WEBVTT - Twitter-Musk Scrutiny, Apple Design Chief Departs

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<v Speaker 1>From the heart of where Innovation, money and power CALLI

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<v Speaker 1>in Silicon Valley and beyond. This is Bloomberg Technology with

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<v Speaker 1>Emily Jay. I'm Emily Jack in San Francisco, and this

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<v Speaker 1>is Bloomberg Technology coming up in the next hour. US

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<v Speaker 1>officials are discussing national security reviews for Elon Musk's various

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<v Speaker 1>ventures from Twitter to Tesla. This after his Russia Ukraine tweets,

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<v Speaker 1>especially given tesla strong presence in China and AI development,

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<v Speaker 1>because the White House may put more restrictions on China

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<v Speaker 1>technology from AI to quantum computing. And Apple design chief,

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<v Speaker 1>who replaced Johnny I've is leaving the company. According to

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg's sources, how she impacted the product lineup and what

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<v Speaker 1>it means for iPhones, iPads, and the incoming mixed reality headset.

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<v Speaker 1>Biden administration officials are debating whether the U s should

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<v Speaker 1>subject some of Elon Musk's ventures to national security review. This.

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<v Speaker 1>According to Bloomberg sources, this would include the Twitter deal, Tesla,

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<v Speaker 1>SpaceX Is, star Link Network, and US officials are uncomfortable

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<v Speaker 1>with what they see as Musk's increasingly Russia friendly stance

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<v Speaker 1>and his plans to buy Twitter with the help of

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<v Speaker 1>foreign investors. For more on this, I want to bring

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<v Speaker 1>in Bloomberg's Dan Flatney and Sarah Frieder. So, so Dan,

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<v Speaker 1>let's start with you. Tell us what we know at

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<v Speaker 1>this point about this potential series of national security reviews. Right. So,

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<v Speaker 1>I think that in many respects, the reviews are centering

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<v Speaker 1>on Twitter and on the consortium of investors that Musk

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<v Speaker 1>has lined up to help in his acquisition of the company,

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<v Speaker 1>if that is what ends up happening at the end

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<v Speaker 1>of the day, and those investors, some of which are

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<v Speaker 1>based overseas. Because of the makeup of that consortium, there

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<v Speaker 1>is a potential for the Committee on Foreign Investment in

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<v Speaker 1>the United States to get involved in looking at the

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<v Speaker 1>interests there. Now, the question is sort of twofold at

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<v Speaker 1>that point, and one is whether the committee actually has jurisdiction,

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<v Speaker 1>which sort of has to do not just with the

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<v Speaker 1>financial stakes that these investors are looking at, but whether

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<v Speaker 1>they'll have any controlling interest in Twitter, whether they will

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<v Speaker 1>be on the board, whether they'll have access to non

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<v Speaker 1>public information, things of that nature, and that will be

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<v Speaker 1>sort of in the deal. So Cyphius does have the

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<v Speaker 1>ability to potentially ask Musk or ask the the those

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<v Speaker 1>involved in the deal for more information on that end,

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<v Speaker 1>and then it sort of becomes a policy decision for

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<v Speaker 1>the Biden administration to make as to whether they would

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<v Speaker 1>want to step in and stop that deal or potentially

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<v Speaker 1>more likely uh have some revisions or some some mitigation

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<v Speaker 1>effects on that at the At this point, it seems

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<v Speaker 1>somewhat unlikely that that's the course that they will take,

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<v Speaker 1>but there is some interest in perhaps trimming musk sales

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<v Speaker 1>a little bit in terms of his rhetoric out there,

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<v Speaker 1>what he's saying publicly, and some potential risks with foreign

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<v Speaker 1>investment in some of his companies. Sarah, we're a week

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<v Speaker 1>away from the day that this deal is supposed to close.

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<v Speaker 1>How big a wrench is this in in that schedule? Well, Emily,

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<v Speaker 1>we have been on this show talking about the fact

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<v Speaker 1>that Elon Musk wanted to buy Twitter, and then he

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<v Speaker 1>didn't want to buy Twitter, and then he wanted to again,

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<v Speaker 1>but there were some some stipulations that Twitter didn't want

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<v Speaker 1>and just back and forth, all the legal filings, all

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<v Speaker 1>the subpoenas. Finally we're reporting that that talks are cordial,

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<v Speaker 1>that they're all on track to get this deal done

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<v Speaker 1>by October. And if the Biden administration is the wrench

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<v Speaker 1>that folved in its way, that would just be uh,

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<v Speaker 1>such a perfect um climax of the story. It's it's

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<v Speaker 1>really it's really been a bumpy ride for the company

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<v Speaker 1>and and for Elon Musk here and for US reporters

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<v Speaker 1>at Bloomberg as well. Um, but listen, you know, it's hard.

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<v Speaker 1>It's hard to stay until they actually say they're going

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<v Speaker 1>to do a review. Um, whether this is going to

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<v Speaker 1>delay anything. As far as the folks involved in the

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<v Speaker 1>deal are operating, they are. They are on track to

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<v Speaker 1>meet the judges deadline, which is five pm Eastern time

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<v Speaker 1>next Friday. If they don't meet that deadline for whatever reason, um,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, it could end up going to court. Um.

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<v Speaker 1>So I think that they're pretty head down on that. However,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, scipious reviews could come still, uh, and I

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<v Speaker 1>think that they would have to respond to that whatever

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<v Speaker 1>it ends up being. Dan and you're reporting. You talk

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<v Speaker 1>also about the Russia. You Crane tweets you on Musk's

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<v Speaker 1>threat to cut off Starlink access to Ukraine. How much

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<v Speaker 1>are officials really can concerned about this potentially Russia friendly

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<v Speaker 1>stance from Elon Musk. I think that there's a couple

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<v Speaker 1>of things that they're looking at there. Certainly there is

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<v Speaker 1>the rhetoric that Musk and others have engaged in on

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<v Speaker 1>this issue. In addition to that, I think that there

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<v Speaker 1>is the Starlink issue, the satellite communications network that Musk

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<v Speaker 1>has helped set up in Ukraine and is looking to

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<v Speaker 1>set up in Iran as well. And I think that

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<v Speaker 1>there's some concern from defense officials and from those in

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<v Speaker 1>the administration that giving one private individual and a private

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<v Speaker 1>company so much control over the kinds of communication and

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<v Speaker 1>the ways of the methods of communication UH in these

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<v Speaker 1>very sensitive areas is potentially a risk, both on the

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<v Speaker 1>sort of redundancy standpoint in case that communication network were

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<v Speaker 1>to be where to go down or to be cut

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<v Speaker 1>off for some reason, and also just in terms of

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<v Speaker 1>that giving one individual so much influence over US foreign

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<v Speaker 1>policy to a certain extent, So I think that there's

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<v Speaker 1>some concern about that. Beyond that, there's also generally some

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<v Speaker 1>concern on the part of the administration on Chinese investments

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<v Speaker 1>and involvement in in US businesses. And this is sort

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<v Speaker 1>of separate from the Ukraine Russia issue, but it certainly

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<v Speaker 1>enters into the cifiest discussions around Tesla and some other companies.

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<v Speaker 1>So I think that there is sort of broadly a

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<v Speaker 1>desire to more carefully scrutinize foreign investment in the US.

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<v Speaker 1>Whether Musk runs a foul of that effort here is

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<v Speaker 1>is sort of a separate issue, but that is definitely

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<v Speaker 1>something that the administration is looking to be more active

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<v Speaker 1>on in general. Meantime, Sarah, there's this reporting that Musk

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<v Speaker 1>is planning to cut seventy of Twitter's workforce. This is

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<v Speaker 1>a seven thousand company at this point. That's a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of people. What's the real action inside Twitter about this news?

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<v Speaker 1>It looks like we lost Sarah for a moment there, Um, Dan,

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<v Speaker 1>while we get Sarah back quickly, Can you tell us

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<v Speaker 1>the response from the White House so far on your reporting? Sure? So.

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<v Speaker 1>Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen was asked about this today. She

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<v Speaker 1>basically said she cannot comment on ciphious actions, which is

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<v Speaker 1>a pretty common response, and that she's broadly supportive of

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<v Speaker 1>what Musk has done on the communications front. The White

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<v Speaker 1>House is saying they have no knowledge of these discussions.

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<v Speaker 1>But I think our reporting is very solid in the

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<v Speaker 1>sense that there are these discussions happening within the White House.

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<v Speaker 1>There is sort of this broader overall question of what

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<v Speaker 1>do you do with a problem like Elon Musk. I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>this is the richest person in the world who is

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<v Speaker 1>exerting an outside influence on foreign policy, and I think

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<v Speaker 1>that there is a desire to rein him in a

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<v Speaker 1>little bit, and there are some some ways to do

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<v Speaker 1>that that are both political and sort of non political. Um,

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<v Speaker 1>whether Syphius gets involved at the end of the day,

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<v Speaker 1>I think is it going to be a policy question?

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<v Speaker 1>And my reporting sort of shows that it would be

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<v Speaker 1>a little bit of an outside chance that that Cipius

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<v Speaker 1>would get involved at this point, though not totally outside

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<v Speaker 1>the realm of possibility given some of the foreign investment

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<v Speaker 1>in the in the deal structure. So it's just something

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<v Speaker 1>we'll have to keep a very close eye on as

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<v Speaker 1>things move forward. Okay, so, Ed, why don't you address

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<v Speaker 1>the news that broke in the show yesterday that Elon

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<v Speaker 1>Musk is considering laying off of Twitter's workforce, which will

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<v Speaker 1>be thousands and thousands of people. What are Twitter employees saying, Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>my editor and dear friend Sarah had some technical issues

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<v Speaker 1>there no worries. Look Sarah edited the story we put

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<v Speaker 1>out on Friday, which is that it's been wellness Month

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<v Speaker 1>at Twitter, and the company has been sharing messages about

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<v Speaker 1>work life balance, looking after yourself. The messages coming out

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<v Speaker 1>of Twitter a frantic. A lot of staff are very worried.

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<v Speaker 1>The worried that the restricted stock unit award that was

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<v Speaker 1>supposed to happen early next month will either not happen

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<v Speaker 1>at the same date they thought, or it won't happen

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<v Speaker 1>at all. They're looking into legal options, according to sources,

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<v Speaker 1>about what happens if they are laid off, do they

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<v Speaker 1>get the right kind of severance. They're also pretty unimpressed

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<v Speaker 1>with management. We're told, you know this communication that Elon

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<v Speaker 1>Musk was considering laying off percent of the workforce, That's

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<v Speaker 1>not even what's upsetting Twitter staff. I'm told that's what

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<v Speaker 1>what is upsetting Twitter staff is that actually Shawn Edgett,

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<v Speaker 1>the Chief Legal Council, said they had discussed cuts and layoffs,

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<v Speaker 1>but that they ended in April when they had that

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<v Speaker 1>definitive murder agreement. Well that's a very different message to

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<v Speaker 1>what Start management of told staff previously. So it's a

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<v Speaker 1>pretty unhappy praise, and I'm told, along with my colleagues

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<v Speaker 1>Kurt Wagner and Max Addler, that morale across San Francisco,

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<v Speaker 1>New York and London is understandably pretty low right now

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<v Speaker 1>at Twitter understandable indeed, Okay, Ad Ludlow, thank you, along

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<v Speaker 1>with Sarah Fire and Dan Flatteney flatly. Of course, we're

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<v Speaker 1>gonna continue to follow all of your reporting on this

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<v Speaker 1>through the weekend. Anxious investors are selling out of social

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<v Speaker 1>media stocks, with thirty five billion dollars in market value

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<v Speaker 1>wiped out just at the open, this following Snap reporting

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<v Speaker 1>its slowest quarterly sales growth on record. For more honest,

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<v Speaker 1>I want to bring in Craftsman Plus founder and CEO

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<v Speaker 1>Alex Uruku. So what is what Snap reported here signal

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<v Speaker 1>to you, Alex Well, I think there's a different like

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<v Speaker 1>macro environment that we should talk about where advertising in

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<v Speaker 1>general is shifting from brand advertising spend to performance spend,

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<v Speaker 1>and the problem with Snapchat and a few other social

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<v Speaker 1>platforms it's more geared towards brand advertisers with the lack

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<v Speaker 1>of first party data um that Apple has recently changed

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<v Speaker 1>with their A T T framework really relying on first

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<v Speaker 1>party day to drive that value. The issue with Snapchat

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<v Speaker 1>is it doesn't have that first party data, and opposite

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<v Speaker 1>of TikTok, which is a very sticky platform driving a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of engagement, doesn't have that stickiness factor either. That's

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<v Speaker 1>why it took a big head today in the markets.

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<v Speaker 1>How much do you think these are short term issues

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<v Speaker 1>or are they long term issues? I think we're going

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<v Speaker 1>to see more long term issues here in just this

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<v Speaker 1>social space. So what what the trend is happening right

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<v Speaker 1>now is retail media. So going back to first party data,

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<v Speaker 1>there's all these other smaller platforms that are coming up

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<v Speaker 1>in the space right now. I think of Marriott, think

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<v Speaker 1>of Lows Home Depot, They're all building ad businesses. Amazon

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<v Speaker 1>and Walmart's kind of already paved the way for that.

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<v Speaker 1>So because they have this first party data, the advertising

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<v Speaker 1>dollars are no longer just spent on Facebook and Google.

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<v Speaker 1>So you're gonna see kind of like a deteriorating spend

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<v Speaker 1>across all the social platforms leveraging these smaller audiences. So

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<v Speaker 1>what does this mean for What does this mean for

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<v Speaker 1>alphabet What does this mean for Twitter, which obviously has

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<v Speaker 1>another unique storyline going on as well. So Google has

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of first party data on Gmail, YouTube, they

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<v Speaker 1>have a lot there, so they're gonna be fine. They

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<v Speaker 1>have a lot of search intent, so I'm not worried

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<v Speaker 1>about Google. Twitter is more one of the platforms like Twitter, Pinterests,

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<v Speaker 1>and Snapchat are kind of the three that I'm more

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<v Speaker 1>worried about and concerned about their ability to drive performance

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<v Speaker 1>for advertisers. Uh. Meta they still have a lot of

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<v Speaker 1>first party data, their algorithms are really robust. Uh. I

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<v Speaker 1>think they're going to still be able to be a

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<v Speaker 1>player in the space and drive a meaningful value and

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<v Speaker 1>continue to have a prosperous business. Even if Mark Zuckerberg

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<v Speaker 1>isn't as focused on Facebook and Instagram as he is

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<v Speaker 1>on trying to pivot into the metaverse. I mean, Facebook

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<v Speaker 1>is just a machine, so that coming has a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of great talent behind it. A lot of folks have

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<v Speaker 1>built that up. So even if he is focused on metaverse,

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<v Speaker 1>I still think that platform is still where majority of

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<v Speaker 1>advertisers spend their money and that's not going away at

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<v Speaker 1>least anytime soon. Now, and we just happened in New York.

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<v Speaker 1>What are the big themes that big takeaways about advert

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<v Speaker 1>rising more broadly is changing. Yes, so there's there's a

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<v Speaker 1>different framework. So Apple just announced their scan for update,

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<v Speaker 1>which is kind of their framework of how to handle privacy.

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<v Speaker 1>And what's what the big changes are is we need

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<v Speaker 1>more data and so how do you get more data.

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<v Speaker 1>You have that first party data, but you also have

0:13:15.480 --> 0:13:18.360
<v Speaker 1>attribution windows, which is the time you can actually take

0:13:18.400 --> 0:13:21.600
<v Speaker 1>credit for an impression or a click. And so what's

0:13:21.600 --> 0:13:24.600
<v Speaker 1>happening is they're opening up those attribution windows to feed

0:13:24.840 --> 0:13:28.440
<v Speaker 1>more data to these algorithms that are these AD platforms,

0:13:28.480 --> 0:13:30.160
<v Speaker 1>which is ultimately going to boost the whole space. So

0:13:30.200 --> 0:13:32.400
<v Speaker 1>we actually should see from this new release with Apple,

0:13:33.080 --> 0:13:35.880
<v Speaker 1>the scan for Update, that there will be an overall

0:13:35.920 --> 0:13:39.480
<v Speaker 1>boost in general and just AD dollars flowing to these platforms.

0:13:40.920 --> 0:13:45.760
<v Speaker 1>So do you see a hierarchical shift here and where uh,

0:13:45.960 --> 0:13:49.080
<v Speaker 1>you know the biggest AD dollars are going or you

0:13:49.120 --> 0:13:51.839
<v Speaker 1>know the recipients of the big AD dollars, Like, how

0:13:51.840 --> 0:13:55.360
<v Speaker 1>does this marketplace look different, let's say in five years. Yes,

0:13:55.440 --> 0:13:58.400
<v Speaker 1>So right now what's happening is, you know, Facebook still

0:13:58.440 --> 0:14:00.480
<v Speaker 1>a big player in the space, Googles to do well.

0:14:00.600 --> 0:14:02.880
<v Speaker 1>Apples probably do emerge into it in a meaningful way.

0:14:02.920 --> 0:14:05.120
<v Speaker 1>So we should look at for Apple. TikTok's got its

0:14:05.120 --> 0:14:07.880
<v Speaker 1>stickiness and get a continue to drive kind of those

0:14:07.960 --> 0:14:10.640
<v Speaker 1>like high flyer advertisers that are looking for that like

0:14:11.200 --> 0:14:13.560
<v Speaker 1>Mega win, they can find that on TikTok. So that's

0:14:13.679 --> 0:14:16.120
<v Speaker 1>they still have the dream. The ad business hasn't been

0:14:16.120 --> 0:14:18.800
<v Speaker 1>totally proven out, but they have the stickiness factor. Uh,

0:14:18.840 --> 0:14:21.480
<v Speaker 1>it's all these other platforms what we're kind of seeing

0:14:21.520 --> 0:14:23.920
<v Speaker 1>in the space that's interesting as well. That was brought

0:14:23.960 --> 0:14:26.200
<v Speaker 1>up an ad weeca is connected TV and so you're

0:14:26.200 --> 0:14:29.280
<v Speaker 1>gonna see a shift from you know, these digital platforms

0:14:29.440 --> 0:14:31.240
<v Speaker 1>that are just on your you know, your phone and

0:14:31.280 --> 0:14:34.200
<v Speaker 1>the smaller device is shifting over to larger screens connected

0:14:34.240 --> 0:14:37.000
<v Speaker 1>TV with Netflix, Disney getting into this space. And what's

0:14:37.000 --> 0:14:40.440
<v Speaker 1>really happening is with all this extra inventory on the space,

0:14:40.680 --> 0:14:43.600
<v Speaker 1>advertising is about supplying demands. So there's advertiser demand and

0:14:43.720 --> 0:14:46.840
<v Speaker 1>there's the inventory of the publishers supply with all these

0:14:46.840 --> 0:14:49.680
<v Speaker 1>other platforms opening up their businesses for ad dollars. And

0:14:49.680 --> 0:14:52.000
<v Speaker 1>again this is from the macro environment of Hey, our

0:14:52.040 --> 0:14:53.800
<v Speaker 1>business is hurting, we need to make money. What's an

0:14:53.840 --> 0:14:56.240
<v Speaker 1>easy way to make money? Turn on ads. So everyone's

0:14:56.240 --> 0:14:58.760
<v Speaker 1>turning on ads and building it that way. But you

0:14:58.800 --> 0:15:01.480
<v Speaker 1>see these companies, the more inventor you have in this space,

0:15:02.120 --> 0:15:05.200
<v Speaker 1>and demand is ready lowering that we're we've talked about previously,

0:15:05.320 --> 0:15:08.840
<v Speaker 1>So lower demand, more inventory, We're actually gonna see global

0:15:09.080 --> 0:15:15.240
<v Speaker 1>costs of AD impressions probably decrease over the next five years. Interesting, Okay,

0:15:15.400 --> 0:15:18.040
<v Speaker 1>Alex Maruca, CEO and founder of Crafts and Plus, thanks

0:15:18.160 --> 0:15:22.280
<v Speaker 1>so much for bringing your perspective to us this Friday. Alright,

0:15:22.320 --> 0:15:24.920
<v Speaker 1>coming up, another top Apple executive stepping down. How this

0:15:25.000 --> 0:15:29.320
<v Speaker 1>departure opens a major hole in Apple's design team. Next,

0:15:29.600 --> 0:15:44.720
<v Speaker 1>this is Bloomberg. Apple's head of hardware design, Evans Hanky,

0:15:45.000 --> 0:15:48.080
<v Speaker 1>is leaving the iPhone maker three years after taking the role,

0:15:48.160 --> 0:15:51.760
<v Speaker 1>creating a significant vacancy at the top of the company, known,

0:15:51.760 --> 0:15:54.760
<v Speaker 1>of course, for its iconic designs. This according to people

0:15:54.760 --> 0:15:58.440
<v Speaker 1>familiar with the matter and our own Mark German's reporting. So, Mark,

0:15:58.480 --> 0:16:00.560
<v Speaker 1>what do we know about her depart archer and why

0:16:00.600 --> 0:16:04.520
<v Speaker 1>she's leaving now? So this is a pretty significant departure.

0:16:04.560 --> 0:16:08.360
<v Speaker 1>Evans Hankey is the vice president of Industrial Design, reporting

0:16:08.400 --> 0:16:12.400
<v Speaker 1>to the CEO. She essentially replaced Johnny I've, Apple's former

0:16:12.440 --> 0:16:16.680
<v Speaker 1>chief design officer in upon his departure. So she's been

0:16:16.720 --> 0:16:18.880
<v Speaker 1>in charge of the look and feel of the iPhone,

0:16:18.960 --> 0:16:21.960
<v Speaker 1>the Apple Watch, the iPad, the Mac, all of Apple's

0:16:21.960 --> 0:16:24.920
<v Speaker 1>products for the last three years. The departure was announced

0:16:24.960 --> 0:16:28.440
<v Speaker 1>internally within Apple uh this week, and she'll be departing

0:16:28.440 --> 0:16:31.440
<v Speaker 1>in about six months. The notable news here is that

0:16:31.480 --> 0:16:34.480
<v Speaker 1>there's also no replacement for her, so Apple hasn't been

0:16:34.520 --> 0:16:36.520
<v Speaker 1>able to come up with since she announced her departure

0:16:36.560 --> 0:16:41.800
<v Speaker 1>internally who would replace her at this point, Well, filling

0:16:41.880 --> 0:16:44.720
<v Speaker 1>Johnny I's shoes was always going to be a difficult

0:16:44.800 --> 0:16:47.840
<v Speaker 1>job for you know whoever, I was gonna try to

0:16:47.880 --> 0:16:50.720
<v Speaker 1>do that. But do we know why she's leaving after

0:16:50.800 --> 0:16:54.880
<v Speaker 1>just three years? Yeah, at this point, it's unclear to

0:16:54.920 --> 0:16:58.280
<v Speaker 1>say for certain why she is leaving. She's certainly not

0:16:58.400 --> 0:17:01.080
<v Speaker 1>at the point of retirement. She's only been in that

0:17:01.200 --> 0:17:03.080
<v Speaker 1>role for three years, though she has been an Apple

0:17:03.360 --> 0:17:07.280
<v Speaker 1>for about two decades. She was basically the manager of

0:17:07.320 --> 0:17:10.639
<v Speaker 1>the industrial design team under Johnny I've right, so her

0:17:10.640 --> 0:17:13.280
<v Speaker 1>background is in product design, but she ran the team

0:17:13.800 --> 0:17:16.240
<v Speaker 1>as a manager and it was pretty much a natural

0:17:16.240 --> 0:17:19.119
<v Speaker 1>succession for her to take over for Johnny. He was

0:17:19.200 --> 0:17:21.840
<v Speaker 1>her number two in that respect. There are some other

0:17:21.880 --> 0:17:25.040
<v Speaker 1>senior designers that still remain, but to tell you the truth,

0:17:25.200 --> 0:17:28.200
<v Speaker 1>many of them, many of Johnny Ives close collaborators. Most

0:17:28.200 --> 0:17:31.720
<v Speaker 1>senior designers over the past two decades, the ones responsible

0:17:31.760 --> 0:17:33.919
<v Speaker 1>for the designs of the products that we see today.

0:17:33.960 --> 0:17:35.879
<v Speaker 1>A lot of them have either left to start their

0:17:35.920 --> 0:17:38.400
<v Speaker 1>own firms, left to other companies, and some of them

0:17:38.400 --> 0:17:41.119
<v Speaker 1>have joined you know, i've's love from company as well,

0:17:41.280 --> 0:17:43.920
<v Speaker 1>But there still are a few top designers there. There's

0:17:44.160 --> 0:17:49.720
<v Speaker 1>Richard Haworth. He temporarily had this role between seventeen, still

0:17:49.760 --> 0:17:52.480
<v Speaker 1>reporting to I'VE, but he's not someone who wants to

0:17:52.520 --> 0:17:54.840
<v Speaker 1>manage a team, so I think it's unlikely that he

0:17:54.880 --> 0:17:57.680
<v Speaker 1>takes that role again. But certainly this is a major

0:17:57.760 --> 0:18:00.480
<v Speaker 1>development for anyone who's a fan of the can feel

0:18:00.480 --> 0:18:04.680
<v Speaker 1>of Apple's devices. How do you imagine this will impact

0:18:04.840 --> 0:18:08.480
<v Speaker 1>the product line up? Yeah, I mean the way Apple's

0:18:08.480 --> 0:18:10.960
<v Speaker 1>product development process goes is they could be working on

0:18:11.000 --> 0:18:13.119
<v Speaker 1>things in their design labs right now that we won't

0:18:13.160 --> 0:18:15.680
<v Speaker 1>see for two to seven years at this point. Right,

0:18:15.920 --> 0:18:18.119
<v Speaker 1>if you take a look at the current Apple product lineup,

0:18:18.200 --> 0:18:21.560
<v Speaker 1>the Apple Watch Series eight has the same design as

0:18:21.600 --> 0:18:24.320
<v Speaker 1>the Apple Watch from four or five years ago. Right

0:18:24.440 --> 0:18:28.040
<v Speaker 1>the iPad pro same design as four years ago. Uh.

0:18:28.119 --> 0:18:30.800
<v Speaker 1>Some of their other products have legacy designs. The iPhone

0:18:30.840 --> 0:18:34.160
<v Speaker 1>fourteen same design as from to three years ago. Right,

0:18:34.280 --> 0:18:37.720
<v Speaker 1>So we are in for a big change to Apple's designs,

0:18:37.760 --> 0:18:40.360
<v Speaker 1>probably over the next year or two, just because those

0:18:40.359 --> 0:18:42.439
<v Speaker 1>designs have lasted so long. And I think we're going

0:18:42.520 --> 0:18:45.560
<v Speaker 1>to only see the fingerprints of evans Hanky, evans Hanky's

0:18:45.640 --> 0:18:47.640
<v Speaker 1>leaderships over the design team in the next year or two,

0:18:48.000 --> 0:18:50.040
<v Speaker 1>and then maybe four or five years in the future,

0:18:50.080 --> 0:18:54.399
<v Speaker 1>we'll see how the design evolves. All right, Mark German

0:18:54.640 --> 0:18:59.000
<v Speaker 1>as always thank you. Meantime, insta Cart is reportedly holding

0:18:59.080 --> 0:19:01.680
<v Speaker 1>off on plan to go public until at least next year.

0:19:02.000 --> 0:19:04.160
<v Speaker 1>The food delivery giant had been planning to put its

0:19:04.320 --> 0:19:07.000
<v Speaker 1>S one filing out this week, but is said to

0:19:07.280 --> 0:19:11.520
<v Speaker 1>have reconsidered given the turbulent market. Instacart slashed its valuation

0:19:11.520 --> 0:19:14.439
<v Speaker 1>to about thirteen billion dollars and had decided not to

0:19:14.480 --> 0:19:19.440
<v Speaker 1>go public until market conditions improved. Reddit says it now

0:19:19.480 --> 0:19:21.919
<v Speaker 1>has more n f T wallets than the popular trading

0:19:21.960 --> 0:19:26.159
<v Speaker 1>website open ce. Reddit Vault, which lets users create wallets

0:19:26.200 --> 0:19:28.640
<v Speaker 1>to use his avatar, says it's got more than three

0:19:28.920 --> 0:19:32.159
<v Speaker 1>million such wallets open see the largest n f T

0:19:32.280 --> 0:19:34.800
<v Speaker 1>marketplace by all time sales volume has around two point

0:19:34.800 --> 0:19:37.919
<v Speaker 1>three million active wallets. Reddit is preparing for its own

0:19:38.359 --> 0:19:51.080
<v Speaker 1>public debut sometime in the next year. Welcome back to

0:19:51.119 --> 0:19:54.040
<v Speaker 1>Bloom're Technology and Emily Chang in San Francisco. Sources tell

0:19:54.200 --> 0:19:56.720
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg the US is looking into new rules that would

0:19:56.760 --> 0:20:01.480
<v Speaker 1>limit China's access to powerful emerging computer in technologies, potential

0:20:01.520 --> 0:20:05.600
<v Speaker 1>plans focusing on quantum computing and artificial intelligence software. For

0:20:05.680 --> 0:20:08.680
<v Speaker 1>more on these escalating tensions between the US and China,

0:20:08.720 --> 0:20:12.520
<v Speaker 1>let's bring in Strategy Risk founder and CEO Isaac stone Fish.

0:20:12.600 --> 0:20:15.639
<v Speaker 1>So tensions, Isaac have been ramping up for a while,

0:20:15.800 --> 0:20:19.400
<v Speaker 1>and this yet again, where is this leading? So if

0:20:19.440 --> 0:20:22.600
<v Speaker 1>we step back and look at how negative things have

0:20:22.680 --> 0:20:25.440
<v Speaker 1>been between the United States and China and the very

0:20:25.480 --> 0:20:31.600
<v Speaker 1>real possibility that China invades Taiwan as soon as this year,

0:20:31.840 --> 0:20:36.119
<v Speaker 1>again not likely but possible, possibly the US and China

0:20:36.240 --> 0:20:42.640
<v Speaker 1>are leading to war. Wow. I mean, that's a that's

0:20:42.680 --> 0:20:47.040
<v Speaker 1>a profound statement. Why go that far? We are not

0:20:47.600 --> 0:20:51.199
<v Speaker 1>in a world that's past geopolitics, and I think we

0:20:51.280 --> 0:20:58.080
<v Speaker 1>had this nice global mental break of big power wars

0:20:59.000 --> 0:21:02.000
<v Speaker 1>from the fall of the Soviet Union and from after

0:21:02.040 --> 0:21:04.480
<v Speaker 1>the Korean War, in the Vietnam War, the Proxy War.

0:21:05.240 --> 0:21:08.320
<v Speaker 1>Now we're waking up to the fact that great powers

0:21:08.400 --> 0:21:11.160
<v Speaker 1>do fight wars with each other. They have throughout history,

0:21:11.200 --> 0:21:14.480
<v Speaker 1>and they're very likely to again. And China has been

0:21:14.560 --> 0:21:19.720
<v Speaker 1>very explicit about its willingness to retake Taiwan, even with force.

0:21:19.840 --> 0:21:22.680
<v Speaker 1>The US has been very explicit about its willingness to

0:21:22.760 --> 0:21:26.359
<v Speaker 1>defend Taiwan with force. And so if China calls the

0:21:26.400 --> 0:21:29.520
<v Speaker 1>United States bluff that very much could lead to a

0:21:29.680 --> 0:21:33.640
<v Speaker 1>active hot war between the world's two most powerful countries.

0:21:35.440 --> 0:21:39.359
<v Speaker 1>How hot does this war get? So it depends on

0:21:39.440 --> 0:21:42.359
<v Speaker 1>how lucky the world is. It could go anywhere from

0:21:42.440 --> 0:21:47.280
<v Speaker 1>a limited regional ish war to something that was similar

0:21:47.320 --> 0:21:51.240
<v Speaker 1>to the Korean War to World War Three. And it's

0:21:51.280 --> 0:21:54.040
<v Speaker 1>stunning to meet as we talk to people in the

0:21:54.080 --> 0:21:57.320
<v Speaker 1>investment community that the US government and certainly the Chinese

0:21:57.359 --> 0:22:02.840
<v Speaker 1>government are awake to this possibility, but the investment community

0:22:03.040 --> 0:22:06.159
<v Speaker 1>seems to want to keep pretending that things will go

0:22:06.200 --> 0:22:09.640
<v Speaker 1>back to where they were in the Obama era of

0:22:10.280 --> 0:22:13.840
<v Speaker 1>friendship with a sprinkle of competition between the US and China.

0:22:13.920 --> 0:22:17.960
<v Speaker 1>And those days are over. M. What do you think

0:22:18.000 --> 0:22:22.159
<v Speaker 1>this would mean for the tech industry. It would be transformative,

0:22:22.400 --> 0:22:27.320
<v Speaker 1>catastrophic to many, and very positive for some who plan ahead.

0:22:27.720 --> 0:22:32.879
<v Speaker 1>I think Apple, Tesla, other major companies are recognizing the

0:22:32.920 --> 0:22:36.320
<v Speaker 1>difficulty of sourcing from China and trying to explore other

0:22:36.440 --> 0:22:41.600
<v Speaker 1>supply chain alternatives. I think the absolute cratering of the

0:22:41.840 --> 0:22:45.560
<v Speaker 1>Chinese market would be cratering for a lot of businesses

0:22:45.640 --> 0:22:48.480
<v Speaker 1>bottom lines, and I think, frankly, a lot of companies

0:22:48.520 --> 0:22:52.719
<v Speaker 1>haven't started thinking about this from an ethical perspective, which is, Okay,

0:22:52.800 --> 0:22:55.920
<v Speaker 1>I'm a major US company, I have thousands of staff

0:22:55.960 --> 0:23:00.600
<v Speaker 1>in China. If China invades Taiwan, will be aging view

0:23:00.640 --> 0:23:03.960
<v Speaker 1>my staff as enemy combatants and how do I deal

0:23:04.000 --> 0:23:07.600
<v Speaker 1>with that? Now? There's a lot of action with Afghanistan

0:23:07.760 --> 0:23:10.359
<v Speaker 1>and with Ukraine of tech companies taking care of their

0:23:10.400 --> 0:23:14.600
<v Speaker 1>employees when those countries descended into war and chaos. What

0:23:14.720 --> 0:23:17.520
<v Speaker 1>plans do tech companies have in place to take care

0:23:17.560 --> 0:23:20.480
<v Speaker 1>of their own in China? If China is to invade

0:23:20.520 --> 0:23:25.480
<v Speaker 1>Taiwan well, and if indeed that does happen, how does

0:23:25.520 --> 0:23:29.280
<v Speaker 1>that play out? Especially given the way we've seen the

0:23:29.400 --> 0:23:35.320
<v Speaker 1>US come to Ukraine's aid to a certain extent um,

0:23:35.359 --> 0:23:39.600
<v Speaker 1>but Taiwan being you know, you know, very also unique situation,

0:23:40.040 --> 0:23:43.520
<v Speaker 1>so with the caveat that, it's impossible to predict the future.

0:23:43.760 --> 0:23:48.080
<v Speaker 1>I'm actually quite heartened by the US restraint towards Ukraine

0:23:48.320 --> 0:23:50.520
<v Speaker 1>because I think the message that sends to Beijing is

0:23:50.560 --> 0:23:54.560
<v Speaker 1>not We're going to treat Taiwan like Ukraine, but we

0:23:54.720 --> 0:23:58.639
<v Speaker 1>are preparing for the possibility of you to invade Taiwan,

0:23:59.119 --> 0:24:01.720
<v Speaker 1>and so we're fighting a two front war. We're not

0:24:01.720 --> 0:24:04.080
<v Speaker 1>going to fight both Russia and China at the same time.

0:24:04.560 --> 0:24:08.040
<v Speaker 1>If you invade Taiwan, we as a country will be

0:24:08.080 --> 0:24:11.280
<v Speaker 1>ready for you, and we're supporting what the Ukrainians are doing,

0:24:11.680 --> 0:24:14.119
<v Speaker 1>but we're keeping a lot of our powder dry, so

0:24:14.200 --> 0:24:19.679
<v Speaker 1>to speak, and hopefully that turn. So you think the

0:24:19.800 --> 0:24:23.200
<v Speaker 1>US would be much more hands on if China were

0:24:23.240 --> 0:24:26.679
<v Speaker 1>to invade Taiwan. I don't think Congress would let the

0:24:26.800 --> 0:24:31.560
<v Speaker 1>United States not go to war with China if China

0:24:31.640 --> 0:24:38.160
<v Speaker 1>launched a full scale invasion of Taiwan. This is all terrifying, Isaac,

0:24:38.240 --> 0:24:42.240
<v Speaker 1>I mean really terrifying, especially given the thirty years of

0:24:42.640 --> 0:24:45.920
<v Speaker 1>relationship building. I know you and I both spent um

0:24:45.960 --> 0:24:47.840
<v Speaker 1>many years in China and it's it's a it's a

0:24:47.960 --> 0:24:51.200
<v Speaker 1>very different relationship. Um, you know, it's it's evolved into

0:24:51.200 --> 0:24:55.840
<v Speaker 1>a very different relationship over the last several years. You know,

0:24:56.160 --> 0:24:58.480
<v Speaker 1>what about a new administration. You know, we've got a

0:24:58.480 --> 0:25:00.840
<v Speaker 1>presidential election in a couple of or is this something

0:25:00.880 --> 0:25:04.199
<v Speaker 1>that you see carrying on no matter who's in office.

0:25:04.920 --> 0:25:08.159
<v Speaker 1>The U. S. Navy chief just talked about the possibility

0:25:08.200 --> 0:25:14.560
<v Speaker 1>of a war with Taiwan this year next year. I'm

0:25:14.640 --> 0:25:17.160
<v Speaker 1>much less worried about how things are going to play

0:25:17.160 --> 0:25:22.000
<v Speaker 1>out in the medium term. I'm far more worried about again,

0:25:22.000 --> 0:25:24.240
<v Speaker 1>if if I had to bet, I'd say it's less

0:25:24.240 --> 0:25:27.400
<v Speaker 1>than fifty percent chance going to happen. And I think

0:25:27.400 --> 0:25:33.800
<v Speaker 1>it's possible that a future Trump administration, if that happens again,

0:25:34.680 --> 0:25:39.800
<v Speaker 1>Trump is more likely to sell out Taiwan for other concerns.

0:25:40.040 --> 0:25:43.520
<v Speaker 1>I think another Republican or another Democrat would be far

0:25:43.600 --> 0:25:45.879
<v Speaker 1>less likely to do so. I think it's possible that

0:25:45.960 --> 0:25:51.359
<v Speaker 1>Beijing would think that right after the election, before the

0:25:51.359 --> 0:25:55.080
<v Speaker 1>new president takes power, is the ideal time to strike.

0:25:55.680 --> 0:25:58.680
<v Speaker 1>Hopefully they don't. Hopefully they decide never to try to

0:25:58.720 --> 0:26:03.119
<v Speaker 1>seize Taiwan by force. But we haven't been having this debate,

0:26:03.280 --> 0:26:06.639
<v Speaker 1>and we haven't talked about what should the US do

0:26:06.760 --> 0:26:10.840
<v Speaker 1>now to both prepare for war with China, but also

0:26:11.000 --> 0:26:14.280
<v Speaker 1>how do we make sure that we act ethically as well.

0:26:14.320 --> 0:26:18.600
<v Speaker 1>I'm quite worried about our atrocious history with Japanese Americans

0:26:18.600 --> 0:26:21.400
<v Speaker 1>and World War Two and German Americans and World War One,

0:26:21.640 --> 0:26:24.840
<v Speaker 1>and we're already seeing bubbling of that with Chinese Americans.

0:26:24.960 --> 0:26:27.879
<v Speaker 1>And I think so much the conversation about war is

0:26:28.280 --> 0:26:31.560
<v Speaker 1>how do we prevent the war as opposed to regardless

0:26:31.560 --> 0:26:34.000
<v Speaker 1>of what we do, the US might go to war

0:26:34.080 --> 0:26:36.679
<v Speaker 1>with China, and how do we conduct that war in

0:26:36.720 --> 0:26:43.360
<v Speaker 1>a way that's most ethical and most adheres to our values? Uh,

0:26:43.520 --> 0:26:45.600
<v Speaker 1>certainly an interesting perspective. I do want to get your

0:26:45.600 --> 0:26:49.960
<v Speaker 1>thoughts on the latest Blueberg Dues reporting on TikTok. We

0:26:50.040 --> 0:26:54.680
<v Speaker 1>did some analysis of the deal that the US government

0:26:55.240 --> 0:26:57.800
<v Speaker 1>has struck with TikTok and its parent Byte Dance to

0:26:58.000 --> 0:27:03.719
<v Speaker 1>store US users data on Oracle servers, but Bloomberg News

0:27:03.840 --> 0:27:07.440
<v Speaker 1>has concluded that this would still leave US data vulnerable.

0:27:07.480 --> 0:27:11.600
<v Speaker 1>What's your take on this. TikTok in a time of

0:27:11.720 --> 0:27:15.280
<v Speaker 1>good relations between the U S and China is barely

0:27:15.320 --> 0:27:19.320
<v Speaker 1>a threat compared to other big social media platforms. You

0:27:19.320 --> 0:27:23.200
<v Speaker 1>could put it roughly in the same category as Facebook.

0:27:23.840 --> 0:27:27.520
<v Speaker 1>TikTok in an era of tensions between the U S

0:27:27.560 --> 0:27:29.639
<v Speaker 1>and China or an era of war between the U

0:27:29.640 --> 0:27:35.160
<v Speaker 1>S and China can easily function as a basically national

0:27:35.240 --> 0:27:42.880
<v Speaker 1>sleeper agent for Chinese intrusion into US homes, US hearts

0:27:42.880 --> 0:27:45.200
<v Speaker 1>and minds, and as such as very dangerous and I

0:27:45.560 --> 0:27:50.119
<v Speaker 1>think any sort of deal that gets struck between the

0:27:50.240 --> 0:27:54.359
<v Speaker 1>US and Oracle and TikTok won't allay those concerns. And

0:27:54.400 --> 0:27:57.879
<v Speaker 1>so if tensions reduce between the U S and China,

0:27:57.920 --> 0:28:01.080
<v Speaker 1>I'm not worried about TikTok. If you have a Chinese

0:28:01.119 --> 0:28:04.000
<v Speaker 1>app on tens of millions of phones and the US

0:28:04.160 --> 0:28:07.080
<v Speaker 1>and China are going to war, that's a huge national

0:28:07.119 --> 0:28:10.280
<v Speaker 1>security concern and one that I don't think investors or

0:28:10.320 --> 0:28:17.439
<v Speaker 1>the administration has fully unplugged unplugged. Okay, Uh, that is

0:28:17.760 --> 0:28:21.680
<v Speaker 1>a bleak assessment indeed. UH Strategy Risk founder and CEO

0:28:21.840 --> 0:28:25.359
<v Speaker 1>Isaac stone Fish, thank you for joining us. Obviously a

0:28:25.400 --> 0:28:28.080
<v Speaker 1>major topic we're going to continue to follow. Now. In

0:28:28.119 --> 0:28:31.479
<v Speaker 1>a lighter note, Google chips not the ones in their

0:28:31.560 --> 0:28:36.199
<v Speaker 1>chromebooks or smartphones, quick takes karam More sheds light on

0:28:36.240 --> 0:28:42.000
<v Speaker 1>the company's latest marketing push. Google is getting into chips,

0:28:44.120 --> 0:28:46.959
<v Speaker 1>the crunchy kind that you can actually eat. You can

0:28:47.000 --> 0:28:50.440
<v Speaker 1>probably tell from the package that they're only available in Japan,

0:28:50.640 --> 0:28:53.280
<v Speaker 1>and here they're part of the marketing push for the

0:28:53.360 --> 0:28:57.320
<v Speaker 1>latest Pixels seven phones from the Internet Giant, designed to

0:28:57.400 --> 0:29:00.720
<v Speaker 1>remind us that Google also makes the other kind of chips,

0:29:00.880 --> 0:29:04.720
<v Speaker 1>the ones made out of silicon. The Pixel has Google's

0:29:04.720 --> 0:29:08.080
<v Speaker 1>own Tensor G two chip, the company's most advanced AHI

0:29:08.160 --> 0:29:11.840
<v Speaker 1>powered cameras, and it's literally of Internet services, from Google

0:29:11.920 --> 0:29:16.120
<v Speaker 1>Maps and Photos to YouTube and Chrome. It's hard to

0:29:16.160 --> 0:29:19.240
<v Speaker 1>imagine Apple resorting to the potato to ploy, but that's

0:29:19.280 --> 0:29:23.680
<v Speaker 1>because people already know and love the iPhone, whereas Google

0:29:23.840 --> 0:29:26.280
<v Speaker 1>is running ads in the US saying did you know

0:29:26.400 --> 0:29:29.200
<v Speaker 1>Google makes a phone? It says something about both the

0:29:29.240 --> 0:29:32.480
<v Speaker 1>ongoing failure of Google's Pixel phones to sell in big

0:29:32.600 --> 0:29:36.760
<v Speaker 1>numbers and the company's opportunity in Japan. In the US,

0:29:36.880 --> 0:29:40.080
<v Speaker 1>Apple and Samsung account for seventy four of the market,

0:29:40.560 --> 0:29:45.120
<v Speaker 1>whereas in Japan Samsung barely scraped together seven percent. That's

0:29:45.160 --> 0:29:49.160
<v Speaker 1>a missed opportunity for Google, who's Android operating systems run

0:29:49.240 --> 0:29:52.680
<v Speaker 1>Samsung concepts. There's scope to take chunks out of its

0:29:52.720 --> 0:29:55.840
<v Speaker 1>Silicon Valley rival by sealing business in a way that

0:29:56.000 --> 0:29:59.040
<v Speaker 1>Samsung has so far failed to do. And if it

0:29:59.120 --> 0:30:03.000
<v Speaker 1>takes spice see savory cheesy gimmicks to help bring attention

0:30:03.040 --> 0:30:10.080
<v Speaker 1>to the cause, so be it. So how do they taste?

0:30:08.920 --> 0:30:12.920
<v Speaker 1>M It's not bad, but there's a far taste your

0:30:12.960 --> 0:30:21.040
<v Speaker 1>meal on offer and Google wants a piece of it. Crunchy.

0:30:21.240 --> 0:30:23.920
<v Speaker 1>That was quick, takes karum more. All right, coming up

0:30:24.120 --> 0:30:27.760
<v Speaker 1>the great resignation bleeding into the crypto industry, this time

0:30:27.920 --> 0:30:32.000
<v Speaker 1>shaking up the c suite. We'll talk more about this next.

0:30:32.280 --> 0:30:49.400
<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg, turning now to today's Crypto report and

0:30:49.800 --> 0:30:53.120
<v Speaker 1>the Bloomberg Big take. Cryptos two trillion dollar wipeout has

0:30:53.160 --> 0:30:55.880
<v Speaker 1>recently cut a path through the c suite. More than

0:30:55.960 --> 0:30:59.400
<v Speaker 1>two dozen high ranking executives have vacated their posts in

0:30:59.440 --> 0:31:01.880
<v Speaker 1>the last two It's Loan Brett Harrison of f t

0:31:02.080 --> 0:31:03.920
<v Speaker 1>x U S and Jesse Powell of KRACK in just

0:31:04.000 --> 0:31:06.920
<v Speaker 1>two names in the shakeup. Bloomberg's Hannah Miller joins us

0:31:06.960 --> 0:31:11.160
<v Speaker 1>now with more Hannah, who else? Yeah, I know it's

0:31:11.360 --> 0:31:16.960
<v Speaker 1>been a deeply unsettling slew of announcements of ceo stepping down. Um,

0:31:17.240 --> 0:31:20.840
<v Speaker 1>I can think of Alex Matschinski over at Celsius, Brett

0:31:20.840 --> 0:31:24.880
<v Speaker 1>Harrison over Everrett f t x US, and Sam Tribuco

0:31:25.040 --> 0:31:28.200
<v Speaker 1>over at Alameda. So it's been a lot of big

0:31:28.320 --> 0:31:31.600
<v Speaker 1>names making big changes and stepping back from their companies.

0:31:33.920 --> 0:31:37.480
<v Speaker 1>Why is this happening now? Obviously there's a huge there's

0:31:37.480 --> 0:31:41.640
<v Speaker 1>a ton of altility in the market. Is that it? Yeah,

0:31:41.680 --> 0:31:44.840
<v Speaker 1>there are a number of factors here that are contributing

0:31:44.920 --> 0:31:48.200
<v Speaker 1>to change some of the office at major crypto companies.

0:31:48.640 --> 0:31:53.640
<v Speaker 1>So yes, Uh, the huge downturn that's affecting the market

0:31:53.680 --> 0:31:57.960
<v Speaker 1>and causing crypto winter is a major reason why CEOs

0:31:58.000 --> 0:32:01.240
<v Speaker 1>might be stepping back. Some are at companies that have

0:32:01.320 --> 0:32:04.520
<v Speaker 1>had serious, serious issues. I'm thinking Bank to see, like

0:32:04.560 --> 0:32:08.880
<v Speaker 1>with Celsius and others are just looking to kind of

0:32:08.920 --> 0:32:11.720
<v Speaker 1>save their sanity and have even talked about taking time

0:32:12.240 --> 0:32:14.680
<v Speaker 1>uh time off to see friends and family and spare

0:32:14.720 --> 0:32:18.280
<v Speaker 1>their mental health. We've also seen growing regulatory scrutiny as well.

0:32:20.120 --> 0:32:24.640
<v Speaker 1>How a venture capitalist crypto venture capitalists approaching this or

0:32:24.680 --> 0:32:29.200
<v Speaker 1>maybe are they behind a number of these departures? Yeah?

0:32:29.240 --> 0:32:31.920
<v Speaker 1>So uh you know, crypto vcs are some of the

0:32:31.960 --> 0:32:36.000
<v Speaker 1>industry's biggest cheerleaders. We have seen a drop in funding

0:32:36.120 --> 0:32:39.160
<v Speaker 1>for bockchain startups, though it was a thirty seven percent

0:32:39.200 --> 0:32:42.000
<v Speaker 1>declined to four point four billion dollars during the third quarter.

0:32:43.000 --> 0:32:44.840
<v Speaker 1>I think they're trying to see the bright side of this.

0:32:45.320 --> 0:32:49.280
<v Speaker 1>In some cases they're looking to They're saying that actually

0:32:49.320 --> 0:32:53.320
<v Speaker 1>more experienced CEOs who might be coming from traditional finance

0:32:53.440 --> 0:32:56.719
<v Speaker 1>or have actually helped companies go public might be filling

0:32:56.760 --> 0:32:59.760
<v Speaker 1>these roles. So it's a new level of maturity for

0:32:59.880 --> 0:33:03.640
<v Speaker 1>the crypto industry and kind of an optimistic take on

0:33:03.680 --> 0:33:08.680
<v Speaker 1>what's happening here. How much more pain are we expecting?

0:33:08.760 --> 0:33:11.320
<v Speaker 1>We were speaking with Caveta groupd of of Delta Blockchain

0:33:11.360 --> 0:33:13.480
<v Speaker 1>earlier this week. She thinks bitcoin is gonna fall to

0:33:13.520 --> 0:33:16.600
<v Speaker 1>twelve or thirteen thousand dollars um, you know, even further

0:33:16.640 --> 0:33:19.840
<v Speaker 1>than it's already fallen. And if that happens, I can

0:33:19.880 --> 0:33:24.840
<v Speaker 1>assume there's gonna be a lot more attrition. Yeah, I

0:33:24.920 --> 0:33:27.600
<v Speaker 1>have talked to people who have said we should expect

0:33:27.680 --> 0:33:30.479
<v Speaker 1>more layoffs down the line. That's been a huge issue

0:33:30.600 --> 0:33:35.080
<v Speaker 1>for the industry. Um we're seeing startup s buckled down

0:33:35.160 --> 0:33:37.320
<v Speaker 1>for the next eighteen to twenty four months. Speaking sure

0:33:37.320 --> 0:33:40.280
<v Speaker 1>they have enough cash on hand to last crypto winter.

0:33:40.960 --> 0:33:42.960
<v Speaker 1>I haven't talked to anyone who thinks this is going

0:33:43.000 --> 0:33:46.760
<v Speaker 1>to resolve anytime soon. Um, but yeah, people are still

0:33:47.200 --> 0:33:52.960
<v Speaker 1>invested in blockchain's long term prospects. All right, Bloomer's Hannah Miller,

0:33:53.120 --> 0:34:06.480
<v Speaker 1>thank you. Continue to follow another week over, but brace yourselves.

0:34:06.520 --> 0:34:08.799
<v Speaker 1>Next week is a big one with fifteen point three

0:34:08.840 --> 0:34:12.120
<v Speaker 1>trillion dollars of market cap reporting earnings results, lots of

0:34:12.160 --> 0:34:14.680
<v Speaker 1>that big tech to break it all down, Bloomberg's and

0:34:14.880 --> 0:34:17.400
<v Speaker 1>Ludlow so ed we're watching a lot of big names

0:34:18.120 --> 0:34:19.960
<v Speaker 1>next week walk us through it. Yeah. I feel like

0:34:19.960 --> 0:34:22.000
<v Speaker 1>we've just been dipping our toe really this week, right

0:34:22.000 --> 0:34:24.399
<v Speaker 1>with Tesla and Snap. Next week it's the big ones,

0:34:24.520 --> 0:34:27.839
<v Speaker 1>you know, the mega caps who have an important role

0:34:27.880 --> 0:34:30.600
<v Speaker 1>to play in markets because of their waiting on major indices.

0:34:30.640 --> 0:34:33.799
<v Speaker 1>But it's just such a big lens on the world.

0:34:33.920 --> 0:34:38.839
<v Speaker 1>Microsoft alphabet, the parent company Google. On October, Twitter, look,

0:34:38.880 --> 0:34:41.160
<v Speaker 1>we can expect a press release potentially. We don't know

0:34:41.239 --> 0:34:43.279
<v Speaker 1>what's going to happen with the Elon must deal, but

0:34:43.360 --> 0:34:45.879
<v Speaker 1>they're not going to do a normal earnings. You hope

0:34:45.920 --> 0:34:50.240
<v Speaker 1>for some commentary from them around the macro advertising environment

0:34:50.280 --> 0:34:52.520
<v Speaker 1>meta as well. You know, after Snap, I think we

0:34:52.719 --> 0:34:56.080
<v Speaker 1>very quickly turn our attention to Meta and wonder if

0:34:56.080 --> 0:34:58.640
<v Speaker 1>the things that hurt Snap, which weren't just to pullback

0:34:58.640 --> 0:35:01.960
<v Speaker 1>and advertising, but the iOS add tracking changes from Apple

0:35:02.239 --> 0:35:05.200
<v Speaker 1>that really hurt them. You'd imagine that's analogist for Meta

0:35:05.280 --> 0:35:07.560
<v Speaker 1>as well. And then we finished strong, and we finished

0:35:07.560 --> 0:35:10.279
<v Speaker 1>strong October twenty seven with Amazon and Apple. You know

0:35:10.360 --> 0:35:15.280
<v Speaker 1>those are our favorites, Yeah, favorites. Indeed. You know, obviously

0:35:15.320 --> 0:35:18.120
<v Speaker 1>we were talking earlier about the big ad slowdown. Um,

0:35:18.160 --> 0:35:22.040
<v Speaker 1>let's talk about that as it pertains to Google Meta.

0:35:22.120 --> 0:35:25.360
<v Speaker 1>Our guest earlier seemed to be pretty confident in Google

0:35:25.360 --> 0:35:29.680
<v Speaker 1>and metas results, much more concerned about names like Twitter, Pinterest,

0:35:29.719 --> 0:35:32.480
<v Speaker 1>and Snap as we saw what are you looking for?

0:35:32.840 --> 0:35:35.239
<v Speaker 1>I think what's interesting in Google's case, And he talked

0:35:35.239 --> 0:35:37.920
<v Speaker 1>about this right in terms of searches that we learned

0:35:38.040 --> 0:35:40.080
<v Speaker 1>earlier in the year, as we kind of came out

0:35:40.080 --> 0:35:44.840
<v Speaker 1>of the pandemic. Um even in the changing economy, Google

0:35:44.920 --> 0:35:49.360
<v Speaker 1>still attracts eyeballs because consumers, even if nets they're spending less,

0:35:49.400 --> 0:35:52.640
<v Speaker 1>they change their spending habits, they start searching for experiences.

0:35:52.719 --> 0:35:55.279
<v Speaker 1>Travel plays a big part in that. Even so, they're

0:35:55.280 --> 0:35:58.520
<v Speaker 1>not immune right to to what we're seeing. The stronger

0:35:58.600 --> 0:36:00.640
<v Speaker 1>dollar is also really in resting. You know, you and

0:36:00.640 --> 0:36:02.560
<v Speaker 1>I have talked about that less over the last couple

0:36:02.640 --> 0:36:04.719
<v Speaker 1>of years. But if you think about the names we're

0:36:04.719 --> 0:36:08.080
<v Speaker 1>talking about, these are big global technology companies, and in fact,

0:36:08.280 --> 0:36:10.279
<v Speaker 1>when you consider the S and P five hundred, it

0:36:10.360 --> 0:36:14.040
<v Speaker 1>is the technology sector and the communications sectors most exposed.

0:36:14.040 --> 0:36:16.680
<v Speaker 1>Why they do business all around the world. They are

0:36:16.920 --> 0:36:19.480
<v Speaker 1>bringing in international revenues that are are going to get

0:36:19.560 --> 0:36:21.799
<v Speaker 1>hit by that stronger dollars. So it's certainly something will

0:36:21.800 --> 0:36:26.160
<v Speaker 1>play attention to. And I know and you are, you know,

0:36:26.440 --> 0:36:29.320
<v Speaker 1>you're an eternal optimist. Give us some give us some hope.

0:36:29.320 --> 0:36:31.480
<v Speaker 1>What are the what are the signs of light the

0:36:31.560 --> 0:36:35.560
<v Speaker 1>silver linings. Yeah, there are some people out there who

0:36:35.640 --> 0:36:37.919
<v Speaker 1>think the end of the world is inevitable. Not naming

0:36:37.920 --> 0:36:41.080
<v Speaker 1>any names, but there is a view in the market

0:36:41.360 --> 0:36:44.000
<v Speaker 1>that the tech sector could hold up better in this

0:36:44.080 --> 0:36:47.080
<v Speaker 1>third quarter. Right, you think about these names, they're global

0:36:47.160 --> 0:36:50.839
<v Speaker 1>players within trench market positions, strong balance sheets, they can

0:36:50.880 --> 0:36:54.440
<v Speaker 1>weather the storm. Apple, Amazon, they are able to be

0:36:54.560 --> 0:36:57.719
<v Speaker 1>nimble because of their size. Whether they pull that off

0:36:57.840 --> 0:36:59.960
<v Speaker 1>or not, it's yet to be seen. But City Green,

0:37:00.080 --> 0:37:03.560
<v Speaker 1>for example, overweight global technology right now. They're optimistic that

0:37:03.680 --> 0:37:06.080
<v Speaker 1>in the long run, some parts of tech can weather

0:37:06.120 --> 0:37:09.920
<v Speaker 1>the storm. So we'll see if that happens. All right,

0:37:10.200 --> 0:37:13.160
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg's ad Ludlow, thanks so much. I know you'll be

0:37:13.160 --> 0:37:17.239
<v Speaker 1>across it all next week, and that doesn't For this

0:37:17.440 --> 0:37:20.880
<v Speaker 1>edition of Bloomberg Technology. On Monday, we're talking about Meta's

0:37:21.200 --> 0:37:25.160
<v Speaker 1>new advertising strategy with Brad ericson of RBC Capital Markets.

0:37:25.200 --> 0:37:27.360
<v Speaker 1>Of course, we'll dive into the broader trends we're seeing

0:37:27.880 --> 0:37:32.040
<v Speaker 1>in the social media add turmoil as well, given what

0:37:32.080 --> 0:37:34.560
<v Speaker 1>we were talking about when it comes to Snap, Twitter,

0:37:35.120 --> 0:37:38.399
<v Speaker 1>Google and more. And don't forget to check out our

0:37:38.400 --> 0:37:41.320
<v Speaker 1>podcast wherever you get your podcast. I'm Emily Changing in

0:37:41.360 --> 0:37:45.040
<v Speaker 1>San Francisco. Have a wonderful weekend everyone, This is Bloomberg