WEBVTT - Week 13 NFL Bets: Nick's Picks 0:00:01.520 --> 0:00:04.280 This episode is brought to you by Love Herts. Keith 0:00:04.320 --> 0:00:07.240 week Kwan has had quite a career, from childhood roles 0:00:07.280 --> 0:00:09.560 in Indiana, Jones and the Temple of Doom and The 0:00:09.640 --> 0:00:13.200 Goonies to a recent Academy Award win for Everything, Everywhere, 0:00:13.240 --> 0:00:16.000 All at Once. But now Keith finally stars as a 0:00:16.079 --> 0:00:19.279 leading man in the film Love Hurts. Love Hurts is 0:00:19.320 --> 0:00:22.000 a perfect date night movie with its mix of over 0:00:22.040 --> 0:00:25.319 the top action comedy and a ton of heart. Love 0:00:25.400 --> 0:00:27.560 Hurts Only at theaters February seventh. 0:00:30.800 --> 0:00:33.599 This episode is brought to you by Unstoppable. Discover the 0:00:33.600 --> 0:00:37.000 inspiring true story about Anthony Roebliss, who defined every expectation 0:00:37.080 --> 0:00:39.959 to become a national wrestling champion, and Unstoppable, a new 0:00:40.000 --> 0:00:43.560 original movie from Amazon MGM Studios and director William Goldenberg, 0:00:43.640 --> 0:00:46.800 evoking the excitement and camaraderie of classic sports dramas and 0:00:46.840 --> 0:00:50.280 thrilling wrestling matches. Unstoppable features an all star ensemble cast 0:00:50.320 --> 0:00:53.840 including Jerrel Jerome, Jennifer Lopez, Don Cheadle, Michael Pania, and 0:00:53.880 --> 0:01:09.800 Bobby Knavali. Watch Unstoppable now exclusively on Amazon Prime Video. 0:01:11.840 --> 0:01:14.319 Welcome in What's Right? Nick Right? Episode one oh two 0:01:14.560 --> 0:01:18.280 our week. My god, is this week fourteen our Week 0:01:18.440 --> 0:01:22.199 fourteen gambling show. Week thirteen gambling Show. I'm all thrown 0:01:22.280 --> 0:01:24.759 off because we haven't been on TV the last few 0:01:24.840 --> 0:01:27.319 days because of the awesome World Cup. I hope you 0:01:27.319 --> 0:01:30.040 guys saw the What's Right Show yesterday where we did 0:01:30.040 --> 0:01:33.199 a deep dive into the World Cup and I discussed 0:01:33.680 --> 0:01:38.440 the most irritating soccer commentary that exists that's available on 0:01:38.480 --> 0:01:41.800 our YouTube page and on our podcast feeds. However, we're 0:01:41.800 --> 0:01:45.080 gonna get into this week back to the same regular schedule. 0:01:45.360 --> 0:01:48.120 Five picks. We do our picks, we do our stayaways, 0:01:48.120 --> 0:01:51.400 our be carefuls at our perfectly priced Last week we 0:01:51.440 --> 0:01:54.720 did six picks, and thank god we did because that 0:01:55.080 --> 0:01:58.240 added sixth pick is what saved us from having a 0:01:58.280 --> 0:02:02.280 losing week. Who was a very odd a weekend of gambling, 0:02:02.320 --> 0:02:05.640 which was we went two and oh on Thursday, one 0:02:05.680 --> 0:02:08.400 and oh on Monday with our bonus pick, and zero 0:02:08.480 --> 0:02:11.880 and three on Sunday afternoons. So let's go through it. 0:02:11.919 --> 0:02:15.480 Detroit plus ten versus Buffalo obviously the right side. They 0:02:15.520 --> 0:02:17.959 could have won out right. Giants plus nine and a 0:02:18.000 --> 0:02:21.040 half against Dallas got away with one there the late 0:02:21.160 --> 0:02:24.880 cover touchdown, Thank you Giants. Tennessee plus two and a 0:02:24.919 --> 0:02:29.960 half against Cincinnati didn't work out. His Cincinnati was better. 0:02:30.200 --> 0:02:34.240 I liked the Zach Taylor matchup his tennis Cincinnati, the 0:02:34.320 --> 0:02:36.800 Zach Taylor versus Mike Brabil match, if I should say, 0:02:37.000 --> 0:02:40.920 but Cincinnati did a wonderful job of shutting down Derrick 0:02:41.000 --> 0:02:43.840 Henry except for the screen pass. Seattle minus three and 0:02:43.840 --> 0:02:47.960 a half against Vegas went to overtime. Seattle had plenty 0:02:48.000 --> 0:02:50.640 of opportunities. Good for Vegas. We were on the wrong 0:02:50.680 --> 0:02:56.040 side of it. Another right move down the tubes, and 0:02:56.080 --> 0:03:00.560 that one was a torturous bet to lose. Had no 0:03:00.600 --> 0:03:03.560 reason to lose. Should have at least pushed the fact 0:03:03.560 --> 0:03:06.840 that Tampa couldn't get couldn't that we talked about it 0:03:06.840 --> 0:03:09.280 on Monday. The clock management at the end of the game, 0:03:09.600 --> 0:03:13.280 the inability to move the ball in overtime was disastrous. 0:03:13.360 --> 0:03:16.639 And then Pittsburgh plus two and a half against the 0:03:16.680 --> 0:03:19.919 Fight and Jeff Saturdays. So last week three and three, 0:03:20.280 --> 0:03:24.280 so we remained three games under five hundred. Again not 0:03:24.480 --> 0:03:28.240 the exact place we want to be in, but still 0:03:28.280 --> 0:03:32.840 alive for a great season, if a long season. These days. 0:03:32.880 --> 0:03:36.240 This week we have we thirteen, fourteen, fifteen, sixteen, seventeen, 0:03:36.360 --> 0:03:39.120 and week eighteen. We have almost a third of the season. 0:03:39.120 --> 0:03:42.160 In fact, we have exactly a third of the season remaining. 0:03:42.520 --> 0:03:45.119 So let's just go four and one over the next 0:03:45.200 --> 0:03:47.560 few weeks and we'll be good to go. We will 0:03:47.600 --> 0:03:54.640 start this week with Atlanta plus one against Pittsburgh. Okay, 0:03:55.320 --> 0:03:58.000 Atlanta has not looked good lately. I'm not going to 0:03:58.080 --> 0:04:01.360 give a deep analysis of the game. This one is 0:04:01.520 --> 0:04:07.160 very very simple. Pittsburgh is coming off a nationally televised 0:04:07.240 --> 0:04:11.160 victory and the game before that, while the defense didn't 0:04:11.160 --> 0:04:14.480 play well, the offense did. I think right now, they're 0:04:14.520 --> 0:04:20.479 a little overvalued. Atlanta at home in Atlanta has to 0:04:20.520 --> 0:04:22.760 feel like even though they just put Kyle Pitts on, 0:04:22.800 --> 0:04:25.760 I are we are still alive. And because they are 0:04:25.839 --> 0:04:29.360 still alive, because the Bucks can't take control of anything. 0:04:30.240 --> 0:04:33.520 And my analysis on this, even though it's only one point, 0:04:33.560 --> 0:04:38.560 is very simple. Kenny Pickett should not be a road 0:04:38.640 --> 0:04:42.800 favorite over anybody. I think Atlanta wins this game. Pittsburgh 0:04:42.800 --> 0:04:45.159 got a nice win for them. They saw some nice 0:04:45.160 --> 0:04:47.760 things from Kenny Pickett the last few weeks at I 0:04:47.880 --> 0:04:51.080 thought when this game I thought it would be Atlanta 0:04:51.200 --> 0:04:54.320 by two and a half. It's Pittsburgh by one. I 0:04:54.440 --> 0:04:57.320 like Atlanta getting the one point. We'll move on to 0:04:57.360 --> 0:04:59.440 the next game. These first two games, by the way, 0:04:59.640 --> 0:05:03.520 are ugly games, not incredibly interesting. We'll do them quickly. 0:05:03.560 --> 0:05:07.240 We like the value on them. The Giants plus two 0:05:07.240 --> 0:05:11.720 and a half against Washington Again, are the Giants headed 0:05:11.720 --> 0:05:15.560 in the wrong direction? Obviously? Does Washington look like they 0:05:15.560 --> 0:05:17.480 could end up stealing their playoff spot? 0:05:17.880 --> 0:05:18.120 Yes? 0:05:18.760 --> 0:05:23.840 However, the Giants at home getting almost a field goal 0:05:24.120 --> 0:05:28.720 against Taylor Heineke, who, while has the Washington's been winning, 0:05:29.040 --> 0:05:33.919 Heineke has not played exceptionally well. The Giants desperate with 0:05:34.440 --> 0:05:38.400 some extra rest because of the Thanksgiving game, all of 0:05:38.440 --> 0:05:41.920 those reasons. I like the Giants this weekend to win, 0:05:42.279 --> 0:05:45.480 to kind of stabilize their season a bit. Now, will 0:05:45.520 --> 0:05:50.720 they make the playoffs? Maybe not right now Giants, Washington, 0:05:50.920 --> 0:05:54.240 Seattle two of them are going to make the playoffs. 0:05:54.520 --> 0:05:56.880 One of them is not. So for the Giants when 0:05:56.880 --> 0:05:59.200 they have to go to Washington in a couple weeks. 0:05:59.200 --> 0:06:02.000 And I know Washingtons getting Chase Young back, this is 0:06:02.400 --> 0:06:04.760 as close to him must win as you're gonna have 0:06:04.880 --> 0:06:07.960 for a team. I like the Giants getting points at 0:06:07.960 --> 0:06:11.880 home that Giants defense, and I like Saquam's chances of 0:06:11.960 --> 0:06:15.799 bouncing out of his little mini slump this weekend, Giants 0:06:16.040 --> 0:06:18.560 getting nearly a field goal at home. If you're thinking 0:06:18.560 --> 0:06:23.479 about betting this one, I would wait a bit because 0:06:23.480 --> 0:06:26.000 if it goes down to Giants plus two, you're not 0:06:26.080 --> 0:06:28.800 losing much value at all, And I would hold on 0:06:28.880 --> 0:06:31.640 to the hope that maybe gets up to Giants plus three. 0:06:31.960 --> 0:06:35.120 But I like the Giants and Atlanta to both win 0:06:35.160 --> 0:06:39.080 outright as slight home dogs. Now we get to much 0:06:39.120 --> 0:06:43.840 more interesting games. The Chargers minus a point and a 0:06:43.920 --> 0:06:50.080 half at the Raiders. The Raiders needed overtime and the 0:06:50.120 --> 0:06:54.080 game of Josh Jacob's life last week to beat Seattle. 0:06:55.160 --> 0:07:00.520 The Chargers are in a spot where they are enough 0:07:00.640 --> 0:07:03.040 and they will be getting healthier as the year goes 0:07:03.080 --> 0:07:06.039 on to not only be a playoff team, but to 0:07:06.080 --> 0:07:10.080 be a potentially dangerous playoff team. But the only way 0:07:10.160 --> 0:07:13.080 that can happen is if they they got to start 0:07:13.080 --> 0:07:17.840 winning more games. Because the Jets stabilize themselves a bit, 0:07:17.960 --> 0:07:22.280 it would appear by putting in Mike White. The Patriots 0:07:22.280 --> 0:07:24.880 have a brutal schedule moving forward. But if you think 0:07:24.880 --> 0:07:26.920 the Patriots are going to be able to split with 0:07:27.040 --> 0:07:30.160 the Bills, and by the way, Patriots Bills is tonight, 0:07:30.480 --> 0:07:32.720 you guys will when you guys hear it, it will 0:07:32.720 --> 0:07:35.040 have been last night. So we don't pick the Thursday 0:07:35.080 --> 0:07:37.960 night games anymore. If I were picking a side in that, 0:07:38.280 --> 0:07:40.800 I would like the Patriots plus the points, but I'm 0:07:40.800 --> 0:07:44.440 not betting that game either way. The Chargers, this is 0:07:44.880 --> 0:07:48.520 for if they are going to sneak their way into 0:07:48.560 --> 0:07:51.920 the wild card and be a dangerous wild card team, 0:07:52.320 --> 0:07:55.560 they have to build on the momentum of their win 0:07:55.680 --> 0:07:59.200 against the Cardinals last week. It's the they've got to 0:07:59.640 --> 0:08:02.440 because they've got this week. They have the Raiders, and 0:08:02.480 --> 0:08:06.120 then they have two tough games in a row. Granted 0:08:06.120 --> 0:08:08.520 they're at home, but they have no home field. They're 0:08:08.600 --> 0:08:11.800 home for Miami than home for the Titans. So let's 0:08:11.800 --> 0:08:14.960 just assume the Chargers lose both of those games, that 0:08:15.080 --> 0:08:18.360 all of a sudden would put them at seven losses. 0:08:18.760 --> 0:08:21.160 So they have to win all of their other games 0:08:21.160 --> 0:08:23.080 to get to the ten wins it's gonna take to 0:08:23.160 --> 0:08:26.840 make the postseason. They have the Raiders, then Dolphins, Titans, 0:08:27.040 --> 0:08:32.040 then Colts, Rams Broncos. Colts Rams Broncos about as nice 0:08:32.080 --> 0:08:34.719 of a finishing three games as you can have. They 0:08:34.760 --> 0:08:37.560 need to make it so they're alive going into those 0:08:37.559 --> 0:08:41.320 final three. That means they win in Vegas. I like 0:08:41.400 --> 0:08:44.440 the Chargers' ability to move the football on a Raiders 0:08:44.440 --> 0:08:47.480 team that is troubled, that has had trouble last week, 0:08:47.480 --> 0:08:49.440 and I was saying to get into the passer all year. 0:08:49.720 --> 0:08:51.720 I'm only laying a point and a half. I don't 0:08:51.720 --> 0:08:54.440 mind doing that, even though they're on the road. Chargers 0:08:54.440 --> 0:08:55.360 minus one and a half. 0:08:55.480 --> 0:08:57.120 So you know last week you had to pick six 0:08:57.160 --> 0:08:59.280 teams to save you from a losing week. Yeah, so 0:08:59.280 --> 0:09:01.640 I'm gonna give you a piece of advice here. Okay, 0:09:02.000 --> 0:09:06.240 you could avoid betting on the two most unpredictable teams 0:09:06.240 --> 0:09:06.760 in the league. 0:09:08.080 --> 0:09:11.920 Well, yeah, listen, I could. But I also think that 0:09:12.040 --> 0:09:17.079 the Raiders should. The Raiders have shown us nothing that 0:09:17.160 --> 0:09:23.800 they should be that. How do I put this? The 0:09:23.920 --> 0:09:28.880 Raiders are getting less than a field goal. I know 0:09:28.920 --> 0:09:32.280 they're at home against what I consider a good team, 0:09:32.760 --> 0:09:35.640 and I understand they just beat the Seahawks in overtime, 0:09:35.960 --> 0:09:40.040 but prior to that, their only victories this year had 0:09:40.080 --> 0:09:43.760 come against the Texans and the Broncos. So why do 0:09:43.840 --> 0:09:46.800 I think the Raiders are going to all all of 0:09:46.800 --> 0:09:50.840 a sudden string together back after winning. By the way, 0:09:50.880 --> 0:09:53.920 they've already went back to back string together three straight wins. 0:09:54.120 --> 0:09:56.240 I think Josh McDaniel is one of the worst coaches 0:09:56.280 --> 0:09:59.000 in the league. I think the Chargers are desperate, and 0:09:59.040 --> 0:10:02.200 the Chargers, to me, are not that unpredictable. They're just 0:10:02.280 --> 0:10:05.360 incredibly banged up. I think Justin Herbert has a big game. 0:10:05.400 --> 0:10:07.840 I like the Chargers have their last two wins come 0:10:07.880 --> 0:10:08.480 from overtime. 0:10:08.600 --> 0:10:11.640 Yeah, both of them. Both of them walk off overtime touchdowns. 0:10:11.760 --> 0:10:15.440 The DeVante Adams a touchdown against russ and the Broncos 0:10:15.480 --> 0:10:18.440 twenty two to sixteen, and then the eighty five yard 0:10:18.480 --> 0:10:22.320 Josh Jacobs run all right next, one of my favorite 0:10:22.360 --> 0:10:26.080 bets of the year. I'm gonna be in Vegas for 0:10:26.120 --> 0:10:26.640 this game. 0:10:27.320 --> 0:10:27.840 We're gonna be. 0:10:27.840 --> 0:10:31.200 Watching the World Cup in the morning and then getting 0:10:31.240 --> 0:10:34.040 ready for one of the games of the year in 0:10:34.080 --> 0:10:37.840 the NFL. You guys know, I have not included the 0:10:37.920 --> 0:10:42.200 Chiefs and Knicks picks hardly at all this year. Kansas 0:10:42.240 --> 0:10:48.559 City minus less than a field goal minus two against Cincinnati. 0:10:49.960 --> 0:10:56.160 So if the Chiefs win this game, they they don't 0:10:56.240 --> 0:10:59.160 lock up the one seed because Buffalo and Miami are 0:10:59.240 --> 0:11:03.280 right there, but they already have the tiebreaker with Tennessee, 0:11:03.640 --> 0:11:08.480 who is the AFC South Divisional leader. They currently they 0:11:08.480 --> 0:11:12.959 would get the tiebreaker with Cincinnati, who is the tied 0:11:13.000 --> 0:11:15.280 for the lead in the AFC North. They'd still have 0:11:15.320 --> 0:11:17.720 to end Cincinnati be down to five losses, they would 0:11:17.760 --> 0:11:22.080 eliminate Cincinnati from there. Also, if the Chiefs win this game, 0:11:22.480 --> 0:11:26.000 the rest of this is their last truly difficult game 0:11:26.040 --> 0:11:28.320 on their schedule. The rest of the way for the 0:11:28.400 --> 0:11:33.800 Chiefs after this game Broncos Texans home for the Seahawks 0:11:34.280 --> 0:11:40.120 Broncos Raiders. If they win this game, their absolute floor 0:11:40.640 --> 0:11:44.280 is fourteen and three, which would mean Buffalo or Miami 0:11:44.520 --> 0:11:47.400 would play each other by the way, one of them 0:11:47.600 --> 0:11:50.160 would have to go undefeated the rest of the way. 0:11:50.400 --> 0:11:53.480 For the Chiefs not to get the one seed, Baltimore 0:11:53.600 --> 0:11:55.920 would be out of it. Because the Chiefs are if 0:11:55.960 --> 0:11:59.040 they win this game, they are not losing two of 0:11:59.080 --> 0:12:04.360 the following two of Broncos Texans, Seahawks Broncos Raiders flatly 0:12:04.480 --> 0:12:11.280 not happening. Add to it. Patrick Mahomes has never lost 0:12:11.280 --> 0:12:13.840 three in a row to a team. It's incredibly rare. 0:12:14.040 --> 0:12:16.000 He's ever lost two in a row to a team. 0:12:16.240 --> 0:12:20.360 In fact, I think the only team to beat him 0:12:20.360 --> 0:12:22.800 too in a row might be the Patriots when they 0:12:22.800 --> 0:12:26.480 had Brady. One of them was an overtime AFC Championship game. 0:12:26.679 --> 0:12:28.400 I'm not certain on that. I'm gonna have to check that. 0:12:30.320 --> 0:12:34.640 The single the only true dark moment of Mahomes' career 0:12:36.040 --> 0:12:38.640 was the second half of the AFC Championship game last 0:12:38.720 --> 0:12:44.839 year against this very team. This is everyone has wanted 0:12:44.880 --> 0:12:48.400 to make the Bills the Chiefs rival, and I get 0:12:48.480 --> 0:12:51.800 that because they've played great games, but the Bills have 0:12:51.840 --> 0:12:54.560 played them in the playoffs and lost each time. If 0:12:54.600 --> 0:12:59.120 the Bengals were to win this game, Joe Burrow would 0:12:59.160 --> 0:13:01.760 be three and zero in his career against Patrick Mahomes. 0:13:02.160 --> 0:13:04.840 There is a lot on the line here. I don't 0:13:04.840 --> 0:13:07.800 want to say legacy wise, but as far as a 0:13:07.920 --> 0:13:10.199 and they could play again in the playoffs, Like, wait, 0:13:10.920 --> 0:13:14.960 do we have everyone in the conference's number except for Cincinnati? 0:13:15.640 --> 0:13:19.160 I think now, Cincinnati, what they did defensively against Derrick 0:13:19.280 --> 0:13:23.400 Henry was incredibly impressive. The Chiefs are just not going 0:13:23.440 --> 0:13:26.679 to run the ball. The Bengals are without Chadobia Wuzia, 0:13:26.720 --> 0:13:29.120 who's been on IR for a while, with their best corner. 0:13:29.480 --> 0:13:30.120 The Chiefs. 0:13:30.240 --> 0:13:32.560 I'm laying less than a field goal. And here's the 0:13:32.600 --> 0:13:36.480 other thing. Kansas City laying less than a field goal 0:13:36.760 --> 0:13:40.920 is a must bet against anybody. I love the Chiefs 0:13:40.960 --> 0:13:43.240 minus the two. It might be my favorite bet of 0:13:43.240 --> 0:13:43.520 the year. 0:13:43.880 --> 0:13:45.240 I think you should be a little bit of a 0:13:45.280 --> 0:13:48.920 little nervous given these following numbers. Okay, Kansas City is 0:13:48.960 --> 0:13:52.400 one and seven against the spread this year after wins. Okay, 0:13:52.520 --> 0:13:54.000 and the last time they were on a five game 0:13:54.040 --> 0:13:56.600 wins winning streak, they lost to Cincinnati on the road. 0:13:56.720 --> 0:13:59.599 Listen, it's hard to go on long winning streaks in 0:13:59.640 --> 0:14:03.760 this league. The one in seven against the spread after 0:14:03.920 --> 0:14:09.000 wins is not as noteworthy to me. However, in this regard, 0:14:09.520 --> 0:14:13.160 it's usually because they're big favorites. It's usually because that 0:14:13.200 --> 0:14:17.040 point spread has been inflated enough to cover this. They 0:14:17.080 --> 0:14:19.720 just need to win the game. I mean, I understand 0:14:19.720 --> 0:14:22.080 they could they push with a two point win and 0:14:22.120 --> 0:14:24.320 they lose against the spread with a one point win. 0:14:25.000 --> 0:14:27.440 I like the Chiefs here. I like the Chiefs making 0:14:27.520 --> 0:14:31.040 a statement, having a statement game, and the Chiefs not 0:14:31.120 --> 0:14:35.040 getting because both the games against Cincinnati last year, the 0:14:35.440 --> 0:14:39.000 Chiefs annihilated them in the first half and then we're 0:14:39.040 --> 0:14:41.280 nowhere to be seen in the second half. And so 0:14:41.680 --> 0:14:44.800 all those reasons I love the Chiefs minus two here, 0:14:45.120 --> 0:14:50.840 and then lastly, this one, I'll be very quick on it. 0:14:50.840 --> 0:14:55.520 It's just too many points. The Colts plus eleven and 0:14:55.560 --> 0:14:58.560 a half at Dallas. Do I like Jeff Saturday? 0:14:58.640 --> 0:14:58.720 No? 0:14:59.240 --> 0:15:01.880 Does it terror by me that Matt Ryan is gonna 0:15:01.880 --> 0:15:05.880 get sacked eight times in this game, have three fumbles, Yeah, 0:15:06.120 --> 0:15:09.120 against that Cowboys pass rush. The Cowboys are the team 0:15:09.160 --> 0:15:12.000 on the extra rest. The extra extra rest, by the way, 0:15:12.120 --> 0:15:14.880 because the Cowboys played on Thanksgiving, the Colts played on 0:15:14.920 --> 0:15:18.360 Monday night. All of those things are in the favor 0:15:18.400 --> 0:15:21.800 of the Dallas Cowboys. Eleven and a half is too 0:15:22.520 --> 0:15:26.520 many points. There's just so many results here where the 0:15:26.560 --> 0:15:30.200 Cowboys dominate this game. And the Colts still cover. Twenty 0:15:30.280 --> 0:15:33.760 seven to seventeen, that's a Colts cover. Twenty eight to seventeen, 0:15:34.120 --> 0:15:37.160 that's a Colts cover. Thirty one to twenty that's a 0:15:37.200 --> 0:15:40.680 Colts cover. There's eleven and a half points the Cowboys. 0:15:40.760 --> 0:15:44.800 The Cults are not a horrible team. They have some 0:15:44.920 --> 0:15:48.120 horrible games, but when Matt Ryan has played this year, 0:15:48.480 --> 0:15:52.200 the Colts have been around five hundred, and they have 0:15:52.240 --> 0:15:56.120 some games where they look totally incompetent. However, Dallas's one 0:15:56.240 --> 0:16:00.920 weakness is it's one glaring weakness. Is it run defense. 0:16:01.160 --> 0:16:03.440 Now they shored that up a bit on Thanksgiving. I 0:16:03.440 --> 0:16:05.640 don't know if that means they fixed it. The Colts 0:16:05.640 --> 0:16:08.000 will run the football, The Colts will try to make 0:16:08.000 --> 0:16:11.400 this a fast game. It's too many points. The Colts 0:16:11.720 --> 0:16:14.120 plus eleven and a half is a bet. It's just 0:16:14.160 --> 0:16:17.400 too many points. I like that one a lot. That also, 0:16:17.480 --> 0:16:25.040 by the way, it is a sign of how powerful 0:16:25.120 --> 0:16:31.440 the Cowboys are from a ratings perspective that NBC could 0:16:31.480 --> 0:16:38.480 have had on Sunday Night Football Dolphins Niners, which might 0:16:38.520 --> 0:16:41.960 be the Super Bowl. The Niners are the second favorites 0:16:41.960 --> 0:16:44.280 in the NFC, the Dolphins are the third favorites in 0:16:44.320 --> 0:16:52.960 the AFC, and instead they kept it Colts Cowboys, even 0:16:53.000 --> 0:16:55.400 though the Colts are terrible and we're on National TV 0:16:55.520 --> 0:16:59.360 last week, because they just know people want to see 0:16:59.360 --> 0:17:02.280 the Dallas Cat Cowboys, so it just that's not a 0:17:02.320 --> 0:17:03.000 gambling note. 0:17:03.000 --> 0:17:04.080 It's like America's team. 0:17:04.320 --> 0:17:07.040 Well, I mean that's what they're called. And I mean 0:17:07.080 --> 0:17:12.680 the Fox did forty million people on Thanksgiving. Forty million 0:17:12.800 --> 0:17:17.440 people watch that football game on Thanksgiving. The Fox has 0:17:17.480 --> 0:17:20.720 the super Bowl this year and they have a real 0:17:20.840 --> 0:17:25.359 shot at what would be the highest rated super Bowl 0:17:25.440 --> 0:17:29.760 in modern times, which would be Cowboys Chiefs. Kayu, you 0:17:29.800 --> 0:17:33.080 have the star power of Mahomes the Cowboys in the 0:17:33.119 --> 0:17:36.240 first super Bowl in the quarter century. Cowboys, anybody would 0:17:36.240 --> 0:17:40.280 be crazy rated Cowboys Chiefs would have to be. I 0:17:40.320 --> 0:17:44.200 would imagine Fox's number one pick if they could pick, 0:17:44.359 --> 0:17:45.560 and that's on the board. 0:17:45.760 --> 0:17:48.920 All right, So you go to I mean, you kind 0:17:48.920 --> 0:17:50.640 of covered the question that I was going to ask. 0:17:50.800 --> 0:17:52.960 It was just regarding Dallas mean on a short week, 0:17:52.960 --> 0:17:54.720 and I mean Dallas mean on a long week and 0:17:54.760 --> 0:17:56.240 Jeff Saturday being on a short one. 0:17:56.359 --> 0:18:00.000 Well, listen, I don't like Jeff Saturdays in game adjustment 0:18:00.080 --> 0:18:02.800 into the clock management stuff for Monday night was a 0:18:02.840 --> 0:18:09.240 total Travis dy pardon me. That's been well documented. But 0:18:09.359 --> 0:18:12.639 I don't expect this game to be one where clock 0:18:12.720 --> 0:18:15.800 management's really a factor. I do expect Dallas first of 0:18:15.800 --> 0:18:18.520 a clock. Management's a factor. They covered the eleven and 0:18:18.560 --> 0:18:20.320 a half, you know what I mean? Like if it's 0:18:20.359 --> 0:18:24.000 close enough to where time out management matters, They've covered 0:18:24.040 --> 0:18:26.240 the eleven and a half, so that doesn't matter. This 0:18:26.320 --> 0:18:29.119 to me is more about can they keep it close 0:18:29.520 --> 0:18:32.439 ish and be alive for a backdoor cover or be 0:18:32.480 --> 0:18:35.320 alive for Dallas to be taking knees up eight or 0:18:35.440 --> 0:18:38.080 ten late? I think so? I like the Colts plus 0:18:38.119 --> 0:18:41.040 eleven and a half. All right, stay aways, be carefuls 0:18:41.040 --> 0:18:42.080 and perfectly priced. 0:18:42.119 --> 0:18:42.359 All that. 0:18:42.480 --> 0:18:44.600 Next, what's right? 0:18:48.760 --> 0:18:51.120 If your football team had one option in their playbook, 0:18:51.320 --> 0:18:54.119 the results probably wouldn't be great. The same could be 0:18:54.160 --> 0:18:57.720 said for your investments. Cebo index options like SPX and 0:18:57.880 --> 0:19:01.520 xsp can help expand your investing with cash settlement and 0:19:01.560 --> 0:19:04.680 potential tax advantages. If you're ready for a more dynamic 0:19:04.680 --> 0:19:07.960 game plan, head to Better with Options dot com. Cebo 0:19:08.280 --> 0:19:11.320 Life is better with options. Your investments could be two. 0:19:11.800 --> 0:19:14.480 There are risks associated with Cibo company products. Review the 0:19:14.480 --> 0:19:18.520 disclosures and disclaimers at cebo dot com slash us underscore disclaimers. 0:19:18.800 --> 0:19:20.719 All right, welcome back in What's Right with Nick? Right, 0:19:20.720 --> 0:19:23.320 we just gave you our five picks of the week 0:19:23.960 --> 0:19:26.680 Atlanta plus one, Giants plus two and a half, Chargers 0:19:26.680 --> 0:19:29.280 minus one and a half, CAC minus two, and Indie 0:19:29.359 --> 0:19:32.560 plus eleven and a half. I said, Kancity minus two 0:19:32.600 --> 0:19:34.920 is my favorite bet, one of my favorite bets of 0:19:34.920 --> 0:19:37.560 the year. Will I make that the right move? I 0:19:37.680 --> 0:19:40.080 might not, because I might feel like there's so much 0:19:40.200 --> 0:19:43.080 bad right move juju that I don't even want to 0:19:43.119 --> 0:19:45.879 deal with it. Can I tell you a sad I 0:19:45.880 --> 0:19:48.720 should have sent this to our producers, A sad DM 0:19:48.800 --> 0:19:53.600 I got from arguably the greatest poker player of all time, 0:19:53.880 --> 0:19:59.000 Texas Dolly. Doyle Brunson sent me this on Monday. I 0:19:59.200 --> 0:20:04.399 followed your pick Sunday and I am still bleeding. I 0:20:04.480 --> 0:20:07.000 hate the red board games, but I think we were 0:20:07.000 --> 0:20:12.119 pretty unlucky. Angry guy emoji. I cost Doyle Brunson probably 0:20:12.840 --> 0:20:15.560 thirty thousand dollars by going oh for three on Sunday. 0:20:15.680 --> 0:20:18.920 And our mailman, what do you mean our mail man? 0:20:19.280 --> 0:20:21.840 I mean he said that when he when he asked 0:20:21.840 --> 0:20:23.639 me to come out for the FedEx Pi kach or whatever, 0:20:23.680 --> 0:20:25.640 he said that the prince that was promised has cost 0:20:25.760 --> 0:20:26.800 him a lot of money this year. 0:20:27.280 --> 0:20:30.560 Listen, I don't take that stuff lightly. I feel badly 0:20:31.040 --> 0:20:37.000 about which is why I spend so much time, and 0:20:37.160 --> 0:20:40.320 which is why it is important to me. Listen, this 0:20:40.320 --> 0:20:43.280 is not me taking a shot, but Bill Simmons does 0:20:43.320 --> 0:20:47.440 these things. He does his weekly pictures called million Dollar Picks, 0:20:48.000 --> 0:20:51.440 and on this year on the million Dollar Picks, he's 0:20:51.480 --> 0:20:54.639 down like four million bucks and it's all like on 0:20:54.800 --> 0:20:58.880 teasers and parlays. And I would say, this is the 0:20:58.920 --> 0:21:03.600 worst year picking games I have had, I think since 0:21:03.600 --> 0:21:06.840 I've been on TV, and I'm three games below five. 0:21:07.040 --> 0:21:08.960 Let's note that it's the only one that's documented. 0:21:09.119 --> 0:21:13.080 No, no, no, not the only one that's documented. Just 0:21:13.119 --> 0:21:16.160 because you weren't there for it doesn't mean I wasn't 0:21:16.160 --> 0:21:19.280 giving the picks on TV and on Twitter on a 0:21:19.280 --> 0:21:23.480 weekly basis. But you mentioned it costs. If you bet 0:21:23.520 --> 0:21:28.000 one hundred dollars on all of our games, okay, you 0:21:28.040 --> 0:21:32.560 would be minus three hundred plus the big you'd be 0:21:32.760 --> 0:21:35.879 minus six hundred and ten dollars. Right now. Over the 0:21:35.880 --> 0:21:38.320 course of the season, you would have won twenty eight 0:21:38.400 --> 0:21:41.640 hundred dollars worth of bets. You would have lost thirty 0:21:43.440 --> 0:21:45.960 four hundred and ten dollars worth of bets. You'd be 0:21:46.119 --> 0:21:48.919 minus six to ten. That's not on. If you're one 0:21:49.000 --> 0:21:52.760 hundred dollars better, that's not great. But over the course 0:21:52.800 --> 0:21:56.639 of twelve weeks you'd be down fifty dollars a week. 0:21:56.880 --> 0:21:59.720 It's manageable, you know what I mean. I haven't cost 0:21:59.760 --> 0:22:03.840 any body their shirt here where and so, and we 0:22:03.880 --> 0:22:07.280 still have a very real chance of finishing above five hundred, 0:22:07.600 --> 0:22:09.920 slightly in the green, which is what we would like 0:22:09.920 --> 0:22:12.520 to We would like to be massively in the green. Sure, 0:22:12.720 --> 0:22:16.840 would we like our picks to be shaping up well 0:22:16.880 --> 0:22:20.120 against the Las Vegas super Contest leaders like they did 0:22:20.119 --> 0:22:22.840 a few years ago. Sure, thus far this year it 0:22:22.840 --> 0:22:27.600 hasn't been that. But you can survive on around five 0:22:27.720 --> 0:22:29.960 hundred and still have had a good football season. 0:22:29.960 --> 0:22:31.800 At least. You've just got to clean it up and. 0:22:31.720 --> 0:22:35.000 Not turn it around exactly exactly. You know what, that's exactly. 0:22:35.080 --> 0:22:36.679 That's a great way to put it. I need to 0:22:36.720 --> 0:22:40.240 clean it up, not a full on turnaround. So now 0:22:40.520 --> 0:22:43.480 it's because we've stayed true to this system. Our picks, 0:22:43.600 --> 0:22:46.560 our stay aways are be carefuls and are perfectly priced. 0:22:46.760 --> 0:22:50.120 Are three stay aways this week Cleveland and Houston, Green 0:22:50.200 --> 0:22:52.880 Bay at Chicago and Jacksonville Detroit. Let's start with Cleveland 0:22:52.960 --> 0:22:56.680 at Houston. This is very simple on why it's a 0:22:56.720 --> 0:22:59.800 stay away. We've actually seen Deshan Watson play football in 0:22:59.800 --> 0:23:02.840 two years, so you might say them, why would I 0:23:02.880 --> 0:23:07.760 not grab Houston at home? Grabbing the points Houston? Brandon Cooks? 0:23:09.080 --> 0:23:13.359 Did you see this quote? Brandon Cooks? It was probably 0:23:13.359 --> 0:23:17.440