Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio News.
Speaker 2: Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager and.
Speaker 1: I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the stories we're following today.
Speaker 2: Thank Karen.
Speaker 3: Our focus is on the markets this morning, as we
Speaker 3: head into the final full week of trading in twenty
Speaker 3: twenty four. Investors get key economic data this week, with
Speaker 3: retail sales due out tomorrow and November's core PCE, the
Speaker 3: Fed's preferred gage of inflation on Friday. Traders also have
Speaker 3: a slew of central bank meetings to follow. Rate decisions
Speaker 3: from the Bank of Japan and Bank of England come
Speaker 3: after Wednesday's FED meeting. Goldman Sachs economists have a note
Speaker 3: out this morning saying they expect a twenty five basis
Speaker 3: point reduction from the Fed this week, followed by a
Speaker 3: pause in January. Consensus is a likely cut on Wednesday,
Speaker 3: but former New York Fed President Bill Dudley says the
Speaker 3: path for rate cuts in.
Speaker 2: Twenty twenty five remains unclear.
Speaker 4: Last time in September, they had four recuts for twenty
Speaker 4: five base point recuts twenty twenty five, So this title
Speaker 4: will be two or three second. I think I'll talk
Speaker 4: about how inflation is a little bit sticky.
Speaker 2: The economy is doing really well.
Speaker 4: You'll price se some upper revisions of the FED estimates
Speaker 4: of so called our star, the neutral rate. So I
Speaker 4: think all those things together will make it pretty clear
Speaker 4: that Janguary is probably.
Speaker 5: Going to be a pause.
Speaker 3: And former New York Fed President Bill Dudley also tells
Speaker 3: Bloomberg the FED expects tax cuts from the first Trump
Speaker 3: administration to be extended, and we'll take that into account
Speaker 3: as it decides how to ease monetary policy next year.
Speaker 3: Stick with Bloomberg for live coverage of this Wednesday's FED
Speaker 3: decision will bring you a special edition of Bloomberg Surveillance.
Speaker 3: The Fed decides with Jonathan Farroll, Lisa Bromwoitz, and Tom
Speaker 3: Keane on Bloomberg Radio and Television.
Speaker 2: Well and Politics, Nathan.
Speaker 1: Much of the focus remains on policy and how a
Speaker 1: second Trump administration will implement proposed tax and a tariff policies.
Speaker 2: To be specific.
Speaker 1: Former Trump economic advisor Gary Colin told CBS.
Speaker 2: Has faced the Nation this weekend.
Speaker 1: He expects taxes to be a major focus of the
Speaker 1: coming administration.
Speaker 6: We do know that taxes will be taken up by
Speaker 6: this Congress in this session. We know that they're going
Speaker 6: to have to deal with the personal side of the
Speaker 6: equation because if not, the personal side will revert back
Speaker 6: to the pre twenty seventeen tax code.
Speaker 2: I don't think anyone wants on.
Speaker 6: Either side the Aisle wants to go back to the
Speaker 6: prior tax code.
Speaker 1: Former Trump economic advisor Gary Cohene was speaking on CBS's
Speaker 1: Face the Nation, which you can hear every weekend right
Speaker 1: here on Bloomberg Radio.
Speaker 3: Also in focus something that's turned into more of a
Speaker 3: political issue now Karen drone sidings across the northeast. New
Speaker 3: Jersey Governor Phil Murphy and New York Governor Kathy Hocheler
Speaker 3: among state leaders demanding expanded authority to act against drones
Speaker 3: That could appear as a thread, but Homeland Security Secretary
Speaker 3: Alejandro Majorcis tells ABC's This Week Americans will likely see
Speaker 3: more drones, but there is no evidence of foreign involvement
Speaker 3: or a national security risk.
Speaker 7: I want to assure the American public that we are
Speaker 7: on it. We are working in close coordination with state
Speaker 7: and local authorities, and it is critical, as we all
Speaker 7: have said for a number of years, that we need
Speaker 7: from Congress additional authorities to address the drawne situation.
Speaker 3: Homeland Security Secretary Alajondromericus also says drone fightings may be
Speaker 3: increasing due to the Federal Aviation Administration deciding last year
Speaker 3: to allow nighttime drone flights.
Speaker 1: Meanwhile, Nathan at the White House, the Biden administration has
Speaker 1: plenty to take action on land protections, clemency, and artificial
Speaker 1: intelligence in his final weeks in office. According to a
Speaker 1: memo to allies, the President's aiming to codify his legacy
Speaker 1: before a President elect Trump's inauguration.
Speaker 2: Trump's repairing a flurry.
Speaker 1: Of executive orders, some on his first day that could
Speaker 1: take aim at key planks of the Biden agenda.
Speaker 3: Star Back to markets now, Karen, because bitcoin has hit
Speaker 3: another all time high. The digital asset continues to soar
Speaker 3: on optimism over a second Trump administration, reaching another record high,
Speaker 3: surpassing one hundred and six thousand dollars. That advanced also
Speaker 3: helped to boost sentiment in the wider crypto market. The
Speaker 3: President elect is moving forward toward creating a friendly regulatory
Speaker 3: backdrop for digital assets and is back the idea of
Speaker 3: a strategic national bitcoin stockpile and checking bitcoin prices right now,
Speaker 3: They're off that one oh six record now trading at
Speaker 3: about one hundred and four thousand, six hundred dollars on.
Speaker 1: Nathan Weturn overseas now to the continued economic slowdown in China.
Speaker 1: China's retail sales growth and expectedly weakened in November despite
Speaker 1: signs of improvement in the housing market. City head of
Speaker 1: Emerging Market Economies Johanna Chua said the data highlights the
Speaker 1: need for Beijing to introduce more measures to boost spending.
Speaker 8: We really need to see actual consumption stimulus. I mean,
Speaker 8: what do we have so far this year has been
Speaker 8: very small, you know, targeted cash subsidies before the Golden
Speaker 8: Week or even the consumer trade in programs. I really
Speaker 8: expect going into twenty twenty five, which we've already seen
Speaker 8: this signal that we should get a larger fiscal stimulus
Speaker 8: with a composition much more skew towards consumption.
Speaker 1: And City's Johanna Cheua says the global headwinds and on
Speaker 1: certainty of a second Trump administration's policy does not instill
Speaker 1: confidence in jobs and income prospects in China.
Speaker 3: And China's soft retail sales reading is weighing on oil
Speaker 3: as well. Karen Crude slipped after advancing last week. Consumer
Speaker 3: weakness in China is reinforcing concerns over weakening demand, with
Speaker 3: the country's creud refining dipping to its lowest level in
Speaker 3: five months in November. Checking well prices right now, Nimex
Speaker 3: crudes down one percent at about seventy dollars fifty seven
Speaker 3: cents per barrel. Brent is down eight tens of one
Speaker 3: percent at seventy three dollars ninety three cents.
Speaker 1: Well, Nathan, and Europe, we're getting a sense of monetary
Speaker 1: policy this morning. European Central Bank President Christine Laguard talked
Speaker 1: about the path for rate cuts while speaking in Lithuania today,
Speaker 1: saying she expects a further reduction in rates as the
Speaker 1: ECB approaches its two percent inflation target.
Speaker 9: We are close to achieving our target, so we are
Speaker 9: no longer in a situation where we need to fix
Speaker 9: the policy horizon at the shortest possible transmission, like we
Speaker 9: can return to a situation the policy horizon can a
Speaker 9: just depending on the nature, size and persistence of the
Speaker 9: shock as needed.
Speaker 1: He's to be President, Christine Leaguard, as is the Central
Speaker 1: Bank well came monetary policy sufficiently restrictive for as long
Speaker 1: as necessary to reach its inflation target.
Speaker 3: Staying overseas, Karen, let's get you updated on the political
Speaker 3: turmoil in South Korea. The country's parliament voted to impeach
Speaker 3: President yunsukyol on Saturday, following his brief martial law declaration.
Speaker 3: With Yun's duty suspended, he now awaits a ruling from
Speaker 3: South Korea's Constitutional Court on whether he will be removed
Speaker 3: or restored to office. That decision can take up to
Speaker 3: one hundred and eighty days from the passage of impeachment.
Speaker 2: And finally, back at home, Nathan.
Speaker 1: An update on the deadly shooting of United Health CEO
Speaker 1: Brian Thompson. Police claim to have overwhelming evidence that suspected
Speaker 1: gunman Luigi Maggioni fatally shot Thompson in Midtown Manhattan, with
Speaker 1: evidence including video footage, fingerprints, a weapon, and a manifesto
Speaker 1: to crying the healthcare industry. Mangioni remains at a Pennsylvania
Speaker 1: jail fighting extradition to New York and hired high powered
Speaker 1: New York defense attorney Karen Friedman Agnefilo to represent him,
Speaker 1: and she could argue an insanity defense or challenge the
Speaker 1: evidence and may consider a guilty plea to reduce his
Speaker 1: potential prison term. Time. Now for a look at some
Speaker 1: of the other stories making news in New York and
Speaker 1: around the world. And for that we're joined by Bloomberg's
Speaker 1: John Tucker.
Speaker 10: John Good Morning, Good Morning, Karen toom Atwinzer to New
Speaker 10: York City's mayor resigns, joining a wave of departures is
Speaker 10: a corruption probe Titans. Let's get more in this report
Speaker 10: this morning from Bloomberg's Jeff Bellinger.
Speaker 11: Ingrid Lewis Martin is one of Mayor Eric Adams's closest
Speaker 11: confidants and longest serving aids. She is one of a
Speaker 11: dozen senior administration officials who have retired or resigned since
Speaker 11: late September, when Adams became the first New York City
Speaker 11: mayor in modern history to be indicted on federal corruption charges.
Speaker 11: Lewis Martin and has been scrutinized as part of the
Speaker 11: multiple investigations into Adams and his administration. Investigator seized her
Speaker 11: phone when she returned from a trip to Japan the
Speaker 11: day after the mayor was indicted. She is being investigated
Speaker 11: as part of a probe opened by the Manhattan District
Speaker 11: Attorney I'm Jeff Bellinger Bloomberg Radio.
Speaker 10: Israel struckt Syrian weapons depots and air defenses over the
Speaker 10: weekend in what appeared to be part of an effort
Speaker 10: Israel says is aimed at depriving extremists of military assets
Speaker 10: after the rebels seize power in Syria. In all, Israel
Speaker 10: struck its neighbors seventy five times at attacks that began
Speaker 10: Saturday night near the Syrian capital Damascus. Unionized to Amazon
Speaker 10: workers at two New York warehouses gave leaders the authority
Speaker 10: to call a strike as soon as next week. It
Speaker 10: threatens a work stoppage unless the e commerce giant comes
Speaker 10: to the bargaining table. The International Brotherhood of Teamsters gave
Speaker 10: Amazon a December fifteenth deadline to begin negotiating in earnest
Speaker 10: or faces strike off at least fifty five hundred workers
Speaker 10: just ten days before Christmas. France's new Prime Minister of France,
Speaker 10: Woiberreul is meeting with far right leader Marine la Penn today.
Speaker 10: It kicks off an effort to form a government that
Speaker 10: could push a budget through a divide in parliament. The
Speaker 10: effort to form a government and craft a budget took
Speaker 10: on added the urgency at the Moody's ratings over the
Speaker 10: weekend cut France's credit rating, citing it's weak finances and
Speaker 10: political gridlock. Global News twenty four hours to day whenever
Speaker 10: you want at Bloomberg News. Now, I'm John Tucker, and
Speaker 10: this is Bloomberg. Karen.
Speaker 1: All right, John, thank you, and it's time now for
Speaker 1: the Bloomberg Sports Up Day, brought to you by Try
Speaker 1: State Out. He here's John stash Hour, John, good morning, Good.
Speaker 5: Morning, Carey.
Speaker 12: The NFL Sunday and begain with another flyover at Medlighte Stadium,
Speaker 12: again directed at Giants owner John Marra, this one with
Speaker 12: the words enough, we won't stop until you fire everyone.
Speaker 12: And then the Giants with the club record time ninth
Speaker 12: loss in a row, unable to stop the Baltimore Evans quarterback.
Speaker 2: That's it. What's the throw?
Speaker 13: Spreading to the right, spreads out, valley goes deep. He's
Speaker 13: got a man wide opener shot. Bavement has it at
Speaker 13: the ten paston.
Speaker 12: Of five sacks up to Jackler touchdown. Riggins pres Shan
Speaker 12: Bateman on a beautiful catch from Lenard Jackson's throw on
Speaker 12: WBAL one of five Jackson td passes had more TV
Speaker 12: passes than incompletions. Baltimore beat the Giants thirty five to fourteen.
Speaker 12: The Giants at QB started Tommy Devido and then finished
Speaker 12: with Tim Boyle due to a DeVito concussion. They've now
Speaker 12: played four different qbs of the last five games, and
Speaker 12: none have played all that well. Giants are two and twelve,
Speaker 12: oh win eight at home. The Jets, with their fourth win,
Speaker 12: only the second the last nine games. They won at
Speaker 12: Jacksonville thirty two to twenty five. That's the most points
Speaker 12: they scored all season. Aaron Rodgers three TD passes, two
Speaker 12: to Devonte Adams, who had one.
Speaker 2: Hundred and ninety eight receiving yards.
Speaker 12: Patriots dropped to three and eleven and lost to Arizona
Speaker 12: thirty to seventeen. The Commanders a twenty to nineteen winning
Speaker 12: New Orleans. The Saints scored on the final play but
Speaker 12: got stopped on the game winning two point conversion at ten.
Speaker 12: Two late afternoon games that are possible Super Bowl previews,
Speaker 12: Buffalo won at Detroit forty eight forty two, with Josh
Speaker 12: Allen in on four touchdowns. He was in on six
Speaker 12: last week. Jared got through five ten passes in defeat.
Speaker 12: It's the Lions first loss in three months. Philadelphia hasn't
Speaker 12: lost since September. The Eagles easily beat Pittsburgh twenty seven
Speaker 12: to thirteen. Kansas City stands alone at NFL best thirteen
Speaker 12: and one. The Chiefs won twenty one seven at Cleveland.
Speaker 12: O Patrick Mahomes left early with an ankle injury. Last night,
Speaker 12: Green Bay beat Seattle thirty to thirteen. Nicks one in
Speaker 12: Orlando one hundred and ninety one. The Rangers struggles continue
Speaker 12: at three to two loss in Saint Louis. The Islanders
Speaker 12: won five to three at Chicago. John Stash Edward Bloomberg
Speaker 12: Sports Karen.
Speaker 5: Nathan Coast to coast on Bloomberg Radio, nationwide on Sirius XM,
Speaker 5: and around the world on Bloomberg dot Com and the
Speaker 5: Bloomberg Business app. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. Good morning, I'm
Speaker 5: Nathan Hager. The wave of central bank decisions around the
Speaker 5: world crashes.
Speaker 13: Into the US this week.
Speaker 3: The FED begins its final policy meeting of twenty twenty
Speaker 3: four tomorrow with the rate decision on Wednesday, and we're
Speaker 3: also going to hear from the Bank of Japan and
Speaker 3: the Bank of England before this final full training week
Speaker 3: of twenty twenty four is out here to get a
Speaker 3: set for at all. Bloomberg Radio and TV anchor Kritty Gufta,
Speaker 3: so critty. It seems like a cut this week from
Speaker 3: the Fed is just about baked into this market. But
Speaker 3: the big question remains, what about twenty twenty five?
Speaker 5: Good morning, Good.
Speaker 13: Morning, Nathan. Yeah, that seems to be the question.
Speaker 14: Goldman Sachs, for example, already saying that that's where you
Speaker 14: get a rate cut skip for example. And remember this
Speaker 14: was a really key strategy that the Fed had done
Speaker 14: on the way up where they were hiking. They said
Speaker 14: we would maybe hike, take a pause, hike again and
Speaker 14: just give the economy a second to digest at a
Speaker 14: time when they need to act quickly, but not enough
Speaker 14: to kind of shock the system. And luckily, the economy
Speaker 14: was able to digest every single rate hike, even when
Speaker 14: they were say fifty basis points or seventy five basis
Speaker 14: points or even one hundred basis It feels like they
Speaker 14: may be doing the same thing on the way down.
Speaker 14: I have no insight, no crystal ball, but that is
Speaker 14: something that Goldman Sacks is suggesting could be a possibility
Speaker 14: in terms of that strategy.
Speaker 13: Because it had worked on the way up as well.
Speaker 14: But Nathan, the concern I think is what happens if
Speaker 14: you startainly get more inflation in twenty twenty five.
Speaker 13: That's when cutting is not the strategy that works.
Speaker 3: What's to stop the Fed from going ahead and pausing
Speaker 3: this week? Is it just about the messaging that's been
Speaker 3: put out there that if they sort of gave the
Speaker 3: market a head fake like that, that it would cause
Speaker 3: even more volatility.
Speaker 2: It's a really hard question.
Speaker 14: I can't see why, just given kind of the message
Speaker 14: that they've given so far, why there would be hesitation
Speaker 14: simply because when they have looked at things, citing the
Speaker 14: labor market for example, they've said there's been a lot
Speaker 14: of strength, but that they do want to ensure that
Speaker 14: that strength continues, and that there is still a lot
Speaker 14: of hikes kind of bakes the system. So even cutting
Speaker 14: that policy still leaves the federal reserve at a fairly
Speaker 14: restrictive level.
Speaker 13: They're just kind of creating a little bit of that headroom.
Speaker 14: So that's at least the argument that's been posed by
Speaker 14: a lot of these FOMC members when it comes to
Speaker 14: labor market. Even when it comes to the CPI. But Nathan,
Speaker 14: I imagine when you look at the commentary, that's where
Speaker 14: you need to see where their head is at. Because
Speaker 14: in previous iterations of this of these kind of concerns
Speaker 14: about economic resilience out of the United States, some members,
Speaker 14: some economists even on Wall Street, including a very own
Speaker 14: analog at Bloomer Economics, have pointed to cracks that are
Speaker 14: not in say, your top tier markets, but are in
Speaker 14: smaller markets in the United States. Let me elaborate, the
Speaker 14: housing market has come up multiple times in that even
Speaker 14: though you're seeing some extreme property value jumps in New York, La, Miami, etc.
Speaker 14: You are starting to see cracks in the likes of Seattle,
Speaker 14: and the likes of Dallas, and the likes of kind
Speaker 14: of the smaller markets that are maybe say Tier two
Speaker 14: cities for example. Another place you may see it is
Speaker 14: that some of the major industries have been laying off
Speaker 14: workers and not kind of replenishing that work supply.
Speaker 13: I've seen a lot in the IT industry. You've seen
Speaker 13: it a lot in.
Speaker 14: Kind of more public funded roles like teaching, for example.
Speaker 14: That's really where some of the data is starting to
Speaker 14: come up. But net net, the numbers on wage growth,
Speaker 14: on CPI, on labor, even on housing prices have been positive.
Speaker 14: So when they're saying that they want to potentially cut rates,
Speaker 14: and it's in response to not slowing any of that
Speaker 14: down but perhaps creating a little bit more headroom where
Speaker 14: they may need it.
Speaker 13: In twenty twenty five.
Speaker 3: And just thirty seconds left, is there a concern that
Speaker 3: the Fed that Trump policy is going to force them
Speaker 3: to keep stay more restrictive.
Speaker 14: I mean, that's the highlight, that's the elephant in the room, right.
Speaker 14: The idea that in twenty nineteen J. Powell and the
Speaker 14: first things he did was cut interest rates when Donald
Speaker 14: Trump was talking about a trade war with China was
Speaker 14: the first inclination of it. And that actually worked because
Speaker 14: again it created more headroom. But the question is do
Speaker 14: you create insurance rate cuts given that the lag could
Speaker 14: still be twelve to eighteen months, And that's the strategy
Speaker 14: that no one has quite figured out yet.
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