WEBVTT - MLB: Leading Off July 5th, 2023 (Ep. 704) 0:00:06.040 --> 0:00:09.160 Welcome in everybody to Fantasy Pros MLB. This is Leading 0:00:09.200 --> 0:00:11.200 Off Live, brought to you by Prize Pig. Sign up 0:00:11.200 --> 0:00:13.360 for Prize Pigs today and use that promo code leading 0:00:13.360 --> 0:00:16.440 Off when you do. It's me Joey p joe Pi's Apia. 0:00:16.560 --> 0:00:18.720 That of course is the Welsh. We are clean shaven. 0:00:19.239 --> 0:00:21.680 Monday was a fun show. If you missed the mustaches, 0:00:22.280 --> 0:00:25.000 well go run to the YouTube. It was pretty amazing. Actually, 0:00:25.160 --> 0:00:26.920 I saw some of the still shots there. I posted 0:00:26.960 --> 0:00:29.319 one on Twitter. I think we look pretty sexy, to 0:00:29.360 --> 0:00:29.880 tell you the truth. 0:00:29.880 --> 0:00:32.680 Pretty good, I mean, but there's a little stranger danger 0:00:32.800 --> 0:00:34.280 that was involved in that. That was one of the 0:00:34.320 --> 0:00:37.200 funnier things that somebody put it out there. But hey, listen, 0:00:37.360 --> 0:00:41.919 stashes were good, they were fine. Mine gone, I mean 0:00:42.000 --> 0:00:43.839 the minute the show was done, because I also had 0:00:43.880 --> 0:00:46.239 a video to post that you guys can check out 0:00:46.280 --> 0:00:49.160 on Fantasy Pros MLB YouTube channel, and I wasn't gonna 0:00:49.159 --> 0:00:50.400 put the mustache on that one though. 0:00:50.400 --> 0:00:52.360 It might have been good, but it is gone. 0:00:52.800 --> 0:00:55.120 Yes, we were off yesterday for the holiday. We are 0:00:55.120 --> 0:00:56.600 back again and for the rest of the week. Just 0:00:56.600 --> 0:00:58.480 in case you're wondering, I know next week's schedule is 0:00:58.520 --> 0:01:00.640 weird with the all show break, But don't worry, we'll 0:01:00.640 --> 0:01:05.440 break all that down. Bud Welsh, what a difference twenty 0:01:05.480 --> 0:01:08.880 four or forty eight hours can make of an opinion? Today? 0:01:09.040 --> 0:01:11.080 Is show Heyo Tani's birthday, by the way he turns 0:01:11.120 --> 0:01:13.639 twenty nine. I just saw that. I did not realize that. 0:01:13.959 --> 0:01:16.160 Not just show hey Otani's birthday, but shout out to 0:01:16.240 --> 0:01:19.280 my lovely wife and my daughter. They all share, so 0:01:19.360 --> 0:01:21.360 I have two in my house, and then we have 0:01:21.440 --> 0:01:25.120 a baseball player who represents their today. Happy birthday to all. 0:01:25.520 --> 0:01:28.280 It wasn't a great birthday though, because for his birthday 0:01:28.319 --> 0:01:30.120 he has a blister. He got a blister for his 0:01:30.200 --> 0:01:32.880 birthday and a Mike Trout injury that's gonna take him 0:01:32.880 --> 0:01:34.720 out till August. We have to talk about this because 0:01:34.720 --> 0:01:37.319 this is huge. Mike Trout has had a good season. 0:01:37.880 --> 0:01:40.399 I don't know if I would call it a transcendent 0:01:40.520 --> 0:01:42.640 Mike Trout season. Still a lot of strikeouts there. He's 0:01:42.640 --> 0:01:44.920 on a good pace. He's gonna have, you know, thirty homers, 0:01:45.040 --> 0:01:47.960 close to ninety RBIs. You know, it's a great season. 0:01:48.480 --> 0:01:51.200 But here we are thirty one year old Mike Trout 0:01:51.320 --> 0:01:55.000 another injury. It's a handmad the bone broken, So six 0:01:55.120 --> 0:01:58.680 eight weeks typically is the recovery time. And we've seen 0:01:58.680 --> 0:02:00.360 this in the past. I remember back the day when 0:02:00.400 --> 0:02:03.520 Pablo Sandoval had both hands. Do you remember that he 0:02:03.560 --> 0:02:05.240 had one of them and nextual you get another one. 0:02:06.720 --> 0:02:09.000 I would say this, I remember this zapping a lot 0:02:09.000 --> 0:02:11.840 of guys power. I'd be very concerned of whatever you 0:02:11.880 --> 0:02:14.080 get out of Mike Trout the rest of the season. Yeah. 0:02:14.120 --> 0:02:17.600 Then the show, Hey Otani blister issue where he came out. 0:02:17.639 --> 0:02:19.880 Now he's unlikely to pitch in the All Star Game. 0:02:20.000 --> 0:02:22.000 This comes a good timing, so you hope the blister 0:02:22.120 --> 0:02:25.520 can you know right itself. But the Angels found themselves 0:02:25.800 --> 0:02:30.040 in the Wildcard Hunt just twenty four hours ago, and 0:02:30.120 --> 0:02:33.440 now it feels like the whole calculus has changed. Whilsh 0:02:33.440 --> 0:02:35.880 We were talking before the show and you put out 0:02:35.919 --> 0:02:38.440 there to me, you said, if you asked me yesterday 0:02:38.600 --> 0:02:40.440 in the morning, I would have said, you know, Angels 0:02:40.440 --> 0:02:42.880 are feeling really good. They're not trading Otani. Now I'm 0:02:42.880 --> 0:02:45.919 gonna ask you that same question with this Trout injury 0:02:46.360 --> 0:02:48.040 and where they are in the standings and what this 0:02:48.120 --> 0:02:51.520 team really is. Do you think that calculus has changed. 0:02:52.000 --> 0:02:55.080 I may or may not have within the last week 0:02:55.240 --> 0:02:59.920 said with one hundred percent certainty Otani was not getting traded. 0:03:00.040 --> 0:03:02.560 That may or may not have there's no confirmed evidence 0:03:02.560 --> 0:03:04.680 outside of audio recordings that no one's pulling. 0:03:05.000 --> 0:03:06.040 I may or may have said that. 0:03:06.800 --> 0:03:10.560 I look at the situation now and go that has 0:03:10.639 --> 0:03:13.920 swung in the opposite direction. I don't think it's one 0:03:14.000 --> 0:03:17.120 hundred percent assured or anything like that. There's still over 0:03:17.160 --> 0:03:21.800 five hundred divisionally the I think it's the Central is 0:03:21.919 --> 0:03:24.720 Trash and they're third in their division. Seven games back, 0:03:24.880 --> 0:03:28.880 they would be fourth in I think it's the East, 0:03:29.000 --> 0:03:30.720 the Al East if they were in over there, so 0:03:30.720 --> 0:03:32.040 there's still a little bit of ways to go. 0:03:32.760 --> 0:03:36.960 But you lose Trout now. If this is. 0:03:36.840 --> 0:03:40.240 An important ten game stretch, I think that's coming up 0:03:40.440 --> 0:03:43.520 between here and the All Star Break. If they go 0:03:44.160 --> 0:03:47.160 seven and ten or six and four something like that, 0:03:47.760 --> 0:03:51.160 I personally still believe that if they are. 0:03:51.200 --> 0:03:54.080 In the hunt and they're making positive, you know. 0:03:54.240 --> 0:03:56.760 Push, I'd still think they're gonna do it because they'll 0:03:56.760 --> 0:03:58.640 they'll say we're gonna get Trout back, We're gonna try. 0:03:58.680 --> 0:04:02.040 Maybe we'll buy if they lose and they're four and six, 0:04:02.240 --> 0:04:05.400 three and seven of the next ten, they are seriously 0:04:05.440 --> 0:04:08.240 going to have to consider trading Otani after losing this. 0:04:08.720 --> 0:04:10.440 And it all comes down to I'd said to you, 0:04:10.480 --> 0:04:11.960 I think one thing they have to figure out how 0:04:12.000 --> 0:04:12.280 to do. 0:04:12.680 --> 0:04:13.880 I think they have to sit down with. 0:04:13.840 --> 0:04:15.800 That representation and be like, we need you to give 0:04:15.880 --> 0:04:19.640 us an honest assessment of will you come back? What 0:04:19.800 --> 0:04:22.360 is the likelihood to come back? Because I have attested 0:04:22.360 --> 0:04:25.880 to that if Otani will come back, they don't want 0:04:25.880 --> 0:04:29.000 to do anything to hurt that. But this is a huge, 0:04:29.000 --> 0:04:31.160 massive blow. And you and I were going through some 0:04:31.200 --> 0:04:33.800 trade scenarios because I think there's only a few teams 0:04:33.839 --> 0:04:36.760 and I know you have been very very heavy on 0:04:36.839 --> 0:04:38.880 the Mets being the team, but well. 0:04:39.000 --> 0:04:41.400 I was until the Mets became the Mets and we're 0:04:41.480 --> 0:04:44.640 seventeen games out of first place. I think the Mets 0:04:44.680 --> 0:04:46.560 are toast. So no, the Mets are not in this 0:04:46.640 --> 0:04:49.320 thing right now. I think there is Dodgers are the team. 0:04:49.720 --> 0:04:52.320 It is all Dodgers, And look, I don't want to 0:04:52.560 --> 0:04:56.160 throw cold water on this, but Otani's agent's gonna say, yeah, 0:04:56.200 --> 0:04:58.040 sure of course you're in the mix. Because they wants 0:04:58.080 --> 0:05:00.880 to drive up the price because you want as many 0:05:00.880 --> 0:05:03.920 teams in the mix as you can get, because if 0:05:03.920 --> 0:05:05.720 you get them, then you can continue to play them 0:05:05.760 --> 0:05:08.640 against each other to raise the price of Showyotani. You're 0:05:08.680 --> 0:05:13.680 getting an ACE pitcher and an MVP candidate in one trade. 0:05:14.080 --> 0:05:17.920 It's gonna cost you taking on another contract, I think, 0:05:18.200 --> 0:05:20.520 And it's gonna cost you a lot, a crap ton 0:05:20.560 --> 0:05:24.120 of prospects. It's gonna cost you outman. It's gonna cost 0:05:24.120 --> 0:05:26.720 you Vargas. It's gonna cost you Bobby Miller or Sheehan 0:05:26.839 --> 0:05:29.120 at least. And I do think they would ask you 0:05:29.200 --> 0:05:31.200 to take the Anthony Rendo and contract along with it, 0:05:31.240 --> 0:05:34.320 which I know is a huge ass, but I don't 0:05:34.320 --> 0:05:36.640 think it's wrong. That's where I would start if I 0:05:36.720 --> 0:05:38.960 was the Angel general manager, and I'd say, look, if 0:05:38.960 --> 0:05:42.960 we're gonna really remake this team something good, you have 0:05:43.040 --> 0:05:45.280 to move Otani because the draft pick is not enough 0:05:45.360 --> 0:05:46.920 and there's a better chance that you lose them than 0:05:46.920 --> 0:05:50.120 you keep him. So this is something that you're right. 0:05:50.200 --> 0:05:52.360 The next ten games here through the All Star break 0:05:52.400 --> 0:05:54.640 are gonna be crucial. This could not come at a 0:05:54.640 --> 0:05:57.599 worse time because the uncertainty. Had this injury happen, I 0:05:57.600 --> 0:06:01.640 think two weeks ago, you would definitively get a Joel 0:06:01.680 --> 0:06:04.239 Tomy trade because then you know, what are we without 0:06:04.520 --> 0:06:07.719 Mike Trout. But more to the point too, from fancy perspective, 0:06:07.760 --> 0:06:10.000 now with my Trout out, you're getting Joe Adell back 0:06:10.080 --> 0:06:12.440 up here. He is not the guy to replace Mike Trout. 0:06:12.720 --> 0:06:14.520 But what do you do if you have Mike Trout, 0:06:14.600 --> 0:06:16.760 Because from a fantasy perspective, you're going to be without 0:06:16.839 --> 0:06:18.919 him now for six to eight weeks and when he 0:06:18.960 --> 0:06:22.800 comes back at the end of August quote unquote theoretically, 0:06:23.320 --> 0:06:25.359 what does that look like? I don't know, Welsh. I 0:06:25.360 --> 0:06:27.039 mean it feels like if you have Trout, you're kind 0:06:27.040 --> 0:06:29.480 of just your season's been sunk. Do you see any 0:06:29.480 --> 0:06:30.560 way out of this? Yeah? 0:06:30.600 --> 0:06:32.040 By the way, you go closer to the mic, a 0:06:32.080 --> 0:06:34.000 little closer to the mike, you're getting lost just a 0:06:34.000 --> 0:06:34.440 little bit. 0:06:34.839 --> 0:06:35.760 I'm gonna get lost. 0:06:36.080 --> 0:06:37.640 Yeah lost. 0:06:37.720 --> 0:06:39.800 Yeah, you were turning into the mic. Trout of all this, 0:06:40.680 --> 0:06:42.839 I mean, what do you do? I mean, this is 0:06:42.920 --> 0:06:45.200 gonna be a big rubber meets the road for Dynasty 0:06:45.200 --> 0:06:47.320 owners if he had MI I have Mike Trout in 0:06:47.360 --> 0:06:49.240 a league and a dynasty league that I've been kind 0:06:49.240 --> 0:06:51.080 of struggling, and this is probably a nail in the 0:06:51.080 --> 0:06:53.000 coffin of me trying to make a run, and I 0:06:53.040 --> 0:06:55.800 need to probably consider some stuff. But what I do 0:06:55.880 --> 0:06:58.480 worry about, to your point, is, oh my god, what 0:06:58.520 --> 0:07:00.920 could this team look like when my Trout comes back? 0:07:01.040 --> 0:07:04.479 This will be like Rick from The Walking Dead. You know, 0:07:04.600 --> 0:07:07.279 one day he's up, he's with his friends, and traffic 0:07:07.279 --> 0:07:09.520 accident happens. Next thing, he wakes up in a hospital. 0:07:09.560 --> 0:07:12.520 The world's destroyed and there's zombies everywhere. Like Mike Trout 0:07:12.560 --> 0:07:14.160 is gonna be there, and it'll be like, here's my 0:07:14.200 --> 0:07:17.400 buddy Rindon, Here's Otani, here's this, here's that, Here's Brandon Drury. 0:07:17.520 --> 0:07:19.760 He's gonna wake up and it's gonna be the shells 0:07:19.800 --> 0:07:23.040 of Joe Adele and maybe James Outman is going to 0:07:23.080 --> 0:07:25.240 be there, and David Fletcher will be playing again and 0:07:25.240 --> 0:07:26.200 he's gonna be like, what. 0:07:26.080 --> 0:07:27.760 The hell is what it is? I can't think of 0:07:27.800 --> 0:07:31.000 anybody but the Dodgers too, of where that makes sense now, Like, no, 0:07:31.240 --> 0:07:34.040 I'm sure there's some other team laying in the weeds 0:07:34.080 --> 0:07:37.560 that we don't. We're not thinking of But the Dodgers 0:07:37.560 --> 0:07:39.360 just make the most sense. But the problem with that 0:07:39.600 --> 0:07:42.800 is from a from a PR perspective, if you're an 0:07:42.840 --> 0:07:45.400 Angels general manager, how much you hate trade him to 0:07:45.440 --> 0:07:49.600 the Dodgers. I mean, that's just a terrible situation. You do, yes, 0:07:49.640 --> 0:07:50.800 but you hate it. You do. 0:07:50.920 --> 0:07:52.120 But it's about facilitation. 0:07:52.240 --> 0:07:54.200 And I told you off air, I said, of course 0:07:54.240 --> 0:07:56.480 there's other teams like the Mets, the Yankees should always 0:07:56.480 --> 0:07:57.520 be considered into it. 0:07:58.040 --> 0:08:01.040 But I don't think the Yankees have prospects to do it. 0:08:01.400 --> 0:08:03.720 No, well, they've got it. They'd have to a Jason. 0:08:03.760 --> 0:08:05.560 To me, you'd have to be Jason. 0:08:08.360 --> 0:08:10.320 God, do you want to do that. I don't think that. See. 0:08:10.320 --> 0:08:13.360 To me, that's not the Brian Cashman style that he's 0:08:13.360 --> 0:08:14.920 shown you in the last fifteen years. 0:08:15.000 --> 0:08:17.520 You'd have to trade one big piece. They've got so much. 0:08:17.560 --> 0:08:20.120 But the Dodgers specifically, they have got all the pieces. 0:08:20.160 --> 0:08:24.120 I think Autman and Vargas are the big core. And 0:08:24.200 --> 0:08:25.600 I know and the one thing you need to consider 0:08:25.680 --> 0:08:28.400 here as well. We're talking about and this is what 0:08:28.440 --> 0:08:30.560 I think is hard about this. We're talking about a 0:08:30.560 --> 0:08:34.600 return that looks like the Wan Soto trade, but won 0:08:34.640 --> 0:08:36.240 Soto had an extra year on him. 0:08:36.280 --> 0:08:38.360 You are renting o'connie for two months with. 0:08:38.320 --> 0:08:41.560 The hopes that you're risking him, that this gives you 0:08:42.200 --> 0:08:44.199 an edge not only to win this year, but to 0:08:44.240 --> 0:08:46.520 maybe sign this guy. So if you're talking about Autman 0:08:46.600 --> 0:08:48.480 and Vargas, that think it makes sense, probably a guy 0:08:48.559 --> 0:08:50.240 like Shean. I kind of feel like they don't trade 0:08:50.280 --> 0:08:52.439 Bobby Miller and then maybe that's it, or maybe there's 0:08:52.480 --> 0:08:55.400 another low end prospect taking on money. 0:08:55.480 --> 0:08:58.319 I don't know about that. Does that put the Dodgers over? Probably? 0:08:58.360 --> 0:09:00.880 But also he gets to stay home, and I think 0:09:01.920 --> 0:09:05.040 this is courting him. Sending him off to New York 0:09:05.040 --> 0:09:08.600 could be very jolting. But it's a team that is home. 0:09:09.160 --> 0:09:12.400 They've got the prospects, there's enough of a relationship, they've 0:09:12.440 --> 0:09:15.760 got the motive, and they got the money. The Dodgers, unfortunately, 0:09:15.800 --> 0:09:17.720 make all the freaking sense in the world. 0:09:17.960 --> 0:09:18.680 It happens. 0:09:18.679 --> 0:09:20.280 I still don't think it's as much of a guarantee 0:09:20.280 --> 0:09:23.400 as you say. That injury made it a lot a 0:09:23.400 --> 0:09:23.840 lot more. 0:09:24.320 --> 0:09:27.480 MLB needs show Heyo Tani in the playoffs. They do. 0:09:27.760 --> 0:09:30.800 I mean, let's be honest, they need him in the playoffs. 0:09:30.800 --> 0:09:34.040 He has been musty television this year. He's been musty 0:09:34.040 --> 0:09:36.040 television for the last couple of years, but really this 0:09:36.120 --> 0:09:39.080 year in particular, baseball has been hot again. The Angels 0:09:39.080 --> 0:09:41.559 are never in the playoffs from a money perspective. From 0:09:41.600 --> 0:09:44.880 a competition standpoint, with in October, when we get an 0:09:44.960 --> 0:09:48.480 NBA's back and the NFL's back, Major League Baseball wants 0:09:48.520 --> 0:09:50.600 to show how Tony that they can market in the playoffs. 0:09:50.640 --> 0:09:52.520 So that's the best case scenario was to get him 0:09:52.520 --> 0:09:55.240 in there. By the way, Happy birthday, Larry. It's Larry's 0:09:55.240 --> 0:09:57.319 birthday too, not just everyone in the Welsh's family, and 0:09:57.360 --> 0:10:00.640 show heo TONI also, so it's a great discussion. We're 0:10:00.640 --> 0:10:02.920 gonna table it for now. Also, here's a here's a 0:10:03.000 --> 0:10:06.079 question for you, Joe Adele Now for the next two months, 0:10:06.080 --> 0:10:09.360 he's gonna have unlimited playing time. It would feel like, so, 0:10:09.600 --> 0:10:11.200 I know you're not the biggest of Joe Adell guy, 0:10:11.200 --> 0:10:13.679 but it seems like if he's out there in your 0:10:13.720 --> 0:10:16.200 league and chances already is you want to add him 0:10:16.200 --> 0:10:18.080 because he's gonna get at bats now, and especially if 0:10:18.080 --> 0:10:20.480 Otani does get traded even more at bats potentially for 0:10:20.559 --> 0:10:22.680 him in August. 0:10:23.280 --> 0:10:26.040 You want to speculate, You want to speculate on Joe 0:10:26.080 --> 0:10:28.559 ade I don't want to like unloaded. 0:10:28.080 --> 0:10:30.280 What I will say tell welsh on Joe Adele. 0:10:30.320 --> 0:10:33.000 No matter what I do his he just there's not 0:10:33.000 --> 0:10:33.360 not enough. 0:10:33.400 --> 0:10:36.760 I'm even looking at like the savant page XBA looks great. 0:10:36.840 --> 0:10:38.760 He didn't strike out a bunch, but it's just such 0:10:38.840 --> 0:10:41.959 small sample sizes. I will say he was putting up insane, 0:10:42.080 --> 0:10:45.040 insane hard hit numbers in the minor leagues. He'd been 0:10:45.080 --> 0:10:48.360 near the top as far as homers go, so this 0:10:48.440 --> 0:10:50.560 is a good opportunity. He's still not running a whole bunch. 0:10:50.720 --> 0:10:53.320 He's going to get his shot. Whatever that looks like. 0:10:53.360 --> 0:10:55.640 This could be if the Angels win games, they could 0:10:55.640 --> 0:10:57.800 be trading him if he starts to play it up 0:10:57.800 --> 0:11:00.600 a little bit, or this is his actual full shot 0:11:00.640 --> 0:11:02.040 to be in more of a prominent piece of the 0:11:02.120 --> 0:11:06.480 order twelve team five outfielder. If I had some dead weight, 0:11:06.520 --> 0:11:09.200 I would absolutely speculate on this simply because he looks 0:11:09.240 --> 0:11:12.160 like he's guaranteed for close to two months to have 0:11:12.200 --> 0:11:15.080 a gig, and if they're winning games, it will probably 0:11:15.160 --> 0:11:18.199 be you know, thanks to him. If they're not, it'll 0:11:18.200 --> 0:11:20.280 probably be partially thanks to him. 0:11:20.559 --> 0:11:21.680 I know, we had a lot more to get to 0:11:21.720 --> 0:11:23.400 so enough Angels talk about this is a big thing. 0:11:23.440 --> 0:11:26.720 I mean, this was a huge deal yesterday, all happening 0:11:26.720 --> 0:11:29.040 at one team and all happening at the same time. Core. 0:11:29.160 --> 0:11:31.480 It's like that movie everything everywhere, all at once. That's 0:11:31.480 --> 0:11:34.800 what the Angels were yesterday. Gorbyn Carrol returned so that's good. 0:11:34.880 --> 0:11:37.560 So fingers crossed it he's healthy enough rest of the season. 0:11:37.600 --> 0:11:40.400 Big day for some Reds. Jonathan India three for six 0:11:40.400 --> 0:11:42.360 with two homers. Elie de la Cruz a four for 0:11:42.440 --> 0:11:44.760 four day with a steel woo hoo. We love that. 0:11:45.200 --> 0:11:48.120 And Vladdie vlad Guerrero hitting another home run too. He's 0:11:48.120 --> 0:11:51.559 starting to heat up, slashing two forty seven, three forty nine, 0:11:51.559 --> 0:11:54.520 four fifty five, thirteen bombs, fifty four RBI. We'd like 0:11:54.559 --> 0:11:56.720 to see Vladdie have a good second half. Joe Musgrove 0:11:56.840 --> 0:12:00.680 seven scoreless innings. Sorry, no one on he did give up. 0:12:00.720 --> 0:12:01.600 By apologies there. 0:12:01.720 --> 0:12:03.520 He's been phenomenal. 0:12:03.559 --> 0:12:05.600 I just want to point out real quick Joe Musgrove 0:12:05.679 --> 0:12:07.319 with the early injuries and by the way, get back 0:12:07.320 --> 0:12:11.240 on that Mic Joe Musgrove with those early injuries and 0:12:11.280 --> 0:12:13.920 then kind of a rough go you go and look here, 0:12:14.160 --> 0:12:19.520 expected era under three right now, second lowest barrel percentage 0:12:19.559 --> 0:12:23.079 pitch two in his career. I mean the k numbers are, 0:12:23.160 --> 0:12:26.160 they're not phenomenal, but it's still around twenty four with 0:12:26.240 --> 0:12:28.880 a really low walk rate. He's been messing with that 0:12:28.960 --> 0:12:32.280 change up. I don't know, man, He's been crazy, crazy 0:12:32.320 --> 0:12:34.520 good and it looks like there is a lot more 0:12:34.559 --> 0:12:36.400 in the tank for the second half. So I might 0:12:36.440 --> 0:12:38.800 be a buyer back into Joe muscro I'm buying a 0:12:38.840 --> 0:12:39.640 lot of these padres. 0:12:40.240 --> 0:12:42.680 Muscle is a guy that I mean, Kelly and I 0:12:42.720 --> 0:12:44.480 were talking about it for weeks. Now it's like, you 0:12:44.520 --> 0:12:47.800 gotta go trade for Joe Musgrove, like he was clearly 0:12:48.040 --> 0:12:51.200 a perfect guy to buy. I'm not a good guy 0:12:51.240 --> 0:12:53.400 to buy for Matthew in our chat here he just 0:12:53.440 --> 0:12:57.960 traded for Trout last week. So Matthew, sorry, buddy, you 0:12:58.040 --> 0:13:02.439 know sorry, It's it's legal in a lot of states. Now, 0:13:02.440 --> 0:13:05.679 you might want to kill the pain. Hazel's Lizardo eight 0:13:05.720 --> 0:13:08.680 strikeouts and six innings. Looking at the stats now, Welsh 0:13:08.679 --> 0:13:11.439 on Jesus three, p. Thirty two ERA a one point 0:13:11.440 --> 0:13:13.840 one to six whip, one hundred and twenty strikeouts to 0:13:13.880 --> 0:13:15.719 twenty six walks at one hundred and three innings. That's 0:13:15.760 --> 0:13:19.040 eighteen starts. I'm ready to put him in the elite 0:13:19.120 --> 0:13:21.400 I think he's there. I mean, these are our elite numbers. 0:13:21.400 --> 0:13:23.400 When you have a strikeout to walk ratio like that, 0:13:23.480 --> 0:13:26.720 when you have an ERA that's getting almost south of three, 0:13:26.760 --> 0:13:28.839 where we're getting real close, I mean, that is pretty 0:13:28.880 --> 0:13:30.280 damn good, especially this year. 0:13:31.360 --> 0:13:32.760 Yeah, I mean he I don't know if he's in 0:13:32.800 --> 0:13:34.480 the elite I don't put him in the elite league, 0:13:34.520 --> 0:13:37.920 but he is definitely dipping his toe in that territory. 0:13:38.120 --> 0:13:38.920 Because you're not wrong. 0:13:40.080 --> 0:13:43.080 An almost thirty percent k percentage with around a six 0:13:43.160 --> 0:13:46.880 percent walk rate, those are in those pretty elite numbers. Yeah, 0:13:47.000 --> 0:13:50.520 expected numbers are in there. And on the season we 0:13:50.559 --> 0:13:52.959 saw the fastball be a little bit more effective. The 0:13:53.000 --> 0:13:55.839 wifth percentage is up by a round three percent, and 0:13:55.920 --> 0:13:58.280 his slider has been bonkers this year. It was forty 0:13:58.320 --> 0:14:00.960 one percent with rate. Last year he threw it about 0:14:00.960 --> 0:14:03.240 thirty percent of the time, same percent this year, over 0:14:03.400 --> 0:14:06.360 fifty percent with rate, So that fastball velo up a 0:14:06.400 --> 0:14:08.760 little bit is more effective, and it's setting up the slider, 0:14:09.000 --> 0:14:10.840 which you know, those are elite. 0:14:10.559 --> 0:14:12.319 Pieces for these type of guys. 0:14:12.720 --> 0:14:16.120 Also, Staple traded Bryce Harper to get Trout last week. 0:14:16.280 --> 0:14:19.680 So it's tough, baby, It's. 0:14:19.520 --> 0:14:22.680 Tough about Harper's been performing. Who has more stats? Trout 0:14:22.680 --> 0:14:25.800 missing six weeks and the back or that's the rest 0:14:25.800 --> 0:14:26.160 of the year. 0:14:26.320 --> 0:14:28.840 That's mean. All right, Let's get to one more thing. 0:14:28.880 --> 0:14:33.640 Nelson Cruz designated for assignment. So uh, I imagine the 0:14:33.760 --> 0:14:36.360 end of Nelson Cruz, although I think somebody could take 0:14:36.400 --> 0:14:38.400 a shot on him down the stretch. Somebody might give 0:14:38.480 --> 0:14:40.840 him a shot here. You never know how things are. 0:14:40.920 --> 0:14:44.880 Let's do the rookie lookie. Colton Cowser, Yes, from Triple 0:14:44.920 --> 0:14:47.400 A Norfolk getting the call, twenty three years old, fifth 0:14:47.400 --> 0:14:50.440 overall pick into twenty twenty one draft. I've been very 0:14:50.440 --> 0:14:52.840 good at Triple A so far this year, slashing three 0:14:52.960 --> 0:14:55.840 thirty four, fifty nine, five thirty seven at obp of 0:14:55.880 --> 0:14:59.080 four to fifty nine, unbelievable ten omers, forty rebis, seven 0:14:59.120 --> 0:15:02.920 steals and fifty six games. What's your thoughts on Colton Kowser? 0:15:02.960 --> 0:15:06.000 Here another Oriole getting the call. See this is what 0:15:06.080 --> 0:15:07.560 the Angels need to look at. They need to look 0:15:07.600 --> 0:15:09.440 at a team like the Orioles and say, look at 0:15:09.440 --> 0:15:11.560 what this team is doing with these young position players. 0:15:12.040 --> 0:15:13.520 This is what we need to do. This is how 0:15:13.520 --> 0:15:15.000 we're going to build a team that's going to be 0:15:15.000 --> 0:15:16.600 good on an annual basis. 0:15:16.840 --> 0:15:19.720 Well, really, this is one of those where I think 0:15:19.760 --> 0:15:21.960 someone asked it in the chat, and it's a legitimate 0:15:22.040 --> 0:15:24.800 question because I've been I know I talked cees on here. 0:15:24.840 --> 0:15:26.880 I talk a lot about Colton Kowser. This is one 0:15:26.920 --> 0:15:28.840 of my favorite guys in the miners. I got them 0:15:28.880 --> 0:15:31.080 as a top ten fantasy prospect. But one of the 0:15:31.080 --> 0:15:33.520 things we've looked at is where's it gonna play because 0:15:33.520 --> 0:15:34.880 they kind of screwed it up when they brought in 0:15:34.960 --> 0:15:37.680 Aaron Hicks. But I assume this is going to be 0:15:37.800 --> 0:15:41.200 the takeover for Aaron Hicks move long term. You mentioned 0:15:41.200 --> 0:15:43.120 that obp It's four fifty nine. It's because he had 0:15:43.160 --> 0:15:47.680 an almost nineteen percent walk rate at triple A eighteen 0:15:47.720 --> 0:15:51.000 point seven. That is over fifty six games, an under 0:15:51.040 --> 0:15:55.600 twenty five percent K percentage, ten homers, seven stolen bases, 0:15:55.640 --> 0:15:58.120 and over two hundred ISO. This is a guy that 0:15:58.160 --> 0:16:00.800 does have real power. Three straight levels. He's had a 0:16:00.800 --> 0:16:04.920 two hundred plus ISO. I love his bat to ball skilled. 0:16:04.920 --> 0:16:07.400 This is a guy where like Gunner has struggled with average, 0:16:07.640 --> 0:16:10.560 I would be shocked to see Colton Kwser struggle as hard. 0:16:10.320 --> 0:16:12.520 As him with the batting average. 0:16:12.800 --> 0:16:16.200 So Colton Kowser is a guy that I'm absolutely picking up. 0:16:17.000 --> 0:16:18.880 Who is the guy we were just talking about in 0:16:18.920 --> 0:16:21.200 the twelve Oh, Joeidell or Colton Kowser. I'd rather have 0:16:21.240 --> 0:16:23.920 Colton Kowser in a twelve team five outfielder, even though 0:16:24.000 --> 0:16:27.360 Joe Adell is more locked in and JP said Hayes 0:16:27.440 --> 0:16:30.280 is hurt while he's coming up. But once Hayes comes back, 0:16:30.640 --> 0:16:33.360 I think this is Aaron Hicks going bye bye. 0:16:33.840 --> 0:16:36.840 His has been good. Higgs has been very good. 0:16:36.920 --> 0:16:38.560 Since they won't list. 0:16:38.800 --> 0:16:40.720 You could refuse to believe it, but I mean it's 0:16:40.760 --> 0:16:42.840 it's true. I mean whether you believe it or not 0:16:42.920 --> 0:16:44.040 doesn't matter. It's a fact. 0:16:44.800 --> 0:16:47.280 Put Calton Kowser back down is my problem. You can't 0:16:47.320 --> 0:16:49.800 bring the get him up unless he struggles, Unless he 0:16:49.840 --> 0:16:50.640 mightily struggles. 0:16:51.800 --> 0:16:53.600 Ryan Ellis pulled off a hell of a trade. By 0:16:53.600 --> 0:16:56.000 the way, Musgrove and debtmurs for Sandy al Contra and 0:16:56.000 --> 0:16:57.520 Alec Minoa early in the season. 0:16:57.920 --> 0:16:59.400 Must grove debt meers for. 0:17:00.040 --> 0:17:03.360 Al Contra and Manoa early in the season. That that'll do. 0:17:03.920 --> 0:17:05.080 That trade looks pretty good. 0:17:05.640 --> 0:17:09.520 That trade off in May, that will definitely don get. 0:17:09.800 --> 0:17:12.520 Speaking of Alec Manoa, he's going to be back on Friday. 0:17:12.600 --> 0:17:15.080 Now I won't be here Friday. The Wonkye Penguin will 0:17:15.080 --> 0:17:17.679 be filling in for me. I've got tickets to smack 0:17:17.760 --> 0:17:20.399 down in New York City. It's gonna be a good time. 0:17:20.520 --> 0:17:24.679 The Tribal Court for the Tyble Chief Roman reigns, well, 0:17:24.720 --> 0:17:26.520 they're gonna put him on trial whether or not he 0:17:26.560 --> 0:17:29.800 should continue to be running the Bloodline after losing it 0:17:29.880 --> 0:17:32.280 money in the bank to the USOS. So it's gonna 0:17:32.280 --> 0:17:35.880 be amazing stuff there. It's gonna be cinema Welsh, it's 0:17:35.880 --> 0:17:39.840 gonna be theater. It's gonna be great. But Alec Manoa, also. 0:17:39.880 --> 0:17:42.160 You just sold us on. That was an amazing moment 0:17:42.200 --> 0:17:42.600 hearing in the. 0:17:42.600 --> 0:17:45.000 Game out new in this league. By the way, I 0:17:45.040 --> 0:17:47.000 just recorded. I sent it to Welsh. Whenever he's done 0:17:47.040 --> 0:17:48.800 with the show, he's gonna upload it in this would 0:17:48.840 --> 0:17:51.600