1 00:00:00,200 --> 00:00:04,480 Speaker 1: It is July twelfth, twenty twenty four. One hundred and 2 00:00:04,600 --> 00:00:09,319 Speaker 1: fifteen days remain until the polls close on election Day, 3 00:00:09,760 --> 00:00:13,720 Speaker 1: thirty eight days until the gavel drops and the Democratic 4 00:00:13,800 --> 00:00:19,760 Speaker 1: National Convention convenes in Chicago. This weekend is the preliminary 5 00:00:20,120 --> 00:00:23,840 Speaker 1: to the convening of the Republican National Convention, where Donald 6 00:00:23,920 --> 00:00:29,320 Speaker 1: John Trump will receive the nomination for the third consecutive 7 00:00:29,600 --> 00:00:34,920 Speaker 1: election cycle, joining one of very few Americans who have 8 00:00:35,040 --> 00:00:42,400 Speaker 1: ever achieved that fee. This is the warning. Two weeks 9 00:00:42,440 --> 00:00:47,680 Speaker 1: have passed since the cataclysmic debate in Atlanta between President 10 00:00:47,720 --> 00:00:52,040 Speaker 1: Biden and Donald Trump. The polling is continuing to come 11 00:00:52,080 --> 00:00:55,640 Speaker 1: in and all of it shows Donald Trump is ahead 12 00:00:55,920 --> 00:00:59,440 Speaker 1: and in the strongest position he has ever been on 13 00:00:59,520 --> 00:01:03,920 Speaker 1: a July twelfth since he came down the escalator in 14 00:01:04,000 --> 00:01:07,920 Speaker 1: Trump Tower, Donald Trump is on track to win. During 15 00:01:07,959 --> 00:01:11,800 Speaker 1: his news conference, facing the White House Press Corps and 16 00:01:11,920 --> 00:01:16,200 Speaker 1: the international media for the first time in a long time, 17 00:01:16,640 --> 00:01:21,400 Speaker 1: President Biden was confronted with his poll numbers. In part, 18 00:01:22,200 --> 00:01:25,160 Speaker 1: this is what he responded with. If your team came 19 00:01:25,240 --> 00:01:28,200 Speaker 1: back and showed you data that she would fare better 20 00:01:28,280 --> 00:01:32,120 Speaker 1: against former President Donald Trump, would you reconsider your decision 21 00:01:32,200 --> 00:01:35,360 Speaker 1: to stay in the race. No, unless they came back 22 00:01:35,400 --> 00:01:42,200 Speaker 1: and said there's no way you can win me, don't 23 00:01:42,360 --> 00:01:48,040 Speaker 1: say that. In the immediate aftermath, President Obama's chief strategist, 24 00:01:48,520 --> 00:01:53,480 Speaker 1: David Axelrod said this, making clear he believes the White 25 00:01:53,480 --> 00:01:58,200 Speaker 1: House staff is not sharing with the President his perilous 26 00:01:58,200 --> 00:02:02,760 Speaker 1: political condition. Let me be perfectly clear about something. In 27 00:02:02,840 --> 00:02:09,040 Speaker 1: a battle of narcissism between narcissists, Joe Biden doesn't stand 28 00:02:09,080 --> 00:02:14,800 Speaker 1: a chance against Donald Trump, who is the real, undiluted, 29 00:02:15,360 --> 00:02:22,880 Speaker 1: pure specimen of malignant narcissism, a perfect crystalline example of it. 30 00:02:23,480 --> 00:02:28,239 Speaker 1: This is not a space President Biden can compete in. 31 00:02:28,240 --> 00:02:34,360 Speaker 1: In the end, this day, one hundred and fifteen days 32 00:02:34,360 --> 00:02:39,480 Speaker 1: away from the election, offers us a snapshot in time. 33 00:02:40,800 --> 00:02:46,360 Speaker 1: We know, as of today, President Biden does not have 34 00:02:47,000 --> 00:02:51,360 Speaker 1: a path to an electoral college victory that is credible. 35 00:02:52,160 --> 00:02:56,640 Speaker 1: His polling numbers, while they have not been decimated on 36 00:02:56,800 --> 00:03:01,920 Speaker 1: the ballot test, meaning the head to head, Joe Biden's 37 00:03:01,960 --> 00:03:06,040 Speaker 1: at forty two, Donald Trump is at forty three. But 38 00:03:06,400 --> 00:03:11,560 Speaker 1: inside those numbers, do you approval levels, the confidence numbers, 39 00:03:11,840 --> 00:03:16,560 Speaker 1: who's stronger on the economy, who is mentally fit to 40 00:03:16,720 --> 00:03:21,160 Speaker 1: serve another four years, the President's numbers and the ground 41 00:03:21,280 --> 00:03:25,200 Speaker 1: he was standing on have been liquefied. He has sunk 42 00:03:25,400 --> 00:03:29,160 Speaker 1: into a quicksand, and there is no rope. What you 43 00:03:29,240 --> 00:03:34,400 Speaker 1: are seeing inside the Democratic Party is silent screaming. You 44 00:03:34,440 --> 00:03:39,040 Speaker 1: can hear it from behind the walls of the caucus meetings. 45 00:03:39,360 --> 00:03:43,040 Speaker 1: It's spilling out a bit, but not fully yet. But 46 00:03:43,120 --> 00:03:47,920 Speaker 1: there is something to consider. If President Biden's position holds, 47 00:03:48,640 --> 00:03:53,480 Speaker 1: it will require a great many Democrats, starting with their leaders, 48 00:03:53,920 --> 00:03:57,160 Speaker 1: to go along with it, go along and get along. 49 00:03:57,600 --> 00:04:03,000 Speaker 1: And let's imagine that the precisely like I'm predicting it 50 00:04:03,080 --> 00:04:07,160 Speaker 1: will What does Chuck Schumer think happens to him? What 51 00:04:07,200 --> 00:04:12,800 Speaker 1: does Nancy Pelosi think happens to her? Standing, the repudiation 52 00:04:13,440 --> 00:04:18,320 Speaker 1: at hand will not simply be Biden's, but the entirety 53 00:04:18,880 --> 00:04:23,920 Speaker 1: of a party that allowed this to transpire, that allowed 54 00:04:23,960 --> 00:04:28,599 Speaker 1: it to happen, The party will be obliterated. Who will 55 00:04:28,680 --> 00:04:33,159 Speaker 1: be the first person to step forward and start screaming 56 00:04:33,480 --> 00:04:39,280 Speaker 1: on MSNBC about the spoiler who claims that they're going 57 00:04:39,360 --> 00:04:42,880 Speaker 1: to run an independent candidacy four years from now, which 58 00:04:43,000 --> 00:04:48,719 Speaker 1: absolutely will happen, which must happen if the Democratic Party 59 00:04:48,880 --> 00:04:53,640 Speaker 1: loses this race to Donald Trump, a man who is 60 00:04:53,720 --> 00:05:00,200 Speaker 1: running on a platform of retribution and insanity. Now the 61 00:05:00,320 --> 00:05:05,400 Speaker 1: whole country stands ready to receive the retribution in the 62 00:05:05,440 --> 00:05:10,400 Speaker 1: punishment that's on offer from the Democratic Party in this moment. 63 00:05:10,720 --> 00:05:15,599 Speaker 1: It will be devastating if what seems obvious to so 64 00:05:15,800 --> 00:05:20,560 Speaker 1: many comes to pass in one hundred and fifteen days. 65 00:05:21,080 --> 00:05:25,240 Speaker 1: The President's position on this is that so long as 66 00:05:25,279 --> 00:05:29,440 Speaker 1: he does his goodest, everything is okay, and he's not 67 00:05:29,640 --> 00:05:36,000 Speaker 1: worrying about his legacy. But he should, because if Donald 68 00:05:36,040 --> 00:05:41,599 Speaker 1: Trump wins, his legacy is one thing, selfishness to put 69 00:05:41,640 --> 00:05:48,000 Speaker 1: his ego before his country. Recollections of his presidency will 70 00:05:48,040 --> 00:05:51,200 Speaker 1: be one thing. There will be no memory of the 71 00:05:51,640 --> 00:05:56,840 Speaker 1: infrastructure achievements, the Chips Act, it will all be gone. 72 00:05:57,200 --> 00:06:02,760 Speaker 1: In fact, an entire life lifetime of service will be 73 00:06:02,920 --> 00:06:08,120 Speaker 1: reduced to a thimble of ash contained in a vial 74 00:06:08,600 --> 00:06:15,200 Speaker 1: with just enough space to write the four word legacy 75 00:06:15,920 --> 00:06:21,200 Speaker 1: of the president's lifetime of service. There will be a 76 00:06:21,279 --> 00:06:26,760 Speaker 1: T and R, A U, A M n FP, because 77 00:06:26,800 --> 00:06:31,359 Speaker 1: that is all there will be. The Biden campaign is 78 00:06:31,440 --> 00:06:35,480 Speaker 1: falling apart. Anybody who says it's not is a fool, 79 00:06:35,640 --> 00:06:38,880 Speaker 1: and the evidence to show that is so is the 80 00:06:39,000 --> 00:06:44,640 Speaker 1: fact that for two weeks Donald Trump has disengaged completely 81 00:06:44,720 --> 00:06:49,200 Speaker 1: from the campaign. It means he's winning. Donald Trump was 82 00:06:49,320 --> 00:06:54,760 Speaker 1: losing in twenty and sixteen, all the way through until 83 00:06:55,440 --> 00:07:00,720 Speaker 1: at the very end, James Comy, through a disc raceful 84 00:07:01,000 --> 00:07:06,760 Speaker 1: act of narcissistic self indulgence, he gave the election to 85 00:07:06,839 --> 00:07:13,160 Speaker 1: Donald Trump by making it inappropriately and outrageously about Secretary 86 00:07:13,280 --> 00:07:18,360 Speaker 1: Clinton on a concocted fairy tale issue, inflamed by the 87 00:07:18,440 --> 00:07:23,480 Speaker 1: national media for years and years and years, and it 88 00:07:23,600 --> 00:07:27,720 Speaker 1: was enough to give Trump a narrow win. There was 89 00:07:28,240 --> 00:07:32,360 Speaker 1: one thing the incumbent president could do to make the 90 00:07:32,520 --> 00:07:38,920 Speaker 1: race about him over anything that Donald Trump did, is doing, 91 00:07:39,600 --> 00:07:43,640 Speaker 1: or will do. And he did it. And in the 92 00:07:43,640 --> 00:07:47,520 Speaker 1: real world, just like there are consequences from diving off 93 00:07:47,560 --> 00:07:51,640 Speaker 1: of the Golden gate Bridge, there's a consequence from the 94 00:07:51,760 --> 00:07:56,600 Speaker 1: cataclysm of the performance from that debate. And so the 95 00:07:56,640 --> 00:07:59,400 Speaker 1: president can say at a news conference, I'm staying in, 96 00:07:59,680 --> 00:08:03,520 Speaker 1: but it doesn't really matter because the price of staying 97 00:08:03,560 --> 00:08:07,120 Speaker 1: in means the candidate at the top has to spend 98 00:08:07,160 --> 00:08:10,960 Speaker 1: all of his time treading water to stay afloat at 99 00:08:11,000 --> 00:08:14,720 Speaker 1: the expense of fighting Trump, which is necessary to win 100 00:08:15,240 --> 00:08:18,840 Speaker 1: it's quite a conundrum. One thing is certainly true. A 101 00:08:18,880 --> 00:08:23,440 Speaker 1: lot of Democrats are bullshitting a lot of reporters today. 102 00:08:23,760 --> 00:08:27,840 Speaker 1: They're outraged. They say they had no idea about the 103 00:08:27,920 --> 00:08:34,280 Speaker 1: presidents wherewithal for another battle. Nonsense. This could be seen 104 00:08:34,320 --> 00:08:40,840 Speaker 1: coming for a long, long ways off, and unfortunately Democrats 105 00:08:40,880 --> 00:08:45,400 Speaker 1: did what people are inclined to do. They procrastinated, and 106 00:08:45,480 --> 00:08:49,280 Speaker 1: they looked away, and the fire got closer and closer 107 00:08:49,320 --> 00:08:53,200 Speaker 1: and closer. And here it is. There are one hundred 108 00:08:53,520 --> 00:08:57,840 Speaker 1: and fifteen days left. On Monday, there will be one 109 00:08:57,880 --> 00:09:01,880 Speaker 1: hundred and twelve. There are thirty eight days left until 110 00:09:01,920 --> 00:09:06,520 Speaker 1: the Democratic National Convention a Monday, only thirty five. Joe 111 00:09:06,600 --> 00:09:10,400 Speaker 1: Biden will have to hold this current line for thirty 112 00:09:10,920 --> 00:09:15,640 Speaker 1: five more brutal days and next week. I think Democrats 113 00:09:16,120 --> 00:09:23,200 Speaker 1: underestimate the wave of ugliness and vitriol and humiliation and 114 00:09:23,360 --> 00:09:27,880 Speaker 1: degradation and mockery that is coming to presidents, and they 115 00:09:27,920 --> 00:09:31,440 Speaker 1: have best figure out how to respond to it with 116 00:09:31,600 --> 00:09:37,880 Speaker 1: a strategy that doesn't mimic Sean Spicer and Kellyanne Conway's gaslighting. 117 00:09:38,480 --> 00:09:42,040 Speaker 1: This moment, one hundred and fifteen days out is one 118 00:09:42,080 --> 00:09:45,240 Speaker 1: of check me and laws, and it didn't have to be. 119 00:09:45,679 --> 00:09:49,160 Speaker 1: But don't let anybody tell you they couldn't see it coming, 120 00:09:49,440 --> 00:09:52,480 Speaker 1: because it was obvious. And here at the warning. We've 121 00:09:52,480 --> 00:09:55,600 Speaker 1: been honest about it for a very long time. Not 122 00:09:55,760 --> 00:10:00,200 Speaker 1: because I don't respect Joe Biden. Quite the contrary. I 123 00:10:00,280 --> 00:10:03,560 Speaker 1: respect him a great deal, but I also respect you. 124 00:10:04,120 --> 00:10:07,920 Speaker 1: And here at the warning. Respect means telling the truth, 125 00:10:08,160 --> 00:10:12,480 Speaker 1: and it includes telling truth to power and somebody in 126 00:10:12,559 --> 00:10:15,720 Speaker 1: that Biden White House needs to sit down with the 127 00:10:15,760 --> 00:10:19,240 Speaker 1: President of the United States in an urgent manner and 128 00:10:19,440 --> 00:10:23,080 Speaker 1: go through the polling with him. Stop lying to the president. 129 00:10:23,400 --> 00:10:28,840 Speaker 1: It's unseemly to say the least. I'm Steve Schmidt. This 130 00:10:29,000 --> 00:10:31,800 Speaker 1: is the warning, and I invite you to join. Subscribe 131 00:10:32,160 --> 00:10:35,640 Speaker 1: on our sub stack, on our YouTube channel, follow us. 132 00:10:35,800 --> 00:10:37,880 Speaker 1: Welcome to the community.