1 00:00:00,320 --> 00:00:04,120 Speaker 1: The Favorite podcast is presented by FanDuel Sports Book. There's 2 00:00:04,160 --> 00:00:08,280 Speaker 1: no better place to make every moment more than with FanDuel. 3 00:00:08,400 --> 00:00:11,320 Speaker 1: I bet with FanDuel because they're safe and secure, they 4 00:00:11,320 --> 00:00:14,440 Speaker 1: offer great odds and markets across the NBA, n HL 5 00:00:14,480 --> 00:00:17,680 Speaker 1: and more, and because it's fun to combine multiple bets 6 00:00:17,920 --> 00:00:21,720 Speaker 1: into same game parlays. So if you're new, just download 7 00:00:21,720 --> 00:00:24,560 Speaker 1: the FanDuel Sports Book app to get started now. Sign 8 00:00:24,640 --> 00:00:29,000 Speaker 1: up with promo code Favorites so they know I sent you. 9 00:00:29,000 --> 00:00:33,160 Speaker 1: You must be over in president in Arizona, Colorado, Connecticut, Indiana, Michigan, 10 00:00:33,159 --> 00:00:36,600 Speaker 1: New Jersey, New York, Tennessee, Virginia, West Virginia or Louisiana. 11 00:00:36,720 --> 00:00:39,640 Speaker 1: Gambling problem called one eight hundred next step or text 12 00:00:39,960 --> 00:00:42,279 Speaker 1: next step to five three three four two in Arizona 13 00:00:42,520 --> 00:00:45,280 Speaker 1: one eight hundred gambler or visit FanDuel dot com slash 14 00:00:45,400 --> 00:00:48,440 Speaker 1: r G in Colorado, Indiana, New Jersey. In Virginia one 15 00:00:48,600 --> 00:00:51,520 Speaker 1: eight seven eight nine seven seven seven seven or visit 16 00:00:51,640 --> 00:00:56,560 Speaker 1: CCPG dot org slash chat in Connecticut one eight seven 17 00:00:56,600 --> 00:00:58,960 Speaker 1: zero seven one one seven for confidential help in Michigan 18 00:00:59,120 --> 00:01:02,640 Speaker 1: one eight seventh having s S T O P in 19 00:01:02,640 --> 00:01:06,880 Speaker 1: Louisiana called the Tennessee Redline one eight eight nine or 20 00:01:06,959 --> 00:01:16,720 Speaker 1: visit one eight hundred gambler dot net in West Virginia. 21 00:01:17,920 --> 00:01:22,360 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, the podcast from the Volume Podcast Network. 22 00:01:22,400 --> 00:01:27,680 Speaker 1: I'm Shad Millman, Chief Content Officer of the Action Network. 23 00:01:28,640 --> 00:01:31,679 Speaker 1: I am joined as always by my bff, my companion, 24 00:01:31,720 --> 00:01:39,800 Speaker 1: Michael Padre, professional better Simon Hunter. Nothing. There's nothing better 25 00:01:39,840 --> 00:01:43,160 Speaker 1: than talking NFL football in early May. I'm so happy 26 00:01:43,160 --> 00:01:45,680 Speaker 1: we're about to do this. We're about to do this, man. Listen, 27 00:01:45,720 --> 00:01:53,080 Speaker 1: it's uh Tuesday afternoon or Tuesday, I should say, and um, 28 00:01:53,160 --> 00:01:58,520 Speaker 1: we are going to drop a pod breaking down the 29 00:01:58,760 --> 00:02:07,320 Speaker 1: NFC post draft, analyzing division odds, analyzing conference odds for 30 00:02:08,080 --> 00:02:12,200 Speaker 1: all the NFC teams, bets that were made pre draft, 31 00:02:12,400 --> 00:02:16,000 Speaker 1: on futures for these teams, bets that were made post draft, 32 00:02:16,280 --> 00:02:19,919 Speaker 1: how lines have moved, especially with our friends at Vanduel. 33 00:02:20,240 --> 00:02:23,560 Speaker 1: And then Thursday's episode is going to be all the 34 00:02:23,639 --> 00:02:27,359 Speaker 1: same stuff but for the a f C. And I 35 00:02:27,440 --> 00:02:31,480 Speaker 1: gotta tell you, like, Simon, you know, we went to 36 00:02:31,560 --> 00:02:33,960 Speaker 1: Vegas for the draft, right and you and I recorded 37 00:02:33,960 --> 00:02:37,560 Speaker 1: a podcast live from Vegas. At least I was in Vegas. 38 00:02:37,639 --> 00:02:44,399 Speaker 1: Because while you're you know, young and virile and unattached 39 00:02:44,760 --> 00:02:49,840 Speaker 1: and rich, beyond any of your wildest expectations. It was 40 00:02:49,880 --> 00:02:52,200 Speaker 1: too much for you to be in Vegas on four 41 00:02:52,280 --> 00:02:55,440 Speaker 1: twenty celebrating whatever for twenty means. I don't know, I'm 42 00:02:55,440 --> 00:02:58,160 Speaker 1: just an old person, and then going back to Vegas 43 00:02:58,280 --> 00:03:03,840 Speaker 1: a week later, whereas I, who in April had been 44 00:03:04,000 --> 00:03:09,720 Speaker 1: between starting on April eight, Chicago, Puerto Rico, I get it, 45 00:03:10,000 --> 00:03:15,840 Speaker 1: bougie vacation whatever, then Boston, then across country flight to 46 00:03:15,840 --> 00:03:20,400 Speaker 1: San Francisco three days later, across country flight back forty 47 00:03:20,560 --> 00:03:25,480 Speaker 1: hours later, across country flight to Vegas. Four our Action 48 00:03:25,560 --> 00:03:31,880 Speaker 1: Network event in Vegas, and then home in Vegas. I 49 00:03:31,919 --> 00:03:37,560 Speaker 1: get COVID and yet you're in the safety and sanctity 50 00:03:37,640 --> 00:03:41,560 Speaker 1: of your own home the entire time. True, but I 51 00:03:41,640 --> 00:03:43,480 Speaker 1: told you that was the That's why I had a 52 00:03:43,480 --> 00:03:45,680 Speaker 1: bad feling about Vegas. Was I already pushed to five 53 00:03:45,800 --> 00:03:48,680 Speaker 1: days and again I'm the worst. I literally went to 54 00:03:50,040 --> 00:03:52,160 Speaker 1: a guy at work with house, so I don't even 55 00:03:52,160 --> 00:03:53,760 Speaker 1: know if I went to know what I did. I 56 00:03:53,760 --> 00:03:57,440 Speaker 1: did go to the Bellagio, um, but I don't know. 57 00:03:57,680 --> 00:04:00,400 Speaker 1: I again, you you were with a lot more people 58 00:04:00,440 --> 00:04:02,880 Speaker 1: I was. I was literally out in the desert a 59 00:04:02,880 --> 00:04:06,080 Speaker 1: couple of times. Um, I mean, we're gonna let you 60 00:04:06,080 --> 00:04:08,560 Speaker 1: tell a story. My favorite thing that happened to me 61 00:04:08,600 --> 00:04:11,320 Speaker 1: because I was around a lot of pros, old school 62 00:04:11,320 --> 00:04:15,280 Speaker 1: guys too. So have you heard about Lake Mead? Yeah? Yeah, 63 00:04:15,320 --> 00:04:19,240 Speaker 1: I've heard about Lake Mead? Do you want to? They're 64 00:04:19,320 --> 00:04:21,440 Speaker 1: running out of water pretty much. The water is getting 65 00:04:21,480 --> 00:04:25,320 Speaker 1: really short and they're starting to find barrels, and what 66 00:04:25,360 --> 00:04:29,040 Speaker 1: do you think are inside these barrels? So it was 67 00:04:29,080 --> 00:04:31,320 Speaker 1: really funny joking with all these guys are just like, 68 00:04:31,480 --> 00:04:33,560 Speaker 1: I can't hear about all old pros. We thought took 69 00:04:33,600 --> 00:04:35,080 Speaker 1: off and lived a good life, and they find him 70 00:04:35,080 --> 00:04:37,600 Speaker 1: in these barrels because there's it's just Vegas, one of 71 00:04:37,600 --> 00:04:40,000 Speaker 1: these cities you meet people and they disappear. There were 72 00:04:40,040 --> 00:04:42,039 Speaker 1: no cell phones, there were email addresses back in the 73 00:04:42,080 --> 00:04:44,800 Speaker 1: day with these guys. So it is funny hearing these 74 00:04:44,839 --> 00:04:47,280 Speaker 1: guys talked about that lake because it's the lowest it's 75 00:04:47,320 --> 00:04:50,480 Speaker 1: ever been historically. So uh, And it was hilarious being 76 00:04:50,520 --> 00:04:52,640 Speaker 1: there that week and all them talking about that. Yeah, 77 00:04:52,680 --> 00:04:55,120 Speaker 1: it's pretty amazing that. It's a pretty gruesome stories there. 78 00:04:55,200 --> 00:04:57,520 Speaker 1: There were these people walking around along the edge of 79 00:04:57,600 --> 00:05:00,520 Speaker 1: Lake Mead and uh, the out of the levels of 80 00:05:00,640 --> 00:05:03,719 Speaker 1: lake meat have dropped so much. They saw a barrel 81 00:05:04,080 --> 00:05:07,760 Speaker 1: that was decomposing and looked inside and saw a skeleton 82 00:05:07,880 --> 00:05:10,279 Speaker 1: with a shirt and a belt sticking to it. And 83 00:05:10,320 --> 00:05:12,039 Speaker 1: the cops came out and said, this guy was probably 84 00:05:12,080 --> 00:05:14,000 Speaker 1: a victim of a hit from the mob in the eighties. 85 00:05:14,360 --> 00:05:17,120 Speaker 1: And yeah, you're gonna see that a lot now. It's 86 00:05:17,560 --> 00:05:20,120 Speaker 1: it is so weird to fly into Vegas and you 87 00:05:20,200 --> 00:05:24,400 Speaker 1: fly over uh, Lake Mead and you see the reservoir 88 00:05:24,839 --> 00:05:27,080 Speaker 1: and the way like you can see how the waterline 89 00:05:28,040 --> 00:05:31,760 Speaker 1: it's so strange and you can it's it's the crazy. 90 00:05:31,839 --> 00:05:34,640 Speaker 1: The color is crazy. And also the striations in the 91 00:05:34,640 --> 00:05:38,599 Speaker 1: banks where it's just you know, you can see where 92 00:05:38,600 --> 00:05:42,159 Speaker 1: it used to be and it's it's totally stunning. Um. 93 00:05:42,240 --> 00:05:45,520 Speaker 1: We had an Action Action Network event. It was amazing. 94 00:05:45,560 --> 00:05:48,239 Speaker 1: It turned out to be an amazing event. I actually 95 00:05:48,400 --> 00:05:51,000 Speaker 1: honestly wish I was there. You would have loved it. Uh. 96 00:05:51,160 --> 00:05:53,760 Speaker 1: We a lot of fans were there. I appreciate everybody 97 00:05:53,760 --> 00:05:57,120 Speaker 1: who came out. Every single person asked me where signing? 98 00:05:57,560 --> 00:06:05,440 Speaker 1: Where next one? And you know, I'm not the jealous type, simon. 99 00:06:05,560 --> 00:06:07,599 Speaker 1: I always want you with me, and so when people 100 00:06:07,640 --> 00:06:10,560 Speaker 1: ask me where you are, I'm thinking that's my guy. 101 00:06:11,040 --> 00:06:13,719 Speaker 1: Of course we should be together at this event. And 102 00:06:13,720 --> 00:06:15,200 Speaker 1: it turned out to be a really fun event. It 103 00:06:15,200 --> 00:06:17,640 Speaker 1: was a little bit of a sweet spot because there 104 00:06:17,640 --> 00:06:19,960 Speaker 1: weren't a ton of media out there doing an event 105 00:06:20,040 --> 00:06:22,400 Speaker 1: like this. We were doing it during a happy hour. 106 00:06:22,600 --> 00:06:25,000 Speaker 1: It was a beautiful night. We were at the pool 107 00:06:25,040 --> 00:06:28,280 Speaker 1: at Circa and had sort of an area roped off 108 00:06:28,320 --> 00:06:33,320 Speaker 1: for us at Stadium swim beautiful venue. Uh, and we 109 00:06:33,400 --> 00:06:36,240 Speaker 1: just had a blast meeting fans, meeting other people in 110 00:06:36,240 --> 00:06:38,600 Speaker 1: the media industry that came by. Chris Long was there, 111 00:06:39,200 --> 00:06:42,760 Speaker 1: so you know you had said to me last week 112 00:06:42,760 --> 00:06:47,560 Speaker 1: on the podcast, Uh, when you meet Chris Long mentioned 113 00:06:47,560 --> 00:06:53,960 Speaker 1: their name Joe O'Malley, So so i'm It turns out 114 00:06:54,000 --> 00:06:57,160 Speaker 1: like the the space that we ended up using for 115 00:06:57,920 --> 00:07:00,640 Speaker 1: some of the video with Chris Long ended up being 116 00:07:00,680 --> 00:07:04,120 Speaker 1: my hotel room. I was upgraded to a suite at 117 00:07:04,120 --> 00:07:07,799 Speaker 1: the hotel and uh, so I had a nice size 118 00:07:07,839 --> 00:07:09,600 Speaker 1: room and then I had a really nice size sort 119 00:07:09,600 --> 00:07:12,000 Speaker 1: of living area, right, And We're originally supposed to be 120 00:07:12,040 --> 00:07:14,360 Speaker 1: in this one space Circa and it didn't work out 121 00:07:14,440 --> 00:07:16,640 Speaker 1: for shooting, so I said, hey, you guys, we can 122 00:07:16,720 --> 00:07:18,960 Speaker 1: just use my suite, and so we set up like 123 00:07:19,200 --> 00:07:22,600 Speaker 1: the whole crew. Sound how saying that the multiple people, Yeah, 124 00:07:22,640 --> 00:07:24,640 Speaker 1: and they just use my sweet guys. You can use 125 00:07:24,640 --> 00:07:29,440 Speaker 1: my sweet guys, use my sweet guy. Guy. I'm saying 126 00:07:29,440 --> 00:07:31,000 Speaker 1: it here for the first time. I've been saving so 127 00:07:31,120 --> 00:07:35,280 Speaker 1: much stuff for this podcast. So I'm getting in the 128 00:07:35,280 --> 00:07:37,640 Speaker 1: elevator to go up to the room to see the shoot. 129 00:07:37,960 --> 00:07:40,000 Speaker 1: And it turns out that's right when Chris Long had 130 00:07:40,000 --> 00:07:43,920 Speaker 1: just gotten in the elevator. So he's standing with one 131 00:07:43,960 --> 00:07:46,560 Speaker 1: of our producers and they introduced me. I'm like, oh, hey, 132 00:07:46,560 --> 00:07:49,080 Speaker 1: cool man, and uh, the first thing I said when 133 00:07:49,080 --> 00:07:52,480 Speaker 1: I said, listen, I got a podcast, I go and 134 00:07:52,480 --> 00:07:54,800 Speaker 1: I look at him, and I go, it's very popular, 135 00:07:55,120 --> 00:07:59,400 Speaker 1: And he goes, aren't all of our podcast popular? And like, 136 00:07:59,440 --> 00:08:02,240 Speaker 1: because it's an inside joke, everyone's got a podcast, and 137 00:08:02,360 --> 00:08:05,720 Speaker 1: everyone everyone says their podcast is so big, right, So 138 00:08:05,880 --> 00:08:09,360 Speaker 1: he's impossible not to like off the bat. Also, he's 139 00:08:09,360 --> 00:08:12,120 Speaker 1: one of those people that is just so empirically good 140 00:08:12,120 --> 00:08:15,560 Speaker 1: looking you don't even think people like that exists, right, 141 00:08:16,280 --> 00:08:20,080 Speaker 1: cheek bones, he's huge, he's rich, he's a great athlete, 142 00:08:20,480 --> 00:08:24,320 Speaker 1: perfect face, right, So I say, don't listen, the co 143 00:08:24,400 --> 00:08:27,360 Speaker 1: host of my very popular podcast said, didn't mention one 144 00:08:27,440 --> 00:08:30,679 Speaker 1: name to you. He goes, what I go, Joe O'Malley. 145 00:08:30,880 --> 00:08:34,679 Speaker 1: His his mouth dropped to the floor like he was stunned. 146 00:08:35,160 --> 00:08:39,679 Speaker 1: He was like, dude, legend, legend. I told you. When 147 00:08:39,720 --> 00:08:42,160 Speaker 1: I say legend, I'm not lying in like people, you 148 00:08:42,200 --> 00:08:44,360 Speaker 1: know what's annoying. It wasn't enough to make him feel 149 00:08:44,400 --> 00:08:46,880 Speaker 1: like I gotta get on your podcast and talk to 150 00:08:46,920 --> 00:08:50,040 Speaker 1: this guy. Oh wow, No, I mean he's a big time. 151 00:08:50,400 --> 00:08:52,959 Speaker 1: He's a big time. He's really a big time. I 152 00:08:53,000 --> 00:08:54,640 Speaker 1: wonder if we get more listeners than he does, though 153 00:08:55,600 --> 00:08:58,079 Speaker 1: we probably do during the football seas. I mean, I'm 154 00:08:58,120 --> 00:09:00,400 Speaker 1: not not the not the say that he doesn't know 155 00:09:00,440 --> 00:09:03,560 Speaker 1: what he's doing with the NFL, but I mean he's 156 00:09:03,600 --> 00:09:06,280 Speaker 1: pretty good. But he's owned by a gambling company now, 157 00:09:06,320 --> 00:09:09,320 Speaker 1: so he does a lot of sports gambling stuff himself. 158 00:09:09,320 --> 00:09:11,559 Speaker 1: So I doubt that he listened for a show just 159 00:09:11,600 --> 00:09:13,679 Speaker 1: because we do the same stuff. That's right, That's right. 160 00:09:14,120 --> 00:09:16,240 Speaker 1: So that was number one. I'd love to have him 161 00:09:16,280 --> 00:09:19,640 Speaker 1: long obviously, Well maybe we can figure that out. Um, 162 00:09:19,679 --> 00:09:22,160 Speaker 1: that was number one. Number two, I go to the 163 00:09:22,360 --> 00:09:25,360 Speaker 1: go to the event. Uh I I ended up coming 164 00:09:25,360 --> 00:09:28,079 Speaker 1: home with COVID. I can feel I know exactly when 165 00:09:28,080 --> 00:09:29,880 Speaker 1: it happened. It was at the event, like I felt, 166 00:09:30,000 --> 00:09:32,960 Speaker 1: I felt like a little bit of someone's like spittle 167 00:09:33,080 --> 00:09:36,320 Speaker 1: on my face. At one point, after too much close talking, 168 00:09:36,720 --> 00:09:38,920 Speaker 1: I'm like, I'm like, oh my god, I just got COVID. 169 00:09:40,080 --> 00:09:43,720 Speaker 1: Here's what's crazy. Okay. So the next morning I go 170 00:09:43,800 --> 00:09:47,320 Speaker 1: through security. I get on the shuttle, the train the 171 00:09:47,360 --> 00:09:50,720 Speaker 1: tram from security to the d gates at Las Vegas 172 00:09:50,800 --> 00:09:54,320 Speaker 1: or at the airport Harry Reader International Airport, and I 173 00:09:54,320 --> 00:09:56,560 Speaker 1: get on the tram and there's a guy who's like 174 00:09:57,400 --> 00:10:00,959 Speaker 1: sucking sort of the webbing between his um and his finger, 175 00:10:01,800 --> 00:10:04,600 Speaker 1: and it looks really weird. I'm like, oh fuck, this 176 00:10:04,600 --> 00:10:07,679 Speaker 1: guy's gonna kill everybody, right, and then he takes his 177 00:10:07,679 --> 00:10:11,600 Speaker 1: hand out of his mouth and he's like good blood 178 00:10:11,600 --> 00:10:14,520 Speaker 1: blood is gushing all over his hand. I'm like, oh 179 00:10:14,520 --> 00:10:16,440 Speaker 1: my god, he's gonna kill us. But he had a 180 00:10:16,440 --> 00:10:19,520 Speaker 1: machete in his bag and he cut himself first, and 181 00:10:19,559 --> 00:10:21,560 Speaker 1: then he puts it back in his mouth and like 182 00:10:21,640 --> 00:10:23,400 Speaker 1: it's really looks like it's painful. And I happen to 183 00:10:23,440 --> 00:10:25,320 Speaker 1: have a bunch of band aids in my bag. So 184 00:10:25,400 --> 00:10:27,840 Speaker 1: I hand him like a whole load of band aids 185 00:10:27,840 --> 00:10:29,840 Speaker 1: and he's like, thanks so much, I appreciate it. I 186 00:10:29,920 --> 00:10:31,800 Speaker 1: reached into my bag and my razor was in the 187 00:10:31,800 --> 00:10:34,120 Speaker 1: side pocket and I forgot I cut my hand. Great. 188 00:10:35,160 --> 00:10:37,400 Speaker 1: Wen't see him after that. We both get off the 189 00:10:37,400 --> 00:10:40,040 Speaker 1: tram go our separate ways. I go up to my gates, 190 00:10:40,080 --> 00:10:42,439 Speaker 1: I get some food. I'm lounging. I'm talking to people 191 00:10:42,960 --> 00:10:49,120 Speaker 1: and yeah, right, and uh, exactly no, you know what, 192 00:10:49,240 --> 00:10:50,560 Speaker 1: I was wearing a mask. I was one of the 193 00:10:50,559 --> 00:10:53,199 Speaker 1: few people, like in the airports and on the plane 194 00:10:53,240 --> 00:10:56,360 Speaker 1: wearing a mask. So I'm wearing the mask, I'm talking 195 00:10:56,360 --> 00:10:59,120 Speaker 1: to people whatever. And uh. I get on the plane. 196 00:10:59,120 --> 00:11:00,640 Speaker 1: I board the plane. I sit out of my seat. 197 00:11:02,120 --> 00:11:05,040 Speaker 1: Right before the door closes. This guy gets on sits 198 00:11:05,160 --> 00:11:08,600 Speaker 1: right next to me. Oh my god. I say to him. 199 00:11:08,600 --> 00:11:11,160 Speaker 1: I say to him, how's your hand? He goes, it's 200 00:11:11,200 --> 00:11:14,200 Speaker 1: really good. Thanks. I go, what are the fucking odds? 201 00:11:15,120 --> 00:11:17,200 Speaker 1: He goes, it's pretty crazy. So you know what I did? 202 00:11:18,040 --> 00:11:23,920 Speaker 1: I slacked. Sean Croner and Nick Giffen are predictive analytics geniuses, 203 00:11:24,200 --> 00:11:26,520 Speaker 1: and I actually said to them, what are the odds 204 00:11:26,559 --> 00:11:28,680 Speaker 1: that this would happen, that this guy would sit next 205 00:11:28,679 --> 00:11:31,240 Speaker 1: to me? And they did the math. They did the math, 206 00:11:31,280 --> 00:11:33,599 Speaker 1: and they basically nerrowed it down. Matt Mitchell, keep me 207 00:11:33,640 --> 00:11:35,440 Speaker 1: honest on this. I think it was four dred and 208 00:11:35,480 --> 00:11:39,360 Speaker 1: fifty thousand to one that this would happen, because they 209 00:11:39,400 --> 00:11:42,320 Speaker 1: basically said, there's this number of gates, this number of 210 00:11:42,320 --> 00:11:44,719 Speaker 1: flights leaving this number of seats on the plane, with 211 00:11:44,800 --> 00:11:47,760 Speaker 1: the chances of this happening are x And it both 212 00:11:47,840 --> 00:11:49,600 Speaker 1: was amazing to me that they figured it out and 213 00:11:49,640 --> 00:11:54,960 Speaker 1: also like completely removed the mystery from me. And the 214 00:11:55,000 --> 00:11:57,320 Speaker 1: reason I tell the story is a was just amazing. 215 00:11:57,360 --> 00:12:01,439 Speaker 1: But be our friends, I can Jen Schiffman Mike is 216 00:12:01,440 --> 00:12:04,800 Speaker 1: a regular listener to the podcast works at ESPN UH. 217 00:12:04,840 --> 00:12:07,800 Speaker 1: We're over on Friday night and I was telling the 218 00:12:07,840 --> 00:12:11,120 Speaker 1: story and Jen Schiffman, She's like, dude, that's a segment. 219 00:12:11,600 --> 00:12:15,000 Speaker 1: What are the odds? What are the odds? What do 220 00:12:15,040 --> 00:12:16,480 Speaker 1: you think of that? Should we do that? What are 221 00:12:16,480 --> 00:12:20,679 Speaker 1: the odds? Like? If you listeners can send us there happenstances, 222 00:12:20,720 --> 00:12:24,040 Speaker 1: their coincidences, and we can determine what are the odds 223 00:12:24,040 --> 00:12:27,160 Speaker 1: of those things actually happening in real life. I mean, 224 00:12:27,160 --> 00:12:28,760 Speaker 1: I'm not gonna get two into it because I don't 225 00:12:28,760 --> 00:12:30,120 Speaker 1: want to people. People are to think I'm crazy on 226 00:12:30,120 --> 00:12:31,560 Speaker 1: this show, but they don't even know how deep I 227 00:12:31,559 --> 00:12:33,760 Speaker 1: think about life and other things like that. But basically 228 00:12:34,400 --> 00:12:36,040 Speaker 1: those things like that with like you just haved what 229 00:12:36,080 --> 00:12:39,360 Speaker 1: that guy happened to me? Constantly in life, I'll see 230 00:12:39,440 --> 00:12:43,400 Speaker 1: someone and I will I will see them multiple times, 231 00:12:43,400 --> 00:12:46,319 Speaker 1: say throughout whatever. It is likely when I went to Mexico, 232 00:12:47,520 --> 00:12:51,360 Speaker 1: I I forget what the name of the guy's name was. 233 00:12:51,400 --> 00:12:53,360 Speaker 1: I basically had to go back to Miami from Cuba 234 00:12:53,400 --> 00:12:57,320 Speaker 1: to go back to Mexico, and this guy at the airport, 235 00:12:57,440 --> 00:12:59,360 Speaker 1: same exact thing I said at this guy. I looked 236 00:12:59,360 --> 00:13:01,720 Speaker 1: at him maybe for two minutes because I'm like, I 237 00:13:01,760 --> 00:13:03,680 Speaker 1: know him from somewhere. I end up sitting next to 238 00:13:03,679 --> 00:13:05,400 Speaker 1: them on my airplane. And it's just one of those 239 00:13:05,400 --> 00:13:07,560 Speaker 1: things where there's just like weird little coincidence in life 240 00:13:07,559 --> 00:13:09,640 Speaker 1: like that, But I feel like it happens if you, 241 00:13:09,760 --> 00:13:12,640 Speaker 1: if you pay attention to surroundings and people, it happens 242 00:13:12,640 --> 00:13:14,800 Speaker 1: way more than you believe. Yet little things like that, 243 00:13:15,880 --> 00:13:17,520 Speaker 1: I'll never forget this one time went to the supermarket. 244 00:13:17,559 --> 00:13:19,960 Speaker 1: I mean this woman there was the last bananas left. 245 00:13:20,080 --> 00:13:22,400 Speaker 1: I said, you can take it. Not even twenty minutes 246 00:13:22,440 --> 00:13:24,240 Speaker 1: later I met CVS. That same woman is walking on 247 00:13:24,520 --> 00:13:27,320 Speaker 1: the island. CVS like we were both doing our Saturday errands, 248 00:13:27,320 --> 00:13:29,000 Speaker 1: and I was like, this is weird. So, I mean, 249 00:13:29,040 --> 00:13:30,400 Speaker 1: there's just a little weird things like that I can 250 00:13:30,480 --> 00:13:35,760 Speaker 1: off top of my head. Then life moves in mysterious rhythms. 251 00:13:37,000 --> 00:13:39,800 Speaker 1: If people have anecdotes like this and they want to 252 00:13:39,840 --> 00:13:44,439 Speaker 1: send them in bat Mitchell, where should they send them? 253 00:13:44,679 --> 00:13:49,200 Speaker 1: Go ahead and send those two podcasts plural at Action 254 00:13:49,240 --> 00:13:51,520 Speaker 1: Network dot com. I have no idea if this will 255 00:13:51,520 --> 00:13:53,240 Speaker 1: be an interesting segment or not. I have no idea 256 00:13:53,280 --> 00:13:55,160 Speaker 1: if people. I have no idea if people will send 257 00:13:55,200 --> 00:13:57,880 Speaker 1: him in. But you know, because that is that is 258 00:13:58,040 --> 00:14:00,440 Speaker 1: insanely weird where it's like you're the only first and 259 00:14:00,600 --> 00:14:04,040 Speaker 1: offer this guy any type of aid. Yeah sits next 260 00:14:04,040 --> 00:14:09,880 Speaker 1: to you. Insane, right, totally insane. All right, Simon, The 261 00:14:10,000 --> 00:14:12,320 Speaker 1: draft did happen, and it continues to be one of 262 00:14:12,360 --> 00:14:15,640 Speaker 1: the best events in the world to watch. I got 263 00:14:15,679 --> 00:14:19,520 Speaker 1: on late Thursday night, uh from Vegas, watched it, stayed 264 00:14:19,600 --> 00:14:22,560 Speaker 1: up late watching it, watched it Friday night. I was like, 265 00:14:22,640 --> 00:14:24,320 Speaker 1: one of the main things I was watching instead of 266 00:14:24,360 --> 00:14:28,720 Speaker 1: the NBA. I just fucking love it. I love everything 267 00:14:28,760 --> 00:14:33,040 Speaker 1: about it. It's so good. Do you wanted to see 268 00:14:33,160 --> 00:14:34,960 Speaker 1: this year? I didn't drink or party during the draft. 269 00:14:35,000 --> 00:14:36,560 Speaker 1: You want to see what I did during my draft 270 00:14:36,840 --> 00:14:40,600 Speaker 1: while watching? Yeah, Simon is turning around, He's grabbing something 271 00:14:40,640 --> 00:14:46,800 Speaker 1: from behind he made He made a Lego DeLorean, first Lego. 272 00:14:46,840 --> 00:14:50,240 Speaker 1: I bought it almost I'd say twenty years. Why did 273 00:14:50,240 --> 00:14:53,240 Speaker 1: you do that? Why did I buy a Lego Dolorian? Yeah? 274 00:14:53,800 --> 00:14:56,560 Speaker 1: I was like, how can I keep myself occupied while 275 00:14:56,600 --> 00:14:58,600 Speaker 1: watching a draft that they only draft every ten minutes? 276 00:14:58,760 --> 00:15:00,400 Speaker 1: Because I didn't want to booze with the by your people. 277 00:15:00,400 --> 00:15:02,280 Speaker 1: I just wanted to watch it and actually like enjoy 278 00:15:02,360 --> 00:15:04,600 Speaker 1: the draft because usually when I bet big money and 279 00:15:04,640 --> 00:15:06,360 Speaker 1: I go to a party, so I'm not thinking about 280 00:15:06,360 --> 00:15:08,080 Speaker 1: all the money, I'm about the loose of the draft. 281 00:15:08,120 --> 00:15:10,280 Speaker 1: But this year is a little different. I love the 282 00:15:10,320 --> 00:15:12,680 Speaker 1: draft of this fashion. I mean again the Vegas thing 283 00:15:12,720 --> 00:15:14,800 Speaker 1: that to me was pretty cool. Just the whole view 284 00:15:14,840 --> 00:15:16,360 Speaker 1: of it was pretty cool. And it was just great 285 00:15:16,360 --> 00:15:18,920 Speaker 1: to see fans again at these drafts because like, as 286 00:15:18,920 --> 00:15:21,800 Speaker 1: an Eagles fan going to that draft and Philly, it 287 00:15:21,880 --> 00:15:24,440 Speaker 1: was so cool, like I'll never forget that Dallas Cowboys 288 00:15:24,440 --> 00:15:26,120 Speaker 1: guy like cursing us all out like that was just 289 00:15:26,160 --> 00:15:27,760 Speaker 1: a really cool experience. I think that was Day two. 290 00:15:28,600 --> 00:15:31,040 Speaker 1: I mean getting the draft, the draft, Chad, who's the 291 00:15:31,040 --> 00:15:32,760 Speaker 1: biggest winner of the draft in Europeion before we go 292 00:15:32,800 --> 00:15:34,720 Speaker 1: through all the teams, do a f C or NFC? 293 00:15:34,760 --> 00:15:36,280 Speaker 1: Are you are you gonna go with every Everyone's saying 294 00:15:36,320 --> 00:15:39,360 Speaker 1: the Jets. Well, I'm not actually thinking about the Jets. 295 00:15:39,400 --> 00:15:43,960 Speaker 1: To me, I'm I'm a sucker, right, And so uh 296 00:15:44,080 --> 00:15:47,440 Speaker 1: the kid from Michigan who tours Achilles and otherwise it 297 00:15:47,440 --> 00:15:49,840 Speaker 1: would have been a top ten pick that went to Baltimore. 298 00:15:50,400 --> 00:15:52,600 Speaker 1: That's what I was like. I kept saying to my son, 299 00:15:53,200 --> 00:15:55,560 Speaker 1: I'm just so sad for this guy. I'm so sad 300 00:15:55,600 --> 00:15:58,960 Speaker 1: for this guy, Like it's just stunning to me, you know, 301 00:15:59,400 --> 00:16:02,920 Speaker 1: the turn of events and the misfortune. And then I 302 00:16:03,000 --> 00:16:05,560 Speaker 1: was so thrilled that he got drafted by the Ravens, 303 00:16:05,880 --> 00:16:09,600 Speaker 1: a great organization to develop him by his defensive coordinator 304 00:16:09,920 --> 00:16:12,800 Speaker 1: in college who will now be his defensive coordinator in 305 00:16:12,880 --> 00:16:14,760 Speaker 1: the pros and give him sort of the time he 306 00:16:14,800 --> 00:16:17,360 Speaker 1: needs to heal, put him in a position to succeed. 307 00:16:17,680 --> 00:16:19,720 Speaker 1: He'll do great and in four years get his big 308 00:16:19,760 --> 00:16:23,880 Speaker 1: money contract. Like it's hard to time your shot right, 309 00:16:24,800 --> 00:16:28,840 Speaker 1: it's hard to have everything line up so your moment 310 00:16:29,120 --> 00:16:33,920 Speaker 1: matches the market. And this kid was so close and 311 00:16:35,200 --> 00:16:38,680 Speaker 1: his pro day to tear his achilles and have to 312 00:16:38,800 --> 00:16:42,760 Speaker 1: basically start over. I just you know, I feel bad 313 00:16:42,800 --> 00:16:45,000 Speaker 1: for him. So and I think the Ravens did an 314 00:16:45,040 --> 00:16:49,040 Speaker 1: amazing job drafting the Jets. I don't fucking know, Like 315 00:16:49,320 --> 00:16:51,520 Speaker 1: sure they got the best players in the spots that 316 00:16:51,560 --> 00:16:54,320 Speaker 1: they happened to need because they had high picks. I 317 00:16:54,320 --> 00:16:57,000 Speaker 1: think it was a good move to trade up to 318 00:16:57,120 --> 00:17:01,400 Speaker 1: get the defensive end from Florida State, But we don't 319 00:17:01,440 --> 00:17:05,920 Speaker 1: know anything in these things, like nobody knows anything, So 320 00:17:06,160 --> 00:17:08,840 Speaker 1: sure they had a great draft. I was so focused 321 00:17:08,840 --> 00:17:11,720 Speaker 1: on the Bears, like I could, I could live with 322 00:17:12,200 --> 00:17:16,919 Speaker 1: a defensive back with the first pick. I mean, the 323 00:17:16,960 --> 00:17:22,600 Speaker 1: Bears practiced really excellent like social distancing in their secondary 324 00:17:22,760 --> 00:17:26,240 Speaker 1: last year, Like they were Covid truthers about how much 325 00:17:26,240 --> 00:17:28,280 Speaker 1: they were going to stay away from people in the 326 00:17:28,320 --> 00:17:31,920 Speaker 1: defensive secondary last year because they wouldn't guard anybody. I 327 00:17:32,000 --> 00:17:33,639 Speaker 1: like the GM. He seems like he's a nerd. I 328 00:17:33,680 --> 00:17:35,680 Speaker 1: like that, Like he seems like he's very by the math. 329 00:17:35,960 --> 00:17:38,040 Speaker 1: I guess I wish like I kind of feel like 330 00:17:38,080 --> 00:17:40,639 Speaker 1: they stretched for that receiver from Tennessee who's gonna be 331 00:17:40,680 --> 00:17:43,159 Speaker 1: twenty five and is really a kick returner. Like we 332 00:17:43,200 --> 00:17:45,480 Speaker 1: didn't get Justin Fields anybody. So at least you didn't 333 00:17:45,560 --> 00:17:48,360 Speaker 1: use a pick on Kevin White. So there you go. 334 00:17:49,000 --> 00:17:51,439 Speaker 1: There you go. Um No, I was lining you up, chat. 335 00:17:51,480 --> 00:17:53,600 Speaker 1: That's what we're all killing. You're supposed talk about the 336 00:17:53,600 --> 00:17:57,160 Speaker 1: Pildelphia Eagles because we're talking about the NFC East. Uh oh, well, 337 00:17:58,080 --> 00:17:59,640 Speaker 1: I know, I know, we're just out of sync here, 338 00:18:00,280 --> 00:18:02,640 Speaker 1: low hanging fruit. Of course, Chad said the Ravens did 339 00:18:02,640 --> 00:18:04,880 Speaker 1: great in the draft. Everyone in the entire world every 340 00:18:04,960 --> 00:18:07,200 Speaker 1: year tell us about how good the Ravens doing the draft, 341 00:18:07,400 --> 00:18:09,479 Speaker 1: and every year the either don't make the playoffs are 342 00:18:09,520 --> 00:18:11,440 Speaker 1: leaving their first round. Get out of here with your 343 00:18:11,480 --> 00:18:16,920 Speaker 1: love for the the Kyle Hamilton's obviously he's our guy. 344 00:18:17,160 --> 00:18:19,800 Speaker 1: That was a great pick by them. But yeah, the Ravens. 345 00:18:19,800 --> 00:18:22,840 Speaker 1: Every year, everyone's like, Ravens killed another draft. They're the best. 346 00:18:22,880 --> 00:18:25,560 Speaker 1: Who does it better? Yeah? What have they done since 347 00:18:25,640 --> 00:18:28,840 Speaker 1: Joe Flacco left all those years ago. Alright, fine, Simon, listen, 348 00:18:28,960 --> 00:18:31,560 Speaker 1: we want to We're gonna start about the NFC. Let's 349 00:18:31,560 --> 00:18:33,720 Speaker 1: talk about the NFC East. That is the one that 350 00:18:33,720 --> 00:18:37,600 Speaker 1: we want to talk about. First. Um, Jerry Jones showed 351 00:18:37,640 --> 00:18:40,480 Speaker 1: everybody in the world their draft board. That was amazing, 352 00:18:40,840 --> 00:18:45,200 Speaker 1: That was so cool, that insight. Yeah, that was right. Now, 353 00:18:45,240 --> 00:18:47,720 Speaker 1: the Cowboys. Let's line it up. The Cowboys plus UM 354 00:18:48,280 --> 00:18:52,399 Speaker 1: one oh five at Vanduel to win the NFC East, 355 00:18:53,080 --> 00:19:00,840 Speaker 1: Eagles plus two forty Washington Commanders plus for fifty New 356 00:19:00,920 --> 00:19:02,919 Speaker 1: York Football Giants who a lot of people say had 357 00:19:02,920 --> 00:19:07,720 Speaker 1: a good draft to plus six fifty. Let's talk about 358 00:19:07,720 --> 00:19:09,920 Speaker 1: your egals. That's where the that's that's where the value 359 00:19:10,040 --> 00:19:12,600 Speaker 1: is right now. It's got to be the Eagles. It's 360 00:19:12,640 --> 00:19:14,919 Speaker 1: debatable because they've they've been brought up a little bit 361 00:19:14,960 --> 00:19:16,680 Speaker 1: at this point because everyone that thinks has the same 362 00:19:16,760 --> 00:19:19,760 Speaker 1: view as us, where it's like, that's that that draft 363 00:19:19,800 --> 00:19:23,359 Speaker 1: could have gone any bed for Howie uh he. I 364 00:19:23,440 --> 00:19:25,440 Speaker 1: do think he traded up to get Williams and then 365 00:19:25,440 --> 00:19:28,000 Speaker 1: Detroit moved up the picked before and took him the 366 00:19:28,000 --> 00:19:30,480 Speaker 1: wide receiver. So he did the next best thing. He 367 00:19:30,520 --> 00:19:34,000 Speaker 1: took an absolute freak d tackle that's gonna replace Fletcher Cox, 368 00:19:34,080 --> 00:19:37,680 Speaker 1: and again that the Eagles D line is unbelievable. That's 369 00:19:37,680 --> 00:19:40,000 Speaker 1: the biggest strength of their team. And then he went 370 00:19:40,040 --> 00:19:41,840 Speaker 1: and made the trade for A J. Brown, which you're 371 00:19:41,880 --> 00:19:45,760 Speaker 1: looking at this market. He gave up, you know, a 372 00:19:45,880 --> 00:19:50,960 Speaker 1: first round pick, and I mean, basically, this kid is 373 00:19:51,000 --> 00:19:52,960 Speaker 1: twenty three years old, so we just paid him. I 374 00:19:52,960 --> 00:19:56,480 Speaker 1: think it's a hundred million dollars. So basically he's locked 375 00:19:56,560 --> 00:19:58,040 Speaker 1: up now because he saw the year left on his 376 00:19:58,080 --> 00:19:59,959 Speaker 1: deal plus the four years, so he's got five year 377 00:20:00,040 --> 00:20:01,560 Speaker 1: is left. He's gonna be out of here at maybe 378 00:20:01,600 --> 00:20:04,280 Speaker 1: twenty nine. I have no idea if he's gonna be good. 379 00:20:04,320 --> 00:20:06,840 Speaker 1: I've seen a g I do some incredible stuff. I've 380 00:20:06,880 --> 00:20:10,000 Speaker 1: also seen him have a ton of injuries. He's always 381 00:20:10,040 --> 00:20:12,960 Speaker 1: got these tissue injuries. You'll play really well for a quarter, 382 00:20:13,040 --> 00:20:15,200 Speaker 1: make a catch and then go off the field because 383 00:20:15,200 --> 00:20:16,800 Speaker 1: he's grabbing a side or something like that. So I 384 00:20:16,840 --> 00:20:19,280 Speaker 1: like a J a lot. He's only twenty four years old. 385 00:20:19,680 --> 00:20:22,240 Speaker 1: I'm about the move for Howie. So for me, the 386 00:20:22,280 --> 00:20:25,199 Speaker 1: Eagles a too plus two forty. I think that's pretty good. Value. 387 00:20:25,720 --> 00:20:29,199 Speaker 1: But my job is to to bet on BA the 388 00:20:29,240 --> 00:20:32,240 Speaker 1: best value of everyone in the division. How do I 389 00:20:32,280 --> 00:20:35,480 Speaker 1: not take the Washington Commanders, Like no one wants to 390 00:20:35,480 --> 00:20:37,560 Speaker 1: bet on them. Their owner is a piece of crap. 391 00:20:37,720 --> 00:20:40,960 Speaker 1: They have the worst name in all football. They're they're 392 00:20:41,040 --> 00:20:43,280 Speaker 1: ugly everyone. I mean, they're the grossest team, one of 393 00:20:43,280 --> 00:20:46,240 Speaker 1: the grossest teams right now in all football. I'm getting easy, 394 00:20:46,680 --> 00:20:50,000 Speaker 1: easily plus one fifty value on them, like no doubt 395 00:20:50,040 --> 00:20:53,720 Speaker 1: about just because everyone's out on cover. I think Colin 396 00:20:53,760 --> 00:20:56,880 Speaker 1: Coward doing one that's in on it on wents right now. 397 00:20:57,280 --> 00:21:00,280 Speaker 1: Everyone's down on Wents. So it's like Coward doing I've 398 00:21:00,320 --> 00:21:03,200 Speaker 1: seen back him. I I don't think by any means 399 00:21:03,240 --> 00:21:05,120 Speaker 1: I think he's a great quarterback, but I think this 400 00:21:05,160 --> 00:21:07,840 Speaker 1: is a great spot for him. He's on a team 401 00:21:07,880 --> 00:21:10,879 Speaker 1: that's pretty good. They almost made the playoffs last year 402 00:21:10,880 --> 00:21:14,240 Speaker 1: with a I mean literally a kid that was off 403 00:21:14,240 --> 00:21:17,520 Speaker 1: the streets like Fitzpatrick got hurt. They they're starting undrafted 404 00:21:17,520 --> 00:21:20,280 Speaker 1: free agent quarterback. So to me, if I'm going best 405 00:21:20,359 --> 00:21:21,760 Speaker 1: valu ring on the NFC East and if you want 406 00:21:21,760 --> 00:21:23,800 Speaker 1: to get money down right now, I want to do 407 00:21:23,800 --> 00:21:25,680 Speaker 1: the Eagles. That would do the Cowboys that actually would 408 00:21:25,720 --> 00:21:27,920 Speaker 1: do the Commanders because that's the best value no one. 409 00:21:27,960 --> 00:21:29,760 Speaker 1: No one's betting them. You can you can look it 410 00:21:29,800 --> 00:21:31,720 Speaker 1: up online the numbers. No one's betting that team right 411 00:21:31,720 --> 00:21:33,560 Speaker 1: now to win this division. You know, the A. J. 412 00:21:33,760 --> 00:21:38,760 Speaker 1: Brown thing is really interesting. You've got two very different 413 00:21:38,800 --> 00:21:43,359 Speaker 1: ways of thinking about your team and its future. And 414 00:21:43,400 --> 00:21:46,000 Speaker 1: what the Eagles have done have basically said, we're going 415 00:21:46,040 --> 00:21:51,720 Speaker 1: to get the best available talent for our quarterback, who 416 00:21:52,040 --> 00:21:56,120 Speaker 1: we're not entirely sure of his ability yet, but we're 417 00:21:56,160 --> 00:21:58,240 Speaker 1: not going to be able to really judge him if 418 00:21:58,240 --> 00:22:01,359 Speaker 1: we don't give him the best tools. I think that 419 00:22:01,560 --> 00:22:05,720 Speaker 1: is a phenomenally thoughtful way of trying to evaluate. You 420 00:22:05,760 --> 00:22:07,080 Speaker 1: want to you want to know if a guy is 421 00:22:07,119 --> 00:22:10,280 Speaker 1: going to be great, give him greatness around him, because 422 00:22:10,480 --> 00:22:14,760 Speaker 1: the number of people who succeed when they aren't complimented 423 00:22:15,359 --> 00:22:19,159 Speaker 1: by other assets is very small. In football. You can 424 00:22:19,200 --> 00:22:23,120 Speaker 1: basically say it's Tom Brady and that's it, right because 425 00:22:23,320 --> 00:22:25,600 Speaker 1: he succeeded no matter who was around him, and for 426 00:22:25,640 --> 00:22:27,520 Speaker 1: a large part of that time he did have the 427 00:22:27,560 --> 00:22:31,040 Speaker 1: best tight end probably in the history of football and 428 00:22:31,119 --> 00:22:35,280 Speaker 1: usually in overachieving defense. But like this is a great 429 00:22:35,320 --> 00:22:40,320 Speaker 1: move by the Eagles. Also really interesting move by the Titans. 430 00:22:40,680 --> 00:22:45,879 Speaker 1: A very forward thinking, very progressive, very We're going to 431 00:22:45,920 --> 00:22:48,000 Speaker 1: get our ducks in a row. We're not going to 432 00:22:48,080 --> 00:22:50,959 Speaker 1: be held hostage by what the fans might think, are 433 00:22:51,000 --> 00:22:54,040 Speaker 1: wider quarterback might think. We're gonna go with what our 434 00:22:54,080 --> 00:22:57,320 Speaker 1: gut and what our financial sense is telling us. We're 435 00:22:57,359 --> 00:22:59,440 Speaker 1: gonna get rid of a J. Brown. We're going to 436 00:22:59,520 --> 00:23:02,159 Speaker 1: get a guy who might be we don't know, but 437 00:23:02,240 --> 00:23:04,959 Speaker 1: we're hoping for a lot less money and it allows 438 00:23:05,000 --> 00:23:07,600 Speaker 1: us to make the entirety of the team better. That 439 00:23:07,920 --> 00:23:11,720 Speaker 1: to me is like really smart, judicious thinking by both sides, 440 00:23:11,960 --> 00:23:15,480 Speaker 1: two different ways to do it. Yeah, definitely pretty risky. 441 00:23:15,560 --> 00:23:18,080 Speaker 1: But I again, I love to be the Eagles fan 442 00:23:18,119 --> 00:23:20,000 Speaker 1: that ships on everything, but I can't get over how 443 00:23:20,600 --> 00:23:26,080 Speaker 1: Howie Howie Rosmen has become basically like the Bill Belichick 444 00:23:26,119 --> 00:23:28,080 Speaker 1: of GMS. If you look at the tree right now, 445 00:23:28,240 --> 00:23:30,440 Speaker 1: all the different GMS and football and all the guys 446 00:23:30,480 --> 00:23:33,000 Speaker 1: who work for them, it's incredible all the people have 447 00:23:33,040 --> 00:23:34,760 Speaker 1: been poached from the Eagles that are running all these 448 00:23:34,760 --> 00:23:37,679 Speaker 1: different teams. And I have to have faith in him 449 00:23:37,680 --> 00:23:40,320 Speaker 1: where he he likes this move. And again, like you 450 00:23:40,400 --> 00:23:43,240 Speaker 1: just talked about Hurts. The kid in his first year 451 00:23:43,280 --> 00:23:45,240 Speaker 1: starting took a team to the playoffs. Yeah, the Eagles 452 00:23:45,240 --> 00:23:46,800 Speaker 1: were not that good and they probably got in there 453 00:23:46,800 --> 00:23:48,840 Speaker 1: off an easy schedule. I guess what they have this year. 454 00:23:48,880 --> 00:23:52,000 Speaker 1: They have another easy schedule. So to me, it's it's 455 00:23:52,040 --> 00:23:54,040 Speaker 1: a no brainer where they're gonna see what Hurts can 456 00:23:54,080 --> 00:23:55,560 Speaker 1: do this year, and if he's not that good, they 457 00:23:55,560 --> 00:23:57,840 Speaker 1: have the draft capital and drafts quarterback next year. So 458 00:23:58,320 --> 00:24:00,480 Speaker 1: how he's really set this up grade for this egos 459 00:24:00,520 --> 00:24:02,639 Speaker 1: team that, like you just said, he's surrounded them with 460 00:24:02,760 --> 00:24:05,040 Speaker 1: every weapon he could ask for it to be good. 461 00:24:05,760 --> 00:24:08,080 Speaker 1: I mean, look at fields with the Bears, He's he's 462 00:24:08,080 --> 00:24:11,800 Speaker 1: got nothing. So there's there's certain teams that they take 463 00:24:11,840 --> 00:24:14,000 Speaker 1: a while to get there. The egos are here, like 464 00:24:14,080 --> 00:24:16,159 Speaker 1: they have the weapons. There's no real excuse for Hurts. 465 00:24:16,160 --> 00:24:18,760 Speaker 1: So it's as a fan it's exciting, but as a 466 00:24:18,800 --> 00:24:21,960 Speaker 1: better just take a take a step back. They're not 467 00:24:22,119 --> 00:24:24,320 Speaker 1: that much greater than the Commanders. I know they have 468 00:24:24,320 --> 00:24:26,200 Speaker 1: a lot of sexy names right now, but I'm telling you, 469 00:24:26,280 --> 00:24:29,000 Speaker 1: like between these two teams on paper, there's not that 470 00:24:29,040 --> 00:24:31,359 Speaker 1: big of a difference just because the egos don't have 471 00:24:31,359 --> 00:24:33,720 Speaker 1: any really good safeties. They don't really have good cornerbacks, 472 00:24:33,760 --> 00:24:35,320 Speaker 1: Like I know, they have Sleigh on one side, but 473 00:24:35,760 --> 00:24:38,200 Speaker 1: when they run Nickel they had major issues. So there 474 00:24:38,200 --> 00:24:40,440 Speaker 1: are some weaknesses to this Egos team other than Hurts 475 00:24:40,440 --> 00:24:44,320 Speaker 1: having a step up this year. So with the Washington Commanders, 476 00:24:44,800 --> 00:24:47,879 Speaker 1: they chose Johan Dots and the Penn State receiver with 477 00:24:48,000 --> 00:24:51,840 Speaker 1: their first pick one drop in three years of playing 478 00:24:51,840 --> 00:24:53,600 Speaker 1: at Penn State. Pretty yeah, he was great. I mean 479 00:24:53,600 --> 00:24:55,000 Speaker 1: I watched a lot of Big ten this year just 480 00:24:55,040 --> 00:24:58,160 Speaker 1: because he was always on. He was fantastic all year 481 00:24:58,280 --> 00:25:02,080 Speaker 1: for pretty pathetic Penn State offense. And then they filled 482 00:25:02,080 --> 00:25:04,439 Speaker 1: needs in the defensive secondary that they needed as well. 483 00:25:04,640 --> 00:25:08,720 Speaker 1: Plus they got everybody's favorite quarterback who turned into nothing 484 00:25:08,840 --> 00:25:12,320 Speaker 1: special uh in North Carolina, which was Sam Howell. I 485 00:25:12,320 --> 00:25:14,560 Speaker 1: think it's about two weeks before people are saying, when 486 00:25:14,560 --> 00:25:16,800 Speaker 1: are we gonna see Sam Howell the place in Carson Wentz. 487 00:25:17,240 --> 00:25:19,920 Speaker 1: Probably again, he's gonna have a very short leash, and 488 00:25:19,960 --> 00:25:23,400 Speaker 1: we've seen Carson melt won the spotlights an alright, So 489 00:25:23,880 --> 00:25:27,840 Speaker 1: Washington Commanders plus four fifty giants are plus six fifty. Look, 490 00:25:28,240 --> 00:25:32,320 Speaker 1: they got the defensive end they needed, They got the 491 00:25:32,359 --> 00:25:36,400 Speaker 1: offensive linemen they needed two great picks. Everyone thinks they're amazing. 492 00:25:36,920 --> 00:25:38,879 Speaker 1: It was so fun to watch. There was a video 493 00:25:39,080 --> 00:25:43,720 Speaker 1: of the new Giants coach calling I think Evan Neil 494 00:25:44,440 --> 00:25:48,720 Speaker 1: and it was like the stiffest conversation ever. And then 495 00:25:48,920 --> 00:25:52,800 Speaker 1: Mike Tomlin calls Kenny Pickett and I mean, look, if 496 00:25:52,840 --> 00:25:55,000 Speaker 1: there's a moment for the first Mike Tomlin drop of 497 00:25:55,000 --> 00:25:59,240 Speaker 1: the new three NFL season, it's right now, because you 498 00:25:59,280 --> 00:26:02,000 Speaker 1: want to run through a wall. Like he calls Kenny Pickett, 499 00:26:02,040 --> 00:26:05,680 Speaker 1: He's like, Kenny Pickett, Kenny, what's up? What's you doing tonight? Man? 500 00:26:05,800 --> 00:26:08,920 Speaker 1: What's a guy going on? Hey, We're about to make 501 00:26:08,960 --> 00:26:13,240 Speaker 1: you a Pittsburgh stealer. Brother. Congratulations to you and your family, bro, 502 00:26:13,320 --> 00:26:16,679 Speaker 1: We're excited to have you. Man, this is awesome. And 503 00:26:16,760 --> 00:26:19,840 Speaker 1: like Brian day Ball is like, hello, son, how are you? 504 00:26:19,880 --> 00:26:22,040 Speaker 1: I want to play for the football? Janet's like, where's 505 00:26:22,080 --> 00:26:24,320 Speaker 1: the spirit? Man? I'm not I'm not knocking Brian day 506 00:26:24,359 --> 00:26:25,640 Speaker 1: but I'm sure he's a great coach and I'm sure 507 00:26:25,640 --> 00:26:28,760 Speaker 1: you can rile people up. But that video, like you 508 00:26:28,800 --> 00:26:31,400 Speaker 1: want to go play for Mike Tomlins. Yeah, Well, my mom, 509 00:26:31,400 --> 00:26:35,240 Speaker 1: who knows nothing about NFL, really calls him. She's like, Simon, 510 00:26:35,280 --> 00:26:37,720 Speaker 1: do you know about this Kenny Pickett? And I'm like, yeah, 511 00:26:37,760 --> 00:26:40,000 Speaker 1: I know about Kenny Pickett. She's like, is he good? 512 00:26:40,440 --> 00:26:42,520 Speaker 1: I work with his mother and I'm like, no, you 513 00:26:42,560 --> 00:26:44,760 Speaker 1: do not. She goes, I do. And my mom's knowing 514 00:26:44,880 --> 00:26:47,360 Speaker 1: his mom say for like five years and she never 515 00:26:47,440 --> 00:26:50,200 Speaker 1: knew her kid played college. Like a very humble family. 516 00:26:50,720 --> 00:26:52,639 Speaker 1: So it's just really funny. My MoMA, no nowhere. Apparently 517 00:26:52,640 --> 00:26:55,040 Speaker 1: he's from the Jersey Shore, so he's like, he's probably 518 00:26:55,160 --> 00:26:56,800 Speaker 1: half an hour forty five minutes from where I grew 519 00:26:56,880 --> 00:27:00,280 Speaker 1: up down the beach Um. Small world. Kenny Pickett going 520 00:27:00,359 --> 00:27:10,040 Speaker 1: first round pretty crazy, Chris Long. 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Alright, let's 550 00:28:51,320 --> 00:28:53,640 Speaker 1: talk about the NFC North because the Packers, you know, 551 00:28:53,840 --> 00:28:56,120 Speaker 1: they gave Varon Rodgers a lot of help. Not not 552 00:28:56,280 --> 00:29:00,080 Speaker 1: really the Vikings. The Packers are minus one eighty, The 553 00:29:00,160 --> 00:29:04,160 Speaker 1: Vikings are plus three hundred, the Bears plus nine fifty, 554 00:29:04,480 --> 00:29:09,920 Speaker 1: the Lions plus nine fifty Lions. Aidan Hutchinson, you had 555 00:29:09,960 --> 00:29:13,320 Speaker 1: Aidan Hunchinson to go number one? How did it fair 556 00:29:13,360 --> 00:29:15,400 Speaker 1: for you overall? Because obviously that was going to be 557 00:29:15,440 --> 00:29:18,400 Speaker 1: a pretty significant loss. Well, luckily woke up in the 558 00:29:18,440 --> 00:29:20,360 Speaker 1: same That's what I talked about, Like if you wake 559 00:29:20,440 --> 00:29:23,080 Speaker 1: up and the odds are still minus forger for Walker, 560 00:29:23,160 --> 00:29:25,520 Speaker 1: that meant Walk was probably gonna be the first pick overall. 561 00:29:25,640 --> 00:29:28,200 Speaker 1: So and didn't get burned too much. But I mean 562 00:29:28,240 --> 00:29:31,760 Speaker 1: it was pretty luckily. Kyle Hamilton dropped, which like I 563 00:29:31,800 --> 00:29:33,520 Speaker 1: needed him not to be in the top ten. Again, 564 00:29:33,680 --> 00:29:36,240 Speaker 1: love the kid. It's just you look at a draft board. 565 00:29:36,280 --> 00:29:39,680 Speaker 1: Safety isn't valued as its other positions. Um with the money. 566 00:29:39,760 --> 00:29:44,400 Speaker 1: So yeah, I we talked last year coming to the 567 00:29:44,480 --> 00:29:46,800 Speaker 1: year Chad that we're gonna be one of the few 568 00:29:46,880 --> 00:29:48,880 Speaker 1: people that love the Lions all year because the Lions 569 00:29:48,920 --> 00:29:52,320 Speaker 1: are so bad. And I knew coming to the Strugs 570 00:29:52,320 --> 00:29:54,440 Speaker 1: gonna love the Hynes no matter what, just because I 571 00:29:54,480 --> 00:29:56,440 Speaker 1: loved what they're building there, which is they're building a 572 00:29:56,520 --> 00:29:58,280 Speaker 1: D line. They're building an O line. Like to me, 573 00:29:59,000 --> 00:30:00,960 Speaker 1: you build that and you can the rest out. It's 574 00:30:01,000 --> 00:30:03,280 Speaker 1: like the most important part of a football team in 575 00:30:03,280 --> 00:30:07,560 Speaker 1: my opinion. So everything they've done, I mean, dude, I 576 00:30:07,640 --> 00:30:09,280 Speaker 1: might have looked before the draft. I think they are 577 00:30:09,320 --> 00:30:13,959 Speaker 1: plus a thousand, two hundred on FanDuel, so they've moved 578 00:30:14,360 --> 00:30:15,880 Speaker 1: a lot of money has come in because people like 579 00:30:15,920 --> 00:30:18,280 Speaker 1: what they did the draft. I love what they did 580 00:30:18,280 --> 00:30:19,840 Speaker 1: the draft, but I already loved them coming into this 581 00:30:20,000 --> 00:30:22,880 Speaker 1: the draft. It's if you're gonna listen to this show 582 00:30:22,920 --> 00:30:24,600 Speaker 1: for the next three years, I'm gonna tell you to 583 00:30:24,640 --> 00:30:27,040 Speaker 1: bet them to win the division and win the Super 584 00:30:27,080 --> 00:30:30,120 Speaker 1: Bowl every year. Like I already bet them at a 585 00:30:30,200 --> 00:30:32,560 Speaker 1: hundred fifty want to win the Super Bowl. I bet 586 00:30:32,640 --> 00:30:34,240 Speaker 1: them at twelve the one to win this division. I'll 587 00:30:34,240 --> 00:30:36,680 Speaker 1: bet this again at nine one to win the Division. 588 00:30:36,720 --> 00:30:39,640 Speaker 1: I I love everything mothers Troy team. Yeah, I'm not 589 00:30:39,640 --> 00:30:42,720 Speaker 1: a huge fan of Jared Golf, but last year their 590 00:30:42,760 --> 00:30:46,719 Speaker 1: offense schemed around his his weaknesses. They like, really they 591 00:30:46,760 --> 00:30:48,640 Speaker 1: kept things underneath. They didn't put him in a position 592 00:30:48,640 --> 00:30:51,680 Speaker 1: to throw turnover and make interceptions. So if they can 593 00:30:51,680 --> 00:30:54,840 Speaker 1: get a cornerback or find someone to play corner for them, 594 00:30:54,960 --> 00:30:57,520 Speaker 1: this is a really good team. Like their defense is 595 00:30:57,560 --> 00:31:01,760 Speaker 1: really good, their offense is actually act. So it's not 596 00:31:01,800 --> 00:31:04,560 Speaker 1: surprised to see their number moved too by the time 597 00:31:04,560 --> 00:31:06,400 Speaker 1: to be closer to season. Everyone's me talking with the 598 00:31:06,440 --> 00:31:09,440 Speaker 1: Lions are just a really fun team and gamblers like 599 00:31:09,560 --> 00:31:11,800 Speaker 1: us that one month last year, So to me, I 600 00:31:11,800 --> 00:31:13,640 Speaker 1: would still grab that number at nine to one. I 601 00:31:13,680 --> 00:31:16,440 Speaker 1: love the lines year. I think they're great value. They 602 00:31:16,440 --> 00:31:19,680 Speaker 1: picked up Jamison Williams with the twelve pick. They moved 603 00:31:19,760 --> 00:31:22,479 Speaker 1: up twenty spots to get him. Uh. They picked up 604 00:31:22,560 --> 00:31:27,760 Speaker 1: Josh Pasco from Kentucky. Uh. And then they really didn't 605 00:31:27,800 --> 00:31:31,680 Speaker 1: go up defensive back until late in the third round. Uh. 606 00:31:31,720 --> 00:31:35,520 Speaker 1: They got Kirby Joe the safety from Illinois. Jared Goff. 607 00:31:35,720 --> 00:31:38,840 Speaker 1: You know, I was in the Bay Area and visiting 608 00:31:38,880 --> 00:31:42,760 Speaker 1: family that lives in the East Bay, and of course 609 00:31:43,280 --> 00:31:45,920 Speaker 1: I met someone at one of the events I was at, 610 00:31:46,440 --> 00:31:52,200 Speaker 1: who's uh Harry Stylist is a cousin of Jared Goff. 611 00:31:53,560 --> 00:31:57,200 Speaker 1: Jared goffet him on the pod. Jared Goff used to 612 00:31:57,280 --> 00:32:00,880 Speaker 1: not be very nice, but since he's been traded to Detroit, 613 00:32:01,680 --> 00:32:05,240 Speaker 1: he's been humbled much humbler around his family. Yeah, he 614 00:32:05,360 --> 00:32:07,560 Speaker 1: was a ship that I mean, but we all watch 615 00:32:07,600 --> 00:32:12,680 Speaker 1: hard knocks, I mean now, so that's great. Again, he's 616 00:32:12,680 --> 00:32:14,920 Speaker 1: an idiot, so in my opinion, I like to get 617 00:32:14,960 --> 00:32:18,120 Speaker 1: I think he plays hard. He's just not smart enough 618 00:32:18,120 --> 00:32:20,600 Speaker 1: to be a quarterback on this league. So they can 619 00:32:20,640 --> 00:32:22,280 Speaker 1: do stuff, they can kind of hide it, but once 620 00:32:22,280 --> 00:32:24,920 Speaker 1: he starts having to make reads and figure out the defense, 621 00:32:25,480 --> 00:32:29,200 Speaker 1: he's done. So to me, it's like I would I 622 00:32:29,240 --> 00:32:30,880 Speaker 1: was praying they were going to trade for Jimmy g. 623 00:32:31,080 --> 00:32:34,240 Speaker 1: I would love if Jimmy G even Baker, if that 624 00:32:34,280 --> 00:32:36,720 Speaker 1: went to the Destroit. But here we are. We got 625 00:32:36,720 --> 00:32:38,680 Speaker 1: golf again. I'm not a huge fan of it, but 626 00:32:38,720 --> 00:32:40,360 Speaker 1: I will be betting them the next couple of years 627 00:32:40,400 --> 00:32:43,000 Speaker 1: because you know, golf is not great this year. Hopefully 628 00:32:43,000 --> 00:32:46,040 Speaker 1: Detroit finishes, you know, the bottom two. Again. They draft 629 00:32:46,080 --> 00:32:48,520 Speaker 1: on these quarterbacks. But that was cracking me up thinking 630 00:32:48,520 --> 00:32:50,800 Speaker 1: about if they just had Staffard still this team would 631 00:32:50,800 --> 00:32:53,960 Speaker 1: be amazing. But that that that that ship is sale. 632 00:32:54,800 --> 00:32:58,880 Speaker 1: All right, well the Bears are plus nine, Um, you know, 633 00:33:00,600 --> 00:33:04,120 Speaker 1: don't do it? Then? Then in Minnesota they year they 634 00:33:04,120 --> 00:33:07,880 Speaker 1: sucked people and just it's it's just don't Minnesota is 635 00:33:07,880 --> 00:33:09,800 Speaker 1: just not there yet. I know people like their drafts. 636 00:33:10,040 --> 00:33:11,760 Speaker 1: I think they're voting for the future. I do like 637 00:33:11,800 --> 00:33:15,520 Speaker 1: their GM as well. In Minnesota's new GM. And yeah, 638 00:33:15,880 --> 00:33:17,920 Speaker 1: green Bach is born. We're not here to be minus 639 00:33:17,960 --> 00:33:20,480 Speaker 1: one eight on division teams? Can we talk about the 640 00:33:20,480 --> 00:33:22,400 Speaker 1: Bears for more second? I just can't put it off 641 00:33:22,400 --> 00:33:28,640 Speaker 1: my chest. How do you not find talent to protect 642 00:33:28,720 --> 00:33:33,080 Speaker 1: your quarterback and give him weapons? I know, I know 643 00:33:34,040 --> 00:33:36,120 Speaker 1: Ryan Poles. I want to give him the benefit of 644 00:33:36,160 --> 00:33:38,480 Speaker 1: the doubt. He's saying we were going for the best 645 00:33:38,520 --> 00:33:42,560 Speaker 1: athletes ailable that filled the positions we needed. But come on, man, 646 00:33:42,760 --> 00:33:45,400 Speaker 1: like he's got nothing to work with. Chad, your your 647 00:33:45,480 --> 00:33:50,160 Speaker 1: ex GM. He sold everything, you sold the radio, you 648 00:33:50,160 --> 00:33:52,200 Speaker 1: sold the air bags. There was nothing left in the car. 649 00:33:52,360 --> 00:33:55,400 Speaker 1: Like it's you need another year or two. It's just 650 00:33:55,520 --> 00:33:58,160 Speaker 1: it's dark days right now with the Bears. All you're 651 00:33:58,160 --> 00:34:00,520 Speaker 1: all you're hoping for is just growth from justin Like 652 00:34:00,560 --> 00:34:02,760 Speaker 1: that's all you hope for this year because the team 653 00:34:02,800 --> 00:34:04,520 Speaker 1: just doesn't have anything around them to really make you 654 00:34:04,560 --> 00:34:07,480 Speaker 1: a contender. It's hard to grow when you're running backwards 655 00:34:07,560 --> 00:34:09,399 Speaker 1: for your life and you have no one to throw 656 00:34:09,440 --> 00:34:13,440 Speaker 1: the ball too. Seventeen weeks out of the year, I 657 00:34:13,440 --> 00:34:15,200 Speaker 1: think it'll be better. Like again, you have to get 658 00:34:15,360 --> 00:34:17,520 Speaker 1: someone that actually believes in him, unlike the last head coach, 659 00:34:17,560 --> 00:34:19,359 Speaker 1: someone that builds an offense around. I think it's gonna 660 00:34:19,360 --> 00:34:23,280 Speaker 1: look a lot different. All right, Well that's an easy division. 661 00:34:23,360 --> 00:34:25,799 Speaker 1: Like the Packers aren't going to be the value. The 662 00:34:25,880 --> 00:34:28,960 Speaker 1: Lions are clearly sort of like the fact that they're 663 00:34:29,000 --> 00:34:31,160 Speaker 1: running down, Yeah, they're they're being bent down. That just 664 00:34:31,160 --> 00:34:32,640 Speaker 1: shows everyone else is on it. So I would I 665 00:34:32,640 --> 00:34:34,120 Speaker 1: would get that number now if we're gonna tire you 666 00:34:34,640 --> 00:34:37,239 Speaker 1: up for six months. Al Right, So now the NFC South, 667 00:34:37,280 --> 00:34:39,879 Speaker 1: all of a sudden it becomes very interested too. Write 668 00:34:40,400 --> 00:34:44,040 Speaker 1: box minus three twenty sts plus five hundred Panthers plus 669 00:34:44,080 --> 00:34:48,520 Speaker 1: eleven hundred Falcons plus nineteen hundred and you got a 670 00:34:48,560 --> 00:34:50,759 Speaker 1: bit on Like you can't bet on the box, but 671 00:34:50,800 --> 00:34:53,480 Speaker 1: there's no reason to really believe in anybody else. Whe 672 00:34:53,840 --> 00:35:00,319 Speaker 1: jamis Yeah, if you can party divisional winners like a 673 00:35:00,360 --> 00:35:03,080 Speaker 1: Bucks Bills parlay, love it like love the Bills win 674 00:35:03,120 --> 00:35:05,359 Speaker 1: their division, love the Bucks to win their division. It's 675 00:35:05,400 --> 00:35:09,080 Speaker 1: just Tom Brady is a division killer. Like he literally 676 00:35:09,080 --> 00:35:12,080 Speaker 1: turned this division into the an f C East into 677 00:35:12,360 --> 00:35:15,600 Speaker 1: into three years like these teams, they scraped the whole 678 00:35:15,600 --> 00:35:17,959 Speaker 1: teams just like why why bother? Like why even try 679 00:35:18,160 --> 00:35:21,239 Speaker 1: in this division? So yeah, no, no faith in any 680 00:35:21,239 --> 00:35:23,960 Speaker 1: team in this division. I mean the Saints, they have 681 00:35:24,000 --> 00:35:26,040 Speaker 1: the highest upside. If I had to put money down 682 00:35:26,080 --> 00:35:27,960 Speaker 1: on the value team in this division, yeah, I bet 683 00:35:28,040 --> 00:35:31,000 Speaker 1: the Saints, just because if Winston can be good, they 684 00:35:31,040 --> 00:35:35,319 Speaker 1: got still a pretty good defense and pretty good offense. So, um, 685 00:35:35,600 --> 00:35:37,360 Speaker 1: I would say Saints. But I'm not touching. This is 686 00:35:37,400 --> 00:35:38,640 Speaker 1: one of those whe I'm gonna do a bunch of 687 00:35:39,000 --> 00:35:41,279 Speaker 1: big money parlays with the Bucks, the Bills, and a 688 00:35:41,280 --> 00:35:43,560 Speaker 1: couple other divisional teams. We'll talk about that. I think 689 00:35:43,560 --> 00:35:46,160 Speaker 1: we're gonna win all. Then let's just skip over. Let's 690 00:35:46,200 --> 00:35:51,360 Speaker 1: go right to the NFC West, home of the superbo 691 00:35:53,160 --> 00:35:59,360 Speaker 1: champion Los Angeles Rams plus one forty to win the division. 692 00:35:59,719 --> 00:36:03,759 Speaker 1: The forty Niners plus the Cardinals plus three ten, the 693 00:36:03,800 --> 00:36:08,160 Speaker 1: Seahawks plus the thousand. I mean, look, the Cardinals super 694 00:36:08,200 --> 00:36:12,719 Speaker 1: interesting with Kyler Murray they traded for Hollywood Brown. They 695 00:36:12,800 --> 00:36:16,680 Speaker 1: must have known that the suspension for DeAndre Hopkins was coming. 696 00:36:17,160 --> 00:36:19,399 Speaker 1: You don't know what you're gonna get. You're losing him 697 00:36:19,400 --> 00:36:21,080 Speaker 1: for six for the first six games of the year. 698 00:36:21,560 --> 00:36:25,440 Speaker 1: You've got Cliff Kingsbury, who usually you know, forgets how 699 00:36:25,440 --> 00:36:30,799 Speaker 1: to coach come November. The Fortys have some serious quarterback 700 00:36:30,880 --> 00:36:34,880 Speaker 1: confusion and a wide receiver running back in Deebo Samuel 701 00:36:35,120 --> 00:36:37,239 Speaker 1: who only wants to be a wide receiver and doesn't 702 00:36:37,280 --> 00:36:39,640 Speaker 1: want to do it in San Francisco. And then they 703 00:36:39,719 --> 00:36:41,360 Speaker 1: got the Rams that are a team of all stars 704 00:36:41,400 --> 00:36:43,839 Speaker 1: coming off a Super Bowl win, and they got better. 705 00:36:44,080 --> 00:36:46,320 Speaker 1: You can arguably said they got better this offseason, honestly. 706 00:36:46,400 --> 00:36:48,960 Speaker 1: So yep, Rams one of those teams. I'll throw them 707 00:36:48,960 --> 00:36:50,520 Speaker 1: and with the Bills, I'll throw them in there with 708 00:36:50,560 --> 00:36:52,359 Speaker 1: the Bucks a couple of parlays with them. They're another 709 00:36:52,400 --> 00:36:56,320 Speaker 1: one of these teams. But that's value by far. Cardinals, Cardinals. 710 00:36:57,640 --> 00:37:01,239 Speaker 1: They choked this division away. They had this division last 711 00:37:01,320 --> 00:37:03,920 Speaker 1: year and they blew it. The last two weeks of 712 00:37:03,920 --> 00:37:06,759 Speaker 1: the season are three weeks. So it's like everything you 713 00:37:06,840 --> 00:37:09,759 Speaker 1: just said, they're so true about this Cardinals team. They're 714 00:37:09,760 --> 00:37:11,600 Speaker 1: the best value by far in this division if you're 715 00:37:11,600 --> 00:37:14,120 Speaker 1: looking pure, purely value based bet and I bet I 716 00:37:14,239 --> 00:37:16,320 Speaker 1: bet money on them just for this division just because 717 00:37:16,360 --> 00:37:18,879 Speaker 1: of it. They're closer to plus two hundred. I mean, 718 00:37:18,880 --> 00:37:21,360 Speaker 1: there's there's no way they're close to plus three hundred. 719 00:37:21,400 --> 00:37:25,800 Speaker 1: Everyone's just reacting off the Hopkins news. And you know, Kyler, 720 00:37:27,000 --> 00:37:28,160 Speaker 1: I'm not I don't want to call him a little 721 00:37:28,160 --> 00:37:30,440 Speaker 1: moody bitch, but that's what he is. It's like, who 722 00:37:30,560 --> 00:37:32,480 Speaker 1: who are you to be saying this team doesn't support 723 00:37:32,480 --> 00:37:34,000 Speaker 1: me and doesn't do this and that where it's like 724 00:37:34,440 --> 00:37:37,279 Speaker 1: all your team does is support you and are trying 725 00:37:37,320 --> 00:37:39,080 Speaker 1: to do what's best for you and this team. So 726 00:37:39,800 --> 00:37:42,279 Speaker 1: I don't know, I don't love the drama there with him, 727 00:37:42,280 --> 00:37:45,040 Speaker 1: but I would say that's the best value just because 728 00:37:45,040 --> 00:37:48,320 Speaker 1: the Cardinals them in the Rams aren't that far apart, 729 00:37:48,400 --> 00:37:51,759 Speaker 1: Like that talent level is pretty equal the Rams. To me, 730 00:37:51,840 --> 00:37:54,920 Speaker 1: they just get the edge because I trust the coaching, 731 00:37:55,000 --> 00:37:57,080 Speaker 1: Like we just talked about, It's that's a big deal. 732 00:37:57,200 --> 00:38:00,360 Speaker 1: Come November December So if you're saying best value to 733 00:38:00,360 --> 00:38:03,600 Speaker 1: meet Cardinals, but safest bet here, I would say Rams 734 00:38:03,640 --> 00:38:06,879 Speaker 1: like super Bowl hangover. I like to play that card. 735 00:38:06,920 --> 00:38:09,000 Speaker 1: But with this RAMS team and all the mature guys 736 00:38:09,040 --> 00:38:10,920 Speaker 1: they have on it, these are the This is the 737 00:38:10,960 --> 00:38:12,480 Speaker 1: kind of team that does repeat when they have a 738 00:38:12,520 --> 00:38:14,640 Speaker 1: lot of veterans. They're not some young team like. These 739 00:38:14,640 --> 00:38:19,040 Speaker 1: guys are all established veterans. So I just like the 740 00:38:19,080 --> 00:38:22,600 Speaker 1: moves they made this offseason. Again, losing von Miller was 741 00:38:22,640 --> 00:38:25,120 Speaker 1: tough for them, but they've added other pieces of their 742 00:38:25,120 --> 00:38:28,640 Speaker 1: defense and on offense, we Worth retired and then they 743 00:38:28,719 --> 00:38:31,239 Speaker 1: resigned a note Bloom, who honestly when he stepped in, 744 00:38:31,280 --> 00:38:33,520 Speaker 1: was just as good as him. I don't think they're 745 00:38:33,520 --> 00:38:35,759 Speaker 1: gonna People are downplaying how much they've lost because they 746 00:38:35,840 --> 00:38:38,400 Speaker 1: lost couple of veteran guys, but they've replaced it. In 747 00:38:38,440 --> 00:38:41,520 Speaker 1: my opinion this offseason, I'm they have one of the 748 00:38:41,520 --> 00:38:44,279 Speaker 1: schedules this season that's pretty pretty tough. So if you 749 00:38:44,320 --> 00:38:46,279 Speaker 1: do want to wait on the Rams, you could find 750 00:38:46,320 --> 00:38:48,160 Speaker 1: better valuelating the season. If they have a really tough 751 00:38:48,160 --> 00:38:50,160 Speaker 1: start to the season, that that number will definitely go 752 00:38:50,239 --> 00:38:52,440 Speaker 1: up because we saw last year, right, Yeah, this this 753 00:38:52,480 --> 00:38:54,920 Speaker 1: division was flip flopping every week with who who had 754 00:38:54,960 --> 00:38:57,719 Speaker 1: the best odds. I remember last year I was all 755 00:38:57,800 --> 00:39:00,359 Speaker 1: in on the forty Niners, the wise guys, We're all 756 00:39:00,400 --> 00:39:03,520 Speaker 1: in on the Rams. I thought Shanahan was a better 757 00:39:03,560 --> 00:39:08,120 Speaker 1: coach than McVeigh, and in a lot of ways I 758 00:39:08,239 --> 00:39:11,640 Speaker 1: still agree with that. What they did with this team 759 00:39:11,680 --> 00:39:13,759 Speaker 1: was genius. But there were plenty of times last year 760 00:39:13,800 --> 00:39:16,520 Speaker 1: where it wasn't so much a coaching decision that won 761 00:39:16,560 --> 00:39:18,359 Speaker 1: them in the game. It was great play to get 762 00:39:18,400 --> 00:39:21,680 Speaker 1: them out of bad coaching decisions that won them games. 763 00:39:22,200 --> 00:39:24,160 Speaker 1: And the Niners all of a sudden to me a 764 00:39:24,239 --> 00:39:28,759 Speaker 1: plus obviously not a huge number, but you're looking at 765 00:39:28,760 --> 00:39:32,120 Speaker 1: a team that's really good and a coaching staff that 766 00:39:32,160 --> 00:39:36,560 Speaker 1: doesn't get frazzled. The quarterback situation is what keeps me 767 00:39:36,640 --> 00:39:40,319 Speaker 1: from wanting to be heavy on the Niners right now. 768 00:39:40,440 --> 00:39:42,160 Speaker 1: That is a tricky one because I don't know who 769 00:39:42,160 --> 00:39:44,120 Speaker 1: they play. I don't know who they who they play 770 00:39:44,200 --> 00:39:48,040 Speaker 1: to sort of keep the locker room together. And again 771 00:39:48,040 --> 00:39:50,160 Speaker 1: they're trying to play off, saying Jimmy school and so 772 00:39:50,360 --> 00:39:53,520 Speaker 1: is Trey. But they're they're such a up and down team. 773 00:39:53,600 --> 00:39:55,440 Speaker 1: We've seen a year to year where like they go 774 00:39:55,520 --> 00:39:56,839 Speaker 1: to Super Bowl. The next year they have a top 775 00:39:56,880 --> 00:39:59,000 Speaker 1: three pick and make the playoffs. Next year they have 776 00:39:59,000 --> 00:40:01,239 Speaker 1: a top two pick. It's like very bizarre. It's four 777 00:40:01,480 --> 00:40:04,200 Speaker 1: our team. But yeah, I just I don't love the 778 00:40:04,239 --> 00:40:06,520 Speaker 1: value on them because I I again I don't see 779 00:40:06,560 --> 00:40:08,560 Speaker 1: them being that much better than the Cardinals. It's just 780 00:40:09,400 --> 00:40:11,520 Speaker 1: Cardinals aren't the sexy team. That's why you're getting that 781 00:40:11,560 --> 00:40:15,480 Speaker 1: kind of big number all them all right, So I 782 00:40:15,480 --> 00:40:18,440 Speaker 1: want to wrap up the NFC UH and say that 783 00:40:18,480 --> 00:40:22,000 Speaker 1: we like the Cardinals at plus three ten for the 784 00:40:22,080 --> 00:40:27,160 Speaker 1: best value. UH in the NFC West, NFC South, forget it. 785 00:40:27,239 --> 00:40:29,040 Speaker 1: Find a way to PARTA lay the Bucks with another 786 00:40:29,080 --> 00:40:33,160 Speaker 1: big team, maybe the Bills. NFC North, we're liking the 787 00:40:33,239 --> 00:40:36,440 Speaker 1: Detroit Lions of plus nine fifty, and then the NFC East, 788 00:40:36,800 --> 00:40:42,240 Speaker 1: we're liking the Washington Commanders at plus four fifty. On Thursday, 789 00:40:42,400 --> 00:40:45,400 Speaker 1: the next episode, we're breaking down the a f C 790 00:40:46,320 --> 00:40:50,960 Speaker 1: post draft. Um. Obviously we just did the NFC four 791 00:40:52,000 --> 00:40:56,759 Speaker 1: Simon Hunter for Matt Mitchell. I am Chad Millman. This 792 00:40:56,800 --> 00:41:00,480 Speaker 1: has been the favorites from the Volume podcast network. What 793 00:41:00,560 --> 00:41:04,840 Speaker 1: are the odds you love this show? Let us know 794 00:41:05,719 --> 00:41:10,560 Speaker 1: give us a five star review rate review Subscribe, All 795 00:41:10,600 --> 00:41:13,560 Speaker 1: feedback is a gift. Say whatever you want, just give 796 00:41:13,560 --> 00:41:16,480 Speaker 1: it us. The five stars downloaded from Apple Podcasts, from Spotify, 797 00:41:17,000 --> 00:41:22,440 Speaker 1: wherever you get your podcasts. Until next time, Love you,