1 00:00:00,240 --> 00:00:03,119 Speaker 1: So what exactly happened in the two thousand and twenty 2 00:00:03,160 --> 00:00:07,480 Speaker 1: two midterm elections, How did Republicans end up coming short, 3 00:00:07,840 --> 00:00:09,920 Speaker 1: is it as bad as the media is making it 4 00:00:09,920 --> 00:00:13,640 Speaker 1: out to be, and what lessons should we learn? Ye 5 00:00:29,480 --> 00:00:31,880 Speaker 1: I was originally hoping to do this recap of the 6 00:00:32,320 --> 00:00:35,000 Speaker 1: Bitts firms and have it be extremely positive to be 7 00:00:35,040 --> 00:00:38,000 Speaker 1: able to talk about how we won the House by 8 00:00:38,320 --> 00:00:40,760 Speaker 1: you know, a bunch of seeds, we picked up the Senate, 9 00:00:40,880 --> 00:00:45,360 Speaker 1: gubernatorial seats, the list goes on. Obviously, Republicans performance in 10 00:00:45,400 --> 00:00:48,479 Speaker 1: the mid terms was a little underwhelming. However, we we 11 00:00:48,520 --> 00:00:51,080 Speaker 1: also still don't have the full picture. We're still awaiting 12 00:00:51,120 --> 00:00:54,680 Speaker 1: results in the House. We're still awaiting results in the Senate, 13 00:00:54,720 --> 00:00:57,840 Speaker 1: so we don't know what the makeup of the House 14 00:00:57,920 --> 00:00:59,840 Speaker 1: and the Senate is actually going to be yet. So 15 00:00:59,880 --> 00:01:02,840 Speaker 1: I think it's unfair to fully write the story when 16 00:01:03,160 --> 00:01:06,679 Speaker 1: it hasn't hasn't concluded, right, I mean, you can't really 17 00:01:06,680 --> 00:01:09,520 Speaker 1: reflect on the midterm elections until we have the full results. 18 00:01:10,120 --> 00:01:12,160 Speaker 1: But we're going to try to go through where things 19 00:01:12,200 --> 00:01:15,319 Speaker 1: stand now and what you should know about it and 20 00:01:15,400 --> 00:01:19,000 Speaker 1: perhaps some of the reasons why Republicans didn't have the 21 00:01:19,040 --> 00:01:22,760 Speaker 1: red wave that so many people, like myself, we're expecting 22 00:01:22,800 --> 00:01:25,720 Speaker 1: before we do that. I just want to give something 23 00:01:25,760 --> 00:01:29,320 Speaker 1: that I've realized in working in politics for a long time, 24 00:01:29,360 --> 00:01:32,440 Speaker 1: because before I got into media, I was a campaign person. 25 00:01:32,560 --> 00:01:34,600 Speaker 1: I was a political person. I worked on Capitol Hill 26 00:01:35,040 --> 00:01:37,360 Speaker 1: for a few different members of Congress. I worked at 27 00:01:37,360 --> 00:01:42,240 Speaker 1: the NRCC in the historic election. I've worked on campaigns. 28 00:01:42,280 --> 00:01:44,319 Speaker 1: I was a communications director in one of the top 29 00:01:44,760 --> 00:01:49,080 Speaker 1: Senate campaigns in the country in Wisconsin during the election. 30 00:01:49,160 --> 00:01:51,960 Speaker 1: I've worked on primary races. I was a vice president 31 00:01:52,000 --> 00:01:54,080 Speaker 1: of a polling firm for a period of time. I've 32 00:01:54,080 --> 00:01:57,320 Speaker 1: worked as part of consulting teams on top Senate races 33 00:01:57,360 --> 00:02:00,160 Speaker 1: as well. So I've done a lot of this right, 34 00:02:00,160 --> 00:02:02,160 Speaker 1: and so what I'm giving my perspective when I'm trying 35 00:02:02,200 --> 00:02:04,080 Speaker 1: to dig in and get a fuller picture, it's not 36 00:02:04,160 --> 00:02:07,560 Speaker 1: just based off of, you know, just throwing stuff against 37 00:02:07,600 --> 00:02:10,000 Speaker 1: the wall and saying what sticks. It's basing it off 38 00:02:10,040 --> 00:02:11,520 Speaker 1: of a lot of what I've learned, a lot of 39 00:02:11,520 --> 00:02:14,600 Speaker 1: what I've seen. And I'm also talking to people who 40 00:02:14,639 --> 00:02:17,400 Speaker 1: work on campaign committees, who work on these races, who 41 00:02:17,400 --> 00:02:20,640 Speaker 1: are are pulling and looking at numbers in real Time, 42 00:02:20,760 --> 00:02:23,320 Speaker 1: so I sort of collectively put that all together and 43 00:02:23,400 --> 00:02:27,080 Speaker 1: trying to look at what the electorate's going to look like, 44 00:02:27,160 --> 00:02:29,600 Speaker 1: what an election is going to look like. But before 45 00:02:29,639 --> 00:02:32,240 Speaker 1: we feel too beaten down about the state of things, 46 00:02:32,280 --> 00:02:36,880 Speaker 1: I always go back to Time magazine. And I don't 47 00:02:36,880 --> 00:02:39,600 Speaker 1: know if you guys remember, but Time put a cover 48 00:02:39,919 --> 00:02:43,440 Speaker 1: of the you know, the g B elephant and said 49 00:02:43,560 --> 00:02:48,520 Speaker 1: endangered species. And this was May eighteen, two thousand nine. 50 00:02:48,680 --> 00:02:51,920 Speaker 1: And and and what did Republicans do that mid term cycle? 51 00:02:52,600 --> 00:02:54,520 Speaker 1: I know I was at the NBCC at the time. 52 00:02:55,080 --> 00:02:57,280 Speaker 1: We picked up sixty three seats in the House and 53 00:02:57,360 --> 00:03:00,840 Speaker 1: six in the Senate. So you know, elections can be 54 00:03:00,919 --> 00:03:03,240 Speaker 1: swing e They're all over the place. They changed from 55 00:03:03,240 --> 00:03:06,760 Speaker 1: election to elections. So what happened this election cycle does 56 00:03:06,800 --> 00:03:11,040 Speaker 1: not define what's going to happen in But that does 57 00:03:11,080 --> 00:03:13,240 Speaker 1: not mean we should not try to learn lessons from 58 00:03:13,280 --> 00:03:15,640 Speaker 1: it and and try to get an idea of what happened. 59 00:03:16,520 --> 00:03:19,120 Speaker 1: So for starters, what I want to start out with is, 60 00:03:19,480 --> 00:03:21,400 Speaker 1: it's infuriating that we don't have the results of the 61 00:03:21,400 --> 00:03:25,200 Speaker 1: election right, and mail and ballots are are really the 62 00:03:25,240 --> 00:03:28,160 Speaker 1: result of that. And what's wild is if you go 63 00:03:28,240 --> 00:03:31,680 Speaker 1: back to presidential elections of the past. The Associated Press 64 00:03:31,720 --> 00:03:34,400 Speaker 1: was able to call the two thousand twelve presidential race 65 00:03:34,440 --> 00:03:37,880 Speaker 1: for Barack Obama at eleven thirty eight pm Eastern on 66 00:03:37,960 --> 00:03:43,080 Speaker 1: Election Night. The AP called the election for Donald Trump 67 00:03:43,120 --> 00:03:46,440 Speaker 1: at twenty nine am Eastern time the next day after 68 00:03:46,480 --> 00:03:50,160 Speaker 1: the election. But in two thousand twenty two, with all 69 00:03:50,200 --> 00:03:52,360 Speaker 1: the mail and ballots, the AP didn't call the race 70 00:03:52,800 --> 00:03:55,840 Speaker 1: until eleven twenty six a m. Eastern on November seven, 71 00:03:56,200 --> 00:03:59,160 Speaker 1: four days after election day. And now as we are 72 00:03:59,200 --> 00:04:04,040 Speaker 1: awaiting finalized results in states like Arizona and Nevada for 73 00:04:04,080 --> 00:04:06,560 Speaker 1: the Senate races, they're saying we might not know the 74 00:04:06,640 --> 00:04:11,440 Speaker 1: final conclusions until next week. Now does that give you 75 00:04:11,640 --> 00:04:14,120 Speaker 1: a great deal of confidence and our elections? I mean, 76 00:04:14,160 --> 00:04:16,919 Speaker 1: particularly when you're looking at Arizona, where Katie Hobbs, the 77 00:04:16,920 --> 00:04:20,839 Speaker 1: Democrat Canada in the gubernatorial race, is the secretary of State. 78 00:04:21,240 --> 00:04:24,160 Speaker 1: And it also just raises questions because Democrats really try 79 00:04:24,200 --> 00:04:26,760 Speaker 1: to set the groundwork for this. Remember that Joe Biden's 80 00:04:26,800 --> 00:04:29,240 Speaker 1: speech that he gave in prime time before the midterm 81 00:04:29,279 --> 00:04:33,600 Speaker 1: election where he said this, listen, in many states, don't 82 00:04:33,640 --> 00:04:36,960 Speaker 1: start counting those ballots after the polls closing no member eight. 83 00:04:38,480 --> 00:04:40,279 Speaker 1: That means in some cases we want to know the 84 00:04:40,279 --> 00:04:43,760 Speaker 1: winner of the election for a few days until a 85 00:04:43,920 --> 00:04:47,640 Speaker 1: few days after the election, takes time to count all 86 00:04:47,720 --> 00:04:51,440 Speaker 1: legitimate ballots. So obviously laying the groundwork there on Twitter 87 00:04:51,520 --> 00:04:54,640 Speaker 1: also pushed this propaganda. It's welcome message before the election 88 00:04:54,680 --> 00:04:57,200 Speaker 1: said it takes time to count all of the votes. 89 00:04:57,240 --> 00:05:00,159 Speaker 1: We know that the media went in and reinforced this 90 00:05:00,279 --> 00:05:02,400 Speaker 1: idea as well. And look, I mean the use of 91 00:05:02,400 --> 00:05:06,160 Speaker 1: mail and ballots and absentee ballots has grown exponentially since 92 00:05:06,279 --> 00:05:10,279 Speaker 1: covid Right, Democrats really used covid U virus, which is 93 00:05:10,279 --> 00:05:13,359 Speaker 1: about as deadly as the flu, to completely change the 94 00:05:13,440 --> 00:05:16,359 Speaker 1: name of the game when it comes to elections, and 95 00:05:16,400 --> 00:05:18,960 Speaker 1: they smartly did that. Right, We were idiots for not 96 00:05:19,080 --> 00:05:21,640 Speaker 1: fighting it harder, for not pushing back, and and now 97 00:05:21,800 --> 00:05:23,880 Speaker 1: you know we're ruining that day. I mean, you look 98 00:05:23,920 --> 00:05:26,360 Speaker 1: at the use of mail and ballots and absolute ballots 99 00:05:26,600 --> 00:05:30,880 Speaker 1: has grown exponentially from in two thousand four, which was 100 00:05:30,880 --> 00:05:36,200 Speaker 1: a presidential election to presidential election. And then you'll get 101 00:05:36,320 --> 00:05:40,200 Speaker 1: states like Nevada where we're still looking to see what 102 00:05:40,279 --> 00:05:44,000 Speaker 1: the outcome of the Senate race there under Democrat control 103 00:05:44,000 --> 00:05:46,960 Speaker 1: in two thousand twenty one, they passed a B three one, 104 00:05:47,400 --> 00:05:51,599 Speaker 1: which requires county clerks to mail all active registered voters 105 00:05:51,960 --> 00:05:54,800 Speaker 1: a ballot at least fourteen days before an election, making 106 00:05:54,839 --> 00:05:57,880 Speaker 1: the state one of eight to offer universal mail and ballots. 107 00:05:58,279 --> 00:06:00,200 Speaker 1: And I know that everyone tries to tell us there's 108 00:06:00,240 --> 00:06:02,440 Speaker 1: no concerns with mail abouts. This is what the media 109 00:06:02,480 --> 00:06:04,320 Speaker 1: wants to say. But the reality is it just touches 110 00:06:04,320 --> 00:06:06,359 Speaker 1: more hands than if you just go in and you 111 00:06:06,400 --> 00:06:08,880 Speaker 1: make your vote. That's just the reality. Remember when former 112 00:06:09,160 --> 00:06:13,200 Speaker 1: Attorney General Bill Barr had this to say in September 113 00:06:14,600 --> 00:06:18,080 Speaker 1: on CNN Listen, which is the Bipartisan Commission chaired by 114 00:06:18,160 --> 00:06:21,799 Speaker 1: Jimmy Carter and James Baker, said back in two thousand 115 00:06:21,880 --> 00:06:26,880 Speaker 1: nine that mail in voting is fraud with the risk 116 00:06:27,000 --> 00:06:32,440 Speaker 1: of fraud and coercions. And until this improved it, let 117 00:06:32,440 --> 00:06:36,400 Speaker 1: me talk please uh And since this, since that time, 118 00:06:36,640 --> 00:06:42,400 Speaker 1: there's been in the newspapers, in networks, academic studies saying 119 00:06:42,600 --> 00:06:46,440 Speaker 1: it is open to fraud and coercion. The only time 120 00:06:46,480 --> 00:06:50,200 Speaker 1: the narrative changed is after this administration came in. But 121 00:06:50,279 --> 00:06:54,080 Speaker 1: elections that have been held with mail have found substantial 122 00:06:54,160 --> 00:06:57,760 Speaker 1: fraud and coercion. For example, we indicted someone in Texas 123 00:06:58,960 --> 00:07:03,320 Speaker 1: ballots collected, and I'm not concluding that the election was stolen. 124 00:07:03,360 --> 00:07:05,000 Speaker 1: I have no evidence of that. But what I do 125 00:07:05,080 --> 00:07:07,839 Speaker 1: think is it it undermines and it erodes confidence in 126 00:07:07,839 --> 00:07:10,480 Speaker 1: the election when it takes this long to get the results. 127 00:07:10,760 --> 00:07:15,160 Speaker 1: And also Democrats are so concerned about democracy, why would 128 00:07:15,160 --> 00:07:17,720 Speaker 1: they not want to boost confidence in elections? And we 129 00:07:17,760 --> 00:07:20,440 Speaker 1: know that it can be done to get the results 130 00:07:21,200 --> 00:07:23,960 Speaker 1: accurately and in a timely manner, because Florida has done it. 131 00:07:24,160 --> 00:07:26,640 Speaker 1: You know, Florida's the third most populous state. They were 132 00:07:26,680 --> 00:07:28,760 Speaker 1: able to give us results on election night my home 133 00:07:28,800 --> 00:07:30,960 Speaker 1: state of Florida where I live now. You know, Florida 134 00:07:31,040 --> 00:07:33,720 Speaker 1: is a population of twenty two million people and they 135 00:07:33,760 --> 00:07:36,520 Speaker 1: were able to get it done. So what excuse do 136 00:07:36,640 --> 00:07:40,440 Speaker 1: some of these other states have with much lesser populations 137 00:07:40,560 --> 00:07:43,240 Speaker 1: and not being able to produce the results of the election. 138 00:07:43,440 --> 00:07:46,080 Speaker 1: So this is something that needs to change. But we 139 00:07:46,160 --> 00:07:48,320 Speaker 1: also have to be honest with ourselves, and we can't 140 00:07:48,360 --> 00:07:50,680 Speaker 1: change it unless we win in some of these states 141 00:07:50,760 --> 00:07:53,440 Speaker 1: and then go in and change the election laws. And unfortunately, 142 00:07:53,440 --> 00:07:55,600 Speaker 1: to win in some of these states, we have to 143 00:07:55,600 --> 00:08:00,000 Speaker 1: play the game. And the problem right now is Democrat 144 00:08:00,040 --> 00:08:03,520 Speaker 1: has spent four weeks turning out the early vote with 145 00:08:03,560 --> 00:08:06,600 Speaker 1: mail and ballots, of encouraging early voting, and Republicans really 146 00:08:06,600 --> 00:08:09,240 Speaker 1: try to rely on one day on election day. You 147 00:08:09,280 --> 00:08:12,320 Speaker 1: can't win under that scenario. You've got to encourage or 148 00:08:12,360 --> 00:08:14,840 Speaker 1: like even in Florida, I remember Governor to Santass team 149 00:08:14,840 --> 00:08:16,720 Speaker 1: were pushing the early vote. I even went out and 150 00:08:16,760 --> 00:08:20,120 Speaker 1: early voted in Florida. Although Florida has tightened its election laws, 151 00:08:20,160 --> 00:08:22,080 Speaker 1: so it looks a lot different here than it does 152 00:08:22,080 --> 00:08:24,840 Speaker 1: in other states in terms of election to integrity. But 153 00:08:25,000 --> 00:08:27,320 Speaker 1: point being is that we have to play the game 154 00:08:27,400 --> 00:08:29,040 Speaker 1: that's in front of us, right. I know we want 155 00:08:29,080 --> 00:08:31,160 Speaker 1: to change the game. I believe in changing the game. 156 00:08:31,200 --> 00:08:34,079 Speaker 1: I just pointed out my concerns with mail and ballots. 157 00:08:34,080 --> 00:08:36,040 Speaker 1: But until that happens, you have to play the game. 158 00:08:36,080 --> 00:08:37,800 Speaker 1: And the sad thing is you had a heck of 159 00:08:37,800 --> 00:08:42,120 Speaker 1: a lot of Pennsylvanians who voted early before even watching 160 00:08:42,200 --> 00:08:45,640 Speaker 1: that debate when Fetterman completely fell apart on stage against 161 00:08:45,679 --> 00:08:49,600 Speaker 1: Dr Oz And that's not right, that's not fair. But 162 00:08:49,679 --> 00:08:53,080 Speaker 1: the reality is the reality, and so Republicans need to 163 00:08:53,080 --> 00:08:56,640 Speaker 1: play smarter in this new era of politics. Where the 164 00:08:56,720 --> 00:08:58,719 Speaker 1: name of the game has changed, and if we want 165 00:08:58,720 --> 00:09:00,840 Speaker 1: to change it, as I do, got to win to 166 00:09:00,920 --> 00:09:02,319 Speaker 1: do that, and then how are you going to win? 167 00:09:02,440 --> 00:09:04,120 Speaker 1: You gotta play the game that's in front of you, 168 00:09:04,200 --> 00:09:07,199 Speaker 1: and then you can change the dynamics for more integrity 169 00:09:07,440 --> 00:09:13,880 Speaker 1: once you win, quick break more inwo mid terms. The 170 00:09:13,920 --> 00:09:16,640 Speaker 1: second part of it is okay, A lot of us, 171 00:09:16,720 --> 00:09:19,880 Speaker 1: like myself included, thought that this would be a bigger 172 00:09:19,920 --> 00:09:22,800 Speaker 1: election for Republicans, thought it would be a wave. I 173 00:09:23,080 --> 00:09:25,560 Speaker 1: still stand by that the dynamics were set up for 174 00:09:25,640 --> 00:09:27,840 Speaker 1: a wave election. We just didn't get it done. I 175 00:09:27,920 --> 00:09:30,400 Speaker 1: was pointing out earlier the reasons why I thought it 176 00:09:30,440 --> 00:09:32,640 Speaker 1: would be a wave election, and those things still stand. 177 00:09:32,679 --> 00:09:35,440 Speaker 1: I mean, you look at the history of past elections 178 00:09:35,440 --> 00:09:38,160 Speaker 1: since World War Two, the party out of power has 179 00:09:38,240 --> 00:09:41,440 Speaker 1: picked up a net of twenty eight seats and forty 180 00:09:41,440 --> 00:09:44,360 Speaker 1: three seats when a president's approval rating was below fifty. 181 00:09:44,400 --> 00:09:47,640 Speaker 1: We have a president with an approval rating at this 182 00:09:47,679 --> 00:09:51,360 Speaker 1: is a midterm election. History would demonstrate that this should 183 00:09:51,360 --> 00:09:54,719 Speaker 1: have been big electoral gains in the House. Another thing 184 00:09:54,760 --> 00:09:57,640 Speaker 1: to look at regarding the House and the electorate. With 185 00:09:57,679 --> 00:10:00,320 Speaker 1: the Houses, we only needed to net five seats to 186 00:10:00,360 --> 00:10:02,640 Speaker 1: win the majority. There were less seats in play than 187 00:10:02,760 --> 00:10:05,880 Speaker 1: maybe some prior midterm election cycles, meaning the margins were 188 00:10:05,920 --> 00:10:08,480 Speaker 1: already tight in the House. There was less fertile ground, 189 00:10:08,600 --> 00:10:10,280 Speaker 1: so we were never going to have a sixty and 190 00:10:10,360 --> 00:10:12,400 Speaker 1: you know, a net sixty three night like we did 191 00:10:12,400 --> 00:10:15,920 Speaker 1: in the mid term elections. But we should have picked 192 00:10:16,000 --> 00:10:18,559 Speaker 1: up more seats than what we are potentially on track 193 00:10:18,679 --> 00:10:21,280 Speaker 1: too picked up. That's also a fact. Another reason I 194 00:10:21,360 --> 00:10:22,840 Speaker 1: was looking and thinking that it was going to be 195 00:10:22,880 --> 00:10:26,360 Speaker 1: a big wave election. It was the environmental factors, right. 196 00:10:26,520 --> 00:10:28,679 Speaker 1: I just mentioned a president with a forty two percent 197 00:10:28,760 --> 00:10:31,960 Speaker 1: approval rating, the fact that we have forty year high inflation, 198 00:10:32,360 --> 00:10:36,440 Speaker 1: record high gas prices, All of these dynamics in play 199 00:10:36,559 --> 00:10:41,440 Speaker 1: environmental factors that would prove positive to Republicans, particularly since 200 00:10:41,480 --> 00:10:44,400 Speaker 1: Republicans have always done better and did do better on 201 00:10:44,520 --> 00:10:47,199 Speaker 1: those who thought the inflation was the number one issue, 202 00:10:47,200 --> 00:10:49,640 Speaker 1: which it was according to exit polling. I was also 203 00:10:49,679 --> 00:10:53,120 Speaker 1: looking at where Democrats were spending time in the final days, 204 00:10:53,400 --> 00:10:56,720 Speaker 1: and you had the Democrat Governors Association creating an independent 205 00:10:56,760 --> 00:11:00,160 Speaker 1: Expenditure Committee in New York to boost Kathy Hokel, a 206 00:11:00,240 --> 00:11:02,840 Speaker 1: state where Democrats out number of Republicans two to one. 207 00:11:03,080 --> 00:11:06,440 Speaker 1: You had the Clintons spending time there, Joe Biden spending 208 00:11:06,440 --> 00:11:09,000 Speaker 1: time they're all out for HOCO, which led me to 209 00:11:09,040 --> 00:11:11,360 Speaker 1: believe that if they're spending time in a state like that, 210 00:11:11,400 --> 00:11:13,040 Speaker 1: what does that mean for the rest of the country. 211 00:11:13,160 --> 00:11:15,240 Speaker 1: We had Joe Biden also spending time in a state 212 00:11:15,280 --> 00:11:18,120 Speaker 1: like Oregon, a deep blue state. And you had the 213 00:11:18,160 --> 00:11:21,960 Speaker 1: first lady spending time in Virginia's tenth congressional district for 214 00:11:22,040 --> 00:11:25,280 Speaker 1: Jennifer Wexton, which is a Biden plus nineteen district. She 215 00:11:25,360 --> 00:11:28,120 Speaker 1: spent time there on mid term the day before the 216 00:11:28,160 --> 00:11:30,800 Speaker 1: midterm election. So a lot of that concluded me to 217 00:11:30,840 --> 00:11:33,760 Speaker 1: believe that Democrats were playing defense to a certain degree. 218 00:11:33,920 --> 00:11:36,600 Speaker 1: And then you also had the polling and passed elections 219 00:11:36,679 --> 00:11:40,360 Speaker 1: which underestimated support for Republicans. You know, this happened in 220 00:11:40,360 --> 00:11:41,920 Speaker 1: a lot of states, in a lot of areas in 221 00:11:41,920 --> 00:11:45,600 Speaker 1: the two thousand, eighteen and twenty ten elections. And if 222 00:11:45,600 --> 00:11:48,120 Speaker 1: you look at the twenty elections, national polls were the 223 00:11:48,120 --> 00:11:51,280 Speaker 1: most inaccurate they've been in forty years. State polls most 224 00:11:51,280 --> 00:11:54,440 Speaker 1: inaccurate in twenty years, and and looking at that, national 225 00:11:54,480 --> 00:11:57,920 Speaker 1: polls overestimated support for Biden by an average of three 226 00:11:57,960 --> 00:12:01,880 Speaker 1: point nine percent. State poll were similarly skewed towards the 227 00:12:01,880 --> 00:12:05,959 Speaker 1: Democrats towards Joe Biden, with a two favorable snapshot of 228 00:12:06,080 --> 00:12:08,320 Speaker 1: him by four point three percent. So I thought, here 229 00:12:08,320 --> 00:12:11,720 Speaker 1: we are again, where the polls are not picking up 230 00:12:12,280 --> 00:12:15,360 Speaker 1: what is actually happening and what has all the makings 231 00:12:15,360 --> 00:12:18,280 Speaker 1: and the fundamentals for a big way of election. So 232 00:12:18,360 --> 00:12:21,480 Speaker 1: I still stand by that all those factors were true. 233 00:12:21,800 --> 00:12:24,240 Speaker 1: We had a ripe environment for a way of election, 234 00:12:24,800 --> 00:12:28,240 Speaker 1: but it didn't materialize. So you might ask me, well, Lisa, 235 00:12:28,320 --> 00:12:32,240 Speaker 1: why didn't it materialize. Here's what I've concluded in conversations 236 00:12:32,240 --> 00:12:34,960 Speaker 1: with people also looking at exit polling and trying to 237 00:12:34,960 --> 00:12:37,600 Speaker 1: get a bigger picture of why we didn't quite have 238 00:12:37,720 --> 00:12:40,120 Speaker 1: the night that a lot of us, including myself. I'm 239 00:12:40,120 --> 00:12:41,760 Speaker 1: admitting I thought it was gonna be a bigger night 240 00:12:41,760 --> 00:12:44,439 Speaker 1: than it did. I don't think I was wrong to 241 00:12:44,520 --> 00:12:47,400 Speaker 1: have thought that, but I did miss some things that 242 00:12:47,480 --> 00:12:50,320 Speaker 1: ended up happening in the midterm elections which I wasn't expecting. 243 00:12:51,160 --> 00:12:52,920 Speaker 1: Right again, we have to learn from these things. We 244 00:12:52,960 --> 00:12:55,440 Speaker 1: have to look at what happened and and and try 245 00:12:55,480 --> 00:12:57,360 Speaker 1: to look at what do we need to do different 246 00:12:57,360 --> 00:13:01,439 Speaker 1: heading into again, what happened this election cycle doesn't define 247 00:13:02,400 --> 00:13:05,439 Speaker 1: as I pointed out with Time magazine saying that Republican 248 00:13:05,480 --> 00:13:08,760 Speaker 1: Party was extinct in nineteen or two thousand nine and 249 00:13:08,800 --> 00:13:12,400 Speaker 1: the Republicans went on to have a massive midterm election 250 00:13:12,440 --> 00:13:17,440 Speaker 1: in So you have to take everything with a grain assault. So, 251 00:13:17,640 --> 00:13:20,280 Speaker 1: as I was talking about, the conditions for a wave 252 00:13:20,400 --> 00:13:24,680 Speaker 1: were there, but we didn't execute. So why not you 253 00:13:24,720 --> 00:13:27,720 Speaker 1: know what happened where it was a breakdown? I mean, 254 00:13:27,720 --> 00:13:30,720 Speaker 1: if if you think about midterm elections are normally a 255 00:13:30,760 --> 00:13:36,280 Speaker 1: referendum on the president the party in charge. Presidential elections 256 00:13:36,280 --> 00:13:38,760 Speaker 1: are these choice elections where you're really choosing between these 257 00:13:38,760 --> 00:13:42,480 Speaker 1: two people. But in order to win a midterm election, 258 00:13:42,640 --> 00:13:45,959 Speaker 1: you need a couple of things. You've got to motivate 259 00:13:46,000 --> 00:13:48,000 Speaker 1: your base more than the other side, and you've got 260 00:13:48,000 --> 00:13:51,400 Speaker 1: to win independence. And if you look at exit polling, 261 00:13:51,400 --> 00:13:54,400 Speaker 1: we didn't do that. Democrats were motivated to turn out 262 00:13:54,440 --> 00:13:56,360 Speaker 1: in a large part because of doubs, because of the 263 00:13:56,400 --> 00:13:59,240 Speaker 1: issue of abortion, which we see an exit pulling actually 264 00:13:59,280 --> 00:14:02,880 Speaker 1: ended up being second most important issue in national exit polls. 265 00:14:03,000 --> 00:14:05,640 Speaker 1: The Democrat base they were motivated. We should have been 266 00:14:05,760 --> 00:14:08,160 Speaker 1: more motivated, So they gave them an issue, a reason 267 00:14:08,240 --> 00:14:11,000 Speaker 1: to turn out, and we didn't went over independence, And 268 00:14:11,040 --> 00:14:13,080 Speaker 1: I think to some degree that also speaks of what 269 00:14:13,200 --> 00:14:17,000 Speaker 1: kind of society we're living in where the desire to 270 00:14:17,080 --> 00:14:20,800 Speaker 1: murder a child supersedes you know, being murdered in a 271 00:14:20,880 --> 00:14:23,160 Speaker 1: street with crime. But you know, that's where we are 272 00:14:23,200 --> 00:14:26,040 Speaker 1: as a country. It's pretty wild. And you know, there's 273 00:14:26,040 --> 00:14:29,280 Speaker 1: been a lot of finger pointing at Trump this election cycle, 274 00:14:29,360 --> 00:14:31,000 Speaker 1: so I want to get into that a little bit 275 00:14:31,120 --> 00:14:33,840 Speaker 1: as well. So I think some of it's fair in 276 00:14:33,920 --> 00:14:37,000 Speaker 1: terms of, you know, their candidate quality argument that's out there. 277 00:14:37,280 --> 00:14:39,280 Speaker 1: I mean, you look at someone like Doug Mastriano. He 278 00:14:39,280 --> 00:14:42,000 Speaker 1: he did get crushed in the Pennsylvania gubernatorial race. I 279 00:14:42,000 --> 00:14:43,800 Speaker 1: mean that's just a fact. He shouldn't have lost by 280 00:14:43,800 --> 00:14:47,760 Speaker 1: that much in Pennsylvania and Dr Oz losed by much less. 281 00:14:47,880 --> 00:14:50,680 Speaker 1: But I think Mastriano really hurt him. I'm not even 282 00:14:50,720 --> 00:14:53,000 Speaker 1: an OS fan, but that is just what the number show. 283 00:14:53,320 --> 00:14:55,880 Speaker 1: And you look at Don Bullock in New Hampshire, he 284 00:14:56,000 --> 00:14:59,520 Speaker 1: lost significantly as well, like that race should have been competitive, 285 00:15:00,080 --> 00:15:02,440 Speaker 1: is in So some of that is true in terms 286 00:15:02,480 --> 00:15:04,960 Speaker 1: of you know, the candidate selection and sure, yeah, voters 287 00:15:05,320 --> 00:15:08,720 Speaker 1: have to go out and select these candidates. But you know, 288 00:15:08,760 --> 00:15:11,640 Speaker 1: if Trump hadn't endorsed them, would they have been elected? 289 00:15:11,680 --> 00:15:14,160 Speaker 1: I don't know, Probably not right. And then you know 290 00:15:14,200 --> 00:15:16,440 Speaker 1: he also had about a hundred million in the bank 291 00:15:16,960 --> 00:15:18,960 Speaker 1: and didn't use that to boost some of these candidates, 292 00:15:19,120 --> 00:15:21,520 Speaker 1: and you know throughout the general elections. I mean, I 293 00:15:21,520 --> 00:15:24,200 Speaker 1: think those criticisms are are somewhat fair. I mean, we 294 00:15:24,280 --> 00:15:26,400 Speaker 1: got to look at this and look at it truthfully. 295 00:15:26,480 --> 00:15:27,960 Speaker 1: And then too, you know, as I was mentioning, in 296 00:15:27,960 --> 00:15:30,480 Speaker 1: the midterm election, it's tend to be a referendum. I 297 00:15:30,520 --> 00:15:33,440 Speaker 1: do think Trump having a big role in this election 298 00:15:33,520 --> 00:15:37,520 Speaker 1: and also looking ahead at and talking about presidential election 299 00:15:37,640 --> 00:15:40,200 Speaker 1: maybe made it more of a choice election where it's 300 00:15:40,240 --> 00:15:42,560 Speaker 1: not just a referendum, it's about and a whole another 301 00:15:42,640 --> 00:15:44,760 Speaker 1: aspect of it. So I think the water's got a 302 00:15:44,760 --> 00:15:47,600 Speaker 1: little muddied with the abortion aspect. And then you know, 303 00:15:47,640 --> 00:15:50,160 Speaker 1: Trump having a big presence in the midterm elections as well. 304 00:15:50,200 --> 00:15:52,280 Speaker 1: I mean, we know that he motivates the Republican base, 305 00:15:52,320 --> 00:15:55,080 Speaker 1: but we also know that he turns off some independence 306 00:15:55,080 --> 00:15:57,080 Speaker 1: and that you know, Democrats hate him, and when you 307 00:15:57,120 --> 00:15:58,680 Speaker 1: have to turn your base out more that does have 308 00:15:58,760 --> 00:16:01,160 Speaker 1: an impact. That's not, you know, be mean towards Trump. 309 00:16:01,200 --> 00:16:02,960 Speaker 1: It's just to actually try to really look at this 310 00:16:03,000 --> 00:16:04,800 Speaker 1: and dig in and figure out what happened. But if 311 00:16:04,800 --> 00:16:06,720 Speaker 1: we're going to take him at Trump, which a lot 312 00:16:06,760 --> 00:16:08,840 Speaker 1: of people are, you gotta look at the bigger picture too. 313 00:16:08,920 --> 00:16:11,800 Speaker 1: I mean, the Republican Party at large really failed to 314 00:16:11,840 --> 00:16:13,840 Speaker 1: do what they were supposed to do. I mean, you 315 00:16:13,920 --> 00:16:15,880 Speaker 1: gotta look at Kevin McCarthy, you gotta look at the 316 00:16:15,880 --> 00:16:19,040 Speaker 1: committee chairman, and Ronald McDaniel at the r n C, 317 00:16:19,320 --> 00:16:22,080 Speaker 1: or Tom Emer at the nr c C or Rick 318 00:16:22,120 --> 00:16:24,480 Speaker 1: Scott at the NSC as well, because they didn't do 319 00:16:24,520 --> 00:16:26,400 Speaker 1: what they're supposed to do either. So I mean, if 320 00:16:26,400 --> 00:16:28,320 Speaker 1: you're gonna do a pox on Trump's house, it's really 321 00:16:28,320 --> 00:16:30,880 Speaker 1: got to be everyone you look at. Mitch McConnell probably 322 00:16:30,960 --> 00:16:34,040 Speaker 1: deserves a significant share of the blame because he canceled 323 00:16:34,440 --> 00:16:37,680 Speaker 1: ten million in TV ads for Blake Masters in Arizona 324 00:16:38,040 --> 00:16:41,320 Speaker 1: while spending millions in Alaska. When you're gonna have a 325 00:16:41,360 --> 00:16:45,760 Speaker 1: Republican candidate end up winning in Alaska regardless, you're always 326 00:16:45,800 --> 00:16:47,680 Speaker 1: going to have a Republican out of that race, So 327 00:16:47,760 --> 00:16:50,240 Speaker 1: why not spend the money on races that would define 328 00:16:50,280 --> 00:16:53,320 Speaker 1: the balance of power. So I think Mitch McConnell deserves 329 00:16:53,360 --> 00:16:55,560 Speaker 1: a significant, you know, part of the blame. But you know, 330 00:16:55,600 --> 00:16:58,280 Speaker 1: the bottom line is everyone's sort of trying to decide 331 00:16:58,280 --> 00:17:00,760 Speaker 1: in real time what these election and mean, and what 332 00:17:00,800 --> 00:17:03,240 Speaker 1: the midterms elections mean when we still don't know what 333 00:17:03,280 --> 00:17:05,280 Speaker 1: the final resorts are, right Like, we're still waiting for 334 00:17:05,320 --> 00:17:08,280 Speaker 1: house races. We're still waiting to figure out what's going 335 00:17:08,320 --> 00:17:10,560 Speaker 1: to happen in the Senate. We also have the runoff 336 00:17:10,960 --> 00:17:14,800 Speaker 1: in December with Raphael Warnock and Herschel Walker as well. 337 00:17:14,960 --> 00:17:18,080 Speaker 1: So we're really trying to write a story that is, 338 00:17:18,359 --> 00:17:20,879 Speaker 1: you know, still somewhat unwritten as we sort of await 339 00:17:20,960 --> 00:17:23,280 Speaker 1: some of these details and the outcomes of some of 340 00:17:23,320 --> 00:17:25,320 Speaker 1: these elections. I do want to end with this in 341 00:17:25,359 --> 00:17:28,399 Speaker 1: the sense of, Okay, yeah, we're all disappointed, right we 342 00:17:28,480 --> 00:17:31,640 Speaker 1: were expecting a bigger election, and you know, I admitted 343 00:17:31,680 --> 00:17:33,280 Speaker 1: I really thought it was going to be bigger. I mean, 344 00:17:33,280 --> 00:17:36,119 Speaker 1: I think I had justifications for thinking that, but it 345 00:17:36,160 --> 00:17:38,200 Speaker 1: didn't end up the way I believed. I'm going to 346 00:17:38,280 --> 00:17:40,639 Speaker 1: take ownership of that, but there were some bright spots 347 00:17:40,680 --> 00:17:42,560 Speaker 1: as well. I think some of those bright spots is 348 00:17:42,560 --> 00:17:45,200 Speaker 1: the fact that Joe Biden is going to remain in office. 349 00:17:45,280 --> 00:17:46,800 Speaker 1: Right it looked like they were trying to kick him 350 00:17:46,800 --> 00:17:49,159 Speaker 1: to the curb. You can't do that based off of 351 00:17:49,200 --> 00:17:51,439 Speaker 1: this election outcome. So Joe Biden will likely be the 352 00:17:51,480 --> 00:17:55,560 Speaker 1: candidate in a damaged candidate. You know, approval ratings at 353 00:17:55,600 --> 00:17:58,679 Speaker 1: fort and the economy is probably going to get worse sadly, 354 00:17:58,760 --> 00:18:00,680 Speaker 1: gas prices, all these things. Things are still going to 355 00:18:00,760 --> 00:18:05,159 Speaker 1: hang over him heading into election. Republicans will also end 356 00:18:05,240 --> 00:18:08,000 Speaker 1: up probably winning the popular vote as well. A really 357 00:18:08,000 --> 00:18:10,600 Speaker 1: really bright spot in the state of Florida with Governor 358 00:18:10,680 --> 00:18:12,920 Speaker 1: Ron De Sante's I mean, he beat Charlie crist by 359 00:18:12,920 --> 00:18:16,280 Speaker 1: twenty points. That's insane. That's the biggest margin in any 360 00:18:16,359 --> 00:18:19,400 Speaker 1: Florida gubernator race in forty years. I mean, that's literally insane. 361 00:18:19,440 --> 00:18:23,080 Speaker 1: Florida was previously a competitive state. Now it's a red state. 362 00:18:23,240 --> 00:18:26,000 Speaker 1: He won sixty two of the state's sixty seven counties. 363 00:18:26,200 --> 00:18:29,080 Speaker 1: That's crazy. He won the heavily Hispanic Miami Diade county. 364 00:18:29,160 --> 00:18:31,399 Speaker 1: That's the first up governor candidate to do it in 365 00:18:31,440 --> 00:18:34,080 Speaker 1: twenty years. And what I think he did even more 366 00:18:34,119 --> 00:18:36,760 Speaker 1: importantly is that with this midterm election. Yeah, there was 367 00:18:36,800 --> 00:18:39,680 Speaker 1: a lot to vote against with Democrats, but Governor de 368 00:18:39,760 --> 00:18:42,639 Speaker 1: Santas gave Floridians something to vote for. I mean, he 369 00:18:42,840 --> 00:18:46,159 Speaker 1: led with freedom, He kept Florida open, He fought the 370 00:18:46,160 --> 00:18:48,879 Speaker 1: opposition on that, he took on corporations with Disney, if 371 00:18:48,920 --> 00:18:52,199 Speaker 1: he fought indoctrination in schools. Even if you look at 372 00:18:52,280 --> 00:18:55,080 Speaker 1: his response to Hurricane Ian, it was flawless, so much 373 00:18:55,080 --> 00:18:58,199 Speaker 1: so that even Joe Biden gave him props. And you know, 374 00:18:58,280 --> 00:19:00,960 Speaker 1: the bottom line is that Rep. Bookends are still going 375 00:19:01,000 --> 00:19:03,000 Speaker 1: to be better off than they were before this election 376 00:19:03,040 --> 00:19:05,040 Speaker 1: in terms of you know, we will gain seats in 377 00:19:05,080 --> 00:19:07,560 Speaker 1: the House. We'll see what happens in the Senate. So 378 00:19:07,680 --> 00:19:09,800 Speaker 1: not the outcome that we wanted, but we got to 379 00:19:09,800 --> 00:19:11,800 Speaker 1: look to the future, and you look to the future 380 00:19:11,840 --> 00:19:15,560 Speaker 1: and Democrats also have a terrible Senate map in so 381 00:19:15,560 --> 00:19:19,000 Speaker 1: we'll probably increase our margins that cycle. Next cycle, they're 382 00:19:19,000 --> 00:19:21,680 Speaker 1: defending twice as many seats as US and including nine 383 00:19:21,800 --> 00:19:24,920 Speaker 1: really really competitive Senate seats as well. Was the selection 384 00:19:25,119 --> 00:19:27,920 Speaker 1: what we wanted? No, we still don't have the final results, 385 00:19:27,920 --> 00:19:29,840 Speaker 1: so I think we kind of need to hold out 386 00:19:29,920 --> 00:19:31,800 Speaker 1: see what the full picture looks like at the end 387 00:19:31,800 --> 00:19:33,800 Speaker 1: of all of this, but we also have a lot 388 00:19:33,880 --> 00:19:37,199 Speaker 1: to look forward to. I do think that could go 389 00:19:37,200 --> 00:19:40,800 Speaker 1: our away, and I do believe that the issues that 390 00:19:41,280 --> 00:19:44,160 Speaker 1: remain in the country and the country falling apart. I mean, 391 00:19:44,240 --> 00:19:47,000 Speaker 1: we can't just give up. We can't just stop fighting. 392 00:19:47,080 --> 00:19:50,360 Speaker 1: We can't just seed the country to these people. We've got, 393 00:19:50,400 --> 00:19:52,920 Speaker 1: you know, big, big problems, and it's going to take 394 00:19:53,280 --> 00:19:56,440 Speaker 1: real leadership. And we've realized that we do have real 395 00:19:56,520 --> 00:19:58,720 Speaker 1: leaders in this country as well. It's gonna be okay. 396 00:19:58,800 --> 00:20:01,119 Speaker 1: But what we'll keep following us as we move forward 397 00:20:01,280 --> 00:20:03,359 Speaker 1: and you know, we get more information, but you know, 398 00:20:03,400 --> 00:20:06,520 Speaker 1: don't give up. The fight continues and it's all going 399 00:20:06,560 --> 00:20:27,280 Speaker 1: to be okay. Y that was my election recap. I 400 00:20:27,320 --> 00:20:29,240 Speaker 1: hope you enjoyed it. We're obviously going to cover this 401 00:20:29,280 --> 00:20:31,720 Speaker 1: issue more as we move forward, as we learn more 402 00:20:31,840 --> 00:20:34,000 Speaker 1: as well. I want to thank John Cassio for putting 403 00:20:34,000 --> 00:20:35,560 Speaker 1: the show together. I want to thank you guys at 404 00:20:35,600 --> 00:20:38,320 Speaker 1: home for listening as always every Monday and Thursday, but 405 00:20:38,359 --> 00:20:40,320 Speaker 1: you can listen throughout the week The Truth of Lisa 406 00:20:40,359 --> 00:20:41,760 Speaker 1: Booth and feel free to leave us a review on 407 00:20:41,800 --> 00:20:45,360 Speaker 1: Apple Podcasts. Love reading You reviews. Love seeing your ratings 408 00:20:45,400 --> 00:20:47,600 Speaker 1: as well, so thanks so much for listening