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Speaker 1: Warning you're about to enter the arena and join the

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Speaker 1: Battle to Save.

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Speaker 2: America with your host Sean Parnell.

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Speaker 3: What is up, battle crew? It is a great day

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Speaker 3: to be an American, And if you're noticing how I'm dressed,

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Speaker 3: it was a crazy day for me as well. But

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Speaker 3: from sea to signing Sea and everybody in between, Welcome Patriots.

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Speaker 3: Let's get in the arena. Grab your freaking helmet because

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Speaker 3: it might be a bumpy ride. We've got Savage Rich

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Speaker 3: Barris on deck with a whole host of new poles.

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Speaker 3: One of these poles is for the keystone state of Pennsylvania,

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Speaker 3: my home state, and I would argue the lynchpin for

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Speaker 3: the entire country hinges on this state. Yeah, there are

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Speaker 3: other battleground states, swing states that are of vast importance,

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Speaker 3: but Pennsylvania, chances are Pennsylvania falls in line than Wisconsin,

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Speaker 3: North Carolina, Arizona, Nevada, Georgia. All of those other states

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Speaker 3: will likely fall in line as well. But as you

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Speaker 3: all know, you know how I feel about Rich. We

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Speaker 3: got some awesome news about Winston to update you all on,

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Speaker 3: but I've got to do a full explanation of those

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Speaker 3: registration transaction numbers in Arizona, Texas and Pennsylvania. Did some

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Speaker 3: deep dive research on them last night after the show

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Speaker 3: to figure out what's really going on. Huge election integrity

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Speaker 3: win in the state of Wisconsin, and of course Savage

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Speaker 3: rich and so much more. Okay, before we jump right in,

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Speaker 3: I've got to thank Jeffrey and I gotta thank Jojo

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Speaker 3: for the Rumble Rant tips. One hundred percent of the

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Speaker 3: tips that we get on the show go to the

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Speaker 3: Studio fund, and Commander Melanie is getting smart on locals

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Speaker 3: as we speak. Yes, it's taking a little longer than

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Speaker 3: we expected because we're not as tech savvy as we

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Speaker 3: used to be. It turns out all our kids know

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Speaker 3: all about all these ray apps. Commander Melanie takes and

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Speaker 3: I takes a little bit longer, but we're getting there.

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Speaker 3: So thank you. I'm so grateful for you, the battle crew,

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Speaker 3: and grateful that you all gave me a little bit

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Speaker 3: of time today and integrated me in battleground live into

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Speaker 3: your lives. Okay, listen, there are all of these people

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Speaker 3: just jumping right off the top rope and into the fight.

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Speaker 3: Here for a second, there are lots of conservatives, and

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Speaker 3: I think rightfully, so there are lots of conservatives concerned

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Speaker 3: about this, the numbers of registrations without identifications, and I

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Speaker 3: showed you and did a breakdown of this for you

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Speaker 3: yesterday on the show. The numbers specifically that we talked

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Speaker 3: about yesterday were from Texas, Pennsylvania, and Arizona. One point

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Speaker 3: two million what they call transactions in Texas, five hundred

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Speaker 3: and eighty thousand in Pennsylvania, and two hundred and twenty

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Speaker 3: thousand thereabouts in the year of twenty twenty four in Arizona.

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Speaker 3: But it's deceiving, and I think conservatives online, while meaning well,

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Speaker 3: are kind of getting this a little wrong. Are the

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Speaker 3: numbers suspicious in swing states? One hundred percent? I'll explain

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Speaker 3: to you why in a second and why they need

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Speaker 3: to be looked into. But there's more to this than

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Speaker 3: meets the eye. And I think the focus is defining

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Speaker 3: what the word transaction means. There are a lot of

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Speaker 3: people out there that are immediately associating the term transaction

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Speaker 3: with registration and that's not necessarily true. So helping America

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Speaker 3: vote act because that's really what's in question and what

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Speaker 3: we talked about in Milda in yesterday on the show.

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Speaker 3: But the help America Vote Act was overwhelmingly passed in

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Speaker 3: two thousand and two. It allows you to register in

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Speaker 3: your state to vote using only the last four of

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Speaker 3: your Social Security number. If you didn't have any other

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Speaker 3: form of identification, you could use this. And they said,

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Speaker 3: actually right there in the bill that the last four

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Speaker 3: of the social was meant to protect private see and

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Speaker 3: I said on the show, like, some of this stuff

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Speaker 3: is completely legitimate, because you know, for example, the Amish

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Speaker 3: don't have driver's license, but they have social Security numbers,

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Speaker 3: and it's good that we can register them with the

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Speaker 3: last four because they're buying large going to break Republican

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Speaker 3: all the time. So as part of the Helping America

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Speaker 3: Vote Act, each state was required to set up an

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Speaker 3: arrangement with the Social Security Administrate Administration. If someone registered

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Speaker 3: to vote, the state is supposed to ask the Social

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Speaker 3: Security Administration to verify if the last four numbers match

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Speaker 3: the number associated with the name of the applicant. Each

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Speaker 3: time they are asked asked to report, they call that

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Speaker 3: a transaction, so you see, that's not necessarily a voter

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Speaker 3: registration per se. Each time they ask for a report

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Speaker 3: from the Social Security Administration to verify if the last

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Speaker 3: four matches the applicant, they register that as a transaction.

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Speaker 3: So the numbers that we reported Texas one point two million,

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Speaker 3: Pennsylvania five hundred and thousand, Arizona two hundred and twenty

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Speaker 3: thousand doesn't necessarily mean these are voter registrations. They could be,

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Speaker 3: but it's not a slam dunk. So the Social Security

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Speaker 3: Administration is supposed to confirm if it's a legit application.

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Speaker 3: For instance, right there in the bill, the Social Security

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Speaker 3: Administration is supposed to verify if the voter is in

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Speaker 3: fact alive. Kind of important given that dead people voted

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Speaker 3: in twenty twenty, and dead people tend to break Democrat

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Speaker 3: every single time that they vote. Here's the rub, and

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Speaker 3: this is where I think it's important, because if you

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Speaker 3: get your work authorization, as in the legal alien, you

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Speaker 3: can you get a Social Security number and you might

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Speaker 3: be able to leverage this program. I did not see

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Speaker 3: any language in the act, and I combed through it

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Speaker 3: yesterday and and spend some time doing it this morning.

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Speaker 3: I didn't see any language about the Social Security Administration

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Speaker 3: verifying citizenship. And you'd think that would be important given

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Speaker 3: that only citizens can vote here in this country now

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Speaker 3: the Social Security Administration knows if you're a citizen, and

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Speaker 3: they know if the person who is applying is a citizen.

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Speaker 3: So here's the rub, and this is the most important

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Speaker 3: part that so many conservatives are missing. The main question

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Speaker 3: is this, and we have to get smart on this now,

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Speaker 3: not six months from now. Now. And the question is

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Speaker 3: does the Social Security Administration provide information back to the

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Speaker 3: state about whether or not the person who's registering is

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Speaker 3: actually a citizen. Do they tell them we have a

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Speaker 3: number and a name match, but the person isn't a citizen.

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Speaker 3: If they don't, they one hundred percent should. But do

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Speaker 3: they the transaction is performed to determine if the vote

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Speaker 3: registration is valid. If the numbers don't match or records

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Speaker 3: show decease, they tell the state no, the application is rejected.

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Speaker 3: So they definitely should tell the state if a record

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Speaker 3: comes up as a non citizen. But here's the deal.

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Speaker 3: There's nothing in the build that requires it. So if

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Speaker 3: there's some high level leftists in the Social Security Administration

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Speaker 3: or a leftist you know, political appointee, I can one

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Speaker 3: hundred percent see see that whoever this person might be

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Speaker 3: telling them not to check. And when you review some

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Speaker 3: of the state laws, which is a huge task. But

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Speaker 3: I looked at Washington State because they're insanely liberal and

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Speaker 3: I wanted to see how liberals kind of saw this issue.

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Speaker 3: But the only law, like Washington State law only, the

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Speaker 3: only proof of citizenship verification that you need was checking

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Speaker 3: the block at the time that you register, saying you're

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Speaker 3: a citizen. But people could lie about that all the time.

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Speaker 3: For all we know, there's one of these, you know,

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Speaker 3: non governmental organizations or the NGOs that are helping these

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Speaker 3: illegal invaders get across the southern border. For all we know,

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Speaker 3: there's some NGO with a cheat sheet telling people how

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Speaker 3: to register to vote with a Social Security number. You know,

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Speaker 3: this could be happening, But this should be pretty damn

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Speaker 3: easy for the government to audit this. Is that going

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Speaker 3: to happen in Pennsylvania with a Democrat governor? The answer is,

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Speaker 3: of course no, there is no way in hell Josh

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Speaker 3: Shapiro is going to audit this. Now, how about Arizona

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Speaker 3: Democrat governor in Arizona as well, with Katie Hobbs. Right, yep,

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Speaker 3: there's no way in hell Governor Hobbes is going to

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Speaker 3: audit this. So that task then falls to Texas, a

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Speaker 3: red state, a red state legislator Ken Paxton, who is

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Speaker 3: a patriot as your attorney general. My message to Ken

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Speaker 3: Paxton into the Patriots down and test Texas is that

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Speaker 3: this task falls to you now and you cannot wait. Okay,

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Speaker 3: Ken Paxton, Governor Abbott, I know members of the Texas

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Speaker 3: State Legislature watch and listen to this show. But my

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Speaker 3: message to you is you cannot wait until Biden miraculously

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Speaker 3: wins Texas with a vote count that's higher than the

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Speaker 3: state's census. So you have to look into it after

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Speaker 3: the election's over. Is too late, and Texas is the

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Speaker 3: only state with the right political makeup and the wherewithal

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Speaker 3: to do it, and all you would have to do.

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Speaker 3: If you're listening to me, please listen, listen, listen. Take

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Speaker 3: my advice. Grab a thousand names off of one of

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Speaker 3: these Helping America Vote Act lists. Grab a thousand names

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Speaker 3: and check this this citizenship status with your state department,

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Speaker 3: the Texas State Department, see if they're citizens. If you're

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Speaker 3: finding issues in those thousand names, well then you can

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Speaker 3: do a much larger audit. This would take you twenty

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Speaker 3: four hours. Do it now before it's too late, because

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Speaker 3: I promise you, if we don't, the Democrats are going

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Speaker 3: to use it to win, and after the game is

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Speaker 3: already already done, after the fight is over, it's too late. Okay,

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Speaker 3: very quickly, I got to talk about the post millennial headline,

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Speaker 3: and that's Wisconsin voters overwhelmingly voting to ban Zuckerbucks in

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Speaker 3: private election funding. This is huge, folks. And so there

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Speaker 3: are a couple major, you know, big takeaways for election

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Speaker 3: integrity and some real interesting polling. We're going to get

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Speaker 3: into that with Savage Rich here in a second. He's

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Speaker 3: gonna break it all down for us. But Zuckerbucks one

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Speaker 3: hundred percent in swing states, swing county, swing districts swayed

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Speaker 3: the election for Biden. Whether or he got a eighty

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Speaker 3: one million legitimate votes he didn't, but is certainly up

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Speaker 3: in the air. It's up for debate. Democrats would say

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Speaker 3: he did. There's no way in hell that he did.

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Speaker 3: But you can bet your ass that Zuckerbucks in the

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Speaker 3: Swing States, hundreds of millions of dollars spent on unsupervised

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Speaker 3: drop boxes in heavily Democrat areas, systematically changing and voting

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Speaker 3: an election law basically a shadow army of private employees

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Speaker 3: in a Democrat get out the vote effort. You can

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Speaker 3: bet that this swayed the election, especially in a state

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Speaker 3: like Pennsylvania in twenty twenty. Okay, Wisconsin just voted to

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Speaker 3: not allow it. That is a huge, huge win. So

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Speaker 3: when I tell you on this show to keep the faith,

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Speaker 3: that's what I mean. Keep the faith, you know, don't

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Speaker 3: just keep the faith though, take action, do whatever you

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Speaker 3: have to do in your home state to help sway

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Speaker 3: and win this race. Because we are winning right now. Okay,

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Speaker 3: we got Savage Rich. So let's get Savage Rich up

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Speaker 3: on the screen here. Let's go, No, Savage, look at

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Speaker 3: you your bit. What are you trying to get a

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Speaker 3: vape in before you? Hey?

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Speaker 2: Did you tell that? Did you see that backstage? Or

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Speaker 2: did you get it live?

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Speaker 3: I did? I see? I see how you are. But

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Speaker 3: here's let me tell you about vaping for a second.

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Speaker 3: Does what you do right? It's a vape?

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Speaker 2: It's a vape? Yeah, vaping?

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Speaker 3: Okay, So, and I, like Savage, you will likely kill me,

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Speaker 3: so I acknowledge this ahead of time. Okay, But vaping

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Speaker 3: is kind of dorky. It's kind of like you're smoking

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Speaker 3: smoking a jumpstick. If you're gonna if you're gonna take

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Speaker 3: a risk, right, a calculated risk, and do something that

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Speaker 3: is maybe bad for your health. There's nothing cooler than smoking.

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Speaker 3: And I hope that my kids aren't listening to this

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Speaker 3: because smoking is really bad for your health. You should

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Speaker 3: not do it, Sean I have. I've been known to

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Speaker 3: smoke on occasion.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I like it. I like cigars still, but I

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Speaker 2: haven't had a cigarette in many, many, many years. Laura wants.

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Speaker 2: I knew she was in the room, I knew she's

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Speaker 2: listening in the other room, and she yelled, I want

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Speaker 2: one every day, and she does. It's different. I don't

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Speaker 2: want one. Even when I am like Jones in for

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Speaker 2: a vape. I don't want a cigarette.

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Speaker 3: I want a vape.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, which is weirdly Yeah, even though it looks like

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Speaker 2: you're smoking a jumpstick. Yeah, it's like, I'll tell you what.

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Speaker 2: In some respects, I certainly feel better. Like when I

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Speaker 2: used to smoke cigarettes, I could feel my chest and

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Speaker 2: you were in the army man, like there's no doubt.

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Speaker 2: Like I could run a lot farther, a lot faster.

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Speaker 2: I used to love, right one. I used to love

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Speaker 2: to run Sean. And one thing I missed with these

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Speaker 2: damn pins in my hip is running. I let now

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Speaker 2: I swim, but I used to run and could run forever.

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Speaker 2: I remember when I first decided to join, I was like, God,

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Speaker 2: how the hell am I gonna dude? You know what?

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Speaker 2: The run is going to be the toughest thing, Like

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Speaker 2: I can do a thousand chin up signing down. It

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Speaker 2: was an animal back then. But I wasn't a runner.

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Speaker 2: And I had eight months for debt delayed entry, right

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Speaker 2: to delay so you could get in shape. And it

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Speaker 2: wasn't because I wasn't in shape. It was because of

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Speaker 2: what I signed up to do. They wanted you to

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Speaker 2: do it. They were hoping you would take that time

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Speaker 2: to not be a you know what bag. You know

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Speaker 2: it's heard and that so when you get there you're

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Speaker 2: not just useless. And yet still in my platoon there

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Speaker 2: was still like overweight guys who thought they were going

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Speaker 2: to be able to get through SFAs or something. One guy,

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Speaker 2: I'll mean, I don't even go up the rails here.

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Speaker 2: But Sean, the heart of the indomitable human spirit, he

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Speaker 2: wanted this so bad he literally cracked himself in a run.

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Speaker 2: And by that time. You know what I'm talking about.

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Speaker 3: You personal, not personally, but yes I do, but.

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Speaker 2: You know other people who do. I'll never forget getting

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Speaker 2: to those damn tank tracks. And and then looking at

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Speaker 2: his first sergeant, I could see his his chest too.

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Speaker 2: He had the flight of feet or something what is

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Speaker 2: that called, you know, and the idea he was a pathliner.

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Speaker 2: I'm like, oh, we're in. We're in for it. And

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Speaker 2: by that time, mom, I was already a pretty good runner.

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Speaker 2: But you're in full combat boots at this point. You

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Speaker 2: don't get the change in your PT you know. And

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Speaker 2: he's like, yep, catch up and that's all. And he

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Speaker 2: just took off or keep up? He said, keep up,

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Speaker 2: and he just kept up and he just took off.

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Speaker 2: And poor Sarcus man, he was like, and I'm like, Sarcus,

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Speaker 2: you were in basic training. Why are you still javett shit?

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Speaker 2: You know? And we we had a duo set together,

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Speaker 2: which you probably did too, you know.

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Speaker 3: Okay, wait, time out, time out. Listen. S FAS is

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Speaker 3: Special Forces Assessment and Selection.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, so people don't know what the hell we're talking about, right,

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Speaker 2: And with eighteen X ray, they'll like you actually send

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Speaker 2: you to something first called sop C, which is Special Operations,

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Speaker 2: Preparatory and Conditioning, And it's like a couple of weeks,

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Speaker 2: three weeks, I think, and they they it's physical and

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Speaker 2: it's land NAV because everybody fails land nav and SFA

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Speaker 2: as folks. For those who don't know, you.

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Speaker 3: Do the star Corse there and it's brutal.

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Speaker 2: Oh yeah, it's brutal and uh anyway, sarcus. I gotta

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Speaker 2: tell you though, Sean, he did not stop running. He

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Speaker 2: crapped all over down the sand and it's coming out

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Speaker 2: of like the end of his boots and flying everywhere,

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Speaker 2: and people were.

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Speaker 3: Like, Bode, but he can't.

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Speaker 2: But I'll tell you what, I had most, utmost respect

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Speaker 2: for this kid, and because he just ca he wasn't

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Speaker 2: a kid. He was twenty something years old at the time.

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Speaker 2: You know, I was one of the youngest ones at

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Speaker 2: like twenty one or two or something like that. And yeah,

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Speaker 2: the average in our class was like twenty eight years old,

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Speaker 2: so it was like an older class because that that's

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Speaker 2: what it was. With that And he did it, brother,

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Speaker 2: he did it, and I had the respect for him.

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Speaker 2: But I loved by that time, I could just run

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Speaker 2: and run and run. I remember thinking how am I

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Speaker 2: going to do this? And the very first run I

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Speaker 2: did as a sip like a civilian getting ready. I

294
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Speaker 2: was already in martial arts and doing all this stuff.

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Speaker 2: It's not the same, so like I'm sucking on the

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Speaker 2: two mile, you know. But but I just loved it, man,

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Speaker 2: I just something snapped in me and I could just

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Speaker 2: run for After like a few weeks, my body just

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Speaker 2: acclimated and I could run forever, and I gave it. I'moking.

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Speaker 3: Then I had to tell you I kind of had

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Speaker 3: a similar experience, so I I was, let me just

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Speaker 3: tell you this, I hate running. I hated running when

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Speaker 3: I was in the Army when they forced me to

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Speaker 3: do it for work, and now every time every time

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Speaker 3: I run, it makes it feel like it's work because

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Speaker 3: it was part of my job. But I was probably

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Speaker 3: close to six two and a half two hundred and

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Speaker 3: twenty five pounds and running a six minute mile, and

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Speaker 3: because you know, it's in the light, I was in

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Speaker 3: the light, infantree. I was in my mid twenties. And

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Speaker 3: not to like derail the whole conversation because we have

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Speaker 3: lots of like poling and news, but I had to

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Speaker 3: tell you, man, there are times in Afghanistan and I

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Speaker 3: did not smoke before I went to Afghanistan, but get

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Speaker 3: your ass shot off for eight months at that point,

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Speaker 3: and I remember, we got this mission and because it

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Speaker 3: gets it just got so bad over there. I mean,

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Speaker 3: I it was just so bad on when we were there.

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Speaker 3: And here's the thing, like we we pre poe like

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Speaker 3: just outside the mountains that separated Afghanistan from Pakistan. On

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Speaker 3: this mission, we knew exactly what we're doing on the objective.

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Speaker 3: We were going to assault this house and stuff like that,

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Speaker 3: and we there's supposed to be some high value target there,

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Speaker 3: but we knew based on our intelligence in the area

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Speaker 3: that there were that there were the enemy was em

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Speaker 3: placed in an ambush waiting for us to go in,

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Speaker 3: and it didn't matter. Our mission was to go in

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Speaker 3: anyway and get ambushed. And so when you know you're

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Speaker 3: about to like drive in and get shot at, that's

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Speaker 3: a whole nother thing. Like getting yeah, yeah, absolutely so

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Speaker 3: like getting ambush when you're not expecting it is crazy

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Speaker 3: and that that sucks too. But knowing you're going to

333
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Speaker 3: drive into an ambush and knowing that you might not

334
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Speaker 3: make it out, I'm sorry I'm smoking a damn cigarette

335
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Speaker 3: because I might not make it out of the other.

336
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Speaker 3: And then I go for a difference and yeah, right,

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Speaker 3: and so I go for a run. I come back

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Speaker 3: from this mission like a couple days later, and we're

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Speaker 3: in Afghanistan and you got to work out wi the

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Speaker 3: er otherwise you're ft because you're at fifteen thousand feet

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Speaker 3: in the valley. Yeah.

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Speaker 2: Absolutely, And so I go.

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Speaker 3: For this run and I almost die, Like my lungs

344
00:19:22,520 --> 00:19:24,600
Speaker 3: are just like I could just tell they were filled

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Speaker 3: with smoke. And I'm like, oup, I'm done. But the

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Speaker 3: problem is, and here's the real problem. Like I tried

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Speaker 3: smoking for a like on that mission, and I kind

348
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Speaker 3: of liked it. So now every time I see somebody

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Speaker 3: smoking in the movies, I'm like, oh, I I don't

350
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Speaker 3: want to smoke, smell it or man, you know.

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Speaker 2: Sit that's I like it. So she quit and always

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Speaker 2: liked even when we were we had kids. A couple

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Speaker 2: of times she would like, go back and smoke some cigarettes.

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Speaker 2: But I mean immediately if we wanted to get pregnant

355
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Speaker 2: or we found out you know, like boom, she drop

356
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Speaker 2: it like a bad habit. It was amazing, you know,

357
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Speaker 2: most Yeah.

358
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Speaker 3: I mean, I mean, I don't do it anymore, like

359
00:19:58,680 --> 00:20:00,879
Speaker 3: I still have cravings, but like I oh say, I

360
00:20:01,000 --> 00:20:01,159
Speaker 3: like it.

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Speaker 2: Every day she's got a craving Sewan. Every day she

362
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Speaker 2: deals with it. I stopped because I remember going to

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Speaker 2: the little Gym's Bridge in Florida with Chief Patches. They

364
00:20:10,600 --> 00:20:12,480
Speaker 2: call him Watson. He was part of the uh. He

365
00:20:12,560 --> 00:20:14,399
Speaker 2: was part of seal team too from back in the

366
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Speaker 2: day from NOM. Took me under his wing and because

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Speaker 2: I knew his son too in martial arts, from martial arts,

368
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Speaker 2: and I went down to the little Gym's Bridge and

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Speaker 2: partied with all the special ops guys, uh you know,

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Speaker 2: and they were they really did like, uh, you know, uh,

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Speaker 2: try to give me, try to prepare me anyway. Gary

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Speaker 2: who was a medic uh which is a Delta right

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Speaker 2: eighteen delta from NOM. He catches me smoking a cigarette

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Speaker 2: after training after them, We're like, everyone's getting drunk, you know.

375
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Speaker 2: He catches me smoking a cigarette, this old man.

376
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Speaker 3: Lap right in.

377
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Speaker 2: The mouth, knocked it right out in my mouth.

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Speaker 4: He was like, and I mean he caught me, you know,

379
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Speaker 4: And you disrespect these guys, you don't, you know, Yeah,

380
00:21:00,480 --> 00:21:03,560
Speaker 4: mackew if you want, you know, uh, he said, young man.

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Speaker 2: He was like, are you crazy. He's like, bullets run

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Speaker 2: real fast, you know, and I'll never forget that. And

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Speaker 2: Gary just he put the fear in me, you know.

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Speaker 4: And uh and he's passed now, unfortunately, but he put

385
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Speaker 4: the fear in me.

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Speaker 2: And uh, that's that's when I stopped. And by the way,

387
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Speaker 2: after I did, I turned like a five minute into

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Speaker 2: a five mile into like an eight mile, real easy.

389
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Speaker 2: And I was doing the two mile is all it is,

390
00:21:30,320 --> 00:21:32,760
Speaker 2: folks for the pet in the army. It's only two miles.

391
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Speaker 2: But you want time, you want you know, And I

392
00:21:35,760 --> 00:21:39,920
Speaker 2: got short legs, so it's all about printing your little ass,

393
00:21:40,000 --> 00:21:42,640
Speaker 2: you know. And uh, I love but I loved it, Joan,

394
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Speaker 2: That's the one thing I really do miss. So now

395
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Speaker 2: I have to swim.

396
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Speaker 3: Okay, you know. So we've got a pivot to politics.

397
00:21:48,800 --> 00:21:49,359
Speaker 2: Let's do it.

398
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Speaker 3: And I want you to react to Joe Biden.

399
00:21:52,160 --> 00:21:54,080
Speaker 2: Today drinking conversation anyway.

400
00:21:54,400 --> 00:21:56,960
Speaker 3: It is it is that. I mean, maybe yeah, maybe

401
00:21:56,960 --> 00:21:59,000
Speaker 3: we should next time you come on, maybe we should

402
00:21:59,000 --> 00:22:00,960
Speaker 3: both crack a drink and just tell war stories. But

403
00:22:02,000 --> 00:22:04,000
Speaker 3: we got like real important news that we have to

404
00:22:04,040 --> 00:22:07,399
Speaker 3: get to so we can tell war stories later. Okay,

405
00:22:07,480 --> 00:22:10,159
Speaker 3: react to this, this video of Joe Biden freaking out

406
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Speaker 3: about swing state polling. I feel like it's a good

407
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Speaker 3: segue and to get into all the stuff that we're

408
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Speaker 3: going to get into today. Check this out and listen.

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Speaker 5: Well, it's like the Waalston Journal one land in the

410
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Speaker 5: White House and he's losing all the battleground states.

411
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Speaker 1: No, he's not losing in all the battle scenes. He's

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Speaker 1: coming up and he's even or doing better. So you

413
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Speaker 1: know what, once people start to focus in and they

414
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Speaker 1: see their two choices, it's obvious that Joe will win

415
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Speaker 1: the selection.

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Speaker 3: Right, Okay, So she's clearly freaking out right, I mean arts.

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Speaker 2: Ride elder abuse after this election. Sorry, Laura would never

418
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Speaker 2: do this to me.

419
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Speaker 3: I don't think Melanie would do it to me either,

420
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Speaker 3: I really don't. And it's a good point because clearly

421
00:22:51,400 --> 00:22:53,719
Speaker 3: Joe Biden is not the same Joe Biden that debated

422
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Speaker 3: Paul Ryan even just oh what was it twelve years ago? Now,

423
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Speaker 3: I mean flour with completely wipe the floor with Paul Ryan.

424
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Speaker 3: And but but you have been saying and fairly often

425
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Speaker 3: warning people on social media that folks, yes, Trump is up,

426
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Speaker 3: but this race is going to Titan. She Joe Biden

427
00:23:14,600 --> 00:23:17,360
Speaker 3: alluded to that, what is it Joe Biden ed right,

428
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Speaker 3: not not Joe Joe Biden d doctor Jill but but

429
00:23:22,280 --> 00:23:25,399
Speaker 3: doctor of education, not medical doctor. But I digress. But

430
00:23:25,560 --> 00:23:28,400
Speaker 3: you so, you you've been saying for a long time

431
00:23:28,400 --> 00:23:30,200
Speaker 3: that the Poles are going to Titan And there's been

432
00:23:30,240 --> 00:23:32,720
Speaker 3: this narrative that I have been a little bit frustrated

433
00:23:32,760 --> 00:23:37,440
Speaker 3: with of conservatives kind of putting this narrative out there

434
00:23:37,480 --> 00:23:40,000
Speaker 3: that oh man, it's it's closing. Oh aren't you glad

435
00:23:40,000 --> 00:23:43,200
Speaker 3: that you nominated Trump? Like, oh, these poles are tightening now,

436
00:23:43,280 --> 00:23:46,320
Speaker 3: look and so but you've expected this all along.

437
00:23:46,880 --> 00:23:48,920
Speaker 2: Yeah, And if it was NICKI Haley, she'd be down

438
00:23:48,960 --> 00:23:51,480
Speaker 2: by now. She would because they would have started whacking

439
00:23:51,520 --> 00:23:54,040
Speaker 2: her un boeing, they would have started whacking her on

440
00:23:54,119 --> 00:23:57,160
Speaker 2: Social Security. She would have lost every single Ross Belt

441
00:23:57,240 --> 00:24:00,359
Speaker 2: state in a landslide. I'm not kidding. If it was

442
00:24:00,440 --> 00:24:03,040
Speaker 2: Ron de Santis, he'd be begging Trump to make sure

443
00:24:03,080 --> 00:24:05,920
Speaker 2: a maga comes out for him. And he was down anyway,

444
00:24:06,000 --> 00:24:09,040
Speaker 2: And that was after the electorate got to know, Rond

445
00:24:09,040 --> 00:24:15,520
Speaker 2: de Santis, this is a divided country. And when I

446
00:24:15,720 --> 00:24:18,160
Speaker 2: you know when landslide is not what a landslide used

447
00:24:18,200 --> 00:24:22,159
Speaker 2: to be. And I would one hundred percent rather be

448
00:24:22,240 --> 00:24:24,440
Speaker 2: Donald Trump right now if you look around the electoral

449
00:24:24,440 --> 00:24:26,720
Speaker 2: college map, I mean, which we could do it a bit,

450
00:24:26,920 --> 00:24:30,560
Speaker 2: but it is almost like Joe Biden has to pull

451
00:24:30,600 --> 00:24:34,880
Speaker 2: like a straight royal flush, you know. So it's very difficult.

452
00:24:34,960 --> 00:24:37,600
Speaker 2: People need to understand. And the reason why I always

453
00:24:37,600 --> 00:24:40,240
Speaker 2: said that to you Sean too, is because, for instance,

454
00:24:40,240 --> 00:24:42,520
Speaker 2: this Paul we just did in Pennsylvania mission very much

455
00:24:42,520 --> 00:24:46,760
Speaker 2: the same thing. When you just ask straight up, most

456
00:24:46,760 --> 00:24:49,800
Speaker 2: people will say someone else or some other candidate along

457
00:24:49,840 --> 00:24:51,879
Speaker 2: with it, and that's their head to head. We break

458
00:24:51,920 --> 00:24:55,680
Speaker 2: our we break our scenarios down in just the head

459
00:24:55,720 --> 00:24:58,679
Speaker 2: to head. You could tell after you lean it that

460
00:24:58,760 --> 00:25:02,560
Speaker 2: it does close. Now, what's significant historic is that we

461
00:25:02,600 --> 00:25:06,280
Speaker 2: never had Trump get above fifty percent in these states

462
00:25:06,359 --> 00:25:09,520
Speaker 2: when it just doesn't happen. It never happened before. He

463
00:25:09,600 --> 00:25:12,000
Speaker 2: wins with like forty eight forty nine percent. He wins

464
00:25:12,000 --> 00:25:15,360
Speaker 2: because his base is super solid. Even in twenty sixteen,

465
00:25:16,119 --> 00:25:19,600
Speaker 2: except for Ohio and Iowa, he did not break fifty

466
00:25:19,600 --> 00:25:22,360
Speaker 2: percent in those states. So people need to remember that

467
00:25:23,240 --> 00:25:25,760
Speaker 2: now he is and I mean I can show you

468
00:25:25,800 --> 00:25:30,400
Speaker 2: guys in a bit. And there's also, like I said,

469
00:25:30,680 --> 00:25:33,960
Speaker 2: there are when we ask those people to lean, you

470
00:25:34,000 --> 00:25:36,959
Speaker 2: could see that some people come home to Joe Biden.

471
00:25:37,119 --> 00:25:39,760
Speaker 2: Now I'd rather again be Trump, because the problem is

472
00:25:39,840 --> 00:25:42,199
Speaker 2: Biden's problem is not just that he needs people to

473
00:25:42,200 --> 00:25:46,919
Speaker 2: come home. Biden's lost voters from twenty twenty. There are

474
00:25:47,040 --> 00:25:50,000
Speaker 2: true swing voters who said that I voted for Trump

475
00:25:50,000 --> 00:25:52,959
Speaker 2: in sixteen, I voted for Biden in twenty and now

476
00:25:52,960 --> 00:25:55,160
Speaker 2: I'm voting for Donald Trump again in twenty four. There

477
00:25:55,160 --> 00:25:59,159
Speaker 2: are currently too many of them for Joe Biden to

478
00:25:59,200 --> 00:26:02,159
Speaker 2: win the selection. And as far as the national polls tightening,

479
00:26:02,160 --> 00:26:05,080
Speaker 2: because that narrative has been out there, I'm talking to

480
00:26:05,119 --> 00:26:08,080
Speaker 2: you yesterday, right, and I'm like, it's going out to locals.

481
00:26:08,119 --> 00:26:10,200
Speaker 2: I got Trump up. The lead is bigger than I thought,

482
00:26:10,320 --> 00:26:13,240
Speaker 2: or at least on that one scenario, bigger than I thought.

483
00:26:13,320 --> 00:26:16,119
Speaker 2: It's going out whatever, But I knew the narrative was,

484
00:26:16,160 --> 00:26:20,800
Speaker 2: oh they tightened, Pennsylvania's tight now. And then maybe an

485
00:26:20,880 --> 00:26:23,200
Speaker 2: hour and a half later, the Wall Street Journal released

486
00:26:23,200 --> 00:26:25,480
Speaker 2: They're polling that they were just talking about that showed

487
00:26:25,880 --> 00:26:28,360
Speaker 2: the same level of support for Trump. When you initially

488
00:26:28,400 --> 00:26:31,600
Speaker 2: asked people, it's that lean Sean, when you lean them

489
00:26:32,240 --> 00:26:35,040
Speaker 2: in the head to head when it's just him and Biden,

490
00:26:35,520 --> 00:26:38,880
Speaker 2: he gets above fifty, Why does that matter? I certainly

491
00:26:38,960 --> 00:26:42,440
Speaker 2: I expect bolls to close, and I think that's happening now.

492
00:26:42,720 --> 00:26:46,320
Speaker 2: But I also expect the appetite for third party to

493
00:26:46,440 --> 00:26:49,320
Speaker 2: fall as people realize that they have to vote for

494
00:26:49,359 --> 00:26:51,160
Speaker 2: their guy or else the other guy's going to win.

495
00:26:51,640 --> 00:26:54,560
Speaker 2: That kicks in like it always does. I don't think

496
00:26:54,640 --> 00:26:57,560
Speaker 2: Robert Kennedy is a serious candidate. I think he's only

497
00:26:57,600 --> 00:27:01,000
Speaker 2: on the ballot at the moment in Utah. He's maybe

498
00:27:01,080 --> 00:27:03,639
Speaker 2: going to qualify for Nevada. But if you go to

499
00:27:03,640 --> 00:27:06,760
Speaker 2: his website and look at all that dark purple, it's bs.

500
00:27:06,880 --> 00:27:10,479
Speaker 2: He is not there yet, and there are rules they

501
00:27:10,520 --> 00:27:15,040
Speaker 2: will challenge his signatures. Jill Stein at this point is

502
00:27:15,200 --> 00:27:17,520
Speaker 2: likely to have a bigger impact on this election than

503
00:27:17,640 --> 00:27:20,440
Speaker 2: RFK is. He's not on the ballot in Pennsylvania. He

504
00:27:20,920 --> 00:27:23,120
Speaker 2: kept saying he's on the ballot in Michigan. But it's

505
00:27:23,200 --> 00:27:26,080
Speaker 2: not a done deal. It's not, by the way. You

506
00:27:26,119 --> 00:27:28,480
Speaker 2: know who is on the ballot in Michigan, Jill Stein.

507
00:27:28,920 --> 00:27:31,760
Speaker 2: You know who's in the ballot in Wisconsin, Jill Stein,

508
00:27:32,280 --> 00:27:36,320
Speaker 2: on the ballot in Arizona. Jill Stein. That's done. You know,

509
00:27:36,400 --> 00:27:40,040
Speaker 2: that is for sure done. They have qualified to do that.

510
00:27:40,160 --> 00:27:42,320
Speaker 2: I mean I spent like an hour and a half

511
00:27:42,359 --> 00:27:44,600
Speaker 2: on one of the shows on Inside the numbers going

512
00:27:44,640 --> 00:27:47,440
Speaker 2: over like the battleground states we know, and then those

513
00:27:47,480 --> 00:27:51,000
Speaker 2: peripheral states you know that could be battlegrounds if the

514
00:27:51,040 --> 00:27:56,000
Speaker 2: election goes real hard one way Minnesota, for instance, that's

515
00:27:56,160 --> 00:27:58,399
Speaker 2: one of the easier states to get on. He hasn't

516
00:27:58,400 --> 00:28:01,200
Speaker 2: even done that yet, Sean. I mean, it's and he's

517
00:28:01,200 --> 00:28:04,040
Speaker 2: got his VP now, so there's no excuses. The truth

518
00:28:04,119 --> 00:28:06,040
Speaker 2: is he had a bunch of people around him who

519
00:28:06,080 --> 00:28:08,480
Speaker 2: don't know what the hell they're doing. The one person

520
00:28:08,520 --> 00:28:11,880
Speaker 2: who did, Dennis Cassinich, he fired for his CIA daughter

521
00:28:11,920 --> 00:28:14,159
Speaker 2: in law. So this isn't I mean, this is not.

522
00:28:14,400 --> 00:28:17,040
Speaker 2: I really started to feel like this is not. I'm

523
00:28:17,040 --> 00:28:18,720
Speaker 2: getting to the point as a polster where I feel

524
00:28:18,720 --> 00:28:21,120
Speaker 2: like it's a waste of money and I can't justify

525
00:28:21,480 --> 00:28:24,919
Speaker 2: polling RFK if he doesn't do something different soon. I

526
00:28:25,000 --> 00:28:27,640
Speaker 2: was on Newsmax with Mark alper in a while ago.

527
00:28:27,880 --> 00:28:30,159
Speaker 2: Mark's been around a long time, He's the only one

528
00:28:30,160 --> 00:28:32,439
Speaker 2: who really understood on that panel what I was talking about.

529
00:28:32,640 --> 00:28:35,000
Speaker 2: It is so hard to get on those states. This

530
00:28:35,160 --> 00:28:38,720
Speaker 2: is mostly a thought exercise. If you're not on the

531
00:28:38,760 --> 00:28:42,760
Speaker 2: Libertarian and you're not on the Green Party, it's going

532
00:28:42,760 --> 00:28:45,120
Speaker 2: to be very difficult. And by the way, speaking to Minnesota,

533
00:28:45,440 --> 00:28:47,800
Speaker 2: if the race is so tight and Jill's like he's

534
00:28:47,840 --> 00:28:51,240
Speaker 2: on his way up, why did they just send a crackpot,

535
00:28:51,480 --> 00:28:54,400
Speaker 2: a crack team of three people who I know of

536
00:28:54,760 --> 00:28:58,520
Speaker 2: and know their work, to Minnesota with a huge budget

537
00:28:58,920 --> 00:29:04,000
Speaker 2: to defend minnesot to put together a plan to defend Minnesota. Guys.

538
00:29:04,160 --> 00:29:07,760
Speaker 2: Joe Biden won Minnesota by seven points last time. The

539
00:29:08,280 --> 00:29:11,959
Speaker 2: truth is they know this Minnesota's close. Trump is up

540
00:29:11,960 --> 00:29:15,160
Speaker 2: in all the battleground states right now basically everyone, if

541
00:29:15,200 --> 00:29:20,000
Speaker 2: not everyone. I haven't pulled everyone, but I think what

542
00:29:20,080 --> 00:29:22,160
Speaker 2: was the one Wisconsin that was tight. We'll pull it

543
00:29:22,200 --> 00:29:24,480
Speaker 2: soon and we'll see in that Wall Street Journal poll

544
00:29:24,640 --> 00:29:26,680
Speaker 2: and in the Bloomberg pole that was the one that

545
00:29:26,720 --> 00:29:29,560
Speaker 2: seemed tighter too. We'll pull it soon and we'll find out. Brother.

546
00:29:29,640 --> 00:29:33,520
Speaker 2: But I'm telling you, I'd rather be Trump. I would

547
00:29:33,560 --> 00:29:35,120
Speaker 2: not be Joe Biden. I don't want to be Joe

548
00:29:35,160 --> 00:29:38,040
Speaker 2: Biden defending Minnesota at this point. And this is what

549
00:29:38,080 --> 00:29:41,640
Speaker 2: people need to understand. Donald Trump won the election in

550
00:29:41,680 --> 00:29:45,040
Speaker 2: twenty sixteen when he lost a popular vote by two,

551
00:29:45,120 --> 00:29:48,600
Speaker 2: he nearly lost the I mean, he nearly won the

552
00:29:48,600 --> 00:29:52,160
Speaker 2: electoral college when Joe Biden won the popular vote by four.

553
00:29:52,560 --> 00:29:55,600
Speaker 2: It is widely accepted among people like me that Biden

554
00:29:55,680 --> 00:29:57,720
Speaker 2: needs at least a four point win to ensure he

555
00:29:57,760 --> 00:30:00,920
Speaker 2: gets to the electoral college. The voters that Trump appeals

556
00:30:00,960 --> 00:30:06,120
Speaker 2: to are overrepresented in the electoral college. Working class a

557
00:30:06,160 --> 00:30:08,760
Speaker 2: lot of especially too. They're very white in a lot

558
00:30:08,760 --> 00:30:12,360
Speaker 2: of these states. But now that's an even bigger problem

559
00:30:12,360 --> 00:30:14,840
Speaker 2: for Biden because he's not just appealing to the white

560
00:30:14,920 --> 00:30:18,800
Speaker 2: working class anymore. As our poll, as Tony Fabrizio's poll

561
00:30:18,840 --> 00:30:21,680
Speaker 2: for the Wall Street Journal, as everybody is showing. Now

562
00:30:21,720 --> 00:30:24,960
Speaker 2: it's not just us CNN Adam at thirty four percent

563
00:30:25,120 --> 00:30:28,680
Speaker 2: black vote. Mitchell Research has been polling Michigan for years

564
00:30:28,880 --> 00:30:30,880
Speaker 2: had him at like thirty thirty two percent of the

565
00:30:30,880 --> 00:30:33,720
Speaker 2: black vote. We got him in the twenties. I mean,

566
00:30:34,120 --> 00:30:36,880
Speaker 2: this is a problem. And if you're Joe Biden, the

567
00:30:36,960 --> 00:30:40,520
Speaker 2: problem is you didn't Just those people aren't just kind

568
00:30:40,520 --> 00:30:43,040
Speaker 2: of like, oh, I need to come home. They have

569
00:30:43,520 --> 00:30:46,480
Speaker 2: quit on Joe Biden and they're voting for Donald Trump.

570
00:30:47,280 --> 00:30:49,800
Speaker 3: All right, So a couple things I want to ask

571
00:30:49,880 --> 00:30:53,320
Speaker 3: you about this headline from Breitbart and this is Marist,

572
00:30:53,320 --> 00:30:56,200
Speaker 3: and I know how you feel about Marist. They suck independent,

573
00:30:57,640 --> 00:30:58,320
Speaker 3: how I feel?

574
00:31:00,120 --> 00:31:04,840
Speaker 5: Okay, So take what you will with this number that

575
00:31:04,960 --> 00:31:12,000
Speaker 5: said objective fact. It's not my opinion, all right, Well

576
00:31:12,040 --> 00:31:14,240
Speaker 5: it says okay, so you're kind of like you're kind

577
00:31:14,240 --> 00:31:15,440
Speaker 5: of killing my story here.

578
00:31:15,680 --> 00:31:20,440
Speaker 3: But Marrist Paul Independence swing twenty eight points towards Trump, and.

579
00:31:20,480 --> 00:31:25,720
Speaker 2: Swing still matter, Trends still matter. All they did was weight. Listen.

580
00:31:26,160 --> 00:31:28,920
Speaker 2: There's something called and I've been trying to explain this

581
00:31:28,920 --> 00:31:31,400
Speaker 2: to viewers to chase the weight. It's when a polster

582
00:31:31,480 --> 00:31:33,920
Speaker 2: gets something wrong, not because their methodology is wrong, but

583
00:31:33,960 --> 00:31:35,880
Speaker 2: because they ended up being the one in twenty that

584
00:31:36,000 --> 00:31:38,160
Speaker 2: is going to be wrong statistically, because that's just the

585
00:31:38,160 --> 00:31:41,320
Speaker 2: way it is. It happens to everybody. And what a

586
00:31:41,520 --> 00:31:43,960
Speaker 2: polster will do is change their methodology to try to

587
00:31:44,000 --> 00:31:46,160
Speaker 2: fix it, because you know what I do wrong, And

588
00:31:46,200 --> 00:31:48,160
Speaker 2: then the next election comes along and they change the

589
00:31:48,200 --> 00:31:52,080
Speaker 2: perfectly good methodology unbeknownst to them, and they get it

590
00:31:52,080 --> 00:31:55,800
Speaker 2: wrong again, So they're chasing the weight every election instead

591
00:31:55,840 --> 00:31:58,440
Speaker 2: of just sitting. What they know is is a solid

592
00:31:58,480 --> 00:32:02,520
Speaker 2: methodology because you know and have trust and faith in it.

593
00:32:03,440 --> 00:32:06,640
Speaker 2: Marit is one of those pollsters that knows something's wrong

594
00:32:06,840 --> 00:32:09,719
Speaker 2: and has not changed it. It's not just me. They've

595
00:32:09,560 --> 00:32:11,480
Speaker 2: even been accused by the poster at the New York

596
00:32:11,520 --> 00:32:15,560
Speaker 2: Times of not recognizing the impact of education and region,

597
00:32:15,880 --> 00:32:18,720
Speaker 2: and that is what they That is one of their many,

598
00:32:18,800 --> 00:32:22,080
Speaker 2: many flaws. If you have a D plus eight electorate

599
00:32:22,200 --> 00:32:24,960
Speaker 2: in this time, in the modern era, you have a

600
00:32:25,280 --> 00:32:28,400
Speaker 2: major methodology issue. I haven't had D plus eight since

601
00:32:28,480 --> 00:32:31,959
Speaker 2: Joe Biden was elected and since Barack Obama was reelected.

602
00:32:32,040 --> 00:32:35,160
Speaker 2: Like that's very common to see swings real quick after

603
00:32:35,200 --> 00:32:39,800
Speaker 2: a president wins, but it is not reality. Clarity came

604
00:32:39,840 --> 00:32:41,560
Speaker 2: out a little bit after I had Trump up and

605
00:32:41,600 --> 00:32:46,360
Speaker 2: it was a D plus one. That's reality, you know. Basically, though,

606
00:32:46,400 --> 00:32:49,360
Speaker 2: the trend still matters because they're still doing the same thing.

607
00:32:49,760 --> 00:32:52,400
Speaker 2: So it's apples to apples. You know, if I could

608
00:32:52,400 --> 00:32:55,200
Speaker 2: brock you want to throw it up and I'll show Sean,

609
00:32:55,280 --> 00:32:57,480
Speaker 2: I'll go back to the map. But I know it's

610
00:32:57,480 --> 00:32:59,360
Speaker 2: hard for everybody to see. I'm actually going to replace

611
00:32:59,360 --> 00:33:02,240
Speaker 2: the Pennsylvania out with the crosstab right now because I

612
00:33:02,280 --> 00:33:05,280
Speaker 2: want to show you something, Sean. This is Pennsylvania and

613
00:33:05,320 --> 00:33:09,480
Speaker 2: we will see this when it comes to national polling

614
00:33:09,600 --> 00:33:12,360
Speaker 2: all the time. All right here, how did you vote

615
00:33:12,400 --> 00:33:14,760
Speaker 2: in twenty twenty? Right? And you and I had this

616
00:33:14,800 --> 00:33:18,640
Speaker 2: conversation the other day. Joe Biden got just fifty percent

617
00:33:18,760 --> 00:33:21,400
Speaker 2: in Pennsylvania. But there are people who are lying. They

618
00:33:21,440 --> 00:33:24,640
Speaker 2: don't want to look like eleven percent of Democrats are like,

619
00:33:24,680 --> 00:33:29,000
Speaker 2: I totally voted for Trump, right, Independence are saying that

620
00:33:29,080 --> 00:33:34,680
Speaker 2: they voted for We had Independence going for Biden slightly

621
00:33:35,120 --> 00:33:38,560
Speaker 2: in Pennsylvania, and either way he won them, and he

622
00:33:38,600 --> 00:33:41,880
Speaker 2: won them pretty significantly. Five point four percent say they

623
00:33:41,880 --> 00:33:45,320
Speaker 2: don't remember or they chose someone else. Well, folks, there

624
00:33:45,440 --> 00:33:48,320
Speaker 2: was nobody else. It was them and Joe Jorgenson, and

625
00:33:48,360 --> 00:33:50,760
Speaker 2: that's it. Those are people you should just add to

626
00:33:50,800 --> 00:33:53,720
Speaker 2: Biden's margin right now because they're lying. So that would

627
00:33:53,720 --> 00:33:57,680
Speaker 2: put Biden around fifty three percent, which is what he got.

628
00:33:58,120 --> 00:34:01,000
Speaker 2: Now watch this all the diff in ballads we ask

629
00:34:01,080 --> 00:34:06,880
Speaker 2: Trump with leaners, without with Kennedy, with Stein against Biden

630
00:34:06,960 --> 00:34:09,680
Speaker 2: but with a generic somebody else. Forget all that for

631
00:34:09,680 --> 00:34:11,640
Speaker 2: a second. Let's get to the heart of it. This

632
00:34:11,680 --> 00:34:15,120
Speaker 2: is Trump vi Biden. Here's Independence. When we first asked them,

633
00:34:15,400 --> 00:34:17,640
Speaker 2: and Trump leads thirty five to thirty two, with a

634
00:34:17,719 --> 00:34:21,080
Speaker 2: third saying they're undecided. It's not uncommon this far out

635
00:34:21,080 --> 00:34:24,239
Speaker 2: for Independence to still say that. But when you lean them,

636
00:34:25,200 --> 00:34:28,520
Speaker 2: Trump is ahead. When you force them fifty three to

637
00:34:28,640 --> 00:34:33,760
Speaker 2: forty seven, that would represent roughly the same size swing.

638
00:34:33,960 --> 00:34:36,400
Speaker 2: I mean, you know, statewide, I love it less, but

639
00:34:37,080 --> 00:34:41,080
Speaker 2: very very, very similar. So I hate to say this

640
00:34:41,160 --> 00:34:45,520
Speaker 2: because Maris sucks, but I do at least agree. And

641
00:34:45,600 --> 00:34:47,839
Speaker 2: Trump is not going to win Independence by seven points

642
00:34:47,880 --> 00:34:51,120
Speaker 2: and lose the election. Folks. The electorate will be roughly even,

643
00:34:51,520 --> 00:34:54,960
Speaker 2: maybe even D plus one or R plus one, but

644
00:34:55,200 --> 00:34:57,520
Speaker 2: because it can be R plus one. The country's moving

645
00:34:57,520 --> 00:35:01,000
Speaker 2: to the right when it comes to identification and registration,

646
00:35:01,280 --> 00:35:07,120
Speaker 2: but registration lags identification. Self identification is a leading indicator,

647
00:35:07,160 --> 00:35:09,239
Speaker 2: and you have to change your mind about what you

648
00:35:09,360 --> 00:35:12,799
Speaker 2: are first before you change your registration. Right, So it

649
00:35:12,840 --> 00:35:15,880
Speaker 2: only makes sense like I'm an independent. Last year I

650
00:35:15,960 --> 00:35:18,279
Speaker 2: decided no, you know what, I am a Republican. I'm

651
00:35:18,280 --> 00:35:21,160
Speaker 2: gonna go down and change my registration. But you're gonna

652
00:35:21,160 --> 00:35:24,280
Speaker 2: do that way after you've already concluded that in your mind.

653
00:35:24,360 --> 00:35:26,880
Speaker 2: It takes time when not often it takes you to

654
00:35:26,880 --> 00:35:29,640
Speaker 2: be pressured to do it. So these are people who

655
00:35:29,680 --> 00:35:31,880
Speaker 2: are self identifying, just like they would have hit the

656
00:35:31,880 --> 00:35:36,640
Speaker 2: exit poll. And again it represents a swing toward Trump.

657
00:35:36,760 --> 00:35:42,200
Speaker 2: Now nationally Sean, we're seeing like fifteen to twenty point

658
00:35:42,280 --> 00:35:45,120
Speaker 2: swings on a given month, like huge swings, you know.

659
00:35:45,280 --> 00:35:48,680
Speaker 2: So it's it's you know, it's a I have to

660
00:35:48,719 --> 00:35:51,359
Speaker 2: agree with them, is what I'm saying. They actually got

661
00:35:51,360 --> 00:35:53,680
Speaker 2: this one right, brother, they actually got this one right.

662
00:35:54,239 --> 00:35:57,640
Speaker 3: So since we're since we're talking about Pennsylvania, yep, give

663
00:35:57,640 --> 00:36:00,560
Speaker 3: me the popline numbers Biden versus Trump and Pennsylvania.

664
00:36:00,600 --> 00:36:05,080
Speaker 2: Let's start there, okay, So with when you're uh, when

665
00:36:05,120 --> 00:36:07,759
Speaker 2: you're doing we do different ways that we look at it.

666
00:36:07,800 --> 00:36:10,920
Speaker 2: If it's just buy well, let me save that actually

667
00:36:10,960 --> 00:36:12,640
Speaker 2: because I want to come back to that and what

668
00:36:12,640 --> 00:36:16,400
Speaker 2: we were talking about before with expect the race to tighten. Okay,

669
00:36:16,800 --> 00:36:19,719
Speaker 2: if it's just Trump and bide him with like a

670
00:36:19,719 --> 00:36:24,880
Speaker 2: generic somebody else, it's Trump by six. He initially leads

671
00:36:24,920 --> 00:36:27,919
Speaker 2: forty six forty and then when you force people to lean,

672
00:36:28,360 --> 00:36:30,799
Speaker 2: they both increase by a point and he lean. He

673
00:36:30,920 --> 00:36:33,759
Speaker 2: leads forty seven to forty one, with you know, twelve

674
00:36:33,800 --> 00:36:36,239
Speaker 2: percent eleven point six percent saying they would vote for

675
00:36:36,280 --> 00:36:39,560
Speaker 2: somebody else. I'm telling you, Sean, that's not I would

676
00:36:39,640 --> 00:36:43,480
Speaker 2: be shocked if that really does can hold it could

677
00:36:43,760 --> 00:36:47,520
Speaker 2: it's you know, it's possible, but we'll see. Sixteen was

678
00:36:47,560 --> 00:36:51,200
Speaker 2: like a really big third party year since like the

679
00:36:51,480 --> 00:36:55,840
Speaker 2: Ross Perot era, and I would just be interested in

680
00:36:55,920 --> 00:36:58,560
Speaker 2: knowing whether or not this appetite is good at the

681
00:36:58,600 --> 00:37:02,080
Speaker 2: client because I think it probably will. Why well, give

682
00:37:02,120 --> 00:37:04,640
Speaker 2: me a second. I don't know that Kennedy's even going

683
00:37:04,680 --> 00:37:07,720
Speaker 2: to be on this ballot, but we asked about Biden

684
00:37:07,760 --> 00:37:11,279
Speaker 2: verse Trump versus Kennedy, and then again a generic someone else.

685
00:37:11,600 --> 00:37:15,040
Speaker 2: Trump again leads by six forty five to thirty nine.

686
00:37:15,160 --> 00:37:19,319
Speaker 2: When you lean people, Biden increases a little bit, it's

687
00:37:19,480 --> 00:37:21,759
Speaker 2: just enough to round them up to forty. Trump is

688
00:37:21,800 --> 00:37:22,760
Speaker 2: at forty five.

689
00:37:23,040 --> 00:37:26,160
Speaker 3: So Rich, explain to people what you say when you

690
00:37:26,200 --> 00:37:29,239
Speaker 3: say when you say when you lean people, Oh right, okay,

691
00:37:29,320 --> 00:37:30,280
Speaker 3: tell us what that means.

692
00:37:30,480 --> 00:37:33,759
Speaker 2: So people, initially, a lot of people initially will just

693
00:37:34,520 --> 00:37:37,640
Speaker 2: you know, I don't know. I'm undecided. It's eight months out,

694
00:37:37,680 --> 00:37:40,080
Speaker 2: it's six months out, it's seven months you know. They

695
00:37:40,680 --> 00:37:42,880
Speaker 2: I'm not really sure yet. I haven't really given it

696
00:37:42,920 --> 00:37:46,359
Speaker 2: a lot of thought. You have to say, look, you

697
00:37:46,400 --> 00:37:48,239
Speaker 2: tell you take that answer first. And a lot of

698
00:37:48,239 --> 00:37:50,920
Speaker 2: posters don't even ask to lean, but we do, and

699
00:37:50,960 --> 00:37:54,800
Speaker 2: we'll say basically, Okay, we understand you're undecided, but listen,

700
00:37:55,400 --> 00:37:59,600
Speaker 2: if you were forced and the election was today and

701
00:37:59,640 --> 00:38:01,480
Speaker 2: you have to make up your mind, who would you

702
00:38:01,560 --> 00:38:05,240
Speaker 2: vote for? And that's what we do. So that honestly,

703
00:38:05,840 --> 00:38:08,200
Speaker 2: because here's the truth, Sean. What we find is that

704
00:38:08,239 --> 00:38:11,200
Speaker 2: those people are lying anyway. Man. A lot of people

705
00:38:11,480 --> 00:38:16,440
Speaker 2: don't want to tell you because they're private, you know.

706
00:38:16,680 --> 00:38:19,840
Speaker 2: I mean, it's just true, especially in a state like Wisconsin.

707
00:38:19,960 --> 00:38:24,359
Speaker 2: Some states are different than others. They may be Wisconsin nice,

708
00:38:24,400 --> 00:38:27,680
Speaker 2: like Minnesota nice, but they're also Wisconsin mind your own business,

709
00:38:27,760 --> 00:38:31,400
Speaker 2: you know kind of thing. Yeah, as opposed to Ohio,

710
00:38:31,480 --> 00:38:33,840
Speaker 2: who is like trump full and hang up some phone

711
00:38:33,880 --> 00:38:38,000
Speaker 2: on you. You know, I'm serious, But that's just the

712
00:38:38,000 --> 00:38:41,279
Speaker 2: way they are now. But yeah, you're leaning them, you're

713
00:38:41,280 --> 00:38:45,719
Speaker 2: forcing them to make a decision. And when they do that,

714
00:38:45,920 --> 00:38:48,279
Speaker 2: is what we come up and we always add that

715
00:38:48,440 --> 00:38:51,320
Speaker 2: percentage that they get from the undecided onto the initial

716
00:38:51,760 --> 00:38:54,400
Speaker 2: share of their vote, and that's where they come up

717
00:38:54,400 --> 00:38:59,760
Speaker 2: with the total. But again, this is the map for Trump.

718
00:39:00,360 --> 00:39:03,320
Speaker 2: The map that people are seeing is the seven point

719
00:39:03,400 --> 00:39:07,000
Speaker 2: met with Trump first, Biden versus you know, someone else,

720
00:39:07,040 --> 00:39:11,279
Speaker 2: And we do that explicitly to let people know. You

721
00:39:11,320 --> 00:39:13,439
Speaker 2: may look at the Fox pull and many others, they

722
00:39:13,480 --> 00:39:16,280
Speaker 2: all do it, Sean, and many times they're not explaining

723
00:39:16,320 --> 00:39:19,000
Speaker 2: to people that there really is a difference between that

724
00:39:19,160 --> 00:39:21,920
Speaker 2: and a head to head. That's why we do show both.

725
00:39:22,280 --> 00:39:25,759
Speaker 2: I just want to point out though, when you do

726
00:39:26,680 --> 00:39:31,480
Speaker 2: have just Biden versus Trump, Trump leads forty four point

727
00:39:31,520 --> 00:39:35,120
Speaker 2: four to forty two percent, with about just under fourteen

728
00:39:35,160 --> 00:39:38,000
Speaker 2: percent saying I don't know, I'm undecided. When you push

729
00:39:38,040 --> 00:39:41,560
Speaker 2: those people and lean those people, Biden does gain quite

730
00:39:41,600 --> 00:39:44,680
Speaker 2: a bit, Don't get me wrong. Trump gains two, Biden

731
00:39:44,760 --> 00:39:51,239
Speaker 2: gains six point nine percent, and Trump gains seven point one.

732
00:39:52,040 --> 00:39:55,279
Speaker 2: So Trump ends up at fifty one point one and

733
00:39:55,320 --> 00:39:58,120
Speaker 2: Biden ends up at forty eight point nine.

734
00:39:58,560 --> 00:40:03,080
Speaker 3: So that is watching brow. That is always the margin.

735
00:40:03,120 --> 00:40:05,920
Speaker 3: It seems entit and that is what I think.

736
00:40:05,840 --> 00:40:09,759
Speaker 2: Is personally sean you know, Pennsylvania, you know they I

737
00:40:09,760 --> 00:40:13,280
Speaker 2: can see Trump win him by two point two. I can't,

738
00:40:13,400 --> 00:40:16,239
Speaker 2: but we're gonna be watching it like oh bo. I

739
00:40:16,280 --> 00:40:19,000
Speaker 2: mean it's gonna be yeah. And that's why people like

740
00:40:19,120 --> 00:40:24,359
Speaker 2: me will know from someone's margin like Alleghany, if he's

741
00:40:24,400 --> 00:40:27,040
Speaker 2: at forty two in Alleghany, like it's over, He's got it,

742
00:40:27,120 --> 00:40:27,399
Speaker 2: you know.

743
00:40:27,440 --> 00:40:30,040
Speaker 3: Yeah, right right? Or or with the black vote in Philly.

744
00:40:30,080 --> 00:40:32,440
Speaker 3: I mean, people don't realize that to me and to

745
00:40:32,600 --> 00:40:36,680
Speaker 3: me and Trump, and I think sixteen got like somewhere

746
00:40:36,719 --> 00:40:40,560
Speaker 3: between sixteen or seventeen percent of the black vote in Philly, respectively.

747
00:40:40,560 --> 00:40:45,000
Speaker 3: And they want look, man, if Trump in and around Philly,

748
00:40:45,000 --> 00:40:47,600
Speaker 3: and I say, the black vote in Philly because Philly

749
00:40:47,719 --> 00:40:50,600
Speaker 3: is such a heavily Democrat area. I mean, you know

750
00:40:50,840 --> 00:40:55,000
Speaker 3: that's that's if Republicans just it's like a different state.

751
00:40:55,280 --> 00:40:56,640
Speaker 3: They just get killed there.

752
00:40:56,560 --> 00:40:58,600
Speaker 2: Except for two Italian wards.

753
00:40:58,800 --> 00:41:01,640
Speaker 3: Yeah, except except for South Philly, which, by the way,

754
00:41:01,680 --> 00:41:03,759
Speaker 3: that's where I kicked off my Senate campaign. And I'm

755
00:41:03,800 --> 00:41:06,480
Speaker 3: down there with a bunch of Philly Democrats and I

756
00:41:06,520 --> 00:41:08,719
Speaker 3: loved it. They were great, they were all with me.

757
00:41:09,880 --> 00:41:12,719
Speaker 3: But they but Phil I mean, look, if Trump get

758
00:41:12,760 --> 00:41:14,839
Speaker 3: I'm telling you right now, it doesn't matter how much

759
00:41:14,880 --> 00:41:17,840
Speaker 3: they try to cheat. If Trump gets twenty percent in Philly,

760
00:41:18,280 --> 00:41:21,399
Speaker 3: it is game, set match, nothing they can do. It's

761
00:41:21,440 --> 00:41:25,200
Speaker 3: just it's just the truth. Man. There's and so you

762
00:41:25,239 --> 00:41:27,840
Speaker 3: see that his numbers with Black Americans, as you and

763
00:41:27,920 --> 00:41:30,879
Speaker 3: I were texting about last night, if this holds out,

764
00:41:30,920 --> 00:41:31,719
Speaker 3: it's staggering.

765
00:41:32,160 --> 00:41:35,000
Speaker 2: Did she I mean Sean, even before the lean, he's

766
00:41:35,040 --> 00:41:39,319
Speaker 2: in the twenties. And then in Philly. I went back

767
00:41:39,360 --> 00:41:43,920
Speaker 2: and looked, and I was getting hit last cycle twenty

768
00:41:43,960 --> 00:41:46,719
Speaker 2: twenty because everyone thought I was way too high with

769
00:41:46,800 --> 00:41:48,840
Speaker 2: Trump's support in Philly, and I had him met. I

770
00:41:48,880 --> 00:41:51,040
Speaker 2: went back and looked. I had him at like twenty

771
00:41:51,080 --> 00:41:54,320
Speaker 2: five percent, twenty six percent, which I know sounds high.

772
00:41:54,600 --> 00:41:57,840
Speaker 2: But I had him at thirteen percent or fifteen percent

773
00:41:57,880 --> 00:42:02,160
Speaker 2: in sixteen and he got thirteen. But that he did

774
00:42:02,200 --> 00:42:05,000
Speaker 2: that or something, you know, something along those lines. The

775
00:42:05,040 --> 00:42:08,000
Speaker 2: New York Times had him at twenty two or twenty

776
00:42:08,040 --> 00:42:10,640
Speaker 2: three in Philly in twenty twenty, even though they had

777
00:42:10,719 --> 00:42:13,680
Speaker 2: him down by nine, uh, and he wound up getting

778
00:42:13,680 --> 00:42:16,719
Speaker 2: like eighteen or nineteen percent. I'd have to go back

779
00:42:16,760 --> 00:42:18,600
Speaker 2: and check real quick. But I can actually go and

780
00:42:18,640 --> 00:42:24,200
Speaker 2: look right now. Point being is, he already did increase

781
00:42:24,360 --> 00:42:29,160
Speaker 2: not only the number of votes in Philadelphia, but he increased. Yeah,

782
00:42:29,160 --> 00:42:32,160
Speaker 2: he got eighteen percent, and he got one hundred and

783
00:42:32,160 --> 00:42:34,680
Speaker 2: thirty almost one hundred and thirty three thousand votes there

784
00:42:34,960 --> 00:42:39,440
Speaker 2: sean for Republican That juje And it's no, it's not

785
00:42:39,600 --> 00:42:42,880
Speaker 2: a big jump because now we have them closer to thirty. Again,

786
00:42:42,960 --> 00:42:46,680
Speaker 2: sampling errors for subgroups are higher. Let's say where five

787
00:42:46,760 --> 00:42:51,239
Speaker 2: point five off. You know, that still puts him in

788
00:42:51,239 --> 00:42:56,120
Speaker 2: the mid twenties. He already increased from like thirteen fifteen

789
00:42:56,160 --> 00:43:00,560
Speaker 2: percent to eighteen percent. You think he can't get another

790
00:43:00,600 --> 00:43:03,640
Speaker 2: few points more in in the twenties, of course he can.

791
00:43:04,320 --> 00:43:07,440
Speaker 2: Of course he can't. And Alleghany, it's funny. He went

792
00:43:07,520 --> 00:43:11,080
Speaker 2: up in Philly and dipped slightly down in Alleghany from

793
00:43:11,120 --> 00:43:14,520
Speaker 2: sixteen to twenty. And that's totally backwards if you look

794
00:43:14,560 --> 00:43:15,840
Speaker 2: on the map. As a matter of fact, let me

795
00:43:15,880 --> 00:43:19,560
Speaker 2: show you this while we're talking about Philly. Here's Philadelphia, folks.

796
00:43:19,600 --> 00:43:21,759
Speaker 2: As you can tell, there's a lot of interviews here.

797
00:43:22,520 --> 00:43:23,480
Speaker 3: This looks close.

798
00:43:24,160 --> 00:43:26,160
Speaker 2: I mean not close. I mean Biden's gonna win it.

799
00:43:26,200 --> 00:43:29,400
Speaker 2: But this is a lot more red than you would

800
00:43:29,480 --> 00:43:33,000
Speaker 2: ever expect to see. I've been doing this a long time.

801
00:43:33,719 --> 00:43:37,200
Speaker 2: This doesn't happen. You know, it's like weird shown he's

802
00:43:37,239 --> 00:43:43,120
Speaker 2: doing better in Philadelphia, but like getting I want to say,

803
00:43:43,120 --> 00:43:46,240
Speaker 2: you'd be lucky if he got like forty five percent

804
00:43:46,239 --> 00:43:48,200
Speaker 2: of the vote in Bucks County, like I kidnap, I

805
00:43:48,280 --> 00:43:50,960
Speaker 2: kid you not. Bucks is like seems to be me

806
00:43:51,520 --> 00:43:53,399
Speaker 2: seems to be moving to the left a little bit,

807
00:43:55,080 --> 00:43:57,640
Speaker 2: But you can make that up by winning a lot

808
00:43:57,719 --> 00:44:00,480
Speaker 2: more votes in Philly than you normally win. You can

809
00:44:00,560 --> 00:44:04,520
Speaker 2: clearly see that he is actually outperforming in the Philly suburbs.

810
00:44:04,840 --> 00:44:10,080
Speaker 2: He got crushed in Montgomery. In Delaware, he got crushed

811
00:44:10,120 --> 00:44:10,800
Speaker 2: in those characters.

812
00:44:10,880 --> 00:44:13,840
Speaker 3: Explain, Explain what you're seeing. Like when you say you

813
00:44:13,840 --> 00:44:17,680
Speaker 3: can clearly see tell us. Tell tell people what you're seeing,

814
00:44:17,719 --> 00:44:20,080
Speaker 3: because I want them to fully understand the game.

815
00:44:20,520 --> 00:44:24,400
Speaker 2: So let me put it this way. In the twenty

816
00:44:24,440 --> 00:44:26,759
Speaker 2: twenty Exapoles, if you go and look, you'll see that

817
00:44:26,800 --> 00:44:29,880
Speaker 2: Biden won the Philadelphia suburbs fifty eight to forty one.

818
00:44:30,120 --> 00:44:32,680
Speaker 2: We do things a little bit differently here because the

819
00:44:32,719 --> 00:44:39,560
Speaker 2: Philadelphia suburbs includes Burks, a bunch of counties that Republicans

820
00:44:39,760 --> 00:44:44,440
Speaker 2: do better in. It's really the three adjacent counties to

821
00:44:44,480 --> 00:44:47,880
Speaker 2: Pennsylvania where Republicans have real problem. It's going to be three,

822
00:44:48,280 --> 00:44:52,239
Speaker 2: but let's call it actually two. Montgomery and Delaware are

823
00:44:52,360 --> 00:44:56,000
Speaker 2: really bad news. Normally, you know, this poll would be

824
00:44:56,040 --> 00:44:59,680
Speaker 2: seventy five twenty five Biden in these areas. It's not

825
00:45:01,040 --> 00:45:04,280
Speaker 2: and he doesn't need to win it, guys. But currently

826
00:45:04,360 --> 00:45:09,400
Speaker 2: right now, combined with them, it's fifty three thirty five.

827
00:45:10,160 --> 00:45:13,960
Speaker 2: I mean that is not that's like thirteen points higher

828
00:45:13,960 --> 00:45:17,240
Speaker 2: than we had Trump and those two in twenty twenty.

829
00:45:17,520 --> 00:45:20,719
Speaker 2: And for Biden it's like twenty points lower. And even

830
00:45:20,760 --> 00:45:23,920
Speaker 2: if those people come home, he still lost ten points

831
00:45:23,960 --> 00:45:26,319
Speaker 2: to Donald Trump. There, that's a big deal. There are

832
00:45:26,320 --> 00:45:28,840
Speaker 2: a lot of voats, a lot of votes. And then

833
00:45:29,000 --> 00:45:31,279
Speaker 2: that's not even it Sean, wait for a second, let's

834
00:45:31,280 --> 00:45:34,000
Speaker 2: go you know how important these areas are. First of all,

835
00:45:34,080 --> 00:45:38,120
Speaker 2: look at I mean, Wilkes obviously is Trump country. It's

836
00:45:38,160 --> 00:45:43,160
Speaker 2: Trump country. But Scranton, Monroe, Lackawana, look at this, look

837
00:45:43,160 --> 00:45:46,919
Speaker 2: at all of this red. Joe Biden still has been

838
00:45:46,960 --> 00:45:50,799
Speaker 2: able to hold some of these Northeastern counties that he

839
00:45:50,880 --> 00:45:53,040
Speaker 2: was able to that had been shifting in the Trump era.

840
00:45:53,880 --> 00:45:58,399
Speaker 2: Hillary lost big, big ground there. And then there's Northampton,

841
00:45:58,560 --> 00:46:01,680
Speaker 2: which is the one and all. Well, they're outside of

842
00:46:01,680 --> 00:46:04,319
Speaker 2: Erie County. We've talked about this before. They're really only

843
00:46:04,400 --> 00:46:09,319
Speaker 2: two swing counties in Pennsylvania in the last few presidential elections,

844
00:46:09,560 --> 00:46:14,520
Speaker 2: and that's Northampton and that is Erie County. You can

845
00:46:14,560 --> 00:46:18,560
Speaker 2: see a lot of Trump's support in Northampton compared to Biden.

846
00:46:19,000 --> 00:46:21,560
Speaker 2: And what about Erie County. Biden's doing a little bit

847
00:46:21,560 --> 00:46:27,040
Speaker 2: better there, which is strange. They usually vote almost identical.

848
00:46:27,880 --> 00:46:31,440
Speaker 2: But as you can see, because the region is is important,

849
00:46:31,440 --> 00:46:35,120
Speaker 2: there are similar demographics in each in these areas, so

850
00:46:35,160 --> 00:46:38,960
Speaker 2: we know how certain counties are likely to vote. At

851
00:46:38,960 --> 00:46:41,640
Speaker 2: this point, Trump is going to carry both both Erie

852
00:46:41,719 --> 00:46:45,000
Speaker 2: and Northampton. It'll be close, but he's going to carry

853
00:46:45,000 --> 00:46:47,880
Speaker 2: them both. You know, I'm probably like fifty three forty seven,

854
00:46:48,280 --> 00:46:51,719
Speaker 2: which is just I mean, that's shawn, that's devastating. I

855
00:46:51,760 --> 00:46:55,680
Speaker 2: know it sounds close, but that's a really strong performance

856
00:46:55,760 --> 00:46:59,640
Speaker 2: for a Republican candidate. And then put putting on top

857
00:46:59,719 --> 00:47:02,440
Speaker 2: of that, how good he's gonna do in areas like

858
00:47:02,520 --> 00:47:06,040
Speaker 2: Lazerne and Monroe, which you know has been stubborn. He

859
00:47:06,080 --> 00:47:08,160
Speaker 2: hasn't been able to flip it. It looks like it's

860
00:47:08,160 --> 00:47:11,960
Speaker 2: flipping now, which would make it the third county to

861
00:47:12,000 --> 00:47:15,800
Speaker 2: flip again. It's only been too flipping counties in the

862
00:47:15,880 --> 00:47:20,319
Speaker 2: last couple of election cycles in Pennsylvania. And then here's Alleghany.

863
00:47:20,400 --> 00:47:24,800
Speaker 2: He's already at forty percent without leaners in Alleghany County.

864
00:47:25,920 --> 00:47:28,400
Speaker 3: That's amazing out leaners.

865
00:47:28,719 --> 00:47:32,479
Speaker 2: Yeah, that's the big deal is that, you know, off

866
00:47:32,520 --> 00:47:37,760
Speaker 2: the jump, he just grabs just about forty percent with leaners.

867
00:47:38,040 --> 00:47:41,320
Speaker 2: Here we go, here we go with leaners. Alleghany County

868
00:47:41,440 --> 00:47:46,480
Speaker 2: is fifty seven forty three. We always wait down. So

869
00:47:46,640 --> 00:47:49,480
Speaker 2: believe me when I tell you that's like two hundred

870
00:47:49,640 --> 00:47:56,000
Speaker 2: so interviews just in Alleghany. That's not something we would

871
00:47:56,000 --> 00:47:59,760
Speaker 2: normally say. I went and looked with leaners. In twenty twenty,

872
00:47:59,800 --> 00:48:02,080
Speaker 2: we had him at thirty seven point seven.

873
00:48:02,480 --> 00:48:02,719
Speaker 3: Yep.

874
00:48:03,080 --> 00:48:06,439
Speaker 2: And that's bust. By the way, that's basically what he got,

875
00:48:06,920 --> 00:48:09,400
Speaker 2: you know, I mean, we were dead on. He slipped.

876
00:48:09,400 --> 00:48:11,680
Speaker 2: He got like thirty nine percent. You can't do that.

877
00:48:11,719 --> 00:48:14,000
Speaker 2: You've got to get in the forties in Alleghany. Just

878
00:48:14,080 --> 00:48:17,080
Speaker 2: doesn't it. I don't care, no, just one.

879
00:48:19,040 --> 00:48:21,160
Speaker 3: I was in the forties in Alleghany in twenty twenty,

880
00:48:21,200 --> 00:48:23,640
Speaker 3: and I overperformed Trump there, which is crazy to me.

881
00:48:23,960 --> 00:48:28,920
Speaker 3: It's crazy. I mean, I have to ask you. I've

882
00:48:28,920 --> 00:48:30,759
Speaker 3: got two things, and I don't want to I want

883
00:48:30,760 --> 00:48:32,839
Speaker 3: to talk about two more things before actually three more

884
00:48:32,880 --> 00:48:37,719
Speaker 3: things before you go. I've got to ask you about

885
00:48:37,920 --> 00:48:41,560
Speaker 3: very quickly, about these forty seven thousand shifting to Wisconsin.

886
00:48:42,200 --> 00:48:47,120
Speaker 3: Wisconsinight's voting uninstructed. Yeah, I don't want to shift away

887
00:48:47,120 --> 00:48:49,880
Speaker 3: from Pennsylvania. I just got to ask about this. But

888
00:48:51,160 --> 00:48:55,040
Speaker 3: what it boiled down to was in the in the

889
00:48:55,080 --> 00:48:58,560
Speaker 3: base of his party is giving Biden and ultimatum basically saying,

890
00:48:59,040 --> 00:49:03,200
Speaker 3: Nina Turner, this crazy whack job radical leftist pro Hamas

891
00:49:03,920 --> 00:49:08,200
Speaker 3: terrorist sympathizer, said this president must decide if loyalty to

892
00:49:08,280 --> 00:49:12,120
Speaker 3: Netanyah who is worth delivering Trump the election in November.

893
00:49:12,160 --> 00:49:15,920
Speaker 3: He must decide. There is an open revolt on his party.

894
00:49:16,040 --> 00:49:22,799
Speaker 3: And forty seven thousand people voted uninstruction uninstructed, and that's

895
00:49:22,880 --> 00:49:26,440
Speaker 3: double the margin of Biden's win quote unquote win in

896
00:49:26,480 --> 00:49:28,920
Speaker 3: Wisconsin in twenty twenty. I mean, that's a huge deal.

897
00:49:29,520 --> 00:49:31,520
Speaker 2: I gotta tell you, you know, because people were saying,

898
00:49:31,520 --> 00:49:34,120
Speaker 2: you know, well, Trump looked like he had a protest vote,

899
00:49:34,120 --> 00:49:36,800
Speaker 2: and it was weak in Wisconsin. Wisconsin Member Ted Cruz

900
00:49:36,840 --> 00:49:40,360
Speaker 2: one Wisconsin. It is a different kind of state Attitudinally,

901
00:49:40,800 --> 00:49:43,960
Speaker 2: Wisconsin is the worst state for Trump out of the three,

902
00:49:44,040 --> 00:49:46,640
Speaker 2: even though it has been his strongest as far as

903
00:49:46,680 --> 00:49:50,160
Speaker 2: the margin goes. I'm wondering if that ends this year.

904
00:49:50,280 --> 00:49:53,520
Speaker 2: I really am. Even though Wisconsin can throw you for

905
00:49:53,560 --> 00:49:56,120
Speaker 2: a loop, It's more rural, it can be a little

906
00:49:56,120 --> 00:49:58,440
Speaker 2: bit more difficult to pull like a sock or a

907
00:49:58,560 --> 00:50:01,520
Speaker 2: Juno county compared to you know, some of these other

908
00:50:01,680 --> 00:50:06,520
Speaker 2: counties in Pennsylvania or Michigan. So yeah, I mean it

909
00:50:06,640 --> 00:50:10,880
Speaker 2: is possible, but there's no doubt some had. There's protest

910
00:50:10,960 --> 00:50:14,000
Speaker 2: votes and some I actually think that some in Nicki

911
00:50:14,040 --> 00:50:16,840
Speaker 2: Haley's vote. Again, it was an open primary, and I

912
00:50:16,920 --> 00:50:20,440
Speaker 2: did hear about a bunch of people in racing rallying together.

913
00:50:20,480 --> 00:50:22,960
Speaker 2: They didn't want to vote uninstructed, so they were like, hell,

914
00:50:22,960 --> 00:50:25,560
Speaker 2: it will vote for Nicki Haley. I bet that happened

915
00:50:25,600 --> 00:50:29,279
Speaker 2: in a lot of counties there. I mean, if you

916
00:50:29,560 --> 00:50:34,560
Speaker 2: are go, if you are serious and you believe in

917
00:50:34,600 --> 00:50:37,600
Speaker 2: an issue like this so strongly, how does he get

918
00:50:37,600 --> 00:50:41,359
Speaker 2: them to come home? Without Really he's in a real

919
00:50:41,440 --> 00:50:47,000
Speaker 2: bad spot if he turns on net and Yahoo. It's

920
00:50:47,040 --> 00:50:51,440
Speaker 2: almost difficult. It's not almost. It is difficult, brother, to

921
00:50:51,719 --> 00:50:55,480
Speaker 2: measure the impact of how that could screw you. Is

922
00:50:55,520 --> 00:50:58,440
Speaker 2: it bigger than this protest vote you know that you're

923
00:50:58,440 --> 00:51:02,040
Speaker 2: getting because really the truth is Democrats their coalition is

924
00:51:02,080 --> 00:51:06,200
Speaker 2: so tenuous. It's so damn tenuous. It's been holding together

925
00:51:06,280 --> 00:51:10,400
Speaker 2: by a thread for years. They need to keep everybody happy,

926
00:51:10,440 --> 00:51:13,880
Speaker 2: even though all of these people are like diametrically opposed

927
00:51:13,880 --> 00:51:17,799
Speaker 2: to each other. You know, you have so called you know,

928
00:51:19,160 --> 00:51:21,920
Speaker 2: supporters of Israel that are on the democratic side, and

929
00:51:22,440 --> 00:51:25,799
Speaker 2: they just have different philosophies on government and the role

930
00:51:25,840 --> 00:51:29,040
Speaker 2: of government, so they're Democrats, and then they are in

931
00:51:29,080 --> 00:51:31,840
Speaker 2: the same party with people who really just want to

932
00:51:31,920 --> 00:51:33,719
Speaker 2: kill every Jew in the face of the earth. I mean,

933
00:51:33,800 --> 00:51:38,200
Speaker 2: it's insane. Funny thing is my son came to me

934
00:51:38,239 --> 00:51:41,359
Speaker 2: the other day fourteen years old, and he loves history,

935
00:51:41,360 --> 00:51:45,160
Speaker 2: he loves stuff. But he's like, what on earth if? Like,

936
00:51:45,200 --> 00:51:47,880
Speaker 2: what is Joe Biden? He doesn't like Joe Biden, but

937
00:51:47,920 --> 00:51:50,319
Speaker 2: he's like, what is he supposed to do? Like I

938
00:51:50,320 --> 00:51:53,040
Speaker 2: don't get dad, Like, what do you support a two

939
00:51:53,080 --> 00:51:56,520
Speaker 2: state solution or like, what is it that you support?

940
00:51:56,520 --> 00:51:59,280
Speaker 2: I'm non understanding why there can't just be two states

941
00:51:59,680 --> 00:52:04,240
Speaker 2: and just explain to him they one does not recognize

942
00:52:04,280 --> 00:52:08,280
Speaker 2: the right of the other to exist. So there's nothing

943
00:52:08,360 --> 00:52:11,560
Speaker 2: you can do, son with a group of people that

944
00:52:11,800 --> 00:52:16,600
Speaker 2: don't recognize your right to breathe and live. And you know,

945
00:52:17,520 --> 00:52:19,719
Speaker 2: try to raise him, you know, as a Christian, as

946
00:52:19,760 --> 00:52:22,200
Speaker 2: a believer, anyway he can be what he wants to be.

947
00:52:22,280 --> 00:52:24,560
Speaker 2: I hope he's he is, but I hope he turns

948
00:52:24,600 --> 00:52:27,560
Speaker 2: out to be a Christian. But he's still gonna believe

949
00:52:27,560 --> 00:52:30,520
Speaker 2: in a creator and an architect. He knows the history, brother,

950
00:52:30,600 --> 00:52:32,840
Speaker 2: he knows his Bible. You know who the hell was

951
00:52:32,880 --> 00:52:36,360
Speaker 2: there first? And they just don't, you know, they just

952
00:52:36,400 --> 00:52:39,680
Speaker 2: don't want everyone to obey the laws of human civilization.

953
00:52:39,920 --> 00:52:42,480
Speaker 2: I mean, they don't want them to exist. Every time

954
00:52:42,520 --> 00:52:47,560
Speaker 2: they rally some violence against them and wage violence against them,

955
00:52:47,880 --> 00:52:50,000
Speaker 2: they lose, and then we're all supposed to feel bad

956
00:52:50,040 --> 00:52:53,000
Speaker 2: for them, and you know, everyone else gets conquered, everyone

957
00:52:53,000 --> 00:52:55,719
Speaker 2: else gets puts under the thumb, everyone else gets stamped

958
00:52:56,080 --> 00:53:00,879
Speaker 2: out of the history. Buck not the Palestinians know they

959
00:53:00,880 --> 00:53:04,319
Speaker 2: can pull together the entire era of damn world to

960
00:53:04,719 --> 00:53:08,239
Speaker 2: fight tiny little Israel. Israel kicks their ass and we're

961
00:53:08,239 --> 00:53:10,680
Speaker 2: all supposed to give them back their toys after. I mean,

962
00:53:10,719 --> 00:53:14,080
Speaker 2: this is nobody has ever done this before. I think,

963
00:53:14,120 --> 00:53:16,720
Speaker 2: can you name me another civilization where this has happened?

964
00:53:17,120 --> 00:53:17,640
Speaker 3: I can't.

965
00:53:18,080 --> 00:53:21,360
Speaker 2: You can't any nation they want to be an Asian,

966
00:53:22,040 --> 00:53:26,279
Speaker 2: any other nation wage war and lose and get their

967
00:53:26,320 --> 00:53:27,000
Speaker 2: property back?

968
00:53:28,360 --> 00:53:35,760
Speaker 3: Yow. Okay, so you're exactly right. Okay, pivoting very quickly.

969
00:53:35,880 --> 00:53:38,640
Speaker 3: You talked about the electoral College. You have the map accessible?

970
00:53:39,480 --> 00:53:42,640
Speaker 3: Uh yeah, can you pull it up quickly? And while

971
00:53:42,640 --> 00:53:44,839
Speaker 3: you're While you're doing that, I want to break down

972
00:53:44,920 --> 00:53:48,319
Speaker 3: like what just happened in Nebraska and their unicameral legislature

973
00:53:48,440 --> 00:53:52,120
Speaker 3: has now had this filibuster Yes, and this is exactly

974
00:53:52,200 --> 00:53:53,560
Speaker 3: what I want to I want to show people and

975
00:53:53,600 --> 00:53:57,279
Speaker 3: I want you to describe it number by number for them.

976
00:53:57,360 --> 00:54:02,440
Speaker 3: But but the Nebraska state Legislature now has a filibuster

977
00:54:02,640 --> 00:54:07,000
Speaker 3: proof Republican majority as Senator Mike McDonald switches parties from

978
00:54:07,040 --> 00:54:11,880
Speaker 3: Democrats to Republican. This has massive implications for passing LB

979
00:54:12,320 --> 00:54:16,239
Speaker 3: seven sixty four, which would switch Nebraska to win or

980
00:54:16,280 --> 00:54:21,280
Speaker 3: take all electoral college and block Joe Biden's the easiest

981
00:54:21,320 --> 00:54:24,640
Speaker 3: path to the presidency. So right now, if let me

982
00:54:24,680 --> 00:54:28,920
Speaker 3: just set this up for people. If Trump wins Nevada, Arizona,

983
00:54:28,960 --> 00:54:34,759
Speaker 3: and Georgia and then loses Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan, and

984
00:54:34,920 --> 00:54:40,319
Speaker 3: Biden wins this small little congressional district in Nebraska and

985
00:54:40,400 --> 00:54:44,319
Speaker 3: gets him one electoral vote, yes, despite Trump winning the

986
00:54:44,360 --> 00:54:47,959
Speaker 3: rest of the entire state, Biden would have a very

987
00:54:48,120 --> 00:54:51,640
Speaker 3: very very simple path to two seventy because right now,

988
00:54:51,719 --> 00:54:55,400
Speaker 3: Nebraska is not a winner take all state. And Biden,

989
00:54:55,719 --> 00:54:59,920
Speaker 3: I think won this congressional district in Nebraska something like

990
00:55:00,400 --> 00:55:04,120
Speaker 3: fifty two to forty eight last cycle. But the reason

991
00:55:04,120 --> 00:55:08,279
Speaker 3: why this filibuster proof majority and a Republican controlled state

992
00:55:08,360 --> 00:55:11,000
Speaker 3: legislature with a Republican governor. There is a bill that's

993
00:55:11,040 --> 00:55:13,439
Speaker 3: about to be on the on the Republican governor's desk

994
00:55:14,000 --> 00:55:18,080
Speaker 3: and with a filibuster proof majority that would make Nebraska

995
00:55:18,120 --> 00:55:20,640
Speaker 3: a winner take all state. If it's a winner take

996
00:55:20,680 --> 00:55:25,160
Speaker 3: all state, it removes Biden's easiest path to two seventy

997
00:55:25,400 --> 00:55:28,440
Speaker 3: rich And so I'd like to talk this through with

998
00:55:28,560 --> 00:55:31,600
Speaker 3: you with the map, if we could take take it

999
00:55:31,640 --> 00:55:32,279
Speaker 3: away my friend.

1000
00:55:32,680 --> 00:55:34,000
Speaker 2: And by the way, I just wanted to let you

1001
00:55:34,040 --> 00:55:36,640
Speaker 2: know that you did very well with your opening explaining

1002
00:55:36,640 --> 00:55:40,319
Speaker 2: to people transactions, because I get fairly upset. I get

1003
00:55:40,360 --> 00:55:43,799
Speaker 2: really upset when somebody does is too lazy to pick

1004
00:55:43,840 --> 00:55:46,279
Speaker 2: up the phone and call someone who knows better and

1005
00:55:46,320 --> 00:55:48,799
Speaker 2: then blast something out on social media that then gets

1006
00:55:48,800 --> 00:55:51,120
Speaker 2: fact checked and debunked and makes us all look stupid.

1007
00:55:51,400 --> 00:55:53,680
Speaker 2: So the next time somebody with a real whistle gets

1008
00:55:53,840 --> 00:55:56,839
Speaker 2: tries to blow it, they're just painted with the same

1009
00:55:56,880 --> 00:55:58,000
Speaker 2: brush and dismissed.

1010
00:55:58,320 --> 00:56:01,640
Speaker 3: So rich, I can verstand. I can understand why people

1011
00:56:01,640 --> 00:56:03,879
Speaker 3: were suspicious, but we got to be We gotta be right.

1012
00:56:04,360 --> 00:56:06,640
Speaker 2: Two. I mean, did you not did they not learn

1013
00:56:06,680 --> 00:56:09,240
Speaker 2: anything from twenty twenty You have to be more careful

1014
00:56:09,280 --> 00:56:11,440
Speaker 2: than that. I mean, that's really it. I mean I

1015
00:56:11,719 --> 00:56:14,040
Speaker 2: was right, and I was still fact checked, and you know,

1016
00:56:14,120 --> 00:56:16,839
Speaker 2: I mean we talked about you know, the story. But yeah,

1017
00:56:16,920 --> 00:56:19,839
Speaker 2: let's talk about it because really two things are going on,

1018
00:56:21,120 --> 00:56:23,360
Speaker 2: and there's one thing that makes this all very possible,

1019
00:56:23,719 --> 00:56:26,719
Speaker 2: and that is the census. So and let me just

1020
00:56:26,760 --> 00:56:31,560
Speaker 2: say this for the record, Nebraska one was shifting to

1021
00:56:31,560 --> 00:56:34,200
Speaker 2: the left long before Donald Trump ever came along. This

1022
00:56:34,320 --> 00:56:37,360
Speaker 2: isn't yet another thing. Never Trump and all the Rhinos

1023
00:56:37,400 --> 00:56:41,080
Speaker 2: blame him for It's their own damn fault from making

1024
00:56:41,160 --> 00:56:45,560
Speaker 2: a miniature Wall Street in the district. Go to your mailbox,

1025
00:56:46,000 --> 00:56:48,239
Speaker 2: look at your credit card bill and look at the

1026
00:56:48,280 --> 00:56:50,759
Speaker 2: return address on it, and you will see that it

1027
00:56:50,800 --> 00:56:55,440
Speaker 2: came from Nebraska. That's where all of those financial places

1028
00:56:55,560 --> 00:56:58,560
Speaker 2: there now, city group everything. You bring that kind of

1029
00:56:58,600 --> 00:57:02,080
Speaker 2: an economy to your state, you will turn democratic. It's

1030
00:57:02,120 --> 00:57:05,800
Speaker 2: that simple. They are not Republican jobs, they are Democrat jobs.

1031
00:57:06,840 --> 00:57:11,360
Speaker 2: And anyway, the census made it easier for Trump to

1032
00:57:11,400 --> 00:57:14,399
Speaker 2: win the presidency, all right, just make it. I'll say

1033
00:57:14,440 --> 00:57:18,120
Speaker 2: that very simple. Why because the West is growing, the

1034
00:57:18,160 --> 00:57:21,400
Speaker 2: South is growing, the Midwest is not, and the Northeast

1035
00:57:21,440 --> 00:57:25,480
Speaker 2: is dying. So New York used to have twice almost

1036
00:57:25,480 --> 00:57:28,600
Speaker 2: twice as many new electoral votes, folks. I mean, PA

1037
00:57:29,840 --> 00:57:32,920
Speaker 2: is nineteen electoral college votes. It's a powerhouse. It used

1038
00:57:32,920 --> 00:57:34,040
Speaker 2: to be an even bigger one.

1039
00:57:34,240 --> 00:57:34,600
Speaker 3: All right.

1040
00:57:34,680 --> 00:57:38,160
Speaker 2: So same thing with some of those Midwestern Ohio lost

1041
00:57:38,160 --> 00:57:42,080
Speaker 2: electoral votes in the last twenty years. This is a

1042
00:57:42,160 --> 00:57:46,000
Speaker 2: direction it's been going for a while, the sun Belt, right,

1043
00:57:46,240 --> 00:57:49,880
Speaker 2: because you have parts of these plain states and other

1044
00:57:49,920 --> 00:57:53,280
Speaker 2: Mountain states. You definitely have the South, which is really growing,

1045
00:57:53,520 --> 00:57:56,120
Speaker 2: and then you have the West, even though Oregon and

1046
00:57:57,080 --> 00:58:00,280
Speaker 2: Washington or another story like this is the sun I

1047
00:58:00,320 --> 00:58:01,480
Speaker 2: don't know if you can see what I'm doing at

1048
00:58:01,480 --> 00:58:04,360
Speaker 2: my mouse, but runs through parts of the middle of

1049
00:58:04,480 --> 00:58:07,720
Speaker 2: North Carolina runs up and they're calling it the sun

1050
00:58:07,800 --> 00:58:12,000
Speaker 2: Belt strategy because if he wins Nevada, watch this guy's okay.

1051
00:58:12,720 --> 00:58:17,320
Speaker 2: If he wins Nevada, if he wins Trump. If Trump Winsvada, yes, Trump.

1052
00:58:17,640 --> 00:58:20,920
Speaker 2: If he wins Nevada, if he wins Arizona, if he

1053
00:58:20,960 --> 00:58:24,960
Speaker 2: wins Georgia, if he wins North Carolina. He is currently

1054
00:58:25,160 --> 00:58:29,600
Speaker 2: at two sixty eight if they pass this bill. And

1055
00:58:29,640 --> 00:58:32,280
Speaker 2: by the way, he's gonna win Maine's first congressional district,

1056
00:58:32,480 --> 00:58:34,760
Speaker 2: which is the only other state in the Union to be,

1057
00:58:34,960 --> 00:58:39,560
Speaker 2: like Nebraska, an issue statewide electoral college votes for the

1058
00:58:39,560 --> 00:58:41,880
Speaker 2: winner of the state wide vote, but then also an

1059
00:58:41,920 --> 00:58:46,360
Speaker 2: electoral college vote for each congressional district. Trump is currently

1060
00:58:46,480 --> 00:58:50,680
Speaker 2: ahead in the most recent polding statewide in Maine. But

1061
00:58:50,800 --> 00:58:53,000
Speaker 2: let's just say for the sake of this argument, that

1062
00:58:53,120 --> 00:58:56,320
Speaker 2: he loses Maine, he does get the second congressional district

1063
00:58:57,000 --> 00:59:02,320
Speaker 2: Let's say that he loses the first and these three

1064
00:59:03,200 --> 00:59:05,920
Speaker 2: turn out to be super super close nail biters, but

1065
00:59:06,000 --> 00:59:07,680
Speaker 2: he just can't pull it off. And by the way,

1066
00:59:07,760 --> 00:59:08,600
Speaker 2: let me you're talking.

1067
00:59:08,800 --> 00:59:12,840
Speaker 3: You're talking Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania by these three, that's

1068
00:59:12,880 --> 00:59:15,600
Speaker 3: what you mean by you're saying Biden, it's a squeaker,

1069
00:59:15,600 --> 00:59:16,560
Speaker 3: but Biden wins.

1070
00:59:17,240 --> 00:59:20,280
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's a squeaker, but Biden pulls it out if

1071
00:59:20,320 --> 00:59:26,160
Speaker 2: he can get though. Well, let me just show you squeaker, squeaker, squeaker,

1072
00:59:26,800 --> 00:59:32,920
Speaker 2: he's a two seventy. If Nebraska this bill passes, then

1073
00:59:32,960 --> 00:59:37,520
Speaker 2: guess what this is gonna go to Donald Trump anyway,

1074
00:59:38,080 --> 00:59:41,120
Speaker 2: and it will be a tie. What happens to ties

1075
00:59:42,600 --> 00:59:44,920
Speaker 2: they get thrown ware to the House?

1076
00:59:45,360 --> 00:59:46,880
Speaker 3: Yep, who runs the House?

1077
00:59:47,600 --> 00:59:50,840
Speaker 2: It would be a Donald Trump presidency. The House would

1078
00:59:50,840 --> 00:59:51,720
Speaker 2: see Donald Trump.

1079
00:59:51,760 --> 00:59:53,320
Speaker 3: And and by the way, by the way, just so

1080
00:59:53,360 --> 00:59:56,640
Speaker 3: everyone's tracking, This is why I really need you to

1081
00:59:56,720 --> 01:00:00,280
Speaker 3: understand this, folks, is why the Democrats are trying ying

1082
01:00:00,480 --> 01:00:05,040
Speaker 3: so hard to entice Republicans to retire so mean. Look

1083
01:00:05,040 --> 01:00:09,120
Speaker 3: at Mike Allaghy, wiscons Early retirement seven figure salary. They're

1084
01:00:09,160 --> 01:00:12,480
Speaker 3: trying to take control of the House because the likelihood

1085
01:00:12,520 --> 01:00:17,360
Speaker 3: of an electoral call. That's exactly right. And the Democrats

1086
01:00:17,440 --> 01:00:21,040
Speaker 3: want control of the House so that if there's a tie,

1087
01:00:21,520 --> 01:00:24,720
Speaker 3: they're the tie breaker. That is the plan. That is

1088
01:00:24,760 --> 01:00:25,160
Speaker 3: the plan.

1089
01:00:26,320 --> 01:00:29,520
Speaker 2: Let me say this as straightforward as I possibly can.

1090
01:00:30,040 --> 01:00:33,760
Speaker 2: Democrats are trying to put your candidate in jail. They're

1091
01:00:33,760 --> 01:00:36,800
Speaker 2: trying to put They're not trying. They are putting your

1092
01:00:36,840 --> 01:00:42,280
Speaker 2: supporters in jail, all right. They are blackmailing congressmen and

1093
01:00:42,480 --> 01:00:47,680
Speaker 2: threatening congressmen, bribing congressman with jobs to get them to retire.

1094
01:00:48,400 --> 01:00:53,120
Speaker 2: This is what they are willing to do to win Nebraska.

1095
01:00:53,200 --> 01:00:55,600
Speaker 2: What are you willing to do? You can't pass a

1096
01:00:55,600 --> 01:00:59,640
Speaker 2: freaking bill that gives anyway. What you're doing is giving

1097
01:00:59,640 --> 01:01:03,360
Speaker 2: the final financial district of your state, which doesn't represent

1098
01:01:03,440 --> 01:01:05,920
Speaker 2: anything about the state of Nebraska, by the way, that

1099
01:01:06,000 --> 01:01:07,080
Speaker 2: tiny little part of it.

1100
01:01:07,160 --> 01:01:07,560
Speaker 3: That's it.

1101
01:01:08,360 --> 01:01:11,720
Speaker 2: You are giving them the authority over your state's voice,

1102
01:01:12,040 --> 01:01:15,560
Speaker 2: which will vote overwhelmingly for Donald Trump it may and

1103
01:01:15,600 --> 01:01:18,160
Speaker 2: by the way, which could very well be the electoral

1104
01:01:18,240 --> 01:01:24,320
Speaker 2: vote that hands Biden the presidency. Let me do this again. Boom,

1105
01:01:24,480 --> 01:01:29,120
Speaker 2: He's at to seventy. It's done now, wouldn't it be crazy?

1106
01:01:29,960 --> 01:01:33,480
Speaker 2: Wouldn't it just be crazy if this is what happened.

1107
01:01:34,800 --> 01:01:38,760
Speaker 2: Oh my god, it's possible. I means, just the way

1108
01:01:38,760 --> 01:01:41,520
Speaker 2: we're seeing with the things we're seeing with these shifts now.

1109
01:01:41,560 --> 01:01:44,920
Speaker 2: But again, for the purpose of this argument, this is

1110
01:01:44,960 --> 01:01:50,680
Speaker 2: what that inevitable scenario would or that potential scenario would

1111
01:01:50,680 --> 01:01:55,400
Speaker 2: look like. And Republicans could easily end that there's nothing

1112
01:01:55,440 --> 01:01:57,720
Speaker 2: preventing them from doing And Sean, and by the way,

1113
01:01:57,800 --> 01:02:02,320
Speaker 2: I have heard, I have heard that this bill has

1114
01:02:02,360 --> 01:02:03,600
Speaker 2: got momentum.

1115
01:02:04,720 --> 01:02:08,920
Speaker 3: That's amazing. Okay, well, yeah, we will see. We'll definitely

1116
01:02:09,000 --> 01:02:11,520
Speaker 3: keep our ear to the ground on that one. All Right,

1117
01:02:11,840 --> 01:02:14,520
Speaker 3: You've been here for almost a full hour, and of

1118
01:02:14,720 --> 01:02:17,479
Speaker 3: always always grateful because you really bailed me out today.

1119
01:02:17,480 --> 01:02:19,320
Speaker 3: I've had a hell of a day and thank you

1120
01:02:19,400 --> 01:02:22,480
Speaker 3: and thank Laura for that. But you've got we've got

1121
01:02:22,480 --> 01:02:27,760
Speaker 3: to do an update on little Savage Winston. Please break

1122
01:02:27,800 --> 01:02:29,920
Speaker 3: that news here, Victory.

1123
01:02:32,160 --> 01:02:34,960
Speaker 2: I told you it's a family of winners, but only

1124
01:02:35,000 --> 01:02:42,160
Speaker 2: because only because you guys, Brock Wendy Obviously the locals page.

1125
01:02:42,160 --> 01:02:46,240
Speaker 2: You all went to bat though I don't know what

1126
01:02:46,320 --> 01:02:50,919
Speaker 2: the final vote was, but the semifinal was a bloodbath.

1127
01:02:51,440 --> 01:02:54,560
Speaker 2: It was overwhelming so, uh.

1128
01:02:55,160 --> 01:02:57,040
Speaker 3: Wait a second, are you kidding me? A blood bath?

1129
01:02:57,200 --> 01:03:01,400
Speaker 3: Stop talking about violence against dog tyron? Blood bath? What

1130
01:03:01,440 --> 01:03:04,040
Speaker 3: the hell is this bloodbath stuff? You're violent rhetoric is

1131
01:03:04,120 --> 01:03:04,760
Speaker 3: scaring me.

1132
01:03:06,400 --> 01:03:11,160
Speaker 2: Saturday, we're gonna go to this beautiful awards ceremony where

1133
01:03:11,200 --> 01:03:15,640
Speaker 2: Winston will get his award and hopefully we'll pair some

1134
01:03:15,760 --> 01:03:19,440
Speaker 2: dogs with some vets and uh, it's gonna be really cool.

1135
01:03:19,520 --> 01:03:22,000
Speaker 2: But it's great to win. It's you know, I don't

1136
01:03:22,000 --> 01:03:25,360
Speaker 2: know about you, bro, I like winning, you know, And yeah,

1137
01:03:25,440 --> 01:03:27,600
Speaker 2: I mean this really, but it all comes down to

1138
01:03:27,640 --> 01:03:30,200
Speaker 2: everybody who did that. I mean, you know, really did

1139
01:03:30,240 --> 01:03:32,360
Speaker 2: click on that link and vote every day with a

1140
01:03:32,400 --> 01:03:34,560
Speaker 2: pain in the butt and they did it, sewn, they

1141
01:03:34,600 --> 01:03:37,280
Speaker 2: did it. That's really cool and I got to thank

1142
01:03:37,320 --> 01:03:39,600
Speaker 2: them all for it. I really appreciate it, and so

1143
01:03:39,760 --> 01:03:40,480
Speaker 2: does Winston.

1144
01:03:42,000 --> 01:03:43,800
Speaker 3: Well we are. We are happy to do it. Man.

1145
01:03:43,840 --> 01:03:46,840
Speaker 3: We love supporting you, we love we love your family,

1146
01:03:46,880 --> 01:03:51,880
Speaker 3: we love Savage Winston. Yeah, man, it's awesome. I'm so

1147
01:03:52,000 --> 01:03:53,760
Speaker 3: glad that he won. I remember I was texting you.

1148
01:03:53,760 --> 01:03:56,200
Speaker 3: I'm like, so, what's going on? I'm like, hell, am

1149
01:03:56,200 --> 01:03:59,120
Speaker 3: I invested in this? It's not even signing my text

1150
01:03:59,280 --> 01:04:00,920
Speaker 3: you every day, I'm like, what's up with Winston? So

1151
01:04:00,960 --> 01:04:04,400
Speaker 3: what's going on with Winston? What's the vote now? Good

1152
01:04:04,440 --> 01:04:06,480
Speaker 3: lord man, shut up, No.

1153
01:04:06,360 --> 01:04:08,280
Speaker 2: I just don't it was I didn't know it was

1154
01:04:08,360 --> 01:04:10,880
Speaker 2: something like Laura, but why aren't we hearing anything? And

1155
01:04:10,920 --> 01:04:13,400
Speaker 2: then you know, it did dawn on me. Maybe they

1156
01:04:13,440 --> 01:04:16,480
Speaker 2: don't want to spoil it before the event, but they

1157
01:04:16,520 --> 01:04:20,560
Speaker 2: actually did just today. And because when did voting close

1158
01:04:20,600 --> 01:04:23,040
Speaker 2: three days ago? You know, and we've all been in

1159
01:04:23,080 --> 01:04:25,960
Speaker 2: suspense here, everybody has. They have all been in suspense

1160
01:04:26,280 --> 01:04:28,880
Speaker 2: other dog owners, you know. I mean we all knews

1161
01:04:28,960 --> 01:04:31,960
Speaker 2: in the finals it's not not owners but the other

1162
01:04:32,040 --> 01:04:35,439
Speaker 2: dog owner, you know. So it looks like it did

1163
01:04:35,480 --> 01:04:37,840
Speaker 2: well too. I don't know the final numbers yet, but

1164
01:04:37,880 --> 01:04:39,840
Speaker 2: I mean it looks like it did well. This after all,

1165
01:04:39,960 --> 01:04:44,080
Speaker 2: was for charity, and you know, to get people to participate,

1166
01:04:44,360 --> 01:04:46,560
Speaker 2: there was a link there that said and donate, you know,

1167
01:04:46,760 --> 01:04:51,800
Speaker 2: contribute to a pause for heroes. And you know, I

1168
01:04:52,120 --> 01:04:55,280
Speaker 2: have no doubt that people that did this to vote

1169
01:04:55,320 --> 01:04:58,720
Speaker 2: for Winston probably did do just that. Because I don't

1170
01:04:58,800 --> 01:05:01,360
Speaker 2: know the number yet, but I I've heard that they're

1171
01:05:01,480 --> 01:05:05,520
Speaker 2: very happy with how this went. So that's that's just great.

1172
01:05:05,760 --> 01:05:08,680
Speaker 3: That's great man. Okay, so real quickly before you pop smoke,

1173
01:05:08,760 --> 01:05:11,720
Speaker 3: tell us where we can find you and support you,

1174
01:05:11,760 --> 01:05:15,040
Speaker 3: And I strongly recommend you subscribe and follow rich on Locals.

1175
01:05:15,040 --> 01:05:18,200
Speaker 3: That's how he's able to bring us all these awesome polls.

1176
01:05:18,240 --> 01:05:20,000
Speaker 3: So if you can, I know it's out there in

1177
01:05:20,000 --> 01:05:23,120
Speaker 3: the Biden economy, support rich on locals for sure, But

1178
01:05:23,160 --> 01:05:25,120
Speaker 3: where else rich Yeah, I mean.

1179
01:05:25,360 --> 01:05:28,280
Speaker 2: That's the central hub people's pundit dot locals dot com.

1180
01:05:28,320 --> 01:05:30,280
Speaker 2: But also I mean even if you don't want to

1181
01:05:30,360 --> 01:05:32,600
Speaker 2: join up on locals, you can still see It'll say

1182
01:05:32,600 --> 01:05:35,360
Speaker 2: support our polls. You can click on it. They're crowdfunded

1183
01:05:35,600 --> 01:05:38,800
Speaker 2: and as we say at the bottom of every methodology statement,

1184
01:05:39,320 --> 01:05:42,440
Speaker 2: they are completely publicly funded. If there is a shortfall

1185
01:05:42,480 --> 01:05:45,240
Speaker 2: on it, we do it, meaning we at Big Data

1186
01:05:45,280 --> 01:05:47,640
Speaker 2: Pole pay for it. So there is no other there

1187
01:05:47,720 --> 01:05:52,520
Speaker 2: is no sponsor, no media, no candidates, no nothing. Because

1188
01:05:52,520 --> 01:05:55,000
Speaker 2: that's really that's the only way I'll have it, brother,

1189
01:05:55,080 --> 01:05:56,440
Speaker 2: and that's the only way I can, you know, do

1190
01:05:56,520 --> 01:05:59,920
Speaker 2: the best work I can do. That's the that's honestly,

1191
01:06:00,480 --> 01:06:04,280
Speaker 2: everyone should do it. But also you know we're on

1192
01:06:04,320 --> 01:06:08,400
Speaker 2: Twitter getter truth. But locals is the best bro it

1193
01:06:08,480 --> 01:06:11,280
Speaker 2: really is sign up on Rumbold the People's Pundent watch

1194
01:06:11,320 --> 01:06:15,800
Speaker 2: inside the numbers, but definitely you know the locals page

1195
01:06:16,080 --> 01:06:19,000
Speaker 2: and the Public Pulling Project, they're really the best places

1196
01:06:19,000 --> 01:06:19,760
Speaker 2: you can support us.

1197
01:06:20,360 --> 01:06:24,000
Speaker 3: Awesome, awesome man, and give give Savage Laura my best

1198
01:06:24,040 --> 01:06:27,280
Speaker 3: of course from over here at Fort Parnell. Man. But

1199
01:06:27,320 --> 01:06:29,560
Speaker 3: thank you for coming on and we'll see you next week.

1200
01:06:29,400 --> 01:06:32,040
Speaker 2: I hope anytime. Brother sees soon. Back to you and

1201
01:06:32,080 --> 01:06:33,320
Speaker 2: yours all right, see you.

1202
01:06:33,400 --> 01:06:37,080
Speaker 3: Rich Okay, well, folks, that's Savage Rich. And also listen,

1203
01:06:37,160 --> 01:06:40,800
Speaker 3: Savage Rich Barris is also going to be on the

1204
01:06:40,800 --> 01:06:44,120
Speaker 3: Wendy Bell Radio program tomorrow, so you're gonna get a

1205
01:06:44,160 --> 01:06:48,360
Speaker 3: double dose of Savage Rich Barris coming at you. So

1206
01:06:48,400 --> 01:06:50,680
Speaker 3: make sure you don't miss the Wendy Bell Radio program,

1207
01:06:50,760 --> 01:06:54,439
Speaker 3: which I know many of you are already getting full

1208
01:06:54,480 --> 01:06:56,840
Speaker 3: three hours of Wendy in Brock in the morning. But

1209
01:06:57,240 --> 01:06:59,680
Speaker 3: Rich Barris, if you needed another reason, Rich Barriss is

1210
01:06:59,680 --> 01:07:02,680
Speaker 3: gonna be there tomorrow as well. Folks, well, that is

1211
01:07:02,880 --> 01:07:08,240
Speaker 3: it another episode with Savage Rich Barris in the books,

1212
01:07:08,360 --> 01:07:11,520
Speaker 3: and you all, I believe, are much smarter for it

1213
01:07:11,560 --> 01:07:14,439
Speaker 3: because I think he's the best. And you know what, folks, listen,

1214
01:07:15,360 --> 01:07:18,360
Speaker 3: we pride ourselves. I know. I try hard to bring

1215
01:07:18,400 --> 01:07:22,520
Speaker 3: you news before everybody else, especially in the five pm hour,

1216
01:07:22,720 --> 01:07:25,320
Speaker 3: right because you know, Wendy Bell is on, She's on

1217
01:07:25,360 --> 01:07:27,440
Speaker 3: the cutting edge of everything. In the morning. The new

1218
01:07:27,560 --> 01:07:31,160
Speaker 3: cycle changes significantly throughout the afternoon. And by the time,

1219
01:07:31,200 --> 01:07:33,040
Speaker 3: you know, Wendy talks about one thing in the morning,

1220
01:07:33,280 --> 01:07:35,640
Speaker 3: I talk about another thing at night. It's vastly different

1221
01:07:35,680 --> 01:07:37,920
Speaker 3: news cycles. But try to get you everything first, just

1222
01:07:37,960 --> 01:07:40,880
Speaker 3: like Wendy does. And I'm real grateful that you all

1223
01:07:40,920 --> 01:07:43,640
Speaker 3: tune in for you know, give me your time every night.

1224
01:07:43,680 --> 01:07:46,600
Speaker 3: Your time is your most valuable asset, and I appreciate

1225
01:07:46,640 --> 01:07:49,000
Speaker 3: you spending a little bit of your time with me.

1226
01:07:49,960 --> 01:07:52,880
Speaker 3: Thank you. This is your show, it always will be.

1227
01:07:53,280 --> 01:07:57,000
Speaker 3: Keep the faith, but don't stop there. Always take action

1228
01:07:57,320 --> 01:07:59,600
Speaker 3: in the fight to save this country. And as always,

1229
01:07:59,600 --> 01:08:01,080
Speaker 3: I'll see you tomorrow night. Have a hell of a

1230
01:08:01,120 --> 01:08:04,120
Speaker 3: show plan for you tomorrow. God bless you all, and

1231
01:08:04,240 --> 01:08:08,480
Speaker 3: God bless this amazing country that we call home. Take

1232
01:08:08,520 --> 01:08:10,600
Speaker 3: care and good night.