1 00:00:14,760 --> 00:00:17,919 Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are yeah? Merry Christmas? Eve? My 2 00:00:18,000 --> 00:00:21,560 Speaker 1: name is Matt Parrelton. Welcome to the Daily Juice Podcast. 3 00:00:21,840 --> 00:00:25,560 Speaker 1: This podcast can be found every single morning in your inbox, 4 00:00:26,160 --> 00:00:30,320 Speaker 1: on your phone audio wise, or on the Betting Pros 5 00:00:30,440 --> 00:00:34,120 Speaker 1: YouTube channel. You guys can follow me on my socials 6 00:00:34,120 --> 00:00:36,200 Speaker 1: at sports Talk Matt in. This podcast is being brought 7 00:00:36,200 --> 00:00:39,000 Speaker 1: to you by your friends at DraftKings Draftings Pick six 8 00:00:39,080 --> 00:00:41,520 Speaker 1: new players, Pick six, play five dollars, get fifty dollars 9 00:00:41,560 --> 00:00:44,760 Speaker 1: instantly in Pick six credits when you use the promo 10 00:00:44,840 --> 00:00:49,040 Speaker 1: code Juice at sign up. Okay, there's nothing going on today. 11 00:00:49,240 --> 00:00:51,720 Speaker 1: This is worse than Christmas. At least Christmas has got 12 00:00:51,720 --> 00:00:54,480 Speaker 1: a couple of NFL games. Christmas has got NBA games. 13 00:00:55,120 --> 00:00:58,360 Speaker 1: There's nothing going on. This is dead. There's one Bowl 14 00:00:58,360 --> 00:01:00,680 Speaker 1: game and in some college bat couple of games, all 15 00:01:00,760 --> 00:01:06,280 Speaker 1: in Hawaii, of all places. Christmas Eve, Silence, crickets. Hard 16 00:01:06,319 --> 00:01:08,880 Speaker 1: to do a daily podcast when there's nothing going on. 17 00:01:09,080 --> 00:01:11,360 Speaker 1: But we got a couple of things. I have our 18 00:01:11,360 --> 00:01:15,440 Speaker 1: first college football quarter final bet, and I have a play, 19 00:01:15,720 --> 00:01:18,480 Speaker 1: our first play for Christmas. We'll have more for Christmas, 20 00:01:18,480 --> 00:01:21,840 Speaker 1: but our first play for Christmas here on Tuesday for Wednesday. 21 00:01:21,880 --> 00:01:24,320 Speaker 1: So nothing's going to happen here on Tuesday. No bets 22 00:01:24,360 --> 00:01:28,120 Speaker 1: going on Tuesday, but bets for numbers that I think 23 00:01:28,160 --> 00:01:30,160 Speaker 1: that are going to move in, bets that I want 24 00:01:30,200 --> 00:01:33,160 Speaker 1: to make now before they continue to move on us. 25 00:01:33,160 --> 00:01:35,840 Speaker 1: For last night, the Packers won thirty four to nothing. 26 00:01:36,840 --> 00:01:40,160 Speaker 1: If the Saints kicked a field goal, just a field goal, 27 00:01:40,520 --> 00:01:42,760 Speaker 1: we would have gone three and oh on the day. 28 00:01:42,920 --> 00:01:45,760 Speaker 1: Jordan Love goes under twenty nine and a half attempts, 29 00:01:45,800 --> 00:01:49,120 Speaker 1: he had twenty eight. Josh Jacobs goes over sixteen and 30 00:01:49,160 --> 00:01:51,680 Speaker 1: a half yards receiving, he had thirty eight, So we 31 00:01:51,760 --> 00:01:54,800 Speaker 1: win a unit there. We lost on the same game teaser, 32 00:01:54,920 --> 00:01:59,200 Speaker 1: so we wound up down point two for the entire night. 33 00:01:59,360 --> 00:02:02,960 Speaker 1: So nothing small, little down for the week here on 34 00:02:03,000 --> 00:02:05,480 Speaker 1: a Monday as we start, but nothing too serious. Nothing 35 00:02:05,520 --> 00:02:07,680 Speaker 1: to get all hot and bothered about here as we 36 00:02:07,760 --> 00:02:11,440 Speaker 1: head towards Tuesday. But again nothing on Tuesday. These plays 37 00:02:11,480 --> 00:02:15,400 Speaker 1: will happen coming up on Wednesday. Let's start with Wednesday. 38 00:02:15,680 --> 00:02:20,040 Speaker 1: Let's start with Kansas City and Pittsburgh Baltimore in Houston. 39 00:02:20,760 --> 00:02:23,640 Speaker 1: So it's important to take note of the NFL standings. 40 00:02:23,840 --> 00:02:28,080 Speaker 1: The Houston Texans have clinched. They are in the playoffs. 41 00:02:28,800 --> 00:02:32,560 Speaker 1: Houston has won the division. They are nine to six. 42 00:02:33,160 --> 00:02:37,320 Speaker 1: Indianapolis is seven to eight, but we know that we 43 00:02:37,440 --> 00:02:41,800 Speaker 1: will see the Houston Texans as right now the four seed, 44 00:02:41,840 --> 00:02:45,200 Speaker 1: but maybe the three seed. The Pittsburgh Steelers currently occupy 45 00:02:45,960 --> 00:02:48,960 Speaker 1: the third seed. They are into the postseason. They have 46 00:02:49,000 --> 00:02:54,560 Speaker 1: a tiebreaker over Baltimore based upon right now win percentage 47 00:02:54,720 --> 00:02:59,120 Speaker 1: in conference games. So really, Pittsburgh cannot afford to lose 48 00:02:59,160 --> 00:03:02,280 Speaker 1: any more football game games. Kansas City is fourteen and 49 00:03:02,400 --> 00:03:04,960 Speaker 1: one case can get into the playoffs. They know they 50 00:03:04,960 --> 00:03:07,440 Speaker 1: won the division. They're in, they're playing for the one seed, 51 00:03:07,520 --> 00:03:11,080 Speaker 1: and frankly, they could even lose a game this game 52 00:03:11,440 --> 00:03:14,959 Speaker 1: on Wednesday and still be the one seed. Pittsburgh is 53 00:03:16,080 --> 00:03:21,560 Speaker 1: borderline desperate. They've lost back to back games, badly, badly. 54 00:03:22,080 --> 00:03:25,160 Speaker 1: Mike Tomlin is a dog. Lost by fourteen points. Is 55 00:03:25,200 --> 00:03:27,680 Speaker 1: a five and a half point dog, lost by seventeen points, 56 00:03:27,800 --> 00:03:30,639 Speaker 1: the seven point dog. He's at home now as a 57 00:03:30,800 --> 00:03:35,360 Speaker 1: dog to Kansas City. Mike Tomlin is a dog. Huh, Well, 58 00:03:36,160 --> 00:03:38,920 Speaker 1: Pittsburgh's ten and five ets, they're five and one at home. 59 00:03:39,040 --> 00:03:41,520 Speaker 1: I'm gonna do a little bit. I'm gonna give him 60 00:03:41,560 --> 00:03:45,400 Speaker 1: some help. I'm gonna tease them up from three to 61 00:03:45,640 --> 00:03:50,200 Speaker 1: nine Pittsburgh plus nine, but we have to have a 62 00:03:50,280 --> 00:03:54,720 Speaker 1: dance partner. Who's the dance partner. Well, Houston, as we 63 00:03:54,800 --> 00:03:59,000 Speaker 1: talked about, already clinched. Baltimore has clinched a playoff spot. 64 00:03:59,040 --> 00:04:02,880 Speaker 1: But they are ten in five. They cannot lose. Baltimore 65 00:04:03,040 --> 00:04:07,320 Speaker 1: will play second. What if Pittsburgh loses in the first 66 00:04:07,360 --> 00:04:10,560 Speaker 1: game on Christmas, you know, Baltimore is gonna go crazy 67 00:04:10,960 --> 00:04:14,360 Speaker 1: on the road. Houston without Tank Dell. When he got 68 00:04:14,440 --> 00:04:17,640 Speaker 1: hurt in the game against the Chiefs, everything went sideways 69 00:04:17,839 --> 00:04:20,599 Speaker 1: for the Houston Texans. He's out for the year. He's 70 00:04:20,640 --> 00:04:23,160 Speaker 1: not coming back. Nico Collins is a big factor, but 71 00:04:23,279 --> 00:04:28,440 Speaker 1: Tank Dell is two. Baltimore's rush defense is really good. 72 00:04:28,440 --> 00:04:30,960 Speaker 1: Their pass defense is not very good. But Lamar Jackson's 73 00:04:30,960 --> 00:04:36,080 Speaker 1: playing at such an elite level that Houston defense. I'm 74 00:04:36,120 --> 00:04:39,360 Speaker 1: just not jumping up and down about the Houston defense. 75 00:04:39,880 --> 00:04:43,080 Speaker 1: You have a ten and five Baltimore team versus a 76 00:04:43,200 --> 00:04:46,640 Speaker 1: nine to six Houston team. But straight up, sorry, but 77 00:04:46,680 --> 00:04:49,800 Speaker 1: against the number, Baltimore's five and three on the road, 78 00:04:50,040 --> 00:04:53,120 Speaker 1: Houston's just three to three and one ats and against 79 00:04:53,120 --> 00:04:56,239 Speaker 1: the AFC, they're three six and one against the number. 80 00:04:56,720 --> 00:05:00,360 Speaker 1: That's not good. That's not good for Houston. I'm gonna 81 00:05:00,360 --> 00:05:03,080 Speaker 1: pull this down from five and a half to and 82 00:05:03,200 --> 00:05:05,480 Speaker 1: I know crossing zero is bad, but I don't care 83 00:05:05,520 --> 00:05:08,799 Speaker 1: about that because I'm not worried. It's Baltimore two plus 84 00:05:08,920 --> 00:05:11,280 Speaker 1: half a point, so technically the game and in a tie, 85 00:05:11,400 --> 00:05:14,960 Speaker 1: we would win. But it's more about the Pittsburgh number. 86 00:05:15,200 --> 00:05:18,000 Speaker 1: I'm pulling Baltimore. Baltimore should get to six. If it 87 00:05:18,040 --> 00:05:20,159 Speaker 1: gets to six, pull it down to a pick and 88 00:05:20,200 --> 00:05:23,040 Speaker 1: it doesn't really matter. This would be a very popular teaser. 89 00:05:23,160 --> 00:05:28,240 Speaker 1: I don't really care, Okay, Pittsburgh plus nine Baltimore plus 90 00:05:28,240 --> 00:05:32,039 Speaker 1: a half a point for one point two units. I 91 00:05:32,040 --> 00:05:33,920 Speaker 1: think it's a good play. I think it's a really 92 00:05:33,960 --> 00:05:37,640 Speaker 1: good play, to be quite honest, this is just play that. 93 00:05:38,000 --> 00:05:41,760 Speaker 1: I mean, Pittsburgh could win by ten. Absolutely. Pickens doesn't 94 00:05:41,800 --> 00:05:44,880 Speaker 1: play for Pittsburgh. They're a totally different team. But Pittsburgh 95 00:05:44,880 --> 00:05:46,880 Speaker 1: will have their backs against the wall and they play 96 00:05:46,920 --> 00:05:52,600 Speaker 1: first up against Kansas City. They could win the game outright. Absolutely, 97 00:05:52,640 --> 00:05:55,800 Speaker 1: they could win the game outright on Christmas Day. It's 98 00:05:55,839 --> 00:06:00,440 Speaker 1: a one pm kick ten am West Coast time. And 99 00:06:00,480 --> 00:06:03,240 Speaker 1: then if Pittsburgh wins, you know, Baltimore is gonna play 100 00:06:03,240 --> 00:06:06,400 Speaker 1: really hard. But even if Pittsburgh loses, Baltimore equally will 101 00:06:06,400 --> 00:06:11,200 Speaker 1: play even harder. So Pittsburgh in Baltimore Pittsburgh plus nine 102 00:06:11,400 --> 00:06:15,400 Speaker 1: Baltimore to win the game one point two units on Christmas. 103 00:06:15,520 --> 00:06:19,120 Speaker 1: We're playing it here for Christmas. Now, this is Christmas Eve. 104 00:06:19,360 --> 00:06:24,000 Speaker 1: This is for Wednesday. Okay, Wednesday, the second bet here. 105 00:06:24,360 --> 00:06:26,839 Speaker 1: That BET's not in for a while. Okay, this bet 106 00:06:27,040 --> 00:06:31,120 Speaker 1: is not until New Year's Day? Now, what am I 107 00:06:31,160 --> 00:06:36,440 Speaker 1: looking at? This has been a pretty interesting college football playoff, 108 00:06:36,480 --> 00:06:41,599 Speaker 1: but from a wagering perspective. Fifty four and a half 109 00:06:41,640 --> 00:06:47,240 Speaker 1: for Oregon against Ohio State. They use the same number 110 00:06:47,279 --> 00:06:50,800 Speaker 1: from the first matchup when it was in Eugene. This 111 00:06:50,880 --> 00:06:54,240 Speaker 1: is on a neutral. This is on a neutral in 112 00:06:54,320 --> 00:06:56,920 Speaker 1: the Rose Bowl. This game will kick off at five 113 00:06:57,000 --> 00:07:02,799 Speaker 1: pm Eastern time on January the first year day Ohio State. 114 00:07:03,120 --> 00:07:05,040 Speaker 1: This number is fifty four and a half. It's the 115 00:07:05,080 --> 00:07:09,000 Speaker 1: same exact number they used. This number is only gonna 116 00:07:09,000 --> 00:07:12,000 Speaker 1: go up. I can't get this. The Rose bowls a 117 00:07:12,040 --> 00:07:15,680 Speaker 1: fast track. I know it's outside, but it's still a 118 00:07:15,680 --> 00:07:19,200 Speaker 1: fast track, We're still gonna see points in this game. 119 00:07:19,400 --> 00:07:24,320 Speaker 1: Penn State scored a ton of points on this Oregon defense. 120 00:07:25,040 --> 00:07:27,440 Speaker 1: If we see the same game plan, which we should 121 00:07:27,440 --> 00:07:29,480 Speaker 1: see the same game plan, get the ball to the 122 00:07:29,520 --> 00:07:32,600 Speaker 1: wide receivers. For Ohio State, Jim Kelly, get the ball 123 00:07:32,680 --> 00:07:36,080 Speaker 1: up tempo, get Will Howard on point, get him on pace. 124 00:07:37,280 --> 00:07:41,160 Speaker 1: Ohio State is only where they're three and one to 125 00:07:41,200 --> 00:07:44,640 Speaker 1: the under away from home. That's why this number is 126 00:07:44,680 --> 00:07:48,240 Speaker 1: being suppressed. But in the first matchup thirty two to 127 00:07:48,560 --> 00:07:51,840 Speaker 1: thirty one, final fifty four and a half went over 128 00:07:51,880 --> 00:07:54,120 Speaker 1: by eight and a half points. They just put the 129 00:07:53,760 --> 00:07:57,520 Speaker 1: same number up. This is a neutral in Eugene. This 130 00:07:57,640 --> 00:08:00,720 Speaker 1: went over where Oregon was four and three the under. 131 00:08:00,880 --> 00:08:03,880 Speaker 1: This year, they were more of an under team at 132 00:08:03,880 --> 00:08:06,720 Speaker 1: home than an over team. But you have an Oregon 133 00:08:06,800 --> 00:08:10,880 Speaker 1: offense that has scored over thirty points only failed twice 134 00:08:11,040 --> 00:08:13,880 Speaker 1: to do that. Against Idaho they scored twenty four, and 135 00:08:13,920 --> 00:08:18,160 Speaker 1: against Wisconsin on the road they scored sixteen. Everyone else, 136 00:08:18,240 --> 00:08:22,480 Speaker 1: it's been thirty points everyone, Penn State included, where they 137 00:08:22,480 --> 00:08:26,360 Speaker 1: scored forty five points on a neutral. For Ohio State, 138 00:08:26,400 --> 00:08:29,280 Speaker 1: they just scored forty two points against Tennessee at home 139 00:08:29,880 --> 00:08:32,840 Speaker 1: against Indiana. They scored thirty eight against Northwestern. They scored 140 00:08:32,880 --> 00:08:36,679 Speaker 1: thirty one against Perdue. They scored forty five against Penn State, 141 00:08:36,840 --> 00:08:39,640 Speaker 1: the same Penn State team that Oregon hung forty five on. 142 00:08:39,840 --> 00:08:43,840 Speaker 1: They scored twenty again. First matchup was thirty two to 143 00:08:43,840 --> 00:08:48,160 Speaker 1: thirty one in Eugene, Oregon. This isn't over. This number 144 00:08:48,240 --> 00:08:50,400 Speaker 1: is just gonna go up. We're going over in the 145 00:08:50,480 --> 00:08:53,800 Speaker 1: Rose Bowl over fifty four and a half for Ohio 146 00:08:53,840 --> 00:08:56,800 Speaker 1: State in Oregon. We'll have more plays, we'll have more picks, 147 00:08:56,840 --> 00:08:58,600 Speaker 1: but that's our first play because that number is simply 148 00:08:58,600 --> 00:09:01,640 Speaker 1: gonna go up. Get it now, Ohio State, Oregon for 149 00:09:01,760 --> 00:09:05,760 Speaker 1: one point one units over fifty four and a half. Okay, 150 00:09:05,960 --> 00:09:08,640 Speaker 1: so it's a quick daily juice because there's nothing going 151 00:09:08,640 --> 00:09:11,640 Speaker 1: on today. We're going to Ohio State, Oregon over fifty 152 00:09:11,640 --> 00:09:13,920 Speaker 1: four and a half. On New Year's Day and on 153 00:09:14,040 --> 00:09:17,199 Speaker 1: Christmas Day, we're teasing the Ravens down to over half 154 00:09:17,240 --> 00:09:19,080 Speaker 1: a point to plus a half a point, from five 155 00:09:19,120 --> 00:09:21,160 Speaker 1: and a half down to just half a point, and 156 00:09:21,200 --> 00:09:23,960 Speaker 1: the Steelers from three up to nine. That should be 157 00:09:24,000 --> 00:09:26,439 Speaker 1: one point two units. Excuse me, that's the wrong price. 158 00:09:26,640 --> 00:09:29,880 Speaker 1: One point two units not one point one minus one 159 00:09:29,920 --> 00:09:32,960 Speaker 1: twenty on that bet on that teaser for the Ravens 160 00:09:32,960 --> 00:09:35,280 Speaker 1: and the Steelers go to DraftKings to bet that it's 161 00:09:35,320 --> 00:09:40,560 Speaker 1: minus one twenty Ravens Steelers teaser on Christmas Day. Have 162 00:09:40,640 --> 00:09:43,400 Speaker 1: a phenomenal Christmas Eve. If you're doing the feasts of 163 00:09:43,440 --> 00:09:46,280 Speaker 1: the Seven Fishes, my Pasons, you know what I'm talking about. 164 00:09:46,360 --> 00:09:48,840 Speaker 1: Enjoy that. My grandfather would be proud of all of 165 00:09:48,880 --> 00:09:51,280 Speaker 1: you for going ahead and doing that. Enjoy it. I 166 00:09:51,280 --> 00:09:53,800 Speaker 1: hope Santa is great to you and your own I 167 00:09:53,800 --> 00:09:56,640 Speaker 1: hope you've an awesome Christmas Eve. Yes, there will be 168 00:09:56,640 --> 00:10:01,000 Speaker 1: a Daily Juice podcast on Christmas Morning. So if you 169 00:10:01,000 --> 00:10:03,440 Speaker 1: don't celebrate, if you don't care, if you need something 170 00:10:03,480 --> 00:10:05,120 Speaker 1: to listen to, you need someone to hang out with 171 00:10:05,240 --> 00:10:07,360 Speaker 1: on Christmas Day, I got you. I'll have you on 172 00:10:07,440 --> 00:10:09,800 Speaker 1: Christmas Morning for you for the Daily Juice like we 173 00:10:09,840 --> 00:10:13,000 Speaker 1: always do. It's Christmas Eve. Merry Christmas. Talk to you 174 00:10:13,040 --> 00:10:18,240 Speaker 1: tomorrow for Christmas Day. But Christmas Eve, enjoy your friend's family, 175 00:10:18,720 --> 00:10:22,120 Speaker 1: have some cheer, don't drink and drive. This the Daily 176 00:10:22,160 --> 00:10:26,280 Speaker 1: Juice podcast every morning wherever you guys get your podcasts, 177 00:10:26,480 --> 00:10:34,240 Speaker 1: always being brought to you by our friends at traffickings,