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Speaker 1: This is the Action Network podcast, but this one is good.

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Speaker 1: All right, here we go throwing up. We're saying it's

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Speaker 1: a cash We see most gamblers when they go to gamble,

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Speaker 1: they go to wind.

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Speaker 2: That's incredible, big bank, small banks.

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Speaker 1: I like to make money.

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Speaker 2: All right, this is the ultimate kabai.

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Speaker 3: You want to pay.

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Speaker 1: And we are underway.

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Speaker 3: Welcome to the Action iWork Podcast. I'm your host, Brandon

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Speaker 3: Anderson here for another episode of strong Side Fridays. Joining

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Speaker 3: me as always is Raheem Palmer. Getting you ready for

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Speaker 3: some Week eight NFL Action. Rahim, How are you feeling

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Speaker 3: as we near the season midpoint.

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Speaker 1: I'm feel good. I mean, the season is very, very interesting.

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Speaker 1: The public is continuing the dominie. One of the biggest

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Speaker 1: stats that I read this week that's just so interesting

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Speaker 1: to me is there have been a seven point underdog.

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Speaker 1: That's one all season, which is just strange when it

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Speaker 1: comes to the NFL because this is a lead with parody.

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Speaker 1: So this is a really exciting year. I know the

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Speaker 1: public that's cleaning up. So if the public is making money,

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Speaker 1: I'm happy for them.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, we're happy the public, our listeners, So we're happy

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Speaker 3: that y'all are making some money. We hope that we're

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Speaker 3: making you some money as well. Make sure to download

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Speaker 3: the app and follow Raheem and me and our colleagues there.

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Speaker 3: Get the notifications on, You get our live bets and

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Speaker 3: our bets during the week when we're hitting these hot

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Speaker 3: read and look aheadlines. You also follow Raheem and my

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Speaker 3: NBA coverage there as the season gets going as well

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Speaker 3: as always. Odds today are from BETTMGM, the official outs

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Speaker 3: provider of the Action Hour podcast. All right, let's get

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Speaker 3: right down to business and make some Week eight picks.

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Speaker 2: Rahim, Who do you like?

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Speaker 1: First? Okay, normally we go with the fade the public segment.

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Speaker 1: This week, we're not gonna do that, even though I

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Speaker 1: do think I could see the Tennessee Titans being one

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Speaker 1: of those those pubublic teams. I'm going to go with

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Speaker 1: the Indianapolis Coats. I think it's up to minus one

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Speaker 1: and a half now. The look aheadline on this game

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Speaker 1: was two and a half. Look, the Titans are coming

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Speaker 1: off the two biggest wins of the season. It's the

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Speaker 1: Buffalo Bills of the Kansas City Chiefs, and this is

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Speaker 1: a great spot to sell high on this team. Titans.

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Speaker 1: Hell Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs is just three points.

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Speaker 1: But I think I said more about the Chiefs that

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Speaker 1: this said about the Titans. This is the defensive unit

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Speaker 1: is just twenty second in defensive efficiency, twenty first at

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Speaker 1: EPA per play. Look, Carson Wentz has been He's been

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Speaker 1: great like over the last month after missing the preseason

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Speaker 1: with the ankle injury and cod with nineteen, he's playing

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Speaker 1: on the same level right now that he did almost

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Speaker 1: in his twenty seventeen twenty eighteen. Over the last month,

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Speaker 1: he's third in EPA per play, with only Josh Allen

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Speaker 1: and Matthew Stafford ranking higher. And that includes a Sunday

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Speaker 1: night game in a monsoon in San Francisco where he

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Speaker 1: completed seventeen to twenty six pass one hundred fifty yards

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Speaker 1: two touchdowns. He found his way to help his team

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Speaker 1: win in an ugly, ugly game. And you look at Titans.

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Speaker 1: The're thinner cornerback, they're banged up, and I think we're

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Speaker 1: gonna get a solid game through the air of Carse.

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Speaker 1: It wins. But he doesn't even have to do it

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Speaker 1: byself because Johnston Taylor's playing some good football and you're

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Speaker 1: playing against the Titans defense, which is twenty fifth and

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Speaker 1: EPA for play twenty ninth in the Russian success rate.

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Speaker 1: You look at safety Amani Hooker and outside linebacker blud Dupree.

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Speaker 1: They've been missing practice this week, so I think this

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Speaker 1: banged up, tight Titans defense is in trouble. Obviously. The

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Speaker 1: Titans been having some problems on the offensive line too.

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Speaker 1: This feels like a great spot for the Coats. I'm

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Speaker 1: back in a minus one and a half at this point.

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Speaker 1: I took some plus one and a half. I took

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Speaker 1: some money line earlier, so you want to jump on

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Speaker 1: this before it gets with Filgal.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, the Colts run defense has been awesome all season.

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Speaker 3: They're number two in the DVOA on run defense, so

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Speaker 3: obviously that's the place you want to start against Derrick Henry.

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Speaker 3: Overall EPA, they've been top five passing and run defense

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Speaker 3: over the last month or so.

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Speaker 2: And Inanapolis.

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Speaker 3: Is actually has dominated Tennessee in this matchup over the

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Speaker 3: last like twelve years or so. They've won twenty of

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Speaker 3: the last twenty six games. So Titans got the win

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Speaker 3: earlier this year. This is a huge spot for the Colts.

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Speaker 3: They need to get this one to not really fall

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Speaker 3: almost entirely out of the division race. What do you

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Speaker 3: think about the Colts are on plus four hundred to

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Speaker 3: win the division. If you're playing Indianapolis here, are you

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Speaker 3: gonna sprinkle the division? Two? Oh?

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Speaker 1: I absolutely love it. I think this is the perfect

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Speaker 1: spot to play Indianapolis to win a division because I

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Speaker 1: think this is a game that can s win the division.

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Speaker 1: If they win this game, they're gonna move within one

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Speaker 1: game to the Titans. And obviously both of these teams

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Speaker 1: have some divisional games left, and the Titans have banged up.

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Speaker 1: They sent their whole cornerback in secondary to the hospital.

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Speaker 1: Somehow the Chiefs couldn't take advantage of it, but I

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Speaker 1: think other teams will. So I really like the Coast.

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Speaker 1: They're playing great football. I'm still not that high on

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Speaker 1: the Titans despite those back to back wins, Like even

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Speaker 1: when you look at that win against the Buffalo Bills,

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Speaker 1: the Bills probably should have win that game. So I'm

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Speaker 1: rolling with the Coats to win this the big.

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Speaker 2: All right Up next is our upsets special.

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Speaker 3: That is my favorite money line underdog of the week,

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Speaker 3: six of seven on the season. Now, the Colts came

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Speaker 3: through for me on Sunday night, with another win this week,

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Speaker 3: I am going with Bill Belichick and the New England Patriots.

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Speaker 3: They are on the road in Los Angeles to play

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Speaker 3: the Chargers. Patriots are five and a half point underdogs

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Speaker 3: depending where you look, and the money lines coming off

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Speaker 3: around plus one ninety. I think that this is a

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Speaker 3: very mispriced line. I think these teams are actually pretty even.

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Speaker 3: The Chargers are at home, but we know that that's

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Speaker 3: not a big home field advantage. We know there's gonna

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Speaker 3: be a lot of New England fans at that game,

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Speaker 3: so that should even out whatever there is there by DVA,

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Speaker 3: the Patriots are actually the better team in this one.

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Speaker 3: New England is thirteenth, the Chargers are only seventeenth. I

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Speaker 3: think this team, you know, they've been kind of a darling.

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Speaker 3: You and I have talked a lot about them. The

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Speaker 3: Chargers are have been very good. They've had their high moments,

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Speaker 3: but they've had some low moments as well. They're coming

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Speaker 3: off a bye week, but before that really getting dominated

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Speaker 3: by the Ravens, and to me, what I like about

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Speaker 3: this matchup is that the Chargers have two huge week spots,

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Speaker 3: and we know from all we've seen with Belichick, he

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Speaker 3: sees a week spot and just keeps attacking it over

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Speaker 3: and over again until the opponent proves they can stop it. Now,

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Speaker 3: one of those weak spots is special teams. You can

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Speaker 3: only attack that so often. But I do think New

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Speaker 3: England will have a huge advantage of special teams. Chargers

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Speaker 3: still are just historically awful. They refuse to fix that

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Speaker 3: in the last few years. The bigger problem the Chargers

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Speaker 3: run defense. They are absolutely dead last in run defense.

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Speaker 3: We've seen teams run up the ball on them. The

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Speaker 3: whole thing with brand Staley's defense is drop those two safeties,

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Speaker 3: take away the deep play, force the opponent to check

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Speaker 3: down and hand it off and beat.

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Speaker 2: You that way.

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Speaker 3: That is literally all Belichick wants to do with Mac

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Speaker 3: Jones and this team. I think Damien Harris is going

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Speaker 3: to have a really big game. I'll be looking to

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Speaker 3: play some of his prop overs and I just think

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Speaker 3: that Harris is going to run the ball. Belichick's going

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Speaker 3: to run the ball, and they're going to say, you

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Speaker 3: know what, off tackle again, run it again, run it again.

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Speaker 3: We just ran it for five yards. Stop us, or

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Speaker 3: we're gonna run it again. We've seen Belichick do that,

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Speaker 3: literally run the exact same play, just know how to

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Speaker 3: look it up to the line and run it again.

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Speaker 3: I think they could have run like thirty forty times

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Speaker 3: in this game. And as good as Justin Herbert has

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Speaker 3: been this year too, mac Jones actually has been pretty

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Speaker 3: solid over the last month. Mac Jones is third in

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Speaker 3: the entire NFL and completion percentage over expectation. Justin Herbert

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Speaker 3: is second to last in that stat ahead of only

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Speaker 3: Sam Darnold, which pretty much just means he's last because

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Speaker 3: I don't think Donald even counts anymore. So I just

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Speaker 3: think the Chargers are being a little overvalued here. This

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Speaker 3: line is way off to me. I think that this

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Speaker 3: should be a field goal at most. So I like

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Speaker 3: New England here. Belichick loves being an underdog, and so

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Speaker 3: I think the Patriots can win this out right.

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Speaker 1: This's tough for me, Like this is a really really

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Speaker 1: really big revenge spot for Justin Herbert last year to

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Speaker 1: Patriots beat they pitched the shutout. They beat this team

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Speaker 1: forty five zero. And now obviously you got a brand

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Speaker 1: new coaching staff of Brandon Stale, you got an overall

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Speaker 1: better team, and I think the Patriots a little worse

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Speaker 1: than they were last year. To me, the Patriots, they

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Speaker 1: probably had. They're probably one of the most overrated teams

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Speaker 1: in football right now. Like when you yeah, like I mean,

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Speaker 1: when you really look at the Patriots, they have three wins,

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Speaker 1: two of them came against the Jets, and when one

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Speaker 1: of them came against the Houston Texas, and the Patriots

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Speaker 1: have only played two road games this year just because

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Speaker 1: they're squat scheduling k qurk. You look at the Patriots,

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Speaker 1: the plus seven and turnovers against the Jets and minus

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Speaker 1: seven against everybody else. The Patriots have played the twenty

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Speaker 1: second rank schedule of opposing defenses this year. So it's

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Speaker 1: just like, I'm not that high on this offense. And

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Speaker 1: then one thing you want to look at with at

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Speaker 1: least with the Chargers is that they welcome the return

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Speaker 1: of linebacker Drew Tranquill. They bring back defensive tackle Justin Jones,

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Speaker 1: and they bring back Nasia Adderley. So like Trank, Quill

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Speaker 1: is the number of ninth is the knife frank linebacker

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Speaker 1: corded a pro football focus, and Joe should be big

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Speaker 1: and slowing down to run with the Chargers struggle with.

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Speaker 1: And then when you look at the Pages offense, they're

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Speaker 1: just twenty thirty offensive efficiency, twenty third against the run,

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Speaker 1: twenty thirty against the pass, and I think this team's

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Speaker 1: gonna have to really put up some points in order

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Speaker 1: to challenge Justin Herbert in this offense. And then I've

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Speaker 1: read something really interesting. Warren Strup actually posted an article

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Speaker 1: with Brandon Staley. He was talking about how the Chargers

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Speaker 1: they're trying to emerge from the boy and looking to

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Speaker 1: improve on their early down efficiency and a lot of

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Speaker 1: that comes with being less conservative and maximizing their plate

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Speaker 1: their playmakers. Obviously they have Keenan Allen, they have Mike Williams.

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Speaker 1: I think we're gonna see a team that's just not

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Speaker 1: as conservative on first down. And when I read that

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Speaker 1: like that, that kind of got me excited because we

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Speaker 1: all know that the Charges has been winning by smoking

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Speaker 1: mirrors and getting by on third and fourth down. And

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Speaker 1: if they can improve their early our success rate, I

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Speaker 1: think the sky's limit for his team, and I you know,

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Speaker 1: with them coming off of by then the defense getting healthier.

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Speaker 1: I like this spot for the Chargers, like this Patriots

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Speaker 1: team has Sean Waite, McCarty's banged up, Wade's banged up,

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Speaker 1: Gilmore's long no longer on his team, So how are

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Speaker 1: you gonna stop Mike Williams and Keenan Allen. I just

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Speaker 1: like the spot for the Chargers, but I do understand

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Speaker 1: it from a numbers perspective taking the Patriots, but I'm

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Speaker 1: not with you in this one.

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Speaker 2: That's interesting.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I actually think New England is one of the

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Speaker 3: more underrated teams right now. I know that their three

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Speaker 3: wins have not come against impressive teams, but they almost

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Speaker 3: beat the Box. It took a last minute field goal

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Speaker 3: drive by the legend Tom Brady. They almost beat the Cowboys.

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Speaker 3: It went to overtime. New England actually could pretty easily

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Speaker 3: be five and two, even six and one right now.

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Speaker 3: The only game that New England hasn't competed in was

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Speaker 3: against the Saints, and that was the one when Mac

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Speaker 3: Jones threw a pick six and essentially a second pick six,

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Speaker 3: and they lost by fifteen, so that was the difference.

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Speaker 3: So I just think Belichick thrives in the spot as

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Speaker 3: an underdog. This is a sort of team. You know,

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Speaker 3: even early last year, before Cam Newton went in the

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Speaker 3: COVID protocol, it was again shaping up like okay, hey,

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Speaker 3: maybe these Patriots are going to kind of hang around.

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Speaker 3: They know how to hang in on defense. If Herbert

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Speaker 3: is going to take that stuff forward and start producing

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Speaker 3: an early downs and then keep up the third down magic,

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Speaker 3: I just don't think the Belichick defense is the place

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Speaker 3: that that trend is going to start. So we will

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Speaker 3: see how this one turns out. Where we're head to

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Speaker 3: head on this one. Let's go next to tease me,

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Speaker 3: please me, change, don't tease me? And Raheem, who do

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Speaker 3: you like in your teaser this week?

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna like this. This is a very very very

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Speaker 1: ugly teaser. I'm gonna go with the Carolina Panthers plus

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Speaker 1: nine and the Washington football team plus nine. We're gonna

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Speaker 1: tease them both up. They're both plus three and tease

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Speaker 1: them up. When you look at the Carolina Panthers, I

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Speaker 1: actually like the Carolina Panthers plus the three, but you're

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Speaker 1: giving me nine with this team. It's a great spot

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Speaker 1: that Atlanta Falcons. They won't three out of the last

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Speaker 1: four games, but they've come against the Giants to digest Dolphins.

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Speaker 1: These defenses are twenty third, twenty seventh, and twenty eighth

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Speaker 1: and EPA per play. They don't have dominant pass rush.

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Speaker 1: And you look at this Falcons offensive line, they're twenty

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Speaker 1: fourth in ESPN's past black win rate and they're facing

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Speaker 1: the Panthers defense which is fourth and past block win rate.

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Speaker 1: So we all know Matt Ryan is a statue, and

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Speaker 1: I think the Panthers should be able to cause some

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Speaker 1: problems for Matt Ryan defensively. We all know that the

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Speaker 1: Falcons they can't stop in those with the thirtieth from

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Speaker 1: scoring defense, A lined with twenty nine point three points

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Speaker 1: the game, twenty fifth and EPA to play thirty first

263
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Speaker 1: and success rate, and they're thirty first and drop backs

264
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Speaker 1: success rate as well, and they're dealing with injuries to

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Speaker 1: quarterbacks A J. Terrell, Fabian Morale, safety Eric Harris. They

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Speaker 1: all left Sunday's game with injuries against the Dolphins, and

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Speaker 1: you already have Isaiah Oliver out for the season. So

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Speaker 1: this secondary is banged up. And there's one spot in

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Speaker 1: which Sam Darnold can can can call some problems. I

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Speaker 1: think it's this week. So give me the nine with

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Speaker 1: the Panthers, and then when I look at the Washington

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Speaker 1: football team catching nine. First things first you want to

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Speaker 1: look at when it comes to actually teasing this up

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Speaker 1: from three to nine is that this total is only

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Speaker 1: forty four. So at forty four, those nine points are

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Speaker 1: extremely valuable. And look at the Washington football team last week.

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Speaker 1: They had drives against the Green Bay Packers. They ended

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Speaker 1: at the twenty three, twenty seven, one, three, and twelve,

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Speaker 1: and they scored points on none of them. They outgained

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Speaker 1: the Packers and yards passed, passing yards, rushing yards, first downs,

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Speaker 1: yards could play and lost the game basically by going

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Speaker 1: over four in the reds on they had two turnovers.

283
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Speaker 1: This Broncos defense is a complete mess. D Ernest Johnson's

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Speaker 1: third string running back for the Browns, yet rushed for

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Speaker 1: one hundred and forty six yards. I mean they sent

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Speaker 1: their whole lineback and core to the hospital like they're

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Speaker 1: just completely banking up the sign of guys off the street.

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Speaker 1: So I think Washington gonna be able to score some

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Speaker 1: points like this bron defense. I can't stress this enough.

290
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Speaker 1: They're twenty nine to eight, paper play twenty six and

291
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Speaker 1: success rate twenty four, foot drop back success rate twenty third,

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Speaker 1: and rushing success rate over the past four weeks. So

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Speaker 1: that means after they beat the Jaguars, the Giants. They've

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Speaker 1: pretty much been They've had a defense. It's just as

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Speaker 1: bad as the Kansas City Chiefs, and no one realizes

296
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Speaker 1: it because Vic fein Jo is their their head coach,

297
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Speaker 1: and obviously Teddy Burdgeorde is struggling. So question is the

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Speaker 1: football team plus nine. I think it's a good pick.

299
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Speaker 3: So what's interesting to me on this teaser? It's a

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Speaker 3: gross teaser. These are some rough teams. Like you said,

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Speaker 3: what's interesting to me here is you've got two teams.

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Speaker 3: You got the Broncos and the Panthers. Both started three

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Speaker 3: and zero, both had these incredible defenses that we now

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Speaker 3: realize we're boosted by playing nobody in the first three weeks.

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Speaker 3: Both of them had quarterbacks that we didn't really trust

306
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Speaker 3: that start out really well and then completely fell off

307
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Speaker 3: a cliff while you're backing one of these teams and

308
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Speaker 3: you're fading hard on the other one. I agree with

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Speaker 3: what you said about Denver. I actually really like Atlanta here,

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Speaker 3: so I'm curious. I'll make the case for Atlanta a second.

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Speaker 3: But what are you seeing that's different about Carolina versus Denver?

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Speaker 3: And not just the Spider Man and me and pointing

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Speaker 3: at each other I think the.

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Speaker 1: Big thing with Atlanta is they're banged up in the secondary,

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Speaker 1: so they were already a bad defense. And then when

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Speaker 1: you take out a J. Terrell, when you take out Morale,

317
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Speaker 1: you take out Eric Harris, you're even in a worse position.

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Speaker 1: So I think if you give me nine points with them,

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Speaker 1: I think I just think you're in a solid position.

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Speaker 1: And you look at the Falcons, they probably should have

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Speaker 1: lost last week, Like this Falcons team will keep you

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Speaker 1: in a game. And you look at the game against

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Speaker 1: the Jets, the Jets were they were a stop away

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Speaker 1: from covering that game because I think the Falcons went

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Speaker 1: up about twenty to nothing and then the Jets came

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Speaker 1: rolling back to actually be covering the game with three

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Speaker 1: minutes to go, and I think if they get a stop,

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Speaker 1: they're going to cover that three and a half. So

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Speaker 1: I think there's gonna be opportunities for the Panthers to

330
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Speaker 1: be able to cover this game and possibly win this

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Speaker 1: game outright, just based on how bad the defense is.

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Speaker 1: And I still think the Panthers are going to be

333
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Speaker 1: able to generate a pass rush that some of these

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Speaker 1: other teams that they beat weren't able to do, like

335
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Speaker 1: the Dolphins and the Giants and just weren't able to

336
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Speaker 1: generate that pass rush. But I think if there's one

337
00:16:24,000 --> 00:16:25,720
Speaker 1: thing that Panthers can do is they can generate a

338
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Speaker 1: front pass rush. I think the biggest issue the Panthers

339
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Speaker 1: have had in recent recent weeks was that their corners

340
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Speaker 1: went down and the same way that that the Falcons

341
00:16:35,240 --> 00:16:38,640
Speaker 1: went down. So you see the Panthers, they're playing the Vikings.

342
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Speaker 1: They have nothing for Justin Jefferson and Adam Thieling. So

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Speaker 1: I just think three points with the Falcons is a lot,

344
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Speaker 1: and you tease it up to nine, I think it's

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Speaker 1: good value.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I understand what the teaser, Especially with Atlanta's defense

347
00:16:53,760 --> 00:16:57,720
Speaker 3: being so leaky, I can see the teaser a little better. Actually,

348
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Speaker 3: when my article came out this week for my picks

349
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Speaker 3: for every game, Atlanta was two and a half point

350
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Speaker 3: favorite then, and it was one of my favorite picks

351
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Speaker 3: on the board. So I like them a little less

352
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Speaker 3: at minus three, just because you lose the hook there.

353
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Speaker 3: That key number is being a little less key these

354
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Speaker 3: days because of the kicking game. But I expected to

355
00:17:15,359 --> 00:17:17,879
Speaker 3: really like Carolina in this game, and then as I

356
00:17:17,960 --> 00:17:20,560
Speaker 3: started digging into it, and I did a lot of

357
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Speaker 3: digging this week. I okay, let's forget the whole big

358
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Speaker 3: picture of the whole season. What are teams doing lately?

359
00:17:25,960 --> 00:17:27,480
Speaker 3: And I did a lot a lot of looking at

360
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Speaker 3: what's the.

361
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Speaker 2: Last three weeks? What are the last four weeks?

362
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Speaker 3: Now, I know Atlanta's schedule has been sharmansoft the last

363
00:17:34,160 --> 00:17:37,120
Speaker 3: four weeks. We talked about it in New York, New York, Miami, Washington.

364
00:17:37,800 --> 00:17:40,760
Speaker 3: Not a lot of strength in there, no good quarterbacks,

365
00:17:40,760 --> 00:17:43,800
Speaker 3: no good defenses, so it's a great assault. But during

366
00:17:43,840 --> 00:17:48,000
Speaker 3: those four weeks, Atlanta is number two in EPA per play,

367
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Speaker 3: behind only Tampa Bay. They're number one in EPA and

368
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Speaker 3: passing plays zero point four to two three per play.

369
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Speaker 3: Carolina is dead last in EPA per passing play over

370
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Speaker 3: those four weeks, to point three four to four. So

371
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Speaker 3: basically that means every time Atlanta passes once and Carolina

372
00:18:05,480 --> 00:18:08,640
Speaker 3: passes once, that's three quarters of a point. That's shifting

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Speaker 3: toward the Falcons direction in this game. And Matt Ryan, actually,

374
00:18:12,520 --> 00:18:15,159
Speaker 3: you know, we slandered him early. I was, I was

375
00:18:15,160 --> 00:18:17,680
Speaker 3: in on the Falcons coming into the year, and then

376
00:18:17,800 --> 00:18:20,240
Speaker 3: they just super disappointed those first three weeks, and I

377
00:18:20,320 --> 00:18:23,040
Speaker 3: got way out and I'm looking now, I'm like, well,

378
00:18:23,600 --> 00:18:27,920
Speaker 3: Matt Ryan's metrics completion, personage over expectation is EPA. He's

379
00:18:28,000 --> 00:18:30,480
Speaker 3: number two in the last four weeks, and again not

380
00:18:30,600 --> 00:18:33,639
Speaker 3: good defenses, and these are not accounting for defensive adjustments,

381
00:18:33,640 --> 00:18:36,840
Speaker 3: so he's not that high. But Donald is last at

382
00:18:36,920 --> 00:18:40,920
Speaker 3: everything in quarterbacks right now. So Matt Ryan has always

383
00:18:40,960 --> 00:18:43,360
Speaker 3: been good at home. And the way to beat Atlanta,

384
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Speaker 3: like you're saying, is the pass game. I don't trust

385
00:18:46,040 --> 00:18:48,479
Speaker 3: Darnald can do that. I do trust that Ryan can

386
00:18:48,560 --> 00:18:51,440
Speaker 3: do that right now. So I actually came away really

387
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Speaker 3: liking Atlanta in the spot a little less at minus three.

388
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Speaker 3: I don't mind the plus nine for Carolina just to

389
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Speaker 3: stay in the game, but I do feel like Atlanta

390
00:18:59,280 --> 00:19:02,000
Speaker 3: can win the game, and maybe relatively easily.

391
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Speaker 1: That's interesting. I can't wait to see this play out.

392
00:19:05,160 --> 00:19:07,360
Speaker 1: I'm really like, I'm really excited to see it now.

393
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Speaker 3: Yeah, it's actually a kind of a Lokia Big NFC

394
00:19:11,240 --> 00:19:13,840
Speaker 3: game too, because both these teams are right on the

395
00:19:13,960 --> 00:19:17,080
Speaker 3: edge of the wild card race, and you know, Minnesota

396
00:19:17,280 --> 00:19:20,240
Speaker 3: is is likely. I would say to lose to Dallas.

397
00:19:20,280 --> 00:19:22,280
Speaker 3: They're the last team in the wild card right now

398
00:19:22,520 --> 00:19:24,720
Speaker 3: the Saints are underdogs. They're another one of the wild

399
00:19:24,800 --> 00:19:29,080
Speaker 3: card teams. So the winner of Falcons and Panthers actually

400
00:19:29,080 --> 00:19:31,160
Speaker 3: could end up being in the playoff race halfway through

401
00:19:31,160 --> 00:19:31,639
Speaker 3: the season.

402
00:19:31,680 --> 00:19:31,960
Speaker 2: Here.

403
00:19:32,720 --> 00:19:36,000
Speaker 3: So actually, for maya next pick, I'm going back to

404
00:19:36,080 --> 00:19:38,919
Speaker 3: the upset special, and I am taking a second upset

405
00:19:38,960 --> 00:19:41,480
Speaker 3: special this week, and I'm going with one of those

406
00:19:41,480 --> 00:19:44,200
Speaker 3: teams we just mentioned. I'm taking the New Orleans Saints

407
00:19:44,359 --> 00:19:48,080
Speaker 3: against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. I like this matchup for

408
00:19:48,119 --> 00:19:51,320
Speaker 3: the Saints. We saw it last year. The Saints swept

409
00:19:51,320 --> 00:19:54,600
Speaker 3: the Bucks last year in the regular season, they won

410
00:19:54,640 --> 00:19:57,159
Speaker 3: thirty four to twenty three. They went to Tampa and

411
00:19:57,200 --> 00:20:00,199
Speaker 3: won thirty eight to three. And this defense I was

412
00:20:00,280 --> 00:20:03,040
Speaker 3: really bothering Tom Brady last year. The pass rush was

413
00:20:03,040 --> 00:20:06,879
Speaker 3: getting home even without sending extra guys. It really was

414
00:20:06,960 --> 00:20:10,439
Speaker 3: not the matchup that Tampa wanted to see. And you know,

415
00:20:10,640 --> 00:20:12,480
Speaker 3: maybe a month before the end of the season I

416
00:20:12,520 --> 00:20:15,000
Speaker 3: wrote about last year. I wrote up the Bucks as

417
00:20:15,119 --> 00:20:18,320
Speaker 3: a good value pick for the Super Bowl, and a

418
00:20:18,359 --> 00:20:19,880
Speaker 3: part of it was that I thought that they were

419
00:20:19,880 --> 00:20:22,000
Speaker 3: going to get in a good position in the bracket.

420
00:20:22,200 --> 00:20:24,639
Speaker 3: They ended up having to played New Orleans in the playoffs,

421
00:20:24,640 --> 00:20:26,960
Speaker 3: and I was like, oh no, this is the team

422
00:20:27,000 --> 00:20:29,120
Speaker 3: that has matched up so well against them all year.

423
00:20:29,119 --> 00:20:31,760
Speaker 3: The Saints have won fifteen to the last twenty against Tampa.

424
00:20:32,119 --> 00:20:35,920
Speaker 3: But Drew Brees retired before the game instead of after

425
00:20:36,400 --> 00:20:38,720
Speaker 3: and had nothing to give in that one, and so

426
00:20:38,800 --> 00:20:41,040
Speaker 3: I feel like that Tampa got away with it. They

427
00:20:41,040 --> 00:20:43,320
Speaker 3: did get the win, so it wasn't a full sweep.

428
00:20:43,359 --> 00:20:46,360
Speaker 3: But I still think that the Saints defense, they've been

429
00:20:46,480 --> 00:20:49,040
Speaker 3: very good. They're number three and dv away. They haven't

430
00:20:49,080 --> 00:20:51,600
Speaker 3: taken a step back from last year. They've really hung tough,

431
00:20:51,640 --> 00:20:54,160
Speaker 3: even with losing a few guys. I think they can

432
00:20:54,200 --> 00:20:56,760
Speaker 3: hang in against the Bucks offense, even as good as

433
00:20:56,800 --> 00:20:59,960
Speaker 3: Brady and the attack has been. This is another spot

434
00:21:00,040 --> 00:21:02,800
Speaker 3: where the Saints have a big special team's advantage. I

435
00:21:02,880 --> 00:21:05,800
Speaker 3: love noticing that because that's a spot where one or

436
00:21:05,800 --> 00:21:08,919
Speaker 3: two key plays that feel random when you're not watching

437
00:21:08,960 --> 00:21:11,639
Speaker 3: for it can really swing a field position or the game.

438
00:21:12,280 --> 00:21:15,359
Speaker 3: Jamis Winston last week, I bet against him because he

439
00:21:15,440 --> 00:21:17,640
Speaker 3: was a favorite, you know, in a big prime time

440
00:21:17,720 --> 00:21:20,440
Speaker 3: spot as an underdog. Is a different story when he's

441
00:21:20,440 --> 00:21:22,760
Speaker 3: an underdog of more than a field goal. Jamis is

442
00:21:22,800 --> 00:21:26,360
Speaker 3: eighteen and ten against the spread sixty four percent lifetime.

443
00:21:26,480 --> 00:21:30,320
Speaker 3: So Tampa secondary, we know they're banged up. They're missing

444
00:21:30,440 --> 00:21:32,840
Speaker 3: maybe their top four corners in this game depindon how

445
00:21:32,880 --> 00:21:36,440
Speaker 3: things comes out. Come out. DW Brees couldn't hurt this team.

446
00:21:36,680 --> 00:21:38,320
Speaker 3: I don't know if I would love them if Breeze

447
00:21:38,320 --> 00:21:40,880
Speaker 3: was playing this game. Jamis has the arm to hurt

448
00:21:40,880 --> 00:21:43,399
Speaker 3: this team, and it's you know, it's his old team.

449
00:21:43,760 --> 00:21:45,280
Speaker 3: They're going to be ready for him, but he's going

450
00:21:45,359 --> 00:21:47,359
Speaker 3: to be amped up for them. I think he's got

451
00:21:47,400 --> 00:21:49,360
Speaker 3: that big arm to throw over the top and hurt

452
00:21:49,359 --> 00:21:53,679
Speaker 3: the cornerbacks put up some points. So the other thing

453
00:21:53,720 --> 00:21:55,720
Speaker 3: too is the Bucks have been far worse on the

454
00:21:55,760 --> 00:21:58,600
Speaker 3: road this year. They got crushed in Los Angeles by

455
00:21:58,640 --> 00:22:03,280
Speaker 3: the Rams. They bear one in New England and in Philadelphia.

456
00:22:03,480 --> 00:22:06,320
Speaker 3: Tampa has been way better at home. New Orleans is

457
00:22:06,400 --> 00:22:09,280
Speaker 3: traditionally way better at home. We don't really know this

458
00:22:09,400 --> 00:22:11,960
Speaker 3: year because they literally have had one home game so

459
00:22:12,119 --> 00:22:14,960
Speaker 3: far because of you know, the early snafoo in the

460
00:22:14,960 --> 00:22:16,639
Speaker 3: season when they had to move their home games with

461
00:22:16,720 --> 00:22:19,720
Speaker 3: the weather and all that. So I just I like

462
00:22:19,800 --> 00:22:22,040
Speaker 3: Jamis at home. I like the Saints at home. I

463
00:22:22,080 --> 00:22:23,720
Speaker 3: don't like the Bucks on the road, and I don't

464
00:22:23,760 --> 00:22:26,480
Speaker 3: like the Bucks in this matchup. So plus two ten

465
00:22:26,880 --> 00:22:28,639
Speaker 3: I like that number here. I think the Saints have

466
00:22:29,040 --> 00:22:31,840
Speaker 3: easily better. That's like an implied thirty one percent chance

467
00:22:31,880 --> 00:22:33,520
Speaker 3: to get the win. I think that Saints are higher

468
00:22:33,560 --> 00:22:35,720
Speaker 3: than that. I like the Saints plus five and a

469
00:22:35,760 --> 00:22:39,480
Speaker 3: half a little better, just because if the game is

470
00:22:39,520 --> 00:22:41,919
Speaker 3: close at the end of the day, I have to

471
00:22:41,960 --> 00:22:44,800
Speaker 3: bet on Jamis against Brady in a close game, and

472
00:22:44,840 --> 00:22:47,320
Speaker 3: I don't love that spot, I have to admit, but

473
00:22:47,560 --> 00:22:49,399
Speaker 3: I do think the Saints can win this year. And

474
00:22:50,560 --> 00:22:53,280
Speaker 3: late afternoon we got the Patriots game and the Saints game,

475
00:22:53,680 --> 00:22:56,040
Speaker 3: and I think that we could get one, maybe both

476
00:22:56,160 --> 00:22:59,159
Speaker 3: of those teams and upset specials. I probably actually parlay

477
00:22:59,200 --> 00:23:01,280
Speaker 3: it and go for go for a big win too.

478
00:23:01,320 --> 00:23:02,639
Speaker 3: What do you think about the SAMs tear.

479
00:23:03,000 --> 00:23:04,680
Speaker 1: I think that I think this game is really interesting.

480
00:23:04,720 --> 00:23:07,520
Speaker 1: I think the one thing you neglected to mention is

481
00:23:07,560 --> 00:23:12,040
Speaker 1: that the Saints had the Buccaneers on the rolls even

482
00:23:12,080 --> 00:23:14,919
Speaker 1: with Drew Brees in that game. They were up twenty

483
00:23:14,960 --> 00:23:19,280
Speaker 1: to thirteen and were driving in Tampa Bay territory, and

484
00:23:19,400 --> 00:23:22,520
Speaker 1: Drew Brees does to pass to Jered Cook to get

485
00:23:22,520 --> 00:23:25,040
Speaker 1: them a Tempa Bay territory and they're about to score

486
00:23:25,240 --> 00:23:27,639
Speaker 1: and almost put it away in the third quarter and

487
00:23:27,760 --> 00:23:33,119
Speaker 1: Antoine Antoine Winfield Junior, he hits Jared Cook, he fumbles,

488
00:23:33,680 --> 00:23:38,119
Speaker 1: Devin White takes it, picks it up, and the Buccaneers

489
00:23:38,280 --> 00:23:40,480
Speaker 1: eventually go down and score a tide of game and

490
00:23:40,760 --> 00:23:43,000
Speaker 1: they never really look back. So it's just like the

491
00:23:43,000 --> 00:23:45,639
Speaker 1: same actual dominated the game. And you look at the

492
00:23:45,640 --> 00:23:48,960
Speaker 1: stats in that game and it's pretty clear that Brady

493
00:23:48,960 --> 00:23:51,639
Speaker 1: really struggles against his defense. He was ten for twenty

494
00:23:51,720 --> 00:23:55,240
Speaker 1: one hundred nineteen yards, six one yards per play and

495
00:23:55,359 --> 00:23:58,920
Speaker 1: just a thirty five success rate against this defense. So

496
00:23:59,720 --> 00:24:04,520
Speaker 1: this defense really has their number, Bree because they're preventing

497
00:24:04,560 --> 00:24:08,360
Speaker 1: passes to the middle of the field. And one thing

498
00:24:08,359 --> 00:24:09,520
Speaker 1: you want to look at when it comes to the

499
00:24:09,520 --> 00:24:12,200
Speaker 1: Saints is that they really got some reinforcements. They got

500
00:24:12,200 --> 00:24:16,040
Speaker 1: the return of Kaui Alexander last week, Marcus Davenport came back.

501
00:24:16,560 --> 00:24:20,359
Speaker 1: Davenport has been huge. He's at eight pressures on thirty

502
00:24:20,440 --> 00:24:24,200
Speaker 1: nine pass rush snaps this season, So I think that's

503
00:24:24,280 --> 00:24:27,960
Speaker 1: huge with this team. And I mean a lot of

504
00:24:28,000 --> 00:24:30,400
Speaker 1: it is going to come down to James Winston obviously

505
00:24:30,400 --> 00:24:34,560
Speaker 1: he's turnover prone. But when I look at this Buccaneers defense,

506
00:24:34,600 --> 00:24:36,840
Speaker 1: this is not the same defense that we saw last year.

507
00:24:37,359 --> 00:24:42,200
Speaker 1: Levonte David is still out, he's questionable. Is his backup's

508
00:24:42,200 --> 00:24:46,880
Speaker 1: really been struggling. So I think the Saints could really

509
00:24:46,960 --> 00:24:49,119
Speaker 1: keep this game close. And we all know that the

510
00:24:49,160 --> 00:24:53,800
Speaker 1: Buccaneers secondary is struggling because everybody's missing. I mean they

511
00:24:53,840 --> 00:24:57,000
Speaker 1: got Anseline Wilf went through junior back, but Carlton Davis

512
00:24:57,080 --> 00:25:01,600
Speaker 1: is still out. If James doesn't make mistakes, they probably

513
00:25:01,640 --> 00:25:03,399
Speaker 1: win this game out right and they cover it in

514
00:25:03,680 --> 00:25:04,679
Speaker 1: So I agree with you.

515
00:25:04,840 --> 00:25:05,920
Speaker 2: All right, I like it.

516
00:25:05,960 --> 00:25:09,000
Speaker 3: So I will say I think if I can't remember

517
00:25:09,000 --> 00:25:11,120
Speaker 3: the standings, but I believe if the Saints win this game,

518
00:25:11,200 --> 00:25:12,920
Speaker 3: I think that that puts them into a tie with

519
00:25:12,960 --> 00:25:14,920
Speaker 3: Tampa in the division and then.

520
00:25:14,840 --> 00:25:15,800
Speaker 2: Probably with a tie break.

521
00:25:15,920 --> 00:25:19,520
Speaker 3: So that would that would usually lead me to want

522
00:25:19,520 --> 00:25:22,000
Speaker 3: to bet the Saints division odds here, just because it's

523
00:25:22,000 --> 00:25:25,040
Speaker 3: halfway through the season and they're technically leading. I don't

524
00:25:25,040 --> 00:25:26,919
Speaker 3: know that I'm ready to go there quite yet. I

525
00:25:26,920 --> 00:25:29,160
Speaker 3: think it's just more of a one game matchup here.

526
00:25:29,400 --> 00:25:31,720
Speaker 3: Tampa schedule is so soft, the team is good, the

527
00:25:31,760 --> 00:25:34,320
Speaker 3: defense will get little healthier. So I'm going to focus

528
00:25:34,320 --> 00:25:37,399
Speaker 3: on just on this game, not on the division odds here.

529
00:25:37,760 --> 00:25:39,400
Speaker 3: But you know, it could be it could be worth

530
00:25:39,440 --> 00:25:41,679
Speaker 3: a sprinkle if you really like this Saints team. Here.

531
00:25:42,080 --> 00:25:44,080
Speaker 3: All right, let's hear a quick word from our sponsor

532
00:25:44,119 --> 00:25:46,000
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533
00:25:48,600 --> 00:25:52,359
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552
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553
00:26:54,280 --> 00:26:57,879
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556
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559
00:27:11,000 --> 00:27:13,440
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Speaker 4: available in Nevada. Thanks so much for listening. Let's get

563
00:27:21,920 --> 00:27:22,280
Speaker 4: back to the.

564
00:27:22,280 --> 00:27:25,320
Speaker 1: Show all right.

565
00:27:25,680 --> 00:27:29,040
Speaker 3: Last up is our favorite segment that we've been doing,

566
00:27:29,200 --> 00:27:33,520
Speaker 3: The look Ahead Hot Wrap sevent day on.

567
00:27:33,720 --> 00:27:38,280
Speaker 4: Ice rights ice cream saying nineteen.

568
00:27:38,040 --> 00:27:41,320
Speaker 3: Seven nineteen So as you guys know, on Monday, Raheema

569
00:27:41,320 --> 00:27:43,199
Speaker 3: and I do the hot read that's the games for

570
00:27:43,359 --> 00:27:46,359
Speaker 3: the coming Sunday. We've been getting some really nice value

571
00:27:46,400 --> 00:27:49,040
Speaker 3: on our picks there. Once we get to Friday and

572
00:27:49,080 --> 00:27:51,360
Speaker 3: everyone has already focused on these games for the weekend,

573
00:27:51,440 --> 00:27:54,120
Speaker 3: we are already looking ahead to the next week. Try

574
00:27:54,119 --> 00:27:56,600
Speaker 3: to grab some early value there that may not be

575
00:27:56,720 --> 00:27:59,680
Speaker 3: around by Sunday night, and we've been catching some big

576
00:27:59,760 --> 00:28:02,480
Speaker 3: value on those picks as well. So, Rahiem, who do

577
00:28:02,520 --> 00:28:04,280
Speaker 3: you like for your Week nine look at head peck.

578
00:28:04,600 --> 00:28:07,360
Speaker 1: I'm going with the Houston Texas plus seven. This line

579
00:28:07,400 --> 00:28:11,440
Speaker 1: is way too high even if Davis Mills starts, and

580
00:28:11,760 --> 00:28:13,919
Speaker 1: honestly don't think he's gonna start, because I think Tyrod

581
00:28:13,920 --> 00:28:16,040
Speaker 1: Taylor is going to be back by then, so that

582
00:28:16,119 --> 00:28:20,359
Speaker 1: line should really drop. But who do Dolphins be laying

583
00:28:20,400 --> 00:28:23,440
Speaker 1: seven to anybody? This team can't stop a nosebleed. They're

584
00:28:23,480 --> 00:28:26,359
Speaker 1: twenty eighth and EPA for play on defense, they're twenty

585
00:28:26,400 --> 00:28:29,720
Speaker 1: third and success rate. This team can't stop anybody. They're

586
00:28:29,720 --> 00:28:34,239
Speaker 1: bleeding points. They're giving up a fifty success rate in

587
00:28:34,280 --> 00:28:38,600
Speaker 1: the passing game. Tyrod Taylor or Davis Davis Mills are

588
00:28:38,640 --> 00:28:41,280
Speaker 1: gonna be carved this defense up and keep this game close.

589
00:28:41,640 --> 00:28:43,960
Speaker 1: We all know two is not that great of a quarterback.

590
00:28:44,680 --> 00:28:49,120
Speaker 1: I think Brian Flores he had a great season last year,

591
00:28:49,640 --> 00:28:50,720
Speaker 1: but I mean a lot of it had to do

592
00:28:50,840 --> 00:28:54,040
Speaker 1: with this team forcing turnovers at a record rate. So

593
00:28:54,520 --> 00:28:56,400
Speaker 1: next week, I like the Houston Texas plus seven.

594
00:28:57,280 --> 00:28:57,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, I like that.

595
00:28:58,120 --> 00:28:59,760
Speaker 3: I think I may have to wait and just make

596
00:28:59,800 --> 00:29:02,200
Speaker 3: sure Terrod is in the lineup just because it to

597
00:29:02,280 --> 00:29:04,640
Speaker 3: me has such a huge difference between him and David Smells.

598
00:29:05,040 --> 00:29:07,680
Speaker 3: But it seems like he's getting close to playing, and

599
00:29:07,920 --> 00:29:10,080
Speaker 3: this week already you know it could even have a

600
00:29:10,160 --> 00:29:12,640
Speaker 3: chance still, And so if he's getting close enough that

601
00:29:12,720 --> 00:29:14,880
Speaker 3: he might play now, then you have to like his

602
00:29:15,000 --> 00:29:17,560
Speaker 3: chances a week from now. And that means he maybe

603
00:29:17,640 --> 00:29:19,680
Speaker 3: want to grab the line because as soon as he

604
00:29:19,720 --> 00:29:21,520
Speaker 3: comes out, the books aren't dumb, that line is going

605
00:29:21,600 --> 00:29:25,040
Speaker 3: to move away, you know, towards Houston if Tyrod is

606
00:29:25,080 --> 00:29:26,520
Speaker 3: back in the lineup, So you may want to take

607
00:29:26,520 --> 00:29:28,560
Speaker 3: their risk if you think he'll play and get grab

608
00:29:28,600 --> 00:29:28,920
Speaker 3: that one.

609
00:29:28,960 --> 00:29:29,200
Speaker 1: Now.

610
00:29:30,120 --> 00:29:33,960
Speaker 3: I am going with New England on the road in Carolina.

611
00:29:34,360 --> 00:29:36,600
Speaker 3: The Patriots are minus one and a half right now,

612
00:29:37,200 --> 00:29:39,480
Speaker 3: and this pick should not come as surprise based on

613
00:29:39,520 --> 00:29:41,560
Speaker 3: the last few minutes of what we said. I think

614
00:29:41,560 --> 00:29:43,760
Speaker 3: the Patriots are going to beat the Chargers this weekend.

615
00:29:44,040 --> 00:29:45,600
Speaker 3: I also think the Panthers are going to lose to

616
00:29:45,640 --> 00:29:49,040
Speaker 3: the Falcons. So if those two things happen, Even if

617
00:29:49,080 --> 00:29:52,040
Speaker 3: one of those two happens at one and a half.

618
00:29:51,880 --> 00:29:54,280
Speaker 2: This is basically as a toss up. I think that this.

619
00:29:54,280 --> 00:29:56,680
Speaker 3: Line could very easily by Sunday night get to a

620
00:29:56,680 --> 00:29:59,960
Speaker 3: field goal or higher. And I just I like new

621
00:30:00,400 --> 00:30:04,520
Speaker 3: against these average or bad teams. That's where Belichick is

622
00:30:04,600 --> 00:30:07,320
Speaker 3: made as living, is just taking care of these opponents.

623
00:30:07,360 --> 00:30:07,720
Speaker 1: Like that.

624
00:30:08,480 --> 00:30:12,080
Speaker 3: We know Belichick is awesome against rookie quarterbacks. Sam Darnold

625
00:30:12,160 --> 00:30:14,520
Speaker 3: is playing like a rookie, and Belichick has had a

626
00:30:14,520 --> 00:30:17,280
Speaker 3: lot of time up against Samuel Darnald over the years,

627
00:30:17,560 --> 00:30:19,880
Speaker 3: so I have to like Belichick and the defense on

628
00:30:19,960 --> 00:30:22,120
Speaker 3: that spot. I think this line will get to a

629
00:30:22,120 --> 00:30:24,080
Speaker 3: field goal or higher before we get a chance to

630
00:30:24,080 --> 00:30:24,640
Speaker 3: play it again.

631
00:30:25,400 --> 00:30:27,000
Speaker 1: I like that. I definitely like that, And I mean

632
00:30:27,000 --> 00:30:28,840
Speaker 1: I think if you're right about the focus, this line

633
00:30:28,840 --> 00:30:30,280
Speaker 1: will definitely go up. Yeah.

634
00:30:30,280 --> 00:30:30,680
Speaker 2: I think so.

635
00:30:31,080 --> 00:30:33,160
Speaker 3: All right, let's hit one more pick before it gets

636
00:30:33,200 --> 00:30:35,560
Speaker 3: out here for the weekend with one for the road.

637
00:30:41,120 --> 00:30:42,040
Speaker 2: Rahiem, who do you got?

638
00:30:43,120 --> 00:30:44,440
Speaker 1: I gave you the reasons earlier, But I like to

639
00:30:44,480 --> 00:30:46,920
Speaker 1: washingt football team. I think the Washington football team is

640
00:30:46,960 --> 00:30:49,920
Speaker 1: the better team here. As long as they do things

641
00:30:49,960 --> 00:30:51,800
Speaker 1: in the red zone, they should be fine. I gave

642
00:30:51,880 --> 00:30:54,440
Speaker 1: it out last last Friday. I think at plus four

643
00:30:54,440 --> 00:30:56,440
Speaker 1: and a half, I still like it. I still like

644
00:30:56,520 --> 00:30:59,280
Speaker 1: Dallas Cowboys. So you guys know the reasons. I gave

645
00:30:59,320 --> 00:31:01,040
Speaker 1: it out on a hot read. As long as it's

646
00:31:01,040 --> 00:31:02,400
Speaker 1: not two and a half, you should be fine. You

647
00:31:02,400 --> 00:31:04,080
Speaker 1: can get one and a half with the Cowboys. To you,

648
00:31:04,280 --> 00:31:05,320
Speaker 1: you're good. Yeah.

649
00:31:05,360 --> 00:31:05,840
Speaker 2: I like that.

650
00:31:06,000 --> 00:31:07,920
Speaker 3: And I'm gonna do one that we talked about on

651
00:31:07,960 --> 00:31:10,000
Speaker 3: Sunday as well. I'm gonna have a future this week.

652
00:31:10,120 --> 00:31:12,880
Speaker 3: I'm taking some Jamar Chase Rookie of the Year stock.

653
00:31:13,280 --> 00:31:15,960
Speaker 3: We talked about that on Sunday, and the line has

654
00:31:16,000 --> 00:31:19,720
Speaker 3: actually moved against him. He is plus odds right now

655
00:31:19,720 --> 00:31:21,760
Speaker 3: to win Rookie of the Year plus one oh five

656
00:31:21,800 --> 00:31:24,080
Speaker 3: at bet MGM. I've seen him plus one ten at

657
00:31:24,080 --> 00:31:27,680
Speaker 3: some books. Jamar Chase is killing it right now. He's

658
00:31:27,720 --> 00:31:30,680
Speaker 3: seven hundred and fifty four receiving yards, which is second.

659
00:31:30,440 --> 00:31:31,600
Speaker 2: In the entire NFL.

660
00:31:32,040 --> 00:31:33,960
Speaker 3: Like he has a chance to just be the receiver

661
00:31:34,080 --> 00:31:35,880
Speaker 3: of the year, not just the rookie of the year.

662
00:31:36,120 --> 00:31:38,880
Speaker 3: He's got the most yards ever for any player through

663
00:31:38,960 --> 00:31:41,480
Speaker 3: seven games or eight games, even he doesn't get anything

664
00:31:41,480 --> 00:31:42,120
Speaker 3: in the next game.

665
00:31:42,600 --> 00:31:44,959
Speaker 2: So we talk about comparing him to Randy Moss.

666
00:31:45,480 --> 00:31:49,280
Speaker 3: Randy Moss had thirteen hundred and thirteen yards his awesome,

667
00:31:49,440 --> 00:31:52,880
Speaker 3: awesome rookie year. Seventeen touchdowns obviously was the big highlight

668
00:31:53,240 --> 00:31:55,880
Speaker 3: Thanksgiving against the Cowboys, that one one of my favorite

669
00:31:55,920 --> 00:32:00,000
Speaker 3: games of my life when he scored three touchdowns on them.

670
00:32:00,080 --> 00:32:03,000
Speaker 3: Moss had four games of one hundred yards that rookie season.

671
00:32:03,400 --> 00:32:06,320
Speaker 3: Jamar Chase has three already of one hundred yards. He

672
00:32:06,360 --> 00:32:09,200
Speaker 3: has a two hundred yard game. He actually is on

673
00:32:09,280 --> 00:32:11,480
Speaker 3: pace for eighteen hundred and thirty one yards. He would

674
00:32:11,520 --> 00:32:15,040
Speaker 3: pass Moss's total with four games left to go, basically

675
00:32:15,080 --> 00:32:17,520
Speaker 3: a month of the season still to go. I just

676
00:32:17,560 --> 00:32:20,120
Speaker 3: don't know who else is stealing Rookie of the Year

677
00:32:20,160 --> 00:32:22,760
Speaker 3: from Chase at this point. He's been so good and

678
00:32:23,200 --> 00:32:26,040
Speaker 3: I try to look, you know, Najie Harris has been

679
00:32:26,120 --> 00:32:28,480
Speaker 3: nice and Fantasy football because he's getting a lot of touches,

680
00:32:28,520 --> 00:32:31,720
Speaker 3: but he's not efficient. He's three point eight yards per carry.

681
00:32:31,760 --> 00:32:34,920
Speaker 3: That doesn't excite me. Kyle Pitts we talked about he's

682
00:32:34,960 --> 00:32:37,200
Speaker 3: coming on, but he's got a lot of ground to

683
00:32:37,240 --> 00:32:39,400
Speaker 3: close and Chase is just going to get more chances

684
00:32:39,440 --> 00:32:42,880
Speaker 3: as a receiver. Mac Jones, you know, maybe if the

685
00:32:42,880 --> 00:32:45,120
Speaker 3: Patriots going to run and make the playoffs, I'm not

686
00:32:45,160 --> 00:32:47,640
Speaker 3: putting that out of reach for them. But Rookie of

687
00:32:47,640 --> 00:32:49,320
Speaker 3: the Year is not an award that we give to.

688
00:32:49,760 --> 00:32:52,000
Speaker 3: We don't treat this like MVP. We just want numbers.

689
00:32:52,000 --> 00:32:54,040
Speaker 3: We just want the guy that puts up the numbers.

690
00:32:54,400 --> 00:32:58,640
Speaker 3: So I saw at next Gen stats, Jamar Chase is

691
00:32:59,040 --> 00:33:01,560
Speaker 3: expected to receiving yards right now is a little bit

692
00:33:01,640 --> 00:33:04,800
Speaker 3: under four hundred. He actually has less expected receiving yards

693
00:33:04,800 --> 00:33:07,560
Speaker 3: than Calvin Ridley. Calvin Ridley has two hundred and eighty

694
00:33:07,600 --> 00:33:10,160
Speaker 3: one yards for the season. Chase has seven hundred and

695
00:33:10,160 --> 00:33:13,640
Speaker 3: fifty four. Like, Chase has the same expected yards, about

696
00:33:13,680 --> 00:33:17,040
Speaker 3: as as t J. Hockinson and Hunter Renfro and he's

697
00:33:17,080 --> 00:33:20,760
Speaker 3: second in the league in receiving. He's just obliterating cornerbacks

698
00:33:21,080 --> 00:33:23,440
Speaker 3: and he's showing great chemistry with Burrow too. Like I

699
00:33:23,440 --> 00:33:26,320
Speaker 3: think this actually is partly a Joe Burrow Award because

700
00:33:26,360 --> 00:33:28,440
Speaker 3: Burrow has been so accurate and getting it to him

701
00:33:28,480 --> 00:33:31,800
Speaker 3: in such good space. So I love Chase. I can't

702
00:33:31,800 --> 00:33:35,200
Speaker 3: believe that this is plus money right now. I absolutely

703
00:33:35,280 --> 00:33:38,360
Speaker 3: would take Chase against the field. So that's basically what

704
00:33:38,400 --> 00:33:39,320
Speaker 3: odds we're getting here.

705
00:33:39,360 --> 00:33:40,240
Speaker 2: I have to grab some.

706
00:33:41,200 --> 00:33:42,920
Speaker 1: That makes sense. I mean, I like it. I mean

707
00:33:42,960 --> 00:33:45,400
Speaker 1: like he's having a historical season. He's probably gonna have

708
00:33:45,400 --> 00:33:49,400
Speaker 1: one of the best rookie season since Randy Moss, and

709
00:33:49,680 --> 00:33:52,120
Speaker 1: that's even better than what Justin Jefferson did last year.

710
00:33:52,480 --> 00:33:54,640
Speaker 1: So I can't argue with this at all.

711
00:33:55,040 --> 00:33:57,000
Speaker 3: Love to talk about Jamar Chase when it lets me

712
00:33:57,040 --> 00:33:59,560
Speaker 3: talk about Justin Jefferson and Randy Moss too. All is

713
00:33:59,600 --> 00:34:01,240
Speaker 3: a good day if we're a Vikings family. We get

714
00:34:01,240 --> 00:34:03,560
Speaker 3: to remember some of these guys, all right. That is

715
00:34:03,600 --> 00:34:05,640
Speaker 3: gonna wrap it up today at the Action Hour podcast.

716
00:34:06,000 --> 00:34:08,120
Speaker 3: Make sure go to download the Action Hotwork app and

717
00:34:08,160 --> 00:34:11,240
Speaker 3: the rate, subscribe and review the podcast. Check out Stucky

718
00:34:11,239 --> 00:34:14,239
Speaker 3: in the Ray Bounds full preview and the Betting six Pack.

719
00:34:14,280 --> 00:34:16,640
Speaker 3: If you haven't, Him and I are back first thing

720
00:34:16,719 --> 00:34:19,279
Speaker 3: Monday morning to run through all The Action from week

721
00:34:19,400 --> 00:34:22,360
Speaker 3: eight for Raheem Palmer. I am Brandon Anderson and this

722
00:34:22,400 --> 00:34:24,080
Speaker 3: has been the Action Network Podcast.

723
00:34:24,440 --> 00:34:25,360
Speaker 2: Enjoy your weekend,