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Speaker 1: Welcome into the Wednesday morning edition of the Daily Juice Podcast.

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Speaker 1: My name is Matt Parolt here on Bettingpros dot com.

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Speaker 1: We're always being brought to you by bet MGM, and

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Speaker 1: welcome to a baseball edition of the Daily Juice Podcast.

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Speaker 1: All right, So I'm traveling, and so in order to

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Speaker 1: get this podcast out properly, in orderly to give you

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Speaker 1: guys what you expect from picks and plays, I'm going

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Speaker 1: to give you baseball. Okay, I'm taping this before I'm

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Speaker 1: leaving because I went and did kind of the math

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Speaker 1: as to how my day was going to go, and

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Speaker 1: I realized, you know what, I better tape this podcast

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Speaker 1: before I fly, given the fact that we have dinner

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Speaker 1: reservations in Malibu and who knows what time I'm getting

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Speaker 1: to the hotel tonight. So just to be better safe

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Speaker 1: than sorry, I was like, you know what, let's do

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Speaker 1: the baseball preview here. I have already given you the

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Speaker 1: baseball one baseball bet. We got three other baseball bets

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Speaker 1: that I want to give you, and then I'm going

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Speaker 1: to point out a couple of leans that you may

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Speaker 1: want to jump on here in terms of who's gonna

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Speaker 1: win the championship. Now, championship odds will fluctuate the entire year,

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Speaker 1: so you don't have to jump into a championship market

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Speaker 1: bet immediately, but win totals you do so once the

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Speaker 1: year begins. Win totals. Some books do them live, most

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Speaker 1: books do not. They come off the board. So if

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Speaker 1: you want a bet number of wins, you need to

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Speaker 1: do it today before opening day on Thursday. I know,

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Speaker 1: it's crazy that we are here at baseball at opening

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Speaker 1: day on the first of April. It's kind of like, wait,

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Speaker 1: what how did we get here? Where did this Spring training?

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Speaker 1: Felt like it was two seconds. We were also concentrating

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Speaker 1: on March madness. We weren't focused really on the things

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Speaker 1: we normally would have been focused on because normally you're

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Speaker 1: talking more baseball. At least I would have been talking

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Speaker 1: more baseball leading up to the start of the year.

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Speaker 1: I just really didn't talk a lot of baseball on

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Speaker 1: my radio show or on this show. It's just we

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Speaker 1: just haven't talked a lot about baseball. So that's the

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Speaker 1: one weird kind of hook to this where I was like, wait,

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Speaker 1: uh oh, we got a lot going on here. Okay,

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Speaker 1: But that BETMGM offer is pretty darn cool for Opening

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Speaker 1: Day coming up tomorrow. And it's not just open to

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Speaker 1: new users. This is open for all people with bet

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Speaker 1: mgm accounts. When you sign up, you give us credit

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Speaker 1: by using Juice one hundred. But Major League Baseball Opening

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Speaker 1: Day home Run Boost gets you a dollar for every

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Speaker 1: home run hit tomorrow on Opening Day when you bet

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Speaker 1: twenty five bucks on any Major League Baseball game on

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Speaker 1: the first I will have some bets for Opening Day.

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Speaker 1: I would definitely make baseball plays for sure coming up,

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Speaker 1: but this is about the win totals. The offer is

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Speaker 1: available for all players. It's available in your bet MGM

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Speaker 1: sportsbook right now for Opening Day. One dollar for every

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Speaker 1: home run hit on Opening Day's gonna be a lot

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Speaker 1: for when you bet twenty five dollars on any Major

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Speaker 1: League Baseball game coming up on the first of April

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Speaker 1: for Opening Day for Major League Baseball with bet mgm

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Speaker 1: with that promo code Juice one hundred from BETMGM. Al Right,

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Speaker 1: I have seventy nine wins and I'm on the over

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Speaker 1: for the Boston Red Sox. I already gave you guys

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Speaker 1: that one team total already because I thought it was

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Speaker 1: gonna move up. It has moved up depending on the book.

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Speaker 1: So it's seventy nine and a half at DraftKings or sorry, Fandle,

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Speaker 1: it's eighty and a half at DraftKings, and in Vegas

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Speaker 1: it's seventy eight. So this is where we're starting to

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Speaker 1: see some regional bias for the Boston Red Sox, and

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Speaker 1: just in general, right West Coast teams or West Coast

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Speaker 1: betters believe the Red Sox aren't going to be very good.

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Speaker 1: Normally we would see more Boston, New England East Coast

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Speaker 1: fans come to Vegas and make bets for the futures.

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Speaker 1: Hasn't happened. Okay, it hasn't happened, So that's an interesting look.

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Speaker 1: That's one of those like hmm, I didn't really, that's

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Speaker 1: kind of I don't know. I don't really know what

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Speaker 1: to make of that because of the numbers. So it's

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Speaker 1: a pretty big difference eighty and a half to seventy eight.

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Speaker 1: A lot of that's a big difference. But I'm on

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Speaker 1: over seventy nine. So you can find seventy eight in

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Speaker 1: Vegas at Circus Sports at seventy eight. Jump on that.

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Speaker 1: I like that a lot. Okay, here's where I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: go with three more bets, three more future wagers. And

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Speaker 1: as I said, I'll give you a couple of leans

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Speaker 1: here that I'm gonna go with. Let's start with the

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Speaker 1: team that cashed a plus one thousand wager for US

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Speaker 1: last season, that was the Rais to win the American

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Speaker 1: League pennant. I told you when I bet that that

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Speaker 1: I actually don't like betting pennants and championship futures because

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Speaker 1: of how long the baseball season is. I just don't

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Speaker 1: like having my money tied up for that long. But

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Speaker 1: win totals are different. I am comfortable with win totals.

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Speaker 1: I do think it's a fun thing to have. It's

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Speaker 1: fun to have action. We're watching with the Golden State

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Speaker 1: Warriors right now with being over thirty six wins for

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Speaker 1: the Golden State Warriors, and so I'm gonna get a

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Speaker 1: little involved here, more than a little involved. I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: have four bets here going for win totals. I already

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Speaker 1: have one. I want to tell you about two more.

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Speaker 1: But Tampa Bay won the American League for US at

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Speaker 1: plus one thousand in the shortened season because I love

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Speaker 1: Kevin Cash. So you can find the Rays win total

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Speaker 1: at eighty six pretty much everywhere. If you look at

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Speaker 1: websites like team rankings for their projections, they are projecting

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Speaker 1: eighty five point five wins for the Tampa Bay Rays.

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Speaker 1: If you go and look at the projections for betting pros,

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Speaker 1: they are projecting our algorithm is projecting eighty eight point

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Speaker 1: five wins for the Tampa Bay Rays. Okay, I think

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Speaker 1: eighty eight point six. Excuse me. I think they're gonna

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Speaker 1: go over this over eighty six wins. And here's why.

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Speaker 1: Tampa Bay Rays have an incredible farm system. So while

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Speaker 1: you might look at Chris Archer coming back off injury

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Speaker 1: and go, I don't know, man, they went and got

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Speaker 1: a forty one year old pitcher in rich Hill, Like

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Speaker 1: they lost Blake Snell and they replaced him with who. Look,

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Speaker 1: they've got great bats. Randy a. Rosarno was Rozrena became

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Speaker 1: a household name during the World Series last year. Austin

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Speaker 1: Meadows when healthy is tremendous. Brandon Law had an incredible year,

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Speaker 1: Yanny Diez, but that's not it. Though. They've got the bats,

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Speaker 1: they've got the glove, but they got the best farm

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Speaker 1: system in baseball, like by a ways, starting pitching doesn't

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Speaker 1: matter for them. They have starters that go one two innings,

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Speaker 1: they hand off to the bullpen. They don't go deep

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Speaker 1: in games. They are, with Kevin Cash, the most unique

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Speaker 1: team in baseball to face because you don't know what

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Speaker 1: to make of them. So over one hundred and sixty

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Speaker 1: two game season, are they gonna win the Pennant? I

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Speaker 1: don't know. Do they have the depth to win the Pennant?

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Speaker 1: I don't know, But I am looking at it from

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Speaker 1: a big just from a win total perspective, and I

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Speaker 1: think there's a real good chance that they wind up

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Speaker 1: getting ninety wins. And I think they're gonna push the Yankees.

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Speaker 1: They dominated the Yankees last year and so while everyone's

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Speaker 1: going all they're pitching all their pitching, all their pitching.

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Speaker 1: I think their offense is really good, and I think

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Speaker 1: their farm system is just so loaded. They have so

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Speaker 1: many top one hundred prospects waiting to go. If they

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Speaker 1: need to make a trade of the trade deadline to

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Speaker 1: go get a frontline starter, they can do that. If

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Speaker 1: they need to bring one of these kids up, they

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Speaker 1: can do that. Raise over eighty six wins, and by

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Speaker 1: the way, I only bet overs on this I know

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Speaker 1: the Rays and the Red Sox are in the same division,

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Speaker 1: but my goodness, are the Orioles bad? And my goodness,

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Speaker 1: are the American League in general? Is the American League bad?

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Speaker 1: That's another reason why I like the Rays and the

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Speaker 1: Red Sox to beat up on the bad teams in

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Speaker 1: the Central and the West. Over eighty six wins for

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Speaker 1: the Tampa Bay Rays, so Red Sox raise over seventy

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Speaker 1: nine over eighty six to the National League. We go,

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Speaker 1: Let's start talking about the Saint Louis Cardinals. Nolan Ernado

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Speaker 1: is a monster, monster addition for the Cardinals. Now they're

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Speaker 1: being projected by some eighty four to eighty five wins.

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Speaker 1: If you go to Bettingpros dot com and you click

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Speaker 1: on our Major League Baseball win total projections for the

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Speaker 1: Saint Louis Cardinals, you will see the Cardinals with an

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Speaker 1: eighty seven win projection from us at Betting Pros. The

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Speaker 1: numbers eighty six. Okay, so it's pretty much right there.

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Speaker 1: I like Adam Waynwright, and I'm gonna bank on Adam

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Speaker 1: Waynwright having a bounce back year. And I'm gonna say

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Speaker 1: that Paul gold Schmidt, along with Nolan Arnado in this

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Speaker 1: lineup with the Pittsburgh, Cincinnati, and Chicago being in the division,

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Speaker 1: Milwaukee's gonna be decent, but Cincinnati is gonna have a

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Speaker 1: tough time with their pitching. Okay, losing Trevor Bauer and

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Speaker 1: the Cubs are a mess. The Cubs lost THEO. You know,

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Speaker 1: Schwarber's gone. You know, there's all this contract problems that

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Speaker 1: they're in contract hell, and I just don't think the

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Speaker 1: Cubs are going to be a good team this year

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Speaker 1: at all. I think they're going to be an under

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Speaker 1: five hundred team and get beaten up big time. I

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Speaker 1: think the Cardinals are gonna be bad. I think the St.

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Speaker 1: Louis Cardinals. Sorry, and Card's gonna be good. Cops is

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Speaker 1: gonna be bad, Red's gonna be bad, Pirate's bad. All

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Speaker 1: that is great news for a Cardinals team trying to

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Speaker 1: win over eighty six games. So I'm going with the

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Speaker 1: over eighty six games for the Cardinals here for Saint Louis,

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Speaker 1: and then one more total to talk about, and it's

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Speaker 1: the Washington Nationals, who are in a division that it's

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Speaker 1: gonna be really hard because it's the best division in

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Speaker 1: baseball by far. So the win total is eighty four

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Speaker 1: for the Washington Nationals. But I can't get over this

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Speaker 1: because of who they have on their team. Wan Soto,

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Speaker 1: speaking of the Leans one Soda is plus seven hundred

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Speaker 1: to win the National League MVP. I love that bet

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Speaker 1: Wan Sodo is gonna have a monster year. He didn't.

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Speaker 1: He wasn't great last year because of the abbreviated season,

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Speaker 1: everything else throughout last year. Don't worry about it. Wan Soto,

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Speaker 1: I think is gonna be an absolute stud. I think

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Speaker 1: Soto at plus seven hundred to win the National League

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Speaker 1: MVP is a really good bet. And I think he's

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Speaker 1: gonna power this offense. I think this pitching staff as

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Speaker 1: long as Steven Strasburg stays healthy, he's got to stay healthy.

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Speaker 1: But you've got Max Schurzer, You've got a decent, good

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Speaker 1: enough bullpen. It's okay, they've got some frontline. I mean,

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Speaker 1: I just think this is a team that's got enough

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Speaker 1: firepower to win eighty five games. Okay, that's not that

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Speaker 1: far of a five hundred. That's not that horrible. That's

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Speaker 1: where I'm gonna be on this That's where I really

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Speaker 1: look to do and I'm excited to see how it's

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Speaker 1: gonna all play out, So I'm going over eighty four

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Speaker 1: wins for the Washington Nationals. Here for the fourth play

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Speaker 1: for our Baseball Futures play. Now, like I mentioned, I

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Speaker 1: think the one Soto bet to win the MVP. I

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Speaker 1: haven't made it yet, but that's not an official play,

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Speaker 1: but I would say the Wan Soo to win the

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Speaker 1: National League MVP at plus seven hundred is a decent

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Speaker 1: bet to make. I like that bet a lot. And

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Speaker 1: then the Nationals to make some noise here. Look, I'm

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Speaker 1: not gonna go ahead and say take them to win

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Speaker 1: the East, but if the Mets all apart and it's

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Speaker 1: the Mets, they can the Braves to win the division

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Speaker 1: probably is the real safe bet. But the Nationals I

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Speaker 1: think could be right there at plus six fifty. You

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Speaker 1: want to take a flyer. But if you really want

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Speaker 1: to go with a flyer, bet the Atlanta Braves to

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Speaker 1: win the National League pennant with Freed and they're starting

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Speaker 1: rotation with a Kuna Junior at plus five point fifty

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Speaker 1: to win the National League pennant. I love that. And

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Speaker 1: then the Braves to win it all at plus one thousand. Look,

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Speaker 1: everyone's saying it's a coronation for the Dodgers, right. And

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Speaker 1: I don't know if the Braves would beat the Yankees

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Speaker 1: at the Yankees, you know, if they're starting pitchers. Stakes

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Speaker 1: takes healthy if Cole comes back to life and is dominant.

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Speaker 1: But as a flyer, bet that's not a horrible idea

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Speaker 1: to bet the Braves at plus one thousand. The one

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Speaker 1: team you haven't heard me talked about are the schugg

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Speaker 1: of White Sox. I totally understand why some people are

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Speaker 1: looking at this from a from a larger standpoint, and

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Speaker 1: I get what's going on. I do, but I think

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Speaker 1: that they're I just now we could get the injury

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Speaker 1: or the injuries are always already a problem for Chicago

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Speaker 1: with him and Az at plus eight fifty. I faded

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Speaker 1: the White Sox last year. I'm gonna fade the White

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Speaker 1: Sox again this year. I know that's not gonna make

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Speaker 1: a lot of people in Chicago happy. A lot of

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Speaker 1: people are all over the White Sox. I think the

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Speaker 1: White Socks are gonna be a good team to do this.

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Speaker 1: I'm just not capable of jumping behind the White Sox.

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Speaker 1: I'm just not comfortable jumping behind the White Sox and

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Speaker 1: the Dodgers are such a chalk team. I bet them

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Speaker 1: chalk last year at plus three fifty. And this is

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Speaker 1: a longer season and they're the hunted now. They hadn't

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Speaker 1: won the World Series in you know, twenty plus years,

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Speaker 1: since the eighties, since eighty eight, and now they've got

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Speaker 1: that ring. Does it make them more dangerous? Yeah, potentially,

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Speaker 1: but it also makes them up the hunted where they

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Speaker 1: weren't before. They didn't have that target on their back.

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Speaker 1: Every city they go to, there's gonna be fans in stands,

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Speaker 1: they're gonna be traveling around. So for that reason, I'm

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Speaker 1: just not comfortable going back to back and taking the

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Speaker 1: Dodgers to win at plus three fifty. And I think

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Speaker 1: the Yankees have too many questions with injuries. You know,

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Speaker 1: can stant and stay healthy, can judge stay healthy over

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Speaker 1: the course of an entire season, So I can't go

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Speaker 1: with them. The Padres aren't ready yet, even though they're

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Speaker 1: getting at a lot of arms. I'm not ready to

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Speaker 1: back them at plus eight hundred. So I think you

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Speaker 1: can make a really strong case for the Braves to

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Speaker 1: win the World Series at plus one thousand, and again,

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Speaker 1: these numbers change throughout the entire year, So you don't

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Speaker 1: have to jump in this right now if you don't

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Speaker 1: want to. The numbers will change a bit, and maybe

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Speaker 1: you wait for the first couple of months, or maybe

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Speaker 1: they work for the first month and to see where

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Speaker 1: the braves are you have. That's how long baseball is,

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Speaker 1: so you've got that opportunity to jump in with the

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Speaker 1: futures market. If you don't want to bet a preseason,

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Speaker 1: you can bet it during the season for a World

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Speaker 1: Series future. But that Braves at plus one thousand, that's

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Speaker 1: definitely something I would look at. I like that a lot.

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Speaker 1: That's a very interesting, interesting play. Okay, so three plays

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Speaker 1: from Major League Baseball win totals. It gave you a

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Speaker 1: couple that won so too, and then looking at some

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Speaker 1: of the winning of the division. To grab on to

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Speaker 1: the Rays to win the East, by the way, is

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Speaker 1: not a bad play either if you want to jump

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Speaker 1: on if you've look for something else with that in

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Speaker 1: terms of just who wins the division. To win the

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Speaker 1: American League East, the Rays are plus four to twenty.

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Speaker 1: That's not bad at all on that one. The one

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Speaker 1: team I don't know, and we'll end with this, the

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Speaker 1: one team that I have, I can't figure out are

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Speaker 1: the Toronto Blue Jays. We're gonna bet a lot of

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Speaker 1: Blue Jay overs this year because their lineup is stacked.

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Speaker 1: I just don't know about Toronto playing their games in Florida.

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Speaker 1: I just I can't. I can't do it. The Raptors

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Speaker 1: have been horrible. I think if Toronto was playing in Toronto,

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Speaker 1: I probably would bet they're over for eighty six quins.

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Speaker 1: But because they're playing at least their first three home

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Speaker 1: stands in Florida and maybe more, I just can't. I

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Speaker 1: can't do it. I can't get behind the Toronto Toronto

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Speaker 1: Blue Jays here, so I'm gonna pass on that. But

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Speaker 1: I do think Toronto is a very interesting team to

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Speaker 1: watch coming up. So all right, Happy Opening Day. Were

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Speaker 1: back on a Thursday morning with at least one pick

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Speaker 1: on an opening game that will bet Coming up here

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Speaker 1: for a Thursday, I'll have more picks as well. I

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Speaker 1: got the player props at some point I'll be giving

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Speaker 1: to you guys at some point. I know it's kind

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Speaker 1: of chaotic and crazy. If I can't do it, please

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Speaker 1: understand that I just don't won't have them due to travel.

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Speaker 1: But we'll get back into the swing of things as

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Speaker 1: I'm off vacation, but we'll come to you from San

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Speaker 1: Diego coming up tomorrow again. The Plays Raise over eighty

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Speaker 1: six wins, Cardinals over eighty six wins, Washington Nationals over

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Speaker 1: eighty four wins. All out of half of units at

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Speaker 1: minus one ten for all three for our Major League

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Speaker 1: Baseball Futures podcasts. For the Daily Juice minus Matt Parolt,

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Speaker 1: you can follow me on Twitter at Sports Talk Matt.

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Speaker 1: Every morning it's the Deal Juice podcast right here on

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Speaker 1: Betting Pros dot Com, brought you by BET'MGM