WEBVTT - NFL Week 1 Best Bets (Ep. 101) 0:00:12.960 --> 0:00:16.720 Hey there, everybody. Welcome back to the Betting Pros Podcast. I'm 0:00:16.720 --> 0:00:19.759 your host, Dan Harris. Find me on Twitter at Dan Harris. 0:00:19.800 --> 0:00:22.400 Eighty Week one is here. It is time to talk 0:00:22.440 --> 0:00:25.319 about our best bets, and with me to do that 0:00:25.920 --> 0:00:29.600 is a fellow investor. What I will say in a 0:00:29.720 --> 0:00:32.680 Nick Sirianni Coach of the Year ticket. That's Sean Green, 0:00:32.800 --> 0:00:35.519 the co founder of the Sports Gambling podcast Network and 0:00:35.560 --> 0:00:38.600 co host of the Sports Gambling Podcasts. Find him at 0:00:38.640 --> 0:00:40.879 Twitter at Sean T. 0:00:41.320 --> 0:00:44.200 Green. That's s e. A. And Shawn. Welcome to the show. 0:00:44.560 --> 0:00:47.320 Thanks for having me, Thanks to be back on the show. 0:00:47.360 --> 0:00:50.239 And yes, I'm so glad you are all over the 0:00:50.320 --> 0:00:52.600 Nick Sirianni Coach of the Year prop as well, because 0:00:52.640 --> 0:00:56.880 everyone says, Sean, you're an Eagles fan, it's blind homerism. 0:00:57.040 --> 0:00:59.560 But then when I have plays that are pro Eagles, 0:00:59.680 --> 0:01:02.840 which I am a blind homer at times that both 0:01:02.880 --> 0:01:05.399 people don't believe me. But you laid out the case 0:01:06.520 --> 0:01:08.680 very well. I think in the chat or when we 0:01:08.680 --> 0:01:11.000 were going back and forth. When you're looking for coach 0:01:11.040 --> 0:01:13.600 of the year, first year coaches really have an advantage 0:01:13.640 --> 0:01:17.800 because it's all about exceeding expectations that narrative. Eagles are 0:01:17.800 --> 0:01:20.319 coming off of four win season, so if they can 0:01:20.400 --> 0:01:24.160 get to nine, ten, even eleven, wins Coach of the Year. 0:01:24.319 --> 0:01:26.400 And I think when we were when I got down 0:01:26.440 --> 0:01:28.000 on it was fifty to one. I think he may 0:01:28.040 --> 0:01:29.600 have dropped to like thirty five to one. 0:01:30.080 --> 0:01:32.760 Oh yeah, I think I was thirty five to one 0:01:32.800 --> 0:01:33.280 when I took it. 0:01:33.520 --> 0:01:34.920 By the way, what we were talking about is we 0:01:34.920 --> 0:01:39.560 were both in an FSGA prop league where you basically 0:01:39.640 --> 0:01:41.600 draft prop bets, and that was my first one and 0:01:41.920 --> 0:01:44.959 I did win it by a few, you know, dozen 0:01:45.160 --> 0:01:47.880 thousand dollars last year. But yeah, we were talking about that. 0:01:47.880 --> 0:01:50.280 We both like that bet, and Sean messaged me afterwards 0:01:50.440 --> 0:01:51.800 his actual ticket on that bet. 0:01:51.880 --> 0:01:53.880 Yes, So, yeah, didn't. 0:01:53.680 --> 0:01:54.280 I didn't get it. 0:01:54.320 --> 0:01:56.560 You snaked me in the in the draft on it 0:01:56.600 --> 0:01:59.040 because I thought I'd be able to wait on it, 0:01:59.080 --> 0:02:00.600 and I kep thinking it was just more of a 0:02:00.640 --> 0:02:03.840 homer angle. But the Eagles to win the division is 0:02:03.880 --> 0:02:06.960 like five to one. If Nick Sirianni comes in and 0:02:07.040 --> 0:02:09.840 takes his team to win the NFC East, it just 0:02:09.840 --> 0:02:12.920 seems priced incorrectly there and a lot of the I 0:02:12.919 --> 0:02:14.320 think it's like four to the last six. 0:02:14.400 --> 0:02:17.400 We're rookie head coaches, so fun times on that one. 0:02:17.720 --> 0:02:19.400 Yeah, you can definitely make a profit on Coach of 0:02:19.400 --> 0:02:21.280 the Year bets, which we will talk about on our 0:02:21.600 --> 0:02:24.400 separate new podcast. Sean, I will be launching Nick Sirianni 0:02:24.400 --> 0:02:26.359 Coach of the Year all day, every day, but. 0:02:26.200 --> 0:02:29.680 For maybe one to get behind him, let's do it man. 0:02:29.800 --> 0:02:31.639 At this point though, we are actually going to be 0:02:31.680 --> 0:02:35.640 talking about week one, our three best bets of the 0:02:35.639 --> 0:02:38.600 weekend each Now, what was funny is we did not 0:02:38.720 --> 0:02:40.639 talk about these before selecting them. 0:02:40.680 --> 0:02:42.679 And right before I said, Sean, you know, we haven't 0:02:42.720 --> 0:02:44.720 talked us through. Do you want to maybe throw it 0:02:44.720 --> 0:02:46.080 out so we know whether or not. 0:02:46.120 --> 0:02:50.200 We're going to double up, And my worry was confirmed 0:02:50.320 --> 0:02:52.560 that we both had one overlapping thing bets. 0:02:52.560 --> 0:02:54.160 So I will choose something different for it. I will 0:02:54.200 --> 0:02:54.799 let Sean. 0:02:54.560 --> 0:02:57.840 Explain, but it was my favorite bet of the weekend, Shohn, 0:02:57.919 --> 0:02:59.880 So we'll go through that and then we will just 0:03:00.120 --> 0:03:02.680 through the remaining games just very quickly, whether we have 0:03:02.720 --> 0:03:04.400 a lean or feel on it. Just in terms of 0:03:04.400 --> 0:03:06.480 the spread. Again, one of my picks is and over under, 0:03:06.520 --> 0:03:08.200 so we can talk about that. But again let me 0:03:08.200 --> 0:03:10.120 get some very quick housekeeping out of the way before 0:03:10.120 --> 0:03:12.360 we dive into it. First, the Betting Pros podcast is 0:03:12.360 --> 0:03:15.280 now going to be three times per week. On Monday, 0:03:15.280 --> 0:03:18.600 I'm going to record an episode with a guest talking 0:03:18.639 --> 0:03:21.760 about the lines and early look at the next week's 0:03:21.800 --> 0:03:24.160 lines and see whether or not we think there's any 0:03:24.200 --> 0:03:25.440 value that we could make. 0:03:25.520 --> 0:03:27.640 Now, what we expect the lines to do. 0:03:27.720 --> 0:03:29.800 On Wednesday is going to be our standing college football 0:03:29.840 --> 0:03:31.280 podcast with Joe Pizap. 0:03:31.000 --> 0:03:32.960 And Scott Bagman. You should have already heard that as well. 0:03:32.960 --> 0:03:35.120 It's gonna be every Wednesday and then Thursday. We were 0:03:35.120 --> 0:03:38.680 recording this Wednesday, but usually on Thursdays will be this podcast. 0:03:38.720 --> 0:03:40.680 I will have a rotating guest, hopefully Sean will grace 0:03:40.760 --> 0:03:42.800 us with his appearance a couple more times, and we'll 0:03:42.840 --> 0:03:45.840 be breaking down each of our three best bets of 0:03:45.920 --> 0:03:47.840 the week. Second, we are doing a giveaway. It is 0:03:47.880 --> 0:03:51.440 assigned to a tongue Iiloa Jersey. Entry is very simple. 0:03:51.520 --> 0:03:52.440 Just leave a review for. 0:03:52.440 --> 0:03:55.120 The show on Apple Podcasts or cast box and then 0:03:55.160 --> 0:03:57.560 go to Betting Pros dot com slash review. It's a 0:03:57.560 --> 0:04:01.040 different url to side Bettingpros dot com slash review. 0:04:01.160 --> 0:04:02.360 That is it. It is very simple. 0:04:02.400 --> 0:04:04.600 Also, if you want to triple your entries, all you 0:04:04.640 --> 0:04:06.880 got to do is be subscribed to our YouTube channel 0:04:06.920 --> 0:04:10.080 at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros. And also if 0:04:10.080 --> 0:04:11.560 you are, that's good because we do a Sunday morning 0:04:11.640 --> 0:04:14.480 livestream over there from eleven to twelve, me and Matt 0:04:14.520 --> 0:04:17.320 Parral breaking down the games. I will be giving out 0:04:17.320 --> 0:04:19.599 my favorite props which I come up with because I 0:04:19.680 --> 0:04:23.600 do projections for every Fantasy relevant player each and every week, 0:04:23.800 --> 0:04:25.560 so I find the most value there. Again, that's eleven 0:04:25.560 --> 0:04:28.680 to twelve Eastern at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros. 0:04:28.720 --> 0:04:31.719 All right, I've talked a ton Sean, Let's get into it. Remember, 0:04:31.960 --> 0:04:34.599 we have consensus lines over at Bettingpros dot com. 0:04:34.640 --> 0:04:35.440 That's where I'll be looking. 0:04:35.440 --> 0:04:37.080 But obviously they give you a lot of different books 0:04:37.080 --> 0:04:38.800 so you can check out what you like, what you. 0:04:38.800 --> 0:04:40.880 Don't, which one is favorable, Sean. 0:04:41.160 --> 0:04:42.480 Also, we have our app, by the way, sorry, I 0:04:42.480 --> 0:04:44.960 want to mention that Betting Pros app. It's awesome. You 0:04:45.000 --> 0:04:47.200 make picks right in the app. You see yourself on 0:04:47.240 --> 0:04:49.279 a leader board. You can, you know, look at everybody 0:04:49.279 --> 0:04:51.600 and how everything is doing. The percentage of experts that 0:04:51.640 --> 0:04:54.240 are picking a bet. I'm done, Sean Go, I'll stop talking. 0:04:54.279 --> 0:04:56.599 Please your first pick, sir, what will it? 0:04:56.760 --> 0:04:59.159 Well, let's let's let's knock this one out of the 0:04:59.360 --> 0:05:01.120 out of the way here. We were both on the 0:05:01.120 --> 0:05:03.479 Seattle Seahawks lay in two and a half at the 0:05:03.600 --> 0:05:07.679 Indianapolis Colts. Again, I went through the Carson Wentz saga 0:05:07.760 --> 0:05:10.040 last year, and now Carson Wentz on a new team, 0:05:10.320 --> 0:05:12.680 didn't have much of a preseason, didn't have much of 0:05:12.680 --> 0:05:16.000 a training camp. Sure, he has the rapport with Frank Reich, 0:05:16.120 --> 0:05:19.680 but I think that foot injury was a big issue 0:05:19.720 --> 0:05:22.039 for him and just not being able to connect with 0:05:22.080 --> 0:05:22.680 the receivers. 0:05:22.920 --> 0:05:26.919 T Y Hilton is out and it's not just you know, 0:05:27.000 --> 0:05:27.920 Wentz's injuries. 0:05:28.040 --> 0:05:30.479 Really why I'm taking this, And normally I'm not a 0:05:30.480 --> 0:05:33.159 guy who likes to you know, a non conference road 0:05:33.200 --> 0:05:37.400 favorite danger spot, but I think the injuries surrounding the 0:05:37.440 --> 0:05:40.320 offensive line for the Colts are really really going to 0:05:40.360 --> 0:05:44.440 be an issue. Quentin Nelson all pro. He didn't practice Wednesday. 0:05:44.480 --> 0:05:47.120 He's dealing with the back injury that's flaired. He's been 0:05:47.120 --> 0:05:49.719 on the COVID list. He also had this similar foot 0:05:49.760 --> 0:05:53.520 injury that Carson Wentz had. Xavier Rhoades he didn't practice 0:05:53.560 --> 0:05:55.560 as well. He's day to day with a calf injury. 0:05:55.880 --> 0:05:58.000 I think that's gonna be a big issue, especially when 0:05:58.040 --> 0:06:01.880 you talk about guarding DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett in 0:06:01.920 --> 0:06:05.279 this new Shane Waldron offense, which really could be an issue. 0:06:05.360 --> 0:06:09.479 And then lastly, left tackle, it's really they very well 0:06:09.480 --> 0:06:12.640 could be down to their third string left tackle for 0:06:12.680 --> 0:06:16.200 the Colts. Anthony Costans are retired. Eric Fisher seemed like 0:06:16.240 --> 0:06:18.520 the guy that was supposed to replace him. He's coming 0:06:18.560 --> 0:06:22.479 off an achilles injury, a late achilles injury. He was 0:06:22.560 --> 0:06:24.839 just on the COVID list. He's coming off the COVID 0:06:24.880 --> 0:06:28.800 list today. There's a chance he starts, but again, not 0:06:28.920 --> 0:06:32.200 much of a camp. I can't imagine. He's an amazing shape. 0:06:32.279 --> 0:06:34.279 So I think they could be down to their third 0:06:34.360 --> 0:06:37.320 left tackle. And then I'm just high on the Seattle 0:06:37.360 --> 0:06:41.400 Seahawks and Russell Wilson. I mean Russell Wilson since twenty twelve, 0:06:41.440 --> 0:06:43.839 eighty five sixty nine and six against the spread, and 0:06:43.920 --> 0:06:47.520 he actually breaks that non conference rule twenty one fifteen 0:06:47.600 --> 0:06:50.400 and two against the spread, So it's a bet against 0:06:50.480 --> 0:06:53.440 these Colts injuries and a bet on Seattle. 0:06:56.800 --> 0:06:59.359 So this line, I think, Sean, you can reckon move 0:06:59.400 --> 0:07:01.359 I'm wrong. I think like when it originally opened up, 0:07:01.400 --> 0:07:03.920 before you know the Wentz injury or anything like that, I 0:07:03.960 --> 0:07:06.240 think the Colts were favored by two and a half points, 0:07:06.279 --> 0:07:09.040 so it's gone big with the went injury, which is fine. 0:07:09.480 --> 0:07:11.040 I don't understand this one. You're right. 0:07:11.080 --> 0:07:13.640 This was my number one as well, and I was 0:07:13.640 --> 0:07:15.200 talking about it and maybe you can explain it. 0:07:15.640 --> 0:07:17.160 Do you have these lines sometimes? 0:07:17.240 --> 0:07:19.160 I do, certainly where I look at it and I go, well, 0:07:19.200 --> 0:07:22.240 this is the public's gotta be all over the Seahawks 0:07:22.400 --> 0:07:25.840 in this game. I imagine this seems like a spread 0:07:25.960 --> 0:07:28.320 where they are begging you to take the Seahawks. 0:07:28.360 --> 0:07:29.720 Does that ever make you nervous? 0:07:29.760 --> 0:07:31.880 Because I agree with everything you said, given the given 0:07:31.880 --> 0:07:34.360 the injuries to the offensive line, given the Wentz, Wentz 0:07:34.440 --> 0:07:35.040 is going to play. 0:07:35.160 --> 0:07:35.760 That's great. 0:07:35.960 --> 0:07:38.320 He's had like no time to get up to speed 0:07:38.840 --> 0:07:41.240 in this offense or at least have chemistry with any 0:07:41.240 --> 0:07:43.200 of these receivers, which, by the way, t Y Hilton 0:07:43.280 --> 0:07:45.520 is out. So it's Michael Pittman Junior, who I love. 0:07:45.960 --> 0:07:48.520 But no time to get up to speed in this 0:07:48.520 --> 0:07:51.360 this under a field goal Like, I don't know, does it. 0:07:51.400 --> 0:07:53.160 Were you ever when it feels like they're begging you 0:07:53.240 --> 0:07:54.480 to take a line, Oh. 0:07:54.360 --> 0:07:57.040 Yeah, definitely, And I think you kind of have to 0:07:57.040 --> 0:07:59.280 bring it back to what's your handicap and style. Mine 0:07:59.520 --> 0:08:02.640 is watch all the games, look at the numbers, and 0:08:02.720 --> 0:08:04.800 break it down from there. There's some people who just 0:08:04.920 --> 0:08:08.280 bet strictly. Hey, when whenever the public gets up to 0:08:08.320 --> 0:08:12.080 eighty ninety percent, that's what And there's certainly I do 0:08:12.160 --> 0:08:13.000 factor that in. 0:08:13.560 --> 0:08:14.440 But in this. 0:08:14.560 --> 0:08:18.720 Spot, this Seattle team is just too much to pass up. 0:08:19.040 --> 0:08:21.720 And again, the Colts, to me, were I like fading 0:08:21.760 --> 0:08:24.320 them on the wind total just because they have such 0:08:24.400 --> 0:08:26.520 a hard Like you look at their schedule, those first 0:08:26.560 --> 0:08:29.360 five games they have out of the gate really a 0:08:29.400 --> 0:08:31.680 brutal and then you throw on the offensive line injury 0:08:31.720 --> 0:08:33.560 news and that kind of centers around some of my 0:08:33.600 --> 0:08:37.280 other picks. I love fading a team with offensive line 0:08:37.360 --> 0:08:40.280 injury news because you're in the fantasy world. When a 0:08:40.280 --> 0:08:43.880 star player or the quarterback goes down or is injured, 0:08:44.800 --> 0:08:47.760 that it's a lot of fantasy news. It's factored into 0:08:47.760 --> 0:08:50.679 the line. It's factored into the public betting. But one 0:08:50.679 --> 0:08:52.360 of the places where I still think there is some 0:08:52.520 --> 0:08:55.960 value is people that don't keep up with the O 0:08:56.200 --> 0:08:58.720 line injury news and just assume, like, ah, they're throwing 0:08:58.760 --> 0:09:02.560 whoever out there and left tackle. But that's a huge difference. 0:09:02.559 --> 0:09:05.600 We saw Wentz last year dealing with the banged up line. 0:09:05.920 --> 0:09:08.400 I mean, he looked horrible even when he had time 0:09:08.440 --> 0:09:11.040 to throw. But the fact that the Eagles started what 0:09:11.200 --> 0:09:15.640 fourteen different offensive line combinations didn't help Carson Wentz last year. 0:09:15.840 --> 0:09:18.760 He doesn't have the mobility that he had like in 0:09:18.800 --> 0:09:22.480 his near MVP season of twenty seventeen, so I think 0:09:22.520 --> 0:09:25.079 that's really going to be a huge issue for him. 0:09:25.360 --> 0:09:27.640 I couldn't agree with this more really, And he's not good. 0:09:27.720 --> 0:09:29.960 He wasn't good under pressure last year. That It's not 0:09:30.000 --> 0:09:32.200 like the Seahawks have an amazing pass rush or anything 0:09:32.240 --> 0:09:34.160 like that. But there'll be enough to get after him 0:09:34.200 --> 0:09:36.080 given the state of that offensive line. 0:09:36.320 --> 0:09:37.600 Yeah, I don't get this one. 0:09:37.640 --> 0:09:39.800 And also, I mean we haven't even talked, by the 0:09:39.800 --> 0:09:41.520 way about the other side of the ball, right, like, 0:09:41.520 --> 0:09:43.840 other than we love Russell Wilson and he's great, but 0:09:44.160 --> 0:09:46.079 you know, the Colts have a very good defense, assuming 0:09:46.120 --> 0:09:49.199 even the Xavier Rhodes is healthy. I mean, their secondary 0:09:49.280 --> 0:09:53.720 is fine. They match up fine here, except that there 0:09:53.760 --> 0:09:56.120 are two things. Number One, I think we're gonna see 0:09:56.280 --> 0:09:58.360 Sean to repeat kind of what we saw last year 0:09:58.360 --> 0:10:00.920 with the Seahawks, which is they're gonna let us cook early. 0:10:01.240 --> 0:10:02.719 Then they're gonna lose a couple of guys. I've said 0:10:02.720 --> 0:10:04.720 this on the Fantasy podcast. They're gonna lose a few games. 0:10:04.920 --> 0:10:07.120 Their defense is going to be exhausted because somehow letting 0:10:07.160 --> 0:10:09.079 Russ cook. They had a couple of three and outs, 0:10:09.200 --> 0:10:14.600 the defense got exhausted. We've said, Pete Carroll is seventy 0:10:14.640 --> 0:10:17.000 years old, dude, Like we we know what Pete Carroll 0:10:17.120 --> 0:10:18.480 is at this point, right, He's gonna be terrified. 0:10:18.480 --> 0:10:19.120 It's gonna be all right. 0:10:19.120 --> 0:10:20.920 We gotta run the ball, got to control that clock. 0:10:21.000 --> 0:10:22.640 But for now, I do think they are going to 0:10:22.760 --> 0:10:25.040 let him cook. And the good thing is the Colts 0:10:25.040 --> 0:10:28.240 don't blitz a ton seventeen percent of the time last year, 0:10:28.280 --> 0:10:30.559 and Wilson just carves it up if he has time, man, 0:10:30.640 --> 0:10:32.800 he's like he's great. I mean he's always great. But 0:10:33.040 --> 0:10:34.760 when not he had one hundred and made passer rating 0:10:34.800 --> 0:10:37.760 last year when opposing offenses didn't a defense is didn't blit. 0:10:37.880 --> 0:10:38.920 So totally with you. 0:10:39.000 --> 0:10:42.160 This is our combined betting pros best bet of the week. 0:10:42.200 --> 0:10:44.000 We will go with the trap bet. And by the way, 0:10:44.000 --> 0:10:45.280 this is the only thing I will say about the 0:10:45.559 --> 0:10:48.160 public versus you know, pros sort of thing. 0:10:49.280 --> 0:10:50.600 Fading the public sean. 0:10:50.720 --> 0:10:52.960 And by the way, I don't I haven't seen the split, 0:10:53.160 --> 0:10:55.400 Like right now, I don't. I'm just assuming this is 0:10:55.559 --> 0:10:57.959 going to be a public play, but I haven't seen 0:10:58.040 --> 0:11:00.920 necessarily the money that's coming in yet. But it's not 0:11:00.960 --> 0:11:04.880 always wrong, right, Like it's the books and you know 0:11:04.920 --> 0:11:08.120 they have like long term sort of views, but any 0:11:08.200 --> 0:11:10.480 one game, like it's not like feeding the public. It's like, well, 0:11:10.480 --> 0:11:12.400 if the public reaches this number, you know. 0:11:12.280 --> 0:11:12.720 They lose. 0:11:12.880 --> 0:11:15.360 Sometimes they win, especially early on when I think books 0:11:15.360 --> 0:11:17.880 are still struggling with the models, right, So I'm really 0:11:17.920 --> 0:11:18.360 okay with that. 0:11:18.760 --> 0:11:20.920 Definitely in week one especially could be good for the 0:11:20.920 --> 0:11:24.480 public because there's or some of like myself who comes 0:11:24.520 --> 0:11:27.319 in with some opinions on the season, on the teams, 0:11:27.840 --> 0:11:29.680 and yeah, there's some value there for sure. 0:11:30.400 --> 0:11:33.440 Yeah, so you're gonna hate this next pick. Okay, I'm not. 0:11:33.559 --> 0:11:35.560 I'm gonna lay it out here right now. My guess 0:11:35.640 --> 0:11:36.840 is you're going to be on the other side of 0:11:36.840 --> 0:11:38.800 this one and you can be it. And we talked 0:11:38.800 --> 0:11:42.040 about being a homer. Okay, do you know the team 0:11:42.080 --> 0:11:47.040 I read for Sean It's not been a pretty existence 0:11:47.080 --> 0:11:51.480 for me in multiple ways, but especially not my football. 0:11:51.880 --> 0:11:54.800 I am going to take the Jets here getting five 0:11:54.840 --> 0:11:59.040 and a half on the road against the Pathers. Here's 0:11:59.040 --> 0:12:03.080 the deal. Sam Darnold, revenge game. I totally get it. 0:12:03.559 --> 0:12:07.040 McCaffrey's back healthy, I get it. I like Terras Marshall, 0:12:07.240 --> 0:12:08.640 I like the receivers. 0:12:08.920 --> 0:12:12.240 I get it. But you just mentioned something about offensive lines, 0:12:12.559 --> 0:12:14.439 which I feel like you're right. The public is like, 0:12:14.480 --> 0:12:15.160 we don't really care. 0:12:15.280 --> 0:12:18.080 Does anybody out there understand that Carolina has one of 0:12:18.120 --> 0:12:22.120 the worst offensive lines in the league. And not only that, 0:12:22.200 --> 0:12:23.960 but then you're just like, oh, by the way, one 0:12:24.000 --> 0:12:27.040 of our better I guess offensive lineman. 0:12:27.040 --> 0:12:28.800 I don't know how you rank them. They're not very good. 0:12:28.880 --> 0:12:30.880 John Miller. Oh, by the way, you're out with COVID. 0:12:31.120 --> 0:12:34.079 So they just lost another offensive lineman in what was 0:12:34.120 --> 0:12:38.400 already an offensive line that is barely hanging on by 0:12:38.480 --> 0:12:41.079 a thread. So I guess it's gonna be Dennis Dally. 0:12:41.360 --> 0:12:43.560 I don't even know it's gonna be terrible. Now, it's 0:12:43.559 --> 0:12:45.920 not like the Jets have this amazing pass rush. If 0:12:45.920 --> 0:12:48.280 they had Carl Lawston it i'd feel a lot better 0:12:48.320 --> 0:12:50.960 about it. Everybody's gonna be on the Panthers on this one, 0:12:51.000 --> 0:12:52.560 then I completely understand why. 0:12:52.960 --> 0:12:57.000 But here's the thing about the Jets. I didn't know 0:12:57.000 --> 0:12:58.000 how to value. 0:12:58.120 --> 0:13:00.560 Zack Wilson when he came on. But like I was, 0:13:00.960 --> 0:13:03.280 I was very very hesitant. Okay, I don't I don't. 0:13:03.320 --> 0:13:05.960 I don't dive deep into film in college football. I 0:13:06.000 --> 0:13:08.120 need to wait to see it here. I had a 0:13:08.160 --> 0:13:09.640 lot of people who loved him, a lot of people 0:13:09.679 --> 0:13:11.960 who didn't like him. But I've watched him closely in 0:13:11.960 --> 0:13:15.560 this preseason and I think I am just fully in 0:13:15.679 --> 0:13:18.800 on this and it's it's scary, but watching him a 0:13:18.840 --> 0:13:19.280 couple of things. 0:13:19.360 --> 0:13:22.319 Number One, the game speed does not look like too 0:13:22.360 --> 0:13:22.880 much for him. 0:13:22.920 --> 0:13:26.640 Okay, he's got good footwork, he's very poised, he knows 0:13:26.640 --> 0:13:29.520 how to kind of get it. What means something to me, 0:13:29.559 --> 0:13:31.480 And maybe this is done, maybe it's narrative. They just 0:13:31.520 --> 0:13:33.720 came out with the captains. He was voted a team 0:13:33.760 --> 0:13:37.360 captain by his teammates. Okay, I think you had a 0:13:37.520 --> 0:13:41.000 very Johnny Manziel possibility here with Zach Wilson, just given 0:13:41.080 --> 0:13:44.280 sort of you know, his persona, his confidence, stuff like that, 0:13:44.600 --> 0:13:47.800 it might be there. But for me, I'm encouraged by 0:13:47.800 --> 0:13:50.440 what I see. I think he's gonna have a big 0:13:50.440 --> 0:13:52.480 game here. They don't have tape on him, they don't 0:13:52.480 --> 0:13:54.640 know what to expect necessarily from what they're going to see. 0:13:54.679 --> 0:13:57.080 I think the defense is good enough, and I think 0:13:57.360 --> 0:13:58.160 Sala can. 0:13:58.040 --> 0:14:01.360 Make up for the lack of talent that they necessarily 0:14:01.360 --> 0:14:04.080 have right now, especially without loss. And so I don't know, man, 0:14:04.200 --> 0:14:05.840 I think I don't know if they're gonna win, but 0:14:05.880 --> 0:14:07.640 I think this is a field little game, so I'm 0:14:07.640 --> 0:14:10.400 gonna go with it. I imagine, like most humans, you 0:14:10.400 --> 0:14:12.480 think I'm insane, But no. 0:14:11.920 --> 0:14:14.160 No, I was going back and forth on this one. 0:14:14.400 --> 0:14:16.760 What it came down to me is do I feel 0:14:16.800 --> 0:14:20.880 comfortable laying five and a half with Sam Darnold and 0:14:20.920 --> 0:14:23.560 no offensive line? And I just can't come to that. 0:14:23.600 --> 0:14:25.720 I'm with you. I'm also high on Zach Wilson. 0:14:26.040 --> 0:14:30.200 We had Joe Thaisman on our podcast right around the draft, 0:14:30.240 --> 0:14:32.840 and he was super high on Zach Wilson. I ended 0:14:32.920 --> 0:14:36.080 up watching a bunch of BYU during the season, and 0:14:36.360 --> 0:14:39.280 I'm on board. I have Zach Wilson in Best Ball 0:14:39.320 --> 0:14:41.160 because I do think they're gonna be Yeah, that's where 0:14:41.160 --> 0:14:41.560 you can. 0:14:41.400 --> 0:14:42.040 Throw a bunch. 0:14:42.320 --> 0:14:45.920 And again, you bring in Robert Sala for a reason 0:14:45.960 --> 0:14:48.280 to get the most out of this defensive. 0:14:47.760 --> 0:14:50.360 Talent, and I think they're able to do that. 0:14:50.800 --> 0:14:53.680 I do like Carolina, you know this season in fantasy 0:14:53.720 --> 0:14:57.360 I'm a big Robbie Anderson guy, and you know, have 0:14:57.520 --> 0:14:59.880 McCaffrey back will certainly help Donald. 0:15:00.000 --> 0:15:01.920 But again, just watched Sam. 0:15:01.800 --> 0:15:04.120 Darnald last year and then imagine this guy laying five 0:15:04.160 --> 0:15:07.640 and a half points against any team, Like you can 0:15:07.680 --> 0:15:09.120 you really feel good about that? 0:15:09.160 --> 0:15:09.720 You can't? 0:15:10.720 --> 0:15:12.040 Now five and a half again. 0:15:12.080 --> 0:15:15.080 I you know, the guy who co hosted Matt Parrel 0:15:15.120 --> 0:15:17.040 host the Delly Just podcast, he was always like, I 0:15:17.040 --> 0:15:18.760 don't know, man, between four and five and a half, 0:15:18.800 --> 0:15:20.920 that's like the dead zone. I feel like the books 0:15:20.920 --> 0:15:22.400 don't really know what to do with it. I don't 0:15:22.400 --> 0:15:23.680 know what to do with it, so I stay away 0:15:23.680 --> 0:15:26.600 and I do get that to me though. Yeah, it 0:15:26.760 --> 0:15:29.640 is in the realm of possibility that Robbie Anderson has 0:15:29.680 --> 0:15:32.400 a giant, monstrous game as he and Darnald stick it 0:15:32.440 --> 0:15:35.560 to the Jets right like, it's totally fine, totally possible. 0:15:35.720 --> 0:15:38.000 But I don't know, dude. I think right now, without 0:15:38.040 --> 0:15:41.040 anybody really knowing what they're gonna see from the Jets, 0:15:41.040 --> 0:15:44.400 with Elijah Moore getting healthy, Corey Davis has looked fantastic. 0:15:44.680 --> 0:15:46.840 I know the running backs aren't. 0:15:46.800 --> 0:15:49.000 Awesome or anything like that, but you do have enough 0:15:49.080 --> 0:15:51.760 depth there. Tivin Coleman is serviceable. Ti Johnson's looked fine. 0:15:51.760 --> 0:15:53.480 You've got Michael Carter. I don't know if he Ryan's 0:15:53.480 --> 0:15:57.240 gonna play, but the offensive system with Lafleur, I really 0:15:57.280 --> 0:15:59.400 do think. And again, the Jets back in the Rex 0:15:59.480 --> 0:16:02.080 Ryan days had a lot of talent on defense, obviously, 0:16:02.240 --> 0:16:06.120 but you can make up for not that much talent 0:16:06.240 --> 0:16:08.560 if you have a really good defensive coach, which I 0:16:08.560 --> 0:16:09.200 think sala is. 0:16:09.240 --> 0:16:10.760 So I think the Jets are gonna come here. I 0:16:10.760 --> 0:16:11.880 think they're gonna surprise some people. 0:16:11.880 --> 0:16:14.520 Again, I'm not predicting the win, although if I take 0:16:14.560 --> 0:16:16.760 a team under a touchdown, I don't know. 0:16:16.840 --> 0:16:19.560 You got you gotta put a little on that money line. 0:16:19.600 --> 0:16:23.120 Gotta do and again you predicting that people will be 0:16:23.120 --> 0:16:25.560 on the Panthers. I think is is a smart way 0:16:25.560 --> 0:16:27.920 to go. I would hang around. I don't think you 0:16:27.920 --> 0:16:30.280 have to bet this one early. I think there may 0:16:30.320 --> 0:16:31.960 be is a chance you get it up to six 0:16:32.000 --> 0:16:34.000 points if you're just gonna be taking the points. 0:16:34.360 --> 0:16:36.920 And one last point. I think the Jets are. 0:16:36.720 --> 0:16:39.520 Building their team the right way, Unlike you look at 0:16:39.520 --> 0:16:42.560 the Giants, who in the first round are drafting Cadarius Tony. 0:16:43.080 --> 0:16:46.600 You know, Jets are Jets are putting investing draft capital 0:16:46.640 --> 0:16:49.800 in the offensive line. You got Makai Becton and Elijah 0:16:49.880 --> 0:16:54.400 Vera Tucker. That's the kind of foundation you want blocking. Uh, 0:16:54.480 --> 0:16:56.760 you know for a rookie quarterback like Zach Wilson. So 0:16:57.480 --> 0:16:59.280 and I'm super high on Sala as a coach. 0:16:59.760 --> 0:17:00.200 Yeah. 0:17:00.400 --> 0:17:02.560 I mean what's interesting is the offensive line really didn't 0:17:02.560 --> 0:17:04.760 play that well this preseason. But I'm throwing it out 0:17:04.880 --> 0:17:06.880 like Beck then had a weird preseason. He just cleared 0:17:06.920 --> 0:17:09.119 concussion protocol, so he should be fine. But they have 0:17:09.200 --> 0:17:10.120 a lot of talent there. 0:17:10.160 --> 0:17:10.960 They did they did it the. 0:17:10.960 --> 0:17:13.640 Right way, which they didn't do for poor Sam Darnold, 0:17:13.720 --> 0:17:16.280 so they didn't invest. I think offensively, I will say 0:17:16.320 --> 0:17:18.880 it's funny, it might climb, but there are I'm looking 0:17:18.920 --> 0:17:21.440