WEBVTT - Second Avenue Nick Hanauer: Masters in Business (Audio)

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<v Speaker 1>This is Master's in Business with Barry Ridholts on Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 1>Radio this week. My guest to somebody you probably never

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<v Speaker 1>heard of, but yet when you hear what he's accomplished

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<v Speaker 1>and what he's done, he's he's been a fascinating uh character,

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<v Speaker 1>a fascinating player behind the scenes. His name is Nick Hanauer.

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<v Speaker 1>I don't want to spoil anything, but let me at

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<v Speaker 1>least give you enough background about him so you'll you'll

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<v Speaker 1>want to hear the whole thing. Uh. He was the

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<v Speaker 1>first outside investor into Amazon outside of Jeff Bezos's immediate family,

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<v Speaker 1>the first non family investor. Uh. That worked out pretty

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<v Speaker 1>well for him. Became interested in the uh Internet in

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<v Speaker 1>the early nine nineties and and was right there. Actually,

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<v Speaker 1>he's the guy who convinced Bezos to open up Amazon

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<v Speaker 1>in Seattle as opposed to New York or or elsewhere. Uh.

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<v Speaker 1>He's done a number of other fascinating things. He's running

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<v Speaker 1>family business that's the largest pillow and linen business in

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<v Speaker 1>the United States. UM. He runs a venture capital shop.

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<v Speaker 1>He also sold one of his companies, a quantive, to

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<v Speaker 1>Microsoft for six point four billion dollars in cash. That

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<v Speaker 1>was a pretty uh, pretty lucrative transaction. Really interesting guy,

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<v Speaker 1>not the sort of stuff that that people um no

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<v Speaker 1>uh know him by his name or know him by

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<v Speaker 1>these accomplishments A little bit behind the scenes. However, a

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<v Speaker 1>couple of years ago, he became interested in income inequality

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<v Speaker 1>and he wrote an article for Politico that just went

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<v Speaker 1>completely viral and it was called to my fellow fellows, zillionaires,

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<v Speaker 1>Beware the pitchforks are coming for US plutocrats, and it

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<v Speaker 1>went completely viral. He ended up doing a TED video

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<v Speaker 1>on this, which was not broadcast and not created this

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<v Speaker 1>giant backlash, and ultimately he did a second video for

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<v Speaker 1>Ted that that was broadcast and that went viral. UM.

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<v Speaker 1>I think you'll find Nick to be a really insightful,

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<v Speaker 1>interesting guy who sees the world from a very specific,

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<v Speaker 1>uh perspective, and it's really quite um, quite interesting, quite fascinating.

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<v Speaker 1>I think you'll enjoy our conversation without any further ado,

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<v Speaker 1>my conversation with Nick Hannaur. This is Masters in Business

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<v Speaker 1>with Barry Ridholts on Bloomberg Radio. My special guest today

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<v Speaker 1>is Nick Hannaur. Am I pronouncing that right? I was, yeah, perfect?

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<v Speaker 1>And Nick is a very interesting guy. Let me give

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<v Speaker 1>you the short version of his curriculum Vita University of

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<v Speaker 1>Washington with the philosophy degree. Took over the family owned business,

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<v Speaker 1>Pacific Coast Feather Company as chairman and CEO. This is

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<v Speaker 1>a business that's been around for a hundred plus years, right, Well,

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<v Speaker 1>my family has been in the business since four My

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<v Speaker 1>my great my grandfather and my great uncle bought Pacific

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<v Speaker 1>Coast out of bankruptcy in nineteen forty after moving from

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<v Speaker 1>Germany to the United States. And and you're probably best

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<v Speaker 1>known for a couple of things. You were the first

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<v Speaker 1>non family investor in Amazon dot com. And you founded

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<v Speaker 1>a company that was eventually called a Quantive that was

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<v Speaker 1>eventually sold to Microsoft for six point four billion dollars. Correct.

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<v Speaker 1>We'll speak about both of those as well as being

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<v Speaker 1>um a venture capitalist in Seattle at Second Avenue Partners. Correct.

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<v Speaker 1>So let's talk a little bit about that diverse background.

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<v Speaker 1>So when people ask you, uh, hey, Nick, what do

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<v Speaker 1>you do for a living, how do you answer that? Well,

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, you know, today I devote myself to uh,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, a lot of my time is devoted to

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<v Speaker 1>civic issues, policy, politics, philanthropy and so on and so forth.

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<v Speaker 1>But in my work life. I'm a serial entrepreneur and

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<v Speaker 1>venture capitalist. And you know, it was fortunate enough to

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<v Speaker 1>grow up in a family business, the family pillow business

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<v Speaker 1>Pacific Coast, and my uh my dad was a great mentor,

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<v Speaker 1>and my dad hired another guy to run the company,

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<v Speaker 1>frankly named Roy Clothier, who was was an incredible mentor

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<v Speaker 1>to me and my brother, and so I had that

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<v Speaker 1>great experience. But but you know, my folks were very supportive,

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<v Speaker 1>and so I started starting other companies in my early twenties,

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<v Speaker 1>um both outside the business and and also within the business.

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<v Speaker 1>We started diversifying and I helped to run a retail

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<v Speaker 1>business that we ended up buying, and a bunch of

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<v Speaker 1>other things, and so you know, at a very you know,

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<v Speaker 1>I started working for this family business when I was

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<v Speaker 1>seven years old. I ran every machine and the factory.

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<v Speaker 1>I worked all through junior high school, high school, college,

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<v Speaker 1>and so I just had this foundation that was very,

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<v Speaker 1>very broad. So you became CEO of the family business

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<v Speaker 1>in the early two thousands. Yeah, I was never CEO

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<v Speaker 1>of the family business. I became co chairman, co chairman

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<v Speaker 1>with uh my brother who sadly passed away in a

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<v Speaker 1>car wrect a long time ago, and um, and I

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<v Speaker 1>transitioned out of the business when the Internet stuff came around.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm co chairman of the board today. So let's let's

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<v Speaker 1>talk about how the business led you to sort of

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<v Speaker 1>discover the Internet. Yeah, so that's a that's actually a

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<v Speaker 1>great question. So, um, so you wouldn't think that running

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<v Speaker 1>sales and marketing for pillow company would lead you to

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<v Speaker 1>the Internet, but in a very strange way, it did, because, Uh,

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<v Speaker 1>when I led sales and marketing for the for the company,

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<v Speaker 1>what I did is I broke our customers up into

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<v Speaker 1>into groups, into groups of companies that had the same strategy, uh,

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<v Speaker 1>and so such as Hoste Yeah, exactly precisely. So we

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<v Speaker 1>sold the wholesale club's, mass merchandiser's depart in stores, uh,

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<v Speaker 1>specialty stores, mail order catalogs, so on and so forth.

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<v Speaker 1>And what I did is I reasoned that every single

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<v Speaker 1>one of those companies basically deployed a different kind of

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<v Speaker 1>strategy to connect themselves profitably with customers. And if I

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<v Speaker 1>customized our approach by channel, we could deliver more profit

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<v Speaker 1>for those companies than our competitors could. And so we

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<v Speaker 1>stopped really selling pillows and started selling profit. And what

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<v Speaker 1>that process did is it taught me more about the

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<v Speaker 1>dynamics of retail than you could ever believe. And the

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<v Speaker 1>beautiful thing about pillows is that they're little white squares.

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<v Speaker 1>So what's happening in the retail channel really really matters.

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<v Speaker 1>So there was a point at which I probably knew

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<v Speaker 1>more about the competitive dynamics of retail by channel than

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<v Speaker 1>virtually anyone in the country. I knew how many dollars

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<v Speaker 1>per square foot every one of those channels generated, and

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<v Speaker 1>and and every every detail of how it worked. And

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<v Speaker 1>so when the Internet came along in the very early nineties,

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<v Speaker 1>I could do strategic arithmetic that almost nobody else could do,

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<v Speaker 1>because I could compare what the Internet would become to

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<v Speaker 1>what department stores and mass merchandisers and wholesale clubs we're doing.

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<v Speaker 1>And it was unbelievably obvious that the Internet was going

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<v Speaker 1>to be an enormously powerful channel of distribution for goods

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<v Speaker 1>and services and and you know, and so I started

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<v Speaker 1>looking around for a way to exploit that, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>that that awareness, and as luck would have it, uh,

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<v Speaker 1>a friend of mine had the same insight, and his

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<v Speaker 1>name was Jeff Bezos. Tell me a little bit about

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<v Speaker 1>Second Avenue Partners. What do you do with that entity? Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>so Second Avenue Partners is an early stage. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>we're a venture capital business. Although although it's a slightly

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<v Speaker 1>different from the conventional model because my partners Pete Higgins

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<v Speaker 1>and Mike Slaide and I only invest our own money.

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<v Speaker 1>We didn't raise a fund limited partners investor. Know, that

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<v Speaker 1>gives you an ability to really think very long term, right,

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<v Speaker 1>and to do whatever we want. And what we didn't

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<v Speaker 1>want to do is go to work for the man,

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<v Speaker 1>which is where exactly we didn't want to go to

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<v Speaker 1>work for the man, which is what you're doing if

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<v Speaker 1>you're raising a pot of money from insurance companies and UH,

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<v Speaker 1>pension funds and stuff like that. Uh. And by by

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<v Speaker 1>only deploying our own capital, gives us the freedom to

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<v Speaker 1>be frankly more experimental, so longer term horizon. So how

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<v Speaker 1>does that manifest itself with your investments? What sort of

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<v Speaker 1>things do you in the last minute we have in

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<v Speaker 1>the segment, what sort of things are you putting your

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<v Speaker 1>money into? You know, a broad variety of things and

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<v Speaker 1>and and you know, the beauty of the model is

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<v Speaker 1>that we don't have to be we We didn't we

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<v Speaker 1>didn't have to persuade somebody that we were experts in

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<v Speaker 1>something and focus our attention on that. What we can

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<v Speaker 1>do is simply look for really, really interesting opportunities. So

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<v Speaker 1>we've we've made investments in in U a V technology,

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<v Speaker 1>unmanned aerial vehicles very successfully, and internet software and medical

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<v Speaker 1>services and and you know, and all of it somehow

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<v Speaker 1>magically works. I'm Barry Ridhults. You're listening to Masters in

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<v Speaker 1>Business on Bloomberg Radio. My special guest today is Nick Hanauer.

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<v Speaker 1>He is a venture capitalist and one of the earliest

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<v Speaker 1>investors in Amazon dot Com. Let's let's talk just for

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<v Speaker 1>a moment about Second Avenue Partners. So you own such

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<v Speaker 1>an strange and different mix of companies, some of which

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<v Speaker 1>I assumed through Second Avenue Partners, others directly Seattle Bank, Marshacks,

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<v Speaker 1>news Vine, q Alliance. It seems like these are wholly unrelated. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>they are unrelated. And uh, you know, I can't prove

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<v Speaker 1>beyond a shadow of a doubt that it is wise

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<v Speaker 1>to invest in a broad array of uh companies and industries.

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<v Speaker 1>It certainly seems interesting, it's super interesting to do um

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<v Speaker 1>and you know, My thinking about investing UH is fairly simple,

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<v Speaker 1>and what I try to follow is what I call

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<v Speaker 1>Nick's rule of transformational value, and that is that you know,

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<v Speaker 1>my view is that all transactions, all consumers seek to

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<v Speaker 1>maximize the value of the products that they buy, and

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<v Speaker 1>value really is best understood as a ratio of the

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<v Speaker 1>benefits the product delivers, divided by the cost, and things

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<v Speaker 1>that have high value have a high ratio of benefits

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<v Speaker 1>to cost versus the alternatives. And it's been my experience

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<v Speaker 1>that in every case where you find a breakout investment,

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<v Speaker 1>a company that really builds an extraordinary franchise, they start

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<v Speaker 1>with what I call transformational value, which is the ratio

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<v Speaker 1>of the benefits they deliver the consumer to the cost

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<v Speaker 1>is someplace between ten and a hundred times higher than

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<v Speaker 1>the alternative, and one to two orders of magnitude higher.

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<v Speaker 1>So let me give you an example, So Amazon dot com.

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<v Speaker 1>So when Amazon dot Com came along, the best way

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<v Speaker 1>to buy a book in the world was to go

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<v Speaker 1>to a superstore where perhaps us there were fifty or

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<v Speaker 1>seventy five or a hundred thousand titles, and you would

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<v Speaker 1>have to get in your car, you have to drive

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<v Speaker 1>to that store you have to paw through that, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>find the right book. And so Amazon dot Amazon dot

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<v Speaker 1>com comes along and the day we open, we we

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<v Speaker 1>offered I'm going to get this slightly wrong, but over

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<v Speaker 1>a million titles, so ten times the selection that you

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<v Speaker 1>could find at the biggest superstore if you lived in

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<v Speaker 1>a big city. We sold them for I think less

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<v Speaker 1>than the suggested price, so almost half of what you

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<v Speaker 1>would have to pay at a normal retail store. And

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<v Speaker 1>you don't have to drive there, you don't have to

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<v Speaker 1>you don't have to use your time, take your car

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<v Speaker 1>park and go do it. And so it was very

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<v Speaker 1>clear that we were offering consumers who were looking for

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<v Speaker 1>books and you know, an immense amount more value than

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<v Speaker 1>they could get using the usual channels. And as a consequence,

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<v Speaker 1>from the first day onward, sales exceeded our wildest expectations.

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<v Speaker 1>That people really really appreciated the value we delivered to

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<v Speaker 1>them and they preferred to buy books in that way,

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<v Speaker 1>and the rest is history. So you had mentioned earlier

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<v Speaker 1>that when you were involved with the family business, it

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<v Speaker 1>led you to a start exploring what was available in

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<v Speaker 1>terms of the Internet and early nineties. You tell a

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<v Speaker 1>story about the two jeffs and how ultimately you found

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<v Speaker 1>Amazon dot Com. What what is the story of this?

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<v Speaker 1>So so I talk a lot about how I became

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<v Speaker 1>successful and stuff like that, and you know, I feel

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<v Speaker 1>very strongly that the most you know, it's been my experience,

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<v Speaker 1>certainly my case and in the case of almost everyone

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<v Speaker 1>I've ever met, that the extraordinary success is usually a

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<v Speaker 1>confluence of extraordinary skill and extraordinary luck. It's both, it's both,

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<v Speaker 1>And there are no extraordinarily rich people who weren't also

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<v Speaker 1>extraordinarily lucky. For every extraordinarily rich, talented person, there's another

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<v Speaker 1>equally talented person that just didn't have the brakes. And

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<v Speaker 1>my favorite story to prove that point about myself is

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<v Speaker 1>that I had this very early interest in the Internet,

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<v Speaker 1>and I had two incredibly talented friends who simultaneously started

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<v Speaker 1>internet retail businesses. One was Jeff Bezos, who started Amazon

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<v Speaker 1>dot Com focused on books, and another was an equally

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<v Speaker 1>talented guy named Jeff Tobber, who was a divisional merchandise

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<v Speaker 1>manager at Bloomingdale's, which at that time was the number

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<v Speaker 1>one retailer in the country, who started in online um

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<v Speaker 1>uh superstore. Yeah, it was. It was an online department

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<v Speaker 1>store and to make a very long story, short books

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<v Speaker 1>are a pure commodity, and you know, a copy of

0:13:42.920 --> 0:13:45.559
<v Speaker 1>Warren Pieces, a copy of Warren Peace, you know exactly

0:13:45.559 --> 0:13:47.760
<v Speaker 1>what you're gonna get. And in the early days of

0:13:47.800 --> 0:13:51.600
<v Speaker 1>the internet, Uh, people didn't trust what they'd get. So

0:13:51.679 --> 0:13:54.760
<v Speaker 1>it was much easier to get people to purchase books

0:13:54.880 --> 0:13:57.120
<v Speaker 1>than it was a suit or a pair of shoes

0:13:57.200 --> 0:13:59.920
<v Speaker 1>or something like that. Is that the genius of Bezos

0:14:00.080 --> 0:14:03.480
<v Speaker 1>is that he came across something that everybody knew, everybody

0:14:03.559 --> 0:14:08.040
<v Speaker 1>was familiar, and but there was a long tail effect

0:14:08.040 --> 0:14:10.199
<v Speaker 1>that hey, we could offer you two million of these,

0:14:10.559 --> 0:14:13.080
<v Speaker 1>the local stores got twenty thousand. Come shop at us.

0:14:13.120 --> 0:14:15.800
<v Speaker 1>Selection mattered, but it was a pure commodity. It's a

0:14:15.920 --> 0:14:21.000
<v Speaker 1>very unusual, very unusual combination. I don't think people really

0:14:21.080 --> 0:14:25.120
<v Speaker 1>perceived Amazon that way in the early days, because I

0:14:25.200 --> 0:14:29.840
<v Speaker 1>remember was either my college roommate, I'm already out of

0:14:29.880 --> 0:14:33.760
<v Speaker 1>school for fifteen years. My college roommate for my birthday

0:14:33.800 --> 0:14:36.880
<v Speaker 1>gave me an Amazon gift certificate. And so you start

0:14:36.920 --> 0:14:39.760
<v Speaker 1>playing around on the site and there are views not

0:14:39.840 --> 0:14:43.400
<v Speaker 1>only from professionals but from other readers, and there's a

0:14:43.520 --> 0:14:47.320
<v Speaker 1>huge juge tale of product. Plus it was music and

0:14:47.440 --> 0:14:49.720
<v Speaker 1>video and other stuff. And but we did that quite

0:14:49.760 --> 0:14:52.880
<v Speaker 1>quickly afterwards, very justly. I'll never forget. We had this,

0:14:53.280 --> 0:14:55.840
<v Speaker 1>remember a conversation in Jeff's office and way back up

0:14:55.880 --> 0:14:57.720
<v Speaker 1>a sex. So you were on the board though, weren't

0:14:57.720 --> 0:14:59.760
<v Speaker 1>you on the board of advisors? Yeah? So I was

0:14:59.800 --> 0:15:02.000
<v Speaker 1>his first investor, you know, I mean, you know, when

0:15:02.040 --> 0:15:04.920
<v Speaker 1>Jeff decided to start Amazon, he you know, as luck

0:15:04.960 --> 0:15:06.760
<v Speaker 1>would have he was living in New York City and

0:15:06.800 --> 0:15:11.240
<v Speaker 1>he were work working at d Shaw. And I know

0:15:11.360 --> 0:15:13.200
<v Speaker 1>Jeff because he was dating a very very close friend

0:15:13.240 --> 0:15:15.640
<v Speaker 1>of mine named and Dinning, who was another vice president

0:15:15.680 --> 0:15:20.120
<v Speaker 1>at d Shaw. And you know, he, you know, among

0:15:20.160 --> 0:15:22.680
<v Speaker 1>other reasons, I suppose because I begged him to ended

0:15:22.760 --> 0:15:24.720
<v Speaker 1>up starting Amazon in Seattle, and there was some very

0:15:24.720 --> 0:15:26.640
<v Speaker 1>good reasons to do it, because it was close to

0:15:26.880 --> 0:15:29.280
<v Speaker 1>Microsoft where there were lots of developer talent, and it

0:15:29.360 --> 0:15:33.360
<v Speaker 1>was close to a large book distribution center which was

0:15:33.400 --> 0:15:36.280
<v Speaker 1>in Rosberg, Oregon at the time. And you know, so

0:15:36.320 --> 0:15:37.960
<v Speaker 1>he ended up sending his stuff from New York to

0:15:38.000 --> 0:15:39.920
<v Speaker 1>my house and off we went. And so I was

0:15:40.000 --> 0:15:41.840
<v Speaker 1>not actually formally on the board. I was a board

0:15:41.840 --> 0:15:44.440
<v Speaker 1>advisor for the first six or seven years of the

0:15:44.520 --> 0:15:47.080
<v Speaker 1>of the company's exists until two thousand or something like that.

0:15:47.280 --> 0:15:49.680
<v Speaker 1>So so yeah, we you know, in the early days,

0:15:50.360 --> 0:15:52.360
<v Speaker 1>you know, as my friend Eric Dillon said, we Jeff

0:15:52.400 --> 0:15:54.400
<v Speaker 1>would call us to decide what kind of pop to

0:15:54.400 --> 0:15:58.080
<v Speaker 1>put in the the pop machine. But you know, after

0:15:58.280 --> 0:16:01.240
<v Speaker 1>after a while, Jeff is a brilliant guy, got his

0:16:01.640 --> 0:16:03.800
<v Speaker 1>management legs under him, and he doesn't need a lot

0:16:03.800 --> 0:16:07.800
<v Speaker 1>of help today. But but I want to emphasize something

0:16:07.800 --> 0:16:12.600
<v Speaker 1>about Amazon dot com, the Amazon dot COM's success that

0:16:12.840 --> 0:16:17.520
<v Speaker 1>almost nobody understands. That that that that that contributed more

0:16:17.560 --> 0:16:20.280
<v Speaker 1>than anything to it, and it is something called the

0:16:20.320 --> 0:16:23.640
<v Speaker 1>negative cash conversion cycle. And what that means is that

0:16:23.800 --> 0:16:30.280
<v Speaker 1>because our terms with our with our suppliers the book,

0:16:30.400 --> 0:16:34.720
<v Speaker 1>the book resellers was sixty to ninety days, and because

0:16:34.720 --> 0:16:37.840
<v Speaker 1>they could ship to us within a day, we could

0:16:37.880 --> 0:16:43.520
<v Speaker 1>collect cash from our customers sixty to ninety days before

0:16:43.680 --> 0:16:46.400
<v Speaker 1>we had to pay our suppliers. And what that means

0:16:46.520 --> 0:16:49.000
<v Speaker 1>is the bigger you get, the more cash flow you have.

0:16:49.160 --> 0:16:51.720
<v Speaker 1>I'm Barry Retults. You're listening to Masters in Business on

0:16:51.760 --> 0:16:55.440
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Radio. My special guest today is Nick Hanauer, a

0:16:55.560 --> 0:16:59.720
<v Speaker 1>venture capitalist, early investor in Amazon and let's talk about

0:17:00.000 --> 0:17:03.600
<v Speaker 1>one of your big successes, the company you had founded

0:17:03.680 --> 0:17:06.560
<v Speaker 1>called Avenue A Media. Where did the idea for that

0:17:06.600 --> 0:17:09.040
<v Speaker 1>come from? Yeah, so Avenue a Media morphed into this

0:17:09.080 --> 0:17:12.720
<v Speaker 1>company a quantive uh and uh, you know we had

0:17:12.760 --> 0:17:15.119
<v Speaker 1>this again. This goes back to the very early days

0:17:15.119 --> 0:17:19.679
<v Speaker 1>of the Internet. We had at the Pillow Company, Pacific Coast.

0:17:19.720 --> 0:17:22.560
<v Speaker 1>We had this idea that we would have a website,

0:17:23.160 --> 0:17:27.440
<v Speaker 1>and um, we had the idea that we would build

0:17:27.560 --> 0:17:30.800
<v Speaker 1>essentially what what we now know as a click network

0:17:30.840 --> 0:17:34.399
<v Speaker 1>to drive traffic to the website. Define define click network.

0:17:34.440 --> 0:17:38.040
<v Speaker 1>But basically, we we gave people an incentive to send

0:17:38.160 --> 0:17:42.040
<v Speaker 1>traffic to us from their website by giving them a

0:17:42.080 --> 0:17:46.760
<v Speaker 1>commission or an affiliate affiliate network. Basically, and sort of

0:17:46.800 --> 0:17:50.240
<v Speaker 1>by accident, we built an affiliate network which at one

0:17:50.440 --> 0:17:54.639
<v Speaker 1>point made my company's stupid website one of the highest

0:17:54.680 --> 0:17:58.760
<v Speaker 1>trafficked sites on the Internet, the pillow the Pillow Company

0:17:58.800 --> 0:18:02.199
<v Speaker 1>website is in the early days, we realized that we

0:18:02.240 --> 0:18:04.200
<v Speaker 1>either had to shut this thing down or go turn

0:18:04.280 --> 0:18:06.280
<v Speaker 1>it into a business, and we decided to turn it

0:18:06.280 --> 0:18:08.560
<v Speaker 1>into a business, and so we spun it out of

0:18:08.560 --> 0:18:12.000
<v Speaker 1>the Pillow Company. Basically, the early idea was to expand

0:18:12.080 --> 0:18:14.719
<v Speaker 1>this into a into a a click network, and that

0:18:14.880 --> 0:18:18.080
<v Speaker 1>didn't really work. And again, to make an incredibly long

0:18:18.119 --> 0:18:23.840
<v Speaker 1>story short, we ended up being essentially an internet advertising agency.

0:18:23.880 --> 0:18:25.680
<v Speaker 1>What we did is we built one of the early

0:18:25.720 --> 0:18:29.240
<v Speaker 1>web servers, and what we enabled our customers to do

0:18:29.960 --> 0:18:33.239
<v Speaker 1>was to place as with a variety of publishers and

0:18:33.280 --> 0:18:36.280
<v Speaker 1>then measure the relative effectiveness of those averages of that

0:18:36.320 --> 0:18:41.520
<v Speaker 1>advertising quatives exactly, and and and and drive better results

0:18:41.560 --> 0:18:45.159
<v Speaker 1>as a consequence. And that and that company became, you know,

0:18:45.520 --> 0:18:47.760
<v Speaker 1>very successful. It was a big company when we finally

0:18:47.760 --> 0:18:50.919
<v Speaker 1>sold it, generating a huge amount of cash flow. And

0:18:51.000 --> 0:18:54.119
<v Speaker 1>what sort of revenues was doing. I think it was

0:18:54.240 --> 0:18:56.640
<v Speaker 1>approaching I mean, we're growing it like fifty percent a year,

0:18:56.680 --> 0:18:58.560
<v Speaker 1>but I think it was approaching three quarters of a

0:18:58.560 --> 0:19:01.639
<v Speaker 1>billion dollars in the real revenue and a hundred and

0:19:01.680 --> 0:19:05.040
<v Speaker 1>fifty million in cash flow. Yeah. So Microsoft comes along

0:19:05.400 --> 0:19:09.160
<v Speaker 1>and said, here's six point four billion in cash What

0:19:09.200 --> 0:19:12.239
<v Speaker 1>was that negotiation? Like? That was a crazy negotiation. So

0:19:12.280 --> 0:19:15.320
<v Speaker 1>what happened was that Google bought double Click. That was

0:19:15.359 --> 0:19:19.040
<v Speaker 1>a huge, huge acquisition. So Google bought double Click for

0:19:19.160 --> 0:19:21.720
<v Speaker 1>three billion dollars and we were twice as big as

0:19:21.920 --> 0:19:25.200
<v Speaker 1>as as terms of a double click. Yeah, in terms

0:19:25.200 --> 0:19:28.240
<v Speaker 1>of revenues, yea A Quanti was doing double the revenue

0:19:28.440 --> 0:19:32.280
<v Speaker 1>and volume. We felt double click was much better known

0:19:32.320 --> 0:19:36.439
<v Speaker 1>if it was they started before us, UM. But we

0:19:36.520 --> 0:19:38.520
<v Speaker 1>had an agency business and we had a bunch of

0:19:38.520 --> 0:19:40.720
<v Speaker 1>other businesses going and we were, you know, we felt

0:19:40.720 --> 0:19:43.639
<v Speaker 1>like we were worth about twice as much UM but

0:19:43.760 --> 0:19:45.679
<v Speaker 1>we and we had been doing a lot of strategic

0:19:45.720 --> 0:19:47.960
<v Speaker 1>work with Microsoft in their in their in their ad

0:19:47.960 --> 0:19:52.800
<v Speaker 1>business all along. But and when Google bought double Click,

0:19:52.960 --> 0:19:55.880
<v Speaker 1>that started to make it made it made Microsoft nervous,

0:19:55.880 --> 0:19:58.480
<v Speaker 1>It made Yahoo nervous, and it made a bunch of

0:19:58.480 --> 0:20:02.720
<v Speaker 1>the big agency holding company nervous. And within weeks we

0:20:02.720 --> 0:20:06.679
<v Speaker 1>were in a process. Uh. And and did it come

0:20:06.720 --> 0:20:12.240
<v Speaker 1>about from Microsoft directly or did you approach them? I

0:20:12.560 --> 0:20:15.560
<v Speaker 1>you know, you know, did your wife ask you out

0:20:15.600 --> 0:20:21.919
<v Speaker 1>the first time or did you ask her? Well? I

0:20:21.920 --> 0:20:24.240
<v Speaker 1>think it was slightly more nuanced and complicated in the

0:20:24.280 --> 0:20:27.080
<v Speaker 1>case of a quantum in Microsoft. I can't remember exactly

0:20:27.119 --> 0:20:29.560
<v Speaker 1>who did what first, but I think somebody asked a

0:20:29.640 --> 0:20:32.240
<v Speaker 1>leading question and somebody else followed up with a leading answer,

0:20:32.240 --> 0:20:33.800
<v Speaker 1>and before you knew it, we're in a process so

0:20:33.840 --> 0:20:37.439
<v Speaker 1>this was pretty quick. This was well, I mean, you know,

0:20:37.480 --> 0:20:40.679
<v Speaker 1>I think within sixty or ninety days or I can't remember,

0:20:40.720 --> 0:20:43.680
<v Speaker 1>bere I should remember. But not that long after Double

0:20:43.720 --> 0:20:46.560
<v Speaker 1>Click was purchased. We were in a process and before

0:20:46.600 --> 0:20:50.160
<v Speaker 1>you knew it, there were a lot of suitors because yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah,

0:20:50.160 --> 0:20:51.920
<v Speaker 1>a lot of people were very very interested, which is

0:20:52.040 --> 0:20:54.480
<v Speaker 1>anyone who had a network, anyone who had an interaction

0:20:54.520 --> 0:20:57.800
<v Speaker 1>with a lot of advertisers. She sat in between everybody

0:20:57.800 --> 0:21:00.000
<v Speaker 1>and the advertisers, right, So it was a very stratetigue

0:21:00.320 --> 0:21:03.000
<v Speaker 1>position to be in. And uh, and the company was

0:21:03.320 --> 0:21:06.000
<v Speaker 1>generating a huge amount of cash and growing like a weed,

0:21:06.040 --> 0:21:09.000
<v Speaker 1>and so it was very attractive business and a very

0:21:09.000 --> 0:21:13.920
<v Speaker 1>attractive strategic acquisition and uh there you know, and uh,

0:21:13.960 --> 0:21:15.600
<v Speaker 1>you know it ended up as a you know, a

0:21:15.640 --> 0:21:22.919
<v Speaker 1>pretty crazy bidding more uh and yeah exactly, And you know,

0:21:23.000 --> 0:21:25.760
<v Speaker 1>to be honest, a lot of the Microsoft people are

0:21:25.760 --> 0:21:28.119
<v Speaker 1>our friends, right, you know, I just felt like a

0:21:28.160 --> 0:21:33.199
<v Speaker 1>good thing. Yeah, we we had. It was six point exactly. No, no, no, no,

0:21:33.280 --> 0:21:35.520
<v Speaker 1>it was good. Yeah, it was good. Yeah. Yeah. So

0:21:35.560 --> 0:21:38.160
<v Speaker 1>how did how did that? What was that transaction? Like?

0:21:38.240 --> 0:21:41.080
<v Speaker 1>When the papers are signed, where do you go for

0:21:41.119 --> 0:21:44.280
<v Speaker 1>dinner that night. What the heck is that? Like? That

0:21:44.320 --> 0:21:47.120
<v Speaker 1>has to be a crazy you just sold you did

0:21:47.160 --> 0:21:50.359
<v Speaker 1>you say I'm going to Disneyland? How does you you

0:21:50.440 --> 0:21:54.320
<v Speaker 1>respond to a six billion dollar sale for what essentially

0:21:54.800 --> 0:21:57.560
<v Speaker 1>was a spin out of a click network from a

0:21:57.600 --> 0:22:00.440
<v Speaker 1>pillow company. Yeah, you know, it was a great moment.

0:22:00.520 --> 0:22:05.120
<v Speaker 1>I won't lie u uh. And you know, the thing

0:22:05.160 --> 0:22:08.480
<v Speaker 1>about that company was that we built, you know, it

0:22:08.520 --> 0:22:11.879
<v Speaker 1>was it was really the highlight of my business career,

0:22:11.920 --> 0:22:15.520
<v Speaker 1>mostly because the team that we built. Uh, it was

0:22:15.600 --> 0:22:17.800
<v Speaker 1>such a great team and people liked each other and

0:22:17.840 --> 0:22:21.359
<v Speaker 1>worked so well together. So just a super fun, super

0:22:21.359 --> 0:22:23.480
<v Speaker 1>fun thing. I don't I can't even remember. I mean,

0:22:24.040 --> 0:22:25.840
<v Speaker 1>my wife and I think had dinner with another couple

0:22:25.880 --> 0:22:27.840
<v Speaker 1>who owned a little bit of the stock and they

0:22:27.840 --> 0:22:29.439
<v Speaker 1>made a whole bunch of money too, And it was,

0:22:29.720 --> 0:22:31.680
<v Speaker 1>you know, it's very next thing. I'm Barry Ridhalt. You're

0:22:31.680 --> 0:22:34.720
<v Speaker 1>listening to Masters in Business on Bloomberg Radio. My special

0:22:34.760 --> 0:22:38.560
<v Speaker 1>guest today is Nick Hanauer. He is a venture capitalist

0:22:38.720 --> 0:22:43.520
<v Speaker 1>and UH investor, UH and business person and also an author.

0:22:44.119 --> 0:22:48.960
<v Speaker 1>So let's spend the segment talking about a very famous

0:22:49.160 --> 0:22:53.760
<v Speaker 1>article you had written for Politico called a memo to

0:22:53.880 --> 0:22:59.199
<v Speaker 1>my fellow fellow zillionaires, the pitchforks are coming for us plutocrats.

0:22:59.240 --> 0:23:02.880
<v Speaker 1>How did that come up out? Well, you know, Verry,

0:23:02.920 --> 0:23:07.080
<v Speaker 1>I write a lot, I write a lot. Uh and uh.

0:23:07.119 --> 0:23:10.000
<v Speaker 1>You know, my main area of interest is political economy

0:23:10.359 --> 0:23:15.520
<v Speaker 1>and economic inequality and the connection between growing inequality and

0:23:16.080 --> 0:23:19.400
<v Speaker 1>a variety of problems, including a crappy business environment. And

0:23:19.480 --> 0:23:23.320
<v Speaker 1>you know, my very strong feeling is that concentrating all

0:23:23.359 --> 0:23:25.440
<v Speaker 1>of the wealth and power in the hands of a

0:23:25.440 --> 0:23:27.760
<v Speaker 1>tiny minority of people at the top is not going

0:23:27.800 --> 0:23:30.080
<v Speaker 1>to end well, particularly for the people at the top.

0:23:30.560 --> 0:23:32.800
<v Speaker 1>Well that's what history is. Yeah, you know, there are

0:23:33.280 --> 0:23:36.240
<v Speaker 1>no exceptions to France. There's a lot of a lot

0:23:36.240 --> 0:23:39.040
<v Speaker 1>of beheadings back in the day. Eventually it ends badly

0:23:39.160 --> 0:23:43.360
<v Speaker 1>and uh. And you know, my view is that with

0:23:43.480 --> 0:23:47.240
<v Speaker 1>just a tiny bit of moderation, with just a tiny

0:23:47.280 --> 0:23:51.040
<v Speaker 1>bit of policy change, we can build an economy that

0:23:51.240 --> 0:23:54.639
<v Speaker 1>doesn't just isn't just fairer and work better for uh,

0:23:54.800 --> 0:23:57.119
<v Speaker 1>you know, people at the bottom, but ultimately will be

0:23:57.359 --> 0:24:02.119
<v Speaker 1>more you know, essentially a richer opportunity set for people

0:24:02.520 --> 0:24:06.320
<v Speaker 1>like me who build companies. You know, when workers have

0:24:06.400 --> 0:24:09.040
<v Speaker 1>more money, people like me business people have more customers,

0:24:09.480 --> 0:24:13.520
<v Speaker 1>and and the exactly and the worst thing about economic

0:24:13.560 --> 0:24:17.800
<v Speaker 1>inequality is you're basically in the you're you're systematically destroying

0:24:17.840 --> 0:24:20.000
<v Speaker 1>your customer base, which eating your seed coin. Yeah, it

0:24:20.080 --> 0:24:22.600
<v Speaker 1>makes no sense. So let me throw some numbers out

0:24:22.880 --> 0:24:27.080
<v Speaker 1>from your article. You noted during the past three decades,

0:24:27.640 --> 0:24:32.200
<v Speaker 1>compensation for chief executive officers grew one hundred and twenty

0:24:32.280 --> 0:24:36.560
<v Speaker 1>seven times faster than it did for workers. CEOs used

0:24:36.560 --> 0:24:40.119
<v Speaker 1>to earn thirty times the median wage. Now it's five

0:24:40.240 --> 0:24:44.600
<v Speaker 1>hundred times and back in the top one percent controlled

0:24:45.000 --> 0:24:49.800
<v Speaker 1>eight percent on the national income. Now their share is Yeah,

0:24:49.840 --> 0:24:53.240
<v Speaker 1>what was that? What was the thinking behind that data?

0:24:53.280 --> 0:24:55.720
<v Speaker 1>How what sent you looking for those numbers in the

0:24:55.760 --> 0:24:59.399
<v Speaker 1>first place. Oh, you know, just to generalize concern about

0:24:59.480 --> 0:25:02.040
<v Speaker 1>the ends and the You know this this data isn't

0:25:02.080 --> 0:25:04.080
<v Speaker 1>hard to find. You can you know, you can look

0:25:04.119 --> 0:25:06.360
<v Speaker 1>it up pretty easily. And the trade you know, it's

0:25:06.359 --> 0:25:09.920
<v Speaker 1>not the fact that we have economic inequality that's the problem.

0:25:09.960 --> 0:25:13.400
<v Speaker 1>Some economic inequality is indispensable to having a high functioning

0:25:13.400 --> 0:25:20.400
<v Speaker 1>capitalist demo economy. And the problem better because they're contributing

0:25:20.440 --> 0:25:23.320
<v Speaker 1>more blah blah blah, Right, all good, The problem is

0:25:23.600 --> 0:25:28.320
<v Speaker 1>increasing amounts of economic inequality over time. Right. You know,

0:25:28.440 --> 0:25:30.800
<v Speaker 1>in nineteen eighty the top one percent had about eight

0:25:30.800 --> 0:25:33.959
<v Speaker 1>percent of national income. Today it's it's it's closing in

0:25:34.000 --> 0:25:38.840
<v Speaker 1>on the bottom. Fifty percent of Americans in nineteen eighty

0:25:38.960 --> 0:25:42.680
<v Speaker 1>shared about eighteen percent of national income. Today it's down

0:25:42.760 --> 0:25:47.080
<v Speaker 1>to eleven percent, down down a third. Right, So here's

0:25:47.119 --> 0:25:49.080
<v Speaker 1>the thing. All you gotta do is put that data

0:25:49.160 --> 0:25:51.480
<v Speaker 1>in a in a in a an Excel spreadsheet and

0:25:51.560 --> 0:25:55.800
<v Speaker 1>just run the extrapolation out thirty years. The numbers are scary, right,

0:25:55.840 --> 0:25:58.600
<v Speaker 1>because the top one percent will control in the in

0:25:58.640 --> 0:26:02.280
<v Speaker 1>the mid thirties thirty seven percent of national income and

0:26:02.280 --> 0:26:06.320
<v Speaker 1>the bottom of Americans will share five or six percent

0:26:06.400 --> 0:26:08.800
<v Speaker 1>of national income. At that point, you don't have a

0:26:08.840 --> 0:26:13.160
<v Speaker 1>capitalist democracy anymore. You have some kind of feudal system.

0:26:13.240 --> 0:26:16.720
<v Speaker 1>And yeah, and and it's just not gonna work out

0:26:16.760 --> 0:26:19.360
<v Speaker 1>for anybody. It's just not going to work out for anybody.

0:26:19.359 --> 0:26:21.560
<v Speaker 1>And there's no reason for it. We it's it just

0:26:21.640 --> 0:26:24.520
<v Speaker 1>makes no sense. So what was the pushback that everything

0:26:24.560 --> 0:26:27.960
<v Speaker 1>you're saying sounds perfectly valid. Hey, when income inequality gets

0:26:28.000 --> 0:26:32.000
<v Speaker 1>to great extremes, bad things happen in society. You're not

0:26:32.359 --> 0:26:36.280
<v Speaker 1>providing opportunity, you're not providing a solid education, the roads

0:26:36.320 --> 0:26:40.000
<v Speaker 1>and bridges fall apart, etcetera, etcetera. So you would think

0:26:40.040 --> 0:26:41.960
<v Speaker 1>there wouldn't be a whole lot of pushback to that,

0:26:42.400 --> 0:26:46.320
<v Speaker 1>but there was. Yeah, And so there there, you know,

0:26:46.400 --> 0:26:48.680
<v Speaker 1>there's a lot of there's a lot of consternation and

0:26:48.680 --> 0:26:50.760
<v Speaker 1>and and quite rightly, a lot of rich people don't

0:26:50.760 --> 0:26:52.920
<v Speaker 1>feel like this is their fault. It feels like they're

0:26:52.920 --> 0:26:55.639
<v Speaker 1>being blamed for economic inequality. And obviously a lot of

0:26:55.720 --> 0:26:59.120
<v Speaker 1>rich people didn't set out to make other people poor,

0:26:59.600 --> 0:27:01.960
<v Speaker 1>right And and so when you raise the issue of

0:27:02.200 --> 0:27:04.560
<v Speaker 1>economic inequality of lots of rich people feel like they're

0:27:04.600 --> 0:27:08.360
<v Speaker 1>being attacked unfairly. And there's a legitimate that and that

0:27:08.440 --> 0:27:11.560
<v Speaker 1>feeling is legitimate. But the simple truth is that wealth

0:27:11.640 --> 0:27:14.439
<v Speaker 1>is concentrating and fewer and fewer hands and and the

0:27:14.600 --> 0:27:18.120
<v Speaker 1>average family in our country is struggling more and more.

0:27:18.520 --> 0:27:21.240
<v Speaker 1>And that's a consequence of a bunch of policy decisions

0:27:21.280 --> 0:27:23.200
<v Speaker 1>that we have made in this country of the last

0:27:23.200 --> 0:27:26.320
<v Speaker 1>thirty or forty years that we need to reverse. And

0:27:26.480 --> 0:27:28.600
<v Speaker 1>give me a few examples, we have let the we

0:27:28.680 --> 0:27:33.800
<v Speaker 1>have let the minimum wage fall to historic, historically low levels,

0:27:34.240 --> 0:27:37.680
<v Speaker 1>right If the minimum wage had tracked inflation, it would

0:27:37.680 --> 0:27:39.919
<v Speaker 1>be ten and a half dollars. If the minimum wage

0:27:39.960 --> 0:27:42.879
<v Speaker 1>had tracked productivity gains in the country, it would be

0:27:42.920 --> 0:27:46.120
<v Speaker 1>twenty one dollar and seventy cents. If the minimum wage

0:27:46.160 --> 0:27:48.240
<v Speaker 1>had tracked the wages of the top one percent, it

0:27:48.280 --> 0:27:51.480
<v Speaker 1>would be twenty eight dollars. Instead, it's seven twenty five

0:27:52.080 --> 0:27:57.119
<v Speaker 1>but two dollars and thirteen cents plus tips for tip workers. Right,

0:27:57.400 --> 0:27:59.840
<v Speaker 1>and remember, most tip workers don't work in some fancy

0:28:00.400 --> 0:28:02.840
<v Speaker 1>New York state restaurant where they make huge amounts of money.

0:28:03.040 --> 0:28:06.520
<v Speaker 1>Working some Sherry's or Denny's in a small town and

0:28:06.560 --> 0:28:09.919
<v Speaker 1>they don't make anything in tips. And you know, the

0:28:09.960 --> 0:28:13.800
<v Speaker 1>truth is that if we we need to dramatically increase

0:28:14.080 --> 0:28:16.800
<v Speaker 1>the minimum wage, and if we did, not only would

0:28:16.840 --> 0:28:19.439
<v Speaker 1>those workers and their families be better off, but the

0:28:19.480 --> 0:28:22.199
<v Speaker 1>economy would work better because those people would now be

0:28:22.240 --> 0:28:25.040
<v Speaker 1>able to afford to buy stuff from the companies that

0:28:25.160 --> 0:28:28.520
<v Speaker 1>I start. Right, Which is the problem is you've got

0:28:28.520 --> 0:28:32.720
<v Speaker 1>this giant industry of free riders. Right. The McDonald's pays

0:28:32.760 --> 0:28:36.160
<v Speaker 1>their workers poverty wages, and not one of the people

0:28:36.200 --> 0:28:39.360
<v Speaker 1>in McDonald's can buy the products that the companies that

0:28:39.440 --> 0:28:43.080
<v Speaker 1>I start products, right, all of my employees can afford

0:28:43.120 --> 0:28:47.120
<v Speaker 1>to go to McDonald's every day, right, but not vice versa.

0:28:47.360 --> 0:28:50.960
<v Speaker 1>All of my employees pay taxes. All the McDonald's employees

0:28:51.200 --> 0:28:54.400
<v Speaker 1>they don't pay taxes. In fact, they need public services

0:28:54.400 --> 0:28:58.479
<v Speaker 1>like food stamps and Medicaid that my employees pay. And

0:28:58.520 --> 0:29:03.400
<v Speaker 1>none of this makes sense. Look, when we look nationally, fairly, consistently,

0:29:03.840 --> 0:29:08.240
<v Speaker 1>state by state, fast food workers or Walmart workers are

0:29:08.280 --> 0:29:11.640
<v Speaker 1>consistently the biggest group getting federal aid and it's not

0:29:11.680 --> 0:29:16.560
<v Speaker 1>a coincidence. They basically set their salary levels. Look, McDonald's

0:29:16.600 --> 0:29:19.760
<v Speaker 1>run into a lot of heat for their micbnefits phone

0:29:19.760 --> 0:29:24.200
<v Speaker 1>line where they literally were walking their employees through how

0:29:24.280 --> 0:29:26.320
<v Speaker 1>to gain the system so we don't have to pay

0:29:26.360 --> 0:29:28.640
<v Speaker 1>you a living wage. We'll pay you seven bucks and

0:29:28.640 --> 0:29:31.239
<v Speaker 1>you'll get another six dollars an hour. And there no

0:29:31.800 --> 0:29:35.960
<v Speaker 1>earthly reason where why giant, profitable corporations can't pay their

0:29:36.000 --> 0:29:38.800
<v Speaker 1>workers enough so that they can be robust participants in

0:29:38.800 --> 0:29:42.280
<v Speaker 1>our economy. I want every single worker at Walmart to

0:29:42.280 --> 0:29:45.040
<v Speaker 1>be able to earn enough money to buy the products

0:29:45.040 --> 0:29:48.959
<v Speaker 1>that the people that I employ make. It's just not

0:29:49.120 --> 0:29:52.200
<v Speaker 1>fair that their people can't afford to buy my stuff,

0:29:52.200 --> 0:29:54.440
<v Speaker 1>but my people can afford to buy their stuff, and

0:29:54.480 --> 0:29:56.680
<v Speaker 1>my people have to pay taxes and their people don't.

0:29:56.760 --> 0:29:58.880
<v Speaker 1>So now let's talk a little bit about how this

0:29:59.000 --> 0:30:02.760
<v Speaker 1>became a TED speech that generated a little bit of controsty.

0:30:02.840 --> 0:30:05.680
<v Speaker 1>So you did a TED video, did I've done too?

0:30:05.880 --> 0:30:08.800
<v Speaker 1>But the first one I did on this exact subject,

0:30:09.040 --> 0:30:12.560
<v Speaker 1>I mean basically it was called raise uh, you know,

0:30:12.760 --> 0:30:16.280
<v Speaker 1>raise taxes on the rich to rule the true job creators.

0:30:16.320 --> 0:30:19.800
<v Speaker 1>Because if you understand a capitalist economy in a twenty

0:30:19.840 --> 0:30:21.960
<v Speaker 1>one century way, which you have to see, is it's

0:30:22.000 --> 0:30:25.960
<v Speaker 1>really it's it's essentially an ecosystem, and it's characterized by

0:30:26.120 --> 0:30:28.840
<v Speaker 1>a circle of lifelike feedback loops. And the true job

0:30:28.880 --> 0:30:32.360
<v Speaker 1>creators in a capitalist economy are consumers. When and then

0:30:32.400 --> 0:30:35.760
<v Speaker 1>when the middle class thrives, people like me get to

0:30:35.760 --> 0:30:39.040
<v Speaker 1>start companies and sell them stuff, and the more stuff

0:30:39.080 --> 0:30:43.120
<v Speaker 1>they buy, the more people we we employ. And I

0:30:43.160 --> 0:30:46.560
<v Speaker 1>gave that speech at TED some years ago, but it

0:30:46.600 --> 0:30:49.760
<v Speaker 1>was before the issue of economic inequality was one that

0:30:49.880 --> 0:30:54.280
<v Speaker 1>was you know, yeah, yeah, it was. It was. It

0:30:54.320 --> 0:30:57.000
<v Speaker 1>made people uncomfortable, and as a consequence, they didn't want

0:30:57.040 --> 0:30:59.280
<v Speaker 1>to post the talk, and that created a lot of

0:30:59.280 --> 0:31:01.400
<v Speaker 1>controversy and they chucked me out of the conference and

0:31:01.440 --> 0:31:04.160
<v Speaker 1>blah blah blah blah blah. But uh, you know how

0:31:04.200 --> 0:31:07.640
<v Speaker 1>did that resolve? Uh? The beautiful news is it after

0:31:07.680 --> 0:31:10.280
<v Speaker 1>a couple of years, Chris Anderson, who's a great guy,

0:31:10.360 --> 0:31:13.640
<v Speaker 1>and I kissed and made up, uh because Chris is

0:31:13.680 --> 0:31:16.200
<v Speaker 1>a good guy and realized that, you know, this was

0:31:16.200 --> 0:31:18.200
<v Speaker 1>a very important issue and something that Ted had to

0:31:18.240 --> 0:31:20.800
<v Speaker 1>tackle head on, and so he asked me to do

0:31:20.840 --> 0:31:23.240
<v Speaker 1>another talk, which I did last August based on the

0:31:23.240 --> 0:31:26.400
<v Speaker 1>Plutocrats piece, by the way, and uh, now we're good

0:31:26.400 --> 0:31:28.560
<v Speaker 1>friends again, and I'm going to the conference and you

0:31:28.720 --> 0:31:32.040
<v Speaker 1>did you did that plutocrat video went fairly viral. I

0:31:32.080 --> 0:31:34.360
<v Speaker 1>mean a lot of Ted videos go viral, but this

0:31:34.520 --> 0:31:38.840
<v Speaker 1>came right time, right right actually, and it just blew up. Yeah. Yeah,

0:31:38.960 --> 0:31:41.880
<v Speaker 1>and so and because this is a very important issue,

0:31:41.920 --> 0:31:45.280
<v Speaker 1>and I think that uh, you know, most smart even

0:31:45.360 --> 0:31:48.360
<v Speaker 1>rich people agree that the economic inequality is something that

0:31:48.360 --> 0:31:50.960
<v Speaker 1>we're going to have to deal with some how. Obviously,

0:31:51.280 --> 0:31:53.920
<v Speaker 1>when it comes to what to do, uh, it gets

0:31:54.280 --> 0:31:57.200
<v Speaker 1>the conversation becomes more difficult because it involves trade offs

0:31:57.200 --> 0:31:59.320
<v Speaker 1>that people often don't want to make. Let me throw

0:31:59.360 --> 0:32:01.880
<v Speaker 1>you a quote from Actually, my guest last week was

0:32:02.040 --> 0:32:04.280
<v Speaker 1>n while you professor two weeks ago, and while you

0:32:04.320 --> 0:32:09.120
<v Speaker 1>Professor Scott Galloway said, it's never been easier to become

0:32:09.160 --> 0:32:13.000
<v Speaker 1>a billionaire, and it's never been harder to become a millionaire.

0:32:13.080 --> 0:32:17.360
<v Speaker 1>Do you agree or disagree with that? And I think

0:32:17.400 --> 0:32:20.480
<v Speaker 1>there's a touch of hyper Yeah, there's a touch there.

0:32:21.080 --> 0:32:25.000
<v Speaker 1>He's obviously being hyperbolic. But I think he's making an

0:32:25.040 --> 0:32:29.160
<v Speaker 1>interesting point, which is true, that we have an economy

0:32:29.240 --> 0:32:31.960
<v Speaker 1>today which in many ways is a winner take all

0:32:32.000 --> 0:32:37.680
<v Speaker 1>economy and where great success really is great success where

0:32:38.640 --> 0:32:43.960
<v Speaker 1>just just wildly insanely rewarded. But to be moderately successful

0:32:44.040 --> 0:32:47.640
<v Speaker 1>actually is becoming harder and harder and harder because the

0:32:47.680 --> 0:32:51.040
<v Speaker 1>society is bifurcating, because we're turning into a into a

0:32:51.080 --> 0:32:54.080
<v Speaker 1>society and economy of a tiny number of winners when

0:32:54.200 --> 0:32:57.280
<v Speaker 1>everybody else is a loser. So, Nick, if people want

0:32:57.280 --> 0:32:59.239
<v Speaker 1>to find your writings or your work, where do they

0:32:59.280 --> 0:33:01.560
<v Speaker 1>go to to see you that? Just put my name

0:33:01.560 --> 0:33:05.520
<v Speaker 1>into Google Nick Hannaur. There'll be a thousand links. We've

0:33:05.520 --> 0:33:10.360
<v Speaker 1>been speaking with Nick Hannaur of Second Avenue Partners. If

0:33:10.360 --> 0:33:13.040
<v Speaker 1>you enjoy this conversation. Be sure and check out the

0:33:13.080 --> 0:33:17.120
<v Speaker 1>rest of our talk. You can find that on Apple iTunes, SoundCloud,

0:33:17.240 --> 0:33:19.640
<v Speaker 1>or Bloomberg dot com. Be sure and check out my

0:33:19.720 --> 0:33:23.040
<v Speaker 1>daily column on Bloomberg View dot com. Follow me on

0:33:23.080 --> 0:33:26.160
<v Speaker 1>Twitter at Rid Halts. I'm Barry Ridhults. You're listening to

0:33:26.240 --> 0:33:30.160
<v Speaker 1>Masters in Business. I'm Bloomberg Radio. I'm Barry rid Halts.

0:33:30.160 --> 0:33:33.360
<v Speaker 1>Welcome to the podcast half of our show. I'm here

0:33:33.400 --> 0:33:36.320
<v Speaker 1>with Nick Hannaur Am I pronouncing that right? I feel

0:33:36.320 --> 0:33:39.200
<v Speaker 1>like I'm saying that wrong. So let's let's get back

0:33:39.240 --> 0:33:42.280
<v Speaker 1>into the finance side of things because there are so

0:33:42.320 --> 0:33:45.640
<v Speaker 1>many other questions. We keep hearing all this chatter that

0:33:45.720 --> 0:33:51.800
<v Speaker 1>we are in a technology bubble. What are your thoughts? Uh? Yeah,

0:33:52.080 --> 0:33:55.560
<v Speaker 1>gotta be tech tech bubble. Well, I mean, you know

0:33:55.640 --> 0:33:59.000
<v Speaker 1>tech tech is everything now, right? What's not tech? Uh?

0:33:59.200 --> 0:34:05.200
<v Speaker 1>Um zuber tech? Honestly, uber tech. It's a taxi service.

0:34:05.200 --> 0:34:09.680
<v Speaker 1>Forgot the taxis. Taxis are free agents. Uber is a

0:34:09.719 --> 0:34:12.080
<v Speaker 1>software that connects them with the ride, right, But you

0:34:12.080 --> 0:34:14.080
<v Speaker 1>know it's a taxi for now the service that's going

0:34:14.120 --> 0:34:17.960
<v Speaker 1>to be delivering packages or dinners or that's theoretically what

0:34:18.000 --> 0:34:22.080
<v Speaker 1>they're where there, But it's different than tech was thirty

0:34:22.200 --> 0:34:25.520
<v Speaker 1>forty years ago. I mean, technology and enables so many things.

0:34:26.000 --> 0:34:30.919
<v Speaker 1>My point simply is that you know, there's a whole

0:34:30.920 --> 0:34:33.120
<v Speaker 1>bunch of companies out there that are valued in the

0:34:33.200 --> 0:34:37.560
<v Speaker 1>billions or tens of billions, where a little tiny thing

0:34:37.640 --> 0:34:40.960
<v Speaker 1>goes wrong and it's worth hundreds of millions, you know.

0:34:41.040 --> 0:34:44.080
<v Speaker 1>And you know, I think we're riding the ragged edge

0:34:44.960 --> 0:34:47.719
<v Speaker 1>on a lot of those valuations. So and you have

0:34:47.800 --> 0:34:50.120
<v Speaker 1>this weird thing right as you know that the that

0:34:50.239 --> 0:34:54.120
<v Speaker 1>the public markets and the private markets have flipped a

0:34:54.160 --> 0:34:58.000
<v Speaker 1>little bit. Yeah, where we have Uber is private. And

0:34:58.400 --> 0:35:00.120
<v Speaker 1>you know, I have a ton of friends now who

0:35:00.120 --> 0:35:04.239
<v Speaker 1>are who who are complaining about the fact that their

0:35:04.280 --> 0:35:06.800
<v Speaker 1>companies are public because if they were private, they'd be

0:35:06.840 --> 0:35:09.800
<v Speaker 1>worth twice as much as they are. Well, they chose

0:35:09.840 --> 0:35:11.920
<v Speaker 1>to go public. They took the cash that wasn't not

0:35:12.080 --> 0:35:14.200
<v Speaker 1>You don't get to go back in time and call

0:35:14.320 --> 0:35:19.279
<v Speaker 1>for two over. Yeah. So so when we look at

0:35:19.280 --> 0:35:24.120
<v Speaker 1>other companies, let's let's look at some of the public companies, Apple, Google, Amazon,

0:35:24.920 --> 0:35:28.200
<v Speaker 1>how do these line up in terms of We always

0:35:28.200 --> 0:35:31.759
<v Speaker 1>hear people say Amazon is overvalued because they're not thrown

0:35:31.760 --> 0:35:34.400
<v Speaker 1>off a whole lot of profits. Yeah, you know, I'm

0:35:34.880 --> 0:35:41.080
<v Speaker 1>I've all, you know, having grown up with Amazon, I'm

0:35:41.080 --> 0:35:43.759
<v Speaker 1>I'm more sympathetic to their market cap than I am

0:35:43.800 --> 0:35:48.279
<v Speaker 1>to a lot of companies because, um, I h I

0:35:48.320 --> 0:35:51.080
<v Speaker 1>am so sure that if Jeff wanted to generate tons

0:35:51.120 --> 0:35:53.600
<v Speaker 1>of free cash flow and you do it a minute,

0:35:54.320 --> 0:35:56.920
<v Speaker 1>he is now and has been from the day we

0:35:57.000 --> 0:36:03.240
<v Speaker 1>opened the doors, the metaphorical doors. Uh. Uh been after

0:36:03.520 --> 0:36:09.320
<v Speaker 1>maximizing growth and market share, and uh, there's clearly been successful. Absolutely,

0:36:09.360 --> 0:36:11.640
<v Speaker 1>And there's a trade off between growth and profit. And

0:36:12.160 --> 0:36:15.440
<v Speaker 1>if you wanted to raise the prices on every product

0:36:15.440 --> 0:36:18.880
<v Speaker 1>at Amazon three percent, no one would notice, really and

0:36:18.880 --> 0:36:23.880
<v Speaker 1>and he would generate a just a ton of cash flow. Uh.

0:36:23.960 --> 0:36:26.239
<v Speaker 1>And so something you could do, I mean, you could

0:36:26.239 --> 0:36:29.080
<v Speaker 1>literally do with the push push of the So what

0:36:29.080 --> 0:36:32.080
<v Speaker 1>what is their secret sauce? What has we talked about

0:36:32.200 --> 0:36:36.640
<v Speaker 1>how they're negative cash flow, negative cash conversion cycle? Conversion

0:36:36.719 --> 0:36:39.840
<v Speaker 1>cycle was really a secret weapon for them in the beginning,

0:36:40.280 --> 0:36:42.640
<v Speaker 1>but they seem to be way past that now and

0:36:43.120 --> 0:36:47.200
<v Speaker 1>between Amazon Cloud and there's so many different services they're offering.

0:36:48.360 --> 0:36:51.360
<v Speaker 1>What is the future of Amazon look like? Where you know,

0:36:51.440 --> 0:36:54.040
<v Speaker 1>I'm I you know, I'm not an authority on Amazon.

0:36:54.080 --> 0:36:55.959
<v Speaker 1>I haven't been involved in the company in ten years,

0:36:55.960 --> 0:36:57.960
<v Speaker 1>so you know, are you still an investor? No, I'm

0:36:58.000 --> 0:37:00.920
<v Speaker 1>not even an investor anymore. I'm not a big public

0:37:01.000 --> 0:37:04.560
<v Speaker 1>company investor. I invest in private companies and when they

0:37:04.560 --> 0:37:06.560
<v Speaker 1>go public, I sell my stock and I move on.

0:37:06.680 --> 0:37:09.160
<v Speaker 1>So so let's let's go down that list, because you

0:37:09.239 --> 0:37:14.160
<v Speaker 1>have some interest in I'm pulling up my my list here.

0:37:14.239 --> 0:37:16.919
<v Speaker 1>So we talked about a quant of six point four

0:37:16.920 --> 0:37:24.319
<v Speaker 1>billions of Microsoft to bowing. What did in Situ do? Oh?

0:37:24.360 --> 0:37:27.840
<v Speaker 1>This is a fantastic company. So and a great story.

0:37:27.960 --> 0:37:34.040
<v Speaker 1>So in Situ makes unmanned aerial vehicles for surveillance and combat.

0:37:34.640 --> 0:37:38.759
<v Speaker 1>Perfect and you're happy to be right there. And yeah,

0:37:38.880 --> 0:37:41.160
<v Speaker 1>and so here's the great story is that a couple

0:37:41.239 --> 0:37:47.280
<v Speaker 1>of UH aeronautical engineers who were also windsurfing freaks, wind

0:37:47.360 --> 0:37:50.520
<v Speaker 1>up in it in a place called bingein Washington, which

0:37:50.520 --> 0:37:53.000
<v Speaker 1>is across the street from Hood River, Washington on in

0:37:53.040 --> 0:37:55.880
<v Speaker 1>the Columbia Gorge on the Columbia River, which is one

0:37:55.920 --> 0:37:59.239
<v Speaker 1>of the windsurfing capitals of the Earth. And they start

0:37:59.320 --> 0:38:01.600
<v Speaker 1>looking around for a thing to do. And this guy,

0:38:01.640 --> 0:38:06.080
<v Speaker 1>ted Tad McGear had had been doing experiments with u

0:38:06.120 --> 0:38:09.279
<v Speaker 1>a v S and these guys get together and they

0:38:09.280 --> 0:38:12.080
<v Speaker 1>start building this UA V company and their early ideas

0:38:12.160 --> 0:38:15.480
<v Speaker 1>that they're going to build these small unmanned vehicles with

0:38:15.600 --> 0:38:19.800
<v Speaker 1>cameras on them that can help tuna fisherman find tuna

0:38:20.040 --> 0:38:24.200
<v Speaker 1>without helicopters. This was our big idea. And uh so

0:38:24.680 --> 0:38:27.440
<v Speaker 1>we thought that's a whole lot of battery power that no,

0:38:27.560 --> 0:38:29.920
<v Speaker 1>it's not. It's not battery power. They're little. They're just

0:38:29.960 --> 0:38:33.759
<v Speaker 1>like little r C engines, right, little gas engines, right.

0:38:34.360 --> 0:38:36.480
<v Speaker 1>And so they build some of these things and they

0:38:36.640 --> 0:38:38.520
<v Speaker 1>and uh, you know, we had some interest in it.

0:38:38.640 --> 0:38:42.239
<v Speaker 1>And then nine eleven happens and you realize that U

0:38:42.320 --> 0:38:44.000
<v Speaker 1>a v s are going to be a big part

0:38:44.239 --> 0:38:47.239
<v Speaker 1>of the military apparatus, and so we made this investment

0:38:47.920 --> 0:38:51.319
<v Speaker 1>and uh, you know in Situ was lucky enough to

0:38:51.560 --> 0:38:58.799
<v Speaker 1>grab um. Uh you know, some really really incredible managers,

0:38:58.800 --> 0:39:02.080
<v Speaker 1>some really visionary man managers. H in particular guy named

0:39:02.080 --> 0:39:04.440
<v Speaker 1>Sleeve Steve Sliwa, who was one of the best CEOs

0:39:04.480 --> 0:39:07.040
<v Speaker 1>I've ever come in contact with. And they built this

0:39:07.120 --> 0:39:14.279
<v Speaker 1>thing into an incredible company with incredible technology. And you

0:39:14.320 --> 0:39:16.799
<v Speaker 1>know that these U A these were so effective that

0:39:16.840 --> 0:39:22.400
<v Speaker 1>the Marine Corps you know, through giant fits with the

0:39:22.400 --> 0:39:24.920
<v Speaker 1>Department of Defense to get this stuff through the supply

0:39:25.000 --> 0:39:27.799
<v Speaker 1>chain way. Oh my god. And they were just like, no,

0:39:27.920 --> 0:39:32.600
<v Speaker 1>you will do it right now, um during during exactly

0:39:32.600 --> 0:39:35.640
<v Speaker 1>all that time to put around, we need it regular

0:39:37.440 --> 0:39:39.799
<v Speaker 1>exactly go by this problem. So this is a ten

0:39:39.880 --> 0:39:45.279
<v Speaker 1>foot wingspant third three pound plane that launches via catapult

0:39:45.920 --> 0:39:49.239
<v Speaker 1>from the from the ground. You just launch it via catapult.

0:39:48.920 --> 0:39:52.000
<v Speaker 1>It doesn't need an airfield the land it actually flies

0:39:52.080 --> 0:39:56.560
<v Speaker 1>into a rope to land. Is totally autonomous, flying totally

0:39:56.560 --> 0:40:00.040
<v Speaker 1>invisible at three thousand feet um. And can you know,

0:40:00.160 --> 0:40:05.040
<v Speaker 1>and can basically not quite read your watch, but but

0:40:05.800 --> 0:40:13.040
<v Speaker 1>close enough. And just unbelievable intelligence for forward huge huge tactical,

0:40:13.440 --> 0:40:17.799
<v Speaker 1>huge tactical adage. And so these and so these things, um,

0:40:18.000 --> 0:40:21.200
<v Speaker 1>you know, we're really really really useful to the military,

0:40:21.400 --> 0:40:23.719
<v Speaker 1>both on land in at sea. Right, these things are

0:40:23.719 --> 0:40:26.600
<v Speaker 1>now deployed all over the place. Uh. And of course

0:40:26.640 --> 0:40:28.719
<v Speaker 1>Bowing can scale it up and make it exactly And

0:40:28.719 --> 0:40:31.640
<v Speaker 1>so we built this just an extraordinary company, and Bowing

0:40:31.680 --> 0:40:34.479
<v Speaker 1>came along, Bowing was an integration partner and came along

0:40:34.520 --> 0:40:36.319
<v Speaker 1>and finally says, no, we get on it. Something about

0:40:36.320 --> 0:40:39.319
<v Speaker 1>it from US so. Um, but here's the great part

0:40:39.520 --> 0:40:42.879
<v Speaker 1>this dollar acquisition. Yeah, here's the Here the best part

0:40:42.880 --> 0:40:45.960
<v Speaker 1>of it is that, Um, this tiny town is a

0:40:46.000 --> 0:40:49.919
<v Speaker 1>tiny it's a tiny. It was a tiny, crappy, poor

0:40:50.000 --> 0:40:55.440
<v Speaker 1>town with like one sawmill, and uh it is it

0:40:55.560 --> 0:40:58.480
<v Speaker 1>is I think one of the most This company has

0:40:58.520 --> 0:41:01.359
<v Speaker 1>turned this county into one of the Washington State's most

0:41:01.400 --> 0:41:05.239
<v Speaker 1>affluent counties today. Really. Yeah, they're like eight hundred you know,

0:41:05.400 --> 0:41:10.280
<v Speaker 1>like PhD type aeronautical engineers now working in this tiny

0:41:10.360 --> 0:41:12.360
<v Speaker 1>town building U A V s. And now you have

0:41:12.400 --> 0:41:17.080
<v Speaker 1>all these spinoff, spinoff technology companies making wings and and

0:41:18.080 --> 0:41:20.239
<v Speaker 1>the suppliers and all that stuff. And so it's just

0:41:20.360 --> 0:41:24.759
<v Speaker 1>it's an extraordinary story of economic development, you know. And

0:41:25.120 --> 0:41:29.200
<v Speaker 1>this is made made over there. UM. Market Leader sold

0:41:29.200 --> 0:41:35.440
<v Speaker 1>to truly million dollars. What was market Leader? Market Leader was, uh,

0:41:35.480 --> 0:41:40.000
<v Speaker 1>you know, market Leader was a company that sold leads,

0:41:40.360 --> 0:41:43.400
<v Speaker 1>you know, much like Zillo to to real estate agents.

0:41:43.920 --> 0:41:47.800
<v Speaker 1>We were an early entrant into that business, UM and

0:41:48.239 --> 0:41:51.680
<v Speaker 1>basically connected real estate agents with people who wanted to

0:41:51.680 --> 0:41:55.359
<v Speaker 1>either buy or sell their house. And uh evolved into

0:41:55.440 --> 0:41:58.200
<v Speaker 1>a company that both did that but also built software

0:41:58.840 --> 0:42:02.720
<v Speaker 1>uh to help age to manage their businesses and um,

0:42:02.760 --> 0:42:05.760
<v Speaker 1>so truly A bought that and then Zillo bought Trulia.

0:42:06.920 --> 0:42:11.239
<v Speaker 1>They described it as a merger, but well, well, well okay,

0:42:11.840 --> 0:42:14.640
<v Speaker 1>uh that's what I was. Is that true? Yeah? I

0:42:15.160 --> 0:42:18.319
<v Speaker 1>I always thought it was an acquisition, but you know,

0:42:18.400 --> 0:42:20.120
<v Speaker 1>you never know who's got to save face for what

0:42:20.480 --> 0:42:22.759
<v Speaker 1>gear dot com? What was geared? That was a great one.

0:42:22.800 --> 0:42:24.800
<v Speaker 1>So that was an earth that was a really early

0:42:24.840 --> 0:42:27.759
<v Speaker 1>internet company. And we had this again, this is in

0:42:27.800 --> 0:42:30.560
<v Speaker 1>the oh my gosh, it's the late nineties, right before

0:42:30.560 --> 0:42:33.200
<v Speaker 1>any of the stuff really really got going, and we

0:42:33.239 --> 0:42:36.600
<v Speaker 1>had this insight, which of course is true, that there

0:42:36.680 --> 0:42:40.240
<v Speaker 1>was a terrific opportunity to liquidate things on the internet,

0:42:40.239 --> 0:42:45.080
<v Speaker 1>to buy um, to buy over stocks and so on

0:42:45.120 --> 0:42:47.839
<v Speaker 1>and so forth, and and sell them to people via

0:42:47.880 --> 0:42:51.280
<v Speaker 1>the internet. And we wanted to focus just on sporting equipment,

0:42:51.280 --> 0:42:53.759
<v Speaker 1>in particular hard goods and stuff like that, reasoning that

0:42:54.080 --> 0:42:59.200
<v Speaker 1>last year's tennis racket, uh as good as this year's

0:42:59.200 --> 0:43:01.160
<v Speaker 1>tennis racket. But if I can buy it for twenty

0:43:01.160 --> 0:43:02.680
<v Speaker 1>cents on the dollar and sell it to you for

0:43:02.760 --> 0:43:05.920
<v Speaker 1>fifty cents on the dollar, everybody's happy. And so we

0:43:05.960 --> 0:43:09.200
<v Speaker 1>went off to do that. Uh, but you know, like

0:43:09.239 --> 0:43:13.760
<v Speaker 1>a lot of the companies in the early days. Uh

0:43:13.800 --> 0:43:16.640
<v Speaker 1>you know, it was it was tough sledding because you

0:43:16.680 --> 0:43:19.720
<v Speaker 1>may forget, but it wasn't that long ago when people

0:43:19.760 --> 0:43:21.960
<v Speaker 1>were like, well, I'll never I'll never send my credit

0:43:22.000 --> 0:43:25.239
<v Speaker 1>card on the internet, right. I remember those days. Yeah,

0:43:25.280 --> 0:43:27.120
<v Speaker 1>I'm never going to buy anything on that. I remember

0:43:27.160 --> 0:43:29.640
<v Speaker 1>when my friend, my college roommate, had given me that

0:43:29.640 --> 0:43:33.040
<v Speaker 1>gift certificate to Amazon, putting all that information in it,

0:43:33.160 --> 0:43:36.279
<v Speaker 1>and a box arrives in the mail. This I this

0:43:36.360 --> 0:43:39.880
<v Speaker 1>was when I think we lived on less and and

0:43:40.000 --> 0:43:43.360
<v Speaker 1>one of our neighbors said, what's that, Oh store online

0:43:44.080 --> 0:43:48.359
<v Speaker 1>gave them your credit Yeah, it was just people were looking.

0:43:49.360 --> 0:43:53.600
<v Speaker 1>Now basically everybody has everybody else's social security data everything.

0:43:53.640 --> 0:43:57.520
<v Speaker 1>It's every from from gotten over it. So when you

0:43:57.719 --> 0:43:59.560
<v Speaker 1>when you when you were trying to start these companies,

0:43:59.560 --> 0:44:02.920
<v Speaker 1>when only one in ten consumers had access to the

0:44:02.920 --> 0:44:06.800
<v Speaker 1>internet right in the early days, right, and when only

0:44:06.880 --> 0:44:09.759
<v Speaker 1>one intent of those were willing to buy something on

0:44:09.800 --> 0:44:14.359
<v Speaker 1>the internet, that's amazing. It was a much harder thing

0:44:14.440 --> 0:44:17.279
<v Speaker 1>to get a business up to escape velocity than it

0:44:17.400 --> 0:44:21.120
<v Speaker 1>is today. It was very difficult to scale when everyone's

0:44:21.160 --> 0:44:24.160
<v Speaker 1>on the internet and everyone's willing to transact on the Internet,

0:44:24.239 --> 0:44:28.240
<v Speaker 1>and so a lot of these early ideas like gear

0:44:28.440 --> 0:44:32.400
<v Speaker 1>were hard to scale up, not because they were bad ideas,

0:44:32.440 --> 0:44:35.799
<v Speaker 1>but because the market wasn't quite there before. How to

0:44:35.880 --> 0:44:40.360
<v Speaker 1>overcome that consumer resistance people and that just took a generation.

0:44:40.440 --> 0:44:42.839
<v Speaker 1>And now it's it's part of the fabric. Nobody thinks

0:44:42.880 --> 0:44:47.759
<v Speaker 1>twice exactly and and so uh so we um so

0:44:47.800 --> 0:44:50.640
<v Speaker 1>we built that company into something that was going pretty well.

0:44:50.719 --> 0:44:53.479
<v Speaker 1>We got a big investment actually from Amazon dot Com

0:44:53.560 --> 0:44:56.360
<v Speaker 1>to scale that thing up, and then we sold it

0:44:56.400 --> 0:44:59.400
<v Speaker 1>to overstock dot Com? And uh what was the sale

0:44:59.400 --> 0:45:02.959
<v Speaker 1>price to that? That was the one number I didn't

0:45:02.960 --> 0:45:05.640
<v Speaker 1>have come. Was that a merger or was that a sale? Now?

0:45:05.640 --> 0:45:09.520
<v Speaker 1>It was a sale, I think very I can't remember

0:45:09.800 --> 0:45:14.160
<v Speaker 1>I made money, I know that. Uh, I'm embarrassed to

0:45:14.200 --> 0:45:16.560
<v Speaker 1>tell you. It's been so many years. I don't that

0:45:16.680 --> 0:45:20.400
<v Speaker 1>was late nineties, right, yeah, alright, so disens or something

0:45:20.480 --> 0:45:24.800
<v Speaker 1>like that. I cannot well tell you what though, I

0:45:24.840 --> 0:45:28.280
<v Speaker 1>bought an airplane with the money I made. Mark Cuban.

0:45:28.520 --> 0:45:32.359
<v Speaker 1>Mark Cuban tells the story that he bought an airplane

0:45:32.640 --> 0:45:36.320
<v Speaker 1>after we saw a soul Brookast dot Com on the Internet.

0:45:36.480 --> 0:45:38.640
<v Speaker 1>It was at the time it was the biggest Internet

0:45:38.680 --> 0:45:42.320
<v Speaker 1>purchase ever. Ever. It was like four million dollars or something,

0:45:42.360 --> 0:45:44.239
<v Speaker 1>And now you don't even people are buying art for

0:45:44.239 --> 0:45:46.320
<v Speaker 1>a hundred millions. Yeah, I know, I bought my first

0:45:46.320 --> 0:45:49.239
<v Speaker 1>airplane with the proceeds of the overseas What plane was

0:45:49.280 --> 0:45:52.200
<v Speaker 1>the citation five? Okay? Not a not a bad little rode.

0:45:52.680 --> 0:45:58.080
<v Speaker 1>So you had this great negotiation with um Microsoft with

0:45:58.200 --> 0:46:00.759
<v Speaker 1>a quantive What was your role the quant of when

0:46:00.800 --> 0:46:03.400
<v Speaker 1>this was being So you were chairman, So you're more

0:46:03.440 --> 0:46:05.520
<v Speaker 1>than just an outside investor. No, no, it was chairman

0:46:05.520 --> 0:46:07.040
<v Speaker 1>of the board. You have you had to be pretty

0:46:07.040 --> 0:46:12.399
<v Speaker 1>integral to the negotiation process. So the question is they

0:46:12.480 --> 0:46:14.919
<v Speaker 1>used to have a Microsoft had a reputation for being

0:46:15.280 --> 0:46:20.239
<v Speaker 1>a fearsome competitor, a very tough negotiator. It sounds like

0:46:20.400 --> 0:46:23.680
<v Speaker 1>your deal with them was a little kindler and gentler.

0:46:24.120 --> 0:46:26.920
<v Speaker 1>Then now have have they mellowed? Was this just a

0:46:26.920 --> 0:46:29.400
<v Speaker 1>good fit or did all the parties sort of know

0:46:29.480 --> 0:46:32.239
<v Speaker 1>each other? Uh? No, I mean it was it was

0:46:32.280 --> 0:46:34.799
<v Speaker 1>a It was an arm's length deal. And you know

0:46:34.880 --> 0:46:38.080
<v Speaker 1>the old Sawberry You don't sell a company. People buy

0:46:38.080 --> 0:46:43.280
<v Speaker 1>a company, right, and especially when we're talking about billions exactly.

0:46:43.320 --> 0:46:46.920
<v Speaker 1>And and the truth is that there were multiple bidders. Uh.

0:46:47.000 --> 0:46:50.200
<v Speaker 1>And if Microsoft hadn't bought it, then then someone was

0:46:50.280 --> 0:46:53.719
<v Speaker 1>yeahoo was absolutely going to buy it. Oh absolutely. And

0:46:54.080 --> 0:46:56.719
<v Speaker 1>there were two others who were in the wings. Yeah.

0:46:56.719 --> 0:47:02.520
<v Speaker 1>Who else was a couple of the giant um uh

0:47:02.560 --> 0:47:06.640
<v Speaker 1>advertising holding companies right, Um, I can't remember which ones

0:47:07.080 --> 0:47:09.520
<v Speaker 1>off the but Microsoft was the best fit. They were

0:47:09.760 --> 0:47:12.040
<v Speaker 1>well I mean, and they were the high bidder uh

0:47:12.400 --> 0:47:15.720
<v Speaker 1>and um although you know, I mean, as I recall,

0:47:16.120 --> 0:47:18.080
<v Speaker 1>we could have done another round a bidding, but we

0:47:18.120 --> 0:47:19.759
<v Speaker 1>felt like we had gone far enough and it was

0:47:19.800 --> 0:47:21.640
<v Speaker 1>a fair price, and we just didn't want to you know,

0:47:21.680 --> 0:47:25.319
<v Speaker 1>six point four exactly, Well, you weren't even that wasn't

0:47:25.320 --> 0:47:28.839
<v Speaker 1>even that was more almost ten times sales, a little

0:47:28.880 --> 0:47:31.880
<v Speaker 1>less than ten time sales. That's by any definition a

0:47:31.880 --> 0:47:34.480
<v Speaker 1>good sale. Prob. Yeah, it was. It was a fantastic deal.

0:47:34.520 --> 0:47:36.200
<v Speaker 1>And as we I have to tell you that we

0:47:36.200 --> 0:47:38.640
<v Speaker 1>were very emotional about it because you know, we had

0:47:38.680 --> 0:47:40.920
<v Speaker 1>built a great company, it was growing really fast, and

0:47:40.960 --> 0:47:42.920
<v Speaker 1>we felt like there was a ton of runway left.

0:47:43.360 --> 0:47:46.040
<v Speaker 1>But you know, as Brian mcanders, the CEO of the time,

0:47:46.080 --> 0:47:47.839
<v Speaker 1>and I you know, as he said to me at

0:47:47.840 --> 0:47:49.960
<v Speaker 1>the time, well you know this is a deal good

0:47:50.040 --> 0:47:51.880
<v Speaker 1>enough so that we'll have no regrets. It's not like

0:47:51.960 --> 0:47:53.840
<v Speaker 1>you look back and be like, well that was stupid.

0:47:54.200 --> 0:47:56.479
<v Speaker 1>We should have kept it. Now, as it turned out,

0:47:56.719 --> 0:48:00.840
<v Speaker 1>Microsoft UM is a toxic environment. It for anything that

0:48:01.000 --> 0:48:04.600
<v Speaker 1>is not Microsoft, and within eighteen months they destroyed the business. Really,

0:48:04.760 --> 0:48:07.600
<v Speaker 1>they wrote the whole thing off. Come on, they would

0:48:07.600 --> 0:48:10.400
<v Speaker 1>have thought they integrate that into bing and that becomes

0:48:10.719 --> 0:48:13.080
<v Speaker 1>they're so desperate to compete with Google at the time,

0:48:13.160 --> 0:48:15.400
<v Speaker 1>they totally screwed it up. I am so shocked to

0:48:15.440 --> 0:48:18.719
<v Speaker 1>hear that. I was thinking, well, it makes sense, it's

0:48:18.760 --> 0:48:22.600
<v Speaker 1>a good fit. They totally botched it. Now that was

0:48:22.680 --> 0:48:26.840
<v Speaker 1>under the bomber. Yeah, it just wasn't. Pretty much botched everything.

0:48:27.360 --> 0:48:29.520
<v Speaker 1>But it could have been strategic because they were rolling

0:48:29.520 --> 0:48:32.720
<v Speaker 1>out well, they miss social, they missearched, they missed mobile.

0:48:33.280 --> 0:48:35.920
<v Speaker 1>This looks like, all right, we gotta participate in those things.

0:48:36.320 --> 0:48:38.520
<v Speaker 1>They let's find a way to watch it. And you

0:48:38.560 --> 0:48:40.680
<v Speaker 1>know what what they should have done is they should

0:48:40.680 --> 0:48:42.520
<v Speaker 1>have rolled it out as a separate entity and had

0:48:42.560 --> 0:48:46.040
<v Speaker 1>somebody had our team run it and and put a

0:48:46.040 --> 0:48:49.080
<v Speaker 1>bunch of stuff that they were doing underneath our team,

0:48:49.120 --> 0:48:50.680
<v Speaker 1>and if they had done that, they had a hell

0:48:50.719 --> 0:48:53.320
<v Speaker 1>of a robust business. But inted, they tried to shoehorn

0:48:53.400 --> 0:48:58.600
<v Speaker 1>it into the giant Microsoft octopus, and you know, it

0:48:58.640 --> 0:49:00.400
<v Speaker 1>just didn't work. Can I tell you one of the

0:49:00.440 --> 0:49:03.600
<v Speaker 1>most fascinating experiences I've had this year. So we're in

0:49:03.640 --> 0:49:07.360
<v Speaker 1>Seattle in January. We get invited to present to the

0:49:07.520 --> 0:49:11.360
<v Speaker 1>Microsoft Treasury Department, which is just a fascinating group of people.

0:49:11.400 --> 0:49:14.760
<v Speaker 1>It's thirty folks in the room. I almost had thirty guys,

0:49:15.040 --> 0:49:17.040
<v Speaker 1>but it's women, women, and they're in a room and

0:49:17.480 --> 0:49:21.520
<v Speaker 1>you're you're basically discussing just they're fielding the thrown questions

0:49:21.520 --> 0:49:24.200
<v Speaker 1>at you and responding. And then we took a tour

0:49:24.440 --> 0:49:31.279
<v Speaker 1>of the campus and people just forget how immense Microsoft is.

0:49:31.360 --> 0:49:35.120
<v Speaker 1>So we're in building five. We see Bill Gates's original office.

0:49:35.160 --> 0:49:38.400
<v Speaker 1>They flip a panel, there's the phone he used to

0:49:38.520 --> 0:49:41.160
<v Speaker 1>call in the to the board meetings, and it's just

0:49:41.160 --> 0:49:44.520
<v Speaker 1>like all this unbelievable history. And then you they start

0:49:44.600 --> 0:49:46.960
<v Speaker 1>walking around, We'll go to we gotta go here. So

0:49:47.000 --> 0:49:50.239
<v Speaker 1>we were in the Microsoft office office. So you walk

0:49:50.280 --> 0:49:52.400
<v Speaker 1>into an office and on the wall it's his Miccloft

0:49:52.440 --> 0:49:55.880
<v Speaker 1>office because oh, this is where they make word Excel, etcetera.

0:49:56.200 --> 0:49:58.200
<v Speaker 1>And so you start walking. You know, they're sending you

0:49:58.239 --> 0:49:59.800
<v Speaker 1>from you going here, you're going there, going around the

0:49:59.840 --> 0:50:02.680
<v Speaker 1>camp this, and like you're in building three, and then

0:50:02.680 --> 0:50:05.400
<v Speaker 1>you're in building twelve, and then you're in building thirty seven.

0:50:05.760 --> 0:50:07.759
<v Speaker 1>And the numbers just keep going up. And how many

0:50:07.760 --> 0:50:10.840
<v Speaker 1>buildings do you, guys? Go? Campus goes about four miles

0:50:10.840 --> 0:50:13.680
<v Speaker 1>that way, there's a hundred and four some crazy you know,

0:50:13.800 --> 0:50:18.560
<v Speaker 1>three figures. It's so big, Like I'm not used to

0:50:18.640 --> 0:50:21.440
<v Speaker 1>a company town. I go to a high rise and

0:50:21.480 --> 0:50:24.480
<v Speaker 1>it's either the research department or the headquarters. To see

0:50:24.480 --> 0:50:28.759
<v Speaker 1>a facility of this size was just mind blind. And

0:50:28.760 --> 0:50:31.880
<v Speaker 1>when you look at the numbers, my my seven fifty

0:50:31.920 --> 0:50:36.920
<v Speaker 1>million of sales or whatever it was. And it's just

0:50:36.960 --> 0:50:40.160
<v Speaker 1>like it's a rounding air. And guys, as successful as

0:50:40.200 --> 0:50:44.120
<v Speaker 1>Apple has become and other companies who have passed them,

0:50:44.200 --> 0:50:47.919
<v Speaker 1>they're still a cash cow. There's still a behemoth. It's

0:50:47.960 --> 0:50:53.319
<v Speaker 1>still the standard there. There isn't a laptop desktop tablet now.

0:50:53.360 --> 0:50:57.840
<v Speaker 1>They made Office available for all the tablets. Everybody, not

0:50:57.960 --> 0:51:00.279
<v Speaker 1>even talking about the database and all the back and

0:51:00.400 --> 0:51:04.520
<v Speaker 1>stuff that consumers don't see. It was just one of

0:51:04.520 --> 0:51:08.319
<v Speaker 1>the wildest experiences because you forget about them. It's like

0:51:08.640 --> 0:51:12.719
<v Speaker 1>I remember in the nineties, Microsoft was front page news constantly.

0:51:13.120 --> 0:51:16.520
<v Speaker 1>First it was this, then it was the litigation, the

0:51:16.520 --> 0:51:20.560
<v Speaker 1>anti trust suit. But now they're just a big, mature

0:51:20.640 --> 0:51:24.319
<v Speaker 1>company that just prints money. It was. It was just

0:51:24.440 --> 0:51:27.600
<v Speaker 1>one of the most amazing things. Like as you look

0:51:27.640 --> 0:51:30.960
<v Speaker 1>off to the horizon and that's still the campus, that building.

0:51:31.239 --> 0:51:34.400
<v Speaker 1>A lot of software developers. We had called an uber

0:51:34.560 --> 0:51:38.520
<v Speaker 1>to get back into town and the guy couldn't find us, like,

0:51:38.560 --> 0:51:42.120
<v Speaker 1>well by building six. Well I'm by building sixteen, and

0:51:42.160 --> 0:51:45.719
<v Speaker 1>now there's building three, and then it's twenty seven. Oh, well,

0:51:45.880 --> 0:51:51.880
<v Speaker 1>they're not exactly in numerical order. Finds us very confusing.

0:51:52.480 --> 0:51:54.759
<v Speaker 1>You've I assume you've been all over that campus. I've

0:51:54.800 --> 0:51:56.879
<v Speaker 1>been a few places on that campus. But not only

0:51:57.040 --> 0:52:03.320
<v Speaker 1>am I exaggerating astonishing, right, absolutely, absolutely astonishing. Let's let's

0:52:03.400 --> 0:52:06.000
<v Speaker 1>talk a little bit about about some of the early

0:52:06.040 --> 0:52:09.680
<v Speaker 1>pieces that that we missed. So I mentioned, um, I

0:52:09.719 --> 0:52:13.080
<v Speaker 1>didn't get to mention the han Our Foundation. Tell us

0:52:13.120 --> 0:52:15.960
<v Speaker 1>what you do with that? Yeah, my wife and I

0:52:16.040 --> 0:52:18.680
<v Speaker 1>do a lot of philanthropy. I would say most of

0:52:18.719 --> 0:52:23.399
<v Speaker 1>it is focused on stuff in the Pacific Northwest. How

0:52:23.480 --> 0:52:25.879
<v Speaker 1>is that different from everywhere else other than the fact

0:52:25.920 --> 0:52:29.200
<v Speaker 1>that you have a fifteen dollar minimum wage target and

0:52:29.560 --> 0:52:33.799
<v Speaker 1>in Seattle now yeah, so so the difference is that

0:52:34.200 --> 0:52:37.719
<v Speaker 1>most of the philanthropy that we do isn't sort of

0:52:37.760 --> 0:52:42.880
<v Speaker 1>the traditional C three uh give to the university or

0:52:43.440 --> 0:52:46.919
<v Speaker 1>whatever philanthropy. Most of the money on a building named

0:52:46.960 --> 0:52:51.000
<v Speaker 1>after you. I regret that there probably will be buildings

0:52:51.080 --> 0:52:54.720
<v Speaker 1>name named after us, but but the focus of what

0:52:55.000 --> 0:52:58.120
<v Speaker 1>we do is more political that if you want to

0:52:58.120 --> 0:53:01.160
<v Speaker 1>create that's policy, is Paul seeing in politics? And that's

0:53:01.200 --> 0:53:05.360
<v Speaker 1>where most of our civic energy and investment goes. So

0:53:05.480 --> 0:53:10.200
<v Speaker 1>what are your big three focuses? Um? What political economy?

0:53:10.920 --> 0:53:16.560
<v Speaker 1>Which is income inequality? And so my gang in Seattle

0:53:16.719 --> 0:53:19.879
<v Speaker 1>that you know, uh, you know, a group of collaborators

0:53:19.920 --> 0:53:22.840
<v Speaker 1>were behind a lot of the whole fifteen dollar minimum

0:53:22.840 --> 0:53:26.160
<v Speaker 1>wage thing, which is sales in over how long? Uh?

0:53:26.160 --> 0:53:29.960
<v Speaker 1>In Seattle it scales in over five years more or less.

0:53:30.200 --> 0:53:33.279
<v Speaker 1>But it passed in Seattle, San Francisco, l A. I'm

0:53:33.320 --> 0:53:36.640
<v Speaker 1>actually in New York with you bury today because I

0:53:36.680 --> 0:53:39.920
<v Speaker 1>was asked to testify, uh, in front of the wage

0:53:39.920 --> 0:53:44.000
<v Speaker 1>board that's considering the same thing here in New York State. UH.

0:53:44.040 --> 0:53:46.240
<v Speaker 1>And so you know, a lot of energy and work

0:53:46.320 --> 0:53:49.480
<v Speaker 1>goes into that work. Another one of my projects right

0:53:49.560 --> 0:53:54.080
<v Speaker 1>now is the overtime threshold UH, an incredibly consequential piece

0:53:54.080 --> 0:53:57.520
<v Speaker 1>of policy. What is that? What is the overtime So? So,

0:53:58.320 --> 0:54:02.839
<v Speaker 1>the President UH of the United States, through a rulemaking

0:54:02.880 --> 0:54:07.360
<v Speaker 1>process within the Labor Department, has has the power to

0:54:07.480 --> 0:54:12.920
<v Speaker 1>change the threshold number, the salary number below which people

0:54:13.000 --> 0:54:15.960
<v Speaker 1>are entitled to overtime if they work more than forty

0:54:15.960 --> 0:54:19.120
<v Speaker 1>hours a week. And in the day when he let

0:54:19.120 --> 0:54:21.359
<v Speaker 1>me make sure I didn't say this. So if you're

0:54:21.360 --> 0:54:23.960
<v Speaker 1>making less than X a year on an annual basis

0:54:24.120 --> 0:54:26.040
<v Speaker 1>and your salary, you get over time if you're work.

0:54:27.760 --> 0:54:31.160
<v Speaker 1>But what are those numbers currently? So? So today, if

0:54:31.200 --> 0:54:35.200
<v Speaker 1>you earn more less than twenty three thousand, six hundred dollars,

0:54:35.320 --> 0:54:40.880
<v Speaker 1>which is basically a poverty way, yeah, you automatically are

0:54:41.000 --> 0:54:43.759
<v Speaker 1>entitled to overtime no matter what. But if you earn

0:54:43.880 --> 0:54:46.640
<v Speaker 1>more than twenty three thousand, six hundred dollars a year,

0:54:47.000 --> 0:54:50.080
<v Speaker 1>let's say, and your employer pitches you a fake title

0:54:50.120 --> 0:54:53.480
<v Speaker 1>like assistant manager, they can get they can force you

0:54:53.520 --> 0:54:55.440
<v Speaker 1>to work seventy hours a week and not pay you

0:54:55.480 --> 0:54:58.279
<v Speaker 1>for the extra thirty, claiming that you're now management, not

0:54:58.480 --> 0:55:05.080
<v Speaker 1>labor exactly, and and uh, everyone knows that Americans are

0:55:05.120 --> 0:55:08.800
<v Speaker 1>working their butts off more than almost any other It's crazy,

0:55:08.880 --> 0:55:12.160
<v Speaker 1>the most absolutely. And and you know, in fact, there

0:55:12.200 --> 0:55:14.520
<v Speaker 1>was a recent Gallop poll that showed that that the

0:55:14.640 --> 0:55:18.760
<v Speaker 1>average full the average American full time worker works forty

0:55:18.760 --> 0:55:22.319
<v Speaker 1>seven hours. And that's not counting the email. You're doing

0:55:22.320 --> 0:55:25.840
<v Speaker 1>it at midnant, right, you know, right exactly, and so

0:55:26.680 --> 0:55:31.279
<v Speaker 1>and and that and so here's the thing is that

0:55:31.360 --> 0:55:34.520
<v Speaker 1>in the day very when we had a thriving middle class,

0:55:34.600 --> 0:55:39.000
<v Speaker 1>something like sixty three of salaried workers were entitled to

0:55:39.080 --> 0:55:42.000
<v Speaker 1>overtime if they worked more than forty hours a week.

0:55:42.680 --> 0:55:46.759
<v Speaker 1>Today that number is like nine. It's some of it

0:55:46.880 --> 0:55:49.319
<v Speaker 1>is the dearth of unions. No no, no, no, no no.

0:55:49.360 --> 0:55:52.320
<v Speaker 1>This is all because this labor standard has been allowed

0:55:52.360 --> 0:55:56.160
<v Speaker 1>to it just hasn't changed over decades. In other words,

0:55:56.200 --> 0:55:59.840
<v Speaker 1>inflation is just exactly exactly, that's amazing. I just just

0:56:00.040 --> 0:56:03.000
<v Speaker 1>him that was the the slow death of unions that

0:56:03.080 --> 0:56:05.560
<v Speaker 1>causes that can that contributes to it, of course, And

0:56:05.600 --> 0:56:08.839
<v Speaker 1>if you if you are an a union. Your your

0:56:08.960 --> 0:56:11.880
<v Speaker 1>union has almost certainly negotiated that for you. But if

0:56:11.880 --> 0:56:14.520
<v Speaker 1>you're not in a union, and people in America are

0:56:14.560 --> 0:56:18.120
<v Speaker 1>not in unions, UM, that means that if you earned

0:56:18.120 --> 0:56:21.080
<v Speaker 1>twenty five thou dollars a year being an assistant manager

0:56:21.120 --> 0:56:24.280
<v Speaker 1>for Jack in the Box or whatever it is, Uh,

0:56:24.400 --> 0:56:26.480
<v Speaker 1>your employer can work you seventy hours a week and

0:56:26.640 --> 0:56:29.439
<v Speaker 1>not pay you for the extra thirty that you work.

0:56:29.840 --> 0:56:31.480
<v Speaker 1>And there are two there. There are a number of

0:56:31.520 --> 0:56:35.239
<v Speaker 1>things that are really terrible about that. Let's start with

0:56:35.280 --> 0:56:38.600
<v Speaker 1>the fact that it recks your life. Um, we wonder

0:56:38.640 --> 0:56:42.800
<v Speaker 1>why people, why why our schools struggle will when parents

0:56:42.800 --> 0:56:44.799
<v Speaker 1>are working seventy or sixty hours a week, they're not

0:56:44.840 --> 0:56:47.879
<v Speaker 1>helping their kids with homework, right, and so so there's

0:56:47.920 --> 0:56:51.560
<v Speaker 1>the whole impact that this extra work has on the family.

0:56:51.640 --> 0:56:55.120
<v Speaker 1>But the but the more insidious economic effects aren't just

0:56:55.239 --> 0:56:57.400
<v Speaker 1>that you're getting cheated out of the pay of twenty

0:56:57.480 --> 0:57:02.319
<v Speaker 1>or thirty extra hours of work. More particularly, what it

0:57:02.400 --> 0:57:06.080
<v Speaker 1>allows people like me to do is take three jobs

0:57:06.360 --> 0:57:08.359
<v Speaker 1>and turn it into two. Because if I can get

0:57:08.400 --> 0:57:10.719
<v Speaker 1>two people to work sixty hours a week, I don't

0:57:10.760 --> 0:57:13.960
<v Speaker 1>need three employees. They only need two employees. Right. And

0:57:14.000 --> 0:57:16.720
<v Speaker 1>what that does is it obviously softens the labor market.

0:57:16.880 --> 0:57:19.120
<v Speaker 1>It pulls a job out of the labor market. And

0:57:19.120 --> 0:57:21.360
<v Speaker 1>by pulling a job out of the labor market, you

0:57:21.480 --> 0:57:26.280
<v Speaker 1>increase the rate of unemployment, which in turn softens wages.

0:57:26.920 --> 0:57:29.440
<v Speaker 1>So we have comes vicious it's a vicious cycle, right,

0:57:29.480 --> 0:57:31.760
<v Speaker 1>It's a feedback loop. And so we have this persistent

0:57:31.920 --> 0:57:36.640
<v Speaker 1>high level of unemployment. And a huge part of it

0:57:36.680 --> 0:57:41.160
<v Speaker 1>is the fact that employers are using this loophole essentially

0:57:41.240 --> 0:57:43.680
<v Speaker 1>to get workers to do the work of one and

0:57:43.680 --> 0:57:46.320
<v Speaker 1>a half workers, rather than employing more workers to do

0:57:46.360 --> 0:57:49.080
<v Speaker 1>that work. How many people in America would you gues

0:57:49.160 --> 0:57:54.280
<v Speaker 1>estimate are doing this sort of excess work. Let's assume

0:57:54.320 --> 0:57:58.320
<v Speaker 1>there's a hundred and fifty million plus in the labor pool. Yeah,

0:57:58.360 --> 0:58:00.360
<v Speaker 1>I mean, you know half of them are, you know,

0:58:00.480 --> 0:58:03.240
<v Speaker 1>sort of half of them are. If you're hourly, you

0:58:03.280 --> 0:58:06.000
<v Speaker 1>automatically get over time. And I think there's sixty or

0:58:06.080 --> 0:58:11.440
<v Speaker 1>seventy million hourly employees many, Yeah, but but I mean,

0:58:11.480 --> 0:58:14.840
<v Speaker 1>you know, seventy five million or eighty million full time

0:58:14.840 --> 0:58:17.959
<v Speaker 1>workers in the United States. Um, you know, the vast

0:58:18.000 --> 0:58:20.600
<v Speaker 1>majority of us are working overtime. Now, I don't think

0:58:20.600 --> 0:58:22.880
<v Speaker 1>everybody should get overtime. Very I don't think you should

0:58:22.920 --> 0:58:27.520
<v Speaker 1>get overtime. Here's the thing, you know what. I wrote

0:58:27.520 --> 0:58:30.280
<v Speaker 1>a piece that appeared in Politico a few months ago

0:58:30.360 --> 0:58:33.120
<v Speaker 1>called you know, whatever happened overtime and which I argued

0:58:33.160 --> 0:58:35.680
<v Speaker 1>that we should bring we we should bring the threshold

0:58:35.720 --> 0:58:38.120
<v Speaker 1>back up to the high water mark, which would be

0:58:38.240 --> 0:58:42.160
<v Speaker 1>sixty nine thousand dollars plus or minus today from where

0:58:42.160 --> 0:58:46.160
<v Speaker 1>it once was fifty three exactly. So you're really just

0:58:46.240 --> 0:58:48.480
<v Speaker 1>about the middle, maybe a touch a touch higher. So

0:58:48.560 --> 0:58:51.439
<v Speaker 1>my reasoning is, look, if you earn more than two

0:58:51.480 --> 0:58:54.280
<v Speaker 1>thirds of your fellow Americans, good for you. You're on

0:58:54.320 --> 0:58:56.360
<v Speaker 1>your own. But if you were in less than the

0:58:56.400 --> 0:58:59.600
<v Speaker 1>top third of Americans, you're working for somebody else. They're

0:58:59.640 --> 0:59:01.720
<v Speaker 1>telling you what to do. And if you work more

0:59:01.760 --> 0:59:04.320
<v Speaker 1>than forty hours, you should get paid for it. Uh

0:59:04.360 --> 0:59:07.520
<v Speaker 1>And and so we went on a campaign to try

0:59:07.560 --> 0:59:11.600
<v Speaker 1>to persuade the Obama administration in their rulemaking process to

0:59:11.600 --> 0:59:14.280
<v Speaker 1>to to to bring that threshold back up to a

0:59:14.280 --> 0:59:17.760
<v Speaker 1>reasonable level. And what you say, rulemaking process. So this

0:59:17.840 --> 0:59:22.720
<v Speaker 1>doesn't require an Act of Congress. It's it's it's it's

0:59:22.520 --> 0:59:27.840
<v Speaker 1>it's it's happening. And in about a week or two. Uh,

0:59:28.440 --> 0:59:32.840
<v Speaker 1>the rule will be announced. Uh and um, if you

0:59:32.920 --> 0:59:35.680
<v Speaker 1>just let the cat out of the bag. Uh. Well, no, there,

0:59:35.680 --> 0:59:40.080
<v Speaker 1>there there. There have been some articles indicating this coming.

0:59:40.080 --> 0:59:42.440
<v Speaker 1>But what does this mean for the middle class? What

0:59:42.480 --> 0:59:47.480
<v Speaker 1>does this mean for that group oft in? In my opinion,

0:59:47.960 --> 0:59:50.920
<v Speaker 1>a high a reasonable overtime threshold is to the middle

0:59:50.920 --> 0:59:53.160
<v Speaker 1>class what a minimum wage is to low wage work.

0:59:53.240 --> 0:59:57.080
<v Speaker 1>It's an indispensable labor protection. An indispensable labor protection. You

0:59:57.160 --> 1:00:01.040
<v Speaker 1>can't have a thriving middle class unless, uh, you have

1:00:01.200 --> 1:00:04.760
<v Speaker 1>a reasonable overtime threshold. Otherwise you soften the labor market

1:00:04.840 --> 1:00:07.280
<v Speaker 1>and you get people to work for free, and and

1:00:07.280 --> 1:00:10.920
<v Speaker 1>and and both of those things are incredibly corrosive. So now,

1:00:10.960 --> 1:00:14.200
<v Speaker 1>how do you how do you respond when people say, Nick,

1:00:14.240 --> 1:00:16.600
<v Speaker 1>you sound a lot less like a venture capitalist and

1:00:16.640 --> 1:00:20.120
<v Speaker 1>a lot more like a labor organizer. You what I

1:00:20.160 --> 1:00:23.880
<v Speaker 1>say to him is, you don't understand capitalism, right, so

1:00:24.040 --> 1:00:26.680
<v Speaker 1>you want a robust middle class out buying your product, Yes,

1:00:26.960 --> 1:00:30.200
<v Speaker 1>you don't understand capitalism. Being rapacious doesn't mean make you

1:00:30.240 --> 1:00:35.120
<v Speaker 1>a capitalist. It makes you a sociopath and a jerk. Okay,

1:00:35.280 --> 1:00:38.440
<v Speaker 1>that there's a difference. And that Twitter handle is what's

1:00:38.440 --> 1:00:41.800
<v Speaker 1>that Twitter handle? Is? Uh? What your Twitter handle? Nick at,

1:00:41.880 --> 1:00:44.880
<v Speaker 1>Nick Caner at Nick Hannah. So send those nasty tweets

1:00:44.880 --> 1:00:49.439
<v Speaker 1>to being rapacious doesn't make you a capitalist. Well that part,

1:00:49.560 --> 1:00:53.400
<v Speaker 1>by the way, that seems perfectly reasonable, and yet you

1:00:53.440 --> 1:00:56.080
<v Speaker 1>get a lot of pushback. I do, and you know

1:00:56.160 --> 1:00:58.400
<v Speaker 1>I understand it. But look, here's the thing is that,

1:00:58.800 --> 1:01:01.600
<v Speaker 1>by the way, let me interrupt yourself my personal beef.

1:01:01.720 --> 1:01:04.200
<v Speaker 1>And maybe it's because we're in the Northeast and we

1:01:04.320 --> 1:01:09.080
<v Speaker 1>have such hideous winters, especially the past two winters have

1:01:09.120 --> 1:01:13.440
<v Speaker 1>been insane. Is the gas tax has been stuck at

1:01:13.480 --> 1:01:17.840
<v Speaker 1>the same level since Meanwhile, we have the price of

1:01:17.880 --> 1:01:21.160
<v Speaker 1>oil dropped in half, gases a couple of bucks cheaper

1:01:21.200 --> 1:01:24.560
<v Speaker 1>than it was three years ago. Just raise the gas

1:01:24.560 --> 1:01:28.000
<v Speaker 1>tacks twenty or thirty cents. Pave all these roads that

1:01:28.080 --> 1:01:32.000
<v Speaker 1>look like their disasters, fix these bridges that are falling down.

1:01:32.440 --> 1:01:36.760
<v Speaker 1>You'll create all these good construction jobs. And you know,

1:01:36.800 --> 1:01:39.680
<v Speaker 1>for people, it's a shame that two thirds of whatever

1:01:39.680 --> 1:01:42.360
<v Speaker 1>the number is of the US that doesn't have a passport.

1:01:42.800 --> 1:01:45.120
<v Speaker 1>When you leave the United States and you go to Europe,

1:01:45.120 --> 1:01:47.920
<v Speaker 1>where you go to Asia, it's like, oh, that's what

1:01:48.760 --> 1:01:51.480
<v Speaker 1>roads and bridges were like in the nineteen fifties in

1:01:51.520 --> 1:01:55.280
<v Speaker 1>the United States, after we put the equivalent of trillions

1:01:55.320 --> 1:01:59.000
<v Speaker 1>of dollars of infrastructure investment. To not do that seems

1:01:59.040 --> 1:02:03.200
<v Speaker 1>so Unamerican. And yet people are horrified. How can I

1:02:03.280 --> 1:02:06.440
<v Speaker 1>vote to raise a tax twenty cents a gallon because

1:02:06.480 --> 1:02:08.600
<v Speaker 1>you need roads that are paid Yeah, yeah, no, it's

1:02:08.720 --> 1:02:11.080
<v Speaker 1>it's it's extraordinary. And you know, the thing is is

1:02:11.120 --> 1:02:15.160
<v Speaker 1>that we have this weird sort of mental disease in

1:02:15.200 --> 1:02:18.800
<v Speaker 1>this country that is somehow like a whole bunch of

1:02:18.920 --> 1:02:25.520
<v Speaker 1>us have confused suffocating collectivism, which is bad, with the

1:02:25.600 --> 1:02:29.480
<v Speaker 1>need to solve collective action problems, which is what civilization

1:02:29.560 --> 1:02:35.440
<v Speaker 1>depends on. Society exactly right, defends should we put our

1:02:35.480 --> 1:02:38.280
<v Speaker 1>own fires out or should we have a fire department?

1:02:38.960 --> 1:02:41.320
<v Speaker 1>Should I have to hack my way from my house

1:02:41.320 --> 1:02:44.040
<v Speaker 1>to your house with a machete through the woods, or

1:02:44.120 --> 1:02:48.440
<v Speaker 1>should we build a road in between our houses? Right? Confused,

1:02:48.480 --> 1:02:51.600
<v Speaker 1>I have no idea. We go from a nation that

1:02:51.760 --> 1:02:56.000
<v Speaker 1>was literally the shining city on the hill, the standard

1:02:56.000 --> 1:03:00.520
<v Speaker 1>for everybody else. You can't name an infrastructure that the

1:03:00.600 --> 1:03:03.880
<v Speaker 1>United States forget number one, where the United States is

1:03:03.920 --> 1:03:08.520
<v Speaker 1>in the top ten, Whether it's whether it's cell connectivity, broadband,

1:03:09.720 --> 1:03:12.720
<v Speaker 1>high speed trains, got mass transit. Going down the list,

1:03:13.040 --> 1:03:15.400
<v Speaker 1>there is nothing that forget number. We're not even in

1:03:15.440 --> 1:03:17.600
<v Speaker 1>the top ten. Yeah, I don't know. It's like this

1:03:17.720 --> 1:03:21.760
<v Speaker 1>odd psycho pathology where you've got this minority of people

1:03:21.800 --> 1:03:25.920
<v Speaker 1>who have convinced themselves that anything we do together is

1:03:25.960 --> 1:03:29.840
<v Speaker 1>somehow is communism or a bad thing. It's just it's

1:03:29.840 --> 1:03:33.600
<v Speaker 1>just for the military. Even then in Texas, the military.

1:03:33.600 --> 1:03:35.600
<v Speaker 1>You must have read about this. The military was doing

1:03:35.640 --> 1:03:39.240
<v Speaker 1>exercises in Texas and Greg Abbott calls out the National

1:03:39.240 --> 1:03:42.040
<v Speaker 1>Guard to protect Texas against the U. S. Military or

1:03:42.040 --> 1:03:44.800
<v Speaker 1>whatever it is. It's just not so just the shift.

1:03:45.080 --> 1:03:47.280
<v Speaker 1>I'll tell you what I see is that shift is

1:03:47.640 --> 1:03:53.600
<v Speaker 1>someone figured out that the low information voter some people

1:03:53.600 --> 1:03:57.880
<v Speaker 1>who are uninformed, ignorance, and happy. That way you could

1:03:58.200 --> 1:04:02.120
<v Speaker 1>spew whatever nonsense you want to them. And you know,

1:04:02.200 --> 1:04:05.640
<v Speaker 1>my favorite example of that was the sign during one

1:04:05.640 --> 1:04:09.040
<v Speaker 1>of the Tea Party um before it was co opted

1:04:09.080 --> 1:04:12.560
<v Speaker 1>by the existing parties, but there was a sign, keep

1:04:12.600 --> 1:04:16.360
<v Speaker 1>your government hands off my medicage. Yeah yeah, wait, you

1:04:16.360 --> 1:04:21.560
<v Speaker 1>you really are the ultimate low information voters. So that

1:04:21.760 --> 1:04:24.400
<v Speaker 1>so the minimum wage is a great example of that, right,

1:04:24.440 --> 1:04:27.880
<v Speaker 1>the minimum wage is a way to solve a collective

1:04:27.920 --> 1:04:30.640
<v Speaker 1>action problem. So from the point of view of the

1:04:30.720 --> 1:04:35.000
<v Speaker 1>individual business, of course, paying poverty wages is awesome. I

1:04:35.040 --> 1:04:38.880
<v Speaker 1>pay my workers nothing, my profits are high. But you

1:04:39.000 --> 1:04:41.800
<v Speaker 1>have a business and you pay your workers good wages,

1:04:42.080 --> 1:04:47.120
<v Speaker 1>so your workers can buy stuff from me. Now sadly, yeah, sadly,

1:04:47.160 --> 1:04:49.440
<v Speaker 1>it won't work out the other way. My workers will

1:04:49.480 --> 1:04:52.280
<v Speaker 1>not be able to buy anything from you. Uh. But

1:04:52.400 --> 1:04:54.240
<v Speaker 1>what do I care? If I can get you to

1:04:54.360 --> 1:04:58.240
<v Speaker 1>do that deal? Right? Your workers pay taxes. My workers

1:04:58.320 --> 1:05:01.440
<v Speaker 1>don't pay taxes. In fact, they food stamps and medicaid

1:05:01.600 --> 1:05:05.680
<v Speaker 1>that your workers will provide. Again, So who wouldn't want

1:05:05.720 --> 1:05:08.040
<v Speaker 1>that deal? But the problem with that deal, Barry, of course,

1:05:08.120 --> 1:05:10.240
<v Speaker 1>is that not everybody can have that deal. Because everybody

1:05:10.240 --> 1:05:12.800
<v Speaker 1>have that has that deal, who will buy the stuff,

1:05:13.400 --> 1:05:16.360
<v Speaker 1>who will pay the taxes? And the only way you

1:05:16.360 --> 1:05:20.080
<v Speaker 1>can solve that problem, which is a collective action problem,

1:05:20.200 --> 1:05:23.720
<v Speaker 1>is by requiring everybody to pay their workers at least

1:05:23.880 --> 1:05:26.760
<v Speaker 1>enough so that they can participate in the economy and

1:05:26.760 --> 1:05:29.600
<v Speaker 1>so they don't need government services. That the way that

1:05:29.640 --> 1:05:33.120
<v Speaker 1>I've outraged, the way I've framed that argument so that

1:05:33.160 --> 1:05:38.200
<v Speaker 1>it was palatable for my conservative friends has been Look there,

1:05:38.280 --> 1:05:40.680
<v Speaker 1>I know you don't like wealth transfers, but there's a

1:05:40.720 --> 1:05:44.520
<v Speaker 1>wealth transfer going on right now, and it's from taxpayers,

1:05:44.520 --> 1:05:47.920
<v Speaker 1>of which you're one. Two fast food restaurants and and

1:05:49.200 --> 1:05:53.080
<v Speaker 1>places like Walmart that basically have figured out how to

1:05:53.080 --> 1:05:56.360
<v Speaker 1>pay people enough, and I understand the system is there.

1:05:56.400 --> 1:05:59.560
<v Speaker 1>They're gaming it except in places where they've helped form

1:05:59.640 --> 1:06:02.080
<v Speaker 1>the system them So there you can say, well, they

1:06:02.160 --> 1:06:05.640
<v Speaker 1>just were confronted by a tax system and they hired

1:06:05.640 --> 1:06:09.720
<v Speaker 1>an accountant to present the best tax situation. But here

1:06:09.760 --> 1:06:13.000
<v Speaker 1>where they've helped form the system, they're gaming it. The

1:06:13.040 --> 1:06:17.440
<v Speaker 1>bottom line is they're transferring wealth from taxpayers to themselves.

1:06:18.040 --> 1:06:21.040
<v Speaker 1>Let's pull the taxpayer out of it. This is a

1:06:21.080 --> 1:06:25.120
<v Speaker 1>relationship between the customers, the owners, and the employees. And

1:06:25.160 --> 1:06:27.160
<v Speaker 1>if it means that you have to charge an extra

1:06:27.240 --> 1:06:30.600
<v Speaker 1>fifty cents to selling McDonald's hamburgers, perfectly, why are we

1:06:30.720 --> 1:06:35.240
<v Speaker 1>subsidizing that? Exactly? That's what I don't get perfect leave Look,

1:06:35.280 --> 1:06:37.720
<v Speaker 1>you could, you could charge what you want, you could

1:06:37.760 --> 1:06:40.640
<v Speaker 1>do whatever you want, just leave us taxpayers out exactly.

1:06:40.680 --> 1:06:44.280
<v Speaker 1>And you know, I'm an old fashioned capitalist. I think

1:06:44.280 --> 1:06:47.960
<v Speaker 1>that you know wages are the way that we do

1:06:48.040 --> 1:06:51.280
<v Speaker 1>this in a capitalist system, Right, That's that, you know,

1:06:52.400 --> 1:06:54.480
<v Speaker 1>Why should we have an E I T C that

1:06:54.560 --> 1:06:56.960
<v Speaker 1>makes up the difference? Why should we have food stamps

1:06:56.960 --> 1:06:59.960
<v Speaker 1>that make up the difference? Why can't Walmart paid to work?

1:07:00.000 --> 1:07:03.040
<v Speaker 1>There's enough so that they can have healthcare and be

1:07:03.120 --> 1:07:05.080
<v Speaker 1>able to buy stuff like the rest of us. There's

1:07:05.120 --> 1:07:08.320
<v Speaker 1>just no reason for it. And and and you know,

1:07:08.400 --> 1:07:11.880
<v Speaker 1>and and that's why I'm in New York toify, you know,

1:07:11.880 --> 1:07:15.240
<v Speaker 1>because I think it's it's so it's a it's as

1:07:15.280 --> 1:07:19.600
<v Speaker 1>economically idiotic as it is morally. So here's the interesting

1:07:19.800 --> 1:07:23.320
<v Speaker 1>here's the interesting development that's just taken place. There's a

1:07:23.320 --> 1:07:26.360
<v Speaker 1>new CEO at Walmart, there's a new head of retail.

1:07:26.400 --> 1:07:28.440
<v Speaker 1>There's a whole bunch of changes that have taken place.

1:07:29.320 --> 1:07:34.560
<v Speaker 1>After their most recent quarterly announcement, the company CEO had

1:07:34.600 --> 1:07:36.800
<v Speaker 1>come out and said one of the big issues that

1:07:36.840 --> 1:07:39.840
<v Speaker 1>they were having was a huge turnover. Right, they have

1:07:40.440 --> 1:07:43.280
<v Speaker 1>almost two million employees in the United States and something

1:07:43.320 --> 1:07:46.640
<v Speaker 1>like someway between a forty and at turnover rate and

1:07:46.680 --> 1:07:49.600
<v Speaker 1>of course one and a half times the salary to

1:07:49.680 --> 1:07:53.440
<v Speaker 1>actually go through that process on a on a regular basis.

1:07:53.800 --> 1:07:57.640
<v Speaker 1>They started to say their their turnover rate has come down,

1:07:58.040 --> 1:08:02.600
<v Speaker 1>their employee satisfaction as has improved, their customer satisfaction is

1:08:02.600 --> 1:08:06.440
<v Speaker 1>going up. So it turns out paying people a reasonable

1:08:06.480 --> 1:08:09.240
<v Speaker 1>wage and we're just talking about going to I think

1:08:09.240 --> 1:08:12.200
<v Speaker 1>it was a nine dollar an hour. The announcement that

1:08:12.240 --> 1:08:14.720
<v Speaker 1>he made is the nine dollar now wages having the

1:08:14.760 --> 1:08:18.160
<v Speaker 1>intended effect they go to ten dollars and the CEO

1:08:18.280 --> 1:08:20.559
<v Speaker 1>actually said, and we expect to take it higher than

1:08:20.600 --> 1:08:24.799
<v Speaker 1>ten dollars new slash. When you stop treating people like chattel,

1:08:25.439 --> 1:08:28.400
<v Speaker 1>things get better for everybody. Right. This is sort of

1:08:28.439 --> 1:08:31.479
<v Speaker 1>an old lesson from humanity. You know, the better we

1:08:31.520 --> 1:08:34.439
<v Speaker 1>treat one another, the better it goes for everybody in general.

1:08:34.520 --> 1:08:37.120
<v Speaker 1>And again this comes back to my early statement, being

1:08:37.200 --> 1:08:40.240
<v Speaker 1>rapacious doesn't make make you a capitalist, makes you a jerk.

1:08:40.800 --> 1:08:45.280
<v Speaker 1>Uh And and and that's at Nick hann Hour on Twitter.

1:08:45.760 --> 1:08:49.240
<v Speaker 1>So the this is your answering. The first part of

1:08:49.400 --> 1:08:52.439
<v Speaker 1>what is the Foundation focus on? One thing was public

1:08:52.439 --> 1:08:54.880
<v Speaker 1>policy and income inequality. What else do you guys? Look?

1:08:55.000 --> 1:08:56.840
<v Speaker 1>And I just I just want to be on this one,

1:08:56.960 --> 1:08:59.439
<v Speaker 1>this one point for for a minute longer, because the

1:08:59.439 --> 1:09:03.800
<v Speaker 1>pushback on this has been Uh, the so called economic

1:09:03.840 --> 1:09:06.160
<v Speaker 1>theory that if wages go up, employment will go down,

1:09:06.560 --> 1:09:11.200
<v Speaker 1>right and fairly thoroughly debunked. A few months ago. I

1:09:11.240 --> 1:09:15.320
<v Speaker 1>had Alan Krueger, who was Obama's chairman of the Council

1:09:15.320 --> 1:09:18.800
<v Speaker 1>of Economic Advisors. He did a very famous study in

1:09:18.880 --> 1:09:22.280
<v Speaker 1>the early nineties with I want to say, David Card

1:09:22.400 --> 1:09:25.800
<v Speaker 1>where they just happen to have two towns on opposite

1:09:25.800 --> 1:09:28.719
<v Speaker 1>sides of a state border. One raised the minimum wage,

1:09:28.760 --> 1:09:32.400
<v Speaker 1>the other didn't. The impact was really modest. The takeaway is,

1:09:32.560 --> 1:09:37.719
<v Speaker 1>if there's a gradual increase of modest amounts, the impact

1:09:37.800 --> 1:09:41.120
<v Speaker 1>is a net positive. If you double the minimum wage tomorrow,

1:09:41.240 --> 1:09:44.599
<v Speaker 1>you're gonna have a negative. It turns out that's not

1:09:44.680 --> 1:09:47.320
<v Speaker 1>even true. Yeah, that's not true. So if we double

1:09:48.120 --> 1:09:51.240
<v Speaker 1>in the in the in the forties, uh, late forties,

1:09:51.280 --> 1:09:55.040
<v Speaker 1>we we the minimum wage went up, but it was

1:09:55.160 --> 1:09:57.840
<v Speaker 1>frozen old during the war. Okay, but it went up

1:09:57.840 --> 1:10:00.479
<v Speaker 1>eighty eight percent in one year, and and and employment

1:10:00.479 --> 1:10:03.479
<v Speaker 1>plummeted from like five to two percent over the next

1:10:03.520 --> 1:10:05.960
<v Speaker 1>couple of years. So to be clear, to be clear,

1:10:06.200 --> 1:10:09.280
<v Speaker 1>there's abundantet evidence that the more money you pay workers,

1:10:09.320 --> 1:10:11.400
<v Speaker 1>the better business will be in the more workers you'll need.

1:10:11.720 --> 1:10:14.120
<v Speaker 1>But here's the point. Here's the point. Despite the fact

1:10:14.160 --> 1:10:17.439
<v Speaker 1>that this has been totally discredited, it does not stop

1:10:17.640 --> 1:10:21.360
<v Speaker 1>industry and political leaders from saying it again and again

1:10:21.479 --> 1:10:24.880
<v Speaker 1>and again and again. If you get enough billionaires funding

1:10:25.000 --> 1:10:29.040
<v Speaker 1>enough thing tanks to say stupid stuff, eventually people start

1:10:29.080 --> 1:10:31.479
<v Speaker 1>to believe right exactly. And and you know, the reason

1:10:31.560 --> 1:10:33.200
<v Speaker 1>I wanted to come to New York is to make

1:10:33.200 --> 1:10:36.839
<v Speaker 1>it clear that the only thing that's true about the statement,

1:10:36.880 --> 1:10:40.240
<v Speaker 1>the claim when wages go up, employment comes down, is

1:10:40.479 --> 1:10:43.280
<v Speaker 1>that if people like me can get workers to believe

1:10:43.320 --> 1:10:45.880
<v Speaker 1>it's true, it would be very good for people like me.

1:10:46.640 --> 1:10:51.719
<v Speaker 1>Then claim is a scam. It's an intimidation tactic. That's

1:10:51.720 --> 1:10:53.600
<v Speaker 1>what it is. It's a it's it's a it's a

1:10:53.680 --> 1:10:57.000
<v Speaker 1>it's a way of controlling people's behavior because if I

1:10:57.040 --> 1:11:01.479
<v Speaker 1>can intimidate you into believing it, if you get higher wages,

1:11:01.520 --> 1:11:04.400
<v Speaker 1>I'll fire you. Then I then I you know, then

1:11:04.439 --> 1:11:09.559
<v Speaker 1>I blunt the aggressiveness that you'll pursue higher wages. And

1:11:09.600 --> 1:11:11.839
<v Speaker 1>that's what this is all about. In fact, in Seattle,

1:11:11.840 --> 1:11:14.720
<v Speaker 1>which already pays way way we hire minimum wage uh

1:11:14.720 --> 1:11:17.080
<v Speaker 1>than places like New York, any other place in the

1:11:17.080 --> 1:11:20.120
<v Speaker 1>country for fast food workers. In particular, we don't have

1:11:20.320 --> 1:11:23.880
<v Speaker 1>fewer restaurants per capita. We have more restaurants per capita.

1:11:24.080 --> 1:11:26.920
<v Speaker 1>We have more restaurants per capita and Seattle, Washington than

1:11:27.000 --> 1:11:30.160
<v Speaker 1>you do even in New York. The only major city

1:11:30.160 --> 1:11:32.880
<v Speaker 1>in the country that has more restaurants per capita than

1:11:33.000 --> 1:11:36.680
<v Speaker 1>Seattle is San Francisco that pays even pays even more

1:11:36.680 --> 1:11:39.719
<v Speaker 1>than Seattle. And this is because when restaurants pay restaurant

1:11:39.720 --> 1:11:42.240
<v Speaker 1>workers enough so that even they can afford eating restaurants,

1:11:42.360 --> 1:11:45.080
<v Speaker 1>guess what, it's pretty good. It's pretty good for the restaurant.

1:11:45.320 --> 1:11:48.040
<v Speaker 1>You know. There was a lot of pushback about Seattle

1:11:48.280 --> 1:11:51.719
<v Speaker 1>about the minimum wage and restaurants where the focus, and

1:11:51.840 --> 1:11:55.240
<v Speaker 1>we actually did some research and found out because people

1:11:55.320 --> 1:11:59.080
<v Speaker 1>love anecdotal examples of pizza place, that was a headline.

1:11:59.080 --> 1:12:01.200
<v Speaker 1>W we saw a piece of place closed in Seattle.

1:12:01.520 --> 1:12:03.840
<v Speaker 1>But when you look at the numbers, but you look

1:12:03.880 --> 1:12:07.200
<v Speaker 1>at the number of closings, they've been pretty steady over

1:12:07.240 --> 1:12:10.479
<v Speaker 1>the past three years before the this went into effect

1:12:10.520 --> 1:12:13.800
<v Speaker 1>earlier this year. The minimum wage before and after the

1:12:13.880 --> 1:12:17.000
<v Speaker 1>number of closings are the same. But more importantly, when

1:12:17.000 --> 1:12:20.320
<v Speaker 1>you looked at the permits for new restaurant openings. They

1:12:20.320 --> 1:12:23.360
<v Speaker 1>have been climbing steadily and they continue to climb steadily.

1:12:23.720 --> 1:12:27.080
<v Speaker 1>So there is this meme out that, oh, Seattle is

1:12:27.160 --> 1:12:31.719
<v Speaker 1>killing their restaurant business booming, right. And by the way

1:12:31.960 --> 1:12:35.400
<v Speaker 1>we were, I was just in Seattle, full disclosure everybody.

1:12:35.800 --> 1:12:38.639
<v Speaker 1>The way I met Nick is we were meeting somebody

1:12:38.640 --> 1:12:41.719
<v Speaker 1>who was a potential client and you just happened to

1:12:41.760 --> 1:12:44.400
<v Speaker 1>be at that dinner and we started chatting, and I'm like,

1:12:44.439 --> 1:12:47.200
<v Speaker 1>why is that name so familiar? Nick? I know I

1:12:47.280 --> 1:12:50.200
<v Speaker 1>read something that he uh, I know, I read something

1:12:50.240 --> 1:12:52.880
<v Speaker 1>that he wrote and it was somewhere but um, when

1:12:52.920 --> 1:12:55.839
<v Speaker 1>we were in Seattle. That is a city on fire?

1:12:56.240 --> 1:13:01.080
<v Speaker 1>Is it makes San Francisco and Silicon Valley look like it's,

1:13:01.320 --> 1:13:04.320
<v Speaker 1>you know, a mature, slow economy, right, And and part

1:13:04.320 --> 1:13:06.960
<v Speaker 1>of the reason it's on fire is that we pay

1:13:07.160 --> 1:13:10.320
<v Speaker 1>our low wage workers more than other places pay them,

1:13:10.520 --> 1:13:13.840
<v Speaker 1>so those workers can participate more robustly in our economy.

1:13:14.080 --> 1:13:19.040
<v Speaker 1>How's the housing market in Seattle out of control? This

1:13:19.120 --> 1:13:22.479
<v Speaker 1>is the you know, but even still, I find prices

1:13:22.479 --> 1:13:27.920
<v Speaker 1>in Seattle's out of even reasonable compared to you know,

1:13:28.040 --> 1:13:31.599
<v Speaker 1>NAPA and Silicon Valley. I think is insane. You guys

1:13:31.640 --> 1:13:34.519
<v Speaker 1>are reasonable compared to that, compared to New York for sure,

1:13:34.720 --> 1:13:37.800
<v Speaker 1>for sure, but it's still you know, the cities either

1:13:37.920 --> 1:13:40.280
<v Speaker 1>grow or they shrink. If they shrink, you have one

1:13:40.280 --> 1:13:42.599
<v Speaker 1>set of problems. If they grow, you have another set

1:13:42.640 --> 1:13:45.439
<v Speaker 1>of those. Are that's a better, high quality set of problems,

1:13:45.479 --> 1:13:47.679
<v Speaker 1>but it is a set of problems. And affordable housing

1:13:47.760 --> 1:13:52.360
<v Speaker 1>is a big challenge for a geographically kind of contained place,

1:13:52.479 --> 1:13:56.639
<v Speaker 1>like two different mountain ranges, and you're sort of in

1:13:56.680 --> 1:13:59.240
<v Speaker 1>the right. It's it's well, that's always the issue is

1:13:59.280 --> 1:14:01.200
<v Speaker 1>when you have a limited amount of time and space,

1:14:01.840 --> 1:14:04.360
<v Speaker 1>you know, there's nobody to do with that is everybody

1:14:04.360 --> 1:14:06.800
<v Speaker 1>wants to come. Everybody wants to come. Well, there are

1:14:06.800 --> 1:14:08.640
<v Speaker 1>a lot of jobs, there's a lot of activity. It

1:14:08.680 --> 1:14:13.120
<v Speaker 1>happens to be just a lovely climate. It's very different

1:14:13.160 --> 1:14:16.400
<v Speaker 1>than we had a miserable winter this year. We had

1:14:16.400 --> 1:14:19.240
<v Speaker 1>a terrible winter last year. I'm hoping that will mean

1:14:19.320 --> 1:14:21.920
<v Speaker 1>revert a little bit. And you know now that I

1:14:21.960 --> 1:14:26.320
<v Speaker 1>have in fact, in fact, after last winter, we moved

1:14:26.320 --> 1:14:29.680
<v Speaker 1>to a new house and my driveway is this, you know,

1:14:30.120 --> 1:14:34.439
<v Speaker 1>vertical snake. And I went out a lot. I got

1:14:34.439 --> 1:14:36.400
<v Speaker 1>a jeep because it's the only thing that makes it

1:14:36.479 --> 1:14:39.360
<v Speaker 1>up the driveway in the water. The old wheel drive.

1:14:39.680 --> 1:14:42.840
<v Speaker 1>You know, a typical oil drive car has headaches. You know,

1:14:43.000 --> 1:14:44.920
<v Speaker 1>it's when when four wheel drive doesn't get up to

1:14:44.960 --> 1:14:47.360
<v Speaker 1>the driveway. It's like, all right, I gotta get something.

1:14:47.479 --> 1:14:51.960
<v Speaker 1>And so I found this ridiculous. I actually it's it's

1:14:52.000 --> 1:14:55.400
<v Speaker 1>my favorite value investment. It was a salvage title Jeep

1:14:55.479 --> 1:14:58.960
<v Speaker 1>Rubicon in Orange. I would normally never buy an orange car,

1:14:59.320 --> 1:15:01.240
<v Speaker 1>but it has hell of a deal on it. Big

1:15:01.280 --> 1:15:04.559
<v Speaker 1>Beef paid half of what I figure half. I don't

1:15:04.560 --> 1:15:08.080
<v Speaker 1>care if it's AREE got these big beefy not ere

1:15:08.120 --> 1:15:09.960
<v Speaker 1>You're the only one in your neighborhood to have an

1:15:09.960 --> 1:15:13.400
<v Speaker 1>orange Jeep. There is literally that. Not only is that true,

1:15:13.479 --> 1:15:16.160
<v Speaker 1>although there are a million Jeeps in my neighborhood because

1:15:16.200 --> 1:15:18.760
<v Speaker 1>of that exact reason, because of the hills. The only

1:15:18.760 --> 1:15:21.880
<v Speaker 1>one that's A friend who actually had helped me do

1:15:21.920 --> 1:15:26.120
<v Speaker 1>the research on the Seattle restaurants found a website. You

1:15:26.160 --> 1:15:28.320
<v Speaker 1>can punch in a zip code and it will tell

1:15:28.360 --> 1:15:31.200
<v Speaker 1>you all the cars in your zip code, and you

1:15:31.240 --> 1:15:35.559
<v Speaker 1>could look up car per zip code and say how

1:15:35.560 --> 1:15:38.080
<v Speaker 1>many Cheeps, and you're in the neighborhood, how many Chevy Luminous,

1:15:38.080 --> 1:15:39.800
<v Speaker 1>how many Bentley g T you can look it up

1:15:39.800 --> 1:15:43.439
<v Speaker 1>by whatever. And it's insane because all this data is

1:15:43.560 --> 1:15:46.120
<v Speaker 1>public and people get get to play with it. I'll

1:15:46.120 --> 1:15:50.680
<v Speaker 1>foward you and I'll post I'll post that. So, so

1:15:50.760 --> 1:15:53.720
<v Speaker 1>we've spent time on income inequality. What else does the

1:15:53.800 --> 1:15:56.720
<v Speaker 1>foundation look at before? So I go through a list.

1:15:56.760 --> 1:15:59.040
<v Speaker 1>I got a list of questions. So we we've done

1:15:59.040 --> 1:16:03.200
<v Speaker 1>a lot of work on gun, gun safety, gun responsibility

1:16:03.200 --> 1:16:08.800
<v Speaker 1>and stuff. And how do you define gun responsibility policies

1:16:08.880 --> 1:16:12.320
<v Speaker 1>that lead to fewer people getting killed with guns? Uh?

1:16:12.360 --> 1:16:16.479
<v Speaker 1>And of course we have a we have a gun

1:16:16.560 --> 1:16:19.200
<v Speaker 1>safety crisis in the United States. I mean the rate

1:16:19.560 --> 1:16:21.760
<v Speaker 1>at which people are killed by guns here is some

1:16:21.800 --> 1:16:24.080
<v Speaker 1>type of place between ten and a hundred times higher

1:16:24.080 --> 1:16:27.000
<v Speaker 1>than it is and basically any other civilized place. I

1:16:27.040 --> 1:16:30.000
<v Speaker 1>saw an interesting stat I don't I don't know if

1:16:30.040 --> 1:16:33.000
<v Speaker 1>you're familiar with this. You have a gun in your

1:16:33.000 --> 1:16:37.720
<v Speaker 1>house and it increases the possibility of a gun being used.

1:16:39.200 --> 1:16:42.880
<v Speaker 1>What's what's the jata? I can't. It depends on the circumstance,

1:16:43.360 --> 1:16:49.439
<v Speaker 1>but for sure, having a gun massively increases the risks

1:16:49.560 --> 1:16:51.880
<v Speaker 1>that you or someone in your family will be killed,

1:16:51.960 --> 1:16:55.760
<v Speaker 1>but with a gun. Yeah, yeah, so so particularly if

1:16:55.760 --> 1:16:58.080
<v Speaker 1>you're a woman. So if you're a woman and your

1:16:58.160 --> 1:17:00.920
<v Speaker 1>husband has a handgun, not a good not a good thing,

1:17:01.120 --> 1:17:04.400
<v Speaker 1>not a good thing statistical statistically speaking, and you know

1:17:04.479 --> 1:17:08.360
<v Speaker 1>that the you know, the the view is from a

1:17:08.360 --> 1:17:12.280
<v Speaker 1>lot of people that feeling safer is the same as

1:17:12.400 --> 1:17:14.680
<v Speaker 1>being safer. I realized that there are a lot of

1:17:14.720 --> 1:17:18.000
<v Speaker 1>people who own guns who feel safer, which you're actually

1:17:18.080 --> 1:17:21.880
<v Speaker 1>not safer, and the and statistically speaking, in fact, you're

1:17:21.960 --> 1:17:24.200
<v Speaker 1>less safe and the people around you are less safe.

1:17:24.200 --> 1:17:27.559
<v Speaker 1>A huge problem, of course is suicide. And people don't

1:17:27.600 --> 1:17:30.519
<v Speaker 1>realize that. If you ask somebody in the United States randomly,

1:17:30.960 --> 1:17:34.120
<v Speaker 1>what are are there more homicides or suicides? Most people

1:17:34.120 --> 1:17:38.400
<v Speaker 1>will say homicide was more suicides than homicide. And and

1:17:38.520 --> 1:17:41.240
<v Speaker 1>the reason that we're to do it yourself. Yeah, And

1:17:41.280 --> 1:17:44.519
<v Speaker 1>the thing is is that is that having a gun

1:17:44.960 --> 1:17:50.240
<v Speaker 1>within easy access, uh massively increases the rate of successful

1:17:50.240 --> 1:17:53.559
<v Speaker 1>suicide because you don't miss with a gun. Um. And

1:17:53.840 --> 1:17:57.519
<v Speaker 1>what people don't understand about suicide. Before I came to

1:17:57.600 --> 1:17:59.880
<v Speaker 1>this work, I had really hadn't thought of it. But

1:18:00.360 --> 1:18:04.320
<v Speaker 1>suicide to most people, you know, you conceptualize. Suicide is

1:18:04.360 --> 1:18:08.679
<v Speaker 1>this very very planned out, rational thing where somebody says, uh,

1:18:08.720 --> 1:18:10.160
<v Speaker 1>you know, I'm done with it all, I'm going to

1:18:10.280 --> 1:18:12.479
<v Speaker 1>take my life and there's nothing you can do to

1:18:12.520 --> 1:18:14.599
<v Speaker 1>stop them, and nothing could be farther from the tooth.

1:18:15.120 --> 1:18:20.880
<v Speaker 1>Suicide is an emotional act in the moment, impulsive, it's impulsive.

1:18:21.520 --> 1:18:25.400
<v Speaker 1>Almost no one relentlessly tries to kill themselves. So if

1:18:25.400 --> 1:18:29.160
<v Speaker 1>you avoid that exactly exactly. So this is why if

1:18:29.160 --> 1:18:32.800
<v Speaker 1>you put a fence up on a bridge, suicide dramatically

1:18:33.160 --> 1:18:36.040
<v Speaker 1>is reduced because people get to the bridge and they're like, oh,

1:18:36.080 --> 1:18:38.439
<v Speaker 1>this is too much trouble. I'm going home. I swear

1:18:38.439 --> 1:18:40.719
<v Speaker 1>to god, you would think that a little fence wouldn't

1:18:40.720 --> 1:18:43.000
<v Speaker 1>stop you if you wanted to kill yourself, if you're

1:18:43.000 --> 1:18:46.160
<v Speaker 1>if you're gonna kill your decisions, I know, and you're like,

1:18:47.000 --> 1:18:49.840
<v Speaker 1>it's too much trouble. They go home. So they've done

1:18:49.880 --> 1:18:51.680
<v Speaker 1>this on the Golden Gates, You've done this in a

1:18:51.760 --> 1:18:55.439
<v Speaker 1>number of places, and it actually works. It works, it works.

1:18:55.680 --> 1:18:57.960
<v Speaker 1>They don't just not jump off that bridge. They don't

1:18:58.000 --> 1:19:02.519
<v Speaker 1>commit suicide because it's an impulsive decision. Somebody's having a

1:19:02.560 --> 1:19:06.520
<v Speaker 1>horrible day, something terrible happens to them. They're they're chemically

1:19:06.640 --> 1:19:09.599
<v Speaker 1>imbalanced at that moment, and they make this split second

1:19:09.600 --> 1:19:12.160
<v Speaker 1>decision to do it. If you don't have a gun

1:19:12.240 --> 1:19:14.320
<v Speaker 1>with an easy access, the chances that they're going to

1:19:14.439 --> 1:19:18.719
<v Speaker 1>actually kill themselves go down dramatically. And so that's why

1:19:19.240 --> 1:19:21.280
<v Speaker 1>things like safe storage are so important, and that's why

1:19:21.320 --> 1:19:23.759
<v Speaker 1>having guns laying around all over the place are terrible.

1:19:24.000 --> 1:19:26.120
<v Speaker 1>Is terrible from that point of view, But you know,

1:19:26.360 --> 1:19:29.479
<v Speaker 1>they're they're simply no doubt that there is a perfect

1:19:29.479 --> 1:19:33.120
<v Speaker 1>statistically statistical correlation between the number of guns in the

1:19:33.200 --> 1:19:36.280
<v Speaker 1>community and the amount of gun death. And we need

1:19:36.320 --> 1:19:39.120
<v Speaker 1>to find ways to reduce the gun violence in our

1:19:39.160 --> 1:19:44.160
<v Speaker 1>society back to civilized levels. Uh. And you know that's

1:19:44.160 --> 1:19:45.880
<v Speaker 1>just gonna take a bunch of good new policies. So

1:19:45.880 --> 1:19:49.320
<v Speaker 1>when you talk about gun responsibility, you're really not saying

1:19:49.479 --> 1:19:51.320
<v Speaker 1>we want to get rid of handguns, we are against

1:19:51.360 --> 1:19:53.800
<v Speaker 1>the Second Amendment. You're saying we want to work with

1:19:53.920 --> 1:19:55.960
<v Speaker 1>gun owners and find a way to be more like So,

1:19:56.040 --> 1:19:58.280
<v Speaker 1>for instance, we you know, we we we we uh.

1:19:58.439 --> 1:20:01.559
<v Speaker 1>We passed a criminal background X bill in Washington State.

1:20:01.640 --> 1:20:05.000
<v Speaker 1>And all that bill does is require anyone who buys

1:20:05.040 --> 1:20:08.360
<v Speaker 1>a gun from anyone to go through the national check

1:20:08.400 --> 1:20:11.599
<v Speaker 1>to find out if you're a criminal or a psychopath. Uh.

1:20:11.680 --> 1:20:13.840
<v Speaker 1>Who could be against that? Who could be against that? Well,

1:20:13.840 --> 1:20:16.240
<v Speaker 1>it turns out the n r A and all the

1:20:16.240 --> 1:20:19.840
<v Speaker 1>people who manufactured are violently against that because it's terrible

1:20:19.880 --> 1:20:22.920
<v Speaker 1>for the gun business. That that just doesn't seem to

1:20:22.920 --> 1:20:27.640
<v Speaker 1>make any sense because when you see surveys of gun owners,

1:20:27.680 --> 1:20:33.240
<v Speaker 1>they're overwhelmingly in favor of nuts. It's nuts, but violently

1:20:33.280 --> 1:20:37.960
<v Speaker 1>opposed to a common sense, uh, piece of legislation like

1:20:38.000 --> 1:20:39.800
<v Speaker 1>that where if you're going to buy a gun, we

1:20:39.880 --> 1:20:42.000
<v Speaker 1>get to check and make sure you're not a criminal

1:20:42.200 --> 1:20:44.880
<v Speaker 1>or a crazy person. Uh. You know. Another piece of

1:20:44.960 --> 1:20:48.200
<v Speaker 1>legislation that we're trying to pass is something called an

1:20:48.200 --> 1:20:51.439
<v Speaker 1>extreme Risk Protection Order. So this is a this is

1:20:51.439 --> 1:20:56.040
<v Speaker 1>a this is a rule that allows a family to

1:20:56.120 --> 1:20:59.799
<v Speaker 1>go to a judge and say, little Billy is super

1:21:00.000 --> 1:21:03.120
<v Speaker 1>crazy and he's super dangerous and if somebody didn't take

1:21:03.120 --> 1:21:05.160
<v Speaker 1>his guns away, he's gonna kill himself or he's gonna

1:21:05.240 --> 1:21:08.920
<v Speaker 1>kill somebody else. So in a huge proportion of the

1:21:08.960 --> 1:21:13.240
<v Speaker 1>mass killings that you find, the families knew, everybody knew,

1:21:13.400 --> 1:21:15.559
<v Speaker 1>everybody knew what was gonna happen. There's a great case

1:21:15.600 --> 1:21:18.120
<v Speaker 1>in Washington State, the Cafe Racer killings, where this kid

1:21:18.200 --> 1:21:22.759
<v Speaker 1>was backed out bonkers. His family went to the police

1:21:23.000 --> 1:21:27.040
<v Speaker 1>multiple times saying please please take his guns away. Their

1:21:27.080 --> 1:21:29.479
<v Speaker 1>hands were tied and they're basically the police are like, look,

1:21:29.720 --> 1:21:31.680
<v Speaker 1>until he kills somebody, there's nothing we can do. So

1:21:31.720 --> 1:21:34.000
<v Speaker 1>the kid went out and he killed half a dozen people, right,

1:21:34.640 --> 1:21:38.679
<v Speaker 1>And so you know, this is a common sense public

1:21:38.680 --> 1:21:41.719
<v Speaker 1>safety protection that you should be that reasonable people should

1:21:41.760 --> 1:21:43.400
<v Speaker 1>be able to pass. But of course the gun lobby

1:21:43.439 --> 1:21:48.920
<v Speaker 1>is violently against it and away exactly. But there's just nuts, right,

1:21:49.680 --> 1:21:52.439
<v Speaker 1>it's nuts to believe that we should And here's the

1:21:52.479 --> 1:21:54.599
<v Speaker 1>real by the way, that's another thing that I would

1:21:54.600 --> 1:21:58.040
<v Speaker 1>imagine that gun owners. You would think, you would think,

1:21:58.200 --> 1:22:01.719
<v Speaker 1>but you have to remember at the gun lobby isn't

1:22:01.720 --> 1:22:05.559
<v Speaker 1>about gun owners. They're gun factors, right, And that's become

1:22:05.600 --> 1:22:09.000
<v Speaker 1>pretty Anyone who didn't understand that hasn't been paying attention.

1:22:09.320 --> 1:22:11.120
<v Speaker 1>It's all about how many guns can you sell. And

1:22:11.400 --> 1:22:13.240
<v Speaker 1>that's a big change though from what the n r

1:22:13.320 --> 1:22:17.160
<v Speaker 1>A was. Like, absolutely, it's completely different. But you know,

1:22:17.680 --> 1:22:19.920
<v Speaker 1>it's just it's it's a real shame that we can't

1:22:19.960 --> 1:22:22.559
<v Speaker 1>as a society, you know, bake in some of these

1:22:22.560 --> 1:22:26.120
<v Speaker 1>basic protections so we'll have a safer civil society in

1:22:26.479 --> 1:22:29.240
<v Speaker 1>my state. In most states today, your chances are being

1:22:29.280 --> 1:22:32.519
<v Speaker 1>killed by with a gun are higher now than being

1:22:32.600 --> 1:22:36.599
<v Speaker 1>killed in a traffic accident. Really, yeah, that's amazing. So

1:22:37.320 --> 1:22:40.960
<v Speaker 1>income inequality, gun responsibility. What's the huns and tons of

1:22:41.000 --> 1:22:44.599
<v Speaker 1>stuff on public education policy and reform? I founded something

1:22:44.640 --> 1:22:47.080
<v Speaker 1>called co founded something called the League of Education Voters

1:22:47.080 --> 1:22:50.679
<v Speaker 1>in Washington State, which has pursued, you know, every manner

1:22:50.800 --> 1:22:53.800
<v Speaker 1>of public education reform, funding, so on and so forth.

1:22:53.800 --> 1:22:56.000
<v Speaker 1>So we're big supporters. What do you think about this

1:22:56.080 --> 1:22:59.320
<v Speaker 1>national testing and the uh oh, I forget the name

1:22:59.360 --> 1:23:03.880
<v Speaker 1>of other things that people complain about. You know, these

1:23:03.880 --> 1:23:07.000
<v Speaker 1>are very complic common common core. You know, these are

1:23:07.120 --> 1:23:11.080
<v Speaker 1>very complicated questions, and I wish I wish I wasn't,

1:23:11.400 --> 1:23:13.599
<v Speaker 1>But I am of two minds about them. I mean,

1:23:13.680 --> 1:23:17.160
<v Speaker 1>on the one hand, you want to have kind You

1:23:17.200 --> 1:23:19.479
<v Speaker 1>certainly want to have a national standard of what we're

1:23:19.520 --> 1:23:23.280
<v Speaker 1>trying to teach and some sort of national judge about

1:23:23.280 --> 1:23:26.920
<v Speaker 1>whether we're teaching it right. Just because Alabama decides to

1:23:26.960 --> 1:23:30.439
<v Speaker 1>give every kid a's doesn't mean that those kids in

1:23:30.479 --> 1:23:33.920
<v Speaker 1>Alabama are actually learning the math uh that they're going

1:23:33.960 --> 1:23:38.040
<v Speaker 1>to need to participate in the global economy. Uh and

1:23:38.160 --> 1:23:42.080
<v Speaker 1>uh and you know, we we need to find a

1:23:42.080 --> 1:23:45.680
<v Speaker 1>way somehow to decide as a country what we want

1:23:45.800 --> 1:23:48.799
<v Speaker 1>kids to learn and to figure out as a country

1:23:48.880 --> 1:23:51.639
<v Speaker 1>if they're learning it. Uh, and how to do that?

1:23:51.920 --> 1:23:54.559
<v Speaker 1>As you know you run businesses, measuring things is very

1:23:54.640 --> 1:23:56.680
<v Speaker 1>very hard because there are a lot of variables. But

1:23:56.720 --> 1:24:01.720
<v Speaker 1>if you can't measure, you can't measure. So yeah, very complicated.

1:24:01.800 --> 1:24:04.800
<v Speaker 1>So let's let's move to some of Um, we're just

1:24:04.880 --> 1:24:10.120
<v Speaker 1>about through the questions we missed Amazon? What made Amazon

1:24:10.200 --> 1:24:15.040
<v Speaker 1>of success? We did that, we did the Ted talk. Um,

1:24:15.120 --> 1:24:17.920
<v Speaker 1>let's let's go through some of my my favorite questions

1:24:17.920 --> 1:24:21.639
<v Speaker 1>that I asked ask everybody. So, so, who were your

1:24:21.680 --> 1:24:27.559
<v Speaker 1>early mentors? So, for sure, the guy that ran the

1:24:27.600 --> 1:24:31.120
<v Speaker 1>family business. Uh, what's his name was Roy clove Here.

1:24:31.160 --> 1:24:34.879
<v Speaker 1>He passed away, you know, ten years ago or so. Um,

1:24:34.920 --> 1:24:42.080
<v Speaker 1>and he was an extraordinarily shrewd business person. He just

1:24:42.320 --> 1:24:47.200
<v Speaker 1>was as sharp and clearer thinkers you've ever met. What

1:24:47.479 --> 1:24:51.920
<v Speaker 1>did he impart to you? What did you learn from him?

1:24:51.960 --> 1:24:55.280
<v Speaker 1>You know, how to manage people, how to think about

1:24:55.320 --> 1:25:02.320
<v Speaker 1>business problems, how not to over react, you know, you

1:25:02.360 --> 1:25:06.640
<v Speaker 1>know that's probably understated. It took yeah, you know, like

1:25:06.680 --> 1:25:14.640
<v Speaker 1>how to be strategic? Right, um uh, you know, I

1:25:14.640 --> 1:25:18.679
<v Speaker 1>don't know, just a lot of a lot of great um,

1:25:18.720 --> 1:25:22.000
<v Speaker 1>a lot of great lessons. You know. My dad was

1:25:23.479 --> 1:25:27.599
<v Speaker 1>in many ways less strategic than Roy was, but he

1:25:27.920 --> 1:25:34.439
<v Speaker 1>was a great moral uh mentor. And you know, so

1:25:34.920 --> 1:25:38.920
<v Speaker 1>the funny thing about the pillow business is that it's

1:25:39.040 --> 1:25:47.000
<v Speaker 1>characterized classically was characterized by immense amounts of cheating. Really yeah,

1:25:47.160 --> 1:25:49.400
<v Speaker 1>so how do you cheat in the pillow business? How

1:25:49.640 --> 1:25:52.120
<v Speaker 1>how do you not cheat in it? So, so a

1:25:52.240 --> 1:25:55.920
<v Speaker 1>pound of downs costs it worth about thirty bucks, but

1:25:55.960 --> 1:25:58.720
<v Speaker 1>a pound of crushed feathers is worth a buck. So

1:25:58.760 --> 1:26:01.879
<v Speaker 1>if I put a pound of crushed feathers in a pillow,

1:26:02.520 --> 1:26:04.800
<v Speaker 1>you will barry. You would never be able to tell

1:26:04.840 --> 1:26:07.880
<v Speaker 1>the difference. Absolutely, I put him in the store, you

1:26:08.040 --> 1:26:10.520
<v Speaker 1>look at him side by side, You can't tell this

1:26:11.240 --> 1:26:15.559
<v Speaker 1>difference because there just is. Because there's well over time,

1:26:15.600 --> 1:26:17.280
<v Speaker 1>you can tell the difference. But sitting in the store

1:26:17.280 --> 1:26:22.360
<v Speaker 1>you can't tell. And and so there's an enormous temptation

1:26:22.840 --> 1:26:26.600
<v Speaker 1>to put the wrong things in the pillows because obviously

1:26:26.720 --> 1:26:28.880
<v Speaker 1>if you cheat a little bit, your margins go through

1:26:28.920 --> 1:26:31.200
<v Speaker 1>the roof and you get a spot check and you

1:26:31.200 --> 1:26:35.559
<v Speaker 1>get people checks. No, the retailers don't check. Why don't

1:26:35.560 --> 1:26:37.519
<v Speaker 1>the real tailers check because they don't give a rip.

1:26:38.160 --> 1:26:41.639
<v Speaker 1>This is like tailors don't care about quality. I care

1:26:41.680 --> 1:26:46.679
<v Speaker 1>about his cash flow out, So nobody checks. And so

1:26:46.920 --> 1:26:49.720
<v Speaker 1>the whole industry was characterized by cheating. And many of

1:26:49.720 --> 1:26:53.599
<v Speaker 1>our biggest competitors were relentless cheaters. And my dad wouldn't cheat.

1:26:53.800 --> 1:26:57.840
<v Speaker 1>He just wouldn't refuse. And he just felt strongly like

1:26:58.000 --> 1:27:00.519
<v Speaker 1>doing it the right way over time would be the

1:27:00.520 --> 1:27:04.040
<v Speaker 1>way to go. And did retailers recognized that? Oh yeah, yeah,

1:27:04.120 --> 1:27:07.000
<v Speaker 1>yeah they did. And over time he was right. We

1:27:07.080 --> 1:27:11.280
<v Speaker 1>kicked everybody's butt. Um. There was a big competitor in

1:27:11.479 --> 1:27:15.599
<v Speaker 1>North Carolina or South Carolina, which was like the name

1:27:15.680 --> 1:27:19.040
<v Speaker 1>brand in the space gone eventually went bankrupt. Were they

1:27:19.080 --> 1:27:21.720
<v Speaker 1>were they cheaters? You know politexs to their credit where

1:27:21.720 --> 1:27:24.320
<v Speaker 1>they did not cheat? So why did how did they

1:27:24.360 --> 1:27:28.000
<v Speaker 1>get uh? You know, they you know, uh, they went

1:27:28.000 --> 1:27:30.200
<v Speaker 1>out of they went out of business. I think just

1:27:30.280 --> 1:27:33.800
<v Speaker 1>because they overreached. They you know, they they made some

1:27:33.880 --> 1:27:39.360
<v Speaker 1>bad strategic decisions and got disfocused. Um, but the cheaters

1:27:39.479 --> 1:27:43.000
<v Speaker 1>largely went away. And and short termam it's an issue.

1:27:43.000 --> 1:27:45.680
<v Speaker 1>It's frustrating and compete with Yeah, but long term you

1:27:45.720 --> 1:27:47.720
<v Speaker 1>can't survive that way. Yeah. Yeah. And it was a

1:27:47.760 --> 1:27:50.480
<v Speaker 1>great you know, it was a great lesson and um,

1:27:50.520 --> 1:27:53.760
<v Speaker 1>you know, it's a great life lesson. So those are

1:27:53.760 --> 1:28:03.400
<v Speaker 1>the mentors. What investors influenced you investors? Well, you know

1:28:03.479 --> 1:28:07.680
<v Speaker 1>my partners you know too, very Pete Higgins, who was

1:28:07.720 --> 1:28:10.800
<v Speaker 1>one of the co presidents at Microsoft in the day

1:28:10.920 --> 1:28:13.160
<v Speaker 1>with he was in the office of the President with

1:28:13.840 --> 1:28:17.640
<v Speaker 1>res when when Jeff Raikes went on to run the

1:28:18.600 --> 1:28:23.559
<v Speaker 1>foundation and Steve Balmer obviously uh ended up being the president.

1:28:24.800 --> 1:28:29.720
<v Speaker 1>Unbelievably smart guy. And my partner Mike Slade, who went

1:28:29.800 --> 1:28:32.400
<v Speaker 1>to Yeah. So Mike and Pete I believe were the

1:28:32.479 --> 1:28:37.080
<v Speaker 1>first two MBA's Microsoft hired. They went to Stanford Business

1:28:37.120 --> 1:28:39.960
<v Speaker 1>School together and they both you know, got offers from

1:28:39.960 --> 1:28:45.880
<v Speaker 1>Balmer together and ear no, no, early early eighties eighty

1:28:45.920 --> 1:28:48.599
<v Speaker 1>one or something like that. That's crazy, Yeah, long time ago.

1:28:48.760 --> 1:28:53.840
<v Speaker 1>So both very very early Microsoft executives and Mike. So

1:28:53.960 --> 1:28:56.519
<v Speaker 1>Pete stayed at Microsoft and went all the way to

1:28:56.600 --> 1:28:59.320
<v Speaker 1>the top and Mike ended up running the Apple business

1:28:59.360 --> 1:29:02.760
<v Speaker 1>for Microsoft, often befriended Steve Jobs, and then ended up

1:29:03.120 --> 1:29:06.280
<v Speaker 1>as the vice president marketing for Next Computer I remember

1:29:06.320 --> 1:29:10.000
<v Speaker 1>that right. And then after that came back and ran

1:29:10.080 --> 1:29:14.479
<v Speaker 1>a big internet company, UM for Paul Allen Um one

1:29:14.520 --> 1:29:17.479
<v Speaker 1>of the original oginal who left when he got a

1:29:17.720 --> 1:29:21.559
<v Speaker 1>and then survived and has since become a philanthropist Flash

1:29:22.080 --> 1:29:26.040
<v Speaker 1>VC as well. And then ventures is that Yeah, And

1:29:26.080 --> 1:29:29.600
<v Speaker 1>then Mike went back as a sort of a consultant

1:29:29.680 --> 1:29:31.960
<v Speaker 1>Apple and was a non he was he was a

1:29:32.000 --> 1:29:34.800
<v Speaker 1>member of the Apple executive committee, but as a non employee,

1:29:34.840 --> 1:29:37.679
<v Speaker 1>so and so sort of stayed close to that. But anyway,

1:29:37.680 --> 1:29:40.640
<v Speaker 1>they're just they're incredibly smart people and I'm lucky to

1:29:40.640 --> 1:29:42.479
<v Speaker 1>get to collaborate with them. What are some of your

1:29:42.479 --> 1:29:49.479
<v Speaker 1>favorite books? Um? Well, business books. I don't think he

1:29:49.520 --> 1:29:52.240
<v Speaker 1>can beat Michael Porter for strategy. I think his book

1:29:52.240 --> 1:29:57.000
<v Speaker 1>Competitive Strategy is the best book on strategy ever written. Yeah,

1:29:57.360 --> 1:30:01.920
<v Speaker 1>Michael Porter Competitive Strategy Techniques for Analyzing Industries and Competitors.

1:30:02.760 --> 1:30:08.479
<v Speaker 1>Um and uh. But as a student of strategy, I

1:30:08.560 --> 1:30:11.000
<v Speaker 1>think that you know, I've read a ton of military

1:30:11.040 --> 1:30:14.360
<v Speaker 1>strategy books, and you know everybody read yeah, and all

1:30:14.360 --> 1:30:16.439
<v Speaker 1>that stuff, But there's all sorts of great stuff available.

1:30:16.479 --> 1:30:18.479
<v Speaker 1>In fact, one of my favorites is the is the

1:30:18.720 --> 1:30:23.120
<v Speaker 1>is the Marine Corps book uh called just called war Fighting.

1:30:23.800 --> 1:30:27.360
<v Speaker 1>It's an amazing book on strategy. Is yeah, really really fun.

1:30:27.479 --> 1:30:31.760
<v Speaker 1>And then you know, I read a ton of uh

1:30:31.880 --> 1:30:33.840
<v Speaker 1>I don't read much fiction, but I read a ton

1:30:33.920 --> 1:30:38.200
<v Speaker 1>of nonfiction, nonfiction about the issues that interest me. And

1:30:38.960 --> 1:30:46.000
<v Speaker 1>um uh you know a very interesting um ah book

1:30:46.240 --> 1:30:51.160
<v Speaker 1>um that I just uh read as something called the

1:30:51.280 --> 1:30:55.880
<v Speaker 1>End of Power, The End of Power moist is Nain

1:30:56.880 --> 1:30:59.439
<v Speaker 1>and you know, and and and his thesis is that

1:31:00.080 --> 1:31:04.280
<v Speaker 1>basically the nature of power is changing over time. So

1:31:04.320 --> 1:31:07.120
<v Speaker 1>in the in the day, some people that in the

1:31:07.200 --> 1:31:09.960
<v Speaker 1>good old days, people had real power, which is you

1:31:10.040 --> 1:31:12.840
<v Speaker 1>will do this or I will kill you. Okay, that's

1:31:13.080 --> 1:31:19.200
<v Speaker 1>good power. Today, um, it's more like, gosh, i'd love

1:31:19.280 --> 1:31:21.240
<v Speaker 1>for you to do this, and by the way, it's

1:31:21.280 --> 1:31:23.680
<v Speaker 1>your idea, and won't we all be happy if we

1:31:23.720 --> 1:31:29.639
<v Speaker 1>do this together? So it's more from persuasive to persuasiveness, right,

1:31:29.680 --> 1:31:34.879
<v Speaker 1>and and and and that is an extraordinarily interesting trend

1:31:35.000 --> 1:31:40.559
<v Speaker 1>in terms of how we manage UH countries, enterprises, society,

1:31:40.720 --> 1:31:43.240
<v Speaker 1>so on and so forth. And and and something really

1:31:43.280 --> 1:31:46.479
<v Speaker 1>worth thinking very very carefully about, if you want to change,

1:31:47.360 --> 1:31:50.559
<v Speaker 1>if you want to affect society, if you Since you

1:31:50.640 --> 1:31:54.479
<v Speaker 1>like the military books, I'm gonna recommend an odd one

1:31:54.520 --> 1:31:56.960
<v Speaker 1>that you may find interesting. It's less than ten years old,

1:31:57.479 --> 1:32:01.600
<v Speaker 1>called a Genius for Deception, and it's the history of

1:32:01.760 --> 1:32:07.320
<v Speaker 1>intel and counterintell and things like camouflage and counterspying, mostly

1:32:07.400 --> 1:32:09.639
<v Speaker 1>about the Brits, but the US and the Germans, which

1:32:09.800 --> 1:32:13.760
<v Speaker 1>also a Genius for deception. It's really a fat One

1:32:13.760 --> 1:32:16.880
<v Speaker 1>of these fastening stories tells the story during World One

1:32:16.880 --> 1:32:20.599
<v Speaker 1>and World War Two, all sorts of fascinating different stories

1:32:20.640 --> 1:32:24.360
<v Speaker 1>about what happened. But there was one particular German I

1:32:24.400 --> 1:32:27.479
<v Speaker 1>guess the World War One equivalent of a pans Ner

1:32:27.880 --> 1:32:31.240
<v Speaker 1>panzer movement. Maybe it was early World War Two where

1:32:31.439 --> 1:32:35.080
<v Speaker 1>they have these giant tarps there are three hundred yards square,

1:32:35.760 --> 1:32:38.559
<v Speaker 1>and they're moving tanks and men during the so they're

1:32:38.680 --> 1:32:42.800
<v Speaker 1>not seen by spotter planes. And it's how all camouflage

1:32:42.880 --> 1:32:46.040
<v Speaker 1>came about. And some of the stuff is just you

1:32:46.160 --> 1:32:48.320
<v Speaker 1>just it's always been here, so you assumed it's always

1:32:48.320 --> 1:32:50.280
<v Speaker 1>been here, but it turns out that's not true. Some

1:32:50.360 --> 1:32:55.160
<v Speaker 1>of the stuff didn't exist a hundred years ago. Someone

1:32:55.240 --> 1:32:58.599
<v Speaker 1>had created It's really it's really quite fascinating. I'll send

1:32:58.600 --> 1:33:01.280
<v Speaker 1>you I'll send you a link to the book on Amazon.

1:33:01.880 --> 1:33:04.639
<v Speaker 1>Um what, um, what do you like to do during

1:33:04.640 --> 1:33:07.800
<v Speaker 1>your downtime? Well, I have a family and a couple

1:33:07.840 --> 1:33:11.360
<v Speaker 1>of kids, and so we rip around doing fun things.

1:33:11.600 --> 1:33:13.439
<v Speaker 1>You know. I live in the Pacific Northwest, so we're

1:33:13.520 --> 1:33:17.559
<v Speaker 1>very outdoorsy. We ski, we hike, We my son and

1:33:17.600 --> 1:33:20.920
<v Speaker 1>I are fanatic fly fisherman. Oh really yeah, we do

1:33:20.960 --> 1:33:23.439
<v Speaker 1>a lot of salmon and what else with trout and

1:33:23.479 --> 1:33:27.400
<v Speaker 1>stuff like that. Um, uh and uh. I have a

1:33:27.439 --> 1:33:31.000
<v Speaker 1>preponderance of boats, so we we we spent a lot

1:33:31.040 --> 1:33:35.720
<v Speaker 1>of time on boat or power. I have a preponderance

1:33:35.720 --> 1:33:37.320
<v Speaker 1>of boats because it turns out to be easier to

1:33:37.320 --> 1:33:42.200
<v Speaker 1>buy boats than sail boats. Someone someone told me that

1:33:42.400 --> 1:33:45.320
<v Speaker 1>a boater's favorite boat is his second to last boat.

1:33:45.600 --> 1:33:47.559
<v Speaker 1>Maybe you should just keep working away up until you

1:33:47.640 --> 1:33:50.200
<v Speaker 1>go too far. I have a little runabout. I keep

1:33:50.240 --> 1:33:53.040
<v Speaker 1>over here. I love sailing, but in this part of

1:33:53.080 --> 1:33:55.040
<v Speaker 1>the country, you got again in start the engine and

1:33:55.080 --> 1:33:58.400
<v Speaker 1>go yeah, no, no, for sure. But you know, I

1:33:58.520 --> 1:34:00.360
<v Speaker 1>just spent a week in the Caribbean with a bunch

1:34:00.360 --> 1:34:05.400
<v Speaker 1>of my friends diving and fly fishing on what we

1:34:05.640 --> 1:34:08.720
<v Speaker 1>were in the exumas in the Bahamas. Yeah, and uh,

1:34:08.840 --> 1:34:11.240
<v Speaker 1>then then another week with my wife and three other

1:34:11.280 --> 1:34:14.479
<v Speaker 1>couples messing around, you know, seeing stuff and that that

1:34:14.520 --> 1:34:16.560
<v Speaker 1>sounds like fun. Yeah, doing We do a lot of

1:34:16.560 --> 1:34:18.680
<v Speaker 1>stuff like that. So what sort of advice would you

1:34:18.720 --> 1:34:21.320
<v Speaker 1>give to I keep using the word millennial, but just

1:34:21.400 --> 1:34:24.760
<v Speaker 1>anybody graduating college and starting out their career, what sort

1:34:24.760 --> 1:34:27.519
<v Speaker 1>of advice would you would you give to them? Today?

1:34:29.200 --> 1:34:34.080
<v Speaker 1>That's a tough one people. You know what I was

1:34:34.439 --> 1:34:41.880
<v Speaker 1>I was watching, uh rewatching the thing that they did

1:34:41.920 --> 1:34:45.160
<v Speaker 1>on John Adams based on the David mcculloughbook. One of

1:34:45.160 --> 1:34:48.280
<v Speaker 1>the guys in my office just finished it has not

1:34:48.360 --> 1:34:51.200
<v Speaker 1>stopped raving about it. And John Adams said to his children,

1:34:52.160 --> 1:34:55.559
<v Speaker 1>be good, do good words to live by, not not

1:34:55.640 --> 1:34:59.360
<v Speaker 1>bad advice, bad advice, Be good, do good, you know,

1:34:59.479 --> 1:35:02.160
<v Speaker 1>trying to make a difference in the world, Try to

1:35:02.200 --> 1:35:05.080
<v Speaker 1>make a you know, try to leave the place better

1:35:05.120 --> 1:35:08.920
<v Speaker 1>than you found it. Uh. You know, I just think

1:35:08.960 --> 1:35:13.800
<v Speaker 1>that you know, I have a positive impact. Yeah, I

1:35:13.880 --> 1:35:16.760
<v Speaker 1>have a positive impact. So since you don't be a sociopath,

1:35:17.120 --> 1:35:22.439
<v Speaker 1>could be a juror. That's a relatively relatively simple, good

1:35:22.720 --> 1:35:27.240
<v Speaker 1>advice for everybody. So you've essentially joined the VC industry

1:35:27.439 --> 1:35:32.080
<v Speaker 1>twenty something years ago. So what's changed over the course

1:35:32.160 --> 1:35:37.280
<v Speaker 1>of of your career as a as a venture capitalist. Well,

1:35:37.280 --> 1:35:39.720
<v Speaker 1>there are a lot more people in it, uh, in

1:35:39.840 --> 1:35:42.360
<v Speaker 1>various ways. You know, there's a lot more. I mean,

1:35:42.560 --> 1:35:45.439
<v Speaker 1>one of the things that's happened to the world is

1:35:45.479 --> 1:35:50.160
<v Speaker 1>that we we are living in an age of capital superabundance, right, Like,

1:35:50.280 --> 1:35:53.559
<v Speaker 1>so here's a fascinating thing. Very so when I when

1:35:53.600 --> 1:35:58.880
<v Speaker 1>I was born, the value of the entire SMP UH

1:35:59.040 --> 1:36:03.360
<v Speaker 1>to the market capital r SMP to the population of

1:36:03.400 --> 1:36:06.920
<v Speaker 1>the United States was a thousand dollars to one, Right,

1:36:07.520 --> 1:36:12.360
<v Speaker 1>there was a thousand dollars of SMP market cap every man,

1:36:12.479 --> 1:36:16.760
<v Speaker 1>woman and child in the United States. But when I

1:36:16.800 --> 1:36:20.640
<v Speaker 1>graduated from high school, it was three thousand dollars and

1:36:20.840 --> 1:36:24.639
<v Speaker 1>woman and child. Today it's sixty thou dollars and women

1:36:24.680 --> 1:36:28.880
<v Speaker 1>and child. Yeah, that's amazing. Now, some of that clearly globalization.

1:36:29.240 --> 1:36:31.799
<v Speaker 1>There are all sorts of factors at play, but that's

1:36:31.840 --> 1:36:35.919
<v Speaker 1>that's a huge financialization of the economy of the economy,

1:36:35.960 --> 1:36:37.680
<v Speaker 1>and and and and and and and that, by the way,

1:36:37.720 --> 1:36:40.640
<v Speaker 1>that's just the SMP five right, that that's not the

1:36:40.720 --> 1:36:44.920
<v Speaker 1>other capital available. And so what you have is an

1:36:45.160 --> 1:36:49.599
<v Speaker 1>enormous amount of capital slashing around um the world uh,

1:36:49.720 --> 1:36:53.960
<v Speaker 1>looking for uses for itself. And so there's a lot

1:36:54.000 --> 1:36:56.720
<v Speaker 1>of people in the in the deploying capital business. And

1:36:56.760 --> 1:36:58.519
<v Speaker 1>that's a good thing in a lot of ways. But

1:36:58.640 --> 1:37:04.559
<v Speaker 1>certainly um the business has become more competitive in that sense.

1:37:04.600 --> 1:37:07.840
<v Speaker 1>There there people you know below you know, above you

1:37:07.920 --> 1:37:11.280
<v Speaker 1>who are deploying much bigger uh slugs of capital. And

1:37:11.320 --> 1:37:13.000
<v Speaker 1>there are a million people below you who will do

1:37:13.240 --> 1:37:15.920
<v Speaker 1>you know, any old thing from five bucks to you know,

1:37:16.320 --> 1:37:19.840
<v Speaker 1>five thousand, whatever it is. So so there's that I

1:37:19.880 --> 1:37:23.439
<v Speaker 1>would say that, you know, the one really the thing

1:37:24.680 --> 1:37:30.160
<v Speaker 1>that's really changed about the world, and in particularly the

1:37:30.200 --> 1:37:35.519
<v Speaker 1>internet powered world. That's a hard lesson to embed in

1:37:35.520 --> 1:37:38.000
<v Speaker 1>your brain. If you started out a long time ago,

1:37:38.640 --> 1:37:45.760
<v Speaker 1>which is it's so big, you'd be amazed what will work? Right?

1:37:46.040 --> 1:37:51.600
<v Speaker 1>Things that twenty years ago sounded like insane tiny ideas

1:37:52.360 --> 1:37:56.920
<v Speaker 1>and insane tiny niches turned into giant enterprises today because

1:37:56.920 --> 1:38:02.120
<v Speaker 1>with six billion people online spending trillions dollars whatever it is,

1:38:02.439 --> 1:38:05.400
<v Speaker 1>you can make a business out of the craziest stuff,

1:38:05.520 --> 1:38:09.720
<v Speaker 1>and it is it never fails to surprise you what

1:38:09.960 --> 1:38:13.519
<v Speaker 1>turns into a giant idea. I mean, for the life

1:38:13.520 --> 1:38:16.479
<v Speaker 1>of me, I can't figure out how Pinterest became a

1:38:16.560 --> 1:38:19.679
<v Speaker 1>thing for Can you imagine the first pitch on Twitter?

1:38:19.760 --> 1:38:21.640
<v Speaker 1>And I are too old? Yeah, yeah, yeah, can you

1:38:21.680 --> 1:38:23.840
<v Speaker 1>imagine the first pitch on Twitter? Right now? I use

1:38:23.880 --> 1:38:26.400
<v Speaker 1>Twitter every day, as do you write? Well, can you

1:38:26.400 --> 1:38:28.840
<v Speaker 1>imagine the first pitch which is like, well, it's short

1:38:28.880 --> 1:38:31.360
<v Speaker 1>message servicing, but we're gonna take what people send back

1:38:31.400 --> 1:38:35.599
<v Speaker 1>and forth on phones and posted publicly. Yeah, okay, thanks,

1:38:35.680 --> 1:38:40.160
<v Speaker 1>next next, you know, like you know, you just and

1:38:40.200 --> 1:38:44.240
<v Speaker 1>here it is, right, and now Twitter has its challenges,

1:38:44.560 --> 1:38:47.360
<v Speaker 1>but it's still a twenty seven billion dollar company. It's

1:38:47.400 --> 1:38:51.479
<v Speaker 1>a huge market gap, and the bed is somehow they're

1:38:51.479 --> 1:38:54.080
<v Speaker 1>going to figure out how to monetize that and other

1:38:54.120 --> 1:38:56.839
<v Speaker 1>than sell themselves to Google. So you often have to

1:38:56.920 --> 1:38:59.080
<v Speaker 1>you know, I often have to catch myself thank you.

1:38:59.240 --> 1:39:02.160
<v Speaker 1>It's the stupid tiny idea And then you think, oh

1:39:02.160 --> 1:39:06.719
<v Speaker 1>my god. You know, like who knows the Internet teaches

1:39:06.800 --> 1:39:09.920
<v Speaker 1>you humility? Humility if nothing else I've heard. I've heard

1:39:10.040 --> 1:39:14.879
<v Speaker 1>many of VC say that, and I forgot which fairly

1:39:14.960 --> 1:39:19.840
<v Speaker 1>well regarded VC firm publishes their lists every year of

1:39:20.240 --> 1:39:23.519
<v Speaker 1>here's what we said no to, aren't we dumb? And

1:39:23.560 --> 1:39:26.000
<v Speaker 1>it's like we passed on Apple, but we thought Cisco

1:39:26.160 --> 1:39:28.880
<v Speaker 1>is terrible, and you know that sort of stuff. And

1:39:29.120 --> 1:39:32.200
<v Speaker 1>those are real names from the list exactly, And for sure,

1:39:32.560 --> 1:39:36.919
<v Speaker 1>anybody who's honest has that list, right, it's a random

1:39:36.920 --> 1:39:40.120
<v Speaker 1>mass to what works and what anybody has a list

1:39:40.200 --> 1:39:43.280
<v Speaker 1>of things where you're like, I passed on what, you know,

1:39:43.520 --> 1:39:45.840
<v Speaker 1>like what was I thinking? Of course, because you looked

1:39:45.880 --> 1:39:49.000
<v Speaker 1>at it and it sounded idiotic. And who's gonna wait,

1:39:49.080 --> 1:39:52.120
<v Speaker 1>you expect people to pin stuff up that they've seen

1:39:52.200 --> 1:39:55.600
<v Speaker 1>elsewhere and somehow that's gonna make money. Yeah, and you know,

1:39:55.680 --> 1:39:58.040
<v Speaker 1>let let me give you an example, so of just

1:39:58.200 --> 1:40:01.160
<v Speaker 1>you know, random luck. So, so, my wife and I

1:40:01.600 --> 1:40:03.519
<v Speaker 1>three years ago decided that we needed to make a

1:40:03.560 --> 1:40:08.400
<v Speaker 1>significant donation to our local children's hospital because we had

1:40:08.400 --> 1:40:10.880
<v Speaker 1>never done it. It's a very important civic institution, and

1:40:10.960 --> 1:40:14.000
<v Speaker 1>we just do these sorts of things. We say, you know,

1:40:14.000 --> 1:40:17.320
<v Speaker 1>where should we send the money? Uh, my wife's one

1:40:17.360 --> 1:40:19.200
<v Speaker 1>of my wife's very closest friends on the board. She

1:40:19.200 --> 1:40:20.880
<v Speaker 1>sets us up with a meeting with the people who

1:40:20.960 --> 1:40:24.559
<v Speaker 1>run research for children, including the guy in charge of

1:40:24.600 --> 1:40:27.680
<v Speaker 1>cancer research. This guy makes his pitch. I see a

1:40:27.680 --> 1:40:30.160
<v Speaker 1>lot of pitches buried, and I'm like, Okay, that guy

1:40:30.280 --> 1:40:32.960
<v Speaker 1>is worth backing. So we give them like the it's

1:40:33.120 --> 1:40:36.080
<v Speaker 1>like it's a million dollar donation or something like that.

1:40:36.240 --> 1:40:37.920
<v Speaker 1>Given the money, and I'm like, but you know, look,

1:40:37.920 --> 1:40:39.800
<v Speaker 1>I'm a venture capitalist, so I gotta ask who owns

1:40:39.800 --> 1:40:41.560
<v Speaker 1>the I P And they're like, well, you know, it

1:40:41.600 --> 1:40:44.080
<v Speaker 1>turns out there is this entity that you could invest in.

1:40:44.200 --> 1:40:47.120
<v Speaker 1>So I throw some money in, right, Why wouldn't you like,

1:40:47.200 --> 1:40:50.720
<v Speaker 1>because it's ammunotherapy and this guy and the and the

1:40:50.800 --> 1:40:52.720
<v Speaker 1>and and and you know, we gave him money to

1:40:52.920 --> 1:40:56.519
<v Speaker 1>pursue his research and go into human trials. But the

1:40:56.600 --> 1:40:58.840
<v Speaker 1>pitch was so compelling that you were like, look, if

1:40:59.160 --> 1:41:02.000
<v Speaker 1>if you're really going to your cancer here, like, surely

1:41:02.160 --> 1:41:04.080
<v Speaker 1>I want to make a bet, right, So I make

1:41:04.120 --> 1:41:07.559
<v Speaker 1>a bet. But I pitched this to my partners and

1:41:07.600 --> 1:41:11.960
<v Speaker 1>I'm like, look, this is this thing. I know nothing about,

1:41:13.120 --> 1:41:20.280
<v Speaker 1>nothing about this nothing. I've never made an investment, zero background.

1:41:20.360 --> 1:41:23.480
<v Speaker 1>I really like the guy. I'm I'm making an investment.

1:41:23.640 --> 1:41:25.760
<v Speaker 1>What do you guys think? They're like, you've lost your mind.

1:41:26.080 --> 1:41:28.880
<v Speaker 1>You you're an idiot. Don't do it, but I did.

1:41:29.960 --> 1:41:34.040
<v Speaker 1>Fast forward. They cured cancer. Okay, now, when you say

1:41:34.080 --> 1:41:36.960
<v Speaker 1>they cured cancer, so this cured a specific type of

1:41:37.120 --> 1:41:41.080
<v Speaker 1>so so so Mike Jensen's research at children. They have

1:41:41.160 --> 1:41:45.680
<v Speaker 1>now treated thirty kids who were on death store with leukemia.

1:41:46.400 --> 1:41:51.639
<v Speaker 1>In ninety five percent of the cases, these full remission,

1:41:51.880 --> 1:41:55.320
<v Speaker 1>real remission for Is it just for that one? Yeah,

1:41:55.880 --> 1:41:59.519
<v Speaker 1>these kinds of a couple of kinds of leukemia, full

1:41:59.560 --> 1:42:03.320
<v Speaker 1>remission meantime. Meantime, the company gets reconstituted in this thing

1:42:03.360 --> 1:42:08.920
<v Speaker 1>called Juno Therapeutics, and it's now worth six billions and

1:42:09.000 --> 1:42:11.760
<v Speaker 1>your partners have no money, and well no, but they

1:42:11.840 --> 1:42:15.479
<v Speaker 1>made a good They made a good they made a

1:42:15.520 --> 1:42:19.639
<v Speaker 1>good venture capital decision. They have an expertise in that space.

1:42:19.800 --> 1:42:22.599
<v Speaker 1>You know nothing about it. You've never made an investment

1:42:22.600 --> 1:42:26.200
<v Speaker 1>in biotech. This is a random, idiotic bet based on

1:42:26.280 --> 1:42:32.040
<v Speaker 1>an emotional response you had to a guy. Well, I

1:42:32.120 --> 1:42:36.000
<v Speaker 1>was lucky at random luck. That was where we began.

1:42:36.080 --> 1:42:40.800
<v Speaker 1>The conversation was with combination of skill plus lot, so

1:42:40.880 --> 1:42:43.080
<v Speaker 1>there was a little bit of instinct. You saw something

1:42:43.120 --> 1:42:46.439
<v Speaker 1>after look the whole I'm not a I love Malcolm

1:42:46.479 --> 1:42:48.479
<v Speaker 1>Gladwell's writings, but I know a lot of them come

1:42:48.479 --> 1:42:51.360
<v Speaker 1>with an asterisk. This was an outlier case where you've

1:42:51.400 --> 1:42:55.679
<v Speaker 1>seen ten thousands of VC pitches and here's a guy

1:42:55.720 --> 1:42:58.479
<v Speaker 1>that basically, this guy seems to know it's the real deal,

1:42:58.800 --> 1:43:01.160
<v Speaker 1>and you basically went with it. And so I'm an

1:43:01.200 --> 1:43:04.080
<v Speaker 1>investor in Juno Therapeutics at a very early stage. And

1:43:04.160 --> 1:43:08.599
<v Speaker 1>a very early stage you may join the trace com

1:43:09.680 --> 1:43:12.640
<v Speaker 1>uh you know group after all, for those of you

1:43:12.680 --> 1:43:16.800
<v Speaker 1>who are in Fantasilicon Valley, it's a hilarious digression in

1:43:16.840 --> 1:43:21.160
<v Speaker 1>the show. Um. And finally, my final question, which I

1:43:21.200 --> 1:43:25.240
<v Speaker 1>asked all my guests, what do you know about your

1:43:25.360 --> 1:43:28.880
<v Speaker 1>chosen field and let's call it investing and venture capitalist

1:43:29.360 --> 1:43:32.280
<v Speaker 1>that you wish you knew when you began your career?

1:43:34.840 --> 1:43:42.040
<v Speaker 1>Oh golly, uh, it's a question that provokes thought on

1:43:42.120 --> 1:43:52.000
<v Speaker 1>a lot of people. So, you know, so the economy

1:43:52.200 --> 1:43:55.439
<v Speaker 1>isn't money. I wish, I wish I understood better that

1:43:55.520 --> 1:44:00.840
<v Speaker 1>the economy isn't money. It's people, right, explain that a

1:44:00.880 --> 1:44:06.160
<v Speaker 1>little farther. That's interesting about people. It's about human capacity

1:44:06.240 --> 1:44:10.920
<v Speaker 1>and capability, it's about human capital. Yeah, just like so

1:44:11.720 --> 1:44:17.360
<v Speaker 1>you don't invest in a company, you invest in a

1:44:17.439 --> 1:44:21.080
<v Speaker 1>group of human beings working together, and if you pick

1:44:21.160 --> 1:44:23.400
<v Speaker 1>the right human beings who know how to work together

1:44:23.439 --> 1:44:27.040
<v Speaker 1>in the right way, you know, the chances of success

1:44:27.040 --> 1:44:32.519
<v Speaker 1>are much higher. And I think that just having better

1:44:32.720 --> 1:44:36.320
<v Speaker 1>people skills, being able to read people better, being able

1:44:36.360 --> 1:44:38.880
<v Speaker 1>to understand people that are, being able to understand their

1:44:38.920 --> 1:44:43.560
<v Speaker 1>emotions better, uh, is you know, in investing, And I

1:44:43.640 --> 1:44:47.520
<v Speaker 1>think in every domain in life an enormous advantage empathy,

1:44:47.600 --> 1:44:52.160
<v Speaker 1>you know, just yeah, you know, just not like, oh,

1:44:52.280 --> 1:44:55.280
<v Speaker 1>look at the spreadsheet, Look at the hockey stick. You know,

1:44:55.479 --> 1:44:58.439
<v Speaker 1>the spreadsheet says it's gonna go here, but you know,

1:44:58.479 --> 1:45:02.320
<v Speaker 1>but not noticing that those two hate each other, right,

1:45:03.160 --> 1:45:06.120
<v Speaker 1>the two guys that just presented this plan hate each other,

1:45:06.439 --> 1:45:09.920
<v Speaker 1>and they're gonna last fifteen minutes working together, like fifteen

1:45:09.960 --> 1:45:12.639
<v Speaker 1>minutes after you put the three million in that they're

1:45:12.640 --> 1:45:14.559
<v Speaker 1>going to be in some war and you're gonna get

1:45:14.640 --> 1:45:16.200
<v Speaker 1>need to get rid of one of them, right, Like,

1:45:16.680 --> 1:45:22.000
<v Speaker 1>not noticing that bad that that is that is a challenge. Nick.

1:45:22.040 --> 1:45:24.320
<v Speaker 1>I can't begin to thank you enough for your time

1:45:24.360 --> 1:45:26.800
<v Speaker 1>You've been You've been so generous. Give us a once

1:45:26.840 --> 1:45:30.400
<v Speaker 1>over of where everybody can find you on Twitter or

1:45:30.439 --> 1:45:35.200
<v Speaker 1>your website. Yeah, I'm an hour at Nick Hannahur on Twitter. Um,

1:45:35.400 --> 1:45:38.439
<v Speaker 1>I do have a website. I think it's Nick han Our.

1:45:38.920 --> 1:45:40.519
<v Speaker 1>You have a dash in the middle of Yeah, I

1:45:40.520 --> 1:45:44.360
<v Speaker 1>think some some some other Nick Hannaur clown took you

1:45:44.360 --> 1:45:48.120
<v Speaker 1>should be buying. I should? I should track that guy down.

1:45:48.439 --> 1:45:50.880
<v Speaker 1>You should just be han out. You should? That should

1:45:50.920 --> 1:45:54.000
<v Speaker 1>be your domain com. And then you know, we have

1:45:54.479 --> 1:45:56.360
<v Speaker 1>my you know, I have a team of people who

1:45:56.360 --> 1:45:59.599
<v Speaker 1>work on politics with me, and that entity is called

1:45:59.640 --> 1:46:02.479
<v Speaker 1>Civic Ventures and it's very much like civil Ventures dot com,

1:46:02.840 --> 1:46:07.400
<v Speaker 1>civic ventures dot org dot org and uh and our

1:46:07.800 --> 1:46:10.280
<v Speaker 1>goal is to be do what we do in the

1:46:10.320 --> 1:46:12.400
<v Speaker 1>financial in the in the in the business world, to

1:46:12.479 --> 1:46:19.800
<v Speaker 1>be uh, you know, sort of disruptive in the civic sphere, right,

1:46:19.880 --> 1:46:23.439
<v Speaker 1>creative disrupt creative destruction in the civic sphere. That sounds

1:46:23.520 --> 1:46:26.960
<v Speaker 1>that sounds quite fascinating. So thank you again for being

1:46:27.000 --> 1:46:29.640
<v Speaker 1>so generous with your time. Thank you for those for

1:46:29.680 --> 1:46:31.720
<v Speaker 1>those of you who are here with us to the

1:46:31.840 --> 1:46:34.680
<v Speaker 1>ends you and you're enjoying the sort of conversation and

1:46:34.760 --> 1:46:37.320
<v Speaker 1>if you've toughed it out for this whole time, you

1:46:37.439 --> 1:46:40.200
<v Speaker 1>must be enjoying our conversation. Look an inch higher or

1:46:40.240 --> 1:46:42.519
<v Speaker 1>an inch lower on iTunes you'll see all the rest

1:46:42.560 --> 1:46:46.160
<v Speaker 1>of our UM shows. You're coming up on a year,

1:46:46.160 --> 1:46:48.639
<v Speaker 1>so you have to be like forty five or forty

1:46:48.680 --> 1:46:51.760
<v Speaker 1>six on the list of shows we've done. Be sure

1:46:51.800 --> 1:46:55.559
<v Speaker 1>and check out my daily column at Bloomberg View dot com.

1:46:55.640 --> 1:46:59.360
<v Speaker 1>Follow me on Twitter at rid Halts, or go to

1:46:59.400 --> 1:47:02.760
<v Speaker 1>my blog at results dot com. I'm Barry Results. You've

1:47:02.800 --> 1:47:05.800
<v Speaker 1>been listening to Masters in Business on Bloomberg Radio