Speaker 1: Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly, a production of I Heart Radio.
Speaker 1: Time now for Fantasy Football Weekly from my Heart Radio,
Speaker 1: your weekly source for the nation's best fantasy football advice, speculation,
Speaker 1: and whatever stupid stuff they decided to drop into the show. Now,
Speaker 1: here's your host, Paul. Welcome to our first off season edition,
Speaker 1: Fantasy Football Weekly. I'm Paul Charchi and co host today
Speaker 1: Brian Johnson. It's uh, it feels weird talking about the
Speaker 1: off season wins Week eighteen, but it's the fantasy off season.
Speaker 1: What a week it has been. It really has um
Speaker 1: as of this morning, Friday morning, all excellent news on tomorrow, Hamlin,
Speaker 1: and that it looks like, you know, optimistically, everything's gonna
Speaker 1: work out great. Yeah, he supposedly was on like a
Speaker 1: zoom call with the team. Yeah, of course that's a
Speaker 1: private manner, but I think everyone would love to see
Speaker 1: that video at some point because yeah, for sure that
Speaker 1: a great, pretty heartwarming stuff there really is. And um,
Speaker 1: from from his standpoint, it really it could not have
Speaker 1: worked out any better. I think, as horrific as the
Speaker 1: whole thing. And it's in totality, you know, it sure
Speaker 1: looks like at the end of the day, there's no
Speaker 1: reason to think that he will not come out of
Speaker 1: this in in in great shape, And whether or not
Speaker 1: that means an NFL career does not matter to me
Speaker 1: at all whatsoever. Um. You know, it may turn out
Speaker 1: that whatever, you know, whatever condition he had, may prevent
Speaker 1: him from ever playing the NFL again, But who cares.
Speaker 1: You know, you know you're gonna be alive, and you
Speaker 1: know gonna gonna have a you know, presumably a great
Speaker 1: rest of his life. And I don't want to speculate
Speaker 1: that he's gonna play again, but I there is a chance,
Speaker 1: just based on Chris Pronger, the hockey player, he got
Speaker 1: hit in the chest with a like a slapshot or
Speaker 1: something in the same essentially the same thing happened. You
Speaker 1: wanted to cardiac cardiac arrest. But uh, he went on
Speaker 1: to play like twelve years after that. So hopefully hopefully
Speaker 1: can play again for sure. Uh. Over the course of
Speaker 1: the show, we're gonna talk about how commissioners and leagues
Speaker 1: should deal with the Bills, Bengal situation, and resolving your
Speaker 1: championship from last week. There's still some leagues out there
Speaker 1: that are unsettled. We'll give you some broad based advice
Speaker 1: on that. Um, we're gonna talk about how to play
Speaker 1: in the playoffs. We love fantasy football in the NFL
Speaker 1: playoffs super fun. You get to try do things we'll
Speaker 1: give you. We'll talk about how we like to play
Speaker 1: UM and how to disperse players for that. And then
Speaker 1: at the end of the show, I want to talk
Speaker 1: about some of your prefer DFS angles for Week A team. Yeah,
Speaker 1: it's probably one of the better weeks to play DFS
Speaker 1: if you're one of the trick you right, if you're brave.
Speaker 1: There's there's a lot of people that just opt out
Speaker 1: of Week eighteen or make bad angles on Week A
Speaker 1: team just because they assume big game players are gonna
Speaker 1: play when they're not. And I we'll talk about the
Speaker 1: teams you should really be focusing on, and probably those
Speaker 1: teams you should be fading. And then but then some
Speaker 1: guys chasing some incentives in But yeah, we'll get to
Speaker 1: that in a little bit. Sounds good. Let's start with
Speaker 1: commissioners and leagues that still have a Week seventeen championship
Speaker 1: to figure out. Uh. The advice that I've been giving people,
Speaker 1: Brian is first and foremost for commissioners, ask your first
Speaker 1: and second place teams to work it out among themselves. Really,
Speaker 1: we don't want to make you into the bad guy.
Speaker 1: And my goal is to not have the commissioner have
Speaker 1: to make a call between who wins and who loses.
Speaker 1: And if we have found overwhelmingly the teams that were
Speaker 1: in the finals have have been able to work it
Speaker 1: out themselves in an equitable fashion, and that's the best thing.
Speaker 1: And we we should preface this with that we're talking
Speaker 1: solely private leagues, home league, you call him. Any contest
Speaker 1: operator out there, they had to make the tough choice
Speaker 1: to just not count, like they can't go to projected
Speaker 1: points or we're not talking about No, we're not talking
Speaker 1: about home friends and family leagues. Yes, yea um, and
Speaker 1: so but then if your first since I could place
Speaker 1: teams can't work it out, now it's back on you,
Speaker 1: commissioner to have to make some kind of ruling. This
Speaker 1: is not ideal. I know there's some commissioners that that
Speaker 1: really think they've they dig the power trip of being
Speaker 1: the commissioner and they want to own this decision. But again,
Speaker 1: this is not the this is not the best spot
Speaker 1: for this. The worst thing I think any commissioner can
Speaker 1: do is use any form of past performance because you
Speaker 1: are picking a winner. Yeah, and that's I don't think
Speaker 1: that's ever. That's not a healthy position to put yourself
Speaker 1: in his commissioner and put the loser in because at
Speaker 1: that point, you know, we've seen people recommend things like, well,
Speaker 1: I'm taking the average of the players performances over the
Speaker 1: month of December because that's more recent, and I'm averaging
Speaker 1: those and I'm applying him to the week seventeen. I'm like, jeez,
Speaker 1: this is you are putting yourself in a position to
Speaker 1: to pick winners and that is not good. And projected
Speaker 1: points to kind of falls in that bucket. I think
Speaker 1: those aren't real their projections and yep, and even PA
Speaker 1: points projected points, they're all based, you know, on the
Speaker 1: average performance. But most of the times the players have
Speaker 1: spike weeks, so you can't you know, one week they
Speaker 1: have thirty points and then the two. So yeah, I'm
Speaker 1: not a fan of either of those routes. Really, I'll
Speaker 1: say this, if one of the two teams was highly
Speaker 1: likely to win, you know, if this if they played
Speaker 1: the game a hundred times and this one team was
Speaker 1: gonna win the time, then I would probably just go ahead.
Speaker 1: And you know, again, if I'm a commissioner who has
Speaker 1: to make the call and one of them is overwhelmingly favorite,
Speaker 1: then I would just pick that person. We're in an
Speaker 1: Empire league together and I was in the third place game,
Speaker 1: not playing you, and I've had like a chance to win,
Speaker 1: And I talked to the other manager her and I said, hey,
Speaker 1: if he was a little closer, I would totally split
Speaker 1: this with you. And he was he was like, he
Speaker 1: was sotly. Finally he's like, yeah, you you were gonna
Speaker 1: beat me, so like really cool. And another league, I
Speaker 1: was in third place game it would have come down
Speaker 1: to the wire probably and I said, I was like,
Speaker 1: let's split it, and he said, I'm fine with that.
Speaker 1: We were gonna play Week eight team, but we were
Speaker 1: kind of like, we're kind of tired of season, but
Speaker 1: third place, So yeah, that's that's definitely a good alternative. Now,
Speaker 1: if the outcome is in doubt and your commissioner has
Speaker 1: to make a ruling, um, your ruling can be I'm
Speaker 1: splitting the pot. I'm just not getting in the You
Speaker 1: guys are splitting the pot. You two couldn't come up
Speaker 1: with a solution. But I'm doing it for you. I'm
Speaker 1: splitting the pot. Totally valid to do that as a commissioner,
Speaker 1: and in just in terms of like emotionally setting you know,
Speaker 1: putting out, putting yourself in a position to be the
Speaker 1: bad person, that's a very safe way to go. Just
Speaker 1: you know, Brian, you're gonna split the pot with Fish.
Speaker 1: You two guys. You know, I'm sorry that it worked
Speaker 1: out this way, but you know that's it. That's my ruling.
Speaker 1: And then the other is I think the final scenario
Speaker 1: that you could use, but I really don't like it.
Speaker 1: As you again, you can't use pass performance, but if
Speaker 1: you want to play out week eighteen you could. I
Speaker 1: don't like it. Many good players are not going to play,
Speaker 1: so I really don't recommend it. But that's so that's
Speaker 1: the that's the scenario again. Ideally, the first and second
Speaker 1: place teams working out among themselves. If they can't, the commissioner,
Speaker 1: you gotta get involved. If one team was highly likely
Speaker 1: to win, make that team the winner. If the outcome
Speaker 1: was in doubt, I'd split the pot. And if you
Speaker 1: still can't do that, then I would play out Week teens.
Speaker 1: One other option I've heard, which I don't love, but
Speaker 1: I like it better than the past performance of their
Speaker 1: projected points is you can swap in your highest scoring
Speaker 1: bench players that could fill you know, oh yeah from
Speaker 1: last week best effective approach. Yeah, I had. I had
Speaker 1: one league, my Whiskey League, my coveted Whiskey League, which
Speaker 1: I love. It's it's run by Scott Steve's aban in
Speaker 1: in Milwaukee, and uh and Washington and um. It came
Speaker 1: down to me and versus one other guy and again
Speaker 1: the so Guillotine League. All seventeen losers sent a bottle
Speaker 1: of whiskey into the winner. And I'm in the finals.
Speaker 1: I'm up by two points heading into Monday night. I
Speaker 1: have Jamaar Chase, but he had Josh Allen Tee Higgins,
Speaker 1: So I conceded. I didn't want to um, but there
Speaker 1: wasn't a very very you know, the only scenario really
Speaker 1: were Jamaar Chase was gonna outscore Josh Allen and tie Higgins.
Speaker 1: Either te Higgins was gonna have to get iced for
Speaker 1: the whole game or get hurt. Well, you know, Josh Allen,
Speaker 1: he kind of tweaked his knee a little bit. It
Speaker 1: did a little bit. I mean, you're still gonna play.
Speaker 1: But yeah, I think you deserve at least a couple
Speaker 1: of bottles out of that. I'm hoping. I'm hoping the
Speaker 1: winner sees it that way. He's Josh and listening. Okay,
Speaker 1: let's talk about planning and playing in the playoffs. Yeah, Brian,
Speaker 1: perfect time first, the perfect time to test drive any
Speaker 1: scoring system changes you're contemplating. Its particularly scoring system. Uh,
Speaker 1: there's so many other weird things about the way that
Speaker 1: you play in the playoffs that a lot of the
Speaker 1: other things that you might be contemplating you can't do.
Speaker 1: But if you've always wanted to try tight end point
Speaker 1: and a half PPR, if you want you whatever, whatever,
Speaker 1: whatever you're thinking about, this is a there's a good
Speaker 1: opportunity to test drive it. We encourage you to to,
Speaker 1: uh to try. Yeah, And if you still use kickers
Speaker 1: and defense in your league, this is the perfect time
Speaker 1: to not do it and see how when you do
Speaker 1: do it in the playoffs. Absolutely, absolutely, all right, here's
Speaker 1: how I would set it up, and that's how I
Speaker 1: do set it up. So, first, your playoff league should
Speaker 1: have seven teams, and that's because there are fourteen teams
Speaker 1: that get into the NFL playoffs, So you want seven
Speaker 1: teams participating in it because that way everybody gets two
Speaker 1: and exactly to team quarterbacks, team kickers, and team defense.
Speaker 1: If you want to use, it's the perfect time, everect
Speaker 1: time to use that. I'll defer to you. I guess fine,
Speaker 1: but yeah, totally seven seven. You can go less two,
Speaker 1: but seven max, Yeah, seven, seven. I think seven is
Speaker 1: perfect because it forces people into really undesirable teams. And
Speaker 1: you know, everybody's gonna have two quarterbacks, so who's gonna
Speaker 1: get that last team that nobody wants? And you know,
Speaker 1: I love it. I think seven is the perfect number.
Speaker 1: But Okay, you're right, you can play with less for
Speaker 1: those and then because again, because there's four teen teams left,
Speaker 1: I'd use exactly fourteen roster spots, Brian, So that would
Speaker 1: be we We already mentioned the two team kickers, the
Speaker 1: two team quarterbacks, the two team defense. That's six or fourteen,
Speaker 1: three running backs, three receivers, a tight end, and reflex
Speaker 1: that brings you a fourteen fourteen roster spots fourteen NFL teams.
Speaker 1: Now that's gonna open up a few things. I'm talking
Speaker 1: about a second, Uh, there's no bench. Everybody scores so
Speaker 1: no bench, no bench start, it's everybody place. The playoffs,
Speaker 1: you don't even have many that many guys going, and
Speaker 1: due to Bie weeks and stuff, you know, like the
Speaker 1: Eagles aren't gonna go. Uh, there are no transactions to
Speaker 1: be made. Your draft is the final thing. No transactions
Speaker 1: the key to winning in the playoffs. You want to
Speaker 1: identify teams that are gonna play three or four games.
Speaker 1: That's the single biggest thing is who's gonna Who's gonna
Speaker 1: which which teams like San Francisco. You think San Francisco
Speaker 1: could easily make a run everyone whatever, whether the ninth
Speaker 1: strate and the most sorry, most desirable is the teams
Speaker 1: that can make a run. But also I don't have
Speaker 1: a buy in San Francisco that the perfect for that,
Speaker 1: right and it looks like Buffalo is shaping up to
Speaker 1: be that team right now. Uh in Kansas City probably
Speaker 1: will be the one seed Buffalo. You know, you could
Speaker 1: get four games out of Buffalo, you can get four
Speaker 1: games out of San Francisco. That puts a huge premium
Speaker 1: on those players for sure. All Right, and then the
Speaker 1: last thing I want to mention from just a strategy
Speaker 1: standpoint is as you're as you're holding your draft, your auction.
Speaker 1: We're gonna talk about how to disperse players. In a
Speaker 1: second quarterbacks, kickers and defenses in real in regular season
Speaker 1: fantasy especially, kickers and defense are not very important. Here
Speaker 1: they are because the reason and they're not important in
Speaker 1: the in the regular season is they're all about the same,
Speaker 1: they don't They all score about the same and everyone
Speaker 1: has and everyone has on it. But in the playoffs,
Speaker 1: when your kicker gets knocked out, Dang, there's eleven points
Speaker 1: I'm not getting every week. Even dang there's two points.
Speaker 1: I'm not getting every point every Kickers and defenses have
Speaker 1: way more importance in the playoffs, like for the good teams.
Speaker 1: You'll see those guys going before, like you know, Travis e.
Speaker 1: T N assuming that the Jaguars and the playoffs, like
Speaker 1: I'd rather have the Bills defense, yes, which makes it
Speaker 1: really fun. It's another part of the playoffs. Okay, yeah,
Speaker 1: I'm I'm wormed back up to kickers and defense and
Speaker 1: proud of you, proud of you. So now the question
Speaker 1: is how to disperse the players. Of course, you can
Speaker 1: just have a draft. That's easy, but what are some
Speaker 1: other things you could do? Obviously, the auction. I love,
Speaker 1: we love auctions. UM auctions have some limitations this time here.
Speaker 1: I don't think like you can use the ESPN auction
Speaker 1: engine or the Yahoo auction engine for the playoffs. But
Speaker 1: maybe you can. I'm not sure about that. So mostly
Speaker 1: it might just be getting everybody together in one place,
Speaker 1: one time. It could be getting everybody together on his zoom. Yeah,
Speaker 1: and Matt had his white board idea to tell people
Speaker 1: about it. I think I got I haven't done this
Speaker 1: yet with him. I think it's a really good idea.
Speaker 1: But yeah, you'll have a white board. It could just
Speaker 1: be a piece of paper. You don't have to have
Speaker 1: a white board. But you know, player makes it easier.
Speaker 1: It does. The player goes up you know whoever Patrick Mahomes.
Speaker 1: Everyone has twenty seconds to write down a number and
Speaker 1: then you all flip flip up your white bar and
Speaker 1: whoever is the camera and then but what happens if
Speaker 1: there's a tie? Uh you left it tweet? I think
Speaker 1: a tie. I think if you and I both flip
Speaker 1: up fourteen, Patrick Mahomes, that we both have a fourteen
Speaker 1: written down, everybody else is out, then you and I
Speaker 1: have to write a new number. That's at least fourteen
Speaker 1: well probably or at least fifteen probably right, Like like,
Speaker 1: if I'm willing to I only want to go one
Speaker 1: more dollar, but you're willing to go to more than
Speaker 1: you'll you'll ultimately win. Patrick Um. So there's the the
Speaker 1: white Board Zoom Auction League, which I think makes a
Speaker 1: lot of sense. The other thing you can do we
Speaker 1: mentioned there's exactly fourteen roster spots. Everybody just picks one
Speaker 1: player from each NFL team, fill your anybody you want.
Speaker 1: So then the question is do you get do you
Speaker 1: go with the chalk like, okay, so I can I'm
Speaker 1: allowed one forty niner? Do I take Christian McCaffrey. With
Speaker 1: that kind of setting, I like where you you do
Speaker 1: it every you can also do it every week. You
Speaker 1: pick it, you know, set a lineup. But you can
Speaker 1: only use a player once. So if I use McCaffrey
Speaker 1: in the wild guard around, I can I can't use
Speaker 1: them again for the rest of the the rest of
Speaker 1: the playoffs. Yeah, that's more work than I'm usually willing
Speaker 1: to do. I just say, you know, draft everybody you
Speaker 1: know to give you one player from every team, and
Speaker 1: that scales infinitely. You can you can have any number
Speaker 1: of teams if you do that right. If I say
Speaker 1: I don't need to just have seven teams in my
Speaker 1: playoff league, I can have as many as I want
Speaker 1: to have a thousand teams. Knowing that with all the
Speaker 1: variations of play, if I said, give me one player
Speaker 1: from fourteen different teams, enough people not everybody, you know,
Speaker 1: Christian McAffrey, some people are gonna be like, I'm going
Speaker 1: George Kemmel. Some people are gonna go, I'm going Niners defense,
Speaker 1: which would be totally, totally cool. Niners defense is awesome
Speaker 1: and they could play four games. We're talking about how great,
Speaker 1: how much of an advantage it is to have a defense.
Speaker 1: So there's so many different strategies and ways you can
Speaker 1: go that way. Yeah, you certainly want to go contrarian,
Speaker 1: uh at some positions, because yeah, most people will probably
Speaker 1: pick Christian McCaffrey from Most people are gonna pick probably
Speaker 1: Travis Kelsey, yeah, from the Chiefs for their tight end.
Speaker 1: But yeah, it's a swing for the Fences movie. Yeah,
Speaker 1: if the Chiefs get knocked out and you just pick
Speaker 1: Travis Kelsey or Patrick Mahomes or some other people, most
Speaker 1: other people in your league have and you didn't and
Speaker 1: then you're you're you're in a good spot. Correct, correct,
Speaker 1: So um, that's the that's that's how you disperse players
Speaker 1: is really up to and you can have a lot
Speaker 1: of fun with that. Most people will still just do
Speaker 1: a draft, but um, yeah, I love the I love
Speaker 1: the playoff leaks. And regardless of how you if you
Speaker 1: just do a regular draft or a regular auction, um
Speaker 1: you in my mind and this this is the best
Speaker 1: ball strategy to I play a lot of best ball
Speaker 1: playoff leagues. You want to kind of not go all in,
Speaker 1: but go hard on a team that's all based off
Speaker 1: who who's available with your first pick, say you know
Speaker 1: it's like first overall pick, I get Josh Allen, almost
Speaker 1: ignore the ADP and just go grab Gabe Davis. Over leagues,
Speaker 1: you do have to do some stacking in the playoffs
Speaker 1: and just hope that team does play three and four games. Yeah,
Speaker 1: and then if I'm heavy on the bills with the
Speaker 1: Chiefs or an a f C team, I'm trying to
Speaker 1: fill my other roster spots with NFC guys because you
Speaker 1: don't want to be eliminating your own players from the
Speaker 1: same conference. So a definitely a high level strategy you
Speaker 1: want to keep in mind and think it all depends
Speaker 1: on how many teams are in and in a seven
Speaker 1: team league, I don't do that because it's too easy
Speaker 1: to get beat out. And I'm just having run these
Speaker 1: for twenty five years, I've found that the best the
Speaker 1: approach that wins the most the people who I diversify.
Speaker 1: So yeah, all right, let's talk. Um let's talk through
Speaker 1: a week a teen DFS options. Brian, You've done a
Speaker 1: bunch of work here, Um I have. I've got some
Speaker 1: of the team motivations in front of me, but you've
Speaker 1: put specific You've put some specific work into some advice
Speaker 1: for people. It's it's kind of high level stuff too.
Speaker 1: I mean in Week eighteen DFS, which used to be
Speaker 1: Week seventeen, in terms of the last week, it's it's
Speaker 1: really more about motivation than the matchup. And uh so
Speaker 1: we're gonna talk most sites. The main slate is just
Speaker 1: the early afternoon, late afternoon games on Sunday. So unfortunately
Speaker 1: this weekend that's going to remove motivated teams. Uh Kansas
Speaker 1: City in the city Tennessee, Jacksonville on set matter day.
Speaker 1: Green Bay is on Sunday night playing Detroit who could
Speaker 1: be or not. Detroit's gonna go at green Bay hard.
Speaker 1: And I think Dan Campbell's gonna play the win no
Speaker 1: matter what. Definitely, uh. And you know, talking to Chad
Speaker 1: Greenway today, he felt like team's gonna team would be
Speaker 1: Lions will be trickier if they've been eliminated, because he
Speaker 1: thinks they'll be looser, they'll be more willing to take
Speaker 1: chances gamble um. He thinks they're they're more dangerous team
Speaker 1: if the Lions have actually been eliminated, which could make
Speaker 1: some sense. You know, there's not exactly a lot of
Speaker 1: playoff pedigree and what would effectively be a playoff game
Speaker 1: for the Lions. Outside of Jared Goff, I can see
Speaker 1: them being a little bit tight in a game that
Speaker 1: means this much. You know, the Lions haven't played a
Speaker 1: meaningful final week of the season game in I don't know,
Speaker 1: twenty years. I wholeheartedly agree with that, Like, if they
Speaker 1: got nothing to lose, yeah, and green Bay's got everything
Speaker 1: on the line at that point, I mean they do
Speaker 1: either way, but yeah, I'm with you there. Um it
Speaker 1: back to the main slate on Sunday. Not a ton
Speaker 1: of teams that are gonna be motivated. But you certainly
Speaker 1: want to be targeting well now, but we we basically
Speaker 1: know how the Cincinnati Buffalo situation is playing out or
Speaker 1: how they won't resume the game. Cincinnati Buffalo are motivated,
Speaker 1: as are their opponents. Uh, the Ravens playing the Bengals.
Speaker 1: Ravens are highly motivated for this game. They've got many
Speaker 1: playoffs scenarios that unfrill with wins here and New England
Speaker 1: and playing Buffalo, they win, has to win eligible. Yes,
Speaker 1: Miami needs to beat the Jets, they'll make the playoffs. Pittsburgh, Uh,
Speaker 1: well motivated as well against Cleveland. So those are teams
Speaker 1: you want to target. Seattle certainly, and all these teams
Speaker 1: mentioned so far are in the one o'clock window, one
Speaker 1: eastern window. UM Philly playing an unmotivated Giants team, even
Speaker 1: though the Giants have said they're gonna they're not playing,
Speaker 1: they're started. If the Giants play their starters at all,
Speaker 1: of some steak. If they play their starters more than
Speaker 1: a series or two, it's a mistake. Now, so the
Speaker 1: Philly Philly is going to beat the Giants. I mean
Speaker 1: that you Philly is going to beat them. So so
Speaker 1: Dallas and San Francisco will still have something to play
Speaker 1: for that they'll both be playing for the two seed.
Speaker 1: But there's gonna be a little scoreboard watching there. They
Speaker 1: both play in the late afternoon. If Dallas and San
Speaker 1: Francisco's winning, Yeah, but I'm saying that so Dallas can
Speaker 1: get the two seeds, you know, like they have to
Speaker 1: get loss. They have to get a Philly loss, which
Speaker 1: isn't gonna happen. So yeah, it means Dallas not gonna
Speaker 1: be too motivated. So Off is not going to be motivated.
Speaker 1: And you know, of course all these unnotivated teams and
Speaker 1: the teams that are well out of the playoffs, Yeah,
Speaker 1: they're gonna want to take a look at guys. But
Speaker 1: you're really playing with fire, trying to guess how much
Speaker 1: usage of player is gonna get, like especially the star
Speaker 1: players on a bad team. What's what's what's the point
Speaker 1: in that? But I have identify I Well, I wanted
Speaker 1: to get your opinion on the Vikings. I don't think
Speaker 1: they if they do play, Um, if you do. If
Speaker 1: they do play, I think it they played because they
Speaker 1: can get two starters. They can get the Vikings, get
Speaker 1: the TUCI, but they need they would need San Francisco
Speaker 1: to lose to Arizona next in the late games, which
Speaker 1: is not which is not happening, probably not. So there's
Speaker 1: fourteen point underdogs. Uh, the Cardinals are David blows their
Speaker 1: quarterback and they're not beating the Niners. So there's the
Speaker 1: Vikings would be foolish on many for many reasons, including
Speaker 1: a horrible surface on the Chicago field and the fact
Speaker 1: that they're short too offensive linemen in this game. So
Speaker 1: I I just don't I can't see them risking Kirk Cousins,
Speaker 1: Justin Jefferson knees, you know, just you don't think they're
Speaker 1: gonna want I know, in the grand scheme, it's not important,
Speaker 1: but Justin Jefferson chasing the but he's too far behind
Speaker 1: now because of the dud game Jeffers. The fifteen yard
Speaker 1: game Jefferson had last week really took the the possibility,
Speaker 1: the realistic possible ability of getting the all time single
Speaker 1: season record. What do you feel about t J. Hockenson
Speaker 1: needs one hundred and two yards for a thousand. I
Speaker 1: think they try to get him there, not unless he's
Speaker 1: got money tied to that thousand. I don't think so.
Speaker 1: And we don't know. Um, a couple other guys on
Speaker 1: unmotivated teams who are also going for a thousand yards.
Speaker 1: Michael Pitton needs a hundred and five. D. J. Moore
Speaker 1: needs a D two. I kind of like more I
Speaker 1: did against the Bucks. Yeah. I think it's a coaching
Speaker 1: staff that Carolina coaching staff is still is still coaching
Speaker 1: to try to earn the right to stay on his
Speaker 1: coaches in the off season. Carolina got something of a
Speaker 1: bad beat last week, and I trust them more than
Speaker 1: I trust New Orleans in their game. Yeah, totally. Uh,
Speaker 1: Tyler al Gier needs a hundred yards exactly to hit
Speaker 1: the thousand yard mark. I didn't realize he was, and
Speaker 1: I feel like the Falcons are gonna want get him there,
Speaker 1: get their rookie in a thousand yard Who was the
Speaker 1: last thousand in the yard rusher for the Falcons card
Speaker 1: Errol didn't do it last year. I probably go vic. Uh,
Speaker 1: Steven Jackson, No, like he was running that well at
Speaker 1: that point. Wardak had done rest of the Wow. Yeah,
Speaker 1: I mean I think of him with the box. Um. Yeah,
Speaker 1: I don't know. It's a good question though, but it's
Speaker 1: been a long time and Tyler l Geer's name, by
Speaker 1: the way, you watch how many times we mentioned him
Speaker 1: this in these in our offseason Fantasy Football weekly is Brian.
Speaker 1: It's gonna come up all the time. These hot start,
Speaker 1: these hot finished guys, excuse me, and end up carrying
Speaker 1: tons of momentum in through the fantasy cycle at the
Speaker 1: end of the year. And al Gear finishing really, really well,
Speaker 1: arguably with the best couple of games of his career
Speaker 1: in the last two weeks. And uh, they the Falcons
Speaker 1: playing a Bucks team with really nothing to games. So
Speaker 1: I think I like Algier a lot. Bucks are getting
Speaker 1: trounced in the first round of the playoffs. You think
Speaker 1: they're they're pretty much gonna face the Cowboys, right or five? Yep,
Speaker 1: let's see. I mean they're playing at home. Yeah, they
Speaker 1: do get that, they get the luxury of a home game,
Speaker 1: but it's the whole other topic on whether or not
Speaker 1: team should deserve that or not. I think they should
Speaker 1: amend the rules too. If you win your division, but
Speaker 1: your five hundred or worse don't home, Like how many
Speaker 1: if you just don't get in seriously, who there's been
Speaker 1: some remember the Seahawks were like and they won. They
Speaker 1: were seven win team that went in the playoffs and
Speaker 1: won their first game. We're gonna see it on the
Speaker 1: in the a f C two with the whoever wins
Speaker 1: Tennessee Jacksonville, they're gonna be five, will be nine, and
Speaker 1: it will be nine in eight, I believe. I think
Speaker 1: there but still not too impressive, not really desire of
Speaker 1: a first round home game. Um. One other player, Gerald Everett?
Speaker 1: Who Chargers playing? Am I blanking on who the Chargers
Speaker 1: are playing? The Chargers don't have a ton to game.
Speaker 1: They might have a little. They can get up to
Speaker 1: the five seed, h um and, which would give them
Speaker 1: the opportunity to play against Tennessee or Jacksonville, which should
Speaker 1: be a much easier matchup than they have at the
Speaker 1: sixth seed. So that's a That's why I think that's
Speaker 1: a highly motivated Chargers team right against a Denver team
Speaker 1: that has been dead in the water for a long time.
Speaker 1: I'm I'm a little skeptical about Austin. I don't know
Speaker 1: if they're gonna like give Echo or thirty touches. But
Speaker 1: Gerald Everett, I like Gerald Everett. UM he is five
Speaker 1: catches short of sixty, and he has an incentive bonus
Speaker 1: of two dollars if he gets sixty catches, and so
Speaker 1: he does he slide a little that to the offensive coordinator,
Speaker 1: I would, yeah, I want to so five. I'll take
Speaker 1: five catches any day from a tight end, a cheap
Speaker 1: tight end in DFS and uh. By the way, Denver
Speaker 1: allowing the second most receptions to opposing tight end six
Speaker 1: per game. So I like Everett a lot uh this weekend.
Speaker 1: But see parum is They've been using param a lot
Speaker 1: down the stretch here. I think they want trying to
Speaker 1: figure out what they've really got in Donald parm For
Speaker 1: those of us that are Donald Donald Parker from way
Speaker 1: back and been waiting for him to finally like string
Speaker 1: together four healthy games in a row, that would be
Speaker 1: my only worry. But I like your motivation here. And
Speaker 1: we have seen we've seen teams do this where they
Speaker 1: will feed a guy who they like, good locker room guys.
Speaker 1: They'll feed them to get them the money. How often
Speaker 1: do you think the front office dissuades the coaching staff
Speaker 1: from guys hitting there. I don't know, in real trouble.
Speaker 1: If they did, I think they could get they could
Speaker 1: get suited. If they did, they'd have to be very
Speaker 1: cautious about it. Yeah, but I think in most cases
Speaker 1: they they want their guys to get there. They can
Speaker 1: certainly afford to pay them. They can't put at that
Speaker 1: the owners can afford it. But some of them are, well,
Speaker 1: not all of them, some of them are vampires. If
Speaker 1: you believe the truth about about the Raiders, that they're
Speaker 1: so cash strapped that they can't afford to change coaches
Speaker 1: if they wanted to. You know, that's you know, you've
Speaker 1: got these You've got this asset of this incredibly valuable
Speaker 1: foot all team. But it's not liquid money, it's value.
Speaker 1: It's values entirely upon your sale of the team. And
Speaker 1: there are there are some teams that you know, some
Speaker 1: teams make wild amounts of money and some merely do okay.
Speaker 1: And it might be Raiders might be one of those
Speaker 1: teams that are just just doing okay. And I would
Speaker 1: have thrown Josh Jacobs in the unmotivated list, But again,
Speaker 1: the Raiders are playing on Saturday against the Chiefs. But
Speaker 1: Jacobs essentially has the rushing title locked up already at
Speaker 1: least like a hundred and fifty yards ahead of Nick Chubb.
Speaker 1: And I don't think that. And we've been saying it
Speaker 1: all season, Jacobs is not going to be a Raider
Speaker 1: next year. Even they're gonna be losing my thirty of
Speaker 1: the Chiefs who are just gonna So do they continue
Speaker 1: grinding him up in Week eight? Team? Does he just
Speaker 1: Josh Jacobs go to the coaches and go, look, I
Speaker 1: got an offseason coming where I need to make my money.
Speaker 1: I don't give me the ball. Yeah we'll see. I mean,
Speaker 1: because he does have the rushing title locked up. Yeah,
Speaker 1: you don't want to something bad to happen in a
Speaker 1: totally meaningless game, so airing a free agency. But it's
Speaker 1: it's that's this is what you're dealing with when you're
Speaker 1: playing in the last week in in daily fantasy or
Speaker 1: daily drafts, whatever. You gotta watch out for these land
Speaker 1: mines and look for the motivating factors. So Hugh helped
Speaker 1: you out a little. Houston and Indie's pretty fascinating because
Speaker 1: Houston needs to lose to secure the number one pick
Speaker 1: that gives them their choice of quarterbacks. Um Bears would
Speaker 1: go to number two. They could flip flop. Indie can
Speaker 1: move I believe all the way up to three with
Speaker 1: a loss in the draft. Um, right now, I think
Speaker 1: they're sitting at five. Uh, so they're pretty motivated to
Speaker 1: move to They need a quarterback as well. Yeah, I mean,
Speaker 1: and it's really it's a Stroud or Young, right, and
Speaker 1: it's a two quarterback. It's a two quarterbacks. And the
Speaker 1: Bears probably aren't going to take the trade out. At
Speaker 1: least'll trade out of they'll trade out of the spot
Speaker 1: and they'll get they'll get paid handsomely for that. Yeah,
Speaker 1: it's that's it's fat. You still want you assume the
Speaker 1: Bears want to lose, and it almost seems like the
Speaker 1: Vikings wanted to starting Nathan peter Man. You can't make
Speaker 1: it more obvious than that. Well, do you think the
Speaker 1: Vikings want to lose just to avoid the chance of
Speaker 1: playing Green Bay because if they win, they'll get the
Speaker 1: two seed. If so, the nine is itself to lose?
Speaker 1: What to that is not losing to Atlanta? Sorry, Arizona
Speaker 1: ain't happening. I don't think. Uh, Chicago's gonna get something
Speaker 1: like three first round picks for their one first round pick,
Speaker 1: a little bit like on you know, almost what they
Speaker 1: had to give up to get justin fields. But they'll
Speaker 1: get even more because this is the first pick of
Speaker 1: the draft Justin Fields came off the board or whatever,
Speaker 1: eight pick eight, So that'll be it'll be fascinating to
Speaker 1: see how that plays out as well. And I haven't
Speaker 1: crunched the numbers a ton, But what do you I
Speaker 1: think there's a chance Lamar Jackson probably not a raven
Speaker 1: next year, or there's a chance. What it like? I
Speaker 1: feel like Houston most people think he's absolutely a raven.
Speaker 1: I think we on this show are more skeptical about
Speaker 1: whether or not he's going to be a raven. I
Speaker 1: think there's a small I think there's a I don't.
Speaker 1: I don't know if it's called a small chance. But
Speaker 1: the Tech since seems like they have a lot of
Speaker 1: money to spend. I'm sure they do. If they could
Speaker 1: go get Lamar Jackson and then then they can first
Speaker 1: first round pick, that would set them up pretty nice,
Speaker 1: I think too so. But as Houston ready to win,
Speaker 1: I mean, you know, Lamar Jackson went out nothing to
Speaker 1: do with that. I don't think why would he want
Speaker 1: to be a part of that. Well, if you if
Speaker 1: you're getting they could you're getting a second and the
Speaker 1: first in the second for the next three years. Yeah,
Speaker 1: maybe you can get you can. You can. You can
Speaker 1: get healthy in the NFL pretty fast, so maybe there'd
Speaker 1: be that, But uh, the other side of it. As
Speaker 1: I saw this go across my Twitter feed, am not
Speaker 1: gonna get the numbers exactly right as we as we
Speaker 1: wrap up the episode here, um under look, with Lamar
Speaker 1: Jackson starts, the Ravens are like a seven fifty win
Speaker 1: percentage in games without Lamar Jackson, there like a three
Speaker 1: hundred win percentage since he's been there. Dud dude equals
Speaker 1: wins for that team. At the end of the day,
Speaker 1: Tyler Huntley is not. I was, Yeah, he looked better
Speaker 1: last year. I was really hoping he's been hurt played
Speaker 1: this week because he's hurt too. But uh so, yeah,
Speaker 1: I wouldn't go. I wouldn't play Tyler Huntley against the Bengals,
Speaker 1: even though that they have something to play for the Ravens.
Speaker 1: Miami needs to win and there their young quarterbacks. Thompson
Speaker 1: dude can play a bit. I liked it. We've seen
Speaker 1: We've gotten a decent look at him in two different games.
Speaker 1: He's looked. He's pretty good. That's probably one of the
Speaker 1: primary stacks that would be going after even though it's
Speaker 1: the Jets. But the Jets are the Jets don't care
Speaker 1: at this. They don't like the Dolphins. That's a big rivalry.
Speaker 1: But uh, I wouldn't. I wouldn't wouldn't fear the Jets
Speaker 1: like I have in past weeks when it comes to
Speaker 1: the passing game. Go are the standards of interdivisional rivalries.
Speaker 1: It's Miami Jets really even on the on the scales
Speaker 1: out of particularly big rivalry. My step dad when I
Speaker 1: was like twelve or thirteen, it was a quick story
Speaker 1: you Pat Kerwin, h My stepdad was friends with Pat.
Speaker 1: Talked to Pat Carowin asked him if he knows I
Speaker 1: won't say my stepdad's name on the air, But anyway,
Speaker 1: he was. He was a front office He worked in
Speaker 1: the front office for the Jets and the Giant early nineties,
Speaker 1: and my stepdad was friends with him and he hooked
Speaker 1: him up and it wasn't a full time job, but
Speaker 1: on home games he would go and you know, these
Speaker 1: are the days when you take actual pictures of all
Speaker 1: the sequences, and he would so he would like run
Speaker 1: those up to the coordinator's box. Like before it was
Speaker 1: all on iPads, just random stuff. So he did it
Speaker 1: for phone, and I got to go to a ton
Speaker 1: of Jets games. Never really was a Jets fan, but
Speaker 1: that was the heated rivalry. I was at the Fake
Speaker 1: Spike game and none that that was awesome. That was
Speaker 1: That's like the most famous, like named game. I've been
Speaker 1: to the Fake Spike game. But now the Jets and
Speaker 1: Patriots is bigger rivalry. Yeah, and Patriots Miami is a
Speaker 1: bigger rival because the Miami was the No matter how
Speaker 1: bad Miami was, they always played the Patriots hard, including
Speaker 1: the crazy Tony Sperrano led Wildcat Game, one of the
Speaker 1: big big upsets of the Brady Belichick era. Growing up
Speaker 1: in New Jersey, the Jets and Giants. You know, this
Speaker 1: is pre red Zone this, you know, I'm talking nineties.
Speaker 1: So they would never play at the same time, so
Speaker 1: we would never We'd only get one game most Sundays,
Speaker 1: one in the early afternoon and late afternoon Jets are Giants.
Speaker 1: And I can't tell you how awful it was when
Speaker 1: it was Jets Bills. Yeah, and this is like like
Speaker 1: after the Bills, like running gone. But yeah, that was
Speaker 1: after Thurman Thomas and Andre Reid and Kelly for the
Speaker 1: four Peak of losses mid to late nineties, brutal, brutal times.
Speaker 1: Thanks for listening, everybody. We are back every week of
Speaker 1: the season. You already got that figured out. I think
Speaker 1: is this is our We're in our off season mode. Um.
Speaker 1: Next week we'll be breaking down all the playoff games
Speaker 1: fantasy style, talking about who we like and who we
Speaker 1: don't like and who you know how we think these
Speaker 1: games are gonna go and we're happy to chat with
Speaker 1: you throughout the remainder of the off season. Thanks everybody.
Speaker 1: Fantasy Football Weekly is a auction of I Heart Radio.
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