1 00:00:01,240 --> 00:00:08,200 Speaker 1: The volume. It's the Colin Coward Podcast presented by Fan Duel. 2 00:00:08,360 --> 00:00:10,400 Speaker 1: Super Bowls. Here no better place to get it on 3 00:00:10,440 --> 00:00:15,120 Speaker 1: in the action than fan Duel. Awesome exclusive super Bowl 4 00:00:15,120 --> 00:00:20,200 Speaker 1: offers for both new and existing users. FanDuel app is safe, 5 00:00:20,280 --> 00:00:23,120 Speaker 1: You get paid fast, a lot of ways to play 6 00:00:23,200 --> 00:00:27,080 Speaker 1: the spread, the money line, team totals, players, props, a 7 00:00:27,080 --> 00:00:31,320 Speaker 1: lot of stuff over unders, jump into the action, same game. 8 00:00:31,360 --> 00:00:34,159 Speaker 1: Parlays are my favorite. Just use the promo code Colin 9 00:00:34,520 --> 00:00:37,680 Speaker 1: and download the fan Duel app today. Start making every 10 00:00:37,720 --> 00:00:49,800 Speaker 1: moment more during Super Bowl fifty seven, all right, everybody, 11 00:00:50,560 --> 00:00:55,680 Speaker 1: Chad Millman in about eight to ten minutes, sharper square. 12 00:00:56,000 --> 00:01:01,800 Speaker 1: It's really really interesting. He's got a bet a prop. 13 00:01:01,920 --> 00:01:05,160 Speaker 1: And I'm not a big prop fan. He's got a 14 00:01:05,200 --> 00:01:10,200 Speaker 1: field goal prop. I love. I think I'm gonna bet it. 15 00:01:11,080 --> 00:01:15,240 Speaker 1: I want to start with this. Aaron Rodgers announced that 16 00:01:15,920 --> 00:01:20,840 Speaker 1: after the Super Bowl he is going to isolate for 17 00:01:20,880 --> 00:01:26,240 Speaker 1: four days in the dark. He said multiple friends have 18 00:01:26,319 --> 00:01:28,800 Speaker 1: done it in a tiny house, some more probably in 19 00:01:28,840 --> 00:01:34,679 Speaker 1: the woods, where he is going to get as close 20 00:01:34,680 --> 00:01:39,160 Speaker 1: to Aaron Rodgers as he can and that hopefully fundamentally, 21 00:01:39,920 --> 00:01:43,759 Speaker 1: through meditation, through isolation, he will come out with an 22 00:01:43,760 --> 00:01:46,640 Speaker 1: answer on what to do with his life. You know, 23 00:01:46,720 --> 00:01:52,760 Speaker 1: my takeaway is I like meditation. I don't think people, 24 00:01:52,840 --> 00:01:56,480 Speaker 1: as a rule give themselves enough time. We give our 25 00:01:56,480 --> 00:02:00,520 Speaker 1: time to our kids, our spouses, our friends, our job. 26 00:02:00,640 --> 00:02:06,400 Speaker 1: We don't give ourselves enough time to just heal, decompress. 27 00:02:06,440 --> 00:02:09,440 Speaker 1: So I'm a big believer in meditation. I try to 28 00:02:09,480 --> 00:02:11,720 Speaker 1: do it a couple times a week or more. After 29 00:02:11,760 --> 00:02:14,840 Speaker 1: my show, I go into a dark room for about 30 00:02:14,919 --> 00:02:19,720 Speaker 1: forty five minutes and just close my eyes. Sometimes I 31 00:02:19,760 --> 00:02:23,680 Speaker 1: turn on a sleep app sometimes music. Sometimes I just 32 00:02:23,720 --> 00:02:28,160 Speaker 1: close my eyes. I think it's really healthy. Now. The 33 00:02:28,280 --> 00:02:32,720 Speaker 1: messenger Aaron Rodgers is unique. I think a lot of 34 00:02:32,760 --> 00:02:37,080 Speaker 1: people do this. A lot of artists do it, maybe 35 00:02:37,080 --> 00:02:40,720 Speaker 1: not as many farmers, maybe Midwest people think it sounds 36 00:02:40,760 --> 00:02:45,839 Speaker 1: too Hollywood. But it's the strange part. Isn't what he's doing. 37 00:02:45,880 --> 00:02:49,040 Speaker 1: I wouldn't be comfortable for four days in total darkness. 38 00:02:49,960 --> 00:02:51,920 Speaker 1: But I think the strangest part about it he's a 39 00:02:51,960 --> 00:02:55,640 Speaker 1: star quarterback and we're just not accustomed to that. You know, 40 00:02:56,200 --> 00:02:59,640 Speaker 1: we tend to like our athletes. We don't like to 41 00:02:59,680 --> 00:03:02,919 Speaker 1: think of them as lost or trying to find themselves. 42 00:03:04,000 --> 00:03:06,920 Speaker 1: We like them to know where they're going, where they're headed, 43 00:03:07,440 --> 00:03:13,840 Speaker 1: straight ahead, strong, alpha, powerful, and that doesn't mean you 44 00:03:13,919 --> 00:03:18,000 Speaker 1: can't be that if you're Aaron Rodgers and go hide 45 00:03:18,000 --> 00:03:21,400 Speaker 1: for four days. I just think he is a person 46 00:03:22,080 --> 00:03:27,160 Speaker 1: that we don't identify as somebody that would do that. Now, 47 00:03:27,680 --> 00:03:32,320 Speaker 1: I do think Aaron is single, never married, no kids, 48 00:03:32,480 --> 00:03:35,480 Speaker 1: really rich, and as Bill Simmons and I have discussed before, 49 00:03:36,200 --> 00:03:38,600 Speaker 1: I've known people in the media as they get older, 50 00:03:38,840 --> 00:03:43,440 Speaker 1: never married, no kids, get odd and they become the 51 00:03:43,480 --> 00:03:47,440 Speaker 1: center of their universe and it's all about finding themselves 52 00:03:47,480 --> 00:03:53,640 Speaker 1: and about them themselves, me my journey, how do I 53 00:03:53,760 --> 00:03:57,960 Speaker 1: manifest it. It's a little obnoxious, but I think the 54 00:03:58,040 --> 00:04:01,880 Speaker 1: bigger issue here is it's quarterback for an really popular 55 00:04:02,000 --> 00:04:05,960 Speaker 1: NFL team, and it just sounds different and we're not 56 00:04:06,000 --> 00:04:09,640 Speaker 1: really accustomed to it or used to it. So I'm 57 00:04:09,640 --> 00:04:12,360 Speaker 1: all for meditation though, whatever it takes. I just I 58 00:04:12,360 --> 00:04:15,800 Speaker 1: don't think we give enough time to ourselves. You know, 59 00:04:15,840 --> 00:04:17,880 Speaker 1: I see people with four and five kids. They're like 60 00:04:17,920 --> 00:04:21,279 Speaker 1: taxi drivers, they're uber drivers. They're all weekend long. They're 61 00:04:21,279 --> 00:04:23,440 Speaker 1: shuttling their kids to this, They're shuttling their kids to that. 62 00:04:23,480 --> 00:04:28,400 Speaker 1: And my takeaways, when do you give yourself time you don't, 63 00:04:29,360 --> 00:04:31,080 Speaker 1: and so I wish all of us. I think people 64 00:04:31,080 --> 00:04:34,720 Speaker 1: would be happier, less angry if they just chilled out, 65 00:04:34,800 --> 00:04:37,279 Speaker 1: cut their days in half, meditate every day. Now, I 66 00:04:37,320 --> 00:04:39,360 Speaker 1: know that's unrealistic for a lot of people, but it's 67 00:04:39,400 --> 00:04:43,279 Speaker 1: not unrealistic for Aaron Rodgers. You know, he has enough season. 68 00:04:43,839 --> 00:04:46,240 Speaker 1: Even in season, he's you know, you've been doing this 69 00:04:46,279 --> 00:04:48,200 Speaker 1: for a long time. You don't have to teach Aaron 70 00:04:48,240 --> 00:04:50,440 Speaker 1: a lot. He gets a game plan, He comes equipped 71 00:04:50,440 --> 00:04:56,160 Speaker 1: every meeting with institutional knowledge. So it's it sounds kookier 72 00:04:56,800 --> 00:05:01,320 Speaker 1: than it is for young people of financial means. I 73 00:05:01,360 --> 00:05:03,080 Speaker 1: think a lot of people do this. They go on 74 00:05:03,240 --> 00:05:07,200 Speaker 1: journeys and they go on escapes and you know, the 75 00:05:07,240 --> 00:05:11,200 Speaker 1: ayahuasca stuff. I'm in my fifties. That sounds like crazy 76 00:05:11,240 --> 00:05:16,160 Speaker 1: town to me. This married kids career sounds like crazy 77 00:05:16,240 --> 00:05:21,000 Speaker 1: town for me and my life. But people think I 78 00:05:21,040 --> 00:05:22,560 Speaker 1: beat up on Aaron all the time. But he's a 79 00:05:22,560 --> 00:05:25,360 Speaker 1: different cat. That's okay. Not every quarterback is the same. 80 00:05:25,400 --> 00:05:28,240 Speaker 1: Sum are big, summer tall, some run, some don't, summer pocket, 81 00:05:28,279 --> 00:05:32,559 Speaker 1: Some are mobile, and some are ethereal. Some meditate, some don't. 82 00:05:32,880 --> 00:05:37,039 Speaker 1: I mean Russell Wilson's personality is way different than Tom 83 00:05:37,080 --> 00:05:40,560 Speaker 1: Brady and Peyton Manning and Drew Brees and Aaron Rodgers 84 00:05:40,680 --> 00:05:43,000 Speaker 1: is much different than all four of those guys as well. 85 00:05:43,040 --> 00:05:46,560 Speaker 1: It's okay shape sizes personalities. It's okay to be different. 86 00:05:47,160 --> 00:05:50,000 Speaker 1: Odd for me to do it. I mean, I'll be 87 00:05:50,040 --> 00:05:52,159 Speaker 1: honest with you. Not that I'm scared of the dark, 88 00:05:52,240 --> 00:05:56,440 Speaker 1: but I don't think I have to discover much like 89 00:05:56,560 --> 00:05:58,920 Speaker 1: I think I know what I am and where I'm going. 90 00:05:59,600 --> 00:06:04,039 Speaker 1: I think after about three hours, i'd be like, and 91 00:06:04,120 --> 00:06:06,479 Speaker 1: I give myself time. I think i'd be like, all right, 92 00:06:06,520 --> 00:06:08,919 Speaker 1: I'm hungry. I want to go in the light and 93 00:06:08,920 --> 00:06:14,640 Speaker 1: get a yogurt. So I was told by a source 94 00:06:15,600 --> 00:06:18,599 Speaker 1: that i'd trust and have known for a long time, 95 00:06:19,920 --> 00:06:22,760 Speaker 1: somebody that has a lot of connections through the world 96 00:06:22,760 --> 00:06:26,320 Speaker 1: of sports and the world of agents. He's very connected 97 00:06:26,320 --> 00:06:31,640 Speaker 1: to agents that as Laker fans bag on Rob Polinka 98 00:06:31,800 --> 00:06:36,479 Speaker 1: for not pulling the trigger on a Kyrie Irving move, 99 00:06:36,800 --> 00:06:41,840 Speaker 1: that Joe Sigh, the owner of the Brooklyn Nets, was 100 00:06:41,920 --> 00:06:46,480 Speaker 1: so pissed off at Kyrie Irving that he signed him 101 00:06:46,520 --> 00:06:51,240 Speaker 1: to a contract, believed in him, trusted him, committed to him, 102 00:06:51,480 --> 00:06:58,160 Speaker 1: did everything he asked and was so infuriated with Kyrie's 103 00:06:58,320 --> 00:07:03,800 Speaker 1: vaccine stant not playing through injuries, how he had disrupted 104 00:07:03,920 --> 00:07:07,719 Speaker 1: and turned this hardened Kyrie k D situation into a 105 00:07:07,800 --> 00:07:13,320 Speaker 1: mess that he refused. He would not trade Kyrie to 106 00:07:13,400 --> 00:07:17,040 Speaker 1: the Lakers and Lebron, not because he hated the Lakers, 107 00:07:17,720 --> 00:07:21,080 Speaker 1: because he refused to let Kyrie go where he wanted 108 00:07:21,160 --> 00:07:23,119 Speaker 1: to go. He was not going to let it happen. 109 00:07:23,760 --> 00:07:27,000 Speaker 1: And so listen, I've been very hyper critical of the 110 00:07:27,080 --> 00:07:31,280 Speaker 1: Lakers for years. I don't think institutionally they run very well. 111 00:07:31,920 --> 00:07:33,880 Speaker 1: I mean, in the last ten years, nine of them 112 00:07:33,880 --> 00:07:35,720 Speaker 1: they've been bad. And then there was the bubble year, 113 00:07:35,840 --> 00:07:39,920 Speaker 1: which is kind of an outlier odd year that they 114 00:07:40,280 --> 00:07:42,120 Speaker 1: They don't have a lot of assets because they gave 115 00:07:42,200 --> 00:07:44,480 Speaker 1: up a ton when Lebron first got there to get 116 00:07:44,520 --> 00:07:48,520 Speaker 1: a D. Now they gave up KCP and Kuzma, Montrez 117 00:07:48,600 --> 00:07:52,320 Speaker 1: Harald to get Westbrook. They just don't have any assets. 118 00:07:52,800 --> 00:07:55,240 Speaker 1: But this was about Joe si the owner of Brooklyn, 119 00:07:55,600 --> 00:08:00,960 Speaker 1: so ticked off at Kyrie, irving that he didn't care 120 00:08:01,680 --> 00:08:05,160 Speaker 1: he was not going to be a Laker. Listen, this 121 00:08:05,200 --> 00:08:09,600 Speaker 1: stuff happens. Billionaires hold grudges. I just saw the other 122 00:08:09,680 --> 00:08:13,800 Speaker 1: day where the Phoenix Suns have a new owner who 123 00:08:13,800 --> 00:08:17,360 Speaker 1: owns a mortgage company, and everybody voted in favor of 124 00:08:17,400 --> 00:08:20,880 Speaker 1: the new owner, and the Cleveland Cavaliers abstained in voting. 125 00:08:20,920 --> 00:08:25,239 Speaker 1: Why because the Cavaliers owner, Dan Gilbert, owns another mortgage company, 126 00:08:26,240 --> 00:08:29,760 Speaker 1: and so you know it's their rival mortgage companies. So 127 00:08:29,960 --> 00:08:32,600 Speaker 1: it's okay, Like you just have to come to terms 128 00:08:32,600 --> 00:08:37,920 Speaker 1: with Billionaires are aggressive, they can be very territorial, and 129 00:08:38,040 --> 00:08:43,439 Speaker 1: in this instance, I don't blame the owner of the nets. Listen, 130 00:08:43,480 --> 00:08:48,120 Speaker 1: I understand I don't like mandates, even with COVID, I'm 131 00:08:48,200 --> 00:08:50,000 Speaker 1: not a set at one hundred times on the air. 132 00:08:50,080 --> 00:08:52,800 Speaker 1: I'm not a fan of mandates. I think people should 133 00:08:52,800 --> 00:08:55,959 Speaker 1: be able to do with their body what they choose 134 00:08:56,000 --> 00:08:58,880 Speaker 1: to do, even if it's ill advised or misguided. And 135 00:08:58,960 --> 00:09:02,120 Speaker 1: I got the vacks and one booster, I'm done getting 136 00:09:02,160 --> 00:09:04,040 Speaker 1: all of it. I've done it at this point. If 137 00:09:04,040 --> 00:09:06,199 Speaker 1: I get it, I get it. I no longer wear masks. 138 00:09:06,400 --> 00:09:09,440 Speaker 1: I don't think they're hyper effective. So what's the point 139 00:09:09,840 --> 00:09:13,559 Speaker 1: unless I told I have to? But if I hired 140 00:09:13,559 --> 00:09:17,920 Speaker 1: an employee at the volume big compensation, you're part of 141 00:09:17,960 --> 00:09:21,600 Speaker 1: a team and you covered the NFL and you refused 142 00:09:21,600 --> 00:09:25,000 Speaker 1: to work the NFL playoffs, I would be upset. I'd 143 00:09:25,080 --> 00:09:30,000 Speaker 1: probably be semi bidder. And so you can't blame KD 144 00:09:30,280 --> 00:09:32,880 Speaker 1: for this mess. He's been the best player. You can 145 00:09:32,960 --> 00:09:35,320 Speaker 1: blame Hardened for it, but he came in out of 146 00:09:35,360 --> 00:09:37,560 Speaker 1: shape to begin with. So that's sort of on the 147 00:09:37,600 --> 00:09:40,040 Speaker 1: Brooklyn nets. And he had a history of difficult to 148 00:09:40,040 --> 00:09:43,880 Speaker 1: play with. But Kyrie was the fascinating piece because he 149 00:09:43,920 --> 00:09:48,120 Speaker 1: had played so brilliantly at times with Lebron James, and 150 00:09:48,200 --> 00:09:50,640 Speaker 1: though he didn't work as the go to star in 151 00:09:50,800 --> 00:09:53,600 Speaker 1: Boston long term, he was very good as a teammate 152 00:09:53,760 --> 00:09:57,520 Speaker 1: with Lebron James and as a teammate to Kevin Durant. 153 00:09:57,720 --> 00:09:59,480 Speaker 1: You could make the argument it was going to be 154 00:09:59,480 --> 00:10:02,640 Speaker 1: a pretty compelling team in the East. The Hardened thing, 155 00:10:02,880 --> 00:10:05,240 Speaker 1: come on, I wouldn't have made that move. I get it. 156 00:10:05,320 --> 00:10:08,520 Speaker 1: The KD thing, He's been pretty good, hurt, but pretty good, 157 00:10:08,920 --> 00:10:12,040 Speaker 1: great some nights. Kyrie was the essential piece and he 158 00:10:12,080 --> 00:10:16,160 Speaker 1: blew it up. I get it. Like I know, the 159 00:10:16,280 --> 00:10:19,560 Speaker 1: NBA is pro player and I'm okay with that too, 160 00:10:20,520 --> 00:10:25,440 Speaker 1: But there is also a responsibility by the player to 161 00:10:25,679 --> 00:10:29,360 Speaker 1: not have to be a hundred percent to play every night. 162 00:10:29,640 --> 00:10:32,320 Speaker 1: You know, the great Kobe Bryant understood that there's a 163 00:10:32,320 --> 00:10:34,120 Speaker 1: lot of kids. It's their only time they're going to 164 00:10:34,160 --> 00:10:37,040 Speaker 1: see you this year, the next year. And I think 165 00:10:37,120 --> 00:10:43,040 Speaker 1: Kyrie the criticism he's received as completely utterly justified. And 166 00:10:43,160 --> 00:10:45,800 Speaker 1: you can't blame KD. He's been mostly great. And you 167 00:10:45,840 --> 00:10:48,160 Speaker 1: can't blame Harden because he came in out of shape 168 00:10:48,160 --> 00:10:50,360 Speaker 1: to begin with, and we knew his history. He couldn't 169 00:10:50,360 --> 00:10:54,120 Speaker 1: play with people right. Kyrie did play very well with 170 00:10:54,200 --> 00:10:56,520 Speaker 1: Lebron and they put a lot of trust in him, 171 00:10:56,559 --> 00:11:00,559 Speaker 1: and he blew it up. Owners pissed. You're not going 172 00:11:00,600 --> 00:11:02,719 Speaker 1: to the Lakers and you're not going to play with 173 00:11:02,800 --> 00:11:08,120 Speaker 1: le Braun period this year. The only app you need 174 00:11:08,120 --> 00:11:11,199 Speaker 1: it your Super Bowl party is FanDuel, America's number one 175 00:11:11,240 --> 00:11:14,560 Speaker 1: sports book. Okay, right now download FanDuel, use the promo 176 00:11:14,600 --> 00:11:18,160 Speaker 1: code columns C L I N. You can bet Super 177 00:11:18,200 --> 00:11:22,120 Speaker 1: Bowl fifty seven with a no sweat first bet. 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Or text Hope n Y 201 00:12:33,200 --> 00:12:35,040 Speaker 1: for six seven three six nine In New York, tennessee 202 00:12:35,040 --> 00:12:37,400 Speaker 1: Redline one hundred eight eight nine nine seven eight nine 203 00:12:37,400 --> 00:12:40,160 Speaker 1: Tennessee visit one eight hundred gamble dot in West Virginia, 204 00:12:42,679 --> 00:12:47,120 Speaker 1: Let's bring in Chad Millman, Sharper Square Ceco Action Network. 205 00:12:47,400 --> 00:12:52,360 Speaker 1: All odds provided by FanDuel. So the E goals minus 206 00:12:52,440 --> 00:12:54,360 Speaker 1: one and a half of the favorite. So I'm gonna 207 00:12:54,440 --> 00:12:57,440 Speaker 1: lay out who I like and why and I and 208 00:12:57,559 --> 00:13:01,480 Speaker 1: I say this with no real conviction because I think 209 00:13:01,520 --> 00:13:06,240 Speaker 1: it's a cliche. Now Philadelphia's got more good players, but 210 00:13:06,320 --> 00:13:10,280 Speaker 1: I get Andy Reid and mahomes off a bye, virtually unbeatable. 211 00:13:11,000 --> 00:13:13,319 Speaker 1: But I'm gonna throw this out because I really felt 212 00:13:13,320 --> 00:13:16,640 Speaker 1: strongly about Philadelphia early. But I don't want to outthink 213 00:13:16,640 --> 00:13:19,439 Speaker 1: the room. But you do get more information that Warren 214 00:13:19,679 --> 00:13:24,640 Speaker 1: Sharp on social media today put out a graph of 215 00:13:24,800 --> 00:13:31,520 Speaker 1: Jalen Hurts pre injury and Jalen Hurts post injury. Post injury, 216 00:13:32,000 --> 00:13:35,440 Speaker 1: he throws no deep balls and nothing to the right. 217 00:13:36,320 --> 00:13:39,480 Speaker 1: Steve Spagnola has been in this game for two decades 218 00:13:39,600 --> 00:13:43,319 Speaker 1: or more. He knows exactly that before I saw it. 219 00:13:43,840 --> 00:13:48,040 Speaker 1: So Hurts is not the same player. He is not 220 00:13:48,240 --> 00:13:52,200 Speaker 1: MVP Hurts. He is hurt and limited. Jalen Hurts. I 221 00:13:52,200 --> 00:13:55,920 Speaker 1: thought against the Niners he had no touch. The short 222 00:13:56,000 --> 00:13:59,280 Speaker 1: stuff was low, the deep stuff was long. I thought 223 00:13:59,320 --> 00:14:02,839 Speaker 1: he played really poorly. Now the Niners defense has a 224 00:14:02,880 --> 00:14:05,439 Speaker 1: lot of say in that, but he was absolutely off 225 00:14:06,000 --> 00:14:09,360 Speaker 1: or as I thought, Mahomes with a severe injury looked great. 226 00:14:09,960 --> 00:14:11,839 Speaker 1: So you know, rest is that. You know, I thought 227 00:14:11,840 --> 00:14:15,319 Speaker 1: he looked fantastic, mostly against Cincinnati. So as we get 228 00:14:15,360 --> 00:14:19,240 Speaker 1: closer to the game, I think to myself, am I 229 00:14:19,320 --> 00:14:22,040 Speaker 1: gonna bet against Andy Reid and to buy with Mahomes 230 00:14:22,080 --> 00:14:25,400 Speaker 1: against a quarterback who could be planted about seventy percent? 231 00:14:26,640 --> 00:14:30,640 Speaker 1: It's hard, you know. I like dogs. I'd probably take 232 00:14:30,760 --> 00:14:37,000 Speaker 1: Kansas City in the points. Sharper Square remains to be seen, Colin, 233 00:14:37,720 --> 00:14:40,880 Speaker 1: because of what you just said. I'm not trying to waffle. 234 00:14:41,360 --> 00:14:45,280 Speaker 1: It's a really interesting game, but wise guys came all 235 00:14:45,360 --> 00:14:48,200 Speaker 1: in on the Eagles as soon as this line opened. 236 00:14:48,560 --> 00:14:51,840 Speaker 1: The line opened Eagles plus one and a half for 237 00:14:51,960 --> 00:14:56,000 Speaker 1: the record. Sunday night, sitting on my couch, here in Connecticut, 238 00:14:56,120 --> 00:14:59,200 Speaker 1: you remember beautiful West Herford. I go into my phone, 239 00:14:59,600 --> 00:15:02,720 Speaker 1: I'm a fan to a lap. I bet the Eagles 240 00:15:02,880 --> 00:15:07,160 Speaker 1: plus one and a half. Fifteen minutes later it's Kansas 241 00:15:07,160 --> 00:15:10,200 Speaker 1: City plus two and a half. All the money came 242 00:15:10,280 --> 00:15:14,560 Speaker 1: in on the Eagles. It's pretty much settled down. Like 243 00:15:14,600 --> 00:15:16,640 Speaker 1: it got up to two. Is that two? For four 244 00:15:16,720 --> 00:15:19,360 Speaker 1: or five days? Now it's at one and a half. Wise, 245 00:15:19,360 --> 00:15:23,280 Speaker 1: guys brought back a little on Kansas City. The recommendation 246 00:15:23,320 --> 00:15:25,800 Speaker 1: I would give if you want to bet the Eagles, 247 00:15:27,080 --> 00:15:29,160 Speaker 1: give it a few days because over the next four 248 00:15:29,240 --> 00:15:31,800 Speaker 1: or five days that is when the public is going 249 00:15:31,840 --> 00:15:34,280 Speaker 1: to come in on Kansas City. That is what books 250 00:15:34,280 --> 00:15:36,640 Speaker 1: are expecting. You'll be able to get the Eagles at 251 00:15:36,880 --> 00:15:39,880 Speaker 1: minus one pick whatever it is. You won't get them 252 00:15:39,880 --> 00:15:41,520 Speaker 1: at his Dog again, but you'll get them at pick. 253 00:15:42,120 --> 00:15:44,560 Speaker 1: So if you like the Eagles, wait a few minutes. 254 00:15:44,600 --> 00:15:47,680 Speaker 1: If you like the Chiefs, take them now. You're going 255 00:15:47,720 --> 00:15:50,000 Speaker 1: to get both sides of it that. I've heard more 256 00:15:50,400 --> 00:15:55,280 Speaker 1: professionals liking the Eagles because of the roster that you 257 00:15:55,400 --> 00:15:58,880 Speaker 1: just talked about, but they are all very wary right 258 00:15:58,880 --> 00:16:02,320 Speaker 1: now that theber his stateward is that it hasn't gone 259 00:16:02,360 --> 00:16:05,880 Speaker 1: back up to two because they're waiting. They're waiting to 260 00:16:05,920 --> 00:16:08,680 Speaker 1: see how Jalen Hurts performs and practices over the week. 261 00:16:09,000 --> 00:16:12,680 Speaker 1: And until that happens, every bet I'm making is about 262 00:16:12,720 --> 00:16:17,440 Speaker 1: something else. It's about total, it's about MVP. It's about 263 00:16:17,600 --> 00:16:22,840 Speaker 1: rushing props. It's player props, it's officiating props. It's everything 264 00:16:22,840 --> 00:16:25,240 Speaker 1: but decide because it's really hard to handicap it. Right now, 265 00:16:26,360 --> 00:16:30,120 Speaker 1: I would probably take thee over, and again, I generally 266 00:16:30,120 --> 00:16:33,560 Speaker 1: like dogs and unders because the masses take thee over. 267 00:16:33,640 --> 00:16:40,240 Speaker 1: But fifty and a half, I think my takeaway is Philadelphia, 268 00:16:40,360 --> 00:16:43,440 Speaker 1: since they're such a hot starting team at one point, 269 00:16:43,480 --> 00:16:46,680 Speaker 1: could lead in this game, and that means Mahomes will 270 00:16:46,680 --> 00:16:49,960 Speaker 1: throw more. In fact, I think Mahomes will throw over 271 00:16:50,040 --> 00:16:52,840 Speaker 1: forty times a game. He can go deep, he can 272 00:16:52,880 --> 00:16:55,920 Speaker 1: go seem, he can go short, they can go clever. 273 00:16:56,480 --> 00:17:00,080 Speaker 1: Andy read by fifty and a half seems like a 274 00:17:00,120 --> 00:17:04,360 Speaker 1: reasonable over bet to me. Sharper square, totally sharp. That's 275 00:17:04,359 --> 00:17:07,760 Speaker 1: what the sharps are doing. The money has been coming 276 00:17:07,800 --> 00:17:11,000 Speaker 1: in on the over. It was at fifty for about 277 00:17:11,040 --> 00:17:14,520 Speaker 1: fifteen seconds on Sunday Night, got bet down to forty nine. 278 00:17:14,560 --> 00:17:17,240 Speaker 1: And a half and since then the money has all 279 00:17:17,240 --> 00:17:19,679 Speaker 1: been on the over all professional money. You know, for 280 00:17:19,720 --> 00:17:23,879 Speaker 1: the Super Bowl. Early money is professional money because the 281 00:17:23,920 --> 00:17:27,919 Speaker 1: public there's so much build up. It really comes to 282 00:17:27,960 --> 00:17:31,879 Speaker 1: a crescendo as you get into Friday, Saturday, Sunday. So 283 00:17:32,480 --> 00:17:34,520 Speaker 1: this number has moved from forty nine and a half 284 00:17:34,840 --> 00:17:37,760 Speaker 1: back to fifty fifty and a half fifty one. It 285 00:17:37,840 --> 00:17:39,840 Speaker 1: will get to fifty one and a half fifty two 286 00:17:40,240 --> 00:17:42,880 Speaker 1: by the game. I think at fifty two is when 287 00:17:42,880 --> 00:17:45,880 Speaker 1: wise guys are going to start buying the under. Most 288 00:17:45,920 --> 00:17:49,000 Speaker 1: of them haven't power rated about fifty one fifty one 289 00:17:49,000 --> 00:17:51,480 Speaker 1: and a half, so they're still they're still buying a 290 00:17:51,520 --> 00:17:54,760 Speaker 1: little bit of the over. I'm gonna say this. I'm 291 00:17:54,760 --> 00:17:57,480 Speaker 1: gonna say one thing. I bet the under. And i 292 00:17:57,520 --> 00:17:59,200 Speaker 1: know I'm on the wrong side of this, like from 293 00:17:59,200 --> 00:18:02,640 Speaker 1: a professional perspective, but it speaks to how you think 294 00:18:02,640 --> 00:18:07,560 Speaker 1: about the game. The Eagles have the best sack rate 295 00:18:07,600 --> 00:18:10,520 Speaker 1: in the NFL, the best pressure rate in the NFL. 296 00:18:10,960 --> 00:18:15,199 Speaker 1: They are elite against number one receivers. They have an 297 00:18:15,200 --> 00:18:19,439 Speaker 1: offensive line that has two Hall of Famers and is 298 00:18:19,480 --> 00:18:23,040 Speaker 1: a dominant rush game. If you like the Eagles here, 299 00:18:23,400 --> 00:18:25,560 Speaker 1: then you have to think about the fact the game 300 00:18:25,600 --> 00:18:27,840 Speaker 1: script is going to and Jalen Hurst's maybe heart. So 301 00:18:27,880 --> 00:18:30,199 Speaker 1: you have to think about the fact, are they going 302 00:18:30,240 --> 00:18:33,480 Speaker 1: to dominate the Chiefs offensive line? Are they going to 303 00:18:33,560 --> 00:18:35,879 Speaker 1: dominate the Chiefs defensive line? Are they going to control 304 00:18:35,920 --> 00:18:38,639 Speaker 1: the ball? Are they going to keep Patrick Mahomes off 305 00:18:38,680 --> 00:18:43,760 Speaker 1: the field. All that to me says you take the under, 306 00:18:43,840 --> 00:18:46,560 Speaker 1: And I can't understand why the professionals love the over 307 00:18:46,560 --> 00:18:52,359 Speaker 1: as much as they do. Sometimes I feel strongly about 308 00:18:52,400 --> 00:18:55,560 Speaker 1: the way a game will look Georgia TCU. I thought 309 00:18:55,600 --> 00:18:58,840 Speaker 1: TCU emptied the emotional bag against Michigan. I thought they'd 310 00:18:58,840 --> 00:19:01,520 Speaker 1: get crushed against Georgia and they did. That one was 311 00:19:01,600 --> 00:19:05,639 Speaker 1: easy to read. College is often easier. I do feel 312 00:19:05,760 --> 00:19:11,199 Speaker 1: something though about this game. If you're Andy Reid, you 313 00:19:12,240 --> 00:19:17,440 Speaker 1: Philadelphia has trailed rarely. They've been They've been in close 314 00:19:17,520 --> 00:19:21,840 Speaker 1: games infrequently, even their playoff games or routes. So if 315 00:19:21,840 --> 00:19:24,919 Speaker 1: I'm Andy Reid with two weeks, I win the coin flip, 316 00:19:25,280 --> 00:19:29,479 Speaker 1: I take it. I want to score first. I also 317 00:19:30,200 --> 00:19:33,840 Speaker 1: my fear if I'm Andy Reid, is they bleed us. 318 00:19:34,160 --> 00:19:36,280 Speaker 1: They run the ball we can't stop, and Mahomes sits 319 00:19:36,280 --> 00:19:39,639 Speaker 1: on the bench, so I can see Kansas City going, 320 00:19:40,200 --> 00:19:43,600 Speaker 1: We're gonna unload some exotics early. We're gonna we want 321 00:19:43,600 --> 00:19:47,360 Speaker 1: to play with the lead. Now, Mahomes leading or trailing 322 00:19:47,440 --> 00:19:49,800 Speaker 1: is the same quarterback. The numbers show you it's he. 323 00:19:50,000 --> 00:19:53,200 Speaker 1: That's why he's the best. A score is irrelevant, it's 324 00:19:53,240 --> 00:19:57,320 Speaker 1: not irrelevant. Jalen Hurts playing behind doesn't feel like the 325 00:19:57,359 --> 00:20:03,399 Speaker 1: same quarterback playing with a lead. So the first half spread. 326 00:20:03,720 --> 00:20:08,399 Speaker 1: I believe Kansas City feels it's essential to play in front, 327 00:20:09,480 --> 00:20:13,520 Speaker 1: so Philadelphia cannot lean on a profound running game. Kansas 328 00:20:13,520 --> 00:20:15,440 Speaker 1: City's running game is hit and miss. I don't think 329 00:20:15,440 --> 00:20:19,080 Speaker 1: Philadelphia feels like if we don't get a lead, we 330 00:20:19,160 --> 00:20:21,879 Speaker 1: have to alter the way we play. So that makes 331 00:20:21,920 --> 00:20:26,160 Speaker 1: me feel like Kansas City will be dynamic early in 332 00:20:26,200 --> 00:20:29,240 Speaker 1: this game. Is there any line or any belief by 333 00:20:29,240 --> 00:20:33,520 Speaker 1: the Sharps that justify my feeling. Well, the Sharps like 334 00:20:33,680 --> 00:20:37,000 Speaker 1: the Eagles in the first half. They like the Eagles 335 00:20:37,000 --> 00:20:39,600 Speaker 1: on the money line in the first half. They like 336 00:20:39,720 --> 00:20:43,480 Speaker 1: the Eagles as short favorites. About minus one and a 337 00:20:43,560 --> 00:20:46,000 Speaker 1: half is some of the numbers I'm seeing right now. 338 00:20:46,040 --> 00:20:47,800 Speaker 1: You can get them at you can get the Eagles 339 00:20:47,840 --> 00:20:51,280 Speaker 1: at minus a half in the first half. The truth 340 00:20:51,400 --> 00:20:54,480 Speaker 1: is the Eagles are a dominant first half team, and 341 00:20:54,480 --> 00:20:56,199 Speaker 1: they're even better in the second quarter than they are 342 00:20:56,200 --> 00:20:59,640 Speaker 1: in the first quarter. And in sixteen wins this year, 343 00:21:00,200 --> 00:21:03,480 Speaker 1: they were ahead in the first half in fourteen to them. 344 00:21:03,760 --> 00:21:07,760 Speaker 1: So the game script, I agree with you. The Chiefs 345 00:21:07,760 --> 00:21:10,040 Speaker 1: get the ball, the Chiefs win the toss. They got 346 00:21:10,040 --> 00:21:12,960 Speaker 1: to get the ball and they got to score. But 347 00:21:13,040 --> 00:21:15,879 Speaker 1: I don't think that scares the Eagles because there's a 348 00:21:15,920 --> 00:21:17,760 Speaker 1: lot of time and it's not like they're going to 349 00:21:17,840 --> 00:21:20,159 Speaker 1: have to put the pall in Jalen Hurts's hand at 350 00:21:20,200 --> 00:21:23,960 Speaker 1: the end of the game if he's injured and defeat 351 00:21:24,080 --> 00:21:30,119 Speaker 1: a Steve Spagnola Steve Spagnola defense who was so smart 352 00:21:30,160 --> 00:21:32,560 Speaker 1: and so good at pressuring late in the game. So 353 00:21:32,640 --> 00:21:34,840 Speaker 1: let's just keep running the ball like it could be 354 00:21:35,119 --> 00:21:36,760 Speaker 1: ten to seven at the end of the first half 355 00:21:36,760 --> 00:21:38,600 Speaker 1: and it still is going to be fine for them. 356 00:21:39,160 --> 00:21:42,720 Speaker 1: So I'll throw a number at you and just are 357 00:21:42,720 --> 00:21:46,639 Speaker 1: a theory. So this team was not the same team 358 00:21:46,640 --> 00:21:50,240 Speaker 1: with Gardner Minshew, and they certainly as a coaching staff, 359 00:21:50,320 --> 00:21:53,480 Speaker 1: don't think they can win if Hurts gets hurt and 360 00:21:53,600 --> 00:21:56,800 Speaker 1: Minshew goes gets Patrick Mahomes like they know that right. 361 00:21:57,760 --> 00:21:59,560 Speaker 1: It's not like Kansas City thinks they can win with 362 00:21:59,680 --> 00:22:06,119 Speaker 1: Chad Any, But I mean Minshoe with this loaded roster 363 00:22:06,480 --> 00:22:09,520 Speaker 1: couldn't win games. So when I look at the over 364 00:22:09,680 --> 00:22:12,600 Speaker 1: under on rushing yards Jalen Hurts forty nine and a half, 365 00:22:12,880 --> 00:22:17,560 Speaker 1: I can see them being conservative with Jalen Hurts and saying, hey, listen, 366 00:22:18,400 --> 00:22:22,760 Speaker 1: we'll run him late if we're forced to, but we're 367 00:22:22,840 --> 00:22:26,520 Speaker 1: not running him early. I can see them being conservative. 368 00:22:26,600 --> 00:22:29,000 Speaker 1: I would probably take And by the way, if they 369 00:22:29,040 --> 00:22:32,640 Speaker 1: did trail rate late, they probably wouldn't run Jalen Hurts anyway, 370 00:22:33,080 --> 00:22:36,560 Speaker 1: So forty nine and a half rushing yards for Jalen Hurts, 371 00:22:36,600 --> 00:22:40,240 Speaker 1: I think I'd take the under. There is that sharper square. 372 00:22:41,920 --> 00:22:44,119 Speaker 1: Most of the props have been pretty much in line 373 00:22:44,160 --> 00:22:47,879 Speaker 1: with what the wise guys think they should be. I 374 00:22:47,880 --> 00:22:52,639 Speaker 1: would say the over is the sharp play again, because 375 00:22:52,680 --> 00:22:55,159 Speaker 1: people are worried about his shoulder, and you pointed it 376 00:22:55,200 --> 00:22:57,120 Speaker 1: out at the start of the show. He just looked 377 00:22:57,160 --> 00:23:00,560 Speaker 1: wibbily on his throws. Right when he was most effective 378 00:23:01,119 --> 00:23:03,600 Speaker 1: in that game against the Niners before it was pretty 379 00:23:03,680 --> 00:23:06,600 Speaker 1: much decided, is when he was running the ball, and 380 00:23:06,640 --> 00:23:09,400 Speaker 1: that's also when he feels more comfortable, and that's how 381 00:23:09,440 --> 00:23:12,000 Speaker 1: you start to loosen up a defense to give yourself 382 00:23:12,000 --> 00:23:14,919 Speaker 1: more opportunities to throw down field when you aren't that 383 00:23:15,000 --> 00:23:17,600 Speaker 1: comfortable with your accuracy because you might be a little 384 00:23:17,600 --> 00:23:20,960 Speaker 1: bit injured. So I lean to the over. But again 385 00:23:23,560 --> 00:23:25,800 Speaker 1: that reveals my hand a little bit, like when I 386 00:23:25,840 --> 00:23:29,280 Speaker 1: go through all of my bets and I'm still trying 387 00:23:29,320 --> 00:23:31,440 Speaker 1: to figure out where do I want to be heavy 388 00:23:31,440 --> 00:23:34,360 Speaker 1: on a side if at all the other bets I've 389 00:23:34,400 --> 00:23:38,679 Speaker 1: made are showing me what I really believe, which is 390 00:23:38,920 --> 00:23:41,639 Speaker 1: I've bet DeVante Smith at thirty one to one to 391 00:23:41,680 --> 00:23:44,800 Speaker 1: win the MVP. I bet Miles Sanders at twenty five 392 00:23:44,840 --> 00:23:47,600 Speaker 1: to one to win the MVP. I bet Miles Sanders 393 00:23:47,640 --> 00:23:51,240 Speaker 1: to lead the game in rushing. I bet the under, 394 00:23:51,400 --> 00:23:55,200 Speaker 1: which plays to a positive game script for the Eagles. 395 00:23:56,000 --> 00:23:59,679 Speaker 1: So everything about me is saying I think I like 396 00:23:59,760 --> 00:24:01,960 Speaker 1: the Eagles in this game. I'm just having a hard 397 00:24:01,960 --> 00:24:04,000 Speaker 1: time pulling the trigger on the side. But same with 398 00:24:04,040 --> 00:24:06,560 Speaker 1: the Jalen Hurts like, I think the Eagles have a 399 00:24:06,600 --> 00:24:08,479 Speaker 1: dominant offensive line and that's going to help him take 400 00:24:08,480 --> 00:24:11,479 Speaker 1: advantage of holes in the defense to gain more than 401 00:24:11,480 --> 00:24:15,639 Speaker 1: forty nine yards, so Kansas City doesn't get blown out 402 00:24:15,680 --> 00:24:18,120 Speaker 1: when they're mostly healthy. I think it's been thirty two 403 00:24:18,160 --> 00:24:22,600 Speaker 1: games since they lost by more than four. You can 404 00:24:22,640 --> 00:24:26,720 Speaker 1: beat them, It's it's the way Buffalo and Cincinnati did. 405 00:24:26,800 --> 00:24:29,720 Speaker 1: You can beat them. It's narrow. A lot of their 406 00:24:29,720 --> 00:24:32,479 Speaker 1: games are closer than you think, even they're wins. They 407 00:24:34,640 --> 00:24:37,440 Speaker 1: at times as great as they are. I always had 408 00:24:37,440 --> 00:24:40,840 Speaker 1: this theory that teams that are brilliant offensively, like the Warriors, 409 00:24:41,760 --> 00:24:45,159 Speaker 1: they know they're brilliant, and it's hard to be urgent 410 00:24:45,800 --> 00:24:48,159 Speaker 1: knowing that you can score twenty eight points in about 411 00:24:48,160 --> 00:24:53,520 Speaker 1: four minutes. Kansas City. It's almost like sometimes they mahomes experiments, 412 00:24:53,640 --> 00:24:57,919 Speaker 1: you know, it's like I try something here, so they're in. 413 00:24:58,440 --> 00:25:01,000 Speaker 1: You know, I don't see Kansas City getting blown out. 414 00:25:01,119 --> 00:25:04,840 Speaker 1: I can see Philadelphia sort of bleeding the clock. And 415 00:25:05,000 --> 00:25:10,000 Speaker 1: I think Miles Sanders could be a really really like that. Like, so, 416 00:25:10,040 --> 00:25:12,480 Speaker 1: what was the line you got on Miles Sanders as MVP. 417 00:25:12,600 --> 00:25:15,119 Speaker 1: That's a that's a smart take bite. I got Miles 418 00:25:15,119 --> 00:25:18,880 Speaker 1: Sanders at twenty five to one to win MVP. That's 419 00:25:19,240 --> 00:25:22,200 Speaker 1: that feels like a you got a that's a good number. Yeah, 420 00:25:22,280 --> 00:25:25,160 Speaker 1: it feels like a great number. I got Miles Sanders 421 00:25:25,160 --> 00:25:29,159 Speaker 1: plus one fifty to lead the game in rushing, and 422 00:25:30,600 --> 00:25:32,280 Speaker 1: you know the flip side is I also bet Travis 423 00:25:32,359 --> 00:25:36,240 Speaker 1: Kelsey sixteen to one to win MVP, and like, these 424 00:25:36,280 --> 00:25:39,040 Speaker 1: are just little flyers, like little darts I'm trying to throw. 425 00:25:39,640 --> 00:25:43,520 Speaker 1: So I'm covering my bases on everything with small bites 426 00:25:43,640 --> 00:25:45,760 Speaker 1: to win big, which is not normally what I would 427 00:25:45,800 --> 00:25:49,560 Speaker 1: do because I just have no feel for the side. 428 00:25:49,640 --> 00:25:55,160 Speaker 1: I just I cannot see the edge in this game 429 00:25:55,200 --> 00:25:58,600 Speaker 1: in any way. Last year, the Bengals were the clear edge, 430 00:25:58,920 --> 00:26:01,880 Speaker 1: right like it was clear they would decide to bet 431 00:26:01,920 --> 00:26:05,479 Speaker 1: on as an underdog. I don't have it for this. 432 00:26:05,600 --> 00:26:09,880 Speaker 1: I just like nobody does. People have an opinion, but 433 00:26:10,080 --> 00:26:12,639 Speaker 1: there's no edge. Your opinion is based on how you 434 00:26:12,680 --> 00:26:14,320 Speaker 1: think the game is going to play, not because the 435 00:26:14,440 --> 00:26:17,000 Speaker 1: math is telling you there's an edge one way or 436 00:26:17,080 --> 00:26:21,760 Speaker 1: the other. Well, I've thought about making Blazing five Blazing four, 437 00:26:21,880 --> 00:26:24,800 Speaker 1: and one of the reasons is I think betters are smarter. 438 00:26:24,920 --> 00:26:27,920 Speaker 1: There's more information, there's more guys like you giving people 439 00:26:27,960 --> 00:26:31,680 Speaker 1: information that when I do Blazing five. I've said before, 440 00:26:31,760 --> 00:26:34,400 Speaker 1: there's two games I love every weekend and one I'm 441 00:26:34,400 --> 00:26:37,399 Speaker 1: pretty sure about, but I called it blazing five. So 442 00:26:37,480 --> 00:26:42,080 Speaker 1: I have to find two other games. Honestly, you know 443 00:26:42,160 --> 00:26:43,800 Speaker 1: what I've you know what I've bet the most on 444 00:26:44,280 --> 00:26:48,120 Speaker 1: so far in the Super Bowl. Not the sides, not 445 00:26:48,160 --> 00:26:50,040 Speaker 1: the totals. I'm going to read you my list here 446 00:26:50,359 --> 00:26:55,080 Speaker 1: I've bet so far. This is my lineup. I've bet on. 447 00:26:56,119 --> 00:26:59,720 Speaker 1: Will both teams kick a field goal of more than 448 00:26:59,760 --> 00:27:04,040 Speaker 1: three three yards? I bet no, And even that, my 449 00:27:04,200 --> 00:27:07,960 Speaker 1: logic plays to the Eagles winning a game. I think 450 00:27:08,000 --> 00:27:11,960 Speaker 1: both coaches are aggressive play callers. I think when they're 451 00:27:12,000 --> 00:27:15,000 Speaker 1: in the red zone and they have an opportunity to score, 452 00:27:15,440 --> 00:27:17,520 Speaker 1: they're gonna go for it on fourth downs. I don't 453 00:27:17,560 --> 00:27:20,160 Speaker 1: think they're gonna take easy field goals. I think when 454 00:27:20,160 --> 00:27:22,520 Speaker 1: they're on the opposite side of the field and it's 455 00:27:22,560 --> 00:27:26,640 Speaker 1: fourth and five from the thirty yard line, they're gonna 456 00:27:26,680 --> 00:27:29,439 Speaker 1: go for it because they know they need to be 457 00:27:29,560 --> 00:27:32,280 Speaker 1: scoring a lot of points in these games. They don't 458 00:27:32,320 --> 00:27:35,280 Speaker 1: value the field goal. Harrison Bucker and this is courtesy 459 00:27:35,280 --> 00:27:39,040 Speaker 1: of Sean Kerner, one of our analysts. Harrison Bucker only 460 00:27:39,119 --> 00:27:42,280 Speaker 1: kicked the thirty three or more field goal in seven 461 00:27:42,400 --> 00:27:44,920 Speaker 1: or fifteen games this year forty seven percent of the time. 462 00:27:45,280 --> 00:27:47,359 Speaker 1: Jake Elliott only did it in thirty three percent of 463 00:27:47,359 --> 00:27:50,280 Speaker 1: his games. I'm like, yeah, and every year, by the way, 464 00:27:50,320 --> 00:27:53,840 Speaker 1: the wise guys they love to bet this field goal prop. 465 00:27:53,960 --> 00:27:56,400 Speaker 1: It has been for twenty years. I have bet this 466 00:27:56,480 --> 00:28:00,080 Speaker 1: field goal prop. It consistently cashes. It's a great So 467 00:28:02,040 --> 00:28:05,600 Speaker 1: the Mahomes factor, you hear this constantly. You just gotta 468 00:28:05,640 --> 00:28:08,320 Speaker 1: go for it when you face Mahomes. But that's also 469 00:28:08,359 --> 00:28:12,680 Speaker 1: to me, it's why I played the under, because, Wow, 470 00:28:13,080 --> 00:28:16,800 Speaker 1: the variants could be massive because they might score more touchdowns. 471 00:28:17,400 --> 00:28:21,440 Speaker 1: They also might score fewer points because they're not going 472 00:28:21,480 --> 00:28:23,520 Speaker 1: for the chip shot field goals, and so there are 473 00:28:23,520 --> 00:28:27,200 Speaker 1: four point opportunities there on a regular basis. I think 474 00:28:27,240 --> 00:28:30,600 Speaker 1: that's the best bet I've heard so far. That's my 475 00:28:30,680 --> 00:28:35,640 Speaker 1: fuck obviously. Well, the Mahomes factor. Mahomes has been so 476 00:28:35,840 --> 00:28:40,200 Speaker 1: great late in so many big TV games. You almost 477 00:28:40,280 --> 00:28:43,760 Speaker 1: seem like anti analytics. If you kick field goals, it's like, 478 00:28:43,760 --> 00:28:45,719 Speaker 1: what are you doing? It's the second quarter you go 479 00:28:45,920 --> 00:28:49,560 Speaker 1: for it. Totally, It's totally true. Here's another one that 480 00:28:49,640 --> 00:28:52,960 Speaker 1: was really fun. This was We talked about this today 481 00:28:52,960 --> 00:28:57,720 Speaker 1: on the Favorites podcast. Over ten and a half penalties, 482 00:28:58,160 --> 00:29:04,120 Speaker 1: So Carl Jeffers, who's calling the game, averages more penalties 483 00:29:04,160 --> 00:29:07,920 Speaker 1: called than just about anybody else. So if you are 484 00:29:08,120 --> 00:29:11,040 Speaker 1: over ten and a half, then you're actually in an 485 00:29:11,080 --> 00:29:17,680 Speaker 1: advantageous position versus otherwise playing the under, and there's value 486 00:29:17,680 --> 00:29:20,360 Speaker 1: on that bet. It's at plus one twenty five right now. 487 00:29:21,960 --> 00:29:23,720 Speaker 1: But that's what's fun about the Super Bowl is like, 488 00:29:24,600 --> 00:29:28,280 Speaker 1: don't forget you don't have to bet the side, like 489 00:29:28,480 --> 00:29:32,680 Speaker 1: you could find five great bets for Blazon five and 490 00:29:32,840 --> 00:29:35,680 Speaker 1: not have to pick a side. Of course, you can't 491 00:29:35,720 --> 00:29:38,720 Speaker 1: do that because you're calling and you get Tom Brady 492 00:29:38,760 --> 00:29:41,080 Speaker 1: on your podcast breaking news, so you can't go on 493 00:29:41,160 --> 00:29:45,320 Speaker 1: there and say, bet over penalties, bet you know, will 494 00:29:45,400 --> 00:29:47,560 Speaker 1: either team kick a field goal of thirty three yards? 495 00:29:47,600 --> 00:29:51,240 Speaker 1: And bet the know you can't bet like will two 496 00:29:51,280 --> 00:29:53,240 Speaker 1: and a half, will over two and a half players 497 00:29:53,360 --> 00:29:55,560 Speaker 1: for a pass in the game. But I'm telling you 498 00:29:55,640 --> 00:29:59,600 Speaker 1: right now, my biggest bets are over two and a 499 00:29:59,600 --> 00:30:04,520 Speaker 1: half play field goals of we'll both teams kick a 500 00:30:04,520 --> 00:30:07,760 Speaker 1: field goal of thirty three yeards at that know, and 501 00:30:07,920 --> 00:30:10,520 Speaker 1: the under right now and Sanders most rushing yards in 502 00:30:10,520 --> 00:30:14,959 Speaker 1: the game. Finally, speaking of Tom Brady. You know what, 503 00:30:15,040 --> 00:30:17,800 Speaker 1: my wife said, she didn't know I was going to 504 00:30:17,840 --> 00:30:19,960 Speaker 1: have Tom Brady on because we don't talk about my business. 505 00:30:20,000 --> 00:30:23,440 Speaker 1: She didn't care about sports. So when she saw that, 506 00:30:23,520 --> 00:30:27,800 Speaker 1: Tom Brady announced that he wasn't going to broadcast until 507 00:30:27,840 --> 00:30:30,200 Speaker 1: twenty twenty four. Take the year off. You know what, 508 00:30:30,240 --> 00:30:33,440 Speaker 1: My adorable wife said, what you say, why don't you 509 00:30:33,480 --> 00:30:35,440 Speaker 1: ask Tom if he wants to intern for a year 510 00:30:35,800 --> 00:30:39,160 Speaker 1: with you and he could figure out the business. And 511 00:30:39,200 --> 00:30:42,400 Speaker 1: I was like, I don't think I'm gonna ask Tom 512 00:30:42,400 --> 00:30:44,680 Speaker 1: Brady if he wants to intern for me. I don't 513 00:30:44,680 --> 00:30:48,080 Speaker 1: know how that would land. I disagree. I think that's 514 00:30:48,400 --> 00:30:53,240 Speaker 1: a it's a brilliant idea. And you know what, I 515 00:30:53,360 --> 00:30:55,560 Speaker 1: might call Tommy and see if he wants to intern 516 00:30:55,960 --> 00:31:00,080 Speaker 1: the Action Network. How much smarter will he be in 517 00:30:59,720 --> 00:31:02,480 Speaker 1: twenty twenty four if he knows everything about how gamblers 518 00:31:02,480 --> 00:31:06,560 Speaker 1: are thinking about the game. Colin, I love this idea. 519 00:31:06,760 --> 00:31:09,880 Speaker 1: Thank your beautiful wife for me. I'm really looking forward 520 00:31:09,880 --> 00:31:13,080 Speaker 1: to this. I'll let you know it. If you need 521 00:31:13,120 --> 00:31:15,040 Speaker 1: to borrow them for like some data entry every once 522 00:31:15,080 --> 00:31:17,520 Speaker 1: in a while for the volume, I'd totally let you 523 00:31:17,560 --> 00:31:21,040 Speaker 1: do it. Okay, I'm gonna give you a score twenty seven, 524 00:31:21,160 --> 00:31:26,480 Speaker 1: twenty three, twenty eight, twenty three Chiefs, twenty eight, twenty 525 00:31:26,480 --> 00:31:31,760 Speaker 1: four Chiefs. I would prefer it to be twenty four 526 00:31:31,920 --> 00:31:35,320 Speaker 1: twenty three because I have the under forty nine and 527 00:31:35,360 --> 00:31:37,160 Speaker 1: a half and I got the Chiefs at plus two 528 00:31:37,160 --> 00:31:38,719 Speaker 1: and a half plus one and a half and the 529 00:31:38,760 --> 00:31:40,719 Speaker 1: Eagles at plus one and a half. So if I 530 00:31:40,760 --> 00:31:43,480 Speaker 1: can get a game that waits on one in either 531 00:31:43,520 --> 00:31:46,520 Speaker 1: way that is under forty nine and a half and 532 00:31:46,640 --> 00:31:50,920 Speaker 1: there's a lot of penalties and Miles Sanders' MVP, I'm Golden. 533 00:31:52,360 --> 00:31:57,800 Speaker 1: Chad Millman Action Network. All odds provided by Fan Duel. 534 00:31:57,920 --> 00:32:19,240 Speaker 1: This was fun, Thanks Buddy, seeing you the volume. Make 535 00:32:19,280 --> 00:32:22,760 Speaker 1: sure to check out The Draymond Green Show. I brought 536 00:32:22,840 --> 00:32:25,040 Speaker 1: Draymond Green into the volume because one of the more 537 00:32:25,160 --> 00:32:29,360 Speaker 1: entertaining voices in sports. Unique perspective understands behind the rope 538 00:32:29,800 --> 00:32:33,280 Speaker 1: also chops up with guests like Gary Peyton, Zach Levine, 539 00:32:33,320 --> 00:32:37,600 Speaker 1: Tracy McGrady. Make sure download The Draymond Green Show wherever 540 00:32:37,800 --> 00:32:42,840 Speaker 1: you get your podcasts, only on the Volume Podcast Network