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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast podcast.

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Speaker 2: All right, here we.

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Speaker 1: Go spreading the court ten seconds.

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Speaker 2: Of eightingsn just go show me up to the basket.

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Speaker 2: Under the basket, it's the truth for the wind God

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Speaker 2: a miracle. I chuck the water.

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Speaker 3: Hit that one from the parking lot.

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Speaker 2: What's up the general nation? Welcome to the Big Bets

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Speaker 2: on Campus Podcast presented by Bett MGM. This is the

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Speaker 2: early week college basketball betting preview. I'm stuck in joining

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Speaker 2: me as always is BJ Cunningham. Although j wasn't here

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Speaker 2: with us last weekend. Mike Calvaries is not with us today.

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Speaker 2: He was sick. We pushed the episode back a day.

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Speaker 2: Get well, feel better, Mike hopefully be ready to rock

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Speaker 2: for the Thursday episode. He has a flu. That's a

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Speaker 2: lot of flus in toys, sicknesses and viruses going around

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Speaker 2: the past month or two, so we hope that he

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Speaker 2: gets better in the future. Without you know, there could

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Speaker 2: be an exception, but we'll usually be here on Monday's

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Speaker 2: three man Weave midweek and then we'll be back for

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Speaker 2: the weekend previews. So sorry for any confusion there, BJA.

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Speaker 2: What's going on? Brother?

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Speaker 1: Not much? You know, I you know, I'm just very

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Speaker 1: it was very nice.

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Speaker 4: You know, less than twelve hours go to watch Iowa

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Speaker 4: State just completely melt down in Lubbock.

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Speaker 1: It was a beautiful thing to see.

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Speaker 4: And now we have a wonderful, wonderful Tuesday slate here

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Speaker 4: of college basketball.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, not a bad week for Iowa fans like yourself.

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Speaker 2: I was also it was nice to see Patrick McCaffrey

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Speaker 2: come back and the support that he got. He was

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Speaker 2: out for like a six games, dealing with some anxiety

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Speaker 2: issues and the Iowa offense. I mean, we can get

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Speaker 2: right into some of our takeaways. This gonna be a

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Speaker 2: really quick episode, which is the two of us will

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Speaker 2: get takeaways, we'll rant talk a little acc who we're

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Speaker 2: buying and selling, and then we'll just get into our

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Speaker 2: favorite bet for tonight. But I'll tell you that the

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Speaker 2: fact that Iowa put up its definitely eye opening. What

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Speaker 2: did they put up? The end up score ninety three?

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Speaker 4: I think you have ninety three and one point two

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Speaker 4: to one points for possession against the second ranked team

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Speaker 4: per Ken Palm, and just a defensive efficiency.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, very impressive effort from Iowa. I mean, anytime you

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Speaker 2: could do that to Rutgers, it's certainly impressive. But yeah,

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Speaker 2: I'll start with my takeaway the week. Two takeaways of

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Speaker 2: the week. I mean, I think one produced still on

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Speaker 2: my potential fade list. I didn't fade them against Michigan State,

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Speaker 2: and I've been faded them. I mean, I just have

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Speaker 2: a Michigan State plus five at home. I think this

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Speaker 2: is like a week and half later and it was

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Speaker 2: plus seven. I didn't see enough value, but I have

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Speaker 2: to get I mean Zachie, he was dominant, dominant, and

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Speaker 2: if I think that the price for him to win

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Speaker 2: the Wooden Award, like win that Player of the Year,

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Speaker 2: should be the price for him not to get injured

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Speaker 2: pretty much like as long as he stays healthy. Yeah,

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Speaker 2: the rest of the way, I think that he has

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Speaker 2: that locked up. And I am like, you can't have

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Speaker 2: Michigan's post defense is not very strong, and you just

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Speaker 2: if you don't have a strong post defense, you're gonna

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Speaker 2: get eaten up by him. You have to do something

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Speaker 2: a little bit different, So we'll see. I mean, Jenkins

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Speaker 2: potentially emerging as another outside option certainly makes Purdue maybe

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Speaker 2: a little bit more scary. I don't think that they're

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Speaker 2: a top five team ultimately, and I don't think they're

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Speaker 2: gonna make a deep run if they run into a

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Speaker 2: team that can slow down, or he gets into foul trouble,

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Speaker 2: which he does. He does a really good job of avoiding,

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Speaker 2: but like he's so big that you could get two

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Speaker 2: fouls just from maybe a bad call his size, like

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Speaker 2: two minutes into the game. And THENDUE doesn't really know

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Speaker 2: how to operate without him much. So it's a really

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Speaker 2: intriguing team. But when they play the six team seed

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Speaker 2: in the first round, oh boy. I mean, now, granted

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Speaker 2: he might not go for fifty because it'll be such

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Speaker 2: a blowout, but talk about maybe a first half player.

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Speaker 2: I might lay it with Fordu once we get there.

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Speaker 2: But got a long way Togo. We're still in January

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Speaker 2: of the February is coming up tomorrow and the man

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Speaker 2: this is in the air. But my other big takeaway

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Speaker 2: from the week is you mentioned that the Iowa State

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Speaker 2: collapse and this is a team that just what happened

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Speaker 2: at the other game. A couple of things. Texas Tech's

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Speaker 2: are pressing and Iowa State is one of the worst

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Speaker 2: teams in the country against the press. They have major

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Speaker 2: turnover issues. They're now I think in the tenth percentile

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Speaker 2: percentergy in their press offense, and they've faced the press

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Speaker 2: at one of the highest rates in the country, and

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Speaker 2: which isn't a ton it's like eleven to twelve percent.

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Speaker 2: But it's something to keep mind because there's two things

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Speaker 2: that were going on there. I was date, First of all,

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Speaker 2: I hit shoot free throws and that weird. It's ugly

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Speaker 2: had last night. And then and you can press them

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Speaker 2: and they'll turn it over. They also foul a lot.

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Speaker 2: That's the anatomy of a comeback right there, Like you're

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Speaker 2: the other team scoring with the clock stopped, you're missing

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Speaker 2: free throws, and then you're turning it over. So just

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Speaker 2: file that away for the tournament. If they come across

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Speaker 2: the team, I was, it's gonna be a pretty high seed.

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Speaker 2: Give me a VCU a team that can press them.

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Speaker 2: That they do not have the best ball handles in

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Speaker 2: the country, and that ultimately could be their demise. But yeah,

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Speaker 2: what a comeback for Texas Tech. And then I guess

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Speaker 2: I'll throw one more in this to build on. This

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Speaker 2: is big twelve, super impressive. Was right about that. On

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Speaker 2: Saturday against the SEC, I felt like the top of

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Speaker 2: the SEC was probably a little overrated because the bottom

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Speaker 2: I think is really bad. No one can shoot in

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Speaker 2: that entire conference. And then the bottom of the Big

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Speaker 2: Twelve I thought was underrated because the top is so strong.

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Speaker 2: And yeah, TCU lost, but they lost Mike Myle else

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Speaker 2: who by the way, not out for the year. Thank god,

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Speaker 2: we'll see what he's coming back. But just a hyper

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Speaker 2: extended me that would have ended TCU's season or as

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Speaker 2: far as like their you know, chance at the national title.

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Speaker 2: But you saw Kansas going to Kentucky and win. You

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Speaker 2: saw Oklahoma just dismantle Alabama, and you saw Texas Tech

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Speaker 2: in the battle of the two teams that are really

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Speaker 2: struggling go into Batan Rusian win even without a without

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Speaker 2: a couple of starters. So yeah, I think that again

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Speaker 2: my just perception of the Big Twelve strengthening a little more.

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Speaker 2: And I still think that the SEC, the top of

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Speaker 2: the SEC is a bit weak because of the struggles

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Speaker 2: for the shooting and then just at the bottom of

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Speaker 2: that conference. But I'll shut up down and ask you what, well,

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Speaker 2: if you have any thoughts there, and then anything that

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Speaker 2: you took away from the week that.

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Speaker 4: Was well, yeah, even you know, Baylor had a very

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Speaker 4: poor shooting performance against Arkansas and they got it out

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Speaker 4: that win as well. So yeah, it just it goes

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Speaker 4: to show how how deep the Big twelve is Right now.

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Speaker 4: My biggest takeaway is I think that the I think

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Speaker 4: the trust tree has been chainsaw down. I don't know

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Speaker 4: if there's really a team in college nobody. I don't

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Speaker 4: think we have anybody. I mean, I pulled up Ken

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Speaker 4: Pond this morning, and Tennessee is the number one team

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Speaker 4: in the country, Like, do we truly believe Tennessee is

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Speaker 4: number one? Like they're an incredible defensive team, but again

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Speaker 4: they go through these shooting slumps and they can't They're

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Speaker 4: not really a great of a shooting team. So now

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Speaker 4: who do you trust going forward? So I'm guessing our

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Speaker 4: futures profile when we get to it on Thursday, is

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Speaker 4: going to be just littered with a ton of long shots,

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Speaker 4: because I mean, there's no way I'm gonna sit here

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Speaker 4: and say, yeah, I'll play Houston at six to one

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Speaker 4: or Tennessee at ten to one. There's just not a

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Speaker 4: lot of value there. And now Alabama just ruined everything

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Speaker 4: any trust that we had with them from getting blown out.

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Speaker 1: Now we'll see, like you know, teams just have.

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Speaker 4: Bad games, So maybe Alabama is just you know, one

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Speaker 4: bad game and I a bad performance Againstssissippi State to

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Speaker 4: barely beat them by three.

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Speaker 1: But we'll see going forward.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, it my biggest take was just that we have

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Speaker 4: a ton of chaos going forward. It's like it's still

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Speaker 4: like we say that every single week, but like as

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Speaker 4: we get deeper into February, and February really tell us

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Speaker 4: like it'll help us try to separate who is better,

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Speaker 4: even if like Purdue runs the table here, like there

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Speaker 4: might be a time where we have to say, like,

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Speaker 4: oh no, maybe we're not going to fade them anymore.

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Speaker 1: But again, there's not gonna be much value against them

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Speaker 1: and Matt.

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Speaker 4: Painter and the tournament has shown time and time again

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Speaker 4: then you just can't take them deep.

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Speaker 1: So it's gonna be a very very interesting February to

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Speaker 1: sort everything out.

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Speaker 4: And yeah, like like you said, the Big twelve is

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Speaker 4: just incredibly deep, and those are the type of teams

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Speaker 4: that I want to buy, especially come time for March Madness.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I think like by the time tomorrow's February, and

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Speaker 2: usually by the time February first rolls around, we have

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Speaker 2: one or two teams that are like all right, final

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Speaker 2: four shooing like, and it might there might be one

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Speaker 2: or two teams that are different for different people, but

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Speaker 2: there's a group of three or four that did. Now

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Speaker 2: it's like, I don't really know. I would have considered

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Speaker 2: TCU for sure one of the teams that I trust.

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Speaker 2: They were they were getting right there, and then Miles

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Speaker 2: goes down, so you can't. You're not gonna trust them

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Speaker 2: on a nightly basics. We'll see when he comes back.

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Speaker 2: I'm assuming that it's like three to four weeks usually,

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Speaker 2: so we'll be back in time for March. You got

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Speaker 2: to get them back into the flow.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, but it's I guess I'll throw I'll throw a

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Speaker 1: one team here.

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Speaker 2: Uh.

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Speaker 1: And I'm probably gonna up bringing this up on the

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Speaker 1: future segment on Thursday. But are we overlooking Virginia right now?

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Speaker 4: Because they are just they're just rolling right through the

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Speaker 4: very very weak ACC. And I understand like the AC

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Speaker 4: is very very down, but I mean, we're running on

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Speaker 4: six or seven straight wins right now for them.

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Speaker 1: If you look at their upcoming schedule, they.

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Speaker 4: Get NC State and Duke both at home, like they're

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Speaker 4: only road trips are way here to Boston College, Virginia Tech,

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Speaker 4: and Louisville and then obviously they have a trip to

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Speaker 4: North Carolina at the very end of the season.

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Speaker 2: Well, we're going to talk about the AEC at a SEC.

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Speaker 2: Let's have it. Do I have it? Do I have

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Speaker 2: a rant here? It's hard for me to rant knowing

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Speaker 2: that I had Texas Tech last alright, so I'm not

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Speaker 2: it was my only bet and they came back from

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Speaker 2: what twenty two down with twelve to go. So but

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Speaker 2: let me see if I could come up with something

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Speaker 2: because I had a rant ready for Texas Tech, but

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Speaker 2: I can't read about them now. I was like, you

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Speaker 2: know what, I'm going to run about this Texas Tech

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Speaker 2: team that has cost me a ton of money. I'm

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Speaker 2: gonna go wake Forest like that. That was a game

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Speaker 2: you have to have at home against NC State. I

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Speaker 2: it's a good number on that game, and they don't

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Speaker 2: play any defense like that, and sometimes I you know,

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Speaker 2: defense there's comes down to coaching. There's a scheme that

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Speaker 2: sometimes just player talent and then do you have rimt

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Speaker 2: protection and all these other things, but also defense comes

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Speaker 2: down to effort at times, and that was an effort game,

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Speaker 2: a game you had to have and you give up

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Speaker 2: fifty to NC State in the second half, like the AC.

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Speaker 2: I know the ACC is down. That was a game

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Speaker 2: we needed to have. They lost two straight. You come

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Speaker 2: home for ncc State and your defense just I mean

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Speaker 2: look in that game for NC State, Dj Burns went

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Speaker 2: fourteen of twenty six, had thirty one points. I mean,

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Speaker 2: it made it look like Shack. This is a guy

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Speaker 2: who let's see, he had his season high before them

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Speaker 2: was eighteen, and he made him look like the greatest

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Speaker 2: player in the country. So really, really really disappointing effort

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Speaker 2: by wake Forest. And if I look at because we're

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Speaker 2: eventually going to talk about the ACC, if I look

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Speaker 2: right now bracket matrix, you got Virginia, Miami Duke, North Carolina,

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Speaker 2: NC State's in eight seed, Clemson and nine, and then

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Speaker 2: Pittson eleven. VA Tech I think is eventually going to

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Speaker 2: play them their way in wake Forest on the outside

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Speaker 2: looking in, and they might go back to that game

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Speaker 2: specifically as the reason that they are n It bounds.

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Speaker 2: So really disappointing effort by wake Forest. You want to

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Speaker 2: ran about here?

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Speaker 1: Yeah, how about Florida State? Just the complete meltdown in the.

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Speaker 4: Fun unbelievable meltdown in the final ten seconds against Clemson,

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Speaker 4: who just continues to rattle off these improbable wins. They're

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Speaker 4: up three with under ten seconds left to go. They foul,

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Speaker 4: Clemson makes a both foul go down. They make one

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Speaker 4: of two. Clemson drives the rim, they foul them. It's

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Speaker 4: a and one.

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Speaker 1: Clempson goes on to win by one, just just to

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Speaker 1: complete meltdown.

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Speaker 4: And although I will say Florida State did repount from

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Speaker 4: you know, Clemson went out on sixteen to run to

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Speaker 4: start the game in Florida State really whether that storm

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Speaker 4: and played very well going forward.

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Speaker 1: But you know, I'll get to Clemson and buy themselves

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Speaker 1: a second. But they're just they're a very very annoying

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Speaker 1: team to bet against right now.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, that one, that was something I had them. And

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Speaker 2: the funny thing is I had them in a round

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Speaker 2: robin and money line and some people had one in

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Speaker 2: the alf too and covered, which I did not. So yeah,

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Speaker 2: that meltdown was frustrating, to say the least. As a

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Speaker 2: reminder before we go any further, college basketball season is

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Speaker 2: available in Nevada. In New York. Nice transition the ACC

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Speaker 2: themed show. Let's move into our ACC buy sell segment

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Speaker 2: from a betting perspective. So I'll start. I'm gonna the

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Speaker 2: team I'm buying. I think it's gonna be pretty obvious,

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Speaker 2: and it might not. I'm probably gonna bet them the night.

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Speaker 2: I think that the line's up to four against Miami

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Speaker 2: and that's Virginia Tech. I'll be looking like this is

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Speaker 2: really a veterans team that is completely different. With Hunter

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Speaker 2: Coutour on the court. He's red hot from three now,

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Speaker 2: but he's a great shooter, gives them way more spacing,

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Speaker 2: and he's also one of the most underrated defenders in

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Speaker 2: the league. Always in the right space. And they're just

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Speaker 2: a much better team. Veteran team, extremely veteran team, well coached,

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Speaker 2: and they did this last year. They've been here before,

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Speaker 2: and it's even a weaker acc now. I think they

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Speaker 2: catch fire now. There's like some horrible teams. And by

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Speaker 2: the way, rant Louisville, Jesus, that's another one. I bet

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Speaker 2: Louisville on Saturday and the final score looked respectable, but

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Speaker 2: there was a time they were down like thirty four.

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Speaker 1: Oh my gosh, what has happened?

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Speaker 2: That is just I have some pride. It's it's embarrassing

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Speaker 2: product to watch. But yeah, so I'm buying va Tech

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Speaker 2: and then I'll probably as far as my cell. I'll

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Speaker 2: let you. I know you're gonna pick for what you

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Speaker 2: hit it at, so I'll let you take them. Mine's

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Speaker 2: probably gonna be Virginia. I agree that they're probably the

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Speaker 2: best as of right now, the best national title right,

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Speaker 2: although maybe you know Duke has talent well, UNC, like

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Speaker 2: have they been coasting? Can they? Can they? This is

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Speaker 2: a team that did make the run last year. You

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Speaker 2: know they could put it together too. We'll talk about

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Speaker 2: that in the future segment Thursday. But from just a

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Speaker 2: pure betting perspective, this is probably the top of the

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Speaker 2: market for Virginia. They've gone through such an easy stretch

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Speaker 2: of teams and that's you know, every one in the

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Speaker 2: a seat that's gonna happen with And they also got

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Speaker 2: to play UNC without nance and then Baykont played one

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Speaker 2: minute and got hurt. And they're shooting a little bit

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Speaker 2: over their head. They're in the ninety nine percent tilent

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Speaker 2: guarded catch and shoot jumpers scoring like one point two

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Speaker 2: points phere possessional guarded jumpers, and they don't offensive rebound.

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Speaker 2: So then look, they're running great stuff this year. But

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Speaker 2: like if you look at there's like, hey, a Clark

335
00:16:48,360 --> 00:16:50,960
Speaker 2: shooting like forty percent. Everyone shoot forty percent from three,

336
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Speaker 2: and I just think that there's gonna be some a

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00:16:52,880 --> 00:16:55,080
Speaker 2: little bit of shooting regression. They're shooting a bit over there,

338
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Speaker 2: and the defense isn't as dominant as it has been.

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Speaker 2: You know the offense is made up for that and

340
00:16:59,480 --> 00:17:02,440
Speaker 2: their cap of scoring now and they run good stuff.

341
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Speaker 2: But I would assume that this is probably the top

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Speaker 2: of their market value. So I'll be looking to see, hint,

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Speaker 2: hint Saturday. Where's like at VA Tech. There's my team

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Speaker 2: I'm buying and the team I'm selling. So put the

345
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Speaker 2: two together and pretty sure I'll play on the Hokies

346
00:17:19,200 --> 00:17:21,320
Speaker 2: on Saturday in an enormous game for them. That's like

347
00:17:21,359 --> 00:17:23,760
Speaker 2: a win that game, you're on the right side of

348
00:17:23,800 --> 00:17:27,840
Speaker 2: the bubble. So yeah, I'll go, We'll stay in the Commonwealth.

349
00:17:27,960 --> 00:17:30,480
Speaker 2: I'll go, I'm buying, looking to buy votech obviously it's

350
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Speaker 2: number dependent and sell Virginia. How about you.

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00:17:34,640 --> 00:17:40,240
Speaker 4: I'm looking to buy Miami. They completely melted down against

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Speaker 4: Pittsburgh on Saturday. I mean they led sixty eight to

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Speaker 4: sixty with two twenty six left and the pick close

354
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Speaker 4: on eleven.

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Speaker 1: Oh run won the game.

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Speaker 4: Miami's currently seven and four in the ACC, but four

357
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Speaker 4: of those losses.

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Speaker 2: Go Wow, it doesn't feel like that because like they're

359
00:17:54,800 --> 00:17:56,840
Speaker 2: rolling and they're they're good, and the acs down and

360
00:17:56,880 --> 00:17:58,120
Speaker 2: then you're like they're seven and four.

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Speaker 4: Yep, they've lost all all four games by combined thirteen points.

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00:18:02,280 --> 00:18:04,200
Speaker 4: And all four of those losses have come on the road.

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00:18:04,600 --> 00:18:07,000
Speaker 4: And what's kind of been kind of weird just from

364
00:18:07,040 --> 00:18:09,359
Speaker 4: a scheduling perspective is seven of their eleven games and

365
00:18:09,359 --> 00:18:10,760
Speaker 4: the AC have come on the road so far, so

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Speaker 4: they're going to finish six of their last nine at

367
00:18:13,720 --> 00:18:15,639
Speaker 4: home where they haven't lost this season. I mean, this

368
00:18:15,680 --> 00:18:17,800
Speaker 4: is a very very good offense, I mean the twelfth

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00:18:17,800 --> 00:18:18,800
Speaker 4: and just offense efficient.

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Speaker 1: They have two really good guards, and pack and long.

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00:18:21,240 --> 00:18:23,600
Speaker 4: They don't have a lot of size, so not a

372
00:18:23,680 --> 00:18:26,680
Speaker 4: very good defensive rebounding teams that has kind of plagued them.

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00:18:26,680 --> 00:18:28,920
Speaker 4: But they're a team that can get out and play

374
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Speaker 4: well in transition. They space the floor incredibly well and

375
00:18:31,800 --> 00:18:34,119
Speaker 4: if they shoot the ball well, They're a team that

376
00:18:34,200 --> 00:18:34,679
Speaker 4: can really.

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Speaker 1: Buy going forward.

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00:18:35,960 --> 00:18:38,680
Speaker 4: And they are going to be in a wonderful spot

379
00:18:38,720 --> 00:18:40,240
Speaker 4: where I'm going to be taking them, not necessarily tonight

380
00:18:40,280 --> 00:18:42,040
Speaker 4: against Virginia Tech, because I do agree with you that

381
00:18:42,600 --> 00:18:44,920
Speaker 4: Virginia Tech is definitely a buy on team. But they're

382
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Speaker 4: going to Clemson on Saturday, and that is the team

383
00:18:48,400 --> 00:18:50,760
Speaker 4: I am selling without a doubt. I mean, Clemson is

384
00:18:51,560 --> 00:18:53,840
Speaker 4: ten and one in the ACC, they're eighteen and four

385
00:18:53,880 --> 00:18:57,560
Speaker 4: for the season, but they're sixtieth in Ken Bom and

386
00:18:57,560 --> 00:18:59,560
Speaker 4: I think that just tells you everything you need to

387
00:18:59,600 --> 00:19:02,600
Speaker 4: know about them. I mean, they're a very good defensive team,

388
00:19:02,600 --> 00:19:04,800
Speaker 4: Like they're number one in the AC right now in

389
00:19:04,840 --> 00:19:09,760
Speaker 4: depth defensive efficiency during conference play. They're tenth offensively and

390
00:19:10,320 --> 00:19:13,000
Speaker 4: this season they've beaten one team inside the Ken Palm

391
00:19:13,040 --> 00:19:16,280
Speaker 4: top forty. It was Duke at home, and Duke did

392
00:19:16,280 --> 00:19:18,400
Speaker 4: not have Jeremy Roach. So this is a very very

393
00:19:18,440 --> 00:19:22,679
Speaker 4: fraudulent eighteen and four. And I understand, like hunter Tyson

394
00:19:22,760 --> 00:19:25,119
Speaker 4: is shooting like ridiculously hot from behind the arc, and

395
00:19:25,160 --> 00:19:27,280
Speaker 4: the reason they keep winning all of these close games

396
00:19:27,800 --> 00:19:29,919
Speaker 4: is because they're shooting close to eighty five percent from

397
00:19:29,960 --> 00:19:32,080
Speaker 4: the free throw line. That's the reason they basically beat

398
00:19:32,080 --> 00:19:33,640
Speaker 4: Florida State is because they made all the free throws

399
00:19:33,640 --> 00:19:35,520
Speaker 4: down the stretch and Florida State did. And now they're

400
00:19:35,520 --> 00:19:38,280
Speaker 4: not gonna be without Brevin Galloway for it looks like

401
00:19:38,320 --> 00:19:39,800
Speaker 4: a few games if you want to know why he's

402
00:19:39,840 --> 00:19:42,119
Speaker 4: not going to play and go search that on Twitter.

403
00:19:42,480 --> 00:19:46,280
Speaker 4: Very funny video. But yeah, without a doubt, Clemson's gonna

404
00:19:46,280 --> 00:19:49,040
Speaker 4: be team. I'm definitely fading going forward. Playing Miami on

405
00:19:49,080 --> 00:19:51,639
Speaker 4: Saturday is a perfect spot for Miami. I'm guessing the

406
00:19:51,720 --> 00:19:54,360
Speaker 4: Lino problem that Ken Pom has Clemson winning by one,

407
00:19:54,440 --> 00:19:54,880
Speaker 4: so it's not.

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00:19:54,800 --> 00:19:56,879
Speaker 1: Like we're gonna get a great number on Miami.

409
00:19:56,960 --> 00:19:59,680
Speaker 4: But I definitely do think they went out right Saturday

410
00:19:59,680 --> 00:20:00,800
Speaker 4: at Club Yeah.

411
00:20:00,840 --> 00:20:04,439
Speaker 2: I don't think that guy will be having a of

412
00:20:04,480 --> 00:20:08,080
Speaker 2: ball this week. But yeah, that's all right. Well that's

413
00:20:08,119 --> 00:20:12,040
Speaker 2: that's very very nice and neat where our buy in

414
00:20:12,320 --> 00:20:14,760
Speaker 2: each of our buy and sell teams face each other

415
00:20:14,840 --> 00:20:19,440
Speaker 2: on Saturday, so hopefully we can get a very appetizing

416
00:20:19,640 --> 00:20:21,360
Speaker 2: number on each But I agree with you too, I'll

417
00:20:21,400 --> 00:20:26,560
Speaker 2: be looking for the back Miami on Saturday. Also, Yeah,

418
00:20:26,680 --> 00:20:30,280
Speaker 2: the ACC, I think the most interesting thing to watch

419
00:20:30,280 --> 00:20:33,800
Speaker 2: with the ACCM will obviously preview every single conference tournament

420
00:20:33,840 --> 00:20:36,280
Speaker 2: once we get to March. I just want to see, like,

421
00:20:36,680 --> 00:20:40,200
Speaker 2: so Duke has a ton of talent, young roach's beIN out,

422
00:20:40,640 --> 00:20:43,479
Speaker 2: are they going to start ascending or is this like

423
00:20:43,560 --> 00:20:46,800
Speaker 2: who Duke is? And then will you NC turn it on?

424
00:20:46,960 --> 00:20:49,760
Speaker 2: Like are we going to see a dominant stretch at

425
00:20:49,760 --> 00:20:51,679
Speaker 2: any point ahead of the a SEC tournament. I think

426
00:20:51,760 --> 00:20:57,080
Speaker 2: Virginia has demonstrated that they're a clear top twenty team,

427
00:20:57,119 --> 00:20:59,000
Speaker 2: and I think if you're a clear top fifteen to

428
00:20:59,040 --> 00:21:01,960
Speaker 2: twenty team this year, you got a shot. And that's

429
00:21:01,960 --> 00:21:03,399
Speaker 2: pretty much it, Like you just want to be in

430
00:21:03,400 --> 00:21:06,119
Speaker 2: that mix and you can, you would see, have the

431
00:21:06,160 --> 00:21:09,640
Speaker 2: talent to get there. So we'll see if they can

432
00:21:09,880 --> 00:21:13,879
Speaker 2: put it together and we see the signs of signs

433
00:21:13,880 --> 00:21:16,800
Speaker 2: of life before the ACC tournament. So good stuff there.

434
00:21:16,880 --> 00:21:21,840
Speaker 2: Let's move on to tonight's card and for what it's worth,

435
00:21:21,880 --> 00:21:24,280
Speaker 2: speaking of buying, so I'm gonna have a February Buy

436
00:21:24,359 --> 00:21:28,160
Speaker 2: Cell report, five buy teams, five cell teams that I'm

437
00:21:28,200 --> 00:21:31,480
Speaker 2: looking to either bet on or fade for the month

438
00:21:31,480 --> 00:21:33,840
Speaker 2: of February, So check that out on actionework dot Com

439
00:21:33,920 --> 00:21:37,240
Speaker 2: and the Action Network Gap. But for tonight, I'm gonna

440
00:21:37,280 --> 00:21:39,879
Speaker 2: go with a team. Let's let's go back to the

441
00:21:39,920 --> 00:21:43,480
Speaker 2: Big twelve. And you know, there's one reason why I

442
00:21:43,520 --> 00:21:46,920
Speaker 2: don't necessarily like this, but I'm referring to West Virginia

443
00:21:47,040 --> 00:21:50,000
Speaker 2: plus the Points. It's like, you know, the first game

444
00:21:50,040 --> 00:21:52,760
Speaker 2: without your your star player. Sometimes you can see a

445
00:21:52,800 --> 00:21:56,440
Speaker 2: bump on everybody else. But I just think that it's

446
00:21:56,480 --> 00:22:00,880
Speaker 2: gonna take some time for TCU to adjust to life

447
00:22:00,960 --> 00:22:05,320
Speaker 2: without Miles, who was so important, the bucket getter at

448
00:22:05,359 --> 00:22:09,880
Speaker 2: the end of games, the head of that nasty elite

449
00:22:10,040 --> 00:22:13,879
Speaker 2: transition offense that just can't be stopped in the open floor,

450
00:22:15,359 --> 00:22:18,640
Speaker 2: you know, critical on defense, and there I think there's

451
00:22:18,680 --> 00:22:21,399
Speaker 2: gonna be an adjustment period here playing a West Virginia

452
00:22:21,440 --> 00:22:24,080
Speaker 2: team that I think is headed in the right direction.

453
00:22:24,880 --> 00:22:28,280
Speaker 2: They should dominate the offensive glass year. They already beat

454
00:22:28,280 --> 00:22:31,399
Speaker 2: TCU once this year, so it's not the best spot

455
00:22:31,480 --> 00:22:33,640
Speaker 2: like tc has revenge. You know, that's the first game

456
00:22:33,680 --> 00:22:35,600
Speaker 2: without Miles. But I just think it's gonna be tough

457
00:22:35,640 --> 00:22:37,600
Speaker 2: for the horn Fox for a couple of games. Got

458
00:22:37,600 --> 00:22:40,920
Speaker 2: to adjust the rotations and Miles is just so important

459
00:22:41,160 --> 00:22:44,240
Speaker 2: end of game situations and then just specifically when he's

460
00:22:44,359 --> 00:22:46,880
Speaker 2: used the most dev in the open court, and he's

461
00:22:47,119 --> 00:22:50,560
Speaker 2: he's that speed, He's the guy who makes it all work.

462
00:22:50,600 --> 00:22:54,119
Speaker 2: He's the engine of the car. So I think taking

463
00:22:54,119 --> 00:22:56,879
Speaker 2: westertuning with the points. Here's first bet I made for tonight,

464
00:22:56,920 --> 00:22:59,440
Speaker 2: So I'll go with the ears. What do you got

465
00:22:59,440 --> 00:22:59,919
Speaker 2: for tonight?

466
00:23:00,119 --> 00:23:03,000
Speaker 4: I'm going to go Indiana plus two and a half

467
00:23:03,040 --> 00:23:05,159
Speaker 4: on the road at Maryland's. I mean, the Hoosiers are

468
00:23:05,200 --> 00:23:07,320
Speaker 4: incredibly hot right now. They've won four straight. This is

469
00:23:07,359 --> 00:23:10,120
Speaker 4: a fantastic matchup for them. They've been playing so much

470
00:23:10,160 --> 00:23:12,280
Speaker 4: better since they got Trace Jackson Davis back. They've been

471
00:23:12,280 --> 00:23:13,720
Speaker 4: attacking the rim at.

472
00:23:13,640 --> 00:23:14,800
Speaker 2: A very very elite level.

473
00:23:14,840 --> 00:23:17,000
Speaker 4: Like so far this season, there's sixty five percent on

474
00:23:17,040 --> 00:23:19,440
Speaker 4: shot attempts in the rim, that's top thirty five mark

475
00:23:19,440 --> 00:23:22,000
Speaker 4: in the country, while Maryland's thirteenth in the Big Ten

476
00:23:22,080 --> 00:23:22,919
Speaker 4: during conference play and.

477
00:23:22,920 --> 00:23:24,480
Speaker 1: Field goal percentage a lout at the rim.

478
00:23:24,760 --> 00:23:28,160
Speaker 4: Indian also a very high frequency transition team, which will

479
00:23:28,160 --> 00:23:30,359
Speaker 4: work against Maryland, who's very very bad at defending and

480
00:23:30,400 --> 00:23:33,439
Speaker 4: transition right now. And then Indiana is also putting up

481
00:23:33,440 --> 00:23:36,080
Speaker 4: about one point per possession in the half court, where

482
00:23:36,119 --> 00:23:38,480
Speaker 4: Maryland's tenth defensively, and Maryland just hasn't shot the ball

483
00:23:38,480 --> 00:23:41,080
Speaker 4: well during the Big Ten play. Like they're thirteenth in

484
00:23:41,080 --> 00:23:44,040
Speaker 4: effective field goal percentage, they're shooting under thirty two percent.

485
00:23:43,720 --> 00:23:44,479
Speaker 1: From behind the arc.

486
00:23:44,760 --> 00:23:46,840
Speaker 4: They're one of the highest frequency teams in the country

487
00:23:46,840 --> 00:23:49,000
Speaker 4: at running pick and roll, which is basically their best

488
00:23:49,200 --> 00:23:52,479
Speaker 4: best path to success here because Indiana is not that

489
00:23:52,560 --> 00:23:55,199
Speaker 4: they're pretty average at defending the pick and roll, but

490
00:23:55,520 --> 00:23:57,400
Speaker 4: Maryland isn't finishing at the rim at a high level,

491
00:23:57,400 --> 00:23:59,280
Speaker 4: and like I already mentioned, they're struggling to shoot the ball

492
00:23:59,520 --> 00:24:01,280
Speaker 4: from behind the arcs, so now you're going to fall

493
00:24:01,320 --> 00:24:04,800
Speaker 4: into a lot of mid range jumpers. So I think

494
00:24:04,800 --> 00:24:06,320
Speaker 4: this is a good spot here for Indiana. And if

495
00:24:06,359 --> 00:24:08,920
Speaker 4: you just you know, Maryland had a great non conference,

496
00:24:09,760 --> 00:24:12,000
Speaker 4: you just filter out what's happened during Big Ten play.

497
00:24:12,040 --> 00:24:14,960
Speaker 4: I mean, Indiana is a plus six point six adjusted

498
00:24:14,960 --> 00:24:18,399
Speaker 4: efficiency differential and Maryland's minus two point five, So I

499
00:24:18,480 --> 00:24:20,360
Speaker 4: really don't think Indian should be an underdog here.

500
00:24:20,440 --> 00:24:22,119
Speaker 1: So I like the value on them at plus two

501
00:24:22,119 --> 00:24:22,520
Speaker 1: and a half.

502
00:24:23,359 --> 00:24:26,040
Speaker 2: Indiana's an intriguing team there, and we might be to

503
00:24:26,040 --> 00:24:28,720
Speaker 2: talk about them on Thursday on the future segment. I

504
00:24:28,720 --> 00:24:31,560
Speaker 2: wouldn't be surprised if someone brought them up. Hood Shafino

505
00:24:31,680 --> 00:24:38,080
Speaker 2: playing really well here and they think they look great recently,

506
00:24:38,320 --> 00:24:41,040
Speaker 2: and if he keeps playing like that, they're going to

507
00:24:41,160 --> 00:24:44,360
Speaker 2: just keep ascending into March. The question is that's two

508
00:24:44,359 --> 00:24:49,160
Speaker 2: part question with Indiana. When does Xavier Johnson come back?

509
00:24:49,440 --> 00:24:52,880
Speaker 2: And then in what he does, what does the rotations

510
00:24:52,880 --> 00:24:54,840
Speaker 2: look like? Does that throw everything off? So that's notthing

511
00:24:54,840 --> 00:24:58,000
Speaker 2: to keep in mind. But they're playing excellent Fastball as

512
00:24:58,040 --> 00:25:01,919
Speaker 2: of now. For what it's worth. Mike sent over his

513
00:25:02,080 --> 00:25:05,320
Speaker 2: picks that he would have had if he could speak,

514
00:25:05,359 --> 00:25:08,919
Speaker 2: and he likes Dayton hosting Loyola. Good luck to you,

515
00:25:09,000 --> 00:25:11,520
Speaker 2: Mike if you figure out Dayton, because I certainly can

516
00:25:11,680 --> 00:25:13,960
Speaker 2: so if you're interested in that game. He's back in

517
00:25:14,040 --> 00:25:17,040
Speaker 2: Dayton as a favorite here and then Indiana money line

518
00:25:17,480 --> 00:25:21,480
Speaker 2: over Maryland, so he agrees with you there, All right,

519
00:25:21,520 --> 00:25:25,480
Speaker 2: that'll go for us. Nice quick Tuesday half hour episode

520
00:25:26,280 --> 00:25:30,040
Speaker 2: for tonight's college basketball slate, and we will be back

521
00:25:30,359 --> 00:25:35,400
Speaker 2: on Thursday night. We will preview Friday night and then

522
00:25:35,600 --> 00:25:41,840
Speaker 2: most importantly, Saturday's entire college basketball slate. Hopefully we will

523
00:25:41,880 --> 00:25:44,680
Speaker 2: have Mike back. Make sure you check out the guys

524
00:25:44,680 --> 00:25:49,200
Speaker 2: in three Man Weave in the midweek episode. But good

525
00:25:49,280 --> 00:25:51,000
Speaker 2: luck on all of your wages out there. Make sure

526
00:25:51,000 --> 00:25:55,439
Speaker 2: you subscribe, unsubscribe, subscribe, tell friends one enemy, leave a review.

527
00:25:55,880 --> 00:25:58,640
Speaker 2: Appreciate the audio video teams on the back end. DJ

528
00:25:58,800 --> 00:26:02,040
Speaker 2: thanks for joading me as always. Feel better, Mike. Thanks

529
00:26:02,040 --> 00:26:04,120
Speaker 2: to everyone for tuning in, and we will catch y'all

530
00:26:04,200 --> 00:26:04,680
Speaker 2: later in the week.

531
00:26:04,800 --> 00:26:16,840
Speaker 3: Cheers.

532
00:26:17,720 --> 00:26:22,240
Speaker 2: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly if you or

533
00:26:22,240 --> 00:26:25,040
Speaker 2: someone you care about has a gambling problem. Help is

534
00:26:25,080 --> 00:26:28,200
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