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Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast. I'm just about that action also.

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Speaker 1: All right, here we go.

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Speaker 2: Throwing.

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Speaker 1: I'm saying it's a cat star. We see most gamblers

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Speaker 1: when they go to gamble, they go to win.

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Speaker 2: That's incredible.

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Speaker 1: Big bank, small banks. I like to make money.

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Speaker 2: All right, this is the ultimate kabai.

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Speaker 3: If you want to fall.

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Speaker 1: And we are underway. What's up, everybody? Welcome to The

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Speaker 1: Action Network Podcast presented by FanDuel. Today, we've got our

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Speaker 1: NFL player projections for the wild card round of the

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Speaker 1: NFL Playoffs. I am your host, Chris Raybond, joined as

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Speaker 1: always by top five rancor in the game for this

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Speaker 1: Yeter Sean Karna. Sean's going on, congratulations.

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Speaker 2: Man, Yeah, congress to you as well. Top two ranker,

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Speaker 2: congrats on. I said the top five.

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Speaker 1: They're getting too top five at this podcast. I mean,

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Speaker 1: where do you get that anywhere?

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Speaker 2: I know, it's it's incredible. Like if you were to

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Speaker 2: parlay that to top five finishers, I mean that should

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Speaker 2: be twenty to one. That's really hard to do. I

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Speaker 2: think there was like two hundred people in the contest

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Speaker 2: this year, too, had to be the most I've ever seen.

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Speaker 2: So yeah, just being stuck we both finished top five.

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Speaker 2: It definitely took like my best week ever in week

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Speaker 2: seventeen or sixteen. I don't know if you saw that.

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Speaker 2: I finished like top five in every position, so the

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Speaker 2: time I call you, yeah, yeah, I went from like

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Speaker 2: twelfth to fourth just because of that week. So I

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Speaker 2: definitely need that. But yeah, congrats on another fantastic season,

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Speaker 2: Bud is there.

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Speaker 1: Let's keep it going.

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Speaker 2: Uh So, we got congrats to Pat Torman too. Yeah.

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Speaker 2: Oh yeah, great guy for winning the thing.

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Speaker 1: Yeah go follow him. Yeah, yeah, hilarious. Great dude, got

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Speaker 1: to meet him.

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Speaker 2: Yeah that is really he finished first, so kudos to him.

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Speaker 1: All Right, let's uh so we're gonna do wildcard round.

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Speaker 1: We'll break it up well, so for this episode, will

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Speaker 1: keep it the same. We'll talk about the guys who

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Speaker 1: are high and one on our top players at every

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Speaker 1: position and don't throw some props as usual. So let's

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Speaker 1: kick it off with QB. We're your top five for

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Speaker 1: this wildcard round.

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Speaker 2: So I got Josh Allen, Joe Burrow, Justin, Herbert Kirk Cousins,

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Speaker 2: and Trevor Lawrence.

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Speaker 1: Yeah that's the same, what a different Alan Burrow Lawrence

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Speaker 1: three Herbert then Cousins five, but the same guys. We'll

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Speaker 1: see what it's up with. You know, there's some injury

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Speaker 1: questions with Lamar and two obviously, yep. But who are

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Speaker 1: you high on?

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Speaker 2: So I'm high on Daniel Jones. It seems like just

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Speaker 2: a couple of weeks ago he was facing the Vikings

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Speaker 2: and we were both high on him. And sure enough,

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Speaker 2: you know, he had just the best game of the season.

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Speaker 2: He threw for three hundred and thirty four yards, ran

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Speaker 2: for thirty four. So I have to imagine he'll run

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Speaker 2: it back here. And like you alluded to, you know,

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Speaker 2: this quarterbacks likes pretty weak. You know, we we don't

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Speaker 2: know Lamar or two are gonna play this week. No

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Speaker 2: Patrick Mahomes, no Jalen Hurts, Josh Ellen, and Joe Burrow

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Speaker 2: a pretty big favorite, so they might need to might

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Speaker 2: not need to throw as much. So I mean, Daniel

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Speaker 2: Jones has a shot to be the top scoring quarterback

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Speaker 2: this week, so I have him QB seven. But I

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Speaker 2: think he just has that massive ceiling here against just

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Speaker 2: a really bad Vikings defense. And we took advantage of

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Speaker 2: this just a couple of weeks ago as well.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm the same this that's the guy that stands

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Speaker 1: out to me is Daniel Jones. I mean, if there's

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Speaker 1: anyone that's ranked that's gonna be not you know, ranked

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Speaker 1: in the top five, that has a chance to finish

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Speaker 1: as the overall QB one, Jones because not only could

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Speaker 1: he do it through the air, uh you know, which

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Speaker 1: which anyone could really do against his vikings d but

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Speaker 1: he could do it on the ground as well. And

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Speaker 1: so you're gonna if you're gonna have to, you know,

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Speaker 1: put up points and stay with Josh Allen or somebody

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Speaker 1: like that. Having that rushing up side is is gonna

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Speaker 1: be essential. So yeah, it's Jones for me as well.

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Speaker 1: What about who are you going on?

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Speaker 2: Well, it looks like we're on the same page again,

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Speaker 2: so if you want to go first this time, I'll

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Speaker 2: let you go. Yeah.

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Speaker 1: So it's brock Perty for me and nothing against the guy.

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Speaker 1: I think he's playing great, but you know against the

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Speaker 1: Seahawks number one, another big favorite. And we know the

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Speaker 1: Niners when they get in a playoff, especially their bread

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Speaker 1: and butter is they're gonna run the football. So you know,

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Speaker 1: he's the East the consensus quarterback six right now, ahead

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Speaker 1: of Daniel Jones, I don't think that should be the case.

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Speaker 1: You know, Perty probably is not gonna get to three

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Speaker 1: hundred yards passing just given the game script and you

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Speaker 1: know the touchdowns, they could be there. But again, the

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Speaker 1: San Francisco team, they're gonna run, they're gonna play conservative.

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Speaker 1: They're in it. They're in a game against the Seahawks team,

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Speaker 1: who's the third time playing. It could be one of

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Speaker 1: it could be a lower scoring game, just because that's

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Speaker 1: how division games wait in the year. He usually turn

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Speaker 1: out anyway, So a lot of things kind of I

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Speaker 1: think going against Perdy putting up big numbers even though

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Speaker 1: he's playing very well.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, like I said, I'm on the same page as you.

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Speaker 2: I have perty QB ten. But I mean, everything about

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Speaker 2: this matchup is a positive for him. You know, the

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Speaker 2: Seahawks put a ton of zone, as we know Christian McCaffrey, Deebo,

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Speaker 2: Samuel you know back in healthy is great for Party,

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Speaker 2: George Kittle all thrive against zone. So it's a really

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Speaker 2: good matchup. Plus the Seahawks they blitzed the third lowest

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Speaker 2: rate against the blitz Party ranked twenty eighth in Austin

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Speaker 2: net yards per attempt thirty fifth in QB rating versus

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Speaker 2: team sending for fewer rush sures like the Seahawks tend

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Speaker 2: to do. He ranks first and adjustin net yards per

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Speaker 2: attempt and first in QB rating, So he's really good

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Speaker 2: when teams don't send the blitz. So this is a

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Speaker 2: great matchup for him. But like you said, I think

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Speaker 2: just the Niners, considering it's the playoffs, We'll just lean

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Speaker 2: on the run game here and their defense and they

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Speaker 2: should come away with a pretty easy win. Plus, this

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Speaker 2: is a game we could see quite a bit of rain,

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Speaker 2: it looks like, so there's a lot of external factors

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Speaker 2: that are no fault to Purty, of course why I

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Speaker 2: have him ranked low. But on paper, this is a

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Speaker 2: great matchup for him. Yeah, and you know, regarding things

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Speaker 2: like the blitz and stuff. I mean, it's it's the playoffs.

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Speaker 1: We could we could always see them switch it up

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Speaker 1: in the playoffs kind of because you only got one

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Speaker 1: shot now.

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Speaker 2: So true, true, and just real quick with Purty, Like,

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Speaker 2: he does have pretty good rushing upside. Uh, he was

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Speaker 2: a really good runner in college, but he just for

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Speaker 2: whatever reason, has not been tapping into that. He's basically

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Speaker 2: Jimmy g back there, you know, averaging three to five

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Speaker 2: rushing yards of game. So that's that's really hurt his

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Speaker 2: floor singling combo. He does need those you know, longer

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Speaker 2: touchdown passes to keep a float. But I mean any

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Speaker 2: given week now he could run for twenty or more yards.

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Speaker 2: He certainly has that upside, but that's definitely curbed his

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Speaker 2: fancy ability.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I think you know, probably with him being the

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Speaker 1: third string quarterback at this point, they're probably telling him, like,

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Speaker 1: you know, to stay out of arms. Why don't really

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Speaker 1: hear because you can't. I mean, you've already gotten through

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Speaker 1: right now. Josh Johnson he played in Oh okay, he

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Speaker 1: played last week, so yeah he's but I mean j Johnson,

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Speaker 1: but yeah, I don't think you want him. I mean,

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Speaker 1: if anyone could get whether that storm is Deniers, but

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Speaker 1: still you don't want to get see your fourth quarterback.

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Speaker 1: So but that's gonna be our prop actually is rock

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Speaker 1: party because this is an interesting one. We're gonna go

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Speaker 1: to his passing yards. I'll put it at five and

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Speaker 1: a half.

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Speaker 2: Man. That's that's the perfect I was just riding up

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Speaker 2: this matchup. His line right now is two fifteen. But

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Speaker 2: I said, I'm projecting at two twenty five, So damn.

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Speaker 1: I will lean.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, this is tough. I'm gonna lean under just based

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Speaker 2: on what we were talking about. I think they will

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Speaker 2: lean on the run more here. It could be we

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Speaker 2: could see a ton of rain, So I'm just slightly

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Speaker 2: leaning under here. And that's where the market is right now.

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Speaker 2: And yeah, I saw them certainly in line with your prop.

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Speaker 2: And you gotta you do have the Seahawks like terrible

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Speaker 2: run defense. Like the more I know yards for carry

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Speaker 2: the Niners get, the lest yards to throw are going

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Speaker 2: to be available. So yeah, by by the time this

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Speaker 2: comes out, I will have already bet on Christian McCaffrey

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Speaker 2: over sixty seven and a half rushing yards. I think

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Speaker 2: that is way too low here.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, I mean that's you know, I'm sure probably

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Speaker 1: gonna get some Mitchell in there as well, right, I mean,

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Speaker 1: there's it's gonna be.

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Speaker 2: A and Debo. Yeah, Like I think you know, Debo's

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Speaker 2: gonna get a couple of carries. But either way, I

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Speaker 2: think there's gonna be so much volume that I'm I'm

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Speaker 2: projecting McCaffrey to get you know, sixteen seventeen carries, which

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Speaker 2: is more than enough. Against this defense to clear you know,

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Speaker 2: sixty seven yards.

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Speaker 1: That's a good segue into uh, running backs, So you're

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Speaker 1: top five.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, so Kurs McCaffrey himself is number one, and then

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Speaker 2: I got siko On Barkley, Austin Eckler, Dalvin Cook, and

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Speaker 2: Travis etn yep.

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Speaker 1: I got McCaffrey equer to Barkley Cook at the end,

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Speaker 1: so pretty much the same top five who are high on.

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Speaker 2: So I'm high on Leonard Fournette. I mean he's playoff

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Speaker 2: Lenny for a reason, right, And last week he only

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Speaker 2: played three snaps, so you know he's been dealing with

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Speaker 2: a ton of injuries, especially apparently I Liz Frank injury.

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Speaker 2: So getting a semi week off will certainly help him

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Speaker 2: be fresh for this matchup. And you know Dallas has

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Speaker 2: a really good secondary, but they have they ranked twenty

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Speaker 2: first in DVA against running back. So I think one

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Speaker 2: way the Buccaneers can move the ball with, you know,

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Speaker 2: as opposed to running the ball, would be dump off

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Speaker 2: to Leonard Fournette. So I think he has a pretty

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Speaker 2: big receiving upside here. Plus they'll probably lean on more

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Speaker 2: as a runner. Just like I said, it's the playoff,

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Speaker 2: so maybe you're Shaud White sees you know, down tick

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Speaker 2: and usage just because he's a rookie, so I could

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Speaker 2: see them leaning on Fournette pretty heavily here. So like him.

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Speaker 2: He's my RB eight to open up the weekend. The

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Speaker 2: consensus has him RB fourteen, so I'm six slots higher

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Speaker 2: and the other guy's a little bit more under the radar,

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Speaker 2: but it's Jamichael Hasty against the Chargers, he's my RB seventeen.

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Speaker 2: Consensus has the RB twenty three, but he's he's been

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Speaker 2: eating into Travis Atien's receiving usage quite a bit the

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Speaker 2: past two weeks, so he's you know, typically averaging around

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Speaker 2: a thirty five percent rous run rate. So that's he's

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Speaker 2: a good bet for two or three receptions based on

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Speaker 2: that usage, possibly more if the Jags do get into

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Speaker 2: trailing games script, this game could turn into a shootout,

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Speaker 2: so plus, he'll probably only see a handful of carries,

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Speaker 2: but against his Chargers rush defense, he could pop one

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Speaker 2: for a big gain. So I think, if anything, he's

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Speaker 2: probably just a sneaky play for GPPs on these smaller slates,

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Speaker 2: But I do like Hasty compared to the consensus right now.

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Speaker 1: I mean over under amount of times Travis et and

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Speaker 1: limps back to the sideline like three and a half.

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Speaker 2: Oh god, a under.

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Speaker 1: He's like he's like every gay. It just seems like

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Speaker 1: he just gets hit some it makes some awkward way. Uh,

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Speaker 1: and he's kind of I don't know, he's like a

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Speaker 1: very slim guys. He's pretty in shape. So it's like

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Speaker 1: you always looks worse than it ends up being because

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Speaker 1: he always ends up coming back in the game. But yeah, man,

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Speaker 1: you could just see you can see a few carriers

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Speaker 1: for Hasty, just based on the way Etn seems to

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Speaker 1: get hit. Yeah, yeah, I'm high on Jeff Wilson junior here.

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Speaker 1: And it looks like Raheem Mostert might miss this game

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Speaker 1: against the Bills with a broken thumb and a couple

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Speaker 1: weeks ago, well a few weeks ago, when these two

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Speaker 1: teams met up faced off, he Bills gave up over

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Speaker 1: two hundred scrimmage yards to the Dolphins backfield. You know,

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Speaker 1: it was one hundred and eighty one on the ground,

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Speaker 1: another twenty eight through the air, twenty seven through the air.

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Speaker 1: Excuse me, So you know the Dolphins they're probably gonna,

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Speaker 1: you know, even if to a plays, which I don't

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Speaker 1: know if that's gonna happen, but the Dolphins are gonna

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Speaker 1: have to kind of shorten the game. They're They're not

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Speaker 1: gonna be able to fully rely on just throwing it around.

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Speaker 1: I don't think so. I do think they're gonna have

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Speaker 1: to rely on their ground game. And Wilson, you know,

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Speaker 1: he was already beating out most of these last couple

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Speaker 1: of weeks and snaps. So if most a it's out,

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Speaker 1: I think that's a big boost for him. But either way,

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Speaker 1: I think Wilson's gonna be a to be slept on. Obviously,

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Speaker 1: the game script is that ideal, but Wilson could catch

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Speaker 1: some passes out of the backfield as well. So like him,

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Speaker 1: all right, we're who are you long?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, So I'm gonna just segue from that, I'm low

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Speaker 2: on Raheem Mosert. Yeah, And it seems like a cheap

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Speaker 2: shot because of he might miss the game. Dude, it

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Speaker 2: is broken down, But I think since it's the playoffs,

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Speaker 2: he does got it out and play and he could

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Speaker 2: even get to start. Who knows, but I'm guessing it's

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Speaker 2: gonna severely limit his usage on passing down So in

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Speaker 2: a game where they're ten point underdogs. Yeah, that's certainly

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Speaker 2: gonna come into play. I think that he's not gonna

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Speaker 2: be able to pass block is good, certainly catch passes.

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Speaker 2: So it might be one of those situations were ends

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Speaker 2: up suiting up. But you know I would avoid him

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Speaker 2: completely just based on his thumb injury. And the other

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Speaker 2: guy is in the same game, James Cook. You know

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Speaker 2: I have him as my RB fifteen. The consensus is

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Speaker 2: RB ten. This is one of those spots where they

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Speaker 2: they could just lean on Devin Singletary a bit more.

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Speaker 2: I know Cook has outplayed Singletary in the past few

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Speaker 2: weeks or pretty much all season, but you know they

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Speaker 2: probably won't lean on the veteran for the first round

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Speaker 2: of the playoffs at least. Plus the you know, the

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Speaker 2: Dolphins played the second most man coverage and Cook, you know,

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Speaker 2: as like most running backs don't get as much usage

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Speaker 2: against man. He averages zero point six to eight yards

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Speaker 2: perrett run against man. That goes up to one point

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Speaker 2: ninety three verse zone. So it's not a good matchup

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Speaker 2: for him in the past game. And this could be

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Speaker 2: a game where Josh Allen just decides to scramble a

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Speaker 2: lot more, especially against man coverage. So while I do like,

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Speaker 2: you know, Cook's upside, probably in the later rounds, I

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Speaker 2: think this opening round they'll probably lean on Singletary a

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Speaker 2: bit more.

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Speaker 1: And maybe who knows, maybe Niam Hines earned himself extra

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Speaker 1: a couple of snaps. Oh yeah, no kidding, Yeah, So

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Speaker 1: you never know.

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Speaker 2: I mean in the playoffs.

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Speaker 1: I know one thing I do know is they trust

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Speaker 1: Singletary a lot, like they really He's like a very

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Speaker 1: trusted That's why. I even though he fumbles all the time,

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Speaker 1: they always go back to him. So yeah, I mean,

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Speaker 1: it could be one of those weird things because I

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Speaker 1: know mcdermot's never been big on rookies, so you know,

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Speaker 1: like Shakiir is another guy to watch out for. You know,

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Speaker 1: some of these rookies may actually say get in playing time,

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Speaker 1: you know, as we get into the playoffs. But for me,

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Speaker 1: it's Joe Mixon. He's the He's the ECR number five

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Speaker 1: running back. I think he should be outside of the

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Speaker 1: top five this week. This Baltimore run dy is very

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Speaker 1: very good. They're number seven in run Dy DVOA and

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Speaker 1: we just saw you know, Mixing kind of bailed himself

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Speaker 1: out with five catches for forty one yards, but on

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Speaker 1: the ground only eleven for twenty seven and a touchdown

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Speaker 1: against that Baltimore defense. It's just really tough to run

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Speaker 1: against them. So I'm not expecting, you know, monster game,

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Speaker 1: especially when there's other guys on the slate, like you

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Speaker 1: know Etn and who have better matchups, you know, Dalvin Cook.

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Speaker 1: So I don't he's not mixing. Is not a top

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Speaker 1: five back for me this week? All right, what are

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Speaker 1: we doing for the prop?

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Speaker 2: Well, you already threw it a Travis Etn prop a

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Speaker 2: number of times he gets, you know, to the sideline.

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Speaker 2: Let's just go with a more natural prop here. Let's

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Speaker 2: go with rushing yards against the Chargers. You know, he

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Speaker 2: was brutal last week against a very good run defense,

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Speaker 2: but this is a much easier matchup for him. So

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna set the line at sixty four and a half.

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Speaker 2: Are you over under that?

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Speaker 1: I'm over because the Chargers, you know, they're good forgive

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Speaker 1: like you said, they're good for giving up explosive run plays. Uh,

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Speaker 1: And I mean they're gonna lean on him. I mean

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Speaker 1: they they They've shown it, you know, even even against

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Speaker 1: uh like pretty much everyone. As long as he's been healthy,

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Speaker 1: he's been in. He's been in and taking most of

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Speaker 1: the snaps. I know, in that one game against Houston

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Speaker 1: where they were blowing him out, that's the only time

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Speaker 1: he kind of gave up snaps to Connor, Connor and Hasty.

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Speaker 1: But yeah, I think et N is gonna have I

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Speaker 1: think they're gonna wan on Etn and he's gonna have

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Speaker 1: a big game. So yeah, uh yeah, I'm over.

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Speaker 2: I grew up by three in the contest, right, but we.

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Speaker 1: Saw I mean I missed, I missed the podcastics. I

333
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Speaker 1: don't know if I don't know if you guys calculated it.

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Speaker 1: Oh yeah, I think it was three heading into last

335
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Speaker 1: week or whatever. Yeah, but yeah, we'll have to do it.

336
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Speaker 1: I think I think you need like one extra one

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Speaker 1: to give you before the playoffs are up. Yeah, he's

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Speaker 1: one of yours or something. Yeah, but receive your top five.

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Speaker 2: So pretty straightforward. Justin Jefferson, Jamar, Chase, Stefon Diggs, Tyry Hill,

340
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Speaker 2: and Ceedee Lamb.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I got Jefferson, Chase, Diggs, Hill, and Keenan Keenan Allen.

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Speaker 2: Oh nice, nice.

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Speaker 1: I mean he's balding man, He's like he's hell yeah,

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Speaker 1: Jesus kind of came out of the like it's just

345
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Speaker 1: been every week.

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Speaker 2: It's like, I don't know why he played so much

347
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Speaker 2: last week though, I mean I project him for like

348
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Speaker 2: free catches, yeah, man, thirty five yards.

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Speaker 1: Hopefully anyone didn't better bet bet props based on our

350
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Speaker 1: projactions on the charges, because that was I don't even

351
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Speaker 1: know what to do with me. I thought I thought

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Speaker 1: that for sure they were gonna rest their starters entirely,

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Speaker 1: you know, if the if the uh, well who is

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Speaker 1: it who had a win? If the Ravens law, if

355
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Speaker 1: the Bengals one. I thought the Turns weren't Eve gonna

356
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Speaker 1: play guys. I had him like I had most of

357
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Speaker 1: his starters in like, you know, twenty fifty percent less,

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Speaker 1: you know.

359
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Speaker 2: So, yeah, the whole week there were so many I mean,

360
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Speaker 2: I usually have way more clarity on these preseason games,

361
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Speaker 2: and you know, usually the last week of the season

362
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Speaker 2: it is always nuts, but this time was just especially

363
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Speaker 2: nuts because it was just impossible to know which teams

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Speaker 2: were going to play their starters. I mean, Tampa lay

365
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Speaker 2: their starters for the first half and stuff, so things

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Speaker 2: like that. But Key and Allen eight catches, one hundred

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Speaker 2: and two yards two touchdowns in a meanless game was

368
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Speaker 2: so bizarre.

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Speaker 1: I wonder if he I mean, I don't think it

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Speaker 1: was any incentive. I don't know what. It seemed like

371
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Speaker 1: he maybe he wants to get some Piper numbers. Yeah,

372
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Speaker 1: I don't know. It was weird, but I mean he

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Speaker 1: bawled out in the playoffs against Jacksonville. I mean, I'm

374
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Speaker 1: not I'm not scared of that matchup at all. So

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Speaker 1: like with CD. The one thing about CD, I remember

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Speaker 1: that first game of the season, he didn't do anything.

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Speaker 1: That's the only thing that scares me about him because

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Speaker 1: he's usually my top five. I mean, he had a

379
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Speaker 1: crazy end to the season too, but I think it

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Speaker 1: was like two of eleven and week one against Tampa Bay.

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Speaker 1: So that's something that's gonna be interesting. Yea, who you

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Speaker 1: high on?

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Speaker 2: So I'm on Darius Slayton, but pretty much every Giants

384
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Speaker 2: Passttcher to be honest. But like I said, last last

385
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Speaker 2: time they met a couple of weeks ago, Dane Jones

386
00:18:09,080 --> 00:18:12,200
Speaker 2: threw for three hundred and thirty four yards. Slayton caught

387
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Speaker 2: four passes for seventy nine and he's been averaging around

388
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Speaker 2: like a ninety seven percent routes run rate the past

389
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Speaker 2: five games or so, and I think just with Richie

390
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Speaker 2: James and Isaiah Hodgens playing at just a high level

391
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Speaker 2: of like it could open things up for Slaighton even

392
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Speaker 2: more so. I think, you know, he's just getting so

393
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Speaker 2: much playing time. He's their main downfill threat, So just

394
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Speaker 2: a couple deep passes here and he could have a

395
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Speaker 2: massive game. So he's my wide receiver nineteen right now.

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Speaker 2: I think Consensus was somewhere in the twenties. But I

397
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Speaker 2: like him. Like I said, with Richie James, Isaiah Hodgens,

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Speaker 2: all of them, like them all this week and then

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Speaker 2: as always one last time, I guess Christian Kirk and

400
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Speaker 2: z Jones. I have Christian Kirk wide receiver eight. Consensus

401
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Speaker 2: has some wide receiver sixteen, Jay Jones, I have wide

402
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Speaker 2: receiver fifteen, Consensus wide receiver anyone. I don't really know

403
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Speaker 2: what's going on here, just it seemed like, seems like

404
00:19:03,960 --> 00:19:06,400
Speaker 2: I'm always much higher on these guys. But it could

405
00:19:06,400 --> 00:19:09,359
Speaker 2: be a potential shootout against the Chargers. You know, the

406
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Speaker 2: Jaggars are one one and a half point underdog here,

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Speaker 2: so well, you know they could lean on etn heavily here.

408
00:19:16,000 --> 00:19:17,399
Speaker 2: I do think they'll have to air it out at

409
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Speaker 2: some point. Plus both these receivers had big games against

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Speaker 2: the Chargers earlier in the season, so I can't really

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Speaker 2: tell why the consensus is so long these guys, but

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Speaker 2: I've loved investing on these guys, so I'm really high

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Speaker 2: on these guys once again.

414
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Speaker 1: Yeah, Kirk is the guy I had circled because you know,

415
00:19:33,400 --> 00:19:34,920
Speaker 1: we know, we always like to look at like the

416
00:19:35,160 --> 00:19:37,200
Speaker 1: schemes of the other team, and the Chargers tend to

417
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Speaker 1: play more man than than most teams. They're usually top

418
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Speaker 1: ten in man coverage rate, and Kirk especially, I mean

419
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Speaker 1: two point eight yards per route against man coverage weeds

420
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Speaker 1: the Jaguars, and you know that's compared to one point

421
00:19:49,359 --> 00:19:51,640
Speaker 1: six against zone. So this is you know, they could

422
00:19:51,640 --> 00:19:53,480
Speaker 1: obviously switch it up, but they tend, you know, teams

423
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Speaker 1: that play man tend to play man like. That's just

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Speaker 1: what we tend to see. So really like Kirk here,

425
00:19:58,119 --> 00:20:00,719
Speaker 1: and he's their number one receiver either way, so and

426
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Speaker 1: he goes into slot, so he'll be able to kind

427
00:20:02,400 --> 00:20:04,760
Speaker 1: of move around like Zay as well. But I think

428
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Speaker 1: Kirk really stands out as that guy he's kind of

429
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Speaker 1: taking that lead among Jaguar receivers all year long. Even

430
00:20:10,680 --> 00:20:12,480
Speaker 1: when Zay would pop up with a good game, you know,

431
00:20:12,600 --> 00:20:14,960
Speaker 1: Kirk would be that guy that to stay pretty consistent

432
00:20:15,440 --> 00:20:17,280
Speaker 1: for most of the year. So really like, really like

433
00:20:17,400 --> 00:20:18,800
Speaker 1: Kirk this week, who you won on?

434
00:20:19,359 --> 00:20:22,920
Speaker 2: So I'm low on Brandon Ayuk against the Seahawks. He's

435
00:20:22,920 --> 00:20:26,600
Speaker 2: my wide receiver seventeen. The consensus has him we'll see eleven.

436
00:20:26,640 --> 00:20:28,760
Speaker 2: But you know, we could see some significant rain here

437
00:20:29,520 --> 00:20:31,879
Speaker 2: and I used to hire a dot player of you know,

438
00:20:31,960 --> 00:20:35,160
Speaker 2: the top pass catchers in this offense, so he could

439
00:20:35,200 --> 00:20:37,680
Speaker 2: take a hit there. H Plus, you know the Seahawks

440
00:20:37,800 --> 00:20:41,520
Speaker 2: or zone heavy defense, and that typically favors Christ McCaffrey, Deebo,

441
00:20:41,560 --> 00:20:45,120
Speaker 2: Samuel George Kittle. Usually Ayuk gets a huge plus when

442
00:20:45,160 --> 00:20:47,879
Speaker 2: he's facing a team that plays a ton of man coverage.

443
00:20:48,720 --> 00:20:51,120
Speaker 2: Plus he's also the most likely to face Treek Wollen too,

444
00:20:51,119 --> 00:20:53,680
Speaker 2: so heyes a lot of different things going against him here.

445
00:20:53,680 --> 00:20:57,200
Speaker 2: Obviously he's very talented, but just with all those factors

446
00:20:57,240 --> 00:21:00,719
Speaker 2: and with the Niners probably winning this game pretty easily,

447
00:21:00,720 --> 00:21:03,560
Speaker 2: just leaning on the run game and defense, I'm a

448
00:21:03,560 --> 00:21:07,240
Speaker 2: bit lower on Ayuk this week and then I'm also

449
00:21:07,600 --> 00:21:10,840
Speaker 2: pretty low on Mike Evans as well. He's my wide

450
00:21:10,840 --> 00:21:14,080
Speaker 2: receiver thirteen right now, actually compared to the consensus of

451
00:21:14,520 --> 00:21:16,920
Speaker 2: wide receerver five. And I bet most people will overlook

452
00:21:16,920 --> 00:21:19,640
Speaker 2: his zero catch game last week. He left early, dude

453
00:21:19,720 --> 00:21:21,720
Speaker 2: in illness. It was a meaningless game, So I think

454
00:21:21,760 --> 00:21:24,359
Speaker 2: that people still have that ten catch, two hundred and

455
00:21:24,400 --> 00:21:26,760
Speaker 2: seven yard, three touchdown game still fresh in their mind.

456
00:21:27,320 --> 00:21:29,359
Speaker 2: But I mean he was in a sort of a

457
00:21:29,400 --> 00:21:31,520
Speaker 2: seven game slump heading into that. I think he pointed

458
00:21:31,520 --> 00:21:34,080
Speaker 2: that out where a getting scored since Week four. So

459
00:21:34,240 --> 00:21:36,399
Speaker 2: in Week four he got eight passes, one hundred three

460
00:21:36,440 --> 00:21:39,680
Speaker 2: yards and two touchdowns. So most of his fantasy production

461
00:21:39,760 --> 00:21:42,600
Speaker 2: this year has come in two games. And while he

462
00:21:42,720 --> 00:21:44,720
Speaker 2: obviously you know, he has one of the highest ceilings

463
00:21:44,720 --> 00:21:47,760
Speaker 2: than any receiver in the game, you know, on a

464
00:21:47,800 --> 00:21:51,359
Speaker 2: slate like this, you know, I'm a bit lower than him.

465
00:21:51,440 --> 00:21:54,280
Speaker 2: And you know, Dallas is a really tough matchup as well.

466
00:21:54,320 --> 00:21:56,440
Speaker 2: They ranked third and DVA against the pass. They have

467
00:21:56,560 --> 00:21:59,159
Speaker 2: the third highest pressure rate, so Brady might want to

468
00:21:59,160 --> 00:22:01,680
Speaker 2: get rid of it quicker. So, like I said, Leonard

469
00:22:01,680 --> 00:22:04,440
Speaker 2: Fournette could see an increase in targets and same with

470
00:22:04,520 --> 00:22:06,960
Speaker 2: Chris Godwin. I think Brady's gonna get rid of it

471
00:22:06,960 --> 00:22:09,479
Speaker 2: pretty quick. So that could also hurt Mike Evans as

472
00:22:09,520 --> 00:22:10,320
Speaker 2: well in this matchup.

473
00:22:10,960 --> 00:22:13,440
Speaker 1: Yeah, I go back and forth because Dallas they seemed

474
00:22:13,440 --> 00:22:15,000
Speaker 1: like there'd be a tough matchup. But have you looked

475
00:22:15,000 --> 00:22:17,560
Speaker 1: at their numbers versus Why It's like all of their

476
00:22:17,560 --> 00:22:20,879
Speaker 1: passing reduction only comes against wide receivers. So it's like

477
00:22:21,560 --> 00:22:23,080
Speaker 1: like I think they're like they give up. Yeah, it's

478
00:22:23,080 --> 00:22:25,000
Speaker 1: like something like like twenty two of their twenty four

479
00:22:25,040 --> 00:22:27,359
Speaker 1: passing touch of receiving touchdowns have gone to wide receivers.

480
00:22:27,400 --> 00:22:28,639
Speaker 1: Something's it's pretty nuts.

481
00:22:28,640 --> 00:22:31,720
Speaker 2: So probably they have a bunch of cornerback injuries.

482
00:22:31,960 --> 00:22:34,440
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's probably what it's been. But it's a weird

483
00:22:34,480 --> 00:22:36,760
Speaker 1: one they kind of get a handle on. But uh, yeah,

484
00:22:36,760 --> 00:22:40,080
Speaker 1: I'm actually low on Cee. Lamb mentioned it earlier. I

485
00:22:40,160 --> 00:22:41,800
Speaker 1: just I think that it's just, you know, he's been

486
00:22:42,119 --> 00:22:44,879
Speaker 1: such a consistent guy for most of the year, but

487
00:22:44,920 --> 00:22:48,320
Speaker 1: you know, his real one slip up did come to

488
00:22:48,840 --> 00:22:52,000
Speaker 1: you know, to start the year against these Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Uh,

489
00:22:52,160 --> 00:22:55,159
Speaker 1: just two catches for twenty nine yards on eleven targets.

490
00:22:55,200 --> 00:22:58,080
Speaker 1: He was visibly frustrated throughout that game, and he played

491
00:22:58,119 --> 00:23:00,600
Speaker 1: all the snaps in that game. So I do think

492
00:23:00,640 --> 00:23:03,399
Speaker 1: that is something to kind of watch here, especially with

493
00:23:03,480 --> 00:23:05,760
Speaker 1: you know, their that's kind of struggling with some of

494
00:23:05,800 --> 00:23:08,960
Speaker 1: the interceptions. You know, maybe he doesn't force it to

495
00:23:09,000 --> 00:23:11,680
Speaker 1: a guy like CD quite as much as he would otherwise.

496
00:23:11,680 --> 00:23:14,600
Speaker 1: So I do think there's some some considerable downside here,

497
00:23:14,600 --> 00:23:17,600
Speaker 1: even for a guy that's getting as much volume as

498
00:23:17,600 --> 00:23:21,080
Speaker 1: CD has gotten. And another guy is Isaiah McKenzie. He's

499
00:23:21,119 --> 00:23:25,200
Speaker 1: an ECR WI receiver twenty three, but he's he's ranked

500
00:23:25,200 --> 00:23:28,560
Speaker 1: over guys like Adam Thielen and Isaiah Hodgens, and I

501
00:23:28,680 --> 00:23:31,320
Speaker 1: just I just don't think, you know, he's still he

502
00:23:31,440 --> 00:23:33,640
Speaker 1: is gonna get I think about two thirds of the snaps.

503
00:23:33,680 --> 00:23:36,240
Speaker 1: You know, they might not play a guy like Shakiir

504
00:23:36,320 --> 00:23:38,600
Speaker 1: as much, but either way, I just think in a

505
00:23:38,600 --> 00:23:40,800
Speaker 1: game where it could be a positive game script for

506
00:23:40,920 --> 00:23:43,400
Speaker 1: the Buffalo Bills, you have to look at the guys

507
00:23:43,400 --> 00:23:45,359
Speaker 1: that are gonna be playing, you know, ninety plus percent

508
00:23:45,400 --> 00:23:47,959
Speaker 1: of the snaps over a guy like McKenzie, who varies

509
00:23:48,000 --> 00:23:49,639
Speaker 1: from from week to week and is usually in that

510
00:23:49,680 --> 00:23:53,040
Speaker 1: fifty or seventy five range. All Right, let's go to

511
00:23:53,119 --> 00:23:55,640
Speaker 1: the prop and stay in this Niners game. I went

512
00:23:55,720 --> 00:23:58,480
Speaker 1: there before with quarterback. I'm going with Deebo this one

513
00:23:58,480 --> 00:24:00,399
Speaker 1: because this is gonna be interesting. You know, in the

514
00:24:00,440 --> 00:24:03,080
Speaker 1: playoffs he really went him. Wait, every time he's been

515
00:24:03,080 --> 00:24:07,360
Speaker 1: in the playoffs, he's gone him. So you know, rushing

516
00:24:07,480 --> 00:24:10,520
Speaker 1: receiving yards. Just go a combined rushing receiving yards for him.

517
00:24:10,600 --> 00:24:13,000
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, because he's not you know, they don't need

518
00:24:13,080 --> 00:24:14,240
Speaker 1: him to be as much of a running back. So

519
00:24:14,240 --> 00:24:15,959
Speaker 1: I'm curious as that where you think it's gonna all

520
00:24:15,960 --> 00:24:18,320
Speaker 1: shake out? Yeah, go with the sixty five and a

521
00:24:18,359 --> 00:24:18,919
Speaker 1: half total.

522
00:24:20,680 --> 00:24:24,200
Speaker 2: Oh man, let's see. So I have I'm getting two

523
00:24:24,200 --> 00:24:27,119
Speaker 2: and a half carries. They have Christian McCaffrey now, so

524
00:24:27,160 --> 00:24:28,879
Speaker 2: I don't think it's going to be the five to

525
00:24:28,880 --> 00:24:31,720
Speaker 2: eight rush attempts we saw last year in the playoffs.

526
00:24:31,800 --> 00:24:36,719
Speaker 2: So I have it sixty four and a half.

527
00:24:38,000 --> 00:24:41,040
Speaker 1: Wow, So.

528
00:24:41,960 --> 00:24:45,439
Speaker 2: God, yeah, I guess I'll just I'll go under. I

529
00:24:45,480 --> 00:24:49,199
Speaker 2: don't like it one bet, So I have his I

530
00:24:49,200 --> 00:24:52,320
Speaker 2: have his receiving yardage at like forty six and a

531
00:24:52,320 --> 00:24:54,119
Speaker 2: half and the market opened up at thirty eight and

532
00:24:54,160 --> 00:24:55,960
Speaker 2: a half. Yeah, I saw, and I was gonna bet it,

533
00:24:56,000 --> 00:24:58,160
Speaker 2: but it went up. It's already up to forty one

534
00:24:58,200 --> 00:25:02,159
Speaker 2: and a half by now, so yeah, the market's a

535
00:25:02,160 --> 00:25:04,120
Speaker 2: little bit lower than me. But man, that that's such

536
00:25:04,119 --> 00:25:06,879
Speaker 2: a good line. Uh. I just think a game like this,

537
00:25:06,960 --> 00:25:10,040
Speaker 2: they'll they'll they're gonna lean on christ McCaffrey a lot

538
00:25:10,040 --> 00:25:12,199
Speaker 2: more than we think. I mean, they they trade all

539
00:25:12,240 --> 00:25:14,320
Speaker 2: those pieces to get him, so I think they're gonna

540
00:25:14,400 --> 00:25:16,280
Speaker 2: lean on him heavily and maybe give Deebo a little

541
00:25:16,280 --> 00:25:18,560
Speaker 2: bit of breather. I know he returned to a full,

542
00:25:18,760 --> 00:25:20,360
Speaker 2: you know role last week. He had an eighty five

543
00:25:20,359 --> 00:25:23,359
Speaker 2: percent routes run rate. But they still need him healthy

544
00:25:23,440 --> 00:25:25,360
Speaker 2: for the later round. So I think if they can,

545
00:25:25,680 --> 00:25:29,040
Speaker 2: he'd be the player they limit, especially with Russiat tempts.

546
00:25:29,040 --> 00:25:30,600
Speaker 2: So I'm going to go under, but I don't like it.

547
00:25:30,640 --> 00:25:33,480
Speaker 2: Like you said, he can go off at a moment's notice,

548
00:25:33,480 --> 00:25:35,919
Speaker 2: and this is a great matchup for him, But I

549
00:25:35,920 --> 00:25:37,879
Speaker 2: think his median here is just a bit lower.

550
00:25:38,200 --> 00:25:40,159
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean it also depends on you know, what

551
00:25:40,200 --> 00:25:42,639
Speaker 1: you're what you're projecting for perty because you mentioned like

552
00:25:42,680 --> 00:25:45,480
Speaker 1: the market's kind of a little different from what we have,

553
00:25:45,640 --> 00:25:47,480
Speaker 1: so yeah, that could kind of I think as the

554
00:25:47,480 --> 00:25:50,360
Speaker 1: weather forecast becomes clear too, that'll that'll kind of change.

555
00:25:50,359 --> 00:25:52,200
Speaker 1: It's probably not one of the things you do necessarily

556
00:25:52,200 --> 00:25:53,280
Speaker 1: want to touch earlier in the week.

557
00:25:53,359 --> 00:25:55,919
Speaker 2: Either way, He's he's the type of player honestly that

558
00:25:55,960 --> 00:25:57,720
Speaker 2: could thrive in the rain as well. I mean, just

559
00:25:57,760 --> 00:26:00,639
Speaker 2: get him the ball and make people miss. He's probably

560
00:26:00,680 --> 00:26:03,800
Speaker 2: the one. He and maybe Kittle and McCaffrey are the

561
00:26:03,800 --> 00:26:07,760
Speaker 2: players that it probably doesn't matter. Yeah, they just they

562
00:26:08,359 --> 00:26:13,480
Speaker 2: I mean, honestly, they're just handle the Seahawks here. Oh yeah, exactly.

563
00:26:14,920 --> 00:26:17,479
Speaker 1: All right, let's go to tight end. Who you got

564
00:26:17,520 --> 00:26:18,120
Speaker 1: in the top five?

565
00:26:20,119 --> 00:26:23,399
Speaker 2: So I got t J. Hawkinson, Mark Andrews, George Kittle,

566
00:26:23,520 --> 00:26:25,160
Speaker 2: Evan Ingram, and Dalton Schultz.

567
00:26:26,160 --> 00:26:30,639
Speaker 1: I got Kiddo one, Hockinson two, Andrews three, Ingram four,

568
00:26:31,160 --> 00:26:32,960
Speaker 1: and then Dawson Knox number five.

569
00:26:33,920 --> 00:26:39,800
Speaker 2: Nice who a high on? So I'm high on Kate Aughton,

570
00:26:40,520 --> 00:26:43,399
Speaker 2: you know against Cowboys, he's my tight end nine. Consensus

571
00:26:43,400 --> 00:26:46,080
Speaker 2: has him tight end twelve right now, and last week

572
00:26:46,119 --> 00:26:49,639
Speaker 2: he only ran around on twenty four percent of Tampa

573
00:26:49,680 --> 00:26:53,200
Speaker 2: Bay's drop backs, I should say, and just considering how

574
00:26:53,320 --> 00:26:55,199
Speaker 2: the Buccaneers have used in the past few weeks, he

575
00:26:55,320 --> 00:26:57,920
Speaker 2: is their clear number one tight end. So the fact

576
00:26:57,920 --> 00:27:00,160
Speaker 2: that he saw a limited playing time last week, he's

577
00:27:00,200 --> 00:27:02,400
Speaker 2: a good sign for him this week. So I think

578
00:27:02,440 --> 00:27:04,840
Speaker 2: he's gonna go back to his eighty five percent routes

579
00:27:04,880 --> 00:27:08,040
Speaker 2: run rate he had in the previous two games. And

580
00:27:08,280 --> 00:27:10,600
Speaker 2: you know, he should see a ton of usage this week.

581
00:27:10,640 --> 00:27:12,960
Speaker 2: He's only he's a rookie. He's only going to get better.

582
00:27:13,200 --> 00:27:15,200
Speaker 2: You know, Brady's only gonna trust me even more now.

583
00:27:15,880 --> 00:27:17,440
Speaker 2: So I think he has a ton of upside here.

584
00:27:17,440 --> 00:27:20,400
Speaker 2: And I think people might overlook his low usage last

585
00:27:20,400 --> 00:27:22,359
Speaker 2: week as you know, a negative sign, but I saw

586
00:27:22,359 --> 00:27:23,520
Speaker 2: that as a positive sign.

587
00:27:24,000 --> 00:27:26,440
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think. I mean, Reallystic, you just got to

588
00:27:26,480 --> 00:27:27,959
Speaker 1: kind of throw out that game last week. I mean

589
00:27:28,000 --> 00:27:30,200
Speaker 1: they played guys for like, you know, it was just okay,

590
00:27:30,200 --> 00:27:32,719
Speaker 1: Brady wants to get his passing records. They got him

591
00:27:32,720 --> 00:27:35,639
Speaker 1: the nine completions and the whatever attempts it was, and

592
00:27:35,680 --> 00:27:38,119
Speaker 1: then you know Evan's left Earthly god Win played like

593
00:27:38,160 --> 00:27:40,520
Speaker 1: forty percent. But yeah, I mean, I think the interesting

594
00:27:40,560 --> 00:27:44,200
Speaker 1: thing is, uh, you know, over under how many active

595
00:27:44,200 --> 00:27:46,119
Speaker 1: tight ends for the Bucks three and a half, Like

596
00:27:46,200 --> 00:27:49,000
Speaker 1: does Cameron Braid get healthy scratch or does Rudolph get

597
00:27:49,000 --> 00:27:51,240
Speaker 1: out because like they went away from Break to Rudolph

598
00:27:51,280 --> 00:27:53,679
Speaker 1: these last few games, but they could you know, like

599
00:27:53,680 --> 00:27:55,760
Speaker 1: one of those guys might get scratched for this week.

600
00:27:55,800 --> 00:27:58,280
Speaker 1: It's not gonna be Cookey. Yeah, they fall back too.

601
00:27:58,640 --> 00:28:00,600
Speaker 2: No, they love Kokee, Yeah exactly.

602
00:28:00,960 --> 00:28:01,160
Speaker 3: Yeah.

603
00:28:01,200 --> 00:28:03,159
Speaker 2: Earlier in the season it was Kin of Rudolph that

604
00:28:03,240 --> 00:28:04,800
Speaker 2: was a healthy scratch. Lately it's been Break.

605
00:28:04,880 --> 00:28:09,800
Speaker 1: But yeah, I think Rudolph got hurt, like he easier.

606
00:28:10,040 --> 00:28:12,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, he got banged up, left the game with

607
00:28:12,200 --> 00:28:14,080
Speaker 2: a knee injury. Who knows if they were just being

608
00:28:14,119 --> 00:28:16,560
Speaker 2: cautious because it didn't matter, But yeah, I really do

609
00:28:16,680 --> 00:28:19,880
Speaker 2: think either Brake or Rudolph will be a healthy scratcher.

610
00:28:19,920 --> 00:28:22,240
Speaker 2: They've been, you know, treating the tight end room like that.

611
00:28:23,040 --> 00:28:25,040
Speaker 2: I would say since like what Week seven, Week eight,

612
00:28:25,200 --> 00:28:27,280
Speaker 2: AAST for kay Dawton is just the man like he

613
00:28:27,400 --> 00:28:31,359
Speaker 2: is their legit number one tight end right now. So yeah,

614
00:28:31,560 --> 00:28:33,240
Speaker 2: I'm going to have to go with under three and

615
00:28:33,280 --> 00:28:36,400
Speaker 2: a half tight ends active before including Keith and that group.

616
00:28:36,480 --> 00:28:40,120
Speaker 1: Yeah oh yeah, yeah, I mean he's listed all right. Yeah,

617
00:28:40,160 --> 00:28:42,680
Speaker 1: I like I like Daniel Bellinger this week. You know,

618
00:28:42,760 --> 00:28:45,720
Speaker 1: let's not forget about him in this Vikings game, because

619
00:28:45,920 --> 00:28:48,240
Speaker 1: I think you pointed out last week he's running a

620
00:28:48,280 --> 00:28:51,840
Speaker 1: route like every single snap almost these days. You know,

621
00:28:51,920 --> 00:28:55,520
Speaker 1: since coming back from that that injury, his his route

622
00:28:55,560 --> 00:28:59,000
Speaker 1: participation rates have been eighty three percent. That he had

623
00:28:59,040 --> 00:29:02,320
Speaker 1: won at sixty percent in ninety seven, ninety four, ninety seven,

624
00:29:02,440 --> 00:29:04,560
Speaker 1: So in a playoff game, you'd have to expect him

625
00:29:04,560 --> 00:29:06,680
Speaker 1: to be right up there, you know, in the nineties again.

626
00:29:07,680 --> 00:29:11,320
Speaker 1: So yeah, really like him and this Vikings defense. I mean,

627
00:29:11,360 --> 00:29:14,360
Speaker 1: it's it's pretty you know, they play a lot of zone.

628
00:29:14,480 --> 00:29:16,880
Speaker 1: It's just it's just not a hard defense to at

629
00:29:17,000 --> 00:29:20,080
Speaker 1: least accumulate passing numbers, even if you're not always going

630
00:29:20,120 --> 00:29:22,160
Speaker 1: to get it into the end zone. I think this

631
00:29:22,480 --> 00:29:24,840
Speaker 1: is kind of profiles is one of the bigger giant

632
00:29:24,880 --> 00:29:26,880
Speaker 1: passing games of the year, as we saw in the

633
00:29:26,920 --> 00:29:30,680
Speaker 1: first matchup. So yeah, like Daniel Bellinger this week.

634
00:29:31,640 --> 00:29:34,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, I love that call. I mean the box score

635
00:29:34,080 --> 00:29:38,080
Speaker 2: hasn't really been matching his underline usage, but just he

636
00:29:38,240 --> 00:29:41,080
Speaker 2: is a four or five catch catch game waiting to

637
00:29:41,080 --> 00:29:44,120
Speaker 2: happen right now. Yeah, So I think you know, the Vikings,

638
00:29:44,800 --> 00:29:48,520
Speaker 2: just Ritchie James Isaiah Hodgens have been playing so well.

639
00:29:48,520 --> 00:29:49,880
Speaker 2: They're going to have to pay attention to them, and

640
00:29:49,920 --> 00:29:52,240
Speaker 2: it could open things up for Daniel Bellinger. So yeah,

641
00:29:52,240 --> 00:29:54,440
Speaker 2: I love that call. On a smaller slate this weekend.

642
00:29:55,120 --> 00:29:57,000
Speaker 1: Yes, and it's like you got a couple of two

643
00:29:57,000 --> 00:29:58,880
Speaker 1: minute drives or something like that. That's when you could

644
00:29:58,920 --> 00:30:00,920
Speaker 1: really just you know, just keep moving the chain with

645
00:30:01,040 --> 00:30:04,920
Speaker 1: a couple of catches, cheap catches. So all right, who

646
00:30:04,960 --> 00:30:06,000
Speaker 1: do you want? Who are you loa?

647
00:30:07,240 --> 00:30:10,320
Speaker 2: I'm low on Noah Fan here against the Niners. He's

648
00:30:10,320 --> 00:30:13,440
Speaker 2: my titan, and fourteen consensus has him tightened ten. But

649
00:30:13,520 --> 00:30:16,520
Speaker 2: this is you know, just obviously a tough matchup overall

650
00:30:16,600 --> 00:30:19,680
Speaker 2: against Fort Anders and despite well Disley going on IR

651
00:30:19,720 --> 00:30:22,520
Speaker 2: a couple weeks ago, we haven't seen fans usage increase

652
00:30:22,720 --> 00:30:25,840
Speaker 2: much at all. It's been Kobe Parkinson who has been

653
00:30:26,040 --> 00:30:28,040
Speaker 2: benefit of the most. So both these tight ends are

654
00:30:28,120 --> 00:30:31,240
Speaker 2: especially splitting. You know, sixty to sixty five percent routes

655
00:30:31,280 --> 00:30:35,800
Speaker 2: run each So just with the limited playing time and

656
00:30:35,840 --> 00:30:39,640
Speaker 2: the tough matchup, I'm pretty low on no Ah Fan here. Yeah.

657
00:30:39,640 --> 00:30:41,040
Speaker 1: I thought that was I know, he got hurt in

658
00:30:41,120 --> 00:30:43,959
Speaker 1: the like the first game without Disney, so like two

659
00:30:44,000 --> 00:30:46,320
Speaker 1: weeks ago he got hurt and then and then, so

660
00:30:46,360 --> 00:30:48,000
Speaker 1: I was like, Okay, are they gonna Is he gonna

661
00:30:48,040 --> 00:30:50,320
Speaker 1: go back to normal? But you know he kind of

662
00:30:50,320 --> 00:30:53,560
Speaker 1: stayed in that you know, sixty ish percent range and

663
00:30:53,600 --> 00:30:56,520
Speaker 1: Parkinson kind of right behind him. So I'm not too

664
00:30:56,520 --> 00:31:00,239
Speaker 1: big of a bump for Noah fan there. Uh, I'm

665
00:31:00,280 --> 00:31:02,760
Speaker 1: all on hayden Hurst. He's mainly because he's an East

666
00:31:02,840 --> 00:31:04,360
Speaker 1: our top five tight end. I just don't think he

667
00:31:04,400 --> 00:31:05,840
Speaker 1: should be top five of where you know, a guy

668
00:31:05,880 --> 00:31:09,880
Speaker 1: like Dawson Knox, Evan Ingram, somebody like that. Baltimore is

669
00:31:09,960 --> 00:31:13,680
Speaker 1: number seven in DVOA against tight ends. And again, you know,

670
00:31:13,760 --> 00:31:16,040
Speaker 1: anytime you have these divisional games, especially now it's the

671
00:31:16,080 --> 00:31:18,160
Speaker 1: second time they're playing in two weeks, it's the third

672
00:31:18,200 --> 00:31:20,800
Speaker 1: time they're playing this year, I think you could get

673
00:31:20,880 --> 00:31:23,200
Speaker 1: just kind of lower scoring matchups. Both of the matchups

674
00:31:23,200 --> 00:31:25,600
Speaker 1: haven't really been high scoring to begin with. H So,

675
00:31:25,800 --> 00:31:27,480
Speaker 1: you know the tight end. You want tight ends in

676
00:31:27,520 --> 00:31:30,160
Speaker 1: a spot where you know they have a high touchdown probability,

677
00:31:30,240 --> 00:31:33,000
Speaker 1: and I just I don't think it's a particularly great

678
00:31:33,040 --> 00:31:36,360
Speaker 1: matchup for hayden Hurst. So he's outside of my top

679
00:31:36,400 --> 00:31:37,600
Speaker 1: five this week.

680
00:31:39,000 --> 00:31:41,479
Speaker 2: Yeah, I know that that's great calm. I'm a huge

681
00:31:41,600 --> 00:31:44,880
Speaker 2: in her Stan obviously, but he's my tight end seven. Yeah. Yeah,

682
00:31:44,920 --> 00:31:48,000
Speaker 2: but he's super cheap. He's super cheap in DFS, though

683
00:31:48,000 --> 00:31:51,880
Speaker 2: I think he is. He's probably overrated in the consensus ECR,

684
00:31:52,240 --> 00:31:54,080
Speaker 2: but in DFS, I think he's too cheap.

685
00:31:54,080 --> 00:31:56,200
Speaker 1: This week, Yeah, well, I mean I think you you know,

686
00:31:56,240 --> 00:31:58,720
Speaker 1: if you're stacking with like Burrow or something, or or

687
00:31:58,760 --> 00:32:01,000
Speaker 1: you're trying to fade, you're trying to chase, you know,

688
00:32:01,200 --> 00:32:02,880
Speaker 1: because that's really how you have to attack the FS.

689
00:32:02,960 --> 00:32:05,040
Speaker 1: It's like, okay, who am I fading? It's like if

690
00:32:05,040 --> 00:32:08,320
Speaker 1: you're fading Jamar Chase Anti Higgins, you know, somebody's gonna

691
00:32:08,320 --> 00:32:11,720
Speaker 1: probably catch a touchdown from Joe Burrow. So then that's

692
00:32:11,760 --> 00:32:12,920
Speaker 1: when you go with the guy like Hrst.

693
00:32:12,960 --> 00:32:17,280
Speaker 2: But yeah, he has it, Yeah, he has a he

694
00:32:17,320 --> 00:32:19,200
Speaker 2: has a higher ceiling than some of these guys. But wait,

695
00:32:19,200 --> 00:32:21,920
Speaker 2: who the hell are people ranking over? Do they have

696
00:32:22,000 --> 00:32:23,600
Speaker 2: him over Schultz or Knocks?

697
00:32:23,680 --> 00:32:27,960
Speaker 1: Yeah? I think Schultz and not I think yeah, wait

698
00:32:28,000 --> 00:32:30,640
Speaker 1: one of them Ingram?

699
00:32:30,800 --> 00:32:33,640
Speaker 2: Oh my god, I'm like one or two points off

700
00:32:34,120 --> 00:32:40,480
Speaker 2: from those guys. That's pretty crazy. Let me see it's yeah, yeah, yeah,

701
00:32:40,680 --> 00:32:41,480
Speaker 2: Ingram and Schultz.

702
00:32:41,920 --> 00:32:44,920
Speaker 1: Wow, all right, what are you doing for the problems.

703
00:32:45,880 --> 00:32:49,360
Speaker 2: Let's go t J. Hawkinson receiving yards. Last week ARV

704
00:32:49,400 --> 00:32:53,400
Speaker 2: Smith returned. He looked pretty good. He had limited usage,

705
00:32:53,400 --> 00:32:56,560
Speaker 2: but just curious if you think it's gonna impact Hawkinson

706
00:32:56,640 --> 00:33:01,160
Speaker 2: at all. But I have Hawkinson's receiving prop at fifty

707
00:33:01,160 --> 00:33:04,440
Speaker 2: four and a half right now, Uh.

708
00:33:04,360 --> 00:33:08,880
Speaker 1: Let's see just four and a half. That is, Oh,

709
00:33:09,080 --> 00:33:12,840
Speaker 1: I'll go I'll go under just because yeah, I think

710
00:33:12,840 --> 00:33:15,120
Speaker 1: there's a if there's at least some uncertainty about it.

711
00:33:15,160 --> 00:33:17,280
Speaker 1: Like I know Hockinson and he also did he had

712
00:33:17,320 --> 00:33:20,080
Speaker 1: the huge game against the Giants in the first one

713
00:33:20,200 --> 00:33:23,240
Speaker 1: thirteen of sixteen for one oh nine, and that came

714
00:33:23,280 --> 00:33:25,000
Speaker 1: off the heels of like he was like the only

715
00:33:25,040 --> 00:33:26,840
Speaker 1: guy who didn't produce and Cousins through for like five

716
00:33:26,920 --> 00:33:30,000
Speaker 1: hundred yards against the Colts. So like, now I think

717
00:33:30,080 --> 00:33:32,680
Speaker 1: it like the Giants, you know, you probably want to

718
00:33:32,680 --> 00:33:35,360
Speaker 1: make Osbourne or Thielin beat you this time, Like I don't.

719
00:33:35,760 --> 00:33:37,400
Speaker 1: I don't think you want to. I don't think you

720
00:33:37,400 --> 00:33:39,600
Speaker 1: want to repeat of TJ. Hockinson going thirteen for one

721
00:33:39,640 --> 00:33:42,040
Speaker 1: oh nine and two. So usually that's how these things

722
00:33:42,120 --> 00:33:44,440
Speaker 1: kind of ebb and flow here, So uh and then

723
00:33:44,640 --> 00:33:46,960
Speaker 1: on top of that, you do have the uncertainty of

724
00:33:47,120 --> 00:33:48,480
Speaker 1: you know, is there a Smith just gonna play the

725
00:33:48,520 --> 00:33:50,880
Speaker 1: Johnny munt roll? Probably not, because munt is a blocker.

726
00:33:50,920 --> 00:33:53,720
Speaker 1: IRV Smith is not. So like any snap, Smith's get

727
00:33:54,080 --> 00:33:58,040
Speaker 1: would probably come out directly from Hawkins. And so yeah,

728
00:33:58,080 --> 00:34:01,280
Speaker 1: for those reasons, I will go under that is going

729
00:34:01,320 --> 00:34:04,680
Speaker 1: to do it for our Week nineteen aka Wildcard Weekend

730
00:34:05,080 --> 00:34:08,400
Speaker 1: NFL Player Projections episode of the Action Network podcast presented

731
00:34:08,400 --> 00:34:11,040
Speaker 1: by FanDuel. For more great fantasy content from Sean and I,

732
00:34:11,120 --> 00:34:13,680
Speaker 1: be sure to check out our full fantasy preview episode

733
00:34:13,719 --> 00:34:16,600
Speaker 1: out now over on the Fantasy Flex podcast channel. And

734
00:34:16,640 --> 00:34:18,160
Speaker 1: if you're in the betting, be sure to check out

735
00:34:18,160 --> 00:34:21,480
Speaker 1: my weekly betting preview episode every Thursday with Stucky right

736
00:34:21,520 --> 00:34:24,200
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737
00:34:24,239 --> 00:34:27,160
Speaker 1: our NFL fantasy and betting content, as well as our

738
00:34:27,239 --> 00:34:30,080
Speaker 1: up to date projections fantasylab dot com for our DFS

739
00:34:30,160 --> 00:34:32,359
Speaker 1: pools and models. You can find Sean on Twitter at

740
00:34:32,440 --> 00:34:34,880
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741
00:34:34,960 --> 00:34:38,320
Speaker 1: at those same handles on the free award winning Action Network.

742
00:34:38,400 --> 00:34:39,600
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743
00:34:39,480 --> 00:35:08,640
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744
00:34:56,520 --> 00:35:01,040
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746
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