1 00:00:01,080 --> 00:00:05,600 Speaker 1: All right, and welcome into the Betting Pros College Football Show. 2 00:00:05,920 --> 00:00:08,719 Speaker 1: It's our Week four preview episode where we'll give you 3 00:00:08,760 --> 00:00:11,879 Speaker 1: our official picks and predictions for the top ten games 4 00:00:11,920 --> 00:00:15,160 Speaker 1: on the slate. I'm your host, Seth Willcock, really excited 5 00:00:15,160 --> 00:00:18,720 Speaker 1: to slide into another Saturday a CFB betting action and 6 00:00:18,760 --> 00:00:22,040 Speaker 1: of course riding shotgun with me is the crew, including 7 00:00:22,040 --> 00:00:23,919 Speaker 1: a man who is trying to be the next in 8 00:00:24,040 --> 00:00:26,240 Speaker 1: line to get a date with Diego Pavia's mom. It's 9 00:00:26,320 --> 00:00:28,760 Speaker 1: Terrell Furman, Junior Terrell. What's going on today? 10 00:00:28,800 --> 00:00:32,479 Speaker 2: Man? Uh is good? I mean, you know you just 11 00:00:32,479 --> 00:00:34,640 Speaker 2: got to keep writing with Diego Pave I tell you 12 00:00:34,680 --> 00:00:38,080 Speaker 2: guys this all the time. And what a win? I mean, 13 00:00:38,520 --> 00:00:40,440 Speaker 2: I get sellers is out. We'll talk about that a 14 00:00:40,440 --> 00:00:42,640 Speaker 2: little bit later, but what a win. I feel good 15 00:00:43,040 --> 00:00:47,239 Speaker 2: cash my best bet as well as lsu hangs on now. Granted, 16 00:00:47,560 --> 00:00:50,000 Speaker 2: five interceptions really did help very much so, but that 17 00:00:50,040 --> 00:00:52,200 Speaker 2: was part of the handicap. That was part of the handicap. 18 00:00:52,479 --> 00:00:55,440 Speaker 2: Young quarterback making a road start. It was very good. 19 00:00:55,520 --> 00:00:58,360 Speaker 2: So two and one so far in our best bet segments. 20 00:00:58,400 --> 00:00:59,880 Speaker 2: I feel good, trying to keep it rolling. 21 00:01:00,320 --> 00:01:02,720 Speaker 1: All right. Well, we're also tapping back into the big 22 00:01:02,760 --> 00:01:05,920 Speaker 1: brain of Scott Bogman. Bogs, I don't imagine you're as 23 00:01:05,959 --> 00:01:07,680 Speaker 1: excited for the weekend as I am. This is like 24 00:01:07,720 --> 00:01:10,199 Speaker 1: one of those few fall weekends I have no show 25 00:01:10,319 --> 00:01:13,360 Speaker 1: Saturday or Sunday. But I'm sure you're st fired up 26 00:01:13,400 --> 00:01:14,800 Speaker 1: nonetheless and getting ready to go. 27 00:01:14,880 --> 00:01:15,319 Speaker 2: Yeah. 28 00:01:15,400 --> 00:01:17,199 Speaker 3: I mean, I would just like Arch to look good. 29 00:01:17,400 --> 00:01:19,360 Speaker 3: That'd be great, and some of these bets to hit 30 00:01:19,440 --> 00:01:22,920 Speaker 3: that I have would be amazing. So the good news 31 00:01:23,040 --> 00:01:25,920 Speaker 3: is we norly go up from last week. So we're 32 00:01:26,200 --> 00:01:28,600 Speaker 3: lighting last week on fire. We're looking forward to this week, 33 00:01:28,640 --> 00:01:31,920 Speaker 3: and you know, the deeper we got, the more I 34 00:01:32,000 --> 00:01:34,440 Speaker 3: like some of these picks. So not all of them, 35 00:01:34,720 --> 00:01:38,120 Speaker 3: specifically the first one, but I do like a lot 36 00:01:38,120 --> 00:01:41,039 Speaker 3: of these picks this week, so maybe maybe just. 37 00:01:41,040 --> 00:01:44,880 Speaker 2: Wait, what kind of shade was that? Wait? Do we 38 00:01:44,920 --> 00:01:47,199 Speaker 2: have the same list? Do we have the same list? 39 00:01:47,400 --> 00:01:49,640 Speaker 3: Yeah, the game's gonna be real tight. I don't want 40 00:01:49,640 --> 00:01:50,480 Speaker 3: to bet it, that's all. 41 00:01:51,240 --> 00:01:51,800 Speaker 1: What Wait? 42 00:01:51,840 --> 00:01:53,960 Speaker 2: Wait, No, there's no way Steth get us started, because 43 00:01:53,960 --> 00:01:56,240 Speaker 2: there's no way we're talking about the same game. Yep. 44 00:01:56,880 --> 00:01:58,960 Speaker 1: And before we do get going, shouts to everyone who's 45 00:01:59,000 --> 00:02:00,880 Speaker 1: hanging out with us, either on the Bank pros YouTube 46 00:02:00,960 --> 00:02:04,000 Speaker 1: channel or the audio feed the easiest freeway support us. 47 00:02:04,120 --> 00:02:06,760 Speaker 1: Give this video a thumbs up if you enjoy college 48 00:02:06,800 --> 00:02:09,440 Speaker 1: football betting content like it, and if you're new, make 49 00:02:09,480 --> 00:02:11,399 Speaker 1: sure you're subscribing to the channel so you don't miss 50 00:02:11,440 --> 00:02:15,680 Speaker 1: a moment of CFB and NFL coverage this season. 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If you are somebody 77 00:03:28,040 --> 00:03:29,880 Speaker 4: you know as a gambling problem and wants help, call 78 00:03:29,960 --> 00:03:32,320 Speaker 4: one eight hundred and nine with it gambling problem called 79 00:03:32,320 --> 00:03:36,280 Speaker 4: one hundred gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, in New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia. 80 00:03:37,280 --> 00:03:39,600 Speaker 1: Let's start with a top twenty five matchup in Salt 81 00:03:39,680 --> 00:03:42,240 Speaker 1: Lake City. The line is starting to creep down from 82 00:03:42,320 --> 00:03:44,480 Speaker 1: four to two and a half at some books. We're 83 00:03:44,520 --> 00:03:46,839 Speaker 1: still seeing some three and a half tickets out there 84 00:03:47,040 --> 00:03:50,640 Speaker 1: available for the Texas Tech Red Raiders right now against 85 00:03:50,640 --> 00:03:53,720 Speaker 1: the Utah Utes. As far as injuries are concerned, for Tech, 86 00:03:53,800 --> 00:03:56,720 Speaker 1: they only have a player or two banged up in 87 00:03:56,760 --> 00:04:00,000 Speaker 1: their too deep on defense. Utah should have everyone healthy 88 00:04:00,080 --> 00:04:02,840 Speaker 1: that they've had so far this season. Projections have a 89 00:04:02,840 --> 00:04:06,080 Speaker 1: slight lean to Utah, but they love the over trail 90 00:04:06,440 --> 00:04:09,520 Speaker 1: being a known Utes backer. Are you once again Ryan 91 00:04:09,520 --> 00:04:11,240 Speaker 1: with Devin dan Pierre and the boys? 92 00:04:11,720 --> 00:04:14,880 Speaker 2: I mean absolutely. That's why I was confused because I 93 00:04:15,000 --> 00:04:16,840 Speaker 2: just could not have been the game that Bob was 94 00:04:16,880 --> 00:04:20,960 Speaker 2: talking about. He clearly does have enough. How are we 95 00:04:21,360 --> 00:04:21,720 Speaker 2: all right? 96 00:04:21,880 --> 00:04:27,280 Speaker 5: I was not doing well last You gotta remember that. Man. 97 00:04:28,680 --> 00:04:30,960 Speaker 2: I have to tell you guys about the Utah youthes man, 98 00:04:31,120 --> 00:04:36,120 Speaker 2: like this scene has it all. I believe in this offense. 99 00:04:36,160 --> 00:04:38,120 Speaker 2: I think that the offense is gonna continue to be 100 00:04:38,160 --> 00:04:42,320 Speaker 2: able to keep rolling and it's really gonna be highlighted 101 00:04:42,360 --> 00:04:44,520 Speaker 2: by that offensive line just being able to keep damp 102 00:04:44,600 --> 00:04:47,280 Speaker 2: you're protected and then pushing the ball down field. That 103 00:04:47,320 --> 00:04:49,920 Speaker 2: passing game is where you can attack this Texas Tech team. 104 00:04:50,160 --> 00:04:53,080 Speaker 2: And then the defense, I mean, the defense is just raw. 105 00:04:53,160 --> 00:04:55,400 Speaker 2: It's been one of those top defenses all the time, 106 00:04:55,400 --> 00:04:57,599 Speaker 2: and that was the thing when they came into the 107 00:04:57,600 --> 00:05:00,279 Speaker 2: Big Twelve. They had a leg up over everybody off 108 00:05:00,320 --> 00:05:02,840 Speaker 2: the rip because Utah knew how to play defense and 109 00:05:02,880 --> 00:05:05,400 Speaker 2: nobody in the Big twelve could play defense. I think 110 00:05:05,440 --> 00:05:08,000 Speaker 2: this is a spot where we're gonna see this Utah 111 00:05:08,080 --> 00:05:10,240 Speaker 2: team do what they do at home. Texas Tech has 112 00:05:10,279 --> 00:05:14,960 Speaker 2: to come to Provo in elevation now. Granted, for some reason, 113 00:05:15,000 --> 00:05:17,680 Speaker 2: this is a nine am tip local time. Don't know 114 00:05:17,720 --> 00:05:19,800 Speaker 2: what's going on with that, but I think it's going 115 00:05:19,839 --> 00:05:21,640 Speaker 2: to be I think it's going to be a rough 116 00:05:21,680 --> 00:05:25,160 Speaker 2: game for Texas Tech. Looking at Utah since twenty eighteen, 117 00:05:25,200 --> 00:05:28,359 Speaker 2: they are thirty four and seven straight up at home, 118 00:05:28,720 --> 00:05:32,960 Speaker 2: twenty five and sixteen ats. I am all the way 119 00:05:33,000 --> 00:05:37,040 Speaker 2: behind my Utah utes here laying the three. I'm betting 120 00:05:37,080 --> 00:05:39,320 Speaker 2: this they're going to get it done. I think you 121 00:05:39,440 --> 00:05:41,680 Speaker 2: saw is the top premier team in the Big twelve. 122 00:05:41,839 --> 00:05:43,560 Speaker 1: What about you, Bog? Sounds like this might be a 123 00:05:43,560 --> 00:05:44,760 Speaker 1: stay away spot for you. 124 00:05:45,160 --> 00:05:48,960 Speaker 3: Yeah, I do lean where Trell is and by the way, 125 00:05:49,040 --> 00:05:52,120 Speaker 3: VP does too. You said we've got this under a 126 00:05:52,120 --> 00:05:54,840 Speaker 3: field goal out a couple books, right, Like, I think 127 00:05:54,839 --> 00:05:57,719 Speaker 3: that that is a lean that I actually would like. 128 00:05:57,800 --> 00:05:59,920 Speaker 3: If it stays at two and a half, it is 129 00:06:00,320 --> 00:06:02,120 Speaker 3: that that is a good one. But I'll say this like, 130 00:06:02,680 --> 00:06:04,480 Speaker 3: I don't think we really know much about either one 131 00:06:04,480 --> 00:06:06,520 Speaker 3: of these teams quite yet, because the strength to schedule 132 00:06:06,960 --> 00:06:08,920 Speaker 3: is miserable for both of them. It's one hundred and 133 00:06:08,960 --> 00:06:12,480 Speaker 3: twenty second for Texas Tech, it's ninety fifth for Utah 134 00:06:12,640 --> 00:06:15,719 Speaker 3: so far this year, and we're looking at a strong 135 00:06:15,800 --> 00:06:17,560 Speaker 3: run game from Utah, right, and they run at a 136 00:06:17,600 --> 00:06:20,719 Speaker 3: fifty five percent clip here. Well, Texas Tech, in this 137 00:06:20,880 --> 00:06:24,679 Speaker 3: bad schedule has ranked first in run defense, grade second 138 00:06:24,760 --> 00:06:29,160 Speaker 3: statistically against the run. So it looks like Texas Tech 139 00:06:29,560 --> 00:06:33,200 Speaker 3: matches up well against Utah. But I don't know if 140 00:06:33,200 --> 00:06:36,719 Speaker 3: anybody is getting behind two NFL caliber offensive linemen like 141 00:06:37,080 --> 00:06:40,839 Speaker 3: Drell mentioned here. So my lean is more towards Utah 142 00:06:40,880 --> 00:06:43,320 Speaker 3: because they are home, right. I think if you can 143 00:06:43,320 --> 00:06:45,960 Speaker 3: get this under a field goal, I'm much happier at 144 00:06:46,000 --> 00:06:47,400 Speaker 3: it at two and a half than I am at 145 00:06:47,400 --> 00:06:49,160 Speaker 3: three and a half or four and a half, So 146 00:06:49,520 --> 00:06:52,080 Speaker 3: I'm much better there. But Utah's tied with the fifth 147 00:06:52,080 --> 00:06:54,880 Speaker 3: most sacks this year and Texas Tech passes the ball 148 00:06:54,880 --> 00:06:56,720 Speaker 3: a lot, but Texas Tech's been a lot on their roster. 149 00:06:57,160 --> 00:07:00,240 Speaker 3: I just I don't like this game because I don't 150 00:07:00,240 --> 00:07:03,120 Speaker 3: know the upper echelon level of either one of these 151 00:07:03,160 --> 00:07:06,200 Speaker 3: teams quite yet. So I think Utah being at home 152 00:07:06,200 --> 00:07:09,360 Speaker 3: at Alevation, as Derrel mentioned, that's my lean, but I'm 153 00:07:09,360 --> 00:07:11,000 Speaker 3: gonna hard pass this one, no thank you. 154 00:07:11,520 --> 00:07:13,480 Speaker 1: I'm on the over here. These two teams, they are 155 00:07:13,520 --> 00:07:16,720 Speaker 1: five and one to the over this season. Combined average 156 00:07:16,880 --> 00:07:19,440 Speaker 1: of sixty one point eight points have been scored in 157 00:07:19,480 --> 00:07:22,600 Speaker 1: those six total games this season. I like Utah a lot. 158 00:07:22,720 --> 00:07:25,800 Speaker 1: Devin dan Pier. He's definitely made this offense better, you know, 159 00:07:26,040 --> 00:07:28,840 Speaker 1: as Bogs mentioned, bad strength to schedule, but still top 160 00:07:28,840 --> 00:07:31,720 Speaker 1: fifteen in the country right now in total offense. But 161 00:07:31,720 --> 00:07:34,480 Speaker 1: I don't think you're giving enough credit Torell Tabaron Mooreton 162 00:07:34,640 --> 00:07:35,840 Speaker 1: and what he's been doing here. 163 00:07:35,880 --> 00:07:37,520 Speaker 2: He's a veteran, he's healthy. 164 00:07:38,760 --> 00:07:40,760 Speaker 1: Right now, we're hearing that he's going to be out there. 165 00:07:40,800 --> 00:07:43,360 Speaker 1: He wasn't on the injury report, and he's leaning the 166 00:07:43,400 --> 00:07:46,480 Speaker 1: country in passing, touchdowns and tech. I think we can 167 00:07:46,520 --> 00:07:48,560 Speaker 1: take a little bit more from their history in the 168 00:07:48,560 --> 00:07:52,880 Speaker 1: Big Twelve, just because they've been there longer compared to Utah. 169 00:07:53,040 --> 00:07:56,160 Speaker 1: They were over this total in six of nine Big 170 00:07:56,200 --> 00:07:58,600 Speaker 1: Twelve games last season, so I think it's gonna be 171 00:07:58,640 --> 00:08:00,360 Speaker 1: a lot of points here. I do. I kind of 172 00:08:00,400 --> 00:08:02,200 Speaker 1: agree that this could be Utah, but I think it 173 00:08:02,200 --> 00:08:03,840 Speaker 1: will be tight, and I think it will be high 174 00:08:03,840 --> 00:08:04,880 Speaker 1: scoring and a fun one. 175 00:08:05,160 --> 00:08:08,160 Speaker 2: Texas SECT. Texas Sect been in the Big twelve longer 176 00:08:08,560 --> 00:08:11,920 Speaker 2: owen six straight up in acs and their last six 177 00:08:12,160 --> 00:08:14,360 Speaker 2: road Big Swelve openers going out. 178 00:08:14,480 --> 00:08:18,520 Speaker 1: No good line there. Next, let's go to Lakeside, where 179 00:08:18,520 --> 00:08:21,480 Speaker 1: we have the Syracuse Orange taking on the Clemson Tigers. 180 00:08:21,760 --> 00:08:24,240 Speaker 1: This line has widened out about half a point at 181 00:08:24,240 --> 00:08:27,080 Speaker 1: most books since our early episode. This week, you can 182 00:08:27,080 --> 00:08:31,120 Speaker 1: now actually get Syracuse as an eighteen point dog for injuries. 183 00:08:31,360 --> 00:08:34,920 Speaker 1: Syracuse they have questionable tags too, their RB one Yaston Williams, 184 00:08:35,120 --> 00:08:38,360 Speaker 1: and they're starting free safety and left tackle. Clemson also 185 00:08:38,600 --> 00:08:41,520 Speaker 1: remaining pretty banged up as well. Coming in They're starting 186 00:08:41,520 --> 00:08:45,079 Speaker 1: free safety, left tackle, and wide receiver one Antonio Williams. 187 00:08:45,240 --> 00:08:49,000 Speaker 1: All still questionable. Projections are leaning towards the Orange. They 188 00:08:49,000 --> 00:08:52,520 Speaker 1: have this closer to a two touchdown point line. Boggs, 189 00:08:52,600 --> 00:08:55,280 Speaker 1: are you daring to get invested with his acc matchup? 190 00:08:56,240 --> 00:08:58,600 Speaker 3: Well, I'm gonna wait for an important piece of news, 191 00:08:58,600 --> 00:09:00,240 Speaker 3: and if that means I have to wait all the 192 00:09:00,280 --> 00:09:03,000 Speaker 3: way till Saturday. I'm going to wait on this piece 193 00:09:03,000 --> 00:09:05,600 Speaker 3: of news, and that is is Antonio Williams going to 194 00:09:05,640 --> 00:09:08,720 Speaker 3: play or not. We've heard Dablos Swinny talk about how 195 00:09:09,120 --> 00:09:12,280 Speaker 3: look he is our best player, and the stats bear 196 00:09:12,440 --> 00:09:12,920 Speaker 3: that out. 197 00:09:13,200 --> 00:09:14,920 Speaker 5: For Kaid Klubnick, Kate Clubnick. 198 00:09:15,000 --> 00:09:19,720 Speaker 3: With Antonio Williams, that would be twenty games started per game, 199 00:09:20,080 --> 00:09:22,480 Speaker 3: Clemson has averaged thirty four point two points per game. 200 00:09:22,679 --> 00:09:25,720 Speaker 3: He's averaged two hundred and sixty two point three yards 201 00:09:25,720 --> 00:09:28,400 Speaker 3: per game, and that's two point twenty four touchdowns to 202 00:09:28,440 --> 00:09:31,880 Speaker 3: point five to seven interceptions. Over that Without Antonio Williams, 203 00:09:31,920 --> 00:09:35,240 Speaker 3: who's missed a decent amount of games eleven games. Sorry 204 00:09:35,240 --> 00:09:39,040 Speaker 3: for Clubnick, he has twelve touchdowns and eight picks. That 205 00:09:39,520 --> 00:09:42,520 Speaker 3: points per game drops over ten points or just about 206 00:09:42,520 --> 00:09:45,320 Speaker 3: ten points thirty four point two to twenty four point three. 207 00:09:45,720 --> 00:09:49,960 Speaker 3: The yards for him drop sixty two yards per game, 208 00:09:50,080 --> 00:09:51,960 Speaker 3: and the touchdowns go from two point twenty four to 209 00:09:51,960 --> 00:09:54,680 Speaker 3: one point h nine in His interceptions jump as well. 210 00:09:54,840 --> 00:09:58,040 Speaker 3: So if Antonio Williams is not going to play in 211 00:09:58,080 --> 00:10:00,640 Speaker 3: this game, give me this under thirty six and a 212 00:10:00,679 --> 00:10:03,640 Speaker 3: half team total for Clemson. Nothing is working right for 213 00:10:03,679 --> 00:10:06,040 Speaker 3: them right now. Don't really fear Syracuse. And I do 214 00:10:06,080 --> 00:10:08,199 Speaker 3: think that this is a game where Clemson could pour 215 00:10:08,240 --> 00:10:10,600 Speaker 3: it on and try to look good and all that stuff. 216 00:10:10,679 --> 00:10:13,680 Speaker 3: But if Antonio Williams isn't playing, Kate Klimnick is not 217 00:10:13,760 --> 00:10:17,240 Speaker 3: the same guy. So I'm gonna wait, and if there 218 00:10:17,320 --> 00:10:19,319 Speaker 3: is no a dub, I'm going under on. 219 00:10:19,240 --> 00:10:21,480 Speaker 5: That team total, even if it lowers a little bit. 220 00:10:21,800 --> 00:10:24,400 Speaker 1: Yeah, trol, I don't think anyone's NFL draft stock has 221 00:10:24,480 --> 00:10:26,960 Speaker 1: risen more from an injury than Antonio Williams with just 222 00:10:27,000 --> 00:10:29,640 Speaker 1: how bad hit this entire offense has been with Adham. 223 00:10:29,679 --> 00:10:32,920 Speaker 1: So with that said, are you getting invested with the 224 00:10:32,960 --> 00:10:34,640 Speaker 1: Tigers or the Orange this weekend? 225 00:10:35,280 --> 00:10:38,040 Speaker 2: Yeah, it's just hard for me to go against a 226 00:10:37,640 --> 00:10:41,560 Speaker 2: hard nos football coach and Fran Brown. And like I said, 227 00:10:41,559 --> 00:10:44,720 Speaker 2: a guy that refuses to shower after losses is just 228 00:10:44,760 --> 00:10:47,000 Speaker 2: a guy that you don't want to fade too often. 229 00:10:47,840 --> 00:10:50,720 Speaker 2: There's a lot of points here, and I don't know 230 00:10:50,760 --> 00:10:53,400 Speaker 2: how I can feel comfortable. I'm like Boz, I don't 231 00:10:53,440 --> 00:10:55,080 Speaker 2: know how I can feel comfortable with the state of 232 00:10:55,240 --> 00:10:58,120 Speaker 2: taking this many points. And this is Clemson's offense right now, 233 00:10:58,160 --> 00:11:01,280 Speaker 2: Like it didn't look good against it did look good 234 00:11:01,360 --> 00:11:05,000 Speaker 2: last week. I think that there's gonna be a lot 235 00:11:05,040 --> 00:11:07,520 Speaker 2: of changes that need to happen on the horizon before 236 00:11:07,640 --> 00:11:11,440 Speaker 2: Clemson finds themselves towards the upper restaurant of the NCAA 237 00:11:11,520 --> 00:11:13,600 Speaker 2: like they think they are. I don't think they're all 238 00:11:13,600 --> 00:11:15,200 Speaker 2: the way up there. I don't think that they're even 239 00:11:15,240 --> 00:11:17,360 Speaker 2: a shoe in to win the ACC at this point, 240 00:11:17,440 --> 00:11:20,640 Speaker 2: to be honest, maybe they look they look completely different 241 00:11:20,679 --> 00:11:22,959 Speaker 2: when Williams comes back and is sustained, But as of 242 00:11:23,040 --> 00:11:24,719 Speaker 2: right now, I just don't see it from Clemson, so 243 00:11:24,760 --> 00:11:25,760 Speaker 2: I can't lay this number. 244 00:11:26,320 --> 00:11:28,719 Speaker 1: Okay, all right, Well, we also have the Civil War 245 00:11:28,800 --> 00:11:31,520 Speaker 1: going down in Eugene with the Oregon State Beavers on 246 00:11:31,640 --> 00:11:35,360 Speaker 1: the road against the number six Oregon Ducks. This spread 247 00:11:35,440 --> 00:11:38,160 Speaker 1: has widened out about half a point at most books, 248 00:11:38,160 --> 00:11:40,520 Speaker 1: where minus thirty five is the best price you're going 249 00:11:40,559 --> 00:11:44,000 Speaker 1: to get on the Ducks. Injuries relatively moderate for this 250 00:11:44,080 --> 00:11:46,320 Speaker 1: game as well. Oregon State. They have their starting left 251 00:11:46,320 --> 00:11:49,800 Speaker 1: tackle Jacob Strand, he's questionable, and then Oregon just dealing 252 00:11:49,800 --> 00:11:52,920 Speaker 1: with starting running back Noah Winnington, he is also questionable. 253 00:11:53,320 --> 00:11:56,079 Speaker 1: Projections have the spread set at thirty seven and a 254 00:11:56,120 --> 00:11:59,839 Speaker 1: half points. So there is some EV potentially on the Ducks. 255 00:12:00,559 --> 00:12:03,880 Speaker 1: Do you have a play here in this Pacific Northwest Showdown? 256 00:12:04,960 --> 00:12:08,439 Speaker 2: No, I don't. I'm not betting this game. I mean 257 00:12:08,600 --> 00:12:12,360 Speaker 2: it's a rivalry game. Give me the points and say 258 00:12:12,400 --> 00:12:14,920 Speaker 2: that Oregon State comes out there and plays the hard out. 259 00:12:15,040 --> 00:12:17,760 Speaker 2: Like you know, it was a much much, much much 260 00:12:17,800 --> 00:12:19,679 Speaker 2: smaller line, but a lot of people thought that there 261 00:12:19,720 --> 00:12:21,760 Speaker 2: was no way West Virginia CoA win that game last week, 262 00:12:21,760 --> 00:12:24,280 Speaker 2: and they did so, Like, rivalry gains me a lot 263 00:12:24,320 --> 00:12:26,240 Speaker 2: and seams really get up in those spots, and this 264 00:12:26,360 --> 00:12:28,160 Speaker 2: is a lot of points. Like you can get blown 265 00:12:28,200 --> 00:12:30,880 Speaker 2: out and embarrassed in this game and still mess around 266 00:12:30,960 --> 00:12:34,120 Speaker 2: and cover this line. So I don't want anything to 267 00:12:34,160 --> 00:12:36,880 Speaker 2: do with laying that big of a number in a 268 00:12:36,920 --> 00:12:39,640 Speaker 2: game that you know both of these two teams have 269 00:12:39,840 --> 00:12:42,160 Speaker 2: somewhat of motivation in. So I'm gonna take the point. 270 00:12:42,160 --> 00:12:43,360 Speaker 2: It's a big number of rivalry game. 271 00:12:43,400 --> 00:12:46,640 Speaker 3: It stays closer, Baugman, Do you have a play, not 272 00:12:46,720 --> 00:12:49,200 Speaker 3: a play, I'll lean the Ducks because we do have 273 00:12:49,360 --> 00:12:53,120 Speaker 3: EV and unfortunately for me, I've watched two Oregon State 274 00:12:53,160 --> 00:12:56,400 Speaker 3: games this year and they are just a very very 275 00:12:56,440 --> 00:13:00,120 Speaker 3: bad team. They're not good at all. I think that 276 00:13:00,160 --> 00:13:02,160 Speaker 3: the Ducks may just lay the smack down. But if 277 00:13:02,320 --> 00:13:04,360 Speaker 3: you're gonna take that, I think therell's right. Like you're 278 00:13:04,360 --> 00:13:06,920 Speaker 3: gonna see best effort from Morgan State here in this game. 279 00:13:06,960 --> 00:13:09,480 Speaker 3: It is a rivalry game. So if you want Oregon, 280 00:13:09,800 --> 00:13:11,760 Speaker 3: don't lay the points. Just take the team total. It's 281 00:13:11,760 --> 00:13:14,240 Speaker 3: forty five and a half. It's ten more points than 282 00:13:14,400 --> 00:13:16,199 Speaker 3: this line. And you can't get back door on a 283 00:13:16,280 --> 00:13:18,600 Speaker 3: team total. So if that's what you want, and they're 284 00:13:18,640 --> 00:13:20,800 Speaker 3: scoring a bunch of points every single game and pouring 285 00:13:20,800 --> 00:13:22,120 Speaker 3: it on teams, do that. 286 00:13:22,480 --> 00:13:25,520 Speaker 5: So I'll stay away. But if you want something, I'd 287 00:13:25,520 --> 00:13:26,920 Speaker 5: take the Oregon team total over. 288 00:13:27,600 --> 00:13:30,360 Speaker 1: Next up the number twenty four Notre Dame Fighting Irish. 289 00:13:30,440 --> 00:13:34,240 Speaker 1: They are hosting the improved Purdue boiler Makers and money 290 00:13:34,320 --> 00:13:36,880 Speaker 1: must have come on perdue this week, guys, because this 291 00:13:36,920 --> 00:13:39,080 Speaker 1: spread has shrunk two twenty four and a half points 292 00:13:39,080 --> 00:13:40,600 Speaker 1: down from the twenty seven and a half we were 293 00:13:40,600 --> 00:13:43,240 Speaker 1: seeing earlier this week. Purdue should be at full strength. 294 00:13:43,640 --> 00:13:46,560 Speaker 1: Notre Dame has starting cornerback DeVonta Smith. He's back on 295 00:13:46,600 --> 00:13:50,400 Speaker 1: the injury report. Also their starting kicker Noah Brunette. He 296 00:13:50,559 --> 00:13:53,520 Speaker 1: is also questionable for this one. The BP projections are 297 00:13:53,640 --> 00:13:57,400 Speaker 1: leaning towards Purdue, with US setting this spread right at 298 00:13:57,400 --> 00:14:00,520 Speaker 1: that twenty three point line. So, Boggs, You're usually not 299 00:14:00,600 --> 00:14:02,920 Speaker 1: one to get invested on any side of a Notre 300 00:14:03,000 --> 00:14:06,680 Speaker 1: Dame fighting Irish game. So is this gonna sway you 301 00:14:06,760 --> 00:14:08,079 Speaker 1: to get invested here? 302 00:14:08,640 --> 00:14:08,880 Speaker 5: Yeah? 303 00:14:08,960 --> 00:14:12,160 Speaker 3: Even when I was convinced last week, like, yeah, let's 304 00:14:12,200 --> 00:14:13,880 Speaker 3: just take Notre Dame, They're at home Texas A and 305 00:14:13,960 --> 00:14:16,360 Speaker 3: M's run defense looks bad blah blah blah blah blah, 306 00:14:16,360 --> 00:14:17,839 Speaker 3: and then they lose by one point because it's a 307 00:14:17,880 --> 00:14:21,160 Speaker 3: stupid extra point. So look for this game. If I'm 308 00:14:21,160 --> 00:14:23,160 Speaker 3: gonna pick something, I'm gonna stick to what I said 309 00:14:23,160 --> 00:14:25,360 Speaker 3: on Monday. Let's go over thirteen and a half team 310 00:14:25,440 --> 00:14:29,640 Speaker 3: total for Purdue. Now, maybe angry Notre Dame does exactly 311 00:14:29,720 --> 00:14:31,480 Speaker 3: what they did last year to Purdue, where they beat 312 00:14:31,560 --> 00:14:34,360 Speaker 3: him sixty six to seven. But currently, and I know 313 00:14:34,400 --> 00:14:37,080 Speaker 3: it's like with the number one hardest schedule this season, 314 00:14:37,200 --> 00:14:40,160 Speaker 3: but Notre Dame is one hundred and thirteenth in defensive grade. 315 00:14:40,240 --> 00:14:43,120 Speaker 3: They played strong offenses, but the crackston the foundation are there. 316 00:14:43,120 --> 00:14:45,240 Speaker 3: One hundred and twelfth and coverage grade ninety third and 317 00:14:45,240 --> 00:14:47,520 Speaker 3: pass flush grade one hundred and eighteenth in points per 318 00:14:47,560 --> 00:14:50,800 Speaker 3: game allowed at thirty four, and they had two weeks 319 00:14:50,840 --> 00:14:52,720 Speaker 3: to prep for Texas A and M and they still 320 00:14:52,760 --> 00:14:55,600 Speaker 3: got beat at home. So Ryan Brown has been fine 321 00:14:55,680 --> 00:14:57,240 Speaker 3: for Purdue. I don't want to sit here and tell 322 00:14:57,240 --> 00:15:00,520 Speaker 3: you he's been great, but we saw we've Notre Dame 323 00:15:00,560 --> 00:15:02,400 Speaker 3: give up some points late too, and a bunch of 324 00:15:02,480 --> 00:15:04,880 Speaker 3: yards already. So over thirteen and a half, do I 325 00:15:04,880 --> 00:15:06,840 Speaker 3: think Purdue can fall in the end zone twice? I do, 326 00:15:07,040 --> 00:15:10,000 Speaker 3: So that's what I would take here. And I obviously 327 00:15:10,400 --> 00:15:12,000 Speaker 3: not been great at picking Notre Dame. 328 00:15:12,760 --> 00:15:15,120 Speaker 1: Yeah, Trurol. I don't know where I'm gonna be getting 329 00:15:15,160 --> 00:15:17,640 Speaker 1: back in on Notre Dame this year. Like I know, 330 00:15:17,720 --> 00:15:20,880 Speaker 1: they'll probably start covering like they did last season down 331 00:15:20,880 --> 00:15:24,760 Speaker 1: the stretch, but maybe Navy, maybe against Pitt. I just 332 00:15:24,800 --> 00:15:26,520 Speaker 1: think this is too early for me to go back 333 00:15:26,560 --> 00:15:28,880 Speaker 1: to the well after you know, I've lost eight units 334 00:15:28,880 --> 00:15:31,280 Speaker 1: on this team this year. They have absolutely destroyed my bankroll, 335 00:15:31,360 --> 00:15:33,160 Speaker 1: So I don't think I can go back, will you? 336 00:15:33,840 --> 00:15:36,200 Speaker 2: Oh? I mean I took Texas A and M last week, 337 00:15:36,280 --> 00:15:39,400 Speaker 2: So I feel pretty all right about Notre Dame, right, 338 00:15:39,440 --> 00:15:41,960 Speaker 2: now they got me against Miami, but it was so 339 00:15:42,040 --> 00:15:43,720 Speaker 2: many points. But at Texas A and m team and 340 00:15:43,720 --> 00:15:45,920 Speaker 2: it was a great game. So I think this is 341 00:15:45,960 --> 00:15:47,680 Speaker 2: the I think this is the spot where they just 342 00:15:47,720 --> 00:15:49,640 Speaker 2: begin to pour ad oint Like how many times do 343 00:15:49,680 --> 00:15:52,600 Speaker 2: we see this Purdue Perdue's catching a really big number 344 00:15:52,640 --> 00:15:55,040 Speaker 2: and everybody's like, oh, Perdue can find themselves in this game, 345 00:15:55,080 --> 00:15:57,400 Speaker 2: and they don't. They actually just get destroyed and they 346 00:15:57,440 --> 00:16:00,600 Speaker 2: don't move the ball. The defense is bad. Maybe Notre 347 00:16:00,680 --> 00:16:04,440 Speaker 2: Dame see Soto over, but that's like forty and a half. Now, Okay, 348 00:16:05,360 --> 00:16:07,200 Speaker 2: I just I kind of assume that Notre Dame's at 349 00:16:07,240 --> 00:16:09,920 Speaker 2: least gonna cover this. Maybe an early early first half 350 00:16:09,960 --> 00:16:12,000 Speaker 2: line saves you from a back door or something like that. 351 00:16:12,040 --> 00:16:14,080 Speaker 2: But it just seems like this is the get right 352 00:16:14,120 --> 00:16:16,720 Speaker 2: game for Notre Dame, where, all right, you had the 353 00:16:16,800 --> 00:16:19,800 Speaker 2: two big matchups. Those were two really really tough matchups. 354 00:16:19,800 --> 00:16:22,360 Speaker 2: Now you're playing a perdude seam that, to be honest, 355 00:16:22,560 --> 00:16:23,840 Speaker 2: just isn't on Notre Dame's level. 356 00:16:24,160 --> 00:16:26,280 Speaker 3: And it was last year when they lost the ANIU. 357 00:16:26,320 --> 00:16:27,840 Speaker 3: They went to Purdue the next week and beat them 358 00:16:27,840 --> 00:16:31,480 Speaker 3: sixty six to seven. Yeah, so you definitely could be 359 00:16:31,520 --> 00:16:31,800 Speaker 3: in there. 360 00:16:33,360 --> 00:16:36,160 Speaker 1: I mean it'll probably hit with you because I'm not 361 00:16:36,280 --> 00:16:40,760 Speaker 1: on it, so same, it's all probably you know, you 362 00:16:40,800 --> 00:16:41,680 Speaker 1: can miss me on that. 363 00:16:41,840 --> 00:16:43,440 Speaker 5: But yeah. 364 00:16:43,600 --> 00:16:46,200 Speaker 1: We've also have a big ten matchup this weekend that 365 00:16:46,320 --> 00:16:48,360 Speaker 1: kind of feels a lot like the Spider Man Gift 366 00:16:48,600 --> 00:16:50,880 Speaker 1: with two very similar teams. We have the number twenty 367 00:16:50,920 --> 00:16:53,880 Speaker 1: one Michigan Wolverines. They're on the road in linking to 368 00:16:54,000 --> 00:16:58,040 Speaker 1: battle the Nebraska Cornhuskers, and as suspected, this line has 369 00:16:58,120 --> 00:17:01,680 Speaker 1: moved towards Michigan the world two and a half point favorites, 370 00:17:01,840 --> 00:17:04,480 Speaker 1: the best number you're gonna get available for him. Michigan 371 00:17:04,560 --> 00:17:06,639 Speaker 1: is beat up a little bit though. They're starting right guard, 372 00:17:06,720 --> 00:17:10,280 Speaker 1: left guard, and nickel corner all questionable for this game. Nebraska, 373 00:17:10,400 --> 00:17:13,760 Speaker 1: their starting cornerback and the linebacker are questionable as well 374 00:17:13,760 --> 00:17:15,840 Speaker 1: as a few players on the defense of too deep 375 00:17:16,119 --> 00:17:19,359 Speaker 1: projections have this game as a pick them and loves 376 00:17:19,400 --> 00:17:22,720 Speaker 1: the over. What say, Uterrell, is this a potential money 377 00:17:22,720 --> 00:17:25,560 Speaker 1: line play for you? Are you just taking to spreads? 378 00:17:26,240 --> 00:17:27,359 Speaker 5: Huh? 379 00:17:27,440 --> 00:17:29,359 Speaker 2: I mean, you guys know how I feel. The love 380 00:17:29,520 --> 00:17:33,400 Speaker 2: love hate relationship with Timo Patrick mahomes here is very 381 00:17:33,520 --> 00:17:34,240 Speaker 2: very annoying. 382 00:17:35,320 --> 00:17:38,960 Speaker 1: Call him Timo Patrick Mahomes. Yeah, oh my goodness. 383 00:17:39,480 --> 00:17:44,119 Speaker 2: And so I mean, okay, So you have Michigan interim 384 00:17:44,200 --> 00:17:49,200 Speaker 2: head coach bit Pogy, no short sleeves, by the way, 385 00:17:49,720 --> 00:17:52,639 Speaker 2: he's wearing full out sleeves. Seth like he didn't, he 386 00:17:52,640 --> 00:17:55,199 Speaker 2: didn't cut him off. He's wearing the full sleeves on 387 00:17:55,240 --> 00:17:57,639 Speaker 2: the sideline. Michigan said, no, don't don't bring any of 388 00:17:57,680 --> 00:18:02,040 Speaker 2: that around here. We wear full shirts. I don't know, 389 00:18:02,200 --> 00:18:03,520 Speaker 2: I don't. I just don't know how much of a 390 00:18:03,560 --> 00:18:06,480 Speaker 2: believer I am in Michigan. Like I just this could 391 00:18:06,480 --> 00:18:12,600 Speaker 2: be the Matt Rules season where it's all right, everything 392 00:18:12,640 --> 00:18:14,719 Speaker 2: clicks for him, like you talk about it, you know 393 00:18:14,880 --> 00:18:17,240 Speaker 2: at Temple, you talked about it in the spots before, 394 00:18:17,359 --> 00:18:19,439 Speaker 2: Like this could be the spot where everything just clicks 395 00:18:19,480 --> 00:18:21,840 Speaker 2: on the college front for Matt Rules team and they 396 00:18:21,920 --> 00:18:25,000 Speaker 2: just have a really good season. And again, I've had 397 00:18:25,000 --> 00:18:27,959 Speaker 2: my best work here on the show Fading Michigan, the 398 00:18:28,240 --> 00:18:31,320 Speaker 2: hit the best with bet the last with ou minus 399 00:18:31,359 --> 00:18:34,240 Speaker 2: five and a half against Michigan. Like this Michigan team 400 00:18:34,280 --> 00:18:36,960 Speaker 2: is just not good and they constantly become a top 401 00:18:37,000 --> 00:18:39,640 Speaker 2: twenty five rank and have these expectations with the young 402 00:18:39,720 --> 00:18:41,760 Speaker 2: quarterback and I like Underwood, I really do. And I 403 00:18:41,760 --> 00:18:45,760 Speaker 2: think he's gonna be better in this team without more now, 404 00:18:45,800 --> 00:18:47,760 Speaker 2: but I just I just don't believe in him. I 405 00:18:47,880 --> 00:18:49,679 Speaker 2: just don't believe in them on the road getting it 406 00:18:49,680 --> 00:18:52,120 Speaker 2: done here in a Big ten game. First of all, 407 00:18:52,160 --> 00:18:55,560 Speaker 2: take the under, give me Nebraska plus the points on 408 00:18:55,600 --> 00:18:58,880 Speaker 2: the money line. I really am nervous about taking team. 409 00:18:59,000 --> 00:19:00,680 Speaker 2: Patrick Mahomes though, will admit. 410 00:19:00,480 --> 00:19:04,120 Speaker 1: That, Yeah, Bogman like, I want to lay with Michigan here, 411 00:19:04,119 --> 00:19:07,000 Speaker 1: but they're another team that I just don't get right 412 00:19:07,040 --> 00:19:09,840 Speaker 1: a lot, it feels like, and so I'm off this one. 413 00:19:09,880 --> 00:19:12,960 Speaker 1: Do you have a play? Are you backing the Wolverines here? 414 00:19:13,640 --> 00:19:16,280 Speaker 5: No, I'm not either. 415 00:19:16,960 --> 00:19:18,680 Speaker 2: I don't think good about taking Michigan. 416 00:19:19,080 --> 00:19:22,120 Speaker 3: Well, and how do you feel good about taking Nebraska? 417 00:19:22,160 --> 00:19:25,440 Speaker 3: Do you know Matt rose record against AP top twenty 418 00:19:25,520 --> 00:19:25,960 Speaker 3: five team? 419 00:19:26,040 --> 00:19:26,680 Speaker 1: No? What is it? 420 00:19:26,960 --> 00:19:28,040 Speaker 5: Two and twenty two? 421 00:19:28,240 --> 00:19:32,080 Speaker 2: Oh jesus? But Michigan, Michigan is not a real top 422 00:19:32,080 --> 00:19:33,119 Speaker 2: twenty five team, So that's. 423 00:19:32,960 --> 00:19:34,760 Speaker 5: What you know what? I agree with that too. 424 00:19:35,080 --> 00:19:38,840 Speaker 3: But this defense was not good against Sworsby running. They 425 00:19:38,840 --> 00:19:41,040 Speaker 3: were great against Sorsby passing, but they did let him 426 00:19:41,080 --> 00:19:43,400 Speaker 3: run thirteen times for ninety six yards and two scores. 427 00:19:43,520 --> 00:19:45,320 Speaker 3: So I think Underwood's going to be able to run 428 00:19:45,520 --> 00:19:48,399 Speaker 3: a little bit, but does he make the critical mistake? 429 00:19:48,480 --> 00:19:50,480 Speaker 3: And I'm not going to lean on him on a 430 00:19:50,560 --> 00:19:53,520 Speaker 3: road game for him to not make the critical mistake. 431 00:19:53,600 --> 00:19:56,160 Speaker 3: I do think that, uh, this is a more much 432 00:19:56,160 --> 00:19:58,800 Speaker 3: more winnable game for them than Oklahoma. I think Michigan 433 00:19:59,000 --> 00:20:01,720 Speaker 3: can come away and they can win big in this game, 434 00:20:01,760 --> 00:20:06,440 Speaker 3: and I wouldn't be surprised, but critical mistakes from Underwood 435 00:20:06,440 --> 00:20:09,439 Speaker 3: and there's too many cracks in the foundation here. You know, 436 00:20:09,480 --> 00:20:13,040 Speaker 3: we have Pogi coaching this game instead of more. We've 437 00:20:13,080 --> 00:20:15,480 Speaker 3: already seen him on the road at Oklahoma not come through, 438 00:20:15,560 --> 00:20:17,240 Speaker 3: so I think that was a tougher game, and I 439 00:20:17,240 --> 00:20:19,280 Speaker 3: think maybe they wouldn't going away. I would take Michigan 440 00:20:19,320 --> 00:20:22,000 Speaker 3: as a lean, but I hate this game, so no way, 441 00:20:22,040 --> 00:20:23,080 Speaker 3: I'm not playing this at all. 442 00:20:23,760 --> 00:20:26,320 Speaker 1: We have another Top twenty five matchup that takes us 443 00:20:26,320 --> 00:20:29,920 Speaker 1: to Norman, where the eleventh ranked Oklahoma Sooners welcome the 444 00:20:30,000 --> 00:20:34,280 Speaker 1: number twenty two Auburn Tigers to town. Not much line 445 00:20:34,280 --> 00:20:37,240 Speaker 1: movement in this one, as ou by six and a 446 00:20:37,280 --> 00:20:40,680 Speaker 1: half is holding, but you can also get Auburn plus 447 00:20:40,720 --> 00:20:42,879 Speaker 1: seven now at a couple of our books, including our 448 00:20:42,880 --> 00:20:46,479 Speaker 1: friends over at hard Rock Bet. Injuries currently include Auburn 449 00:20:46,560 --> 00:20:50,080 Speaker 1: starting running back Damari Austin. He is expected to play 450 00:20:50,160 --> 00:20:54,320 Speaker 1: after not suiting up since the opener, Oklahoma's ex wide receiver, 451 00:20:54,400 --> 00:20:58,359 Speaker 1: though keyantes lewis the team's second leading pass catcher, and 452 00:20:58,400 --> 00:21:02,280 Speaker 1: they're starting left tackle our eshonerable for this game. Projections 453 00:21:02,320 --> 00:21:04,760 Speaker 1: that are saying stay away from this the number is 454 00:21:04,840 --> 00:21:07,119 Speaker 1: right at the current spread. So will you be, in 455 00:21:07,119 --> 00:21:10,440 Speaker 1: fact staying on the sideline of another Oklahoma game? Bogs? 456 00:21:10,720 --> 00:21:14,160 Speaker 3: Yeah, I like the Sooners in this game, man, thank you. Yeah, 457 00:21:14,240 --> 00:21:18,560 Speaker 3: it's because Jackson Jackson. Arnold is one hundred and forty 458 00:21:18,600 --> 00:21:23,360 Speaker 3: eight of one hundred and forty nine graded passers against 459 00:21:23,400 --> 00:21:26,600 Speaker 3: pressure this season, and he was awful last year as well. 460 00:21:26,840 --> 00:21:30,120 Speaker 3: In nineteen dropbacks only nineteen that he's faced pressure, He's 461 00:21:30,119 --> 00:21:33,040 Speaker 3: only gotten eight passes off. He's completed four of those 462 00:21:33,080 --> 00:21:36,480 Speaker 3: for twenty five yards. He's been sacked six times. That'd 463 00:21:36,480 --> 00:21:38,000 Speaker 3: be one hundred and thirty nine out of those one 464 00:21:38,080 --> 00:21:40,600 Speaker 3: hundred and forty nine qbs in I pressure to sack rate, 465 00:21:40,760 --> 00:21:42,560 Speaker 3: and one hundred and forty five out of one hundred 466 00:21:42,600 --> 00:21:44,920 Speaker 3: and forty nine in time to throw. He's had one 467 00:21:44,920 --> 00:21:48,440 Speaker 3: throwaway and he's scrambled twice. Oklahoma's thirty fifth and pass 468 00:21:48,520 --> 00:21:51,119 Speaker 3: rush grade has seven sacks so far this season. Auburn 469 00:21:51,200 --> 00:21:54,280 Speaker 3: is seventieth in pass block grade. They've given up seven sacks. 470 00:21:54,400 --> 00:21:55,760 Speaker 3: I think the tier is going to be able to 471 00:21:55,840 --> 00:21:59,040 Speaker 3: run in this game against this Auburn defense. And I 472 00:21:59,200 --> 00:22:02,639 Speaker 3: also think that Venables has the blueprint on Jackson Arnold, 473 00:22:02,680 --> 00:22:06,160 Speaker 3: and when he's seen in scrambling quarterbacks a couple times, 474 00:22:06,320 --> 00:22:09,600 Speaker 3: that second matchup is usually pretty good for his defenses. 475 00:22:09,680 --> 00:22:12,399 Speaker 3: Arnold has a chance to be the difference here if 476 00:22:12,440 --> 00:22:14,720 Speaker 3: he can hit some of these passes downfield. But I 477 00:22:14,840 --> 00:22:19,120 Speaker 3: just trust Mateer and Burks in the playmakers of Oklahoma, 478 00:22:19,240 --> 00:22:21,080 Speaker 3: and he's the running back right now, Like they don't 479 00:22:21,080 --> 00:22:23,520 Speaker 3: have a really strong running back, but he's the guy. 480 00:22:23,720 --> 00:22:27,359 Speaker 3: So I know that his style play is going to 481 00:22:27,440 --> 00:22:30,080 Speaker 3: lead to him potentially getting hurt at some point. Can't 482 00:22:30,080 --> 00:22:33,480 Speaker 3: take those many hits, but until it does break, that's 483 00:22:33,520 --> 00:22:35,000 Speaker 3: the way he's going to play, and I think he 484 00:22:35,040 --> 00:22:37,480 Speaker 3: plays that way again. I think Oklahoma kind of wins 485 00:22:37,520 --> 00:22:39,280 Speaker 3: this one going away. I don't really feel good for 486 00:22:39,359 --> 00:22:40,360 Speaker 3: rom And in this one. 487 00:22:40,960 --> 00:22:43,520 Speaker 1: Okay, Yeah, I'm not as confident, but I definitely do 488 00:22:43,560 --> 00:22:45,879 Speaker 1: have a play on Oklahoma coming in our Parlay show 489 00:22:46,200 --> 00:22:48,840 Speaker 1: later this week. So Trell, it seems like you're also 490 00:22:48,960 --> 00:22:50,680 Speaker 1: back in on the Sooners. And what was that number 491 00:22:50,760 --> 00:22:53,159 Speaker 1: that you got preseason for them to make the CFP, 492 00:22:53,320 --> 00:22:55,760 Speaker 1: because it's looking mighty's juicy right now. 493 00:22:56,000 --> 00:23:01,600 Speaker 2: Oh, Okay, have to go into the archives and look 494 00:23:01,640 --> 00:23:04,199 Speaker 2: for and dig that one up, but that one is 495 00:23:04,240 --> 00:23:06,840 Speaker 2: looking mighty juicy as well. I think that they're gonna 496 00:23:06,840 --> 00:23:09,000 Speaker 2: be aubur coing away to Seth. I don't know what 497 00:23:09,040 --> 00:23:12,560 Speaker 2: you're concerned about here, because you look at Auburn. They 498 00:23:12,560 --> 00:23:14,720 Speaker 2: didn't look good in that game against Baylor. I don't 499 00:23:14,720 --> 00:23:16,480 Speaker 2: care what anybody said. I didn't think they looked good 500 00:23:16,480 --> 00:23:18,360 Speaker 2: in that game against Baylor. And it was just the 501 00:23:18,680 --> 00:23:20,159 Speaker 2: I mean, the complete. 502 00:23:20,359 --> 00:23:21,919 Speaker 5: Animal was the only one that did look good. 503 00:23:22,200 --> 00:23:25,280 Speaker 2: Yeah, like everybody else, the defense didn't look good. In 504 00:23:25,280 --> 00:23:26,840 Speaker 2: my opinion, they gave up twenty four points, but I 505 00:23:26,880 --> 00:23:28,600 Speaker 2: feel like it could have been a lot more. It 506 00:23:28,600 --> 00:23:30,439 Speaker 2: was a whole bunch of yards big, a lot of 507 00:23:30,440 --> 00:23:32,000 Speaker 2: big plays here or there. And if you give that 508 00:23:32,160 --> 00:23:35,080 Speaker 2: up to material in this Ou offense, you better put 509 00:23:35,160 --> 00:23:36,879 Speaker 2: up some points. And I don't think you're gonna be 510 00:23:36,880 --> 00:23:39,840 Speaker 2: able to do that against this venerable defense. Like the 511 00:23:39,880 --> 00:23:43,280 Speaker 2: story of Oe You for me this season was similar 512 00:23:43,320 --> 00:23:46,960 Speaker 2: to literally right after Ryan Day lost to Michigan again 513 00:23:47,119 --> 00:23:51,240 Speaker 2: last season. You can't drop anything. You don't have any 514 00:23:51,320 --> 00:23:54,920 Speaker 2: leash you. Everything has to be perfect. The defense right 515 00:23:54,960 --> 00:23:58,359 Speaker 2: now is like top fifteen in almost every single statistical 516 00:23:58,400 --> 00:24:02,120 Speaker 2: category right like, they look great. This is what Venables does. 517 00:24:02,200 --> 00:24:04,600 Speaker 2: So I trust the defense of this team to go 518 00:24:04,680 --> 00:24:07,560 Speaker 2: out there and do exactly what Bob said. Throw pressure 519 00:24:07,600 --> 00:24:10,560 Speaker 2: at Arnold. He's gonna look horrible, force him turn the 520 00:24:10,560 --> 00:24:12,600 Speaker 2: ball over, and then the offense is gonna continue to 521 00:24:12,640 --> 00:24:14,320 Speaker 2: go up and down the field. On the defense, I 522 00:24:14,359 --> 00:24:16,639 Speaker 2: don't have any world I think ou is gonna be 523 00:24:16,680 --> 00:24:19,359 Speaker 2: really good here and yet another home spot from it tier, 524 00:24:19,720 --> 00:24:23,480 Speaker 2: and I don't believe that Jackson Arnold in this Auburn 525 00:24:23,520 --> 00:24:24,800 Speaker 2: offense is gonna be able to keep up. 526 00:24:25,440 --> 00:24:28,679 Speaker 1: All right, we got another SEC matchup that moves us 527 00:24:28,680 --> 00:24:32,040 Speaker 1: to the primetime slate where the South Carolina game Cocks. 528 00:24:32,240 --> 00:24:35,960 Speaker 1: They're taking on the number twenty three Missouri Tigers. Big 529 00:24:36,000 --> 00:24:39,920 Speaker 1: shrinkage in the spread so far this week Missouri. Originally 530 00:24:39,960 --> 00:24:43,120 Speaker 1: at thirteen and a half point favorites, they're now down 531 00:24:43,160 --> 00:24:46,640 Speaker 1: to eleven and a half currently. Injuries for South Carolina 532 00:24:46,640 --> 00:24:50,120 Speaker 1: include cornerback Judge Collier, he's questionable with a knee brain 533 00:24:50,840 --> 00:24:54,600 Speaker 1: out since the opener, and then Leonora Sellers as well. 534 00:24:54,640 --> 00:24:59,280 Speaker 2: Also, oh, Leonora Sellers as well, Like why would you 535 00:24:59,320 --> 00:25:01,679 Speaker 2: ever still? How would you ever got start with your 536 00:25:01,680 --> 00:25:06,720 Speaker 2: biggest Judd? No, I got you, I got you. 537 00:25:06,720 --> 00:25:10,080 Speaker 1: We'll get drafted. Yeah, but Bazoo there at full strength. 538 00:25:10,800 --> 00:25:13,399 Speaker 1: Projections right now have this line set at eleven and 539 00:25:13,440 --> 00:25:16,680 Speaker 1: a half points, so showing some ev on anything under 540 00:25:16,720 --> 00:25:19,119 Speaker 1: eleven points? Is that where you're heading? Terrell? Are you 541 00:25:19,240 --> 00:25:20,440 Speaker 1: backing the Tigers? 542 00:25:21,200 --> 00:25:26,359 Speaker 2: I mean, if it's South Carolina offense looks horrible with Sellers, 543 00:25:26,720 --> 00:25:30,000 Speaker 2: I would like to assume that they look bad without him. 544 00:25:30,040 --> 00:25:32,880 Speaker 2: But this is what Biemer does sometimes, and I think 545 00:25:32,880 --> 00:25:34,600 Speaker 2: that's what I just want to want to share here, 546 00:25:34,680 --> 00:25:36,800 Speaker 2: because I understand a lot of people are gonna be 547 00:25:36,800 --> 00:25:39,679 Speaker 2: on Miszoo in this game with potentially and probably no 548 00:25:39,760 --> 00:25:42,240 Speaker 2: sellers like that concussion. I just don't think you're coming 549 00:25:42,280 --> 00:25:45,560 Speaker 2: back from a concussion. Yeah, so more than likely no sellers. 550 00:25:45,760 --> 00:25:48,960 Speaker 2: But this This is the spot where Biemer catches people slipping, 551 00:25:49,000 --> 00:25:51,120 Speaker 2: not saying they're gonna win the game, but he likes 552 00:25:51,160 --> 00:25:53,920 Speaker 2: to catch you slipping. Slipping because now he's throwing in 553 00:25:53,960 --> 00:25:58,040 Speaker 2: all these different packages and you got freaking offensive lineman 554 00:25:58,119 --> 00:26:00,760 Speaker 2: throwing touchdowns or something like that. Like this is when 555 00:26:00,800 --> 00:26:04,600 Speaker 2: Beamer ball really comes out. When he's back against the wall. 556 00:26:04,840 --> 00:26:07,800 Speaker 2: He has a backup quarterback that nobody's really seen before, 557 00:26:07,920 --> 00:26:10,320 Speaker 2: and we can go and start throw some extra looks. 558 00:26:10,640 --> 00:26:13,199 Speaker 2: But the concern here is that Mazoo could have been 559 00:26:13,200 --> 00:26:16,280 Speaker 2: prepping throughout the whole week. I understand. I feel like 560 00:26:16,280 --> 00:26:18,200 Speaker 2: I have to take South Carolina plus points here. 561 00:26:18,480 --> 00:26:20,919 Speaker 3: What about you, boggmin This is actually one of my 562 00:26:20,960 --> 00:26:23,640 Speaker 3: favorite plays of the week, and going to take Missouri 563 00:26:23,720 --> 00:26:27,560 Speaker 3: and lay the points here. Look, Pete Damil said Shane 564 00:26:27,560 --> 00:26:31,120 Speaker 3: Biemer's comment, And we'll know tonight. So maybe as you're 565 00:26:31,600 --> 00:26:34,840 Speaker 3: listening and watching this, you'll know what's going on with 566 00:26:34,920 --> 00:26:38,480 Speaker 3: the Nora sellers. But Shane Biemer's quote was, we have 567 00:26:38,560 --> 00:26:41,439 Speaker 3: an injury report for the SEC games that we release 568 00:26:41,520 --> 00:26:44,480 Speaker 3: on Wednesday nights. That was his which says to me, 569 00:26:44,600 --> 00:26:47,400 Speaker 3: like he ain't I'll play, you know, I don't think 570 00:26:47,440 --> 00:26:49,960 Speaker 3: Sellers is going to be out there. But my concern 571 00:26:50,119 --> 00:26:52,679 Speaker 3: for South Carolina is actually on the defensive side of 572 00:26:52,680 --> 00:26:57,080 Speaker 3: the ball. And I think just the losses of Canard 573 00:26:57,320 --> 00:27:02,880 Speaker 3: Sanders and Hemingway on that Demetrius Knight at linebacker, Nick 574 00:27:02,920 --> 00:27:06,320 Speaker 3: Eman worry in this secondary right Like, there's just too 575 00:27:06,359 --> 00:27:11,119 Speaker 3: many losses on this defense for uh South Carolina to 576 00:27:11,640 --> 00:27:14,399 Speaker 3: uh stick with this Missouri team whose offense is rolling 577 00:27:14,440 --> 00:27:17,600 Speaker 3: downhill right now. We saw Matt Hardy crush his props 578 00:27:17,640 --> 00:27:20,600 Speaker 3: last week, so did Coleman. And Boprabulah has been great. 579 00:27:20,720 --> 00:27:24,280 Speaker 3: They're playing at home in this game. So and on 580 00:27:24,359 --> 00:27:26,720 Speaker 3: hard Rock it has slipped to under ten points. It 581 00:27:26,800 --> 00:27:30,960 Speaker 3: is now nine and a half point. So wow, that's right, 582 00:27:31,240 --> 00:27:33,360 Speaker 3: So let's go, let's go to hard Rock and get 583 00:27:33,359 --> 00:27:35,760 Speaker 3: this under double digits and get it at nine and 584 00:27:35,800 --> 00:27:38,800 Speaker 3: a half. And at this point it just keeps moving 585 00:27:38,840 --> 00:27:41,120 Speaker 3: towards South Carolina. Maybe just wait for it to keep 586 00:27:41,160 --> 00:27:45,520 Speaker 3: slipping and slipping. So now, if Leonora Sellers isn't playing 587 00:27:45,560 --> 00:27:48,679 Speaker 3: and we get that, it's gonna it's probably gonna go 588 00:27:48,720 --> 00:27:51,400 Speaker 3: back up. But currently, as I'm speaking into the microphone, 589 00:27:51,400 --> 00:27:53,200 Speaker 3: I'm looking at it right now nine and a half 590 00:27:53,200 --> 00:27:53,800 Speaker 3: on hard rock. 591 00:27:54,000 --> 00:27:55,200 Speaker 5: So that's the one I'm gonna take. 592 00:27:55,280 --> 00:27:57,639 Speaker 3: That's where I'll play it at And uh yeah, I 593 00:27:57,720 --> 00:27:59,800 Speaker 3: just think the difference here is the Missouri offense for 594 00:28:00,000 --> 00:28:00,920 Speaker 3: North Carolina's defense. 595 00:28:00,960 --> 00:28:02,520 Speaker 5: I don't really care what happens with sellers. 596 00:28:03,240 --> 00:28:06,119 Speaker 1: Yeah, two gentlemen, two different opinions on the keep your 597 00:28:06,119 --> 00:28:09,000 Speaker 1: head on a swivel Game of the week and before 598 00:28:09,040 --> 00:28:11,680 Speaker 1: we keep it moving a reminder you can track your bets. 599 00:28:11,720 --> 00:28:14,800 Speaker 1: You can stay accountable and level up your wagering game 600 00:28:14,880 --> 00:28:18,920 Speaker 1: by downloading the free Betting Pros app. With the Sportsbook 601 00:28:18,960 --> 00:28:21,800 Speaker 1: Seeing feature, you can automatically track your bets across all 602 00:28:21,840 --> 00:28:25,480 Speaker 1: major books in just one spot. Easily monitor your bet 603 00:28:25,520 --> 00:28:28,960 Speaker 1: performance by sport and bet type, including game picks, props, 604 00:28:28,960 --> 00:28:32,200 Speaker 1: and of course parlays. Create custom betting systems to find 605 00:28:32,240 --> 00:28:36,040 Speaker 1: winning trends and profitable opportunities. New users, you can score 606 00:28:36,080 --> 00:28:39,400 Speaker 1: yourself six months of Betting Pros Premium on the house 607 00:28:39,560 --> 00:28:43,440 Speaker 1: for your first deposit and wager any of our partner sportsbooks. 608 00:28:43,520 --> 00:28:47,640 Speaker 1: To learn more, go to Bettingpros dot com slash Premium. 609 00:28:48,840 --> 00:28:51,840 Speaker 1: South Beach will be buzzing at seven thirty pm Eastern 610 00:28:51,880 --> 00:28:55,680 Speaker 1: Time as the number four Miami Hurricanes host the reeling 611 00:28:55,800 --> 00:28:59,160 Speaker 1: Florida Gators in the presence of college game Day. We've 612 00:28:59,200 --> 00:29:03,120 Speaker 1: seen some small movements towards Florida in the spread. You 613 00:29:03,160 --> 00:29:05,600 Speaker 1: can now actually get the Gators as seven and a 614 00:29:05,640 --> 00:29:09,760 Speaker 1: half point dogs. In the injury department, Florida's starting defensive 615 00:29:09,800 --> 00:29:12,480 Speaker 1: tackle Caleb Banks one of the better players on that unit. 616 00:29:12,720 --> 00:29:15,480 Speaker 1: He is questionable, as are a couple of players on 617 00:29:15,520 --> 00:29:18,360 Speaker 1: that too. Deep on the defense as well. Miami's only 618 00:29:18,440 --> 00:29:21,200 Speaker 1: injuries are second string of wide receivers and third string 619 00:29:21,280 --> 00:29:23,560 Speaker 1: running backs, so they should be pretty much at full 620 00:29:23,600 --> 00:29:26,560 Speaker 1: health here projections right now, they're marking this at an 621 00:29:26,600 --> 00:29:28,640 Speaker 1: eight and a half point line, so showing some slight 622 00:29:28,760 --> 00:29:32,360 Speaker 1: value on Miami. That said, is this another spot to 623 00:29:32,440 --> 00:29:33,800 Speaker 1: get invested with the Canes? 624 00:29:33,800 --> 00:29:37,240 Speaker 5: Bogman, I think so. And look this is to me. 625 00:29:37,920 --> 00:29:42,680 Speaker 3: I know you specifically sad question Carson Beck's trustworth always 626 00:29:43,000 --> 00:29:46,760 Speaker 3: and I understand that, right, But what we've seen from 627 00:29:46,800 --> 00:29:50,440 Speaker 3: Florida is DJ Lagway playing the worst football in his life. 628 00:29:50,520 --> 00:29:53,320 Speaker 5: Right. We just heard Terrell talk about it. Against LSU. 629 00:29:53,440 --> 00:29:56,680 Speaker 3: Five interceptions really did help LSU because their offense did 630 00:29:56,720 --> 00:29:59,120 Speaker 3: look great, but their best defensive player is Caleb Banks, 631 00:29:59,120 --> 00:30:02,680 Speaker 3: who's questionable in this game, and the biggest thing to 632 00:30:02,720 --> 00:30:04,640 Speaker 3: me that makes the difference in this game is that 633 00:30:04,720 --> 00:30:07,600 Speaker 3: the fact that Florida is not putting pressure on opposing 634 00:30:07,680 --> 00:30:11,800 Speaker 3: quarterbacks at all, and Carson Beck is currently first in 635 00:30:11,840 --> 00:30:15,560 Speaker 3: completion percentage this year seventy nine point three percent, and 636 00:30:15,680 --> 00:30:18,720 Speaker 3: Florida has two sacks this year. They played Long Island 637 00:30:19,120 --> 00:30:22,680 Speaker 3: right and now granted Long Island had eleven pass attempts, 638 00:30:22,680 --> 00:30:25,720 Speaker 3: they never held the ball. I get that, But they 639 00:30:25,760 --> 00:30:29,920 Speaker 3: got Brown I think one time in Week two, and 640 00:30:30,160 --> 00:30:33,760 Speaker 3: obviously a tough quarterback to sack. But they didn't get 641 00:30:33,920 --> 00:30:37,240 Speaker 3: Uhmhiher at all last week. So Miami's O line is 642 00:30:37,280 --> 00:30:40,000 Speaker 3: pretty good. Carson Beck is sitting there picking people apart 643 00:30:40,040 --> 00:30:42,280 Speaker 3: if you're not going to put pressure on him. I 644 00:30:42,280 --> 00:30:44,440 Speaker 3: don't care if he's trust worthy or not. He's trust 645 00:30:44,480 --> 00:30:46,680 Speaker 3: worthy enough to get the job done against a team 646 00:30:46,680 --> 00:30:49,440 Speaker 3: that is putting no pressure with the playmakers in Miami 647 00:30:49,480 --> 00:30:53,040 Speaker 3: has so to me, this is Miami again, and just 648 00:30:53,200 --> 00:30:56,600 Speaker 3: Florida is not playing good football right now. I cannot 649 00:30:56,600 --> 00:30:59,960 Speaker 3: trust this offense at all, and with Caleb Banks being questionable, 650 00:31:00,320 --> 00:31:01,560 Speaker 3: I'm all the way on Miami. 651 00:31:02,200 --> 00:31:04,200 Speaker 1: Yeah, I feel like, you know, trying to sack Brown 652 00:31:04,520 --> 00:31:06,800 Speaker 1: is like trying to catch a grease pig. You're not 653 00:31:06,840 --> 00:31:10,040 Speaker 1: gonna do it both times. You're just not gonna get there. Terrelle, 654 00:31:10,160 --> 00:31:14,240 Speaker 1: you have been known to fade Miami as home favorites 655 00:31:14,680 --> 00:31:17,840 Speaker 1: in the Mario Chris Ball era as home dogs even 656 00:31:18,000 --> 00:31:20,360 Speaker 1: occasionally as well. So where are we going? 657 00:31:20,440 --> 00:31:20,680 Speaker 2: Here? 658 00:31:20,760 --> 00:31:24,000 Speaker 1: Are we finally getting you know, invested? Are we finally 659 00:31:24,040 --> 00:31:26,760 Speaker 1: turning the page on you know, one of your trends 660 00:31:26,760 --> 00:31:29,240 Speaker 1: that's been very profitable over the past few seasons. 661 00:31:29,760 --> 00:31:33,760 Speaker 2: How many times is a broken clock right twice a day? Well, 662 00:31:33,760 --> 00:31:36,320 Speaker 2: they got they got the two already, so they ain't 663 00:31:36,320 --> 00:31:39,280 Speaker 2: got nothing left for the rest of the season. I'm 664 00:31:39,280 --> 00:31:43,640 Speaker 2: more on Florida. I'm all over Florida, and so okay, 665 00:31:43,680 --> 00:31:45,440 Speaker 2: so look at this. First of all, all of the 666 00:31:45,520 --> 00:31:48,200 Speaker 2: DJ Lagway interceptions were not his fault. Now, there was 667 00:31:48,240 --> 00:31:49,840 Speaker 2: a bunch of bad throws in there, all of them 668 00:31:49,880 --> 00:31:53,640 Speaker 2: were not his fault. We've already gotten past the five 669 00:31:53,720 --> 00:31:57,040 Speaker 2: interception week. You don't back up a five interception week 670 00:31:57,040 --> 00:31:59,840 Speaker 2: with another five interception week unless your name is Nathan Peterman. 671 00:32:00,160 --> 00:32:03,480 Speaker 2: Like that is it? So I think that this is 672 00:32:03,680 --> 00:32:07,760 Speaker 2: now an a chance where they go and they actually 673 00:32:08,120 --> 00:32:10,800 Speaker 2: go through some film, get some work in, and they 674 00:32:10,800 --> 00:32:13,120 Speaker 2: prep for the Miami game, which is the game you 675 00:32:13,240 --> 00:32:15,960 Speaker 2: gotta have. Yes, do you want to beat your rival 676 00:32:16,000 --> 00:32:19,600 Speaker 2: in LSU, Absolutely, but the Miami Florida game is a 677 00:32:19,640 --> 00:32:22,160 Speaker 2: game you have to have. And they're looking at their 678 00:32:22,200 --> 00:32:25,800 Speaker 2: schedule and it was always all right, Now, we've got 679 00:32:25,800 --> 00:32:28,240 Speaker 2: to make some noise because we got Texas coming up, 680 00:32:28,600 --> 00:32:31,160 Speaker 2: and we gotta play Texas A and M, and then 681 00:32:31,320 --> 00:32:33,560 Speaker 2: a couple of weeks after that we've got Georgia. We 682 00:32:33,720 --> 00:32:35,840 Speaker 2: got to start making some rate, some waves and at 683 00:32:35,880 --> 00:32:39,200 Speaker 2: least building some momental. Maybe they still lose this game, maybe, 684 00:32:39,520 --> 00:32:42,480 Speaker 2: but crystaball for one is one person that I'm not 685 00:32:42,640 --> 00:32:45,400 Speaker 2: I don't care what Miami has going on, how good 686 00:32:45,440 --> 00:32:47,800 Speaker 2: they look. I'm never gonna trust Crystal Ball week the 687 00:32:47,840 --> 00:32:52,000 Speaker 2: week in the Exason fair never. I'm not gonna trust 688 00:32:52,040 --> 00:32:54,400 Speaker 2: Corson Beck week to week. And if we're depending on 689 00:32:54,480 --> 00:32:57,240 Speaker 2: the offensive line, I get Caleb Banks is not gonna 690 00:32:57,240 --> 00:32:59,400 Speaker 2: be playing in this game. It says questionable what they made. 691 00:32:59,400 --> 00:33:01,920 Speaker 2: It seem like everything, all the reports make it seem 692 00:33:01,960 --> 00:33:04,360 Speaker 2: like this is a worse foot injury than what it 693 00:33:04,440 --> 00:33:06,360 Speaker 2: was when it started and he reacted. 694 00:33:06,400 --> 00:33:08,760 Speaker 3: He didn't look right when he did play last week. 695 00:33:08,840 --> 00:33:10,920 Speaker 3: That was really the thing. So even if he does 696 00:33:10,960 --> 00:33:11,960 Speaker 3: plays less than not, but. 697 00:33:11,920 --> 00:33:14,480 Speaker 2: He hasn't they already been without one. And that's my 698 00:33:14,560 --> 00:33:16,880 Speaker 2: point is that they've already been without him. They've already 699 00:33:16,880 --> 00:33:19,240 Speaker 2: got these defensive line some work and there are some 700 00:33:19,320 --> 00:33:22,080 Speaker 2: big players, and I think they can rattle this Miami 701 00:33:22,120 --> 00:33:24,560 Speaker 2: offensive line. And that's what the game plan is this week. 702 00:33:24,840 --> 00:33:27,240 Speaker 2: Get some pressure on Carson Beck. We get some pressure 703 00:33:27,280 --> 00:33:29,600 Speaker 2: on Carson Beck. He's not gonna look like this guy. 704 00:33:29,680 --> 00:33:31,720 Speaker 2: Like I'm telling you, Carson Beck is not this guy. 705 00:33:31,960 --> 00:33:34,280 Speaker 2: I promise he's not this guy. I don't care. I 706 00:33:34,280 --> 00:33:36,560 Speaker 2: don't care, Seth. I'm going back to it. They've already 707 00:33:36,560 --> 00:33:39,040 Speaker 2: gotten their two broken chances that they were right. So 708 00:33:39,360 --> 00:33:42,680 Speaker 2: Florida lane catching the seven and a half here against Miami, 709 00:33:42,880 --> 00:33:45,760 Speaker 2: I think that maybe we see some type of three 710 00:33:45,800 --> 00:33:48,280 Speaker 2: point four point five point game here, maybe Florida blows 711 00:33:48,280 --> 00:33:50,560 Speaker 2: it in the end. But I just don't trust Miami 712 00:33:50,560 --> 00:33:52,800 Speaker 2: and Christaball. I can't get over that enough. 713 00:33:53,640 --> 00:33:55,000 Speaker 1: You know how I can tell it's gonna be a 714 00:33:55,040 --> 00:33:57,840 Speaker 1: better week than last week is because you guys agreed 715 00:33:57,880 --> 00:34:01,160 Speaker 1: on a ton in week three, and we are back 716 00:34:01,200 --> 00:34:06,240 Speaker 1: to the same bigger taking different sides. Yes, I love it. 717 00:34:06,320 --> 00:34:09,279 Speaker 1: I love it. Maybe feeling snub from not having the 718 00:34:09,520 --> 00:34:13,240 Speaker 1: ESPN crew on campus. Is the number nineteen Indiana Hoosiers, 719 00:34:13,280 --> 00:34:17,279 Speaker 1: they're welcoming the number nine Illinois fighting ALLIONI to Bloomington 720 00:34:17,719 --> 00:34:21,440 Speaker 1: in prime time. This spread has actually widened out a point. 721 00:34:21,440 --> 00:34:24,080 Speaker 1: You can now get Illinois plus five and a half. 722 00:34:24,719 --> 00:34:27,280 Speaker 1: Illinois is in terms of injuries. They have two starting 723 00:34:27,320 --> 00:34:31,719 Speaker 1: quarterbacks and they're green dot linebacker Dylan Rusayak, who are 724 00:34:31,719 --> 00:34:35,320 Speaker 1: all questionable. Indiana just their punter and a few defensive 725 00:34:35,320 --> 00:34:38,600 Speaker 1: players in the two deep questionable for this game projections. 726 00:34:38,719 --> 00:34:42,040 Speaker 1: With the movement, they are showing value on the ALIGNI 727 00:34:42,120 --> 00:34:44,640 Speaker 1: that this should be closer back to that original three 728 00:34:44,680 --> 00:34:47,560 Speaker 1: and a half point line. So, Terrell, do you agree 729 00:34:47,600 --> 00:34:50,240 Speaker 1: that having the Hoosiers favored by five and a half 730 00:34:50,440 --> 00:34:51,680 Speaker 1: is maybe a bridge too far? 731 00:34:52,400 --> 00:34:54,279 Speaker 2: First of all, I don't care if it's Indiana. This 732 00:34:54,360 --> 00:34:56,120 Speaker 2: is still a big ten game. Waits too many points 733 00:34:56,160 --> 00:34:58,880 Speaker 2: on the total? Who wait, so many boys total? 734 00:34:59,000 --> 00:34:59,719 Speaker 1: So you're on the under? 735 00:35:00,239 --> 00:35:03,040 Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, yeah, you're You're hard pressed to ever see 736 00:35:03,080 --> 00:35:05,120 Speaker 2: me bit Tho over in a Big ten game. But 737 00:35:05,920 --> 00:35:08,239 Speaker 2: I really think it's under here because I think this 738 00:35:08,320 --> 00:35:11,280 Speaker 2: is gonna go more of the Allianti side of the ball. 739 00:35:11,360 --> 00:35:13,200 Speaker 2: I think they're gonna be more physical at the point 740 00:35:13,200 --> 00:35:16,080 Speaker 2: of attack. I think they're gonna get uh and rush 741 00:35:16,120 --> 00:35:19,040 Speaker 2: the IU quarterback here, and they're gonna really really challenge 742 00:35:19,040 --> 00:35:22,239 Speaker 2: that offense. Like we've seen Indiana be able to move 743 00:35:22,280 --> 00:35:24,359 Speaker 2: the ball at different times in this season, and for 744 00:35:24,400 --> 00:35:27,200 Speaker 2: whatever reason, they've had multiple chances in drives where they 745 00:35:27,239 --> 00:35:30,319 Speaker 2: just could not close out, like especially in the ODU game, 746 00:35:30,760 --> 00:35:33,880 Speaker 2: Like Bobs was talking about it and his number, the 747 00:35:33,960 --> 00:35:35,920 Speaker 2: number he had on the game, and oh, we had 748 00:35:35,960 --> 00:35:38,080 Speaker 2: five hundred yards of offense and we can't close out. 749 00:35:38,120 --> 00:35:40,799 Speaker 2: We can't quit the points on the board. And I 750 00:35:40,880 --> 00:35:44,319 Speaker 2: mean they went and spent all of the points that 751 00:35:44,360 --> 00:35:46,520 Speaker 2: they had to use for this game on Indiana State 752 00:35:46,600 --> 00:35:49,160 Speaker 2: last week, and I think that was a huge mistake. 753 00:35:49,960 --> 00:35:53,600 Speaker 2: That this is this is going to be their karma 754 00:35:53,760 --> 00:35:57,839 Speaker 2: for whatever they did to Indiana State last week. So 755 00:35:58,280 --> 00:36:00,759 Speaker 2: I'm on the Alian. I think that the defense is 756 00:36:00,800 --> 00:36:03,560 Speaker 2: gonna really really punch this offense in the mouth. And 757 00:36:03,840 --> 00:36:06,040 Speaker 2: as much as I don't trust Luke Altmeyer, and I 758 00:36:06,120 --> 00:36:08,239 Speaker 2: really don't. I think he has enough to cover five 759 00:36:08,239 --> 00:36:08,839 Speaker 2: and a half here. 760 00:36:09,400 --> 00:36:11,839 Speaker 1: Yeah, Bogman, I do agree with trell. I think there 761 00:36:11,880 --> 00:36:14,920 Speaker 1: is some ev sitting over there on the Aliani side. 762 00:36:15,080 --> 00:36:17,279 Speaker 1: It's what he thinks, it's what our projections are saying 763 00:36:17,320 --> 00:36:20,920 Speaker 1: as well. That said, you won't catch me ever fading 764 00:36:20,960 --> 00:36:22,160 Speaker 1: sig Signetti. 765 00:36:21,760 --> 00:36:22,480 Speaker 6: In a big spot. 766 00:36:22,640 --> 00:36:24,799 Speaker 1: So I'm gonna go ahead walk away from this one. 767 00:36:24,840 --> 00:36:25,399 Speaker 1: What say you? 768 00:36:25,680 --> 00:36:28,000 Speaker 3: I'm with you, Seth. I'm not messing with it either. 769 00:36:28,000 --> 00:36:31,040 Speaker 3: And really, to me, it's just that we haven't seen 770 00:36:31,120 --> 00:36:33,120 Speaker 3: much from either one of these teams. Illinois went on 771 00:36:33,480 --> 00:36:36,479 Speaker 3: the road and be Duke. Right, that's a good win, right, 772 00:36:37,040 --> 00:36:39,319 Speaker 3: But maybe Duke is just not like we I think 773 00:36:39,360 --> 00:36:42,000 Speaker 3: a lot of people me included, like hey, Darry Mensa 774 00:36:42,520 --> 00:36:44,919 Speaker 3: going to Duke. Maybe that's a much better team. Yeah, 775 00:36:44,960 --> 00:36:47,640 Speaker 3: maybe not though maybe they're just Duke, you know, maybe 776 00:36:47,640 --> 00:36:51,280 Speaker 3: they're just regular Duke. Indiana's strengthen schedule is one hundred 777 00:36:51,280 --> 00:36:54,839 Speaker 3: and twenty ninth in the country. So I don't think 778 00:36:54,840 --> 00:36:58,239 Speaker 3: that we've really seen enough to properly evaluate either one 779 00:36:58,280 --> 00:37:00,440 Speaker 3: of these teams. I think this is the game to 780 00:37:00,520 --> 00:37:03,200 Speaker 3: evaluate them on, right, Like I think both these teams 781 00:37:03,200 --> 00:37:06,200 Speaker 3: are strong. Signetti said that in his press conference. You know, 782 00:37:06,239 --> 00:37:08,480 Speaker 3: we talked about how Luke Altmeyer has a lot of 783 00:37:08,520 --> 00:37:11,520 Speaker 3: experience and this defense will get after you, and they're 784 00:37:11,600 --> 00:37:13,960 Speaker 3: very well disciplined, and how great of a coach Brett 785 00:37:13,960 --> 00:37:17,480 Speaker 3: Bielima is. I think he's right. Roster grades are similar. 786 00:37:17,560 --> 00:37:20,759 Speaker 3: Thirteen for Indiana, twenty two for Illinois. Indiana being at 787 00:37:20,760 --> 00:37:24,560 Speaker 3: home would be my lean. I actually do kind of 788 00:37:24,600 --> 00:37:27,040 Speaker 3: like the over, but I wouldn't touch that Eitherterrell. So 789 00:37:27,760 --> 00:37:30,520 Speaker 3: let me just miss this game and learn something from 790 00:37:30,560 --> 00:37:31,560 Speaker 3: it instead of betting on it. 791 00:37:31,640 --> 00:37:33,799 Speaker 5: Pass completely wow. 792 00:37:33,680 --> 00:37:37,120 Speaker 1: Some big passes in a Big ten game. I'm here 793 00:37:37,160 --> 00:37:40,799 Speaker 1: for it, though I completely understand really the justification for it. Right. 794 00:37:41,000 --> 00:37:42,560 Speaker 1: It's one of those spots where I want to learn 795 00:37:42,560 --> 00:37:44,479 Speaker 1: a little bit more about Indiana. I want to learn 796 00:37:44,680 --> 00:37:46,279 Speaker 1: just a little bit more about Illinois. I think I 797 00:37:46,320 --> 00:37:48,480 Speaker 1: knew who they are, but I'm not totally sure. And 798 00:37:48,520 --> 00:37:51,840 Speaker 1: we do have, like your boy Fernando here, Trell for 799 00:37:51,920 --> 00:37:54,640 Speaker 1: the first time in maybe all season, back in a 800 00:37:54,640 --> 00:37:57,080 Speaker 1: big spot, so coming over from the Calgarithm, So that 801 00:37:57,080 --> 00:38:00,560 Speaker 1: would be a really fun matchup. Looking forward to that. Gentlemen, 802 00:38:00,800 --> 00:38:04,080 Speaker 1: let's though, let's round out the program with the Arizona 803 00:38:04,120 --> 00:38:07,400 Speaker 1: State Sun Devils. They're on the road in mcclennan County, Texas. 804 00:38:07,520 --> 00:38:10,520 Speaker 1: They're gonna be facing the Baylor Bears here right now. 805 00:38:10,560 --> 00:38:13,200 Speaker 1: You can get Arizona State if you want them as 806 00:38:13,200 --> 00:38:15,600 Speaker 1: a two and a half point dog. This line has 807 00:38:15,640 --> 00:38:19,040 Speaker 1: not moved at all this week as far as injuries. 808 00:38:19,080 --> 00:38:22,200 Speaker 1: ASU has been without their projected starting running back Kyson 809 00:38:22,239 --> 00:38:25,880 Speaker 1: Brown and their slot wide receiver Jalen Moss since the opener. 810 00:38:26,239 --> 00:38:28,600 Speaker 1: No updates whether they'll be up for this one or not. 811 00:38:29,000 --> 00:38:32,360 Speaker 1: Baylor right now, they're starting nose tackle DK Callou and 812 00:38:32,440 --> 00:38:36,520 Speaker 1: their center Colston Prysin are also questionable for this game. 813 00:38:36,760 --> 00:38:40,439 Speaker 1: Our projections are showing that this line should be set 814 00:38:40,520 --> 00:38:44,200 Speaker 1: at four points, so showing slight ev towards the Bears. 815 00:38:45,080 --> 00:38:46,600 Speaker 1: Are you ahead in that direction? Trail? 816 00:38:47,080 --> 00:38:47,799 Speaker 2: No? 817 00:38:47,800 --> 00:38:52,160 Speaker 3: No, No, So week one, He'll never bet on Sawyer 818 00:38:52,239 --> 00:38:53,680 Speaker 3: Robertson again, Is that right? 819 00:38:54,160 --> 00:38:54,359 Speaker 2: Yeah? 820 00:38:54,480 --> 00:38:56,080 Speaker 1: Ball thrower Sawyer Robertson. 821 00:38:56,560 --> 00:39:01,200 Speaker 2: And you know what he's gotten me. He has He 822 00:39:01,280 --> 00:39:04,600 Speaker 2: got me with Auburn and me believing that he was talented, 823 00:39:05,080 --> 00:39:07,920 Speaker 2: and then he got me again with the punch in 824 00:39:07,920 --> 00:39:10,719 Speaker 2: the mouth with Smu. I did catch the team total 825 00:39:10,760 --> 00:39:12,399 Speaker 2: in that one though, but he did get me again 826 00:39:12,440 --> 00:39:14,640 Speaker 2: with the punch of the mouth, and Smu, I understand 827 00:39:14,719 --> 00:39:17,399 Speaker 2: what I'm doing. I have to stick with what I'm doing, 828 00:39:17,480 --> 00:39:19,840 Speaker 2: and it's just continuing to fade him. He's gonna have 829 00:39:19,920 --> 00:39:22,800 Speaker 2: his moments and it's perfectly fine. They didn't cover against 830 00:39:22,840 --> 00:39:24,759 Speaker 2: Sanford last week. I just want to put that out there, 831 00:39:24,840 --> 00:39:27,560 Speaker 2: by the way, did not cover the number against Sanford. 832 00:39:27,800 --> 00:39:31,040 Speaker 2: And so with that being said, Kenning Dillingham five and 833 00:39:31,160 --> 00:39:35,000 Speaker 2: three ats as a road dog, he's good in that spot. 834 00:39:35,120 --> 00:39:38,640 Speaker 2: I like this forts up team here in terms of 835 00:39:39,120 --> 00:39:42,560 Speaker 2: I do not one trust Baylor defensively at all, like 836 00:39:42,680 --> 00:39:46,920 Speaker 2: at all, Just go ahead and circle the Arizona seems 837 00:39:46,920 --> 00:39:48,759 Speaker 2: little over for this game. Just throw that on the 838 00:39:48,800 --> 00:39:51,080 Speaker 2: card as well. Don't trust them at all. But then 839 00:39:51,520 --> 00:39:54,359 Speaker 2: I have no trust for Robertson and making a play 840 00:39:54,400 --> 00:39:57,200 Speaker 2: when it matters. I just really don't. We saw them 841 00:39:57,400 --> 00:39:59,960 Speaker 2: completely like the home field means nothing to them. Clearly, 842 00:40:00,239 --> 00:40:02,160 Speaker 2: we saw them not show up at all for Arburn 843 00:40:02,280 --> 00:40:06,080 Speaker 2: there and Jackson Arnold looked crazy. Levit could go out 844 00:40:06,080 --> 00:40:08,320 Speaker 2: there and go on the ground and have some crazy 845 00:40:08,320 --> 00:40:10,120 Speaker 2: one hundred yards on the ground and nobody would be 846 00:40:10,160 --> 00:40:12,560 Speaker 2: supplied like Levin is a gamer, and so if you 847 00:40:12,600 --> 00:40:14,400 Speaker 2: gave that up to Arnold, I'm gonna just assume you're 848 00:40:14,400 --> 00:40:16,400 Speaker 2: gonna give it up Levit too. I want nothing to 849 00:40:16,400 --> 00:40:19,120 Speaker 2: do with this Baylet team. I did not make ASU 850 00:40:19,280 --> 00:40:21,800 Speaker 2: the best bet of the week, but I'm really really 851 00:40:21,880 --> 00:40:25,239 Speaker 2: considering changing it like mid show right here, because there's 852 00:40:25,280 --> 00:40:26,799 Speaker 2: no reason we should be on Baylor ever. 853 00:40:27,560 --> 00:40:30,440 Speaker 1: Yeah, I am surprised that they are favored by two 854 00:40:30,480 --> 00:40:34,040 Speaker 1: and Alflete I get home field advantage, but Arizona State, while 855 00:40:34,040 --> 00:40:36,800 Speaker 1: they lost to the Bulldogs down there in Starkfield, I 856 00:40:36,800 --> 00:40:39,239 Speaker 1: don't think they're a terrible team. And Bogs, you'll have 857 00:40:39,320 --> 00:40:42,840 Speaker 1: your prop show later this week. I'm sure potentially maybe 858 00:40:42,840 --> 00:40:45,160 Speaker 1: some Jordan Tyson props on the card or even some 859 00:40:45,239 --> 00:40:47,440 Speaker 1: Sam Levitt Sam Anytime touchdowns. 860 00:40:47,920 --> 00:40:50,400 Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, Sam Levitt is definitely gonna be on the 861 00:40:50,480 --> 00:40:53,120 Speaker 3: card right And that's why I'll just I'll go ahead 862 00:40:53,160 --> 00:40:56,480 Speaker 3: and not mess with this game. Baylor has almost got 863 00:40:56,560 --> 00:40:59,239 Speaker 3: me twice. They got me once in that SMU game 864 00:40:59,560 --> 00:41:02,160 Speaker 3: in over time. I didn't have the team total like 865 00:41:02,239 --> 00:41:04,600 Speaker 3: Terrell did, so I just got hosed on that one. 866 00:41:04,640 --> 00:41:05,920 Speaker 5: I did get them with Auburn. 867 00:41:05,960 --> 00:41:09,319 Speaker 3: I was right in that and watching that game in 868 00:41:09,360 --> 00:41:13,480 Speaker 3: seeing Jackson are run against them, I think Sam Levitt 869 00:41:13,520 --> 00:41:15,240 Speaker 3: is going to be able to run very well because 870 00:41:15,280 --> 00:41:17,680 Speaker 3: Baylor is allowing one hundred and eighty eight point three 871 00:41:17,760 --> 00:41:20,800 Speaker 3: yards per game rushing right now, which is one hundred 872 00:41:20,800 --> 00:41:22,680 Speaker 3: and sixteenth in the country. That's one hundred and twenty 873 00:41:22,680 --> 00:41:26,480 Speaker 3: six in run defense grade on PFF say, Robertson is 874 00:41:26,480 --> 00:41:29,680 Speaker 3: playing better passing right now than Sam Levitt. Levitt has 875 00:41:29,680 --> 00:41:32,399 Speaker 3: had some ugly passes, He's made some major mistakes. Even 876 00:41:32,400 --> 00:41:34,920 Speaker 3: watching that a lot of NAU game, he was making 877 00:41:34,960 --> 00:41:37,400 Speaker 3: mistakes there. He had some turnover where he plays that 878 00:41:37,560 --> 00:41:40,600 Speaker 3: just didn't fall for them. The over I kind of 879 00:41:40,640 --> 00:41:43,400 Speaker 3: like as well. The Bears are second in pass attempts. 880 00:41:43,400 --> 00:41:46,399 Speaker 3: There's seventh in pace this year as well. Arizona State 881 00:41:46,440 --> 00:41:48,200 Speaker 3: likes to slow it down a little bit more. But 882 00:41:48,719 --> 00:41:51,839 Speaker 3: Baylor's the favorite and they're at home. But again, let's 883 00:41:51,840 --> 00:41:53,680 Speaker 3: just hit props in this game later in the week, 884 00:41:53,920 --> 00:41:56,040 Speaker 3: and let's not touch it here because I don't know 885 00:41:56,040 --> 00:41:56,680 Speaker 3: who to trust. 886 00:41:57,480 --> 00:41:59,600 Speaker 1: Gentlemen, let's get out of here. On our best bets 887 00:41:59,600 --> 00:41:59,960 Speaker 1: of the week. 888 00:42:00,080 --> 00:42:03,960 Speaker 2: What do you have Trell the real you, the real you, 889 00:42:04,000 --> 00:42:06,480 Speaker 2: give me the youth, saw you stick, get it done. 890 00:42:06,560 --> 00:42:09,040 Speaker 2: I'm not. I'm not going against this ut saw c man. 891 00:42:09,120 --> 00:42:10,719 Speaker 2: I think they're clearly one of the best teams in 892 00:42:10,719 --> 00:42:12,560 Speaker 2: a big swell give me you saw La and three. 893 00:42:12,719 --> 00:42:15,400 Speaker 1: Okay, what about you, Bogin, Let's thread the needle. 894 00:42:15,440 --> 00:42:17,560 Speaker 3: Let's get that Missouri number at nine and a half, 895 00:42:17,600 --> 00:42:19,880 Speaker 3: and let's go with them at home against a banged 896 00:42:19,920 --> 00:42:22,880 Speaker 3: up South Carolina team, and I think the defensive problems 897 00:42:22,920 --> 00:42:24,960 Speaker 3: are bigger than we're giving them credit for it at. 898 00:42:24,920 --> 00:42:27,879 Speaker 1: Sc Okay, my best bet not when we previewed here 899 00:42:27,920 --> 00:42:30,160 Speaker 1: on the show, but I'll talk more about it over 900 00:42:30,200 --> 00:42:33,000 Speaker 1: in the parlay episode. It's gonna be Toledo minus thirteen 901 00:42:33,040 --> 00:42:36,080 Speaker 1: and a half against Western Michigan. So that'll be my 902 00:42:36,160 --> 00:42:38,880 Speaker 1: best bet once again going back to the MAC that 903 00:42:39,040 --> 00:42:40,560 Speaker 1: is going to do it for us, though on this 904 00:42:40,640 --> 00:42:43,400 Speaker 1: episode of the Betting Pros College Football Show still to 905 00:42:43,440 --> 00:42:46,640 Speaker 1: come later this week. As I alluded to our parlay picks, 906 00:42:46,719 --> 00:42:49,160 Speaker 1: Bog's best bets as well. Let us go down in 907 00:42:49,160 --> 00:42:52,239 Speaker 1: the comments below your favorite Week four picks for the 908 00:42:52,280 --> 00:42:55,120 Speaker 1: CFB season, and while you're here, make sure you're smashing 909 00:42:55,160 --> 00:42:57,520 Speaker 1: that like bund and subscribing to the channel. If you're 910 00:42:57,560 --> 00:43:00,520 Speaker 1: new for Scott Bogman intro Firman Junior, I set take 911 00:43:00,560 --> 00:43:01,080 Speaker 1: care of y'all. 912 00:43:01,880 --> 00:43:04,480 Speaker 6: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you 913 00:43:04,560 --> 00:43:06,920 Speaker 6: love the show, The best freeway to support us is 914 00:43:06,920 --> 00:43:08,719 Speaker 6: by leaving a positive review on. 915 00:43:08,719 --> 00:43:10,360 Speaker 5: Apple Podcasts or Spotify. 916 00:43:10,640 --> 00:43:13,239 Speaker 6: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and 917 00:43:13,360 --> 00:43:17,000 Speaker 6: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube 918 00:43:17,080 --> 00:43:19,560 Speaker 6: channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros