WEBVTT - AFC Preview with Nick Wright 0:00:09.360 --> 0:00:12.920 Welcome to NFL Daily, where we're all just trying to 0:00:12.920 --> 0:00:15.760 be in the face of the network. I'm Greg Rosenthal, 0:00:15.760 --> 0:00:18.120 and yeah, that titles taken at NFL Network by Rich 0:00:18.200 --> 0:00:22.520 Easen and then maybe like six other guys. Steve Weisch, 0:00:22.840 --> 0:00:24.639 my co host, would be one of them. But my 0:00:24.720 --> 0:00:27.479 guest has that title. It's not right now. 0:00:27.560 --> 0:00:32.280 You don't know that it's been foisted upon me by 0:00:32.360 --> 0:00:35.600 some charlatan's on the internet. Listen, I know you don't 0:00:35.640 --> 0:00:39.040 like FAF to start the show, just so you can 0:00:39.040 --> 0:00:41.400 set a sixty second clock here. There's just a couple 0:00:41.400 --> 0:00:43.599 of things I want to say. One is I went 0:00:43.640 --> 0:00:47.720 through my email lesson I couldn't find it. I really 0:00:47.760 --> 0:00:51.120 think you the first time you came on one of 0:00:51.120 --> 0:00:56.840 my radio shows was sixteen years ago. I honestly believe that, 0:00:56.920 --> 0:00:59.920 and like you were one of my go to guys. 0:01:00.080 --> 0:01:03.560 I would call and you would very kindly come on, 0:01:03.760 --> 0:01:07.040 even though I was like you were getting nothing out 0:01:07.040 --> 0:01:10.160 of it, and I've never been able to return the favor. 0:01:10.280 --> 0:01:13.080 So this is a real treat for me. That's point 0:01:13.160 --> 0:01:17.080 number one. Point number two. I'm a long time Greg 0:01:17.200 --> 0:01:20.600 Rosenthal listener and fan. Loved the old pod and I 0:01:20.600 --> 0:01:23.839 have not missed an episode of this one, and in fact, 0:01:23.920 --> 0:01:26.720 the only one I haven't listened to in its entirety 0:01:27.319 --> 0:01:30.520 is Wednesdays because when we are recording Thursday, I haven't 0:01:30.520 --> 0:01:32.679 had time yet to listen to the whole thing. But 0:01:32.720 --> 0:01:34.840 I heard the beginning of it. You and another guy 0:01:35.000 --> 0:01:36.679 used to have come on the radio show all the time, 0:01:36.680 --> 0:01:39.520 Evan Silva. And the last point is this, and this 0:01:39.680 --> 0:01:44.000 is important. You are one of three people. The other 0:01:44.080 --> 0:01:47.200 two will remain nameless. That way everyone can think they're 0:01:47.240 --> 0:01:50.120 in that group, that here's this who when they say 0:01:50.240 --> 0:01:54.440 something that I vehemently disagree with in the NFL, I 0:01:54.600 --> 0:01:58.240 reconsider my opinion. Everyone else I just think they're wrong, 0:01:58.280 --> 0:02:01.960 and I'm right you and two other people, I'm like, well, 0:02:02.000 --> 0:02:03.720 maybe I need to look at it again. So thank 0:02:03.760 --> 0:02:04.600 you for having me on. 0:02:05.040 --> 0:02:07.920 Well that that is all making me uncomfortable. 0:02:08.000 --> 0:02:10.519 I now just want to spend the show guessing who 0:02:10.560 --> 0:02:11.440 the other two are. 0:02:12.040 --> 0:02:14.679 One of them's Barnwell, Barnaball. 0:02:14.200 --> 0:02:17.040 Okay, I booked Barnwell in a big spot. He's gonna 0:02:17.080 --> 0:02:19.400 do our TNF free cap week too, so there's a little. 0:02:20.520 --> 0:02:22.760 The third used to be Mina, but now she's my 0:02:22.840 --> 0:02:26.000 sworn rival. So now it's got to be so much. 0:02:26.040 --> 0:02:28.080 So again you have to leave a spot like that 0:02:28.160 --> 0:02:30.760 open that way. Anyone that hears it can't be offended. 0:02:30.800 --> 0:02:32.280 They're like, wait, why am I not on that list? 0:02:32.320 --> 0:02:34.760 It's like no, no, no, you were the missing person. 0:02:34.960 --> 0:02:35.680 Oh last thing. 0:02:36.000 --> 0:02:38.120 I do a podcast in addition to the TV show 0:02:38.160 --> 0:02:39.959 with my son Demonse. 0:02:40.120 --> 0:02:41.959 My son. I was a bit old to that you've 0:02:42.040 --> 0:02:43.160 just taken over. No. 0:02:43.240 --> 0:02:45.680 I was just gonna say it because you and Walker, 0:02:46.240 --> 0:02:48.359 I think one day are going to do a pod together. 0:02:48.440 --> 0:02:51.840 I hear his takes. His picks sometimes are a little chalky, 0:02:51.880 --> 0:02:54.200 a little square, but I like it. So that's all, 0:02:54.200 --> 0:02:54.680 But go ahead. 0:02:55.200 --> 0:02:58.559 I appreciate that, all you know. I am now reminded 0:02:58.800 --> 0:03:00.560 of a great chew. I don't know if it was 0:03:00.600 --> 0:03:03.280 you or Adam Lefko who was on with Bomani, but 0:03:03.360 --> 0:03:06.519 he noticed on his podcast when you have another host 0:03:06.600 --> 0:03:08.640 on the podcast, they just start hosting. 0:03:08.800 --> 0:03:11.280 Yes, and that's what Nick's done to me. No, I 0:03:11.360 --> 0:03:11.680 love it. 0:03:12.000 --> 0:03:14.680 I love it, and I'm glad actually and yeah, Nick 0:03:14.760 --> 0:03:16.640 is of course the host of First Things First on 0:03:17.000 --> 0:03:21.200 FS one that's every day at noon Pacific three Eastern. 0:03:22.160 --> 0:03:24.680 You know, I like to let list Pacific first, it's 0:03:24.720 --> 0:03:26.800 the important people, and then yeah, what's right. I really 0:03:26.880 --> 0:03:29.800 was going to mention that that you co host a 0:03:29.840 --> 0:03:33.880 podcast with your son Demanse, and that's fantastic. That is 0:03:34.120 --> 0:03:35.920 life goals, and so that's what's right with Nick. 0:03:36.040 --> 0:03:36.160 Right. 0:03:36.200 --> 0:03:39.000 They just did the over unders all thirty two teams. 0:03:39.040 --> 0:03:41.800 I'm jealous of that now, as like, Okay, next year, 0:03:41.840 --> 0:03:43.200 I want to do all thirty two teams. 0:03:43.240 --> 0:03:44.960 That would be fun. And you managed to jam. 0:03:44.760 --> 0:03:46.560 It into an hour, so you got to check out 0:03:46.600 --> 0:03:48.760 that show. And yeah, at the risk of getting too 0:03:48.840 --> 0:03:50.720 heavy on top here, I'm glad you brought up the 0:03:50.800 --> 0:03:54.120 radio thing. And maybe you don't remember this, but I 0:03:54.160 --> 0:03:57.440 actually do remember that. I think the last time I 0:03:57.440 --> 0:03:59.960 ever was supposed to be on your show, I canceled 0:04:00.080 --> 0:04:02.760 that the last second, like two minutes before I was 0:04:02.760 --> 0:04:03.520 supposed to be on. 0:04:03.720 --> 0:04:04.920 And I remember where I was. 0:04:04.960 --> 0:04:07.040 I was in the newsroom in Culver City when I 0:04:07.080 --> 0:04:09.600 was in middle management. Hell, it was like a five 0:04:09.680 --> 0:04:11.760 year period where I realized I had to get out 0:04:11.800 --> 0:04:13.640 of this job. And I actually remembered it, and I 0:04:13.720 --> 0:04:15.560 flaked on you at the last second, And I hate 0:04:15.600 --> 0:04:17.719 doing that to radio host, and at least in my head, 0:04:17.760 --> 0:04:19.600 that was the last time I ever was going to 0:04:19.640 --> 0:04:21.160 be on. I was like, oh, now I got on 0:04:21.160 --> 0:04:23.560 that guy's list, and then what happened? He ended up 0:04:23.560 --> 0:04:25.640 becoming a big national sup. 0:04:25.800 --> 0:04:28.920 No, I listen, anybody that ever comes on for free 0:04:29.240 --> 0:04:31.000 out of the kindness of their own heart. I never 0:04:31.000 --> 0:04:34.960 get upset with the one rare exception of friend of mine, 0:04:34.960 --> 0:04:37.600 so I can now say it. Seam Sheranio was once 0:04:37.920 --> 0:04:41.520 midg mid interview with me on Mad Dog Sports Radio 0:04:41.920 --> 0:04:44.440 mid interview and he's like, oh my, He's like, oh 0:04:44.440 --> 0:04:46.520 my god, I'm sorry, I have to go breaking news, 0:04:46.720 --> 0:04:49.040 and I'm like, oh, this is exciting. He's going to 0:04:49.120 --> 0:04:52.560 break major news. And then I checked. Thirty seconds later 0:04:52.920 --> 0:04:57.240 he tweets out that some second round pick signed a 0:04:57.279 --> 0:04:59.400 two way contract. I'm like, you gotta be kidding me. 0:05:00.080 --> 0:05:02.520 You gotta be kidding me. That is what took precedent. 0:05:02.600 --> 0:05:05.480 That's the only one that I hold the grudge yours. 0:05:05.040 --> 0:05:08.360 Those insiders are different. We had Ian Rappaport. He's done 0:05:08.400 --> 0:05:10.600 that to us, did that on our own show to 0:05:10.680 --> 0:05:12.720 us in the past. All Right, we're gonna get to 0:05:12.960 --> 0:05:16.280 a lot today. We'll get to Nick of course has 0:05:16.320 --> 0:05:18.440 been blessed to be a fan of the Chiefs, so 0:05:18.560 --> 0:05:20.320 we'll get to them at some point in this program, 0:05:20.360 --> 0:05:22.280 I'm sure. And of Carlos Alkrez, he was at the 0:05:22.400 --> 0:05:24.400 US Open. We'll get to that. But I have a 0:05:24.440 --> 0:05:26.880 structure here which we don't do in every show. It's 0:05:26.880 --> 0:05:29.640 an AFC preview. We're gonna try to get a lot in. 0:05:29.839 --> 0:05:32.920 We're gonna get our seven AFC seeds by the end 0:05:32.920 --> 0:05:34.280 of this. But I'm just gonna throw out a few 0:05:34.279 --> 0:05:37.120 categories to start. The first one is just a team 0:05:37.160 --> 0:05:41.599 that's favored to make the playoffs that will rather a 0:05:41.640 --> 0:05:43.640 team that's not favored to make the playoffs that will 0:05:43.640 --> 0:05:45.160 make the playoffs. So first I'm gonna tell you who 0:05:45.279 --> 0:05:51.039 is favored just in Vegas, Chiefs, Ravens, Bills, Texans, Bengals, Jets. 0:05:51.160 --> 0:05:52.960 And then the last one I was a little surprised 0:05:53.040 --> 0:05:55.520 is the Dolphins are this favor to be the seven seeds. 0:05:55.520 --> 0:05:58.080 So who is a team that is not favored to 0:05:58.080 --> 0:05:58.640 make the playoffs? 0:05:58.680 --> 0:06:01.360 You would pick Jaggs. 0:06:01.560 --> 0:06:05.039 To me, there's two and they're kind of there as well, 0:06:05.040 --> 0:06:10.240 and are one of them Jags Chargers. So that's but 0:06:10.360 --> 0:06:14.080 I think we'll maybe have different teams out now. Neither 0:06:14.160 --> 0:06:17.200 of those are that bold because but I think if 0:06:17.240 --> 0:06:19.960 we were to go down playoff odds, Jags, Chargers are 0:06:20.000 --> 0:06:23.400 probably eight, nine or nine, you know, eight and ten. 0:06:23.480 --> 0:06:29.960 They're close. It's not picking the Patriots or the the Titans, 0:06:30.040 --> 0:06:35.480 the real low teams. But I just I am. My premise, 0:06:35.520 --> 0:06:38.640 as you'll see throughout the show in the AFC, is 0:06:38.680 --> 0:06:45.080 that I think there's so many excellent quarterbacks that that 0:06:45.320 --> 0:06:48.320 is going to carry the day because if you don't 0:06:48.480 --> 0:06:53.680 have an excellent quarterback, your thirteen conference games a year, 0:06:54.120 --> 0:06:56.120 you're going to be or I guess twelve conference games 0:06:56.160 --> 0:06:59.640 a year, you're going to be at such a structural disadvantage. 0:07:00.160 --> 0:07:04.440 I'm and I still listen. I'm still a Trevor Lawrence believer. There, 0:07:04.720 --> 0:07:08.320 you know, there is in one version of history, Trevor 0:07:08.360 --> 0:07:12.000 Lawrence after a bad rookie season, had an awesome second year, 0:07:12.320 --> 0:07:14.920 one of the greatest playoff comebacks ever, and then was 0:07:14.920 --> 0:07:17.320 playing on Monday Night Football at eight and three to 0:07:17.360 --> 0:07:20.400 be the one seed and got hurt and the season 0:07:20.440 --> 0:07:23.080 went to hell. That's how I view it. Everyone else 0:07:23.120 --> 0:07:26.000 seems to view it as they fell apart and Yes, 0:07:26.120 --> 0:07:28.520 he doesn't seem to do well in the rain, which 0:07:28.560 --> 0:07:31.360 is unfortunate when you play your games in Jacksonville and 0:07:31.400 --> 0:07:33.680 in London. And he does have a bit of a 0:07:33.720 --> 0:07:37.760 fumbling issue. But I still believe in Trevor and your show. 0:07:37.920 --> 0:07:40.120 Is part of the reason I've been convinced on the 0:07:40.200 --> 0:07:42.960 Chargers is you've just had so many people make the 0:07:43.000 --> 0:07:47.080 point of the year one bump for Harbaugh everywhere he's 0:07:47.160 --> 0:07:51.840 gone and so but I the Herbert injury concerns me. 0:07:52.280 --> 0:07:53.240 But those are my two. 0:07:54.000 --> 0:07:57.360 Yeah, Chargers were for me. I did not expect this. 0:07:57.560 --> 0:08:00.800 Jaguars I debated between those two. It was just a 0:08:00.800 --> 0:08:05.480 process of elimination, you know, Browns. I just don't expect 0:08:05.480 --> 0:08:07.520 the defense to be as good. They got too many problems, like. 0:08:07.440 --> 0:08:10.600 Can they might have a bottom three quarterback situation in 0:08:10.600 --> 0:08:11.400 the AFC. 0:08:12.000 --> 0:08:14.400 It's a it's a problem. They have backups. We'll see 0:08:14.400 --> 0:08:18.800 if they trade one of them. But uh, Steelers, maybe 0:08:18.840 --> 0:08:20.880 go if you had if I had done this in June, 0:08:20.920 --> 0:08:22.200 Steelers might have been that team. 0:08:22.200 --> 0:08:24.400 But just it's too messy. Uh. 0:08:24.440 --> 0:08:26.720 And then the other teams are too far away that 0:08:26.880 --> 0:08:29.160 the Chargers. I feel like people are predicting them to 0:08:29.200 --> 0:08:31.720 be terrible this year. And yeah, I'm also someone that 0:08:31.760 --> 0:08:33.760 doesn't try to make it too complicated before the season. 0:08:33.800 --> 0:08:34.880 I'm usually a little bolder. 0:08:35.040 --> 0:08:37.240 I think I will be with the NFC, But I 0:08:37.280 --> 0:08:39.599 would rather just bet on a coach, a quarterback, and 0:08:39.679 --> 0:08:42.320 an offensive line and a defensive scheme to raise you 0:08:42.400 --> 0:08:45.800 to just be average. So Mina and I disagree vehemently 0:08:45.840 --> 0:08:47.560 on this. She thinks they're going to be trash. We 0:08:47.600 --> 0:08:50.480 have we have some line here. She thinks their defense 0:08:50.559 --> 0:08:53.360 is going to truly be trash, and she just doesn't. 0:08:53.559 --> 0:08:56.760 So here's this sneaky thing about the Chargers when it 0:08:56.800 --> 0:09:00.200 comes to the AFC Western projections. There's two things that 0:09:00.240 --> 0:09:03.040 I think people know one of them and are kind 0:09:03.080 --> 0:09:04.920 of maybe know the other, but I haven't thought about it. 0:09:05.240 --> 0:09:07.720 The Chargers, despite being in a division with the Raiders 0:09:07.760 --> 0:09:11.400 and Broncos, have the last place schedule, and that is 0:09:11.480 --> 0:09:15.520 such an edge. And amazingly, the Raiders have a second 0:09:15.520 --> 0:09:18.600 place schedule this year, So anyone wanting to be bullish 0:09:18.679 --> 0:09:21.839 on the Raiders, the Raiders did themselves no favors by 0:09:21.880 --> 0:09:24.520 beating the Chiefs on Christmas, and that you know it's 0:09:24.520 --> 0:09:26.240 actually the last game the Chiefs have lost, so it's 0:09:26.240 --> 0:09:28.560 not that bad, but all of a sudden they have 0:09:28.600 --> 0:09:31.160 a second place schedule, So that makes that makes me 0:09:31.320 --> 0:09:32.880 much more bullish on the Chargers. 0:09:32.600 --> 0:09:35.760 Than I'm glad you mentioned that, because you know, sometimes 0:09:35.760 --> 0:09:37.480 people overrate that last place schedule. 0:09:37.480 --> 0:09:39.480 It's like it used to just be two games, but 0:09:39.559 --> 0:09:41.800 now it's three. Now it's three in the NFC. 0:09:41.920 --> 0:09:44.800 But it also depends which NFC and which happened to 0:09:44.800 --> 0:09:46.960 be the last place seam for the Chargers this year. 0:09:47.120 --> 0:09:51.600 Here's the three extra games, Pats, Titans, Cardinals. That's beautiful, 0:09:51.760 --> 0:09:52.960 Like that's I'm. 0:09:53.000 --> 0:09:56.720 Unbelievable, and they think about the Raiders, sorry to interrupt you. 0:09:57.000 --> 0:10:00.319 That means for the Raiders, it's in the play of 0:10:00.360 --> 0:10:03.640 the Pats, it's the Dolphins. In place of the Cardinals, 0:10:03.679 --> 0:10:06.840 it's the Rams, and in place of the Titans, it 0:10:06.880 --> 0:10:10.280 would be the Jags, right, I think they finished second 0:10:10.360 --> 0:10:13.080 or no, the Colts. It's the Colts there because they played, 0:10:13.320 --> 0:10:17.240 but regardless, like that's a huge difference. It's a huge difference. 0:10:17.120 --> 0:10:18.080 It really is. 0:10:18.840 --> 0:10:21.000 I think people overrate that sometimes, not this time, so 0:10:21.080 --> 0:10:23.200 I'm into that. I've been a team that is favored 0:10:23.240 --> 0:10:29.839 to make the playoffs that won't And I mentioned Chiefs, Ravens, Bills, Texans, Bengals, Jets, Dolphins. 0:10:30.320 --> 0:10:33.200 So there's obviously, since I have two in, I have 0:10:33.240 --> 0:10:35.000 to have two out. But I'll give you the one 0:10:35.040 --> 0:10:38.200 that I'm most competent in. The Jets are not going 0:10:38.280 --> 0:10:46.040 to be good. I just I don't I don't understand. 0:10:46.559 --> 0:10:48.400 This is one of those things where I'm like, oh, 0:10:48.480 --> 0:10:51.240 this is a smart person whose opinion I respect. I 0:10:51.360 --> 0:10:54.080 wonder why they're so wrong about this. And there's a 0:10:54.120 --> 0:10:59.040 lot of with the Jets. They they're favored to win 0:10:59.040 --> 0:11:02.240 the division. Robert Usually to win the division, you have 0:11:02.280 --> 0:11:04.200 to go at least four and two or five and 0:11:04.280 --> 0:11:07.040 one in the division. If the Jets go four and 0:11:07.080 --> 0:11:10.320 two in the division, Robert Salo will have doubled his 0:11:10.360 --> 0:11:13.640 career division wins. For his career, He's four and fourteen. 0:11:14.120 --> 0:11:18.760 They have an offensive coordinator that they tried to shadow 0:11:18.840 --> 0:11:21.800 replace because they thought he was so bad and they 0:11:21.800 --> 0:11:26.600 were too incompetent to do that. And even if we 0:11:26.600 --> 0:11:30.800 were to just pretend that Aaron Rodgers didn't tear his achilles, 0:11:31.120 --> 0:11:33.880 let's just pretend last year instead of being out with 0:11:33.920 --> 0:11:37.160 the torn achilles, he was out because he was canvassing 0:11:37.200 --> 0:11:40.680 for RFK Junior. Fine, then I'd still be like, well, 0:11:41.120 --> 0:11:45.240 his last season before that, he wasn't good, and people 0:11:45.240 --> 0:11:48.200 are like, no, he just wasn't good by Aaron Rodgers standards, 0:11:48.240 --> 0:11:50.319 but he was good by NFL standards. No, he wasn't. 0:11:50.679 --> 0:11:55.040 Look it up, he was league average in everything. Well, 0:11:55.080 --> 0:11:56.640 who could have won with that team? I don't know. 0:11:56.679 --> 0:12:00.480 Jordan Love played pretty well and in the final, in 0:12:00.559 --> 0:12:04.240 the last game of relevance that Aaron Rodgers played, he 0:12:04.400 --> 0:12:07.480 was at home against a team he had owned forever, 0:12:08.000 --> 0:12:10.280 played one of his worst games of the year and 0:12:10.320 --> 0:12:13.120 threw the game away at the end. So that guy 0:12:13.840 --> 0:12:17.439 is all of a sudden going to be the connective 0:12:17.440 --> 0:12:21.280 tissue and the best, not the best, but a very 0:12:21.280 --> 0:12:25.320 good quarterback. Like I just it's people. Everyone who doesn't 0:12:25.320 --> 0:12:28.280 believe in the Jets says, while injuries could kill him, 0:12:28.320 --> 0:12:33.000 obviously that's true. I think even healthy, they have average 0:12:33.280 --> 0:12:35.280 They have average quarterback play this year. 0:12:35.920 --> 0:12:38.280 I think you might be right, and they're on my 0:12:38.360 --> 0:12:38.760 list too. 0:12:38.800 --> 0:12:40.760 They're one of those teams that, again, if I did 0:12:40.760 --> 0:12:42.880 this earlier, I agree with everything you just said about 0:12:42.920 --> 0:12:44.600 Rogers and the Jets, and I do this thing that 0:12:44.720 --> 0:12:45.120 I know. 0:12:46.840 --> 0:12:47.360 I'm a hater. 0:12:47.600 --> 0:12:50.240 Basically, I'm a little biased against the Jets, so I 0:12:50.280 --> 0:12:53.120 almost try to like pretend I'm not and make the 0:12:53.160 --> 0:12:55.080 case for them in the end, But when it comes 0:12:55.120 --> 0:12:57.480 down to it, I don't believe in them. They have 0:12:57.559 --> 0:12:59.480 so many aspects of the team, even if you take 0:12:59.480 --> 0:13:01.840 away Rogers that I'm with you, I'd start with Rogers. 0:13:02.040 --> 0:13:05.360 But who's their second best defensive lineman after Leonard Williams. 0:13:05.440 --> 0:13:09.440 Robert Salah counts on a great defensive line to help them. 0:13:09.720 --> 0:13:11.600 They were counting on Hassan Redick. I don't know how 0:13:11.640 --> 0:13:14.000 that's gonna happen, but at this point I'd almost be 0:13:14.040 --> 0:13:16.439 surprised if he plays with them. Jermaine Johnson is maybe 0:13:16.480 --> 0:13:18.719 their second best. They're county on Javon Kinler, like Tac 0:13:18.800 --> 0:13:21.200 McKinley's in the mix. So there's so many ifs with 0:13:21.240 --> 0:13:25.199 this team. On their offensive line, their defensive line, obviously Rogers, 0:13:25.240 --> 0:13:27.640 Tyron Smith. I know they have backups in certain places, 0:13:27.640 --> 0:13:30.080 but it's just so many ifs. All in a season 0:13:30.080 --> 0:13:33.080 where they're a GM and their coach both knows they're 0:13:33.080 --> 0:13:34.680 going to be fired if it doesn't go well. 0:13:34.720 --> 0:13:35.360 So that's too much. 0:13:35.440 --> 0:13:37.040 I think they'll be okay and they'll stay in the 0:13:37.080 --> 0:13:39.840 mix and they'll be dramatic. But they were on my 0:13:39.920 --> 0:13:41.839 list too. They were the one I was going to 0:13:41.880 --> 0:13:43.600 talk about. But I had two teams out too, so 0:13:43.640 --> 0:13:45.560 I also, by the way, we'll throw in the Dolphins 0:13:45.600 --> 0:13:49.719 just because offensive line, defensive line, the edges coming off 0:13:49.760 --> 0:13:50.880 injury just a little too much. 0:13:51.240 --> 0:13:54.719 So we're gonna this is I promise, because I went 0:13:54.760 --> 0:13:57.240 through your producer did a brilliant job, sent me a 0:13:57.280 --> 0:14:00.440 really thorough rundown, so I know what's coming and I 0:14:00.520 --> 0:14:03.439 anticipate we're gonna have more disagreements later. But we have 0:14:03.520 --> 0:14:06.280 the same two out, the same team, the Dolls and 0:14:06.320 --> 0:14:10.080 the Dolphins. Can I give I don't know. Can I 0:14:10.080 --> 0:14:10.880 give a quick Dolphins? 0:14:10.960 --> 0:14:12.000 Yeah? You can do whatever you are. 0:14:12.440 --> 0:14:16.160 You know this is the year, so I have uh. 0:14:17.480 --> 0:14:20.480 I like Mike McDaniel. I think he's sharp. I think 0:14:20.480 --> 0:14:25.440 he's a good coach. I also personally have graded him 0:14:25.960 --> 0:14:28.280 in Miami on a bit of a curve. The curve 0:14:28.400 --> 0:14:30.720 being man, look at what he's doing with Tua, who 0:14:30.720 --> 0:14:34.840 I think is a limited player. The moment he signed 0:14:34.880 --> 0:14:38.440 off on them giving to a fifty three million, I 0:14:38.640 --> 0:14:41.040 made a decision. In my head, I'm removing that curve. 0:14:41.680 --> 0:14:46.520 Like now now you you are telling the world that 0:14:46.600 --> 0:14:50.040 you think this guy's top light quarterback, and you can 0:14:50.080 --> 0:14:52.600 say it wasn't his decision whatever. That's so in my 0:14:52.680 --> 0:14:56.440 head now it's like, no, now you're graded the way people. 0:14:56.520 --> 0:14:58.920 Great is his decision though, it was like he showed 0:14:59.000 --> 0:15:00.760 up there and he made it, and he's made that work. 0:15:00.920 --> 0:15:02.960 Weirdly too is kind of the least, not the least 0:15:03.000 --> 0:15:05.840 of my concerns. But Mike McDaniel tua as a combo 0:15:06.000 --> 0:15:08.520 to me, that works, that works to be a playoff team. 0:15:09.560 --> 0:15:10.200 It's everything. 0:15:10.440 --> 0:15:12.320 There's other things I think he I'm great amount of 0:15:12.320 --> 0:15:14.800 curve because he's a Dolphins coach, very similar to anyone 0:15:14.840 --> 0:15:19.440 who's a Jets coach. I just feel like, organizationally, there's 0:15:19.480 --> 0:15:21.240 a reason why these teams haven't won. 0:15:21.560 --> 0:15:24.880 And I just I think that, Uh. I think that 0:15:25.240 --> 0:15:29.160 your point on the defense is a great one. I also, 0:15:29.520 --> 0:15:32.000 I know this is called NFL Daily, but I think 0:15:32.040 --> 0:15:35.560 if it had a subtitle, it might be called you 0:15:35.560 --> 0:15:40.160 know where, the regular OBJ Report. I really appreciate that 0:15:40.200 --> 0:15:42.760 you've covered that story when the rest of the media 0:15:42.920 --> 0:15:44.320 you're in my You're in. 0:15:44.240 --> 0:15:48.240 My head though, because I realized after doing the Cutdown 0:15:48.320 --> 0:15:50.360 Day show with So it's like, why why am I 0:15:50.480 --> 0:15:51.240 leading with OBJ? 0:15:51.360 --> 0:15:52.840 I just keep talking about OBJ. 0:15:52.960 --> 0:15:54.240 I think it's interesting. 0:15:54.400 --> 0:15:58.280 It's my old blogger mentality from around the NFL days 0:15:58.320 --> 0:16:00.400 that it's like, well, you got to lead with Terrell, 0:16:00.480 --> 0:16:03.680 Pryor or OBJ because everyone's into it, like they really 0:16:03.680 --> 0:16:04.520 do sell you know. 0:16:04.680 --> 0:16:05.160 But it is. 0:16:05.240 --> 0:16:07.760 But I guess the point that the point I'm making 0:16:07.880 --> 0:16:10.960 is your while it has maybe been a little more 0:16:11.080 --> 0:16:14.240 focused than I would have expected for the whole league. 0:16:14.440 --> 0:16:18.240 Your point that they signed him because they expected they 0:16:18.920 --> 0:16:20.560 I don't want to say they needed him because they 0:16:20.560 --> 0:16:23.720 have Tyreek and Waddell. But the offense they want to run, 0:16:23.760 --> 0:16:25.520 they want to have three guys out there, and they 0:16:25.600 --> 0:16:28.640 want to threaten the defense in those ways. And I 0:16:28.680 --> 0:16:33.360 think it's on the board he plays. Let me set 0:16:33.400 --> 0:16:37.440 it like this, I am a gambler. If you set 0:16:37.440 --> 0:16:41.880 his over under for catches as a dolphin at twenty 0:16:42.000 --> 0:16:44.640 four and a half, I would say, I think that's 0:16:44.680 --> 0:16:45.360 a good number. 0:16:45.840 --> 0:16:48.200 Yeah, I agree, that's about right. I was expecting you 0:16:48.280 --> 0:16:49.800 to say something in the thirties, and I was going. 0:16:49.800 --> 0:16:50.200 To go under. 0:16:50.240 --> 0:16:52.640 But twenty four is about right. Yeah, all right, let's 0:16:52.640 --> 0:16:55.960 go best division race. Just just pick one, which one? 0:16:56.080 --> 0:16:57.280 Which one? You're to me? 0:16:57.960 --> 0:17:02.760 The this is It depends on how you slice it. 0:17:03.320 --> 0:17:06.440 If you want a division where I think three teams 0:17:07.040 --> 0:17:11.159 theoretically could win it, I would say the South. But 0:17:11.280 --> 0:17:14.480 I think the best division races the North because I 0:17:14.480 --> 0:17:17.280 think the Bengals are going to be excellent and I 0:17:17.280 --> 0:17:20.000 think the Ravens are going to One of the things 0:17:20.000 --> 0:17:23.879 that I've tried to hammer on the TV show is 0:17:23.960 --> 0:17:28.240 that during the year, when a team surprises or a 0:17:28.280 --> 0:17:33.120 team's doing well, we always be like, man that coordinator. 0:17:33.400 --> 0:17:37.360 We give a lot of credit to coordinators when it's happening. 0:17:38.160 --> 0:17:42.480 Bobby Slowick, the guy in Detroit. Sorry that everybody loves 0:17:42.840 --> 0:17:45.640 Ben Ben Johnson, you know what I mean. Last year, 0:17:45.680 --> 0:17:49.680 Mike mcdonaldo back in the day, Louis Arumo up until 0:17:49.720 --> 0:17:52.879 last season, Spags in Kansas City. We always do it 0:17:53.359 --> 0:17:58.119 when those guys leave, though it totally removes from our analysis. 0:17:58.119 --> 0:18:02.600 We forget like it when last year nobody went said 0:18:02.640 --> 0:18:06.080 about the Eagles, man, they're gonna miss Shane Stiken. But 0:18:06.359 --> 0:18:09.040 during the year when they were awesome people are like 0:18:09.119 --> 0:18:13.879 Shane Stiken. So that's part of my not that I 0:18:13.920 --> 0:18:15.879 think the Ravens are gonna be bad, but part of 0:18:15.920 --> 0:18:19.440 my Ravens analysis is I think they're gonna miss Mike McDonald. 0:18:19.800 --> 0:18:22.440 You had, You had so many guys who I thought 0:18:22.480 --> 0:18:25.240 were near the end of their career or just you know, 0:18:25.440 --> 0:18:29.919 middling players be monsters, and that to me is usually scheme. 0:18:30.480 --> 0:18:33.800 And so I think that the Ravens come down a bit, 0:18:34.080 --> 0:18:36.520 the Bengals come up a bit, and I think that 0:18:36.720 --> 0:18:39.679 is a division race that will come down to the 0:18:39.680 --> 0:18:42.840 final week of the year and be massive, because that's 0:18:42.880 --> 0:18:45.400 the type of one where the winner of that can 0:18:45.480 --> 0:18:48.359 end up the two seed and then obviously the losers 0:18:48.359 --> 0:18:50.640 on the road the whole playoffs. So that's the one 0:18:50.680 --> 0:18:53.000 I'm most interested in. That's probably the most important one. 0:18:53.000 --> 0:18:54.720 You're right, just from a who's gonna win the super 0:18:54.760 --> 0:18:56.720 Bowl perspective, because I think they'd be on the short 0:18:56.760 --> 0:18:59.080 list we did. We did a power rankings a couple 0:18:59.119 --> 0:19:01.000 of days ago, and they were both near the top, 0:19:01.040 --> 0:19:03.440 so that makes sense to me. I'm also just curious 0:19:03.600 --> 0:19:05.520 will it be like the haves and the have nots 0:19:05.520 --> 0:19:07.720 in that division? I went with AFC South though to me, 0:19:07.800 --> 0:19:12.320 because I do think the Colts, like their ceiling is 0:19:12.400 --> 0:19:15.240 just much higher than people give credit for, I can't 0:19:15.320 --> 0:19:16.240 go all the way there. 0:19:16.280 --> 0:19:17.720 I still like the Texans better. 0:19:18.160 --> 0:19:21.159 And yet if I think, if you play this season 0:19:21.200 --> 0:19:24.679 out ten times, like there's a few scenarios where the 0:19:24.680 --> 0:19:27.480 Colts are the two seed with thirteen wins, twelve wins, 0:19:27.480 --> 0:19:29.560