1 00:00:01,520 --> 00:00:04,280 Speaker 1: This episode is brought to you by Love Herts. Keith 2 00:00:04,320 --> 00:00:07,240 Speaker 1: week Kwan has had quite a career, from childhood roles 3 00:00:07,280 --> 00:00:09,560 Speaker 1: in Indiana, Jones and the Temple of Doom and The 4 00:00:09,640 --> 00:00:13,200 Speaker 1: Goonies to a recent Academy Award win for Everything, Everywhere, 5 00:00:13,240 --> 00:00:16,000 Speaker 1: All at Once. But now Keith finally stars as a 6 00:00:16,079 --> 00:00:19,279 Speaker 1: leading man in the film Love Hurts. Love Hurts is 7 00:00:19,320 --> 00:00:22,000 Speaker 1: a perfect date night movie with its mix of over 8 00:00:22,040 --> 00:00:25,319 Speaker 1: the top action comedy and a ton of heart. Love 9 00:00:25,400 --> 00:00:27,560 Speaker 1: Hurts Only at theaters February seventh. 10 00:00:30,800 --> 00:00:33,599 Speaker 2: This episode is brought to you by Unstoppable. Discover the 11 00:00:33,600 --> 00:00:37,000 Speaker 2: inspiring true story about Anthony Roebliss, who defined every expectation 12 00:00:37,080 --> 00:00:39,959 Speaker 2: to become a national wrestling champion, and Unstoppable, a new 13 00:00:40,000 --> 00:00:43,560 Speaker 2: original movie from Amazon MGM Studios and director William Goldenberg, 14 00:00:43,640 --> 00:00:46,800 Speaker 2: evoking the excitement and camaraderie of classic sports dramas and 15 00:00:46,840 --> 00:00:50,280 Speaker 2: thrilling wrestling matches. Unstoppable features an all star ensemble cast 16 00:00:50,320 --> 00:00:53,840 Speaker 2: including Jerrel Jerome, Jennifer Lopez, Don Cheadle, Michael Pania, and 17 00:00:53,880 --> 00:01:09,800 Speaker 2: Bobby Knavali. Watch Unstoppable now exclusively on Amazon Prime Video. 18 00:01:11,840 --> 00:01:14,319 Speaker 3: Welcome in What's Right? Nick Right? Episode one oh two 19 00:01:14,560 --> 00:01:18,280 Speaker 3: our week. My god, is this week fourteen our Week 20 00:01:18,440 --> 00:01:22,199 Speaker 3: fourteen gambling show. Week thirteen gambling Show. I'm all thrown 21 00:01:22,280 --> 00:01:24,759 Speaker 3: off because we haven't been on TV the last few 22 00:01:24,840 --> 00:01:27,319 Speaker 3: days because of the awesome World Cup. I hope you 23 00:01:27,319 --> 00:01:30,040 Speaker 3: guys saw the What's Right Show yesterday where we did 24 00:01:30,040 --> 00:01:33,199 Speaker 3: a deep dive into the World Cup and I discussed 25 00:01:33,680 --> 00:01:38,440 Speaker 3: the most irritating soccer commentary that exists that's available on 26 00:01:38,480 --> 00:01:41,800 Speaker 3: our YouTube page and on our podcast feeds. However, we're 27 00:01:41,800 --> 00:01:45,080 Speaker 3: gonna get into this week back to the same regular schedule. 28 00:01:45,360 --> 00:01:48,120 Speaker 3: Five picks. We do our picks, we do our stayaways, 29 00:01:48,120 --> 00:01:51,400 Speaker 3: our be carefuls at our perfectly priced Last week we 30 00:01:51,440 --> 00:01:54,720 Speaker 3: did six picks, and thank god we did because that 31 00:01:55,080 --> 00:01:58,240 Speaker 3: added sixth pick is what saved us from having a 32 00:01:58,280 --> 00:02:02,280 Speaker 3: losing week. Who was a very odd a weekend of gambling, 33 00:02:02,320 --> 00:02:05,640 Speaker 3: which was we went two and oh on Thursday, one 34 00:02:05,680 --> 00:02:08,400 Speaker 3: and oh on Monday with our bonus pick, and zero 35 00:02:08,480 --> 00:02:11,880 Speaker 3: and three on Sunday afternoons. So let's go through it. 36 00:02:11,919 --> 00:02:15,480 Speaker 3: Detroit plus ten versus Buffalo obviously the right side. They 37 00:02:15,520 --> 00:02:17,959 Speaker 3: could have won out right. Giants plus nine and a 38 00:02:18,000 --> 00:02:21,040 Speaker 3: half against Dallas got away with one there the late 39 00:02:21,160 --> 00:02:24,880 Speaker 3: cover touchdown, Thank you Giants. Tennessee plus two and a 40 00:02:24,919 --> 00:02:29,960 Speaker 3: half against Cincinnati didn't work out. His Cincinnati was better. 41 00:02:30,200 --> 00:02:34,240 Speaker 3: I liked the Zach Taylor matchup his tennis Cincinnati, the 42 00:02:34,320 --> 00:02:36,800 Speaker 3: Zach Taylor versus Mike Brabil match, if I should say, 43 00:02:37,000 --> 00:02:40,920 Speaker 3: but Cincinnati did a wonderful job of shutting down Derrick 44 00:02:41,000 --> 00:02:43,840 Speaker 3: Henry except for the screen pass. Seattle minus three and 45 00:02:43,840 --> 00:02:47,960 Speaker 3: a half against Vegas went to overtime. Seattle had plenty 46 00:02:48,000 --> 00:02:50,640 Speaker 3: of opportunities. Good for Vegas. We were on the wrong 47 00:02:50,680 --> 00:02:56,040 Speaker 3: side of it. Another right move down the tubes, and 48 00:02:56,080 --> 00:03:00,560 Speaker 3: that one was a torturous bet to lose. Had no 49 00:03:00,600 --> 00:03:03,560 Speaker 3: reason to lose. Should have at least pushed the fact 50 00:03:03,560 --> 00:03:06,840 Speaker 3: that Tampa couldn't get couldn't that we talked about it 51 00:03:06,840 --> 00:03:09,280 Speaker 3: on Monday. The clock management at the end of the game, 52 00:03:09,600 --> 00:03:13,280 Speaker 3: the inability to move the ball in overtime was disastrous. 53 00:03:13,360 --> 00:03:16,639 Speaker 3: And then Pittsburgh plus two and a half against the 54 00:03:16,680 --> 00:03:19,919 Speaker 3: Fight and Jeff Saturdays. So last week three and three, 55 00:03:20,280 --> 00:03:24,280 Speaker 3: so we remained three games under five hundred. Again not 56 00:03:24,480 --> 00:03:28,240 Speaker 3: the exact place we want to be in, but still 57 00:03:28,280 --> 00:03:32,840 Speaker 3: alive for a great season, if a long season. These days. 58 00:03:32,880 --> 00:03:36,240 Speaker 3: This week we have we thirteen, fourteen, fifteen, sixteen, seventeen, 59 00:03:36,360 --> 00:03:39,120 Speaker 3: and week eighteen. We have almost a third of the season. 60 00:03:39,120 --> 00:03:42,160 Speaker 3: In fact, we have exactly a third of the season remaining. 61 00:03:42,520 --> 00:03:45,119 Speaker 3: So let's just go four and one over the next 62 00:03:45,200 --> 00:03:47,560 Speaker 3: few weeks and we'll be good to go. We will 63 00:03:47,600 --> 00:03:54,640 Speaker 3: start this week with Atlanta plus one against Pittsburgh. Okay, 64 00:03:55,320 --> 00:03:58,000 Speaker 3: Atlanta has not looked good lately. I'm not going to 65 00:03:58,080 --> 00:04:01,360 Speaker 3: give a deep analysis of the game. This one is 66 00:04:01,520 --> 00:04:07,160 Speaker 3: very very simple. Pittsburgh is coming off a nationally televised 67 00:04:07,240 --> 00:04:11,160 Speaker 3: victory and the game before that, while the defense didn't 68 00:04:11,160 --> 00:04:14,480 Speaker 3: play well, the offense did. I think right now, they're 69 00:04:14,520 --> 00:04:20,479 Speaker 3: a little overvalued. Atlanta at home in Atlanta has to 70 00:04:20,520 --> 00:04:22,760 Speaker 3: feel like even though they just put Kyle Pitts on, 71 00:04:22,800 --> 00:04:25,760 Speaker 3: I are we are still alive. And because they are 72 00:04:25,839 --> 00:04:29,360 Speaker 3: still alive, because the Bucks can't take control of anything. 73 00:04:30,240 --> 00:04:33,520 Speaker 3: And my analysis on this, even though it's only one point, 74 00:04:33,560 --> 00:04:38,560 Speaker 3: is very simple. Kenny Pickett should not be a road 75 00:04:38,640 --> 00:04:42,800 Speaker 3: favorite over anybody. I think Atlanta wins this game. Pittsburgh 76 00:04:42,800 --> 00:04:45,159 Speaker 3: got a nice win for them. They saw some nice 77 00:04:45,160 --> 00:04:47,760 Speaker 3: things from Kenny Pickett the last few weeks at I 78 00:04:47,880 --> 00:04:51,080 Speaker 3: thought when this game I thought it would be Atlanta 79 00:04:51,200 --> 00:04:54,320 Speaker 3: by two and a half. It's Pittsburgh by one. I 80 00:04:54,440 --> 00:04:57,320 Speaker 3: like Atlanta getting the one point. We'll move on to 81 00:04:57,360 --> 00:04:59,440 Speaker 3: the next game. These first two games, by the way, 82 00:04:59,640 --> 00:05:03,520 Speaker 3: are ugly games, not incredibly interesting. We'll do them quickly. 83 00:05:03,560 --> 00:05:07,240 Speaker 3: We like the value on them. The Giants plus two 84 00:05:07,240 --> 00:05:11,720 Speaker 3: and a half against Washington Again, are the Giants headed 85 00:05:11,720 --> 00:05:15,560 Speaker 3: in the wrong direction? Obviously? Does Washington look like they 86 00:05:15,560 --> 00:05:17,480 Speaker 3: could end up stealing their playoff spot? 87 00:05:17,880 --> 00:05:18,120 Speaker 4: Yes? 88 00:05:18,760 --> 00:05:23,840 Speaker 3: However, the Giants at home getting almost a field goal 89 00:05:24,120 --> 00:05:28,720 Speaker 3: against Taylor Heineke, who, while has the Washington's been winning, 90 00:05:29,040 --> 00:05:33,919 Speaker 3: Heineke has not played exceptionally well. The Giants desperate with 91 00:05:34,440 --> 00:05:38,400 Speaker 3: some extra rest because of the Thanksgiving game, all of 92 00:05:38,440 --> 00:05:41,920 Speaker 3: those reasons. I like the Giants this weekend to win, 93 00:05:42,279 --> 00:05:45,480 Speaker 3: to kind of stabilize their season a bit. Now, will 94 00:05:45,520 --> 00:05:50,720 Speaker 3: they make the playoffs? Maybe not right now Giants, Washington, 95 00:05:50,920 --> 00:05:54,240 Speaker 3: Seattle two of them are going to make the playoffs. 96 00:05:54,520 --> 00:05:56,880 Speaker 3: One of them is not. So for the Giants when 97 00:05:56,880 --> 00:05:59,200 Speaker 3: they have to go to Washington in a couple weeks. 98 00:05:59,200 --> 00:06:02,000 Speaker 3: And I know Washingtons getting Chase Young back, this is 99 00:06:02,400 --> 00:06:04,760 Speaker 3: as close to him must win as you're gonna have 100 00:06:04,880 --> 00:06:07,960 Speaker 3: for a team. I like the Giants getting points at 101 00:06:07,960 --> 00:06:11,880 Speaker 3: home that Giants defense, and I like Saquam's chances of 102 00:06:11,960 --> 00:06:15,799 Speaker 3: bouncing out of his little mini slump this weekend, Giants 103 00:06:16,040 --> 00:06:18,560 Speaker 3: getting nearly a field goal at home. If you're thinking 104 00:06:18,560 --> 00:06:23,479 Speaker 3: about betting this one, I would wait a bit because 105 00:06:23,480 --> 00:06:26,000 Speaker 3: if it goes down to Giants plus two, you're not 106 00:06:26,080 --> 00:06:28,800 Speaker 3: losing much value at all, And I would hold on 107 00:06:28,880 --> 00:06:31,640 Speaker 3: to the hope that maybe gets up to Giants plus three. 108 00:06:31,960 --> 00:06:35,120 Speaker 3: But I like the Giants and Atlanta to both win 109 00:06:35,160 --> 00:06:39,080 Speaker 3: outright as slight home dogs. Now we get to much 110 00:06:39,120 --> 00:06:43,840 Speaker 3: more interesting games. The Chargers minus a point and a 111 00:06:43,920 --> 00:06:50,080 Speaker 3: half at the Raiders. The Raiders needed overtime and the 112 00:06:50,120 --> 00:06:54,080 Speaker 3: game of Josh Jacob's life last week to beat Seattle. 113 00:06:55,160 --> 00:07:00,520 Speaker 3: The Chargers are in a spot where they are enough 114 00:07:00,640 --> 00:07:03,040 Speaker 3: and they will be getting healthier as the year goes 115 00:07:03,080 --> 00:07:06,039 Speaker 3: on to not only be a playoff team, but to 116 00:07:06,080 --> 00:07:10,080 Speaker 3: be a potentially dangerous playoff team. But the only way 117 00:07:10,160 --> 00:07:13,080 Speaker 3: that can happen is if they they got to start 118 00:07:13,080 --> 00:07:17,840 Speaker 3: winning more games. Because the Jets stabilize themselves a bit, 119 00:07:17,960 --> 00:07:22,280 Speaker 3: it would appear by putting in Mike White. The Patriots 120 00:07:22,280 --> 00:07:24,880 Speaker 3: have a brutal schedule moving forward. But if you think 121 00:07:24,880 --> 00:07:26,920 Speaker 3: the Patriots are going to be able to split with 122 00:07:27,040 --> 00:07:30,160 Speaker 3: the Bills, and by the way, Patriots Bills is tonight, 123 00:07:30,480 --> 00:07:32,720 Speaker 3: you guys will when you guys hear it, it will 124 00:07:32,720 --> 00:07:35,040 Speaker 3: have been last night. So we don't pick the Thursday 125 00:07:35,080 --> 00:07:37,960 Speaker 3: night games anymore. If I were picking a side in that, 126 00:07:38,280 --> 00:07:40,800 Speaker 3: I would like the Patriots plus the points, but I'm 127 00:07:40,800 --> 00:07:44,440 Speaker 3: not betting that game either way. The Chargers, this is 128 00:07:44,880 --> 00:07:48,520 Speaker 3: for if they are going to sneak their way into 129 00:07:48,560 --> 00:07:51,920 Speaker 3: the wild card and be a dangerous wild card team, 130 00:07:52,320 --> 00:07:55,560 Speaker 3: they have to build on the momentum of their win 131 00:07:55,680 --> 00:07:59,200 Speaker 3: against the Cardinals last week. It's the they've got to 132 00:07:59,640 --> 00:08:02,440 Speaker 3: because they've got this week. They have the Raiders, and 133 00:08:02,480 --> 00:08:06,120 Speaker 3: then they have two tough games in a row. Granted 134 00:08:06,120 --> 00:08:08,520 Speaker 3: they're at home, but they have no home field. They're 135 00:08:08,600 --> 00:08:11,800 Speaker 3: home for Miami than home for the Titans. So let's 136 00:08:11,800 --> 00:08:14,960 Speaker 3: just assume the Chargers lose both of those games, that 137 00:08:15,080 --> 00:08:18,360 Speaker 3: all of a sudden would put them at seven losses. 138 00:08:18,760 --> 00:08:21,160 Speaker 3: So they have to win all of their other games 139 00:08:21,160 --> 00:08:23,080 Speaker 3: to get to the ten wins it's gonna take to 140 00:08:23,160 --> 00:08:26,840 Speaker 3: make the postseason. They have the Raiders, then Dolphins, Titans, 141 00:08:27,040 --> 00:08:32,040 Speaker 3: then Colts, Rams Broncos. Colts Rams Broncos about as nice 142 00:08:32,080 --> 00:08:34,719 Speaker 3: of a finishing three games as you can have. They 143 00:08:34,760 --> 00:08:37,560 Speaker 3: need to make it so they're alive going into those 144 00:08:37,559 --> 00:08:41,320 Speaker 3: final three. That means they win in Vegas. I like 145 00:08:41,400 --> 00:08:44,440 Speaker 3: the Chargers' ability to move the football on a Raiders 146 00:08:44,440 --> 00:08:47,480 Speaker 3: team that is troubled, that has had trouble last week, 147 00:08:47,480 --> 00:08:49,440 Speaker 3: and I was saying to get into the passer all year. 148 00:08:49,720 --> 00:08:51,720 Speaker 3: I'm only laying a point and a half. I don't 149 00:08:51,720 --> 00:08:54,440 Speaker 3: mind doing that, even though they're on the road. Chargers 150 00:08:54,440 --> 00:08:55,360 Speaker 3: minus one and a half. 151 00:08:55,480 --> 00:08:57,120 Speaker 5: So you know last week you had to pick six 152 00:08:57,160 --> 00:08:59,280 Speaker 5: teams to save you from a losing week. Yeah, so 153 00:08:59,280 --> 00:09:01,640 Speaker 5: I'm gonna give you a piece of advice here. Okay, 154 00:09:02,000 --> 00:09:06,240 Speaker 5: you could avoid betting on the two most unpredictable teams 155 00:09:06,240 --> 00:09:06,760 Speaker 5: in the league. 156 00:09:08,080 --> 00:09:11,920 Speaker 3: Well, yeah, listen, I could. But I also think that 157 00:09:12,040 --> 00:09:17,079 Speaker 3: the Raiders should. The Raiders have shown us nothing that 158 00:09:17,160 --> 00:09:23,800 Speaker 3: they should be that. How do I put this? The 159 00:09:23,920 --> 00:09:28,880 Speaker 3: Raiders are getting less than a field goal. I know 160 00:09:28,920 --> 00:09:32,280 Speaker 3: they're at home against what I consider a good team, 161 00:09:32,760 --> 00:09:35,640 Speaker 3: and I understand they just beat the Seahawks in overtime, 162 00:09:35,960 --> 00:09:40,040 Speaker 3: but prior to that, their only victories this year had 163 00:09:40,080 --> 00:09:43,760 Speaker 3: come against the Texans and the Broncos. So why do 164 00:09:43,840 --> 00:09:46,800 Speaker 3: I think the Raiders are going to all all of 165 00:09:46,800 --> 00:09:50,840 Speaker 3: a sudden string together back after winning. By the way, 166 00:09:50,880 --> 00:09:53,920 Speaker 3: they've already went back to back string together three straight wins. 167 00:09:54,120 --> 00:09:56,240 Speaker 3: I think Josh McDaniel is one of the worst coaches 168 00:09:56,280 --> 00:09:59,000 Speaker 3: in the league. I think the Chargers are desperate, and 169 00:09:59,040 --> 00:10:02,200 Speaker 3: the Chargers, to me, are not that unpredictable. They're just 170 00:10:02,280 --> 00:10:05,360 Speaker 3: incredibly banged up. I think Justin Herbert has a big game. 171 00:10:05,400 --> 00:10:07,840 Speaker 4: I like the Chargers have their last two wins come 172 00:10:07,880 --> 00:10:08,480 Speaker 4: from overtime. 173 00:10:08,600 --> 00:10:11,640 Speaker 3: Yeah, both of them. Both of them walk off overtime touchdowns. 174 00:10:11,760 --> 00:10:15,440 Speaker 3: The DeVante Adams a touchdown against russ and the Broncos 175 00:10:15,480 --> 00:10:18,440 Speaker 3: twenty two to sixteen, and then the eighty five yard 176 00:10:18,480 --> 00:10:22,320 Speaker 3: Josh Jacobs run all right next, one of my favorite 177 00:10:22,360 --> 00:10:26,080 Speaker 3: bets of the year. I'm gonna be in Vegas for 178 00:10:26,120 --> 00:10:26,640 Speaker 3: this game. 179 00:10:27,320 --> 00:10:27,840 Speaker 4: We're gonna be. 180 00:10:27,840 --> 00:10:31,200 Speaker 3: Watching the World Cup in the morning and then getting 181 00:10:31,240 --> 00:10:34,040 Speaker 3: ready for one of the games of the year in 182 00:10:34,080 --> 00:10:37,840 Speaker 3: the NFL. You guys know, I have not included the 183 00:10:37,920 --> 00:10:42,200 Speaker 3: Chiefs and Knicks picks hardly at all this year. Kansas 184 00:10:42,240 --> 00:10:48,559 Speaker 3: City minus less than a field goal minus two against Cincinnati. 185 00:10:49,960 --> 00:10:56,160 Speaker 3: So if the Chiefs win this game, they they don't 186 00:10:56,240 --> 00:10:59,160 Speaker 3: lock up the one seed because Buffalo and Miami are 187 00:10:59,240 --> 00:11:03,280 Speaker 3: right there, but they already have the tiebreaker with Tennessee, 188 00:11:03,640 --> 00:11:08,480 Speaker 3: who is the AFC South Divisional leader. They currently they 189 00:11:08,480 --> 00:11:12,959 Speaker 3: would get the tiebreaker with Cincinnati, who is the tied 190 00:11:13,000 --> 00:11:15,280 Speaker 3: for the lead in the AFC North. They'd still have 191 00:11:15,320 --> 00:11:17,720 Speaker 3: to end Cincinnati be down to five losses, they would 192 00:11:17,760 --> 00:11:22,080 Speaker 3: eliminate Cincinnati from there. Also, if the Chiefs win this game, 193 00:11:22,480 --> 00:11:26,000 Speaker 3: the rest of this is their last truly difficult game 194 00:11:26,040 --> 00:11:28,320 Speaker 3: on their schedule. The rest of the way for the 195 00:11:28,400 --> 00:11:33,800 Speaker 3: Chiefs after this game Broncos Texans home for the Seahawks 196 00:11:34,280 --> 00:11:40,120 Speaker 3: Broncos Raiders. If they win this game, their absolute floor 197 00:11:40,640 --> 00:11:44,280 Speaker 3: is fourteen and three, which would mean Buffalo or Miami 198 00:11:44,520 --> 00:11:47,400 Speaker 3: would play each other by the way, one of them 199 00:11:47,600 --> 00:11:50,160 Speaker 3: would have to go undefeated the rest of the way. 200 00:11:50,400 --> 00:11:53,480 Speaker 3: For the Chiefs not to get the one seed, Baltimore 201 00:11:53,600 --> 00:11:55,920 Speaker 3: would be out of it. Because the Chiefs are if 202 00:11:55,960 --> 00:11:59,040 Speaker 3: they win this game, they are not losing two of 203 00:11:59,080 --> 00:12:04,360 Speaker 3: the following two of Broncos Texans, Seahawks Broncos Raiders flatly 204 00:12:04,480 --> 00:12:11,280 Speaker 3: not happening. Add to it. Patrick Mahomes has never lost 205 00:12:11,280 --> 00:12:13,840 Speaker 3: three in a row to a team. It's incredibly rare. 206 00:12:14,040 --> 00:12:16,000 Speaker 3: He's ever lost two in a row to a team. 207 00:12:16,240 --> 00:12:20,360 Speaker 3: In fact, I think the only team to beat him 208 00:12:20,360 --> 00:12:22,800 Speaker 3: too in a row might be the Patriots when they 209 00:12:22,800 --> 00:12:26,480 Speaker 3: had Brady. One of them was an overtime AFC Championship game. 210 00:12:26,679 --> 00:12:28,400 Speaker 3: I'm not certain on that. I'm gonna have to check that. 211 00:12:30,320 --> 00:12:34,640 Speaker 3: The single the only true dark moment of Mahomes' career 212 00:12:36,040 --> 00:12:38,640 Speaker 3: was the second half of the AFC Championship game last 213 00:12:38,720 --> 00:12:44,839 Speaker 3: year against this very team. This is everyone has wanted 214 00:12:44,880 --> 00:12:48,400 Speaker 3: to make the Bills the Chiefs rival, and I get 215 00:12:48,480 --> 00:12:51,800 Speaker 3: that because they've played great games, but the Bills have 216 00:12:51,840 --> 00:12:54,560 Speaker 3: played them in the playoffs and lost each time. If 217 00:12:54,600 --> 00:12:59,120 Speaker 3: the Bengals were to win this game, Joe Burrow would 218 00:12:59,160 --> 00:13:01,760 Speaker 3: be three and zero in his career against Patrick Mahomes. 219 00:13:02,160 --> 00:13:04,840 Speaker 3: There is a lot on the line here. I don't 220 00:13:04,840 --> 00:13:07,800 Speaker 3: want to say legacy wise, but as far as a 221 00:13:07,920 --> 00:13:10,199 Speaker 3: and they could play again in the playoffs, Like, wait, 222 00:13:10,920 --> 00:13:14,960 Speaker 3: do we have everyone in the conference's number except for Cincinnati? 223 00:13:15,640 --> 00:13:19,160 Speaker 3: I think now, Cincinnati, what they did defensively against Derrick 224 00:13:19,280 --> 00:13:23,400 Speaker 3: Henry was incredibly impressive. The Chiefs are just not going 225 00:13:23,440 --> 00:13:26,679 Speaker 3: to run the ball. The Bengals are without Chadobia Wuzia, 226 00:13:26,720 --> 00:13:29,120 Speaker 3: who's been on IR for a while, with their best corner. 227 00:13:29,480 --> 00:13:30,120 Speaker 1: The Chiefs. 228 00:13:30,240 --> 00:13:32,560 Speaker 3: I'm laying less than a field goal. And here's the 229 00:13:32,600 --> 00:13:36,480 Speaker 3: other thing. Kansas City laying less than a field goal 230 00:13:36,760 --> 00:13:40,920 Speaker 3: is a must bet against anybody. I love the Chiefs 231 00:13:40,960 --> 00:13:43,240 Speaker 3: minus the two. It might be my favorite bet of 232 00:13:43,240 --> 00:13:43,520 Speaker 3: the year. 233 00:13:43,880 --> 00:13:45,240 Speaker 5: I think you should be a little bit of a 234 00:13:45,280 --> 00:13:48,920 Speaker 5: little nervous given these following numbers. Okay, Kansas City is 235 00:13:48,960 --> 00:13:52,400 Speaker 5: one and seven against the spread this year after wins. Okay, 236 00:13:52,520 --> 00:13:54,000 Speaker 5: and the last time they were on a five game 237 00:13:54,040 --> 00:13:56,600 Speaker 5: wins winning streak, they lost to Cincinnati on the road. 238 00:13:56,720 --> 00:13:59,599 Speaker 3: Listen, it's hard to go on long winning streaks in 239 00:13:59,640 --> 00:14:03,760 Speaker 3: this league. The one in seven against the spread after 240 00:14:03,920 --> 00:14:09,000 Speaker 3: wins is not as noteworthy to me. However, in this regard, 241 00:14:09,520 --> 00:14:13,160 Speaker 3: it's usually because they're big favorites. It's usually because that 242 00:14:13,200 --> 00:14:17,040 Speaker 3: point spread has been inflated enough to cover this. They 243 00:14:17,080 --> 00:14:19,720 Speaker 3: just need to win the game. I mean, I understand 244 00:14:19,720 --> 00:14:22,080 Speaker 3: they could they push with a two point win and 245 00:14:22,120 --> 00:14:24,320 Speaker 3: they lose against the spread with a one point win. 246 00:14:25,000 --> 00:14:27,440 Speaker 3: I like the Chiefs here. I like the Chiefs making 247 00:14:27,520 --> 00:14:31,040 Speaker 3: a statement, having a statement game, and the Chiefs not 248 00:14:31,120 --> 00:14:35,040 Speaker 3: getting because both the games against Cincinnati last year, the 249 00:14:35,440 --> 00:14:39,000 Speaker 3: Chiefs annihilated them in the first half and then we're 250 00:14:39,040 --> 00:14:41,280 Speaker 3: nowhere to be seen in the second half. And so 251 00:14:41,680 --> 00:14:44,800 Speaker 3: all those reasons I love the Chiefs minus two here, 252 00:14:45,120 --> 00:14:50,840 Speaker 3: and then lastly, this one, I'll be very quick on it. 253 00:14:50,840 --> 00:14:55,520 Speaker 3: It's just too many points. The Colts plus eleven and 254 00:14:55,560 --> 00:14:58,560 Speaker 3: a half at Dallas. Do I like Jeff Saturday? 255 00:14:58,640 --> 00:14:58,720 Speaker 4: No? 256 00:14:59,240 --> 00:15:01,880 Speaker 3: Does it terror by me that Matt Ryan is gonna 257 00:15:01,880 --> 00:15:05,880 Speaker 3: get sacked eight times in this game, have three fumbles, Yeah, 258 00:15:06,120 --> 00:15:09,120 Speaker 3: against that Cowboys pass rush. The Cowboys are the team 259 00:15:09,160 --> 00:15:12,000 Speaker 3: on the extra rest. The extra extra rest, by the way, 260 00:15:12,120 --> 00:15:14,880 Speaker 3: because the Cowboys played on Thanksgiving, the Colts played on 261 00:15:14,920 --> 00:15:18,360 Speaker 3: Monday night. All of those things are in the favor 262 00:15:18,400 --> 00:15:21,800 Speaker 3: of the Dallas Cowboys. Eleven and a half is too 263 00:15:22,520 --> 00:15:26,520 Speaker 3: many points. There's just so many results here where the 264 00:15:26,560 --> 00:15:30,200 Speaker 3: Cowboys dominate this game. And the Colts still cover. Twenty 265 00:15:30,280 --> 00:15:33,760 Speaker 3: seven to seventeen, that's a Colts cover. Twenty eight to seventeen, 266 00:15:34,120 --> 00:15:37,160 Speaker 3: that's a Colts cover. Thirty one to twenty that's a 267 00:15:37,200 --> 00:15:40,680 Speaker 3: Colts cover. There's eleven and a half points the Cowboys. 268 00:15:40,760 --> 00:15:44,800 Speaker 3: The Cults are not a horrible team. They have some 269 00:15:44,920 --> 00:15:48,120 Speaker 3: horrible games, but when Matt Ryan has played this year, 270 00:15:48,480 --> 00:15:52,200 Speaker 3: the Colts have been around five hundred, and they have 271 00:15:52,240 --> 00:15:56,120 Speaker 3: some games where they look totally incompetent. However, Dallas's one 272 00:15:56,240 --> 00:16:00,920 Speaker 3: weakness is it's one glaring weakness. Is it run defense. 273 00:16:01,160 --> 00:16:03,440 Speaker 3: Now they shored that up a bit on Thanksgiving. I 274 00:16:03,440 --> 00:16:05,640 Speaker 3: don't know if that means they fixed it. The Colts 275 00:16:05,640 --> 00:16:08,000 Speaker 3: will run the football, The Colts will try to make 276 00:16:08,000 --> 00:16:11,400 Speaker 3: this a fast game. It's too many points. The Colts 277 00:16:11,720 --> 00:16:14,120 Speaker 3: plus eleven and a half is a bet. It's just 278 00:16:14,160 --> 00:16:17,400 Speaker 3: too many points. I like that one a lot. That also, 279 00:16:17,480 --> 00:16:25,040 Speaker 3: by the way, it is a sign of how powerful 280 00:16:25,120 --> 00:16:31,440 Speaker 3: the Cowboys are from a ratings perspective that NBC could 281 00:16:31,480 --> 00:16:38,480 Speaker 3: have had on Sunday Night Football Dolphins Niners, which might 282 00:16:38,520 --> 00:16:41,960 Speaker 3: be the Super Bowl. The Niners are the second favorites 283 00:16:41,960 --> 00:16:44,280 Speaker 3: in the NFC, the Dolphins are the third favorites in 284 00:16:44,320 --> 00:16:52,960 Speaker 3: the AFC, and instead they kept it Colts Cowboys, even 285 00:16:53,000 --> 00:16:55,400 Speaker 3: though the Colts are terrible and we're on National TV 286 00:16:55,520 --> 00:16:59,360 Speaker 3: last week, because they just know people want to see 287 00:16:59,360 --> 00:17:02,280 Speaker 3: the Dallas Cat Cowboys, so it just that's not a 288 00:17:02,320 --> 00:17:03,000 Speaker 3: gambling note. 289 00:17:03,000 --> 00:17:04,080 Speaker 4: It's like America's team. 290 00:17:04,320 --> 00:17:07,040 Speaker 3: Well, I mean that's what they're called. And I mean 291 00:17:07,080 --> 00:17:12,680 Speaker 3: the Fox did forty million people on Thanksgiving. Forty million 292 00:17:12,800 --> 00:17:17,440 Speaker 3: people watch that football game on Thanksgiving. The Fox has 293 00:17:17,480 --> 00:17:20,720 Speaker 3: the super Bowl this year and they have a real 294 00:17:20,840 --> 00:17:25,359 Speaker 3: shot at what would be the highest rated super Bowl 295 00:17:25,440 --> 00:17:29,760 Speaker 3: in modern times, which would be Cowboys Chiefs. Kayu, you 296 00:17:29,800 --> 00:17:33,080 Speaker 3: have the star power of Mahomes the Cowboys in the 297 00:17:33,119 --> 00:17:36,240 Speaker 3: first super Bowl in the quarter century. Cowboys, anybody would 298 00:17:36,240 --> 00:17:40,280 Speaker 3: be crazy rated Cowboys Chiefs would have to be. I 299 00:17:40,320 --> 00:17:44,200 Speaker 3: would imagine Fox's number one pick if they could pick, 300 00:17:44,359 --> 00:17:45,560 Speaker 3: and that's on the board. 301 00:17:45,760 --> 00:17:48,920 Speaker 5: All right, So you go to I mean, you kind 302 00:17:48,920 --> 00:17:50,640 Speaker 5: of covered the question that I was going to ask. 303 00:17:50,800 --> 00:17:52,960 Speaker 5: It was just regarding Dallas mean on a short week, 304 00:17:52,960 --> 00:17:54,720 Speaker 5: and I mean Dallas mean on a long week and 305 00:17:54,760 --> 00:17:56,240 Speaker 5: Jeff Saturday being on a short one. 306 00:17:56,359 --> 00:18:00,000 Speaker 3: Well, listen, I don't like Jeff Saturdays in game adjustment 307 00:18:00,080 --> 00:18:02,800 Speaker 3: into the clock management stuff for Monday night was a 308 00:18:02,840 --> 00:18:09,240 Speaker 3: total Travis dy pardon me. That's been well documented. But 309 00:18:09,359 --> 00:18:12,639 Speaker 3: I don't expect this game to be one where clock 310 00:18:12,720 --> 00:18:15,800 Speaker 3: management's really a factor. I do expect Dallas first of 311 00:18:15,800 --> 00:18:18,520 Speaker 3: a clock. Management's a factor. They covered the eleven and 312 00:18:18,560 --> 00:18:20,320 Speaker 3: a half, you know what I mean? Like if it's 313 00:18:20,359 --> 00:18:24,000 Speaker 3: close enough to where time out management matters, They've covered 314 00:18:24,040 --> 00:18:26,240 Speaker 3: the eleven and a half, so that doesn't matter. This 315 00:18:26,320 --> 00:18:29,119 Speaker 3: to me is more about can they keep it close 316 00:18:29,520 --> 00:18:32,439 Speaker 3: ish and be alive for a backdoor cover or be 317 00:18:32,480 --> 00:18:35,320 Speaker 3: alive for Dallas to be taking knees up eight or 318 00:18:35,440 --> 00:18:38,080 Speaker 3: ten late? I think so? I like the Colts plus 319 00:18:38,119 --> 00:18:41,040 Speaker 3: eleven and a half. All right, stay aways, be carefuls 320 00:18:41,040 --> 00:18:42,080 Speaker 3: and perfectly priced. 321 00:18:42,119 --> 00:18:42,359 Speaker 1: All that. 322 00:18:42,480 --> 00:18:44,600 Speaker 3: Next, what's right? 323 00:18:48,760 --> 00:18:51,120 Speaker 6: If your football team had one option in their playbook, 324 00:18:51,320 --> 00:18:54,119 Speaker 6: the results probably wouldn't be great. The same could be 325 00:18:54,160 --> 00:18:57,720 Speaker 6: said for your investments. Cebo index options like SPX and 326 00:18:57,880 --> 00:19:01,520 Speaker 6: xsp can help expand your investing with cash settlement and 327 00:19:01,560 --> 00:19:04,680 Speaker 6: potential tax advantages. If you're ready for a more dynamic 328 00:19:04,680 --> 00:19:07,960 Speaker 6: game plan, head to Better with Options dot com. Cebo 329 00:19:08,280 --> 00:19:11,320 Speaker 6: Life is better with options. Your investments could be two. 330 00:19:11,800 --> 00:19:14,480 Speaker 6: There are risks associated with Cibo company products. Review the 331 00:19:14,480 --> 00:19:18,520 Speaker 6: disclosures and disclaimers at cebo dot com slash us underscore disclaimers. 332 00:19:18,800 --> 00:19:20,719 Speaker 3: All right, welcome back in What's Right with Nick? Right, 333 00:19:20,720 --> 00:19:23,320 Speaker 3: we just gave you our five picks of the week 334 00:19:23,960 --> 00:19:26,680 Speaker 3: Atlanta plus one, Giants plus two and a half, Chargers 335 00:19:26,680 --> 00:19:29,280 Speaker 3: minus one and a half, CAC minus two, and Indie 336 00:19:29,359 --> 00:19:32,560 Speaker 3: plus eleven and a half. I said, Kancity minus two 337 00:19:32,600 --> 00:19:34,920 Speaker 3: is my favorite bet, one of my favorite bets of 338 00:19:34,920 --> 00:19:37,560 Speaker 3: the year. Will I make that the right move? I 339 00:19:37,680 --> 00:19:40,080 Speaker 3: might not, because I might feel like there's so much 340 00:19:40,200 --> 00:19:43,080 Speaker 3: bad right move juju that I don't even want to 341 00:19:43,119 --> 00:19:45,879 Speaker 3: deal with it. Can I tell you a sad I 342 00:19:45,880 --> 00:19:48,720 Speaker 3: should have sent this to our producers, A sad DM 343 00:19:48,800 --> 00:19:53,600 Speaker 3: I got from arguably the greatest poker player of all time, 344 00:19:53,880 --> 00:19:59,000 Speaker 3: Texas Dolly. Doyle Brunson sent me this on Monday. I 345 00:19:59,200 --> 00:20:04,399 Speaker 3: followed your pick Sunday and I am still bleeding. I 346 00:20:04,480 --> 00:20:07,000 Speaker 3: hate the red board games, but I think we were 347 00:20:07,000 --> 00:20:12,119 Speaker 3: pretty unlucky. Angry guy emoji. I cost Doyle Brunson probably 348 00:20:12,840 --> 00:20:15,560 Speaker 3: thirty thousand dollars by going oh for three on Sunday. 349 00:20:15,680 --> 00:20:18,920 Speaker 4: And our mailman, what do you mean our mail man? 350 00:20:19,280 --> 00:20:21,840 Speaker 5: I mean he said that when he when he asked 351 00:20:21,840 --> 00:20:23,639 Speaker 5: me to come out for the FedEx Pi kach or whatever, 352 00:20:23,680 --> 00:20:25,640 Speaker 5: he said that the prince that was promised has cost 353 00:20:25,760 --> 00:20:26,800 Speaker 5: him a lot of money this year. 354 00:20:27,280 --> 00:20:30,560 Speaker 3: Listen, I don't take that stuff lightly. I feel badly 355 00:20:31,040 --> 00:20:37,000 Speaker 3: about which is why I spend so much time, and 356 00:20:37,160 --> 00:20:40,320 Speaker 3: which is why it is important to me. Listen, this 357 00:20:40,320 --> 00:20:43,280 Speaker 3: is not me taking a shot, but Bill Simmons does 358 00:20:43,320 --> 00:20:47,440 Speaker 3: these things. He does his weekly pictures called million Dollar Picks, 359 00:20:48,000 --> 00:20:51,440 Speaker 3: and on this year on the million Dollar Picks, he's 360 00:20:51,480 --> 00:20:54,639 Speaker 3: down like four million bucks and it's all like on 361 00:20:54,800 --> 00:20:58,880 Speaker 3: teasers and parlays. And I would say, this is the 362 00:20:58,920 --> 00:21:03,600 Speaker 3: worst year picking games I have had, I think since 363 00:21:03,600 --> 00:21:06,840 Speaker 3: I've been on TV, and I'm three games below five. 364 00:21:07,040 --> 00:21:08,960 Speaker 4: Let's note that it's the only one that's documented. 365 00:21:09,119 --> 00:21:13,080 Speaker 3: No, no, no, not the only one that's documented. Just 366 00:21:13,119 --> 00:21:16,160 Speaker 3: because you weren't there for it doesn't mean I wasn't 367 00:21:16,160 --> 00:21:19,280 Speaker 3: giving the picks on TV and on Twitter on a 368 00:21:19,280 --> 00:21:23,480 Speaker 3: weekly basis. But you mentioned it costs. If you bet 369 00:21:23,520 --> 00:21:28,000 Speaker 3: one hundred dollars on all of our games, okay, you 370 00:21:28,040 --> 00:21:32,560 Speaker 3: would be minus three hundred plus the big you'd be 371 00:21:32,760 --> 00:21:35,879 Speaker 3: minus six hundred and ten dollars. Right now. Over the 372 00:21:35,880 --> 00:21:38,320 Speaker 3: course of the season, you would have won twenty eight 373 00:21:38,400 --> 00:21:41,640 Speaker 3: hundred dollars worth of bets. You would have lost thirty 374 00:21:43,440 --> 00:21:45,960 Speaker 3: four hundred and ten dollars worth of bets. You'd be 375 00:21:46,119 --> 00:21:48,919 Speaker 3: minus six to ten. That's not on. If you're one 376 00:21:49,000 --> 00:21:52,760 Speaker 3: hundred dollars better, that's not great. But over the course 377 00:21:52,800 --> 00:21:56,639 Speaker 3: of twelve weeks you'd be down fifty dollars a week. 378 00:21:56,880 --> 00:21:59,720 Speaker 3: It's manageable, you know what I mean. I haven't cost 379 00:21:59,760 --> 00:22:03,840 Speaker 3: any body their shirt here where and so, and we 380 00:22:03,880 --> 00:22:07,280 Speaker 3: still have a very real chance of finishing above five hundred, 381 00:22:07,600 --> 00:22:09,920 Speaker 3: slightly in the green, which is what we would like 382 00:22:09,920 --> 00:22:12,520 Speaker 3: to We would like to be massively in the green. Sure, 383 00:22:12,720 --> 00:22:16,840 Speaker 3: would we like our picks to be shaping up well 384 00:22:16,880 --> 00:22:20,120 Speaker 3: against the Las Vegas super Contest leaders like they did 385 00:22:20,119 --> 00:22:22,840 Speaker 3: a few years ago. Sure, thus far this year it 386 00:22:22,840 --> 00:22:27,600 Speaker 3: hasn't been that. But you can survive on around five 387 00:22:27,720 --> 00:22:29,960 Speaker 3: hundred and still have had a good football season. 388 00:22:29,960 --> 00:22:31,800 Speaker 4: At least. You've just got to clean it up and. 389 00:22:31,720 --> 00:22:35,000 Speaker 3: Not turn it around exactly exactly. You know what, that's exactly. 390 00:22:35,080 --> 00:22:36,679 Speaker 3: That's a great way to put it. I need to 391 00:22:36,720 --> 00:22:40,240 Speaker 3: clean it up, not a full on turnaround. So now 392 00:22:40,520 --> 00:22:43,480 Speaker 3: it's because we've stayed true to this system. Our picks, 393 00:22:43,600 --> 00:22:46,560 Speaker 3: our stay aways are be carefuls and are perfectly priced. 394 00:22:46,760 --> 00:22:50,120 Speaker 3: Are three stay aways this week Cleveland and Houston, Green 395 00:22:50,200 --> 00:22:52,880 Speaker 3: Bay at Chicago and Jacksonville Detroit. Let's start with Cleveland 396 00:22:52,960 --> 00:22:56,680 Speaker 3: at Houston. This is very simple on why it's a 397 00:22:56,720 --> 00:22:59,800 Speaker 3: stay away. We've actually seen Deshan Watson play football in 398 00:22:59,800 --> 00:23:02,840 Speaker 3: two years, so you might say them, why would I 399 00:23:02,880 --> 00:23:07,760 Speaker 3: not grab Houston at home? Grabbing the points Houston? Brandon Cooks? 400 00:23:09,080 --> 00:23:13,359 Speaker 3: Did you see this quote? Brandon Cooks? It was probably 401 00:23:13,359 --> 00:23:17,440 Speaker 3: the best player on the Texans offense. Was asked after 402 00:23:17,440 --> 00:23:21,240 Speaker 3: the Dolphins game, when did you guys know you were 403 00:23:21,280 --> 00:23:24,160 Speaker 3: out classed? And he said, probably first play of the game. 404 00:23:25,119 --> 00:23:28,080 Speaker 3: We just knew, like they're done. Lovey is not an 405 00:23:28,200 --> 00:23:30,760 Speaker 3: NFL head coaching, Are you supposed to say? No? He 406 00:23:30,840 --> 00:23:32,960 Speaker 3: wanted to be trade. He was very angry they didn't 407 00:23:32,960 --> 00:23:35,159 Speaker 3: trade him at the deadline, very angry they didn't. He 408 00:23:35,240 --> 00:23:38,560 Speaker 3: wanted to go play for a real team. So you 409 00:23:39,359 --> 00:23:41,919 Speaker 3: can't bet on Houston right now. They can't score in 410 00:23:41,960 --> 00:23:45,800 Speaker 3: the first half, they went to they were starting Davis Mills. 411 00:23:45,960 --> 00:23:48,080 Speaker 3: Then they went to what was it, Brandon Allen. I 412 00:23:48,080 --> 00:23:50,120 Speaker 3: don't even know who their quarterback was. This past week 413 00:23:50,240 --> 00:23:55,000 Speaker 3: was terrible. Uh, and Cleveland is so you can't bet 414 00:23:55,040 --> 00:23:58,960 Speaker 3: on Houston, But you to me, it would be insane 415 00:23:59,800 --> 00:24:02,679 Speaker 3: to bet on Deshaun Watson in his first game in 416 00:24:02,720 --> 00:24:06,040 Speaker 3: two years, laying a touchdown. So that is the definition 417 00:24:06,119 --> 00:24:06,680 Speaker 3: of a stay away. 418 00:24:06,720 --> 00:24:07,440 Speaker 4: So wouldn't it make. 419 00:24:07,400 --> 00:24:09,840 Speaker 5: Sense to bet on some first half lines since, like 420 00:24:09,920 --> 00:24:11,560 Speaker 5: Deshaun Watson might be a little rusty. 421 00:24:11,920 --> 00:24:13,760 Speaker 3: But now we're getting what do you think Houston is 422 00:24:13,800 --> 00:24:17,359 Speaker 3: in the first half getting four? So now I'm betting 423 00:24:17,440 --> 00:24:20,679 Speaker 3: on Hueston. Do you know how many points Cleveland needs 424 00:24:21,320 --> 00:24:24,600 Speaker 3: to cover four in the first half? Seven? That's how 425 00:24:24,600 --> 00:24:26,639 Speaker 3: many they need to cover four in the first half, 426 00:24:26,880 --> 00:24:29,879 Speaker 3: like the So no, I'm just to me, that is 427 00:24:29,920 --> 00:24:32,440 Speaker 3: the definition of a stay away. Green Bay at Chicago, 428 00:24:32,800 --> 00:24:35,760 Speaker 3: Chicago getting four and a half as we record this, 429 00:24:35,760 --> 00:24:39,120 Speaker 3: we don't know if Justin Fields is playing, and far 430 00:24:39,400 --> 00:24:43,000 Speaker 3: far Rogers should play. He's banged up, so you have 431 00:24:43,080 --> 00:24:45,800 Speaker 3: injuries to both quarterbacks as we're recording this. 432 00:24:46,000 --> 00:24:48,879 Speaker 5: We must stay away. I like, I'm sorry, go ahead 433 00:24:48,880 --> 00:24:52,320 Speaker 5: tell me. I like Green Bay in Chicago with no 434 00:24:52,600 --> 00:24:54,879 Speaker 5: Justin Fields. I mean the way they got done by 435 00:24:54,880 --> 00:24:55,800 Speaker 5: the Jets last week. 436 00:24:55,920 --> 00:24:59,280 Speaker 3: Oh, I totally agree with you. But it might be 437 00:24:59,359 --> 00:25:02,040 Speaker 3: with Justin Fields, right ye of course. And if it's 438 00:25:02,080 --> 00:25:04,600 Speaker 3: no Justin Fields, that line probably moves to seven. 439 00:25:05,000 --> 00:25:05,439 Speaker 4: Right, So that. 440 00:25:05,600 --> 00:25:08,879 Speaker 3: You know what, it's just right now it's a stay away. 441 00:25:09,400 --> 00:25:12,680 Speaker 3: And then Jacksonville laying one in Detroit? 442 00:25:13,240 --> 00:25:16,960 Speaker 4: Wow? What in the stay away? Not even be careful? Why? 443 00:25:17,080 --> 00:25:19,560 Speaker 4: What's so since them only they've only won run road 444 00:25:19,600 --> 00:25:23,280 Speaker 4: game since December twenty nineteen. Okay, you can't jump on it. 445 00:25:26,280 --> 00:25:26,679 Speaker 3: What do you mean? 446 00:25:26,760 --> 00:25:28,240 Speaker 4: I don't think I've ever seen the Jags in the 447 00:25:28,240 --> 00:25:29,160 Speaker 4: stay away category? 448 00:25:31,040 --> 00:25:33,080 Speaker 3: Is my band over for the Jags? 449 00:25:33,800 --> 00:25:34,800 Speaker 4: I think it's up this week? 450 00:25:35,000 --> 00:25:39,960 Speaker 3: This week I'm allowed to beat on. Yeah, six picks again, 451 00:25:40,000 --> 00:25:44,359 Speaker 3: six picks again? Add the Jags? Are you The Jags 452 00:25:44,359 --> 00:25:47,440 Speaker 3: are not losing. The prince that was promised is not losing. 453 00:25:47,560 --> 00:25:50,920 Speaker 3: They are to Jared Goff in Detroit. You know what 454 00:25:50,920 --> 00:25:53,280 Speaker 3: that means? You know what my big takeaway from the 455 00:25:53,359 --> 00:25:55,880 Speaker 3: ming in Detroit is, you know what Detroit has over 456 00:25:55,920 --> 00:25:59,879 Speaker 3: that stadium a roof. So I'm not gonna have to 457 00:25:59,880 --> 00:26:02,280 Speaker 3: worry about the rain. I'm not gonna have to worry 458 00:26:02,280 --> 00:26:04,600 Speaker 3: about the elements. I'm just gonna get the prince that 459 00:26:04,720 --> 00:26:08,000 Speaker 3: was promised, wheeling and dealing for a Jags team that 460 00:26:08,080 --> 00:26:10,600 Speaker 3: I told you all they have to do is win 461 00:26:10,720 --> 00:26:13,560 Speaker 3: out and they make the playoffs. Addam to the list, 462 00:26:13,800 --> 00:26:18,359 Speaker 3: we only have two stayaways Chicago, Green Bay and Cleveland Houston. 463 00:26:18,600 --> 00:26:22,400 Speaker 3: What was I thinking with my band lifted and not 464 00:26:22,480 --> 00:26:26,280 Speaker 3: betting the frisky Jags after Trevor Lawrence just diced up 465 00:26:26,480 --> 00:26:27,800 Speaker 3: the Baltimore Ravens. 466 00:26:27,840 --> 00:26:30,120 Speaker 4: Trevor Lawrence has never lost his I mean, has never 467 00:26:30,240 --> 00:26:31,760 Speaker 4: won as a favorite by the way. 468 00:26:31,880 --> 00:26:35,520 Speaker 3: Okay, that's a BS stat because he's probably only only 469 00:26:35,560 --> 00:26:38,040 Speaker 3: been a favorite like three times in his career. He's 470 00:26:38,080 --> 00:26:43,919 Speaker 3: probably like zero to three as a favorite. One point 471 00:26:44,000 --> 00:26:45,440 Speaker 3: is not even really a favorite. 472 00:26:47,480 --> 00:26:50,440 Speaker 4: What The Jags also have nineteen straight losses to the NFC. 473 00:26:50,520 --> 00:26:52,960 Speaker 3: Again, that is a BS stat because so. 474 00:26:53,200 --> 00:26:55,359 Speaker 4: He wasn't playing for eighteen games. 475 00:26:55,240 --> 00:26:59,280 Speaker 3: Well not for eighteen, but they played the NFC five 476 00:26:59,359 --> 00:27:02,040 Speaker 3: times last year and what a couple times this year? 477 00:27:02,119 --> 00:27:05,439 Speaker 3: So Trevor Lawrence is I don't care about any of them? 478 00:27:05,640 --> 00:27:07,760 Speaker 4: Seven Yeah, but again, what did. 479 00:27:07,720 --> 00:27:10,120 Speaker 3: We tell you guys last week about on Monday about 480 00:27:10,119 --> 00:27:13,600 Speaker 3: Trevor that his first year didn't count exactly right? Throw 481 00:27:13,680 --> 00:27:19,680 Speaker 3: all those records out, doesn't matter. Jaggs minus one, Adam 482 00:27:19,760 --> 00:27:22,600 Speaker 3: of the picks. We're doing six picks again, be carefuls 483 00:27:24,000 --> 00:27:27,119 Speaker 3: Tennessee at Philly, Seattle at the Rams and New Orleans 484 00:27:27,119 --> 00:27:31,920 Speaker 3: at Tampa, Okay, Tennessee at Philly is in the be 485 00:27:32,080 --> 00:27:34,840 Speaker 3: careful category. You seem to have a question as to. 486 00:27:34,800 --> 00:27:36,920 Speaker 4: Why tomorrow, So why is this in the be careful? 487 00:27:37,160 --> 00:27:39,199 Speaker 5: Rabel cover is seventy five percent of the time as 488 00:27:39,200 --> 00:27:42,480 Speaker 5: an underdog and is sixteen and ten straight up. 489 00:27:42,320 --> 00:27:45,240 Speaker 4: As an underdog of over a field goal. 490 00:27:45,480 --> 00:27:50,760 Speaker 3: Okay, this is so. That is exactly the reason that 491 00:27:50,800 --> 00:27:56,560 Speaker 3: this is a becase. I don't feel comfortable enough in 492 00:27:59,560 --> 00:28:03,640 Speaker 3: that to me, so let me explain it. The Eagles 493 00:28:03,640 --> 00:28:05,880 Speaker 3: weakness right now is going to be their past defense. 494 00:28:06,640 --> 00:28:09,960 Speaker 3: They're very banged up in the secondary. Jordan Davis isn't 495 00:28:09,960 --> 00:28:13,080 Speaker 3: back yet, and Jordan Davis isn't He's their big nose tackle. 496 00:28:13,320 --> 00:28:15,000 Speaker 3: But what he allows them to do with the other 497 00:28:15,040 --> 00:28:18,000 Speaker 3: guys on the defensive line. Losing him, even as a rookie, 498 00:28:18,160 --> 00:28:21,280 Speaker 3: affects every part of their team right. The way to 499 00:28:21,359 --> 00:28:24,720 Speaker 3: get after Philly is their runt is to throw the football. 500 00:28:25,640 --> 00:28:28,320 Speaker 3: I don't trust the Titans' ability to consistently throw the 501 00:28:28,320 --> 00:28:31,040 Speaker 3: football to be able to exploit that. But everything you 502 00:28:31,119 --> 00:28:33,800 Speaker 3: said about Vrabel is why this is to be careful, 503 00:28:34,160 --> 00:28:36,119 Speaker 3: Because I think the general public is going to be 504 00:28:36,240 --> 00:28:40,880 Speaker 3: all over Philadelphia. Philly at home laying less than a 505 00:28:40,920 --> 00:28:45,000 Speaker 3: touchdown when they just ran for three hundred and fifty 506 00:28:45,080 --> 00:28:49,400 Speaker 3: yards on national television this past weekend. I think everyone's 507 00:28:49,440 --> 00:28:51,800 Speaker 3: going to be on Philly. I think the smart side 508 00:28:51,880 --> 00:28:55,800 Speaker 3: is Tennessee, but I don't trust Tennessee's ability to be 509 00:28:55,840 --> 00:29:01,840 Speaker 3: able to necessarily exploit the one thing phill is weakest at. 510 00:29:02,040 --> 00:29:04,280 Speaker 3: So for those reasons, it's a be careful. But the 511 00:29:04,360 --> 00:29:07,240 Speaker 3: right side is what you were implying. The right side 512 00:29:07,240 --> 00:29:11,360 Speaker 3: would be Tennessee. Seattle at the Rams is a be 513 00:29:11,520 --> 00:29:17,000 Speaker 3: careful for this reason. Everyone after watching Bryce Perkins against 514 00:29:17,040 --> 00:29:21,760 Speaker 3: the Chiefs, everyone is going to be on Seattle. And 515 00:29:21,800 --> 00:29:24,680 Speaker 3: I understand this will be a Seattle home game and 516 00:29:24,760 --> 00:29:29,560 Speaker 3: Aaron Donald's out there are is so Aaron Donald's out, 517 00:29:29,920 --> 00:29:33,440 Speaker 3: Stafford's out. I know it's technically a Rams home game, 518 00:29:33,480 --> 00:29:37,720 Speaker 3: but Seattle's gonna have the crowd cups, cup's been going exactly. 519 00:29:38,720 --> 00:29:43,400 Speaker 3: How could anyone possibly bet the Rams? The Chiefs played 520 00:29:43,560 --> 00:29:47,720 Speaker 3: terribly this past weekend and they still covered fifteen and 521 00:29:47,760 --> 00:29:51,640 Speaker 3: a half. I think this is a game that Seattle 522 00:29:51,760 --> 00:29:56,800 Speaker 3: is going to be in everyone's teaser, everyone's teaser and 523 00:29:56,880 --> 00:30:00,000 Speaker 3: Seattle minus seven is going to be the most popular 524 00:30:00,240 --> 00:30:03,120 Speaker 3: bet of the week. That's why it's to be careful. 525 00:30:03,160 --> 00:30:05,720 Speaker 3: Do I have any analysis as to why the Rams 526 00:30:05,720 --> 00:30:10,280 Speaker 3: could cover. I don't do. I also think Seattle blows 527 00:30:10,320 --> 00:30:15,280 Speaker 3: them out. I do, But it feels like, given what 528 00:30:15,320 --> 00:30:17,920 Speaker 3: we saw from Perkins, given the fact that Donald's not 529 00:30:17,920 --> 00:30:20,360 Speaker 3: expected to play all of these things, it should be 530 00:30:20,440 --> 00:30:24,560 Speaker 3: Seattle minus ten and a half. They're only minus seven. 531 00:30:25,720 --> 00:30:28,200 Speaker 3: The general public is going to be all over them. 532 00:30:28,560 --> 00:30:30,600 Speaker 3: My guess is Matt can tell me my year if 533 00:30:30,640 --> 00:30:34,360 Speaker 3: I'm right Victor, who's done well this year. But Victor 534 00:30:34,560 --> 00:30:38,920 Speaker 3: is our winning square better. Victor has Seattle involved in 535 00:30:39,000 --> 00:30:43,080 Speaker 3: everything he's doing this weekend and loves them. I know it. 536 00:30:43,480 --> 00:30:47,280 Speaker 3: So all those reasons just make me a little concerned 537 00:30:47,600 --> 00:30:51,800 Speaker 3: that Seattle minus seven is too good. Demonte's gonna have 538 00:30:51,840 --> 00:30:55,840 Speaker 3: another thirteen team parlay Seattle money line, and Seattle is 539 00:30:55,880 --> 00:30:58,560 Speaker 3: gonna be all over it. I already know these things. 540 00:30:58,840 --> 00:31:02,040 Speaker 3: Just be careful, and the last one be careful. New 541 00:31:02,120 --> 00:31:05,480 Speaker 3: Orleans at Tampa Bay Tampa minus three and a half. 542 00:31:06,560 --> 00:31:07,520 Speaker 4: Tom Brady could lose. 543 00:31:08,680 --> 00:31:13,240 Speaker 3: So here's the thing. Dennis Allen is one of the 544 00:31:13,240 --> 00:31:16,720 Speaker 3: worst coaches ever, I have a fun fact for you, 545 00:31:17,520 --> 00:31:22,000 Speaker 3: So I gotta find the guy's name. Gosh darn it, 546 00:31:22,440 --> 00:31:30,080 Speaker 3: or like an original owner Philadelphia Eagles. So here's so. 547 00:31:30,200 --> 00:31:35,440 Speaker 3: I was looking up the worst coaches in NFL history. Okay, 548 00:31:35,560 --> 00:31:39,280 Speaker 3: I got it, worst coaches in NFL history, and because 549 00:31:39,320 --> 00:31:43,239 Speaker 3: Dennis Allen's sixth worst ever, and four of them are 550 00:31:43,320 --> 00:31:46,880 Speaker 3: other like Rod Marinelli and Hugh Jackson and people that 551 00:31:46,920 --> 00:31:50,560 Speaker 3: have been relatively recently. But if the Saints lose out 552 00:31:50,600 --> 00:31:52,959 Speaker 3: the rest of the way, Dennis Allen could catch some 553 00:31:53,000 --> 00:31:56,520 Speaker 3: of those guys. And then there is one guy. His 554 00:31:56,600 --> 00:32:01,000 Speaker 3: name is Burt Bell, who coached I'm going to tell 555 00:32:01,000 --> 00:32:05,000 Speaker 3: you his coaching record. He coached Philadelphia in the late 556 00:32:05,080 --> 00:32:10,240 Speaker 3: thirties and early forties. And this is what Philadelphia did. 557 00:32:11,160 --> 00:32:14,440 Speaker 3: They were one and eleven, they were then two and eight, 558 00:32:15,080 --> 00:32:17,760 Speaker 3: they were then five and six, they were then one 559 00:32:17,800 --> 00:32:21,400 Speaker 3: and nine, and then one in ten. He finished his 560 00:32:21,400 --> 00:32:26,080 Speaker 3: Philadelphia career ten and forty four, winning less than twenty 561 00:32:26,120 --> 00:32:29,360 Speaker 3: percent of his games. He then and I saw that 562 00:32:30,160 --> 00:32:32,680 Speaker 3: he then was the head coach of the Steelers the 563 00:32:32,760 --> 00:32:36,040 Speaker 3: next year, and I was like, hold on a minute. 564 00:32:36,920 --> 00:32:42,120 Speaker 3: This guy started his career in Philly three and nineteen 565 00:32:42,760 --> 00:32:46,479 Speaker 3: and got to coach three more years, ended his career 566 00:32:46,520 --> 00:32:50,640 Speaker 3: in Philly two and nineteen, and then got another job. 567 00:32:51,680 --> 00:32:54,720 Speaker 3: So I said, I was in the TV meeting when 568 00:32:54,760 --> 00:32:58,160 Speaker 3: it happened, and I said, did he own the team 569 00:32:58,320 --> 00:33:02,240 Speaker 3: or something? And I looked it up. He did. He 570 00:33:02,280 --> 00:33:07,160 Speaker 3: owned the Eagles and then coached him to hell. So 571 00:33:07,240 --> 00:33:10,920 Speaker 3: then sold him and bought the Steelers and made himself 572 00:33:10,960 --> 00:33:14,400 Speaker 3: the coach there too, and then finally hired a new 573 00:33:14,440 --> 00:33:18,520 Speaker 3: coach and then guess what, sold the Steelers and became 574 00:33:18,560 --> 00:33:24,160 Speaker 3: the commissioner of the NFL. Bert Bell, the worst coach 575 00:33:24,240 --> 00:33:27,800 Speaker 3: ever who owned two teams, made himself the head coach 576 00:33:27,800 --> 00:33:30,360 Speaker 3: of both, then was the commissioner of the league for 577 00:33:30,560 --> 00:33:35,280 Speaker 3: thirteen years and is a Hall of Famer. What a 578 00:33:35,480 --> 00:33:39,400 Speaker 3: life it was like? How did this guy get six 579 00:33:39,520 --> 00:33:42,440 Speaker 3: years of coaching winning nineteen percent of his games? And 580 00:33:42,480 --> 00:33:47,240 Speaker 3: the anger was buying the team and then becoming and 581 00:33:49,040 --> 00:33:52,200 Speaker 3: then becoming the commissioner of the league. All right, here's why, 582 00:33:52,200 --> 00:33:55,960 Speaker 3: al right, here's why that Drelevan that is wild, right, 583 00:33:56,600 --> 00:34:00,320 Speaker 3: So here's why that relevant. Dennis Allen's name was on 584 00:34:00,400 --> 00:34:03,200 Speaker 3: same list as Burt Bell, So I'm not betting on 585 00:34:03,280 --> 00:34:08,560 Speaker 3: Dennis Allen. Ever, ever, he's the Saints head coach. However, 586 00:34:09,520 --> 00:34:13,640 Speaker 3: why should the Bucks be favored by more than a 587 00:34:13,640 --> 00:34:15,840 Speaker 3: field goal go ahead? 588 00:34:16,000 --> 00:34:19,520 Speaker 4: Well, I was saying that shouldn't been on Tom Brady. 589 00:34:19,560 --> 00:34:21,120 Speaker 5: But the way that they lost is kind of like 590 00:34:21,160 --> 00:34:23,160 Speaker 5: the fact that they even went into overtime, like. 591 00:34:23,080 --> 00:34:26,640 Speaker 4: They really held the Browns of course the entire game. 592 00:34:26,880 --> 00:34:28,759 Speaker 3: And the Saints are doing this weird thing where they 593 00:34:28,760 --> 00:34:32,640 Speaker 3: won't let Jameis Winston play even though he's clearly better 594 00:34:32,680 --> 00:34:36,600 Speaker 3: than Dalton, and I think people were like, well, they 595 00:34:36,640 --> 00:34:38,560 Speaker 3: know they need a quarterback, so they're you know, kind 596 00:34:38,600 --> 00:34:41,680 Speaker 3: of shadow tanking their season, but they don't have their 597 00:34:41,760 --> 00:34:46,560 Speaker 3: draft pick. The Eagles have the same draft pick. Think 598 00:34:46,560 --> 00:34:49,480 Speaker 3: about that the Eagles might get a top eight pick 599 00:34:49,760 --> 00:34:52,720 Speaker 3: in this year's draft, even though they're gonna go fifteen 600 00:34:52,760 --> 00:34:54,960 Speaker 3: to two or fourteen and three or something. Point is this, 601 00:34:55,719 --> 00:34:57,640 Speaker 3: I can't lay more than a field goal with Tampa. 602 00:34:57,840 --> 00:35:02,040 Speaker 3: Tristan Wurf's got hurt in overtime Tampa. I think Tampa 603 00:35:02,120 --> 00:35:04,960 Speaker 3: probably wins, but I just be careful there. And then 604 00:35:05,000 --> 00:35:09,400 Speaker 3: the perfectly priced games last three Jets at Minnesota, Denver, 605 00:35:09,440 --> 00:35:12,439 Speaker 3: at Baltimore, and Miami at San Francisco. We're always quick 606 00:35:12,440 --> 00:35:16,640 Speaker 3: in these categories. Minnesota at Minnesota and the Jets to 607 00:35:16,719 --> 00:35:21,440 Speaker 3: me are nearly equivalent quality teams. Jets have an unbelievable defense, 608 00:35:21,600 --> 00:35:25,160 Speaker 3: Minnesota is an unbelievable player in Justin Jefferson. I'm actually 609 00:35:25,200 --> 00:35:28,920 Speaker 3: excited to watch this game purely to watch Sauce on 610 00:35:29,120 --> 00:35:31,960 Speaker 3: Justin Jefferson. I think Sauce is already the best corner 611 00:35:31,960 --> 00:35:34,520 Speaker 3: in football. I know he's a rookie. Seeing him on 612 00:35:34,640 --> 00:35:37,319 Speaker 3: Justin Jefferson's excellent. Minnesota getting the three points for. 613 00:35:37,440 --> 00:35:38,440 Speaker 4: I've got a quick question. 614 00:35:38,520 --> 00:35:40,960 Speaker 5: Yeah, I was Mike White getting three points against a 615 00:35:41,040 --> 00:35:44,640 Speaker 5: nine to two team on the perfectly on the road, 616 00:35:44,840 --> 00:35:46,360 Speaker 5: on the perfectly priced category. 617 00:35:46,480 --> 00:35:47,760 Speaker 4: What are they smoking in Vegas? 618 00:35:47,840 --> 00:35:50,680 Speaker 3: Well, no, I think that is just right, because I 619 00:35:50,719 --> 00:35:53,279 Speaker 3: don't think Minnesota is that good, and I think the 620 00:35:53,360 --> 00:35:57,840 Speaker 3: Jets defense is exceptional and so Minnesota. What they're saying 621 00:35:57,880 --> 00:35:59,520 Speaker 3: is they think the Jets and the Vikings are about 622 00:35:59,520 --> 00:36:02,759 Speaker 3: equivalent teams, and that Minnesot's getting the three points at home. 623 00:36:03,120 --> 00:36:05,520 Speaker 3: Some people might think the Vikings are way better than 624 00:36:05,560 --> 00:36:07,799 Speaker 3: the Jets. I don't think that, and I think Mike 625 00:36:07,880 --> 00:36:10,759 Speaker 3: White will be exposed against a team that can get 626 00:36:10,800 --> 00:36:12,960 Speaker 3: a lot of pressure. I don't think the Vikings are that, 627 00:36:13,000 --> 00:36:15,359 Speaker 3: but I expect the Vikings to win. Like twenty to 628 00:36:15,400 --> 00:36:21,279 Speaker 3: seventeen Denver Baltimore Baltimore Baltimore minus eight is exactly where 629 00:36:21,280 --> 00:36:24,200 Speaker 3: it should be more than a touchdown, not ten points 630 00:36:24,200 --> 00:36:27,959 Speaker 3: because the offenses look shaky lately. And Miami at San Francisco, 631 00:36:28,360 --> 00:36:30,239 Speaker 3: which might be the game, one of the games of 632 00:36:30,280 --> 00:36:33,160 Speaker 3: the year to I think that line is just right. 633 00:36:33,440 --> 00:36:36,960 Speaker 3: San Francisco is better than Miami, but not much better. 634 00:36:37,239 --> 00:36:39,319 Speaker 3: They're at home, Miami's got to go all the way 635 00:36:39,360 --> 00:36:43,400 Speaker 3: up to San Francisco. So San Francisco minus four and 636 00:36:43,480 --> 00:36:46,440 Speaker 3: what I expect to be around a twenty one to 637 00:36:46,480 --> 00:36:49,400 Speaker 3: seventeen game. I do expect two to come down to 638 00:36:49,440 --> 00:36:52,320 Speaker 3: earth a bit against this Niners defense. If Two alights 639 00:36:52,360 --> 00:36:57,600 Speaker 3: this Niners defense up, then I will have to on Monday, 640 00:36:57,640 --> 00:37:00,840 Speaker 3: come on this show and maybe start to evolve on 641 00:37:00,920 --> 00:37:03,320 Speaker 3: my tool opinion. I don't have to do that yet. 642 00:37:03,480 --> 00:37:06,200 Speaker 3: There's our perfectly priced category. We'll do the right move, 643 00:37:06,239 --> 00:37:08,000 Speaker 3: We'll see if we have any exotics, and we'll do 644 00:37:08,080 --> 00:37:10,760 Speaker 3: the offer. By the way, last week gave out two offers, 645 00:37:11,000 --> 00:37:12,759 Speaker 3: I didn't take one. I did take the other. They 646 00:37:12,760 --> 00:37:15,960 Speaker 3: both hit the Thanksgiving Day offer and the Jags money 647 00:37:15,960 --> 00:37:18,399 Speaker 3: line offer. Never doubt on the Jags money line offer 648 00:37:18,440 --> 00:37:19,680 Speaker 3: two point conversion. 649 00:37:20,280 --> 00:37:22,920 Speaker 4: Because there was like a doubt up until they got to. 650 00:37:23,040 --> 00:37:26,279 Speaker 3: Never a doubt. Maybe you doubted it. I never doubt that. 651 00:37:26,160 --> 00:37:29,080 Speaker 5: The offer was like covering basically from start to finish. 652 00:37:29,160 --> 00:37:30,880 Speaker 5: The entire time, there was no question. 653 00:37:30,920 --> 00:37:34,200 Speaker 3: Cowboys, I mean, the Bills were in question. The Bills 654 00:37:34,239 --> 00:37:37,680 Speaker 3: money line was in question. Don't say that. All right, 655 00:37:37,760 --> 00:37:45,839 Speaker 3: we'll be right back, all right, welcome back in what's 656 00:37:45,880 --> 00:37:46,319 Speaker 3: right with Nick? 657 00:37:46,400 --> 00:37:46,520 Speaker 4: Right. 658 00:37:46,560 --> 00:37:50,000 Speaker 3: We've got our six picks this week. We were supposed 659 00:37:50,000 --> 00:37:53,680 Speaker 3: to be five. We made it six. Atlanta plus one 660 00:37:53,719 --> 00:37:57,000 Speaker 3: against Pittsburgh, canny pick. It shouldn't be a road favored 661 00:37:57,040 --> 00:37:59,760 Speaker 3: against anyone. Giants plus two and a half against Washington 662 00:38:00,040 --> 00:38:02,520 Speaker 3: Taylor Heineke should not be a road favorite against a 663 00:38:02,560 --> 00:38:06,720 Speaker 3: good defense. Chargers minus one and a half against the Raiders. 664 00:38:07,080 --> 00:38:09,960 Speaker 3: Chargers have to win the game. Raiders have a terrible coach. 665 00:38:10,239 --> 00:38:14,080 Speaker 3: I like the Chargers. Kan City minus two against Cincinnati 666 00:38:14,400 --> 00:38:16,800 Speaker 3: Patrick Mahomes less than a field goal favorite is a 667 00:38:16,880 --> 00:38:20,160 Speaker 3: must bet against anyone. Colts plus eleven and a half 668 00:38:20,239 --> 00:38:23,200 Speaker 3: at Dallas it's just too many points. And then our 669 00:38:23,200 --> 00:38:27,120 Speaker 3: bonus pick Jags minus won at Detroit. The Prince that 670 00:38:27,239 --> 00:38:30,279 Speaker 3: was promised betting ban is off. Last week. We had 671 00:38:30,320 --> 00:38:32,040 Speaker 3: him on the money line as part of the offer. 672 00:38:32,320 --> 00:38:35,480 Speaker 3: This week he gets for the you know, just the 673 00:38:35,560 --> 00:38:38,880 Speaker 3: second time in his career back to back victories. Jags 674 00:38:38,920 --> 00:38:42,600 Speaker 3: are back, Prince. That was promises back Jags over win 675 00:38:42,719 --> 00:38:45,880 Speaker 3: total alive again. That was one of our big bets 676 00:38:45,920 --> 00:38:48,719 Speaker 3: of the year. Remember our season preview show, what do 677 00:38:48,760 --> 00:38:52,960 Speaker 3: we say our single favorite future was Tampa under eleven 678 00:38:53,000 --> 00:38:57,440 Speaker 3: and a half. That bet has cashed and it's week thirteen. 679 00:38:57,960 --> 00:39:00,600 Speaker 3: They are already have hit. They could win the rest 680 00:39:00,640 --> 00:39:03,640 Speaker 3: of their games and they would go eleven and six. 681 00:39:04,000 --> 00:39:06,959 Speaker 3: How about that for a sharp wager by your guy. 682 00:39:07,239 --> 00:39:09,240 Speaker 3: So there it is. There's our six bets this week. 683 00:39:09,480 --> 00:39:11,520 Speaker 3: Now time for the right move. The right move is 684 00:39:11,560 --> 00:39:14,040 Speaker 3: not going well. First this year, it has been cursed 685 00:39:14,040 --> 00:39:17,040 Speaker 3: a bit. However, you though I joked about this earlier, 686 00:39:17,400 --> 00:39:21,200 Speaker 3: I don't believe in curses. Can't City minus two is 687 00:39:21,200 --> 00:39:25,200 Speaker 3: the right move. I'm not scared. What are you laughing about? 688 00:39:25,400 --> 00:39:28,400 Speaker 3: It's the best bet on the board. The Chiefs minus 689 00:39:28,440 --> 00:39:32,880 Speaker 3: two is the best bet on the board. I'm flying 690 00:39:32,920 --> 00:39:37,160 Speaker 3: to Vegas in a few hours. I'm gonna go there. 691 00:39:38,320 --> 00:39:40,719 Speaker 3: I'm gonna bet some World Cup. I'm gonna play some 692 00:39:40,800 --> 00:39:44,359 Speaker 3: poker and I'm gonna win a lot of money. And 693 00:39:44,400 --> 00:39:48,040 Speaker 3: then all of the money that I've won, I'm gonna 694 00:39:48,200 --> 00:39:51,200 Speaker 3: take it up in a big bundle to the counter 695 00:39:51,920 --> 00:39:55,640 Speaker 3: and I'm gonna slid it into the teller and say 696 00:39:55,719 --> 00:40:01,399 Speaker 3: can City minus two please, sir or ma'am, And they're 697 00:40:01,400 --> 00:40:05,120 Speaker 3: gonna have to call someone over. They're gonna be like, you, 698 00:40:05,239 --> 00:40:07,360 Speaker 3: are we allowed to take a bet this? You're allowed 699 00:40:07,400 --> 00:40:08,040 Speaker 3: to take the bet? 700 00:40:08,200 --> 00:40:10,319 Speaker 5: Well, it will be dope that you will be right 701 00:40:10,360 --> 00:40:12,160 Speaker 5: next to some slot machines to win your money back 702 00:40:12,200 --> 00:40:12,839 Speaker 5: if you don't hit. 703 00:40:12,920 --> 00:40:15,680 Speaker 3: Okay, I don't play slots. First of all, I've never 704 00:40:15,719 --> 00:40:18,800 Speaker 3: played slots. Show me some respect. I will play a 705 00:40:18,800 --> 00:40:22,080 Speaker 3: little bit of blackjack, a lot of poker, and watch 706 00:40:22,120 --> 00:40:25,080 Speaker 3: a lot of World Cup. That's my plan for this weekend. 707 00:40:25,320 --> 00:40:28,799 Speaker 3: Your mom will be shopping. That's my plan. And then 708 00:40:28,880 --> 00:40:32,680 Speaker 3: I'm all of my profit. I am doubling it by 709 00:40:32,680 --> 00:40:35,400 Speaker 3: betting it on Kensity minus too. This is not sound 710 00:40:35,400 --> 00:40:38,600 Speaker 3: gambling strategy, by the way, but I'm in Vegas, it's 711 00:40:38,680 --> 00:40:40,920 Speaker 3: my team, it's the game of the year. I don't 712 00:40:40,920 --> 00:40:42,080 Speaker 3: have an exotic. 713 00:40:41,680 --> 00:40:42,400 Speaker 4: For you this week. 714 00:40:42,640 --> 00:40:45,479 Speaker 3: There's not a teaser. I like every teaser you could 715 00:40:45,480 --> 00:40:49,040 Speaker 3: build involve Seattle being teased down, and I'm a little 716 00:40:49,080 --> 00:40:51,880 Speaker 3: nervous about that Seattle Rams game for one reason or another. 717 00:40:52,040 --> 00:40:54,600 Speaker 3: So I don't have an exotic for you, Demonse, what's 718 00:40:54,640 --> 00:40:55,080 Speaker 3: the offer. 719 00:40:55,280 --> 00:40:58,840 Speaker 4: The offer this week is called Maholmes locks up the MVP. 720 00:40:59,120 --> 00:41:02,200 Speaker 5: Okay, the producers the producers, and I have heard you 721 00:41:02,280 --> 00:41:04,560 Speaker 5: say that you like the Pats on Thursday Night. So 722 00:41:04,920 --> 00:41:07,279 Speaker 5: let's say Josh Allen can't cover the three and a 723 00:41:07,320 --> 00:41:11,200 Speaker 5: half versus New England, Jalen hurts, Eagles don't cover versus Tennessee, 724 00:41:11,640 --> 00:41:14,719 Speaker 5: and Kansas City beat Sincy by an adjusted spread of 725 00:41:14,840 --> 00:41:17,880 Speaker 5: six and a half payout plus seven ninety two. 726 00:41:18,120 --> 00:41:22,200 Speaker 3: Okay, I don't do adjusted spreads because I'm not a child. However, 727 00:41:22,360 --> 00:41:25,840 Speaker 3: I'm going to counter your offer with this one because 728 00:41:25,880 --> 00:41:29,360 Speaker 3: the one piece of jot of the MVP that you 729 00:41:29,480 --> 00:41:33,320 Speaker 3: guys didn't include was Tua, who has a better chance 730 00:41:33,440 --> 00:41:37,800 Speaker 3: right now than Josh Allen. Josh Allen, So my counter 731 00:41:37,840 --> 00:41:40,960 Speaker 3: offer would be the Patriots plus three and a half, 732 00:41:42,040 --> 00:41:46,400 Speaker 3: the Chiefs minus two. What's the other one you had? 733 00:41:46,680 --> 00:41:51,200 Speaker 3: It's Jalen Hurts and the Eagles don't cover against Tennessee. Okay, 734 00:41:51,239 --> 00:41:59,560 Speaker 3: so Tennessee plus five, and then the Miami Dolphins team 735 00:41:59,680 --> 00:42:03,480 Speaker 3: told under, let me see what that is. They are 736 00:42:03,520 --> 00:42:08,080 Speaker 3: the away team Miami total points under twenty and a half. 737 00:42:08,719 --> 00:42:14,680 Speaker 3: That is plus thirteen hundred. I'm taking that offer. So 738 00:42:14,800 --> 00:42:18,919 Speaker 3: your offer, I decline. I am instead I am doing 739 00:42:18,960 --> 00:42:21,680 Speaker 3: New England plus three and a half, Tennessee plus the 740 00:42:21,800 --> 00:42:27,239 Speaker 3: five KC minus two, and the Dolphins under twenty and 741 00:42:27,239 --> 00:42:30,920 Speaker 3: a half points against San Francisco. That's my counter offer. 742 00:42:31,239 --> 00:42:35,040 Speaker 3: That way, we're fading Tua and not being invested in 743 00:42:35,120 --> 00:42:37,480 Speaker 3: Jimmy Garoppolo, which I don't want to have to be 744 00:42:38,120 --> 00:42:42,400 Speaker 3: plus twelve fifty eight to be exact. I'll take that offer. 745 00:42:42,719 --> 00:42:46,000 Speaker 3: Good luck everyone. If you're in Vegas this weekend, come 746 00:42:46,040 --> 00:42:47,960 Speaker 3: say lo if you see me, I'll be in the 747 00:42:47,960 --> 00:42:50,600 Speaker 3: sports book. We're in the Aria poker room. Talk to 748 00:42:50,640 --> 00:42:56,800 Speaker 3: you guys on Monday. What's right