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Speaker 1: moment more during Super Bowl fifty seven, all right, everybody,
Speaker 1: Chad Millman in about eight to ten minutes, sharper square.
Speaker 1: It's really really interesting. He's got a bet a prop.
Speaker 1: And I'm not a big prop fan. He's got a
Speaker 1: field goal prop. I love. I think I'm gonna bet it.
Speaker 1: I want to start with this. Aaron Rodgers announced that
Speaker 1: after the Super Bowl he is going to isolate for
Speaker 1: four days in the dark. He said multiple friends have
Speaker 1: done it in a tiny house, some more probably in
Speaker 1: the woods, where he is going to get as close
Speaker 1: to Aaron Rodgers as he can and that hopefully fundamentally,
Speaker 1: through meditation, through isolation, he will come out with an
Speaker 1: answer on what to do with his life. You know,
Speaker 1: my takeaway is I like meditation. I don't think people,
Speaker 1: as a rule give themselves enough time. We give our
Speaker 1: time to our kids, our spouses, our friends, our job.
Speaker 1: We don't give ourselves enough time to just heal, decompress.
Speaker 1: So I'm a big believer in meditation. I try to
Speaker 1: do it a couple times a week or more. After
Speaker 1: my show, I go into a dark room for about
Speaker 1: forty five minutes and just close my eyes. Sometimes I
Speaker 1: turn on a sleep app sometimes music. Sometimes I just
Speaker 1: close my eyes. I think it's really healthy. Now. The
Speaker 1: messenger Aaron Rodgers is unique. I think a lot of
Speaker 1: people do this. A lot of artists do it, maybe
Speaker 1: not as many farmers, maybe Midwest people think it sounds
Speaker 1: too Hollywood. But it's the strange part. Isn't what he's doing.
Speaker 1: I wouldn't be comfortable for four days in total darkness.
Speaker 1: But I think the strangest part about it he's a
Speaker 1: star quarterback and we're just not accustomed to that. You know,
Speaker 1: we tend to like our athletes. We don't like to
Speaker 1: think of them as lost or trying to find themselves.
Speaker 1: We like them to know where they're going, where they're headed,
Speaker 1: straight ahead, strong, alpha, powerful, and that doesn't mean you
Speaker 1: can't be that if you're Aaron Rodgers and go hide
Speaker 1: for four days. I just think he is a person
Speaker 1: that we don't identify as somebody that would do that. Now,
Speaker 1: I do think Aaron is single, never married, no kids,
Speaker 1: really rich, and as Bill Simmons and I have discussed before,
Speaker 1: I've known people in the media as they get older,
Speaker 1: never married, no kids, get odd and they become the
Speaker 1: center of their universe and it's all about finding themselves
Speaker 1: and about them themselves, me my journey, how do I
Speaker 1: manifest it. It's a little obnoxious, but I think the
Speaker 1: bigger issue here is it's quarterback for an really popular
Speaker 1: NFL team, and it just sounds different and we're not
Speaker 1: really accustomed to it or used to it. So I'm
Speaker 1: all for meditation though, whatever it takes. I just I
Speaker 1: don't think we give enough time to ourselves. You know,
Speaker 1: I see people with four and five kids. They're like
Speaker 1: taxi drivers, they're uber drivers. They're all weekend long. They're
Speaker 1: shuttling their kids to this, They're shuttling their kids to that.
Speaker 1: And my takeaways, when do you give yourself time you don't,
Speaker 1: and so I wish all of us. I think people
Speaker 1: would be happier, less angry if they just chilled out,
Speaker 1: cut their days in half, meditate every day. Now, I
Speaker 1: know that's unrealistic for a lot of people, but it's
Speaker 1: not unrealistic for Aaron Rodgers. You know, he has enough season.
Speaker 1: Even in season, he's you know, you've been doing this
Speaker 1: for a long time. You don't have to teach Aaron
Speaker 1: a lot. He gets a game plan, He comes equipped
Speaker 1: every meeting with institutional knowledge. So it's it sounds kookier
Speaker 1: than it is for young people of financial means. I
Speaker 1: think a lot of people do this. They go on
Speaker 1: journeys and they go on escapes and you know, the
Speaker 1: ayahuasca stuff. I'm in my fifties. That sounds like crazy
Speaker 1: town to me. This married kids career sounds like crazy
Speaker 1: town for me and my life. But people think I
Speaker 1: beat up on Aaron all the time. But he's a
Speaker 1: different cat. That's okay. Not every quarterback is the same.
Speaker 1: Sum are big, summer tall, some run, some don't, summer pocket,
Speaker 1: Some are mobile, and some are ethereal. Some meditate, some don't.
Speaker 1: I mean Russell Wilson's personality is way different than Tom
Speaker 1: Brady and Peyton Manning and Drew Brees and Aaron Rodgers
Speaker 1: is much different than all four of those guys as well.
Speaker 1: It's okay shape sizes personalities. It's okay to be different.
Speaker 1: Odd for me to do it. I mean, I'll be
Speaker 1: honest with you. Not that I'm scared of the dark,
Speaker 1: but I don't think I have to discover much like
Speaker 1: I think I know what I am and where I'm going.
Speaker 1: I think after about three hours, i'd be like, and
Speaker 1: I give myself time. I think i'd be like, all right,
Speaker 1: I'm hungry. I want to go in the light and
Speaker 1: get a yogurt. So I was told by a source
Speaker 1: that i'd trust and have known for a long time,
Speaker 1: somebody that has a lot of connections through the world
Speaker 1: of sports and the world of agents. He's very connected
Speaker 1: to agents that as Laker fans bag on Rob Polinka
Speaker 1: for not pulling the trigger on a Kyrie Irving move,
Speaker 1: that Joe Sigh, the owner of the Brooklyn Nets, was
Speaker 1: so pissed off at Kyrie Irving that he signed him
Speaker 1: to a contract, believed in him, trusted him, committed to him,
Speaker 1: did everything he asked and was so infuriated with Kyrie's
Speaker 1: vaccine stant not playing through injuries, how he had disrupted
Speaker 1: and turned this hardened Kyrie k D situation into a
Speaker 1: mess that he refused. He would not trade Kyrie to
Speaker 1: the Lakers and Lebron, not because he hated the Lakers,
Speaker 1: because he refused to let Kyrie go where he wanted
Speaker 1: to go. He was not going to let it happen.
Speaker 1: And so listen, I've been very hyper critical of the
Speaker 1: Lakers for years. I don't think institutionally they run very well.
Speaker 1: I mean, in the last ten years, nine of them
Speaker 1: they've been bad. And then there was the bubble year,
Speaker 1: which is kind of an outlier odd year that they
Speaker 1: They don't have a lot of assets because they gave
Speaker 1: up a ton when Lebron first got there to get
Speaker 1: a D. Now they gave up KCP and Kuzma, Montrez
Speaker 1: Harald to get Westbrook. They just don't have any assets.
Speaker 1: But this was about Joe si the owner of Brooklyn,
Speaker 1: so ticked off at Kyrie, irving that he didn't care
Speaker 1: he was not going to be a Laker. Listen, this
Speaker 1: stuff happens. Billionaires hold grudges. I just saw the other
Speaker 1: day where the Phoenix Suns have a new owner who
Speaker 1: owns a mortgage company, and everybody voted in favor of
Speaker 1: the new owner, and the Cleveland Cavaliers abstained in voting.
Speaker 1: Why because the Cavaliers owner, Dan Gilbert, owns another mortgage company,
Speaker 1: and so you know it's their rival mortgage companies. So
Speaker 1: it's okay, Like you just have to come to terms
Speaker 1: with Billionaires are aggressive, they can be very territorial, and
Speaker 1: in this instance, I don't blame the owner of the nets. Listen,
Speaker 1: I understand I don't like mandates, even with COVID, I'm
Speaker 1: not a set at one hundred times on the air.
Speaker 1: I'm not a fan of mandates. I think people should
Speaker 1: be able to do with their body what they choose
Speaker 1: to do, even if it's ill advised or misguided. And
Speaker 1: I got the vacks and one booster, I'm done getting
Speaker 1: all of it. I've done it at this point. If
Speaker 1: I get it, I get it. I no longer wear masks.
Speaker 1: I don't think they're hyper effective. So what's the point
Speaker 1: unless I told I have to? But if I hired
Speaker 1: an employee at the volume big compensation, you're part of
Speaker 1: a team and you covered the NFL and you refused
Speaker 1: to work the NFL playoffs, I would be upset. I'd
Speaker 1: probably be semi bidder. And so you can't blame KD
Speaker 1: for this mess. He's been the best player. You can
Speaker 1: blame Hardened for it, but he came in out of
Speaker 1: shape to begin with. So that's sort of on the
Speaker 1: Brooklyn nets. And he had a history of difficult to
Speaker 1: play with. But Kyrie was the fascinating piece because he
Speaker 1: had played so brilliantly at times with Lebron James, and
Speaker 1: though he didn't work as the go to star in
Speaker 1: Boston long term, he was very good as a teammate
Speaker 1: with Lebron James and as a teammate to Kevin Durant.
Speaker 1: You could make the argument it was going to be
Speaker 1: a pretty compelling team in the East. The Hardened thing,
Speaker 1: come on, I wouldn't have made that move. I get it.
Speaker 1: The KD thing, He's been pretty good, hurt, but pretty good,
Speaker 1: great some nights. Kyrie was the essential piece and he
Speaker 1: blew it up. I get it. Like I know, the
Speaker 1: NBA is pro player and I'm okay with that too,
Speaker 1: But there is also a responsibility by the player to
Speaker 1: not have to be a hundred percent to play every night.
Speaker 1: You know, the great Kobe Bryant understood that there's a
Speaker 1: lot of kids. It's their only time they're going to
Speaker 1: see you this year, the next year. And I think
Speaker 1: Kyrie the criticism he's received as completely utterly justified. And
Speaker 1: you can't blame KD. He's been mostly great. And you
Speaker 1: can't blame Harden because he came in out of shape
Speaker 1: to begin with, and we knew his history. He couldn't
Speaker 1: play with people right. Kyrie did play very well with
Speaker 1: Lebron and they put a lot of trust in him,
Speaker 1: and he blew it up. Owners pissed. You're not going
Speaker 1: to the Lakers and you're not going to play with
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Speaker 1: Let's bring in Chad Millman, Sharper Square Ceco Action Network.
Speaker 1: All odds provided by FanDuel. So the E goals minus
Speaker 1: one and a half of the favorite. So I'm gonna
Speaker 1: lay out who I like and why and I and
Speaker 1: I say this with no real conviction because I think
Speaker 1: it's a cliche. Now Philadelphia's got more good players, but
Speaker 1: I get Andy Reid and mahomes off a bye, virtually unbeatable.
Speaker 1: But I'm gonna throw this out because I really felt
Speaker 1: strongly about Philadelphia early. But I don't want to outthink
Speaker 1: the room. But you do get more information that Warren
Speaker 1: Sharp on social media today put out a graph of
Speaker 1: Jalen Hurts pre injury and Jalen Hurts post injury. Post injury,
Speaker 1: he throws no deep balls and nothing to the right.
Speaker 1: Steve Spagnola has been in this game for two decades
Speaker 1: or more. He knows exactly that before I saw it.
Speaker 1: So Hurts is not the same player. He is not
Speaker 1: MVP Hurts. He is hurt and limited. Jalen Hurts. I
Speaker 1: thought against the Niners he had no touch. The short
Speaker 1: stuff was low, the deep stuff was long. I thought
Speaker 1: he played really poorly. Now the Niners defense has a
Speaker 1: lot of say in that, but he was absolutely off
Speaker 1: or as I thought, Mahomes with a severe injury looked great.
Speaker 1: So you know, rest is that. You know, I thought
Speaker 1: he looked fantastic, mostly against Cincinnati. So as we get
Speaker 1: closer to the game, I think to myself, am I
Speaker 1: gonna bet against Andy Reid and to buy with Mahomes
Speaker 1: against a quarterback who could be planted about seventy percent?
Speaker 1: It's hard, you know. I like dogs. I'd probably take
Speaker 1: Kansas City in the points. Sharper Square remains to be seen, Colin,
Speaker 1: because of what you just said. I'm not trying to waffle.
Speaker 1: It's a really interesting game, but wise guys came all
Speaker 1: in on the Eagles as soon as this line opened.
Speaker 1: The line opened Eagles plus one and a half for
Speaker 1: the record. Sunday night, sitting on my couch, here in Connecticut,
Speaker 1: you remember beautiful West Herford. I go into my phone,
Speaker 1: I'm a fan to a lap. I bet the Eagles
Speaker 1: plus one and a half. Fifteen minutes later it's Kansas
Speaker 1: City plus two and a half. All the money came
Speaker 1: in on the Eagles. It's pretty much settled down. Like
Speaker 1: it got up to two. Is that two? For four
Speaker 1: or five days? Now it's at one and a half. Wise,
Speaker 1: guys brought back a little on Kansas City. The recommendation
Speaker 1: I would give if you want to bet the Eagles,
Speaker 1: give it a few days because over the next four
Speaker 1: or five days that is when the public is going
Speaker 1: to come in on Kansas City. That is what books
Speaker 1: are expecting. You'll be able to get the Eagles at
Speaker 1: minus one pick whatever it is. You won't get them
Speaker 1: at his Dog again, but you'll get them at pick.
Speaker 1: So if you like the Eagles, wait a few minutes.
Speaker 1: If you like the Chiefs, take them now. You're going
Speaker 1: to get both sides of it that. I've heard more
Speaker 1: professionals liking the Eagles because of the roster that you
Speaker 1: just talked about, but they are all very wary right
Speaker 1: now that theber his stateward is that it hasn't gone
Speaker 1: back up to two because they're waiting. They're waiting to
Speaker 1: see how Jalen Hurts performs and practices over the week.
Speaker 1: And until that happens, every bet I'm making is about
Speaker 1: something else. It's about total, it's about MVP. It's about
Speaker 1: rushing props. It's player props, it's officiating props. It's everything
Speaker 1: but decide because it's really hard to handicap it. Right now,
Speaker 1: I would probably take thee over, and again, I generally
Speaker 1: like dogs and unders because the masses take thee over.
Speaker 1: But fifty and a half, I think my takeaway is Philadelphia,
Speaker 1: since they're such a hot starting team at one point,
Speaker 1: could lead in this game, and that means Mahomes will
Speaker 1: throw more. In fact, I think Mahomes will throw over
Speaker 1: forty times a game. He can go deep, he can
Speaker 1: go seem, he can go short, they can go clever.
Speaker 1: Andy read by fifty and a half seems like a
Speaker 1: reasonable over bet to me. Sharper square, totally sharp. That's
Speaker 1: what the sharps are doing. The money has been coming
Speaker 1: in on the over. It was at fifty for about
Speaker 1: fifteen seconds on Sunday Night, got bet down to forty nine.
Speaker 1: And a half and since then the money has all
Speaker 1: been on the over all professional money. You know, for
Speaker 1: the Super Bowl. Early money is professional money because the
Speaker 1: public there's so much build up. It really comes to
Speaker 1: a crescendo as you get into Friday, Saturday, Sunday. So
Speaker 1: this number has moved from forty nine and a half
Speaker 1: back to fifty fifty and a half fifty one. It
Speaker 1: will get to fifty one and a half fifty two
Speaker 1: by the game. I think at fifty two is when
Speaker 1: wise guys are going to start buying the under. Most
Speaker 1: of them haven't power rated about fifty one fifty one
Speaker 1: and a half, so they're still they're still buying a
Speaker 1: little bit of the over. I'm gonna say this. I'm
Speaker 1: gonna say one thing. I bet the under. And i
Speaker 1: know I'm on the wrong side of this, like from
Speaker 1: a professional perspective, but it speaks to how you think
Speaker 1: about the game. The Eagles have the best sack rate
Speaker 1: in the NFL, the best pressure rate in the NFL.
Speaker 1: They are elite against number one receivers. They have an
Speaker 1: offensive line that has two Hall of Famers and is
Speaker 1: a dominant rush game. If you like the Eagles here,
Speaker 1: then you have to think about the fact the game
Speaker 1: script is going to and Jalen Hurst's maybe heart. So
Speaker 1: you have to think about the fact, are they going
Speaker 1: to dominate the Chiefs offensive line? Are they going to
Speaker 1: dominate the Chiefs defensive line? Are they going to control
Speaker 1: the ball? Are they going to keep Patrick Mahomes off
Speaker 1: the field. All that to me says you take the under,
Speaker 1: And I can't understand why the professionals love the over
Speaker 1: as much as they do. Sometimes I feel strongly about
Speaker 1: the way a game will look Georgia TCU. I thought
Speaker 1: TCU emptied the emotional bag against Michigan. I thought they'd
Speaker 1: get crushed against Georgia and they did. That one was
Speaker 1: easy to read. College is often easier. I do feel
Speaker 1: something though about this game. If you're Andy Reid, you
Speaker 1: Philadelphia has trailed rarely. They've been They've been in close
Speaker 1: games infrequently, even their playoff games or routes. So if
Speaker 1: I'm Andy Reid with two weeks, I win the coin flip,
Speaker 1: I take it. I want to score first. I also
Speaker 1: my fear if I'm Andy Reid, is they bleed us.
Speaker 1: They run the ball we can't stop, and Mahomes sits
Speaker 1: on the bench, so I can see Kansas City going,
Speaker 1: We're gonna unload some exotics early. We're gonna we want
Speaker 1: to play with the lead. Now, Mahomes leading or trailing
Speaker 1: is the same quarterback. The numbers show you it's he.
Speaker 1: That's why he's the best. A score is irrelevant, it's
Speaker 1: not irrelevant. Jalen Hurts playing behind doesn't feel like the
Speaker 1: same quarterback playing with a lead. So the first half spread.
Speaker 1: I believe Kansas City feels it's essential to play in front,
Speaker 1: so Philadelphia cannot lean on a profound running game. Kansas
Speaker 1: City's running game is hit and miss. I don't think
Speaker 1: Philadelphia feels like if we don't get a lead, we
Speaker 1: have to alter the way we play. So that makes
Speaker 1: me feel like Kansas City will be dynamic early in
Speaker 1: this game. Is there any line or any belief by
Speaker 1: the Sharps that justify my feeling. Well, the Sharps like
Speaker 1: the Eagles in the first half. They like the Eagles
Speaker 1: on the money line in the first half. They like
Speaker 1: the Eagles as short favorites. About minus one and a
Speaker 1: half is some of the numbers I'm seeing right now.
Speaker 1: You can get them at you can get the Eagles
Speaker 1: at minus a half in the first half. The truth
Speaker 1: is the Eagles are a dominant first half team, and
Speaker 1: they're even better in the second quarter than they are
Speaker 1: in the first quarter. And in sixteen wins this year,
Speaker 1: they were ahead in the first half in fourteen to them.
Speaker 1: So the game script, I agree with you. The Chiefs
Speaker 1: get the ball, the Chiefs win the toss. They got
Speaker 1: to get the ball and they got to score. But
Speaker 1: I don't think that scares the Eagles because there's a
Speaker 1: lot of time and it's not like they're going to
Speaker 1: have to put the pall in Jalen Hurts's hand at
Speaker 1: the end of the game if he's injured and defeat
Speaker 1: a Steve Spagnola Steve Spagnola defense who was so smart
Speaker 1: and so good at pressuring late in the game. So
Speaker 1: let's just keep running the ball like it could be
Speaker 1: ten to seven at the end of the first half
Speaker 1: and it still is going to be fine for them.
Speaker 1: So I'll throw a number at you and just are
Speaker 1: a theory. So this team was not the same team
Speaker 1: with Gardner Minshew, and they certainly as a coaching staff,
Speaker 1: don't think they can win if Hurts gets hurt and
Speaker 1: Minshew goes gets Patrick Mahomes like they know that right.
Speaker 1: It's not like Kansas City thinks they can win with
Speaker 1: Chad Any, But I mean Minshoe with this loaded roster
Speaker 1: couldn't win games. So when I look at the over
Speaker 1: under on rushing yards Jalen Hurts forty nine and a half,
Speaker 1: I can see them being conservative with Jalen Hurts and saying, hey, listen,
Speaker 1: we'll run him late if we're forced to, but we're
Speaker 1: not running him early. I can see them being conservative.
Speaker 1: I would probably take And by the way, if they
Speaker 1: did trail rate late, they probably wouldn't run Jalen Hurts anyway,
Speaker 1: So forty nine and a half rushing yards for Jalen Hurts,
Speaker 1: I think I'd take the under. There is that sharper square.
Speaker 1: Most of the props have been pretty much in line
Speaker 1: with what the wise guys think they should be. I
Speaker 1: would say the over is the sharp play again, because
Speaker 1: people are worried about his shoulder, and you pointed it
Speaker 1: out at the start of the show. He just looked
Speaker 1: wibbily on his throws. Right when he was most effective
Speaker 1: in that game against the Niners before it was pretty
Speaker 1: much decided, is when he was running the ball, and
Speaker 1: that's also when he feels more comfortable, and that's how
Speaker 1: you start to loosen up a defense to give yourself
Speaker 1: more opportunities to throw down field when you aren't that
Speaker 1: comfortable with your accuracy because you might be a little
Speaker 1: bit injured. So I lean to the over. But again
Speaker 1: that reveals my hand a little bit, like when I
Speaker 1: go through all of my bets and I'm still trying
Speaker 1: to figure out where do I want to be heavy
Speaker 1: on a side if at all the other bets I've
Speaker 1: made are showing me what I really believe, which is
Speaker 1: I've bet DeVante Smith at thirty one to one to
Speaker 1: win the MVP. I bet Miles Sanders at twenty five
Speaker 1: to one to win the MVP. I bet Miles Sanders
Speaker 1: to lead the game in rushing. I bet the under,
Speaker 1: which plays to a positive game script for the Eagles.
Speaker 1: So everything about me is saying I think I like
Speaker 1: the Eagles in this game. I'm just having a hard
Speaker 1: time pulling the trigger on the side. But same with
Speaker 1: the Jalen Hurts like, I think the Eagles have a
Speaker 1: dominant offensive line and that's going to help him take
Speaker 1: advantage of holes in the defense to gain more than
Speaker 1: forty nine yards, so Kansas City doesn't get blown out
Speaker 1: when they're mostly healthy. I think it's been thirty two
Speaker 1: games since they lost by more than four. You can
Speaker 1: beat them, It's it's the way Buffalo and Cincinnati did.
Speaker 1: You can beat them. It's narrow. A lot of their
Speaker 1: games are closer than you think, even they're wins. They
Speaker 1: at times as great as they are. I always had
Speaker 1: this theory that teams that are brilliant offensively, like the Warriors,
Speaker 1: they know they're brilliant, and it's hard to be urgent
Speaker 1: knowing that you can score twenty eight points in about
Speaker 1: four minutes. Kansas City. It's almost like sometimes they mahomes experiments,
Speaker 1: you know, it's like I try something here, so they're in.
Speaker 1: You know, I don't see Kansas City getting blown out.
Speaker 1: I can see Philadelphia sort of bleeding the clock. And
Speaker 1: I think Miles Sanders could be a really really like that. Like, so,
Speaker 1: what was the line you got on Miles Sanders as MVP.
Speaker 1: That's a that's a smart take bite. I got Miles
Speaker 1: Sanders at twenty five to one to win MVP. That's
Speaker 1: that feels like a you got a that's a good number. Yeah,
Speaker 1: it feels like a great number. I got Miles Sanders
Speaker 1: plus one fifty to lead the game in rushing, and
Speaker 1: you know the flip side is I also bet Travis
Speaker 1: Kelsey sixteen to one to win MVP, and like, these
Speaker 1: are just little flyers, like little darts I'm trying to throw.
Speaker 1: So I'm covering my bases on everything with small bites
Speaker 1: to win big, which is not normally what I would
Speaker 1: do because I just have no feel for the side.
Speaker 1: I just I cannot see the edge in this game
Speaker 1: in any way. Last year, the Bengals were the clear edge,
Speaker 1: right like it was clear they would decide to bet
Speaker 1: on as an underdog. I don't have it for this.
Speaker 1: I just like nobody does. People have an opinion, but
Speaker 1: there's no edge. Your opinion is based on how you
Speaker 1: think the game is going to play, not because the
Speaker 1: math is telling you there's an edge one way or
Speaker 1: the other. Well, I've thought about making Blazing five Blazing four,
Speaker 1: and one of the reasons is I think betters are smarter.
Speaker 1: There's more information, there's more guys like you giving people
Speaker 1: information that when I do Blazing five. I've said before,
Speaker 1: there's two games I love every weekend and one I'm
Speaker 1: pretty sure about, but I called it blazing five. So
Speaker 1: I have to find two other games. Honestly, you know
Speaker 1: what I've you know what I've bet the most on
Speaker 1: so far in the Super Bowl. Not the sides, not
Speaker 1: the totals. I'm going to read you my list here
Speaker 1: I've bet so far. This is my lineup. I've bet on.
Speaker 1: Will both teams kick a field goal of more than
Speaker 1: three three yards? I bet no, And even that, my
Speaker 1: logic plays to the Eagles winning a game. I think
Speaker 1: both coaches are aggressive play callers. I think when they're
Speaker 1: in the red zone and they have an opportunity to score,
Speaker 1: they're gonna go for it on fourth downs. I don't
Speaker 1: think they're gonna take easy field goals. I think when
Speaker 1: they're on the opposite side of the field and it's
Speaker 1: fourth and five from the thirty yard line, they're gonna
Speaker 1: go for it because they know they need to be
Speaker 1: scoring a lot of points in these games. They don't
Speaker 1: value the field goal. Harrison Bucker and this is courtesy
Speaker 1: of Sean Kerner, one of our analysts. Harrison Bucker only
Speaker 1: kicked the thirty three or more field goal in seven
Speaker 1: or fifteen games this year forty seven percent of the time.
Speaker 1: Jake Elliott only did it in thirty three percent of
Speaker 1: his games. I'm like, yeah, and every year, by the way,
Speaker 1: the wise guys they love to bet this field goal prop.
Speaker 1: It has been for twenty years. I have bet this
Speaker 1: field goal prop. It consistently cashes. It's a great So
Speaker 1: the Mahomes factor, you hear this constantly. You just gotta
Speaker 1: go for it when you face Mahomes. But that's also
Speaker 1: to me, it's why I played the under, because, Wow,
Speaker 1: the variants could be massive because they might score more touchdowns.
Speaker 1: They also might score fewer points because they're not going
Speaker 1: for the chip shot field goals, and so there are
Speaker 1: four point opportunities there on a regular basis. I think
Speaker 1: that's the best bet I've heard so far. That's my
Speaker 1: fuck obviously. Well, the Mahomes factor. Mahomes has been so
Speaker 1: great late in so many big TV games. You almost
Speaker 1: seem like anti analytics. If you kick field goals, it's like,
Speaker 1: what are you doing? It's the second quarter you go
Speaker 1: for it. Totally, It's totally true. Here's another one that
Speaker 1: was really fun. This was We talked about this today
Speaker 1: on the Favorites podcast. Over ten and a half penalties,
Speaker 1: So Carl Jeffers, who's calling the game, averages more penalties
Speaker 1: called than just about anybody else. So if you are
Speaker 1: over ten and a half, then you're actually in an
Speaker 1: advantageous position versus otherwise playing the under, and there's value
Speaker 1: on that bet. It's at plus one twenty five right now.
Speaker 1: But that's what's fun about the Super Bowl is like,
Speaker 1: don't forget you don't have to bet the side, like
Speaker 1: you could find five great bets for Blazon five and
Speaker 1: not have to pick a side. Of course, you can't
Speaker 1: do that because you're calling and you get Tom Brady
Speaker 1: on your podcast breaking news, so you can't go on
Speaker 1: there and say, bet over penalties, bet you know, will
Speaker 1: either team kick a field goal of thirty three yards?
Speaker 1: And bet the know you can't bet like will two
Speaker 1: and a half, will over two and a half players
Speaker 1: for a pass in the game. But I'm telling you
Speaker 1: right now, my biggest bets are over two and a
Speaker 1: half play field goals of we'll both teams kick a
Speaker 1: field goal of thirty three yeards at that know, and
Speaker 1: the under right now and Sanders most rushing yards in
Speaker 1: the game. Finally, speaking of Tom Brady. You know what,
Speaker 1: my wife said, she didn't know I was going to
Speaker 1: have Tom Brady on because we don't talk about my business.
Speaker 1: She didn't care about sports. So when she saw that,
Speaker 1: Tom Brady announced that he wasn't going to broadcast until
Speaker 1: twenty twenty four. Take the year off. You know what,
Speaker 1: My adorable wife said, what you say, why don't you
Speaker 1: ask Tom if he wants to intern for a year
Speaker 1: with you and he could figure out the business. And
Speaker 1: I was like, I don't think I'm gonna ask Tom
Speaker 1: Brady if he wants to intern for me. I don't
Speaker 1: know how that would land. I disagree. I think that's
Speaker 1: a it's a brilliant idea. And you know what, I
Speaker 1: might call Tommy and see if he wants to intern
Speaker 1: the Action Network. How much smarter will he be in
Speaker 1: twenty twenty four if he knows everything about how gamblers
Speaker 1: are thinking about the game. Colin, I love this idea.
Speaker 1: Thank your beautiful wife for me. I'm really looking forward
Speaker 1: to this. I'll let you know it. If you need
Speaker 1: to borrow them for like some data entry every once
Speaker 1: in a while for the volume, I'd totally let you
Speaker 1: do it. Okay, I'm gonna give you a score twenty seven,
Speaker 1: twenty three, twenty eight, twenty three Chiefs, twenty eight, twenty
Speaker 1: four Chiefs. I would prefer it to be twenty four
Speaker 1: twenty three because I have the under forty nine and
Speaker 1: a half and I got the Chiefs at plus two
Speaker 1: and a half plus one and a half and the
Speaker 1: Eagles at plus one and a half. So if I
Speaker 1: can get a game that waits on one in either
Speaker 1: way that is under forty nine and a half and
Speaker 1: there's a lot of penalties and Miles Sanders' MVP, I'm Golden.
Speaker 1: Chad Millman Action Network. All odds provided by Fan Duel.
Speaker 1: This was fun, Thanks Buddy, seeing you the volume. Make
Speaker 1: sure to check out The Draymond Green Show. I brought
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