week. So I

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Speaker 2: think going forward, like high fifties, low sixties would be

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Speaker 2: typical for a team like them.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I have them like, you know, in the sixties

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Speaker 1: for this like most sixties for this game.

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Speaker 2: Well, I mean the Lions played at a super fast

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Speaker 2: paced yes, exactly.

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Speaker 1: So the fact that that is, yeah, because like you

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Speaker 1: because that's what happens. You get two teams that played

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Speaker 1: at like a slow pace, but if they combine, like

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Speaker 1: somebody's got to make like like use the plays in

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Speaker 1: the game. There's only like so many plays that can

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Speaker 1: like not happen. Like there's still a play clock and

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Speaker 1: it's going to stop every time there's an incompletion. So yeah,

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Speaker 1: I am high on Marcus Mariota yet again. He's my

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Speaker 1: QB seven this week, he's QB seventeen consensus. You know,

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Speaker 1: just I love this Atlanta offense. You know, they're they're

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Speaker 1: putting up points each and every week. They're they're using

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Speaker 1: all their players. Now now they finally got Kyle Pitts

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Speaker 1: involved and Mariota. You know, this is a game with

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Speaker 1: a total of fifty because it went up once Miles

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Speaker 1: Garrett got in that unfortunate accident. It looks like he's

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Speaker 1: gonna be fine, thank goodness, but still up in the

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Speaker 1: air in terms of playing. Clowney still banged up as well.

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Speaker 1: So at home Atlanta against against this Browns team, I

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Speaker 1: think it could be a you know, another game where

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Speaker 1: they scored you know, twenty four to twenty seven points.

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Speaker 1: In this one, So love me some Mariota. And then yeah,

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Speaker 1: I had Jared Goff written down as well. You know,

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Speaker 1: he's my QB nine this week, So I love love

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Speaker 1: golf as well in this in this Lions Seahawks game,

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Speaker 1: and I like Gino.

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Speaker 2: I'm alto.

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Speaker 1: I'm not as high as you on Gino, but I'm

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Speaker 1: a couple of spots behind but still higher than consensus.

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Speaker 1: So yeah, I think people aren't realizing. You know, these

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Speaker 1: two games that both have a total of fifty, the

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Speaker 1: Falcons Browns and the Seahawks Lions, and that usually signals

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Speaker 1: a lot of plays and obviously a lot of points.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I love that, Meria Deicll. We finally saw both

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Speaker 2: Drake London and col Pits have a good game, but

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Speaker 2: then Mariota didn't really do anything with his legs, So

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Speaker 2: I mean eventually we're going to get a game. We're

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Speaker 2: all three hit you know, Marriotta's rushing ability Pits and

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Speaker 2: London going off, So he definitely has like a top

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Speaker 2: five week in him, right, Yeah.

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Speaker 1: I mean Cornell Patterson won't rush for one hundred and

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Speaker 1: forty plus every week. No, love, I'm loving that as well.

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Speaker 2: Who you want I am very low on Matthew Stafford.

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Speaker 2: He's my key.

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Speaker 1: Oh no, no, I'm not kidding it.

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Speaker 2: We can alternate.

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Speaker 1: I love it.

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Speaker 2: Twenty one his ust there is QB ten for some

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Speaker 2: strange reason. But this is the tough road matchup and

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Speaker 2: these these Niners Ram games are always fun to watch.

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Speaker 2: They're just tough, physical. You know, the Rams have a

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Speaker 2: very low team total. I was like shocked when I

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Speaker 2: saw it, but it's you know, it's like twenty right now. Yeah,

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Speaker 2: so you know, Stafford has no rushing upside to kind

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Speaker 2: of pull him out of a matchup like this. So

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Speaker 2: he is like a low end QB two this week.

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Speaker 2: And then I don't know again, I don't know why

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Speaker 2: Russell Wilson his consensus rank is QB eleven right now.

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Speaker 2: I'm not sure if everybody you know watched senate football,

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Speaker 2: but I was following him last week. I'm low on

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Speaker 2: him again. He's my QB nineteen to be fair, this

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Speaker 2: this should be a much easier matchup against the Raiders.

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Speaker 2: But until we see any signs of life in the

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Speaker 2: passing offense here, I'm treating him like a you know,

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Speaker 2: QB two. So this could be a week where they

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Speaker 2: lean on the run game might as well. They have

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Speaker 2: Javonte Williams and Melvin Gordon right now and their defense,

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Speaker 2: so I'm very low on Russell Wilson right now.

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Speaker 1: Still, I actually have Wilson as QB twelve, so I'm

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Speaker 1: close to I have him two hundred and forty six

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Speaker 1: yards one point five to three touchdowns passing, so not

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Speaker 1: not crazy stats, but I do have him as the

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Speaker 1: QB twelve. Stafford was the guy I was gonna say, though,

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Speaker 1: you know he's in my QB nineteen, so I'm actually

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Speaker 1: a spot or two higher than you. But you know,

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Speaker 1: I noticed kind of the same issue with Stafford is

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Speaker 1: that usually you're projecting the rams for twenty seven to

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Speaker 1: thirty points or at least in the mid twenties. This

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Speaker 1: week the projections twenty and I think that's also probably

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Speaker 1: why I'm a little higher on Wilson. I think that

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Speaker 1: forty nine of defense is for real. I've been saying this.

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Speaker 1: You know, when the teams that can rush for and

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Speaker 1: get pressure, you know, those are the teams that are

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Speaker 1: going to be hardest to play for opposing offenses. The

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Speaker 1: Niners could do that, and they stepped up their cornerback

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Speaker 1: group with Tavari's ward, Moseley's playing well and talanoa who

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Speaker 1: Funga the safety looks like the next Palamolo out there.

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Speaker 1: So they just got a bunch of studs all over

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Speaker 1: that defense. And last year, when the Diners defense was

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Speaker 1: going through some issues at that corner, Stafford still had

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Speaker 1: two of his three worked yardage games in the regular

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Speaker 1: season against them, and two of his five multi interception

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Speaker 1: games in the regular season came against San Francisco for

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Speaker 1: the Rams for Stafford, so he you know, he played

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Speaker 1: a little bit better in that kind of comeback game

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Speaker 1: script in terms of the wrong numbers in the playoffs,

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Speaker 1: but still you're looking at you know, more often than

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Speaker 1: not in the three matchups last year, he did not

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Speaker 1: put up numbers at all. So, yeah, Stafford's well outside

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Speaker 1: the startable ranges. Week I would venture, Yeah, all right, prop,

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Speaker 1: we are going to half to go with Justin fields.

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Speaker 1: So he's it's been bad. I mean, they they're just

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Speaker 1: hiding him. So I'm gonna set I mean, sheesh, I

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Speaker 1: don't even know how it's It's like, you can't set

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Speaker 1: it well enough for Justin fields. But I'm going to

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Speaker 1: set one and a.

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Speaker 2: Half Okay, that's that I have him like, and I

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Speaker 2: don't feel great about it. So how man, that's that's tough.

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Speaker 2: Let's see, I'm gonna go I'm gonna go with the over.

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Speaker 2: I hate to say it. Oh yes, I just talked regression.

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Speaker 1: Here, but I was hoping that could get you.

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Speaker 2: I do not feel great about that at all.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, but we're we're.

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Speaker 2: Gonna arrange that We've never I mean back in the

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Speaker 2: day when I projected Tim Tebow. Those are like my

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Speaker 2: early days of projecting weekly, weekly projections. I can't think

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Speaker 2: of anybody that I've had this low. But it's well deserved,

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Speaker 2: and you know, one forty nine and a half is

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Speaker 2: probably a great line, but they're gonna have to throw

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Speaker 2: it at some point, so I'm going over.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, to be I haven't little high. I just feel

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Speaker 1: I felt like you were going to be low, so

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Speaker 1: I had a lower.

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Speaker 2: No, that was a perfect lag because I was very

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Speaker 2: torn with that. But yeah, it's it's incredible. So he's

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Speaker 2: one twenty one is his season high, so he's he's

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Speaker 2: gonna have to set a season high this week. But yeah, yeah, it's.

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Speaker 1: Been against that wink, against that wink. Martin de Witz.

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Speaker 1: I mean they just have to hope they get single coverage.

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Speaker 1: You're like one big play. All right, let's go to

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Speaker 1: uh running back. We got in the top five.

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Speaker 2: I have Jonathan Taylor and Christian McCaffrey tied for number one,

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Speaker 2: believe or not, Saquon Barkley, and then Nick Chubb my boy,

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Speaker 2: and then Leonard Fournette at number five.

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Speaker 1: For running back. My top five is Jonathan Taylor, Christian McCaffrey,

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Speaker 1: Saquon Barkley, Leonard Fournette, and then Derrick Henry.

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Speaker 2: I was I was gonna say that, you know, the

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Speaker 2: top five is pretty crazy this week because Dalvin Cook,

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Speaker 2: you know, probably not going to play or be limited,

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Speaker 2: and then I just think Henry has a tough matchup.

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Speaker 2: So you know that's that's how Nick Chubb found it

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Speaker 2: my top five. But h yeah, sticking with Henry this week.

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Speaker 2: Love it.

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Speaker 1: I mean they caught he caught what five balls last week,

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Speaker 1: so I give them credit for, you know, kind of

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Speaker 1: figuring out that it wasn't whatever they were doing wasn't

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Speaker 1: quite working. So you know, if he's going to catch,

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Speaker 1: if he's if he has the potential to catch multiple

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Speaker 1: passes again, like I think you pointed out that he

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Speaker 1: was kind of doing that last year. I think he's

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Speaker 1: he's right there, but Chubb is right there. Chubb is

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Speaker 1: Chubb is like essentially tired with him. So we'll see

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Speaker 1: how that develops throughout the week. But who are you

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Speaker 1: high on?

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Speaker 2: So I think this is the week we see Alvin

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Speaker 2: Kamara breakout. He's my rby seven, yep, and right now

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Speaker 2: the consensus is RB fifteen. So I'm gonna be ahead

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Speaker 2: of the ballgame here because this is a great matchup

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Speaker 2: for him. You know, last week he was banged up.

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Speaker 2: He's playing through rib injury, so he should be closer

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Speaker 2: one hundred percent this week. But the Vikings have been

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Speaker 2: very beatable on the ground. They rank thirty first in

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Speaker 2: DVA against the run, and this could be a week

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Speaker 2: where Kamara is finally involved in the passing game. He

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Speaker 2: tends to thrive against zone coverage. The Vikings run a

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Speaker 2: ton of zone coverage, so this could be a week where,

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Speaker 2: you know, Alvin Kamara puts up four six catches hopefully,

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Speaker 2: So either way, you know, and I think there's an

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Speaker 2: opening sort of in the RB one tier this week

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Speaker 2: with some injuries, tougher matchups that we finally see Alvin

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Speaker 2: Kamara post a good game, and then last week I

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Speaker 2: was down in aj Dillon. This week, I'm back on him.

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Speaker 2: He's my RB nineteen versus the consensus is RB twenty

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Speaker 2: three right now. But I didn't like him against the

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Speaker 2: Buccaneers last week. I didn't think that was a good

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Speaker 2: matchup or a good game script for him. But now

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Speaker 2: you know they're facing the Patriot and Brian Hoyer at home,

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Speaker 2: so it should be a positive game script. David Bach

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Speaker 2: Ferriot finally made his season debut last week, so the

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Speaker 2: offensive line is looking good. I think this is gonna

333
00:16:10,520 --> 00:16:12,880
Speaker 2: be a big Dylan game, so love him this week.

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Speaker 2: And then I'm trying to get ahead of the JK.

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Speaker 2: Dobbins potential breakout game, so I have him RB twenty

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Speaker 2: nine this week compared to RB thirty seven. E SCR.

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Speaker 2: You know, he returned a limited action last week, which

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Speaker 2: he kind of knew, but was very encouraged to see

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Speaker 2: him run around on forty one percent of Lamar's dropbacks.

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Speaker 2: We're never going to really bank on much receiving usage

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Speaker 2: from Dobbins, but this is essentially his backfield. I was

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Speaker 2: kind of surprised you and I were both surprised that

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Speaker 2: Kennon Drake was inactive. Mike Davis had zero touches last week,

344
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Speaker 2: you know, Justus Hills operating as the number two back.

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Speaker 2: So I think once Dobbins is healthy, I mean, this

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Speaker 2: is going to be his backfield. The Ravens have been

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Speaker 2: extremely pass heavy this year, so that could change with

348
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Speaker 2: Dobbin's back. You know, Ry Stanley could return this week,

349
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Speaker 2: so I think Dobbins could be a sneak he you know,

350
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Speaker 2: low end RB two flex option this week. That's I mean,

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Speaker 2: despite the tough matchup obviously against Bills, But would.

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Speaker 1: You think about selling him if you had a good game,

353
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Speaker 1: like if you had him on your roster.

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Speaker 2: I think, you know, all signs are kind of pointing

355
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Speaker 2: to him, you know, being in that low end rbtwo

356
00:17:18,840 --> 00:17:21,800
Speaker 2: range once he's healthy. But yeah, if you were to

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Speaker 2: have a big game or two the next couple of

358
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Speaker 2: weeks and the Ravens are still passing as much as

359
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Speaker 2: they are, then I would sell high. I'm kind of

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Speaker 2: baking on them sort of just being this crazy pass

361
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Speaker 2: heavy team because Dobbins has been hurt. So if that

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Speaker 2: doesn't change once he's back, you know, then you know

363
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Speaker 2: I would consider selling high, but I do think he's

364
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Speaker 2: sort of a by low right now.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, No, what made me think of it was kind

366
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Speaker 1: of watching Shep go down unfortunately on that last play

367
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Speaker 1: of the game for the Giants, and I'm like, you know,

368
00:17:55,359 --> 00:17:59,840
Speaker 1: like you have games, Robinson play away, but we saw

369
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Speaker 1: a bunch like Shepherd, you know, big workload first three

370
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Speaker 1: weeks and then goes down. Now he's out for the season.

371
00:18:05,960 --> 00:18:09,000
Speaker 1: Chris Godwin comes back really fast from an acl first

372
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Speaker 1: game of the year, gets like a compensation injury. Like

373
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Speaker 1: all these guys seem to be getting like these compensation

374
00:18:14,040 --> 00:18:16,720
Speaker 1: injuries where it's like another part of the lower leg

375
00:18:16,760 --> 00:18:20,680
Speaker 1: than the part they injured. So like I feel like Robinson,

376
00:18:21,520 --> 00:18:25,160
Speaker 1: cam Akers, Dobbins, like, I feel like if they have good,

377
00:18:25,320 --> 00:18:27,680
Speaker 1: big games, I'm trying to sell them because at this point,

378
00:18:27,800 --> 00:18:30,040
Speaker 1: I'm not a doctor. I know we can't predict injuries,

379
00:18:30,040 --> 00:18:32,800
Speaker 1: but I just feel like what I'm from what I'm seeing,

380
00:18:33,520 --> 00:18:35,399
Speaker 1: the risk has to be higher than it is for

381
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Speaker 1: just a normal player at this point with these guys.

382
00:18:38,720 --> 00:18:41,400
Speaker 2: So yeah, that's that. It's a great point, and yeah,

383
00:18:41,440 --> 00:18:44,440
Speaker 2: long term that is a concern. I think they've been

384
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Speaker 2: very conservative with them. I think obviously he wanted to

385
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Speaker 2: play week one, but they probably made him wait out,

386
00:18:50,640 --> 00:18:53,040
Speaker 2: which you know, other teams didn't do, especially when it

387
00:18:53,080 --> 00:18:56,720
Speaker 2: came to Chris Godwin unfortunately. So I take your point,

388
00:18:56,760 --> 00:18:59,119
Speaker 2: but it is the running back position we're talking about.

389
00:18:59,320 --> 00:19:01,199
Speaker 1: Yeah, you know, our be three flex options.

390
00:19:01,200 --> 00:19:03,359
Speaker 2: So I just think in the meantime he's sort of

391
00:19:03,359 --> 00:19:06,679
Speaker 2: a bile but absolutely, like what you're saying, long term,

392
00:19:07,040 --> 00:19:09,040
Speaker 2: it definitely is a concern and they have no one

393
00:19:09,040 --> 00:19:10,840
Speaker 2: else there, so maybe they are going to kind of

394
00:19:10,880 --> 00:19:13,440
Speaker 2: force him to take you know, too big of a

395
00:19:13,480 --> 00:19:15,560
Speaker 2: workload too soon. But we'll see. But I think in

396
00:19:15,600 --> 00:19:19,120
Speaker 2: the meantime, you know, they really need him right now,

397
00:19:19,160 --> 00:19:21,480
Speaker 2: so they're they're gonna probably ask him to be sort

398
00:19:21,520 --> 00:19:23,720
Speaker 2: of a work course back sooner than later.

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Speaker 1: How many carries do you have him?

400
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Speaker 2: Just curious?

401
00:19:27,440 --> 00:19:29,000
Speaker 1: I got him ten, I got him ten point one

402
00:19:29,119 --> 00:19:30,080
Speaker 1: right now so I.

403
00:19:30,320 --> 00:19:33,800
Speaker 2: Can Yeah, I have him nine and a half with

404
00:19:34,000 --> 00:19:39,880
Speaker 2: two receptions, you know, four point four rushing touchdown projection.

405
00:19:39,960 --> 00:19:42,919
Speaker 2: That's probably feeling it. I just think his ceiling is

406
00:19:42,960 --> 00:19:46,040
Speaker 2: much much higher still considering him, you know, to be limited.

407
00:19:46,160 --> 00:19:49,520
Speaker 2: But if this, you know, Ravens offense does become a

408
00:19:49,560 --> 00:19:52,320
Speaker 2: bit more run heavy. We're not asking for much that

409
00:19:52,320 --> 00:19:54,520
Speaker 2: that could get him in the twelve thirteen carry range.

410
00:19:54,720 --> 00:19:56,680
Speaker 1: Yeah, no, I have run. I have ten point one

411
00:19:56,720 --> 00:19:59,080
Speaker 1: for forty two yards zero point three to seven rushing

412
00:19:59,119 --> 00:20:02,560
Speaker 1: touchdowns and then one point eight catches for thirteen yards

413
00:20:02,840 --> 00:20:06,200
Speaker 1: in point zero six receiving. So yeah, just over point

414
00:20:06,359 --> 00:20:10,280
Speaker 1: four total touchdowns, just about fifty five scrimmage yards RB

415
00:20:10,520 --> 00:20:14,400
Speaker 1: thirty three for me right now, All right, Alvin Kamara

416
00:20:14,520 --> 00:20:17,280
Speaker 1: had him written down, he's my RB seven as well.

417
00:20:17,640 --> 00:20:20,920
Speaker 1: You kind of nailed it. Damian Pierce, he's up to

418
00:20:20,960 --> 00:20:23,960
Speaker 1: my RB fourteen. He's the RB twenty six in consensus.

419
00:20:24,280 --> 00:20:26,359
Speaker 1: This Charger team on defense is not going to be

420
00:20:26,400 --> 00:20:30,760
Speaker 1: the same defense without Joey Bost. So that's a big jump,

421
00:20:30,880 --> 00:20:33,400
Speaker 1: like a big boost for Damian Pierce. And the last

422
00:20:33,400 --> 00:20:35,400
Speaker 1: two weeks he's gotten one hundred and then eighty three

423
00:20:35,440 --> 00:20:39,119
Speaker 1: percent of the backfield carries for the Texans after you know,

424
00:20:39,119 --> 00:20:40,960
Speaker 1: they kind of lamented that they didn't give him enough

425
00:20:41,040 --> 00:20:45,160
Speaker 1: touches in week one, and he's looked really good. So

426
00:20:45,680 --> 00:20:50,040
Speaker 1: like me, some Damian Pierce here and then Jamal Williams.

427
00:20:50,080 --> 00:20:53,200
Speaker 1: You kind of mentioned DeAndre Swift from what everything I'm hearing,

428
00:20:53,320 --> 00:20:54,880
Speaker 1: it sounds like they're going to hold him out through

429
00:20:54,880 --> 00:20:57,959
Speaker 1: the by in week six. So Jamal Williams is up

430
00:20:57,960 --> 00:21:02,160
Speaker 1: to my RB thirteen, twenty second in run defense DVA

431
00:21:02,320 --> 00:21:05,480
Speaker 1: and twenty six on passes to running backs already, and uh,

432
00:21:05,520 --> 00:21:06,959
Speaker 1: you know they're gonna line up and play a lot

433
00:21:07,000 --> 00:21:09,879
Speaker 1: of zone too, So you know it's it's not a

434
00:21:09,920 --> 00:21:12,920
Speaker 1: tough tough team to run against, at least not this year.

435
00:21:13,000 --> 00:21:15,159
Speaker 1: It hasn't been. They usually take pride in their run defense,

436
00:21:15,160 --> 00:21:19,040
Speaker 1: but the Lion's Old line has just been mauling. Doesn't

437
00:21:19,080 --> 00:21:22,040
Speaker 1: matter who's healthy, who's there. Uh, just a really good

438
00:21:22,119 --> 00:21:24,679
Speaker 1: job by that Lion's Old line this year. So uh,

439
00:21:25,040 --> 00:21:27,160
Speaker 1: Barra Pierce and Jamal Williams for me.

440
00:21:27,440 --> 00:21:31,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, I let you jam there. But I'm sur he's nine.

441
00:21:32,160 --> 00:21:35,119
Speaker 1: I say that you have you have like six carries.

442
00:21:35,240 --> 00:21:36,639
Speaker 1: I was like I couldn't do it yet. I was like,

443
00:21:36,680 --> 00:21:38,880
Speaker 1: all right, I'm projecting them to kind of keep that

444
00:21:38,920 --> 00:21:42,440
Speaker 1: same like sixty years percent and then like I'm gonna

445
00:21:42,480 --> 00:21:45,480
Speaker 1: have like Reynolds and and Jackson. But like I did

446
00:21:45,560 --> 00:21:48,080
Speaker 1: increase his pass game usage because that like without Swift,

447
00:21:48,119 --> 00:21:49,800
Speaker 1: that has to go up like it just has to.

448
00:21:49,960 --> 00:21:53,640
Speaker 2: Yeah. Well, like thanks to you, I'm taking on two

449
00:21:53,720 --> 00:21:55,640
Speaker 2: or three leader carries on tough.

450
00:21:57,320 --> 00:21:59,400
Speaker 1: So I'm just a little bit higher than you based

451
00:21:59,400 --> 00:21:59,960
Speaker 1: on your own advice.

452
00:22:00,440 --> 00:22:02,280
Speaker 2: Oh yeah, there you go. I mean a guy that's

453
00:22:02,280 --> 00:22:06,000
Speaker 2: seeing all the goal line working in a game where

454
00:22:06,000 --> 00:22:08,600
Speaker 2: they're projected to score twenty seven a half points. I mean,

455
00:22:08,640 --> 00:22:12,800
Speaker 2: his touchdown upside is massive, his rushing upside is massive,

456
00:22:13,000 --> 00:22:16,520
Speaker 2: and like you said, like his receiving usage has been solid.

457
00:22:16,520 --> 00:22:18,600
Speaker 2: I mean, Craig Reynolds might be a thorn in his

458
00:22:18,640 --> 00:22:20,119
Speaker 2: side this week, but I don't think he's gonna have

459
00:22:20,119 --> 00:22:22,840
Speaker 2: a big enough role to impact too much. So yeah,

460
00:22:22,880 --> 00:22:25,520
Speaker 2: Jamal Williams is the top ten option this week as

461
00:22:25,520 --> 00:22:26,280
Speaker 2: far as I'm concerned.

462
00:22:26,320 --> 00:22:28,960
Speaker 1: Hey, famous last words, never never sleep on a Reynolds

463
00:22:28,960 --> 00:22:32,440
Speaker 1: in Detroit. Yeah, Josh, Craig will come sneak.

464
00:22:32,240 --> 00:22:32,600
Speaker 2: Up on you.

465
00:22:33,000 --> 00:22:35,960
Speaker 1: Yeah who you?

466
00:22:37,520 --> 00:22:39,800
Speaker 2: So? I already alluded to this, but oh man, I

467
00:22:39,840 --> 00:22:43,719
Speaker 2: hate to do it. Derrick Henry is my RB ten really? Yeah? Yeah?

468
00:22:43,760 --> 00:22:45,600
Speaker 1: And now are you getting to this projection?

469
00:22:45,600 --> 00:22:48,399
Speaker 2: We got to agree. I agree with you on his

470
00:22:48,520 --> 00:22:54,720
Speaker 2: receiving usage, but this Colt's rundy is uh you know, no, joke. Uh,

471
00:22:54,760 --> 00:22:57,359
Speaker 2: you know, Taylor Luan being out for the season doesn't help.

472
00:22:58,440 --> 00:23:01,359
Speaker 2: So this is just a brutal spot. And you know

473
00:23:01,440 --> 00:23:04,760
Speaker 2: they the Colts defense, they ranked second in DBU a

474
00:23:04,840 --> 00:23:08,520
Speaker 2: versus the run. They held Clyde Edwards Hilaire to one

475
00:23:08,520 --> 00:23:10,880
Speaker 2: of the most bizarre lines of the season. Seven rushes

476
00:23:10,880 --> 00:23:13,680
Speaker 2: for zier yards and a touchdown. Not that he's not good,

477
00:23:13,720 --> 00:23:15,920
Speaker 2: but I think that you know, Henry did look a

478
00:23:15,960 --> 00:23:18,560
Speaker 2: lot better last week, but you know, the Colts know

479
00:23:18,600 --> 00:23:21,240
Speaker 2: what the Titans want to do on offense. So he's

480
00:23:21,280 --> 00:23:23,320
Speaker 2: just down to RB ten right now.

481
00:23:24,600 --> 00:23:26,840
Speaker 1: What do you have for his carries and yards?

482
00:23:27,280 --> 00:23:30,639
Speaker 2: So I mean, I have the standard twenty carries, but

483
00:23:30,720 --> 00:23:32,400
Speaker 2: I have him seventy eight yards.

484
00:23:33,240 --> 00:23:35,520
Speaker 1: You got him his wife, I have him. I do

485
00:23:35,560 --> 00:23:37,119
Speaker 1: have him under four as well, but I have him

486
00:23:37,160 --> 00:23:39,680
Speaker 1: twenty one for eighty one. So just a tad that.

487
00:23:39,920 --> 00:23:42,760
Speaker 2: It's it's just when you have a tough matchup like

488
00:23:42,800 --> 00:23:46,240
Speaker 2: this against you know, the running game, it's it is

489
00:23:46,280 --> 00:23:48,160
Speaker 2: a tough spot for him. And like I said, I'm

490
00:23:48,160 --> 00:23:54,080
Speaker 2: super high on Alvin Kamara, Jamal Williams. I still believe

491
00:23:54,119 --> 00:23:55,800
Speaker 2: in Joe Mixon, believe it or not. So there's just

492
00:23:55,840 --> 00:23:57,840
Speaker 2: a lot of guys I like slightly more. That's how

493
00:23:57,880 --> 00:24:00,240
Speaker 2: he ended up in RB ten. He's still arguing my

494
00:24:00,240 --> 00:24:02,480
Speaker 2: favorite running back in the game, but this is a

495
00:24:02,480 --> 00:24:05,600
Speaker 2: tough spot for him. So I consider myself the Derek

496
00:24:05,680 --> 00:24:08,919
Speaker 2: Henry whisper, and I'm fading him this week. And then

497
00:24:08,920 --> 00:24:11,560
Speaker 2: another guy that I've been high on him all year,

498
00:24:11,600 --> 00:24:14,960
Speaker 2: but this this is a tough spot, and that's Miles Sanders.

499
00:24:15,000 --> 00:24:18,239
Speaker 2: This Jaguars run defense has been no joke. I mean,

500
00:24:18,280 --> 00:24:20,920
Speaker 2: they ranked first in DVA against the run. They held

501
00:24:20,960 --> 00:24:23,600
Speaker 2: Jonathan Taylor to a nine carry fifty four yard game.

502
00:24:23,680 --> 00:24:26,840
Speaker 2: Austin Eckler four carries for five guards last week. So

503
00:24:27,760 --> 00:24:30,680
Speaker 2: gyl like Sanders, who like just banks on his rushing

504
00:24:30,800 --> 00:24:34,040
Speaker 2: efficiency week to week, can't bank on his receiving usager

505
00:24:34,119 --> 00:24:36,720
Speaker 2: touchdown upside. So this is the spot where I'm a little

506
00:24:36,720 --> 00:24:40,200
Speaker 2: bit lower on him. He's my RB twenty one versus

507
00:24:40,200 --> 00:24:41,679
Speaker 2: the consensus at RB sixteen.

508
00:24:41,760 --> 00:24:45,960
Speaker 1: Right now, I'm twenty five on Sanders. I'm even larger. WHOA, Yeah, you.

509
00:24:45,920 --> 00:24:49,760
Speaker 2: Know, it's just per carry projection for him. He's a

510
00:24:49,760 --> 00:24:51,320
Speaker 2: fun player in this game.

511
00:24:51,400 --> 00:24:54,360
Speaker 1: It's only it's only only four point three in this.

512
00:24:54,520 --> 00:24:56,960
Speaker 2: Oh yeah, there you go. Yeah, that's that sounds about right.

513
00:24:57,080 --> 00:24:59,440
Speaker 2: Normally it's what four point six four point seven?

514
00:25:00,040 --> 00:25:01,800
Speaker 1: Yeah, let me check because I actually do it. Like

515
00:25:01,880 --> 00:25:03,479
Speaker 1: I have a matchup of Justter.

516
00:25:03,680 --> 00:25:06,800
Speaker 2: I mean, he's in the Nick Chubb Aaron Jones camp

517
00:25:07,040 --> 00:25:08,840
Speaker 2: in my opinion, you know, I.

518
00:25:08,800 --> 00:25:11,080
Speaker 1: Usually have him like four or five. Yeah, so it's uh,

519
00:25:11,320 --> 00:25:14,200
Speaker 1: it's it's it's down about you know, the the Jaggers

520
00:25:14,240 --> 00:25:16,639
Speaker 1: are knocking down about point two. But yeah, he's not

521
00:25:16,680 --> 00:25:19,719
Speaker 1: as high as Jones and and chubbed for me, but

522
00:25:19,800 --> 00:25:21,440
Speaker 1: he's yeah, he's he's up there. He's one of the

523
00:25:21,480 --> 00:25:24,680
Speaker 1: top ones. Yeah, so I had I had Sanders and

524
00:25:25,200 --> 00:25:27,399
Speaker 1: Clyde Edwards, Laiir. You know, I know that the Coats

525
00:25:27,400 --> 00:25:29,879
Speaker 1: were a tough matchup, but now he's facing the Bucks,

526
00:25:30,000 --> 00:25:33,879
Speaker 1: which are another tough matchup against the run. And the

527
00:25:33,920 --> 00:25:36,639
Speaker 1: consensus has him at RB twenty two. I have him

528
00:25:36,640 --> 00:25:38,760
Speaker 1: at RB thirty one. I just I don't know how

529
00:25:38,760 --> 00:25:41,119
Speaker 1: you're getting to twenty two unless you're kind of giving

530
00:25:41,200 --> 00:25:45,679
Speaker 1: him and I I essentially throughout the game where they

531
00:25:46,320 --> 00:25:49,400
Speaker 1: just stomped Arizona and because his usage, you know, Pacheco

532
00:25:49,480 --> 00:25:52,240
Speaker 1: came in for like the entire fourth quarter, or something

533
00:25:52,280 --> 00:25:54,400
Speaker 1: like that. But even just looking at the last two

534
00:25:54,440 --> 00:25:57,359
Speaker 1: games when the games are closer, he had fifty percent

535
00:25:57,359 --> 00:26:00,320
Speaker 1: of the backfield carries two weeks ago on that Thursday game,

536
00:26:00,480 --> 00:26:02,639
Speaker 1: and then even with the ten days rest, just thirty

537
00:26:02,680 --> 00:26:07,920
Speaker 1: seven percent of the backfield carries in the matchup against

538
00:26:08,000 --> 00:26:10,760
Speaker 1: the Colts, and McKinnon had the same amount and Pacheco

539
00:26:11,240 --> 00:26:15,119
Speaker 1: had sixteen percent sou and Burton has been their best

540
00:26:15,160 --> 00:26:18,360
Speaker 1: short yardage guy, Michael Burton the fullback. So it's it's

541
00:26:18,440 --> 00:26:20,199
Speaker 1: just really tough, and I know these things will kind

542
00:26:20,200 --> 00:26:23,280
Speaker 1: of switch around Andy Reid. There's no real rhyme or reason,

543
00:26:23,359 --> 00:26:25,800
Speaker 1: but at this point, I don't think you can bank

544
00:26:25,880 --> 00:26:29,200
Speaker 1: on Ceh getting you know, like that's those fifteen to

545
00:26:29,240 --> 00:26:31,440
Speaker 1: twenty carries that you look for when you're ranking a

546
00:26:31,480 --> 00:26:33,920
Speaker 1: guy in that RB two range. And then in terms

547
00:26:33,960 --> 00:26:37,399
Speaker 1: of his routes run, it's been around, you know, in

548
00:26:37,440 --> 00:26:39,760
Speaker 1: the thirties to the he's topped out at forty percent

549
00:26:39,840 --> 00:26:43,280
Speaker 1: routes run for the season. So they I just don't

550
00:26:43,320 --> 00:26:46,320
Speaker 1: see how we're getting as high as consensus here unless

551
00:26:46,359 --> 00:26:48,800
Speaker 1: you know, you're just spanking on a touchdown that could happen.

552
00:26:48,840 --> 00:26:52,520
Speaker 1: But yeah, I have them well what you got for

553
00:26:52,560 --> 00:26:52,960
Speaker 1: the problem.

554
00:26:53,200 --> 00:26:55,960
Speaker 2: We gotta go with Jamal Williams, and we're gonna go

555
00:26:56,000 --> 00:27:01,040
Speaker 2: specifically his rushing yards. Okay, and I am going to

556
00:27:01,119 --> 00:27:04,400
Speaker 2: set the line at sixty eight and a half.

557
00:27:04,920 --> 00:27:09,800
Speaker 1: I will I'll go over. I love you, Sam Williams. Yeah,

558
00:27:10,359 --> 00:27:10,800
Speaker 1: I know you.

559
00:27:10,880 --> 00:27:11,400
Speaker 2: I know you.

560
00:27:11,480 --> 00:27:13,000
Speaker 1: I know you're trying to get me to go under.

561
00:27:13,080 --> 00:27:17,120
Speaker 1: But like, I probably have his carries projected a little

562
00:27:17,119 --> 00:27:19,320
Speaker 1: bit conservatively just because I don't, like, I didn't know

563
00:27:19,320 --> 00:27:21,159
Speaker 1: for sure if DeAndre is going to be out anyone to.

564
00:27:21,119 --> 00:27:23,040
Speaker 2: Like, yeah this is the.

565
00:27:24,560 --> 00:27:27,639
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, yeah, oh yeah, that's true. Okay, so what

566
00:27:27,720 --> 00:27:30,240
Speaker 1: happens if DeAndre flays? I get like an.

567
00:27:32,600 --> 00:27:34,960
Speaker 2: Okay, that's a voided Yeah, I forgot to mention that,

568
00:27:35,040 --> 00:27:36,160
Speaker 2: but yeah.

569
00:27:35,760 --> 00:27:38,320
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, I'll go over. Then I'll go over there. Okay,

570
00:27:38,560 --> 00:27:41,199
Speaker 1: all right, let's jump to wide receiver. Who's in the

571
00:27:41,240 --> 00:27:41,640
Speaker 1: top five?

572
00:27:42,240 --> 00:27:47,479
Speaker 2: So I got Cooper Cup, Stefon Diggs, Justin Jefferson, Jamar Chase,

573
00:27:47,720 --> 00:27:49,480
Speaker 2: and then Alman Ross Saint Brown.

574
00:27:49,920 --> 00:27:53,119
Speaker 1: So I actually had the same one. The only reason

575
00:27:53,160 --> 00:27:55,360
Speaker 1: I'm I'm not putting a Manra in the top five

576
00:27:55,400 --> 00:27:56,840
Speaker 1: is because I think he's going to pop up with

577
00:27:56,840 --> 00:27:59,639
Speaker 1: a questionable tab for that ankle. I want to put

578
00:27:59,680 --> 00:28:01,440
Speaker 1: him in the five so bad. So if he's cleared,

579
00:28:01,560 --> 00:28:05,240
Speaker 1: like if he's one hundred off the injury report, he's

580
00:28:05,280 --> 00:28:08,520
Speaker 1: not wide receiver five. But since we don't know exactly

581
00:28:08,560 --> 00:28:11,359
Speaker 1: what's going on, I'm gonna go with Deebo Samuel and

582
00:28:12,080 --> 00:28:14,919
Speaker 1: my as my fifth because I love him. In this

583
00:28:15,000 --> 00:28:18,160
Speaker 1: matchup against the Rams, remember they play all zone defense,

584
00:28:18,400 --> 00:28:22,000
Speaker 1: and Debo just kills zone like that's that's that's what

585
00:28:22,119 --> 00:28:25,720
Speaker 1: he that's what's he's great as a receiver and as

586
00:28:25,760 --> 00:28:28,159
Speaker 1: a running back. You know, he's still getting his you know,

587
00:28:28,240 --> 00:28:30,959
Speaker 1: five to seven carries. Didn't really have much success in

588
00:28:31,040 --> 00:28:33,840
Speaker 1: that in that Denver matchup, but Denver's a really good defense.

589
00:28:33,880 --> 00:28:36,920
Speaker 1: But Samuel in three games against the Rams last year

590
00:28:38,000 --> 00:28:41,400
Speaker 1: eleven touches on average for one hundred and twenty four

591
00:28:41,440 --> 00:28:44,640
Speaker 1: scrimmage yards and one point three touchdowns per game. So

592
00:28:45,000 --> 00:28:46,440
Speaker 1: give me some m v P bow.

593
00:28:48,400 --> 00:28:51,520
Speaker 2: There you go. Yeah, I mean the Trent Williams injury

594
00:28:51,840 --> 00:28:56,600
Speaker 2: is massive though for those rushing games, So I bumped

595
00:28:56,600 --> 00:28:59,520
Speaker 2: out his yards per carry from six point five to six.

596
00:28:59,640 --> 00:29:02,760
Speaker 2: Do that injury, But yeah, I take her. He's right there.

597
00:29:02,800 --> 00:29:07,640
Speaker 2: He's my wide receiver six. I'm assuming I'm RAS on

598
00:29:08,000 --> 00:29:11,160
Speaker 2: Tuesday morning, but he did pop up with that ankle injury,

599
00:29:11,320 --> 00:29:14,800
Speaker 2: So I'm right there with you, buddy. Like they're basically

600
00:29:14,920 --> 00:29:18,200
Speaker 2: tied by receiver five. We're uh, you know, splitting hairs here.

601
00:29:18,240 --> 00:29:20,160
Speaker 2: But yeah, this is a great matchup for Debo.

602
00:29:20,640 --> 00:29:22,360
Speaker 1: Yeah, now that the season started, I've I've kind of

603
00:29:22,360 --> 00:29:24,240
Speaker 1: had time to like jump into some like data that

604
00:29:24,240 --> 00:29:26,040
Speaker 1: I've been kind of sitting on, and I was so

605
00:29:26,080 --> 00:29:29,000
Speaker 1: I was looking at like just wide receivers. I have

606
00:29:29,120 --> 00:29:30,600
Speaker 1: like the last six or seven years of like the

607
00:29:30,640 --> 00:29:33,440
Speaker 1: injury tag data, and just like if just being on

608
00:29:33,480 --> 00:29:35,560
Speaker 1: the injury report and not getting like knocked off of

609
00:29:35,600 --> 00:29:37,440
Speaker 1: it does knock you down like a good like five

610
00:29:37,440 --> 00:29:40,560
Speaker 1: to seven percent, even if you like practice. So that

611
00:29:40,560 --> 00:29:42,600
Speaker 1: that's the only reason I'm not going to at to

612
00:29:42,600 --> 00:29:44,560
Speaker 1: start the week. But yeah, I want to put him

613
00:29:44,560 --> 00:29:46,000
Speaker 1: in my top five so bad because you know that's

614
00:29:46,040 --> 00:29:48,880
Speaker 1: my it's my guy. Man, I beat you, I beat

615
00:29:48,920 --> 00:29:49,560
Speaker 1: you my guy.

616
00:29:50,120 --> 00:29:50,960
Speaker 2: It's I. It's I.

617
00:29:51,320 --> 00:29:51,960
Speaker 1: So who you hi am?

618
00:29:52,360 --> 00:29:56,600
Speaker 2: Romeo Dobbs is my first one, yes, doing and you

619
00:29:56,600 --> 00:30:00,920
Speaker 2: know he's my wide receiver thirty five to start the week.

620
00:30:01,040 --> 00:30:03,440
Speaker 2: The consensus is wide receiver forty eight. I don't get that,

621
00:30:04,680 --> 00:30:07,400
Speaker 2: but you know, he's he showed everyone why he should

622
00:30:07,400 --> 00:30:10,840
Speaker 2: have been a high upside bench to start the season,

623
00:30:10,880 --> 00:30:14,840
Speaker 2: because everything's lining up the way we thought it would, right.

624
00:30:15,640 --> 00:30:17,920
Speaker 2: He has a twenty two percent target per route rate

625
00:30:18,000 --> 00:30:20,600
Speaker 2: run this year, and then we finally saw the playing

626
00:30:20,640 --> 00:30:23,600
Speaker 2: time catch up to that. He averaged fifty percent the

627
00:30:23,600 --> 00:30:25,920
Speaker 2: first two games and now it's it was ninety four

628
00:30:25,960 --> 00:30:28,080
Speaker 2: percent last week. So if we had known that going

629
00:30:28,080 --> 00:30:30,400
Speaker 2: into the week, you and I both would have projected

630
00:30:30,400 --> 00:30:34,080
Speaker 2: them super high. So his time has finally arrived. Aaron

631
00:30:34,120 --> 00:30:36,680
Speaker 2: Lazard does look more like a number two, you know,

632
00:30:36,760 --> 00:30:40,320
Speaker 2: the touchdown threat kind of guy, and Dobbs is sort

633
00:30:40,320 --> 00:30:42,600
Speaker 2: of filling in that DeVante Adams role that we were

634
00:30:42,640 --> 00:30:45,920
Speaker 2: kind of hoping. So the reason I'm a low on

635
00:30:46,000 --> 00:30:48,360
Speaker 2: him this week is because the matchup probably dictates them

636
00:30:48,440 --> 00:30:50,600
Speaker 2: running the ball a bit more, but when they have

637
00:30:50,640 --> 00:30:52,920
Speaker 2: a spot where they're expected to throw. He could be

638
00:30:53,040 --> 00:30:55,760
Speaker 2: inside my top thirty at this point based on his

639
00:30:55,840 --> 00:30:58,840
Speaker 2: underlying usage, So that was very encouraging to see him

640
00:30:58,880 --> 00:31:01,120
Speaker 2: go off in Week three. And then the one other

641
00:31:01,120 --> 00:31:03,080
Speaker 2: guy I wanted to point out is Richie James, who

642
00:31:03,160 --> 00:31:06,840
Speaker 2: really screwed me over on my football, Like, I mean,

643
00:31:07,800 --> 00:31:09,520
Speaker 2: what a throw on a catch to go over it?

644
00:31:09,560 --> 00:31:12,400
Speaker 2: But with Sterling a Shepherd out, well, we'll need to

645
00:31:12,440 --> 00:31:15,680
Speaker 2: monitor the injury report for you know, Wandel Robinson and

646
00:31:15,760 --> 00:31:20,920
Speaker 2: Cadarius Tony if they both miss Week four. Again, Richie James,

647
00:31:21,000 --> 00:31:23,360
Speaker 2: you know, could be a sneaky wide receiver four option,

648
00:31:24,200 --> 00:31:26,440
Speaker 2: especially in PPR, so he's the guy to look out for.

649
00:31:26,680 --> 00:31:29,440
Speaker 2: But right now he's my wide receiver forty four and

650
00:31:29,480 --> 00:31:32,440
Speaker 2: that's projecting you know, Tony and Robinson to play a

651
00:31:32,480 --> 00:31:34,640
Speaker 2: little bit. So again, he could be in my top

652
00:31:34,680 --> 00:31:36,320
Speaker 2: forty by the end of this week and both players

653
00:31:36,360 --> 00:31:39,000
Speaker 2: are ruled out. So I'm super high and James as well.

654
00:31:39,240 --> 00:31:39,600
Speaker 2: I don't know.

655
00:31:39,760 --> 00:31:41,320
Speaker 1: I think you got it. I think you're gonna learn

656
00:31:41,640 --> 00:31:44,600
Speaker 1: pretty soon. Just not mentioned giants wide receivers, Like it's

657
00:31:44,600 --> 00:31:47,040
Speaker 1: always gonna be so much different. Like the minute you

658
00:31:47,080 --> 00:31:48,920
Speaker 1: get like it's like, oh, Shepard having a good game,

659
00:31:49,280 --> 00:31:51,120
Speaker 1: well and he's hurt. Now it's like he's having a

660
00:31:51,120 --> 00:31:53,160
Speaker 1: good game up now gall what he's playing again.

661
00:31:53,000 --> 00:31:54,800
Speaker 2: We have enough on the sample size to kind of

662
00:31:54,840 --> 00:31:58,400
Speaker 2: know the roles right now, Like obviously, like David Sills

663
00:31:58,480 --> 00:32:01,920
Speaker 2: is floating around Kenny Galla. Day's a disaster. But I

664
00:32:01,960 --> 00:32:05,120
Speaker 2: mean this like slot role this you know, Sterling Shepherd,

665
00:32:05,240 --> 00:32:08,200
Speaker 2: Robinson Toni roll. I mean, James is the only guy

666
00:32:08,240 --> 00:32:09,840
Speaker 2: that kind of fits that bill right now. So I

667
00:32:09,920 --> 00:32:14,160
Speaker 2: think he'd be the only safe option if all three,

668
00:32:14,240 --> 00:32:17,320
Speaker 2: I mean Shepherd's out for the season and then if

669
00:32:17,400 --> 00:32:19,600
Speaker 2: Robinson Antonio out, like that's James.

670
00:32:19,640 --> 00:32:22,160
Speaker 1: I think we know that for sure at this point. Okay,

671
00:32:22,160 --> 00:32:24,160
Speaker 1: but I take your place as a Giants fan. I'm

672
00:32:24,160 --> 00:32:27,080
Speaker 1: just saying, bro, like we're talking about Daniel Jones and

673
00:32:27,480 --> 00:32:30,320
Speaker 1: against what an O liner just gave up literally the

674
00:32:30,320 --> 00:32:33,840
Speaker 1: most pressures in like league history or something like this

675
00:32:34,000 --> 00:32:36,480
Speaker 1: is it's it's tough, but I mean know he's He's

676
00:32:36,480 --> 00:32:39,760
Speaker 1: definitely their top receiver in my projections, without a doubt.

677
00:32:39,880 --> 00:32:42,680
Speaker 1: But I don't think I have any Giant receiver projected

678
00:32:42,800 --> 00:32:46,160
Speaker 1: like in the top sixty for me. I got mentioned

679
00:32:46,200 --> 00:32:49,840
Speaker 1: Debo already, Tyra Lockett. I got up in the top

680
00:32:49,880 --> 00:32:52,760
Speaker 1: twenty and he's the consensus wide receiver thirty two. And

681
00:32:52,800 --> 00:32:55,600
Speaker 1: I actually wanted to get your thoughts on this. What

682
00:32:55,600 --> 00:32:59,200
Speaker 1: do we think of Okudah and like these Akuda double

683
00:32:59,200 --> 00:33:01,520
Speaker 1: team slashed double teams, Like, is this gonna be a

684
00:33:01,520 --> 00:33:03,040
Speaker 1: problem for DK Metcalf this week?

685
00:33:04,440 --> 00:33:08,800
Speaker 2: I don't know, because he usually does pretty good against

686
00:33:08,840 --> 00:33:12,400
Speaker 2: man coverage, and you know the Lions are going to

687
00:33:12,480 --> 00:33:15,440
Speaker 2: be doing that. Okuda has a ton of potential. I

688
00:33:15,560 --> 00:33:18,640
Speaker 2: was That's one of the reasons I mentioned Alliance win

689
00:33:18,720 --> 00:33:21,600
Speaker 2: total heading into the season because Okuda had potential and

690
00:33:21,640 --> 00:33:25,160
Speaker 2: he's showing it so far. I don't think he's at

691
00:33:25,200 --> 00:33:28,240
Speaker 2: a point where I'm fading either, you know, Metcalf or

692
00:33:28,320 --> 00:33:31,800
Speaker 2: Lockett this week, but it's definitely something to monitor because

693
00:33:31,840 --> 00:33:33,480
Speaker 2: he did do a great job again last week.

694
00:33:33,760 --> 00:33:36,080
Speaker 1: Yeah, and it was just like him plus doubles like

695
00:33:36,120 --> 00:33:38,120
Speaker 1: they're giving It was like they're not only just putting

696
00:33:38,200 --> 00:33:40,800
Speaker 1: him on an island on Justin Jefferson. They're putting him

697
00:33:41,000 --> 00:33:43,720
Speaker 1: on Justin Jefferson and then they put a safety over

698
00:33:43,760 --> 00:33:46,400
Speaker 1: the top and so you know, Jefferson ends with three

699
00:33:46,400 --> 00:33:47,760
Speaker 1: catches for fourteen yards.

700
00:33:48,160 --> 00:33:51,360
Speaker 2: That's kind of why I took THEELM last week because

701
00:33:51,600 --> 00:33:54,040
Speaker 2: I kind of thought that that would happen. But when

702
00:33:54,080 --> 00:33:55,480
Speaker 2: it comes to the Seahawks, I don't know if you

703
00:33:55,520 --> 00:33:58,120
Speaker 2: could put two guys on anybody because the other guy's

704
00:33:58,160 --> 00:34:00,720
Speaker 2: gonna make you know, between met ca Off and Lockett,

705
00:34:01,040 --> 00:34:03,560
Speaker 2: you're going to pay. So I just think both Metcalf

706
00:34:03,600 --> 00:34:05,520
Speaker 2: and Lockett are too good for them to kind of

707
00:34:05,520 --> 00:34:07,800
Speaker 2: operate the same strategy, if that makes sense, makes sense,

708
00:34:08,320 --> 00:34:10,200
Speaker 2: unless that's what they're planning to do, like we'll have

709
00:34:10,239 --> 00:34:12,600
Speaker 2: to usually later in the week. Is tackoring that in.

710
00:34:12,800 --> 00:34:16,000
Speaker 2: But that's definitely something I'm going to be moditoring for sure.

711
00:34:16,239 --> 00:34:18,320
Speaker 1: I mean, I think it's more likely than them putting

712
00:34:18,480 --> 00:34:19,800
Speaker 1: him on Locket, that's for sure.

713
00:34:20,040 --> 00:34:22,400
Speaker 2: Oh no, I'm just saying they can't really do that

714
00:34:22,440 --> 00:34:25,520
Speaker 2: on either one. Well, it would be Metcalf or neither,

715
00:34:25,680 --> 00:34:29,000
Speaker 2: right right, Yeah, absolutely made them make them pay if

716
00:34:29,000 --> 00:34:29,440
Speaker 2: they do that.

717
00:34:30,080 --> 00:34:34,040
Speaker 1: Yes, Armani Ouaria is the other corner, and he would

718
00:34:34,120 --> 00:34:36,880
Speaker 1: likely be on Lockett the most, and he's giving up

719
00:34:36,960 --> 00:34:39,360
Speaker 1: a target every four point four coverage snaps, which is

720
00:34:39,440 --> 00:34:43,120
Speaker 1: third most international football we can according to PFF. So yeah,

721
00:34:43,320 --> 00:34:47,520
Speaker 1: like me some Locket. Mike Evans is the consensus wide

722
00:34:47,520 --> 00:34:50,200
Speaker 1: receiver twenty seven for some reason. I don't I don't

723
00:34:50,200 --> 00:34:50,720
Speaker 1: know why.

724
00:34:51,000 --> 00:34:53,600
Speaker 2: People are just updating him being out Okay.

725
00:34:53,600 --> 00:34:56,600
Speaker 1: Yeah, well I'm much higher than him on that, so yeah,

726
00:34:56,680 --> 00:34:58,960
Speaker 1: play Mike Evans, just like I don't care if everyone

727
00:34:58,960 --> 00:35:02,960
Speaker 1: else is healthy. It's still Mike Evans against this Kansas

728
00:35:02,960 --> 00:35:05,880
Speaker 1: City cornerback group, which is I think, you know, still

729
00:35:06,360 --> 00:35:09,480
Speaker 1: kind of shaky. They're twenty ninth in DVOA against number

730
00:35:09,480 --> 00:35:12,719
Speaker 1: one wide receivers according to Football Outsiders, so I think

731
00:35:12,719 --> 00:35:15,360
Speaker 1: that'll be a good matchup for him. I like Curtis

732
00:35:15,400 --> 00:35:17,000
Speaker 1: Samuel this week.

733
00:35:17,040 --> 00:35:17,320
Speaker 2: Again.

734
00:35:17,360 --> 00:35:20,400
Speaker 1: You know, he's averaging ten targets and two point seven

735
00:35:20,480 --> 00:35:23,880
Speaker 1: carries per game, so I have him inside the top thirty.

736
00:35:23,880 --> 00:35:26,160
Speaker 1: He's still outside the top thirty in consensus, and I

737
00:35:26,200 --> 00:35:29,120
Speaker 1: actually have him like one spot, like literally one spot

738
00:35:29,160 --> 00:35:31,799
Speaker 1: behind Terry McLaurin, And that might be being generous at

739
00:35:31,840 --> 00:35:35,400
Speaker 1: this point because Samuel's been more involved player. I know

740
00:35:35,600 --> 00:35:39,839
Speaker 1: McLaurin caught a long one when Slate got hurt. But yeah,

741
00:35:40,040 --> 00:35:45,320
Speaker 1: like me some Curtis Samuel this week against the Cowboys

742
00:35:45,320 --> 00:35:47,799
Speaker 1: because I think, you know, now you're gonna probably have

743
00:35:48,040 --> 00:35:51,480
Speaker 1: Digs messing with mclauren, So I think he got to

744
00:35:51,480 --> 00:35:53,319
Speaker 1: attack this Cowboys team on the inside so he can

745
00:35:53,360 --> 00:35:54,200
Speaker 1: be the Richie James.

746
00:35:56,000 --> 00:35:59,360
Speaker 2: Yeah, McLaurin twenty nine and Samuel thirty, so it sounds

747
00:35:59,360 --> 00:36:01,319
Speaker 2: like we're very aligned on that.

748
00:36:01,719 --> 00:36:03,200
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think I got on like twenty eight, twenty

749
00:36:03,280 --> 00:36:05,680
Speaker 1: nine or something like that. Yep, all right, who are

750
00:36:05,719 --> 00:36:06,720
Speaker 1: you well on a wide receiver?

751
00:36:07,160 --> 00:36:10,040
Speaker 2: So I'm low on Mike Williams right now. I'm wide

752
00:36:10,040 --> 00:36:14,440
Speaker 2: receiver thirty one and the consensus is seventeen. That probably

753
00:36:14,440 --> 00:36:16,200
Speaker 2: has a lot to do with Kean Allen, who knows

754
00:36:16,200 --> 00:36:18,799
Speaker 2: if he's going to return this week. But you know,

755
00:36:18,880 --> 00:36:22,400
Speaker 2: I think with Herbert Young at this injury and Slater

756
00:36:22,600 --> 00:36:25,800
Speaker 2: out for the season, you know, they don't want Herbert

757
00:36:25,840 --> 00:36:27,759
Speaker 2: to really stay in and wait for Mike Williams to

758
00:36:27,760 --> 00:36:29,719
Speaker 2: stay open. So if Allen is back, I think it's

759
00:36:29,719 --> 00:36:32,200
Speaker 2: going to be a big Key and Allen game. Josh

760
00:36:32,239 --> 00:36:34,800
Speaker 2: Palmer is emerging at what I tell you, like after

761
00:36:35,200 --> 00:36:38,920
Speaker 2: after he kind of got held in check, but I

762
00:36:38,960 --> 00:36:40,880
Speaker 2: had that over he went out for what ninety nine

763
00:36:40,960 --> 00:36:42,839
Speaker 2: hours last week, So I think Palmer is a guy

764
00:36:42,840 --> 00:36:45,960
Speaker 2: that I'm interested in this week. And you know GPPs

765
00:36:46,000 --> 00:36:48,960
Speaker 2: but just you know, it's a game where the Chargers

766
00:36:49,000 --> 00:36:50,759
Speaker 2: could be a bit more conservative and that's going to

767
00:36:50,880 --> 00:36:53,680
Speaker 2: hurt Williams. So I'm pretty low right now. And the

768
00:36:53,719 --> 00:36:57,680
Speaker 2: other guy is Rashad Bateman. He's really tricky to project

769
00:36:57,760 --> 00:37:00,400
Speaker 2: right now, Like he has a super high sealed and

770
00:37:00,440 --> 00:37:03,040
Speaker 2: a super low floor. I think so right now he's

771
00:37:03,080 --> 00:37:06,680
Speaker 2: my wide receiver forty and the consensus is wid wide

772
00:37:06,719 --> 00:37:10,360
Speaker 2: receiver twenty seven. And he profiles as sort of a

773
00:37:10,520 --> 00:37:12,799
Speaker 2: deep threat guy right now as opposed to the high

774
00:37:12,880 --> 00:37:15,600
Speaker 2: volume guy he thought he'd be. You know, he could

775
00:37:15,640 --> 00:37:17,600
Speaker 2: easily go off against the Bills. It's going to be

776
00:37:17,600 --> 00:37:20,840
Speaker 2: a shootout, you know, especially with Micah Hyan I R.

777
00:37:20,920 --> 00:37:22,880
Speaker 2: I don't know if Jordan Poyer is gonna return this week,

778
00:37:23,480 --> 00:37:25,040
Speaker 2: so he could have a big game, but you just

779
00:37:25,080 --> 00:37:27,720
Speaker 2: have to understand that he has a pretty low floor

780
00:37:28,280 --> 00:37:31,680
Speaker 2: going forward. You know, his seventeen point six A dot

781
00:37:32,040 --> 00:37:33,759
Speaker 2: means he's gonna be very vunerable. He has a fifty

782
00:37:33,800 --> 00:37:35,640
Speaker 2: percent catch rate, so I can kind of see that

783
00:37:35,719 --> 00:37:39,680
Speaker 2: going forward where he's sort of like a glorified Marquez

784
00:37:39,760 --> 00:37:43,560
Speaker 2: Veld the scantling kind of role in this. So he's

785
00:37:43,600 --> 00:37:45,560
Speaker 2: just the guy I'm very careful about when it comes

786
00:37:45,600 --> 00:37:48,120
Speaker 2: to season long rankings. Uh So he's all the way

787
00:37:48,280 --> 00:37:50,120
Speaker 2: down at wide receiver forty for me right now.

788
00:37:50,520 --> 00:37:52,279
Speaker 1: Yeah, baby has been really tough to rank because he

789
00:37:52,280 --> 00:37:54,680
Speaker 1: hasn't even been running a route like over eight percent

790
00:37:54,719 --> 00:37:59,480
Speaker 1: of the time. But I I put I bumped him

791
00:37:59,520 --> 00:38:01,680
Speaker 1: up for this week. I actually, I think I think

792
00:38:01,680 --> 00:38:05,839
Speaker 1: he's gonna have a decent game because the Bills they

793
00:38:05,840 --> 00:38:08,799
Speaker 1: are playing ninety four percent zone and I don't think

794
00:38:08,800 --> 00:38:12,480
Speaker 1: that's gonna change with all the injuries. Bateman is second

795
00:38:12,600 --> 00:38:14,879
Speaker 1: in the league in yards per against zone this year

796
00:38:14,920 --> 00:38:17,719
Speaker 1: at three point nine three. So like, I'm like, I'm

797
00:38:17,719 --> 00:38:19,960
Speaker 1: not gonna get I'm not gonna get caught out like

798
00:38:19,960 --> 00:38:22,320
Speaker 1: like not, and he's gonna catch like two long touchdown

799
00:38:22,440 --> 00:38:22,960
Speaker 1: last year.

800
00:38:23,200 --> 00:38:25,800
Speaker 2: Last year he was better against man though, So yeah, no,

801
00:38:25,840 --> 00:38:27,000
Speaker 2: he can beat man. He could.

802
00:38:27,040 --> 00:38:28,840
Speaker 1: He can line up on the line of scrimmage and

803
00:38:28,880 --> 00:38:30,560
Speaker 1: beat Man. But I mean, but this year, I think

804
00:38:30,560 --> 00:38:33,400
Speaker 1: it's just more Lamar. Lamar is just taking it. So

805
00:38:33,480 --> 00:38:35,680
Speaker 1: I don't know, I feel you like if I bump

806
00:38:35,800 --> 00:38:38,600
Speaker 1: him down to like his actual routes run like all

807
00:38:38,680 --> 00:38:40,880
Speaker 1: three games he does end up my wire receiver forty.

808
00:38:40,880 --> 00:38:43,239
Speaker 1: But I bumped him up a little bit, uh for

809
00:38:43,320 --> 00:38:45,359
Speaker 1: this match, Like, and I don't want.

810
00:38:45,280 --> 00:38:47,560
Speaker 2: To make it sound like I'm like, oh he sucks

811
00:38:47,600 --> 00:38:50,520
Speaker 2: bench him, Like I'm just making it clearer that he's very,

812
00:38:50,640 --> 00:38:53,560
Speaker 2: very tricky to project. Yeah, where he could he could

813
00:38:53,600 --> 00:38:55,359
Speaker 2: go off here for a top ten week. I am

814
00:38:55,400 --> 00:38:58,640
Speaker 2: not denying that. But he's a completely different type of

815
00:38:58,680 --> 00:39:02,920
Speaker 2: player than we drafted him him for. Yeah, I'm just

816
00:39:03,000 --> 00:39:06,400
Speaker 2: saying he is a very high risk reward guy and

817
00:39:06,440 --> 00:39:09,360
Speaker 2: he's sort of in that six star range. So you know,

818
00:39:09,440 --> 00:39:11,680
Speaker 2: if I'm like a favorite and I just need, you know,

819
00:39:11,800 --> 00:39:14,440
Speaker 2: ten points from a guy, I'll probably go someone else.

820
00:39:14,480 --> 00:39:16,400
Speaker 2: But if I'm a you know, underdog and I need

821
00:39:16,440 --> 00:39:19,200
Speaker 2: a massive game, Baitman is your guy because he's gonna

822
00:39:19,239 --> 00:39:21,840
Speaker 2: get a couple of deep shots. But unfortunately that just

823
00:39:21,840 --> 00:39:23,480
Speaker 2: makes him very vulnerable. Yeah.

824
00:39:23,520 --> 00:39:26,160
Speaker 1: No, I tell you I've been struggling with Frankan Bateman

825
00:39:26,360 --> 00:39:30,040
Speaker 1: each week because it's like the routes are weird, Like

826
00:39:30,360 --> 00:39:32,799
Speaker 1: everything about the priors is like backwards. It's like he's

827
00:39:32,800 --> 00:39:34,480
Speaker 1: a deep It's just like, yeah.

828
00:39:34,400 --> 00:39:36,160
Speaker 2: That's exactly. That's all I'm trying to say. I just

829
00:39:36,160 --> 00:39:38,040
Speaker 2: want to get your take on it as well.

830
00:39:39,320 --> 00:39:42,279
Speaker 1: All right, I'll make it quick. Alan Robinson is my

831
00:39:42,280 --> 00:39:45,239
Speaker 1: wide receiver forty eight. He's consensus thirty eight. I know

832
00:39:45,280 --> 00:39:47,839
Speaker 1: he should have had a touchdown last week, but that's

833
00:39:47,880 --> 00:39:49,680
Speaker 1: the kind of the whole point. Him and Stafford just

834
00:39:49,719 --> 00:39:52,040
Speaker 1: aren't on the same page, and he's not getting yardage

835
00:39:52,400 --> 00:39:55,720
Speaker 1: and he's getting targeted on eleven percent of his routes,

836
00:39:55,719 --> 00:39:59,680
Speaker 1: which is not very good for a guy that, you know,

837
00:39:59,719 --> 00:40:01,600
Speaker 1: people we're thinking about starting as a well end wide

838
00:40:01,600 --> 00:40:05,080
Speaker 1: receiver three, Elijah Moore is outside of my top fifty.

839
00:40:05,840 --> 00:40:10,080
Speaker 1: He is the wide receiver forty in consensus. Elijah Moore

840
00:40:10,160 --> 00:40:12,520
Speaker 1: with Zach Wilson, who's expected to come back this week,

841
00:40:13,239 --> 00:40:16,239
Speaker 1: average is just a forty five percent catch rate and

842
00:40:16,280 --> 00:40:19,359
Speaker 1: four point eight yards per target compared to sixty three

843
00:40:19,400 --> 00:40:21,600
Speaker 1: percent catch rate and nine point one yards per target

844
00:40:21,640 --> 00:40:23,759
Speaker 1: with Flacco. So it could get worse, especially now that

845
00:40:23,800 --> 00:40:27,319
Speaker 1: he's got competition for looks with Garrett Wilson playing well.

846
00:40:27,400 --> 00:40:30,360
Speaker 1: Conquin even is playing well and getting some targets, so

847
00:40:31,480 --> 00:40:33,279
Speaker 1: it could be ugly. And then Darnell Mooney, I mean,

848
00:40:33,320 --> 00:40:35,919
Speaker 1: he's still the wide receiver forty four consensus. I don't

849
00:40:35,960 --> 00:40:39,000
Speaker 1: know how he's on wide receiver sixty two, and that

850
00:40:39,040 --> 00:40:42,160
Speaker 1: even that might be generous. So yeah, a couple three

851
00:40:42,200 --> 00:40:46,160
Speaker 1: guys that people drafted is like wide receiver two, maybe

852
00:40:46,160 --> 00:40:49,000
Speaker 1: wide receiver threes that don't I do not think you

853
00:40:49,040 --> 00:40:50,320
Speaker 1: want to be starting at this point.

854
00:40:50,800 --> 00:40:53,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, no, I have Mooney wide receiver sixty. If anybody

855
00:40:53,719 --> 00:40:56,440
Speaker 2: who's doing ayahuasca, it's got to be the ECR.

856
00:40:56,960 --> 00:40:59,000
Speaker 1: Oh my god, right, yeah, this is I mean, we

857
00:40:59,040 --> 00:41:01,439
Speaker 1: are recording this early Tuesday, so maybe people will kind

858
00:41:01,440 --> 00:41:02,880
Speaker 1: of wise up as the week does that.

859
00:41:03,000 --> 00:41:05,319
Speaker 2: Maybe they're seeing something at the ayahuasca. Maybe he does

860
00:41:05,360 --> 00:41:06,919
Speaker 2: catch that deep bull final this week.

861
00:41:07,280 --> 00:41:09,799
Speaker 1: He did have a couple of drops, but I mean,

862
00:41:09,920 --> 00:41:11,759
Speaker 1: you can't even guarantee the Bears will throw the ball

863
00:41:11,840 --> 00:41:15,680
Speaker 1: like ten times at this point. Okay for the prop,

864
00:41:16,320 --> 00:41:17,520
Speaker 1: let's go with DJ more.

865
00:41:18,000 --> 00:41:19,160
Speaker 2: Oh love it.

866
00:41:20,080 --> 00:41:25,160
Speaker 1: I'm gonna set his over under for receiving. And he

867
00:41:25,200 --> 00:41:29,440
Speaker 1: hasn't queered forty three yards in a game yet with

868
00:41:29,480 --> 00:41:33,840
Speaker 1: Baker Mayfield, so there's issues there. I'm gonna set his

869
00:41:33,960 --> 00:41:38,240
Speaker 1: over under for receiving at fifty and a half.

870
00:41:38,880 --> 00:41:40,920
Speaker 2: I was I was gonna just say over whatever he

871
00:41:40,960 --> 00:41:42,600
Speaker 2: threw out because I thought it was gonna be in

872
00:41:42,600 --> 00:41:46,440
Speaker 2: the forties. Damn, I got it at fifty four and

873
00:41:46,480 --> 00:41:49,279
Speaker 2: a half. I'm gonna go with over. Yeah. I do

874
00:41:49,320 --> 00:41:51,759
Speaker 2: think he bounces back this week. Oh you wanted me

875
00:41:51,840 --> 00:41:54,319
Speaker 2: to do that? I wanted to go over Also pop

876
00:41:54,400 --> 00:41:56,480
Speaker 2: my head. I think his catch rate this year is

877
00:41:56,480 --> 00:41:59,279
Speaker 2: like thirty nine percent. Yeah, so he's going to see

878
00:41:59,320 --> 00:42:01,680
Speaker 2: some regression there. He's he's led the team in targets

879
00:42:01,719 --> 00:42:04,640
Speaker 2: past two weeks. He's the same DJ Moore at least

880
00:42:04,680 --> 00:42:06,680
Speaker 2: with the underlying data, So I think he is due

881
00:42:06,719 --> 00:42:10,279
Speaker 2: for a semi breakout game. All right, So I like

882
00:42:10,320 --> 00:42:10,879
Speaker 2: the over here.

883
00:42:11,600 --> 00:42:16,080
Speaker 1: All right, we got a tight end top five Travis.

884
00:42:15,760 --> 00:42:19,040
Speaker 2: Kelce, Mark Andrews, Kyle Pitts, Darren Waller, George Kittle. I

885
00:42:19,080 --> 00:42:22,120
Speaker 2: think that's the first time we've seen like the concettsus

886
00:42:22,160 --> 00:42:25,080
Speaker 2: top five heading end of the season as the actual

887
00:42:25,120 --> 00:42:27,680
Speaker 2: top five this week. So pretty straightforward week in my opinion.

888
00:42:28,160 --> 00:42:31,520
Speaker 1: Yeah, I got Andrew's healthy, Kittle, Waller, Pits so a

889
00:42:31,520 --> 00:42:35,520
Speaker 1: little different order, but kind of same thing here. Who

890
00:42:35,520 --> 00:42:35,920
Speaker 1: are high on?

891
00:42:36,440 --> 00:42:39,960
Speaker 2: So I'm high on Robert Tanyan. He's my tight end

892
00:42:40,000 --> 00:42:43,680
Speaker 2: fourteen right now and his ECR is tight end eighteen.

893
00:42:44,000 --> 00:42:46,799
Speaker 2: And you know, his playing time has gone up each

894
00:42:46,840 --> 00:42:50,080
Speaker 2: of the three games to start the season, So last

895
00:42:50,120 --> 00:42:53,000
Speaker 2: week it bumped up to sixty one percent routes run rate.

896
00:42:53,040 --> 00:42:54,560
Speaker 2: I think it could go up even more. I think

897
00:42:54,600 --> 00:42:57,439
Speaker 2: he'll probably top out closer to seventy, but he's saying

898
00:42:57,480 --> 00:43:01,160
Speaker 2: a nice twenty three percent target rate. He's one of Rogers'

899
00:43:01,160 --> 00:43:05,080
Speaker 2: most trusted targets heading into the season, especially in the

900
00:43:05,080 --> 00:43:06,640
Speaker 2: red zone. So I think this is a good time

901
00:43:06,680 --> 00:43:08,359
Speaker 2: to buy low on him. I think in the next

902
00:43:08,360 --> 00:43:11,600
Speaker 2: couple of weeks he could start cracking everyone's top twelve,

903
00:43:12,239 --> 00:43:15,520
Speaker 2: just the way this offense is going and just you know,

904
00:43:15,560 --> 00:43:17,640
Speaker 2: the trust he has with Aaron Rodgers. So it's been

905
00:43:17,680 --> 00:43:20,160
Speaker 2: a nice start to the season and he's only going

906
00:43:20,239 --> 00:43:21,200
Speaker 2: to go up. Yeah.

907
00:43:21,520 --> 00:43:24,280
Speaker 1: I tunny enough tight end fourteen as well. Three catches

908
00:43:24,320 --> 00:43:27,640
Speaker 1: for thirty two and zero point three touchdowns.

909
00:43:27,640 --> 00:43:30,200
Speaker 2: Not a lot, but it's tight end something. Yeah, it's

910
00:43:30,280 --> 00:43:32,880
Speaker 2: kind of a shit show in that range. So I

911
00:43:32,880 --> 00:43:35,640
Speaker 2: think he's the guy that's about to break out for me.

912
00:43:35,719 --> 00:43:38,960
Speaker 1: I got David Nijoku tight end twelve this week. He's

913
00:43:38,960 --> 00:43:42,680
Speaker 1: tight in fourteen consensus, Atlanta's twenty fourth and dboa against

914
00:43:42,719 --> 00:43:46,200
Speaker 1: tight ends, it's a pretty high scoring game. It's so

915
00:43:46,520 --> 00:43:48,680
Speaker 1: you know with Nadjoku, he's running route now in over

916
00:43:48,719 --> 00:43:51,560
Speaker 1: eighty percent of the dropbacks, and I know he's coming

917
00:43:51,600 --> 00:43:53,120
Speaker 1: off a big game, so it kind of feels like

918
00:43:53,120 --> 00:43:55,319
Speaker 1: you're chasing, but there's nothing really there at tight end.

919
00:43:55,360 --> 00:43:57,319
Speaker 1: So when a guy like that, you know, comes through

920
00:43:57,320 --> 00:43:59,839
Speaker 1: and gets you know, nine to ten catches, you have

921
00:43:59,880 --> 00:44:02,360
Speaker 1: to bump them up. So he's getting a target on

922
00:44:03,200 --> 00:44:05,799
Speaker 1: over twenty percent of his routes now this year, and

923
00:44:06,000 --> 00:44:07,880
Speaker 1: he's running around over eighty percent of the time, So

924
00:44:08,160 --> 00:44:10,480
Speaker 1: you can't there's nothing really to complain about at this point,

925
00:44:10,520 --> 00:44:13,760
Speaker 1: you know, when the position has been so so nasty.

926
00:44:13,760 --> 00:44:16,839
Speaker 1: So I got him three point six catches, thirty six

927
00:44:16,920 --> 00:44:20,080
Speaker 1: yards and a point to eight touchdowns. So love right

928
00:44:20,520 --> 00:44:20,959
Speaker 1: who you.

929
00:44:20,840 --> 00:44:24,680
Speaker 2: Are on Tyler Conklin. He's my tight end eighteen right

930
00:44:24,680 --> 00:44:29,799
Speaker 2: now versus tight end thirteen. You know, cgi Uzoma is back,

931
00:44:29,960 --> 00:44:33,959
Speaker 2: not that that matters, but more importantly, Zach Wilson is back,

932
00:44:34,040 --> 00:44:36,680
Speaker 2: and so that could shuffle up who we see sort

933
00:44:36,680 --> 00:44:39,800
Speaker 2: of the top targets in this offense. You know, Flacco

934
00:44:39,920 --> 00:44:41,920
Speaker 2: is great for the running backs in the passing game,

935
00:44:41,960 --> 00:44:45,399
Speaker 2: Garrett Wilson obviously, and Conklin. I'm not saying that could change,

936
00:44:45,440 --> 00:44:47,319
Speaker 2: but whenever we have a quarterback change, we kind of

937
00:44:47,320 --> 00:44:48,920
Speaker 2: have to just like back off for a little bit.

938
00:44:49,680 --> 00:44:52,239
Speaker 2: So that's why I'm viewing Conklan more as a mid

939
00:44:52,320 --> 00:44:55,120
Speaker 2: range low end tight end two this week as opposed

940
00:44:55,160 --> 00:44:56,920
Speaker 2: to last week. Last week I said he's a low

941
00:44:57,000 --> 00:44:58,960
Speaker 2: end tight end one, so I liked him last week.

942
00:44:59,200 --> 00:45:01,359
Speaker 2: This week, I'm back off until we sort of see

943
00:45:01,360 --> 00:45:03,800
Speaker 2: who Zach Wilson's gravitating towards.

944
00:45:04,080 --> 00:45:06,520
Speaker 1: Yeah, I have him tied in sixteen as well, so

945
00:45:06,560 --> 00:45:08,800
Speaker 1: I have him outside of that top the top fifteen.

946
00:45:08,960 --> 00:45:12,360
Speaker 1: Three point four catches thirty yards but only point to

947
00:45:12,400 --> 00:45:16,040
Speaker 1: one touchdowns. It's the Jets. It's Zach Wilson and their

948
00:45:16,040 --> 00:45:19,080
Speaker 1: ansper I mean, jesus, I know, I know Najoku just

949
00:45:19,080 --> 00:45:22,120
Speaker 1: went off, but like Jack Wilson, that's a terrible towel

950
00:45:22,160 --> 00:45:24,360
Speaker 1: is trying to get back to five hundred. Not not

951
00:45:24,440 --> 00:45:28,200
Speaker 1: a situation any really much of the Jets offense for me,

952
00:45:28,719 --> 00:45:33,440
Speaker 1: I'm all irv Smith going up against the New Orleans Saints.

953
00:45:33,840 --> 00:45:36,600
Speaker 1: You know, Smith is kind of been struggling to put

954
00:45:36,600 --> 00:45:39,800
Speaker 1: it all together this year, and his routes run topped

955
00:45:39,800 --> 00:45:41,879
Speaker 1: out at sixty percent last week for the second straight week.

956
00:45:41,880 --> 00:45:43,960
Speaker 1: I thought it might go up a little more. So

957
00:45:44,080 --> 00:45:46,280
Speaker 1: at this at you know, kind of in that range.

958
00:45:46,320 --> 00:45:50,360
Speaker 1: He's my tight end twenty and New Orleans allowing just

959
00:45:50,400 --> 00:45:53,200
Speaker 1: a forty seven percent catch rate, three point three yards

960
00:45:53,239 --> 00:45:55,839
Speaker 1: per target and twenty one yards per game to tight ends.

961
00:45:55,880 --> 00:45:58,920
Speaker 1: And they did face Kyle Pitts, so it seems to

962
00:45:58,960 --> 00:46:01,960
Speaker 1: be a pretty formidable defense against tight ends. You know

963
00:46:01,960 --> 00:46:05,560
Speaker 1: they have linebackers that could cover safeties. Is still pretty good.

964
00:46:05,600 --> 00:46:09,080
Speaker 1: So uh fading IRV Smith this week in London. All right,

965
00:46:09,120 --> 00:46:09,879
Speaker 1: what we got for the prop?

966
00:46:10,160 --> 00:46:13,160
Speaker 2: Well, let's test out your David and Joku love here.

967
00:46:13,800 --> 00:46:14,520
Speaker 2: I'm going with his.

968
00:46:14,880 --> 00:46:17,279
Speaker 1: I already gave you my numbers for that's it's not fair.

969
00:46:18,000 --> 00:46:19,920
Speaker 2: Well I already have Yeah. I mean.

970
00:46:21,680 --> 00:46:25,000
Speaker 1: I literally said my projection on the podcast.

971
00:46:25,040 --> 00:46:27,160
Speaker 2: I'm going to just use whatever number I have. Okay,

972
00:46:27,239 --> 00:46:30,840
Speaker 2: I already have Okay, scouts on or forty two and

973
00:46:30,840 --> 00:46:31,200
Speaker 2: a half.

974
00:46:31,480 --> 00:46:34,160
Speaker 1: Oh I'll go under that. Yeah, I have him thirty

975
00:46:34,160 --> 00:46:36,919
Speaker 1: six and he's still my title twelve, So yeah, I'll

976
00:46:36,960 --> 00:46:39,440
Speaker 1: go under that. But h I still think he's one

977
00:46:39,480 --> 00:46:41,120
Speaker 1: of the bet I could I could have lowered it,

978
00:46:41,160 --> 00:46:42,320
Speaker 1: but yeah, you could.

979
00:46:42,040 --> 00:46:44,040
Speaker 2: Have already had it pretty high.

980
00:46:44,040 --> 00:46:45,880
Speaker 1: That is that is pretty is? What do you what

981
00:46:45,880 --> 00:46:48,240
Speaker 1: do you have them ranked? Just curious tight end eleven?

982
00:46:48,480 --> 00:46:50,919
Speaker 2: Yeah I didn't. I didn't piggyback your take there, because

983
00:46:50,960 --> 00:46:52,160
Speaker 2: I knew I was going to get back to it

984
00:46:52,200 --> 00:46:54,600
Speaker 2: on the prop. But it's just he's the clear number

985
00:46:54,640 --> 00:46:57,920
Speaker 2: two target. We we've known he has massive upside, and

986
00:46:57,960 --> 00:47:00,920
Speaker 2: now he's running a route over eighty percent time, and

987
00:47:01,000 --> 00:47:03,239
Speaker 2: like you said, the matchup is great, So I don't

988
00:47:03,280 --> 00:47:05,719
Speaker 2: think you know, we're net picking these like extra like

989
00:47:05,760 --> 00:47:08,319
Speaker 2: few yards. He's gonna get twenty or one hundred, so

990
00:47:08,480 --> 00:47:11,400
Speaker 2: I doubt it's gonna matter. But either way, like you know,

991
00:47:11,440 --> 00:47:15,560
Speaker 2: we have finally seen Djoku hit his potential, so I

992
00:47:15,560 --> 00:47:17,399
Speaker 2: think he will keep it going, all right.

993
00:47:17,520 --> 00:47:19,760
Speaker 1: That is going to close our Week four NFL Player

994
00:47:19,800 --> 00:47:23,640
Speaker 1: Projections episode of the Action Network podcast presented by Fandul.

995
00:47:23,640 --> 00:47:26,160
Speaker 1: For more great fantasy content from Sean and I, check

996
00:47:26,200 --> 00:47:29,040
Speaker 1: out our full Fantasy preview episode out now over on

997
00:47:29,080 --> 00:47:33,600
Speaker 1: the Fantasy Flex podcast channel, And if you are into betting,

998
00:47:33,640 --> 00:47:36,280
Speaker 1: be sure to check out my weekly NFL betting preview

999
00:47:36,280 --> 00:47:39,280
Speaker 1: episode every Thursday with Stucky that comes out on this channel.

1000
00:47:39,960 --> 00:47:42,600
Speaker 1: Actionetwork dot com for all of your NFL betting and

1001
00:47:42,600 --> 00:47:46,360
Speaker 1: fantasy needs, as well as Fantasy ab for our DFS models,

1002
00:47:46,400 --> 00:47:48,560
Speaker 1: and you can follow show on Twitter at the Underscore

1003
00:47:48,560 --> 00:47:51,560
Speaker 1: odds Maker. You can find me on Twitter at Chris Raybon.

1004
00:47:52,040 --> 00:47:54,320
Speaker 1: You can find us at those same handles on the free,

1005
00:47:54,440 --> 00:47:58,080
Speaker 1: award winning Action Network app. Until next time, let's get

1006
00:47:58,080 --> 00:48:09,280
Speaker 1: Fish twenty. The strains to the studing the status.

1007
00:48:07,680 --> 00:48:10,160
Speaker 2: To the suban, storing the

1008
00:48:10,280 --> 00:48:12,800
Speaker 1: Scrap book, storing the sp