1 00:00:01,160 --> 00:00:05,480 Speaker 1: All right, and welcome into the Betting Pros College Football Show. 2 00:00:05,800 --> 00:00:08,520 Speaker 1: It's officially the first day of fall, which means more 3 00:00:08,560 --> 00:00:11,600 Speaker 1: college football Saturday is coming your way, and today we 4 00:00:11,640 --> 00:00:14,760 Speaker 1: recap all the week four actions, plus give you our 5 00:00:14,840 --> 00:00:18,400 Speaker 1: week five early picks and line movement predictions. I'm your 6 00:00:18,400 --> 00:00:21,040 Speaker 1: host of Seth Wilcock, heading back in the right direction, 7 00:00:21,160 --> 00:00:23,960 Speaker 1: step by step, day by day after a two by 8 00:00:24,040 --> 00:00:27,240 Speaker 1: two weekend, and as always, Ryan shotun with me is 9 00:00:27,280 --> 00:00:30,320 Speaker 1: our college football betting expert here at Betting Pro. Scott 10 00:00:30,320 --> 00:00:33,400 Speaker 1: Big Time Bogman. Bog's better Week four than it was 11 00:00:33,440 --> 00:00:34,159 Speaker 1: Week three for you? 12 00:00:34,880 --> 00:00:38,920 Speaker 2: Oh, yes, so much so five and two this week 13 00:00:38,960 --> 00:00:41,240 Speaker 2: six and three, depending on I gave out a couple 14 00:00:41,360 --> 00:00:45,159 Speaker 2: conditional yeah on my show, a one hit one didn't 15 00:00:45,520 --> 00:00:48,040 Speaker 2: as they do, so five and two, six and three, 16 00:00:48,080 --> 00:00:50,000 Speaker 2: however you want to look at it over, I think 17 00:00:50,000 --> 00:00:50,520 Speaker 2: it was six. 18 00:00:50,400 --> 00:00:51,600 Speaker 3: And three on the process as well. 19 00:00:51,720 --> 00:00:56,160 Speaker 2: So yes, feeling much better this weekend after what was 20 00:00:56,200 --> 00:00:59,160 Speaker 2: the worst weekend of my betting career last weekend. 21 00:00:59,280 --> 00:01:01,680 Speaker 3: So glad to be back on top of it. 22 00:01:01,760 --> 00:01:05,520 Speaker 2: And some tougher matchups this week, which I think you 23 00:01:05,600 --> 00:01:08,240 Speaker 2: know what that means for me, Seth. We're going to 24 00:01:08,280 --> 00:01:11,760 Speaker 2: be hitting some totals here this week more than sides. 25 00:01:11,840 --> 00:01:14,600 Speaker 1: I feel like, hey man, you have a gift that 26 00:01:14,720 --> 00:01:17,560 Speaker 1: when people are zigging, you're zagging. So we'll keep that 27 00:01:17,640 --> 00:01:20,880 Speaker 1: rolling here in week number five. As always, shout to 28 00:01:20,920 --> 00:01:23,480 Speaker 1: everyone who's making a part of their day by tuning 29 00:01:23,520 --> 00:01:25,720 Speaker 1: in either on the benk Pros YouTube channel or the 30 00:01:25,760 --> 00:01:28,800 Speaker 1: audio feed thesiest Freeway support us. It's always giving this 31 00:01:28,880 --> 00:01:31,280 Speaker 1: video a thumbs up. 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So make sure you turn on 46 00:02:11,760 --> 00:02:14,480 Speaker 1: those notifications so you can be loaded when new episodes 47 00:02:14,480 --> 00:02:16,480 Speaker 1: are up and to claim your prize if you are 48 00:02:16,840 --> 00:02:20,160 Speaker 1: that lucky winner. All right, and before we jump into 49 00:02:20,200 --> 00:02:23,600 Speaker 1: the Week five early picks, let's recap the Week four action. 50 00:02:24,120 --> 00:02:27,080 Speaker 1: Miami keeps it moving twenty six to seven against the 51 00:02:27,120 --> 00:02:30,679 Speaker 1: Florida Gators, Number six Oregon. They cover against Oregon State 52 00:02:30,760 --> 00:02:35,880 Speaker 1: forty one to seven. Number nine Indiana. They absolutely stomp Illinois, 53 00:02:36,040 --> 00:02:39,639 Speaker 1: Number nine Illinois that was sixty three to ten. Number 54 00:02:39,639 --> 00:02:43,959 Speaker 1: eleven to Oklahoma covers late against Auburn twenty four to 55 00:02:44,080 --> 00:02:48,040 Speaker 1: seventeen with the sack safety Number seventeen Texas Tech. They 56 00:02:48,160 --> 00:02:51,720 Speaker 1: upset number sixteen Utah in Salt Lake City thirty four 57 00:02:51,760 --> 00:02:55,600 Speaker 1: to ten, and then the number twenty one Michigan Wolvera Rines. 58 00:02:55,639 --> 00:02:57,959 Speaker 1: They do it. They take out Matt Rolls Men thirty 59 00:02:58,000 --> 00:03:02,359 Speaker 1: to twenty seven in Nebraska. Missouri stays undefeated, winning twenty 60 00:03:02,480 --> 00:03:06,560 Speaker 1: nine to twenty over South Carolina. Syracuse upsets Clemson thirty 61 00:03:06,560 --> 00:03:10,040 Speaker 1: four to twenty one. TCU stays perfect, winning thirty four 62 00:03:10,080 --> 00:03:13,120 Speaker 1: to twenty four against SMU and then Arizona State they 63 00:03:13,120 --> 00:03:15,959 Speaker 1: get out of Baylor live twenty seven to twenty four. So, Bogs, 64 00:03:16,160 --> 00:03:19,040 Speaker 1: who were your betting brisers and followers this week? 65 00:03:19,639 --> 00:03:22,639 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean there's so much that happened this week. 66 00:03:22,760 --> 00:03:23,239 Speaker 3: Number one. 67 00:03:24,480 --> 00:03:30,120 Speaker 2: I just Clemson is miserable. I mean they are so bad. 68 00:03:30,320 --> 00:03:36,040 Speaker 2: Utah got smoked as well. I was surprised by that. Yeah, man, 69 00:03:36,120 --> 00:03:40,520 Speaker 2: I think those two in particular were upsetting. But Illinois, 70 00:03:41,080 --> 00:03:44,160 Speaker 2: I don't. I don't know that this is so much 71 00:03:44,200 --> 00:03:47,720 Speaker 2: a reflection on how bad Illinois is. I think it's 72 00:03:47,760 --> 00:03:52,480 Speaker 2: more of how really good Indiana is and how cursed 73 00:03:52,520 --> 00:03:56,760 Speaker 2: i was before whatever, because the only game that they 74 00:03:56,760 --> 00:03:59,880 Speaker 2: haven't covered was the one I picked called Dominion, And 75 00:04:00,440 --> 00:04:02,720 Speaker 2: uh yeah, we'll get into how many yards they have 76 00:04:02,920 --> 00:04:06,680 Speaker 2: over their opponents when we talk about that Indiana game 77 00:04:06,760 --> 00:04:08,080 Speaker 2: versus Iowa a little bit later. 78 00:04:08,120 --> 00:04:10,560 Speaker 3: But yeah, I think Illinois moved down. 79 00:04:11,280 --> 00:04:14,760 Speaker 2: I mean, Nebraska is just like it feels like Matt 80 00:04:14,840 --> 00:04:17,359 Speaker 2: Rule is never gonna get over the hump here. He 81 00:04:17,480 --> 00:04:21,600 Speaker 2: eventually will, but that was brutal as well. So yeah, 82 00:04:21,680 --> 00:04:26,680 Speaker 2: I think Florida's just rough. They don't have it yet Auburn, 83 00:04:26,760 --> 00:04:29,279 Speaker 2: and you know what, Oklahoma made it a little closer 84 00:04:29,320 --> 00:04:31,919 Speaker 2: than I would have liked. I think everybody was really 85 00:04:32,000 --> 00:04:35,760 Speaker 2: super excited about Jackson Arnold John the Tiers. 86 00:04:35,800 --> 00:04:37,320 Speaker 3: Jack played. 87 00:04:37,760 --> 00:04:41,719 Speaker 2: Yeah, the last series was bad. He was waiting for 88 00:04:41,760 --> 00:04:43,480 Speaker 2: somebody to get open and he held the ball too 89 00:04:43,520 --> 00:04:44,640 Speaker 2: long and he got smacked. 90 00:04:44,640 --> 00:04:48,200 Speaker 3: So lucky for us. But and by the way, that 91 00:04:48,440 --> 00:04:49,359 Speaker 3: was so lucky. 92 00:04:49,920 --> 00:04:52,600 Speaker 2: Like I had one of these the first year I 93 00:04:52,640 --> 00:04:54,680 Speaker 2: started VP, which I think was four years ago. I 94 00:04:54,680 --> 00:04:57,520 Speaker 2: had one of these on a Florida State game where 95 00:04:57,720 --> 00:04:59,640 Speaker 2: Florida State gave up his safety at the end of 96 00:04:59,640 --> 00:05:03,040 Speaker 2: the game him and they called it a touchdown instead 97 00:05:03,040 --> 00:05:05,640 Speaker 2: of a safety, and I lost my lead because of 98 00:05:05,680 --> 00:05:07,400 Speaker 2: this is my favorite. I was like, put all the 99 00:05:07,480 --> 00:05:09,359 Speaker 2: units on him, blah blah blah, one of those and 100 00:05:09,400 --> 00:05:11,359 Speaker 2: I lost it. So this this makes up for that. 101 00:05:12,040 --> 00:05:15,520 Speaker 2: So I'm even on that karmen now. But wow, what 102 00:05:15,520 --> 00:05:18,120 Speaker 2: what a lucky pull that was. But I mean what 103 00:05:18,200 --> 00:05:20,600 Speaker 2: Jackson Arnold has done in his past, He's held on 104 00:05:20,640 --> 00:05:21,680 Speaker 2: the ball way do damn long? 105 00:05:21,960 --> 00:05:24,040 Speaker 1: Yeah, man, And like I don't know if it's just 106 00:05:24,080 --> 00:05:25,800 Speaker 1: me caught up in the moment right now, but like 107 00:05:26,360 --> 00:05:29,120 Speaker 1: I really think like, as we're progressing through this season, 108 00:05:29,200 --> 00:05:31,040 Speaker 1: like we might be in the season of John Matier. 109 00:05:31,160 --> 00:05:33,760 Speaker 1: Like I know he wasn't exceptional. I know the Auburn 110 00:05:33,800 --> 00:05:36,279 Speaker 1: defense definitely showed up a little bit more than I 111 00:05:36,320 --> 00:05:38,360 Speaker 1: thought we were gonna see them in Norman, But like 112 00:05:38,720 --> 00:05:40,960 Speaker 1: this guy has it man, Like I really think he 113 00:05:41,040 --> 00:05:43,440 Speaker 1: reminds me of kind of a younger, more raw Josh 114 00:05:43,480 --> 00:05:46,960 Speaker 1: Allen type of quarterback. And like I'll tell you right now, Boggs, 115 00:05:47,000 --> 00:05:51,200 Speaker 1: I want him on the Lures next year. Bad I've switched. 116 00:05:51,279 --> 00:05:53,279 Speaker 1: It's no longer k Clubnick that I want there. I 117 00:05:53,279 --> 00:05:54,520 Speaker 1: want John Matier. 118 00:05:54,520 --> 00:05:57,080 Speaker 3: And it's not gonna lose enough games to get maybe. 119 00:05:56,920 --> 00:05:59,719 Speaker 1: Maybe not, we'll see. And in addition to that, like 120 00:05:59,760 --> 00:06:02,360 Speaker 1: I'm staring right now, it is nine to one Heisman odds. 121 00:06:02,920 --> 00:06:05,120 Speaker 1: Should we squad ride this? Like is this something that's 122 00:06:05,160 --> 00:06:07,840 Speaker 1: worth a look? Because we have Mendoza down there at 123 00:06:07,839 --> 00:06:09,960 Speaker 1: eight to one, we have Carson Beck ten to one, 124 00:06:11,000 --> 00:06:13,080 Speaker 1: Dante Moore is out there like thirteen. 125 00:06:13,120 --> 00:06:15,720 Speaker 2: There's not a good front runner outside of Matier, right 126 00:06:15,760 --> 00:06:18,240 Speaker 2: m hm, So I agree Mattier is a good bet. 127 00:06:18,440 --> 00:06:20,640 Speaker 1: Like who else are you betting? Who else would be 128 00:06:20,640 --> 00:06:23,640 Speaker 1: betting for this so yeah, I mean most of my 129 00:06:23,720 --> 00:06:25,640 Speaker 1: Heisman tickets, I think the only ones I had so far, 130 00:06:25,640 --> 00:06:28,000 Speaker 1: I had Jeremiah Smith right around sixteen to one, so 131 00:06:28,320 --> 00:06:30,599 Speaker 1: a little bit of opening line value. He's around fifteen 132 00:06:30,640 --> 00:06:33,080 Speaker 1: to one now and then I love too, and and 133 00:06:33,120 --> 00:06:35,240 Speaker 1: that was not not a good bet at all. So 134 00:06:36,640 --> 00:06:39,520 Speaker 1: I do think Texas Tech is really good. Like, I know, 135 00:06:39,800 --> 00:06:41,960 Speaker 1: you know the memes about how much money this team 136 00:06:42,040 --> 00:06:44,600 Speaker 1: is spent and all that, but I should have just 137 00:06:44,680 --> 00:06:46,520 Speaker 1: bet them instead of the total. I bet the over 138 00:06:46,600 --> 00:06:48,520 Speaker 1: in that game, and it was more because I thought 139 00:06:48,760 --> 00:06:49,280 Speaker 1: Texas Tech. 140 00:06:49,279 --> 00:06:50,400 Speaker 3: Would you did that last week? 141 00:06:50,520 --> 00:06:50,799 Speaker 1: Yeah? 142 00:06:51,040 --> 00:06:52,800 Speaker 3: Yeah against Oregon State? 143 00:06:52,960 --> 00:06:55,120 Speaker 1: Yeah, So I just thought. I just thought Texas Tech 144 00:06:55,160 --> 00:06:57,279 Speaker 1: and Baron Morton would be able to score. And like 145 00:06:57,440 --> 00:06:58,600 Speaker 1: I think this defense is. 146 00:06:58,560 --> 00:06:59,640 Speaker 3: Like yeah, it looks good. 147 00:07:00,040 --> 00:07:02,360 Speaker 1: Yeah, and even if Baron Morton is not up these 148 00:07:02,360 --> 00:07:05,119 Speaker 1: next couple of games, their backup Will Hammond. That guy's 149 00:07:05,160 --> 00:07:06,320 Speaker 1: the real deal too. 150 00:07:06,400 --> 00:07:09,400 Speaker 3: He looked great, didn't he mm hmm? Wow? He looks 151 00:07:09,400 --> 00:07:10,200 Speaker 3: so good. Yes. 152 00:07:10,480 --> 00:07:13,559 Speaker 1: Also like Indiana, man, like, are we just like back 153 00:07:13,640 --> 00:07:16,120 Speaker 1: on this train where it was like last year where 154 00:07:16,120 --> 00:07:18,960 Speaker 1: he keeps smoking this sig signetti pack until it gives out. 155 00:07:19,000 --> 00:07:22,080 Speaker 1: Because I got that plus one to eighteen over eight 156 00:07:22,080 --> 00:07:24,200 Speaker 1: and a half win total ticket that I feel great about, 157 00:07:24,200 --> 00:07:26,600 Speaker 1: and like, I just think this team has eight again 158 00:07:26,640 --> 00:07:28,880 Speaker 1: and I think it's offense is better with Mendoza than 159 00:07:28,920 --> 00:07:29,720 Speaker 1: it was last year. 160 00:07:30,080 --> 00:07:31,840 Speaker 3: Yeah, I think it. I think you might be right. 161 00:07:31,920 --> 00:07:35,120 Speaker 2: And you know, obviously I talked about missing that game 162 00:07:35,520 --> 00:07:36,560 Speaker 2: Old Dominion Week one. 163 00:07:36,800 --> 00:07:39,200 Speaker 3: The yardage was insane though the difference. 164 00:07:38,840 --> 00:07:41,000 Speaker 2: It was like five oh seven to one sixty one 165 00:07:41,080 --> 00:07:43,400 Speaker 2: now something like that, or two seventy one like it was. 166 00:07:43,640 --> 00:07:46,120 Speaker 2: It was very low below three hundred yards. They've done 167 00:07:46,120 --> 00:07:48,240 Speaker 2: that to everybody they've played, They've dominated. 168 00:07:48,360 --> 00:07:49,720 Speaker 3: And you know, I was. 169 00:07:50,000 --> 00:07:53,200 Speaker 2: Listening to I forget where it was, maybe CBS or something, 170 00:07:53,360 --> 00:07:55,600 Speaker 2: but they were talking about how they had interviewed Signetti 171 00:07:55,640 --> 00:07:58,280 Speaker 2: and they felt kind of like he he had said 172 00:07:58,280 --> 00:08:01,200 Speaker 2: something along the lines of like, yeah, we don't really 173 00:08:01,240 --> 00:08:04,400 Speaker 2: feel like we were properly respected last year. So I 174 00:08:04,440 --> 00:08:06,520 Speaker 2: think that's a big part of it, dude. I think 175 00:08:06,720 --> 00:08:08,920 Speaker 2: a big part of it is like they just want 176 00:08:08,960 --> 00:08:12,240 Speaker 2: to be respected. So if they have a chance to 177 00:08:12,320 --> 00:08:14,920 Speaker 2: run it up, they're gonna take it. And I think 178 00:08:15,080 --> 00:08:17,600 Speaker 2: they're gonna do it at every turn they can. So 179 00:08:18,200 --> 00:08:20,280 Speaker 2: I would expect a lot of team total overs for 180 00:08:20,360 --> 00:08:21,480 Speaker 2: Indiana moving forward. 181 00:08:21,480 --> 00:08:23,480 Speaker 1: That team's just got some studs man, like Kamara has 182 00:08:23,520 --> 00:08:26,840 Speaker 1: always been good on the defense. So raw, Like, I mean, 183 00:08:26,840 --> 00:08:29,160 Speaker 1: where's he right now in your rookie rankings for next 184 00:08:29,200 --> 00:08:30,320 Speaker 1: year at the wide receiver position? 185 00:08:30,400 --> 00:08:30,560 Speaker 3: Yeah? 186 00:08:30,680 --> 00:08:31,600 Speaker 1: High five. 187 00:08:31,720 --> 00:08:34,360 Speaker 2: Yeah, he's got to be high right now. The whole 188 00:08:34,360 --> 00:08:37,000 Speaker 2: team is in. This is what Signette does. It's what 189 00:08:37,040 --> 00:08:39,240 Speaker 2: he did at James Madison as well. Google him Hill 190 00:08:40,160 --> 00:08:42,880 Speaker 2: if you don't know about him. He gets these teams 191 00:08:42,960 --> 00:08:45,840 Speaker 2: in the right spot. His main thing is, like listen, 192 00:08:46,679 --> 00:08:49,840 Speaker 2: if you're in the right spot, your athleticism matters less. 193 00:08:49,880 --> 00:08:52,520 Speaker 2: It still matters, but if you're in the right spot 194 00:08:52,520 --> 00:08:54,560 Speaker 2: and you know what to do, you're gonna make the 195 00:08:54,600 --> 00:08:57,319 Speaker 2: play because you're gonna be there at that point, athleticism 196 00:08:57,400 --> 00:08:58,520 Speaker 2: matters less. 197 00:08:58,720 --> 00:08:59,880 Speaker 1: So he gets it. 198 00:09:00,000 --> 00:09:02,920 Speaker 2: Everybody lined up in the right spot. They're disciplined, very 199 00:09:02,960 --> 00:09:06,880 Speaker 2: few penalties as well. So this is what Signette does. 200 00:09:06,920 --> 00:09:09,240 Speaker 2: This is how he wins, and they're doing it the 201 00:09:09,280 --> 00:09:09,600 Speaker 2: right way. 202 00:09:09,679 --> 00:09:11,400 Speaker 1: I'm excited, man, It's a great time of year. We're 203 00:09:11,440 --> 00:09:13,720 Speaker 1: kind of starting to I feel like, finally find out 204 00:09:13,880 --> 00:09:15,880 Speaker 1: who some of these teams are. Like we'll talk about 205 00:09:15,920 --> 00:09:16,840 Speaker 1: a couple later. 206 00:09:17,000 --> 00:09:19,319 Speaker 2: This weather to break. Man, let's get some real football 207 00:09:19,440 --> 00:09:19,880 Speaker 2: under too. 208 00:09:19,960 --> 00:09:20,400 Speaker 3: Let's go. 209 00:09:20,960 --> 00:09:22,959 Speaker 1: I'm ready for it, man, I'm excited, and let's pick 210 00:09:23,040 --> 00:09:25,160 Speaker 1: up the action right here in Week five with a 211 00:09:25,200 --> 00:09:29,160 Speaker 1: Friday night ACC matchup number eight Florida State Seminals. They're 212 00:09:29,200 --> 00:09:33,000 Speaker 1: on the road in Charlottsville against the Virginia Cavaliers FSU 213 00:09:33,120 --> 00:09:35,960 Speaker 1: favored by six and a half seven points. They're three 214 00:09:36,040 --> 00:09:38,319 Speaker 1: and oh straight up three and oh ats as well. 215 00:09:38,360 --> 00:09:41,120 Speaker 1: To begin the season. We know they upset Baman week one. 216 00:09:41,160 --> 00:09:43,920 Speaker 1: They've also now come off back to back covers as 217 00:09:43,960 --> 00:09:46,480 Speaker 1: forty four and a half point favorites against East Texas 218 00:09:46,480 --> 00:09:48,800 Speaker 1: A and M and Kent State. All those old Kent 219 00:09:48,880 --> 00:09:53,520 Speaker 1: State man Tomy Castellanos. They've combined for six total touchdowns. 220 00:09:53,559 --> 00:09:56,160 Speaker 1: He's only one of four players on this team has 221 00:09:56,240 --> 00:09:59,000 Speaker 1: three rushing touchdowns. So they're getting the most out of 222 00:09:59,040 --> 00:10:01,880 Speaker 1: this offense on the round top team in total offense, 223 00:10:01,920 --> 00:10:04,760 Speaker 1: twenty first in total defense as well. UVA three and 224 00:10:04,840 --> 00:10:07,280 Speaker 1: one ats just like how you bet on Indiana that 225 00:10:07,320 --> 00:10:09,800 Speaker 1: one time? The one time I bet on Virginia. This year, 226 00:10:10,040 --> 00:10:12,720 Speaker 1: they lost outright and failed to cover against NC State 227 00:10:12,920 --> 00:10:15,680 Speaker 1: they beat up on Coastal though in week one William 228 00:10:15,720 --> 00:10:19,079 Speaker 1: and Mary. In week three. They also cover against Stanford 229 00:10:19,160 --> 00:10:21,800 Speaker 1: last week, winning at home forty to twenty. Stanford is 230 00:10:21,800 --> 00:10:23,960 Speaker 1: coming off a big win in week number three, so 231 00:10:24,000 --> 00:10:26,079 Speaker 1: good to see them stand up there. I really like 232 00:10:26,120 --> 00:10:28,800 Speaker 1: their transfer quarterback Chandler Moore. As we've talked about him, 233 00:10:28,960 --> 00:10:31,680 Speaker 1: He's been exceptional so far. Their offense ranks fifth in 234 00:10:31,720 --> 00:10:34,200 Speaker 1: total offense as well. So, Boggs, will you have a 235 00:10:34,240 --> 00:10:36,120 Speaker 1: play in this game? And where can we maybe see 236 00:10:36,160 --> 00:10:38,880 Speaker 1: this line move for an ACC matchup on Friday night? 237 00:10:39,640 --> 00:10:39,920 Speaker 3: Yeah? 238 00:10:40,040 --> 00:10:44,120 Speaker 2: I think my initial thought, I think most people's initial thought, 239 00:10:44,200 --> 00:10:46,480 Speaker 2: which is why I probably won't end up having a 240 00:10:46,520 --> 00:10:48,480 Speaker 2: play in this game, is that Florida. 241 00:10:48,200 --> 00:10:49,960 Speaker 3: State is probably way. 242 00:10:49,760 --> 00:10:54,679 Speaker 2: Better than a touchdown against Virginia. Now, I'll say this, 243 00:10:54,800 --> 00:10:57,439 Speaker 2: there's two things that make me kind of not like 244 00:10:57,520 --> 00:10:59,800 Speaker 2: this game. Number one is that this is a look 245 00:10:59,840 --> 00:11:03,160 Speaker 2: a head spot for Florida State because Miami is next 246 00:11:03,160 --> 00:11:06,440 Speaker 2: week and it's a road game on a weird Friday, 247 00:11:06,679 --> 00:11:09,040 Speaker 2: right Like, so it's a weird night of the week, 248 00:11:09,120 --> 00:11:11,600 Speaker 2: it's on the road, you're looking ahead at your in 249 00:11:11,760 --> 00:11:14,840 Speaker 2: state rival. So I don't really love this game. I'll 250 00:11:14,840 --> 00:11:17,760 Speaker 2: say this though, the current line is where do you 251 00:11:17,800 --> 00:11:19,280 Speaker 2: say it's at? Is it's still seven and a half? 252 00:11:19,360 --> 00:11:22,840 Speaker 2: H I think that's going to balloon up if it 253 00:11:22,880 --> 00:11:25,679 Speaker 2: gets to five and a half, I'm jumping on. I'm 254 00:11:25,720 --> 00:11:27,200 Speaker 2: taking I'm taking the Seminoles. 255 00:11:27,240 --> 00:11:27,800 Speaker 3: I don't care. 256 00:11:28,000 --> 00:11:31,520 Speaker 2: Like below a touchdown I think is a fine. If 257 00:11:31,520 --> 00:11:33,320 Speaker 2: you can get it at six and a half, I 258 00:11:33,360 --> 00:11:35,439 Speaker 2: think is fine. I do think the Seminoles kind of 259 00:11:35,440 --> 00:11:37,280 Speaker 2: win this one going away, But like I said, I 260 00:11:37,320 --> 00:11:41,719 Speaker 2: don't like this exact spot for the Seminoles because they 261 00:11:41,800 --> 00:11:44,600 Speaker 2: actually have a worst strength to schedule with Alabama on 262 00:11:44,640 --> 00:11:47,839 Speaker 2: that schedule than Virginia does, only playing NC State and 263 00:11:47,840 --> 00:11:50,480 Speaker 2: losing that game. Right, I still think Florida State's a 264 00:11:50,480 --> 00:11:53,400 Speaker 2: way better team, but it's still early in the year. 265 00:11:53,559 --> 00:11:57,200 Speaker 2: Both these teams are kind of still a little unproven. 266 00:11:57,280 --> 00:11:58,760 Speaker 2: I think we know Florida State is way better than 267 00:11:58,760 --> 00:12:00,880 Speaker 2: they were last year. They've already won more games, so 268 00:12:02,040 --> 00:12:03,640 Speaker 2: I think Florida State is a really good team. I 269 00:12:03,679 --> 00:12:05,199 Speaker 2: think they're a top ten team. I think they should 270 00:12:05,280 --> 00:12:07,400 Speaker 2: win this one going away. I just don't really like 271 00:12:07,440 --> 00:12:09,160 Speaker 2: the spot, so I'm probably a stay away. 272 00:12:09,240 --> 00:12:11,880 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean Virginia's feisty man. They really have a 273 00:12:11,920 --> 00:12:14,600 Speaker 1: good offense. So if they happen to catch Florida State's 274 00:12:14,640 --> 00:12:16,600 Speaker 1: defense slip and I think this could be a game, 275 00:12:16,720 --> 00:12:19,440 Speaker 1: I would probably maybe off for a team total and 276 00:12:19,480 --> 00:12:21,679 Speaker 1: one of these teams yet, I just don't have a 277 00:12:21,720 --> 00:12:24,840 Speaker 1: clear lean yet, but it's gonna be exciting one no doubt. 278 00:12:24,880 --> 00:12:26,800 Speaker 1: I don't think Virginia is gonna roll over on them. 279 00:12:27,320 --> 00:12:29,640 Speaker 1: To open up things for the weekend. And before we 280 00:12:29,760 --> 00:12:31,920 Speaker 1: keep it moving, I wanted to shout out our new 281 00:12:32,040 --> 00:12:35,599 Speaker 1: presenting sponsor, hard Rock Bet. 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There's new promos coming out every single day, 292 00:13:07,520 --> 00:13:11,199 Speaker 1: so boost your same game parlay or SGP max, so 293 00:13:11,360 --> 00:13:14,600 Speaker 1: your bets pay extra winnings. Here's a parlay I like 294 00:13:14,679 --> 00:13:18,080 Speaker 1: tonight for plus five seventy three. Give me MOOKI bets 295 00:13:18,200 --> 00:13:20,600 Speaker 1: on the over one and a half total basis plus 296 00:13:20,640 --> 00:13:23,160 Speaker 1: one fifty four. This is a guy who's a batting 297 00:13:23,200 --> 00:13:26,840 Speaker 1: average of four to fifty over pitcher Branding fought at 298 00:13:26,880 --> 00:13:29,240 Speaker 1: the same time. Three of those have come for extra 299 00:13:29,280 --> 00:13:32,480 Speaker 1: base hits, three strikeouts and only two walks. I'm also 300 00:13:32,559 --> 00:13:35,680 Speaker 1: taking Freddie Freeman over one and a half total basis 301 00:13:35,679 --> 00:13:38,760 Speaker 1: plus one sixty five. Another guy who's had some success 302 00:13:38,800 --> 00:13:42,800 Speaker 1: against Brandon Fought two eighty six in the batting average, 303 00:13:42,920 --> 00:13:46,839 Speaker 1: also four extra base hits, including one homer, three doubles, 304 00:13:46,920 --> 00:13:49,400 Speaker 1: So make sure you guys are tailing along. There's new 305 00:13:49,440 --> 00:13:52,320 Speaker 1: promos out every single day, so if you're listening to 306 00:13:52,320 --> 00:13:54,640 Speaker 1: this later, just open up the app. Check out what 307 00:13:54,679 --> 00:13:57,480 Speaker 1: you've got any day this week. 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Concerned about 316 00:14:14,920 --> 00:14:17,440 Speaker 4: gambling in Florida called one eight eight eight admit it. 317 00:14:17,480 --> 00:14:19,160 Speaker 4: In Indiana, if you are something you know has a 318 00:14:19,200 --> 00:14:21,520 Speaker 4: gambling problem and wants help, call one eight hundred and 319 00:14:21,600 --> 00:14:25,320 Speaker 4: nine with it gambling problem called one hundred gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, 320 00:14:25,320 --> 00:14:27,080 Speaker 4: in New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia. 321 00:14:27,760 --> 00:14:32,160 Speaker 2: This guy right in front of me took two Dodgers 322 00:14:32,440 --> 00:14:33,640 Speaker 2: against my d Backs. 323 00:14:33,720 --> 00:14:36,440 Speaker 3: I mean wearing the World Series shirt. Oh no Yankees 324 00:14:36,480 --> 00:14:39,040 Speaker 3: in the d Backs here from two thousand and one. 325 00:14:39,840 --> 00:14:41,320 Speaker 3: I was there surprised he didn't know that. 326 00:14:41,960 --> 00:14:45,760 Speaker 2: But yeah, I can't believe you're taking Dodgers against my 327 00:14:45,840 --> 00:14:46,560 Speaker 2: d Backs in the. 328 00:14:46,480 --> 00:14:49,040 Speaker 3: Middle of the football show out of nowhere? What are 329 00:14:49,040 --> 00:14:49,440 Speaker 3: we doing? 330 00:14:49,480 --> 00:14:51,280 Speaker 1: Gotta do what I can do to support hard Rock. 331 00:14:51,320 --> 00:14:55,080 Speaker 1: Bet for supporting us and Bogs. I might even on 332 00:14:55,120 --> 00:14:57,520 Speaker 1: the NFL side. Later this week have a fade coming 333 00:14:57,520 --> 00:15:01,880 Speaker 1: against their Steelers, So the what the shots don't stop 334 00:15:01,920 --> 00:15:06,040 Speaker 1: coming for me? Should have bet your Texas Longhorns against 335 00:15:06,240 --> 00:15:10,320 Speaker 1: Sam Houston State, though they finally covered one. So let's 336 00:15:10,360 --> 00:15:12,560 Speaker 1: keep it moving here though Bogman. On Friday night, we 337 00:15:12,680 --> 00:15:15,320 Speaker 1: also have the number twenty four TCU horn Fogs. They're 338 00:15:15,320 --> 00:15:18,080 Speaker 1: coming into Tempe as two and a half point road 339 00:15:18,120 --> 00:15:21,800 Speaker 1: dogs against the Arizona State Sun Devils TCU. They blew 340 00:15:21,840 --> 00:15:25,400 Speaker 1: out North Carolina in Bill Belichick's debut, they failed to 341 00:15:25,440 --> 00:15:28,680 Speaker 1: cover against Albilene Christian and then they did beat SMU 342 00:15:28,800 --> 00:15:32,040 Speaker 1: thirty five twenty four last week. Their quarterback, Josh Hoover, 343 00:15:32,200 --> 00:15:34,480 Speaker 1: he's been awesome. Man. I don't care what people say 344 00:15:34,520 --> 00:15:37,080 Speaker 1: about this man on the internet. He's a good quarterback. 345 00:15:37,120 --> 00:15:39,880 Speaker 1: He's thrown for over one thousand yards eleven touchdowns in 346 00:15:39,960 --> 00:15:43,000 Speaker 1: just three games and as the horn Frogs ranked fourteenth 347 00:15:43,040 --> 00:15:46,800 Speaker 1: in total offense. Arizona State, meanwhile, they bounced back from 348 00:15:46,800 --> 00:15:49,280 Speaker 1: their Week two loss in Startsville with back to back 349 00:15:49,320 --> 00:15:52,200 Speaker 1: wins and covers against the likes of Texas State and 350 00:15:52,360 --> 00:15:55,760 Speaker 1: at Baylor last weekend. Jordan Tyson he's starting to make 351 00:15:55,800 --> 00:15:59,040 Speaker 1: his bid for the Blintakoff Award winner and the sun 352 00:15:59,040 --> 00:16:02,240 Speaker 1: Devils do rank though outside both the top fifty in 353 00:16:02,280 --> 00:16:05,400 Speaker 1: total offense and defense. They have had the twenty eighth 354 00:16:05,440 --> 00:16:08,480 Speaker 1: best strength to schedule so far this season, though, so Bogman, 355 00:16:08,720 --> 00:16:11,040 Speaker 1: do the Sun Devils have the right to be favored 356 00:16:11,200 --> 00:16:13,440 Speaker 1: in this matchup? And do you think this remains the 357 00:16:13,480 --> 00:16:14,440 Speaker 1: case throughout the week? 358 00:16:15,200 --> 00:16:17,440 Speaker 3: I kind of like them at home here. 359 00:16:17,600 --> 00:16:22,080 Speaker 2: This is a weird you know, you travel pretty far west, 360 00:16:22,120 --> 00:16:23,160 Speaker 2: it's going to be hot and. 361 00:16:23,240 --> 00:16:25,359 Speaker 3: Lated for TCUs. 362 00:16:25,400 --> 00:16:27,560 Speaker 2: So I kind of like the Devils here, specifically with 363 00:16:28,160 --> 00:16:31,200 Speaker 2: their fans showing up when they're good. We did see 364 00:16:31,240 --> 00:16:34,200 Speaker 2: them get beat on the road by Mississippi State, but 365 00:16:34,280 --> 00:16:36,000 Speaker 2: I like this one to be more of a shootout. 366 00:16:36,040 --> 00:16:39,640 Speaker 2: I mean, TCU so far has scored a bunch of points. 367 00:16:39,640 --> 00:16:42,480 Speaker 2: They put up what was thirty five on SMU last week, 368 00:16:42,600 --> 00:16:45,720 Speaker 2: forty eight on North Carolina, forty two on Abilene Christian. 369 00:16:46,280 --> 00:16:49,600 Speaker 2: I do think Arizona State is probably gonna be the 370 00:16:49,600 --> 00:16:51,720 Speaker 2: best team that they've played so far this year, which 371 00:16:51,760 --> 00:16:53,800 Speaker 2: is why I think the Sun Devils can win this 372 00:16:53,920 --> 00:16:58,000 Speaker 2: home game. But I tell you what, I lean towards ASU. 373 00:16:58,240 --> 00:16:59,800 Speaker 3: I like the over in this. 374 00:17:00,520 --> 00:17:03,480 Speaker 2: TCU's defense has been they didn't stop SMU very well. 375 00:17:03,720 --> 00:17:06,359 Speaker 2: They stopped UNC, but obviously UNC had all kinds of 376 00:17:06,359 --> 00:17:10,280 Speaker 2: issues that first week. I believe they let Abilene Christian 377 00:17:10,400 --> 00:17:12,639 Speaker 2: score some point twenty one point. Yes, they gave up 378 00:17:12,680 --> 00:17:13,560 Speaker 2: to Abilene Christian. 379 00:17:13,760 --> 00:17:15,359 Speaker 3: So I don't know. 380 00:17:15,480 --> 00:17:17,920 Speaker 2: I think the over play in this game is good 381 00:17:17,920 --> 00:17:19,840 Speaker 2: because I do think TCU will be able to throw 382 00:17:19,880 --> 00:17:21,920 Speaker 2: the ball and I think ACU is going to move 383 00:17:21,920 --> 00:17:24,080 Speaker 2: the ball right back on them. With Jordan Tyson, as 384 00:17:24,080 --> 00:17:27,080 Speaker 2: you mentioned Bleatnikov finalists, it looks like right now, so 385 00:17:27,800 --> 00:17:30,560 Speaker 2: got my touchdown prop this week to Tyson like that. 386 00:17:30,680 --> 00:17:32,679 Speaker 2: But yeah, so I think I think I kind of 387 00:17:32,880 --> 00:17:34,520 Speaker 2: lean towards the Devil's but I like the. 388 00:17:34,560 --> 00:17:37,359 Speaker 1: Over Okay, yeah, I can understand that. I think if 389 00:17:37,359 --> 00:17:39,480 Speaker 1: I was gonna get invested with Arizona State should have 390 00:17:39,480 --> 00:17:42,560 Speaker 1: been last week because Baylor's just a much worse team 391 00:17:42,600 --> 00:17:44,679 Speaker 1: than TCU at this point. Right, That's kind of how 392 00:17:44,720 --> 00:17:45,680 Speaker 1: I feel. TCU. 393 00:17:46,080 --> 00:17:47,240 Speaker 3: Still, they barely. 394 00:17:46,920 --> 00:17:48,639 Speaker 2: Won that game that was a road game for him, 395 00:17:48,680 --> 00:17:50,760 Speaker 2: and they barely won last second field goal. 396 00:17:51,280 --> 00:17:54,120 Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm getting a little nervous honestly about my Jeremiah 397 00:17:54,160 --> 00:17:57,560 Speaker 1: Smith blent TOKAWF Award winner ticket dude, because like, Jordan 398 00:17:57,640 --> 00:17:59,760 Speaker 1: Tyson is coming. Jordan Tyson is coming. He's had a 399 00:17:59,760 --> 00:18:02,280 Speaker 1: great season, so far, but so excited for that one, 400 00:18:02,320 --> 00:18:04,160 Speaker 1: but I don't know if I'll have any action on it. 401 00:18:04,760 --> 00:18:07,280 Speaker 1: I do agree though, like popular consensus I think is 402 00:18:07,280 --> 00:18:11,080 Speaker 1: to take that over. Jumping into the noonslay on Saturday, 403 00:18:11,160 --> 00:18:14,280 Speaker 1: the twenty first ranked USC Trojans. They're touching down in 404 00:18:14,440 --> 00:18:17,160 Speaker 1: Champagne to face off of the twenty third ranked Illinois 405 00:18:17,200 --> 00:18:20,200 Speaker 1: fighting a line nine. USC has gotta be getting off 406 00:18:20,200 --> 00:18:23,080 Speaker 1: to potentially the quietest four and oh start in their 407 00:18:23,080 --> 00:18:25,720 Speaker 1: program's history, man, but they have failed to cover it 408 00:18:25,720 --> 00:18:28,640 Speaker 1: in back to back weeks against Big Ten opponents Michigan 409 00:18:28,640 --> 00:18:32,880 Speaker 1: State and Purdue. Their junior quarterback Jane Maieva, he has 410 00:18:32,920 --> 00:18:35,720 Speaker 1: been pretty good so far, currently leads the Big Ten 411 00:18:36,119 --> 00:18:38,960 Speaker 1: in passing yards with over three hundred and five per game. 412 00:18:39,000 --> 00:18:42,240 Speaker 1: And after that three and oh straight up and ats start, 413 00:18:42,359 --> 00:18:45,480 Speaker 1: Illinois got flat out embarrassed by sig Signetti and company 414 00:18:45,560 --> 00:18:48,080 Speaker 1: last week. I mean, big Brett Man, you ever wanted 415 00:18:48,080 --> 00:18:51,359 Speaker 1: to look at a sad person on the sidelines, I 416 00:18:51,400 --> 00:18:54,040 Speaker 1: mean he was an utter disbelief because his top ten 417 00:18:54,160 --> 00:18:56,399 Speaker 1: ranked team allowed five hundred and seventy nine yards of 418 00:18:56,440 --> 00:18:59,000 Speaker 1: total offense to just one hundred and fifty nine up 419 00:18:59,040 --> 00:19:01,480 Speaker 1: their own, including two rushing yards. Man, I mean it 420 00:19:01,560 --> 00:19:05,480 Speaker 1: was disgraceful. So Boggs, is there any chances potentially a 421 00:19:05,520 --> 00:19:08,480 Speaker 1: bounce back spot for the align ni and as them 422 00:19:08,520 --> 00:19:11,040 Speaker 1: being seven and a half point dogs like just too 423 00:19:11,080 --> 00:19:14,919 Speaker 1: much recency buys, especially at home to a largely unproven 424 00:19:15,040 --> 00:19:15,840 Speaker 1: USC squad. 425 00:19:16,200 --> 00:19:17,639 Speaker 3: Well, it's seven and a half now, was six and 426 00:19:17,680 --> 00:19:18,480 Speaker 3: a half last night. 427 00:19:18,880 --> 00:19:20,880 Speaker 2: And my whole thing in this game is I think 428 00:19:20,880 --> 00:19:24,320 Speaker 2: the money is gonna come pouring in on USC because 429 00:19:24,359 --> 00:19:29,879 Speaker 2: they look so good and Illinois just got smashed by Indiana. 430 00:19:29,920 --> 00:19:33,040 Speaker 2: Maybe that's right, maybe that's the right take to have, right, 431 00:19:34,600 --> 00:19:37,840 Speaker 2: but I think if I want Illinois, I just sit 432 00:19:37,920 --> 00:19:40,440 Speaker 2: and I wait. Yeah, I wait until Saturday, because I 433 00:19:40,480 --> 00:19:42,960 Speaker 2: think the money is just gonna come pouring in towards USC. 434 00:19:43,680 --> 00:19:47,159 Speaker 2: And Jacoby Lane is questionable. Their best wide receiver at 435 00:19:47,240 --> 00:19:51,040 Speaker 2: USC is in question for this game as well. I 436 00:19:51,119 --> 00:19:53,760 Speaker 2: kind of like the over because also the best corner 437 00:19:53,800 --> 00:19:55,840 Speaker 2: for Illinois is questionable, Savior Scott. 438 00:19:55,920 --> 00:19:57,520 Speaker 3: So to me, this. 439 00:19:57,560 --> 00:20:02,840 Speaker 2: Game feels feels because Illinois did just get murdered, right, 440 00:20:02,920 --> 00:20:07,359 Speaker 2: And like you said, yes, USC has one of the 441 00:20:07,440 --> 00:20:10,320 Speaker 2: quieter four to oh starts. Their defense still isn't good though, 442 00:20:10,359 --> 00:20:15,160 Speaker 2: and This has been Lincoln Riley's deal forever. Yeah, is 443 00:20:15,400 --> 00:20:17,720 Speaker 2: our teams are going to play really good offense. I 444 00:20:17,760 --> 00:20:21,040 Speaker 2: think he has the most forty point games where his 445 00:20:21,040 --> 00:20:24,600 Speaker 2: team has scored forty points more than anybody else in 446 00:20:24,600 --> 00:20:26,919 Speaker 2: the country right now. I think that's something that they 447 00:20:26,960 --> 00:20:29,720 Speaker 2: said when they beat Michigan State this week, but I 448 00:20:29,760 --> 00:20:31,800 Speaker 2: mean that they allow so many points as well. I 449 00:20:31,880 --> 00:20:34,280 Speaker 2: like the over in this game. I think Luke Altmeyer 450 00:20:34,320 --> 00:20:36,320 Speaker 2: gets a little bit more on track here. I think 451 00:20:36,320 --> 00:20:38,560 Speaker 2: it's offense shows up a little bit more to play. 452 00:20:38,600 --> 00:20:41,159 Speaker 2: One of their best corners is down. I understand that 453 00:20:41,240 --> 00:20:43,840 Speaker 2: lane could be down as well for USC, but I 454 00:20:43,880 --> 00:20:45,800 Speaker 2: like Mkaya Lemon and I like what they've been doing 455 00:20:46,240 --> 00:20:48,320 Speaker 2: on offense as well. So I just kind of like 456 00:20:48,640 --> 00:20:52,280 Speaker 2: again the over here. I will want to wait and 457 00:20:52,320 --> 00:20:55,280 Speaker 2: see what lane status is before I officially take it. 458 00:20:55,320 --> 00:20:58,800 Speaker 2: But if you want Illinois, just sit and wait. If 459 00:20:58,800 --> 00:21:02,159 Speaker 2: you want USC, you better take it now. But I 460 00:21:02,240 --> 00:21:03,760 Speaker 2: like the over here more than anything else. 461 00:21:03,760 --> 00:21:06,240 Speaker 1: I think too. If you're betting Illinois here, you wait, 462 00:21:06,359 --> 00:21:08,160 Speaker 1: like you said, and like I think, you also sprinkle 463 00:21:08,280 --> 00:21:10,800 Speaker 1: that money line if you can get anything above you know, 464 00:21:10,880 --> 00:21:14,160 Speaker 1: plus two fifty something in that range potentially like that's 465 00:21:14,200 --> 00:21:17,480 Speaker 1: not a bad ticket to have, honestly, so I would 466 00:21:17,560 --> 00:21:20,000 Speaker 1: potentially like I don't trust USC anymore than I do 467 00:21:20,040 --> 00:21:23,040 Speaker 1: Illinois realistically, and I know it was a bad beat, 468 00:21:23,080 --> 00:21:26,080 Speaker 1: but sometimes like, I mean, how many times we've seen 469 00:21:26,080 --> 00:21:28,080 Speaker 1: it this year? Alabama again bears some week one come 470 00:21:28,119 --> 00:21:29,200 Speaker 1: out and whack an FCS team. 471 00:21:29,400 --> 00:21:31,320 Speaker 2: Think Indiana would have done the exact same thing to 472 00:21:31,440 --> 00:21:32,120 Speaker 2: USC if they. 473 00:21:32,640 --> 00:21:35,720 Speaker 1: Yep, I agree. We also have the Magnolia Bowl getting 474 00:21:35,760 --> 00:21:39,719 Speaker 1: underweight in Oxford, with the number four LSU Tigers shockingly 475 00:21:39,800 --> 00:21:41,640 Speaker 1: catching one and a half two two and a half 476 00:21:41,640 --> 00:21:46,000 Speaker 1: points to the Ole Miss Rebels. LSU comes in here undefeated, 477 00:21:46,040 --> 00:21:48,560 Speaker 1: straight up, three and one ATS. They have covers against 478 00:21:48,560 --> 00:21:53,159 Speaker 1: the likes of Florida, Clemson, Southeastern Louisiana. LSU's defense is 479 00:21:53,200 --> 00:21:56,040 Speaker 1: inside the top twenty and toil defense, but their offense 480 00:21:56,080 --> 00:21:59,600 Speaker 1: has not been super sharp this season, currently ranked outside 481 00:21:59,640 --> 00:22:03,320 Speaker 1: the top fifty Ole Miss undefeated straight up, they are 482 00:22:03,400 --> 00:22:06,520 Speaker 1: tuned to ATS, though they are picking up covers against 483 00:22:06,520 --> 00:22:09,640 Speaker 1: the likes of Georgia State Tulane last week forty five 484 00:22:09,640 --> 00:22:12,200 Speaker 1: to ten. I know, Boggs, you were potentially thinking about 485 00:22:12,240 --> 00:22:15,480 Speaker 1: getting invested in Tulane that ever did get above two 486 00:22:15,480 --> 00:22:16,600 Speaker 1: touchdowns there. 487 00:22:16,400 --> 00:22:20,320 Speaker 3: But stupid. Yeah, one of my three losses idiots. 488 00:22:20,359 --> 00:22:22,320 Speaker 1: And like the other thing about Illinois too is like 489 00:22:22,640 --> 00:22:24,679 Speaker 1: or will miss excuse me, is like, while they have 490 00:22:24,800 --> 00:22:27,520 Speaker 1: that win against Tulane last week, like they just squeaked 491 00:22:27,520 --> 00:22:30,399 Speaker 1: by Kentucky, they just got by Archy the week before 492 00:22:30,440 --> 00:22:33,320 Speaker 1: as well. So like LSU won last year twenty nine 493 00:22:33,320 --> 00:22:35,280 Speaker 1: to twenty six in Baton Rouge. But this is a 494 00:22:35,400 --> 00:22:37,720 Speaker 1: rivalry game that has gone back and forth in each 495 00:22:37,760 --> 00:22:40,560 Speaker 1: of the last five years. So bogs, is this the 496 00:22:40,640 --> 00:22:42,960 Speaker 1: time that we get invested with Brian Kelly in a 497 00:22:42,960 --> 00:22:46,320 Speaker 1: big spot as a road dog as the higher ranked team. 498 00:22:46,800 --> 00:22:51,280 Speaker 2: No, no, no, I'm not gonna pick a side here. 499 00:22:52,000 --> 00:22:54,600 Speaker 2: I'll tell you this. BP likes all missed to win 500 00:22:54,640 --> 00:22:59,280 Speaker 2: at home. So uh, I kind of think LSU is 501 00:22:59,320 --> 00:23:02,480 Speaker 2: the better team. I like the under in this game. 502 00:23:03,160 --> 00:23:07,040 Speaker 2: You know, we just talked about LSU, right, and they 503 00:23:07,080 --> 00:23:09,639 Speaker 2: had the big victory against Clemson week one. What's that 504 00:23:09,720 --> 00:23:10,440 Speaker 2: even worth now? 505 00:23:10,800 --> 00:23:12,400 Speaker 1: A good point? Good point? 506 00:23:12,480 --> 00:23:13,679 Speaker 3: I don't know if that's worth anything. 507 00:23:13,800 --> 00:23:16,800 Speaker 2: It didn't cover against Louisiana Tech and the only team 508 00:23:16,840 --> 00:23:19,840 Speaker 2: they've scored more than twenty three points against was Southeast Louisiana. 509 00:23:20,119 --> 00:23:20,560 Speaker 3: That's it. 510 00:23:21,200 --> 00:23:25,120 Speaker 2: So the offense is not clicking for LSU right now, 511 00:23:25,440 --> 00:23:28,280 Speaker 2: but the defense has been clicking, and I think they 512 00:23:28,320 --> 00:23:31,119 Speaker 2: will slow down ole Miss, who may still be on 513 00:23:31,160 --> 00:23:33,600 Speaker 2: their backup quarterback. I don't think that really matters because 514 00:23:33,600 --> 00:23:38,000 Speaker 2: shambles look good, but I think that for ole Miss, 515 00:23:38,600 --> 00:23:41,920 Speaker 2: like you said, I think LSU's defense drags him down 516 00:23:41,960 --> 00:23:43,960 Speaker 2: into the mud. And we saw Kentucky do this to 517 00:23:44,040 --> 00:23:47,440 Speaker 2: ole Miss in Old Miss last year as well, right, 518 00:23:47,680 --> 00:23:50,359 Speaker 2: They drug him down into the mud and made him 519 00:23:50,400 --> 00:23:53,240 Speaker 2: play a little bit different. So I think that that 520 00:23:53,400 --> 00:23:55,680 Speaker 2: is what LSU is going to do. I think if 521 00:23:55,720 --> 00:23:58,879 Speaker 2: they win this game, they win it defensively. I don't 522 00:23:58,960 --> 00:24:00,639 Speaker 2: like a side though. I think I think a weird 523 00:24:00,720 --> 00:24:04,200 Speaker 2: bounce and interception, a fumble, a you know, block field goal, 524 00:24:04,720 --> 00:24:07,200 Speaker 2: it makes all the difference in this game. And I 525 00:24:07,240 --> 00:24:10,040 Speaker 2: don't want to be on a side if one bounce 526 00:24:10,080 --> 00:24:11,240 Speaker 2: can be the entire game. 527 00:24:11,359 --> 00:24:12,119 Speaker 3: Give me the under. 528 00:24:12,200 --> 00:24:15,760 Speaker 2: I think this game is played tight. I think there's 529 00:24:15,840 --> 00:24:19,280 Speaker 2: just less scoring because and I think I do. 530 00:24:19,200 --> 00:24:20,400 Speaker 3: Kind of like LSU. 531 00:24:20,560 --> 00:24:22,199 Speaker 2: If I had a pick here, I'd take LSU and 532 00:24:22,200 --> 00:24:24,800 Speaker 2: I take them on the money line. But that's a lean, 533 00:24:25,280 --> 00:24:27,520 Speaker 2: so I think they kind of control this. I really 534 00:24:27,560 --> 00:24:29,600 Speaker 2: liked what their defense has done. They've won with the 535 00:24:29,600 --> 00:24:32,040 Speaker 2: transfer portal. I expect them to keep doing it here, 536 00:24:32,119 --> 00:24:33,280 Speaker 2: so I like the under. 537 00:24:33,520 --> 00:24:35,360 Speaker 1: Yeah, I think the under is my favorite play here too. 538 00:24:35,400 --> 00:24:38,359 Speaker 1: Boggs Like, again, I think I missed the window of 539 00:24:38,440 --> 00:24:41,159 Speaker 1: when I should have been betting LSU to lay the 540 00:24:41,200 --> 00:24:43,400 Speaker 1: points right like that was probably against Florida a couple 541 00:24:43,359 --> 00:24:45,720 Speaker 1: of weeks ago when Florida just looked absolutely dead. So 542 00:24:45,760 --> 00:24:47,880 Speaker 1: I think I missed the window. So yeah, the under 543 00:24:47,960 --> 00:24:49,760 Speaker 1: might be on my card too. I think that's a 544 00:24:49,800 --> 00:24:52,280 Speaker 1: good play. But you know, we've seen these old Miss 545 00:24:52,320 --> 00:24:55,480 Speaker 1: games before. They can blow up quickly. They especially look. 546 00:24:56,760 --> 00:25:00,639 Speaker 2: The last under I loved was Tennessee in Georgia and 547 00:25:00,720 --> 00:25:02,520 Speaker 2: had nine hundred ninety eight damn yards. 548 00:25:02,520 --> 00:25:03,200 Speaker 3: So who knows. 549 00:25:03,240 --> 00:25:05,080 Speaker 1: I bet Old Miss is over. I can't remember who 550 00:25:05,080 --> 00:25:07,560 Speaker 1: that was Week two against Kentucky. I think it was 551 00:25:08,040 --> 00:25:10,200 Speaker 1: it was the losers. Yeah, yeah, and we. 552 00:25:10,160 --> 00:25:12,040 Speaker 3: Got back to it right now missing. 553 00:25:12,000 --> 00:25:14,399 Speaker 1: Yeah yeah, maybe just maybe just hang hang off. 554 00:25:15,440 --> 00:25:18,440 Speaker 3: Yeah it could be a little bitter, yeah, so I'll 555 00:25:18,440 --> 00:25:18,840 Speaker 3: admit it. 556 00:25:19,119 --> 00:25:20,880 Speaker 1: Also, we do have a game that I do want 557 00:25:20,960 --> 00:25:23,880 Speaker 1: invested in kicking off in the three thirty Slates, eleventh 558 00:25:23,920 --> 00:25:26,600 Speaker 1: ranked Indiana Hoosiers there on the road in Iowa City, 559 00:25:26,680 --> 00:25:28,200 Speaker 1: laying seven and a half to eight and a half 560 00:25:28,200 --> 00:25:31,200 Speaker 1: points depending where you're looking against the Iowa Hawkeyes here 561 00:25:31,240 --> 00:25:34,359 Speaker 1: and I you they've advanced to four and oh straight 562 00:25:34,440 --> 00:25:38,160 Speaker 1: up three and one ATS. He's been favorite, Fernando Mendoza 563 00:25:38,280 --> 00:25:41,240 Speaker 1: has this offense rocking right now, second in the country 564 00:25:41,320 --> 00:25:44,560 Speaker 1: right now in total offense, total defense their number three 565 00:25:44,680 --> 00:25:47,560 Speaker 1: as well. And while Indiana's sixty three to ten win 566 00:25:47,800 --> 00:25:51,120 Speaker 1: was absolutely a massive statement on Saturday, I think there's 567 00:25:51,119 --> 00:25:53,040 Speaker 1: still some question marks here because there are other three 568 00:25:53,080 --> 00:25:56,320 Speaker 1: wins came against FCS teams. I will Meanwhile, they're three 569 00:25:56,320 --> 00:25:58,960 Speaker 1: and one straight up two and two ATS, big covers 570 00:25:59,000 --> 00:26:02,040 Speaker 1: against UMass and Rutgers in the past two weeks after 571 00:26:02,119 --> 00:26:05,359 Speaker 1: dropping the Syhawk to Iowa State in Week two. And 572 00:26:05,400 --> 00:26:07,639 Speaker 1: it's really been Iowa's run game that's kind of gotten 573 00:26:07,680 --> 00:26:10,159 Speaker 1: them so far this season, as they're one hundred and 574 00:26:10,200 --> 00:26:13,920 Speaker 1: twenty seventh in passing offense, fortieth and rushing. So Boggs 575 00:26:13,960 --> 00:26:16,720 Speaker 1: watching that game, I was at my brother's house Saturday night, 576 00:26:16,720 --> 00:26:19,280 Speaker 1: big screen on the projector. We have the four banger going. 577 00:26:19,400 --> 00:26:22,800 Speaker 1: It was great. I realized that, like, I'm just going 578 00:26:22,840 --> 00:26:25,000 Speaker 1: back to smoking that sig pack man, Like I'm gonna 579 00:26:25,040 --> 00:26:28,000 Speaker 1: do it all season until it gets me hurt. I 580 00:26:28,040 --> 00:26:31,159 Speaker 1: think the only question I want to ask you is 581 00:26:31,240 --> 00:26:32,879 Speaker 1: seven and a half the best number we're gonna be 582 00:26:32,920 --> 00:26:35,119 Speaker 1: getting this week? You think, Or can I wait and 583 00:26:35,160 --> 00:26:36,359 Speaker 1: maybe get six and a half later? 584 00:26:37,359 --> 00:26:39,959 Speaker 2: No? I think I think seven and a half is 585 00:26:40,000 --> 00:26:43,720 Speaker 2: probably what it's gonna stay at. If it does go, 586 00:26:44,160 --> 00:26:46,520 Speaker 2: I think it's gonna go towards Indiana because of the 587 00:26:46,560 --> 00:26:49,720 Speaker 2: domination and because we just haven't seen a lot from 588 00:26:49,760 --> 00:26:52,200 Speaker 2: Iowa yet. You know, they lost their game to Iowa State. 589 00:26:54,000 --> 00:26:58,879 Speaker 2: But I just think that this is this, this line 590 00:26:58,960 --> 00:27:01,520 Speaker 2: is gonna move because of all of the buzz on 591 00:27:01,560 --> 00:27:04,120 Speaker 2: Indiana and because they just smacked down surprise. 592 00:27:04,040 --> 00:27:07,320 Speaker 1: This slow to start. Honestly, Yeah, it's a road game. 593 00:27:07,359 --> 00:27:11,040 Speaker 2: In Iowa's defense, you know, we just talked about teams 594 00:27:11,040 --> 00:27:12,960 Speaker 2: that will drag you down into the mud, right, That's 595 00:27:12,960 --> 00:27:14,320 Speaker 2: what Iowa wants to do. 596 00:27:14,560 --> 00:27:15,480 Speaker 3: They want to drag their. 597 00:27:15,440 --> 00:27:18,440 Speaker 2: Opponents in the mud and play defense and run the ball. 598 00:27:19,040 --> 00:27:22,719 Speaker 2: The problem is is here that Indiana has outgained their 599 00:27:22,760 --> 00:27:26,119 Speaker 2: opponents this season two three hundred and fifty four yards 600 00:27:26,119 --> 00:27:27,560 Speaker 2: to eight hundred and fifty three. 601 00:27:27,720 --> 00:27:28,240 Speaker 1: Holy cow. 602 00:27:28,440 --> 00:27:30,800 Speaker 2: So it was five hundred and seventy nine to one 603 00:27:30,920 --> 00:27:32,720 Speaker 2: sixty one against Illinois last week. 604 00:27:32,800 --> 00:27:35,000 Speaker 3: That was the difference in yards. 605 00:27:35,320 --> 00:27:38,679 Speaker 2: I just think that Indiana continues to beat teams that 606 00:27:38,840 --> 00:27:42,320 Speaker 2: aren't top ten level into the dirt, and they've proven 607 00:27:42,359 --> 00:27:44,600 Speaker 2: to us that they want to run up the score. 608 00:27:44,680 --> 00:27:46,000 Speaker 3: This was what I liked Week one. 609 00:27:46,040 --> 00:27:49,240 Speaker 2: It didn't work out because two big plays from Curtis Jacobs, right, 610 00:27:49,240 --> 00:27:52,119 Speaker 2: But outside of those plays, I think the difference was 611 00:27:52,160 --> 00:27:54,879 Speaker 2: like seventy seven to six hundred and the you know, 612 00:27:54,960 --> 00:27:57,640 Speaker 2: they only scored thirty seven points because they they went 613 00:27:58,200 --> 00:27:59,880 Speaker 2: on fourth down twice in the red zone and missed 614 00:27:59,880 --> 00:28:03,520 Speaker 2: it both times. So, you know, Indiana had the blip 615 00:28:03,520 --> 00:28:06,439 Speaker 2: week one. That blip seems to be over at this point. 616 00:28:06,920 --> 00:28:13,280 Speaker 2: Maybe being on the road waving them kids, yeah. 617 00:28:12,800 --> 00:28:15,600 Speaker 3: Maybe that does something here. I just don't see it. 618 00:28:15,680 --> 00:28:19,719 Speaker 2: So for me, I'm on Indiana, I'm on Indiana team total, 619 00:28:19,880 --> 00:28:23,240 Speaker 2: I'm on the game total over as well. I just 620 00:28:23,280 --> 00:28:26,600 Speaker 2: think that Indiana continues to run up the score until 621 00:28:26,640 --> 00:28:30,360 Speaker 2: we put them in the category with Penn State and Oregon. 622 00:28:30,480 --> 00:28:33,719 Speaker 2: And Michigan and all the upper echelon Big ten teams, 623 00:28:33,760 --> 00:28:36,640 Speaker 2: And until we get that, I think Signetty wants to 624 00:28:36,840 --> 00:28:39,080 Speaker 2: put the boots to every team they play to show 625 00:28:39,120 --> 00:28:41,920 Speaker 2: we're in the upper echelon, we should be ranked up there. 626 00:28:42,120 --> 00:28:43,920 Speaker 1: Yeah, this will probably be my first play of the week. 627 00:28:43,920 --> 00:28:46,160 Speaker 1: I probably will take it on the alt line just 628 00:28:46,160 --> 00:28:48,080 Speaker 1: to get that key number six and a half, right, 629 00:28:48,240 --> 00:28:50,000 Speaker 1: I think that's probably where I'll go with this. But like, 630 00:28:50,560 --> 00:28:53,760 Speaker 1: dude not counting Altmeyer's negative rushing yards last week, Bogs 631 00:28:53,760 --> 00:28:56,600 Speaker 1: they allowed two point six yards per carry two Illinois 632 00:28:56,680 --> 00:28:59,560 Speaker 1: running backs last week, and Indiana they've allowed the twenty 633 00:28:59,600 --> 00:29:02,280 Speaker 1: fewest ushing yards per game this season. And like my 634 00:29:02,400 --> 00:29:04,800 Speaker 1: buddy was down on a big gainer on that Iowa 635 00:29:04,840 --> 00:29:07,520 Speaker 1: money line Friday night, like an uncomfortable amount to be 636 00:29:07,520 --> 00:29:10,520 Speaker 1: betting on any Iowa money line. So you know, I 637 00:29:10,920 --> 00:29:12,760 Speaker 1: sat and I watched that game. Like my one big 638 00:29:12,800 --> 00:29:16,200 Speaker 1: takeaway against Rutgers was like, I actually didn't think this 639 00:29:16,680 --> 00:29:19,360 Speaker 1: Iowa defense was the same Iowa defense we saw. 640 00:29:19,200 --> 00:29:21,440 Speaker 3: Show that Rutgers scored like twenty four points, didn't they. 641 00:29:21,480 --> 00:29:23,960 Speaker 1: Yeah, And and honestly, like a big part of why 642 00:29:24,000 --> 00:29:26,040 Speaker 1: they got out to lead is they took the initial 643 00:29:26,120 --> 00:29:29,040 Speaker 1: kickoff back right, so they got off to seven to 644 00:29:29,080 --> 00:29:31,120 Speaker 1: zero lead, and then Rutgers came storming back where my 645 00:29:31,120 --> 00:29:33,320 Speaker 1: buddy was calling it in. You know, he was drinking. 646 00:29:33,520 --> 00:29:35,480 Speaker 1: He was ready to call it, call it a night 647 00:29:35,560 --> 00:29:37,440 Speaker 1: and Saturday. 648 00:29:37,560 --> 00:29:40,400 Speaker 3: So they allowed Rutgers four hundred yards. 649 00:29:42,080 --> 00:29:44,640 Speaker 1: I mean, so yeah, give me the Heisman favorite baby. 650 00:29:44,720 --> 00:29:46,560 Speaker 1: I'm laying all the points. I'm smoking all the packs 651 00:29:46,560 --> 00:29:50,000 Speaker 1: this week. Let's go. We also have the top ranked 652 00:29:50,000 --> 00:29:52,720 Speaker 1: Ohio State Buckeyes. They're on the road in Pullman to 653 00:29:52,760 --> 00:29:56,200 Speaker 1: take on Jed Fish's Washington Huskies. The Buckeyes come in 654 00:29:56,400 --> 00:29:58,800 Speaker 1: just as eight and a half point favorites after starting 655 00:29:58,840 --> 00:30:02,080 Speaker 1: Tune one at f with covers against Texas and Grambling 656 00:30:02,120 --> 00:30:05,280 Speaker 1: State plus a thirty seven to nine win over the 657 00:30:05,280 --> 00:30:09,120 Speaker 1: Ohio Bobcats. Sophomore quarterback Julian Stance currently leads the Big 658 00:30:09,160 --> 00:30:12,160 Speaker 1: Ten in completion percentage. And it's been like the usual suspects, 659 00:30:12,160 --> 00:30:13,840 Speaker 1: I feel like here for Ohio State, right, it's been 660 00:30:13,920 --> 00:30:17,600 Speaker 1: Jeremiah Smith, Carnel Tate on the offense, some newer younger 661 00:30:17,640 --> 00:30:21,200 Speaker 1: guys doing some heavy lifting on defense. Still, but still 662 00:30:21,320 --> 00:30:23,000 Speaker 1: when you have Caleb Downs out there, at safety, one 663 00:30:23,000 --> 00:30:24,680 Speaker 1: of the best players in the country. It's gonna be 664 00:30:24,880 --> 00:30:29,720 Speaker 1: somewhat smoother than predictable. The Huskies. Meanwhile, their tune one ats. 665 00:30:29,800 --> 00:30:32,160 Speaker 1: They're coming off a big cover in the Apple Cup 666 00:30:32,240 --> 00:30:36,040 Speaker 1: thirty nine to twenty five over Washington State. They got 667 00:30:36,080 --> 00:30:38,760 Speaker 1: some guys on offense here too, Demand Williams at quarterback, 668 00:30:38,840 --> 00:30:41,920 Speaker 1: Joonah Coleman, he leads the Big ten in touchdowns at 669 00:30:42,000 --> 00:30:44,760 Speaker 1: running back, Denzel Boston, potential top one hundred pick in 670 00:30:44,800 --> 00:30:47,040 Speaker 1: the NFL Draft at wide receiver as well, plus a 671 00:30:47,120 --> 00:30:50,840 Speaker 1: top twenty five to defense. So Bogs. I like the pieces. 672 00:30:50,840 --> 00:30:54,520 Speaker 1: I like the Washington's building here under Jedfish. Still, though, 673 00:30:54,560 --> 00:30:56,600 Speaker 1: does that warrant just an eight and a half points 674 00:30:56,600 --> 00:30:59,800 Speaker 1: spread against the defending national champion Ohio State? 675 00:31:00,160 --> 00:31:04,840 Speaker 3: Guys, I first look at this line, I go, what right? 676 00:31:04,920 --> 00:31:05,120 Speaker 1: Yes? 677 00:31:05,480 --> 00:31:06,520 Speaker 3: What do we talk same? 678 00:31:06,920 --> 00:31:09,320 Speaker 2: Why is it only eight and a half? So I 679 00:31:09,440 --> 00:31:13,960 Speaker 2: do think that that being my initial thought process in yours, 680 00:31:14,120 --> 00:31:18,400 Speaker 2: also track everybody else's. It feels like a trap and 681 00:31:18,600 --> 00:31:21,840 Speaker 2: this number is going to expand a lot. I feel like, 682 00:31:21,880 --> 00:31:24,320 Speaker 2: so if you want Ohio State, get them early in 683 00:31:24,360 --> 00:31:25,920 Speaker 2: the week, because I think this is going to go 684 00:31:26,040 --> 00:31:27,280 Speaker 2: up to ten and a half, eleven and a half 685 00:31:27,400 --> 00:31:29,640 Speaker 2: something like that. I think it's just going to sprint 686 00:31:29,680 --> 00:31:32,920 Speaker 2: towards the buck eyes. I think that's the right instinct. 687 00:31:33,160 --> 00:31:36,120 Speaker 2: But what I'll say about Washington is that we don't 688 00:31:36,160 --> 00:31:39,840 Speaker 2: know a damn thing about Washington. Yeah, like, I like them, 689 00:31:39,880 --> 00:31:42,719 Speaker 2: and I like Denzel Boston is a great talent. But 690 00:31:42,800 --> 00:31:46,160 Speaker 2: they have played the ninety ninth best strength to schedule 691 00:31:46,520 --> 00:31:51,920 Speaker 2: according to PFF. It's been a miserable Washington State team 692 00:31:52,000 --> 00:31:54,320 Speaker 2: that they played like the Apple Cup means a lot, 693 00:31:54,640 --> 00:31:55,800 Speaker 2: and it didn't. 694 00:31:55,880 --> 00:31:57,800 Speaker 3: This year. They won by thirty five points. 695 00:31:57,880 --> 00:32:00,200 Speaker 1: Right, Yeah, we lost on the Apple Cup straight up. 696 00:32:00,200 --> 00:32:01,239 Speaker 1: I think last year didn't we? 697 00:32:01,760 --> 00:32:02,000 Speaker 3: Yes? 698 00:32:02,200 --> 00:32:05,600 Speaker 2: Yeah, because John Matteer won that game for Washington's date. 699 00:32:06,600 --> 00:32:08,240 Speaker 3: So that was when the Johntteer. 700 00:32:08,320 --> 00:32:10,120 Speaker 2: I was like, this, dude's gonna be playing for an 701 00:32:10,200 --> 00:32:11,280 Speaker 2: SEC team next year. 702 00:32:11,280 --> 00:32:11,680 Speaker 3: For sure. 703 00:32:11,800 --> 00:32:13,600 Speaker 2: I thought it would go to Auburn. I didn't want 704 00:32:13,640 --> 00:32:16,720 Speaker 2: him to go to Oklahoma. But Oklahoma's quarterback went to 705 00:32:16,760 --> 00:32:20,080 Speaker 2: Auburn and he went to Oklahoma. So I just don't 706 00:32:20,120 --> 00:32:22,880 Speaker 2: think we know enough about Washington yet to really have 707 00:32:22,960 --> 00:32:26,080 Speaker 2: a great sense of what they are. Maybe they're a 708 00:32:26,160 --> 00:32:29,600 Speaker 2: really good offense and maybe they stay in this game 709 00:32:29,680 --> 00:32:34,520 Speaker 2: because this is all long travel to Washington. Right it's 710 00:32:34,600 --> 00:32:37,720 Speaker 2: west coast, but the buck Eyes are coming off of 711 00:32:37,760 --> 00:32:40,600 Speaker 2: bye week, right, like they had two weeks to prep 712 00:32:40,640 --> 00:32:44,000 Speaker 2: for this game and travel. I feel pretty good about 713 00:32:44,000 --> 00:32:46,600 Speaker 2: the Buckeyes, but I'll say this like, this is one 714 00:32:46,640 --> 00:32:49,280 Speaker 2: of those games that maybe I just stay away because 715 00:32:49,320 --> 00:32:52,320 Speaker 2: I don't know what Washington is yet because they haven't 716 00:32:52,320 --> 00:32:55,640 Speaker 2: played anyone now. It's not really fair to start them 717 00:32:55,640 --> 00:32:57,600 Speaker 2: against Ohio State, so I don't know if we'll really 718 00:32:57,680 --> 00:33:00,760 Speaker 2: know Washington after we watch this game. They say in it, 719 00:33:01,280 --> 00:33:03,360 Speaker 2: if they get beat into the dirt, it's like, okay, 720 00:33:03,400 --> 00:33:06,120 Speaker 2: well they're a mid tier Big ten team, Ohio State. 721 00:33:06,160 --> 00:33:08,440 Speaker 2: It's gonna beat every Big ten team into the dirt 722 00:33:08,480 --> 00:33:09,960 Speaker 2: that's not Oregon or Penn State. 723 00:33:10,120 --> 00:33:12,200 Speaker 3: So that's kind of where they are. 724 00:33:12,360 --> 00:33:14,160 Speaker 2: But if they stay in this game, then we know 725 00:33:14,800 --> 00:33:17,320 Speaker 2: they're better than at least I'm gonna give me credit 726 00:33:17,360 --> 00:33:18,840 Speaker 2: for as it stands right now. 727 00:33:18,920 --> 00:33:21,280 Speaker 3: So I'm pretty confident. 728 00:33:21,480 --> 00:33:23,880 Speaker 2: So I might go ahead and just lay some points 729 00:33:23,880 --> 00:33:26,520 Speaker 2: and take the Buckeyes here, because I do think they're 730 00:33:26,560 --> 00:33:30,200 Speaker 2: more than eight and a half points better than the Huskies. 731 00:33:30,240 --> 00:33:33,440 Speaker 2: But it's a weird spot and it feels very trappy. 732 00:33:33,640 --> 00:33:36,400 Speaker 1: You know, don't spoil any content coming later this week. 733 00:33:36,480 --> 00:33:39,440 Speaker 1: But and again, I'm a complete fade on the parlays 734 00:33:39,440 --> 00:33:41,560 Speaker 1: of the week right now. But it may be a 735 00:33:41,560 --> 00:33:44,880 Speaker 1: little like, Hey, let's tease down Ohio State to six 736 00:33:44,920 --> 00:33:46,800 Speaker 1: and a half. Let's tease down Indiana to six and 737 00:33:46,840 --> 00:33:49,520 Speaker 1: a half. I kind of like, I like wait lanesp points. 738 00:33:49,560 --> 00:33:51,760 Speaker 1: Here's some Big ten favorites this week. I'm I'm back. 739 00:33:51,800 --> 00:33:53,720 Speaker 1: I'm back, baby, I'm back in the Big ten street. 740 00:33:53,800 --> 00:33:55,920 Speaker 1: Let's go. I don't think I barely bet any Big 741 00:33:55,920 --> 00:33:57,240 Speaker 1: ten games this year at all, so. 742 00:33:57,520 --> 00:33:59,440 Speaker 3: I'm ready to get there. Yeah, let's go. 743 00:34:00,280 --> 00:34:02,600 Speaker 1: Also, we got Auburn. They are back on the road 744 00:34:02,640 --> 00:34:05,920 Speaker 1: after dropping two three and one straight up. They also 745 00:34:06,240 --> 00:34:09,080 Speaker 1: are one in three ats as well, this time heading 746 00:34:09,120 --> 00:34:11,800 Speaker 1: to College Station where they're six to six and a 747 00:34:11,880 --> 00:34:14,319 Speaker 1: half point Dogs Here into the ninth rank Texas A 748 00:34:14,320 --> 00:34:17,200 Speaker 1: and M. Maggie. The Tigers actually held the ball for 749 00:34:17,239 --> 00:34:19,680 Speaker 1: thirty five minutes in their defense, Hello you to just 750 00:34:19,719 --> 00:34:23,120 Speaker 1: three hundred and three total yards twenty four points. Jackson Arnoll. 751 00:34:23,200 --> 00:34:25,600 Speaker 1: We talked about the top here. Bogs didn't look too 752 00:34:25,640 --> 00:34:28,080 Speaker 1: bad going through the air held on to the ball 753 00:34:28,160 --> 00:34:30,200 Speaker 1: too long, took a ton of sacks in this one, 754 00:34:30,320 --> 00:34:32,640 Speaker 1: but he had his guys Cam Coleman out there Eric 755 00:34:32,640 --> 00:34:36,040 Speaker 1: Singleton as well, making some really big plays. A and M. 756 00:34:36,320 --> 00:34:38,680 Speaker 1: They were off last week, but they beat Notre Dame 757 00:34:38,760 --> 00:34:42,040 Speaker 1: to my absolute chagrin forty one to forty in South 758 00:34:42,080 --> 00:34:44,319 Speaker 1: Bend back in Week three, but they did fail to 759 00:34:44,360 --> 00:34:47,800 Speaker 1: cover against Utah State and UTSA to open up the season. 760 00:34:48,120 --> 00:34:51,359 Speaker 1: Marcel Reid, he's been impressive at quarterback, Le'Veon Moss back 761 00:34:51,360 --> 00:34:53,520 Speaker 1: at running back, which has been great for this offense. 762 00:34:53,719 --> 00:34:55,879 Speaker 1: But how good is this defense still kind of sort 763 00:34:55,880 --> 00:34:59,200 Speaker 1: of unknown, at least to me. So Scott, with that said, 764 00:34:59,280 --> 00:35:03,120 Speaker 1: do you think with nearly a touchdown line, is that justified? 765 00:35:03,160 --> 00:35:04,000 Speaker 1: And will that move? 766 00:35:04,880 --> 00:35:05,160 Speaker 3: Oh? 767 00:35:05,280 --> 00:35:07,120 Speaker 2: Man, I think it will move, and I think it's 768 00:35:07,120 --> 00:35:10,320 Speaker 2: going to move towards the Aggies, which is unfortunate because 769 00:35:10,360 --> 00:35:12,600 Speaker 2: I would like to get them down a little bit 770 00:35:12,640 --> 00:35:15,040 Speaker 2: more to take them because I do kind of think 771 00:35:15,080 --> 00:35:17,000 Speaker 2: they control this game. I think they're a better team 772 00:35:17,440 --> 00:35:20,200 Speaker 2: than Auburn is right now, but I don't know that 773 00:35:20,280 --> 00:35:22,719 Speaker 2: they are. And I think that this is kind of 774 00:35:22,800 --> 00:35:26,640 Speaker 2: a It's another game that one bounce could could change 775 00:35:26,640 --> 00:35:29,480 Speaker 2: the whole. I mean, look at how Auburn lost the 776 00:35:29,480 --> 00:35:32,480 Speaker 2: cover last week on a safety right. Texas A and 777 00:35:32,640 --> 00:35:35,239 Speaker 2: M only one because of a miss extra point, So 778 00:35:35,800 --> 00:35:37,240 Speaker 2: these teams have had bounces. 779 00:35:37,239 --> 00:35:37,920 Speaker 3: So what do we know. 780 00:35:38,520 --> 00:35:40,960 Speaker 2: We know that Texas A and M's defense has not 781 00:35:41,040 --> 00:35:42,799 Speaker 2: played up the park, that's. 782 00:35:42,560 --> 00:35:43,040 Speaker 3: What we know. 783 00:35:44,120 --> 00:35:46,560 Speaker 2: And we know Jackson and Arnold looks better this year 784 00:35:46,600 --> 00:35:49,120 Speaker 2: with Auburn than he ever did with Oklahoma. 785 00:35:49,640 --> 00:35:52,560 Speaker 3: So again, this is over. Kind of like the over. 786 00:35:52,840 --> 00:35:55,320 Speaker 3: It's fifty two and a half, this is a night game. 787 00:35:55,600 --> 00:35:58,040 Speaker 2: I think the Aggies are moving the ball well and 788 00:35:58,040 --> 00:36:02,320 Speaker 2: they're not stopping anybody. They didn't Utah State or UTSA either, 789 00:36:02,880 --> 00:36:05,560 Speaker 2: So I like the over in this game as well. 790 00:36:05,600 --> 00:36:08,880 Speaker 2: I just think that there's gonna be some decent points here. Now, 791 00:36:09,400 --> 00:36:11,799 Speaker 2: Auburn looked a little lost. Jackson Arron looked a little 792 00:36:11,800 --> 00:36:17,400 Speaker 2: lost on the road against Oklahoma, but he didn't against Baylor. 793 00:36:17,600 --> 00:36:19,560 Speaker 2: He looked fine against Baylor. So maybe it's just that 794 00:36:19,680 --> 00:36:23,520 Speaker 2: building that he doesn't like in Oklahoma. That would make 795 00:36:23,560 --> 00:36:26,120 Speaker 2: some sense. So I think Auburn's gonna be able to 796 00:36:26,160 --> 00:36:28,319 Speaker 2: move the football against a team that has looked weak 797 00:36:28,360 --> 00:36:31,359 Speaker 2: on defense. They led up forty points to Notre Dame 798 00:36:31,400 --> 00:36:33,399 Speaker 2: as well, So give me the over in this one. 799 00:36:33,400 --> 00:36:36,319 Speaker 2: I think both these teams score, and I really hope 800 00:36:36,320 --> 00:36:38,319 Speaker 2: Auburn wins, but I think the Aggies are gonna win. 801 00:36:38,640 --> 00:36:41,480 Speaker 1: Yes. Is one of those games where I feel like 802 00:36:41,520 --> 00:36:43,919 Speaker 1: I want to put some trends aside because Auburn has 803 00:36:43,960 --> 00:36:46,359 Speaker 1: been zero to three as of late to the over. 804 00:36:46,560 --> 00:36:49,200 Speaker 1: But week one we saw it. They went over against Baylor. 805 00:36:50,160 --> 00:36:52,680 Speaker 1: I think the offense played pretty valiant against what I 806 00:36:52,760 --> 00:36:55,439 Speaker 1: deem a top ten defense in Oklahoma. And the one 807 00:36:55,440 --> 00:36:57,239 Speaker 1: thing we do know though, is like A and M 808 00:36:57,360 --> 00:36:59,319 Speaker 1: defense is awful, right, or at least we think for 809 00:36:59,360 --> 00:37:01,839 Speaker 1: an secerteam. They they're three and zero to the over. 810 00:37:01,960 --> 00:37:04,239 Speaker 1: So a lot of trends go in different ways, but 811 00:37:04,480 --> 00:37:06,640 Speaker 1: I think, you know, hitting that total might be the 812 00:37:06,680 --> 00:37:09,120 Speaker 1: right way to go about it. Let's keep it moving. 813 00:37:09,160 --> 00:37:11,120 Speaker 1: But before we do, I wanted to rhind to everyone 814 00:37:11,160 --> 00:37:13,360 Speaker 1: that you can track your bets. You can stay accountable 815 00:37:13,400 --> 00:37:17,440 Speaker 1: and level up by downloading the Betting pros app for free. 816 00:37:17,760 --> 00:37:21,040 Speaker 1: With sportsbook Sync, you can automatically track your bets across 817 00:37:21,080 --> 00:37:25,080 Speaker 1: all major books in just one simple spot. Easily monitor 818 00:37:25,239 --> 00:37:28,440 Speaker 1: your bet performance by sport and bet type including game picks, 819 00:37:28,480 --> 00:37:32,359 Speaker 1: props and yes parlays. Create custom betting systems and find 820 00:37:32,400 --> 00:37:36,600 Speaker 1: winning trends and profitable opportunities. New users, you can score 821 00:37:36,600 --> 00:37:40,439 Speaker 1: yourself six months of Betting Pros Premium for free with 822 00:37:40,480 --> 00:37:44,160 Speaker 1: your first deposit and wager at any of our partner sportsbooks, 823 00:37:44,239 --> 00:37:48,200 Speaker 1: including hard Rock Bet. Learn more at Bettingpros dot com 824 00:37:48,360 --> 00:37:53,880 Speaker 1: Slash Premium. Sound the cow bells, We've gotten SEC clash 825 00:37:53,960 --> 00:37:58,000 Speaker 1: in Starksville at four fifteen pm Eastern Time the sixteenth 826 00:37:58,120 --> 00:38:01,560 Speaker 1: ranked Tennessee Volunteers. They're laying seven and a half to 827 00:38:01,560 --> 00:38:04,319 Speaker 1: eight and a half points against the Mississippi State Bulldogs. 828 00:38:04,640 --> 00:38:08,680 Speaker 1: Tennessee lost that overtime heartbreaker to Georgia in Week three, 829 00:38:08,960 --> 00:38:11,680 Speaker 1: but they did cover there. However, they did lose their 830 00:38:11,680 --> 00:38:14,120 Speaker 1: first game against the spread. This past week, they beat 831 00:38:14,239 --> 00:38:18,680 Speaker 1: UAB fifty six twenty four Joey Agiloor. He currently leads 832 00:38:18,719 --> 00:38:22,400 Speaker 1: the SEC in passing touchdowns. Chris Brazl. This guy looks 833 00:38:22,400 --> 00:38:24,840 Speaker 1: like he might be an NFL talent as well. He 834 00:38:24,960 --> 00:38:29,360 Speaker 1: leads the SEC in receiving touchdowns for the balls defense 835 00:38:29,400 --> 00:38:32,240 Speaker 1: though just eighty fifth and total defense currently for Tennessee. 836 00:38:32,400 --> 00:38:36,400 Speaker 1: Pretty unlike them Meanwhile, Mississippi State one of the twelve 837 00:38:36,440 --> 00:38:39,120 Speaker 1: on the undefeated teams against the spread this season also 838 00:38:39,160 --> 00:38:42,080 Speaker 1: the first time they've been undefeated to start the season 839 00:38:42,120 --> 00:38:43,920 Speaker 1: four and oh since twenty twenty one, so it's been 840 00:38:43,960 --> 00:38:45,960 Speaker 1: a great season for them. They've beaten the likes of 841 00:38:46,040 --> 00:38:50,040 Speaker 1: North Illinois, al Corn State, Arizona State, Southern miss QB 842 00:38:50,160 --> 00:38:53,040 Speaker 1: Blake Shape and he's been pretty solid. We have fluff bothwell. 843 00:38:53,040 --> 00:38:55,040 Speaker 1: We have Devon Booth in the backfield, won the better 844 00:38:55,080 --> 00:38:57,520 Speaker 1: backfields in the country. They also appear to have some 845 00:38:57,560 --> 00:39:00,279 Speaker 1: really nice wide receivers and an improved defense as well. Well. 846 00:39:00,880 --> 00:39:03,360 Speaker 1: Still do they warrant an eight and a half point 847 00:39:03,440 --> 00:39:08,040 Speaker 1: line against Tennessee after losing thirty three fourteen in Knoxville 848 00:39:08,200 --> 00:39:10,439 Speaker 1: last year? Bobman, this is a team that just came 849 00:39:10,480 --> 00:39:12,840 Speaker 1: off the AP rankings there in the other receiving votes 850 00:39:12,880 --> 00:39:16,000 Speaker 1: category on the verge of being a top twenty five team. 851 00:39:16,040 --> 00:39:18,160 Speaker 1: Do you think they'll prove that they should be this weekend? 852 00:39:18,880 --> 00:39:19,080 Speaker 3: Yeah? 853 00:39:19,120 --> 00:39:22,760 Speaker 2: They looked good, right and Tennessee too. Like the falls 854 00:39:23,160 --> 00:39:27,799 Speaker 2: beat down Syracuse, Syracuse just walked Clemson. Yeah, right, So 855 00:39:27,920 --> 00:39:30,719 Speaker 2: this is kind of the opposite of that LSU game, 856 00:39:30,800 --> 00:39:33,280 Speaker 2: Like oh, well, LSU beat Clemson, what is that worth anymore? 857 00:39:33,520 --> 00:39:37,120 Speaker 2: Syracuse might be a quality win for the Vaults, so 858 00:39:37,440 --> 00:39:40,880 Speaker 2: a very good win there. They should have beat Georgia 859 00:39:41,440 --> 00:39:42,959 Speaker 2: they made the tourney last year. 860 00:39:43,080 --> 00:39:44,160 Speaker 3: I think this. 861 00:39:44,280 --> 00:39:49,080 Speaker 2: Line is going to move heavy in the favor of 862 00:39:49,160 --> 00:39:52,360 Speaker 2: the Vaults because I don't know that anybody really believes 863 00:39:52,719 --> 00:39:55,200 Speaker 2: in Mississippi State. But I think sharp money is gonna 864 00:39:55,239 --> 00:39:59,239 Speaker 2: beyond the Bulldogs because I know you're a Bulldogs fan. 865 00:39:59,320 --> 00:40:01,960 Speaker 2: You've already they on you some money this year. That 866 00:40:02,040 --> 00:40:05,200 Speaker 2: home field advantage for them makes such a gigantic difference, 867 00:40:05,200 --> 00:40:07,040 Speaker 2: and I think it was a difference in their victory 868 00:40:07,280 --> 00:40:09,879 Speaker 2: over ASU. Like if you watched any of I don't 869 00:40:09,920 --> 00:40:11,120 Speaker 2: know how much of that you watched, but if you 870 00:40:11,120 --> 00:40:14,480 Speaker 2: watch any of it, the announcers had to shout into 871 00:40:14,520 --> 00:40:17,880 Speaker 2: the microphone because you couldn't hear anything over the cowbells. 872 00:40:18,080 --> 00:40:19,920 Speaker 2: I think that place is gonna be loaded up. It's 873 00:40:19,920 --> 00:40:22,480 Speaker 2: gonna be nuts there. They've started, they're playing. Well, there's 874 00:40:22,560 --> 00:40:25,000 Speaker 2: nothing else to do in Starkville, so you're definitely going 875 00:40:25,040 --> 00:40:28,160 Speaker 2: to the football game, right So, like, I think that 876 00:40:28,239 --> 00:40:29,520 Speaker 2: place is gonna be packed. 877 00:40:30,000 --> 00:40:32,279 Speaker 3: I want to wait and see what this. 878 00:40:32,200 --> 00:40:35,640 Speaker 2: Gets out to and if this gets over double digits, 879 00:40:36,120 --> 00:40:37,880 Speaker 2: if it gets to ten and a half, yeah, I 880 00:40:38,440 --> 00:40:40,880 Speaker 2: think that's where I want to take Mississippi State. So 881 00:40:41,560 --> 00:40:43,839 Speaker 2: I think that's kind of where I stand on this. 882 00:40:43,880 --> 00:40:46,760 Speaker 2: So I'm just gonna hold and see which way it goes. 883 00:40:46,880 --> 00:40:48,640 Speaker 2: If it doesn't get past seven and a half eight 884 00:40:48,640 --> 00:40:50,799 Speaker 2: and a half, I probably just won't mess with it. 885 00:40:50,880 --> 00:40:53,520 Speaker 2: But if I can get double digits for Mississippi State 886 00:40:53,520 --> 00:40:56,279 Speaker 2: at home, I'm gonna take it. So I'm gonna wait 887 00:40:56,280 --> 00:40:59,239 Speaker 2: and see if this line moves towards the balls, and 888 00:40:59,280 --> 00:41:01,400 Speaker 2: I will wait to take the Bulldogs to see if 889 00:41:01,400 --> 00:41:02,160 Speaker 2: it jumps that far. 890 00:41:02,280 --> 00:41:04,680 Speaker 1: Mississippi State's a fun team to get behind. Not only 891 00:41:04,719 --> 00:41:06,840 Speaker 1: do they have some really cool players, but at the 892 00:41:06,840 --> 00:41:09,560 Speaker 1: same time, like, I just think I fit in with 893 00:41:09,600 --> 00:41:11,160 Speaker 1: Like I think if I ever to pick like an 894 00:41:11,239 --> 00:41:13,839 Speaker 1: SEC school to go to, I would go to Mississippi State. 895 00:41:13,920 --> 00:41:17,279 Speaker 1: Like I feel like the blue collar batch of the SEC. Right, 896 00:41:17,320 --> 00:41:19,120 Speaker 1: it feels like kids are a little more. 897 00:41:19,000 --> 00:41:20,959 Speaker 3: Grounded to earth the Pennsylvania of the South. 898 00:41:21,040 --> 00:41:25,000 Speaker 1: Yeah, you're saying exactly okay, exactly so, and at the 899 00:41:25,040 --> 00:41:28,200 Speaker 1: same time too man like, like if you bet Mississippi 900 00:41:28,200 --> 00:41:31,520 Speaker 1: State's like team over this year for win totals, Like, 901 00:41:32,160 --> 00:41:33,880 Speaker 1: what do you I mean, what was it? Probably a 902 00:41:33,920 --> 00:41:35,600 Speaker 1: three and a half point line at three and a 903 00:41:35,600 --> 00:41:37,920 Speaker 1: half games, so like you're already cashing that, So you're 904 00:41:37,960 --> 00:41:40,120 Speaker 1: already in the green if you're a Mississippi State backer. 905 00:41:40,280 --> 00:41:42,839 Speaker 1: So I'm on board with the Bulldogs. I'm not sure 906 00:41:42,840 --> 00:41:44,400 Speaker 1: if it'll be on the card yet. I'm kind of 907 00:41:44,440 --> 00:41:45,840 Speaker 1: like you. I want to wait and see just a 908 00:41:45,880 --> 00:41:47,399 Speaker 1: little bit. Can I get to ten and a half? 909 00:41:47,400 --> 00:41:49,520 Speaker 1: Can I get an eleven and a half ticket? Maybe there's 910 00:41:49,520 --> 00:41:51,319 Speaker 1: something I mean, you know, can get a tease up 911 00:41:51,360 --> 00:41:54,160 Speaker 1: to potentially maybe two touchdowns or something close. 912 00:41:54,160 --> 00:41:56,040 Speaker 2: So I don't hate teasing it either. Yeah, I think 913 00:41:56,080 --> 00:41:58,399 Speaker 2: my my preferred line would be fourteen and a half. 914 00:41:58,560 --> 00:42:01,600 Speaker 2: Give me that hook, yeah as well. But let's just see, Like, 915 00:42:01,680 --> 00:42:03,680 Speaker 2: if you're gonna tease it, wait till it gets to 916 00:42:03,719 --> 00:42:05,360 Speaker 2: ten and a half, eleven and a half, like you said, 917 00:42:05,440 --> 00:42:07,280 Speaker 2: So just make it better for yourself. 918 00:42:07,800 --> 00:42:10,400 Speaker 1: And let's go ahead. Let's get to Haffy Valley, the 919 00:42:10,480 --> 00:42:14,120 Speaker 1: host college game day this weekend for the Granddaddy of 920 00:42:14,200 --> 00:42:17,239 Speaker 1: the Mall. Yes, it's the Penn State White Out seven 921 00:42:17,440 --> 00:42:21,000 Speaker 1: thirty pm Eastern Time. Set your alarms. We got the 922 00:42:21,040 --> 00:42:23,640 Speaker 1: third ranked Penn State Nitney Lions. They're laying three and 923 00:42:23,680 --> 00:42:27,360 Speaker 1: a half points against the six ranked Oregon Ducks. Penn 924 00:42:27,360 --> 00:42:30,600 Speaker 1: State zero to three ats to start the season. They 925 00:42:30,640 --> 00:42:34,360 Speaker 1: have failed to cover against Nevada FIU and Villaan Nova. 926 00:42:34,760 --> 00:42:37,719 Speaker 1: They do have returning signal caller Drew Aller. They got 927 00:42:37,719 --> 00:42:41,320 Speaker 1: the running backs back as well, Nick Singleton k Tron Allen. 928 00:42:41,600 --> 00:42:45,720 Speaker 1: They reloaded at wide receiver through the portal Hudson Pena, 929 00:42:45,920 --> 00:42:48,720 Speaker 1: name them, they're there. They also have some absolute monsters 930 00:42:48,760 --> 00:42:53,000 Speaker 1: on defense, including edge Deny Dennis Sutton, AJ Harris at cornerback, 931 00:42:53,040 --> 00:42:56,920 Speaker 1: both projected first round picks. Oregon meanwhile three and one ats. 932 00:42:56,960 --> 00:43:00,960 Speaker 1: They've covered against Montana State, Oklahoma State got someone fired 933 00:43:01,000 --> 00:43:04,000 Speaker 1: down there Oregon State last week in the Civil War. 934 00:43:04,480 --> 00:43:07,360 Speaker 1: Oregon's had question marks in the backfield. They had this 935 00:43:07,560 --> 00:43:11,200 Speaker 1: really great two lane transfer coming in Makai Hughes and 936 00:43:11,320 --> 00:43:13,799 Speaker 1: he has been pretty much nowhere to be seen. Their 937 00:43:14,000 --> 00:43:17,440 Speaker 1: projected starter. Then Noah Winnington, whether he's gonna be up 938 00:43:17,480 --> 00:43:18,960 Speaker 1: for this one or not is a question mark. He 939 00:43:19,000 --> 00:43:21,680 Speaker 1: missed last week and maybe it was in anticipation of 940 00:43:21,719 --> 00:43:24,760 Speaker 1: this game, but either way Dante More. Their new quarterback 941 00:43:24,800 --> 00:43:29,120 Speaker 1: has been fantastic eleven touchdowns, one interception for More. Oregon 942 00:43:29,200 --> 00:43:31,800 Speaker 1: beat Penn State last year forty five thirty seven to 943 00:43:31,880 --> 00:43:35,040 Speaker 1: win the Big Ten championship. So will that repeat? Bogman, 944 00:43:35,120 --> 00:43:38,040 Speaker 1: and therefore, does Penn State deserve to be favored at 945 00:43:38,040 --> 00:43:39,680 Speaker 1: home in Happy Valley? 946 00:43:40,320 --> 00:43:43,960 Speaker 2: My note says, let Seth pick this game for you. 947 00:43:44,840 --> 00:43:48,560 Speaker 2: Obviously you're the Penn State fan here. Look I'll say this, 948 00:43:49,760 --> 00:43:51,680 Speaker 2: I don't want I want a lot of action here. 949 00:43:51,760 --> 00:43:55,200 Speaker 2: I think this game could go either way. This is 950 00:43:55,320 --> 00:43:58,719 Speaker 2: really close. But if you're giving me a lean, it 951 00:43:58,800 --> 00:44:01,240 Speaker 2: has to be the home team and Happy Valley. Oregon 952 00:44:01,280 --> 00:44:04,239 Speaker 2: State's going all the way across the country for a 953 00:44:04,360 --> 00:44:08,400 Speaker 2: night game in Happy Valley. Good luck, bro not my 954 00:44:08,520 --> 00:44:12,360 Speaker 2: favorite environment, O loud. 955 00:44:12,719 --> 00:44:14,360 Speaker 3: Look, the Ducks have a lot. 956 00:44:14,160 --> 00:44:16,680 Speaker 2: Of experience, a lot of good experience too, but not 957 00:44:17,200 --> 00:44:19,440 Speaker 2: at the position where it matters the most, at quarterback. 958 00:44:19,560 --> 00:44:23,000 Speaker 2: So if you give me a lean, I'm gonna lean 959 00:44:23,120 --> 00:44:27,520 Speaker 2: for the home team here at Penn State. But VP 960 00:44:27,800 --> 00:44:28,920 Speaker 2: likes Oregon straight up. 961 00:44:29,120 --> 00:44:29,440 Speaker 3: Wow. 962 00:44:30,360 --> 00:44:32,640 Speaker 2: Some of the other systems I've seen have it even 963 00:44:32,719 --> 00:44:35,839 Speaker 2: closer than what the spread is. So I think if 964 00:44:35,880 --> 00:44:39,400 Speaker 2: you're betting this game, you bet the money line, don't 965 00:44:39,440 --> 00:44:41,120 Speaker 2: mess around with points. 966 00:44:41,200 --> 00:44:42,360 Speaker 1: By strength the juice. 967 00:44:43,000 --> 00:44:45,160 Speaker 3: What is your lean in this one? 968 00:44:45,200 --> 00:44:47,960 Speaker 2: Because you're the Penn State fan, If you're gonna give 969 00:44:48,000 --> 00:44:50,480 Speaker 2: me bad news on Penn State, I'll definitely listen, but 970 00:44:51,120 --> 00:44:53,279 Speaker 2: I'll take good news with a grain of salt as well. 971 00:44:53,360 --> 00:44:53,919 Speaker 3: What do you think? 972 00:44:54,200 --> 00:44:57,120 Speaker 1: Here's the issue with Penn State is I don't like 973 00:44:57,239 --> 00:44:59,400 Speaker 1: what we did to front load this schedule with a 974 00:44:59,440 --> 00:45:03,120 Speaker 1: bunch of SCS and bottom of the rung FBS teams, 975 00:45:03,120 --> 00:45:04,680 Speaker 1: Like could we get a MAC team, could we get 976 00:45:04,680 --> 00:45:07,479 Speaker 1: a decent Sun Belt team on the schedule? We didn't 977 00:45:07,560 --> 00:45:11,360 Speaker 1: do that. That is concerning. I think at times we 978 00:45:11,440 --> 00:45:13,520 Speaker 1: have shown a little bit of lapse, like it's been 979 00:45:13,560 --> 00:45:16,040 Speaker 1: a ben don't break type of thing on defense at 980 00:45:16,040 --> 00:45:19,840 Speaker 1: times where there are these you know, subpar teams driving 981 00:45:19,880 --> 00:45:21,319 Speaker 1: down the field from us and we've had to make 982 00:45:21,360 --> 00:45:24,440 Speaker 1: an incredible sacker an interception to get things going the 983 00:45:24,480 --> 00:45:28,000 Speaker 1: other way. That being said, I mean, dude, I've said 984 00:45:28,000 --> 00:45:30,400 Speaker 1: it before in this program. You give anyone, you know, 985 00:45:30,520 --> 00:45:34,000 Speaker 1: twelve hours to drink in Pennsylvania, they're gonna be rowdy, 986 00:45:34,000 --> 00:45:36,440 Speaker 1: They're gonna be ready to go. Man with Kirk, you know, 987 00:45:36,719 --> 00:45:39,560 Speaker 1: Herbie and Pat and the boys ready to go on 988 00:45:39,680 --> 00:45:42,280 Speaker 1: Saturday morning. I think this will be a rocking environment 989 00:45:42,320 --> 00:45:44,600 Speaker 1: by all the gyms, yeah, all the all the gills 990 00:45:44,640 --> 00:45:47,720 Speaker 1: to be ready to go out here in central Pennsylvania, 991 00:45:48,120 --> 00:45:50,440 Speaker 1: hoping maybe I can make it down there. Gotta you know, 992 00:45:50,440 --> 00:45:53,000 Speaker 1: potentially pull some strings up over here at FT to 993 00:45:53,000 --> 00:45:53,760 Speaker 1: to make that happen. 994 00:45:53,800 --> 00:45:56,319 Speaker 2: But take my sleeping pillot a half time. We can 995 00:45:56,360 --> 00:45:58,040 Speaker 2: wake up for the Steelers on Sunday. Yeah. 996 00:45:59,120 --> 00:46:02,560 Speaker 1: Yeah, right, So it's gonna be tough. I think the 997 00:46:02,640 --> 00:46:04,759 Speaker 1: one way I'm going to play that if I am 998 00:46:04,800 --> 00:46:07,239 Speaker 1: gonna get invested here, I think I'm just gonna take 999 00:46:07,280 --> 00:46:09,640 Speaker 1: the Penn State team over, dude. Like, go back to 1000 00:46:09,719 --> 00:46:11,760 Speaker 1: any of the games they played, even in the playoff 1001 00:46:11,840 --> 00:46:14,840 Speaker 1: last year, even in that Big Ten championship, any of 1002 00:46:14,880 --> 00:46:17,000 Speaker 1: the you know, bamb the barrel teams they've played this year. 1003 00:46:17,160 --> 00:46:20,040 Speaker 1: Their offense is still scoring. Can they stop Oregon? That's 1004 00:46:20,080 --> 00:46:22,320 Speaker 1: what I don't know, because their defense has not played anyone. 1005 00:46:22,560 --> 00:46:24,680 Speaker 1: I think their offense with just you know, all the 1006 00:46:24,719 --> 00:46:28,120 Speaker 1: returning production bogs and those much better wide receivers than 1007 00:46:28,160 --> 00:46:29,799 Speaker 1: we had a year ago, even though we don't have 1008 00:46:29,800 --> 00:46:32,000 Speaker 1: our guy Tyler Warren, who's out there just doing the 1009 00:46:32,040 --> 00:46:35,120 Speaker 1: Lord's work in the NFL for us. That. Yeah, I 1010 00:46:35,160 --> 00:46:36,680 Speaker 1: think I'm thinking I'm in on the team over. I 1011 00:46:36,680 --> 00:46:39,200 Speaker 1: think that's what I'm gonna be placing here on Penn State. 1012 00:46:39,280 --> 00:46:43,279 Speaker 2: Twenty seven and a half. What I'm saying m twenty 1013 00:46:43,360 --> 00:46:44,320 Speaker 2: four and a half for Oregon? 1014 00:46:44,719 --> 00:46:46,960 Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, I mean I think I might go over 1015 00:46:47,040 --> 00:46:47,480 Speaker 3: on both. 1016 00:46:47,920 --> 00:46:50,440 Speaker 2: Look at what the Big Ten championship exactly last year? 1017 00:46:50,600 --> 00:46:52,399 Speaker 2: Was it like forty four to thirty five or something 1018 00:46:52,400 --> 00:46:54,120 Speaker 2: like that, Yeah, some ridiculous number. 1019 00:46:54,200 --> 00:46:57,080 Speaker 3: Yeah, I might go I think maybe the over is best. 1020 00:46:57,200 --> 00:47:00,040 Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, that might be a play too. Yeah, and 1021 00:47:00,080 --> 00:47:02,719 Speaker 1: a half isn't isn't bad at all? So like that, 1022 00:47:03,200 --> 00:47:05,279 Speaker 1: let's go ahead, though, Let's round out the program with 1023 00:47:05,320 --> 00:47:08,400 Speaker 1: the second biggest game of the weekend, the number seventeen 1024 00:47:08,480 --> 00:47:11,600 Speaker 1: Alabama Crimson Tide. There in Athens as two and a 1025 00:47:11,640 --> 00:47:14,279 Speaker 1: half to three and a half point underdogs Bama. They 1026 00:47:14,320 --> 00:47:16,759 Speaker 1: got bears by Florida State and that opener. They did 1027 00:47:16,840 --> 00:47:20,440 Speaker 1: bounce back with two straight covers against Louisiana, Minroe and Wisconsin. 1028 00:47:20,800 --> 00:47:24,040 Speaker 1: The Tide will get running back Jim Miller and defensive 1029 00:47:24,080 --> 00:47:27,840 Speaker 1: lineman Tim keenan back. They're gonna make their season debut 1030 00:47:27,920 --> 00:47:31,960 Speaker 1: on Saturday. Georgia coming off that buye after squeaking past 1031 00:47:31,960 --> 00:47:35,279 Speaker 1: Tennessee in Week three. They're like Penn State, though owned 1032 00:47:35,320 --> 00:47:38,200 Speaker 1: three ats this season, they failed to cover against the 1033 00:47:38,280 --> 00:47:42,480 Speaker 1: Vols Marshall and Austin pa so Bogman in a battle 1034 00:47:42,680 --> 00:47:48,000 Speaker 1: between rather inexperienced quarterbacks and Kalem de Boor versus Kirby Smart. 1035 00:47:48,320 --> 00:47:51,080 Speaker 1: Do you remain in the camp that it's got to 1036 00:47:51,120 --> 00:47:54,080 Speaker 1: be the Bulldogs here, especially around a field goal type 1037 00:47:54,080 --> 00:47:54,680 Speaker 1: of line. 1038 00:47:55,200 --> 00:47:58,880 Speaker 2: No, I think that this game is going to go over. 1039 00:47:59,480 --> 00:48:02,919 Speaker 2: Remember the game last year? Remember the first half first the. 1040 00:48:02,800 --> 00:48:06,200 Speaker 1: Second hill Road just running all over everyone. 1041 00:48:05,680 --> 00:48:08,120 Speaker 2: And Jalen Milroe doesn't do that. Like he was throwing 1042 00:48:08,160 --> 00:48:10,600 Speaker 2: the ball downfield. That's not typically what he does, but 1043 00:48:10,600 --> 00:48:13,280 Speaker 2: he was making it rain. Do we remember the idiot 1044 00:48:13,320 --> 00:48:16,040 Speaker 2: that said that Georgia and Tennessee was gonna go under 1045 00:48:16,080 --> 00:48:17,799 Speaker 2: and then there was nine hundred and ninety eight yards 1046 00:48:17,840 --> 00:48:18,360 Speaker 2: in that game? 1047 00:48:18,680 --> 00:48:20,200 Speaker 3: I do? I remember. 1048 00:48:20,280 --> 00:48:23,040 Speaker 2: Let's take let's take lessons that we learned and let 1049 00:48:23,040 --> 00:48:26,080 Speaker 2: them pay off for us. Okay, Gunner Stockton looked great 1050 00:48:26,440 --> 00:48:28,920 Speaker 2: against this Tennessee defense. You know what didn't look great 1051 00:48:29,360 --> 00:48:33,720 Speaker 2: Georgia's defense. George's defense did not look good against Tennessee. 1052 00:48:33,800 --> 00:48:37,000 Speaker 2: Tennessee ran all over them. Joey Agilar made it rain. 1053 00:48:37,080 --> 00:48:38,920 Speaker 2: He even threw a couple of picks and they were 1054 00:48:38,960 --> 00:48:42,600 Speaker 2: still in that game. So to me, I just see 1055 00:48:43,160 --> 00:48:48,000 Speaker 2: late night start, fun game, big audience. I think these 1056 00:48:48,080 --> 00:48:51,520 Speaker 2: quarterbacks are going to make a rain here. So I 1057 00:48:51,680 --> 00:48:53,480 Speaker 2: like a lot of points in this one. I just 1058 00:48:53,520 --> 00:48:56,080 Speaker 2: the system that Bama is going to is more passing 1059 00:48:56,080 --> 00:48:58,879 Speaker 2: and more passing. And George's defense doesn't look good right now. 1060 00:48:59,000 --> 00:49:01,560 Speaker 2: And Gunner Stockton proved himself against Tennessee's defense. 1061 00:49:01,600 --> 00:49:03,680 Speaker 3: He looked great. So I'm a. 1062 00:49:03,640 --> 00:49:06,239 Speaker 2: Little more into the Georgia offense and I'm way down 1063 00:49:06,239 --> 00:49:08,239 Speaker 2: on their defense after giving up all them yards and 1064 00:49:08,239 --> 00:49:09,600 Speaker 2: points to Tennessee. 1065 00:49:09,719 --> 00:49:11,600 Speaker 3: So yeah, I like the over for this one too. 1066 00:49:12,200 --> 00:49:14,600 Speaker 1: I almost want to drink the juice on the Georgia 1067 00:49:14,640 --> 00:49:17,640 Speaker 1: money line or take the points with them, because like, 1068 00:49:17,880 --> 00:49:19,920 Speaker 1: I just don't know if I can trust this Bama 1069 00:49:19,960 --> 00:49:21,040 Speaker 1: offensive line. 1070 00:49:20,920 --> 00:49:23,160 Speaker 3: Trying to win your money back that Bama has already 1071 00:49:23,200 --> 00:49:24,560 Speaker 3: lost you. I think, I. 1072 00:49:24,520 --> 00:49:26,520 Speaker 1: Mean that's yeah, that might be part of it, dude, 1073 00:49:26,520 --> 00:49:29,800 Speaker 1: But like I mean I came into this this season, 1074 00:49:29,840 --> 00:49:32,000 Speaker 1: I think we all agreed that Alabama had what a 1075 00:49:32,040 --> 00:49:35,760 Speaker 1: top five offensive line. Proctor's been garbage. This entire offensive 1076 00:49:35,760 --> 00:49:38,840 Speaker 1: line's been I mean better the last two weeks against 1077 00:49:38,880 --> 00:49:42,879 Speaker 1: Wisconsin and nobody right, So it's like, right, I don't 1078 00:49:42,880 --> 00:49:46,480 Speaker 1: know how goodes the Georgia pass rush though, because Agler 1079 00:49:46,640 --> 00:49:48,640 Speaker 1: stayed pretty clean for most of that game until like 1080 00:49:48,920 --> 00:49:50,719 Speaker 1: you know, the end, until they went over time. I 1081 00:49:50,719 --> 00:49:52,840 Speaker 1: felt like they really started get after him. So I 1082 00:49:52,840 --> 00:49:53,239 Speaker 1: don't know. 1083 00:49:53,280 --> 00:49:57,359 Speaker 2: By the way, Alabama run blocking greade is fiftieth, pass 1084 00:49:57,400 --> 00:49:58,720 Speaker 2: blocking is eighty third. 1085 00:49:59,520 --> 00:50:01,360 Speaker 1: Do you have a as rush grade or anything for 1086 00:50:01,400 --> 00:50:04,000 Speaker 1: Georgia off hand, I can get it. Yeah, yeah, I'd 1087 00:50:04,000 --> 00:50:06,200 Speaker 1: be curious to see that because I think like that's 1088 00:50:06,239 --> 00:50:09,000 Speaker 1: the difference for me. Can Alabama's offensive line hang in 1089 00:50:09,040 --> 00:50:10,040 Speaker 1: there and maybe they. 1090 00:50:09,960 --> 00:50:12,360 Speaker 3: Can one hundred and twenty. 1091 00:50:12,400 --> 00:50:16,600 Speaker 2: Fifth pass rush grade for Georgia pass rush grade this 1092 00:50:16,680 --> 00:50:20,120 Speaker 2: is this is out of one hundred and thirty sixteens 1093 00:50:20,200 --> 00:50:22,440 Speaker 2: at the one hundred and twenty five. 1094 00:50:22,520 --> 00:50:23,560 Speaker 3: Let's just take a look at this. 1095 00:50:23,640 --> 00:50:26,719 Speaker 1: And it's not like they've played good offensive lines. I mean, 1096 00:50:26,719 --> 00:50:29,719 Speaker 1: Tennessee is a good offensive line, but outside even I 1097 00:50:29,719 --> 00:50:31,799 Speaker 1: think they were replacing a couple guys up front. 1098 00:50:31,800 --> 00:50:36,920 Speaker 2: Two, So looks for Georgia Christian Miller best grade win 1099 00:50:37,040 --> 00:50:42,160 Speaker 2: rate nine point one percent, Quintavius Johnson win rate fourteen 1100 00:50:42,239 --> 00:50:44,040 Speaker 2: point three percent. That's the best win rate. 1101 00:50:44,200 --> 00:50:44,719 Speaker 3: Sacks. 1102 00:50:45,480 --> 00:50:47,600 Speaker 2: None of these guys have sacks. I'm looking at the 1103 00:50:47,600 --> 00:50:50,319 Speaker 2: guys with the most snaps, most pass ruck snaps at 1104 00:50:50,400 --> 00:50:51,600 Speaker 2: least thirty four for them. 1105 00:50:51,920 --> 00:50:55,239 Speaker 3: It's all edge and interior guys. Let me expand this 1106 00:50:55,280 --> 00:50:56,919 Speaker 3: a little bit. Let me go to one. This team 1107 00:50:56,960 --> 00:50:59,680 Speaker 3: has three sacks Chris Cole, Raylan Wilson. 1108 00:50:59,320 --> 00:50:59,520 Speaker 1: C J. 1109 00:50:59,640 --> 00:51:01,040 Speaker 3: Allen at least on PFF. 1110 00:51:01,080 --> 00:51:03,759 Speaker 2: I know PFF and like the actual numbers can be 1111 00:51:03,760 --> 00:51:06,360 Speaker 2: a little bit different, but they're not rushing the passer 1112 00:51:06,520 --> 00:51:08,480 Speaker 2: very well right now. According to PFF, they only have 1113 00:51:08,560 --> 00:51:11,680 Speaker 2: three official sacks. I'm good then they're not getting to them. 1114 00:51:11,719 --> 00:51:14,160 Speaker 1: Yeah, so yeah, then I'm not trying. I'm not trusting 1115 00:51:14,200 --> 00:51:16,040 Speaker 1: the Bulldogs and I if they can't get after the 1116 00:51:16,120 --> 00:51:19,640 Speaker 1: quarterback against you know, the subpar teams they face so far. 1117 00:51:19,840 --> 00:51:21,719 Speaker 1: So all right, well, it looks like it's gonna be 1118 00:51:21,760 --> 00:51:23,479 Speaker 1: a pass for me on that one. And I guess 1119 00:51:23,480 --> 00:51:26,120 Speaker 1: you're gonna be laying the points here for the over. 1120 00:51:26,200 --> 00:51:29,120 Speaker 3: Huh over, let's go over score the points. 1121 00:51:29,160 --> 00:51:31,360 Speaker 1: It's an over type of weekend for Bogman. He's gonna 1122 00:51:31,360 --> 00:51:33,560 Speaker 1: be feeling it there. That is going to do it 1123 00:51:33,600 --> 00:51:35,800 Speaker 1: for us on this early Picks episode of the Benning 1124 00:51:35,800 --> 00:51:38,680 Speaker 1: Pros College Football Show. Still to come later this week 1125 00:51:38,719 --> 00:51:41,880 Speaker 1: and every week right here on the BP YouTube channel 1126 00:51:41,920 --> 00:51:45,440 Speaker 1: and audio feed our picks and predictions episode, Our official 1127 00:51:45,520 --> 00:51:48,440 Speaker 1: Locks with Terrell will also get Bog's best bets and 1128 00:51:48,560 --> 00:51:51,120 Speaker 1: our parlay picks. Let us know down in the comments 1129 00:51:51,120 --> 00:51:53,920 Speaker 1: below your favorite week five picks, and while you're here, 1130 00:51:54,040 --> 00:51:57,000 Speaker 1: make sure you're smashing that like bund and subscribing to 1131 00:51:57,080 --> 00:51:59,440 Speaker 1: the channel. If you're new for Scott Bogman, I'm set 1132 00:51:59,480 --> 00:52:02,200 Speaker 1: with Willcock. Take care of y'all. We are welcome. 1133 00:52:03,200 --> 00:52:05,360 Speaker 3: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros Podcast. 1134 00:52:05,600 --> 00:52:07,960 Speaker 2: If you love the show, the best freeway to support 1135 00:52:08,040 --> 00:52:10,920 Speaker 2: us is by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts 1136 00:52:11,000 --> 00:52:14,000 Speaker 2: or Spotify. Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting 1137 00:52:14,040 --> 00:52:17,840 Speaker 2: Pros and Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to 1138 00:52:17,880 --> 00:52:21,000 Speaker 2: our YouTube channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros