1 00:00:03,279 --> 00:00:06,680 Speaker 1: Live from the Bloomberg Interactive Berger Studios. This is Bloomberg 2 00:00:06,760 --> 00:00:10,520 Speaker 1: day Break for Tuesday, December seven two. Coming up, the 3 00:00:10,600 --> 00:00:13,880 Speaker 1: shower stocks and China gain as the country continues to 4 00:00:14,000 --> 00:00:17,200 Speaker 1: roll back COVID measures. That's something to lift us futures 5 00:00:17,239 --> 00:00:19,360 Speaker 1: as we close out the last trading week of the year, 6 00:00:19,720 --> 00:00:22,720 Speaker 1: and President Biden declares an emergency in the state of 7 00:00:22,760 --> 00:00:25,800 Speaker 1: New York because of the winter storm. New York GOP 8 00:00:26,000 --> 00:00:29,520 Speaker 1: representative Alex Santos admits he lied about its job experience. 9 00:00:29,600 --> 00:00:32,800 Speaker 1: Plus Democrats called Texas Governor Rabbits actions on migrants of 10 00:00:32,880 --> 00:00:36,280 Speaker 1: dangerous stunt. I'm Michael Barr more ahead, I'm John stash 11 00:00:36,320 --> 00:00:38,040 Speaker 1: Our in sports Red Hot, and that's been at nine 12 00:00:38,040 --> 00:00:39,879 Speaker 1: wins in a row with a win in Cleveland. Mike 13 00:00:39,920 --> 00:00:44,960 Speaker 1: White is back as the Jets starting quarterback. That's all's 14 00:00:45,000 --> 00:00:49,240 Speaker 1: trendyhead on Bloomberg Daybreak on Bloomberg Eliving Free on New York, 15 00:00:49,440 --> 00:00:54,120 Speaker 1: Bloomberg one, Washington, d C, Bloomberg one oh six one, Boston, 16 00:00:54,400 --> 00:00:58,560 Speaker 1: Bloomberg nine sixties and Francisco Sirius x M one nine 17 00:00:58,600 --> 00:01:01,840 Speaker 1: team and around the world. Then Bloomberg Radio dot Com 18 00:01:01,920 --> 00:01:08,760 Speaker 1: and via the Bloomberg Business app. Good morning. I'm John 19 00:01:08,760 --> 00:01:12,160 Speaker 1: Tucker and I'm Karen Moscow and US stock index futures 20 00:01:12,160 --> 00:01:14,200 Speaker 1: are on the rise this morning, and we checked the 21 00:01:14,200 --> 00:01:17,560 Speaker 1: markets all day long here on bloomberg SMP futures up 22 00:01:17,600 --> 00:01:20,360 Speaker 1: twenty seven points or seven tenths of upper cent, DEAF 23 00:01:20,360 --> 00:01:22,640 Speaker 1: futures up six tens of upper cent or two hundred 24 00:01:22,680 --> 00:01:25,800 Speaker 1: eleven points. And as the futures up six tensive upper 25 00:01:25,800 --> 00:01:29,200 Speaker 1: cent er seventy points ten, your treasury up one thirty second. 26 00:01:29,240 --> 00:01:31,679 Speaker 1: You have three point seven four percent. They yield on 27 00:01:31,720 --> 00:01:34,720 Speaker 1: the two year at four point three three percent. NIMEX 28 00:01:34,760 --> 00:01:37,080 Speaker 1: screwed oil is up six ten percent or forty nine 29 00:01:37,080 --> 00:01:39,680 Speaker 1: cents at eighty dollars five cents of barrel comex s 30 00:01:39,720 --> 00:01:42,080 Speaker 1: called up seven tens per cent or eleven dollars seventy 31 00:01:42,120 --> 00:01:45,600 Speaker 1: cents at eighteen fifteen eighty announced. The euro one point 32 00:01:45,600 --> 00:01:48,400 Speaker 1: oh six five two against the dollar, the yen one 33 00:01:48,440 --> 00:01:51,880 Speaker 1: thirty three point one nine, John and Karen, As we 34 00:01:51,920 --> 00:01:54,000 Speaker 1: wait for stocks to begin trading here in the US 35 00:01:54,080 --> 00:01:57,960 Speaker 1: on this short and trading week, Equities in Asia are higher. 36 00:01:58,320 --> 00:02:01,360 Speaker 1: China continues to roll back COVID measures and that is 37 00:02:01,360 --> 00:02:04,200 Speaker 1: boosting sentiment in the region. Let's get the recap from 38 00:02:04,280 --> 00:02:07,960 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Daybreak Asia anchor Brian Curtis. In Hong Kong, Asian 39 00:02:07,960 --> 00:02:11,840 Speaker 1: stocks powered higher on the China news of ditching quarantine rules. 40 00:02:12,080 --> 00:02:15,720 Speaker 1: Traveling consumer good stocks jumped. It was a risk on day, 41 00:02:15,760 --> 00:02:19,080 Speaker 1: with US and European equity futures also higher and the 42 00:02:19,160 --> 00:02:22,560 Speaker 1: dollar lower. Investors also embraced the cooling of a key 43 00:02:22,600 --> 00:02:26,960 Speaker 1: inflation measure in the United States. Oil and gold also bounced. 44 00:02:27,200 --> 00:02:30,160 Speaker 1: Indexes of US, Asian and global stocks still remained down 45 00:02:30,200 --> 00:02:34,119 Speaker 1: about this year. It's the worst annual performance since two 46 00:02:34,120 --> 00:02:37,600 Speaker 1: thousand and eight. In Hong Kong, Brian Turtis Bloomberg day Break, 47 00:02:37,840 --> 00:02:41,120 Speaker 1: Ry Brian, thank you all. And geopolitical news. US China 48 00:02:41,280 --> 00:02:44,760 Speaker 1: tensions are in focus again. The US is criticizing Beijing's 49 00:02:44,840 --> 00:02:49,040 Speaker 1: military drills near Taiwan this week. The National Security Council 50 00:02:49,120 --> 00:02:52,560 Speaker 1: called the exercises provocative and said it will continue to 51 00:02:52,639 --> 00:02:56,480 Speaker 1: help Taiwan defend itself. Last week, US lawmakers agree to 52 00:02:56,520 --> 00:02:59,480 Speaker 1: a spending bill that included two billion dollars and weapons 53 00:02:59,520 --> 00:03:02,360 Speaker 1: funding for Taiwan. And back here in New York, Karen 54 00:03:02,639 --> 00:03:06,119 Speaker 1: nasty bout of winter weather has resulted in twenty eight 55 00:03:06,160 --> 00:03:09,160 Speaker 1: deaths and crippled parts of the state, and now President 56 00:03:09,240 --> 00:03:12,720 Speaker 1: Biden has approved a disaster declaration in New York. Let's 57 00:03:12,760 --> 00:03:15,760 Speaker 1: get the story this morning from Bloomberg's Michael Barr. The 58 00:03:15,760 --> 00:03:18,760 Speaker 1: Buffalo area got at least four ft of snow, and 59 00:03:18,919 --> 00:03:22,360 Speaker 1: moore is expected today. New York Governor Kathy Hukel, we 60 00:03:22,480 --> 00:03:25,280 Speaker 1: have been to a lot of wars together, and this 61 00:03:25,440 --> 00:03:27,760 Speaker 1: blizzard is the one for the ages. Certainly, it is 62 00:03:27,800 --> 00:03:31,000 Speaker 1: the blizzard of the century. Those who died around Buffalo 63 00:03:31,080 --> 00:03:34,480 Speaker 1: were found in cars, homes, and snow banks. Some died 64 00:03:34,520 --> 00:03:38,400 Speaker 1: while shoveling snow. Buffalo Mayor Byron Brown says they are 65 00:03:38,440 --> 00:03:41,960 Speaker 1: also dealing with power outages and lack of heat. I'm 66 00:03:42,040 --> 00:03:47,320 Speaker 1: myself and my family were without power. I can tell 67 00:03:47,360 --> 00:03:50,880 Speaker 1: you at one point the temperature in our home got 68 00:03:50,920 --> 00:03:55,160 Speaker 1: down to about forty degrees. It was very uncomfortable. We 69 00:03:55,240 --> 00:03:58,320 Speaker 1: had to layer up. Mayor Brown says some people have 70 00:03:58,480 --> 00:04:01,720 Speaker 1: been without power since Friday in New York. Michael Barr, 71 00:04:01,760 --> 00:04:04,360 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Daybreak. All right, Michael, thank you are The bad 72 00:04:04,400 --> 00:04:07,320 Speaker 1: weather across the country is also hitting air travel hard, 73 00:04:07,360 --> 00:04:09,160 Speaker 1: and we get that part of the story. Live with 74 00:04:09,200 --> 00:04:12,320 Speaker 1: the Bloomberry. Steve Rappaport, it's Steve, good morning, Good morning, 75 00:04:12,480 --> 00:04:15,480 Speaker 1: Karen and John. Airlines are scrambling to catch up after 76 00:04:15,520 --> 00:04:18,359 Speaker 1: a winter storm canceled thousands of flights during the Christmas 77 00:04:18,400 --> 00:04:21,200 Speaker 1: travel rush. The flight tracking website flight of Where shows 78 00:04:21,200 --> 00:04:24,760 Speaker 1: more than twenty hundred flights grounded today. Southwest was the 79 00:04:24,800 --> 00:04:29,440 Speaker 1: worst hit yesterday, accounting for nearly seventy of the cancelations nationwide. 80 00:04:29,600 --> 00:04:32,920 Speaker 1: Southwest Senior director Jim McVeigh, as the storm continued to 81 00:04:32,960 --> 00:04:37,240 Speaker 1: sweep across the country, the cancelations just compiled one after another, 82 00:04:37,400 --> 00:04:39,359 Speaker 1: and as a results, we end up with flight cruise 83 00:04:39,360 --> 00:04:41,240 Speaker 1: and airplanes that are out of place and not in 84 00:04:41,240 --> 00:04:43,560 Speaker 1: the cities that they need to be in to continue 85 00:04:43,560 --> 00:04:46,200 Speaker 1: to run our operations. McVeigh says the airline is doing 86 00:04:46,240 --> 00:04:49,359 Speaker 1: everything it can to write the current challenges. Southwest stock 87 00:04:49,400 --> 00:04:51,640 Speaker 1: is down about three percent in pre market trading Live 88 00:04:51,680 --> 00:04:54,599 Speaker 1: in New York. I'm Steve Rappaport, Bloomberg Daybreak, Steve, Thanks 89 00:04:54,680 --> 00:04:56,880 Speaker 1: and turning back to the markets were closing out the 90 00:04:56,960 --> 00:05:00,400 Speaker 1: last trading week of a dismal year for equities. SMP 91 00:05:01,200 --> 00:05:05,400 Speaker 1: is down more than harder hit. His been the tech 92 00:05:05,440 --> 00:05:08,279 Speaker 1: heavy NASDAG, which has lost a third of its value. 93 00:05:08,720 --> 00:05:12,720 Speaker 1: Jonathan Gallab is the chief US equity strategist at Credit Sweeze. 94 00:05:13,040 --> 00:05:15,200 Speaker 1: I think that this problem that we've had in tech 95 00:05:15,600 --> 00:05:18,760 Speaker 1: is not a sentiment problem. It's an earnings problem, and 96 00:05:18,800 --> 00:05:21,200 Speaker 1: it doesn't last for three or four quarters. It last 97 00:05:21,279 --> 00:05:23,680 Speaker 1: for six or eight quarters. And a lot of these 98 00:05:23,680 --> 00:05:26,039 Speaker 1: big tech companies that two or three years ago we 99 00:05:26,120 --> 00:05:28,919 Speaker 1: said they have modes, they're impenetrable, and we talked in 100 00:05:28,960 --> 00:05:31,960 Speaker 1: those terms. Um, a lot of those companies are are 101 00:05:31,960 --> 00:05:36,800 Speaker 1: getting closer to total addressable market, whether that's in handsets 102 00:05:36,920 --> 00:05:40,479 Speaker 1: or advertising or other things like that. Jonathan gallabat Credit 103 00:05:40,480 --> 00:05:43,280 Speaker 1: Swiss thinks the resilient consumer will keep the U s 104 00:05:43,360 --> 00:05:47,560 Speaker 1: out of recession. Well, John once a pandemic Darling. Peloton 105 00:05:47,720 --> 00:05:52,240 Speaker 1: disappointed investors last month with the holiday forecast that missed estimates. 106 00:05:52,279 --> 00:05:54,479 Speaker 1: Now it has a plan to help recoup some of 107 00:05:54,480 --> 00:05:58,000 Speaker 1: those losses. We get the details TROUM Bloomberg's Erika Herschowitz 108 00:05:58,279 --> 00:06:00,720 Speaker 1: Peloton at least the statement Monday's saying it will begin 109 00:06:00,839 --> 00:06:04,200 Speaker 1: offering refurbished bikes at discounts of up to five hundred 110 00:06:04,200 --> 00:06:07,120 Speaker 1: dollars below new model prices. The price tag on a 111 00:06:07,160 --> 00:06:10,800 Speaker 1: certified refurbished model will range from eleven forty five dollars. 112 00:06:12,320 --> 00:06:15,360 Speaker 1: That's three hundred to five hundred dollars below current prices. 113 00:06:15,640 --> 00:06:18,160 Speaker 1: The refurbished bikes come with the same twelve month limited 114 00:06:18,160 --> 00:06:20,880 Speaker 1: warranty as the new ones and include delivery and set up. 115 00:06:21,160 --> 00:06:24,520 Speaker 1: The company's All Access membership is sold separately. Shares a 116 00:06:24,600 --> 00:06:29,479 Speaker 1: peloton or down this year, Erica Hurwitz, Bloomberg Radio thanks 117 00:06:29,600 --> 00:06:33,040 Speaker 1: Erica Shares of AMC Entertainment. They're continuing their slide. This 118 00:06:33,080 --> 00:06:36,640 Speaker 1: morning they were down another seven percent, enter falling sevent 119 00:06:36,960 --> 00:06:40,200 Speaker 1: percent on Thursday and Friday. The company is proposing to 120 00:06:40,240 --> 00:06:43,640 Speaker 1: convert preferred equity units into common shares, along with a 121 00:06:43,760 --> 00:06:46,719 Speaker 1: ten to one reverse stock split. Well, the price of 122 00:06:46,720 --> 00:06:49,120 Speaker 1: oil also on the rise this morning. John China has 123 00:06:49,160 --> 00:06:52,280 Speaker 1: taken more steps to unwind it's COVID zero policy, which 124 00:06:52,279 --> 00:06:55,960 Speaker 1: could increase demand. Straight ahead, we have your latest local headlines, 125 00:06:56,080 --> 00:07:06,680 Speaker 1: plus a check of sports, and this is Bloomberg the 126 00:07:06,680 --> 00:07:09,120 Speaker 1: Boomberg Weather for it today becoming partly study the high 127 00:07:09,160 --> 00:07:12,560 Speaker 1: temperature topic out at about thirty five degrees time. Down 128 00:07:12,560 --> 00:07:14,240 Speaker 1: for a look at some of the other stories making 129 00:07:14,240 --> 00:07:16,880 Speaker 1: news in New York adds around the world, and for 130 00:07:16,960 --> 00:07:20,040 Speaker 1: that we're joined by Bloomberg's Michael Barr Michael, good Morning, 131 00:07:20,120 --> 00:07:23,440 Speaker 1: Good Morning John. Representative Elec George Santos of New York 132 00:07:23,480 --> 00:07:26,720 Speaker 1: admitted that he lied about his job experience and college 133 00:07:26,800 --> 00:07:30,440 Speaker 1: education during his successful campaign for a seat in the 134 00:07:30,560 --> 00:07:33,200 Speaker 1: US House. In an interview with The New York Post 135 00:07:33,240 --> 00:07:36,320 Speaker 1: in w ABC radio, the Long Island Republicans said, my 136 00:07:36,520 --> 00:07:40,760 Speaker 1: sins here are embellishing my resume. I'm sorry. A lot 137 00:07:40,760 --> 00:07:44,680 Speaker 1: of people overstayed in their resumes or um twist a 138 00:07:44,720 --> 00:07:48,160 Speaker 1: little bit, or ingrandjate themselves. I'm not saying I'm not 139 00:07:48,360 --> 00:07:51,680 Speaker 1: guilty of that. I'm just saying I've done so much 140 00:07:51,720 --> 00:07:55,120 Speaker 1: good work in my career. The New York Times raised 141 00:07:55,200 --> 00:07:58,160 Speaker 1: questions last week about the life story that Santos had 142 00:07:58,200 --> 00:08:01,560 Speaker 1: presented during his campaign, including that he had worked for 143 00:08:01,640 --> 00:08:05,440 Speaker 1: City Group and Goldman Sachs. Neither company could find any 144 00:08:05,480 --> 00:08:09,240 Speaker 1: records verifying that. In Connecticut, the twenty two year veteran 145 00:08:09,520 --> 00:08:12,720 Speaker 1: of the North Haven Fire Department has died from injuries 146 00:08:12,760 --> 00:08:15,520 Speaker 1: he sustained while working ablaze at a four family home. 147 00:08:16,040 --> 00:08:19,080 Speaker 1: The department identified the firefighter is forty six year old 148 00:08:19,360 --> 00:08:24,160 Speaker 1: mattheist Wortz. The Connecticut State Police are investigating the cause 149 00:08:24,280 --> 00:08:27,680 Speaker 1: of the blaze, which displaced thirteen residents on Christmas night. 150 00:08:28,200 --> 00:08:31,560 Speaker 1: The Biden administration is accusing Texas Governor Gregg Abbot of 151 00:08:31,680 --> 00:08:35,960 Speaker 1: endangering lives all in the name of politics. Three buses 152 00:08:35,960 --> 00:08:38,680 Speaker 1: of migrants traveled from Texas and were left in the 153 00:08:38,679 --> 00:08:44,559 Speaker 1: bitter cold outside Vice Presidents Kamala Harris's official residence. Ukraine's 154 00:08:44,600 --> 00:08:47,800 Speaker 1: foreign minister has said that his nation wants a summit 155 00:08:47,840 --> 00:08:51,320 Speaker 1: to end the war, but he doesn't anticipate Russia taking part. 156 00:08:51,760 --> 00:08:54,720 Speaker 1: The Metro Kuleba says that his government wants a peace 157 00:08:54,760 --> 00:08:57,839 Speaker 1: summit within two months at the United Nations with the 158 00:08:57,880 --> 00:09:03,280 Speaker 1: Secretary General Antonio Gutera as mediator. Every war ends as 159 00:09:03,280 --> 00:09:10,199 Speaker 1: a result of uh the actions taking at the battlefield 160 00:09:10,480 --> 00:09:14,200 Speaker 1: and at the negotiating table. But the balance of what 161 00:09:14,360 --> 00:09:17,320 Speaker 1: will be one on the battlefield and what will be 162 00:09:17,360 --> 00:09:21,040 Speaker 1: one at the table it remains to be seen. Foreign 163 00:09:21,040 --> 00:09:24,160 Speaker 1: Minister Calai But also told the Associated Press that Russia 164 00:09:24,320 --> 00:09:28,160 Speaker 1: must face a war crimes tribunal. Global News twenty four 165 00:09:28,200 --> 00:09:31,600 Speaker 1: hours a day on air and on Bloomberg Quicktake, powered 166 00:09:31,600 --> 00:09:34,520 Speaker 1: by more than hundred journalists, analysts more than a D 167 00:09:34,679 --> 00:09:37,800 Speaker 1: twenty countries. Michael Barr and this is Bloomberg, John, Michael, 168 00:09:37,800 --> 00:09:43,559 Speaker 1: thank you, And it's a five a way to Wall 169 00:09:43,640 --> 00:09:45,520 Speaker 1: Street time. But the sports were court being brought to 170 00:09:45,520 --> 00:09:47,360 Speaker 1: you by your trime state. How do you dealer a 171 00:09:47,440 --> 00:09:49,880 Speaker 1: good morning? John Stashour, Good morning, John. The Jets have 172 00:09:50,040 --> 00:09:53,080 Speaker 1: four quarterbacks. They've used all four. They started three. Zack 173 00:09:53,160 --> 00:09:56,000 Speaker 1: Wilson's gone from first string, down to third and up 174 00:09:56,040 --> 00:09:58,880 Speaker 1: to second, back to first. Now he's back to third 175 00:09:58,880 --> 00:10:01,160 Speaker 1: string or maybe fourth, and he'll be inactive for the 176 00:10:01,240 --> 00:10:03,520 Speaker 1: Jets Sunday in Seattle. Mike White has recovered from his 177 00:10:03,600 --> 00:10:07,040 Speaker 1: injured ribs. He'll start with Joe Flacco, the backup Jets got. 178 00:10:07,160 --> 00:10:10,000 Speaker 1: Robert Sala asked where things stand with Wilson. I still 179 00:10:10,000 --> 00:10:11,640 Speaker 1: think he's got a future here. I still think he's 180 00:10:11,679 --> 00:10:14,240 Speaker 1: gonna be a really good quarterback. Uh. He just he 181 00:10:14,520 --> 00:10:16,439 Speaker 1: needs time to just kind of sit back and continue 182 00:10:16,440 --> 00:10:19,200 Speaker 1: the development that we're trying to rekick start, if you will, 183 00:10:19,679 --> 00:10:23,079 Speaker 1: after the New England game. But I still have him 184 00:10:23,080 --> 00:10:25,000 Speaker 1: in our future, in our in our plans. This runs 185 00:10:25,040 --> 00:10:27,680 Speaker 1: contrary to report on Fox that the Jets have decided 186 00:10:27,720 --> 00:10:30,040 Speaker 1: to move on from Wilson after this season. The Colts 187 00:10:30,040 --> 00:10:33,040 Speaker 1: with their third different starting QB and one time Super 188 00:10:33,040 --> 00:10:35,679 Speaker 1: Bowl hero Nick Bole through three interceptions, the Chargers won 189 00:10:35,760 --> 00:10:38,680 Speaker 1: twenty to three. That clinches a NSC wild card for 190 00:10:38,679 --> 00:10:41,520 Speaker 1: the Chargers. So there's one a FC spot remaining with 191 00:10:41,600 --> 00:10:45,240 Speaker 1: Miami leading the Jets, Patriots, and Steelers by one game. 192 00:10:45,280 --> 00:10:48,080 Speaker 1: Dolphins QB two A ton of alowas and concussion protocol 193 00:10:48,120 --> 00:10:51,000 Speaker 1: as he was earlier this season, the Giants were walking 194 00:10:51,080 --> 00:10:54,000 Speaker 1: last night. They host Indianapolis on Sunday. A Giants win 195 00:10:54,520 --> 00:10:56,960 Speaker 1: and they're in the playoffs. Denver four and eleven just 196 00:10:57,040 --> 00:11:00,480 Speaker 1: lost by thirty seven. The Broncos fired coach na Fandel Hacket. 197 00:11:00,840 --> 00:11:03,080 Speaker 1: Ninth straight win for the Red Hot Nets. Both Kevin 198 00:11:03,160 --> 00:11:07,199 Speaker 1: Durant and Kyrie Irving scored thirty two and seventeen win 199 00:11:07,280 --> 00:11:09,520 Speaker 1: at Cleveland that has the Nets only two games out 200 00:11:09,520 --> 00:11:11,760 Speaker 1: of first place in the East. Nick looked in the 201 00:11:11,800 --> 00:11:14,240 Speaker 1: three games lusing streak. Tonight there in Dallas, the Rangers 202 00:11:14,240 --> 00:11:17,199 Speaker 1: home for Washington. The Islanders host Pittsburgh and Seaton Hall 203 00:11:17,280 --> 00:11:19,960 Speaker 1: is a big East game at Marquette. John stashually were 204 00:11:20,000 --> 00:11:22,720 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Sports, John, all right, thanks so lun John and 205 00:11:22,760 --> 00:11:25,600 Speaker 1: the Bloomberg Sports Report, brought to you by Audie. Don't 206 00:11:25,679 --> 00:11:27,760 Speaker 1: let someone else drive off of the Audi model you've 207 00:11:27,760 --> 00:11:30,360 Speaker 1: always wanted to visit your local try state Audi dealer 208 00:11:30,400 --> 00:11:32,960 Speaker 1: to get behind the wheel of yours today, or visit 209 00:11:33,000 --> 00:11:37,520 Speaker 1: Autie Offers dot com for more information. Ahead of the 210 00:11:37,600 --> 00:11:41,240 Speaker 1: market opened on Wall Street Dow futures right now there 211 00:11:41,240 --> 00:11:43,760 Speaker 1: are up two D fourteen points, the ruse of about 212 00:11:43,800 --> 00:11:47,520 Speaker 1: seven tenths of a percent, smp emanate futures twenty seven 213 00:11:47,559 --> 00:11:50,319 Speaker 1: points higher, and that as that e many futures are 214 00:11:50,480 --> 00:11:56,680 Speaker 1: seventy points higher. Volatility index the VIX slightly elevated at six. 215 00:11:57,000 --> 00:12:04,320 Speaker 1: You're listening to Bloomberg Game Break live from coast to coast, 216 00:12:04,480 --> 00:12:07,800 Speaker 1: from New York to San Francisco, Boston to Washington, d C. 217 00:12:08,240 --> 00:12:12,119 Speaker 1: Nationwide on Sirius examp of Bloomberg Business app and Bloomberg 218 00:12:12,160 --> 00:12:17,199 Speaker 1: dot Com. This is Bloomberg Daybreak and good morning. I'm 219 00:12:17,280 --> 00:12:19,560 Speaker 1: John Tucker. Let's take a moment now to look at 220 00:12:19,559 --> 00:12:24,120 Speaker 1: the outlook for European banks in the New Year. Two 221 00:12:24,160 --> 00:12:27,880 Speaker 1: was a year dominated by central bank policy impacting financial 222 00:12:27,880 --> 00:12:31,200 Speaker 1: services companies all across Europe and the world, and it 223 00:12:31,200 --> 00:12:33,480 Speaker 1: looks like we could see more of the same in 224 00:12:33,600 --> 00:12:38,520 Speaker 1: the new year. Inflation and energy dominate the debate in Europe, 225 00:12:38,800 --> 00:12:41,520 Speaker 1: and both our top mine for the CEO of a 226 00:12:41,679 --> 00:12:45,040 Speaker 1: sock Jen Bloomberg, Dandy Burger, sat down with a conversation 227 00:12:45,160 --> 00:12:48,280 Speaker 1: with fred De Kudea to discuss the outlook for sock 228 00:12:48,360 --> 00:12:51,520 Speaker 1: Jen and the banking industry as a whole. So let's 229 00:12:51,600 --> 00:12:54,959 Speaker 1: listen in now to that conversation. Are you concerns that 230 00:12:55,120 --> 00:12:58,520 Speaker 1: as we look at the likelihood of a European recession, 231 00:12:59,040 --> 00:13:01,480 Speaker 1: that this is a reap eat of two thousand, repeat 232 00:13:01,480 --> 00:13:03,880 Speaker 1: of Fuche where they're going to have to hike into 233 00:13:03,920 --> 00:13:07,439 Speaker 1: a recession and then quickly turn around. And I'm more positive, 234 00:13:08,040 --> 00:13:11,640 Speaker 1: and our central scenario is a kind of yes, slow 235 00:13:12,120 --> 00:13:16,520 Speaker 1: economy because of the increase of interest rate, but not 236 00:13:16,600 --> 00:13:20,839 Speaker 1: a recession like the one we experienced into thousand and nine. 237 00:13:21,840 --> 00:13:24,600 Speaker 1: First of all, for the starting point is pretty good. 238 00:13:24,679 --> 00:13:27,960 Speaker 1: The we just see no deterioration of the cost of risk. 239 00:13:28,480 --> 00:13:32,040 Speaker 1: The financial sector is in good shape able to finance 240 00:13:32,080 --> 00:13:36,680 Speaker 1: the economy. So yes, the central banks want to fight 241 00:13:36,760 --> 00:13:40,640 Speaker 1: against inflation, it makes sense, But I think we are 242 00:13:40,679 --> 00:13:44,000 Speaker 1: seeing at this stage some signs of slow down of 243 00:13:44,040 --> 00:13:47,400 Speaker 1: the pace of inflation. I'm sure that the central banks 244 00:13:47,400 --> 00:13:50,319 Speaker 1: will carry on monitoring all the parameters and the economies 245 00:13:50,360 --> 00:13:55,280 Speaker 1: to to caliber rightly their monetary policy. What is being 246 00:13:55,320 --> 00:13:58,480 Speaker 1: done is needed. But again I don't think that we 247 00:13:58,520 --> 00:14:00,719 Speaker 1: are facing the same kind of singer. There's a lot 248 00:14:00,720 --> 00:14:06,040 Speaker 1: of uncertainty. External shocks can create the problem, let's face it. 249 00:14:06,800 --> 00:14:09,839 Speaker 1: But in the absence of an external shock we are having, 250 00:14:09,960 --> 00:14:13,720 Speaker 1: mind a slowdown. But which is that we can absorb? 251 00:14:14,000 --> 00:14:15,960 Speaker 1: So what sort of shock are you concerned about? What 252 00:14:15,960 --> 00:14:18,600 Speaker 1: we hit the level of changing things for you to 253 00:14:18,640 --> 00:14:23,600 Speaker 1: erase that optimism, you know, geopolitical crisis, an evolution of 254 00:14:23,680 --> 00:14:26,800 Speaker 1: the conflict in Ukraine. Just if you wish the way 255 00:14:26,800 --> 00:14:31,800 Speaker 1: we will fare the winter and effectively with perhaps hope 256 00:14:31,800 --> 00:14:36,960 Speaker 1: free temperatures which are okay, which we mean reserves, gas 257 00:14:37,000 --> 00:14:40,560 Speaker 1: reserves being preserved as much as possible will help for 258 00:14:40,640 --> 00:14:42,800 Speaker 1: the next twelve months in terms of gas prices. So 259 00:14:43,000 --> 00:14:45,520 Speaker 1: there are many parameters which can play a role in 260 00:14:45,560 --> 00:14:50,520 Speaker 1: the in the invlation. Wage evolution. Also at this stage 261 00:14:50,560 --> 00:14:55,040 Speaker 1: I see also companies which are trying to avoid entering 262 00:14:55,120 --> 00:15:00,160 Speaker 1: into a cycle where wages are increasing too much, so 263 00:15:00,240 --> 00:15:04,320 Speaker 1: they want to preserve the future. So again every every 264 00:15:04,480 --> 00:15:07,920 Speaker 1: month where we'll see how it goes. What about corporate Europe, 265 00:15:08,000 --> 00:15:11,800 Speaker 1: do they have the strength to sustain again the wage pressure, 266 00:15:12,240 --> 00:15:14,560 Speaker 1: these cost pressures. But at the same time, as we're 267 00:15:14,600 --> 00:15:17,720 Speaker 1: discussing an e CV which continues to hike interest rates 268 00:15:17,720 --> 00:15:21,400 Speaker 1: so higher the cost of capital becomes higher. In corporate Europe, 269 00:15:21,600 --> 00:15:24,360 Speaker 1: we stand that overall, yes, I think so. Of course 270 00:15:24,360 --> 00:15:27,800 Speaker 1: there will be differences. Some companies will not make it, 271 00:15:28,360 --> 00:15:32,120 Speaker 1: depending on their leverage, their competitive position. But so farward 272 00:15:32,160 --> 00:15:35,000 Speaker 1: I'm is seeing is actually companies on one end which 273 00:15:35,000 --> 00:15:37,480 Speaker 1: have been able to adapt. Look at the evolution of 274 00:15:37,560 --> 00:15:41,480 Speaker 1: the consumption of electricity or even gas. They are making 275 00:15:41,640 --> 00:15:47,520 Speaker 1: progress under the pressure to reduce their they are the 276 00:15:47,720 --> 00:15:52,200 Speaker 1: usage of facite energy, they improve their efficiency. Most of 277 00:15:52,240 --> 00:15:55,840 Speaker 1: them also, I think, have been able to pass in 278 00:15:55,880 --> 00:16:00,640 Speaker 1: their prices the increase of the cost of and j wages. 279 00:16:00,720 --> 00:16:04,000 Speaker 1: So again, that's where it's very important in my mind 280 00:16:04,040 --> 00:16:07,200 Speaker 1: to see whether we are entering and cycled and normally 281 00:16:07,240 --> 00:16:10,040 Speaker 1: progressing normalization of inflation, and I think it should be 282 00:16:10,080 --> 00:16:14,320 Speaker 1: fine or unfortunately, yes, inflation stays, and then it might 283 00:16:14,360 --> 00:16:17,200 Speaker 1: be more difficult because at some point the consumer will 284 00:16:17,240 --> 00:16:20,560 Speaker 1: not be able to absorb the price increase. So jury 285 00:16:20,640 --> 00:16:24,080 Speaker 1: is out. The coming months will be critical, but there 286 00:16:24,160 --> 00:16:26,960 Speaker 1: is a path for something which is manageable. I think 287 00:16:27,400 --> 00:16:29,160 Speaker 1: these coming months are also going to be some of 288 00:16:29,360 --> 00:16:32,920 Speaker 1: your last at sock Gen. I mean you've now seen 289 00:16:33,000 --> 00:16:37,000 Speaker 1: the longest tenure of of any banking chief in Europe. 290 00:16:37,440 --> 00:16:40,920 Speaker 1: As you prepare for this economic environment, You've had to 291 00:16:40,920 --> 00:16:43,960 Speaker 1: prepare the bank for a lot. What does preparation look 292 00:16:44,040 --> 00:16:46,440 Speaker 1: like this time around it? As you get ready to 293 00:16:46,520 --> 00:16:49,800 Speaker 1: step down from the from the helm, well, I must say, 294 00:16:49,840 --> 00:16:52,440 Speaker 1: my short term agenda is precisely to ensure that that 295 00:16:52,520 --> 00:16:56,120 Speaker 1: we live a bank in good shape to my success, 296 00:16:56,240 --> 00:16:58,280 Speaker 1: what does that mean? Complete the job in terms of 297 00:16:58,320 --> 00:17:01,200 Speaker 1: strategic project. Because this product jacks the merger of our 298 00:17:01,200 --> 00:17:05,000 Speaker 1: two French networks, The acquisition of this plan will bring 299 00:17:05,119 --> 00:17:09,600 Speaker 1: benefits which are independent on the economy. On the economic 300 00:17:09,640 --> 00:17:13,800 Speaker 1: cat look, we will bring the Scenergy's revenues in cost 301 00:17:13,960 --> 00:17:16,399 Speaker 1: whatever the environment is. It's a way to of course 302 00:17:16,760 --> 00:17:20,520 Speaker 1: reinforce the business model. The second element, of course, is 303 00:17:20,560 --> 00:17:24,680 Speaker 1: to ensure that we are entering this and certain environment 304 00:17:24,800 --> 00:17:27,840 Speaker 1: with the maximum of provision. We will end up to 305 00:17:28,119 --> 00:17:31,760 Speaker 1: and twenty two with a level of excente provision within 306 00:17:31,880 --> 00:17:35,440 Speaker 1: our jargon you know as one as two higher than 307 00:17:35,480 --> 00:17:38,439 Speaker 1: the peak of the covet. It's a scient A general 308 00:17:38,520 --> 00:17:42,359 Speaker 1: CEO Frederick o'deo speaking with Bloomberg Stanley Burger is not 309 00:17:42,440 --> 00:17:44,520 Speaker 1: looked for the new year. You can cage the full 310 00:17:44,560 --> 00:17:49,119 Speaker 1: conversation online at Bloomberg dot com. Five eighteen of law 311 00:17:49,160 --> 00:17:51,800 Speaker 1: Street and still in a Bloomberg daybreak, we check on 312 00:17:51,960 --> 00:17:56,240 Speaker 1: markets and bring you the latest the business, economics and finance. 313 00:17:56,560 --> 00:18:03,760 Speaker 1: I'm John Tucker. This is Bloomberg Markets headlines and breaking 314 00:18:03,800 --> 00:18:06,680 Speaker 1: news twenty four hours a day at Bloomberg dot com, 315 00:18:06,800 --> 00:18:10,359 Speaker 1: the Bloomberg Business Outland at Bloomberg Quick Tape. This is 316 00:18:10,359 --> 00:18:19,199 Speaker 1: a Bloomberg Business lash And I'm Karen Moscow along with 317 00:18:19,320 --> 00:18:22,120 Speaker 1: John Tucker. And equities are arising with a dollar declines, 318 00:18:22,160 --> 00:18:25,600 Speaker 1: a maid positive sentiment from China's rollback of COVID isolation 319 00:18:25,640 --> 00:18:28,000 Speaker 1: measures and the cooling of a key inflation gauge in 320 00:18:28,040 --> 00:18:30,320 Speaker 1: the US. And we checked the markets all day long 321 00:18:30,359 --> 00:18:33,080 Speaker 1: here on Bloomberg with SMP futures up about twenty eight 322 00:18:33,080 --> 00:18:35,840 Speaker 1: points or seven tenths of uppercent. Down future is up 323 00:18:35,840 --> 00:18:38,240 Speaker 1: about seven tenths of upper cent or two hundred nineteen 324 00:18:38,240 --> 00:18:41,200 Speaker 1: points and Nasdack futures up six tents of uppercent or 325 00:18:41,240 --> 00:18:43,920 Speaker 1: seventy one points. The decks in Germany's up sixtents of 326 00:18:44,040 --> 00:18:46,760 Speaker 1: uppercent ten. Your treasury up one thirty second. You have 327 00:18:46,800 --> 00:18:48,920 Speaker 1: three point seven four percent. They yield on the two 328 00:18:49,000 --> 00:18:52,080 Speaker 1: year four point three three percent. Nimex screwed oil is 329 00:18:52,119 --> 00:18:54,159 Speaker 1: up about nine tenths of upper cent or sixty eight 330 00:18:54,280 --> 00:18:57,040 Speaker 1: cents at eighty dollars twenty four cents of barrel comics 331 00:18:57,040 --> 00:18:59,320 Speaker 1: gold up seven tents of upper cent or eleven dollars 332 00:18:59,320 --> 00:19:03,000 Speaker 1: seventy cents. Eighteen fifteen eighty announced the euro one point 333 00:19:03,200 --> 00:19:05,600 Speaker 1: six six one against the dollar. British found one point 334 00:19:05,600 --> 00:19:08,639 Speaker 1: to zero six three, and that's a bloomberg business flash 335 00:19:08,640 --> 00:19:11,000 Speaker 1: Shall Here's Michael Barr with more on what's going on 336 00:19:11,040 --> 00:19:13,960 Speaker 1: around the world. Unchael, Good morning, Good morning, Karen. President 337 00:19:14,040 --> 00:19:17,440 Speaker 1: Biden has approved New York's emergency electoration as the death 338 00:19:17,480 --> 00:19:20,800 Speaker 1: toll from a pre Christmas blizzard that paralyzed the Buffalo 339 00:19:20,920 --> 00:19:23,560 Speaker 1: area and much of the country has risen to twenty eight. 340 00:19:23,920 --> 00:19:26,000 Speaker 1: The dead have been found in their cars, homes, and 341 00:19:26,080 --> 00:19:29,840 Speaker 1: in snow banks. Meanwhile, thousands of flights were canceled or delayed, 342 00:19:29,880 --> 00:19:33,639 Speaker 1: and more are scrapped for today. South Korea sent drones 343 00:19:33,680 --> 00:19:36,960 Speaker 1: across the border into North Korea. It's an unprecedented tit 344 00:19:37,160 --> 00:19:41,320 Speaker 1: for tat military move after Kim joan UN's regime dispatched 345 00:19:41,359 --> 00:19:45,600 Speaker 1: five unmanned aerial vehicles into its air space. Monday night football, 346 00:19:45,640 --> 00:19:48,880 Speaker 1: the Chargers beat the Colts twenty three in the NBA. 347 00:19:49,119 --> 00:19:51,800 Speaker 1: The nets one Global News twenty four hours a day 348 00:19:51,840 --> 00:19:54,680 Speaker 1: on air hand on Bloomberg Quick Take, powered by more 349 00:19:55,000 --> 00:19:58,520 Speaker 1: than twenty seven hundred journalists and analysts more than twenty countries. 350 00:19:58,760 --> 00:20:01,240 Speaker 1: Michael Barr, this is Bloomberg, John, Michael, thank you. It 351 00:20:01,400 --> 00:20:04,480 Speaker 1: is now five twenty three on Wall Street. I'm John Tucker. 352 00:20:04,640 --> 00:20:07,840 Speaker 1: This is Bloomberg Daybreak. The stocks are getting a boost 353 00:20:07,840 --> 00:20:10,880 Speaker 1: this morning, and where that China is removing its last 354 00:20:10,920 --> 00:20:14,280 Speaker 1: COVID restrictions. Let's take a deeper dive into this story 355 00:20:14,400 --> 00:20:17,639 Speaker 1: this morning with Bloomberg reporter Alan Juan, who joins us 356 00:20:17,680 --> 00:20:20,760 Speaker 1: this morning from Shanghai. Alan, thanks for being with us, 357 00:20:20,760 --> 00:20:22,920 Speaker 1: appreciate it. What can you tell us about what China 358 00:20:23,040 --> 00:20:27,000 Speaker 1: is doing? From January eight, China is no longer going 359 00:20:27,000 --> 00:20:30,360 Speaker 1: to require inbound visitors to quarantine at the hotels anymore. 360 00:20:30,800 --> 00:20:33,600 Speaker 1: I mean, basically, it's getting rid of policy that's curb travel, 361 00:20:33,720 --> 00:20:37,000 Speaker 1: hurt economy, and left the country actually from the rest 362 00:20:37,040 --> 00:20:39,760 Speaker 1: of the world that's said, it's still going to require 363 00:20:40,240 --> 00:20:44,720 Speaker 1: travel arrivals to to show negative PCR test results taken 364 00:20:44,720 --> 00:20:47,960 Speaker 1: within forty hours of departure. But you know something that's 365 00:20:48,040 --> 00:20:50,240 Speaker 1: nothing competible we have right now. I mean, right now 366 00:20:50,240 --> 00:20:52,560 Speaker 1: it's like about five days of the whole took quarantine 367 00:20:53,119 --> 00:20:56,480 Speaker 1: and another three days at a home monitoring. UM. I myself, 368 00:20:56,480 --> 00:21:00,359 Speaker 1: I've done two long quarantines after leaving China coming Act 369 00:21:00,359 --> 00:21:03,280 Speaker 1: one for fourteen days and one for ten days, and 370 00:21:03,320 --> 00:21:06,119 Speaker 1: I tell you it's it's pretty brutal. So I'm actually 371 00:21:06,119 --> 00:21:09,760 Speaker 1: looking forward to this change in policy. This mean COVID, 372 00:21:10,119 --> 00:21:12,840 Speaker 1: uh the outbreak has gotten better in China or the 373 00:21:12,880 --> 00:21:17,280 Speaker 1: government's just throwing in the towel. Now the COVID is 374 00:21:17,280 --> 00:21:21,440 Speaker 1: not getting better, um and maybe Peaking and Beijing, Shanghai, 375 00:21:21,520 --> 00:21:24,479 Speaker 1: we're still in the midst of it. Uh So right 376 00:21:24,480 --> 00:21:28,040 Speaker 1: now we're giving about three or four thousand, officially three 377 00:21:28,119 --> 00:21:30,600 Speaker 1: or four cases of the day, which sort of flies 378 00:21:30,600 --> 00:21:33,240 Speaker 1: in the face of everything we're seeing on the ground 379 00:21:33,320 --> 00:21:36,560 Speaker 1: and what some of the provinces of reporting like, for example, 380 00:21:36,880 --> 00:21:40,639 Speaker 1: Judge and Province, which is actually Shanghai, reported one million 381 00:21:40,680 --> 00:21:45,119 Speaker 1: cases and expects another million more before it peaks. And 382 00:21:45,160 --> 00:21:47,639 Speaker 1: what we do. What we also know is that about 383 00:21:47,760 --> 00:21:50,760 Speaker 1: the eighteen percent almost two and fifteen million people have 384 00:21:50,920 --> 00:21:54,520 Speaker 1: already been infected and acts according to the China's National 385 00:21:54,520 --> 00:21:57,040 Speaker 1: Health Commission. UH this was for the minutes of one 386 00:21:57,080 --> 00:22:00,600 Speaker 1: of their meetings. Have they given in any indication that 387 00:22:00,680 --> 00:22:04,680 Speaker 1: they could go back to the restrict of COVID policies? No, 388 00:22:04,800 --> 00:22:08,080 Speaker 1: I I think it's over. I did. China has dismantle 389 00:22:08,400 --> 00:22:11,600 Speaker 1: the whole apparatus right now, you know, there's I'm just 390 00:22:11,600 --> 00:22:14,600 Speaker 1: I'm stunning how fast everything has occurred. Right now, there's 391 00:22:14,600 --> 00:22:16,679 Speaker 1: no there's no longer a need to get any kind 392 00:22:16,680 --> 00:22:18,720 Speaker 1: of PC artists, and even if you want to want 393 00:22:18,760 --> 00:22:21,119 Speaker 1: to get one, it's kind of hard to find. I 394 00:22:21,520 --> 00:22:24,720 Speaker 1: think we've gone in the other direction, which is basically, UM, 395 00:22:24,800 --> 00:22:29,080 Speaker 1: you know, let it fly. Yeah, Well, what next at 396 00:22:29,520 --> 00:22:34,119 Speaker 1: this point? I mean, they're still doing monitoring, are they not? UM? 397 00:22:34,160 --> 00:22:37,960 Speaker 1: You know, China is UM. You know, they're they're trying 398 00:22:37,960 --> 00:22:42,320 Speaker 1: to mitigate some of these UM. Illnesses and deaths right 399 00:22:42,400 --> 00:22:45,440 Speaker 1: right now, they're they're downgrading the management of COVID zero 400 00:22:45,560 --> 00:22:49,240 Speaker 1: from highest level to the second highest, meaning that they're 401 00:22:49,240 --> 00:22:52,520 Speaker 1: they're they're saying that COVID isn't as bad as people 402 00:22:52,600 --> 00:22:56,159 Speaker 1: think people initially thought as being treated now more like 403 00:22:56,240 --> 00:22:58,679 Speaker 1: the flu or some of some kind of cold. But 404 00:22:58,680 --> 00:23:02,720 Speaker 1: they're also pledging into increase I see you beds, increase 405 00:23:02,760 --> 00:23:05,959 Speaker 1: the supply of a life saving equipment like ventilators, and 406 00:23:06,040 --> 00:23:09,920 Speaker 1: also they're going to retrofit some of these quarantine for 407 00:23:10,040 --> 00:23:14,640 Speaker 1: quaranty of facilities. It's the hospitles that can handle COVID patients. Hey, 408 00:23:14,720 --> 00:23:18,440 Speaker 1: what has been the the overall impact on the Chinese economy? 409 00:23:18,480 --> 00:23:22,120 Speaker 1: Only get like twenty seconds left, Okay, it's been it's 410 00:23:22,119 --> 00:23:24,800 Speaker 1: been horrendous. I mean, right this year, a lot of 411 00:23:25,080 --> 00:23:32,000 Speaker 1: economists estimated growth roughly, which is like on the lowest 412 00:23:32,160 --> 00:23:34,200 Speaker 1: in decades, and normally you get about you know, five 413 00:23:34,280 --> 00:23:36,520 Speaker 1: six five percent every year, and that's what they're predicting. 414 00:23:36,560 --> 00:23:40,480 Speaker 1: Connection or more so, it's been devastating for the economy. 415 00:23:40,840 --> 00:23:43,440 Speaker 1: It's been devastating for a lot of businesses that had 416 00:23:43,560 --> 00:23:46,800 Speaker 1: to sort of impose these closed loops in order to 417 00:23:46,840 --> 00:23:49,840 Speaker 1: come up business and most importantly you know it's it's 418 00:23:49,840 --> 00:23:52,680 Speaker 1: it's her summer sentiment. Okay, Alan, We're gonna have to 419 00:23:52,760 --> 00:23:55,280 Speaker 1: leave it there, Bloomberg's Alan wand thanks for joining us 420 00:23:55,280 --> 00:23:58,639 Speaker 1: from Shanghai just to hand top stories. But first a 421 00:23:58,720 --> 00:24:01,120 Speaker 1: look at the Bloomberg weather for like cloudy, this will 422 00:24:01,119 --> 00:24:03,400 Speaker 1: be drifting through the Tristead area for while this morning, 423 00:24:03,440 --> 00:24:05,760 Speaker 1: but eventually it moves out him will see sunshine developed 424 00:24:05,840 --> 00:24:07,760 Speaker 1: later in the day. Temperatures will be close to thirty 425 00:24:07,760 --> 00:24:12,119 Speaker 1: five tonight, generally clear, sky slows overnight thirty Tomorrow we 426 00:24:12,119 --> 00:24:16,240 Speaker 1: should be mostly sunny. Hi's reaching partly cloudy thirty to 427 00:24:16,320 --> 00:24:19,320 Speaker 1: thirty five tomorrow night, turning mile their Thursday, but sunshine 428 00:24:19,400 --> 00:24:22,240 Speaker 1: has a reach forty five to fifty. I'm Rob Carolyn 429 00:24:22,359 --> 00:24:26,440 Speaker 1: with your three day forecast on Bloomberg eleven three oh 430 00:24:27,040 --> 00:24:31,560 Speaker 1: broadcasting live from the Bloomberg Interactive Broker Studio in New York. 431 00:24:31,680 --> 00:24:35,120 Speaker 1: Bloomberg E Living Freedom to Washington, d C, Bloomberg ninety 432 00:24:35,440 --> 00:24:39,000 Speaker 1: one to Boston, Bloomberg one O six one does San Francisco, 433 00:24:39,040 --> 00:24:42,520 Speaker 1: Bloomberg sixty to the Country Sirius xm ch A one 434 00:24:42,600 --> 00:24:45,680 Speaker 1: nineteen and around the globe. The Bloomberg Business app and 435 00:24:45,760 --> 00:24:55,399 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Radio dot com. This is Bloomberg Daybreak and we 436 00:24:55,440 --> 00:24:58,280 Speaker 1: are coming up to five thirty on Wall Street. Good morning, 437 00:24:58,320 --> 00:25:01,320 Speaker 1: I'm Ter in Moscow and John Tucker. We're being brought 438 00:25:01,359 --> 00:25:05,199 Speaker 1: to you by your daily reminder from Innovation Refunds to 439 00:25:05,240 --> 00:25:08,399 Speaker 1: apply for a payroll tax refund if you're smaller and 440 00:25:08,480 --> 00:25:12,760 Speaker 1: medium sized business was impacted by COVID. Nineteen Innovation Refunds 441 00:25:12,800 --> 00:25:16,919 Speaker 1: clients already claimed over two billion dollars in payroll tax refunds. 442 00:25:17,119 --> 00:25:20,639 Speaker 1: Get started at Get Refunds dot com. And we're just 443 00:25:20,720 --> 00:25:23,280 Speaker 1: about four hours away from the open of US trading. 444 00:25:23,320 --> 00:25:24,720 Speaker 1: Let's get you have to date on the news you 445 00:25:24,760 --> 00:25:27,199 Speaker 1: need to know at this hour. US features and stocks 446 00:25:27,240 --> 00:25:30,760 Speaker 1: overseas are higher this morning. The boost and sentiment comes 447 00:25:30,760 --> 00:25:34,199 Speaker 1: as China scraps more COVID rules now, Beijane plans to 448 00:25:34,200 --> 00:25:37,760 Speaker 1: and it's quarantine rules early next month. Bloomberg Daybreak Asia 449 00:25:37,760 --> 00:25:41,000 Speaker 1: anchor Brian Curtis has more from Hong Kong. This marks 450 00:25:41,040 --> 00:25:44,399 Speaker 1: the end of China's three years of COVID isolation. People 451 00:25:44,480 --> 00:25:47,160 Speaker 1: arriving in China will only need a negative COVID test 452 00:25:47,200 --> 00:25:50,720 Speaker 1: within forty eight hours. Of departure. Up until now, arrivals 453 00:25:50,760 --> 00:25:53,600 Speaker 1: had to quarantine for eight days. The government said it 454 00:25:53,600 --> 00:25:57,160 Speaker 1: would handle visa applications for foreigners for everything from business 455 00:25:57,160 --> 00:26:01,000 Speaker 1: and study to family reunions, and outbound tourism will also 456 00:26:01,040 --> 00:26:03,800 Speaker 1: resume quickly. This could be very good for Europe and 457 00:26:03,880 --> 00:26:08,480 Speaker 1: other destinations. Travel and consumer good stocks jumped in Hong Kong. 458 00:26:08,560 --> 00:26:11,800 Speaker 1: Brian Curtis Bloomberg Gay Break thanks Brian Stocks and Shanna 459 00:26:11,880 --> 00:26:14,680 Speaker 1: Game more than one percent overnight. That's giving a lift 460 00:26:14,680 --> 00:26:17,320 Speaker 1: to US futures as we closed out the last trading 461 00:26:17,400 --> 00:26:21,560 Speaker 1: week of the year. It's been a dismal two for 462 00:26:21,640 --> 00:26:25,719 Speaker 1: bowls with the SMP nive hundred downboard. But Credit Squeez, 463 00:26:25,720 --> 00:26:28,640 Speaker 1: the US equity strategist out that gallup seems a rebound 464 00:26:28,680 --> 00:26:31,680 Speaker 1: for next year. If you do have oil lift off 465 00:26:31,720 --> 00:26:34,080 Speaker 1: and then you actually get some upside in the more 466 00:26:34,200 --> 00:26:37,680 Speaker 1: commodity sensitive stuff like the MP name and the service names, 467 00:26:37,960 --> 00:26:39,800 Speaker 1: the sector is going to be a really big surprise. 468 00:26:39,840 --> 00:26:43,119 Speaker 1: It's absolutely topic. That's Jonathan Gallub at Credit Sweez. He 469 00:26:43,160 --> 00:26:47,719 Speaker 1: predicts the SP five will close ATTI next year. Well, 470 00:26:47,760 --> 00:26:51,160 Speaker 1: another major story we're following this morning, John the bad 471 00:26:51,240 --> 00:26:54,480 Speaker 1: weather continuing to hamper air travel across the country. We 472 00:26:54,480 --> 00:26:57,160 Speaker 1: get the latest live at the Bloombergy Steve Rappapore. It's Steve, 473 00:26:57,200 --> 00:26:59,520 Speaker 1: good morning, Good morning, Karen and John. It's a good 474 00:26:59,520 --> 00:27:02,480 Speaker 1: thing Sam it doesn't fly Southwest, Otherwise he may have 475 00:27:02,560 --> 00:27:05,280 Speaker 1: never left the North Pole. The account the airline accounts 476 00:27:05,280 --> 00:27:09,760 Speaker 1: for roughly sevent of cancelations nationwide yesterday. Southwest stock is 477 00:27:09,800 --> 00:27:12,680 Speaker 1: down about three percent in pre market trading. Senior director 478 00:27:12,760 --> 00:27:15,640 Speaker 1: Jim McVeigh explains the storm caused a ripple effect, leaving 479 00:27:15,640 --> 00:27:18,320 Speaker 1: the airline to play catch up. As the storm continued 480 00:27:18,359 --> 00:27:22,000 Speaker 1: to sweep across the country, the cancelations just compiled one 481 00:27:22,119 --> 00:27:24,280 Speaker 1: after another, and as a results, we end up with 482 00:27:24,320 --> 00:27:26,320 Speaker 1: flight crews and airplanes that are out of place and 483 00:27:26,440 --> 00:27:28,119 Speaker 1: not in the cities that they need to be in 484 00:27:28,480 --> 00:27:31,280 Speaker 1: to continue to run our operations. McVeigh says Southwest is 485 00:27:31,320 --> 00:27:33,919 Speaker 1: doing everything it can to write the challenges it faces. 486 00:27:34,040 --> 00:27:39,760 Speaker 1: Live in New York. I'm Steve Rappaport, Bloomberg Daybreak. All right, Steve, 487 00:27:39,760 --> 00:27:41,560 Speaker 1: thank you. The price of oil is on the rise 488 00:27:41,600 --> 00:27:44,200 Speaker 1: this morning. China has taken more steps to unwine it's 489 00:27:44,240 --> 00:27:47,720 Speaker 1: COVID zero policy, which could increase demand and freezing weather 490 00:27:47,760 --> 00:27:50,280 Speaker 1: across the US has led to refinery closures in the 491 00:27:50,320 --> 00:27:53,280 Speaker 1: Texas Gulf Coast area. Checking oil right now and I'm 492 00:27:53,320 --> 00:27:56,480 Speaker 1: nex screwed. Is up one straight ahead your latest local 493 00:27:56,480 --> 00:28:00,240 Speaker 1: headlines plus a check of sports and this is bloom work. 494 00:28:03,440 --> 00:28:07,159 Speaker 1: Thanks scaring one wall streets. Time to bring in Michael 495 00:28:07,160 --> 00:28:09,120 Speaker 1: Barr with more. What else is going on in New 496 00:28:09,200 --> 00:28:12,160 Speaker 1: York cans around the world, Ton, Thank you very much, Sarah. 497 00:28:12,200 --> 00:28:14,960 Speaker 1: President Biden has approved a state of emergency as a 498 00:28:15,040 --> 00:28:19,159 Speaker 1: winter nightmare continues in western New York. At least twenty 499 00:28:19,200 --> 00:28:21,960 Speaker 1: eight people have died in the Buffalo area. New York. 500 00:28:21,960 --> 00:28:27,159 Speaker 1: Governor we still have scores and scores of vehicles that 501 00:28:27,240 --> 00:28:30,919 Speaker 1: were abandoned when people left during the storm. Governor Cathy 502 00:28:30,960 --> 00:28:34,480 Speaker 1: Hoco called it the blizzard of the century. Representative elect 503 00:28:34,480 --> 00:28:37,879 Speaker 1: George Santos admitted he did not tell the truth about 504 00:28:37,880 --> 00:28:42,320 Speaker 1: his job experience and college education during his successful campaign 505 00:28:42,360 --> 00:28:45,280 Speaker 1: for her House seat. The Long Island Republicans spoke in 506 00:28:45,360 --> 00:28:48,400 Speaker 1: an interview with City and State airing on ABC seven 507 00:28:48,440 --> 00:28:52,160 Speaker 1: about questions on his campaign website that he was Jewish. 508 00:28:52,480 --> 00:28:56,600 Speaker 1: I owe his joke. I'm Catholic, but I'm also Jewish. 509 00:28:58,600 --> 00:29:01,080 Speaker 1: Uh and I've made that joke is growing up. I 510 00:29:01,120 --> 00:29:05,480 Speaker 1: grew up fully aware that my grandparents were Jewish, came 511 00:29:05,520 --> 00:29:09,160 Speaker 1: from from a Jewish family, and they were refugees to Brazil, 512 00:29:09,520 --> 00:29:11,680 Speaker 1: and that was always the story I grew up with, 513 00:29:11,720 --> 00:29:14,440 Speaker 1: and I've always known it very well. Santos says he 514 00:29:14,600 --> 00:29:18,120 Speaker 1: campaigned talking about the people's concerns, not his resume. The 515 00:29:18,160 --> 00:29:21,160 Speaker 1: Biden administration is calling out the governor of Texas, saying 516 00:29:21,160 --> 00:29:24,240 Speaker 1: it was a cruel and dangerous stunt. Bus load the 517 00:29:24,320 --> 00:29:27,600 Speaker 1: migrants arrived in Washington, d C. On Christmas even sixteen 518 00:29:27,640 --> 00:29:31,320 Speaker 1: degree weather without warning, at the official residents of Vice 519 00:29:31,320 --> 00:29:34,920 Speaker 1: President Kamala Harris. Ukraine's foreign minister is calling for a 520 00:29:35,000 --> 00:29:37,320 Speaker 1: peace sumone at the u N to end the war. 521 00:29:37,720 --> 00:29:41,000 Speaker 1: Dmitro Culeba, speaking to the Associated Press, as the summit 522 00:29:41,280 --> 00:29:44,160 Speaker 1: should be with the u N Secretary General as mediator. 523 00:29:44,480 --> 00:29:47,360 Speaker 1: We think that the best the United Nations could be 524 00:29:47,400 --> 00:29:51,400 Speaker 1: the best venue for holding this uh this summit, because 525 00:29:51,440 --> 00:29:54,400 Speaker 1: this is not about making a favor to a certain country. 526 00:29:54,560 --> 00:29:57,440 Speaker 1: This is really about bringing everyone on board. Foreign Minister 527 00:29:57,520 --> 00:29:59,840 Speaker 1: Kalamba Global News twenty four hours a day on a 528 00:30:00,040 --> 00:30:03,760 Speaker 1: rand on Bloomberg Quittake powered by more hundred journalists and 529 00:30:03,760 --> 00:30:08,400 Speaker 1: analysts more than twenty countries. Michael bar this is Bloomberg, John, Michael, 530 00:30:08,520 --> 00:30:14,640 Speaker 1: thank you. It's now four of Wall Street time for 531 00:30:14,720 --> 00:30:17,600 Speaker 1: the Sports Report being brought to you by a tri 532 00:30:17,800 --> 00:30:20,600 Speaker 1: state out of the Hank Morning once again to John Stashower. 533 00:30:20,680 --> 00:30:23,240 Speaker 1: Good morning John. Earlier this season than nets where I 534 00:30:23,320 --> 00:30:26,080 Speaker 1: mast started one in five, nine and eleven, they fired 535 00:30:26,120 --> 00:30:28,120 Speaker 1: the coach, that was the whole, Kyrie Irving solo with 536 00:30:28,160 --> 00:30:32,000 Speaker 1: the that's just one of Cleveland one seventeen, both Kyrie 537 00:30:32,080 --> 00:30:34,320 Speaker 1: and Kevin Durant scored thirty two points. They combined to 538 00:30:34,360 --> 00:30:37,160 Speaker 1: make twelve of nineteen three pointers of the nets of 539 00:30:37,160 --> 00:30:39,960 Speaker 1: one nine in a row thirteen and fourteen. Their coach, 540 00:30:40,400 --> 00:30:43,600 Speaker 1: Jacques Vaughn. We came back as a group, we kind 541 00:30:43,600 --> 00:30:45,600 Speaker 1: of classed to each other that it was going to 542 00:30:45,680 --> 00:30:50,240 Speaker 1: be about basketball and um, hopefully not let anything interfere 543 00:30:50,400 --> 00:30:53,880 Speaker 1: any outside noise, uh interfere with that. And our guys 544 00:30:53,880 --> 00:30:57,320 Speaker 1: have done an unbelievable job of protecting each other and 545 00:30:57,640 --> 00:31:00,920 Speaker 1: making this thing about basketball. That's way tomorrow. Atlanta Nixer 546 00:31:00,960 --> 00:31:03,719 Speaker 1: in Dallas Tonight Monday night, football Chargers beat the Colts 547 00:31:04,080 --> 00:31:06,440 Speaker 1: twenty to three. L as in the playoffs. One spot 548 00:31:06,560 --> 00:31:09,320 Speaker 1: left in the a f C was slumping Miami, leading 549 00:31:09,320 --> 00:31:12,120 Speaker 1: the Jets, Patriots, and Steelers by one game. The Dolphins 550 00:31:12,200 --> 00:31:14,960 Speaker 1: visit the Path Sunday, Miami QB two A ton of 551 00:31:15,000 --> 00:31:18,560 Speaker 1: below is back in concussion protocol. The Jets Sunday visit Seattle. 552 00:31:18,680 --> 00:31:22,480 Speaker 1: Mike White returns as starting QB is injured, ribs having hell. 553 00:31:22,560 --> 00:31:24,400 Speaker 1: That's also a big game for the Seahawks. We're trying 554 00:31:24,440 --> 00:31:27,280 Speaker 1: to make the NFC playoffs, as are the Giants. They 555 00:31:27,360 --> 00:31:31,240 Speaker 1: are in where the home win Sunday over Indianapolis. Daniel Hackett, 556 00:31:31,320 --> 00:31:33,800 Speaker 1: unable to complete his first season as coach in Denver, 557 00:31:33,960 --> 00:31:36,640 Speaker 1: fired with the Broncos four and eleven. The hold up 558 00:31:36,640 --> 00:31:39,280 Speaker 1: in the Carlos Korea contract is an injured ankle that 559 00:31:39,400 --> 00:31:41,640 Speaker 1: dates back to two thousand and fourteen. The mettre said 560 00:31:41,640 --> 00:31:44,040 Speaker 1: to be trying to restructure the deal make it not 561 00:31:44,240 --> 00:31:47,040 Speaker 1: all guarantee. The feeling is Korea will still become a 562 00:31:47,680 --> 00:31:50,520 Speaker 1: John Stashward Bloomberg Sports done all right, Thanks so Lane 563 00:31:50,800 --> 00:31:53,800 Speaker 1: right now. DALLA futures up two hundred twenty eight points, 564 00:31:54,280 --> 00:31:58,840 Speaker 1: SMP futures up eight, but NAK futures seventy two points higher. 565 00:31:59,040 --> 00:32:03,360 Speaker 1: This is Bloomberg. The Bloomberg Sports Report was brought to 566 00:32:03,400 --> 00:32:05,560 Speaker 1: you by Audie. You don't let someone else drive off 567 00:32:05,560 --> 00:32:07,640 Speaker 1: of the Audi model. You've always want to visit your 568 00:32:07,640 --> 00:32:09,800 Speaker 1: local Try and State Audie dealer to get behind the 569 00:32:09,800 --> 00:32:12,960 Speaker 1: wheel of yours today, or visit Autie Offers dot com 570 00:32:13,080 --> 00:32:16,440 Speaker 1: for more information. It is now five thirty six down 571 00:32:16,480 --> 00:32:19,520 Speaker 1: Wall Street, time for the Bloomberg Tri State Business Report. 572 00:32:19,800 --> 00:32:23,280 Speaker 1: Here with that is Gina Servetti. The former Wellington Hotel 573 00:32:23,360 --> 00:32:26,320 Speaker 1: is reportedly changing hands. The New York Post reports that 574 00:32:26,600 --> 00:32:29,280 Speaker 1: Xtel is paying more than ninety four million dollars to 575 00:32:29,320 --> 00:32:32,640 Speaker 1: buy the leasehold of the former Wellington from b D Hotels, 576 00:32:32,720 --> 00:32:35,840 Speaker 1: and that plans might include a significantly larger building for 577 00:32:35,880 --> 00:32:39,160 Speaker 1: the site at Seventh Avenue and West fifty five in Manhattan. 578 00:32:39,320 --> 00:32:43,560 Speaker 1: Lions Gates new million dollar production studio for Newark could 579 00:32:43,600 --> 00:32:45,480 Speaker 1: be in line for as much as a hundred million 580 00:32:45,520 --> 00:32:48,840 Speaker 1: in state subsidies. That's what the Asbury Park Presses reporting, 581 00:32:48,920 --> 00:32:51,480 Speaker 1: saying the incentives are part of a development deal approved 582 00:32:51,560 --> 00:32:54,320 Speaker 1: last week. It's New Jersey's second major movie and TV 583 00:32:54,440 --> 00:32:57,920 Speaker 1: production project getting the green light this year, following Netflix, 584 00:32:57,960 --> 00:32:59,920 Speaker 1: which plans to build a new studio at the form 585 00:33:00,080 --> 00:33:02,600 Speaker 1: or side of Fort Monmouth, and New Jersey based Harbor 586 00:33:02,600 --> 00:33:06,040 Speaker 1: Freight Tools already has more than th hundred locations around 587 00:33:06,040 --> 00:33:08,680 Speaker 1: the country. Now it's expanding further in its home state. 588 00:33:08,800 --> 00:33:11,560 Speaker 1: And j dot com reports the family owned hardware chain 589 00:33:11,600 --> 00:33:13,960 Speaker 1: will open a new store in Deptford, bringing its New 590 00:33:14,000 --> 00:33:17,560 Speaker 1: Jersey store count to almost thirty locations. That's the Bloomberg 591 00:33:17,600 --> 00:33:21,640 Speaker 1: Tri State Business Report on Genus Servetti. All right, thanks 592 00:33:21,840 --> 00:33:24,600 Speaker 1: seven on Wall Street Time down for the Bloomberg Green Report, 593 00:33:24,680 --> 00:33:28,120 Speaker 1: and well that here's Bloomberg's Jeff Bellinger. The days of 594 00:33:28,160 --> 00:33:32,160 Speaker 1: so called forever chemicals, or PIFAs are numbered at three M. 595 00:33:32,200 --> 00:33:35,920 Speaker 1: The big conglomerate is dealing with regulatory pressure and lawsuits 596 00:33:35,920 --> 00:33:39,040 Speaker 1: over the substances. It announced last week that it will 597 00:33:39,040 --> 00:33:42,480 Speaker 1: stop making the chemicals and discontinue their use in products 598 00:33:42,520 --> 00:33:46,560 Speaker 1: by the end of the move by three marks historic 599 00:33:46,600 --> 00:33:49,520 Speaker 1: break with an entire class of chemicals that were first 600 00:33:49,560 --> 00:33:52,960 Speaker 1: created in researching the atomic bomb during World War Two. 601 00:33:53,320 --> 00:33:56,320 Speaker 1: They helped three M develop hundreds of different products over 602 00:33:56,360 --> 00:33:59,560 Speaker 1: more than seventy years. Now, things such as Scotch guard, 603 00:33:59,640 --> 00:34:03,240 Speaker 1: fire fighting foam and other products are potential liabilities for 604 00:34:03,280 --> 00:34:07,560 Speaker 1: the company. Three M CEO Mike Roman acknowledges increased customer 605 00:34:07,720 --> 00:34:10,440 Speaker 1: unease over p fos and says the company does not 606 00:34:10,560 --> 00:34:13,400 Speaker 1: see a viable business in the future. He says the 607 00:34:13,480 --> 00:34:16,520 Speaker 1: decision will allow three M to move into other higher 608 00:34:16,560 --> 00:34:20,000 Speaker 1: growth opportunities. He says it is too early to discuss 609 00:34:20,000 --> 00:34:24,200 Speaker 1: whether plans that manufacture p fos will be repurposed. Jeff Bullinger, 610 00:34:24,320 --> 00:34:26,840 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Radio. All right, thanks a lot, Jeff, and we 611 00:34:26,960 --> 00:34:29,440 Speaker 1: have green on the screen ahead of the cash open 612 00:34:29,920 --> 00:34:34,560 Speaker 1: on this Tuesday morning. Down futures right now two points 613 00:34:34,920 --> 00:34:36,920 Speaker 1: that's a rise of about seven tenths of a percent 614 00:34:37,000 --> 00:34:40,560 Speaker 1: this morning. And the SMP emniate futures twenty eight points higher, 615 00:34:40,600 --> 00:34:44,160 Speaker 1: that's up seven tenths of a percent. The NASAK futures 616 00:34:44,239 --> 00:34:47,000 Speaker 1: right now seventy one points higher, that is up six 617 00:34:47,120 --> 00:34:50,680 Speaker 1: tenths of a percent. And stay with us. Just ahead, 618 00:34:50,840 --> 00:34:53,319 Speaker 1: we'll get a preview of the trading day ahead with 619 00:34:53,360 --> 00:34:57,279 Speaker 1: Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at c f r A. 620 00:34:57,960 --> 00:35:04,799 Speaker 1: This is Bloomberg Markets, headlines and breaking news twenty four 621 00:35:04,800 --> 00:35:07,840 Speaker 1: hours a day at Bloomberg dot com. The Bloomberg Business 622 00:35:07,880 --> 00:35:11,560 Speaker 1: at and at Bloomberg quicktape, this is a Bloomberg business 623 00:35:11,600 --> 00:35:20,360 Speaker 1: lash and I'm Karen Moscow at US not Index Futures 624 00:35:20,440 --> 00:35:23,480 Speaker 1: on the rise this morning amid optimism that China's reopening 625 00:35:23,520 --> 00:35:26,520 Speaker 1: will boost global growth next year, providing support for Marcus. 626 00:35:26,760 --> 00:35:28,400 Speaker 1: And we check the markets all day long here on 627 00:35:28,400 --> 00:35:30,799 Speaker 1: Bloomberg S and P Future is up about twenty eight 628 00:35:30,800 --> 00:35:33,280 Speaker 1: points or seven tenths of a percent, and down features 629 00:35:33,360 --> 00:35:35,479 Speaker 1: up about seven tenths of upper cent or two hundred 630 00:35:35,520 --> 00:35:38,080 Speaker 1: twenty four points, and now as day futures up six 631 00:35:38,080 --> 00:35:40,840 Speaker 1: tenths of upper cent or sixty eight points. The decks 632 00:35:40,840 --> 00:35:43,239 Speaker 1: in Germany's up seven tenths of upper cent. Ten year 633 00:35:43,280 --> 00:35:46,480 Speaker 1: treasury up one thirty second, held three point seven four percent. 634 00:35:46,520 --> 00:35:48,840 Speaker 1: They yield on the two year four point three three percent. 635 00:35:49,280 --> 00:35:51,640 Speaker 1: Nimex screwed oils up one point one percent of eighty 636 00:35:51,719 --> 00:35:53,920 Speaker 1: six cents at eighty dollars, forty two cents of barrel 637 00:35:54,160 --> 00:35:56,520 Speaker 1: Comics gold up seven tenths of upper cent or twelve 638 00:35:56,560 --> 00:35:59,640 Speaker 1: dollars at eighteen sixteen announced the euro one point oh 639 00:35:59,719 --> 00:36:02,080 Speaker 1: six x three against the dollar. British found one point 640 00:36:02,120 --> 00:36:04,440 Speaker 1: two zero six two The gains at one thirty three 641 00:36:04,520 --> 00:36:07,960 Speaker 1: point three too. And bitcoin this morning is a tenth 642 00:36:08,000 --> 00:36:11,359 Speaker 1: of a percent. It's at sixteen thousand, eight hundred fifty 643 00:36:11,400 --> 00:36:13,719 Speaker 1: six dollars. And that's a Bloomberg Business flash. Now here's 644 00:36:13,760 --> 00:36:16,200 Speaker 1: Michael Barr with Moore on what's going on around the world. 645 00:36:16,480 --> 00:36:18,719 Speaker 1: Call Karen, thank you very much. The death soul from 646 00:36:18,719 --> 00:36:22,000 Speaker 1: a pre Christmas blizzard that paralyzed the Buffalo area and 647 00:36:22,200 --> 00:36:24,120 Speaker 1: much of the country has risen to twenty eight in 648 00:36:24,200 --> 00:36:28,080 Speaker 1: Western New York. The dead have been found in their cars, homes, 649 00:36:28,160 --> 00:36:32,319 Speaker 1: and in snowbanks. Meanwhile, President Biden approved an emergency doctloration 650 00:36:32,400 --> 00:36:36,440 Speaker 1: for Western New York. The Biden administration criticized Beijing's military 651 00:36:36,560 --> 00:36:40,560 Speaker 1: drills near Taiwan this week as provocative. It insists it 652 00:36:40,600 --> 00:36:43,600 Speaker 1: will continue, hoping the government in tai Paid defend itself. 653 00:36:44,080 --> 00:36:47,560 Speaker 1: Monday Night football, the Chargers beat the Colts three in 654 00:36:47,600 --> 00:36:50,719 Speaker 1: the NBA. The NETS one Global News twenty four hours 655 00:36:50,760 --> 00:36:54,000 Speaker 1: a day on air and on Bloomberg Quicktake, powered by 656 00:36:54,080 --> 00:36:56,840 Speaker 1: more than twenty seven journalists and analysts more than a 657 00:36:56,920 --> 00:37:00,600 Speaker 1: hundred twenty countries. Michael bar this is Bloomberg, John, Michael, 658 00:37:00,640 --> 00:37:02,560 Speaker 1: thank you. Or the smp F I've had. It is 659 00:37:02,600 --> 00:37:06,200 Speaker 1: on track for its worst annual performance since two thousand 660 00:37:06,239 --> 00:37:09,399 Speaker 1: and eight. It's the last trading week of the year. 661 00:37:09,560 --> 00:37:12,239 Speaker 1: Futures right now are climbing, and let's get you set 662 00:37:12,280 --> 00:37:14,440 Speaker 1: up for the trading day head now with Sam Stowball, 663 00:37:14,800 --> 00:37:18,200 Speaker 1: the chief of investment Strategist at c f R. A 664 00:37:18,520 --> 00:37:21,640 Speaker 1: honor to have you Sam. Good morning, Um, Good morning John. 665 00:37:21,920 --> 00:37:24,799 Speaker 1: With history as our guide, is uh Santa Rally still 666 00:37:24,840 --> 00:37:29,319 Speaker 1: in the currents? Sure, the Santa Rally has come into 667 00:37:29,400 --> 00:37:34,080 Speaker 1: existing of all years since World War Two, causing the 668 00:37:34,239 --> 00:37:37,160 Speaker 1: SMP to go up by about one point three percent. 669 00:37:37,360 --> 00:37:40,640 Speaker 1: So I would tend to say that, based on Friday's action, 670 00:37:40,719 --> 00:37:43,640 Speaker 1: based on today's futures, that we have a very good 671 00:37:43,760 --> 00:37:48,400 Speaker 1: chance of if Santa Claus Rally. Where do you suppose 672 00:37:48,440 --> 00:37:51,000 Speaker 1: we're going to end the year in terms of percentage 673 00:37:51,520 --> 00:37:56,719 Speaker 1: gains or I should say percentage losses for the broader index? Well, 674 00:37:56,840 --> 00:38:01,360 Speaker 1: it's still gonna be UH one of the ten negative 675 00:38:01,520 --> 00:38:06,239 Speaker 1: years going back to I looked to because that's when 676 00:38:06,400 --> 00:38:10,919 Speaker 1: SMP started computing its sector level indices. So it will 677 00:38:11,080 --> 00:38:15,280 Speaker 1: end up being most likely the third worst year behind 678 00:38:15,400 --> 00:38:18,319 Speaker 1: two thousand and two and two thousand and eight. Uh. 679 00:38:18,440 --> 00:38:22,080 Speaker 1: And interesting, this is the only year since two thousand 680 00:38:22,160 --> 00:38:24,279 Speaker 1: and two in which we had one sector that was 681 00:38:24,360 --> 00:38:29,600 Speaker 1: positive and everybody else negative. What sector was that? That 682 00:38:29,760 --> 00:38:32,480 Speaker 1: was real estate back in O two of four point one, 683 00:38:33,719 --> 00:38:37,200 Speaker 1: very different from energy of more than fifty percent so 684 00:38:37,400 --> 00:38:39,879 Speaker 1: far this year with every other sector in the red. 685 00:38:40,320 --> 00:38:42,839 Speaker 1: And if there's a positive that can be taken from 686 00:38:42,920 --> 00:38:45,440 Speaker 1: this is that the S and P was up nearly 687 00:38:45,520 --> 00:38:50,440 Speaker 1: twent in two thousand and three. Um. Does negative sentiment 688 00:38:50,719 --> 00:38:55,399 Speaker 1: change simply because we turned the calendar to a new year? Well, 689 00:38:55,480 --> 00:38:58,680 Speaker 1: I think you you do get some return to a 690 00:38:58,760 --> 00:39:01,960 Speaker 1: more positive sentiment because in a negative year, you're going 691 00:39:02,000 --> 00:39:04,680 Speaker 1: to have a lot of tax loss selling, and so 692 00:39:05,040 --> 00:39:08,080 Speaker 1: if you continue to see a lot of red, then 693 00:39:08,120 --> 00:39:12,600 Speaker 1: I think that adds to the dampening effect of market performances, 694 00:39:12,960 --> 00:39:16,680 Speaker 1: which then adversary effects his confidence. So I would tend 695 00:39:16,719 --> 00:39:18,920 Speaker 1: to say that, you know, if we start two thousand 696 00:39:18,960 --> 00:39:22,120 Speaker 1: and twenty three on an up note, then I would 697 00:39:22,160 --> 00:39:25,840 Speaker 1: tend to think that that could help to buoy the sentiment. 698 00:39:26,560 --> 00:39:32,080 Speaker 1: Will earnings be better than feared? Well, good question. I 699 00:39:32,160 --> 00:39:35,560 Speaker 1: think the number is Uh. The SMP has in the 700 00:39:35,680 --> 00:39:39,240 Speaker 1: last fifty two out of fifty three quarters has posted 701 00:39:39,440 --> 00:39:44,080 Speaker 1: actual returns that exceeded end of quarter estimates. The only 702 00:39:44,200 --> 00:39:47,640 Speaker 1: difference this time is that we are looking for an 703 00:39:47,800 --> 00:39:51,680 Speaker 1: earnings recession, because the fourth quarter of two thousand and 704 00:39:51,760 --> 00:39:55,600 Speaker 1: twenty two, as well as the first two quarters of three, 705 00:39:56,000 --> 00:39:59,880 Speaker 1: are expected to post year on year declines, and historic 706 00:40:00,280 --> 00:40:04,160 Speaker 1: looking at operating earnings, they have been coincident with the 707 00:40:04,280 --> 00:40:07,960 Speaker 1: start of recessions, whereas with gap earnings they've been a 708 00:40:08,040 --> 00:40:10,960 Speaker 1: bit of a lag. So an earnings recession, can you 709 00:40:11,040 --> 00:40:16,200 Speaker 1: still have a positive year? Yes? Actually, a lot of 710 00:40:16,280 --> 00:40:21,440 Speaker 1: studies have shown that when earnings zag, the market tends 711 00:40:21,480 --> 00:40:25,800 Speaker 1: to zig. The recent being that investors are forward looking 712 00:40:26,200 --> 00:40:30,600 Speaker 1: uh and they are looking across the valley. Expectations are 713 00:40:30,680 --> 00:40:33,480 Speaker 1: we could see earnings up by ten point three percent 714 00:40:33,600 --> 00:40:36,600 Speaker 1: in the fourth quarter of two thousand and twenty three, 715 00:40:36,719 --> 00:40:38,799 Speaker 1: and then up by more than ten percent for all 716 00:40:39,200 --> 00:40:42,440 Speaker 1: of two thousand and twenty four. So I think there 717 00:40:42,640 --> 00:40:45,000 Speaker 1: is a good possibility that once we get past the 718 00:40:45,440 --> 00:40:48,640 Speaker 1: undulations of the first half, that we do end up 719 00:40:49,080 --> 00:40:51,880 Speaker 1: with a positive two thousand and twenty three. Can you 720 00:40:51,960 --> 00:40:54,880 Speaker 1: further break down some of the sectors and the expected 721 00:40:54,960 --> 00:41:00,719 Speaker 1: performance that you're looking for, Well, looking for pretty good 722 00:41:00,800 --> 00:41:06,160 Speaker 1: earnings growth for the consumer discretionary category, one of the 723 00:41:06,760 --> 00:41:10,160 Speaker 1: areas in which we're expecting to see double digit games, 724 00:41:11,000 --> 00:41:15,320 Speaker 1: whereas energy, not surprisingly is expected to post double digit losses. 725 00:41:15,920 --> 00:41:18,920 Speaker 1: UM or I should say, really year on your declines, 726 00:41:19,000 --> 00:41:22,560 Speaker 1: they're still going to post earnings, but the percentage change 727 00:41:23,200 --> 00:41:27,520 Speaker 1: year on year is expected to be down, primarily because 728 00:41:27,680 --> 00:41:31,399 Speaker 1: they're up by about a hundred and six in two 729 00:41:31,480 --> 00:41:35,879 Speaker 1: thousand and twenty two. So really sort of a hodgepodge 730 00:41:35,920 --> 00:41:38,719 Speaker 1: of of where the earnings growth is likely to be seen. 731 00:41:39,120 --> 00:41:41,239 Speaker 1: And we all know the mess that we saw with 732 00:41:41,480 --> 00:41:44,399 Speaker 1: tech this year. Have the moats around some of those 733 00:41:44,640 --> 00:41:50,920 Speaker 1: stronger tech names have they been removed? Well, maybe not removed, 734 00:41:50,960 --> 00:41:54,200 Speaker 1: but certainly drained a little bit. UM. I think it's 735 00:41:54,280 --> 00:41:58,439 Speaker 1: more a question of the enthusiasm, not necessarily the moat 736 00:41:58,560 --> 00:42:00,799 Speaker 1: that has been drained. A lot of these companies still, 737 00:42:01,360 --> 00:42:04,920 Speaker 1: um are very strong in what they do. Uh. The 738 00:42:05,040 --> 00:42:07,960 Speaker 1: question is how much are investors willing to pay for them? 739 00:42:08,239 --> 00:42:11,880 Speaker 1: I mean, this wasn't like two thousand in which investors 740 00:42:11,960 --> 00:42:17,000 Speaker 1: thought that trading at sixty times forward earnings was still attractive. UM. 741 00:42:17,239 --> 00:42:19,759 Speaker 1: I mean we're looking at technology, which is trading in 742 00:42:19,840 --> 00:42:23,840 Speaker 1: the mid to low twenty multiple area. Now, UM, so 743 00:42:24,400 --> 00:42:27,239 Speaker 1: in two thousand and twenty three, tech is expected to 744 00:42:27,400 --> 00:42:31,120 Speaker 1: post only about a three percent earnings increase versus a 745 00:42:31,239 --> 00:42:34,360 Speaker 1: similar number for the SMP five hundred. It says, I 746 00:42:34,440 --> 00:42:39,560 Speaker 1: mentioned before discretionary financials and industrials that are expected to 747 00:42:39,600 --> 00:42:44,640 Speaker 1: post double digit advances. Hey, Sanford, your perspective was sort 748 00:42:44,680 --> 00:42:50,680 Speaker 1: of the poster child for active management. Well, poster child 749 00:42:52,160 --> 00:42:54,840 Speaker 1: maybe in a negative way. UM. If you go to 750 00:42:55,400 --> 00:42:59,480 Speaker 1: uh sp d j I dot com that's the SMP 751 00:42:59,719 --> 00:43:05,040 Speaker 1: Dow Jones indices, you'll see their SPIVA report SMP index 752 00:43:05,280 --> 00:43:11,200 Speaker 1: versus active UH and find that the indexes consistently outperform 753 00:43:11,800 --> 00:43:15,760 Speaker 1: UH the active managers UH, certainly on a large cap basis, 754 00:43:15,800 --> 00:43:18,799 Speaker 1: but also mid and small cap as well. So it's 755 00:43:19,080 --> 00:43:23,000 Speaker 1: it's certainly been a very challenging period for the active managers. 756 00:43:23,320 --> 00:43:26,120 Speaker 1: And just about the minute left, UH, I want you 757 00:43:26,200 --> 00:43:27,759 Speaker 1: to put your account of his head on among the 758 00:43:27,880 --> 00:43:32,279 Speaker 1: data this week, initial jobless claims Thursday, Waiting for the Fed, Um, 759 00:43:33,000 --> 00:43:35,560 Speaker 1: are they going to have to torpedo the jobs market 760 00:43:35,719 --> 00:43:40,879 Speaker 1: until we can signal all clear for for risk assets? Well, 761 00:43:40,960 --> 00:43:44,080 Speaker 1: I think we're gonna see the SMP K Schiller Index 762 00:43:44,160 --> 00:43:47,640 Speaker 1: come in UM lower than last time. I think that 763 00:43:47,680 --> 00:43:50,400 Speaker 1: we're we are going to be UM looking at jobless 764 00:43:50,520 --> 00:43:54,040 Speaker 1: claims UM come up a bit more. I think the 765 00:43:54,120 --> 00:43:57,040 Speaker 1: Fed is going to be looking at two pronged primarily 766 00:43:57,280 --> 00:44:02,839 Speaker 1: looking at the PCE core, the personal consumption expenditure ex. 767 00:44:03,320 --> 00:44:06,520 Speaker 1: Food and energy, because that's their primary read on inflation, 768 00:44:07,040 --> 00:44:09,160 Speaker 1: and at the same time hoping that they don't do 769 00:44:09,239 --> 00:44:13,200 Speaker 1: too much damage to the employment picture at the same time, 770 00:44:13,360 --> 00:44:16,840 Speaker 1: so their focus is inflation, but they hope there's not 771 00:44:16,920 --> 00:44:22,000 Speaker 1: a lot of collateral damage. Where does SMP five hundred 772 00:44:22,480 --> 00:44:30,400 Speaker 1: and the spot here? Yeah, is our estimate UM based 773 00:44:30,520 --> 00:44:34,520 Speaker 1: on c fr A analysts, target price differentials and some 774 00:44:35,120 --> 00:44:40,640 Speaker 1: technical considerations. UM. Tough first half and a better second half. Sam, 775 00:44:40,719 --> 00:44:42,800 Speaker 1: always a pleasure. Thanks very much for joining us this 776 00:44:42,880 --> 00:44:46,759 Speaker 1: Tuesday morning. Sam stove All the chief investment strategist at 777 00:44:46,800 --> 00:44:50,040 Speaker 1: c f r A, And right now I had a 778 00:44:50,760 --> 00:44:55,120 Speaker 1: market open down futures of two SMP five hundred futures 779 00:44:55,280 --> 00:45:02,600 Speaker 1: right now. Up, you're listening to Bloomberg Day break, Markets, 780 00:45:02,719 --> 00:45:05,759 Speaker 1: headlines and breaking news twenty four hours a day at 781 00:45:05,800 --> 00:45:09,719 Speaker 1: Bloomberg dot Com and Bloomberg Business Outland at Bloomberg Quick tap. 782 00:45:09,960 --> 00:45:19,000 Speaker 1: This is a Bloomburn business lass and I'm Karen Moscow 783 00:45:19,120 --> 00:45:21,840 Speaker 1: along with John Tucker, and futures are higher this morning. 784 00:45:21,880 --> 00:45:24,040 Speaker 1: We checked the markets all day long here on Bloomberg 785 00:45:24,080 --> 00:45:26,960 Speaker 1: with SMP futures up about twenty seven points or seven 786 00:45:27,040 --> 00:45:29,759 Speaker 1: tenths of upper cent. Futures up about seven tents of 787 00:45:29,880 --> 00:45:32,680 Speaker 1: upper cent or two hundred twenty four points, and NASDAG 788 00:45:32,719 --> 00:45:34,840 Speaker 1: future is up six tents of upper cent or sixty 789 00:45:34,920 --> 00:45:37,680 Speaker 1: two points ten. Your treasury up one thirty second. You 790 00:45:37,719 --> 00:45:40,040 Speaker 1: have three point seven four percent and they yield on 791 00:45:40,120 --> 00:45:42,920 Speaker 1: the two year four point three three percent. Nine X 792 00:45:42,960 --> 00:45:45,480 Speaker 1: screwed oil is up nine ten percent or seventy cents, 793 00:45:45,520 --> 00:45:48,399 Speaker 1: and eighty dollars twenty five cents of barrel comex gold 794 00:45:48,440 --> 00:45:50,799 Speaker 1: up seven ten percent or two dollars thirty cents. At 795 00:45:50,840 --> 00:45:54,640 Speaker 1: eighteen sixteen fifty announced the euro one point six six 796 00:45:54,760 --> 00:45:57,399 Speaker 1: four against the dollar, the en one thirty three point 797 00:45:57,600 --> 00:46:01,040 Speaker 1: three zero, and that's a Bloomberg bus this flash John 798 00:46:01,400 --> 00:46:03,480 Speaker 1: all right, Karen, thanks a lot five fifties six on 799 00:46:03,560 --> 00:46:07,320 Speaker 1: Well and Street time for our daily Bloomberg Lawbrief, exploring 800 00:46:07,440 --> 00:46:09,960 Speaker 1: legal issues in the news today we're looking at the 801 00:46:10,040 --> 00:46:13,640 Speaker 1: Supreme Court when justice has returned to the bench in January, 802 00:46:13,640 --> 00:46:15,760 Speaker 1: if they're going to hear a case involving a Turkish 803 00:46:15,880 --> 00:46:20,360 Speaker 1: bank owned and controlled by the Turkish government, that maybe 804 00:46:20,520 --> 00:46:24,600 Speaker 1: President Setting Turkey's hoalk Bank is asking the justices to 805 00:46:24,719 --> 00:46:28,680 Speaker 1: dismiss criminal charges against it stemming from an Alige scheme 806 00:46:28,760 --> 00:46:33,040 Speaker 1: to help Iran evade economic sanctions by diverting billions of 807 00:46:33,080 --> 00:46:35,960 Speaker 1: dollars in oil and gas revenue. Ever More, in the 808 00:46:36,000 --> 00:46:39,799 Speaker 1: case Bloomberge June Grasso speaks to Harold Crante, professor at 809 00:46:39,840 --> 00:46:43,759 Speaker 1: the Chicago Kent College of Law. I'll explain why this 810 00:46:43,880 --> 00:46:47,200 Speaker 1: case could be precedent setting. So the turkys Pake evidently 811 00:46:47,600 --> 00:46:52,560 Speaker 1: helped launder somewhere close to twenty billion dollars of Iranian 812 00:46:52,600 --> 00:46:57,040 Speaker 1: oil assets in contravention of our laws against doing business 813 00:46:57,120 --> 00:47:01,040 Speaker 1: with Iran, and so criminal charging robotic. It's the bank 814 00:47:01,160 --> 00:47:03,160 Speaker 1: here in the United States because some of the laundring 815 00:47:03,280 --> 00:47:07,279 Speaker 1: took place within the US financial system. There has never 816 00:47:07,480 --> 00:47:10,879 Speaker 1: been a criminal action brought against a foreign state owned 817 00:47:11,080 --> 00:47:14,120 Speaker 1: enterprise in our history, and this was really the first one, 818 00:47:14,360 --> 00:47:18,160 Speaker 1: and the second Circuit held that there's no law immunizing 819 00:47:18,320 --> 00:47:21,600 Speaker 1: a state owned bank for its commercial activities. The way 820 00:47:21,680 --> 00:47:24,040 Speaker 1: there would be to protect the state diplomat, and so 821 00:47:24,120 --> 00:47:27,000 Speaker 1: the criminal charges could go forward. So this is really 822 00:47:27,120 --> 00:47:30,560 Speaker 1: unprecedented and it's a major change which we have ripple 823 00:47:30,600 --> 00:47:34,920 Speaker 1: effect around the world because usually we treats foreign governments, 824 00:47:35,040 --> 00:47:37,600 Speaker 1: whether they're doing commercial activities or not, in a very 825 00:47:37,719 --> 00:47:40,160 Speaker 1: special way. We have a whole statute of the Federal 826 00:47:40,200 --> 00:47:43,880 Speaker 1: Sovereign Immunities Act which limits when you can even sue 827 00:47:43,920 --> 00:47:47,000 Speaker 1: state owned enterprises. But this would be saying that, well, 828 00:47:47,200 --> 00:47:50,400 Speaker 1: Congress didn't say you can't have a criminal action against 829 00:47:50,480 --> 00:47:52,600 Speaker 1: a state owned enterprise, and so now we have the 830 00:47:52,680 --> 00:47:55,399 Speaker 1: first one and we'll see if the Supreme Court, let's 831 00:47:55,440 --> 00:47:58,080 Speaker 1: just stand. My guess is that it will. But who 832 00:47:58,160 --> 00:48:02,759 Speaker 1: knows what's turkeys argument for why the bank shouldn't be prosecuted. 833 00:48:03,000 --> 00:48:05,520 Speaker 1: First of all, it's unprecedented that there has never been 834 00:48:05,719 --> 00:48:09,640 Speaker 1: this kind of action, and they're extrapolating from the diplomatic 835 00:48:09,800 --> 00:48:14,520 Speaker 1: precedents would suggest that there is diplomatic immunity for its officers, 836 00:48:14,840 --> 00:48:18,200 Speaker 1: and Congress has seen to fit that we cannot prosecute 837 00:48:18,440 --> 00:48:22,200 Speaker 1: diplomats for ordinary crimes, and so they're suggesting that the 838 00:48:22,320 --> 00:48:25,560 Speaker 1: danger would be that the state owned enterprise. You basically 839 00:48:25,800 --> 00:48:29,160 Speaker 1: end up limiting the kind of functional immunity that's given 840 00:48:29,239 --> 00:48:33,800 Speaker 1: to the members of different countries who may be directors 841 00:48:33,840 --> 00:48:37,200 Speaker 1: on the bank or maybe their relatives are working in 842 00:48:37,280 --> 00:48:40,200 Speaker 1: the bank, and so this would chip away at that 843 00:48:40,360 --> 00:48:43,160 Speaker 1: kind of immunity. Why do you think the Supreme Court 844 00:48:43,680 --> 00:48:47,640 Speaker 1: is going to allow the prosecution to go forward? Congress 845 00:48:47,880 --> 00:48:52,600 Speaker 1: didn't precruited, and in the absence of Congressional statute from 846 00:48:52,680 --> 00:48:55,399 Speaker 1: the court, we have to rely upon some other kind 847 00:48:55,440 --> 00:48:59,719 Speaker 1: of analogy, such as diplomatic community to stop the prosecution 848 00:48:59,840 --> 00:49:03,200 Speaker 1: and and to stop the prosecution of a bank for 849 00:49:03,320 --> 00:49:07,759 Speaker 1: its commercial activities seems pretty far stretch from stopping a 850 00:49:07,880 --> 00:49:10,960 Speaker 1: prosecution from a dimple match who has been accused of 851 00:49:11,040 --> 00:49:14,359 Speaker 1: a hidden run or some other criminal offense. And that's 852 00:49:14,440 --> 00:49:18,200 Speaker 1: Harold Crant, a professor at the Chicago Kent College of Law, 853 00:49:18,719 --> 00:49:21,480 Speaker 1: speaking with Bloomberg's June Grasso. He can catch more of 854 00:49:21,560 --> 00:49:24,600 Speaker 1: that interview, plus analysis of the latest legal news by 855 00:49:24,680 --> 00:49:28,879 Speaker 1: subscribing to the Bloomberg Law podcast or downloading the show 856 00:49:29,040 --> 00:49:32,759 Speaker 1: at Bloomberg dot com. Slash Podcasts and attorneys can find 857 00:49:32,800 --> 00:49:36,960 Speaker 1: exceptional legal research and business development tools at Bloomberg law 858 00:49:37,160 --> 00:49:40,960 Speaker 1: dot com and on the Bloomberg terminal at b law 859 00:49:41,160 --> 00:49:45,600 Speaker 1: go SMP futures twenty six points higher, and that our 860 00:49:45,680 --> 00:49:49,040 Speaker 1: futures up two hundred twenty. You're listening to Bloomberg day Break.