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Welcome 21 00:01:18,640 --> 00:01:22,640 Speaker 1: to The Favorites, the podcast from the Volume Podcast Network. 22 00:01:22,840 --> 00:01:27,720 Speaker 1: I am Chad Milman, Chief content Officer at the Action Network. 23 00:01:27,800 --> 00:01:31,280 Speaker 1: I am joined as I am for every episode because 24 00:01:31,319 --> 00:01:33,400 Speaker 1: he never takes a day off, which we talked about 25 00:01:33,440 --> 00:01:36,759 Speaker 1: in his review. He's a very good worker. My co host, 26 00:01:36,840 --> 00:01:42,840 Speaker 1: my bff, my companion, Michael Padre, professional better, Simon Hunter Yead. 27 00:01:42,920 --> 00:01:44,920 Speaker 1: You love to say no days off. The NFL off 28 00:01:44,959 --> 00:01:47,160 Speaker 1: season apparently does not exist. I'm trying to prep for 29 00:01:47,200 --> 00:01:49,560 Speaker 1: the draft, and it feels like every day we have 30 00:01:49,560 --> 00:01:52,520 Speaker 1: a new quarterback on some different team. I can't remember 31 00:01:52,520 --> 00:01:54,120 Speaker 1: ever being this way. This is we're in a new 32 00:01:54,120 --> 00:01:56,280 Speaker 1: era kind of what is it? Two straight years a 33 00:01:56,400 --> 00:01:58,880 Speaker 1: team a player switched team at quarterback Tom Brady and 34 00:01:58,880 --> 00:02:01,280 Speaker 1: then Matt Stafford and took those teams the Super Bowl. So, 35 00:02:01,520 --> 00:02:03,080 Speaker 1: I mean, there's so much breakdown. We came to get 36 00:02:03,120 --> 00:02:05,080 Speaker 1: to all of it, but this is pretty crazy. Matt 37 00:02:05,160 --> 00:02:07,880 Speaker 1: Ryan going from Atlanta to the Colts. I was dead wrong. 38 00:02:08,040 --> 00:02:11,079 Speaker 1: I'll be up front. I had had heard whispers about 39 00:02:11,280 --> 00:02:14,320 Speaker 1: the Shawn Watson and the love for Atlanta Falcons. That's 40 00:02:14,320 --> 00:02:15,720 Speaker 1: why I don't give out all my tips on the 41 00:02:15,720 --> 00:02:18,760 Speaker 1: show because sometimes the tips just it's not gonna work 42 00:02:18,760 --> 00:02:21,639 Speaker 1: out that way. But I've been here since February that 43 00:02:21,960 --> 00:02:24,680 Speaker 1: he wanted to go to Atlanta, so we gave out 44 00:02:24,720 --> 00:02:26,360 Speaker 1: Atlanta seventy one. They went all the way down to 45 00:02:26,400 --> 00:02:28,200 Speaker 1: thirty five to one to four to one to win 46 00:02:28,240 --> 00:02:30,960 Speaker 1: the Super Bowl ad FanDuel. Even the media got it wrong. 47 00:02:31,360 --> 00:02:34,160 Speaker 1: Watson went to the Brown So it's been a crazy 48 00:02:34,200 --> 00:02:37,880 Speaker 1: week for NFL and bet in NFL futures, and look, 49 00:02:38,000 --> 00:02:42,440 Speaker 1: we're gonna dig deeper into all of it as markets settle. 50 00:02:42,680 --> 00:02:45,919 Speaker 1: Matt Ryan, you mentioned Deshaun Watson, you mentioned the NFL 51 00:02:46,000 --> 00:02:50,120 Speaker 1: can't let anybody else have any attention. But but around 52 00:02:50,120 --> 00:02:54,840 Speaker 1: the world, it's going to be impossible for people to 53 00:02:54,960 --> 00:02:59,760 Speaker 1: ignore the fact that it's Oscar's week. Simon Hunter and 54 00:03:00,040 --> 00:03:04,399 Speaker 1: last year, one of our most popular offseason podcasts featured 55 00:03:04,960 --> 00:03:11,120 Speaker 1: our guests returning today, If You Talk Academy Awards betting 56 00:03:12,040 --> 00:03:18,000 Speaker 1: friend of the podcast, Mr Michael Lasker, a true Hollywood insider, 57 00:03:18,680 --> 00:03:25,280 Speaker 1: a talent manager at Mosaic in Hollywood, Land, one of 58 00:03:25,320 --> 00:03:27,560 Speaker 1: the Ones upon a Time named one of the forty 59 00:03:27,600 --> 00:03:33,920 Speaker 1: most Powerful people in Comedy by the Hollywood Reporter. Most importantly, 60 00:03:34,960 --> 00:03:40,560 Speaker 1: he's a legitimate Oscars savant to if people don't remember 61 00:03:40,680 --> 00:03:42,160 Speaker 1: or they're new to the podcast, because we have a 62 00:03:42,200 --> 00:03:44,760 Speaker 1: lot of new listeners, Michael, our audience is blown up 63 00:03:44,960 --> 00:03:48,600 Speaker 1: since you were last year that we are massive massive. 64 00:03:49,640 --> 00:03:52,880 Speaker 1: One of your party tricks is you can name all 65 00:03:53,000 --> 00:03:57,839 Speaker 1: nominees and winners across the major award categories for any 66 00:03:57,880 --> 00:04:01,080 Speaker 1: year in Oscar's history. We will put that to the 67 00:04:01,120 --> 00:04:08,560 Speaker 1: test later in the episode. Um So we are super 68 00:04:08,600 --> 00:04:11,720 Speaker 1: excited you're here if we're gonna talk Oscar's betting across 69 00:04:11,760 --> 00:04:16,000 Speaker 1: seven major categories. And by the way, Oscar's betting is huge. 70 00:04:16,360 --> 00:04:18,680 Speaker 1: It is huge in the way March Madness is huge 71 00:04:18,680 --> 00:04:23,279 Speaker 1: because it's become sort of a galvanizing event. I don't know, Michael, 72 00:04:23,279 --> 00:04:25,800 Speaker 1: if like you have that experience, well, first of all, 73 00:04:25,839 --> 00:04:28,360 Speaker 1: it is an absolute honor to be back. I really 74 00:04:28,440 --> 00:04:30,640 Speaker 1: mean that I had so much fun last year. I 75 00:04:30,640 --> 00:04:34,120 Speaker 1: want to be clear. The forty most Powerful Comedy list 76 00:04:34,360 --> 00:04:36,760 Speaker 1: that was like forty of like forty two people, so 77 00:04:36,800 --> 00:04:39,760 Speaker 1: that that that you're giving me too much credit. Doesn't. 78 00:04:40,440 --> 00:04:43,600 Speaker 1: That's just a list that a magazine invents to sell magazines. 79 00:04:44,160 --> 00:04:46,600 Speaker 1: They do those lists like every three weeks, God bless them. 80 00:04:47,240 --> 00:04:49,640 Speaker 1: Was really interesting about betting in the Academy Awards a 81 00:04:49,680 --> 00:04:52,320 Speaker 1: couple of things. First of all, as I'm sure you know, 82 00:04:52,440 --> 00:04:54,279 Speaker 1: and I would think most of your listeners probably know, 83 00:04:54,680 --> 00:04:57,840 Speaker 1: the Golden Globes are like kind of on ice right now. 84 00:04:57,880 --> 00:05:00,400 Speaker 1: The Golden Globes don't have anybody that for it that 85 00:05:00,400 --> 00:05:02,320 Speaker 1: are also in the Academy because the Golden Globes are 86 00:05:02,400 --> 00:05:04,919 Speaker 1: these foreign journalists who vote for it. But the point 87 00:05:04,920 --> 00:05:07,160 Speaker 1: being is there have always been a lot of precursor 88 00:05:07,200 --> 00:05:09,440 Speaker 1: awards leading up to the Oscars, which is why some 89 00:05:09,480 --> 00:05:11,720 Speaker 1: people think the Oscar ratings are going down. There's too 90 00:05:11,720 --> 00:05:14,640 Speaker 1: many awards shows, which I totally agree with. But the 91 00:05:14,640 --> 00:05:17,120 Speaker 1: Golden Globes didn't happen this year. They kind of happened 92 00:05:17,120 --> 00:05:19,640 Speaker 1: in absentia. And then you have like the Critics Choice 93 00:05:19,640 --> 00:05:22,960 Speaker 1: Awards and SAG. But the point is, nobody who votes 94 00:05:23,000 --> 00:05:26,000 Speaker 1: the Academy Awards has voted in that block yet. Because 95 00:05:26,000 --> 00:05:28,000 Speaker 1: when the guilds have their awards like the dj A, 96 00:05:28,320 --> 00:05:30,280 Speaker 1: w A, the p g A, that's a whole another 97 00:05:30,320 --> 00:05:33,360 Speaker 1: several group of like massive amounts of producers or directors 98 00:05:33,400 --> 00:05:36,440 Speaker 1: or writers. So the point being is, well, think of 99 00:05:36,440 --> 00:05:39,200 Speaker 1: it like this. You guys are betting on like the 100 00:05:39,240 --> 00:05:42,479 Speaker 1: Patriots playing the Colts. You've watched the Patriots play like 101 00:05:42,520 --> 00:05:45,760 Speaker 1: sixteen games in a row. No one's actually watched any 102 00:05:45,839 --> 00:05:48,640 Speaker 1: of these people do anything except they've seen the actual movies. 103 00:05:48,960 --> 00:05:50,680 Speaker 1: So my point is that at the end of the day, 104 00:05:50,680 --> 00:05:53,520 Speaker 1: there's ten thousand Academy members. No one knows what they're 105 00:05:53,520 --> 00:05:57,599 Speaker 1: gonna do. And I often say, if you've been nominated 106 00:05:57,600 --> 00:05:59,880 Speaker 1: for an Oscar, you can win. If you got to 107 00:05:59,880 --> 00:06:02,600 Speaker 1: the final ballot, why can't you win, You're already there. 108 00:06:02,600 --> 00:06:05,560 Speaker 1: So yes, there are oftentimes there are favorites will get 109 00:06:05,560 --> 00:06:09,919 Speaker 1: to that. Excuse the punts like and jumping ahead obviously, 110 00:06:09,920 --> 00:06:11,679 Speaker 1: like Will Smith is like one of the big favorites 111 00:06:11,680 --> 00:06:14,160 Speaker 1: on Sunday for King Richard. You guys must feel good 112 00:06:14,160 --> 00:06:15,800 Speaker 1: because you've got like a sports movie in the mix 113 00:06:15,800 --> 00:06:18,400 Speaker 1: of this year. So you guys, you guys feel like 114 00:06:18,480 --> 00:06:21,240 Speaker 1: you're being paid attention to. But my point being is 115 00:06:21,279 --> 00:06:23,440 Speaker 1: that it's an interesting thing to bet on because it 116 00:06:23,520 --> 00:06:25,960 Speaker 1: feels like there are locks, but you don't really know 117 00:06:26,040 --> 00:06:28,479 Speaker 1: because you actually don't have much information out there to 118 00:06:28,560 --> 00:06:31,599 Speaker 1: suggest that you know what's going to happen, unlike again 119 00:06:31,600 --> 00:06:35,040 Speaker 1: in many of these sports situations. So yeah, people could 120 00:06:35,080 --> 00:06:37,040 Speaker 1: do well, you know, betting on the Oscars, and I 121 00:06:37,080 --> 00:06:39,320 Speaker 1: assume you're going to point out there's like hundreds of 122 00:06:39,320 --> 00:06:42,279 Speaker 1: ways to do it through all these websites and so forth, 123 00:06:42,320 --> 00:06:44,240 Speaker 1: Like you probably don't have to go to the Bahamas 124 00:06:44,240 --> 00:06:46,800 Speaker 1: anymore to place a bet on the Oscars, right, you 125 00:06:46,839 --> 00:06:49,440 Speaker 1: can just do that like anywhere you want. No, that's 126 00:06:49,440 --> 00:06:52,360 Speaker 1: the beauty of this is like you know, up until 127 00:06:52,400 --> 00:06:55,919 Speaker 1: the last couple of years, this was not available in 128 00:06:56,120 --> 00:06:59,680 Speaker 1: legal betting markets, and even since we spoke last year, 129 00:06:59,760 --> 00:07:02,480 Speaker 1: there's so many more places in which you can get 130 00:07:02,640 --> 00:07:06,520 Speaker 1: money down legally. Obviously, we're sponsored by FanDuel. You can 131 00:07:06,560 --> 00:07:08,760 Speaker 1: bet on the Oscars on FanDuel. All the odds that 132 00:07:08,760 --> 00:07:11,560 Speaker 1: we're talking about for the Oscars, they're coming from FanDuel. 133 00:07:12,320 --> 00:07:15,080 Speaker 1: Reminder of the Oscars if you want to watch how 134 00:07:15,160 --> 00:07:18,720 Speaker 1: you potentially do in your bets a PM Eastern on 135 00:07:18,920 --> 00:07:23,440 Speaker 1: ABC UM. But yeah, it's it's fairly new. Let's get 136 00:07:23,440 --> 00:07:28,920 Speaker 1: to it. Let's people should know it is limited. So like, 137 00:07:28,960 --> 00:07:30,640 Speaker 1: if you like you're listening on, You're gonna been on 138 00:07:30,720 --> 00:07:33,280 Speaker 1: FanDuel the max you're gonna be able to get down 139 00:07:33,360 --> 00:07:35,680 Speaker 1: it's probably gonna be five. I mean, it's just like 140 00:07:35,720 --> 00:07:37,920 Speaker 1: he talked about, it's so much rumor and stuff that 141 00:07:37,960 --> 00:07:40,600 Speaker 1: the books don't want exposure to it. So that's definitely 142 00:07:40,600 --> 00:07:42,480 Speaker 1: something to keep in mind here. If you think you're 143 00:07:42,520 --> 00:07:44,280 Speaker 1: about to make a good a good amount of money 144 00:07:44,280 --> 00:07:46,840 Speaker 1: off this, better in person or betting online. I've already 145 00:07:46,840 --> 00:07:49,200 Speaker 1: been a couple of sports books. It's limited. Uh, they 146 00:07:49,240 --> 00:07:52,320 Speaker 1: just don't want the exposure to it. And in my opinion, 147 00:07:52,360 --> 00:07:55,000 Speaker 1: if they want to fix the Oscars, get a funny host. 148 00:07:55,200 --> 00:07:58,480 Speaker 1: I there's nothing better, especially as a peasant, a commoner 149 00:07:58,560 --> 00:08:01,440 Speaker 1: as I am, seeing a comedian just lay into these 150 00:08:01,480 --> 00:08:05,360 Speaker 1: Hollywood actors at the Oscars. So they bring Simon. I 151 00:08:05,640 --> 00:08:08,480 Speaker 1: couldn't agree more. And I mean, I think you know 152 00:08:08,480 --> 00:08:11,240 Speaker 1: they as maybe your listeners don't know. They're having three 153 00:08:11,280 --> 00:08:14,280 Speaker 1: hosts on Sunday um and Amy Schumer is one of 154 00:08:14,280 --> 00:08:16,320 Speaker 1: the hosts. She's probably gonna be the one who lays 155 00:08:16,360 --> 00:08:18,560 Speaker 1: in the most. But yeah, this weird thing happened not 156 00:08:18,640 --> 00:08:20,680 Speaker 1: to bore everybody, but Kevin Hart was gonna host the 157 00:08:20,760 --> 00:08:24,560 Speaker 1: Oscars three years ago, some old jokes surfaced. He got 158 00:08:24,640 --> 00:08:27,840 Speaker 1: mini canceled for five seconds, and then the Academy got 159 00:08:27,840 --> 00:08:29,600 Speaker 1: scared of having a host for a couple of years. 160 00:08:29,600 --> 00:08:31,440 Speaker 1: And it's like, I'm old enough to remember when it 161 00:08:31,480 --> 00:08:34,679 Speaker 1: was like Steve Martin, Woppy Goldberg, Billy Crystal, like that 162 00:08:34,800 --> 00:08:37,679 Speaker 1: was so fun because maybe part of what it was 163 00:08:37,679 --> 00:08:40,760 Speaker 1: was the reverence. You know, um, they had even David 164 00:08:40,840 --> 00:08:42,720 Speaker 1: Letterman like and who was a little more off kilter, 165 00:08:42,840 --> 00:08:45,120 Speaker 1: but they had a reverence. They could make fun of 166 00:08:45,160 --> 00:08:48,200 Speaker 1: everybody in the room while still celebrating everybody. And it 167 00:08:48,320 --> 00:08:51,880 Speaker 1: is so weird to me. It's really sad that somehow 168 00:08:52,040 --> 00:08:54,760 Speaker 1: the Oscars, the hosting being got so messed up that 169 00:08:54,800 --> 00:08:57,520 Speaker 1: now like nobody wants to do it. I thought Jimmy 170 00:08:57,600 --> 00:08:59,679 Speaker 1: Kimmel was excellent. He did it two years in a row, 171 00:08:59,720 --> 00:09:02,040 Speaker 1: and he famously did the one that had the snaff 172 00:09:02,040 --> 00:09:04,160 Speaker 1: foo the best picture. I've talked to people in Jimmy 173 00:09:04,240 --> 00:09:07,559 Speaker 1: Kimmel's circle and they're just like, it's thankless, Like it 174 00:09:07,600 --> 00:09:09,360 Speaker 1: doesn't matter how good of a job you do. The 175 00:09:09,400 --> 00:09:12,120 Speaker 1: next day, the reviews, I'll say you were fine, and 176 00:09:12,160 --> 00:09:14,199 Speaker 1: the show is too long and so I think a 177 00:09:14,280 --> 00:09:16,400 Speaker 1: lot of people they just don't want to do it. 178 00:09:16,440 --> 00:09:18,679 Speaker 1: They don't like want the guff. And again, I'm old 179 00:09:18,760 --> 00:09:21,440 Speaker 1: enough to remember when like Billie Crystal was the quasi 180 00:09:21,520 --> 00:09:23,840 Speaker 1: permanent host for like a decade. You know, he took 181 00:09:23,880 --> 00:09:26,200 Speaker 1: some time off, but he did it like six times 182 00:09:26,200 --> 00:09:28,880 Speaker 1: in the nineties and it was really cool. So I 183 00:09:28,920 --> 00:09:30,720 Speaker 1: really hope they go back to that. They went after 184 00:09:30,760 --> 00:09:33,280 Speaker 1: a ton of comedians this year and everybody passed if 185 00:09:33,320 --> 00:09:34,480 Speaker 1: you know the right people, if they would have just 186 00:09:34,520 --> 00:09:37,760 Speaker 1: got Pete Davidson, well supposedly they asked Pete Davidson. But 187 00:09:37,840 --> 00:09:39,760 Speaker 1: that's my point is that people like that are passing 188 00:09:39,800 --> 00:09:42,000 Speaker 1: now because they're also a little afraid they're gonna say 189 00:09:42,040 --> 00:09:45,160 Speaker 1: something too blue and then they're gonna get canceled. I mean, 190 00:09:45,200 --> 00:09:47,360 Speaker 1: it speaks a whole another bigger issue about where we 191 00:09:47,360 --> 00:09:49,400 Speaker 1: are in the state of comedy. So I think the 192 00:09:49,480 --> 00:09:52,000 Speaker 1: three women that are doing it on Sunday want to 193 00:09:52,040 --> 00:09:55,400 Speaker 1: psych Sammy Schumer and Regina Hall. Yes, they're each taking 194 00:09:55,440 --> 00:09:58,199 Speaker 1: like a different hour of the show. So let's dig in. 195 00:09:58,840 --> 00:10:03,720 Speaker 1: Let's get to it. The first category, Best Film. They 196 00:10:03,880 --> 00:10:06,200 Speaker 1: expanded the nominations a few years ago, so I think 197 00:10:06,200 --> 00:10:09,920 Speaker 1: there's ten films up for Best Film of the Year. 198 00:10:10,040 --> 00:10:14,679 Speaker 1: Power of the Dog minus one forties starring Benedict Cumberbatch 199 00:10:15,160 --> 00:10:19,079 Speaker 1: and Kirsten Dunst and Jesse Plemons is the leader. In 200 00:10:19,120 --> 00:10:23,160 Speaker 1: the Clubhouse Coda remake of a French film plus one 201 00:10:23,200 --> 00:10:26,800 Speaker 1: oh five is number two. I've got very strong opinions 202 00:10:26,840 --> 00:10:28,840 Speaker 1: here of the movies I've seen, I haven't seen all 203 00:10:28,880 --> 00:10:31,360 Speaker 1: the movies, but I have seen these two movies, so 204 00:10:31,400 --> 00:10:34,719 Speaker 1: I've seen the favorites. Michael, handicap it from your point 205 00:10:34,760 --> 00:10:37,320 Speaker 1: of view, knowing Power of the Dog is sort of 206 00:10:37,360 --> 00:10:39,520 Speaker 1: the leader, and the has the shortest odds and Koda 207 00:10:39,600 --> 00:10:42,160 Speaker 1: has the second shortest dots. I should also name the 208 00:10:42,200 --> 00:10:47,720 Speaker 1: other movies being in consideration Belfast, Kenneth Brauna, West Side Story, 209 00:10:47,760 --> 00:10:52,600 Speaker 1: Steven Spielberg, Dune. I forgot King Richard, as you mentioned, Uh, 210 00:10:52,640 --> 00:10:56,240 Speaker 1: that's the one starting Will Smith Labors, Pizza, Paul Thomas Anderson, 211 00:10:56,640 --> 00:10:59,839 Speaker 1: don't look up Jesus Christ. That was terrible, Adam m 212 00:11:00,760 --> 00:11:04,880 Speaker 1: uh drive my Car, and Uh Nightmare Alley, which is 213 00:11:04,920 --> 00:11:08,440 Speaker 1: a bit of a surprise. So handicap before me again 214 00:11:08,600 --> 00:11:11,200 Speaker 1: for your listeners. It almost could equate to sports in 215 00:11:11,200 --> 00:11:13,400 Speaker 1: the sense of who you think is like, you know, 216 00:11:13,600 --> 00:11:16,080 Speaker 1: looking good in September for the NFL versus looking good 217 00:11:16,120 --> 00:11:18,760 Speaker 1: in January. Power of the Dog has been the prohibitive 218 00:11:18,800 --> 00:11:21,920 Speaker 1: favorite for like four months. You know Jane Campion, who 219 00:11:21,920 --> 00:11:26,480 Speaker 1: won an Oscar for writing the Piano. She has been 220 00:11:26,520 --> 00:11:28,920 Speaker 1: in New Zealand and Australia making these really good TV 221 00:11:28,960 --> 00:11:31,400 Speaker 1: shows like Top of the Lake hasn't made a mainstream 222 00:11:31,400 --> 00:11:33,800 Speaker 1: film in a while, and this is like Netflix is big, 223 00:11:33,840 --> 00:11:36,360 Speaker 1: big push to finally win an Oscar for Best Picture, 224 00:11:37,120 --> 00:11:38,880 Speaker 1: and people really like this movie. I've seen it. It's 225 00:11:38,960 --> 00:11:41,880 Speaker 1: very good, it's very interesting. It's got a very complex ending. 226 00:11:42,360 --> 00:11:46,760 Speaker 1: But Coda is like the quasi little movie that could 227 00:11:46,880 --> 00:11:50,199 Speaker 1: from Apple, another streaming service that was bought at Sunday's 228 00:11:50,280 --> 00:11:52,880 Speaker 1: last year full disclosure of my colleagues client wrote and 229 00:11:52,880 --> 00:11:55,160 Speaker 1: directed it, but I sweared not by so though I 230 00:11:55,160 --> 00:11:57,360 Speaker 1: thought it was wonderful and I like Power of the 231 00:11:57,400 --> 00:12:00,520 Speaker 1: Dog a lot too. But Koda has come on very 232 00:12:00,600 --> 00:12:02,800 Speaker 1: late and has a lot of momentum right now. And 233 00:12:02,840 --> 00:12:05,000 Speaker 1: the thing that your listeners need to know is that 234 00:12:05,040 --> 00:12:08,480 Speaker 1: the Academy voting only started like a week ago, so 235 00:12:08,720 --> 00:12:10,640 Speaker 1: you know, it doesn't matter what somebody thought in October 236 00:12:10,679 --> 00:12:13,160 Speaker 1: and October people thought Belfast was gonna be the Best Picture, 237 00:12:13,160 --> 00:12:15,160 Speaker 1: and I do not think that's going to win. So 238 00:12:16,160 --> 00:12:17,880 Speaker 1: if you look at the last ten years or so, 239 00:12:18,200 --> 00:12:20,800 Speaker 1: more than certainly like the fifty years before, the last 240 00:12:20,800 --> 00:12:24,560 Speaker 1: ten years, you've had a lot of split director and 241 00:12:24,679 --> 00:12:27,840 Speaker 1: Best Picture winners. So like La La Land was Best 242 00:12:27,840 --> 00:12:31,600 Speaker 1: Director two thousand sixteen for Damian Gazelle, Moonlight was Best 243 00:12:31,640 --> 00:12:35,160 Speaker 1: Picture two thousand eighteen, Alfonso Kron best Director of a Roma, 244 00:12:35,200 --> 00:12:38,800 Speaker 1: but green Book was Best Picture? Right, Um, so you 245 00:12:38,880 --> 00:12:45,280 Speaker 1: see that more and more. It's happening more and more, Um, Alfonso, Sorry, 246 00:12:45,559 --> 00:12:48,320 Speaker 1: Alejandra and Arito one Best Director for the second year 247 00:12:48,360 --> 00:12:50,719 Speaker 1: in a row for The Revenant, and Spotlight was the 248 00:12:50,760 --> 00:12:54,720 Speaker 1: Best Picture. So jumping into your second major category, I 249 00:12:54,760 --> 00:12:57,400 Speaker 1: think the smart money is that Jane Campion will win 250 00:12:57,480 --> 00:13:00,920 Speaker 1: Best Director. Boat is going to win Best Pick. Sure, now, 251 00:13:01,000 --> 00:13:04,320 Speaker 1: Coda only has three OSCAR nominations and not since like 252 00:13:04,400 --> 00:13:07,360 Speaker 1: Grand Hotel in two as a movie with that a 253 00:13:07,400 --> 00:13:10,640 Speaker 1: few ASCAR ownations one Best Picture. But the truth is, 254 00:13:10,679 --> 00:13:13,200 Speaker 1: I don't think that stuff matters anymore. And ironically, what 255 00:13:13,240 --> 00:13:17,280 Speaker 1: you're gonna see, not to spoil, Dune will probably win 256 00:13:17,320 --> 00:13:19,600 Speaker 1: the most Oscars on Sunday, because it's going to dominate 257 00:13:19,640 --> 00:13:22,440 Speaker 1: all the technical categories. So this is not one of 258 00:13:22,480 --> 00:13:25,120 Speaker 1: those years where you have a Titanic that's gonna win 259 00:13:25,160 --> 00:13:30,240 Speaker 1: eleven Oscars, or you know, Lord of the Rings or 260 00:13:30,240 --> 00:13:32,439 Speaker 1: maybe eleven Oscars, remember the third Lord of the Rings. 261 00:13:32,480 --> 00:13:35,319 Speaker 1: So I think I would bet on Coda. I think 262 00:13:35,360 --> 00:13:38,400 Speaker 1: Coda is surging um and Power of the Dog. You know, 263 00:13:38,440 --> 00:13:40,559 Speaker 1: Jene Campion probably wins Best Director, and it's one of 264 00:13:40,600 --> 00:13:44,199 Speaker 1: those two. Nobody else Belfast West Side Story, none of 265 00:13:44,200 --> 00:13:46,520 Speaker 1: the others have a chance. I would tell you to 266 00:13:46,800 --> 00:13:50,720 Speaker 1: bet on Coda. You know what's interesting the way you 267 00:13:50,880 --> 00:13:57,200 Speaker 1: described the Power of the Dog. Nobody says, Oh, I 268 00:13:57,240 --> 00:14:00,600 Speaker 1: love this movie. It's so good. Oh, I like, I 269 00:14:00,640 --> 00:14:04,439 Speaker 1: had all the fields. They're like, it's interesting, it's complex. 270 00:14:05,120 --> 00:14:10,280 Speaker 1: I watched it. It was subtle to the point of 271 00:14:10,320 --> 00:14:15,600 Speaker 1: non existence, like it just like I almost I didn't 272 00:14:15,600 --> 00:14:18,720 Speaker 1: want to watch it at first because all the reviews 273 00:14:18,720 --> 00:14:24,000 Speaker 1: were about how sadistic Benedict Cumber batches in the movie, 274 00:14:25,040 --> 00:14:28,480 Speaker 1: and that's just not my jam and and so I 275 00:14:28,520 --> 00:14:31,320 Speaker 1: really was turned off by the way it was described. 276 00:14:31,760 --> 00:14:33,640 Speaker 1: And then we decided to watch it. My wife and 277 00:14:33,680 --> 00:14:36,880 Speaker 1: I and we stopped in the middle and did a 278 00:14:36,920 --> 00:14:40,680 Speaker 1: forty five minute zoom with her parents, which was even 279 00:14:41,400 --> 00:14:45,640 Speaker 1: more uninteresting. That's how the filmmaker intended you to watch it, Chad, Yeah, 280 00:14:45,680 --> 00:14:47,680 Speaker 1: I went. I picked up my kid at like eleven 281 00:14:47,760 --> 00:14:50,200 Speaker 1: thirty at night, like by the time, like it just 282 00:14:50,240 --> 00:14:54,240 Speaker 1: didn't hold my attention was coda, Like I was all 283 00:14:54,280 --> 00:14:58,160 Speaker 1: happy tears. It was a beautiful, wonderful film. You know. 284 00:14:58,160 --> 00:14:59,840 Speaker 1: The funny thing that Power of the Dog. I saw 285 00:15:00,000 --> 00:15:01,680 Speaker 1: a couple of months ago and I said to a friend, 286 00:15:01,800 --> 00:15:03,720 Speaker 1: I liked it, I said, but I it reminded me 287 00:15:03,760 --> 00:15:07,080 Speaker 1: of Brokeback Mountain, and I like to Brokeback Mountain much better. Well, 288 00:15:07,120 --> 00:15:09,560 Speaker 1: I found out a little bit of googling. Power of 289 00:15:09,560 --> 00:15:13,280 Speaker 1: the Dog is a novel from seven that Annie Prue 290 00:15:13,960 --> 00:15:17,240 Speaker 1: read in like the eighties, and it inspired her to 291 00:15:17,280 --> 00:15:20,120 Speaker 1: write Brokeback Mountain, which was then adapted by Larry mcmurphry 292 00:15:20,160 --> 00:15:22,600 Speaker 1: and Diana Osana. So it's kind of interesting to see 293 00:15:22,640 --> 00:15:25,880 Speaker 1: just how one person's art inspires the next generation because 294 00:15:25,880 --> 00:15:28,480 Speaker 1: it has very similar themes. And apparently I just heard 295 00:15:28,920 --> 00:15:30,960 Speaker 1: on another podcast. I won't name them. I don't want 296 00:15:30,960 --> 00:15:34,000 Speaker 1: to draw your viewers away. That um, the guy who 297 00:15:34,000 --> 00:15:35,920 Speaker 1: wrote the book Who's Dead, who wrote the Power of 298 00:15:35,960 --> 00:15:38,360 Speaker 1: the Dog. It's basically based on his life. He's the kid, 299 00:15:38,760 --> 00:15:42,000 Speaker 1: he had the abusive um, he had the benet a 300 00:15:42,040 --> 00:15:44,040 Speaker 1: car Batch guy in his life. I don't know if 301 00:15:44,080 --> 00:15:47,240 Speaker 1: he did what the movie would tell you he might 302 00:15:47,280 --> 00:15:49,720 Speaker 1: have done. Not to spoil it, but that was his 303 00:15:50,080 --> 00:15:54,200 Speaker 1: that was his upbringing. So I hear you coda. It 304 00:15:54,320 --> 00:15:57,280 Speaker 1: was just beautiful. You don't see enough about deaf culture, 305 00:15:57,800 --> 00:16:00,200 Speaker 1: and it's kind of ironic. As Marley Matlin, you was 306 00:16:00,240 --> 00:16:02,320 Speaker 1: the first deaf person to win an oscar in nine 307 00:16:03,240 --> 00:16:06,120 Speaker 1: six from Children Over the Lesser God, which is really 308 00:16:06,120 --> 00:16:09,280 Speaker 1: interesting movie. Actually one of my clients mothers wrote the 309 00:16:09,320 --> 00:16:11,480 Speaker 1: play that it's based on. She passed away about two 310 00:16:11,520 --> 00:16:13,680 Speaker 1: years ago. I just don't see this talked about a lot. 311 00:16:13,720 --> 00:16:15,640 Speaker 1: And you see that family in that movie, and you 312 00:16:15,640 --> 00:16:18,000 Speaker 1: see how much love they have but also how complicated 313 00:16:18,040 --> 00:16:20,960 Speaker 1: they are. And I thought the young woman who you 314 00:16:21,000 --> 00:16:23,000 Speaker 1: know played the you know, the doctor who can hear, 315 00:16:23,040 --> 00:16:26,440 Speaker 1: I thought she was incredible. To me. It was, you know, 316 00:16:27,000 --> 00:16:30,320 Speaker 1: head and shoulders above Power of the Dog. I hope 317 00:16:30,320 --> 00:16:32,400 Speaker 1: at winds the oscar. I loved it. It was the 318 00:16:32,400 --> 00:16:35,200 Speaker 1: exact right movie the exact right time for me personally, 319 00:16:35,640 --> 00:16:38,920 Speaker 1: just thought it was amazing. You mentioned Best Director Paul 320 00:16:38,960 --> 00:16:44,560 Speaker 1: Thomas Anderson Liquors, Pizza is about plus one, Steven Spielberg, 321 00:16:44,560 --> 00:16:49,560 Speaker 1: West Side Story also ties to one, Kenneth Brauna Belfast 322 00:16:50,120 --> 00:16:56,240 Speaker 1: to one, and then resup Hamagucci Drive My Car. You 323 00:16:56,280 --> 00:16:59,760 Speaker 1: mentioned Jane Campion, So she directed Power the Dog right now, 324 00:17:00,000 --> 00:17:04,720 Speaker 1: and fandel she is minus to come home with the award. 325 00:17:05,400 --> 00:17:07,080 Speaker 1: I think she will win. I mean there was a 326 00:17:07,080 --> 00:17:09,920 Speaker 1: snap food with her ten days ago where she made 327 00:17:09,920 --> 00:17:12,560 Speaker 1: this comment to the Williams sisters at an award show 328 00:17:12,600 --> 00:17:14,879 Speaker 1: where she said, you know, you guys are amazing, but 329 00:17:14,920 --> 00:17:17,320 Speaker 1: I have to compete against the men, and you don't. 330 00:17:17,359 --> 00:17:21,560 Speaker 1: I think what she meant, I think was that directing 331 00:17:21,560 --> 00:17:24,520 Speaker 1: in movies has been male dominated for over a hundred years. 332 00:17:24,600 --> 00:17:27,360 Speaker 1: I mean there's only been, like I think Variety lists, 333 00:17:27,440 --> 00:17:30,480 Speaker 1: there's only been eighteen movies nominated for Best Picture directed 334 00:17:30,480 --> 00:17:33,920 Speaker 1: by women, and as far as women nominated for Best Director, 335 00:17:33,920 --> 00:17:37,600 Speaker 1: I mean it's Lena worked Miller in like nineteen seventy six, 336 00:17:37,640 --> 00:17:40,600 Speaker 1: I think, and then the next time it was Jane Campion, 337 00:17:41,840 --> 00:17:44,120 Speaker 1: and then it was Sofia Coppola in two thousand and three, 338 00:17:44,280 --> 00:17:46,359 Speaker 1: and then it was Katherine Bigelow in two thousand and 339 00:17:46,440 --> 00:17:49,119 Speaker 1: nine and she was the first woman to win Best Director. 340 00:17:49,680 --> 00:17:53,840 Speaker 1: And then Gregi Growig was nominated in UM in twenty 341 00:17:54,680 --> 00:17:58,760 Speaker 1: seventeen for Ladybird. And uh, and now we've got Jane 342 00:17:58,800 --> 00:18:02,480 Speaker 1: nominated again. So I think that's what she meant. Um. 343 00:18:02,560 --> 00:18:05,359 Speaker 1: You know, I'm sure she's a nice person. Uh. I 344 00:18:05,359 --> 00:18:06,840 Speaker 1: think she's gonna win. I've talked to a lot of 345 00:18:06,840 --> 00:18:10,760 Speaker 1: people this week in the business who think that Spielberg 346 00:18:11,160 --> 00:18:13,760 Speaker 1: is a dark horse, UM, just because he did such 347 00:18:13,760 --> 00:18:17,359 Speaker 1: an amazing job West Side Story, And I don't know, 348 00:18:17,480 --> 00:18:19,120 Speaker 1: I don't see it happening. I would bet on Jane 349 00:18:19,119 --> 00:18:22,440 Speaker 1: Campi Simon, I want you to weigh in best Actor. 350 00:18:22,440 --> 00:18:25,200 Speaker 1: I want to ask one more question about director, because Michael, 351 00:18:25,240 --> 00:18:30,720 Speaker 1: you mentioned Spielberg. So to me, that movie was indicative 352 00:18:31,040 --> 00:18:37,360 Speaker 1: of a very inside movie industry story. Everyone loved it, 353 00:18:37,400 --> 00:18:42,720 Speaker 1: took a while to put together, beautifully directed, colorful, wonderful. 354 00:18:42,800 --> 00:18:48,080 Speaker 1: New talent comes out and is critically loved and bombs 355 00:18:48,119 --> 00:18:51,600 Speaker 1: at the box office because for variety of reasons, you know, 356 00:18:51,840 --> 00:18:54,879 Speaker 1: the studio wanted to put it out at the box Office, 357 00:18:55,160 --> 00:18:57,600 Speaker 1: they delayed or they waited on the streaming and just 358 00:18:58,080 --> 00:19:02,680 Speaker 1: debuted on Disney. Plus, I wonder if he is becoming 359 00:19:02,680 --> 00:19:05,400 Speaker 1: while it's Spielberg and he's sort of the most powerful 360 00:19:05,440 --> 00:19:09,280 Speaker 1: person in the world when it comes to this business, Like, 361 00:19:10,040 --> 00:19:13,439 Speaker 1: is he representative of sort of Hollywood struggling with the 362 00:19:13,440 --> 00:19:15,920 Speaker 1: way things are changing and they are rooting for him 363 00:19:16,040 --> 00:19:18,560 Speaker 1: and it because it was so good and didn't do 364 00:19:18,640 --> 00:19:21,080 Speaker 1: well critically when they really would like movies like this 365 00:19:21,200 --> 00:19:23,280 Speaker 1: to do well. That could be a big part of it. 366 00:19:23,280 --> 00:19:25,520 Speaker 1: And I think the other thing too that you cannot underestimate. 367 00:19:25,960 --> 00:19:28,760 Speaker 1: So the Academy in the last five years, they like 368 00:19:28,880 --> 00:19:31,920 Speaker 1: massively opened the voter rolls and they added about five 369 00:19:31,960 --> 00:19:34,800 Speaker 1: thousand members and it was it was an initiative to 370 00:19:34,880 --> 00:19:38,639 Speaker 1: add more diverse people, younger people, types of people that 371 00:19:38,720 --> 00:19:41,560 Speaker 1: maybe had not been welcomed to the Academy for many, 372 00:19:41,560 --> 00:19:44,800 Speaker 1: many years. But what's interesting if you look at the winners, 373 00:19:44,920 --> 00:19:46,800 Speaker 1: I mean, like then you still had Green Book with 374 00:19:47,040 --> 00:19:48,600 Speaker 1: you know, and it's like that feels like a movie 375 00:19:48,640 --> 00:19:50,639 Speaker 1: that was voted on my people over sixty and I 376 00:19:50,680 --> 00:19:54,320 Speaker 1: liked Book. Um, So I think that my point is 377 00:19:54,359 --> 00:19:57,240 Speaker 1: the Academy is still on the older side. I think 378 00:19:57,240 --> 00:19:59,280 Speaker 1: the weird thing about West Side Story, to be quite honest, 379 00:19:59,359 --> 00:20:01,480 Speaker 1: is like the this movie already one best picture, I 380 00:20:01,520 --> 00:20:04,560 Speaker 1: mean one like eleven oscars in one, so it's like, 381 00:20:05,080 --> 00:20:07,520 Speaker 1: and he did an amazing job with it. But that's 382 00:20:07,560 --> 00:20:09,679 Speaker 1: what seems weird to me, is like, are we honoring 383 00:20:09,800 --> 00:20:11,679 Speaker 1: him for a movie that was already like one of 384 00:20:11,680 --> 00:20:15,159 Speaker 1: the great masterpieces ever. Spielberg is not going anywhere. He 385 00:20:15,280 --> 00:20:19,240 Speaker 1: is a spry like seventy three girl man who is 386 00:20:19,240 --> 00:20:21,920 Speaker 1: going to make a gazillion more movies. So I would 387 00:20:21,960 --> 00:20:25,439 Speaker 1: bet on Jane Campion. Also, it's very interesting just because 388 00:20:25,520 --> 00:20:27,879 Speaker 1: this is a pattern doesn't mean it's going to happen. 389 00:20:28,160 --> 00:20:29,840 Speaker 1: But if you go back to two thousand and ten, 390 00:20:30,320 --> 00:20:31,560 Speaker 1: I could name them for you in a second if 391 00:20:31,600 --> 00:20:34,159 Speaker 1: you want me to. Almost every best director is a 392 00:20:34,240 --> 00:20:37,960 Speaker 1: non American born director, which is I think really great 393 00:20:38,000 --> 00:20:41,160 Speaker 1: and fascinating that, like the rest of the world is, 394 00:20:41,359 --> 00:20:44,840 Speaker 1: you know, producing these amazing voices, they're ultimately coming to America. 395 00:20:44,960 --> 00:20:47,480 Speaker 1: So like I mean, you guys study all the stuff, 396 00:20:47,480 --> 00:20:49,959 Speaker 1: you look at these numbers that would suggest Jane Campion 397 00:20:50,000 --> 00:20:53,400 Speaker 1: is gonna win, because I mean every every year it's 398 00:20:53,400 --> 00:20:57,400 Speaker 1: a non American born director has been winning a trend 399 00:20:57,640 --> 00:21:02,359 Speaker 1: that is a trend to go Simon Hunter Michael is 400 00:21:02,440 --> 00:21:06,840 Speaker 1: bringing next level analytics to the best directing category. A 401 00:21:06,840 --> 00:21:08,440 Speaker 1: lot of these big movies have been flopping, like The 402 00:21:08,520 --> 00:21:11,359 Speaker 1: Last Duel that was one of the bigger flops of 403 00:21:11,560 --> 00:21:13,280 Speaker 1: last year, and that one of the biggest budgets. So 404 00:21:13,680 --> 00:21:15,960 Speaker 1: we're definitely seen a trend where it's like, I think, 405 00:21:15,960 --> 00:21:18,000 Speaker 1: then you started thinking about what audience is going to 406 00:21:18,080 --> 00:21:20,000 Speaker 1: go out and see these movies other than people that 407 00:21:20,000 --> 00:21:22,000 Speaker 1: are old like Chad, I just want to sit at home, 408 00:21:22,359 --> 00:21:23,919 Speaker 1: get the movie and watch it on the couch, like 409 00:21:24,000 --> 00:21:26,000 Speaker 1: you don't really feel like in the movies. And the 410 00:21:26,040 --> 00:21:28,000 Speaker 1: movie you did go see out wasn't The Spider Man. 411 00:21:28,680 --> 00:21:31,640 Speaker 1: I went to see The Batman a couple of weeks ago. 412 00:21:32,600 --> 00:21:35,240 Speaker 1: It was a little long and literally too dark, Like 413 00:21:35,240 --> 00:21:38,080 Speaker 1: I couldn't see a fucking thing. So when when it 414 00:21:38,119 --> 00:21:40,959 Speaker 1: was over, my wife and kid were like, we loved it. 415 00:21:41,000 --> 00:21:43,560 Speaker 1: I'm like they're and my wife was like, you couldn't 416 00:21:43,600 --> 00:21:45,040 Speaker 1: really see a kid who I'm like, I could not 417 00:21:45,400 --> 00:21:49,200 Speaker 1: see anything. Yeah, I haven't yet because it's hard to 418 00:21:49,200 --> 00:21:51,680 Speaker 1: get out of the movie is three hours long and 419 00:21:51,880 --> 00:21:54,520 Speaker 1: the Grove, our closest movie theater in l A runs 420 00:21:54,560 --> 00:21:58,000 Speaker 1: thirty five minutes of previews and commercials, and my wife 421 00:21:58,000 --> 00:22:00,359 Speaker 1: and I we can't make the like five hour around 422 00:22:00,440 --> 00:22:03,440 Speaker 1: trip to go see the movie between like feeding the bait, 423 00:22:03,480 --> 00:22:05,920 Speaker 1: you know what I mean. Like so, but but here's 424 00:22:05,920 --> 00:22:07,600 Speaker 1: the thing though, and this goes to your point about 425 00:22:07,680 --> 00:22:10,359 Speaker 1: Last Toul Simon. They already announced The Batman's coming on 426 00:22:10,480 --> 00:22:13,479 Speaker 1: HBO Max at the end of April. The studios, they 427 00:22:13,520 --> 00:22:15,960 Speaker 1: think they have to do it shortening their own timeline 428 00:22:16,000 --> 00:22:18,720 Speaker 1: literally by putting these movies out so fast onto v 429 00:22:18,800 --> 00:22:21,080 Speaker 1: O D to make more money. I mean, you guys 430 00:22:21,080 --> 00:22:23,200 Speaker 1: all know time goes by so fast. If you were 431 00:22:23,240 --> 00:22:25,080 Speaker 1: like an adult who want to see the Last Duel, 432 00:22:25,200 --> 00:22:26,560 Speaker 1: all you had to wait it was like a month 433 00:22:26,640 --> 00:22:28,800 Speaker 1: to see it, and a month goes by really fast. 434 00:22:28,800 --> 00:22:30,760 Speaker 1: You have other ship to do. And that's why a 435 00:22:30,760 --> 00:22:32,639 Speaker 1: lot of those movies are starting to fail at the 436 00:22:32,680 --> 00:22:35,600 Speaker 1: box office. It's a double edged sword though, because I'm 437 00:22:35,640 --> 00:22:38,280 Speaker 1: an old soul, I'm not good with technology. I can 438 00:22:38,320 --> 00:22:40,800 Speaker 1: get you any movie you want right now for free. 439 00:22:41,240 --> 00:22:43,919 Speaker 1: So that's what they're dealing with here. It's like I 440 00:22:43,960 --> 00:22:46,199 Speaker 1: get what they want to delay Batman. But it's like, 441 00:22:47,080 --> 00:22:49,080 Speaker 1: I don't know, I could have got that opening weekend, 442 00:22:49,600 --> 00:22:53,639 Speaker 1: you know, the Chinese version, the Russian version, whatever. They 443 00:22:53,680 --> 00:22:55,320 Speaker 1: would have the subtitles of the bottom, but it would 444 00:22:55,359 --> 00:22:57,760 Speaker 1: be clear picture. So I get it. Man. It's it's 445 00:22:57,760 --> 00:22:59,800 Speaker 1: a tough battle for these movie things. That's why this 446 00:23:00,000 --> 00:23:03,000 Speaker 1: next category is funny. Best Actor. This feels like a 447 00:23:03,119 --> 00:23:06,080 Speaker 1: makeup award this year. So Will Smith, I'm looking right 448 00:23:06,080 --> 00:23:09,960 Speaker 1: here for King Richard Mine is six. That's yeah, that's crazy. 449 00:23:10,119 --> 00:23:13,399 Speaker 1: And Benedict Cumberbatch, who Chad just talked about little bit 450 00:23:13,400 --> 00:23:14,800 Speaker 1: with the power of the Dog. That to me that 451 00:23:14,960 --> 00:23:18,000 Speaker 1: was pretty good acting Like I did not like him 452 00:23:18,040 --> 00:23:21,359 Speaker 1: at all, and he's to me a pretty likable guy. Um, 453 00:23:21,440 --> 00:23:25,360 Speaker 1: so he's in there plus five fifty. That's really that's 454 00:23:25,359 --> 00:23:27,359 Speaker 1: a crazy discrepancy from the first place guy to the 455 00:23:27,400 --> 00:23:29,520 Speaker 1: second place guy. Is that really? Is that just what? 456 00:23:29,640 --> 00:23:31,400 Speaker 1: It's a foregone conclusion this year that it's just gonna 457 00:23:31,400 --> 00:23:33,880 Speaker 1: be at totally foregone conclusion. And I thought, I mean, 458 00:23:33,880 --> 00:23:37,320 Speaker 1: they look, Bennett was great. I think that the Will 459 00:23:37,359 --> 00:23:39,919 Speaker 1: Smith thing is half of a makeup oscar. And what 460 00:23:39,960 --> 00:23:41,960 Speaker 1: I mean by that is I think it's a great 461 00:23:42,000 --> 00:23:45,320 Speaker 1: performance he is worthy of winning. Sometimes people talk about 462 00:23:45,359 --> 00:23:48,160 Speaker 1: makeup Oscars, where people win Oscars for roles that weren't 463 00:23:48,200 --> 00:23:51,119 Speaker 1: as challenging as other roles. But it feels like a 464 00:23:51,200 --> 00:23:53,840 Speaker 1: makeup oscar because we liked Will Smith for so long 465 00:23:54,920 --> 00:23:57,040 Speaker 1: and he's been nominated two other times. There were a 466 00:23:57,040 --> 00:23:59,439 Speaker 1: couple other times he should have been nominated that he wasn't, like, 467 00:23:59,520 --> 00:24:03,239 Speaker 1: even going out to six streies of separation, and so 468 00:24:03,280 --> 00:24:06,720 Speaker 1: I think there's a sense of like, it's just his time, 469 00:24:06,760 --> 00:24:08,200 Speaker 1: and we love him and we want to give it 470 00:24:08,200 --> 00:24:10,640 Speaker 1: to him. I mean, he's been quote unquote running for 471 00:24:10,680 --> 00:24:14,080 Speaker 1: six months, he released his long awaited autobiography, He's doing 472 00:24:14,160 --> 00:24:17,320 Speaker 1: all this massive publicity. But I thought he was really 473 00:24:17,320 --> 00:24:19,600 Speaker 1: good and I yeah, it's on your on your Shelf, 474 00:24:19,920 --> 00:24:22,480 Speaker 1: and I am. I watched that movie and I feel 475 00:24:22,480 --> 00:24:24,879 Speaker 1: like I was not watching Will Smith and Bennet Comberbadge 476 00:24:25,040 --> 00:24:27,680 Speaker 1: is a brilliant actor. For the people who have never 477 00:24:27,680 --> 00:24:32,200 Speaker 1: seen his Sherlock Holmes BBC show, it's incredible. But he's 478 00:24:32,240 --> 00:24:34,160 Speaker 1: just gonna be around. He's gonna get not in five 479 00:24:34,200 --> 00:24:37,479 Speaker 1: more times. So this to me is the lock of 480 00:24:37,520 --> 00:24:40,800 Speaker 1: the night. Like when I watched King Richard ten Minton 481 00:24:40,880 --> 00:24:42,879 Speaker 1: I was like, Yeah, he's winning the oscar like this 482 00:24:42,920 --> 00:24:45,399 Speaker 1: is this is when he's when he's like fighting with 483 00:24:45,440 --> 00:24:49,359 Speaker 1: the gangs who are like stalking his daughters, He's like, Okay, 484 00:24:49,359 --> 00:24:52,080 Speaker 1: he's winning the oscar like he's amazing. So that that 485 00:24:52,200 --> 00:24:54,120 Speaker 1: is the lock. I don't know how much you can 486 00:24:54,119 --> 00:24:56,159 Speaker 1: win on that. Why does that make you when you 487 00:24:56,240 --> 00:24:59,720 Speaker 1: see that? Why does that make you feel like? Get 488 00:25:00,000 --> 00:25:03,440 Speaker 1: I think of that, and it feels like a very 489 00:25:03,520 --> 00:25:09,760 Speaker 1: consistent trope in movies about sports, which which part in 490 00:25:09,800 --> 00:25:14,760 Speaker 1: particular it's it's the father being protective in a difficult 491 00:25:14,800 --> 00:25:20,520 Speaker 1: neighborhood of his children against gangs like that. That's not 492 00:25:21,200 --> 00:25:23,800 Speaker 1: sort of unique in cinema to me, Why does something 493 00:25:23,840 --> 00:25:26,520 Speaker 1: like that when it's done in this movie speak to 494 00:25:26,560 --> 00:25:29,879 Speaker 1: you as he's getting For me, I thought it was 495 00:25:29,960 --> 00:25:32,920 Speaker 1: just the pure acting of like him, like going at 496 00:25:33,000 --> 00:25:35,639 Speaker 1: night like face the gang again and then getting beaten up. 497 00:25:35,680 --> 00:25:37,480 Speaker 1: I just felt it was so raw. But but to 498 00:25:37,640 --> 00:25:40,639 Speaker 1: further answer your question, I think where the movie was 499 00:25:40,680 --> 00:25:44,280 Speaker 1: so interesting and I'll admit I mean, I'm I only knew. 500 00:25:44,880 --> 00:25:47,360 Speaker 1: I think I had a biased opinion of Richard Williams 501 00:25:47,440 --> 00:25:49,320 Speaker 1: based on the news of the nineties that he was 502 00:25:49,400 --> 00:25:52,960 Speaker 1: this cranky dad who was like overbearing. But you you 503 00:25:53,000 --> 00:25:57,119 Speaker 1: see that movie, which granted the Williams Sisters produced, and 504 00:25:57,200 --> 00:25:59,960 Speaker 1: it seems like, no, he was trying to protect these kids, 505 00:26:00,040 --> 00:26:03,119 Speaker 1: give them a real childhood, and to also you know, 506 00:26:03,320 --> 00:26:06,720 Speaker 1: managed the expectations of their lives. But ultimately, thought what 507 00:26:06,840 --> 00:26:09,480 Speaker 1: made the movie interesting going forward, you know, past those 508 00:26:09,520 --> 00:26:13,159 Speaker 1: early scenes, um, was how he was managing their lives 509 00:26:13,160 --> 00:26:15,200 Speaker 1: and wanting them to be kids and taking them out 510 00:26:15,359 --> 00:26:19,359 Speaker 1: of the junior tournaments and all that stuff. So I 511 00:26:19,400 --> 00:26:21,600 Speaker 1: don't know, it's it's a very good question. I get 512 00:26:21,600 --> 00:26:23,879 Speaker 1: your point. Whether it's The blind Side or other movies 513 00:26:23,920 --> 00:26:27,040 Speaker 1: like that, it's definitely a trope. But I think it happened. 514 00:26:27,320 --> 00:26:29,159 Speaker 1: I mean that that's the thing, you know, from what 515 00:26:29,200 --> 00:26:33,040 Speaker 1: I have read about the Williams sisters, Uh, that was 516 00:26:33,080 --> 00:26:35,919 Speaker 1: a real thing, you know, um, And I don't know, 517 00:26:36,000 --> 00:26:39,200 Speaker 1: I just thought will Smith he was he was complicated 518 00:26:39,240 --> 00:26:42,600 Speaker 1: in that movie but powerful, and you got kind of 519 00:26:42,600 --> 00:26:45,360 Speaker 1: how much he loved these kids because he was so 520 00:26:45,480 --> 00:26:47,920 Speaker 1: fueled by trying to give them a better chance than 521 00:26:48,000 --> 00:26:51,040 Speaker 1: what he had had. Obviously, So anyways, I think that 522 00:26:51,040 --> 00:26:53,240 Speaker 1: that's the lock of the night. He's gonna Win. I 523 00:26:53,320 --> 00:26:55,240 Speaker 1: like this next one is a little bit better because 524 00:26:55,240 --> 00:26:57,920 Speaker 1: it's so flip floppy. I've been checking for the last 525 00:26:57,960 --> 00:27:00,760 Speaker 1: couple of months, and for best Stress, it's been moving 526 00:27:00,800 --> 00:27:04,359 Speaker 1: around a lot, so just checking out. And FanDuel Jessica 527 00:27:04,480 --> 00:27:07,720 Speaker 1: Chastain The Eyes of Tammy How do you pronounce that 528 00:27:07,800 --> 00:27:12,440 Speaker 1: last name? Tammy Fay? The Eyes of Tammy Faye minus 529 00:27:12,560 --> 00:27:14,960 Speaker 1: one forty, which is new to me because I literally 530 00:27:15,040 --> 00:27:18,359 Speaker 1: checked not even a week ago. And Nicole Kidman for 531 00:27:18,600 --> 00:27:20,840 Speaker 1: being the Ricardo's was favorite at the time. She's now 532 00:27:20,880 --> 00:27:26,000 Speaker 1: plus two forty. Christian Stewart for Spencer plus five hundred. 533 00:27:26,280 --> 00:27:30,680 Speaker 1: And you know, I don't hate Penelope Cruise. She's always 534 00:27:30,680 --> 00:27:34,720 Speaker 1: at the bottom for Parallel Mothers plus six, which I 535 00:27:34,720 --> 00:27:37,479 Speaker 1: thought she was really good at. I honestly, of all 536 00:27:37,560 --> 00:27:40,120 Speaker 1: the movies I watched, of all these actresses, I've only 537 00:27:40,119 --> 00:27:42,520 Speaker 1: seen three of these. To me on this list, he 538 00:27:42,640 --> 00:27:44,480 Speaker 1: was my favorite ones. That's surprisingly seeing her at the 539 00:27:44,480 --> 00:27:47,040 Speaker 1: bottom there plus six, well what I think is happening 540 00:27:47,040 --> 00:27:50,200 Speaker 1: in this category. And Jessica jess Stein is a is 541 00:27:50,200 --> 00:27:52,439 Speaker 1: a kind of a colleague of mine. Um. You know, 542 00:27:52,440 --> 00:27:57,200 Speaker 1: I gotta give you all my all my comments of interest. Um, yeah, 543 00:27:57,240 --> 00:28:01,200 Speaker 1: five women. Penelope Creuse one Best Learnning Actress for Vicky 544 00:28:01,240 --> 00:28:03,840 Speaker 1: Cassina Barcelona back. I think in two thousands, in two 545 00:28:03,840 --> 00:28:08,399 Speaker 1: tho UM, Olivia Coleman one Best Actress in eighteen for 546 00:28:08,440 --> 00:28:10,920 Speaker 1: the Favorite UM. And then you've got a cole Kidman 547 00:28:10,920 --> 00:28:13,879 Speaker 1: who won Best Actress in two thousand two for The 548 00:28:13,960 --> 00:28:17,280 Speaker 1: Hours UM. And then you have Christmas Stewart, you have 549 00:28:17,320 --> 00:28:19,399 Speaker 1: Jessica Chesstains. You have three women who have already won 550 00:28:19,400 --> 00:28:23,600 Speaker 1: the Oscar. And Jessica chess Stain has been nominated twice before. 551 00:28:23,640 --> 00:28:28,159 Speaker 1: She's a brilliant actress who the community really really respects. 552 00:28:28,600 --> 00:28:31,960 Speaker 1: She's excellent in Tammy Faye Um christ and Stewart was 553 00:28:32,000 --> 00:28:35,879 Speaker 1: great in Um Spencer, but that's a movie. I feel 554 00:28:35,920 --> 00:28:39,480 Speaker 1: like people were very divided on and part of me 555 00:28:39,520 --> 00:28:42,200 Speaker 1: thinks people just look at this category and think, well, 556 00:28:42,240 --> 00:28:45,120 Speaker 1: three of the women already have an Oscar. Christmas Stewart's 557 00:28:45,160 --> 00:28:47,640 Speaker 1: pretty young, she's gonna be back. Chess Stain was nominated 558 00:28:47,680 --> 00:28:50,400 Speaker 1: twice before for the Help of Zero Dark thirty. It's 559 00:28:50,400 --> 00:28:52,920 Speaker 1: just kind of her time and so but this one 560 00:28:52,960 --> 00:28:54,760 Speaker 1: is is it? This one could be a surprise. I 561 00:28:54,840 --> 00:28:58,440 Speaker 1: think chess Stain will win she's been surging as of late, 562 00:28:59,000 --> 00:29:02,800 Speaker 1: but you can't count out. Like Olivia Coleman is really 563 00:29:02,840 --> 00:29:05,800 Speaker 1: good in The Lost Daughter, and Olivia Coleman is one 564 00:29:05,840 --> 00:29:08,760 Speaker 1: of those British actors and actresses now where it just 565 00:29:08,800 --> 00:29:11,680 Speaker 1: seems like we're gonna give them five Oscars because they're 566 00:29:11,720 --> 00:29:14,800 Speaker 1: just genius and everything they do. And she is amazing 567 00:29:14,840 --> 00:29:17,880 Speaker 1: in that film. But I would put your money on Chestaing. 568 00:29:17,920 --> 00:29:24,240 Speaker 1: I think she's gonna win. Can we uh take? Can 569 00:29:24,280 --> 00:29:29,120 Speaker 1: we not down the brilliance of Jessica Chastain and Penelic 570 00:29:29,160 --> 00:29:33,120 Speaker 1: p CRUs because they were of the three five five, 571 00:29:33,200 --> 00:29:36,320 Speaker 1: which I tried to watch and it was so bad 572 00:29:36,760 --> 00:29:38,600 Speaker 1: I had to turn it off on animals. Never turn 573 00:29:38,640 --> 00:29:41,480 Speaker 1: off movies. You're gonna get me, get me in trouble. 574 00:29:41,920 --> 00:29:45,120 Speaker 1: You know what, it's everybody they make. People make a 575 00:29:45,160 --> 00:29:48,080 Speaker 1: lot of movies and not all movies work, and making 576 00:29:48,160 --> 00:29:51,200 Speaker 1: movies very hard. That's the real alchemy. I represent a 577 00:29:51,200 --> 00:29:53,520 Speaker 1: lot of people people. Here's the thing about movies. You 578 00:29:53,560 --> 00:29:56,960 Speaker 1: have to remember about anything TV, there's always somebody on 579 00:29:56,960 --> 00:29:59,600 Speaker 1: the other side doing their absolute best and sometimes it 580 00:29:59,640 --> 00:30:02,720 Speaker 1: doesn't to connect, you know, no different than than athletes. 581 00:30:02,720 --> 00:30:05,200 Speaker 1: They're trying their hardest and they don't they don't know 582 00:30:05,320 --> 00:30:08,160 Speaker 1: He's uh. I don't disagree with you. I did. I 583 00:30:08,200 --> 00:30:11,640 Speaker 1: watched that movie. I love Jessica Chastain, love her, love 584 00:30:11,720 --> 00:30:14,920 Speaker 1: Penelope CRUs think she's amazing. Like I watched that movie. 585 00:30:14,960 --> 00:30:17,200 Speaker 1: I turned it on. I was like, everybody in my 586 00:30:17,240 --> 00:30:20,160 Speaker 1: house was out. I'm like, I've seen the previews for this, 587 00:30:20,240 --> 00:30:22,280 Speaker 1: I've been wanting to see it. I turned it on. 588 00:30:22,760 --> 00:30:27,160 Speaker 1: I'm like, oh God, and they were acting their hearts out. 589 00:30:27,200 --> 00:30:29,280 Speaker 1: They were trying so hard and they were putting everything 590 00:30:29,320 --> 00:30:33,440 Speaker 1: behind it. It just you know, it wasn't translating Best 591 00:30:34,000 --> 00:30:37,320 Speaker 1: Supporting Actor. We talked about Power of the Dog. We 592 00:30:37,400 --> 00:30:41,200 Speaker 1: talked about Kirsten Dunn's son in that movie and how 593 00:30:41,240 --> 00:30:45,320 Speaker 1: better to Cumberbatch sort of terrorizes him. Cody Smith McPhee 594 00:30:45,440 --> 00:30:50,840 Speaker 1: plus plus two twenty to win the Oscar Troy cot 595 00:30:50,920 --> 00:30:57,160 Speaker 1: Sor for Coda is at minus Kern Hines. I looked 596 00:30:57,160 --> 00:30:58,840 Speaker 1: it up. I want to make sure I was pronouncing 597 00:30:58,840 --> 00:31:03,000 Speaker 1: it correctly, because as it's Gaelic. Curon Hines Belfast plus 598 00:31:03,080 --> 00:31:06,960 Speaker 1: eighteen hundred. Jesse Plemons one of my favorites as a 599 00:31:07,080 --> 00:31:12,480 Speaker 1: Friday Night Lights advocate devotee the power of the dog, 600 00:31:12,600 --> 00:31:15,160 Speaker 1: Kirsten Dunn's husband in real life and in the movie, 601 00:31:15,200 --> 00:31:19,320 Speaker 1: plus J K. Simmons being the Ricardo's he was probably 602 00:31:19,320 --> 00:31:22,080 Speaker 1: the best part of the movie for me. Plus there 603 00:31:22,920 --> 00:31:24,600 Speaker 1: this one is that this is another kind of lock 604 00:31:24,680 --> 00:31:26,520 Speaker 1: of the Night. I mean again, if you do go 605 00:31:26,680 --> 00:31:31,600 Speaker 1: off the trend, Troy Cotser has won every major award. Look, well, 606 00:31:31,640 --> 00:31:34,600 Speaker 1: you have to decide about Sunday. Since CODA only has 607 00:31:34,600 --> 00:31:37,800 Speaker 1: three nominations. You're either all in on CODA or you're not. 608 00:31:38,000 --> 00:31:40,760 Speaker 1: And it's nominated for Supporting Actor, Adatmosphere and Playing Picture. 609 00:31:40,840 --> 00:31:43,360 Speaker 1: And so you have to just think, like, do I 610 00:31:43,440 --> 00:31:45,720 Speaker 1: believe that there's a code of surge. If there's a 611 00:31:45,760 --> 00:31:48,959 Speaker 1: code of surge, it's gonna sweep those three oscars. And 612 00:31:48,960 --> 00:31:50,880 Speaker 1: that's and and by the way, I want to be clear, 613 00:31:50,920 --> 00:31:53,160 Speaker 1: there are lots of movies that have one Best Picture 614 00:31:53,680 --> 00:31:56,560 Speaker 1: that have only one one or two oscars. Argo famously 615 00:31:56,640 --> 00:32:00,080 Speaker 1: in one Best Picture in Best Editing. That's it. So 616 00:32:00,120 --> 00:32:02,200 Speaker 1: there's movies to win Best Picture that only win an 617 00:32:02,200 --> 00:32:04,320 Speaker 1: Oscar too. There's just not a lot that only get 618 00:32:04,920 --> 00:32:09,240 Speaker 1: three nominations. Um, I think he'll win. He's really really 619 00:32:09,240 --> 00:32:12,040 Speaker 1: good in the movie. Um. He's kind of the discovery 620 00:32:12,040 --> 00:32:14,800 Speaker 1: of this Oscar season. I mean apparently, you know, he's 621 00:32:14,800 --> 00:32:17,640 Speaker 1: been acting for years and he was homeless, and you 622 00:32:17,680 --> 00:32:19,840 Speaker 1: know he's had a hard time making a living. There's 623 00:32:19,840 --> 00:32:22,640 Speaker 1: only so many parts for deaf actors, so I think 624 00:32:22,680 --> 00:32:25,280 Speaker 1: he'll win the You know, the early season favorite was 625 00:32:25,320 --> 00:32:27,800 Speaker 1: Cody Smith McPhee, but I don't think it's happening. And 626 00:32:27,840 --> 00:32:29,720 Speaker 1: now you could argue he's kind of canceled out by 627 00:32:29,800 --> 00:32:33,120 Speaker 1: Jesse Plemmons. J J. Simmons already one supporting actor in 628 00:32:33,520 --> 00:32:37,640 Speaker 1: UM for Whiplash, and I don't think he's gonna win. 629 00:32:38,040 --> 00:32:40,560 Speaker 1: And then you've got Karen Hines, who I thought was 630 00:32:40,640 --> 00:32:43,800 Speaker 1: incredible in Belfast. That to me is sort of like, 631 00:32:43,920 --> 00:32:46,280 Speaker 1: we've loved this guy for twenty five years and he's 632 00:32:46,280 --> 00:32:48,239 Speaker 1: really good in this movie. Let's nominate him. But he's 633 00:32:48,280 --> 00:32:50,840 Speaker 1: not gonna win. Apparently has COVID right now, so I 634 00:32:50,880 --> 00:32:55,840 Speaker 1: hope he can go on Sunday Best Original Screenplay Belfast 635 00:32:55,920 --> 00:32:59,480 Speaker 1: at plus one fifty don't look up, this was so 636 00:32:59,520 --> 00:33:02,800 Speaker 1: bad plus two seventy the worst person in the World 637 00:33:03,120 --> 00:33:07,840 Speaker 1: plus a thousand, King Richard plus The favorite is Liquorice 638 00:33:07,880 --> 00:33:12,760 Speaker 1: Pizza Paul Thomas Anderson minus one Don't say Don't Look Up. 639 00:33:12,800 --> 00:33:16,600 Speaker 1: As a long shot. That movie was freaking terrible. This 640 00:33:17,080 --> 00:33:19,760 Speaker 1: is a really, really weird category. I will go ahead 641 00:33:19,760 --> 00:33:22,840 Speaker 1: and tell you this is I don't know I'm gonna 642 00:33:22,840 --> 00:33:25,440 Speaker 1: give you a pick, but like we'll break it down quickly, 643 00:33:25,720 --> 00:33:27,160 Speaker 1: and you know, I think Don't Look Up will win. 644 00:33:27,680 --> 00:33:31,200 Speaker 1: McKay won an Oscar for the Big Short. He's been 645 00:33:31,200 --> 00:33:33,040 Speaker 1: nominated a ton. Now, I don't think that's gonna win, 646 00:33:33,080 --> 00:33:35,000 Speaker 1: So take that off the board. I don't think King 647 00:33:35,080 --> 00:33:38,640 Speaker 1: Richard's gonna win. Take that off the board. That leaves Belfast, 648 00:33:39,080 --> 00:33:42,120 Speaker 1: Licorice Pizza and The Worst Person in the World. The 649 00:33:42,200 --> 00:33:44,640 Speaker 1: Worst Person in the World is a really really good 650 00:33:44,680 --> 00:33:47,600 Speaker 1: movie that came on very very late in the Oscar season. 651 00:33:47,640 --> 00:33:51,000 Speaker 1: It's a foreign film. It's also nominated for Best International Film. 652 00:33:51,000 --> 00:33:53,680 Speaker 1: This has a real shot of winning. I don't I'm 653 00:33:53,680 --> 00:33:56,440 Speaker 1: not convinced yet that it will because I don't think 654 00:33:56,480 --> 00:33:59,760 Speaker 1: it's quite had the time to seep in. But but 655 00:34:00,000 --> 00:34:03,440 Speaker 1: as a real shot, Belfast could win simply because Kenneth 656 00:34:03,480 --> 00:34:05,920 Speaker 1: Brown has been nominated like for ten Oscars now all 657 00:34:05,920 --> 00:34:08,600 Speaker 1: the way back to Henry the Fifth and nine for 658 00:34:08,640 --> 00:34:10,839 Speaker 1: Best Director and Best Actor, which is an amazing film. 659 00:34:10,880 --> 00:34:12,960 Speaker 1: He made it. He was like twenty three and this 660 00:34:13,000 --> 00:34:15,480 Speaker 1: could kind of be his makeup oscar Um and it's 661 00:34:15,480 --> 00:34:17,640 Speaker 1: about his childhood and he did a really good job. 662 00:34:17,760 --> 00:34:19,880 Speaker 1: And then you have Paul Thomas Anderson. This is another 663 00:34:19,920 --> 00:34:22,359 Speaker 1: one where it felt like two months ago, Okay, it's 664 00:34:22,400 --> 00:34:24,319 Speaker 1: time to annoint p T a once and for all. 665 00:34:24,320 --> 00:34:28,360 Speaker 1: And I worshiped Paul Thomas Anderson worshiped, but like Liquors 666 00:34:28,400 --> 00:34:31,640 Speaker 1: pizzas probably his seventh best movie he's made, and I 667 00:34:31,719 --> 00:34:34,360 Speaker 1: loved it. But I the more I think about it, 668 00:34:34,400 --> 00:34:35,680 Speaker 1: I just don't know if that's going to be what 669 00:34:35,800 --> 00:34:37,719 Speaker 1: we look back and say, that's the movie Paul Thomas 670 00:34:37,760 --> 00:34:40,759 Speaker 1: Anderson won an oscar for. So I'm giving you an 671 00:34:40,760 --> 00:34:43,280 Speaker 1: non answer answer. It's a three way heat between Belfast, 672 00:34:43,360 --> 00:34:45,520 Speaker 1: Lagors Pizza, and the worst person in the world. If 673 00:34:45,560 --> 00:34:49,480 Speaker 1: I was betting now, I would I would still probably 674 00:34:49,520 --> 00:34:52,120 Speaker 1: go with Paul Thomas Anderson for Sunday. Bell Fast is 675 00:34:52,160 --> 00:34:54,440 Speaker 1: one of those movies where I was talking to our 676 00:34:54,520 --> 00:35:01,040 Speaker 1: mutual friend and Hollywood stalwart Isabel Gomez yesterday. Yeah of course, yeah, genius. Yeah, 677 00:35:01,200 --> 00:35:04,200 Speaker 1: we were talking about Belfast and because why I talk 678 00:35:04,239 --> 00:35:06,840 Speaker 1: about work. I was like, Belfast is the movie that 679 00:35:06,920 --> 00:35:08,680 Speaker 1: I've tried to watch my wife, and I've tried to 680 00:35:08,719 --> 00:35:12,239 Speaker 1: watch a thousand times, but it's just so seemingly only 681 00:35:13,000 --> 00:35:15,040 Speaker 1: ninety minutes. Chad. I mean, come on, you know, but 682 00:35:15,120 --> 00:35:17,600 Speaker 1: every single time, it's like we settle on a movie 683 00:35:17,719 --> 00:35:21,840 Speaker 1: like Marry Me instead because it's just lighter and happier, 684 00:35:21,920 --> 00:35:24,680 Speaker 1: and we're just not in the mood. Well, the funny 685 00:35:24,719 --> 00:35:27,560 Speaker 1: thing about Belfast, I can't take credit for this joke, 686 00:35:27,680 --> 00:35:30,440 Speaker 1: but a lot of I've talked to another podcaster out 687 00:35:30,480 --> 00:35:34,480 Speaker 1: there who she very funnily said Belfast is just like 688 00:35:34,600 --> 00:35:37,479 Speaker 1: Kenneth Brownna being like, guess what my parents were smoking hot, 689 00:35:38,000 --> 00:35:40,840 Speaker 1: like like the gasting in that movie, or just like, 690 00:35:41,160 --> 00:35:44,040 Speaker 1: look at my gorgeous father and my gorgeous mother and 691 00:35:44,080 --> 00:35:46,279 Speaker 1: look at them dance and sing to each other, like 692 00:35:46,960 --> 00:35:49,000 Speaker 1: you must have had a very beautiful family, Keneth Brauna, 693 00:35:49,560 --> 00:35:53,160 Speaker 1: My parents did not look like that, alright. Best adapted screenplay, 694 00:35:53,480 --> 00:35:57,799 Speaker 1: Power the Dog plus one thirty Coda is the leader 695 00:35:57,840 --> 00:36:01,000 Speaker 1: in the clubhouse at minus one forty lost Daughter plus 696 00:36:01,080 --> 00:36:05,439 Speaker 1: six hundred u Dune plus and then Drive My Car 697 00:36:06,239 --> 00:36:08,759 Speaker 1: is sneaking in the middle of there. Plus this is 698 00:36:08,840 --> 00:36:12,160 Speaker 1: another codea versus Power of the Dog. And this is 699 00:36:12,239 --> 00:36:14,920 Speaker 1: a category where when you know, if Coda wins this one, 700 00:36:15,080 --> 00:36:16,839 Speaker 1: it's going all the way. If Power of the Dog 701 00:36:16,920 --> 00:36:18,960 Speaker 1: wins this one, Power Are the Dog is probably going 702 00:36:19,000 --> 00:36:20,719 Speaker 1: all the way. And you have to look for these 703 00:36:20,760 --> 00:36:23,400 Speaker 1: kind of momentum turns. I think cod is gonna win. 704 00:36:23,840 --> 00:36:26,960 Speaker 1: Shawn Heater, who my colleague represents and another client of 705 00:36:27,000 --> 00:36:29,640 Speaker 1: mine's working with on a TV show, She's a wonderful filmmaker. 706 00:36:30,239 --> 00:36:31,719 Speaker 1: You know, this is the only way to give her 707 00:36:31,760 --> 00:36:34,200 Speaker 1: an oscar on Sunday. She was not nominated for Best Director, 708 00:36:34,280 --> 00:36:36,280 Speaker 1: and she's not part of the producing team for CODA, 709 00:36:36,760 --> 00:36:39,720 Speaker 1: So like, this is how to give her a statue. 710 00:36:40,280 --> 00:36:42,759 Speaker 1: And Jane Campion is going to get her statue with 711 00:36:42,840 --> 00:36:45,480 Speaker 1: Best Director. And I think that the Power of the 712 00:36:45,520 --> 00:36:48,680 Speaker 1: Dog book was complicated material to adapt. But like when 713 00:36:48,719 --> 00:36:50,960 Speaker 1: I watched that movie, I did not come away thinking 714 00:36:51,000 --> 00:36:53,520 Speaker 1: about the script. I came away thinking about the direction, 715 00:36:53,640 --> 00:36:56,880 Speaker 1: about the photography, and about the music, which is nominated 716 00:36:56,920 --> 00:36:59,920 Speaker 1: for cinematography and music, and it could win those categories. 717 00:37:00,440 --> 00:37:02,560 Speaker 1: So I would go with CODA. I think Coda is 718 00:37:02,560 --> 00:37:05,120 Speaker 1: gonna win. I hope. So it's very interesting because of 719 00:37:05,200 --> 00:37:08,840 Speaker 1: all the other categories Code is in, it's still plus 720 00:37:08,960 --> 00:37:11,359 Speaker 1: money to bet on Coda. This is the only one 721 00:37:11,400 --> 00:37:14,040 Speaker 1: where the momentum has kind of swung and made Coda 722 00:37:14,560 --> 00:37:17,520 Speaker 1: the prohibitive favorite. All right, yeah she she won the 723 00:37:17,640 --> 00:37:20,080 Speaker 1: w J Award on Sunday, which can be a pretty 724 00:37:20,239 --> 00:37:25,880 Speaker 1: decent outlier. So we'll see start your bracket with a 725 00:37:25,960 --> 00:37:29,440 Speaker 1: bang right now. FanDuel's Sports Book is giving you customers 726 00:37:29,560 --> 00:37:34,759 Speaker 1: a one hundred and fifty dollar instant bonus guaranteed. That's right, 727 00:37:35,000 --> 00:37:37,720 Speaker 1: You'll get a hundred and fifty dollars in bonus side credit, 728 00:37:37,880 --> 00:37:40,240 Speaker 1: and all you have to do is place your first 729 00:37:40,400 --> 00:37:43,200 Speaker 1: bet of five dollars or more. How you bet the 730 00:37:43,239 --> 00:37:45,719 Speaker 1: bracket is up to you. 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Let's do 755 00:39:13,840 --> 00:39:16,560 Speaker 1: a quick round of trivia. We promised people we would test, 756 00:39:16,600 --> 00:39:19,520 Speaker 1: although you did prove many times throughout the podcast. You're 757 00:39:19,760 --> 00:39:24,640 Speaker 1: completely obsessive, maybe unhealthy knowledge of the major categories in 758 00:39:24,840 --> 00:39:27,800 Speaker 1: history and the nominees and the winners for the Oscars, 759 00:39:27,920 --> 00:39:36,719 Speaker 1: but for the Academy Awards presented in two movies. Exactly 760 00:39:37,120 --> 00:39:42,080 Speaker 1: who were the Best Picture nominees and who won Best 761 00:39:42,080 --> 00:39:47,560 Speaker 1: s Ficture nominees for the Academy Awards. Movies were Raiders 762 00:39:47,600 --> 00:39:51,160 Speaker 1: Are The Lost Ark directed by Steven Spieldberg. On Golden 763 00:39:51,239 --> 00:39:56,960 Speaker 1: Pond directed by Mark Rydell Reds directed by Warren Beatty Um, 764 00:39:57,320 --> 00:39:59,880 Speaker 1: Chariots of Fire directed by Hugh Hudson who was not 765 00:40:00,080 --> 00:40:02,759 Speaker 1: nominated for Best Director, and Terence Fire was the Best 766 00:40:02,800 --> 00:40:05,560 Speaker 1: Picture and the last nominee. And I've seen anyone was 767 00:40:05,600 --> 00:40:09,279 Speaker 1: Atlantic City directed by Louis mall or Molly and I'm 768 00:40:09,360 --> 00:40:14,160 Speaker 1: mispronouncing his native French director Chariots of Fire. One that 769 00:40:15,120 --> 00:40:22,759 Speaker 1: is sick. There are correct on all the nominees and 770 00:40:22,840 --> 00:40:24,800 Speaker 1: the fact you pulled Atlantic City out and saved it 771 00:40:24,880 --> 00:40:28,000 Speaker 1: for the end. That's some real show bizz chops right there. 772 00:40:28,120 --> 00:40:31,440 Speaker 1: Sign up, Thank you, ask question number two. The Academy 773 00:40:31,560 --> 00:40:34,000 Speaker 1: is present in two thousand two. Who were the Best 774 00:40:34,040 --> 00:40:37,239 Speaker 1: Actor nominees and who won? Okay, that's so that's for 775 00:40:37,320 --> 00:40:40,640 Speaker 1: the movies of two thousand and one. The winner was 776 00:40:40,719 --> 00:40:44,359 Speaker 1: down to Washington for Training Day. Also nominated was Tom 777 00:40:44,440 --> 00:40:48,239 Speaker 1: Wilkinson for In the Bedroom, and then the other three 778 00:40:48,560 --> 00:40:52,440 Speaker 1: nominees were Russell Crowe for Beautiful Mind. Beautiful Mind one 779 00:40:52,480 --> 00:40:55,560 Speaker 1: best Picture that year. So that's three and the other two. 780 00:40:56,080 --> 00:40:58,800 Speaker 1: Have to think real quickly, I mean, I know, I 781 00:40:58,920 --> 00:41:02,400 Speaker 1: know these, um I have to like keep running it. 782 00:41:02,480 --> 00:41:05,440 Speaker 1: So you've got Tom Willginson for In the Bedroom, Watchington 783 00:41:05,440 --> 00:41:08,680 Speaker 1: wins for Training Dave, Oh, excuse me, Will Smith for Ali, 784 00:41:09,600 --> 00:41:11,960 Speaker 1: So that's four now, and then the fifth point of 785 00:41:12,040 --> 00:41:14,800 Speaker 1: Seawan Penn for My Aunt Sam. So those were the 786 00:41:14,840 --> 00:41:18,640 Speaker 1: five nominees. I don't think John Penn. John Penn did 787 00:41:18,719 --> 00:41:21,600 Speaker 1: not come. I think he left early, so they had 788 00:41:21,600 --> 00:41:23,759 Speaker 1: to like put his picture up at the thing. John 789 00:41:23,840 --> 00:41:25,920 Speaker 1: Penn won two years later in two thousand three from 790 00:41:25,920 --> 00:41:27,960 Speaker 1: Mystic River, and then he wanted two thousand and eight 791 00:41:28,040 --> 00:41:31,240 Speaker 1: from Milk. So he's won the Best Actor Oscar twice 792 00:41:31,480 --> 00:41:35,000 Speaker 1: and he was first nominated for Dead Men Walking, which 793 00:41:35,040 --> 00:41:37,120 Speaker 1: is an incredible movie, incredible performance, and he was no 794 00:41:37,239 --> 00:41:39,920 Speaker 1: mean again in ninten nine for Sweet and Lowdown, a 795 00:41:39,960 --> 00:41:44,800 Speaker 1: Woody Allen film. Dead Man Walking was an amazing, unbelievable 796 00:41:44,880 --> 00:41:47,359 Speaker 1: Susan Sarandon one Best Actress for that. Tim Robbins, who 797 00:41:47,400 --> 00:41:49,240 Speaker 1: was her husband the time, was nominated for Best Director. 798 00:41:49,600 --> 00:41:53,240 Speaker 1: That was a cool moment because Tim Robbins, for your listeners, 799 00:41:53,320 --> 00:41:55,120 Speaker 1: was just the picture from Bull Durham and of course 800 00:41:55,160 --> 00:41:58,200 Speaker 1: Andy Dufraine from Shoshank Redemption. And then he directed a movie. 801 00:41:58,480 --> 00:42:00,719 Speaker 1: It was his second movie he had directed, and that 802 00:42:00,840 --> 00:42:04,080 Speaker 1: movie is a masterpiece. I loved that movie. Final question, 803 00:42:04,360 --> 00:42:08,520 Speaker 1: what best picture winner from the nineteen nineties? So films 804 00:42:08,719 --> 00:42:14,640 Speaker 1: released nine nine has the lowest score on Rotten Tomatoes 805 00:42:15,480 --> 00:42:20,160 Speaker 1: today Tomato meter, Tomato meter, Okay, interesting, So let's just 806 00:42:20,280 --> 00:42:21,560 Speaker 1: we gotta go through the list, and I have to 807 00:42:21,600 --> 00:42:25,279 Speaker 1: think about this. Nineties Dancers of the Wolves salam Is 808 00:42:25,320 --> 00:42:27,759 Speaker 1: ninety two is Unforgiven any three sh There's list ninety 809 00:42:27,800 --> 00:42:30,319 Speaker 1: fourst Forest comp ny five is Brave Heart, ninety six 810 00:42:30,440 --> 00:42:33,800 Speaker 1: is the English Patient, ninety seven is Titanic ninety Shakespeare 811 00:42:33,800 --> 00:42:36,440 Speaker 1: and Love ninety nine is American Beauty. Okay, those are 812 00:42:36,440 --> 00:42:40,759 Speaker 1: the winners. Based on those winners, I would think I 813 00:42:40,800 --> 00:42:43,680 Speaker 1: would think that it is Shakespeare in Love or American Beauty. 814 00:42:43,840 --> 00:42:48,400 Speaker 1: And so my final answer is going to be I 815 00:42:48,520 --> 00:42:50,840 Speaker 1: think it would be Shakespeare in Love. That's my answer. 816 00:42:51,520 --> 00:42:57,560 Speaker 1: Not even close. Forrest Dump, for sure is that seventy 817 00:42:58,480 --> 00:43:01,600 Speaker 1: Braveheart is it seventy eight? But that also could be 818 00:43:01,680 --> 00:43:05,440 Speaker 1: people just you know, being Sickamore Gibson, English Patient eighty six, 819 00:43:05,520 --> 00:43:08,720 Speaker 1: Titanic American Beauty both tied at eighty seven. I'm sorry, 820 00:43:09,120 --> 00:43:12,799 Speaker 1: Dances with Wolves is at eighty three. Then Findler's list 821 00:43:12,840 --> 00:43:16,520 Speaker 1: is number one. Uh, Silence and the Lambs and Unforgiven 822 00:43:16,560 --> 00:43:18,680 Speaker 1: both tied at number two. The Forrest Gump thing makes 823 00:43:18,719 --> 00:43:21,600 Speaker 1: sense because I mean, I love Forrest Gump. I I 824 00:43:21,960 --> 00:43:24,680 Speaker 1: famously saw that movie twice the same day and open. 825 00:43:24,800 --> 00:43:26,800 Speaker 1: I saw it at noon and I saw it seven o'clock. 826 00:43:26,840 --> 00:43:30,000 Speaker 1: I was so transfixed by it. But I now remember 827 00:43:30,080 --> 00:43:31,880 Speaker 1: Forrest Gump. There was a lot of people in the 828 00:43:32,040 --> 00:43:34,560 Speaker 1: nineteen four who thought that movie was just like so 829 00:43:35,239 --> 00:43:39,320 Speaker 1: stupidly like hollow, you know, just like like that that 830 00:43:39,520 --> 00:43:41,879 Speaker 1: that was a bit of a divider when some people 831 00:43:41,960 --> 00:43:44,560 Speaker 1: just were transfixed by it, like myself who was fifteen, 832 00:43:44,640 --> 00:43:48,240 Speaker 1: and some people thought it was just silly, like just gibberish, 833 00:43:48,360 --> 00:43:50,000 Speaker 1: you know, and I'm just going through history and having 834 00:43:50,040 --> 00:43:52,440 Speaker 1: all these you know, and oh now Jenny has aids 835 00:43:52,520 --> 00:43:54,520 Speaker 1: and you know, all the stuff that it was kind 836 00:43:54,520 --> 00:43:56,719 Speaker 1: of coded for. But I love Forrest Gump. That that 837 00:43:56,840 --> 00:43:59,560 Speaker 1: year is one of the best Oscar years ever because 838 00:43:59,560 --> 00:44:03,400 Speaker 1: you've got uh Pull Fiction, Forrest Gump, Shoshank, Redemption and 839 00:44:03,480 --> 00:44:06,000 Speaker 1: then Forwardings in the Funeral and Quish or the five nominees. 840 00:44:06,120 --> 00:44:09,040 Speaker 1: I mean, three of those nominees are all time classic movies. 841 00:44:09,520 --> 00:44:11,480 Speaker 1: So I mean I was bum pull Fiction didn't win 842 00:44:11,520 --> 00:44:13,880 Speaker 1: Best Picture, but Garantino did win his first Oscar for 843 00:44:14,040 --> 00:44:16,600 Speaker 1: writing it with Roger Avery, so that was you know, 844 00:44:16,680 --> 00:44:18,600 Speaker 1: that was the spreading it around. But that that was 845 00:44:18,680 --> 00:44:21,799 Speaker 1: the year that Zamchis Robert Zemeckis who greaded Forrest Scump. 846 00:44:21,840 --> 00:44:23,239 Speaker 1: I mean, that was kind of his year, and I 847 00:44:23,280 --> 00:44:26,319 Speaker 1: think Forrest Gump won seven Oscars. I stand by Forrest Gump. 848 00:44:26,360 --> 00:44:29,560 Speaker 1: I love Forrest Gump, Love Forrest Gump, great movie true story. 849 00:44:29,960 --> 00:44:33,600 Speaker 1: Quiz Show was shot on my block on the Upper 850 00:44:33,640 --> 00:44:36,319 Speaker 1: West Side of Manhattan. The summer I moved to New 851 00:44:36,400 --> 00:44:41,960 Speaker 1: York and my wife later became Rob Morrow's architect. Oh wow, 852 00:44:42,800 --> 00:44:46,000 Speaker 1: that's very ironic. I mean Quiz Show for all your listeners, 853 00:44:46,040 --> 00:44:48,759 Speaker 1: because that's not a movie that has survived, you know, 854 00:44:48,880 --> 00:44:51,200 Speaker 1: in the last twenty five years that people well, I mean, 855 00:44:51,239 --> 00:44:53,960 Speaker 1: I don't think it's a heavily watched film. It is 856 00:44:54,000 --> 00:44:57,680 Speaker 1: an absolute masterpiece. UM. I was turning a class at 857 00:44:57,719 --> 00:44:59,439 Speaker 1: USC when I was in film school where that movie 858 00:44:59,520 --> 00:45:03,800 Speaker 1: was broken down and like the production design, the costume design. 859 00:45:03,840 --> 00:45:06,560 Speaker 1: Because for your listeners at home, the movie has three 860 00:45:06,680 --> 00:45:10,120 Speaker 1: lead actors and John Taturo plays this like rumpled you know, 861 00:45:10,480 --> 00:45:13,799 Speaker 1: jewish guy from Brooklyn who's on the quiz show. Raye 862 00:45:13,880 --> 00:45:17,239 Speaker 1: Finds is the like waspy guy you know who's from 863 00:45:17,239 --> 00:45:20,759 Speaker 1: this upper crust family Charles and Burn and then Robin 864 00:45:20,800 --> 00:45:22,279 Speaker 1: Morrow is kind of in the middle and he's like 865 00:45:22,320 --> 00:45:25,440 Speaker 1: the investigator of the quiz show scandals. And if you 866 00:45:25,480 --> 00:45:27,719 Speaker 1: go back and watch that movie, the way they dress 867 00:45:27,840 --> 00:45:30,359 Speaker 1: each character, the way their apartments look, the way they 868 00:45:30,400 --> 00:45:33,840 Speaker 1: shoot each character. Robert Redford directed that. He was nominated 869 00:45:33,840 --> 00:45:37,600 Speaker 1: for Best Director. It's an amazing, amazing movie, um, and 870 00:45:37,640 --> 00:45:40,000 Speaker 1: a really interesting look at a thing that happened these 871 00:45:40,080 --> 00:45:43,879 Speaker 1: quiz show scandals in the so it's definitely worth becking out. 872 00:45:44,600 --> 00:45:48,560 Speaker 1: All right, this was a really a lesson and I 873 00:45:48,680 --> 00:45:52,640 Speaker 1: feel completely and totally prepared to bet on all these 874 00:45:52,760 --> 00:45:57,160 Speaker 1: categories for the Oscars and for anyone who needs even 875 00:45:57,320 --> 00:46:01,919 Speaker 1: more Oscars talk that goes even deep into more categories. 876 00:46:02,320 --> 00:46:06,040 Speaker 1: You would not believe what our Action Network experts can 877 00:46:06,120 --> 00:46:09,319 Speaker 1: dig up. Check out the Action Network podcasts this week. 878 00:46:09,760 --> 00:46:14,000 Speaker 1: Michael Askar again really one of the forty most powerful 879 00:46:14,040 --> 00:46:17,200 Speaker 1: people incommodating according to the Hollywood Reporter, and definitely the 880 00:46:17,280 --> 00:46:23,239 Speaker 1: most powerful person from Hollywood on this podcast from Mosaic 881 00:46:23,640 --> 00:46:27,359 Speaker 1: the Management Company. You are an Oscar savant. You've given 882 00:46:27,440 --> 00:46:30,800 Speaker 1: us a real gift today. Thank you for joining. For 883 00:46:31,000 --> 00:46:35,920 Speaker 1: Simon Hunter, for producer Extraordinaire Matt Mitchell. I am Chad Milman. 884 00:46:35,960 --> 00:46:38,359 Speaker 1: This has been the Favorites. Download us from Spotify from 885 00:46:38,360 --> 00:46:42,040 Speaker 1: Apple Podcast rate review, subscribe, give us five stars, say 886 00:46:42,080 --> 00:46:45,279 Speaker 1: anything you want feedback as a gift. Until next time, 887 00:46:45,560 --> 00:46:45,960 Speaker 1: I love you.