WEBVTT - Bloomberg Daybreak: December 27, 2022 - Hour 1 (Radio)

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<v Speaker 1>Live from the Bloomberg Interactive Berger Studios. This is Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 1>day Break for Tuesday, December seven two. Coming up, the

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<v Speaker 1>shower stocks and China gain as the country continues to

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<v Speaker 1>roll back COVID measures. That's something to lift us futures

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<v Speaker 1>as we close out the last trading week of the year,

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<v Speaker 1>and President Biden declares an emergency in the state of

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<v Speaker 1>New York because of the winter storm. New York GOP

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<v Speaker 1>representative Alex Santos admits he lied about its job experience.

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<v Speaker 1>Plus Democrats called Texas Governor Rabbits actions on migrants of

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<v Speaker 1>dangerous stunt. I'm Michael Barr more ahead, I'm John stash

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<v Speaker 1>Our in sports Red Hot, and that's been at nine

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<v Speaker 1>wins in a row with a win in Cleveland. Mike

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<v Speaker 1>White is back as the Jets starting quarterback. That's all's

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<v Speaker 1>trendyhead on Bloomberg Daybreak on Bloomberg Eliving Free on New York,

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg one, Washington, d C, Bloomberg one oh six one, Boston,

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg nine sixties and Francisco Sirius x M one nine

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<v Speaker 1>team and around the world. Then Bloomberg Radio dot Com

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<v Speaker 1>and via the Bloomberg Business app. Good morning. I'm John

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<v Speaker 1>Tucker and I'm Karen Moscow and US stock index futures

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<v Speaker 1>are on the rise this morning, and we checked the

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<v Speaker 1>markets all day long here on bloomberg SMP futures up

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<v Speaker 1>twenty seven points or seven tenths of upper cent, DEAF

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<v Speaker 1>futures up six tens of upper cent or two hundred

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<v Speaker 1>eleven points. And as the futures up six tensive upper

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<v Speaker 1>cent er seventy points ten, your treasury up one thirty second.

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<v Speaker 1>You have three point seven four percent. They yield on

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<v Speaker 1>the two year at four point three three percent. NIMEX

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<v Speaker 1>screwed oil is up six ten percent or forty nine

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<v Speaker 1>cents at eighty dollars five cents of barrel comex s

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<v Speaker 1>called up seven tens per cent or eleven dollars seventy

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<v Speaker 1>cents at eighteen fifteen eighty announced. The euro one point

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<v Speaker 1>oh six five two against the dollar, the yen one

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<v Speaker 1>thirty three point one nine, John and Karen, As we

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<v Speaker 1>wait for stocks to begin trading here in the US

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<v Speaker 1>on this short and trading week, Equities in Asia are higher.

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<v Speaker 1>China continues to roll back COVID measures and that is

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<v Speaker 1>boosting sentiment in the region. Let's get the recap from

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Daybreak Asia anchor Brian Curtis. In Hong Kong, Asian

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<v Speaker 1>stocks powered higher on the China news of ditching quarantine rules.

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<v Speaker 1>Traveling consumer good stocks jumped. It was a risk on day,

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<v Speaker 1>with US and European equity futures also higher and the

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<v Speaker 1>dollar lower. Investors also embraced the cooling of a key

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<v Speaker 1>inflation measure in the United States. Oil and gold also bounced.

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<v Speaker 1>Indexes of US, Asian and global stocks still remained down

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<v Speaker 1>about this year. It's the worst annual performance since two

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<v Speaker 1>thousand and eight. In Hong Kong, Brian Turtis Bloomberg day Break,

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<v Speaker 1>Ry Brian, thank you all. And geopolitical news. US China

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<v Speaker 1>tensions are in focus again. The US is criticizing Beijing's

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<v Speaker 1>military drills near Taiwan this week. The National Security Council

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<v Speaker 1>called the exercises provocative and said it will continue to

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<v Speaker 1>help Taiwan defend itself. Last week, US lawmakers agree to

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<v Speaker 1>a spending bill that included two billion dollars and weapons

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<v Speaker 1>funding for Taiwan. And back here in New York, Karen

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<v Speaker 1>nasty bout of winter weather has resulted in twenty eight

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<v Speaker 1>deaths and crippled parts of the state, and now President

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<v Speaker 1>Biden has approved a disaster declaration in New York. Let's

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<v Speaker 1>get the story this morning from Bloomberg's Michael Barr. The

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<v Speaker 1>Buffalo area got at least four ft of snow, and

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<v Speaker 1>moore is expected today. New York Governor Kathy Hukel, we

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<v Speaker 1>have been to a lot of wars together, and this

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<v Speaker 1>blizzard is the one for the ages. Certainly, it is

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<v Speaker 1>the blizzard of the century. Those who died around Buffalo

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<v Speaker 1>were found in cars, homes, and snow banks. Some died

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<v Speaker 1>while shoveling snow. Buffalo Mayor Byron Brown says they are

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<v Speaker 1>also dealing with power outages and lack of heat. I'm

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<v Speaker 1>myself and my family were without power. I can tell

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<v Speaker 1>you at one point the temperature in our home got

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<v Speaker 1>down to about forty degrees. It was very uncomfortable. We

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<v Speaker 1>had to layer up. Mayor Brown says some people have

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<v Speaker 1>been without power since Friday in New York. Michael Barr,

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Daybreak. All right, Michael, thank you are The bad

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<v Speaker 1>weather across the country is also hitting air travel hard,

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<v Speaker 1>and we get that part of the story. Live with

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<v Speaker 1>the Bloomberry. Steve Rappaport, it's Steve, good morning, Good morning,

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<v Speaker 1>Karen and John. Airlines are scrambling to catch up after

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<v Speaker 1>a winter storm canceled thousands of flights during the Christmas

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<v Speaker 1>travel rush. The flight tracking website flight of Where shows

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<v Speaker 1>more than twenty hundred flights grounded today. Southwest was the

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<v Speaker 1>worst hit yesterday, accounting for nearly seventy of the cancelations nationwide.

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<v Speaker 1>Southwest Senior director Jim McVeigh, as the storm continued to

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<v Speaker 1>sweep across the country, the cancelations just compiled one after another,

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<v Speaker 1>and as a results, we end up with flight cruise

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<v Speaker 1>and airplanes that are out of place and not in

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<v Speaker 1>the cities that they need to be in to continue

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<v Speaker 1>to run our operations. McVeigh says the airline is doing

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<v Speaker 1>everything it can to write the current challenges. Southwest stock

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<v Speaker 1>is down about three percent in pre market trading Live

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<v Speaker 1>in New York. I'm Steve Rappaport, Bloomberg Daybreak, Steve, Thanks

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<v Speaker 1>and turning back to the markets were closing out the

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<v Speaker 1>last trading week of a dismal year for equities. SMP

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<v Speaker 1>is down more than harder hit. His been the tech

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<v Speaker 1>heavy NASDAG, which has lost a third of its value.

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<v Speaker 1>Jonathan Gallab is the chief US equity strategist at Credit Sweeze.

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<v Speaker 1>I think that this problem that we've had in tech

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<v Speaker 1>is not a sentiment problem. It's an earnings problem, and

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<v Speaker 1>it doesn't last for three or four quarters. It last

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<v Speaker 1>for six or eight quarters. And a lot of these

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<v Speaker 1>big tech companies that two or three years ago we

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<v Speaker 1>said they have modes, they're impenetrable, and we talked in

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<v Speaker 1>those terms. Um, a lot of those companies are are

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<v Speaker 1>getting closer to total addressable market, whether that's in handsets

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<v Speaker 1>or advertising or other things like that. Jonathan gallabat Credit

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<v Speaker 1>Swiss thinks the resilient consumer will keep the U s

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<v Speaker 1>out of recession. Well, John once a pandemic Darling. Peloton

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<v Speaker 1>disappointed investors last month with the holiday forecast that missed estimates.

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<v Speaker 1>Now it has a plan to help recoup some of

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<v Speaker 1>those losses. We get the details TROUM Bloomberg's Erika Herschowitz

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<v Speaker 1>Peloton at least the statement Monday's saying it will begin

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<v Speaker 1>offering refurbished bikes at discounts of up to five hundred

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<v Speaker 1>dollars below new model prices. The price tag on a

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<v Speaker 1>certified refurbished model will range from eleven forty five dollars.

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<v Speaker 1>That's three hundred to five hundred dollars below current prices.

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<v Speaker 1>The refurbished bikes come with the same twelve month limited

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<v Speaker 1>warranty as the new ones and include delivery and set up.

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<v Speaker 1>The company's All Access membership is sold separately. Shares a

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<v Speaker 1>peloton or down this year, Erica Hurwitz, Bloomberg Radio thanks

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<v Speaker 1>Erica Shares of AMC Entertainment. They're continuing their slide. This

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<v Speaker 1>morning they were down another seven percent, enter falling sevent

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<v Speaker 1>percent on Thursday and Friday. The company is proposing to

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<v Speaker 1>convert preferred equity units into common shares, along with a

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<v Speaker 1>ten to one reverse stock split. Well, the price of

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<v Speaker 1>oil also on the rise this morning. John China has

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<v Speaker 1>taken more steps to unwind it's COVID zero policy, which

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<v Speaker 1>could increase demand. Straight ahead, we have your latest local headlines,

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<v Speaker 1>plus a check of sports, and this is Bloomberg the

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<v Speaker 1>Boomberg Weather for it today becoming partly study the high

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<v Speaker 1>temperature topic out at about thirty five degrees time. Down

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<v Speaker 1>for a look at some of the other stories making

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<v Speaker 1>news in New York adds around the world, and for

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<v Speaker 1>that we're joined by Bloomberg's Michael Barr Michael, good Morning,

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<v Speaker 1>Good Morning John. Representative Elec George Santos of New York

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<v Speaker 1>admitted that he lied about his job experience and college

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<v Speaker 1>education during his successful campaign for a seat in the

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<v Speaker 1>US House. In an interview with The New York Post

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<v Speaker 1>in w ABC radio, the Long Island Republicans said, my

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<v Speaker 1>sins here are embellishing my resume. I'm sorry. A lot

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<v Speaker 1>of people overstayed in their resumes or um twist a

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<v Speaker 1>little bit, or ingrandjate themselves. I'm not saying I'm not

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<v Speaker 1>guilty of that. I'm just saying I've done so much

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<v Speaker 1>good work in my career. The New York Times raised

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<v Speaker 1>questions last week about the life story that Santos had

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<v Speaker 1>presented during his campaign, including that he had worked for

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<v Speaker 1>City Group and Goldman Sachs. Neither company could find any

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<v Speaker 1>records verifying that. In Connecticut, the twenty two year veteran

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<v Speaker 1>of the North Haven Fire Department has died from injuries

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<v Speaker 1>he sustained while working ablaze at a four family home.

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<v Speaker 1>The department identified the firefighter is forty six year old

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<v Speaker 1>mattheist Wortz. The Connecticut State Police are investigating the cause

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<v Speaker 1>of the blaze, which displaced thirteen residents on Christmas night.

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<v Speaker 1>The Biden administration is accusing Texas Governor Gregg Abbot of

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<v Speaker 1>endangering lives all in the name of politics. Three buses

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<v Speaker 1>of migrants traveled from Texas and were left in the

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<v Speaker 1>bitter cold outside Vice Presidents Kamala Harris's official residence. Ukraine's

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<v Speaker 1>foreign minister has said that his nation wants a summit

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<v Speaker 1>to end the war, but he doesn't anticipate Russia taking part.

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<v Speaker 1>The Metro Kuleba says that his government wants a peace

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<v Speaker 1>summit within two months at the United Nations with the

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<v Speaker 1>Secretary General Antonio Gutera as mediator. Every war ends as

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<v Speaker 1>a result of uh the actions taking at the battlefield

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<v Speaker 1>and at the negotiating table. But the balance of what

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<v Speaker 1>will be one on the battlefield and what will be

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<v Speaker 1>one at the table it remains to be seen. Foreign

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<v Speaker 1>Minister Calai But also told the Associated Press that Russia

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<v Speaker 1>must face a war crimes tribunal. Global News twenty four

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<v Speaker 1>hours a day on air and on Bloomberg Quicktake, powered

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<v Speaker 1>by more than hundred journalists, analysts more than a D

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<v Speaker 1>twenty countries. Michael Barr and this is Bloomberg, John, Michael,

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<v Speaker 1>thank you, And it's a five a way to Wall

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<v Speaker 1>Street time. But the sports were court being brought to

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<v Speaker 1>you by your trime state. How do you dealer a

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<v Speaker 1>good morning? John Stashour, Good morning, John. The Jets have

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<v Speaker 1>four quarterbacks. They've used all four. They started three. Zack

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<v Speaker 1>Wilson's gone from first string, down to third and up

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<v Speaker 1>to second, back to first. Now he's back to third

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<v Speaker 1>string or maybe fourth, and he'll be inactive for the

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<v Speaker 1>Jets Sunday in Seattle. Mike White has recovered from his

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<v Speaker 1>injured ribs. He'll start with Joe Flacco, the backup Jets got.

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<v Speaker 1>Robert Sala asked where things stand with Wilson. I still

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<v Speaker 1>think he's got a future here. I still think he's

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<v Speaker 1>gonna be a really good quarterback. Uh. He just he

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<v Speaker 1>needs time to just kind of sit back and continue

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<v Speaker 1>the development that we're trying to rekick start, if you will,

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<v Speaker 1>after the New England game. But I still have him

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<v Speaker 1>in our future, in our in our plans. This runs

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<v Speaker 1>contrary to report on Fox that the Jets have decided

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<v Speaker 1>to move on from Wilson after this season. The Colts

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<v Speaker 1>with their third different starting QB and one time Super

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<v Speaker 1>Bowl hero Nick Bole through three interceptions, the Chargers won

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<v Speaker 1>twenty to three. That clinches a NSC wild card for

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<v Speaker 1>the Chargers. So there's one a FC spot remaining with

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<v Speaker 1>Miami leading the Jets, Patriots, and Steelers by one game.

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<v Speaker 1>Dolphins QB two A ton of alowas and concussion protocol

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<v Speaker 1>as he was earlier this season, the Giants were walking

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<v Speaker 1>last night. They host Indianapolis on Sunday. A Giants win

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<v Speaker 1>and they're in the playoffs. Denver four and eleven just

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<v Speaker 1>lost by thirty seven. The Broncos fired coach na Fandel Hacket.

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<v Speaker 1>Ninth straight win for the Red Hot Nets. Both Kevin

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<v Speaker 1>Durant and Kyrie Irving scored thirty two and seventeen win

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<v Speaker 1>at Cleveland that has the Nets only two games out

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<v Speaker 1>of first place in the East. Nick looked in the

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<v Speaker 1>three games lusing streak. Tonight there in Dallas, the Rangers

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<v Speaker 1>home for Washington. The Islanders host Pittsburgh and Seaton Hall

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<v Speaker 1>is a big East game at Marquette. John stashually were

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Sports, John, all right, thanks so lun John and

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<v Speaker 1>the Bloomberg Sports Report, brought to you by Audie. Don't

0:11:25.679 --> 0:11:27.760
<v Speaker 1>let someone else drive off of the Audi model you've

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<v Speaker 1>always wanted to visit your local try state Audi dealer

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<v Speaker 1>to get behind the wheel of yours today, or visit

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<v Speaker 1>Autie Offers dot com for more information. Ahead of the

0:11:37.600 --> 0:11:41.240
<v Speaker 1>market opened on Wall Street Dow futures right now there

0:11:41.240 --> 0:11:43.760
<v Speaker 1>are up two D fourteen points, the ruse of about

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<v Speaker 1>seven tenths of a percent, smp emanate futures twenty seven

0:11:47.559 --> 0:11:50.319
<v Speaker 1>points higher, and that as that e many futures are

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<v Speaker 1>seventy points higher. Volatility index the VIX slightly elevated at six.

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<v Speaker 1>You're listening to Bloomberg Game Break live from coast to coast,

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<v Speaker 1>from New York to San Francisco, Boston to Washington, d C.

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<v Speaker 1>Nationwide on Sirius examp of Bloomberg Business app and Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 1>dot Com. This is Bloomberg Daybreak and good morning. I'm

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<v Speaker 1>John Tucker. Let's take a moment now to look at

0:12:19.559 --> 0:12:24.120
<v Speaker 1>the outlook for European banks in the New Year. Two

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<v Speaker 1>was a year dominated by central bank policy impacting financial

0:12:27.880 --> 0:12:31.200
<v Speaker 1>services companies all across Europe and the world, and it

0:12:31.200 --> 0:12:33.480
<v Speaker 1>looks like we could see more of the same in

0:12:33.600 --> 0:12:38.520
<v Speaker 1>the new year. Inflation and energy dominate the debate in Europe,

0:12:38.800 --> 0:12:41.520
<v Speaker 1>and both our top mine for the CEO of a

0:12:41.679 --> 0:12:45.040
<v Speaker 1>sock Jen Bloomberg, Dandy Burger, sat down with a conversation

0:12:45.160 --> 0:12:48.280
<v Speaker 1>with fred De Kudea to discuss the outlook for sock

0:12:48.360 --> 0:12:51.520
<v Speaker 1>Jen and the banking industry as a whole. So let's

0:12:51.600 --> 0:12:54.959
<v Speaker 1>listen in now to that conversation. Are you concerns that

0:12:55.120 --> 0:12:58.520
<v Speaker 1>as we look at the likelihood of a European recession,

0:12:59.040 --> 0:13:01.480
<v Speaker 1>that this is a reap eat of two thousand, repeat

0:13:01.480 --> 0:13:03.880
<v Speaker 1>of Fuche where they're going to have to hike into

0:13:03.920 --> 0:13:07.439
<v Speaker 1>a recession and then quickly turn around. And I'm more positive,

0:13:08.040 --> 0:13:11.640
<v Speaker 1>and our central scenario is a kind of yes, slow

0:13:12.120 --> 0:13:16.520
<v Speaker 1>economy because of the increase of interest rate, but not

0:13:16.600 --> 0:13:20.839
<v Speaker 1>a recession like the one we experienced into thousand and nine.

0:13:21.840 --> 0:13:24.600
<v Speaker 1>First of all, for the starting point is pretty good.

0:13:24.679 --> 0:13:27.960
<v Speaker 1>The we just see no deterioration of the cost of risk.

0:13:28.480 --> 0:13:32.040
<v Speaker 1>The financial sector is in good shape able to finance

0:13:32.080 --> 0:13:36.680
<v Speaker 1>the economy. So yes, the central banks want to fight

0:13:36.760 --> 0:13:40.640
<v Speaker 1>against inflation, it makes sense, But I think we are

0:13:40.679 --> 0:13:44.000
<v Speaker 1>seeing at this stage some signs of slow down of

0:13:44.040 --> 0:13:47.400
<v Speaker 1>the pace of inflation. I'm sure that the central banks

0:13:47.400 --> 0:13:50.319
<v Speaker 1>will carry on monitoring all the parameters and the economies

0:13:50.360 --> 0:13:55.280
<v Speaker 1>to to caliber rightly their monetary policy. What is being

0:13:55.320 --> 0:13:58.480
<v Speaker 1>done is needed. But again I don't think that we

0:13:58.520 --> 0:14:00.719
<v Speaker 1>are facing the same kind of singer. There's a lot

0:14:00.720 --> 0:14:06.040
<v Speaker 1>of uncertainty. External shocks can create the problem, let's face it.

0:14:06.800 --> 0:14:09.839
<v Speaker 1>But in the absence of an external shock we are having,

0:14:09.960 --> 0:14:13.720
<v Speaker 1>mind a slowdown. But which is that we can absorb?

0:14:14.000 --> 0:14:15.960
<v Speaker 1>So what sort of shock are you concerned about? What

0:14:15.960 --> 0:14:18.600
<v Speaker 1>we hit the level of changing things for you to

0:14:18.640 --> 0:14:23.600
<v Speaker 1>erase that optimism, you know, geopolitical crisis, an evolution of

0:14:23.680 --> 0:14:26.800
<v Speaker 1>the conflict in Ukraine. Just if you wish the way

0:14:26.800 --> 0:14:31.800
<v Speaker 1>we will fare the winter and effectively with perhaps hope

0:14:31.800 --> 0:14:36.960
<v Speaker 1>free temperatures which are okay, which we mean reserves, gas

0:14:37.000 --> 0:14:40.560
<v Speaker 1>reserves being preserved as much as possible will help for

0:14:40.640 --> 0:14:42.800
<v Speaker 1>the next twelve months in terms of gas prices. So

0:14:43.000 --> 0:14:45.520
<v Speaker 1>there are many parameters which can play a role in

0:14:45.560 --> 0:14:50.520
<v Speaker 1>the in the invlation. Wage evolution. Also at this stage

0:14:50.560 --> 0:14:55.040
<v Speaker 1>I see also companies which are trying to avoid entering

0:14:55.120 --> 0:15:00.160
<v Speaker 1>into a cycle where wages are increasing too much, so

0:15:00.240 --> 0:15:04.320
<v Speaker 1>they want to preserve the future. So again every every

0:15:04.480 --> 0:15:07.920
<v Speaker 1>month where we'll see how it goes. What about corporate Europe,

0:15:08.000 --> 0:15:11.800
<v Speaker 1>do they have the strength to sustain again the wage pressure,

0:15:12.240 --> 0:15:14.560
<v Speaker 1>these cost pressures. But at the same time, as we're

0:15:14.600 --> 0:15:17.720
<v Speaker 1>discussing an e CV which continues to hike interest rates

0:15:17.720 --> 0:15:21.400
<v Speaker 1>so higher the cost of capital becomes higher. In corporate Europe,

0:15:21.600 --> 0:15:24.360
<v Speaker 1>we stand that overall, yes, I think so. Of course

0:15:24.360 --> 0:15:27.800
<v Speaker 1>there will be differences. Some companies will not make it,

0:15:28.360 --> 0:15:32.120
<v Speaker 1>depending on their leverage, their competitive position. But so farward

0:15:32.160 --> 0:15:35.000
<v Speaker 1>I'm is seeing is actually companies on one end which

0:15:35.000 --> 0:15:37.480
<v Speaker 1>have been able to adapt. Look at the evolution of

0:15:37.560 --> 0:15:41.480
<v Speaker 1>the consumption of electricity or even gas. They are making

0:15:41.640 --> 0:15:47.520
<v Speaker 1>progress under the pressure to reduce their they are the

0:15:47.720 --> 0:15:52.200
<v Speaker 1>usage of facite energy, they improve their efficiency. Most of

0:15:52.240 --> 0:15:55.840
<v Speaker 1>them also, I think, have been able to pass in

0:15:55.880 --> 0:16:00.640
<v Speaker 1>their prices the increase of the cost of and j wages.

0:16:00.720 --> 0:16:04.000
<v Speaker 1>So again, that's where it's very important in my mind

0:16:04.040 --> 0:16:07.200
<v Speaker 1>to see whether we are entering and cycled and normally

0:16:07.240 --> 0:16:10.040
<v Speaker 1>progressing normalization of inflation, and I think it should be

0:16:10.080 --> 0:16:14.320
<v Speaker 1>fine or unfortunately, yes, inflation stays, and then it might

0:16:14.360 --> 0:16:17.200
<v Speaker 1>be more difficult because at some point the consumer will

0:16:17.240 --> 0:16:20.560
<v Speaker 1>not be able to absorb the price increase. So jury

0:16:20.640 --> 0:16:24.080
<v Speaker 1>is out. The coming months will be critical, but there

0:16:24.160 --> 0:16:26.960
<v Speaker 1>is a path for something which is manageable. I think

0:16:27.400 --> 0:16:29.160
<v Speaker 1>these coming months are also going to be some of

0:16:29.360 --> 0:16:32.920
<v Speaker 1>your last at sock Gen. I mean you've now seen

0:16:33.000 --> 0:16:37.000
<v Speaker 1>the longest tenure of of any banking chief in Europe.

0:16:37.440 --> 0:16:40.920
<v Speaker 1>As you prepare for this economic environment, You've had to

0:16:40.920 --> 0:16:43.960
<v Speaker 1>prepare the bank for a lot. What does preparation look

0:16:44.040 --> 0:16:46.440
<v Speaker 1>like this time around it? As you get ready to

0:16:46.520 --> 0:16:49.800
<v Speaker 1>step down from the from the helm, well, I must say,

0:16:49.840 --> 0:16:52.440
<v Speaker 1>my short term agenda is precisely to ensure that that

0:16:52.520 --> 0:16:56.120
<v Speaker 1>we live a bank in good shape to my success,

0:16:56.240 --> 0:16:58.280
<v Speaker 1>what does that mean? Complete the job in terms of

0:16:58.320 --> 0:17:01.200
<v Speaker 1>strategic project. Because this product jacks the merger of our

0:17:01.200 --> 0:17:05.000
<v Speaker 1>two French networks, The acquisition of this plan will bring

0:17:05.119 --> 0:17:09.600
<v Speaker 1>benefits which are independent on the economy. On the economic

0:17:09.640 --> 0:17:13.800
<v Speaker 1>cat look, we will bring the Scenergy's revenues in cost

0:17:13.960 --> 0:17:16.399
<v Speaker 1>whatever the environment is. It's a way to of course

0:17:16.760 --> 0:17:20.520
<v Speaker 1>reinforce the business model. The second element, of course, is

0:17:20.560 --> 0:17:24.680
<v Speaker 1>to ensure that we are entering this and certain environment

0:17:24.800 --> 0:17:27.840
<v Speaker 1>with the maximum of provision. We will end up to

0:17:28.119 --> 0:17:31.760
<v Speaker 1>and twenty two with a level of excente provision within

0:17:31.880 --> 0:17:35.440
<v Speaker 1>our jargon you know as one as two higher than

0:17:35.480 --> 0:17:38.439
<v Speaker 1>the peak of the covet. It's a scient A general

0:17:38.520 --> 0:17:42.359
<v Speaker 1>CEO Frederick o'deo speaking with Bloomberg Stanley Burger is not

0:17:42.440 --> 0:17:44.520
<v Speaker 1>looked for the new year. You can cage the full

0:17:44.560 --> 0:17:49.119
<v Speaker 1>conversation online at Bloomberg dot com. Five eighteen of law

0:17:49.160 --> 0:17:51.800
<v Speaker 1>Street and still in a Bloomberg daybreak, we check on

0:17:51.960 --> 0:17:56.240
<v Speaker 1>markets and bring you the latest the business, economics and finance.

0:17:56.560 --> 0:18:03.760
<v Speaker 1>I'm John Tucker. This is Bloomberg Markets headlines and breaking

0:18:03.800 --> 0:18:06.680
<v Speaker 1>news twenty four hours a day at Bloomberg dot com,

0:18:06.800 --> 0:18:10.359
<v Speaker 1>the Bloomberg Business Outland at Bloomberg Quick Tape. This is

0:18:10.359 --> 0:18:19.199
<v Speaker 1>a Bloomberg Business lash And I'm Karen Moscow along with

0:18:19.320 --> 0:18:22.120
<v Speaker 1>John Tucker. And equities are arising with a dollar declines,

0:18:22.160 --> 0:18:25.600
<v Speaker 1>a maid positive sentiment from China's rollback of COVID isolation

0:18:25.640 --> 0:18:28.000
<v Speaker 1>measures and the cooling of a key inflation gauge in

0:18:28.040 --> 0:18:30.320
<v Speaker 1>the US. And we checked the markets all day long

0:18:30.359 --> 0:18:33.080
<v Speaker 1>here on Bloomberg with SMP futures up about twenty eight

0:18:33.080 --> 0:18:35.840
<v Speaker 1>points or seven tenths of uppercent. Down future is up

0:18:35.840 --> 0:18:38.240
<v Speaker 1>about seven tenths of upper cent or two hundred nineteen

0:18:38.240 --> 0:18:41.200
<v Speaker 1>points and Nasdack futures up six tents of uppercent or

0:18:41.240 --> 0:18:43.920
<v Speaker 1>seventy one points. The decks in Germany's up sixtents of

0:18:44.040 --> 0:18:46.760
<v Speaker 1>uppercent ten. Your treasury up one thirty second. You have

0:18:46.800 --> 0:18:48.920
<v Speaker 1>three point seven four percent. They yield on the two

0:18:49.000 --> 0:18:52.080
<v Speaker 1>year four point three three percent. Nimex screwed oil is

0:18:52.119 --> 0:18:54.159
<v Speaker 1>up about nine tenths of upper cent or sixty eight

0:18:54.280 --> 0:18:57.040
<v Speaker 1>cents at eighty dollars twenty four cents of barrel comics

0:18:57.040 --> 0:18:59.320
<v Speaker 1>gold up seven tents of upper cent or eleven dollars

0:18:59.320 --> 0:19:03.000
<v Speaker 1>seventy cents. Eighteen fifteen eighty announced the euro one point

0:19:03.200 --> 0:19:05.600
<v Speaker 1>six six one against the dollar. British found one point

0:19:05.600 --> 0:19:08.639
<v Speaker 1>to zero six three, and that's a bloomberg business flash

0:19:08.640 --> 0:19:11.000
<v Speaker 1>Shall Here's Michael Barr with more on what's going on

0:19:11.040 --> 0:19:13.960
<v Speaker 1>around the world. Unchael, Good morning, Good morning, Karen. President

0:19:14.040 --> 0:19:17.440
<v Speaker 1>Biden has approved New York's emergency electoration as the death

0:19:17.480 --> 0:19:20.800
<v Speaker 1>toll from a pre Christmas blizzard that paralyzed the Buffalo

0:19:20.920 --> 0:19:23.560
<v Speaker 1>area and much of the country has risen to twenty eight.

0:19:23.920 --> 0:19:26.000
<v Speaker 1>The dead have been found in their cars, homes, and

0:19:26.080 --> 0:19:29.840
<v Speaker 1>in snow banks. Meanwhile, thousands of flights were canceled or delayed,

0:19:29.880 --> 0:19:33.639
<v Speaker 1>and more are scrapped for today. South Korea sent drones

0:19:33.680 --> 0:19:36.960
<v Speaker 1>across the border into North Korea. It's an unprecedented tit

0:19:37.160 --> 0:19:41.320
<v Speaker 1>for tat military move after Kim joan UN's regime dispatched

0:19:41.359 --> 0:19:45.600
<v Speaker 1>five unmanned aerial vehicles into its air space. Monday night football,

0:19:45.640 --> 0:19:48.880
<v Speaker 1>the Chargers beat the Colts twenty three in the NBA.

0:19:49.119 --> 0:19:51.800
<v Speaker 1>The nets one Global News twenty four hours a day

0:19:51.840 --> 0:19:54.680
<v Speaker 1>on air hand on Bloomberg Quick Take, powered by more

0:19:55.000 --> 0:19:58.520
<v Speaker 1>than twenty seven hundred journalists and analysts more than twenty countries.

0:19:58.760 --> 0:20:01.240
<v Speaker 1>Michael Barr, this is Bloomberg, John, Michael, thank you. It

0:20:01.400 --> 0:20:04.480
<v Speaker 1>is now five twenty three on Wall Street. I'm John Tucker.

0:20:04.640 --> 0:20:07.840
<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Daybreak. The stocks are getting a boost

0:20:07.840 --> 0:20:10.880
<v Speaker 1>this morning, and where that China is removing its last

0:20:10.920 --> 0:20:14.280
<v Speaker 1>COVID restrictions. Let's take a deeper dive into this story

0:20:14.400 --> 0:20:17.639
<v Speaker 1>this morning with Bloomberg reporter Alan Juan, who joins us

0:20:17.680 --> 0:20:20.760
<v Speaker 1>this morning from Shanghai. Alan, thanks for being with us,

0:20:20.760 --> 0:20:22.920
<v Speaker 1>appreciate it. What can you tell us about what China

0:20:23.040 --> 0:20:27.000
<v Speaker 1>is doing? From January eight, China is no longer going

0:20:27.000 --> 0:20:30.360
<v Speaker 1>to require inbound visitors to quarantine at the hotels anymore.

0:20:30.800 --> 0:20:33.600
<v Speaker 1>I mean, basically, it's getting rid of policy that's curb travel,

0:20:33.720 --> 0:20:37.000
<v Speaker 1>hurt economy, and left the country actually from the rest

0:20:37.040 --> 0:20:39.760
<v Speaker 1>of the world that's said, it's still going to require

0:20:40.240 --> 0:20:44.720
<v Speaker 1>travel arrivals to to show negative PCR test results taken

0:20:44.720 --> 0:20:47.960
<v Speaker 1>within forty hours of departure. But you know something that's

0:20:48.040 --> 0:20:50.240
<v Speaker 1>nothing competible we have right now. I mean, right now

0:20:50.240 --> 0:20:52.560
<v Speaker 1>it's like about five days of the whole took quarantine

0:20:53.119 --> 0:20:56.480
<v Speaker 1>and another three days at a home monitoring. UM. I myself,

0:20:56.480 --> 0:21:00.359
<v Speaker 1>I've done two long quarantines after leaving China coming Act

0:21:00.359 --> 0:21:03.280
<v Speaker 1>one for fourteen days and one for ten days, and

0:21:03.320 --> 0:21:06.119
<v Speaker 1>I tell you it's it's pretty brutal. So I'm actually

0:21:06.119 --> 0:21:09.760
<v Speaker 1>looking forward to this change in policy. This mean COVID,

0:21:10.119 --> 0:21:12.840
<v Speaker 1>uh the outbreak has gotten better in China or the

0:21:12.880 --> 0:21:17.280
<v Speaker 1>government's just throwing in the towel. Now the COVID is

0:21:17.280 --> 0:21:21.440
<v Speaker 1>not getting better, um and maybe Peaking and Beijing, Shanghai,

0:21:21.520 --> 0:21:24.479
<v Speaker 1>we're still in the midst of it. Uh So right

0:21:24.480 --> 0:21:28.040
<v Speaker 1>now we're giving about three or four thousand, officially three

0:21:28.119 --> 0:21:30.600
<v Speaker 1>or four cases of the day, which sort of flies

0:21:30.600 --> 0:21:33.240
<v Speaker 1>in the face of everything we're seeing on the ground

0:21:33.320 --> 0:21:36.560
<v Speaker 1>and what some of the provinces of reporting like, for example,

0:21:36.880 --> 0:21:40.639
<v Speaker 1>Judge and Province, which is actually Shanghai, reported one million

0:21:40.680 --> 0:21:45.119
<v Speaker 1>cases and expects another million more before it peaks. And

0:21:45.160 --> 0:21:47.639
<v Speaker 1>what we do. What we also know is that about

0:21:47.760 --> 0:21:50.760
<v Speaker 1>the eighteen percent almost two and fifteen million people have

0:21:50.920 --> 0:21:54.520
<v Speaker 1>already been infected and acts according to the China's National

0:21:54.520 --> 0:21:57.040
<v Speaker 1>Health Commission. UH this was for the minutes of one

0:21:57.080 --> 0:22:00.600
<v Speaker 1>of their meetings. Have they given in any indication that

0:22:00.680 --> 0:22:04.680
<v Speaker 1>they could go back to the restrict of COVID policies? No,

0:22:04.800 --> 0:22:08.080
<v Speaker 1>I I think it's over. I did. China has dismantle

0:22:08.400 --> 0:22:11.600
<v Speaker 1>the whole apparatus right now, you know, there's I'm just

0:22:11.600 --> 0:22:14.600
<v Speaker 1>I'm stunning how fast everything has occurred. Right now, there's

0:22:14.600 --> 0:22:16.679
<v Speaker 1>no there's no longer a need to get any kind

0:22:16.680 --> 0:22:18.720
<v Speaker 1>of PC artists, and even if you want to want

0:22:18.760 --> 0:22:21.119
<v Speaker 1>to get one, it's kind of hard to find. I

0:22:21.520 --> 0:22:24.720
<v Speaker 1>think we've gone in the other direction, which is basically, UM,

0:22:24.800 --> 0:22:29.080
<v Speaker 1>you know, let it fly. Yeah, Well, what next at

0:22:29.520 --> 0:22:34.119
<v Speaker 1>this point? I mean, they're still doing monitoring, are they not? UM?

0:22:34.160 --> 0:22:37.960
<v Speaker 1>You know, China is UM. You know, they're they're trying

0:22:37.960 --> 0:22:42.320
<v Speaker 1>to mitigate some of these UM. Illnesses and deaths right

0:22:42.400 --> 0:22:45.440
<v Speaker 1>right now, they're they're downgrading the management of COVID zero

0:22:45.560 --> 0:22:49.240
<v Speaker 1>from highest level to the second highest, meaning that they're

0:22:49.240 --> 0:22:52.520
<v Speaker 1>they're they're saying that COVID isn't as bad as people

0:22:52.600 --> 0:22:56.159
<v Speaker 1>think people initially thought as being treated now more like

0:22:56.240 --> 0:22:58.679
<v Speaker 1>the flu or some of some kind of cold. But

0:22:58.680 --> 0:23:02.720
<v Speaker 1>they're also pledging into increase I see you beds, increase

0:23:02.760 --> 0:23:05.959
<v Speaker 1>the supply of a life saving equipment like ventilators, and

0:23:06.040 --> 0:23:09.920
<v Speaker 1>also they're going to retrofit some of these quarantine for

0:23:10.040 --> 0:23:14.640
<v Speaker 1>quaranty of facilities. It's the hospitles that can handle COVID patients. Hey,

0:23:14.720 --> 0:23:18.440
<v Speaker 1>what has been the the overall impact on the Chinese economy?

0:23:18.480 --> 0:23:22.120
<v Speaker 1>Only get like twenty seconds left, Okay, it's been it's

0:23:22.119 --> 0:23:24.800
<v Speaker 1>been horrendous. I mean, right this year, a lot of

0:23:25.080 --> 0:23:32.000
<v Speaker 1>economists estimated growth roughly, which is like on the lowest

0:23:32.160 --> 0:23:34.200
<v Speaker 1>in decades, and normally you get about you know, five

0:23:34.280 --> 0:23:36.520
<v Speaker 1>six five percent every year, and that's what they're predicting.

0:23:36.560 --> 0:23:40.480
<v Speaker 1>Connection or more so, it's been devastating for the economy.

0:23:40.840 --> 0:23:43.440
<v Speaker 1>It's been devastating for a lot of businesses that had

0:23:43.560 --> 0:23:46.800
<v Speaker 1>to sort of impose these closed loops in order to

0:23:46.840 --> 0:23:49.840
<v Speaker 1>come up business and most importantly you know it's it's

0:23:49.840 --> 0:23:52.680
<v Speaker 1>it's her summer sentiment. Okay, Alan, We're gonna have to

0:23:52.760 --> 0:23:55.280
<v Speaker 1>leave it there, Bloomberg's Alan wand thanks for joining us

0:23:55.280 --> 0:23:58.639
<v Speaker 1>from Shanghai just to hand top stories. But first a

0:23:58.720 --> 0:24:01.120
<v Speaker 1>look at the Bloomberg weather for like cloudy, this will

0:24:01.119 --> 0:24:03.400
<v Speaker 1>be drifting through the Tristead area for while this morning,

0:24:03.440 --> 0:24:05.760
<v Speaker 1>but eventually it moves out him will see sunshine developed

0:24:05.840 --> 0:24:07.760
<v Speaker 1>later in the day. Temperatures will be close to thirty

0:24:07.760 --> 0:24:12.119
<v Speaker 1>five tonight, generally clear, sky slows overnight thirty Tomorrow we

0:24:12.119 --> 0:24:16.240
<v Speaker 1>should be mostly sunny. Hi's reaching partly cloudy thirty to

0:24:16.320 --> 0:24:19.320
<v Speaker 1>thirty five tomorrow night, turning mile their Thursday, but sunshine

0:24:19.400 --> 0:24:22.240
<v Speaker 1>has a reach forty five to fifty. I'm Rob Carolyn

0:24:22.359 --> 0:24:26.440
<v Speaker 1>with your three day forecast on Bloomberg eleven three oh

0:24:27.040 --> 0:24:31.560
<v Speaker 1>broadcasting live from the Bloomberg Interactive Broker Studio in New York.

0:24:31.680 --> 0:24:35.120
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg E Living Freedom to Washington, d C, Bloomberg ninety

0:24:35.440 --> 0:24:39.000
<v Speaker 1>one to Boston, Bloomberg one O six one does San Francisco,

0:24:39.040 --> 0:24:42.520
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg sixty to the Country Sirius xm ch A one

0:24:42.600 --> 0:24:45.680
<v Speaker 1>nineteen and around the globe. The Bloomberg Business app and

0:24:45.760 --> 0:24:55.399
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Radio dot com. This is Bloomberg Daybreak and we

0:24:55.440 --> 0:24:58.280
<v Speaker 1>are coming up to five thirty on Wall Street. Good morning,

0:24:58.320 --> 0:25:01.320
<v Speaker 1>I'm Ter in Moscow and John Tucker. We're being brought

0:25:01.359 --> 0:25:05.199
<v Speaker 1>to you by your daily reminder from Innovation Refunds to

0:25:05.240 --> 0:25:08.399
<v Speaker 1>apply for a payroll tax refund if you're smaller and

0:25:08.480 --> 0:25:12.760
<v Speaker 1>medium sized business was impacted by COVID. Nineteen Innovation Refunds

0:25:12.800 --> 0:25:16.919
<v Speaker 1>clients already claimed over two billion dollars in payroll tax refunds.

0:25:17.119 --> 0:25:20.639
<v Speaker 1>Get started at Get Refunds dot com. And we're just

0:25:20.720 --> 0:25:23.280
<v Speaker 1>about four hours away from the open of US trading.

0:25:23.320 --> 0:25:24.720
<v Speaker 1>Let's get you have to date on the news you

0:25:24.760 --> 0:25:27.199
<v Speaker 1>need to know at this hour. US features and stocks

0:25:27.240 --> 0:25:30.760
<v Speaker 1>overseas are higher this morning. The boost and sentiment comes

0:25:30.760 --> 0:25:34.199
<v Speaker 1>as China scraps more COVID rules now, Beijane plans to

0:25:34.200 --> 0:25:37.760
<v Speaker 1>and it's quarantine rules early next month. Bloomberg Daybreak Asia

0:25:37.760 --> 0:25:41.000
<v Speaker 1>anchor Brian Curtis has more from Hong Kong. This marks

0:25:41.040 --> 0:25:44.399
<v Speaker 1>the end of China's three years of COVID isolation. People

0:25:44.480 --> 0:25:47.160
<v Speaker 1>arriving in China will only need a negative COVID test

0:25:47.200 --> 0:25:50.720
<v Speaker 1>within forty eight hours. Of departure. Up until now, arrivals

0:25:50.760 --> 0:25:53.600
<v Speaker 1>had to quarantine for eight days. The government said it

0:25:53.600 --> 0:25:57.160
<v Speaker 1>would handle visa applications for foreigners for everything from business

0:25:57.160 --> 0:26:01.000
<v Speaker 1>and study to family reunions, and outbound tourism will also

0:26:01.040 --> 0:26:03.800
<v Speaker 1>resume quickly. This could be very good for Europe and

0:26:03.880 --> 0:26:08.480
<v Speaker 1>other destinations. Travel and consumer good stocks jumped in Hong Kong.

0:26:08.560 --> 0:26:11.800
<v Speaker 1>Brian Curtis Bloomberg Gay Break thanks Brian Stocks and Shanna

0:26:11.880 --> 0:26:14.680
<v Speaker 1>Game more than one percent overnight. That's giving a lift

0:26:14.680 --> 0:26:17.320
<v Speaker 1>to US futures as we closed out the last trading

0:26:17.400 --> 0:26:21.560
<v Speaker 1>week of the year. It's been a dismal two for

0:26:21.640 --> 0:26:25.719
<v Speaker 1>bowls with the SMP nive hundred downboard. But Credit Squeez,

0:26:25.720 --> 0:26:28.640
<v Speaker 1>the US equity strategist out that gallup seems a rebound

0:26:28.680 --> 0:26:31.680
<v Speaker 1>for next year. If you do have oil lift off

0:26:31.720 --> 0:26:34.080
<v Speaker 1>and then you actually get some upside in the more

0:26:34.200 --> 0:26:37.680
<v Speaker 1>commodity sensitive stuff like the MP name and the service names,

0:26:37.960 --> 0:26:39.800
<v Speaker 1>the sector is going to be a really big surprise.

0:26:39.840 --> 0:26:43.119
<v Speaker 1>It's absolutely topic. That's Jonathan Gallub at Credit Sweez. He

0:26:43.160 --> 0:26:47.719
<v Speaker 1>predicts the SP five will close ATTI next year. Well,

0:26:47.760 --> 0:26:51.160
<v Speaker 1>another major story we're following this morning, John the bad

0:26:51.240 --> 0:26:54.480
<v Speaker 1>weather continuing to hamper air travel across the country. We

0:26:54.480 --> 0:26:57.160
<v Speaker 1>get the latest live at the Bloombergy Steve Rappapore. It's Steve,

0:26:57.200 --> 0:26:59.520
<v Speaker 1>good morning, Good morning, Karen and John. It's a good

0:26:59.520 --> 0:27:02.480
<v Speaker 1>thing Sam it doesn't fly Southwest, Otherwise he may have

0:27:02.560 --> 0:27:05.280
<v Speaker 1>never left the North Pole. The account the airline accounts

0:27:05.280 --> 0:27:09.760
<v Speaker 1>for roughly sevent of cancelations nationwide yesterday. Southwest stock is

0:27:09.800 --> 0:27:12.680
<v Speaker 1>down about three percent in pre market trading. Senior director

0:27:12.760 --> 0:27:15.640
<v Speaker 1>Jim McVeigh explains the storm caused a ripple effect, leaving

0:27:15.640 --> 0:27:18.320
<v Speaker 1>the airline to play catch up. As the storm continued

0:27:18.359 --> 0:27:22.000
<v Speaker 1>to sweep across the country, the cancelations just compiled one

0:27:22.119 --> 0:27:24.280
<v Speaker 1>after another, and as a results, we end up with

0:27:24.320 --> 0:27:26.320
<v Speaker 1>flight crews and airplanes that are out of place and

0:27:26.440 --> 0:27:28.119
<v Speaker 1>not in the cities that they need to be in

0:27:28.480 --> 0:27:31.280
<v Speaker 1>to continue to run our operations. McVeigh says Southwest is

0:27:31.320 --> 0:27:33.919
<v Speaker 1>doing everything it can to write the challenges it faces.

0:27:34.040 --> 0:27:39.760
<v Speaker 1>Live in New York. I'm Steve Rappaport, Bloomberg Daybreak. All right, Steve,

0:27:39.760 --> 0:27:41.560
<v Speaker 1>thank you. The price of oil is on the rise

0:27:41.600 --> 0:27:44.200
<v Speaker 1>this morning. China has taken more steps to unwine it's

0:27:44.240 --> 0:27:47.720
<v Speaker 1>COVID zero policy, which could increase demand and freezing weather

0:27:47.760 --> 0:27:50.280
<v Speaker 1>across the US has led to refinery closures in the

0:27:50.320 --> 0:27:53.280
<v Speaker 1>Texas Gulf Coast area. Checking oil right now and I'm

0:27:53.320 --> 0:27:56.480
<v Speaker 1>nex screwed. Is up one straight ahead your latest local

0:27:56.480 --> 0:28:00.240
<v Speaker 1>headlines plus a check of sports and this is bloom work.

0:28:03.440 --> 0:28:07.159
<v Speaker 1>Thanks scaring one wall streets. Time to bring in Michael

0:28:07.160 --> 0:28:09.120
<v Speaker 1>Barr with more. What else is going on in New

0:28:09.200 --> 0:28:12.160
<v Speaker 1>York cans around the world, Ton, Thank you very much, Sarah.

0:28:12.200 --> 0:28:14.960
<v Speaker 1>President Biden has approved a state of emergency as a

0:28:15.040 --> 0:28:19.159
<v Speaker 1>winter nightmare continues in western New York. At least twenty

0:28:19.200 --> 0:28:21.960
<v Speaker 1>eight people have died in the Buffalo area. New York.

0:28:21.960 --> 0:28:27.159
<v Speaker 1>Governor we still have scores and scores of vehicles that

0:28:27.240 --> 0:28:30.919
<v Speaker 1>were abandoned when people left during the storm. Governor Cathy

0:28:30.960 --> 0:28:34.480
<v Speaker 1>Hoco called it the blizzard of the century. Representative elect

0:28:34.480 --> 0:28:37.879
<v Speaker 1>George Santos admitted he did not tell the truth about

0:28:37.880 --> 0:28:42.320
<v Speaker 1>his job experience and college education during his successful campaign

0:28:42.360 --> 0:28:45.280
<v Speaker 1>for her House seat. The Long Island Republicans spoke in

0:28:45.360 --> 0:28:48.400
<v Speaker 1>an interview with City and State airing on ABC seven

0:28:48.440 --> 0:28:52.160
<v Speaker 1>about questions on his campaign website that he was Jewish.

0:28:52.480 --> 0:28:56.600
<v Speaker 1>I owe his joke. I'm Catholic, but I'm also Jewish.

0:28:58.600 --> 0:29:01.080
<v Speaker 1>Uh and I've made that joke is growing up. I

0:29:01.120 --> 0:29:05.480
<v Speaker 1>grew up fully aware that my grandparents were Jewish, came

0:29:05.520 --> 0:29:09.160
<v Speaker 1>from from a Jewish family, and they were refugees to Brazil,

0:29:09.520 --> 0:29:11.680
<v Speaker 1>and that was always the story I grew up with,

0:29:11.720 --> 0:29:14.440
<v Speaker 1>and I've always known it very well. Santos says he

0:29:14.600 --> 0:29:18.120
<v Speaker 1>campaigned talking about the people's concerns, not his resume. The

0:29:18.160 --> 0:29:21.160
<v Speaker 1>Biden administration is calling out the governor of Texas, saying

0:29:21.160 --> 0:29:24.240
<v Speaker 1>it was a cruel and dangerous stunt. Bus load the

0:29:24.320 --> 0:29:27.600
<v Speaker 1>migrants arrived in Washington, d C. On Christmas even sixteen

0:29:27.640 --> 0:29:31.320
<v Speaker 1>degree weather without warning, at the official residents of Vice

0:29:31.320 --> 0:29:34.920
<v Speaker 1>President Kamala Harris. Ukraine's foreign minister is calling for a

0:29:35.000 --> 0:29:37.320
<v Speaker 1>peace sumone at the u N to end the war.

0:29:37.720 --> 0:29:41.000
<v Speaker 1>Dmitro Culeba, speaking to the Associated Press, as the summit

0:29:41.280 --> 0:29:44.160
<v Speaker 1>should be with the u N Secretary General as mediator.

0:29:44.480 --> 0:29:47.360
<v Speaker 1>We think that the best the United Nations could be

0:29:47.400 --> 0:29:51.400
<v Speaker 1>the best venue for holding this uh this summit, because

0:29:51.440 --> 0:29:54.400
<v Speaker 1>this is not about making a favor to a certain country.

0:29:54.560 --> 0:29:57.440
<v Speaker 1>This is really about bringing everyone on board. Foreign Minister

0:29:57.520 --> 0:29:59.840
<v Speaker 1>Kalamba Global News twenty four hours a day on a

0:30:00.040 --> 0:30:03.760
<v Speaker 1>rand on Bloomberg Quittake powered by more hundred journalists and

0:30:03.760 --> 0:30:08.400
<v Speaker 1>analysts more than twenty countries. Michael bar this is Bloomberg, John, Michael,

0:30:08.520 --> 0:30:14.640
<v Speaker 1>thank you. It's now four of Wall Street time for

0:30:14.720 --> 0:30:17.600
<v Speaker 1>the Sports Report being brought to you by a tri

0:30:17.800 --> 0:30:20.600
<v Speaker 1>state out of the Hank Morning once again to John Stashower.

0:30:20.680 --> 0:30:23.240
<v Speaker 1>Good morning John. Earlier this season than nets where I

0:30:23.320 --> 0:30:26.080
<v Speaker 1>mast started one in five, nine and eleven, they fired

0:30:26.120 --> 0:30:28.120
<v Speaker 1>the coach, that was the whole, Kyrie Irving solo with

0:30:28.160 --> 0:30:32.000
<v Speaker 1>the that's just one of Cleveland one seventeen, both Kyrie

0:30:32.080 --> 0:30:34.320
<v Speaker 1>and Kevin Durant scored thirty two points. They combined to

0:30:34.360 --> 0:30:37.160
<v Speaker 1>make twelve of nineteen three pointers of the nets of

0:30:37.160 --> 0:30:39.960
<v Speaker 1>one nine in a row thirteen and fourteen. Their coach,

0:30:40.400 --> 0:30:43.600
<v Speaker 1>Jacques Vaughn. We came back as a group, we kind

0:30:43.600 --> 0:30:45.600
<v Speaker 1>of classed to each other that it was going to

0:30:45.680 --> 0:30:50.240
<v Speaker 1>be about basketball and um, hopefully not let anything interfere

0:30:50.400 --> 0:30:53.880
<v Speaker 1>any outside noise, uh interfere with that. And our guys

0:30:53.880 --> 0:30:57.320
<v Speaker 1>have done an unbelievable job of protecting each other and

0:30:57.640 --> 0:31:00.920
<v Speaker 1>making this thing about basketball. That's way tomorrow. Atlanta Nixer

0:31:00.960 --> 0:31:03.719
<v Speaker 1>in Dallas Tonight Monday night, football Chargers beat the Colts

0:31:04.080 --> 0:31:06.440
<v Speaker 1>twenty to three. L as in the playoffs. One spot

0:31:06.560 --> 0:31:09.320
<v Speaker 1>left in the a f C was slumping Miami, leading

0:31:09.320 --> 0:31:12.120
<v Speaker 1>the Jets, Patriots, and Steelers by one game. The Dolphins

0:31:12.200 --> 0:31:14.960
<v Speaker 1>visit the Path Sunday, Miami QB two A ton of

0:31:15.000 --> 0:31:18.560
<v Speaker 1>below is back in concussion protocol. The Jets Sunday visit Seattle.

0:31:18.680 --> 0:31:22.480
<v Speaker 1>Mike White returns as starting QB is injured, ribs having hell.

0:31:22.560 --> 0:31:24.400
<v Speaker 1>That's also a big game for the Seahawks. We're trying

0:31:24.440 --> 0:31:27.280
<v Speaker 1>to make the NFC playoffs, as are the Giants. They

0:31:27.360 --> 0:31:31.240
<v Speaker 1>are in where the home win Sunday over Indianapolis. Daniel Hackett,

0:31:31.320 --> 0:31:33.800
<v Speaker 1>unable to complete his first season as coach in Denver,

0:31:33.960 --> 0:31:36.640
<v Speaker 1>fired with the Broncos four and eleven. The hold up

0:31:36.640 --> 0:31:39.280
<v Speaker 1>in the Carlos Korea contract is an injured ankle that

0:31:39.400 --> 0:31:41.640
<v Speaker 1>dates back to two thousand and fourteen. The mettre said

0:31:41.640 --> 0:31:44.040
<v Speaker 1>to be trying to restructure the deal make it not

0:31:44.240 --> 0:31:47.040
<v Speaker 1>all guarantee. The feeling is Korea will still become a

0:31:47.680 --> 0:31:50.520
<v Speaker 1>John Stashward Bloomberg Sports done all right, Thanks so Lane

0:31:50.800 --> 0:31:53.800
<v Speaker 1>right now. DALLA futures up two hundred twenty eight points,

0:31:54.280 --> 0:31:58.840
<v Speaker 1>SMP futures up eight, but NAK futures seventy two points higher.

0:31:59.040 --> 0:32:03.360
<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg. The Bloomberg Sports Report was brought to

0:32:03.400 --> 0:32:05.560
<v Speaker 1>you by Audie. You don't let someone else drive off

0:32:05.560 --> 0:32:07.640
<v Speaker 1>of the Audi model. You've always want to visit your

0:32:07.640 --> 0:32:09.800
<v Speaker 1>local Try and State Audie dealer to get behind the

0:32:09.800 --> 0:32:12.960
<v Speaker 1>wheel of yours today, or visit Autie Offers dot com

0:32:13.080 --> 0:32:16.440
<v Speaker 1>for more information. It is now five thirty six down

0:32:16.480 --> 0:32:19.520
<v Speaker 1>Wall Street, time for the Bloomberg Tri State Business Report.

0:32:19.800 --> 0:32:23.280
<v Speaker 1>Here with that is Gina Servetti. The former Wellington Hotel

0:32:23.360 --> 0:32:26.320
<v Speaker 1>is reportedly changing hands. The New York Post reports that

0:32:26.600 --> 0:32:29.280
<v Speaker 1>Xtel is paying more than ninety four million dollars to

0:32:29.320 --> 0:32:32.640
<v Speaker 1>buy the leasehold of the former Wellington from b D Hotels,

0:32:32.720 --> 0:32:35.840
<v Speaker 1>and that plans might include a significantly larger building for

0:32:35.880 --> 0:32:39.160
<v Speaker 1>the site at Seventh Avenue and West fifty five in Manhattan.

0:32:39.320 --> 0:32:43.560
<v Speaker 1>Lions Gates new million dollar production studio for Newark could

0:32:43.600 --> 0:32:45.480
<v Speaker 1>be in line for as much as a hundred million

0:32:45.520 --> 0:32:48.840
<v Speaker 1>in state subsidies. That's what the Asbury Park Presses reporting,

0:32:48.920 --> 0:32:51.480
<v Speaker 1>saying the incentives are part of a development deal approved

0:32:51.560 --> 0:32:54.320
<v Speaker 1>last week. It's New Jersey's second major movie and TV

0:32:54.440 --> 0:32:57.920
<v Speaker 1>production project getting the green light this year, following Netflix,

0:32:57.960 --> 0:32:59.920
<v Speaker 1>which plans to build a new studio at the form

0:33:00.080 --> 0:33:02.600
<v Speaker 1>or side of Fort Monmouth, and New Jersey based Harbor

0:33:02.600 --> 0:33:06.040
<v Speaker 1>Freight Tools already has more than th hundred locations around

0:33:06.040 --> 0:33:08.680
<v Speaker 1>the country. Now it's expanding further in its home state.

0:33:08.800 --> 0:33:11.560
<v Speaker 1>And j dot com reports the family owned hardware chain

0:33:11.600 --> 0:33:13.960
<v Speaker 1>will open a new store in Deptford, bringing its New

0:33:14.000 --> 0:33:17.560
<v Speaker 1>Jersey store count to almost thirty locations. That's the Bloomberg

0:33:17.600 --> 0:33:21.640
<v Speaker 1>Tri State Business Report on Genus Servetti. All right, thanks

0:33:21.840 --> 0:33:24.600
<v Speaker 1>seven on Wall Street Time down for the Bloomberg Green Report,

0:33:24.680 --> 0:33:28.120
<v Speaker 1>and well that here's Bloomberg's Jeff Bellinger. The days of

0:33:28.160 --> 0:33:32.160
<v Speaker 1>so called forever chemicals, or PIFAs are numbered at three M.

0:33:32.200 --> 0:33:35.920
<v Speaker 1>The big conglomerate is dealing with regulatory pressure and lawsuits

0:33:35.920 --> 0:33:39.040
<v Speaker 1>over the substances. It announced last week that it will

0:33:39.040 --> 0:33:42.480
<v Speaker 1>stop making the chemicals and discontinue their use in products

0:33:42.520 --> 0:33:46.560
<v Speaker 1>by the end of the move by three marks historic

0:33:46.600 --> 0:33:49.520
<v Speaker 1>break with an entire class of chemicals that were first

0:33:49.560 --> 0:33:52.960
<v Speaker 1>created in researching the atomic bomb during World War Two.

0:33:53.320 --> 0:33:56.320
<v Speaker 1>They helped three M develop hundreds of different products over

0:33:56.360 --> 0:33:59.560
<v Speaker 1>more than seventy years. Now, things such as Scotch guard,

0:33:59.640 --> 0:34:03.240
<v Speaker 1>fire fighting foam and other products are potential liabilities for

0:34:03.280 --> 0:34:07.560
<v Speaker 1>the company. Three M CEO Mike Roman acknowledges increased customer

0:34:07.720 --> 0:34:10.440
<v Speaker 1>unease over p fos and says the company does not

0:34:10.560 --> 0:34:13.400
<v Speaker 1>see a viable business in the future. He says the

0:34:13.480 --> 0:34:16.520
<v Speaker 1>decision will allow three M to move into other higher

0:34:16.560 --> 0:34:20.000
<v Speaker 1>growth opportunities. He says it is too early to discuss

0:34:20.000 --> 0:34:24.200
<v Speaker 1>whether plans that manufacture p fos will be repurposed. Jeff Bullinger,

0:34:24.320 --> 0:34:26.840
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Radio. All right, thanks a lot, Jeff, and we

0:34:26.960 --> 0:34:29.440
<v Speaker 1>have green on the screen ahead of the cash open

0:34:29.920 --> 0:34:34.560
<v Speaker 1>on this Tuesday morning. Down futures right now two points

0:34:34.920 --> 0:34:36.920
<v Speaker 1>that's a rise of about seven tenths of a percent

0:34:37.000 --> 0:34:40.560
<v Speaker 1>this morning. And the SMP emniate futures twenty eight points higher,

0:34:40.600 --> 0:34:44.160
<v Speaker 1>that's up seven tenths of a percent. The NASAK futures

0:34:44.239 --> 0:34:47.000
<v Speaker 1>right now seventy one points higher, that is up six

0:34:47.120 --> 0:34:50.680
<v Speaker 1>tenths of a percent. And stay with us. Just ahead,

0:34:50.840 --> 0:34:53.319
<v Speaker 1>we'll get a preview of the trading day ahead with

0:34:53.360 --> 0:34:57.279
<v Speaker 1>Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at c f r A.

0:34:57.960 --> 0:35:04.799
<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Markets, headlines and breaking news twenty four

0:35:04.800 --> 0:35:07.840
<v Speaker 1>hours a day at Bloomberg dot com. The Bloomberg Business

0:35:07.880 --> 0:35:11.560
<v Speaker 1>at and at Bloomberg quicktape, this is a Bloomberg business

0:35:11.600 --> 0:35:20.360
<v Speaker 1>lash and I'm Karen Moscow at US not Index Futures

0:35:20.440 --> 0:35:23.480
<v Speaker 1>on the rise this morning amid optimism that China's reopening

0:35:23.520 --> 0:35:26.520
<v Speaker 1>will boost global growth next year, providing support for Marcus.

0:35:26.760 --> 0:35:28.400
<v Speaker 1>And we check the markets all day long here on

0:35:28.400 --> 0:35:30.799
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg S and P Future is up about twenty eight

0:35:30.800 --> 0:35:33.280
<v Speaker 1>points or seven tenths of a percent, and down features

0:35:33.360 --> 0:35:35.479
<v Speaker 1>up about seven tenths of upper cent or two hundred

0:35:35.520 --> 0:35:38.080
<v Speaker 1>twenty four points, and now as day futures up six

0:35:38.080 --> 0:35:40.840
<v Speaker 1>tenths of upper cent or sixty eight points. The decks

0:35:40.840 --> 0:35:43.239
<v Speaker 1>in Germany's up seven tenths of upper cent. Ten year

0:35:43.280 --> 0:35:46.480
<v Speaker 1>treasury up one thirty second, held three point seven four percent.

0:35:46.520 --> 0:35:48.840
<v Speaker 1>They yield on the two year four point three three percent.

0:35:49.280 --> 0:35:51.640
<v Speaker 1>Nimex screwed oils up one point one percent of eighty

0:35:51.719 --> 0:35:53.920
<v Speaker 1>six cents at eighty dollars, forty two cents of barrel

0:35:54.160 --> 0:35:56.520
<v Speaker 1>Comics gold up seven tenths of upper cent or twelve

0:35:56.560 --> 0:35:59.640
<v Speaker 1>dollars at eighteen sixteen announced the euro one point oh

0:35:59.719 --> 0:36:02.080
<v Speaker 1>six x three against the dollar. British found one point

0:36:02.120 --> 0:36:04.440
<v Speaker 1>two zero six two The gains at one thirty three

0:36:04.520 --> 0:36:07.960
<v Speaker 1>point three too. And bitcoin this morning is a tenth

0:36:08.000 --> 0:36:11.359
<v Speaker 1>of a percent. It's at sixteen thousand, eight hundred fifty

0:36:11.400 --> 0:36:13.719
<v Speaker 1>six dollars. And that's a Bloomberg Business flash. Now here's

0:36:13.760 --> 0:36:16.200
<v Speaker 1>Michael Barr with Moore on what's going on around the world.

0:36:16.480 --> 0:36:18.719
<v Speaker 1>Call Karen, thank you very much. The death soul from

0:36:18.719 --> 0:36:22.000
<v Speaker 1>a pre Christmas blizzard that paralyzed the Buffalo area and

0:36:22.200 --> 0:36:24.120
<v Speaker 1>much of the country has risen to twenty eight in

0:36:24.200 --> 0:36:28.080
<v Speaker 1>Western New York. The dead have been found in their cars, homes,

0:36:28.160 --> 0:36:32.319
<v Speaker 1>and in snowbanks. Meanwhile, President Biden approved an emergency doctloration

0:36:32.400 --> 0:36:36.440
<v Speaker 1>for Western New York. The Biden administration criticized Beijing's military

0:36:36.560 --> 0:36:40.560
<v Speaker 1>drills near Taiwan this week as provocative. It insists it

0:36:40.600 --> 0:36:43.600
<v Speaker 1>will continue, hoping the government in tai Paid defend itself.

0:36:44.080 --> 0:36:47.560
<v Speaker 1>Monday Night football, the Chargers beat the Colts three in

0:36:47.600 --> 0:36:50.719
<v Speaker 1>the NBA. The NETS one Global News twenty four hours

0:36:50.760 --> 0:36:54.000
<v Speaker 1>a day on air and on Bloomberg Quicktake, powered by

0:36:54.080 --> 0:36:56.840
<v Speaker 1>more than twenty seven journalists and analysts more than a

0:36:56.920 --> 0:37:00.600
<v Speaker 1>hundred twenty countries. Michael bar this is Bloomberg, John, Michael,

0:37:00.640 --> 0:37:02.560
<v Speaker 1>thank you. Or the smp F I've had. It is

0:37:02.600 --> 0:37:06.200
<v Speaker 1>on track for its worst annual performance since two thousand

0:37:06.239 --> 0:37:09.399
<v Speaker 1>and eight. It's the last trading week of the year.

0:37:09.560 --> 0:37:12.239
<v Speaker 1>Futures right now are climbing, and let's get you set

0:37:12.280 --> 0:37:14.440
<v Speaker 1>up for the trading day head now with Sam Stowball,

0:37:14.800 --> 0:37:18.200
<v Speaker 1>the chief of investment Strategist at c f R. A

0:37:18.520 --> 0:37:21.640
<v Speaker 1>honor to have you Sam. Good morning, Um, Good morning John.

0:37:21.920 --> 0:37:24.799
<v Speaker 1>With history as our guide, is uh Santa Rally still

0:37:24.840 --> 0:37:29.319
<v Speaker 1>in the currents? Sure, the Santa Rally has come into

0:37:29.400 --> 0:37:34.080
<v Speaker 1>existing of all years since World War Two, causing the

0:37:34.239 --> 0:37:37.160
<v Speaker 1>SMP to go up by about one point three percent.

0:37:37.360 --> 0:37:40.640
<v Speaker 1>So I would tend to say that, based on Friday's action,

0:37:40.719 --> 0:37:43.640
<v Speaker 1>based on today's futures, that we have a very good

0:37:43.760 --> 0:37:48.400
<v Speaker 1>chance of if Santa Claus Rally. Where do you suppose

0:37:48.440 --> 0:37:51.000
<v Speaker 1>we're going to end the year in terms of percentage

0:37:51.520 --> 0:37:56.719
<v Speaker 1>gains or I should say percentage losses for the broader index? Well,

0:37:56.840 --> 0:38:01.360
<v Speaker 1>it's still gonna be UH one of the ten negative

0:38:01.520 --> 0:38:06.239
<v Speaker 1>years going back to I looked to because that's when

0:38:06.400 --> 0:38:10.919
<v Speaker 1>SMP started computing its sector level indices. So it will

0:38:11.080 --> 0:38:15.280
<v Speaker 1>end up being most likely the third worst year behind

0:38:15.400 --> 0:38:18.319
<v Speaker 1>two thousand and two and two thousand and eight. Uh.

0:38:18.440 --> 0:38:22.080
<v Speaker 1>And interesting, this is the only year since two thousand

0:38:22.160 --> 0:38:24.279
<v Speaker 1>and two in which we had one sector that was

0:38:24.360 --> 0:38:29.600
<v Speaker 1>positive and everybody else negative. What sector was that? That

0:38:29.760 --> 0:38:32.480
<v Speaker 1>was real estate back in O two of four point one,

0:38:33.719 --> 0:38:37.200
<v Speaker 1>very different from energy of more than fifty percent so

0:38:37.400 --> 0:38:39.879
<v Speaker 1>far this year with every other sector in the red.

0:38:40.320 --> 0:38:42.839
<v Speaker 1>And if there's a positive that can be taken from

0:38:42.920 --> 0:38:45.440
<v Speaker 1>this is that the S and P was up nearly

0:38:45.520 --> 0:38:50.440
<v Speaker 1>twent in two thousand and three. Um. Does negative sentiment

0:38:50.719 --> 0:38:55.399
<v Speaker 1>change simply because we turned the calendar to a new year? Well,

0:38:55.480 --> 0:38:58.680
<v Speaker 1>I think you you do get some return to a

0:38:58.760 --> 0:39:01.960
<v Speaker 1>more positive sentiment because in a negative year, you're going

0:39:02.000 --> 0:39:04.680
<v Speaker 1>to have a lot of tax loss selling, and so

0:39:05.040 --> 0:39:08.080
<v Speaker 1>if you continue to see a lot of red, then

0:39:08.120 --> 0:39:12.600
<v Speaker 1>I think that adds to the dampening effect of market performances,

0:39:12.960 --> 0:39:16.680
<v Speaker 1>which then adversary effects his confidence. So I would tend

0:39:16.719 --> 0:39:18.920
<v Speaker 1>to say that, you know, if we start two thousand

0:39:18.960 --> 0:39:22.120
<v Speaker 1>and twenty three on an up note, then I would

0:39:22.160 --> 0:39:25.840
<v Speaker 1>tend to think that that could help to buoy the sentiment.

0:39:26.560 --> 0:39:32.080
<v Speaker 1>Will earnings be better than feared? Well, good question. I

0:39:32.160 --> 0:39:35.560
<v Speaker 1>think the number is Uh. The SMP has in the

0:39:35.680 --> 0:39:39.240
<v Speaker 1>last fifty two out of fifty three quarters has posted

0:39:39.440 --> 0:39:44.080
<v Speaker 1>actual returns that exceeded end of quarter estimates. The only

0:39:44.200 --> 0:39:47.640
<v Speaker 1>difference this time is that we are looking for an

0:39:47.800 --> 0:39:51.680
<v Speaker 1>earnings recession, because the fourth quarter of two thousand and

0:39:51.760 --> 0:39:55.600
<v Speaker 1>twenty two, as well as the first two quarters of three,

0:39:56.000 --> 0:39:59.880
<v Speaker 1>are expected to post year on year declines, and historic

0:40:00.280 --> 0:40:04.160
<v Speaker 1>looking at operating earnings, they have been coincident with the

0:40:04.280 --> 0:40:07.960
<v Speaker 1>start of recessions, whereas with gap earnings they've been a

0:40:08.040 --> 0:40:10.960
<v Speaker 1>bit of a lag. So an earnings recession, can you

0:40:11.040 --> 0:40:16.200
<v Speaker 1>still have a positive year? Yes? Actually, a lot of

0:40:16.280 --> 0:40:21.440
<v Speaker 1>studies have shown that when earnings zag, the market tends

0:40:21.480 --> 0:40:25.800
<v Speaker 1>to zig. The recent being that investors are forward looking

0:40:26.200 --> 0:40:30.600
<v Speaker 1>uh and they are looking across the valley. Expectations are

0:40:30.680 --> 0:40:33.480
<v Speaker 1>we could see earnings up by ten point three percent

0:40:33.600 --> 0:40:36.600
<v Speaker 1>in the fourth quarter of two thousand and twenty three,

0:40:36.719 --> 0:40:38.799
<v Speaker 1>and then up by more than ten percent for all

0:40:39.200 --> 0:40:42.440
<v Speaker 1>of two thousand and twenty four. So I think there

0:40:42.640 --> 0:40:45.000
<v Speaker 1>is a good possibility that once we get past the

0:40:45.440 --> 0:40:48.640
<v Speaker 1>undulations of the first half, that we do end up

0:40:49.080 --> 0:40:51.880
<v Speaker 1>with a positive two thousand and twenty three. Can you

0:40:51.960 --> 0:40:54.880
<v Speaker 1>further break down some of the sectors and the expected

0:40:54.960 --> 0:41:00.719
<v Speaker 1>performance that you're looking for, Well, looking for pretty good

0:41:00.800 --> 0:41:06.160
<v Speaker 1>earnings growth for the consumer discretionary category, one of the

0:41:06.760 --> 0:41:10.160
<v Speaker 1>areas in which we're expecting to see double digit games,

0:41:11.000 --> 0:41:15.320
<v Speaker 1>whereas energy, not surprisingly is expected to post double digit losses.

0:41:15.920 --> 0:41:18.920
<v Speaker 1>UM or I should say, really year on your declines,

0:41:19.000 --> 0:41:22.560
<v Speaker 1>they're still going to post earnings, but the percentage change

0:41:23.200 --> 0:41:27.520
<v Speaker 1>year on year is expected to be down, primarily because

0:41:27.680 --> 0:41:31.399
<v Speaker 1>they're up by about a hundred and six in two

0:41:31.480 --> 0:41:35.879
<v Speaker 1>thousand and twenty two. So really sort of a hodgepodge

0:41:35.920 --> 0:41:38.719
<v Speaker 1>of of where the earnings growth is likely to be seen.

0:41:39.120 --> 0:41:41.239
<v Speaker 1>And we all know the mess that we saw with

0:41:41.480 --> 0:41:44.399
<v Speaker 1>tech this year. Have the moats around some of those

0:41:44.640 --> 0:41:50.920
<v Speaker 1>stronger tech names have they been removed? Well, maybe not removed,

0:41:50.960 --> 0:41:54.200
<v Speaker 1>but certainly drained a little bit. UM. I think it's

0:41:54.280 --> 0:41:58.439
<v Speaker 1>more a question of the enthusiasm, not necessarily the moat

0:41:58.560 --> 0:42:00.799
<v Speaker 1>that has been drained. A lot of these companies still,

0:42:01.360 --> 0:42:04.920
<v Speaker 1>um are very strong in what they do. Uh. The

0:42:05.040 --> 0:42:07.960
<v Speaker 1>question is how much are investors willing to pay for them?

0:42:08.239 --> 0:42:11.880
<v Speaker 1>I mean, this wasn't like two thousand in which investors

0:42:11.960 --> 0:42:17.000
<v Speaker 1>thought that trading at sixty times forward earnings was still attractive. UM.

0:42:17.239 --> 0:42:19.759
<v Speaker 1>I mean we're looking at technology, which is trading in

0:42:19.840 --> 0:42:23.840
<v Speaker 1>the mid to low twenty multiple area. Now, UM, so

0:42:24.400 --> 0:42:27.239
<v Speaker 1>in two thousand and twenty three, tech is expected to

0:42:27.400 --> 0:42:31.120
<v Speaker 1>post only about a three percent earnings increase versus a

0:42:31.239 --> 0:42:34.360
<v Speaker 1>similar number for the SMP five hundred. It says, I

0:42:34.440 --> 0:42:39.560
<v Speaker 1>mentioned before discretionary financials and industrials that are expected to

0:42:39.600 --> 0:42:44.640
<v Speaker 1>post double digit advances. Hey, Sanford, your perspective was sort

0:42:44.680 --> 0:42:50.680
<v Speaker 1>of the poster child for active management. Well, poster child

0:42:52.160 --> 0:42:54.840
<v Speaker 1>maybe in a negative way. UM. If you go to

0:42:55.400 --> 0:42:59.480
<v Speaker 1>uh sp d j I dot com that's the SMP

0:42:59.719 --> 0:43:05.040
<v Speaker 1>Dow Jones indices, you'll see their SPIVA report SMP index

0:43:05.280 --> 0:43:11.200
<v Speaker 1>versus active UH and find that the indexes consistently outperform

0:43:11.800 --> 0:43:15.760
<v Speaker 1>UH the active managers UH, certainly on a large cap basis,

0:43:15.800 --> 0:43:18.799
<v Speaker 1>but also mid and small cap as well. So it's

0:43:19.080 --> 0:43:23.000
<v Speaker 1>it's certainly been a very challenging period for the active managers.

0:43:23.320 --> 0:43:26.120
<v Speaker 1>And just about the minute left, UH, I want you

0:43:26.200 --> 0:43:27.759
<v Speaker 1>to put your account of his head on among the

0:43:27.880 --> 0:43:32.279
<v Speaker 1>data this week, initial jobless claims Thursday, Waiting for the Fed, Um,

0:43:33.000 --> 0:43:35.560
<v Speaker 1>are they going to have to torpedo the jobs market

0:43:35.719 --> 0:43:40.879
<v Speaker 1>until we can signal all clear for for risk assets? Well,

0:43:40.960 --> 0:43:44.080
<v Speaker 1>I think we're gonna see the SMP K Schiller Index

0:43:44.160 --> 0:43:47.640
<v Speaker 1>come in UM lower than last time. I think that

0:43:47.680 --> 0:43:50.400
<v Speaker 1>we're we are going to be UM looking at jobless

0:43:50.520 --> 0:43:54.040
<v Speaker 1>claims UM come up a bit more. I think the

0:43:54.120 --> 0:43:57.040
<v Speaker 1>Fed is going to be looking at two pronged primarily

0:43:57.280 --> 0:44:02.839
<v Speaker 1>looking at the PCE core, the personal consumption expenditure ex.

0:44:03.320 --> 0:44:06.520
<v Speaker 1>Food and energy, because that's their primary read on inflation,

0:44:07.040 --> 0:44:09.160
<v Speaker 1>and at the same time hoping that they don't do

0:44:09.239 --> 0:44:13.200
<v Speaker 1>too much damage to the employment picture at the same time,

0:44:13.360 --> 0:44:16.840
<v Speaker 1>so their focus is inflation, but they hope there's not

0:44:16.920 --> 0:44:22.000
<v Speaker 1>a lot of collateral damage. Where does SMP five hundred

0:44:22.480 --> 0:44:30.400
<v Speaker 1>and the spot here? Yeah, is our estimate UM based

0:44:30.520 --> 0:44:34.520
<v Speaker 1>on c fr A analysts, target price differentials and some

0:44:35.120 --> 0:44:40.640
<v Speaker 1>technical considerations. UM. Tough first half and a better second half. Sam,

0:44:40.719 --> 0:44:42.800
<v Speaker 1>always a pleasure. Thanks very much for joining us this

0:44:42.880 --> 0:44:46.759
<v Speaker 1>Tuesday morning. Sam stove All the chief investment strategist at

0:44:46.800 --> 0:44:50.040
<v Speaker 1>c f r A, And right now I had a

0:44:50.760 --> 0:44:55.120
<v Speaker 1>market open down futures of two SMP five hundred futures

0:44:55.280 --> 0:45:02.600
<v Speaker 1>right now. Up, you're listening to Bloomberg Day break, Markets,

0:45:02.719 --> 0:45:05.759
<v Speaker 1>headlines and breaking news twenty four hours a day at

0:45:05.800 --> 0:45:09.719
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg dot Com and Bloomberg Business Outland at Bloomberg Quick tap.

0:45:09.960 --> 0:45:19.000
<v Speaker 1>This is a Bloomburn business lass and I'm Karen Moscow

0:45:19.120 --> 0:45:21.840
<v Speaker 1>along with John Tucker, and futures are higher this morning.

0:45:21.880 --> 0:45:24.040
<v Speaker 1>We checked the markets all day long here on Bloomberg

0:45:24.080 --> 0:45:26.960
<v Speaker 1>with SMP futures up about twenty seven points or seven

0:45:27.040 --> 0:45:29.759
<v Speaker 1>tenths of upper cent. Futures up about seven tents of

0:45:29.880 --> 0:45:32.680
<v Speaker 1>upper cent or two hundred twenty four points, and NASDAG

0:45:32.719 --> 0:45:34.840
<v Speaker 1>future is up six tents of upper cent or sixty

0:45:34.920 --> 0:45:37.680
<v Speaker 1>two points ten. Your treasury up one thirty second. You

0:45:37.719 --> 0:45:40.040
<v Speaker 1>have three point seven four percent and they yield on

0:45:40.120 --> 0:45:42.920
<v Speaker 1>the two year four point three three percent. Nine X

0:45:42.960 --> 0:45:45.480
<v Speaker 1>screwed oil is up nine ten percent or seventy cents,

0:45:45.520 --> 0:45:48.399
<v Speaker 1>and eighty dollars twenty five cents of barrel comex gold

0:45:48.440 --> 0:45:50.799
<v Speaker 1>up seven ten percent or two dollars thirty cents. At

0:45:50.840 --> 0:45:54.640
<v Speaker 1>eighteen sixteen fifty announced the euro one point six six

0:45:54.760 --> 0:45:57.399
<v Speaker 1>four against the dollar, the en one thirty three point

0:45:57.600 --> 0:46:01.040
<v Speaker 1>three zero, and that's a Bloomberg bus this flash John

0:46:01.400 --> 0:46:03.480
<v Speaker 1>all right, Karen, thanks a lot five fifties six on

0:46:03.560 --> 0:46:07.320
<v Speaker 1>Well and Street time for our daily Bloomberg Lawbrief, exploring

0:46:07.440 --> 0:46:09.960
<v Speaker 1>legal issues in the news today we're looking at the

0:46:10.040 --> 0:46:13.640
<v Speaker 1>Supreme Court when justice has returned to the bench in January,

0:46:13.640 --> 0:46:15.760
<v Speaker 1>if they're going to hear a case involving a Turkish

0:46:15.880 --> 0:46:20.360
<v Speaker 1>bank owned and controlled by the Turkish government, that maybe

0:46:20.520 --> 0:46:24.600
<v Speaker 1>President Setting Turkey's hoalk Bank is asking the justices to

0:46:24.719 --> 0:46:28.680
<v Speaker 1>dismiss criminal charges against it stemming from an Alige scheme

0:46:28.760 --> 0:46:33.040
<v Speaker 1>to help Iran evade economic sanctions by diverting billions of

0:46:33.080 --> 0:46:35.960
<v Speaker 1>dollars in oil and gas revenue. Ever More, in the

0:46:36.000 --> 0:46:39.799
<v Speaker 1>case Bloomberge June Grasso speaks to Harold Crante, professor at

0:46:39.840 --> 0:46:43.759
<v Speaker 1>the Chicago Kent College of Law. I'll explain why this

0:46:43.880 --> 0:46:47.200
<v Speaker 1>case could be precedent setting. So the turkys Pake evidently

0:46:47.600 --> 0:46:52.560
<v Speaker 1>helped launder somewhere close to twenty billion dollars of Iranian

0:46:52.600 --> 0:46:57.040
<v Speaker 1>oil assets in contravention of our laws against doing business

0:46:57.120 --> 0:47:01.040
<v Speaker 1>with Iran, and so criminal charging robotic. It's the bank

0:47:01.160 --> 0:47:03.160
<v Speaker 1>here in the United States because some of the laundring

0:47:03.280 --> 0:47:07.279
<v Speaker 1>took place within the US financial system. There has never

0:47:07.480 --> 0:47:10.879
<v Speaker 1>been a criminal action brought against a foreign state owned

0:47:11.080 --> 0:47:14.120
<v Speaker 1>enterprise in our history, and this was really the first one,

0:47:14.360 --> 0:47:18.160
<v Speaker 1>and the second Circuit held that there's no law immunizing

0:47:18.320 --> 0:47:21.600
<v Speaker 1>a state owned bank for its commercial activities. The way

0:47:21.680 --> 0:47:24.040
<v Speaker 1>there would be to protect the state diplomat, and so

0:47:24.120 --> 0:47:27.000
<v Speaker 1>the criminal charges could go forward. So this is really

0:47:27.120 --> 0:47:30.560
<v Speaker 1>unprecedented and it's a major change which we have ripple

0:47:30.600 --> 0:47:34.920
<v Speaker 1>effect around the world because usually we treats foreign governments,

0:47:35.040 --> 0:47:37.600
<v Speaker 1>whether they're doing commercial activities or not, in a very

0:47:37.719 --> 0:47:40.160
<v Speaker 1>special way. We have a whole statute of the Federal

0:47:40.200 --> 0:47:43.880
<v Speaker 1>Sovereign Immunities Act which limits when you can even sue

0:47:43.920 --> 0:47:47.000
<v Speaker 1>state owned enterprises. But this would be saying that, well,

0:47:47.200 --> 0:47:50.400
<v Speaker 1>Congress didn't say you can't have a criminal action against

0:47:50.480 --> 0:47:52.600
<v Speaker 1>a state owned enterprise, and so now we have the

0:47:52.680 --> 0:47:55.399
<v Speaker 1>first one and we'll see if the Supreme Court, let's

0:47:55.440 --> 0:47:58.080
<v Speaker 1>just stand. My guess is that it will. But who

0:47:58.160 --> 0:48:02.759
<v Speaker 1>knows what's turkeys argument for why the bank shouldn't be prosecuted.

0:48:03.000 --> 0:48:05.520
<v Speaker 1>First of all, it's unprecedented that there has never been

0:48:05.719 --> 0:48:09.640
<v Speaker 1>this kind of action, and they're extrapolating from the diplomatic

0:48:09.800 --> 0:48:14.520
<v Speaker 1>precedents would suggest that there is diplomatic immunity for its officers,

0:48:14.840 --> 0:48:18.200
<v Speaker 1>and Congress has seen to fit that we cannot prosecute

0:48:18.440 --> 0:48:22.200
<v Speaker 1>diplomats for ordinary crimes, and so they're suggesting that the

0:48:22.320 --> 0:48:25.560
<v Speaker 1>danger would be that the state owned enterprise. You basically

0:48:25.800 --> 0:48:29.160
<v Speaker 1>end up limiting the kind of functional immunity that's given

0:48:29.239 --> 0:48:33.800
<v Speaker 1>to the members of different countries who may be directors

0:48:33.840 --> 0:48:37.200
<v Speaker 1>on the bank or maybe their relatives are working in

0:48:37.280 --> 0:48:40.200
<v Speaker 1>the bank, and so this would chip away at that

0:48:40.360 --> 0:48:43.160
<v Speaker 1>kind of immunity. Why do you think the Supreme Court

0:48:43.680 --> 0:48:47.640
<v Speaker 1>is going to allow the prosecution to go forward? Congress

0:48:47.880 --> 0:48:52.600
<v Speaker 1>didn't precruited, and in the absence of Congressional statute from

0:48:52.680 --> 0:48:55.399
<v Speaker 1>the court, we have to rely upon some other kind

0:48:55.440 --> 0:48:59.719
<v Speaker 1>of analogy, such as diplomatic community to stop the prosecution

0:48:59.840 --> 0:49:03.200
<v Speaker 1>and and to stop the prosecution of a bank for

0:49:03.320 --> 0:49:07.759
<v Speaker 1>its commercial activities seems pretty far stretch from stopping a

0:49:07.880 --> 0:49:10.960
<v Speaker 1>prosecution from a dimple match who has been accused of

0:49:11.040 --> 0:49:14.359
<v Speaker 1>a hidden run or some other criminal offense. And that's

0:49:14.440 --> 0:49:18.200
<v Speaker 1>Harold Crant, a professor at the Chicago Kent College of Law,

0:49:18.719 --> 0:49:21.480
<v Speaker 1>speaking with Bloomberg's June Grasso. He can catch more of

0:49:21.560 --> 0:49:24.600
<v Speaker 1>that interview, plus analysis of the latest legal news by

0:49:24.680 --> 0:49:28.879
<v Speaker 1>subscribing to the Bloomberg Law podcast or downloading the show

0:49:29.040 --> 0:49:32.759
<v Speaker 1>at Bloomberg dot com. Slash Podcasts and attorneys can find

0:49:32.800 --> 0:49:36.960
<v Speaker 1>exceptional legal research and business development tools at Bloomberg law

0:49:37.160 --> 0:49:40.960
<v Speaker 1>dot com and on the Bloomberg terminal at b law

0:49:41.160 --> 0:49:45.600
<v Speaker 1>go SMP futures twenty six points higher, and that our

0:49:45.680 --> 0:49:49.040
<v Speaker 1>futures up two hundred twenty. You're listening to Bloomberg day Break.