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Speaker 1: Hey there, everybody. Welcome back to the Betting Pros Podcast. I'm

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Speaker 1: your host, Dan Harris. Find me on Twitter at Dan Harris.

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Speaker 1: Eighty Week one is here. It is time to talk

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Speaker 1: about our best bets, and with me to do that

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Speaker 1: is a fellow investor. What I will say in a

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Speaker 1: Nick Sirianni Coach of the Year ticket. That's Sean Green,

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Speaker 1: the co founder of the Sports Gambling podcast Network and

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Speaker 1: co host of the Sports Gambling Podcasts. Find him at

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Speaker 1: Twitter at Sean T.

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Speaker 2: Green. That's s e. A. And Shawn. Welcome to the show.

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Speaker 3: Thanks for having me, Thanks to be back on the show.

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Speaker 4: And yes, I'm so glad you are all over the

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Speaker 4: Nick Sirianni Coach of the Year prop as well, because

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Speaker 4: everyone says, Sean, you're an Eagles fan, it's blind homerism.

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Speaker 4: But then when I have plays that are pro Eagles,

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Speaker 4: which I am a blind homer at times that both

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Speaker 4: people don't believe me. But you laid out the case

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Speaker 4: very well. I think in the chat or when we

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Speaker 4: were going back and forth. When you're looking for coach

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Speaker 4: of the year, first year coaches really have an advantage

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Speaker 4: because it's all about exceeding expectations that narrative. Eagles are

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Speaker 4: coming off of four win season, so if they can

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Speaker 4: get to nine, ten, even eleven, wins Coach of the Year.

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Speaker 4: And I think when we were when I got down

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Speaker 4: on it was fifty to one. I think he may

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Speaker 4: have dropped to like thirty five to one.

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Speaker 2: Oh yeah, I think I was thirty five to one

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Speaker 2: when I took it.

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Speaker 1: By the way, what we were talking about is we

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Speaker 1: were both in an FSGA prop league where you basically

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Speaker 1: draft prop bets, and that was my first one and

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Speaker 1: I did win it by a few, you know, dozen

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Speaker 1: thousand dollars last year. But yeah, we were talking about that.

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Speaker 1: We both like that bet, and Sean messaged me afterwards

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Speaker 1: his actual ticket on that bet.

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Speaker 2: Yes, So, yeah, didn't.

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Speaker 3: I didn't get it.

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Speaker 4: You snaked me in the in the draft on it

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Speaker 4: because I thought I'd be able to wait on it,

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Speaker 4: and I kep thinking it was just more of a

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Speaker 4: homer angle. But the Eagles to win the division is

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Speaker 4: like five to one. If Nick Sirianni comes in and

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Speaker 4: takes his team to win the NFC East, it just

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Speaker 4: seems priced incorrectly there and a lot of the I

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Speaker 4: think it's like four to the last six.

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Speaker 3: We're rookie head coaches, so fun times on that one.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, you can definitely make a profit on Coach of

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Speaker 1: the Year bets, which we will talk about on our

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Speaker 1: separate new podcast. Sean, I will be launching Nick Sirianni

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Speaker 1: Coach of the Year all day, every day, but.

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Speaker 3: For maybe one to get behind him, let's do it man.

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Speaker 1: At this point though, we are actually going to be

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Speaker 1: talking about week one, our three best bets of the

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Speaker 1: weekend each Now, what was funny is we did not

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Speaker 1: talk about these before selecting them.

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Speaker 2: And right before I said, Sean, you know, we haven't

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Speaker 2: talked us through. Do you want to maybe throw it

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Speaker 2: out so we know whether or not.

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Speaker 1: We're going to double up, And my worry was confirmed

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Speaker 1: that we both had one overlapping thing bets.

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Speaker 2: So I will choose something different for it. I will

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Speaker 2: let Sean.

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Speaker 1: Explain, but it was my favorite bet of the weekend, Shohn,

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Speaker 1: So we'll go through that and then we will just

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Speaker 1: through the remaining games just very quickly, whether we have

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Speaker 1: a lean or feel on it. Just in terms of

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Speaker 1: the spread. Again, one of my picks is and over under,

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Speaker 1: so we can talk about that. But again let me

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Speaker 1: get some very quick housekeeping out of the way before

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Speaker 1: we dive into it. First, the Betting Pros podcast is

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Speaker 1: now going to be three times per week. On Monday,

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Speaker 1: I'm going to record an episode with a guest talking

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Speaker 1: about the lines and early look at the next week's

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Speaker 1: lines and see whether or not we think there's any

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Speaker 1: value that we could make.

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Speaker 2: Now, what we expect the lines to do.

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Speaker 1: On Wednesday is going to be our standing college football

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Speaker 1: podcast with Joe Pizap.

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Speaker 2: And Scott Bagman. You should have already heard that as well.

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Speaker 1: It's gonna be every Wednesday and then Thursday. We were

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Speaker 1: recording this Wednesday, but usually on Thursdays will be this podcast.

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Speaker 1: I will have a rotating guest, hopefully Sean will grace

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Speaker 1: us with his appearance a couple more times, and we'll

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Speaker 1: be breaking down each of our three best bets of

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Speaker 1: the week. Second, we are doing a giveaway. It is

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Speaker 1: assigned to a tongue Iiloa Jersey. Entry is very simple.

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Speaker 2: Just leave a review for.

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Speaker 1: The show on Apple Podcasts or cast box and then

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Speaker 1: go to Betting Pros dot com slash review. It's a

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Speaker 1: different url to side Bettingpros dot com slash review.

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Speaker 2: That is it. It is very simple.

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Speaker 1: Also, if you want to triple your entries, all you

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Speaker 1: got to do is be subscribed to our YouTube channel

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Speaker 1: at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros. And also if

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Speaker 1: you are, that's good because we do a Sunday morning

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Speaker 1: livestream over there from eleven to twelve, me and Matt

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Speaker 1: Parral breaking down the games. I will be giving out

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Speaker 1: my favorite props which I come up with because I

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Speaker 1: do projections for every Fantasy relevant player each and every week,

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Speaker 1: so I find the most value there. Again, that's eleven

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Speaker 1: to twelve Eastern at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros.

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Speaker 1: All right, I've talked a ton Sean, Let's get into it. Remember,

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Speaker 1: we have consensus lines over at Bettingpros dot com.

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Speaker 2: That's where I'll be looking.

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Speaker 1: But obviously they give you a lot of different books

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Speaker 1: so you can check out what you like, what you.

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Speaker 2: Don't, which one is favorable, Sean.

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Speaker 1: Also, we have our app, by the way, sorry, I

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Speaker 1: want to mention that Betting Pros app. It's awesome. You

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Speaker 1: make picks right in the app. You see yourself on

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Speaker 1: a leader board. You can, you know, look at everybody

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Speaker 1: and how everything is doing. The percentage of experts that

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Speaker 1: are picking a bet. I'm done, Sean Go, I'll stop talking.

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Speaker 1: Please your first pick, sir, what will it?

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Speaker 4: Well, let's let's let's knock this one out of the

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Speaker 4: out of the way here. We were both on the

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Speaker 4: Seattle Seahawks lay in two and a half at the

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Speaker 4: Indianapolis Colts. Again, I went through the Carson Wentz saga

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Speaker 4: last year, and now Carson Wentz on a new team,

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Speaker 4: didn't have much of a preseason, didn't have much of

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Speaker 4: a training camp. Sure, he has the rapport with Frank Reich,

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Speaker 4: but I think that foot injury was a big issue

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Speaker 4: for him and just not being able to connect with

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Speaker 4: the receivers.

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Speaker 3: T Y Hilton is out and it's not just you know,

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Speaker 3: Wentz's injuries.

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Speaker 4: Really why I'm taking this, And normally I'm not a

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Speaker 4: guy who likes to you know, a non conference road

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Speaker 4: favorite danger spot, but I think the injuries surrounding the

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Speaker 4: offensive line for the Colts are really really going to

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Speaker 4: be an issue. Quentin Nelson all pro. He didn't practice Wednesday.

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Speaker 4: He's dealing with the back injury that's flaired. He's been

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Speaker 4: on the COVID list. He also had this similar foot

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Speaker 4: injury that Carson Wentz had. Xavier Rhoades he didn't practice

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Speaker 4: as well. He's day to day with a calf injury.

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Speaker 4: I think that's gonna be a big issue, especially when

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Speaker 4: you talk about guarding DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett in

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Speaker 4: this new Shane Waldron offense, which really could be an issue.

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Speaker 4: And then lastly, left tackle, it's really they very well

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Speaker 4: could be down to their third string left tackle for

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Speaker 4: the Colts. Anthony Costans are retired. Eric Fisher seemed like

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Speaker 4: the guy that was supposed to replace him. He's coming

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Speaker 4: off an achilles injury, a late achilles injury. He was

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Speaker 4: just on the COVID list. He's coming off the COVID

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Speaker 4: list today. There's a chance he starts, but again, not

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Speaker 4: much of a camp. I can't imagine. He's an amazing shape.

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Speaker 4: So I think they could be down to their third

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Speaker 4: left tackle. And then I'm just high on the Seattle

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Speaker 4: Seahawks and Russell Wilson. I mean Russell Wilson since twenty twelve,

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Speaker 4: eighty five sixty nine and six against the spread, and

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Speaker 4: he actually breaks that non conference rule twenty one fifteen

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Speaker 4: and two against the spread, So it's a bet against

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Speaker 4: these Colts injuries and a bet on Seattle.

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Speaker 1: So this line, I think, Sean, you can reckon move

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Speaker 1: I'm wrong. I think like when it originally opened up,

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Speaker 1: before you know the Wentz injury or anything like that, I

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Speaker 1: think the Colts were favored by two and a half points,

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Speaker 1: so it's gone big with the went injury, which is fine.

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Speaker 2: I don't understand this one. You're right.

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Speaker 1: This was my number one as well, and I was

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Speaker 1: talking about it and maybe you can explain it.

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Speaker 2: Do you have these lines sometimes?

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Speaker 1: I do, certainly where I look at it and I go, well,

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Speaker 1: this is the public's gotta be all over the Seahawks

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Speaker 1: in this game. I imagine this seems like a spread

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Speaker 1: where they are begging you to take the Seahawks.

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Speaker 2: Does that ever make you nervous?

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Speaker 1: Because I agree with everything you said, given the given

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Speaker 1: the injuries to the offensive line, given the Wentz, Wentz

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Speaker 1: is going to play.

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Speaker 2: That's great.

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Speaker 1: He's had like no time to get up to speed

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Speaker 1: in this offense or at least have chemistry with any

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Speaker 1: of these receivers, which, by the way, t Y Hilton

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Speaker 1: is out. So it's Michael Pittman Junior, who I love.

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Speaker 1: But no time to get up to speed in this

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Speaker 1: this under a field goal Like, I don't know, does it.

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Speaker 1: Were you ever when it feels like they're begging you

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Speaker 1: to take a line, Oh.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, definitely, And I think you kind of have to

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Speaker 4: bring it back to what's your handicap and style. Mine

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Speaker 4: is watch all the games, look at the numbers, and

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Speaker 4: break it down from there. There's some people who just

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Speaker 4: bet strictly. Hey, when whenever the public gets up to

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Speaker 4: eighty ninety percent, that's what And there's certainly I do

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Speaker 4: factor that in.

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Speaker 3: But in this.

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Speaker 4: Spot, this Seattle team is just too much to pass up.

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Speaker 4: And again, the Colts, to me, were I like fading

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Speaker 4: them on the wind total just because they have such

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Speaker 4: a hard Like you look at their schedule, those first

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Speaker 4: five games they have out of the gate really a

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Speaker 4: brutal and then you throw on the offensive line injury

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Speaker 4: news and that kind of centers around some of my

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Speaker 4: other picks. I love fading a team with offensive line

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Speaker 4: injury news because you're in the fantasy world. When a

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Speaker 4: star player or the quarterback goes down or is injured,

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Speaker 4: that it's a lot of fantasy news. It's factored into

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Speaker 4: the line. It's factored into the public betting. But one

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Speaker 4: of the places where I still think there is some

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Speaker 4: value is people that don't keep up with the O

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Speaker 4: line injury news and just assume, like, ah, they're throwing

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Speaker 4: whoever out there and left tackle. But that's a huge difference.

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Speaker 4: We saw Wentz last year dealing with the banged up line.

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Speaker 4: I mean, he looked horrible even when he had time

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Speaker 4: to throw. But the fact that the Eagles started what

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Speaker 4: fourteen different offensive line combinations didn't help Carson Wentz last year.

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Speaker 4: He doesn't have the mobility that he had like in

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Speaker 4: his near MVP season of twenty seventeen, so I think

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Speaker 4: that's really going to be a huge issue for him.

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Speaker 1: I couldn't agree with this more really, And he's not good.

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Speaker 1: He wasn't good under pressure last year. That It's not

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Speaker 1: like the Seahawks have an amazing pass rush or anything

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Speaker 1: like that. But there'll be enough to get after him

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Speaker 1: given the state of that offensive line.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't get this one.

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Speaker 1: And also, I mean we haven't even talked, by the

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Speaker 1: way about the other side of the ball, right, like,

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Speaker 1: other than we love Russell Wilson and he's great, but

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Speaker 1: you know, the Colts have a very good defense, assuming

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Speaker 1: even the Xavier Rhodes is healthy. I mean, their secondary

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Speaker 1: is fine. They match up fine here, except that there

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Speaker 1: are two things. Number One, I think we're gonna see

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Speaker 1: Sean to repeat kind of what we saw last year

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Speaker 1: with the Seahawks, which is they're gonna let us cook early.

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Speaker 1: Then they're gonna lose a couple of guys. I've said

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Speaker 1: this on the Fantasy podcast. They're gonna lose a few games.

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Speaker 1: Their defense is going to be exhausted because somehow letting

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Speaker 1: Russ cook. They had a couple of three and outs,

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Speaker 1: the defense got exhausted. We've said, Pete Carroll is seventy

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Speaker 1: years old, dude, Like we we know what Pete Carroll

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Speaker 1: is at this point, right, He's gonna be terrified.

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Speaker 2: It's gonna be all right.

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Speaker 1: We gotta run the ball, got to control that clock.

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Speaker 1: But for now, I do think they are going to

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Speaker 1: let him cook. And the good thing is the Colts

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Speaker 1: don't blitz a ton seventeen percent of the time last year,

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Speaker 1: and Wilson just carves it up if he has time, man,

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Speaker 1: he's like he's great. I mean he's always great. But

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Speaker 1: when not he had one hundred and made passer rating

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Speaker 1: last year when opposing offenses didn't a defense is didn't blit.

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Speaker 2: So totally with you.

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Speaker 1: This is our combined betting pros best bet of the week.

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Speaker 1: We will go with the trap bet. And by the way,

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Speaker 1: this is the only thing I will say about the

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Speaker 1: public versus you know, pros sort of thing.

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Speaker 2: Fading the public sean.

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Speaker 1: And by the way, I don't I haven't seen the split,

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Speaker 1: Like right now, I don't. I'm just assuming this is

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Speaker 1: going to be a public play, but I haven't seen

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Speaker 1: necessarily the money that's coming in yet. But it's not

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Speaker 1: always wrong, right, Like it's the books and you know

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Speaker 1: they have like long term sort of views, but any

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Speaker 1: one game, like it's not like feeding the public. It's like, well,

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Speaker 1: if the public reaches this number, you know.

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Speaker 2: They lose.

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Speaker 1: Sometimes they win, especially early on when I think books

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Speaker 1: are still struggling with the models, right, So I'm really

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Speaker 1: okay with that.

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Speaker 4: Definitely in week one especially could be good for the

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Speaker 4: public because there's or some of like myself who comes

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Speaker 4: in with some opinions on the season, on the teams,

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Speaker 4: and yeah, there's some value there for sure.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, so you're gonna hate this next pick. Okay, I'm not.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna lay it out here right now. My guess

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Speaker 1: is you're going to be on the other side of

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Speaker 1: this one and you can be it. And we talked

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Speaker 1: about being a homer. Okay, do you know the team

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Speaker 1: I read for Sean It's not been a pretty existence

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Speaker 1: for me in multiple ways, but especially not my football.

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Speaker 1: I am going to take the Jets here getting five

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Speaker 1: and a half on the road against the Pathers. Here's

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Speaker 1: the deal. Sam Darnold, revenge game. I totally get it.

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Speaker 1: McCaffrey's back healthy, I get it. I like Terras Marshall,

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Speaker 1: I like the receivers.

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Speaker 2: I get it. But you just mentioned something about offensive lines,

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Speaker 2: which I feel like you're right. The public is like,

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Speaker 2: we don't really care.

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Speaker 1: Does anybody out there understand that Carolina has one of

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Speaker 1: the worst offensive lines in the league. And not only that,

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Speaker 1: but then you're just like, oh, by the way, one

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Speaker 1: of our better I guess offensive lineman.

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Speaker 2: I don't know how you rank them. They're not very good.

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Speaker 2: John Miller. Oh, by the way, you're out with COVID.

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Speaker 1: So they just lost another offensive lineman in what was

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Speaker 1: already an offensive line that is barely hanging on by

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Speaker 1: a thread. So I guess it's gonna be Dennis Dally.

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Speaker 1: I don't even know it's gonna be terrible. Now, it's

289
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Speaker 1: not like the Jets have this amazing pass rush. If

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Speaker 1: they had Carl Lawston it i'd feel a lot better

291
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Speaker 1: about it. Everybody's gonna be on the Panthers on this one,

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Speaker 1: then I completely understand why.

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Speaker 2: But here's the thing about the Jets. I didn't know

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Speaker 2: how to value.

295
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Speaker 1: Zack Wilson when he came on. But like I was,

296
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Speaker 1: I was very very hesitant. Okay, I don't I don't.

297
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Speaker 1: I don't dive deep into film in college football. I

298
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Speaker 1: need to wait to see it here. I had a

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Speaker 1: lot of people who loved him, a lot of people

300
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Speaker 1: who didn't like him. But I've watched him closely in

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Speaker 1: this preseason and I think I am just fully in

302
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Speaker 1: on this and it's it's scary, but watching him a

303
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Speaker 1: couple of things.

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Speaker 2: Number One, the game speed does not look like too

305
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Speaker 2: much for him.

306
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Speaker 1: Okay, he's got good footwork, he's very poised, he knows

307
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Speaker 1: how to kind of get it. What means something to me,

308
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Speaker 1: And maybe this is done, maybe it's narrative. They just

309
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Speaker 1: came out with the captains. He was voted a team

310
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Speaker 1: captain by his teammates. Okay, I think you had a

311
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Speaker 1: very Johnny Manziel possibility here with Zach Wilson, just given

312
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Speaker 1: sort of you know, his persona, his confidence, stuff like that,

313
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Speaker 1: it might be there. But for me, I'm encouraged by

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Speaker 1: what I see. I think he's gonna have a big

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Speaker 1: game here. They don't have tape on him, they don't

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Speaker 1: know what to expect necessarily from what they're going to see.

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Speaker 2: I think the defense is good enough, and I think

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Speaker 2: Sala can.

319
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Speaker 1: Make up for the lack of talent that they necessarily

320
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Speaker 1: have right now, especially without loss. And so I don't know, man,

321
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Speaker 1: I think I don't know if they're gonna win, but

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Speaker 1: I think this is a field little game, so I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna go with it. I imagine, like most humans, you

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Speaker 1: think I'm insane, But no.

325
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Speaker 3: No, I was going back and forth on this one.

326
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Speaker 4: What it came down to me is do I feel

327
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Speaker 4: comfortable laying five and a half with Sam Darnold and

328
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Speaker 4: no offensive line? And I just can't come to that.

329
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Speaker 3: I'm with you. I'm also high on Zach Wilson.

330
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Speaker 4: We had Joe Thaisman on our podcast right around the draft,

331
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Speaker 4: and he was super high on Zach Wilson. I ended

332
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Speaker 4: up watching a bunch of BYU during the season, and

333
00:14:36,360 --> 00:14:39,280
Speaker 4: I'm on board. I have Zach Wilson in Best Ball

334
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Speaker 4: because I do think they're gonna be Yeah, that's where

335
00:14:41,160 --> 00:14:41,560
Speaker 4: you can.

336
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Speaker 3: Throw a bunch.

337
00:14:42,320 --> 00:14:45,920
Speaker 4: And again, you bring in Robert Sala for a reason

338
00:14:45,960 --> 00:14:48,280
Speaker 4: to get the most out of this defensive.

339
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Speaker 3: Talent, and I think they're able to do that.

340
00:14:50,800 --> 00:14:53,680
Speaker 4: I do like Carolina, you know this season in fantasy

341
00:14:53,720 --> 00:14:57,360
Speaker 4: I'm a big Robbie Anderson guy, and you know, have

342
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Speaker 4: McCaffrey back will certainly help Donald.

343
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Speaker 3: But again, just watched Sam.

344
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Speaker 4: Darnald last year and then imagine this guy laying five

345
00:15:04,160 --> 00:15:07,640
Speaker 4: and a half points against any team, Like you can

346
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Speaker 4: you really feel good about that?

347
00:15:09,160 --> 00:15:09,720
Speaker 3: You can't?

348
00:15:10,720 --> 00:15:12,040
Speaker 2: Now five and a half again.

349
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Speaker 1: I you know, the guy who co hosted Matt Parrel

350
00:15:15,120 --> 00:15:17,040
Speaker 1: host the Delly Just podcast, he was always like, I

351
00:15:17,040 --> 00:15:18,760
Speaker 1: don't know, man, between four and five and a half,

352
00:15:18,800 --> 00:15:20,920
Speaker 1: that's like the dead zone. I feel like the books

353
00:15:20,920 --> 00:15:22,400
Speaker 1: don't really know what to do with it. I don't

354
00:15:22,400 --> 00:15:23,680
Speaker 1: know what to do with it, so I stay away

355
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Speaker 1: and I do get that to me though. Yeah, it

356
00:15:26,760 --> 00:15:29,640
Speaker 1: is in the realm of possibility that Robbie Anderson has

357
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Speaker 1: a giant, monstrous game as he and Darnald stick it

358
00:15:32,440 --> 00:15:35,560
Speaker 1: to the Jets right like, it's totally fine, totally possible.

359
00:15:35,720 --> 00:15:38,000
Speaker 1: But I don't know, dude. I think right now, without

360
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Speaker 1: anybody really knowing what they're gonna see from the Jets,

361
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Speaker 1: with Elijah Moore getting healthy, Corey Davis has looked fantastic.

362
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Speaker 2: I know the running backs aren't.

363
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Speaker 1: Awesome or anything like that, but you do have enough

364
00:15:49,080 --> 00:15:51,760
Speaker 1: depth there. Tivin Coleman is serviceable. Ti Johnson's looked fine.

365
00:15:51,760 --> 00:15:53,480
Speaker 1: You've got Michael Carter. I don't know if he Ryan's

366
00:15:53,480 --> 00:15:57,240
Speaker 1: gonna play, but the offensive system with Lafleur, I really

367
00:15:57,280 --> 00:15:59,400
Speaker 1: do think. And again, the Jets back in the Rex

368
00:15:59,480 --> 00:16:02,080
Speaker 1: Ryan days had a lot of talent on defense, obviously,

369
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Speaker 1: but you can make up for not that much talent

370
00:16:06,240 --> 00:16:08,560
Speaker 1: if you have a really good defensive coach, which I

371
00:16:08,560 --> 00:16:09,200
Speaker 1: think sala is.

372
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Speaker 2: So I think the Jets are gonna come here. I

373
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Speaker 2: think they're gonna surprise some people.

374
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Speaker 1: Again, I'm not predicting the win, although if I take

375
00:16:14,560 --> 00:16:16,760
Speaker 1: a team under a touchdown, I don't know.

376
00:16:16,840 --> 00:16:19,560
Speaker 3: You got you gotta put a little on that money line.

377
00:16:19,600 --> 00:16:23,120
Speaker 4: Gotta do and again you predicting that people will be

378
00:16:23,120 --> 00:16:25,560
Speaker 4: on the Panthers. I think is is a smart way

379
00:16:25,560 --> 00:16:27,920
Speaker 4: to go. I would hang around. I don't think you

380
00:16:27,920 --> 00:16:30,280
Speaker 4: have to bet this one early. I think there may

381
00:16:30,320 --> 00:16:31,960
Speaker 4: be is a chance you get it up to six

382
00:16:32,000 --> 00:16:34,000
Speaker 4: points if you're just gonna be taking the points.

383
00:16:34,360 --> 00:16:36,920
Speaker 3: And one last point. I think the Jets are.

384
00:16:36,720 --> 00:16:39,520
Speaker 4: Building their team the right way, Unlike you look at

385
00:16:39,520 --> 00:16:42,560
Speaker 4: the Giants, who in the first round are drafting Cadarius Tony.

386
00:16:43,080 --> 00:16:46,600
Speaker 4: You know, Jets are Jets are putting investing draft capital

387
00:16:46,640 --> 00:16:49,800
Speaker 4: in the offensive line. You got Makai Becton and Elijah

388
00:16:49,880 --> 00:16:54,400
Speaker 4: Vera Tucker. That's the kind of foundation you want blocking. Uh,

389
00:16:54,480 --> 00:16:56,760
Speaker 4: you know for a rookie quarterback like Zach Wilson. So

390
00:16:57,480 --> 00:16:59,280
Speaker 4: and I'm super high on Sala as a coach.

391
00:16:59,760 --> 00:17:00,200
Speaker 2: Yeah.

392
00:17:00,400 --> 00:17:02,560
Speaker 1: I mean what's interesting is the offensive line really didn't

393
00:17:02,560 --> 00:17:04,760
Speaker 1: play that well this preseason. But I'm throwing it out

394
00:17:04,880 --> 00:17:06,880
Speaker 1: like Beck then had a weird preseason. He just cleared

395
00:17:06,920 --> 00:17:09,119
Speaker 1: concussion protocol, so he should be fine. But they have

396
00:17:09,200 --> 00:17:10,120
Speaker 1: a lot of talent there.

397
00:17:10,160 --> 00:17:10,960
Speaker 2: They did they did it the.

398
00:17:10,960 --> 00:17:13,640
Speaker 1: Right way, which they didn't do for poor Sam Darnold,

399
00:17:13,720 --> 00:17:16,280
Speaker 1: so they didn't invest. I think offensively, I will say

400
00:17:16,320 --> 00:17:18,880
Speaker 1: it's funny, it might climb, but there are I'm looking

401
00:17:18,920 --> 00:17:21,440
Speaker 1: again at betting pros consensus lines.

402
00:17:21,520 --> 00:17:23,760
Speaker 2: The consensus line is five and a half. The overwhelming

403
00:17:23,800 --> 00:17:25,480
Speaker 2: majority of books are at five and a half.

404
00:17:25,560 --> 00:17:27,359
Speaker 1: But to the extent they're not. They're actually at five.

405
00:17:27,480 --> 00:17:30,679
Speaker 1: Bed MGM, FanDuel they're at five. So I wait, now,

406
00:17:30,720 --> 00:17:33,119
Speaker 1: it's it's priced down a little bit. It's like minus

407
00:17:33,160 --> 00:17:35,480
Speaker 1: one oh four a little bit on the money line.

408
00:17:35,480 --> 00:17:37,600
Speaker 1: It's one ninety right now consensus for the Jets. So

409
00:17:37,640 --> 00:17:39,480
Speaker 1: you can get two ten at like DraftKings and stuff

410
00:17:39,520 --> 00:17:42,120
Speaker 1: like that plus one ninety. So yeah, I'll be sprinkling

411
00:17:42,119 --> 00:17:44,119
Speaker 1: on it. But good, all right, gua. I was almost

412
00:17:44,119 --> 00:17:45,800
Speaker 1: certain everybody's gonna be like, come on your Homer, and

413
00:17:45,880 --> 00:17:48,120
Speaker 1: if people have listened this podcasts for the last couple

414
00:17:48,119 --> 00:17:51,560
Speaker 1: of years, I never think that, like I'm not somebody

415
00:17:51,640 --> 00:17:54,240
Speaker 1: picked the Jets in week one with little tape with

416
00:17:54,520 --> 00:17:57,959
Speaker 1: some optimism that I'm I'm allowing myself until it all

417
00:17:58,000 --> 00:17:58,920
Speaker 1: gets smashed. This week.

418
00:17:59,000 --> 00:18:00,560
Speaker 2: I'm gonna take him go to bed number two. What

419
00:18:00,560 --> 00:18:01,040
Speaker 2: do you got?

420
00:18:01,200 --> 00:18:01,560
Speaker 3: Okay?

421
00:18:01,600 --> 00:18:05,440
Speaker 4: Bet number two another non conference game. This time I'm

422
00:18:05,480 --> 00:18:08,840
Speaker 4: fading the road team and I'm taking the home team.

423
00:18:08,840 --> 00:18:11,639
Speaker 4: Give me the Tennessee Titans laying three points against the

424
00:18:11,680 --> 00:18:16,399
Speaker 4: Arizona Cardinals. This to me is really based on the

425
00:18:16,880 --> 00:18:19,080
Speaker 4: you know, I like this as a fantasy game as well.

426
00:18:19,119 --> 00:18:19,879
Speaker 3: For Tannehill.

427
00:18:20,119 --> 00:18:22,160
Speaker 4: If you're looking to put him in some stacks with

428
00:18:22,480 --> 00:18:26,240
Speaker 4: Julio Jones and AJ Brown, I think it's a good bet. Really,

429
00:18:26,280 --> 00:18:28,760
Speaker 4: this is just a bet against this Cardinal secondary, which

430
00:18:28,760 --> 00:18:32,320
Speaker 4: had issues before. Now you throw in the fact that

431
00:18:32,359 --> 00:18:37,160
Speaker 4: they lost Darquez Denard and then Malcolm Butler randomly retired.

432
00:18:37,480 --> 00:18:41,520
Speaker 4: They're starting a cornerback Byron Murphy who hasn't played since

433
00:18:41,600 --> 00:18:43,760
Speaker 4: twenty eighteen. These are the kind of teams I like

434
00:18:43,840 --> 00:18:48,920
Speaker 4: to go against. I'm not a massive Kyler fan. On

435
00:18:48,960 --> 00:18:52,920
Speaker 4: the road, I think vrabel is a better coach as well.

436
00:18:52,920 --> 00:18:54,840
Speaker 4: I think they have an advantage there. And then Titans.

437
00:18:54,840 --> 00:18:57,920
Speaker 4: You look at their non conference record twenty seven and

438
00:18:58,000 --> 00:19:02,320
Speaker 4: sixteen against the spread in conference home games. It's a

439
00:19:02,320 --> 00:19:05,840
Speaker 4: bit of a travel situation here for the Cardinals as well.

440
00:19:05,880 --> 00:19:09,359
Speaker 4: So Tennessee only being minus three I think is a

441
00:19:09,400 --> 00:19:11,879
Speaker 4: really good spot. Hopefully they get a little bit of

442
00:19:11,920 --> 00:19:14,520
Speaker 4: a pass rush with Bud Dupree. But I think this

443
00:19:14,680 --> 00:19:17,240
Speaker 4: is just gonna be them outscoring the Cardinals.

444
00:19:17,640 --> 00:19:20,960
Speaker 1: So it's interesting because I feel like for me, I

445
00:19:21,000 --> 00:19:24,280
Speaker 1: don't know necessarily what to expect other than I will

446
00:19:24,280 --> 00:19:26,640
Speaker 1: say this my second bet. I'll just throw it in here.

447
00:19:26,800 --> 00:19:28,919
Speaker 1: This was not on my original board. This was a

448
00:19:28,960 --> 00:19:30,879
Speaker 1: backup in case I knew that Seohn was going to

449
00:19:30,920 --> 00:19:33,560
Speaker 1: take that Seahawks bet, which I should have figured was

450
00:19:33,600 --> 00:19:35,960
Speaker 1: the fact that I this is a high total. It's

451
00:19:36,000 --> 00:19:39,159
Speaker 1: fifty two and a half. I'm still going over. I

452
00:19:39,200 --> 00:19:42,359
Speaker 1: don't love it absolutely, like I'm not. It's not something

453
00:19:42,560 --> 00:19:44,439
Speaker 1: I'm going nuts. It's fifty one and a half right now,

454
00:19:44,440 --> 00:19:47,280
Speaker 1: as I'm looking at the consensus lines on bet MGM

455
00:19:47,640 --> 00:19:50,040
Speaker 1: and Party Casino that that is something that I would

456
00:19:50,080 --> 00:19:52,320
Speaker 1: be more likely to say. It's fifty two at Fox Bet,

457
00:19:52,520 --> 00:19:54,560
Speaker 1: fifty two at Points Bet, but fifty two and a

458
00:19:54,600 --> 00:19:57,680
Speaker 1: half that's up my book DraftKings and total. I'm still

459
00:19:57,680 --> 00:20:00,280
Speaker 1: going over with it because, correct me, if Verma like

460
00:20:00,680 --> 00:20:02,760
Speaker 1: this is just going to be I think it's going

461
00:20:02,800 --> 00:20:04,840
Speaker 1: to be pretty much shootout, Like I really do think,

462
00:20:04,840 --> 00:20:07,680
Speaker 1: and I think in the best case scenario for Tennessee

463
00:20:08,119 --> 00:20:10,040
Speaker 1: they get off to a really hot start in the

464
00:20:10,080 --> 00:20:12,840
Speaker 1: game because they're home fans. By the way, this is

465
00:20:12,840 --> 00:20:14,800
Speaker 1: something like we're not discussing the fact that there are

466
00:20:14,840 --> 00:20:16,520
Speaker 1: going to be fans at these games. And I think

467
00:20:16,600 --> 00:20:19,080
Speaker 1: right last year it was like, wow, all the scoring.

468
00:20:19,480 --> 00:20:22,840
Speaker 1: That's because the opposing team would come into these stadiums

469
00:20:23,240 --> 00:20:25,160
Speaker 1: and they could hear. They could do whatever they want, right,

470
00:20:25,200 --> 00:20:27,600
Speaker 1: they could audible at the line. No big crowds, no

471
00:20:27,640 --> 00:20:30,000
Speaker 1: big deal, it doesn't matter. It led itself to offense.

472
00:20:30,040 --> 00:20:33,000
Speaker 1: For this, I think, generally speaking, might be a little

473
00:20:33,040 --> 00:20:36,160
Speaker 1: bit of a lower scoring week than we usually expect,

474
00:20:36,400 --> 00:20:39,600
Speaker 1: except this game, which I am just basically thinking like

475
00:20:39,760 --> 00:20:42,120
Speaker 1: they are just going to go back and forth down

476
00:20:42,119 --> 00:20:45,439
Speaker 1: the field. Neither defense is particularly good. Both offenses are

477
00:20:45,480 --> 00:20:48,560
Speaker 1: absolutely explosive. But that's the one thing for me, Sean

478
00:20:48,560 --> 00:20:51,160
Speaker 1: that gives me hesitation. If I have to choose a side,

479
00:20:51,160 --> 00:20:55,080
Speaker 1: I would take the Titans minus three. But my worry

480
00:20:55,200 --> 00:20:56,600
Speaker 1: justice like, are they going to be able to stop

481
00:20:56,720 --> 00:20:59,080
Speaker 1: the Cardinals or do you just think like their offense

482
00:20:59,520 --> 00:21:01,840
Speaker 1: essentially is just gonna be so unstopable that you're not

483
00:21:01,880 --> 00:21:02,520
Speaker 1: even worried about it.

484
00:21:02,640 --> 00:21:02,800
Speaker 3: Yeah?

485
00:21:02,840 --> 00:21:05,119
Speaker 4: No, I mean I think that you know Titans do

486
00:21:05,240 --> 00:21:08,320
Speaker 4: have injury concern as well. Again, that's why I put this,

487
00:21:08,560 --> 00:21:10,840
Speaker 4: That's why I did a lot of a stacking in

488
00:21:10,880 --> 00:21:13,800
Speaker 4: my millionmaker lineup from this game, because there's the game

489
00:21:13,840 --> 00:21:15,720
Speaker 4: script could be like you said, the shootout.

490
00:21:15,800 --> 00:21:17,960
Speaker 3: I'm with you on the total there as well.

491
00:21:18,000 --> 00:21:21,960
Speaker 4: Going over to me ultimately the non conference aspect, the

492
00:21:22,080 --> 00:21:26,800
Speaker 4: coaching advantage, and I think I'm more confident in Tannehill

493
00:21:26,880 --> 00:21:29,919
Speaker 4: than Kyler Murray on the road. I know Kyler Murray's

494
00:21:29,960 --> 00:21:32,359
Speaker 4: claiming he's not gonna scramble as much this year.

495
00:21:32,400 --> 00:21:33,480
Speaker 3: He doesn't want to get banged Yeah.

496
00:21:33,560 --> 00:21:33,679
Speaker 1: Right.

497
00:21:33,880 --> 00:21:36,200
Speaker 4: He kind of had a really good year last year

498
00:21:36,200 --> 00:21:38,199
Speaker 4: in the first half and then once he got banged up,

499
00:21:38,560 --> 00:21:40,879
Speaker 4: not quite as good. If he's gonna hold true to

500
00:21:40,920 --> 00:21:43,520
Speaker 4: that and be a little hesitant to scramble, I think

501
00:21:43,560 --> 00:21:46,880
Speaker 4: that benefits the Titans, and maybe that maybe that benefits

502
00:21:46,920 --> 00:21:50,160
Speaker 4: the Cardinals long term and that he stays healthy longer.

503
00:21:50,200 --> 00:21:52,240
Speaker 4: But I do think in the short term, if he's

504
00:21:52,240 --> 00:21:55,600
Speaker 4: gonna stay true to his word and not scramble as much,

505
00:21:55,800 --> 00:21:57,560
Speaker 4: I want the Tennessee action all day.

506
00:21:58,200 --> 00:21:58,440
Speaker 2: Yeah.

507
00:21:58,480 --> 00:22:00,840
Speaker 1: I look forward to him keeping his word for about

508
00:22:01,000 --> 00:22:03,600
Speaker 1: half of a first quarter before right I mean, but

509
00:22:03,720 --> 00:22:06,120
Speaker 1: I look again, I'm not I'm not criticizing the side either.

510
00:22:06,280 --> 00:22:07,720
Speaker 1: I do think that that's the right side if I'm

511
00:22:07,720 --> 00:22:08,680
Speaker 1: gonna go one way or the other.

512
00:22:09,000 --> 00:22:11,320
Speaker 2: For me, it's much more about the fact that, like

513
00:22:11,400 --> 00:22:13,680
Speaker 2: what was the Tyson goat, everybody's got a plan until

514
00:22:13,720 --> 00:22:16,720
Speaker 2: they get punched in the mouth, right, Yeah, that's what

515
00:22:16,840 --> 00:22:17,080
Speaker 2: I think.

516
00:22:17,160 --> 00:22:19,760
Speaker 1: Murray's got a plan, not the scramble and whatever, and

517
00:22:19,800 --> 00:22:21,720
Speaker 1: that's gonna be all well and good until they're down

518
00:22:21,800 --> 00:22:24,560
Speaker 1: seventeen points right in the middle of the second quarter,

519
00:22:24,600 --> 00:22:26,439
Speaker 1: and then he's like, I gotta make stuff happen and

520
00:22:26,440 --> 00:22:28,280
Speaker 1: everything like that. So I think that might be a

521
00:22:28,280 --> 00:22:30,040
Speaker 1: long term thing, but I get it. But I do

522
00:22:30,080 --> 00:22:31,680
Speaker 1: think the over. I think this is gonna be a shootout,

523
00:22:31,720 --> 00:22:35,320
Speaker 1: like I you know, value wise sean like if it

524
00:22:35,359 --> 00:22:37,720
Speaker 1: hits fifty three, if it hits fifty three and a half,

525
00:22:37,840 --> 00:22:40,359
Speaker 1: Like I know people hear that, and people who aren't

526
00:22:40,400 --> 00:22:42,800
Speaker 1: like really sophisticated better is they're like, what do you mean,

527
00:22:42,920 --> 00:22:45,000
Speaker 1: Like you're like really excited, Like you're picking the over

528
00:22:45,040 --> 00:22:47,000
Speaker 1: on fifty two and a half, you're excited about that.

529
00:22:47,040 --> 00:22:49,320
Speaker 2: But if it goes up like half a point or

530
00:22:49,320 --> 00:22:49,600
Speaker 2: a point.

531
00:22:49,640 --> 00:22:51,480
Speaker 1: You're gonna be a little off at yeah that that

532
00:22:51,720 --> 00:22:53,920
Speaker 1: half a point or a point is monstrous every single

533
00:22:53,960 --> 00:22:56,840
Speaker 1: time you bet. But for me, I'm with you that

534
00:22:56,840 --> 00:22:59,040
Speaker 1: it's gonna be high scoring. So I'm going with my

535
00:22:59,080 --> 00:23:01,200
Speaker 1: second bet again for basically the reason that you said,

536
00:23:01,320 --> 00:23:03,479
Speaker 1: essentially over fifty two and a half. So we can

537
00:23:03,520 --> 00:23:05,199
Speaker 1: go back to you now for the third one, and

538
00:23:05,200 --> 00:23:07,760
Speaker 1: then i'll finish mine out a recap. Then we'll just

539
00:23:07,840 --> 00:23:09,200
Speaker 1: hit everything that we haven't hit yet.

540
00:23:09,240 --> 00:23:09,640
Speaker 3: Awesome.

541
00:23:10,080 --> 00:23:12,040
Speaker 4: My third and final pick, I mean, the New England

542
00:23:12,119 --> 00:23:16,160
Speaker 4: Patriots lay in three against the Dolphins.

543
00:23:16,720 --> 00:23:18,720
Speaker 3: Maybe I'm gonna sound like a broken record.

544
00:23:18,520 --> 00:23:23,120
Speaker 4: But again, there are serious, you know, injury COVID issues

545
00:23:23,119 --> 00:23:25,919
Speaker 4: here for the Miami Dolphins. First off Will Fuller is

546
00:23:25,960 --> 00:23:29,320
Speaker 4: still serving that one game suspension. Now they just lost

547
00:23:29,359 --> 00:23:32,640
Speaker 4: their left tackle Austin Jackson. He's on the COVID list also.

548
00:23:32,560 --> 00:23:36,879
Speaker 3: At Adam Shaheen. I'm not a huge to a backer.

549
00:23:37,240 --> 00:23:39,000
Speaker 4: I have to see it from TWOA before I'm really

550
00:23:39,000 --> 00:23:41,680
Speaker 4: gonna take him on the road in a division game.

551
00:23:42,160 --> 00:23:44,640
Speaker 4: To last year twenty twenty, he was only six point

552
00:23:44,680 --> 00:23:47,680
Speaker 4: three yards per attempt, and you know New England won

553
00:23:47,720 --> 00:23:50,120
Speaker 4: this game last year at home. But really I think

554
00:23:50,160 --> 00:23:53,280
Speaker 4: the New England defense is going to be revitalized. Of course,

555
00:23:53,320 --> 00:23:57,639
Speaker 4: getting Donta high tower back, Patrick Chung back from the

556
00:23:57,680 --> 00:24:01,240
Speaker 4: opt outs and New England coming back to the offensive

557
00:24:01,240 --> 00:24:05,320
Speaker 4: line quietly one of the better offensive lines in the league.

558
00:24:05,440 --> 00:24:07,320
Speaker 4: And again I think that's kind of why they went

559
00:24:07,320 --> 00:24:11,520
Speaker 4: with mac Jones. They felt confident giving McCorkle the that's

560
00:24:11,560 --> 00:24:15,920
Speaker 4: actually his real name is mccorkyle. He shortened it to

561
00:24:16,000 --> 00:24:19,919
Speaker 4: mack new England's offensive line. I think that's why, you

562
00:24:19,960 --> 00:24:22,600
Speaker 4: know Belichick feels confident starting a rookie, is that he's

563
00:24:22,600 --> 00:24:24,320
Speaker 4: gonna be able to sit back there. They're gonna give

564
00:24:24,400 --> 00:24:27,159
Speaker 4: him easy looks. They're gonna pound the rock with Damian

565
00:24:27,200 --> 00:24:30,880
Speaker 4: Harrison and you know, even Stevenson getting involved in there.

566
00:24:30,920 --> 00:24:33,480
Speaker 3: And Miami's defense who eye test.

567
00:24:33,560 --> 00:24:35,480
Speaker 4: To me, I always kind of liked them last year,

568
00:24:35,520 --> 00:24:37,520
Speaker 4: but then when I was doing my off season stuff

569
00:24:37,560 --> 00:24:41,800
Speaker 4: and really digging deep, they really benefited from a kind

570
00:24:41,840 --> 00:24:46,280
Speaker 4: of unsustainable turnover differential, and you expect that to kind

571
00:24:46,280 --> 00:24:49,360
Speaker 4: of regress back to something more reasonable. And you look

572
00:24:49,359 --> 00:24:51,639
Speaker 4: at their yards per game. They were twenty second in

573
00:24:51,760 --> 00:24:53,880
Speaker 4: yards per game last year. Their defense at twenty one

574
00:24:54,200 --> 00:24:56,879
Speaker 4: or sorry, two fifty one and a half. But really,

575
00:24:57,240 --> 00:25:00,320
Speaker 4: the Miami rush defense on the road led up hundred

576
00:25:00,359 --> 00:25:03,520
Speaker 4: and thirty two yards per game. I think the Patriots

577
00:25:03,520 --> 00:25:05,479
Speaker 4: are gonna pound the rock and then set up some

578
00:25:05,520 --> 00:25:08,719
Speaker 4: easy play action for mac Jones and they're gonna get

579
00:25:08,720 --> 00:25:10,840
Speaker 4: this w So minus three, I'm all in.

580
00:25:12,040 --> 00:25:12,399
Speaker 3: Yeah.

581
00:25:12,440 --> 00:25:15,000
Speaker 1: So the total on this game, which is understandable, it's

582
00:25:15,040 --> 00:25:16,840
Speaker 1: one of the lowest totals on the board, if not

583
00:25:17,040 --> 00:25:19,440
Speaker 1: the single lowest total is forty three and a half.

584
00:25:19,560 --> 00:25:21,320
Speaker 2: Okay, so this is gonna be a low score.

585
00:25:21,359 --> 00:25:23,200
Speaker 1: Oh no, it's forty two at the Broncos Giants, which

586
00:25:23,200 --> 00:25:26,280
Speaker 1: is more understandable frankly, but forty three and a half

587
00:25:26,640 --> 00:25:30,760
Speaker 1: with our consensus line over here. So this strikes me

588
00:25:30,840 --> 00:25:34,280
Speaker 1: as a as a as a close game that's gonna

589
00:25:34,320 --> 00:25:35,800
Speaker 1: be decided within a field goal, which is why I

590
00:25:35,880 --> 00:25:38,600
Speaker 1: don't really love it either way, do you. I mean,

591
00:25:38,720 --> 00:25:41,080
Speaker 1: this is a rookie, man, a rookie was named the

592
00:25:41,080 --> 00:25:43,720
Speaker 1: starter like a week ago, making his first start. I

593
00:25:43,760 --> 00:25:45,600
Speaker 1: get that he's something against the team that was again,

594
00:25:45,640 --> 00:25:48,040
Speaker 1: you're right, they weren't as good as they played last year.

595
00:25:48,040 --> 00:25:51,240
Speaker 1: To have struggled a lot last year they're down Will Fuller.

596
00:25:51,600 --> 00:25:54,520
Speaker 1: I think we're gonna see like better. I think we're

597
00:25:54,520 --> 00:25:56,480
Speaker 1: gonna see a big jump here from two as he

598
00:25:56,560 --> 00:25:58,879
Speaker 1: gets further away from the hip injury that's sort of

599
00:25:58,880 --> 00:26:01,360
Speaker 1: limited last year, and just more comfortable with him understanding

600
00:26:01,400 --> 00:26:04,119
Speaker 1: you got to throw into coverage sometimes to make it happen.

601
00:26:04,400 --> 00:26:07,240
Speaker 2: So long term for the season, I am on to it.

602
00:26:07,280 --> 00:26:09,199
Speaker 1: I do think that the Pats defense because I think

603
00:26:09,240 --> 00:26:11,080
Speaker 1: people are like, well, Gilmore's out, blah blah. But I

604
00:26:11,119 --> 00:26:13,920
Speaker 1: think you're right. I think they're underrated at this point.

605
00:26:14,119 --> 00:26:16,440
Speaker 1: But I don't know, man, I don't feel that confident.

606
00:26:16,680 --> 00:26:18,840
Speaker 1: I don't think either size or right. So this would

607
00:26:18,880 --> 00:26:20,720
Speaker 1: be a total stay away for me. Well for me,

608
00:26:21,119 --> 00:26:22,600
Speaker 1: I'm surprised you trust Mac Jones.

609
00:26:22,720 --> 00:26:25,440
Speaker 4: Well, I trust Mac Jones because he's not I mean,

610
00:26:25,480 --> 00:26:28,440
Speaker 4: this guy has played in some big games in Alabama.

611
00:26:28,600 --> 00:26:31,720
Speaker 4: Normally a rookie making his debut in the NFL is

612
00:26:31,720 --> 00:26:33,560
Speaker 4: going to be one of the biggest games he's ever played.

613
00:26:33,760 --> 00:26:34,800
Speaker 3: Not for Mac Jones.

614
00:26:35,160 --> 00:26:37,800
Speaker 4: And you again, you talk about the fan base getting back,

615
00:26:38,160 --> 00:26:41,359
Speaker 4: it does seem like Bill Belichick is just itching to

616
00:26:41,400 --> 00:26:46,040
Speaker 4: get some early ws to kind of counterbalance the narrative.

617
00:26:46,040 --> 00:26:48,520
Speaker 4: That Brady was really the guy and not him. You know,

618
00:26:48,560 --> 00:26:51,160
Speaker 4: he's just itching to do whatever it takes to get

619
00:26:51,160 --> 00:26:54,520
Speaker 4: into the playoffs. And then the final answer or final

620
00:26:54,560 --> 00:26:57,280
Speaker 4: reason why I feel comfortable with it is Bill Belichick

621
00:26:57,400 --> 00:27:00,320
Speaker 4: versus a former coach now Flores, I think is the

622
00:27:00,359 --> 00:27:03,680
Speaker 4: outlier as far as like belichick disciples, who I think

623
00:27:03,760 --> 00:27:06,639
Speaker 4: are good coaches and have had success. But if this

624
00:27:06,720 --> 00:27:09,000
Speaker 4: game was in Miami, I'd be all over the Dolphins

625
00:27:09,000 --> 00:27:11,600
Speaker 4: because the Patriots usually struggle down there. But early in

626
00:27:11,600 --> 00:27:15,840
Speaker 4: the season, at home, friendly crowd and the you know,

627
00:27:15,920 --> 00:27:18,679
Speaker 4: the Dolphins left tackle being out, don't sleep on this

628
00:27:18,920 --> 00:27:21,160
Speaker 4: Patriots pass rush. I think they could get to Tua

629
00:27:21,240 --> 00:27:23,000
Speaker 4: and really make things interesting for him.

630
00:27:23,600 --> 00:27:25,960
Speaker 1: All right, well, I'm gonna stay away, I'm gonna watch it.

631
00:27:25,960 --> 00:27:27,880
Speaker 1: I'll be rooting for you on the sidelines as well,

632
00:27:27,880 --> 00:27:31,399
Speaker 1: my entire crazy Patriots loving family. Okay, my final one,

633
00:27:31,400 --> 00:27:32,480
Speaker 1: I'm going to a total here.

634
00:27:32,560 --> 00:27:32,879
Speaker 2: Okay.

635
00:27:32,920 --> 00:27:35,720
Speaker 1: I actually find the spreads, especially early on, Man, I

636
00:27:35,720 --> 00:27:37,959
Speaker 1: think the lines aren't that net Like, They're not as

637
00:27:38,000 --> 00:27:40,320
Speaker 1: sharp obviously as they're gonna be in a few weeks

638
00:27:40,359 --> 00:27:42,840
Speaker 1: when the books start getting more and more data, of course,

639
00:27:43,080 --> 00:27:45,520
Speaker 1: But I still find it really tough because I really

640
00:27:45,520 --> 00:27:47,360
Speaker 1: feel uncertain about what we're gonna see. I am going

641
00:27:47,359 --> 00:27:51,320
Speaker 1: to a total though. It's your team. Good Sarah, it's

642
00:27:51,320 --> 00:27:53,359
Speaker 1: your team. I don't know how I feel about the

643
00:27:53,359 --> 00:27:55,760
Speaker 1: game and the spread, but I do like the total.

644
00:27:56,080 --> 00:27:59,040
Speaker 1: I'm a little surprised that the Eagles and Falcons are

645
00:27:59,160 --> 00:28:02,160
Speaker 1: only at forty. I mean, that's not a low total

646
00:28:02,240 --> 00:28:03,720
Speaker 1: or anything like that, but I kind of thought it

647
00:28:03,720 --> 00:28:06,680
Speaker 1: would be higher. I'm going over here with the consensus

648
00:28:06,680 --> 00:28:08,480
Speaker 1: line at forty eight. There is a forty eight and

649
00:28:08,480 --> 00:28:10,240
Speaker 1: a half out there at fandle, but forty eight is

650
00:28:10,240 --> 00:28:13,119
Speaker 1: the consensus. I think we kind of throw out what

651
00:28:13,160 --> 00:28:16,879
Speaker 1: we saw last year from Hurtz just generally as the quarterback.

652
00:28:17,040 --> 00:28:19,119
Speaker 1: They've been able to design the offense around him for

653
00:28:19,200 --> 00:28:21,679
Speaker 1: out this entire offseason. All the rumors aside with the

654
00:28:21,680 --> 00:28:24,560
Speaker 1: Shawn Watson like, they've known in my opinion, that Hurts

655
00:28:24,640 --> 00:28:26,359
Speaker 1: is going to be the guy. They have better pass

656
00:28:26,400 --> 00:28:28,920
Speaker 1: catches with the vamp, the Smith zach Ertz is fully healthy.

657
00:28:29,000 --> 00:28:31,800
Speaker 1: Bigger has now looked good after like all those rumors

658
00:28:31,880 --> 00:28:34,000
Speaker 1: in the early part. The offensive line is obviously better.

659
00:28:34,240 --> 00:28:36,800
Speaker 1: Hurts can scramble. That's going to extend drives and I

660
00:28:36,800 --> 00:28:39,640
Speaker 1: think allow them to put up some points, especially if

661
00:28:39,680 --> 00:28:41,200
Speaker 1: they fall behind.

662
00:28:41,040 --> 00:28:42,640
Speaker 2: Which I kind of expect them to a little bit.

663
00:28:42,760 --> 00:28:45,880
Speaker 1: Sean like Howe was thinking of the Titans and the Cardinals,

664
00:28:45,880 --> 00:28:48,040
Speaker 1: where it's like the Titans get out to a big lead.

665
00:28:48,360 --> 00:28:50,800
Speaker 1: I just think like Murray might just start running wild

666
00:28:50,880 --> 00:28:52,640
Speaker 1: and create some plays and put up some points. I

667
00:28:52,640 --> 00:28:54,680
Speaker 1: could see the same thing here with Hurts, because again

668
00:28:54,880 --> 00:28:56,360
Speaker 1: with the Falcons, I think.

669
00:28:56,160 --> 00:28:58,320
Speaker 2: They're not gonna be a very good team. Their defenses

670
00:28:58,360 --> 00:28:58,880
Speaker 2: are very good.

671
00:28:59,160 --> 00:29:02,160
Speaker 1: But I do think that even though Arthur Smith doesn't

672
00:29:02,200 --> 00:29:04,360
Speaker 1: run and gun, I think what he does do a

673
00:29:04,400 --> 00:29:06,800
Speaker 1: ton is play action. Tennessee was the you know, had

674
00:29:06,840 --> 00:29:10,000
Speaker 1: the most play action percentage in their offense of any

675
00:29:10,000 --> 00:29:12,440
Speaker 1: team last year. He's going to bring that to Matt Ryan.

676
00:29:12,480 --> 00:29:15,040
Speaker 1: Matt Ryan is That's just good for an offense anyway.

677
00:29:15,080 --> 00:29:17,240
Speaker 1: It's going to make them more effective. But it's particularly

678
00:29:17,240 --> 00:29:21,120
Speaker 1: good for Matt Ryan. When he was with Shanahan, obviously

679
00:29:21,280 --> 00:29:23,040
Speaker 1: a lot of motion, a lot of play action, he

680
00:29:23,080 --> 00:29:24,880
Speaker 1: had his best year of his career. I expect him

681
00:29:24,920 --> 00:29:28,640
Speaker 1: to actually be pretty solid. And again I mentioned this earlier.

682
00:29:28,720 --> 00:29:30,880
Speaker 1: Unders I think as a general matter, are the better

683
00:29:30,920 --> 00:29:32,719
Speaker 1: bet in Week one, because I do think it's going

684
00:29:32,760 --> 00:29:34,360
Speaker 1: to be a little crazy for these road teams to

685
00:29:34,400 --> 00:29:37,000
Speaker 1: come on and be like, holy cow, fans are screaming

686
00:29:37,080 --> 00:29:39,360
Speaker 1: at me, But I don't know, man, at forty eight,

687
00:29:39,560 --> 00:29:40,840
Speaker 1: I think this is going to be a lot of

688
00:29:40,840 --> 00:29:42,560
Speaker 1: points being put up here. So I'm gonna take the over.

689
00:29:42,880 --> 00:29:45,920
Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm I'm one hundred percent on board. I'm usually

690
00:29:45,920 --> 00:29:48,920
Speaker 4: not like a massive total player, but when these Week

691
00:29:48,960 --> 00:29:52,400
Speaker 4: one lines came out and we broke, we immediately broke

692
00:29:52,480 --> 00:29:54,720
Speaker 4: him down and kind of gave our instant reaction. This

693
00:29:54,880 --> 00:29:59,160
Speaker 4: total opening up at this price was just to me comically.

694
00:29:59,200 --> 00:30:00,560
Speaker 3: Low is a guy who the team.

695
00:30:00,560 --> 00:30:02,680
Speaker 4: I mean, on the Eagles offensive side of the ball,

696
00:30:03,000 --> 00:30:06,640
Speaker 4: they're O line, all the starters are healthy. He's gonna

697
00:30:06,640 --> 00:30:09,400
Speaker 4: have plenty of time to throw. They're gonna drop some simple,

698
00:30:09,440 --> 00:30:11,040
Speaker 4: easy stuff for him. I think they're gonna be able

699
00:30:11,040 --> 00:30:14,040
Speaker 4: to move the ball against Atlanta. Now flip it over

700
00:30:14,080 --> 00:30:16,280
Speaker 4: to the other side. What did the Eagles struggle with? Well,

701
00:30:16,600 --> 00:30:19,280
Speaker 4: they have a pretty decent defensive line, but really the

702
00:30:19,320 --> 00:30:22,040
Speaker 4: back end is where there are the most questions. They

703
00:30:22,040 --> 00:30:24,720
Speaker 4: have a new scheme coming in Calvin Ridley. I am

704
00:30:24,880 --> 00:30:28,640
Speaker 4: high on him Fantasy even Week one. You know, Sligh

705
00:30:28,720 --> 00:30:31,880
Speaker 4: is like a solid cornerback one, but he struggled. We've

706
00:30:31,880 --> 00:30:35,560
Speaker 4: seen DeVante Adams, We've seen DK Metcalf have big games

707
00:30:35,600 --> 00:30:39,360
Speaker 4: against him. And lastly, we really struggled last year against

708
00:30:39,400 --> 00:30:41,840
Speaker 4: the tight end. I mean George Kittle had a massive

709
00:30:42,200 --> 00:30:44,120
Speaker 4: game against US and Kyle Pitts.

710
00:30:44,600 --> 00:30:46,480
Speaker 3: You know Rodney McLeod one of the safeties.

711
00:30:46,520 --> 00:30:49,400
Speaker 4: He's coming off a pretty rough injury, didn't have much

712
00:30:49,400 --> 00:30:51,040
Speaker 4: of a preseason or a training camp.

713
00:30:51,040 --> 00:30:51,840
Speaker 3: He should start.

714
00:30:52,080 --> 00:30:54,480
Speaker 4: They brought over Anthony Harris, but again it's new team,

715
00:30:54,600 --> 00:30:58,720
Speaker 4: new defense. I could see them struggling. This to me,

716
00:30:58,920 --> 00:31:02,080
Speaker 4: just again has shoot out written all over it. And

717
00:31:02,160 --> 00:31:06,000
Speaker 4: I think you know dark Horse DFS play that I've

718
00:31:06,040 --> 00:31:10,280
Speaker 4: just been crowbaring on every podcast is Quez Watkins at

719
00:31:10,320 --> 00:31:13,000
Speaker 4: three thousand dollars. If you're looking to put together a

720
00:31:13,040 --> 00:31:15,640
Speaker 4: million maker lineup in DraftKings, you could do worse than

721
00:31:15,720 --> 00:31:18,400
Speaker 4: Quez Watkins. We saw him break one in the preseason

722
00:31:18,400 --> 00:31:21,800
Speaker 4: with the screen pass to Joe Flacco. Hurts almost got

723
00:31:21,920 --> 00:31:24,440
Speaker 4: him on a deep ball that he was opened. They

724
00:31:24,480 --> 00:31:26,960
Speaker 4: were just like a half second off. I think I

725
00:31:27,000 --> 00:31:29,120
Speaker 4: can I can tell you this for a guy that

726
00:31:29,320 --> 00:31:31,520
Speaker 4: is priced at DraftKings at three thousand dollars.

727
00:31:31,520 --> 00:31:32,560
Speaker 3: I can guarantee you.

728
00:31:33,560 --> 00:31:35,800
Speaker 4: He gets like six targets, so I think he's gonna

729
00:31:35,800 --> 00:31:38,400
Speaker 4: be involved in the offense, has a chance to break it.

730
00:31:38,480 --> 00:31:39,840
Speaker 3: And and same with Miles Sanders.

731
00:31:39,840 --> 00:31:42,719
Speaker 4: He didn't have an amazing year last year and certainly

732
00:31:42,800 --> 00:31:47,200
Speaker 4: underperformed his Round one drafting and probably annoyed a lot

733
00:31:47,200 --> 00:31:51,640
Speaker 4: of fantasy owners. But he he certainly has the ability to,

734
00:31:52,120 --> 00:31:54,880
Speaker 4: you know, break open a big seventy five eighty yard run.

735
00:31:54,960 --> 00:31:57,960
Speaker 4: So I think there's huge potential for big plays on

736
00:31:58,000 --> 00:31:59,880
Speaker 4: both sides of the ball. So I'm all over the O.

737
00:32:00,040 --> 00:32:00,640
Speaker 3: We're with you here.

738
00:32:01,320 --> 00:32:04,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's I mean, I'm not going to touch the side.

739
00:32:04,000 --> 00:32:06,880
Speaker 1: We'll talk about that in two minutes about how you

740
00:32:06,920 --> 00:32:09,240
Speaker 1: feel about the side. But yeah, there's gonna be points here.

741
00:32:09,320 --> 00:32:11,160
Speaker 1: I feel pretty confident that. So that is one of

742
00:32:11,200 --> 00:32:13,360
Speaker 1: my favorites. So let's just very quickly recap. I'll do

743
00:32:13,400 --> 00:32:14,200
Speaker 1: it again at the very end.

744
00:32:14,160 --> 00:32:14,840
Speaker 2: Of the podcast.

745
00:32:15,240 --> 00:32:18,640
Speaker 1: You like we both club the bet of the podcast,

746
00:32:18,720 --> 00:32:22,240
Speaker 1: Sean is Seattle laying two and a half to the Colts.

747
00:32:22,440 --> 00:32:26,080
Speaker 1: You also like the Titans laying three to the Cardinals

748
00:32:26,400 --> 00:32:30,160
Speaker 1: and the Pats laying three to the Dolphins, right, got that?

749
00:32:31,120 --> 00:32:31,280
Speaker 3: Yeap?

750
00:32:31,360 --> 00:32:32,760
Speaker 2: That was what it was? Yes, good. I wanted to

751
00:32:32,760 --> 00:32:33,480
Speaker 2: make sure I didn't miss it.

752
00:32:33,480 --> 00:32:36,320
Speaker 4: I was just double checking that I didn't mess up something.

753
00:32:36,320 --> 00:32:39,480
Speaker 1: But yes, no, I want to make sure and all favorites,

754
00:32:39,640 --> 00:32:40,600
Speaker 1: all favorites for you.

755
00:32:40,440 --> 00:32:42,600
Speaker 2: You're getting a little uh, a.

756
00:32:42,520 --> 00:32:43,840
Speaker 3: Little square sean over here.

757
00:32:43,880 --> 00:32:48,080
Speaker 4: I don't mind taking favorites, you know, kind of under

758
00:32:48,480 --> 00:32:51,320
Speaker 4: under three to me is almost you know, when you're

759
00:32:51,520 --> 00:32:53,680
Speaker 4: where you're taking a favorite under three in the NFL.

760
00:32:53,840 --> 00:32:56,040
Speaker 4: I'm not too worried about it. I do have some

761
00:32:56,040 --> 00:32:58,120
Speaker 4: some dogs. I like that we're going to rattle through

762
00:32:58,160 --> 00:32:59,200
Speaker 4: here on the card.

763
00:32:59,240 --> 00:33:00,440
Speaker 2: But yeah, wonderful.

764
00:33:00,120 --> 00:33:04,360
Speaker 3: Small favorites early on the season. I'm on board, all right.

765
00:33:04,400 --> 00:33:07,640
Speaker 1: So my three best bets are, of course, the Jets.

766
00:33:08,040 --> 00:33:10,720
Speaker 1: Never go wrong lying or rooting for the Jets, trust

767
00:33:10,800 --> 00:33:13,800
Speaker 1: me getting five and a half from the Panthers, the

768
00:33:14,000 --> 00:33:17,560
Speaker 1: Titans and the Cardinals over fifty two and a half points,

769
00:33:17,800 --> 00:33:22,600
Speaker 1: and the Eagles and the Falcons over forty eight points.

770
00:33:22,640 --> 00:33:24,040
Speaker 1: So again, I will recap that once more at the

771
00:33:24,080 --> 00:33:25,720
Speaker 1: very end of the podcast, so everybody gets them. But

772
00:33:25,760 --> 00:33:30,400
Speaker 1: those are the official Betting Pros Podcast six best bets

773
00:33:30,440 --> 00:33:30,840
Speaker 1: of the week.

774
00:33:30,920 --> 00:33:32,880
Speaker 2: I love it again. You can hear more. We're gonna

775
00:33:32,880 --> 00:33:33,440
Speaker 2: break down every game.

776
00:33:33,440 --> 00:33:35,800
Speaker 1: We're gonna break on props on the Betting Pros YouTube

777
00:33:35,840 --> 00:33:38,680
Speaker 1: channel YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros from eleven am

778
00:33:38,760 --> 00:33:42,280
Speaker 1: Eastern to twelve pm on that channel, Meet and Matt Pelt.

779
00:33:42,320 --> 00:33:46,280
Speaker 1: All right, let's run through Sean all the spreads and

780
00:33:46,480 --> 00:33:48,680
Speaker 1: just let me know you have a lean on one

781
00:33:48,760 --> 00:33:50,520
Speaker 1: side or is it a stay away for you? And

782
00:33:50,520 --> 00:33:52,280
Speaker 1: again this is coming out this is Wednesday, so we

783
00:33:52,320 --> 00:33:54,840
Speaker 1: can talk about the Thursday game. The spread on the

784
00:33:54,960 --> 00:33:58,360
Speaker 1: Bucks Cowboys game is now eight. Do you like either

785
00:33:58,400 --> 00:33:59,080
Speaker 1: side on that game?

786
00:33:59,240 --> 00:34:01,960
Speaker 3: Yeah? I mean I'm I'm all in on the Bucks again.

787
00:34:02,320 --> 00:34:05,480
Speaker 4: Super Bowl winner coming off the Super Bowl at home,

788
00:34:06,160 --> 00:34:08,640
Speaker 4: though very good against the spread. I think it's like

789
00:34:08,680 --> 00:34:10,319
Speaker 4: five and one, six and one. I got it when

790
00:34:10,320 --> 00:34:12,719
Speaker 4: it opened at six. I still like it at eight.

791
00:34:13,239 --> 00:34:16,600
Speaker 4: Deck is not one hundred percent healthy, and they got

792
00:34:16,600 --> 00:34:19,000
Speaker 4: issues on their offensive line as well with Zach Martinel,

793
00:34:19,040 --> 00:34:19,760
Speaker 4: So give me the Bucks.

794
00:34:20,600 --> 00:34:22,960
Speaker 1: I mean, you talk about offensive line issues, that's an

795
00:34:23,000 --> 00:34:26,359
Speaker 1: offensive line issue, right, That's their best offensive lineman being out,

796
00:34:26,360 --> 00:34:28,560
Speaker 1: and I remember Mel Collins is going to play but

797
00:34:28,840 --> 00:34:31,040
Speaker 1: he's not one hundred percent either, so you know that

798
00:34:31,120 --> 00:34:32,560
Speaker 1: offensive line really takes a hit.

799
00:34:32,960 --> 00:34:33,600
Speaker 2: I agree with you.

800
00:34:33,640 --> 00:34:36,279
Speaker 1: I will take the Bucks minus eight A lean that

801
00:34:36,320 --> 00:34:38,960
Speaker 1: way anyway, but I will say that I do get

802
00:34:39,000 --> 00:34:41,200
Speaker 1: a little worried, like it might be like party time,

803
00:34:41,280 --> 00:34:43,560
Speaker 1: you know, celebrating the Super Bowl and then the Cowboys

804
00:34:43,560 --> 00:34:45,560
Speaker 1: get a backdoor cover here. But I agree with you

805
00:34:45,719 --> 00:34:47,480
Speaker 1: that is where I would go. I still feel confident

806
00:34:47,719 --> 00:34:49,920
Speaker 1: at eight. How about again, we talked about the over under.

807
00:34:49,920 --> 00:34:52,439
Speaker 1: What about the Falcons laying three to your Eagles at home?

808
00:34:52,960 --> 00:34:55,000
Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean certainly I liked it better when it

809
00:34:55,040 --> 00:34:57,400
Speaker 4: was three and a half, which I think yesterday was

810
00:34:57,440 --> 00:34:58,000
Speaker 4: three and a half.

811
00:34:58,120 --> 00:34:58,680
Speaker 3: I still like it.

812
00:34:59,680 --> 00:35:02,279
Speaker 2: I've got no oh wait, I've got a couple of

813
00:35:02,320 --> 00:35:02,759
Speaker 2: three and a half.

814
00:35:02,800 --> 00:35:05,960
Speaker 1: There's Caesars. Caesars are still three and a half. There

815
00:35:05,960 --> 00:35:07,919
Speaker 1: are a couple three and a half's out there actually.

816
00:35:07,600 --> 00:35:10,239
Speaker 4: So you can get those three and a half. I

817
00:35:10,280 --> 00:35:12,680
Speaker 4: think you do it again. I think this Eagles team

818
00:35:12,760 --> 00:35:16,360
Speaker 4: is gonna surprise some people. And again, our offensive line

819
00:35:16,400 --> 00:35:19,080
Speaker 4: defensive line have a chance to be top five both

820
00:35:19,080 --> 00:35:22,080
Speaker 4: in So I'm taking the points with the Eagles.

821
00:35:21,760 --> 00:35:22,080
Speaker 2: All right.

822
00:35:22,120 --> 00:35:23,759
Speaker 1: I am staying away three and a half. You're right,

823
00:35:23,800 --> 00:35:25,719
Speaker 1: I would be more intrigued by that. And again I'm

824
00:35:25,719 --> 00:35:28,239
Speaker 1: looking the consensus line is three. The overwhelming majority of

825
00:35:28,239 --> 00:35:30,239
Speaker 1: books are at three, but there are three and a

826
00:35:30,239 --> 00:35:33,160
Speaker 1: half's out there for sure. So again that's why it's

827
00:35:33,160 --> 00:35:35,239
Speaker 1: always good just to check your sports book make sure

828
00:35:35,280 --> 00:35:37,360
Speaker 1: you get the best lines. I wouldn't mind the Eagles

829
00:35:37,360 --> 00:35:40,240
Speaker 1: at minus at plus three and a half, but otherwise

830
00:35:40,239 --> 00:35:42,919
Speaker 1: I'm really not touching it. What about the Lions at

831
00:35:42,920 --> 00:35:46,799
Speaker 1: home getting seven and a half from the forty nine ers.

832
00:35:47,760 --> 00:35:50,439
Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean this is this is one of those

833
00:35:50,480 --> 00:35:52,919
Speaker 4: games that everyone is gonna pick the forty nine ers

834
00:35:53,360 --> 00:35:57,520
Speaker 4: in their survivor pool. And then that's why that reason

835
00:35:57,600 --> 00:36:01,160
Speaker 4: alone I like the Lions. The Jimmy g is a

836
00:36:01,200 --> 00:36:03,400
Speaker 4: seven and a half point road favorite to me is

837
00:36:03,680 --> 00:36:04,880
Speaker 4: just too crazy.

838
00:36:05,480 --> 00:36:07,840
Speaker 3: I think I think you got to take the lines

839
00:36:07,880 --> 00:36:08,600
Speaker 3: in the points.

840
00:36:09,040 --> 00:36:12,799
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm not going anywhere near this because you know,

841
00:36:12,880 --> 00:36:14,680
Speaker 1: even if even if it looks like the fortnit are

842
00:36:14,680 --> 00:36:16,200
Speaker 1: going to run with it, I'm worried Dan Campbell's just

843
00:36:16,239 --> 00:36:18,040
Speaker 1: gonna run out there and smack them in the kneecaffs

844
00:36:18,080 --> 00:36:21,719
Speaker 1: or something like that. It sounded crazy, Yeah, I think

845
00:36:22,640 --> 00:36:24,520
Speaker 1: I think that you laid it out correctly, which is

846
00:36:25,000 --> 00:36:27,439
Speaker 1: the value is actually on the Lions here at seven

847
00:36:27,440 --> 00:36:30,280
Speaker 1: and a half, because you have Jimmy Croppolo as.

848
00:36:30,120 --> 00:36:31,359
Speaker 2: A starting quarterback on the road.

849
00:36:31,680 --> 00:36:33,239
Speaker 1: There's just no way I'm going to dabble in it,

850
00:36:33,320 --> 00:36:35,360
Speaker 1: like I'm just staying completely away from it. But I

851
00:36:35,400 --> 00:36:37,080
Speaker 1: do think that that is where the value the game

852
00:36:37,120 --> 00:36:40,400
Speaker 1: everybody has been talking about for I mean weeks. At

853
00:36:40,400 --> 00:36:42,200
Speaker 1: this point, the only thing everybody wants to watch this

854
00:36:42,239 --> 00:36:45,720
Speaker 1: weekend is, of course, the Texans hosting the Jaguars laying

855
00:36:45,719 --> 00:36:46,560
Speaker 1: three points.

856
00:36:46,920 --> 00:36:48,600
Speaker 2: What are you doing with this? If anything?

857
00:36:48,719 --> 00:36:53,120
Speaker 4: Well, Tyrod Taylor as a starter twenty four, twenty one

858
00:36:53,360 --> 00:36:57,520
Speaker 4: and one, the Jags were a one win team. Now

859
00:36:57,560 --> 00:37:00,759
Speaker 4: you have a rookie quarterback and rookie head coach going

860
00:37:00,880 --> 00:37:03,480
Speaker 4: on the road as a road division favorite.

861
00:37:03,800 --> 00:37:06,200
Speaker 3: I think on principle alone, you have to take the Texans.

862
00:37:06,800 --> 00:37:08,120
Speaker 2: That is the correct answer.

863
00:37:08,120 --> 00:37:10,279
Speaker 1: That's something that I say at Tom the Fantasy of

864
00:37:10,280 --> 00:37:13,680
Speaker 1: podcasts a lot where they tease me, yes, I agree

865
00:37:13,680 --> 00:37:15,040
Speaker 1: with you, it's disgusting.

866
00:37:15,280 --> 00:37:16,160
Speaker 2: It's disgusting.

867
00:37:16,520 --> 00:37:19,480
Speaker 1: But the value is very clearly on the Texans here.

868
00:37:19,520 --> 00:37:22,000
Speaker 1: We have not seen very much from the Jaguars right

869
00:37:22,000 --> 00:37:24,680
Speaker 1: now and everything. Given the situation, that suggests that they're

870
00:37:24,680 --> 00:37:27,360
Speaker 1: going to be able to, you know, have a big

871
00:37:27,440 --> 00:37:30,520
Speaker 1: time performance here. I don't mind the over by the way, again,

872
00:37:30,560 --> 00:37:32,279
Speaker 1: another thing where I was like under, under, under, and

873
00:37:32,280 --> 00:37:33,840
Speaker 1: then I'm like, oh, what about all these over is

874
00:37:33,880 --> 00:37:35,680
Speaker 1: the forty four and a half points, that's pretty low.

875
00:37:35,800 --> 00:37:37,239
Speaker 1: I do think both sides will be able to put

876
00:37:37,280 --> 00:37:39,240
Speaker 1: up some points here. But yeah, you're right, Toron Taylor,

877
00:37:39,719 --> 00:37:41,680
Speaker 1: he's fine. Brandon Cooks is going to get his They

878
00:37:41,719 --> 00:37:44,000
Speaker 1: have like seventeen thousand crappy running backs.

879
00:37:44,040 --> 00:37:46,040
Speaker 2: They'll be able to move the ball. So we'll see.

880
00:37:46,080 --> 00:37:48,520
Speaker 1: They did just trade out Bradley Roby, but no, begaint,

881
00:37:48,520 --> 00:37:49,400
Speaker 1: we're not gonna talk about that.

882
00:37:49,360 --> 00:37:53,840
Speaker 3: They talked about it. The Texans have some issues that they.

883
00:37:53,680 --> 00:37:56,120
Speaker 1: Have one or two issues. They will be the worst

884
00:37:56,120 --> 00:37:58,280
Speaker 1: team in the league. But you know what, the Jaguars

885
00:37:58,320 --> 00:37:59,799
Speaker 1: were the worst team in the league last year.

886
00:38:00,320 --> 00:38:02,120
Speaker 3: That's a great example.

887
00:38:02,160 --> 00:38:06,000
Speaker 4: That Jags Colts game, and I had the Jags and

888
00:38:06,080 --> 00:38:09,200
Speaker 4: the Lions game and the Texans game both kind of

889
00:38:09,360 --> 00:38:11,520
Speaker 4: look like similar to me, similar situations.

890
00:38:11,960 --> 00:38:13,759
Speaker 1: Yeah, fun fact, by the way, that reminds me about

891
00:38:13,800 --> 00:38:15,719
Speaker 1: the Colts as we like. The Sea Houxley Colts have

892
00:38:15,840 --> 00:38:18,480
Speaker 1: not won an opener since twenty.

893
00:38:18,239 --> 00:38:21,680
Speaker 3: Thirteen, so that I'm gonna steal that nugget, do it

894
00:38:22,200 --> 00:38:22,560
Speaker 3: all right?

895
00:38:22,640 --> 00:38:27,760
Speaker 1: The Chargers getting one and a half in Washington?

896
00:38:28,000 --> 00:38:29,520
Speaker 3: Who do you like now?

897
00:38:29,680 --> 00:38:32,640
Speaker 4: This game is I think quietly one of the better

898
00:38:32,680 --> 00:38:35,959
Speaker 4: games on the board. And you could talk me into

899
00:38:36,080 --> 00:38:37,840
Speaker 4: either side here pretty easily.

900
00:38:38,800 --> 00:38:40,480
Speaker 3: I think early lean.

901
00:38:40,520 --> 00:38:43,040
Speaker 4: Here would have to be the Washington football team just

902
00:38:43,040 --> 00:38:45,080
Speaker 4: because they're at home and it's a crazy flight for

903
00:38:45,120 --> 00:38:45,760
Speaker 4: a new coach.

904
00:38:46,160 --> 00:38:47,960
Speaker 3: But yeah, I mean this should be a hell of

905
00:38:47,960 --> 00:38:48,319
Speaker 3: a game.

906
00:38:48,920 --> 00:38:49,799
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm with you.

907
00:38:49,920 --> 00:38:54,680
Speaker 1: I mean I thought about taking Washington plus one here

908
00:38:54,800 --> 00:38:56,920
Speaker 1: as the home dog as one of my picks.

909
00:38:57,080 --> 00:38:57,640
Speaker 2: I do like it.

910
00:38:57,640 --> 00:38:59,000
Speaker 1: It's one of the spreads that I like a little

911
00:38:59,040 --> 00:39:01,719
Speaker 1: bit more. Agan Washington is going to surprise some people.

912
00:39:01,719 --> 00:39:04,200
Speaker 1: It came out a little earlier now. Doesn't sound like

913
00:39:04,239 --> 00:39:06,799
Speaker 1: Curtis Samuel necessarily is going to play. He was trending up,

914
00:39:06,840 --> 00:39:09,440
Speaker 1: but sounds like a little bit. It doesn't do that

915
00:39:09,600 --> 00:39:11,960
Speaker 1: much for me. I think Antonio Gibson's going to be

916
00:39:11,960 --> 00:39:16,000
Speaker 1: a monster. I love Logan Thomas, Course, Terry McLaurin, and Fitzpatrick.

917
00:39:16,200 --> 00:39:19,759
Speaker 1: There's always the chance that Fitzpatrick Fitzpatrick's and it goes

918
00:39:19,920 --> 00:39:20,760
Speaker 1: terribly sideways.

919
00:39:22,000 --> 00:39:22,719
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm with you.

920
00:39:22,760 --> 00:39:26,080
Speaker 4: I think Fitzpatrick game one this is where you're like, yeah,

921
00:39:26,200 --> 00:39:29,120
Speaker 4: the Washington football team, they're gonna win the division. And

922
00:39:29,160 --> 00:39:31,839
Speaker 4: we actually had the one of the directors from win

923
00:39:31,960 --> 00:39:35,719
Speaker 4: Bett and they said their biggest MVP liability was Ryan Fitzpatrick,

924
00:39:35,760 --> 00:39:37,360
Speaker 4: which I had to laugh at.

925
00:39:37,640 --> 00:39:40,760
Speaker 3: I don't think. I don't think Fitzpatrick lasts this long.

926
00:39:40,880 --> 00:39:43,719
Speaker 4: Like there's a reason he's been in this league for

927
00:39:43,800 --> 00:39:46,800
Speaker 4: how many years and he only has one winning season,

928
00:39:46,920 --> 00:39:50,400
Speaker 4: starting all sixteen games. I think he eventually hits that

929
00:39:50,520 --> 00:39:53,520
Speaker 4: fitzmagic wall and we'll see. Maybe Heinike can kind of

930
00:39:53,560 --> 00:39:56,160
Speaker 4: carry them, but I think Game one is probably his spot.

931
00:39:56,280 --> 00:39:59,520
Speaker 3: So yeah, lean in a WFTS for sure.

932
00:40:00,160 --> 00:40:02,440
Speaker 1: And again we didn't even harp on the fact that

933
00:40:02,640 --> 00:40:05,719
Speaker 1: Washington has one of the better defenses in the league anyway, right,

934
00:40:06,320 --> 00:40:09,200
Speaker 1: And again the charge the Chargers are changing their system.

935
00:40:09,239 --> 00:40:11,560
Speaker 1: You know, I know Herbert was great last year, but

936
00:40:11,600 --> 00:40:13,600
Speaker 1: it was a it was a very you know, kind

937
00:40:13,640 --> 00:40:16,960
Speaker 1: of rookie friendly offensive system. It's a little more complicated

938
00:40:17,040 --> 00:40:19,240
Speaker 1: what they're doing right now. He could definitely struggle early.

939
00:40:19,320 --> 00:40:21,840
Speaker 1: So I think there is value on Washington here, you know.

940
00:40:22,200 --> 00:40:24,000
Speaker 4: Yeah, and they didn't they didn't play any of their

941
00:40:24,040 --> 00:40:27,480
Speaker 4: starters in the preseason. Now you got this crazy road trip.

942
00:40:27,520 --> 00:40:29,360
Speaker 4: I think they could start a little slow.

943
00:40:29,880 --> 00:40:32,240
Speaker 2: Look at us, we're talking ourselves right into Washington.

944
00:40:32,480 --> 00:40:36,200
Speaker 1: My eyes, new best bet replaces the Seahawks absolutely.

945
00:40:37,000 --> 00:40:39,120
Speaker 2: Bill's lank six and a half at home to the Steelers.

946
00:40:39,520 --> 00:40:40,399
Speaker 3: This is another one.

947
00:40:40,520 --> 00:40:43,840
Speaker 4: I've kind of been going back and forth on the TJ.

948
00:40:44,000 --> 00:40:47,440
Speaker 4: Watt news to me is big. You know, I was

949
00:40:47,520 --> 00:40:50,439
Speaker 4: refreshing Twitter right before we got on the show.

950
00:40:50,480 --> 00:40:50,719
Speaker 3: Here.

951
00:40:50,960 --> 00:40:53,319
Speaker 2: He did practice today, didn't he? I thought I saw that.

952
00:40:53,520 --> 00:40:56,280
Speaker 4: It seems like he's it seems like he's gonna play.

953
00:40:56,600 --> 00:40:58,080
Speaker 4: But just the fact that it's a little up in

954
00:40:58,120 --> 00:41:00,960
Speaker 4: the air scares me a little bit. I am high

955
00:41:01,000 --> 00:41:03,319
Speaker 4: on the Bills overall this season, but I liked I

956
00:41:03,440 --> 00:41:05,480
Speaker 4: liked what I saw on a big ben, you know,

957
00:41:05,600 --> 00:41:08,399
Speaker 4: slim down. I think again, you want to talk about

958
00:41:08,480 --> 00:41:11,919
Speaker 4: dark horse dfs plays that are super cheap.

959
00:41:11,960 --> 00:41:14,279
Speaker 3: Pat Fryarmouth, the Bills struggle with the tight end.

960
00:41:14,480 --> 00:41:16,719
Speaker 4: I'm high on him this season, so I would take

961
00:41:16,760 --> 00:41:18,440
Speaker 4: the I would take the Steelers in the points.

962
00:41:18,600 --> 00:41:20,279
Speaker 3: I don't think they're that bad this year.

963
00:41:21,200 --> 00:41:21,399
Speaker 2: Yeah.

964
00:41:21,440 --> 00:41:23,800
Speaker 1: By the way, you've mentioned DFS a couple of times.

965
00:41:23,840 --> 00:41:27,480
Speaker 1: I will just I'll tease everybody should just google Sean

966
00:41:27,520 --> 00:41:30,480
Speaker 1: Green and DFS, and yes you will. You would like

967
00:41:30,560 --> 00:41:33,280
Speaker 1: to take his advice. That's all I'm going to say. Okay,

968
00:41:33,320 --> 00:41:35,080
Speaker 1: I am with you, but I think there is value

969
00:41:35,160 --> 00:41:37,239
Speaker 1: on the Steeler. I'm not going near it. I'm just

970
00:41:37,320 --> 00:41:40,080
Speaker 1: not because I think the Bills could be absolutely monstrous

971
00:41:40,160 --> 00:41:41,400
Speaker 1: right now. Sorry, if you can hear that, that's my

972
00:41:41,440 --> 00:41:43,080
Speaker 1: garage are always open during a podcast.

973
00:41:43,480 --> 00:41:45,960
Speaker 2: I will take the Bills. I think the Bills could

974
00:41:46,000 --> 00:41:48,960
Speaker 2: be explosive, but I will take the Steelers if I

975
00:41:49,040 --> 00:41:51,040
Speaker 2: have to choose a side. I'm really staying away from it.

976
00:41:51,320 --> 00:41:55,239
Speaker 1: How about the Vikings laying three and a half to

977
00:41:55,600 --> 00:41:57,360
Speaker 1: the Bengals in Cincinnati.

978
00:41:58,400 --> 00:42:01,359
Speaker 4: Yeah, again, this is one where it's like way too

979
00:42:01,400 --> 00:42:04,799
Speaker 4: obvious and it kind of scares you because why, in

980
00:42:04,840 --> 00:42:08,279
Speaker 4: my mind, why who's taking the Bengals there? I think

981
00:42:08,320 --> 00:42:10,320
Speaker 4: the Bengals are getting a lot of kind of fantasy

982
00:42:10,400 --> 00:42:13,600
Speaker 4: hype because they're expected to throw the ball a ton

983
00:42:13,800 --> 00:42:16,560
Speaker 4: and you have Joe Burrow paired up with Jamar Chase,

984
00:42:16,920 --> 00:42:19,160
Speaker 4: Chase kind of had a down preseason. We'll see if

985
00:42:19,160 --> 00:42:22,440
Speaker 4: that actually matters to me. It seems like Joe Burrow

986
00:42:22,520 --> 00:42:24,759
Speaker 4: doesn't trust his knee yet. And if Joe Burrow doesn't

987
00:42:24,760 --> 00:42:27,520
Speaker 4: trust his knee, I'm not gonna trust his knee. I'm

988
00:42:27,520 --> 00:42:29,839
Speaker 4: gonna take Kirk Cousins here. It's not in prime time.

989
00:42:30,239 --> 00:42:32,000
Speaker 4: I think they get the job done.

990
00:42:32,640 --> 00:42:35,960
Speaker 1: There are a few threes out there which I obviously

991
00:42:36,040 --> 00:42:38,640
Speaker 1: like better for the push potential, such as points bet

992
00:42:38,640 --> 00:42:40,880
Speaker 1: and stuff like that, but still I agree with you.

993
00:42:40,920 --> 00:42:43,720
Speaker 1: I will take the Vikings I talked about in fantasy

994
00:42:43,719 --> 00:42:45,560
Speaker 1: the whole year. I think it's gonna be a little

995
00:42:45,560 --> 00:42:47,200
Speaker 1: bit of a slow start here for Burrow as he

996
00:42:47,280 --> 00:42:50,800
Speaker 1: just gets more mentally acclimated to the NFL again after

997
00:42:50,840 --> 00:42:52,920
Speaker 1: the injury. I think Jamar Chase, after taking euro of

998
00:42:52,920 --> 00:42:54,400
Speaker 1: from football, is gonna get off to a little bit

999
00:42:54,400 --> 00:42:56,440
Speaker 1: of a slow start. So I could see the Vikings

1000
00:42:56,440 --> 00:43:00,279
Speaker 1: winning handly here. So I lean Vikings plus my three

1001
00:43:00,280 --> 00:43:02,040
Speaker 1: and a half as well. We already talked about the

1002
00:43:02,120 --> 00:43:04,719
Speaker 1: justs Panthers. You love that bat, you fully support it.

1003
00:43:04,760 --> 00:43:09,720
Speaker 1: So let's go to the Saints getting the Packers, sorry,

1004
00:43:09,719 --> 00:43:12,240
Speaker 1: the Packers laying four and a half to the Saints

1005
00:43:12,880 --> 00:43:15,000
Speaker 1: in New Orleans. It's not in New Orleans, it's gonna

1006
00:43:15,000 --> 00:43:16,600
Speaker 1: be in Florida. But obviously it's a home game for

1007
00:43:16,640 --> 00:43:17,840
Speaker 1: the Saint so Packers laying for.

1008
00:43:18,440 --> 00:43:21,240
Speaker 4: Yeah, man, this is this one is on my list

1009
00:43:21,280 --> 00:43:24,319
Speaker 4: of like really Been Heaven and Hawn As far as

1010
00:43:24,480 --> 00:43:27,640
Speaker 4: figuring out the best to angle again, Aaron Rodgers has

1011
00:43:28,280 --> 00:43:30,880
Speaker 4: struggled in Florida and that's kind of why. The reason

1012
00:43:31,160 --> 00:43:33,719
Speaker 4: according to reports, that's why the Saints picked it is

1013
00:43:33,760 --> 00:43:37,040
Speaker 4: because he hasn't played right down in Florida and early

1014
00:43:37,120 --> 00:43:40,200
Speaker 4: in September. If there is someone that has experienced playing

1015
00:43:40,239 --> 00:43:42,680
Speaker 4: in that Florida heat in September, it's a guy like

1016
00:43:42,760 --> 00:43:45,799
Speaker 4: Jameis Winston. But again, then then you have the Saints

1017
00:43:45,880 --> 00:43:48,200
Speaker 4: Dome team going outside, and then are you really going

1018
00:43:48,280 --> 00:43:51,200
Speaker 4: to take Jamis over Aaron Rodgers?

1019
00:43:51,239 --> 00:43:52,880
Speaker 3: That feels a bit crazy as well.

1020
00:43:53,600 --> 00:43:56,840
Speaker 4: I think this could be a My lean would be

1021
00:43:56,920 --> 00:43:59,759
Speaker 4: the over here on this one, But I gone to

1022
00:43:59,800 --> 00:44:01,880
Speaker 4: my I would just take the points.

1023
00:44:02,400 --> 00:44:05,520
Speaker 1: Yeah, I am probably just staying away from it, like

1024
00:44:05,560 --> 00:44:06,120
Speaker 1: I don't.

1025
00:44:06,239 --> 00:44:08,680
Speaker 2: I can easily make the case.

1026
00:44:08,480 --> 00:44:10,239
Speaker 1: For the Packers in this game because I think that

1027
00:44:10,280 --> 00:44:12,879
Speaker 1: you get out of the Superdome. That's a pretty big

1028
00:44:12,920 --> 00:44:15,319
Speaker 1: move like there to go, even if it's Florida, you

1029
00:44:15,320 --> 00:44:17,839
Speaker 1: know where he purportedly struggles. The over under, by the way,

1030
00:44:17,880 --> 00:44:21,560
Speaker 1: consensus is fifty points, so I'm staying away from it.

1031
00:44:21,600 --> 00:44:24,240
Speaker 1: But if I had to go one way, I'd probably

1032
00:44:24,320 --> 00:44:26,800
Speaker 1: go the other way, and I'd probably go with the favorite,

1033
00:44:26,800 --> 00:44:29,280
Speaker 1: which is weird for us since you love all the favorites.

1034
00:44:29,719 --> 00:44:32,520
Speaker 2: All right, let's get to the next game, and that

1035
00:44:32,800 --> 00:44:35,240
Speaker 2: is we did that one. We did that one. Sorry.

1036
00:44:35,239 --> 00:44:39,200
Speaker 1: How about the Broncos laying three to the Giants in

1037
00:44:39,640 --> 00:44:40,320
Speaker 1: New Jersey?

1038
00:44:40,719 --> 00:44:42,200
Speaker 3: Oh yeah, and again this one.

1039
00:44:42,280 --> 00:44:44,800
Speaker 4: I've been kind of keeping an eye on the injury

1040
00:44:44,840 --> 00:44:49,880
Speaker 4: news slash arrest news with Bradley Chubb, who you know.

1041
00:44:50,239 --> 00:44:53,040
Speaker 4: It seemed on Tuesday he was gonna play at him

1042
00:44:53,040 --> 00:44:55,360
Speaker 4: and fant and now it seems like he's closer to

1043
00:44:55,480 --> 00:44:57,600
Speaker 4: not playing, but Fans is still gonna play.

1044
00:44:58,160 --> 00:44:58,960
Speaker 2: To me, Fenton.

1045
00:44:59,440 --> 00:45:03,160
Speaker 4: The match that I just can't unsee or unthink about

1046
00:45:03,360 --> 00:45:07,359
Speaker 4: is the Broncos pass rush against the Giants. I mean,

1047
00:45:07,640 --> 00:45:10,479
Speaker 4: I'm not high on Daniel Jones or their offensive line.

1048
00:45:10,480 --> 00:45:12,600
Speaker 4: I mean, their offensive line was really bad last year.

1049
00:45:12,960 --> 00:45:16,279
Speaker 4: It feels like they didn't do anything to seriously address it.

1050
00:45:16,600 --> 00:45:18,719
Speaker 4: He turns the ball over all the time, and you

1051
00:45:18,800 --> 00:45:20,719
Speaker 4: have Bridgewater on the other side, who plays a really

1052
00:45:20,719 --> 00:45:21,239
Speaker 4: clean game.

1053
00:45:21,280 --> 00:45:25,200
Speaker 1: So I'll take the Broncos absolutely correct. I completely agree

1054
00:45:25,200 --> 00:45:26,480
Speaker 1: with you. I think the Giants are going to be

1055
00:45:26,480 --> 00:45:29,279
Speaker 1: in big trouble in this game. Especially Saquan is in

1056
00:45:29,520 --> 00:45:31,920
Speaker 1: one hundred percent. Galladay is not one hundred percent. That

1057
00:45:32,000 --> 00:45:34,560
Speaker 1: offensive line is terrible. And by the way, the consensus

1058
00:45:34,600 --> 00:45:37,280
Speaker 1: line is three. That's where it is at most books bet, MGM,

1059
00:45:37,600 --> 00:45:39,560
Speaker 1: and fandle it's minus two and a half.

1060
00:45:39,719 --> 00:45:42,319
Speaker 2: Oh, get all over, get all over that. If you're

1061
00:45:42,360 --> 00:45:45,640
Speaker 2: in there. Brown's visiting the Chiefs. The Chiefs are six

1062
00:45:45,680 --> 00:45:46,799
Speaker 2: point favorites. What do you think?

1063
00:45:47,360 --> 00:45:50,359
Speaker 4: Yeah, this one again kind of keeping a chalky. I

1064
00:45:50,400 --> 00:45:52,359
Speaker 4: know everyone's high on the Browns, think they can make

1065
00:45:52,400 --> 00:45:56,720
Speaker 4: a run. But Andy Reid opening day, Yes, Andy Reid,

1066
00:45:56,760 --> 00:45:59,839
Speaker 4: I think he's nineteen to zher last nineteen games straight

1067
00:45:59,920 --> 00:46:03,680
Speaker 4: up up in September, you got Patrick Mahomes not laying

1068
00:46:03,800 --> 00:46:07,359
Speaker 4: more than double digits, and big picture, I do think

1069
00:46:07,400 --> 00:46:10,080
Speaker 4: the Chiefs kind of fixed their offensive line, which was

1070
00:46:10,640 --> 00:46:11,759
Speaker 4: a huge issue for them.

1071
00:46:11,840 --> 00:46:13,839
Speaker 3: They got some work in the preseason.

1072
00:46:13,920 --> 00:46:16,920
Speaker 4: He played his starters. I think they're looking pretty good,

1073
00:46:17,960 --> 00:46:21,800
Speaker 4: and you know, the Browns defense is solid, and obviously

1074
00:46:21,840 --> 00:46:23,680
Speaker 4: Hian Miles, Garrett and some of the other guys they got.

1075
00:46:23,719 --> 00:46:26,080
Speaker 4: But I think this is a statement game for the

1076
00:46:26,160 --> 00:46:27,720
Speaker 4: Chiefs after that Super Bowl loss.

1077
00:46:28,600 --> 00:46:30,680
Speaker 2: Entirely with you, and I like the Browns this year

1078
00:46:30,719 --> 00:46:31,000
Speaker 2: a lot.

1079
00:46:31,239 --> 00:46:34,120
Speaker 1: I'm totally buying them, absolutely, But you're gonna give me

1080
00:46:34,120 --> 00:46:37,359
Speaker 1: Patrick Mahomes in this game after that Super Bowl with

1081
00:46:37,560 --> 00:46:41,840
Speaker 1: Andy Reid in September at under a touchdown, I'm definitely

1082
00:46:41,920 --> 00:46:43,799
Speaker 1: taking it. In fact, I really should have pivoted to

1083
00:46:43,840 --> 00:46:45,680
Speaker 1: that game right after the death.

1084
00:46:45,719 --> 00:46:46,279
Speaker 2: But it's fine.

1085
00:46:46,320 --> 00:46:49,120
Speaker 1: I'll take a bunch of over dyers, all right, Rams

1086
00:46:49,280 --> 00:46:51,200
Speaker 1: at home lank seven and a half to the Bears.

1087
00:46:51,760 --> 00:46:54,240
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm taking the I'm taking the points here.

1088
00:46:54,920 --> 00:46:58,520
Speaker 4: I know people are worried about the Bears, their offensive line.

1089
00:46:59,120 --> 00:47:02,080
Speaker 4: I still think fantasy wise, I do like David Montgomery.

1090
00:47:02,280 --> 00:47:05,600
Speaker 4: I think he keeps them in the game enough. And again,

1091
00:47:05,640 --> 00:47:09,959
Speaker 4: it's you know, Stafford, new system, new head coach. Maybe

1092
00:47:10,000 --> 00:47:12,000
Speaker 4: there's a couple things they got to work out there.

1093
00:47:12,200 --> 00:47:15,239
Speaker 4: You could apply the same thing to the Bears. But

1094
00:47:15,320 --> 00:47:19,160
Speaker 4: it's it's Week one, Sunday night, Football National TV. I

1095
00:47:19,200 --> 00:47:21,200
Speaker 4: think there's gonna be a ton of Bears fans there,

1096
00:47:21,640 --> 00:47:23,880
Speaker 4: so I think they get up for this game enough

1097
00:47:23,920 --> 00:47:25,000
Speaker 4: to keep it within seven.

1098
00:47:25,640 --> 00:47:26,799
Speaker 2: Yeah. I'm on the other side.

1099
00:47:26,840 --> 00:47:28,600
Speaker 1: I think if I have to go, I look, I

1100
00:47:28,760 --> 00:47:33,200
Speaker 1: just I fear for Andy Dalton and what it things

1101
00:47:33,239 --> 00:47:33,920
Speaker 1: are gonna look like.

1102
00:47:34,320 --> 00:47:36,960
Speaker 3: In my head, it's justin Field's I get it.

1103
00:47:37,239 --> 00:47:40,680
Speaker 4: So you're right, Andy Dalton in prime time probably a

1104
00:47:40,719 --> 00:47:41,760
Speaker 4: good reason to fade.

1105
00:47:41,920 --> 00:47:43,680
Speaker 3: The number just seems a hair hut.

1106
00:47:43,760 --> 00:47:44,839
Speaker 2: I get it. The number.

1107
00:47:45,000 --> 00:47:47,200
Speaker 1: The number is correct, I think because it is something

1108
00:47:47,239 --> 00:47:49,719
Speaker 1: you're over a touchdowns really tough. But for me, I

1109
00:47:49,800 --> 00:47:52,879
Speaker 1: love Matthew Stafford. I'm very high in the Rams as

1110
00:47:52,880 --> 00:47:55,520
Speaker 1: most people are this year. I love that defense. I

1111
00:47:55,520 --> 00:47:57,719
Speaker 1: fear for Andy Dalton, so I'm willing to bite the

1112
00:47:57,719 --> 00:47:59,959
Speaker 1: ball a little bit and lay the points. Final game,

1113
00:48:00,480 --> 00:48:03,680
Speaker 1: the Raiders getting four and a half from the Ravens

1114
00:48:03,880 --> 00:48:05,799
Speaker 1: in Las Vegas.

1115
00:48:06,840 --> 00:48:08,160
Speaker 3: Yeah, this is another one.

1116
00:48:09,160 --> 00:48:13,000
Speaker 4: It's hard to go against a Monday night home dog

1117
00:48:13,200 --> 00:48:17,439
Speaker 4: opening up the stadium, So I you know, I'm really

1118
00:48:17,440 --> 00:48:19,200
Speaker 4: going back and forth year on this one.

1119
00:48:19,239 --> 00:48:20,200
Speaker 3: I would my.

1120
00:48:20,320 --> 00:48:23,560
Speaker 4: Lean would be right now of Raiders, but I could

1121
00:48:23,640 --> 00:48:27,759
Speaker 4: change my mind by Monday. This one's tough because you know,

1122
00:48:27,880 --> 00:48:32,960
Speaker 4: the Baltimore offense has had so many issues, injuries, everything.

1123
00:48:33,440 --> 00:48:36,120
Speaker 4: But then you're really going to back this Raiders team

1124
00:48:36,120 --> 00:48:39,440
Speaker 4: which has had to you know, weird offseason as well.

1125
00:48:39,840 --> 00:48:42,080
Speaker 4: I got, you know, all things being equal, I think

1126
00:48:42,080 --> 00:48:45,040
Speaker 4: you should take a Monday night football home dog at

1127
00:48:45,040 --> 00:48:45,600
Speaker 4: four and a half.

1128
00:48:45,680 --> 00:48:48,480
Speaker 3: But I'm not a huge Gruden or Raiders fan.

1129
00:48:49,120 --> 00:48:52,120
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm staying away, but if forced to go one way,

1130
00:48:52,200 --> 00:48:55,440
Speaker 1: I actually would go with the Raiders because I think

1131
00:48:55,440 --> 00:48:57,600
Speaker 1: that place is gonna be nuts, and I don't think

1132
00:48:57,640 --> 00:48:59,160
Speaker 1: that everybody else is.

1133
00:48:59,160 --> 00:48:59,799
Speaker 2: Ready for it.

1134
00:49:00,040 --> 00:49:02,640
Speaker 1: Also, frankly, I mean, what if Baltimore the Ravens going

1135
00:49:02,680 --> 00:49:04,640
Speaker 1: to spend a couple of days in Vegas right leading

1136
00:49:04,719 --> 00:49:06,640
Speaker 1: up to it at whenever they travel out there. That's

1137
00:49:06,719 --> 00:49:09,080
Speaker 1: my mess with you a little bit. So yeah, right,

1138
00:49:09,120 --> 00:49:11,200
Speaker 1: all right, So we've got a couple of things. Let's

1139
00:49:11,239 --> 00:49:13,680
Speaker 1: just very briefly again recapt the official plays. You've got

1140
00:49:13,680 --> 00:49:15,600
Speaker 1: the Seahawks lank two and a half against the Colts,

1141
00:49:15,760 --> 00:49:18,840
Speaker 1: the Titans length three to the Cardinals, and the Pats

1142
00:49:18,920 --> 00:49:22,000
Speaker 1: length three to the Dolphins. I am taking the Cardinals

1143
00:49:22,040 --> 00:49:24,719
Speaker 1: and the Titans over fifty two and a half the

1144
00:49:24,719 --> 00:49:28,040
Speaker 1: Falcons and the Eagles over forty eight and the Jets

1145
00:49:28,120 --> 00:49:30,840
Speaker 1: length five and a half to the Panthers. If you

1146
00:49:30,880 --> 00:49:32,680
Speaker 1: want to sub out one of my over unders because

1147
00:49:32,680 --> 00:49:34,399
Speaker 1: you're like I don't accept over unders as a pick,

1148
00:49:34,719 --> 00:49:37,399
Speaker 1: that's fine. My other one would be the Chiefs lank

1149
00:49:37,480 --> 00:49:39,880
Speaker 1: six to the Browns. I could also be convinced to

1150
00:49:39,920 --> 00:49:43,840
Speaker 1: take the Washington football team laying one to the Chargers.

1151
00:49:44,000 --> 00:49:46,279
Speaker 2: Sean, this was great. I love kicking off.

1152
00:49:46,480 --> 00:49:47,000
Speaker 3: I loved it.

1153
00:49:47,040 --> 00:49:48,960
Speaker 2: I loved it. Remind everybody where they can find all

1154
00:49:48,960 --> 00:49:50,120
Speaker 2: of you in your work and all.

1155
00:49:50,080 --> 00:49:50,520
Speaker 3: The good stuff.

1156
00:49:50,560 --> 00:49:54,360
Speaker 4: Oh yeah, Sports Gambling Podcast. We actually just our network

1157
00:49:54,400 --> 00:49:57,920
Speaker 4: as GPN. We launched an app, so that's the easiest

1158
00:49:57,920 --> 00:49:59,719
Speaker 4: way to get all our picks podcasts.

1159
00:49:59,719 --> 00:50:02,680
Speaker 3: It's all for free. We're doing a contest. It's free

1160
00:50:02,719 --> 00:50:03,239
Speaker 3: to enter.

1161
00:50:03,880 --> 00:50:05,680
Speaker 4: You have a chance to win one hundred thousand dollars

1162
00:50:05,840 --> 00:50:08,960
Speaker 4: NFL Week one. You have to pick a bunch of

1163
00:50:09,000 --> 00:50:11,799
Speaker 4: things correct, so it's a it's a long shot, but

1164
00:50:11,840 --> 00:50:14,399
Speaker 4: again it's free. The podcast free, the picks are free,

1165
00:50:14,400 --> 00:50:17,680
Speaker 4: So SGPN in the app Store, Google Play Store, give

1166
00:50:17,760 --> 00:50:20,879
Speaker 4: us a fall on Twitter at Gambling Podcast and yeah,

1167
00:50:20,960 --> 00:50:22,240
Speaker 4: let it ride let's go baby.

1168
00:50:22,239 --> 00:50:22,719
Speaker 3: Week one.

1169
00:50:23,080 --> 00:50:25,440
Speaker 4: It feels like going back to school if school was

1170
00:50:25,800 --> 00:50:27,440
Speaker 4: being a degenerate sports gambler.

1171
00:50:27,880 --> 00:50:30,640
Speaker 1: It is last, especially after last year where it was

1172
00:50:30,680 --> 00:50:32,560
Speaker 1: just this weird kind of thing, you know.

1173
00:50:33,360 --> 00:50:36,680
Speaker 2: Now it's just it's all gravy. It's all wonderful, all right.

1174
00:50:36,719 --> 00:50:37,640
Speaker 2: I really appreciate it coming on.

1175
00:50:37,719 --> 00:50:39,720
Speaker 1: And you guys, by the way, you should be following Sean.

1176
00:50:39,800 --> 00:50:43,839
Speaker 1: You should be following the Sports Gambling Network podcast. They're hilarious,

1177
00:50:43,920 --> 00:50:46,440
Speaker 1: by the way. It's not only just entertaining, they give

1178
00:50:46,480 --> 00:50:48,560
Speaker 1: great advice. So really, I appreciate you coming on.

1179
00:50:48,719 --> 00:50:49,440
Speaker 3: We will have you.

1180
00:50:49,400 --> 00:50:50,239
Speaker 2: Back for sure.

1181
00:50:50,840 --> 00:50:53,640
Speaker 1: We will exchange picks beforehand so that we don't have

1182
00:50:53,680 --> 00:50:55,200
Speaker 1: to worry about me randomly.

1183
00:50:56,480 --> 00:50:57,600
Speaker 3: I'm gonna I'm gonna.

1184
00:50:57,360 --> 00:51:01,080
Speaker 4: Put in a parlay of our official five, so we'll

1185
00:51:01,080 --> 00:51:03,759
Speaker 4: see maybe I come back and yeah, we'll see how

1186
00:51:03,760 --> 00:51:04,200
Speaker 4: that goes.

1187
00:51:04,680 --> 00:51:06,400
Speaker 2: I'm in. I'm in, all right.

1188
00:51:06,600 --> 00:51:10,160
Speaker 1: So again, we'll be back here on Monday, giving us

1189
00:51:10,200 --> 00:51:12,759
Speaker 1: an early look in the lines. The meantime, enjoy your

1190
00:51:12,840 --> 00:51:25,760
Speaker 1: Week one football, everybody, and we will catch it next week.