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Speaker 1: Hey guys, how are you welcome into a Thursday morning

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Speaker 1: episode of the Daily Jude podcast with me and Matt Peralt.

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Speaker 1: You guys can follow me across all of my socials

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Speaker 1: at Sports Talk. Matt back after a one and two

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Speaker 1: day back to back one and two days unfortunately college

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Speaker 1: basketball stony Brook. What the heck was that? Stony Brook

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Speaker 1: shot the ball horribly. That's why I bet them because

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Speaker 1: of their shooting percentage. But they shot horribly, not so

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Speaker 1: much what all Bunny did to them. They shot the

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Speaker 1: ball really poorly, So the handicap was right, the bet

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Speaker 1: was wrong. The under comes in on the bowl game.

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Speaker 1: We have now hit three straight bowl games. We're going

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Speaker 1: to bet another one because we've hit three in a

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Speaker 1: row for bowl game bets. NBA player proplem missus a

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Speaker 1: Lonzo ball does not go over fourteen and a half points,

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Speaker 1: rebounds and assists. He falls just short of that, so

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Speaker 1: we go one and two down one point two units

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Speaker 1: on the day. Now I have got two bets on

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Speaker 1: tonight's THURSDA night football game, one of which is the

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Speaker 1: hard rock bet of the day, and then I have

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Speaker 1: got a college football bowl game bet for tonight with

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Speaker 1: Missouri and Arkansas State going after it so all football today.

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Speaker 1: We're gonna stick with it here on a Thursday, big

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Speaker 1: college football day. We're gonna stay away from player props

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Speaker 1: as well. We're just gonna avoid all that. We're just

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Speaker 1: going to take a side, a total and a side

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Speaker 1: here for us on the day. But this podcast, the

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Speaker 1: talking about the Bowl game first, and then we'll get

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Speaker 1: to the THURSDA night game tonight between Seattle and the

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Speaker 1: La Rams. So this is an interesting game. It is

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Speaker 1: the Xbox Bowl. We have been going pretty well here, right,

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Speaker 1: So we got the Boise State Washington game at sofar right,

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Speaker 1: we played the under in that game we played the

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Speaker 1: Troy and Jacksonville State game. We took Jacksonville State plus

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Speaker 1: the points. We played the under in ODU in South Florida.

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Speaker 1: We got that right. And now we move on to

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Speaker 1: at the Ford Center at the Star in Dallas, Texas,

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Speaker 1: the Missouri State in Arkansas State Bowl game. Now, for

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Speaker 1: Missouri State, this is our first year being an FBS

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Speaker 1: team and being Bowl eligible. This is great to me, Okay,

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Speaker 1: making a bowl game. Arkansas State went six and six,

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Speaker 1: Missouri went seven, Missouri State went seven and five. They

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Speaker 1: have an offense that's pretty good. And if you look

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Speaker 1: at this numbers at wise, they're pretty evenly matched seven

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Speaker 1: and five versus eight and four Missouri State seven and five.

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Speaker 1: Augusta State's eight and four, six and two over their

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Speaker 1: last eight games in conference, seven and three over our

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Speaker 1: last ten, Missouri State went six and four. But again,

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Speaker 1: it's about motivation to me, it's about interest to me,

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Speaker 1: it's about opportunity to me, and I think when you

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Speaker 1: look at Missouri State, I just think they're they're going

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Speaker 1: to be fired up to be here. This number has

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Speaker 1: flipped completely due to the opt outs and who's in

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Speaker 1: and who's out. It opened up with a two and

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Speaker 1: a half point number for Arkansas State and it has

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Speaker 1: totally flipped to minus one for Missouri State. Now not

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Speaker 1: a lot of You don't need a ton of money

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Speaker 1: for that to happen. But I'm going to trail the

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Speaker 1: steam here and I'm going to take a Missouri State

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Speaker 1: team that I think will be more interested in this

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Speaker 1: bowl game than Arkansas State will be. Look, I'm not

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Speaker 1: going to go perfect in the bull season, but three

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Speaker 1: and oh is three and oh to start the ball season.

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Speaker 1: Let's keep it rolling here. I'm going to come in

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Speaker 1: with Missouri State minus one for one point one units.

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Speaker 1: Second bet. Let's talk about the total between Seattle and

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Speaker 1: La Rams Seahawks massive game. Here comes the weather. All right,

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Speaker 1: this comes from my guy Kevin Roth who is awesome

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Speaker 1: on Twitter. You go and check out his Twitter account.

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Speaker 1: It's at Kevin roth wx I believe is his Twitter handle. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: at Kevin roth wx on Twitter X awesome guy to

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Speaker 1: follow for weather reports. He does game day weather and

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Speaker 1: betting weather. He on his website is talking on Twitter,

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Speaker 1: is talking about the rain and the wind, and the

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Speaker 1: wind is a lot more significant than the rain. Happening

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Speaker 1: in Seattle. We're talking about strong winds with gusts of

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Speaker 1: up to forty miles per hour, that with sustained winds

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Speaker 1: of around twenty miles per hour. That's gonna factor into

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Speaker 1: throwing the football. It's gonna factor into kicking the football.

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Speaker 1: It's gonna limit what you can do down the field.

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Speaker 1: It's gonna limit Matthew Stafford's bombs. It's gonna limit Sam

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Speaker 1: Darnold's long, long throws to Jackson Smith Injigma. This is

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Speaker 1: a significant amount of wind that will impact on this game.

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Speaker 1: The total opened up at forty six and a half.

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Speaker 1: It's been all the way down on the show on Tuesday,

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Speaker 1: I did with Pat fitz Morris that we do every

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Speaker 1: Tuesday for the look Ahead. I bet this at forty four.

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Speaker 1: I think you can still take it at forty two

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Speaker 1: and a half if you would like. I wouldn't go

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Speaker 1: much lower than forty two here, but I do think

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Speaker 1: twenty one to nineteen was the first score in the

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Speaker 1: first matchup, and that was in perfect conditions. I think

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Speaker 1: we'll see a very low scoring game here between these

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Speaker 1: two teams, and the weather could be the number one

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Speaker 1: reason why the wind could be a number one one

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Speaker 1: reason why this can happen. Sprinkle a shower here or there,

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Speaker 1: but the wind whipping in this game I think could

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Speaker 1: be really, really significant. If you want to wait till pregame,

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Speaker 1: you can do that and check it out. But for me,

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna come in. I'm taking the under. We're going

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Speaker 1: under forty two and a half between the Rams and

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Speaker 1: the Seahawks, particular because of what has happened with this offense.

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Speaker 1: They couldn't score the Seahawks couldn't score a touchdown against

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Speaker 1: the Colts last week. That is a real big worry

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Speaker 1: Sam Darnald's offense. That's a real big worry for me here.

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Speaker 1: I'm not all in on Sam Darnold at the moment

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Speaker 1: as to what this offense is looking like. So for me,

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Speaker 1: under forty two and a half for the Rams and

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Speaker 1: the Seahawks weather and that offense for Seattle and Seattle's

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Speaker 1: defense is pretty good as well, under forty two and half.

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Speaker 1: Let's talk about where the Rams are against the Seahawks.

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Speaker 1: The numbers are quite remarkable. When you start breaking down

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Speaker 1: exactly where the Rams are, it's it's hard to sit

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Speaker 1: here in back the Seahawks. Okay, I know there are

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Speaker 1: some people who are going to tell you to back

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Speaker 1: the Seahawks. I'm a trend better and the trends are

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Speaker 1: all really nasty going against the Seahawks. Sean McVay is

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Speaker 1: seventeen and eight on short rest when coaching the Rams.

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Speaker 1: That's the fourth best of any coach in the last

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Speaker 1: twenty years. Sean McVay is twelve and six ats against

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Speaker 1: the Seahawks coaching the Rams, but he's eleven and three

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Speaker 1: since twenty nineteen. The Rams beat the Seahawks by two

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Speaker 1: in Week eleven, they did not cover the spread. McVeigh

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Speaker 1: hasn't failed to cover the spread on zero to two

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Speaker 1: against Seattle since twenty eighteen. With Matthew Stafford at quarterback,

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Speaker 1: the Rams have never lost to the Seahawks. They're six

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Speaker 1: and oh six and oh and four and two against

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Speaker 1: the spread. Sean McVay is thirty three twenty one one

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Speaker 1: ats against the NFC West. It's remarkable against the Cardinals

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Speaker 1: and the Seahawks, he's twenty five ten and one. I

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Speaker 1: understand the injury to DeVante Adams, I do, but he's

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Speaker 1: a wide receiver. Okay, Pukinakua is still playing. They still

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Speaker 1: have the running game, and in the bad weather, I'm

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Speaker 1: not sure how much they'd be throwing bombs to DeVante Adams. Anyway,

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Speaker 1: He's an amazing red zone threat, but he's not the

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Speaker 1: only guy that can score touchdowns for the La Rams.

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Speaker 1: And I'm sorry, Mike McDonald at home just hasn't been

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Speaker 1: the same quarterback. I don't know why. Under Mike McDonald,

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Speaker 1: Seattle is oh to three straight up and oh and

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Speaker 1: three against the spread. When they're playing on a home stand.

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Speaker 1: I mean, this is not good. So here's their home stand.

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Speaker 1: They're facing the Rams after playing the Colts last week,

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Speaker 1: and I just don't trust my McDonald. I love him

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Speaker 1: on the road, I love him in the Eastern time zone.

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Speaker 1: I just don't like him at home. I really don't

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Speaker 1: like him against Sean McVeagh, who is facing the Seahawks

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Speaker 1: at night in primetime. It's happened four times when McVeigh

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Speaker 1: is faced the Seahawks in this exact spot. He's four

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Speaker 1: and oh against the spread. It's four and oh against

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Speaker 1: the spread. I'm sorry that this scene. I'm a trend better.

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Speaker 1: Maybe Seattle even it up, but the number is climbing

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Speaker 1: for Seattle, and I get two points, I'm taking it.

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Speaker 1: We're going hard Rocked Better the Day RAMS plus two

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Speaker 1: for one point one units. Hard Rock Better of the

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Speaker 1: Day is seven and four so far since we started

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Speaker 1: doing it, Rams plus two. I think the Rams win

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Speaker 1: the game outright. I would look at RAMS money line personally,

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Speaker 1: but I'll take the two points just to be safe.

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Speaker 1: But I think RAMS money line is the way to

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Speaker 1: play this game. Coming up here for today, So plays

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Speaker 1: Sport today. The under in the Rams and the Sales

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Speaker 1: game on Thursday Night Football. Under forty two and a half,

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Speaker 1: we're gonna lay the one point with Missouri State up

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Speaker 1: against Arkansas State in the Xbox Bowl coming up here tonight.

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Speaker 1: And for the hard rock bet of the day, we're

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Speaker 1: going with the with the Rams plus two up against

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Speaker 1: Seattle tonight here for Thursday Night Football. My name is

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Speaker 1: Matt Parolt. You guys can follow me across all of

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Speaker 1: my socials at sports Talk Matt. Every morning wherever you

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Speaker 1: guys get your podcasts. It is the Daily Juice