Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to Fantasy Pros MLB. This is Leading
Speaker 1: Off Live, brought to you by Prize Pig. Sign up
Speaker 1: for Prize Pigs today and use that promo code leading
Speaker 1: Off when you do. It's me Joey p joe Pi's Apia.
Speaker 1: That of course is the Welsh. We are clean shaven.
Speaker 1: Monday was a fun show. If you missed the mustaches,
Speaker 1: well go run to the YouTube. It was pretty amazing. Actually,
Speaker 1: I saw some of the still shots there. I posted
Speaker 1: one on Twitter. I think we look pretty sexy, to
Speaker 1: tell you the truth.
Speaker 2: Pretty good, I mean, but there's a little stranger danger
Speaker 2: that was involved in that. That was one of the
Speaker 2: funnier things that somebody put it out there. But hey, listen,
Speaker 2: stashes were good, they were fine. Mine gone, I mean
Speaker 2: the minute the show was done, because I also had
Speaker 2: a video to post that you guys can check out
Speaker 2: on Fantasy Pros MLB YouTube channel, and I wasn't gonna
Speaker 2: put the mustache on that one though.
Speaker 3: It might have been good, but it is gone.
Speaker 1: Yes, we were off yesterday for the holiday. We are
Speaker 1: back again and for the rest of the week. Just
Speaker 1: in case you're wondering, I know next week's schedule is
Speaker 1: weird with the all show break, But don't worry, we'll
Speaker 1: break all that down. Bud Welsh, what a difference twenty
Speaker 1: four or forty eight hours can make of an opinion? Today?
Speaker 1: Is show Heyo Tani's birthday, by the way he turns
Speaker 1: twenty nine. I just saw that. I did not realize that.
Speaker 2: Not just show hey Otani's birthday, but shout out to
Speaker 2: my lovely wife and my daughter. They all share, so
Speaker 2: I have two in my house, and then we have
Speaker 2: a baseball player who represents their today. Happy birthday to all.
Speaker 1: It wasn't a great birthday though, because for his birthday
Speaker 1: he has a blister. He got a blister for his
Speaker 1: birthday and a Mike Trout injury that's gonna take him
Speaker 1: out till August. We have to talk about this because
Speaker 1: this is huge. Mike Trout has had a good season.
Speaker 1: I don't know if I would call it a transcendent
Speaker 1: Mike Trout season. Still a lot of strikeouts there. He's
Speaker 1: on a good pace. He's gonna have, you know, thirty homers,
Speaker 1: close to ninety RBIs. You know, it's a great season.
Speaker 1: But here we are thirty one year old Mike Trout
Speaker 1: another injury. It's a handmad the bone broken, So six
Speaker 1: eight weeks typically is the recovery time. And we've seen
Speaker 1: this in the past. I remember back the day when
Speaker 1: Pablo Sandoval had both hands. Do you remember that he
Speaker 1: had one of them and nextual you get another one.
Speaker 1: I would say this, I remember this zapping a lot
Speaker 1: of guys power. I'd be very concerned of whatever you
Speaker 1: get out of Mike Trout the rest of the season. Yeah.
Speaker 1: Then the show, Hey Otani blister issue where he came out.
Speaker 1: Now he's unlikely to pitch in the All Star Game.
Speaker 1: This comes a good timing, so you hope the blister
Speaker 1: can you know right itself. But the Angels found themselves
Speaker 1: in the Wildcard Hunt just twenty four hours ago, and
Speaker 1: now it feels like the whole calculus has changed. Whilsh
Speaker 1: We were talking before the show and you put out
Speaker 1: there to me, you said, if you asked me yesterday
Speaker 1: in the morning, I would have said, you know, Angels
Speaker 1: are feeling really good. They're not trading Otani. Now I'm
Speaker 1: gonna ask you that same question with this Trout injury
Speaker 1: and where they are in the standings and what this
Speaker 1: team really is. Do you think that calculus has changed.
Speaker 2: I may or may not have within the last week
Speaker 2: said with one hundred percent certainty Otani was not getting traded.
Speaker 2: That may or may not have there's no confirmed evidence
Speaker 2: outside of audio recordings that no one's pulling.
Speaker 3: I may or may have said that.
Speaker 2: I look at the situation now and go that has
Speaker 2: swung in the opposite direction. I don't think it's one
Speaker 2: hundred percent assured or anything like that. There's still over
Speaker 2: five hundred divisionally the I think it's the Central is
Speaker 2: Trash and they're third in their division. Seven games back,
Speaker 2: they would be fourth in I think it's the East,
Speaker 2: the Al East if they were in over there, so
Speaker 2: there's still a little bit of ways to go.
Speaker 3: But you lose Trout now. If this is.
Speaker 2: An important ten game stretch, I think that's coming up
Speaker 2: between here and the All Star Break. If they go
Speaker 2: seven and ten or six and four something like that,
Speaker 2: I personally still believe that if they are.
Speaker 3: In the hunt and they're making positive, you know.
Speaker 2: Push, I'd still think they're gonna do it because they'll
Speaker 2: they'll say we're gonna get Trout back, We're gonna try.
Speaker 2: Maybe we'll buy if they lose and they're four and six,
Speaker 2: three and seven of the next ten, they are seriously
Speaker 2: going to have to consider trading Otani after losing this.
Speaker 2: And it all comes down to I'd said to you,
Speaker 2: I think one thing they have to figure out how
Speaker 2: to do.
Speaker 3: I think they have to sit down with.
Speaker 2: That representation and be like, we need you to give
Speaker 2: us an honest assessment of will you come back? What
Speaker 2: is the likelihood to come back? Because I have attested
Speaker 2: to that if Otani will come back, they don't want
Speaker 2: to do anything to hurt that. But this is a huge,
Speaker 2: massive blow. And you and I were going through some
Speaker 2: trade scenarios because I think there's only a few teams
Speaker 2: and I know you have been very very heavy on
Speaker 2: the Mets being the team, but well.
Speaker 1: I was until the Mets became the Mets and we're
Speaker 1: seventeen games out of first place. I think the Mets
Speaker 1: are toast. So no, the Mets are not in this
Speaker 1: thing right now. I think there is Dodgers are the team.
Speaker 1: It is all Dodgers, And look, I don't want to
Speaker 1: throw cold water on this, but Otani's agent's gonna say, yeah,
Speaker 1: sure of course you're in the mix. Because they wants
Speaker 1: to drive up the price because you want as many
Speaker 1: teams in the mix as you can get, because if
Speaker 1: you get them, then you can continue to play them
Speaker 1: against each other to raise the price of Showyotani. You're
Speaker 1: getting an ACE pitcher and an MVP candidate in one trade.
Speaker 1: It's gonna cost you taking on another contract, I think,
Speaker 1: And it's gonna cost you a lot, a crap ton
Speaker 1: of prospects. It's gonna cost you outman. It's gonna cost
Speaker 1: you Vargas. It's gonna cost you Bobby Miller or Sheehan
Speaker 1: at least. And I do think they would ask you
Speaker 1: to take the Anthony Rendo and contract along with it,
Speaker 1: which I know is a huge ass, but I don't
Speaker 1: think it's wrong. That's where I would start if I
Speaker 1: was the Angel general manager, and I'd say, look, if
Speaker 1: we're gonna really remake this team something good, you have
Speaker 1: to move Otani because the draft pick is not enough
Speaker 1: and there's a better chance that you lose them than
Speaker 1: you keep him. So this is something that you're right.
Speaker 1: The next ten games here through the All Star break
Speaker 1: are gonna be crucial. This could not come at a
Speaker 1: worse time because the uncertainty. Had this injury happen, I
Speaker 1: think two weeks ago, you would definitively get a Joel
Speaker 1: Tomy trade because then you know, what are we without
Speaker 1: Mike Trout. But more to the point too, from fancy perspective,
Speaker 1: now with my Trout out, you're getting Joe Adell back
Speaker 1: up here. He is not the guy to replace Mike Trout.
Speaker 1: But what do you do if you have Mike Trout,
Speaker 1: Because from a fantasy perspective, you're going to be without
Speaker 1: him now for six to eight weeks and when he
Speaker 1: comes back at the end of August quote unquote theoretically,
Speaker 1: what does that look like? I don't know, Welsh. I
Speaker 1: mean it feels like if you have Trout, you're kind
Speaker 1: of just your season's been sunk. Do you see any
Speaker 1: way out of this? Yeah?
Speaker 2: By the way, you go closer to the mic, a
Speaker 2: little closer to the mike, you're getting lost just a
Speaker 2: little bit.
Speaker 1: I'm gonna get lost.
Speaker 3: Yeah lost.
Speaker 2: Yeah, you were turning into the mic. Trout of all this,
Speaker 2: I mean, what do you do? I mean, this is
Speaker 2: gonna be a big rubber meets the road for Dynasty
Speaker 2: owners if he had MI I have Mike Trout in
Speaker 2: a league and a dynasty league that I've been kind
Speaker 2: of struggling, and this is probably a nail in the
Speaker 2: coffin of me trying to make a run, and I
Speaker 2: need to probably consider some stuff. But what I do
Speaker 2: worry about, to your point, is, oh my god, what
Speaker 2: could this team look like when my Trout comes back?
Speaker 2: This will be like Rick from The Walking Dead. You know,
Speaker 2: one day he's up, he's with his friends, and traffic
Speaker 2: accident happens. Next thing, he wakes up in a hospital.
Speaker 2: The world's destroyed and there's zombies everywhere. Like Mike Trout
Speaker 2: is gonna be there, and it'll be like, here's my
Speaker 2: buddy Rindon, Here's Otani, here's this, here's that, Here's Brandon Drury.
Speaker 2: He's gonna wake up and it's gonna be the shells
Speaker 2: of Joe Adele and maybe James Outman is going to
Speaker 2: be there, and David Fletcher will be playing again and
Speaker 2: he's gonna be like, what.
Speaker 1: The hell is what it is? I can't think of
Speaker 1: anybody but the Dodgers too, of where that makes sense now, Like, no,
Speaker 1: I'm sure there's some other team laying in the weeds
Speaker 1: that we don't. We're not thinking of But the Dodgers
Speaker 1: just make the most sense. But the problem with that
Speaker 1: is from a from a PR perspective, if you're an
Speaker 1: Angels general manager, how much you hate trade him to
Speaker 1: the Dodgers. I mean, that's just a terrible situation. You do, yes,
Speaker 1: but you hate it. You do.
Speaker 3: But it's about facilitation.
Speaker 2: And I told you off air, I said, of course
Speaker 2: there's other teams like the Mets, the Yankees should always
Speaker 2: be considered into it.
Speaker 1: But I don't think the Yankees have prospects to do it.
Speaker 2: No, well, they've got it. They'd have to a Jason.
Speaker 2: To me, you'd have to be Jason.
Speaker 1: God, do you want to do that. I don't think that. See.
Speaker 1: To me, that's not the Brian Cashman style that he's
Speaker 1: shown you in the last fifteen years.
Speaker 3: You'd have to trade one big piece. They've got so much.
Speaker 2: But the Dodgers specifically, they have got all the pieces.
Speaker 2: I think Autman and Vargas are the big core. And
Speaker 2: I know and the one thing you need to consider
Speaker 2: here as well. We're talking about and this is what
Speaker 2: I think is hard about this. We're talking about a
Speaker 2: return that looks like the Wan Soto trade, but won
Speaker 2: Soto had an extra year on him.
Speaker 3: You are renting o'connie for two months with.
Speaker 2: The hopes that you're risking him, that this gives you
Speaker 2: an edge not only to win this year, but to
Speaker 2: maybe sign this guy. So if you're talking about Autman
Speaker 2: and Vargas, that think it makes sense, probably a guy
Speaker 2: like Shean. I kind of feel like they don't trade
Speaker 2: Bobby Miller and then maybe that's it, or maybe there's
Speaker 2: another low end prospect taking on money.
Speaker 3: I don't know about that. Does that put the Dodgers over? Probably?
Speaker 2: But also he gets to stay home, and I think
Speaker 2: this is courting him. Sending him off to New York
Speaker 2: could be very jolting. But it's a team that is home.
Speaker 2: They've got the prospects, there's enough of a relationship, they've
Speaker 2: got the motive, and they got the money. The Dodgers, unfortunately,
Speaker 2: make all the freaking sense in the world.
Speaker 1: It happens.
Speaker 2: I still don't think it's as much of a guarantee
Speaker 2: as you say. That injury made it a lot a
Speaker 2: lot more.
Speaker 1: MLB needs show Heyo Tani in the playoffs. They do.
Speaker 1: I mean, let's be honest, they need him in the playoffs.
Speaker 1: He has been musty television this year. He's been musty
Speaker 1: television for the last couple of years, but really this
Speaker 1: year in particular, baseball has been hot again. The Angels
Speaker 1: are never in the playoffs from a money perspective. From
Speaker 1: a competition standpoint, with in October, when we get an
Speaker 1: NBA's back and the NFL's back, Major League Baseball wants
Speaker 1: to show how Tony that they can market in the playoffs.
Speaker 1: So that's the best case scenario was to get him
Speaker 1: in there. By the way, Happy birthday, Larry. It's Larry's
Speaker 1: birthday too, not just everyone in the Welsh's family, and
Speaker 1: show heo TONI also, so it's a great discussion. We're
Speaker 1: gonna table it for now. Also, here's a here's a
Speaker 1: question for you, Joe Adele Now for the next two months,
Speaker 1: he's gonna have unlimited playing time. It would feel like, so,
Speaker 1: I know you're not the biggest of Joe Adell guy,
Speaker 1: but it seems like if he's out there in your
Speaker 1: league and chances already is you want to add him
Speaker 1: because he's gonna get at bats now, and especially if
Speaker 1: Otani does get traded even more at bats potentially for
Speaker 1: him in August.
Speaker 2: You want to speculate, You want to speculate on Joe
Speaker 2: ade I don't want to like unloaded.
Speaker 1: What I will say tell welsh on Joe Adele.
Speaker 3: No matter what I do his he just there's not
Speaker 3: not enough.
Speaker 2: I'm even looking at like the savant page XBA looks great.
Speaker 2: He didn't strike out a bunch, but it's just such
Speaker 2: small sample sizes. I will say he was putting up insane,
Speaker 2: insane hard hit numbers in the minor leagues. He'd been
Speaker 2: near the top as far as homers go, so this
Speaker 2: is a good opportunity. He's still not running a whole bunch.
Speaker 2: He's going to get his shot. Whatever that looks like.
Speaker 2: This could be if the Angels win games, they could
Speaker 2: be trading him if he starts to play it up
Speaker 2: a little bit, or this is his actual full shot
Speaker 2: to be in more of a prominent piece of the
Speaker 2: order twelve team five outfielder. If I had some dead weight,
Speaker 2: I would absolutely speculate on this simply because he looks
Speaker 2: like he's guaranteed for close to two months to have
Speaker 2: a gig, and if they're winning games, it will probably
Speaker 2: be you know, thanks to him. If they're not, it'll
Speaker 2: probably be partially thanks to him.
Speaker 1: I know, we had a lot more to get to
Speaker 1: so enough Angels talk about this is a big thing.
Speaker 1: I mean, this was a huge deal yesterday, all happening
Speaker 1: at one team and all happening at the same time. Core.
Speaker 1: It's like that movie everything everywhere, all at once. That's
Speaker 1: what the Angels were yesterday. Gorbyn Carrol returned so that's good.
Speaker 1: So fingers crossed it he's healthy enough rest of the season.
Speaker 1: Big day for some Reds. Jonathan India three for six
Speaker 1: with two homers. Elie de la Cruz a four for
Speaker 1: four day with a steel woo hoo. We love that.
Speaker 1: And Vladdie vlad Guerrero hitting another home run too. He's
Speaker 1: starting to heat up, slashing two forty seven, three forty nine,
Speaker 1: four fifty five, thirteen bombs, fifty four RBI. We'd like
Speaker 1: to see Vladdie have a good second half. Joe Musgrove
Speaker 1: seven scoreless innings. Sorry, no one on he did give up.
Speaker 1: By apologies there.
Speaker 3: He's been phenomenal.
Speaker 2: I just want to point out real quick Joe Musgrove
Speaker 2: with the early injuries and by the way, get back
Speaker 2: on that Mic Joe Musgrove with those early injuries and
Speaker 2: then kind of a rough go you go and look here,
Speaker 2: expected era under three right now, second lowest barrel percentage
Speaker 2: pitch two in his career. I mean the k numbers are,
Speaker 2: they're not phenomenal, but it's still around twenty four with
Speaker 2: a really low walk rate. He's been messing with that
Speaker 2: change up. I don't know, man, He's been crazy, crazy
Speaker 2: good and it looks like there is a lot more
Speaker 2: in the tank for the second half. So I might
Speaker 2: be a buyer back into Joe muscro I'm buying a
Speaker 2: lot of these padres.
Speaker 1: Muscle is a guy that I mean, Kelly and I
Speaker 1: were talking about it for weeks. Now it's like, you
Speaker 1: gotta go trade for Joe Musgrove, like he was clearly
Speaker 1: a perfect guy to buy. I'm not a good guy
Speaker 1: to buy for Matthew in our chat here he just
Speaker 1: traded for Trout last week. So Matthew, sorry, buddy, you
Speaker 1: know sorry, It's it's legal in a lot of states. Now,
Speaker 1: you might want to kill the pain. Hazel's Lizardo eight
Speaker 1: strikeouts and six innings. Looking at the stats now, Welsh
Speaker 1: on Jesus three, p. Thirty two ERA a one point
Speaker 1: one to six whip, one hundred and twenty strikeouts to
Speaker 1: twenty six walks at one hundred and three innings. That's
Speaker 1: eighteen starts. I'm ready to put him in the elite
Speaker 1: I think he's there. I mean, these are our elite numbers.
Speaker 1: When you have a strikeout to walk ratio like that,
Speaker 1: when you have an ERA that's getting almost south of three,
Speaker 1: where we're getting real close, I mean, that is pretty
Speaker 1: damn good, especially this year.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean he I don't know if he's in
Speaker 2: the elite I don't put him in the elite league,
Speaker 2: but he is definitely dipping his toe in that territory.
Speaker 3: Because you're not wrong.
Speaker 2: An almost thirty percent k percentage with around a six
Speaker 2: percent walk rate, those are in those pretty elite numbers. Yeah,
Speaker 2: expected numbers are in there. And on the season we
Speaker 2: saw the fastball be a little bit more effective. The
Speaker 2: wifth percentage is up by a round three percent, and
Speaker 2: his slider has been bonkers this year. It was forty
Speaker 2: one percent with rate. Last year he threw it about
Speaker 2: thirty percent of the time, same percent this year, over
Speaker 2: fifty percent with rate, So that fastball velo up a
Speaker 2: little bit is more effective, and it's setting up the slider,
Speaker 2: which you know, those are elite.
Speaker 3: Pieces for these type of guys.
Speaker 1: Also, Staple traded Bryce Harper to get Trout last week.
Speaker 1: So it's tough, baby, It's.
Speaker 2: Tough about Harper's been performing. Who has more stats? Trout
Speaker 2: missing six weeks and the back or that's the rest
Speaker 2: of the year.
Speaker 1: That's mean. All right, Let's get to one more thing.
Speaker 1: Nelson Cruz designated for assignment. So uh, I imagine the
Speaker 1: end of Nelson Cruz, although I think somebody could take
Speaker 1: a shot on him down the stretch. Somebody might give
Speaker 1: him a shot here. You never know how things are.
Speaker 1: Let's do the rookie lookie. Colton Cowser, Yes, from Triple
Speaker 1: A Norfolk getting the call, twenty three years old, fifth
Speaker 1: overall pick into twenty twenty one draft. I've been very
Speaker 1: good at Triple A so far this year, slashing three
Speaker 1: thirty four, fifty nine, five thirty seven at obp of
Speaker 1: four to fifty nine, unbelievable ten omers, forty rebis, seven
Speaker 1: steals and fifty six games. What's your thoughts on Colton Kowser?
Speaker 1: Here another Oriole getting the call. See this is what
Speaker 1: the Angels need to look at. They need to look
Speaker 1: at a team like the Orioles and say, look at
Speaker 1: what this team is doing with these young position players.
Speaker 1: This is what we need to do. This is how
Speaker 1: we're going to build a team that's going to be
Speaker 1: good on an annual basis.
Speaker 2: Well, really, this is one of those where I think
Speaker 2: someone asked it in the chat, and it's a legitimate
Speaker 2: question because I've been I know I talked cees on here.
Speaker 2: I talk a lot about Colton Kowser. This is one
Speaker 2: of my favorite guys in the miners. I got them
Speaker 2: as a top ten fantasy prospect. But one of the
Speaker 2: things we've looked at is where's it gonna play because
Speaker 2: they kind of screwed it up when they brought in
Speaker 2: Aaron Hicks. But I assume this is going to be
Speaker 2: the takeover for Aaron Hicks move long term. You mentioned
Speaker 2: that obp It's four fifty nine. It's because he had
Speaker 2: an almost nineteen percent walk rate at triple A eighteen
Speaker 2: point seven. That is over fifty six games, an under
Speaker 2: twenty five percent K percentage, ten homers, seven stolen bases,
Speaker 2: and over two hundred ISO. This is a guy that
Speaker 2: does have real power. Three straight levels. He's had a
Speaker 2: two hundred plus ISO. I love his bat to ball skilled.
Speaker 2: This is a guy where like Gunner has struggled with average,
Speaker 2: I would be shocked to see Colton Kwser struggle as hard.
Speaker 3: As him with the batting average.
Speaker 2: So Colton Kowser is a guy that I'm absolutely picking up.
Speaker 2: Who is the guy we were just talking about in
Speaker 2: the twelve Oh, Joeidell or Colton Kowser. I'd rather have
Speaker 2: Colton Kowser in a twelve team five outfielder, even though
Speaker 2: Joe Adell is more locked in and JP said Hayes
Speaker 2: is hurt while he's coming up. But once Hayes comes back,
Speaker 2: I think this is Aaron Hicks going bye bye.
Speaker 1: His has been good. Higgs has been very good.
Speaker 3: Since they won't list.
Speaker 1: You could refuse to believe it, but I mean it's
Speaker 1: it's true. I mean whether you believe it or not
Speaker 1: doesn't matter. It's a fact.
Speaker 2: Put Calton Kowser back down is my problem. You can't
Speaker 2: bring the get him up unless he struggles, Unless he
Speaker 2: mightily struggles.
Speaker 1: Ryan Ellis pulled off a hell of a trade. By
Speaker 1: the way, Musgrove and debtmurs for Sandy al Contra and
Speaker 1: Alec Minoa early in the season.
Speaker 3: Must grove debt meers for.
Speaker 1: Al Contra and Manoa early in the season. That that'll do.
Speaker 1: That trade looks pretty good.
Speaker 2: That trade off in May, that will definitely don get.
Speaker 1: Speaking of Alec Manoa, he's going to be back on Friday.
Speaker 1: Now I won't be here Friday. The Wonkye Penguin will
Speaker 1: be filling in for me. I've got tickets to smack
Speaker 1: down in New York City. It's gonna be a good time.
Speaker 1: The Tribal Court for the Tyble Chief Roman reigns, well,
Speaker 1: they're gonna put him on trial whether or not he
Speaker 1: should continue to be running the Bloodline after losing it
Speaker 1: money in the bank to the USOS. So it's gonna
Speaker 1: be amazing stuff there. It's gonna be cinema Welsh, it's
Speaker 1: gonna be theater. It's gonna be great. But Alec Manoa, also.
Speaker 3: You just sold us on. That was an amazing moment
Speaker 3: hearing in the.
Speaker 1: Game out new in this league. By the way, I
Speaker 1: just recorded. I sent it to Welsh. Whenever he's done
Speaker 1: with the show, he's gonna upload it in this would
Speaker 1: I say, in this league, oh, in this league, well
Speaker 1: on in this league, but in this ring. My new
Speaker 1: wrestling pod just recorded Welsh this afternoon. He'll have a
Speaker 1: sandwich and upload it so you can listen to me
Speaker 1: to talk about that. But more to the point, the
Speaker 1: waky Penguin is excited for Friday. She cannot wait to
Speaker 1: be on this show. I can only assume this is
Speaker 1: going to be an epic disaster. So wels, I guess
Speaker 1: here's the thing. Let's make some money on this when
Speaker 1: it happens. Whatever the earned run total is, let's go over.
Speaker 1: Let's crush this. Let's bet real heavy on the other side.
Speaker 1: Because I don't see any reason. There's nothing he showed
Speaker 1: me in these minor league workings that make me feel
Speaker 1: better about him getting a start again. I don't know
Speaker 1: what's going on here.
Speaker 2: I mean, if they put like his walk total out there,
Speaker 2: I'm gonna take that. Everyone was like, oh, man, Alex
Speaker 2: Manola is back. I don't know, man, this is against
Speaker 2: double A.
Speaker 3: Yes, he struck out ten.
Speaker 2: He also walked three and hit a batter, and I
Speaker 2: think he hit that batter in the first inning. And
Speaker 2: he had back to back walks in one of the
Speaker 2: innings he got out of like one or two bases,
Speaker 2: loaded jams, lots of strikeouts, but it's not as clean
Speaker 2: as that outing looks like going up against Detroit. Okay,
Speaker 2: that's a site. If you could ask for a better
Speaker 2: situation for him to walk into, there probably isn't outside
Speaker 2: of playing.
Speaker 3: I'm trying to think of like the A's that's might
Speaker 3: be the best situation here. Do I trust it? Not? Really?
Speaker 2: Is it possible he comes in and strikes a nine
Speaker 2: and gives out one or two?
Speaker 3: Yeah, but I'm not betting on it.
Speaker 2: I'm treating this like I would treat any guy coming
Speaker 2: back from Edward Rodriguez, who I think is going today
Speaker 2: coming on.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I feel I'm not starting him necessarily.
Speaker 2: But that's what I'm saying. I'm not starting Menoa. I'm
Speaker 2: treating him like he was injured and coming back from
Speaker 2: his first start.
Speaker 3: There's no chance.
Speaker 1: I don't. Like I said, I think this is this
Speaker 1: is the reeks of desperation. That's what this is. That's
Speaker 1: what it feels like.
Speaker 2: What do you think it's walk number looks like if
Speaker 2: I could get I mean, I would smash one and
Speaker 2: a half over, which is usually.
Speaker 1: The come, I was setting it. It would be three
Speaker 1: and a half.
Speaker 3: If I could get two and a half over, I
Speaker 3: am smashing look for that.
Speaker 1: If you see two and a half, well, but you know,
Speaker 1: I mean this.
Speaker 3: Is not financial advice, but saying.
Speaker 1: Let's talk about the injuries the Dodgers did announce. As
Speaker 1: Welsh mentioned earlier, Dustin May Tommy john So he done
Speaker 1: for all this year, all next year. Not surprised here
Speaker 1: we I mean preseason, all we talked about was how
Speaker 1: bad the latter part of this rotation is for the Dodgers,
Speaker 1: and how dangerous it is to consider them favorites. And
Speaker 1: here we go. Now, look, Bobby Miller stepped in. I
Speaker 1: know Sheehan was bad yesterday, but we'll get to that
Speaker 1: in a second. You know, they're gonna fix it, but
Speaker 1: this is a problem. They have to address it. Garrett
Speaker 1: Whitlock also going on the fifteen day date. I l
Speaker 1: no matter what, it just seems like this guy snake bit.
Speaker 1: We can't get Garrett Whitlock on the field for a
Speaker 1: long period of time. It's really frustrating.
Speaker 3: Strada Jazz the way.
Speaker 1: That's a good analogy. It is Tarriostrada. By the way,
Speaker 1: he's going to miss four to six weeks with a
Speaker 1: wrist injury, so he's been very good. He was in
Speaker 1: one of my serious sell high candidates on Fantasy Bros
Speaker 1: dot Com a couple weeks ago in that article to
Speaker 1: get rid of him because it just didn't think he
Speaker 1: could sustain. Zach Rank made an early exit, well early
Speaker 1: after being terrible, say like, look, let's take you out
Speaker 1: of here. Something's gotta be wrong. And then of course
Speaker 1: the Tigers activated to reschool from the sixty day IL
Speaker 1: and speaking of inevitable injuries, the padres Michael Waka goes
Speaker 1: to the fifteen dayl with right shoulder inflammation. I don't
Speaker 1: want to take victory laps on injuries, but Welsh, Yeah,
Speaker 1: if you had Michael Waka and he was doing what
Speaker 1: he was doing, there's no way you couldn't try to
Speaker 1: move him immediately. This was inevitable. This is the than
Speaker 1: nose of pictures in terms of inevitability. You had to
Speaker 1: know what what?
Speaker 3: What were people buying the way he was pitching?
Speaker 1: Do you not see the numbers? I don't care what
Speaker 1: you're getting. Get something before this happened.
Speaker 2: See see, I would have rather I would rather have
Speaker 2: that if you were watching game, that change up he's
Speaker 2: been throwing has been Bonker's sub three era. You can
Speaker 2: take the victory lap that he got hurt, I guess,
Speaker 2: and some of the expected sets go in the other direction.
Speaker 2: But this is one of the those I'm not trading
Speaker 2: him for just nothing. There's no way. His production is
Speaker 2: way worth, way more than what anybody's actually going to
Speaker 2: facilitate for you.
Speaker 1: But it wasn't a matter of facilitating of equal value.
Speaker 1: It was facilitating a player that was going to play
Speaker 1: in the last eighty one games of the season.
Speaker 3: Yeah, that's it.
Speaker 1: That's it. That is the problem. We look at these
Speaker 1: things we say, well, we can't get equal value back
Speaker 1: for that. No, But with certain guys like Waka, you
Speaker 1: have to look at them and say, there's no way
Speaker 1: he is going to pitch. He's going to make thirty
Speaker 1: starts this year. That's never gonna happen. Once he made ten,
Speaker 1: you had to go while geez, I mean, I have
Speaker 1: already on borrowed time. I have to do something. Framber Valadez,
Speaker 1: by the way, good news for him and everybody's invested
Speaker 1: in him and cy Young. He is going to start.
Speaker 1: He's been doing with that ankle injury. He's going to
Speaker 1: start on Thursday. Brendan low is going to be back,
Speaker 1: and Jordan Alvarez, mister Alvarez himself is going to be
Speaker 1: back as well, sooner than later. Beginning to rehab assignment.
Speaker 1: Looks like after the All Star break, so fingers crossed,
Speaker 1: we're getting mister Alvarez back sooner. Three up and three down.
Speaker 1: James Autman Homer twice drove in four, Aaron Nola seven
Speaker 1: to third, twelve strikeouts on July fourth, and Logan Gilbert
Speaker 1: first career shutout, feeling good. What'd you think of that, Gilbert?
Speaker 3: Well, I just crapped on Low. Well, I didn't crap
Speaker 3: on him, but I may or may not have said.
Speaker 1: One year you were not the biggest Logan Gilbert out.
Speaker 3: I actually love him too.
Speaker 2: But you know what, I haven't been doing trade aways
Speaker 2: on the trade videos for a while now, Like I
Speaker 2: at the beginning of the year, I'd be like, here's
Speaker 2: some trade forwards, trade aways. I did one video all
Speaker 2: trade aways. Trade aways just get people so worked up.
Speaker 2: So I was like, let's focus on some happiness for
Speaker 2: a month or so. Here guys to trade four blah,
Speaker 2: blah blah. So this week I'm like, let's sprinkle in
Speaker 2: a couple of trade away guys just into it, and who.
Speaker 3: Did I have? Logan Gilbert? Had Logan Gilbert in there.
Speaker 2: I still gonna kind of hold to what I was saying.
Speaker 2: I think there's a big return that can be had,
Speaker 2: especially after a game like this with some of the
Speaker 2: inconsistencies and low strikeout numbers. But the problem is, like, guy,
Speaker 2: he's a sub two walk per nine. He does have
Speaker 2: a better X tip right now than Era. It's pretty
Speaker 2: damn good. He's pretty damn good. So okay, you guys win,
Speaker 2: I was wrong, don't trap never doing a trade right?
Speaker 1: Well, we'll make it feel better because I'm gonna do
Speaker 1: the three downs, and then multiple people in the chat
Speaker 1: today want to talk about Christian Xavier, so you can
Speaker 1: you can feel better about yourself after that the three downs,
Speaker 1: Casiles over four three k's, Pete Alonso over five three k's,
Speaker 1: and Amachihan three and two thirds five earned not no boy, No.
Speaker 1: Christian Javier is a very hot topic in the chat today. Welsh,
Speaker 1: you were ahead of this talking about Javier and now
Speaker 1: Javier is a picture I liked a lot. Coming into
Speaker 1: the season, things were going well. You spoke about why
Speaker 1: the wheels came off. I guess the big question everybody has.
Speaker 1: Can the wheels be put back together? For Christian Haavier
Speaker 1: in the second.
Speaker 2: Half, of course, it could be. But one of my
Speaker 2: big things has been how like, what's the thing? The
Speaker 2: two pitch pitchers make it more difficult when one traitch
Speaker 2: is off and the other one is also, Like, here's
Speaker 2: the thing? The ship he's talked about, the shape of
Speaker 2: the fastball is not working well. The location of the
Speaker 2: slider is not great. By the way, I think, I
Speaker 2: admit when I'm wrong all the time.
Speaker 1: Sarcasm.
Speaker 2: Don't we talking about clip it like? I don't admit
Speaker 2: that stuff. I'll own up to it.
Speaker 1: Oh, J Foles just I haven't seen j fall in
Speaker 1: the chat in a while too. He's just here having
Speaker 1: some fun.
Speaker 3: One thing I'm curious about.
Speaker 2: I saw a tweet where there was somebody that was
Speaker 2: trying to break down the way he was pitching, and
Speaker 2: they were saying how he was going in and how
Speaker 2: he was approaching. He was like a little bit front faced,
Speaker 2: like they were able to identify the.
Speaker 1: Way mechanically speak mechanical there was a.
Speaker 2: Mechanical issue inside of his approach, which might be leading
Speaker 2: to it. But it just comes back to like, there
Speaker 2: are two pitches and they both have some wartz in
Speaker 2: them right now, so I don't see how they get fixed.
Speaker 2: I don't see what it is. The slider is so
Speaker 2: less effective. The fastball shape doesn't look good, and that's
Speaker 2: why I'm like, I don't I don't see how we're
Speaker 2: going to get there this year to get old Christian Vier.
Speaker 2: So that's why I've been out for some time, and
Speaker 2: that's what I worry about with him.
Speaker 3: Can it get fixed?
Speaker 2: Sure, maybe he needs to go eat some spaghetti with
Speaker 2: Austin Wells or whatever and he can get that fixed
Speaker 2: to Austin can try to fix everybody. But I don't
Speaker 2: see with the Mets, like that's not something you want
Speaker 2: to chicken palm.
Speaker 3: I guess it was. He needs to eat.
Speaker 1: Oh there it is again. Oh God, the lasagna Alvarez.
Speaker 1: By the way, if that's what he's eating, everybody else
Speaker 1: should be eating it, because Francisco Alvarez looks like the
Speaker 1: real deal. By the way, there were some some serious
Speaker 1: questions in April, but that dude looks like a baller
Speaker 1: right now, like he has been great. But yeah, there
Speaker 1: you go. There's a Christian Javier. You might hate that image,
Speaker 1: but it's still funny. You know. Else is a good
Speaker 1: time prize pick. Sign up today for prize Picks. Download
Speaker 1: the app, use that promo code when you can leading off.
Speaker 1: Sign up for prize picks. Get one hundred percent of
Speaker 1: positive match up to one hundred bucks. We love the
Speaker 1: prize picks here, We love our sponsors. Show them some love.
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go first today. Good total bases across the board.
Speaker 1: Everybody gets a base, actually too, Ellie de la.
Speaker 3: Cruz, Wait, you got a name for this. You're doing
Speaker 3: this rung.
Speaker 2: This is called the Oprah lineup. You got, Joe, You
Speaker 2: have to have themes to your lineup.
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, I want everybody listening and watching the show
Speaker 1: to look under your chairs because I'm giving you all bases.
Speaker 1: Ellie de la Cruz, one and a half over, Gorbyn Carroll,
Speaker 1: you get an over one and a half. Boba shit,
Speaker 1: one and a half, you get an over. Everybody gets
Speaker 1: more than one and a half. Stolen basis. Okay, well
Speaker 1: go ahead, what do you got for the people today?
Speaker 3: Total basis? He said, stolen that'd be amazing.
Speaker 2: That'd be the most amazing total basis you said stolen bases,
Speaker 2: that would be an amazing one if.
Speaker 3: You could do that too. By the way, all right,
Speaker 3: I actually don't have a theme for mine today. This
Speaker 3: is just a guy.
Speaker 1: Yeah. No, you made me make a theme and then
Speaker 1: I mean I had, but.
Speaker 2: Yours was fun. You set it up like if themes
Speaker 2: have to be natural, there is nothing here.
Speaker 3: I've got.
Speaker 1: Nothing here is forced ladies and gentlemen.
Speaker 2: Nemo Fantasy score who I believe hits. I was looking
Speaker 2: at this last night. It has like the third or
Speaker 2: second most hits against lefties on the going up against
Speaker 2: Tommy Henry, George Springer, who I really like today in
Speaker 2: the leadoff spot. Lance Lynn, by the way, has given
Speaker 2: up the most homers in baseball. George Springer lead off.
Speaker 2: I like his fantasy score and I'm going with code
Speaker 2: I Senga. Even though the Diamondbacks on the year don't
Speaker 2: strike out a ton, striking out over ten on their
Speaker 2: last three Sureser got to them.
Speaker 3: I think Senga can. And it is only five and
Speaker 3: a half.
Speaker 2: So Senga, Nemo and Springer score score and strikeouts for
Speaker 2: Senga is my prize picks with no name, no theme.
Speaker 1: Not as good as Joe's question. Here in the chat,
Speaker 1: Matthew Hicky wants to know thoughts on ktell Marte rest
Speaker 1: of season he's been really good. I mean his numbers
Speaker 1: have been better than Marcus Inmien's numbers, and we talked
Speaker 1: about him coming into the season. Is like, look, you
Speaker 1: could take this guy a lot later. And we know
Speaker 1: second base was rough, but like there's an opportunity here
Speaker 1: where Marte bounces back a little bit. Once some of
Speaker 1: these young diamondbacks start to play better, they're gonna collectively rise,
Speaker 1: you know it, all boats. I'm gonna create a Welsh
Speaker 1: is Oh if I could do it, Rising tide lifts
Speaker 1: all boats that.
Speaker 2: Think you actually got I don't think boats. I don't
Speaker 2: think boats are in that analogy. But it makes sense,
Speaker 2: isn't it Rising tides? Right?
Speaker 1: I don't know, Welsh.
Speaker 3: You tell me what the rising sides?
Speaker 2: What lift all two birds in a stone? Is there's
Speaker 2: something in there, like I don't know. Maybe boats are
Speaker 2: involved in I don't remember involved in that one. I'm
Speaker 2: very much into Katel. He's always going to be hitting
Speaker 2: at the top of the order for the Diamondbacks, whether
Speaker 2: it's leadoff or two or three, those guys run, they
Speaker 2: score runs. It's a really good offense. Kutel always has
Speaker 2: had like a really intense, big like max ev numbers,
Speaker 2: and he's back to tapping in. This is like that
Speaker 2: twenty nineteen or eighteen season where he's just fully tapped in.
Speaker 2: It's not just about average, it's not just about power.
Speaker 3: He's put both of those in.
Speaker 2: And I think he's a little bit jolted because he
Speaker 2: wasn't like an all star guy like Corbyn Carroll. But
Speaker 2: I very very much I'm into to tell Marte the
Speaker 2: rest of the year.
Speaker 1: What are you laughing at about some of the welshis
Speaker 1: about the rising tides of the.
Speaker 2: Jet I still think boats are involved in the tide
Speaker 2: one are they?
Speaker 1: I thought I thought the expression was rising tide lifts
Speaker 1: all boats to shore. Oh now now he's gonna google
Speaker 1: it right, God, dang it your.
Speaker 3: The uh it says a rising tide lifts all boats.
Speaker 1: Well, and I think Cody hit it here. Cody hit
Speaker 1: it a rising tide leads all horses to drink.
Speaker 2: I think that's this is associated with the idea that
Speaker 2: improvements in the general economy will benefit all participants in
Speaker 2: the in the economy, and JFK said that nineteen sixty three.
Speaker 1: So there you go. All right, then let's talk about
Speaker 1: little betting today. I like the Nationals uh here plus
Speaker 1: one ten. You know why, because Graham Ashcraft is pitching today.
Speaker 1: I think the Nationals plus one ten is a good number.
Speaker 1: You should take it. Brian Bellow has four and a
Speaker 1: half strikeouts minus one twenty eighth. The juice is decent, though,
Speaker 1: but I think you can get a Red Sox victory
Speaker 1: and Bellow on the over. On the four and a
Speaker 1: half small number, he's had five or more and three
Speaker 1: of his last four outings he's been really solid. This
Speaker 1: one's going to shock a lot of people too. The
Speaker 1: Royals plus two fifteen upset special. Put a small which
Speaker 1: is one unit on this. I think you might get
Speaker 1: a good return, and the Mets minus one ten. If
Speaker 1: you want to go to senga route along with it,
Speaker 1: you can put a little same game parlay. Never go
Speaker 1: more than three on the parlays. Two is even a
Speaker 1: better number. Get two things right, don't be greedy. This
Speaker 1: is how you have success in baseball. Welsh what do
Speaker 1: you have on the betting side today?
Speaker 3: For the people, everyone's being very mean. Everyone's very mean
Speaker 3: in here.
Speaker 1: I wish I had something named after me. I don't
Speaker 1: have a You have a whole system of saying this
Speaker 1: is nothing new. You have done this for years. I've
Speaker 1: known you for years, and you've done this and it
Speaker 1: was always a fun thing, and now it's just be
Speaker 1: finally given it a name.
Speaker 2: My brain is just going as I get older, it's
Speaker 2: gonna get worse and worse.
Speaker 1: I can't it's going to be awesome. All right.
Speaker 3: Here's my bets for today.
Speaker 2: I like Atlanta team total runs through the first five
Speaker 2: at three and a half over. That is just a
Speaker 2: little bit if you want to live on.
Speaker 3: The dangerous side, you want to live a little bit dangerous.
Speaker 3: Put on your sunglasses, you know, get out on not
Speaker 3: it's buckle your seat belt, whatever you do.
Speaker 2: Team total run or actually i'm sorry, total runs three
Speaker 2: and a half through the first three in that game.
Speaker 2: That is plus money at least when I checked it
Speaker 2: was plus one fifteen, So that's three and a half
Speaker 2: total runs between both teams through the first three. I
Speaker 2: like that as my dangerous play. I like code Sanga
Speaker 2: strikeout six five and a half over was plus one
Speaker 2: hundred again last night, might have moved just a tiny bit,
Speaker 2: and then I got a little hit parlay. Three guys
Speaker 2: throwing out at you, George Springer, Lane Thomas, and Wander
Speaker 2: Franco all to get a hit today plus one fifty two.
Speaker 2: I actually wanted to find someone worse than Wander and
Speaker 2: just have like the most ridiculous hit parlay of players
Speaker 2: that no one would bet on. But I like Springer,
Speaker 2: I like Lane, and I like Wander one fifty two
Speaker 2: for a little hit parade. If you guys want to play.
Speaker 1: That, I want to play so rare fantasypros dot Com
Speaker 1: Slash collect It's free, it's fun, it's cards. You make
Speaker 1: your team and you go challenge other people in our
Speaker 1: fun league, Fancy Pros dot Com slash Leading Off League.
Speaker 1: I hope people tried it yesterday on our fun little holiday.
Speaker 1: If not, give it a chance. If you have Mike
Speaker 1: Trout on your team and your season might be over,
Speaker 1: play them so rare you might just win some MLB
Speaker 1: TV subs. So fun things going on there, and look,
Speaker 1: go check it out again. It's really cool. It's one
Speaker 1: of our sponsors. We appreciate when everybody signs up. I
Speaker 1: know Razors have been playing. A couple other people have
Speaker 1: been playing too. It's a good time. They have attest
Speaker 1: to it. I've checked it out too. I like it.
Speaker 1: I love the look of the site too. That has
Speaker 1: been really cool. So go please check out so Rare.
Speaker 1: It's a really fun way to play a little fantasy baseball.
Speaker 1: And if you like cards and packs and all that
Speaker 1: fun stuff, the excitement of opening up a baseball card
Speaker 1: pack never gets old. I got I was down one
Speaker 1: of these rabbit holes watching somebody who does these reels
Speaker 1: of opening packs from older cards and things like that,
Speaker 1: and I was watching. It was like twenty minutes. I
Speaker 1: was watching these things. I don't know why, but that's
Speaker 1: what happens.
Speaker 3: I haven't done it a few months, but I would.
Speaker 2: I run monthly things over on the itl Patreon of
Speaker 2: opening up cards because I love collectibles and cards and
Speaker 2: all that.
Speaker 1: Now, this is the first person that said this. By
Speaker 1: the way, Richie says I should bring back the mustache.
Speaker 1: I don't know, Richie. I think it's a tough sell.
Speaker 3: But patch, I don't know. We could go hard soul patches.
Speaker 1: We can, we can, we could, we could, we could.
Speaker 1: I don't know. DFS pix of the day. Brian Bellow
Speaker 1: is cheap eight point five, Justin Steele nine point seven,
Speaker 1: pist just right, and I think what you want to
Speaker 1: do also is I realize that sangle might be a
Speaker 1: little heavily rostered today, So would Bobby Miller. I think
Speaker 1: steel is probably the best way to go nine point seven.
Speaker 1: I think that's the sweet spot. Dodgers Mets san Franz.
Speaker 1: That's why I'm looking for offense today. James Outman starting
Speaker 1: to swing a hot bat two point seven. Same thing
Speaker 1: with alva As two point seven and Glaber Torres two
Speaker 1: point eight, also swinging good bats. I'm going with pen
Speaker 1: A Lonzo was oh for yesterday, so I'm gonna turn
Speaker 1: that bad boy around for the or Bear give me
Speaker 1: Pete Alonzo for my home run call today. I don't
Speaker 1: care if it's cheap. I'm taking it home run board
Speaker 1: JJ Tator overtaking ramone thirty two to thirty one. Look
Speaker 1: at Ur Hoffman at twenty nine, Primetime at twenty seven.
Speaker 1: Prime Time's been on this list since a day it started,
Speaker 1: say with BHB Daddy, So looking for myself on that list,
Speaker 1: not there yet, but closing in, closing in Welsh, who's
Speaker 1: your home run call for the.
Speaker 3: Day again, obscurity. I'm going with George Springer.
Speaker 2: I was thinking about Latis, thinking about Bashett and to
Speaker 2: take the extra at bat, Lancelyn gives up the most homers.
Speaker 2: George Springer a little bit of a tear someone I
Speaker 2: am trying to buy right now. So I'm gonna go
Speaker 2: with George Springer for my home run call today and
Speaker 2: maybe even two to moon.
Speaker 1: Would that'd be nice? I sign up today fantasypros dot com,
Speaker 1: slast chat, join the discord amazing community of people there,
Speaker 1: and when you're a Premium Fantasy Pro's member, you get
Speaker 1: access to the home run channel. It's the beginning of July.
Speaker 1: You can win fabulous prizes. Now that Mayor's back from
Speaker 1: his cruise, maybe we can get the winner from June.
Speaker 1: Whoever had the most home run calls? Right? Imagine it's
Speaker 1: probably the Tater, right, I imagine it's gotta be Tater. Right.
Speaker 1: If it's not Tater, maybe it's somebody else. I don't know,
Speaker 1: but could be somebody who just popped up in June
Speaker 1: and all of a sudden started calling home runs, but
Speaker 1: that could be.
Speaker 3: You in July.
Speaker 1: Fabulous prizes. We went long today, but we weren't here yesterday,
Speaker 1: so we gave you your money's worth. That'll do it
Speaker 1: for us, but the story of the game goes on
Speaker 1: for the Welsh. I'm Joey P. May all your boat
Speaker 1: get to shore, Happy for